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1906-07 Irish League Season

56 games

Final

Champion

Linfield

23 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Shelbourne

4.83 points above expected

19 points · 14.17 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Glentoran

3.40 points below expected

9 points · 12.40 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Linfield 14 10 3 1 23 30 9 +21 18.40 +4.60
2 Shelbourne 14 8 3 3 19 27 21 +6 14.17 +4.83
3 Lisburn Distillery 14 6 4 4 16 27 22 +5 16.46 -0.46
4 Cliftonville 14 4 6 4 14 18 16 +2 16.54 -2.54
5 Bohemian 14 4 5 5 13 19 22 -3 13.05 -0.05
6 Belfast Celtic 14 4 3 7 11 18 25 -7 11.80 -0.80
7 Glentoran 14 2 5 7 9 18 25 -7 12.40 -3.40
8 Derry Celtic 14 2 3 9 7 11 28 -17 9.18 -2.18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Shelbourne 19 14.17 +4.83
2 Linfield 23 18.40 +4.60
3 Bohemian 13 13.05 -0.05
4 Lisburn Distillery 16 16.46 -0.46
5 Belfast Celtic 11 11.80 -0.80

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Glentoran 9 12.40 -3.40
2 Cliftonville 14 16.54 -2.54
3 Derry Celtic 7 9.18 -2.18
4 Belfast Celtic 11 11.80 -0.80
5 Lisburn Distillery 16 16.46 -0.46

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shelbourne 5 Nov 10 – Dec 26 1 in 107
2 Belfast Celtic 3 Dec 25 – Feb 9 1 in 63
3 Linfield 5 Nov 17 – Jan 19 1 in 22
4 Bohemian 2 Oct 6 – Oct 20 1 in 16
5 Cliftonville 2 Sep 15 – Sep 22 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Glentoran 3 Dec 1 – Dec 25 1 in 30
2 Belfast Celtic 3 Oct 6 – Oct 27 1 in 16
3 Cliftonville 2 Oct 27 – Nov 10 1 in 11
4 Derry Celtic 3 Sep 22 – Oct 20 1 in 6
5 Lisburn Distillery 2 Jan 19 – Feb 9 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shelbourne 6 Oct 27 – Dec 26 1 in 11
2 Linfield 11 Sep 22 – May 15 1 in 10
3 Bohemian 4 Oct 6 – Nov 10 1 in 8
4 Belfast Celtic 3 Dec 25 – Feb 9 1 in 6
5 Glentoran 3 Sep 15 – Oct 6 1 in 4

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Glentoran 9 Oct 20 – Feb 9 1 in 21
2 Belfast Celtic 10 Sep 8 – Dec 22 1 in 18
3 Cliftonville 5 Dec 1 – May 15 1 in 15
4 Bohemian 4 Sep 1 – Sep 22 1 in 6
5 Derry Celtic 7 Sep 22 – Dec 1 1 in 4

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Linfield 1737 23 +68 9 7.4 +1.6
Shelbourne 1551 19 +30 8 5.6 +2.4
Lisburn Distillery 1557 16 -29 4 5.4 -1.4
Cliftonville 1549 14 -25 4 5.2 -1.2
Bohemian 1513 13 +31 5 5.0 +0.0
Belfast Celtic 1451 11 +81 7 3.6 +3.4
Glentoran 1372 9 -94 1 4.5 -3.5
Derry Celtic 1270 7 -63 2 3.4 -1.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BC BOH CLI DC GLE LIN LD SHE
Belfast Celtic —
1-0-1
2.40
0-1-1
1.96
1-1-0
3.15
1-0-1
2.75
0-1-1
1.36
1-0-1
1.60
0-0-2
2.49
Bohemian
1-0-1
3.00
 —
1-1-0
1.82
1-1-0
3.48
1-1-0
2.99
0-0-2
1.96
0-2-0
2.29
0-0-2
2.65
Cliftonville
1-1-0
3.45
0-1-1
3.58
 —
1-1-0
3.96
1-1-0
3.60
0-1-1
2.18
1-0-1
2.69
0-1-1
3.36
Derry Celtic
0-1-1
2.26
0-1-1
1.93
0-1-1
1.46
 —
1-0-1
2.22
0-0-2
1.14
0-0-2
1.42
1-0-1
1.89
Glentoran
1-0-1
2.65
0-1-1
2.41
0-1-1
1.80
1-0-1
3.17
 —
0-1-1
1.84
0-1-1
1.87
0-1-1
2.28
Linfield
1-1-0
4.06
2-0-0
3.44
1-1-0
3.24
2-0-0
4.30
1-1-0
3.58
 —
1-0-1
3.19
2-0-0
3.35
Lisburn Distillery
1-0-1
3.81
0-2-0
3.12
1-0-1
2.71
2-0-0
4.01
1-1-0
3.54
1-0-1
2.22
 —
0-1-1
3.02
Shelbourne
2-0-0
2.90
2-0-0
2.74
1-1-0
2.05
1-0-1
3.52
1-1-0
3.13
0-0-2
2.05
1-1-0
2.39
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.87 +7.7
Allowed 0.72 -7.5
Differential 0.95 +4.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%7.14%4.46%4.46%0.89%0.89%21.43%
17.14%19.64%6.25%4.46%—0.89%38.39%
24.46%6.25%5.36%2.68%1.79%—20.54%
34.46%4.46%2.68%—0.89%0.89%13.39%
40.89%—1.79%0.89%——3.57%
5+0.89%0.89%—0.89%——2.68%
Total21.43%38.39%20.54%13.39%3.57%2.68%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.50 +0.00
SD 1.32 1.32 1.91
CV 0.88 0.88 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 56

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%——35.71%
17.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%——35.71%
2———————
3—7.14%7.14%——7.14%21.43%
4——7.14%———7.14%
5+———————
Total14.29%35.71%28.57%14.29%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.79 -0.50
SD 1.38 1.53 1.65
CV 1.08 0.86 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%——14.29%——21.43%
17.14%21.43%—7.14%——35.71%
27.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%—35.71%
3———————
47.14%—————7.14%
5+———————
Total28.57%28.57%7.14%28.57%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.57 -0.21
SD 1.08 1.40 1.93
CV 0.80 0.89 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%————21.43%
17.14%28.57%7.14%7.14%——50.00%
2—14.29%7.14%———21.43%
3———————
4———————
5+—7.14%————7.14%
Total14.29%64.29%14.29%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.14 +0.14
SD 1.27 0.77 1.41
CV 0.99 0.67 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%21.43%7.14%7.14%—42.86%
17.14%21.43%7.14%——7.14%42.86%
2———7.14%——7.14%
3—7.14%————7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total7.14%35.71%28.57%14.29%7.14%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.79 2.00 -1.21
SD 0.89 1.36 1.76
CV 1.14 0.68 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.14%7.14%——14.29%
1—28.57%14.29%7.14%——50.00%
27.14%—7.14%7.14%7.14%—28.57%
37.14%—————7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total14.29%28.57%28.57%21.43%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.79 -0.50
SD 0.83 1.19 1.61
CV 0.64 0.67 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
128.57%21.43%7.14%———57.14%
27.14%—————7.14%
314.29%—7.14%———21.43%
4——7.14%———7.14%
5+7.14%—————7.14%
Total57.14%21.43%21.43%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 0.64 +1.50
SD 1.75 0.84 1.95
CV 0.82 1.31 —
Max 7 2 +7
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%————14.29%
1—14.29%7.14%7.14%——28.57%
27.14%14.29%7.14%———28.57%
3—7.14%7.14%—7.14%—21.43%
4———————
5+———7.14%——7.14%
Total14.29%42.86%21.43%14.29%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.93 1.57 +0.36
SD 1.54 1.16 1.39
CV 0.80 0.74 —
Max 6 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%———7.14%21.43%
1—7.14%————7.14%
27.14%14.29%14.29%———35.71%
314.29%14.29%————28.57%
4———7.14%——7.14%
5+———————
Total21.43%50.00%14.29%7.14%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.93 1.50 +0.43
SD 1.27 1.79 2.50
CV 0.66 1.19 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 14

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Linfield 1737 23 18.40 +4.60 96.0% 12 14 16 19 20 23 25
Lisburn Distillery 1557 16 16.46 -0.46 42.0% 9 11 15 17 19 21 22
Shelbourne 1551 19 14.17 +4.83 99.0% 7 9 12 14 16 19 20
Cliftonville 1549 14 16.54 -2.54 22.0% 9 12 15 17 18 21 24
Bohemian 1513 13 13.05 -0.05 56.0% 8 9 11 13 15 17 19
Belfast Celtic 1451 11 11.80 -0.80 45.0% 5 7 10 12 14 16 19
Glentoran 1372 9 12.40 -3.40 17.0% 5 8 10 12 14 17 20
Derry Celtic 1270 7 9.18 -2.18 30.0% 3 4 7 9 11 13 19

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+21.43%
Strong Edge
46.43%28.57%25.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge
175 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
075.62500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.61 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.43+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 4th * Longshot: 5th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.0
Top-Heavy
12348
Champion Preseason Odds
51%
Linfield, 1st of 8
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.29/gm
Comfortable
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.28 * Some Luck: 2.28 to 3.41 * Lucky: 3.41 to 4.55 * Wild Swing: 4.55 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.03 * Close: 1.03 to 1.55 * Off: 1.55 to 2.06 * Way Off: 2.06 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 8 * As Expected: 8 to 12.8 * Several Outliers: 12.8 to 17.6 * Many Outliers: 17.6 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.92 points
Some Luck
02.857
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.75
Pinpoint
01.293
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 93.75%
99.00%
Shelbourne
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected
17.00%
Glentoran
06.25%50
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 8
Minimal Outliers
00.88

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Even
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 139.47
1.66
Coin-Flip Parity
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
67%
Even
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
94%
Clear Edge
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
62%
Very Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Rare
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.44
Notable Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.03
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.60
Some Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Solid Favorites
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.23 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.23 to 0.34 * Above Noise: 0.34 to 0.45 * Well Above Noise: 0.45 and up.
Probability calibration
0.93
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.47
Very Underconfident
0.3941621.001.60584
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.123
Well Within Noise
00.2260.5

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Linfield51.00%24.00%11.00%11.00%2.00%1.00%——
Shelbourne6.00%12.00%19.00%20.00%16.00%12.00%9.00%6.00%
Lisburn Distillery19.00%27.00%24.00%12.00%6.00%8.00%4.00%—
Cliftonville19.00%24.00%25.00%15.00%8.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%
Bohemian2.00%4.00%8.00%16.00%27.00%17.00%19.00%7.00%
Belfast Celtic1.00%3.00%5.00%12.00%16.00%23.00%24.00%16.00%
Glentoran1.00%5.00%8.00%12.00%22.00%19.00%21.00%12.00%
Derry Celtic1.00%1.00%—2.00%3.00%14.00%21.00%58.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Belfast Celtic 100%
Bohemian 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Derry Celtic 100%
Glentoran 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Shelbourne 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1906-09-01 Derry Celtic W 1-040.0 1516 1380 60.81% 28.95% 10.24%+1.21 +7.2 2
1906-09-01 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-140.0 1380 1516 10.24% 28.95% 60.81%-1.21 -7.2 0
1906-09-01 Lisburn Distillery D 1-162.9 1511 1562 43.28% 30.30% 26.43%+0.14 -1.7 1
1906-09-01 @ Bohemian D 1-162.9 1562 1511 26.43% 30.30% 43.28%-0.14 +1.7 1
1906-09-01 Shelbourne D 1-162.2 1590 1450 61.05% 28.91% 10.05%+1.23 -6.0 1
1906-09-01 @ Cliftonville D 1-162.2 1450 1590 10.05% 28.91% 61.05%-1.23 +6.0 1
1906-09-01 Linfield L 0-247.7 1436 1555 34.10% 30.26% 35.64%-0.25 -34.7 0
1906-09-01 @ Glentoran W 2-047.7 1555 1436 35.64% 30.26% 34.10%+0.25 +34.7 2
1906-09-08 Cliftonville D 1-158.8 1373 1584 22.56% 29.75% 47.69%-0.77 +2.6 1
1906-09-08 @ Derry Celtic D 1-158.8 1584 1373 47.69% 29.75% 22.56%+0.77 -2.6 2
1906-09-08 Bohemian W 3-043.3 1590 1509 56.74% 29.56% 13.70%+0.89 +25.3 4
1906-09-08 @ Linfield L 0-343.3 1509 1590 13.70% 29.56% 56.74%-0.89 -25.3 1
1906-09-08 Glentoran W 3-252.0 1564 1401 62.48% 28.60% 8.92%+1.36 +5.7 3
1906-09-08 @ Lisburn Distillery L 2-352.0 1401 1564 8.92% 28.60% 62.48%-1.36 -5.7 0
1906-09-08 Belfast Celtic W 3-151.0 1456 1523 41.25% 30.31% 28.44%+0.05 +26.4 3
1906-09-08 @ Shelbourne L 1-351.0 1523 1456 28.44% 30.31% 41.25%-0.05 -26.5 2
1906-09-15 Cliftonville L 0-155.6 1497 1581 38.89% 30.31% 30.80%-0.05 -20.2 2
1906-09-15 @ Belfast Celtic W 1-055.6 1581 1497 30.80% 30.31% 38.89%+0.05 +20.2 4
1906-09-15 Glentoran D 1-156.3 1484 1396 57.38% 29.48% 13.14%+0.94 -5.0 2
1906-09-15 @ Bohemian D 1-156.3 1396 1484 13.14% 29.48% 57.38%-0.94 +5.0 1
1906-09-15 Shelbourne W 1-046.4 1376 1483 35.73% 30.28% 33.98%-0.18 +18.4 3
1906-09-15 @ Derry Celtic L 0-146.4 1483 1376 33.98% 30.28% 35.73%+0.18 -18.4 3
1906-09-15 Linfield W 2-159.8 1569 1615 43.93% 30.29% 25.78%+0.17 +14.2 5
1906-09-15 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-259.8 1615 1569 25.78% 30.29% 43.93%-0.17 -14.2 4
1906-09-22 Lisburn Distillery W 2-157.7 1601 1583 51.08% 30.04% 18.88%+0.54 +11.3 6
1906-09-22 @ Cliftonville L 1-257.7 1583 1601 18.88% 30.04% 51.08%-0.54 -11.3 5
1906-09-22 Derry Celtic W 2-037.3 1401 1394 49.93% 30.10% 19.97%+0.47 +23.5 3
1906-09-22 @ Glentoran L 0-237.3 1394 1401 19.97% 30.10% 49.93%-0.47 -23.5 3
1906-09-22 Belfast Celtic D 1-163.4 1601 1476 60.02% 29.09% 10.89%+1.14 -5.7 5
1906-09-22 @ Linfield D 1-163.4 1476 1601 10.89% 29.09% 60.02%-1.14 +5.7 3
1906-09-22 Bohemian W 3-040.4 1464 1479 47.61% 30.20% 22.19%+0.35 +37.0 5
1906-09-22 @ Shelbourne L 0-340.4 1479 1464 22.19% 30.20% 47.61%-0.35 -37.0 2
1906-10-06 Cliftonville W 1-055.8 1442 1613 27.21% 30.03% 42.76%-0.54 +21.8 4
1906-10-06 @ Bohemian L 0-155.8 1613 1442 42.76% 30.03% 27.21%+0.54 -21.8 6
1906-10-06 Belfast Celtic W 3-040.7 1424 1482 42.39% 30.30% 27.31%+0.10 +43.1 5
1906-10-06 @ Glentoran L 0-340.7 1482 1424 27.31% 30.30% 42.39%-0.10 -43.1 3
1906-10-06 Derry Celtic W 3-035.7 1595 1370 65.90% 27.65% 6.46%+1.72 +12.8 7
1906-10-06 @ Linfield L 0-335.7 1370 1595 6.46% 27.65% 65.90%-1.72 -12.8 3
1906-10-06 Shelbourne D 2-268.6 1572 1501 55.95% 29.65% 14.40%+0.84 -3.5 6
1906-10-06 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-268.6 1501 1572 14.40% 29.65% 55.95%-0.84 +3.5 6
1906-10-20 Bohemian L 0-248.2 1439 1464 46.45% 30.23% 23.32%+0.29 -44.1 3
1906-10-20 @ Belfast Celtic W 2-048.2 1464 1439 23.32% 30.23% 46.45%-0.29 +44.1 6
1906-10-20 Glentoran W 2-151.2 1591 1467 59.98% 29.10% 10.92%+1.14 +7.2 8
1906-10-20 @ Cliftonville L 1-251.2 1467 1591 10.92% 29.10% 59.98%-1.14 -7.2 5
1906-10-20 Lisburn Distillery L 1-250.0 1358 1569 22.54% 29.74% 47.71%-0.78 -12.8 3
1906-10-20 @ Derry Celtic W 2-150.0 1569 1358 47.71% 29.74% 22.54%+0.78 +12.8 8
1906-10-20 Linfield L 0-156.0 1505 1608 36.38% 30.29% 33.33%-0.16 -19.3 6
1906-10-20 @ Shelbourne W 1-056.0 1608 1505 33.33% 30.29% 36.38%+0.16 +19.3 9
1906-10-27 Derry Celtic D 1-155.7 1508 1345 62.52% 28.59% 8.88%+1.37 -6.4 7
1906-10-27 @ Bohemian D 1-155.7 1345 1508 8.88% 28.59% 62.52%-1.37 +6.4 4
1906-10-27 Linfield L 0-161.7 1598 1627 45.95% 30.25% 23.80%+0.27 -23.2 8
1906-10-27 @ Cliftonville W 1-061.7 1627 1598 23.80% 30.25% 45.95%-0.27 +23.2 11
1906-10-27 Shelbourne D 2-263.7 1460 1486 46.34% 30.24% 23.43%+0.29 -1.8 6
1906-10-27 @ Glentoran D 2-263.7 1486 1460 23.43% 30.24% 46.34%-0.29 +1.8 7
1906-10-27 Belfast Celtic W 6-346.0 1582 1395 63.89% 28.25% 7.86%+1.50 +10.5 10
1906-10-27 @ Lisburn Distillery L 3-646.0 1395 1582 7.86% 28.25% 63.89%-1.50 -10.5 3
1906-11-10 Belfast Celtic D 1-152.7 1351 1385 45.41% 30.26% 24.33%+0.24 -2.2 5
1906-11-10 @ Derry Celtic D 1-152.7 1385 1351 24.33% 30.26% 45.41%-0.24 +2.2 4
1906-11-10 Glentoran D 1-164.8 1650 1458 64.18% 28.17% 7.65%+1.53 -6.8 12
1906-11-10 @ Linfield D 1-164.8 1458 1650 7.65% 28.17% 64.18%-1.53 +6.8 7
1906-11-10 Bohemian D 0-059.8 1592 1501 57.56% 29.46% 12.98%+0.95 -5.7 11
1906-11-10 @ Lisburn Distillery D 0-059.8 1501 1592 12.98% 29.46% 57.56%-0.95 +5.7 8
1906-11-10 Cliftonville W 2-157.8 1487 1575 38.49% 30.31% 31.20%-0.07 +16.3 9
1906-11-10 @ Shelbourne L 1-257.8 1575 1487 31.20% 30.31% 38.49%+0.07 -16.3 8
1906-11-17 Linfield L 2-461.9 1507 1643 31.69% 30.20% 38.11%-0.35 -25.5 8
1906-11-17 @ Bohemian W 4-261.9 1643 1507 38.11% 30.20% 31.69%+0.35 +25.5 14
1906-11-17 Lisburn Distillery D 1-162.2 1465 1586 33.78% 30.25% 35.97%-0.26 +0.2 8
1906-11-17 @ Glentoran D 1-162.2 1586 1465 35.97% 30.25% 33.78%+0.26 -0.2 12
1906-11-24 Shelbourne L 1-252.5 1387 1504 34.35% 30.26% 35.39%-0.24 -17.4 4
1906-11-24 @ Belfast Celtic W 2-152.5 1504 1387 35.39% 30.26% 34.35%+0.24 +17.4 11
1906-11-24 Derry Celtic W 5-137.6 1559 1349 65.14% 27.89% 6.97%+1.63 +15.0 10
1906-11-24 @ Cliftonville L 1-537.6 1349 1559 6.97% 27.89% 65.14%-1.63 -15.0 5
1906-12-01 Belfast Celtic D 0-054.7 1574 1369 64.86% 27.98% 7.16%+1.60 -7.8 11
1906-12-01 @ Cliftonville D 0-054.7 1369 1574 7.16% 27.98% 64.86%-1.60 +7.8 5
1906-12-01 Bohemian L 1-258.3 1465 1482 47.42% 30.20% 22.38%+0.34 -22.4 8
1906-12-01 @ Glentoran W 2-158.3 1482 1465 22.38% 30.20% 47.42%-0.34 +22.4 10
1906-12-01 Derry Celtic W 2-034.6 1521 1334 63.93% 28.24% 7.83%+1.50 +10.6 13
1906-12-01 @ Shelbourne L 0-234.6 1334 1521 7.83% 28.24% 63.93%-1.50 -10.6 5
1906-12-22 Linfield L 0-146.9 1377 1669 15.16% 28.89% 55.95%-1.24 -9.9 5
1906-12-22 @ Belfast Celtic W 1-046.9 1669 1377 55.95% 28.89% 15.16%+1.24 +9.9 16
1906-12-22 Shelbourne L 1-358.4 1504 1532 46.07% 30.24% 23.69%+0.27 -37.9 10
1906-12-22 @ Bohemian W 3-158.4 1532 1504 23.69% 30.24% 46.07%-0.27 +37.9 15
1906-12-22 Glentoran W 3-146.9 1323 1443 33.99% 30.25% 35.76%-0.25 +31.1 7
1906-12-22 @ Derry Celtic L 1-346.9 1443 1323 35.76% 30.25% 33.99%+0.25 -31.1 8
1906-12-22 Cliftonville W 3-153.9 1586 1566 51.30% 30.03% 18.67%+0.55 +19.3 14
1906-12-22 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-353.9 1566 1586 18.67% 30.03% 51.30%-0.55 -19.3 11
1906-12-25 Glentoran W 4-248.2 1367 1412 44.05% 30.28% 25.66%+0.18 +22.0 7
1906-12-25 @ Belfast Celtic L 2-448.2 1412 1367 25.66% 30.28% 44.05%-0.18 -22.0 8
1906-12-26 Bohemian D 2-266.4 1547 1466 56.75% 29.56% 13.69%+0.89 -3.6 12
1906-12-26 @ Cliftonville D 2-266.4 1466 1547 13.69% 29.56% 56.75%-0.89 +3.6 11
1906-12-26 Linfield L 2-355.7 1354 1679 12.86% 28.45% 58.69%-1.42 -7.7 7
1906-12-26 @ Derry Celtic W 3-255.7 1679 1354 58.69% 28.45% 12.86%+1.42 +7.7 18
1906-12-26 Lisburn Distillery W 4-367.3 1570 1605 45.14% 30.26% 24.59%+0.23 +12.7 17
1906-12-26 @ Shelbourne L 3-467.3 1605 1570 24.59% 30.26% 45.14%-0.23 -12.7 14
1907-01-12 Belfast Celtic L 2-363.1 1470 1389 56.76% 29.56% 13.68%+0.89 -25.2 11
1907-01-12 @ Bohemian W 3-263.1 1389 1470 13.68% 29.56% 56.76%-0.89 +25.2 9
1907-01-12 Cliftonville D 1-157.8 1390 1543 29.46% 30.13% 40.41%-0.44 +1.1 9
1907-01-12 @ Glentoran D 1-157.8 1543 1390 40.41% 30.13% 29.46%+0.44 -1.1 13
1907-01-12 Shelbourne W 7-048.5 1686 1582 58.57% 29.32% 12.11%+1.03 +50.4 20
1907-01-12 @ Linfield L 0-748.5 1582 1686 12.11% 29.32% 58.57%-1.03 -50.4 17
1907-01-12 Derry Celtic W 2-036.4 1593 1347 66.93% 27.28% 5.78%+1.84 +7.9 16
1907-01-12 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-236.4 1347 1593 5.78% 27.28% 66.93%-1.84 -7.9 7
1907-01-19 Lisburn Distillery W 1-052.2 1737 1601 60.84% 28.95% 10.22%+1.21 +7.2 22
1907-01-19 @ Linfield L 0-152.2 1601 1737 10.22% 28.95% 60.84%-1.21 -7.2 16
1907-02-09 Lisburn Distillery W 3-156.6 1414 1593 26.21% 29.98% 43.81%-0.59 +36.2 11
1907-02-09 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-356.6 1593 1414 43.81% 29.98% 26.21%+0.59 -36.2 16
1907-02-09 Bohemian L 0-439.5 1339 1445 35.96% 30.29% 33.75%-0.17 -68.4 7
1907-02-09 @ Derry Celtic W 4-039.5 1445 1339 33.75% 30.29% 35.96%+0.17 +68.4 13
1907-02-09 Glentoran W 3-035.6 1532 1391 61.15% 28.88% 9.96%+1.24 +19.2 19
1907-02-09 @ Shelbourne L 0-335.6 1391 1532 9.96% 28.88% 61.15%-1.24 -19.2 9
1907-05-15 Cliftonville D 1-168.9 1744 1542 64.75% 28.01% 7.24%+1.59 -7.0 23
1907-05-15 @ Linfield D 1-168.9 1542 1744 7.24% 28.01% 64.75%-1.59 +7.0 14

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1907-01-12 13.68% Belfast Celtic 1389 3 @ Bohemian 1470 2
2 1906-12-01 22.38% Bohemian 1482 2 @ Glentoran 1465 1
3 1906-10-20 23.32% Bohemian 1464 2 @ Belfast Celtic 1439 0
4 1906-12-22 23.69% Shelbourne 1532 3 @ Bohemian 1504 1
5 1906-10-27 23.80% Linfield 1627 1 @ Cliftonville 1598 0
6 1907-02-09 26.21% @ Belfast Celtic 1414 3 Lisburn Distillery 1593 1
7 1906-10-06 27.21% @ Bohemian 1442 1 Cliftonville 1613 0
8 1906-09-15 30.80% Cliftonville 1581 1 @ Belfast Celtic 1497 0
9 1906-10-20 33.33% Linfield 1608 1 @ Shelbourne 1505 0
10 1907-02-09 33.75% Bohemian 1445 4 @ Derry Celtic 1339 0
11 1906-12-22 33.99% @ Derry Celtic 1323 3 Glentoran 1443 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1907-02-09 68.38 Bohemian 4 1445 33.75% @ Derry Celtic 0 1339 35.96% 30.29%
2 1907-01-12 50.44 @ Linfield 7 1686 58.57% Shelbourne 0 1582 12.11% 29.32%
3 1906-10-20 44.08 Bohemian 2 1464 23.32% @ Belfast Celtic 0 1439 46.45% 30.23%
4 1906-10-06 43.09 @ Glentoran 3 1424 42.39% Belfast Celtic 0 1482 27.31% 30.30%
5 1906-12-22 37.90 Shelbourne 3 1532 23.69% @ Bohemian 1 1504 46.07% 30.24%
6 1906-09-22 36.99 @ Shelbourne 3 1464 47.61% Bohemian 0 1479 22.19% 30.20%
7 1907-02-09 36.22 @ Belfast Celtic 3 1414 26.21% Lisburn Distillery 1 1593 43.81% 29.98%
8 1906-09-01 34.71 Linfield 2 1555 35.64% @ Glentoran 0 1436 34.10% 30.26%
9 1906-12-22 31.08 @ Derry Celtic 3 1323 33.99% Glentoran 1 1443 35.76% 30.25%
10 1906-09-08 26.45 @ Shelbourne 3 1456 41.25% Belfast Celtic 1 1523 28.44% 30.31%
11 1906-11-17 25.52 Linfield 4 1643 38.11% @ Bohemian 2 1507 31.69% 30.20%
12 1906-09-08 25.28 @ Linfield 3 1590 56.74% Bohemian 0 1509 13.70% 29.56%
13 1907-01-12 25.20 Belfast Celtic 3 1389 13.68% @ Bohemian 2 1470 56.76% 29.56%
14 1906-09-22 23.52 @ Glentoran 2 1401 49.93% Derry Celtic 0 1394 19.97% 30.10%
15 1906-10-27 23.16 Linfield 1 1627 23.80% @ Cliftonville 0 1598 45.95% 30.25%
16 1906-12-01 22.44 Bohemian 2 1482 22.38% @ Glentoran 1 1465 47.42% 30.20%
17 1906-12-25 21.97 @ Belfast Celtic 4 1367 44.05% Glentoran 2 1412 25.66% 30.28%
18 1906-10-06 21.75 @ Bohemian 1 1442 27.21% Cliftonville 0 1613 42.76% 30.03%
19 1906-09-15 20.25 Cliftonville 1 1581 30.80% @ Belfast Celtic 0 1497 38.89% 30.31%
20 1906-12-22 19.33 @ Lisburn Distillery 3 1586 51.30% Cliftonville 1 1566 18.67% 30.03%
21 1906-10-20 19.27 Linfield 1 1608 33.33% @ Shelbourne 0 1505 36.38% 30.29%
22 1907-02-09 19.22 @ Shelbourne 3 1532 61.15% Glentoran 0 1391 9.96% 28.88%
23 1906-09-15 18.37 @ Derry Celtic 1 1376 35.73% Shelbourne 0 1483 33.98% 30.28%
24 1906-11-24 17.44 Shelbourne 2 1504 35.39% @ Belfast Celtic 1 1387 34.35% 30.26%
25 1906-11-10 16.32 @ Shelbourne 2 1487 38.49% Cliftonville 1 1575 31.20% 30.31%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1907-05-15 68.9 @ Linfield 1 1744 64.75% Cliftonville 1 1542 7.24% 28.01%
2 1906-10-06 68.6 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1572 55.95% Shelbourne 2 1501 14.40% 29.65%
3 1906-12-26 67.3 @ Shelbourne 4 1570 45.14% Lisburn Distillery 3 1605 24.59% 30.26%
4 1906-12-26 66.4 @ Cliftonville 2 1547 56.75% Bohemian 2 1466 13.69% 29.56%
5 1906-11-10 64.8 @ Linfield 1 1650 64.18% Glentoran 1 1458 7.65% 28.17%
6 1906-10-27 63.7 @ Glentoran 2 1460 46.34% Shelbourne 2 1486 23.43% 30.24%
7 1906-09-22 63.4 @ Linfield 1 1601 60.02% Belfast Celtic 1 1476 10.89% 29.09%
8 1907-01-12 63.1 Belfast Celtic 3 1389 13.68% @ Bohemian 2 1470 56.76% 29.56%
9 1906-09-01 62.9 @ Bohemian 1 1511 43.28% Lisburn Distillery 1 1562 26.43% 30.30%
10 1906-09-01 62.2 @ Cliftonville 1 1590 61.05% Shelbourne 1 1450 10.05% 28.91%
11 1906-11-17 62.2 @ Glentoran 1 1465 33.78% Lisburn Distillery 1 1586 35.97% 30.25%
12 1906-11-17 61.9 Linfield 4 1643 38.11% @ Bohemian 2 1507 31.69% 30.20%
13 1906-10-27 61.7 Linfield 1 1627 23.80% @ Cliftonville 0 1598 45.95% 30.25%
14 1906-09-15 59.8 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1569 43.93% Linfield 1 1615 25.78% 30.29%
15 1906-11-10 59.8 @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1592 57.56% Bohemian 0 1501 12.98% 29.46%
16 1906-09-08 58.8 @ Derry Celtic 1 1373 22.56% Cliftonville 1 1584 47.69% 29.75%
17 1906-12-22 58.4 Shelbourne 3 1532 23.69% @ Bohemian 1 1504 46.07% 30.24%
18 1906-12-01 58.3 Bohemian 2 1482 22.38% @ Glentoran 1 1465 47.42% 30.20%
19 1906-11-10 57.8 @ Shelbourne 2 1487 38.49% Cliftonville 1 1575 31.20% 30.31%
20 1907-01-12 57.8 @ Glentoran 1 1390 29.46% Cliftonville 1 1543 40.41% 30.13%
21 1906-09-22 57.7 @ Cliftonville 2 1601 51.08% Lisburn Distillery 1 1583 18.88% 30.04%
22 1907-02-09 56.6 @ Belfast Celtic 3 1414 26.21% Lisburn Distillery 1 1593 43.81% 29.98%
23 1906-09-15 56.3 @ Bohemian 1 1484 57.38% Glentoran 1 1396 13.14% 29.48%
24 1906-10-20 56.0 Linfield 1 1608 33.33% @ Shelbourne 0 1505 36.38% 30.29%
25 1906-10-06 55.8 @ Bohemian 1 1442 27.21% Cliftonville 0 1613 42.76% 30.03%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1906-12-01 34.6 @ Shelbourne 2 1521 63.93% Derry Celtic 0 1334 7.83% 28.24%
2 1907-02-09 35.6 @ Shelbourne 3 1532 61.15% Glentoran 0 1391 9.96% 28.88%
3 1906-10-06 35.7 @ Linfield 3 1595 65.90% Derry Celtic 0 1370 6.46% 27.65%
4 1907-01-12 36.4 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1593 66.93% Derry Celtic 0 1347 5.78% 27.28%
5 1906-09-22 37.3 @ Glentoran 2 1401 49.93% Derry Celtic 0 1394 19.97% 30.10%
6 1906-11-24 37.6 @ Cliftonville 5 1559 65.14% Derry Celtic 1 1349 6.97% 27.89%
7 1907-02-09 39.5 Bohemian 4 1445 33.75% @ Derry Celtic 0 1339 35.96% 30.29%
8 1906-09-01 40.0 @ Belfast Celtic 1 1516 60.81% Derry Celtic 0 1380 10.24% 28.95%
9 1906-09-22 40.4 @ Shelbourne 3 1464 47.61% Bohemian 0 1479 22.19% 30.20%
10 1906-10-06 40.7 @ Glentoran 3 1424 42.39% Belfast Celtic 0 1482 27.31% 30.30%
11 1906-09-08 43.3 @ Linfield 3 1590 56.74% Bohemian 0 1509 13.70% 29.56%
12 1906-10-27 46.0 @ Lisburn Distillery 6 1582 63.89% Belfast Celtic 3 1395 7.86% 28.25%
13 1906-09-15 46.4 @ Derry Celtic 1 1376 35.73% Shelbourne 0 1483 33.98% 30.28%
14 1906-12-22 46.9 Linfield 1 1669 55.95% @ Belfast Celtic 0 1377 15.16% 28.89%
15 1906-12-22 46.9 @ Derry Celtic 3 1323 33.99% Glentoran 1 1443 35.76% 30.25%
16 1906-09-01 47.7 Linfield 2 1555 35.64% @ Glentoran 0 1436 34.10% 30.26%
17 1906-10-20 48.2 Bohemian 2 1464 23.32% @ Belfast Celtic 0 1439 46.45% 30.23%
18 1906-12-25 48.2 @ Belfast Celtic 4 1367 44.05% Glentoran 2 1412 25.66% 30.28%
19 1907-01-12 48.5 @ Linfield 7 1686 58.57% Shelbourne 0 1582 12.11% 29.32%
20 1906-10-20 50.0 Lisburn Distillery 2 1569 47.71% @ Derry Celtic 1 1358 22.54% 29.74%
21 1906-09-08 51.0 @ Shelbourne 3 1456 41.25% Belfast Celtic 1 1523 28.44% 30.31%
22 1906-10-20 51.2 @ Cliftonville 2 1591 59.98% Glentoran 1 1467 10.92% 29.10%
23 1906-09-08 52.0 @ Lisburn Distillery 3 1564 62.48% Glentoran 2 1401 8.92% 28.60%
24 1907-01-19 52.2 @ Linfield 1 1737 60.84% Lisburn Distillery 0 1601 10.22% 28.95%
25 1906-11-24 52.5 Shelbourne 2 1504 35.39% @ Belfast Celtic 1 1387 34.35% 30.26%