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1908-09 Irish League Season

54 games

Final

Champion

Linfield

21 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Glentoran

5.83 points above expected

19 points · 13.17 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Cliftonville

3.88 points below expected

10 points · 13.88 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Linfield 14 10 1 3 21 27 13 +14 17.75 +3.25
2 Glentoran 14 8 3 3 19 29 22 +7 13.17 +5.83
3 Shelbourne 14 7 0 7 14 20 20 0 15.15 -1.15
4 Bohemian 12 6 1 5 13 27 24 +3 10.63 +2.37
5 Lisburn Distillery 14 6 1 7 13 22 19 +3 14.48 -1.48
6 Cliftonville 13 4 2 7 10 17 19 -2 13.88 -3.88
7 Belfast Celtic 13 4 2 7 10 21 32 -11 12.53 -2.53
8 Derry Celtic 14 4 0 10 8 12 26 -14 10.41 -2.41

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Glentoran 19 13.17 +5.83
2 Linfield 21 17.75 +3.25
3 Bohemian 13 10.63 +2.37
4 Shelbourne 14 15.15 -1.15
5 Lisburn Distillery 13 14.48 -1.48

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Cliftonville 10 13.88 -3.88
2 Belfast Celtic 10 12.53 -2.53
3 Derry Celtic 8 10.41 -2.41
4 Lisburn Distillery 13 14.48 -1.48
5 Shelbourne 14 15.15 -1.15

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Linfield 9 Sep 5 – Dec 12 1 in 231
2 Derry Celtic 3 Jan 30 – Apr 24 1 in 7
3 Cliftonville 2 Dec 12 – Dec 25 1 in 5
4 Bohemian 3 Dec 26 – Mar 27 1 in 5
5 Shelbourne 2 Sep 5 – Sep 12 1 in 4

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cliftonville 5 Sep 19 – Nov 14 1 in 90
2 Shelbourne 3 Sep 19 – Oct 3 1 in 58
3 Lisburn Distillery 3 Nov 14 – Dec 12 1 in 30
4 Derry Celtic 7 Oct 3 – Dec 26 1 in 24
5 Linfield 2 Apr 19 – May 8 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Linfield 10 Sep 5 – Dec 25 1 in 94
2 Glentoran 6 Nov 14 – Feb 13 1 in 28
3 Lisburn Distillery 3 Sep 19 – Oct 3 1 in 10
4 Derry Celtic 3 Jan 30 – Apr 24 1 in 4
5 Belfast Celtic 2 Sep 19 – Sep 26 1 in 4

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cliftonville 7 Sep 5 – Nov 14 1 in 147
2 Shelbourne 3 Sep 19 – Oct 3 1 in 22
3 Belfast Celtic 5 Dec 12 – Mar 27 1 in 15
4 Lisburn Distillery 3 Nov 14 – Dec 12 1 in 13
5 Derry Celtic 7 Oct 3 – Dec 26 1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Linfield 1612 21 -21 3 6.6 -3.6
Glentoran 1501 19 -6 6 5.5 +0.5
Shelbourne 1518 14 -1 4 3.8 +0.2
Bohemian 1466 13 +5 6 5.5 +0.5
Lisburn Distillery 1518 13 -1 4 4.9 -0.9
Cliftonville 1515 10 +2 6 5.3 +0.7
Belfast Celtic 1475 10 -2 3 4.5 -1.5
Derry Celtic 1395 8 +1 6 4.2 +1.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BC BOH CLI DC GLE LIN LD SHE
Belfast Celtic —
0-0-1
0.91
2-0-0
2.57
1-0-1
3.44
0-1-1
2.76
0-0-2
2.11
0-1-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.64
Bohemian
1-0-0
1.99
 —
0-1-0
1.71
1-0-1
3.35
1-0-1
2.58
0-0-2
1.87
1-0-1
2.46
2-0-0
2.40
Cliftonville
0-0-2
3.24
0-1-0
1.19
 —
1-0-1
3.69
0-1-1
3.12
2-0-0
2.21
1-0-1
2.90
0-0-2
2.97
Derry Celtic
1-0-1
2.36
1-0-1
2.46
1-0-1
2.11
 —
0-0-2
2.30
0-0-2
1.62
1-0-1
2.06
0-0-2
2.11
Glentoran
1-1-0
3.05
1-0-1
3.23
1-1-0
2.69
2-0-0
3.50
 —
0-1-1
2.08
2-0-0
2.69
1-0-1
2.83
Linfield
2-0-0
3.70
2-0-0
3.94
0-0-2
3.60
2-0-0
4.19
1-1-0
3.72
 —
1-0-1
3.53
2-0-0
3.42
Lisburn Distillery
1-1-0
3.13
1-0-1
3.34
1-0-1
2.91
1-0-1
3.75
0-0-2
3.12
1-0-1
2.28
 —
1-0-1
2.95
Shelbourne
1-0-1
3.16
0-0-2
3.41
2-0-0
2.83
2-0-0
3.70
1-0-1
2.97
0-0-2
2.38
1-0-1
2.85
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.68 +6.5
Allowed 0.41 -5.1
Differential 0.83 +4.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—10.19%5.56%1.85%0.93%1.85%20.37%
110.19%3.70%9.26%5.56%1.85%0.93%31.48%
25.56%9.26%5.56%4.63%1.85%0.93%27.78%
31.85%5.56%4.63%———12.04%
40.93%1.85%1.85%———4.63%
5+1.85%0.93%0.93%———3.70%
Total20.37%31.48%27.78%12.04%4.63%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.62 +0.00
SD 1.33 1.33 2.07
CV 0.82 0.82 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 54

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———7.69%—7.69%15.38%
1—7.69%7.69%———15.38%
27.69%15.38%7.69%23.08%—7.69%61.54%
3——7.69%———7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total7.69%23.08%23.08%30.77%—15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 2.46 -0.85
SD 0.87 1.66 2.15
CV 0.54 0.68 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 13

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———8.33%8.33%—16.67%
18.33%—16.67%———25.00%
2—8.33%8.33%—8.33%—25.00%
3—8.33%————8.33%
4——8.33%———8.33%
5+—8.33%8.33%———16.67%
Total8.33%25.00%41.67%8.33%16.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.25 2.00 +0.25
SD 1.91 1.21 2.60
CV 0.85 0.60 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—23.08%7.69%———30.77%
17.69%7.69%7.69%7.69%7.69%—38.46%
2—7.69%7.69%———15.38%
3—7.69%————7.69%
4———————
5+7.69%—————7.69%
Total15.38%46.15%23.08%7.69%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.46 -0.15
SD 1.44 1.13 2.08
CV 1.10 0.77 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 13

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—21.43%14.29%——7.14%42.86%
17.14%—14.29%14.29%——35.71%
2—14.29%————14.29%
3——7.14%———7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total7.14%35.71%35.71%14.29%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 1.86 -1.00
SD 0.95 1.23 1.66
CV 1.11 0.66 —
Max 3 5 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.14%———7.14%
114.29%14.29%——7.14%7.14%42.86%
2—14.29%7.14%———21.43%
3—7.14%————7.14%
4—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
5+7.14%—————7.14%
Total21.43%42.86%21.43%—7.14%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.07 1.57 +0.50
SD 1.64 1.65 2.65
CV 0.79 1.05 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
114.29%—7.14%———21.43%
221.43%7.14%7.14%———35.71%
3——14.29%———14.29%
47.14%7.14%————14.29%
5+———————
Total42.86%21.43%35.71%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.93 0.93 +1.00
SD 1.27 0.92 1.62
CV 0.66 0.99 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—21.43%————21.43%
17.14%—14.29%7.14%——28.57%
27.14%—7.14%7.14%——21.43%
37.14%14.29%7.14%———28.57%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.43%35.71%28.57%14.29%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 1.36 +0.21
SD 1.16 1.01 1.58
CV 0.74 0.74 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
121.43%—7.14%14.29%——42.86%
27.14%7.14%—7.14%7.14%—28.57%
37.14%7.14%————14.29%
4———————
5+———————
Total35.71%21.43%14.29%21.43%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.43 +0.00
SD 0.94 1.40 1.75
CV 0.66 0.98 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Linfield 1612 21 17.75 +3.25 84.0% 10 12 15 18 20 24 24
Shelbourne 1518 14 15.15 -1.15 41.0% 8 10 13 15 18 20 24
Lisburn Distillery 1518 13 14.48 -1.48 41.0% 6 9 12 14 17 20 24
Cliftonville 1515 10 14.88 -4.88 10.0% 8 10 13 15 17 20 23
Glentoran 1501 19 13.17 +5.83 97.0% 6 8 11 13 16 19 22
Belfast Celtic 1475 10 13.53 -3.53 18.0% 4 9 11 13 16 19 24
Bohemian 1466 13 12.63 +0.37 60.0% 6 7 10 12 15 18 24
Derry Celtic 1395 8 10.41 -2.41 24.0% 3 5 9 10 12 16 17

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+24.07%
Strong Edge
57.41%9.26%33.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge
162 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
085.32500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.57 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.53+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 4th * Longshot: 5th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.4
Wide Open
12348
Champion Preseason Odds
40%
Linfield, 1st of 8
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Tight Race
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.61 * Some Luck: 2.61 to 3.91 * Lucky: 3.91 to 5.22 * Wild Swing: 5.22 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.34 * Close: 1.34 to 2.01 * Off: 2.01 to 2.68 * Way Off: 2.68 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 8 * As Expected: 8 to 12.8 * Several Outliers: 12.8 to 17.6 * Many Outliers: 17.6 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.16 points
Some Luck
03.268
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.75
Close
01.674
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 93.75%
96.92%
Glentoran
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected
11.22%
Cliftonville
06.25%50
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 8
Minimal Outliers
00.88

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Balanced
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 61.05
1.26
Coin-Flip Parity
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
56%
Even
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
78%
Even
50%75%100%
Close Games
Expected
57%
Frequent
0%53%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Rare
0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.502
Matchup Imbalance
0.40
Very Even
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.99
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.46
Weak Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
30%
Very Upset-Prone
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
32%
Very Shaky
0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.18 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.18 to 0.27 * Above Noise: 0.27 to 0.36 * Well Above Noise: 0.36 and up.
Probability calibration
0.68
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.86
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.119
Well Within Noise
00.1800.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Linfield40.00%23.00%15.00%14.00%4.00%—2.00%2.00%
Glentoran6.00%12.00%10.00%13.00%20.00%18.00%16.00%5.00%
Shelbourne15.00%19.00%14.00%13.00%14.00%13.00%6.00%6.00%
Bohemian6.00%6.00%11.00%12.00%12.00%16.00%20.00%17.00%
Lisburn Distillery15.00%13.00%15.00%14.00%11.00%10.00%9.00%13.00%
Cliftonville11.00%19.00%16.00%14.00%13.00%12.00%12.00%3.00%
Belfast Celtic6.00%6.00%17.00%10.00%17.00%16.00%13.00%15.00%
Derry Celtic1.00%2.00%2.00%10.00%9.00%15.00%22.00%39.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Belfast Celtic 100%
Bohemian 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Derry Celtic 100%
Glentoran 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Shelbourne 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1908-09-05 Glentoran D 1-167.6 1532 1478 69.28% 9.72% 21.01%+0.86 -1.1 1
1908-09-05 @ Cliftonville D 1-167.6 1478 1532 21.01% 9.72% 69.28%-0.86 +1.1 1
1908-09-05 Derry Celtic W 2-035.8 1586 1416 78.54% 9.49% 11.97%+1.58 +2.2 2
1908-09-05 @ Linfield L 0-235.8 1416 1586 11.97% 9.49% 78.54%-1.58 -2.2 0
1908-09-05 Bohemian W 3-034.8 1513 1456 69.60% 9.71% 20.68%+0.88 +5.4 2
1908-09-05 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-334.8 1456 1513 20.68% 9.71% 69.60%-0.88 -5.4 0
1908-09-05 Belfast Celtic W 3-037.4 1524 1494 66.96% 9.75% 23.29%+0.72 +6.1 2
1908-09-05 @ Shelbourne L 0-337.4 1494 1524 23.29% 9.75% 66.96%-0.72 -6.1 0
1908-09-12 Linfield L 2-364.7 1488 1588 50.81% 9.82% 39.37%-0.09 -4.1 0
1908-09-12 @ Belfast Celtic W 3-264.7 1588 1488 39.37% 9.82% 50.81%+0.09 +4.1 4
1908-09-12 Cliftonville D 2-272.4 1451 1531 53.69% 9.82% 36.49%+0.04 -0.3 1
1908-09-12 @ Bohemian D 2-272.4 1531 1451 36.49% 9.82% 53.69%-0.04 +0.3 2
1908-09-12 Shelbourne L 0-148.4 1414 1530 48.58% 9.82% 41.60%-0.19 -4.4 0
1908-09-12 @ Derry Celtic W 1-048.4 1530 1414 41.60% 9.82% 48.58%+0.19 +4.4 4
1908-09-12 Lisburn Distillery W 2-150.4 1479 1519 58.91% 9.81% 31.29%+0.28 +2.8 3
1908-09-12 @ Glentoran L 1-250.4 1519 1479 31.29% 9.81% 58.91%-0.28 -2.8 2
1908-09-19 Derry Celtic W 2-143.0 1484 1410 71.22% 9.68% 19.09%+0.99 +1.7 2
1908-09-19 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-243.0 1410 1484 19.09% 9.68% 71.22%-0.99 -1.7 0
1908-09-19 Lisburn Distillery L 0-157.2 1531 1516 65.29% 9.76% 24.94%+0.62 -5.8 2
1908-09-19 @ Cliftonville W 1-057.2 1516 1531 24.94% 9.76% 65.29%-0.62 +5.8 4
1908-09-19 Bohemian W 4-247.1 1482 1451 67.04% 9.75% 23.21%+0.72 +3.2 5
1908-09-19 @ Glentoran L 2-447.1 1451 1482 23.21% 9.75% 67.04%-0.72 -3.2 1
1908-09-19 Linfield L 0-253.7 1535 1593 56.58% 9.81% 33.60%+0.17 -9.5 4
1908-09-19 @ Shelbourne W 2-053.7 1593 1535 33.60% 9.81% 56.58%-0.17 +9.5 6
1908-09-26 Cliftonville W 1-046.0 1408 1525 48.49% 9.82% 41.69%-0.20 +3.8 2
1908-09-26 @ Derry Celtic L 0-146.0 1525 1408 41.69% 9.82% 48.49%+0.20 -3.8 2
1908-09-26 Glentoran W 4-143.1 1602 1485 74.81% 9.61% 15.58%+1.25 +3.5 8
1908-09-26 @ Linfield L 1-443.1 1485 1602 15.58% 9.61% 74.81%-1.25 -3.5 5
1908-09-26 Belfast Celtic D 2-273.3 1522 1485 67.56% 9.74% 22.70%+0.75 -0.7 5
1908-09-26 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-273.3 1485 1522 22.70% 9.74% 67.56%-0.75 +0.7 3
1908-09-26 Bohemian L 2-463.0 1525 1447 71.55% 9.68% 18.77%+1.01 -9.3 4
1908-09-26 @ Shelbourne W 4-263.0 1447 1525 18.77% 9.68% 71.55%-1.01 +9.3 3
1908-10-03 Glentoran L 0-148.6 1412 1482 54.95% 9.82% 35.23%+0.09 -4.9 2
1908-10-03 @ Derry Celtic W 1-048.6 1482 1412 35.23% 9.82% 54.95%-0.09 +4.9 7
1908-10-03 Lisburn Distillery L 1-358.3 1516 1521 63.06% 9.78% 27.16%+0.50 -9.2 4
1908-10-03 @ Shelbourne W 3-158.3 1521 1516 27.16% 9.78% 63.06%-0.50 +9.2 7
1908-10-24 Derry Celtic W 2-142.7 1457 1407 68.95% 9.72% 21.33%+0.84 +1.9 5
1908-10-24 @ Bohemian L 1-242.7 1407 1457 21.33% 9.72% 68.95%-0.84 -1.9 2
1908-10-24 Shelbourne L 1-358.7 1521 1507 65.24% 9.76% 25.00%+0.62 -9.5 2
1908-10-24 @ Cliftonville W 3-158.7 1507 1521 25.00% 9.76% 65.24%-0.62 +9.5 6
1908-10-24 Belfast Celtic W 6-037.5 1487 1486 63.68% 9.78% 26.54%+0.53 +13.1 9
1908-10-24 @ Glentoran L 0-637.5 1486 1487 26.54% 9.78% 63.68%-0.53 -13.2 3
1908-10-24 Linfield L 0-156.9 1530 1606 54.25% 9.82% 35.93%+0.06 -4.9 7
1908-10-24 @ Lisburn Distillery W 1-056.9 1606 1530 35.93% 9.82% 54.25%-0.06 +4.9 10
1908-11-07 Cliftonville W 2-149.9 1473 1512 59.01% 9.81% 31.18%+0.29 +2.8 5
1908-11-07 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-249.9 1512 1473 31.18% 9.81% 59.01%-0.29 -2.8 2
1908-11-07 Bohemian W 2-147.5 1610 1459 77.34% 9.53% 13.13%+1.47 +1.2 12
1908-11-07 @ Linfield L 1-247.5 1459 1610 13.13% 9.53% 77.34%-1.47 -1.2 5
1908-11-07 Derry Celtic W 3-140.0 1525 1405 75.09% 9.60% 15.31%+1.27 +2.4 9
1908-11-07 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-340.0 1405 1525 15.31% 9.60% 75.09%-1.27 -2.4 2
1908-11-07 Glentoran W 2-040.3 1516 1500 65.47% 9.76% 24.77%+0.63 +4.4 8
1908-11-07 @ Shelbourne L 0-240.3 1500 1516 24.77% 9.76% 65.47%-0.63 -4.4 9
1908-11-14 Shelbourne W 3-256.1 1476 1521 58.22% 9.81% 31.97%+0.25 +2.7 7
1908-11-14 @ Belfast Celtic L 2-356.1 1521 1476 31.97% 9.81% 58.22%-0.25 -2.7 8
1908-11-14 Lisburn Distillery W 1-045.9 1458 1528 54.94% 9.82% 35.24%+0.09 +3.3 7
1908-11-14 @ Bohemian L 0-145.9 1528 1458 35.24% 9.82% 54.94%-0.09 -3.3 9
1908-11-14 Linfield L 0-243.4 1402 1612 35.61% 9.76% 54.64%-0.77 -6.2 2
1908-11-14 @ Derry Celtic W 2-043.4 1612 1402 54.64% 9.76% 35.61%+0.77 +6.2 14
1908-11-14 Cliftonville W 4-143.9 1495 1509 62.06% 9.79% 28.15%+0.44 +6.1 11
1908-11-14 @ Glentoran L 1-443.9 1509 1495 28.15% 9.79% 62.06%-0.44 -6.1 2
1908-11-28 Glentoran L 0-156.7 1524 1501 66.17% 9.75% 24.07%+0.67 -5.9 9
1908-11-28 @ Lisburn Distillery W 1-056.7 1501 1524 24.07% 9.75% 66.17%-0.67 +5.9 13
1908-11-28 Derry Celtic W 1-037.3 1518 1396 75.20% 9.60% 15.20%+1.28 +1.5 10
1908-11-28 @ Shelbourne L 0-137.3 1396 1518 15.20% 9.60% 75.20%-1.28 -1.5 2
1908-11-28 Linfield L 0-444.8 1461 1618 42.80% 9.80% 47.40%-0.44 -14.0 7
1908-11-28 @ Bohemian W 4-044.8 1618 1461 47.40% 9.80% 42.80%+0.44 +14.0 16
1908-12-12 Belfast Celtic W 3-254.4 1632 1478 77.45% 9.53% 13.02%+1.48 +1.1 18
1908-12-12 @ Linfield L 2-354.4 1478 1632 13.02% 9.53% 77.45%-1.48 -1.1 7
1908-12-12 Cliftonville L 1-358.5 1519 1503 65.39% 9.76% 24.85%+0.63 -9.5 9
1908-12-12 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-158.5 1503 1519 24.85% 9.76% 65.39%-0.63 +9.5 4
1908-12-25 Lisburn Distillery L 2-364.1 1477 1509 59.87% 9.80% 30.33%+0.33 -4.8 7
1908-12-25 @ Belfast Celtic W 3-264.1 1509 1477 30.33% 9.80% 59.87%-0.33 +4.8 11
1908-12-25 Derry Celtic W 5-030.9 1512 1395 74.87% 9.61% 15.52%+1.26 +6.6 6
1908-12-25 @ Cliftonville L 0-530.9 1395 1512 15.52% 9.61% 74.87%-1.26 -6.6 2
1908-12-25 Linfield D 2-277.9 1507 1633 47.30% 9.82% 42.88%-0.25 -0.1 14
1908-12-25 @ Glentoran D 2-277.9 1633 1507 42.88% 9.82% 47.30%+0.25 +0.1 19
1908-12-26 Shelbourne W 3-147.5 1447 1520 54.61% 9.82% 35.57%+0.08 +5.4 9
1908-12-26 @ Bohemian L 1-347.5 1520 1447 35.57% 9.82% 54.61%-0.08 -5.4 10
1908-12-26 Derry Celtic W 3-138.9 1507 1388 75.00% 9.60% 15.40%+1.27 +2.4 16
1908-12-26 @ Glentoran L 1-338.9 1388 1507 15.40% 9.60% 75.00%-1.27 -2.5 2
1909-01-02 Shelbourne W 2-150.1 1510 1514 63.13% 9.78% 27.09%+0.50 +2.4 18
1909-01-02 @ Glentoran L 1-250.1 1514 1510 27.09% 9.78% 63.13%-0.50 -2.4 10
1909-01-30 Lisburn Distillery W 3-256.0 1386 1514 46.91% 9.82% 43.27%-0.27 +3.5 4
1909-01-30 @ Derry Celtic L 2-356.0 1514 1386 43.27% 9.82% 46.91%+0.27 -3.5 11
1909-02-13 Glentoran D 1-166.7 1473 1512 58.89% 9.81% 31.30%+0.28 -0.6 8
1909-02-13 @ Belfast Celtic D 1-166.7 1512 1473 31.30% 9.81% 58.89%-0.28 +0.6 19
1909-02-13 Cliftonville W 1-045.3 1512 1519 62.80% 9.78% 27.41%+0.48 +2.6 12
1909-02-13 @ Shelbourne L 0-145.3 1519 1512 27.41% 9.78% 62.80%-0.48 -2.6 6
1909-02-15 Lisburn Distillery L 0-259.7 1633 1510 75.26% 9.60% 15.15%+1.29 -12.7 19
1909-02-15 @ Linfield W 2-059.7 1510 1633 15.15% 9.60% 75.26%-1.29 +12.7 13
1909-03-13 Glentoran W 6-141.8 1452 1513 56.21% 9.82% 33.97%+0.15 +11.5 11
1909-03-13 @ Bohemian L 1-641.8 1513 1452 33.97% 9.82% 56.21%-0.15 -11.5 19
1909-03-13 Belfast Celtic W 2-147.4 1389 1472 53.24% 9.82% 36.94%+0.02 +3.2 6
1909-03-13 @ Derry Celtic L 1-247.4 1472 1389 36.94% 9.82% 53.24%-0.02 -3.2 8
1909-03-27 Belfast Celtic W 5-244.2 1464 1469 63.06% 9.78% 27.16%+0.50 +5.1 13
1909-03-27 @ Bohemian L 2-544.2 1469 1464 27.16% 9.78% 63.06%-0.50 -5.1 8
1909-04-10 Shelbourne W 1-045.5 1620 1514 73.95% 9.63% 16.42%+1.18 +1.6 21
1909-04-10 @ Linfield L 0-145.5 1514 1620 16.42% 9.63% 73.95%-1.18 -1.6 12
1909-04-19 Linfield W 2-157.9 1516 1622 50.12% 9.82% 40.06%-0.13 +3.5 8
1909-04-19 @ Cliftonville L 1-257.9 1622 1516 40.06% 9.82% 50.12%+0.13 -3.5 21
1909-04-24 Bohemian W 2-147.1 1392 1469 54.09% 9.82% 36.09%+0.05 +3.2 8
1909-04-24 @ Derry Celtic L 1-247.1 1469 1392 36.09% 9.82% 54.09%-0.05 -3.1 13
1909-05-08 Cliftonville L 0-162.6 1618 1520 73.35% 9.64% 17.01%+1.14 -6.5 21
1909-05-08 @ Linfield W 1-062.6 1520 1618 17.01% 9.64% 73.35%-1.14 +6.5 10
1909-05-15 Belfast Celtic L 0-252.9 1526 1464 70.17% 9.70% 20.13%+0.92 -11.8 10
1909-05-15 @ Cliftonville W 2-052.9 1464 1526 20.13% 9.70% 70.17%-0.92 +11.8 10
1909-08-28 Shelbourne L 1-261.8 1523 1513 64.78% 9.77% 25.45%+0.59 -5.4 13
1909-08-28 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-161.8 1513 1523 25.45% 9.77% 64.78%-0.59 +5.4 14

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1909-02-15 15.15% Lisburn Distillery 1510 2 @ Linfield 1633 0
2 1909-05-08 17.01% Cliftonville 1520 1 @ Linfield 1618 0
3 1908-09-26 18.77% Bohemian 1447 4 @ Shelbourne 1525 2
4 1909-05-15 20.13% Belfast Celtic 1464 2 @ Cliftonville 1526 0
5 1908-11-28 24.07% Glentoran 1501 1 @ Lisburn Distillery 1524 0
6 1908-12-12 24.85% Cliftonville 1503 3 @ Lisburn Distillery 1519 1
7 1908-09-19 24.94% Lisburn Distillery 1516 1 @ Cliftonville 1531 0
8 1908-10-24 25.00% Shelbourne 1507 3 @ Cliftonville 1521 1
9 1909-08-28 25.45% Shelbourne 1513 2 @ Lisburn Distillery 1523 1
10 1908-10-03 27.16% Lisburn Distillery 1521 3 @ Shelbourne 1516 1
11 1908-12-25 30.33% Lisburn Distillery 1509 3 @ Belfast Celtic 1477 2
12 1908-09-19 33.60% Linfield 1593 2 @ Shelbourne 1535 0
13 1908-10-03 35.23% Glentoran 1482 1 @ Derry Celtic 1412 0
14 1908-10-24 35.93% Linfield 1606 1 @ Lisburn Distillery 1530 0
15 1908-09-12 39.37% Linfield 1588 3 @ Belfast Celtic 1488 2
16 1908-09-12 41.60% Shelbourne 1530 1 @ Derry Celtic 1414 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1908-11-28 13.96 Linfield 4 1618 47.40% @ Bohemian 0 1461 42.80% 9.80%
2 1908-10-24 13.15 @ Glentoran 6 1487 63.68% Belfast Celtic 0 1486 26.54% 9.78%
3 1909-02-15 12.66 Lisburn Distillery 2 1510 15.15% @ Linfield 0 1633 75.26% 9.60%
4 1909-05-15 11.79 Belfast Celtic 2 1464 20.13% @ Cliftonville 0 1526 70.17% 9.70%
5 1909-03-13 11.54 @ Bohemian 6 1452 56.21% Glentoran 1 1513 33.97% 9.82%
6 1908-09-19 9.53 Linfield 2 1593 33.60% @ Shelbourne 0 1535 56.58% 9.81%
7 1908-12-12 9.51 Cliftonville 3 1503 24.85% @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1519 65.39% 9.76%
8 1908-10-24 9.49 Shelbourne 3 1507 25.00% @ Cliftonville 1 1521 65.24% 9.76%
9 1908-09-26 9.31 Bohemian 4 1447 18.77% @ Shelbourne 2 1525 71.55% 9.68%
10 1908-10-03 9.17 Lisburn Distillery 3 1521 27.16% @ Shelbourne 1 1516 63.06% 9.78%
11 1908-12-25 6.64 @ Cliftonville 5 1512 74.87% Derry Celtic 0 1395 15.52% 9.61%
12 1909-05-08 6.54 Cliftonville 1 1520 17.01% @ Linfield 0 1618 73.35% 9.64%
13 1908-11-14 6.22 Linfield 2 1612 54.64% @ Derry Celtic 0 1402 35.61% 9.76%
14 1908-11-14 6.13 @ Glentoran 4 1495 62.06% Cliftonville 1 1509 28.15% 9.79%
15 1908-09-05 6.08 @ Shelbourne 3 1524 66.96% Belfast Celtic 0 1494 23.29% 9.75%
16 1908-11-28 5.89 Glentoran 1 1501 24.07% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1524 66.17% 9.75%
17 1908-09-19 5.82 Lisburn Distillery 1 1516 24.94% @ Cliftonville 0 1531 65.29% 9.76%
18 1908-09-05 5.44 @ Lisburn Distillery 3 1513 69.60% Bohemian 0 1456 20.68% 9.71%
19 1909-08-28 5.44 Shelbourne 2 1513 25.45% @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1523 64.78% 9.77%
20 1908-12-26 5.39 @ Bohemian 3 1447 54.61% Shelbourne 1 1520 35.57% 9.82%
21 1909-03-27 5.14 @ Bohemian 5 1464 63.06% Belfast Celtic 2 1469 27.16% 9.78%
22 1908-10-03 4.92 Glentoran 1 1482 35.23% @ Derry Celtic 0 1412 54.95% 9.82%
23 1908-10-24 4.86 Linfield 1 1606 35.93% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1530 54.25% 9.82%
24 1908-12-25 4.78 Lisburn Distillery 3 1509 30.33% @ Belfast Celtic 2 1477 59.87% 9.80%
25 1908-11-07 4.44 @ Shelbourne 2 1516 65.47% Glentoran 0 1500 24.77% 9.76%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1908-12-25 77.9 @ Glentoran 2 1507 47.30% Linfield 2 1633 42.88% 9.82%
2 1908-09-26 73.3 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1522 67.56% Belfast Celtic 2 1485 22.70% 9.74%
3 1908-09-12 72.4 @ Bohemian 2 1451 53.69% Cliftonville 2 1531 36.49% 9.82%
4 1908-09-05 67.6 @ Cliftonville 1 1532 69.28% Glentoran 1 1478 21.01% 9.72%
5 1909-02-13 66.7 @ Belfast Celtic 1 1473 58.89% Glentoran 1 1512 31.30% 9.81%
6 1908-09-12 64.7 Linfield 3 1588 39.37% @ Belfast Celtic 2 1488 50.81% 9.82%
7 1908-12-25 64.1 Lisburn Distillery 3 1509 30.33% @ Belfast Celtic 2 1477 59.87% 9.80%
8 1908-09-26 63.0 Bohemian 4 1447 18.77% @ Shelbourne 2 1525 71.55% 9.68%
9 1909-05-08 62.6 Cliftonville 1 1520 17.01% @ Linfield 0 1618 73.35% 9.64%
10 1909-08-28 61.8 Shelbourne 2 1513 25.45% @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1523 64.78% 9.77%
11 1909-02-15 59.7 Lisburn Distillery 2 1510 15.15% @ Linfield 0 1633 75.26% 9.60%
12 1908-10-24 58.7 Shelbourne 3 1507 25.00% @ Cliftonville 1 1521 65.24% 9.76%
13 1908-12-12 58.5 Cliftonville 3 1503 24.85% @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1519 65.39% 9.76%
14 1908-10-03 58.3 Lisburn Distillery 3 1521 27.16% @ Shelbourne 1 1516 63.06% 9.78%
15 1909-04-19 57.9 @ Cliftonville 2 1516 50.12% Linfield 1 1622 40.06% 9.82%
16 1908-09-19 57.2 Lisburn Distillery 1 1516 24.94% @ Cliftonville 0 1531 65.29% 9.76%
17 1908-10-24 56.9 Linfield 1 1606 35.93% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1530 54.25% 9.82%
18 1908-11-28 56.7 Glentoran 1 1501 24.07% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1524 66.17% 9.75%
19 1908-11-14 56.1 @ Belfast Celtic 3 1476 58.22% Shelbourne 2 1521 31.97% 9.81%
20 1909-01-30 56.0 @ Derry Celtic 3 1386 46.91% Lisburn Distillery 2 1514 43.27% 9.82%
21 1908-12-12 54.4 @ Linfield 3 1632 77.45% Belfast Celtic 2 1478 13.02% 9.53%
22 1908-09-19 53.7 Linfield 2 1593 33.60% @ Shelbourne 0 1535 56.58% 9.81%
23 1909-05-15 52.9 Belfast Celtic 2 1464 20.13% @ Cliftonville 0 1526 70.17% 9.70%
24 1908-09-12 50.4 @ Glentoran 2 1479 58.91% Lisburn Distillery 1 1519 31.29% 9.81%
25 1909-01-02 50.1 @ Glentoran 2 1510 63.13% Shelbourne 1 1514 27.09% 9.78%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1908-12-25 30.9 @ Cliftonville 5 1512 74.87% Derry Celtic 0 1395 15.52% 9.61%
2 1908-09-05 34.8 @ Lisburn Distillery 3 1513 69.60% Bohemian 0 1456 20.68% 9.71%
3 1908-09-05 35.8 @ Linfield 2 1586 78.54% Derry Celtic 0 1416 11.97% 9.49%
4 1908-11-28 37.3 @ Shelbourne 1 1518 75.20% Derry Celtic 0 1396 15.20% 9.60%
5 1908-09-05 37.4 @ Shelbourne 3 1524 66.96% Belfast Celtic 0 1494 23.29% 9.75%
6 1908-10-24 37.5 @ Glentoran 6 1487 63.68% Belfast Celtic 0 1486 26.54% 9.78%
7 1908-12-26 38.9 @ Glentoran 3 1507 75.00% Derry Celtic 1 1388 15.40% 9.60%
8 1908-11-07 40.0 @ Lisburn Distillery 3 1525 75.09% Derry Celtic 1 1405 15.31% 9.60%
9 1908-11-07 40.3 @ Shelbourne 2 1516 65.47% Glentoran 0 1500 24.77% 9.76%
10 1909-03-13 41.8 @ Bohemian 6 1452 56.21% Glentoran 1 1513 33.97% 9.82%
11 1908-10-24 42.7 @ Bohemian 2 1457 68.95% Derry Celtic 1 1407 21.33% 9.72%
12 1908-09-19 43.0 @ Belfast Celtic 2 1484 71.22% Derry Celtic 1 1410 19.09% 9.68%
13 1908-09-26 43.1 @ Linfield 4 1602 74.81% Glentoran 1 1485 15.58% 9.61%
14 1908-11-14 43.4 Linfield 2 1612 54.64% @ Derry Celtic 0 1402 35.61% 9.76%
15 1908-11-14 43.9 @ Glentoran 4 1495 62.06% Cliftonville 1 1509 28.15% 9.79%
16 1909-03-27 44.2 @ Bohemian 5 1464 63.06% Belfast Celtic 2 1469 27.16% 9.78%
17 1908-11-28 44.8 Linfield 4 1618 47.40% @ Bohemian 0 1461 42.80% 9.80%
18 1909-02-13 45.3 @ Shelbourne 1 1512 62.80% Cliftonville 0 1519 27.41% 9.78%
19 1909-04-10 45.5 @ Linfield 1 1620 73.95% Shelbourne 0 1514 16.42% 9.63%
20 1908-11-14 45.9 @ Bohemian 1 1458 54.94% Lisburn Distillery 0 1528 35.24% 9.82%
21 1908-09-26 46.0 @ Derry Celtic 1 1408 48.49% Cliftonville 0 1525 41.69% 9.82%
22 1908-09-19 47.1 @ Glentoran 4 1482 67.04% Bohemian 2 1451 23.21% 9.75%
23 1909-04-24 47.1 @ Derry Celtic 2 1392 54.09% Bohemian 1 1469 36.09% 9.82%
24 1909-03-13 47.4 @ Derry Celtic 2 1389 53.24% Belfast Celtic 1 1472 36.94% 9.82%
25 1908-11-07 47.5 @ Linfield 2 1610 77.34% Bohemian 1 1459 13.13% 9.53%