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1910-11 Irish League Season

56 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Glentoran

22 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Glentoran

5.66 points above expected

22 points · 16.34 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Bohemian

5.54 points below expected

6 points · 11.54 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Glentoran 14 10 2 2 22 39 12 +27 16.34 +5.66
2 Linfield 14 9 4 1 22 29 11 +18 16.80 +5.20
3 Belfast Celtic 14 5 5 4 15 21 19 +2 16.30 -1.30
4 Cliftonville 14 5 4 5 14 16 22 -6 14.21 -0.21
5 Derry Celtic 14 5 4 5 14 21 29 -8 13.97 +0.03
6 Shelbourne 14 3 4 7 10 15 31 -16 10.38 -0.38
7 Lisburn Distillery 14 2 5 7 9 13 19 -6 12.46 -3.46
8 Bohemian 14 1 4 9 6 14 25 -11 11.54 -5.54

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Glentoran 22 16.34 +5.66
2 Linfield 22 16.80 +5.20
3 Derry Celtic 14 13.97 +0.03
4 Cliftonville 14 14.21 -0.21
5 Shelbourne 10 10.38 -0.38

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Bohemian 6 11.54 -5.54
2 Lisburn Distillery 9 12.46 -3.46
3 Belfast Celtic 15 16.30 -1.30
4 Shelbourne 10 10.38 -0.38
5 Cliftonville 14 14.21 -0.21

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Glentoran 5 Sep 3 – Oct 1 1 in 206
2 Linfield 5 Oct 1 – Nov 5 1 in 110
3 Belfast Celtic 3 Oct 22 – Nov 5 1 in 21
4 Cliftonville 3 Nov 26 – Dec 10 1 in 15
5 Derry Celtic 2 Oct 15 – Oct 22 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bohemian 4 Oct 15 – Nov 5 1 in 44
2 Glentoran 2 Oct 22 – Oct 29 1 in 22
3 Belfast Celtic 2 Oct 1 – Oct 15 1 in 12
4 Shelbourne 2 Sep 3 – Sep 10 1 in 6
5 Lisburn Distillery 2 Oct 29 – Nov 5 1 in 5

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Linfield 10 Oct 1 – Dec 17 1 in 18
2 Belfast Celtic 7 Oct 22 – Dec 10 1 in 14
3 Glentoran 6 Sep 3 – Oct 15 1 in 10
4 Derry Celtic 4 Sep 3 – Sep 24 1 in 6
5 Cliftonville 3 Sep 24 – Oct 15 1 in 4

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bohemian 9 Oct 15 – Dec 17 1 in 16
2 Lisburn Distillery 6 Sep 3 – Oct 15 1 in 10
3 Linfield 3 Nov 12 – Dec 3 1 in 8
4 Glentoran 3 Oct 15 – Oct 29 1 in 8
5 Belfast Celtic 3 Sep 24 – Oct 15 1 in 7

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Glentoran 1684 22 +102 9 6.4 +2.6
Linfield 1666 22 +31 7 6.6 +0.4
Belfast Celtic 1539 15 -33 5 5.9 -0.9
Cliftonville 1481 14 +9 6 4.4 +1.6
Derry Celtic 1438 14 -59 3 4.2 -1.2
Shelbourne 1403 10 +10 4 4.1 -0.1
Lisburn Distillery 1436 9 -11 4 4.7 -0.7
Bohemian 1353 6 -47 2 3.7 -1.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BC BOH CLI DC GLE LIN LD SHE
Belfast Celtic —
1-1-0
3.40
1-1-0
2.79
1-0-1
3.18
1-0-1
2.76
0-1-1
2.52
0-2-0
3.49
1-0-1
3.84
Bohemian
0-1-1
2.03
 —
0-1-1
2.26
1-0-1
2.12
0-0-2
1.96
0-0-2
1.57
0-0-2
2.70
0-2-0
2.73
Cliftonville
0-1-1
2.62
1-1-0
3.15
 —
1-1-0
2.43
0-0-2
2.43
0-0-2
2.08
1-1-0
3.12
2-0-0
3.13
Derry Celtic
1-0-1
2.24
1-0-1
3.29
0-1-1
2.98
 —
1-0-1
1.77
0-2-0
1.97
1-1-0
3.00
1-0-1
3.20
Glentoran
1-0-1
2.66
2-0-0
3.45
2-0-0
2.99
1-0-1
3.65
 —
1-1-0
2.63
2-0-0
3.76
1-1-0
4.08
Linfield
1-1-0
2.90
2-0-0
3.86
2-0-0
3.34
0-2-0
3.44
0-1-1
2.78
 —
2-0-0
3.21
2-0-0
3.52
Lisburn Distillery
0-2-0
1.93
2-0-0
2.71
0-1-1
2.29
0-1-1
2.41
0-0-2
1.67
0-0-2
2.19
 —
0-1-1
3.05
Shelbourne
1-0-1
1.59
0-2-0
2.68
0-0-2
2.28
1-0-1
2.20
0-1-1
1.36
0-0-2
1.91
1-1-0
2.36
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.82 +5.8
Allowed 0.54 -5.8
Differential 0.81 +3.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.36%9.82%4.46%3.57%3.57%0.89%27.68%
19.82%10.71%5.36%2.68%1.79%0.89%31.25%
24.46%5.36%8.93%0.89%—1.79%21.43%
33.57%2.68%0.89%3.57%——10.71%
43.57%1.79%————5.36%
5+0.89%0.89%1.79%———3.57%
Total27.68%31.25%21.43%10.71%5.36%3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.50 +0.00
SD 1.50 1.50 2.29
CV 1.00 1.00 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 56

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%7.14%———21.43%
1—21.43%7.14%7.14%——35.71%
2—14.29%————14.29%
37.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%——28.57%
4———————
5+———————
Total14.29%50.00%21.43%14.29%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.36 +0.14
SD 1.16 0.93 1.41
CV 0.77 0.68 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%21.43%21.43%———50.00%
1—7.14%7.14%7.14%——21.43%
2——7.14%——7.14%14.29%
3———7.14%——7.14%
47.14%—————7.14%
5+———————
Total14.29%28.57%35.71%14.29%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.79 -0.79
SD 1.30 1.31 1.67
CV 1.30 0.73 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%—14.29%7.14%—28.57%
121.43%21.43%——7.14%—50.00%
27.14%—————7.14%
3———7.14%——7.14%
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+———————
Total28.57%35.71%—21.43%14.29%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.57 -0.43
SD 1.17 1.50 2.10
CV 1.02 0.96 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%——7.14%7.14%35.71%
17.14%—7.14%———14.29%
2—14.29%14.29%———28.57%
3—7.14%—7.14%——14.29%
4———————
5+——7.14%———7.14%
Total14.29%35.71%28.57%7.14%7.14%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.07 -0.57
SD 1.51 2.27 2.93
CV 1.00 1.10 —
Max 5 9 +3
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
17.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%——28.57%
27.14%14.29%7.14%———28.57%
37.14%7.14%————14.29%
414.29%7.14%————21.43%
5+7.14%—————7.14%
Total42.86%35.71%14.29%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.79 0.86 +1.93
SD 2.12 0.95 2.70
CV 0.76 1.11 —
Max 9 3 +9
Min 1 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———7.14%——7.14%
128.57%7.14%————35.71%
27.14%—21.43%———28.57%
314.29%—————14.29%
47.14%—————7.14%
5+—7.14%————7.14%
Total57.14%14.29%21.43%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.07 0.79 +1.29
SD 1.54 1.05 2.02
CV 0.74 1.34 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%21.43%7.14%—7.14%—50.00%
1—14.29%14.29%———28.57%
27.14%—7.14%———14.29%
3———————
4———————
5+——7.14%———7.14%
Total21.43%35.71%35.71%—7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.36 -0.43
SD 1.38 1.08 1.65
CV 1.49 0.80 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%—7.14%7.14%—28.57%
114.29%7.14%——7.14%7.14%35.71%
27.14%—14.29%7.14%—7.14%35.71%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%14.29%14.29%14.29%14.29%14.29%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 2.21 -1.14
SD 0.83 2.01 2.11
CV 0.77 0.91 —
Max 2 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 14

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Linfield 1682 22 16.80 +5.20 99.0% 10 12 15 17 18 21 24
Glentoran 1668 22 16.34 +5.66 99.0% 8 12 15 16 18 21 24
Belfast Celtic 1539 15 16.30 -1.30 34.0% 9 11 15 17 18 20 22
Cliftonville 1481 14 14.21 -0.21 55.0% 8 10 12 14 16 19 21
Derry Celtic 1438 14 13.97 +0.03 60.0% 6 9 12 14 16 19 22
Lisburn Distillery 1436 9 12.46 -3.46 18.0% 4 8 10 13 15 16 18
Shelbourne 1403 10 10.38 -0.38 48.0% 3 5 8 11 12 15 17
Bohemian 1353 6 11.54 -5.54 7.0% 3 6 10 12 13 16 19

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+21.43%
Strong Edge
46.43%28.57%25.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge
116 Elo
0.009 goals per Elo point
075.62300
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.79 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.65+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 4th * Longshot: 5th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.3
Wide Open
12348
Champion Preseason Odds
33%
Glentoran, 1st of 8
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.32 * Some Luck: 2.32 to 3.47 * Lucky: 3.47 to 4.63 * Wild Swing: 4.63 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.21 * Close: 1.21 to 1.82 * Off: 1.82 to 2.43 * Way Off: 2.43 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 8 * As Expected: 8 to 12.8 * Several Outliers: 12.8 to 17.6 * Many Outliers: 17.6 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.60 points
Lucky
02.897
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.75
Pinpoint
01.524
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 93.75%
99.00%
Glentoran
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected
7.00%
Bohemian
06.25%50
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 8
Minimal Outliers
00.88

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Top-Heavy
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 120.92
1.83
Coin-Flip Parity
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
69%
Even
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
87%
Even
50%89%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Very Frequent
0%48%100%
Blowouts
Expected
25%
Frequent
0%28%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.43
Slight Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.56
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.48
Some Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.22 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.22 to 0.32 * Above Noise: 0.32 to 0.43 * Well Above Noise: 0.43 and up.
Probability calibration
0.93
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.16
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.103
Well Within Noise
00.2160.5

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Linfield 3
Glentoran 2

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Glentoran33.00%13.00%23.00%15.00%5.00%8.00%1.00%2.00%
Linfield26.00%28.00%19.00%11.00%6.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%
Belfast Celtic21.00%27.00%16.00%15.00%12.00%6.00%1.00%2.00%
Cliftonville7.00%11.00%13.00%18.00%25.00%9.00%14.00%3.00%
Derry Celtic9.00%11.00%13.00%10.00%18.00%15.00%12.00%12.00%
Shelbourne—3.00%2.00%6.00%6.00%14.00%21.00%48.00%
Lisburn Distillery1.00%4.00%11.00%20.00%12.00%19.00%19.00%14.00%
Bohemian3.00%3.00%3.00%5.00%16.00%23.00%29.00%18.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level
Belfast Celtic 100%
Bohemian 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Derry Celtic 100%
Glentoran 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Shelbourne 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1910-09-03 Glentoran L 1-363.2 1566 1476 57.87% 28.89% 13.24%+1.43 -42.2 0
1910-09-03 @ Belfast Celtic W 3-163.2 1476 1566 13.24% 28.89% 57.87%-1.43 +42.2 2
1910-09-03 Cliftonville D 1-160.3 1465 1539 40.60% 29.77% 29.63%+0.02 -1.0 1
1910-09-03 @ Bohemian D 1-160.3 1539 1465 29.63% 29.77% 40.60%-0.02 +1.0 1
1910-09-03 Shelbourne W 5-249.4 1494 1465 52.43% 29.42% 18.15%+0.90 +20.8 2
1910-09-03 @ Derry Celtic L 2-549.4 1465 1494 18.15% 29.42% 52.43%-0.90 -20.8 0
1910-09-03 Lisburn Distillery W 4-043.0 1499 1495 49.95% 29.56% 20.49%+0.69 +40.8 2
1910-09-03 @ Linfield L 0-443.0 1495 1499 20.49% 29.56% 49.95%-0.69 -40.8 0
1910-09-10 Belfast Celtic D 1-162.6 1540 1524 51.16% 29.50% 19.34%+0.79 -3.1 2
1910-09-10 @ Cliftonville D 1-162.6 1524 1540 19.34% 29.50% 51.16%-0.79 +3.1 1
1910-09-10 Bohemian W 2-043.4 1519 1464 54.90% 29.22% 15.88%+1.12 +17.6 4
1910-09-10 @ Glentoran L 0-243.4 1464 1519 15.88% 29.22% 54.90%-1.12 -17.6 1
1910-09-10 Derry Celtic D 0-055.0 1454 1514 42.40% 29.76% 27.84%+0.13 -1.5 1
1910-09-10 @ Lisburn Distillery D 0-055.0 1514 1454 27.84% 29.76% 42.40%-0.13 +1.5 3
1910-09-10 Linfield L 0-348.5 1444 1540 37.64% 29.76% 32.60%-0.17 -48.8 0
1910-09-10 @ Shelbourne W 3-048.5 1540 1444 32.60% 29.76% 37.64%+0.17 +48.8 4
1910-09-17 Belfast Celtic L 1-355.5 1447 1527 39.67% 29.77% 30.56%-0.04 -30.2 1
1910-09-17 @ Bohemian W 3-155.5 1527 1447 30.56% 29.77% 39.67%+0.04 +30.2 3
1910-09-17 Glentoran L 1-460.1 1537 1536 49.56% 29.58% 20.86%+0.66 -51.5 2
1910-09-17 @ Cliftonville W 4-160.1 1536 1537 20.86% 29.58% 49.56%-0.66 +51.5 6
1910-09-17 Derry Celtic D 2-269.2 1589 1516 56.50% 29.06% 14.44%+1.28 -3.2 5
1910-09-17 @ Linfield D 2-269.2 1516 1589 14.44% 29.06% 56.50%-1.28 +3.2 4
1910-09-17 Shelbourne L 0-152.9 1453 1396 55.12% 29.20% 15.68%+1.15 -24.6 1
1910-09-17 @ Lisburn Distillery W 1-052.9 1396 1453 15.68% 29.20% 55.12%-1.15 +24.6 2
1910-09-24 Lisburn Distillery D 0-056.0 1558 1428 60.79% 28.43% 10.78%+1.77 -5.9 4
1910-09-24 @ Belfast Celtic D 0-056.0 1428 1558 10.78% 28.43% 60.79%-1.77 +5.9 2
1910-09-24 Cliftonville D 3-369.5 1519 1485 52.95% 29.38% 17.67%+0.94 -2.2 5
1910-09-24 @ Derry Celtic D 3-369.5 1485 1519 17.67% 29.38% 52.95%-0.94 +2.2 3
1910-09-24 Linfield W 3-049.7 1588 1586 49.74% 29.57% 20.69%+0.67 +31.5 8
1910-09-24 @ Glentoran L 0-349.7 1586 1588 20.69% 29.57% 49.74%-0.67 -31.5 5
1910-09-24 Bohemian D 0-050.8 1420 1416 49.94% 29.56% 20.50%+0.69 -3.2 3
1910-09-24 @ Shelbourne D 0-050.8 1416 1420 20.50% 29.56% 49.94%-0.69 +3.2 2
1910-10-01 Linfield L 0-160.2 1552 1554 49.23% 29.60% 21.17%+0.63 -22.2 4
1910-10-01 @ Belfast Celtic W 1-060.2 1554 1552 21.17% 29.60% 49.23%-0.63 +22.2 7
1910-10-01 Derry Celtic W 4-044.6 1419 1517 37.40% 29.76% 32.84%-0.19 +57.8 4
1910-10-01 @ Bohemian L 0-444.6 1517 1419 32.84% 29.76% 37.40%+0.19 -57.8 5
1910-10-01 Shelbourne W 4-143.4 1487 1417 56.27% 29.08% 14.65%+1.26 +20.2 5
1910-10-01 @ Cliftonville L 1-443.4 1417 1487 14.65% 29.08% 56.27%-1.26 -20.2 3
1910-10-01 Lisburn Distillery W 2-150.2 1619 1434 64.29% 27.64% 8.07%+2.25 +4.8 10
1910-10-01 @ Glentoran L 1-250.2 1434 1619 8.07% 27.64% 64.29%-2.25 -4.8 2
1910-10-15 Belfast Celtic W 2-154.8 1459 1529 41.05% 29.77% 29.18%+0.05 +14.0 7
1910-10-15 @ Derry Celtic L 1-254.8 1529 1459 29.18% 29.77% 41.05%-0.05 -14.0 4
1910-10-15 Bohemian W 1-047.2 1576 1477 58.59% 28.79% 12.62%+1.51 +7.7 9
1910-10-15 @ Linfield L 0-147.2 1477 1576 12.62% 28.79% 58.59%-1.51 -7.7 4
1910-10-15 Cliftonville D 1-157.8 1429 1508 39.98% 29.77% 30.25%-0.02 -0.9 3
1910-10-15 @ Lisburn Distillery D 1-157.8 1508 1429 30.25% 29.77% 39.98%+0.02 +0.9 6
1910-10-15 Glentoran D 1-161.2 1397 1624 21.13% 29.03% 49.84%-1.31 +2.8 4
1910-10-15 @ Shelbourne D 1-161.2 1624 1397 49.84% 29.03% 21.13%+1.31 -2.8 11
1910-10-22 Shelbourne W 3-251.3 1515 1400 59.82% 28.60% 11.58%+1.65 +6.4 6
1910-10-22 @ Belfast Celtic L 2-351.3 1400 1515 11.58% 28.60% 59.82%-1.65 -6.4 4
1910-10-22 Lisburn Distillery L 0-251.8 1470 1428 53.67% 29.33% 17.00%+1.01 -45.3 4
1910-10-22 @ Bohemian W 2-051.8 1428 1470 17.00% 29.33% 53.67%-1.01 +45.3 5
1910-10-22 Linfield L 0-157.2 1509 1584 40.38% 29.77% 29.85%+0.00 -18.8 6
1910-10-22 @ Cliftonville W 1-057.2 1584 1509 29.85% 29.77% 40.38%+0.00 +18.8 11
1910-10-22 Glentoran W 3-159.9 1473 1621 30.35% 29.60% 40.05%-0.63 +30.4 9
1910-10-22 @ Derry Celtic L 1-359.9 1621 1473 40.05% 29.60% 30.35%+0.63 -30.4 11
1910-10-29 Bohemian W 1-042.9 1490 1424 55.86% 29.13% 15.02%+1.22 +8.9 8
1910-10-29 @ Cliftonville L 0-142.9 1424 1490 15.02% 29.13% 55.86%-1.22 -8.9 4
1910-10-29 Belfast Celtic L 1-267.1 1591 1522 56.17% 29.09% 14.74%+1.25 -23.7 11
1910-10-29 @ Glentoran W 2-167.1 1522 1591 14.74% 29.09% 56.17%-1.25 +23.7 8
1910-10-29 Linfield L 0-154.4 1474 1603 32.93% 29.68% 37.40%-0.46 -16.2 5
1910-10-29 @ Lisburn Distillery W 1-054.4 1603 1474 37.40% 29.68% 32.93%+0.46 +16.2 13
1910-10-29 Derry Celtic W 1-048.4 1393 1503 35.61% 29.73% 34.65%-0.30 +16.8 6
1910-10-29 @ Shelbourne L 0-148.4 1503 1393 34.65% 29.73% 35.61%+0.30 -16.8 9
1910-11-05 Cliftonville W 3-044.3 1546 1499 54.19% 29.28% 16.52%+1.06 +26.4 10
1910-11-05 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-344.3 1499 1546 16.52% 29.28% 54.19%-1.06 -26.4 8
1910-11-05 Glentoran L 0-150.0 1415 1567 29.87% 29.58% 40.54%-0.66 -15.1 4
1910-11-05 @ Bohemian W 1-050.0 1567 1415 40.54% 29.58% 29.87%+0.66 +15.1 13
1910-11-05 Lisburn Distillery W 1-045.0 1487 1457 52.52% 29.41% 18.07%+0.91 +10.3 11
1910-11-05 @ Derry Celtic L 0-145.0 1457 1487 18.07% 29.41% 52.52%-0.91 -10.3 5
1910-11-05 Shelbourne W 6-142.5 1619 1410 65.59% 27.26% 7.15%+2.46 +16.7 15
1910-11-05 @ Linfield L 1-642.5 1410 1619 7.15% 27.26% 65.59%-2.46 -16.7 6
1910-11-12 Bohemian D 3-368.7 1572 1400 63.49% 27.85% 8.66%+2.13 -3.7 11
1910-11-12 @ Belfast Celtic D 3-368.7 1400 1572 8.66% 27.85% 63.49%-2.13 +3.7 5
1910-11-12 Linfield D 2-269.9 1497 1636 31.64% 29.64% 38.72%-0.54 +0.5 12
1910-11-12 @ Derry Celtic D 2-269.9 1636 1497 38.72% 29.64% 31.64%+0.54 -0.5 16
1910-11-12 Cliftonville W 4-042.4 1582 1472 59.41% 28.67% 11.92%+1.60 +26.2 15
1910-11-12 @ Glentoran L 0-442.4 1472 1582 11.92% 28.67% 59.41%-1.60 -26.2 8
1910-11-12 Lisburn Distillery D 2-259.9 1393 1447 43.21% 29.76% 27.04%+0.19 -1.1 7
1910-11-12 @ Shelbourne D 2-259.9 1447 1393 27.04% 29.76% 43.21%-0.19 +1.1 6
1910-11-26 Shelbourne D 2-258.9 1404 1392 50.74% 29.52% 19.74%+0.75 -2.2 6
1910-11-26 @ Bohemian D 2-258.9 1392 1404 19.74% 29.52% 50.74%-0.75 +2.2 8
1910-11-26 Derry Celtic W 1-047.7 1446 1498 43.49% 29.75% 26.76%+0.21 +13.9 10
1910-11-26 @ Cliftonville L 0-147.7 1498 1446 26.76% 29.75% 43.49%-0.21 -14.0 12
1910-11-26 Glentoran D 2-272.6 1635 1609 52.26% 29.43% 18.31%+0.88 -2.5 17
1910-11-26 @ Linfield D 2-272.6 1609 1635 18.31% 29.43% 52.26%-0.88 +2.5 16
1910-11-26 Belfast Celtic D 1-160.8 1448 1568 34.20% 29.71% 36.09%-0.38 +0.2 7
1910-11-26 @ Lisburn Distillery D 1-160.8 1568 1448 36.09% 29.71% 34.20%+0.38 -0.2 12
1910-12-03 Bohemian W 2-146.3 1484 1402 57.23% 28.97% 13.80%+1.36 +7.8 14
1910-12-03 @ Derry Celtic L 1-246.3 1402 1484 13.80% 28.97% 57.23%-1.36 -7.8 6
1910-12-03 Belfast Celtic D 1-166.7 1633 1568 55.78% 29.13% 15.08%+1.21 -4.1 18
1910-12-03 @ Linfield D 1-166.7 1568 1633 15.08% 29.13% 55.78%-1.21 +4.1 13
1910-12-03 Glentoran L 1-257.2 1448 1611 28.49% 29.52% 41.99%-0.75 -13.7 7
1910-12-03 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-157.2 1611 1448 41.99% 29.52% 28.49%+0.75 +13.7 18
1910-12-03 Cliftonville L 0-149.3 1395 1460 41.70% 29.77% 28.53%+0.09 -19.2 8
1910-12-03 @ Shelbourne W 1-049.3 1460 1395 28.53% 29.77% 41.70%-0.09 +19.3 12
1910-12-10 Derry Celtic W 2-152.8 1572 1491 57.14% 28.98% 13.88%+1.35 +7.9 15
1910-12-10 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-252.8 1491 1572 13.88% 28.98% 57.14%-1.35 -7.9 14
1910-12-10 Linfield L 0-246.2 1394 1629 20.38% 28.95% 50.67%-1.37 -21.2 6
1910-12-10 @ Bohemian W 2-046.2 1629 1394 50.67% 28.95% 20.38%+1.37 +21.2 20
1910-12-10 Lisburn Distillery W 2-041.2 1479 1435 53.99% 29.30% 16.71%+1.04 +18.3 14
1910-12-10 @ Cliftonville L 0-241.2 1435 1479 16.71% 29.30% 53.99%-1.04 -18.3 7
1910-12-10 Shelbourne W 4-037.9 1625 1375 67.64% 26.55% 5.81%+2.81 +13.3 20
1910-12-10 @ Glentoran L 0-437.9 1375 1625 5.81% 26.55% 67.64%-2.81 -13.3 8
1910-12-17 Derry Celtic W 9-045.0 1638 1484 62.45% 28.09% 9.46%+1.99 +46.0 22
1910-12-17 @ Glentoran L 0-945.0 1484 1638 9.46% 28.09% 62.45%-1.99 -46.0 14
1910-12-17 Cliftonville W 3-045.2 1650 1498 62.30% 28.13% 9.58%+1.97 +16.5 22
1910-12-17 @ Linfield L 0-345.2 1498 1650 9.58% 28.13% 62.30%-1.97 -16.5 14
1910-12-17 Bohemian W 5-243.9 1416 1373 53.90% 29.31% 16.79%+1.03 +19.5 9
1910-12-17 @ Lisburn Distillery L 2-543.9 1373 1416 16.79% 29.31% 53.90%-1.03 -19.5 6
1910-12-17 Belfast Celtic W 2-051.8 1362 1580 22.06% 29.11% 48.82%-1.23 +41.3 10
1910-12-17 @ Shelbourne L 0-251.8 1580 1362 48.82% 29.11% 22.06%+1.23 -41.3 15

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
1911-01-23 Glentoran W 3-271.2 1666 1684 32.60% 29.76% 37.64%-0.15 +15.9 1-0
1911-01-23 @ Linfield L 2-371.2 1684 1666 37.64% 29.76% 32.60%+0.15 -15.9 0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1910-09-03 13.24% Glentoran 1476 3 @ Belfast Celtic 1566 1
2 1910-10-29 14.74% Belfast Celtic 1522 2 @ Glentoran 1591 1
3 1910-09-17 15.68% Shelbourne 1396 1 @ Lisburn Distillery 1453 0
4 1910-10-22 17.00% Lisburn Distillery 1428 2 @ Bohemian 1470 0
5 1910-09-17 20.86% Glentoran 1536 4 @ Cliftonville 1537 1
6 1910-10-01 21.17% Linfield 1554 1 @ Belfast Celtic 1552 0
7 1910-12-17 22.06% @ Shelbourne 1362 2 Belfast Celtic 1580 0
8 1910-12-03 28.53% Cliftonville 1460 1 @ Shelbourne 1395 0
9 1910-10-22 29.85% Linfield 1584 1 @ Cliftonville 1509 0
10 1910-10-22 30.35% @ Derry Celtic 1473 3 Glentoran 1621 1
11 1910-09-17 30.56% Belfast Celtic 1527 3 @ Bohemian 1447 1
12 1910-09-10 32.60% Linfield 1540 3 @ Shelbourne 1444 0
13 1911-01-23 * 32.60% @ Linfield 1666 3 Glentoran 1684 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1910-10-01 57.77 @ Bohemian 4 1419 37.40% Derry Celtic 0 1517 32.84% 29.76%
2 1910-09-17 51.49 Glentoran 4 1536 20.86% @ Cliftonville 1 1537 49.56% 29.58%
3 1910-09-10 48.75 Linfield 3 1540 32.60% @ Shelbourne 0 1444 37.64% 29.76%
4 1910-12-17 45.97 @ Glentoran 9 1638 62.45% Derry Celtic 0 1484 9.46% 28.09%
5 1910-10-22 45.28 Lisburn Distillery 2 1428 17.00% @ Bohemian 0 1470 53.67% 29.33%
6 1910-09-03 42.21 Glentoran 3 1476 13.24% @ Belfast Celtic 1 1566 57.87% 28.89%
7 1910-12-17 41.27 @ Shelbourne 2 1362 22.06% Belfast Celtic 0 1580 48.82% 29.11%
8 1910-09-03 40.83 @ Linfield 4 1499 49.95% Lisburn Distillery 0 1495 20.49% 29.56%
9 1910-09-24 31.49 @ Glentoran 3 1588 49.74% Linfield 0 1586 20.69% 29.57%
10 1910-10-22 30.42 @ Derry Celtic 3 1473 30.35% Glentoran 1 1621 40.05% 29.60%
11 1910-09-17 30.24 Belfast Celtic 3 1527 30.56% @ Bohemian 1 1447 39.67% 29.77%
12 1910-11-05 26.38 @ Belfast Celtic 3 1546 54.19% Cliftonville 0 1499 16.52% 29.28%
13 1910-11-12 26.23 @ Glentoran 4 1582 59.41% Cliftonville 0 1472 11.92% 28.67%
14 1910-09-17 24.64 Shelbourne 1 1396 15.68% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1453 55.12% 29.20%
15 1910-10-29 23.66 Belfast Celtic 2 1522 14.74% @ Glentoran 1 1591 56.17% 29.09%
16 1910-10-01 22.16 Linfield 1 1554 21.17% @ Belfast Celtic 0 1552 49.23% 29.60%
17 1910-12-10 21.22 Linfield 2 1629 50.67% @ Bohemian 0 1394 20.38% 28.95%
18 1910-09-03 20.77 @ Derry Celtic 5 1494 52.43% Shelbourne 2 1465 18.15% 29.42%
19 1910-10-01 20.16 @ Cliftonville 4 1487 56.27% Shelbourne 1 1417 14.65% 29.08%
20 1910-12-17 19.52 @ Lisburn Distillery 5 1416 53.90% Bohemian 2 1373 16.79% 29.31%
21 1910-12-03 19.26 Cliftonville 1 1460 28.53% @ Shelbourne 0 1395 41.70% 29.77%
22 1910-10-22 18.78 Linfield 1 1584 29.85% @ Cliftonville 0 1509 40.38% 29.77%
23 1910-12-10 18.33 @ Cliftonville 2 1479 53.99% Lisburn Distillery 0 1435 16.71% 29.30%
24 1910-09-10 17.59 @ Glentoran 2 1519 54.90% Bohemian 0 1464 15.88% 29.22%
25 1910-10-29 16.77 @ Shelbourne 1 1393 35.61% Derry Celtic 0 1503 34.65% 29.73%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1910-11-26 72.6 @ Linfield 2 1635 52.26% Glentoran 2 1609 18.31% 29.43%
2 1911-01-23 * 71.2 @ Linfield 3 1666 32.60% Glentoran 2 1684 37.64% 29.76%
3 1910-11-12 69.9 @ Derry Celtic 2 1497 31.64% Linfield 2 1636 38.72% 29.64%
4 1910-09-24 69.5 @ Derry Celtic 3 1519 52.95% Cliftonville 3 1485 17.67% 29.38%
5 1910-09-17 69.2 @ Linfield 2 1589 56.50% Derry Celtic 2 1516 14.44% 29.06%
6 1910-11-12 68.7 @ Belfast Celtic 3 1572 63.49% Bohemian 3 1400 8.66% 27.85%
7 1910-10-29 67.1 Belfast Celtic 2 1522 14.74% @ Glentoran 1 1591 56.17% 29.09%
8 1910-12-03 66.7 @ Linfield 1 1633 55.78% Belfast Celtic 1 1568 15.08% 29.13%
9 1910-09-03 63.2 Glentoran 3 1476 13.24% @ Belfast Celtic 1 1566 57.87% 28.89%
10 1910-09-10 62.6 @ Cliftonville 1 1540 51.16% Belfast Celtic 1 1524 19.34% 29.50%
11 1910-10-15 61.2 @ Shelbourne 1 1397 21.13% Glentoran 1 1624 49.84% 29.03%
12 1910-11-26 60.8 @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1448 34.20% Belfast Celtic 1 1568 36.09% 29.71%
13 1910-09-03 60.3 @ Bohemian 1 1465 40.60% Cliftonville 1 1539 29.63% 29.77%
14 1910-10-01 60.2 Linfield 1 1554 21.17% @ Belfast Celtic 0 1552 49.23% 29.60%
15 1910-09-17 60.1 Glentoran 4 1536 20.86% @ Cliftonville 1 1537 49.56% 29.58%
16 1910-10-22 59.9 @ Derry Celtic 3 1473 30.35% Glentoran 1 1621 40.05% 29.60%
17 1910-11-12 59.9 @ Shelbourne 2 1393 43.21% Lisburn Distillery 2 1447 27.04% 29.76%
18 1910-11-26 58.9 @ Bohemian 2 1404 50.74% Shelbourne 2 1392 19.74% 29.52%
19 1910-10-15 57.8 @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1429 39.98% Cliftonville 1 1508 30.25% 29.77%
20 1910-10-22 57.2 Linfield 1 1584 29.85% @ Cliftonville 0 1509 40.38% 29.77%
21 1910-12-03 57.2 Glentoran 2 1611 41.99% @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1448 28.49% 29.52%
22 1910-09-24 56.0 @ Belfast Celtic 0 1558 60.79% Lisburn Distillery 0 1428 10.78% 28.43%
23 1910-09-17 55.5 Belfast Celtic 3 1527 30.56% @ Bohemian 1 1447 39.67% 29.77%
24 1910-09-10 55.0 @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1454 42.40% Derry Celtic 0 1514 27.84% 29.76%
25 1910-10-15 54.8 @ Derry Celtic 2 1459 41.05% Belfast Celtic 1 1529 29.18% 29.77%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1910-12-10 37.9 @ Glentoran 4 1625 67.64% Shelbourne 0 1375 5.81% 26.55%
2 1910-12-10 41.2 @ Cliftonville 2 1479 53.99% Lisburn Distillery 0 1435 16.71% 29.30%
3 1910-11-12 42.4 @ Glentoran 4 1582 59.41% Cliftonville 0 1472 11.92% 28.67%
4 1910-11-05 42.5 @ Linfield 6 1619 65.59% Shelbourne 1 1410 7.15% 27.26%
5 1910-10-29 42.9 @ Cliftonville 1 1490 55.86% Bohemian 0 1424 15.02% 29.13%
6 1910-09-03 43.0 @ Linfield 4 1499 49.95% Lisburn Distillery 0 1495 20.49% 29.56%
7 1910-09-10 43.4 @ Glentoran 2 1519 54.90% Bohemian 0 1464 15.88% 29.22%
8 1910-10-01 43.4 @ Cliftonville 4 1487 56.27% Shelbourne 1 1417 14.65% 29.08%
9 1910-12-17 43.9 @ Lisburn Distillery 5 1416 53.90% Bohemian 2 1373 16.79% 29.31%
10 1910-11-05 44.3 @ Belfast Celtic 3 1546 54.19% Cliftonville 0 1499 16.52% 29.28%
11 1910-10-01 44.6 @ Bohemian 4 1419 37.40% Derry Celtic 0 1517 32.84% 29.76%
12 1910-11-05 45.0 @ Derry Celtic 1 1487 52.52% Lisburn Distillery 0 1457 18.07% 29.41%
13 1910-12-17 45.0 @ Glentoran 9 1638 62.45% Derry Celtic 0 1484 9.46% 28.09%
14 1910-12-17 45.2 @ Linfield 3 1650 62.30% Cliftonville 0 1498 9.58% 28.13%
15 1910-12-10 46.2 Linfield 2 1629 50.67% @ Bohemian 0 1394 20.38% 28.95%
16 1910-12-03 46.3 @ Derry Celtic 2 1484 57.23% Bohemian 1 1402 13.80% 28.97%
17 1910-10-15 47.2 @ Linfield 1 1576 58.59% Bohemian 0 1477 12.62% 28.79%
18 1910-11-26 47.7 @ Cliftonville 1 1446 43.49% Derry Celtic 0 1498 26.76% 29.75%
19 1910-10-29 48.4 @ Shelbourne 1 1393 35.61% Derry Celtic 0 1503 34.65% 29.73%
20 1910-09-10 48.5 Linfield 3 1540 32.60% @ Shelbourne 0 1444 37.64% 29.76%
21 1910-12-03 49.3 Cliftonville 1 1460 28.53% @ Shelbourne 0 1395 41.70% 29.77%
22 1910-09-03 49.4 @ Derry Celtic 5 1494 52.43% Shelbourne 2 1465 18.15% 29.42%
23 1910-09-24 49.7 @ Glentoran 3 1588 49.74% Linfield 0 1586 20.69% 29.57%
24 1910-11-05 50.0 Glentoran 1 1567 40.54% @ Bohemian 0 1415 29.87% 29.58%
25 1910-10-01 50.2 @ Glentoran 2 1619 64.29% Lisburn Distillery 1 1434 8.07% 27.64%