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1924-25 Irish League Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Glentoran

37 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Glentoran

7.93 points above expected

37 points · 29.07 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lisburn Distillery

5.16 points below expected

16 points · 21.16 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Glentoran 22 17 3 2 37 53 18 +35 29.07 +7.93
2 Queens Island 22 13 6 3 32 48 23 +25 30.33 +1.67
3 Belfast Celtic 22 11 5 6 27 36 31 +5 27.55 -0.55
4 Portadown 22 10 5 7 25 42 35 +7 21.74 +3.26
5 Glenavon 22 11 2 9 24 45 36 +9 19.26 +4.74
6 Linfield 22 10 2 10 22 34 31 +3 23.74 -1.74
7 Ards 22 8 2 12 18 39 41 -2 18.70 -0.70
8 Larne 22 7 4 11 18 30 47 -17 18.00 +0.00
9 Lisburn Distillery 22 6 4 12 16 31 40 -9 21.16 -5.16
10 Barn 22 6 4 12 16 29 40 -11 20.21 -4.21
11 Cliftonville 22 6 4 12 16 21 32 -11 17.45 -1.45
12 Newry Town 22 5 3 14 13 33 67 -34 16.79 -3.79

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Glentoran 37 29.07 +7.93
2 Glenavon 24 19.26 +4.74
3 Portadown 25 21.74 +3.26
4 Queens Island 32 30.33 +1.67
5 Larne 18 18.00 +0.00

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lisburn Distillery 16 21.16 -5.16
2 Barn 16 20.21 -4.21
3 Newry Town 13 16.79 -3.79
4 Linfield 22 23.74 -1.74
5 Cliftonville 16 17.45 -1.45

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Glenavon 7 Dec 25 – Feb 11 1 in 882
2 Glentoran 7 Nov 15 – Dec 29 1 in 60
3 Linfield 4 Oct 25 – Nov 22 1 in 29
4 Newry Town 2 Nov 15 – Nov 22 1 in 13
5 Larne 2 Nov 1 – Nov 15 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Barn 6 Dec 26 – Jan 24 1 in 74
2 Lisburn Distillery 4 Oct 25 – Nov 22 1 in 55
3 Ards 5 Nov 1 – Dec 25 1 in 52
4 Belfast Celtic 2 Nov 22 – Dec 6 1 in 29
5 Newry Town 5 Dec 25 – Jan 8 1 in 29

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Glenavon 7 Dec 25 – Feb 11 1 in 52
2 Glentoran 9 Aug 23 – Oct 25 1 in 40
3 Newry Town 4 Nov 1 – Dec 6 1 in 15
4 Ards 3 Oct 4 – Oct 25 1 in 14
5 Portadown 4 Jan 3 – Jan 24 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lisburn Distillery 6 Oct 4 – Nov 22 1 in 36
2 Cliftonville 8 Aug 30 – Oct 25 1 in 29
3 Linfield 4 Dec 6 – Dec 27 1 in 20
4 Queens Island 2 Jan 10 – Jan 17 1 in 16
5 Ards 7 Oct 18 – Dec 25 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Glentoran 1731 37 +8 8 8.0 +0.0
Queens Island 1705 32 +13 6 6.8 -0.8
Belfast Celtic 1530 27 -87 7 6.7 +0.3
Portadown 1537 25 +26 7 5.5 +1.5
Glenavon 1549 24 +77 8 4.9 +3.1
Linfield 1530 22 -22 6 6.1 -0.1
Ards 1498 18 +86 4 3.8 +0.2
Larne 1401 18 -32 3 3.5 -0.5
Lisburn Distillery 1420 16 +6 5 4.8 +0.2
Cliftonville 1417 16 +43 4 3.1 +0.9
Barn 1371 16 -48 2 4.4 -2.4
Newry Town 1312 13 -26 2 3.0 -1.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BAR BC CLI GLE GLE LAR LIN LD NT POR QI
Ards —
1-0-1
2.51
1-1-0
1.44
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
2.87
0-0-2
1.48
0-0-2
3.10
1-0-1
1.95
1-1-0
2.58
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
2.44
0-0-2
1.22
Barn
1-0-1
3.14
—
1-1-0
1.89
0-0-2
3.22
0-0-2
2.86
0-1-1
1.69
1-0-1
3.09
1-0-1
2.15
0-1-1
2.75
1-0-1
3.16
1-0-1
2.70
0-1-1
1.80
Belfast Celtic
0-1-1
4.22
0-1-1
3.76
—
1-1-0
3.92
1-0-1
3.94
0-0-2
2.67
2-0-0
4.08
1-1-0
3.22
2-0-0
3.45
2-0-0
3.96
2-0-0
3.48
0-1-1
2.54
Cliftonville
1-0-1
2.78
2-0-0
2.43
0-1-1
1.74
—
1-0-1
2.14
0-0-2
1.29
1-1-0
2.63
0-0-2
1.99
1-0-1
2.30
0-1-1
3.10
0-1-1
2.24
0-0-2
1.56
Glenavon
1-0-1
2.78
2-0-0
2.79
1-0-1
1.72
1-0-1
3.51
—
1-0-1
1.39
2-0-0
2.67
1-0-1
2.24
1-0-1
2.50
1-1-0
3.36
0-1-1
2.50
0-0-2
1.46
Glentoran
2-0-0
4.17
1-1-0
3.97
2-0-0
2.98
2-0-0
4.38
1-0-1
4.27
—
2-0-0
3.77
1-0-1
3.48
1-1-0
3.72
2-0-0
4.72
2-0-0
3.48
1-1-0
2.56
Larne
2-0-0
2.55
1-0-1
2.55
0-0-2
1.58
0-1-1
3.02
0-0-2
2.98
0-0-2
1.88
—
1-1-0
1.99
1-1-0
2.56
2-0-0
2.95
0-1-1
2.18
0-0-2
1.39
Linfield
1-0-1
3.70
1-0-1
3.50
0-1-1
2.43
2-0-0
3.66
1-0-1
3.41
1-0-1
2.17
0-1-1
3.66
—
1-0-1
3.10
1-0-1
3.95
1-0-1
3.12
1-0-1
1.97
Lisburn Distillery
0-1-1
3.07
1-1-0
2.90
0-0-2
2.19
1-0-1
3.35
1-0-1
3.15
0-1-1
1.93
0-1-1
3.08
1-0-1
2.55
—
1-0-1
3.33
0-0-2
2.63
1-0-1
1.82
Newry Town
1-0-1
2.68
1-0-1
2.48
0-0-2
1.69
1-1-0
2.54
0-1-1
2.29
0-0-2
0.95
0-0-2
2.70
1-0-1
1.71
1-0-1
2.32
—
0-0-2
2.18
0-1-1
1.38
Portadown
1-0-1
3.20
1-0-1
2.95
0-0-2
2.17
1-1-0
3.41
1-1-0
3.15
0-0-2
2.17
1-1-0
3.47
1-0-1
2.53
2-0-0
3.02
2-0-0
3.47
—
0-2-0
1.75
Queens Island
2-0-0
4.44
1-1-0
3.86
1-1-0
3.11
2-0-0
4.10
2-0-0
4.20
0-1-1
3.09
2-0-0
4.27
1-0-1
3.68
1-0-1
3.84
1-1-0
4.28
0-2-0
3.90
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.71 +6.8
Allowed 0.64 -4.7
Differential 0.90 +3.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%6.44%4.55%3.03%1.89%0.76%21.21%
16.44%7.58%11.36%2.65%2.27%1.52%31.82%
24.55%11.36%4.55%2.65%1.14%2.27%26.52%
33.03%2.65%2.65%—0.76%—9.09%
41.89%2.27%1.14%0.76%—0.38%6.44%
5+0.76%1.52%2.27%—0.38%—4.92%
Total21.21%31.82%26.52%9.09%6.44%4.92%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.67 +0.00
SD 1.51 1.51 2.20
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 10 10 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%13.64%——27.27%
19.09%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—27.27%
24.55%4.55%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
3——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
49.09%————4.55%13.64%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total27.27%18.18%22.73%13.64%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.86 -0.09
SD 1.80 1.64 2.62
CV 1.01 0.88 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%—9.09%—27.27%
14.55%9.09%18.18%———31.82%
24.55%9.09%—9.09%9.09%—31.82%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total18.18%27.27%27.27%9.09%18.18%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.82 -0.50
SD 1.21 1.37 1.82
CV 0.92 0.75 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%—4.55%4.55%31.82%
1—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
29.09%22.73%9.09%———40.91%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total18.18%54.55%18.18%—4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.41 +0.23
SD 1.47 1.53 2.41
CV 0.90 1.09 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%9.09%13.64%——45.45%
19.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
2—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%27.27%22.73%18.18%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.45 -0.50
SD 1.17 1.22 1.95
CV 1.23 0.84 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%18.18%
14.55%4.55%13.64%9.09%——31.82%
213.64%13.64%4.55%———31.82%
3———————
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+——13.64%———13.64%
Total18.18%27.27%36.36%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 1.64 +0.41
SD 2.28 1.22 2.70
CV 1.11 0.74 —
Max 10 5 +8
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
122.73%9.09%9.09%———40.91%
24.55%18.18%4.55%———27.27%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
Total40.91%36.36%22.73%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.41 0.82 +1.59
SD 1.76 0.80 1.71
CV 0.73 0.97 —
Max 7 2 +5
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%18.18%———31.82%
14.55%4.55%4.55%—9.09%—22.73%
24.55%9.09%4.55%——13.64%31.82%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4———————
5+————4.55%—4.55%
Total22.73%22.73%27.27%—13.64%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 2.14 -0.77
SD 1.29 2.03 2.11
CV 0.95 0.95 —
Max 5 7 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—27.27%
1——18.18%———18.18%
24.55%22.73%—4.55%——31.82%
39.09%—4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total22.73%36.36%27.27%4.55%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.41 +0.14
SD 1.22 1.18 1.75
CV 0.79 0.84 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%————13.64%
14.55%13.64%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%45.45%
24.55%9.09%4.55%13.64%——31.82%
34.55%—————4.55%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%36.36%18.18%22.73%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.82 -0.41
SD 0.96 1.33 1.65
CV 0.68 0.73 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%4.55%4.55%—13.64%
14.55%9.09%13.64%9.09%4.55%9.09%50.00%
2——4.55%—4.55%9.09%18.18%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
4——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
5+———————
Total9.09%9.09%31.82%18.18%13.64%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 3.05 -1.55
SD 1.14 2.26 2.56
CV 0.76 0.74 —
Max 4 10 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
19.09%9.09%18.18%——4.55%40.91%
2—9.09%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
3—13.64%————13.64%
4——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total13.64%36.36%36.36%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 1.59 +0.32
SD 1.44 1.14 1.64
CV 0.76 0.72 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
14.55%18.18%9.09%———31.82%
24.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
34.55%—13.64%———18.18%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total22.73%50.00%27.27%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 1.05 +1.14
SD 1.56 0.72 1.73
CV 0.72 0.69 —
Max 6 2 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Glentoran 1731 37 29.07 +7.93 99.0% 22 24 27 29 31 34 38
Queens Island 1705 32 30.33 +1.67 74.0% 23 24 28 30 33 36 39
Glenavon 1549 24 19.26 +4.74 95.0% 10 13 16 20 21 24 26
Portadown 1537 25 21.74 +3.26 83.0% 10 14 19 22 25 28 31
Belfast Celtic 1530 27 27.55 -0.55 48.0% 20 22 25 28 30 34 37
Linfield 1530 22 23.74 -1.74 38.0% 14 18 21 24 26 29 32
Ards 1498 18 18.70 -0.70 53.0% 7 12 17 18 21 24 27
Lisburn Distillery 1420 16 21.16 -5.16 14.0% 10 14 19 21 24 27 32
Cliftonville 1417 16 17.45 -1.45 42.0% 8 11 14 18 20 23 27
Larne 1401 18 18.00 +0.00 58.0% 10 12 16 18 20 23 26
Barn 1371 16 20.21 -4.21 21.0% 10 13 18 20 23 28 32
Newry Town 1312 13 16.79 -3.79 18.0% 6 10 14 17 20 23 28

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+22.73%
Strong Edge
53.03%16.67%30.30%
Elo Value
Home Edge
164 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
080.37500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.66 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.49+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.9
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
29%
Glentoran, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Comfortable
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.02 * Some Luck: 3.02 to 4.53 * Lucky: 4.53 to 6.04 * Wild Swing: 6.04 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.5 * Close: 1.5 to 2.25 * Off: 2.25 to 3.01 * Way Off: 3.01 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.69 points
Some Luck
03.789
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Pinpoint
01.884
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
Glentoran
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
14.00%
Lisburn Distillery
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Balanced
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 126.43
1.70
Coin-Flip Parity
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
67%
Even
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
92%
Clear Edge
50%93%100%
Close Games
Expected
60%
Very Frequent
0%50%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Frequent
0%26%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.552
Matchup Imbalance
0.41
Slight Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.01
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.55
Some Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Shaky Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.44
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.01
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.095
Well Within Noise
00.1330.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Glentoran29.00%36.00%19.00%11.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%—————
Queens Island48.00%28.00%14.00%7.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%—————
Belfast Celtic17.00%19.00%34.00%10.00%10.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%———
Portadown1.00%3.00%8.00%18.00%14.00%13.00%11.00%10.00%7.00%7.00%3.00%5.00%
Glenavon——2.00%2.00%10.00%19.00%16.00%10.00%14.00%8.00%9.00%10.00%
Linfield1.00%8.00%9.00%24.00%19.00%14.00%5.00%9.00%5.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%
Ards—1.00%1.00%3.00%9.00%9.00%15.00%12.00%10.00%16.00%13.00%11.00%
Larne——2.00%1.00%2.00%8.00%10.00%10.00%15.00%23.00%18.00%11.00%
Lisburn Distillery1.00%2.00%6.00%14.00%13.00%9.00%12.00%16.00%9.00%6.00%5.00%7.00%
Barn3.00%3.00%3.00%5.00%10.00%11.00%12.00%11.00%10.00%14.00%12.00%6.00%
Cliftonville——1.00%1.00%6.00%6.00%9.00%11.00%16.00%10.00%23.00%17.00%
Newry Town——1.00%4.00%3.00%5.00%5.00%9.00%13.00%12.00%16.00%32.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Barn 100%
Belfast Celtic 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Larne 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Newry Town 100%
Portadown 100%
Queens Island 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1924-08-23 Queens Island D 0-064.0 1477 1612 39.94% 17.65% 42.41%-0.33 +0.2 1
1924-08-23 @ Barn D 0-064.0 1612 1477 42.41% 17.65% 39.94%+0.33 -0.2 1
1924-08-23 Larne W 1-041.9 1468 1442 60.24% 17.57% 22.19%+0.65 +7.9 2
1924-08-23 @ Cliftonville L 0-141.9 1442 1468 22.19% 17.57% 60.24%-0.65 -7.9 0
1924-08-23 Belfast Celtic L 1-352.1 1434 1591 36.73% 17.63% 45.64%-0.47 -19.9 0
1924-08-23 @ Glenavon W 3-152.1 1591 1434 45.64% 17.63% 36.73%+0.47 +20.0 2
1924-08-23 Portadown W 5-143.1 1543 1491 62.84% 17.52% 19.64%+0.81 +21.2 2
1924-08-23 @ Glentoran L 1-543.1 1491 1543 19.64% 17.52% 62.84%-0.81 -21.2 0
1924-08-23 Ards L 0-158.0 1542 1443 66.98% 17.39% 15.63%+1.09 -21.1 0
1924-08-23 @ Linfield W 1-058.0 1443 1542 15.63% 17.39% 66.98%-1.09 +21.1 2
1924-08-23 Lisburn Distillery L 2-457.3 1444 1513 48.91% 17.67% 33.41%+0.06 -22.8 0
1924-08-23 @ Newry Town W 4-257.3 1513 1444 33.41% 17.67% 48.91%-0.06 +22.7 2
1924-08-30 Cliftonville W 2-148.5 1464 1476 56.10% 17.63% 26.27%+0.42 +8.7 4
1924-08-30 @ Ards L 1-248.5 1476 1464 26.27% 17.63% 56.10%-0.42 -8.7 2
1924-08-30 Barn D 0-064.1 1611 1477 69.55% 17.27% 13.18%+1.30 -4.9 3
1924-08-30 @ Belfast Celtic D 0-064.1 1477 1611 13.18% 17.27% 69.55%-1.30 +4.9 2
1924-08-30 Glentoran L 0-247.5 1434 1564 40.57% 17.66% 41.77%-0.30 -25.0 0
1924-08-30 @ Larne W 2-047.5 1564 1434 41.77% 17.66% 40.57%+0.30 +25.0 4
1924-08-30 Linfield L 1-262.7 1536 1521 59.14% 17.59% 23.27%+0.58 -17.5 2
1924-08-30 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-162.7 1521 1536 23.27% 17.59% 59.14%-0.58 +17.5 2
1924-08-30 Glenavon D 1-160.3 1470 1414 63.26% 17.51% 19.23%+0.83 -3.3 1
1924-08-30 @ Portadown D 1-160.3 1414 1470 19.23% 17.51% 63.26%-0.83 +3.3 1
1924-08-30 Newry Town W 6-139.1 1611 1421 73.11% 17.04% 9.85%+1.65 +13.7 3
1924-08-30 @ Queens Island L 1-639.1 1421 1611 9.85% 17.04% 73.11%-1.65 -13.7 0
1924-09-06 Lisburn Distillery D 1-164.4 1482 1519 53.21% 17.66% 29.14%+0.27 -1.8 3
1924-09-06 @ Barn D 1-164.4 1519 1482 29.14% 17.66% 53.21%-0.27 +1.8 3
1924-09-06 Belfast Celtic D 2-271.8 1467 1606 39.32% 17.65% 43.04%-0.36 +0.2 3
1924-09-06 @ Cliftonville D 2-271.8 1606 1467 43.04% 17.65% 39.32%+0.36 -0.2 4
1924-09-06 Queens Island L 1-253.4 1417 1625 30.09% 17.54% 52.37%-0.78 -9.7 1
1924-09-06 @ Glenavon W 2-153.4 1625 1417 52.37% 17.54% 30.09%+0.78 +9.7 5
1924-09-06 Ards W 2-149.3 1589 1473 68.34% 17.33% 14.33%+1.20 +5.0 6
1924-09-06 @ Glentoran L 1-249.3 1473 1589 14.33% 17.33% 68.34%-1.20 -5.0 4
1924-09-06 Larne D 0-059.0 1538 1409 69.23% 17.29% 13.48%+1.28 -4.9 3
1924-09-06 @ Linfield D 0-059.0 1409 1538 13.48% 17.29% 69.23%-1.28 +4.8 1
1924-09-06 Portadown L 1-253.5 1407 1467 50.25% 17.67% 32.08%+0.13 -15.0 0
1924-09-06 @ Newry Town W 2-153.5 1467 1407 32.08% 17.67% 50.25%-0.13 +15.0 3
1924-09-13 Glenavon W 2-036.6 1468 1407 63.61% 17.50% 18.89%+0.86 +12.9 6
1924-09-13 @ Ards L 0-236.6 1407 1468 18.89% 17.50% 63.61%-0.86 -12.9 1
1924-09-13 Newry Town W 4-139.9 1606 1392 74.34% 16.93% 8.73%+1.79 +7.7 6
1924-09-13 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-439.9 1392 1606 8.73% 16.93% 74.34%-1.79 -7.7 0
1924-09-13 Barn W 2-149.0 1414 1481 49.38% 17.67% 32.95%+0.09 +10.5 3
1924-09-13 @ Larne L 1-249.0 1481 1414 32.95% 17.67% 49.38%-0.09 -10.5 3
1924-09-13 Cliftonville W 2-040.7 1520 1467 62.94% 17.51% 19.55%+0.81 +13.3 5
1924-09-13 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-240.7 1467 1520 19.55% 17.51% 62.94%-0.81 -13.3 3
1924-09-13 Linfield W 4-360.7 1482 1534 51.26% 17.67% 31.08%+0.17 +9.3 5
1924-09-13 @ Portadown L 3-460.7 1534 1482 31.08% 17.67% 51.26%-0.17 -9.3 3
1924-09-13 Glentoran D 1-171.3 1635 1594 61.73% 17.54% 20.73%+0.74 -3.1 6
1924-09-13 @ Queens Island D 1-171.3 1594 1635 20.73% 17.54% 61.73%-0.74 +3.1 7
1924-09-20 Portadown W 3-254.2 1470 1491 55.05% 17.64% 27.31%+0.36 +8.5 5
1924-09-20 @ Barn L 2-354.2 1491 1470 27.31% 17.64% 55.05%-0.36 -8.5 5
1924-09-20 Linfield W 2-152.5 1614 1524 66.16% 17.42% 16.42%+1.03 +5.7 8
1924-09-20 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-252.5 1524 1614 16.42% 17.42% 66.16%-1.03 -5.7 3
1924-09-20 Queens Island L 0-346.2 1454 1632 33.99% 17.60% 48.41%-0.59 -31.3 3
1924-09-20 @ Cliftonville W 3-046.2 1632 1454 48.41% 17.60% 33.99%+0.59 +31.3 8
1924-09-20 Larne W 4-140.2 1394 1425 53.93% 17.65% 28.42%+0.30 +22.7 3
1924-09-20 @ Glenavon L 1-440.2 1425 1394 28.42% 17.65% 53.93%-0.30 -22.7 3
1924-09-20 Lisburn Distillery D 2-273.7 1597 1534 63.95% 17.49% 18.56%+0.88 -2.6 8
1924-09-20 @ Glentoran D 2-273.7 1534 1597 18.56% 17.49% 63.95%-0.88 +2.6 6
1924-09-20 Ards W 4-357.2 1384 1480 45.36% 17.67% 36.97%-0.10 +10.7 2
1924-09-20 @ Newry Town L 3-457.2 1480 1384 36.97% 17.67% 45.36%+0.10 -10.7 6
1924-09-27 Ards W 1-043.8 1479 1470 58.45% 17.60% 23.95%+0.54 +8.5 7
1924-09-27 @ Barn L 0-143.8 1470 1479 23.95% 17.60% 58.45%-0.54 -8.5 6
1924-09-27 Glentoran L 0-163.2 1619 1595 60.10% 17.57% 22.33%+0.64 -18.9 8
1924-09-27 @ Belfast Celtic W 1-063.2 1595 1619 22.33% 17.57% 60.10%-0.64 +18.9 10
1924-09-27 Newry Town W 2-036.2 1402 1395 58.25% 17.60% 24.15%+0.53 +16.1 5
1924-09-27 @ Larne L 0-236.2 1395 1402 24.15% 17.60% 58.25%-0.53 -16.1 2
1924-09-27 Glenavon W 3-035.4 1536 1417 68.51% 17.32% 14.17%+1.21 +14.4 8
1924-09-27 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-335.4 1417 1536 14.17% 17.32% 68.51%-1.21 -14.4 3
1924-09-27 Cliftonville W 3-142.3 1483 1423 63.58% 17.50% 18.92%+0.85 +11.2 7
1924-09-27 @ Portadown L 1-342.3 1423 1483 18.92% 17.50% 63.58%-0.85 -11.2 3
1924-09-27 Linfield L 1-269.7 1663 1519 70.29% 17.23% 12.48%+1.37 -20.9 8
1924-09-27 @ Queens Island W 2-169.7 1519 1663 12.48% 17.23% 70.29%-1.37 +20.9 5
1924-10-04 Portadown W 1-045.4 1461 1494 53.66% 17.65% 28.68%+0.29 +9.9 8
1924-10-04 @ Ards L 0-145.4 1494 1461 28.68% 17.65% 53.66%-0.29 -9.9 7
1924-10-04 Glentoran D 1-168.0 1487 1614 41.02% 17.66% 41.32%-0.28 +0.0 8
1924-10-04 @ Barn D 1-168.0 1614 1487 41.32% 17.66% 41.02%+0.28 -0.0 11
1924-10-04 Lisburn Distillery W 4-148.7 1600 1551 62.63% 17.52% 19.85%+0.79 +16.6 10
1924-10-04 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-448.7 1551 1600 19.85% 17.52% 62.63%-0.79 -16.6 8
1924-10-04 Cliftonville W 2-037.1 1403 1412 56.47% 17.63% 25.90%+0.44 +17.1 5
1924-10-04 @ Glenavon L 0-237.1 1412 1403 25.90% 17.63% 56.47%-0.44 -17.1 3
1924-10-04 Linfield W 1-049.4 1379 1540 36.28% 17.62% 46.10%-0.49 +14.8 4
1924-10-04 @ Newry Town L 0-149.4 1540 1379 46.10% 17.62% 36.28%+0.49 -14.8 5
1924-10-04 Larne W 2-147.3 1642 1418 74.84% 16.88% 8.28%+1.85 +3.0 10
1924-10-04 @ Queens Island L 1-247.3 1418 1642 8.28% 16.88% 74.84%-1.85 -3.0 5
1924-10-18 Newry Town D 1-157.8 1394 1394 57.55% 17.61% 24.84%+0.49 -2.4 4
1924-10-18 @ Cliftonville D 1-157.8 1394 1394 24.84% 17.61% 57.55%-0.49 +2.4 5
1924-10-18 Glenavon W 1-042.5 1614 1420 73.30% 17.02% 9.68%+1.67 +3.7 13
1924-10-18 @ Glentoran L 0-142.5 1420 1614 9.68% 17.02% 73.30%-1.67 -3.7 5
1924-10-18 Belfast Celtic L 0-245.8 1415 1617 30.87% 17.56% 51.58%-0.74 -19.9 5
1924-10-18 @ Larne W 2-045.8 1617 1415 51.58% 17.56% 30.87%+0.74 +19.9 12
1924-10-18 Barn L 1-261.7 1525 1487 61.47% 17.55% 20.98%+0.72 -18.2 5
1924-10-18 @ Linfield W 2-161.7 1487 1525 20.98% 17.55% 61.47%-0.72 +18.2 10
1924-10-18 Ards D 1-164.6 1534 1471 63.87% 17.49% 18.64%+0.87 -3.4 9
1924-10-18 @ Lisburn Distillery D 1-164.6 1471 1534 18.64% 17.49% 63.87%-0.87 +3.4 9
1924-10-18 Queens Island D 2-273.6 1484 1645 36.19% 17.62% 46.18%-0.49 +0.5 8
1924-10-18 @ Portadown D 2-273.6 1645 1484 46.18% 17.62% 36.19%+0.49 -0.5 11
1924-10-25 Ards D 2-273.2 1637 1475 71.44% 17.16% 11.40%+1.48 -3.5 13
1924-10-25 @ Belfast Celtic D 2-273.2 1475 1637 11.40% 17.16% 71.44%-1.48 +3.5 10
1924-10-25 Linfield L 0-342.2 1392 1507 42.76% 17.67% 39.57%-0.21 -38.0 4
1924-10-25 @ Cliftonville W 3-042.2 1507 1392 39.57% 17.67% 42.76%+0.21 +38.0 7
1924-10-25 Barn W 2-150.8 1416 1505 46.31% 17.68% 36.01%-0.05 +11.3 7
1924-10-25 @ Glenavon L 1-250.8 1505 1416 36.01% 17.68% 46.31%+0.05 -11.3 10
1924-10-25 Newry Town W 6-241.2 1617 1396 74.71% 16.89% 8.39%+1.84 +8.1 15
1924-10-25 @ Glentoran L 2-641.2 1396 1617 8.39% 16.89% 74.71%-1.84 -8.1 5
1924-10-25 Portadown D 2-264.9 1395 1484 46.32% 17.68% 36.01%-0.05 -0.5 6
1924-10-25 @ Larne D 2-264.9 1484 1395 36.01% 17.68% 46.32%+0.05 +0.5 9
1924-10-25 Queens Island L 2-366.1 1531 1645 42.86% 17.67% 39.47%-0.20 -12.4 9
1924-10-25 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-266.1 1645 1531 39.47% 17.67% 42.86%+0.20 +12.4 13
1924-11-01 Larne L 0-348.1 1478 1395 65.67% 17.44% 16.90%+1.00 -56.6 10
1924-11-01 @ Ards W 3-048.1 1395 1478 16.90% 17.44% 65.67%-1.00 +56.6 8
1924-11-01 Cliftonville L 1-258.6 1494 1354 69.99% 17.25% 12.77%+1.34 -20.8 10
1924-11-01 @ Barn W 2-158.6 1354 1494 12.77% 17.25% 69.99%-1.34 +20.8 6
1924-11-01 Glentoran W 2-159.0 1545 1626 47.41% 17.68% 34.91%+0.00 +11.0 9
1924-11-01 @ Linfield L 1-259.0 1626 1545 34.91% 17.68% 47.41%+0.00 -11.0 15
1924-11-01 Glenavon D 2-263.1 1388 1427 52.82% 17.66% 29.52%+0.25 -1.2 6
1924-11-01 @ Newry Town D 2-263.1 1427 1388 29.52% 17.66% 52.82%-0.25 +1.3 8
1924-11-01 Lisburn Distillery W 3-148.9 1485 1518 53.57% 17.65% 28.77%+0.29 +16.2 11
1924-11-01 @ Portadown L 1-348.9 1518 1485 28.77% 17.65% 53.57%-0.29 -16.2 9
1924-11-01 Belfast Celtic W 2-050.0 1657 1633 60.04% 17.58% 22.39%+0.63 +15.1 15
1924-11-01 @ Queens Island L 0-250.0 1633 1657 22.39% 17.58% 60.04%-0.63 -15.1 13
1924-11-15 Portadown W 2-151.2 1618 1501 68.35% 17.33% 14.32%+1.20 +5.0 15
1924-11-15 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-251.2 1501 1618 14.32% 17.33% 68.35%-1.20 -5.0 11
1924-11-15 Glentoran L 0-146.0 1375 1615 26.31% 17.47% 56.22%-0.97 -9.2 6
1924-11-15 @ Cliftonville W 1-046.0 1615 1375 56.22% 17.47% 26.31%+0.97 +9.2 17
1924-11-15 Linfield L 1-254.6 1429 1556 41.01% 17.66% 41.33%-0.28 -12.6 8
1924-11-15 @ Glenavon W 2-154.6 1556 1429 41.33% 17.66% 41.01%+0.28 +12.6 11
1924-11-15 Lisburn Distillery W 1-046.1 1451 1502 51.40% 17.67% 30.93%+0.18 +10.6 10
1924-11-15 @ Larne L 0-146.1 1502 1451 30.93% 17.67% 51.40%-0.18 -10.6 9
1924-11-15 Barn W 4-250.1 1387 1473 46.70% 17.68% 35.63%-0.04 +17.4 8
1924-11-15 @ Newry Town L 2-450.1 1473 1387 35.63% 17.68% 46.70%+0.04 -17.4 10
1924-11-15 Ards W 2-148.1 1672 1422 76.06% 16.74% 7.20%+2.01 +2.6 17
1924-11-15 @ Queens Island L 1-248.1 1422 1672 7.20% 16.74% 76.06%-2.01 -2.6 10
1924-11-22 Linfield L 0-246.2 1419 1568 37.84% 17.64% 44.52%-0.42 -23.6 10
1924-11-22 @ Ards W 2-046.2 1568 1419 44.52% 17.64% 37.84%+0.42 +23.6 13
1924-11-22 Glenavon L 0-162.0 1623 1416 74.00% 16.96% 9.04%+1.75 -23.4 15
1924-11-22 @ Belfast Celtic W 1-062.0 1416 1623 9.04% 16.96% 74.00%-1.75 +23.4 10
1924-11-22 Cliftonville D 0-055.2 1462 1366 66.74% 17.40% 15.87%+1.08 -4.4 11
1924-11-22 @ Larne D 0-055.2 1366 1462 15.87% 17.40% 66.74%-1.08 +4.4 7
1924-11-22 Newry Town L 2-363.5 1491 1404 66.00% 17.42% 16.58%+1.02 -18.6 9
1924-11-22 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-263.5 1404 1491 16.58% 17.42% 66.00%-1.02 +18.6 10
1924-11-22 Glentoran L 1-259.3 1496 1624 40.91% 17.66% 41.43%-0.29 -12.6 11
1924-11-22 @ Portadown W 2-159.3 1624 1496 41.43% 17.66% 40.91%+0.29 +12.6 19
1924-11-22 Barn W 3-254.4 1675 1456 74.60% 16.90% 8.50%+1.82 +2.9 19
1924-11-22 @ Queens Island L 2-354.4 1456 1675 8.50% 16.90% 74.60%-1.82 -2.9 10
1924-12-06 Belfast Celtic W 2-158.0 1453 1600 38.16% 17.64% 44.20%-0.41 +13.4 12
1924-12-06 @ Barn L 1-258.0 1600 1453 44.20% 17.64% 38.16%+0.41 -13.4 15
1924-12-06 Ards W 3-034.2 1370 1395 54.55% 17.65% 27.81%+0.34 +26.4 9
1924-12-06 @ Cliftonville L 0-334.2 1395 1370 27.81% 17.65% 54.55%-0.34 -26.4 10
1924-12-06 Portadown L 1-255.7 1440 1484 52.24% 17.66% 30.10%+0.22 -15.6 10
1924-12-06 @ Glenavon W 2-155.7 1484 1440 30.10% 17.66% 52.24%-0.22 +15.6 13
1924-12-06 Larne W 7-243.1 1636 1458 72.44% 17.09% 10.47%+1.58 +12.1 21
1924-12-06 @ Glentoran L 2-743.1 1458 1636 10.47% 17.09% 72.44%-1.58 -12.1 11
1924-12-06 Lisburn Distillery L 1-265.7 1592 1473 68.50% 17.32% 14.18%+1.21 -20.3 13
1924-12-06 @ Linfield W 2-165.7 1473 1592 14.18% 17.32% 68.50%-1.21 +20.3 11
1924-12-06 Queens Island D 1-168.0 1423 1678 24.63% 17.42% 57.95%-1.06 +2.5 11
1924-12-06 @ Newry Town D 1-168.0 1678 1423 57.95% 17.42% 24.63%+1.06 -2.5 20
1924-12-20 Linfield W 2-155.8 1445 1571 41.12% 17.66% 41.22%-0.28 +12.7 13
1924-12-20 @ Larne L 1-255.8 1571 1445 41.22% 17.66% 41.12%+0.28 -12.7 13
1924-12-20 Glenavon W 5-037.2 1675 1424 76.09% 16.74% 7.17%+2.02 +12.1 22
1924-12-20 @ Queens Island L 0-537.2 1424 1675 7.17% 16.74% 76.09%-2.02 -12.2 10
1924-12-25 Larne W 2-039.8 1466 1458 58.38% 17.60% 24.02%+0.54 +16.0 14
1924-12-25 @ Barn L 0-239.8 1458 1466 24.02% 17.60% 58.38%-0.54 -16.0 13
1924-12-25 Lisburn Distillery W 1-045.7 1397 1493 45.26% 17.67% 37.06%-0.10 +12.3 11
1924-12-25 @ Cliftonville L 0-145.7 1493 1397 37.06% 17.67% 45.26%+0.10 -12.3 11
1924-12-25 Ards W 5-240.2 1412 1369 61.98% 17.54% 20.49%+0.75 +14.8 12
1924-12-25 @ Glenavon L 2-540.2 1369 1412 20.49% 17.54% 61.98%-0.75 -14.8 10
1924-12-25 Queens Island W 1-055.9 1648 1687 52.90% 17.66% 29.45%+0.25 +10.1 23
1924-12-25 @ Glentoran L 0-155.9 1687 1648 29.45% 17.66% 52.90%-0.25 -10.1 22
1924-12-25 Belfast Celtic L 1-254.1 1425 1586 36.20% 17.62% 46.17%-0.49 -11.4 11
1924-12-25 @ Newry Town W 2-154.1 1586 1425 46.17% 17.62% 36.20%+0.49 +11.4 17
1924-12-26 Newry Town W 4-034.4 1354 1414 50.24% 17.67% 32.09%+0.13 +39.0 12
1924-12-26 @ Ards L 0-434.4 1414 1354 32.09% 17.67% 50.24%-0.13 -39.0 11
1924-12-26 Glenavon L 2-554.1 1442 1427 59.17% 17.59% 23.24%+0.58 -37.2 13
1924-12-26 @ Larne W 5-254.1 1427 1442 23.24% 17.59% 59.17%-0.58 +37.2 14
1924-12-26 Belfast Celtic D 0-066.1 1559 1598 52.88% 17.66% 29.46%+0.25 -1.9 14
1924-12-26 @ Linfield D 0-066.1 1598 1559 29.46% 17.66% 52.88%-0.25 +1.9 18
1924-12-26 Glentoran L 1-355.1 1481 1659 33.98% 17.60% 48.42%-0.59 -18.7 11
1924-12-26 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-155.1 1659 1481 48.42% 17.60% 33.98%+0.59 +18.7 25
1924-12-26 Barn W 4-250.4 1499 1482 59.32% 17.59% 23.09%+0.59 +12.0 15
1924-12-26 @ Portadown L 2-450.4 1482 1499 23.09% 17.59% 59.32%-0.59 -12.0 14
1924-12-26 Cliftonville W 1-043.3 1677 1409 76.81% 16.64% 6.55%+2.12 +2.5 24
1924-12-26 @ Queens Island L 0-143.3 1409 1677 6.55% 16.64% 76.81%-2.12 -2.5 11
1924-12-27 Barn W 4-037.4 1393 1470 47.94% 17.68% 34.38%+0.02 +41.4 14
1924-12-27 @ Ards L 0-437.4 1470 1393 34.38% 17.68% 47.94%-0.02 -41.4 14
1924-12-27 Portadown D 0-057.8 1406 1511 44.13% 17.67% 38.20%-0.15 -0.5 12
1924-12-27 @ Cliftonville D 0-057.8 1511 1406 38.20% 17.67% 44.13%+0.15 +0.5 16
1924-12-27 Lisburn Distillery W 2-147.5 1464 1462 57.65% 17.61% 24.74%+0.50 +8.2 16
1924-12-27 @ Glenavon L 1-247.5 1462 1464 24.74% 17.61% 57.65%-0.50 -8.2 11
1924-12-27 Belfast Celtic W 4-044.7 1677 1600 65.18% 17.45% 17.37%+0.96 +22.8 27
1924-12-27 @ Glentoran L 0-444.7 1600 1677 17.37% 17.45% 65.18%-0.96 -22.8 18
1924-12-27 Queens Island L 2-367.1 1557 1680 41.60% 17.66% 40.74%-0.26 -12.1 14
1924-12-27 @ Linfield W 3-267.1 1680 1557 40.74% 17.66% 41.60%+0.26 +12.1 26
1924-12-27 Larne L 1-349.5 1375 1405 53.97% 17.65% 28.38%+0.31 -27.8 11
1924-12-27 @ Newry Town W 3-149.5 1405 1375 28.38% 17.65% 53.97%-0.31 +27.8 15
1924-12-29 Glentoran L 0-344.6 1435 1700 23.48% 17.39% 59.13%-1.13 -22.7 14
1924-12-29 @ Ards W 3-044.6 1700 1435 59.13% 17.39% 23.48%+1.13 +22.7 29
1924-12-31 Portadown W 2-151.3 1545 1512 61.01% 17.56% 21.43%+0.69 +7.2 16
1924-12-31 @ Linfield L 1-251.3 1512 1545 21.43% 17.56% 61.01%-0.69 -7.2 16
1925-01-03 Newry Town W 3-031.9 1552 1347 73.89% 16.97% 9.14%+1.74 +9.5 18
1925-01-03 @ Linfield L 0-331.9 1347 1552 9.14% 16.97% 73.89%-1.74 -9.5 11
1925-01-03 Belfast Celtic L 1-549.6 1454 1577 41.58% 17.66% 40.76%-0.26 -40.4 11
1925-01-03 @ Lisburn Distillery W 5-149.6 1577 1454 40.76% 17.66% 41.58%+0.26 +40.4 20
1925-01-03 Ards W 1-040.2 1504 1412 66.44% 17.41% 16.15%+1.05 +6.0 18
1925-01-03 @ Portadown L 0-140.2 1412 1504 16.15% 17.41% 66.44%-1.05 -6.0 14
1925-01-07 Barn W 1-041.2 1414 1429 55.73% 17.64% 26.64%+0.40 +9.3 13
1925-01-07 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-141.2 1429 1414 26.64% 17.64% 55.73%-0.40 -9.3 14
1925-01-08 Newry Town W 3-138.0 1510 1337 72.09% 17.12% 10.79%+1.54 +6.7 20
1925-01-08 @ Portadown L 1-338.0 1337 1510 10.79% 17.12% 72.09%-1.54 -6.7 11
1925-01-10 Lisburn Distillery W 3-249.9 1406 1423 55.51% 17.64% 26.85%+0.39 +8.4 16
1925-01-10 @ Ards L 2-349.9 1423 1406 26.85% 17.64% 55.51%-0.39 -8.4 13
1925-01-10 Linfield L 2-358.5 1420 1562 38.86% 17.65% 43.49%-0.37 -11.4 14
1925-01-10 @ Barn W 3-258.5 1562 1420 43.49% 17.65% 38.86%+0.37 +11.5 20
1925-01-10 Larne W 2-040.1 1617 1433 72.78% 17.06% 10.16%+1.61 +7.3 22
1925-01-10 @ Belfast Celtic L 0-240.1 1433 1617 10.16% 17.06% 72.78%-1.61 -7.3 15
1925-01-10 Glentoran W 2-166.3 1472 1723 25.07% 17.44% 57.50%-1.04 +17.0 18
1925-01-10 @ Glenavon L 1-266.3 1723 1472 57.50% 17.44% 25.07%+1.04 -17.0 29
1925-01-10 Cliftonville W 3-035.6 1331 1406 48.22% 17.68% 34.10%+0.03 +31.5 13
1925-01-10 @ Newry Town L 0-335.6 1406 1331 34.10% 17.68% 48.22%-0.03 -31.4 12
1925-01-10 Portadown D 1-171.1 1692 1517 72.20% 17.11% 10.69%+1.55 -4.9 27
1925-01-10 @ Queens Island D 1-171.1 1517 1692 10.69% 17.11% 72.20%-1.55 +4.8 21
1925-01-17 Glenavon L 0-245.9 1408 1489 47.44% 17.68% 34.89%+0.00 -28.6 14
1925-01-17 @ Barn W 2-045.9 1489 1408 34.89% 17.68% 47.44%+0.00 +28.6 20
1925-01-17 Lisburn Distillery L 1-269.3 1687 1415 76.97% 16.62% 6.41%+2.15 -23.0 27
1925-01-17 @ Queens Island W 2-169.3 1415 1687 6.41% 16.62% 76.97%-2.15 +23.0 15
1925-01-20 Queens Island L 1-448.7 1425 1664 26.45% 17.47% 56.08%-0.96 -21.3 15
1925-01-20 @ Larne W 4-148.7 1664 1425 56.08% 17.47% 26.45%+0.96 +21.3 29
1925-01-21 Cliftonville W 2-144.7 1625 1374 76.05% 16.74% 7.21%+2.01 +2.6 24
1925-01-21 @ Belfast Celtic L 1-244.7 1374 1625 7.21% 16.74% 76.05%-2.01 -2.6 12
1925-01-24 Queens Island D 1-172.6 1627 1685 50.46% 17.67% 31.87%+0.14 -1.3 25
1925-01-24 @ Belfast Celtic D 1-172.6 1685 1627 31.87% 17.67% 50.46%-0.14 +1.3 30
1925-01-24 Barn W 4-032.2 1372 1380 56.59% 17.63% 25.78%+0.44 +32.3 14
1925-01-24 @ Cliftonville L 0-432.2 1380 1372 25.78% 17.63% 56.59%-0.44 -32.3 14
1925-01-24 Newry Town W 10-234.5 1518 1362 71.01% 17.19% 11.80%+1.44 +20.5 22
1925-01-24 @ Glenavon L 2-1034.5 1362 1518 11.80% 17.19% 71.01%-1.44 -20.5 13
1925-01-24 Linfield W 4-043.5 1706 1573 69.49% 17.28% 13.24%+1.30 +17.7 31
1925-01-24 @ Glentoran L 0-443.5 1573 1706 13.24% 17.28% 69.49%-1.30 -17.7 20
1925-01-24 Ards W 5-454.4 1404 1414 56.33% 17.63% 26.04%+0.43 +7.8 17
1925-01-24 @ Larne L 4-554.4 1414 1404 26.04% 17.63% 56.33%-0.43 -7.8 16
1925-01-24 Portadown L 0-151.1 1438 1522 46.98% 17.68% 35.35%-0.02 -15.0 15
1925-01-24 @ Lisburn Distillery W 1-051.1 1522 1438 35.35% 17.68% 46.98%+0.02 +15.0 23
1925-01-28 Cliftonville W 4-139.6 1555 1404 70.74% 17.20% 12.05%+1.41 +10.5 22
1925-01-28 @ Linfield L 1-439.6 1404 1555 12.05% 17.20% 70.74%-1.41 -10.5 14
1925-01-31 Queens Island L 1-447.5 1406 1686 21.97% 17.35% 60.68%-1.22 -18.1 16
1925-01-31 @ Ards W 4-147.5 1686 1406 60.68% 17.35% 21.97%+1.22 +18.1 32
1925-01-31 Newry Town W 5-135.0 1347 1342 58.09% 17.61% 24.31%+0.52 +25.6 16
1925-01-31 @ Barn L 1-535.0 1342 1347 24.31% 17.61% 58.09%-0.52 -25.6 13
1925-01-31 Belfast Celtic L 1-262.2 1537 1626 46.34% 17.68% 35.99%-0.05 -14.0 23
1925-01-31 @ Portadown W 2-162.2 1626 1537 35.99% 17.68% 46.34%+0.05 +14.0 27
1925-02-04 Glentoran L 1-247.6 1316 1723 11.88% 16.80% 71.32%-1.99 -4.2 13
1925-02-04 @ Newry Town W 2-147.6 1723 1316 71.32% 16.80% 11.88%+1.99 +4.2 33
1925-02-05 Larne W 6-240.3 1523 1412 67.89% 17.35% 14.76%+1.16 +13.9 25
1925-02-05 @ Portadown L 2-640.3 1412 1523 14.76% 17.35% 67.89%-1.16 -13.9 17
1925-02-11 Glenavon L 0-257.2 1566 1538 60.44% 17.57% 21.99%+0.66 -35.8 22
1925-02-11 @ Linfield W 2-057.2 1538 1566 21.99% 17.57% 60.44%-0.66 +35.8 24
1925-02-16 Larne D 1-158.5 1423 1398 60.11% 17.57% 22.31%+0.64 -2.8 16
1925-02-16 @ Lisburn Distillery D 1-158.5 1398 1423 22.31% 17.57% 60.11%-0.64 +2.8 18
1925-02-18 Glenavon W 3-153.5 1394 1574 33.62% 17.60% 48.78%-0.61 +25.3 16
1925-02-18 @ Cliftonville L 1-353.5 1574 1394 48.78% 17.60% 33.62%+0.61 -25.4 24
1925-02-19 Belfast Celtic W 7-051.4 1388 1640 24.98% 17.43% 57.58%-1.04 +109.7 18
1925-02-19 @ Ards L 0-751.4 1640 1388 57.58% 17.43% 24.98%+1.04 -109.7 27
1925-03-11 Barn W 2-147.2 1728 1373 79.77% 16.11% 4.13%+2.65 +1.5 35
1925-03-11 @ Glentoran L 1-247.2 1373 1728 4.13% 16.11% 79.77%-2.65 -1.5 16
1925-03-25 Cliftonville W 1-044.8 1729 1419 78.36% 16.39% 5.24%+2.38 +2.0 37
1925-03-25 @ Glentoran L 0-144.8 1419 1729 5.24% 16.39% 78.36%-2.38 -2.0 16

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1925-01-17 6.41% Lisburn Distillery 1415 2 @ Queens Island 1687 1
2 1924-11-22 9.04% Glenavon 1416 1 @ Belfast Celtic 1623 0
3 1924-09-27 12.48% Linfield 1519 2 @ Queens Island 1663 1
4 1924-11-01 12.77% Cliftonville 1354 2 @ Barn 1494 1
5 1924-12-06 14.18% Lisburn Distillery 1473 2 @ Linfield 1592 1
6 1924-08-23 15.63% Ards 1443 1 @ Linfield 1542 0
7 1924-11-22 16.58% Newry Town 1404 3 @ Lisburn Distillery 1491 2
8 1924-11-01 16.90% Larne 1395 3 @ Ards 1478 0
9 1924-10-18 20.98% Barn 1487 2 @ Linfield 1525 1
10 1925-02-11 21.99% Glenavon 1538 2 @ Linfield 1566 0
11 1924-09-27 22.33% Glentoran 1595 1 @ Belfast Celtic 1619 0
12 1924-12-26 23.24% Glenavon 1427 5 @ Larne 1442 2
13 1924-08-30 23.27% Linfield 1521 2 @ Lisburn Distillery 1536 1
14 1925-02-19 24.98% @ Ards 1388 7 Belfast Celtic 1640 0
15 1925-01-10 25.07% @ Glenavon 1472 2 Glentoran 1723 1
16 1924-12-27 28.38% Larne 1405 3 @ Newry Town 1375 1
17 1924-12-06 30.10% Portadown 1484 2 @ Glenavon 1440 1
18 1924-09-06 32.08% Portadown 1467 2 @ Newry Town 1407 1
19 1924-08-23 33.41% Lisburn Distillery 1513 4 @ Newry Town 1444 2
20 1925-02-18 33.62% @ Cliftonville 1394 3 Glenavon 1574 1
21 1925-01-17 34.89% Glenavon 1489 2 @ Barn 1408 0
22 1925-01-24 35.35% Portadown 1522 1 @ Lisburn Distillery 1438 0
23 1925-01-31 35.99% Belfast Celtic 1626 2 @ Portadown 1537 1
24 1924-10-04 36.28% @ Newry Town 1379 1 Linfield 1540 0
25 1924-12-06 38.16% @ Barn 1453 2 Belfast Celtic 1600 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1925-02-19 109.66 @ Ards 7 1388 24.98% Belfast Celtic 0 1640 57.58% 17.43%
2 1924-11-01 56.57 Larne 3 1395 16.90% @ Ards 0 1478 65.67% 17.44%
3 1924-12-27 41.37 @ Ards 4 1393 47.94% Barn 0 1470 34.38% 17.68%
4 1925-01-03 40.37 Belfast Celtic 5 1577 40.76% @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1454 41.58% 17.66%
5 1924-12-26 39.03 @ Ards 4 1354 50.24% Newry Town 0 1414 32.09% 17.67%
6 1924-10-25 37.96 Linfield 3 1507 39.57% @ Cliftonville 0 1392 42.76% 17.67%
7 1924-12-26 37.21 Glenavon 5 1427 23.24% @ Larne 2 1442 59.17% 17.59%
8 1925-02-11 35.83 Glenavon 2 1538 21.99% @ Linfield 0 1566 60.44% 17.57%
9 1925-01-24 32.34 @ Cliftonville 4 1372 56.59% Barn 0 1380 25.78% 17.63%
10 1925-01-10 31.45 @ Newry Town 3 1331 48.22% Cliftonville 0 1406 34.10% 17.68%
11 1924-09-20 31.34 Queens Island 3 1632 48.41% @ Cliftonville 0 1454 33.99% 17.60%
12 1925-01-17 28.58 Glenavon 2 1489 34.89% @ Barn 0 1408 47.44% 17.68%
13 1924-12-27 27.82 Larne 3 1405 28.38% @ Newry Town 1 1375 53.97% 17.65%
14 1924-12-06 26.43 @ Cliftonville 3 1370 54.55% Ards 0 1395 27.81% 17.65%
15 1925-01-31 25.60 @ Barn 5 1347 58.09% Newry Town 1 1342 24.31% 17.61%
16 1925-02-18 25.35 @ Cliftonville 3 1394 33.62% Glenavon 1 1574 48.78% 17.60%
17 1924-08-30 25.02 Glentoran 2 1564 41.77% @ Larne 0 1434 40.57% 17.66%
18 1924-11-22 23.61 Linfield 2 1568 44.52% @ Ards 0 1419 37.84% 17.64%
19 1924-11-22 23.41 Glenavon 1 1416 9.04% @ Belfast Celtic 0 1623 74.00% 16.96%
20 1925-01-17 22.99 Lisburn Distillery 2 1415 6.41% @ Queens Island 1 1687 76.97% 16.62%
21 1924-08-23 22.75 Lisburn Distillery 4 1513 33.41% @ Newry Town 2 1444 48.91% 17.67%
22 1924-12-27 22.75 @ Glentoran 4 1677 65.18% Belfast Celtic 0 1600 17.37% 17.45%
23 1924-12-29 22.74 Glentoran 3 1700 59.13% @ Ards 0 1435 23.48% 17.39%
24 1924-09-20 22.71 @ Glenavon 4 1394 53.93% Larne 1 1425 28.42% 17.65%
25 1925-01-20 21.29 Queens Island 4 1664 56.08% @ Larne 1 1425 26.45% 17.47%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1924-09-20 73.7 @ Glentoran 2 1597 63.95% Lisburn Distillery 2 1534 18.56% 17.49%
2 1924-10-18 73.6 @ Portadown 2 1484 36.19% Queens Island 2 1645 46.18% 17.62%
3 1924-10-25 73.2 @ Belfast Celtic 2 1637 71.44% Ards 2 1475 11.40% 17.16%
4 1925-01-24 72.6 @ Belfast Celtic 1 1627 50.46% Queens Island 1 1685 31.87% 17.67%
5 1924-09-06 71.8 @ Cliftonville 2 1467 39.32% Belfast Celtic 2 1606 43.04% 17.65%
6 1924-09-13 71.3 @ Queens Island 1 1635 61.73% Glentoran 1 1594 20.73% 17.54%
7 1925-01-10 71.1 @ Queens Island 1 1692 72.20% Portadown 1 1517 10.69% 17.11%
8 1924-09-27 69.7 Linfield 2 1519 12.48% @ Queens Island 1 1663 70.29% 17.23%
9 1925-01-17 69.3 Lisburn Distillery 2 1415 6.41% @ Queens Island 1 1687 76.97% 16.62%
10 1924-10-04 68.0 @ Barn 1 1487 41.02% Glentoran 1 1614 41.32% 17.66%
11 1924-12-06 68.0 @ Newry Town 1 1423 24.63% Queens Island 1 1678 57.95% 17.42%
12 1924-12-27 67.1 Queens Island 3 1680 40.74% @ Linfield 2 1557 41.60% 17.66%
13 1925-01-10 66.3 @ Glenavon 2 1472 25.07% Glentoran 1 1723 57.50% 17.44%
14 1924-10-25 66.1 Queens Island 3 1645 39.47% @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1531 42.86% 17.67%
15 1924-12-26 66.1 @ Linfield 0 1559 52.88% Belfast Celtic 0 1598 29.46% 17.66%
16 1924-12-06 65.7 Lisburn Distillery 2 1473 14.18% @ Linfield 1 1592 68.50% 17.32%
17 1924-10-25 64.9 @ Larne 2 1395 46.32% Portadown 2 1484 36.01% 17.68%
18 1924-10-18 64.6 @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1534 63.87% Ards 1 1471 18.64% 17.49%
19 1924-09-06 64.4 @ Barn 1 1482 53.21% Lisburn Distillery 1 1519 29.14% 17.66%
20 1924-08-30 64.1 @ Belfast Celtic 0 1611 69.55% Barn 0 1477 13.18% 17.27%
21 1924-08-23 64.0 @ Barn 0 1477 39.94% Queens Island 0 1612 42.41% 17.65%
22 1924-11-22 63.5 Newry Town 3 1404 16.58% @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1491 66.00% 17.42%
23 1924-09-27 63.2 Glentoran 1 1595 22.33% @ Belfast Celtic 0 1619 60.10% 17.57%
24 1924-11-01 63.1 @ Newry Town 2 1388 52.82% Glenavon 2 1427 29.52% 17.66%
25 1924-08-30 62.7 Linfield 2 1521 23.27% @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1536 59.14% 17.59%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1925-01-03 31.9 @ Linfield 3 1552 73.89% Newry Town 0 1347 9.14% 16.97%
2 1925-01-24 32.2 @ Cliftonville 4 1372 56.59% Barn 0 1380 25.78% 17.63%
3 1924-12-06 34.2 @ Cliftonville 3 1370 54.55% Ards 0 1395 27.81% 17.65%
4 1924-12-26 34.4 @ Ards 4 1354 50.24% Newry Town 0 1414 32.09% 17.67%
5 1925-01-24 34.5 @ Glenavon 10 1518 71.01% Newry Town 2 1362 11.80% 17.19%
6 1925-01-31 35.0 @ Barn 5 1347 58.09% Newry Town 1 1342 24.31% 17.61%
7 1924-09-27 35.4 @ Lisburn Distillery 3 1536 68.51% Glenavon 0 1417 14.17% 17.32%
8 1925-01-10 35.6 @ Newry Town 3 1331 48.22% Cliftonville 0 1406 34.10% 17.68%
9 1924-09-27 36.2 @ Larne 2 1402 58.25% Newry Town 0 1395 24.15% 17.60%
10 1924-09-13 36.6 @ Ards 2 1468 63.61% Glenavon 0 1407 18.89% 17.50%
11 1924-10-04 37.1 @ Glenavon 2 1403 56.47% Cliftonville 0 1412 25.90% 17.63%
12 1924-12-20 37.2 @ Queens Island 5 1675 76.09% Glenavon 0 1424 7.17% 16.74%
13 1924-12-27 37.4 @ Ards 4 1393 47.94% Barn 0 1470 34.38% 17.68%
14 1925-01-08 38.0 @ Portadown 3 1510 72.09% Newry Town 1 1337 10.79% 17.12%
15 1924-08-30 39.1 @ Queens Island 6 1611 73.11% Newry Town 1 1421 9.85% 17.04%
16 1925-01-28 39.6 @ Linfield 4 1555 70.74% Cliftonville 1 1404 12.05% 17.20%
17 1924-12-25 39.8 @ Barn 2 1466 58.38% Larne 0 1458 24.02% 17.60%
18 1924-09-13 39.9 @ Belfast Celtic 4 1606 74.34% Newry Town 1 1392 8.73% 16.93%
19 1925-01-10 40.1 @ Belfast Celtic 2 1617 72.78% Larne 0 1433 10.16% 17.06%
20 1924-09-20 40.2 @ Glenavon 4 1394 53.93% Larne 1 1425 28.42% 17.65%
21 1924-12-25 40.2 @ Glenavon 5 1412 61.98% Ards 2 1369 20.49% 17.54%
22 1925-01-03 40.2 @ Portadown 1 1504 66.44% Ards 0 1412 16.15% 17.41%
23 1925-02-05 40.3 @ Portadown 6 1523 67.89% Larne 2 1412 14.76% 17.35%
24 1924-09-13 40.7 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1520 62.94% Cliftonville 0 1467 19.55% 17.51%
25 1924-10-25 41.2 @ Glentoran 6 1617 74.71% Newry Town 2 1396 8.39% 16.89%