1939-40 Irish League Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Belfast Celtic

45 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Glentoran

6.05 points above expected

39 points · 32.95 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Cliftonville

7.12 points below expected

7 points · 14.12 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Belfast Celtic	26	20	5	1	45	91	18	+73	42.32	+2.68
2	Portadown	26	18	5	3	41	86	37	+49	36.46	+4.54
3	Glentoran	26	19	1	6	39	104	46	+58	32.95	+6.05
4	Ballymena United	26	15	4	7	34	82	52	+30	30.74	+3.26
5	Linfield	26	14	5	7	33	63	47	+16	31.92	+1.08
6	Derry City	26	14	2	10	30	73	46	+27	30.88	-0.88
7	Glenavon	26	13	3	10	29	69	68	+1	27.37	+1.63
8	Coleraine	26	11	2	13	24	47	68	-21	17.97	+6.03
9	Ards	26	9	2	15	20	49	72	-23	21.88	-1.88
10	Bangor	26	8	3	15	19	44	77	-33	20.12	-1.12
11	Lisburn Distillery	26	6	3	17	15	53	70	-17	20.34	-5.34
12	Newry Town	26	5	5	16	15	32	86	-54	21.05	-6.05
13	Larne	26	4	5	17	13	36	83	-47	15.88	-2.88
14	Cliftonville	26	3	1	22	7	40	99	-59	14.12	-7.12

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Glentoran	39	32.95	+6.05
2	Coleraine	24	17.97	+6.03
3	Portadown	41	36.46	+4.54
4	Ballymena United	34	30.74	+3.26
5	Belfast Celtic	45	42.32	+2.68

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Cliftonville	7	14.12	-7.12
2	Newry Town	15	21.05	-6.05
3	Lisburn Distillery	15	20.34	-5.34
4	Larne	13	15.88	-2.88
5	Ards	20	21.88	-1.88

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Glentoran	9	Nov 25 – Jan 6	1 in 581
2	Portadown	9	Mar 9 – Apr 24	1 in 89
3	Belfast Celtic	9	Dec 23 – Feb 10	1 in 28
4	Cliftonville	2	Jan 13 – Jan 27	1 in 22
5	Ards	4	Dec 16 – Dec 26	1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Portadown	2	Feb 24 – Mar 2	1 in 20
2	Cliftonville	8	Mar 9 – Apr 13	1 in 19
3	Ards	4	Dec 30 – Jan 27	1 in 16
4	Linfield	2	Dec 16 – Dec 23	1 in 9
5	Glenavon	3	Mar 7 – Mar 13	1 in 9

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Portadown	12	Nov 11 – Jan 13	1 in 62
2	Glentoran	9	Nov 25 – Jan 6	1 in 56
3	Belfast Celtic	18	Nov 11 – Mar 2	1 in 24
4	Linfield	8	Jan 13 – Mar 9	1 in 20
5	Glenavon	7	Nov 11 – Dec 23	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Newry Town	11	Dec 2 – Feb 3	1 in 164
2	Lisburn Distillery	9	Dec 16 – Feb 3	1 in 40
3	Cliftonville	12	Oct 28 – Jan 6	1 in 27
4	Belfast Celtic	2	Mar 9 – Mar 16	1 in 19
5	Portadown	3	Jan 13 – Feb 10	1 in 18

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Belfast Celtic	1935	45	+33	9	8.7	+0.3
Portadown	1847	41	+124	10	7.8	+2.2
Glentoran	1755	39	+67	8	7.8	+0.2
Ballymena United	1651	34	-17	5	5.0	+0.0
Linfield	1583	33	-87	5	5.5	-0.5
Derry City	1661	30	+3	6	5.1	+0.9
Glenavon	1455	29	-18	4	3.9	+0.1
Coleraine	1381	24	+44	7	4.6	+2.4
Ards	1310	20	+18	4	3.0	+1.0
Bangor	1332	19	-28	2	3.3	-1.3
Lisburn Distillery	1399	15	+71	6	5.3	+0.7
Newry Town	1265	15	-100	3	4.5	-1.5
Larne	1245	13	-36	3	3.8	-0.8
Cliftonville	1182	7	-34	0	1.8	-1.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ARD	BU	BAN	BC	CLI	COL	DC	GLE	GLE	LAR	LIN	LD	NT	POR
Ards	—	0-0-2 1.87	2-0-0 2.88	0-1-1 0.92	2-0-0 3.92	1-0-1 3.11	0-0-2 1.91	0-0-2 2.24	1-0-1 0.82	1-0-1 4.19	0-0-2 1.95	1-0-1 3.18	0-1-1 2.86	1-0-1 1.39
Ballymena United	2-0-0 3.87	—	1-1-0 3.81	0-1-1 1.55	2-0-0 4.85	2-0-0 4.39	1-0-1 2.48	0-1-1 3.13	0-0-2 2.67	2-0-0 4.71	1-0-1 2.61	1-1-0 3.74	2-0-0 4.15	1-0-1 2.31
Bangor	0-0-2 2.85	0-1-1 1.93	—	0-0-2 0.53	2-0-0 3.74	1-0-1 3.13	0-0-2 1.40	1-0-1 1.83	0-0-2 1.65	1-1-0 3.52	1-1-0 1.46	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.41	0-0-2 1.01
Belfast Celtic	1-1-0 4.82	1-1-0 4.19	2-0-0 5.21	—	2-0-0 4.99	2-0-0 5.14	1-1-0 4.31	2-0-0 4.95	2-0-0 4.17	1-1-0 5.28	2-0-0 3.96	2-0-0 5.19	2-0-0 4.67	0-1-1 4.18
Cliftonville	0-0-2 1.81	0-0-2 0.89	0-0-2 1.99	0-0-2 0.76	—	0-0-2 2.59	1-0-1 0.71	0-0-2 1.25	0-0-2 0.54	0-1-1 2.80	0-0-2 0.96	1-0-1 2.06	1-0-1 1.82	0-0-2 0.68
Coleraine	1-0-1 2.63	0-0-2 1.34	1-0-1 2.60	0-0-2 0.60	2-0-0 3.14	—	1-1-0 1.17	0-0-2 1.68	0-0-2 1.65	2-0-0 3.25	0-0-2 1.37	2-0-0 2.63	1-1-0 3.15	1-0-1 0.84
Derry City	2-0-0 3.82	1-0-1 3.26	2-0-0 4.34	0-1-1 1.42	1-0-1 5.04	0-1-1 4.57	—	2-0-0 3.47	1-0-1 2.59	2-0-0 4.64	0-0-2 2.84	2-0-0 4.64	1-0-1 3.83	0-0-2 2.20
Glenavon	2-0-0 3.49	1-1-0 2.60	1-0-1 3.90	0-0-2 0.79	2-0-0 4.49	2-0-0 4.05	0-0-2 2.26	—	1-0-1 2.09	2-0-0 3.65	0-2-0 2.35	1-0-1 4.06	1-0-1 3.54	0-0-2 1.53
Glentoran	1-0-1 4.92	2-0-0 3.07	2-0-0 4.08	0-0-2 1.57	2-0-0 5.21	2-0-0 4.08	1-0-1 3.14	1-0-1 3.65	—	2-0-0 4.03	2-0-0 2.80	2-0-0 4.11	2-0-0 4.63	0-1-1 2.27
Larne	1-0-1 1.54	0-0-2 1.03	0-1-1 2.22	0-1-1 0.47	1-1-0 2.93	0-0-2 2.48	0-0-2 1.10	0-0-2 2.08	0-0-2 1.71	—	0-1-1 0.74	1-0-1 2.01	1-1-0 2.08	0-0-2 0.77
Linfield	2-0-0 3.78	1-0-1 3.12	0-1-1 4.28	0-0-2 1.78	2-0-0 4.79	2-0-0 4.37	2-0-0 2.89	0-2-0 3.38	0-0-2 2.94	1-1-0 5.00	—	2-0-0 3.85	2-0-0 4.11	0-1-1 2.35
Lisburn Distillery	1-0-1 2.55	0-1-1 1.99	1-0-1 2.87	0-0-2 0.56	1-0-1 3.67	0-0-2 3.10	0-0-2 1.10	1-0-1 1.67	0-0-2 1.62	1-0-1 3.73	0-0-2 1.89	—	1-1-0 2.82	0-1-1 1.10
Newry Town	1-1-0 2.88	0-0-2 1.58	1-0-1 3.33	0-0-2 1.07	1-0-1 3.91	0-1-1 2.58	1-0-1 1.91	1-0-1 2.20	0-0-2 1.11	0-1-1 3.66	0-0-2 1.62	0-1-1 2.91	—	0-1-1 1.37
Portadown	1-0-1 4.35	1-0-1 3.42	2-0-0 4.73	1-1-0 1.56	2-0-0 5.07	1-0-1 4.90	2-0-0 3.53	2-0-0 4.20	1-1-0 3.46	2-0-0 4.97	1-1-0 3.38	1-1-0 4.64	1-1-0 4.36	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.83	+4.7
Allowed	0.91	-5.1
Differential	0.93	+2.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.20%	2.75%	2.47%	2.20%	1.65%	3.85%	15.11%
1	2.75%	4.95%	4.40%	6.32%	2.75%	5.22%	26.37%
2	2.47%	4.40%	1.65%	3.02%	3.02%	4.12%	18.68%
3	2.20%	6.32%	3.02%	3.30%	0.82%	0.55%	16.21%
4	1.65%	2.75%	3.02%	0.82%	—	0.55%	8.79%
5+	3.85%	5.22%	4.12%	0.55%	0.55%	0.55%	14.84%
Total	15.11%	26.37%	18.68%	16.21%	8.79%	14.84%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.39	2.39	+0.00
SD	2.02	2.02	3.26
CV	0.85	0.85	—
Max	12	12	+12
Min	0	0	-12

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	26.92%
1	—	3.85%	—	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	26.92%
2	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	15.38%
3	—	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
Total	3.85%	30.77%	11.54%	23.08%	15.38%	15.38%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.88	2.77	-0.88
SD	1.90	1.88	3.12
CV	1.01	0.68	—
Max	7	8	+6
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
2	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	38.46%
3	—	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
5+	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
Total	19.23%	23.08%	23.08%	15.38%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.15	2.00	+1.15
SD	1.76	1.55	2.74
CV	0.56	0.77	—
Max	8	5	+6
Min	1	0	-4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	15.38%
1	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	15.38%	—	11.54%	42.31%
2	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%	19.23%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	7.69%	23.08%	15.38%	19.23%	3.85%	30.77%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.69	2.96	-1.27
SD	1.38	1.99	2.91
CV	0.81	0.67	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
1	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
2	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
3	15.38%	11.54%	—	7.69%	—	—	34.62%
4	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
Total	57.69%	23.08%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.50	0.69	+2.81
SD	2.61	0.97	2.74
CV	0.75	1.40	—
Max	12	3	+12
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
1	—	—	7.69%	15.38%	7.69%	15.38%	46.15%
2	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	23.08%
3	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	—	11.54%	19.23%	23.08%	15.38%	30.77%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.54	3.81	-2.27
SD	1.42	2.10	2.63
CV	0.92	0.55	—
Max	7	8	+5
Min	0	1	-7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	19.23%
1	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	30.77%
2	—	11.54%	—	—	7.69%	—	19.23%
3	—	15.38%	—	—	—	3.85%	19.23%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	7.69%
Total	7.69%	42.31%	—	11.54%	23.08%	15.38%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.81	2.62	-0.81
SD	1.47	2.02	2.68
CV	0.81	0.77	—
Max	5	7	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
1	3.85%	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	26.92%
2	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
3	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	19.23%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	7.69%	3.85%	15.38%	—	—	—	26.92%
Total	19.23%	26.92%	34.62%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.81	1.77	+1.04
SD	2.61	1.50	3.27
CV	0.93	0.85	—
Max	9	6	+9
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	7.69%	15.38%
1	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%	11.54%
2	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	30.77%
3	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
5+	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	19.23%
Total	15.38%	23.08%	15.38%	19.23%	7.69%	19.23%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.65	2.62	+0.04
SD	2.02	2.23	3.55
CV	0.76	0.85	—
Max	8	9	+7
Min	0	0	-9

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	7.69%	—	—	7.69%
1	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
2	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	23.08%
3	—	—	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	23.08%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	38.46%
Total	11.54%	30.77%	34.62%	15.38%	7.69%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	4.00	1.77	+2.23
SD	2.50	1.11	3.00
CV	0.62	0.63	—
Max	9	4	+8
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	7.69%	23.08%
1	3.85%	11.54%	—	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	34.62%
2	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	7.69%	15.38%	30.77%
3	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.54%	23.08%	7.69%	15.38%	11.54%	30.77%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.38	3.19	-1.81
SD	1.13	2.38	2.65
CV	0.82	0.75	—
Max	4	8	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	7.69%	—	—	7.69%	15.38%
1	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
2	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
3	3.85%	15.38%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	30.77%
4	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	7.69%	—	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
Total	15.38%	38.46%	19.23%	15.38%	—	11.54%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.42	1.81	+0.62
SD	1.68	1.50	2.48
CV	0.69	0.83	—
Max	6	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%	—	11.54%
1	—	7.69%	11.54%	19.23%	3.85%	—	42.31%
2	—	—	—	7.69%	—	7.69%	15.38%
3	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
4	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
5+	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	3.85%	23.08%	19.23%	30.77%	11.54%	11.54%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.04	2.69	-0.65
SD	1.73	1.64	2.70
CV	0.85	0.61	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	11.54%	23.08%
1	—	19.23%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	46.15%
2	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	15.38%
3	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.54%	26.92%	11.54%	15.38%	11.54%	23.08%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.23	3.31	-2.08
SD	0.99	3.11	3.58
CV	0.81	0.94	—
Max	3	12	+3
Min	0	0	-12

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
1	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	23.08%
2	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
3	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
4	—	—	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
5+	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
Total	26.92%	23.08%	38.46%	7.69%	—	3.85%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.31	1.42	+1.88
SD	2.04	1.21	2.23
CV	0.62	0.85	—
Max	7	5	+7
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Belfast Celtic	1935	45	42.32	+2.68	83.0%	34	37	40	42	44	47	50
Portadown	1847	41	36.46	+4.54	93.0%	28	30	35	37	39	42	44
Glentoran	1755	39	32.95	+6.05	92.0%	25	26	30	33	36	42	43
Derry City	1661	30	30.88	-0.88	44.0%	19	22	28	31	33	39	44
Ballymena United	1651	34	30.74	+3.26	81.0%	21	23	28	31	34	37	41
Linfield	1583	33	31.92	+1.08	68.0%	25	26	29	32	34	38	41
Glenavon	1455	29	27.37	+1.63	76.0%	18	21	25	27	29	34	38
Lisburn Distillery	1399	15	20.34	-5.34	10.0%	12	14	18	20	23	27	30
Coleraine	1381	24	17.97	+6.03	95.0%	9	11	15	18	20	24	30
Bangor	1332	19	20.12	-1.12	42.0%	11	13	18	20	23	26	31
Ards	1310	20	21.88	-1.88	40.0%	14	16	19	21	25	28	32
Newry Town	1265	15	21.05	-6.05	7.0%	14	15	18	21	23	28	28
Larne	1245	13	15.88	-2.88	21.0%	7	9	14	16	18	22	25
Cliftonville	1182	7	14.12	-7.12	6.0%	5	7	12	14	16	21	26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+29.12%

Strong Edge

58.24%12.64%29.12%

Elo Value

Home Edge

131 Elo

0.008 goals per Elo point

0104.19400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+1.12 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.80+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.5

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

82%

Belfast Celtic, 1st of 14

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.15/gm

Tight Race

00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.13 * Some Luck: 3.13 to 4.7 * Lucky: 4.7 to 6.26 * Wild Swing: 6.26 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.1 * Close: 1.1 to 1.65 * Off: 1.65 to 2.21 * Way Off: 2.21 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

4.18 points

Some Luck

03.9110

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

Pinpoint

01.383

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 96.43%

95.00%

Coleraine

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 3.57%

6.00%

Cliftonville

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 14

Minimal Outliers

01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.25

Top-Heavy

00.190.250.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 239.04

2.44

Wide Separation

11.852.253

Interquartile Edge

88%

Wide Edge

50%70%81%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 99%

99%

Dominant

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

36%

Few

0%35%100%

Blowouts

Expected

40%

Very Frequent

0%45%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.42

Highly Predictable

00.462

Matchup Imbalance

0.55

Lopsided

00.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.17

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.76

Strong Carryover

00.470.620.761

Upset Rate

Expected

17%

Chalky

0%20%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

15%

Solid Favorites

0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.

Probability calibration

0.54

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.31

Very Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.097

Well Within Noise

00.1070.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Belfast Celtic	82.00%	15.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Portadown	9.00%	52.00%	17.00%	9.00%	8.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Glentoran	4.00%	13.00%	30.00%	17.00%	19.00%	7.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Ballymena United	1.00%	4.00%	15.00%	23.00%	20.00%	17.00%	10.00%	5.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Linfield	2.00%	9.00%	15.00%	23.00%	22.00%	19.00%	7.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Derry City	2.00%	6.00%	18.00%	20.00%	18.00%	19.00%	9.00%	2.00%	4.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Glenavon	—	1.00%	4.00%	6.00%	9.00%	27.00%	24.00%	18.00%	8.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Coleraine	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	7.00%	8.00%	15.00%	22.00%	18.00%	14.00%	12.00%
Ards	—	—	—	1.00%	—	2.00%	15.00%	17.00%	15.00%	19.00%	17.00%	11.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Bangor	—	—	—	—	1.00%	—	5.00%	14.00%	18.00%	17.00%	11.00%	20.00%	10.00%	4.00%
Lisburn Distillery	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	9.00%	13.00%	20.00%	19.00%	14.00%	11.00%	8.00%	4.00%
Newry Town	—	—	—	—	—	3.00%	8.00%	16.00%	17.00%	16.00%	18.00%	12.00%	9.00%	1.00%
Larne	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	4.00%	2.00%	8.00%	8.00%	21.00%	29.00%	28.00%
Cliftonville	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	3.00%	7.00%	7.00%	28.00%	50.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level
Ards	100%
Ballymena United	100%
Bangor	100%
Belfast Celtic	100%
Cliftonville	100%
Coleraine	100%
Derry City	100%
Glenavon	100%
Glentoran	100%
Larne	100%
Linfield	100%
Lisburn Distillery	100%
Newry Town	100%
Portadown	100%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1939-10-28	Cliftonville	W 1-0	36.2	1396	1352	67.52%	13.34%	19.14%	+1.13	+8.2	2
1939-10-28	@ Larne	L 0-1	36.2	1352	1396	19.14%	13.34%	67.52%	-1.13	-8.2	0
1939-11-11	Cliftonville	W 3-1	37.1	1454	1344	72.84%	13.27%	13.89%	+1.64	+9.9	2
1939-11-11	@ Ards	L 1-3	37.1	1344	1454	13.89%	13.27%	72.84%	-1.64	-9.9	0
1939-11-11	Glentoran	W 4-2	52.5	1716	1499	78.90%	13.10%	7.99%	+2.45	+5.2	2
1939-11-11	@ Belfast Celtic	L 2-4	52.5	1499	1716	7.99%	13.10%	78.90%	-2.45	-5.2	0
1939-11-11	Bangor	W 5-1	39.2	1345	1424	53.92%	13.40%	32.68%	+0.19	+39.8	2
1939-11-11	@ Coleraine	L 1-5	39.2	1424	1345	32.68%	13.40%	53.92%	-0.19	-39.8	0
1939-11-11	Glenavon	L 0-5	43.7	1405	1469	55.73%	13.40%	30.87%	+0.30	-94.7	2
1939-11-11	@ Larne	W 5-0	43.7	1469	1405	30.87%	13.40%	55.73%	-0.30	+94.7	2
1939-11-11	Linfield	L 1-3	57.3	1487	1603	49.00%	13.40%	37.59%	-0.09	-31.1	0
1939-11-11	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 3-1	57.3	1603	1487	37.59%	13.40%	49.00%	+0.09	+31.1	2
1939-11-11	Derry City	W 2-0	51.4	1492	1619	47.50%	13.40%	39.10%	-0.17	+29.5	2
1939-11-11	@ Newry Town	L 0-2	51.4	1619	1492	39.10%	13.40%	47.50%	+0.17	-29.5	0
1939-11-11	Ballymena United	W 4-2	54.0	1598	1547	68.17%	13.33%	18.49%	+1.19	+11.6	2
1939-11-11	@ Portadown	L 2-4	54.0	1547	1598	18.49%	13.33%	68.17%	-1.19	-11.6	0
1939-11-18	Larne	W 5-1	33.4	1535	1310	79.27%	13.09%	7.64%	+2.52	+10.2	2
1939-11-18	@ Ballymena United	L 1-5	33.4	1310	1535	7.64%	13.09%	79.27%	-2.52	-10.2	2
1939-11-18	Newry Town	W 4-1	46.6	1384	1521	45.96%	13.40%	40.64%	-0.26	+37.3	2
1939-11-18	@ Bangor	L 1-4	46.6	1521	1384	40.64%	13.40%	45.96%	+0.26	-37.3	2
1939-11-18	Belfast Celtic	L 0-7	38.4	1334	1721	16.60%	13.17%	70.23%	-2.16	-43.4	0
1939-11-18	@ Cliftonville	W 7-0	38.4	1721	1334	70.23%	13.17%	16.60%	+2.16	+43.4	4
1939-11-18	Ards	W 6-2	45.6	1589	1464	73.88%	13.25%	12.87%	+1.75	+14.3	2
1939-11-18	@ Derry City	L 2-6	45.6	1464	1589	12.87%	13.25%	73.88%	-1.75	-14.3	2
1939-11-18	Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	45.8	1564	1456	72.73%	13.27%	14.00%	+1.62	+5.8	4
1939-11-18	@ Glenavon	L 1-2	45.8	1456	1564	14.00%	13.27%	72.73%	-1.62	-5.8	0
1939-11-18	Portadown	L 0-3	52.2	1494	1610	49.00%	13.40%	37.59%	-0.09	-52.2	0
1939-11-18	@ Glentoran	W 3-0	52.2	1610	1494	37.59%	13.40%	49.00%	+0.09	+52.2	4
1939-11-18	Coleraine	W 3-1	42.0	1634	1384	80.23%	13.04%	6.73%	+2.70	+4.9	4
1939-11-18	@ Linfield	L 1-3	42.0	1384	1634	6.73%	13.04%	80.23%	-2.70	-4.9	2
1939-11-25	Linfield	W 2-0	53.5	1421	1639	34.79%	13.37%	51.84%	-0.87	+37.8	4
1939-11-25	@ Bangor	L 0-2	53.5	1639	1421	51.84%	13.37%	34.79%	+0.87	-37.8	4
1939-11-25	Derry City	W 3-0	45.7	1765	1603	76.09%	13.20%	10.71%	+2.03	+13.0	6
1939-11-25	@ Belfast Celtic	L 0-3	45.7	1603	1765	10.71%	13.20%	76.09%	-2.03	-13.0	2
1939-11-25	Glenavon	L 1-4	47.5	1379	1570	38.49%	13.38%	48.13%	-0.66	-35.6	2
1939-11-25	@ Coleraine	W 4-1	47.5	1570	1379	48.13%	13.38%	38.49%	+0.66	+35.6	6
1939-11-25	Glentoran	L 0-2	41.9	1300	1442	45.36%	13.40%	41.24%	-0.29	-33.5	2
1939-11-25	@ Larne	W 2-0	41.9	1442	1300	41.24%	13.40%	45.36%	+0.29	+33.5	2
1939-11-25	Ballymena United	D 3-3	71.6	1450	1545	51.75%	13.41%	34.84%	+0.07	-1.0	1
1939-11-25	@ Lisburn Distillery	D 3-3	71.6	1545	1450	34.84%	13.41%	51.75%	-0.07	+0.9	3
1939-11-25	Ards	W 2-0	39.3	1484	1450	66.64%	13.35%	20.02%	+1.06	+16.1	4
1939-11-25	@ Newry Town	L 0-2	39.3	1450	1484	20.02%	13.35%	66.64%	-1.06	-16.1	2
1939-11-25	Cliftonville	W 6-2	38.9	1662	1291	83.77%	12.76%	3.47%	+3.63	+4.0	6
1939-11-25	@ Portadown	L 2-6	38.9	1291	1662	3.47%	12.76%	83.77%	-3.63	-4.0	0
1939-12-02	Belfast Celtic	D 3-3	78.5	1434	1778	20.34%	13.24%	66.42%	-1.83	+2.7	3
1939-12-02	@ Ards	D 3-3	78.5	1778	1434	66.42%	13.24%	20.34%	+1.83	-2.7	7
1939-12-02	Coleraine	W 6-1	33.9	1546	1344	78.24%	13.13%	8.63%	+2.34	+14.0	5
1939-12-02	@ Ballymena United	L 1-6	33.9	1344	1546	8.63%	13.13%	78.24%	-2.34	-14.0	2
1939-12-02	Larne	D 3-3	62.5	1287	1266	65.34%	13.36%	21.30%	+0.96	-2.6	1
1939-12-02	@ Cliftonville	D 3-3	62.5	1266	1287	21.30%	13.36%	65.34%	-0.96	+2.6	3
1939-12-02	Portadown	L 3-5	70.7	1590	1666	54.40%	13.40%	32.19%	+0.22	-29.0	2
1939-12-02	@ Derry City	W 5-3	70.7	1666	1590	32.19%	13.40%	54.40%	-0.22	+29.0	8
1939-12-02	Bangor	W 6-2	45.6	1605	1459	75.23%	13.22%	11.55%	+1.91	+12.9	8
1939-12-02	@ Glenavon	L 2-6	45.6	1459	1605	11.55%	13.22%	75.23%	-1.91	-12.9	4
1939-12-02	Lisburn Distillery	W 6-2	43.2	1475	1449	65.85%	13.35%	20.79%	+1.00	+22.4	4
1939-12-02	@ Glentoran	L 2-6	43.2	1449	1475	20.79%	13.35%	65.85%	-1.00	-22.4	1
1939-12-02	Newry Town	W 3-0	41.7	1601	1500	72.17%	13.28%	14.55%	+1.56	+17.4	6
1939-12-02	@ Linfield	L 0-3	41.7	1500	1601	14.55%	13.28%	72.17%	-1.56	-17.4	4
1939-12-09	Ballymena United	D 2-2	67.9	1446	1560	49.21%	13.41%	37.38%	-0.08	-0.8	5
1939-12-09	@ Bangor	D 2-2	67.9	1560	1446	37.38%	13.41%	49.21%	+0.08	+0.8	6
1939-12-09	Glentoran	L 3-7	48.7	1330	1497	41.67%	13.39%	44.93%	-0.49	-38.1	2
1939-12-09	@ Coleraine	W 7-3	48.7	1497	1330	44.93%	13.39%	41.67%	+0.49	+38.2	6
1939-12-09	Derry City	L 2-8	38.7	1269	1562	25.58%	13.30%	61.12%	-1.44	-38.3	3
1939-12-09	@ Larne	W 8-2	38.7	1562	1269	61.12%	13.30%	25.58%	+1.44	+38.2	4
1939-12-09	Glenavon	D 5-5	84.4	1618	1618	63.21%	13.37%	23.42%	+0.80	-1.8	7
1939-12-09	@ Linfield	D 5-5	84.4	1618	1618	23.42%	13.37%	63.21%	-0.80	+1.8	9
1939-12-09	Cliftonville	W 4-1	33.4	1427	1284	74.97%	13.23%	11.80%	+1.88	+12.0	3
1939-12-09	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 1-4	33.4	1284	1427	11.80%	13.23%	74.97%	-1.88	-12.0	1
1939-12-09	Belfast Celtic	L 0-1	53.0	1483	1775	25.68%	13.30%	61.02%	-1.43	-10.7	4
1939-12-09	@ Newry Town	W 1-0	53.0	1775	1483	61.02%	13.30%	25.68%	+1.43	+10.7	9
1939-12-09	Ards	W 3-1	45.8	1695	1436	80.57%	13.02%	6.41%	+2.77	+4.7	10
1939-12-09	@ Portadown	L 1-3	45.8	1436	1695	6.41%	13.02%	80.57%	-2.77	-4.7	3
1939-12-16	Larne	W 7-1	28.6	1432	1230	78.18%	13.13%	8.69%	+2.33	+16.7	5
1939-12-16	@ Ards	L 1-7	28.6	1230	1432	8.69%	13.13%	78.18%	-2.33	-16.7	3
1939-12-16	Linfield	W 2-1	55.6	1561	1616	56.91%	13.40%	29.69%	+0.37	+11.5	8
1939-12-16	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	55.6	1616	1561	29.69%	13.40%	56.91%	-0.37	-11.5	7
1939-12-16	Portadown	D 0-0	71.2	1786	1699	71.08%	13.30%	15.62%	+1.45	-5.9	10
1939-12-16	@ Belfast Celtic	D 0-0	71.2	1699	1786	15.62%	13.30%	71.08%	-1.45	+5.9	11
1939-12-16	Coleraine	L 1-2	49.9	1272	1292	61.12%	13.38%	25.49%	+0.65	-22.1	1
1939-12-16	@ Cliftonville	W 2-1	49.9	1292	1272	25.49%	13.38%	61.12%	-0.65	+22.1	4
1939-12-16	Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	45.4	1600	1439	76.10%	13.20%	10.70%	+2.03	+4.5	6
1939-12-16	@ Derry City	L 1-2	45.4	1439	1600	10.70%	13.20%	76.10%	-2.03	-4.5	3
1939-12-16	Newry Town	W 2-0	42.5	1620	1472	75.32%	13.22%	11.46%	+1.93	+9.5	11
1939-12-16	@ Glenavon	L 0-2	42.5	1472	1620	11.46%	13.22%	75.32%	-1.93	-9.5	4
1939-12-16	Bangor	W 5-1	40.2	1536	1445	71.41%	13.29%	15.30%	+1.49	+19.8	8
1939-12-16	@ Glentoran	L 1-5	40.2	1445	1536	15.30%	13.29%	71.41%	-1.49	-19.8	5
1939-12-23	Cliftonville	W 3-1	33.9	1425	1250	76.87%	13.18%	9.95%	+2.13	+7.2	7
1939-12-23	@ Bangor	L 1-3	33.9	1250	1425	9.95%	13.18%	76.87%	-2.13	-7.2	1
1939-12-23	Derry City	W 2-1	56.1	1314	1604	25.85%	13.30%	60.85%	-1.42	+22.0	6
1939-12-23	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	56.1	1604	1314	60.85%	13.30%	25.85%	+1.42	-22.0	6
1939-12-23	Ballymena United	W 4-2	55.3	1630	1573	68.67%	13.33%	18.00%	+1.23	+11.3	13
1939-12-23	@ Glenavon	L 2-4	55.3	1573	1630	18.00%	13.33%	68.67%	-1.23	-11.3	8
1939-12-23	Belfast Celtic	L 0-2	37.3	1214	1780	6.62%	12.79%	80.59%	-3.53	-5.6	3
1939-12-23	@ Larne	W 2-0	37.3	1780	1214	80.59%	12.79%	6.62%	+3.53	+5.6	12
1939-12-23	Glentoran	L 1-2	66.6	1605	1555	68.01%	13.34%	18.65%	+1.17	-24.7	7
1939-12-23	@ Linfield	W 2-1	66.6	1555	1605	18.65%	13.34%	68.01%	-1.17	+24.6	10
1939-12-23	Ards	L 1-2	55.2	1434	1448	61.68%	13.38%	24.94%	+0.69	-22.3	3
1939-12-23	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 2-1	55.2	1448	1434	24.94%	13.38%	61.68%	-0.69	+22.3	7
1939-12-23	Portadown	D 1-1	69.6	1463	1705	31.53%	13.35%	55.12%	-1.06	+2.2	5
1939-12-23	@ Newry Town	D 1-1	69.6	1705	1463	55.12%	13.35%	31.53%	+1.06	-2.1	12
1939-12-25	Coleraine	W 5-0	28.8	1471	1336	74.52%	13.24%	12.25%	+1.83	+23.7	9
1939-12-25	@ Ards	L 0-5	28.8	1336	1471	12.25%	13.24%	74.52%	-1.83	-23.7	6
1939-12-25	Newry Town	W 8-2	42.1	1561	1465	71.88%	13.29%	14.83%	+1.53	+23.1	10
1939-12-25	@ Ballymena United	L 2-8	42.1	1465	1561	14.83%	13.29%	71.88%	-1.53	-23.1	5
1939-12-25	Lisburn Distillery	W 4-0	39.4	1785	1412	83.83%	12.75%	3.42%	+3.65	+5.5	14
1939-12-25	@ Belfast Celtic	L 0-4	39.4	1412	1785	3.42%	12.75%	83.83%	-3.65	-5.5	3
1939-12-25	Linfield	L 1-6	35.8	1243	1580	20.99%	13.25%	65.77%	-1.78	-32.5	1
1939-12-25	@ Cliftonville	W 6-1	35.8	1580	1243	65.77%	13.25%	20.99%	+1.78	+32.5	9
1939-12-25	Bangor	W 5-2	45.6	1582	1433	75.42%	13.22%	11.36%	+1.94	+10.0	8
1939-12-25	@ Derry City	L 2-5	45.6	1433	1582	11.36%	13.22%	75.42%	-1.94	-10.0	7
1939-12-25	Glenavon	W 6-1	51.2	1580	1641	56.23%	13.40%	30.37%	+0.33	+45.6	12
1939-12-25	@ Glentoran	L 1-6	51.2	1641	1580	30.37%	13.40%	56.23%	-0.33	-45.6	13
1939-12-25	Larne	W 4-2	40.5	1703	1208	85.87%	12.39%	1.74%	+4.58	+1.1	14
1939-12-25	@ Portadown	L 2-4	40.5	1208	1703	1.74%	12.39%	85.87%	-4.58	-1.1	3
1939-12-26	Glentoran	L 2-3	69.1	1585	1626	58.60%	13.39%	28.01%	+0.48	-20.2	10
1939-12-26	@ Ballymena United	W 3-2	69.1	1626	1585	28.01%	13.39%	58.60%	-0.48	+20.2	14
1939-12-26	Ards	L 2-5	55.2	1423	1494	54.84%	13.40%	31.76%	+0.25	-42.3	7
1939-12-26	@ Bangor	W 5-2	55.2	1494	1423	31.76%	13.40%	54.84%	-0.25	+42.3	11
1939-12-26	Belfast Celtic	L 1-3	46.1	1312	1791	10.48%	13.00%	76.52%	-2.86	-7.5	6
1939-12-26	@ Coleraine	W 3-1	46.1	1791	1312	76.52%	13.00%	10.48%	+2.86	+7.5	16
1939-12-26	Cliftonville	W 8-1	28.7	1595	1210	84.07%	12.72%	3.22%	+3.74	+7.2	15
1939-12-26	@ Glenavon	L 1-8	28.7	1210	1595	3.22%	12.72%	84.07%	-3.74	-7.2	1
1939-12-26	Derry City	W 1-0	50.7	1613	1592	65.30%	13.36%	21.34%	+0.95	+9.1	11
1939-12-26	@ Linfield	L 0-1	50.7	1592	1613	21.34%	13.36%	65.30%	-0.95	-9.1	8
1939-12-26	Portadown	D 1-1	68.0	1406	1704	25.00%	13.29%	61.71%	-1.48	+3.4	4
1939-12-26	@ Lisburn Distillery	D 1-1	68.0	1704	1406	61.71%	13.29%	25.00%	+1.48	-3.4	15
1939-12-26	Larne	D 1-1	55.5	1442	1207	79.65%	13.07%	7.28%	+2.59	-7.1	6
1939-12-26	@ Newry Town	D 1-1	55.5	1207	1442	7.28%	13.07%	79.65%	-2.59	+7.1	4
1939-12-30	Linfield	L 2-3	66.2	1537	1622	53.13%	13.40%	33.46%	+0.15	-18.4	11
1939-12-30	@ Ards	W 3-2	66.2	1622	1537	33.46%	13.40%	53.13%	-0.15	+18.4	13
1939-12-30	Bangor	W 6-0	37.6	1798	1380	84.70%	12.63%	2.68%	+3.99	+6.3	18
1939-12-30	@ Belfast Celtic	L 0-6	37.6	1380	1798	2.68%	12.63%	84.70%	-3.99	-6.3	7
1939-12-30	Ballymena United	L 0-1	36.4	1203	1564	18.77%	13.21%	68.02%	-1.96	-8.0	1
1939-12-30	@ Cliftonville	W 1-0	36.4	1564	1203	68.02%	13.21%	18.77%	+1.96	+8.0	12
1939-12-30	Glenavon	W 9-0	46.0	1583	1602	61.12%	13.38%	25.50%	+0.65	+82.3	10
1939-12-30	@ Derry City	L 0-9	46.0	1602	1583	25.50%	13.38%	61.12%	-0.65	-82.3	15
1939-12-30	Newry Town	W 6-1	40.6	1646	1435	78.65%	13.11%	8.23%	+2.41	+13.4	16
1939-12-30	@ Glentoran	L 1-6	40.6	1435	1646	8.23%	13.11%	78.65%	-2.41	-13.4	6
1939-12-30	Lisburn Distillery	W 4-1	43.6	1214	1410	37.78%	13.38%	48.84%	-0.70	+43.9	6
1939-12-30	@ Larne	L 1-4	43.6	1410	1214	48.84%	13.38%	37.78%	+0.70	-43.9	4
1939-12-30	Coleraine	W 1-0	38.7	1701	1305	84.30%	12.69%	3.02%	+3.82	+1.4	17
1939-12-30	@ Portadown	L 0-1	38.7	1305	1701	3.02%	12.69%	84.30%	-3.82	-1.4	6
1940-01-06	Derry City	W 4-1	55.3	1572	1665	52.08%	13.40%	34.51%	+0.09	+32.3	14
1940-01-06	@ Ballymena United	L 1-4	55.3	1665	1572	34.51%	13.40%	52.08%	-0.09	-32.3	10
1940-01-06	Portadown	L 1-2	50.2	1374	1702	21.85%	13.26%	64.89%	-1.71	-8.7	7
1940-01-06	@ Bangor	W 2-1	50.2	1702	1374	64.89%	13.26%	21.85%	+1.71	+8.7	19
1940-01-06	Larne	W 3-1	35.8	1303	1258	67.64%	13.34%	19.02%	+1.14	+13.3	8
1940-01-06	@ Coleraine	L 1-3	35.8	1258	1303	19.02%	13.34%	67.64%	-1.14	-13.3	6
1940-01-06	Ards	W 5-1	44.8	1520	1518	63.40%	13.37%	23.22%	+0.81	+29.2	17
1940-01-06	@ Glenavon	L 1-5	44.8	1518	1520	23.22%	13.37%	63.40%	-0.81	-29.2	11
1940-01-06	Cliftonville	W 8-2	32.1	1659	1195	85.44%	12.49%	2.07%	+4.34	+3.3	18
1940-01-06	@ Glentoran	L 2-8	32.1	1195	1659	2.07%	12.49%	85.44%	-4.34	-3.3	1
1940-01-06	Belfast Celtic	L 0-2	57.7	1640	1805	42.14%	13.39%	44.47%	-0.46	-31.5	13
1940-01-06	@ Linfield	W 2-0	57.7	1805	1640	44.47%	13.39%	42.14%	+0.46	+31.5	20
1940-01-06	Lisburn Distillery	D 1-1	57.4	1421	1366	68.54%	13.33%	18.13%	+1.22	-4.8	7
1940-01-06	@ Newry Town	D 1-1	57.4	1366	1421	18.13%	13.33%	68.54%	-1.22	+4.8	5
1940-01-13	Ballymena United	L 0-2	53.8	1489	1605	49.04%	13.40%	37.56%	-0.09	-36.0	11
1940-01-13	@ Ards	W 2-0	53.8	1605	1489	37.56%	13.40%	49.04%	+0.09	+36.0	16
1940-01-13	Glenavon	W 4-2	54.0	1836	1549	81.53%	12.96%	5.50%	+2.99	+3.6	22
1940-01-13	@ Belfast Celtic	L 2-4	54.0	1549	1836	5.50%	12.96%	81.53%	-2.99	-3.6	17
1940-01-13	Newry Town	W 3-2	51.7	1192	1416	33.89%	13.36%	52.75%	-0.92	+18.2	3
1940-01-13	@ Cliftonville	L 2-3	51.7	1416	1192	52.75%	13.36%	33.89%	+0.92	-18.2	7
1940-01-13	Glentoran	W 3-2	61.0	1633	1663	59.96%	13.39%	26.65%	+0.57	+9.9	12
1940-01-13	@ Derry City	L 2-3	61.0	1663	1633	26.65%	13.39%	59.96%	-0.57	-9.9	18
1940-01-13	Bangor	D 1-1	55.0	1245	1365	48.35%	13.40%	38.25%	-0.13	-0.9	7
1940-01-13	@ Larne	D 1-1	55.0	1365	1245	38.25%	13.40%	48.35%	+0.13	+0.9	8
1940-01-13	Coleraine	L 1-3	51.6	1371	1316	68.43%	13.33%	18.24%	+1.21	-43.0	5
1940-01-13	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 3-1	51.6	1316	1371	18.24%	13.33%	68.43%	-1.21	+43.0	10
1940-01-13	Linfield	D 3-3	80.2	1711	1609	72.30%	13.28%	14.42%	+1.58	-3.5	20
1940-01-13	@ Portadown	D 3-3	80.2	1609	1711	14.42%	13.28%	72.30%	-1.58	+3.5	14
1940-01-27	Belfast Celtic	L 1-5	57.1	1641	1840	37.30%	13.38%	49.32%	-0.72	-44.7	16
1940-01-27	@ Ballymena United	W 5-1	57.1	1840	1641	49.32%	13.38%	37.30%	+0.72	+44.7	24
1940-01-27	Lisburn Distillery	W 1-0	35.5	1366	1328	67.03%	13.34%	19.62%	+1.09	+8.4	10
1940-01-27	@ Bangor	L 0-1	35.5	1328	1366	19.62%	13.34%	67.03%	-1.09	-8.4	5
1940-01-27	Derry City	W 2-1	57.9	1210	1643	13.23%	13.09%	73.68%	-2.51	+26.8	5
1940-01-27	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	57.9	1643	1210	73.68%	13.09%	13.23%	+2.51	-26.8	12
1940-01-27	Newry Town	W 3-1	40.5	1359	1398	58.91%	13.39%	27.70%	+0.50	+18.8	12
1940-01-27	@ Coleraine	L 1-3	40.5	1398	1359	27.70%	13.39%	58.91%	-0.50	-18.8	7
1940-01-27	Ards	W 8-1	40.5	1653	1453	78.10%	13.13%	8.77%	+2.32	+19.5	20
1940-01-27	@ Glentoran	L 1-8	40.5	1453	1653	8.77%	13.13%	78.10%	-2.32	-19.5	11
1940-01-27	Larne	W 3-1	35.3	1612	1244	83.72%	12.76%	3.52%	+3.61	+2.6	16
1940-01-27	@ Linfield	L 1-3	35.3	1244	1612	3.52%	12.76%	83.72%	-3.61	-2.6	7
1940-02-03	Portadown	W 2-1	60.1	1596	1708	49.59%	13.41%	37.01%	-0.06	+14.0	18
1940-02-03	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	60.1	1708	1596	37.01%	13.41%	49.59%	+0.06	-14.0	20
1940-02-03	Coleraine	W 4-2	43.4	1375	1378	62.82%	13.38%	23.80%	+0.77	+14.6	12
1940-02-03	@ Bangor	L 2-4	43.4	1378	1375	23.80%	13.38%	62.82%	-0.77	-14.6	12
1940-02-03	Ards	L 1-3	42.2	1237	1434	37.59%	13.38%	49.03%	-0.71	-24.6	5
1940-02-03	@ Cliftonville	W 3-1	42.2	1434	1237	49.03%	13.38%	37.59%	+0.71	+24.7	13
1940-02-03	Newry Town	W 4-1	39.7	1616	1379	79.75%	13.06%	7.19%	+2.61	+7.4	14
1940-02-03	@ Derry City	L 1-4	39.7	1379	1616	7.19%	13.06%	79.75%	-2.61	-7.4	7
1940-02-03	Larne	W 3-2	39.6	1546	1241	82.09%	12.92%	4.99%	+3.12	+2.0	19
1940-02-03	@ Glenavon	L 2-3	39.6	1241	1546	4.99%	12.92%	82.09%	-3.12	-2.0	7
1940-02-03	Belfast Celtic	L 0-3	54.1	1672	1884	35.51%	13.37%	51.12%	-0.82	-39.3	20
1940-02-03	@ Glentoran	W 3-0	54.1	1884	1672	51.12%	13.37%	35.51%	+0.82	+39.3	26
1940-02-03	Lisburn Distillery	W 3-1	38.4	1615	1319	81.82%	12.94%	5.24%	+3.05	+3.8	18
1940-02-03	@ Linfield	L 1-3	38.4	1319	1615	5.24%	12.94%	81.82%	-3.05	-3.9	5
1940-02-10	Derry City	L 1-3	55.0	1458	1624	42.01%	13.39%	44.60%	-0.47	-27.2	13
1940-02-10	@ Ards	W 3-1	55.0	1624	1458	44.60%	13.39%	42.01%	+0.47	+27.2	16
1940-02-10	Cliftonville	W 6-2	44.1	1924	1212	87.88%	11.60%	0.52%	+6.23	+0.6	28
1940-02-10	@ Belfast Celtic	L 2-6	44.1	1212	1924	0.52%	11.60%	87.88%	-6.23	-0.6	5
1940-02-10	Linfield	L 0-4	40.6	1364	1619	30.01%	13.34%	56.66%	-1.15	-44.2	12
1940-02-10	@ Coleraine	W 4-0	40.6	1619	1364	56.66%	13.34%	30.01%	+1.15	+44.2	20
1940-02-10	Ballymena United	L 2-4	43.7	1239	1610	17.92%	13.20%	68.88%	-2.04	-11.2	7
1940-02-10	@ Larne	W 4-2	43.7	1610	1239	68.88%	13.20%	17.92%	+2.04	+11.2	20
1940-02-10	Glenavon	W 4-2	54.9	1315	1548	32.84%	13.36%	53.81%	-0.98	+30.3	7
1940-02-10	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 2-4	54.9	1548	1315	53.81%	13.36%	32.84%	+0.98	-30.3	19
1940-02-10	Bangor	W 3-0	34.2	1372	1389	61.34%	13.38%	25.28%	+0.66	+29.0	9
1940-02-10	@ Newry Town	L 0-3	34.2	1389	1372	25.28%	13.38%	61.34%	-0.66	-29.0	12
1940-02-10	Glentoran	D 2-2	76.1	1694	1633	69.00%	13.32%	17.68%	+1.26	-3.7	21
1940-02-10	@ Portadown	D 2-2	76.1	1633	1694	17.68%	13.32%	69.00%	-1.26	+3.6	21
1940-02-17	Newry Town	D 1-1	58.5	1431	1401	66.26%	13.35%	20.39%	+1.03	-4.3	14
1940-02-17	@ Ards	D 1-1	58.5	1401	1431	20.39%	13.35%	66.26%	-1.03	+4.3	10
1940-02-17	Lisburn Distillery	W 4-0	32.7	1621	1346	81.17%	12.98%	5.84%	+2.90	+9.4	22
1940-02-17	@ Ballymena United	L 0-4	32.7	1346	1621	5.84%	12.98%	81.17%	-2.90	-9.4	7
1940-02-17	Portadown	L 2-4	43.0	1212	1690	10.50%	13.00%	76.50%	-2.86	-6.8	5
1940-02-17	@ Cliftonville	W 4-2	43.0	1690	1212	76.50%	13.00%	10.50%	+2.86	+6.8	23
1940-02-17	Belfast Celtic	D 0-0	71.4	1651	1924	27.80%	13.32%	58.88%	-1.29	+3.2	17
1940-02-17	@ Derry City	D 0-0	71.4	1924	1651	58.88%	13.32%	27.80%	+1.29	-3.2	29
1940-02-17	Coleraine	W 3-0	30.9	1518	1319	78.03%	13.14%	8.83%	+2.31	+10.8	21
1940-02-17	@ Glenavon	L 0-3	30.9	1319	1518	8.83%	13.14%	78.03%	-2.31	-10.8	12
1940-02-17	Larne	W 6-2	35.7	1637	1228	84.53%	12.65%	2.82%	+3.92	+3.2	23
1940-02-17	@ Glentoran	L 2-6	35.7	1228	1637	2.82%	12.65%	84.53%	-3.92	-3.2	7
1940-02-17	Bangor	D 1-1	65.0	1663	1360	82.03%	12.92%	5.05%	+3.11	-7.6	21
1940-02-17	@ Linfield	D 1-1	65.0	1360	1663	5.05%	12.92%	82.03%	-3.11	+7.6	13
1940-02-24	Glentoran	L 2-3	51.3	1336	1640	24.42%	13.29%	62.29%	-1.52	-9.2	7
1940-02-24	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 3-2	51.3	1640	1336	62.29%	13.29%	24.42%	+1.52	+9.2	25
1940-02-24	Portadown	W 2-1	62.1	1309	1697	16.51%	13.17%	70.32%	-2.17	+25.5	14
1940-02-24	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	62.1	1697	1309	70.32%	13.17%	16.51%	+2.17	-25.5	23
1940-02-28	Ards	W 3-0	42.6	1921	1427	85.86%	12.39%	1.75%	+4.57	+2.2	31
1940-02-28	@ Belfast Celtic	L 0-3	42.6	1427	1921	1.75%	12.39%	85.86%	-4.57	-2.2	14
1940-02-28	Linfield	L 3-4	60.2	1405	1655	30.63%	13.34%	56.03%	-1.11	-11.0	10
1940-02-28	@ Newry Town	W 4-3	60.2	1655	1405	56.03%	13.34%	30.63%	+1.11	+11.0	23
1940-03-02	Portadown	W 5-4	71.7	1425	1671	31.07%	13.35%	55.59%	-1.09	+18.4	16
1940-03-02	@ Ards	L 4-5	71.7	1671	1425	55.59%	13.35%	31.07%	+1.09	-18.4	23
1940-03-02	Bangor	W 6-0	32.9	1631	1368	80.73%	13.01%	6.26%	+2.80	+14.7	24
1940-03-02	@ Ballymena United	L 0-6	32.9	1368	1631	6.26%	13.01%	80.73%	-2.80	-14.7	13
1940-03-02	Newry Town	W 12-0	41.8	1923	1394	86.28%	12.28%	1.44%	+4.84	+6.6	33
1940-03-02	@ Belfast Celtic	L 0-12	41.8	1394	1923	1.44%	12.28%	86.28%	-4.84	-6.6	10
1940-03-02	Lisburn Distillery	W 7-2	40.2	1205	1327	48.12%	13.40%	38.48%	-0.14	+47.1	7
1940-03-02	@ Cliftonville	L 2-7	40.2	1327	1205	38.48%	13.40%	48.12%	+0.14	-47.1	7
1940-03-02	Larne	W 6-0	27.4	1654	1225	84.90%	12.59%	2.51%	+4.08	+6.0	19
1940-03-02	@ Derry City	L 0-6	27.4	1225	1654	2.51%	12.59%	84.90%	-4.08	-5.9	7
1940-03-02	Linfield	D 3-3	78.0	1528	1666	45.93%	13.40%	40.67%	-0.26	-0.3	22
1940-03-02	@ Glenavon	D 3-3	78.0	1666	1528	40.67%	13.40%	45.93%	+0.26	+0.3	24
1940-03-02	Coleraine	W 4-1	38.5	1649	1334	82.38%	12.90%	4.72%	+3.20	+4.9	27
1940-03-02	@ Glentoran	L 1-4	38.5	1334	1649	4.72%	12.90%	82.38%	-3.20	-4.9	14
1940-03-07	Glenavon	W 5-1	46.0	1353	1528	40.66%	13.39%	45.95%	-0.54	+53.6	15
1940-03-07	@ Bangor	L 1-5	46.0	1528	1353	45.95%	13.39%	40.66%	+0.54	-53.6	22
1940-03-09	Glentoran	L 0-4	43.8	1407	1654	30.99%	13.34%	55.66%	-1.09	-45.5	15
1940-03-09	@ Bangor	W 4-0	43.8	1654	1407	55.66%	13.34%	30.99%	+1.09	+45.5	29
1940-03-09	Cliftonville	W 4-1	33.5	1329	1252	70.38%	13.31%	16.31%	+1.39	+16.3	16
1940-03-09	@ Coleraine	L 1-4	33.5	1252	1329	16.31%	13.31%	70.38%	-1.39	-16.3	7
1940-03-09	Ards	W 4-0	39.5	1219	1443	33.89%	13.36%	52.74%	-0.92	+72.9	9
1940-03-09	@ Larne	L 0-4	39.5	1443	1219	52.74%	13.36%	33.89%	+0.92	-72.9	16
1940-03-09	Ballymena United	W 2-1	55.5	1666	1645	65.36%	13.36%	21.28%	+0.96	+8.5	26
1940-03-09	@ Linfield	L 1-2	55.5	1645	1666	21.28%	13.36%	65.36%	-0.96	-8.5	24
1940-03-09	Derry City	L 1-3	42.3	1280	1660	17.16%	13.18%	69.66%	-2.11	-12.1	7
1940-03-09	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 3-1	42.3	1660	1280	69.66%	13.18%	17.16%	+2.11	+12.1	21
1940-03-09	Glenavon	W 3-2	50.3	1388	1474	52.92%	13.40%	33.68%	+0.13	+12.3	12
1940-03-09	@ Newry Town	L 2-3	50.3	1474	1388	33.68%	13.40%	52.92%	-0.13	-12.3	22
1940-03-09	Belfast Celtic	W 1-0	65.3	1653	1930	27.37%	13.32%	59.31%	-1.32	+22.8	25
1940-03-09	@ Portadown	L 0-1	65.3	1930	1653	59.31%	13.32%	27.37%	+1.32	-22.8	33
1940-03-13	Portadown	L 2-3	60.3	1462	1676	35.34%	13.37%	51.29%	-0.83	-12.8	22
1940-03-13	@ Glenavon	W 3-2	60.3	1676	1462	51.29%	13.37%	35.34%	+0.83	+12.8	27
1940-03-16	Lisburn Distillery	L 1-4	50.7	1370	1268	72.29%	13.28%	14.43%	+1.58	-64.4	16
1940-03-16	@ Ards	W 4-1	50.7	1268	1370	14.43%	13.28%	72.29%	-1.58	+64.4	9
1940-03-16	Glenavon	D 2-2	70.9	1637	1449	77.51%	13.16%	9.33%	+2.23	-5.0	25
1940-03-16	@ Ballymena United	D 2-2	70.9	1449	1637	9.33%	13.16%	77.51%	-2.23	+5.0	23
1940-03-16	Larne	D 0-0	68.4	1907	1292	87.14%	11.97%	0.89%	+5.50	-9.6	34
1940-03-16	@ Belfast Celtic	D 0-0	68.4	1292	1907	0.89%	11.97%	87.14%	-5.50	+9.6	10
1940-03-16	Bangor	L 2-3	50.1	1236	1361	47.65%	13.40%	38.95%	-0.16	-16.6	7
1940-03-16	@ Cliftonville	W 3-2	50.1	1361	1236	38.95%	13.40%	47.65%	+0.16	+16.6	17
1940-03-16	Coleraine	D 0-0	62.5	1672	1346	82.70%	12.87%	4.43%	+3.29	-8.7	22
1940-03-16	@ Derry City	D 0-0	62.5	1346	1672	4.43%	12.87%	82.70%	-3.29	+8.7	17
1940-03-16	Linfield	W 3-2	60.1	1699	1675	65.68%	13.36%	20.96%	+0.98	+8.0	31
1940-03-16	@ Glentoran	L 2-3	60.1	1675	1699	20.96%	13.36%	65.68%	-0.98	-8.0	26
1940-03-16	Newry Town	W 7-0	36.1	1688	1400	81.59%	12.96%	5.45%	+3.00	+14.9	29
1940-03-16	@ Portadown	L 0-7	36.1	1400	1688	5.45%	12.96%	81.59%	-3.00	-14.9	12
1940-03-20	Ballymena United	L 2-4	51.2	1354	1632	27.31%	13.32%	59.38%	-1.33	-16.6	17
1940-03-20	@ Coleraine	W 4-2	51.2	1632	1354	59.38%	13.32%	27.31%	+1.33	+16.6	27
1940-03-23	Derry City	L 1-3	48.8	1378	1663	26.41%	13.31%	60.28%	-1.39	-18.0	17
1940-03-23	@ Bangor	W 3-1	48.8	1663	1378	60.28%	13.31%	26.41%	+1.39	+18.0	24
1940-03-23	Ards	W 3-1	36.7	1338	1306	66.40%	13.35%	20.25%	+1.04	+14.1	19
1940-03-23	@ Coleraine	L 1-3	36.7	1306	1338	20.25%	13.35%	66.40%	-1.04	-14.1	16
1940-03-23	Glentoran	W 4-3	71.1	1454	1707	30.25%	13.34%	56.41%	-1.14	+19.0	25
1940-03-23	@ Glenavon	L 3-4	71.1	1707	1454	56.41%	13.34%	30.25%	+1.14	-19.0	31
1940-03-23	Portadown	L 2-7	42.8	1301	1703	15.43%	13.14%	71.42%	-2.27	-20.4	10
1940-03-23	@ Larne	W 7-2	42.8	1703	1301	71.42%	13.14%	15.43%	+2.27	+20.4	31
1940-03-23	Cliftonville	W 5-1	32.8	1667	1219	85.20%	12.54%	2.27%	+4.22	+3.0	28
1940-03-23	@ Linfield	L 1-5	32.8	1219	1667	2.27%	12.54%	85.20%	-4.22	-3.0	7
1940-03-23	Belfast Celtic	L 1-3	48.2	1332	1897	6.65%	12.79%	80.55%	-3.52	-4.8	9
1940-03-23	@ Lisburn Distillery	W 3-1	48.2	1897	1332	80.55%	12.79%	6.65%	+3.52	+4.8	36
1940-03-23	Ballymena United	L 1-3	49.3	1385	1648	28.98%	13.33%	57.69%	-1.22	-19.5	12
1940-03-23	@ Newry Town	W 3-1	49.3	1648	1385	57.69%	13.33%	28.98%	+1.22	+19.5	29
1940-03-25	Bangor	W 3-1	40.1	1292	1360	55.30%	13.40%	31.30%	+0.28	+21.0	18
1940-03-25	@ Ards	L 1-3	40.1	1360	1292	31.30%	13.40%	55.30%	-0.28	-21.0	17
1940-03-25	Coleraine	W 6-1	42.7	1902	1352	86.52%	12.21%	1.28%	+5.00	+2.1	38
1940-03-25	@ Belfast Celtic	L 1-6	42.7	1352	1902	1.28%	12.21%	86.52%	-5.00	-2.1	19
1940-03-25	Glenavon	L 1-2	41.5	1216	1473	29.73%	13.34%	56.93%	-1.17	-11.5	7
1940-03-25	@ Cliftonville	W 2-1	41.5	1473	1216	56.93%	13.34%	29.73%	+1.17	+11.5	27
1940-03-25	Linfield	L 1-2	68.8	1681	1670	64.38%	13.37%	22.25%	+0.88	-23.3	24
1940-03-25	@ Derry City	W 2-1	68.8	1670	1681	22.25%	13.37%	64.38%	-0.88	+23.3	30
1940-03-25	Ballymena United	W 4-2	58.6	1688	1668	65.29%	13.36%	21.35%	+0.95	+13.2	33
1940-03-25	@ Glentoran	L 2-4	58.6	1668	1688	21.35%	13.36%	65.29%	-0.95	-13.2	29
1940-03-25	Newry Town	W 2-1	42.2	1281	1365	53.20%	13.40%	33.40%	+0.15	+12.8	12
1940-03-25	@ Larne	L 1-2	42.2	1365	1281	33.40%	13.40%	53.20%	-0.15	-12.8	12
1940-03-25	Lisburn Distillery	W 3-2	47.5	1724	1327	84.29%	12.69%	3.02%	+3.82	+1.2	33
1940-03-25	@ Portadown	L 2-3	47.5	1327	1724	3.02%	12.69%	84.29%	-3.82	-1.2	9
1940-03-26	Cliftonville	W 4-3	44.4	1655	1204	85.23%	12.53%	2.24%	+4.24	+0.9	31
1940-03-26	@ Ballymena United	L 3-4	44.4	1204	1655	2.24%	12.53%	85.23%	-4.24	-0.9	7
1940-03-26	Belfast Celtic	L 1-3	48.4	1339	1904	6.64%	12.79%	80.57%	-3.52	-4.8	17
1940-03-26	@ Bangor	W 3-1	48.4	1904	1339	80.57%	12.79%	6.64%	+3.52	+4.8	40
1940-03-26	Derry City	L 0-1	55.0	1485	1658	40.88%	13.39%	45.73%	-0.53	-16.2	27
1940-03-26	@ Glenavon	W 1-0	55.0	1658	1485	45.73%	13.39%	40.88%	+0.53	+16.2	26
1940-03-26	Ards	W 4-0	33.3	1693	1313	83.98%	12.73%	3.29%	+3.70	+5.3	32
1940-03-26	@ Linfield	L 0-4	33.3	1313	1693	3.29%	12.73%	83.98%	-3.70	-5.3	18
1940-03-26	Larne	W 5-2	38.9	1326	1294	66.46%	13.35%	20.19%	+1.04	+17.2	11
1940-03-26	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 2-5	38.9	1294	1326	20.19%	13.35%	66.46%	-1.04	-17.2	12
1940-03-26	Glentoran	L 1-9	41.9	1353	1702	19.87%	13.23%	66.90%	-1.87	-47.9	12
1940-03-26	@ Newry Town	W 9-1	41.9	1702	1353	66.90%	13.23%	19.87%	+1.87	+47.9	35
1940-03-30	Glenavon	L 0-1	43.8	1307	1469	42.61%	13.40%	44.00%	-0.43	-16.9	18
1940-03-30	@ Ards	W 1-0	43.8	1469	1307	44.00%	13.40%	42.61%	+0.43	+16.8	29
1940-03-30	Linfield	W 5-0	43.6	1909	1699	78.61%	13.11%	8.27%	+2.40	+16.3	42
1940-03-30	@ Belfast Celtic	L 0-5	43.6	1699	1909	8.27%	13.11%	78.61%	-2.40	-16.3	32
1940-03-30	Glentoran	L 0-2	36.0	1204	1750	7.37%	12.84%	79.79%	-3.38	-6.2	7
1940-03-30	@ Cliftonville	W 2-0	36.0	1750	1204	79.79%	12.84%	7.37%	+3.38	+6.2	37
1940-03-30	Ballymena United	W 5-2	56.6	1674	1656	65.12%	13.36%	21.52%	+0.94	+18.3	28
1940-03-30	@ Derry City	L 2-5	56.6	1656	1674	21.52%	13.36%	65.12%	-0.94	-18.3	31
1940-03-30	Coleraine	L 0-1	45.4	1277	1350	54.67%	13.40%	31.93%	+0.24	-21.1	12
1940-03-30	@ Larne	W 1-0	45.4	1350	1277	31.93%	13.40%	54.67%	-0.24	+21.1	21
1940-03-30	Newry Town	W 7-0	28.6	1343	1305	67.05%	13.34%	19.60%	+1.09	+50.8	13
1940-03-30	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 0-7	28.6	1305	1343	19.60%	13.34%	67.05%	-1.09	-50.8	12
1940-03-30	Bangor	W 6-1	38.2	1725	1334	84.19%	12.70%	3.11%	+3.78	+5.1	35
1940-03-30	@ Portadown	L 1-6	38.2	1334	1725	3.11%	12.70%	84.19%	-3.78	-5.1	17
1940-04-06	Larne	W 4-1	33.6	1329	1255	70.08%	13.31%	16.61%	+1.36	+16.6	19
1940-04-06	@ Bangor	L 1-4	33.6	1255	1329	16.61%	13.31%	70.08%	-1.36	-16.6	12
1940-04-06	Lisburn Distillery	W 5-4	52.3	1371	1394	60.64%	13.39%	25.97%	+0.62	+9.3	23
1940-04-06	@ Coleraine	L 4-5	52.3	1394	1371	25.97%	13.39%	60.64%	-0.62	-9.3	13
1940-04-06	Derry City	W 6-1	49.9	1756	1693	69.21%	13.32%	17.46%	+1.28	+27.5	39
1940-04-06	@ Glentoran	L 1-6	49.9	1693	1756	17.46%	13.32%	69.21%	-1.28	-27.5	28
1940-04-06	Cliftonville	W 3-1	35.1	1254	1197	68.64%	13.33%	18.03%	+1.23	+12.7	14
1940-04-06	@ Newry Town	L 1-3	35.1	1197	1254	18.03%	13.33%	68.64%	-1.23	-12.7	7
1940-04-13	Glentoran	W 2-1	66.6	1291	1783	9.75%	12.97%	77.28%	-2.97	+28.2	20
1940-04-13	@ Ards	L 1-2	66.6	1783	1291	77.28%	12.97%	9.75%	+2.97	-28.1	39
1940-04-13	Ballymena United	D 3-3	81.7	1925	1637	81.58%	12.96%	5.46%	+3.00	-4.7	43
1940-04-13	@ Belfast Celtic	D 3-3	81.7	1637	1925	5.46%	12.96%	81.58%	-3.00	+4.7	32
1940-04-13	Cliftonville	W 6-1	30.5	1665	1185	85.67%	12.44%	1.89%	+4.47	+3.1	30
1940-04-13	@ Derry City	L 1-6	30.5	1185	1665	1.89%	12.44%	85.67%	-4.47	-3.1	7
1940-04-13	Linfield	D 1-1	61.3	1239	1682	12.54%	13.07%	74.39%	-2.59	+6.0	13
1940-04-13	@ Larne	D 1-1	61.3	1682	1239	74.39%	13.07%	12.54%	+2.59	-6.0	33
1940-04-13	Bangor	W 3-1	37.6	1385	1346	67.11%	13.34%	19.55%	+1.10	+13.7	15
1940-04-13	@ Lisburn Distillery	L 1-3	37.6	1346	1385	19.55%	13.34%	67.11%	-1.10	-13.6	19
1940-04-13	Coleraine	D 1-1	55.3	1267	1380	49.31%	13.41%	37.28%	-0.07	-1.1	15
1940-04-13	@ Newry Town	D 1-1	55.3	1380	1267	37.28%	13.41%	49.31%	+0.07	+1.1	24
1940-04-13	Glenavon	W 6-0	39.8	1730	1485	80.05%	13.05%	6.90%	+2.66	+16.2	37
1940-04-13	@ Portadown	L 0-6	39.8	1485	1730	6.90%	13.05%	80.05%	-2.66	-16.2	29
1940-04-15	Portadown	L 0-5	57.1	1676	1746	55.11%	13.40%	31.49%	+0.26	-93.7	33
1940-04-15	@ Linfield	W 5-0	57.1	1746	1676	31.49%	13.40%	55.11%	-0.26	+93.7	39
1940-04-22	Belfast Celtic	L 0-3	46.3	1469	1921	12.04%	13.05%	74.91%	-2.65	-14.5	29
1940-04-22	@ Glenavon	W 3-0	46.3	1921	1469	74.91%	13.05%	12.04%	+2.65	+14.5	45
1940-04-24	Derry City	W 3-1	51.9	1840	1668	76.68%	13.18%	10.14%	+2.11	+7.3	41
1940-04-24	@ Portadown	L 1-3	51.9	1668	1840	10.14%	13.18%	76.68%	-2.11	-7.3	30
1940-04-24	Ards	W 5-0	31.1	1642	1319	82.62%	12.88%	4.51%	+3.27	+9.0	34
1940-04-24	@ Ballymena United	L 0-5	31.1	1319	1642	4.51%	12.88%	82.62%	-3.27	-9.0	20

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1940-04-13	9.75%	@ Ards	1291	2	Glentoran	1783	1
2	1940-01-27	13.23%	@ Cliftonville	1210	2	Derry City	1643	1
3	1940-03-16	14.43%	Lisburn Distillery	1268	4	@ Ards	1370	1
4	1940-02-24	16.51%	@ Coleraine	1309	2	Portadown	1697	1
5	1940-01-13	18.24%	Coleraine	1316	3	@ Lisburn Distillery	1371	1
6	1939-12-23	18.65%	Glentoran	1555	2	@ Linfield	1605	1
7	1940-03-25	22.25%	Linfield	1670	2	@ Derry City	1681	1
8	1939-12-23	24.94%	Ards	1448	2	@ Lisburn Distillery	1434	1
9	1939-12-16	25.49%	Coleraine	1292	2	@ Cliftonville	1272	1
10	1939-12-23	25.85%	@ Coleraine	1314	2	Derry City	1604	1
11	1940-03-09	27.37%	@ Portadown	1653	1	Belfast Celtic	1930	0
12	1939-12-26	28.01%	Glentoran	1626	3	@ Ballymena United	1585	2
13	1940-03-23	30.25%	@ Glenavon	1454	4	Glentoran	1707	3
14	1939-11-11	30.87%	Glenavon	1469	5	@ Larne	1405	0
15	1940-03-02	31.07%	@ Ards	1425	5	Portadown	1671	4
16	1940-04-15	31.49%	Portadown	1746	5	@ Linfield	1676	0
17	1939-12-26	31.76%	Ards	1494	5	@ Bangor	1423	2
18	1940-03-30	31.93%	Coleraine	1350	1	@ Larne	1277	0
19	1939-12-02	32.19%	Portadown	1666	5	@ Derry City	1590	3
20	1940-02-10	32.84%	@ Lisburn Distillery	1315	4	Glenavon	1548	2
21	1939-12-30	33.46%	Linfield	1622	3	@ Ards	1537	2
22	1940-01-13	33.89%	@ Cliftonville	1192	3	Newry Town	1416	2
23	1940-03-09	33.89%	@ Larne	1219	4	Ards	1443	0
24	1939-11-25	34.79%	@ Bangor	1421	2	Linfield	1639	0
25	1940-01-13	37.56%	Ballymena United	1605	2	@ Ards	1489	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1939-11-11	94.71	Glenavon	5	1469	30.87%	@ Larne	0	1405	55.73%	13.40%
2	1940-04-15	93.70	Portadown	5	1746	31.49%	@ Linfield	0	1676	55.11%	13.40%
3	1939-12-30	82.27	@ Derry City	9	1583	61.12%	Glenavon	0	1602	25.50%	13.38%
4	1940-03-09	72.93	@ Larne	4	1219	33.89%	Ards	0	1443	52.74%	13.36%
5	1940-03-16	64.36	Lisburn Distillery	4	1268	14.43%	@ Ards	1	1370	72.29%	13.28%
6	1940-03-07	53.64	@ Bangor	5	1353	40.66%	Glenavon	1	1528	45.95%	13.39%
7	1939-11-18	52.20	Portadown	3	1610	37.59%	@ Glentoran	0	1494	49.00%	13.40%
8	1940-03-30	50.83	@ Lisburn Distillery	7	1343	67.05%	Newry Town	0	1305	19.60%	13.34%
9	1940-03-26	47.93	Glentoran	9	1702	66.90%	@ Newry Town	1	1353	19.87%	13.23%
10	1940-03-02	47.08	@ Cliftonville	7	1205	48.12%	Lisburn Distillery	2	1327	38.48%	13.40%
11	1939-12-25	45.64	@ Glentoran	6	1580	56.23%	Glenavon	1	1641	30.37%	13.40%
12	1940-03-09	45.50	Glentoran	4	1654	55.66%	@ Bangor	0	1407	30.99%	13.34%
13	1940-01-27	44.70	Belfast Celtic	5	1840	49.32%	@ Ballymena United	1	1641	37.30%	13.38%
14	1940-02-10	44.20	Linfield	4	1619	56.66%	@ Coleraine	0	1364	30.01%	13.34%
15	1939-12-30	43.88	@ Larne	4	1214	37.78%	Lisburn Distillery	1	1410	48.84%	13.38%
16	1939-11-18	43.42	Belfast Celtic	7	1721	70.23%	@ Cliftonville	0	1334	16.60%	13.17%
17	1940-01-13	42.98	Coleraine	3	1316	18.24%	@ Lisburn Distillery	1	1371	68.43%	13.33%
18	1939-12-26	42.30	Ards	5	1494	31.76%	@ Bangor	2	1423	54.84%	13.40%
19	1939-11-11	39.78	@ Coleraine	5	1345	53.92%	Bangor	1	1424	32.68%	13.40%
20	1940-02-03	39.32	Belfast Celtic	3	1884	51.12%	@ Glentoran	0	1672	35.51%	13.37%
21	1939-12-09	38.26	Derry City	8	1562	61.12%	@ Larne	2	1269	25.58%	13.30%
22	1939-12-09	38.15	Glentoran	7	1497	44.93%	@ Coleraine	3	1330	41.67%	13.39%
23	1939-11-25	37.83	@ Bangor	2	1421	34.79%	Linfield	0	1639	51.84%	13.37%
24	1939-11-18	37.33	@ Bangor	4	1384	45.96%	Newry Town	1	1521	40.64%	13.40%
25	1940-01-13	35.97	Ballymena United	2	1605	37.56%	@ Ards	0	1489	49.04%	13.40%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1939-12-09	84.4	@ Linfield	5	1618	63.21%	Glenavon	5	1618	23.42%	13.37%
2	1940-04-13	81.7	@ Belfast Celtic	3	1925	81.58%	Ballymena United	3	1637	5.46%	12.96%
3	1940-01-13	80.2	@ Portadown	3	1711	72.30%	Linfield	3	1609	14.42%	13.28%
4	1939-12-02	78.5	@ Ards	3	1434	20.34%	Belfast Celtic	3	1778	66.42%	13.24%
5	1940-03-02	78.0	@ Glenavon	3	1528	45.93%	Linfield	3	1666	40.67%	13.40%
6	1940-02-10	76.1	@ Portadown	2	1694	69.00%	Glentoran	2	1633	17.68%	13.32%
7	1940-03-02	71.7	@ Ards	5	1425	31.07%	Portadown	4	1671	55.59%	13.35%
8	1939-11-25	71.6	@ Lisburn Distillery	3	1450	51.75%	Ballymena United	3	1545	34.84%	13.41%
9	1940-02-17	71.4	@ Derry City	0	1651	27.80%	Belfast Celtic	0	1924	58.88%	13.32%
10	1939-12-16	71.2	@ Belfast Celtic	0	1786	71.08%	Portadown	0	1699	15.62%	13.30%
11	1940-03-23	71.1	@ Glenavon	4	1454	30.25%	Glentoran	3	1707	56.41%	13.34%
12	1940-03-16	70.9	@ Ballymena United	2	1637	77.51%	Glenavon	2	1449	9.33%	13.16%
13	1939-12-02	70.7	Portadown	5	1666	32.19%	@ Derry City	3	1590	54.40%	13.40%
14	1939-12-23	69.6	@ Newry Town	1	1463	31.53%	Portadown	1	1705	55.12%	13.35%
15	1939-12-26	69.1	Glentoran	3	1626	28.01%	@ Ballymena United	2	1585	58.60%	13.39%
16	1940-03-25	68.8	Linfield	2	1670	22.25%	@ Derry City	1	1681	64.38%	13.37%
17	1940-03-16	68.4	@ Belfast Celtic	0	1907	87.14%	Larne	0	1292	0.89%	11.97%
18	1939-12-26	68.0	@ Lisburn Distillery	1	1406	25.00%	Portadown	1	1704	61.71%	13.29%
19	1939-12-09	67.9	@ Bangor	2	1446	49.21%	Ballymena United	2	1560	37.38%	13.41%
20	1939-12-23	66.6	Glentoran	2	1555	18.65%	@ Linfield	1	1605	68.01%	13.34%
21	1940-04-13	66.6	@ Ards	2	1291	9.75%	Glentoran	1	1783	77.28%	12.97%
22	1939-12-30	66.2	Linfield	3	1622	33.46%	@ Ards	2	1537	53.13%	13.40%
23	1940-03-09	65.3	@ Portadown	1	1653	27.37%	Belfast Celtic	0	1930	59.31%	13.32%
24	1940-02-17	65.0	@ Linfield	1	1663	82.03%	Bangor	1	1360	5.05%	12.92%
25	1939-12-02	62.5	@ Cliftonville	3	1287	65.34%	Larne	3	1266	21.30%	13.36%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1940-03-02	27.4	@ Derry City	6	1654	84.90%	Larne	0	1225	2.51%	12.59%
2	1939-12-16	28.6	@ Ards	7	1432	78.18%	Larne	1	1230	8.69%	13.13%
3	1940-03-30	28.6	@ Lisburn Distillery	7	1343	67.05%	Newry Town	0	1305	19.60%	13.34%
4	1939-12-26	28.7	@ Glenavon	8	1595	84.07%	Cliftonville	1	1210	3.22%	12.72%
5	1939-12-25	28.8	@ Ards	5	1471	74.52%	Coleraine	0	1336	12.25%	13.24%
6	1940-04-13	30.5	@ Derry City	6	1665	85.67%	Cliftonville	1	1185	1.89%	12.44%
7	1940-02-17	30.9	@ Glenavon	3	1518	78.03%	Coleraine	0	1319	8.83%	13.14%
8	1940-04-24	31.1	@ Ballymena United	5	1642	82.62%	Ards	0	1319	4.51%	12.88%
9	1940-01-06	32.1	@ Glentoran	8	1659	85.44%	Cliftonville	2	1195	2.07%	12.49%
10	1940-02-17	32.7	@ Ballymena United	4	1621	81.17%	Lisburn Distillery	0	1346	5.84%	12.98%
11	1940-03-23	32.8	@ Linfield	5	1667	85.20%	Cliftonville	1	1219	2.27%	12.54%
12	1940-03-02	32.9	@ Ballymena United	6	1631	80.73%	Bangor	0	1368	6.26%	13.01%
13	1940-03-26	33.3	@ Linfield	4	1693	83.98%	Ards	0	1313	3.29%	12.73%
14	1939-11-18	33.4	@ Ballymena United	5	1535	79.27%	Larne	1	1310	7.64%	13.09%
15	1939-12-09	33.4	@ Lisburn Distillery	4	1427	74.97%	Cliftonville	1	1284	11.80%	13.23%
16	1940-03-09	33.5	@ Coleraine	4	1329	70.38%	Cliftonville	1	1252	16.31%	13.31%
17	1940-04-06	33.6	@ Bangor	4	1329	70.08%	Larne	1	1255	16.61%	13.31%
18	1939-12-02	33.9	@ Ballymena United	6	1546	78.24%	Coleraine	1	1344	8.63%	13.13%
19	1939-12-23	33.9	@ Bangor	3	1425	76.87%	Cliftonville	1	1250	9.95%	13.18%
20	1940-02-10	34.2	@ Newry Town	3	1372	61.34%	Bangor	0	1389	25.28%	13.38%
21	1940-04-06	35.1	@ Newry Town	3	1254	68.64%	Cliftonville	1	1197	18.03%	13.33%
22	1940-01-27	35.3	@ Linfield	3	1612	83.72%	Larne	1	1244	3.52%	12.76%
23	1940-01-27	35.5	@ Bangor	1	1366	67.03%	Lisburn Distillery	0	1328	19.62%	13.34%
24	1940-02-17	35.7	@ Glentoran	6	1637	84.53%	Larne	2	1228	2.82%	12.65%
25	1939-12-25	35.8	Linfield	6	1580	65.77%	@ Cliftonville	1	1243	20.99%	13.25%