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1965-66 Irish League Season

132 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Linfield

34 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Linfield

5.47 points above expected

34 points · 28.53 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lisburn Distillery

3.77 points below expected

16 points · 19.77 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Linfield 22 14 6 2 34 68 23 +45 28.53 +5.47
2 Derry City 22 15 2 5 32 61 33 +28 27.74 +4.26
3 Glentoran 22 15 2 5 32 50 29 +21 27.64 +4.36
4 Ballymena United 22 11 6 5 28 51 33 +18 24.20 +3.80
5 Glenavon 22 11 3 8 25 62 38 +24 26.51 -1.51
6 Coleraine 22 10 5 7 25 52 36 +16 28.43 -3.43
7 Crusaders 22 9 3 10 21 49 47 +2 23.30 -2.30
8 Portadown 22 7 3 12 17 43 53 -10 16.53 +0.47
9 Lisburn Distillery 22 5 6 11 16 39 52 -13 19.77 -3.77
10 Ards 22 4 6 12 14 29 54 -25 16.64 -2.64
11 Bangor 22 5 4 13 14 26 59 -33 16.19 -2.19
12 Cliftonville 22 1 4 17 6 23 96 -73 8.52 -2.52

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Linfield 34 28.53 +5.47
2 Glentoran 32 27.64 +4.36
3 Derry City 32 27.74 +4.26
4 Ballymena United 28 24.20 +3.80
5 Portadown 17 16.53 +0.47

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lisburn Distillery 16 19.77 -3.77
2 Coleraine 25 28.43 -3.43
3 Ards 14 16.64 -2.64
4 Cliftonville 6 8.52 -2.52
5 Crusaders 21 23.30 -2.30

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Portadown 5 Jan 8 – Feb 3 1 in 669
2 Ballymena United 7 Dec 11 – Jan 15 1 in 191
3 Glentoran 7 Oct 30 – Dec 11 1 in 84
4 Ards 2 Sep 25 – Oct 9 1 in 53
5 Derry City 6 Dec 4 – Jan 1 1 in 49

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Coleraine 3 Dec 18 – Dec 27 1 in 35
2 Lisburn Distillery 4 Jan 15 – Feb 5 1 in 16
3 Glentoran 2 Oct 9 – Oct 16 1 in 15
4 Ards 5 Nov 27 – Dec 28 1 in 15
5 Bangor 5 Dec 18 – Jan 1 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ballymena United 10 Nov 27 – Jan 22 1 in 57
2 Portadown 5 Jan 8 – Feb 3 1 in 35
3 Linfield 10 Nov 13 – Jan 8 1 in 13
4 Glentoran 8 Oct 22 – Dec 11 1 in 12
5 Ards 3 Sep 25 – Oct 16 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lisburn Distillery 8 Oct 23 – Dec 11 1 in 40
2 Ards 11 Nov 13 – Jan 22 1 in 33
3 Glentoran 4 Sep 24 – Oct 22 1 in 18
4 Coleraine 4 Dec 11 – Dec 27 1 in 18
5 Linfield 3 Jan 8 – Jan 22 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Linfield 1421 34 +18 6 6.1 -0.1
Glentoran 1378 32 +57 10 5.9 +4.1
Derry City 1431 32 +85 9 6.8 +2.2
Ballymena United 1334 28 +3 6 5.6 +0.4
Glenavon 1331 25 +4 6 6.9 -0.9
Coleraine 1315 25 -23 4 6.4 -2.4
Crusaders 1183 21 -43 4 5.4 -1.4
Portadown 1188 17 +84 7 4.3 +2.7
Lisburn Distillery 1150 16 -47 2 4.6 -2.6
Ards 1030 14 -29 3 3.5 -0.5
Bangor 1020 14 -34 2 3.1 -1.1
Cliftonville 814 6 -45 2 2.3 -0.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BU BAN CLI COL CRU DC GLE GLE LIN LD POR
Ards —
0-1-1
1.78
0-1-1
2.90
0-1-1
4.31
0-1-1
1.36
0-1-1
1.85
0-0-2
1.07
1-0-1
1.59
1-0-1
1.33
0-0-2
1.64
1-1-0
2.14
1-0-1
3.01
Ballymena United
1-1-0
3.82
—
1-1-0
3.73
2-0-0
4.59
1-0-1
2.28
2-0-0
2.64
0-0-2
2.30
1-1-0
2.46
1-1-0
2.04
0-1-1
2.40
1-1-0
3.47
1-0-1
4.06
Bangor
1-1-0
2.68
0-1-1
1.86
—
2-0-0
4.14
0-0-2
1.27
0-1-1
1.74
1-0-1
1.44
0-0-2
1.67
0-0-2
1.36
0-0-2
1.12
0-0-2
2.29
1-1-0
2.72
Cliftonville
1-1-0
1.30
0-0-2
1.02
0-0-2
1.46
—
0-1-1
0.63
0-0-2
0.85
0-1-1
0.82
0-0-2
0.89
0-0-2
0.83
0-0-2
0.63
0-1-1
1.03
0-0-2
1.40
Coleraine
1-1-0
4.24
1-0-1
3.31
2-0-0
4.33
1-1-0
5.02
—
0-1-1
3.33
1-0-1
2.88
2-0-0
2.99
0-0-2
3.11
0-1-1
2.62
1-0-1
4.05
1-1-0
4.25
Crusaders
1-1-0
3.75
0-0-2
2.95
1-1-0
3.85
2-0-0
4.77
1-1-0
2.26
—
0-0-2
2.40
1-0-1
2.36
0-0-2
1.87
0-0-2
2.37
2-0-0
3.34
1-0-1
3.50
Derry City
2-0-0
4.54
2-0-0
3.29
1-0-1
4.16
1-1-0
4.81
1-0-1
2.71
2-0-0
3.20
—
1-0-1
3.12
2-0-0
2.66
0-1-1
2.80
2-0-0
3.94
1-0-1
4.38
Glenavon
1-0-1
4.01
0-1-1
3.13
2-0-0
3.93
2-0-0
4.74
0-0-2
2.60
1-0-1
3.23
1-0-1
2.47
—
1-1-0
2.57
0-1-1
2.33
2-0-0
3.88
1-0-1
4.29
Glentoran
1-0-1
4.27
0-1-1
3.55
2-0-0
4.25
2-0-0
4.80
2-0-0
2.48
2-0-0
3.73
0-0-2
2.93
0-1-1
3.02
—
2-0-0
2.22
2-0-0
3.62
2-0-0
4.16
Linfield
2-0-0
3.96
1-1-0
3.19
2-0-0
4.50
2-0-0
5.01
1-1-0
2.97
2-0-0
3.22
1-1-0
2.79
1-1-0
3.26
0-0-2
3.37
—
0-2-0
4.03
2-0-0
4.16
Lisburn Distillery
0-1-1
3.45
0-1-1
2.12
2-0-0
3.30
1-1-0
4.59
1-0-1
1.54
0-0-2
2.25
0-0-2
1.65
0-0-2
1.71
0-0-2
1.98
0-2-0
1.56
—
1-1-0
3.13
Portadown
1-0-1
2.58
1-0-1
1.54
0-1-1
2.87
2-0-0
4.20
0-1-1
1.35
1-0-1
2.09
1-0-1
1.22
1-0-1
1.32
0-0-2
1.44
0-0-2
1.44
0-1-1
2.47
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.82 +5.4
Allowed 0.87 -4.2
Differential 0.92 +2.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.41%2.65%3.03%1.52%3.03%19.70%
13.41%4.55%5.68%5.68%3.41%3.41%26.14%
22.65%5.68%4.55%2.27%1.52%2.65%19.32%
33.03%5.68%2.27%3.03%0.76%1.52%16.29%
41.52%3.41%1.52%0.76%——7.20%
5+3.03%3.41%2.65%1.52%—0.76%11.36%
Total19.70%26.14%19.32%16.29%7.20%11.36%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 2.09 +0.00
SD 1.85 1.85 2.85
CV 0.88 0.88 —
Max 10 10 +10
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——4.55%——9.09%
14.55%4.55%13.64%9.09%9.09%13.64%54.55%
24.55%4.55%18.18%4.55%——31.82%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%9.09%36.36%18.18%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 2.45 -1.14
SD 0.72 1.63 1.88
CV 0.54 0.66 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%—————13.64%
19.09%4.55%9.09%——4.55%27.27%
24.55%9.09%4.55%——4.55%22.73%
34.55%9.09%——4.55%—18.18%
4———————
5+4.55%4.55%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
Total36.36%27.27%18.18%—4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 1.50 +0.82
SD 1.99 1.74 2.46
CV 0.86 1.16 —
Max 8 5 +8
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—4.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%31.82%
14.55%4.55%—18.18%9.09%—36.36%
2—4.55%4.55%—4.55%4.55%18.18%
3—9.09%————9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%22.73%9.09%22.73%18.18%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 2.68 -1.50
SD 1.14 2.06 2.63
CV 0.96 0.77 —
Max 4 8 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%9.09%4.55%13.64%31.82%
1—9.09%—9.09%4.55%18.18%40.91%
2—4.55%4.55%——9.09%18.18%
3———4.55%—4.55%9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total—13.64%9.09%22.73%9.09%45.45%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 4.36 -3.32
SD 0.95 2.44 2.77
CV 0.91 0.56 —
Max 3 10 +1
Min 0 1 -10

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
1—4.55%—9.09%4.55%—18.18%
24.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
39.09%4.55%—4.55%——18.18%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
Total27.27%22.73%18.18%22.73%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.36 1.64 +0.73
SD 1.89 1.36 2.37
CV 0.80 0.83 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%——4.55%4.55%13.64%
14.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%31.82%
2—9.09%9.09%4.55%—4.55%27.27%
3———————
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+4.55%9.09%————13.64%
Total13.64%31.82%22.73%9.09%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 2.14 +0.09
SD 1.95 1.73 3.16
CV 0.88 0.81 —
Max 7 6 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
14.55%4.55%—9.09%——18.18%
2—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
34.55%4.55%9.09%——4.55%22.73%
4—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
5+9.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
Total22.73%36.36%18.18%18.18%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.77 1.50 +1.27
SD 1.63 1.30 2.12
CV 0.59 0.87 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
1—4.55%13.64%———18.18%
2—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
3—13.64%——4.55%—18.18%
4—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
5+—9.09%9.09%——4.55%22.73%
Total4.55%50.00%31.82%—9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.82 1.73 +1.09
SD 2.26 1.20 2.37
CV 0.80 0.70 —
Max 8 5 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%————13.64%
19.09%—4.55%———13.64%
218.18%9.09%—9.09%—4.55%40.91%
3—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+———9.09%——9.09%
Total45.45%22.73%9.09%18.18%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 1.32 +0.95
SD 1.67 1.89 2.19
CV 0.73 1.43 —
Max 7 8 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%—4.55%———18.18%
14.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
2—4.55%————4.55%
39.09%4.55%9.09%9.09%——31.82%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+9.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
Total36.36%31.82%22.73%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.09 1.05 +2.05
SD 2.60 1.00 2.85
CV 0.84 0.96 —
Max 10 3 +10
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%—9.09%4.55%—22.73%
1—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
2——9.09%—4.55%4.55%18.18%
39.09%13.64%—13.64%—4.55%40.91%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%27.27%18.18%27.27%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 2.36 -0.59
SD 1.23 1.68 2.11
CV 0.69 0.71 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%9.09%—9.09%36.36%
1—4.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%—22.73%
2—4.55%————4.55%
3———4.55%—4.55%9.09%
44.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
5+4.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
Total13.64%18.18%18.18%27.27%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 2.41 -0.45
SD 2.19 1.59 3.02
CV 1.12 0.66 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Glentoran 1425 32 27.64 +4.36 94.0% 20 22 26 28 30 33 38
Linfield 1421 34 28.53 +5.47 93.0% 18 22 27 28 31 35 37
Derry City 1383 32 27.74 +4.26 91.0% 16 21 26 28 30 33 35
Ballymena United 1334 28 24.20 +3.80 88.0% 16 19 22 24 27 30 35
Glenavon 1331 25 26.51 -1.51 33.0% 16 19 23 27 29 32 36
Coleraine 1315 25 28.43 -3.43 18.0% 17 23 26 29 30 35 39
Portadown 1188 17 16.53 +0.47 61.0% 7 11 14 16 19 23 29
Crusaders 1183 21 23.30 -2.30 34.0% 14 16 20 23 26 29 32
Lisburn Distillery 1150 16 19.77 -3.77 21.0% 10 14 17 19 22 27 32
Ards 1030 14 16.64 -2.64 30.0% 9 11 14 17 19 23 24
Bangor 1020 14 16.19 -2.19 36.0% 7 10 14 16 19 21 28
Cliftonville 814 6 8.52 -2.52 21.0% 3 4 7 8 11 13 16

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+11.36%
Slight Edge
46.21%18.94%34.85%
Elo Value
Home Edge
111 Elo
0.009 goals per Elo point
039.65300
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.55 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.36+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.6
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
23%
Linfield, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Photo Finish
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.97 * Some Luck: 2.97 to 4.45 * Lucky: 4.45 to 5.93 * Wild Swing: 5.93 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.21 * Close: 1.21 to 1.82 * Off: 1.82 to 2.43 * Way Off: 2.43 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.33 points
Some Luck
03.719
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.524
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
94.00%
Glentoran
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
18.00%
Coleraine
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Top-Heavy
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 188.80
2.07
Strong Separation
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
79%
Clear Edge
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
97%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
43%
Few
0%40%100%
Blowouts
Expected
35%
Very Frequent
0%38%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.53
Highly Predictable
00.552
Matchup Imbalance
0.44
Slight Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.84
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.72
Strong Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.93
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.21
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.106
Well Within Noise
00.1470.4

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Glentoran 8
Derry City 3

Leg 1: Derry City 2-2 Glentoran

Leg 2: Glentoran 6-1 Derry City

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Linfield23.00%21.00%21.00%12.00%12.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%—1.00%——
Derry City18.00%23.00%21.00%10.00%9.00%10.00%4.00%3.00%—2.00%——
Glentoran16.00%14.00%19.00%16.00%13.00%11.00%7.00%4.00%————
Ballymena United5.00%2.00%9.00%13.00%15.00%20.00%22.00%9.00%3.00%2.00%——
Glenavon14.00%14.00%8.00%19.00%16.00%8.00%12.00%7.00%2.00%———
Coleraine21.00%20.00%16.00%16.00%13.00%9.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%———
Crusaders2.00%5.00%4.00%12.00%14.00%16.00%19.00%12.00%11.00%4.00%1.00%—
Portadown——1.00%—2.00%3.00%5.00%13.00%27.00%22.00%24.00%3.00%
Lisburn Distillery1.00%1.00%—2.00%5.00%13.00%11.00%22.00%18.00%16.00%11.00%—
Ards————1.00%5.00%7.00%9.00%24.00%29.00%23.00%2.00%
Bangor——1.00%——1.00%7.00%17.00%14.00%22.00%34.00%4.00%
Cliftonville—————————2.00%7.00%91.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Ballymena United 100%
Bangor 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Crusaders 100%
Derry City 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Portadown 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1965-09-18 Linfield L 1-341.0 1131 1253 31.61% 20.49% 47.90%-0.74 -17.6 0
1965-09-18 @ Ards W 3-141.0 1253 1131 47.90% 20.49% 31.61%+0.74 +17.6 2
1965-09-18 Cliftonville W 8-026.9 1227 988 70.45% 19.51% 10.04%+2.50 +26.8 2
1965-09-18 @ Ballymena United L 0-826.9 988 1227 10.04% 19.51% 70.45%-2.50 -26.8 0
1965-09-18 Coleraine W 4-247.7 1276 1324 41.68% 20.58% 37.73%-0.08 +18.2 2
1965-09-18 @ Crusaders L 2-447.7 1324 1276 37.73% 20.58% 41.68%+0.08 -18.2 0
1965-09-18 Glenavon L 1-348.5 1318 1269 54.29% 20.47% 25.24%+0.80 -27.8 0
1965-09-18 @ Derry City W 3-148.5 1269 1318 25.24% 20.47% 54.29%-0.80 +27.8 2
1965-09-18 Glentoran L 0-436.5 1204 1258 40.87% 20.58% 38.55%-0.13 -47.5 0
1965-09-18 @ Lisburn Distillery W 4-036.5 1258 1204 38.55% 20.58% 40.87%+0.13 +47.5 2
1965-09-18 Bangor D 0-049.6 1206 1142 55.97% 20.43% 23.60%+0.93 -2.6 1
1965-09-18 @ Portadown D 0-049.6 1142 1206 23.60% 20.43% 55.97%-0.93 +2.6 1
1965-09-24 Ballymena United D 0-050.2 1306 1253 54.70% 20.46% 24.84%+0.83 -2.4 3
1965-09-24 @ Glentoran D 0-050.2 1253 1306 24.84% 20.46% 54.70%-0.83 +2.4 3
1965-09-25 Crusaders D 1-152.6 1145 1294 28.17% 20.42% 51.41%-0.99 +1.6 2
1965-09-25 @ Bangor D 1-152.6 1294 1145 51.41% 20.42% 28.17%+0.99 -1.6 3
1965-09-25 Derry City D 1-152.6 961 1291 12.04% 19.45% 68.50%-2.61 +4.3 1
1965-09-25 @ Cliftonville D 1-152.6 1291 961 68.50% 19.45% 12.04%+2.61 -4.3 1
1965-09-25 Lisburn Distillery W 3-030.2 1306 1156 64.23% 20.07% 15.70%+1.70 +16.2 2
1965-09-25 @ Coleraine L 0-330.2 1156 1306 15.70% 20.07% 64.23%-1.70 -16.2 0
1965-09-25 Ards L 1-253.2 1297 1113 66.87% 19.88% 13.25%+2.01 -19.7 2
1965-09-25 @ Glenavon W 2-153.2 1113 1297 13.25% 19.88% 66.87%-2.01 +19.7 2
1965-09-25 Portadown W 3-032.6 1270 1203 56.30% 20.42% 23.28%+0.96 +22.9 4
1965-09-25 @ Linfield L 0-332.6 1203 1270 23.28% 20.42% 56.30%-0.96 -22.9 1
1965-10-09 Ballymena United D 0-049.7 1146 1256 33.21% 20.52% 46.27%-0.63 +1.0 3
1965-10-09 @ Bangor D 0-049.7 1256 1146 46.27% 20.52% 33.21%+0.63 -1.0 4
1965-10-09 Glenavon L 1-630.6 966 1277 13.14% 19.58% 67.27%-2.45 -18.2 1
1965-10-09 @ Cliftonville W 6-130.6 1277 966 67.27% 19.58% 13.14%+2.45 +18.2 4
1965-10-09 Derry City W 3-140.3 1322 1286 52.80% 20.50% 26.70%+0.68 +15.3 4
1965-10-09 @ Coleraine L 1-340.3 1286 1322 26.70% 20.50% 52.80%-0.68 -15.3 1
1965-10-09 Ards L 2-357.2 1304 1133 65.88% 19.96% 14.16%+1.89 -18.4 3
1965-10-09 @ Glentoran W 3-257.2 1133 1304 14.16% 19.96% 65.88%-1.89 +18.4 4
1965-10-09 Crusaders W 6-137.1 1293 1292 48.38% 20.56% 31.06%+0.36 +38.8 6
1965-10-09 @ Linfield L 1-637.1 1292 1293 31.06% 20.56% 48.38%-0.36 -38.8 3
1965-10-09 Lisburn Distillery L 0-341.4 1180 1140 53.26% 20.49% 26.25%+0.72 -45.7 1
1965-10-09 @ Portadown W 3-041.4 1140 1180 26.25% 20.49% 53.26%-0.72 +45.7 2
1965-10-16 Cliftonville D 1-152.5 1151 947 68.27% 19.75% 11.98%+2.19 -4.3 5
1965-10-16 @ Ards D 1-152.5 947 1151 11.98% 19.75% 68.27%-2.19 +4.3 2
1965-10-16 Coleraine L 1-245.1 1255 1338 36.82% 20.56% 42.62%-0.39 -11.5 4
1965-10-16 @ Ballymena United W 2-145.1 1338 1255 42.62% 20.56% 36.82%+0.39 +11.5 6
1965-10-16 Portadown W 5-028.8 1254 1135 61.52% 20.22% 18.25%+1.42 +29.8 5
1965-10-16 @ Crusaders L 0-528.8 1135 1254 18.25% 20.22% 61.52%-1.42 -29.8 1
1965-10-16 Glentoran W 3-247.9 1271 1285 46.43% 20.57% 33.00%+0.23 +10.0 3
1965-10-16 @ Derry City L 2-347.9 1285 1271 33.00% 20.57% 46.43%-0.23 -10.0 3
1965-10-16 Linfield L 0-143.9 1296 1332 43.43% 20.58% 35.98%+0.03 -14.0 4
1965-10-16 @ Glenavon W 1-043.9 1332 1296 35.98% 20.58% 43.43%-0.03 +14.0 8
1965-10-16 Bangor W 3-139.4 1186 1147 53.10% 20.49% 26.41%+0.70 +15.2 4
1965-10-16 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-339.4 1147 1186 26.41% 20.49% 53.10%-0.70 -15.2 3
1965-10-22 Glenavon D 0-050.2 1275 1282 47.43% 20.57% 32.00%+0.30 -1.2 4
1965-10-22 @ Glentoran D 0-050.2 1282 1275 32.00% 20.57% 47.43%-0.30 +1.2 5
1965-10-23 Derry City W 1-045.3 1132 1281 28.23% 20.42% 51.35%-0.98 +16.1 5
1965-10-23 @ Bangor L 0-145.3 1281 1132 51.35% 20.42% 28.23%+0.98 -16.1 3
1965-10-23 Ards W 5-131.8 1349 1147 68.16% 19.76% 12.08%+2.18 +13.8 8
1965-10-23 @ Coleraine L 1-531.8 1147 1349 12.08% 19.76% 68.16%-2.18 -13.8 5
1965-10-23 Lisburn Distillery W 1-036.6 1283 1201 57.92% 20.37% 21.71%+1.09 +7.9 7
1965-10-23 @ Crusaders L 0-136.6 1201 1283 21.71% 20.37% 57.92%-1.09 -7.9 4
1965-10-23 Cliftonville W 3-026.0 1346 952 77.43% 18.11% 4.46%+3.90 +4.8 10
1965-10-23 @ Linfield L 0-326.0 952 1346 4.46% 18.11% 77.43%-3.90 -4.8 2
1965-10-23 Ballymena United W 2-148.3 1105 1243 29.50% 20.45% 50.05%-0.89 +14.9 3
1965-10-23 @ Portadown L 1-248.3 1243 1105 50.05% 20.45% 29.50%+0.89 -14.9 4
1965-10-30 Bangor L 1-247.1 1133 1148 46.30% 20.58% 33.13%+0.22 -13.9 5
1965-10-30 @ Ards W 2-147.1 1148 1133 33.13% 20.58% 46.30%-0.22 +13.9 7
1965-10-30 Crusaders W 5-245.6 1228 1291 39.68% 20.58% 39.74%-0.21 +26.0 6
1965-10-30 @ Ballymena United L 2-545.6 1291 1228 39.74% 20.58% 39.68%+0.21 -26.0 7
1965-10-30 Glentoran L 3-541.8 947 1274 12.18% 19.47% 68.35%-2.58 -6.4 2
1965-10-30 @ Cliftonville W 5-341.8 1274 947 68.35% 19.47% 12.18%+2.58 +6.4 6
1965-10-30 Portadown W 5-028.1 1265 1120 63.83% 20.10% 16.07%+1.66 +26.6 5
1965-10-30 @ Derry City L 0-528.1 1120 1265 16.07% 20.10% 63.83%-1.66 -26.6 3
1965-10-30 Coleraine L 2-447.9 1283 1363 37.20% 20.56% 42.23%-0.36 -18.0 5
1965-10-30 @ Glenavon W 4-247.9 1363 1283 42.23% 20.56% 37.20%+0.36 +18.0 10
1965-10-30 Linfield D 3-361.0 1193 1351 27.22% 20.40% 52.38%-1.06 +1.1 5
1965-10-30 @ Lisburn Distillery D 3-361.0 1351 1193 52.38% 20.40% 27.22%+1.06 -1.1 11
1965-11-06 Glenavon L 2-543.7 1162 1265 34.11% 20.53% 45.36%-0.57 -22.9 7
1965-11-06 @ Bangor W 5-243.7 1265 1162 45.36% 20.53% 34.11%+0.57 +22.9 7
1965-11-06 Cliftonville W 6-231.3 1381 940 78.91% 17.61% 3.49%+4.32 +3.4 12
1965-11-06 @ Coleraine L 2-631.3 940 1381 3.49% 17.61% 78.91%-4.32 -3.4 2
1965-11-06 Derry City L 1-247.3 1265 1291 44.81% 20.58% 34.61%+0.12 -13.5 7
1965-11-06 @ Crusaders W 2-147.3 1291 1265 34.61% 20.58% 44.81%-0.12 +13.5 7
1965-11-06 Linfield W 2-040.8 1280 1349 38.76% 20.57% 40.66%-0.27 +24.9 8
1965-11-06 @ Glentoran L 0-240.8 1349 1280 40.66% 20.57% 38.76%+0.27 -24.9 11
1965-11-06 Ballymena United D 1-152.5 1194 1254 40.08% 20.58% 39.34%-0.18 -0.0 6
1965-11-06 @ Lisburn Distillery D 1-152.5 1254 1194 39.34% 20.58% 40.08%+0.18 +0.0 7
1965-11-06 Ards L 0-240.9 1093 1119 44.83% 20.58% 34.59%+0.12 -27.0 3
1965-11-06 @ Portadown W 2-040.9 1119 1093 34.59% 20.58% 44.83%-0.12 +27.0 7
1965-11-13 Crusaders D 2-256.4 1146 1252 33.74% 20.53% 45.73%-0.59 +0.6 8
1965-11-13 @ Ards D 2-256.4 1252 1146 45.73% 20.53% 33.74%+0.59 -0.6 8
1965-11-13 Bangor L 1-337.9 937 1139 22.28% 20.22% 57.50%-1.46 -13.1 2
1965-11-13 @ Cliftonville W 3-137.9 1139 937 57.50% 20.22% 22.28%+1.46 +13.1 9
1965-11-13 Lisburn Distillery W 3-137.4 1305 1194 60.75% 20.26% 18.99%+1.35 +11.4 9
1965-11-13 @ Derry City L 1-337.4 1194 1305 18.99% 20.26% 60.75%-1.35 -11.4 6
1965-11-13 Portadown W 4-132.7 1288 1066 69.43% 19.63% 10.94%+2.35 +9.8 9
1965-11-13 @ Glenavon L 1-432.7 1066 1288 10.94% 19.63% 69.43%-2.35 -9.8 3
1965-11-13 Coleraine W 2-041.8 1305 1385 37.33% 20.57% 42.10%-0.36 +25.6 10
1965-11-13 @ Glentoran L 0-241.8 1385 1305 42.10% 20.57% 37.33%+0.36 -25.6 12
1965-11-13 Ballymena United W 5-240.8 1325 1254 56.65% 20.41% 22.94%+0.99 +16.5 13
1965-11-13 @ Linfield L 2-540.8 1254 1325 22.94% 20.41% 56.65%-0.99 -16.5 7
1965-11-20 Derry City L 3-452.9 1238 1316 37.46% 20.57% 41.97%-0.35 -10.8 7
1965-11-20 @ Ballymena United W 4-352.9 1316 1238 41.97% 20.57% 37.46%+0.35 +10.8 11
1965-11-20 Glentoran L 0-431.7 1152 1331 24.79% 20.32% 54.89%-1.25 -31.5 9
1965-11-20 @ Bangor W 4-031.7 1331 1152 54.89% 20.32% 24.79%+1.25 +31.5 12
1965-11-20 Linfield D 0-051.4 1359 1341 50.57% 20.54% 28.90%+0.52 -1.7 13
1965-11-20 @ Coleraine D 0-051.4 1341 1359 28.90% 20.54% 50.57%-0.52 +1.7 14
1965-11-20 Glenavon W 2-145.0 1251 1298 41.98% 20.58% 37.43%-0.06 +11.7 10
1965-11-20 @ Crusaders L 1-245.0 1298 1251 37.43% 20.58% 41.98%+0.06 -11.7 9
1965-11-20 Ards D 2-256.3 1183 1147 52.79% 20.50% 26.71%+0.68 -1.4 7
1965-11-20 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-256.3 1147 1183 26.71% 20.50% 52.79%-0.68 +1.4 9
1965-11-20 Cliftonville W 7-234.3 1056 924 62.75% 20.16% 17.09%+1.55 +19.5 5
1965-11-20 @ Portadown L 2-734.3 924 1056 17.09% 20.16% 62.75%-1.55 -19.5 2
1965-11-27 Ballymena United L 1-244.5 1148 1227 37.38% 20.57% 42.05%-0.35 -11.7 9
1965-11-27 @ Ards W 2-144.5 1227 1148 42.05% 20.57% 37.38%+0.35 +11.7 9
1965-11-27 Crusaders L 0-426.6 904 1263 10.40% 19.23% 70.37%-2.87 -14.3 2
1965-11-27 @ Cliftonville W 4-026.6 1263 904 70.37% 19.23% 10.40%+2.87 +14.3 12
1965-11-27 Lisburn Distillery W 2-139.3 1286 1182 60.16% 20.29% 19.55%+1.30 +6.8 11
1965-11-27 @ Glenavon L 1-239.3 1182 1286 19.55% 20.29% 60.16%-1.30 -6.8 7
1965-11-27 Portadown W 2-029.6 1362 1076 73.03% 19.13% 7.84%+2.93 +5.8 14
1965-11-27 @ Glentoran L 0-229.6 1076 1362 7.84% 19.13% 73.03%-2.93 -5.8 5
1965-11-27 Derry City W 3-247.6 1343 1327 50.29% 20.54% 29.17%+0.50 +9.0 16
1965-11-27 @ Linfield L 2-347.6 1327 1343 29.17% 20.54% 50.29%-0.50 -9.0 11
1965-12-04 Glenavon D 5-565.6 1239 1293 40.94% 20.58% 38.48%-0.13 -0.1 10
1965-12-04 @ Ballymena United D 5-565.6 1293 1239 38.48% 20.58% 40.94%+0.13 +0.1 12
1965-12-04 Linfield L 1-435.6 1121 1352 19.49% 20.09% 60.42%-1.72 -16.5 9
1965-12-04 @ Bangor W 4-135.6 1352 1121 60.42% 20.09% 19.49%+1.72 +16.5 18
1965-12-04 Glentoran L 0-141.7 1277 1368 35.69% 20.55% 43.75%-0.46 -11.9 12
1965-12-04 @ Crusaders W 1-041.7 1368 1277 43.75% 20.55% 35.69%+0.46 +11.9 16
1965-12-04 Ards W 4-133.7 1318 1137 66.69% 19.89% 13.41%+1.99 +11.8 13
1965-12-04 @ Derry City L 1-433.7 1137 1318 13.41% 19.89% 66.69%-1.99 -11.8 9
1965-12-04 Cliftonville D 2-256.6 1175 890 72.94% 19.14% 7.91%+2.92 -3.8 8
1965-12-04 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-256.6 890 1175 7.91% 19.14% 72.94%-2.92 +3.8 3
1965-12-04 Coleraine L 3-542.9 1070 1357 14.86% 19.75% 65.39%-2.23 -7.7 5
1965-12-04 @ Portadown W 5-342.9 1357 1070 65.39% 19.75% 14.86%+2.23 +7.7 15
1965-12-11 Portadown W 4-137.3 1104 1062 53.49% 20.49% 26.03%+0.73 +21.2 11
1965-12-11 @ Bangor L 1-437.3 1062 1104 26.03% 20.49% 53.49%-0.73 -21.2 5
1965-12-11 Ballymena United L 1-531.0 894 1239 11.14% 19.33% 69.53%-2.74 -12.7 3
1965-12-11 @ Cliftonville W 5-131.0 1239 894 69.53% 19.33% 11.14%+2.74 +12.7 12
1965-12-11 Crusaders D 2-257.4 1365 1265 59.71% 20.30% 19.99%+1.25 -2.2 16
1965-12-11 @ Coleraine D 2-257.4 1265 1365 19.99% 20.30% 59.71%-1.25 +2.2 13
1965-12-11 Derry City L 1-247.2 1293 1330 43.31% 20.58% 36.11%+0.02 -13.1 12
1965-12-11 @ Glenavon W 2-147.2 1330 1293 36.11% 20.58% 43.31%-0.02 +13.1 15
1965-12-11 Lisburn Distillery W 7-336.7 1380 1171 68.61% 19.72% 11.67%+2.24 +10.4 18
1965-12-11 @ Glentoran L 3-736.7 1171 1380 11.67% 19.72% 68.61%-2.24 -10.4 8
1965-12-11 Ards W 5-131.0 1368 1125 70.74% 19.47% 9.79%+2.55 +11.3 20
1965-12-11 @ Linfield L 1-531.0 1125 1368 9.79% 19.47% 70.74%-2.55 -11.3 9
1965-12-18 Glenavon L 1-339.3 1113 1280 26.17% 20.37% 53.46%-1.14 -15.0 9
1965-12-18 @ Ards W 3-139.3 1280 1113 53.46% 20.37% 26.17%+1.14 +15.0 14
1965-12-18 Glentoran W 2-149.4 1251 1390 29.43% 20.45% 50.12%-0.89 +14.9 14
1965-12-18 @ Ballymena United L 1-249.4 1390 1251 50.12% 20.45% 29.43%+0.89 -14.9 18
1965-12-18 Bangor W 4-134.5 1267 1126 63.55% 20.11% 16.33%+1.63 +14.1 15
1965-12-18 @ Crusaders L 1-434.5 1126 1267 16.33% 20.11% 63.55%-1.63 -14.1 11
1965-12-18 Cliftonville W 4-129.5 1343 881 79.51% 17.37% 3.12%+4.51 +2.8 17
1965-12-18 @ Derry City L 1-429.5 881 1343 3.12% 17.37% 79.51%-4.51 -2.8 3
1965-12-18 Coleraine W 3-149.0 1161 1363 22.29% 20.22% 57.48%-1.46 +29.3 10
1965-12-18 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-349.0 1363 1161 57.48% 20.22% 22.29%+1.46 -29.2 16
1965-12-18 Linfield L 1-236.5 1041 1380 11.50% 19.38% 69.11%-2.69 -4.2 5
1965-12-18 @ Portadown W 2-136.5 1380 1041 69.11% 19.38% 11.50%+2.69 +4.2 22
1965-12-25 Bangor W 2-032.0 1266 1111 64.64% 20.05% 15.31%+1.75 +10.9 16
1965-12-25 @ Ballymena United L 0-232.0 1111 1266 15.31% 20.05% 64.64%-1.75 -10.9 11
1965-12-25 Linfield L 2-349.1 1281 1384 34.17% 20.53% 45.30%-0.56 -10.3 15
1965-12-25 @ Crusaders W 3-249.1 1384 1281 45.30% 20.53% 34.17%+0.56 +10.3 24
1965-12-25 Coleraine W 3-247.9 1346 1333 49.88% 20.54% 29.58%+0.47 +9.1 19
1965-12-25 @ Derry City L 2-347.9 1333 1346 29.58% 20.54% 49.88%-0.47 -9.1 16
1965-12-25 Cliftonville W 6-127.3 1295 878 78.16% 17.87% 3.97%+4.10 +5.7 16
1965-12-25 @ Glenavon L 1-627.3 878 1295 3.97% 17.87% 78.16%-4.10 -5.7 3
1965-12-25 Portadown D 3-360.5 1190 1037 64.48% 20.06% 15.46%+1.73 -2.3 11
1965-12-25 @ Lisburn Distillery D 3-360.5 1037 1190 15.46% 20.06% 64.48%-1.73 +2.3 6
1965-12-27 Lisburn Distillery L 1-342.3 1101 1188 36.25% 20.56% 43.19%-0.43 -19.7 11
1965-12-27 @ Bangor W 3-142.3 1188 1101 43.19% 20.56% 36.25%+0.43 +19.7 13
1965-12-27 Ballymena United L 1-348.5 1324 1277 54.08% 20.47% 25.44%+0.78 -27.6 16
1965-12-27 @ Coleraine W 3-148.5 1277 1324 25.44% 20.47% 54.08%-0.78 +27.6 18
1965-12-27 Derry City L 0-147.3 1376 1355 50.91% 20.53% 28.56%+0.54 -16.0 18
1965-12-27 @ Glentoran W 1-047.3 1355 1376 28.56% 20.53% 50.91%-0.54 +16.0 21
1965-12-27 Glenavon D 1-154.1 1394 1300 59.10% 20.33% 20.57%+1.20 -2.8 25
1965-12-27 @ Linfield D 1-154.1 1300 1394 20.57% 20.33% 59.10%-1.20 +2.8 17
1965-12-28 Glentoran L 2-342.5 1098 1360 16.87% 19.92% 63.21%-1.99 -5.6 9
1965-12-28 @ Ards W 3-242.5 1360 1098 63.21% 19.92% 16.87%+1.99 +5.6 20
1965-12-28 Bangor W 6-026.5 1297 1081 69.05% 19.67% 11.28%+2.30 +22.8 18
1965-12-28 @ Coleraine L 0-626.5 1081 1297 11.28% 19.67% 69.05%-2.30 -22.8 11
1966-01-01 Coleraine D 0-049.8 1093 1319 19.89% 20.11% 60.01%-1.68 +3.3 10
1966-01-01 @ Ards D 0-049.8 1319 1093 60.01% 20.11% 19.89%+1.68 -3.3 19
1966-01-01 Portadown W 1-032.1 1305 1039 71.96% 19.30% 8.74%+2.74 +3.4 20
1966-01-01 @ Ballymena United L 0-132.1 1039 1305 8.74% 19.30% 71.96%-2.74 -3.4 6
1966-01-01 Linfield L 0-1025.6 873 1391 4.53% 17.67% 77.80%-4.31 -14.9 3
1966-01-01 @ Cliftonville W 10-025.6 1391 873 77.80% 17.67% 4.53%+4.31 +15.0 27
1966-01-01 Bangor W 4-237.3 1371 1058 74.27% 18.90% 6.83%+3.17 +3.9 23
1966-01-01 @ Derry City L 2-437.3 1058 1371 6.83% 18.90% 74.27%-3.17 -3.9 11
1966-01-01 Glentoran W 8-241.4 1303 1365 39.80% 20.58% 39.62%-0.20 +46.3 19
1966-01-01 @ Glenavon L 2-841.4 1365 1303 39.62% 20.58% 39.80%+0.20 -46.3 20
1966-01-01 Crusaders L 1-245.4 1207 1271 39.52% 20.58% 39.90%-0.22 -12.2 13
1966-01-01 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-145.4 1271 1207 39.90% 20.58% 39.52%+0.22 +12.2 17
1966-01-08 Ards D 2-256.2 1054 1096 42.64% 20.59% 36.78%-0.02 -0.3 12
1966-01-08 @ Bangor D 2-256.2 1096 1054 36.78% 20.59% 42.64%+0.02 +0.3 11
1966-01-08 Glenavon W 2-039.6 1316 1350 43.82% 20.58% 35.60%+0.06 +22.4 21
1966-01-08 @ Coleraine L 0-239.6 1350 1316 35.60% 20.58% 43.82%-0.06 -22.4 19
1966-01-08 Ballymena United L 1-345.7 1283 1308 44.98% 20.58% 34.44%+0.13 -23.5 17
1966-01-08 @ Crusaders W 3-145.7 1308 1283 34.44% 20.58% 44.98%-0.13 +23.5 22
1966-01-08 Cliftonville W 2-027.4 1319 858 79.49% 17.38% 3.13%+4.50 +2.3 22
1966-01-08 @ Glentoran L 0-227.4 858 1319 3.13% 17.38% 79.49%-4.50 -2.3 3
1966-01-08 Lisburn Distillery D 3-361.5 1406 1195 68.74% 19.70% 11.56%+2.25 -2.7 28
1966-01-08 @ Linfield D 3-361.5 1195 1406 11.56% 19.70% 68.74%-2.25 +2.7 14
1966-01-08 Derry City W 5-359.1 1036 1375 11.47% 19.38% 69.15%-2.69 +29.8 8
1966-01-08 @ Portadown L 3-559.1 1375 1036 69.15% 19.38% 11.47%+2.69 -29.8 23
1966-01-15 Portadown L 1-445.2 1096 1066 52.15% 20.51% 27.34%+0.63 -37.8 11
1966-01-15 @ Ards W 4-145.2 1066 1096 27.34% 20.51% 52.15%-0.63 +37.8 10
1966-01-15 Lisburn Distillery W 3-030.8 1332 1198 62.88% 20.15% 16.97%+1.56 +17.3 24
1966-01-15 @ Ballymena United L 0-330.8 1198 1332 16.97% 20.15% 62.88%-1.56 -17.3 14
1966-01-15 Coleraine D 3-361.1 856 1339 5.46% 18.05% 76.49%-3.99 +3.5 4
1966-01-15 @ Cliftonville D 3-361.1 1339 856 76.49% 18.05% 5.46%+3.99 -3.5 22
1966-01-15 Crusaders W 5-030.6 1345 1260 58.25% 20.36% 21.39%+1.12 +34.2 25
1966-01-15 @ Derry City L 0-530.6 1260 1345 21.39% 20.36% 58.25%-1.12 -34.2 17
1966-01-15 Bangor W 3-133.7 1327 1054 72.37% 19.24% 8.39%+2.81 +5.3 21
1966-01-15 @ Glenavon L 1-333.7 1054 1327 8.39% 19.24% 72.37%-2.81 -5.4 12
1966-01-15 Glentoran L 1-252.7 1403 1321 57.95% 20.37% 21.68%+1.10 -17.1 28
1966-01-15 @ Linfield W 2-152.7 1321 1403 21.68% 20.37% 57.95%-1.10 +17.1 24
1966-01-22 Linfield D 0-051.9 1349 1386 43.28% 20.58% 36.14%+0.02 -0.5 25
1966-01-22 @ Ballymena United D 0-051.9 1386 1349 36.14% 20.58% 43.28%-0.02 +0.5 29
1966-01-22 Cliftonville W 3-135.0 1049 859 67.27% 19.84% 12.88%+2.06 +8.0 14
1966-01-22 @ Bangor L 1-335.0 859 1049 12.88% 19.84% 67.27%-2.06 -8.0 4
1966-01-22 Glentoran L 0-145.7 1335 1338 47.90% 20.56% 31.54%+0.33 -15.2 22
1966-01-22 @ Coleraine W 1-045.7 1338 1335 31.54% 20.56% 47.90%-0.33 +15.2 26
1966-01-22 Ards W 6-131.1 1226 1059 65.61% 19.98% 14.41%+1.86 +19.9 19
1966-01-22 @ Crusaders L 1-631.1 1059 1226 14.41% 19.98% 65.61%-1.86 -19.9 11
1966-01-22 Derry City L 2-540.6 1181 1379 22.62% 20.24% 57.14%-1.43 -16.2 14
1966-01-22 @ Lisburn Distillery W 5-240.6 1379 1181 57.14% 20.24% 22.62%+1.43 +16.2 27
1966-01-22 Glenavon W 4-359.2 1103 1332 19.67% 20.09% 60.24%-1.70 +16.4 12
1966-01-22 @ Portadown L 3-459.2 1332 1103 60.24% 20.09% 19.67%+1.70 -16.4 21
1966-01-28 Bangor W 3-133.4 1353 1057 73.53% 19.04% 7.43%+3.03 +4.8 28
1966-01-28 @ Glentoran L 1-333.4 1057 1353 7.43% 19.04% 73.53%-3.03 -4.8 14
1966-01-29 Lisburn Distillery W 1-044.2 1039 1164 31.10% 20.49% 48.41%-0.77 +15.3 13
1966-01-29 @ Ards L 0-144.2 1164 1039 48.41% 20.49% 31.10%+0.77 -15.3 14
1966-01-29 Portadown L 0-627.9 851 1120 16.25% 19.87% 63.88%-2.06 -31.8 4
1966-01-29 @ Cliftonville W 6-027.9 1120 851 63.88% 19.87% 16.25%+2.06 +31.7 14
1966-01-29 Ballymena United W 5-138.1 1396 1349 54.08% 20.47% 25.45%+0.78 +26.9 29
1966-01-29 @ Derry City L 1-538.1 1349 1396 25.45% 20.47% 54.08%-0.78 -26.9 25
1966-01-29 Crusaders W 4-137.1 1316 1246 56.70% 20.41% 22.90%+0.99 +19.0 23
1966-01-29 @ Glenavon L 1-437.1 1246 1316 22.90% 20.41% 56.70%-0.99 -19.0 19
1966-01-29 Coleraine W 4-138.4 1387 1320 56.31% 20.42% 23.27%+0.96 +19.3 31
1966-01-29 @ Linfield L 1-438.4 1320 1387 23.27% 20.42% 56.31%-0.96 -19.3 22
1966-02-03 Crusaders W 4-036.5 1152 1227 37.93% 20.57% 41.50%-0.32 +48.1 16
1966-02-03 @ Portadown L 0-436.5 1227 1152 41.50% 20.57% 37.93%+0.32 -48.1 19
1966-02-05 Ards D 2-256.8 1322 1054 72.08% 19.28% 8.64%+2.76 -3.7 26
1966-02-05 @ Ballymena United D 2-256.8 1054 1322 8.64% 19.28% 72.08%-2.76 +3.7 14
1966-02-05 Coleraine L 0-330.7 1052 1301 17.90% 19.99% 62.11%-1.88 -18.1 14
1966-02-05 @ Bangor W 3-030.7 1301 1052 62.11% 19.99% 17.90%+1.88 +18.1 24
1966-02-05 Cliftonville W 7-127.3 1179 819 76.18% 18.46% 5.36%+3.59 +9.1 21
1966-02-05 @ Crusaders L 1-727.3 819 1179 5.36% 18.46% 76.18%-3.59 -9.1 4
1966-02-05 Linfield D 0-053.8 1422 1406 50.37% 20.54% 29.09%+0.50 -1.7 30
1966-02-05 @ Derry City D 0-053.8 1406 1422 29.09% 20.54% 50.37%-0.50 +1.7 32
1966-02-05 Glenavon L 2-442.9 1149 1335 23.96% 20.29% 55.75%-1.32 -12.5 14
1966-02-05 @ Lisburn Distillery W 4-242.9 1335 1149 55.75% 20.29% 23.96%+1.32 +12.5 25
1966-02-05 Glentoran L 1-340.1 1200 1358 27.08% 20.39% 52.53%-1.07 -15.5 16
1966-02-05 @ Portadown W 3-140.1 1358 1200 52.53% 20.39% 27.08%+1.07 +15.5 30
1966-02-17 Ards W 2-151.6 810 1058 18.02% 20.00% 61.99%-1.87 +18.2 6
1966-02-17 @ Cliftonville L 1-251.6 1058 810 61.99% 20.00% 18.02%+1.87 -18.2 14
1966-02-19 Portadown D 1-152.8 1319 1184 62.94% 20.15% 16.91%+1.57 -3.4 25
1966-02-19 @ Coleraine D 1-152.8 1184 1319 16.91% 20.15% 62.94%-1.57 +3.4 17
1966-02-19 Ballymena United L 0-146.8 1348 1318 52.01% 20.51% 27.47%+0.62 -16.3 25
1966-02-19 @ Glenavon W 1-046.8 1318 1348 27.47% 20.51% 52.01%-0.62 +16.3 28
1966-03-02 Bangor W 8-025.3 1408 1034 76.73% 18.31% 4.95%+3.72 +13.4 34
1966-03-02 @ Linfield L 0-825.3 1034 1408 4.95% 18.31% 76.73%-3.72 -13.4 14
1966-03-10 Derry City L 0-328.0 1039 1421 9.24% 19.03% 71.73%-3.07 -9.8 14
1966-03-10 @ Ards W 3-028.0 1421 1039 71.73% 19.03% 9.24%+3.07 +9.8 32
1966-03-22 Lisburn Distillery L 0-329.1 828 1136 13.39% 19.61% 67.00%-2.41 -13.9 6
1966-03-22 @ Cliftonville W 3-029.1 1136 828 67.00% 19.61% 13.39%+2.41 +13.9 16
1966-04-11 Crusaders W 2-137.6 1374 1188 67.02% 19.87% 13.12%+2.03 +4.7 32
1966-04-11 @ Glentoran L 1-237.6 1188 1374 13.12% 19.87% 67.02%-2.03 -4.7 21

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
1966-05-21 Glentoran D 2-260.1 1431 1378 54.68% 20.46% 24.86%+0.83 -1.6 0-0-1
1966-05-21 @ Derry City D 2-260.1 1378 1431 24.86% 20.46% 54.68%-0.83 +1.6 0-0-1
1966-05-28 Derry City W 6-142.1 1380 1429 41.62% 20.58% 37.80%-0.09 +45.5 1-0-1
1966-05-28 @ Glentoran L 1-642.1 1429 1380 37.80% 20.58% 41.62%+0.09 -45.5 0-1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1966-01-08 11.47% @ Portadown 1036 5 Derry City 1375 3
2 1965-09-25 13.25% Ards 1113 2 @ Glenavon 1297 1
3 1965-10-09 14.16% Ards 1133 3 @ Glentoran 1304 2
4 1966-02-17 18.02% @ Cliftonville 810 2 Ards 1058 1
5 1966-01-22 19.67% @ Portadown 1103 4 Glenavon 1332 3
6 1966-01-15 21.68% Glentoran 1321 2 @ Linfield 1403 1
7 1965-12-18 22.29% @ Lisburn Distillery 1161 3 Coleraine 1363 1
8 1965-09-18 25.24% Glenavon 1269 3 @ Derry City 1318 1
9 1965-12-27 25.44% Ballymena United 1277 3 @ Coleraine 1324 1
10 1965-10-09 26.25% Lisburn Distillery 1140 3 @ Portadown 1180 0
11 1966-01-15 27.34% Portadown 1066 4 @ Ards 1096 1
12 1966-02-19 27.47% Ballymena United 1318 1 @ Glenavon 1348 0
13 1965-10-23 28.23% @ Bangor 1132 1 Derry City 1281 0
14 1965-12-27 28.56% Derry City 1355 1 @ Glentoran 1376 0
15 1965-12-18 29.43% @ Ballymena United 1251 2 Glentoran 1390 1
16 1965-10-23 29.50% @ Portadown 1105 2 Ballymena United 1243 1
17 1966-01-29 31.10% @ Ards 1039 1 Lisburn Distillery 1164 0
18 1966-01-22 31.54% Glentoran 1338 1 @ Coleraine 1335 0
19 1965-10-30 33.13% Bangor 1148 2 @ Ards 1133 1
20 1966-01-08 34.44% Ballymena United 1308 3 @ Crusaders 1283 1
21 1965-11-06 34.59% Ards 1119 2 @ Portadown 1093 0
22 1965-11-06 34.61% Derry City 1291 2 @ Crusaders 1265 1
23 1965-10-16 35.98% Linfield 1332 1 @ Glenavon 1296 0
24 1965-12-11 36.11% Derry City 1330 2 @ Glenavon 1293 1
25 1965-11-13 37.33% @ Glentoran 1305 2 Coleraine 1385 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1966-02-03 48.08 @ Portadown 4 1152 37.93% Crusaders 0 1227 41.50% 20.57%
2 1965-09-18 47.48 Glentoran 4 1258 38.55% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1204 40.87% 20.58%
3 1966-01-01 46.33 @ Glenavon 8 1303 39.80% Glentoran 2 1365 39.62% 20.58%
4 1965-10-09 45.72 Lisburn Distillery 3 1140 26.25% @ Portadown 0 1180 53.26% 20.49%
5 1966-05-28 * 45.54 @ Glentoran 6 1380 41.62% Derry City 1 1429 37.80% 20.58%
6 1965-10-09 38.84 @ Linfield 6 1293 48.38% Crusaders 1 1292 31.06% 20.56%
7 1966-01-15 37.80 Portadown 4 1066 27.34% @ Ards 1 1096 52.15% 20.51%
8 1966-01-15 34.24 @ Derry City 5 1345 58.25% Crusaders 0 1260 21.39% 20.36%
9 1966-01-29 31.75 Portadown 6 1120 63.88% @ Cliftonville 0 851 16.25% 19.87%
10 1965-11-20 31.46 Glentoran 4 1331 54.89% @ Bangor 0 1152 24.79% 20.32%
11 1965-10-16 29.79 @ Crusaders 5 1254 61.52% Portadown 0 1135 18.25% 20.22%
12 1966-01-08 29.75 @ Portadown 5 1036 11.47% Derry City 3 1375 69.15% 19.38%
13 1965-12-18 29.26 @ Lisburn Distillery 3 1161 22.29% Coleraine 1 1363 57.48% 20.22%
14 1965-09-18 27.75 Glenavon 3 1269 25.24% @ Derry City 1 1318 54.29% 20.47%
15 1965-12-27 27.65 Ballymena United 3 1277 25.44% @ Coleraine 1 1324 54.08% 20.47%
16 1965-11-06 27.02 Ards 2 1119 34.59% @ Portadown 0 1093 44.83% 20.58%
17 1966-01-29 26.86 @ Derry City 5 1396 54.08% Ballymena United 1 1349 25.45% 20.47%
18 1965-09-18 26.83 @ Ballymena United 8 1227 70.45% Cliftonville 0 988 10.04% 19.51%
19 1965-10-30 26.59 @ Derry City 5 1265 63.83% Portadown 0 1120 16.07% 20.10%
20 1965-10-30 25.95 @ Ballymena United 5 1228 39.68% Crusaders 2 1291 39.74% 20.58%
21 1965-11-13 25.63 @ Glentoran 2 1305 37.33% Coleraine 0 1385 42.10% 20.57%
22 1965-11-06 24.93 @ Glentoran 2 1280 38.76% Linfield 0 1349 40.66% 20.57%
23 1966-01-08 23.46 Ballymena United 3 1308 34.44% @ Crusaders 1 1283 44.98% 20.58%
24 1965-11-06 22.95 Glenavon 5 1265 45.36% @ Bangor 2 1162 34.11% 20.53%
25 1965-09-25 22.88 @ Linfield 3 1270 56.30% Portadown 0 1203 23.28% 20.42%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1965-12-04 65.6 @ Ballymena United 5 1239 40.94% Glenavon 5 1293 38.48% 20.58%
2 1966-01-08 61.5 @ Linfield 3 1406 68.74% Lisburn Distillery 3 1195 11.56% 19.70%
3 1966-01-15 61.1 @ Cliftonville 3 856 5.46% Coleraine 3 1339 76.49% 18.05%
4 1965-10-30 61.0 @ Lisburn Distillery 3 1193 27.22% Linfield 3 1351 52.38% 20.40%
5 1965-12-25 60.5 @ Lisburn Distillery 3 1190 64.48% Portadown 3 1037 15.46% 20.06%
6 1966-05-21 * 60.1 @ Derry City 2 1431 54.68% Glentoran 2 1378 24.86% 20.46%
7 1966-01-22 59.2 @ Portadown 4 1103 19.67% Glenavon 3 1332 60.24% 20.09%
8 1966-01-08 59.1 @ Portadown 5 1036 11.47% Derry City 3 1375 69.15% 19.38%
9 1965-12-11 57.4 @ Coleraine 2 1365 59.71% Crusaders 2 1265 19.99% 20.30%
10 1965-10-09 57.2 Ards 3 1133 14.16% @ Glentoran 2 1304 65.88% 19.96%
11 1966-02-05 56.8 @ Ballymena United 2 1322 72.08% Ards 2 1054 8.64% 19.28%
12 1965-12-04 56.6 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1175 72.94% Cliftonville 2 890 7.91% 19.14%
13 1965-11-13 56.4 @ Ards 2 1146 33.74% Crusaders 2 1252 45.73% 20.53%
14 1965-11-20 56.3 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1183 52.79% Ards 2 1147 26.71% 20.50%
15 1966-01-08 56.2 @ Bangor 2 1054 42.64% Ards 2 1096 36.78% 20.59%
16 1965-12-27 54.1 @ Linfield 1 1394 59.10% Glenavon 1 1300 20.57% 20.33%
17 1966-02-05 53.8 @ Derry City 0 1422 50.37% Linfield 0 1406 29.09% 20.54%
18 1965-09-25 53.2 Ards 2 1113 13.25% @ Glenavon 1 1297 66.87% 19.88%
19 1965-11-20 52.9 Derry City 4 1316 41.97% @ Ballymena United 3 1238 37.46% 20.57%
20 1966-02-19 52.8 @ Coleraine 1 1319 62.94% Portadown 1 1184 16.91% 20.15%
21 1966-01-15 52.7 Glentoran 2 1321 21.68% @ Linfield 1 1403 57.95% 20.37%
22 1965-09-25 52.6 @ Bangor 1 1145 28.17% Crusaders 1 1294 51.41% 20.42%
23 1965-09-25 52.6 @ Cliftonville 1 961 12.04% Derry City 1 1291 68.50% 19.45%
24 1965-10-16 52.5 @ Ards 1 1151 68.27% Cliftonville 1 947 11.98% 19.75%
25 1965-11-06 52.5 @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1194 40.08% Ballymena United 1 1254 39.34% 20.58%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1966-03-02 25.3 @ Linfield 8 1408 76.73% Bangor 0 1034 4.95% 18.31%
2 1966-01-01 25.6 Linfield 10 1391 77.80% @ Cliftonville 0 873 4.53% 17.67%
3 1965-10-23 26.0 @ Linfield 3 1346 77.43% Cliftonville 0 952 4.46% 18.11%
4 1965-12-28 26.5 @ Coleraine 6 1297 69.05% Bangor 0 1081 11.28% 19.67%
5 1965-11-27 26.6 Crusaders 4 1263 70.37% @ Cliftonville 0 904 10.40% 19.23%
6 1965-09-18 26.9 @ Ballymena United 8 1227 70.45% Cliftonville 0 988 10.04% 19.51%
7 1965-12-25 27.3 @ Glenavon 6 1295 78.16% Cliftonville 1 878 3.97% 17.87%
8 1966-02-05 27.3 @ Crusaders 7 1179 76.18% Cliftonville 1 819 5.36% 18.46%
9 1966-01-08 27.4 @ Glentoran 2 1319 79.49% Cliftonville 0 858 3.13% 17.38%
10 1966-01-29 27.9 Portadown 6 1120 63.88% @ Cliftonville 0 851 16.25% 19.87%
11 1966-03-10 28.0 Derry City 3 1421 71.73% @ Ards 0 1039 9.24% 19.03%
12 1965-10-30 28.1 @ Derry City 5 1265 63.83% Portadown 0 1120 16.07% 20.10%
13 1965-10-16 28.8 @ Crusaders 5 1254 61.52% Portadown 0 1135 18.25% 20.22%
14 1966-03-22 29.1 Lisburn Distillery 3 1136 67.00% @ Cliftonville 0 828 13.39% 19.61%
15 1965-12-18 29.5 @ Derry City 4 1343 79.51% Cliftonville 1 881 3.12% 17.37%
16 1965-11-27 29.6 @ Glentoran 2 1362 73.03% Portadown 0 1076 7.84% 19.13%
17 1965-09-25 30.2 @ Coleraine 3 1306 64.23% Lisburn Distillery 0 1156 15.70% 20.07%
18 1965-10-09 30.6 Glenavon 6 1277 67.27% @ Cliftonville 1 966 13.14% 19.58%
19 1966-01-15 30.6 @ Derry City 5 1345 58.25% Crusaders 0 1260 21.39% 20.36%
20 1966-02-05 30.7 Coleraine 3 1301 62.11% @ Bangor 0 1052 17.90% 19.99%
21 1966-01-15 30.8 @ Ballymena United 3 1332 62.88% Lisburn Distillery 0 1198 16.97% 20.15%
22 1965-12-11 31.0 Ballymena United 5 1239 69.53% @ Cliftonville 1 894 11.14% 19.33%
23 1965-12-11 31.0 @ Linfield 5 1368 70.74% Ards 1 1125 9.79% 19.47%
24 1966-01-22 31.1 @ Crusaders 6 1226 65.61% Ards 1 1059 14.41% 19.98%
25 1965-11-06 31.3 @ Coleraine 6 1381 78.91% Cliftonville 2 940 3.49% 17.61%