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1966-67 Irish League Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Glentoran

34 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ards

4.70 points above expected

21 points · 16.30 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lisburn Distillery

3.38 points below expected

17 points · 20.38 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Glentoran 22 14 6 2 34 67 35 +32 30.32 +3.68
2 Linfield 22 14 5 3 33 70 37 +33 30.15 +2.85
3 Derry City 22 11 5 6 27 51 42 +9 28.42 -1.42
4 Coleraine 22 10 5 7 25 53 42 +11 25.41 -0.41
5 Crusaders 22 11 2 9 24 63 60 +3 20.91 +3.09
6 Glenavon 22 9 5 8 23 50 39 +11 25.20 -2.20
7 Ballymena United 22 9 5 8 23 54 45 +9 26.02 -3.02
8 Ards 22 7 7 8 21 37 38 -1 16.30 +4.70
9 Portadown 22 8 4 10 20 46 48 -2 20.12 -0.12
10 Lisburn Distillery 22 6 5 11 17 44 53 -9 20.38 -3.38
11 Bangor 22 3 3 16 9 35 95 -60 12.13 -3.13
12 Cliftonville 22 2 4 16 8 23 59 -36 8.64 -0.64

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ards 21 16.30 +4.70
2 Glentoran 34 30.32 +3.68
3 Crusaders 24 20.91 +3.09
4 Linfield 33 30.15 +2.85
5 Portadown 20 20.12 -0.12

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lisburn Distillery 17 20.38 -3.38
2 Bangor 9 12.13 -3.13
3 Ballymena United 23 26.02 -3.02
4 Glenavon 23 25.20 -2.20
5 Derry City 27 28.42 -1.42

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Linfield 6 Oct 1 – Nov 12 1 in 32
2 Crusaders 3 Jan 28 – Feb 11 1 in 29
3 Coleraine 4 Sep 17 – Oct 8 1 in 19
4 Derry City 4 Nov 19 – Dec 10 1 in 11
5 Ards 2 Sep 24 – Oct 1 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Derry City 3 Jan 28 – Feb 11 1 in 260
2 Coleraine 5 Oct 15 – Nov 19 1 in 203
3 Portadown 6 Oct 8 – Nov 19 1 in 140
4 Glenavon 3 Dec 26 – Jan 7 1 in 21
5 Bangor 6 Oct 29 – Dec 3 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ards 8 Sep 24 – Nov 19 1 in 698
2 Coleraine 10 Nov 26 – Jan 21 1 in 53
3 Glentoran 11 Sep 17 – Dec 3 1 in 27
4 Lisburn Distillery 5 Oct 15 – Nov 19 1 in 18
5 Ballymena United 8 Oct 15 – Dec 10 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Glenavon 6 Oct 1 – Nov 12 1 in 49
2 Ballymena United 5 Sep 17 – Oct 15 1 in 29
3 Derry City 3 Jan 28 – Feb 11 1 in 20
4 Lisburn Distillery 6 Nov 26 – Dec 27 1 in 16
5 Ards 10 Nov 12 – Jan 7 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Glentoran 1626 34 +1 6 7.0 -1.0
Linfield 1626 33 +3 7 7.0 -0.0
Derry City 1535 27 -35 3 6.9 -3.9
Coleraine 1523 25 -4 5 5.9 -0.9
Crusaders 1444 24 +22 7 4.2 +2.8
Glenavon 1512 23 +18 7 5.7 +1.3
Ballymena United 1520 23 -10 4 5.6 -1.6
Ards 1348 21 +23 6 4.2 +1.8
Portadown 1427 20 +0 5 4.4 +0.6
Lisburn Distillery 1384 17 -22 4 4.7 -0.7
Bangor 1199 9 +4 4 2.2 +1.8
Cliftonville 1143 8 -2 2 2.3 -0.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BU BAN CLI COL CRU DC GLE GLE LIN LD POR
Ards —
0-1-1
1.53
1-1-0
3.20
2-0-0
3.99
1-0-1
1.51
1-0-1
2.11
1-0-1
1.34
0-1-1
1.49
0-1-1
1.10
0-1-1
1.09
1-1-0
2.28
0-1-1
2.11
Ballymena United
1-1-0
4.05
—
2-0-0
4.60
1-1-0
4.84
1-1-0
2.77
1-0-1
3.42
0-0-2
2.44
1-1-0
2.84
0-0-2
2.25
0-0-2
2.19
1-1-0
3.65
1-0-1
3.47
Bangor
0-1-1
2.37
0-0-2
1.04
—
1-0-1
3.32
1-0-1
0.98
0-0-2
1.57
0-1-1
0.97
0-0-2
1.23
0-0-2
0.77
0-1-1
0.71
0-0-2
1.75
1-0-1
1.57
Cliftonville
0-0-2
1.59
0-1-1
0.83
1-0-1
2.25
—
0-1-1
0.84
0-1-1
1.16
0-0-2
0.74
0-0-2
0.85
0-0-2
0.58
0-0-2
0.60
0-1-1
1.18
1-0-1
1.16
Coleraine
1-0-1
4.08
0-1-1
2.79
1-0-1
4.66
1-1-0
4.83
—
2-0-0
3.40
1-0-1
2.48
1-1-0
2.72
1-0-1
2.17
0-0-2
2.29
1-1-0
3.54
1-1-0
3.47
Crusaders
1-0-1
3.45
1-0-1
2.14
2-0-0
4.02
1-1-0
4.46
0-0-2
2.17
—
1-0-1
1.94
2-0-0
2.09
0-0-2
1.55
0-1-1
1.49
1-0-1
3.02
2-0-0
2.66
Derry City
1-0-1
4.26
2-0-0
3.12
1-1-0
4.68
2-0-0
4.95
1-0-1
3.08
1-0-1
3.63
—
1-1-0
3.20
1-1-0
2.48
1-0-1
2.31
0-1-1
4.03
0-1-1
3.89
Glenavon
1-1-0
4.10
0-1-1
2.71
2-0-0
4.39
2-0-0
4.81
0-1-1
2.83
0-0-2
3.48
0-1-1
2.36
—
0-1-1
2.18
2-0-0
2.20
1-0-1
3.56
1-0-1
3.53
Glentoran
1-1-0
4.52
2-0-0
3.31
2-0-0
4.90
2-0-0
5.14
1-0-1
3.39
2-0-0
4.05
0-1-1
3.07
1-1-0
3.39
—
0-2-0
2.73
2-0-0
4.09
1-1-0
4.08
Linfield
1-1-0
4.54
2-0-0
3.37
1-1-0
4.99
2-0-0
5.12
2-0-0
3.28
1-1-0
4.10
1-0-1
3.24
0-0-2
3.36
0-2-0
2.83
—
2-0-0
4.11
2-0-0
4.07
Lisburn Distillery
0-1-1
3.28
0-1-1
1.92
2-0-0
3.83
1-1-0
4.44
0-1-1
2.02
1-0-1
2.53
1-1-0
1.56
1-0-1
2.01
0-0-2
1.50
0-0-2
1.48
—
0-0-2
2.79
Portadown
1-1-0
3.45
1-0-1
2.09
1-0-1
4.01
1-0-1
4.47
0-1-1
2.09
0-0-2
2.89
1-1-0
1.68
1-0-1
2.03
0-1-1
1.51
0-0-2
1.52
2-0-0
2.76
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.83 +5.3
Allowed 0.56 -3.6
Differential 0.91 +2.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
00.76%3.03%4.55%1.14%1.14%2.27%12.88%
13.03%7.58%4.55%4.17%4.17%1.89%25.38%
24.55%4.55%8.33%4.17%2.27%3.79%27.65%
31.14%4.17%4.17%0.76%0.76%1.14%12.12%
41.14%4.17%2.27%0.76%3.79%0.38%12.50%
5+2.27%1.89%3.79%1.14%0.38%—9.47%
Total12.88%25.38%27.65%12.12%12.50%9.47%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.25 2.25 +0.00
SD 1.78 1.78 2.67
CV 0.79 0.79 —
Max 11 11 +11
Min 0 0 -11

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
19.09%18.18%4.55%9.09%——40.91%
24.55%—9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%27.27%
34.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%36.36%18.18%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.73 -0.05
SD 1.04 1.49 1.79
CV 0.62 0.86 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—13.64%13.64%—4.55%—31.82%
29.09%13.64%—4.55%4.55%4.55%36.36%
3————4.55%—4.55%
44.55%4.55%——9.09%—18.18%
5+—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
Total13.64%36.36%13.64%9.09%22.73%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.45 2.05 +0.41
SD 1.60 1.56 2.09
CV 0.65 0.76 —
Max 7 5 +4
Min 1 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%——18.18%22.73%
1——4.55%4.55%13.64%13.64%36.36%
2——9.09%4.55%4.55%—18.18%
3—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
4———4.55%4.55%—9.09%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total—4.55%22.73%13.64%22.73%36.36%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 4.32 -2.73
SD 1.44 2.57 3.43
CV 0.90 0.60 —
Max 5 11 +3
Min 0 1 -11

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%13.64%—4.55%4.55%31.82%
14.55%9.09%4.55%13.64%4.55%—36.36%
2——4.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%27.27%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%13.64%27.27%22.73%13.64%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 2.68 -1.64
SD 0.90 1.70 1.68
CV 0.86 0.63 —
Max 3 7 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
14.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
29.09%—13.64%—4.55%—27.27%
3——9.09%—4.55%—13.64%
4—9.09%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total13.64%22.73%40.91%4.55%18.18%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.41 1.91 +0.50
SD 1.59 1.27 2.04
CV 0.66 0.66 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%———9.09%
1———13.64%—4.55%18.18%
2—9.09%—9.09%——18.18%
3—9.09%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
4———4.55%4.55%4.55%13.64%
5+4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
Total9.09%22.73%18.18%31.82%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.86 2.73 +0.14
SD 1.83 2.21 2.85
CV 0.64 0.81 —
Max 6 9 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
19.09%9.09%——4.55%—22.73%
24.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
3——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
44.55%4.55%——9.09%—18.18%
5+——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
Total18.18%31.82%22.73%4.55%18.18%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 1.91 +0.41
SD 2.12 1.63 2.20
CV 0.92 0.85 —
Max 9 6 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
1—4.55%9.09%—4.55%—18.18%
29.09%4.55%13.64%——4.55%31.82%
3—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
4—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
5+9.09%—————9.09%
Total18.18%27.27%36.36%—13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 1.77 +0.50
SD 2.21 1.41 2.97
CV 0.97 0.80 —
Max 10 5 +10
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
1—4.55%————4.55%
24.55%9.09%18.18%4.55%——36.36%
3—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
4——9.09%—4.55%—13.64%
5+9.09%—13.64%———22.73%
Total13.64%27.27%50.00%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.05 1.59 +1.45
SD 1.53 0.96 1.79
CV 0.50 0.60 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
24.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%27.27%
34.55%9.09%————13.64%
4—13.64%13.64%—4.55%—31.82%
5+—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
Total9.09%40.91%36.36%4.55%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.18 1.68 +1.50
SD 1.59 1.17 1.95
CV 0.50 0.70 —
Max 7 5 +5
Min 1 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%22.73%
14.55%13.64%—4.55%4.55%4.55%31.82%
24.55%—9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%27.27%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+4.55%——4.55%——9.09%
Total13.64%18.18%22.73%18.18%13.64%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 2.41 -0.41
SD 2.64 1.62 3.47
CV 1.32 0.67 —
Max 11 5 +11
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
14.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%—27.27%
24.55%—9.09%4.55%—13.64%31.82%
34.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
44.55%9.09%————13.64%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total18.18%22.73%22.73%13.64%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 2.18 -0.09
SD 1.34 1.76 2.47
CV 0.64 0.81 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Linfield 1626 33 30.15 +2.85 85.0% 22 24 28 30 32 34 42
Glentoran 1626 34 30.32 +3.68 88.0% 22 23 28 30 33 35 37
Derry City 1535 27 28.42 -1.42 37.0% 19 22 26 29 31 34 37
Coleraine 1523 25 25.41 -0.41 49.0% 18 20 23 26 27 30 33
Ballymena United 1520 23 26.02 -3.02 26.0% 17 19 23 26 29 33 36
Glenavon 1512 23 25.20 -2.20 26.0% 15 19 23 25 28 31 32
Crusaders 1444 24 20.91 +3.09 87.0% 7 14 18 21 23 27 29
Portadown 1427 20 20.12 -0.12 57.0% 10 14 18 20 22 26 31
Lisburn Distillery 1384 17 20.38 -3.38 20.0% 10 15 18 20 23 26 29
Ards 1348 21 16.30 +4.70 89.0% 7 11 14 16 18 23 24
Bangor 1199 9 12.13 -3.13 25.0% 2 7 9 12 14 18 22
Cliftonville 1143 8 8.64 -0.64 48.0% 2 4 7 9 10 14 17

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+16.67%
Clear Edge
47.73%21.21%31.06%
Elo Value
Home Edge
155 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
058.45400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.49 goals
Neutral
-2+0.38+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.5
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
38%
Glentoran, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.83 * Some Luck: 2.83 to 4.24 * Lucky: 4.24 to 5.66 * Wild Swing: 5.66 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.03 * Close: 1.03 to 1.54 * Off: 1.54 to 2.05 * Way Off: 2.05 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.76 points
As Expected
03.549
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.83
Pinpoint
01.283
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
89.00%
Ards
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
20.00%
Lisburn Distillery
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Even
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 152.24
1.92
Moderate Separation
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
70%
Slight Edge
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
94%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
46%
Some Drama
0%42%100%
Blowouts
Expected
32%
Very Frequent
0%35%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.542
Matchup Imbalance
0.47
Notable Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.59
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.89
Near-Lock
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Solid Favorites
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.91
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.13
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.066
Well Within Noise
00.1390.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Glentoran38.00%28.00%14.00%9.00%4.00%5.00%2.00%—————
Linfield34.00%28.00%18.00%7.00%8.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%————
Derry City13.00%22.00%21.00%16.00%11.00%11.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%———
Coleraine1.00%6.00%11.00%23.00%23.00%17.00%9.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%——
Crusaders——3.00%5.00%9.00%15.00%22.00%15.00%18.00%9.00%3.00%1.00%
Glenavon4.00%5.00%16.00%17.00%23.00%15.00%7.00%6.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%—
Ballymena United9.00%10.00%13.00%16.00%16.00%17.00%7.00%5.00%6.00%1.00%——
Ards—————4.00%5.00%11.00%23.00%36.00%20.00%1.00%
Portadown—1.00%1.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%21.00%31.00%17.00%15.00%2.00%—
Lisburn Distillery1.00%—3.00%3.00%2.00%9.00%22.00%21.00%22.00%16.00%—1.00%
Bangor——————2.00%3.00%2.00%17.00%54.00%22.00%
Cliftonville————————3.00%2.00%20.00%75.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Ballymena United 100%
Bangor 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Crusaders 100%
Derry City 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Portadown 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1966-09-17 Glenavon L 1-438.5 1290 1525 21.13% 20.94% 57.93%-1.14 -6.3 0
1966-09-17 @ Bangor W 4-138.5 1525 1290 57.93% 20.94% 21.13%+1.14 +6.4 2
1966-09-17 Derry City L 0-230.3 1157 1557 10.02% 17.38% 72.60%-2.20 -2.5 0
1966-09-17 @ Cliftonville W 2-030.3 1557 1157 72.60% 17.38% 10.02%+2.20 +2.5 2
1966-09-17 Crusaders W 3-249.3 1512 1420 60.72% 21.35% 17.93%+0.97 +2.2 2
1966-09-17 @ Coleraine L 2-349.3 1420 1512 17.93% 21.35% 60.72%-0.97 -2.2 0
1966-09-17 Lisburn Distillery W 2-038.8 1588 1400 68.95% 19.60% 11.45%+1.59 +2.9 2
1966-09-17 @ Glentoran L 0-238.8 1400 1588 11.45% 19.60% 68.95%-1.59 -2.9 0
1966-09-17 Ballymena United W 2-152.4 1585 1523 57.67% 21.75% 20.57%+0.78 +2.6 2
1966-09-17 @ Linfield L 1-252.4 1523 1585 20.57% 21.75% 57.67%-0.78 -2.6 0
1966-09-17 Ards W 1-036.0 1425 1307 63.18% 20.94% 15.88%+1.14 +2.1 2
1966-09-17 @ Portadown L 0-136.0 1307 1425 15.88% 20.94% 63.18%-1.14 -2.2 0
1966-09-24 Glentoran L 2-363.0 1520 1591 41.22% 22.49% 36.29%-0.08 -4.3 0
1966-09-24 @ Ballymena United W 3-263.0 1591 1520 36.29% 22.49% 41.22%+0.08 +4.3 4
1966-09-24 Ards L 1-443.8 1283 1305 47.83% 22.43% 29.75%+0.24 -12.6 0
1966-09-24 @ Bangor W 4-143.8 1305 1283 29.75% 22.43% 47.83%-0.24 +12.6 2
1966-09-24 Cliftonville W 3-238.5 1418 1155 74.10% 17.86% 8.04%+2.07 +1.0 2
1966-09-24 @ Crusaders L 2-338.5 1155 1418 8.04% 17.86% 74.10%-2.07 -1.0 0
1966-09-24 Portadown D 1-160.9 1559 1427 64.37% 20.71% 14.92%+1.23 -1.3 3
1966-09-24 @ Derry City D 1-160.9 1427 1559 14.92% 20.71% 64.37%-1.23 +1.3 3
1966-09-24 Linfield W 2-157.1 1532 1588 43.16% 22.50% 34.34%+0.01 +3.9 4
1966-09-24 @ Glenavon L 1-257.1 1588 1532 34.34% 22.50% 43.16%-0.01 -3.9 2
1966-09-24 Coleraine L 2-549.5 1397 1514 34.59% 22.32% 43.09%-0.38 -8.4 0
1966-09-24 @ Lisburn Distillery W 5-249.5 1514 1397 43.09% 22.32% 34.59%+0.38 +8.4 4
1966-10-01 Crusaders W 3-145.2 1317 1419 36.82% 22.40% 40.78%-0.28 +7.8 4
1966-10-01 @ Ards L 1-345.2 1419 1317 40.78% 22.40% 36.82%+0.28 -7.8 2
1966-10-01 Ballymena United D 1-153.7 1154 1516 11.91% 18.30% 69.79%-1.96 +1.6 1
1966-10-01 @ Cliftonville D 1-153.7 1516 1154 69.79% 18.30% 11.91%+1.96 -1.6 1
1966-10-01 Glenavon W 4-149.4 1523 1535 48.93% 22.39% 28.68%+0.30 +8.4 6
1966-10-01 @ Coleraine L 1-449.4 1535 1523 28.68% 22.39% 48.93%-0.30 -8.4 4
1966-10-01 Derry City D 4-477.3 1595 1558 54.91% 22.03% 23.06%+0.62 -0.4 5
1966-10-01 @ Glentoran D 4-477.3 1558 1595 23.06% 22.03% 54.91%-0.62 +0.4 4
1966-10-01 Linfield L 1-444.8 1388 1584 25.14% 21.54% 53.32%-0.89 -7.4 0
1966-10-01 @ Lisburn Distillery W 4-144.8 1584 1388 53.32% 21.54% 25.14%+0.89 +7.4 4
1966-10-01 Bangor W 5-132.3 1429 1271 66.59% 20.22% 13.20%+1.40 +5.4 5
1966-10-01 @ Portadown L 1-532.3 1271 1429 13.20% 20.22% 66.59%-1.40 -5.4 0
1966-10-08 Glenavon D 1-156.1 1325 1527 24.45% 21.45% 54.09%-0.93 +0.8 5
1966-10-08 @ Ards D 1-156.1 1527 1325 54.09% 21.45% 24.45%+0.93 -0.8 5
1966-10-08 Lisburn Distillery W 3-141.0 1411 1381 54.11% 22.10% 23.79%+0.57 +5.0 4
1966-10-08 @ Crusaders L 1-341.0 1381 1411 23.79% 22.10% 54.11%-0.57 -5.1 0
1966-10-08 Ballymena United W 2-151.8 1558 1514 55.66% 21.96% 22.38%+0.66 +2.8 6
1966-10-08 @ Derry City L 1-251.8 1514 1558 22.38% 21.96% 55.66%-0.66 -2.8 1
1966-10-08 Bangor W 6-027.8 1594 1265 77.98% 16.17% 5.85%+2.50 +4.0 7
1966-10-08 @ Glentoran L 0-627.8 1265 1594 5.85% 16.17% 77.98%-2.50 -4.0 0
1966-10-08 Cliftonville W 7-229.8 1591 1156 83.14% 13.37% 3.49%+3.19 +1.3 6
1966-10-08 @ Linfield L 2-729.8 1156 1591 3.49% 13.37% 83.14%-3.19 -1.3 1
1966-10-08 Coleraine L 0-246.7 1434 1531 37.43% 22.42% 40.15%-0.25 -8.4 5
1966-10-08 @ Portadown W 2-046.7 1531 1434 40.15% 22.42% 37.43%+0.25 +8.4 8
1966-10-15 Ards D 1-156.3 1512 1326 68.78% 19.65% 11.57%+1.58 -1.6 2
1966-10-15 @ Ballymena United D 1-156.3 1326 1512 11.57% 19.65% 68.78%-1.58 +1.6 6
1966-10-15 Cliftonville W 3-135.4 1261 1154 62.12% 21.13% 16.75%+1.07 +3.7 2
1966-10-15 @ Bangor L 1-335.4 1154 1261 16.75% 21.13% 62.12%-1.07 -3.7 1
1966-10-15 Linfield L 0-352.2 1540 1593 43.61% 22.50% 33.89%+0.04 -13.8 8
1966-10-15 @ Coleraine W 3-052.2 1593 1540 33.89% 22.50% 43.61%-0.04 +13.9 8
1966-10-15 Portadown W 2-145.7 1416 1426 49.32% 22.38% 28.31%+0.32 +3.4 6
1966-10-15 @ Crusaders L 1-245.7 1426 1416 28.31% 22.38% 49.32%-0.32 -3.4 5
1966-10-15 Glentoran L 1-259.2 1526 1598 40.97% 22.49% 36.54%-0.09 -4.5 5
1966-10-15 @ Glenavon W 2-159.2 1598 1526 36.54% 22.49% 40.97%+0.09 +4.5 9
1966-10-15 Derry City D 1-158.8 1376 1561 26.28% 21.68% 52.04%-0.82 +0.6 1
1966-10-15 @ Lisburn Distillery D 1-158.8 1561 1376 52.04% 21.68% 26.28%+0.82 -0.7 7
1966-10-29 Portadown W 4-141.3 1510 1422 60.27% 21.42% 18.31%+0.94 +5.7 4
1966-10-29 @ Ballymena United L 1-441.3 1422 1510 18.31% 21.42% 60.27%-0.94 -5.7 5
1966-10-29 Derry City L 1-240.9 1265 1560 16.16% 19.80% 64.03%-1.53 -2.0 2
1966-10-29 @ Bangor W 2-140.9 1560 1265 64.03% 19.80% 16.16%+1.53 +2.0 9
1966-10-29 Ards L 0-137.7 1151 1327 27.25% 21.79% 50.96%-0.76 -3.5 1
1966-10-29 @ Cliftonville W 1-037.7 1327 1151 50.96% 21.79% 27.25%+0.76 +3.5 8
1966-10-29 Glentoran L 1-259.1 1526 1603 40.25% 22.48% 37.26%-0.12 -4.5 8
1966-10-29 @ Coleraine W 2-159.1 1603 1526 37.26% 22.48% 40.25%+0.12 +4.5 11
1966-10-29 Lisburn Distillery L 0-154.8 1522 1376 65.55% 20.46% 13.99%+1.32 -7.3 5
1966-10-29 @ Glenavon W 1-054.8 1376 1522 13.99% 20.46% 65.55%-1.32 +7.3 3
1966-10-29 Crusaders W 2-040.3 1606 1419 68.88% 19.62% 11.50%+1.58 +3.0 10
1966-10-29 @ Linfield L 0-240.3 1419 1606 11.50% 19.62% 68.88%-1.58 -3.0 6
1966-11-05 Coleraine W 1-049.9 1331 1521 25.70% 21.61% 52.69%-0.85 +5.9 10
1966-11-05 @ Ards L 0-149.9 1521 1331 52.69% 21.61% 25.70%+0.85 -5.9 8
1966-11-05 Bangor W 5-132.2 1416 1263 66.21% 20.31% 13.48%+1.37 +5.5 8
1966-11-05 @ Crusaders L 1-532.2 1263 1416 13.48% 20.31% 66.21%-1.37 -5.5 2
1966-11-05 Glenavon D 2-267.6 1562 1515 56.09% 21.92% 21.99%+0.69 -0.6 10
1966-11-05 @ Derry City D 2-267.6 1515 1562 21.99% 21.92% 56.09%-0.69 +0.7 6
1966-11-05 Cliftonville W 5-023.3 1607 1147 84.18% 12.73% 3.09%+3.35 +1.7 13
1966-11-05 @ Glentoran L 0-523.3 1147 1607 3.09% 12.73% 84.18%-3.35 -1.7 1
1966-11-05 Ballymena United D 1-157.3 1384 1516 32.72% 22.22% 45.06%-0.47 +0.3 4
1966-11-05 @ Lisburn Distillery D 1-157.3 1516 1384 45.06% 22.22% 32.72%+0.47 -0.3 5
1966-11-05 Linfield L 1-348.9 1416 1609 25.44% 21.58% 52.98%-0.87 -5.3 5
1966-11-05 @ Portadown W 3-148.9 1609 1416 52.98% 21.58% 25.44%+0.87 +5.3 12
1966-11-12 Lisburn Distillery L 0-1137.0 1257 1384 33.45% 22.26% 44.29%-0.44 -38.2 2
1966-11-12 @ Bangor W 11-037.0 1384 1257 44.29% 22.26% 33.45%+0.44 +38.2 6
1966-11-12 Portadown W 1-047.8 1145 1411 18.48% 20.40% 61.13%-1.34 +6.8 3
1966-11-12 @ Cliftonville L 0-147.8 1411 1145 61.13% 20.40% 18.48%+1.34 -6.8 5
1966-11-12 Ballymena United L 1-258.8 1515 1515 50.51% 22.32% 27.16%+0.38 -5.4 8
1966-11-12 @ Coleraine W 2-158.8 1515 1515 27.16% 22.32% 50.51%-0.38 +5.4 7
1966-11-12 Crusaders L 2-558.0 1515 1422 60.81% 21.34% 17.85%+0.98 -13.6 6
1966-11-12 @ Glenavon W 5-258.0 1422 1515 17.85% 21.34% 60.81%-0.98 +13.6 10
1966-11-12 Ards D 2-264.1 1609 1337 74.70% 17.62% 7.68%+2.13 -1.4 14
1966-11-12 @ Glentoran D 2-264.1 1337 1609 7.68% 17.62% 74.70%-2.13 +1.4 11
1966-11-12 Derry City W 4-150.7 1615 1562 56.67% 21.86% 21.47%+0.72 +6.5 14
1966-11-12 @ Linfield L 1-450.7 1562 1615 21.47% 21.86% 56.67%-0.72 -6.5 10
1966-11-19 Linfield D 1-160.1 1338 1621 17.08% 20.05% 62.87%-1.45 +1.2 12
1966-11-19 @ Ards D 1-160.1 1621 1338 62.87% 20.05% 17.08%+1.45 -1.2 15
1966-11-19 Bangor W 5-130.0 1521 1219 76.43% 16.88% 6.68%+2.32 +2.6 9
1966-11-19 @ Ballymena United L 1-530.0 1219 1521 6.68% 16.88% 76.43%-2.32 -2.6 2
1966-11-19 Glentoran L 1-350.3 1435 1608 27.76% 21.84% 50.40%-0.73 -5.7 10
1966-11-19 @ Crusaders W 3-150.3 1608 1435 50.40% 21.84% 27.76%+0.73 +5.7 16
1966-11-19 Coleraine W 4-147.5 1555 1510 55.80% 21.95% 22.25%+0.67 +6.7 12
1966-11-19 @ Derry City L 1-447.5 1510 1555 22.25% 21.95% 55.80%-0.67 -6.8 8
1966-11-19 Portadown W 3-248.2 1502 1404 61.18% 21.28% 17.54%+1.00 +2.1 8
1966-11-19 @ Glenavon L 2-348.2 1404 1502 17.54% 21.28% 61.18%-1.00 -2.1 5
1966-11-19 Cliftonville W 3-238.4 1422 1152 74.54% 17.69% 7.77%+2.12 +0.9 8
1966-11-19 @ Lisburn Distillery L 2-338.4 1152 1422 7.77% 17.69% 74.54%-2.12 -0.9 3
1966-11-26 Derry City L 2-349.5 1339 1562 22.37% 21.15% 56.48%-1.06 -2.6 12
1966-11-26 @ Ards W 3-249.5 1562 1339 56.48% 21.15% 22.37%+1.06 +2.6 14
1966-11-26 Crusaders W 7-345.6 1523 1430 60.85% 21.33% 17.82%+0.98 +5.5 11
1966-11-26 @ Ballymena United L 3-745.6 1430 1523 17.82% 21.33% 60.85%-0.98 -5.5 10
1966-11-26 Glenavon L 0-230.7 1151 1504 12.45% 18.52% 69.03%-1.90 -3.1 3
1966-11-26 @ Cliftonville W 2-030.7 1504 1151 69.03% 18.52% 12.45%+1.90 +3.1 10
1966-11-26 Bangor W 4-131.4 1503 1217 75.56% 17.27% 7.17%+2.23 +2.2 10
1966-11-26 @ Coleraine L 1-431.4 1217 1503 7.17% 17.27% 75.56%-2.23 -2.2 2
1966-11-26 Glentoran D 1-167.9 1620 1613 51.32% 22.28% 26.40%+0.42 -0.6 16
1966-11-26 @ Linfield D 1-167.9 1613 1620 26.40% 22.28% 51.32%-0.42 +0.6 17
1966-11-26 Lisburn Distillery W 3-249.9 1402 1423 47.89% 22.43% 29.68%+0.24 +3.3 7
1966-11-26 @ Portadown L 2-349.9 1423 1402 29.68% 22.43% 47.89%-0.24 -3.3 8
1966-12-03 Linfield L 1-336.4 1214 1619 9.75% 17.23% 73.02%-2.24 -2.1 2
1966-12-03 @ Bangor W 3-136.4 1619 1214 73.02% 17.23% 9.75%+2.24 +2.1 18
1966-12-03 Coleraine D 1-153.5 1148 1505 12.17% 18.41% 69.42%-1.93 +1.5 4
1966-12-03 @ Cliftonville D 1-153.5 1505 1148 69.42% 18.41% 12.17%+1.93 -1.5 11
1966-12-03 Crusaders W 9-444.2 1564 1424 65.10% 20.56% 14.34%+1.28 +5.0 16
1966-12-03 @ Derry City L 4-944.2 1424 1564 14.34% 20.56% 65.10%-1.28 -5.0 10
1966-12-03 Ballymena United D 4-473.3 1507 1529 47.71% 22.43% 29.85%+0.23 -0.2 11
1966-12-03 @ Glenavon D 4-473.3 1529 1507 29.85% 22.43% 47.71%-0.23 +0.2 12
1966-12-03 Portadown D 2-266.4 1614 1406 70.45% 19.15% 10.40%+1.72 -1.2 18
1966-12-03 @ Glentoran D 2-266.4 1406 1614 10.40% 19.15% 70.45%-1.72 +1.2 8
1966-12-03 Ards D 1-153.9 1420 1337 59.80% 21.48% 18.71%+0.91 -1.1 9
1966-12-03 @ Lisburn Distillery D 1-153.9 1337 1420 18.71% 21.48% 59.80%-0.91 +1.1 13
1966-12-10 Cliftonville W 2-133.3 1529 1150 80.56% 14.84% 4.59%+2.83 +0.6 14
1966-12-10 @ Ballymena United L 1-233.3 1150 1529 4.59% 14.84% 80.56%-2.83 -0.5 4
1966-12-10 Portadown W 5-249.2 1212 1407 25.26% 21.56% 53.18%-0.88 +11.9 4
1966-12-10 @ Bangor L 2-549.2 1407 1212 53.18% 21.56% 25.26%+0.88 -11.9 8
1966-12-10 Ards W 3-138.7 1419 1338 59.64% 21.51% 18.86%+0.90 +4.1 12
1966-12-10 @ Crusaders L 1-338.7 1338 1419 18.86% 21.51% 59.64%-0.90 -4.1 13
1966-12-10 Glentoran W 1-055.1 1570 1613 44.92% 22.49% 32.59%+0.10 +4.0 18
1966-12-10 @ Derry City L 0-155.1 1613 1570 32.59% 22.49% 44.92%-0.10 -4.0 18
1966-12-10 Coleraine D 2-265.1 1507 1504 50.84% 22.31% 26.85%+0.39 -0.5 12
1966-12-10 @ Glenavon D 2-265.1 1504 1507 26.85% 22.31% 50.84%-0.39 +0.4 12
1966-12-10 Lisburn Distillery W 5-140.9 1622 1419 70.04% 19.28% 10.68%+1.69 +4.3 20
1966-12-10 @ Linfield L 1-540.9 1419 1622 10.68% 19.28% 70.04%-1.69 -4.3 9
1966-12-17 Bangor D 2-255.8 1334 1224 62.34% 21.09% 16.57%+1.08 -0.9 14
1966-12-17 @ Ards D 2-255.8 1224 1334 16.57% 21.09% 62.34%-1.08 +0.9 5
1966-12-17 Crusaders D 0-049.7 1149 1423 17.80% 20.23% 61.97%-1.39 +1.3 5
1966-12-17 @ Cliftonville D 0-049.7 1423 1149 61.97% 20.23% 17.80%+1.39 -1.3 13
1966-12-17 Lisburn Distillery D 2-262.0 1504 1414 60.49% 21.39% 18.13%+0.96 -0.8 13
1966-12-17 @ Coleraine D 2-262.0 1414 1504 18.13% 21.39% 60.49%-0.96 +0.8 10
1966-12-17 Ballymena United W 5-252.6 1609 1530 59.40% 21.54% 19.06%+0.89 +5.1 20
1966-12-17 @ Glentoran L 2-552.6 1530 1609 19.06% 21.54% 59.40%-0.89 -5.1 14
1966-12-17 Glenavon L 2-369.8 1626 1506 63.29% 20.92% 15.79%+1.15 -6.3 20
1966-12-17 @ Linfield W 3-269.8 1506 1626 15.79% 20.92% 63.29%-1.15 +6.3 14
1966-12-17 Derry City W 3-048.5 1395 1574 27.04% 21.76% 51.20%-0.78 +15.8 10
1966-12-17 @ Portadown L 0-348.5 1574 1395 51.20% 21.76% 27.04%+0.78 -15.8 18
1966-12-24 Portadown D 3-361.3 1333 1411 40.14% 22.48% 37.38%-0.13 -0.0 15
1966-12-24 @ Ards D 3-361.3 1411 1333 37.38% 22.48% 40.14%+0.13 +0.0 11
1966-12-24 Linfield L 2-460.9 1525 1620 37.75% 22.43% 39.81%-0.23 -6.6 14
1966-12-24 @ Ballymena United W 4-260.9 1620 1525 39.81% 22.43% 37.75%+0.23 +6.6 22
1966-12-24 Coleraine L 1-645.5 1422 1504 39.65% 22.47% 37.88%-0.15 -17.1 13
1966-12-24 @ Crusaders W 6-145.5 1504 1422 37.88% 22.47% 39.65%+0.15 +17.1 15
1966-12-24 Cliftonville W 4-023.8 1558 1150 81.87% 14.11% 4.01%+3.00 +1.8 20
1966-12-24 @ Derry City L 0-423.8 1150 1558 4.01% 14.11% 81.87%-3.00 -1.8 5
1966-12-24 Bangor W 10-028.4 1512 1225 75.60% 17.25% 7.15%+2.23 +8.1 16
1966-12-24 @ Glenavon L 0-1028.4 1225 1512 7.15% 17.25% 75.60%-2.23 -8.1 5
1966-12-24 Glentoran L 2-452.9 1415 1614 24.81% 21.50% 53.69%-0.91 -4.6 10
1966-12-24 @ Lisburn Distillery W 4-252.9 1614 1415 53.69% 21.50% 24.81%+0.91 +4.6 22
1966-12-26 Ards W 6-239.3 1626 1333 75.96% 17.09% 6.95%+2.27 +2.3 24
1966-12-26 @ Linfield L 2-639.3 1333 1626 6.95% 17.09% 75.96%-2.27 -2.3 15
1966-12-26 Glenavon W 4-043.1 1411 1521 35.69% 22.36% 41.95%-0.33 +17.5 13
1966-12-26 @ Portadown L 0-443.1 1521 1411 41.95% 22.36% 35.69%+0.33 -17.5 16
1966-12-27 Ballymena United L 0-233.0 1217 1518 15.75% 19.68% 64.56%-1.57 -3.9 5
1966-12-27 @ Bangor W 2-033.0 1518 1217 64.56% 19.68% 15.75%+1.57 +3.9 16
1966-12-27 Lisburn Distillery D 2-256.0 1149 1411 18.81% 20.47% 60.73%-1.31 +0.8 6
1966-12-27 @ Cliftonville D 2-256.0 1411 1149 60.73% 20.47% 18.81%+1.31 -0.8 11
1966-12-27 Derry City W 1-051.9 1521 1560 45.51% 22.48% 32.01%+0.13 +4.0 17
1966-12-27 @ Coleraine L 0-151.9 1560 1521 32.01% 22.48% 45.51%-0.13 -4.0 20
1966-12-27 Crusaders W 3-249.6 1619 1405 70.82% 19.03% 10.15%+1.76 +1.2 24
1966-12-27 @ Glentoran L 2-349.6 1405 1619 10.15% 19.03% 70.82%-1.76 -1.2 13
1966-12-31 Glentoran L 1-342.9 1330 1620 16.60% 19.93% 63.47%-1.49 -3.6 15
1966-12-31 @ Ards W 3-142.9 1620 1330 63.47% 19.93% 16.60%+1.49 +3.6 26
1966-12-31 Coleraine D 4-473.8 1522 1525 50.20% 22.34% 27.46%+0.36 -0.3 17
1966-12-31 @ Ballymena United D 4-473.8 1525 1522 27.46% 22.34% 50.20%-0.36 +0.3 18
1966-12-31 Glenavon W 2-151.3 1404 1503 37.12% 22.41% 40.47%-0.26 +4.5 15
1966-12-31 @ Crusaders L 1-251.3 1503 1404 40.47% 22.41% 37.12%+0.26 -4.5 16
1966-12-31 Linfield W 5-259.4 1556 1628 40.86% 22.49% 36.65%-0.09 +8.8 22
1966-12-31 @ Derry City L 2-559.4 1628 1556 36.65% 22.49% 40.86%+0.09 -8.8 24
1966-12-31 Bangor W 8-333.8 1410 1213 69.58% 19.42% 11.00%+1.65 +4.1 13
1966-12-31 @ Lisburn Distillery L 3-833.8 1213 1410 11.00% 19.42% 69.58%-1.65 -4.1 5
1966-12-31 Cliftonville W 4-130.2 1428 1150 75.09% 17.46% 7.45%+2.18 +2.3 15
1966-12-31 @ Portadown L 1-430.2 1150 1428 7.45% 17.46% 75.09%-2.18 -2.3 6
1967-01-07 Lisburn Distillery W 4-035.3 1522 1414 62.20% 21.11% 16.69%+1.07 +8.1 19
1967-01-07 @ Ballymena United L 0-435.3 1414 1522 16.69% 21.11% 62.20%-1.07 -8.1 13
1967-01-07 Crusaders L 0-530.7 1209 1408 24.77% 21.50% 53.73%-0.91 -14.0 5
1967-01-07 @ Bangor W 5-030.7 1408 1209 53.73% 21.50% 24.77%+0.91 +14.0 17
1967-01-07 Glentoran L 2-535.4 1147 1623 6.97% 15.38% 77.65%-2.70 -1.8 6
1967-01-07 @ Cliftonville W 5-235.4 1623 1147 77.65% 15.38% 6.97%+2.70 +1.8 28
1967-01-07 Ards W 4-242.0 1525 1327 69.70% 19.38% 10.92%+1.66 +2.2 20
1967-01-07 @ Coleraine L 2-442.0 1327 1525 10.92% 19.38% 69.70%-1.66 -2.2 15
1967-01-07 Derry City L 0-154.2 1499 1564 41.85% 22.50% 35.65%-0.05 -4.9 16
1967-01-07 @ Glenavon W 1-054.2 1564 1499 35.65% 22.50% 41.85%+0.05 +4.9 24
1967-01-07 Portadown W 4-143.0 1620 1431 69.02% 19.58% 11.40%+1.60 +3.6 26
1967-01-07 @ Linfield L 1-443.0 1431 1620 11.40% 19.58% 69.02%-1.60 -3.6 15
1967-01-14 Cliftonville W 3-133.7 1325 1145 68.27% 19.79% 11.94%+1.53 +2.7 17
1967-01-14 @ Ards L 1-333.7 1145 1325 11.94% 19.79% 68.27%-1.53 -2.7 6
1967-01-14 Linfield D 4-474.0 1422 1623 24.57% 21.47% 53.96%-0.92 +0.4 18
1967-01-14 @ Crusaders D 4-474.0 1623 1422 53.96% 21.47% 24.57%+0.92 -0.4 27
1967-01-14 Bangor D 4-467.2 1569 1195 80.31% 14.98% 4.71%+2.79 -1.1 25
1967-01-14 @ Derry City D 4-467.2 1195 1569 4.71% 14.98% 80.31%-2.79 +1.1 6
1967-01-14 Coleraine L 2-369.9 1625 1527 61.28% 21.27% 17.46%+1.01 -6.1 28
1967-01-14 @ Glentoran W 3-269.9 1527 1625 17.46% 21.27% 61.28%-1.01 +6.1 22
1967-01-14 Glenavon L 0-540.5 1406 1494 38.74% 22.46% 38.81%-0.19 -20.3 13
1967-01-14 @ Lisburn Distillery W 5-040.5 1494 1406 38.81% 22.46% 38.74%+0.19 +20.3 18
1967-01-14 Ballymena United W 4-149.3 1427 1530 36.65% 22.40% 40.95%-0.29 +11.1 17
1967-01-14 @ Portadown L 1-449.3 1530 1427 40.95% 22.40% 36.65%+0.29 -11.1 19
1967-01-21 Derry City L 1-259.0 1519 1568 44.10% 22.50% 33.41%+0.06 -4.8 19
1967-01-21 @ Ballymena United W 2-159.0 1568 1519 33.41% 22.50% 44.10%-0.06 +4.8 27
1967-01-21 Glentoran L 2-439.7 1196 1619 8.96% 16.77% 74.27%-2.35 -1.7 6
1967-01-21 @ Bangor W 4-239.7 1619 1196 74.27% 16.77% 8.96%+2.35 +1.7 30
1967-01-21 Linfield L 2-437.5 1143 1623 6.84% 15.27% 77.88%-2.72 -1.3 6
1967-01-21 @ Cliftonville W 4-237.5 1623 1143 77.88% 15.27% 6.84%+2.72 +1.3 29
1967-01-21 Portadown D 2-263.9 1533 1438 60.98% 21.31% 17.71%+0.99 -0.9 23
1967-01-21 @ Coleraine D 2-263.9 1438 1533 17.71% 21.31% 60.98%-0.99 +0.9 18
1967-01-21 Ards W 2-034.0 1514 1327 68.85% 19.63% 11.52%+1.58 +3.0 20
1967-01-21 @ Glenavon L 0-234.0 1327 1514 11.52% 19.63% 68.85%-1.58 -3.0 17
1967-01-21 Crusaders W 3-143.9 1386 1423 45.76% 22.48% 31.76%+0.14 +6.4 15
1967-01-21 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-343.9 1423 1386 31.76% 22.48% 45.76%-0.14 -6.4 18
1967-01-28 Ballymena United L 1-244.7 1324 1514 25.81% 21.62% 52.57%-0.85 -3.1 17
1967-01-28 @ Ards W 2-144.7 1514 1324 52.57% 21.62% 25.81%+0.85 +3.1 21
1967-01-28 Bangor W 3-247.0 1142 1194 43.63% 22.50% 33.87%+0.04 +3.7 8
1967-01-28 @ Cliftonville L 2-347.0 1194 1142 33.87% 22.50% 43.63%-0.04 -3.7 6
1967-01-28 Lisburn Distillery L 0-255.1 1573 1392 68.41% 19.75% 11.84%+1.54 -14.3 27
1967-01-28 @ Derry City W 2-055.1 1392 1573 11.84% 19.75% 68.41%-1.54 +14.3 17
1967-01-28 Glenavon D 2-269.8 1621 1517 61.82% 21.18% 17.00%+1.05 -0.9 31
1967-01-28 @ Glentoran D 2-269.8 1517 1621 17.00% 21.18% 61.82%-1.05 +0.9 21
1967-01-28 Coleraine W 4-255.0 1624 1532 60.66% 21.36% 17.98%+0.97 +3.5 31
1967-01-28 @ Linfield L 2-455.0 1532 1624 17.98% 21.36% 60.66%-0.97 -3.5 23
1967-01-28 Crusaders L 2-651.3 1439 1416 53.26% 22.16% 24.58%+0.52 -15.2 18
1967-01-28 @ Portadown W 6-251.3 1416 1439 24.58% 22.16% 53.26%-0.52 +15.2 20
1967-02-04 Coleraine W 4-362.0 1191 1529 13.30% 18.86% 67.84%-1.80 +6.5 8
1967-02-04 @ Bangor L 3-462.0 1529 1191 67.84% 18.86% 13.30%+1.80 -6.5 23
1967-02-04 Ballymena United W 4-360.1 1431 1517 39.06% 22.46% 38.48%-0.18 +4.0 22
1967-02-04 @ Crusaders L 3-460.1 1517 1431 38.48% 22.46% 39.06%+0.18 -4.0 21
1967-02-04 Ards L 0-253.1 1559 1321 72.46% 18.48% 9.06%+1.91 -15.0 27
1967-02-04 @ Derry City W 2-053.1 1321 1559 9.06% 18.48% 72.46%-1.91 +15.0 19
1967-02-04 Cliftonville W 3-131.2 1518 1145 80.23% 15.02% 4.75%+2.78 +1.0 23
1967-02-04 @ Glenavon L 1-331.2 1145 1518 4.75% 15.02% 80.23%-2.78 -1.0 8
1967-02-04 Linfield D 2-272.0 1620 1628 49.55% 22.37% 28.09%+0.33 -0.4 32
1967-02-04 @ Glentoran D 2-272.0 1628 1620 28.09% 22.37% 49.55%-0.33 +0.4 32
1967-02-04 Portadown L 0-245.6 1406 1424 48.31% 22.41% 29.27%+0.26 -10.4 17
1967-02-04 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-045.6 1424 1406 29.27% 22.41% 48.31%-0.26 +10.4 20
1967-02-11 Lisburn Distillery W 3-037.3 1336 1396 42.70% 22.50% 34.79%-0.01 +11.6 21
1967-02-11 @ Ards L 0-337.3 1396 1336 34.79% 22.50% 42.70%+0.01 -11.6 17
1967-02-11 Glenavon W 2-046.3 1513 1519 49.79% 22.36% 27.85%+0.34 +6.7 23
1967-02-11 @ Ballymena United L 0-246.3 1519 1513 27.85% 22.36% 49.79%-0.34 -6.7 23
1967-02-11 Cliftonville W 2-027.4 1522 1144 80.50% 14.88% 4.62%+2.82 +1.1 25
1967-02-11 @ Coleraine L 0-227.4 1144 1522 4.62% 14.88% 80.50%-2.82 -1.1 8
1967-02-11 Derry City W 6-356.7 1435 1544 35.89% 22.37% 41.74%-0.32 +9.0 24
1967-02-11 @ Crusaders L 3-656.7 1544 1435 41.74% 22.37% 35.89%+0.32 -9.0 27
1967-02-11 Bangor D 2-261.6 1628 1197 82.93% 13.49% 3.58%+3.16 -1.6 33
1967-02-11 @ Linfield D 2-261.6 1197 1628 3.58% 13.49% 82.93%-3.16 +1.6 9
1967-02-11 Glentoran L 2-552.0 1434 1619 26.28% 21.68% 52.04%-0.82 -6.7 20
1967-02-11 @ Portadown W 5-252.0 1619 1434 52.04% 21.68% 26.28%+0.82 +6.7 34

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1967-02-04 9.06% Ards 1321 2 @ Derry City 1559 0
2 1967-01-28 11.84% Lisburn Distillery 1392 2 @ Derry City 1573 0
3 1967-02-04 13.30% @ Bangor 1191 4 Coleraine 1529 3
4 1966-10-29 13.99% Lisburn Distillery 1376 1 @ Glenavon 1522 0
5 1966-12-17 15.79% Glenavon 1506 3 @ Linfield 1626 2
6 1967-01-14 17.46% Coleraine 1527 3 @ Glentoran 1625 2
7 1966-11-12 17.85% Crusaders 1422 5 @ Glenavon 1515 2
8 1966-11-12 18.48% @ Cliftonville 1145 1 Portadown 1411 0
9 1967-01-28 24.58% Crusaders 1416 6 @ Portadown 1439 2
10 1966-12-10 25.26% @ Bangor 1212 5 Portadown 1407 2
11 1966-11-05 25.70% @ Ards 1331 1 Coleraine 1521 0
12 1966-12-17 27.04% @ Portadown 1395 3 Derry City 1574 0
13 1966-11-12 27.16% Ballymena United 1515 2 @ Coleraine 1515 1
14 1967-02-04 29.27% Portadown 1424 2 @ Lisburn Distillery 1406 0
15 1966-09-24 29.75% Ards 1305 4 @ Bangor 1283 1
16 1967-01-21 33.41% Derry City 1568 2 @ Ballymena United 1519 1
17 1966-10-15 33.89% Linfield 1593 3 @ Coleraine 1540 0
18 1967-01-07 35.65% Derry City 1564 1 @ Glenavon 1499 0
19 1966-12-26 35.69% @ Portadown 1411 4 Glenavon 1521 0
20 1967-02-11 35.89% @ Crusaders 1435 6 Derry City 1544 3
21 1966-09-24 36.29% Glentoran 1591 3 @ Ballymena United 1520 2
22 1966-10-15 36.54% Glentoran 1598 2 @ Glenavon 1526 1
23 1967-01-14 36.65% @ Portadown 1427 4 Ballymena United 1530 1
24 1966-10-01 36.82% @ Ards 1317 3 Crusaders 1419 1
25 1966-12-31 37.12% @ Crusaders 1404 2 Glenavon 1503 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1966-11-12 38.21 Lisburn Distillery 11 1384 44.29% @ Bangor 0 1257 33.45% 22.26%
2 1967-01-14 20.27 Glenavon 5 1494 38.81% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1406 38.74% 22.46%
3 1966-12-26 17.50 @ Portadown 4 1411 35.69% Glenavon 0 1521 41.95% 22.36%
4 1966-12-24 17.09 Coleraine 6 1504 37.88% @ Crusaders 1 1422 39.65% 22.47%
5 1966-12-17 15.82 @ Portadown 3 1395 27.04% Derry City 0 1574 51.20% 21.76%
6 1967-01-28 15.22 Crusaders 6 1416 24.58% @ Portadown 2 1439 53.26% 22.16%
7 1967-02-04 15.04 Ards 2 1321 9.06% @ Derry City 0 1559 72.46% 18.48%
8 1967-01-28 14.30 Lisburn Distillery 2 1392 11.84% @ Derry City 0 1573 68.41% 19.75%
9 1967-01-07 13.99 Crusaders 5 1408 53.73% @ Bangor 0 1209 24.77% 21.50%
10 1966-10-15 13.85 Linfield 3 1593 33.89% @ Coleraine 0 1540 43.61% 22.50%
11 1966-11-12 13.60 Crusaders 5 1422 17.85% @ Glenavon 2 1515 60.81% 21.34%
12 1966-09-24 12.63 Ards 4 1305 29.75% @ Bangor 1 1283 47.83% 22.43%
13 1966-12-10 11.94 @ Bangor 5 1212 25.26% Portadown 2 1407 53.18% 21.56%
14 1967-02-11 11.58 @ Ards 3 1336 42.70% Lisburn Distillery 0 1396 34.79% 22.50%
15 1967-01-14 11.08 @ Portadown 4 1427 36.65% Ballymena United 1 1530 40.95% 22.40%
16 1967-02-04 10.40 Portadown 2 1424 29.27% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1406 48.31% 22.41%
17 1967-02-11 9.02 @ Crusaders 6 1435 35.89% Derry City 3 1544 41.74% 22.37%
18 1966-12-31 8.81 @ Derry City 5 1556 40.86% Linfield 2 1628 36.65% 22.49%
19 1966-10-08 8.44 Coleraine 2 1531 40.15% @ Portadown 0 1434 37.43% 22.42%
20 1966-09-24 8.40 Coleraine 5 1514 43.09% @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1397 34.59% 22.32%
21 1966-10-01 8.37 @ Coleraine 4 1523 48.93% Glenavon 1 1535 28.68% 22.39%
22 1966-12-24 8.13 @ Glenavon 10 1512 75.60% Bangor 0 1225 7.15% 17.25%
23 1967-01-07 8.06 @ Ballymena United 4 1522 62.20% Lisburn Distillery 0 1414 16.69% 21.11%
24 1966-10-01 7.81 @ Ards 3 1317 36.82% Crusaders 1 1419 40.78% 22.40%
25 1966-10-01 7.42 Linfield 4 1584 53.32% @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1388 25.14% 21.54%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1966-10-01 77.3 @ Glentoran 4 1595 54.91% Derry City 4 1558 23.06% 22.03%
2 1967-01-14 74.0 @ Crusaders 4 1422 24.57% Linfield 4 1623 53.96% 21.47%
3 1966-12-31 73.8 @ Ballymena United 4 1522 50.20% Coleraine 4 1525 27.46% 22.34%
4 1966-12-03 73.3 @ Glenavon 4 1507 47.71% Ballymena United 4 1529 29.85% 22.43%
5 1967-02-04 72.0 @ Glentoran 2 1620 49.55% Linfield 2 1628 28.09% 22.37%
6 1967-01-14 69.9 Coleraine 3 1527 17.46% @ Glentoran 2 1625 61.28% 21.27%
7 1966-12-17 69.8 Glenavon 3 1506 15.79% @ Linfield 2 1626 63.29% 20.92%
8 1967-01-28 69.8 @ Glentoran 2 1621 61.82% Glenavon 2 1517 17.00% 21.18%
9 1966-11-26 67.9 @ Linfield 1 1620 51.32% Glentoran 1 1613 26.40% 22.28%
10 1966-11-05 67.6 @ Derry City 2 1562 56.09% Glenavon 2 1515 21.99% 21.92%
11 1967-01-14 67.2 @ Derry City 4 1569 80.31% Bangor 4 1195 4.71% 14.98%
12 1966-12-03 66.4 @ Glentoran 2 1614 70.45% Portadown 2 1406 10.40% 19.15%
13 1966-12-10 65.1 @ Glenavon 2 1507 50.84% Coleraine 2 1504 26.85% 22.31%
14 1966-11-12 64.1 @ Glentoran 2 1609 74.70% Ards 2 1337 7.68% 17.62%
15 1967-01-21 63.9 @ Coleraine 2 1533 60.98% Portadown 2 1438 17.71% 21.31%
16 1966-09-24 63.0 Glentoran 3 1591 36.29% @ Ballymena United 2 1520 41.22% 22.49%
17 1966-12-17 62.0 @ Coleraine 2 1504 60.49% Lisburn Distillery 2 1414 18.13% 21.39%
18 1967-02-04 62.0 @ Bangor 4 1191 13.30% Coleraine 3 1529 67.84% 18.86%
19 1967-02-11 61.6 @ Linfield 2 1628 82.93% Bangor 2 1197 3.58% 13.49%
20 1966-12-24 61.3 @ Ards 3 1333 40.14% Portadown 3 1411 37.38% 22.48%
21 1966-09-24 60.9 @ Derry City 1 1559 64.37% Portadown 1 1427 14.92% 20.71%
22 1966-12-24 60.9 Linfield 4 1620 39.81% @ Ballymena United 2 1525 37.75% 22.43%
23 1966-11-19 60.1 @ Ards 1 1338 17.08% Linfield 1 1621 62.87% 20.05%
24 1967-02-04 60.1 @ Crusaders 4 1431 39.06% Ballymena United 3 1517 38.48% 22.46%
25 1966-12-31 59.4 @ Derry City 5 1556 40.86% Linfield 2 1628 36.65% 22.49%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1966-11-05 23.3 @ Glentoran 5 1607 84.18% Cliftonville 0 1147 3.09% 12.73%
2 1966-12-24 23.8 @ Derry City 4 1558 81.87% Cliftonville 0 1150 4.01% 14.11%
3 1967-02-11 27.4 @ Coleraine 2 1522 80.50% Cliftonville 0 1144 4.62% 14.88%
4 1966-10-08 27.8 @ Glentoran 6 1594 77.98% Bangor 0 1265 5.85% 16.17%
5 1966-12-24 28.4 @ Glenavon 10 1512 75.60% Bangor 0 1225 7.15% 17.25%
6 1966-10-08 29.8 @ Linfield 7 1591 83.14% Cliftonville 2 1156 3.49% 13.37%
7 1966-11-19 30.0 @ Ballymena United 5 1521 76.43% Bangor 1 1219 6.68% 16.88%
8 1966-12-31 30.2 @ Portadown 4 1428 75.09% Cliftonville 1 1150 7.45% 17.46%
9 1966-09-17 30.3 Derry City 2 1557 72.60% @ Cliftonville 0 1157 10.02% 17.38%
10 1966-11-26 30.7 Glenavon 2 1504 69.03% @ Cliftonville 0 1151 12.45% 18.52%
11 1967-01-07 30.7 Crusaders 5 1408 53.73% @ Bangor 0 1209 24.77% 21.50%
12 1967-02-04 31.2 @ Glenavon 3 1518 80.23% Cliftonville 1 1145 4.75% 15.02%
13 1966-11-26 31.4 @ Coleraine 4 1503 75.56% Bangor 1 1217 7.17% 17.27%
14 1966-11-05 32.2 @ Crusaders 5 1416 66.21% Bangor 1 1263 13.48% 20.31%
15 1966-10-01 32.3 @ Portadown 5 1429 66.59% Bangor 1 1271 13.20% 20.22%
16 1966-12-27 33.0 Ballymena United 2 1518 64.56% @ Bangor 0 1217 15.75% 19.68%
17 1966-12-10 33.3 @ Ballymena United 2 1529 80.56% Cliftonville 1 1150 4.59% 14.84%
18 1967-01-14 33.7 @ Ards 3 1325 68.27% Cliftonville 1 1145 11.94% 19.79%
19 1966-12-31 33.8 @ Lisburn Distillery 8 1410 69.58% Bangor 3 1213 11.00% 19.42%
20 1967-01-21 34.0 @ Glenavon 2 1514 68.85% Ards 0 1327 11.52% 19.63%
21 1967-01-07 35.3 @ Ballymena United 4 1522 62.20% Lisburn Distillery 0 1414 16.69% 21.11%
22 1966-10-15 35.4 @ Bangor 3 1261 62.12% Cliftonville 1 1154 16.75% 21.13%
23 1967-01-07 35.4 Glentoran 5 1623 77.65% @ Cliftonville 2 1147 6.97% 15.38%
24 1966-09-17 36.0 @ Portadown 1 1425 63.18% Ards 0 1307 15.88% 20.94%
25 1966-12-03 36.4 Linfield 3 1619 73.02% @ Bangor 1 1214 9.75% 17.23%