‹ ›

1967-68 Irish League Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Glentoran

37 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ards

6.88 points above expected

30 points · 23.12 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Cliftonville

4.05 points below expected

5 points · 9.05 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Glentoran 22 17 3 2 37 79 24 +55 32.68 +4.32
2 Linfield 22 16 4 2 36 85 32 +53 30.87 +5.13
3 Coleraine 22 15 5 2 35 76 33 +43 31.20 +3.80
4 Ards 22 14 2 6 30 51 34 +17 23.12 +6.88
5 Derry City 22 11 1 10 23 51 54 -3 23.20 -0.20
6 Glenavon 22 9 4 9 22 51 45 +6 25.28 -3.28
7 Ballymena United 22 8 3 11 19 55 63 -8 21.06 -2.06
8 Crusaders 22 5 8 9 18 57 59 -2 19.69 -1.69
9 Portadown 22 8 1 13 17 34 57 -23 19.31 -2.31
10 Lisburn Distillery 22 6 1 15 13 33 62 -29 16.96 -3.96
11 Bangor 22 3 3 16 9 39 89 -50 11.58 -2.58
12 Cliftonville 22 2 1 19 5 26 85 -59 9.05 -4.05

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ards 30 23.12 +6.88
2 Linfield 36 30.87 +5.13
3 Glentoran 37 32.68 +4.32
4 Coleraine 35 31.20 +3.80
5 Derry City 23 23.20 -0.20

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Cliftonville 5 9.05 -4.05
2 Lisburn Distillery 13 16.96 -3.96
3 Glenavon 22 25.28 -3.28
4 Bangor 9 11.58 -2.58
5 Portadown 17 19.31 -2.31

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Linfield 9 Nov 18 – Jan 6 1 in 60
2 Bangor 1 Dec 30 – Dec 30 1 in 54
3 Glentoran 9 Sep 30 – Dec 2 1 in 36
4 Derry City 5 Jan 6 – Feb 3 1 in 35
5 Ards 4 Oct 14 – Nov 11 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cliftonville 13 Dec 2 – Feb 24 1 in 42
2 Bangor 9 Oct 28 – Dec 25 1 in 21
3 Ballymena United 4 Oct 7 – Nov 4 1 in 19
4 Lisburn Distillery 4 Nov 11 – Dec 2 1 in 7
5 Derry City 4 Dec 22 – Dec 30 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ards 7 Sep 23 – Nov 11 1 in 47
2 Linfield 15 Nov 18 – Feb 24 1 in 27
3 Bangor 2 Dec 26 – Dec 30 1 in 19
4 Coleraine 11 Oct 14 – Dec 26 1 in 16
5 Derry City 6 Jan 6 – Feb 10 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Glenavon 5 Jan 20 – Feb 24 1 in 29
2 Crusaders 6 Nov 25 – Dec 26 1 in 16
3 Bangor 14 Sep 23 – Dec 26 1 in 14
4 Coleraine 2 Dec 16 – Dec 23 1 in 10
5 Lisburn Distillery 6 Nov 11 – Dec 23 1 in 8

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Glentoran 1744 37 +12 6 7.4 -1.4
Linfield 1753 36 +46 9 8.5 +0.5
Coleraine 1703 35 +39 9 6.8 +2.2
Ards 1512 30 +66 8 5.2 +2.8
Derry City 1439 23 +15 7 6.1 +0.9
Glenavon 1442 22 -82 2 5.0 -3.0
Ballymena United 1422 19 +9 6 6.0 +0.0
Crusaders 1425 18 +67 6 4.5 +1.5
Portadown 1296 17 -86 4 6.2 -2.2
Lisburn Distillery 1231 13 -13 2 1.8 +0.2
Bangor 1136 9 -8 2 1.9 +0.1
Cliftonville 1050 5 -37 0 1.4 -1.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BU BAN CLI COL CRU DC GLE GLE LIN LD POR
Ards —
1-0-1
3.46
2-0-0
4.42
2-0-0
4.61
0-1-1
1.42
2-0-0
3.59
2-0-0
2.77
2-0-0
2.54
0-0-2
1.37
0-1-1
1.76
2-0-0
4.47
1-0-1
2.99
Ballymena United
1-0-1
2.25
—
1-1-0
4.32
2-0-0
4.83
0-0-2
1.92
0-1-1
3.35
0-0-2
2.47
1-0-1
2.13
0-1-1
0.99
0-0-2
1.56
2-0-0
3.25
1-0-1
3.29
Bangor
0-0-2
1.29
0-1-1
1.39
—
1-0-1
3.15
1-0-1
0.72
0-2-0
1.50
0-0-2
1.03
0-0-2
1.14
0-0-2
0.42
0-0-2
0.72
0-0-2
1.92
1-0-1
1.47
Cliftonville
0-0-2
1.11
0-0-2
0.89
1-0-1
2.56
—
0-0-2
0.47
0-0-2
1.48
1-0-1
1.09
0-0-2
1.09
0-0-2
0.46
0-0-2
0.63
0-0-2
1.79
0-1-1
1.31
Coleraine
1-1-0
4.30
2-0-0
3.79
1-0-1
5.00
2-0-0
5.26
—
1-1-0
4.05
1-0-1
4.06
1-1-0
3.55
1-1-0
2.24
1-1-0
3.03
2-0-0
4.91
2-0-0
4.43
Crusaders
0-0-2
2.13
1-1-0
2.36
0-2-0
4.22
2-0-0
4.24
0-1-1
1.67
—
1-1-0
2.28
0-2-0
1.83
0-0-2
1.14
0-0-2
1.46
0-1-1
3.19
1-0-1
2.74
Derry City
0-0-2
2.94
2-0-0
3.24
2-0-0
4.69
1-0-1
4.62
1-0-1
1.65
0-1-1
3.43
—
1-0-1
2.29
0-0-2
1.91
1-0-1
1.82
2-0-0
3.57
1-0-1
3.40
Glenavon
0-0-2
3.17
1-0-1
3.58
2-0-0
4.58
2-0-0
4.63
0-1-1
2.16
0-2-0
3.88
1-0-1
3.42
—
0-0-2
1.83
0-1-1
1.22
1-0-1
4.09
2-0-0
3.75
Glentoran
2-0-0
4.35
1-1-0
4.73
2-0-0
5.32
2-0-0
5.27
0-1-1
3.47
2-0-0
4.58
2-0-0
3.80
2-0-0
3.88
—
0-1-1
3.36
2-0-0
4.40
2-0-0
4.62
Linfield
1-1-0
3.95
2-0-0
4.15
2-0-0
5.01
2-0-0
5.11
0-1-1
2.68
2-0-0
4.26
1-0-1
3.90
1-1-0
4.50
1-1-0
2.35
—
2-0-0
4.80
2-0-0
4.13
Lisburn Distillery
0-0-2
1.24
0-0-2
2.47
2-0-0
3.80
2-0-0
3.92
0-0-2
0.82
1-1-0
2.52
0-0-2
2.15
1-0-1
1.63
0-0-2
1.32
0-0-2
0.92
—
0-0-2
2.66
Portadown
1-0-1
2.72
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
4.24
1-1-0
4.41
0-0-2
1.28
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
2.31
0-0-2
1.96
0-0-2
1.10
0-0-2
1.58
2-0-0
3.05
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.83 +5.1
Allowed 0.92 -4.9
Differential 0.97 +2.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
00.76%4.17%1.89%1.52%0.76%2.65%11.74%
14.17%3.03%5.30%7.58%3.03%5.68%28.79%
21.89%5.30%5.30%2.27%2.27%2.65%19.70%
31.52%7.58%2.27%0.76%1.14%1.52%14.77%
40.76%3.03%2.27%1.14%2.27%0.76%10.23%
5+2.65%5.68%2.65%1.52%0.76%1.52%14.77%
Total11.74%28.79%19.70%14.77%10.23%14.77%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.41 2.41 +0.00
SD 1.96 1.96 2.98
CV 0.81 0.81 —
Max 11 11 +10
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
113.64%9.09%4.55%9.09%—4.55%40.91%
24.55%9.09%————13.64%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%13.64%—4.55%——22.73%
Total22.73%36.36%18.18%18.18%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 1.55 +0.77
SD 1.86 1.44 2.56
CV 0.80 0.93 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
1——4.55%18.18%—4.55%27.27%
24.55%—9.09%——9.09%22.73%
3—13.64%———4.55%18.18%
4———4.55%4.55%4.55%13.64%
5+—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
Total4.55%22.73%22.73%22.73%4.55%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 2.86 -0.36
SD 1.50 1.93 2.52
CV 0.60 0.68 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%—4.55%9.09%27.27%
1———13.64%—13.64%27.27%
2———4.55%4.55%—9.09%
3——13.64%—4.55%—18.18%
4————9.09%4.55%13.64%
5+—————4.55%4.55%
Total—9.09%18.18%18.18%22.73%31.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 4.05 -2.27
SD 1.60 2.50 2.93
CV 0.90 0.62 —
Max 5 11 +1
Min 0 1 -10

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%—9.09%4.55%18.18%40.91%
1——4.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%27.27%
2——4.55%4.55%—13.64%22.73%
3———————
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+————4.55%—4.55%
Total—9.09%13.64%22.73%13.64%40.91%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 3.86 -2.68
SD 1.50 1.75 2.28
CV 1.27 0.45 —
Max 6 8 +2
Min 0 1 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
14.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
2—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
3—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
44.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
5+4.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
Total18.18%40.91%22.73%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.45 1.50 +1.95
SD 2.04 1.22 2.10
CV 0.59 0.82 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
1—4.55%18.18%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
2——13.64%———13.64%
3—13.64%—4.55%—4.55%22.73%
4————9.09%—9.09%
5+——4.55%4.55%—4.55%13.64%
Total—18.18%40.91%13.64%9.09%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.59 2.68 -0.09
SD 2.28 1.39 2.52
CV 0.88 0.52 —
Max 10 5 +7
Min 0 1 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
19.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%13.64%45.45%
2—9.09%—4.55%9.09%—22.73%
3———————
4—9.09%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total13.64%27.27%18.18%13.64%13.64%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 2.45 -0.14
SD 1.59 2.06 3.06
CV 0.68 0.84 —
Max 6 8 +6
Min 1 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
1—4.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%22.73%
2—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
3—18.18%4.55%—4.55%—27.27%
4————4.55%—4.55%
5+—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
Total4.55%40.91%31.82%—18.18%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 2.05 +0.27
SD 1.99 1.46 2.43
CV 0.86 0.72 —
Max 8 6 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
1———4.55%——4.55%
29.09%4.55%13.64%———27.27%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4—18.18%9.09%———27.27%
5+13.64%9.09%4.55%———27.27%
Total27.27%40.91%27.27%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.59 1.09 +2.50
SD 2.09 0.87 2.43
CV 0.58 0.80 —
Max 10 3 +9
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
14.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%—22.73%
24.55%—4.55%———9.09%
34.55%18.18%————22.73%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+4.55%18.18%—4.55%4.55%4.55%36.36%
Total22.73%50.00%4.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.86 1.45 +2.41
SD 2.64 1.44 2.94
CV 0.68 0.99 —
Max 11 5 +10
Min 1 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
19.09%—4.55%13.64%9.09%9.09%45.45%
2—9.09%——4.55%4.55%18.18%
34.55%4.55%—4.55%4.55%4.55%22.73%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%18.18%9.09%22.73%18.18%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.82 -1.32
SD 1.01 2.02 2.12
CV 0.67 0.72 —
Max 3 8 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%————9.09%
19.09%—4.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%36.36%
2—22.73%4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%45.45%
34.55%————4.55%9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%31.82%9.09%18.18%13.64%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 2.59 -1.05
SD 0.80 2.44 2.40
CV 0.52 0.94 —
Max 3 10 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Linfield 1753 36 30.87 +5.13 98.0% 22 24 29 31 33 36 38
Glentoran 1744 37 32.68 +4.32 92.0% 22 26 31 33 35 39 43
Coleraine 1703 35 31.20 +3.80 90.0% 22 24 29 31 34 36 41
Ards 1512 30 23.12 +6.88 96.0% 14 17 21 23 25 29 34
Glenavon 1442 22 25.28 -3.28 24.0% 15 19 23 25 28 32 33
Derry City 1439 23 23.20 -0.20 53.0% 15 17 21 23 25 29 33
Crusaders 1425 18 19.69 -1.69 38.0% 7 13 17 20 23 26 29
Ballymena United 1422 19 21.06 -2.06 39.0% 14 15 18 21 23 27 29
Portadown 1296 17 19.31 -2.31 28.0% 11 13 17 19 22 26 30
Lisburn Distillery 1231 13 16.96 -3.96 17.0% 9 11 15 17 19 23 27
Bangor 1136 9 11.58 -2.58 30.0% 4 5 9 12 14 17 19
Cliftonville 1050 5 9.05 -4.05 15.0% 2 3 7 9 11 15 17

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.12%
Slight Edge
49.24%13.64%37.12%
Elo Value
Home Edge
119 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
042.32300
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.45 goals
Neutral
-2+0.36+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.5
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
55%
Glentoran, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.94 * Some Luck: 2.94 to 4.41 * Lucky: 4.41 to 5.88 * Wild Swing: 5.88 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.98 * Close: 0.98 to 1.47 * Off: 1.47 to 1.96 * Way Off: 1.96 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.75 points
Some Luck
03.679
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.50
Pinpoint
01.222.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
Linfield
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
15.00%
Cliftonville
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.26
Lopsided
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 228.26
2.44
Wide Separation
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
83%
Wide Edge
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
40%
Few
0%39%100%
Blowouts
Expected
35%
Very Frequent
0%40%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.44
Highly Predictable
00.502
Matchup Imbalance
0.48
Notable Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.10
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.83
Near-Lock
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Chalky
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
9%
Solid Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.27
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.36
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.103
Well Within Noise
00.1390.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Glentoran55.00%20.00%17.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%—————
Linfield17.00%38.00%29.00%8.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%—————
Coleraine25.00%31.00%26.00%13.00%4.00%—1.00%—————
Ards1.00%2.00%4.00%14.00%19.00%18.00%21.00%11.00%7.00%3.00%——
Derry City1.00%3.00%2.00%16.00%26.00%16.00%15.00%13.00%4.00%4.00%——
Glenavon1.00%4.00%15.00%30.00%15.00%16.00%7.00%9.00%3.00%———
Ballymena United—1.00%4.00%6.00%11.00%21.00%17.00%15.00%16.00%8.00%1.00%—
Crusaders——1.00%4.00%10.00%12.00%21.00%18.00%12.00%16.00%5.00%1.00%
Portadown—1.00%2.00%3.00%7.00%11.00%8.00%19.00%26.00%17.00%4.00%2.00%
Lisburn Distillery———1.00%3.00%2.00%8.00%14.00%24.00%33.00%12.00%3.00%
Bangor———————1.00%6.00%13.00%49.00%31.00%
Cliftonville————————2.00%6.00%29.00%63.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Ballymena United 100%
Bangor 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Crusaders 100%
Derry City 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Portadown 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1967-09-23 Ballymena United D 4-467.0 1261 1486 23.00% 14.35% 62.66%-1.53 +2.1 1
1967-09-23 @ Bangor D 4-467.0 1486 1261 62.66% 14.35% 23.00%+1.53 -2.1 1
1967-09-23 Derry City W 4-254.9 1228 1492 19.15% 14.29% 66.56%-1.87 +38.5 2
1967-09-23 @ Cliftonville L 2-454.9 1492 1228 66.56% 14.29% 19.15%+1.87 -38.5 0
1967-09-23 Glenavon W 4-145.5 1487 1481 52.91% 14.46% 32.64%+0.40 +31.9 2
1967-09-23 @ Coleraine L 1-445.5 1481 1487 32.64% 14.46% 52.91%-0.40 -31.9 0
1967-09-23 Linfield D 2-271.0 1552 1554 51.89% 14.46% 33.65%+0.34 -1.3 1
1967-09-23 @ Glentoran D 2-271.0 1554 1552 33.65% 14.46% 51.89%-0.34 +1.3 1
1967-09-23 Crusaders W 2-146.7 1392 1432 46.77% 14.46% 38.77%+0.02 +15.1 2
1967-09-23 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-246.7 1432 1392 38.77% 14.46% 46.77%-0.02 -15.1 0
1967-09-23 Ards L 0-148.9 1421 1367 58.81% 14.43% 26.76%+0.81 -23.3 0
1967-09-23 @ Portadown W 1-048.9 1367 1421 26.76% 14.43% 58.81%-0.81 +23.3 2
1967-09-30 Bangor W 2-032.6 1390 1263 66.40% 14.36% 19.24%+1.43 +16.2 4
1967-09-30 @ Ards L 0-232.6 1263 1390 19.24% 14.36% 66.40%-1.43 -16.2 1
1967-09-30 Lisburn Distillery W 3-142.3 1484 1407 61.34% 14.41% 24.25%+1.00 +17.3 3
1967-09-30 @ Ballymena United L 1-342.3 1407 1484 24.25% 14.41% 61.34%-1.00 -17.3 2
1967-09-30 Coleraine L 1-544.3 1417 1519 37.96% 14.45% 47.59%-0.50 -46.9 0
1967-09-30 @ Crusaders W 5-144.3 1519 1417 47.59% 14.45% 37.96%+0.50 +46.9 4
1967-09-30 Glentoran L 1-448.6 1453 1551 38.54% 14.45% 47.01%-0.47 -36.8 0
1967-09-30 @ Derry City W 4-148.6 1551 1453 47.01% 14.45% 38.54%+0.47 +36.8 3
1967-09-30 Cliftonville W 3-135.3 1450 1266 71.10% 14.27% 14.63%+1.90 +10.8 2
1967-09-30 @ Glenavon L 1-335.3 1266 1450 14.63% 14.27% 71.10%-1.90 -10.8 2
1967-09-30 Portadown W 1-041.1 1556 1397 69.12% 14.31% 16.56%+1.69 +7.5 3
1967-09-30 @ Linfield L 0-141.1 1397 1556 16.56% 14.31% 69.12%-1.69 -7.5 0
1967-10-07 Glenavon L 2-343.9 1247 1460 24.17% 14.36% 61.46%-1.44 -9.4 1
1967-10-07 @ Bangor W 3-243.9 1460 1247 61.46% 14.36% 24.17%+1.44 +9.4 4
1967-10-07 Lisburn Distillery L 0-334.5 1255 1390 33.54% 14.44% 52.02%-0.78 -38.7 2
1967-10-07 @ Cliftonville W 3-034.5 1390 1255 52.02% 14.44% 33.54%+0.78 +38.7 4
1967-10-07 Derry City L 1-260.7 1566 1416 68.39% 14.33% 17.28%+1.62 -25.6 4
1967-10-07 @ Coleraine W 2-160.7 1416 1566 17.28% 14.33% 68.39%-1.62 +25.6 2
1967-10-07 Crusaders W 2-142.9 1588 1370 73.47% 14.21% 12.31%+2.19 +5.3 5
1967-10-07 @ Glentoran L 1-242.9 1370 1588 12.31% 14.21% 73.47%-2.19 -5.3 0
1967-10-07 Ards D 1-162.7 1563 1406 69.00% 14.32% 16.68%+1.68 -5.1 4
1967-10-07 @ Linfield D 1-162.7 1406 1563 16.68% 14.32% 69.00%-1.68 +5.1 5
1967-10-07 Ballymena United W 2-151.6 1390 1501 36.73% 14.45% 48.82%-0.58 +18.5 2
1967-10-07 @ Portadown L 1-251.6 1501 1390 48.82% 14.45% 36.73%+0.58 -18.5 3
1967-10-14 Cliftonville W 5-025.7 1412 1217 71.93% 14.26% 13.82%+2.00 +27.7 7
1967-10-14 @ Ards L 0-525.7 1217 1412 13.82% 14.26% 71.93%-2.00 -27.7 2
1967-10-14 Coleraine L 3-754.8 1482 1540 44.22% 14.46% 41.31%-0.13 -41.5 3
1967-10-14 @ Ballymena United W 7-354.8 1540 1482 41.31% 14.46% 44.22%+0.13 +41.5 6
1967-10-14 Bangor D 5-567.5 1365 1238 66.41% 14.36% 19.24%+1.43 -2.2 1
1967-10-14 @ Crusaders D 5-567.5 1238 1365 19.24% 14.36% 66.41%-1.43 +2.2 2
1967-10-14 Linfield W 4-151.8 1442 1558 36.05% 14.45% 49.51%-0.62 +45.8 4
1967-10-14 @ Derry City L 1-451.8 1558 1442 49.51% 14.45% 36.05%+0.62 -45.8 4
1967-10-14 Portadown W 2-144.3 1470 1408 59.69% 14.42% 25.89%+0.87 +10.6 6
1967-10-14 @ Glenavon L 1-244.3 1408 1470 25.89% 14.42% 59.69%-0.87 -10.6 2
1967-10-14 Glentoran L 1-348.6 1429 1593 29.78% 14.41% 55.81%-1.03 -20.8 4
1967-10-14 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-148.6 1593 1429 55.81% 14.41% 29.78%+1.03 +20.8 7
1967-10-28 Coleraine L 0-528.5 1240 1582 13.12% 14.15% 72.74%-2.52 -26.4 2
1967-10-28 @ Bangor W 5-028.5 1582 1240 72.74% 14.15% 13.12%+2.52 +26.4 8
1967-10-28 Crusaders L 1-338.1 1189 1362 28.67% 14.40% 56.93%-1.11 -20.1 2
1967-10-28 @ Cliftonville W 3-138.1 1362 1189 56.93% 14.40% 28.67%+1.11 +20.1 3
1967-10-28 Ards L 2-359.4 1488 1439 58.20% 14.43% 27.37%+0.77 -20.6 4
1967-10-28 @ Derry City W 3-259.4 1439 1488 27.37% 14.43% 58.20%-0.77 +20.6 9
1967-10-28 Glenavon W 4-251.8 1614 1480 67.00% 14.35% 18.65%+1.48 +12.2 9
1967-10-28 @ Glentoran L 2-451.8 1480 1614 18.65% 14.35% 67.00%-1.48 -12.2 6
1967-10-28 Ballymena United W 3-144.6 1512 1441 60.77% 14.42% 24.81%+0.96 +17.6 6
1967-10-28 @ Linfield L 1-344.6 1441 1512 24.81% 14.42% 60.77%-0.96 -17.6 3
1967-10-28 Lisburn Distillery W 2-145.0 1398 1408 50.83% 14.46% 34.71%+0.27 +13.7 4
1967-10-28 @ Portadown L 1-245.0 1408 1398 34.71% 14.46% 50.83%-0.27 -13.7 4
1967-11-04 Ballymena United W 3-143.4 1460 1423 56.77% 14.44% 28.79%+0.66 +20.2 11
1967-11-04 @ Ards L 1-343.4 1423 1460 28.79% 14.44% 56.77%-0.66 -20.2 3
1967-11-04 Portadown W 7-138.4 1608 1412 72.04% 14.25% 13.71%+2.01 +27.0 10
1967-11-04 @ Coleraine L 1-738.4 1412 1608 13.71% 14.25% 72.04%-2.01 -27.0 4
1967-11-04 Linfield L 1-345.3 1383 1530 31.93% 14.43% 53.64%-0.88 -22.1 3
1967-11-04 @ Crusaders W 3-145.3 1530 1383 53.64% 14.43% 31.93%+0.88 +22.1 8
1967-11-04 Derry City W 5-142.9 1468 1467 52.32% 14.46% 33.23%+0.37 +41.8 8
1967-11-04 @ Glenavon L 1-542.9 1467 1468 33.23% 14.46% 52.32%-0.37 -41.8 4
1967-11-04 Cliftonville W 5-024.8 1626 1169 82.99% 13.58% 3.43%+4.21 +7.1 11
1967-11-04 @ Glentoran L 0-524.8 1169 1626 3.43% 13.58% 82.99%-4.21 -7.1 2
1967-11-04 Bangor W 3-134.3 1394 1214 70.88% 14.28% 14.84%+1.88 +11.0 6
1967-11-04 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-334.3 1214 1394 14.84% 14.28% 70.88%-1.88 -11.0 2
1967-11-11 Crusaders W 2-141.4 1480 1360 65.72% 14.37% 19.91%+1.36 +8.3 13
1967-11-11 @ Ards L 1-241.4 1360 1480 19.91% 14.37% 65.72%-1.36 -8.3 3
1967-11-11 Glenavon W 4-359.7 1403 1510 37.30% 14.45% 48.25%-0.54 +16.9 5
1967-11-11 @ Ballymena United L 3-459.7 1510 1403 48.25% 14.45% 37.30%+0.54 -16.9 8
1967-11-11 Bangor W 6-450.1 1162 1203 46.60% 14.46% 38.94%+0.01 +21.5 4
1967-11-11 @ Cliftonville L 4-650.1 1203 1162 38.94% 14.46% 46.60%-0.01 -21.5 2
1967-11-11 Lisburn Distillery W 4-140.5 1425 1405 54.75% 14.45% 30.80%+0.53 +30.3 6
1967-11-11 @ Derry City L 1-440.5 1405 1425 30.80% 14.45% 54.75%-0.53 -30.3 6
1967-11-11 Coleraine L 1-357.1 1552 1635 40.60% 14.46% 44.94%-0.34 -27.2 8
1967-11-11 @ Linfield W 3-157.1 1635 1552 44.94% 14.46% 40.60%+0.34 +27.2 12
1967-11-11 Glentoran L 1-443.7 1385 1633 20.59% 14.31% 65.10%-1.74 -21.0 4
1967-11-11 @ Portadown W 4-143.7 1633 1385 65.10% 14.31% 20.59%+1.74 +21.0 13
1967-11-18 Linfield L 0-427.2 1181 1525 13.00% 14.14% 72.85%-2.54 -21.2 2
1967-11-18 @ Bangor W 4-027.2 1525 1181 72.85% 14.14% 13.00%+2.54 +21.2 10
1967-11-18 Cliftonville W 5-130.7 1662 1183 83.46% 13.50% 3.04%+4.40 +4.3 14
1967-11-18 @ Coleraine L 1-530.7 1183 1662 3.04% 13.50% 83.46%-4.40 -4.3 4
1967-11-18 Ballymena United W 3-144.8 1352 1420 42.76% 14.46% 42.77%-0.22 +28.5 5
1967-11-18 @ Crusaders L 1-344.8 1420 1352 42.77% 14.46% 42.76%+0.22 -28.5 5
1967-11-18 Ards W 3-042.7 1654 1488 69.74% 14.30% 15.96%+1.75 +19.7 15
1967-11-18 @ Glentoran L 0-342.7 1488 1654 15.96% 14.30% 69.74%-1.75 -19.7 13
1967-11-18 Glenavon L 2-546.8 1375 1493 35.75% 14.45% 49.80%-0.64 -29.9 6
1967-11-18 @ Lisburn Distillery W 5-246.8 1493 1375 49.80% 14.45% 35.75%+0.64 +29.9 10
1967-11-18 Derry City W 2-148.8 1364 1456 39.35% 14.46% 46.19%-0.42 +17.6 6
1967-11-18 @ Portadown L 1-248.8 1456 1364 46.19% 14.46% 39.35%+0.42 -17.6 6
1967-11-25 Coleraine D 1-168.4 1469 1667 25.85% 14.38% 59.77%-1.31 +3.2 14
1967-11-25 @ Ards D 1-168.4 1667 1469 59.77% 14.38% 25.85%+1.31 -3.2 15
1967-11-25 Glentoran L 2-548.2 1392 1674 17.57% 14.26% 68.17%-2.02 -15.7 5
1967-11-25 @ Ballymena United W 5-248.2 1674 1392 68.17% 14.26% 17.57%+2.02 +15.7 17
1967-11-25 Portadown D 2-257.9 1179 1381 25.36% 14.37% 60.26%-1.35 +2.5 5
1967-11-25 @ Cliftonville D 2-257.9 1381 1179 60.26% 14.37% 25.36%+1.35 -2.5 7
1967-11-25 Bangor W 4-341.9 1438 1160 76.89% 14.09% 9.03%+2.70 +3.7 8
1967-11-25 @ Derry City L 3-441.9 1160 1438 9.03% 14.09% 76.89%-2.70 -3.7 2
1967-11-25 Crusaders D 4-470.9 1523 1381 67.79% 14.34% 17.87%+1.56 -2.6 11
1967-11-25 @ Glenavon D 4-470.9 1381 1523 17.87% 14.34% 67.79%-1.56 +2.6 6
1967-11-25 Lisburn Distillery W 8-338.6 1546 1345 72.33% 14.25% 13.42%+2.05 +16.9 12
1967-11-25 @ Linfield L 3-838.6 1345 1546 13.42% 14.25% 72.33%-2.05 -16.9 6
1967-12-02 Glenavon W 2-152.5 1472 1520 45.55% 14.46% 39.98%-0.05 +15.5 16
1967-12-02 @ Ards L 1-252.5 1520 1472 39.98% 14.46% 45.55%+0.05 -15.5 11
1967-12-02 Linfield L 1-432.6 1181 1563 10.71% 14.06% 75.23%-2.86 -11.4 5
1967-12-02 @ Cliftonville W 4-132.6 1563 1181 75.23% 14.06% 10.71%+2.86 +11.4 14
1967-12-02 Ballymena United W 5-136.9 1442 1376 60.17% 14.42% 25.41%+0.91 +32.9 10
1967-12-02 @ Derry City L 1-536.9 1376 1442 25.41% 14.42% 60.17%-0.91 -32.9 5
1967-12-02 Bangor W 10-128.7 1690 1156 84.44% 13.30% 2.26%+4.85 +6.7 19
1967-12-02 @ Glentoran L 1-1028.7 1156 1690 2.26% 13.30% 84.44%-4.85 -6.7 2
1967-12-02 Coleraine L 3-452.0 1328 1663 13.56% 14.16% 72.28%-2.47 -5.4 6
1967-12-02 @ Lisburn Distillery W 4-352.0 1663 1328 72.28% 14.16% 13.56%+2.47 +5.4 17
1967-12-02 Crusaders W 2-143.9 1379 1383 51.57% 14.46% 33.98%+0.32 +13.5 9
1967-12-02 @ Portadown L 1-243.9 1383 1379 33.98% 14.46% 51.57%-0.32 -13.5 6
1967-12-16 Portadown L 1-255.6 1487 1392 63.33% 14.39% 22.28%+1.16 -23.7 16
1967-12-16 @ Ards W 2-155.6 1392 1487 22.28% 14.39% 63.33%-1.16 +23.6 11
1967-12-16 Bangor W 3-133.4 1343 1150 71.81% 14.26% 13.93%+1.99 +10.3 7
1967-12-16 @ Ballymena United L 1-333.4 1150 1343 13.93% 14.26% 71.81%-1.99 -10.3 2
1967-12-16 Lisburn Distillery D 3-362.9 1370 1323 58.01% 14.43% 27.55%+0.75 -1.8 7
1967-12-16 @ Crusaders D 3-362.9 1323 1370 27.55% 14.43% 58.01%-0.75 +1.8 7
1967-12-16 Cliftonville W 6-023.8 1475 1170 78.13% 14.02% 7.84%+2.92 +19.1 12
1967-12-16 @ Derry City L 0-623.8 1170 1475 7.84% 14.02% 78.13%-2.92 -19.1 5
1967-12-16 Coleraine D 0-067.1 1505 1669 29.85% 14.41% 55.73%-1.02 +2.7 12
1967-12-16 @ Glenavon D 0-067.1 1669 1505 55.73% 14.41% 29.85%+1.02 -2.7 18
1967-12-16 Glentoran W 3-161.7 1574 1696 35.20% 14.44% 50.35%-0.67 +32.9 16
1967-12-16 @ Linfield L 1-361.7 1696 1574 50.35% 14.44% 35.20%+0.67 -32.9 19
1967-12-22 Derry City W 4-252.7 1664 1494 70.05% 14.30% 15.65%+1.79 +10.3 21
1967-12-22 @ Glentoran L 2-452.7 1494 1664 15.65% 14.30% 70.05%-1.79 -10.3 12
1967-12-23 Ards L 1-530.4 1139 1464 14.30% 14.18% 71.52%-2.38 -19.3 2
1967-12-23 @ Bangor W 5-130.4 1464 1139 71.52% 14.18% 14.30%+2.38 +19.3 18
1967-12-23 Glenavon L 2-830.7 1151 1508 12.16% 14.12% 73.73%-2.65 -19.9 5
1967-12-23 @ Cliftonville W 8-230.7 1508 1151 73.73% 14.12% 12.16%+2.65 +19.9 14
1967-12-23 Crusaders D 2-268.6 1666 1368 77.84% 14.04% 8.12%+2.87 -5.3 19
1967-12-23 @ Coleraine D 2-268.6 1368 1666 8.12% 14.04% 77.84%-2.87 +5.3 8
1967-12-23 Ballymena United L 0-241.6 1325 1353 48.30% 14.46% 37.24%+0.11 -36.6 7
1967-12-23 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-041.6 1353 1325 37.24% 14.46% 48.30%-0.11 +36.6 9
1967-12-23 Linfield L 1-347.7 1416 1607 26.61% 14.39% 59.00%-1.26 -18.8 11
1967-12-23 @ Portadown W 3-147.7 1607 1416 59.00% 14.39% 26.61%+1.26 +18.8 18
1967-12-25 Linfield L 0-249.1 1483 1626 32.52% 14.43% 53.05%-0.85 -25.9 18
1967-12-25 @ Ards W 2-049.1 1626 1483 53.05% 14.43% 32.52%+0.85 +25.9 20
1967-12-25 Portadown W 5-244.3 1390 1397 51.23% 14.46% 34.31%+0.30 +28.8 11
1967-12-25 @ Ballymena United L 2-544.3 1397 1390 34.31% 14.46% 51.23%-0.30 -28.8 11
1967-12-25 Glentoran L 0-242.0 1373 1674 16.08% 14.23% 69.69%-2.18 -13.7 8
1967-12-25 @ Crusaders W 2-042.0 1674 1373 69.69% 14.23% 16.08%+2.18 +13.6 23
1967-12-25 Coleraine L 1-254.2 1483 1661 28.23% 14.40% 57.37%-1.14 -11.4 12
1967-12-25 @ Derry City W 2-154.2 1661 1483 57.37% 14.40% 28.23%+1.14 +11.4 21
1967-12-25 Bangor W 3-131.4 1527 1120 81.75% 13.74% 4.51%+3.79 +3.5 16
1967-12-25 @ Glenavon L 1-331.4 1120 1527 4.51% 13.74% 81.75%-3.79 -3.5 2
1967-12-25 Cliftonville W 2-136.0 1288 1131 69.03% 14.32% 16.65%+1.68 +7.1 9
1967-12-25 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-236.0 1131 1288 16.65% 14.32% 69.03%-1.68 -7.1 5
1967-12-26 Crusaders D 4-464.8 1116 1360 21.13% 14.32% 64.55%-1.69 +2.3 3
1967-12-26 @ Bangor D 4-464.8 1360 1116 64.55% 14.32% 21.13%+1.69 -2.3 9
1967-12-26 Ards L 0-132.8 1124 1457 13.68% 14.17% 72.15%-2.45 -6.2 5
1967-12-26 @ Cliftonville W 1-032.8 1457 1124 72.15% 14.17% 13.68%+2.45 +6.2 20
1967-12-26 Ballymena United W 7-243.2 1672 1419 75.60% 14.14% 10.26%+2.49 +14.5 23
1967-12-26 @ Coleraine L 2-743.2 1419 1672 10.26% 14.14% 75.60%-2.49 -14.5 11
1967-12-26 Lisburn Distillery W 4-137.5 1688 1295 81.32% 13.78% 4.90%+3.66 +5.3 25
1967-12-26 @ Glentoran L 1-437.5 1295 1688 4.90% 13.78% 81.32%-3.66 -5.3 9
1967-12-26 Derry City W 8-142.2 1652 1472 70.81% 14.28% 14.91%+1.87 +33.7 22
1967-12-26 @ Linfield L 1-842.2 1472 1652 14.91% 14.28% 70.81%-1.87 -33.7 12
1967-12-26 Glenavon L 1-344.3 1368 1531 30.00% 14.41% 55.59%-1.01 -20.9 11
1967-12-26 @ Portadown W 3-144.3 1531 1368 55.59% 14.41% 30.00%+1.01 +20.9 18
1967-12-30 Derry City W 6-139.7 1463 1438 55.37% 14.45% 30.18%+0.57 +47.0 22
1967-12-30 @ Ards L 1-639.7 1438 1463 30.18% 14.45% 55.37%-0.57 -47.0 12
1967-12-30 Linfield L 4-559.6 1404 1685 17.67% 14.26% 68.07%-2.01 -6.8 11
1967-12-30 @ Ballymena United W 5-459.6 1685 1404 68.07% 14.26% 17.67%+2.01 +6.8 24
1967-12-30 Bangor L 2-363.5 1687 1119 84.97% 13.17% 1.86%+5.14 -30.4 23
1967-12-30 @ Coleraine W 3-263.5 1119 1687 1.86% 13.17% 84.97%-5.14 +30.4 5
1967-12-30 Cliftonville W 6-232.1 1357 1118 74.82% 14.17% 11.01%+2.38 +12.8 11
1967-12-30 @ Crusaders L 2-632.1 1118 1357 11.01% 14.17% 74.82%-2.38 -12.8 5
1967-12-30 Glentoran L 0-252.5 1552 1693 32.74% 14.43% 52.83%-0.83 -26.1 18
1967-12-30 @ Glenavon W 2-052.5 1693 1552 52.83% 14.43% 32.74%+0.83 +26.1 27
1967-12-30 Portadown L 0-337.6 1290 1347 44.27% 14.46% 41.27%-0.13 -49.2 9
1967-12-30 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-037.6 1347 1290 41.27% 14.46% 44.27%+0.13 +49.2 13
1968-01-06 Ards W 3-150.3 1398 1510 36.47% 14.45% 49.08%-0.59 +32.1 13
1968-01-06 @ Ballymena United L 1-350.3 1510 1398 49.08% 14.45% 36.47%+0.59 -32.1 22
1968-01-06 Lisburn Distillery L 0-139.9 1149 1241 39.44% 14.46% 46.10%-0.41 -16.3 5
1968-01-06 @ Bangor W 1-039.9 1241 1149 46.10% 14.46% 39.44%+0.41 +16.3 11
1968-01-06 Glentoran L 0-525.3 1105 1719 3.07% 13.34% 83.58%-4.82 -6.4 5
1968-01-06 @ Cliftonville W 5-025.3 1719 1105 83.58% 13.34% 3.07%+4.82 +6.3 29
1968-01-06 Glenavon W 2-153.4 1391 1526 33.59% 14.44% 51.98%-0.78 +19.5 14
1968-01-06 @ Derry City L 1-253.4 1526 1391 51.98% 14.44% 33.59%+0.78 -19.5 18
1968-01-06 Crusaders W 5-034.8 1692 1370 78.87% 13.98% 7.15%+3.07 +14.7 26
1968-01-06 @ Linfield L 0-534.8 1370 1692 7.15% 13.98% 78.87%-3.07 -14.7 11
1968-01-06 Coleraine L 2-352.4 1396 1656 19.55% 14.30% 66.15%-1.83 -7.8 13
1968-01-06 @ Portadown W 3-252.4 1656 1396 66.15% 14.30% 19.55%+1.83 +7.8 25
1968-01-13 Cliftonville W 3-243.4 1133 1098 56.52% 14.44% 29.03%+0.65 +11.1 7
1968-01-13 @ Bangor L 2-343.4 1098 1133 29.03% 14.44% 56.52%-0.65 -11.1 5
1968-01-13 Linfield D 5-585.3 1664 1707 46.33% 14.46% 39.20%+0.00 -0.3 26
1968-01-13 @ Coleraine D 5-585.3 1707 1664 39.20% 14.46% 46.33%+0.00 +0.3 27
1968-01-13 Ballymena United W 3-143.8 1506 1430 61.36% 14.41% 24.23%+1.00 +17.3 20
1968-01-13 @ Glenavon L 1-343.8 1430 1506 24.23% 14.41% 61.36%-1.00 -17.3 13
1968-01-13 Portadown W 4-142.8 1725 1389 79.44% 13.94% 6.62%+3.19 +7.2 31
1968-01-13 @ Glentoran L 1-442.8 1389 1725 6.62% 13.94% 79.44%-3.19 -7.2 13
1968-01-13 Derry City L 0-138.8 1257 1411 31.08% 14.42% 54.49%-0.94 -13.2 11
1968-01-13 @ Lisburn Distillery W 1-038.8 1411 1257 54.49% 14.42% 31.08%+0.94 +13.2 16
1968-01-20 Glentoran L 1-646.7 1478 1732 20.07% 14.31% 65.62%-1.79 -32.5 22
1968-01-20 @ Ards W 6-146.7 1732 1478 65.62% 14.31% 20.07%+1.79 +32.5 33
1968-01-20 Crusaders D 2-260.2 1412 1355 59.18% 14.43% 26.40%+0.84 -2.3 14
1968-01-20 @ Ballymena United D 2-260.2 1355 1412 26.40% 14.43% 59.18%-0.84 +2.3 12
1968-01-20 Coleraine L 0-424.9 1087 1664 3.78% 13.48% 82.74%-4.50 -6.3 5
1968-01-20 @ Cliftonville W 4-024.9 1664 1087 82.74% 13.48% 3.78%+4.50 +6.3 28
1968-01-20 Portadown W 4-245.0 1424 1382 57.48% 14.44% 28.08%+0.71 +17.6 18
1968-01-20 @ Derry City L 2-445.0 1382 1424 28.08% 14.44% 57.48%-0.71 -17.6 13
1968-01-20 Lisburn Distillery L 0-153.9 1523 1244 76.97% 14.08% 8.94%+2.72 -30.7 20
1968-01-20 @ Glenavon W 1-053.9 1244 1523 8.94% 14.08% 76.97%-2.72 +30.7 13
1968-01-20 Bangor W 11-128.9 1707 1144 84.90% 13.19% 1.91%+5.10 +6.3 29
1968-01-20 @ Linfield L 1-1128.9 1144 1707 1.91% 13.19% 84.90%-5.10 -6.3 7
1968-01-27 Derry City L 2-438.3 1138 1442 15.83% 14.22% 69.95%-2.20 -10.4 7
1968-01-27 @ Bangor W 4-238.3 1442 1138 69.95% 14.22% 15.83%+2.20 +10.4 20
1968-01-27 Ards W 3-146.5 1670 1446 73.88% 14.20% 11.92%+2.25 +8.9 30
1968-01-27 @ Coleraine L 1-346.5 1446 1670 11.92% 14.20% 73.88%-2.25 -8.9 22
1968-01-27 Glenavon D 2-262.1 1358 1493 33.52% 14.44% 52.05%-0.78 +1.3 13
1968-01-27 @ Crusaders D 2-262.1 1493 1358 52.05% 14.44% 33.52%+0.78 -1.3 21
1968-01-27 Ballymena United D 2-273.1 1765 1410 80.11% 13.89% 6.00%+3.35 -5.6 34
1968-01-27 @ Glentoran D 2-273.1 1410 1765 6.00% 13.89% 80.11%-3.35 +5.6 15
1968-01-27 Linfield L 1-537.0 1274 1714 7.93% 13.91% 78.16%-3.34 -11.0 13
1968-01-27 @ Lisburn Distillery W 5-137.0 1714 1274 78.16% 13.91% 7.93%+3.34 +11.0 31
1968-01-27 Cliftonville W 1-030.7 1364 1081 77.13% 14.08% 8.79%+2.74 +4.1 15
1968-01-27 @ Portadown L 0-130.7 1081 1364 8.79% 14.08% 77.13%-2.74 -4.1 5
1968-01-31 Ards L 3-552.0 1359 1437 41.36% 14.46% 44.18%-0.30 -23.4 13
1968-01-31 @ Crusaders W 5-352.0 1437 1359 44.18% 14.46% 41.36%+0.30 +23.4 24
1968-02-03 Derry City L 0-147.5 1416 1452 47.24% 14.46% 38.29%+0.05 -19.0 15
1968-02-03 @ Ballymena United W 1-047.5 1452 1416 38.29% 14.46% 47.24%-0.05 +19.0 22
1968-02-03 Glentoran L 0-526.9 1127 1759 2.79% 13.27% 83.94%-4.97 -5.8 7
1968-02-03 @ Bangor W 5-026.9 1759 1127 83.94% 13.27% 2.79%+4.97 +5.8 36
1968-02-03 Lisburn Distillery W 3-137.8 1679 1263 81.97% 13.71% 4.32%+3.86 +3.3 32
1968-02-03 @ Coleraine L 1-337.8 1263 1679 4.32% 13.71% 81.97%-3.86 -3.3 13
1968-02-03 Portadown W 10-339.1 1336 1368 47.80% 14.46% 37.74%+0.08 +57.2 15
1968-02-03 @ Crusaders L 3-1039.1 1368 1336 37.74% 14.46% 47.80%-0.08 -57.2 15
1968-02-03 Ards L 0-153.0 1491 1460 56.12% 14.44% 29.43%+0.62 -22.3 21
1968-02-03 @ Glenavon W 1-053.0 1460 1491 29.43% 14.44% 56.12%-0.62 +22.3 26
1968-02-03 Cliftonville W 3-026.7 1725 1077 85.97% 12.84% 1.19%+5.82 +1.5 33
1968-02-03 @ Linfield L 0-326.7 1077 1725 1.19% 12.84% 85.97%-5.82 -1.5 5
1968-02-10 Lisburn Distillery W 5-131.3 1483 1260 73.76% 14.21% 12.03%+2.23 +16.4 28
1968-02-10 @ Ards L 1-531.3 1260 1483 12.03% 14.21% 73.76%-2.23 -16.5 13
1968-02-10 Ballymena United L 1-529.9 1075 1397 14.53% 14.19% 71.29%-2.35 -19.6 5
1968-02-10 @ Cliftonville W 5-129.9 1397 1075 71.29% 14.19% 14.53%+2.35 +19.6 17
1968-02-10 Crusaders D 1-159.1 1471 1393 61.55% 14.41% 24.04%+1.02 -3.6 23
1968-02-10 @ Derry City D 1-159.1 1393 1471 24.04% 14.41% 61.55%-1.02 +3.6 16
1968-02-10 Coleraine D 2-276.5 1765 1682 62.02% 14.40% 23.57%+1.05 -2.7 37
1968-02-10 @ Glentoran D 2-276.5 1682 1765 23.57% 14.40% 62.02%-1.05 +2.8 33
1968-02-10 Glenavon D 1-170.1 1726 1469 75.79% 14.14% 10.08%+2.52 -6.6 34
1968-02-10 @ Linfield D 1-170.1 1469 1726 10.08% 14.14% 75.79%-2.52 +6.6 22
1968-02-10 Bangor W 1-032.4 1311 1122 71.52% 14.27% 14.22%+1.95 +6.5 17
1968-02-10 @ Portadown L 0-132.4 1122 1311 14.22% 14.27% 71.52%-1.95 -6.5 7
1968-02-24 Cliftonville W 5-232.6 1416 1056 80.31% 13.88% 5.82%+3.40 +5.5 19
1968-02-24 @ Ballymena United L 2-532.6 1056 1416 5.82% 13.88% 80.31%-3.40 -5.5 5
1968-02-24 Portadown W 3-253.0 1115 1317 25.38% 14.38% 60.25%-1.35 +21.4 9
1968-02-24 @ Bangor L 2-353.0 1317 1115 60.25% 14.38% 25.38%+1.35 -21.3 17
1968-02-24 Glentoran W 1-060.5 1685 1762 41.45% 14.46% 44.09%-0.29 +17.9 35
1968-02-24 @ Coleraine L 0-160.5 1762 1685 44.09% 14.46% 41.45%+0.29 -17.9 37
1968-02-24 Derry City W 3-147.2 1396 1468 42.32% 14.46% 43.22%-0.24 +28.7 18
1968-02-24 @ Crusaders L 1-347.2 1468 1396 43.22% 14.46% 42.32%+0.24 -28.7 23
1968-02-24 Linfield L 1-646.7 1476 1719 21.07% 14.32% 64.61%-1.70 -34.0 22
1968-02-24 @ Glenavon W 6-146.7 1719 1476 64.61% 14.32% 21.07%+1.70 +34.0 36
1968-02-24 Ards L 2-441.3 1244 1499 19.96% 14.30% 65.74%-1.80 -12.9 13
1968-02-24 @ Lisburn Distillery W 4-241.3 1499 1244 65.74% 14.30% 19.96%+1.80 +12.9 30

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1967-12-30 1.86% Bangor 1119 3 @ Coleraine 1687 2
2 1968-01-20 8.94% Lisburn Distillery 1244 1 @ Glenavon 1523 0
3 1967-10-07 17.28% Derry City 1416 2 @ Coleraine 1566 1
4 1967-09-23 19.15% @ Cliftonville 1228 4 Derry City 1492 2
5 1967-12-16 22.28% Portadown 1392 2 @ Ards 1487 1
6 1968-02-24 25.38% @ Bangor 1115 3 Portadown 1317 2
7 1967-09-23 26.76% Ards 1367 1 @ Portadown 1421 0
8 1967-10-28 27.37% Ards 1439 3 @ Derry City 1488 2
9 1968-02-03 29.43% Ards 1460 1 @ Glenavon 1491 0
10 1968-01-06 33.59% @ Derry City 1391 2 Glenavon 1526 1
11 1967-12-16 35.20% @ Linfield 1574 3 Glentoran 1696 1
12 1967-10-14 36.05% @ Derry City 1442 4 Linfield 1558 1
13 1968-01-06 36.47% @ Ballymena United 1398 3 Ards 1510 1
14 1967-10-07 36.73% @ Portadown 1390 2 Ballymena United 1501 1
15 1967-12-23 37.24% Ballymena United 1353 2 @ Lisburn Distillery 1325 0
16 1967-11-11 37.30% @ Ballymena United 1403 4 Glenavon 1510 3
17 1968-02-03 38.29% Derry City 1452 1 @ Ballymena United 1416 0
18 1967-11-18 39.35% @ Portadown 1364 2 Derry City 1456 1
19 1967-12-30 41.27% Portadown 1347 3 @ Lisburn Distillery 1290 0
20 1967-10-14 41.31% Coleraine 1540 7 @ Ballymena United 1482 3
21 1968-02-24 41.45% @ Coleraine 1685 1 Glentoran 1762 0
22 1968-02-24 42.32% @ Crusaders 1396 3 Derry City 1468 1
23 1967-11-18 42.76% @ Crusaders 1352 3 Ballymena United 1420 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1968-02-03 57.18 @ Crusaders 10 1336 47.80% Portadown 3 1368 37.74% 14.46%
2 1967-12-30 49.20 Portadown 3 1347 41.27% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1290 44.27% 14.46%
3 1967-12-30 47.01 @ Ards 6 1463 55.37% Derry City 1 1438 30.18% 14.45%
4 1967-09-30 46.92 Coleraine 5 1519 47.59% @ Crusaders 1 1417 37.96% 14.45%
5 1967-10-14 45.81 @ Derry City 4 1442 36.05% Linfield 1 1558 49.51% 14.45%
6 1967-11-04 41.78 @ Glenavon 5 1468 52.32% Derry City 1 1467 33.23% 14.46%
7 1967-10-14 41.45 Coleraine 7 1540 41.31% @ Ballymena United 3 1482 44.22% 14.46%
8 1967-10-07 38.69 Lisburn Distillery 3 1390 52.02% @ Cliftonville 0 1255 33.54% 14.44%
9 1967-09-23 38.51 @ Cliftonville 4 1228 19.15% Derry City 2 1492 66.56% 14.29%
10 1967-09-30 36.83 Glentoran 4 1551 47.01% @ Derry City 1 1453 38.54% 14.45%
11 1967-12-23 36.58 Ballymena United 2 1353 37.24% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1325 48.30% 14.46%
12 1968-02-24 33.97 Linfield 6 1719 64.61% @ Glenavon 1 1476 21.07% 14.32%
13 1967-12-26 33.70 @ Linfield 8 1652 70.81% Derry City 1 1472 14.91% 14.28%
14 1967-12-02 32.91 @ Derry City 5 1442 60.17% Ballymena United 1 1376 25.41% 14.42%
15 1967-12-16 32.89 @ Linfield 3 1574 35.20% Glentoran 1 1696 50.35% 14.44%
16 1968-01-20 32.49 Glentoran 6 1732 65.62% @ Ards 1 1478 20.07% 14.31%
17 1968-01-06 32.14 @ Ballymena United 3 1398 36.47% Ards 1 1510 49.08% 14.45%
18 1967-09-23 31.86 @ Coleraine 4 1487 52.91% Glenavon 1 1481 32.64% 14.46%
19 1968-01-20 30.73 Lisburn Distillery 1 1244 8.94% @ Glenavon 0 1523 76.97% 14.08%
20 1967-12-30 30.42 Bangor 3 1119 1.86% @ Coleraine 2 1687 84.97% 13.17%
21 1967-11-11 30.27 @ Derry City 4 1425 54.75% Lisburn Distillery 1 1405 30.80% 14.45%
22 1967-11-18 29.88 Glenavon 5 1493 49.80% @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1375 35.75% 14.45%
23 1967-12-25 28.82 @ Ballymena United 5 1390 51.23% Portadown 2 1397 34.31% 14.46%
24 1968-02-24 28.74 @ Crusaders 3 1396 42.32% Derry City 1 1468 43.22% 14.46%
25 1967-11-18 28.48 @ Crusaders 3 1352 42.76% Ballymena United 1 1420 42.77% 14.46%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1968-01-13 85.3 @ Coleraine 5 1664 46.33% Linfield 5 1707 39.20% 14.46%
2 1968-02-10 76.5 @ Glentoran 2 1765 62.02% Coleraine 2 1682 23.57% 14.40%
3 1968-01-27 73.1 @ Glentoran 2 1765 80.11% Ballymena United 2 1410 6.00% 13.89%
4 1967-09-23 71.0 @ Glentoran 2 1552 51.89% Linfield 2 1554 33.65% 14.46%
5 1967-11-25 70.9 @ Glenavon 4 1523 67.79% Crusaders 4 1381 17.87% 14.34%
6 1968-02-10 70.1 @ Linfield 1 1726 75.79% Glenavon 1 1469 10.08% 14.14%
7 1967-12-23 68.6 @ Coleraine 2 1666 77.84% Crusaders 2 1368 8.12% 14.04%
8 1967-11-25 68.4 @ Ards 1 1469 25.85% Coleraine 1 1667 59.77% 14.38%
9 1967-10-14 67.5 @ Crusaders 5 1365 66.41% Bangor 5 1238 19.24% 14.36%
10 1967-12-16 67.1 @ Glenavon 0 1505 29.85% Coleraine 0 1669 55.73% 14.41%
11 1967-09-23 67.0 @ Bangor 4 1261 23.00% Ballymena United 4 1486 62.66% 14.35%
12 1967-12-26 64.8 @ Bangor 4 1116 21.13% Crusaders 4 1360 64.55% 14.32%
13 1967-12-30 63.5 Bangor 3 1119 1.86% @ Coleraine 2 1687 84.97% 13.17%
14 1967-12-16 62.9 @ Crusaders 3 1370 58.01% Lisburn Distillery 3 1323 27.55% 14.43%
15 1967-10-07 62.7 @ Linfield 1 1563 69.00% Ards 1 1406 16.68% 14.32%
16 1968-01-27 62.1 @ Crusaders 2 1358 33.52% Glenavon 2 1493 52.05% 14.44%
17 1967-12-16 61.7 @ Linfield 3 1574 35.20% Glentoran 1 1696 50.35% 14.44%
18 1967-10-07 60.7 Derry City 2 1416 17.28% @ Coleraine 1 1566 68.39% 14.33%
19 1968-02-24 60.5 @ Coleraine 1 1685 41.45% Glentoran 0 1762 44.09% 14.46%
20 1968-01-20 60.2 @ Ballymena United 2 1412 59.18% Crusaders 2 1355 26.40% 14.43%
21 1967-11-11 59.7 @ Ballymena United 4 1403 37.30% Glenavon 3 1510 48.25% 14.45%
22 1967-12-30 59.6 Linfield 5 1685 68.07% @ Ballymena United 4 1404 17.67% 14.26%
23 1967-10-28 59.4 Ards 3 1439 27.37% @ Derry City 2 1488 58.20% 14.43%
24 1968-02-10 59.1 @ Derry City 1 1471 61.55% Crusaders 1 1393 24.04% 14.41%
25 1967-11-25 57.9 @ Cliftonville 2 1179 25.36% Portadown 2 1381 60.26% 14.37%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1967-12-16 23.8 @ Derry City 6 1475 78.13% Cliftonville 0 1170 7.84% 14.02%
2 1967-11-04 24.8 @ Glentoran 5 1626 82.99% Cliftonville 0 1169 3.43% 13.58%
3 1968-01-20 24.9 Coleraine 4 1664 82.74% @ Cliftonville 0 1087 3.78% 13.48%
4 1968-01-06 25.3 Glentoran 5 1719 83.58% @ Cliftonville 0 1105 3.07% 13.34%
5 1967-10-14 25.7 @ Ards 5 1412 71.93% Cliftonville 0 1217 13.82% 14.26%
6 1968-02-03 26.7 @ Linfield 3 1725 85.97% Cliftonville 0 1077 1.19% 12.84%
7 1968-02-03 26.9 Glentoran 5 1759 83.94% @ Bangor 0 1127 2.79% 13.27%
8 1967-11-18 27.2 Linfield 4 1525 72.85% @ Bangor 0 1181 13.00% 14.14%
9 1967-10-28 28.5 Coleraine 5 1582 72.74% @ Bangor 0 1240 13.12% 14.15%
10 1967-12-02 28.7 @ Glentoran 10 1690 84.44% Bangor 1 1156 2.26% 13.30%
11 1968-01-20 28.9 @ Linfield 11 1707 84.90% Bangor 1 1144 1.91% 13.19%
12 1968-02-10 29.9 Ballymena United 5 1397 71.29% @ Cliftonville 1 1075 14.53% 14.19%
13 1967-12-23 30.4 Ards 5 1464 71.52% @ Bangor 1 1139 14.30% 14.18%
14 1967-11-18 30.7 @ Coleraine 5 1662 83.46% Cliftonville 1 1183 3.04% 13.50%
15 1967-12-23 30.7 Glenavon 8 1508 73.73% @ Cliftonville 2 1151 12.16% 14.12%
16 1968-01-27 30.7 @ Portadown 1 1364 77.13% Cliftonville 0 1081 8.79% 14.08%
17 1968-02-10 31.3 @ Ards 5 1483 73.76% Lisburn Distillery 1 1260 12.03% 14.21%
18 1967-12-25 31.4 @ Glenavon 3 1527 81.75% Bangor 1 1120 4.51% 13.74%
19 1967-12-30 32.1 @ Crusaders 6 1357 74.82% Cliftonville 2 1118 11.01% 14.17%
20 1968-02-10 32.4 @ Portadown 1 1311 71.52% Bangor 0 1122 14.22% 14.27%
21 1967-09-30 32.6 @ Ards 2 1390 66.40% Bangor 0 1263 19.24% 14.36%
22 1967-12-02 32.6 Linfield 4 1563 75.23% @ Cliftonville 1 1181 10.71% 14.06%
23 1968-02-24 32.6 @ Ballymena United 5 1416 80.31% Cliftonville 2 1056 5.82% 13.88%
24 1967-12-26 32.8 Ards 1 1457 72.15% @ Cliftonville 0 1124 13.68% 14.17%
25 1967-12-16 33.4 @ Ballymena United 3 1343 71.81% Bangor 1 1150 13.93% 14.26%