Home / Leagues / Northern Ireland / Irish League / 1983-84
‹ ›

1983-84 Irish League Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Linfield

45 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ards

5.21 points above expected

29 points · 23.79 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Carrick Rangers

12.28 points below expected

9 points · 21.28 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Linfield 26 22 1 3 45 76 23 +53 39.86 +5.14
2 Glentoran 26 18 6 2 42 65 19 +46 39.22 +2.78
3 Cliftonville 26 12 7 7 31 28 23 +5 28.26 +2.74
4 Ards 26 9 11 6 29 32 26 +6 23.79 +5.21
5 Coleraine 26 11 6 9 28 44 34 +10 27.94 +0.06
6 Ballymena United 26 10 8 8 28 32 30 +2 25.12 +2.88
7 Glenavon 26 10 7 9 27 41 33 +8 26.64 +0.36
8 Crusaders 26 11 5 10 27 38 41 -3 27.58 -0.58
9 Lisburn Distillery 26 11 4 11 26 35 42 -7 23.81 +2.19
10 Portadown 26 9 6 11 24 28 31 -3 26.60 -2.60
11 Newry City 26 8 3 15 19 30 48 -18 22.38 -3.38
12 Bangor 26 4 6 16 14 24 57 -33 15.34 -1.34
13 Larne* 26 7 1 18 13 25 58 -33 14.18 -1.18
14 Carrick Rangers 26 3 3 20 9 24 57 -33 21.28 -12.28

* Point deductions: Larne (-2 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ards 29 23.79 +5.21
2 Linfield 45 39.86 +5.14
3 Ballymena United 28 25.12 +2.88
4 Glentoran 42 39.22 +2.78
5 Cliftonville 31 28.26 +2.74

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Carrick Rangers 9 21.28 -12.28
2 Newry City 19 22.38 -3.38
3 Portadown 24 26.60 -2.60
4 Bangor 14 15.34 -1.34
5 Larne 13 14.18 -1.18

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lisburn Distillery 5 Jan 2 – Feb 11 1 in 189
2 Cliftonville 4 Mar 31 – Apr 21 1 in 107
3 Glentoran 8 Jan 2 – Mar 3 1 in 40
4 Larne 2 Jan 2 – Jan 7 1 in 39
5 Newry City 3 Mar 31 – Apr 17 1 in 29

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Carrick Rangers 6 Nov 26 – Dec 27 1 in 261
2 Bangor 7 Dec 31 – Feb 25 1 in 47
3 Larne 6 Nov 5 – Dec 10 1 in 34
4 Crusaders 3 Jan 21 – Feb 11 1 in 24
5 Lisburn Distillery 4 Nov 12 – Dec 3 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Crusaders 10 Nov 19 – Jan 7 1 in 67
2 Cliftonville 7 Nov 5 – Dec 17 1 in 24
3 Ards 5 Dec 17 – Jan 2 1 in 21
4 Glentoran 17 Dec 3 – Mar 31 1 in 18
5 Lisburn Distillery 5 Jan 2 – Feb 11 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Coleraine 9 Dec 17 – Feb 4 1 in 94
2 Glenavon 6 Mar 28 – Apr 23 1 in 40
3 Lisburn Distillery 6 Mar 31 – Apr 23 1 in 33
4 Carrick Rangers 11 Jan 2 – Mar 31 1 in 31
5 Newry City 8 Dec 10 – Jan 14 1 in 25

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Linfield 1427 45 +36 9 8.2 +0.8
Glentoran 1392 42 +0 7 8.2 -1.2
Cliftonville 1103 31 +10 7 5.5 +1.5
Ards 1153 29 +22 6 5.1 +0.9
Coleraine 1212 28 +90 9 5.9 +3.1
Ballymena United 1112 28 +16 7 6.0 +1.0
Glenavon 1070 27 -63 4 4.6 -0.6
Crusaders 1088 27 -45 3 5.1 -2.1
Lisburn Distillery 1068 26 -68 3 5.1 -2.1
Portadown 1021 24 -83 1 3.8 -2.8
Newry City 1046 19 +25 5 3.5 +1.5
Larne 981 15 +80 4 2.6 +1.4
Bangor 836 14 -6 2 2.2 -0.2
Carrick Rangers 871 9 -15 3 4.1 -1.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BU BAN CR CLI COL CRU GLE GLE LAR LIN LD NC POR
Ards —
1-0-1
2.44
1-1-0
3.87
2-0-0
2.90
0-2-0
2.21
0-1-1
2.06
0-2-0
2.24
0-0-2
2.66
0-2-0
1.23
1-1-0
3.94
0-1-1
1.06
1-0-1
2.96
2-0-0
2.97
1-1-0
2.37
Ballymena United
1-0-1
3.13
 —
1-1-0
4.21
0-1-1
3.20
1-1-0
2.20
0-1-1
2.17
1-0-1
2.52
1-1-0
2.37
0-1-1
1.35
2-0-0
4.17
0-0-2
1.16
1-0-1
3.14
1-1-0
3.59
1-1-0
2.33
Bangor
0-1-1
1.71
0-1-1
1.37
 —
1-1-0
1.97
0-0-2
1.21
0-0-2
1.43
1-1-0
1.33
0-1-1
1.28
0-0-2
0.65
1-0-1
2.35
0-0-2
0.66
0-1-1
2.13
0-0-2
1.76
1-0-1
1.33
Carrick Rangers
0-0-2
2.68
1-1-0
2.37
0-1-1
3.60
 —
0-0-2
1.93
1-0-1
1.35
0-0-2
1.46
1-0-1
1.73
0-0-2
0.96
0-0-2
3.62
0-0-2
1.60
0-0-2
2.41
0-1-1
3.37
0-0-2
2.28
Cliftonville
0-2-0
3.36
0-1-1
3.37
2-0-0
4.37
2-0-0
3.64
 —
0-2-0
2.85
1-0-1
2.59
1-1-0
3.28
1-0-1
1.50
0-0-2
4.30
1-0-1
1.53
2-0-0
3.04
2-0-0
3.07
0-1-1
2.85
Coleraine
1-1-0
3.51
1-1-0
3.40
2-0-0
4.15
1-0-1
4.23
0-2-0
2.72
 —
0-0-2
3.22
0-1-1
3.02
0-0-2
1.15
2-0-0
4.06
0-0-2
1.50
1-0-1
3.15
2-0-0
3.35
1-1-0
2.73
Crusaders
0-2-0
3.33
1-0-1
3.05
0-1-1
4.26
2-0-0
4.12
1-0-1
2.98
2-0-0
2.35
 —
1-1-0
2.64
0-0-2
1.52
1-0-1
4.29
1-0-1
1.16
0-0-2
3.57
0-1-1
3.64
2-0-0
2.70
Glenavon
2-0-0
2.91
0-1-1
3.20
1-1-0
4.30
1-0-1
3.85
0-1-1
2.29
1-1-0
2.55
0-1-1
2.93
 —
0-1-1
1.26
2-0-0
3.71
0-0-2
1.30
1-1-0
3.12
1-0-1
3.29
1-0-1
2.76
Glentoran
0-2-0
4.35
1-1-0
4.23
2-0-0
4.97
2-0-0
4.64
1-0-1
4.08
2-0-0
4.43
2-0-0
4.06
1-1-0
4.32
 —
2-0-0
4.47
1-0-1
2.73
1-1-0
4.56
2-0-0
4.19
1-1-0
4.29
Larne
0-1-1
1.64
0-0-2
1.41
1-0-1
3.22
2-0-0
1.95
2-0-0
1.28
0-0-2
1.52
1-0-1
1.29
0-0-2
1.87
0-0-2
1.12
 —
0-0-2
0.62
0-0-2
2.17
1-0-1
1.88
0-0-2
1.45
Linfield
1-1-0
4.53
2-0-0
4.42
2-0-0
4.96
2-0-0
4.00
1-0-1
4.05
2-0-0
4.08
1-0-1
4.42
2-0-0
4.28
1-0-1
2.84
2-0-0
5.00
 —
2-0-0
4.37
2-0-0
4.65
2-0-0
4.34
Lisburn Distillery
1-0-1
2.60
1-0-1
2.42
1-1-0
3.45
2-0-0
3.17
0-0-2
2.53
1-0-1
2.42
2-0-0
2.00
0-1-1
2.45
0-1-1
1.03
2-0-0
3.40
0-0-2
1.21
 —
1-0-1
2.76
0-1-1
2.35
Newry City
0-0-2
2.60
0-1-1
1.99
2-0-0
3.82
1-1-0
2.20
0-0-2
2.50
0-0-2
2.22
1-1-0
1.94
1-0-1
2.29
0-0-2
1.39
1-0-1
3.69
0-0-2
0.95
1-0-1
2.81
 —
1-0-1
2.20
Portadown
0-1-1
3.20
0-1-1
3.24
1-0-1
4.25
2-0-0
3.29
1-1-0
2.72
0-1-1
2.84
0-0-2
2.87
1-0-1
2.80
0-1-1
1.29
2-0-0
4.13
0-0-2
1.25
1-1-0
3.22
1-0-1
3.37
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.74 +5.6
Allowed 0.82 -6.8
Differential 0.96 +3.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%8.52%6.04%4.12%1.10%1.37%28.30%
18.52%8.24%7.97%3.85%3.57%0.82%32.97%
26.04%7.97%3.85%1.65%—0.55%20.05%
34.12%3.85%1.65%1.10%—0.27%10.99%
41.10%3.57%————4.67%
5+1.37%0.82%0.55%0.27%——3.02%
Total28.30%32.97%20.05%10.99%4.67%3.02%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.43 +0.00
SD 1.42 1.42 2.17
CV 0.99 0.99 —
Max 9 9 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%—7.69%3.85%——30.77%
111.54%15.38%7.69%———34.62%
211.54%3.85%3.85%———19.23%
33.85%——3.85%—3.85%11.54%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total50.00%19.23%19.23%7.69%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.00 +0.23
SD 1.14 1.30 1.58
CV 0.93 1.30 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
17.69%7.69%11.54%—3.85%—30.77%
27.69%15.38%11.54%———34.62%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.77%34.62%26.92%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.15 +0.08
SD 0.95 1.05 1.47
CV 0.77 0.91 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%7.69%——11.54%34.62%
17.69%11.54%11.54%7.69%11.54%—50.00%
2—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
3———3.85%——3.85%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total11.54%30.77%23.08%11.54%11.54%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 2.19 -1.27
SD 0.98 1.65 2.05
CV 1.06 0.75 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%11.54%11.54%3.85%—38.46%
13.85%3.85%15.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%38.46%
2——7.69%7.69%——15.38%
37.69%—————7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.54%15.38%34.62%26.92%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 2.19 -1.27
SD 0.93 1.36 1.82
CV 1.01 0.62 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%15.38%3.85%7.69%——42.31%
115.38%7.69%————23.08%
27.69%11.54%3.85%———23.08%
3—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total38.46%42.31%11.54%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 0.88 +0.19
SD 1.16 0.91 1.47
CV 1.08 1.03 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%7.69%—3.85%——26.92%
13.85%3.85%11.54%7.69%—3.85%30.77%
23.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
43.85%11.54%————15.38%
5+———3.85%——3.85%
Total34.62%30.77%15.38%15.38%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.31 +0.38
SD 1.57 1.44 2.17
CV 0.93 1.10 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
115.38%11.54%11.54%—3.85%3.85%46.15%
2—7.69%—7.69%——15.38%
3—11.54%7.69%3.85%——23.08%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.23%38.46%23.08%11.54%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.58 -0.12
SD 1.03 1.39 1.61
CV 0.70 0.88 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
13.85%19.23%7.69%7.69%——38.46%
2—11.54%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
37.69%7.69%————15.38%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total19.23%50.00%15.38%15.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.27 +0.31
SD 1.30 0.96 1.87
CV 0.83 0.76 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%——3.85%——15.38%
119.23%7.69%3.85%———30.77%
211.54%—————11.54%
3—3.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%
43.85%11.54%————15.38%
5+7.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
Total53.85%26.92%11.54%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 0.73 +1.77
SD 2.25 0.96 2.27
CV 0.90 1.32 —
Max 9 3 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—15.38%15.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%46.15%
1—3.85%7.69%3.85%7.69%—23.08%
27.69%7.69%———3.85%19.23%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%30.77%23.08%11.54%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 2.23 -1.27
SD 1.08 2.21 2.69
CV 1.12 0.99 —
Max 3 9 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%————3.85%
111.54%3.85%—3.85%3.85%—23.08%
23.85%15.38%————19.23%
315.38%11.54%————26.92%
4—11.54%————11.54%
5+3.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
Total34.62%53.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.92 0.88 +2.04
SD 2.00 0.95 2.29
CV 0.68 1.08 —
Max 8 4 +8
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%3.85%—3.85%—26.92%
1—7.69%3.85%3.85%7.69%—23.08%
215.38%15.38%3.85%——3.85%38.46%
33.85%—7.69%———11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%38.46%19.23%3.85%11.54%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.62 -0.27
SD 1.02 1.65 2.01
CV 0.76 1.02 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%30.77%
13.85%3.85%11.54%7.69%3.85%—30.77%
211.54%11.54%7.69%3.85%——34.62%
3———————
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total19.23%23.08%26.92%19.23%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.85 -0.69
SD 1.01 1.38 2.09
CV 0.87 0.75 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%15.38%3.85%——38.46%
115.38%7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%—38.46%
23.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total34.62%26.92%26.92%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.19 -0.12
SD 1.29 1.13 1.88
CV 1.20 0.95 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Linfield 1427 45 39.86 +5.14 96.0% 26 34 38 40 42 45 49
Glentoran 1392 42 39.22 +2.78 86.0% 32 34 37 39 41 44 47
Coleraine 1212 28 27.94 +0.06 54.0% 16 21 25 28 31 35 37
Ards 1153 29 23.79 +5.21 92.0% 13 16 21 24 27 30 34
Ballymena United 1112 28 25.12 +2.88 79.0% 18 19 22 25 28 32 36
Cliftonville 1103 31 28.26 +2.74 77.0% 18 20 26 28 31 35 38
Crusaders 1088 27 27.58 -0.58 50.0% 16 21 25 27 30 34 40
Glenavon 1070 27 26.64 +0.36 58.0% 13 18 24 26 29 33 35
Lisburn Distillery 1068 26 23.81 +2.19 73.0% 12 16 21 24 27 31 34
Newry City 1046 19 22.38 -3.38 25.0% 13 15 19 22 26 29 32
Portadown 1021 24 26.60 -2.60 28.0% 16 19 24 26 30 34 37
Larne 981 13 14.18 -1.18 47.0% 6 8 11 14 16 21 24
Carrick Rangers 871 9 21.28 -12.28 0.0% 10 14 19 21 24 28 30
Bangor 836 14 15.34 -1.34 40.0% 4 9 13 15 18 21 25

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+3.85%
No Edge
41.76%20.33%37.91%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 13.37 Elo pts.
193 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.18 goals
Neutral
-2+0.07+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.0
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
58%
Linfield, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.12/gm
Tight Race
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.29 * Some Luck: 3.29 to 4.93 * Lucky: 4.93 to 6.58 * Wild Swing: 6.58 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.5 * Close: 1.5 to 2.26 * Off: 2.26 to 3.01 * Way Off: 3.01 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.26 points
Some Luck
04.1110
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.43
Pinpoint
01.884
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
96.00%
Linfield
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
0.00%
Carrick Rangers
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Even
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 165.22
2.21
Strong Separation
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
66%
Even
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
97%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
57%
Frequent
0%51%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Frequent
0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.42
Slight Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.09
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.37
Weak Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Shaky
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.03
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.89
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.066
Well Within Noise
00.1240.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Linfield58.00%39.00%2.00%——1.00%————————
Glentoran42.00%55.00%2.00%1.00%——————————
Cliftonville—2.00%21.00%18.00%10.00%12.00%11.00%10.00%7.00%3.00%3.00%3.00%——
Ards——5.00%4.00%10.00%9.00%9.00%11.00%12.00%11.00%17.00%7.00%4.00%1.00%
Coleraine—2.00%19.00%17.00%19.00%7.00%9.00%9.00%9.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%—
Ballymena United——7.00%5.00%10.00%16.00%9.00%12.00%9.00%11.00%16.00%3.00%2.00%—
Glenavon——13.00%17.00%15.00%10.00%8.00%11.00%8.00%8.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%—
Crusaders—1.00%15.00%16.00%15.00%12.00%14.00%5.00%8.00%6.00%6.00%1.00%1.00%—
Lisburn Distillery——4.00%3.00%8.00%11.00%11.00%10.00%10.00%12.00%15.00%10.00%4.00%2.00%
Portadown—1.00%11.00%15.00%6.00%7.00%20.00%10.00%14.00%8.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%—
Newry City———3.00%5.00%11.00%5.00%9.00%8.00%20.00%11.00%15.00%13.00%—
Bangor————————2.00%3.00%8.00%20.00%32.00%35.00%
Larne———————1.00%4.00%—4.00%10.00%26.00%55.00%
Carrick Rangers——1.00%1.00%2.00%4.00%4.00%12.00%9.00%13.00%12.00%24.00%11.00%7.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Ballymena United 100%
Bangor 100%
Carrick Rangers 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Crusaders 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Larne 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Newry City 100%
Portadown 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1983-11-05 Ards W 2-036.6 1062 1025 47.06% 21.53% 31.41%+0.26 +26.2 2
1983-11-05 @ Ballymena United L 0-236.6 1025 1062 31.41% 21.53% 47.06%-0.26 -26.2 0
1983-11-05 Portadown W 2-152.9 926 1116 18.93% 21.17% 59.90%-0.91 +22.7 2
1983-11-05 @ Bangor L 1-252.9 1116 926 59.90% 21.17% 18.93%+0.91 -22.7 0
1983-11-05 Linfield L 0-336.0 1188 1235 35.46% 21.55% 42.99%-0.17 -41.9 0
1983-11-05 @ Carrick Rangers W 3-036.0 1235 1188 42.99% 21.55% 35.46%+0.17 +41.9 2
1983-11-05 Newry City W 3-146.4 1104 1173 32.34% 21.52% 46.13%-0.29 +30.9 2
1983-11-05 @ Cliftonville L 1-346.4 1173 1104 46.13% 21.52% 32.34%+0.29 -30.9 0
1983-11-05 Coleraine W 3-149.1 1021 1168 23.17% 21.34% 55.49%-0.69 +36.5 2
1983-11-05 @ Glenavon L 1-349.1 1168 1021 55.49% 21.34% 23.17%+0.69 -36.5 0
1983-11-05 Larne W 9-231.7 1200 1019 62.62% 21.09% 16.29%+1.00 +32.6 2
1983-11-05 @ Glentoran L 2-931.7 1019 1200 16.29% 21.09% 62.62%-1.00 -32.6 0
1983-11-05 Crusaders W 2-042.6 1016 1127 27.22% 21.44% 51.33%-0.50 +39.2 2
1983-11-05 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-242.6 1127 1016 51.33% 21.44% 27.22%+0.50 -39.2 0
1983-11-12 Carrick Rangers W 2-151.7 999 1146 23.15% 21.34% 55.51%-0.69 +21.1 2
1983-11-12 @ Ards L 1-251.7 1146 999 55.51% 21.34% 23.15%+0.69 -21.1 0
1983-11-12 Bangor W 3-137.2 1131 949 62.81% 21.08% 16.11%+1.02 +12.9 2
1983-11-12 @ Coleraine L 1-337.2 949 1131 16.11% 21.08% 62.81%-1.02 -12.9 2
1983-11-12 Glentoran L 2-347.0 1088 1232 23.44% 21.35% 55.21%-0.68 -9.8 0
1983-11-12 @ Crusaders W 3-247.0 1232 1088 55.21% 21.35% 23.44%+0.68 +9.8 4
1983-11-12 Glenavon L 0-334.8 987 1058 32.19% 21.52% 46.29%-0.30 -38.8 0
1983-11-12 @ Larne W 3-034.8 1058 987 46.29% 21.52% 32.19%+0.30 +38.8 4
1983-11-12 Cliftonville L 0-147.9 1277 1135 59.12% 21.26% 19.62%+0.81 -23.8 2
1983-11-12 @ Linfield W 1-047.9 1135 1277 19.62% 21.26% 59.12%-0.81 +23.8 4
1983-11-12 Lisburn Distillery W 2-142.7 1143 1056 53.24% 21.44% 25.32%+0.52 +11.0 2
1983-11-12 @ Newry City L 1-242.7 1056 1143 25.32% 21.44% 53.24%-0.52 -11.0 2
1983-11-12 Ballymena United D 1-154.0 1093 1088 42.73% 21.56% 35.71%+0.09 -0.6 1
1983-11-12 @ Portadown D 1-154.0 1088 1093 35.71% 21.56% 42.73%-0.09 +0.6 3
1983-11-19 Larne W 1-041.4 936 948 40.36% 21.56% 38.07%+0.01 +16.2 4
1983-11-19 @ Bangor L 0-141.4 948 936 38.07% 21.56% 40.36%-0.01 -16.2 0
1983-11-19 Ballymena United W 1-039.5 1125 1089 46.95% 21.53% 31.51%+0.26 +13.9 2
1983-11-19 @ Carrick Rangers L 0-139.5 1089 1125 31.51% 21.53% 46.95%-0.26 -13.9 3
1983-11-19 Ards D 1-154.1 1158 1020 58.75% 21.27% 19.98%+0.79 -3.6 5
1983-11-19 @ Cliftonville D 1-154.1 1020 1158 19.98% 21.27% 58.75%-0.79 +3.7 3
1983-11-19 Portadown D 0-049.8 1144 1092 48.97% 21.51% 29.52%+0.34 -2.0 3
1983-11-19 @ Coleraine D 0-049.8 1092 1144 29.52% 21.51% 48.97%-0.34 +1.9 2
1983-11-19 Crusaders L 2-353.3 1096 1078 44.56% 21.55% 33.88%+0.16 -16.5 4
1983-11-19 @ Glenavon W 3-253.3 1078 1096 33.88% 21.55% 44.56%-0.16 +16.5 2
1983-11-19 Newry City W 5-032.0 1242 1154 53.42% 21.43% 25.15%+0.53 +51.0 6
1983-11-19 @ Glentoran L 0-532.0 1154 1242 25.15% 21.43% 53.42%-0.53 -51.0 2
1983-11-19 Linfield L 2-733.5 1045 1253 17.34% 21.09% 61.57%-1.01 -25.6 2
1983-11-19 @ Lisburn Distillery W 7-233.5 1253 1045 61.57% 21.09% 17.34%+1.01 +25.6 4
1983-11-26 Lisburn Distillery W 1-040.7 1024 1019 42.72% 21.56% 35.72%+0.09 +15.4 5
1983-11-26 @ Ards L 0-140.7 1019 1024 35.72% 21.56% 42.72%-0.09 -15.4 2
1983-11-26 Cliftonville D 0-049.8 1075 1155 31.05% 21.51% 47.44%-0.34 +1.6 4
1983-11-26 @ Ballymena United D 0-049.8 1155 1075 47.44% 21.51% 31.05%+0.34 -1.6 6
1983-11-26 Bangor D 3-363.3 1095 952 59.20% 21.26% 19.55%+0.81 -2.3 3
1983-11-26 @ Crusaders D 3-363.3 952 1095 19.55% 21.26% 59.20%-0.81 +2.3 5
1983-11-26 Coleraine L 1-435.0 932 1142 17.13% 21.08% 61.79%-1.02 -19.2 0
1983-11-26 @ Larne W 4-135.0 1142 932 61.79% 21.08% 17.13%+1.02 +19.2 5
1983-11-26 Glentoran W 3-037.4 1278 1293 40.02% 21.56% 38.42%-0.01 +44.7 6
1983-11-26 @ Linfield L 0-337.4 1293 1278 38.42% 21.56% 40.02%+0.01 -44.7 6
1983-11-26 Glenavon L 1-248.7 1103 1080 45.18% 21.55% 33.27%+0.19 -17.5 2
1983-11-26 @ Newry City W 2-148.7 1080 1103 33.27% 21.55% 45.18%-0.19 +17.6 6
1983-11-26 Carrick Rangers W 2-040.1 1094 1139 35.77% 21.55% 42.68%-0.16 +33.5 4
1983-11-26 @ Portadown L 0-240.1 1139 1094 42.68% 21.55% 35.77%+0.16 -33.5 2
1983-12-03 Newry City L 1-242.5 954 1085 24.91% 21.39% 53.70%-0.61 -10.8 5
1983-12-03 @ Bangor W 2-142.5 1085 954 53.70% 21.39% 24.91%+0.61 +10.8 4
1983-12-03 Carrick Rangers W 1-039.1 1153 1105 48.48% 21.52% 30.01%+0.32 +13.4 8
1983-12-03 @ Cliftonville L 0-139.1 1105 1153 30.01% 21.52% 48.48%-0.32 -13.4 2
1983-12-03 Crusaders L 1-250.4 1161 1092 51.12% 21.48% 27.40%+0.43 -19.5 5
1983-12-03 @ Coleraine W 2-150.4 1092 1161 27.40% 21.48% 51.12%-0.43 +19.5 5
1983-12-03 Linfield L 0-134.9 1097 1323 15.90% 21.00% 63.10%-1.10 -7.8 6
1983-12-03 @ Glenavon W 1-034.9 1323 1097 63.10% 21.00% 15.90%+1.10 +7.8 8
1983-12-03 Ards D 3-363.5 1248 1039 64.92% 20.95% 14.13%+1.15 -3.1 7
1983-12-03 @ Glentoran D 3-363.5 1039 1248 14.13% 20.95% 64.92%-1.15 +3.1 6
1983-12-03 Portadown L 0-134.9 912 1128 16.73% 21.05% 62.22%-1.05 -8.1 0
1983-12-03 @ Larne W 1-034.9 1128 912 62.22% 21.05% 16.73%+1.05 +8.1 6
1983-12-03 Ballymena United L 0-139.6 1004 1077 31.94% 21.52% 46.54%-0.31 -14.1 2
1983-12-03 @ Lisburn Distillery W 1-039.6 1077 1004 46.54% 21.52% 31.94%+0.31 +14.1 6
1983-12-10 Glenavon L 0-335.8 1042 1090 35.37% 21.55% 43.08%-0.18 -41.8 6
1983-12-10 @ Ards W 3-035.8 1090 1042 43.08% 21.55% 35.37%+0.18 +41.9 8
1983-12-10 Glentoran L 1-436.8 1091 1245 22.36% 21.31% 56.33%-0.73 -24.2 6
1983-12-10 @ Ballymena United W 4-136.8 1245 1091 56.33% 21.31% 22.36%+0.73 +24.2 9
1983-12-10 Lisburn Distillery L 1-251.5 1092 990 55.00% 21.39% 23.61%+0.60 -20.9 2
1983-12-10 @ Carrick Rangers W 2-151.5 990 1092 23.61% 21.39% 55.00%-0.60 +20.9 4
1983-12-10 Larne W 3-136.6 1112 904 64.82% 20.95% 14.23%+1.15 +11.5 7
1983-12-10 @ Crusaders L 1-336.6 904 1112 14.23% 20.95% 64.82%-1.15 -11.5 0
1983-12-10 Bangor W 4-131.2 1331 943 74.76% 19.64% 5.61%+2.08 +6.7 10
1983-12-10 @ Linfield L 1-431.2 943 1331 5.61% 19.64% 74.76%-2.08 -6.7 5
1983-12-10 Coleraine L 0-335.9 1096 1142 35.57% 21.55% 42.88%-0.17 -42.0 4
1983-12-10 @ Newry City W 3-035.9 1142 1096 42.88% 21.55% 35.57%+0.17 +42.0 7
1983-12-10 Cliftonville D 1-154.0 1136 1166 37.72% 21.56% 40.72%-0.09 +0.3 7
1983-12-10 @ Portadown D 1-154.0 1166 1136 40.72% 21.56% 37.72%+0.09 -0.3 9
1983-12-17 Ards D 2-259.2 937 1000 33.15% 21.53% 45.32%-0.26 +0.8 6
1983-12-17 @ Bangor D 2-259.2 1000 937 45.32% 21.53% 33.15%+0.26 -0.8 7
1983-12-17 Linfield L 1-242.2 1184 1338 22.43% 21.31% 56.26%-0.73 -9.9 7
1983-12-17 @ Coleraine W 2-142.2 1338 1184 56.26% 21.31% 22.43%+0.73 +9.9 12
1983-12-17 Portadown W 1-041.5 1123 1136 40.26% 21.56% 38.18%+0.00 +16.2 9
1983-12-17 @ Crusaders L 0-141.5 1136 1123 38.18% 21.56% 40.26%+0.00 -16.2 7
1983-12-17 Ballymena United L 1-347.7 1131 1066 50.64% 21.49% 27.88%+0.41 -33.6 8
1983-12-17 @ Glenavon W 3-147.7 1066 1131 27.88% 21.49% 50.64%-0.41 +33.6 8
1983-12-17 Carrick Rangers W 6-131.6 1269 1071 64.09% 21.00% 14.91%+1.10 +26.8 11
1983-12-17 @ Glentoran L 1-631.6 1071 1269 14.91% 21.00% 64.09%-1.10 -26.8 2
1983-12-17 Newry City W 2-152.1 893 1054 21.69% 21.29% 57.02%-0.77 +21.6 2
1983-12-17 @ Larne L 1-252.1 1054 893 57.02% 21.29% 21.69%+0.77 -21.6 4
1983-12-17 Cliftonville L 0-233.8 1011 1166 22.24% 21.31% 56.45%-0.74 -19.6 4
1983-12-17 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-033.8 1166 1011 56.45% 21.31% 22.24%+0.74 +19.6 11
1983-12-24 Coleraine D 0-049.8 1000 1174 20.39% 21.24% 58.37%-0.83 +4.0 8
1983-12-24 @ Ards D 0-049.8 1174 1000 58.37% 21.24% 20.39%+0.83 -4.0 8
1983-12-24 Bangor D 1-154.1 1100 937 61.05% 21.17% 17.77%+0.91 -4.1 9
1983-12-24 @ Ballymena United D 1-154.1 937 1100 17.77% 21.17% 61.05%-0.91 +4.1 7
1983-12-24 Glentoran L 0-138.6 1186 1296 27.27% 21.44% 51.28%-0.50 -12.4 11
1983-12-24 @ Cliftonville W 1-038.6 1296 1186 51.28% 21.44% 27.27%+0.50 +12.4 13
1983-12-24 Carrick Rangers W 2-143.9 1098 1044 49.23% 21.51% 29.26%+0.35 +12.4 10
1983-12-24 @ Glenavon L 1-243.9 1044 1098 29.26% 21.51% 49.23%-0.35 -12.4 2
1983-12-24 Larne W 8-026.4 1347 914 76.39% 19.21% 4.41%+2.31 +15.7 14
1983-12-24 @ Linfield L 0-826.4 914 1347 4.41% 19.21% 76.39%-2.31 -15.7 2
1983-12-24 Crusaders D 1-154.0 1032 1140 27.60% 21.45% 50.95%-0.49 +2.1 5
1983-12-24 @ Newry City D 1-154.0 1140 1032 50.95% 21.45% 27.60%+0.49 -2.1 10
1983-12-24 Lisburn Distillery W 1-036.2 1120 991 57.83% 21.31% 20.86%+0.74 +9.9 9
1983-12-24 @ Portadown L 0-136.2 991 1120 20.86% 21.31% 57.83%-0.74 -9.9 4
1983-12-26 Cliftonville D 0-049.8 1110 1173 33.22% 21.53% 45.25%-0.26 +1.2 11
1983-12-26 @ Glenavon D 0-049.8 1173 1110 45.25% 21.53% 33.22%+0.26 -1.2 12
1983-12-26 Portadown L 0-138.7 1034 1130 29.05% 21.48% 49.47%-0.43 -13.0 5
1983-12-26 @ Newry City W 1-038.7 1130 1034 49.47% 21.48% 29.05%+0.43 +13.0 11
1983-12-27 Carrick Rangers W 4-144.6 942 1032 29.72% 21.49% 48.79%-0.40 +45.9 9
1983-12-27 @ Bangor L 1-444.6 1032 942 48.79% 21.49% 29.72%+0.40 -45.9 2
1983-12-27 Ballymena United D 0-049.8 1170 1096 51.72% 21.47% 26.81%+0.45 -2.5 9
1983-12-27 @ Coleraine D 0-049.8 1096 1170 26.81% 21.47% 51.72%-0.45 +2.5 10
1983-12-27 Linfield W 3-151.7 1137 1363 15.91% 21.00% 63.09%-1.10 +41.4 12
1983-12-27 @ Crusaders L 1-351.7 1363 1137 63.09% 21.00% 15.91%+1.10 -41.4 14
1983-12-27 Lisburn Distillery D 1-154.4 1308 981 72.17% 20.15% 7.69%+1.77 -6.5 14
1983-12-27 @ Glentoran D 1-154.4 981 1308 7.69% 20.15% 72.17%-1.77 +6.5 5
1983-12-27 Ards D 1-154.0 899 1004 27.91% 21.46% 50.63%-0.47 +2.0 3
1983-12-27 @ Larne D 1-154.0 1004 899 50.63% 21.46% 27.91%+0.47 -2.0 9
1983-12-31 Crusaders D 1-154.1 1002 1179 20.09% 21.22% 58.69%-0.85 +3.6 10
1983-12-31 @ Ards D 1-154.1 1179 1002 58.69% 21.22% 20.09%+0.85 -3.6 13
1983-12-31 Larne W 2-139.4 1098 901 64.04% 21.01% 14.95%+1.09 +6.9 12
1983-12-31 @ Ballymena United L 1-239.4 901 1098 14.95% 21.01% 64.04%-1.09 -6.9 3
1983-12-31 Bangor W 1-034.7 1172 988 62.99% 21.07% 15.94%+1.03 +7.8 14
1983-12-31 @ Cliftonville L 0-134.7 988 1172 15.94% 21.07% 62.99%-1.03 -7.8 9
1983-12-31 Carrick Rangers L 0-343.8 1167 986 62.70% 21.09% 16.21%+1.01 -69.1 9
1983-12-31 @ Coleraine W 3-043.8 986 1167 16.21% 21.09% 62.70%-1.01 +69.1 4
1983-12-31 Glenavon L 1-437.7 988 1111 25.69% 21.41% 52.90%-0.57 -27.2 5
1983-12-31 @ Lisburn Distillery W 4-137.7 1111 988 52.90% 21.41% 25.69%+0.57 +27.2 13
1983-12-31 Linfield L 1-335.6 1021 1322 10.91% 20.55% 68.54%-1.49 -9.0 5
1983-12-31 @ Newry City W 3-135.6 1322 1021 68.54% 20.55% 10.91%+1.49 +9.0 16
1983-12-31 Glentoran D 0-050.1 1143 1302 21.88% 21.30% 56.82%-0.76 +3.6 12
1983-12-31 @ Portadown D 0-050.1 1302 1143 56.82% 21.30% 21.88%+0.76 -3.6 15
1984-01-02 Lisburn Distillery L 0-240.6 980 960 44.73% 21.55% 33.72%+0.17 -34.8 9
1984-01-02 @ Bangor W 2-040.6 960 980 33.72% 21.55% 44.73%-0.17 +34.8 7
1984-01-02 Cliftonville D 2-259.3 1098 1180 30.77% 21.50% 47.72%-0.36 +1.1 10
1984-01-02 @ Coleraine D 2-259.3 1180 1098 47.72% 21.50% 30.77%+0.36 -1.1 15
1984-01-02 Ballymena United W 2-143.3 1175 1105 51.24% 21.48% 27.29%+0.43 +11.7 15
1984-01-02 @ Crusaders L 1-243.3 1105 1175 27.29% 21.48% 51.24%-0.43 -11.7 12
1984-01-02 Glentoran L 1-339.3 1139 1298 21.82% 21.29% 56.88%-0.76 -16.7 13
1984-01-02 @ Glenavon W 3-139.3 1298 1139 56.88% 21.29% 21.82%+0.76 +16.7 17
1984-01-02 Carrick Rangers W 2-044.2 894 1055 21.67% 21.29% 57.04%-0.77 +43.3 5
1984-01-02 @ Larne L 0-244.2 1055 894 57.04% 21.29% 21.67%+0.77 -43.3 4
1984-01-02 Portadown W 3-030.2 1331 1146 62.93% 21.07% 15.99%+1.02 +21.4 18
1984-01-02 @ Linfield L 0-330.2 1146 1331 15.99% 21.07% 62.93%-1.02 -21.4 12
1984-01-02 Ards L 0-437.2 1012 1005 43.04% 21.56% 35.40%+0.11 -63.9 5
1984-01-02 @ Newry City W 4-037.2 1005 1012 35.40% 21.56% 43.04%-0.11 +63.9 12
1984-01-07 Linfield L 0-230.8 1069 1352 11.94% 20.66% 67.40%-1.40 -11.3 12
1984-01-07 @ Ards W 2-030.8 1352 1069 67.40% 20.66% 11.94%+1.40 +11.3 20
1984-01-07 Newry City W 2-032.9 1094 948 59.45% 21.25% 19.30%+0.82 +17.4 14
1984-01-07 @ Ballymena United L 0-232.9 948 1094 19.30% 21.25% 59.45%-0.82 -17.4 5
1984-01-07 Larne L 0-345.1 1179 937 67.28% 20.75% 11.97%+1.32 -74.3 15
1984-01-07 @ Cliftonville W 3-045.1 937 1179 11.97% 20.75% 67.28%-1.32 +74.3 7
1984-01-07 Carrick Rangers W 1-034.9 1187 1012 62.18% 21.12% 16.71%+0.98 +8.1 17
1984-01-07 @ Crusaders L 0-134.9 1012 1187 16.71% 21.12% 62.18%-0.98 -8.1 4
1984-01-07 Bangor W 6-026.1 1315 945 74.07% 19.79% 6.14%+1.99 +16.6 19
1984-01-07 @ Glentoran L 0-626.1 945 1315 6.14% 19.79% 74.07%-1.99 -16.6 9
1984-01-07 Coleraine W 2-150.2 995 1099 28.01% 21.46% 50.54%-0.47 +19.3 9
1984-01-07 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-250.2 1099 995 50.54% 21.46% 28.01%+0.47 -19.3 10
1984-01-07 Glenavon W 2-145.9 1125 1122 42.51% 21.56% 35.93%+0.09 +14.6 14
1984-01-07 @ Portadown L 1-245.9 1122 1125 35.93% 21.56% 42.51%-0.09 -14.6 13
1984-01-14 Glenavon L 0-530.2 928 1107 19.94% 21.22% 58.84%-0.86 -41.8 9
1984-01-14 @ Bangor W 5-030.2 1107 928 58.84% 21.22% 19.94%+0.86 +41.8 15
1984-01-14 Glentoran L 0-134.2 1080 1332 13.97% 20.85% 65.17%-1.24 -6.9 10
1984-01-14 @ Coleraine W 1-034.2 1332 1080 65.17% 20.85% 13.97%+1.24 +6.9 21
1984-01-14 Ballymena United W 1-033.5 1363 1111 67.96% 20.69% 11.35%+1.38 +5.7 22
1984-01-14 @ Linfield L 0-133.5 1111 1363 11.35% 20.69% 67.96%-1.38 -5.7 14
1984-01-14 Carrick Rangers D 2-259.3 931 1004 31.96% 21.52% 46.52%-0.31 +1.0 6
1984-01-14 @ Newry City D 2-259.3 1004 931 46.52% 21.52% 31.96%+0.31 -1.0 5
1984-01-21 Portadown D 0-049.8 1058 1140 30.79% 21.50% 47.71%-0.35 +1.7 13
1984-01-21 @ Ards D 0-049.8 1140 1058 47.71% 21.50% 30.79%+0.35 -1.7 15
1984-01-21 Newry City L 0-439.6 1003 932 51.35% 21.47% 27.18%+0.44 -74.5 5
1984-01-21 @ Carrick Rangers W 4-039.6 932 1003 27.18% 21.47% 51.35%-0.44 +74.5 8
1984-01-21 Cliftonville L 1-446.2 1195 1105 53.66% 21.43% 24.91%+0.54 -50.1 17
1984-01-21 @ Crusaders W 4-146.2 1105 1195 24.91% 21.43% 53.66%-0.54 +50.1 17
1984-01-21 Coleraine W 1-033.1 1339 1073 68.80% 20.60% 10.60%+1.45 +5.4 23
1984-01-21 @ Glentoran L 0-133.1 1073 1339 10.60% 20.60% 68.80%-1.45 -5.4 10
1984-01-21 Larne W 3-035.9 1015 1011 42.49% 21.56% 35.95%+0.09 +42.4 11
1984-01-21 @ Lisburn Distillery L 0-335.9 1011 1015 35.95% 21.56% 42.49%-0.09 -42.4 7
1984-02-04 Ballymena United W 3-038.0 1060 1105 35.58% 21.55% 42.87%-0.17 +48.8 15
1984-02-04 @ Ards L 0-338.0 1105 1060 42.87% 21.55% 35.58%+0.17 -48.8 14
1984-02-04 Glenavon D 1-154.0 1068 1149 30.84% 21.51% 47.66%-0.35 +1.5 11
1984-02-04 @ Coleraine D 1-154.0 1149 1068 47.66% 21.51% 30.84%+0.35 -1.5 16
1984-02-04 Lisburn Distillery L 2-356.0 1145 1057 53.39% 21.43% 25.17%+0.53 -19.3 17
1984-02-04 @ Crusaders W 3-256.0 1057 1145 25.17% 21.43% 53.39%-0.53 +19.3 13
1984-02-04 Glentoran L 0-229.1 969 1344 7.42% 19.98% 72.60%-1.87 -7.2 7
1984-02-04 @ Larne W 2-029.1 1344 969 72.60% 19.98% 7.42%+1.87 +7.2 25
1984-02-04 Carrick Rangers W 3-133.2 1369 928 76.64% 19.13% 4.23%+2.35 +3.6 24
1984-02-04 @ Linfield L 1-333.2 928 1369 4.23% 19.13% 76.64%-2.35 -3.6 5
1984-02-04 Cliftonville L 2-346.8 1006 1155 22.99% 21.33% 55.67%-0.70 -9.6 8
1984-02-04 @ Newry City W 3-246.8 1155 1006 55.67% 21.33% 22.99%+0.70 +9.6 19
1984-02-04 Bangor W 5-027.5 1138 887 67.91% 20.69% 11.40%+1.37 +25.3 17
1984-02-04 @ Portadown L 0-527.5 887 1138 11.40% 20.69% 67.91%-1.37 -25.3 9
1984-02-11 Portadown W 2-150.3 1057 1163 27.70% 21.45% 50.84%-0.48 +19.4 16
1984-02-11 @ Ballymena United L 1-250.3 1163 1057 50.84% 21.45% 27.70%+0.48 -19.5 17
1984-02-11 Coleraine L 0-135.1 861 1069 17.34% 21.09% 61.57%-1.01 -8.4 9
1984-02-11 @ Bangor W 1-035.1 1069 861 61.57% 21.09% 17.34%+1.01 +8.4 13
1984-02-11 Ards L 0-135.8 925 1108 19.50% 21.20% 59.31%-0.88 -9.3 5
1984-02-11 @ Carrick Rangers W 1-035.8 1108 925 59.31% 21.20% 19.50%+0.88 +9.3 17
1984-02-11 Linfield L 0-135.7 1164 1373 17.31% 21.09% 61.60%-1.01 -8.4 19
1984-02-11 @ Cliftonville W 1-035.7 1373 1164 61.60% 21.09% 17.31%+1.01 +8.4 26
1984-02-11 Larne W 1-034.6 1148 962 63.07% 21.07% 15.87%+1.03 +7.8 18
1984-02-11 @ Glenavon L 0-134.6 962 1148 15.87% 21.07% 63.07%-1.03 -7.8 7
1984-02-11 Crusaders W 1-034.1 1351 1126 66.14% 20.85% 13.01%+1.24 +6.5 27
1984-02-11 @ Glentoran L 0-134.1 1126 1351 13.01% 20.85% 66.14%-1.24 -6.5 17
1984-02-11 Newry City W 2-142.9 1076 997 52.38% 21.45% 26.16%+0.48 +11.3 15
1984-02-11 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-242.9 997 1076 26.16% 21.45% 52.38%-0.48 -11.3 8
1984-02-22 Crusaders L 0-144.2 1156 1119 47.04% 21.53% 31.43%+0.26 -19.3 19
1984-02-22 @ Cliftonville W 1-044.2 1119 1156 31.43% 21.53% 47.04%-0.26 +19.2 19
1984-02-25 Cliftonville D 0-049.8 1118 1137 39.36% 21.56% 39.07%-0.03 -0.0 18
1984-02-25 @ Ards D 0-049.8 1137 1118 39.07% 21.56% 39.36%+0.03 +0.0 20
1984-02-25 Carrick Rangers D 2-259.4 1076 915 60.89% 21.18% 17.93%+0.90 -3.0 17
1984-02-25 @ Ballymena United D 2-259.4 915 1076 17.93% 21.18% 60.89%-0.90 +3.0 6
1984-02-25 Glenavon D 1-154.0 1138 1155 39.68% 21.56% 38.76%-0.02 -0.1 20
1984-02-25 @ Crusaders D 1-154.0 1155 1138 38.76% 21.56% 39.68%+0.02 +0.1 19
1984-02-25 Bangor W 3-139.6 954 853 54.89% 21.40% 23.71%+0.59 +18.0 9
1984-02-25 @ Larne L 1-339.6 853 954 23.71% 21.40% 54.89%-0.59 -18.0 9
1984-02-25 Lisburn Distillery W 3-135.3 1381 1087 70.42% 20.41% 9.17%+1.59 +7.6 28
1984-02-25 @ Linfield L 1-335.3 1087 1381 9.17% 20.41% 70.42%-1.59 -7.7 15
1984-02-25 Glentoran L 0-131.9 985 1358 7.53% 20.00% 72.47%-1.86 -3.9 8
1984-02-25 @ Newry City W 1-031.9 1358 985 72.47% 20.00% 7.53%+1.86 +3.9 29
1984-02-25 Coleraine L 0-242.5 1144 1078 50.79% 21.48% 27.72%+0.41 -38.9 17
1984-02-25 @ Portadown W 2-042.5 1078 1144 27.72% 21.48% 50.79%-0.41 +38.9 15
1984-03-03 Crusaders W 1-050.3 835 1138 10.74% 20.52% 68.74%-1.50 +27.7 11
1984-03-03 @ Bangor L 0-150.3 1138 835 68.74% 20.52% 10.74%+1.50 -27.7 20
1984-03-03 Portadown L 1-338.2 918 1105 19.23% 21.19% 59.59%-0.90 -15.0 6
1984-03-03 @ Carrick Rangers W 3-138.2 1105 918 59.59% 21.19% 19.23%+0.90 +15.0 19
1984-03-03 Ballymena United L 0-340.3 1137 1073 50.47% 21.49% 28.04%+0.40 -56.1 20
1984-03-03 @ Cliftonville W 3-040.3 1073 1137 28.04% 21.49% 50.47%-0.40 +56.1 19
1984-03-03 Larne W 4-030.0 1116 972 59.35% 21.25% 19.40%+0.82 +33.2 17
1984-03-03 @ Coleraine L 0-430.0 972 1116 19.40% 21.25% 59.35%-0.82 -33.2 9
1984-03-03 Newry City L 0-148.5 1155 982 62.06% 21.12% 16.82%+0.97 -25.0 19
1984-03-03 @ Glenavon W 1-048.5 982 1155 16.82% 21.12% 62.06%-0.97 +25.0 10
1984-03-03 Linfield W 4-144.7 1361 1389 38.20% 21.56% 40.23%-0.07 +39.1 31
1984-03-03 @ Glentoran L 1-444.7 1389 1361 40.23% 21.56% 38.20%+0.07 -39.1 28
1984-03-03 Ards W 2-147.6 1080 1118 36.71% 21.56% 41.74%-0.13 +16.4 17
1984-03-03 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-247.6 1118 1080 41.74% 21.56% 36.71%+0.13 -16.4 18
1984-03-10 Lisburn Distillery L 0-233.8 939 1096 22.07% 21.30% 56.63%-0.75 -19.5 9
1984-03-10 @ Larne W 2-033.8 1096 939 56.63% 21.30% 22.07%+0.75 +19.5 19
1984-03-10 Ards L 0-240.7 1120 1101 44.66% 21.55% 33.78%+0.17 -34.7 19
1984-03-10 @ Portadown W 2-040.7 1101 1120 33.78% 21.55% 44.66%-0.17 +34.8 20
1984-03-17 Glentoran D 0-050.5 1136 1401 13.09% 20.78% 66.13%-1.30 +5.8 21
1984-03-17 @ Ards D 0-050.5 1401 1136 66.13% 20.78% 13.09%+1.30 -5.8 32
1984-03-17 Lisburn Distillery L 0-240.4 1129 1116 43.92% 21.56% 34.52%+0.14 -34.3 19
1984-03-17 @ Ballymena United W 2-040.4 1116 1129 34.52% 21.56% 43.92%-0.14 +34.3 21
1984-03-17 Cliftonville L 1-241.0 903 1081 20.11% 21.23% 58.67%-0.85 -9.0 6
1984-03-17 @ Carrick Rangers W 2-141.0 1081 903 58.67% 21.23% 20.11%+0.85 +9.0 22
1984-03-17 Coleraine W 3-145.2 1111 1150 36.54% 21.56% 41.90%-0.13 +28.5 22
1984-03-17 @ Crusaders L 1-345.2 1150 1111 41.90% 21.56% 36.54%+0.13 -28.5 17
1984-03-17 Glenavon W 2-139.3 1350 1130 65.68% 20.89% 13.43%+1.20 +6.3 30
1984-03-17 @ Linfield L 1-239.3 1130 1350 13.43% 20.89% 65.68%-1.20 -6.3 19
1984-03-17 Bangor W 2-032.9 1007 863 59.32% 21.25% 19.43%+0.82 +17.5 12
1984-03-17 @ Newry City L 0-232.9 863 1007 19.43% 21.25% 59.32%-0.82 -17.5 11
1984-03-17 Larne W 4-135.1 1085 919 61.35% 21.16% 17.49%+0.93 +19.5 21
1984-03-17 @ Portadown L 1-435.1 919 1085 17.49% 21.16% 61.35%-0.93 -19.6 9
1984-03-24 Linfield L 1-430.3 845 1356 3.62% 18.69% 77.69%-2.58 -4.3 11
1984-03-24 @ Bangor W 4-130.3 1356 845 77.69% 18.69% 3.62%+2.58 +4.3 32
1984-03-24 Portadown L 0-142.0 1090 1105 39.91% 21.56% 38.53%-0.01 -16.8 22
1984-03-24 @ Cliftonville W 1-042.0 1105 1090 38.53% 21.56% 39.91%+0.01 +16.8 23
1984-03-24 Newry City W 4-137.3 1121 1024 54.40% 21.41% 24.19%+0.57 +25.9 19
1984-03-24 @ Coleraine L 1-437.3 1024 1121 24.19% 21.41% 54.40%-0.57 -25.8 12
1984-03-24 Ards W 2-146.8 1124 1142 39.58% 21.56% 38.85%-0.02 +15.5 21
1984-03-24 @ Glenavon L 1-246.8 1142 1124 38.85% 21.56% 39.58%+0.02 -15.5 21
1984-03-24 Ballymena United D 0-050.5 1395 1095 70.76% 20.36% 8.88%+1.62 -7.0 33
1984-03-24 @ Glentoran D 0-050.5 1095 1395 8.88% 20.36% 70.76%-1.62 +6.9 20
1984-03-24 Crusaders W 2-154.1 900 1139 14.86% 20.93% 64.21%-1.17 +24.4 11
1984-03-24 @ Larne L 1-254.1 1139 900 64.21% 20.93% 14.86%+1.17 -24.4 22
1984-03-24 Carrick Rangers W 3-243.0 1150 894 68.18% 20.67% 11.15%+1.39 +5.0 23
1984-03-24 @ Lisburn Distillery L 2-343.0 894 1150 11.15% 20.67% 68.18%-1.39 -5.0 6
1984-03-28 Linfield L 1-239.2 1102 1360 13.52% 20.82% 65.67%-1.27 -6.3 20
1984-03-28 @ Ballymena United W 2-139.2 1360 1102 65.67% 20.82% 13.52%+1.27 +6.3 34
1984-03-28 Bangor D 1-154.3 1140 841 70.72% 20.37% 8.92%+1.62 -6.2 22
1984-03-28 @ Glenavon D 1-154.3 841 1140 8.92% 20.37% 70.72%-1.62 +6.2 12
1984-03-31 Bangor W 1-032.7 1126 847 69.61% 20.51% 9.88%+1.52 +5.0 23
1984-03-31 @ Ards L 0-132.7 847 1126 9.88% 20.51% 69.61%-1.52 -5.0 12
1984-03-31 Glenavon D 2-259.3 1096 1133 36.68% 21.56% 41.77%-0.13 +0.3 21
1984-03-31 @ Ballymena United D 2-259.3 1133 1096 41.77% 21.56% 36.68%+0.13 -0.3 23
1984-03-31 Glentoran L 0-227.6 889 1388 3.87% 18.82% 77.31%-2.51 -3.7 6
1984-03-31 @ Carrick Rangers W 2-027.6 1388 889 77.31% 18.82% 3.87%+2.51 +3.7 35
1984-03-31 Lisburn Distillery W 1-044.4 1073 1155 30.72% 21.50% 47.77%-0.36 +19.5 24
1984-03-31 @ Cliftonville L 0-144.4 1155 1073 47.77% 21.50% 30.72%+0.36 -19.5 23
1984-03-31 Coleraine W 6-131.5 1366 1147 65.71% 20.89% 13.40%+1.21 +24.3 36
1984-03-31 @ Linfield L 1-631.5 1147 1366 13.40% 20.89% 65.71%-1.21 -24.4 19
1984-03-31 Larne W 2-035.2 998 924 51.73% 21.47% 26.80%+0.45 +23.0 14
1984-03-31 @ Newry City L 0-235.2 924 998 26.80% 21.47% 51.73%-0.45 -23.0 11
1984-03-31 Crusaders L 0-143.0 1122 1115 43.00% 21.56% 35.44%+0.10 -17.8 23
1984-03-31 @ Portadown W 1-043.0 1115 1122 35.44% 21.56% 43.00%-0.10 +17.9 24
1984-04-07 Larne W 2-030.8 1131 901 66.46% 20.83% 12.71%+1.26 +12.0 25
1984-04-07 @ Ards L 0-230.8 901 1131 12.71% 20.83% 66.46%-1.26 -12.0 11
1984-04-07 Lisburn Distillery W 4-141.5 1123 1136 40.23% 21.56% 38.20%+0.00 +37.5 21
1984-04-07 @ Coleraine L 1-441.5 1136 1123 38.20% 21.56% 40.23%+0.00 -37.5 23
1984-04-07 Linfield L 1-433.7 1104 1391 11.69% 20.64% 67.68%-1.42 -13.5 23
1984-04-07 @ Portadown W 4-133.7 1391 1104 67.68% 20.64% 11.69%+1.42 +13.5 38
1984-04-14 Ballymena United L 1-239.0 842 1096 13.82% 20.84% 65.34%-1.25 -6.5 12
1984-04-14 @ Bangor W 2-139.0 1096 842 65.34% 20.84% 13.82%+1.25 +6.5 23
1984-04-14 Glenavon W 3-044.4 886 1133 14.27% 20.88% 64.86%-1.21 +71.5 8
1984-04-14 @ Carrick Rangers L 0-344.4 1133 886 64.86% 20.88% 14.27%+1.21 -71.5 23
1984-04-14 Ards W 5-348.7 1160 1143 44.40% 21.55% 34.05%+0.16 +20.5 23
1984-04-14 @ Coleraine L 3-548.7 1143 1160 34.05% 21.55% 44.40%-0.16 -20.5 25
1984-04-14 Newry City L 1-251.8 1133 1021 56.00% 21.37% 22.64%+0.65 -21.3 24
1984-04-14 @ Crusaders W 2-151.8 1021 1133 22.64% 21.37% 56.00%-0.65 +21.3 16
1984-04-14 Cliftonville L 1-256.3 1392 1092 70.73% 20.36% 8.90%+1.62 -27.0 35
1984-04-14 @ Glentoran W 2-156.3 1092 1392 8.90% 20.36% 70.73%-1.62 +27.0 26
1984-04-14 Linfield L 1-235.3 889 1404 3.54% 18.64% 77.81%-2.60 -1.7 11
1984-04-14 @ Larne W 2-135.3 1404 889 77.81% 18.64% 3.54%+2.60 +1.7 40
1984-04-14 Portadown D 2-259.3 1098 1090 43.16% 21.56% 35.28%+0.11 -0.5 24
1984-04-14 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-259.3 1090 1098 35.28% 21.56% 43.16%-0.11 +0.5 24
1984-04-17 Coleraine L 1-244.5 1102 1181 31.25% 21.51% 47.24%-0.34 -13.0 23
1984-04-17 @ Ballymena United W 2-144.5 1181 1102 47.24% 21.51% 31.25%+0.34 +13.0 25
1984-04-17 Crusaders W 6-130.1 1406 1111 70.48% 20.40% 9.12%+1.60 +17.0 42
1984-04-17 @ Linfield L 1-630.1 1111 1406 9.12% 20.40% 70.48%-1.60 -17.0 24
1984-04-17 Newry City L 0-241.8 1091 1043 48.54% 21.52% 29.95%+0.32 -37.3 24
1984-04-17 @ Portadown W 2-041.8 1043 1091 29.95% 21.52% 48.54%-0.32 +37.3 18
1984-04-18 Bangor D 1-154.0 957 835 57.07% 21.33% 21.60%+0.70 -3.3 9
1984-04-18 @ Carrick Rangers D 1-154.0 835 957 21.60% 21.33% 57.07%-0.70 +3.3 13
1984-04-18 Glenavon W 2-035.9 1119 1062 49.72% 21.50% 28.78%+0.37 +24.4 28
1984-04-18 @ Cliftonville L 0-235.9 1062 1119 28.78% 21.50% 49.72%-0.37 -24.4 23
1984-04-18 Glentoran L 0-428.2 1098 1365 12.94% 20.76% 66.30%-1.31 -23.1 24
1984-04-18 @ Lisburn Distillery W 4-028.2 1365 1098 66.30% 20.76% 12.94%+1.31 +23.1 37
1984-04-21 Cliftonville L 1-238.0 839 1144 10.67% 20.51% 68.81%-1.51 -5.1 13
1984-04-21 @ Bangor W 2-138.0 1144 839 68.81% 20.51% 10.67%+1.51 +5.1 30
1984-04-21 Coleraine L 0-329.4 954 1194 14.83% 20.92% 64.25%-1.17 -20.0 9
1984-04-21 @ Carrick Rangers W 3-029.4 1194 954 64.25% 20.92% 14.83%+1.17 +20.0 27
1984-04-21 Ards D 0-049.8 1094 1123 38.04% 21.56% 40.40%-0.08 +0.2 25
1984-04-21 @ Crusaders D 0-049.8 1123 1094 40.40% 21.56% 38.04%+0.08 -0.2 26
1984-04-21 Lisburn Distillery D 1-153.9 1037 1074 36.78% 21.56% 41.66%-0.12 +0.4 24
1984-04-21 @ Glenavon D 1-153.9 1074 1037 41.66% 21.56% 36.78%+0.12 -0.4 25
1984-04-21 Portadown W 2-029.3 1388 1053 72.49% 20.09% 7.42%+1.80 +7.2 39
1984-04-21 @ Glentoran L 0-229.3 1053 1388 7.42% 20.09% 72.49%-1.80 -7.2 24
1984-04-21 Ballymena United L 0-135.2 888 1089 17.88% 21.12% 61.00%-0.98 -8.6 11
1984-04-21 @ Larne W 1-035.2 1089 888 61.00% 21.12% 17.88%+0.98 +8.6 25
1984-04-21 Newry City W 3-027.3 1423 1080 72.91% 20.02% 7.08%+1.85 +10.0 44
1984-04-21 @ Linfield L 0-327.3 1080 1423 7.08% 20.02% 72.91%-1.85 -10.0 18
1984-04-23 Larne L 0-339.9 934 879 49.38% 21.51% 29.12%+0.35 -55.0 9
1984-04-23 @ Carrick Rangers W 3-039.9 879 934 29.12% 21.51% 49.38%-0.35 +55.0 13
1984-04-23 Glenavon D 1-154.7 1395 1038 73.52% 19.90% 6.58%+1.92 -6.8 40
1984-04-23 @ Glentoran D 1-154.7 1038 1395 6.58% 19.90% 73.52%-1.92 +6.8 25
1984-04-23 Bangor D 0-050.0 1074 834 67.18% 20.76% 12.06%+1.31 -6.1 26
1984-04-23 @ Lisburn Distillery D 0-050.0 834 1074 12.06% 20.76% 67.18%-1.31 +6.1 14
1984-04-24 Newry City W 2-036.0 1122 1070 49.10% 21.51% 29.39%+0.34 +24.8 28
1984-04-24 @ Ards L 0-236.0 1070 1122 29.39% 21.51% 49.10%-0.34 -24.8 18
1984-04-24 Crusaders W 2-145.9 1098 1095 42.52% 21.56% 35.92%+0.09 +14.6 27
1984-04-24 @ Ballymena United L 1-245.9 1095 1098 35.92% 21.56% 42.52%-0.09 -14.6 25
1984-04-24 Coleraine D 0-049.9 1149 1214 33.00% 21.53% 45.47%-0.27 +1.2 31
1984-04-24 @ Cliftonville D 0-049.9 1214 1149 45.47% 21.53% 33.00%+0.27 -1.2 28
1984-04-28 Glentoran L 1-430.0 840 1388 2.97% 18.29% 78.74%-2.77 -3.5 14
1984-04-28 @ Bangor W 4-130.0 1388 840 78.74% 18.29% 2.97%+2.77 +3.5 42
1984-04-28 Crusaders L 2-345.2 879 1080 17.91% 21.12% 60.97%-0.97 -7.7 9
1984-04-28 @ Carrick Rangers W 3-245.2 1080 879 60.97% 21.12% 17.91%+0.97 +7.7 27
1984-04-28 Portadown W 3-143.5 1044 1046 41.83% 21.56% 36.61%+0.06 +25.6 27
1984-04-28 @ Glenavon L 1-343.5 1046 1044 36.61% 21.56% 41.83%-0.06 -25.6 24
1984-04-28 Cliftonville W 2-045.7 934 1150 16.68% 21.05% 62.27%-1.05 +47.2 15
1984-04-28 @ Larne L 0-245.7 1150 934 62.27% 21.05% 16.68%+1.05 -47.2 31
1984-04-28 Ards D 1-155.1 1433 1147 69.99% 20.46% 9.55%+1.55 -6.0 45
1984-04-28 @ Linfield D 1-155.1 1147 1433 9.55% 20.46% 69.99%-1.55 +6.0 29
1984-04-28 Ballymena United D 2-259.3 1045 1112 32.66% 21.53% 45.82%-0.28 +0.9 19
1984-04-28 @ Newry City D 2-259.3 1112 1045 45.82% 21.53% 32.66%+0.28 -0.9 28

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1984-04-14 8.90% Cliftonville 1092 2 @ Glentoran 1392 1
2 1984-03-03 10.74% @ Bangor 835 1 Crusaders 1138 0
3 1984-01-07 11.97% Larne 937 3 @ Cliftonville 1179 0
4 1984-04-14 14.27% @ Carrick Rangers 886 3 Glenavon 1133 0
5 1984-03-24 14.86% @ Larne 900 2 Crusaders 1139 1
6 1983-12-27 15.91% @ Crusaders 1137 3 Linfield 1363 1
7 1983-12-31 16.21% Carrick Rangers 986 3 @ Coleraine 1167 0
8 1984-04-28 16.68% @ Larne 934 2 Cliftonville 1150 0
9 1984-03-03 16.82% Newry City 982 1 @ Glenavon 1155 0
10 1983-11-05 18.93% @ Bangor 926 2 Portadown 1116 1
11 1983-11-12 19.62% Cliftonville 1135 1 @ Linfield 1277 0
12 1984-01-02 21.67% @ Larne 894 2 Carrick Rangers 1055 0
13 1983-12-17 21.69% @ Larne 893 2 Newry City 1054 1
14 1984-04-14 22.64% Newry City 1021 2 @ Crusaders 1133 1
15 1983-11-12 23.15% @ Ards 999 2 Carrick Rangers 1146 1
16 1983-11-05 23.17% @ Glenavon 1021 3 Coleraine 1168 1
17 1983-12-10 23.61% Lisburn Distillery 990 2 @ Carrick Rangers 1092 1
18 1984-01-21 24.91% Cliftonville 1105 4 @ Crusaders 1195 1
19 1984-02-04 25.17% Lisburn Distillery 1057 3 @ Crusaders 1145 2
20 1984-01-21 27.18% Newry City 932 4 @ Carrick Rangers 1003 0
21 1983-11-05 27.22% @ Lisburn Distillery 1016 2 Crusaders 1127 0
22 1983-12-03 27.40% Crusaders 1092 2 @ Coleraine 1161 1
23 1984-02-11 27.70% @ Ballymena United 1057 2 Portadown 1163 1
24 1984-02-25 27.72% Coleraine 1078 2 @ Portadown 1144 0
25 1983-12-17 27.88% Ballymena United 1066 3 @ Glenavon 1131 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1984-01-21 74.48 Newry City 4 932 27.18% @ Carrick Rangers 0 1003 51.35% 21.47%
2 1984-01-07 74.34 Larne 3 937 11.97% @ Cliftonville 0 1179 67.28% 20.75%
3 1984-04-14 71.50 @ Carrick Rangers 3 886 14.27% Glenavon 0 1133 64.86% 20.88%
4 1983-12-31 69.12 Carrick Rangers 3 986 16.21% @ Coleraine 0 1167 62.70% 21.09%
5 1984-01-02 63.92 Ards 4 1005 35.40% @ Newry City 0 1012 43.04% 21.56%
6 1984-03-03 56.13 Ballymena United 3 1073 28.04% @ Cliftonville 0 1137 50.47% 21.49%
7 1984-04-23 55.04 Larne 3 879 29.12% @ Carrick Rangers 0 934 49.38% 21.51%
8 1983-11-19 51.01 @ Glentoran 5 1242 53.42% Newry City 0 1154 25.15% 21.43%
9 1984-01-21 50.07 Cliftonville 4 1105 24.91% @ Crusaders 1 1195 53.66% 21.43%
10 1984-02-04 48.76 @ Ards 3 1060 35.58% Ballymena United 0 1105 42.87% 21.55%
11 1984-04-28 47.23 @ Larne 2 934 16.68% Cliftonville 0 1150 62.27% 21.05%
12 1983-12-27 45.91 @ Bangor 4 942 29.72% Carrick Rangers 1 1032 48.79% 21.49%
13 1983-11-26 44.67 @ Linfield 3 1278 40.02% Glentoran 0 1293 38.42% 21.56%
14 1984-01-02 43.31 @ Larne 2 894 21.67% Carrick Rangers 0 1055 57.04% 21.29%
15 1984-01-21 42.38 @ Lisburn Distillery 3 1015 42.49% Larne 0 1011 35.95% 21.56%
16 1983-12-10 42.03 Coleraine 3 1142 42.88% @ Newry City 0 1096 35.57% 21.55%
17 1983-11-05 41.92 Linfield 3 1235 42.99% @ Carrick Rangers 0 1188 35.46% 21.55%
18 1983-12-10 41.85 Glenavon 3 1090 43.08% @ Ards 0 1042 35.37% 21.55%
19 1984-01-14 41.82 Glenavon 5 1107 58.84% @ Bangor 0 928 19.94% 21.22%
20 1983-12-27 41.44 @ Crusaders 3 1137 15.91% Linfield 1 1363 63.09% 21.00%
21 1983-11-05 39.23 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1016 27.22% Crusaders 0 1127 51.33% 21.44%
22 1984-03-03 39.07 @ Glentoran 4 1361 38.20% Linfield 1 1389 40.23% 21.56%
23 1984-02-25 38.87 Coleraine 2 1078 27.72% @ Portadown 0 1144 50.79% 21.48%
24 1983-11-12 38.80 Glenavon 3 1058 46.29% @ Larne 0 987 32.19% 21.52%
25 1984-04-07 37.50 @ Coleraine 4 1123 40.23% Lisburn Distillery 1 1136 38.20% 21.56%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1983-12-03 63.5 @ Glentoran 3 1248 64.92% Ards 3 1039 14.13% 20.95%
2 1983-11-26 63.3 @ Crusaders 3 1095 59.20% Bangor 3 952 19.55% 21.26%
3 1984-02-25 59.4 @ Ballymena United 2 1076 60.89% Carrick Rangers 2 915 17.93% 21.18%
4 1984-01-02 59.3 @ Coleraine 2 1098 30.77% Cliftonville 2 1180 47.72% 21.50%
5 1984-01-14 59.3 @ Newry City 2 931 31.96% Carrick Rangers 2 1004 46.52% 21.52%
6 1984-03-31 59.3 @ Ballymena United 2 1096 36.68% Glenavon 2 1133 41.77% 21.56%
7 1984-04-14 59.3 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1098 43.16% Portadown 2 1090 35.28% 21.56%
8 1984-04-28 59.3 @ Newry City 2 1045 32.66% Ballymena United 2 1112 45.82% 21.53%
9 1983-12-17 59.2 @ Bangor 2 937 33.15% Ards 2 1000 45.32% 21.53%
10 1984-04-14 56.3 Cliftonville 2 1092 8.90% @ Glentoran 1 1392 70.73% 20.36%
11 1984-02-04 56.0 Lisburn Distillery 3 1057 25.17% @ Crusaders 2 1145 53.39% 21.43%
12 1984-04-28 55.1 @ Linfield 1 1433 69.99% Ards 1 1147 9.55% 20.46%
13 1984-04-23 54.7 @ Glentoran 1 1395 73.52% Glenavon 1 1038 6.58% 19.90%
14 1983-12-27 54.4 @ Glentoran 1 1308 72.17% Lisburn Distillery 1 981 7.69% 20.15%
15 1984-03-28 54.3 @ Glenavon 1 1140 70.72% Bangor 1 841 8.92% 20.37%
16 1983-11-19 54.1 @ Cliftonville 1 1158 58.75% Ards 1 1020 19.98% 21.27%
17 1983-12-24 54.1 @ Ballymena United 1 1100 61.05% Bangor 1 937 17.77% 21.17%
18 1983-12-31 54.1 @ Ards 1 1002 20.09% Crusaders 1 1179 58.69% 21.22%
19 1984-03-24 54.1 @ Larne 2 900 14.86% Crusaders 1 1139 64.21% 20.93%
20 1983-11-12 54.0 @ Portadown 1 1093 42.73% Ballymena United 1 1088 35.71% 21.56%
21 1983-12-10 54.0 @ Portadown 1 1136 37.72% Cliftonville 1 1166 40.72% 21.56%
22 1983-12-24 54.0 @ Newry City 1 1032 27.60% Crusaders 1 1140 50.95% 21.45%
23 1983-12-27 54.0 @ Larne 1 899 27.91% Ards 1 1004 50.63% 21.46%
24 1984-02-04 54.0 @ Coleraine 1 1068 30.84% Glenavon 1 1149 47.66% 21.51%
25 1984-02-25 54.0 @ Crusaders 1 1138 39.68% Glenavon 1 1155 38.76% 21.56%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1984-01-07 26.1 @ Glentoran 6 1315 74.07% Bangor 0 945 6.14% 19.79%
2 1983-12-24 26.4 @ Linfield 8 1347 76.39% Larne 0 914 4.41% 19.21%
3 1984-04-21 27.3 @ Linfield 3 1423 72.91% Newry City 0 1080 7.08% 20.02%
4 1984-02-04 27.5 @ Portadown 5 1138 67.91% Bangor 0 887 11.40% 20.69%
5 1984-03-31 27.6 Glentoran 2 1388 77.31% @ Carrick Rangers 0 889 3.87% 18.82%
6 1984-04-18 28.2 Glentoran 4 1365 66.30% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1098 12.94% 20.76%
7 1984-02-04 29.1 Glentoran 2 1344 72.60% @ Larne 0 969 7.42% 19.98%
8 1984-04-21 29.3 @ Glentoran 2 1388 72.49% Portadown 0 1053 7.42% 20.09%
9 1984-04-21 29.4 Coleraine 3 1194 64.25% @ Carrick Rangers 0 954 14.83% 20.92%
10 1984-03-03 30.0 @ Coleraine 4 1116 59.35% Larne 0 972 19.40% 21.25%
11 1984-04-28 30.0 Glentoran 4 1388 78.74% @ Bangor 1 840 2.97% 18.29%
12 1984-04-17 30.1 @ Linfield 6 1406 70.48% Crusaders 1 1111 9.12% 20.40%
13 1984-01-02 30.2 @ Linfield 3 1331 62.93% Portadown 0 1146 15.99% 21.07%
14 1984-01-14 30.2 Glenavon 5 1107 58.84% @ Bangor 0 928 19.94% 21.22%
15 1984-03-24 30.3 Linfield 4 1356 77.69% @ Bangor 1 845 3.62% 18.69%
16 1984-01-07 30.8 Linfield 2 1352 67.40% @ Ards 0 1069 11.94% 20.66%
17 1984-04-07 30.8 @ Ards 2 1131 66.46% Larne 0 901 12.71% 20.83%
18 1983-12-10 31.2 @ Linfield 4 1331 74.76% Bangor 1 943 5.61% 19.64%
19 1984-03-31 31.5 @ Linfield 6 1366 65.71% Coleraine 1 1147 13.40% 20.89%
20 1983-12-17 31.6 @ Glentoran 6 1269 64.09% Carrick Rangers 1 1071 14.91% 21.00%
21 1983-11-05 31.7 @ Glentoran 9 1200 62.62% Larne 2 1019 16.29% 21.09%
22 1984-02-25 31.9 Glentoran 1 1358 72.47% @ Newry City 0 985 7.53% 20.00%
23 1983-11-19 32.0 @ Glentoran 5 1242 53.42% Newry City 0 1154 25.15% 21.43%
24 1984-03-31 32.7 @ Ards 1 1126 69.61% Bangor 0 847 9.88% 20.51%
25 1984-01-07 32.9 @ Ballymena United 2 1094 59.45% Newry City 0 948 19.30% 21.25%