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1984-85 Irish League Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Linfield

39 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Portadown

6.56 points above expected

30 points · 23.44 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Ards

7.03 points below expected

21 points · 28.03 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Linfield 26 17 5 4 39 70 22 +48 40.19 -1.19
2 Coleraine 26 14 8 4 36 56 31 +25 32.89 +3.11
3 Glentoran 26 14 6 6 34 53 26 +27 38.26 -4.26
4 Portadown 26 13 4 9 30 33 29 +4 23.44 +6.56
5 Cliftonville 26 10 8 8 28 37 36 +1 26.00 +2.00
6 Crusaders 26 9 10 7 28 34 37 -3 25.99 +2.01
7 Glenavon 26 11 4 11 26 45 53 -8 24.92 +1.08
8 Ballymena United 26 9 7 10 25 37 36 +1 28.08 -3.08
9 Lisburn Distillery 26 8 8 10 24 35 41 -6 22.84 +1.16
10 Larne 26 10 2 14 22 37 47 -10 19.73 +2.27
11 Ards 26 8 5 13 21 32 40 -8 28.03 -7.03
12 Newry City 26 7 6 13 20 39 57 -18 22.14 -2.14
13 Bangor 26 5 9 12 19 24 39 -15 15.47 +3.53
14 Carrick Rangers 26 3 6 17 12 24 62 -38 16.02 -4.02

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Portadown 30 23.44 +6.56
2 Bangor 19 15.47 +3.53
3 Coleraine 36 32.89 +3.11
4 Larne 22 19.73 +2.27
5 Crusaders 28 25.99 +2.01

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ards 21 28.03 -7.03
2 Glentoran 34 38.26 -4.26
3 Carrick Rangers 12 16.02 -4.02
4 Ballymena United 25 28.08 -3.08
5 Newry City 20 22.14 -2.14

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Portadown 5 Dec 1 – Dec 26 1 in 189
2 Bangor 3 Apr 9 – Apr 20 1 in 147
3 Larne 4 Mar 16 – Apr 6 1 in 78
4 Crusaders 3 Nov 3 – Nov 17 1 in 41
5 Cliftonville 3 Dec 22 – Dec 29 1 in 30

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ards 4 Nov 3 – Nov 24 1 in 163
2 Lisburn Distillery 5 Dec 22 – Jan 5 1 in 131
3 Carrick Rangers 6 Mar 23 – Apr 20 1 in 29
4 Newry City 4 Apr 6 – Apr 20 1 in 23
5 Crusaders 3 Mar 16 – Mar 27 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bangor 5 Apr 9 – Apr 27 1 in 119
2 Lisburn Distillery 7 Jan 12 – Mar 23 1 in 48
3 Crusaders 6 Apr 6 – Apr 27 1 in 38
4 Portadown 6 Dec 1 – Dec 29 1 in 34
5 Coleraine 11 Nov 10 – Jan 5 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Glentoran 5 Apr 8 – Apr 22 1 in 94
2 Crusaders 7 Feb 2 – Mar 27 1 in 78
3 Ballymena United 7 Jan 1 – Feb 23 1 in 42
4 Cliftonville 6 Mar 16 – Apr 20 1 in 41
5 Lisburn Distillery 7 Dec 22 – Jan 26 1 in 33

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Linfield 1410 39 +2 8 8.0 +0.0
Coleraine 1279 36 +4 6 6.5 -0.5
Glentoran 1362 34 -3 5 7.4 -2.4
Portadown 1128 30 +9 6 3.9 +2.1
Crusaders 1144 28 +6 6 4.4 +1.6
Cliftonville 1161 28 -9 4 5.0 -1.0
Glenavon 1133 26 -12 3 4.6 -1.6
Ballymena United 1162 25 -25 3 5.7 -2.7
Lisburn Distillery 1115 24 +1 5 4.3 +0.7
Larne 1090 22 +24 6 3.5 +2.5
Ards 1150 21 -28 2 4.8 -2.8
Newry City 1096 20 +10 4 3.9 +0.1
Bangor 982 19 +28 8 3.0 +5.0
Carrick Rangers 956 12 -16 1 2.9 -1.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BU BAN CR CLI COL CRU GLE GLE LAR LIN LD NC POR
Ards —
1-0-1
2.83
2-0-0
4.24
1-0-1
4.10
0-0-2
2.96
0-1-1
2.09
0-1-1
2.99
0-1-1
3.16
1-0-1
1.55
1-0-1
3.62
0-1-1
1.27
0-1-1
3.24
1-0-1
3.43
1-0-1
3.14
Ballymena United
1-0-1
2.66
—
0-0-2
4.31
0-2-0
4.03
2-0-0
2.80
0-1-1
2.10
1-1-0
3.11
1-1-0
3.15
0-0-2
1.58
2-0-0
3.58
0-1-1
1.44
1-0-1
3.22
0-1-1
3.49
1-0-1
3.22
Bangor
0-0-2
1.32
2-0-0
1.25
—
1-1-0
2.62
1-0-1
1.45
0-0-2
1.10
0-2-0
1.39
0-0-2
1.58
0-1-1
0.76
0-0-2
2.02
0-1-1
0.64
1-1-0
1.69
0-2-0
1.74
0-1-1
1.68
Carrick Rangers
1-0-1
1.45
0-2-0
1.50
0-1-1
2.87
—
0-1-1
1.60
0-0-2
1.02
0-2-0
1.50
0-0-2
1.68
0-0-2
0.82
1-0-1
2.19
0-0-2
0.74
0-0-2
1.81
0-0-2
2.05
1-0-1
1.90
Cliftonville
2-0-0
2.53
0-0-2
2.69
1-0-1
4.10
1-1-0
3.94
—
1-1-0
1.92
0-1-1
2.79
1-1-0
2.90
1-1-0
1.41
1-0-1
3.54
1-0-1
1.26
0-1-1
3.04
1-1-0
3.12
0-1-1
3.15
Coleraine
1-1-0
3.41
1-1-0
3.40
2-0-0
4.50
2-0-0
4.58
0-1-1
3.59
—
2-0-0
3.45
1-0-1
3.58
0-1-1
2.07
2-0-0
4.05
1-0-1
1.77
1-1-0
3.91
0-2-0
3.96
1-1-0
3.74
Crusaders
1-1-0
2.50
0-1-1
2.39
0-2-0
4.16
0-2-0
4.04
1-1-0
2.70
0-0-2
2.06
—
1-1-0
2.89
1-1-0
1.32
1-0-1
3.44
1-1-0
1.15
1-0-1
3.03
1-0-1
3.08
1-0-1
2.87
Glenavon
1-1-0
2.33
0-1-1
2.34
2-0-0
3.94
2-0-0
3.84
0-1-1
2.59
1-0-1
1.93
0-1-1
2.59
—
0-0-2
1.35
1-0-1
3.44
1-0-1
1.17
1-0-1
2.91
1-0-1
3.05
1-0-1
2.81
Glentoran
1-0-1
3.98
2-0-0
3.95
1-1-0
4.91
2-0-0
4.84
0-1-1
4.14
1-1-0
3.43
0-1-1
4.24
2-0-0
4.20
—
2-0-0
4.60
0-0-2
2.53
1-1-0
4.27
2-0-0
4.40
0-1-1
4.25
Larne
1-0-1
1.89
0-0-2
1.93
2-0-0
3.48
1-0-1
3.31
1-0-1
1.97
0-0-2
1.49
1-0-1
2.07
1-0-1
2.06
0-0-2
1.01
—
0-0-2
0.92
0-2-0
2.25
2-0-0
2.44
1-0-1
2.29
Linfield
1-1-0
4.29
1-1-0
4.10
1-1-0
5.07
2-0-0
4.93
1-0-1
4.31
1-0-1
3.75
0-1-1
4.44
1-0-1
4.41
2-0-0
2.96
2-0-0
4.71
—
1-1-0
4.44
2-0-0
4.60
2-0-0
4.41
Lisburn Distillery
1-1-0
2.26
1-0-1
2.27
0-1-1
3.83
2-0-0
3.70
1-1-0
2.45
0-1-1
1.62
1-0-1
2.46
1-0-1
2.58
0-1-1
1.29
0-2-0
3.25
0-1-1
1.14
—
1-0-1
2.96
0-0-2
2.82
Newry City
1-0-1
2.07
1-1-0
2.02
0-2-0
3.78
2-0-0
3.45
0-1-1
2.37
0-2-0
1.57
1-0-1
2.41
1-0-1
2.44
0-0-2
1.18
0-0-2
3.05
0-0-2
1.01
1-0-1
2.53
—
0-0-2
2.53
Portadown
1-0-1
2.35
1-0-1
2.27
1-1-0
3.84
1-0-1
3.61
1-1-0
2.34
0-1-1
1.78
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.68
1-1-0
1.31
1-0-1
3.21
0-0-2
1.17
2-0-0
2.67
2-0-0
2.96
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.73 +4.9
Allowed 0.71 -5.3
Differential 0.92 +3.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%5.77%5.22%3.85%1.37%1.92%25.27%
15.77%10.44%6.32%6.87%1.92%0.82%32.14%
25.22%6.32%5.49%2.75%—0.82%20.60%
33.85%6.87%2.75%1.10%0.27%—14.84%
41.37%1.92%—0.27%——3.57%
5+1.92%0.82%0.82%———3.57%
Total25.27%32.14%20.60%14.84%3.57%3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.53 +0.00
SD 1.39 1.39 2.16
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%—3.85%30.77%
17.69%11.54%11.54%7.69%3.85%—42.31%
2—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
3—11.54%————11.54%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+———————
Total19.23%42.31%15.38%15.38%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.54 -0.31
SD 1.24 1.30 2.00
CV 1.01 0.85 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%—7.69%——26.92%
1—3.85%3.85%15.38%——23.08%
211.54%3.85%15.38%———30.77%
311.54%3.85%3.85%———19.23%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.77%23.08%23.08%23.08%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.38 +0.04
SD 1.10 1.17 1.82
CV 0.77 0.84 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%15.38%3.85%——34.62%
17.69%23.08%3.85%7.69%——42.31%
27.69%—7.69%——3.85%19.23%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.23%38.46%26.92%11.54%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 1.50 -0.58
SD 0.84 1.30 1.53
CV 0.92 0.87 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—19.23%7.69%7.69%—38.46%
1—7.69%7.69%15.38%3.85%3.85%38.46%
23.85%3.85%7.69%———15.38%
3——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total7.69%11.54%38.46%26.92%11.54%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 2.38 -1.46
SD 0.93 1.30 1.70
CV 1.01 0.54 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%7.69%—3.85%—26.92%
17.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
2—15.38%3.85%7.69%——26.92%
33.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total23.08%38.46%19.23%15.38%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.38 +0.04
SD 1.17 1.13 1.56
CV 0.82 0.82 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%————7.69%
13.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%——23.08%
27.69%15.38%15.38%———38.46%
37.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
4———————
5+3.85%—3.85%———7.69%
Total26.92%34.62%30.77%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.15 1.19 +0.96
SD 1.43 0.94 1.73
CV 0.67 0.79 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%——11.54%—3.85%30.77%
17.69%19.23%3.85%—3.85%—34.62%
23.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
3—11.54%3.85%———15.38%
4———————
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total30.77%34.62%11.54%15.38%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.42 -0.12
SD 1.29 1.50 2.18
CV 0.99 1.05 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———3.85%3.85%7.69%15.38%
17.69%11.54%11.54%7.69%——38.46%
2—3.85%3.85%3.85%—3.85%15.38%
3—19.23%————19.23%
47.69%——3.85%——11.54%
5+———————
Total15.38%34.62%15.38%19.23%3.85%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 2.04 -0.31
SD 1.28 1.75 2.63
CV 0.74 0.86 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%————7.69%
17.69%15.38%—11.54%——34.62%
211.54%7.69%3.85%7.69%——30.77%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+7.69%—————7.69%
Total42.31%34.62%3.85%19.23%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.04 1.00 +1.04
SD 1.46 1.13 2.11
CV 0.71 1.13 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%—3.85%26.92%
13.85%3.85%11.54%7.69%7.69%—34.62%
27.69%7.69%—3.85%——19.23%
33.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total19.23%26.92%26.92%15.38%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.81 -0.38
SD 1.33 1.47 2.23
CV 0.94 0.81 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%—3.85%———15.38%
17.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
27.69%—3.85%———11.54%
37.69%7.69%3.85%—3.85%—23.08%
43.85%7.69%————11.54%
5+11.54%7.69%————19.23%
Total50.00%26.92%15.38%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.69 0.85 +1.85
SD 2.02 1.08 2.39
CV 0.75 1.28 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%7.69%7.69%3.85%——38.46%
1—7.69%—11.54%—3.85%23.08%
2—11.54%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
3—7.69%7.69%———15.38%
4———————
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total19.23%34.62%23.08%19.23%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.58 -0.23
SD 1.60 1.24 1.84
CV 1.19 0.79 —
Max 7 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%23.08%
1—11.54%11.54%—3.85%3.85%30.77%
23.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%—3.85%23.08%
37.69%7.69%—3.85%——19.23%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total11.54%34.62%23.08%11.54%7.69%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.19 -0.69
SD 1.17 1.88 2.51
CV 0.78 0.86 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%—3.85%30.77%
119.23%7.69%7.69%—3.85%—38.46%
27.69%7.69%————15.38%
33.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total38.46%34.62%15.38%3.85%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.12 +0.15
SD 1.37 1.31 2.05
CV 1.08 1.17 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Linfield 1410 39 40.19 -1.19 38.0% 33 35 38 40 42 45 48
Glentoran 1362 34 38.26 -4.26 17.0% 28 32 35 38 41 44 48
Coleraine 1279 36 32.89 +3.11 80.0% 21 24 30 33 36 40 41
Ballymena United 1162 25 28.08 -3.08 20.0% 13 22 26 28 30 34 37
Cliftonville 1161 28 26.00 +2.00 72.0% 17 19 23 26 29 32 36
Ards 1150 21 28.03 -7.03 6.0% 18 20 25 28 30 36 40
Crusaders 1144 28 25.99 +2.01 68.0% 18 19 23 26 29 31 34
Glenavon 1133 26 24.92 +1.08 66.0% 15 17 22 25 27 31 33
Portadown 1128 30 23.44 +6.56 97.0% 12 15 21 23 27 30 34
Lisburn Distillery 1115 24 22.84 +1.16 64.0% 13 17 20 23 26 29 31
Newry City 1096 20 22.14 -2.14 35.0% 14 16 19 22 25 29 33
Larne 1090 22 19.73 +2.27 78.0% 10 11 18 20 22 26 28
Bangor 982 19 15.47 +3.53 85.0% 6 8 12 16 19 21 24
Carrick Rangers 956 12 16.02 -4.02 21.0% 5 9 13 16 19 23 27

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+5.49%
No Edge
40.66%24.18%35.16%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 19.11 Elo pts.
182 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.12 goals
Neutral
-2+0.10+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.1
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
60%
Linfield, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.12/gm
Tight Race
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.2 * Some Luck: 3.2 to 4.79 * Lucky: 4.79 to 6.39 * Wild Swing: 6.39 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.32 * Close: 1.32 to 1.98 * Off: 1.98 to 2.64 * Way Off: 2.64 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.59 points
Some Luck
04.0010
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.86
Close
01.654
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
97.00%
Portadown
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
6.00%
Ards
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Balanced
00.190.250.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 125.10
1.63
Coin-Flip Parity
11.852.253
Interquartile Edge
59%
Even
50%70%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 93%
93%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
54%
Some Drama
0%51%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Occasional
0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.40
Very Even
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.74
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.73
Strong Carryover
00.470.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Very Shaky
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.32
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.81
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.090
Well Within Noise
00.1270.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Linfield60.00%35.00%5.00%———————————
Coleraine4.00%17.00%44.00%20.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%———
Glentoran34.00%42.00%19.00%5.00%——————————
Portadown——2.00%5.00%8.00%8.00%13.00%12.00%8.00%18.00%14.00%6.00%3.00%3.00%
Cliftonville—1.00%6.00%9.00%19.00%11.00%12.00%15.00%12.00%4.00%7.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%
Crusaders——3.00%15.00%12.00%14.00%17.00%10.00%11.00%7.00%6.00%4.00%1.00%—
Glenavon——2.00%7.00%11.00%15.00%11.00%14.00%15.00%10.00%6.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%
Ballymena United1.00%1.00%10.00%20.00%19.00%17.00%13.00%5.00%8.00%4.00%—1.00%1.00%—
Lisburn Distillery——1.00%3.00%5.00%12.00%3.00%15.00%16.00%13.00%10.00%14.00%8.00%—
Larne—————3.00%1.00%6.00%6.00%22.00%15.00%23.00%13.00%11.00%
Ards1.00%4.00%7.00%13.00%20.00%12.00%20.00%9.00%4.00%4.00%3.00%3.00%——
Newry City——1.00%3.00%1.00%4.00%7.00%12.00%16.00%8.00%15.00%20.00%9.00%4.00%
Bangor—————1.00%———4.00%13.00%10.00%32.00%40.00%
Carrick Rangers—————1.00%1.00%—2.00%5.00%10.00%13.00%28.00%40.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Ards 100%
Ballymena United 100%
Bangor 100%
Carrick Rangers 100%
Cliftonville 100%
Coleraine 100%
Crusaders 100%
Glenavon 100%
Glentoran 100%
Larne 100%
Linfield 100%
Lisburn Distillery 100%
Newry City 100%
Portadown 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1984-11-03 Ballymena United L 1-249.3 1192 1163 45.16% 25.45% 29.39%+0.26 -4.8 0
1984-11-03 @ Ards W 2-149.3 1163 1192 29.39% 25.45% 45.16%-0.26 +4.8 2
1984-11-03 Glenavon L 1-349.2 1234 1137 53.56% 24.57% 21.88%+0.64 -9.5 0
1984-11-03 @ Coleraine W 3-149.2 1137 1234 21.88% 24.57% 53.56%-0.64 +9.5 2
1984-11-03 Lisburn Distillery W 1-039.9 1146 1131 43.24% 25.55% 31.21%+0.19 +3.8 2
1984-11-03 @ Crusaders L 0-139.9 1131 1146 31.21% 25.55% 43.24%-0.19 -3.8 0
1984-11-03 Glentoran L 1-238.1 1074 1359 12.36% 20.60% 67.03%-1.46 -1.5 0
1984-11-03 @ Larne W 2-138.1 1359 1074 67.03% 20.60% 12.36%+1.46 +1.5 2
1984-11-03 Carrick Rangers W 6-127.8 1375 1008 77.02% 16.45% 6.53%+2.12 +3.0 2
1984-11-03 @ Linfield L 1-627.8 1008 1375 6.53% 16.45% 77.02%-2.12 -2.9 0
1984-11-03 Cliftonville L 1-246.4 1118 1157 35.72% 25.61% 38.67%-0.11 -4.0 0
1984-11-03 @ Newry City W 2-146.4 1157 1118 38.67% 25.61% 35.72%+0.11 +4.0 2
1984-11-03 Bangor W 1-035.6 1101 970 57.35% 23.87% 18.78%+0.82 +2.5 2
1984-11-03 @ Portadown L 0-135.6 970 1101 18.78% 23.87% 57.35%-0.82 -2.5 0
1984-11-10 Portadown W 2-035.2 1168 1104 49.65% 25.08% 25.27%+0.46 +6.0 4
1984-11-10 @ Ballymena United L 0-235.2 1104 1168 25.27% 25.08% 49.65%-0.46 -6.0 2
1984-11-10 Coleraine L 2-634.4 968 1225 14.02% 21.51% 64.48%-1.31 -4.6 0
1984-11-10 @ Bangor W 6-234.4 1225 968 64.48% 21.51% 14.02%+1.31 +4.6 2
1984-11-10 Ards W 3-257.4 1005 1188 19.49% 23.57% 56.94%-0.90 +5.5 2
1984-11-10 @ Carrick Rangers L 2-357.4 1188 1005 56.94% 23.57% 19.49%+0.90 -5.5 0
1984-11-10 Larne W 1-037.6 1147 1073 50.91% 24.93% 24.16%+0.51 +3.1 4
1984-11-10 @ Glenavon L 0-137.6 1073 1147 24.16% 24.93% 50.91%-0.51 -3.1 0
1984-11-10 Crusaders L 1-352.2 1361 1150 65.14% 21.74% 13.13%+1.26 -11.3 2
1984-11-10 @ Glentoran W 3-152.2 1150 1361 13.13% 21.74% 65.14%-1.26 +11.3 4
1984-11-10 Newry City W 7-239.1 1127 1114 43.08% 25.55% 31.37%+0.18 +11.6 2
1984-11-10 @ Lisburn Distillery L 2-739.1 1114 1127 31.37% 25.55% 43.08%-0.18 -11.6 0
1984-11-17 Cliftonville L 0-143.8 1182 1161 44.15% 25.50% 30.35%+0.22 -5.0 0
1984-11-17 @ Ards W 1-043.8 1161 1182 30.35% 25.50% 44.15%-0.22 +5.0 4
1984-11-17 Carrick Rangers D 1-152.8 1174 1011 60.65% 23.09% 16.26%+1.00 -1.1 5
1984-11-17 @ Ballymena United D 1-152.8 1011 1174 16.26% 23.09% 60.65%-1.00 +1.1 3
1984-11-17 Glenavon W 3-142.9 1161 1150 42.73% 25.56% 31.70%+0.17 +6.3 6
1984-11-17 @ Crusaders L 1-342.9 1150 1161 31.70% 25.56% 42.73%-0.17 -6.3 4
1984-11-17 Bangor W 2-033.7 1069 963 54.61% 24.39% 20.99%+0.69 +5.1 2
1984-11-17 @ Larne L 0-233.7 963 1069 20.99% 24.39% 54.61%-0.69 -5.1 0
1984-11-17 Lisburn Distillery W 5-131.9 1378 1139 67.58% 20.85% 11.57%+1.42 +4.5 4
1984-11-17 @ Linfield L 1-531.9 1139 1378 11.57% 20.85% 67.58%-1.42 -4.5 2
1984-11-17 Glentoran L 1-434.6 1102 1349 14.62% 21.80% 63.58%-1.25 -4.4 0
1984-11-17 @ Newry City W 4-134.6 1349 1102 63.58% 21.80% 14.62%+1.25 +4.4 4
1984-11-17 Coleraine D 0-048.3 1098 1229 24.33% 24.63% 51.04%-0.62 +0.7 3
1984-11-17 @ Portadown D 0-048.3 1229 1098 51.04% 24.63% 24.33%+0.62 -0.7 3
1984-11-24 Crusaders D 1-152.8 958 1167 17.31% 22.89% 59.80%-1.04 +1.1 1
1984-11-24 @ Bangor D 1-152.8 1167 958 59.80% 22.89% 17.31%+1.04 -1.1 7
1984-11-24 Portadown W 2-149.1 1012 1099 29.45% 25.27% 45.28%-0.37 +4.8 5
1984-11-24 @ Carrick Rangers L 1-249.1 1099 1012 45.28% 25.27% 29.45%+0.37 -4.8 3
1984-11-24 Ballymena United L 0-239.9 1166 1173 40.20% 25.63% 34.17%+0.06 -8.7 4
1984-11-24 @ Cliftonville W 2-039.9 1173 1166 34.17% 25.63% 40.20%-0.06 +8.7 7
1984-11-24 Larne W 3-137.8 1229 1075 59.74% 23.32% 16.94%+0.95 +3.7 5
1984-11-24 @ Coleraine L 1-337.8 1075 1229 16.94% 23.32% 59.74%-0.95 -3.7 2
1984-11-24 Newry City L 0-340.0 1144 1098 47.37% 25.29% 27.34%+0.36 -14.4 4
1984-11-24 @ Glenavon W 3-040.0 1098 1144 27.34% 25.29% 47.37%-0.36 +14.4 2
1984-11-24 Linfield L 2-354.4 1354 1383 37.14% 25.63% 37.23%-0.05 -3.9 4
1984-11-24 @ Glentoran W 3-254.4 1383 1354 37.23% 25.63% 37.14%+0.05 +3.9 6
1984-11-24 Ards W 2-147.5 1134 1177 35.19% 25.59% 39.21%-0.13 +4.2 4
1984-11-24 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-247.5 1177 1134 39.21% 25.59% 35.19%+0.13 -4.2 0
1984-12-01 Glentoran W 3-150.2 1173 1350 19.94% 23.70% 56.36%-0.87 +9.9 2
1984-12-01 @ Ards L 1-350.2 1350 1173 56.36% 23.70% 19.94%+0.87 -9.9 4
1984-12-01 Lisburn Distillery W 3-034.1 1182 1139 46.98% 25.32% 27.69%+0.34 +9.4 9
1984-12-01 @ Ballymena United L 0-334.1 1139 1182 27.69% 25.32% 46.98%-0.34 -9.5 4
1984-12-01 Cliftonville L 1-242.3 1017 1157 23.42% 24.47% 52.10%-0.67 -2.8 5
1984-12-01 @ Carrick Rangers W 2-142.3 1157 1017 52.10% 24.47% 23.42%+0.67 +2.8 6
1984-12-01 Coleraine L 0-635.7 1166 1232 32.05% 25.46% 42.49%-0.26 -20.2 7
1984-12-01 @ Crusaders W 6-035.7 1232 1166 42.49% 25.46% 32.05%+0.26 +20.2 7
1984-12-01 Glenavon L 3-463.5 1387 1129 69.06% 20.26% 10.68%+1.52 -6.3 6
1984-12-01 @ Linfield W 4-363.5 1129 1387 10.68% 20.26% 69.06%-1.52 +6.3 6
1984-12-01 Bangor D 1-152.6 1112 959 59.62% 23.35% 17.03%+0.94 -1.1 3
1984-12-01 @ Newry City D 1-152.6 959 1112 17.03% 23.35% 59.62%-0.94 +1.1 2
1984-12-01 Larne W 2-036.8 1094 1071 44.35% 25.49% 30.15%+0.23 +7.0 5
1984-12-01 @ Portadown L 0-236.8 1071 1094 30.15% 25.49% 44.35%-0.23 -7.0 2
1984-12-08 Linfield D 2-260.6 960 1380 6.77% 15.93% 77.30%-2.20 +1.3 3
1984-12-08 @ Bangor D 2-260.6 1380 960 77.30% 15.93% 6.77%+2.20 -1.3 7
1984-12-08 Portadown L 2-355.5 1160 1101 49.01% 25.14% 25.84%+0.43 -4.8 6
1984-12-08 @ Cliftonville W 3-255.5 1101 1160 25.84% 25.14% 49.01%-0.43 +4.8 7
1984-12-08 Newry City D 1-152.7 1253 1111 58.45% 23.63% 17.92%+0.88 -1.0 8
1984-12-08 @ Coleraine D 1-152.7 1111 1253 17.92% 23.63% 58.45%-0.88 +1.0 4
1984-12-08 Ards D 1-152.1 1136 1183 34.58% 25.57% 39.84%-0.15 +0.1 7
1984-12-08 @ Glenavon D 1-152.1 1183 1136 39.84% 25.57% 34.58%+0.15 -0.1 3
1984-12-08 Ballymena United W 1-035.6 1340 1191 59.21% 23.45% 17.34%+0.92 +2.3 6
1984-12-08 @ Glentoran L 0-135.6 1191 1340 17.34% 23.45% 59.21%-0.92 -2.3 9
1984-12-08 Crusaders L 1-244.6 1064 1146 30.02% 25.32% 44.66%-0.35 -3.5 2
1984-12-08 @ Larne W 2-144.6 1146 1064 44.66% 25.32% 30.02%+0.35 +3.5 9
1984-12-08 Carrick Rangers W 3-138.9 1129 1014 55.63% 24.21% 20.15%+0.74 +4.3 6
1984-12-08 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-338.9 1014 1129 20.15% 24.21% 55.63%-0.74 -4.3 5
1984-12-11 Linfield L 0-429.6 1155 1379 16.20% 22.48% 61.32%-1.13 -7.6 6
1984-12-11 @ Cliftonville W 4-029.6 1379 1155 61.32% 22.48% 16.20%+1.13 +7.6 9
1984-12-15 Bangor W 1-033.0 1183 962 66.03% 21.43% 12.54%+1.32 +1.7 5
1984-12-15 @ Ards L 0-133.0 962 1183 12.54% 21.43% 66.03%-1.32 -1.7 3
1984-12-15 Glenavon W 3-141.3 1189 1136 48.26% 25.22% 26.52%+0.40 +5.4 11
1984-12-15 @ Ballymena United L 1-341.3 1136 1189 26.52% 25.22% 48.26%-0.40 -5.4 7
1984-12-15 Glentoran L 0-228.9 1010 1342 10.02% 19.00% 70.98%-1.72 -2.4 5
1984-12-15 @ Carrick Rangers W 2-028.9 1342 1010 70.98% 19.00% 10.02%+1.72 +2.4 8
1984-12-15 Lisburn Distillery L 1-248.6 1147 1134 43.12% 25.55% 31.33%+0.18 -4.6 6
1984-12-15 @ Cliftonville W 2-148.6 1134 1147 31.33% 25.55% 43.12%-0.18 +4.6 8
1984-12-15 Coleraine L 1-253.6 1387 1252 57.77% 23.78% 18.45%+0.85 -5.9 9
1984-12-15 @ Linfield W 2-153.6 1252 1387 18.45% 23.78% 57.77%-0.85 +5.9 10
1984-12-15 Larne L 2-355.2 1112 1060 48.08% 25.23% 26.69%+0.39 -4.8 4
1984-12-15 @ Newry City W 3-255.2 1060 1112 26.69% 25.23% 48.08%-0.39 +4.8 4
1984-12-15 Crusaders W 3-037.7 1106 1149 35.07% 25.59% 39.35%-0.14 +12.4 9
1984-12-15 @ Portadown L 0-337.7 1149 1106 39.35% 25.59% 35.07%+0.14 -12.4 9
1984-12-22 Ballymena United W 1-048.2 960 1194 15.48% 22.18% 62.34%-1.18 +6.6 5
1984-12-22 @ Bangor L 0-148.2 1194 960 62.34% 22.18% 15.48%+1.18 -6.6 11
1984-12-22 Ards D 1-152.4 1257 1184 50.73% 24.95% 24.31%+0.51 -0.6 11
1984-12-22 @ Coleraine D 1-152.4 1184 1257 24.31% 24.95% 50.73%-0.51 +0.6 6
1984-12-22 Newry City L 1-249.2 1137 1107 45.25% 25.44% 29.31%+0.27 -4.8 9
1984-12-22 @ Crusaders W 2-149.2 1107 1137 29.31% 25.44% 45.25%-0.27 +4.8 6
1984-12-22 Carrick Rangers W 4-030.5 1130 1007 56.50% 24.05% 19.46%+0.78 +9.1 9
1984-12-22 @ Glenavon L 0-430.5 1007 1130 19.46% 24.05% 56.50%-0.78 -9.1 5
1984-12-22 Cliftonville L 2-359.5 1345 1143 64.32% 22.01% 13.67%+1.21 -6.1 8
1984-12-22 @ Glentoran W 3-259.5 1143 1345 13.67% 22.01% 64.32%-1.21 +6.1 8
1984-12-22 Linfield L 1-432.8 1065 1381 10.81% 19.59% 69.60%-1.63 -3.2 4
1984-12-22 @ Larne W 4-132.8 1381 1065 69.60% 19.59% 10.81%+1.63 +3.2 11
1984-12-22 Portadown L 1-346.5 1138 1118 43.96% 25.51% 30.52%+0.22 -8.0 8
1984-12-22 @ Lisburn Distillery W 3-146.5 1118 1138 30.52% 25.51% 43.96%-0.22 +8.1 11
1984-12-26 Larne W 2-141.1 1185 1062 56.49% 24.05% 19.46%+0.78 +2.4 8
1984-12-26 @ Ards L 1-241.1 1062 1185 19.46% 24.05% 56.49%-0.78 -2.4 4
1984-12-26 Coleraine D 2-257.9 1188 1257 31.66% 25.43% 42.91%-0.27 +0.2 12
1984-12-26 @ Ballymena United D 2-257.9 1257 1188 42.91% 25.43% 31.66%+0.27 -0.2 12
1984-12-26 Bangor D 1-152.0 998 967 45.49% 25.43% 29.08%+0.28 -0.4 6
1984-12-26 @ Carrick Rangers D 1-152.0 967 998 29.08% 25.43% 45.49%-0.28 +0.4 6
1984-12-26 Glenavon W 2-145.3 1149 1140 42.52% 25.57% 31.91%+0.16 +3.6 10
1984-12-26 @ Cliftonville L 1-245.3 1140 1149 31.91% 25.57% 42.52%-0.16 -3.6 9
1984-12-26 Crusaders L 0-247.3 1384 1132 68.61% 20.45% 10.95%+1.49 -13.6 11
1984-12-26 @ Linfield W 2-047.3 1132 1384 10.95% 20.45% 68.61%-1.49 +13.6 11
1984-12-26 Glentoran L 0-232.5 1130 1339 17.35% 22.90% 59.75%-1.04 -4.3 8
1984-12-26 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-032.5 1339 1130 59.75% 22.90% 17.35%+1.04 +4.3 10
1984-12-26 Newry City W 6-137.8 1126 1112 43.15% 25.55% 31.30%+0.18 +13.9 13
1984-12-26 @ Portadown L 1-637.8 1112 1126 31.30% 25.55% 43.15%-0.18 -13.9 6
1984-12-29 Cliftonville L 0-330.9 967 1153 19.20% 23.49% 57.31%-0.91 -6.8 6
1984-12-29 @ Bangor W 3-030.9 1153 967 57.31% 23.49% 19.20%+0.91 +6.8 12
1984-12-29 Carrick Rangers W 3-134.9 1257 998 69.19% 20.21% 10.60%+1.53 +2.3 14
1984-12-29 @ Coleraine L 1-334.9 998 1257 10.60% 20.21% 69.19%-1.53 -2.3 6
1984-12-29 Ards W 3-145.1 1146 1187 35.36% 25.60% 39.04%-0.12 +7.3 13
1984-12-29 @ Crusaders L 1-345.1 1187 1146 39.04% 25.60% 35.36%+0.12 -7.3 8
1984-12-29 Lisburn Distillery W 3-142.9 1136 1126 42.61% 25.57% 31.82%+0.16 +6.3 11
1984-12-29 @ Glenavon L 1-342.9 1126 1136 31.82% 25.57% 42.61%-0.16 -6.3 8
1984-12-29 Portadown D 1-153.4 1343 1140 64.41% 21.98% 13.61%+1.22 -1.3 11
1984-12-29 @ Glentoran D 1-153.4 1140 1343 13.61% 21.98% 64.41%-1.22 +1.3 14
1984-12-29 Ballymena United L 0-333.0 1060 1188 24.67% 24.69% 50.64%-0.60 -8.6 4
1984-12-29 @ Larne W 3-033.0 1188 1060 50.64% 24.69% 24.67%+0.60 +8.5 14
1984-12-29 Linfield L 0-628.8 1098 1370 13.10% 21.02% 65.88%-1.39 -9.0 6
1984-12-29 @ Newry City W 6-028.8 1370 1098 65.88% 21.02% 13.10%+1.39 +9.0 13
1985-01-01 Newry City W 1-037.0 1180 1089 52.87% 24.67% 22.46%+0.60 +2.9 10
1985-01-01 @ Ards L 0-137.0 1089 1180 22.46% 24.67% 52.87%-0.60 -2.9 6
1985-01-01 Crusaders D 0-048.1 1196 1153 47.01% 25.32% 27.67%+0.34 -0.5 15
1985-01-01 @ Ballymena United D 0-048.1 1153 1196 27.67% 25.32% 47.01%-0.34 +0.5 14
1985-01-01 Larne W 2-040.0 996 1051 33.45% 25.53% 41.02%-0.20 +8.8 8
1985-01-01 @ Carrick Rangers L 0-240.0 1051 996 41.02% 25.53% 33.45%+0.20 -8.8 4
1985-01-01 Coleraine D 2-257.9 1159 1259 27.90% 25.12% 46.98%-0.44 +0.3 13
1985-01-01 @ Cliftonville D 2-257.9 1259 1159 46.98% 25.12% 27.90%+0.44 -0.3 15
1985-01-01 Glenavon W 5-028.9 1342 1142 64.09% 22.08% 13.82%+1.20 +8.1 13
1985-01-01 @ Glentoran L 0-528.9 1142 1342 13.82% 22.08% 64.09%-1.20 -8.1 11
1985-01-01 Bangor L 0-245.1 1119 960 60.27% 23.19% 16.54%+0.98 -12.2 8
1985-01-01 @ Lisburn Distillery W 2-045.1 960 1119 16.54% 23.19% 60.27%-0.98 +12.2 8
1985-01-01 Linfield L 0-329.8 1141 1379 15.23% 22.07% 62.70%-1.20 -5.5 14
1985-01-01 @ Portadown W 3-029.8 1379 1141 62.70% 22.07% 15.23%+1.20 +5.5 15
1985-01-05 Newry City D 2-258.0 1196 1086 55.00% 24.33% 20.67%+0.71 -0.6 16
1985-01-05 @ Ballymena United D 2-258.0 1086 1196 20.67% 24.33% 55.00%-0.71 +0.6 7
1985-01-05 Glentoran L 0-130.6 972 1350 8.21% 17.43% 74.36%-1.97 -1.0 8
1985-01-05 @ Bangor W 1-030.6 1350 972 74.36% 17.43% 8.21%+1.97 +1.0 15
1985-01-05 Lisburn Distillery W 3-245.5 1258 1107 59.45% 23.40% 17.16%+0.94 +2.0 17
1985-01-05 @ Coleraine L 2-345.5 1107 1258 17.16% 23.40% 59.45%-0.94 -2.0 8
1985-01-12 Portadown W 4-139.2 1183 1136 47.53% 25.28% 27.19%+0.36 +7.9 12
1985-01-12 @ Ards L 1-439.2 1136 1183 27.19% 25.28% 47.53%-0.36 -7.8 14
1985-01-12 Newry City L 0-236.6 1004 1087 29.94% 25.31% 44.75%-0.35 -6.9 8
1985-01-12 @ Carrick Rangers W 2-036.6 1087 1004 44.75% 25.31% 29.94%+0.35 +6.9 9
1985-01-12 Crusaders D 0-048.0 1160 1154 42.06% 25.59% 32.36%+0.14 -0.2 14
1985-01-12 @ Cliftonville D 0-048.0 1154 1160 32.36% 25.59% 42.06%-0.14 +0.2 15
1985-01-12 Bangor W 2-139.8 1134 971 60.60% 23.10% 16.29%+1.00 +2.0 13
1985-01-12 @ Glenavon L 1-239.8 971 1134 16.29% 23.10% 60.60%-1.00 -2.0 8
1985-01-12 Coleraine W 2-143.1 1351 1261 52.78% 24.68% 22.54%+0.60 +2.7 17
1985-01-12 @ Glentoran L 1-243.1 1261 1351 22.54% 24.68% 52.78%-0.60 -2.7 17
1985-01-12 Ballymena United D 0-049.6 1385 1195 63.18% 22.37% 14.45%+1.15 -1.4 16
1985-01-12 @ Linfield D 0-049.6 1195 1385 14.45% 22.37% 63.18%-1.15 +1.4 17
1985-01-12 Larne D 1-152.1 1105 1042 49.51% 25.09% 25.40%+0.45 -0.6 9
1985-01-12 @ Lisburn Distillery D 1-152.1 1042 1105 25.40% 25.09% 49.51%-0.45 +0.6 5
1985-01-22 Ards W 5-029.4 1383 1191 63.45% 22.29% 14.26%+1.16 +8.4 18
1985-01-22 @ Linfield L 0-529.4 1191 1383 14.26% 22.29% 63.45%-1.16 -8.4 12
1985-01-26 Linfield L 0-331.5 1197 1392 18.41% 23.25% 58.33%-0.97 -6.6 17
1985-01-26 @ Ballymena United W 3-031.5 1392 1197 58.33% 23.25% 18.41%+0.97 +6.6 20
1985-01-26 Glenavon L 1-339.1 969 1136 20.85% 23.93% 55.22%-0.81 -4.4 8
1985-01-26 @ Bangor W 3-139.1 1136 969 55.22% 23.93% 20.85%+0.81 +4.4 15
1985-01-26 Cliftonville W 3-251.1 1154 1159 40.46% 25.62% 33.92%+0.07 +3.6 17
1985-01-26 @ Crusaders L 2-351.1 1159 1154 33.92% 25.62% 40.46%-0.07 -3.6 14
1985-01-26 Lisburn Distillery D 0-047.9 1043 1105 32.61% 25.49% 41.90%-0.23 +0.2 6
1985-01-26 @ Larne D 0-047.9 1105 1043 41.90% 25.49% 32.61%+0.23 -0.2 10
1985-01-26 Carrick Rangers W 3-032.1 1094 997 53.52% 24.57% 21.91%+0.63 +7.8 11
1985-01-26 @ Newry City L 0-332.1 997 1094 21.91% 24.57% 53.52%-0.63 -7.8 8
1985-02-01 Larne W 6-026.5 1353 1043 73.13% 18.44% 8.42%+1.81 +5.6 19
1985-02-01 @ Glentoran L 0-626.5 1043 1353 8.42% 18.44% 73.13%-1.81 -5.6 6
1985-02-02 Ards L 1-346.1 1190 1183 42.26% 25.58% 32.16%+0.15 -7.8 17
1985-02-02 @ Ballymena United W 3-146.1 1183 1190 32.16% 25.58% 42.26%-0.15 +7.8 14
1985-02-02 Portadown D 1-152.5 965 1128 21.20% 24.01% 54.79%-0.79 +0.8 9
1985-02-02 @ Bangor D 1-152.5 1128 965 54.79% 24.01% 21.20%+0.79 -0.8 15
1985-02-02 Linfield L 1-430.6 990 1398 7.13% 16.33% 76.54%-2.14 -2.0 8
1985-02-02 @ Carrick Rangers W 4-130.6 1398 990 76.54% 16.33% 7.13%+2.14 +2.0 22
1985-02-02 Newry City D 1-152.1 1156 1102 48.42% 25.20% 26.38%+0.40 -0.5 15
1985-02-02 @ Cliftonville D 1-152.1 1102 1156 26.38% 25.20% 48.42%-0.40 +0.5 12
1985-02-02 Coleraine L 1-243.4 1140 1258 25.86% 24.86% 49.28%-0.54 -3.1 15
1985-02-02 @ Glenavon W 2-143.4 1258 1140 49.28% 24.86% 25.86%+0.54 +3.1 19
1985-02-02 Crusaders W 3-253.1 1104 1158 33.78% 25.54% 40.68%-0.19 +4.1 12
1985-02-02 @ Lisburn Distillery L 2-353.1 1158 1104 40.68% 25.54% 33.78%+0.19 -4.1 17
1985-02-09 Carrick Rangers W 4-028.2 1190 988 64.40% 21.99% 13.62%+1.22 +6.5 16
1985-02-09 @ Ards L 0-428.2 988 1190 13.62% 21.99% 64.40%-1.22 -6.5 8
1985-02-09 Bangor W 2-028.5 1261 966 72.01% 18.97% 9.02%+1.73 +2.2 21
1985-02-09 @ Coleraine L 0-228.5 966 1261 9.02% 18.97% 72.01%-1.73 -2.2 9
1985-02-09 Glenavon W 5-248.1 1037 1137 27.84% 25.11% 47.05%-0.44 +10.4 8
1985-02-09 @ Larne L 2-548.1 1137 1037 47.05% 25.11% 27.84%+0.44 -10.4 15
1985-02-09 Cliftonville L 1-352.9 1400 1155 68.05% 20.67% 11.28%+1.45 -11.7 22
1985-02-09 @ Linfield W 3-152.9 1155 1400 11.28% 20.67% 68.05%-1.45 +11.7 17
1985-02-09 Ballymena United W 1-042.9 1127 1182 33.51% 25.53% 40.96%-0.20 +4.6 17
1985-02-09 @ Portadown L 0-142.9 1182 1127 40.96% 25.53% 33.51%+0.20 -4.7 17
1985-02-16 Carrick Rangers D 0-048.7 1153 981 61.54% 22.85% 15.61%+1.05 -1.3 18
1985-02-16 @ Crusaders D 0-048.7 981 1153 15.61% 22.85% 61.54%-1.05 +1.3 9
1985-02-23 Larne L 0-236.5 964 1048 29.73% 25.29% 44.98%-0.36 -6.9 9
1985-02-23 @ Bangor W 2-036.5 1048 964 44.98% 25.29% 29.73%+0.36 +6.9 10
1985-02-23 Ballymena United D 2-258.3 982 1178 18.40% 23.25% 58.34%-0.97 +0.7 10
1985-02-23 @ Carrick Rangers D 2-258.3 1178 982 58.34% 23.25% 18.40%+0.97 -0.8 18
1985-02-23 Ards W 1-041.9 1167 1197 37.03% 25.63% 37.34%-0.06 +4.3 19
1985-02-23 @ Cliftonville L 0-141.9 1197 1167 37.34% 25.63% 37.03%+0.06 -4.3 16
1985-02-23 Portadown W 2-140.9 1263 1132 57.37% 23.87% 18.76%+0.83 +2.3 23
1985-02-23 @ Coleraine L 1-240.9 1132 1263 18.76% 23.87% 57.37%-0.83 -2.3 17
1985-02-23 Crusaders D 1-152.0 1127 1152 37.69% 25.64% 36.67%-0.03 -0.0 16
1985-02-23 @ Glenavon D 1-152.0 1152 1127 36.67% 25.64% 37.69%+0.03 +0.0 19
1985-02-23 Newry City W 3-027.7 1359 1102 69.03% 20.27% 10.69%+1.52 +3.8 21
1985-02-23 @ Glentoran L 0-327.7 1102 1359 10.69% 20.27% 69.03%-1.52 -3.8 12
1985-02-23 Linfield D 1-153.9 1109 1389 12.65% 20.77% 66.58%-1.43 +1.4 13
1985-02-23 @ Lisburn Distillery D 1-153.9 1389 1109 66.58% 20.77% 12.65%+1.43 -1.4 23
1985-03-02 Lisburn Distillery D 0-048.2 1192 1110 51.88% 24.81% 23.31%+0.56 -0.8 17
1985-03-02 @ Ards D 0-048.2 1110 1192 23.31% 24.81% 51.88%-0.56 +0.8 14
1985-03-02 Cliftonville W 2-037.6 1177 1171 41.97% 25.59% 32.44%+0.13 +7.4 20
1985-03-02 @ Ballymena United L 0-237.6 1171 1177 32.44% 25.59% 41.97%-0.13 -7.4 19
1985-03-02 Bangor D 1-153.0 1152 957 63.73% 22.20% 14.07%+1.18 -1.3 20
1985-03-02 @ Crusaders D 1-153.0 957 1152 14.07% 22.20% 63.73%-1.18 +1.3 10
1985-03-02 Coleraine L 0-134.9 1055 1265 17.19% 22.85% 59.97%-1.05 -2.2 10
1985-03-02 @ Larne W 1-034.9 1265 1055 59.97% 22.85% 17.19%+1.05 +2.2 25
1985-03-02 Glentoran W 3-144.9 1387 1363 44.53% 25.48% 29.99%+0.24 +6.0 25
1985-03-02 @ Linfield L 1-344.9 1363 1387 29.99% 25.48% 44.53%-0.24 -6.0 21
1985-03-02 Glenavon L 0-436.3 1098 1127 37.18% 25.63% 37.19%-0.05 -15.5 12
1985-03-02 @ Newry City W 4-036.3 1127 1098 37.19% 25.63% 37.18%+0.05 +15.5 18
1985-03-02 Carrick Rangers W 2-032.4 1129 983 58.94% 23.52% 17.54%+0.91 +4.4 19
1985-03-02 @ Portadown L 0-232.4 983 1129 17.54% 23.52% 58.94%-0.91 -4.4 10
1985-03-09 Cliftonville L 1-438.8 1052 1164 26.50% 24.95% 48.55%-0.51 -7.7 10
1985-03-09 @ Larne W 4-138.8 1164 1052 48.55% 24.95% 26.50%+0.51 +7.7 21
1985-03-16 Newry City D 2-257.8 958 1083 25.03% 24.74% 50.23%-0.58 +0.4 11
1985-03-16 @ Bangor D 2-257.8 1083 958 50.23% 24.74% 25.03%+0.58 -0.5 13
1985-03-16 Carrick Rangers D 3-362.8 1172 979 63.49% 22.27% 14.23%+1.16 -0.8 22
1985-03-16 @ Cliftonville D 3-362.8 979 1172 14.23% 22.27% 63.49%-1.16 +0.8 11
1985-03-16 Crusaders W 3-031.6 1268 1151 55.80% 24.18% 20.02%+0.75 +7.2 27
1985-03-16 @ Coleraine L 0-331.6 1151 1268 20.02% 24.18% 55.80%-0.75 -7.2 20
1985-03-16 Linfield L 0-730.2 1142 1393 14.40% 21.69% 63.91%-1.27 -11.4 18
1985-03-16 @ Glenavon W 7-030.2 1393 1142 63.91% 21.69% 14.40%+1.27 +11.4 27
1985-03-16 Ards W 2-032.4 1357 1192 60.85% 23.04% 16.11%+1.01 +4.0 23
1985-03-16 @ Glentoran L 0-232.4 1192 1357 16.11% 23.04% 60.85%-1.01 -4.0 17
1985-03-16 Portadown W 1-044.1 1045 1134 29.15% 25.24% 45.60%-0.38 +5.1 12
1985-03-16 @ Larne L 0-144.1 1134 1045 45.60% 25.24% 29.15%+0.38 -5.1 19
1985-03-16 Ballymena United W 2-148.7 1111 1184 31.10% 25.40% 43.50%-0.30 +4.6 16
1985-03-16 @ Lisburn Distillery L 1-248.7 1184 1111 43.50% 25.40% 31.10%+0.30 -4.6 20
1985-03-23 Glenavon L 1-347.9 1188 1131 48.72% 25.17% 26.11%+0.42 -8.8 17
1985-03-23 @ Ards W 3-147.9 1131 1188 26.11% 25.17% 48.72%-0.42 +8.8 20
1985-03-23 Glentoran L 1-339.2 1180 1361 19.56% 23.59% 56.84%-0.89 -4.1 20
1985-03-23 @ Ballymena United W 3-139.2 1361 1180 56.84% 23.59% 19.56%+0.89 +4.1 25
1985-03-23 Lisburn Distillery L 1-340.2 980 1115 23.88% 24.55% 51.57%-0.64 -5.0 11
1985-03-23 @ Carrick Rangers W 3-140.2 1115 980 51.57% 24.55% 23.88%+0.64 +5.0 18
1985-03-23 Larne L 1-446.7 1144 1050 53.21% 24.62% 22.17%+0.62 -13.4 20
1985-03-23 @ Crusaders W 4-146.7 1050 1144 22.17% 24.62% 53.21%-0.62 +13.4 14
1985-03-23 Bangor W 2-025.7 1405 958 81.76% 13.71% 4.53%+2.56 +1.0 29
1985-03-23 @ Linfield L 0-225.7 958 1405 4.53% 13.71% 81.76%-2.56 -1.0 11
1985-03-23 Coleraine D 3-362.6 1082 1275 18.63% 23.32% 58.05%-0.95 +0.6 14
1985-03-23 @ Newry City D 3-362.6 1275 1082 58.05% 23.32% 18.63%+0.95 -0.6 28
1985-03-23 Cliftonville D 0-048.0 1129 1171 35.28% 25.60% 39.12%-0.13 +0.1 20
1985-03-23 @ Portadown D 0-048.0 1171 1129 39.12% 25.60% 35.28%+0.13 -0.1 23
1985-03-27 Ballymena United L 0-336.4 1130 1175 34.87% 25.58% 39.55%-0.14 -11.3 20
1985-03-27 @ Crusaders W 3-036.4 1175 1130 39.55% 25.58% 34.87%+0.14 +11.3 22
1985-03-30 Carrick Rangers W 2-142.2 1063 975 52.61% 24.71% 22.69%+0.59 +2.8 16
1985-03-30 @ Larne L 1-242.2 975 1063 22.69% 24.71% 52.61%-0.59 -2.8 11
1985-03-30 Lisburn Distillery W 3-144.9 1083 1120 35.95% 25.61% 38.43%-0.10 +7.2 16
1985-03-30 @ Newry City L 1-344.9 1120 1083 38.43% 25.61% 35.95%+0.10 -7.2 18
1985-03-30 Ards W 1-042.7 1129 1179 34.20% 25.56% 40.24%-0.17 +4.6 22
1985-03-30 @ Portadown L 0-142.7 1179 1129 40.24% 25.56% 34.20%+0.17 -4.6 17
1985-04-06 Ards L 1-337.5 957 1174 16.72% 22.68% 60.61%-1.09 -3.6 11
1985-04-06 @ Bangor W 3-137.5 1174 957 60.61% 22.68% 16.72%+1.09 +3.6 19
1985-04-06 Linfield L 0-139.1 1274 1406 24.33% 24.63% 51.04%-0.62 -3.1 28
1985-04-06 @ Coleraine W 1-039.1 1406 1274 51.04% 24.63% 24.33%+0.62 +3.1 31
1985-04-06 Portadown W 5-036.0 1119 1133 39.21% 25.64% 35.15%+0.03 +18.3 22
1985-04-06 @ Crusaders L 0-536.0 1133 1119 35.15% 25.64% 39.21%-0.03 -18.3 22
1985-04-06 Ballymena United D 2-257.7 1140 1187 34.62% 25.58% 39.80%-0.15 +0.1 21
1985-04-06 @ Glenavon D 2-257.7 1187 1140 39.80% 25.58% 34.62%+0.15 -0.1 23
1985-04-06 Carrick Rangers W 3-024.6 1365 972 78.68% 15.53% 5.79%+2.26 +1.9 27
1985-04-06 @ Glentoran L 0-324.6 972 1365 5.79% 15.53% 78.68%-2.26 -1.9 11
1985-04-06 Newry City W 2-146.6 1066 1090 37.82% 25.64% 36.54%-0.03 +4.0 18
1985-04-06 @ Larne L 1-246.6 1090 1066 36.54% 25.64% 37.82%+0.03 -4.0 16
1985-04-06 Cliftonville D 0-048.0 1113 1171 33.15% 25.52% 41.33%-0.21 +0.2 19
1985-04-06 @ Lisburn Distillery D 0-048.0 1171 1113 41.33% 25.52% 33.15%+0.21 -0.2 24
1985-04-08 Glentoran D 1-153.3 1171 1367 18.30% 23.22% 58.47%-0.97 +1.0 25
1985-04-08 @ Cliftonville D 1-153.3 1367 1171 58.47% 23.22% 18.30%+0.97 -1.0 28
1985-04-08 Crusaders L 0-140.7 1086 1137 34.05% 25.55% 40.40%-0.18 -4.0 16
1985-04-08 @ Newry City W 1-040.7 1137 1086 40.40% 25.55% 34.05%+0.18 +4.1 24
1985-04-09 Coleraine L 1-244.4 1178 1271 28.64% 25.19% 46.16%-0.41 -3.3 19
1985-04-09 @ Ards W 2-144.4 1271 1178 46.16% 25.19% 28.64%+0.41 +3.3 30
1985-04-09 Bangor L 1-352.1 1187 954 67.04% 21.06% 11.90%+1.38 -11.6 23
1985-04-09 @ Ballymena United W 3-152.1 954 1187 11.90% 21.06% 67.04%-1.38 +11.6 13
1985-04-09 Glenavon L 1-339.0 970 1140 20.57% 23.86% 55.58%-0.83 -4.3 11
1985-04-09 @ Carrick Rangers W 3-139.0 1140 970 55.58% 23.86% 20.57%+0.83 +4.3 23
1985-04-09 Larne W 3-133.5 1409 1070 75.13% 17.45% 7.42%+1.96 +1.5 33
1985-04-09 @ Linfield L 1-333.5 1070 1409 7.42% 17.45% 75.13%-1.96 -1.5 18
1985-04-09 Lisburn Distillery W 1-040.4 1115 1113 41.48% 25.60% 32.91%+0.12 +3.9 24
1985-04-09 @ Portadown L 0-140.4 1113 1115 32.91% 25.60% 41.48%-0.12 -4.0 19
1985-04-11 Glentoran D 1-153.4 1141 1366 16.16% 22.46% 61.38%-1.13 +1.1 25
1985-04-11 @ Crusaders D 1-153.4 1366 1141 61.38% 22.46% 16.16%+1.13 -1.1 29
1985-04-13 Carrick Rangers W 2-037.7 965 966 41.19% 25.61% 33.20%+0.10 +7.5 15
1985-04-13 @ Bangor L 0-237.7 966 965 33.20% 25.61% 41.19%-0.10 -7.5 11
1985-04-13 Ballymena United W 3-032.3 1274 1175 53.85% 24.52% 21.64%+0.65 +7.7 32
1985-04-13 @ Coleraine L 0-332.3 1175 1274 21.64% 24.52% 53.85%-0.65 -7.7 23
1985-04-13 Linfield D 0-049.9 1143 1410 13.35% 21.16% 65.48%-1.37 +1.5 26
1985-04-13 @ Crusaders D 0-049.9 1410 1143 65.48% 21.16% 13.35%+1.37 -1.5 34
1985-04-13 Cliftonville D 1-152.1 1144 1172 37.37% 25.63% 37.00%-0.05 +0.0 24
1985-04-13 @ Glenavon D 1-152.1 1172 1144 37.00% 25.63% 37.37%+0.05 +0.0 26
1985-04-13 Ards W 3-040.0 1069 1175 27.14% 25.03% 47.83%-0.48 +14.5 20
1985-04-13 @ Larne L 0-340.0 1175 1069 47.83% 25.03% 27.14%+0.48 -14.5 19
1985-04-13 Portadown L 1-246.5 1082 1119 36.01% 25.61% 38.38%-0.10 -4.0 16
1985-04-13 @ Newry City W 2-146.5 1119 1082 38.38% 25.61% 36.01%+0.10 +4.0 26
1985-04-16 Glentoran D 2-258.9 1282 1365 29.93% 25.31% 44.76%-0.35 +0.3 33
1985-04-16 @ Coleraine D 2-258.9 1365 1282 44.76% 25.31% 29.93%+0.35 -0.3 30
1985-04-17 Portadown L 1-248.9 1144 1123 44.11% 25.51% 30.38%+0.22 -4.7 24
1985-04-17 @ Glenavon W 2-148.9 1123 1144 30.38% 25.51% 44.11%-0.22 +4.7 28
1985-04-20 Crusaders D 1-152.1 1160 1144 43.42% 25.54% 31.04%+0.19 -0.3 20
1985-04-20 @ Ards D 1-152.1 1144 1160 31.04% 25.54% 43.42%-0.19 +0.3 27
1985-04-20 Larne W 3-247.6 1167 1083 52.11% 24.78% 23.11%+0.57 +2.7 25
1985-04-20 @ Ballymena United L 2-347.6 1083 1167 23.11% 24.78% 52.11%-0.57 -2.7 20
1985-04-20 Coleraine L 0-229.0 958 1282 10.40% 19.29% 70.32%-1.68 -2.5 11
1985-04-20 @ Carrick Rangers W 2-029.0 1282 958 70.32% 19.29% 10.40%+1.68 +2.5 35
1985-04-20 Bangor L 0-148.7 1172 973 64.03% 22.10% 13.86%+1.20 -6.8 26
1985-04-20 @ Cliftonville W 1-048.7 973 1172 13.86% 22.10% 64.03%-1.20 +6.8 17
1985-04-20 Newry City W 2-028.1 1409 1078 74.57% 17.73% 7.69%+1.92 +1.8 36
1985-04-20 @ Linfield L 0-228.1 1078 1409 7.69% 17.73% 74.57%-1.92 -1.8 16
1985-04-20 Glenavon W 3-252.1 1109 1140 36.96% 25.63% 37.41%-0.06 +3.9 21
1985-04-20 @ Lisburn Distillery L 2-352.1 1140 1109 37.41% 25.63% 36.96%+0.06 -3.9 24
1985-04-20 Glentoran W 1-048.6 1128 1365 15.31% 22.11% 62.59%-1.20 +6.7 30
1985-04-20 @ Portadown L 0-148.6 1365 1128 62.59% 22.11% 15.31%+1.20 -6.6 30
1985-04-22 Lisburn Distillery D 0-049.7 1358 1113 68.04% 20.67% 11.29%+1.45 -1.6 31
1985-04-22 @ Glentoran D 0-049.7 1113 1358 11.29% 20.67% 68.04%-1.45 +1.6 22
1985-04-23 Cliftonville L 1-252.3 1285 1165 56.17% 24.11% 19.72%+0.76 -5.7 35
1985-04-23 @ Coleraine W 2-152.3 1165 1285 19.72% 24.11% 56.17%-0.76 +5.7 28
1985-04-23 Portadown W 1-032.3 1411 1134 70.56% 19.63% 9.81%+1.62 +1.3 38
1985-04-23 @ Linfield L 0-132.3 1134 1411 9.81% 19.63% 70.56%-1.62 -1.3 30
1985-04-23 Ards W 4-144.4 1076 1160 29.84% 25.30% 44.86%-0.35 +11.6 18
1985-04-23 @ Newry City L 1-444.4 1160 1076 44.86% 25.30% 29.84%+0.35 -11.6 20
1985-04-24 Lisburn Distillery D 0-048.2 980 1115 23.94% 24.56% 51.49%-0.64 +0.8 18
1985-04-24 @ Bangor D 0-048.2 1115 980 51.49% 24.56% 23.94%+0.64 -0.7 23
1985-04-25 Glentoran L 0-429.6 1136 1356 16.45% 22.57% 60.98%-1.11 -7.7 24
1985-04-25 @ Glenavon W 4-029.6 1356 1136 60.98% 22.57% 16.45%+1.11 +7.7 33
1985-04-27 Linfield D 0-049.9 1148 1412 13.60% 21.29% 65.11%-1.34 +1.5 21
1985-04-27 @ Ards D 0-049.9 1412 1148 65.11% 21.29% 13.60%+1.34 -1.5 39
1985-04-27 Crusaders D 2-258.2 956 1144 18.93% 23.41% 57.65%-0.93 +0.7 12
1985-04-27 @ Carrick Rangers D 2-258.2 1144 956 57.65% 23.41% 18.93%+0.93 -0.7 28
1985-04-27 Larne L 1-348.9 1171 1080 52.79% 24.68% 22.53%+0.60 -9.4 28
1985-04-27 @ Cliftonville W 3-148.9 1080 1171 22.53% 24.68% 52.79%-0.60 +9.4 22
1985-04-27 Bangor D 1-155.0 1364 980 78.08% 15.86% 6.05%+2.21 -1.8 34
1985-04-27 @ Glentoran D 1-155.0 980 1364 6.05% 15.86% 78.08%-2.21 +1.9 19
1985-04-27 Coleraine D 2-258.2 1114 1279 21.01% 23.97% 55.02%-0.80 +0.6 24
1985-04-27 @ Lisburn Distillery D 2-258.2 1279 1114 55.02% 23.97% 21.01%+0.80 -0.6 36
1985-04-27 Ballymena United W 3-146.7 1088 1170 30.00% 25.31% 44.69%-0.35 +8.1 20
1985-04-27 @ Newry City L 1-346.7 1170 1088 44.69% 25.31% 30.00%+0.35 -8.1 25
1985-04-27 Glenavon L 0-143.1 1133 1128 41.93% 25.59% 32.47%+0.13 -4.8 30
1985-04-27 @ Portadown W 1-043.1 1128 1133 32.47% 25.59% 41.93%-0.13 +4.8 26

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1984-12-01 10.68% Glenavon 1129 4 @ Linfield 1387 3
2 1984-12-26 10.95% Crusaders 1132 2 @ Linfield 1384 0
3 1985-02-09 11.28% Cliftonville 1155 3 @ Linfield 1400 1
4 1985-04-09 11.90% Bangor 954 3 @ Ballymena United 1187 1
5 1984-11-10 13.13% Crusaders 1150 3 @ Glentoran 1361 1
6 1984-12-22 13.67% Cliftonville 1143 3 @ Glentoran 1345 2
7 1985-04-20 13.86% Bangor 973 1 @ Cliftonville 1172 0
8 1985-04-20 15.31% @ Portadown 1128 1 Glentoran 1365 0
9 1984-12-22 15.48% @ Bangor 960 1 Ballymena United 1194 0
10 1985-01-01 16.54% Bangor 960 2 @ Lisburn Distillery 1119 0
11 1984-12-15 18.45% Coleraine 1252 2 @ Linfield 1387 1
12 1984-11-10 19.49% @ Carrick Rangers 1005 3 Ards 1188 2
13 1985-04-23 19.72% Cliftonville 1165 2 @ Coleraine 1285 1
14 1984-12-01 19.94% @ Ards 1173 3 Glentoran 1350 1
15 1984-11-03 21.88% Glenavon 1137 3 @ Coleraine 1234 1
16 1985-03-23 22.17% Larne 1050 4 @ Crusaders 1144 1
17 1985-04-27 22.53% Larne 1080 3 @ Cliftonville 1171 1
18 1984-12-08 25.84% Portadown 1101 3 @ Cliftonville 1160 2
19 1985-03-23 26.11% Glenavon 1131 3 @ Ards 1188 1
20 1984-12-15 26.69% Larne 1060 3 @ Newry City 1112 2
21 1985-04-13 27.14% @ Larne 1069 3 Ards 1175 0
22 1984-11-24 27.34% Newry City 1098 3 @ Glenavon 1144 0
23 1985-02-09 27.84% @ Larne 1037 5 Glenavon 1137 2
24 1985-03-16 29.15% @ Larne 1045 1 Portadown 1134 0
25 1984-12-22 29.31% Newry City 1107 2 @ Crusaders 1137 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1984-12-01 20.24 Coleraine 6 1232 42.49% @ Crusaders 0 1166 32.05% 25.46%
2 1985-04-06 18.31 @ Crusaders 5 1119 39.21% Portadown 0 1133 35.15% 25.64%
3 1985-03-02 15.49 Glenavon 4 1127 37.19% @ Newry City 0 1098 37.18% 25.63%
4 1985-04-13 14.46 @ Larne 3 1069 27.14% Ards 0 1175 47.83% 25.03%
5 1984-11-24 14.36 Newry City 3 1098 27.34% @ Glenavon 0 1144 47.37% 25.29%
6 1984-12-26 13.88 @ Portadown 6 1126 43.15% Newry City 1 1112 31.30% 25.55%
7 1984-12-26 13.62 Crusaders 2 1132 10.95% @ Linfield 0 1384 68.61% 20.45%
8 1985-03-23 13.38 Larne 4 1050 22.17% @ Crusaders 1 1144 53.21% 24.62%
9 1984-12-15 12.37 @ Portadown 3 1106 35.07% Crusaders 0 1149 39.35% 25.59%
10 1985-01-01 12.19 Bangor 2 960 16.54% @ Lisburn Distillery 0 1119 60.27% 23.19%
11 1985-02-09 11.72 Cliftonville 3 1155 11.28% @ Linfield 1 1400 68.05% 20.67%
12 1984-11-10 11.63 @ Lisburn Distillery 7 1127 43.08% Newry City 2 1114 31.37% 25.55%
13 1985-04-09 11.57 Bangor 3 954 11.90% @ Ballymena United 1 1187 67.04% 21.06%
14 1985-04-23 11.57 @ Newry City 4 1076 29.84% Ards 1 1160 44.86% 25.30%
15 1985-03-16 11.44 Linfield 7 1393 63.91% @ Glenavon 0 1142 14.40% 21.69%
16 1985-03-27 11.30 Ballymena United 3 1175 39.55% @ Crusaders 0 1130 34.87% 25.58%
17 1984-11-10 11.29 Crusaders 3 1150 13.13% @ Glentoran 1 1361 65.14% 21.74%
18 1985-02-09 10.42 @ Larne 5 1037 27.84% Glenavon 2 1137 47.05% 25.11%
19 1984-12-01 9.92 @ Ards 3 1173 19.94% Glentoran 1 1350 56.36% 23.70%
20 1984-11-03 9.52 Glenavon 3 1137 21.88% @ Coleraine 1 1234 53.56% 24.57%
21 1984-12-01 9.45 @ Ballymena United 3 1182 46.98% Lisburn Distillery 0 1139 27.69% 25.32%
22 1985-04-27 9.40 Larne 3 1080 22.53% @ Cliftonville 1 1171 52.79% 24.68%
23 1984-12-22 9.12 @ Glenavon 4 1130 56.50% Carrick Rangers 0 1007 19.46% 24.05%
24 1984-12-29 8.96 Linfield 6 1370 65.88% @ Newry City 0 1098 13.10% 21.02%
25 1985-01-01 8.80 @ Carrick Rangers 2 996 33.45% Larne 0 1051 41.02% 25.53%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1984-12-01 63.5 Glenavon 4 1129 10.68% @ Linfield 3 1387 69.06% 20.26%
2 1985-03-16 62.8 @ Cliftonville 3 1172 63.49% Carrick Rangers 3 979 14.23% 22.27%
3 1985-03-23 62.6 @ Newry City 3 1082 18.63% Coleraine 3 1275 58.05% 23.32%
4 1984-12-08 60.6 @ Bangor 2 960 6.77% Linfield 2 1380 77.30% 15.93%
5 1984-12-22 59.5 Cliftonville 3 1143 13.67% @ Glentoran 2 1345 64.32% 22.01%
6 1985-04-16 58.9 @ Coleraine 2 1282 29.93% Glentoran 2 1365 44.76% 25.31%
7 1985-02-23 58.3 @ Carrick Rangers 2 982 18.40% Ballymena United 2 1178 58.34% 23.25%
8 1985-04-27 58.2 @ Carrick Rangers 2 956 18.93% Crusaders 2 1144 57.65% 23.41%
9 1985-04-27 58.2 @ Lisburn Distillery 2 1114 21.01% Coleraine 2 1279 55.02% 23.97%
10 1985-01-05 58.0 @ Ballymena United 2 1196 55.00% Newry City 2 1086 20.67% 24.33%
11 1984-12-26 57.9 @ Ballymena United 2 1188 31.66% Coleraine 2 1257 42.91% 25.43%
12 1985-01-01 57.9 @ Cliftonville 2 1159 27.90% Coleraine 2 1259 46.98% 25.12%
13 1985-03-16 57.8 @ Bangor 2 958 25.03% Newry City 2 1083 50.23% 24.74%
14 1985-04-06 57.7 @ Glenavon 2 1140 34.62% Ballymena United 2 1187 39.80% 25.58%
15 1984-11-10 57.4 @ Carrick Rangers 3 1005 19.49% Ards 2 1188 56.94% 23.57%
16 1984-12-08 55.5 Portadown 3 1101 25.84% @ Cliftonville 2 1160 49.01% 25.14%
17 1984-12-15 55.2 Larne 3 1060 26.69% @ Newry City 2 1112 48.08% 25.23%
18 1985-04-27 55.0 @ Glentoran 1 1364 78.08% Bangor 1 980 6.05% 15.86%
19 1984-11-24 54.4 Linfield 3 1383 37.23% @ Glentoran 2 1354 37.14% 25.63%
20 1985-02-23 53.9 @ Lisburn Distillery 1 1109 12.65% Linfield 1 1389 66.58% 20.77%
21 1984-12-15 53.6 Coleraine 2 1252 18.45% @ Linfield 1 1387 57.77% 23.78%
22 1984-12-29 53.4 @ Glentoran 1 1343 64.41% Portadown 1 1140 13.61% 21.98%
23 1985-04-11 53.4 @ Crusaders 1 1141 16.16% Glentoran 1 1366 61.38% 22.46%
24 1985-04-08 53.3 @ Cliftonville 1 1171 18.30% Glentoran 1 1367 58.47% 23.22%
25 1985-02-02 53.1 @ Lisburn Distillery 3 1104 33.78% Crusaders 2 1158 40.68% 25.54%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1985-04-06 24.6 @ Glentoran 3 1365 78.68% Carrick Rangers 0 972 5.79% 15.53%
2 1985-03-23 25.7 @ Linfield 2 1405 81.76% Bangor 0 958 4.53% 13.71%
3 1985-02-01 26.5 @ Glentoran 6 1353 73.13% Larne 0 1043 8.42% 18.44%
4 1985-02-23 27.7 @ Glentoran 3 1359 69.03% Newry City 0 1102 10.69% 20.27%
5 1984-11-03 27.8 @ Linfield 6 1375 77.02% Carrick Rangers 1 1008 6.53% 16.45%
6 1985-04-20 28.1 @ Linfield 2 1409 74.57% Newry City 0 1078 7.69% 17.73%
7 1985-02-09 28.2 @ Ards 4 1190 64.40% Carrick Rangers 0 988 13.62% 21.99%
8 1985-02-09 28.5 @ Coleraine 2 1261 72.01% Bangor 0 966 9.02% 18.97%
9 1984-12-29 28.8 Linfield 6 1370 65.88% @ Newry City 0 1098 13.10% 21.02%
10 1984-12-15 28.9 Glentoran 2 1342 70.98% @ Carrick Rangers 0 1010 10.02% 19.00%
11 1985-01-01 28.9 @ Glentoran 5 1342 64.09% Glenavon 0 1142 13.82% 22.08%
12 1985-04-20 29.0 Coleraine 2 1282 70.32% @ Carrick Rangers 0 958 10.40% 19.29%
13 1985-01-22 29.4 @ Linfield 5 1383 63.45% Ards 0 1191 14.26% 22.29%
14 1984-12-11 29.6 Linfield 4 1379 61.32% @ Cliftonville 0 1155 16.20% 22.48%
15 1985-04-25 29.6 Glentoran 4 1356 60.98% @ Glenavon 0 1136 16.45% 22.57%
16 1985-01-01 29.8 Linfield 3 1379 62.70% @ Portadown 0 1141 15.23% 22.07%
17 1985-03-16 30.2 Linfield 7 1393 63.91% @ Glenavon 0 1142 14.40% 21.69%
18 1984-12-22 30.5 @ Glenavon 4 1130 56.50% Carrick Rangers 0 1007 19.46% 24.05%
19 1985-01-05 30.6 Glentoran 1 1350 74.36% @ Bangor 0 972 8.21% 17.43%
20 1985-02-02 30.6 Linfield 4 1398 76.54% @ Carrick Rangers 1 990 7.13% 16.33%
21 1984-12-29 30.9 Cliftonville 3 1153 57.31% @ Bangor 0 967 19.20% 23.49%
22 1985-01-26 31.5 Linfield 3 1392 58.33% @ Ballymena United 0 1197 18.41% 23.25%
23 1985-03-16 31.6 @ Coleraine 3 1268 55.80% Crusaders 0 1151 20.02% 24.18%
24 1984-11-17 31.9 @ Linfield 5 1378 67.58% Lisburn Distillery 1 1139 11.57% 20.85%
25 1985-01-26 32.1 @ Newry City 3 1094 53.52% Carrick Rangers 0 997 21.91% 24.57%