2016-17 NIFL Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Linfield

89 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Portadown

13.33 points above expected

26 points · 12.67 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Carrick Rangers

4.96 points below expected

22 points · 26.96 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Crusaders	33	24	6	3	78	71	27	+44	72.92	+5.08
2	Linfield	33	22	8	3	74	73	22	+51	70.58	+3.42
3	Coleraine	33	17	9	7	60	49	32	+17	50.04	+9.96
4	Cliftonville	33	17	7	9	58	50	35	+15	54.54	+3.46
5	Ballymena United	33	16	4	13	52	67	66	+1	41.94	+10.06
6	Glenavon	33	11	13	9	46	49	43	+6	58.16	-12.16
7	Dungannon Swifts	33	10	10	13	40	54	53	+1	44.70	-4.70
8	Glentoran	33	10	9	14	39	38	46	-8	39.94	-0.94
9	Ards	33	9	6	18	33	46	65	-19	32.89	+0.11
10	Ballinamallard United	33	8	5	20	29	35	63	-28	31.51	-2.51
11	Carrick Rangers	33	5	6	22	21	26	65	-39	26.77	-5.77
12	Portadown	33	5	5	23	20	25	66	-41	18.54	+1.46

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Linfield	38	27	8	3	89	87	24	+63	88.12	+0.88
2	Crusaders	38	27	6	5	87	83	36	+47	83.92	+3.08
3	Coleraine	38	18	11	9	65	56	42	+14	65.91	-0.91
4	Ballymena United	38	18	5	15	59	75	73	+2	61.98	-2.98
5	Cliftonville	38	17	7	14	58	55	50	+5	58.15	-0.15
6	Glenavon	38	13	14	11	53	57	54	+3	51.83	+1.17

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Dungannon Swifts	38	14	10	14	52	67	59	+8	49.08	+2.92
2	Glentoran	38	12	10	16	46	45	53	-8	42.06	+3.94
3	Ards	38	12	8	18	44	59	73	-14	45.62	-1.62
4	Ballinamallard United	38	10	5	23	35	45	72	-27	35.42	-0.42
5	Portadown	38	7	5	26	26	30	75	-45	12.67	+13.33
6	Carrick Rangers	38	5	7	26	22	31	79	-48	26.96	-4.96

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Portadown	26	12.67	+13.33
2	Glentoran	46	42.06	+3.94
3	Crusaders	87	83.92	+3.08
4	Dungannon Swifts	52	49.08	+2.92
5	Glenavon	53	51.83	+1.17

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Carrick Rangers	22	26.96	-4.96
2	Ballymena United	59	61.98	-2.98
3	Ards	44	45.62	-1.62
4	Coleraine	65	65.91	-0.91
5	Ballinamallard United	35	35.42	-0.42

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Coleraine	6	Dec 31 – Feb 11	1 in 129
2	Cliftonville	6	Nov 12 – Dec 17	1 in 72
3	Linfield	9	Feb 25 – Apr 29	1 in 40
4	Ards	3	Aug 10 – Aug 20	1 in 33
5	Glentoran	3	Oct 15 – Oct 29	1 in 30

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Ballinamallard United	6	Oct 15 – Nov 19	1 in 85
2	Carrick Rangers	7	Aug 26 – Oct 8	1 in 61
3	Cliftonville	5	Apr 8 – Apr 29	1 in 51
4	Portadown	6	Sep 10 – Oct 15	1 in 34
5	Coleraine	3	Nov 26 – Dec 10	1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Coleraine	13	Dec 31 – Apr 15	1 in 516
2	Ballymena United	7	Aug 26 – Oct 15	1 in 98
3	Ards	6	Mar 25 – Apr 29	1 in 35
4	Cliftonville	8	Oct 29 – Dec 17	1 in 20
5	Dungannon Swifts	4	Aug 13 – Sep 3	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Ards	12	Oct 8 – Dec 26	1 in 41
2	Cliftonville	5	Feb 11 – Mar 18	1 in 30
3	Coleraine	5	Nov 26 – Dec 26	1 in 23
4	Glenavon	4	Sep 10 – Sep 24	1 in 22
5	Ballinamallard United	9	Oct 8 – Dec 10	1 in 20

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Linfield	1488	89	+41	15	10.3	+4.7
Crusaders	1419	87	-22	9	9.6	-0.6
Coleraine	1237	65	-5	5	6.3	-1.3
Ballymena United	1186	59	+43	7	4.1	+2.9
Cliftonville	1188	58	-63	0	5.8	-5.8
Glenavon	1242	53	+5	7	5.7	+1.3
Dungannon Swifts	1163	52	+22	12	9.1	+2.9
Glentoran	1123	46	-19	7	8.4	-1.4
Ards	1070	44	+37	11	6.9	+4.1
Ballinamallard United	1030	35	+8	6	7.1	-1.1
Portadown	938	26	-3	6	4.6	+1.4
Carrick Rangers	958	22	-45	1	5.6	-4.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ARD	BU	BU	CR	CLI	COL	CRU	DS	GLE	GLE	LIN	POR
Ards	—	2-1-1 5.73	2-0-1 3.30	1-2-1 6.48	0-1-2 2.28	0-1-2 2.48	0-0-3 1.33	2-2-0 3.99	1-0-2 2.13	1-1-2 4.38	0-0-3 1.12	3-0-1 5.95
Ballinamallard United	1-1-2 5.38	—	0-0-3 3.69	2-1-1 6.19	1-0-2 2.40	0-0-3 2.72	0-0-3 1.08	1-1-2 3.85	1-1-1 1.97	3-1-0 4.21	0-0-3 1.44	1-0-3 6.16
Ballymena United	1-0-2 5.04	3-0-0 4.65	—	3-0-0 5.53	2-0-2 3.96	1-3-0 4.71	2-0-2 2.15	1-1-1 4.11	0-1-3 3.68	2-0-1 4.65	0-0-4 2.23	3-0-0 5.44
Carrick Rangers	1-2-1 4.65	1-1-2 4.94	0-0-3 2.85	—	0-1-2 1.59	1-0-2 2.04	0-0-3 1.08	0-0-4 3.24	0-2-1 1.89	1-0-3 3.74	0-0-3 1.12	1-1-2 5.67
Cliftonville	2-1-0 6.12	2-0-1 5.99	2-0-2 7.17	2-1-0 6.87	—	2-1-1 6.04	0-0-4 3.20	0-2-1 5.01	1-1-2 4.96	1-1-1 5.39	2-0-2 2.80	3-0-0 6.43
Coleraine	2-1-0 5.90	3-0-0 5.65	0-3-1 6.41	2-0-1 6.37	1-1-2 5.07	—	1-1-2 2.77	1-1-1 5.06	1-2-1 4.92	3-0-0 5.01	1-2-1 2.80	3-0-0 5.96
Crusaders	3-0-0 7.17	3-0-0 7.47	2-0-2 9.13	3-0-0 7.48	4-0-0 7.98	2-1-1 8.43	—	3-0-0 6.57	3-1-0 7.88	2-1-0 6.75	0-2-2 5.73	2-1-0 7.36
Dungannon Swifts	0-2-2 7.15	2-1-1 7.30	1-1-1 4.23	4-0-0 7.93	1-2-0 3.33	1-1-1 3.28	0-0-3 1.86	—	1-1-1 2.83	1-1-2 5.96	0-1-2 1.94	3-0-1 7.98
Glenavon	2-0-1 6.27	1-1-1 6.45	3-1-0 7.46	1-2-0 6.53	2-1-1 6.15	1-2-1 6.20	0-1-3 3.29	1-1-1 5.53	—	0-3-0 5.51	0-1-3 3.53	2-1-0 6.34
Glentoran	2-1-1 6.75	0-1-3 6.92	1-0-2 3.69	3-0-1 7.40	1-1-1 2.96	0-0-3 3.33	0-1-2 1.70	2-1-1 5.16	0-3-0 2.85	—	0-1-2 1.58	3-1-0 7.00
Linfield	3-0-0 7.43	3-0-0 7.05	4-0-0 9.04	3-0-0 7.43	2-0-2 8.40	1-2-1 8.41	2-2-0 5.39	2-1-0 6.47	3-1-0 7.63	2-1-0 6.89	—	2-1-0 7.42
Portadown	1-0-3 5.17	3-0-1 4.96	0-0-3 2.93	2-1-1 5.44	0-0-3 2.01	0-0-3 2.42	0-1-2 1.17	1-0-3 3.20	0-1-2 2.06	0-1-3 4.15	0-1-2 1.13	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.84	+10.4
Allowed	0.79	-10.6
Differential	0.98	+6.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.51%	8.77%	5.26%	3.95%	2.41%	1.10%	25.00%
1	8.77%	8.77%	7.24%	3.29%	2.63%	0.88%	31.58%
2	5.26%	7.24%	6.14%	2.19%	1.10%	—	21.93%
3	3.95%	3.29%	2.19%	2.63%	0.66%	—	12.72%
4	2.41%	2.63%	1.10%	0.66%	—	—	6.80%
5+	1.10%	0.88%	—	—	—	—	1.97%
Total	25.00%	31.58%	21.93%	12.72%	6.80%	1.97%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.51	1.51	+0.00
SD	1.31	1.31	2.02
CV	0.86	0.86	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.16%	5.26%	—	5.26%	—	23.68%
1	5.26%	7.89%	7.89%	7.89%	—	2.63%	31.58%
2	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	—	5.26%	—	18.42%
3	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	18.42%
4	—	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.16%	28.95%	26.32%	18.42%	10.53%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	1.92	-0.37
SD	1.27	1.30	1.79
CV	0.82	0.68	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	10.53%	2.63%	5.26%	5.26%	—	23.68%
1	10.53%	5.26%	18.42%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	47.37%
2	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	18.42%
3	2.63%	—	—	5.26%	—	—	7.89%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.79%	26.32%	23.68%	23.68%	7.89%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.89	-0.71
SD	0.98	1.31	1.75
CV	0.83	0.69	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	7.89%	2.63%	—	5.26%	15.79%
1	2.63%	5.26%	7.89%	—	5.26%	—	21.05%
2	10.53%	5.26%	5.26%	—	5.26%	—	26.32%
3	5.26%	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	5.26%	—	23.68%
4	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	13.16%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.05%	21.05%	31.58%	5.26%	15.79%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.97	1.92	+0.05
SD	1.28	1.57	2.35
CV	0.65	0.82	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	7.89%	13.16%	10.53%	7.89%	—	47.37%
1	2.63%	5.26%	10.53%	10.53%	7.89%	—	36.84%
2	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
3	—	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.79%	15.79%	28.95%	23.68%	15.79%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.82	2.08	-1.26
SD	1.04	1.30	1.80
CV	1.27	0.63	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	5.26%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	18.42%
1	13.16%	5.26%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	31.58%
2	7.89%	13.16%	7.89%	7.89%	—	—	36.84%
3	10.53%	—	—	—	2.63%	—	13.16%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.84%	23.68%	18.42%	13.16%	7.89%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.32	+0.13
SD	0.95	1.32	1.70
CV	0.66	1.00	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	10.53%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	21.05%
1	10.53%	18.42%	—	—	—	2.63%	31.58%
2	10.53%	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
3	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	10.53%
4	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.95%	47.37%	15.79%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.47	1.11	+0.37
SD	1.11	1.11	1.67
CV	0.75	1.00	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	13.16%
1	21.05%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	31.58%
2	—	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	10.53%
3	5.26%	13.16%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	26.32%
4	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
5+	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
Total	36.84%	39.47%	15.79%	7.89%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.18	0.95	+1.24
SD	1.63	0.93	1.75
CV	0.74	0.98	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.89%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	18.42%
1	7.89%	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	5.26%	—	31.58%
2	2.63%	5.26%	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	23.68%
3	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	13.16%
4	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	10.53%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	21.05%	28.95%	31.58%	10.53%	7.89%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.76	1.55	+0.21
SD	1.42	1.18	2.11
CV	0.81	0.76	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	10.53%	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	26.32%
1	10.53%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	—	2.63%	31.58%
2	2.63%	2.63%	13.16%	—	—	—	18.42%
3	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	15.79%
4	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	31.58%	26.32%	21.05%	15.79%	2.63%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.42	+0.08
SD	1.33	1.39	1.96
CV	0.89	0.98	—
Max	5	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	10.53%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	28.95%
1	13.16%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	5.26%	—	42.11%
2	—	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	18.42%
3	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
4	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	23.68%	34.21%	26.32%	10.53%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.39	-0.21
SD	1.16	1.13	1.71
CV	0.98	0.81	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
1	5.26%	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	—	23.68%
2	15.79%	15.79%	2.63%	—	—	—	34.21%
3	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
4	10.53%	7.89%	—	—	—	—	18.42%
5+	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
Total	44.74%	47.37%	7.89%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.29	0.63	+1.66
SD	1.43	0.63	1.65
CV	0.63	1.00	—
Max	5	2	+5
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	21.05%	7.89%	15.79%	—	7.89%	55.26%
1	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	18.42%
2	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	21.05%
3	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.53%	39.47%	15.79%	21.05%	5.26%	7.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.79	1.97	-1.18
SD	1.04	1.48	2.02
CV	1.32	0.75	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Linfield	1488	89	70.58	+18.42	74.0%	52	59	67	71	75	79	87
Crusaders	1419	87	72.92	+14.08	80.0%	51	61	68	73	78	83	88
Glenavon	1242	53	58.16	-5.16	4.0%	44	47	53	58	64	69	72
Coleraine	1237	65	50.04	+14.96	91.0%	34	38	45	50	54	62	67
Cliftonville	1188	58	54.54	+3.46	74.0%	38	44	50	54	59	67	72
Ballymena United	1186	59	41.94	+17.06	93.0%	26	31	38	42	46	53	60
Dungannon Swifts	1163	52	44.70	+7.30	25.0%	32	34	40	44	49	55	58
Glentoran	1123	46	39.94	+6.06	50.0%	26	29	35	39	45	51	56
Ards	1070	44	32.89	+11.11	52.0%	17	22	28	33	37	43	54
Ballinamallard United	1030	35	31.51	+3.49	41.0%	15	21	27	32	35	43	49
Carrick Rangers	958	22	26.77	-4.77	23.0%	12	17	22	26	30	39	44
Portadown	938	26	18.54	+7.46	3.0%	3	9	14	19	23	28	33

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+13.16%

Clear Edge

46.05%21.05%32.89%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 45.98 Elo pts.

183 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.39 goals

Neutral

-2+0.25+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.2

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

43%

Linfield, 2nd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.05/gm

Photo Finish

00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.23 * Some Luck: 5.23 to 7.85 * Lucky: 7.85 to 10.46 * Wild Swing: 10.46 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.73 * Close: 0.73 to 1.09 * Off: 1.09 to 1.46 * Way Off: 1.46 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.89 points

Some Luck

06.5416

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.17

Off

00.912

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

93.00%

Ballymena United

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

3.00%

Portadown

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.21

Top-Heavy

00.190.250.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 162.07

2.51

Wide Separation

11.852.253

Interquartile Edge

77%

Clear Edge

50%70%81%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 96%

95%

Strong Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

59%

Frequent

0%54%100%

Blowouts

Expected

22%

Occasional

0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.54

Highly Predictable

00.562

Matchup Imbalance

0.44

Slight Separation

00.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.07

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.73

Strong Carryover

00.470.620.761

Upset Rate

Expected

20%

As Expected

0%22%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

17%

As Expected

0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.

Probability calibration

0.84

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.20

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.073

Well Within Noise

00.1050.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Linfield	43.00%	45.00%	11.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Crusaders	52.00%	40.00%	7.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Coleraine	1.00%	2.00%	9.00%	25.00%	27.00%	17.00%	10.00%	8.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Ballymena United	—	—	1.00%	7.00%	8.00%	19.00%	26.00%	18.00%	15.00%	5.00%	1.00%	—
Cliftonville	2.00%	1.00%	28.00%	32.00%	22.00%	10.00%	3.00%	—	2.00%	—	—	—
Glenavon	2.00%	12.00%	42.00%	24.00%	15.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Dungannon Swifts	—	—	2.00%	8.00%	18.00%	30.00%	19.00%	17.00%	3.00%	3.00%	—	—
Glentoran	—	—	—	2.00%	7.00%	10.00%	29.00%	28.00%	12.00%	12.00%	—	—
Ards	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	7.00%	16.00%	30.00%	22.00%	15.00%	4.00%
Ballinamallard United	—	—	—	—	1.00%	5.00%	3.00%	10.00%	26.00%	32.00%	17.00%	6.00%
Portadown	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	22.00%	74.00%
Carrick Rangers	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	10.00%	23.00%	45.00%	16.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Linfield	83.91%	16.09%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Crusaders	16.09%	83.91%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Coleraine	—	—	81.36%	16.26%	2.38%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Ballymena United	—	—	16.57%	67.86%	15.49%	0.08%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Cliftonville	—	—	2.07%	15.66%	75.19%	7.08%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Glenavon	—	—	—	0.22%	6.94%	92.84%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Dungannon Swifts	—	—	—	—	—	—	77.24%	19.16%	3.59%	0.01%	—	—
Glentoran	—	—	—	—	—	—	3.02%	19.87%	70.13%	6.97%	0.01%	—
Ards	—	—	—	—	—	—	19.74%	60.29%	19.38%	0.59%	—	—
Ballinamallard United	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.68%	6.88%	89.35%	3.09%	—
Portadown	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.01%	99.99%
Carrick Rangers	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.02%	3.08%	96.89%	0.01%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Ballymena United	99.00%	1.00%	—
Cliftonville	100%	—	—
Coleraine	100%	—	—
Crusaders	100%	—	—
Dungannon Swifts	99.00%	1.00%	—
Glenavon	100%	—	—
Glentoran	98.00%	2.00%	—
Linfield	100%	—	—
Ards	82.00%	14.00%	4.00%
Ballinamallard United	73.00%	23.00%	4.00%
Carrick Rangers	43.00%	41.00%	16.00%
Portadown	6.00%	18.00%	76.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Ards	100%	—	—
Ballinamallard United	96.91%	3.09%	—
Ballymena United	100%	—	—
Cliftonville	100%	—	—
Coleraine	100%	—	—
Crusaders	100%	—	—
Dungannon Swifts	100%	—	—
Glenavon	100%	—	—
Glentoran	99.99%	0.01%	—
Linfield	100%	—	—
Carrick Rangers	3.10%	96.89%	0.01%
Portadown	—	0.01%	99.99%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2016-08-06	Ballymena United	W 6-0	26.5	1364	1090	73.26%	17.07%	9.67%	+1.74	+12.4	3
2016-08-06	@ Crusaders	L 0-6	26.5	1090	1364	9.67%	17.07%	73.26%	-1.74	-12.4	0
2016-08-06	Carrick Rangers	W 4-0	26.6	1276	1071	67.85%	18.88%	13.27%	+1.37	+11.8	3
2016-08-06	@ Glenavon	L 0-4	26.6	1071	1276	13.27%	18.88%	67.85%	-1.37	-11.8	0
2016-08-06	Cliftonville	D 2-2	59.4	1046	1194	25.86%	21.71%	52.43%	-0.55	+0.9	1
2016-08-06	@ Ards	D 2-2	59.4	1194	1046	52.43%	21.71%	25.86%	+0.55	-0.9	1
2016-08-06	Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	37.4	1165	1124	50.63%	21.87%	27.50%	+0.47	+6.5	3
2016-08-06	@ Glentoran	L 0-1	37.4	1124	1165	27.50%	21.87%	50.63%	-0.47	-6.5	0
2016-08-06	Linfield	L 1-2	38.8	1091	1355	15.40%	19.65%	64.95%	-1.19	-3.6	0
2016-08-06	@ Ballinamallard United	W 2-1	38.8	1355	1091	64.95%	19.65%	15.40%	+1.19	+3.6	3
2016-08-06	Portadown	W 3-0	30.6	1174	1093	55.51%	21.36%	23.12%	+0.69	+15.3	3
2016-08-06	@ Coleraine	L 0-3	30.6	1093	1174	23.12%	21.36%	55.51%	-0.69	-15.3	0
2016-08-10	Ards	L 1-2	50.7	1117	1047	54.23%	21.52%	24.25%	+0.63	-10.8	0
2016-08-10	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	50.7	1047	1117	24.25%	21.52%	54.23%	-0.63	+10.8	4
2016-08-10	Ballinamallard United	W 2-1	44.8	1078	1087	44.01%	22.24%	33.75%	+0.20	+7.3	3
2016-08-10	@ Portadown	L 1-2	44.8	1087	1078	33.75%	22.24%	44.01%	-0.20	-7.3	0
2016-08-10	Coleraine	D 1-1	54.8	1359	1190	64.65%	19.72%	15.63%	+1.17	-2.5	4
2016-08-10	@ Linfield	D 1-1	54.8	1190	1359	15.63%	19.72%	64.65%	-1.17	+2.5	4
2016-08-10	Crusaders	L 1-4	32.0	1060	1376	12.13%	18.38%	69.49%	-1.47	-6.9	0
2016-08-10	@ Carrick Rangers	W 4-1	32.0	1376	1060	69.49%	18.38%	12.13%	+1.47	+6.9	6
2016-08-10	Glenavon	D 3-3	64.0	1078	1288	19.62%	20.75%	59.63%	-0.90	+1.2	1
2016-08-10	@ Ballymena United	D 3-3	64.0	1288	1078	59.63%	20.75%	19.62%	+0.90	-1.2	4
2016-08-10	Glentoran	W 2-0	35.0	1193	1171	48.17%	22.05%	29.79%	+0.37	+13.1	4
2016-08-10	@ Cliftonville	L 0-2	35.0	1171	1193	29.79%	22.05%	48.17%	-0.37	-13.1	3
2016-08-13	Ballymena United	L 0-1	42.8	1080	1079	45.45%	22.19%	32.36%	+0.26	-9.8	0
2016-08-13	@ Ballinamallard United	W 1-0	42.8	1079	1080	32.36%	22.19%	45.45%	-0.26	+9.8	4
2016-08-13	Carrick Rangers	L 0-1	46.3	1158	1053	58.23%	20.98%	20.79%	+0.82	-12.2	3
2016-08-13	@ Glentoran	W 1-0	46.3	1053	1158	20.79%	20.98%	58.23%	-0.82	+12.2	3
2016-08-13	Cliftonville	W 3-2	47.0	1287	1206	55.50%	21.37%	23.13%	+0.69	+5.0	7
2016-08-13	@ Glenavon	L 2-3	47.0	1206	1287	23.13%	21.37%	55.50%	-0.69	-5.0	4
2016-08-13	Coleraine	W 4-0	36.9	1107	1192	33.37%	22.23%	44.40%	-0.22	+34.3	3
2016-08-13	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-4	36.9	1192	1107	44.40%	22.23%	33.37%	+0.22	-34.3	4
2016-08-13	Linfield	D 0-0	51.6	1383	1356	48.87%	22.00%	29.13%	+0.40	-1.0	7
2016-08-13	@ Crusaders	D 0-0	51.6	1356	1383	29.13%	22.00%	48.87%	-0.40	+1.0	5
2016-08-13	Portadown	W 1-0	40.1	1058	1085	41.52%	22.30%	36.18%	+0.10	+8.2	7
2016-08-13	@ Ards	L 0-1	40.1	1085	1058	36.18%	22.30%	41.52%	-0.10	-8.2	3
2016-08-20	Ards	L 3-4	57.3	1089	1066	48.28%	22.04%	29.68%	+0.37	-9.0	4
2016-08-20	@ Ballymena United	W 4-3	57.3	1066	1089	29.68%	22.04%	48.28%	-0.37	+9.0	10
2016-08-20	Ballinamallard United	D 3-3	63.4	1065	1070	44.55%	22.22%	33.22%	+0.22	-0.3	4
2016-08-20	@ Carrick Rangers	D 3-3	63.4	1070	1065	33.22%	22.22%	44.55%	-0.22	+0.3	1
2016-08-20	Crusaders	D 1-1	54.5	1158	1382	18.43%	20.49%	61.08%	-0.97	+2.1	5
2016-08-20	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	54.5	1382	1158	61.08%	20.49%	18.43%	+0.97	-2.1	8
2016-08-20	Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	50.5	1201	1141	52.99%	21.65%	25.36%	+0.58	-10.5	4
2016-08-20	@ Cliftonville	W 2-1	50.5	1141	1201	25.36%	21.65%	52.99%	-0.58	+10.5	6
2016-08-20	Glenavon	W 4-0	32.0	1357	1292	53.67%	21.58%	24.75%	+0.61	+21.3	8
2016-08-20	@ Linfield	L 0-4	32.0	1292	1357	24.75%	21.58%	53.67%	-0.61	-21.3	7
2016-08-20	Glentoran	L 0-1	39.9	1077	1146	35.64%	22.29%	42.07%	-0.12	-8.1	3
2016-08-20	@ Portadown	W 1-0	39.9	1146	1077	42.07%	22.29%	35.64%	+0.12	+8.1	6
2016-08-26	Ards	W 1-0	32.5	1270	1075	67.03%	19.11%	13.86%	+1.31	+3.5	10
2016-08-26	@ Glenavon	L 0-1	32.5	1075	1270	13.86%	19.11%	67.03%	-1.31	-3.4	10
2016-08-26	Ballymena United	L 1-4	42.2	1065	1080	43.21%	22.27%	34.53%	+0.17	-21.7	4
2016-08-26	@ Carrick Rangers	W 4-1	42.2	1080	1065	34.53%	22.27%	43.21%	-0.17	+21.7	7
2016-08-26	Glentoran	W 4-1	38.8	1160	1154	46.11%	22.16%	31.73%	+0.28	+17.0	8
2016-08-26	@ Coleraine	L 1-4	38.8	1154	1160	31.73%	22.16%	46.11%	-0.28	-17.0	6
2016-08-27	Cliftonville	L 1-2	43.3	1071	1190	29.04%	22.00%	48.96%	-0.40	-6.4	1
2016-08-27	@ Ballinamallard United	W 2-1	43.3	1190	1071	48.96%	22.00%	29.04%	+0.40	+6.4	7
2016-08-27	Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	55.1	1378	1152	69.69%	18.32%	11.99%	+1.49	-2.9	9
2016-08-27	@ Linfield	D 1-1	55.1	1152	1378	11.99%	18.32%	69.69%	-1.49	+2.9	7
2016-08-27	Portadown	W 2-1	35.5	1380	1069	75.83%	16.04%	8.14%	+1.94	+1.8	11
2016-08-27	@ Crusaders	L 1-2	35.5	1069	1380	8.14%	16.04%	75.83%	-1.94	-1.8	3
2016-09-03	Ballymena United	D 2-2	59.4	1154	1101	52.18%	21.73%	26.09%	+0.54	-0.9	8
2016-09-03	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 2-2	59.4	1101	1154	26.09%	21.73%	52.18%	-0.54	+0.9	8
2016-09-03	Carrick Rangers	W 4-0	32.2	1067	1043	48.53%	22.02%	29.44%	+0.38	+24.7	6
2016-09-03	@ Portadown	L 0-4	32.2	1043	1067	29.44%	22.02%	48.53%	-0.38	-24.7	4
2016-09-03	Coleraine	L 0-3	32.9	1064	1177	29.88%	22.05%	48.06%	-0.36	-19.1	1
2016-09-03	@ Ballinamallard United	W 3-0	32.9	1177	1064	48.06%	22.05%	29.88%	+0.36	+19.1	11
2016-09-03	Crusaders	L 0-1	32.1	1072	1382	12.49%	18.55%	68.96%	-1.44	-3.1	10
2016-09-03	@ Ards	W 1-0	32.1	1382	1072	68.96%	18.55%	12.49%	+1.44	+3.1	14
2016-09-10	Ballinamallard United	L 0-1	49.1	1274	1045	69.85%	18.27%	11.88%	+1.50	-14.3	10
2016-09-10	@ Glenavon	W 1-0	49.1	1045	1274	11.88%	18.27%	69.85%	-1.50	+14.3	4
2016-09-10	Carrick Rangers	W 2-0	29.7	1196	1018	65.48%	19.52%	15.00%	+1.22	+7.0	14
2016-09-10	@ Coleraine	L 0-2	29.7	1018	1196	15.00%	19.52%	65.48%	-1.22	-7.0	4
2016-09-10	Cliftonville	W 3-2	53.7	1102	1197	32.20%	22.18%	45.61%	-0.26	+8.8	11
2016-09-10	@ Ballymena United	L 2-3	53.7	1197	1102	45.61%	22.18%	32.20%	+0.26	-8.8	7
2016-09-10	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-1	34.7	1385	1154	70.04%	18.20%	11.75%	+1.51	+4.8	17
2016-09-10	@ Crusaders	L 1-3	34.7	1154	1385	11.75%	18.20%	70.04%	-1.51	-4.8	8
2016-09-10	Glentoran	W 2-0	38.6	1069	1137	35.71%	22.29%	42.00%	-0.12	+17.3	13
2016-09-10	@ Ards	L 0-2	38.6	1137	1069	42.00%	22.29%	35.71%	+0.12	-17.3	6
2016-09-10	Portadown	W 4-1	30.7	1375	1092	73.97%	16.80%	9.24%	+1.80	+5.2	12
2016-09-10	@ Linfield	L 1-4	30.7	1092	1375	9.24%	16.80%	73.97%	-1.80	-5.2	6
2016-09-13	Glenavon	D 2-2	59.5	1120	1260	26.66%	21.79%	51.55%	-0.51	+0.9	7
2016-09-13	@ Glentoran	D 2-2	59.5	1260	1120	51.55%	21.79%	26.66%	+0.51	-0.9	11
2016-09-16	Ards	W 2-1	45.5	1059	1086	41.59%	22.30%	36.11%	+0.11	+7.7	7
2016-09-16	@ Ballinamallard United	L 1-2	45.5	1086	1059	36.11%	22.30%	41.59%	-0.11	-7.7	13
2016-09-17	Ballymena United	L 0-2	38.6	1087	1111	41.92%	22.30%	35.79%	+0.12	-17.3	6
2016-09-17	@ Portadown	W 2-0	38.6	1111	1087	35.79%	22.30%	41.92%	-0.12	+17.3	14
2016-09-17	Coleraine	W 1-0	39.8	1188	1203	43.20%	22.27%	34.53%	+0.17	+7.9	10
2016-09-17	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	39.8	1203	1188	34.53%	22.27%	43.20%	-0.17	-7.9	14
2016-09-17	Crusaders	L 1-3	35.9	1121	1390	15.05%	19.53%	65.42%	-1.22	-6.1	7
2016-09-17	@ Glentoran	W 3-1	35.9	1390	1121	65.42%	19.53%	15.05%	+1.22	+6.1	20
2016-09-17	Glenavon	D 1-1	53.6	1149	1259	30.23%	22.08%	47.69%	-0.35	+0.8	9
2016-09-17	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	53.6	1259	1149	47.69%	22.08%	30.23%	+0.35	-0.8	12
2016-09-17	Linfield	L 0-2	27.4	1011	1381	9.50%	16.96%	73.54%	-1.76	-4.4	4
2016-09-17	@ Carrick Rangers	W 2-0	27.4	1381	1011	73.54%	16.96%	9.50%	+1.76	+4.4	15
2016-09-24	Ards	W 4-0	24.5	1385	1078	75.55%	16.15%	8.29%	+1.92	+7.2	18
2016-09-24	@ Linfield	L 0-4	24.5	1078	1385	8.29%	16.15%	75.55%	-1.92	-7.2	13
2016-09-24	Ballinamallard United	W 5-1	28.2	1396	1067	76.98%	15.53%	7.48%	+2.04	+5.3	23
2016-09-24	@ Crusaders	L 1-5	28.2	1067	1396	7.48%	15.53%	76.98%	-2.04	-5.3	7
2016-09-24	Cliftonville	L 0-3	32.3	1069	1196	28.24%	21.93%	49.82%	-0.44	-18.2	6
2016-09-24	@ Portadown	W 3-0	32.3	1196	1069	49.82%	21.93%	28.24%	+0.44	+18.2	13
2016-09-24	Dungannon Swifts	L 0-3	31.7	1007	1150	26.34%	21.76%	51.90%	-0.53	-17.2	4
2016-09-24	@ Carrick Rangers	W 3-0	31.7	1150	1007	51.90%	21.76%	26.34%	+0.53	+17.2	12
2016-09-24	Glenavon	D 2-2	59.5	1195	1258	36.47%	22.31%	41.22%	-0.09	+0.2	15
2016-09-24	@ Coleraine	D 2-2	59.5	1258	1195	41.22%	22.31%	36.47%	+0.09	-0.2	13
2016-09-24	Glentoran	W 4-1	38.5	1128	1114	47.16%	22.11%	30.73%	+0.33	+16.5	17
2016-09-24	@ Ballymena United	L 1-4	38.5	1114	1128	30.73%	22.11%	47.16%	-0.33	-16.5	7
2016-10-01	Ballymena United	D 2-2	59.5	1195	1145	51.86%	21.76%	26.38%	+0.53	-0.9	16
2016-10-01	@ Coleraine	D 2-2	59.5	1145	1195	26.38%	21.76%	51.86%	-0.53	+0.9	18
2016-10-01	Carrick Rangers	W 3-1	38.4	1071	990	55.58%	21.36%	23.07%	+0.70	+9.1	16
2016-10-01	@ Ards	L 1-3	38.4	990	1071	23.07%	21.36%	55.58%	-0.70	-9.1	4
2016-10-01	Cliftonville	W 4-3	47.3	1401	1214	66.31%	19.30%	14.39%	+1.27	+3.1	26
2016-10-01	@ Crusaders	L 3-4	47.3	1214	1401	14.39%	19.30%	66.31%	-1.27	-3.1	13
2016-10-01	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	40.1	1062	1167	30.83%	22.11%	47.06%	-0.32	+19.0	10
2016-10-01	@ Ballinamallard United	L 0-2	40.1	1167	1062	47.06%	22.11%	30.83%	+0.32	-19.0	12
2016-10-01	Linfield	L 1-2	38.1	1098	1392	13.42%	18.93%	67.65%	-1.35	-3.1	7
2016-10-01	@ Glentoran	W 2-1	38.1	1392	1098	67.65%	18.93%	13.42%	+1.35	+3.1	21
2016-10-01	Portadown	W 1-0	32.2	1258	1051	68.01%	18.83%	13.16%	+1.38	+3.3	16
2016-10-01	@ Glenavon	L 0-1	32.2	1051	1258	13.16%	18.83%	68.01%	-1.38	-3.3	6
2016-10-08	Ballinamallard United	D 1-1	53.4	1095	1081	47.18%	22.11%	30.72%	+0.33	-0.8	8
2016-10-08	@ Glentoran	D 1-1	53.4	1081	1095	30.72%	22.11%	47.18%	-0.33	+0.8	11
2016-10-08	Carrick Rangers	W 1-0	31.6	1211	980	69.97%	18.23%	11.80%	+1.51	+2.9	16
2016-10-08	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	31.6	980	1211	11.80%	18.23%	69.97%	-1.51	-2.9	4
2016-10-08	Coleraine	L 1-2	43.5	1080	1194	29.71%	22.04%	48.25%	-0.37	-6.5	16
2016-10-08	@ Ards	W 2-1	43.5	1194	1080	48.25%	22.04%	29.71%	+0.37	+6.5	19
2016-10-08	Portadown	W 6-0	30.9	1148	1048	57.64%	21.07%	21.29%	+0.79	+27.2	15
2016-10-08	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-6	30.9	1048	1148	21.29%	21.07%	57.64%	-0.79	-27.2	6
2016-10-15	Ards	W 2-0	30.8	1214	1074	61.87%	20.33%	17.80%	+1.01	+8.3	19
2016-10-15	@ Cliftonville	L 0-2	30.8	1074	1214	17.80%	20.33%	61.87%	-1.01	-8.3	16
2016-10-15	Ballinamallard United	W 4-0	24.4	1395	1081	76.03%	15.95%	8.02%	+1.96	+6.9	24
2016-10-15	@ Linfield	L 0-4	24.4	1081	1395	8.02%	15.95%	76.03%	-1.96	-6.9	11
2016-10-15	Coleraine	L 0-1	35.7	1021	1201	22.39%	21.25%	56.35%	-0.73	-5.5	6
2016-10-15	@ Portadown	W 1-0	35.7	1201	1021	56.35%	21.25%	22.39%	+0.73	+5.5	22
2016-10-15	Crusaders	W 2-1	53.9	1146	1404	15.80%	19.77%	64.43%	-1.16	+12.6	21
2016-10-15	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	53.9	1404	1146	64.43%	19.77%	15.80%	+1.16	-12.6	26
2016-10-15	Glenavon	D 0-0	50.0	978	1261	14.10%	19.20%	66.71%	-1.29	+3.0	5
2016-10-15	@ Carrick Rangers	D 0-0	50.0	1261	978	66.71%	19.20%	14.10%	+1.29	-3.0	17
2016-10-15	Glentoran	L 0-1	45.7	1175	1094	55.52%	21.36%	23.12%	+0.69	-11.6	15
2016-10-15	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	45.7	1094	1175	23.12%	21.36%	55.52%	-0.69	+11.6	11
2016-10-18	Linfield	W 2-1	52.3	1222	1402	22.41%	21.26%	56.33%	-0.73	+11.1	22
2016-10-18	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	52.3	1402	1222	56.33%	21.26%	22.41%	+0.73	-11.1	24
2016-10-22	Ballymena United	W 5-0	30.3	1258	1158	57.63%	21.07%	21.30%	+0.79	+23.0	20
2016-10-22	@ Glenavon	L 0-5	30.3	1158	1258	21.30%	21.07%	57.63%	-0.79	-22.9	21
2016-10-22	Carrick Rangers	W 3-1	30.7	1392	981	81.74%	13.19%	5.06%	+2.49	+1.9	29
2016-10-22	@ Crusaders	L 1-3	30.7	981	1392	5.06%	13.19%	81.74%	-2.49	-1.9	5
2016-10-22	Cliftonville	W 2-1	49.6	1106	1233	28.09%	21.92%	49.99%	-0.44	+10.0	14
2016-10-22	@ Glentoran	L 1-2	49.6	1233	1106	49.99%	21.92%	28.09%	+0.44	-10.0	22
2016-10-22	Dungannon Swifts	D 3-3	63.5	1065	1163	31.74%	22.16%	46.10%	-0.28	+0.4	17
2016-10-22	@ Ards	D 3-3	63.5	1163	1065	46.10%	22.16%	31.74%	+0.28	-0.4	16
2016-10-22	Linfield	D 1-1	54.6	1206	1391	21.97%	21.19%	56.85%	-0.76	+1.7	23
2016-10-22	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	54.6	1391	1206	56.85%	21.19%	21.97%	+0.76	-1.7	25
2016-10-22	Portadown	L 1-2	50.3	1075	1015	52.94%	21.66%	25.40%	+0.57	-10.5	11
2016-10-22	@ Ballinamallard United	W 2-1	50.3	1015	1075	25.40%	21.66%	52.94%	-0.57	+10.5	9
2016-10-28	Dungannon Swifts	D 2-2	59.5	1208	1163	51.19%	21.82%	26.99%	+0.50	-0.9	24
2016-10-28	@ Coleraine	D 2-2	59.5	1163	1208	26.99%	21.82%	51.19%	-0.50	+0.8	17
2016-10-29	Ards	W 3-1	43.2	1026	1066	39.68%	22.32%	37.99%	+0.03	+13.9	12
2016-10-29	@ Portadown	L 1-3	43.2	1066	1026	37.99%	22.32%	39.68%	-0.03	-13.8	17
2016-10-29	Ballinamallard United	W 4-0	30.5	1135	1064	54.38%	21.50%	24.12%	+0.64	+20.8	24
2016-10-29	@ Ballymena United	L 0-4	30.5	1064	1135	24.12%	21.50%	54.38%	-0.64	-20.8	11
2016-10-29	Crusaders	D 0-0	52.3	1389	1393	44.74%	22.22%	33.04%	+0.23	-0.6	26
2016-10-29	@ Linfield	D 0-0	52.3	1393	1389	33.04%	22.22%	44.74%	-0.23	+0.6	30
2016-10-29	Glenavon	W 3-0	36.5	1223	1281	37.16%	22.32%	40.53%	-0.06	+24.4	25
2016-10-29	@ Cliftonville	L 0-3	36.5	1281	1223	40.53%	22.32%	37.16%	+0.06	-24.4	20
2016-10-29	Glentoran	L 1-2	42.6	979	1116	27.00%	21.82%	51.18%	-0.50	-6.0	5
2016-10-29	@ Carrick Rangers	W 2-1	42.6	1116	979	51.18%	21.82%	27.00%	+0.50	+6.0	17
2016-11-04	Carrick Rangers	L 1-3	47.8	1043	973	54.30%	21.51%	24.19%	+0.64	-18.6	11
2016-11-04	@ Ballinamallard United	W 3-1	47.8	973	1043	24.19%	21.51%	54.30%	-0.64	+18.6	8
2016-11-05	Ballymena United	L 2-4	45.2	1052	1156	30.95%	22.12%	46.93%	-0.32	-10.5	17
2016-11-05	@ Ards	W 4-2	45.2	1156	1052	46.93%	22.12%	30.95%	+0.32	+10.5	27
2016-11-05	Cliftonville	D 1-1	53.6	1164	1248	33.60%	22.24%	44.17%	-0.21	+0.5	18
2016-11-05	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	53.6	1248	1164	44.17%	22.24%	33.60%	+0.21	-0.5	26
2016-11-05	Coleraine	W 1-0	33.6	1394	1207	66.29%	19.31%	14.40%	+1.27	+3.6	33
2016-11-05	@ Crusaders	L 0-1	33.6	1207	1394	14.40%	19.31%	66.29%	-1.27	-3.6	24
2016-11-05	Linfield	D 2-2	60.6	1257	1389	27.54%	21.87%	50.58%	-0.47	+0.8	21
2016-11-05	@ Glenavon	D 2-2	60.6	1389	1257	50.58%	21.87%	27.54%	+0.47	-0.8	27
2016-11-05	Portadown	D 0-0	49.3	1122	1040	55.63%	21.35%	23.02%	+0.70	-1.8	18
2016-11-05	@ Glentoran	D 0-0	49.3	1040	1122	23.02%	21.35%	55.63%	-0.70	+1.8	13
2016-11-08	Crusaders	D 3-3	64.9	1257	1398	26.63%	21.79%	51.59%	-0.51	+0.7	22
2016-11-08	@ Glenavon	D 3-3	64.9	1398	1257	51.59%	21.79%	26.63%	+0.51	-0.7	34
2016-11-08	Linfield	L 1-4	35.0	1167	1388	18.67%	20.54%	60.79%	-0.96	-10.6	27
2016-11-08	@ Ballymena United	W 4-1	35.0	1388	1167	60.79%	20.54%	18.67%	+0.96	+10.6	30
2016-11-12	Ballinamallard United	W 1-0	31.8	1247	1025	69.34%	18.43%	12.23%	+1.46	+3.0	29
2016-11-12	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	31.8	1025	1247	12.23%	18.43%	69.34%	-1.46	-3.0	11
2016-11-12	Carrick Rangers	W 2-0	30.0	1156	991	64.28%	19.81%	15.91%	+1.15	+7.5	30
2016-11-12	@ Ballymena United	L 0-2	30.0	991	1156	15.91%	19.81%	64.28%	-1.15	-7.5	8
2016-11-12	Coleraine	L 0-1	39.4	1120	1204	33.59%	22.24%	44.17%	-0.21	-7.7	18
2016-11-12	@ Glentoran	W 1-0	39.4	1204	1120	44.17%	22.24%	33.59%	+0.21	+7.7	27
2016-11-12	Crusaders	L 0-1	31.0	1041	1397	10.13%	17.35%	72.53%	-1.69	-2.5	13
2016-11-12	@ Portadown	W 1-0	31.0	1397	1041	72.53%	17.35%	10.13%	+1.69	+2.5	37
2016-11-12	Glenavon	L 0-1	34.5	1042	1258	19.07%	20.63%	60.30%	-0.93	-4.7	17
2016-11-12	@ Ards	W 1-0	34.5	1258	1042	60.30%	20.63%	19.07%	+0.93	+4.7	25
2016-11-12	Linfield	L 0-4	28.9	1164	1399	17.61%	20.28%	62.11%	-1.03	-15.6	18
2016-11-12	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 4-0	28.9	1399	1164	62.11%	20.28%	17.61%	+1.03	+15.6	33
2016-11-19	Ards	W 1-0	29.1	1399	1037	79.05%	14.57%	6.38%	+2.23	+1.5	40
2016-11-19	@ Crusaders	L 0-1	29.1	1037	1399	6.38%	14.57%	79.05%	-2.23	-1.5	17
2016-11-19	Ballinamallard United	W 3-1	35.2	1211	1022	66.56%	19.24%	14.20%	+1.29	+5.8	30
2016-11-19	@ Coleraine	L 1-3	35.2	1022	1211	14.20%	19.24%	66.56%	-1.29	-5.8	11
2016-11-19	Cliftonville	L 1-2	54.6	1414	1250	64.21%	19.82%	15.97%	+1.14	-12.5	33
2016-11-19	@ Linfield	W 2-1	54.6	1250	1414	15.97%	19.82%	64.21%	-1.14	+12.5	32
2016-11-19	Dungannon Swifts	L 1-4	43.5	1164	1149	47.27%	22.10%	30.63%	+0.33	-23.4	30
2016-11-19	@ Ballymena United	W 4-1	43.5	1149	1164	30.63%	22.10%	47.27%	-0.33	+23.4	21
2016-11-19	Glentoran	D 1-1	54.2	1263	1112	62.92%	20.11%	16.97%	+1.07	-2.3	26
2016-11-19	@ Glenavon	D 1-1	54.2	1112	1263	16.97%	20.11%	62.92%	-1.07	+2.3	19
2016-11-19	Portadown	D 1-1	53.3	984	1039	37.53%	22.32%	40.15%	-0.05	+0.1	9
2016-11-19	@ Carrick Rangers	D 1-1	53.3	1039	984	40.15%	22.32%	37.53%	+0.05	-0.1	14
2016-11-26	Ards	W 1-0	36.0	1115	1035	55.30%	21.39%	23.31%	+0.68	+5.6	22
2016-11-26	@ Glentoran	L 0-1	36.0	1035	1115	23.31%	21.39%	55.30%	-0.68	-5.6	17
2016-11-26	Ballymena United	W 2-0	31.4	1263	1140	60.08%	20.67%	19.25%	+0.92	+8.9	35
2016-11-26	@ Cliftonville	L 0-2	31.4	1140	1263	19.25%	20.67%	60.08%	-0.92	-8.9	30
2016-11-26	Coleraine	W 2-0	44.0	984	1217	17.69%	20.31%	62.00%	-1.02	+24.3	12
2016-11-26	@ Carrick Rangers	L 0-2	44.0	1217	984	62.00%	20.31%	17.69%	+1.02	-24.3	30
2016-11-26	Crusaders	L 0-1	34.8	1172	1401	18.05%	20.40%	61.55%	-1.00	-4.5	21
2016-11-26	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	34.8	1401	1172	61.55%	20.40%	18.05%	+1.00	+4.5	43
2016-11-26	Linfield	L 0-5	25.7	1039	1402	9.79%	17.14%	73.07%	-1.73	-10.6	14
2016-11-26	@ Portadown	W 5-0	25.7	1402	1039	73.07%	17.14%	9.79%	+1.73	+10.6	36
2016-12-02	Ballinamallard United	D 3-3	63.4	1030	1016	47.16%	22.11%	30.74%	+0.33	-0.5	18
2016-12-02	@ Ards	D 3-3	63.4	1016	1030	30.74%	22.11%	47.16%	-0.33	+0.5	12
2016-12-02	Cliftonville	L 0-1	39.8	1193	1272	34.27%	22.26%	43.47%	-0.18	-7.8	30
2016-12-02	@ Coleraine	W 1-0	39.8	1272	1193	43.47%	22.26%	34.27%	+0.18	+7.8	38
2016-12-02	Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	46.2	1261	1168	56.87%	21.18%	21.95%	+0.76	-11.9	26
2016-12-02	@ Glenavon	W 1-0	46.2	1168	1261	21.95%	21.18%	56.87%	-0.76	+11.9	24
2016-12-03	Carrick Rangers	W 3-0	23.0	1412	1008	81.38%	13.39%	5.23%	+2.45	+3.3	39
2016-12-03	@ Linfield	L 0-3	23.0	1008	1412	5.23%	13.39%	81.38%	-2.45	-3.3	12
2016-12-03	Glentoran	D 2-2	61.4	1405	1120	74.08%	16.75%	9.16%	+1.80	-2.5	44
2016-12-03	@ Crusaders	D 2-2	61.4	1120	1405	9.16%	16.75%	74.08%	-1.80	+2.5	23
2016-12-03	Portadown	W 2-0	31.9	1131	1028	57.99%	21.02%	20.99%	+0.81	+9.7	33
2016-12-03	@ Ballymena United	L 0-2	31.9	1028	1131	20.99%	21.02%	57.99%	-0.81	-9.7	14
2016-12-10	Ballymena United	L 2-3	52.9	1123	1141	42.77%	22.28%	34.95%	+0.15	-8.3	23
2016-12-10	@ Glentoran	W 3-2	52.9	1141	1123	34.95%	22.28%	42.77%	-0.15	+8.3	36
2016-12-10	Carrick Rangers	W 3-1	35.6	1180	1005	65.20%	19.59%	15.22%	+1.20	+6.2	27
2016-12-10	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 1-3	35.6	1005	1180	15.22%	19.59%	65.20%	-1.20	-6.2	12
2016-12-10	Coleraine	W 1-0	36.8	1249	1185	53.45%	21.61%	24.94%	+0.60	+6.0	29
2016-12-10	@ Glenavon	L 0-1	36.8	1185	1249	24.94%	21.61%	53.45%	-0.60	-6.0	30
2016-12-10	Crusaders	L 0-1	30.3	1016	1403	8.77%	16.49%	74.74%	-1.86	-2.1	12
2016-12-10	@ Ballinamallard United	W 1-0	30.3	1403	1016	74.74%	16.49%	8.77%	+1.86	+2.1	47
2016-12-10	Linfield	L 0-2	27.1	1029	1416	8.78%	16.50%	74.72%	-1.85	-4.0	18
2016-12-10	@ Ards	W 2-0	27.1	1416	1029	74.72%	16.50%	8.78%	+1.85	+4.0	42
2016-12-10	Portadown	W 1-0	30.9	1279	1019	72.33%	17.42%	10.25%	+1.67	+2.5	41
2016-12-10	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	30.9	1019	1279	10.25%	17.42%	72.33%	-1.67	-2.5	14
2016-12-17	Ards	D 1-1	54.1	1179	1025	63.24%	20.04%	16.72%	+1.09	-2.3	31
2016-12-17	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	54.1	1025	1179	16.72%	20.04%	63.24%	-1.09	+2.3	19
2016-12-17	Ballymena United	W 2-1	36.8	1420	1149	73.02%	17.16%	9.81%	+1.72	+2.3	45
2016-12-17	@ Linfield	L 1-2	36.8	1149	1420	9.81%	17.16%	73.02%	-1.72	-2.3	36
2016-12-17	Cliftonville	L 0-3	27.3	999	1282	14.11%	19.20%	66.69%	-1.29	-9.6	12
2016-12-17	@ Carrick Rangers	W 3-0	27.3	1282	999	66.69%	19.20%	14.11%	+1.29	+9.6	44
2016-12-17	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	42.3	1016	1186	23.46%	21.41%	55.13%	-0.67	+21.8	17
2016-12-17	@ Portadown	L 0-2	42.3	1186	1016	55.13%	21.41%	23.46%	+0.67	-21.8	27
2016-12-17	Glenavon	W 3-1	37.7	1405	1255	62.90%	20.12%	16.98%	+1.07	+6.9	50
2016-12-17	@ Crusaders	L 1-3	37.7	1255	1405	16.98%	20.12%	62.90%	-1.07	-6.9	29
2016-12-17	Glentoran	W 2-1	48.5	1014	1114	31.46%	22.15%	46.40%	-0.30	+9.4	15
2016-12-17	@ Ballinamallard United	L 1-2	48.5	1114	1014	46.40%	22.15%	31.46%	+0.30	-9.4	23
2016-12-26	Ards	D 1-1	53.3	989	1028	39.92%	22.32%	37.76%	+0.04	-0.1	13
2016-12-26	@ Carrick Rangers	D 1-1	53.3	1028	989	37.76%	22.32%	39.92%	-0.04	+0.1	20
2016-12-26	Ballinamallard United	W 3-2	44.7	1164	1024	61.91%	20.32%	17.77%	+1.02	+3.9	30
2016-12-26	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 2-3	44.7	1024	1164	17.77%	20.32%	61.91%	-1.02	-3.9	15
2016-12-26	Coleraine	W 2-0	37.0	1147	1177	41.14%	22.31%	36.55%	+0.09	+15.5	39
2016-12-26	@ Ballymena United	L 0-2	37.0	1177	1147	36.55%	22.31%	41.14%	-0.09	-15.5	31
2016-12-26	Crusaders	L 0-4	34.0	1292	1412	28.95%	21.99%	49.06%	-0.41	-24.3	44
2016-12-26	@ Cliftonville	W 4-0	34.0	1412	1292	49.06%	21.99%	28.95%	+0.41	+24.3	53
2016-12-26	Glenavon	D 2-2	59.7	1038	1248	19.64%	20.75%	59.60%	-0.89	+1.5	18
2016-12-26	@ Portadown	D 2-2	59.7	1248	1038	59.60%	20.75%	19.64%	+0.89	-1.5	30
2016-12-26	Glentoran	D 1-1	55.8	1422	1105	76.23%	15.86%	7.91%	+1.98	-3.5	46
2016-12-26	@ Linfield	D 1-1	55.8	1105	1422	7.91%	15.86%	76.23%	-1.98	+3.5	24
2016-12-30	Cliftonville	D 2-2	59.7	1246	1267	42.40%	22.29%	35.31%	+0.14	-0.2	31
2016-12-30	@ Glenavon	D 2-2	59.7	1267	1246	35.31%	22.29%	42.40%	-0.14	+0.2	45
2016-12-30	Portadown	W 1-0	39.8	1020	1039	42.57%	22.28%	35.15%	+0.14	+8.0	18
2016-12-30	@ Ballinamallard United	L 0-1	39.8	1039	1020	35.15%	22.28%	42.57%	-0.14	-8.0	18
2016-12-31	Ballymena United	W 4-2	51.1	1028	1162	27.24%	21.85%	50.91%	-0.48	+15.8	23
2016-12-31	@ Ards	L 2-4	51.1	1162	1028	50.91%	21.85%	27.24%	+0.48	-15.8	39
2016-12-31	Carrick Rangers	W 2-0	29.8	1161	989	64.98%	19.64%	15.38%	+1.19	+7.2	34
2016-12-31	@ Coleraine	L 0-2	29.8	989	1161	15.38%	19.64%	64.98%	-1.19	-7.2	13
2016-12-31	Dungannon Swifts	D 2-2	59.3	1108	1168	36.92%	22.31%	40.76%	-0.07	+0.1	25
2016-12-31	@ Glentoran	D 2-2	59.3	1168	1108	40.76%	22.31%	36.92%	+0.07	-0.1	31
2016-12-31	Linfield	L 1-2	53.9	1436	1418	47.68%	22.08%	30.24%	+0.35	-9.6	53
2016-12-31	@ Crusaders	W 2-1	53.9	1418	1436	30.24%	22.08%	47.68%	-0.35	+9.6	49
2017-01-03	Ballinamallard United	D 2-2	59.8	1168	1028	61.88%	20.33%	17.79%	+1.01	-1.6	32
2017-01-03	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 2-2	59.8	1028	1168	17.79%	20.33%	61.88%	-1.01	+1.6	19
2017-01-03	Carrick Rangers	D 0-0	50.8	1267	982	74.12%	16.74%	9.14%	+1.81	-3.7	46
2017-01-03	@ Cliftonville	D 0-0	50.8	982	1267	9.14%	16.74%	74.12%	-1.81	+3.7	14
2017-01-03	Coleraine	L 0-1	50.3	1428	1168	72.22%	17.46%	10.32%	+1.66	-14.7	49
2017-01-03	@ Linfield	W 1-0	50.3	1168	1428	10.32%	17.46%	72.22%	-1.66	+14.7	37
2017-01-03	Crusaders	L 2-4	37.3	1043	1427	8.91%	16.58%	74.51%	-1.84	-3.2	23
2017-01-03	@ Ards	W 4-2	37.3	1427	1043	74.51%	16.58%	8.91%	+1.84	+3.2	56
2017-01-03	Glenavon	L 3-4	52.5	1147	1246	31.56%	22.15%	46.29%	-0.29	-6.4	39
2017-01-03	@ Ballymena United	W 4-3	52.5	1246	1147	46.29%	22.15%	31.56%	+0.29	+6.4	34
2017-01-03	Glentoran	L 0-5	34.4	1031	1109	34.48%	22.27%	43.26%	-0.17	-34.6	18
2017-01-03	@ Portadown	W 5-0	34.4	1109	1031	43.26%	22.27%	34.48%	+0.17	+34.6	28
2017-01-13	Ballinamallard United	L 1-2	46.4	985	1029	39.16%	22.32%	38.51%	+0.01	-8.2	14
2017-01-13	@ Carrick Rangers	W 2-1	46.4	1029	985	38.51%	22.32%	39.16%	-0.01	+8.2	22
2017-01-14	Ards	W 2-1	37.2	1264	1040	69.42%	18.40%	12.17%	+1.47	+2.8	49
2017-01-14	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	37.2	1040	1264	12.17%	18.40%	69.42%	-1.47	-2.9	23
2017-01-14	Crusaders	L 0-3	27.9	1143	1430	13.89%	19.12%	66.99%	-1.31	-9.5	28
2017-01-14	@ Glentoran	W 3-0	27.9	1430	1143	66.99%	19.12%	13.89%	+1.31	+9.5	59
2017-01-14	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-2	50.9	1140	1166	41.72%	22.30%	35.98%	+0.11	+7.3	42
2017-01-14	@ Ballymena United	L 2-3	50.9	1166	1140	35.98%	22.30%	41.72%	-0.11	-7.3	32
2017-01-14	Linfield	L 1-2	43.2	1252	1413	24.37%	21.53%	54.09%	-0.63	-5.5	34
2017-01-14	@ Glenavon	W 2-1	43.2	1413	1252	54.09%	21.53%	24.37%	+0.63	+5.5	52
2017-01-14	Portadown	W 4-2	39.4	1183	997	66.26%	19.31%	14.42%	+1.27	+5.2	40
2017-01-14	@ Coleraine	L 2-4	39.4	997	1183	14.42%	19.31%	66.26%	-1.27	-5.2	18
2017-01-17	Glenavon	D 1-1	53.9	1037	1247	19.68%	20.76%	59.56%	-0.89	+1.9	23
2017-01-17	@ Ballinamallard United	D 1-1	53.9	1247	1037	59.56%	20.76%	19.68%	+0.89	-2.0	35
2017-01-20	Glentoran	L 1-3	41.4	1037	1134	31.95%	22.17%	45.88%	-0.27	-12.0	23
2017-01-20	@ Ards	W 3-1	41.4	1134	1037	45.88%	22.17%	31.95%	+0.27	+12.1	31
2017-01-21	Ballymena United	W 2-0	28.1	1419	1148	73.09%	17.14%	9.78%	+1.73	+4.5	55
2017-01-21	@ Linfield	L 0-2	28.1	1148	1419	9.78%	17.14%	73.09%	-1.73	-4.5	42
2017-01-21	Cliftonville	W 1-0	35.0	1439	1267	65.01%	19.63%	15.36%	+1.19	+3.8	62
2017-01-21	@ Crusaders	L 0-1	35.0	1267	1439	15.36%	19.63%	65.01%	-1.19	-3.8	49
2017-01-21	Coleraine	L 1-2	42.2	1039	1188	25.64%	21.69%	52.68%	-0.56	-5.8	23
2017-01-21	@ Ballinamallard United	W 2-1	42.2	1188	1039	52.68%	21.69%	25.64%	+0.56	+5.8	43
2017-01-21	Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	35.6	977	1159	22.27%	21.24%	56.49%	-0.74	-5.4	14
2017-01-21	@ Carrick Rangers	W 1-0	35.6	1159	977	56.49%	21.24%	22.27%	+0.74	+5.4	35
2017-01-21	Glenavon	L 1-2	38.8	991	1245	16.15%	19.88%	63.97%	-1.13	-3.8	18
2017-01-21	@ Portadown	W 2-1	38.8	1245	991	63.97%	19.88%	16.15%	+1.13	+3.8	38
2017-01-28	Ards	W 3-1	35.7	1194	1025	64.66%	19.72%	15.62%	+1.17	+6.3	46
2017-01-28	@ Coleraine	L 1-3	35.7	1025	1194	15.62%	19.72%	64.66%	-1.17	-6.3	23
2017-01-28	Ballinamallard United	L 0-1	46.5	1146	1034	58.99%	20.86%	20.16%	+0.86	-12.3	31
2017-01-28	@ Glentoran	W 1-0	46.5	1034	1146	20.16%	20.86%	58.99%	-0.86	+12.3	26
2017-01-28	Carrick Rangers	W 3-1	35.6	1143	972	64.88%	19.67%	15.46%	+1.18	+6.3	45
2017-01-28	@ Ballymena United	L 1-3	35.6	972	1143	15.46%	19.67%	64.88%	-1.18	-6.3	14
2017-01-28	Crusaders	L 0-1	36.9	1249	1443	21.05%	21.03%	57.92%	-0.81	-5.2	38
2017-01-28	@ Glenavon	W 1-0	36.9	1443	1249	57.92%	21.03%	21.05%	+0.81	+5.2	65
2017-01-28	Linfield	L 1-4	34.1	1164	1423	15.75%	19.76%	64.50%	-1.16	-9.0	35
2017-01-28	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 4-1	34.1	1423	1164	64.50%	19.76%	15.75%	+1.16	+9.0	58
2017-01-28	Portadown	W 3-0	25.3	1263	988	73.37%	17.03%	9.60%	+1.75	+6.4	52
2017-01-28	@ Cliftonville	L 0-3	25.3	988	1263	9.60%	17.03%	73.37%	-1.75	-6.4	18
2017-02-04	Carrick Rangers	L 0-4	39.0	1019	966	52.21%	21.73%	26.06%	+0.54	-39.4	23
2017-02-04	@ Ards	W 4-0	39.0	966	1019	26.06%	21.73%	52.21%	-0.54	+39.4	17
2017-02-11	Ards	L 0-3	37.5	981	980	45.52%	22.19%	32.29%	+0.26	-26.8	18
2017-02-11	@ Portadown	W 3-0	37.5	980	981	32.29%	22.19%	45.52%	-0.26	+26.8	26
2017-02-11	Ballymena United	W 2-1	36.4	1448	1149	75.03%	16.37%	8.60%	+1.88	+2.0	68
2017-02-11	@ Crusaders	L 1-2	36.4	1149	1448	8.60%	16.37%	75.03%	-1.88	-2.0	45
2017-02-11	Cliftonville	W 1-0	47.1	1046	1269	18.50%	20.50%	61.00%	-0.97	+12.7	29
2017-02-11	@ Ballinamallard United	L 0-1	47.1	1269	1046	61.00%	20.50%	18.50%	+0.97	-12.7	52
2017-02-11	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	42.7	1201	1155	51.22%	21.82%	26.96%	+0.50	+6.0	49
2017-02-11	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	42.7	1155	1201	26.96%	21.82%	51.22%	-0.50	-6.0	35
2017-02-11	Glenavon	D 0-0	49.3	1133	1244	30.20%	22.07%	47.73%	-0.35	+0.9	32
2017-02-11	@ Glentoran	D 0-0	49.3	1244	1133	47.73%	22.07%	30.20%	+0.35	-0.9	39
2017-02-11	Linfield	L 0-2	26.3	1005	1432	7.25%	15.34%	77.41%	-2.08	-3.3	17
2017-02-11	@ Carrick Rangers	W 2-0	26.3	1432	1005	77.41%	15.34%	7.25%	+2.08	+3.2	61
2017-02-17	Ballinamallard United	W 3-0	27.5	1243	1059	66.06%	19.37%	14.58%	+1.25	+9.9	42
2017-02-17	@ Glenavon	L 0-3	27.5	1059	1243	14.58%	19.37%	66.06%	-1.25	-9.9	29
2017-02-17	Crusaders	L 1-2	38.4	1149	1450	13.01%	18.77%	68.22%	-1.39	-3.0	35
2017-02-17	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	38.4	1450	1149	68.22%	18.77%	13.01%	+1.39	+3.0	71
2017-02-17	Glentoran	D 1-1	54.0	1257	1134	60.05%	20.68%	19.28%	+0.92	-2.0	53
2017-02-17	@ Cliftonville	D 1-1	54.0	1134	1257	19.28%	20.68%	60.05%	-0.92	+2.0	33
2017-02-17	Portadown	D 1-1	56.8	1436	954	85.11%	11.29%	3.60%	+2.87	-4.0	62
2017-02-17	@ Linfield	D 1-1	56.8	954	1436	3.60%	11.29%	85.11%	-2.87	+4.0	19
2017-02-25	Ards	D 3-3	64.0	1146	1006	61.85%	20.34%	17.82%	+1.01	-1.4	36
2017-02-25	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 3-3	64.0	1006	1146	17.82%	20.34%	61.85%	-1.01	+1.4	27
2017-02-25	Ballymena United	L 1-2	44.1	1049	1147	31.63%	22.15%	46.21%	-0.29	-6.9	29
2017-02-25	@ Ballinamallard United	W 2-1	44.1	1147	1049	46.21%	22.15%	31.63%	+0.29	+6.9	48
2017-02-25	Coleraine	D 0-0	49.5	1255	1207	51.54%	21.79%	26.67%	+0.51	-1.3	54
2017-02-25	@ Cliftonville	D 0-0	49.5	1207	1255	26.67%	21.79%	51.54%	-0.51	+1.3	50
2017-02-25	Crusaders	D 1-1	56.2	958	1453	5.27%	13.43%	81.30%	-2.45	+3.8	20
2017-02-25	@ Portadown	D 1-1	56.2	1453	958	81.30%	13.43%	5.27%	+2.45	-3.8	72
2017-02-25	Glenavon	D 0-0	49.8	1002	1253	16.35%	19.94%	63.71%	-1.12	+2.6	18
2017-02-25	@ Carrick Rangers	D 0-0	49.8	1253	1002	63.71%	19.94%	16.35%	+1.12	-2.6	43
2017-02-25	Linfield	L 0-1	32.9	1136	1432	13.36%	18.91%	67.73%	-1.36	-3.3	33
2017-02-25	@ Glentoran	W 1-0	32.9	1432	1136	67.73%	18.91%	13.36%	+1.36	+3.3	65
2017-03-10	Ballinamallard United	W 2-0	37.1	1008	1042	40.55%	22.32%	37.13%	+0.07	+15.7	30
2017-03-10	@ Ards	L 0-2	37.1	1042	1008	37.13%	22.32%	40.55%	-0.07	-15.7	29
2017-03-11	Carrick Rangers	W 3-0	22.5	1449	1004	83.44%	12.26%	4.30%	+2.68	+2.6	75
2017-03-11	@ Crusaders	L 0-3	22.5	1004	1449	4.30%	12.26%	83.44%	-2.68	-2.6	18
2017-03-11	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	32.0	1250	1145	58.23%	20.98%	20.79%	+0.82	+9.6	46
2017-03-11	@ Glenavon	L 0-2	32.0	1145	1250	20.79%	20.98%	58.23%	-0.82	-9.6	36
2017-03-11	Glentoran	W 2-0	32.9	1208	1133	54.80%	21.45%	23.75%	+0.66	+10.8	53
2017-03-11	@ Coleraine	L 0-2	32.9	1133	1208	23.75%	21.45%	54.80%	-0.66	-10.8	33
2017-03-11	Portadown	W 3-0	27.2	1154	962	66.75%	19.18%	14.06%	+1.30	+9.6	51
2017-03-11	@ Ballymena United	L 0-3	27.2	962	1154	14.06%	19.18%	66.75%	-1.30	-9.6	20
2017-03-13	Cliftonville	W 2-0	31.3	1435	1253	65.83%	19.43%	14.74%	+1.24	+6.9	68
2017-03-13	@ Linfield	L 0-2	31.3	1253	1435	14.74%	19.43%	65.83%	-1.24	-6.9	54
2017-03-18	Ards	W 5-1	26.7	1442	1023	82.12%	12.99%	4.89%	+2.53	+3.3	71
2017-03-18	@ Linfield	L 1-5	26.7	1023	1442	4.89%	12.99%	82.12%	-2.53	-3.3	30
2017-03-18	Cliftonville	D 2-2	59.4	1135	1246	30.08%	22.07%	47.86%	-0.36	+0.6	37
2017-03-18	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 2-2	59.4	1246	1135	47.86%	22.07%	30.08%	+0.36	-0.6	55
2017-03-18	Coleraine	L 1-2	50.1	1260	1219	50.65%	21.87%	27.48%	+0.47	-10.1	46
2017-03-18	@ Glenavon	W 2-1	50.1	1219	1260	27.48%	21.87%	50.65%	-0.47	+10.1	56
2017-03-18	Glentoran	L 2-4	51.1	1164	1122	50.75%	21.86%	27.39%	+0.48	-15.7	51
2017-03-18	@ Ballymena United	W 4-2	51.1	1122	1164	27.39%	21.86%	50.75%	-0.48	+15.7	36
2017-03-18	Portadown	W 3-2	47.8	1002	953	51.68%	21.78%	26.54%	+0.52	+5.7	21
2017-03-18	@ Carrick Rangers	L 2-3	47.8	953	1002	26.54%	21.78%	51.68%	-0.52	-5.6	20
2017-03-20	Ballinamallard United	W 3-1	30.7	1452	1026	82.51%	12.78%	4.71%	+2.57	+1.7	78
2017-03-20	@ Crusaders	L 1-3	30.7	1026	1452	4.71%	12.78%	82.51%	-2.57	-1.7	29
2017-03-21	Coleraine	D 1-1	53.5	1148	1229	34.01%	22.25%	43.74%	-0.19	+0.4	52
2017-03-21	@ Ballymena United	D 1-1	53.5	1229	1148	43.74%	22.25%	34.01%	+0.19	-0.4	57
2017-03-24	Carrick Rangers	W 1-0	34.3	1138	1007	60.91%	20.52%	18.58%	+0.96	+4.6	39
2017-03-24	@ Glentoran	L 0-1	34.3	1007	1138	18.58%	20.52%	60.91%	-0.96	-4.6	21
2017-03-25	Ballymena United	W 2-1	40.9	1246	1149	57.34%	21.12%	21.55%	+0.78	+5.0	58
2017-03-25	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	40.9	1149	1246	21.55%	21.12%	57.34%	-0.78	-5.0	52
2017-03-25	Crusaders	W 1-0	48.7	1228	1454	18.33%	20.46%	61.21%	-0.98	+12.7	60
2017-03-25	@ Coleraine	L 0-1	48.7	1454	1228	61.21%	20.46%	18.33%	+0.98	-12.7	78
2017-03-25	Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	35.3	947	1136	21.58%	21.12%	57.30%	-0.78	-5.3	20
2017-03-25	@ Portadown	W 1-0	35.3	1136	947	57.30%	21.12%	21.58%	+0.78	+5.3	40
2017-03-25	Glenavon	W 1-0	47.2	1020	1249	18.01%	20.38%	61.61%	-1.00	+12.8	33
2017-03-25	@ Ards	L 0-1	47.2	1249	1020	61.61%	20.38%	18.01%	+1.00	-12.8	46
2017-03-25	Linfield	L 1-2	35.2	1024	1445	7.48%	15.52%	77.00%	-2.04	-1.7	29
2017-03-25	@ Ballinamallard United	W 2-1	35.2	1445	1024	77.00%	15.52%	7.48%	+2.04	+1.7	74

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2017-04-08	Ballymena United	W 3-0	30.3	1237	1144	56.88%	21.18%	21.94%	+0.76	+14.6	3
2017-04-08	@ Glenavon	L 0-3	30.3	1144	1237	21.94%	21.18%	56.88%	-0.76	-14.6	0
2017-04-08	Carrick Rangers	W 2-1	46.9	942	1003	36.70%	22.31%	40.99%	-0.08	+8.5	3
2017-04-08	@ Portadown	L 1-2	46.9	1003	942	40.99%	22.31%	36.70%	+0.08	-8.5	0
2017-04-08	Cliftonville	W 2-0	36.5	1241	1251	43.98%	22.24%	33.77%	+0.20	+14.6	3
2017-04-08	@ Coleraine	L 0-2	36.5	1251	1241	33.77%	22.24%	43.98%	-0.20	-14.6	0
2017-04-08	Crusaders	W 1-0	44.7	1447	1441	46.07%	22.16%	31.77%	+0.28	+7.4	3
2017-04-08	@ Linfield	L 0-1	44.7	1441	1447	31.77%	22.16%	46.07%	-0.28	-7.3	0
2017-04-08	Dungannon Swifts	W 4-1	43.4	1033	1141	30.45%	22.09%	47.46%	-0.34	+23.4	3
2017-04-08	@ Ards	L 1-4	43.4	1141	1033	47.46%	22.09%	30.45%	+0.34	-23.4	0
2017-04-08	Glentoran	W 3-0	38.5	1023	1142	29.00%	21.99%	49.00%	-0.40	+28.6	3
2017-04-08	@ Ballinamallard United	L 0-3	38.5	1142	1023	49.00%	21.99%	29.00%	+0.40	-28.6	0
2017-04-14	Ballinamallard United	W 1-0	43.1	950	1051	31.37%	22.14%	46.49%	-0.30	+10.0	6
2017-04-14	@ Portadown	L 0-1	43.1	1051	950	46.49%	22.14%	31.37%	+0.30	-10.0	3
2017-04-15	Ards	D 2-2	59.2	994	1056	36.57%	22.31%	41.12%	-0.09	+0.2	1
2017-04-15	@ Carrick Rangers	D 2-2	59.2	1056	994	41.12%	22.31%	36.57%	+0.09	-0.1	4
2017-04-15	Crusaders	L 2-3	47.3	1236	1434	20.75%	20.97%	58.28%	-0.83	-4.5	0
2017-04-15	@ Cliftonville	W 3-2	47.3	1434	1236	58.28%	20.97%	20.75%	+0.83	+4.5	3
2017-04-15	Glenavon	D 1-1	53.9	1256	1251	45.88%	22.17%	31.95%	+0.27	-0.6	4
2017-04-15	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	53.9	1251	1256	31.95%	22.17%	45.88%	-0.27	+0.7	4
2017-04-15	Glentoran	W 2-1	44.3	1118	1114	45.79%	22.17%	32.04%	+0.27	+7.0	3
2017-04-15	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	44.3	1114	1118	32.04%	22.17%	45.79%	-0.27	-7.0	0
2017-04-15	Linfield	L 0-2	29.0	1129	1454	11.65%	18.15%	70.20%	-1.52	-5.4	0
2017-04-15	@ Ballymena United	W 2-0	29.0	1454	1129	70.20%	18.15%	11.65%	+1.52	+5.4	6
2017-04-18	Cliftonville	W 4-1	43.6	1124	1232	30.47%	22.09%	47.44%	-0.34	+23.4	3
2017-04-18	@ Ballymena United	L 1-4	43.6	1232	1124	47.44%	22.09%	30.47%	+0.34	-23.4	0
2017-04-18	Coleraine	W 3-2	45.3	1438	1255	65.97%	19.39%	14.64%	+1.25	+3.2	6
2017-04-18	@ Crusaders	L 2-3	45.3	1255	1438	14.64%	19.39%	65.97%	-1.25	-3.2	4
2017-04-18	Dungannon Swifts	L 1-4	39.3	1041	1125	33.64%	22.24%	44.12%	-0.20	-17.8	3
2017-04-18	@ Ballinamallard United	W 4-1	39.3	1125	1041	44.12%	22.24%	33.64%	+0.20	+17.8	6
2017-04-18	Glenavon	W 3-0	28.8	1460	1252	68.10%	18.80%	13.09%	+1.38	+8.9	9
2017-04-18	@ Linfield	L 0-3	28.8	1252	1460	13.09%	18.80%	68.10%	-1.38	-8.9	4
2017-04-18	Glentoran	L 1-2	43.5	995	1107	29.92%	22.06%	48.03%	-0.36	-6.6	1
2017-04-18	@ Carrick Rangers	W 2-1	43.5	1107	995	48.03%	22.06%	29.92%	+0.36	+6.6	3
2017-04-18	Portadown	W 3-2	46.1	1056	960	57.20%	21.13%	21.66%	+0.77	+4.7	7
2017-04-18	@ Ards	L 2-3	46.1	960	1056	21.66%	21.13%	57.20%	-0.77	-4.7	6
2017-04-21	Ards	L 2-3	52.0	1023	1061	40.05%	22.32%	37.63%	+0.05	-7.9	3
2017-04-21	@ Ballinamallard United	W 3-2	52.0	1061	1023	37.63%	22.32%	40.05%	-0.05	+7.9	10
2017-04-22	Carrick Rangers	W 4-0	27.8	1142	988	63.29%	20.03%	16.68%	+1.09	+14.8	9
2017-04-22	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-4	27.8	988	1142	16.68%	20.03%	63.29%	-1.09	-14.8	1
2017-04-22	Crusaders	W 3-0	44.1	1147	1442	13.40%	18.93%	67.67%	-1.35	+38.1	6
2017-04-22	@ Ballymena United	L 0-3	44.1	1442	1147	67.67%	18.93%	13.40%	+1.35	-38.1	6
2017-04-22	Glenavon	L 1-3	44.2	1208	1243	40.42%	22.32%	37.26%	+0.06	-14.5	0
2017-04-22	@ Cliftonville	W 3-1	44.2	1243	1208	37.26%	22.32%	40.42%	-0.06	+14.5	7
2017-04-22	Linfield	L 1-5	35.0	1252	1468	19.06%	20.63%	60.31%	-0.93	-14.0	4
2017-04-22	@ Coleraine	W 5-1	35.0	1468	1252	60.31%	20.63%	19.06%	+0.93	+14.0	12
2017-04-22	Portadown	W 3-0	28.1	1114	956	63.63%	19.96%	16.41%	+1.11	+11.2	6
2017-04-22	@ Glentoran	L 0-3	28.1	956	1114	16.41%	19.96%	63.63%	-1.11	-11.1	6
2017-04-29	Ards	D 1-1	53.6	1125	1069	52.52%	21.70%	25.78%	+0.56	-1.3	7
2017-04-29	@ Glentoran	D 1-1	53.6	1069	1125	25.78%	21.70%	52.52%	-0.56	+1.3	11
2017-04-29	Ballymena United	D 1-1	53.8	1238	1185	52.13%	21.74%	26.13%	+0.54	-1.2	5
2017-04-29	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	53.8	1185	1238	26.13%	21.74%	52.13%	-0.54	+1.2	7
2017-04-29	Carrick Rangers	W 4-1	37.3	1016	973	50.84%	21.85%	27.30%	+0.48	+15.0	6
2017-04-29	@ Ballinamallard United	L 1-4	37.3	973	1016	27.30%	21.85%	50.84%	-0.48	-15.0	1
2017-04-29	Glenavon	W 6-1	32.9	1403	1258	62.45%	20.21%	17.34%	+1.05	+15.7	9
2017-04-29	@ Crusaders	L 1-6	32.9	1258	1403	17.34%	20.21%	62.45%	-1.05	-15.7	7
2017-04-29	Linfield	L 1-3	36.5	1194	1482	13.75%	19.07%	67.18%	-1.32	-5.6	0
2017-04-29	@ Cliftonville	W 3-1	36.5	1482	1194	67.18%	19.07%	13.75%	+1.32	+5.6	15
2017-04-29	Portadown	W 2-0	28.7	1157	944	68.53%	18.68%	12.79%	+1.41	+6.0	12
2017-04-29	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-2	28.7	944	1157	12.79%	18.68%	68.53%	-1.41	-6.0	6

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2017-01-03	10.32%	Coleraine	1168	1	@ Linfield	1428	0
2	2016-09-10	11.88%	Ballinamallard United	1045	1	@ Glenavon	1274	0
3	2017-04-22	13.40%	@ Ballymena United	1147	3	Crusaders	1442	0
4	2016-10-15	15.80%	@ Ballymena United	1146	2	Crusaders	1404	1
5	2016-11-19	15.97%	Cliftonville	1250	2	@ Linfield	1414	1
6	2016-11-26	17.69%	@ Carrick Rangers	984	2	Coleraine	1217	0
7	2017-03-25	18.01%	@ Ards	1020	1	Glenavon	1249	0
8	2017-03-25	18.33%	@ Coleraine	1228	1	Crusaders	1454	0
9	2017-02-11	18.50%	@ Ballinamallard United	1046	1	Cliftonville	1269	0
10	2017-01-28	20.16%	Ballinamallard United	1034	1	@ Glentoran	1146	0
11	2016-08-13	20.79%	Carrick Rangers	1053	1	@ Glentoran	1158	0
12	2016-12-02	21.95%	Dungannon Swifts	1168	1	@ Glenavon	1261	0
13	2016-10-18	22.41%	@ Cliftonville	1222	2	Linfield	1402	1
14	2016-10-15	23.12%	Glentoran	1094	1	@ Dungannon Swifts	1175	0
15	2016-12-17	23.46%	@ Portadown	1016	2	Dungannon Swifts	1186	0
16	2016-11-04	24.19%	Carrick Rangers	973	3	@ Ballinamallard United	1043	1
17	2016-08-10	24.25%	Ards	1047	2	@ Dungannon Swifts	1117	1
18	2016-08-20	25.36%	Dungannon Swifts	1141	2	@ Cliftonville	1201	1
19	2016-10-22	25.40%	Portadown	1015	2	@ Ballinamallard United	1075	1
20	2017-02-04	26.06%	Carrick Rangers	966	4	@ Ards	1019	0
21	2016-12-31	27.24%	@ Ards	1028	4	Ballymena United	1162	2
22	2017-03-18	27.39%	Glentoran	1122	4	@ Ballymena United	1164	2
23	2017-03-18	27.48%	Coleraine	1219	2	@ Glenavon	1260	1
24	2016-10-22	28.09%	@ Glentoran	1106	2	Cliftonville	1233	1
25	2017-04-08	29.00%	@ Ballinamallard United	1023	3	Glentoran	1142	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2017-02-04	39.44	Carrick Rangers	4	966	26.06%	@ Ards	0	1019	52.21%	21.73%
2	2017-04-22	38.11	@ Ballymena United	3	1147	13.40%	Crusaders	0	1442	67.67%	18.93%
3	2017-01-03	34.61	Glentoran	5	1109	43.26%	@ Portadown	0	1031	34.48%	22.27%
4	2016-08-13	34.34	@ Dungannon Swifts	4	1107	33.37%	Coleraine	0	1192	44.40%	22.23%
5	2017-04-08	28.57	@ Ballinamallard United	3	1023	29.00%	Glentoran	0	1142	49.00%	21.99%
6	2016-10-08	27.24	@ Dungannon Swifts	6	1148	57.64%	Portadown	0	1048	21.29%	21.07%
7	2017-02-11	26.84	Ards	3	980	32.29%	@ Portadown	0	981	45.52%	22.19%
8	2016-09-03	24.69	@ Portadown	4	1067	48.53%	Carrick Rangers	0	1043	29.44%	22.02%
9	2016-10-29	24.42	@ Cliftonville	3	1223	37.16%	Glenavon	0	1281	40.53%	22.32%
10	2016-12-26	24.34	Crusaders	4	1412	49.06%	@ Cliftonville	0	1292	28.95%	21.99%
11	2016-11-26	24.27	@ Carrick Rangers	2	984	17.69%	Coleraine	0	1217	62.00%	20.31%
12	2017-04-08	23.44	@ Ards	4	1033	30.45%	Dungannon Swifts	1	1141	47.46%	22.09%
13	2017-04-18	23.43	@ Ballymena United	4	1124	30.47%	Cliftonville	1	1232	47.44%	22.09%
14	2016-11-19	23.36	Dungannon Swifts	4	1149	30.63%	@ Ballymena United	1	1164	47.27%	22.10%
15	2016-10-22	22.95	@ Glenavon	5	1258	57.63%	Ballymena United	0	1158	21.30%	21.07%
16	2016-12-17	21.82	@ Portadown	2	1016	23.46%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1186	55.13%	21.41%
17	2016-08-26	21.67	Ballymena United	4	1080	34.53%	@ Carrick Rangers	1	1065	43.21%	22.27%
18	2016-08-20	21.29	@ Linfield	4	1357	53.67%	Glenavon	0	1292	24.75%	21.58%
19	2016-10-29	20.81	@ Ballymena United	4	1135	54.38%	Ballinamallard United	0	1064	24.12%	21.50%
20	2016-09-03	19.14	Coleraine	3	1177	48.06%	@ Ballinamallard United	0	1064	29.88%	22.05%
21	2016-10-01	19.00	@ Ballinamallard United	2	1062	30.83%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1167	47.06%	22.11%
22	2016-11-04	18.64	Carrick Rangers	3	973	24.19%	@ Ballinamallard United	1	1043	54.30%	21.51%
23	2016-09-24	18.25	Cliftonville	3	1196	49.82%	@ Portadown	0	1069	28.24%	21.93%
24	2017-04-18	17.77	Dungannon Swifts	4	1125	44.12%	@ Ballinamallard United	1	1041	33.64%	22.24%
25	2016-09-10	17.30	@ Ards	2	1069	35.71%	Glentoran	0	1137	42.00%	22.29%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2016-11-08	64.9	@ Glenavon	3	1257	26.63%	Crusaders	3	1398	51.59%	21.79%
2	2016-08-10	64.0	@ Ballymena United	3	1078	19.62%	Glenavon	3	1288	59.63%	20.75%
3	2017-02-25	64.0	@ Dungannon Swifts	3	1146	61.85%	Ards	3	1006	17.82%	20.34%
4	2016-10-22	63.5	@ Ards	3	1065	31.74%	Dungannon Swifts	3	1163	46.10%	22.16%
5	2016-08-20	63.4	@ Carrick Rangers	3	1065	44.55%	Ballinamallard United	3	1070	33.22%	22.22%
6	2016-12-02	63.4	@ Ards	3	1030	47.16%	Ballinamallard United	3	1016	30.74%	22.11%
7	2016-12-03	61.4	@ Crusaders	2	1405	74.08%	Glentoran	2	1120	9.16%	16.75%
8	2016-11-05	60.6	@ Glenavon	2	1257	27.54%	Linfield	2	1389	50.58%	21.87%
9	2017-01-03	59.8	@ Dungannon Swifts	2	1168	61.88%	Ballinamallard United	2	1028	17.79%	20.33%
10	2016-12-26	59.7	@ Portadown	2	1038	19.64%	Glenavon	2	1248	59.60%	20.75%
11	2016-12-30	59.7	@ Glenavon	2	1246	42.40%	Cliftonville	2	1267	35.31%	22.29%
12	2016-09-13	59.5	@ Glentoran	2	1120	26.66%	Glenavon	2	1260	51.55%	21.79%
13	2016-09-24	59.5	@ Coleraine	2	1195	36.47%	Glenavon	2	1258	41.22%	22.31%
14	2016-10-01	59.5	@ Coleraine	2	1195	51.86%	Ballymena United	2	1145	26.38%	21.76%
15	2016-10-28	59.5	@ Coleraine	2	1208	51.19%	Dungannon Swifts	2	1163	26.99%	21.82%
16	2016-08-06	59.4	@ Ards	2	1046	25.86%	Cliftonville	2	1194	52.43%	21.71%
17	2016-09-03	59.4	@ Dungannon Swifts	2	1154	52.18%	Ballymena United	2	1101	26.09%	21.73%
18	2017-03-18	59.4	@ Dungannon Swifts	2	1135	30.08%	Cliftonville	2	1246	47.86%	22.07%
19	2016-12-31	59.3	@ Glentoran	2	1108	36.92%	Dungannon Swifts	2	1168	40.76%	22.31%
20	2017-04-15	59.2	@ Carrick Rangers	2	994	36.57%	Ards	2	1056	41.12%	22.31%
21	2016-08-20	57.3	Ards	4	1066	29.68%	@ Ballymena United	3	1089	48.28%	22.04%
22	2017-02-17	56.8	@ Linfield	1	1436	85.11%	Portadown	1	954	3.60%	11.29%
23	2017-02-25	56.2	@ Portadown	1	958	5.27%	Crusaders	1	1453	81.30%	13.43%
24	2016-12-26	55.8	@ Linfield	1	1422	76.23%	Glentoran	1	1105	7.91%	15.86%
25	2016-08-27	55.1	@ Linfield	1	1378	69.69%	Dungannon Swifts	1	1152	11.99%	18.32%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2017-03-11	22.5	@ Crusaders	3	1449	83.44%	Carrick Rangers	0	1004	4.30%	12.26%
2	2016-12-03	23.0	@ Linfield	3	1412	81.38%	Carrick Rangers	0	1008	5.23%	13.39%
3	2016-10-15	24.4	@ Linfield	4	1395	76.03%	Ballinamallard United	0	1081	8.02%	15.95%
4	2016-09-24	24.5	@ Linfield	4	1385	75.55%	Ards	0	1078	8.29%	16.15%
5	2017-01-28	25.3	@ Cliftonville	3	1263	73.37%	Portadown	0	988	9.60%	17.03%
6	2016-11-26	25.7	Linfield	5	1402	73.07%	@ Portadown	0	1039	9.79%	17.14%
7	2017-02-11	26.3	Linfield	2	1432	77.41%	@ Carrick Rangers	0	1005	7.25%	15.34%
8	2016-08-06	26.5	@ Crusaders	6	1364	73.26%	Ballymena United	0	1090	9.67%	17.07%
9	2016-08-06	26.6	@ Glenavon	4	1276	67.85%	Carrick Rangers	0	1071	13.27%	18.88%
10	2017-03-18	26.7	@ Linfield	5	1442	82.12%	Ards	1	1023	4.89%	12.99%
11	2016-12-10	27.1	Linfield	2	1416	74.72%	@ Ards	0	1029	8.78%	16.50%
12	2017-03-11	27.2	@ Ballymena United	3	1154	66.75%	Portadown	0	962	14.06%	19.18%
13	2016-12-17	27.3	Cliftonville	3	1282	66.69%	@ Carrick Rangers	0	999	14.11%	19.20%
14	2016-09-17	27.4	Linfield	2	1381	73.54%	@ Carrick Rangers	0	1011	9.50%	16.96%
15	2017-02-17	27.5	@ Glenavon	3	1243	66.06%	Ballinamallard United	0	1059	14.58%	19.37%
16	2017-04-22	27.8	@ Dungannon Swifts	4	1142	63.29%	Carrick Rangers	0	988	16.68%	20.03%
17	2017-01-14	27.9	Crusaders	3	1430	66.99%	@ Glentoran	0	1143	13.89%	19.12%
18	2017-01-21	28.1	@ Linfield	2	1419	73.09%	Ballymena United	0	1148	9.78%	17.14%
19	2017-04-22	28.1	@ Glentoran	3	1114	63.63%	Portadown	0	956	16.41%	19.96%
20	2016-09-24	28.2	@ Crusaders	5	1396	76.98%	Ballinamallard United	1	1067	7.48%	15.53%
21	2017-04-29	28.7	@ Dungannon Swifts	2	1157	68.53%	Portadown	0	944	12.79%	18.68%
22	2017-04-18	28.8	@ Linfield	3	1460	68.10%	Glenavon	0	1252	13.09%	18.80%
23	2016-11-12	28.9	Linfield	4	1399	62.11%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1164	17.61%	20.28%
24	2017-04-15	29.0	Linfield	2	1454	70.20%	@ Ballymena United	0	1129	11.65%	18.15%
25	2016-11-19	29.1	@ Crusaders	1	1399	79.05%	Ards	0	1037	6.38%	14.57%