2017-18 NIFL Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Crusaders

91 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ballinamallard United

6.73 points above expected

23 points · 16.27 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Warrenpoint Town

4.81 points below expected

30 points · 34.81 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Crusaders	33	26	4	3	82	99	34	+65	71.42	+10.58
2	Coleraine	33	24	8	1	80	70	27	+43	63.78	+16.22
3	Glenavon	33	18	9	6	63	79	47	+32	60.75	+2.25
4	Linfield	33	18	6	9	60	64	37	+27	67.68	-7.68
5	Cliftonville	33	18	4	11	58	60	38	+22	52.84	+5.16
6	Ballymena United	33	14	5	14	47	52	57	-5	42.88	+4.12
7	Glentoran	33	12	9	12	45	42	43	-1	44.08	+0.92
8	Dungannon Swifts	33	10	5	18	35	28	51	-23	38.73	-3.73
9	Ards	33	10	3	20	33	32	63	-31	31.47	+1.53
10	Warrenpoint Town	33	7	6	20	27	45	73	-28	33.65	-6.65
11	Carrick Rangers	33	4	5	24	17	25	70	-45	24.87	-7.87
12	Ballinamallard United	33	2	6	25	12	28	84	-56	24.49	-12.49

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Crusaders	38	28	7	3	91	106	38	+68	92.22	-1.22
2	Coleraine	38	26	11	1	89	76	31	+45	88.51	+0.49
3	Glenavon	38	19	12	7	69	85	52	+33	69.60	-0.60
4	Linfield	38	20	7	11	67	72	45	+27	67.46	-0.46
5	Cliftonville	38	20	5	13	65	68	45	+23	63.71	+1.29
6	Ballymena United	38	14	6	18	48	53	65	-12	50.62	-2.62

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Glentoran	38	14	9	15	51	52	52	0	54.96	-3.96
2	Dungannon Swifts	38	13	6	19	45	42	62	-20	42.55	+2.45
3	Ards	38	12	4	22	40	42	74	-32	40.14	-0.14
4	Warrenpoint Town	38	8	6	24	30	52	86	-34	34.81	-4.81
5	Carrick Rangers	38	6	5	27	23	31	78	-47	22.37	+0.63
6	Ballinamallard United	38	5	8	25	23	38	89	-51	16.27	+6.73

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Ballinamallard United	23	16.27	+6.73
2	Dungannon Swifts	45	42.55	+2.45
3	Cliftonville	65	63.71	+1.29
4	Carrick Rangers	23	22.37	+0.63
5	Coleraine	89	88.51	+0.49

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Warrenpoint Town	30	34.81	-4.81
2	Glentoran	51	54.96	-3.96
3	Ballymena United	48	50.62	-2.62
4	Crusaders	91	92.22	-1.22
5	Glenavon	69	69.60	-0.60

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Coleraine	7	Aug 12 – Sep 16	1 in 189
2	Carrick Rangers	2	Apr 21 – Apr 28	1 in 29
3	Cliftonville	7	Oct 28 – Dec 16	1 in 28
4	Crusaders	8	Dec 2 – Jan 13	1 in 26
5	Ballymena United	3	Mar 20 – Mar 26	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Linfield	3	Sep 30 – Oct 23	1 in 70
2	Ballinamallard United	7	Aug 25 – Oct 13	1 in 61
3	Carrick Rangers	8	Oct 21 – Dec 16	1 in 57
4	Warrenpoint Town	5	Aug 25 – Sep 22	1 in 24
5	Glenavon	2	Mar 23 – Apr 3	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Coleraine	23	Nov 21 – Apr 28	1 in 343
2	Ballinamallard United	5	Apr 7 – Apr 28	1 in 60
3	Crusaders	20	Oct 23 – Mar 6	1 in 35
4	Dungannon Swifts	4	Sep 16 – Oct 7	1 in 19
5	Glenavon	10	Sep 8 – Nov 18	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Glenavon	6	Mar 6 – Apr 7	1 in 114
2	Carrick Rangers	15	Oct 21 – Feb 6	1 in 22
3	Ballinamallard United	14	Oct 27 – Jan 20	1 in 13
4	Crusaders	2	Sep 16 – Sep 23	1 in 12
5	Linfield	3	Sep 30 – Oct 23	1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Crusaders	1463	91	+9	9	10.4	-1.4
Coleraine	1378	89	+10	9	8.5	+0.5
Glenavon	1292	69	+9	6	6.7	-0.7
Linfield	1312	67	-9	7	7.6	-0.6
Cliftonville	1254	65	+14	7	5.7	+1.3
Glentoran	1097	51	-33	6	10.1	-4.1
Ballymena United	1095	48	-33	1	3.2	-2.2
Dungannon Swifts	1042	45	+26	10	7.7	+2.3
Ards	996	40	-4	7	7.3	-0.3
Warrenpoint Town	969	30	-58	3	7.2	-4.2
Ballinamallard United	934	23	+72	11	4.8	+6.2
Carrick Rangers	913	23	-3	6	5.0	+1.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ARD	BU	BU	CR	CLI	COL	CRU	DS	GLE	GLE	LIN	WT
Ards	—	3-1-0 7.09	2-0-1 2.88	3-0-1 7.14	0-0-3 2.38	0-0-3 1.60	0-1-2 1.21	0-1-3 5.19	0-0-3 1.67	2-0-2 3.70	0-0-3 1.37	2-1-1 5.40
Ballinamallard United	0-1-3 4.12	—	0-0-3 2.20	2-1-1 5.46	1-1-1 1.89	0-0-3 1.03	0-0-3 1.01	0-1-3 3.61	0-1-2 1.47	1-1-2 3.24	0-1-2 1.01	1-1-2 3.87
Ballymena United	1-0-2 5.53	3-0-0 6.24	—	2-1-0 6.33	2-0-2 3.96	0-1-3 2.65	0-0-4 2.26	2-0-1 4.59	1-1-2 3.30	1-1-1 3.69	1-1-2 2.44	1-1-1 5.21
Carrick Rangers	1-0-3 4.08	1-1-2 5.75	0-1-2 2.12	—	0-0-3 2.01	0-0-3 1.16	0-0-3 0.72	2-0-2 3.67	0-0-3 1.49	1-2-1 2.93	0-0-3 1.03	1-1-2 4.51
Cliftonville	3-0-0 6.05	1-1-1 6.58	2-0-2 7.26	3-0-0 6.45	—	0-1-3 4.16	1-1-2 2.75	3-0-0 5.33	0-2-2 4.58	2-0-1 5.26	2-0-2 3.62	3-0-0 6.13
Coleraine	3-0-0 6.88	3-0-0 7.51	3-1-0 8.62	3-0-0 7.37	3-1-0 7.05	—	1-3-0 4.14	3-0-0 6.11	1-3-0 6.28	2-1-0 5.98	1-2-1 5.50	3-0-0 6.73
Crusaders	2-1-0 7.31	3-0-0 7.55	4-0-0 9.04	3-0-0 7.89	2-1-1 8.51	0-3-1 7.07	—	2-1-0 7.11	2-1-1 7.43	3-0-0 6.75	4-0-0 6.00	3-0-0 7.16
Dungannon Swifts	3-1-0 6.01	3-1-0 7.61	1-0-2 3.81	2-0-2 7.55	0-0-3 3.09	0-0-3 2.34	0-1-2 1.39	—	1-1-1 2.02	0-1-3 4.86	0-1-2 1.55	3-0-1 6.26
Glenavon	3-0-0 6.79	2-1-0 7.04	2-1-1 7.94	3-0-0 7.00	2-2-0 6.63	0-3-1 4.92	1-1-2 3.80	1-1-1 6.43	—	1-2-0 5.89	2-0-2 4.92	2-1-0 6.35
Glentoran	2-0-2 7.52	2-1-1 8.01	1-1-1 4.71	1-2-1 8.32	1-0-2 3.16	0-1-2 2.45	0-0-3 1.72	3-1-0 6.35	0-2-1 2.54	—	1-1-1 1.85	3-0-1 7.20
Linfield	3-0-0 7.13	2-1-0 7.53	2-1-1 8.83	3-0-0 7.51	2-0-2 7.61	1-2-1 5.70	0-0-4 5.21	2-1-0 6.92	2-0-2 6.28	1-1-1 6.60	—	2-1-0 7.18
Warrenpoint Town	1-1-2 5.80	2-1-1 7.35	1-1-1 3.20	2-1-1 6.70	0-0-3 2.30	0-0-3 1.74	0-0-3 1.35	1-0-3 4.95	0-1-2 2.11	1-0-3 4.01	0-1-2 1.32	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.83	+9.6
Allowed	0.90	-11.6
Differential	0.97	+5.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.95%	6.80%	7.46%	3.73%	1.75%	1.10%	24.78%
1	6.80%	7.89%	8.11%	3.95%	1.10%	1.10%	28.95%
2	7.46%	8.11%	4.82%	2.41%	1.32%	0.66%	24.78%
3	3.73%	3.95%	2.41%	2.19%	0.44%	0.44%	13.16%
4	1.75%	1.10%	1.32%	0.44%	—	0.22%	4.82%
5+	1.10%	1.10%	0.66%	0.44%	0.22%	—	3.51%
Total	24.78%	28.95%	24.78%	13.16%	4.82%	3.51%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.57	1.57	+0.00
SD	1.38	1.38	2.06
CV	0.88	0.88	—
Max	7	7	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	15.79%	7.89%	10.53%	2.63%	—	42.11%
1	13.16%	2.63%	—	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	26.32%
2	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	2.63%	—	15.79%
3	—	—	—	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	10.53%
4	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.32%	26.32%	10.53%	15.79%	13.16%	7.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.95	-0.84
SD	1.23	1.83	2.01
CV	1.11	0.94	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	5.26%	18.42%	5.26%	5.26%	5.26%	42.11%
1	—	7.89%	15.79%	2.63%	—	2.63%	28.95%
2	5.26%	2.63%	10.53%	—	—	5.26%	23.68%
3	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	2.63%	—	2.63%
Total	7.89%	18.42%	44.74%	7.89%	7.89%	13.16%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	2.34	-1.34
SD	1.21	1.55	1.95
CV	1.21	0.66	—
Max	6	6	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	28.95%
1	2.63%	7.89%	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	31.58%
2	2.63%	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	—	18.42%
3	2.63%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	18.42%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	2.63%	—	—	2.63%
Total	10.53%	44.74%	21.05%	15.79%	5.26%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	1.71	-0.32
SD	1.33	1.27	1.89
CV	0.95	0.74	—
Max	6	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.16%	18.42%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	47.37%
1	2.63%	7.89%	13.16%	5.26%	—	2.63%	31.58%
2	2.63%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
3	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.89%	26.32%	39.47%	18.42%	2.63%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.82	2.05	-1.24
SD	0.98	1.41	1.92
CV	1.20	0.69	—
Max	4	7	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	—	15.79%
1	10.53%	10.53%	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	39.47%
2	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	—	—	13.16%
3	10.53%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	21.05%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%	5.26%
5+	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
Total	34.21%	31.58%	23.68%	7.89%	—	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.79	1.18	+0.61
SD	1.45	1.25	1.88
CV	0.81	1.05	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	—	—	—	—	—	7.89%
1	10.53%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	—	23.68%
2	15.79%	15.79%	7.89%	—	—	—	39.47%
3	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	21.05%
4	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	42.11%	36.84%	18.42%	2.63%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	0.82	+1.18
SD	1.12	0.83	1.09
CV	0.56	1.02	—
Max	5	3	+3
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
1	5.26%	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	23.68%
2	7.89%	13.16%	—	2.63%	—	—	23.68%
3	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	18.42%
4	2.63%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
5+	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	15.79%
Total	34.21%	42.11%	13.16%	10.53%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.79	1.00	+1.79
SD	1.68	0.96	1.91
CV	0.60	0.96	—
Max	7	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	10.53%	5.26%	10.53%	7.89%	—	42.11%
1	7.89%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	23.68%
2	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	23.68%
3	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
4	2.63%	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.32%	23.68%	21.05%	18.42%	10.53%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.63	-0.53
SD	1.23	1.34	1.93
CV	1.11	0.82	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	10.53%
1	2.63%	13.16%	—	2.63%	—	2.63%	21.05%
2	10.53%	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	28.95%
3	7.89%	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	28.95%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
Total	31.58%	31.58%	18.42%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.24	1.37	+0.87
SD	1.51	1.40	2.02
CV	0.68	1.03	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	10.53%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	28.95%
1	5.26%	10.53%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	28.95%
2	7.89%	10.53%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	28.95%
3	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
4	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	21.05%	36.84%	28.95%	10.53%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.37	1.37	+0.00
SD	1.26	1.02	1.72
CV	0.92	0.75	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	—	5.26%	—	—	—	7.89%
1	13.16%	2.63%	15.79%	—	—	—	31.58%
2	15.79%	5.26%	10.53%	5.26%	—	2.63%	39.47%
3	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	42.11%	13.16%	34.21%	7.89%	—	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.89	1.18	+0.71
SD	1.23	1.23	1.86
CV	0.65	1.04	—
Max	6	5	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.26%	10.53%	—	—	5.26%	21.05%
1	7.89%	2.63%	10.53%	10.53%	5.26%	—	36.84%
2	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	10.53%	5.26%	—	26.32%
3	2.63%	2.63%	—	10.53%	—	—	15.79%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.16%	15.79%	23.68%	31.58%	10.53%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.37	2.26	-0.89
SD	1.00	1.37	1.72
CV	0.73	0.61	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Crusaders	1463	91	71.42	+19.58	98.0%	56	62	66	72	76	81	83
Coleraine	1378	89	63.78	+25.22	100.0%	47	52	59	64	69	75	76
Linfield	1312	67	67.68	-0.68	14.0%	46	57	64	67	71	79	82
Glenavon	1292	69	60.75	+8.25	69.0%	45	50	56	60	65	72	79
Cliftonville	1254	65	52.84	+12.16	78.0%	31	41	48	52	58	66	72
Glentoran	1097	51	44.08	+6.92	62.0%	24	31	39	44	48	58	61
Ballymena United	1095	48	42.88	+5.12	78.0%	30	33	38	43	47	54	64
Dungannon Swifts	1042	45	38.73	+6.27	32.0%	18	27	34	39	43	49	53
Ards	996	40	31.47	+8.53	62.0%	19	20	26	32	36	43	46
Warrenpoint Town	969	30	33.65	-3.65	23.0%	20	24	28	33	39	43	51
Ballinamallard United	934	23	24.49	-1.49	0.0%	13	15	20	25	28	34	40
Carrick Rangers	913	23	24.87	-1.87	13.0%	11	14	21	25	28	34	42

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+3.07%

No Edge

42.11%18.86%39.04%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 10.67 Elo pts.

181 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.02 goals

Neutral

-2+0.06+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.5

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

57%

Crusaders, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.05/gm

Photo Finish

00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.36 * Some Luck: 5.36 to 8.04 * Lucky: 8.04 to 10.71 * Wild Swing: 10.71 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.8 * Close: 0.8 to 1.19 * Off: 1.19 to 1.59 * Way Off: 1.59 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.97 points

Some Luck

06.7017

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.67

Pinpoint

00.992

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

100.00%

Coleraine

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

0.00%

Ballinamallard United

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.24

Top-Heavy

00.190.250.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 188.07

2.76

Wide Separation

11.852.253

Interquartile Edge

83%

Wide Edge

50%70%81%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 98%

97%

Dominant

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

54%

Some Drama

0%53%100%

Blowouts

Expected

20%

Occasional

0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.52

Highly Predictable

00.542

Matchup Imbalance

0.47

Notable Separation

00.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.52

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

0.89

Near-Lock

00.470.620.761

Upset Rate

Expected

18%

Chalky

0%22%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

15%

Solid Favorites

0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.

Probability calibration

0.23

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.14

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.107

Near Noise Ceiling

00.1050.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Crusaders	57.00%	27.00%	12.00%	1.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Coleraine	12.00%	26.00%	30.00%	20.00%	10.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Glenavon	6.00%	9.00%	23.00%	44.00%	13.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Linfield	24.00%	35.00%	28.00%	7.00%	5.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Cliftonville	1.00%	3.00%	6.00%	18.00%	46.00%	18.00%	5.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Ballymena United	—	—	—	3.00%	10.00%	22.00%	31.00%	19.00%	12.00%	3.00%	—	—
Glentoran	—	—	1.00%	7.00%	10.00%	28.00%	26.00%	15.00%	9.00%	3.00%	—	1.00%
Dungannon Swifts	—	—	—	—	2.00%	18.00%	23.00%	24.00%	20.00%	10.00%	—	3.00%
Ards	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	6.00%	15.00%	21.00%	24.00%	23.00%	9.00%
Warrenpoint Town	—	—	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	7.00%	18.00%	25.00%	25.00%	13.00%	7.00%
Carrick Rangers	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	6.00%	20.00%	31.00%	40.00%
Ballinamallard United	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	5.00%	6.00%	15.00%	33.00%	40.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Crusaders	80.04%	19.96%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Coleraine	19.96%	80.04%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Glenavon	—	—	65.86%	27.76%	6.38%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Linfield	—	—	28.75%	52.98%	18.27%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Cliftonville	—	—	5.39%	19.26%	75.21%	0.14%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Ballymena United	—	—	—	—	0.14%	99.86%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Glentoran	—	—	—	—	—	—	99.53%	0.47%	—	—	—	—
Dungannon Swifts	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.38%	68.41%	27.53%	3.68%	—	—
Ards	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.09%	29.41%	59.10%	11.40%	—	—
Warrenpoint Town	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.71%	13.37%	84.50%	0.42%	—
Carrick Rangers	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.42%	90.68%	8.90%
Ballinamallard United	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.90%	91.10%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Ballymena United	100%	—	—
Cliftonville	100%	—	—
Coleraine	100%	—	—
Crusaders	100%	—	—
Glenavon	100%	—	—
Glentoran	99.00%	1.00%	—
Linfield	100%	—	—
Dungannon Swifts	96.00%	1.00%	3.00%
Warrenpoint Town	83.00%	12.00%	5.00%
Ards	72.00%	18.00%	10.00%
Carrick Rangers	26.00%	36.00%	38.00%
Ballinamallard United	24.00%	32.00%	44.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Ards	100%	—	—
Ballymena United	100%	—	—
Cliftonville	100%	—	—
Coleraine	100%	—	—
Crusaders	100%	—	—
Dungannon Swifts	100%	—	—
Glenavon	100%	—	—
Glentoran	100%	—	—
Linfield	100%	—	—
Warrenpoint Town	99.58%	0.42%	—
Carrick Rangers	0.42%	90.68%	8.90%
Ballinamallard United	—	8.90%	91.10%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2017-08-11	Crusaders	L 1-4	35.5	1142	1294	22.50%	19.35%	58.15%	-0.78	-16.0	0
2017-08-11	@ Ballymena United	W 4-1	35.5	1294	1142	58.15%	19.35%	22.50%	+0.78	+16.0	3
2017-08-12	Ards	W 6-3	41.8	1144	1069	51.68%	19.76%	28.57%	+0.48	+15.8	3
2017-08-12	@ Cliftonville	L 3-6	41.8	1069	1144	28.57%	19.76%	51.68%	-0.48	-15.8	0
2017-08-12	Carrick Rangers	W 2-0	27.4	1353	996	76.24%	16.06%	7.69%	+2.03	+4.6	3
2017-08-12	@ Linfield	L 0-2	27.4	996	1353	7.69%	16.06%	76.24%	-2.03	-4.6	0
2017-08-12	Coleraine	L 1-3	41.9	1128	1177	34.76%	19.96%	45.28%	-0.21	-16.4	0
2017-08-12	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 3-1	41.9	1177	1128	45.28%	19.96%	34.76%	+0.21	+16.4	3
2017-08-12	Glenavon	L 2-3	49.0	1114	1181	32.19%	19.90%	47.91%	-0.31	-8.4	0
2017-08-12	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 3-2	49.0	1181	1114	47.91%	19.90%	32.19%	+0.31	+8.4	3
2017-08-12	Glentoran	L 1-2	44.3	1043	1102	33.33%	19.93%	46.74%	-0.27	-9.1	0
2017-08-12	@ Ballinamallard United	W 2-1	44.3	1102	1043	46.74%	19.93%	33.33%	+0.27	+9.1	3
2017-08-15	Ballinamallard United	W 6-2	34.9	1190	1034	60.77%	19.10%	20.12%	+0.92	+15.8	6
2017-08-15	@ Glenavon	L 2-6	34.9	1034	1190	20.12%	19.10%	60.77%	-0.92	-15.8	0
2017-08-15	Ballymena United	D 1-1	54.5	992	1126	24.24%	19.49%	56.26%	-0.69	+2.0	1
2017-08-15	@ Carrick Rangers	D 1-1	54.5	1126	992	56.26%	19.49%	24.24%	+0.69	-2.0	1
2017-08-15	Cliftonville	W 2-0	36.4	1193	1160	46.12%	19.94%	33.94%	+0.24	+18.5	6
2017-08-15	@ Coleraine	L 0-2	36.4	1160	1193	33.94%	19.94%	46.12%	-0.24	-18.5	3
2017-08-15	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	37.7	1112	1112	41.45%	20.00%	38.55%	+0.06	+20.6	6
2017-08-15	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	37.7	1112	1112	38.55%	20.00%	41.45%	-0.06	-20.6	0
2017-08-15	Linfield	L 0-2	28.9	1053	1357	11.03%	17.36%	71.61%	-1.62	-6.6	0
2017-08-15	@ Ards	W 2-0	28.9	1357	1053	71.61%	17.36%	11.03%	+1.62	+6.6	6
2017-08-15	Warrenpoint Town	W 5-0	27.5	1310	1105	65.52%	18.51%	15.97%	+1.19	+22.2	6
2017-08-15	@ Crusaders	L 0-5	27.5	1105	1310	15.97%	18.51%	65.52%	-1.19	-22.2	0
2017-08-19	Ards	W 1-0	39.5	1083	1046	46.58%	19.93%	33.48%	+0.26	+9.7	3
2017-08-19	@ Warrenpoint Town	L 0-1	39.5	1046	1083	33.48%	19.93%	46.58%	-0.26	-9.7	0
2017-08-19	Carrick Rangers	D 1-1	54.5	1132	994	59.03%	19.27%	21.70%	+0.82	-2.3	7
2017-08-19	@ Glentoran	D 1-1	54.5	994	1132	21.70%	19.27%	59.03%	-0.82	+2.3	2
2017-08-19	Cliftonville	D 1-1	54.4	1019	1141	25.55%	19.59%	54.87%	-0.62	+1.8	1
2017-08-19	@ Ballinamallard United	D 1-1	54.4	1141	1019	54.87%	19.59%	25.55%	+0.62	-1.8	4
2017-08-19	Coleraine	L 1-2	51.8	1332	1212	57.09%	19.43%	23.48%	+0.73	-14.4	6
2017-08-19	@ Crusaders	W 2-1	51.8	1212	1332	23.48%	19.43%	57.09%	-0.73	+14.4	9
2017-08-19	Glenavon	L 1-6	35.3	1125	1205	30.51%	19.84%	49.65%	-0.39	-32.9	1
2017-08-19	@ Ballymena United	W 6-1	35.3	1205	1125	49.65%	19.84%	30.51%	+0.39	+32.9	9
2017-08-19	Linfield	L 0-4	26.3	1091	1364	12.85%	17.86%	69.29%	-1.44	-14.6	0
2017-08-19	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 4-0	26.3	1364	1091	69.29%	17.86%	12.85%	+1.44	+14.6	9
2017-08-25	Ballinamallard United	W 2-0	38.7	996	1020	38.03%	20.00%	41.96%	-0.08	+22.0	5
2017-08-25	@ Carrick Rangers	L 0-2	38.7	1020	996	41.96%	20.00%	38.03%	+0.08	-22.0	1
2017-08-25	Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	40.2	1037	1077	35.86%	19.98%	44.16%	-0.16	-10.3	0
2017-08-25	@ Ards	W 1-0	40.2	1077	1037	44.16%	19.98%	35.86%	+0.16	+10.3	3
2017-08-25	Glentoran	D 2-2	59.9	1238	1130	55.68%	19.53%	24.79%	+0.66	-1.4	10
2017-08-25	@ Glenavon	D 2-2	59.9	1130	1238	24.79%	19.53%	55.68%	-0.66	+1.4	8
2017-08-25	Warrenpoint Town	W 2-1	40.8	1226	1093	58.47%	19.32%	22.21%	+0.80	+6.4	12
2017-08-25	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	40.8	1093	1226	22.21%	19.32%	58.47%	-0.80	-6.4	3
2017-08-26	Ballymena United	W 1-0	32.2	1378	1092	71.89%	17.29%	10.82%	+1.64	+3.4	12
2017-08-26	@ Linfield	L 0-1	32.2	1092	1378	10.82%	17.29%	71.89%	-1.64	-3.4	1
2017-08-26	Crusaders	L 1-2	40.3	1140	1318	19.96%	19.09%	60.95%	-0.93	-5.9	4
2017-08-26	@ Cliftonville	W 2-1	40.3	1318	1140	60.95%	19.09%	19.96%	+0.93	+5.8	9
2017-09-02	Ballinamallard United	W 2-0	34.1	1087	998	53.34%	19.68%	26.99%	+0.55	+15.3	6
2017-09-02	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-2	34.1	998	1087	26.99%	19.68%	53.34%	-0.55	-15.3	1
2017-09-02	Cliftonville	W 1-0	43.0	1088	1134	35.11%	19.97%	44.93%	-0.19	+12.4	4
2017-09-02	@ Ballymena United	L 0-1	43.0	1134	1088	44.93%	19.97%	35.11%	+0.19	-12.4	4
2017-09-02	Glenavon	W 4-2	47.7	1232	1237	40.89%	20.01%	39.10%	+0.03	+16.1	15
2017-09-02	@ Coleraine	L 2-4	47.7	1237	1232	39.10%	20.01%	40.89%	-0.03	-16.1	10
2017-09-02	Warrenpoint Town	W 2-0	35.9	1131	1086	47.74%	19.90%	32.36%	+0.31	+17.8	11
2017-09-02	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	35.9	1086	1131	32.36%	19.90%	47.74%	-0.31	-17.8	3
2017-09-05	Ards	L 0-1	41.5	1018	1026	40.31%	20.01%	39.69%	+0.01	-11.3	5
2017-09-05	@ Carrick Rangers	W 1-0	41.5	1026	1018	39.69%	20.01%	40.31%	-0.01	+11.3	3
2017-09-08	Carrick Rangers	W 2-0	30.3	1221	1007	66.30%	18.39%	15.31%	+1.24	+9.1	13
2017-09-08	@ Glenavon	L 0-2	30.3	1007	1221	15.31%	18.39%	66.30%	-1.24	-9.1	5
2017-09-09	Ballymena United	L 1-3	42.5	1068	1101	36.94%	19.99%	43.06%	-0.12	-17.2	3
2017-09-09	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 3-1	42.5	1101	1068	43.06%	19.99%	36.94%	+0.12	+17.2	7
2017-09-09	Coleraine	L 0-3	28.5	1038	1249	17.19%	18.71%	64.10%	-1.10	-14.8	3
2017-09-09	@ Ards	W 3-0	28.5	1249	1038	64.10%	18.71%	17.19%	+1.10	+14.8	18
2017-09-09	Crusaders	L 1-5	28.8	983	1324	9.22%	16.73%	74.05%	-1.82	-8.7	1
2017-09-09	@ Ballinamallard United	W 5-1	28.8	1324	983	74.05%	16.73%	9.22%	+1.82	+8.7	12
2017-09-09	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	45.1	1121	1102	44.20%	19.98%	35.82%	+0.16	+9.7	7
2017-09-09	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	45.1	1102	1121	35.82%	19.98%	44.20%	-0.16	-9.7	6
2017-09-09	Glentoran	W 1-0	33.6	1382	1149	67.86%	18.13%	14.01%	+1.34	+4.5	15
2017-09-09	@ Linfield	L 0-1	33.6	1149	1382	14.01%	18.13%	67.86%	-1.34	-4.5	11
2017-09-12	Linfield	W 2-1	50.2	1333	1386	34.03%	19.94%	46.03%	-0.24	+11.9	15
2017-09-12	@ Crusaders	L 1-2	50.2	1386	1333	46.03%	19.94%	34.03%	+0.24	-11.9	15
2017-09-16	Ards	D 0-0	51.5	1344	1023	74.17%	16.69%	9.13%	+1.83	-4.8	16
2017-09-16	@ Crusaders	D 0-0	51.5	1023	1344	9.13%	16.69%	74.17%	-1.83	+4.8	4
2017-09-16	Ballinamallard United	W 4-0	23.3	1374	974	78.56%	15.23%	6.20%	+2.27	+6.9	18
2017-09-16	@ Linfield	L 0-4	23.3	974	1374	6.20%	15.23%	78.56%	-2.27	-6.9	1
2017-09-16	Carrick Rangers	W 3-0	26.6	1263	998	70.41%	17.63%	11.96%	+1.53	+10.4	21
2017-09-16	@ Coleraine	L 0-3	26.6	998	1263	11.96%	17.63%	70.41%	-1.53	-10.4	5
2017-09-16	Cliftonville	W 3-1	39.2	1230	1131	54.52%	19.61%	25.87%	+0.60	+12.8	16
2017-09-16	@ Glenavon	L 1-3	39.2	1131	1230	25.87%	19.61%	54.52%	-0.60	-12.8	7
2017-09-16	Glentoran	L 1-3	42.8	1118	1145	37.71%	20.00%	42.29%	-0.09	-17.5	7
2017-09-16	@ Ballymena United	W 3-1	42.8	1145	1118	42.29%	20.00%	37.71%	+0.09	+17.5	14
2017-09-16	Warrenpoint Town	W 2-1	44.1	1093	1051	47.29%	19.91%	32.80%	+0.29	+9.0	9
2017-09-16	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	44.1	1051	1093	32.80%	19.91%	47.29%	-0.29	-9.0	3
2017-09-22	Linfield	L 1-4	30.8	1042	1381	9.30%	16.76%	73.94%	-1.81	-6.8	3
2017-09-22	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 4-1	30.8	1381	1042	73.94%	16.76%	9.30%	+1.81	+6.8	21
2017-09-23	Ards	W 3-0	27.9	1243	1028	66.36%	18.38%	15.26%	+1.25	+13.2	19
2017-09-23	@ Glenavon	L 0-3	27.9	1028	1243	15.26%	18.38%	66.36%	-1.25	-13.2	4
2017-09-23	Ballymena United	L 1-3	38.6	967	1100	24.46%	19.51%	56.03%	-0.68	-12.1	1
2017-09-23	@ Ballinamallard United	W 3-1	38.6	1100	967	56.03%	19.51%	24.46%	+0.68	+12.2	10
2017-09-23	Cliftonville	L 1-2	41.5	987	1118	24.63%	19.52%	55.84%	-0.67	-7.1	5
2017-09-23	@ Carrick Rangers	W 2-1	41.5	1118	987	55.84%	19.52%	24.63%	+0.67	+7.1	10
2017-09-23	Coleraine	D 0-0	50.8	1162	1274	26.81%	19.67%	53.52%	-0.56	+1.8	15
2017-09-23	@ Glentoran	D 0-0	50.8	1274	1162	53.52%	19.67%	26.81%	+0.56	-1.8	22
2017-09-23	Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	55.2	1340	1102	68.27%	18.05%	13.67%	+1.37	-3.6	17
2017-09-23	@ Crusaders	D 1-1	55.2	1102	1340	13.67%	18.05%	68.27%	-1.37	+3.6	10
2017-09-29	Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	54.7	1256	1105	60.29%	19.15%	20.56%	+0.89	-2.5	20
2017-09-29	@ Glenavon	D 1-1	54.7	1105	1256	20.56%	19.15%	60.29%	-0.89	+2.5	11
2017-09-30	Ards	L 0-2	36.1	955	1015	33.27%	19.93%	46.81%	-0.27	-18.2	1
2017-09-30	@ Ballinamallard United	W 2-0	36.1	1015	955	46.81%	19.93%	33.27%	+0.27	+18.2	7
2017-09-30	Carrick Rangers	D 2-2	59.6	1035	980	49.10%	19.86%	31.04%	+0.36	-0.8	4
2017-09-30	@ Warrenpoint Town	D 2-2	59.6	980	1035	31.04%	19.86%	49.10%	-0.36	+0.8	6
2017-09-30	Coleraine	L 0-2	32.6	1112	1272	21.74%	19.28%	58.98%	-0.82	-12.6	10
2017-09-30	@ Ballymena United	W 2-0	32.6	1272	1112	58.98%	19.28%	21.74%	+0.82	+12.6	25
2017-09-30	Linfield	W 3-2	59.8	1125	1388	13.46%	18.00%	68.54%	-1.39	+16.3	13
2017-09-30	@ Cliftonville	L 2-3	59.8	1388	1125	68.54%	18.00%	13.46%	+1.39	-16.3	21
2017-10-02	Crusaders	L 0-3	30.0	1164	1336	20.53%	19.15%	60.32%	-0.89	-17.4	15
2017-10-02	@ Glentoran	W 3-0	30.0	1336	1164	60.32%	19.15%	20.53%	+0.89	+17.4	20
2017-10-07	Ballymena United	W 2-1	45.5	1108	1100	42.66%	20.00%	37.34%	+0.10	+10.0	14
2017-10-07	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	45.5	1100	1108	37.34%	20.00%	42.66%	-0.10	-10.0	10
2017-10-07	Glentoran	L 0-1	37.3	1033	1146	26.59%	19.65%	53.76%	-0.57	-8.0	7
2017-10-07	@ Ards	W 1-0	37.3	1146	1033	53.76%	19.65%	26.59%	+0.57	+8.0	18
2017-10-07	Warrenpoint Town	W 2-0	33.5	1142	1034	55.53%	19.54%	24.93%	+0.65	+14.3	16
2017-10-07	@ Cliftonville	L 0-2	33.5	1034	1142	24.93%	19.54%	55.53%	-0.65	-14.3	4
2017-10-13	Ballinamallard United	W 2-1	42.5	1020	937	52.65%	19.71%	27.64%	+0.52	+7.8	7
2017-10-13	@ Warrenpoint Town	L 1-2	42.5	937	1020	27.64%	19.71%	52.65%	-0.52	-7.8	1
2017-10-14	Ards	W 6-3	42.2	1090	1025	50.35%	19.82%	29.84%	+0.42	+16.4	13
2017-10-14	@ Ballymena United	L 3-6	42.2	1025	1090	29.84%	19.82%	50.35%	-0.42	-16.4	7
2017-10-14	Cliftonville	L 0-2	38.6	1154	1156	41.31%	20.00%	38.69%	+0.05	-21.8	18
2017-10-14	@ Glentoran	W 2-0	38.6	1156	1154	38.69%	20.00%	41.31%	-0.05	+21.8	19
2017-10-14	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	51.1	981	1118	24.02%	19.48%	56.50%	-0.70	+14.3	9
2017-10-14	@ Carrick Rangers	L 1-2	51.1	1118	981	56.50%	19.48%	24.02%	+0.70	-14.3	14
2017-10-14	Glenavon	L 2-3	56.6	1354	1253	54.70%	19.60%	25.70%	+0.61	-13.2	20
2017-10-14	@ Crusaders	W 3-2	56.6	1253	1354	25.70%	19.60%	54.70%	-0.61	+13.2	23
2017-10-14	Linfield	W 2-1	50.7	1285	1372	29.72%	19.81%	50.47%	-0.42	+12.9	28
2017-10-14	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	50.7	1372	1285	50.47%	19.81%	29.72%	+0.42	-12.9	21
2017-10-20	Warrenpoint Town	W 2-1	46.7	1008	1028	38.73%	20.00%	41.26%	-0.05	+10.9	10
2017-10-20	@ Ards	L 1-2	46.7	1028	1008	41.26%	20.00%	38.73%	+0.05	-10.9	7
2017-10-21	Ballymena United	W 4-0	28.5	1266	1106	61.29%	19.05%	19.66%	+0.94	+21.9	26
2017-10-21	@ Glenavon	L 0-4	28.5	1106	1266	19.66%	19.05%	61.29%	-0.94	-21.9	13
2017-10-21	Carrick Rangers	W 2-0	40.4	929	995	32.41%	19.90%	47.69%	-0.31	+24.6	4
2017-10-21	@ Ballinamallard United	L 0-2	40.4	995	929	47.69%	19.90%	32.41%	+0.31	-24.5	9
2017-10-21	Coleraine	L 1-2	42.3	1178	1297	25.91%	19.61%	54.48%	-0.60	-7.4	19
2017-10-21	@ Cliftonville	W 2-1	42.3	1297	1178	54.48%	19.61%	25.91%	+0.60	+7.4	31
2017-10-21	Glentoran	L 0-2	37.4	1104	1133	37.37%	20.00%	42.63%	-0.10	-20.1	14
2017-10-21	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	37.4	1133	1104	42.63%	20.00%	37.37%	+0.10	+20.1	21
2017-10-23	Crusaders	L 2-5	47.0	1359	1340	44.13%	19.98%	35.90%	+0.16	-24.4	21
2017-10-23	@ Linfield	W 5-2	47.0	1340	1359	35.90%	19.98%	44.13%	-0.16	+24.4	23
2017-10-27	Ballinamallard United	W 2-0	26.5	1365	954	79.11%	15.02%	5.87%	+2.33	+3.4	26
2017-10-27	@ Crusaders	L 0-2	26.5	954	1365	5.87%	15.02%	79.11%	-2.33	-3.4	4
2017-10-28	Ards	W 2-0	28.1	1334	1019	73.77%	16.81%	9.42%	+1.80	+5.6	24
2017-10-28	@ Linfield	L 0-2	28.1	1019	1334	9.42%	16.81%	73.77%	-1.80	-5.6	10
2017-10-28	Cliftonville	L 0-4	31.7	1084	1170	29.76%	19.81%	50.43%	-0.42	-31.5	14
2017-10-28	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 4-0	31.7	1170	1084	50.43%	19.81%	29.76%	+0.42	+31.5	22
2017-10-28	Glenavon	L 0-2	28.4	971	1288	10.32%	17.13%	72.56%	-1.70	-6.2	9
2017-10-28	@ Carrick Rangers	W 2-0	28.4	1288	971	72.56%	17.13%	10.32%	+1.70	+6.2	29
2017-10-28	Glentoran	W 3-0	29.9	1305	1153	60.44%	19.14%	20.42%	+0.90	+17.3	34
2017-10-28	@ Coleraine	L 0-3	29.9	1153	1305	20.42%	19.14%	60.44%	-0.90	-17.3	21
2017-10-28	Warrenpoint Town	D 3-3	63.9	1084	1017	50.63%	19.80%	29.57%	+0.43	-0.8	14
2017-10-28	@ Ballymena United	D 3-3	63.9	1017	1084	29.57%	19.80%	50.63%	-0.43	+0.8	8
2017-10-31	Ballinamallard United	W 2-1	35.2	1322	950	77.10%	15.77%	7.13%	+2.11	+2.1	37
2017-10-31	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	35.2	950	1322	7.13%	15.77%	77.10%	-2.11	-2.1	4
2017-11-04	Carrick Rangers	W 3-0	27.2	1202	964	68.24%	18.06%	13.70%	+1.37	+11.9	25
2017-11-04	@ Cliftonville	L 0-3	27.2	964	1202	13.70%	18.06%	68.24%	-1.37	-11.9	9
2017-11-04	Coleraine	D 2-2	60.6	1295	1324	37.29%	19.99%	42.72%	-0.11	+0.2	30
2017-11-04	@ Glenavon	D 2-2	60.6	1324	1295	42.72%	19.99%	37.29%	+0.11	-0.2	38
2017-11-04	Crusaders	L 2-4	37.3	1014	1368	8.63%	16.49%	74.89%	-1.90	-4.0	10
2017-11-04	@ Ards	W 4-2	37.3	1368	1014	74.89%	16.49%	8.63%	+1.90	+4.0	29
2017-11-04	Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	45.3	1018	1052	36.69%	19.99%	43.32%	-0.13	-9.9	8
2017-11-04	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 2-1	45.3	1052	1018	43.32%	19.99%	36.69%	+0.13	+9.9	17
2017-11-04	Linfield	L 0-6	24.6	948	1340	7.17%	15.80%	77.03%	-2.11	-11.8	4
2017-11-04	@ Ballinamallard United	W 6-0	24.6	1340	948	77.03%	15.80%	7.17%	+2.11	+11.8	27
2017-11-06	Ballymena United	D 1-1	54.4	1135	1083	48.67%	19.87%	31.46%	+0.35	-1.0	22
2017-11-06	@ Glentoran	D 1-1	54.4	1083	1135	31.46%	19.87%	48.67%	-0.35	+1.0	15
2017-11-10	Linfield	W 2-1	54.6	1084	1352	13.15%	17.93%	68.92%	-1.42	+17.3	18
2017-11-10	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	54.6	1352	1084	68.92%	17.93%	13.15%	+1.42	-17.3	27
2017-11-11	Ballinamallard United	W 5-0	25.6	1214	936	71.25%	17.44%	11.31%	+1.59	+15.9	28
2017-11-11	@ Cliftonville	L 0-5	25.6	936	1214	11.31%	17.44%	71.25%	-1.59	-15.9	4
2017-11-11	Warrenpoint Town	L 0-2	36.2	953	1008	33.77%	19.94%	46.29%	-0.25	-18.5	9
2017-11-11	@ Carrick Rangers	W 2-0	36.2	1008	953	46.29%	19.94%	33.77%	+0.25	+18.5	11
2017-11-14	Glenavon	L 1-3	37.9	1134	1295	21.66%	19.27%	59.08%	-0.83	-10.9	22
2017-11-14	@ Glentoran	W 3-1	37.9	1295	1134	59.08%	19.27%	21.66%	+0.83	+10.9	33
2017-11-18	Carrick Rangers	W 7-1	25.8	1372	934	80.38%	14.49%	5.13%	+2.48	+6.8	32
2017-11-18	@ Crusaders	L 1-7	25.8	934	1372	5.13%	14.49%	80.38%	-2.48	-6.8	9
2017-11-18	Cliftonville	L 0-1	34.0	1010	1230	16.46%	18.60%	64.94%	-1.16	-5.2	10
2017-11-18	@ Ards	W 1-0	34.0	1230	1010	64.94%	18.60%	16.46%	+1.16	+5.2	31
2017-11-18	Coleraine	W 2-1	46.8	1335	1324	43.02%	19.99%	36.98%	+0.12	+10.0	30
2017-11-18	@ Linfield	L 1-2	46.8	1324	1335	36.98%	19.99%	43.02%	-0.12	-10.0	38
2017-11-18	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	44.2	1102	1062	47.06%	19.92%	33.02%	+0.28	+9.1	21
2017-11-18	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	44.2	1062	1102	33.02%	19.92%	47.06%	-0.28	-9.1	17
2017-11-18	Glenavon	L 0-3	24.7	921	1306	7.42%	15.92%	76.66%	-2.07	-6.4	4
2017-11-18	@ Ballinamallard United	W 3-0	24.7	1306	921	76.66%	15.92%	7.42%	+2.07	+6.4	36
2017-11-18	Glentoran	L 2-3	47.8	1027	1124	28.53%	19.76%	51.71%	-0.48	-7.6	11
2017-11-18	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 3-2	47.8	1124	1027	51.71%	19.76%	28.53%	+0.48	+7.6	25
2017-11-21	Ards	W 4-1	30.8	1314	1005	73.42%	16.90%	9.68%	+1.77	+7.1	41
2017-11-21	@ Coleraine	L 1-4	30.8	1005	1314	9.68%	16.90%	73.42%	-1.77	-7.1	10
2017-11-21	Crusaders	L 0-4	25.1	1053	1379	9.90%	16.98%	73.11%	-1.74	-11.2	17
2017-11-21	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 4-0	25.1	1379	1053	73.11%	16.98%	9.90%	+1.74	+11.2	35
2017-11-24	Linfield	L 0-1	41.9	1312	1345	36.90%	19.99%	43.11%	-0.12	-10.5	36
2017-11-24	@ Glenavon	W 1-0	41.9	1345	1312	43.11%	19.99%	36.90%	+0.12	+10.5	33
2017-11-25	Ards	L 0-2	43.5	1131	997	58.50%	19.32%	22.18%	+0.80	-29.5	25
2017-11-25	@ Glentoran	W 2-0	43.5	997	1131	22.18%	19.32%	58.50%	-0.80	+29.5	13
2017-11-25	Ballymena United	W 1-0	36.3	1235	1111	57.44%	19.41%	23.15%	+0.74	+7.1	34
2017-11-25	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	36.3	1111	1235	23.15%	19.41%	57.44%	-0.74	-7.1	21
2017-11-25	Carrick Rangers	W 4-0	29.8	1042	927	56.35%	19.49%	24.17%	+0.69	+26.4	20
2017-11-25	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-4	29.8	927	1042	24.17%	19.49%	56.35%	-0.69	-26.4	9
2017-11-25	Crusaders	D 1-1	56.4	1321	1390	32.01%	19.89%	48.10%	-0.32	+1.0	42
2017-11-25	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	56.4	1390	1321	48.10%	19.89%	32.01%	+0.32	-1.0	36
2017-11-25	Warrenpoint Town	D 1-1	54.4	914	1019	27.61%	19.71%	52.68%	-0.52	+1.5	5
2017-11-25	@ Ballinamallard United	D 1-1	54.4	1019	914	52.68%	19.71%	27.61%	+0.52	-1.5	12
2017-12-02	Ballinamallard United	W 2-1	39.1	1104	916	63.98%	18.73%	17.30%	+1.10	+5.1	24
2017-12-02	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	39.1	916	1104	17.30%	18.73%	63.98%	-1.10	-5.1	5
2017-12-02	Cliftonville	L 1-3	35.9	1017	1242	16.11%	18.54%	65.35%	-1.18	-8.3	12
2017-12-02	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 3-1	35.9	1242	1017	65.35%	18.54%	16.11%	+1.18	+8.3	37
2017-12-02	Coleraine	L 1-3	31.9	901	1322	6.20%	15.23%	78.56%	-2.27	-3.1	9
2017-12-02	@ Carrick Rangers	W 3-1	31.9	1322	901	78.56%	15.23%	6.20%	+2.27	+3.1	45
2017-12-02	Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	32.1	1355	1068	71.93%	17.28%	10.78%	+1.65	+3.4	36
2017-12-02	@ Linfield	L 0-1	32.1	1068	1355	10.78%	17.28%	71.93%	-1.65	-3.4	20
2017-12-02	Glenavon	L 0-2	29.4	1027	1302	12.71%	17.82%	69.47%	-1.46	-7.6	13
2017-12-02	@ Ards	W 2-0	29.4	1302	1027	69.47%	17.82%	12.71%	+1.46	+7.6	39
2017-12-02	Glentoran	W 1-0	32.3	1389	1102	71.96%	17.27%	10.76%	+1.65	+3.4	39
2017-12-02	@ Crusaders	L 0-1	32.3	1102	1389	10.76%	17.27%	71.96%	-1.65	-3.4	25
2017-12-09	Crusaders	L 2-3	40.5	1009	1393	7.48%	15.95%	76.57%	-2.06	-2.1	12
2017-12-09	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 3-2	40.5	1393	1009	76.57%	15.95%	7.48%	+2.06	+2.1	42
2017-12-09	Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	32.6	1325	1064	70.04%	17.71%	12.25%	+1.50	+3.9	48
2017-12-09	@ Coleraine	L 0-1	32.6	1064	1325	12.25%	17.71%	70.04%	-1.50	-3.9	20
2017-12-16	Ards	D 0-0	50.4	1061	1019	47.23%	19.92%	32.85%	+0.29	-1.0	21
2017-12-16	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 0-0	50.4	1019	1061	32.85%	19.92%	47.23%	-0.29	+1.0	14
2017-12-16	Carrick Rangers	W 3-1	35.6	1109	898	66.05%	18.43%	15.52%	+1.23	+8.0	27
2017-12-16	@ Ballymena United	L 1-3	35.6	898	1109	15.52%	18.43%	66.05%	-1.23	-8.0	9
2017-12-16	Coleraine	L 0-2	26.7	911	1329	6.29%	15.29%	78.43%	-2.25	-3.7	5
2017-12-16	@ Ballinamallard United	W 2-0	26.7	1329	911	78.43%	15.29%	6.29%	+2.25	+3.7	51
2017-12-16	Crusaders	L 3-4	53.3	1309	1395	29.91%	19.82%	50.27%	-0.41	-7.7	39
2017-12-16	@ Glenavon	W 4-3	53.3	1395	1309	50.27%	19.82%	29.91%	+0.41	+7.7	45
2017-12-16	Glentoran	W 1-0	35.4	1250	1098	60.45%	19.14%	20.41%	+0.90	+6.3	40
2017-12-16	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	35.4	1098	1250	20.41%	19.14%	60.45%	-0.90	-6.3	25
2017-12-16	Warrenpoint Town	D 3-3	65.1	1359	1007	75.97%	16.15%	7.88%	+2.00	-2.8	37
2017-12-16	@ Linfield	D 3-3	65.1	1007	1359	7.88%	16.15%	75.97%	-2.00	+2.8	13
2017-12-22	Ballymena United	W 2-1	37.2	1402	1117	71.82%	17.31%	10.87%	+1.64	+3.3	48
2017-12-22	@ Crusaders	L 1-2	37.2	1117	1402	10.87%	17.31%	71.82%	-1.64	-3.3	27
2017-12-22	Coleraine	L 0-2	28.4	1010	1333	10.05%	17.04%	72.91%	-1.73	-6.0	13
2017-12-22	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 2-0	28.4	1333	1010	72.91%	17.04%	10.05%	+1.73	+6.0	54
2017-12-23	Ballinamallard United	W 2-1	41.4	1020	907	56.25%	19.49%	24.25%	+0.69	+7.0	17
2017-12-23	@ Ards	L 1-2	41.4	907	1020	24.25%	19.49%	56.25%	-0.69	-7.0	5
2017-12-23	Cliftonville	W 2-0	34.8	1356	1257	54.58%	19.60%	25.82%	+0.61	+14.7	40
2017-12-23	@ Linfield	L 0-2	34.8	1257	1356	25.82%	19.60%	54.58%	-0.61	-14.7	40
2017-12-23	Glenavon	L 0-3	27.8	1060	1301	14.85%	18.30%	66.84%	-1.28	-12.9	21
2017-12-23	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 3-0	27.8	1301	1060	66.84%	18.30%	14.85%	+1.28	+12.9	42
2017-12-23	Glentoran	D 1-1	54.6	890	1092	17.89%	18.82%	63.29%	-1.06	+2.9	10
2017-12-23	@ Carrick Rangers	D 1-1	54.6	1092	890	63.29%	18.82%	17.89%	+1.06	-2.9	26
2017-12-26	Ballymena United	D 1-1	55.1	1339	1114	67.25%	18.24%	14.52%	+1.30	-3.4	55
2017-12-26	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	55.1	1114	1339	14.52%	18.24%	67.25%	-1.30	+3.4	28
2017-12-26	Carrick Rangers	W 1-0	35.8	1027	893	58.61%	19.31%	22.08%	+0.80	+6.8	20
2017-12-26	@ Ards	L 0-1	35.8	893	1027	22.08%	19.31%	58.61%	-0.80	-6.8	10
2017-12-26	Cliftonville	W 2-0	33.0	1406	1242	61.65%	19.01%	19.34%	+0.96	+11.4	51
2017-12-26	@ Crusaders	L 0-2	33.0	1242	1406	19.34%	19.01%	61.65%	-0.96	-11.4	40
2017-12-26	Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	36.2	900	1047	23.00%	19.39%	57.61%	-0.75	-7.0	5
2017-12-26	@ Ballinamallard United	W 1-0	36.2	1047	900	57.61%	19.39%	23.00%	+0.75	+7.0	24
2017-12-26	Linfield	W 2-1	54.9	1089	1370	12.29%	17.72%	69.99%	-1.50	+17.5	29
2017-12-26	@ Glentoran	L 1-2	54.9	1370	1089	69.99%	17.72%	12.29%	+1.50	-17.5	40
2017-12-26	Warrenpoint Town	W 1-0	31.5	1314	1004	73.48%	16.89%	9.63%	+1.77	+3.1	45
2017-12-26	@ Glenavon	L 0-1	31.5	1004	1314	9.63%	16.89%	73.48%	-1.77	-3.0	13
2017-12-29	Ballinamallard United	D 2-2	59.6	886	893	40.52%	20.01%	39.47%	+0.02	-0.0	11
2017-12-29	@ Carrick Rangers	D 2-2	59.6	893	886	39.47%	20.01%	40.52%	-0.02	+0.0	6
2017-12-30	Ards	D 3-3	63.8	1001	1034	36.78%	19.99%	43.23%	-0.13	+0.2	14
2017-12-30	@ Warrenpoint Town	D 3-3	63.8	1034	1001	43.23%	19.99%	36.78%	+0.13	-0.2	21
2017-12-30	Coleraine	D 0-0	51.2	1231	1335	27.59%	19.71%	52.70%	-0.52	+1.7	41
2017-12-30	@ Cliftonville	D 0-0	51.2	1335	1231	52.70%	19.71%	27.59%	+0.52	-1.7	56
2017-12-30	Crusaders	L 1-2	47.0	1353	1417	32.64%	19.91%	47.45%	-0.30	-9.0	40
2017-12-30	@ Linfield	W 2-1	47.0	1417	1353	47.45%	19.91%	32.64%	+0.30	+9.0	54
2017-12-30	Glenavon	W 3-1	50.3	1117	1317	18.04%	18.84%	63.12%	-1.05	+27.5	31
2017-12-30	@ Ballymena United	L 1-3	50.3	1317	1117	63.12%	18.84%	18.04%	+1.05	-27.5	45
2017-12-30	Glentoran	D 0-0	50.4	1054	1106	34.15%	19.95%	45.90%	-0.23	+0.8	25
2017-12-30	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 0-0	50.4	1106	1054	45.90%	19.95%	34.15%	+0.23	-0.8	30
2018-01-01	Crusaders	L 0-3	22.8	893	1426	3.54%	13.01%	83.45%	-2.89	-2.9	6
2018-01-01	@ Ballinamallard United	W 3-0	22.8	1426	893	83.45%	13.01%	3.54%	+2.89	+2.9	57
2018-01-09	Linfield	L 0-1	29.4	886	1344	5.16%	14.51%	80.33%	-2.47	-1.6	11
2018-01-09	@ Carrick Rangers	W 1-0	29.4	1344	886	80.33%	14.51%	5.16%	+2.47	+1.6	43
2018-01-13	Ards	W 1-0	30.3	1429	1034	78.32%	15.33%	6.35%	+2.24	+2.0	60
2018-01-13	@ Crusaders	L 0-1	30.3	1034	1429	6.35%	15.33%	78.32%	-2.24	-2.0	21
2018-01-13	Carrick Rangers	W 3-0	26.7	1145	884	70.01%	17.71%	12.28%	+1.50	+10.7	34
2018-01-13	@ Ballymena United	L 0-3	26.7	884	1145	12.28%	17.71%	70.01%	-1.50	-10.7	11
2018-01-13	Cliftonville	D 1-1	54.9	1290	1232	49.40%	19.85%	30.75%	+0.38	-1.1	46
2018-01-13	@ Glenavon	D 1-1	54.9	1232	1290	30.75%	19.85%	49.40%	-0.38	+1.1	42
2018-01-13	Coleraine	L 0-1	32.7	1055	1334	12.43%	17.75%	69.82%	-1.48	-4.0	25
2018-01-13	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	32.7	1334	1055	69.82%	17.75%	12.43%	+1.48	+4.0	59
2018-01-13	Glentoran	D 2-2	60.0	890	1106	16.80%	18.65%	64.55%	-1.13	+2.3	7
2018-01-13	@ Ballinamallard United	D 2-2	60.0	1106	890	64.55%	18.65%	16.80%	+1.13	-2.3	31
2018-01-20	Ballinamallard United	W 1-0	36.7	1001	892	55.70%	19.53%	24.77%	+0.66	+7.5	17
2018-01-20	@ Warrenpoint Town	L 0-1	36.7	892	1001	24.77%	19.53%	55.70%	-0.66	-7.5	7
2018-01-20	Ballymena United	W 1-0	45.8	1032	1155	25.50%	19.58%	54.92%	-0.62	+14.8	24
2018-01-20	@ Ards	L 0-1	45.8	1155	1032	54.92%	19.58%	25.50%	+0.62	-14.8	34
2018-01-20	Crusaders	D 3-3	66.8	1338	1431	28.98%	19.78%	51.24%	-0.46	+0.8	60
2018-01-20	@ Coleraine	D 3-3	66.8	1431	1338	51.24%	19.78%	28.98%	+0.46	-0.8	61
2018-01-20	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-0	28.7	1233	1051	63.48%	18.79%	17.73%	+1.07	+15.2	45
2018-01-20	@ Cliftonville	L 0-3	28.7	1051	1233	17.73%	18.79%	63.48%	-1.07	-15.2	25
2018-01-20	Glenavon	L 2-3	55.2	1346	1289	49.30%	19.85%	30.84%	+0.37	-12.0	43
2018-01-20	@ Linfield	W 3-2	55.2	1289	1346	30.84%	19.85%	49.30%	-0.37	+12.0	49
2018-01-26	Cliftonville	W 6-4	60.2	885	1249	8.24%	16.32%	75.45%	-1.95	+26.5	10
2018-01-26	@ Ballinamallard United	L 4-6	60.2	1249	885	75.45%	16.32%	8.24%	+1.95	-26.5	45
2018-01-26	Warrenpoint Town	D 3-3	64.7	1301	1008	72.28%	17.20%	10.53%	+1.67	-2.5	50
2018-01-26	@ Glenavon	D 3-3	64.7	1008	1301	10.53%	17.20%	72.28%	-1.67	+2.5	18
2018-01-27	Ards	W 1-0	41.5	1035	1047	39.91%	20.01%	40.08%	+0.00	+11.3	28
2018-01-27	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	41.5	1047	1035	40.08%	20.01%	39.91%	+0.00	-11.3	24
2018-01-27	Carrick Rangers	W 6-0	22.2	1430	873	85.06%	12.12%	2.82%	+3.13	+4.3	64
2018-01-27	@ Crusaders	L 0-6	22.2	873	1430	2.82%	12.12%	85.06%	-3.13	-4.3	11
2018-01-27	Coleraine	L 0-2	30.5	1103	1339	15.33%	18.39%	66.28%	-1.24	-9.1	31
2018-01-27	@ Glentoran	W 2-0	30.5	1339	1103	66.28%	18.39%	15.33%	+1.24	+9.1	63
2018-01-27	Linfield	D 2-2	60.3	1140	1334	18.65%	18.92%	62.43%	-1.01	+2.1	35
2018-01-27	@ Ballymena United	D 2-2	60.3	1334	1140	62.43%	18.92%	18.65%	+1.01	-2.1	44
2018-01-29	Glenavon	D 1-1	54.9	1222	1298	31.11%	19.86%	49.03%	-0.36	+1.1	46
2018-01-29	@ Cliftonville	D 1-1	54.9	1298	1222	49.03%	19.86%	31.11%	+0.36	-1.1	51
2018-01-30	Linfield	D 2-2	61.2	1348	1331	43.81%	19.98%	36.21%	+0.15	-0.3	64
2018-01-30	@ Coleraine	D 2-2	61.2	1331	1348	36.21%	19.98%	43.81%	-0.15	+0.3	45
2018-02-06	Ballinamallard United	W 2-1	39.2	1094	911	63.50%	18.79%	17.71%	+1.07	+5.2	34
2018-02-06	@ Glentoran	L 1-2	39.2	911	1094	17.71%	18.79%	63.50%	-1.07	-5.2	10
2018-02-06	Crusaders	L 0-3	22.4	869	1434	3.01%	12.37%	84.62%	-3.06	-2.4	11
2018-02-06	@ Carrick Rangers	W 3-0	22.4	1434	869	84.62%	12.37%	3.01%	+3.06	+2.4	67
2018-02-06	Linfield	L 1-3	33.7	1011	1332	10.16%	17.08%	72.76%	-1.71	-5.3	18
2018-02-06	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 3-1	33.7	1332	1011	72.76%	17.08%	10.16%	+1.71	+5.3	48
2018-02-10	Carrick Rangers	L 0-4	41.0	1035	867	62.12%	18.96%	18.92%	+0.99	-59.3	24
2018-02-10	@ Ards	W 4-0	41.0	867	1035	18.92%	18.96%	62.12%	-0.99	+59.3	14
2018-02-10	Dungannon Swifts	D 0-0	51.4	1337	1047	72.15%	17.23%	10.62%	+1.66	-4.5	49
2018-02-10	@ Linfield	D 0-0	51.4	1047	1337	10.62%	17.23%	72.15%	-1.66	+4.5	29
2018-02-10	Glenavon	D 1-1	55.6	1347	1297	48.44%	19.88%	31.68%	+0.34	-1.0	65
2018-02-10	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	55.6	1297	1347	31.68%	19.88%	48.44%	-0.34	+1.0	52
2018-02-10	Glentoran	W 4-2	37.7	1437	1099	75.15%	16.41%	8.44%	+1.92	+3.9	70
2018-02-10	@ Crusaders	L 2-4	37.7	1099	1437	8.44%	16.41%	75.15%	-1.92	-3.9	34
2018-02-13	Cliftonville	L 1-3	36.0	1006	1223	16.66%	18.63%	64.71%	-1.14	-8.6	18
2018-02-13	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 3-1	36.0	1223	1006	64.71%	18.63%	16.66%	+1.14	+8.6	49
2018-02-13	Glenavon	L 1-6	28.3	976	1298	10.10%	17.05%	72.84%	-1.72	-11.7	24
2018-02-13	@ Ards	W 6-1	28.3	1298	976	72.84%	17.05%	10.10%	+1.72	+11.7	55
2018-02-13	Glentoran	L 1-2	40.3	926	1096	20.78%	19.18%	60.05%	-0.88	-6.1	14
2018-02-13	@ Carrick Rangers	W 2-1	40.3	1096	926	60.05%	19.18%	20.78%	+0.88	+6.1	37
2018-02-16	Ards	L 1-2	51.7	1102	964	58.89%	19.28%	21.82%	+0.82	-14.9	37
2018-02-16	@ Glentoran	W 2-1	51.7	964	1102	21.82%	19.28%	58.89%	-0.82	+14.9	27
2018-02-16	Coleraine	L 2-5	32.1	906	1346	5.64%	14.86%	79.49%	-2.37	-3.5	10
2018-02-16	@ Ballinamallard United	W 5-2	32.1	1346	906	79.49%	14.86%	5.64%	+2.37	+3.5	68
2018-02-17	Linfield	L 1-2	43.3	1232	1333	28.08%	19.73%	52.19%	-0.50	-7.9	49
2018-02-17	@ Cliftonville	W 2-1	43.3	1333	1232	52.19%	19.73%	28.08%	+0.50	+7.9	52
2018-02-17	Warrenpoint Town	L 1-2	43.5	920	997	30.97%	19.86%	49.17%	-0.37	-8.6	14
2018-02-17	@ Carrick Rangers	W 2-1	43.5	997	920	49.17%	19.86%	30.97%	+0.37	+8.6	21
2018-02-24	Ballinamallard United	W 2-0	32.1	1051	903	60.10%	19.17%	20.73%	+0.88	+12.1	32
2018-02-24	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-2	32.1	903	1051	20.73%	19.17%	60.10%	-0.88	-12.1	10
2018-02-24	Ballymena United	W 3-1	34.4	1441	1143	72.68%	17.10%	10.22%	+1.71	+5.3	73
2018-02-24	@ Crusaders	L 1-3	34.4	1143	1441	10.22%	17.10%	72.68%	-1.71	-5.3	35
2018-02-24	Cliftonville	W 1-0	46.3	1087	1224	24.02%	19.48%	56.50%	-0.70	+15.2	40
2018-02-24	@ Glentoran	L 0-1	46.3	1224	1087	56.50%	19.48%	24.02%	+0.70	-15.2	49
2018-02-24	Glenavon	L 1-2	35.1	911	1310	6.95%	15.67%	77.38%	-2.14	-2.1	14
2018-02-24	@ Carrick Rangers	W 2-1	35.1	1310	911	77.38%	15.67%	6.95%	+2.14	+2.1	58
2018-02-24	Linfield	L 0-3	25.2	979	1340	8.34%	16.36%	75.29%	-1.94	-7.2	27
2018-02-24	@ Ards	W 3-0	25.2	1340	979	75.29%	16.36%	8.34%	+1.94	+7.2	55
2018-02-24	Warrenpoint Town	W 1-0	30.9	1350	1006	75.54%	16.29%	8.17%	+1.96	+2.6	71
2018-02-24	@ Coleraine	L 0-1	30.9	1006	1350	8.17%	16.29%	75.54%	-1.96	-2.6	21
2018-02-27	Ballymena United	W 1-0	47.1	972	1137	21.18%	19.22%	59.60%	-0.85	+15.9	30
2018-02-27	@ Ards	L 0-1	47.1	1137	972	59.60%	19.22%	21.18%	+0.85	-15.9	35
2018-02-27	Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	46.8	909	1063	22.28%	19.33%	58.39%	-0.79	+15.6	17
2018-02-27	@ Carrick Rangers	L 0-1	46.8	1063	909	58.39%	19.33%	22.28%	+0.79	-15.6	32
2018-02-27	Glenavon	L 0-2	41.5	1348	1312	46.50%	19.93%	33.56%	+0.26	-24.0	55
2018-02-27	@ Linfield	W 2-0	41.5	1312	1348	33.56%	19.93%	46.50%	-0.26	+24.0	61
2018-02-27	Warrenpoint Town	W 5-0	30.6	1102	1003	54.53%	19.61%	25.86%	+0.60	+34.5	43
2018-02-27	@ Glentoran	L 0-5	30.6	1003	1102	25.86%	19.61%	54.53%	-0.60	-34.5	21
2018-03-06	Ballymena United	L 2-3	48.7	1048	1121	31.42%	19.87%	48.71%	-0.35	-8.2	32
2018-03-06	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 3-2	48.7	1121	1048	48.71%	19.87%	31.42%	+0.35	+8.2	38
2018-03-06	Crusaders	L 1-6	37.3	1336	1446	26.98%	19.68%	53.34%	-0.55	-29.6	61
2018-03-06	@ Glenavon	W 6-1	37.3	1446	1336	53.34%	19.68%	26.98%	+0.55	+29.6	76
2018-03-10	Ards	L 0-4	31.2	890	988	28.47%	19.75%	51.77%	-0.48	-30.4	10
2018-03-10	@ Ballinamallard United	W 4-0	31.2	988	890	51.77%	19.75%	28.47%	+0.48	+30.4	33
2018-03-10	Carrick Rangers	W 2-0	26.6	1324	925	78.50%	15.26%	6.24%	+2.26	+3.7	58
2018-03-10	@ Linfield	L 0-2	26.6	925	1324	6.24%	15.26%	78.50%	-2.26	-3.7	17
2018-03-10	Coleraine	L 0-2	31.0	1130	1352	16.24%	18.56%	65.20%	-1.17	-9.6	38
2018-03-10	@ Ballymena United	W 2-0	31.0	1352	1130	65.20%	18.56%	16.24%	+1.17	+9.6	74
2018-03-10	Crusaders	W 3-1	53.2	1209	1476	13.17%	17.94%	68.89%	-1.42	+29.9	52
2018-03-10	@ Cliftonville	L 1-3	53.2	1476	1209	68.89%	17.94%	13.17%	+1.42	-29.9	76
2018-03-10	Glentoran	D 2-2	60.2	1306	1136	62.24%	18.94%	18.81%	+1.00	-2.1	62
2018-03-10	@ Glenavon	D 2-2	60.2	1136	1306	18.81%	18.94%	62.24%	-1.00	+2.1	44
2018-03-17	Ballinamallard United	D 0-0	52.1	1304	860	80.66%	14.37%	4.98%	+2.51	-5.6	63
2018-03-17	@ Glenavon	D 0-0	52.1	860	1304	4.98%	14.37%	80.66%	-2.51	+5.6	11
2018-03-17	Cliftonville	L 0-1	31.7	921	1239	10.34%	17.14%	72.52%	-1.69	-3.3	17
2018-03-17	@ Carrick Rangers	W 1-0	31.7	1239	921	72.52%	17.14%	10.34%	+1.69	+3.3	55
2018-03-17	Coleraine	L 1-3	33.3	1018	1362	9.09%	16.68%	74.24%	-1.84	-4.7	33
2018-03-17	@ Ards	W 3-1	33.3	1362	1018	74.24%	16.68%	9.09%	+1.84	+4.7	77
2018-03-17	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-0	24.4	1446	1039	78.88%	15.11%	6.01%	+2.30	+5.1	79
2018-03-17	@ Crusaders	L 0-3	24.4	1039	1446	6.01%	15.11%	78.88%	-2.30	-5.1	32
2018-03-17	Glentoran	D 1-1	55.0	1327	1138	64.05%	18.72%	17.23%	+1.10	-3.0	59
2018-03-17	@ Linfield	D 1-1	55.0	1138	1327	17.23%	18.72%	64.05%	-1.10	+3.0	45
2018-03-17	Warrenpoint Town	L 1-3	49.3	1120	969	60.36%	19.15%	20.50%	+0.89	-26.4	38
2018-03-17	@ Ballymena United	W 3-1	49.3	969	1120	20.50%	19.15%	60.36%	-0.89	+26.3	24
2018-03-20	Ballymena United	L 1-2	52.2	1242	1094	60.06%	19.18%	20.77%	+0.88	-15.1	55
2018-03-20	@ Cliftonville	W 2-1	52.2	1094	1242	20.77%	19.18%	60.06%	-0.88	+15.1	41
2018-03-23	Ards	W 3-0	27.9	1227	1014	66.22%	18.40%	15.38%	+1.24	+13.3	58
2018-03-23	@ Cliftonville	L 0-3	27.9	1014	1227	15.38%	18.40%	66.22%	-1.24	-13.3	33
2018-03-23	Ballymena United	L 1-2	48.1	1141	1109	46.10%	19.94%	33.96%	+0.24	-11.9	45
2018-03-23	@ Glentoran	W 2-1	48.1	1109	1141	33.96%	19.94%	46.10%	-0.24	+11.9	44
2018-03-23	Carrick Rangers	W 3-2	39.1	1367	918	80.86%	14.27%	4.86%	+2.54	+1.3	80
2018-03-23	@ Coleraine	L 2-3	39.1	918	1367	4.86%	14.27%	80.86%	-2.54	-1.3	17
2018-03-23	Glenavon	W 3-2	59.4	1034	1299	13.34%	17.98%	68.68%	-1.40	+16.3	35
2018-03-23	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 2-3	59.4	1299	1034	68.68%	17.98%	13.34%	+1.40	-16.3	63
2018-03-23	Linfield	D 2-2	61.3	866	1324	5.15%	14.50%	80.35%	-2.47	+3.7	12
2018-03-23	@ Ballinamallard United	D 2-2	61.3	1324	866	80.35%	14.50%	5.15%	+2.47	-3.7	60
2018-03-26	Ballinamallard United	W 2-0	29.3	1121	869	69.32%	17.85%	12.83%	+1.45	+7.7	47
2018-03-26	@ Ballymena United	L 0-2	29.3	869	1121	12.83%	17.85%	69.32%	-1.45	-7.7	12
2018-03-26	Crusaders	L 1-4	28.9	995	1451	5.22%	14.56%	80.22%	-2.46	-3.7	24
2018-03-26	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 4-1	28.9	1451	995	80.22%	14.56%	5.22%	+2.46	+3.7	82
2018-03-31	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-0	37.7	991	1051	33.28%	19.93%	46.79%	-0.27	+35.1	27
2018-03-31	@ Warrenpoint Town	L 0-3	37.7	1051	991	46.79%	19.93%	33.28%	+0.27	-35.1	35

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2018-04-03	Cliftonville	L 0-3	31.8	1128	1240	26.81%	19.67%	53.52%	-0.56	-22.1	0
2018-04-03	@ Ballymena United	W 3-0	31.8	1240	1128	53.52%	19.67%	26.81%	+0.56	+22.1	3
2018-04-03	Coleraine	D 1-1	58.6	1455	1368	53.06%	19.69%	27.25%	+0.54	-1.6	1
2018-04-03	@ Crusaders	D 1-1	58.6	1368	1455	27.25%	19.69%	53.06%	-0.54	+1.6	1
2018-04-03	Linfield	L 2-3	51.1	1282	1321	36.10%	19.98%	43.92%	-0.15	-9.3	0
2018-04-03	@ Glenavon	W 3-2	51.1	1321	1282	43.92%	19.98%	36.10%	+0.15	+9.2	3
2018-04-03	Warrenpoint Town	W 4-2	48.3	1000	1026	37.80%	20.00%	42.20%	-0.09	+17.1	3
2018-04-03	@ Ards	L 2-4	48.3	1026	1000	42.20%	20.00%	37.80%	+0.09	-17.2	0
2018-04-07	Ballymena United	W 2-0	30.3	1330	1106	67.11%	18.26%	14.63%	+1.29	+8.7	6
2018-04-07	@ Linfield	L 0-2	30.3	1106	1330	14.63%	18.26%	67.11%	-1.29	-8.7	0
2018-04-07	Carrick Rangers	W 2-0	33.8	1016	917	54.54%	19.61%	25.85%	+0.60	+14.7	3
2018-04-07	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-2	33.8	917	1016	25.85%	19.61%	54.54%	-0.60	-14.7	0
2018-04-07	Cliftonville	W 2-1	42.8	1370	1262	55.57%	19.54%	24.88%	+0.65	+7.1	4
2018-04-07	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	42.8	1262	1370	24.88%	19.54%	55.57%	-0.65	-7.1	3
2018-04-07	Glenavon	D 1-1	56.9	1453	1273	63.22%	18.83%	17.95%	+1.05	-2.9	2
2018-04-07	@ Crusaders	D 1-1	56.9	1273	1453	17.95%	18.83%	63.22%	-1.05	+2.9	1
2018-04-07	Glentoran	L 1-4	36.7	1017	1130	26.76%	19.66%	53.58%	-0.56	-18.6	3
2018-04-07	@ Ards	W 4-1	36.7	1130	1017	53.58%	19.66%	26.76%	+0.56	+18.6	3
2018-04-07	Warrenpoint Town	W 2-0	43.2	862	1009	22.93%	19.39%	57.69%	-0.76	+29.2	3
2018-04-07	@ Ballinamallard United	L 0-2	43.2	1009	862	57.69%	19.39%	22.93%	+0.76	-29.1	0
2018-04-14	Ards	L 0-1	37.9	902	999	28.55%	19.76%	51.70%	-0.48	-8.5	0
2018-04-14	@ Carrick Rangers	W 1-0	37.9	999	902	51.70%	19.76%	28.55%	+0.48	+8.5	6
2018-04-14	Ballymena United	W 1-0	32.4	1377	1097	71.38%	17.41%	11.20%	+1.60	+3.6	7
2018-04-14	@ Coleraine	L 0-1	32.4	1097	1377	11.20%	17.41%	71.38%	-1.60	-3.6	0
2018-04-14	Dungannon Swifts	D 2-2	59.7	891	1030	23.77%	19.46%	56.78%	-0.71	+1.5	4
2018-04-14	@ Ballinamallard United	D 2-2	59.7	1030	891	56.78%	19.46%	23.77%	+0.71	-1.5	4
2018-04-14	Glenavon	L 1-3	43.5	1255	1276	38.52%	20.00%	41.47%	-0.06	-17.8	3
2018-04-14	@ Cliftonville	W 3-1	43.5	1276	1255	41.47%	20.00%	38.52%	+0.06	+17.8	4
2018-04-14	Glentoran	W 1-0	47.2	980	1148	20.92%	19.19%	59.89%	-0.87	+16.0	3
2018-04-14	@ Warrenpoint Town	L 0-1	47.2	1148	980	59.89%	19.19%	20.92%	+0.87	-16.0	3
2018-04-14	Linfield	W 2-0	36.7	1450	1339	56.03%	19.51%	24.46%	+0.68	+14.0	5
2018-04-14	@ Crusaders	L 0-2	36.7	1339	1450	24.46%	19.51%	56.03%	-0.68	-14.0	6
2018-04-17	Carrick Rangers	W 2-1	45.8	892	893	41.37%	20.00%	38.63%	+0.05	+10.3	7
2018-04-17	@ Ballinamallard United	L 1-2	45.8	893	892	38.63%	20.00%	41.37%	-0.05	-10.3	0
2018-04-17	Dungannon Swifts	W 4-2	43.1	1132	1029	55.08%	19.57%	25.35%	+0.63	+11.2	6
2018-04-17	@ Glentoran	L 2-4	43.1	1029	1132	25.35%	19.57%	55.08%	-0.63	-11.2	4
2018-04-21	Ballinamallard United	D 1-1	54.4	1007	903	55.23%	19.56%	25.21%	+0.64	-1.9	7
2018-04-21	@ Ards	D 1-1	54.4	903	1007	25.21%	19.56%	55.23%	-0.64	+1.9	8
2018-04-21	Ballymena United	D 0-0	51.0	1294	1094	65.05%	18.58%	16.37%	+1.16	-3.5	5
2018-04-21	@ Glenavon	D 0-0	51.0	1094	1294	16.37%	18.58%	65.05%	-1.16	+3.5	1
2018-04-21	Carrick Rangers	L 1-2	54.6	1143	883	70.00%	17.72%	12.29%	+1.50	-17.5	6
2018-04-21	@ Glentoran	W 2-1	54.6	883	1143	12.29%	17.72%	70.00%	-1.50	+17.5	3
2018-04-21	Cliftonville	D 1-1	56.7	1464	1237	67.39%	18.21%	14.40%	+1.31	-3.5	6
2018-04-21	@ Crusaders	D 1-1	56.7	1237	1464	14.40%	18.21%	67.39%	-1.31	+3.4	4
2018-04-21	Coleraine	D 2-2	61.5	1325	1380	33.74%	19.94%	46.33%	-0.25	+0.6	7
2018-04-21	@ Linfield	D 2-2	61.5	1380	1325	46.33%	19.94%	33.74%	+0.25	-0.6	8
2018-04-21	Warrenpoint Town	W 4-2	46.3	1018	996	44.53%	19.97%	35.50%	+0.18	+14.9	7
2018-04-21	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 2-4	46.3	996	1018	35.50%	19.97%	44.53%	-0.18	-14.9	3
2018-04-28	Ballinamallard United	L 1-3	51.0	1126	905	66.91%	18.29%	14.80%	+1.28	-29.1	6
2018-04-28	@ Glentoran	W 3-1	51.0	905	1126	14.80%	18.29%	66.91%	-1.28	+29.1	11
2018-04-28	Carrick Rangers	L 2-3	54.9	981	901	52.32%	19.73%	27.95%	+0.50	-12.6	3
2018-04-28	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 3-2	54.9	901	981	27.95%	19.73%	52.32%	-0.50	+12.6	6
2018-04-28	Cliftonville	L 1-2	50.8	1325	1241	52.81%	19.70%	27.48%	+0.53	-13.4	7
2018-04-28	@ Linfield	W 2-1	50.8	1241	1325	27.48%	19.70%	52.81%	-0.53	+13.4	7
2018-04-28	Coleraine	D 0-0	52.0	1290	1380	29.43%	19.80%	50.77%	-0.44	+1.5	6
2018-04-28	@ Glenavon	D 0-0	52.0	1380	1290	50.77%	19.80%	29.43%	+0.44	-1.4	9
2018-04-28	Crusaders	L 1-2	36.3	1097	1461	8.26%	16.33%	75.42%	-1.95	-2.5	1
2018-04-28	@ Ballymena United	W 2-1	36.3	1461	1097	75.42%	16.33%	8.26%	+1.95	+2.5	9
2018-04-28	Dungannon Swifts	L 3-4	53.8	1005	1032	37.68%	20.00%	42.32%	-0.09	-9.4	7
2018-04-28	@ Ards	W 4-3	53.8	1032	1005	42.32%	20.00%	37.68%	+0.09	+9.4	10

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2018-01-26	8.24%	@ Ballinamallard United	885	6	Cliftonville	1249	4
2	2017-12-26	12.29%	@ Glentoran	1089	2	Linfield	1370	1
3	2018-04-21	12.29%	Carrick Rangers	883	2	@ Glentoran	1143	1
4	2017-11-10	13.15%	@ Ballymena United	1084	2	Linfield	1352	1
5	2018-03-10	13.17%	@ Cliftonville	1209	3	Crusaders	1476	1
6	2018-03-23	13.34%	@ Dungannon Swifts	1034	3	Glenavon	1299	2
7	2017-09-30	13.46%	@ Cliftonville	1125	3	Linfield	1388	2
8	2018-04-28	14.80%	Ballinamallard United	905	3	@ Glentoran	1126	1
9	2017-12-30	18.04%	@ Ballymena United	1117	3	Glenavon	1317	1
10	2018-02-10	18.92%	Carrick Rangers	867	4	@ Ards	1035	0
11	2018-03-17	20.50%	Warrenpoint Town	969	3	@ Ballymena United	1120	1
12	2018-03-20	20.77%	Ballymena United	1094	2	@ Cliftonville	1242	1
13	2018-04-14	20.92%	@ Warrenpoint Town	980	1	Glentoran	1148	0
14	2018-02-27	21.18%	@ Ards	972	1	Ballymena United	1137	0
15	2018-02-16	21.82%	Ards	964	2	@ Glentoran	1102	1
16	2017-11-25	22.18%	Ards	997	2	@ Glentoran	1131	0
17	2018-02-27	22.28%	@ Carrick Rangers	909	1	Dungannon Swifts	1063	0
18	2018-04-07	22.93%	@ Ballinamallard United	862	2	Warrenpoint Town	1009	0
19	2017-08-19	23.48%	Coleraine	1212	2	@ Crusaders	1332	1
20	2017-10-14	24.02%	@ Carrick Rangers	981	2	Dungannon Swifts	1118	1
21	2018-02-24	24.02%	@ Glentoran	1087	1	Cliftonville	1224	0
22	2018-01-20	25.50%	@ Ards	1032	1	Ballymena United	1155	0
23	2017-10-14	25.70%	Glenavon	1253	3	@ Crusaders	1354	2
24	2018-04-28	27.48%	Cliftonville	1241	2	@ Linfield	1325	1
25	2018-04-28	27.95%	Carrick Rangers	901	3	@ Warrenpoint Town	981	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2018-02-10	59.32	Carrick Rangers	4	867	18.92%	@ Ards	0	1035	62.12%	18.96%
2	2018-03-31	35.07	@ Warrenpoint Town	3	991	33.28%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1051	46.79%	19.93%
3	2018-02-27	34.46	@ Glentoran	5	1102	54.53%	Warrenpoint Town	0	1003	25.86%	19.61%
4	2017-08-19	32.87	Glenavon	6	1205	49.65%	@ Ballymena United	1	1125	30.51%	19.84%
5	2017-10-28	31.54	Cliftonville	4	1170	50.43%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1084	29.76%	19.81%
6	2018-03-10	30.38	Ards	4	988	51.77%	@ Ballinamallard United	0	890	28.47%	19.75%
7	2018-03-10	29.89	@ Cliftonville	3	1209	13.17%	Crusaders	1	1476	68.89%	17.94%
8	2018-03-06	29.61	Crusaders	6	1446	53.34%	@ Glenavon	1	1336	26.98%	19.68%
9	2017-11-25	29.54	Ards	2	997	22.18%	@ Glentoran	0	1131	58.50%	19.32%
10	2018-04-07	29.15	@ Ballinamallard United	2	862	22.93%	Warrenpoint Town	0	1009	57.69%	19.39%
11	2018-04-28	29.08	Ballinamallard United	3	905	14.80%	@ Glentoran	1	1126	66.91%	18.29%
12	2017-12-30	27.49	@ Ballymena United	3	1117	18.04%	Glenavon	1	1317	63.12%	18.84%
13	2018-01-26	26.51	@ Ballinamallard United	6	885	8.24%	Cliftonville	4	1249	75.45%	16.32%
14	2017-11-25	26.35	@ Dungannon Swifts	4	1042	56.35%	Carrick Rangers	0	927	24.17%	19.49%
15	2018-03-17	26.35	Warrenpoint Town	3	969	20.50%	@ Ballymena United	1	1120	60.36%	19.15%
16	2017-10-21	24.55	@ Ballinamallard United	2	929	32.41%	Carrick Rangers	0	995	47.69%	19.90%
17	2017-10-23	24.37	Crusaders	5	1340	35.90%	@ Linfield	2	1359	44.13%	19.98%
18	2018-02-27	24.02	Glenavon	2	1312	33.56%	@ Linfield	0	1348	46.50%	19.93%
19	2017-08-15	22.22	@ Crusaders	5	1310	65.52%	Warrenpoint Town	0	1105	15.97%	18.51%
20	2018-04-03	22.08	Cliftonville	3	1240	53.52%	@ Ballymena United	0	1128	26.81%	19.67%
21	2017-08-25	22.04	@ Carrick Rangers	2	996	38.03%	Ballinamallard United	0	1020	41.96%	20.00%
22	2017-10-21	21.89	@ Glenavon	4	1266	61.29%	Ballymena United	0	1106	19.66%	19.05%
23	2017-10-14	21.76	Cliftonville	2	1156	38.69%	@ Glentoran	0	1154	41.31%	20.00%
24	2017-08-15	20.58	@ Glentoran	2	1112	41.45%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1112	38.55%	20.00%
25	2017-10-21	20.08	Glentoran	2	1133	42.63%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1104	37.37%	20.00%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2018-01-20	66.8	@ Coleraine	3	1338	28.98%	Crusaders	3	1431	51.24%	19.78%
2	2017-12-16	65.1	@ Linfield	3	1359	75.97%	Warrenpoint Town	3	1007	7.88%	16.15%
3	2018-01-26	64.7	@ Glenavon	3	1301	72.28%	Warrenpoint Town	3	1008	10.53%	17.20%
4	2017-10-28	63.9	@ Ballymena United	3	1084	50.63%	Warrenpoint Town	3	1017	29.57%	19.80%
5	2017-12-30	63.8	@ Warrenpoint Town	3	1001	36.78%	Ards	3	1034	43.23%	19.99%
6	2018-04-21	61.5	@ Linfield	2	1325	33.74%	Coleraine	2	1380	46.33%	19.94%
7	2018-03-23	61.3	@ Ballinamallard United	2	866	5.15%	Linfield	2	1324	80.35%	14.50%
8	2018-01-30	61.2	@ Coleraine	2	1348	43.81%	Linfield	2	1331	36.21%	19.98%
9	2017-11-04	60.6	@ Glenavon	2	1295	37.29%	Coleraine	2	1324	42.72%	19.99%
10	2018-01-27	60.3	@ Ballymena United	2	1140	18.65%	Linfield	2	1334	62.43%	18.92%
11	2018-01-26	60.2	@ Ballinamallard United	6	885	8.24%	Cliftonville	4	1249	75.45%	16.32%
12	2018-03-10	60.2	@ Glenavon	2	1306	62.24%	Glentoran	2	1136	18.81%	18.94%
13	2018-01-13	60.0	@ Ballinamallard United	2	890	16.80%	Glentoran	2	1106	64.55%	18.65%
14	2017-08-25	59.9	@ Glenavon	2	1238	55.68%	Glentoran	2	1130	24.79%	19.53%
15	2017-09-30	59.8	@ Cliftonville	3	1125	13.46%	Linfield	2	1388	68.54%	18.00%
16	2018-04-14	59.7	@ Ballinamallard United	2	891	23.77%	Dungannon Swifts	2	1030	56.78%	19.46%
17	2017-09-30	59.6	@ Warrenpoint Town	2	1035	49.10%	Carrick Rangers	2	980	31.04%	19.86%
18	2017-12-29	59.6	@ Carrick Rangers	2	886	40.52%	Ballinamallard United	2	893	39.47%	20.01%
19	2018-03-23	59.4	@ Dungannon Swifts	3	1034	13.34%	Glenavon	2	1299	68.68%	17.98%
20	2018-04-03	58.6	@ Crusaders	1	1455	53.06%	Coleraine	1	1368	27.25%	19.69%
21	2018-04-07	56.9	@ Crusaders	1	1453	63.22%	Glenavon	1	1273	17.95%	18.83%
22	2018-04-21	56.7	@ Crusaders	1	1464	67.39%	Cliftonville	1	1237	14.40%	18.21%
23	2017-10-14	56.6	Glenavon	3	1253	25.70%	@ Crusaders	2	1354	54.70%	19.60%
24	2017-11-25	56.4	@ Coleraine	1	1321	32.01%	Crusaders	1	1390	48.10%	19.89%
25	2018-02-10	55.6	@ Coleraine	1	1347	48.44%	Glenavon	1	1297	31.68%	19.88%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2018-01-27	22.2	@ Crusaders	6	1430	85.06%	Carrick Rangers	0	873	2.82%	12.12%
2	2018-02-06	22.4	Crusaders	3	1434	84.62%	@ Carrick Rangers	0	869	3.01%	12.37%
3	2018-01-01	22.8	Crusaders	3	1426	83.45%	@ Ballinamallard United	0	893	3.54%	13.01%
4	2017-09-16	23.3	@ Linfield	4	1374	78.56%	Ballinamallard United	0	974	6.20%	15.23%
5	2018-03-17	24.4	@ Crusaders	3	1446	78.88%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1039	6.01%	15.11%
6	2017-11-04	24.6	Linfield	6	1340	77.03%	@ Ballinamallard United	0	948	7.17%	15.80%
7	2017-11-18	24.7	Glenavon	3	1306	76.66%	@ Ballinamallard United	0	921	7.42%	15.92%
8	2017-11-21	25.1	Crusaders	4	1379	73.11%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1053	9.90%	16.98%
9	2018-02-24	25.2	Linfield	3	1340	75.29%	@ Ards	0	979	8.34%	16.36%
10	2017-11-11	25.6	@ Cliftonville	5	1214	71.25%	Ballinamallard United	0	936	11.31%	17.44%
11	2017-11-18	25.8	@ Crusaders	7	1372	80.38%	Carrick Rangers	1	934	5.13%	14.49%
12	2017-08-19	26.3	Linfield	4	1364	69.29%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1091	12.85%	17.86%
13	2017-10-27	26.5	@ Crusaders	2	1365	79.11%	Ballinamallard United	0	954	5.87%	15.02%
14	2017-09-16	26.6	@ Coleraine	3	1263	70.41%	Carrick Rangers	0	998	11.96%	17.63%
15	2018-03-10	26.6	@ Linfield	2	1324	78.50%	Carrick Rangers	0	925	6.24%	15.26%
16	2017-12-16	26.7	Coleraine	2	1329	78.43%	@ Ballinamallard United	0	911	6.29%	15.29%
17	2018-01-13	26.7	@ Ballymena United	3	1145	70.01%	Carrick Rangers	0	884	12.28%	17.71%
18	2017-11-04	27.2	@ Cliftonville	3	1202	68.24%	Carrick Rangers	0	964	13.70%	18.06%
19	2017-08-12	27.4	@ Linfield	2	1353	76.24%	Carrick Rangers	0	996	7.69%	16.06%
20	2017-08-15	27.5	@ Crusaders	5	1310	65.52%	Warrenpoint Town	0	1105	15.97%	18.51%
21	2017-12-23	27.8	Glenavon	3	1301	66.84%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1060	14.85%	18.30%
22	2017-09-23	27.9	@ Glenavon	3	1243	66.36%	Ards	0	1028	15.26%	18.38%
23	2018-03-23	27.9	@ Cliftonville	3	1227	66.22%	Ards	0	1014	15.38%	18.40%
24	2017-10-28	28.1	@ Linfield	2	1334	73.77%	Ards	0	1019	9.42%	16.81%
25	2018-02-13	28.3	Glenavon	6	1298	72.84%	@ Ards	1	976	10.10%	17.05%