2018-19 NIFL Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Linfield

85 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ards

2.34 points above expected

27 points · 24.66 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Warrenpoint Town

1.88 points below expected

39 points · 40.88 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Linfield	33	24	5	4	77	70	21	+49	65.95	+11.05
2	Ballymena United	33	21	5	7	68	74	42	+32	52.55	+15.45
3	Crusaders	33	20	4	9	64	65	44	+21	63.26	+0.74
4	Glenavon	33	17	9	7	60	60	40	+20	61.30	-1.30
5	Cliftonville	33	17	3	13	54	62	54	+8	53.05	+0.95
6	Coleraine	33	14	9	10	51	51	46	+5	60.22	-9.22
7	Glentoran	33	10	8	15	38	49	49	0	41.02	-3.02
8	Institute Drumahoe	33	11	5	17	38	45	65	-20	34.42	+3.58
9	Dungannon Swifts	33	9	9	15	36	37	56	-19	34.54	+1.46
10	Warrenpoint Town	33	9	7	17	34	40	67	-27	29.87	+4.13
11	Ards	33	4	7	22	19	27	58	-31	30.59	-11.59
12	Newry City	33	4	5	24	17	23	61	-38	28.74	-11.74

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Linfield	38	26	7	5	85	77	27	+50	86.17	-1.17
2	Ballymena United	38	23	6	9	75	80	50	+30	74.78	+0.22
3	Glenavon	38	20	10	8	70	74	46	+28	70.68	-0.68
4	Crusaders	38	21	5	12	68	71	52	+19	68.17	-0.17
5	Cliftonville	38	19	4	15	61	70	66	+4	59.30	+1.70
6	Coleraine	38	15	11	12	56	59	55	+4	56.84	-0.84

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Glentoran	38	13	10	15	49	58	53	+5	47.56	+1.44
2	Institute Drumahoe	38	13	5	20	44	50	72	-22	45.51	-1.51
3	Dungannon Swifts	38	11	9	18	42	44	65	-21	43.21	-1.21
4	Warrenpoint Town	38	10	9	19	39	51	79	-28	40.88	-1.88
5	Ards	38	6	9	23	27	31	63	-32	24.66	+2.34
6	Newry City	38	6	5	27	23	31	68	-37	22.12	+0.88

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Ards	27	24.66	+2.34
2	Cliftonville	61	59.30	+1.70
3	Glentoran	49	47.56	+1.44
4	Newry City	23	22.12	+0.88
5	Ballymena United	75	74.78	+0.22

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Warrenpoint Town	39	40.88	-1.88
2	Institute Drumahoe	44	45.51	-1.51
3	Dungannon Swifts	42	43.21	-1.21
4	Linfield	85	86.17	-1.17
5	Coleraine	56	56.84	-0.84

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Ballymena United	9	Oct 27 – Dec 22	1 in 1,836
2	Linfield	10	Dec 26 – Feb 26	1 in 104
3	Glenavon	7	Sep 15 – Oct 27	1 in 77
4	Dungannon Swifts	2	Jan 19 – Jan 26	1 in 32
5	Crusaders	6	Dec 15 – Jan 11	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Coleraine	2	Nov 24 – Nov 30	1 in 69
2	Cliftonville	4	Dec 22 – Jan 1	1 in 43
3	Warrenpoint Town	6	Aug 4 – Sep 7	1 in 21
4	Ballymena United	2	Mar 23 – Apr 5	1 in 19
5	Newry City	6	Oct 6 – Nov 12	1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Ballymena United	14	Oct 6 – Dec 29	1 in 232
2	Institute Drumahoe	6	Dec 1 – Jan 1	1 in 101
3	Warrenpoint Town	5	Sep 15 – Oct 13	1 in 43
4	Glentoran	7	Aug 11 – Sep 29	1 in 29
5	Ards	4	Aug 24 – Sep 22	1 in 28

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Glenavon	7	Dec 22 – Jan 26	1 in 290
2	Coleraine	5	Sep 15 – Oct 6	1 in 89
3	Newry City	15	Dec 8 – Mar 23	1 in 51
4	Glentoran	10	Nov 3 – Jan 1	1 in 49
5	Crusaders	5	Mar 23 – Apr 23	1 in 32

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Linfield	1285	85	-21	8	9.1	-1.1
Ballymena United	1182	75	-16	7	7.1	-0.1
Glenavon	1255	70	+56	10	7.3	+2.7
Crusaders	1245	68	-14	4	7.0	-3.0
Cliftonville	1134	61	-4	7	5.8	+1.2
Coleraine	1158	56	-2	5	5.6	-0.6
Glentoran	1101	49	+21	11	9.6	+1.4
Institute Drumahoe	974	44	-15	6	7.6	-1.6
Dungannon Swifts	966	42	-10	6	6.9	-0.9
Warrenpoint Town	950	39	-9	5	6.7	-1.7
Ards	909	27	+2	8	5.4	+2.6
Newry City	897	23	+12	6	5.7	+0.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ARD	BU	CLI	COL	CRU	DS	GLE	GLE	ID	LIN	NC	WT
Ards	—	0-0-3 2.23	0-0-3 2.10	0-1-2 1.82	0-1-2 1.62	2-2-0 5.12	0-0-3 1.77	0-2-2 3.79	1-0-3 4.80	1-1-1 1.69	2-0-2 5.57	0-2-2 5.35
Ballymena United	3-0-0 6.22	—	2-1-1 5.64	2-2-0 5.13	1-1-2 4.05	1-2-0 5.56	3-0-1 4.36	2-0-1 5.38	3-0-0 5.91	1-0-3 3.82	3-0-0 6.15	2-0-1 5.98
Cliftonville	3-0-0 6.33	1-1-2 5.53	—	2-0-2 4.72	1-0-3 4.27	1-1-1 5.82	2-1-1 4.46	3-0-0 5.24	2-0-1 6.01	0-1-3 4.13	2-0-1 6.35	2-0-1 6.10
Coleraine	2-1-0 6.65	0-2-2 6.07	2-0-2 6.45	—	3-0-1 4.87	2-0-1 6.47	0-2-2 5.46	1-2-0 6.00	1-1-1 6.21	1-2-1 4.68	1-1-1 6.73	2-0-1 6.58
Crusaders	2-1-0 6.86	2-1-1 7.16	3-0-1 6.91	1-0-3 6.31	—	1-0-2 6.57	1-1-2 6.08	2-1-0 5.99	3-0-0 6.55	0-1-3 5.48	3-0-0 6.74	3-0-0 6.86
Dungannon Swifts	0-2-2 6.05	0-2-1 2.85	1-1-1 2.59	1-0-2 1.98	2-0-1 1.88	—	0-1-2 1.84	2-0-2 4.24	2-1-1 5.32	0-0-3 1.75	2-1-1 6.22	1-1-2 6.24
Glenavon	3-0-0 6.71	1-0-3 6.82	1-1-2 6.72	2-2-0 5.71	2-1-1 5.09	2-1-0 6.62	—	2-1-0 5.61	1-2-0 6.47	2-1-1 4.53	3-0-0 6.52	1-1-1 6.74
Glentoran	2-2-0 7.41	1-0-2 3.02	0-0-3 3.15	0-2-1 2.42	0-1-2 2.42	2-0-2 6.94	0-1-2 2.79	—	3-1-0 6.62	0-0-3 2.07	3-1-0 7.40	2-2-0 7.26
Institute Drumahoe	3-0-1 6.38	0-0-3 2.52	1-0-2 2.40	1-1-1 2.22	0-0-3 1.90	1-1-2 5.84	0-2-1 1.99	0-1-3 4.57	—	0-0-3 1.82	4-0-0 6.17	3-0-1 6.24
Linfield	1-1-1 6.78	3-0-1 7.38	3-1-0 7.06	1-2-1 6.50	3-1-0 5.70	3-0-0 6.72	1-1-2 6.66	3-0-0 6.38	3-0-0 6.65	—	3-0-0 7.22	2-1-0 7.08
Newry City	2-0-2 5.60	0-0-3 2.28	1-0-2 2.10	1-1-1 1.74	0-0-3 1.73	1-1-2 4.96	0-0-3 1.95	0-1-3 3.80	0-0-4 5.00	0-0-3 1.31	—	1-2-1 5.37
Warrenpoint Town	2-2-0 5.82	1-0-2 2.45	1-0-2 2.32	1-0-2 1.88	0-0-3 1.62	2-1-1 4.93	1-1-1 1.75	0-2-2 3.94	1-0-3 4.93	0-1-2 1.43	1-2-1 5.80	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.94	+11.0
Allowed	0.62	-10.9
Differential	0.95	+6.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.07%	7.68%	6.36%	3.07%	2.19%	0.66%	23.03%
1	7.68%	10.53%	8.99%	3.07%	2.19%	1.10%	33.55%
2	6.36%	8.99%	4.39%	1.54%	2.41%	—	23.68%
3	3.07%	3.07%	1.54%	1.75%	0.44%	0.22%	10.09%
4	2.19%	2.19%	2.41%	0.44%	—	0.22%	7.46%
5+	0.66%	1.10%	—	0.22%	0.22%	—	2.19%
Total	23.03%	33.55%	23.68%	10.09%	7.46%	2.19%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.53	1.53	+0.00
SD	1.30	1.30	1.94
CV	0.85	0.85	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	15.79%	15.79%	5.26%	2.63%	—	47.37%
1	5.26%	10.53%	5.26%	7.89%	5.26%	—	34.21%
2	—	2.63%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	10.53%
3	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.42%	31.58%	26.32%	13.16%	10.53%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.82	1.66	-0.84
SD	1.01	1.24	1.69
CV	1.24	0.75	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	13.16%
1	5.26%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	15.79%
2	7.89%	23.68%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	44.74%
3	5.26%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
5+	—	5.26%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
Total	21.05%	44.74%	18.42%	13.16%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.11	1.32	+0.79
SD	1.45	1.04	1.92
CV	0.69	0.79	—
Max	6	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	2.63%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	10.53%
1	7.89%	10.53%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	39.47%
2	7.89%	7.89%	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	21.05%
3	2.63%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	—	15.79%
4	—	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	2.63%	10.53%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	18.42%	36.84%	23.68%	5.26%	7.89%	7.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.84	1.74	+0.11
SD	1.28	1.54	2.08
CV	0.70	0.88	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	5.26%	—	18.42%
1	7.89%	13.16%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	31.58%
2	5.26%	13.16%	7.89%	2.63%	5.26%	—	34.21%
3	5.26%	—	—	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
4	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.68%	39.47%	18.42%	5.26%	13.16%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	1.45	+0.11
SD	1.13	1.29	1.74
CV	0.73	0.89	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	21.05%
1	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	21.05%
2	2.63%	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	21.05%
3	10.53%	7.89%	7.89%	—	—	—	26.32%
4	—	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	28.95%	26.32%	28.95%	10.53%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.87	1.37	+0.50
SD	1.38	1.17	1.87
CV	0.74	0.86	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	7.89%	10.53%	5.26%	—	2.63%	31.58%
1	7.89%	13.16%	15.79%	—	—	2.63%	39.47%
2	—	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	—	15.79%
3	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	7.89%
4	—	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.16%	34.21%	36.84%	7.89%	—	7.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.16	1.71	-0.55
SD	1.13	1.27	1.59
CV	0.97	0.74	—
Max	4	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	13.16%
1	5.26%	18.42%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	28.95%
2	10.53%	13.16%	—	—	2.63%	—	26.32%
3	—	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	13.16%
4	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	18.42%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.95%	42.11%	13.16%	10.53%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.95	1.21	+0.74
SD	1.31	1.14	1.81
CV	0.67	0.94	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	21.05%
1	—	15.79%	13.16%	—	—	—	28.95%
2	13.16%	10.53%	7.89%	—	5.26%	—	36.84%
3	—	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
4	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	18.42%	44.74%	23.68%	5.26%	7.89%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.53	1.39	+0.13
SD	1.20	1.10	1.83
CV	0.79	0.79	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	5.26%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	23.68%
1	13.16%	—	15.79%	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	42.11%
2	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	21.05%
3	2.63%	—	—	7.89%	—	—	10.53%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	2.63%	—	2.63%
Total	26.32%	13.16%	26.32%	18.42%	13.16%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.89	-0.58
SD	1.21	1.54	1.88
CV	0.92	0.81	—
Max	6	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	—	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	15.79%
1	15.79%	7.89%	7.89%	—	—	—	31.58%
2	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	18.42%
3	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	10.53%
4	5.26%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	15.79%
5+	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
Total	55.26%	23.68%	18.42%	—	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.03	0.71	+1.32
SD	1.57	0.96	1.89
CV	0.77	1.35	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	18.42%	13.16%	5.26%	2.63%	—	39.47%
1	5.26%	10.53%	15.79%	10.53%	5.26%	—	47.37%
2	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
3	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.53%	31.58%	34.21%	15.79%	7.89%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.82	1.79	-0.97
SD	0.90	1.09	1.52
CV	1.10	0.61	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	21.05%
1	5.26%	18.42%	5.26%	10.53%	—	2.63%	42.11%
2	5.26%	7.89%	5.26%	—	7.89%	—	26.32%
3	—	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	—	5.26%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	2.63%	—	—	2.63%
Total	13.16%	34.21%	15.79%	15.79%	13.16%	7.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.34	2.08	-0.74
SD	1.12	1.58	2.06
CV	0.84	0.76	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Linfield	1285	85	65.95	+19.05	94.0%	48	55	60	66	71	78	83
Glenavon	1255	70	61.30	+8.70	42.0%	43	47	57	62	65	73	79
Crusaders	1245	68	63.26	+4.74	55.0%	44	53	59	63	68	73	81
Ballymena United	1182	75	52.55	+22.45	100.0%	39	41	48	53	57	62	66
Coleraine	1158	56	60.22	-4.22	7.0%	44	48	56	60	63	73	82
Cliftonville	1134	61	53.05	+7.95	59.0%	37	43	49	53	58	62	68
Glentoran	1101	49	41.02	+7.98	37.0%	25	31	36	40	45	54	58
Institute Drumahoe	974	44	34.42	+9.58	73.0%	21	24	30	34	39	46	55
Dungannon Swifts	966	42	34.54	+7.46	58.0%	20	22	30	35	38	46	56
Warrenpoint Town	950	39	29.87	+9.13	73.0%	14	17	25	30	35	40	46
Ards	909	27	30.59	-3.59	4.0%	12	20	25	31	36	42	45
Newry City	897	23	28.74	-5.74	5.0%	15	17	24	29	33	38	46

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+11.84%

Slight Edge

46.05%19.74%34.21%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 41.34 Elo pts.

200 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.22 goals

Neutral

-2+0.21+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.4

Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

44%

Linfield, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.26/gm

Comfortable

00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.44 * Some Luck: 5.44 to 8.16 * Lucky: 8.16 to 10.88 * Wild Swing: 10.88 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.02 * Close: 1.02 to 1.53 * Off: 1.53 to 2.04 * Way Off: 2.04 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.97 points

Some Luck

06.8017

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

Pinpoint

01.273

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

100.00%

Ballymena United

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

4.00%

Ards

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.20

Even

00.190.250.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 141.89

2.30

Wide Separation

11.852.253

Interquartile Edge

79%

Clear Edge

50%70%81%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 94%

92%

Clear Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

57%

Frequent

0%56%100%

Blowouts

Expected

18%

Rare

0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.56

Highly Predictable

00.572

Matchup Imbalance

0.40

Very Even

00.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.49

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

0.74

Strong Carryover

00.470.620.761

Upset Rate

Expected

22%

As Expected

0%24%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

18%

As Expected

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.

Probability calibration

0.42

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.07

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.044

Well Within Noise

00.1070.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Linfield	44.00%	21.00%	19.00%	9.00%	6.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Ballymena United	1.00%	4.00%	8.00%	19.00%	27.00%	28.00%	12.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Glenavon	15.00%	26.00%	24.00%	15.00%	8.00%	10.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Crusaders	23.00%	33.00%	20.00%	15.00%	4.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Cliftonville	2.00%	2.00%	8.00%	17.00%	30.00%	27.00%	11.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Coleraine	15.00%	14.00%	21.00%	20.00%	18.00%	11.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Glentoran	—	—	—	3.00%	6.00%	10.00%	40.00%	16.00%	14.00%	9.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Institute Drumahoe	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	11.00%	22.00%	18.00%	25.00%	12.00%	7.00%
Dungannon Swifts	—	—	—	1.00%	—	5.00%	8.00%	27.00%	15.00%	19.00%	18.00%	7.00%
Warrenpoint Town	—	—	—	—	—	—	3.00%	13.00%	20.00%	13.00%	25.00%	26.00%
Ards	—	—	—	—	—	—	9.00%	9.00%	16.00%	17.00%	23.00%	26.00%
Newry City	—	—	—	—	—	—	3.00%	10.00%	16.00%	17.00%	21.00%	33.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Linfield	99.19%	0.81%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Ballymena United	0.77%	77.20%	18.40%	3.63%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Glenavon	0.04%	17.43%	55.51%	26.58%	0.44%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Crusaders	—	4.55%	25.86%	66.27%	3.10%	0.22%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Cliftonville	—	0.01%	0.23%	2.93%	69.99%	26.84%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Coleraine	—	—	—	0.59%	26.47%	72.94%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Glentoran	—	—	—	—	—	—	62.47%	25.18%	9.66%	2.69%	—	—
Institute Drumahoe	—	—	—	—	—	—	25.02%	42.48%	23.71%	8.79%	—	—
Dungannon Swifts	—	—	—	—	—	—	9.67%	22.66%	42.17%	25.50%	—	—
Warrenpoint Town	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.84%	9.68%	24.46%	63.02%	—	—
Ards	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	72.65%	27.35%
Newry City	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	27.35%	72.65%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Ballymena United	100%	—	—
Cliftonville	100%	—	—
Coleraine	100%	—	—
Crusaders	100%	—	—
Glenavon	100%	—	—
Glentoran	99.00%	1.00%	—
Linfield	100%	—	—
Institute Drumahoe	82.00%	12.00%	6.00%
Dungannon Swifts	72.00%	18.00%	10.00%
Ards	49.00%	30.00%	21.00%
Warrenpoint Town	56.00%	19.00%	25.00%
Newry City	42.00%	20.00%	38.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Ballymena United	100%	—	—
Cliftonville	100%	—	—
Coleraine	100%	—	—
Crusaders	100%	—	—
Dungannon Swifts	100%	—	—
Glenavon	100%	—	—
Glentoran	100%	—	—
Institute Drumahoe	100%	—	—
Linfield	100%	—	—
Warrenpoint Town	100%	—	—
Ards	—	72.65%	27.35%
Newry City	—	27.35%	72.65%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2018-08-04	Ballymena United	L 0-2	37.7	1015	1047	40.95%	20.93%	38.13%	+0.05	-14.8	0
2018-08-04	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	37.7	1047	1015	38.13%	20.93%	40.95%	-0.05	+14.8	3
2018-08-04	Cliftonville	L 1-2	44.0	1048	1144	32.01%	20.76%	47.24%	-0.28	-6.1	0
2018-08-04	@ Glentoran	W 2-1	44.0	1144	1048	47.24%	20.76%	32.01%	+0.28	+6.1	3
2018-08-04	Linfield	L 0-1	42.2	1166	1180	43.50%	20.89%	35.61%	+0.14	-8.2	0
2018-08-04	@ Glenavon	W 1-0	42.2	1180	1166	35.61%	20.89%	43.50%	-0.14	+8.2	3
2018-08-04	Newry City	W 1-0	39.4	1008	1013	44.74%	20.85%	34.41%	+0.18	+6.8	3
2018-08-04	@ Institute Drumahoe	L 0-1	39.4	1013	1008	34.41%	20.85%	44.74%	-0.18	-6.8	0
2018-08-04	Warrenpoint Town	W 3-0	25.6	1209	978	70.50%	17.20%	12.30%	+1.37	+7.2	3
2018-08-04	@ Coleraine	L 0-3	25.6	978	1209	12.30%	17.20%	70.50%	-1.37	-7.2	0
2018-08-06	Ards	W 4-2	37.2	1260	988	73.63%	16.19%	10.18%	+1.57	+3.1	3
2018-08-06	@ Crusaders	L 2-4	37.2	988	1260	10.18%	16.19%	73.63%	-1.57	-3.1	0
2018-08-10	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	44.3	1006	1000	46.14%	20.81%	33.06%	+0.24	+6.2	3
2018-08-10	@ Newry City	L 1-2	44.3	1000	1006	33.06%	20.81%	46.14%	-0.24	-6.2	0
2018-08-10	Institute Drumahoe	W 3-0	27.2	1188	1015	65.38%	18.52%	16.10%	+1.07	+9.5	6
2018-08-10	@ Linfield	L 0-3	27.2	1015	1188	16.10%	18.52%	65.38%	-1.07	-9.5	3
2018-08-11	Ballymena United	D 2-2	60.9	1263	1061	68.01%	17.89%	14.10%	+1.22	-1.8	4
2018-08-11	@ Crusaders	D 2-2	60.9	1061	1263	14.10%	17.89%	68.01%	-1.22	+1.8	4
2018-08-11	Coleraine	L 1-2	45.4	1150	1217	36.05%	20.90%	43.05%	-0.12	-6.7	3
2018-08-11	@ Cliftonville	W 2-1	45.4	1217	1150	43.05%	20.90%	36.05%	+0.12	+6.7	6
2018-08-11	Glenavon	L 2-4	41.7	970	1158	21.79%	19.76%	58.45%	-0.73	-6.7	0
2018-08-11	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 4-2	41.7	1158	970	58.45%	19.76%	21.79%	+0.73	+6.7	3
2018-08-11	Glentoran	L 0-2	36.6	985	1042	37.28%	20.92%	41.80%	-0.08	-13.8	0
2018-08-11	@ Ards	W 2-0	36.6	1042	985	41.80%	20.92%	37.28%	+0.08	+13.8	3
2018-08-17	Glenavon	L 1-2	41.8	1012	1165	25.38%	20.24%	54.38%	-0.56	-5.0	3
2018-08-17	@ Newry City	W 2-1	41.8	1165	1012	54.38%	20.24%	25.38%	+0.56	+5.0	6
2018-08-18	Ballymena United	L 1-2	44.1	971	1063	32.53%	20.78%	46.68%	-0.26	-6.2	0
2018-08-18	@ Ards	W 2-1	44.1	1063	971	46.68%	20.78%	32.53%	+0.26	+6.2	7
2018-08-18	Cliftonville	D 1-1	54.3	994	1144	25.69%	20.28%	54.04%	-0.54	+1.2	1
2018-08-18	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	54.3	1144	994	54.04%	20.28%	25.69%	+0.54	-1.2	4
2018-08-18	Coleraine	D 2-2	60.3	1056	1223	23.78%	20.05%	56.18%	-0.63	+1.0	4
2018-08-18	@ Glentoran	D 2-2	60.3	1223	1056	56.18%	20.05%	23.78%	+0.63	-1.0	7
2018-08-18	Linfield	L 0-2	41.6	1262	1197	53.70%	20.31%	25.99%	+0.53	-18.7	4
2018-08-18	@ Crusaders	W 2-0	41.6	1197	1262	25.99%	20.31%	53.70%	-0.53	+18.7	9
2018-08-18	Warrenpoint Town	W 2-0	33.8	1006	964	50.94%	20.54%	28.52%	+0.42	+11.0	6
2018-08-18	@ Institute Drumahoe	L 0-2	33.8	964	1006	28.52%	20.54%	50.94%	-0.42	-11.0	0
2018-08-24	Ballymena United	W 4-0	28.9	1170	1069	57.94%	19.83%	22.24%	+0.71	+16.8	9
2018-08-24	@ Glenavon	L 0-4	28.9	1069	1170	22.24%	19.83%	57.94%	-0.71	-16.8	7
2018-08-24	Institute Drumahoe	D 2-2	60.9	1222	1017	68.31%	17.81%	13.88%	+1.23	-1.8	8
2018-08-24	@ Coleraine	D 2-2	60.9	1017	1222	13.88%	17.81%	68.31%	-1.23	+1.8	7
2018-08-24	Newry City	W 4-0	34.4	965	1007	39.35%	20.93%	39.72%	-0.01	+27.4	3
2018-08-24	@ Ards	L 0-4	34.4	1007	965	39.72%	20.93%	39.35%	+0.01	-27.4	3
2018-08-25	Crusaders	L 1-2	37.6	953	1243	13.74%	17.76%	68.50%	-1.24	-2.8	0
2018-08-25	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 2-1	37.6	1243	953	68.50%	17.76%	13.74%	+1.24	+2.8	7
2018-08-25	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	42.1	1057	995	53.34%	20.34%	26.32%	+0.51	+5.1	7
2018-08-25	@ Glentoran	L 1-2	42.1	995	1057	26.32%	20.34%	53.34%	-0.51	-5.1	1
2018-08-25	Linfield	D 1-1	54.3	1143	1216	35.03%	20.87%	44.09%	-0.16	+0.4	5
2018-08-25	@ Cliftonville	D 1-1	54.3	1216	1143	44.09%	20.87%	35.03%	+0.16	-0.4	10
2018-09-01	Ards	D 0-0	51.0	1216	992	69.84%	17.39%	12.77%	+1.32	-2.8	11
2018-09-01	@ Linfield	D 0-0	51.0	992	1216	12.77%	17.39%	69.84%	-1.32	+2.8	4
2018-09-01	Ballymena United	L 1-6	35.5	950	1053	31.22%	20.72%	48.07%	-0.31	-23.0	0
2018-09-01	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 6-1	35.5	1053	950	48.07%	20.72%	31.22%	+0.31	+23.0	10
2018-09-01	Cliftonville	W 1-0	45.5	980	1143	24.25%	20.11%	55.64%	-0.61	+10.2	6
2018-09-01	@ Newry City	L 0-1	45.5	1143	980	55.64%	20.11%	24.25%	+0.61	-10.2	5
2018-09-01	Dungannon Swifts	D 0-0	50.0	1019	990	49.17%	20.66%	30.17%	+0.35	-0.9	8
2018-09-01	@ Institute Drumahoe	D 0-0	50.0	990	1019	30.17%	20.66%	49.17%	-0.35	+0.9	2
2018-09-01	Glentoran	D 1-1	54.6	1187	1062	60.60%	19.43%	19.96%	+0.83	-1.8	10
2018-09-01	@ Glenavon	D 1-1	54.6	1062	1187	19.96%	19.43%	60.60%	-0.83	+1.8	8
2018-09-03	Coleraine	L 0-3	37.9	1246	1220	48.77%	20.68%	30.55%	+0.33	-24.9	7
2018-09-03	@ Crusaders	W 3-0	37.9	1220	1246	30.55%	20.68%	48.77%	-0.33	+24.9	11
2018-09-07	Institute Drumahoe	W 3-0	28.9	1133	1018	59.55%	19.60%	20.85%	+0.78	+12.1	8
2018-09-07	@ Cliftonville	L 0-3	28.9	1018	1133	20.85%	19.60%	59.55%	-0.78	-12.1	8
2018-09-07	Linfield	L 0-5	26.5	927	1213	14.01%	17.86%	68.13%	-1.22	-13.2	0
2018-09-07	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 5-0	26.5	1213	927	68.13%	17.86%	14.01%	+1.22	+13.2	14
2018-09-07	Newry City	W 4-1	35.7	1063	990	54.81%	20.20%	24.99%	+0.57	+12.0	11
2018-09-07	@ Glentoran	L 1-4	35.7	990	1063	24.99%	20.20%	54.81%	-0.57	-12.0	6
2018-09-15	Cliftonville	W 2-1	52.7	914	1145	17.96%	19.00%	63.03%	-0.95	+10.8	3
2018-09-15	@ Warrenpoint Town	L 1-2	52.7	1145	914	63.03%	19.00%	17.96%	+0.95	-10.8	8
2018-09-15	Coleraine	D 0-0	50.7	995	1245	16.48%	18.63%	64.90%	-1.05	+2.4	5
2018-09-15	@ Ards	D 0-0	50.7	1245	995	64.90%	18.63%	16.48%	+1.05	-2.4	12
2018-09-15	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-0	25.5	1226	991	70.78%	17.12%	12.11%	+1.38	+7.1	17
2018-09-15	@ Linfield	L 0-3	25.5	991	1226	12.11%	17.12%	70.78%	-1.38	-7.1	2
2018-09-15	Glenavon	L 1-4	34.9	1006	1185	22.62%	19.88%	57.50%	-0.69	-11.0	8
2018-09-15	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 4-1	34.9	1185	1006	57.50%	19.88%	22.62%	+0.69	+11.0	13
2018-09-15	Newry City	W 1-0	31.4	1221	978	71.38%	16.93%	11.69%	+1.42	+2.5	10
2018-09-15	@ Crusaders	L 0-1	31.4	978	1221	11.69%	16.93%	71.38%	-1.42	-2.5	6
2018-09-21	Warrenpoint Town	D 1-1	54.2	976	924	52.09%	20.45%	27.46%	+0.46	-1.0	7
2018-09-21	@ Newry City	D 1-1	54.2	924	976	27.46%	20.45%	52.09%	-0.46	+1.0	4
2018-09-22	Ards	D 0-0	49.9	984	997	43.51%	20.89%	35.61%	+0.14	-0.4	3
2018-09-22	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 0-0	49.9	997	984	35.61%	20.89%	43.51%	-0.14	+0.4	6
2018-09-22	Ballymena United	W 3-2	47.7	1134	1076	52.99%	20.37%	26.64%	+0.50	+4.9	11
2018-09-22	@ Cliftonville	L 2-3	47.7	1076	1134	26.64%	20.37%	52.99%	-0.50	-4.9	10
2018-09-22	Crusaders	W 3-2	51.3	1196	1223	41.51%	20.92%	37.57%	+0.07	+6.6	16
2018-09-22	@ Glenavon	L 2-3	51.3	1223	1196	37.57%	20.92%	41.51%	-0.07	-6.6	10
2018-09-22	Institute Drumahoe	W 2-1	41.4	1076	995	55.70%	20.10%	24.20%	+0.61	+4.8	14
2018-09-22	@ Glentoran	L 1-2	41.4	995	1076	24.20%	20.10%	55.70%	-0.61	-4.8	8
2018-09-22	Linfield	D 0-0	50.3	1243	1233	46.68%	20.78%	32.54%	+0.26	-0.6	13
2018-09-22	@ Coleraine	D 0-0	50.3	1233	1243	32.54%	20.78%	46.68%	-0.26	+0.6	18
2018-09-25	Ballymena United	D 2-2	60.7	1242	1071	65.26%	18.55%	16.19%	+1.06	-1.6	14
2018-09-25	@ Coleraine	D 2-2	60.7	1071	1242	16.19%	18.55%	65.26%	-1.06	+1.6	11
2018-09-25	Crusaders	W 3-2	58.2	984	1217	17.80%	18.97%	63.23%	-0.96	+10.3	6
2018-09-25	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 2-3	58.2	1217	984	63.23%	18.97%	17.80%	+0.96	-10.3	10
2018-09-25	Glenavon	L 0-2	31.1	998	1202	20.22%	19.48%	60.30%	-0.82	-8.1	6
2018-09-25	@ Ards	W 2-0	31.1	1202	998	60.30%	19.48%	20.22%	+0.82	+8.1	19
2018-09-29	Ards	W 3-1	36.0	1139	990	63.12%	18.99%	17.89%	+0.95	+6.2	14
2018-09-29	@ Cliftonville	L 1-3	36.0	990	1139	17.89%	18.99%	63.12%	-0.95	-6.2	6
2018-09-29	Ballymena United	W 2-1	38.9	1234	1072	64.31%	18.75%	16.94%	+1.01	+3.4	21
2018-09-29	@ Linfield	L 1-2	38.9	1072	1234	16.94%	18.75%	64.31%	-1.01	-3.4	11
2018-09-29	Coleraine	D 1-1	54.9	975	1241	15.34%	18.30%	66.36%	-1.12	+2.2	8
2018-09-29	@ Newry City	D 1-1	54.9	1241	975	66.36%	18.30%	15.34%	+1.12	-2.2	15
2018-09-29	Crusaders	L 1-4	33.7	990	1206	19.17%	19.27%	61.56%	-0.88	-9.4	8
2018-09-29	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 4-1	33.7	1206	990	61.56%	19.27%	19.17%	+0.88	+9.4	13
2018-09-29	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	37.4	1210	994	69.26%	17.55%	13.19%	+1.29	+2.7	22
2018-09-29	@ Glenavon	L 1-2	37.4	994	1210	13.19%	17.55%	69.26%	-1.29	-2.7	6
2018-09-29	Glentoran	D 1-1	54.3	925	1080	25.13%	20.21%	54.66%	-0.57	+1.2	5
2018-09-29	@ Warrenpoint Town	D 1-1	54.3	1080	925	54.66%	20.21%	25.13%	+0.57	-1.2	15
2018-10-05	Cliftonville	W 3-2	47.3	1216	1145	54.49%	20.23%	25.28%	+0.56	+4.7	16
2018-10-05	@ Crusaders	L 2-3	47.3	1145	1216	25.28%	20.23%	54.49%	-0.56	-4.7	14
2018-10-05	Institute Drumahoe	L 0-1	42.8	983	980	45.76%	20.82%	33.42%	+0.22	-8.6	6
2018-10-05	@ Ards	W 1-0	42.8	980	983	33.42%	20.82%	45.76%	-0.22	+8.6	11
2018-10-06	Glenavon	L 1-4	43.3	1238	1213	48.77%	20.68%	30.55%	+0.33	-21.0	15
2018-10-06	@ Coleraine	W 4-1	43.3	1213	1238	30.55%	20.68%	48.77%	-0.33	+21.0	25
2018-10-06	Newry City	W 3-0	29.6	1069	977	57.00%	19.95%	23.05%	+0.67	+13.3	14
2018-10-06	@ Ballymena United	L 0-3	29.6	977	1069	23.05%	19.95%	57.00%	-0.67	-13.3	8
2018-10-06	Warrenpoint Town	L 0-2	41.3	991	927	53.74%	20.31%	25.96%	+0.53	-18.7	6
2018-10-06	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	41.3	927	991	25.96%	20.31%	53.74%	-0.53	+18.7	8
2018-10-08	Linfield	L 0-1	36.4	1079	1237	24.76%	20.17%	55.07%	-0.58	-5.2	15
2018-10-08	@ Glentoran	W 1-0	36.4	1237	1079	55.07%	20.17%	24.76%	+0.58	+5.2	24
2018-10-13	Ards	W 1-0	40.4	945	975	41.25%	20.92%	37.83%	+0.06	+7.4	11
2018-10-13	@ Warrenpoint Town	L 0-1	40.4	975	945	37.83%	20.92%	41.25%	-0.06	-7.4	6
2018-10-13	Ballymena United	L 1-2	44.1	989	1082	32.44%	20.78%	46.78%	-0.26	-6.1	11
2018-10-13	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 2-1	44.1	1082	989	46.78%	20.78%	32.44%	+0.26	+6.1	17
2018-10-13	Glentoran	W 3-0	28.0	1221	1074	62.86%	19.04%	18.10%	+0.94	+10.6	19
2018-10-13	@ Crusaders	L 0-3	28.0	1074	1221	18.10%	19.04%	62.86%	-0.94	-10.6	15
2018-10-13	Newry City	W 3-1	32.7	1242	964	74.09%	16.02%	9.88%	+1.60	+3.4	27
2018-10-13	@ Linfield	L 1-3	32.7	964	1242	9.88%	16.02%	74.09%	-1.60	-3.4	8
2018-10-19	Institute Drumahoe	L 0-2	38.0	960	983	42.18%	20.91%	36.90%	+0.09	-15.2	8
2018-10-19	@ Newry City	W 2-0	38.0	983	960	36.90%	20.91%	42.18%	-0.09	+15.2	14
2018-10-20	Crusaders	W 1-0	40.1	1217	1231	43.45%	20.89%	35.67%	+0.14	+7.0	18
2018-10-20	@ Coleraine	L 0-1	40.1	1231	1217	35.67%	20.89%	43.45%	-0.14	-7.0	19
2018-10-20	Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	54.5	1088	973	59.63%	19.58%	20.78%	+0.79	-1.7	18
2018-10-20	@ Ballymena United	D 1-1	54.5	973	1088	20.78%	19.58%	59.63%	-0.79	+1.7	7
2018-10-20	Glenavon	L 1-2	41.2	1063	1234	23.45%	20.00%	56.54%	-0.65	-4.6	15
2018-10-20	@ Glentoran	W 2-1	41.2	1234	1063	56.54%	20.00%	23.45%	+0.65	+4.6	28
2018-10-20	Linfield	W 2-1	53.8	967	1246	14.50%	18.03%	67.48%	-1.19	+11.5	9
2018-10-20	@ Ards	L 1-2	53.8	1246	967	67.48%	18.03%	14.50%	+1.19	-11.5	27
2018-10-20	Warrenpoint Town	W 3-1	34.9	1140	953	66.75%	18.20%	15.04%	+1.15	+5.3	17
2018-10-20	@ Cliftonville	L 1-3	34.9	953	1140	15.04%	18.20%	66.75%	-1.15	-5.3	11
2018-10-27	Ards	W 4-0	29.6	1059	979	55.57%	20.12%	24.31%	+0.61	+18.2	18
2018-10-27	@ Glentoran	L 0-4	29.6	979	1059	24.31%	20.12%	55.57%	-0.61	-18.2	9
2018-10-27	Cliftonville	L 1-2	50.9	1224	1146	55.44%	20.13%	24.43%	+0.60	-9.6	18
2018-10-27	@ Coleraine	W 2-1	50.9	1146	1224	24.43%	20.13%	55.44%	-0.60	+9.6	20
2018-10-27	Crusaders	W 3-0	38.7	1087	1224	27.04%	20.41%	52.55%	-0.48	+26.6	21
2018-10-27	@ Ballymena United	L 0-3	38.7	1224	1087	52.55%	20.41%	27.04%	+0.48	-26.6	19
2018-10-27	Institute Drumahoe	L 0-1	40.5	947	998	38.21%	20.93%	40.86%	-0.05	-7.4	11
2018-10-27	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 1-0	40.5	998	947	40.86%	20.93%	38.21%	+0.05	+7.4	17
2018-10-27	Linfield	L 1-2	38.4	974	1234	15.76%	18.42%	65.82%	-1.09	-3.2	7
2018-10-27	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	38.4	1234	974	65.82%	18.42%	15.76%	+1.09	+3.2	30
2018-10-27	Newry City	W 2-0	26.6	1239	945	75.14%	15.64%	9.22%	+1.68	+3.7	31
2018-10-27	@ Glenavon	L 0-2	26.6	945	1239	9.22%	15.64%	75.14%	-1.68	-3.7	8
2018-11-02	Crusaders	L 0-3	27.1	941	1198	16.04%	18.50%	65.46%	-1.07	-9.4	8
2018-11-02	@ Newry City	W 3-0	27.1	1198	941	65.46%	18.50%	16.04%	+1.07	+9.4	22
2018-11-02	Glenavon	W 2-1	49.9	1113	1242	28.00%	20.50%	51.50%	-0.44	+9.0	24
2018-11-02	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	49.9	1242	1113	51.50%	20.50%	28.00%	+0.44	-9.0	31
2018-11-03	Coleraine	L 1-2	39.9	1006	1215	19.80%	19.40%	60.80%	-0.84	-4.0	17
2018-11-03	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 2-1	39.9	1215	1006	60.80%	19.40%	19.80%	+0.84	+4.0	21
2018-11-03	Dungannon Swifts	D 2-2	59.9	961	971	43.92%	20.88%	35.20%	+0.15	-0.3	10
2018-11-03	@ Ards	D 2-2	59.9	971	961	35.20%	20.88%	43.92%	-0.15	+0.3	8
2018-11-03	Glentoran	W 1-0	36.2	1155	1077	55.42%	20.13%	24.44%	+0.60	+5.1	23
2018-11-03	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	36.2	1077	1155	24.44%	20.13%	55.42%	-0.60	-5.1	18
2018-11-03	Warrenpoint Town	D 1-1	55.8	1238	940	75.40%	15.54%	9.06%	+1.69	-3.0	31
2018-11-03	@ Linfield	D 1-1	55.8	940	1238	9.06%	15.54%	75.40%	-1.69	+3.0	12
2018-11-10	Ballymena United	L 0-1	40.6	1072	1122	38.23%	20.93%	40.85%	-0.05	-7.4	18
2018-11-10	@ Glentoran	W 1-0	40.6	1122	1072	40.85%	20.93%	38.23%	+0.05	+7.4	27
2018-11-10	Coleraine	L 1-2	48.9	1235	1219	47.50%	20.75%	31.76%	+0.29	-8.4	31
2018-11-10	@ Linfield	W 2-1	48.9	1219	1235	31.76%	20.75%	47.50%	-0.29	+8.4	24
2018-11-10	Crusaders	L 0-1	33.5	960	1207	16.76%	18.70%	64.54%	-1.03	-3.6	10
2018-11-10	@ Ards	W 1-0	33.5	1207	960	64.54%	18.70%	16.76%	+1.03	+3.6	25
2018-11-10	Institute Drumahoe	W 2-1	45.8	971	1002	41.12%	20.92%	37.95%	+0.06	+7.0	11
2018-11-10	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	45.8	1002	971	37.95%	20.92%	41.12%	-0.06	-7.0	17
2018-11-10	Warrenpoint Town	D 1-1	55.7	1233	943	74.90%	15.73%	9.37%	+1.66	-2.9	32
2018-11-10	@ Glenavon	D 1-1	55.7	943	1233	9.37%	15.73%	74.90%	-1.66	+2.9	13
2018-11-12	Newry City	W 3-1	33.9	1160	932	70.25%	17.27%	12.48%	+1.35	+4.4	26
2018-11-12	@ Cliftonville	L 1-3	33.9	932	1160	12.48%	17.27%	70.25%	-1.35	-4.4	8
2018-11-17	Ards	W 2-0	36.7	928	957	41.26%	20.92%	37.82%	+0.06	+13.9	11
2018-11-17	@ Newry City	L 0-2	36.7	957	928	37.82%	20.92%	41.26%	-0.06	-13.9	10
2018-11-17	Cliftonville	W 2-1	46.1	1130	1165	40.42%	20.93%	38.65%	+0.03	+7.1	30
2018-11-17	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	46.1	1165	1130	38.65%	20.93%	40.42%	-0.03	-7.1	26
2018-11-17	Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	54.1	946	978	40.83%	20.93%	38.25%	+0.05	-0.1	14
2018-11-17	@ Warrenpoint Town	D 1-1	54.1	978	946	38.25%	20.93%	40.83%	-0.05	+0.1	12
2018-11-17	Glenavon	W 3-0	34.2	1211	1230	42.59%	20.90%	36.50%	+0.11	+19.6	28
2018-11-17	@ Crusaders	L 0-3	34.2	1230	1211	36.50%	20.90%	42.59%	-0.11	-19.6	32
2018-11-17	Glentoran	D 1-1	54.9	1227	1064	64.45%	18.72%	16.83%	+1.02	-2.1	25
2018-11-17	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	54.9	1064	1227	16.83%	18.72%	64.45%	-1.02	+2.1	19
2018-11-17	Linfield	L 1-4	33.3	995	1226	17.92%	19.00%	63.08%	-0.95	-8.9	17
2018-11-17	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 4-1	33.3	1226	995	63.08%	19.00%	17.92%	+0.95	+8.8	34
2018-11-20	Glentoran	W 2-1	41.8	1137	1066	54.45%	20.24%	25.31%	+0.56	+5.0	33
2018-11-20	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	41.8	1066	1137	25.31%	20.24%	54.45%	-0.56	-5.0	19
2018-11-23	Ballymena United	L 1-2	40.2	941	1142	20.61%	19.55%	59.83%	-0.79	-4.1	11
2018-11-23	@ Newry City	W 2-1	40.2	1142	941	59.83%	19.55%	20.61%	+0.79	+4.1	36
2018-11-24	Ards	W 3-1	32.9	1211	943	73.30%	16.30%	10.40%	+1.55	+3.6	35
2018-11-24	@ Glenavon	L 1-3	32.9	943	1211	10.40%	16.30%	73.30%	-1.55	-3.6	10
2018-11-24	Cliftonville	W 4-2	42.8	1235	1158	55.28%	20.15%	24.57%	+0.59	+7.5	37
2018-11-24	@ Linfield	L 2-4	42.8	1158	1235	24.57%	20.15%	55.28%	-0.59	-7.5	26
2018-11-24	Coleraine	W 2-1	53.8	946	1225	14.45%	18.01%	67.54%	-1.19	+11.5	17
2018-11-24	@ Warrenpoint Town	L 1-2	53.8	1225	946	67.54%	18.01%	14.45%	+1.19	-11.5	25
2018-11-24	Glentoran	W 1-0	42.7	978	1061	33.76%	20.83%	45.40%	-0.21	+8.5	15
2018-11-24	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	42.7	1061	978	45.40%	20.83%	33.76%	+0.21	-8.6	19
2018-11-24	Institute Drumahoe	W 3-2	42.1	1230	986	71.52%	16.89%	11.59%	+1.43	+2.2	31
2018-11-24	@ Crusaders	L 2-3	42.1	986	1230	11.59%	16.89%	71.52%	-1.43	-2.2	17
2018-11-30	Newry City	L 0-1	49.8	1214	937	73.91%	16.09%	10.00%	+1.59	-13.2	25
2018-11-30	@ Coleraine	W 1-0	49.8	937	1214	10.00%	16.09%	73.91%	-1.59	+13.2	14
2018-12-01	Crusaders	D 2-2	60.3	1053	1232	22.57%	19.88%	57.55%	-0.69	+1.1	20
2018-12-01	@ Glentoran	D 2-2	60.3	1232	1053	57.55%	19.88%	22.57%	+0.69	-1.1	32
2018-12-01	Dungannon Swifts	W 5-1	31.2	1150	987	64.48%	18.71%	16.80%	+1.02	+10.7	29
2018-12-01	@ Cliftonville	L 1-5	31.2	987	1150	16.80%	18.71%	64.48%	-1.02	-10.7	15
2018-12-01	Institute Drumahoe	D 3-3	65.4	1214	984	70.44%	17.22%	12.34%	+1.36	-1.6	36
2018-12-01	@ Glenavon	D 3-3	65.4	984	1214	12.34%	17.22%	70.44%	-1.36	+1.6	18
2018-12-01	Linfield	W 2-1	48.7	1146	1243	31.98%	20.76%	47.27%	-0.28	+8.3	39
2018-12-01	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	48.7	1243	1146	47.27%	20.76%	31.98%	+0.28	-8.3	37
2018-12-01	Warrenpoint Town	D 1-1	54.1	939	957	42.85%	20.90%	36.25%	+0.12	-0.3	11
2018-12-01	@ Ards	D 1-1	54.1	957	939	36.25%	20.90%	42.85%	-0.12	+0.3	18
2018-12-08	Ards	W 1-0	31.0	1200	939	72.81%	16.47%	10.72%	+1.51	+2.3	28
2018-12-08	@ Coleraine	L 0-1	31.0	939	1200	10.72%	16.47%	72.81%	-1.51	-2.3	11
2018-12-08	Ballymena United	L 2-4	41.4	958	1154	20.95%	19.62%	59.43%	-0.78	-6.5	18
2018-12-08	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 4-2	41.4	1154	958	59.43%	19.62%	20.95%	+0.78	+6.5	42
2018-12-08	Crusaders	W 4-1	38.8	1234	1231	45.75%	20.82%	33.43%	+0.22	+15.4	40
2018-12-08	@ Linfield	L 1-4	38.8	1231	1234	33.43%	20.82%	45.75%	-0.22	-15.4	32
2018-12-08	Glenavon	W 4-2	48.0	1161	1213	38.03%	20.92%	41.04%	-0.05	+11.5	32
2018-12-08	@ Cliftonville	L 2-4	48.0	1213	1161	41.04%	20.92%	38.03%	+0.05	-11.5	36
2018-12-08	Glentoran	D 3-3	64.2	985	1054	35.67%	20.89%	43.44%	-0.14	+0.2	19
2018-12-08	@ Institute Drumahoe	D 3-3	64.2	1054	985	43.44%	20.89%	35.67%	+0.14	-0.2	21
2018-12-08	Newry City	D 1-1	54.2	976	950	48.82%	20.68%	30.50%	+0.34	-0.8	16
2018-12-08	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	54.2	950	976	30.50%	20.68%	48.82%	-0.34	+0.8	15
2018-12-14	Coleraine	W 4-0	32.9	1201	1203	45.16%	20.84%	33.99%	+0.20	+24.2	39
2018-12-14	@ Glenavon	L 0-4	32.9	1203	1201	33.99%	20.84%	45.16%	-0.20	-24.2	28
2018-12-15	Cliftonville	L 1-3	35.9	937	1172	17.60%	18.92%	63.48%	-0.97	-6.1	11
2018-12-15	@ Ards	W 3-1	35.9	1172	937	63.48%	18.92%	17.60%	+0.97	+6.1	35
2018-12-15	Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	31.5	1216	975	71.20%	16.99%	11.81%	+1.41	+2.5	35
2018-12-15	@ Crusaders	L 0-1	31.5	975	1216	11.81%	16.99%	71.20%	-1.41	-2.5	16
2018-12-22	Ards	W 2-0	28.0	1161	931	70.37%	17.24%	12.39%	+1.36	+5.0	45
2018-12-22	@ Ballymena United	L 0-2	28.0	931	1161	12.39%	17.24%	70.37%	-1.36	-5.0	11
2018-12-22	Cliftonville	W 6-4	55.5	985	1179	21.26%	19.67%	59.08%	-0.76	+14.4	22
2018-12-22	@ Institute Drumahoe	L 4-6	55.5	1179	985	59.08%	19.67%	21.26%	+0.76	-14.4	35
2018-12-22	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	37.6	1179	973	68.33%	17.81%	13.87%	+1.23	+2.8	31
2018-12-22	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	37.6	973	1179	13.87%	17.81%	68.33%	-1.23	-2.8	16
2018-12-22	Glenavon	D 0-0	50.4	1250	1226	48.60%	20.69%	30.71%	+0.33	-0.8	41
2018-12-22	@ Linfield	D 0-0	50.4	1226	1250	30.71%	20.69%	48.60%	-0.33	+0.8	40
2018-12-22	Warrenpoint Town	W 3-1	33.0	1218	951	73.25%	16.32%	10.43%	+1.54	+3.6	38
2018-12-22	@ Crusaders	L 1-3	33.0	951	1218	10.43%	16.32%	73.25%	-1.54	-3.6	18
2018-12-26	Ards	W 1-0	36.3	1000	926	54.89%	20.19%	24.92%	+0.58	+5.2	25
2018-12-26	@ Institute Drumahoe	L 0-1	36.3	926	1000	24.92%	20.19%	54.89%	-0.58	-5.2	11
2018-12-26	Coleraine	D 3-3	64.4	1166	1181	43.18%	20.89%	35.92%	+0.13	-0.2	46
2018-12-26	@ Ballymena United	D 3-3	64.4	1181	1166	35.92%	20.89%	43.18%	-0.13	+0.2	32
2018-12-26	Crusaders	L 1-5	38.2	1164	1222	37.20%	20.92%	41.89%	-0.08	-21.7	35
2018-12-26	@ Cliftonville	W 5-1	38.2	1222	1164	41.89%	20.92%	37.20%	+0.08	+21.7	41
2018-12-26	Glenavon	D 1-1	54.9	970	1226	16.04%	18.50%	65.45%	-1.07	+2.2	17
2018-12-26	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	54.9	1226	970	65.45%	18.50%	16.04%	+1.07	-2.2	41
2018-12-26	Glentoran	W 4-0	26.1	1249	1054	67.41%	18.04%	14.55%	+1.18	+11.2	44
2018-12-26	@ Linfield	L 0-4	26.1	1054	1249	14.55%	18.04%	67.41%	-1.18	-11.2	21
2018-12-26	Newry City	D 2-2	59.9	948	951	44.84%	20.85%	34.30%	+0.19	-0.3	19
2018-12-26	@ Warrenpoint Town	D 2-2	59.9	951	948	34.30%	20.85%	44.84%	-0.19	+0.3	16
2018-12-29	Ards	L 0-3	38.5	972	920	52.18%	20.44%	27.38%	+0.47	-26.4	17
2018-12-29	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 3-0	38.5	920	972	27.38%	20.44%	52.18%	-0.47	+26.4	14
2018-12-29	Coleraine	L 0-1	33.8	947	1182	17.71%	18.94%	63.35%	-0.96	-3.8	19
2018-12-29	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 1-0	33.8	1182	947	63.35%	18.94%	17.71%	+0.96	+3.8	35
2018-12-29	Crusaders	L 0-1	34.9	1043	1244	20.53%	19.54%	59.93%	-0.80	-4.4	21
2018-12-29	@ Glentoran	W 1-0	34.9	1244	1043	59.93%	19.54%	20.53%	+0.80	+4.3	44
2018-12-29	Institute Drumahoe	D 3-3	65.3	1224	1005	69.49%	17.49%	13.02%	+1.30	-1.5	42
2018-12-29	@ Glenavon	D 3-3	65.3	1005	1224	13.02%	17.49%	69.49%	-1.30	+1.6	26
2018-12-29	Linfield	L 0-2	34.3	1143	1260	29.40%	20.60%	50.00%	-0.38	-11.3	35
2018-12-29	@ Cliftonville	W 2-0	34.3	1260	1143	50.00%	20.60%	29.40%	+0.38	+11.3	47
2018-12-29	Newry City	W 3-1	34.2	1165	952	69.04%	17.62%	13.35%	+1.28	+4.7	49
2018-12-29	@ Ballymena United	L 1-3	34.2	952	1165	13.35%	17.62%	69.04%	-1.28	-4.7	16
2019-01-01	Ballymena United	W 3-2	47.1	1248	1170	55.36%	20.14%	24.50%	+0.60	+4.6	47
2019-01-01	@ Crusaders	L 2-3	47.1	1170	1248	24.50%	20.14%	55.36%	-0.60	-4.6	49
2019-01-01	Cliftonville	W 4-1	36.5	1185	1131	52.45%	20.42%	27.13%	+0.48	+12.9	38
2019-01-01	@ Coleraine	L 1-4	36.5	1131	1185	27.13%	20.42%	52.45%	-0.48	-12.9	35
2019-01-01	Dungannon Swifts	L 2-4	52.3	1038	946	57.03%	19.94%	23.03%	+0.67	-15.2	21
2019-01-01	@ Glentoran	W 4-2	52.3	946	1038	23.03%	19.94%	57.03%	-0.67	+15.2	20
2019-01-01	Institute Drumahoe	L 1-2	45.5	947	1006	36.95%	20.91%	42.14%	-0.09	-6.8	16
2019-01-01	@ Newry City	W 2-1	45.5	1006	947	42.14%	20.91%	36.95%	+0.09	+6.8	29
2019-01-01	Linfield	L 0-2	27.8	947	1271	11.74%	16.95%	71.30%	-1.42	-4.7	14
2019-01-01	@ Ards	W 2-0	27.8	1271	947	71.30%	16.95%	11.74%	+1.42	+4.7	50
2019-01-01	Warrenpoint Town	L 1-3	52.0	1223	943	74.12%	16.02%	9.87%	+1.60	-21.6	42
2019-01-01	@ Glenavon	W 3-1	52.0	943	1223	9.87%	16.02%	74.12%	-1.60	+21.6	22
2019-01-11	Crusaders	L 0-1	31.7	940	1253	12.40%	17.24%	70.36%	-1.36	-2.6	16
2019-01-11	@ Newry City	W 1-0	31.7	1253	940	70.36%	17.24%	12.40%	+1.36	+2.6	50
2019-01-12	Ards	W 4-1	32.4	1118	942	65.70%	18.45%	15.85%	+1.09	+7.9	38
2019-01-12	@ Cliftonville	L 1-4	32.4	942	1118	15.85%	18.45%	65.70%	-1.09	-7.8	14
2019-01-12	Dungannon Swifts	D 2-2	60.9	1166	961	68.23%	17.83%	13.94%	+1.23	-1.8	50
2019-01-12	@ Ballymena United	D 2-2	60.9	961	1166	13.94%	17.83%	68.23%	-1.23	+1.8	21
2019-01-12	Glenavon	D 1-1	54.3	1198	1201	44.96%	20.85%	34.19%	+0.19	-0.4	39
2019-01-12	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	54.3	1201	1198	34.19%	20.85%	44.96%	-0.19	+0.4	43
2019-01-12	Glentoran	L 0-2	38.6	1013	1023	44.02%	20.87%	35.11%	+0.16	-15.7	29
2019-01-12	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 2-0	38.6	1023	1013	35.11%	20.87%	44.02%	-0.16	+15.7	24
2019-01-12	Warrenpoint Town	W 4-0	23.4	1276	965	76.31%	15.19%	8.50%	+1.76	+6.4	53
2019-01-12	@ Linfield	L 0-4	23.4	965	1276	8.50%	15.19%	76.31%	-1.76	-6.4	22
2019-01-18	Coleraine	L 1-2	38.3	934	1198	15.52%	18.35%	66.13%	-1.11	-3.1	14
2019-01-18	@ Ards	W 2-1	38.3	1198	934	66.13%	18.35%	15.52%	+1.11	+3.1	42
2019-01-19	Ballymena United	L 0-2	40.5	1202	1164	50.39%	20.58%	29.04%	+0.40	-17.6	43
2019-01-19	@ Glenavon	W 2-0	40.5	1164	1202	29.04%	20.58%	50.39%	-0.40	+17.6	53
2019-01-19	Cliftonville	W 3-1	47.7	963	1126	24.23%	20.11%	55.66%	-0.61	+16.7	24
2019-01-19	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 1-3	47.7	1126	963	55.66%	20.11%	24.23%	+0.61	-16.7	38
2019-01-19	Institute Drumahoe	W 4-0	34.3	959	998	39.88%	20.93%	39.19%	+0.01	+27.1	25
2019-01-19	@ Warrenpoint Town	L 0-4	34.3	998	959	39.19%	20.93%	39.88%	-0.01	-27.2	29
2019-01-19	Linfield	L 0-1	42.1	1255	1282	41.58%	20.92%	37.50%	+0.07	-8.0	50
2019-01-19	@ Crusaders	W 1-0	42.1	1282	1255	37.50%	20.92%	41.58%	-0.07	+8.0	56
2019-01-19	Newry City	W 2-1	40.7	1039	937	58.04%	19.81%	22.15%	+0.71	+4.4	27
2019-01-19	@ Glentoran	L 1-2	40.7	937	1039	22.15%	19.81%	58.04%	-0.71	-4.4	16
2019-01-22	Linfield	L 0-2	27.0	933	1290	10.08%	16.13%	73.78%	-1.58	-4.0	16
2019-01-22	@ Newry City	W 2-0	27.0	1290	933	73.78%	16.13%	10.08%	+1.58	+4.0	59
2019-01-26	Ards	W 4-1	30.6	1181	931	71.97%	16.74%	11.29%	+1.46	+5.5	56
2019-01-26	@ Ballymena United	L 1-4	30.6	931	1181	11.29%	16.74%	71.97%	-1.46	-5.5	14
2019-01-26	Crusaders	L 1-3	34.8	970	1247	14.60%	18.06%	67.34%	-1.18	-5.1	29
2019-01-26	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 3-1	34.8	1247	970	67.34%	18.06%	14.60%	+1.18	+5.1	53
2019-01-26	Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	54.3	1201	980	69.65%	17.44%	12.90%	+1.31	-11.8	42
2019-01-26	@ Coleraine	W 2-1	54.3	980	1201	12.90%	17.44%	69.65%	-1.31	+11.8	27
2019-01-26	Glenavon	D 1-1	54.2	1109	1184	34.91%	20.87%	44.22%	-0.17	+0.4	39
2019-01-26	@ Cliftonville	D 1-1	54.2	1184	1109	44.22%	20.87%	34.91%	+0.17	-0.4	44
2019-01-26	Warrenpoint Town	L 0-2	36.6	929	986	37.34%	20.92%	41.74%	-0.08	-13.8	16
2019-01-26	@ Newry City	W 2-0	36.6	986	929	41.74%	20.92%	37.34%	+0.08	+13.8	28
2019-01-28	Glentoran	W 4-2	37.7	1294	1043	72.04%	16.72%	11.24%	+1.46	+3.5	62
2019-01-28	@ Linfield	L 2-4	37.7	1043	1294	11.24%	16.72%	72.04%	-1.46	-3.5	27
2019-02-05	Coleraine	L 0-2	31.3	991	1189	20.85%	19.60%	59.55%	-0.78	-8.3	27
2019-02-05	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	31.3	1189	991	59.55%	19.60%	20.85%	+0.78	+8.3	45
2019-02-05	Glentoran	D 1-1	54.2	915	1040	28.56%	20.54%	50.89%	-0.42	+0.9	17
2019-02-05	@ Newry City	D 1-1	54.2	1040	915	50.89%	20.54%	28.56%	+0.42	-0.9	28
2019-02-09	Ards	W 2-0	27.4	1184	926	72.55%	16.55%	10.90%	+1.50	+4.4	47
2019-02-09	@ Glenavon	L 0-2	27.4	926	1184	10.90%	16.55%	72.55%	-1.50	-4.4	14
2019-02-09	Ballymena United	L 1-2	39.5	965	1187	18.74%	19.18%	62.07%	-0.90	-3.8	29
2019-02-09	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 2-1	39.5	1187	965	62.07%	19.18%	18.74%	+0.90	+3.8	59
2019-02-09	Coleraine	W 3-2	46.6	1298	1197	57.94%	19.83%	22.23%	+0.71	+4.2	65
2019-02-09	@ Linfield	L 2-3	46.6	1197	1298	22.23%	19.83%	57.94%	-0.71	-4.2	45
2019-02-09	Crusaders	W 1-0	48.3	983	1252	15.11%	18.23%	66.66%	-1.14	+12.0	30
2019-02-09	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	48.3	1252	983	66.66%	18.23%	15.11%	+1.14	-12.0	53
2019-02-09	Glentoran	L 0-5	35.1	1000	1039	39.85%	20.93%	39.22%	+0.01	-33.9	28
2019-02-09	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 5-0	35.1	1039	1000	39.22%	20.93%	39.85%	-0.01	+33.9	31
2019-02-09	Newry City	W 1-0	32.6	1110	916	67.29%	18.07%	14.64%	+1.18	+3.1	42
2019-02-09	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	32.6	916	1110	14.64%	18.07%	67.29%	-1.18	-3.1	17
2019-02-15	Coleraine	W 4-2	44.0	1240	1193	51.59%	20.49%	27.92%	+0.44	+8.4	56
2019-02-15	@ Crusaders	L 2-4	44.0	1193	1240	27.92%	20.49%	51.59%	-0.44	-8.4	45
2019-02-15	Institute Drumahoe	L 0-3	34.9	921	962	39.68%	20.93%	39.39%	+0.01	-21.0	14
2019-02-15	@ Ards	W 3-0	34.9	962	921	39.39%	20.93%	39.68%	-0.01	+21.0	32
2019-02-15	Warrenpoint Town	W 4-3	51.7	995	966	49.32%	20.65%	30.03%	+0.35	+5.3	33
2019-02-15	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 3-4	51.7	966	995	30.03%	20.65%	49.32%	-0.35	-5.3	28
2019-02-18	Glenavon	L 1-2	43.3	1073	1188	29.66%	20.62%	49.72%	-0.37	-5.7	31
2019-02-18	@ Glentoran	W 2-1	43.3	1188	1073	49.72%	20.62%	29.66%	+0.37	+5.7	50
2019-02-22	Glenavon	D 1-1	54.5	1249	1194	52.60%	20.41%	26.99%	+0.48	-1.1	57
2019-02-22	@ Crusaders	D 1-1	54.5	1194	1249	26.99%	20.41%	52.60%	-0.48	+1.1	51
2019-02-23	Ballymena United	W 1-0	35.5	1302	1191	59.15%	19.66%	21.19%	+0.76	+4.5	68
2019-02-23	@ Linfield	L 0-1	35.5	1191	1302	21.19%	19.66%	59.15%	-0.76	-4.5	59
2019-02-23	Cliftonville	L 0-2	32.8	960	1113	25.35%	20.24%	54.41%	-0.56	-9.9	28
2019-02-23	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 2-0	32.8	1113	960	54.41%	20.24%	25.35%	+0.56	+10.0	45
2019-02-23	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	36.2	983	1000	42.86%	20.90%	36.24%	+0.12	+13.4	35
2019-02-23	@ Institute Drumahoe	L 0-2	36.2	1000	983	36.24%	20.90%	42.86%	-0.12	-13.4	33
2019-02-23	Glentoran	W 2-0	31.2	1185	1067	59.87%	19.55%	20.58%	+0.80	+8.2	48
2019-02-23	@ Coleraine	L 0-2	31.2	1067	1185	20.58%	19.55%	59.87%	-0.80	-8.2	31
2019-02-23	Newry City	W 3-1	41.8	900	913	43.59%	20.88%	35.53%	+0.14	+11.4	17
2019-02-23	@ Ards	L 1-3	41.8	913	900	35.53%	20.88%	43.59%	-0.14	-11.5	17
2019-02-26	Cliftonville	W 2-1	42.1	1186	1123	53.59%	20.32%	26.09%	+0.52	+5.1	62
2019-02-26	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	42.1	1123	1186	26.09%	20.32%	53.59%	-0.52	-5.1	45
2019-02-26	Linfield	L 0-1	29.7	902	1306	8.07%	14.89%	77.04%	-1.82	-1.7	17
2019-02-26	@ Newry City	W 1-0	29.7	1306	902	77.04%	14.89%	8.07%	+1.82	+1.7	71
2019-02-26	Warrenpoint Town	W 3-1	37.3	1059	950	58.82%	19.70%	21.47%	+0.75	+7.4	34
2019-02-26	@ Glentoran	L 1-3	37.3	950	1059	21.47%	19.70%	58.82%	-0.75	-7.4	28
2019-03-02	Cliftonville	L 0-2	41.8	1195	1118	55.22%	20.15%	24.63%	+0.59	-19.1	51
2019-03-02	@ Glenavon	W 2-0	41.8	1118	1195	24.63%	20.15%	55.22%	-0.59	+19.1	48
2019-03-08	Linfield	W 2-0	41.2	1176	1308	27.60%	20.46%	51.94%	-0.46	+18.1	54
2019-03-08	@ Glenavon	L 0-2	41.2	1308	1176	51.94%	20.46%	27.60%	+0.46	-18.1	71
2019-03-09	Ards	D 1-1	54.7	1066	912	63.62%	18.89%	17.49%	+0.98	-2.0	35
2019-03-09	@ Glentoran	D 1-1	54.7	912	1066	17.49%	18.89%	63.62%	-0.98	+2.0	18
2019-03-09	Ballymena United	L 0-4	36.3	1193	1191	45.60%	20.83%	33.57%	+0.22	-30.7	48
2019-03-09	@ Coleraine	W 4-0	36.3	1191	1193	33.57%	20.83%	45.60%	-0.22	+30.7	65
2019-03-09	Institute Drumahoe	W 1-0	34.1	1137	996	62.28%	19.14%	18.58%	+0.91	+4.0	51
2019-03-09	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	34.1	996	1137	18.58%	19.14%	62.28%	-0.91	-4.0	35
2019-03-09	Newry City	W 2-1	41.2	987	900	56.43%	20.02%	23.55%	+0.64	+4.6	36
2019-03-09	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	41.2	900	987	23.55%	20.02%	56.43%	-0.64	-4.6	17
2019-03-15	Coleraine	L 1-4	32.2	895	1162	15.27%	18.27%	66.46%	-1.13	-7.6	17
2019-03-15	@ Newry City	W 4-1	32.2	1162	895	66.46%	18.27%	15.27%	+1.13	+7.6	51
2019-03-16	Cliftonville	W 2-0	31.7	1248	1141	58.66%	19.73%	21.61%	+0.74	+8.6	60
2019-03-16	@ Crusaders	L 0-2	31.7	1141	1248	21.61%	19.73%	58.66%	-0.74	-8.6	51
2019-03-16	Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	32.4	1194	992	68.01%	17.89%	14.10%	+1.22	+3.0	57
2019-03-16	@ Glenavon	L 0-1	32.4	992	1194	14.10%	17.89%	68.01%	-1.22	-3.0	36
2019-03-16	Glentoran	L 0-2	44.0	1222	1064	63.97%	18.82%	17.21%	+1.00	-21.9	65
2019-03-16	@ Ballymena United	W 2-0	44.0	1064	1222	17.21%	18.82%	63.97%	-1.00	+21.9	38
2019-03-16	Institute Drumahoe	W 2-0	26.6	1290	992	75.43%	15.53%	9.04%	+1.70	+3.6	74
2019-03-16	@ Linfield	L 0-2	26.6	992	1290	9.04%	15.53%	75.43%	-1.70	-3.6	35
2019-03-16	Warrenpoint Town	L 0-1	41.4	914	943	41.27%	20.92%	37.81%	+0.06	-7.9	18
2019-03-16	@ Ards	W 1-0	41.4	943	914	37.81%	20.92%	41.27%	-0.06	+7.9	31
2019-03-19	Crusaders	L 1-3	34.0	951	1256	12.81%	17.41%	69.78%	-1.32	-4.5	31
2019-03-19	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 3-1	34.0	1256	951	69.78%	17.41%	12.81%	+1.32	+4.5	63
2019-03-19	Institute Drumahoe	W 6-1	29.3	1200	988	68.86%	17.67%	13.48%	+1.27	+10.5	68
2019-03-19	@ Ballymena United	L 1-6	29.3	988	1200	13.48%	17.67%	68.86%	-1.27	-10.5	35
2019-03-22	Linfield	L 0-5	26.0	989	1294	12.84%	17.42%	69.74%	-1.32	-12.1	36
2019-03-22	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 5-0	26.0	1294	989	69.74%	17.42%	12.84%	+1.32	+12.1	77
2019-03-23	Coleraine	W 1-0	46.4	978	1170	21.37%	19.69%	58.94%	-0.75	+10.8	38
2019-03-23	@ Institute Drumahoe	L 0-1	46.4	1170	978	58.94%	19.69%	21.37%	+0.75	-10.8	51
2019-03-23	Crusaders	D 2-2	61.4	906	1261	10.19%	16.19%	73.62%	-1.57	+2.1	19
2019-03-23	@ Ards	D 2-2	61.4	1261	906	73.62%	16.19%	10.19%	+1.57	-2.1	64
2019-03-23	Glenavon	L 0-1	31.8	888	1197	12.61%	17.33%	70.07%	-1.34	-2.7	17
2019-03-23	@ Newry City	W 1-0	31.8	1197	888	70.07%	17.33%	12.61%	+1.34	+2.7	60
2019-03-23	Warrenpoint Town	L 1-2	55.0	1211	946	73.03%	16.39%	10.58%	+1.53	-12.3	68
2019-03-23	@ Ballymena United	W 2-1	55.0	946	1211	10.58%	16.39%	73.03%	-1.53	+12.3	34
2019-03-30	Glentoran	W 2-1	42.7	1132	1086	51.49%	20.50%	28.02%	+0.44	+5.4	54
2019-03-30	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	42.7	1086	1132	28.02%	20.50%	51.49%	-0.44	-5.4	38

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2019-04-05	Ards	W 3-0	34.1	885	908	42.16%	20.91%	36.93%	+0.09	+19.8	3
2019-04-05	@ Newry City	L 0-3	34.1	908	885	36.93%	20.91%	42.16%	-0.09	-19.8	0
2019-04-05	Linfield	L 0-1	38.7	1198	1306	30.64%	20.68%	48.68%	-0.33	-6.2	0
2019-04-05	@ Ballymena United	W 1-0	38.7	1306	1198	48.68%	20.68%	30.64%	+0.33	+6.2	3
2019-04-06	Coleraine	W 4-2	46.6	1138	1159	42.37%	20.91%	36.72%	+0.10	+10.5	3
2019-04-06	@ Cliftonville	L 2-4	46.6	1159	1138	36.72%	20.91%	42.37%	-0.10	-10.5	0
2019-04-06	Crusaders	W 2-1	47.3	1199	1259	36.98%	20.91%	42.11%	-0.09	+7.6	3
2019-04-06	@ Glenavon	L 1-2	47.3	1259	1199	42.11%	20.91%	36.98%	+0.09	-7.6	0
2019-04-06	Glentoran	L 1-2	43.7	977	1081	31.06%	20.71%	48.23%	-0.31	-5.9	0
2019-04-06	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	43.7	1081	977	48.23%	20.71%	31.06%	+0.31	+5.9	3
2019-04-06	Warrenpoint Town	W 2-1	43.3	989	959	49.38%	20.64%	29.98%	+0.36	+5.8	3
2019-04-06	@ Institute Drumahoe	L 1-2	43.3	959	989	29.98%	20.64%	49.38%	-0.36	-5.7	0
2019-04-13	Ballymena United	D 1-1	54.2	1148	1192	39.16%	20.93%	39.91%	-0.01	+0.0	4
2019-04-13	@ Cliftonville	D 1-1	54.2	1192	1148	39.91%	20.93%	39.16%	+0.01	-0.0	1
2019-04-13	Coleraine	D 1-1	54.4	1207	1149	52.97%	20.38%	26.65%	+0.50	-1.1	4
2019-04-13	@ Glenavon	D 1-1	54.4	1149	1207	26.65%	20.38%	52.97%	-0.50	+1.1	1
2019-04-13	Crusaders	D 0-0	50.8	1312	1251	53.29%	20.35%	26.37%	+0.51	-1.3	4
2019-04-13	@ Linfield	D 0-0	50.8	1251	1312	26.37%	20.35%	53.29%	-0.51	+1.3	1
2019-04-13	Glentoran	D 1-1	54.5	888	1086	20.79%	19.59%	59.63%	-0.79	+1.7	1
2019-04-13	@ Ards	D 1-1	54.5	1086	888	59.63%	19.59%	20.79%	+0.79	-1.7	4
2019-04-13	Institute Drumahoe	W 2-1	45.5	971	994	42.04%	20.91%	37.04%	+0.09	+6.8	3
2019-04-13	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	45.5	994	971	37.04%	20.91%	42.04%	-0.09	-6.8	3
2019-04-13	Newry City	L 2-4	50.9	953	905	51.71%	20.48%	27.81%	+0.45	-14.0	0
2019-04-13	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 4-2	50.9	905	953	27.81%	20.48%	51.71%	-0.45	+14.0	6
2019-04-19	Glentoran	L 0-2	32.3	919	1085	23.94%	20.07%	55.99%	-0.62	-9.5	6
2019-04-19	@ Newry City	W 2-0	32.3	1085	919	55.99%	20.07%	23.94%	+0.62	+9.5	7
2019-04-20	Ards	L 0-1	46.0	988	890	57.65%	19.87%	22.49%	+0.70	-10.5	3
2019-04-20	@ Institute Drumahoe	W 1-0	46.0	890	988	22.49%	19.87%	57.65%	-0.70	+10.5	4
2019-04-20	Coleraine	W 1-0	37.6	1192	1150	50.98%	20.54%	28.48%	+0.42	+5.8	4
2019-04-20	@ Ballymena United	L 0-1	37.6	1150	1192	28.48%	20.54%	50.98%	-0.42	-5.8	1
2019-04-20	Crusaders	W 2-0	40.0	1148	1252	31.04%	20.71%	48.25%	-0.31	+17.0	7
2019-04-20	@ Cliftonville	L 0-2	40.0	1252	1148	48.25%	20.71%	31.04%	+0.31	-17.0	1
2019-04-20	Dungannon Swifts	W 5-3	49.2	939	977	39.94%	20.93%	39.13%	+0.01	+10.5	3
2019-04-20	@ Warrenpoint Town	L 3-5	49.2	977	939	39.13%	20.93%	39.94%	-0.01	-10.5	3
2019-04-20	Glenavon	L 0-4	40.2	1311	1206	58.44%	19.76%	21.80%	+0.73	-38.2	4
2019-04-20	@ Linfield	W 4-0	40.2	1206	1311	21.80%	19.76%	58.44%	-0.73	+38.2	7
2019-04-23	Cliftonville	W 5-1	33.2	1272	1165	58.70%	19.72%	21.58%	+0.74	+13.6	7
2019-04-23	@ Linfield	L 1-5	33.2	1165	1272	21.58%	19.72%	58.70%	-0.74	-13.6	7
2019-04-23	Crusaders	W 4-2	49.6	1144	1235	32.65%	20.79%	46.56%	-0.25	+12.8	4
2019-04-23	@ Coleraine	L 2-4	49.6	1235	1144	46.56%	20.79%	32.65%	+0.25	-12.8	1
2019-04-23	Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	42.0	900	967	35.96%	20.89%	43.14%	-0.13	+8.2	7
2019-04-23	@ Ards	L 0-1	42.0	967	900	43.14%	20.89%	35.96%	+0.13	-8.2	3
2019-04-23	Glenavon	W 4-3	55.2	1198	1244	38.86%	20.93%	40.21%	-0.02	+6.8	7
2019-04-23	@ Ballymena United	L 3-4	55.2	1244	1198	40.21%	20.93%	38.86%	+0.02	-6.8	7
2019-04-23	Newry City	W 2-1	41.9	977	909	54.13%	20.27%	25.61%	+0.55	+5.0	6
2019-04-23	@ Institute Drumahoe	L 1-2	41.9	909	977	25.61%	20.27%	54.13%	-0.55	-5.0	6
2019-04-23	Warrenpoint Town	D 2-2	60.5	1094	949	62.67%	19.07%	18.26%	+0.93	-1.4	8
2019-04-23	@ Glentoran	D 2-2	60.5	949	1094	18.26%	19.07%	62.67%	-0.93	+1.4	4
2019-04-27	Ards	D 1-1	54.2	951	908	50.97%	20.54%	28.49%	+0.42	-0.9	5
2019-04-27	@ Warrenpoint Town	D 1-1	54.2	908	951	28.49%	20.54%	50.97%	-0.42	+0.9	8
2019-04-27	Cliftonville	W 4-0	29.6	1237	1152	56.25%	20.04%	23.71%	+0.63	+17.8	10
2019-04-27	@ Glenavon	L 0-4	29.6	1152	1237	23.71%	20.04%	56.25%	-0.63	-17.8	7
2019-04-27	Crusaders	L 0-3	36.1	1205	1223	42.87%	20.90%	36.23%	+0.12	-22.3	7
2019-04-27	@ Ballymena United	W 3-0	36.1	1223	1205	36.23%	20.90%	42.87%	-0.12	+22.3	4
2019-04-27	Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	40.4	904	959	37.66%	20.92%	41.42%	-0.07	-7.4	6
2019-04-27	@ Newry City	W 1-0	40.4	959	904	41.42%	20.92%	37.66%	+0.07	+7.4	6
2019-04-27	Institute Drumahoe	W 2-0	31.4	1093	982	59.09%	19.67%	21.24%	+0.76	+8.5	11
2019-04-27	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	31.4	982	1093	21.24%	19.67%	59.09%	-0.76	-8.5	6
2019-04-27	Linfield	D 1-1	54.5	1157	1286	27.97%	20.49%	51.53%	-0.44	+1.0	5
2019-04-27	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	54.5	1286	1157	51.53%	20.49%	27.97%	+0.44	-1.0	8

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2019-01-01	9.87%	Warrenpoint Town	943	3	@ Glenavon	1223	1
2	2018-11-30	10.00%	Newry City	937	1	@ Coleraine	1214	0
3	2019-03-23	10.58%	Warrenpoint Town	946	2	@ Ballymena United	1211	1
4	2019-01-26	12.90%	Dungannon Swifts	980	2	@ Coleraine	1201	1
5	2018-11-24	14.45%	@ Warrenpoint Town	946	2	Coleraine	1225	1
6	2018-10-20	14.50%	@ Ards	967	2	Linfield	1246	1
7	2019-02-09	15.11%	@ Dungannon Swifts	983	1	Crusaders	1252	0
8	2019-03-16	17.21%	Glentoran	1064	2	@ Ballymena United	1222	0
9	2018-09-25	17.80%	@ Dungannon Swifts	984	3	Crusaders	1217	2
10	2018-09-15	17.96%	@ Warrenpoint Town	914	2	Cliftonville	1145	1
11	2018-12-22	21.26%	@ Institute Drumahoe	985	6	Cliftonville	1179	4
12	2019-03-23	21.37%	@ Institute Drumahoe	978	1	Coleraine	1170	0
13	2019-04-20	21.80%	Glenavon	1206	4	@ Linfield	1311	0
14	2019-04-20	22.49%	Ards	890	1	@ Institute Drumahoe	988	0
15	2019-01-01	23.03%	Dungannon Swifts	946	4	@ Glentoran	1038	2
16	2019-01-19	24.23%	@ Dungannon Swifts	963	3	Cliftonville	1126	1
17	2018-09-01	24.25%	@ Newry City	980	1	Cliftonville	1143	0
18	2018-10-27	24.43%	Cliftonville	1146	2	@ Coleraine	1224	1
19	2019-03-02	24.63%	Cliftonville	1118	2	@ Glenavon	1195	0
20	2018-10-06	25.96%	Warrenpoint Town	927	2	@ Dungannon Swifts	991	0
21	2018-08-18	25.99%	Linfield	1197	2	@ Crusaders	1262	0
22	2018-10-27	27.04%	@ Ballymena United	1087	3	Crusaders	1224	0
23	2018-12-29	27.38%	Ards	920	3	@ Dungannon Swifts	972	0
24	2019-03-08	27.60%	@ Glenavon	1176	2	Linfield	1308	0
25	2019-04-13	27.81%	Newry City	905	4	@ Warrenpoint Town	953	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2019-04-20	38.22	Glenavon	4	1206	21.80%	@ Linfield	0	1311	58.44%	19.76%
2	2019-02-09	33.91	Glentoran	5	1039	39.22%	@ Warrenpoint Town	0	1000	39.85%	20.93%
3	2019-03-09	30.72	Ballymena United	4	1191	33.57%	@ Coleraine	0	1193	45.60%	20.83%
4	2018-08-24	27.44	@ Ards	4	965	39.35%	Newry City	0	1007	39.72%	20.93%
5	2019-01-19	27.16	@ Warrenpoint Town	4	959	39.88%	Institute Drumahoe	0	998	39.19%	20.93%
6	2018-10-27	26.58	@ Ballymena United	3	1087	27.04%	Crusaders	0	1224	52.55%	20.41%
7	2018-12-29	26.42	Ards	3	920	27.38%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	972	52.18%	20.44%
8	2018-09-03	24.90	Coleraine	3	1220	30.55%	@ Crusaders	0	1246	48.77%	20.68%
9	2018-12-14	24.22	@ Glenavon	4	1201	45.16%	Coleraine	0	1203	33.99%	20.84%
10	2018-09-01	23.03	Ballymena United	6	1053	48.07%	@ Warrenpoint Town	1	950	31.22%	20.72%
11	2019-04-27	22.34	Crusaders	3	1223	36.23%	@ Ballymena United	0	1205	42.87%	20.90%
12	2019-03-16	21.88	Glentoran	2	1064	17.21%	@ Ballymena United	0	1222	63.97%	18.82%
13	2018-12-26	21.71	Crusaders	5	1222	41.89%	@ Cliftonville	1	1164	37.20%	20.92%
14	2019-01-01	21.56	Warrenpoint Town	3	943	9.87%	@ Glenavon	1	1223	74.12%	16.02%
15	2018-10-06	20.99	Glenavon	4	1213	30.55%	@ Coleraine	1	1238	48.77%	20.68%
16	2019-02-15	20.99	Institute Drumahoe	3	962	39.39%	@ Ards	0	921	39.68%	20.93%
17	2019-04-05	19.82	@ Newry City	3	885	42.16%	Ards	0	908	36.93%	20.91%
18	2018-11-17	19.64	@ Crusaders	3	1211	42.59%	Glenavon	0	1230	36.50%	20.90%
19	2019-03-02	19.13	Cliftonville	2	1118	24.63%	@ Glenavon	0	1195	55.22%	20.15%
20	2018-10-06	18.67	Warrenpoint Town	2	927	25.96%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	991	53.74%	20.31%
21	2018-08-18	18.66	Linfield	2	1197	25.99%	@ Crusaders	0	1262	53.70%	20.31%
22	2018-10-27	18.18	@ Glentoran	4	1059	55.57%	Ards	0	979	24.31%	20.12%
23	2019-03-08	18.11	@ Glenavon	2	1176	27.60%	Linfield	0	1308	51.94%	20.46%
24	2019-04-27	17.78	@ Glenavon	4	1237	56.25%	Cliftonville	0	1152	23.71%	20.04%
25	2019-01-19	17.64	Ballymena United	2	1164	29.04%	@ Glenavon	0	1202	50.39%	20.58%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2018-12-01	65.4	@ Glenavon	3	1214	70.44%	Institute Drumahoe	3	984	12.34%	17.22%
2	2018-12-29	65.3	@ Glenavon	3	1224	69.49%	Institute Drumahoe	3	1005	13.02%	17.49%
3	2018-12-26	64.4	@ Ballymena United	3	1166	43.18%	Coleraine	3	1181	35.92%	20.89%
4	2018-12-08	64.2	@ Institute Drumahoe	3	985	35.67%	Glentoran	3	1054	43.44%	20.89%
5	2019-03-23	61.4	@ Ards	2	906	10.19%	Crusaders	2	1261	73.62%	16.19%
6	2018-08-11	60.9	@ Crusaders	2	1263	68.01%	Ballymena United	2	1061	14.10%	17.89%
7	2018-08-24	60.9	@ Coleraine	2	1222	68.31%	Institute Drumahoe	2	1017	13.88%	17.81%
8	2019-01-12	60.9	@ Ballymena United	2	1166	68.23%	Dungannon Swifts	2	961	13.94%	17.83%
9	2018-09-25	60.7	@ Coleraine	2	1242	65.26%	Ballymena United	2	1071	16.19%	18.55%
10	2019-04-23	60.5	@ Glentoran	2	1094	62.67%	Warrenpoint Town	2	949	18.26%	19.07%
11	2018-08-18	60.3	@ Glentoran	2	1056	23.78%	Coleraine	2	1223	56.18%	20.05%
12	2018-12-01	60.3	@ Glentoran	2	1053	22.57%	Crusaders	2	1232	57.55%	19.88%
13	2018-11-03	59.9	@ Ards	2	961	43.92%	Dungannon Swifts	2	971	35.20%	20.88%
14	2018-12-26	59.9	@ Warrenpoint Town	2	948	44.84%	Newry City	2	951	34.30%	20.85%
15	2018-09-25	58.2	@ Dungannon Swifts	3	984	17.80%	Crusaders	2	1217	63.23%	18.97%
16	2018-11-03	55.8	@ Linfield	1	1238	75.40%	Warrenpoint Town	1	940	9.06%	15.54%
17	2018-11-10	55.7	@ Glenavon	1	1233	74.90%	Warrenpoint Town	1	943	9.37%	15.73%
18	2018-12-22	55.5	@ Institute Drumahoe	6	985	21.26%	Cliftonville	4	1179	59.08%	19.67%
19	2019-04-23	55.2	@ Ballymena United	4	1198	38.86%	Glenavon	3	1244	40.21%	20.93%
20	2019-03-23	55.0	Warrenpoint Town	2	946	10.58%	@ Ballymena United	1	1211	73.03%	16.39%
21	2018-09-29	54.9	@ Newry City	1	975	15.34%	Coleraine	1	1241	66.36%	18.30%
22	2018-11-17	54.9	@ Coleraine	1	1227	64.45%	Glentoran	1	1064	16.83%	18.72%
23	2018-12-26	54.9	@ Dungannon Swifts	1	970	16.04%	Glenavon	1	1226	65.45%	18.50%
24	2019-03-09	54.7	@ Glentoran	1	1066	63.62%	Ards	1	912	17.49%	18.89%
25	2018-09-01	54.6	@ Glenavon	1	1187	60.60%	Glentoran	1	1062	19.96%	19.43%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2019-01-12	23.4	@ Linfield	4	1276	76.31%	Warrenpoint Town	0	965	8.50%	15.19%
2	2018-09-15	25.5	@ Linfield	3	1226	70.78%	Dungannon Swifts	0	991	12.11%	17.12%
3	2018-08-04	25.6	@ Coleraine	3	1209	70.50%	Warrenpoint Town	0	978	12.30%	17.20%
4	2019-03-22	26.0	Linfield	5	1294	69.74%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	989	12.84%	17.42%
5	2018-12-26	26.1	@ Linfield	4	1249	67.41%	Glentoran	0	1054	14.55%	18.04%
6	2018-09-07	26.5	Linfield	5	1213	68.13%	@ Warrenpoint Town	0	927	14.01%	17.86%
7	2018-10-27	26.6	@ Glenavon	2	1239	75.14%	Newry City	0	945	9.22%	15.64%
8	2019-03-16	26.6	@ Linfield	2	1290	75.43%	Institute Drumahoe	0	992	9.04%	15.53%
9	2019-01-22	27.0	Linfield	2	1290	73.78%	@ Newry City	0	933	10.08%	16.13%
10	2018-11-02	27.1	Crusaders	3	1198	65.46%	@ Newry City	0	941	16.04%	18.50%
11	2018-08-10	27.2	@ Linfield	3	1188	65.38%	Institute Drumahoe	0	1015	16.10%	18.52%
12	2019-02-09	27.4	@ Glenavon	2	1184	72.55%	Ards	0	926	10.90%	16.55%
13	2019-01-01	27.8	Linfield	2	1271	71.30%	@ Ards	0	947	11.74%	16.95%
14	2018-10-13	28.0	@ Crusaders	3	1221	62.86%	Glentoran	0	1074	18.10%	19.04%
15	2018-12-22	28.0	@ Ballymena United	2	1161	70.37%	Ards	0	931	12.39%	17.24%
16	2018-08-24	28.9	@ Glenavon	4	1170	57.94%	Ballymena United	0	1069	22.24%	19.83%
17	2018-09-07	28.9	@ Cliftonville	3	1133	59.55%	Institute Drumahoe	0	1018	20.85%	19.60%
18	2019-03-19	29.3	@ Ballymena United	6	1200	68.86%	Institute Drumahoe	1	988	13.48%	17.67%
19	2018-10-06	29.6	@ Ballymena United	3	1069	57.00%	Newry City	0	977	23.05%	19.95%
20	2018-10-27	29.6	@ Glentoran	4	1059	55.57%	Ards	0	979	24.31%	20.12%
21	2019-04-27	29.6	@ Glenavon	4	1237	56.25%	Cliftonville	0	1152	23.71%	20.04%
22	2019-02-26	29.7	Linfield	1	1306	77.04%	@ Newry City	0	902	8.07%	14.89%
23	2019-01-26	30.6	@ Ballymena United	4	1181	71.97%	Ards	1	931	11.29%	16.74%
24	2018-12-08	31.0	@ Coleraine	1	1200	72.81%	Ards	0	939	10.72%	16.47%
25	2018-09-25	31.1	Glenavon	2	1202	60.30%	@ Ards	0	998	20.22%	19.48%