2020-21 NIFL Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Linfield

78 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ballymena United

5.09 points above expected

61 points · 55.91 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Crusaders

4.96 points below expected

54 points · 58.96 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Linfield	33	22	4	7	70	76	34	+42	67.55	+2.45
2	Glentoran	33	18	9	6	63	61	29	+32	56.48	+6.52
3	Coleraine	33	18	8	7	62	50	32	+18	58.66	+3.34
4	Cliftonville	33	16	8	9	56	55	35	+20	53.06	+2.94
5	Larne	33	15	10	8	55	56	35	+21	59.74	-4.74
6	Crusaders	33	16	5	12	53	59	40	+19	58.06	-5.06
7	Glenavon	33	14	10	9	52	56	57	-1	42.29	+9.71
8	Ballymena United	33	13	7	13	46	50	40	+10	43.49	+2.51
9	Portadown	33	8	6	19	30	40	65	-25	26.21	+3.79
10	Warrenpoint Town	33	6	9	18	27	32	65	-33	30.22	-3.22
11	Carrick Rangers	33	4	8	21	20	28	77	-49	31.98	-11.98
12	Dungannon Swifts	33	4	4	25	16	18	72	-54	25.04	-9.04

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Linfield	38	24	6	8	78	83	38	+45	78.52	-0.52
2	Coleraine	38	21	10	7	73	57	35	+22	70.31	+2.69
3	Glentoran	38	20	11	7	71	65	32	+33	69.73	+1.27
4	Larne	38	18	10	10	64	64	41	+23	62.08	+1.92
5	Cliftonville	38	17	9	12	60	59	42	+17	61.02	-1.02
6	Crusaders	38	16	6	16	54	62	50	+12	58.96	-4.96

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Glenavon	38	17	11	10	62	72	65	+7	61.67	+0.33
2	Ballymena United	38	18	7	13	61	67	44	+23	55.91	+5.09
3	Portadown	38	10	6	22	36	50	78	-28	36.66	-0.66
4	Warrenpoint Town	38	9	9	20	36	38	74	-36	32.78	+3.22
5	Carrick Rangers	38	5	8	25	23	35	92	-57	25.57	-2.57
6	Dungannon Swifts	38	4	5	29	17	22	83	-61	20.22	-3.22

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Ballymena United	61	55.91	+5.09
2	Warrenpoint Town	36	32.78	+3.22
3	Coleraine	73	70.31	+2.69
4	Larne	64	62.08	+1.92
5	Glentoran	71	69.73	+1.27

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Crusaders	54	58.96	-4.96
2	Dungannon Swifts	17	20.22	-3.22
3	Carrick Rangers	23	25.57	-2.57
4	Cliftonville	60	61.02	-1.02
5	Portadown	36	36.66	-0.66

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Glentoran	6	Feb 6 – Mar 5	1 in 88
2	Coleraine	6	Dec 12 – Jan 30	1 in 85
3	Larne	5	Nov 14 – Dec 11	1 in 57
4	Warrenpoint Town	2	Nov 28 – Dec 5	1 in 38
5	Linfield	6	Oct 17 – Nov 21	1 in 24

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Ballymena United	5	Feb 2 – Feb 23	1 in 126
2	Coleraine	4	Nov 10 – Dec 4	1 in 88
3	Cliftonville	3	Nov 10 – Nov 24	1 in 86
4	Crusaders	4	Mar 12 – Mar 27	1 in 72
5	Carrick Rangers	6	Dec 1 – Jan 30	1 in 54

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Coleraine	17	Dec 12 – Mar 23	1 in 118
2	Ballymena United	10	Feb 27 – Mar 30	1 in 93
3	Glentoran	12	Mar 20 – May 4	1 in 46
4	Portadown	3	Feb 6 – Feb 13	1 in 43
5	Carrick Rangers	4	Feb 6 – Feb 16	1 in 42

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Warrenpoint Town	13	Mar 9 – Apr 24	1 in 38
2	Coleraine	5	Nov 7 – Dec 4	1 in 24
3	Larne	4	Jan 2 – Jan 29	1 in 17
4	Linfield	3	Feb 9 – Feb 23	1 in 17
5	Ballymena United	5	Feb 2 – Feb 23	1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Linfield	1556	78	+11	8	8.2	-0.2
Coleraine	1524	73	+29	11	7.5	+3.5
Glentoran	1509	71	-2	8	7.9	+0.1
Larne	1462	64	+18	9	6.4	+2.6
Glenavon	1362	62	+19	10	9.8	+0.2
Ballymena United	1405	61	+48	15	10.4	+4.6
Cliftonville	1427	60	-13	4	6.1	-2.1
Crusaders	1398	54	-43	1	5.5	-4.5
Warrenpoint Town	1161	36	+5	9	5.7	+3.3
Portadown	1183	36	-12	6	6.7	-0.7
Carrick Rangers	1115	23	-30	3	5.3	-2.3
Dungannon Swifts	1044	17	-30	1	4.0	-3.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BU	CR	CLI	COL	CRU	DS	GLE	GLE	LAR	LIN	POR	WT
Ballymena United	—	4-0-0 7.64	1-1-1 2.85	1-0-2 2.69	0-0-3 3.14	3-0-1 8.54	1-0-3 5.71	1-2-0 2.90	1-1-1 2.41	1-0-2 2.15	3-1-0 8.12	2-2-0 7.50
Carrick Rangers	0-0-4 3.51	—	0-0-3 2.08	0-0-3 1.76	1-1-1 1.89	2-2-0 6.48	0-2-2 3.67	0-0-3 1.96	0-0-3 2.00	0-1-2 1.52	2-0-2 5.85	0-2-2 5.42
Cliftonville	1-1-1 5.50	3-0-0 6.32	—	1-1-2 4.62	0-3-1 5.36	2-0-1 6.61	1-2-0 5.08	2-0-2 4.85	1-1-2 4.63	1-0-3 3.66	2-1-0 6.49	3-0-0 6.31
Coleraine	2-0-1 5.66	3-0-0 6.66	2-1-1 6.48	—	3-0-1 6.01	2-0-1 6.77	0-3-0 5.94	1-3-0 5.72	3-0-1 5.49	0-2-2 4.68	2-1-0 6.96	3-0-0 6.68
Crusaders	3-0-0 5.20	1-1-1 6.52	1-3-0 5.73	1-0-3 5.08	—	2-0-1 6.93	1-0-2 5.54	2-0-2 5.16	1-1-2 5.30	0-0-4 4.15	2-1-0 6.72	2-0-1 6.70
Dungannon Swifts	1-0-3 2.67	0-2-2 4.63	1-0-2 1.82	1-0-2 1.67	1-0-2 1.52	—	0-2-2 2.92	0-0-3 1.48	0-0-3 1.52	0-0-3 0.99	0-0-4 4.85	0-1-3 4.81
Glenavon	3-0-1 5.38	2-2-0 7.46	0-2-1 3.24	0-3-0 2.42	2-0-1 2.80	2-2-0 8.27	—	1-1-1 2.51	0-1-2 2.58	1-0-2 2.09	2-0-2 7.83	4-0-0 7.63
Glentoran	0-2-1 5.44	3-0-0 6.44	2-0-2 6.25	0-3-1 5.37	2-0-2 5.94	3-0-0 6.99	1-1-1 5.84	—	2-2-0 5.38	2-2-0 4.29	3-0-0 6.92	2-1-0 6.44
Larne	1-1-1 5.96	3-0-0 6.40	2-1-1 6.46	1-0-3 5.60	2-1-1 5.79	3-0-0 6.94	2-1-0 5.77	0-2-2 5.71	—	2-1-1 4.49	1-1-1 6.97	1-2-0 6.84
Linfield	2-0-1 6.23	2-1-0 6.94	3-0-1 7.46	2-2-0 6.42	4-0-0 6.96	3-0-0 7.57	2-0-1 6.30	0-2-2 6.82	1-1-2 6.61	—	3-0-0 7.24	2-0-1 7.14
Portadown	0-1-3 3.04	2-0-2 5.25	0-1-2 1.91	0-1-2 1.50	0-1-2 1.71	4-0-0 6.27	2-0-2 3.32	0-0-3 1.54	1-1-1 1.49	0-0-3 1.26	—	1-1-2 5.57
Warrenpoint Town	0-2-2 3.65	2-2-0 5.68	0-0-3 2.08	0-0-3 1.74	1-0-2 1.73	3-1-0 6.29	0-0-4 3.51	0-1-2 1.96	0-2-1 1.61	1-0-2 1.35	2-1-1 5.52	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.83	+10.7
Allowed	0.86	-8.9
Differential	0.96	+5.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.39%	5.70%	8.33%	2.85%	1.54%	2.19%	25.00%
1	5.70%	11.84%	9.87%	3.51%	1.32%	1.10%	33.33%
2	8.33%	9.87%	3.95%	1.10%	0.66%	—	23.90%
3	2.85%	3.51%	1.10%	0.88%	0.66%	0.44%	9.43%
4	1.54%	1.32%	0.66%	0.66%	0.44%	—	4.61%
5+	2.19%	1.10%	—	0.44%	—	—	3.73%
Total	25.00%	33.33%	23.90%	9.43%	4.61%	3.73%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.48	1.48	+0.00
SD	1.33	1.33	2.08
CV	0.90	0.90	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	—	15.79%
1	5.26%	10.53%	13.16%	—	2.63%	—	31.58%
2	13.16%	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	31.58%
3	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
4	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	—	5.26%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
Total	28.95%	36.84%	26.32%	5.26%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.76	1.16	+0.61
SD	1.34	1.00	1.82
CV	0.76	0.86	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	5.26%	15.79%	7.89%	2.63%	10.53%	47.37%
1	—	15.79%	5.26%	10.53%	—	2.63%	34.21%
2	5.26%	—	—	—	—	—	5.26%
3	—	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	2.63%	7.89%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	2.63%	—	—	2.63%
Total	10.53%	26.32%	21.05%	21.05%	5.26%	15.79%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.92	2.42	-1.50
SD	1.24	1.80	2.25
CV	1.34	0.74	—
Max	5	7	+3
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	7.89%	15.79%	—	2.63%	—	28.95%
1	7.89%	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	—	26.32%
2	2.63%	13.16%	7.89%	—	—	—	23.68%
3	10.53%	—	—	—	—	—	10.53%
4	—	—	—	2.63%	—	—	2.63%
5+	7.89%	—	—	—	—	—	7.89%
Total	31.58%	34.21%	28.95%	2.63%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	1.11	+0.45
SD	1.48	0.98	2.09
CV	0.96	0.89	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	—	18.42%
1	7.89%	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	—	26.32%
2	18.42%	21.05%	5.26%	—	—	—	44.74%
3	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
4	—	—	—	—	2.63%	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.84%	39.47%	21.05%	—	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	0.92	+0.58
SD	0.98	0.91	1.29
CV	0.65	0.99	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.89%	7.89%	—	—	—	15.79%
1	13.16%	5.26%	15.79%	10.53%	—	—	44.74%
2	5.26%	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	—	18.42%
3	2.63%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	10.53%
4	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
Total	26.32%	28.95%	31.58%	13.16%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.63	1.32	+0.32
SD	1.40	1.02	1.95
CV	0.86	0.77	—
Max	6	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	10.53%	23.68%	10.53%	5.26%	—	55.26%
1	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	7.89%	31.58%
2	2.63%	5.26%	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	13.16%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.53%	23.68%	28.95%	18.42%	10.53%	7.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.58	2.18	-1.61
SD	0.72	1.41	1.55
CV	1.25	0.65	—
Max	2	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
1	5.26%	18.42%	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	44.74%
2	2.63%	13.16%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	21.05%
3	—	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	7.89%
4	5.26%	2.63%	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	15.79%
5+	—	—	—	2.63%	—	—	2.63%
Total	18.42%	36.84%	18.42%	13.16%	10.53%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.89	1.71	+0.18
SD	1.39	1.43	1.87
CV	0.73	0.84	—
Max	6	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	—	21.05%
1	13.16%	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	—	31.58%
2	13.16%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	23.68%
3	—	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	13.16%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
Total	42.11%	34.21%	21.05%	2.63%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.71	0.84	+0.87
SD	1.51	0.86	1.80
CV	0.88	1.02	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	18.42%
1	2.63%	13.16%	10.53%	—	—	—	26.32%
2	7.89%	15.79%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
3	7.89%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	—	18.42%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	26.32%	47.37%	18.42%	7.89%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	1.08	+0.61
SD	1.21	0.88	1.64
CV	0.72	0.82	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
1	2.63%	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	23.68%
2	18.42%	21.05%	—	2.63%	—	—	42.11%
3	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	13.16%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	10.53%
Total	39.47%	36.84%	10.53%	10.53%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.18	1.00	+1.18
SD	1.54	1.09	2.04
CV	0.70	1.09	—
Max	7	4	+7
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	23.68%
1	5.26%	7.89%	23.68%	2.63%	5.26%	—	44.74%
2	2.63%	5.26%	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	15.79%
3	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%	7.89%
4	—	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.16%	21.05%	39.47%	7.89%	10.53%	7.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	2.05	-0.74
SD	1.16	1.41	2.01
CV	0.89	0.69	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	5.26%	5.26%	7.89%	5.26%	10.53%	39.47%
1	2.63%	15.79%	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	34.21%
2	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	15.79%
3	—	5.26%	—	—	2.63%	—	7.89%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.79%	34.21%	21.05%	10.53%	7.89%	10.53%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.95	-0.95
SD	1.07	1.61	2.25
CV	1.07	0.83	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Linfield	1556	78	67.55	+10.45	61.0%	51	57	61	67	73	77	90
Coleraine	1524	73	58.66	+14.34	67.0%	41	47	53	59	64	71	82
Glentoran	1509	71	56.48	+14.52	84.0%	40	44	52	56	61	66	69
Larne	1462	64	59.74	+4.26	27.0%	43	49	55	60	64	71	74
Cliftonville	1427	60	53.06	+6.94	77.0%	35	42	49	52	56	65	77
Ballymena United	1405	61	43.49	+17.51	68.0%	24	33	39	43	48	55	59
Crusaders	1398	54	58.06	-4.06	31.0%	39	49	52	57	63	70	76
Glenavon	1362	62	42.29	+19.71	93.0%	26	32	39	42	45	54	63
Portadown	1183	36	26.21	+9.79	75.0%	12	16	22	26	30	37	43
Warrenpoint Town	1161	36	30.22	+5.78	34.0%	16	20	26	29	33	42	48
Carrick Rangers	1115	23	31.98	-8.98	3.0%	16	21	28	31	37	44	49
Dungannon Swifts	1044	17	25.04	-8.04	9.0%	13	13	20	24	31	35	41

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+8.33%

Slight Edge

43.42%21.49%35.09%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 29.02 Elo pts.

160 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.34 goals

Neutral

-2+0.18+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.7

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

56%

Linfield, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.13/gm

Tight Race

00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.51 * Some Luck: 5.51 to 8.26 * Lucky: 8.26 to 11.01 * Wild Swing: 11.01 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.97 * Close: 0.97 to 1.46 * Off: 1.46 to 1.94 * Way Off: 1.94 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.23 points

Some Luck

06.8817

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.17

01.212.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

93.00%

Glenavon

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

3.00%

Carrick Rangers

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.20

Even

00.190.250.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 162.30

2.42

Wide Separation

11.852.253

Interquartile Edge

83%

Wide Edge

50%70%81%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 96%

94%

Clear Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

56%

Frequent

0%52%100%

Blowouts

Expected

18%

Rare

0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.55

Highly Predictable

00.562

Matchup Imbalance

0.43

Slight Separation

00.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.87

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.77

Near-Lock

00.470.620.761

Upset Rate

Expected

18%

Chalky

0%22%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

17%

As Expected

0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.

Probability calibration

0.52

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.07

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.075

Well Within Noise

00.1090.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Linfield	56.00%	19.00%	12.00%	10.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Coleraine	17.00%	18.00%	17.00%	17.00%	12.00%	12.00%	6.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Glentoran	2.00%	12.00%	24.00%	22.00%	19.00%	11.00%	8.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—
Larne	12.00%	23.00%	17.00%	22.00%	14.00%	10.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Cliftonville	5.00%	5.00%	10.00%	12.00%	21.00%	31.00%	10.00%	6.00%	—	—	—	—
Crusaders	8.00%	23.00%	18.00%	12.00%	22.00%	11.00%	6.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Glenavon	—	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	11.00%	24.00%	42.00%	9.00%	7.00%	2.00%	—
Ballymena United	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	6.00%	13.00%	33.00%	26.00%	13.00%	1.00%	3.00%	—
Portadown	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	14.00%	22.00%	36.00%	26.00%
Warrenpoint Town	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.00%	5.00%	23.00%	30.00%	25.00%	11.00%
Carrick Rangers	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	13.00%	28.00%	25.00%	17.00%	12.00%
Dungannon Swifts	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	4.00%	13.00%	15.00%	17.00%	51.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Linfield	93.26%	6.07%	0.67%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Coleraine	4.11%	52.69%	37.68%	4.98%	0.54%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Glentoran	2.63%	39.46%	50.69%	6.25%	0.92%	0.05%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Larne	—	1.32%	6.18%	46.36%	31.46%	14.68%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Cliftonville	—	0.39%	3.68%	29.49%	40.07%	26.37%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Crusaders	—	0.07%	1.10%	12.92%	27.01%	58.90%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Glenavon	—	—	—	—	—	—	91.61%	8.39%	—	—	—	—
Ballymena United	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.39%	91.61%	—	—	—	—
Portadown	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	81.80%	17.92%	0.28%	—
Warrenpoint Town	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	17.95%	76.93%	5.12%	—
Carrick Rangers	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.25%	5.03%	84.88%	9.84%
Dungannon Swifts	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.12%	9.72%	90.16%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round
Ballymena United	100%
Carrick Rangers	100%
Cliftonville	100%
Coleraine	100%
Crusaders	100%
Dungannon Swifts	100%
Glenavon	100%
Glentoran	100%
Larne	100%
Linfield	100%
Portadown	100%
Warrenpoint Town	100%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round
Ballymena United	100%
Carrick Rangers	100%
Cliftonville	100%
Coleraine	100%
Crusaders	100%
Dungannon Swifts	100%
Glenavon	100%
Glentoran	100%
Larne	100%
Linfield	100%
Portadown	100%
Warrenpoint Town	100%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2020-10-16	Ballymena United	L 0-1	50.6	1464	1266	65.50%	19.86%	14.63%	+1.42	-14.2	0
2020-10-16	@ Coleraine	W 1-0	50.6	1266	1464	14.63%	19.86%	65.50%	-1.42	+14.2	3
2020-10-17	Carrick Rangers	W 5-1	35.5	1491	1293	65.49%	19.87%	14.64%	+1.42	+11.5	3
2020-10-17	@ Linfield	L 1-5	35.5	1293	1491	14.64%	19.87%	65.49%	-1.42	-11.5	0
2020-10-17	Crusaders	L 0-1	34.6	1193	1435	15.65%	20.20%	64.14%	-1.33	-4.1	0
2020-10-17	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 1-0	34.6	1435	1193	64.14%	20.20%	15.65%	+1.33	+4.1	3
2020-10-17	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-0	29.8	1435	1229	66.22%	19.67%	14.11%	+1.47	+10.2	3
2020-10-17	@ Larne	L 0-3	29.8	1229	1435	14.11%	19.67%	66.22%	-1.47	-10.1	0
2020-10-17	Glentoran	W 1-0	44.7	1427	1424	43.08%	22.73%	34.18%	+0.20	+8.2	3
2020-10-17	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	44.7	1424	1427	34.18%	22.73%	43.08%	-0.20	-8.2	0
2020-10-17	Portadown	L 2-4	54.6	1314	1177	59.54%	21.16%	19.30%	+1.04	-19.0	0
2020-10-17	@ Glenavon	W 4-2	54.6	1177	1314	19.30%	21.16%	59.54%	-1.04	+19.1	3
2020-10-23	Cliftonville	W 1-0	45.3	1439	1435	43.25%	22.73%	34.03%	+0.21	+8.2	6
2020-10-23	@ Crusaders	L 0-1	45.3	1435	1439	34.03%	22.73%	43.25%	-0.21	-8.2	3
2020-10-24	Coleraine	L 0-3	29.9	1196	1450	14.80%	19.92%	65.27%	-1.40	-10.7	3
2020-10-24	@ Portadown	W 3-0	29.9	1450	1196	65.27%	19.92%	14.80%	+1.40	+10.7	3
2020-10-24	Glenavon	D 1-1	55.4	1416	1295	57.83%	21.45%	20.72%	+0.94	-1.9	1
2020-10-24	@ Glentoran	D 1-1	55.4	1295	1416	20.72%	21.45%	57.83%	-0.94	+1.9	1
2020-10-24	Larne	L 1-2	43.6	1281	1445	22.12%	21.70%	56.19%	-0.84	-5.4	0
2020-10-24	@ Carrick Rangers	W 2-1	43.6	1445	1281	56.19%	21.70%	22.12%	+0.84	+5.4	6
2020-10-24	Linfield	L 2-3	48.1	1280	1502	17.07%	20.62%	62.30%	-1.21	-4.0	3
2020-10-24	@ Ballymena United	W 3-2	48.1	1502	1280	62.30%	20.62%	17.07%	+1.21	+4.0	6
2020-10-24	Warrenpoint Town	L 0-2	40.9	1219	1189	46.79%	22.58%	30.63%	+0.37	-19.9	0
2020-10-24	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	40.9	1189	1219	30.63%	22.58%	46.79%	-0.37	+19.9	3
2020-10-30	Crusaders	W 2-1	51.2	1506	1447	50.60%	22.32%	27.08%	+0.55	+6.4	9
2020-10-30	@ Linfield	L 1-2	51.2	1447	1506	27.08%	22.32%	50.60%	-0.55	-6.4	6
2020-10-31	Ballymena United	W 2-0	33.2	1451	1276	63.33%	20.39%	16.27%	+1.27	+8.0	9
2020-10-31	@ Larne	L 0-2	33.2	1276	1451	16.27%	20.39%	63.33%	-1.27	-8.0	3
2020-10-31	Carrick Rangers	W 3-0	31.8	1427	1276	60.97%	20.90%	18.13%	+1.12	+13.0	6
2020-10-31	@ Cliftonville	L 0-3	31.8	1276	1427	18.13%	20.90%	60.97%	-1.12	-13.0	0
2020-10-31	Dungannon Swifts	D 0-0	49.3	1297	1199	55.23%	21.82%	22.95%	+0.79	-1.8	2
2020-10-31	@ Glenavon	D 0-0	49.3	1199	1297	22.95%	21.82%	55.23%	-0.79	+1.8	1
2020-10-31	Glentoran	W 2-1	49.1	1460	1414	48.97%	22.44%	28.59%	+0.47	+6.7	6
2020-10-31	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	49.1	1414	1460	28.59%	22.44%	48.97%	-0.47	-6.7	1
2020-10-31	Portadown	D 1-1	53.2	1209	1186	45.93%	22.63%	31.44%	+0.33	-0.7	4
2020-10-31	@ Warrenpoint Town	D 1-1	53.2	1186	1209	31.44%	22.63%	45.93%	-0.33	+0.7	4
2020-11-07	Coleraine	D 4-4	68.1	1295	1467	21.35%	21.57%	57.08%	-0.89	+1.0	3
2020-11-07	@ Glenavon	D 4-4	68.1	1467	1295	57.08%	21.57%	21.35%	+0.89	-1.0	7
2020-11-07	Crusaders	L 1-4	38.4	1268	1440	21.33%	21.56%	57.11%	-0.90	-12.7	3
2020-11-07	@ Ballymena United	W 4-1	38.4	1440	1268	57.11%	21.56%	21.33%	+0.90	+12.7	9
2020-11-07	Dungannon Swifts	D 0-0	49.1	1263	1201	50.94%	22.29%	26.77%	+0.57	-1.3	1
2020-11-07	@ Carrick Rangers	D 0-0	49.1	1201	1263	26.77%	22.29%	50.94%	-0.57	+1.3	2
2020-11-07	Larne	D 0-0	54.0	1407	1459	35.41%	22.76%	41.82%	-0.14	+0.3	2
2020-11-07	@ Glentoran	D 0-0	54.0	1459	1407	41.82%	22.76%	35.41%	+0.14	-0.3	10
2020-11-07	Linfield	L 1-2	38.6	1186	1513	10.61%	18.07%	71.32%	-1.86	-2.6	4
2020-11-07	@ Portadown	W 2-1	38.6	1513	1186	71.32%	18.07%	10.61%	+1.86	+2.6	12
2020-11-07	Warrenpoint Town	W 3-0	28.9	1440	1208	68.38%	19.04%	12.57%	+1.63	+9.0	9
2020-11-07	@ Cliftonville	L 0-3	28.9	1208	1440	12.57%	19.04%	68.38%	-1.63	-9.0	4
2020-11-10	Cliftonville	W 2-1	54.9	1202	1449	15.29%	20.09%	64.62%	-1.36	+13.2	5
2020-11-10	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	54.9	1449	1202	64.62%	20.09%	15.29%	+1.36	-13.2	9
2020-11-10	Coleraine	W 1-0	47.4	1453	1466	40.89%	22.78%	36.33%	+0.10	+8.6	12
2020-11-10	@ Crusaders	L 0-1	47.4	1466	1453	36.33%	22.78%	40.89%	-0.10	-8.6	7
2020-11-10	Glenavon	L 0-2	38.5	1255	1296	36.95%	22.79%	40.27%	-0.07	-16.5	3
2020-11-10	@ Ballymena United	W 2-0	38.5	1296	1255	40.27%	22.79%	36.95%	+0.07	+16.5	6
2020-11-10	Larne	D 1-1	55.3	1199	1459	14.43%	19.79%	65.78%	-1.44	+2.7	5
2020-11-10	@ Warrenpoint Town	D 1-1	55.3	1459	1199	65.78%	19.79%	14.43%	+1.44	-2.7	11
2020-11-10	Portadown	W 4-1	37.9	1262	1184	52.90%	22.10%	25.00%	+0.67	+14.6	4
2020-11-10	@ Carrick Rangers	L 1-4	37.9	1184	1262	25.00%	22.10%	52.90%	-0.67	-14.6	4
2020-11-14	Crusaders	W 2-1	52.6	1456	1462	41.88%	22.76%	35.36%	+0.14	+8.0	14
2020-11-14	@ Larne	L 1-2	52.6	1462	1456	35.36%	22.76%	41.88%	-0.14	-8.0	12
2020-11-14	Linfield	L 0-2	46.1	1458	1515	34.58%	22.75%	42.67%	-0.18	-15.6	7
2020-11-14	@ Coleraine	W 2-0	46.1	1515	1458	42.67%	22.75%	34.58%	+0.18	+15.6	15
2020-11-21	Cliftonville	W 1-0	45.1	1464	1435	46.58%	22.59%	30.83%	+0.36	+7.6	17
2020-11-21	@ Larne	L 0-1	45.1	1435	1464	30.83%	22.59%	46.58%	-0.36	-7.6	9
2020-11-21	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-1	36.7	1454	1215	68.96%	18.86%	12.18%	+1.67	+5.2	15
2020-11-21	@ Crusaders	L 1-3	36.7	1215	1454	12.18%	18.86%	68.96%	-1.67	-5.2	5
2020-11-21	Glenavon	W 2-0	34.4	1531	1312	67.29%	19.37%	13.34%	+1.55	+6.6	18
2020-11-21	@ Linfield	L 0-2	34.4	1312	1531	13.34%	19.37%	67.29%	-1.55	-6.6	6
2020-11-21	Warrenpoint Town	W 2-0	35.9	1239	1202	47.72%	22.53%	29.76%	+0.41	+13.8	6
2020-11-21	@ Ballymena United	L 0-2	35.9	1202	1239	29.76%	22.53%	47.72%	-0.41	-13.8	5
2020-11-24	Ballymena United	L 0-4	44.4	1428	1253	63.38%	20.38%	16.24%	+1.28	-49.4	9
2020-11-24	@ Cliftonville	W 4-0	44.4	1253	1428	16.24%	20.38%	63.38%	-1.28	+49.4	9
2020-11-24	Glentoran	D 3-3	71.5	1537	1408	58.80%	21.29%	19.90%	+0.99	-1.2	19
2020-11-24	@ Linfield	D 3-3	71.5	1408	1537	19.90%	21.29%	58.80%	-0.99	+1.2	3
2020-11-28	Crusaders	W 3-1	51.8	1306	1459	23.21%	21.86%	54.93%	-0.78	+19.8	9
2020-11-28	@ Glenavon	L 1-3	51.8	1459	1306	54.93%	21.86%	23.21%	+0.78	-19.8	15
2020-11-28	Dungannon Swifts	W 5-1	33.2	1409	1210	65.54%	19.85%	14.61%	+1.42	+11.5	6
2020-11-28	@ Glentoran	L 1-5	33.2	1210	1409	14.61%	19.85%	65.54%	-1.42	-11.5	5
2020-11-28	Larne	L 0-2	45.2	1442	1471	38.54%	22.80%	38.66%	+0.00	-17.0	7
2020-11-28	@ Coleraine	W 2-0	45.2	1471	1442	38.66%	22.80%	38.54%	+0.00	+17.0	20
2020-11-28	Linfield	W 2-1	57.5	1188	1536	9.60%	17.47%	72.93%	-1.99	+14.7	8
2020-11-28	@ Warrenpoint Town	L 1-2	57.5	1536	1188	72.93%	17.47%	9.60%	+1.99	-14.7	19
2020-11-28	Portadown	W 5-0	28.7	1378	1169	66.52%	19.59%	13.89%	+1.49	+16.1	12
2020-11-28	@ Cliftonville	L 0-5	28.7	1169	1378	13.89%	19.59%	66.52%	-1.49	-16.1	4
2020-12-01	Carrick Rangers	W 2-0	36.8	1302	1276	46.25%	22.61%	31.14%	+0.34	+14.4	12
2020-12-01	@ Ballymena United	L 0-2	36.8	1276	1302	31.14%	22.61%	46.25%	-0.34	-14.4	4
2020-12-04	Coleraine	W 2-0	46.0	1199	1425	16.77%	20.54%	62.69%	-1.23	+25.8	8
2020-12-04	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-2	46.0	1425	1199	62.69%	20.54%	16.77%	+1.23	-25.8	7
2020-12-05	Ballymena United	D 0-0	49.3	1153	1316	22.17%	21.70%	56.12%	-0.84	+1.9	5
2020-12-05	@ Portadown	D 0-0	49.3	1316	1153	56.12%	21.70%	22.17%	+0.84	-1.9	13
2020-12-05	Cliftonville	W 2-0	39.3	1522	1395	58.49%	21.35%	20.17%	+0.97	+9.9	22
2020-12-05	@ Linfield	L 0-2	39.3	1395	1522	20.17%	21.35%	58.49%	-0.97	-9.9	12
2020-12-05	Glenavon	W 2-1	43.5	1488	1326	62.17%	20.65%	17.18%	+1.20	+4.2	23
2020-12-05	@ Larne	L 1-2	43.5	1326	1488	17.18%	20.65%	62.17%	-1.20	-4.2	9
2020-12-05	Glentoran	W 2-0	41.5	1439	1420	45.33%	22.65%	32.02%	+0.30	+14.7	18
2020-12-05	@ Crusaders	L 0-2	41.5	1420	1439	32.02%	22.65%	45.33%	-0.30	-14.7	6
2020-12-05	Warrenpoint Town	L 1-3	48.0	1262	1203	50.57%	22.32%	27.11%	+0.55	-18.4	4
2020-12-05	@ Carrick Rangers	W 3-1	48.0	1203	1262	27.11%	22.32%	50.57%	-0.55	+18.4	11
2020-12-08	Portadown	L 0-3	40.5	1225	1155	51.90%	22.20%	25.90%	+0.62	-31.6	8
2020-12-08	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 3-0	40.5	1155	1225	25.90%	22.20%	51.90%	-0.62	+31.6	8
2020-12-11	Linfield	W 3-1	55.5	1493	1531	37.20%	22.79%	40.01%	-0.06	+15.2	26
2020-12-11	@ Larne	L 1-3	55.5	1531	1493	40.01%	22.79%	37.20%	+0.06	-15.2	22
2020-12-12	Ballymena United	L 1-5	37.0	1193	1315	26.61%	22.27%	51.12%	-0.58	-19.9	8
2020-12-12	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 5-1	37.0	1315	1193	51.12%	22.27%	26.61%	+0.58	+19.9	16
2020-12-12	Carrick Rangers	W 6-0	31.3	1406	1243	62.10%	20.67%	17.23%	+1.19	+23.6	9
2020-12-12	@ Glentoran	L 0-6	31.3	1243	1406	17.23%	20.67%	62.10%	-1.19	-23.6	4
2020-12-12	Portadown	W 5-0	27.9	1454	1186	71.26%	18.09%	10.65%	+1.85	+12.2	21
2020-12-12	@ Crusaders	L 0-5	27.9	1186	1454	10.65%	18.09%	71.26%	-1.85	-12.2	8
2020-12-12	Warrenpoint Town	W 2-1	40.2	1399	1221	63.63%	20.32%	16.04%	+1.29	+4.0	10
2020-12-12	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	40.2	1221	1399	16.04%	20.32%	63.63%	-1.29	-4.0	11
2020-12-14	Cliftonville	D 1-1	55.0	1321	1385	33.83%	22.72%	43.45%	-0.21	+0.5	10
2020-12-14	@ Glenavon	D 1-1	55.0	1385	1321	43.45%	22.72%	33.83%	+0.21	-0.5	13
2020-12-15	Warrenpoint Town	D 0-0	50.9	1429	1217	66.73%	19.53%	13.74%	+1.50	-3.1	10
2020-12-15	@ Glentoran	D 0-0	50.9	1217	1429	13.74%	19.53%	66.73%	-1.50	+3.1	12
2020-12-19	Coleraine	L 0-2	42.1	1384	1403	40.06%	22.79%	37.14%	+0.06	-17.5	13
2020-12-19	@ Cliftonville	W 2-0	42.1	1403	1384	37.14%	22.79%	40.06%	-0.06	+17.5	13
2020-12-19	Dungannon Swifts	W 4-0	26.4	1516	1173	76.54%	15.96%	7.50%	+2.32	+6.8	25
2020-12-19	@ Linfield	L 0-4	26.4	1173	1516	7.50%	15.96%	76.54%	-2.32	-6.8	8
2020-12-19	Glenavon	L 1-2	44.2	1220	1322	28.96%	22.47%	48.57%	-0.45	-6.8	12
2020-12-19	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 2-1	44.2	1322	1220	48.57%	22.47%	28.96%	+0.45	+6.8	13
2020-12-19	Glentoran	D 1-1	55.9	1334	1426	30.17%	22.55%	47.27%	-0.39	+0.8	17
2020-12-19	@ Ballymena United	D 1-1	55.9	1426	1334	47.27%	22.55%	30.17%	+0.39	-0.8	11
2021-01-02	Ballymena United	L 0-1	52.4	1508	1335	63.12%	20.44%	16.44%	+1.26	-13.8	26
2021-01-02	@ Larne	W 1-0	52.4	1335	1508	16.44%	20.44%	63.12%	-1.26	+13.8	20
2021-01-02	Carrick Rangers	W 3-0	29.7	1421	1220	65.74%	19.80%	14.46%	+1.44	+10.4	16
2021-01-02	@ Coleraine	L 0-3	29.7	1220	1421	14.46%	19.80%	65.74%	-1.44	-10.4	4
2021-01-02	Cliftonville	L 1-2	40.7	1166	1367	18.82%	21.06%	60.12%	-1.07	-4.6	8
2021-01-02	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	40.7	1367	1166	60.12%	21.06%	18.82%	+1.07	+4.6	16
2021-01-02	Linfield	L 1-2	45.3	1329	1523	19.34%	21.17%	59.49%	-1.03	-4.8	13
2021-01-02	@ Glenavon	W 2-1	45.3	1523	1329	59.49%	21.17%	19.34%	+1.03	+4.8	28
2021-01-02	Portadown	W 2-1	38.1	1425	1174	69.98%	18.53%	11.49%	+1.75	+2.8	14
2021-01-02	@ Glentoran	L 1-2	38.1	1174	1425	11.49%	18.53%	69.98%	-1.75	-2.8	8
2021-01-02	Warrenpoint Town	W 4-0	28.3	1466	1214	70.10%	18.49%	11.41%	+1.76	+10.7	24
2021-01-02	@ Crusaders	L 0-4	28.3	1214	1466	11.41%	18.49%	70.10%	-1.76	-10.7	12
2021-01-09	Crusaders	D 2-2	63.8	1371	1477	28.48%	22.44%	49.08%	-0.48	+0.8	17
2021-01-09	@ Cliftonville	D 2-2	63.8	1477	1371	49.08%	22.44%	28.48%	+0.48	-0.8	25
2021-01-23	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	29.4	1431	1162	71.40%	18.04%	10.56%	+1.86	+5.2	19
2021-01-23	@ Coleraine	L 0-2	29.4	1162	1431	10.56%	18.04%	71.40%	-1.86	-5.2	8
2021-01-23	Larne	D 3-3	71.9	1476	1494	40.19%	22.79%	37.02%	+0.07	-0.1	26
2021-01-23	@ Crusaders	D 3-3	71.9	1494	1476	37.02%	22.79%	40.19%	-0.07	+0.1	27
2021-01-23	Warrenpoint Town	W 6-0	28.3	1528	1203	75.34%	16.48%	8.17%	+2.21	+10.9	31
2021-01-23	@ Linfield	L 0-6	28.3	1203	1528	8.17%	16.48%	75.34%	-2.21	-10.9	12
2021-01-26	Carrick Rangers	W 2-0	30.9	1428	1209	67.30%	19.37%	13.33%	+1.55	+6.6	17
2021-01-26	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	30.9	1209	1428	13.33%	19.37%	67.30%	-1.55	-6.6	4
2021-01-26	Coleraine	L 1-2	57.4	1494	1436	50.41%	22.33%	27.25%	+0.54	-10.6	27
2021-01-26	@ Larne	W 2-1	57.4	1436	1494	27.25%	22.33%	50.41%	-0.54	+10.6	22
2021-01-26	Crusaders	D 2-2	61.4	1171	1476	11.73%	18.65%	69.63%	-1.72	+2.3	9
2021-01-26	@ Portadown	D 2-2	61.4	1476	1171	69.63%	18.65%	11.73%	+1.72	-2.3	27
2021-01-26	Linfield	W 4-3	66.6	1372	1539	21.88%	21.66%	56.46%	-0.86	+10.9	20
2021-01-26	@ Cliftonville	L 3-4	66.6	1539	1372	56.46%	21.66%	21.88%	+0.86	-10.9	31
2021-01-29	Glentoran	D 1-1	60.1	1483	1435	49.26%	22.42%	28.31%	+0.49	-1.0	28
2021-01-29	@ Larne	D 1-1	60.1	1435	1483	28.31%	22.42%	49.26%	-0.49	+1.0	18
2021-01-30	Ballymena United	L 0-2	34.3	1203	1349	23.93%	21.96%	54.11%	-0.73	-11.5	4
2021-01-30	@ Carrick Rangers	W 2-0	34.3	1349	1203	54.11%	21.96%	23.93%	+0.73	+11.5	23
2021-01-30	Crusaders	W 2-1	53.6	1447	1474	38.91%	22.80%	38.29%	+0.01	+8.5	25
2021-01-30	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	53.6	1474	1447	38.29%	22.80%	38.91%	-0.01	-8.5	27
2021-01-30	Glenavon	D 1-1	55.1	1383	1324	50.57%	22.32%	27.11%	+0.55	-1.2	21
2021-01-30	@ Cliftonville	D 1-1	55.1	1324	1383	27.11%	22.32%	50.57%	-0.55	+1.2	14
2021-01-30	Warrenpoint Town	L 0-2	38.9	1174	1192	40.12%	22.79%	37.09%	+0.07	-17.5	9
2021-01-30	@ Portadown	W 2-0	38.9	1192	1174	37.09%	22.79%	40.12%	-0.07	+17.6	15
2021-02-02	Cliftonville	D 2-2	63.6	1455	1382	52.35%	22.15%	25.50%	+0.64	-1.0	26
2021-02-02	@ Coleraine	D 2-2	63.6	1382	1455	25.50%	22.15%	52.35%	-0.64	+1.0	22
2021-02-02	Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	48.9	1361	1156	66.04%	19.72%	14.24%	+1.46	-14.3	23
2021-02-02	@ Ballymena United	W 1-0	48.9	1156	1361	14.24%	19.72%	66.04%	-1.46	+14.3	11
2021-02-02	Glentoran	W 1-0	45.1	1465	1436	46.74%	22.58%	30.67%	+0.37	+7.5	30
2021-02-02	@ Crusaders	L 0-1	45.1	1436	1465	30.67%	22.58%	46.74%	-0.37	-7.5	18
2021-02-02	Larne	L 1-4	40.7	1325	1482	22.78%	21.80%	55.42%	-0.80	-13.5	14
2021-02-02	@ Glenavon	W 4-1	40.7	1482	1325	55.42%	21.80%	22.78%	+0.80	+13.5	31
2021-02-02	Portadown	W 3-0	26.3	1528	1156	78.31%	15.13%	6.56%	+2.50	+4.5	34
2021-02-02	@ Linfield	L 0-3	26.3	1156	1528	6.56%	15.13%	78.31%	-2.50	-4.5	9
2021-02-06	Ballymena United	W 2-1	48.2	1312	1346	37.79%	22.79%	39.41%	-0.04	+8.7	17
2021-02-06	@ Glenavon	L 1-2	48.2	1346	1312	39.41%	22.79%	37.79%	+0.04	-8.7	23
2021-02-06	Carrick Rangers	L 0-2	38.8	1171	1191	39.82%	22.79%	37.39%	+0.05	-17.5	11
2021-02-06	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	38.8	1191	1171	37.39%	22.79%	39.82%	-0.05	+17.5	7
2021-02-06	Cliftonville	W 1-0	41.9	1428	1383	48.81%	22.46%	28.73%	+0.46	+7.1	21
2021-02-06	@ Glentoran	L 0-1	41.9	1383	1428	28.73%	22.46%	48.81%	-0.46	-7.1	22
2021-02-06	Linfield	L 1-2	55.5	1473	1532	34.33%	22.74%	42.93%	-0.19	-7.8	30
2021-02-06	@ Crusaders	W 2-1	55.5	1532	1473	42.93%	22.74%	34.33%	+0.19	+7.8	37
2021-02-06	Portadown	D 1-1	55.6	1454	1152	73.83%	17.11%	9.06%	+2.07	-3.5	27
2021-02-06	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	55.6	1152	1454	9.06%	17.11%	73.83%	-2.07	+3.5	10
2021-02-06	Warrenpoint Town	D 1-1	56.5	1496	1210	72.66%	17.57%	9.77%	+1.97	-3.4	32
2021-02-06	@ Larne	D 1-1	56.5	1210	1496	9.77%	17.57%	72.66%	-1.97	+3.4	16
2021-02-09	Linfield	D 1-1	57.1	1209	1540	10.38%	17.93%	71.69%	-1.89	+3.3	8
2021-02-09	@ Carrick Rangers	D 1-1	57.1	1540	1209	71.69%	17.93%	10.38%	+1.89	-3.3	38
2021-02-09	Portadown	D 2-2	62.2	1493	1155	76.18%	16.12%	7.70%	+2.29	-2.7	33
2021-02-09	@ Larne	D 2-2	62.2	1155	1493	7.70%	16.12%	76.18%	-2.29	+2.7	11
2021-02-09	Warrenpoint Town	W 3-0	30.3	1376	1213	62.17%	20.65%	17.18%	+1.20	+12.3	25
2021-02-09	@ Cliftonville	L 0-3	30.3	1213	1376	17.18%	20.65%	62.17%	-1.20	-12.3	16
2021-02-13	Carrick Rangers	L 1-3	54.0	1465	1212	70.13%	18.48%	11.39%	+1.76	-24.6	30
2021-02-13	@ Crusaders	W 3-1	54.0	1212	1465	11.39%	18.48%	70.13%	-1.76	+24.6	11
2021-02-13	Cliftonville	D 1-1	54.3	1158	1388	16.46%	20.45%	63.09%	-1.26	+2.4	12
2021-02-13	@ Portadown	D 1-1	54.3	1388	1158	63.09%	20.45%	16.46%	+1.26	-2.4	26
2021-02-13	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-0	26.6	1490	1153	76.11%	16.15%	7.74%	+2.28	+5.4	36
2021-02-13	@ Larne	L 0-3	26.6	1153	1490	7.74%	16.15%	76.11%	-2.28	-5.4	11
2021-02-16	Carrick Rangers	D 1-1	53.9	1320	1237	53.56%	22.03%	24.42%	+0.70	-1.5	18
2021-02-16	@ Glenavon	D 1-1	53.9	1237	1320	24.42%	22.03%	53.56%	-0.70	+1.5	12
2021-02-16	Coleraine	L 0-1	41.0	1338	1451	27.56%	22.36%	50.08%	-0.53	-6.9	23
2021-02-16	@ Ballymena United	W 1-0	41.0	1451	1338	50.08%	22.36%	27.56%	+0.53	+6.9	30
2021-02-16	Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	53.2	1201	1148	49.75%	22.39%	27.86%	+0.51	-1.1	17
2021-02-16	@ Warrenpoint Town	D 1-1	53.2	1148	1201	27.86%	22.39%	49.75%	-0.51	+1.1	12
2021-02-16	Glentoran	L 1-3	36.6	1160	1435	13.43%	19.40%	67.17%	-1.54	-5.8	12
2021-02-16	@ Portadown	W 3-1	36.6	1435	1160	67.17%	19.40%	13.43%	+1.54	+5.8	24
2021-02-20	Ballymena United	W 2-1	44.2	1440	1331	56.59%	21.64%	21.78%	+0.87	+5.3	33
2021-02-20	@ Crusaders	L 1-2	44.2	1331	1440	21.78%	21.64%	56.59%	-0.87	-5.3	23
2021-02-20	Coleraine	D 0-0	58.6	1537	1458	53.03%	22.08%	24.88%	+0.68	-1.6	39
2021-02-20	@ Linfield	D 0-0	58.6	1458	1537	24.88%	22.08%	53.03%	-0.68	+1.6	31
2021-02-20	Glenavon	L 3-4	53.4	1238	1319	31.56%	22.63%	45.81%	-0.32	-6.7	12
2021-02-20	@ Carrick Rangers	W 4-3	53.4	1319	1238	45.81%	22.63%	31.56%	+0.32	+6.7	21
2021-02-20	Larne	W 1-0	50.1	1386	1495	27.98%	22.40%	49.62%	-0.50	+11.1	29
2021-02-20	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	50.1	1495	1386	49.62%	22.40%	27.98%	+0.50	-11.1	36
2021-02-23	Ballymena United	W 2-1	44.7	1397	1325	52.08%	22.18%	25.74%	+0.63	+6.1	32
2021-02-23	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	44.7	1325	1397	25.74%	22.18%	52.08%	-0.63	-6.1	23
2021-02-23	Coleraine	L 0-2	32.8	1231	1459	16.64%	20.50%	62.86%	-1.24	-8.2	12
2021-02-23	@ Carrick Rangers	W 2-0	32.8	1459	1231	62.86%	20.50%	16.64%	+1.24	+8.2	34
2021-02-23	Glenavon	L 1-2	41.3	1149	1325	20.95%	21.49%	57.55%	-0.92	-5.1	12
2021-02-23	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	41.3	1325	1149	57.55%	21.49%	20.95%	+0.92	+5.1	24
2021-02-23	Glentoran	L 0-1	54.8	1535	1441	54.82%	21.88%	23.31%	+0.77	-12.1	39
2021-02-23	@ Linfield	W 1-0	54.8	1441	1535	23.31%	21.88%	54.82%	-0.77	+12.1	27
2021-02-26	Larne	W 2-1	54.0	1523	1484	47.99%	22.51%	29.50%	+0.42	+6.9	42
2021-02-26	@ Linfield	L 1-2	54.0	1484	1523	29.50%	22.51%	47.99%	-0.42	-6.9	36
2021-02-27	Ballymena United	L 1-2	41.7	1154	1319	22.05%	21.69%	56.26%	-0.85	-5.4	12
2021-02-27	@ Portadown	W 2-1	41.7	1319	1154	56.26%	21.69%	22.05%	+0.85	+5.3	26
2021-02-27	Cliftonville	L 0-1	36.4	1223	1403	20.66%	21.44%	57.90%	-0.94	-5.4	12
2021-02-27	@ Carrick Rangers	W 1-0	36.4	1403	1223	57.90%	21.44%	20.66%	+0.94	+5.3	35
2021-02-27	Glenavon	L 0-1	49.4	1446	1331	57.19%	21.55%	21.26%	+0.90	-12.6	33
2021-02-27	@ Crusaders	W 1-0	49.4	1331	1446	21.26%	21.55%	57.19%	-0.90	+12.6	27
2021-02-27	Glentoran	L 0-1	32.6	1144	1453	11.48%	18.53%	69.99%	-1.75	-3.0	12
2021-02-27	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	32.6	1453	1144	69.99%	18.53%	11.48%	+1.75	+3.0	30
2021-02-27	Warrenpoint Town	W 2-1	38.3	1467	1200	71.29%	18.08%	10.63%	+1.85	+2.6	37
2021-02-27	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	38.3	1200	1467	10.63%	18.08%	71.29%	-1.85	-2.6	17
2021-03-02	Carrick Rangers	D 1-1	54.1	1343	1218	58.31%	21.38%	20.32%	+0.96	-2.0	28
2021-03-02	@ Glenavon	D 1-1	54.1	1218	1343	20.32%	21.38%	58.31%	-0.96	+1.9	13
2021-03-02	Cliftonville	D 1-1	55.4	1325	1408	31.19%	22.61%	46.20%	-0.34	+0.7	27
2021-03-02	@ Ballymena United	D 1-1	55.4	1408	1325	46.20%	22.61%	31.19%	+0.34	-0.7	36
2021-03-02	Crusaders	L 0-3	46.2	1477	1433	48.67%	22.47%	28.87%	+0.46	-29.9	36
2021-03-02	@ Larne	W 3-0	46.2	1433	1477	28.87%	22.47%	48.67%	-0.46	+29.9	36
2021-03-02	Dungannon Swifts	W 4-1	38.6	1197	1141	50.18%	22.35%	27.47%	+0.53	+15.8	20
2021-03-02	@ Warrenpoint Town	L 1-4	38.6	1141	1197	27.47%	22.35%	50.18%	-0.53	-15.9	12
2021-03-02	Linfield	W 3-1	55.6	1456	1530	32.43%	22.67%	44.89%	-0.28	+16.6	33
2021-03-02	@ Glentoran	L 1-3	55.6	1530	1456	44.89%	22.67%	32.43%	+0.28	-16.6	42
2021-03-02	Portadown	W 2-0	28.5	1470	1149	75.09%	16.59%	8.32%	+2.19	+4.0	40
2021-03-02	@ Coleraine	L 0-2	28.5	1149	1470	8.32%	16.59%	75.09%	-2.19	-4.0	12
2021-03-05	Glentoran	L 0-5	30.2	1220	1473	14.85%	19.94%	65.22%	-1.40	-17.2	13
2021-03-05	@ Carrick Rangers	W 5-0	30.2	1473	1220	65.22%	19.94%	14.85%	+1.40	+17.2	36
2021-03-06	Cliftonville	W 2-0	40.2	1513	1407	56.17%	21.70%	22.13%	+0.84	+10.7	45
2021-03-06	@ Linfield	L 0-2	40.2	1407	1513	22.13%	21.70%	56.17%	-0.84	-10.7	36
2021-03-06	Coleraine	L 2-3	42.6	1125	1474	9.56%	17.44%	73.00%	-2.00	-2.2	12
2021-03-06	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 3-2	42.6	1474	1125	73.00%	17.44%	9.56%	+2.00	+2.2	43
2021-03-06	Glenavon	W 4-1	48.2	1145	1341	19.19%	21.14%	59.67%	-1.04	+30.2	15
2021-03-06	@ Portadown	L 1-4	48.2	1341	1145	59.67%	21.14%	19.19%	+1.04	-30.2	28
2021-03-06	Larne	D 1-1	56.2	1325	1447	26.55%	22.27%	51.18%	-0.58	+1.2	28
2021-03-06	@ Ballymena United	D 1-1	56.2	1447	1325	51.18%	22.27%	26.55%	+0.58	-1.2	37
2021-03-06	Warrenpoint Town	L 0-2	48.1	1463	1213	69.91%	18.56%	11.54%	+1.74	-28.4	36
2021-03-06	@ Crusaders	W 2-0	48.1	1213	1463	11.54%	18.56%	69.91%	-1.74	+28.4	23
2021-03-09	Ballymena United	L 0-2	48.8	1490	1327	62.24%	20.64%	17.12%	+1.20	-25.6	36
2021-03-09	@ Glentoran	W 2-0	48.8	1327	1490	17.12%	20.64%	62.24%	-1.20	+25.6	31
2021-03-09	Crusaders	L 1-3	38.1	1203	1435	16.33%	20.41%	63.25%	-1.27	-7.0	13
2021-03-09	@ Carrick Rangers	W 3-1	38.1	1435	1203	63.25%	20.41%	16.33%	+1.27	+7.0	39
2021-03-09	Glenavon	L 1-2	42.7	1175	1311	25.04%	22.10%	52.86%	-0.67	-6.0	15
2021-03-09	@ Portadown	W 2-1	42.7	1311	1175	52.86%	22.10%	25.04%	+0.67	+6.0	31
2021-03-09	Warrenpoint Town	W 5-0	29.2	1524	1241	72.41%	17.67%	9.92%	+1.95	+11.4	48
2021-03-09	@ Linfield	L 0-5	29.2	1241	1524	9.92%	17.67%	72.41%	-1.95	-11.3	23
2021-03-12	Crusaders	W 2-0	42.7	1476	1442	47.44%	22.54%	30.02%	+0.40	+13.9	46
2021-03-12	@ Coleraine	L 0-2	42.7	1442	1476	30.02%	22.54%	47.44%	-0.40	-13.9	39
2021-03-13	Carrick Rangers	W 7-0	28.5	1535	1196	76.33%	16.05%	7.62%	+2.30	+11.7	51
2021-03-13	@ Linfield	L 0-7	28.5	1196	1535	7.62%	16.05%	76.33%	-2.30	-11.7	13
2021-03-13	Glenavon	W 2-1	44.3	1397	1317	53.10%	22.08%	24.82%	+0.68	+5.9	39
2021-03-13	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	44.3	1317	1397	24.82%	22.08%	53.10%	-0.68	-5.9	31
2021-03-13	Glentoran	L 0-2	32.7	1230	1464	16.14%	20.35%	63.50%	-1.28	-8.0	23
2021-03-13	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 2-0	32.7	1464	1230	63.50%	20.35%	16.14%	+1.28	+8.0	39
2021-03-13	Larne	L 0-2	29.3	1123	1446	10.76%	18.15%	71.08%	-1.84	-5.3	12
2021-03-13	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	29.3	1446	1123	71.08%	18.15%	10.76%	+1.84	+5.3	40
2021-03-13	Portadown	W 2-1	39.5	1352	1169	64.10%	20.21%	15.68%	+1.32	+3.9	34
2021-03-13	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	39.5	1169	1352	15.68%	20.21%	64.10%	-1.32	-3.9	15
2021-03-16	Ballymena United	D 1-1	54.0	1222	1356	25.20%	22.12%	52.68%	-0.66	+1.4	24
2021-03-16	@ Warrenpoint Town	D 1-1	54.0	1356	1222	52.68%	22.12%	25.20%	+0.66	-1.4	35
2021-03-16	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	26.9	1547	1118	81.55%	13.46%	4.99%	+2.86	+2.3	54
2021-03-16	@ Linfield	L 0-2	26.9	1118	1547	4.99%	13.46%	81.55%	-2.86	-2.3	12
2021-03-16	Glentoran	W 2-1	54.7	1311	1472	22.40%	21.74%	55.86%	-0.83	+11.6	34
2021-03-16	@ Glenavon	L 1-2	54.7	1472	1311	55.86%	21.74%	22.40%	+0.83	-11.6	39
2021-03-16	Larne	L 1-3	37.1	1184	1451	13.89%	19.59%	66.52%	-1.49	-6.0	13
2021-03-16	@ Carrick Rangers	W 3-1	37.1	1451	1184	66.52%	19.59%	13.89%	+1.49	+6.0	43
2021-03-19	Linfield	L 1-2	51.9	1428	1549	26.58%	22.27%	51.15%	-0.58	-6.3	39
2021-03-19	@ Crusaders	W 2-1	51.9	1549	1428	51.15%	22.27%	26.58%	+0.58	+6.3	57
2021-03-20	Ballymena United	D 2-2	59.9	1223	1355	25.50%	22.16%	52.34%	-0.64	+1.0	25
2021-03-20	@ Warrenpoint Town	D 2-2	59.9	1355	1223	52.34%	22.16%	25.50%	+0.64	-1.0	36
2021-03-20	Carrick Rangers	W 1-0	31.8	1490	1178	74.50%	16.84%	8.66%	+2.13	+2.2	49
2021-03-20	@ Coleraine	L 0-1	31.8	1178	1490	8.66%	16.84%	74.50%	-2.13	-2.2	13
2021-03-20	Cliftonville	D 0-0	53.9	1457	1403	50.03%	22.36%	27.61%	+0.52	-1.2	44
2021-03-20	@ Larne	D 0-0	53.9	1403	1457	27.61%	22.36%	50.03%	-0.52	+1.2	40
2021-03-20	Glenavon	W 3-1	41.2	1461	1323	59.67%	21.14%	19.19%	+1.04	+8.2	42
2021-03-20	@ Glentoran	L 1-3	41.2	1323	1461	19.19%	21.14%	59.67%	-1.04	-8.2	34
2021-03-20	Portadown	L 0-1	40.3	1115	1165	35.63%	22.77%	41.60%	-0.13	-8.5	12
2021-03-20	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	40.3	1165	1115	41.60%	22.77%	35.63%	+0.13	+8.5	18
2021-03-23	Coleraine	D 1-1	57.2	1315	1492	20.81%	21.47%	57.72%	-0.93	+1.9	35
2021-03-23	@ Glenavon	D 1-1	57.2	1492	1315	57.72%	21.47%	20.81%	+0.93	-1.9	50
2021-03-23	Crusaders	W 2-1	55.4	1107	1421	11.21%	18.39%	70.40%	-1.78	+14.3	15
2021-03-23	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	55.4	1421	1107	70.40%	18.39%	11.21%	+1.78	-14.3	39
2021-03-23	Glentoran	L 1-2	40.6	1224	1469	15.41%	20.13%	64.46%	-1.35	-3.8	25
2021-03-23	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 2-1	40.6	1469	1224	64.46%	20.13%	15.41%	+1.35	+3.8	45
2021-03-23	Linfield	W 2-1	59.3	1354	1556	18.69%	21.03%	60.28%	-1.08	+12.4	39
2021-03-23	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	59.3	1556	1354	60.28%	21.03%	18.69%	+1.08	-12.4	57
2021-03-23	Portadown	W 5-3	49.1	1176	1174	42.97%	22.74%	34.29%	+0.19	+11.4	16
2021-03-23	@ Carrick Rangers	L 3-5	49.1	1174	1176	34.29%	22.74%	42.97%	-0.19	-11.4	18
2021-03-27	Coleraine	W 2-1	55.2	1404	1491	30.78%	22.59%	46.63%	-0.36	+9.9	43
2021-03-27	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	55.2	1491	1404	46.63%	22.59%	30.78%	+0.36	-9.9	50
2021-03-27	Crusaders	W 1-0	43.0	1473	1407	51.39%	22.25%	26.36%	+0.59	+6.6	48
2021-03-27	@ Glentoran	L 0-1	43.0	1407	1473	26.36%	22.25%	51.39%	-0.59	-6.6	39
2021-03-27	Dungannon Swifts	W 5-1	31.4	1366	1121	69.50%	18.69%	11.81%	+1.71	+9.2	42
2021-03-27	@ Ballymena United	L 1-5	31.4	1121	1366	11.81%	18.69%	69.50%	-1.71	-9.2	15
2021-03-27	Larne	D 2-2	62.2	1316	1456	24.60%	22.05%	53.35%	-0.69	+1.1	36
2021-03-27	@ Glenavon	D 2-2	62.2	1456	1316	53.35%	22.05%	24.60%	+0.69	-1.1	45
2021-03-27	Linfield	L 0-1	32.1	1163	1543	8.26%	16.54%	75.20%	-2.20	-2.1	18
2021-03-27	@ Portadown	W 1-0	32.1	1543	1163	75.20%	16.54%	8.26%	+2.20	+2.1	60
2021-03-27	Warrenpoint Town	D 1-1	53.2	1187	1220	37.99%	22.80%	39.22%	-0.03	+0.1	17
2021-03-27	@ Carrick Rangers	D 1-1	53.2	1220	1187	39.22%	22.80%	37.99%	+0.03	-0.1	26
2021-03-30	Carrick Rangers	W 2-0	31.2	1375	1187	64.60%	20.09%	15.31%	+1.36	+7.6	45
2021-03-30	@ Ballymena United	L 0-2	31.2	1187	1375	15.31%	20.09%	64.60%	-1.36	-7.6	17
2021-03-30	Crusaders	L 1-2	39.7	1160	1400	15.75%	20.23%	64.02%	-1.32	-3.9	18
2021-03-30	@ Portadown	W 2-1	39.7	1400	1160	64.02%	20.23%	15.75%	+1.32	+3.9	42
2021-03-30	Glenavon	L 0-4	29.7	1112	1317	18.39%	20.96%	60.65%	-1.10	-17.2	15
2021-03-30	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 4-0	29.7	1317	1112	60.65%	20.96%	18.39%	+1.10	+17.2	39
2021-03-30	Larne	W 2-0	43.7	1481	1455	46.21%	22.61%	31.18%	+0.34	+14.4	53
2021-03-30	@ Coleraine	L 0-2	43.7	1455	1481	31.18%	22.61%	46.21%	-0.34	-14.4	45
2021-04-02	Crusaders	L 0-1	44.8	1383	1404	39.70%	22.79%	37.51%	+0.05	-9.2	45
2021-04-02	@ Ballymena United	W 1-0	44.8	1404	1383	37.51%	22.79%	39.70%	-0.05	+9.2	45
2021-04-03	Carrick Rangers	W 3-0	28.0	1441	1180	70.77%	18.26%	10.97%	+1.81	+7.8	48
2021-04-03	@ Larne	L 0-3	28.0	1180	1441	10.97%	18.26%	70.77%	-1.81	-7.8	17
2021-04-03	Cliftonville	L 0-5	31.4	1220	1414	19.42%	21.19%	59.38%	-1.03	-22.3	26
2021-04-03	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 5-0	31.4	1414	1220	59.38%	21.19%	19.42%	+1.03	+22.3	46
2021-04-03	Glenavon	D 0-0	53.6	1495	1335	61.94%	20.70%	17.36%	+1.18	-2.6	54
2021-04-03	@ Coleraine	D 0-0	53.6	1335	1495	17.36%	20.70%	61.94%	-1.18	+2.6	40
2021-04-03	Linfield	L 0-2	27.3	1095	1545	5.95%	14.52%	79.53%	-2.63	-2.8	15
2021-04-03	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	27.3	1545	1095	79.53%	14.52%	5.95%	+2.63	+2.8	63
2021-04-03	Portadown	W 4-0	26.3	1479	1157	75.21%	16.54%	8.25%	+2.20	+7.5	51
2021-04-03	@ Glentoran	L 0-4	26.3	1157	1479	8.25%	16.54%	75.21%	-2.20	-7.5	18
2021-04-06	Crusaders	D 1-1	54.6	1172	1414	15.62%	20.19%	64.19%	-1.33	+2.5	18
2021-04-06	@ Carrick Rangers	D 1-1	54.6	1414	1172	64.19%	20.19%	15.62%	+1.33	-2.5	46
2021-04-06	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-0	25.7	1436	1092	76.60%	15.93%	7.47%	+2.33	+5.2	49
2021-04-06	@ Cliftonville	L 0-3	25.7	1092	1436	7.47%	15.93%	76.60%	-2.33	-5.2	15
2021-04-06	Glentoran	D 2-2	64.2	1374	1487	27.57%	22.36%	50.07%	-0.53	+0.8	46
2021-04-06	@ Ballymena United	D 2-2	64.2	1487	1374	50.07%	22.36%	27.57%	+0.53	-0.8	52
2021-04-06	Larne	L 1-2	38.3	1149	1449	12.00%	18.78%	69.22%	-1.69	-3.0	18
2021-04-06	@ Portadown	W 2-1	38.3	1449	1149	69.22%	18.78%	12.00%	+1.69	+3.0	51
2021-04-06	Warrenpoint Town	W 1-0	35.3	1337	1198	59.78%	21.12%	19.10%	+1.05	+5.0	43
2021-04-06	@ Glenavon	L 0-1	35.3	1198	1337	19.10%	21.12%	59.78%	-1.05	-5.0	26
2021-04-07	Coleraine	W 2-1	54.6	1548	1492	50.13%	22.36%	27.51%	+0.53	+6.5	66
2021-04-07	@ Linfield	L 1-2	54.6	1492	1548	27.51%	22.36%	50.13%	-0.53	-6.5	54
2021-04-10	Ballymena United	W 3-2	54.2	1342	1375	38.13%	22.80%	39.07%	-0.02	+8.1	46
2021-04-10	@ Glenavon	L 2-3	54.2	1375	1342	39.07%	22.80%	38.13%	+0.02	-8.2	46
2021-04-10	Carrick Rangers	W 2-0	38.4	1146	1174	38.71%	22.80%	38.49%	+0.00	+17.0	21
2021-04-10	@ Portadown	L 0-2	38.4	1174	1146	38.49%	22.80%	38.71%	+0.00	-17.0	18
2021-04-10	Cliftonville	D 2-2	63.8	1411	1441	38.43%	22.80%	38.77%	-0.01	+0.0	47
2021-04-10	@ Crusaders	D 2-2	63.8	1441	1411	38.77%	22.80%	38.43%	+0.01	-0.0	50
2021-04-10	Coleraine	L 1-2	39.2	1193	1486	12.37%	18.95%	68.67%	-1.65	-3.1	26
2021-04-10	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 2-1	39.2	1486	1193	68.67%	18.95%	12.37%	+1.65	+3.1	57
2021-04-10	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	26.7	1486	1087	79.91%	14.33%	5.76%	+2.68	+2.7	55
2021-04-10	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	26.7	1087	1486	5.76%	14.33%	79.91%	-2.68	-2.7	15
2021-04-10	Linfield	D 1-1	63.3	1452	1555	28.77%	22.46%	48.77%	-0.46	+1.0	52
2021-04-10	@ Larne	D 1-1	63.3	1555	1452	48.77%	22.46%	28.77%	+0.46	-1.0	67
2021-04-13	Carrick Rangers	D 0-0	48.8	1190	1157	47.17%	22.56%	30.27%	+0.39	-0.9	27
2021-04-13	@ Warrenpoint Town	D 0-0	48.8	1157	1190	30.27%	22.56%	47.17%	-0.39	+0.9	19
2021-04-13	Coleraine	D 2-2	68.1	1489	1489	42.67%	22.75%	34.58%	+0.18	-0.3	56
2021-04-13	@ Glentoran	D 2-2	68.1	1489	1489	34.58%	22.75%	42.67%	-0.18	+0.3	58
2021-04-13	Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	36.8	1163	1084	53.01%	22.09%	24.91%	+0.67	+6.3	24
2021-04-13	@ Portadown	L 0-1	36.8	1084	1163	24.91%	22.09%	53.01%	-0.67	-6.3	15
2021-04-16	Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	53.2	1158	1078	53.19%	22.07%	24.75%	+0.68	-1.4	20
2021-04-16	@ Carrick Rangers	D 1-1	53.2	1078	1158	24.75%	22.07%	53.19%	-0.68	+1.4	16
2021-04-16	Glenavon	W 6-1	38.5	1411	1350	50.76%	22.30%	26.94%	+0.56	+24.7	50
2021-04-16	@ Crusaders	L 1-6	38.5	1350	1411	26.94%	22.30%	50.76%	-0.56	-24.6	46
2021-04-16	Glentoran	D 1-1	62.1	1489	1488	42.84%	22.74%	34.42%	+0.19	-0.4	59
2021-04-16	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	62.1	1488	1489	34.42%	22.74%	42.84%	-0.19	+0.4	57
2021-04-16	Warrenpoint Town	W 5-0	28.0	1452	1189	70.94%	18.20%	10.86%	+1.83	+12.5	55
2021-04-16	@ Larne	L 0-5	28.0	1189	1452	10.86%	18.20%	70.94%	-1.83	-12.5	27
2021-04-17	Ballymena United	W 2-1	45.9	1554	1366	64.51%	20.11%	15.37%	+1.35	+3.8	70
2021-04-17	@ Linfield	L 1-2	45.9	1366	1554	15.37%	20.11%	64.51%	-1.35	-3.8	46
2021-04-17	Cliftonville	L 1-2	39.1	1169	1441	13.62%	19.48%	66.89%	-1.52	-3.4	24
2021-04-17	@ Portadown	W 2-1	39.1	1441	1169	66.89%	19.48%	13.62%	+1.52	+3.4	53
2021-04-20	Glenavon	L 3-4	50.5	1177	1326	23.63%	21.92%	54.45%	-0.75	-5.3	27
2021-04-20	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 4-3	50.5	1326	1177	54.45%	21.92%	23.63%	+0.75	+5.3	49
2021-04-20	Glentoran	L 0-2	45.2	1445	1489	36.43%	22.78%	40.78%	-0.10	-16.3	53
2021-04-20	@ Cliftonville	W 2-0	45.2	1489	1445	40.78%	22.78%	36.43%	+0.10	+16.3	60
2021-04-20	Larne	W 2-1	55.7	1166	1465	12.03%	18.80%	69.17%	-1.69	+14.1	27
2021-04-20	@ Portadown	L 1-2	55.7	1465	1166	69.17%	18.80%	12.03%	+1.69	-14.1	55
2021-04-23	Larne	W 3-2	56.9	1505	1451	49.95%	22.37%	27.68%	+0.52	+6.2	63
2021-04-23	@ Glentoran	L 2-3	56.9	1451	1505	27.68%	22.37%	49.95%	-0.52	-6.2	55
2021-04-24	Carrick Rangers	W 5-0	27.4	1428	1157	71.56%	17.98%	10.46%	+1.88	+12.0	56
2021-04-24	@ Cliftonville	L 0-5	27.4	1157	1428	10.46%	17.98%	71.56%	-1.88	-12.0	20
2021-04-24	Coleraine	L 1-2	47.6	1363	1489	26.07%	22.22%	51.72%	-0.61	-6.2	46
2021-04-24	@ Ballymena United	W 2-1	47.6	1489	1363	51.72%	22.22%	26.07%	+0.61	+6.2	62
2021-04-24	Crusaders	L 0-2	28.4	1079	1436	9.24%	17.23%	73.53%	-2.05	-4.5	16
2021-04-24	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	28.4	1436	1079	73.53%	17.23%	9.24%	+2.05	+4.5	53
2021-04-24	Linfield	W 3-2	64.6	1331	1557	16.74%	20.53%	62.73%	-1.23	+12.2	52
2021-04-24	@ Glenavon	L 2-3	64.6	1557	1331	62.73%	20.53%	16.74%	+1.23	-12.2	70
2021-04-24	Portadown	L 1-3	45.2	1171	1180	41.50%	22.77%	35.73%	+0.13	-15.6	27
2021-04-24	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 3-1	45.2	1180	1171	35.73%	22.77%	41.50%	-0.13	+15.6	30

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2021-04-30	Carrick Rangers	L 0-2	36.6	1075	1145	32.93%	22.69%	44.37%	-0.26	-15.0	0
2021-04-30	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	36.6	1145	1075	44.37%	22.69%	32.93%	+0.26	+15.0	3
2021-05-01	Cliftonville	W 2-0	42.5	1495	1440	50.03%	22.36%	27.61%	+0.52	+13.0	3
2021-05-01	@ Coleraine	L 0-2	42.5	1440	1495	27.61%	22.36%	50.03%	-0.52	-13.0	0
2021-05-01	Glenavon	W 3-1	44.4	1356	1343	44.53%	22.69%	32.78%	+0.26	+13.0	3
2021-05-01	@ Ballymena United	L 1-3	44.4	1343	1356	32.78%	22.69%	44.53%	-0.26	-13.0	0
2021-05-01	Larne	L 1-3	51.2	1440	1445	42.07%	22.76%	35.17%	+0.15	-15.8	0
2021-05-01	@ Crusaders	W 3-1	51.2	1445	1440	35.17%	22.76%	42.07%	-0.15	+15.8	3
2021-05-01	Linfield	D 0-0	60.7	1511	1545	37.90%	22.80%	39.30%	-0.03	+0.1	1
2021-05-01	@ Glentoran	D 0-0	60.7	1545	1511	39.30%	22.80%	37.90%	+0.03	-0.1	1
2021-05-01	Warrenpoint Town	L 1-2	49.5	1196	1156	48.11%	22.50%	29.39%	+0.43	-10.2	0
2021-05-01	@ Portadown	W 2-1	49.5	1156	1196	29.39%	22.50%	48.11%	-0.43	+10.2	3
2021-05-04	Ballymena United	L 0-4	29.9	1160	1369	18.07%	20.88%	61.05%	-1.13	-16.9	3
2021-05-04	@ Carrick Rangers	W 4-0	29.9	1369	1160	61.05%	20.88%	18.07%	+1.13	+16.9	6
2021-05-04	Coleraine	D 1-1	63.7	1511	1508	43.17%	22.73%	34.10%	+0.20	-0.4	2
2021-05-04	@ Glentoran	D 1-1	63.7	1508	1511	34.10%	22.73%	43.17%	-0.20	+0.4	4
2021-05-04	Crusaders	W 3-1	47.3	1545	1424	57.82%	21.45%	20.73%	+0.94	+8.8	4
2021-05-04	@ Linfield	L 1-3	47.3	1424	1545	20.73%	21.45%	57.82%	-0.94	-8.8	0
2021-05-04	Larne	L 1-2	52.4	1427	1461	37.99%	22.80%	39.21%	-0.03	-8.4	0
2021-05-04	@ Cliftonville	W 2-1	52.4	1461	1427	39.21%	22.80%	37.99%	+0.03	+8.4	6
2021-05-04	Portadown	W 4-1	35.9	1330	1185	60.36%	21.01%	18.62%	+1.09	+11.2	3
2021-05-04	@ Glenavon	L 1-4	35.9	1185	1330	18.62%	21.01%	60.36%	-1.09	-11.2	0
2021-05-04	Warrenpoint Town	L 0-1	38.0	1060	1166	28.39%	22.43%	49.18%	-0.48	-7.0	0
2021-05-04	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	38.0	1166	1060	49.18%	22.43%	28.39%	+0.48	+7.0	6
2021-05-14	Warrenpoint Town	W 4-0	29.3	1341	1173	62.73%	20.53%	16.74%	+1.23	+15.7	6
2021-05-14	@ Glenavon	L 0-4	29.3	1173	1341	16.74%	20.53%	62.73%	-1.23	-15.7	6
2021-05-15	Ballymena United	L 1-3	34.5	1053	1386	10.27%	17.87%	71.86%	-1.90	-4.4	0
2021-05-15	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 3-1	34.5	1386	1053	71.86%	17.87%	10.27%	+1.90	+4.4	9
2021-05-15	Carrick Rangers	W 2-1	44.2	1174	1143	46.98%	22.57%	30.45%	+0.38	+7.0	3
2021-05-15	@ Portadown	L 1-2	44.2	1143	1174	30.45%	22.57%	46.98%	-0.38	-7.1	3
2021-05-15	Cliftonville	L 0-2	50.3	1511	1419	54.57%	21.91%	23.52%	+0.76	-22.7	2
2021-05-15	@ Glentoran	W 2-0	50.3	1419	1511	23.52%	21.91%	54.57%	-0.76	+22.7	3
2021-05-15	Coleraine	L 0-1	45.6	1416	1509	30.00%	22.54%	47.45%	-0.40	-7.4	0
2021-05-15	@ Crusaders	W 1-0	45.6	1509	1416	47.45%	22.54%	30.00%	+0.40	+7.4	7
2021-05-15	Larne	L 1-2	61.7	1554	1469	53.73%	22.01%	24.26%	+0.71	-11.2	4
2021-05-15	@ Linfield	W 2-1	61.7	1469	1554	24.26%	22.01%	53.73%	-0.71	+11.2	9
2021-05-25	Crusaders	D 1-1	57.9	1442	1408	47.25%	22.56%	30.19%	+0.39	-0.8	4
2021-05-25	@ Cliftonville	D 1-1	57.9	1408	1442	30.19%	22.56%	47.25%	-0.39	+0.8	1
2021-05-25	Dungannon Swifts	W 4-2	42.3	1181	1048	59.13%	21.24%	19.63%	+1.01	+7.5	6
2021-05-25	@ Portadown	L 2-4	42.3	1048	1181	19.63%	21.24%	59.13%	-1.01	-7.5	0
2021-05-25	Glenavon	L 3-6	39.2	1136	1357	17.14%	20.64%	62.22%	-1.20	-8.3	3
2021-05-25	@ Carrick Rangers	W 6-3	39.2	1357	1136	62.22%	20.64%	17.14%	+1.20	+8.3	9
2021-05-25	Glentoran	L 0-1	50.8	1480	1488	41.59%	22.77%	35.64%	+0.13	-9.6	9
2021-05-25	@ Larne	W 1-0	50.8	1488	1480	35.64%	22.77%	41.59%	-0.13	+9.6	5
2021-05-25	Linfield	D 1-1	65.1	1516	1543	38.93%	22.80%	38.27%	+0.01	-0.0	8
2021-05-25	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	65.1	1543	1516	38.27%	22.80%	38.93%	-0.01	+0.0	5
2021-05-25	Warrenpoint Town	W 3-0	28.2	1391	1157	68.54%	19.00%	12.46%	+1.64	+9.0	12
2021-05-25	@ Ballymena United	L 0-3	28.2	1157	1391	12.46%	19.00%	68.54%	-1.64	-9.0	6
2021-05-29	Carrick Rangers	W 3-1	42.2	1148	1128	45.57%	22.64%	31.79%	+0.31	+12.7	9
2021-05-29	@ Warrenpoint Town	L 1-3	42.2	1128	1148	31.79%	22.64%	45.57%	-0.31	-12.6	3
2021-05-29	Coleraine	L 1-2	55.4	1471	1516	36.29%	22.78%	40.93%	-0.10	-8.1	9
2021-05-29	@ Larne	W 2-1	55.4	1516	1471	40.93%	22.78%	36.29%	+0.10	+8.1	11
2021-05-29	Crusaders	W 2-0	40.3	1498	1409	54.18%	21.95%	23.87%	+0.74	+11.5	8
2021-05-29	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	40.3	1409	1498	23.87%	21.95%	54.18%	-0.74	-11.5	1
2021-05-29	Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	55.1	1365	1041	75.33%	16.49%	8.18%	+2.21	-3.6	10
2021-05-29	@ Glenavon	D 1-1	55.1	1041	1365	8.18%	16.49%	75.33%	-2.21	+3.6	1
2021-05-29	Linfield	L 0-2	44.7	1441	1543	28.91%	22.47%	48.63%	-0.46	-13.5	4
2021-05-29	@ Cliftonville	W 2-0	44.7	1543	1441	48.63%	22.47%	28.91%	+0.46	+13.5	8
2021-05-29	Portadown	W 4-2	40.9	1400	1189	66.63%	19.56%	13.81%	+1.50	+5.3	15
2021-05-29	@ Ballymena United	L 2-4	40.9	1189	1400	13.81%	19.56%	66.63%	-1.50	-5.3	6

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2020-11-28	9.60%	@ Warrenpoint Town	1188	2	Linfield	1536	1
2	2021-03-23	11.21%	@ Dungannon Swifts	1107	2	Crusaders	1421	1
3	2021-02-13	11.39%	Carrick Rangers	1212	3	@ Crusaders	1465	1
4	2021-03-06	11.54%	Warrenpoint Town	1213	2	@ Crusaders	1463	0
5	2021-04-20	12.03%	@ Portadown	1166	2	Larne	1465	1
6	2021-02-02	14.24%	Dungannon Swifts	1156	1	@ Ballymena United	1361	0
7	2020-10-16	14.63%	Ballymena United	1266	1	@ Coleraine	1464	0
8	2020-11-10	15.29%	@ Dungannon Swifts	1202	2	Cliftonville	1449	1
9	2020-11-24	16.24%	Ballymena United	1253	4	@ Cliftonville	1428	0
10	2021-01-02	16.44%	Ballymena United	1335	1	@ Larne	1508	0
11	2021-04-24	16.74%	@ Glenavon	1331	3	Linfield	1557	2
12	2020-12-04	16.77%	@ Dungannon Swifts	1199	2	Coleraine	1425	0
13	2021-03-09	17.12%	Ballymena United	1327	2	@ Glentoran	1490	0
14	2021-03-23	18.69%	@ Ballymena United	1354	2	Linfield	1556	1
15	2021-03-06	19.19%	@ Portadown	1145	4	Glenavon	1341	1
16	2020-10-17	19.30%	Portadown	1177	4	@ Glenavon	1314	2
17	2021-02-27	21.26%	Glenavon	1331	1	@ Crusaders	1446	0
18	2021-01-26	21.88%	@ Cliftonville	1372	4	Linfield	1539	3
19	2021-03-16	22.40%	@ Glenavon	1311	2	Glentoran	1472	1
20	2020-11-28	23.21%	@ Glenavon	1306	3	Crusaders	1459	1
21	2021-02-23	23.31%	Glentoran	1441	1	@ Linfield	1535	0
22	2021-05-15	23.52%	Cliftonville	1419	2	@ Glentoran	1511	0
23	2021-05-15	24.26%	Larne	1469	2	@ Linfield	1554	1
24	2020-12-08	25.90%	Portadown	1155	3	@ Dungannon Swifts	1225	0
25	2020-12-05	27.11%	Warrenpoint Town	1203	3	@ Carrick Rangers	1262	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2020-11-24	49.39	Ballymena United	4	1253	16.24%	@ Cliftonville	0	1428	63.38%	20.38%
2	2020-12-08	31.59	Portadown	3	1155	25.90%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1225	51.90%	22.20%
3	2021-03-06	30.18	@ Portadown	4	1145	19.19%	Glenavon	1	1341	59.67%	21.14%
4	2021-03-02	29.87	Crusaders	3	1433	28.87%	@ Larne	0	1477	48.67%	22.47%
5	2021-03-06	28.38	Warrenpoint Town	2	1213	11.54%	@ Crusaders	0	1463	69.91%	18.56%
6	2020-12-04	25.78	@ Dungannon Swifts	2	1199	16.77%	Coleraine	0	1425	62.69%	20.54%
7	2021-03-09	25.61	Ballymena United	2	1327	17.12%	@ Glentoran	0	1490	62.24%	20.64%
8	2021-04-16	24.65	@ Crusaders	6	1411	50.76%	Glenavon	1	1350	26.94%	22.30%
9	2021-02-13	24.64	Carrick Rangers	3	1212	11.39%	@ Crusaders	1	1465	70.13%	18.48%
10	2020-12-12	23.63	@ Glentoran	6	1406	62.10%	Carrick Rangers	0	1243	17.23%	20.67%
11	2021-05-15	22.74	Cliftonville	2	1419	23.52%	@ Glentoran	0	1511	54.57%	21.91%
12	2021-04-03	22.27	Cliftonville	5	1414	59.38%	@ Warrenpoint Town	0	1220	19.42%	21.19%
13	2020-12-12	19.93	Ballymena United	5	1315	51.12%	@ Dungannon Swifts	1	1193	26.61%	22.27%
14	2020-10-24	19.89	Warrenpoint Town	2	1189	30.63%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1219	46.79%	22.58%
15	2020-11-28	19.81	@ Glenavon	3	1306	23.21%	Crusaders	1	1459	54.93%	21.86%
16	2020-10-17	19.05	Portadown	4	1177	19.30%	@ Glenavon	2	1314	59.54%	21.16%
17	2020-12-05	18.41	Warrenpoint Town	3	1203	27.11%	@ Carrick Rangers	1	1262	50.57%	22.32%
18	2021-01-30	17.56	Warrenpoint Town	2	1192	37.09%	@ Portadown	0	1174	40.12%	22.79%
19	2020-12-19	17.53	Coleraine	2	1403	37.14%	@ Cliftonville	0	1384	40.06%	22.79%
20	2021-02-06	17.45	Carrick Rangers	2	1191	37.39%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1171	39.82%	22.79%
21	2021-03-05	17.21	Glentoran	5	1473	65.22%	@ Carrick Rangers	0	1220	14.85%	19.94%
22	2021-03-30	17.18	Glenavon	4	1317	60.65%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1112	18.39%	20.96%
23	2020-11-28	17.01	Larne	2	1471	38.66%	@ Coleraine	0	1442	38.54%	22.80%
24	2021-04-10	16.99	@ Portadown	2	1146	38.71%	Carrick Rangers	0	1174	38.49%	22.80%
25	2021-05-04	16.89	Ballymena United	4	1369	61.05%	@ Carrick Rangers	0	1160	18.07%	20.88%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-01-23	71.9	@ Crusaders	3	1476	40.19%	Larne	3	1494	37.02%	22.79%
2	2020-11-24	71.5	@ Linfield	3	1537	58.80%	Glentoran	3	1408	19.90%	21.29%
3	2020-11-07	68.1	@ Glenavon	4	1295	21.35%	Coleraine	4	1467	57.08%	21.57%
4	2021-04-13	68.1	@ Glentoran	2	1489	42.67%	Coleraine	2	1489	34.58%	22.75%
5	2021-01-26	66.6	@ Cliftonville	4	1372	21.88%	Linfield	3	1539	56.46%	21.66%
6	2021-05-25	65.1	@ Coleraine	1	1516	38.93%	Linfield	1	1543	38.27%	22.80%
7	2021-04-24	64.6	@ Glenavon	3	1331	16.74%	Linfield	2	1557	62.73%	20.53%
8	2021-04-06	64.2	@ Ballymena United	2	1374	27.57%	Glentoran	2	1487	50.07%	22.36%
9	2021-01-09	63.8	@ Cliftonville	2	1371	28.48%	Crusaders	2	1477	49.08%	22.44%
10	2021-04-10	63.8	@ Crusaders	2	1411	38.43%	Cliftonville	2	1441	38.77%	22.80%
11	2021-05-04	63.7	@ Glentoran	1	1511	43.17%	Coleraine	1	1508	34.10%	22.73%
12	2021-02-02	63.6	@ Coleraine	2	1455	52.35%	Cliftonville	2	1382	25.50%	22.15%
13	2021-04-10	63.3	@ Larne	1	1452	28.77%	Linfield	1	1555	48.77%	22.46%
14	2021-02-09	62.2	@ Larne	2	1493	76.18%	Portadown	2	1155	7.70%	16.12%
15	2021-03-27	62.2	@ Glenavon	2	1316	24.60%	Larne	2	1456	53.35%	22.05%
16	2021-04-16	62.1	@ Coleraine	1	1489	42.84%	Glentoran	1	1488	34.42%	22.74%
17	2021-05-15	61.7	Larne	2	1469	24.26%	@ Linfield	1	1554	53.73%	22.01%
18	2021-01-26	61.4	@ Portadown	2	1171	11.73%	Crusaders	2	1476	69.63%	18.65%
19	2021-05-01	60.7	@ Glentoran	0	1511	37.90%	Linfield	0	1545	39.30%	22.80%
20	2021-01-29	60.1	@ Larne	1	1483	49.26%	Glentoran	1	1435	28.31%	22.42%
21	2021-03-20	59.9	@ Warrenpoint Town	2	1223	25.50%	Ballymena United	2	1355	52.34%	22.16%
22	2021-03-23	59.3	@ Ballymena United	2	1354	18.69%	Linfield	1	1556	60.28%	21.03%
23	2021-02-20	58.6	@ Linfield	0	1537	53.03%	Coleraine	0	1458	24.88%	22.08%
24	2021-05-25	57.9	@ Cliftonville	1	1442	47.25%	Crusaders	1	1408	30.19%	22.56%
25	2020-11-28	57.5	@ Warrenpoint Town	2	1188	9.60%	Linfield	1	1536	72.93%	17.47%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-04-06	25.7	@ Cliftonville	3	1436	76.60%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1092	7.47%	15.93%
2	2021-02-02	26.3	@ Linfield	3	1528	78.31%	Portadown	0	1156	6.56%	15.13%
3	2021-04-03	26.3	@ Glentoran	4	1479	75.21%	Portadown	0	1157	8.25%	16.54%
4	2020-12-19	26.4	@ Linfield	4	1516	76.54%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1173	7.50%	15.96%
5	2021-02-13	26.6	@ Larne	3	1490	76.11%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1153	7.74%	16.15%
6	2021-04-10	26.7	@ Glentoran	2	1486	79.91%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1087	5.76%	14.33%
7	2021-03-16	26.9	@ Linfield	2	1547	81.55%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1118	4.99%	13.46%
8	2021-04-03	27.3	Linfield	2	1545	79.53%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1095	5.95%	14.52%
9	2021-04-24	27.4	@ Cliftonville	5	1428	71.56%	Carrick Rangers	0	1157	10.46%	17.98%
10	2020-12-12	27.9	@ Crusaders	5	1454	71.26%	Portadown	0	1186	10.65%	18.09%
11	2021-04-03	28.0	@ Larne	3	1441	70.77%	Carrick Rangers	0	1180	10.97%	18.26%
12	2021-04-16	28.0	@ Larne	5	1452	70.94%	Warrenpoint Town	0	1189	10.86%	18.20%
13	2021-05-25	28.2	@ Ballymena United	3	1391	68.54%	Warrenpoint Town	0	1157	12.46%	19.00%
14	2021-01-02	28.3	@ Crusaders	4	1466	70.10%	Warrenpoint Town	0	1214	11.41%	18.49%
15	2021-01-23	28.3	@ Linfield	6	1528	75.34%	Warrenpoint Town	0	1203	8.17%	16.48%
16	2021-04-24	28.4	Crusaders	2	1436	73.53%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1079	9.24%	17.23%
17	2021-03-02	28.5	@ Coleraine	2	1470	75.09%	Portadown	0	1149	8.32%	16.59%
18	2021-03-13	28.5	@ Linfield	7	1535	76.33%	Carrick Rangers	0	1196	7.62%	16.05%
19	2020-11-28	28.7	@ Cliftonville	5	1378	66.52%	Portadown	0	1169	13.89%	19.59%
20	2020-11-07	28.9	@ Cliftonville	3	1440	68.38%	Warrenpoint Town	0	1208	12.57%	19.04%
21	2021-03-09	29.2	@ Linfield	5	1524	72.41%	Warrenpoint Town	0	1241	9.92%	17.67%
22	2021-03-13	29.3	Larne	2	1446	71.08%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1123	10.76%	18.15%
23	2021-05-14	29.3	@ Glenavon	4	1341	62.73%	Warrenpoint Town	0	1173	16.74%	20.53%
24	2021-01-23	29.4	@ Coleraine	2	1431	71.40%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1162	10.56%	18.04%
25	2021-01-02	29.7	@ Coleraine	3	1421	65.74%	Carrick Rangers	0	1220	14.46%	19.80%