2021-22 NIFL Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Linfield

83 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Warrenpoint Town

4.24 points above expected

21 points · 16.76 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Glentoran

5.93 points below expected

71 points · 76.93 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Linfield	33	22	8	3	74	62	22	+40	67.30	+6.70
2	Cliftonville	33	22	7	4	73	54	24	+30	57.34	+15.66
3	Glentoran	33	21	6	6	69	64	34	+30	61.76	+7.24
4	Crusaders	33	19	4	10	61	47	28	+19	55.63	+5.37
5	Larne	33	15	8	10	53	56	38	+18	57.95	-4.95
6	Coleraine	33	13	9	11	48	50	32	+18	61.90	-13.90
7	Glenavon	33	12	9	12	45	46	44	+2	44.24	+0.76
8	Ballymena United	33	13	5	15	44	38	46	-8	45.70	-1.70
9	Dungannon Swifts	33	9	1	23	28	40	81	-41	23.17	+4.83
10	Carrick Rangers	33	6	7	20	25	33	62	-29	30.18	-5.18
11	Portadown	33	5	9	19	24	28	63	-35	26.12	-2.12
12	Warrenpoint Town	33	3	3	27	12	30	74	-44	24.25	-12.25

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Linfield	38	24	11	3	83	67	24	+43	82.80	+0.20
2	Cliftonville	38	24	10	4	82	61	29	+32	80.60	+1.40
3	Glentoran	38	21	8	9	71	68	44	+24	76.93	-5.93
4	Crusaders	38	21	5	12	68	60	36	+24	66.91	+1.09
5	Larne	38	17	11	10	62	61	39	+22	58.78	+3.22
6	Coleraine	38	14	9	15	51	55	45	+10	53.90	-2.90

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Glenavon	38	15	9	14	54	54	50	+4	54.92	-0.92
2	Ballymena United	38	16	5	17	53	46	52	-6	53.62	-0.62
3	Dungannon Swifts	38	11	2	25	35	46	86	-40	33.51	+1.49
4	Carrick Rangers	38	9	7	22	34	41	67	-26	31.15	+2.85
5	Portadown	38	5	10	23	25	29	72	-43	30.08	-5.08
6	Warrenpoint Town	38	6	3	29	21	35	79	-44	16.76	+4.24

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Warrenpoint Town	21	16.76	+4.24
2	Larne	62	58.78	+3.22
3	Carrick Rangers	34	31.15	+2.85
4	Dungannon Swifts	35	33.51	+1.49
5	Cliftonville	82	80.60	+1.40

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Glentoran	71	76.93	-5.93
2	Portadown	25	30.08	-5.08
3	Coleraine	51	53.90	-2.90
4	Glenavon	54	54.92	-0.92
5	Ballymena United	53	53.62	-0.62

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Cliftonville	8	Feb 8 – Apr 5	1 in 115
2	Dungannon Swifts	3	Jan 11 – Jan 22	1 in 79
3	Glentoran	8	Nov 6 – Dec 22	1 in 70
4	Portadown	2	Mar 12 – Mar 19	1 in 51
5	Crusaders	5	Mar 15 – Apr 16	1 in 28

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Warrenpoint Town	12	Aug 31 – Nov 20	1 in 370
2	Carrick Rangers	6	Nov 27 – Dec 27	1 in 54
3	Coleraine	4	Mar 26 – Apr 19	1 in 42
4	Portadown	5	Aug 31 – Sep 25	1 in 32
5	Ballymena United	3	Mar 8 – Mar 15	1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Cliftonville	16	Jan 21 – Apr 30	1 in 449
2	Glentoran	14	Oct 2 – Dec 27	1 in 90
3	Coleraine	13	Sep 4 – Nov 27	1 in 31
4	Portadown	4	Feb 26 – Mar 19	1 in 30
5	Carrick Rangers	4	Sep 11 – Oct 2	1 in 25

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Coleraine	7	Nov 27 – Jan 15	1 in 213
2	Larne	4	Mar 1 – Mar 25	1 in 27
3	Glentoran	5	Apr 9 – Apr 30	1 in 17
4	Warrenpoint Town	12	Aug 31 – Nov 20	1 in 14
5	Carrick Rangers	9	Nov 27 – Jan 22	1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Linfield	1554	83	+11	9	8.9	+0.1
Cliftonville	1503	82	+12	9	7.7	+1.3
Glentoran	1451	71	-52	2	7.4	-5.4
Crusaders	1457	68	+38	7	6.7	+0.3
Larne	1446	62	+33	9	5.8	+3.2
Glenavon	1331	54	-3	9	10.1	-1.1
Ballymena United	1316	53	-3	9	9.5	-0.5
Coleraine	1376	51	-42	3	5.4	-2.4
Dungannon Swifts	1137	35	+13	7	5.6	+1.4
Carrick Rangers	1185	34	+31	9	6.3	+2.7
Portadown	1097	25	-53	1	6.0	-5.0
Warrenpoint Town	1103	21	+15	9	4.7	+4.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BU	CR	CLI	COL	CRU	DS	GLE	GLE	LAR	LIN	POR	WT
Ballymena United	—	1-0-3 7.63	1-1-1 2.96	1-1-1 2.72	1-0-2 3.08	4-0-0 8.27	1-2-1 5.64	0-1-2 2.71	2-0-1 2.89	0-0-3 2.07	3-0-1 8.11	2-0-2 8.40
Carrick Rangers	3-0-1 3.58	—	0-0-3 1.81	0-1-2 1.72	0-1-2 1.88	1-0-3 6.67	1-1-2 3.21	0-0-3 1.70	0-2-1 1.84	0-0-3 1.38	2-2-0 6.10	2-0-2 6.35
Cliftonville	1-1-1 5.43	3-0-0 6.65	—	3-1-0 5.44	1-2-1 6.22	3-0-0 7.05	3-0-0 5.52	3-0-1 5.15	2-2-0 5.70	0-3-1 4.29	2-1-0 6.93	3-0-0 6.98
Coleraine	1-1-1 5.68	2-1-0 6.75	0-1-3 5.74	—	1-1-2 6.07	3-0-0 7.20	0-1-2 5.90	1-1-2 5.23	1-1-2 5.98	1-1-2 4.28	1-1-1 7.05	3-0-0 7.23
Crusaders	2-0-1 5.30	2-1-0 6.58	1-2-1 4.94	2-1-1 5.10	—	3-0-0 6.81	0-1-2 5.38	2-0-2 4.55	2-0-2 5.21	1-0-3 4.00	3-0-0 6.49	3-0-0 6.92
Dungannon Swifts	0-0-4 2.97	3-0-1 4.51	0-0-3 1.46	0-0-3 1.33	0-0-3 1.66	—	1-0-3 2.99	0-0-3 1.36	1-0-2 1.49	0-0-3 1.02	3-1-0 5.04	3-1-0 5.72
Glenavon	1-2-1 5.52	2-1-1 8.01	0-0-3 2.87	2-1-0 2.50	2-1-0 3.01	3-0-1 8.25	—	0-0-3 2.71	0-1-2 2.74	0-1-2 2.16	3-1-0 8.06	2-1-1 8.26
Glentoran	2-1-0 5.69	3-0-0 6.78	1-0-3 6.02	2-1-1 5.94	2-0-2 6.63	3-0-0 7.16	3-0-0 5.69	—	0-2-2 6.24	1-2-1 4.77	1-2-0 7.12	3-0-0 7.12
Larne	1-0-2 5.51	1-2-0 6.62	0-2-2 5.47	2-1-1 5.19	2-0-2 5.96	2-0-1 7.01	2-1-0 5.66	2-2-0 4.93	—	0-2-2 4.07	2-1-0 6.77	3-0-0 6.97
Linfield	3-0-0 6.36	3-0-0 7.13	1-3-0 6.89	2-1-1 6.90	3-0-1 7.18	3-0-0 7.56	2-1-0 6.27	1-2-1 6.40	2-2-0 7.12	—	2-1-0 7.23	2-1-0 7.52
Portadown	1-0-3 3.11	0-2-2 5.07	0-1-2 1.56	1-1-1 1.45	0-0-3 1.96	0-1-3 6.12	0-1-3 3.17	0-2-1 1.39	0-1-2 1.71	0-1-2 1.30	—	3-0-1 5.91
Warrenpoint Town	2-0-2 2.85	2-0-2 4.83	0-0-3 1.51	0-0-3 1.30	0-0-3 1.57	0-1-3 5.45	1-1-2 2.98	0-0-3 1.40	0-0-3 1.52	0-1-2 1.06	1-0-3 5.25	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.87	+15.6
Allowed	0.88	-9.9
Differential	0.94	+6.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.58%	9.65%	6.58%	4.82%	1.97%	0.66%	30.26%
1	9.65%	7.89%	7.89%	1.97%	0.66%	0.44%	28.51%
2	6.58%	7.89%	4.39%	2.85%	1.97%	0.44%	24.12%
3	4.82%	1.97%	2.85%	0.88%	0.22%	—	10.75%
4	1.97%	0.66%	1.97%	0.22%	—	—	4.82%
5+	0.66%	0.44%	0.44%	—	—	—	1.54%
Total	30.26%	28.51%	24.12%	10.75%	4.82%	1.54%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.37	1.37	+0.00
SD	1.26	1.26	1.88
CV	0.92	0.92	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	18.42%	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	—	31.58%
1	13.16%	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	34.21%
2	5.26%	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	—	21.05%
3	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
4	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.68%	42.11%	13.16%	15.79%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.21	1.37	-0.16
SD	1.14	1.17	1.78
CV	0.94	0.86	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	2.63%	15.79%	10.53%	2.63%	—	39.47%
1	10.53%	2.63%	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	28.95%
2	—	5.26%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	23.68%
3	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	26.32%	10.53%	36.84%	18.42%	5.26%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.76	-0.68
SD	1.19	1.40	1.99
CV	1.11	0.80	—
Max	5	6	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	15.79%
1	18.42%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	—	31.58%
2	13.16%	15.79%	5.26%	—	—	—	34.21%
3	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	13.16%
4	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	44.74%	36.84%	15.79%	2.63%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.61	0.76	+0.84
SD	1.08	0.82	1.17
CV	0.67	1.07	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.16%	5.26%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	31.58%
1	—	7.89%	13.16%	—	2.63%	—	23.68%
2	13.16%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	23.68%
3	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	15.79%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
Total	39.47%	18.42%	31.58%	5.26%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.18	+0.26
SD	1.37	1.18	1.94
CV	0.95	1.00	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	10.53%	7.89%	—	—	—	26.32%
1	13.16%	2.63%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	26.32%
2	10.53%	13.16%	—	2.63%	—	—	26.32%
3	2.63%	—	—	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
4	7.89%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	15.79%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	42.11%	28.95%	21.05%	7.89%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.58	0.95	+0.63
SD	1.37	0.98	1.72
CV	0.87	1.04	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	10.53%	15.79%	7.89%	2.63%	5.26%	44.74%
1	2.63%	—	2.63%	5.26%	—	2.63%	13.16%
2	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	7.89%	—	23.68%
3	—	2.63%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	13.16%
4	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.53%	21.05%	31.58%	15.79%	13.16%	7.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.21	2.26	-1.05
SD	1.30	1.48	2.07
CV	1.07	0.66	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	5.26%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	28.95%
1	15.79%	7.89%	7.89%	—	—	—	31.58%
2	5.26%	—	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	18.42%
3	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
4	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	34.21%	21.05%	28.95%	10.53%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	1.32	+0.11
SD	1.37	1.21	1.81
CV	0.96	0.92	—
Max	6	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	5.26%	—	5.26%	2.63%	—	15.79%
1	10.53%	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	—	28.95%
2	7.89%	13.16%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	31.58%
3	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	13.16%
4	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	31.58%	36.84%	18.42%	10.53%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.79	1.16	+0.63
SD	1.34	1.08	1.82
CV	0.75	0.93	—
Max	6	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	10.53%	—	—	—	—	21.05%
1	5.26%	15.79%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	36.84%
2	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	10.53%
3	13.16%	2.63%	7.89%	—	—	—	23.68%
4	2.63%	—	5.26%	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	34.21%	34.21%	26.32%	5.26%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.61	1.03	+0.58
SD	1.28	0.91	1.54
CV	0.80	0.89	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.53%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	15.79%
1	13.16%	15.79%	2.63%	—	—	—	31.58%
2	13.16%	13.16%	2.63%	—	—	—	28.95%
3	10.53%	—	5.26%	—	—	—	15.79%
4	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	—	5.26%
Total	52.63%	34.21%	10.53%	2.63%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.76	0.63	+1.13
SD	1.36	0.79	1.61
CV	0.77	1.24	—
Max	6	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	18.42%	7.89%	2.63%	10.53%	2.63%	50.00%
1	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	—	26.32%
2	2.63%	—	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	—	21.05%
3	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.42%	26.32%	23.68%	13.16%	15.79%	2.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.76	1.89	-1.13
SD	0.88	1.43	1.65
CV	1.16	0.75	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	21.05%	5.26%	15.79%	—	—	42.11%
1	5.26%	2.63%	18.42%	—	—	2.63%	28.95%
2	—	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	26.32%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.26%	31.58%	31.58%	21.05%	5.26%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.92	2.08	-1.16
SD	0.97	1.28	1.46
CV	1.05	0.62	—
Max	4	6	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Linfield	1554	83	67.30	+15.70	88.0%	47	55	63	67	72	78	84
Cliftonville	1503	82	57.34	+24.66	99.0%	40	42	53	58	62	68	79
Crusaders	1457	68	55.63	+12.37	82.0%	41	46	51	55	59	67	73
Glentoran	1451	71	61.76	+9.24	92.0%	45	51	58	62	66	71	73
Larne	1446	62	57.95	+4.05	29.0%	40	45	51	58	63	71	73
Coleraine	1376	51	61.90	-10.90	1.0%	41	51	57	61	66	74	80
Glenavon	1331	54	44.24	+9.76	59.0%	30	35	39	44	48	55	61
Ballymena United	1316	53	45.70	+7.30	50.0%	26	33	41	44	51	59	65
Carrick Rangers	1185	34	30.18	+3.82	23.0%	14	19	26	30	35	41	49
Dungannon Swifts	1137	35	23.17	+11.83	78.0%	8	13	18	23	27	34	39
Warrenpoint Town	1103	21	24.25	-3.25	1.0%	10	15	20	24	28	35	39
Portadown	1097	25	26.12	-1.12	38.0%	9	13	21	26	30	37	47

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+4.82%

No Edge

42.54%19.74%37.72%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 16.78 Elo pts.

192 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.10 goals

Neutral

-2+0.09+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.6

Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

44%

Linfield, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.03/gm

Photo Finish

00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.52 * Some Luck: 5.52 to 8.29 * Lucky: 8.29 to 11.05 * Wild Swing: 11.05 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.96 * Close: 0.96 to 1.44 * Off: 1.44 to 1.92 * Way Off: 1.92 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

8.15 points

Some Luck

06.9017

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.50

Off

01.202.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

99.00%

Cliftonville

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

1.00%

Coleraine

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.22

Top-Heavy

00.190.250.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 161.96

2.51

Wide Separation

11.852.253

Interquartile Edge

84%

Wide Edge

50%70%81%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 96%

93%

Clear Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

61%

Very Frequent

0%57%100%

Blowouts

Expected

18%

Rare

0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.54

Highly Predictable

00.552

Matchup Imbalance

0.44

Slight Separation

00.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.45

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

0.73

Strong Carryover

00.470.620.761

Upset Rate

Expected

23%

Upset-Prone

0%23%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

20%

Shaky Favorites

0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.

Probability calibration

0.29

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.12

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.083

Well Within Noise

00.1090.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Linfield	44.00%	34.00%	9.00%	7.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Cliftonville	7.00%	12.00%	14.00%	21.00%	18.00%	16.00%	7.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	—
Glentoran	19.00%	17.00%	25.00%	19.00%	11.00%	6.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Crusaders	4.00%	5.00%	10.00%	14.00%	28.00%	21.00%	16.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—
Larne	8.00%	12.00%	17.00%	18.00%	9.00%	23.00%	11.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Coleraine	18.00%	18.00%	24.00%	12.00%	18.00%	8.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Glenavon	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	4.00%	14.00%	31.00%	40.00%	7.00%	—	—	—
Ballymena United	—	2.00%	—	6.00%	7.00%	10.00%	27.00%	40.00%	6.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—
Dungannon Swifts	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	11.00%	23.00%	27.00%	39.00%
Carrick Rangers	—	—	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	7.00%	44.00%	24.00%	15.00%	8.00%
Portadown	—	—	—	—	—	—	3.00%	3.00%	17.00%	32.00%	23.00%	22.00%
Warrenpoint Town	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	14.00%	20.00%	34.00%	31.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Linfield	66.73%	26.12%	7.13%	0.02%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Cliftonville	28.16%	52.73%	19.05%	0.06%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Glentoran	5.11%	21.14%	72.31%	1.44%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Crusaders	—	0.01%	1.51%	94.98%	3.48%	0.02%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Larne	—	—	—	3.41%	82.03%	14.56%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Coleraine	—	—	—	0.09%	14.49%	85.42%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Glenavon	—	—	—	—	—	—	64.47%	35.53%	—	—	—	—
Ballymena United	—	—	—	—	—	—	35.53%	64.47%	—	—	—	—
Dungannon Swifts	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	61.41%	28.34%	10.25%	—
Carrick Rangers	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.83%	42.30%	33.86%	0.01%
Portadown	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	14.76%	29.36%	55.78%	0.10%
Warrenpoint Town	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.11%	99.89%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Ballymena United	99.00%	1.00%	—
Cliftonville	100%	—	—
Coleraine	100%	—	—
Crusaders	100%	—	—
Glenavon	100%	—	—
Glentoran	100%	—	—
Larne	100%	—	—
Linfield	100%	—	—
Carrick Rangers	72.00%	19.00%	9.00%
Portadown	61.00%	15.00%	24.00%
Dungannon Swifts	31.00%	39.00%	30.00%
Warrenpoint Town	37.00%	26.00%	37.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Ballymena United	100%	—	—
Cliftonville	100%	—	—
Coleraine	100%	—	—
Crusaders	100%	—	—
Dungannon Swifts	89.75%	10.25%	—
Glenavon	100%	—	—
Glentoran	100%	—	—
Larne	100%	—	—
Linfield	100%	—	—
Carrick Rangers	66.13%	33.86%	0.01%
Portadown	44.12%	55.78%	0.10%
Warrenpoint Town	—	0.11%	99.89%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2021-08-27	Coleraine	W 4-2	53.3	1409	1445	36.75%	20.91%	42.34%	-0.10	+12.3	3
2021-08-27	@ Larne	L 2-4	53.3	1445	1409	42.34%	20.91%	36.75%	+0.10	-12.3	0
2021-08-27	Glenavon	D 1-1	55.7	1223	1337	26.83%	20.42%	52.76%	-0.51	+1.1	1
2021-08-27	@ Portadown	D 1-1	55.7	1337	1223	52.76%	20.42%	26.83%	+0.51	-1.1	1
2021-08-28	Ballymena United	W 2-1	53.1	1204	1369	21.54%	19.77%	58.69%	-0.77	+10.6	3
2021-08-28	@ Warrenpoint Town	L 1-2	53.1	1369	1204	58.69%	19.77%	21.54%	+0.77	-10.6	0
2021-08-28	Carrick Rangers	W 2-1	39.6	1385	1178	66.15%	18.44%	15.41%	+1.16	+3.3	3
2021-08-28	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	39.6	1178	1385	15.41%	18.44%	66.15%	-1.16	-3.3	0
2021-08-28	Crusaders	W 2-0	37.3	1470	1364	55.65%	20.14%	24.21%	+0.63	+10.0	3
2021-08-28	@ Linfield	L 0-2	37.3	1364	1470	24.21%	20.14%	55.65%	-0.63	-10.0	0
2021-08-28	Glentoran	L 2-3	43.1	1131	1442	11.12%	16.85%	72.04%	-1.53	-2.2	0
2021-08-28	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 3-2	43.1	1442	1131	72.04%	16.85%	11.12%	+1.53	+2.2	3
2021-08-31	Coleraine	W 2-1	52.2	1388	1433	35.57%	20.89%	43.55%	-0.15	+8.2	6
2021-08-31	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	52.2	1433	1388	43.55%	20.89%	35.57%	+0.15	-8.2	0
2021-08-31	Portadown	W 4-0	30.0	1354	1224	58.55%	19.79%	21.66%	+0.77	+17.1	3
2021-08-31	@ Crusaders	L 0-4	30.0	1224	1354	21.66%	19.79%	58.55%	-0.77	-17.2	1
2021-08-31	Warrenpoint Town	W 1-0	42.5	1175	1214	36.35%	20.90%	42.75%	-0.12	+8.5	3
2021-08-31	@ Carrick Rangers	L 0-1	42.5	1214	1175	42.75%	20.90%	36.35%	+0.12	-8.5	3
2021-09-04	Coleraine	L 0-3	28.3	1183	1425	15.32%	18.41%	66.27%	-1.17	-9.4	3
2021-09-04	@ Carrick Rangers	W 3-0	28.3	1425	1183	66.27%	18.41%	15.32%	+1.17	+9.4	3
2021-09-04	Glenavon	L 1-6	34.2	1206	1336	25.10%	20.24%	54.66%	-0.59	-20.0	3
2021-09-04	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 6-1	34.2	1336	1206	54.66%	20.24%	25.10%	+0.59	+20.0	4
2021-09-04	Glentoran	W 1-0	47.3	1396	1444	35.17%	20.88%	43.95%	-0.16	+8.7	9
2021-09-04	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	47.3	1444	1396	43.95%	20.88%	35.17%	+0.16	-8.7	3
2021-09-04	Larne	L 2-3	45.9	1207	1421	17.30%	18.94%	63.77%	-1.03	-3.5	1
2021-09-04	@ Portadown	W 3-2	45.9	1421	1207	63.77%	18.94%	17.30%	+1.03	+3.5	6
2021-09-10	Ballymena United	W 4-1	40.2	1435	1359	52.19%	20.46%	27.35%	+0.49	+13.6	6
2021-09-10	@ Glentoran	L 1-4	40.2	1359	1435	27.35%	20.46%	52.19%	-0.49	-13.6	0
2021-09-11	Carrick Rangers	L 0-4	42.1	1356	1174	63.87%	18.92%	17.21%	+1.03	-43.4	4
2021-09-11	@ Glenavon	W 4-0	42.1	1174	1356	17.21%	18.92%	63.87%	-1.03	+43.4	6
2021-09-11	Cliftonville	D 1-1	58.0	1372	1405	37.21%	20.92%	41.88%	-0.09	+0.2	4
2021-09-11	@ Crusaders	D 1-1	58.0	1405	1372	41.88%	20.92%	37.21%	+0.09	-0.2	10
2021-09-11	Coleraine	L 0-5	26.5	1129	1434	11.39%	16.97%	71.63%	-1.50	-11.2	0
2021-09-11	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 5-0	26.5	1434	1129	71.63%	16.97%	11.39%	+1.50	+11.2	6
2021-09-11	Linfield	L 2-3	44.8	1203	1480	13.04%	17.65%	69.32%	-1.35	-2.6	1
2021-09-11	@ Portadown	W 3-2	44.8	1480	1203	69.32%	17.65%	13.04%	+1.35	+2.6	6
2021-09-11	Warrenpoint Town	W 3-0	27.5	1425	1186	68.98%	17.74%	13.28%	+1.33	+8.2	9
2021-09-11	@ Larne	L 0-3	27.5	1186	1425	13.28%	17.74%	68.98%	-1.33	-8.2	3
2021-09-18	Cliftonville	L 1-3	34.8	1117	1405	12.41%	17.40%	70.19%	-1.41	-4.6	0
2021-09-18	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 3-1	34.8	1405	1117	70.19%	17.40%	12.41%	+1.41	+4.5	13
2021-09-18	Coleraine	D 1-1	62.2	1482	1445	47.01%	20.78%	32.21%	+0.28	-0.6	7
2021-09-18	@ Linfield	D 1-1	62.2	1445	1482	32.21%	20.78%	47.01%	-0.28	+0.6	7
2021-09-18	Glenavon	D 1-1	56.3	1345	1313	46.41%	20.80%	32.79%	+0.26	-0.6	1
2021-09-18	@ Ballymena United	D 1-1	56.3	1313	1345	32.79%	20.80%	46.41%	-0.26	+0.6	5
2021-09-18	Glentoran	L 0-3	27.7	1178	1449	13.35%	17.76%	68.88%	-1.32	-8.2	3
2021-09-18	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 3-0	27.7	1449	1178	68.88%	17.76%	13.35%	+1.32	+8.2	9
2021-09-18	Larne	W 1-0	46.9	1372	1433	33.42%	20.82%	45.76%	-0.23	+9.0	7
2021-09-18	@ Crusaders	L 0-1	46.9	1433	1372	45.76%	20.82%	33.42%	+0.23	-9.0	9
2021-09-18	Portadown	W 1-0	40.1	1217	1200	44.31%	20.87%	34.82%	+0.18	+7.2	9
2021-09-18	@ Carrick Rangers	L 0-1	40.1	1200	1217	34.82%	20.87%	44.31%	-0.18	-7.2	1
2021-09-25	Ballymena United	W 3-0	34.1	1446	1344	55.23%	20.19%	24.59%	+0.62	+14.7	10
2021-09-25	@ Coleraine	L 0-3	34.1	1344	1446	24.59%	20.19%	55.23%	-0.62	-14.7	1
2021-09-25	Carrick Rangers	D 0-0	52.3	1424	1225	65.49%	18.58%	15.93%	+1.12	-2.5	10
2021-09-25	@ Larne	D 0-0	52.3	1225	1424	15.93%	18.58%	65.49%	-1.12	+2.6	10
2021-09-25	Crusaders	L 0-3	43.5	1457	1381	52.16%	20.47%	27.38%	+0.48	-27.6	9
2021-09-25	@ Glentoran	W 3-0	43.5	1381	1457	27.38%	20.47%	52.16%	-0.48	+27.6	10
2021-09-25	Dungannon Swifts	L 1-4	44.4	1193	1113	52.66%	20.42%	26.92%	+0.51	-23.5	1
2021-09-25	@ Portadown	W 4-1	44.4	1113	1193	26.92%	20.42%	52.66%	-0.51	+23.5	3
2021-09-25	Linfield	D 0-0	54.2	1313	1482	21.28%	19.73%	58.99%	-0.79	+1.9	6
2021-09-25	@ Glenavon	D 0-0	54.2	1482	1313	58.99%	19.73%	21.28%	+0.79	-1.9	8
2021-09-25	Warrenpoint Town	W 1-0	33.3	1409	1169	69.05%	17.72%	13.23%	+1.33	+3.0	16
2021-09-25	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	33.3	1169	1409	13.23%	17.72%	69.05%	-1.33	-3.0	3
2021-09-28	Dungannon Swifts	W 4-3	47.5	1330	1136	64.95%	18.70%	16.35%	+1.09	+3.2	4
2021-09-28	@ Ballymena United	L 3-4	47.5	1136	1330	16.35%	18.70%	64.95%	-1.09	-3.2	3
2021-09-28	Larne	L 0-1	40.1	1315	1421	27.83%	20.50%	51.67%	-0.46	-6.0	6
2021-09-28	@ Glenavon	W 1-0	40.1	1421	1315	51.67%	20.50%	27.83%	+0.46	+6.0	13
2021-09-28	Linfield	L 0-3	40.6	1429	1480	34.87%	20.87%	44.26%	-0.17	-19.8	9
2021-09-28	@ Glentoran	W 3-0	40.6	1480	1429	44.26%	20.87%	34.87%	+0.17	+19.8	11
2021-10-01	Cliftonville	D 1-1	61.8	1499	1412	53.52%	20.35%	26.13%	+0.54	-1.2	12
2021-10-01	@ Linfield	D 1-1	61.8	1412	1499	26.13%	20.35%	53.52%	-0.54	+1.2	17
2021-10-02	Ballymena United	W 2-1	51.1	1227	1333	27.86%	20.51%	51.64%	-0.46	+9.4	13
2021-10-02	@ Carrick Rangers	L 1-2	51.1	1333	1227	51.64%	20.51%	27.86%	+0.46	-9.4	4
2021-10-02	Glentoran	L 1-2	45.6	1309	1410	28.48%	20.55%	50.96%	-0.43	-5.8	6
2021-10-02	@ Glenavon	W 2-1	45.6	1410	1309	50.96%	20.55%	28.48%	+0.43	+5.8	12
2021-10-02	Larne	L 2-4	38.8	1133	1427	12.02%	17.24%	70.74%	-1.44	-3.9	3
2021-10-02	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 4-2	38.8	1427	1133	70.74%	17.24%	12.02%	+1.44	+3.9	16
2021-10-02	Portadown	L 2-3	52.8	1166	1170	41.46%	20.92%	37.62%	+0.07	-7.4	3
2021-10-02	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 3-2	52.8	1170	1166	37.62%	20.92%	41.46%	-0.07	+7.4	4
2021-10-04	Coleraine	L 0-2	41.6	1408	1461	34.57%	20.86%	44.57%	-0.19	-13.5	10
2021-10-04	@ Crusaders	W 2-0	41.6	1461	1408	44.57%	20.86%	34.57%	+0.19	+13.5	13
2021-10-08	Glenavon	D 0-0	54.0	1474	1303	62.77%	19.12%	18.11%	+0.98	-2.3	14
2021-10-08	@ Coleraine	D 0-0	54.0	1303	1474	18.11%	19.12%	62.77%	-0.98	+2.3	7
2021-10-09	Carrick Rangers	W 4-0	27.9	1498	1237	70.83%	17.22%	11.96%	+1.45	+9.6	15
2021-10-09	@ Linfield	L 0-4	27.9	1237	1498	11.96%	17.22%	70.83%	-1.45	-9.6	13
2021-10-09	Crusaders	L 0-1	41.2	1324	1395	32.08%	20.77%	47.15%	-0.28	-6.8	4
2021-10-09	@ Ballymena United	W 1-0	41.2	1395	1324	47.15%	20.77%	32.08%	+0.28	+6.8	13
2021-10-16	Ballymena United	L 0-1	36.9	1177	1317	24.12%	20.13%	55.75%	-0.64	-5.3	4
2021-10-16	@ Portadown	W 1-0	36.9	1317	1177	55.75%	20.13%	24.12%	+0.64	+5.3	7
2021-10-16	Coleraine	D 2-2	66.7	1415	1472	34.00%	20.84%	45.15%	-0.21	+0.3	13
2021-10-16	@ Glentoran	D 2-2	66.7	1472	1415	45.15%	20.84%	34.00%	+0.21	-0.3	15
2021-10-16	Dungannon Swifts	W 4-2	40.6	1306	1129	63.33%	19.02%	17.65%	+1.00	+5.8	10
2021-10-16	@ Glenavon	L 2-4	40.6	1129	1306	17.65%	19.02%	63.33%	-1.00	-5.8	3
2021-10-16	Larne	W 2-1	51.7	1413	1431	39.37%	20.93%	39.70%	-0.01	+7.6	20
2021-10-16	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	51.7	1431	1413	39.70%	20.93%	39.37%	+0.01	-7.6	16
2021-10-16	Linfield	L 0-3	26.3	1159	1508	9.31%	15.91%	74.78%	-1.73	-5.6	3
2021-10-16	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 3-0	26.3	1508	1159	74.78%	15.91%	9.31%	+1.73	+5.6	18
2021-10-22	Carrick Rangers	W 2-0	41.2	1123	1227	28.11%	20.53%	51.36%	-0.45	+18.8	6
2021-10-22	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-2	41.2	1227	1123	51.36%	20.53%	28.11%	+0.45	-18.8	13
2021-10-23	Cliftonville	W 1-0	47.1	1322	1421	28.68%	20.57%	50.75%	-0.43	+9.9	10
2021-10-23	@ Ballymena United	L 0-1	47.1	1421	1322	50.75%	20.57%	28.68%	+0.43	-9.8	20
2021-10-23	Portadown	D 2-2	62.5	1416	1172	69.40%	17.63%	12.98%	+1.36	-2.0	14
2021-10-23	@ Glentoran	D 2-2	62.5	1172	1416	12.98%	17.63%	69.40%	-1.36	+2.0	5
2021-10-23	Warrenpoint Town	W 2-0	28.1	1472	1153	74.99%	15.83%	9.18%	+1.74	+3.8	18
2021-10-23	@ Coleraine	L 0-2	28.1	1153	1472	9.18%	15.83%	74.99%	-1.74	-3.8	3
2021-10-25	Linfield	D 1-1	62.6	1424	1513	29.75%	20.64%	49.60%	-0.38	+0.9	17
2021-10-25	@ Larne	D 1-1	62.6	1513	1424	49.60%	20.64%	29.75%	+0.38	-0.9	19
2021-10-29	Glentoran	L 0-2	31.7	1208	1414	18.02%	19.10%	62.88%	-0.98	-7.6	13
2021-10-29	@ Carrick Rangers	W 2-0	31.7	1414	1208	62.88%	19.10%	18.02%	+0.98	+7.6	17
2021-10-30	Crusaders	L 2-4	39.8	1150	1402	14.58%	18.18%	67.23%	-1.22	-4.8	3
2021-10-30	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 4-2	39.8	1402	1150	67.23%	18.18%	14.58%	+1.22	+4.8	16
2021-10-30	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-0	25.1	1513	1142	78.33%	14.50%	7.17%	+2.01	+4.3	22
2021-10-30	@ Linfield	L 0-3	25.1	1142	1513	7.17%	14.50%	78.33%	-2.01	-4.3	6
2021-10-30	Glenavon	W 2-1	44.5	1411	1312	54.97%	20.21%	24.81%	+0.60	+5.1	23
2021-10-30	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	44.5	1312	1411	24.81%	20.21%	54.97%	-0.60	-5.1	10
2021-10-30	Larne	L 0-3	35.0	1332	1424	29.43%	20.62%	49.95%	-0.39	-17.2	10
2021-10-30	@ Ballymena United	W 3-0	35.0	1424	1332	49.95%	20.62%	29.43%	+0.39	+17.2	20
2021-10-30	Portadown	W 2-0	28.7	1476	1174	73.83%	16.25%	9.92%	+1.66	+4.2	21
2021-10-30	@ Coleraine	L 0-2	28.7	1174	1476	9.92%	16.25%	73.83%	-1.66	-4.2	5
2021-11-02	Glentoran	D 1-1	60.1	1442	1421	44.76%	20.86%	34.38%	+0.19	-0.4	21
2021-11-02	@ Larne	D 1-1	60.1	1421	1442	34.38%	20.86%	44.76%	-0.19	+0.4	18
2021-11-02	Portadown	W 4-0	26.7	1416	1170	69.60%	17.57%	12.83%	+1.37	+10.3	26
2021-11-02	@ Cliftonville	L 0-4	26.7	1170	1416	12.83%	17.57%	69.60%	-1.37	-10.3	5
2021-11-05	Crusaders	W 1-0	44.0	1441	1406	46.75%	20.79%	32.46%	+0.27	+6.8	24
2021-11-05	@ Larne	L 0-1	44.0	1406	1441	32.46%	20.79%	46.75%	-0.27	-6.8	16
2021-11-06	Ballymena United	L 0-1	42.8	1306	1315	40.75%	20.93%	38.32%	+0.04	-8.2	10
2021-11-06	@ Glenavon	W 1-0	42.8	1315	1306	38.32%	20.93%	40.75%	-0.04	+8.2	13
2021-11-06	Coleraine	D 0-0	53.0	1201	1480	12.88%	17.59%	69.53%	-1.36	+2.9	14
2021-11-06	@ Carrick Rangers	D 0-0	53.0	1480	1201	69.53%	17.59%	12.88%	+1.36	-3.0	22
2021-11-06	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-0	26.1	1426	1138	72.87%	16.58%	10.55%	+1.59	+6.4	29
2021-11-06	@ Cliftonville	L 0-3	26.1	1138	1426	10.55%	16.58%	72.87%	-1.59	-6.4	6
2021-11-06	Linfield	D 0-0	53.5	1159	1517	8.94%	15.69%	75.37%	-1.77	+3.5	6
2021-11-06	@ Portadown	D 0-0	53.5	1517	1159	75.37%	15.69%	8.94%	+1.77	-3.5	23
2021-11-06	Warrenpoint Town	W 2-1	37.9	1422	1145	72.02%	16.85%	11.13%	+1.53	+2.4	21
2021-11-06	@ Glentoran	L 1-2	37.9	1145	1422	11.13%	16.85%	72.02%	-1.53	-2.3	3
2021-11-13	Ballymena United	W 4-0	32.8	1424	1323	55.19%	20.19%	24.62%	+0.61	+19.2	24
2021-11-13	@ Glentoran	L 0-4	32.8	1323	1424	24.62%	20.19%	55.19%	-0.61	-19.2	13
2021-11-13	Carrick Rangers	D 2-2	60.8	1163	1204	36.16%	20.90%	42.94%	-0.12	+0.2	7
2021-11-13	@ Portadown	D 2-2	60.8	1204	1163	42.94%	20.90%	36.16%	+0.12	-0.2	15
2021-11-13	Cliftonville	L 2-4	38.9	1142	1433	12.22%	17.33%	70.45%	-1.42	-4.0	3
2021-11-13	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 4-2	38.9	1433	1142	70.45%	17.33%	12.22%	+1.42	+4.0	32
2021-11-13	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	27.5	1477	1131	76.77%	15.15%	8.08%	+1.88	+3.3	25
2021-11-13	@ Coleraine	L 0-2	27.5	1131	1477	8.08%	15.15%	76.77%	-1.88	-3.3	6
2021-11-13	Glenavon	W 3-2	48.3	1448	1298	60.61%	19.49%	19.90%	+0.87	+4.0	27
2021-11-13	@ Larne	L 2-3	48.3	1298	1448	19.90%	19.49%	60.61%	-0.87	-4.0	10
2021-11-13	Linfield	W 2-1	57.5	1400	1513	26.93%	20.43%	52.65%	-0.50	+9.6	19
2021-11-13	@ Crusaders	L 1-2	57.5	1513	1400	52.65%	20.43%	26.93%	+0.50	-9.6	23
2021-11-16	Crusaders	L 0-2	31.7	1203	1409	18.00%	19.10%	62.90%	-0.98	-7.6	15
2021-11-16	@ Carrick Rangers	W 2-0	31.7	1409	1203	62.90%	19.10%	18.00%	+0.98	+7.6	22
2021-11-19	Larne	W 3-1	49.1	1480	1452	45.84%	20.82%	33.34%	+0.23	+11.4	28
2021-11-19	@ Coleraine	L 1-3	49.1	1452	1480	33.34%	20.82%	45.84%	-0.23	-11.4	27
2021-11-20	Carrick Rangers	L 0-1	46.5	1304	1196	55.96%	20.11%	23.93%	+0.65	-10.8	13
2021-11-20	@ Ballymena United	W 1-0	46.5	1196	1304	23.93%	20.11%	55.96%	-0.65	+10.8	18
2021-11-20	Cliftonville	W 1-0	45.7	1504	1437	50.97%	20.55%	28.47%	+0.44	+6.1	26
2021-11-20	@ Linfield	L 0-1	45.7	1437	1504	28.47%	20.55%	50.97%	-0.44	-6.1	32
2021-11-20	Glenavon	L 0-3	30.2	1138	1294	22.47%	19.91%	57.62%	-0.72	-13.6	3
2021-11-20	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 3-0	30.2	1294	1138	57.62%	19.91%	22.47%	+0.72	+13.6	13
2021-11-20	Glentoran	L 0-1	46.1	1417	1443	38.12%	20.93%	40.95%	-0.05	-7.8	22
2021-11-20	@ Crusaders	W 1-0	46.1	1443	1417	40.95%	20.93%	38.12%	+0.05	+7.8	27
2021-11-20	Portadown	W 4-2	48.3	1128	1163	36.97%	20.91%	42.12%	-0.09	+12.3	9
2021-11-20	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 2-4	48.3	1163	1128	42.12%	20.91%	36.97%	+0.09	-12.3	7
2021-11-23	Crusaders	L 0-2	29.6	1140	1409	13.52%	17.83%	68.65%	-1.31	-5.7	9
2021-11-23	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	29.6	1409	1140	68.65%	17.83%	13.52%	+1.31	+5.7	25
2021-11-26	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-0	25.6	1451	1135	74.86%	15.88%	9.26%	+1.73	+5.6	30
2021-11-26	@ Glentoran	L 0-3	25.6	1135	1451	9.26%	15.88%	74.86%	-1.73	-5.6	9
2021-11-27	Cliftonville	D 0-0	57.5	1491	1431	50.17%	20.61%	29.22%	+0.40	-1.0	29
2021-11-27	@ Coleraine	D 0-0	57.5	1431	1491	29.22%	20.61%	50.17%	-0.40	+1.0	33
2021-11-27	Crusaders	W 2-0	43.7	1293	1415	26.03%	20.34%	53.63%	-0.55	+19.5	16
2021-11-27	@ Ballymena United	L 0-2	43.7	1415	1293	53.63%	20.34%	26.03%	+0.55	-19.5	25
2021-11-27	Larne	D 2-2	62.6	1151	1441	12.26%	17.34%	70.40%	-1.42	+2.0	8
2021-11-27	@ Portadown	D 2-2	62.6	1441	1151	70.40%	17.34%	12.26%	+1.42	-2.0	28
2021-11-27	Linfield	L 0-3	32.5	1308	1510	18.30%	19.17%	62.53%	-0.96	-11.2	13
2021-11-27	@ Glenavon	W 3-0	32.5	1510	1308	62.53%	19.17%	18.30%	+0.96	+11.2	29
2021-11-27	Warrenpoint Town	L 1-2	50.9	1207	1125	52.82%	20.41%	26.76%	+0.51	-9.6	18
2021-11-27	@ Carrick Rangers	W 2-1	50.9	1125	1207	26.76%	20.41%	52.82%	-0.51	+9.6	6
2021-11-30	Ballymena United	L 1-2	41.0	1134	1312	20.38%	19.58%	60.04%	-0.84	-4.3	6
2021-11-30	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 2-1	41.0	1312	1134	60.04%	19.58%	20.38%	+0.84	+4.3	19
2021-11-30	Carrick Rangers	W 2-0	29.0	1521	1197	75.39%	15.69%	8.93%	+1.77	+3.7	32
2021-11-30	@ Linfield	L 0-2	29.0	1197	1521	8.93%	15.69%	75.39%	-1.77	-3.7	18
2021-11-30	Cliftonville	D 1-1	60.3	1439	1432	42.90%	20.90%	36.20%	+0.12	-0.3	29
2021-11-30	@ Larne	D 1-1	60.3	1432	1439	36.20%	20.90%	42.90%	-0.12	+0.3	34
2021-11-30	Glenavon	L 0-2	32.1	1129	1297	21.35%	19.74%	58.91%	-0.78	-8.9	9
2021-11-30	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	32.1	1297	1129	58.91%	19.74%	21.35%	+0.78	+8.9	16
2021-11-30	Portadown	W 2-0	29.4	1395	1153	69.28%	17.66%	13.07%	+1.35	+5.5	28
2021-11-30	@ Crusaders	L 0-2	29.4	1153	1395	13.07%	17.66%	69.28%	-1.35	-5.5	8
2021-12-04	Ballymena United	W 1-0	38.8	1432	1317	56.83%	20.01%	23.16%	+0.69	+5.1	37
2021-12-04	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	38.8	1317	1432	23.16%	20.01%	56.83%	-0.69	-5.1	19
2021-12-04	Crusaders	W 1-0	46.4	1306	1401	29.11%	20.60%	50.30%	-0.41	+9.8	19
2021-12-04	@ Glenavon	L 0-1	46.4	1401	1306	50.30%	20.60%	29.11%	+0.41	-9.8	28
2021-12-04	Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	50.5	1193	1120	51.74%	20.50%	27.77%	+0.47	-9.5	18
2021-12-04	@ Carrick Rangers	W 2-1	50.5	1120	1193	27.77%	20.50%	51.74%	-0.47	+9.4	12
2021-12-04	Linfield	L 1-2	56.7	1490	1525	37.04%	20.91%	42.05%	-0.09	-7.2	29
2021-12-04	@ Coleraine	W 2-1	56.7	1525	1490	42.05%	20.91%	37.04%	+0.09	+7.2	35
2021-12-04	Portadown	W 3-1	34.0	1457	1147	74.38%	16.05%	9.56%	+1.70	+3.5	33
2021-12-04	@ Glentoran	L 1-3	34.0	1147	1457	9.56%	16.05%	74.38%	-1.70	-3.5	8
2021-12-04	Warrenpoint Town	W 3-0	25.6	1438	1130	74.29%	16.09%	9.63%	+1.69	+5.8	32
2021-12-04	@ Larne	L 0-3	25.6	1130	1438	9.63%	16.09%	74.29%	-1.69	-5.9	6
2021-12-10	Larne	W 2-1	54.1	1312	1444	24.86%	20.22%	54.92%	-0.60	+10.0	22
2021-12-10	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	54.1	1444	1312	54.92%	20.22%	24.86%	+0.60	-10.0	32
2021-12-11	Cliftonville	D 1-1	56.8	1144	1437	12.06%	17.26%	70.68%	-1.44	+2.7	9
2021-12-11	@ Portadown	D 1-1	56.8	1437	1144	70.68%	17.26%	12.06%	+1.44	-2.7	38
2021-12-11	Coleraine	W 1-0	50.4	1315	1483	21.31%	19.73%	58.96%	-0.79	+11.3	22
2021-12-11	@ Glenavon	L 0-1	50.4	1483	1315	58.96%	19.73%	21.31%	+0.79	-11.3	29
2021-12-11	Dungannon Swifts	W 4-0	26.0	1391	1130	70.80%	17.22%	11.97%	+1.45	+9.6	31
2021-12-11	@ Crusaders	L 0-4	26.0	1130	1391	11.97%	17.22%	70.80%	-1.45	-9.6	12
2021-12-11	Glentoran	L 0-3	27.7	1184	1460	13.03%	17.65%	69.32%	-1.35	-8.0	18
2021-12-11	@ Carrick Rangers	W 3-0	27.7	1460	1184	69.32%	17.65%	13.03%	+1.35	+8.0	36
2021-12-11	Warrenpoint Town	D 1-1	58.5	1532	1124	80.47%	13.53%	6.00%	+2.21	-3.5	36
2021-12-11	@ Linfield	D 1-1	58.5	1124	1532	6.00%	13.53%	80.47%	-2.21	+3.5	7
2021-12-17	Glenavon	W 2-0	35.1	1468	1327	59.75%	19.62%	20.63%	+0.82	+8.6	39
2021-12-17	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	35.1	1327	1468	20.63%	19.62%	59.75%	-0.82	-8.6	22
2021-12-17	Linfield	L 0-1	46.7	1434	1529	29.21%	20.61%	50.18%	-0.40	-6.2	32
2021-12-17	@ Larne	W 1-0	46.7	1529	1434	50.18%	20.61%	29.21%	+0.40	+6.2	39
2021-12-18	Ballymena United	L 0-2	31.0	1120	1322	18.35%	19.18%	62.48%	-0.96	-7.7	12
2021-12-18	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	31.0	1322	1120	62.48%	19.18%	18.35%	+0.96	+7.7	25
2021-12-18	Carrick Rangers	W 2-0	29.3	1434	1176	70.59%	17.29%	12.12%	+1.43	+5.1	41
2021-12-18	@ Cliftonville	L 0-2	29.3	1176	1434	12.12%	17.29%	70.59%	-1.43	-5.1	18
2021-12-18	Crusaders	D 0-0	56.0	1472	1401	51.54%	20.51%	27.95%	+0.46	-1.2	30
2021-12-18	@ Coleraine	D 0-0	56.0	1401	1472	27.95%	20.51%	51.54%	-0.46	+1.2	32
2021-12-18	Portadown	L 0-1	41.3	1128	1147	39.25%	20.93%	39.82%	-0.01	-8.0	7
2021-12-18	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 1-0	41.3	1147	1128	39.82%	20.93%	39.25%	+0.01	+8.0	12
2021-12-21	Ballymena United	W 1-0	38.7	1535	1329	66.07%	18.45%	15.48%	+1.16	+3.5	42
2021-12-21	@ Linfield	L 0-1	38.7	1329	1535	15.48%	18.45%	66.07%	-1.16	-3.5	25
2021-12-21	Warrenpoint Town	D 2-2	60.7	1112	1120	40.86%	20.93%	38.21%	+0.05	-0.1	13
2021-12-21	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 2-2	60.7	1120	1112	38.21%	20.93%	40.86%	-0.05	+0.1	8
2021-12-22	Glentoran	L 0-2	46.2	1471	1477	41.07%	20.92%	38.01%	+0.06	-15.5	30
2021-12-22	@ Coleraine	W 2-0	46.2	1477	1471	38.01%	20.92%	41.07%	-0.06	+15.5	42
2021-12-27	Coleraine	W 2-1	54.4	1326	1455	25.19%	20.25%	54.56%	-0.59	+9.9	28
2021-12-27	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	54.4	1455	1326	54.56%	20.25%	25.19%	+0.59	-9.9	30
2021-12-27	Glenavon	L 0-1	36.0	1154	1318	21.74%	19.80%	58.46%	-0.76	-4.8	12
2021-12-27	@ Portadown	W 1-0	36.0	1318	1154	58.46%	19.80%	21.74%	+0.76	+4.8	25
2021-12-27	Glentoran	D 1-1	66.0	1538	1492	48.22%	20.72%	31.06%	+0.33	-0.7	43
2021-12-27	@ Linfield	D 1-1	66.0	1492	1538	31.06%	20.72%	48.22%	-0.33	+0.7	43
2021-12-27	Larne	L 1-3	35.9	1171	1428	14.23%	18.07%	67.70%	-1.25	-5.2	18
2021-12-27	@ Carrick Rangers	W 3-1	35.9	1428	1171	67.70%	18.07%	14.23%	+1.25	+5.2	35
2022-01-01	Carrick Rangers	D 0-0	52.0	1402	1165	68.77%	17.79%	13.44%	+1.32	-2.9	33
2022-01-01	@ Crusaders	D 0-0	52.0	1165	1402	13.44%	17.79%	68.77%	-1.32	+2.9	19
2022-01-01	Cliftonville	L 0-2	36.5	1323	1440	26.60%	20.40%	53.01%	-0.52	-10.9	25
2022-01-01	@ Glenavon	W 2-0	36.5	1440	1323	53.01%	20.40%	26.60%	+0.52	+10.9	44
2022-01-01	Larne	L 2-3	62.4	1493	1433	50.09%	20.61%	29.30%	+0.40	-8.7	43
2022-01-01	@ Glentoran	W 3-2	62.4	1433	1493	29.30%	20.61%	50.09%	-0.40	+8.7	38
2022-01-01	Linfield	L 1-6	27.5	1112	1538	6.48%	13.95%	79.58%	-2.12	-5.1	13
2022-01-01	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 6-1	27.5	1538	1112	79.58%	13.95%	6.48%	+2.12	+5.1	46
2022-01-01	Portadown	W 4-0	27.8	1336	1150	64.25%	18.84%	16.91%	+1.05	+13.6	31
2022-01-01	@ Ballymena United	L 0-4	27.8	1150	1336	16.91%	18.84%	64.25%	-1.05	-13.6	12
2022-01-04	Crusaders	L 0-2	45.3	1450	1399	48.97%	20.68%	30.35%	+0.36	-18.0	44
2022-01-04	@ Cliftonville	W 2-0	45.3	1399	1450	30.35%	20.68%	48.97%	-0.36	+18.0	36
2022-01-11	Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	48.2	1120	1107	43.73%	20.88%	35.39%	+0.15	-8.2	8
2022-01-11	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 2-1	48.2	1107	1120	35.39%	20.88%	43.73%	-0.15	+8.2	16
2022-01-15	Ballymena United	W 1-0	39.8	1543	1349	64.94%	18.70%	16.36%	+1.09	+3.7	49
2022-01-15	@ Linfield	L 0-1	39.8	1349	1543	16.36%	18.70%	64.94%	-1.09	-3.7	31
2022-01-15	Coleraine	D 0-0	52.3	1136	1445	11.20%	16.88%	71.92%	-1.52	+3.2	13
2022-01-15	@ Portadown	D 0-0	52.3	1445	1136	71.92%	16.88%	11.20%	+1.52	-3.2	31
2022-01-15	Crusaders	L 0-1	32.3	1112	1417	11.42%	16.98%	71.60%	-1.50	-2.6	8
2022-01-15	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 1-0	32.3	1417	1112	71.60%	16.98%	11.42%	+1.50	+2.6	39
2022-01-15	Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	51.2	1442	1115	75.55%	15.63%	8.83%	+1.79	-14.1	38
2022-01-15	@ Larne	W 1-0	51.2	1115	1442	8.83%	15.63%	75.55%	-1.79	+14.0	19
2022-01-15	Glenavon	D 2-2	61.3	1168	1312	23.70%	20.08%	56.22%	-0.66	+1.1	20
2022-01-15	@ Carrick Rangers	D 2-2	61.3	1312	1168	56.22%	20.08%	23.70%	+0.66	-1.1	26
2022-01-17	Glentoran	L 1-2	52.4	1432	1485	34.60%	20.86%	44.53%	-0.18	-6.8	44
2022-01-17	@ Cliftonville	W 2-1	52.4	1485	1432	44.53%	20.86%	34.60%	+0.18	+6.8	46
2022-01-21	Cliftonville	L 0-1	47.1	1428	1426	42.25%	20.91%	36.84%	+0.10	-8.4	38
2022-01-21	@ Larne	W 1-0	47.1	1426	1428	36.84%	20.91%	42.25%	-0.10	+8.4	47
2022-01-21	Glentoran	L 1-2	51.4	1419	1491	32.01%	20.77%	47.22%	-0.29	-6.4	39
2022-01-21	@ Crusaders	W 2-1	51.4	1491	1419	47.22%	20.77%	32.01%	+0.29	+6.4	49
2022-01-22	Carrick Rangers	W 3-0	26.7	1442	1169	71.70%	16.95%	11.35%	+1.51	+7.0	34
2022-01-22	@ Coleraine	L 0-3	26.7	1169	1442	11.35%	16.95%	71.70%	-1.51	-7.0	20
2022-01-22	Glenavon	W 2-0	34.0	1546	1311	68.69%	17.81%	13.49%	+1.31	+5.7	52
2022-01-22	@ Linfield	L 0-2	34.0	1311	1546	13.49%	17.81%	68.69%	-1.31	-5.7	26
2022-01-22	Portadown	W 3-1	43.2	1129	1139	40.52%	20.93%	38.55%	+0.04	+12.8	22
2022-01-22	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 1-3	43.2	1139	1129	38.55%	20.93%	40.52%	-0.04	-12.8	13
2022-01-22	Warrenpoint Town	W 1-0	32.9	1346	1109	68.78%	17.79%	13.43%	+1.32	+3.0	34
2022-01-22	@ Ballymena United	L 0-1	32.9	1109	1346	13.43%	17.79%	68.78%	-1.32	-3.0	8
2022-01-25	Ballymena United	W 3-0	41.8	1162	1349	19.64%	19.44%	60.91%	-0.88	+31.8	23
2022-01-25	@ Carrick Rangers	L 0-3	41.8	1349	1162	60.91%	19.44%	19.64%	+0.88	-31.8	34
2022-01-25	Coleraine	W 2-1	52.2	1498	1449	48.57%	20.70%	30.73%	+0.34	+6.1	52
2022-01-25	@ Glentoran	L 1-2	52.2	1449	1498	30.73%	20.70%	48.57%	-0.34	-6.2	34
2022-01-25	Crusaders	L 0-1	32.7	1126	1413	12.44%	17.42%	70.14%	-1.40	-2.8	13
2022-01-25	@ Portadown	W 1-0	32.7	1413	1126	70.14%	17.42%	12.44%	+1.40	+2.8	42
2022-01-25	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-1	37.0	1305	1142	61.97%	19.27%	18.77%	+0.93	+6.9	29
2022-01-25	@ Glenavon	L 1-3	37.0	1142	1305	18.77%	19.27%	61.97%	-0.93	-6.9	22
2022-01-25	Larne	L 0-3	26.1	1106	1419	10.99%	16.79%	72.22%	-1.54	-6.7	8
2022-01-25	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 3-0	26.1	1419	1106	72.22%	16.79%	10.99%	+1.54	+6.7	41
2022-01-25	Linfield	D 2-2	70.3	1434	1552	26.46%	20.38%	53.15%	-0.53	+0.9	48
2022-01-25	@ Cliftonville	D 2-2	70.3	1552	1434	53.15%	20.38%	26.46%	+0.53	-0.9	53
2022-01-28	Cliftonville	D 2-2	63.5	1317	1435	26.45%	20.38%	53.17%	-0.53	+0.9	35
2022-01-28	@ Ballymena United	D 2-2	63.5	1435	1317	53.17%	20.38%	26.45%	+0.53	-0.9	49
2022-01-29	Carrick Rangers	W 3-2	53.9	1135	1194	33.71%	20.83%	45.46%	-0.22	+8.0	25
2022-01-29	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 2-3	53.9	1194	1135	45.46%	20.83%	33.71%	+0.22	-8.0	23
2022-01-29	Glenavon	L 0-1	48.2	1416	1312	55.50%	20.16%	24.34%	+0.63	-10.7	42
2022-01-29	@ Crusaders	W 1-0	48.2	1312	1416	24.34%	20.16%	55.50%	-0.63	+10.7	32
2022-01-29	Linfield	W 3-0	48.7	1443	1551	27.59%	20.48%	51.93%	-0.47	+27.5	37
2022-01-29	@ Coleraine	L 0-3	48.7	1551	1443	51.93%	20.48%	27.59%	+0.47	-27.5	53
2022-01-29	Portadown	W 4-0	25.2	1426	1124	73.88%	16.23%	9.89%	+1.66	+7.9	44
2022-01-29	@ Larne	L 0-4	25.2	1124	1426	9.89%	16.23%	73.88%	-1.66	-7.9	13
2022-01-29	Warrenpoint Town	W 1-0	30.1	1504	1099	80.28%	13.62%	6.10%	+2.19	+1.3	55
2022-01-29	@ Glentoran	L 0-1	30.1	1099	1504	6.10%	13.62%	80.28%	-2.19	-1.3	8
2022-02-05	Warrenpoint Town	D 2-2	61.8	1323	1098	67.76%	18.05%	14.19%	+1.25	-1.8	33
2022-02-05	@ Glenavon	D 2-2	61.8	1098	1323	14.19%	18.05%	67.76%	-1.25	+1.9	9
2022-02-08	Cliftonville	L 2-3	45.0	1186	1434	14.87%	18.27%	66.86%	-1.20	-3.0	23
2022-02-08	@ Carrick Rangers	W 3-2	45.0	1434	1186	66.86%	18.27%	14.87%	+1.20	+3.0	52
2022-02-08	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	27.9	1471	1143	75.59%	15.61%	8.80%	+1.79	+3.7	40
2022-02-08	@ Coleraine	L 0-2	27.9	1143	1471	8.80%	15.61%	75.59%	-1.79	-3.7	25
2022-02-08	Glentoran	D 1-1	57.8	1116	1505	7.69%	14.88%	77.43%	-1.94	+3.3	14
2022-02-08	@ Portadown	D 1-1	57.8	1505	1116	77.43%	14.88%	7.69%	+1.94	-3.3	56
2022-02-08	Larne	W 2-1	51.0	1524	1434	53.79%	20.33%	25.88%	+0.55	+5.3	56
2022-02-08	@ Linfield	L 1-2	51.0	1434	1524	25.88%	20.33%	53.79%	-0.55	-5.3	44
2022-02-11	Linfield	W 1-0	52.9	1502	1529	38.07%	20.93%	41.01%	-0.05	+8.2	59
2022-02-11	@ Glentoran	L 0-1	52.9	1529	1502	41.01%	20.93%	38.07%	+0.05	-8.2	56
2022-02-12	Carrick Rangers	W 4-2	50.2	1100	1183	30.58%	20.69%	48.73%	-0.35	+13.9	12
2022-02-12	@ Warrenpoint Town	L 2-4	50.2	1183	1100	48.73%	20.69%	30.58%	+0.35	-13.9	23
2022-02-12	Coleraine	W 2-0	45.3	1437	1474	36.64%	20.91%	42.45%	-0.11	+16.0	55
2022-02-12	@ Cliftonville	L 0-2	45.3	1474	1437	42.45%	20.91%	36.64%	+0.11	-16.0	40
2022-02-12	Crusaders	L 1-2	53.0	1429	1405	45.21%	20.84%	33.95%	+0.21	-8.4	44
2022-02-12	@ Larne	W 2-1	53.0	1405	1429	33.95%	20.84%	45.21%	-0.21	+8.4	45
2022-02-12	Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	34.5	1318	1140	63.47%	18.99%	17.53%	+1.01	+3.9	38
2022-02-12	@ Ballymena United	L 0-1	34.5	1140	1318	17.53%	18.99%	63.47%	-1.01	-3.9	25
2022-02-12	Portadown	W 3-0	27.8	1321	1119	65.72%	18.53%	15.75%	+1.14	+9.7	36
2022-02-12	@ Glenavon	L 0-3	27.8	1119	1321	15.75%	18.53%	65.72%	-1.14	-9.7	14
2022-02-15	Glenavon	D 0-0	53.0	1414	1330	53.00%	20.40%	26.60%	+0.52	-1.3	46
2022-02-15	@ Crusaders	D 0-0	53.0	1330	1414	26.60%	20.40%	53.00%	-0.52	+1.3	37
2022-02-15	Warrenpoint Town	W 2-1	36.5	1458	1114	76.71%	15.17%	8.12%	+1.88	+1.7	43
2022-02-15	@ Coleraine	L 1-2	36.5	1114	1458	8.12%	15.17%	76.71%	-1.88	-1.7	12
2022-02-18	Glentoran	W 2-1	57.3	1420	1510	29.77%	20.64%	49.59%	-0.38	+9.1	47
2022-02-18	@ Larne	L 1-2	57.3	1510	1420	49.59%	20.64%	29.77%	+0.38	-9.1	59
2022-02-19	Carrick Rangers	W 2-1	38.8	1412	1169	69.33%	17.65%	13.03%	+1.35	+2.8	49
2022-02-19	@ Crusaders	L 1-2	38.8	1169	1412	13.03%	17.65%	69.33%	-1.35	-2.8	23
2022-02-19	Glenavon	D 3-3	66.0	1322	1332	40.49%	20.93%	38.58%	+0.03	-0.0	39
2022-02-19	@ Ballymena United	D 3-3	66.0	1332	1322	38.58%	20.93%	40.49%	-0.03	+0.0	38
2022-02-19	Portadown	W 1-0	30.2	1521	1109	80.66%	13.44%	5.90%	+2.23	+1.3	59
2022-02-19	@ Linfield	L 0-1	30.2	1109	1521	5.90%	13.44%	80.66%	-2.23	-1.2	14
2022-02-22	Warrenpoint Town	W 1-0	31.0	1453	1112	76.48%	15.26%	8.26%	+1.86	+1.8	58
2022-02-22	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	31.0	1112	1453	8.26%	15.26%	76.48%	-1.86	-1.8	12
2022-02-26	Ballymena United	D 1-1	58.5	1460	1322	59.39%	19.67%	20.94%	+0.81	-1.7	44
2022-02-26	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	58.5	1322	1460	20.94%	19.67%	59.39%	-0.81	+1.7	40
2022-02-26	Crusaders	W 3-1	46.6	1455	1415	47.41%	20.76%	31.83%	+0.29	+11.0	61
2022-02-26	@ Cliftonville	L 1-3	46.6	1415	1455	31.83%	20.76%	47.41%	-0.29	-11.0	49
2022-02-26	Glentoran	L 2-4	46.0	1332	1501	21.19%	19.72%	59.09%	-0.79	-6.9	38
2022-02-26	@ Glenavon	W 4-2	46.0	1501	1332	59.09%	19.72%	21.19%	+0.79	+6.9	62
2022-02-26	Larne	L 0-2	29.0	1136	1429	12.04%	17.25%	70.70%	-1.44	-5.1	25
2022-02-26	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	29.0	1429	1136	70.70%	17.25%	12.04%	+1.44	+5.1	50
2022-02-26	Warrenpoint Town	W 1-0	40.8	1108	1110	41.61%	20.92%	37.47%	+0.08	+7.7	17
2022-02-26	@ Portadown	L 0-1	40.8	1110	1108	37.47%	20.92%	41.61%	-0.08	-7.7	12
2022-03-01	Larne	D 1-1	61.0	1458	1434	45.24%	20.84%	33.91%	+0.21	-0.5	45
2022-03-01	@ Coleraine	D 1-1	61.0	1434	1458	33.91%	20.84%	45.24%	-0.21	+0.5	51
2022-03-04	Linfield	L 1-2	37.9	1167	1522	9.03%	15.75%	75.23%	-1.76	-1.9	23
2022-03-04	@ Carrick Rangers	W 2-1	37.9	1522	1167	75.23%	15.75%	9.03%	+1.76	+1.9	62
2022-03-08	Cliftonville	L 0-1	52.7	1508	1466	47.73%	20.74%	31.53%	+0.31	-9.3	62
2022-03-08	@ Glentoran	W 1-0	52.7	1466	1508	31.53%	20.74%	47.73%	-0.31	+9.3	64
2022-03-08	Coleraine	W 1-0	48.1	1404	1458	34.41%	20.86%	44.74%	-0.19	+8.8	52
2022-03-08	@ Crusaders	L 0-1	48.1	1458	1404	44.74%	20.86%	34.41%	+0.19	-8.8	45
2022-03-08	Dungannon Swifts	L 2-3	51.6	1103	1131	37.94%	20.92%	41.13%	-0.06	-6.9	12
2022-03-08	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 3-2	51.6	1131	1103	41.13%	20.92%	37.94%	+0.06	+6.9	28
2022-03-08	Glenavon	D 1-1	57.9	1435	1325	56.21%	20.08%	23.71%	+0.66	-1.4	52
2022-03-08	@ Larne	D 1-1	57.9	1325	1435	23.71%	20.08%	56.21%	-0.66	+1.4	39
2022-03-08	Linfield	L 0-2	35.6	1323	1524	18.43%	19.20%	62.37%	-0.96	-7.8	40
2022-03-08	@ Ballymena United	W 2-0	35.6	1524	1323	62.37%	19.20%	18.43%	+0.96	+7.8	65
2022-03-08	Portadown	D 2-2	60.8	1165	1116	48.63%	20.70%	30.68%	+0.34	-0.6	24
2022-03-08	@ Carrick Rangers	D 2-2	60.8	1116	1165	30.68%	20.70%	48.63%	-0.34	+0.6	18
2022-03-11	Crusaders	W 3-2	54.7	1532	1413	57.20%	19.96%	22.84%	+0.70	+4.5	68
2022-03-11	@ Linfield	L 2-3	54.7	1413	1532	22.84%	19.96%	57.20%	-0.70	-4.5	52
2022-03-12	Ballymena United	W 1-0	47.9	1116	1316	18.54%	19.22%	62.24%	-0.95	+11.9	21
2022-03-12	@ Portadown	L 0-1	47.9	1316	1116	62.24%	19.22%	18.54%	+0.95	-11.8	40
2022-03-12	Carrick Rangers	W 2-0	31.3	1326	1164	61.90%	19.28%	18.82%	+0.93	+7.9	42
2022-03-12	@ Glenavon	L 0-2	31.3	1164	1326	18.82%	19.28%	61.90%	-0.93	-7.9	24
2022-03-12	Glentoran	L 0-1	31.7	1138	1498	8.80%	15.61%	75.60%	-1.79	-1.9	28
2022-03-12	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	31.7	1498	1138	75.60%	15.61%	8.80%	+1.79	+1.9	65
2022-03-15	Ballymena United	W 2-1	44.1	1408	1304	55.60%	20.15%	24.25%	+0.63	+5.0	55
2022-03-15	@ Crusaders	L 1-2	44.1	1304	1408	24.25%	20.15%	55.60%	-0.63	-5.0	40
2022-03-18	Larne	D 1-1	56.7	1156	1434	12.98%	17.63%	69.39%	-1.35	+2.6	25
2022-03-18	@ Carrick Rangers	D 1-1	56.7	1434	1156	69.39%	17.63%	12.98%	+1.35	-2.6	53
2022-03-19	Cliftonville	L 0-2	36.6	1334	1475	24.00%	20.12%	55.89%	-0.64	-9.9	42
2022-03-19	@ Glenavon	W 2-0	36.6	1475	1334	55.89%	20.12%	24.00%	+0.64	+9.9	67
2022-03-19	Coleraine	W 2-0	47.1	1128	1449	10.62%	16.61%	72.77%	-1.58	+25.7	24
2022-03-19	@ Portadown	L 0-2	47.1	1449	1128	72.77%	16.61%	10.62%	+1.58	-25.7	45
2022-03-19	Dungannon Swifts	W 5-0	24.9	1536	1136	80.07%	13.72%	6.21%	+2.17	+5.9	71
2022-03-19	@ Linfield	L 0-5	24.9	1136	1536	6.21%	13.72%	80.07%	-2.17	-5.9	28
2022-03-19	Glentoran	D 1-1	59.0	1299	1500	18.33%	19.17%	62.50%	-0.96	+2.0	41
2022-03-19	@ Ballymena United	D 1-1	59.0	1500	1299	62.50%	19.17%	18.33%	+0.96	-2.0	66
2022-03-19	Warrenpoint Town	W 2-1	36.8	1413	1096	74.94%	15.85%	9.21%	+1.74	+1.9	58
2022-03-19	@ Crusaders	L 1-2	36.8	1096	1413	9.21%	15.85%	74.94%	-1.74	-1.9	12
2022-03-22	Cliftonville	L 0-1	31.7	1130	1485	9.03%	15.75%	75.22%	-1.76	-2.0	28
2022-03-22	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	31.7	1485	1130	75.22%	15.75%	9.03%	+1.76	+2.0	70
2022-03-22	Coleraine	L 2-5	33.5	1094	1423	10.20%	16.40%	73.40%	-1.62	-4.5	12
2022-03-22	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 5-2	33.5	1423	1094	73.40%	16.40%	10.20%	+1.62	+4.5	48
2022-03-25	Ballymena United	L 1-3	51.2	1431	1301	58.50%	19.80%	21.71%	+0.76	-18.3	53
2022-03-25	@ Larne	W 3-1	51.2	1301	1431	21.71%	19.80%	58.50%	-0.76	+18.3	44
2022-03-26	Crusaders	L 2-4	38.8	1128	1415	12.38%	17.39%	70.22%	-1.41	-4.1	28
2022-03-26	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 4-2	38.8	1415	1128	70.22%	17.39%	12.38%	+1.41	+4.1	61
2022-03-26	Glenavon	L 2-3	59.3	1428	1324	55.43%	20.16%	24.40%	+0.62	-9.5	48
2022-03-26	@ Coleraine	W 3-2	59.3	1324	1428	24.40%	20.16%	55.43%	-0.62	+9.5	45
2022-03-26	Linfield	L 1-2	35.6	1089	1542	5.68%	13.24%	81.08%	-2.27	-1.1	12
2022-03-26	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 2-1	35.6	1542	1089	81.08%	13.24%	5.68%	+2.27	+1.1	74
2022-03-28	Carrick Rangers	W 6-2	30.8	1498	1159	76.41%	15.29%	8.30%	+1.85	+4.6	69
2022-03-28	@ Glentoran	L 2-6	30.8	1159	1498	8.30%	15.29%	76.41%	-1.85	-4.6	25
2022-04-05	Cliftonville	L 0-2	28.7	1154	1487	10.02%	16.30%	73.67%	-1.64	-4.2	24
2022-04-05	@ Portadown	W 2-0	28.7	1487	1154	73.67%	16.30%	10.02%	+1.64	+4.2	73

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2022-04-08	Coleraine	W 3-0	39.2	1413	1418	41.14%	20.92%	37.94%	+0.06	+21.2	3
2022-04-08	@ Larne	L 0-3	39.2	1418	1413	37.94%	20.92%	41.14%	-0.06	-21.2	0
2022-04-09	Ballymena United	W 3-1	43.5	1334	1319	44.03%	20.88%	35.09%	+0.16	+11.9	3
2022-04-09	@ Glenavon	L 1-3	43.5	1319	1334	35.09%	20.88%	44.03%	-0.16	-11.9	0
2022-04-09	Crusaders	L 0-4	45.9	1503	1419	53.05%	20.39%	26.56%	+0.52	-36.7	0
2022-04-09	@ Glentoran	W 4-0	45.9	1419	1503	26.56%	20.39%	53.05%	-0.52	+36.6	3
2022-04-09	Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	39.4	1154	1124	46.16%	20.81%	33.03%	+0.25	+6.9	3
2022-04-09	@ Carrick Rangers	L 0-1	39.4	1124	1154	33.03%	20.81%	46.16%	-0.25	-6.9	0
2022-04-09	Linfield	D 0-0	61.6	1491	1543	34.64%	20.86%	44.49%	-0.18	+0.5	1
2022-04-09	@ Cliftonville	D 0-0	61.6	1543	1491	44.49%	20.86%	34.64%	+0.18	-0.5	1
2022-04-09	Warrenpoint Town	L 0-1	44.5	1150	1088	50.27%	20.60%	29.13%	+0.41	-9.8	0
2022-04-09	@ Portadown	W 1-0	44.5	1088	1150	29.13%	20.60%	50.27%	-0.41	+9.8	3
2022-04-15	Glentoran	D 1-1	65.3	1543	1466	52.14%	20.47%	27.39%	+0.48	-1.1	2
2022-04-15	@ Linfield	D 1-1	65.3	1466	1543	27.39%	20.47%	52.14%	-0.48	+1.1	1
2022-04-16	Carrick Rangers	L 1-2	45.0	1098	1161	33.15%	20.81%	46.04%	-0.24	-6.5	3
2022-04-16	@ Warrenpoint Town	W 2-1	45.0	1161	1098	46.04%	20.81%	33.15%	+0.24	+6.5	6
2022-04-16	Crusaders	L 1-4	43.7	1397	1456	33.68%	20.83%	45.49%	-0.22	-16.2	0
2022-04-16	@ Coleraine	W 4-1	43.7	1456	1397	45.49%	20.83%	33.68%	+0.22	+16.2	6
2022-04-16	Glenavon	W 3-2	59.4	1117	1346	16.20%	18.66%	65.14%	-1.10	+11.0	3
2022-04-16	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 2-3	59.4	1346	1117	65.14%	18.66%	16.20%	+1.10	-11.0	3
2022-04-16	Larne	D 0-0	57.7	1492	1434	49.80%	20.63%	29.57%	+0.39	-1.0	2
2022-04-16	@ Cliftonville	D 0-0	57.7	1434	1492	29.57%	20.63%	49.80%	-0.39	+1.0	4
2022-04-16	Portadown	W 2-1	40.3	1307	1140	62.40%	19.19%	18.41%	+0.96	+3.9	3
2022-04-16	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	40.3	1140	1307	18.41%	19.19%	62.40%	-0.96	-3.9	0
2022-04-19	Cliftonville	L 1-2	48.6	1381	1491	27.38%	20.47%	52.16%	-0.48	-5.6	0
2022-04-19	@ Coleraine	W 2-1	48.6	1491	1381	52.16%	20.47%	27.38%	+0.48	+5.6	5
2022-04-19	Dungannon Swifts	D 0-0	50.4	1136	1128	43.09%	20.90%	36.02%	+0.13	-0.3	1
2022-04-19	@ Portadown	D 0-0	50.4	1128	1136	36.02%	20.90%	43.09%	-0.13	+0.3	4
2022-04-19	Glenavon	L 0-1	36.0	1168	1335	21.39%	19.75%	58.87%	-0.78	-4.7	6
2022-04-19	@ Carrick Rangers	W 1-0	36.0	1335	1168	58.87%	19.75%	21.39%	+0.78	+4.7	6
2022-04-19	Larne	D 0-0	56.8	1467	1435	46.46%	20.80%	32.74%	+0.26	-0.7	2
2022-04-19	@ Glentoran	D 0-0	56.8	1435	1467	32.74%	20.80%	46.46%	-0.26	+0.7	5
2022-04-19	Linfield	L 1-2	55.2	1472	1542	32.36%	20.78%	46.86%	-0.27	-6.4	6
2022-04-19	@ Crusaders	W 2-1	55.2	1542	1472	46.86%	20.78%	32.36%	+0.27	+6.4	5
2022-04-19	Warrenpoint Town	L 0-1	49.0	1311	1091	67.33%	18.16%	14.51%	+1.23	-12.7	3
2022-04-19	@ Ballymena United	W 1-0	49.0	1091	1311	14.51%	18.16%	67.33%	-1.23	+12.7	6
2022-04-23	Carrick Rangers	W 3-0	29.8	1298	1163	59.07%	19.72%	21.22%	+0.79	+12.9	6
2022-04-23	@ Ballymena United	L 0-3	29.8	1163	1298	21.22%	19.72%	59.07%	-0.79	-12.9	6
2022-04-23	Cliftonville	D 3-3	73.2	1466	1496	37.61%	20.92%	41.47%	-0.07	+0.1	7
2022-04-23	@ Crusaders	D 3-3	73.2	1496	1466	41.47%	20.92%	37.61%	+0.07	-0.1	6
2022-04-23	Glentoran	W 3-2	59.7	1375	1467	29.55%	20.63%	49.82%	-0.39	+8.7	3
2022-04-23	@ Coleraine	L 2-3	59.7	1467	1375	49.82%	20.63%	29.55%	+0.39	-8.7	2
2022-04-23	Larne	D 0-0	59.9	1548	1435	56.50%	20.05%	23.46%	+0.67	-1.6	6
2022-04-23	@ Linfield	D 0-0	59.9	1435	1548	23.46%	20.05%	56.50%	-0.67	+1.6	6
2022-04-23	Portadown	W 1-0	33.8	1339	1136	65.91%	18.49%	15.60%	+1.15	+3.5	9
2022-04-23	@ Glenavon	L 0-1	33.8	1136	1339	15.60%	18.49%	65.91%	-1.15	-3.5	1
2022-04-23	Warrenpoint Town	W 2-0	36.0	1128	1104	45.28%	20.84%	33.87%	+0.21	+13.3	7
2022-04-23	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-2	36.0	1104	1128	33.87%	20.84%	45.28%	-0.21	-13.3	6
2022-04-30	Ballymena United	L 1-2	41.3	1141	1311	21.15%	19.71%	59.14%	-0.79	-4.4	7
2022-04-30	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	41.3	1311	1141	59.14%	19.71%	21.15%	+0.79	+4.4	9
2022-04-30	Carrick Rangers	L 0-5	35.5	1132	1150	39.39%	20.93%	39.68%	-0.01	-35.2	1
2022-04-30	@ Portadown	W 5-0	35.5	1150	1132	39.68%	20.93%	39.39%	+0.01	+35.2	9
2022-04-30	Cliftonville	L 1-2	54.3	1458	1496	36.53%	20.91%	42.56%	-0.11	-7.1	2
2022-04-30	@ Glentoran	W 2-1	54.3	1496	1458	42.56%	20.91%	36.53%	+0.11	+7.1	9
2022-04-30	Coleraine	W 2-0	38.4	1546	1384	61.91%	19.28%	18.81%	+0.93	+7.9	9
2022-04-30	@ Linfield	L 0-2	38.4	1384	1546	18.81%	19.28%	61.91%	-0.93	-7.9	3
2022-04-30	Larne	L 1-2	55.3	1466	1437	45.95%	20.82%	33.23%	+0.24	-8.5	7
2022-04-30	@ Crusaders	W 2-1	55.3	1437	1466	33.23%	20.82%	45.95%	-0.24	+8.5	9
2022-04-30	Warrenpoint Town	L 1-2	55.3	1343	1091	70.07%	17.44%	12.49%	+1.40	-12.4	9
2022-04-30	@ Glenavon	W 2-1	55.3	1091	1343	12.49%	17.44%	70.07%	-1.40	+12.4	9

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2022-01-15	8.83%	Dungannon Swifts	1115	1	@ Larne	1442	0
2	2022-03-19	10.62%	@ Portadown	1128	2	Coleraine	1449	0
3	2022-04-30	12.49%	Warrenpoint Town	1091	2	@ Glenavon	1343	1
4	2022-04-19	14.51%	Warrenpoint Town	1091	1	@ Ballymena United	1311	0
5	2022-04-16	16.20%	@ Dungannon Swifts	1117	3	Glenavon	1346	2
6	2021-09-11	17.21%	Carrick Rangers	1174	4	@ Glenavon	1356	0
7	2022-03-12	18.54%	@ Portadown	1116	1	Ballymena United	1316	0
8	2022-01-25	19.64%	@ Carrick Rangers	1162	3	Ballymena United	1349	0
9	2021-12-11	21.31%	@ Glenavon	1315	1	Coleraine	1483	0
10	2021-08-28	21.54%	@ Warrenpoint Town	1204	2	Ballymena United	1369	1
11	2022-03-25	21.71%	Ballymena United	1301	3	@ Larne	1431	1
12	2021-11-20	23.93%	Carrick Rangers	1196	1	@ Ballymena United	1304	0
13	2022-01-29	24.34%	Glenavon	1312	1	@ Crusaders	1416	0
14	2022-03-26	24.40%	Glenavon	1324	3	@ Coleraine	1428	2
15	2021-12-10	24.86%	@ Ballymena United	1312	2	Larne	1444	1
16	2021-12-27	25.19%	@ Ballymena United	1326	2	Coleraine	1455	1
17	2021-11-27	26.03%	@ Ballymena United	1293	2	Crusaders	1415	0
18	2022-04-09	26.56%	Crusaders	1419	4	@ Glentoran	1503	0
19	2021-11-27	26.76%	Warrenpoint Town	1125	2	@ Carrick Rangers	1207	1
20	2021-09-25	26.92%	Dungannon Swifts	1113	4	@ Portadown	1193	1
21	2021-11-13	26.93%	@ Crusaders	1400	2	Linfield	1513	1
22	2021-09-25	27.38%	Crusaders	1381	3	@ Glentoran	1457	0
23	2022-01-29	27.59%	@ Coleraine	1443	3	Linfield	1551	0
24	2021-12-04	27.77%	Dungannon Swifts	1120	2	@ Carrick Rangers	1193	1
25	2021-10-02	27.86%	@ Carrick Rangers	1227	2	Ballymena United	1333	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-09-11	43.41	Carrick Rangers	4	1174	17.21%	@ Glenavon	0	1356	63.87%	18.92%
2	2022-04-09	36.65	Crusaders	4	1419	26.56%	@ Glentoran	0	1503	53.05%	20.39%
3	2022-04-30	35.17	Carrick Rangers	5	1150	39.68%	@ Portadown	0	1132	39.39%	20.93%
4	2022-01-25	31.82	@ Carrick Rangers	3	1162	19.64%	Ballymena United	0	1349	60.91%	19.44%
5	2021-09-25	27.63	Crusaders	3	1381	27.38%	@ Glentoran	0	1457	52.16%	20.47%
6	2022-01-29	27.53	@ Coleraine	3	1443	27.59%	Linfield	0	1551	51.93%	20.48%
7	2022-03-19	25.70	@ Portadown	2	1128	10.62%	Coleraine	0	1449	72.77%	16.61%
8	2021-09-25	23.51	Dungannon Swifts	4	1113	26.92%	@ Portadown	1	1193	52.66%	20.42%
9	2022-04-08	21.20	@ Larne	3	1413	41.14%	Coleraine	0	1418	37.94%	20.92%
10	2021-09-04	19.98	Glenavon	6	1336	54.66%	@ Warrenpoint Town	1	1206	25.10%	20.24%
11	2021-09-28	19.81	Linfield	3	1480	44.26%	@ Glentoran	0	1429	34.87%	20.87%
12	2021-11-27	19.51	@ Ballymena United	2	1293	26.03%	Crusaders	0	1415	53.63%	20.34%
13	2021-11-13	19.24	@ Glentoran	4	1424	55.19%	Ballymena United	0	1323	24.62%	20.19%
14	2021-10-22	18.77	@ Dungannon Swifts	2	1123	28.11%	Carrick Rangers	0	1227	51.36%	20.53%
15	2022-03-25	18.27	Ballymena United	3	1301	21.71%	@ Larne	1	1431	58.50%	19.80%
16	2022-01-04	18.01	Crusaders	2	1399	30.35%	@ Cliftonville	0	1450	48.97%	20.68%
17	2021-10-30	17.20	Larne	3	1424	49.95%	@ Ballymena United	0	1332	29.43%	20.62%
18	2021-08-31	17.15	@ Crusaders	4	1354	58.55%	Portadown	0	1224	21.66%	19.79%
19	2022-04-16	16.23	Crusaders	4	1456	45.49%	@ Coleraine	1	1397	33.68%	20.83%
20	2022-02-12	15.97	@ Cliftonville	2	1437	36.64%	Coleraine	0	1474	42.45%	20.91%
21	2021-12-22	15.55	Glentoran	2	1477	38.01%	@ Coleraine	0	1471	41.07%	20.92%
22	2021-09-25	14.72	@ Coleraine	3	1446	55.23%	Ballymena United	0	1344	24.59%	20.19%
23	2022-01-15	14.05	Dungannon Swifts	1	1115	8.83%	@ Larne	0	1442	75.55%	15.63%
24	2022-02-12	13.89	@ Warrenpoint Town	4	1100	30.58%	Carrick Rangers	2	1183	48.73%	20.69%
25	2021-09-10	13.62	@ Glentoran	4	1435	52.19%	Ballymena United	1	1359	27.35%	20.46%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2022-04-23	73.2	@ Crusaders	3	1466	37.61%	Cliftonville	3	1496	41.47%	20.92%
2	2022-01-25	70.3	@ Cliftonville	2	1434	26.46%	Linfield	2	1552	53.15%	20.38%
3	2021-10-16	66.7	@ Glentoran	2	1415	34.00%	Coleraine	2	1472	45.15%	20.84%
4	2021-12-27	66.0	@ Linfield	1	1538	48.22%	Glentoran	1	1492	31.06%	20.72%
5	2022-02-19	66.0	@ Ballymena United	3	1322	40.49%	Glenavon	3	1332	38.58%	20.93%
6	2022-04-15	65.3	@ Linfield	1	1543	52.14%	Glentoran	1	1466	27.39%	20.47%
7	2022-01-28	63.5	@ Ballymena United	2	1317	26.45%	Cliftonville	2	1435	53.17%	20.38%
8	2021-10-25	62.6	@ Larne	1	1424	29.75%	Linfield	1	1513	49.60%	20.64%
9	2021-11-27	62.6	@ Portadown	2	1151	12.26%	Larne	2	1441	70.40%	17.34%
10	2021-10-23	62.5	@ Glentoran	2	1416	69.40%	Portadown	2	1172	12.98%	17.63%
11	2022-01-01	62.4	Larne	3	1433	29.30%	@ Glentoran	2	1493	50.09%	20.61%
12	2021-09-18	62.2	@ Linfield	1	1482	47.01%	Coleraine	1	1445	32.21%	20.78%
13	2021-10-01	61.8	@ Linfield	1	1499	53.52%	Cliftonville	1	1412	26.13%	20.35%
14	2022-02-05	61.8	@ Glenavon	2	1323	67.76%	Warrenpoint Town	2	1098	14.19%	18.05%
15	2022-04-09	61.6	@ Cliftonville	0	1491	34.64%	Linfield	0	1543	44.49%	20.86%
16	2022-01-15	61.3	@ Carrick Rangers	2	1168	23.70%	Glenavon	2	1312	56.22%	20.08%
17	2022-03-01	61.0	@ Coleraine	1	1458	45.24%	Larne	1	1434	33.91%	20.84%
18	2021-11-13	60.8	@ Portadown	2	1163	36.16%	Carrick Rangers	2	1204	42.94%	20.90%
19	2022-03-08	60.8	@ Carrick Rangers	2	1165	48.63%	Portadown	2	1116	30.68%	20.70%
20	2021-12-21	60.7	@ Dungannon Swifts	2	1112	40.86%	Warrenpoint Town	2	1120	38.21%	20.93%
21	2021-11-30	60.3	@ Larne	1	1439	42.90%	Cliftonville	1	1432	36.20%	20.90%
22	2021-11-02	60.1	@ Larne	1	1442	44.76%	Glentoran	1	1421	34.38%	20.86%
23	2022-04-23	59.9	@ Linfield	0	1548	56.50%	Larne	0	1435	23.46%	20.05%
24	2022-04-23	59.7	@ Coleraine	3	1375	29.55%	Glentoran	2	1467	49.82%	20.63%
25	2022-04-16	59.4	@ Dungannon Swifts	3	1117	16.20%	Glenavon	2	1346	65.14%	18.66%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2022-03-19	24.9	@ Linfield	5	1536	80.07%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1136	6.21%	13.72%
2	2021-10-30	25.1	@ Linfield	3	1513	78.33%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1142	7.17%	14.50%
3	2022-01-29	25.2	@ Larne	4	1426	73.88%	Portadown	0	1124	9.89%	16.23%
4	2021-11-26	25.6	@ Glentoran	3	1451	74.86%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1135	9.26%	15.88%
5	2021-12-04	25.6	@ Larne	3	1438	74.29%	Warrenpoint Town	0	1130	9.63%	16.09%
6	2021-12-11	26.0	@ Crusaders	4	1391	70.80%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1130	11.97%	17.22%
7	2021-11-06	26.1	@ Cliftonville	3	1426	72.87%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1138	10.55%	16.58%
8	2022-01-25	26.1	Larne	3	1419	72.22%	@ Warrenpoint Town	0	1106	10.99%	16.79%
9	2021-10-16	26.3	Linfield	3	1508	74.78%	@ Warrenpoint Town	0	1159	9.31%	15.91%
10	2021-09-11	26.5	Coleraine	5	1434	71.63%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1129	11.39%	16.97%
11	2021-11-02	26.7	@ Cliftonville	4	1416	69.60%	Portadown	0	1170	12.83%	17.57%
12	2022-01-22	26.7	@ Coleraine	3	1442	71.70%	Carrick Rangers	0	1169	11.35%	16.95%
13	2021-09-11	27.5	@ Larne	3	1425	68.98%	Warrenpoint Town	0	1186	13.28%	17.74%
14	2021-11-13	27.5	@ Coleraine	2	1477	76.77%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1131	8.08%	15.15%
15	2022-01-01	27.5	Linfield	6	1538	79.58%	@ Dungannon Swifts	1	1112	6.48%	13.95%
16	2021-09-18	27.7	Glentoran	3	1449	68.88%	@ Warrenpoint Town	0	1178	13.35%	17.76%
17	2021-12-11	27.7	Glentoran	3	1460	69.32%	@ Carrick Rangers	0	1184	13.03%	17.65%
18	2022-01-01	27.8	@ Ballymena United	4	1336	64.25%	Portadown	0	1150	16.91%	18.84%
19	2022-02-12	27.8	@ Glenavon	3	1321	65.72%	Portadown	0	1119	15.75%	18.53%
20	2021-10-09	27.9	@ Linfield	4	1498	70.83%	Carrick Rangers	0	1237	11.96%	17.22%
21	2022-02-08	27.9	@ Coleraine	2	1471	75.59%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1143	8.80%	15.61%
22	2021-10-23	28.1	@ Coleraine	2	1472	74.99%	Warrenpoint Town	0	1153	9.18%	15.83%
23	2021-09-04	28.3	Coleraine	3	1425	66.27%	@ Carrick Rangers	0	1183	15.32%	18.41%
24	2021-10-30	28.7	@ Coleraine	2	1476	73.83%	Portadown	0	1174	9.92%	16.25%
25	2022-04-05	28.7	Cliftonville	2	1487	73.67%	@ Portadown	0	1154	10.02%	16.30%