2022-23 NIFL Premiership Season

228 games

Final

Champion

Larne

83 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Larne

2.38 points above expected

83 points · 80.62 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Carrick Rangers

4.57 points below expected

40 points · 44.57 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Larne	33	22	7	4	73	57	18	+39	63.11	+9.89
2	Linfield	33	21	5	7	68	70	25	+45	65.18	+2.82
3	Cliftonville	33	20	6	7	66	61	41	+20	61.22	+4.78
4	Glentoran	33	20	4	9	64	68	24	+44	60.83	+3.17
5	Crusaders	33	18	8	7	62	65	37	+28	60.45	+1.55
6	Coleraine	33	17	7	9	58	53	30	+23	55.95	+2.05
7	Glenavon	33	11	8	14	41	50	57	-7	45.31	-4.31
8	Carrick Rangers	33	11	4	18	37	41	65	-24	33.70	+3.30
9	Ballymena United	33	9	5	19	32	30	49	-19	44.37	-12.37
10	Newry City	33	7	2	24	23	28	66	-38	23.65	-0.65
11	Dungannon Swifts	33	7	2	24	23	22	76	-54	26.59	-3.59
12	Portadown	33	4	4	25	16	23	80	-57	21.94	-5.94

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Larne	38	25	8	5	83	64	22	+42	80.62	+2.38
2	Linfield	38	23	8	7	77	75	27	+48	76.34	+0.66
3	Glentoran	38	23	5	10	74	77	28	+49	73.26	+0.74
4	Cliftonville	38	20	8	10	68	66	53	+13	70.70	-2.70
5	Crusaders	38	19	10	9	67	72	45	+27	68.76	-1.76
6	Coleraine	38	18	8	12	62	59	39	+20	63.61	-1.61

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Glenavon	38	14	10	14	52	58	61	-3	50.67	+1.33
2	Carrick Rangers	38	12	4	22	40	45	74	-29	44.57	-4.57
3	Ballymena United	38	11	6	21	39	37	55	-18	41.04	-2.04
4	Newry City	38	9	3	26	30	34	71	-37	27.81	+2.19
5	Dungannon Swifts	38	9	3	26	30	28	84	-56	28.94	+1.06
6	Portadown	38	6	5	27	23	29	85	-56	21.35	+1.65

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Larne	83	80.62	+2.38
2	Newry City	30	27.81	+2.19
3	Portadown	23	21.35	+1.65
4	Glenavon	52	50.67	+1.33
5	Dungannon Swifts	30	28.94	+1.06

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Carrick Rangers	40	44.57	-4.57
2	Cliftonville	68	70.70	-2.70
3	Ballymena United	39	41.04	-2.04
4	Crusaders	67	68.76	-1.76
5	Coleraine	62	63.61	-1.61

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Glentoran	10	Aug 19 – Nov 5	1 in 197
2	Glenavon	4	Mar 4 – Apr 3	1 in 128
3	Larne	6	Sep 17 – Oct 22	1 in 42
4	Coleraine	4	Nov 25 – Dec 26	1 in 24
5	Newry City	2	Nov 8 – Nov 12	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Glentoran	5	Dec 3 – Jan 14	1 in 144
2	Portadown	10	Oct 8 – Dec 4	1 in 104
3	Ballymena United	6	Mar 7 – Apr 11	1 in 60
4	Dungannon Swifts	6	Aug 13 – Sep 16	1 in 24
5	Glenavon	3	Jan 14 – Jan 24	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Coleraine	14	Nov 11 – Feb 14	1 in 341
2	Glenavon	10	Feb 28 – Apr 29	1 in 253
3	Larne	16	Jan 14 – Apr 21	1 in 189
4	Glentoran	11	Aug 12 – Nov 5	1 in 32
5	Crusaders	9	Feb 11 – Apr 11	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Ballymena United	14	Jan 21 – Apr 11	1 in 871
2	Glenavon	9	Jan 14 – Feb 28	1 in 136
3	Portadown	18	Aug 14 – Dec 4	1 in 55
4	Glentoran	5	Dec 3 – Jan 14	1 in 19
5	Crusaders	3	Feb 25 – Mar 18	1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Larne	1470	83	+11	10	7.8	+2.2
Linfield	1497	77	+13	9	8.0	+1.0
Glentoran	1464	74	+19	10	7.2	+2.8
Cliftonville	1389	68	-33	2	7.2	-5.2
Crusaders	1414	67	-9	5	7.0	-2.0
Coleraine	1373	62	-1	4	5.1	-1.1
Glenavon	1273	52	+11	11	9.9	+1.1
Carrick Rangers	1134	40	-29	3	7.5	-4.5
Ballymena United	1229	39	-3	7	8.8	-1.8
Dungannon Swifts	1092	30	-3	7	5.8	+1.2
Newry City	1055	27	+16	7	4.7	+2.3
Portadown	1074	23	+8	7	5.7	+1.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BU	CR	CLI	COL	CRU	DS	GLE	GLE	LAR	LIN	NC	POR
Ballymena United	—	2-0-2 6.88	1-0-2 2.90	1-0-2 2.85	1-1-1 2.36	3-1-0 7.80	0-1-3 5.31	1-0-2 2.56	0-0-3 2.26	0-0-3 2.48	1-2-1 8.46	1-1-2 8.37
Carrick Rangers	2-0-2 4.41	—	0-1-2 1.82	0-0-3 2.67	1-0-2 2.12	3-0-1 6.79	0-2-2 4.20	0-0-3 1.99	0-1-2 2.00	1-0-2 1.50	2-0-2 7.63	3-0-1 7.31
Cliftonville	2-0-1 5.58	2-1-0 6.72	—	1-2-1 6.56	0-3-1 5.80	2-0-1 7.25	2-1-0 5.60	3-0-1 5.24	1-0-3 5.35	1-1-2 4.75	3-0-0 7.57	3-0-0 7.40
Coleraine	2-0-1 5.63	3-0-0 5.82	1-2-1 4.72	—	1-0-3 4.97	3-0-0 6.51	0-1-2 4.95	0-2-2 4.57	2-1-1 4.21	0-2-2 4.05	3-0-0 7.30	3-0-0 6.90
Crusaders	1-1-1 6.13	2-0-1 6.40	1-3-0 5.47	3-0-1 6.31	—	3-0-0 7.07	1-1-1 5.58	1-0-3 5.36	0-2-2 5.26	2-2-0 4.55	3-0-0 7.45	2-1-0 7.28
Dungannon Swifts	0-1-3 3.52	1-0-3 4.50	1-0-2 1.34	0-0-3 2.02	0-0-3 1.50	—	2-1-1 3.22	0-0-3 1.47	0-0-3 1.20	0-0-3 1.32	3-0-1 6.42	2-1-1 6.14
Glenavon	3-1-0 5.97	2-2-0 7.09	0-1-2 2.88	2-1-0 3.52	1-1-1 2.90	1-1-2 8.11	—	2-1-0 2.04	0-0-3 3.01	0-0-3 2.28	2-0-2 8.57	1-2-1 8.43
Glentoran	2-0-1 5.94	3-0-0 6.53	1-0-3 6.04	2-2-0 6.72	3-0-1 5.92	3-0-0 7.11	0-1-2 6.48	—	1-1-2 5.52	2-1-1 4.94	3-0-0 7.31	3-0-0 7.17
Larne	3-0-0 6.25	2-1-0 6.53	3-0-1 5.93	1-1-2 7.08	2-2-0 6.02	3-0-0 7.42	3-0-0 5.47	2-1-1 5.76	—	1-2-1 5.48	2-1-0 7.35	3-0-0 7.18
Linfield	3-0-0 6.01	2-0-1 7.07	2-1-1 6.53	2-2-0 7.25	0-2-2 6.74	3-0-0 7.28	3-0-0 6.22	1-1-2 6.34	1-2-1 5.80	—	3-0-0 7.58	3-0-0 7.38
Newry City	1-2-1 2.89	2-0-2 3.68	0-0-3 1.07	0-0-3 1.30	0-0-3 1.17	1-0-3 4.87	2-0-2 2.80	0-0-3 1.29	0-1-2 1.26	0-0-3 1.06	—	3-0-1 5.41
Portadown	2-1-1 2.98	1-0-3 4.00	0-0-3 1.22	0-0-3 1.67	0-1-2 1.32	1-1-2 5.14	1-2-1 2.92	0-0-3 1.42	0-0-3 1.41	0-0-3 1.22	1-0-3 5.88	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.89	+10.8
Allowed	0.88	-8.8
Differential	0.95	+5.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.77%	7.46%	8.99%	4.82%	2.63%	1.54%	34.21%
1	7.46%	3.07%	5.48%	3.95%	1.32%	1.32%	22.59%
2	8.99%	5.48%	4.39%	1.97%	1.32%	—	22.15%
3	4.82%	3.95%	1.97%	0.88%	0.44%	—	12.06%
4	2.63%	1.32%	1.32%	0.44%	—	—	5.70%
5+	1.54%	1.32%	—	—	—	0.44%	3.29%
Total	34.21%	22.59%	22.15%	12.06%	5.70%	3.29%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	1.41	+0.00
SD	1.40	1.40	2.20
CV	1.00	1.00	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	-1	-1	-7

Games Played: 228

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	18.42%	5.26%	10.53%	5.26%	—	47.37%
1	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	15.79%
2	15.79%	2.63%	5.26%	7.89%	—	—	31.58%
3	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.58%	26.32%	13.16%	23.68%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.45	-0.47
SD	1.08	1.31	1.89
CV	1.11	0.90	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	13.16%	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	34.21%
1	7.89%	2.63%	—	7.89%	5.26%	2.63%	26.32%
2	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	5.26%	—	28.95%
3	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	—	7.89%
4	—	—	—	2.63%	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.68%	23.68%	10.53%	23.68%	13.16%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.95	-0.76
SD	1.09	1.58	1.98
CV	0.92	0.81	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	21.05%
1	13.16%	—	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	23.68%
2	5.26%	13.16%	10.53%	—	—	—	28.95%
3	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	13.16%
4	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	—	13.16%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.58%	21.05%	28.95%	13.16%	5.26%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.74	1.39	+0.34
SD	1.31	1.22	1.91
CV	0.75	0.87	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.16%	5.26%	7.89%	2.63%	—	—	28.95%
1	7.89%	—	7.89%	5.26%	—	—	21.05%
2	15.79%	2.63%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	28.95%
3	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	10.53%
4	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	47.37%	15.79%	26.32%	7.89%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	1.03	+0.53
SD	1.37	1.15	1.91
CV	0.88	1.12	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.16%	2.63%	7.89%	—	—	—	23.68%
1	—	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	10.53%
2	7.89%	10.53%	7.89%	—	2.63%	—	28.95%
3	13.16%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	28.95%
4	5.26%	—	—	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	39.47%	23.68%	23.68%	5.26%	7.89%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.89	1.18	+0.71
SD	1.35	1.25	1.89
CV	0.71	1.05	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.63%	10.53%	18.42%	10.53%	5.26%	10.53%	57.89%
1	2.63%	5.26%	2.63%	5.26%	—	2.63%	18.42%
2	7.89%	7.89%	—	—	2.63%	—	18.42%
3	—	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.16%	26.32%	23.68%	15.79%	7.89%	13.16%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.74	2.21	-1.47
SD	1.03	1.63	2.23
CV	1.40	0.74	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	21.05%
1	7.89%	7.89%	7.89%	5.26%	—	5.26%	34.21%
2	2.63%	7.89%	10.53%	5.26%	—	—	26.32%
3	—	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	10.53%
4	—	—	5.26%	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	21.05%	28.95%	31.58%	13.16%	—	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.53	1.61	-0.08
SD	1.25	1.35	1.82
CV	0.82	0.84	—
Max	5	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	7.89%	7.89%	—	—	—	23.68%
1	10.53%	2.63%	7.89%	—	—	—	21.05%
2	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	13.16%
3	15.79%	10.53%	—	—	—	—	26.32%
4	5.26%	—	—	—	—	—	5.26%
5+	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	10.53%
Total	50.00%	28.95%	18.42%	2.63%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.03	0.74	+1.29
SD	1.68	0.86	2.10
CV	0.83	1.17	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.79%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	—	26.32%
1	13.16%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	21.05%
2	18.42%	7.89%	—	—	—	—	26.32%
3	10.53%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	13.16%
4	5.26%	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	—	10.53%
5+	2.63%	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%
Total	65.79%	18.42%	10.53%	2.63%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	0.58	+1.11
SD	1.42	0.98	1.86
CV	0.84	1.69	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.79%	2.63%	2.63%	5.26%	—	—	26.32%
1	10.53%	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	21.05%
2	13.16%	5.26%	—	—	2.63%	—	21.05%
3	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	—	—	—	13.16%
4	7.89%	—	—	—	—	—	7.89%
5+	5.26%	5.26%	—	—	—	—	10.53%
Total	57.89%	23.68%	10.53%	5.26%	2.63%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.97	0.71	+1.26
SD	1.88	1.04	2.29
CV	0.95	1.46	—
Max	7	4	+7
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.26%	10.53%	21.05%	5.26%	5.26%	2.63%	50.00%
1	5.26%	—	13.16%	7.89%	—	—	26.32%
2	5.26%	—	2.63%	—	—	—	7.89%
3	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	2.63%	—	7.89%
4	—	2.63%	—	—	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	2.63%	—	—	—	2.63%	5.26%
Total	15.79%	18.42%	39.47%	13.16%	7.89%	5.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.87	1.84	-0.97
SD	1.30	1.48	2.06
CV	1.49	0.80	—
Max	5	7	+4
Min	-1	-1	-7

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.89%	5.26%	18.42%	7.89%	7.89%	2.63%	50.00%
1	5.26%	2.63%	7.89%	5.26%	5.26%	5.26%	31.58%
2	—	—	2.63%	2.63%	—	—	5.26%
3	—	7.89%	—	—	—	—	7.89%
4	—	—	—	2.63%	—	—	2.63%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	2.63%	2.63%
Total	13.16%	15.79%	28.95%	18.42%	13.16%	10.53%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.74	2.21	-1.47
SD	1.08	1.60	1.90
CV	1.47	0.72	—
Max	4	6	+2
Min	-1	-1	-5

Games Played: 38

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Linfield	1497	77	65.18	+11.82	68.0%	47	53	61	66	70	76	80
Larne	1470	83	63.11	+19.89	93.0%	47	52	59	62	67	74	83
Glentoran	1464	74	60.83	+13.17	70.0%	42	47	57	62	65	72	81
Crusaders	1414	67	60.45	+6.55	62.0%	44	48	55	61	65	72	76
Cliftonville	1389	68	61.22	+6.78	77.0%	46	50	56	61	66	73	76
Coleraine	1373	62	55.95	+6.05	63.0%	36	45	50	55	61	68	73
Glenavon	1273	52	45.31	+6.69	27.0%	28	34	41	45	49	57	65
Ballymena United	1229	39	44.37	-5.37	3.0%	27	35	40	44	49	55	67
Carrick Rangers	1134	40	33.70	+6.30	69.0%	14	22	29	34	39	44	55
Dungannon Swifts	1092	30	26.59	+3.41	42.0%	13	15	22	25	32	39	45
Portadown	1074	23	21.94	+1.06	18.0%	11	12	17	21	27	33	36
Newry City	1055	30	23.65	+6.35	55.0%	7	16	20	23	27	32	42

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 13% * Clear Edge: 13% to 20.5% * Strong Edge: 20.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+17.11%

Clear Edge

50.00%17.11%32.89%

Elo Value

Home Edge

154 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

058.45400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.42 goals

Neutral

-2+0.38+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.2 * Comfortable: 0.2 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.

Title-Race Openness

5.0

Wide Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

19%

Larne, 2nd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.16/gm

Tight Race

00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.41 * Some Luck: 5.41 to 8.12 * Lucky: 8.12 to 10.83 * Wild Swing: 10.83 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.96 * Close: 0.96 to 1.45 * Off: 1.45 to 1.93 * Way Off: 1.93 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.60 points

Some Luck

06.7717

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.67

Pinpoint

01.212.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

93.00%

Larne

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

3.00%

Ballymena United

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.21 * Top-Heavy: 0.21 to 0.25 * Lopsided: 0.25 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 81% * Wide Edge: 81% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 94.5% * Strong Edge: 94.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 45.5% * Some Drama: 45.5% to 54.5% * Frequent: 54.5% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18.5% * Occasional: 18.5% to 23% * Frequent: 23% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.21

Top-Heavy

00.190.250.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 166.25

2.44

Wide Separation

11.852.253

Interquartile Edge

84%

Wide Edge

50%70%81%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 96%

93%

Clear Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

48%

Some Drama

0%50%100%

Blowouts

Expected

23%

Frequent

0%26%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.50

Highly Predictable

00.532

Matchup Imbalance

0.44

Notable Separation

00.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.70

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.90

Near-Lock

00.470.620.761

Upset Rate

Expected

20%

As Expected

0%23%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

16%

As Expected

0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.

Probability calibration

0.62

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.20

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.065

Well Within Noise

00.1060.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Larne	19.00%	20.00%	14.00%	21.00%	20.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Linfield	33.00%	22.00%	22.00%	12.00%	5.00%	5.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Glentoran	12.00%	22.00%	17.00%	17.00%	17.00%	9.00%	3.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—
Cliftonville	16.00%	14.00%	16.00%	16.00%	20.00%	14.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Crusaders	11.00%	16.00%	23.00%	16.00%	11.00%	17.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—
Coleraine	6.00%	6.00%	6.00%	16.00%	18.00%	29.00%	16.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Glenavon	2.00%	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	13.00%	38.00%	28.00%	10.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—
Carrick Rangers	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	6.00%	14.00%	47.00%	21.00%	8.00%	3.00%
Ballymena United	1.00%	—	2.00%	—	6.00%	8.00%	28.00%	41.00%	10.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—
Newry City	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	9.00%	22.00%	46.00%	22.00%
Dungannon Swifts	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.00%	16.00%	28.00%	25.00%	24.00%
Portadown	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.00%	23.00%	19.00%	51.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Larne	78.07%	17.91%	3.54%	0.48%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Linfield	17.24%	52.74%	21.14%	6.92%	1.87%	0.09%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Glentoran	3.90%	19.85%	43.36%	23.10%	8.90%	0.89%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Cliftonville	0.64%	7.08%	21.31%	40.52%	26.25%	4.20%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Crusaders	0.15%	2.38%	10.02%	25.63%	50.21%	11.61%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Coleraine	—	0.04%	0.63%	3.35%	12.77%	83.21%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Glenavon	—	—	—	—	—	—	90.31%	8.91%	0.78%	—	—	—
Carrick Rangers	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.93%	69.19%	21.86%	0.02%	—	—
Ballymena United	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.76%	21.90%	76.66%	0.67%	0.01%	—
Newry City	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.24%	43.94%	50.32%	5.50%
Dungannon Swifts	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.46%	53.61%	42.10%	3.83%
Portadown	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.76%	7.57%	90.67%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Ballymena United	99.00%	1.00%	—
Cliftonville	100%	—	—
Coleraine	100%	—	—
Crusaders	100%	—	—
Glenavon	100%	—	—
Glentoran	100%	—	—
Larne	100%	—	—
Linfield	100%	—	—
Carrick Rangers	87.00%	12.00%	1.00%
Dungannon Swifts	61.00%	17.00%	22.00%
Newry City	27.00%	41.00%	32.00%
Portadown	26.00%	29.00%	45.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Ballymena United	99.99%	0.01%	—
Carrick Rangers	100%	—	—
Cliftonville	100%	—	—
Coleraine	100%	—	—
Crusaders	100%	—	—
Glenavon	100%	—	—
Glentoran	100%	—	—
Larne	100%	—	—
Linfield	100%	—	—
Dungannon Swifts	54.07%	42.10%	3.83%
Newry City	44.18%	50.32%	5.50%
Portadown	1.76%	7.57%	90.67%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2022-08-12	Glentoran	D 0-0	54.4	1383	1380	49.69%	18.02%	32.29%	+0.40	-0.6	1
2022-08-12	@ Larne	D 0-0	54.4	1380	1383	32.29%	18.02%	49.69%	-0.40	+0.6	1
2022-08-13	Cliftonville	W 3-1	48.4	1332	1416	37.57%	18.20%	44.24%	-0.17	+9.7	3
2022-08-13	@ Coleraine	L 1-3	48.4	1416	1332	44.24%	18.20%	37.57%	+0.17	-9.7	0
2022-08-13	Dungannon Swifts	W 5-1	30.8	1389	1161	73.44%	14.51%	12.05%	+1.86	+5.3	3
2022-08-13	@ Crusaders	L 1-5	30.8	1161	1389	12.05%	14.51%	73.44%	-1.86	-5.3	0
2022-08-13	Glenavon	D 2-2	62.2	1285	1296	47.77%	18.10%	34.13%	+0.30	-0.3	1
2022-08-13	@ Ballymena United	D 2-2	62.2	1296	1285	34.13%	18.10%	47.77%	-0.30	+0.3	1
2022-08-13	Newry City	W 2-1	39.3	1196	1032	68.03%	15.84%	16.14%	+1.45	+2.2	3
2022-08-13	@ Carrick Rangers	L 1-2	39.3	1032	1196	16.14%	15.84%	68.03%	-1.45	-2.3	0
2022-08-14	Portadown	W 4-0	25.1	1458	1135	80.02%	12.31%	7.67%	+2.48	+3.9	3
2022-08-14	@ Linfield	L 0-4	25.1	1135	1458	7.67%	12.31%	80.02%	-2.48	-3.9	0
2022-08-19	Crusaders	W 3-1	45.9	1381	1394	47.55%	18.11%	34.34%	+0.29	+7.9	4
2022-08-19	@ Glentoran	L 1-3	45.9	1394	1381	34.34%	18.11%	47.55%	-0.29	-7.9	3
2022-08-20	Ballymena United	L 0-2	36.7	1155	1285	31.60%	17.98%	50.42%	-0.46	-8.4	0
2022-08-20	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	36.7	1285	1155	50.42%	17.98%	31.60%	+0.46	+8.5	4
2022-08-20	Carrick Rangers	W 3-2	44.2	1406	1199	71.74%	14.97%	13.29%	+1.72	+1.8	3
2022-08-20	@ Cliftonville	L 2-3	44.2	1199	1406	13.29%	14.97%	71.74%	-1.72	-1.8	3
2022-08-20	Coleraine	L 0-2	33.8	1131	1341	22.53%	17.11%	60.36%	-0.98	-6.2	0
2022-08-20	@ Portadown	W 2-0	33.8	1341	1131	60.36%	17.11%	22.53%	+0.98	+6.2	6
2022-08-20	Larne	L 1-2	48.0	1297	1382	37.34%	18.19%	44.47%	-0.18	-4.9	1
2022-08-20	@ Glenavon	W 2-1	48.0	1382	1297	44.47%	18.19%	37.34%	+0.18	+4.9	4
2022-08-21	Linfield	L 1-3	33.7	1029	1462	8.13%	12.59%	79.28%	-2.43	-1.9	0
2022-08-21	@ Newry City	W 3-1	33.7	1462	1029	79.28%	12.59%	8.13%	+2.43	+1.9	6
2022-08-23	Cliftonville	L 1-2	47.0	1293	1408	33.47%	18.07%	48.46%	-0.36	-4.4	4
2022-08-23	@ Ballymena United	W 2-1	47.0	1408	1293	48.46%	18.07%	33.47%	+0.36	+4.4	6
2022-08-23	Coleraine	L 2-4	45.8	1197	1347	29.00%	17.81%	53.19%	-0.60	-6.1	3
2022-08-23	@ Carrick Rangers	W 4-2	45.8	1347	1197	53.19%	17.81%	29.00%	+0.60	+6.1	9
2022-08-23	Glentoran	L 0-1	35.9	1147	1389	19.63%	16.63%	63.74%	-1.19	-2.9	0
2022-08-23	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	35.9	1389	1147	63.74%	16.63%	19.63%	+1.19	+2.9	7
2022-08-23	Portadown	W 2-1	37.4	1386	1124	75.95%	13.76%	10.30%	+2.07	+1.4	6
2022-08-23	@ Crusaders	L 1-2	37.4	1124	1386	10.30%	13.76%	75.95%	-2.07	-1.4	0
2022-08-26	Ballymena United	W 3-0	32.4	1387	1289	61.39%	16.97%	21.63%	+1.02	+8.7	7
2022-08-26	@ Larne	L 0-3	32.4	1289	1387	21.63%	16.97%	61.39%	-1.02	-8.7	4
2022-08-26	Glenavon	L 1-3	50.8	1354	1292	57.16%	17.48%	25.37%	+0.78	-12.2	9
2022-08-26	@ Coleraine	W 3-1	50.8	1292	1354	25.37%	17.48%	57.16%	-0.78	+12.2	4
2022-08-26	Glentoran	L 0-3	29.8	1123	1392	17.43%	16.16%	66.42%	-1.36	-7.1	0
2022-08-26	@ Portadown	W 3-0	29.8	1392	1123	66.42%	16.16%	17.43%	+1.36	+7.1	10
2022-08-27	Crusaders	L 1-2	37.6	1028	1388	11.46%	14.27%	74.27%	-1.95	-1.6	0
2022-08-27	@ Newry City	W 2-1	37.6	1388	1028	74.27%	14.27%	11.46%	+1.95	+1.6	9
2022-08-27	Dungannon Swifts	W 4-2	38.9	1412	1144	76.38%	13.62%	10.01%	+2.11	+2.1	9
2022-08-27	@ Cliftonville	L 2-4	38.9	1144	1412	10.01%	13.62%	76.38%	-2.11	-2.1	0
2022-08-28	Linfield	W 2-1	56.0	1191	1464	17.05%	16.07%	66.88%	-1.39	+8.1	6
2022-08-28	@ Carrick Rangers	L 1-2	56.0	1464	1191	66.88%	16.07%	17.05%	+1.39	-8.1	6
2022-08-30	Newry City	L 1-5	49.4	1304	1026	77.07%	13.38%	9.54%	+2.18	-29.0	4
2022-08-30	@ Glenavon	W 5-1	49.4	1026	1304	9.54%	13.38%	77.07%	-2.18	+29.0	3
2022-09-02	Coleraine	L 0-5	30.7	1142	1341	23.63%	17.26%	59.11%	-0.91	-15.2	0
2022-09-02	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 5-0	30.7	1341	1142	59.11%	17.26%	23.63%	+0.91	+15.2	12
2022-09-02	Larne	D 1-1	59.1	1389	1396	48.44%	18.08%	33.48%	+0.34	-0.4	10
2022-09-02	@ Crusaders	D 1-1	59.1	1396	1389	33.48%	18.08%	48.44%	-0.34	+0.4	8
2022-09-03	Carrick Rangers	D 2-2	62.0	1275	1199	58.85%	17.29%	23.86%	+0.87	-0.8	5
2022-09-03	@ Glenavon	D 2-2	62.0	1199	1275	23.86%	17.29%	58.85%	-0.87	+0.8	7
2022-09-03	Cliftonville	L 1-2	39.5	1116	1414	15.25%	15.59%	69.16%	-1.55	-2.1	0
2022-09-03	@ Portadown	W 2-1	39.5	1414	1116	69.16%	15.59%	15.25%	+1.55	+2.1	12
2022-09-03	Linfield	L 0-4	33.7	1280	1456	26.06%	17.55%	56.39%	-0.76	-13.5	4
2022-09-03	@ Ballymena United	W 4-0	33.7	1456	1280	56.39%	17.55%	26.06%	+0.76	+13.5	9
2022-09-03	Newry City	W 3-0	25.2	1399	1055	81.19%	11.84%	6.97%	+2.61	+2.7	13
2022-09-03	@ Glentoran	L 0-3	25.2	1055	1399	6.97%	11.84%	81.19%	-2.61	-2.7	3
2022-09-16	Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	42.8	1052	1127	38.93%	18.22%	42.86%	-0.10	+5.8	6
2022-09-16	@ Newry City	L 0-1	42.8	1127	1052	42.86%	18.22%	38.93%	+0.10	-5.8	0
2022-09-16	Linfield	W 2-1	53.4	1389	1470	38.02%	18.20%	43.78%	-0.14	+5.5	13
2022-09-16	@ Crusaders	L 1-2	53.4	1470	1389	43.78%	18.20%	38.02%	+0.14	-5.6	9
2022-09-17	Carrick Rangers	L 0-1	47.3	1266	1200	57.75%	17.41%	24.84%	+0.81	-7.5	4
2022-09-17	@ Ballymena United	W 1-0	47.3	1200	1266	24.84%	17.41%	57.75%	-0.81	+7.5	10
2022-09-17	Cliftonville	L 0-1	40.6	1274	1416	30.01%	17.89%	52.11%	-0.54	-4.3	5
2022-09-17	@ Glenavon	W 1-0	40.6	1416	1274	52.11%	17.89%	30.01%	+0.54	+4.3	15
2022-09-17	Coleraine	W 1-0	40.7	1402	1357	55.14%	17.66%	27.20%	+0.67	+3.9	16
2022-09-17	@ Glentoran	L 0-1	40.7	1357	1402	27.20%	17.66%	55.14%	-0.67	-3.9	12
2022-09-17	Larne	L 0-1	34.6	1114	1396	16.37%	15.90%	67.74%	-1.45	-2.4	0
2022-09-17	@ Portadown	W 1-0	34.6	1396	1114	67.74%	15.90%	16.37%	+1.45	+2.4	11
2022-09-23	Ballymena United	W 3-0	31.1	1394	1259	65.24%	16.37%	18.38%	+1.26	+7.5	16
2022-09-23	@ Crusaders	L 0-3	31.1	1259	1394	18.38%	16.37%	65.24%	-1.26	-7.4	4
2022-09-23	Larne	L 0-1	38.0	1207	1399	24.43%	17.37%	58.21%	-0.86	-3.6	10
2022-09-23	@ Carrick Rangers	W 1-0	38.0	1399	1207	58.21%	17.37%	24.43%	+0.86	+3.6	14
2022-09-23	Newry City	W 2-0	28.3	1353	1058	78.17%	13.00%	8.83%	+2.29	+2.4	15
2022-09-23	@ Coleraine	L 0-2	28.3	1058	1353	8.83%	13.00%	78.17%	-2.29	-2.4	6
2022-09-23	Portadown	W 2-0	36.4	1121	1111	50.60%	17.97%	31.43%	+0.44	+8.4	3
2022-09-23	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-2	36.4	1111	1121	31.43%	17.97%	50.60%	-0.44	-8.4	0
2022-09-30	Glenavon	D 1-1	56.1	1103	1270	27.11%	17.65%	55.24%	-0.70	+0.8	1
2022-09-30	@ Portadown	D 1-1	56.1	1270	1103	55.24%	17.65%	27.11%	+0.70	-0.9	6
2022-10-01	Coleraine	W 2-0	37.7	1402	1355	55.44%	17.64%	26.92%	+0.69	+7.3	17
2022-10-01	@ Larne	L 0-2	37.7	1355	1402	26.92%	17.64%	55.44%	-0.69	-7.3	15
2022-10-01	Crusaders	W 4-3	61.4	1204	1402	23.75%	17.28%	58.97%	-0.91	+6.7	13
2022-10-01	@ Carrick Rangers	L 3-4	61.4	1402	1204	58.97%	17.28%	23.75%	+0.91	-6.7	16
2022-10-01	Linfield	L 0-1	33.7	1129	1464	12.89%	14.83%	72.28%	-1.79	-1.9	3
2022-10-01	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	33.7	1464	1129	72.28%	14.83%	12.89%	+1.79	+1.9	12
2022-10-01	Newry City	W 4-0	23.8	1421	1056	82.37%	11.34%	6.29%	+2.74	+3.2	18
2022-10-01	@ Cliftonville	L 0-4	23.8	1056	1421	6.29%	11.34%	82.37%	-2.74	-3.2	6
2022-10-07	Carrick Rangers	W 5-0	27.9	1405	1210	70.73%	15.23%	14.05%	+1.64	+9.2	19
2022-10-07	@ Glentoran	L 0-5	27.9	1210	1405	14.05%	15.23%	70.73%	-1.64	-9.2	13
2022-10-07	Crusaders	D 0-0	55.7	1424	1395	53.07%	17.82%	29.10%	+0.56	-0.8	19
2022-10-07	@ Cliftonville	D 0-0	55.7	1395	1424	29.10%	17.82%	53.07%	-0.56	+0.8	17
2022-10-07	Larne	L 0-2	29.7	1053	1410	11.62%	14.34%	74.04%	-1.94	-3.2	6
2022-10-07	@ Newry City	W 2-0	29.7	1410	1053	74.04%	14.34%	11.62%	+1.94	+3.2	20
2022-10-08	Dungannon Swifts	W 5-0	28.5	1269	1127	65.84%	16.27%	17.89%	+1.30	+11.7	9
2022-10-08	@ Glenavon	L 0-5	28.5	1127	1269	17.89%	16.27%	65.84%	-1.30	-11.7	3
2022-10-08	Linfield	D 0-0	55.5	1348	1466	32.97%	18.05%	48.97%	-0.39	+0.5	16
2022-10-08	@ Coleraine	D 0-0	55.5	1466	1348	48.97%	18.05%	32.97%	+0.39	-0.5	13
2022-10-08	Portadown	W 2-0	31.8	1251	1104	66.41%	16.16%	17.43%	+1.33	+4.9	7
2022-10-08	@ Ballymena United	L 0-2	31.8	1104	1251	17.43%	16.16%	66.41%	-1.33	-4.9	1
2022-10-14	Cliftonville	W 4-0	38.3	1413	1423	48.00%	18.09%	33.91%	+0.31	+17.0	23
2022-10-14	@ Larne	L 0-4	38.3	1423	1413	33.91%	18.09%	48.00%	-0.31	-17.0	19
2022-10-14	Glentoran	L 0-3	47.1	1466	1415	55.87%	17.60%	26.53%	+0.71	-20.0	13
2022-10-14	@ Linfield	W 3-0	47.1	1415	1466	26.53%	17.60%	55.87%	-0.71	+20.0	22
2022-10-15	Coleraine	W 2-1	49.7	1256	1348	36.48%	18.17%	45.35%	-0.22	+5.7	10
2022-10-15	@ Ballymena United	L 1-2	49.7	1348	1256	45.35%	18.17%	36.48%	+0.22	-5.7	16
2022-10-15	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-0	31.4	1201	1116	59.93%	17.17%	22.91%	+0.93	+9.2	16
2022-10-15	@ Carrick Rangers	L 0-3	31.4	1116	1201	22.91%	17.17%	59.93%	-0.93	-9.2	3
2022-10-15	Glenavon	W 3-2	47.4	1396	1281	63.17%	16.72%	20.12%	+1.13	+2.7	20
2022-10-15	@ Crusaders	L 2-3	47.4	1281	1396	20.12%	16.72%	63.17%	-1.13	-2.7	9
2022-10-15	Newry City	L 1-3	49.1	1099	1049	55.71%	17.61%	26.67%	+0.70	-11.9	1
2022-10-15	@ Portadown	W 3-1	49.1	1049	1099	26.67%	17.61%	55.71%	-0.70	+11.9	9
2022-10-18	Glenavon	W 3-2	46.5	1446	1278	68.29%	15.78%	15.93%	+1.46	+2.1	16
2022-10-18	@ Linfield	L 2-3	46.5	1278	1446	15.93%	15.78%	68.29%	-1.46	-2.1	9
2022-10-21	Ballymena United	D 1-1	56.1	1107	1262	28.42%	17.77%	53.81%	-0.63	+0.8	4
2022-10-21	@ Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	56.1	1262	1107	53.81%	17.77%	28.42%	+0.63	-0.8	11
2022-10-22	Carrick Rangers	W 4-2	44.2	1276	1210	57.63%	17.43%	24.95%	+0.80	+5.3	12
2022-10-22	@ Glenavon	L 2-4	44.2	1210	1276	24.95%	17.43%	57.63%	-0.80	-5.3	16
2022-10-22	Cliftonville	L 2-4	51.3	1343	1406	40.48%	18.22%	41.29%	-0.03	-8.1	16
2022-10-22	@ Coleraine	W 4-2	51.3	1406	1343	41.29%	18.22%	40.48%	+0.03	+8.1	22
2022-10-22	Glentoran	L 0-1	32.3	1061	1435	10.78%	13.98%	75.25%	-2.04	-1.6	9
2022-10-22	@ Newry City	W 1-0	32.3	1435	1061	75.25%	13.98%	10.78%	+2.04	+1.6	25
2022-10-22	Larne	L 2-4	57.7	1448	1430	51.67%	17.91%	30.41%	+0.49	-9.9	16
2022-10-22	@ Linfield	W 4-2	57.7	1430	1448	30.41%	17.91%	51.67%	-0.49	+9.9	26
2022-10-22	Portadown	W 4-0	24.8	1399	1087	79.27%	12.60%	8.14%	+2.40	+4.2	23
2022-10-22	@ Crusaders	L 0-4	24.8	1087	1399	8.14%	12.60%	79.27%	-2.40	-4.2	1
2022-10-28	Ballymena United	W 3-2	49.8	1281	1261	51.99%	17.89%	30.12%	+0.51	+3.8	15
2022-10-28	@ Glenavon	L 2-3	49.8	1261	1281	30.12%	17.89%	51.99%	-0.51	-3.8	11
2022-10-28	Larne	W 4-0	39.2	1436	1440	48.83%	18.06%	33.11%	+0.35	+16.7	28
2022-10-28	@ Glentoran	L 0-4	39.2	1440	1436	33.11%	18.06%	48.83%	-0.35	-16.7	26
2022-10-29	Carrick Rangers	W 1-0	34.0	1414	1205	71.88%	14.94%	13.18%	+1.73	+2.0	25
2022-10-29	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	34.0	1205	1414	13.18%	14.94%	71.88%	-1.73	-1.9	16
2022-10-29	Crusaders	L 0-2	31.4	1107	1403	15.43%	15.64%	68.92%	-1.54	-4.3	4
2022-10-29	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	31.4	1403	1107	68.92%	15.64%	15.43%	+1.54	+4.3	26
2022-10-29	Linfield	L 0-2	29.3	1060	1438	10.54%	13.87%	75.59%	-2.07	-2.9	9
2022-10-29	@ Newry City	W 2-0	29.3	1438	1060	75.59%	13.87%	10.54%	+2.07	+2.9	19
2022-10-29	Portadown	W 4-0	25.9	1334	1083	75.19%	13.99%	10.81%	+2.01	+5.7	19
2022-10-29	@ Coleraine	L 0-4	25.9	1083	1334	10.81%	13.99%	75.19%	-2.01	-5.7	1
2022-11-04	Crusaders	W 4-1	43.2	1423	1407	51.47%	17.92%	30.60%	+0.48	+10.1	29
2022-11-04	@ Larne	L 1-4	43.2	1407	1423	30.60%	17.92%	51.47%	-0.48	-10.1	26
2022-11-04	Newry City	W 3-0	28.0	1257	1057	71.20%	15.11%	13.69%	+1.68	+5.5	14
2022-11-04	@ Ballymena United	L 0-3	28.0	1057	1257	13.69%	15.11%	71.20%	-1.68	-5.5	9
2022-11-05	Coleraine	L 0-1	39.6	1203	1340	30.63%	17.93%	51.44%	-0.51	-4.4	16
2022-11-05	@ Carrick Rangers	W 1-0	39.6	1340	1203	51.44%	17.93%	30.63%	+0.51	+4.4	22
2022-11-05	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-1	33.3	1453	1103	81.54%	11.69%	6.77%	+2.64	+1.6	31
2022-11-05	@ Glentoran	L 1-3	33.3	1103	1453	6.77%	11.69%	81.54%	-2.64	-1.6	4
2022-11-05	Glenavon	D 2-2	63.8	1416	1285	64.76%	16.46%	18.78%	+1.23	-1.1	26
2022-11-05	@ Cliftonville	D 2-2	63.8	1285	1416	18.78%	16.46%	64.76%	-1.23	+1.1	16
2022-11-05	Linfield	L 0-3	27.4	1077	1441	11.29%	14.20%	74.51%	-1.98	-4.5	1
2022-11-05	@ Portadown	W 3-0	27.4	1441	1077	74.51%	14.20%	11.29%	+1.98	+4.5	22
2022-11-08	Ballymena United	W 3-2	58.1	1051	1263	22.41%	17.09%	60.50%	-0.99	+7.0	12
2022-11-08	@ Newry City	L 2-3	58.1	1263	1051	60.50%	17.09%	22.41%	+0.99	-7.0	14
2022-11-08	Cliftonville	D 0-0	56.8	1445	1415	53.31%	17.80%	28.89%	+0.58	-0.8	23
2022-11-08	@ Linfield	D 0-0	56.8	1415	1445	28.89%	17.80%	53.31%	-0.58	+0.8	27
2022-11-08	Crusaders	L 1-2	50.3	1344	1397	42.02%	18.22%	39.75%	+0.04	-5.4	22
2022-11-08	@ Coleraine	W 2-1	50.3	1397	1344	39.75%	18.22%	42.02%	-0.04	+5.4	29
2022-11-08	Dungannon Swifts	W 4-0	24.6	1433	1101	80.50%	12.12%	7.38%	+2.53	+3.8	32
2022-11-08	@ Larne	L 0-4	24.6	1101	1433	7.38%	12.12%	80.50%	-2.53	-3.8	4
2022-11-08	Glentoran	W 2-1	54.1	1286	1454	26.96%	17.64%	55.40%	-0.71	+6.8	19
2022-11-08	@ Glenavon	L 1-2	54.1	1454	1286	55.40%	17.64%	26.96%	+0.71	-6.8	31
2022-11-08	Portadown	W 2-0	32.3	1199	1073	64.28%	16.54%	19.18%	+1.20	+5.3	19
2022-11-08	@ Carrick Rangers	L 0-2	32.3	1073	1199	19.18%	16.54%	64.28%	-1.20	-5.3	1
2022-11-11	Glentoran	D 0-0	54.9	1339	1448	34.26%	18.11%	47.63%	-0.32	+0.4	23
2022-11-11	@ Coleraine	D 0-0	54.9	1448	1339	47.63%	18.11%	34.26%	+0.32	-0.4	32
2022-11-12	Carrick Rangers	W 4-1	45.5	1058	1204	29.55%	17.85%	52.60%	-0.57	+16.0	15
2022-11-12	@ Newry City	L 1-4	45.5	1204	1058	52.60%	17.85%	29.55%	+0.57	-16.0	19
2022-11-12	Cliftonville	L 0-2	30.8	1098	1416	13.93%	15.19%	70.88%	-1.68	-3.9	4
2022-11-12	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	30.8	1416	1098	70.88%	15.19%	13.93%	+1.68	+3.9	30
2022-11-12	Glenavon	W 2-1	42.1	1444	1293	66.78%	16.09%	17.13%	+1.36	+2.4	26
2022-11-12	@ Linfield	L 1-2	42.1	1293	1444	17.13%	16.09%	66.78%	-1.36	-2.4	19
2022-11-12	Larne	L 0-5	26.1	1067	1437	10.96%	14.06%	74.98%	-2.02	-7.1	1
2022-11-12	@ Portadown	W 5-0	26.1	1437	1067	74.98%	14.06%	10.96%	+2.02	+7.1	35
2022-11-14	Ballymena United	L 0-1	50.6	1402	1256	66.32%	16.18%	17.50%	+1.33	-8.5	29
2022-11-14	@ Crusaders	W 1-0	50.6	1256	1402	17.50%	16.18%	66.32%	-1.33	+8.5	17
2022-11-18	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-1	35.8	1444	1094	81.57%	11.68%	6.75%	+2.65	+0.9	38
2022-11-18	@ Larne	L 1-2	35.8	1094	1444	6.75%	11.68%	81.57%	-2.65	-0.9	4
2022-11-18	Linfield	L 0-2	36.5	1264	1447	25.41%	17.48%	57.11%	-0.80	-7.0	17
2022-11-18	@ Ballymena United	W 2-0	36.5	1447	1264	57.11%	17.48%	25.41%	+0.80	+7.0	29
2022-11-19	Coleraine	D 0-0	52.6	1291	1340	42.55%	18.22%	39.23%	+0.06	-0.1	20
2022-11-19	@ Glenavon	D 0-0	52.6	1340	1291	39.23%	18.22%	42.55%	-0.06	+0.1	24
2022-11-19	Newry City	W 4-0	24.6	1394	1074	79.77%	12.40%	7.82%	+2.45	+4.0	32
2022-11-19	@ Crusaders	L 0-4	24.6	1074	1394	7.82%	12.40%	79.77%	-2.45	-4.0	15
2022-11-19	Portadown	W 2-0	32.3	1188	1060	64.47%	16.51%	19.03%	+1.21	+5.3	22
2022-11-19	@ Carrick Rangers	L 0-2	32.3	1060	1188	19.03%	16.51%	64.47%	-1.21	-5.3	1
2022-11-20	Cliftonville	L 0-1	51.1	1447	1420	52.96%	17.83%	29.21%	+0.56	-6.9	32
2022-11-20	@ Glentoran	W 1-0	51.1	1420	1447	29.21%	17.83%	52.96%	-0.56	+7.0	33
2022-11-22	Larne	W 1-0	45.7	1454	1445	50.49%	17.98%	31.53%	+0.43	+4.5	32
2022-11-22	@ Linfield	L 0-1	45.7	1445	1454	31.53%	17.98%	50.49%	-0.43	-4.5	38
2022-11-25	Coleraine	L 0-2	48.3	1441	1340	61.64%	16.94%	21.42%	+1.03	-15.1	38
2022-11-25	@ Larne	W 2-0	48.3	1340	1441	21.42%	16.94%	61.64%	-1.03	+15.0	27
2022-11-26	Ballymena United	L 0-2	39.4	1193	1257	40.39%	18.22%	41.38%	-0.04	-10.4	22
2022-11-26	@ Carrick Rangers	W 2-0	39.4	1257	1193	41.38%	18.22%	40.39%	+0.04	+10.4	20
2022-11-26	Crusaders	D 0-0	56.8	1458	1398	56.99%	17.49%	25.51%	+0.77	-1.1	33
2022-11-26	@ Linfield	D 0-0	56.8	1398	1458	25.51%	17.49%	56.99%	-0.77	+1.1	33
2022-11-26	Glenavon	W 1-0	47.5	1093	1291	23.81%	17.29%	58.91%	-0.90	+7.7	7
2022-11-26	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-1	47.5	1291	1093	58.91%	17.29%	23.81%	+0.90	-7.7	20
2022-11-26	Glentoran	L 0-2	29.2	1055	1440	10.19%	13.71%	76.10%	-2.12	-2.8	1
2022-11-26	@ Portadown	W 2-0	29.2	1440	1055	76.10%	13.71%	10.19%	+2.12	+2.8	35
2022-11-26	Newry City	W 2-0	27.4	1426	1070	81.90%	11.54%	6.56%	+2.69	+1.8	36
2022-11-26	@ Cliftonville	L 0-2	27.4	1070	1426	6.56%	11.54%	81.90%	-2.69	-1.7	15
2022-12-02	Larne	L 0-1	40.8	1283	1426	29.93%	17.88%	52.19%	-0.55	-4.3	20
2022-12-02	@ Glenavon	W 1-0	40.8	1426	1283	52.19%	17.88%	29.93%	+0.55	+4.3	41
2022-12-03	Carrick Rangers	W 3-1	35.3	1457	1183	76.80%	13.48%	9.73%	+2.15	+2.3	36
2022-12-03	@ Linfield	L 1-3	35.3	1183	1457	9.73%	13.48%	76.80%	-2.15	-2.3	22
2022-12-03	Cliftonville	W 4-1	47.8	1268	1428	27.85%	17.72%	54.43%	-0.66	+16.5	23
2022-12-03	@ Ballymena United	L 1-4	47.8	1428	1268	54.43%	17.72%	27.85%	+0.66	-16.5	36
2022-12-03	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	29.3	1355	1100	75.39%	13.93%	10.68%	+2.03	+3.0	30
2022-12-03	@ Coleraine	L 0-2	29.3	1100	1355	10.68%	13.93%	75.39%	-2.03	-2.9	7
2022-12-03	Glentoran	W 3-2	56.4	1399	1443	43.26%	18.21%	38.53%	+0.09	+4.7	36
2022-12-03	@ Crusaders	L 2-3	56.4	1443	1399	38.53%	18.21%	43.26%	-0.09	-4.7	35
2022-12-04	Portadown	FW	49.5	1068	1052	51.49%	17.92%	30.59%	+0.48	+0.0	18
2022-12-04	@ Newry City	FL	49.5	1052	1068	30.59%	17.92%	51.49%	-0.48	+0.0	1
2022-12-09	Crusaders	W 2-0	41.5	1358	1404	42.95%	18.21%	38.83%	+0.08	+10.1	33
2022-12-09	@ Coleraine	L 0-2	41.5	1404	1358	38.83%	18.21%	42.95%	-0.08	-10.1	36
2022-12-10	Ballymena United	W 1-0	48.4	1052	1284	20.50%	16.78%	62.72%	-1.12	+8.1	4
2022-12-10	@ Portadown	L 0-1	48.4	1284	1052	62.72%	16.78%	20.50%	+1.12	-8.1	23
2022-12-10	Carrick Rangers	W 4-1	43.1	1098	1181	37.68%	18.20%	44.12%	-0.16	+13.7	10
2022-12-10	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 1-4	43.1	1181	1098	44.12%	18.20%	37.68%	+0.16	-13.7	22
2022-12-10	Newry City	W 2-0	27.3	1430	1068	82.18%	11.42%	6.40%	+2.72	+1.7	44
2022-12-10	@ Larne	L 0-2	27.3	1068	1430	6.40%	11.42%	82.18%	-2.72	-1.7	18
2022-12-17	Dungannon Swifts	W 4-0	24.5	1459	1111	81.44%	11.73%	6.82%	+2.63	+3.5	39
2022-12-17	@ Linfield	L 0-4	24.5	1111	1459	6.82%	11.73%	81.44%	-2.63	-3.5	10
2022-12-17	Portadown	W 4-1	30.2	1412	1060	81.63%	11.66%	6.71%	+2.66	+2.2	39
2022-12-17	@ Cliftonville	L 1-4	30.2	1060	1412	6.71%	11.66%	81.63%	-2.66	-2.2	4
2022-12-20	Glentoran	W 1-0	45.6	1414	1438	46.03%	18.16%	35.82%	+0.22	+5.0	42
2022-12-20	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	45.6	1438	1414	35.82%	18.16%	46.03%	-0.22	-5.0	35
2022-12-26	Ballymena United	W 2-0	34.7	1368	1276	60.60%	17.08%	22.32%	+0.97	+6.2	36
2022-12-26	@ Coleraine	L 0-2	34.7	1276	1368	22.32%	17.08%	60.60%	-0.97	-6.2	23
2022-12-26	Carrick Rangers	D 0-0	53.8	1432	1167	76.13%	13.70%	10.18%	+2.09	-2.4	45
2022-12-26	@ Larne	D 0-0	53.8	1167	1432	10.18%	13.70%	76.13%	-2.09	+2.4	23
2022-12-26	Cliftonville	W 3-0	39.4	1394	1419	45.89%	18.16%	35.95%	+0.21	+13.7	39
2022-12-26	@ Crusaders	L 0-3	39.4	1419	1394	35.95%	18.16%	45.89%	-0.21	-13.7	42
2022-12-26	Linfield	L 1-2	55.0	1433	1463	45.28%	18.18%	36.54%	+0.19	-5.7	35
2022-12-26	@ Glentoran	W 2-1	55.0	1463	1433	36.54%	18.18%	45.28%	-0.19	+5.7	42
2022-12-26	Newry City	W 2-0	35.2	1108	1067	54.66%	17.70%	27.64%	+0.64	+7.5	13
2022-12-26	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 0-2	35.2	1067	1108	27.64%	17.70%	54.66%	-0.64	-7.5	18
2022-12-26	Portadown	W 2-1	38.0	1279	1058	72.82%	14.68%	12.49%	+1.81	+1.7	23
2022-12-26	@ Glenavon	L 1-2	38.0	1058	1279	12.49%	14.68%	72.82%	-1.81	-1.7	4
2023-01-02	Coleraine	D 0-0	56.5	1469	1374	60.95%	17.03%	22.01%	+0.99	-1.3	43
2023-01-02	@ Linfield	D 0-0	56.5	1374	1469	22.01%	17.03%	60.95%	-0.99	+1.3	37
2023-01-02	Crusaders	L 0-3	31.0	1169	1407	19.98%	16.69%	63.33%	-1.16	-8.1	23
2023-01-02	@ Carrick Rangers	W 3-0	31.0	1407	1169	63.33%	16.69%	19.98%	+1.16	+8.1	42
2023-01-02	Dungannon Swifts	D 0-0	51.5	1056	1115	41.12%	18.22%	40.66%	+0.00	-0.0	5
2023-01-02	@ Portadown	D 0-0	51.5	1115	1056	40.66%	18.22%	41.12%	+0.00	+0.0	14
2023-01-02	Glentoran	W 2-0	45.0	1270	1428	28.18%	17.75%	54.07%	-0.64	+13.4	26
2023-01-02	@ Ballymena United	L 0-2	45.0	1428	1270	54.07%	17.75%	28.18%	+0.64	-13.3	35
2023-01-02	Larne	W 2-1	50.3	1405	1429	46.08%	18.16%	35.77%	+0.22	+4.7	45
2023-01-02	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	50.3	1429	1405	35.77%	18.16%	46.08%	-0.22	-4.7	45
2023-01-10	Coleraine	L 1-2	38.7	1059	1375	14.06%	15.23%	70.72%	-1.67	-2.0	18
2023-01-10	@ Newry City	W 2-1	38.7	1375	1059	70.72%	15.23%	14.06%	+1.67	+2.0	40
2023-01-10	Crusaders	W 4-2	53.7	1280	1415	30.86%	17.94%	51.20%	-0.50	+9.9	26
2023-01-10	@ Glenavon	L 2-4	53.7	1415	1280	51.20%	17.94%	30.86%	+0.50	-9.8	42
2023-01-10	Linfield	W 1-0	47.7	1410	1467	41.36%	18.22%	40.42%	+0.01	+5.5	48
2023-01-10	@ Cliftonville	L 0-1	47.7	1467	1410	40.42%	18.22%	41.36%	-0.01	-5.5	43
2023-01-13	Cliftonville	D 3-3	66.7	1161	1415	18.60%	16.42%	64.98%	-1.27	+0.9	24
2023-01-13	@ Carrick Rangers	D 3-3	66.7	1415	1161	64.98%	16.42%	18.60%	+1.27	-0.9	49
2023-01-14	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	31.3	1283	1115	68.34%	15.77%	15.89%	+1.47	+4.4	29
2023-01-14	@ Ballymena United	L 0-2	31.3	1115	1283	15.89%	15.77%	68.34%	-1.47	-4.4	14
2023-01-14	Larne	L 0-1	48.8	1414	1424	47.95%	18.09%	33.95%	+0.31	-6.4	35
2023-01-14	@ Glentoran	W 1-0	48.8	1424	1414	33.95%	18.09%	47.95%	-0.31	+6.4	48
2023-01-14	Linfield	L 1-6	36.9	1290	1462	26.58%	17.60%	55.81%	-0.73	-14.0	26
2023-01-14	@ Glenavon	W 6-1	36.9	1462	1290	55.81%	17.60%	26.58%	+0.73	+14.0	46
2023-01-14	Newry City	W 3-1	33.0	1406	1057	81.46%	11.73%	6.81%	+2.64	+1.6	45
2023-01-14	@ Crusaders	L 1-3	33.0	1057	1406	6.81%	11.73%	81.46%	-2.64	-1.6	18
2023-01-14	Portadown	W 4-1	30.6	1377	1056	79.84%	12.38%	7.78%	+2.46	+2.6	43
2023-01-14	@ Coleraine	L 1-4	30.6	1056	1377	7.78%	12.38%	79.84%	-2.46	-2.6	5
2023-01-21	Ballymena United	W 3-0	31.1	1476	1288	70.12%	15.37%	14.51%	+1.60	+5.9	49
2023-01-21	@ Linfield	L 0-3	31.1	1288	1476	14.51%	15.37%	70.12%	-1.60	-5.9	29
2023-01-21	Coleraine	D 2-2	65.0	1415	1380	53.87%	17.76%	28.37%	+0.60	-0.6	50
2023-01-21	@ Cliftonville	D 2-2	65.0	1380	1415	28.37%	17.76%	53.87%	-0.60	+0.6	44
2023-01-21	Crusaders	D 0-0	56.2	1431	1407	52.45%	17.86%	29.69%	+0.53	-0.8	49
2023-01-21	@ Larne	D 0-0	56.2	1407	1431	29.69%	17.86%	52.45%	-0.53	+0.8	46
2023-01-21	Glenavon	W 2-1	51.7	1111	1276	27.29%	17.67%	55.04%	-0.69	+6.8	17
2023-01-21	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	51.7	1276	1111	55.04%	17.67%	27.29%	+0.69	-6.8	26
2023-01-21	Glentoran	L 1-3	35.3	1056	1408	11.89%	14.45%	73.65%	-1.90	-2.9	18
2023-01-21	@ Newry City	W 3-1	35.3	1408	1056	73.65%	14.45%	11.89%	+1.90	+2.9	38
2023-01-24	Carrick Rangers	W 1-0	33.3	1380	1162	72.63%	14.74%	12.63%	+1.79	+1.9	47
2023-01-24	@ Coleraine	L 0-1	33.3	1162	1380	12.63%	14.74%	72.63%	-1.79	-1.9	24
2023-01-24	Cliftonville	L 1-3	43.0	1269	1414	29.70%	17.86%	52.44%	-0.56	-6.9	26
2023-01-24	@ Glenavon	W 3-1	43.0	1414	1269	52.44%	17.86%	29.70%	+0.56	+6.9	53
2023-01-24	Dungannon Swifts	W 6-0	25.6	1411	1118	78.08%	13.03%	8.89%	+2.28	+6.7	41
2023-01-24	@ Glentoran	L 0-6	25.6	1118	1411	8.89%	13.03%	78.08%	-2.28	-6.7	17
2023-01-24	Linfield	W 2-0	45.9	1408	1482	39.01%	18.22%	42.77%	-0.10	+10.9	49
2023-01-24	@ Crusaders	L 0-2	45.9	1482	1408	42.77%	18.22%	39.01%	+0.10	-10.9	49
2023-01-24	Newry City	D 0-0	52.7	1282	1053	73.50%	14.49%	12.00%	+1.86	-2.2	30
2023-01-24	@ Ballymena United	D 0-0	52.7	1053	1282	12.00%	14.49%	73.50%	-1.86	+2.2	19
2023-01-24	Portadown	W 2-0	27.1	1430	1054	82.98%	11.07%	5.95%	+2.82	+1.6	52
2023-01-24	@ Larne	L 0-2	27.1	1054	1430	5.95%	11.07%	82.98%	-2.82	-1.6	5
2023-01-28	Ballymena United	W 4-0	30.3	1421	1280	65.79%	16.27%	17.93%	+1.29	+9.5	56
2023-01-28	@ Cliftonville	L 0-4	30.3	1280	1421	17.93%	16.27%	65.79%	-1.29	-9.5	30
2023-01-28	Coleraine	L 0-3	29.7	1111	1382	17.22%	16.11%	66.67%	-1.38	-7.0	17
2023-01-28	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 3-0	29.7	1382	1111	66.67%	16.11%	17.22%	+1.38	+7.0	50
2023-01-28	Glenavon	D 1-1	56.0	1160	1262	35.12%	18.14%	46.74%	-0.28	+0.3	25
2023-01-28	@ Carrick Rangers	D 1-1	56.0	1262	1160	46.74%	18.14%	35.12%	+0.28	-0.3	27
2023-01-28	Linfield	L 1-6	28.0	1052	1471	8.70%	12.93%	78.37%	-2.33	-4.6	5
2023-01-28	@ Portadown	W 6-1	28.0	1471	1052	78.37%	12.93%	8.70%	+2.33	+4.6	52
2023-01-29	Larne	D 0-0	53.2	1055	1432	10.61%	13.90%	75.49%	-2.06	+2.3	20
2023-01-29	@ Newry City	D 0-0	53.2	1432	1055	75.49%	13.90%	10.61%	+2.06	-2.3	53
2023-01-30	Crusaders	W 2-0	41.3	1417	1419	49.15%	18.05%	32.81%	+0.37	+8.7	44
2023-01-30	@ Glentoran	L 0-2	41.3	1419	1417	32.81%	18.05%	49.15%	-0.37	-8.7	49
2023-02-10	Carrick Rangers	L 0-2	37.5	1057	1161	34.93%	18.13%	46.94%	-0.29	-9.2	20
2023-02-10	@ Newry City	W 2-0	37.5	1161	1057	46.94%	18.13%	34.93%	+0.29	+9.2	28
2023-02-10	Glenavon	W 3-0	30.6	1429	1262	68.27%	15.79%	15.94%	+1.46	+6.5	56
2023-02-10	@ Larne	L 0-3	30.6	1262	1429	15.94%	15.79%	68.27%	-1.46	-6.5	27
2023-02-11	Cliftonville	W 1-0	44.5	1475	1430	55.14%	17.66%	27.20%	+0.67	+3.9	55
2023-02-11	@ Linfield	L 0-1	44.5	1430	1475	27.20%	17.66%	55.14%	-0.67	-3.9	56
2023-02-11	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-0	26.1	1410	1104	78.93%	12.72%	8.35%	+2.36	+3.3	52
2023-02-11	@ Crusaders	L 0-3	26.1	1104	1410	8.35%	12.72%	78.93%	-2.36	-3.3	17
2023-02-11	Glentoran	D 2-2	65.3	1389	1426	44.25%	18.20%	37.55%	+0.14	-0.1	51
2023-02-11	@ Coleraine	D 2-2	65.3	1426	1389	37.55%	18.20%	44.25%	-0.14	+0.1	45
2023-02-11	Portadown	D 0-0	52.7	1270	1048	72.99%	14.64%	12.37%	+1.82	-2.2	31
2023-02-11	@ Ballymena United	D 0-0	52.7	1048	1270	12.37%	14.64%	72.99%	-1.82	+2.2	6
2023-02-14	Ballymena United	W 1-0	44.0	1170	1268	35.64%	18.15%	46.21%	-0.26	+6.2	31
2023-02-14	@ Carrick Rangers	L 0-1	44.0	1268	1170	46.21%	18.15%	35.64%	+0.26	-6.2	31
2023-02-14	Crusaders	D 2-2	63.0	1256	1413	28.14%	17.74%	54.11%	-0.64	+0.6	28
2023-02-14	@ Glenavon	D 2-2	63.0	1413	1256	54.11%	17.74%	28.14%	+0.64	-0.6	53
2023-02-14	Larne	L 0-3	28.2	1101	1436	12.87%	14.82%	72.30%	-1.79	-5.2	17
2023-02-14	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 3-0	28.2	1436	1101	72.30%	14.82%	12.87%	+1.79	+5.2	59
2023-02-14	Linfield	W 3-0	43.3	1426	1479	41.97%	18.22%	39.81%	+0.04	+14.9	48
2023-02-14	@ Glentoran	L 0-3	43.3	1479	1426	39.81%	18.22%	41.97%	-0.04	-14.9	55
2023-02-14	Newry City	W 1-0	30.4	1389	1048	81.03%	11.90%	7.06%	+2.59	+1.0	54
2023-02-14	@ Coleraine	L 0-1	30.4	1048	1389	7.06%	11.90%	81.03%	-2.59	-1.0	20
2023-02-14	Portadown	W 3-0	24.7	1427	1050	83.00%	11.06%	5.94%	+2.82	+2.3	59
2023-02-14	@ Cliftonville	L 0-3	24.7	1050	1427	5.94%	11.06%	83.00%	-2.82	-2.3	6
2023-02-17	Dungannon Swifts	L 0-2	39.8	1047	1095	42.64%	18.22%	39.15%	+0.07	-10.9	20
2023-02-17	@ Newry City	W 2-0	39.8	1095	1047	39.15%	18.22%	42.64%	-0.07	+10.9	20
2023-02-17	Glentoran	L 1-3	42.0	1262	1441	25.74%	17.52%	56.75%	-0.78	-6.1	31
2023-02-17	@ Ballymena United	W 3-1	42.0	1441	1262	56.75%	17.52%	25.74%	+0.78	+6.1	51
2023-02-18	Carrick Rangers	W 2-0	29.5	1464	1176	77.76%	13.15%	9.09%	+2.25	+2.5	58
2023-02-18	@ Linfield	L 0-2	29.5	1176	1464	9.09%	13.15%	77.76%	-2.25	-2.5	31
2023-02-18	Cliftonville	W 2-1	49.8	1441	1429	50.97%	17.95%	31.08%	+0.46	+4.2	62
2023-02-18	@ Larne	L 1-2	49.8	1429	1441	31.08%	17.95%	50.97%	-0.46	-4.2	59
2023-02-18	Coleraine	W 2-0	39.6	1413	1390	52.34%	17.87%	29.79%	+0.53	+8.0	56
2023-02-18	@ Crusaders	L 0-2	39.6	1390	1413	29.79%	17.87%	52.34%	-0.53	-8.0	54
2023-02-18	Glenavon	W 3-1	50.4	1047	1256	22.70%	17.14%	60.16%	-0.97	+12.8	9
2023-02-18	@ Portadown	L 1-3	50.4	1256	1047	60.16%	17.14%	22.70%	+0.97	-12.8	28
2023-02-21	Larne	L 0-3	33.8	1256	1445	24.67%	17.39%	57.94%	-0.85	-9.8	31
2023-02-21	@ Ballymena United	W 3-0	33.8	1445	1256	57.94%	17.39%	24.67%	+0.85	+9.8	65
2023-02-24	Dungannon Swifts	W 3-1	44.2	1060	1106	42.96%	18.21%	38.82%	+0.08	+8.7	12
2023-02-24	@ Portadown	L 1-3	44.2	1106	1060	38.82%	18.21%	42.96%	-0.08	-8.7	20
2023-02-25	Coleraine	W 2-0	38.5	1467	1382	59.85%	17.17%	22.97%	+0.93	+6.3	61
2023-02-25	@ Linfield	L 0-2	38.5	1382	1467	22.97%	17.17%	59.85%	-0.93	-6.3	54
2023-02-25	Crusaders	D 0-0	53.2	1246	1421	26.22%	17.57%	56.21%	-0.75	+1.0	32
2023-02-25	@ Ballymena United	D 0-0	53.2	1421	1246	56.21%	17.57%	26.22%	+0.75	-1.0	57
2023-02-25	Glentoran	W 2-1	51.3	1425	1447	46.25%	18.15%	35.60%	+0.23	+4.7	62
2023-02-25	@ Cliftonville	L 1-2	51.3	1447	1425	35.60%	18.15%	46.25%	-0.23	-4.7	51
2023-02-25	Larne	L 2-3	45.6	1174	1455	16.46%	15.92%	67.62%	-1.44	-2.2	31
2023-02-25	@ Carrick Rangers	W 3-2	45.6	1455	1174	67.62%	15.92%	16.46%	+1.44	+2.2	68
2023-02-25	Newry City	L 0-2	47.6	1243	1036	71.75%	14.97%	13.28%	+1.72	-17.3	28
2023-02-25	@ Glenavon	W 2-0	47.6	1036	1243	13.28%	14.97%	71.75%	-1.72	+17.3	23
2023-02-28	Glenavon	D 0-0	54.0	1443	1226	72.50%	14.77%	12.73%	+1.78	-2.1	52
2023-02-28	@ Glentoran	D 0-0	54.0	1226	1443	12.73%	14.77%	72.50%	-1.78	+2.1	29
2023-03-04	Carrick Rangers	L 1-3	43.1	1069	1171	35.06%	18.13%	46.81%	-0.29	-8.0	12
2023-03-04	@ Portadown	W 3-1	43.1	1171	1069	46.81%	18.13%	35.06%	+0.29	+8.0	34
2023-03-04	Glenavon	L 0-1	37.7	1054	1228	26.23%	17.57%	56.20%	-0.75	-3.8	23
2023-03-04	@ Newry City	W 1-0	37.7	1228	1054	56.20%	17.57%	26.23%	+0.75	+3.8	32
2023-03-07	Ballymena United	W 3-1	38.8	1376	1247	64.55%	16.49%	18.96%	+1.21	+4.6	57
2023-03-07	@ Coleraine	L 1-3	38.8	1247	1376	18.96%	16.49%	64.55%	-1.21	-4.6	32
2023-03-07	Glentoran	L 1-5	33.6	1179	1441	18.03%	16.30%	65.67%	-1.31	-8.0	34
2023-03-07	@ Carrick Rangers	W 5-1	33.6	1441	1179	65.67%	16.30%	18.03%	+1.31	+8.0	55
2023-03-07	Linfield	D 0-0	59.0	1457	1473	47.17%	18.12%	34.71%	+0.27	-0.4	69
2023-03-07	@ Larne	D 0-0	59.0	1473	1457	34.71%	18.12%	47.17%	-0.27	+0.4	62
2023-03-11	Carrick Rangers	L 0-1	41.7	1098	1172	38.99%	18.22%	42.80%	-0.10	-5.3	20
2023-03-11	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 1-0	41.7	1172	1098	42.80%	18.22%	38.99%	+0.10	+5.3	37
2023-03-11	Glenavon	L 0-2	49.4	1448	1232	72.49%	14.77%	12.73%	+1.78	-17.5	55
2023-03-11	@ Glentoran	W 2-0	49.4	1232	1448	12.73%	14.77%	72.49%	-1.78	+17.5	35
2023-03-11	Portadown	L 3-4	57.4	1050	1061	47.82%	18.10%	34.08%	+0.31	-5.5	23
2023-03-11	@ Newry City	W 4-3	57.4	1061	1050	34.08%	18.10%	47.82%	-0.31	+5.5	15
2023-03-13	Cliftonville	D 2-2	66.2	1420	1429	48.06%	18.09%	33.84%	+0.32	-0.3	58
2023-03-13	@ Crusaders	D 2-2	66.2	1429	1420	33.84%	18.09%	48.06%	-0.32	+0.3	63
2023-03-14	Ballymena United	W 1-0	35.0	1431	1242	70.17%	15.36%	14.47%	+1.60	+2.1	58
2023-03-14	@ Glentoran	L 0-1	35.0	1242	1431	14.47%	15.36%	70.17%	-1.60	-2.1	32
2023-03-17	Ballymena United	W 1-0	34.6	1457	1240	72.50%	14.77%	12.73%	+1.78	+1.9	72
2023-03-17	@ Larne	L 0-1	34.6	1240	1457	12.73%	14.77%	72.50%	-1.78	-1.9	32
2023-03-18	Coleraine	W 2-1	51.4	1250	1380	31.41%	17.97%	50.62%	-0.47	+6.3	38
2023-03-18	@ Glenavon	L 1-2	51.4	1380	1250	50.62%	17.97%	31.41%	+0.47	-6.3	57
2023-03-18	Crusaders	D 2-2	62.9	1066	1420	11.85%	14.43%	73.72%	-1.91	+1.5	16
2023-03-18	@ Portadown	D 2-2	62.9	1420	1066	73.72%	14.43%	11.85%	+1.91	-1.5	59
2023-03-18	Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	58.1	1430	1092	80.82%	11.99%	7.19%	+2.56	-9.5	63
2023-03-18	@ Cliftonville	W 2-1	58.1	1092	1430	7.19%	11.99%	80.82%	-2.56	+9.5	23
2023-03-18	Glentoran	L 0-4	29.6	1177	1433	18.42%	16.38%	65.20%	-1.28	-9.8	37
2023-03-18	@ Carrick Rangers	W 4-0	29.6	1433	1177	65.20%	16.38%	18.42%	+1.28	+9.8	61
2023-03-18	Newry City	W 7-0	23.8	1474	1044	85.57%	9.85%	4.58%	+3.16	+3.8	65
2023-03-18	@ Linfield	L 0-7	23.8	1044	1474	4.58%	9.85%	85.57%	-3.16	-3.8	23
2023-03-24	Linfield	L 0-5	26.3	1102	1477	10.66%	13.92%	75.41%	-2.05	-6.9	23
2023-03-24	@ Dungannon Swifts	W 5-0	26.3	1477	1102	75.41%	13.92%	10.66%	+2.05	+6.9	68
2023-03-25	Carrick Rangers	W 3-0	27.6	1418	1167	75.15%	14.01%	10.84%	+2.00	+4.4	62
2023-03-25	@ Crusaders	L 0-3	27.6	1167	1418	10.84%	14.01%	75.15%	-2.00	-4.3	37
2023-03-25	Cliftonville	L 1-2	37.3	1040	1420	10.46%	13.83%	75.71%	-2.08	-1.4	23
2023-03-25	@ Newry City	W 2-1	37.3	1420	1040	75.71%	13.83%	10.46%	+2.08	+1.4	66
2023-03-25	Larne	D 0-0	55.9	1374	1459	37.48%	18.19%	44.33%	-0.17	+0.2	58
2023-03-25	@ Coleraine	D 0-0	55.9	1459	1374	44.33%	18.19%	37.48%	+0.17	-0.2	73
2023-04-01	Portadown	W 5-1	27.8	1443	1068	82.91%	11.11%	5.99%	+2.81	+2.5	64
2023-04-01	@ Glentoran	L 1-5	27.8	1068	1443	5.99%	11.11%	82.91%	-2.81	-2.5	16
2023-04-03	Glenavon	L 0-1	44.4	1238	1256	46.98%	18.13%	34.90%	+0.27	-6.2	32
2023-04-03	@ Ballymena United	W 1-0	44.4	1256	1238	34.90%	18.13%	46.98%	-0.27	+6.3	41

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2023-04-07	Ballymena United	W 1-0	46.4	1065	1232	27.13%	17.66%	55.21%	-0.70	+7.2	3
2023-04-07	@ Portadown	L 0-1	46.4	1232	1065	55.21%	17.66%	27.13%	+0.70	-7.2	0
2023-04-07	Coleraine	D 2-2	65.0	1422	1374	55.43%	17.64%	26.93%	+0.69	-0.6	1
2023-04-07	@ Cliftonville	D 2-2	65.0	1374	1422	26.93%	17.64%	55.43%	-0.69	+0.6	1
2023-04-07	Crusaders	D 0-0	58.3	1484	1422	57.19%	17.47%	25.34%	+0.78	-1.1	1
2023-04-07	@ Linfield	D 0-0	58.3	1422	1484	25.34%	17.47%	57.19%	-0.78	+1.1	1
2023-04-07	Dungannon Swifts	D 1-1	56.7	1262	1095	68.26%	15.79%	15.95%	+1.46	-1.7	1
2023-04-07	@ Glenavon	D 1-1	56.7	1095	1262	15.95%	15.79%	68.26%	-1.46	+1.6	1
2023-04-07	Glentoran	W 2-0	42.8	1458	1445	51.07%	17.95%	30.98%	+0.46	+8.3	3
2023-04-07	@ Larne	L 0-2	42.8	1445	1458	30.98%	17.95%	51.07%	-0.46	-8.3	0
2023-04-07	Newry City	L 0-2	45.8	1163	1039	64.05%	16.58%	19.37%	+1.18	-15.6	0
2023-04-07	@ Carrick Rangers	W 2-0	45.8	1039	1163	19.37%	16.58%	64.05%	-1.18	+15.6	3
2023-04-11	Ballymena United	W 3-2	48.9	1260	1225	53.96%	17.76%	28.29%	+0.61	+3.6	4
2023-04-11	@ Glenavon	L 2-3	48.9	1225	1260	28.29%	17.76%	53.96%	-0.61	-3.6	0
2023-04-11	Coleraine	W 3-1	44.0	1424	1375	55.59%	17.62%	26.78%	+0.69	+6.3	4
2023-04-11	@ Crusaders	L 1-3	44.0	1375	1424	26.78%	17.62%	55.59%	-0.69	-6.3	1
2023-04-11	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	34.9	1147	1097	55.83%	17.60%	26.57%	+0.71	+7.2	3
2023-04-11	@ Carrick Rangers	L 0-2	34.9	1097	1147	26.57%	17.60%	55.83%	-0.71	-7.2	1
2023-04-11	Larne	L 0-2	45.9	1421	1467	42.99%	18.21%	38.80%	+0.08	-10.9	1
2023-04-11	@ Cliftonville	W 2-0	45.9	1467	1421	38.80%	18.21%	42.99%	-0.08	+10.9	6
2023-04-11	Newry City	L 0-1	45.4	1073	1055	51.74%	17.91%	30.35%	+0.50	-6.8	3
2023-04-11	@ Portadown	W 1-0	45.4	1055	1073	30.35%	17.91%	51.74%	-0.50	+6.8	6
2023-04-12	Glentoran	D 1-1	63.0	1483	1437	55.28%	17.65%	27.07%	+0.68	-0.9	2
2023-04-12	@ Linfield	D 1-1	63.0	1437	1483	27.07%	17.65%	55.28%	-0.68	+0.9	1
2023-04-14	Larne	L 0-2	46.5	1430	1478	42.71%	18.22%	39.08%	+0.07	-10.9	4
2023-04-14	@ Crusaders	W 2-0	46.5	1478	1430	39.08%	18.22%	42.71%	-0.07	+10.9	9
2023-04-15	Carrick Rangers	W 3-1	46.1	1066	1154	36.95%	18.18%	44.87%	-0.19	+9.8	6
2023-04-15	@ Portadown	L 1-3	46.1	1154	1066	44.87%	18.18%	36.95%	+0.19	-9.8	3
2023-04-15	Cliftonville	W 3-0	38.2	1438	1410	53.01%	17.83%	29.16%	+0.56	+11.4	4
2023-04-15	@ Glentoran	L 0-3	38.2	1410	1438	29.16%	17.83%	53.01%	-0.56	-11.4	1
2023-04-15	Dungannon Swifts	W 2-0	32.2	1221	1089	64.88%	16.44%	18.68%	+1.23	+5.2	3
2023-04-15	@ Ballymena United	L 0-2	32.2	1089	1221	18.68%	16.44%	64.88%	-1.23	-5.2	1
2023-04-15	Glenavon	L 0-1	36.7	1061	1264	23.30%	17.22%	59.48%	-0.93	-3.4	6
2023-04-15	@ Newry City	W 1-0	36.7	1264	1061	59.48%	17.22%	23.30%	+0.93	+3.4	7
2023-04-15	Linfield	L 0-1	44.9	1369	1482	33.56%	18.08%	48.36%	-0.36	-4.7	1
2023-04-15	@ Coleraine	W 1-0	44.9	1482	1369	48.36%	18.08%	33.56%	+0.36	+4.7	5
2023-04-21	Linfield	D 1-1	64.9	1489	1487	49.54%	18.03%	32.43%	+0.39	-0.5	10
2023-04-21	@ Larne	D 1-1	64.9	1487	1489	32.43%	18.03%	49.54%	-0.39	+0.5	6
2023-04-22	Ballymena United	D 2-2	61.6	1058	1227	26.92%	17.64%	55.45%	-0.71	+0.6	7
2023-04-22	@ Newry City	D 2-2	61.6	1227	1058	55.45%	17.64%	26.92%	+0.71	-0.7	4
2023-04-22	Coleraine	W 3-0	35.2	1449	1364	59.94%	17.16%	22.90%	+0.93	+9.2	7
2023-04-22	@ Glentoran	L 0-3	35.2	1364	1449	22.90%	17.16%	59.94%	-0.93	-9.2	1
2023-04-22	Crusaders	D 3-3	69.4	1398	1419	46.56%	18.14%	35.30%	+0.25	-0.2	2
2023-04-22	@ Cliftonville	D 3-3	69.4	1419	1398	35.30%	18.14%	46.56%	-0.25	+0.2	5
2023-04-22	Glenavon	L 1-3	42.4	1145	1267	32.40%	18.03%	49.58%	-0.42	-7.5	3
2023-04-22	@ Carrick Rangers	W 3-1	42.4	1267	1145	49.58%	18.03%	32.40%	+0.42	+7.5	10
2023-04-22	Portadown	W 3-2	49.6	1084	1076	50.46%	17.98%	31.56%	+0.43	+4.0	4
2023-04-22	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 2-3	49.6	1076	1084	31.56%	17.98%	50.46%	-0.43	-4.0	6
2023-04-29	Carrick Rangers	W 1-0	36.5	1226	1137	60.29%	17.12%	22.59%	+0.95	+3.3	7
2023-04-29	@ Ballymena United	L 0-1	36.5	1137	1226	22.59%	17.12%	60.29%	-0.95	-3.3	3
2023-04-29	Glentoran	L 1-2	54.0	1419	1459	43.90%	18.20%	37.90%	+0.12	-5.6	5
2023-04-29	@ Crusaders	W 2-1	54.0	1459	1419	37.90%	18.20%	43.90%	-0.12	+5.6	10
2023-04-29	Larne	W 3-0	44.6	1355	1488	31.07%	17.95%	50.98%	-0.49	+18.4	4
2023-04-29	@ Coleraine	L 0-3	44.6	1488	1355	50.98%	17.95%	31.07%	+0.49	-18.4	10
2023-04-29	Linfield	L 0-2	44.0	1398	1488	36.84%	18.18%	44.97%	-0.20	-9.6	2
2023-04-29	@ Cliftonville	W 2-0	44.0	1488	1398	44.97%	18.18%	36.84%	+0.20	+9.6	9
2023-04-29	Newry City	W 2-1	43.7	1088	1059	53.20%	17.81%	28.99%	+0.57	+3.9	7
2023-04-29	@ Dungannon Swifts	L 1-2	43.7	1059	1088	28.99%	17.81%	53.20%	-0.57	-3.9	7
2023-04-29	Portadown	D 0-0	52.6	1275	1072	71.42%	15.05%	13.53%	+1.70	-2.1	11
2023-04-29	@ Glenavon	D 0-0	52.6	1072	1275	13.53%	15.05%	71.42%	-1.70	+2.1	7

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2023-03-18	7.19%	Dungannon Swifts	1092	2	@ Cliftonville	1430	1
2	2022-08-30	9.54%	Newry City	1026	5	@ Glenavon	1304	1
3	2023-03-11	12.73%	Glenavon	1232	2	@ Glentoran	1448	0
4	2023-02-25	13.28%	Newry City	1036	2	@ Glenavon	1243	0
5	2022-08-28	17.05%	@ Carrick Rangers	1191	2	Linfield	1464	1
6	2022-11-14	17.50%	Ballymena United	1256	1	@ Crusaders	1402	0
7	2023-04-07	19.37%	Newry City	1039	2	@ Carrick Rangers	1163	0
8	2022-12-10	20.50%	@ Portadown	1052	1	Ballymena United	1284	0
9	2022-11-25	21.42%	Coleraine	1340	2	@ Larne	1441	0
10	2022-11-08	22.41%	@ Newry City	1051	3	Ballymena United	1263	2
11	2023-02-18	22.70%	@ Portadown	1047	3	Glenavon	1256	1
12	2022-10-01	23.75%	@ Carrick Rangers	1204	4	Crusaders	1402	3
13	2022-11-26	23.81%	@ Dungannon Swifts	1093	1	Glenavon	1291	0
14	2022-09-17	24.84%	Carrick Rangers	1200	1	@ Ballymena United	1266	0
15	2022-08-26	25.37%	Glenavon	1292	3	@ Coleraine	1354	1
16	2022-10-14	26.53%	Glentoran	1415	3	@ Linfield	1466	0
17	2022-10-15	26.67%	Newry City	1049	3	@ Portadown	1099	1
18	2022-11-08	26.96%	@ Glenavon	1286	2	Glentoran	1454	1
19	2023-04-07	27.13%	@ Portadown	1065	1	Ballymena United	1232	0
20	2023-01-21	27.29%	@ Dungannon Swifts	1111	2	Glenavon	1276	1
21	2022-12-03	27.85%	@ Ballymena United	1268	4	Cliftonville	1428	1
22	2023-01-02	28.18%	@ Ballymena United	1270	2	Glentoran	1428	0
23	2022-11-20	29.21%	Cliftonville	1420	1	@ Glentoran	1447	0
24	2022-11-12	29.55%	@ Newry City	1058	4	Carrick Rangers	1204	1
25	2023-04-11	30.35%	Newry City	1055	1	@ Portadown	1073	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2022-08-30	29.05	Newry City	5	1026	9.54%	@ Glenavon	1	1304	77.07%	13.38%
2	2022-10-14	19.98	Glentoran	3	1415	26.53%	@ Linfield	0	1466	55.87%	17.60%
3	2023-04-29	18.40	@ Coleraine	3	1355	31.07%	Larne	0	1488	50.98%	17.95%
4	2023-03-11	17.45	Glenavon	2	1232	12.73%	@ Glentoran	0	1448	72.49%	14.77%
5	2023-02-25	17.29	Newry City	2	1036	13.28%	@ Glenavon	0	1243	71.75%	14.97%
6	2022-10-14	17.03	@ Larne	4	1413	48.00%	Cliftonville	0	1423	33.91%	18.09%
7	2022-10-28	16.69	@ Glentoran	4	1436	48.83%	Larne	0	1440	33.11%	18.06%
8	2022-12-03	16.45	@ Ballymena United	4	1268	27.85%	Cliftonville	1	1428	54.43%	17.72%
9	2022-11-12	15.96	@ Newry City	4	1058	29.55%	Carrick Rangers	1	1204	52.60%	17.85%
10	2023-04-07	15.60	Newry City	2	1039	19.37%	@ Carrick Rangers	0	1163	64.05%	16.58%
11	2022-09-02	15.22	Coleraine	5	1341	59.11%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1142	23.63%	17.26%
12	2022-11-25	15.06	Coleraine	2	1340	21.42%	@ Larne	0	1441	61.64%	16.94%
13	2023-02-14	14.91	@ Glentoran	3	1426	41.97%	Linfield	0	1479	39.81%	18.22%
14	2023-01-14	14.04	Linfield	6	1462	55.81%	@ Glenavon	1	1290	26.58%	17.60%
15	2022-12-26	13.71	@ Crusaders	3	1394	45.89%	Cliftonville	0	1419	35.95%	18.16%
16	2022-12-10	13.69	@ Dungannon Swifts	4	1098	37.68%	Carrick Rangers	1	1181	44.12%	18.20%
17	2022-09-03	13.52	Linfield	4	1456	56.39%	@ Ballymena United	0	1280	26.06%	17.55%
18	2023-01-02	13.35	@ Ballymena United	2	1270	28.18%	Glentoran	0	1428	54.07%	17.75%
19	2023-02-18	12.75	@ Portadown	3	1047	22.70%	Glenavon	1	1256	60.16%	17.14%
20	2022-08-26	12.16	Glenavon	3	1292	25.37%	@ Coleraine	1	1354	57.16%	17.48%
21	2022-10-15	11.89	Newry City	3	1049	26.67%	@ Portadown	1	1099	55.71%	17.61%
22	2022-10-08	11.68	@ Glenavon	5	1269	65.84%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1127	17.89%	16.27%
23	2023-04-15	11.44	@ Glentoran	3	1438	53.01%	Cliftonville	0	1410	29.16%	17.83%
24	2023-04-11	10.94	Larne	2	1467	38.80%	@ Cliftonville	0	1421	42.99%	18.21%
25	2023-01-24	10.90	@ Crusaders	2	1408	39.01%	Linfield	0	1482	42.77%	18.22%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2023-04-22	69.4	@ Cliftonville	3	1398	46.56%	Crusaders	3	1419	35.30%	18.14%
2	2023-01-13	66.7	@ Carrick Rangers	3	1161	18.60%	Cliftonville	3	1415	64.98%	16.42%
3	2023-03-13	66.2	@ Crusaders	2	1420	48.06%	Cliftonville	2	1429	33.84%	18.09%
4	2023-02-11	65.3	@ Coleraine	2	1389	44.25%	Glentoran	2	1426	37.55%	18.20%
5	2023-01-21	65.0	@ Cliftonville	2	1415	53.87%	Coleraine	2	1380	28.37%	17.76%
6	2023-04-07	65.0	@ Cliftonville	2	1422	55.43%	Coleraine	2	1374	26.93%	17.64%
7	2023-04-21	64.9	@ Larne	1	1489	49.54%	Linfield	1	1487	32.43%	18.03%
8	2022-11-05	63.8	@ Cliftonville	2	1416	64.76%	Glenavon	2	1285	18.78%	16.46%
9	2023-02-14	63.0	@ Glenavon	2	1256	28.14%	Crusaders	2	1413	54.11%	17.74%
10	2023-04-12	63.0	@ Linfield	1	1483	55.28%	Glentoran	1	1437	27.07%	17.65%
11	2023-03-18	62.9	@ Portadown	2	1066	11.85%	Crusaders	2	1420	73.72%	14.43%
12	2022-08-13	62.2	@ Ballymena United	2	1285	47.77%	Glenavon	2	1296	34.13%	18.10%
13	2022-09-03	62.0	@ Glenavon	2	1275	58.85%	Carrick Rangers	2	1199	23.86%	17.29%
14	2023-04-22	61.6	@ Newry City	2	1058	26.92%	Ballymena United	2	1227	55.45%	17.64%
15	2022-10-01	61.4	@ Carrick Rangers	4	1204	23.75%	Crusaders	3	1402	58.97%	17.28%
16	2022-09-02	59.1	@ Crusaders	1	1389	48.44%	Larne	1	1396	33.48%	18.08%
17	2023-03-07	59.0	@ Larne	0	1457	47.17%	Linfield	0	1473	34.71%	18.12%
18	2023-04-07	58.3	@ Linfield	0	1484	57.19%	Crusaders	0	1422	25.34%	17.47%
19	2022-11-08	58.1	@ Newry City	3	1051	22.41%	Ballymena United	2	1263	60.50%	17.09%
20	2023-03-18	58.1	Dungannon Swifts	2	1092	7.19%	@ Cliftonville	1	1430	80.82%	11.99%
21	2022-10-22	57.7	Larne	4	1430	30.41%	@ Linfield	2	1448	51.67%	17.91%
22	2023-03-11	57.4	Portadown	4	1061	34.08%	@ Newry City	3	1050	47.82%	18.10%
23	2022-11-08	56.8	@ Linfield	0	1445	53.31%	Cliftonville	0	1415	28.89%	17.80%
24	2022-11-26	56.8	@ Linfield	0	1458	56.99%	Crusaders	0	1398	25.51%	17.49%
25	2023-04-07	56.7	@ Glenavon	1	1262	68.26%	Dungannon Swifts	1	1095	15.95%	15.79%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2022-10-01	23.8	@ Cliftonville	4	1421	82.37%	Newry City	0	1056	6.29%	11.34%
2	2023-03-18	23.8	@ Linfield	7	1474	85.57%	Newry City	0	1044	4.58%	9.85%
3	2022-12-17	24.5	@ Linfield	4	1459	81.44%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1111	6.82%	11.73%
4	2022-11-08	24.6	@ Larne	4	1433	80.50%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1101	7.38%	12.12%
5	2022-11-19	24.6	@ Crusaders	4	1394	79.77%	Newry City	0	1074	7.82%	12.40%
6	2023-02-14	24.7	@ Cliftonville	3	1427	83.00%	Portadown	0	1050	5.94%	11.06%
7	2022-10-22	24.8	@ Crusaders	4	1399	79.27%	Portadown	0	1087	8.14%	12.60%
8	2022-08-14	25.1	@ Linfield	4	1458	80.02%	Portadown	0	1135	7.67%	12.31%
9	2022-09-03	25.2	@ Glentoran	3	1399	81.19%	Newry City	0	1055	6.97%	11.84%
10	2023-01-24	25.6	@ Glentoran	6	1411	78.08%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1118	8.89%	13.03%
11	2022-10-29	25.9	@ Coleraine	4	1334	75.19%	Portadown	0	1083	10.81%	13.99%
12	2022-11-12	26.1	Larne	5	1437	74.98%	@ Portadown	0	1067	10.96%	14.06%
13	2023-02-11	26.1	@ Crusaders	3	1410	78.93%	Dungannon Swifts	0	1104	8.35%	12.72%
14	2023-03-24	26.3	Linfield	5	1477	75.41%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1102	10.66%	13.92%
15	2023-01-24	27.1	@ Larne	2	1430	82.98%	Portadown	0	1054	5.95%	11.07%
16	2022-12-10	27.3	@ Larne	2	1430	82.18%	Newry City	0	1068	6.40%	11.42%
17	2022-11-05	27.4	Linfield	3	1441	74.51%	@ Portadown	0	1077	11.29%	14.20%
18	2022-11-26	27.4	@ Cliftonville	2	1426	81.90%	Newry City	0	1070	6.56%	11.54%
19	2023-03-25	27.6	@ Crusaders	3	1418	75.15%	Carrick Rangers	0	1167	10.84%	14.01%
20	2023-04-01	27.8	@ Glentoran	5	1443	82.91%	Portadown	1	1068	5.99%	11.11%
21	2022-10-07	27.9	@ Glentoran	5	1405	70.73%	Carrick Rangers	0	1210	14.05%	15.23%
22	2022-11-04	28.0	@ Ballymena United	3	1257	71.20%	Newry City	0	1057	13.69%	15.11%
23	2023-01-28	28.0	Linfield	6	1471	78.37%	@ Portadown	1	1052	8.70%	12.93%
24	2023-02-14	28.2	Larne	3	1436	72.30%	@ Dungannon Swifts	0	1101	12.87%	14.82%
25	2022-09-23	28.3	@ Coleraine	2	1353	78.17%	Newry City	0	1058	8.83%	13.00%