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1979 First Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Viking

32 points · 6th Title

Last Title: 1975

Relegated

Brann

10 pts

Mjondalen · 17 pts

Hamarkameratene · 18 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Moss

5.90 points above expected

30 points · 24.10 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Brann

9.41 points below expected

10 points · 19.41 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Viking Champion 22 13 6 3 32 31 16 +15 28.70 +3.30
2 Moss 22 12 6 4 30 41 25 +16 24.10 +5.90
3 Start 22 12 3 7 27 36 21 +15 28.50 -1.50
4 Bryne 22 11 3 8 25 37 28 +9 24.11 +0.89
5 Lillestrom 22 7 9 6 23 25 23 +2 24.99 -1.99
6 Rosenborg 22 9 4 9 22 31 29 +2 16.19 +5.81
7 Bodo Glimt 22 8 5 9 21 19 26 -7 21.16 -0.16
8 Valerenga 22 8 4 10 20 33 41 -8 23.01 -3.01
9 Skeid 22 7 5 10 19 24 27 -3 22.04 -3.04
10 Hamarkameratene Relegated 22 7 4 11 18 29 33 -4 16.66 +1.34
11 Mjondalen Relegated 22 6 5 11 17 28 43 -15 15.13 +1.87
12 Brann Relegated 22 3 4 15 10 18 40 -22 19.41 -9.41

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Moss 30 24.10 +5.90
2 Rosenborg 22 16.19 +5.81
3 Viking 32 28.70 +3.30
4 Mjondalen 17 15.13 +1.87
5 Hamarkameratene 18 16.66 +1.34

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Brann 10 19.41 -9.41
2 Skeid 19 22.04 -3.04
3 Valerenga 20 23.01 -3.01
4 Lillestrom 23 24.99 -1.99
5 Start 27 28.50 -1.50

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bryne 4 May 24 – Jun 11 1 in 87
2 Rosenborg 3 May 20 – Jun 4 1 in 61
3 Viking 4 May 28 – Jun 18 1 in 24
4 Valerenga 3 Jun 11 – Jun 25 1 in 17
5 Start 5 Aug 6 – Sep 9 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Brann 6 Aug 6 – Sep 16 1 in 30
2 Skeid 3 Jul 30 – Aug 19 1 in 29
3 Start 2 May 24 – May 27 1 in 21
4 Mjondalen 4 Jun 4 – Jun 18 1 in 20
5 Valerenga 3 Oct 1 – Oct 14 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mjondalen 6 Jun 25 – Aug 23 1 in 313
2 Moss 12 Jun 25 – Oct 14 1 in 96
3 Viking 10 Apr 22 – Jun 18 1 in 37
4 Rosenborg 4 Sep 2 – Oct 1 1 in 12
5 Bryne 5 Sep 9 – Oct 14 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Brann 12 Jun 25 – Oct 14 1 in 83
2 Lillestrom 5 May 21 – Jun 11 1 in 22
3 Skeid 5 Jun 25 – Aug 19 1 in 21
4 Bryne 5 Jun 18 – Aug 5 1 in 19
5 Bodo Glimt 5 Apr 22 – May 24 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Viking 1452 32 -22 7 6.7 +0.3
Moss 1463 30 +36 8 6.1 +1.9
Start 1427 27 -40 4 6.2 -2.2
Bryne 1360 25 +38 9 5.5 +3.5
Lillestrom 1389 23 +11 6 5.0 +1.0
Rosenborg 1253 22 +1 4 4.1 -0.1
Bodo Glimt 1310 21 +3 6 4.7 +1.3
Valerenga 1305 20 -41 2 5.3 -3.3
Skeid 1354 19 +35 5 4.5 +0.5
Hamarkameratene 1263 18 +17 6 4.4 +1.6
Mjondalen 1207 17 +11 4 3.7 +0.3
Brann 1214 10 -30 1 3.8 -2.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BG BRA BRY HAM LIL MJO MOS ROS SKE STA VAL VIK
Bodo Glimt —
1-1-0
2.80
1-0-1
2.77
1-0-1
3.46
2-0-0
2.04
2-0-0
3.60
0-1-1
2.23
1-0-1
3.67
0-1-1
2.90
0-2-0
2.03
0-0-2
2.54
0-0-2
1.91
Brann
0-1-1
2.74
—
1-0-1
1.95
0-0-2
3.03
0-0-2
2.18
0-1-1
3.67
0-0-2
2.16
0-1-1
3.09
1-1-0
2.55
1-0-1
1.66
0-0-2
2.40
0-0-2
1.78
Bryne
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
3.59
—
2-0-0
3.57
1-1-0
2.46
1-1-0
3.87
0-1-1
2.65
2-0-0
3.62
0-0-2
3.06
1-0-1
1.95
2-0-0
2.62
0-0-2
2.08
Hamarkameratene
1-0-1
2.08
2-0-0
2.50
0-0-2
1.97
—
0-1-1
1.62
1-0-1
3.01
1-0-1
1.90
0-1-1
2.86
1-1-0
2.06
0-0-2
1.39
1-0-1
1.97
0-1-1
1.38
Lillestrom
0-0-2
3.50
2-0-0
3.36
0-1-1
3.07
1-1-0
3.93
—
1-1-0
4.06
0-1-1
2.81
1-0-1
3.68
0-2-0
3.46
1-0-1
2.28
1-1-0
2.98
0-2-0
2.54
Mjondalen
0-0-2
1.95
1-1-0
1.88
0-1-1
1.68
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
1.49
—
0-1-1
1.84
0-0-2
2.48
2-0-0
1.83
1-0-1
1.20
1-0-1
1.54
0-1-1
1.23
Moss
1-1-0
3.32
2-0-0
3.38
1-1-0
2.89
1-0-1
3.64
1-1-0
2.72
1-1-0
3.71
—
1-1-0
3.72
1-0-1
3.20
1-0-1
2.16
1-1-0
2.68
1-0-1
2.27
Rosenborg
1-0-1
1.87
1-1-0
2.44
0-0-2
1.92
1-1-0
2.67
1-0-1
1.87
2-0-0
3.05
0-1-1
1.83
—
1-0-1
2.00
0-1-1
1.51
1-0-1
1.94
1-0-1
1.41
Skeid
1-1-0
2.64
0-1-1
2.98
2-0-0
2.48
0-1-1
3.48
0-2-0
2.08
0-0-2
3.72
1-0-1
2.34
1-0-1
3.55
—
0-0-2
2.05
1-0-1
2.84
1-0-1
1.84
Start
0-2-0
3.51
1-0-1
3.90
1-0-1
3.59
2-0-0
4.17
1-0-1
3.25
1-0-1
4.38
1-0-1
3.37
1-1-0
4.05
2-0-0
3.49
—
2-0-0
3.55
0-0-2
2.80
Valerenga
2-0-0
3.00
2-0-0
3.14
0-0-2
2.92
1-0-1
3.57
0-1-1
2.55
1-0-1
4.01
0-1-1
2.85
1-0-1
3.61
1-0-1
2.69
0-0-2
1.99
—
0-2-0
2.22
Viking
2-0-0
3.63
2-0-0
3.76
2-0-0
3.46
1-1-0
4.18
0-2-0
3.00
1-1-0
4.33
1-0-1
3.27
1-0-1
4.15
1-0-1
3.71
2-0-0
2.73
0-2-0
3.32
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.49 +6.0
Allowed 0.64 -5.7
Differential 0.90 +4.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.58%9.09%7.58%2.65%2.65%—29.55%
19.09%9.85%6.44%5.30%0.76%0.38%31.82%
27.58%6.44%3.03%3.03%0.76%—20.83%
32.65%5.30%3.03%1.52%——12.50%
42.65%0.76%0.76%——0.38%4.55%
5+—0.38%——0.38%—0.76%
Total29.55%31.82%20.83%12.50%4.55%0.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.33 +0.00
SD 1.21 1.21 1.77
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%27.27%—4.55%—50.00%
19.09%9.09%————18.18%
213.64%9.09%4.55%———27.27%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.82%27.27%36.36%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 1.18 -0.32
SD 0.99 1.05 1.64
CV 1.15 0.89 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%18.18%13.64%—4.55%—40.91%
14.55%4.55%9.09%18.18%4.55%—40.91%
2—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
34.55%—————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%27.27%31.82%18.18%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 1.82 -1.00
SD 0.85 1.18 1.51
CV 1.04 0.65 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%—9.09%——22.73%
19.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
2—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
34.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
49.09%—4.55%———13.64%
5+———————
Total27.27%36.36%18.18%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.27 +0.41
SD 1.39 1.08 1.97
CV 0.83 0.85 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%9.09%—4.55%—36.36%
1—9.09%4.55%13.64%——27.27%
29.09%9.09%—4.55%——22.73%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total18.18%40.91%18.18%18.18%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.50 -0.18
SD 1.52 1.14 2.02
CV 1.16 0.76 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%4.55%9.09%4.55%——36.36%
19.09%18.18%—9.09%——36.36%
29.09%—————9.09%
3—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total40.91%31.82%9.09%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.05 +0.09
SD 1.21 1.13 1.69
CV 1.06 1.08 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%—40.91%
14.55%————4.55%9.09%
24.55%13.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%—36.36%
3—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
4—————4.55%4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%31.82%18.18%13.64%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.95 -0.68
SD 1.24 1.68 1.81
CV 0.98 0.86 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
14.55%18.18%4.55%———27.27%
218.18%4.55%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
34.55%22.73%—4.55%——31.82%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%50.00%9.09%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.14 +0.73
SD 0.99 1.08 1.61
CV 0.53 0.95 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
19.09%13.64%13.64%9.09%——45.45%
213.64%——4.55%——18.18%
34.55%—9.09%———13.64%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total31.82%22.73%27.27%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.32 +0.09
SD 1.10 1.13 1.57
CV 0.78 0.86 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—36.36%
19.09%—22.73%———31.82%
24.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
3——4.55%———4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total36.36%18.18%36.36%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.23 -0.14
SD 1.11 1.15 1.58
CV 1.02 0.94 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%13.64%4.55%——31.82%
113.64%9.09%4.55%———27.27%
2—4.55%————4.55%
34.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
413.64%4.55%————18.18%
5+———————
Total36.36%36.36%22.73%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 0.95 +0.68
SD 1.56 0.90 2.10
CV 0.95 0.94 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
113.64%9.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%—40.91%
2—9.09%—9.09%4.55%—22.73%
3—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
4———————
5+————4.55%—4.55%
Total18.18%31.82%9.09%27.27%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.86 -0.36
SD 1.22 1.39 1.53
CV 0.82 0.75 —
Max 5 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%——4.55%—13.64%
122.73%18.18%4.55%———45.45%
218.18%4.55%4.55%———27.27%
39.09%—4.55%———13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total54.55%27.27%13.64%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 0.73 +0.68
SD 0.91 1.03 1.52
CV 0.64 1.42 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Moss 1463 30 24.10 +5.90 93.0% 11 17 21 24 27 31 33
Viking 1452 32 28.70 +3.30 82.0% 18 24 26 28 31 34 37
Start 1427 27 28.50 -1.50 40.0% 17 21 26 29 31 35 40
Lillestrom 1389 23 24.99 -1.99 43.0% 18 18 22 24 28 32 34
Bryne 1360 25 24.11 +0.89 63.0% 14 16 21 24 26 30 33
Skeid 1354 19 22.04 -3.04 27.0% 12 17 19 22 24 27 29
Bodo Glimt 1310 21 21.16 -0.16 56.0% 13 15 19 21 24 26 31
Valerenga 1305 20 23.01 -3.01 29.0% 14 16 20 23 26 29 32
Hamarkameratene 1263 18 16.66 +1.34 71.0% 6 10 13 17 19 24 28
Rosenborg 1253 22 16.19 +5.81 96.0% 9 10 14 16 18 22 24
Brann 1214 10 19.41 -9.41 1.0% 8 14 17 19 22 26 28
Mjondalen 1207 17 15.13 +1.87 71.0% 7 9 12 15 18 22 25

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 17.5% * Clear Edge: 17.5% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.88%
No Edge
45.45%21.97%32.58%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 45.00 Elo pts.
333 Elo
0.003 goals per Elo point
01000
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.24 goals
Neutral
-2+0.14+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.6
Top-Heavy
134610
Champion Preseason Odds
33%
Viking, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Tight Race
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.11 * Some Luck: 3.11 to 4.66 * Lucky: 4.66 to 6.22 * Wild Swing: 6.22 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.49 * Close: 1.49 to 2.23 * Off: 2.23 to 2.98 * Way Off: 2.98 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.9 * A Surprise: 0.9 to 1.44 * Several Surprises: 1.44 to 1.98 * Many Surprises: 1.98 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.07 points
Some Luck
03.8910
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.67
Close
01.864
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
96.00%
Rosenborg
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
Brann
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 3
A Surprise
00.93

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.55 * Strong Separation: 1.55 to 1.75 * Wide Separation: 1.75 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61.5% * Slight Edge: 61.5% to 65% * Clear Edge: 65% to 69.5% * Wide Edge: 69.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82% * Clear Edge: 82% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53.5% * Some Drama: 53.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Even
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 88.83
1.45
Moderate Separation
0.91.351.551.752.5
Interquartile Edge
69%
Clear Edge
50%61.5%69.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
81%
Even
50%85%100%
Close Games
Expected
60%
Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
13%
Rare
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.32 * Slight Separation: 0.32 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.38 * Lopsided: 0.38 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.28 * Some Carryover: 0.28 to 0.48 * Strong Carryover: 0.48 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23.5% * As Expected: 23.5% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 27.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 27.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Shaky Favorites: 22% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.63
Hard to Predict
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.33
Slight Separation
00.320.380.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.14
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.40
Some Carryover
00.280.481
Upset Rate
Expected
29%
Very Upset-Prone
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Shaky Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.34
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.63
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.073
Well Within Noise
00.1420.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Viking33.00%24.00%23.00%11.00%4.00%3.00%——1.00%—1.00%—
Moss9.00%12.00%9.00%15.00%18.00%12.00%9.00%6.00%5.00%4.00%—1.00%
Start38.00%21.00%19.00%6.00%9.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%————
Bryne5.00%14.00%14.00%14.00%11.00%11.00%13.00%8.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%3.00%
Lillestrom9.00%18.00%11.00%10.00%11.00%14.00%11.00%5.00%9.00%1.00%1.00%—
Rosenborg————3.00%4.00%2.00%10.00%10.00%21.00%31.00%19.00%
Bodo Glimt1.00%2.00%3.00%11.00%10.00%11.00%16.00%14.00%13.00%10.00%5.00%4.00%
Valerenga5.00%6.00%5.00%17.00%12.00%13.00%10.00%11.00%11.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%
Skeid—2.00%12.00%7.00%10.00%15.00%17.00%18.00%13.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%
Hamarkameratene——1.00%3.00%4.00%3.00%8.00%7.00%14.00%17.00%22.00%21.00%
Mjondalen———1.00%2.00%—4.00%5.00%9.00%20.00%18.00%41.00%
Brann—1.00%3.00%5.00%6.00%11.00%8.00%14.00%11.00%19.00%15.00%7.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Start 100% —
Viking 99.00% 1.00%
Lillestrom 98.00% 2.00%
Moss 95.00% 5.00%
Bryne 94.00% 6.00%
Skeid 94.00% 6.00%
Valerenga 90.00% 10.00%
Bodo Glimt 81.00% 19.00%
Brann 59.00% 41.00%
Hamarkameratene 40.00% 60.00%
Rosenborg 29.00% 71.00%
Mjondalen 21.00% 79.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1979-04-22 Skeid W 2-146.8 1351 1362 46.05% 23.27% 30.68%+0.10 +7.4 2
1979-04-22 @ Brann L 1-246.8 1362 1351 30.68% 23.27% 46.05%-0.10 -7.4 0
1979-04-22 Viking L 2-353.7 1321 1407 35.74% 23.25% 41.00%-0.12 -7.9 0
1979-04-22 @ Bryne W 3-253.7 1407 1321 41.00% 23.25% 35.74%+0.12 +7.9 2
1979-04-22 Lillestrom D 0-051.2 1232 1419 23.32% 22.73% 53.94%-0.43 +1.8 1
1979-04-22 @ Hamarkameratene D 0-051.2 1419 1232 53.94% 22.73% 23.32%+0.43 -1.8 1
1979-04-22 Bodo Glimt W 2-042.9 1171 1370 22.05% 22.63% 55.32%-0.46 +23.9 2
1979-04-22 @ Rosenborg L 0-242.9 1370 1171 55.32% 22.63% 22.05%+0.46 -24.0 0
1979-04-22 Moss W 4-032.4 1411 1341 55.78% 22.92% 21.29%+0.35 +20.8 2
1979-04-22 @ Start L 0-432.4 1341 1411 21.29% 22.92% 55.78%-0.35 -20.8 0
1979-04-22 Mjondalen W 5-449.1 1382 1228 63.54% 22.20% 14.26%+0.60 +3.5 2
1979-04-22 @ Valerenga L 4-549.1 1228 1382 14.26% 22.20% 63.54%-0.60 -3.5 0
1979-04-29 Start D 1-157.5 1346 1432 35.74% 23.25% 41.00%-0.12 +0.3 1
1979-04-29 @ Bodo Glimt D 1-157.5 1432 1346 41.00% 23.25% 35.74%+0.12 -0.3 3
1979-04-29 Valerenga W 3-143.0 1417 1386 51.42% 23.14% 25.45%+0.23 +11.0 3
1979-04-29 @ Lillestrom L 1-343.0 1386 1417 25.45% 23.14% 51.42%-0.23 -11.0 2
1979-04-29 Brann W 2-150.5 1225 1358 29.50% 23.08% 47.42%-0.27 +10.4 2
1979-04-29 @ Mjondalen L 1-250.5 1358 1225 47.42% 23.08% 29.50%+0.27 -10.4 2
1979-04-29 Bryne W 3-141.4 1320 1313 48.41% 23.23% 28.36%+0.16 +12.0 2
1979-04-29 @ Moss L 1-341.4 1313 1320 28.36% 23.23% 48.41%-0.16 -12.0 0
1979-04-29 Rosenborg W 1-034.3 1355 1195 64.04% 22.14% 13.82%+0.62 +4.0 2
1979-04-29 @ Skeid L 0-134.3 1195 1355 13.82% 22.14% 64.04%-0.62 -3.9 2
1979-04-29 Hamarkameratene W 2-030.5 1415 1234 65.64% 21.90% 12.47%+0.68 +6.8 4
1979-04-29 @ Viking L 0-230.5 1234 1415 12.47% 21.90% 65.64%-0.68 -6.8 1
1979-05-06 Bodo Glimt W 4-035.3 1301 1346 41.52% 23.30% 35.18%+0.00 +31.2 2
1979-05-06 @ Bryne L 0-435.3 1346 1301 35.18% 23.30% 41.52%+0.00 -31.2 1
1979-05-06 Moss W 3-254.4 1227 1332 33.15% 23.20% 43.65%-0.18 +9.2 3
1979-05-06 @ Hamarkameratene L 2-354.4 1332 1227 43.65% 23.20% 33.15%+0.18 -9.2 2
1979-05-06 Skeid W 1-044.6 1235 1359 30.72% 23.13% 46.15%-0.24 +10.8 4
1979-05-06 @ Mjondalen L 0-144.6 1359 1235 46.15% 23.13% 30.72%+0.24 -10.8 2
1979-05-06 Rosenborg D 1-156.1 1432 1191 69.65% 21.10% 9.24%+0.86 -3.4 4
1979-05-06 @ Start D 1-156.1 1191 1432 9.24% 21.10% 69.65%-0.86 +3.4 3
1979-05-06 Viking D 0-053.2 1375 1422 41.25% 23.30% 35.45%-0.01 -0.3 3
1979-05-06 @ Valerenga D 0-053.2 1422 1375 35.45% 23.30% 41.25%+0.01 +0.3 5
1979-05-13 Mjondalen W 2-030.8 1428 1246 65.72% 21.88% 12.40%+0.68 +6.7 5
1979-05-13 @ Lillestrom L 0-230.8 1246 1428 12.40% 21.88% 65.72%-0.68 -6.7 4
1979-05-13 Valerenga D 1-156.2 1323 1374 40.61% 23.30% 36.09%-0.02 -0.2 3
1979-05-13 @ Moss D 1-156.2 1374 1323 36.09% 23.30% 40.61%+0.02 +0.2 4
1979-05-13 Bryne L 1-340.9 1194 1332 28.88% 23.05% 48.07%-0.28 -12.2 3
1979-05-13 @ Rosenborg W 3-140.9 1332 1194 48.07% 23.05% 28.88%+0.28 +12.2 4
1979-05-13 Start L 0-437.5 1348 1428 36.52% 23.27% 40.21%-0.11 -32.1 2
1979-05-13 @ Skeid W 4-037.5 1428 1348 40.21% 23.27% 36.52%+0.11 +32.1 6
1979-05-13 Brann W 1-039.0 1422 1348 56.20% 22.90% 20.91%+0.36 +5.7 7
1979-05-13 @ Viking L 0-139.0 1348 1422 20.91% 22.90% 56.20%-0.36 -5.7 2
1979-05-20 Bodo Glimt D 1-155.8 1342 1315 50.86% 23.16% 25.99%+0.22 -1.3 3
1979-05-20 @ Brann D 1-155.8 1315 1342 25.99% 23.16% 50.86%-0.22 +1.3 2
1979-05-20 Skeid L 0-146.6 1345 1316 51.08% 23.15% 25.77%+0.22 -11.8 4
1979-05-20 @ Bryne W 1-046.6 1316 1345 25.77% 23.15% 51.08%-0.22 +11.8 4
1979-05-20 Start L 0-137.4 1236 1461 19.65% 22.41% 57.94%-0.54 -5.4 3
1979-05-20 @ Hamarkameratene W 1-037.4 1461 1236 57.94% 22.41% 19.65%+0.54 +5.4 8
1979-05-20 Moss L 0-141.4 1239 1323 36.11% 23.26% 40.63%-0.12 -8.9 4
1979-05-20 @ Mjondalen W 1-041.4 1323 1239 40.63% 23.26% 36.11%+0.12 +8.9 5
1979-05-20 Rosenborg L 2-455.7 1375 1182 66.48% 21.75% 11.77%+0.71 -22.2 4
1979-05-20 @ Valerenga W 4-255.7 1182 1375 11.77% 21.75% 66.48%-0.71 +22.2 5
1979-05-21 Viking D 1-159.6 1435 1428 48.45% 23.22% 28.32%+0.16 -1.0 6
1979-05-21 @ Lillestrom D 1-159.6 1428 1435 28.32% 23.22% 48.45%-0.16 +1.0 8
1979-05-24 Valerenga L 0-144.2 1316 1352 42.77% 23.30% 33.92%+0.03 -10.2 2
1979-05-24 @ Bodo Glimt W 1-044.2 1352 1316 33.92% 23.30% 42.77%-0.03 +10.2 6
1979-05-24 Brann W 2-036.6 1332 1341 46.36% 23.27% 30.37%+0.11 +14.7 7
1979-05-24 @ Moss L 0-236.6 1341 1332 30.37% 23.27% 46.36%-0.11 -14.7 3
1979-05-24 Hamarkameratene W 2-036.0 1204 1231 44.03% 23.29% 32.67%+0.05 +15.5 7
1979-05-24 @ Rosenborg L 0-236.0 1231 1204 32.67% 23.29% 44.03%-0.05 -15.5 3
1979-05-24 Lillestrom D 0-052.5 1328 1434 32.99% 23.20% 43.81%-0.18 +0.6 5
1979-05-24 @ Skeid D 0-052.5 1434 1328 43.81% 23.20% 32.99%+0.18 -0.6 7
1979-05-24 Bryne L 1-257.4 1466 1333 61.80% 22.42% 15.79%+0.54 -13.4 8
1979-05-24 @ Start W 2-157.4 1333 1466 15.79% 22.42% 61.80%-0.54 +13.4 6
1979-05-24 Mjondalen D 2-262.1 1429 1230 66.88% 21.68% 11.44%+0.73 -2.3 9
1979-05-24 @ Viking D 2-262.1 1230 1429 11.44% 21.68% 66.88%-0.73 +2.3 5
1979-05-27 Start W 1-047.0 1326 1453 30.36% 23.11% 46.53%-0.24 +10.9 5
1979-05-27 @ Brann L 0-147.0 1453 1326 46.53% 23.11% 30.36%+0.24 -10.9 8
1979-05-27 Skeid D 0-050.3 1215 1328 32.10% 23.17% 44.73%-0.20 +0.7 4
1979-05-27 @ Hamarkameratene D 0-050.3 1328 1215 44.73% 23.17% 32.10%+0.20 -0.7 6
1979-05-27 Bodo Glimt L 0-246.5 1433 1306 61.27% 22.47% 16.26%+0.52 -26.5 7
1979-05-27 @ Lillestrom W 2-046.5 1306 1433 16.26% 22.47% 61.27%-0.52 +26.5 4
1979-05-28 Bryne L 2-357.5 1363 1346 49.61% 23.19% 27.20%+0.18 -10.3 6
1979-05-28 @ Valerenga W 3-257.5 1346 1363 27.20% 23.19% 49.61%-0.18 +10.3 8
1979-05-28 Moss W 1-038.9 1427 1346 56.81% 22.86% 20.33%+0.38 +5.6 11
1979-05-28 @ Viking L 0-138.9 1346 1427 20.33% 22.86% 56.81%-0.38 -5.6 7
1979-06-04 Mjondalen W 2-032.0 1333 1233 58.77% 22.71% 18.52%+0.44 +9.7 6
1979-06-04 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-232.0 1233 1333 18.52% 22.71% 58.77%-0.44 -9.7 5
1979-06-04 Hamarkameratene W 4-028.5 1356 1216 62.41% 22.34% 15.24%+0.56 +15.5 10
1979-06-04 @ Bryne L 0-428.5 1216 1356 15.24% 22.34% 62.41%-0.56 -15.5 4
1979-06-04 Lillestrom D 1-156.9 1341 1407 38.53% 23.29% 38.18%-0.06 -0.0 8
1979-06-04 @ Moss D 1-156.9 1407 1341 38.18% 23.29% 38.53%+0.06 +0.0 8
1979-06-04 Brann W 1-044.1 1220 1337 31.54% 23.15% 45.30%-0.22 +10.6 9
1979-06-04 @ Rosenborg L 0-144.1 1337 1220 45.30% 23.15% 31.54%+0.22 -10.6 5
1979-06-04 Viking L 1-248.3 1328 1432 33.23% 23.20% 43.57%-0.18 -7.9 6
1979-06-04 @ Skeid W 2-148.3 1432 1328 43.57% 23.20% 33.23%+0.18 +7.9 13
1979-06-04 Valerenga W 4-137.9 1442 1352 57.72% 22.79% 19.49%+0.40 +12.4 10
1979-06-04 @ Start L 1-437.9 1352 1442 19.49% 22.79% 57.72%-0.40 -12.4 6
1979-06-11 Valerenga L 0-145.1 1326 1340 45.79% 23.27% 30.94%+0.09 -10.8 5
1979-06-11 @ Brann W 1-045.1 1340 1326 30.94% 23.27% 45.79%-0.09 +10.8 8
1979-06-11 Lillestrom W 3-037.0 1372 1407 42.91% 23.30% 33.79%+0.03 +23.1 12
1979-06-11 @ Bryne L 0-337.0 1407 1372 33.79% 23.30% 42.91%-0.03 -23.2 8
1979-06-11 Mjondalen W 6-136.6 1201 1223 44.62% 23.29% 32.09%+0.07 +29.6 6
1979-06-11 @ Hamarkameratene L 1-636.6 1223 1201 32.09% 23.29% 44.62%-0.07 -29.6 5
1979-06-11 Moss L 1-342.2 1230 1341 32.46% 23.18% 44.36%-0.20 -13.3 9
1979-06-11 @ Rosenborg W 3-142.2 1341 1230 44.36% 23.18% 32.46%+0.20 +13.4 10
1979-06-11 Bodo Glimt W 2-037.0 1320 1342 44.58% 23.29% 32.13%+0.07 +15.3 8
1979-06-11 @ Skeid L 0-237.0 1342 1320 32.13% 23.29% 44.58%-0.07 -15.3 6
1979-06-11 Viking L 0-344.6 1454 1440 49.31% 23.20% 27.48%+0.18 -31.4 10
1979-06-11 @ Start W 3-044.6 1440 1454 27.48% 23.20% 49.31%-0.18 +31.4 15
1979-06-14 Lillestrom L 0-436.8 1316 1384 38.25% 23.29% 38.46%-0.07 -33.3 5
1979-06-14 @ Brann W 4-036.8 1384 1316 38.46% 23.29% 38.25%+0.07 +33.3 10
1979-06-14 Hamarkameratene W 3-246.8 1327 1230 58.46% 22.73% 18.80%+0.43 +4.7 8
1979-06-14 @ Bodo Glimt L 2-346.8 1230 1327 18.80% 22.73% 58.46%-0.43 -4.7 6
1979-06-14 Rosenborg L 2-354.2 1193 1217 44.45% 23.29% 32.26%+0.06 -9.4 5
1979-06-14 @ Mjondalen W 3-254.2 1217 1193 32.26% 23.29% 44.45%-0.06 +9.4 11
1979-06-18 Bryne W 3-038.6 1282 1395 32.13% 23.17% 44.70%-0.20 +28.8 7
1979-06-18 @ Brann L 0-338.6 1395 1282 44.70% 23.17% 32.13%+0.20 -28.8 12
1979-06-18 Rosenborg L 0-246.6 1417 1226 66.33% 21.78% 11.89%+0.71 -28.7 10
1979-06-18 @ Lillestrom W 2-046.6 1226 1417 11.89% 21.78% 66.33%-0.71 +28.7 13
1979-06-18 Start L 0-429.6 1184 1423 18.37% 22.26% 59.37%-0.58 -18.1 5
1979-06-18 @ Mjondalen W 4-029.6 1423 1184 59.37% 22.26% 18.37%+0.58 +18.1 12
1979-06-18 Skeid L 1-252.3 1354 1335 49.89% 23.19% 26.92%+0.19 -10.9 10
1979-06-18 @ Moss W 2-152.3 1335 1354 26.92% 23.19% 49.89%-0.19 +10.9 10
1979-06-18 Hamarkameratene W 3-137.2 1351 1226 61.08% 22.49% 16.42%+0.51 +7.5 10
1979-06-18 @ Valerenga L 1-337.2 1226 1351 16.42% 22.49% 61.08%-0.51 -7.5 6
1979-06-18 Bodo Glimt W 2-033.9 1471 1332 62.35% 22.35% 15.30%+0.55 +8.2 17
1979-06-18 @ Viking L 0-233.9 1332 1471 15.30% 22.35% 62.35%-0.55 -8.2 8
1979-06-25 Moss L 0-240.9 1324 1343 45.02% 23.28% 31.70%+0.08 -20.0 8
1979-06-25 @ Bodo Glimt W 2-040.9 1343 1324 31.70% 23.28% 45.02%-0.08 +20.0 12
1979-06-25 Mjondalen D 0-050.7 1366 1166 67.01% 21.66% 11.33%+0.74 -3.5 13
1979-06-25 @ Bryne D 0-050.7 1166 1366 11.33% 21.66% 67.01%-0.74 +3.5 6
1979-06-25 Brann W 4-141.9 1218 1311 34.77% 23.24% 41.99%-0.14 +23.1 8
1979-06-25 @ Hamarkameratene L 1-441.9 1311 1218 41.99% 23.24% 34.77%+0.14 -23.1 7
1979-06-25 Viking W 1-049.4 1255 1480 19.63% 22.40% 57.97%-0.54 +13.3 15
1979-06-25 @ Rosenborg L 0-149.4 1480 1255 57.97% 22.40% 19.63%+0.54 -13.3 17
1979-06-25 Valerenga L 1-251.3 1346 1358 45.98% 23.27% 30.75%+0.10 -10.2 10
1979-06-25 @ Skeid W 2-151.3 1358 1346 30.75% 23.27% 45.98%-0.10 +10.2 12
1979-06-25 Lillestrom W 3-142.9 1441 1388 53.82% 23.03% 23.15%+0.29 +10.2 14
1979-06-25 @ Start L 1-342.9 1388 1441 23.15% 23.03% 53.82%-0.29 -10.2 10
1979-07-02 Rosenborg W 2-143.8 1304 1268 51.87% 23.12% 25.01%+0.24 +6.3 10
1979-07-02 @ Bodo Glimt L 1-243.8 1268 1304 25.01% 23.12% 51.87%-0.24 -6.3 15
1979-07-02 Hamarkameratene W 1-035.3 1378 1241 62.13% 22.38% 15.49%+0.55 +4.4 12
1979-07-02 @ Lillestrom L 0-135.3 1241 1378 15.49% 22.38% 62.13%-0.55 -4.4 8
1979-07-02 Valerenga W 2-152.5 1169 1368 22.09% 22.64% 55.28%-0.46 +12.0 8
1979-07-02 @ Mjondalen L 1-252.5 1368 1169 55.28% 22.64% 22.09%+0.46 -12.0 12
1979-07-02 Start W 2-042.2 1363 1451 35.47% 23.25% 41.28%-0.13 +18.6 14
1979-07-02 @ Moss L 0-242.2 1451 1363 41.28% 23.25% 35.47%+0.13 -18.6 14
1979-07-02 Brann D 2-261.4 1336 1288 53.31% 23.06% 23.63%+0.28 -1.2 11
1979-07-02 @ Skeid D 2-261.4 1288 1336 23.63% 23.06% 53.31%-0.28 +1.2 8
1979-07-02 Bryne W 1-039.5 1466 1363 59.11% 22.68% 18.21%+0.45 +5.1 19
1979-07-02 @ Viking L 0-139.5 1363 1466 18.21% 22.68% 59.11%-0.45 -5.1 13
1979-07-29 Moss D 1-156.8 1358 1382 44.41% 23.29% 32.30%+0.06 -0.6 14
1979-07-29 @ Bryne D 1-156.8 1382 1358 32.30% 23.29% 44.41%-0.06 +0.6 15
1979-07-29 Viking D 1-156.6 1237 1471 18.72% 22.30% 58.98%-0.57 +2.2 9
1979-07-29 @ Hamarkameratene D 1-156.6 1471 1237 58.98% 22.30% 18.72%+0.57 -2.2 20
1979-07-29 Bodo Glimt D 0-052.4 1432 1310 60.85% 22.52% 16.63%+0.50 -2.7 15
1979-07-29 @ Start D 0-052.4 1310 1432 16.63% 22.52% 60.85%-0.50 +2.7 11
1979-07-30 Mjondalen D 2-260.7 1289 1181 59.51% 22.65% 17.84%+0.46 -1.7 9
1979-07-30 @ Brann D 2-260.7 1181 1289 17.84% 22.65% 59.51%-0.46 +1.7 9
1979-07-30 Skeid W 3-253.3 1262 1335 37.61% 23.28% 39.11%-0.08 +8.5 17
1979-07-30 @ Rosenborg L 2-353.3 1335 1262 39.11% 23.28% 37.61%+0.08 -8.5 11
1979-07-30 Lillestrom D 3-366.5 1356 1383 44.10% 23.29% 32.60%+0.06 -0.4 13
1979-07-30 @ Valerenga D 3-366.5 1383 1356 32.60% 23.29% 44.10%-0.06 +0.3 13
1979-08-05 Bryne W 2-147.6 1313 1357 41.60% 23.30% 35.09%+0.00 +8.2 13
1979-08-05 @ Bodo Glimt L 1-247.6 1357 1313 35.09% 23.30% 41.60%+0.00 -8.2 14
1979-08-05 Hamarkameratene W 3-137.0 1382 1239 62.66% 22.31% 15.02%+0.57 +7.0 17
1979-08-05 @ Moss L 1-337.0 1239 1382 15.02% 22.31% 62.66%-0.57 -7.0 9
1979-08-06 Brann W 3-138.8 1383 1287 58.33% 22.75% 18.93%+0.42 +8.6 15
1979-08-06 @ Lillestrom L 1-338.8 1287 1383 18.93% 22.75% 58.33%-0.42 -8.6 9
1979-08-06 Start L 2-350.4 1270 1430 26.40% 22.93% 50.67%-0.34 -6.2 17
1979-08-06 @ Rosenborg W 3-250.4 1430 1270 50.67% 22.93% 26.40%+0.34 +6.2 17
1979-08-06 Mjondalen L 1-254.5 1326 1183 62.66% 22.32% 15.03%+0.57 -13.5 11
1979-08-06 @ Skeid W 2-154.5 1183 1326 15.03% 22.32% 62.66%-0.57 +13.5 11
1979-08-06 Valerenga D 1-158.8 1469 1356 60.01% 22.60% 17.39%+0.48 -2.3 21
1979-08-06 @ Viking D 1-158.8 1356 1469 17.39% 22.60% 60.01%-0.48 +2.3 14
1979-08-19 Rosenborg W 2-142.4 1349 1264 57.24% 22.83% 19.93%+0.39 +5.2 16
1979-08-19 @ Bryne L 1-242.4 1264 1349 19.93% 22.83% 57.24%-0.39 -5.2 17
1979-08-19 Bodo Glimt W 2-039.0 1232 1321 35.35% 23.25% 41.40%-0.13 +18.7 11
1979-08-19 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-239.0 1321 1232 41.40% 23.25% 35.35%+0.13 -18.7 13
1979-08-19 Lillestrom D 0-050.7 1197 1392 22.49% 22.67% 54.84%-0.45 +1.9 12
1979-08-19 @ Mjondalen D 0-050.7 1392 1197 54.84% 22.67% 22.49%+0.45 -1.9 16
1979-08-19 Skeid W 1-037.2 1436 1313 60.91% 22.51% 16.57%+0.51 +4.7 19
1979-08-19 @ Start L 0-137.2 1313 1436 16.57% 22.51% 60.91%-0.51 -4.7 11
1979-08-19 Moss L 0-339.3 1358 1389 43.48% 23.30% 33.23%+0.04 -28.2 14
1979-08-19 @ Valerenga W 3-039.3 1389 1358 33.23% 23.30% 43.48%-0.04 +28.2 19
1979-08-20 Viking L 0-235.3 1279 1467 23.22% 22.73% 54.05%-0.43 -11.7 9
1979-08-20 @ Brann W 2-035.3 1467 1279 54.05% 22.73% 23.22%+0.43 +11.7 23
1979-08-22 Valerenga L 1-247.8 1259 1330 37.85% 23.28% 38.86%-0.08 -8.7 17
1979-08-22 @ Rosenborg W 2-147.8 1330 1259 38.86% 23.28% 37.85%+0.08 +8.7 16
1979-08-22 Bryne W 2-147.6 1308 1354 41.40% 23.30% 35.30%+0.00 +8.2 13
1979-08-22 @ Skeid L 1-247.6 1354 1308 35.30% 23.30% 41.40%+0.00 -8.2 16
1979-08-23 Brann W 2-034.1 1302 1267 51.82% 23.12% 25.06%+0.24 +12.5 15
1979-08-23 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-234.1 1267 1302 25.06% 23.12% 51.82%-0.24 -12.5 9
1979-08-23 Mjondalen D 3-365.6 1417 1198 68.26% 21.41% 10.33%+0.79 -2.0 20
1979-08-23 @ Moss D 3-365.6 1198 1417 10.33% 21.41% 68.26%-0.79 +2.0 13
1979-08-26 Hamarkameratene W 2-140.5 1441 1251 66.27% 21.79% 11.94%+0.71 +3.2 21
1979-08-26 @ Start L 1-240.5 1251 1441 11.94% 21.79% 66.27%-0.71 -3.2 11
1979-09-02 Start L 0-337.2 1346 1444 34.10% 23.22% 42.68%-0.16 -23.3 16
1979-09-02 @ Bryne W 3-037.2 1444 1346 42.68% 23.22% 34.10%+0.16 +23.3 23
1979-09-02 Rosenborg D 1-154.8 1247 1250 47.15% 23.25% 29.60%+0.13 -0.9 12
1979-09-02 @ Hamarkameratene D 1-154.8 1250 1247 29.60% 23.25% 47.15%-0.13 +0.9 18
1979-09-02 Skeid D 0-051.7 1390 1316 56.08% 22.91% 21.01%+0.36 -2.1 17
1979-09-02 @ Lillestrom D 0-051.7 1316 1390 21.01% 22.91% 56.08%-0.36 +2.1 14
1979-09-02 Viking L 0-135.6 1200 1479 15.21% 21.81% 62.98%-0.70 -4.3 13
1979-09-02 @ Mjondalen W 1-035.6 1479 1200 62.98% 21.81% 15.21%+0.70 +4.3 25
1979-09-03 Moss L 1-341.0 1255 1415 26.22% 22.92% 50.85%-0.35 -11.2 9
1979-09-03 @ Brann W 3-141.0 1415 1255 50.85% 22.92% 26.22%+0.35 +11.2 22
1979-09-03 Bodo Glimt W 1-039.1 1339 1315 50.54% 23.17% 26.29%+0.21 +6.9 18
1979-09-03 @ Valerenga L 0-139.1 1315 1339 26.29% 23.17% 50.54%-0.21 -6.9 15
1979-09-09 Lillestrom W 1-043.7 1308 1388 36.61% 23.27% 40.12%-0.10 +9.7 17
1979-09-09 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-143.7 1388 1308 40.12% 23.27% 36.61%+0.10 -9.7 17
1979-09-09 Valerenga W 1-041.1 1323 1346 44.50% 23.29% 32.21%+0.07 +8.1 18
1979-09-09 @ Bryne L 0-141.1 1346 1323 32.21% 23.29% 44.50%-0.07 -8.1 18
1979-09-09 Viking W 2-153.3 1427 1483 39.95% 23.30% 36.75%-0.03 +8.5 24
1979-09-09 @ Moss L 1-253.3 1483 1427 36.75% 23.30% 39.95%+0.03 -8.5 25
1979-09-09 Mjondalen W 3-030.7 1251 1196 54.12% 23.02% 22.86%+0.30 +16.9 20
1979-09-09 @ Rosenborg L 0-330.7 1196 1251 22.86% 23.02% 54.12%-0.30 -16.9 13
1979-09-09 Hamarkameratene L 1-252.9 1318 1246 55.93% 22.92% 21.15%+0.35 -12.1 14
1979-09-09 @ Skeid W 2-152.9 1246 1318 21.15% 22.92% 55.93%-0.35 +12.1 14
1979-09-09 Brann W 1-034.4 1467 1243 68.56% 21.35% 10.09%+0.81 +2.9 25
1979-09-09 @ Start L 0-134.4 1243 1467 10.09% 21.35% 68.56%-0.81 -2.9 9
1979-09-16 Skeid D 0-050.8 1317 1306 48.95% 23.21% 27.84%+0.17 -1.2 18
1979-09-16 @ Bodo Glimt D 0-050.8 1306 1317 27.84% 23.21% 48.95%-0.17 +1.2 15
1979-09-16 Bryne D 1-156.4 1378 1331 53.24% 23.06% 23.70%+0.28 -1.5 18
1979-09-16 @ Lillestrom D 1-156.4 1331 1378 23.70% 23.06% 53.24%-0.28 +1.5 19
1979-09-16 Hamarkameratene W 3-144.0 1179 1259 36.68% 23.27% 40.05%-0.10 +15.7 15
1979-09-16 @ Mjondalen L 1-344.0 1259 1179 40.05% 23.27% 36.68%+0.10 -15.7 14
1979-09-16 Rosenborg D 1-156.6 1435 1268 64.56% 22.06% 13.38%+0.64 -2.8 25
1979-09-16 @ Moss D 1-156.6 1268 1435 13.38% 22.06% 64.56%-0.64 +2.8 21
1979-09-16 Brann W 3-138.0 1338 1240 58.48% 22.73% 18.78%+0.43 +8.5 20
1979-09-16 @ Valerenga L 1-338.0 1240 1338 18.78% 22.73% 58.48%-0.43 -8.5 9
1979-09-16 Start W 1-046.4 1474 1470 48.10% 23.23% 28.67%+0.15 +7.4 27
1979-09-16 @ Viking L 0-146.4 1470 1474 28.67% 23.23% 48.10%-0.15 -7.4 25
1979-10-01 Rosenborg D 0-050.1 1232 1271 42.36% 23.30% 34.34%+0.02 -0.4 10
1979-10-01 @ Brann D 0-050.1 1271 1232 34.34% 23.30% 42.36%-0.02 +0.4 22
1979-10-01 Bryne L 0-141.2 1243 1332 35.28% 23.25% 41.47%-0.13 -8.7 14
1979-10-01 @ Hamarkameratene W 1-041.2 1332 1243 41.47% 23.25% 35.28%+0.13 +8.7 21
1979-10-01 Moss L 1-347.6 1376 1432 40.01% 23.30% 36.69%-0.03 -15.7 18
1979-10-01 @ Lillestrom W 3-147.6 1432 1376 36.69% 23.30% 40.01%+0.03 +15.7 27
1979-10-01 Bodo Glimt L 0-139.6 1195 1316 31.04% 23.14% 45.83%-0.23 -7.9 15
1979-10-01 @ Mjondalen W 1-039.6 1316 1195 45.83% 23.14% 31.04%+0.23 +7.9 20
1979-10-01 Start L 1-345.0 1346 1463 31.65% 23.16% 45.20%-0.21 -13.1 20
1979-10-01 @ Valerenga W 3-145.0 1463 1346 45.20% 23.16% 31.65%+0.21 +13.1 27
1979-10-01 Skeid L 0-445.9 1482 1307 65.13% 21.98% 12.89%+0.66 -53.4 27
1979-10-01 @ Viking W 4-045.9 1307 1482 12.89% 21.98% 65.13%-0.66 +53.4 17
1979-10-07 Viking L 0-238.5 1324 1428 33.25% 23.20% 43.55%-0.18 -15.7 20
1979-10-07 @ Bodo Glimt W 2-038.5 1428 1324 43.55% 23.20% 33.25%+0.18 +15.7 29
1979-10-07 Brann W 3-137.6 1341 1232 59.65% 22.63% 17.71%+0.46 +8.1 23
1979-10-07 @ Bryne L 1-337.6 1232 1341 17.71% 22.63% 59.65%-0.46 -8.1 10
1979-10-07 Valerenga W 2-039.4 1234 1333 33.97% 23.22% 42.81%-0.16 +19.2 16
1979-10-07 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-239.4 1333 1234 42.81% 23.22% 33.97%+0.16 -19.2 20
1979-10-07 Lillestrom L 0-141.6 1271 1361 35.30% 23.25% 41.45%-0.13 -8.7 22
1979-10-07 @ Rosenborg W 1-041.6 1361 1271 41.45% 23.25% 35.30%+0.13 +8.7 20
1979-10-07 Moss L 0-240.4 1361 1448 35.58% 23.25% 41.16%-0.13 -16.6 17
1979-10-07 @ Skeid W 2-040.4 1448 1361 41.16% 23.25% 35.58%+0.13 +16.6 29
1979-10-07 Mjondalen L 0-248.2 1476 1187 72.33% 20.38% 7.29%+1.00 -31.1 27
1979-10-07 @ Start W 2-048.2 1187 1476 7.29% 20.38% 72.33%-1.00 +31.1 17
1979-10-10 Lillestrom D 1-158.4 1444 1369 56.23% 22.90% 20.88%+0.36 -1.9 30
1979-10-10 @ Viking D 1-158.4 1369 1444 20.88% 22.90% 56.23%-0.36 +1.9 21
1979-10-14 Hamarkameratene L 1-249.0 1223 1253 43.62% 23.30% 33.08%+0.05 -9.7 10
1979-10-14 @ Brann W 2-149.0 1253 1223 33.08% 23.30% 43.62%-0.05 +9.7 18
1979-10-14 Start W 2-041.6 1371 1445 37.53% 23.28% 39.19%-0.08 +17.9 23
1979-10-14 @ Lillestrom L 0-241.6 1445 1371 39.19% 23.28% 37.53%+0.08 -17.9 27
1979-10-14 Bryne L 2-445.2 1218 1349 29.83% 23.09% 47.08%-0.26 -11.2 17
1979-10-14 @ Mjondalen W 4-245.2 1349 1218 47.08% 23.09% 29.83%+0.26 +11.2 25
1979-10-14 Bodo Glimt D 2-263.6 1465 1308 63.72% 22.18% 14.10%+0.60 -2.0 30
1979-10-14 @ Moss D 2-263.6 1308 1465 14.10% 22.18% 63.72%-0.60 +2.0 21
1979-10-14 Skeid L 2-355.1 1314 1344 43.54% 23.30% 33.16%+0.04 -9.2 20
1979-10-14 @ Valerenga W 3-255.1 1344 1314 33.16% 23.30% 43.54%-0.04 +9.2 19
1979-10-14 Rosenborg W 3-028.9 1442 1263 65.51% 21.92% 12.57%+0.67 +9.9 32
1979-10-14 @ Viking L 0-328.9 1263 1442 12.57% 21.92% 65.51%-0.67 -9.9 22

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1979-10-07 7.29% Mjondalen 1187 2 @ Start 1476 0
2 1979-05-20 11.77% Rosenborg 1182 4 @ Valerenga 1375 2
3 1979-06-18 11.89% Rosenborg 1226 2 @ Lillestrom 1417 0
4 1979-10-01 12.89% Skeid 1307 4 @ Viking 1482 0
5 1979-08-06 15.03% Mjondalen 1183 2 @ Skeid 1326 1
6 1979-05-24 15.79% Bryne 1333 2 @ Start 1466 1
7 1979-05-27 16.26% Bodo Glimt 1306 2 @ Lillestrom 1433 0
8 1979-06-25 19.63% @ Rosenborg 1255 1 Viking 1480 0
9 1979-09-09 21.15% Hamarkameratene 1246 2 @ Skeid 1318 1
10 1979-04-22 22.05% @ Rosenborg 1171 2 Bodo Glimt 1370 0
11 1979-07-02 22.09% @ Mjondalen 1169 2 Valerenga 1368 1
12 1979-05-20 25.77% Skeid 1316 1 @ Bryne 1345 0
13 1979-06-18 26.92% Skeid 1335 2 @ Moss 1354 1
14 1979-05-28 27.20% Bryne 1346 3 @ Valerenga 1363 2
15 1979-06-11 27.48% Viking 1440 3 @ Start 1454 0
16 1979-04-29 29.50% @ Mjondalen 1225 2 Brann 1358 1
17 1979-05-27 30.36% @ Brann 1326 1 Start 1453 0
18 1979-05-06 30.72% @ Mjondalen 1235 1 Skeid 1359 0
19 1979-06-25 30.75% Valerenga 1358 2 @ Skeid 1346 1
20 1979-06-11 30.94% Valerenga 1340 1 @ Brann 1326 0
21 1979-06-04 31.54% @ Rosenborg 1220 1 Brann 1337 0
22 1979-06-25 31.70% Moss 1343 2 @ Bodo Glimt 1324 0
23 1979-06-18 32.13% @ Brann 1282 3 Bryne 1395 0
24 1979-06-14 32.26% Rosenborg 1217 3 @ Mjondalen 1193 2
25 1979-10-14 33.08% Hamarkameratene 1253 2 @ Brann 1223 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1979-10-01 53.42 Skeid 4 1307 12.89% @ Viking 0 1482 65.13% 21.98%
2 1979-06-14 33.28 Lillestrom 4 1384 38.46% @ Brann 0 1316 38.25% 23.29%
3 1979-05-13 32.11 Start 4 1428 40.21% @ Skeid 0 1348 36.52% 23.27%
4 1979-06-11 31.42 Viking 3 1440 27.48% @ Start 0 1454 49.31% 23.20%
5 1979-05-06 31.20 @ Bryne 4 1301 41.52% Bodo Glimt 0 1346 35.18% 23.30%
6 1979-10-07 31.14 Mjondalen 2 1187 7.29% @ Start 0 1476 72.33% 20.38%
7 1979-06-11 29.64 @ Hamarkameratene 6 1201 44.62% Mjondalen 1 1223 32.09% 23.29%
8 1979-06-18 28.84 @ Brann 3 1282 32.13% Bryne 0 1395 44.70% 23.17%
9 1979-06-18 28.67 Rosenborg 2 1226 11.89% @ Lillestrom 0 1417 66.33% 21.78%
10 1979-08-19 28.21 Moss 3 1389 33.23% @ Valerenga 0 1358 43.48% 23.30%
11 1979-05-27 26.51 Bodo Glimt 2 1306 16.26% @ Lillestrom 0 1433 61.27% 22.47%
12 1979-04-22 23.95 @ Rosenborg 2 1171 22.05% Bodo Glimt 0 1370 55.32% 22.63%
13 1979-09-02 23.29 Start 3 1444 42.68% @ Bryne 0 1346 34.10% 23.22%
14 1979-06-11 23.15 @ Bryne 3 1372 42.91% Lillestrom 0 1407 33.79% 23.30%
15 1979-06-25 23.11 @ Hamarkameratene 4 1218 34.77% Brann 1 1311 41.99% 23.24%
16 1979-05-20 22.25 Rosenborg 4 1182 11.77% @ Valerenga 2 1375 66.48% 21.75%
17 1979-04-22 20.76 @ Start 4 1411 55.78% Moss 0 1341 21.29% 22.92%
18 1979-06-25 19.99 Moss 2 1343 31.70% @ Bodo Glimt 0 1324 45.02% 23.28%
19 1979-10-07 19.16 @ Hamarkameratene 2 1234 33.97% Valerenga 0 1333 42.81% 23.22%
20 1979-08-19 18.66 @ Hamarkameratene 2 1232 35.35% Bodo Glimt 0 1321 41.40% 23.25%
21 1979-07-02 18.61 @ Moss 2 1363 35.47% Start 0 1451 41.28% 23.25%
22 1979-06-18 18.13 Start 4 1423 59.37% @ Mjondalen 0 1184 18.37% 22.26%
23 1979-10-14 17.87 @ Lillestrom 2 1371 37.53% Start 0 1445 39.19% 23.28%
24 1979-09-09 16.87 @ Rosenborg 3 1251 54.12% Mjondalen 0 1196 22.86% 23.02%
25 1979-10-07 16.58 Moss 2 1448 41.16% @ Skeid 0 1361 35.58% 23.25%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1979-07-30 66.5 @ Valerenga 3 1356 44.10% Lillestrom 3 1383 32.60% 23.29%
2 1979-08-23 65.6 @ Moss 3 1417 68.26% Mjondalen 3 1198 10.33% 21.41%
3 1979-10-14 63.6 @ Moss 2 1465 63.72% Bodo Glimt 2 1308 14.10% 22.18%
4 1979-05-24 62.1 @ Viking 2 1429 66.88% Mjondalen 2 1230 11.44% 21.68%
5 1979-07-02 61.4 @ Skeid 2 1336 53.31% Brann 2 1288 23.63% 23.06%
6 1979-07-30 60.7 @ Brann 2 1289 59.51% Mjondalen 2 1181 17.84% 22.65%
7 1979-05-21 59.6 @ Lillestrom 1 1435 48.45% Viking 1 1428 28.32% 23.22%
8 1979-08-06 58.8 @ Viking 1 1469 60.01% Valerenga 1 1356 17.39% 22.60%
9 1979-10-10 58.4 @ Viking 1 1444 56.23% Lillestrom 1 1369 20.88% 22.90%
10 1979-04-29 57.5 @ Bodo Glimt 1 1346 35.74% Start 1 1432 41.00% 23.25%
11 1979-05-28 57.5 Bryne 3 1346 27.20% @ Valerenga 2 1363 49.61% 23.19%
12 1979-05-24 57.4 Bryne 2 1333 15.79% @ Start 1 1466 61.80% 22.42%
13 1979-06-04 56.9 @ Moss 1 1341 38.53% Lillestrom 1 1407 38.18% 23.29%
14 1979-07-29 56.8 @ Bryne 1 1358 44.41% Moss 1 1382 32.30% 23.29%
15 1979-07-29 56.6 @ Hamarkameratene 1 1237 18.72% Viking 1 1471 58.98% 22.30%
16 1979-09-16 56.6 @ Moss 1 1435 64.56% Rosenborg 1 1268 13.38% 22.06%
17 1979-09-16 56.4 @ Lillestrom 1 1378 53.24% Bryne 1 1331 23.70% 23.06%
18 1979-05-13 56.2 @ Moss 1 1323 40.61% Valerenga 1 1374 36.09% 23.30%
19 1979-05-06 56.1 @ Start 1 1432 69.65% Rosenborg 1 1191 9.24% 21.10%
20 1979-05-20 55.8 @ Brann 1 1342 50.86% Bodo Glimt 1 1315 25.99% 23.16%
21 1979-05-20 55.7 Rosenborg 4 1182 11.77% @ Valerenga 2 1375 66.48% 21.75%
22 1979-10-14 55.1 Skeid 3 1344 33.16% @ Valerenga 2 1314 43.54% 23.30%
23 1979-09-02 54.8 @ Hamarkameratene 1 1247 47.15% Rosenborg 1 1250 29.60% 23.25%
24 1979-08-06 54.5 Mjondalen 2 1183 15.03% @ Skeid 1 1326 62.66% 22.32%
25 1979-05-06 54.4 @ Hamarkameratene 3 1227 33.15% Moss 2 1332 43.65% 23.20%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1979-06-04 28.5 @ Bryne 4 1356 62.41% Hamarkameratene 0 1216 15.24% 22.34%
2 1979-10-14 28.9 @ Viking 3 1442 65.51% Rosenborg 0 1263 12.57% 21.92%
3 1979-06-18 29.6 Start 4 1423 59.37% @ Mjondalen 0 1184 18.37% 22.26%
4 1979-04-29 30.5 @ Viking 2 1415 65.64% Hamarkameratene 0 1234 12.47% 21.90%
5 1979-09-09 30.7 @ Rosenborg 3 1251 54.12% Mjondalen 0 1196 22.86% 23.02%
6 1979-05-13 30.8 @ Lillestrom 2 1428 65.72% Mjondalen 0 1246 12.40% 21.88%
7 1979-06-04 32.0 @ Bodo Glimt 2 1333 58.77% Mjondalen 0 1233 18.52% 22.71%
8 1979-04-22 32.4 @ Start 4 1411 55.78% Moss 0 1341 21.29% 22.92%
9 1979-06-18 33.9 @ Viking 2 1471 62.35% Bodo Glimt 0 1332 15.30% 22.35%
10 1979-08-23 34.1 @ Bodo Glimt 2 1302 51.82% Brann 0 1267 25.06% 23.12%
11 1979-04-29 34.3 @ Skeid 1 1355 64.04% Rosenborg 0 1195 13.82% 22.14%
12 1979-09-09 34.4 @ Start 1 1467 68.56% Brann 0 1243 10.09% 21.35%
13 1979-05-06 35.3 @ Bryne 4 1301 41.52% Bodo Glimt 0 1346 35.18% 23.30%
14 1979-07-02 35.3 @ Lillestrom 1 1378 62.13% Hamarkameratene 0 1241 15.49% 22.38%
15 1979-08-20 35.3 Viking 2 1467 54.05% @ Brann 0 1279 23.22% 22.73%
16 1979-09-02 35.6 Viking 1 1479 62.98% @ Mjondalen 0 1200 15.21% 21.81%
17 1979-05-24 36.0 @ Rosenborg 2 1204 44.03% Hamarkameratene 0 1231 32.67% 23.29%
18 1979-05-24 36.6 @ Moss 2 1332 46.36% Brann 0 1341 30.37% 23.27%
19 1979-06-11 36.6 @ Hamarkameratene 6 1201 44.62% Mjondalen 1 1223 32.09% 23.29%
20 1979-06-14 36.8 Lillestrom 4 1384 38.46% @ Brann 0 1316 38.25% 23.29%
21 1979-06-11 37.0 @ Bryne 3 1372 42.91% Lillestrom 0 1407 33.79% 23.30%
22 1979-06-11 37.0 @ Skeid 2 1320 44.58% Bodo Glimt 0 1342 32.13% 23.29%
23 1979-08-05 37.0 @ Moss 3 1382 62.66% Hamarkameratene 1 1239 15.02% 22.31%
24 1979-06-18 37.2 @ Valerenga 3 1351 61.08% Hamarkameratene 1 1226 16.42% 22.49%
25 1979-08-19 37.2 @ Start 1 1436 60.91% Skeid 0 1313 16.57% 22.51%