1980 First Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Start

29 points · 2nd Title

Last Title: 1978

Relegated

Bodo Glimt

12 pts

Skeid · 16 pts

Molde · 18 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Fredrikstad

7.99 points above expected

23 points · 15.01 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Bodo Glimt

7.94 points below expected

12 points · 19.94 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Start Champion	22	13	3	6	29	52	26	+26	27.71	+1.29
2	Bryne	22	12	5	5	29	44	22	+22	25.37	+3.63
3	Lillestrom	22	10	7	5	27	36	25	+11	24.60	+2.40
4	Viking	22	10	5	7	25	34	27	+7	25.80	-0.80
5	Rosenborg	22	9	5	8	23	42	36	+6	20.49	+2.51
6	Moss	22	8	7	7	23	33	27	+6	27.13	-4.13
7	Fredrikstad	22	9	5	8	23	35	39	-4	15.01	+7.99
8	Valerenga	22	6	8	8	20	26	26	0	21.97	-1.97
9	Lyn Oslo	22	8	3	11	19	26	43	-17	14.76	+4.24
10	Molde Relegated	22	6	6	10	18	30	39	-9	18.27	-0.27
11	Skeid Relegated	22	4	8	10	16	21	39	-18	22.95	-6.95
12	Bodo Glimt Relegated	22	5	2	15	12	13	43	-30	19.94	-7.94

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Fredrikstad	23	15.01	+7.99
2	Lyn Oslo	19	14.76	+4.24
3	Bryne	29	25.37	+3.63
4	Rosenborg	23	20.49	+2.51
5	Lillestrom	27	24.60	+2.40

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Bodo Glimt	12	19.94	-7.94
2	Skeid	16	22.95	-6.95
3	Moss	23	27.13	-4.13
4	Valerenga	20	21.97	-1.97
5	Viking	25	25.80	-0.80

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fredrikstad	3	Oct 5 – Oct 19	1 in 272
2	Molde	3	Aug 18 – Aug 28	1 in 71
3	Viking	5	Aug 18 – Sep 14	1 in 38
4	Start	4	Sep 7 – Oct 5	1 in 18
5	Lyn Oslo	2	Jun 30 – Aug 10	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Moss	3	Oct 6 – Oct 19	1 in 106
2	Bodo Glimt	5	Jun 30 – Aug 24	1 in 104
3	Start	2	Jun 8 – Jun 15	1 in 34
4	Valerenga	2	Aug 28 – Sep 7	1 in 22
5	Skeid	3	Jun 22 – Aug 10	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lyn Oslo	4	May 12 – May 26	1 in 23
2	Fredrikstad	3	May 26 – Jun 8	1 in 20
3	Molde	4	Aug 13 – Aug 28	1 in 14
4	Bryne	6	Apr 27 – May 26	1 in 11
5	Rosenborg	5	Sep 7 – Oct 12	1 in 8

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Skeid	7	Aug 28 – Oct 19	1 in 21
2	Viking	4	Sep 28 – Oct 19	1 in 17
3	Valerenga	5	Aug 28 – Oct 5	1 in 15
4	Bodo Glimt	6	Apr 27 – May 26	1 in 14
5	Molde	7	Apr 27 – Jun 2	1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Bryne	1359	29	+34	8	6.4	+1.6
Start	1401	29	+40	8	6.4	+1.6
Lillestrom	1334	27	+1	6	6.1	-0.1
Viking	1347	25	-9	4	6.0	-2.0
Fredrikstad	1167	23	+42	8	2.7	+5.3
Rosenborg	1251	23	+17	6	4.5	+1.5
Moss	1333	23	-18	4	6.7	-2.7
Valerenga	1254	20	+4	5	4.3	+0.7
Lyn Oslo	1135	19	+0	4	3.6	+0.4
Molde	1178	18	-25	3	4.7	-1.7
Skeid	1205	16	-50	2	4.5	-2.5
Bodo Glimt	1147	12	-37	2	4.0	-2.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BG	BRY	FRE	LIL	LO	MOL	MOS	ROS	SKE	STA	VAL	VIK
Bodo Glimt	—	0-0-2 1.93	0-1-1 3.49	0-0-2 1.88	2-0-0 3.30	1-0-1 2.78	1-0-1 1.75	0-0-2 2.58	0-0-2 2.44	0-0-2 1.92	1-1-0 2.25	0-0-2 1.99
Bryne	2-0-0 3.58	—	2-0-0 4.09	1-0-1 2.71	2-0-0 4.12	1-1-0 3.56	1-0-1 2.75	1-1-0 3.28	1-0-1 3.07	0-2-0 2.39	0-1-1 3.28	1-0-1 2.67
Fredrikstad	1-1-0 2.01	0-0-2 1.44	—	2-0-0 1.40	0-0-2 2.78	1-1-0 2.05	1-1-0 1.33	0-0-2 1.92	1-0-1 1.82	1-0-1 1.22	0-2-0 1.81	2-0-0 1.44
Lillestrom	2-0-0 3.64	1-0-1 2.78	0-0-2 4.14	—	1-0-1 4.10	0-1-1 3.66	0-2-0 2.45	1-1-0 3.31	1-1-0 3.09	2-0-0 2.35	1-1-0 3.26	1-1-0 2.48
Lyn Oslo	0-0-2 2.20	0-0-2 1.42	2-0-0 2.71	1-0-1 1.43	—	2-0-0 2.21	1-0-1 1.31	0-0-2 2.02	0-2-0 1.71	0-0-2 1.30	2-0-0 1.77	0-1-1 1.45
Molde	1-0-1 2.71	0-1-1 1.95	0-1-1 3.45	1-1-0 1.85	0-0-2 3.29	—	0-1-1 1.69	1-0-1 2.32	1-1-0 2.24	1-0-1 1.60	1-1-0 2.19	0-0-2 1.75
Moss	1-0-1 3.77	1-0-1 2.74	0-1-1 4.20	0-2-0 3.04	1-0-1 4.23	1-1-0 3.82	—	2-0-0 3.51	1-1-0 3.34	0-0-2 2.77	1-1-0 3.30	0-1-1 2.87
Rosenborg	2-0-0 2.91	0-1-1 2.21	2-0-0 3.58	0-1-1 2.19	2-0-0 3.49	1-0-1 3.17	0-0-2 1.99	—	1-1-0 2.44	0-1-1 1.81	1-0-1 2.55	0-1-1 2.21
Skeid	2-0-0 3.05	1-0-1 2.42	1-0-1 3.69	0-1-1 2.40	0-2-0 3.81	0-1-1 3.26	0-1-1 2.16	0-1-1 3.05	—	0-0-2 2.06	0-1-1 2.67	0-1-1 2.22
Start	2-0-0 3.58	0-2-0 3.10	1-0-1 4.33	0-0-2 3.15	2-0-0 4.25	1-0-1 3.92	2-0-0 2.72	1-1-0 3.70	2-0-0 3.44	—	1-0-1 3.72	1-0-1 3.00
Valerenga	0-1-1 3.25	1-1-0 2.21	0-2-0 3.70	0-1-1 2.23	0-0-2 3.74	0-1-1 3.31	0-1-1 2.19	1-0-1 2.94	1-1-0 2.82	1-0-1 1.79	—	2-0-0 2.19
Viking	2-0-0 3.52	1-0-1 2.82	0-0-2 4.10	0-1-1 3.01	1-1-0 4.08	2-0-0 3.76	1-1-0 2.62	1-1-0 3.29	1-1-0 3.29	1-0-1 2.49	0-0-2 3.31	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.85	+4.5
Allowed	0.63	-5.3
Differential	0.93	+3.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.85%	6.06%	1.89%	2.65%	1.14%	26.14%
1	9.85%	12.88%	5.30%	4.55%	1.52%	0.76%	34.85%
2	6.06%	5.30%	5.30%	1.14%	—	1.14%	18.94%
3	1.89%	4.55%	1.14%	1.52%	1.52%	—	10.61%
4	2.65%	1.52%	—	1.52%	—	0.38%	6.06%
5+	1.14%	0.76%	1.14%	—	0.38%	—	3.41%
Total	26.14%	34.85%	18.94%	10.61%	6.06%	3.41%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.48	1.48	+0.00
SD	1.41	1.41	2.05
CV	0.95	0.95	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	22.73%	13.64%	9.09%	—	9.09%	59.09%
1	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	31.82%
2	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	31.82%	18.18%	22.73%	—	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.59	1.95	-1.36
SD	0.96	1.81	2.11
CV	1.62	0.93	—
Max	4	7	+1
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
1	13.64%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
2	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	36.36%	40.91%	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	1.00	+1.00
SD	1.66	1.02	2.02
CV	0.83	1.02	—
Max	7	3	+7
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
1	18.18%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	36.36%
2	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	27.27%
3	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	22.73%	27.27%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.59	1.77	-0.18
SD	1.30	1.51	1.82
CV	0.82	0.85	—
Max	5	6	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
1	18.18%	27.27%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	59.09%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%
Total	31.82%	40.91%	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.14	+0.50
SD	1.43	1.13	1.65
CV	0.88	0.99	—
Max	6	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	31.82%
1	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	31.82%
2	9.09%	18.18%	—	—	—	—	27.27%
3	—	—	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	27.27%	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.95	-0.77
SD	1.10	1.96	2.07
CV	0.93	1.00	—
Max	4	6	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	27.27%
1	4.55%	18.18%	13.64%	—	—	—	36.36%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
3	—	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	13.64%	36.36%	31.82%	—	13.64%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.77	-0.41
SD	1.29	1.38	1.87
CV	0.95	0.78	—
Max	5	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
1	9.09%	22.73%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	45.45%
2	13.64%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
3	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	40.91%	18.18%	9.09%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.23	+0.27
SD	1.06	1.11	1.61
CV	0.71	0.90	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
1	—	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
2	13.64%	—	—	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	31.82%	18.18%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.91	1.64	+0.27
SD	1.69	1.40	2.07
CV	0.88	0.85	—
Max	6	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	31.82%
1	4.55%	18.18%	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	45.45%
2	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	22.73%	27.27%	9.09%	18.18%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.95	1.77	-0.82
SD	0.84	1.41	1.74
CV	0.88	0.80	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
1	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
2	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	—	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
4	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
5+	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	31.82%	40.91%	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.36	1.18	+1.18
SD	1.79	1.22	2.28
CV	0.76	1.03	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	—	36.36%
1	4.55%	13.64%	—	9.09%	—	—	27.27%
2	—	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	45.45%	22.73%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.18	+0.00
SD	1.18	0.91	1.54
CV	1.00	0.77	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	13.64%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	27.27%
1	18.18%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	40.91%
2	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
3	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	36.36%	36.36%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	1.23	+0.32
SD	1.63	1.51	2.46
CV	1.05	1.23	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Start	1401	29	27.71	+1.29	62.0%	19	21	24	28	30	33	37
Bryne	1359	29	25.37	+3.63	88.0%	16	20	23	25	28	30	34
Viking	1347	25	25.80	-0.80	44.0%	17	20	24	26	28	31	36
Lillestrom	1334	27	24.60	+2.40	78.0%	17	18	22	25	27	30	35
Moss	1333	23	27.13	-4.13	17.0%	19	21	24	27	30	33	36
Valerenga	1254	20	21.97	-1.97	36.0%	12	15	19	21	25	29	31
Rosenborg	1251	23	20.49	+2.51	80.0%	10	14	18	20	23	27	35
Skeid	1205	16	22.95	-6.95	2.0%	14	17	20	23	26	28	33
Molde	1178	18	18.27	-0.27	57.0%	11	12	16	18	21	25	27
Fredrikstad	1167	23	15.01	+7.99	100.0%	8	9	12	15	17	21	23
Bodo Glimt	1147	12	19.94	-7.94	2.0%	12	13	17	20	23	26	29
Lyn Oslo	1135	19	14.76	+4.24	90.0%	6	8	12	14	17	23	26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 17.5% * Clear Edge: 17.5% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+16.67%

Slight Edge

46.21%24.24%29.55%

Elo Value

Home Edge

189 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

058.45500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.45 goals

Neutral

-2+0.31+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.

Title-Race Openness

4.4

Open

134610

Champion Preseason Odds

39%

Start, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.00/gm

Photo Finish

00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.97 * Some Luck: 2.97 to 4.46 * Lucky: 4.46 to 5.94 * Wild Swing: 5.94 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.47 * Close: 1.47 to 2.2 * Off: 2.2 to 2.94 * Way Off: 2.94 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.87 * A Surprise: 0.87 to 1.39 * Several Surprises: 1.39 to 1.91 * Many Surprises: 1.91 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

4.49 points

Lucky

03.719

Average Finish Error

Expected

2.33

Off

01.844

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

100.00%

Fredrikstad

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

2.00%

Skeid

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

2 of 3

Many Surprises

00.93

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.55 * Strong Separation: 1.55 to 1.75 * Wide Separation: 1.75 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61.5% * Slight Edge: 61.5% to 65% * Clear Edge: 65% to 69.5% * Wide Edge: 69.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82% * Clear Edge: 82% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53.5% * Some Drama: 53.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.

Gini Index

0.13

Balanced

00.140.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 92.88

1.28

Coin-Flip Parity

0.91.351.551.752.5

Interquartile Edge

72%

Wide Edge

50%61.5%69.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

82%

Clear Edge

50%86%100%

Close Games

Expected

60%

Frequent

0%54%100%

Blowouts

Expected

18%

Occasional

0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.32 * Slight Separation: 0.32 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.38 * Lopsided: 0.38 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.28 * Some Carryover: 0.28 to 0.48 * Strong Carryover: 0.48 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23.5% * As Expected: 23.5% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 27.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 27.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Shaky Favorites: 22% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.64

Hard to Predict

00.602

Matchup Imbalance

0.38

Notable Separation

00.320.380.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.49

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

0.49

Strong Carryover

00.280.481

Upset Rate

Expected

23%

Chalky

0%23%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

25%

Very Shaky

0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.

Probability calibration

0.68

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.45

Overconfident

0.2801081.001.71989

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.139

Near Noise Ceiling

00.1380.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Start	39.00%	21.00%	10.00%	7.00%	6.00%	9.00%	7.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Bryne	13.00%	14.00%	19.00%	13.00%	13.00%	13.00%	6.00%	4.00%	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Lillestrom	12.00%	12.00%	11.00%	19.00%	17.00%	8.00%	7.00%	6.00%	5.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—
Viking	10.00%	17.00%	18.00%	16.00%	13.00%	10.00%	8.00%	3.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	—
Rosenborg	2.00%	2.00%	4.00%	6.00%	7.00%	10.00%	16.00%	15.00%	16.00%	12.00%	5.00%	5.00%
Moss	18.00%	19.00%	21.00%	16.00%	8.00%	6.00%	8.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Fredrikstad	—	—	—	—	—	—	5.00%	3.00%	10.00%	19.00%	33.00%	30.00%
Valerenga	2.00%	7.00%	5.00%	10.00%	9.00%	12.00%	9.00%	23.00%	10.00%	6.00%	6.00%	1.00%
Lyn Oslo	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%	4.00%	10.00%	12.00%	22.00%	46.00%
Molde	—	—	—	3.00%	3.00%	7.00%	8.00%	12.00%	16.00%	22.00%	20.00%	9.00%
Skeid	4.00%	7.00%	10.00%	6.00%	12.00%	13.00%	15.00%	15.00%	10.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Bodo Glimt	—	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	11.00%	9.00%	10.00%	11.00%	17.00%	20.00%	9.00%	7.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Moss	100%	—
Start	100%	—
Viking	99.00%	1.00%
Lillestrom	97.00%	3.00%
Bryne	96.00%	4.00%
Skeid	92.00%	8.00%
Valerenga	87.00%	13.00%
Rosenborg	78.00%	22.00%
Bodo Glimt	64.00%	36.00%
Molde	49.00%	51.00%
Lyn Oslo	20.00%	80.00%
Fredrikstad	18.00%	82.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1980-04-27	Valerenga	D 2-2	57.6	1122	1259	31.14%	25.40%	43.46%	-0.42	+0.3	1
1980-04-27	@ Fredrikstad	D 2-2	57.6	1259	1122	43.46%	25.40%	31.14%	+0.42	-0.3	1
1980-04-27	Lyn Oslo	W 6-4	42.0	1310	1124	66.92%	22.61%	10.47%	+1.29	+2.9	2
1980-04-27	@ Lillestrom	L 4-6	42.0	1124	1310	10.47%	22.61%	66.92%	-1.29	-2.9	0
1980-04-27	Bryne	D 2-2	57.7	1191	1293	35.78%	25.61%	38.60%	-0.23	+0.1	1
1980-04-27	@ Molde	D 2-2	57.7	1293	1191	38.60%	25.61%	35.78%	+0.23	-0.1	1
1980-04-27	Rosenborg	D 1-1	53.0	1290	1228	56.23%	24.88%	18.88%	+0.64	-1.4	1
1980-04-27	@ Skeid	D 1-1	53.0	1228	1290	18.88%	24.88%	56.23%	-0.64	+1.4	1
1980-04-27	Bodo Glimt	W 6-0	31.3	1337	1261	57.64%	24.69%	17.67%	+0.71	+18.8	2
1980-04-27	@ Start	L 0-6	31.3	1261	1337	17.67%	24.69%	57.64%	-0.71	-18.8	0
1980-04-27	Moss	D 1-1	54.1	1345	1351	48.67%	25.54%	25.80%	+0.28	-0.8	1
1980-04-27	@ Viking	D 1-1	54.1	1351	1345	25.80%	25.54%	48.67%	-0.28	+0.8	1
1980-05-05	Skeid	L 0-2	41.2	1242	1289	43.50%	25.69%	30.81%	+0.06	-13.9	0
1980-05-05	@ Bodo Glimt	W 2-0	41.2	1289	1242	30.81%	25.69%	43.50%	-0.06	+13.9	3
1980-05-05	Lillestrom	W 3-0	34.6	1293	1313	46.98%	25.61%	27.41%	+0.21	+14.1	3
1980-05-05	@ Bryne	L 0-3	34.6	1313	1293	27.41%	25.61%	46.98%	-0.21	-14.2	2
1980-05-05	Start	L 0-2	33.6	1122	1355	20.44%	24.14%	55.42%	-0.93	-7.5	0
1980-05-05	@ Lyn Oslo	W 2-0	33.6	1355	1122	55.42%	24.14%	20.44%	+0.93	+7.5	4
1980-05-05	Molde	W 2-0	31.0	1352	1191	65.02%	23.17%	11.81%	+1.16	+4.6	3
1980-05-05	@ Moss	L 0-2	31.0	1191	1352	11.81%	23.17%	65.02%	-1.16	-4.7	1
1980-05-05	Fredrikstad	W 6-2	34.8	1230	1122	60.62%	24.19%	15.19%	+0.88	+7.9	3
1980-05-05	@ Rosenborg	L 2-6	34.8	1122	1230	15.19%	24.19%	60.62%	-0.88	-7.9	1
1980-05-05	Viking	W 3-0	37.2	1258	1344	38.16%	25.67%	36.16%	-0.14	+17.5	3
1980-05-05	@ Valerenga	L 0-3	37.2	1344	1258	36.16%	25.67%	38.16%	+0.14	-17.5	1
1980-05-12	Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	52.4	1114	1228	34.19%	25.56%	40.26%	-0.29	+0.2	2
1980-05-12	@ Fredrikstad	D 1-1	52.4	1228	1114	40.26%	25.56%	34.19%	+0.29	-0.2	1
1980-05-12	Molde	D 1-1	53.1	1299	1187	61.04%	24.11%	14.85%	+0.91	-1.8	3
1980-05-12	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	53.1	1187	1299	14.85%	24.11%	61.04%	-0.91	+1.8	2
1980-05-12	Lyn Oslo	D 0-0	49.4	1302	1114	67.12%	22.55%	10.33%	+1.31	-2.5	4
1980-05-12	@ Skeid	D 0-0	49.4	1114	1302	10.33%	22.55%	67.12%	-1.31	+2.5	1
1980-05-12	Bryne	D 1-1	54.0	1363	1308	55.58%	24.97%	19.46%	+0.60	-1.3	5
1980-05-12	@ Start	D 1-1	54.0	1308	1363	19.46%	24.97%	55.58%	-0.60	+1.3	4
1980-05-12	Moss	D 1-1	53.4	1276	1356	38.89%	25.69%	35.42%	-0.12	-0.1	4
1980-05-12	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	53.4	1356	1276	35.42%	25.69%	38.89%	+0.12	+0.1	4
1980-05-12	Rosenborg	D 1-1	53.3	1326	1238	58.90%	24.50%	16.61%	+0.78	-1.6	2
1980-05-12	@ Viking	D 1-1	53.3	1238	1326	16.61%	24.50%	58.90%	-0.78	+1.6	4
1980-05-15	Viking	L 0-1	42.3	1228	1325	36.55%	25.64%	37.82%	-0.20	-6.4	1
1980-05-15	@ Bodo Glimt	W 1-0	42.3	1325	1228	37.82%	25.64%	36.55%	+0.20	+6.4	4
1980-05-15	Skeid	W 1-0	38.9	1309	1300	50.45%	25.43%	24.12%	+0.36	+4.7	6
1980-05-15	@ Bryne	L 0-1	38.9	1300	1309	24.12%	25.43%	50.45%	-0.36	-4.7	4
1980-05-15	Fredrikstad	W 2-1	42.9	1116	1114	49.64%	25.48%	24.88%	+0.32	+4.5	3
1980-05-15	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-2	42.9	1114	1116	24.88%	25.48%	49.64%	-0.32	-4.5	2
1980-05-15	Start	L 1-2	43.9	1188	1361	26.73%	25.03%	48.24%	-0.61	-4.7	2
1980-05-15	@ Molde	W 2-1	43.9	1361	1188	48.24%	25.03%	26.73%	+0.61	+4.7	7
1980-05-15	Lillestrom	D 1-1	53.9	1356	1297	55.98%	24.92%	19.10%	+0.62	-1.4	5
1980-05-15	@ Moss	D 1-1	53.9	1297	1356	19.10%	24.92%	55.98%	-0.62	+1.4	4
1980-05-15	Valerenga	W 2-0	36.9	1239	1276	44.81%	25.67%	29.52%	+0.12	+10.3	6
1980-05-15	@ Rosenborg	L 0-2	36.9	1276	1239	29.52%	25.67%	44.81%	-0.12	-10.3	4
1980-05-19	Bryne	L 0-4	31.5	1110	1314	23.39%	24.63%	51.98%	-0.77	-16.1	2
1980-05-19	@ Fredrikstad	W 4-0	31.5	1314	1110	51.98%	24.63%	23.39%	+0.77	+16.1	8
1980-05-19	Moss	L 0-2	39.1	1250	1355	35.36%	25.60%	39.04%	-0.25	-11.8	6
1980-05-19	@ Rosenborg	W 2-0	39.1	1355	1250	39.04%	25.60%	35.36%	+0.25	+11.8	7
1980-05-19	Molde	D 0-0	49.1	1295	1184	60.99%	24.12%	14.90%	+0.90	-2.0	5
1980-05-19	@ Skeid	D 0-0	49.1	1184	1295	14.90%	24.12%	60.99%	-0.90	+2.0	3
1980-05-19	Lillestrom	L 1-2	53.7	1366	1298	56.85%	24.80%	18.35%	+0.67	-8.8	7
1980-05-19	@ Start	W 2-1	53.7	1298	1366	18.35%	24.80%	56.85%	-0.67	+8.8	6
1980-05-19	Bodo Glimt	D 0-0	48.8	1265	1221	54.38%	25.10%	20.52%	+0.54	-1.4	5
1980-05-19	@ Valerenga	D 0-0	48.8	1221	1265	20.52%	25.10%	54.38%	-0.54	+1.4	2
1980-05-19	Lyn Oslo	D 0-0	49.7	1331	1121	68.66%	22.03%	9.31%	+1.42	-2.6	5
1980-05-19	@ Viking	D 0-0	49.7	1121	1331	9.31%	22.03%	68.66%	-1.42	+2.6	4
1980-05-26	Rosenborg	L 1-3	47.2	1223	1238	47.58%	25.58%	26.83%	+0.23	-13.0	2
1980-05-26	@ Bodo Glimt	W 3-1	47.2	1238	1223	26.83%	25.58%	47.58%	-0.23	+13.0	8
1980-05-26	Viking	W 1-0	39.6	1330	1329	49.51%	25.49%	25.00%	+0.32	+4.8	10
1980-05-26	@ Bryne	L 0-1	39.6	1329	1330	25.00%	25.49%	49.51%	-0.32	-4.8	5
1980-05-26	Skeid	W 2-0	35.5	1307	1293	51.03%	25.39%	23.57%	+0.38	+8.6	8
1980-05-26	@ Lillestrom	L 0-2	35.5	1293	1307	23.57%	25.39%	51.03%	-0.38	-8.6	5
1980-05-26	Valerenga	W 1-0	44.0	1124	1264	30.70%	25.37%	43.93%	-0.43	+7.4	6
1980-05-26	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-1	44.0	1264	1124	43.93%	25.37%	30.70%	+0.43	-7.4	5
1980-05-26	Fredrikstad	D 1-1	52.7	1186	1094	59.17%	24.45%	16.38%	+0.80	-1.6	4
1980-05-26	@ Molde	D 1-1	52.7	1094	1186	16.38%	24.45%	59.17%	-0.80	+1.6	3
1980-05-26	Start	L 0-2	44.9	1367	1357	50.49%	25.43%	24.08%	+0.36	-15.8	7
1980-05-26	@ Moss	W 2-0	44.9	1357	1367	24.08%	25.43%	50.49%	-0.36	+15.8	9
1980-06-02	Moss	W 1-0	44.5	1210	1351	30.62%	25.36%	44.02%	-0.44	+7.4	4
1980-06-02	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-1	44.5	1351	1210	44.02%	25.36%	30.62%	+0.44	-7.4	7
1980-06-02	Lillestrom	W 1-0	46.7	1095	1316	21.71%	24.37%	53.93%	-0.86	+8.8	5
1980-06-02	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-1	46.7	1316	1095	53.93%	24.37%	21.71%	+0.86	-8.8	8
1980-06-02	Lyn Oslo	W 4-0	28.5	1251	1131	61.68%	23.98%	14.34%	+0.94	+10.6	10
1980-06-02	@ Rosenborg	L 0-4	28.5	1131	1251	14.34%	23.98%	61.68%	-0.94	-10.6	6
1980-06-02	Skeid	W 3-1	38.7	1373	1285	58.87%	24.50%	16.63%	+0.78	+5.5	11
1980-06-02	@ Start	L 1-3	38.7	1285	1373	16.63%	24.50%	58.87%	-0.78	-5.6	5
1980-06-02	Bryne	W 1-0	42.1	1257	1334	39.25%	25.69%	35.06%	-0.10	+6.2	7
1980-06-02	@ Valerenga	L 0-1	42.1	1334	1257	35.06%	25.69%	39.25%	+0.10	-6.2	10
1980-06-02	Molde	W 4-0	28.3	1324	1184	63.39%	23.59%	13.02%	+1.05	+9.7	7
1980-06-02	@ Viking	L 0-4	28.3	1184	1324	13.02%	23.59%	63.39%	-1.05	-9.7	4
1980-06-08	Rosenborg	W 3-1	38.8	1328	1261	56.76%	24.82%	18.43%	+0.66	+6.1	12
1980-06-08	@ Bryne	L 1-3	38.8	1261	1328	18.43%	24.82%	56.76%	-0.66	-6.1	10
1980-06-08	Viking	W 4-0	34.3	1307	1333	46.12%	25.64%	28.24%	+0.17	+18.9	10
1980-06-08	@ Lillestrom	L 0-4	34.3	1333	1307	28.24%	25.64%	46.12%	-0.17	-18.9	7
1980-06-08	Bodo Glimt	L 1-2	46.6	1120	1217	36.54%	25.64%	37.82%	-0.20	-6.0	6
1980-06-08	@ Lyn Oslo	W 2-1	46.6	1217	1120	37.82%	25.64%	36.54%	+0.20	+6.1	6
1980-06-08	Valerenga	W 3-1	43.9	1174	1263	37.72%	25.66%	36.62%	-0.16	+10.5	6
1980-06-08	@ Molde	L 1-3	43.9	1263	1174	36.62%	25.66%	37.72%	+0.16	-10.5	7
1980-06-08	Fredrikstad	L 3-4	63.8	1379	1104	72.77%	20.36%	6.87%	+1.77	-10.1	11
1980-06-08	@ Start	W 4-3	63.8	1104	1379	6.87%	20.36%	72.77%	-1.77	+10.1	7
1980-06-09	Moss	D 2-2	58.4	1279	1344	41.09%	25.70%	33.20%	-0.03	-0.2	6
1980-06-09	@ Skeid	D 2-2	58.4	1344	1279	33.20%	25.70%	41.09%	+0.03	+0.2	8
1980-06-15	Bryne	L 1-2	46.5	1223	1334	34.61%	25.57%	39.82%	-0.28	-5.8	6
1980-06-15	@ Bodo Glimt	W 2-1	46.5	1334	1223	39.82%	25.57%	34.61%	+0.28	+5.8	14
1980-06-15	Skeid	L 0-2	35.9	1114	1279	27.74%	25.13%	47.13%	-0.56	-9.8	7
1980-06-15	@ Fredrikstad	W 2-0	35.9	1279	1114	47.13%	25.13%	27.74%	+0.56	+9.8	8
1980-06-15	Lyn Oslo	W 3-1	34.3	1344	1114	69.94%	21.55%	8.51%	+1.53	+2.9	10
1980-06-15	@ Moss	L 1-3	34.3	1114	1344	8.51%	21.55%	69.94%	-1.53	-2.9	6
1980-06-15	Molde	L 2-5	50.2	1255	1185	57.11%	24.77%	18.12%	+0.68	-18.7	10
1980-06-15	@ Rosenborg	W 5-2	50.2	1185	1255	18.12%	24.77%	57.11%	-0.68	+18.7	8
1980-06-15	Lillestrom	D 2-2	58.1	1252	1326	39.82%	25.70%	34.48%	-0.08	-0.1	8
1980-06-15	@ Valerenga	D 2-2	58.1	1326	1252	34.48%	25.70%	39.82%	+0.08	+0.1	11
1980-06-15	Start	W 1-0	41.9	1315	1369	42.50%	25.70%	31.80%	+0.02	+5.8	9
1980-06-15	@ Viking	L 0-1	41.9	1369	1315	31.80%	25.70%	42.50%	-0.02	-5.8	11
1980-06-22	Lyn Oslo	W 3-1	34.3	1340	1111	69.89%	21.57%	8.54%	+1.52	+2.9	16
1980-06-22	@ Bryne	L 1-3	34.3	1111	1340	8.54%	21.57%	69.89%	-1.52	-2.9	6
1980-06-22	Moss	D 3-3	62.1	1105	1347	19.70%	23.99%	56.31%	-0.97	+0.8	8
1980-06-22	@ Fredrikstad	D 3-3	62.1	1347	1105	56.31%	23.99%	19.70%	+0.97	-0.8	11
1980-06-22	Rosenborg	W 1-0	36.0	1326	1236	58.97%	24.48%	16.55%	+0.78	+3.4	13
1980-06-22	@ Lillestrom	L 0-1	36.0	1236	1326	16.55%	24.48%	58.97%	-0.78	-3.4	10
1980-06-22	Bodo Glimt	L 3-4	57.7	1203	1218	47.67%	25.58%	26.75%	+0.24	-7.0	8
1980-06-22	@ Molde	W 4-3	57.7	1218	1203	26.75%	25.58%	47.67%	-0.24	+6.9	8
1980-06-22	Viking	L 1-3	47.3	1289	1320	45.45%	25.66%	28.90%	+0.14	-12.5	8
1980-06-22	@ Skeid	W 3-1	47.3	1320	1289	28.90%	25.66%	45.45%	-0.14	+12.5	11
1980-06-22	Valerenga	W 3-1	37.7	1363	1252	60.89%	24.14%	14.97%	+0.90	+5.0	13
1980-06-22	@ Start	L 1-3	37.7	1252	1363	14.97%	24.14%	60.89%	-0.90	-5.0	8
1980-06-30	Lillestrom	L 0-1	42.0	1225	1329	35.42%	25.60%	38.98%	-0.25	-6.3	8
1980-06-30	@ Bodo Glimt	W 1-0	42.0	1329	1225	38.98%	25.60%	35.42%	+0.25	+6.3	15
1980-06-30	Molde	W 2-1	46.5	1109	1197	37.82%	25.67%	36.52%	-0.16	+6.1	8
1980-06-30	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-2	46.5	1197	1109	36.52%	25.67%	37.82%	+0.16	-6.0	8
1980-06-30	Bryne	W 3-1	41.8	1346	1343	49.73%	25.48%	24.79%	+0.32	+7.8	13
1980-06-30	@ Moss	L 1-3	41.8	1343	1346	24.79%	25.48%	49.73%	-0.32	-7.8	16
1980-06-30	Start	D 0-0	49.3	1233	1368	31.42%	25.41%	43.16%	-0.40	+0.5	11
1980-06-30	@ Rosenborg	D 0-0	49.3	1368	1233	43.16%	25.41%	31.42%	+0.40	-0.4	14
1980-06-30	Skeid	W 4-1	39.2	1247	1276	45.79%	25.65%	28.57%	+0.16	+12.3	10
1980-06-30	@ Valerenga	L 1-4	39.2	1276	1247	28.57%	25.65%	45.79%	-0.16	-12.3	8
1980-06-30	Fredrikstad	L 0-1	50.7	1333	1105	69.81%	21.60%	8.59%	+1.52	-11.2	11
1980-06-30	@ Viking	W 1-0	50.7	1105	1333	8.59%	21.60%	69.81%	-1.52	+11.2	10
1980-08-10	Start	L 0-1	40.3	1218	1367	29.60%	25.29%	45.11%	-0.48	-5.5	8
1980-08-10	@ Bodo Glimt	W 1-0	40.3	1367	1218	45.11%	25.29%	29.60%	+0.48	+5.4	16
1980-08-10	Molde	W 2-1	39.2	1335	1190	63.78%	23.50%	12.73%	+1.08	+2.5	18
1980-08-10	@ Bryne	L 1-2	39.2	1190	1335	12.73%	23.50%	63.78%	-1.08	-2.5	8
1980-08-10	Lillestrom	W 2-1	51.6	1115	1336	21.64%	24.35%	54.01%	-0.86	+8.3	10
1980-08-10	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-2	51.6	1336	1115	54.01%	24.35%	21.64%	+0.86	-8.3	15
1980-08-10	Viking	L 2-3	57.6	1354	1322	53.07%	25.23%	21.70%	+0.48	-7.8	13
1980-08-10	@ Moss	W 3-2	57.6	1322	1354	21.70%	25.23%	53.07%	-0.48	+7.8	13
1980-08-10	Skeid	W 4-1	39.2	1234	1264	45.62%	25.65%	28.73%	+0.15	+12.4	13
1980-08-10	@ Rosenborg	L 1-4	39.2	1264	1234	28.73%	25.65%	45.62%	-0.15	-12.4	8
1980-08-10	Fredrikstad	D 2-2	58.1	1260	1117	63.62%	23.53%	12.84%	+1.07	-1.5	11
1980-08-10	@ Valerenga	D 2-2	58.1	1117	1260	12.84%	23.53%	63.62%	-1.07	+1.5	11
1980-08-13	Moss	D 1-1	53.0	1188	1346	28.54%	25.20%	46.25%	-0.53	+0.6	9
1980-08-13	@ Molde	D 1-1	53.0	1346	1188	46.25%	25.20%	28.54%	+0.53	-0.6	14
1980-08-13	Valerenga	L 1-2	53.2	1329	1258	57.21%	24.75%	18.04%	+0.69	-8.8	13
1980-08-13	@ Viking	W 2-1	53.2	1258	1329	18.04%	24.75%	57.21%	-0.69	+8.8	13
1980-08-14	Rosenborg	L 2-3	50.0	1118	1246	32.34%	25.47%	42.20%	-0.37	-5.2	11
1980-08-14	@ Fredrikstad	W 3-2	50.0	1246	1118	42.20%	25.47%	32.34%	+0.37	+5.2	15
1980-08-14	Bryne	W 1-0	40.0	1327	1338	48.15%	25.56%	26.29%	+0.26	+5.0	17
1980-08-14	@ Lillestrom	L 0-1	40.0	1338	1327	26.29%	25.56%	48.15%	-0.26	-5.0	18
1980-08-14	Bodo Glimt	W 1-0	37.2	1252	1213	53.81%	25.16%	21.03%	+0.52	+4.2	10
1980-08-14	@ Skeid	L 0-1	37.2	1213	1252	21.03%	25.16%	53.81%	-0.52	-4.2	8
1980-08-14	Lyn Oslo	W 5-0	26.1	1373	1123	71.26%	21.02%	7.72%	+1.63	+7.0	18
1980-08-14	@ Start	L 0-5	26.1	1123	1373	7.72%	21.02%	71.26%	-1.63	-7.0	10
1980-08-18	Fredrikstad	L 1-3	50.2	1209	1113	59.54%	24.39%	16.08%	+0.82	-15.9	8
1980-08-18	@ Bodo Glimt	W 3-1	50.2	1113	1209	16.08%	24.39%	59.54%	-0.82	+15.9	13
1980-08-18	Start	D 2-2	59.4	1333	1380	43.41%	25.69%	30.90%	+0.06	-0.3	19
1980-08-18	@ Bryne	D 2-2	59.4	1380	1333	30.90%	25.69%	43.41%	-0.06	+0.3	19
1980-08-18	Skeid	D 1-1	52.5	1116	1256	30.78%	25.37%	43.84%	-0.43	+0.5	11
1980-08-18	@ Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	52.5	1256	1116	43.84%	25.37%	30.78%	+0.43	-0.5	11
1980-08-18	Lillestrom	W 3-1	46.4	1189	1332	30.26%	25.34%	44.40%	-0.45	+12.2	11
1980-08-18	@ Molde	L 1-3	46.4	1332	1189	44.40%	25.34%	30.26%	+0.45	-12.2	17
1980-08-18	Valerenga	W 1-0	36.7	1345	1267	57.88%	24.66%	17.46%	+0.72	+3.6	16
1980-08-18	@ Moss	L 0-1	36.7	1267	1345	17.46%	24.66%	57.88%	-0.72	-3.5	13
1980-08-18	Viking	L 0-1	43.6	1251	1321	40.40%	25.70%	33.89%	-0.06	-7.0	15
1980-08-18	@ Rosenborg	W 1-0	43.6	1321	1251	33.89%	25.70%	40.40%	+0.06	+7.0	15
1980-08-24	Lyn Oslo	L 0-2	42.8	1129	1116	50.86%	25.41%	23.74%	+0.38	-15.9	13
1980-08-24	@ Fredrikstad	W 2-0	42.8	1116	1129	23.74%	25.41%	50.86%	-0.38	+15.9	13
1980-08-24	Moss	D 1-1	53.8	1320	1349	45.87%	25.64%	28.49%	+0.16	-0.6	18
1980-08-24	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	53.8	1349	1320	28.49%	25.64%	45.87%	-0.16	+0.6	17
1980-08-24	Bryne	W 3-2	51.6	1255	1332	39.34%	25.69%	34.97%	-0.10	+5.6	13
1980-08-24	@ Skeid	L 2-3	51.6	1332	1255	34.97%	25.69%	39.34%	+0.10	-5.6	19
1980-08-24	Molde	L 0-1	50.6	1380	1201	66.46%	22.75%	10.78%	+1.26	-10.8	19
1980-08-24	@ Start	W 1-0	50.6	1201	1380	10.78%	22.75%	66.46%	-1.26	+10.8	13
1980-08-24	Rosenborg	W 3-0	32.7	1263	1244	51.63%	25.35%	23.02%	+0.41	+12.3	15
1980-08-24	@ Valerenga	L 0-3	32.7	1244	1263	23.02%	25.35%	51.63%	-0.41	-12.3	15
1980-08-24	Bodo Glimt	W 3-0	29.3	1328	1193	62.96%	23.69%	13.34%	+1.02	+7.6	17
1980-08-24	@ Viking	L 0-3	29.3	1193	1328	13.34%	23.69%	62.96%	-1.02	-7.6	8
1980-08-28	Valerenga	W 1-0	42.1	1185	1276	37.46%	25.66%	36.88%	-0.17	+6.5	10
1980-08-28	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-1	42.1	1276	1185	36.88%	25.66%	37.46%	+0.17	-6.5	15
1980-08-28	Start	W 4-1	41.2	1320	1369	43.07%	25.70%	31.23%	+0.05	+13.2	20
1980-08-28	@ Lillestrom	L 1-4	41.2	1369	1320	31.23%	25.70%	43.07%	-0.05	-13.2	19
1980-08-28	Skeid	W 2-1	45.2	1212	1261	43.14%	25.70%	31.16%	+0.05	+5.4	15
1980-08-28	@ Molde	L 1-2	45.2	1261	1212	31.16%	25.70%	43.14%	-0.05	-5.4	13
1980-08-29	Fredrikstad	W 1-0	32.6	1327	1113	68.90%	21.94%	9.16%	+1.44	+1.9	21
1980-08-29	@ Bryne	L 0-1	32.6	1113	1327	9.16%	21.94%	68.90%	-1.44	-1.9	13
1980-08-29	Viking	L 1-6	34.8	1132	1335	23.47%	24.64%	51.89%	-0.77	-16.5	13
1980-08-29	@ Lyn Oslo	W 6-1	34.8	1335	1132	51.89%	24.64%	23.47%	+0.77	+16.5	19
1980-08-31	Rosenborg	W 2-0	32.2	1349	1232	61.48%	24.02%	14.50%	+0.93	+5.7	19
1980-08-31	@ Moss	L 0-2	32.2	1232	1349	14.50%	24.02%	61.48%	-0.93	-5.7	15
1980-09-07	Molde	W 5-2	44.9	1111	1217	35.29%	25.60%	39.11%	-0.25	+13.5	15
1980-09-07	@ Fredrikstad	L 2-5	44.9	1217	1111	39.11%	25.60%	35.29%	+0.25	-13.5	15
1980-09-07	Bodo Glimt	W 2-0	34.1	1226	1192	53.37%	25.20%	21.43%	+0.49	+8.0	17
1980-09-07	@ Rosenborg	L 0-2	34.1	1192	1226	21.43%	25.20%	53.37%	-0.49	-8.0	10
1980-09-07	Lillestrom	D 1-1	53.1	1255	1333	39.29%	25.69%	35.02%	-0.10	-0.1	14
1980-09-07	@ Skeid	D 1-1	53.1	1333	1255	35.02%	25.69%	39.29%	+0.10	+0.1	21
1980-09-07	Moss	W 2-1	44.9	1356	1355	49.55%	25.49%	24.96%	+0.32	+4.5	21
1980-09-07	@ Start	L 1-2	44.9	1355	1356	24.96%	25.49%	49.55%	-0.32	-4.5	19
1980-09-07	Lyn Oslo	L 0-2	46.4	1269	1116	64.47%	23.32%	12.21%	+1.12	-19.8	15
1980-09-07	@ Valerenga	W 2-0	46.4	1116	1269	12.21%	23.32%	64.47%	-1.12	+19.8	15
1980-09-07	Bryne	W 1-0	39.0	1352	1329	52.06%	25.32%	22.62%	+0.43	+4.4	21
1980-09-07	@ Viking	L 0-1	39.0	1329	1352	22.62%	25.32%	52.06%	-0.43	-4.4	21
1980-09-14	Valerenga	D 0-0	49.3	1324	1249	57.55%	24.71%	17.75%	+0.71	-1.7	22
1980-09-14	@ Bryne	D 0-0	49.3	1249	1324	17.75%	24.71%	57.55%	-0.71	+1.7	16
1980-09-14	Fredrikstad	L 1-2	55.3	1333	1125	68.53%	22.07%	9.40%	+1.41	-10.4	21
1980-09-14	@ Lillestrom	W 2-1	55.3	1125	1333	9.40%	22.07%	68.53%	-1.41	+10.4	17
1980-09-14	Viking	L 0-4	33.9	1203	1356	29.18%	25.25%	45.57%	-0.50	-19.3	15
1980-09-14	@ Molde	W 4-0	33.9	1356	1203	45.57%	25.25%	29.18%	+0.50	+19.3	23
1980-09-14	Bodo Glimt	W 1-0	33.9	1350	1184	65.51%	23.03%	11.46%	+1.19	+2.4	21
1980-09-14	@ Moss	L 0-1	33.9	1184	1350	11.46%	23.03%	65.51%	-1.19	-2.4	10
1980-09-14	Start	L 0-4	36.2	1255	1361	35.34%	25.60%	39.06%	-0.25	-22.4	14
1980-09-14	@ Skeid	W 4-0	36.2	1361	1255	39.06%	25.60%	35.34%	+0.25	+22.4	23
1980-09-15	Rosenborg	L 3-4	54.2	1136	1234	36.29%	25.63%	38.08%	-0.21	-5.6	15
1980-09-15	@ Lyn Oslo	W 4-3	54.2	1234	1136	38.08%	25.63%	36.29%	+0.21	+5.6	19
1980-09-28	Lyn Oslo	W 1-0	36.6	1181	1130	55.16%	25.02%	19.83%	+0.58	+4.0	12
1980-09-28	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-1	36.6	1130	1181	19.83%	25.02%	55.16%	-0.58	-4.0	15
1980-09-28	Start	L 1-3	38.4	1135	1383	19.15%	23.88%	56.97%	-1.01	-6.2	17
1980-09-28	@ Fredrikstad	W 3-1	38.4	1383	1135	56.97%	23.88%	19.15%	+1.01	+6.2	25
1980-09-28	Skeid	W 4-0	29.2	1353	1233	61.71%	23.97%	14.32%	+0.95	+10.6	23
1980-09-28	@ Moss	L 0-4	29.2	1233	1353	14.32%	23.97%	61.71%	-0.95	-10.6	14
1980-09-28	Bryne	D 3-3	62.0	1240	1323	38.55%	25.68%	35.77%	-0.13	-0.1	20
1980-09-28	@ Rosenborg	D 3-3	62.0	1323	1240	35.77%	25.68%	38.55%	+0.13	+0.1	23
1980-09-28	Molde	D 1-1	52.8	1251	1184	56.76%	24.82%	18.42%	+0.66	-1.4	17
1980-09-28	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	52.8	1184	1251	18.42%	24.82%	56.76%	-0.66	+1.4	16
1980-09-28	Lillestrom	D 1-1	54.3	1375	1323	55.31%	25.00%	19.69%	+0.59	-1.3	24
1980-09-28	@ Viking	D 1-1	54.3	1323	1375	19.69%	25.00%	55.31%	-0.59	+1.3	22
1980-10-05	Bodo Glimt	W 7-0	29.9	1323	1185	63.18%	23.64%	13.18%	+1.04	+16.6	25
1980-10-05	@ Bryne	L 0-7	29.9	1185	1323	13.18%	23.64%	63.18%	-1.04	-16.6	12
1980-10-05	Valerenga	W 1-0	36.5	1324	1250	57.49%	24.71%	17.80%	+0.70	+3.6	24
1980-10-05	@ Lillestrom	L 0-1	36.5	1250	1324	17.80%	24.71%	57.49%	-0.70	-3.6	17
1980-10-05	Rosenborg	L 0-2	40.6	1186	1240	42.48%	25.70%	31.82%	+0.02	-13.6	16
1980-10-05	@ Molde	W 2-0	40.6	1240	1186	31.82%	25.70%	42.48%	-0.02	+13.6	22
1980-10-05	Fredrikstad	L 0-2	45.1	1222	1129	59.32%	24.43%	16.25%	+0.80	-18.3	14
1980-10-05	@ Skeid	W 2-0	45.1	1129	1222	16.25%	24.43%	59.32%	-0.80	+18.3	19
1980-10-05	Viking	W 6-1	37.5	1389	1374	51.20%	25.38%	23.42%	+0.39	+16.6	27
1980-10-05	@ Start	L 1-6	37.5	1374	1389	23.42%	25.38%	51.20%	-0.39	-16.6	24
1980-10-06	Moss	W 2-1	52.2	1126	1363	20.11%	24.08%	55.81%	-0.95	+8.6	17
1980-10-06	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-2	52.2	1363	1126	55.81%	24.08%	20.11%	+0.95	-8.6	23
1980-10-12	Molde	L 0-2	42.4	1169	1172	48.99%	25.52%	25.49%	+0.29	-15.4	12
1980-10-12	@ Bodo Glimt	W 2-0	42.4	1172	1169	25.49%	25.52%	48.99%	-0.29	+15.4	18
1980-10-12	Bryne	L 0-2	34.6	1135	1339	23.29%	24.61%	52.10%	-0.78	-8.4	17
1980-10-12	@ Lyn Oslo	W 2-0	34.6	1339	1135	52.10%	24.61%	23.29%	+0.78	+8.4	27
1980-10-12	Fredrikstad	L 0-1	50.6	1355	1147	68.48%	22.09%	9.43%	+1.41	-11.1	23
1980-10-12	@ Moss	W 1-0	50.6	1147	1355	9.43%	22.09%	68.48%	-1.41	+11.0	21
1980-10-12	Lillestrom	D 1-1	53.1	1253	1327	39.76%	25.70%	34.55%	-0.08	-0.2	23
1980-10-12	@ Rosenborg	D 1-1	53.1	1327	1253	34.55%	25.70%	39.76%	+0.08	+0.2	25
1980-10-12	Start	W 2-1	50.6	1246	1406	28.28%	25.18%	46.54%	-0.54	+7.3	19
1980-10-12	@ Valerenga	L 1-2	50.6	1406	1246	46.54%	25.18%	28.28%	+0.54	-7.3	27
1980-10-12	Skeid	D 2-2	58.7	1357	1204	64.47%	23.32%	12.21%	+1.12	-1.5	25
1980-10-12	@ Viking	D 2-2	58.7	1204	1357	12.21%	23.32%	64.47%	-1.12	+1.5	15
1980-10-19	Moss	W 4-1	39.2	1348	1344	49.86%	25.47%	24.67%	+0.33	+11.0	29
1980-10-19	@ Bryne	L 1-4	39.2	1344	1348	24.67%	25.47%	49.86%	-0.33	-11.0	23
1980-10-19	Viking	W 1-0	46.3	1158	1356	24.02%	24.71%	51.27%	-0.74	+8.4	23
1980-10-19	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-1	46.3	1356	1158	51.27%	24.71%	24.02%	+0.74	-8.4	25
1980-10-19	Bodo Glimt	W 3-0	28.2	1328	1153	66.09%	22.87%	11.05%	+1.23	+6.3	27
1980-10-19	@ Lillestrom	L 0-3	28.2	1153	1328	11.05%	22.87%	66.09%	-1.23	-6.3	12
1980-10-19	Lyn Oslo	L 0-1	47.4	1187	1126	56.18%	24.89%	18.93%	+0.63	-9.2	18
1980-10-19	@ Molde	W 1-0	47.4	1126	1187	18.93%	24.89%	56.18%	-0.63	+9.2	19
1980-10-19	Valerenga	D 1-1	52.6	1206	1253	43.33%	25.69%	30.98%	+0.06	-0.4	16
1980-10-19	@ Skeid	D 1-1	52.6	1253	1206	30.98%	25.69%	43.33%	-0.06	+0.4	20
1980-10-19	Rosenborg	W 4-3	47.7	1399	1253	63.84%	23.48%	12.68%	+1.08	+2.3	29
1980-10-19	@ Start	L 3-4	47.7	1253	1399	12.68%	23.48%	63.84%	-1.08	-2.3	23

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1980-06-08	6.87%	Fredrikstad	1104	4	@ Start	1379	3
2	1980-06-30	8.59%	Fredrikstad	1105	1	@ Viking	1333	0
3	1980-09-14	9.40%	Fredrikstad	1125	2	@ Lillestrom	1333	1
4	1980-10-12	9.43%	Fredrikstad	1147	1	@ Moss	1355	0
5	1980-08-24	10.78%	Molde	1201	1	@ Start	1380	0
6	1980-09-07	12.21%	Lyn Oslo	1116	2	@ Valerenga	1269	0
7	1980-08-18	16.08%	Fredrikstad	1113	3	@ Bodo Glimt	1209	1
8	1980-10-05	16.25%	Fredrikstad	1129	2	@ Skeid	1222	0
9	1980-08-13	18.04%	Valerenga	1258	2	@ Viking	1329	1
10	1980-06-15	18.12%	Molde	1185	5	@ Rosenborg	1255	2
11	1980-05-19	18.35%	Lillestrom	1298	2	@ Start	1366	1
12	1980-10-19	18.93%	Lyn Oslo	1126	1	@ Molde	1187	0
13	1980-10-06	20.11%	@ Lyn Oslo	1126	2	Moss	1363	1
14	1980-08-10	21.64%	@ Lyn Oslo	1115	2	Lillestrom	1336	1
15	1980-08-10	21.70%	Viking	1322	3	@ Moss	1354	2
16	1980-06-02	21.71%	@ Fredrikstad	1095	1	Lillestrom	1316	0
17	1980-08-24	23.74%	Lyn Oslo	1116	2	@ Fredrikstad	1129	0
18	1980-10-19	24.02%	@ Fredrikstad	1158	1	Viking	1356	0
19	1980-05-26	24.08%	Start	1357	2	@ Moss	1367	0
20	1980-10-12	25.49%	Molde	1172	2	@ Bodo Glimt	1169	0
21	1980-06-22	26.75%	Bodo Glimt	1218	4	@ Molde	1203	3
22	1980-05-26	26.83%	Rosenborg	1238	3	@ Bodo Glimt	1223	1
23	1980-10-12	28.28%	@ Valerenga	1246	2	Start	1406	1
24	1980-06-22	28.90%	Viking	1320	3	@ Skeid	1289	1
25	1980-08-18	30.26%	@ Molde	1189	3	Lillestrom	1332	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1980-09-14	22.42	Start	4	1361	39.06%	@ Skeid	0	1255	35.34%	25.60%
2	1980-09-07	19.75	Lyn Oslo	2	1116	12.21%	@ Valerenga	0	1269	64.47%	23.32%
3	1980-09-14	19.30	Viking	4	1356	45.57%	@ Molde	0	1203	29.18%	25.25%
4	1980-06-08	18.92	@ Lillestrom	4	1307	46.12%	Viking	0	1333	28.24%	25.64%
5	1980-04-27	18.76	@ Start	6	1337	57.64%	Bodo Glimt	0	1261	17.67%	24.69%
6	1980-06-15	18.72	Molde	5	1185	18.12%	@ Rosenborg	2	1255	57.11%	24.77%
7	1980-10-05	18.28	Fredrikstad	2	1129	16.25%	@ Skeid	0	1222	59.32%	24.43%
8	1980-05-05	17.47	@ Valerenga	3	1258	38.16%	Viking	0	1344	36.16%	25.67%
9	1980-10-05	16.62	@ Start	6	1389	51.20%	Viking	1	1374	23.42%	25.38%
10	1980-10-05	16.60	@ Bryne	7	1323	63.18%	Bodo Glimt	0	1185	13.18%	23.64%
11	1980-08-29	16.46	Viking	6	1335	51.89%	@ Lyn Oslo	1	1132	23.47%	24.64%
12	1980-05-19	16.08	Bryne	4	1314	51.98%	@ Fredrikstad	0	1110	23.39%	24.63%
13	1980-08-18	15.89	Fredrikstad	3	1113	16.08%	@ Bodo Glimt	1	1209	59.54%	24.39%
14	1980-08-24	15.88	Lyn Oslo	2	1116	23.74%	@ Fredrikstad	0	1129	50.86%	25.41%
15	1980-05-26	15.77	Start	2	1357	24.08%	@ Moss	0	1367	50.49%	25.43%
16	1980-10-12	15.36	Molde	2	1172	25.49%	@ Bodo Glimt	0	1169	48.99%	25.52%
17	1980-05-05	14.15	@ Bryne	3	1293	46.98%	Lillestrom	0	1313	27.41%	25.61%
18	1980-05-05	13.89	Skeid	2	1289	30.81%	@ Bodo Glimt	0	1242	43.50%	25.69%
19	1980-10-05	13.62	Rosenborg	2	1240	31.82%	@ Molde	0	1186	42.48%	25.70%
20	1980-09-07	13.52	@ Fredrikstad	5	1111	35.29%	Molde	2	1217	39.11%	25.60%
21	1980-08-28	13.20	@ Lillestrom	4	1320	43.07%	Start	1	1369	31.23%	25.70%
22	1980-05-26	12.97	Rosenborg	3	1238	26.83%	@ Bodo Glimt	1	1223	47.58%	25.58%
23	1980-06-22	12.47	Viking	3	1320	28.90%	@ Skeid	1	1289	45.45%	25.66%
24	1980-08-10	12.37	@ Rosenborg	4	1234	45.62%	Skeid	1	1264	28.73%	25.65%
25	1980-06-30	12.32	@ Valerenga	4	1247	45.79%	Skeid	1	1276	28.57%	25.65%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1980-06-08	63.8	Fredrikstad	4	1104	6.87%	@ Start	3	1379	72.77%	20.36%
2	1980-06-22	62.1	@ Fredrikstad	3	1105	19.70%	Moss	3	1347	56.31%	23.99%
3	1980-09-28	62.0	@ Rosenborg	3	1240	38.55%	Bryne	3	1323	35.77%	25.68%
4	1980-08-18	59.4	@ Bryne	2	1333	43.41%	Start	2	1380	30.90%	25.69%
5	1980-10-12	58.7	@ Viking	2	1357	64.47%	Skeid	2	1204	12.21%	23.32%
6	1980-06-09	58.4	@ Skeid	2	1279	41.09%	Moss	2	1344	33.20%	25.70%
7	1980-06-15	58.1	@ Valerenga	2	1252	39.82%	Lillestrom	2	1326	34.48%	25.70%
8	1980-08-10	58.1	@ Valerenga	2	1260	63.62%	Fredrikstad	2	1117	12.84%	23.53%
9	1980-04-27	57.7	@ Molde	2	1191	35.78%	Bryne	2	1293	38.60%	25.61%
10	1980-06-22	57.7	Bodo Glimt	4	1218	26.75%	@ Molde	3	1203	47.67%	25.58%
11	1980-04-27	57.6	@ Fredrikstad	2	1122	31.14%	Valerenga	2	1259	43.46%	25.40%
12	1980-08-10	57.6	Viking	3	1322	21.70%	@ Moss	2	1354	53.07%	25.23%
13	1980-09-14	55.3	Fredrikstad	2	1125	9.40%	@ Lillestrom	1	1333	68.53%	22.07%
14	1980-09-28	54.3	@ Viking	1	1375	55.31%	Lillestrom	1	1323	19.69%	25.00%
15	1980-09-15	54.2	Rosenborg	4	1234	38.08%	@ Lyn Oslo	3	1136	36.29%	25.63%
16	1980-04-27	54.1	@ Viking	1	1345	48.67%	Moss	1	1351	25.80%	25.54%
17	1980-05-12	54.0	@ Start	1	1363	55.58%	Bryne	1	1308	19.46%	24.97%
18	1980-05-15	53.9	@ Moss	1	1356	55.98%	Lillestrom	1	1297	19.10%	24.92%
19	1980-08-24	53.8	@ Lillestrom	1	1320	45.87%	Moss	1	1349	28.49%	25.64%
20	1980-05-19	53.7	Lillestrom	2	1298	18.35%	@ Start	1	1366	56.85%	24.80%
21	1980-05-12	53.4	@ Valerenga	1	1276	38.89%	Moss	1	1356	35.42%	25.69%
22	1980-05-12	53.3	@ Viking	1	1326	58.90%	Rosenborg	1	1238	16.61%	24.50%
23	1980-08-13	53.2	Valerenga	2	1258	18.04%	@ Viking	1	1329	57.21%	24.75%
24	1980-05-12	53.1	@ Lillestrom	1	1299	61.04%	Molde	1	1187	14.85%	24.11%
25	1980-09-07	53.1	@ Skeid	1	1255	39.29%	Lillestrom	1	1333	35.02%	25.69%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1980-08-14	26.1	@ Start	5	1373	71.26%	Lyn Oslo	0	1123	7.72%	21.02%
2	1980-10-19	28.2	@ Lillestrom	3	1328	66.09%	Bodo Glimt	0	1153	11.05%	22.87%
3	1980-06-02	28.3	@ Viking	4	1324	63.39%	Molde	0	1184	13.02%	23.59%
4	1980-06-02	28.5	@ Rosenborg	4	1251	61.68%	Lyn Oslo	0	1131	14.34%	23.98%
5	1980-09-28	29.2	@ Moss	4	1353	61.71%	Skeid	0	1233	14.32%	23.97%
6	1980-08-24	29.3	@ Viking	3	1328	62.96%	Bodo Glimt	0	1193	13.34%	23.69%
7	1980-10-05	29.9	@ Bryne	7	1323	63.18%	Bodo Glimt	0	1185	13.18%	23.64%
8	1980-05-05	31.0	@ Moss	2	1352	65.02%	Molde	0	1191	11.81%	23.17%
9	1980-04-27	31.3	@ Start	6	1337	57.64%	Bodo Glimt	0	1261	17.67%	24.69%
10	1980-05-19	31.5	Bryne	4	1314	51.98%	@ Fredrikstad	0	1110	23.39%	24.63%
11	1980-08-31	32.2	@ Moss	2	1349	61.48%	Rosenborg	0	1232	14.50%	24.02%
12	1980-08-29	32.6	@ Bryne	1	1327	68.90%	Fredrikstad	0	1113	9.16%	21.94%
13	1980-08-24	32.7	@ Valerenga	3	1263	51.63%	Rosenborg	0	1244	23.02%	25.35%
14	1980-05-05	33.6	Start	2	1355	55.42%	@ Lyn Oslo	0	1122	20.44%	24.14%
15	1980-09-14	33.9	Viking	4	1356	45.57%	@ Molde	0	1203	29.18%	25.25%
16	1980-09-14	33.9	@ Moss	1	1350	65.51%	Bodo Glimt	0	1184	11.46%	23.03%
17	1980-09-07	34.1	@ Rosenborg	2	1226	53.37%	Bodo Glimt	0	1192	21.43%	25.20%
18	1980-06-08	34.3	@ Lillestrom	4	1307	46.12%	Viking	0	1333	28.24%	25.64%
19	1980-06-15	34.3	@ Moss	3	1344	69.94%	Lyn Oslo	1	1114	8.51%	21.55%
20	1980-06-22	34.3	@ Bryne	3	1340	69.89%	Lyn Oslo	1	1111	8.54%	21.57%
21	1980-05-05	34.6	@ Bryne	3	1293	46.98%	Lillestrom	0	1313	27.41%	25.61%
22	1980-10-12	34.6	Bryne	2	1339	52.10%	@ Lyn Oslo	0	1135	23.29%	24.61%
23	1980-05-05	34.8	@ Rosenborg	6	1230	60.62%	Fredrikstad	2	1122	15.19%	24.19%
24	1980-08-29	34.8	Viking	6	1335	51.89%	@ Lyn Oslo	1	1132	23.47%	24.64%
25	1980-05-26	35.5	@ Lillestrom	2	1307	51.03%	Skeid	0	1293	23.57%	25.39%