1949-50 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Benfica

45 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Benfica

8.61 points above expected

45 points · 36.39 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lusitano VRSA

3.83 points below expected

16 points · 19.83 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Benfica	26	21	3	2	45	86	33	+53	36.4	+8.61
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	26	19	1	6	39	91	35	+56	36.6	+2.39
3	Atletico Clube de Portugal	26	11	8	7	30	53	42	+11	24.7	+5.29
4	Os Belenenses (1st)	26	10	7	9	27	36	41	-5	28.6	-1.65
5	Porto	26	12	2	12	26	61	52	+9	27.9	-1.88
6	Sporting Covilha	26	10	5	11	25	55	70	-15	25.1	-0.09
7	Academica de Coimbra	26	8	8	10	24	56	57	-1	20.2	+3.75
8	Braga	26	11	2	13	24	52	53	-1	25.3	-1.31
9	Olhanense	26	8	8	10	24	48	57	-9	24.8	-0.81
10	Vitoria Setubal	26	10	3	13	23	50	70	-20	24.4	-1.41
11	Estoril	26	7	7	12	21	50	59	-9	24.8	-3.82
12	Vitoria Guimaraes	26	7	7	12	21	45	59	-14	23.2	-2.20
13	O Elvas	26	8	3	15	19	48	65	-17	22.0	-3.04
14	Lusitano VRSA	26	7	2	17	16	42	80	-38	19.8	-3.83

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Benfica	1735	45	36.39	+8.61	100.0%	26	30	34	36	39	43	44
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1688	39	36.61	+2.39	77.0%	26	30	34	37	39	41	43
Porto	1467	26	27.88	-1.88	38.0%	20	22	25	27	31	35	39
Atletico Clube de Portugal	1443	30	24.71	+5.29	93.0%	14	18	22	25	28	31	34
Os Belenenses (1st)	1436	27	28.65	-1.65	49.0%	18	23	26	28	32	35	39
Braga	1383	24	25.31	-1.31	39.0%	17	20	23	26	27	30	34
Sporting Covilha	1380	25	25.09	-0.09	59.0%	14	18	22	25	28	33	39
Estoril	1373	21	24.82	-3.82	20.0%	18	19	22	25	27	31	34
Olhanense	1372	24	24.81	-0.81	45.0%	17	19	22	25	27	30	37
Vitoria Guimaraes	1338	21	23.20	-2.20	38.0%	15	17	20	23	26	30	33
Vitoria Setubal	1324	23	24.41	-1.41	38.0%	14	19	22	25	27	30	34
Academica de Coimbra	1308	24	20.25	+3.75	89.0%	12	15	18	20	23	26	29
O Elvas	1287	19	22.04	-3.04	25.0%	13	16	19	22	24	29	32
Lusitano VRSA	1241	16	19.83	-3.83	15.0%	11	15	18	20	22	25	27

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ADC	ACDP	BEN	BRA	EST	LV	OE	OLH	OB(	POR	SCDP	SC	VG	VS
Academica de Coimbra	—	0-1-1 2.49	0-1-1 1.04	1-0-1 2.44	0-2-0 2.58	2-0-0 2.93	1-1-0 2.66	1-1-0 2.55	1-0-1 2.02	1-0-1 2.31	0-0-2 1.21	0-1-1 2.48	0-1-1 2.65	1-0-1 2.61
Atletico Clube de Portugal	1-1-0 3.21	—	0-1-1 1.51	1-0-1 2.92	0-1-1 2.88	2-0-0 3.23	0-1-1 2.96	1-1-0 3.00	0-2-0 2.16	1-0-1 2.65	1-0-1 1.52	1-0-1 2.98	2-0-0 2.77	1-1-0 2.95
Benfica	1-1-0 4.70	1-1-0 4.21	—	2-0-0 3.82	2-0-0 4.36	2-0-0 4.55	1-0-1 4.22	2-0-0 4.34	1-1-0 3.30	2-0-0 3.95	1-0-1 2.83	2-0-0 4.43	2-0-0 4.39	2-0-0 4.31
Braga	1-0-1 3.27	1-0-1 2.79	0-0-2 1.90	—	1-0-1 2.82	2-0-0 3.16	1-0-1 3.07	1-0-1 2.95	1-0-1 2.64	1-0-1 2.48	0-1-1 1.47	1-0-1 2.89	0-1-1 2.85	1-0-1 2.85
Estoril	0-2-0 3.13	1-1-0 2.83	0-0-2 1.36	1-0-1 2.90	—	1-0-1 3.45	2-0-0 3.00	0-1-1 3.15	0-0-2 2.66	1-0-1 2.50	0-0-2 2.12	1-1-0 2.71	0-1-1 2.99	0-1-1 3.05
Lusitano VRSA	0-0-2 2.78	0-0-2 2.48	0-0-2 1.18	0-0-2 2.55	1-0-1 2.26	—	1-0-1 2.47	0-1-1 2.38	1-0-1 2.15	1-0-1 1.96	1-0-1 0.98	1-0-1 2.31	1-0-1 2.41	0-1-1 2.52
O Elvas	0-1-1 3.05	1-1-0 2.75	1-0-1 1.50	1-0-1 2.63	0-0-2 2.70	1-0-1 3.23	—	1-0-1 2.73	1-0-1 2.36	0-0-2 2.51	0-0-2 1.20	0-1-1 2.63	1-0-1 2.79	1-0-1 2.77
Olhanense	0-1-1 3.17	0-1-1 2.71	0-0-2 1.39	1-0-1 2.75	1-1-0 2.55	1-1-0 3.33	1-0-1 2.98	—	0-2-0 2.42	1-1-0 2.27	0-0-2 1.45	1-0-1 2.81	0-1-1 2.94	2-0-0 2.72
Os Belenenses (1st)	1-0-1 3.69	0-2-0 3.55	0-1-1 2.42	1-0-1 3.06	2-0-0 3.05	1-0-1 3.56	1-0-1 3.35	0-2-0 3.29	—	1-0-1 2.83	1-0-1 1.90	0-1-1 3.11	1-1-0 3.23	1-0-1 3.15
Porto	1-0-1 3.40	1-0-1 3.05	0-0-2 1.77	1-0-1 3.23	1-0-1 3.21	1-0-1 3.76	2-0-0 3.20	0-1-1 3.44	1-0-1 2.88	—	1-0-1 2.00	1-0-1 3.22	1-1-0 3.27	1-0-1 3.38
Sporting Clube de Portugal	2-0-0 4.52	1-0-1 4.21	1-0-1 2.89	1-1-0 4.25	2-0-0 3.61	1-0-1 4.75	2-0-0 4.53	2-0-0 4.28	1-0-1 3.82	1-0-1 3.72	—	2-0-0 4.22	2-0-0 4.47	1-0-1 4.41
Sporting Covilha	1-1-0 3.23	1-0-1 2.72	0-0-2 1.30	1-0-1 2.81	0-1-1 2.99	1-0-1 3.40	1-1-0 3.08	1-0-1 2.90	1-1-0 2.59	1-0-1 2.49	0-0-2 1.50	—	1-1-0 2.96	1-0-1 2.89
Vitoria Guimaraes	1-1-0 3.06	0-0-2 2.93	0-0-2 1.33	1-1-0 2.86	1-1-0 2.72	1-0-1 3.30	1-0-1 2.91	1-1-0 2.77	0-1-1 2.48	0-1-1 2.44	0-0-2 1.26	0-1-1 2.75	—	1-0-1 2.95
Vitoria Setubal	1-0-1 3.09	0-1-1 2.76	0-0-2 1.42	1-0-1 2.85	1-1-0 2.66	1-1-0 3.19	1-0-1 2.93	0-0-2 2.99	1-0-1 2.56	1-0-1 2.33	1-0-1 1.31	1-0-1 2.82	1-0-1 2.76	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	1.65%	3.57%	2.20%	3.02%	1.92%	2.20%	14.56%
1	3.57%	9.34%	6.04%	5.22%	1.65%	4.67%	30.49%
2	2.20%	6.04%	4.95%	3.57%	2.75%	1.10%	20.60%
3	3.02%	5.22%	3.57%	1.65%	1.37%	1.10%	15.93%
4	1.92%	1.65%	2.75%	1.37%	—	0.55%	8.24%
5+	2.20%	4.67%	1.10%	1.10%	0.55%	0.55%	10.16%
Total	14.56%	30.49%	20.60%	15.93%	8.24%	10.16%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.12
Mean allowed	2.12
StdDev scored	1.74
StdDev allowed	1.74
Mean total goals/game	4.25
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.079
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	15.38%
1	—	15.38%	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	30.77%
2	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
3	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	26.92%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	7.69%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	15.38%	26.92%	19.23%	23.08%	3.85%	11.54%	100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.15
Mean allowed	2.19
StdDev scored	1.78
StdDev allowed	1.79
Mean total goals/game	4.35
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.173
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	19.23%
1	—	19.23%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	30.77%
2	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
3	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	11.54%	42.31%	26.92%	11.54%	7.69%	—	100%

Atletico Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.04
Mean allowed	1.62
StdDev scored	1.78
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	3.65
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.300
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
1	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
2	—	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	—	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
5+	3.85%	15.38%	—	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
Total	19.23%	50.00%	15.38%	15.38%	—	—	100%

Benfica — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.31
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	1.78
StdDev allowed	0.96
Mean total goals/game	4.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.043
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%
1	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	34.62%
2	3.85%	7.69%	—	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	38.46%
3	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	19.23%	26.92%	7.69%	26.92%	15.38%	3.85%	100%

Braga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.00
Mean allowed	2.04
StdDev scored	1.30
StdDev allowed	1.54
Mean total goals/game	4.04
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.362
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	19.23%
1	3.85%	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	38.46%
2	—	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	23.08%
3	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
Total	7.69%	26.92%	30.77%	11.54%	11.54%	11.54%	100%

Estoril — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.92
Mean allowed	2.27
StdDev scored	2.23
StdDev allowed	1.48
Mean total goals/game	4.19
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.211
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	19.23%
1	—	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	30.77%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	30.77%
3	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%
Total	7.69%	23.08%	15.38%	15.38%	23.08%	15.38%	100%

Lusitano VRSA — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.62
Mean allowed	3.08
StdDev scored	1.27
StdDev allowed	2.40
Mean total goals/game	4.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.240
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	15.38%
1	11.54%	—	15.38%	11.54%	—	3.85%	42.31%
2	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
3	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	19.23%
4	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	11.54%	11.54%	30.77%	26.92%	7.69%	11.54%	100%

O Elvas — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.85
Mean allowed	2.50
StdDev scored	1.54
StdDev allowed	1.61
Mean total goals/game	4.35
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.048
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	11.54%
1	3.85%	19.23%	11.54%	3.85%	—	7.69%	46.15%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
3	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	15.38%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
Total	11.54%	34.62%	19.23%	15.38%	7.69%	11.54%	100%

Olhanense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.85
Mean allowed	2.19
StdDev scored	1.59
StdDev allowed	1.81
Mean total goals/game	4.04
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.086
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
1	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%	34.62%
2	7.69%	15.38%	—	—	—	—	23.08%
3	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
Total	23.08%	46.15%	7.69%	11.54%	—	11.54%	100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.38
Mean allowed	1.58
StdDev scored	1.30
StdDev allowed	1.65
Mean total goals/game	2.96
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.284
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	15.38%
1	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	23.08%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	23.08%
3	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	3.85%	23.08%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	26.92%	26.92%	7.69%	15.38%	11.54%	11.54%	100%

Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.35
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	2.10
StdDev allowed	1.92
Mean total goals/game	4.35
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.358
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
1	—	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	19.23%
2	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
3	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
5+	7.69%	23.08%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	38.46%
Total	15.38%	46.15%	26.92%	11.54%	—	—	100%

Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.50
Mean allowed	1.35
StdDev scored	2.18
StdDev allowed	0.89
Mean total goals/game	4.85
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.381
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
1	3.85%	3.85%	—	11.54%	—	15.38%	34.62%
2	—	11.54%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	30.77%
3	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	19.23%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	7.69%
Total	11.54%	15.38%	30.77%	15.38%	11.54%	15.38%	100%

Sporting Covilha — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.12
Mean allowed	2.69
StdDev scored	1.37
StdDev allowed	2.05
Mean total goals/game	4.81
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.172
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
1	—	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	23.08%
2	—	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	19.23%
3	3.85%	15.38%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	26.92%
4	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.69%	34.62%	19.23%	19.23%	3.85%	15.38%	100%

Vitoria Guimaraes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.73
Mean allowed	2.27
StdDev scored	1.31
StdDev allowed	1.64
Mean total goals/game	4.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.225
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%	19.23%
1	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	7.69%	23.08%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	—	26.92%
3	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	7.69%
Total	15.38%	15.38%	30.77%	3.85%	11.54%	23.08%	100%

Vitoria Setubal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.92
Mean allowed	2.69
StdDev scored	1.49
StdDev allowed	2.15
Mean total goals/game	4.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.306
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Benfica	45	36.4	+8.61
2	Atletico Clube de Portugal	30	24.7	+5.29
3	Academica de Coimbra	24	20.2	+3.75
4	Sporting Clube de Portugal	39	36.6	+2.39
5	Sporting Covilha	25	25.1	-0.09

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Lusitano VRSA	16	19.8	-3.83
2	Estoril	21	24.8	-3.82
3	O Elvas	19	22.0	-3.04
4	Vitoria Guimaraes	21	23.2	-2.20
5	Porto	26	27.9	-1.88

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Benfica	8	Nov 20 – Jan 22	1 in 111
2	Os Belenenses (1st)	3	Mar 12 – Apr 16	1 in 43
3	Vitoria Setubal	3	Jan 29 – Feb 12	1 in 32
4	Estoril	3	Feb 19 – Mar 5	1 in 21
5	Braga	2	Nov 6 – Nov 13	1 in 14

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Estoril	5	Jan 8 – Feb 16	1 in 147
2	Academica de Coimbra	5	Jan 15 – Feb 19	1 in 60
3	Lusitano VRSA	5	Nov 6 – Dec 4	1 in 19
4	Vitoria Guimaraes	3	Feb 19 – Mar 5	1 in 15
5	Sporting Clube de Portugal	2	Feb 12 – Feb 16	1 in 15

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Academica de Coimbra	7	Oct 9 – Nov 20	1 in 360
2	Atletico Clube de Portugal	7	Jan 8 – Feb 26	1 in 96
3	Benfica	16	Nov 20 – Mar 19	1 in 91
4	Olhanense	5	Feb 16 – Mar 12	1 in 72
5	Os Belenenses (1st)	5	Jan 8 – Feb 12	1 in 23

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Estoril	6	Nov 6 – Dec 11	1 in 80
2	Academica de Coimbra	8	Jan 15 – Mar 12	1 in 42
3	Os Belenenses (1st)	4	Oct 9 – Oct 30	1 in 36
4	Vitoria Guimaraes	7	Jan 29 – Mar 12	1 in 26
5	Olhanense	5	Mar 19 – May 7	1 in 20

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Benfica	42.00%	46.00%	8.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	52.00%	34.00%	10.00%	3.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Atletico Clube de Portugal	—	3.00%	2.00%	17.00%	9.00%	8.00%	12.00%	9.00%	9.00%	6.00%	13.00%	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%
Os Belenenses (1st)	4.00%	5.00%	22.00%	15.00%	10.00%	17.00%	6.00%	4.00%	10.00%	3.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—
Porto	1.00%	5.00%	21.00%	16.00%	15.00%	8.00%	9.00%	11.00%	5.00%	6.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	—
Sporting Covilha	—	2.00%	10.00%	7.00%	6.00%	12.00%	9.00%	6.00%	10.00%	14.00%	8.00%	6.00%	6.00%	4.00%
Academica de Coimbra	—	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	6.00%	1.00%	9.00%	11.00%	9.00%	9.00%	22.00%	27.00%
Braga	—	—	10.00%	6.00%	14.00%	15.00%	11.00%	13.00%	7.00%	9.00%	6.00%	5.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Olhanense	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	11.00%	9.00%	9.00%	10.00%	13.00%	9.00%	7.00%	10.00%	8.00%	4.00%	4.00%
Vitoria Setubal	—	—	5.00%	7.00%	7.00%	10.00%	9.00%	11.00%	10.00%	13.00%	6.00%	10.00%	7.00%	5.00%
Estoril	—	4.00%	5.00%	4.00%	13.00%	11.00%	12.00%	8.00%	6.00%	8.00%	9.00%	13.00%	6.00%	1.00%
Vitoria Guimaraes	—	—	2.00%	8.00%	10.00%	4.00%	6.00%	8.00%	8.00%	10.00%	11.00%	13.00%	13.00%	7.00%
O Elvas	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	5.00%	3.00%	4.00%	14.00%	8.00%	5.00%	14.00%	18.00%	13.00%	13.00%
Lusitano VRSA	—	—	—	—	—	—	4.00%	2.00%	9.00%	8.00%	11.00%	10.00%	22.00%	34.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Benfica	100%	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	100%	—
Porto	100%	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	100%	—
Braga	96.0%	4.0%
Estoril	93.0%	7.0%
Atletico Clube de Portugal	92.0%	8.0%
Olhanense	92.0%	8.0%
Sporting Covilha	90.0%	10.0%
Vitoria Setubal	88.0%	12.0%
Vitoria Guimaraes	80.0%	20.0%
O Elvas	74.0%	26.0%
Academica de Coimbra	51.0%	49.0%
Lusitano VRSA	44.0%	56.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1949-10-09	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1342	1533	51.4%	15.0%	33.6%	-1.0	1
1949-10-09	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1533	1342	33.6%	15.0%	51.4%	+1.0	1
1949-10-09	Benfica	L 2-3	1363	1560	50.6%	15.0%	34.4%	-11.2	0
1949-10-09	@ Braga	W 3-2	1560	1363	34.4%	15.0%	50.6%	+11.2	3
1949-10-09	Estoril	D 2-2	1359	1471	60.8%	14.9%	24.2%	-1.6	1
1949-10-09	@ Olhanense	D 2-2	1471	1359	24.2%	14.9%	60.8%	+1.6	1
1949-10-09	O Elvas	W 1-0	1486	1370	78.0%	14.1%	7.9%	+2.3	3
1949-10-09	@ Porto	L 0-1	1370	1486	7.9%	14.1%	78.0%	-2.3	0
1949-10-09	Lusitano VRSA	W 3-1	1600	1289	84.5%	12.7%	2.8%	+1.3	3
1949-10-09	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1289	1600	2.8%	12.7%	84.5%	-1.3	0
1949-10-09	Academica de Coimbra	D 2-2	1396	1261	78.8%	14.0%	7.2%	-3.3	1
1949-10-09	@ Sporting Covilha	D 2-2	1261	1396	7.2%	14.0%	78.8%	+3.3	1
1949-10-09	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1354	1391	68.1%	14.8%	17.1%	+4.5	3
1949-10-09	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1391	1354	17.1%	14.8%	68.1%	-4.5	0
1949-10-16	Braga	W 3-1	1264	1352	63.4%	14.9%	21.7%	+9.7	4
1949-10-16	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1352	1264	21.7%	14.9%	63.4%	-9.7	0
1949-10-16	Olhanense	D 0-0	1534	1357	80.5%	13.8%	5.8%	-5.2	2
1949-10-16	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1357	1534	5.8%	13.8%	80.5%	+5.2	2
1949-10-16	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-0	1571	1341	82.3%	13.4%	4.3%	+4.5	6
1949-10-16	@ Benfica	L 0-4	1341	1571	4.3%	13.4%	82.3%	-4.5	1
1949-10-16	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1473	1601	59.0%	15.0%	26.0%	-51.8	1
1949-10-16	@ Estoril	W 4-0	1601	1473	26.0%	15.0%	59.0%	+51.8	6
1949-10-16	Vitoria Setubal	D 2-2	1287	1359	65.0%	14.9%	20.2%	-2.0	1
1949-10-16	@ Lusitano VRSA	D 2-2	1359	1287	20.2%	14.9%	65.0%	+2.0	4
1949-10-16	Sporting Covilha	D 2-2	1367	1392	69.1%	14.8%	16.2%	-2.4	1
1949-10-16	@ O Elvas	D 2-2	1392	1367	16.2%	14.8%	69.1%	+2.4	2
1949-10-16	Porto	D 2-2	1387	1488	62.0%	14.9%	23.1%	-1.7	1
1949-10-16	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 2-2	1488	1387	23.1%	14.9%	62.0%	+1.7	4
1949-10-23	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1337	1274	75.2%	14.4%	10.4%	-4.0	2
1949-10-23	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1274	1337	10.4%	14.4%	75.2%	+4.0	5
1949-10-23	Benfica	L 1-6	1528	1575	67.2%	14.8%	17.9%	-60.3	2
1949-10-23	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 6-1	1575	1528	17.9%	14.8%	67.2%	+60.3	9
1949-10-23	O Elvas	W 5-1	1342	1365	69.3%	14.8%	16.0%	+13.4	3
1949-10-23	@ Braga	L 1-5	1365	1342	16.0%	14.8%	69.3%	-13.3	1
1949-10-23	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-4	1362	1653	37.5%	14.8%	47.7%	-14.1	2
1949-10-23	@ Olhanense	W 4-2	1653	1362	47.7%	14.8%	37.5%	+14.1	9
1949-10-23	Lusitano VRSA	W 8-2	1490	1285	81.5%	13.6%	5.0%	+5.1	7
1949-10-23	@ Porto	L 2-8	1285	1490	5.0%	13.6%	81.5%	-5.1	1
1949-10-23	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 5-2	1395	1385	71.7%	14.6%	13.6%	+7.7	5
1949-10-23	@ Sporting Covilha	L 2-5	1385	1395	13.6%	14.6%	71.7%	-7.7	1
1949-10-23	Estoril	D 5-5	1361	1421	66.1%	14.8%	19.1%	-1.4	5
1949-10-23	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 5-5	1421	1361	19.1%	14.8%	66.1%	+1.4	2
1949-10-30	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-0	1278	1468	51.4%	15.0%	33.6%	+24.0	8
1949-10-30	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-3	1468	1278	33.6%	15.0%	51.4%	-24.0	2
1949-10-30	Olhanense	W 5-1	1635	1348	83.9%	12.9%	3.2%	+2.7	12
1949-10-30	@ Benfica	L 1-5	1348	1635	3.2%	12.9%	83.9%	-2.7	2
1949-10-30	Porto	W 1-0	1422	1495	64.8%	14.9%	20.3%	+5.6	5
1949-10-30	@ Estoril	L 0-1	1495	1422	20.3%	14.9%	64.8%	-5.6	7
1949-10-30	Sporting Covilha	W 3-1	1280	1403	59.7%	15.0%	25.3%	+11.2	4
1949-10-30	@ Lusitano VRSA	L 1-3	1403	1280	25.3%	15.0%	59.7%	-11.2	5
1949-10-30	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1352	1333	72.4%	14.6%	13.0%	+3.7	4
1949-10-30	@ O Elvas	L 0-1	1333	1352	13.0%	14.6%	72.4%	-3.7	2
1949-10-30	Vitoria Setubal	W 5-1	1667	1360	84.4%	12.7%	2.9%	+2.4	12
1949-10-30	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-5	1360	1667	2.9%	12.7%	84.4%	-2.4	5
1949-10-30	Braga	W 3-1	1378	1356	72.6%	14.6%	12.8%	+5.9	4
1949-10-30	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-3	1356	1378	12.8%	14.6%	72.6%	-5.9	3
1949-11-06	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 6-0	1329	1383	66.6%	14.8%	18.6%	+27.0	5
1949-11-06	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-6	1383	1329	18.6%	14.8%	66.6%	-27.0	4
1949-11-06	O Elvas	W 2-1	1444	1355	76.6%	14.3%	9.1%	+2.5	5
1949-11-06	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1355	1444	9.1%	14.3%	76.6%	-2.5	4
1949-11-06	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1638	1302	85.1%	12.5%	2.5%	-5.2	13
1949-11-06	@ Benfica	D 1-1	1302	1638	2.5%	12.5%	85.1%	+5.2	9
1949-11-06	Lusitano VRSA	W 2-0	1350	1291	74.9%	14.4%	10.7%	+5.7	6
1949-11-06	@ Braga	L 0-2	1291	1350	10.7%	14.4%	74.9%	-5.8	4
1949-11-06	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-0	1346	1357	70.2%	14.7%	15.1%	+8.0	5
1949-11-06	@ Olhanense	L 0-2	1357	1346	15.1%	14.7%	70.2%	-8.0	5
1949-11-06	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1489	1669	52.7%	15.0%	32.3%	+8.0	10
1949-11-06	@ Porto	L 1-2	1669	1489	32.3%	15.0%	52.7%	-8.0	12
1949-11-06	Estoril	D 2-2	1391	1428	68.2%	14.8%	17.1%	-2.3	6
1949-11-06	@ Sporting Covilha	D 2-2	1428	1391	17.1%	14.8%	68.2%	+2.3	6
1949-11-13	Olhanense	W 7-1	1307	1354	67.3%	14.8%	17.9%	+21.5	12
1949-11-13	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-7	1354	1307	17.9%	14.8%	67.3%	-21.5	5
1949-11-13	Braga	L 1-2	1430	1355	75.8%	14.4%	9.8%	-17.6	6
1949-11-13	@ Estoril	W 2-1	1355	1430	9.8%	14.4%	75.8%	+17.6	9
1949-11-13	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1286	1356	65.1%	14.9%	20.0%	-15.0	4
1949-11-13	@ Lusitano VRSA	W 2-1	1356	1286	20.0%	14.9%	65.1%	+15.0	8
1949-11-13	Benfica	W 1-0	1353	1633	39.0%	14.8%	46.2%	+11.5	7
1949-11-13	@ O Elvas	L 0-1	1633	1353	46.2%	14.8%	39.0%	-11.5	13
1949-11-13	Sporting Covilha	W 8-1	1661	1389	83.5%	13.0%	3.5%	+4.9	15
1949-11-13	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-8	1389	1661	3.5%	13.0%	83.5%	-4.9	6
1949-11-13	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 3-3	1356	1446	63.1%	14.9%	21.9%	-1.5	5
1949-11-13	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 3-3	1446	1356	21.9%	14.9%	63.1%	+1.5	6
1949-11-13	Porto	W 3-0	1349	1497	56.7%	15.0%	28.3%	+20.7	8
1949-11-13	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-3	1497	1349	28.3%	15.0%	56.7%	-20.7	10
1949-11-20	O Elvas	W 3-1	1329	1364	68.2%	14.8%	17.0%	+7.8	15
1949-11-20	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1364	1329	17.0%	14.8%	68.2%	-7.8	7
1949-11-20	Estoril	D 2-2	1371	1412	67.7%	14.8%	17.5%	-2.3	9
1949-11-20	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1412	1371	17.5%	14.8%	67.7%	+2.3	7
1949-11-20	Lusitano VRSA	W 3-1	1448	1271	80.5%	13.8%	5.7%	+2.7	9
1949-11-20	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-3	1271	1448	5.7%	13.8%	80.5%	-2.7	4
1949-11-20	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-0	1621	1355	83.4%	13.1%	3.6%	+3.6	16
1949-11-20	@ Benfica	L 0-4	1355	1621	3.6%	13.1%	83.4%	-3.7	5
1949-11-20	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1373	1666	37.1%	14.8%	48.1%	+0.6	10
1949-11-20	@ Braga	D 1-1	1666	1373	48.1%	14.8%	37.1%	-0.6	16
1949-11-20	Porto	W 6-1	1332	1477	57.1%	15.0%	27.9%	+27.2	8
1949-11-20	@ Olhanense	L 1-6	1477	1332	27.9%	15.0%	57.1%	-27.2	10
1949-11-20	Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1384	1370	72.1%	14.6%	13.3%	+3.8	9
1949-11-20	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-1	1370	1384	13.3%	14.6%	72.1%	-3.8	8
1949-11-27	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1415	1451	68.2%	14.8%	17.0%	-15.8	7
1949-11-27	@ Estoril	W 2-1	1451	1415	17.0%	14.8%	68.2%	+15.8	12
1949-11-27	Benfica	L 2-3	1268	1625	29.0%	14.6%	56.4%	-6.9	4
1949-11-27	@ Lusitano VRSA	W 3-2	1625	1268	56.4%	14.6%	29.0%	+6.9	19
1949-11-27	Olhanense	W 4-3	1357	1359	70.9%	14.7%	14.5%	+3.6	10
1949-11-27	@ O Elvas	L 3-4	1359	1357	14.5%	14.7%	70.9%	-3.6	8
1949-11-27	Sporting Covilha	W 5-1	1449	1388	75.1%	14.4%	10.5%	+8.9	13
1949-11-27	@ Porto	L 1-5	1388	1449	10.5%	14.4%	75.1%	-8.9	9
1949-11-27	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-0	1666	1369	84.2%	12.8%	3.0%	+3.1	19
1949-11-27	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1369	1666	3.0%	12.8%	84.2%	-3.1	9
1949-11-27	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-0	1351	1336	72.1%	14.6%	13.3%	+10.3	8
1949-11-27	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-3	1336	1351	13.3%	14.6%	72.1%	-10.3	15
1949-11-27	Braga	W 3-2	1366	1374	70.5%	14.7%	14.8%	+3.7	11
1949-11-27	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 2-3	1374	1366	14.8%	14.7%	70.5%	-3.7	10
1949-12-04	Lusitano VRSA	W 2-0	1326	1261	75.3%	14.4%	10.3%	+5.6	18
1949-12-04	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1261	1326	10.3%	14.4%	75.3%	-5.5	4
1949-12-04	Vitoria Setubal	W 4-2	1366	1370	70.7%	14.7%	14.6%	+6.0	12
1949-12-04	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 2-4	1370	1366	14.6%	14.7%	70.7%	-6.0	11
1949-12-04	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-5	1466	1669	49.8%	15.0%	35.2%	-36.8	12
1949-12-04	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 5-1	1669	1466	35.2%	15.0%	49.8%	+36.8	22
1949-12-04	Estoril	W 4-0	1632	1399	82.4%	13.3%	4.3%	+4.4	22
1949-12-04	@ Benfica	L 0-4	1399	1632	4.3%	13.3%	82.4%	-4.4	7
1949-12-04	Porto	W 6-0	1370	1458	63.3%	14.9%	21.8%	+31.3	13
1949-12-04	@ Braga	L 0-6	1458	1370	21.8%	14.9%	63.3%	-31.2	13
1949-12-04	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-2	1360	1362	70.9%	14.7%	14.4%	+3.6	13
1949-12-04	@ O Elvas	L 2-3	1362	1360	14.4%	14.7%	70.9%	-3.6	8
1949-12-04	Sporting Covilha	W 3-1	1356	1379	69.2%	14.8%	16.0%	+7.3	11
1949-12-04	@ Olhanense	L 1-3	1379	1356	16.0%	14.8%	69.2%	-7.3	9
1949-12-11	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1395	1332	75.2%	14.4%	10.4%	-4.0	8
1949-12-11	@ Estoril	D 1-1	1332	1395	10.4%	14.4%	75.2%	+4.0	19
1949-12-11	O Elvas	W 2-1	1256	1364	61.2%	14.9%	23.8%	+6.1	7
1949-12-11	@ Lusitano VRSA	L 1-2	1364	1256	23.8%	14.9%	61.2%	-6.1	13
1949-12-11	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1427	1372	74.7%	14.4%	10.8%	+5.0	16
1949-12-11	@ Porto	L 1-3	1372	1427	10.8%	14.4%	74.7%	-5.0	12
1949-12-11	Benfica	L 1-2	1706	1636	75.5%	14.4%	10.1%	-17.5	22
1949-12-11	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1636	1706	10.1%	14.4%	75.5%	+17.5	25
1949-12-11	Braga	W 3-2	1372	1401	68.7%	14.8%	16.5%	+4.1	12
1949-12-11	@ Sporting Covilha	L 2-3	1401	1372	16.5%	14.8%	68.7%	-4.1	13
1949-12-11	Olhanense	W 3-1	1358	1363	70.7%	14.7%	14.6%	+6.7	11
1949-12-11	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-3	1363	1358	14.6%	14.7%	70.7%	-6.7	11
1949-12-11	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1364	1430	65.5%	14.9%	19.6%	+5.4	14
1949-12-11	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1430	1364	19.6%	14.9%	65.5%	-5.4	12
1949-12-18	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-6	1336	1688	29.5%	14.6%	55.9%	-28.5	19
1949-12-18	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 6-1	1688	1336	55.9%	14.6%	29.5%	+28.5	25
1949-12-18	Sporting Covilha	W 4-3	1367	1376	70.3%	14.7%	14.9%	+3.7	15
1949-12-18	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 3-4	1376	1367	14.9%	14.7%	70.3%	-3.7	12
1949-12-18	Porto	W 5-3	1424	1432	70.4%	14.7%	14.9%	+5.8	15
1949-12-18	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 3-5	1432	1424	14.9%	14.7%	70.4%	-5.8	16
1949-12-18	Vitoria Setubal	W 6-1	1654	1369	83.8%	12.9%	3.2%	+3.4	28
1949-12-18	@ Benfica	L 1-6	1369	1654	3.2%	12.9%	83.8%	-3.4	14
1949-12-18	Estoril	L 1-2	1358	1390	68.5%	14.8%	16.8%	-15.8	13
1949-12-18	@ O Elvas	W 2-1	1390	1358	16.8%	14.8%	68.5%	+15.8	11
1949-12-18	Braga	W 3-1	1356	1397	67.8%	14.8%	17.4%	+7.9	14
1949-12-18	@ Olhanense	L 1-3	1397	1356	17.4%	14.8%	67.8%	-7.9	13
1949-12-18	Lusitano VRSA	W 4-1	1365	1262	77.3%	14.2%	8.5%	+5.6	14
1949-12-18	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-4	1262	1365	8.5%	14.2%	77.3%	-5.6	7
1949-12-25	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1406	1370	73.5%	14.5%	11.9%	-3.8	12
1949-12-25	@ Estoril	D 1-1	1370	1406	11.9%	14.5%	73.5%	+3.8	15
1949-12-25	Benfica	L 0-1	1426	1657	45.9%	14.9%	39.1%	-11.5	16
1949-12-25	@ Porto	W 1-0	1657	1426	39.1%	14.9%	45.9%	+11.5	31
1949-12-25	O Elvas	W 2-1	1717	1342	85.9%	12.1%	2.0%	+0.5	28
1949-12-25	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1342	1717	2.0%	12.1%	85.9%	-0.5	13
1949-12-25	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-2	1366	1307	74.9%	14.4%	10.6%	+2.7	17
1949-12-25	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 2-3	1307	1366	10.6%	14.4%	74.9%	-2.7	19
1950-01-01	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1389	1370	72.4%	14.6%	13.0%	+10.1	16
1950-01-01	@ Braga	L 0-3	1370	1389	13.0%	14.6%	72.4%	-10.1	15
1950-01-01	Lusitano VRSA	W 4-2	1364	1256	77.6%	14.2%	8.2%	+3.5	17
1950-01-01	@ Olhanense	L 2-4	1256	1364	8.2%	14.2%	77.6%	-3.5	7
1950-01-01	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1372	1430	66.2%	14.8%	18.9%	+4.9	15
1950-01-01	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-2	1430	1372	18.9%	14.8%	66.2%	-4.9	15
1950-01-08	Porto	W 3-2	1304	1415	61.0%	14.9%	24.1%	+5.8	22
1950-01-08	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 2-3	1415	1304	24.1%	14.9%	61.0%	-5.8	16
1950-01-08	Olhanense	W 3-0	1360	1368	70.5%	14.7%	14.8%	+11.4	18
1950-01-08	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1368	1360	14.8%	14.7%	70.5%	-11.4	17
1950-01-08	Braga	W 2-1	1425	1399	72.9%	14.6%	12.6%	+3.4	18
1950-01-08	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1399	1425	12.6%	14.6%	72.9%	-3.4	16
1950-01-08	Sporting Covilha	W 7-1	1669	1377	84.0%	12.9%	3.1%	+3.8	34
1950-01-08	@ Benfica	L 1-7	1377	1669	3.1%	12.9%	84.0%	-3.8	15
1950-01-08	Estoril	W 4-1	1253	1403	56.5%	15.0%	28.5%	+17.6	10
1950-01-08	@ Lusitano VRSA	L 1-4	1403	1253	28.5%	15.0%	56.5%	-17.6	12
1950-01-08	Vitoria Setubal	W 4-2	1341	1369	68.9%	14.8%	16.3%	+6.7	16
1950-01-08	@ O Elvas	L 2-4	1369	1341	16.3%	14.8%	68.9%	-6.7	17
1950-01-08	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1374	1717	30.7%	14.7%	54.7%	-7.6	15
1950-01-08	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1717	1374	54.7%	14.7%	30.7%	+7.6	31
1950-01-15	Sporting Covilha	L 4-6	1310	1373	65.8%	14.9%	19.4%	-21.5	22
1950-01-15	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 6-4	1373	1310	19.4%	14.9%	65.8%	+21.5	18
1950-01-15	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1428	1372	74.8%	14.4%	10.8%	-4.4	19
1950-01-15	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1372	1428	10.8%	14.4%	74.8%	+4.4	19
1950-01-15	Porto	L 0-3	1348	1409	66.0%	14.9%	19.2%	-44.3	16
1950-01-15	@ O Elvas	W 3-0	1409	1348	19.2%	14.9%	66.0%	+44.3	19
1950-01-15	Vitoria Setubal	W 4-2	1366	1362	71.4%	14.7%	14.0%	+5.8	18
1950-01-15	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 2-4	1362	1366	14.0%	14.7%	71.4%	-5.8	17
1950-01-22	Braga	W 4-2	1673	1396	83.6%	13.0%	3.4%	+1.4	37
1950-01-22	@ Benfica	L 2-4	1396	1673	3.4%	13.0%	83.6%	-1.4	16
1950-01-29	Benfica	D 1-1	1376	1674	36.5%	14.8%	48.7%	+0.7	20
1950-01-29	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1674	1376	48.7%	14.8%	36.5%	-0.7	38
1950-01-29	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1394	1289	77.5%	14.2%	8.3%	+3.9	19
1950-01-29	@ Braga	L 1-3	1289	1394	8.3%	14.2%	77.5%	-3.9	22
1950-01-29	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1356	1424	65.3%	14.9%	19.8%	-2.7	18
1950-01-29	@ Olhanense	D 1-1	1424	1356	19.8%	14.9%	65.3%	+2.7	20
1950-01-29	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-0	1453	1372	76.2%	14.3%	9.5%	+7.4	22
1950-01-29	@ Porto	L 0-3	1372	1453	9.5%	14.3%	76.2%	-7.4	18
1950-01-29	Estoril	W 5-1	1725	1385	85.2%	12.4%	2.4%	+2.0	34
1950-01-29	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-5	1385	1725	2.4%	12.4%	85.2%	-2.0	12
1950-01-29	O Elvas	W 3-0	1395	1304	76.7%	14.3%	9.0%	+7.1	21
1950-01-29	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-3	1304	1395	9.0%	14.3%	76.7%	-7.1	16
1950-01-29	Lusitano VRSA	W 4-2	1356	1270	76.4%	14.3%	9.2%	+3.9	20
1950-01-29	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 2-4	1270	1356	9.2%	14.3%	76.4%	-3.9	10
1950-02-05	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1285	1377	62.9%	14.9%	22.1%	-14.6	22
1950-02-05	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1377	1285	22.1%	14.9%	62.9%	+14.5	23
1950-02-05	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1673	1427	82.8%	13.2%	4.0%	-5.0	39
1950-02-05	@ Benfica	D 1-1	1427	1673	4.0%	13.2%	82.8%	+5.0	21
1950-02-05	Vitoria Setubal	L 2-5	1383	1360	72.7%	14.6%	12.7%	-35.8	12
1950-02-05	@ Estoril	W 5-2	1360	1383	12.7%	14.6%	72.7%	+35.8	23
1950-02-05	Porto	W 3-1	1266	1461	50.8%	15.0%	34.2%	+14.5	13
1950-02-05	@ Lusitano VRSA	L 1-3	1461	1266	34.2%	15.0%	50.8%	-14.5	22
1950-02-05	Braga	W 4-1	1297	1398	61.9%	14.9%	23.1%	+14.5	19
1950-02-05	@ O Elvas	L 1-4	1398	1297	23.1%	14.9%	61.9%	-14.5	19
1950-02-05	Olhanense	W 6-0	1727	1354	85.9%	12.1%	2.0%	+3.0	37
1950-02-05	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-6	1354	1727	2.0%	12.1%	85.9%	-3.0	18
1950-02-05	Sporting Covilha	D 2-2	1365	1402	68.1%	14.8%	17.1%	-2.3	19
1950-02-05	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 2-2	1402	1365	17.1%	14.8%	68.1%	+2.3	22
1950-02-12	O Elvas	D 2-2	1391	1311	76.1%	14.3%	9.5%	-3.1	24
1950-02-12	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1311	1391	9.5%	14.3%	76.1%	+3.1	20
1950-02-12	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1432	1270	79.9%	13.9%	6.2%	+3.4	24
1950-02-12	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1270	1432	6.2%	13.9%	79.9%	-3.4	22
1950-02-12	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1384	1362	72.5%	14.6%	12.8%	-3.7	20
1950-02-12	@ Braga	D 1-1	1362	1384	12.8%	14.6%	72.5%	+3.7	20
1950-02-12	Benfica	L 1-2	1351	1668	33.9%	14.8%	51.4%	-8.3	18
1950-02-12	@ Olhanense	W 2-1	1668	1351	51.4%	14.8%	33.9%	+8.3	42
1950-02-12	Estoril	W 3-0	1446	1347	77.1%	14.2%	8.6%	+6.8	25
1950-02-12	@ Porto	L 0-3	1347	1446	8.6%	14.2%	77.1%	-6.8	12
1950-02-12	Lusitano VRSA	W 3-0	1404	1281	78.3%	14.1%	7.6%	+6.0	25
1950-02-12	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-3	1281	1404	7.6%	14.1%	78.3%	-6.0	13
1950-02-12	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1396	1730	31.8%	14.7%	53.5%	+21.5	26
1950-02-12	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-3	1730	1396	53.5%	14.7%	31.8%	-21.5	37
1950-02-16	Olhanense	L 0-1	1340	1342	70.9%	14.7%	14.4%	-17.4	12
1950-02-16	@ Estoril	W 1-0	1342	1340	14.4%	14.7%	70.9%	+17.4	21
1950-02-16	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1275	1708	20.8%	14.3%	65.0%	+29.9	16
1950-02-16	@ Lusitano VRSA	L 0-2	1708	1275	65.0%	14.3%	20.8%	-29.9	37
1950-02-19	Benfica	L 3-4	1267	1677	23.1%	14.4%	62.5%	-5.4	22
1950-02-19	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 4-3	1677	1267	62.5%	14.4%	23.1%	+5.5	45
1950-02-19	Sporting Covilha	W 6-1	1323	1410	63.4%	14.9%	21.6%	+21.7	15
1950-02-19	@ Estoril	L 1-6	1410	1323	21.6%	14.9%	63.4%	-21.7	25
1950-02-19	Braga	L 0-1	1305	1380	64.6%	14.9%	20.5%	-15.9	16
1950-02-19	@ Lusitano VRSA	W 1-0	1380	1305	20.5%	14.9%	64.6%	+15.9	23
1950-02-19	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1314	1435	59.9%	15.0%	25.2%	+6.8	23
1950-02-19	@ O Elvas	L 0-1	1435	1314	25.2%	15.0%	59.9%	-6.8	24
1950-02-19	Porto	W 4-1	1678	1453	82.2%	13.4%	4.4%	+3.0	40
1950-02-19	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1453	1678	4.4%	13.4%	82.2%	-2.9	25
1950-02-19	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1366	1388	69.3%	14.8%	15.9%	-15.2	20
1950-02-19	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-2	1388	1366	15.9%	14.8%	69.3%	+15.2	27
1950-02-19	Olhanense	L 1-2	1417	1360	74.9%	14.4%	10.7%	-17.4	26
1950-02-19	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1360	1417	10.7%	14.4%	74.9%	+17.4	24
1950-02-26	Lusitano VRSA	W 6-1	1404	1289	77.9%	14.1%	8.0%	+8.4	30
1950-02-26	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-6	1289	1404	8.0%	14.1%	77.9%	-8.4	16
1950-02-26	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1428	1351	76.0%	14.3%	9.7%	+2.8	27
1950-02-26	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1351	1428	9.7%	14.3%	76.0%	-2.8	20
1950-02-26	O Elvas	W 3-1	1682	1321	85.6%	12.2%	2.1%	+1.0	48
1950-02-26	@ Benfica	L 1-3	1321	1682	2.1%	12.2%	85.6%	-1.0	23
1950-02-26	Estoril	L 2-3	1396	1345	74.5%	14.5%	11.1%	-16.4	23
1950-02-26	@ Braga	W 3-2	1345	1396	11.1%	14.5%	74.5%	+16.4	18
1950-02-26	Academica de Coimbra	D 3-3	1377	1261	77.9%	14.1%	7.9%	-2.7	25
1950-02-26	@ Olhanense	D 3-3	1261	1377	7.9%	14.1%	77.9%	+2.7	23
1950-02-26	Vitoria Setubal	W 8-0	1450	1400	74.4%	14.5%	11.1%	+21.8	28
1950-02-26	@ Porto	L 0-8	1400	1450	11.1%	14.5%	74.4%	-21.8	26
1950-02-26	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1388	1681	37.2%	14.8%	48.0%	-8.6	25
1950-02-26	@ Sporting Covilha	W 3-2	1681	1388	48.0%	14.8%	37.2%	+8.6	43
1950-03-05	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1361	1412	66.9%	14.8%	18.3%	+4.8	21
1950-03-05	@ Estoril	L 1-2	1412	1361	18.3%	14.8%	66.9%	-4.8	30
1950-03-05	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 5-4	1280	1431	56.4%	15.0%	28.6%	+6.6	19
1950-03-05	@ Lusitano VRSA	L 4-5	1431	1280	28.6%	15.0%	56.4%	-6.6	27
1950-03-05	Academica de Coimbra	D 3-3	1320	1264	74.8%	14.4%	10.8%	-2.4	24
1950-03-05	@ O Elvas	D 3-3	1264	1320	10.8%	14.4%	74.8%	+2.4	24
1950-03-05	Olhanense	D 1-1	1472	1374	77.1%	14.2%	8.7%	-4.3	29
1950-03-05	@ Porto	D 1-1	1374	1472	8.7%	14.2%	77.1%	+4.3	26
1950-03-05	Braga	W 5-2	1690	1380	84.5%	12.7%	2.8%	+1.6	46
1950-03-05	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-5	1380	1690	2.8%	12.7%	84.5%	-1.6	23
1950-03-05	Benfica	L 3-5	1348	1683	31.7%	14.7%	53.6%	-11.5	20
1950-03-05	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 5-3	1683	1348	53.6%	14.7%	31.7%	+11.5	51
1950-03-05	Sporting Covilha	W 2-0	1378	1380	70.9%	14.7%	14.4%	+7.7	29
1950-03-05	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-2	1380	1378	14.4%	14.7%	70.9%	-7.7	25
1950-03-12	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1267	1337	65.1%	14.9%	20.0%	-3.0	25
1950-03-12	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1337	1267	20.0%	14.9%	65.1%	+3.0	21
1950-03-12	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1407	1691	38.4%	14.8%	46.8%	+19.1	33
1950-03-12	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1691	1407	46.8%	14.8%	38.4%	-19.0	46
1950-03-12	Estoril	W 2-0	1424	1366	74.9%	14.4%	10.6%	+5.7	30
1950-03-12	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1366	1424	10.6%	14.4%	74.9%	-5.7	21
1950-03-12	Lusitano VRSA	W 4-1	1694	1287	86.5%	11.8%	1.7%	+1.1	54
1950-03-12	@ Benfica	L 1-4	1287	1694	1.7%	11.8%	86.5%	-1.1	19
1950-03-12	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-2	1378	1386	70.5%	14.7%	14.8%	+3.7	26
1950-03-12	@ Braga	L 2-3	1386	1378	14.8%	14.7%	70.5%	-3.7	29
1950-03-12	O Elvas	W 6-3	1379	1318	75.1%	14.4%	10.5%	+5.6	29
1950-03-12	@ Olhanense	L 3-6	1318	1379	10.5%	14.4%	75.1%	-5.6	24
1950-03-12	Porto	W 4-2	1372	1468	62.6%	14.9%	22.5%	+9.0	28
1950-03-12	@ Sporting Covilha	L 2-4	1468	1372	22.5%	14.9%	62.6%	-9.0	29
1950-03-19	Benfica	L 1-2	1360	1696	31.6%	14.7%	53.7%	-7.8	21
1950-03-19	@ Estoril	W 2-1	1696	1360	53.7%	14.7%	31.6%	+7.8	57
1950-03-19	Academica de Coimbra	L 2-4	1286	1264	72.6%	14.6%	12.8%	-26.1	19
1950-03-19	@ Lusitano VRSA	W 4-2	1264	1286	12.8%	14.6%	72.6%	+26.1	28
1950-03-19	Braga	W 4-0	1459	1382	76.0%	14.3%	9.7%	+9.9	32
1950-03-19	@ Porto	L 0-4	1382	1459	9.7%	14.3%	76.0%	-9.9	26
1950-03-19	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1672	1430	82.7%	13.3%	4.1%	-20.3	46
1950-03-19	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1430	1672	4.1%	13.3%	82.7%	+20.3	33
1950-03-19	Olhanense	W 2-1	1381	1384	70.8%	14.7%	14.5%	+3.8	31
1950-03-19	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-2	1384	1381	14.5%	14.7%	70.8%	-3.9	29
1950-03-19	O Elvas	W 3-1	1340	1312	73.0%	14.6%	12.4%	+5.8	24
1950-03-19	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-3	1312	1340	12.4%	14.6%	73.0%	-5.8	24
1950-03-19	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1382	1426	67.5%	14.8%	17.7%	-3.0	30
1950-03-19	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1426	1382	17.7%	14.8%	67.5%	+3.0	34
1950-04-16	Estoril	D 1-1	1290	1352	65.8%	14.9%	19.3%	-2.8	29
1950-04-16	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1352	1290	19.3%	14.9%	65.8%	+2.8	22
1950-04-16	Porto	W 4-1	1429	1469	67.9%	14.8%	17.3%	+11.2	37
1950-04-16	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1469	1429	17.3%	14.8%	67.9%	-11.2	32
1950-04-16	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1451	1379	75.7%	14.4%	10.0%	+2.7	36
1950-04-16	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1379	1451	10.0%	14.4%	75.7%	-2.7	30
1950-04-16	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1703	1652	74.5%	14.5%	11.1%	-16.4	57
1950-04-16	@ Benfica	W 3-2	1652	1703	11.1%	14.5%	74.5%	+16.4	49
1950-04-16	Sporting Covilha	W 3-1	1372	1385	70.0%	14.7%	15.2%	+7.0	29
1950-04-16	@ Braga	L 1-3	1385	1372	15.2%	14.7%	70.0%	-7.0	31
1950-04-16	Lusitano VRSA	W 6-1	1306	1260	74.2%	14.5%	11.3%	+11.8	27
1950-04-16	@ O Elvas	L 1-6	1260	1306	11.3%	14.5%	74.2%	-11.8	19
1950-04-16	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1380	1345	73.5%	14.5%	12.0%	-3.8	30
1950-04-16	@ Olhanense	D 1-1	1345	1380	12.0%	14.5%	73.5%	+3.8	25
1950-04-23	Olhanense	W 2-1	1379	1377	71.2%	14.7%	14.1%	+3.8	32
1950-04-23	@ Braga	L 1-2	1377	1379	14.1%	14.7%	71.2%	-3.8	30
1950-04-23	O Elvas	W 4-3	1355	1318	73.6%	14.5%	11.9%	+3.0	25
1950-04-23	@ Estoril	L 3-4	1318	1355	11.9%	14.5%	73.6%	-2.9	27
1950-04-23	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-0	1248	1349	62.0%	14.9%	23.1%	+17.2	22
1950-04-23	@ Lusitano VRSA	L 0-3	1349	1248	23.1%	14.9%	62.0%	-17.2	25
1950-04-23	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1458	1453	71.4%	14.7%	14.0%	+7.5	35
1950-04-23	@ Porto	L 0-2	1453	1458	14.0%	14.7%	71.4%	-7.5	36
1950-04-23	Academica de Coimbra	W 6-0	1668	1287	86.0%	12.1%	1.9%	+2.8	52
1950-04-23	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-6	1287	1668	1.9%	12.1%	86.0%	-2.8	29
1950-04-23	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1378	1440	65.8%	14.9%	19.3%	+5.0	34
1950-04-23	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-2	1440	1378	19.3%	14.9%	65.8%	-5.0	37
1950-04-23	Benfica	L 0-5	1376	1687	34.8%	14.8%	50.4%	-39.8	30
1950-04-23	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 5-0	1687	1376	50.4%	14.8%	34.8%	+39.8	60
1950-04-30	Vitoria Setubal	W 6-0	1284	1336	66.8%	14.8%	18.4%	+26.8	32
1950-04-30	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-6	1336	1284	18.4%	14.8%	66.8%	-26.8	30
1950-04-30	Braga	W 4-2	1435	1383	74.6%	14.5%	11.0%	+4.6	40
1950-04-30	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 2-4	1383	1435	11.0%	14.5%	74.6%	-4.6	32
1950-04-30	Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1446	1383	75.2%	14.4%	10.4%	-4.0	37
1950-04-30	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1383	1446	10.4%	14.4%	75.2%	+4.0	35
1950-04-30	Porto	W 3-2	1727	1465	83.2%	13.1%	3.6%	+0.9	63
1950-04-30	@ Benfica	L 2-3	1465	1727	3.6%	13.1%	83.2%	-0.9	35
1950-04-30	Olhanense	D 1-1	1265	1373	61.3%	14.9%	23.7%	-2.2	23
1950-04-30	@ Lusitano VRSA	D 1-1	1373	1265	23.7%	14.9%	61.3%	+2.2	31
1950-04-30	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 3-6	1315	1671	29.1%	14.6%	56.3%	-14.2	27
1950-04-30	@ O Elvas	W 6-3	1671	1315	56.3%	14.6%	29.1%	+14.2	55
1950-04-30	Estoril	W 3-1	1332	1358	69.0%	14.8%	16.2%	+7.4	28
1950-04-30	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-3	1358	1332	16.2%	14.8%	69.0%	-7.4	25
1950-05-07	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1378	1442	65.7%	14.9%	19.4%	+5.4	35
1950-05-07	@ Braga	L 0-1	1442	1378	19.4%	14.9%	65.7%	-5.4	37
1950-05-07	Lusitano VRSA	W 10-0	1351	1263	76.5%	14.3%	9.2%	+22.4	28
1950-05-07	@ Estoril	L 0-10	1263	1351	9.2%	14.3%	76.5%	-22.5	23
1950-05-07	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1375	1440	65.6%	14.9%	19.5%	-2.8	32
1950-05-07	@ Olhanense	D 1-1	1440	1375	19.5%	14.9%	65.6%	+2.8	41
1950-05-07	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1464	1311	79.6%	13.9%	6.5%	+3.1	38
1950-05-07	@ Porto	L 1-3	1311	1464	6.5%	13.9%	79.6%	-3.1	32
1950-05-07	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 5-1	1686	1339	85.3%	12.4%	2.3%	+2.0	58
1950-05-07	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-5	1339	1686	2.3%	12.4%	85.3%	-2.0	28
1950-05-07	Benfica	L 3-4	1387	1728	31.0%	14.7%	54.4%	-7.1	35
1950-05-07	@ Sporting Covilha	W 4-3	1728	1387	54.4%	14.7%	31.0%	+7.1	66
1950-05-07	O Elvas	W 4-0	1310	1301	71.7%	14.6%	13.7%	+13.8	33
1950-05-07	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-4	1301	1310	13.7%	14.6%	71.7%	-13.9	27

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1950-03-19	4.06%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1430	1	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1672	0
2	1949-11-13	9.80%	Braga	1355	2	@ Estoril	1430	1
3	1949-12-11	10.07%	Benfica	1636	2	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1706	1
4	1950-02-19	10.70%	Olhanense	1360	2	@ Vitoria Setubal	1417	1
5	1950-02-26	11.05%	Estoril	1345	3	@ Braga	1396	2
6	1950-04-16	11.05%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1652	3	@ Benfica	1703	2
7	1950-02-05	12.74%	Vitoria Setubal	1360	5	@ Estoril	1383	2
8	1950-03-19	12.78%	Academica de Coimbra	1264	4	@ Lusitano VRSA	1286	2
9	1950-02-16	14.42%	Olhanense	1342	1	@ Estoril	1340	0
10	1950-02-19	15.92%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1388	3	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1366	2
11	1949-12-18	16.76%	Estoril	1390	2	@ O Elvas	1358	1
12	1949-11-27	17.03%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1451	2	@ Estoril	1415	1
13	1949-10-23	17.94%	Benfica	1575	6	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1528	1
14	1950-01-15	19.18%	Porto	1409	3	@ O Elvas	1348	0
15	1950-01-15	19.35%	Sporting Covilha	1373	6	@ Academica de Coimbra	1310	4
16	1949-11-13	20.03%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1356	2	@ Lusitano VRSA	1286	1
17	1950-02-19	20.52%	Braga	1380	1	@ Lusitano VRSA	1305	0
18	1950-02-16	20.79%	@ Lusitano VRSA	1275	2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1708	0
19	1950-02-05	22.13%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1377	2	@ Academica de Coimbra	1285	1
20	1949-10-16	26.04%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1601	4	@ Estoril	1473	0
21	1950-02-12	31.79%	@ Vitoria Setubal	1396	3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1730	1
22	1949-10-09	34.41%	Benfica	1560	3	@ Braga	1363	2
23	1949-12-04	35.23%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1669	5	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1466	1
24	1950-03-12	38.36%	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1407	3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1691	1
25	1949-11-13	38.96%	@ O Elvas	1353	1	Benfica	1633	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1949-10-23	60.26	Benfica	6	1575	17.94%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1	1528	67.24%
2	1949-10-16	51.82	Sporting Clube de Portugal	4	1601	26.04%	@ Estoril	0	1473	58.99%
3	1950-01-15	44.33	Porto	3	1409	19.18%	@ O Elvas	0	1348	65.96%
4	1950-04-23	39.80	Benfica	5	1687	50.43%	@ Vitoria Setubal	0	1376	34.80%
5	1949-12-04	36.82	Sporting Clube de Portugal	5	1669	35.23%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1	1466	49.80%
6	1950-02-05	35.76	Vitoria Setubal	5	1360	12.74%	@ Estoril	2	1383	72.67%
7	1949-12-04	31.26	@ Braga	6	1370	63.30%	Porto	0	1458	21.79%
8	1950-02-16	29.87	@ Lusitano VRSA	2	1275	20.79%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	0	1708	64.95%
9	1949-12-18	28.46	Sporting Clube de Portugal	6	1688	55.87%	@ Academica de Coimbra	1	1336	29.50%
10	1949-11-20	27.23	@ Olhanense	6	1332	57.12%	Porto	1	1477	27.91%
11	1949-11-06	27.03	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	6	1329	66.56%	Vitoria Guimaraes	0	1383	18.60%
12	1950-04-30	26.79	@ Academica de Coimbra	6	1284	66.75%	Vitoria Setubal	0	1336	18.42%
13	1950-03-19	26.10	Academica de Coimbra	4	1264	12.78%	@ Lusitano VRSA	2	1286	72.63%
14	1949-10-30	24.04	@ Academica de Coimbra	3	1278	51.42%	Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1468	33.61%
15	1950-05-07	22.45	@ Estoril	10	1351	76.54%	Lusitano VRSA	0	1263	9.17%
16	1950-02-26	21.82	@ Porto	8	1450	74.43%	Vitoria Setubal	0	1400	11.10%
17	1950-02-19	21.67	@ Estoril	6	1323	63.45%	Sporting Covilha	1	1410	21.65%
18	1949-11-13	21.54	@ Academica de Coimbra	7	1307	67.27%	Olhanense	1	1354	17.91%
19	1950-01-15	21.52	Sporting Covilha	6	1373	19.35%	@ Academica de Coimbra	4	1310	65.79%
20	1950-02-12	21.49	@ Vitoria Setubal	3	1396	31.79%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1	1730	53.51%
21	1949-11-13	20.69	@ Vitoria Setubal	3	1349	56.69%	Porto	0	1497	28.33%
22	1950-03-19	20.33	Os Belenenses (1st)	1	1430	4.06%	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	0	1672	82.67%
23	1950-03-12	19.05	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	3	1407	38.36%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1	1691	46.80%
24	1949-11-13	17.62	Braga	2	1355	9.80%	@ Estoril	1	1430	75.84%
25	1950-01-08	17.56	@ Lusitano VRSA	4	1253	56.49%	Estoril	1	1403	28.54%