1950-51 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Sporting Clube de Portugal

45 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sporting Clube de Portugal

7.75 points above expected

45 points · 37.25 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Benfica

4.28 points below expected

30 points · 34.28 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	26	21	3	2	45	91	28	+63	37.2	+7.75
2	Porto	26	15	4	7	34	67	32	+35	30.5	+3.50
3	Benfica	26	12	6	8	30	81	43	+38	34.3	-4.28
4	Atletico Clube de Portugal	26	12	6	8	30	62	49	+13	27.7	+2.27
5	Oriental de Lisboa	26	11	5	10	27	37	57	-20	25.1	+1.95
6	Sporting Covilha	26	13	0	13	26	62	53	+9	26.0	-0.04
7	Braga	26	10	5	11	25	42	57	-15	24.2	+0.78
8	Os Belenenses (1st)	26	10	4	12	24	45	48	-3	25.5	-1.53
9	Academica de Coimbra	26	10	4	12	24	40	53	-13	23.8	+0.21
10	Boavista	26	10	3	13	23	50	62	-12	20.9	+2.14
11	Estoril	26	10	1	15	21	53	58	-5	23.7	-2.70
12	Vitoria Setubal	26	8	4	14	20	31	58	-27	22.3	-2.26
13	Vitoria Guimaraes	26	6	6	14	18	40	57	-17	21.8	-3.79
14	Olhanense	26	7	3	16	17	31	77	-46	21.0	-4.00

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1614	45	37.25	+7.75	100.0%	26	30	34	37	40	43	45
Benfica	1533	30	34.28	-4.28	19.0%	25	27	32	34	37	41	44
Porto	1454	34	30.50	+3.50	83.0%	21	24	28	30	33	37	41
Atletico Clube de Portugal	1370	30	27.73	+2.27	82.0%	19	23	25	28	30	33	37
Os Belenenses (1st)	1326	24	25.53	-1.53	35.0%	14	18	23	26	28	32	35
Sporting Covilha	1326	26	26.04	-0.04	59.0%	17	20	23	26	29	32	38
Braga	1302	25	24.22	+0.78	63.0%	16	17	21	24	27	31	37
Oriental de Lisboa	1296	27	25.05	+1.95	75.0%	14	16	23	25	27	32	34
Boavista	1245	23	20.86	+2.14	75.0%	10	14	18	21	23	28	33
Academica de Coimbra	1225	24	23.79	+0.21	63.0%	18	19	21	23	26	29	35
Estoril	1220	21	23.70	-2.70	26.0%	14	18	21	24	26	30	30
Vitoria Guimaraes	1192	18	21.79	-3.79	18.0%	12	16	19	21	24	28	30
Vitoria Setubal	1183	20	22.26	-2.26	35.0%	13	15	19	23	25	29	31
Olhanense	1163	17	21.00	-4.00	15.0%	9	12	19	21	23	28	31

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ADC	ACDP	BEN	BOA	BRA	EST	OLH	ODL	OB(	POR	SCDP	SC	VG	VS
Academica de Coimbra	—	0-0-2 2.44	0-0-2 1.64	1-0-1 3.14	0-1-1 2.81	2-0-0 2.66	1-0-1 3.37	1-0-1 2.64	1-1-0 2.62	1-1-0 1.91	0-0-2 1.45	1-0-1 2.61	2-0-0 2.93	0-1-1 3.21
Atletico Clube de Portugal	2-0-0 3.31	—	0-2-0 2.17	1-1-0 3.56	1-1-0 3.40	0-1-1 3.82	1-0-1 3.29	1-0-1 3.41	1-0-1 3.31	1-0-1 2.48	0-1-1 1.87	1-0-1 3.22	1-0-1 3.43	2-0-0 3.42
Benfica	2-0-0 4.12	0-2-0 3.58	—	1-1-0 4.16	1-0-1 3.93	1-0-1 3.88	1-0-1 4.42	2-0-0 3.49	1-1-0 3.72	0-0-2 3.13	0-1-1 2.71	1-0-1 3.38	1-0-1 4.18	1-1-0 3.91
Boavista	1-0-1 2.61	0-1-1 2.20	0-1-1 1.59	—	1-0-1 2.44	2-0-0 2.34	1-0-1 3.10	0-1-1 2.29	1-0-1 2.19	0-0-2 1.98	0-0-2 1.25	1-0-1 2.25	2-0-0 2.79	1-0-1 2.57
Braga	1-1-0 2.94	0-1-1 2.35	1-0-1 1.82	1-0-1 3.31	—	1-0-1 2.95	1-1-0 3.01	1-0-1 2.88	0-0-2 2.85	0-1-1 2.15	0-0-2 1.69	1-0-1 2.64	1-1-0 3.08	2-0-0 3.11
Estoril	0-0-2 3.09	1-1-0 1.93	1-0-1 1.88	0-0-2 3.41	1-0-1 2.80	—	1-0-1 3.05	1-0-1 2.91	0-0-2 2.88	1-0-1 1.73	0-0-2 1.56	1-0-1 2.87	2-0-0 2.99	1-0-1 3.10
Olhanense	1-0-1 2.38	1-0-1 2.47	1-0-1 1.34	1-0-1 2.65	0-1-1 2.74	1-0-1 2.70	—	0-0-2 2.42	1-0-1 2.41	0-0-2 2.34	0-0-2 0.95	1-0-1 2.22	0-1-1 2.80	0-1-1 2.73
Oriental de Lisboa	1-0-1 3.11	1-0-1 2.34	0-0-2 2.26	1-1-0 3.46	1-0-1 2.87	1-0-1 2.84	2-0-0 3.33	—	1-1-0 2.76	1-0-1 2.06	0-1-1 1.54	2-0-0 2.75	0-2-0 3.11	0-0-2 3.24
Os Belenenses (1st)	0-1-1 3.13	1-0-1 2.44	0-1-1 2.04	1-0-1 3.56	2-0-0 2.90	2-0-0 2.87	1-0-1 3.35	0-1-1 2.99	—	0-1-1 2.39	0-0-2 1.59	1-0-1 2.92	1-0-1 3.20	1-0-1 3.13
Porto	0-1-1 3.84	1-0-1 3.27	2-0-0 2.62	2-0-0 3.77	1-1-0 3.61	1-0-1 4.02	2-0-0 3.42	1-0-1 3.69	1-1-0 3.36	—	1-0-1 2.32	1-0-1 3.48	1-1-0 3.35	1-0-1 3.87
Sporting Clube de Portugal	2-0-0 4.31	1-1-0 3.89	1-1-0 3.05	2-0-0 4.51	2-0-0 4.07	2-0-0 4.21	2-0-0 4.82	1-1-0 4.22	2-0-0 4.17	1-0-1 3.43	—	2-0-0 4.15	1-0-1 4.70	2-0-0 4.48
Sporting Covilha	1-0-1 3.14	1-0-1 2.53	1-0-1 2.37	1-0-1 3.50	1-0-1 3.11	1-0-1 2.88	1-0-1 3.53	0-0-2 3.00	1-0-1 2.83	1-0-1 2.27	0-0-2 1.60	—	2-0-0 3.02	2-0-0 3.45
Vitoria Guimaraes	0-0-2 2.82	1-0-1 2.32	1-0-1 1.58	0-0-2 2.97	0-1-1 2.67	0-0-2 2.76	1-1-0 2.95	0-2-0 2.64	1-0-1 2.55	0-1-1 2.40	1-0-1 1.07	0-0-2 2.73	—	1-1-0 2.82
Vitoria Setubal	1-1-0 2.54	0-0-2 2.34	0-1-1 1.84	1-0-1 3.19	0-0-2 2.65	1-0-1 2.65	1-1-0 3.02	2-0-0 2.51	1-0-1 2.62	1-0-1 1.89	0-0-2 1.28	0-0-2 2.30	0-1-1 2.93	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.20%	2.75%	5.49%	4.40%	1.92%	4.95%	21.70%
1	2.75%	7.14%	4.40%	4.95%	2.20%	1.92%	23.35%
2	5.49%	4.40%	3.85%	5.22%	1.37%	1.65%	21.98%
3	4.40%	4.95%	5.22%	1.10%	0.82%	0.55%	17.03%
4	1.92%	2.20%	1.37%	0.82%	0.55%	—	6.87%
5+	4.95%	1.92%	1.65%	0.55%	—	—	9.07%
Total	21.70%	23.35%	21.98%	17.03%	6.87%	9.07%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.01
Mean allowed	2.01
StdDev scored	1.80
StdDev allowed	1.80
Mean total goals/game	4.02
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.258
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	7.69%	26.92%
1	7.69%	7.69%	—	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	38.46%
2	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
3	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	26.92%	23.08%	7.69%	26.92%	3.85%	11.54%	100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.54
Mean allowed	2.04
StdDev scored	1.56
StdDev allowed	1.95
Mean total goals/game	3.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.350
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
1	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	30.77%
2	11.54%	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	23.08%
3	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
4	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	26.92%	23.08%	15.38%	11.54%	15.38%	7.69%	100%

Atletico Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.38
Mean allowed	1.88
StdDev scored	1.47
StdDev allowed	1.68
Mean total goals/game	4.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.450
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
1	—	15.38%	—	11.54%	—	—	26.92%
2	—	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	19.23%
3	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	15.38%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	26.92%
Total	23.08%	19.23%	34.62%	19.23%	—	3.85%	100%

Benfica — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.12
Mean allowed	1.65
StdDev scored	2.55
StdDev allowed	1.26
Mean total goals/game	4.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.471
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	7.69%	23.08%
1	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%	23.08%
2	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%	26.92%
3	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
4	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
5+	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	23.08%	26.92%	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	23.08%	100%

Boavista — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.92
Mean allowed	2.38
StdDev scored	1.96
StdDev allowed	2.32
Mean total goals/game	4.31
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.302
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	26.92%
1	—	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	19.23%
2	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	23.08%
3	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
4	—	—	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.23%	26.92%	19.23%	15.38%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Braga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.62
Mean allowed	2.19
StdDev scored	1.27
StdDev allowed	2.14
Mean total goals/game	3.81
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.297
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	23.08%
1	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	11.54%
2	7.69%	3.85%	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	26.92%
3	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	26.92%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	19.23%	15.38%	23.08%	23.08%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Estoril — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.04
Mean allowed	2.23
StdDev scored	1.56
StdDev allowed	1.73
Mean total goals/game	4.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.374
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	15.38%	15.38%	38.46%
1	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	30.77%
2	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
3	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.54%	11.54%	26.92%	11.54%	23.08%	15.38%	100%

Olhanense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.19
Mean allowed	2.96
StdDev scored	1.30
StdDev allowed	2.16
Mean total goals/game	4.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.568
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	—	—	11.54%	—	11.54%	30.77%
1	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	23.08%
2	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	30.77%
3	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	26.92%	23.08%	15.38%	15.38%	7.69%	11.54%	100%

Oriental de Lisboa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.42
Mean allowed	2.19
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	2.47
Mean total goals/game	3.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.391
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	—	19.23%	—	—	—	26.92%
1	—	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	15.38%
2	7.69%	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	7.69%	30.77%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	7.69%	—	—	7.69%	—	—	15.38%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.92%	15.38%	23.08%	26.92%	—	7.69%	100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.73
Mean allowed	1.85
StdDev scored	1.40
StdDev allowed	1.59
Mean total goals/game	3.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.001
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
1	—	7.69%	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	23.08%
2	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
3	15.38%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
4	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
Total	34.62%	23.08%	30.77%	7.69%	3.85%	—	100%

Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.58
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	1.86
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	3.81
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.348
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
1	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
2	—	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
3	3.85%	11.54%	11.54%	—	—	—	26.92%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	19.23%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
Total	38.46%	26.92%	23.08%	11.54%	—	—	100%

Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.50
Mean allowed	1.08
StdDev scored	2.39
StdDev allowed	1.06
Mean total goals/game	4.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.317
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	19.23%
1	—	—	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
2	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	23.08%
4	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
Total	11.54%	23.08%	38.46%	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Sporting Covilha — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.38
Mean allowed	2.04
StdDev scored	1.83
StdDev allowed	1.37
Mean total goals/game	4.42
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.197
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	26.92%
1	—	15.38%	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	26.92%
2	—	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	23.08%
3	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	19.23%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	3.85%	38.46%	23.08%	19.23%	3.85%	11.54%	100%

Vitoria Guimaraes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.54
Mean allowed	2.19
StdDev scored	1.42
StdDev allowed	1.50
Mean total goals/game	3.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.220
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	30.77%
1	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	34.62%
2	—	11.54%	—	11.54%	—	—	23.08%
3	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.54%	30.77%	15.38%	26.92%	3.85%	11.54%	100%

Vitoria Setubal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.19
Mean allowed	2.23
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.68
Mean total goals/game	3.42
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.503
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	45	37.2	+7.75
2	Porto	34	30.5	+3.50
3	Atletico Clube de Portugal	30	27.7	+2.27
4	Boavista	23	20.9	+2.14
5	Oriental de Lisboa	27	25.1	+1.95

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Benfica	30	34.3	-4.28
2	Olhanense	17	21.0	-4.00
3	Vitoria Guimaraes	18	21.8	-3.79
4	Estoril	21	23.7	-2.70
5	Vitoria Setubal	20	22.3	-2.26

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Vitoria Guimaraes	3	Nov 19 – Dec 3	1 in 115
2	Porto	6	Dec 10 – Jan 21	1 in 60
3	Sporting Covilha	4	Nov 5 – Nov 26	1 in 33
4	Boavista	4	Jan 28 – Feb 18	1 in 30
5	Estoril	2	Nov 5 – Nov 12	1 in 24

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Estoril	3	Jan 7 – Jan 21	1 in 69
2	Vitoria Guimaraes	4	Jan 21 – Feb 11	1 in 55
3	Vitoria Setubal	6	Jan 28 – Mar 4	1 in 48
4	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1	Nov 26 – Nov 26	1 in 30
5	Porto	2	Nov 12 – Nov 19	1 in 24

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Atletico Clube de Portugal	8	Dec 10 – Feb 11	1 in 69
2	Vitoria Guimaraes	4	Nov 12 – Dec 3	1 in 55
3	Oriental de Lisboa	6	Dec 17 – Jan 28	1 in 44
4	Porto	8	Nov 26 – Jan 21	1 in 40
5	Sporting Clube de Portugal	10	Sep 17 – Nov 19	1 in 40

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Os Belenenses (1st)	5	Dec 3 – Jan 7	1 in 58
2	Porto	4	Oct 29 – Nov 19	1 in 56
3	Vitoria Guimaraes	5	Jan 14 – Feb 11	1 in 42
4	Benfica	5	Dec 17 – Jan 21	1 in 40
5	Academica de Coimbra	6	Dec 3 – Jan 14	1 in 21

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Sporting Clube de Portugal	69.00%	18.00%	10.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Porto	5.00%	22.00%	26.00%	20.00%	11.00%	6.00%	3.00%	3.00%	—	2.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Benfica	25.00%	42.00%	17.00%	5.00%	5.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Atletico Clube de Portugal	—	5.00%	14.00%	16.00%	26.00%	7.00%	11.00%	7.00%	6.00%	5.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—
Oriental de Lisboa	—	1.00%	8.00%	4.00%	6.00%	19.00%	9.00%	10.00%	9.00%	15.00%	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	4.00%
Sporting Covilha	—	3.00%	7.00%	19.00%	4.00%	14.00%	9.00%	10.00%	15.00%	6.00%	6.00%	4.00%	1.00%	2.00%
Braga	—	1.00%	4.00%	8.00%	9.00%	8.00%	7.00%	11.00%	8.00%	7.00%	11.00%	12.00%	11.00%	3.00%
Os Belenenses (1st)	1.00%	5.00%	6.00%	6.00%	14.00%	8.00%	14.00%	15.00%	5.00%	5.00%	7.00%	4.00%	6.00%	4.00%
Academica de Coimbra	—	2.00%	1.00%	6.00%	3.00%	9.00%	9.00%	5.00%	12.00%	17.00%	15.00%	11.00%	8.00%	2.00%
Boavista	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	4.00%	2.00%	3.00%	10.00%	11.00%	14.00%	20.00%	7.00%	23.00%
Estoril	—	—	3.00%	6.00%	7.00%	9.00%	14.00%	12.00%	9.00%	10.00%	5.00%	7.00%	13.00%	5.00%
Vitoria Setubal	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	3.00%	7.00%	11.00%	7.00%	12.00%	9.00%	8.00%	9.00%	10.00%	20.00%
Vitoria Guimaraes	—	—	—	4.00%	3.00%	3.00%	6.00%	11.00%	10.00%	6.00%	9.00%	15.00%	20.00%	13.00%
Olhanense	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	5.00%	3.00%	3.00%	5.00%	3.00%	7.00%	16.00%	12.00%	19.00%	24.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Atletico Clube de Portugal	100%	—
Benfica	100%	—
Porto	100%	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	100%	—
Sporting Covilha	97.0%	3.0%
Oriental de Lisboa	91.0%	9.0%
Academica de Coimbra	90.0%	10.0%
Os Belenenses (1st)	90.0%	10.0%
Braga	86.0%	14.0%
Estoril	82.0%	18.0%
Boavista	70.0%	30.0%
Vitoria Setubal	70.0%	30.0%
Vitoria Guimaraes	67.0%	33.0%
Olhanense	57.0%	43.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1950-09-17	Oriental de Lisboa	W 5-0	1246	1323	63.8%	12.6%	23.6%	+24.1	3
1950-09-17	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-5	1323	1246	23.6%	12.6%	63.8%	-24.1	0
1950-09-17	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-0	1325	1256	76.1%	12.3%	11.6%	+5.3	3
1950-09-17	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1256	1325	11.6%	12.3%	76.1%	-5.3	0
1950-09-17	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1506	1498	71.7%	12.5%	15.8%	-24.8	0
1950-09-17	@ Benfica	W 3-1	1498	1506	15.8%	12.5%	71.7%	+24.8	3
1950-09-17	Braga	L 1-2	1184	1296	60.0%	12.7%	27.4%	-12.0	0
1950-09-17	@ Boavista	W 2-1	1296	1184	27.4%	12.7%	60.0%	+12.0	3
1950-09-17	Sporting Covilha	W 5-0	1289	1291	71.0%	12.5%	16.6%	+17.3	3
1950-09-17	@ Estoril	L 0-5	1291	1289	16.6%	12.5%	71.0%	-17.3	0
1950-09-17	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-1	1287	1333	67.0%	12.6%	20.5%	+11.0	3
1950-09-17	@ Olhanense	L 1-4	1333	1287	20.5%	12.6%	67.0%	-11.0	0
1950-09-17	Porto	D 2-2	1265	1353	62.7%	12.6%	24.7%	-1.5	1
1950-09-17	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 2-2	1353	1265	24.7%	12.6%	62.7%	+1.5	1
1950-09-24	Benfica	D 2-2	1322	1481	54.2%	12.7%	33.1%	-0.8	1
1950-09-24	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1481	1322	33.1%	12.7%	54.2%	+0.8	1
1950-09-24	Olhanense	W 3-1	1308	1298	71.9%	12.5%	15.7%	+6.1	6
1950-09-24	@ Braga	L 1-3	1298	1308	15.7%	12.5%	71.9%	-6.1	3
1950-09-24	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-1	1299	1331	68.3%	12.6%	19.1%	+7.3	3
1950-09-24	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 1-3	1331	1299	19.1%	12.6%	68.3%	-7.3	3
1950-09-24	Boavista	W 3-0	1355	1172	81.7%	11.8%	6.5%	+4.3	4
1950-09-24	@ Porto	L 0-3	1172	1355	6.5%	11.8%	81.7%	-4.3	0
1950-09-24	Academica de Coimbra	W 7-0	1523	1270	84.1%	11.5%	4.4%	+6.5	6
1950-09-24	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-7	1270	1523	4.4%	11.5%	84.1%	-6.5	3
1950-09-24	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 6-3	1273	1263	71.9%	12.5%	15.7%	+6.9	3
1950-09-24	@ Sporting Covilha	L 3-6	1263	1273	15.7%	12.5%	71.9%	-6.9	1
1950-09-24	Estoril	W 3-2	1250	1306	66.0%	12.6%	21.4%	+4.5	3
1950-09-24	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 2-3	1306	1250	21.4%	12.6%	66.0%	-4.5	3
1950-10-01	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1263	1323	65.6%	12.6%	21.8%	+9.6	6
1950-10-01	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1323	1263	21.8%	12.6%	65.6%	-9.6	3
1950-10-01	Braga	W 8-2	1482	1314	81.1%	11.9%	7.0%	+6.1	4
1950-10-01	@ Benfica	L 2-8	1314	1482	7.0%	11.9%	81.1%	-6.1	6
1950-10-01	Sporting Covilha	W 4-3	1167	1280	59.9%	12.7%	27.5%	+5.5	3
1950-10-01	@ Boavista	L 3-4	1280	1167	27.5%	12.7%	59.9%	-5.5	3
1950-10-01	Oriental de Lisboa	W 3-1	1302	1307	70.7%	12.5%	16.8%	+6.5	6
1950-10-01	@ Estoril	L 1-3	1307	1302	16.8%	12.5%	70.7%	-6.5	3
1950-10-01	Porto	L 0-4	1292	1359	64.9%	12.6%	22.5%	-49.2	3
1950-10-01	@ Olhanense	W 4-0	1359	1292	22.5%	12.6%	64.9%	+49.2	7
1950-10-01	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-1	1530	1321	82.6%	11.7%	5.7%	+3.2	9
1950-10-01	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1321	1530	5.7%	11.7%	82.6%	-3.2	1
1950-10-01	Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1256	1255	71.2%	12.5%	16.3%	-2.9	2
1950-10-01	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1255	1256	16.3%	12.5%	71.2%	+2.9	4
1950-10-08	Academica de Coimbra	W 6-1	1318	1273	74.5%	12.4%	13.2%	+11.5	4
1950-10-08	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-6	1273	1318	13.2%	12.4%	74.5%	-11.5	6
1950-10-08	Estoril	W 4-3	1314	1308	71.5%	12.5%	16.0%	+3.3	6
1950-10-08	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 3-4	1308	1314	16.0%	12.5%	71.5%	-3.3	6
1950-10-08	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1308	1533	45.1%	12.6%	42.2%	-8.7	6
1950-10-08	@ Braga	W 3-2	1533	1308	42.2%	12.6%	45.1%	+8.7	12
1950-10-08	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1300	1254	74.6%	12.4%	13.1%	-3.3	4
1950-10-08	@ Oriental de Lisboa	D 1-1	1254	1300	13.1%	12.4%	74.6%	+3.3	3
1950-10-08	Benfica	W 5-2	1408	1488	63.6%	12.6%	23.8%	+11.0	10
1950-10-08	@ Porto	L 2-5	1488	1408	23.8%	12.6%	63.6%	-11.0	4
1950-10-08	Olhanense	W 4-2	1275	1243	73.5%	12.4%	14.1%	+4.9	6
1950-10-08	@ Sporting Covilha	L 2-4	1243	1275	14.1%	12.4%	73.5%	-4.9	3
1950-10-08	Boavista	W 1-0	1258	1173	77.0%	12.2%	10.8%	+2.6	7
1950-10-08	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1173	1258	10.8%	12.2%	77.0%	-2.6	3
1950-10-15	Estoril	W 4-1	1261	1305	67.2%	12.6%	20.2%	+10.9	9
1950-10-15	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-4	1305	1261	20.2%	12.6%	67.2%	-10.9	6
1950-10-15	Braga	W 3-0	1330	1299	73.4%	12.4%	14.1%	+9.2	7
1950-10-15	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1299	1330	14.1%	12.4%	73.4%	-9.2	6
1950-10-15	Sporting Covilha	W 3-2	1477	1280	82.2%	11.8%	6.0%	+1.3	7
1950-10-15	@ Benfica	L 2-3	1280	1477	6.0%	11.8%	82.2%	-1.3	6
1950-10-15	Oriental de Lisboa	D 2-2	1170	1297	58.2%	12.7%	29.1%	-1.1	4
1950-10-15	@ Boavista	D 2-2	1297	1170	29.1%	12.7%	58.2%	+1.1	5
1950-10-15	Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1238	1260	69.2%	12.5%	18.3%	-2.7	4
1950-10-15	@ Olhanense	D 1-1	1260	1238	18.3%	12.5%	69.2%	+2.7	8
1950-10-15	Porto	W 2-1	1542	1419	79.0%	12.1%	8.9%	+2.0	15
1950-10-15	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1419	1542	8.9%	12.1%	79.0%	-2.0	10
1950-10-15	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-1	1257	1317	65.6%	12.6%	21.8%	+8.3	6
1950-10-15	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-3	1317	1257	21.8%	12.6%	65.6%	-8.3	6
1950-10-22	Boavista	W 4-3	1309	1169	79.8%	12.0%	8.1%	+1.7	9
1950-10-22	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 3-4	1169	1309	8.1%	12.0%	79.8%	-1.7	4
1950-10-22	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1290	1272	72.5%	12.4%	15.1%	+5.9	9
1950-10-22	@ Braga	L 1-3	1272	1290	15.1%	12.4%	72.5%	-5.9	9
1950-10-22	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-2	1294	1265	73.3%	12.4%	14.3%	+3.0	9
1950-10-22	@ Estoril	L 2-3	1265	1294	14.3%	12.4%	73.3%	-3.0	6
1950-10-22	Olhanense	W 2-0	1298	1235	75.6%	12.3%	12.1%	+5.4	8
1950-10-22	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 0-2	1235	1298	12.1%	12.3%	75.6%	-5.5	4
1950-10-22	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1417	1339	76.6%	12.3%	11.2%	+7.3	13
1950-10-22	@ Porto	L 0-3	1339	1417	11.2%	12.3%	76.6%	-7.4	7
1950-10-22	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1278	1544	39.4%	12.6%	48.0%	-7.8	6
1950-10-22	@ Sporting Covilha	W 3-2	1544	1278	48.0%	12.6%	39.4%	+7.8	18
1950-10-22	Benfica	D 1-1	1263	1478	46.5%	12.6%	40.8%	-0.3	9
1950-10-22	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1478	1263	40.8%	12.6%	46.5%	+0.3	8
1950-10-29	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-2	1266	1262	71.4%	12.5%	16.1%	+3.4	12
1950-10-29	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 2-3	1262	1266	16.1%	12.5%	71.4%	-3.4	6
1950-10-29	Sporting Covilha	W 2-0	1332	1271	75.5%	12.3%	12.2%	+5.5	10
1950-10-29	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1271	1332	12.2%	12.3%	75.5%	-5.5	6
1950-10-29	Oriental de Lisboa	W 9-0	1478	1303	81.4%	11.9%	6.7%	+12.6	11
1950-10-29	@ Benfica	L 0-9	1303	1478	6.7%	11.9%	81.4%	-12.6	8
1950-10-29	Estoril	W 2-0	1167	1297	57.8%	12.7%	29.5%	+12.6	7
1950-10-29	@ Boavista	L 0-2	1297	1167	29.5%	12.7%	57.8%	-12.6	9
1950-10-29	Porto	D 1-1	1296	1424	58.0%	12.7%	29.4%	-1.5	10
1950-10-29	@ Braga	D 1-1	1424	1296	29.4%	12.7%	58.0%	+1.5	14
1950-10-29	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-2	1230	1311	63.4%	12.6%	23.9%	+5.0	7
1950-10-29	@ Olhanense	L 2-3	1311	1230	23.9%	12.6%	63.4%	-5.0	9
1950-10-29	Vitoria Setubal	W 6-0	1551	1263	85.0%	11.3%	3.7%	+4.6	21
1950-10-29	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-6	1263	1551	3.7%	11.3%	85.0%	-4.6	9
1950-11-05	Benfica	L 2-5	1306	1491	50.7%	12.7%	36.7%	-21.7	9
1950-11-05	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 5-2	1491	1306	36.7%	12.7%	50.7%	+21.7	14
1950-11-05	Olhanense	W 5-0	1285	1235	74.8%	12.4%	12.9%	+13.6	12
1950-11-05	@ Estoril	L 0-5	1235	1285	12.9%	12.4%	74.8%	-13.6	7
1950-11-05	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1291	1556	39.5%	12.6%	48.0%	+0.5	9
1950-11-05	@ Oriental de Lisboa	D 0-0	1556	1291	48.0%	12.6%	39.5%	-0.5	22
1950-11-05	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1426	1270	80.6%	12.0%	7.4%	-4.0	15
1950-11-05	@ Porto	D 1-1	1270	1426	7.4%	12.0%	80.6%	+4.0	13
1950-11-05	Braga	W 4-0	1265	1294	68.6%	12.6%	18.9%	+15.9	9
1950-11-05	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-4	1294	1265	18.9%	12.6%	68.6%	-15.9	10
1950-11-05	Boavista	L 0-1	1259	1180	76.6%	12.3%	11.1%	-16.3	6
1950-11-05	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1180	1259	11.1%	12.3%	76.6%	+16.3	10
1950-11-05	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1258	1337	63.6%	12.6%	23.7%	-25.4	9
1950-11-05	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 2-0	1337	1258	23.7%	12.6%	63.6%	+25.4	13
1950-11-12	Boavista	W 3-2	1274	1196	76.5%	12.3%	11.2%	+2.4	16
1950-11-12	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 2-3	1196	1274	11.2%	12.3%	76.5%	-2.4	10
1950-11-12	Oriental de Lisboa	W 3-0	1362	1291	76.1%	12.3%	11.6%	+7.6	16
1950-11-12	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1291	1362	11.6%	12.3%	76.1%	-7.6	9
1950-11-12	Estoril	L 2-3	1513	1298	82.8%	11.7%	5.5%	-15.8	14
1950-11-12	@ Benfica	W 3-2	1298	1513	5.5%	11.7%	82.8%	+15.8	15
1950-11-12	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-1	1278	1233	74.5%	12.4%	13.1%	+5.1	13
1950-11-12	@ Braga	L 1-3	1233	1278	13.1%	12.4%	74.5%	-5.1	9
1950-11-12	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1221	1242	69.2%	12.5%	18.2%	-2.7	8
1950-11-12	@ Olhanense	D 1-1	1242	1221	18.2%	12.5%	69.2%	+2.7	7
1950-11-12	Sporting Covilha	L 1-2	1422	1281	79.9%	12.0%	8.1%	-16.0	15
1950-11-12	@ Porto	W 2-1	1281	1422	8.1%	12.0%	79.9%	+16.0	12
1950-11-12	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 6-2	1555	1284	84.6%	11.4%	4.0%	+2.5	25
1950-11-12	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-6	1284	1555	4.0%	11.4%	84.6%	-2.5	9
1950-11-19	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1281	1370	62.6%	12.6%	24.8%	+5.4	12
1950-11-19	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1370	1281	24.8%	12.6%	62.6%	-5.4	16
1950-11-19	Olhanense	W 9-0	1194	1218	69.0%	12.5%	18.5%	+33.5	13
1950-11-19	@ Boavista	L 0-9	1218	1194	18.5%	12.5%	69.0%	-33.5	8
1950-11-19	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1314	1558	42.4%	12.6%	45.0%	-8.7	15
1950-11-19	@ Estoril	W 2-1	1558	1314	45.0%	12.6%	42.4%	+8.7	28
1950-11-19	Braga	W 2-0	1284	1283	71.1%	12.5%	16.4%	+7.3	12
1950-11-19	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 0-2	1283	1284	16.4%	12.5%	71.1%	-7.3	13
1950-11-19	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1297	1276	72.7%	12.4%	14.9%	+5.8	15
1950-11-19	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-3	1276	1297	14.9%	12.4%	72.7%	-5.8	16
1950-11-19	Benfica	W 3-1	1245	1497	41.3%	12.6%	46.1%	+16.2	10
1950-11-19	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-3	1497	1245	46.1%	12.6%	41.3%	-16.2	14
1950-11-19	Porto	W 3-0	1227	1406	51.6%	12.7%	35.7%	+21.8	12
1950-11-19	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-3	1406	1227	35.7%	12.7%	51.6%	-21.8	15
1950-11-26	Olhanense	W 4-1	1270	1185	77.0%	12.2%	10.8%	+6.0	19
1950-11-26	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-4	1185	1270	10.8%	12.2%	77.0%	-6.0	8
1950-11-26	Estoril	D 3-3	1365	1305	75.4%	12.3%	12.3%	-2.1	17
1950-11-26	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 3-3	1305	1365	12.3%	12.3%	75.4%	+2.1	16
1950-11-26	Boavista	W 7-1	1481	1227	84.1%	11.5%	4.4%	+4.6	17
1950-11-26	@ Benfica	L 1-7	1227	1481	4.4%	11.5%	84.1%	-4.6	13
1950-11-26	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-3	1276	1287	70.2%	12.5%	17.3%	-24.3	13
1950-11-26	@ Braga	W 3-1	1287	1276	17.3%	12.5%	70.2%	+24.3	15
1950-11-26	Oriental de Lisboa	W 3-0	1384	1291	77.4%	12.2%	10.3%	+6.8	18
1950-11-26	@ Porto	L 0-3	1291	1384	10.3%	12.2%	77.4%	-6.8	12
1950-11-26	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 2-3	1567	1261	85.5%	11.2%	3.4%	-16.2	28
1950-11-26	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-2	1261	1567	3.4%	11.2%	85.5%	+16.2	13
1950-11-26	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-2	1303	1249	75.0%	12.3%	12.6%	+2.7	18
1950-11-26	@ Sporting Covilha	L 2-3	1249	1303	12.6%	12.3%	75.0%	-2.7	12
1950-12-03	Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1276	1246	73.4%	12.4%	14.2%	-3.2	20
1950-12-03	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1246	1276	14.2%	12.4%	73.4%	+3.1	13
1950-12-03	Porto	D 3-3	1311	1391	63.6%	12.6%	23.8%	-1.3	16
1950-12-03	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 3-3	1391	1311	23.8%	12.6%	63.6%	+1.3	19
1950-12-03	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1223	1550	31.2%	12.4%	56.4%	-7.0	13
1950-12-03	@ Boavista	W 1-0	1550	1223	56.4%	12.4%	31.2%	+7.0	31
1950-12-03	Braga	W 2-0	1307	1252	75.1%	12.3%	12.5%	+5.6	19
1950-12-03	@ Estoril	L 0-2	1252	1307	12.5%	12.3%	75.1%	-5.7	13
1950-12-03	Benfica	W 2-0	1179	1485	33.9%	12.5%	53.6%	+21.5	11
1950-12-03	@ Olhanense	L 0-2	1485	1179	53.6%	12.5%	33.9%	-21.5	17
1950-12-03	Sporting Covilha	W 1-0	1284	1305	69.3%	12.5%	18.2%	+4.3	15
1950-12-03	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 0-1	1305	1284	18.2%	12.5%	69.3%	-4.3	18
1950-12-03	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1278	1363	63.0%	12.6%	24.4%	+9.2	16
1950-12-03	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-3	1363	1278	24.4%	12.6%	63.0%	-9.2	17
1950-12-10	Boavista	W 5-0	1353	1216	79.8%	12.0%	8.2%	+8.8	20
1950-12-10	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-5	1216	1353	8.2%	12.0%	79.8%	-8.8	13
1950-12-10	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-2	1464	1273	82.0%	11.8%	6.2%	+1.3	20
1950-12-10	@ Benfica	L 2-3	1273	1464	6.2%	11.8%	82.0%	-1.3	20
1950-12-10	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-0	1246	1287	67.5%	12.6%	19.9%	+8.8	16
1950-12-10	@ Braga	L 0-2	1287	1246	19.9%	12.6%	67.5%	-8.8	16
1950-12-10	Estoril	W 4-2	1392	1313	76.6%	12.3%	11.1%	+3.9	22
1950-12-10	@ Porto	L 2-4	1313	1392	11.1%	12.3%	76.6%	-3.9	19
1950-12-10	Olhanense	W 3-0	1557	1200	86.6%	10.9%	2.5%	+1.7	34
1950-12-10	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1200	1557	2.5%	10.9%	86.6%	-1.7	11
1950-12-10	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1301	1310	70.3%	12.5%	17.2%	+7.6	21
1950-12-10	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-2	1310	1301	17.2%	12.5%	70.3%	-7.6	16
1950-12-10	Oriental de Lisboa	W 4-1	1250	1288	67.7%	12.6%	19.8%	+10.7	16
1950-12-10	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-4	1288	1250	19.8%	12.6%	67.7%	-10.7	15
1950-12-17	Olhanense	W 3-1	1362	1199	80.9%	11.9%	7.2%	+2.8	23
1950-12-17	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1199	1362	7.2%	11.9%	80.9%	-2.8	11
1950-12-17	Boavista	L 1-2	1255	1207	74.7%	12.4%	13.0%	-15.0	16
1950-12-17	@ Braga	W 2-1	1207	1255	13.0%	12.4%	74.7%	+14.9	16
1950-12-17	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1278	1272	71.5%	12.5%	16.0%	+6.2	18
1950-12-17	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 1-3	1272	1278	16.0%	12.5%	71.5%	-6.2	20
1950-12-17	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-1	1396	1278	78.8%	12.1%	9.1%	+5.1	25
1950-12-17	@ Porto	L 1-4	1278	1396	9.1%	12.1%	78.8%	-5.1	16
1950-12-17	Benfica	D 2-2	1559	1465	77.5%	12.2%	10.3%	-2.7	35
1950-12-17	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1465	1559	10.3%	12.2%	77.5%	+2.7	21
1950-12-17	Estoril	W 3-0	1309	1309	71.0%	12.5%	16.5%	+10.7	24
1950-12-17	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-3	1309	1309	16.5%	12.5%	71.0%	-10.7	19
1950-12-17	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1260	1302	67.4%	12.6%	20.1%	+4.4	19
1950-12-17	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1302	1260	20.1%	12.6%	67.4%	-4.4	16
1950-12-31	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1266	1556	36.0%	12.5%	51.5%	-13.0	20
1950-12-31	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1556	1266	51.5%	12.5%	36.0%	+13.0	38
1950-12-31	Oriental de Lisboa	D 0-0	1298	1284	72.2%	12.4%	15.4%	-3.4	17
1950-12-31	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1284	1298	15.4%	12.4%	72.2%	+3.4	19
1950-12-31	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1468	1365	78.0%	12.2%	9.8%	-3.7	22
1950-12-31	@ Benfica	D 1-1	1365	1468	9.8%	12.2%	78.0%	+3.7	24
1950-12-31	Porto	L 2-6	1222	1401	51.5%	12.7%	35.8%	-27.8	16
1950-12-31	@ Boavista	W 6-2	1401	1222	35.8%	12.7%	51.5%	+27.8	28
1950-12-31	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-0	1298	1265	73.7%	12.4%	14.0%	+9.1	22
1950-12-31	@ Estoril	L 0-3	1265	1298	14.0%	12.4%	73.7%	-9.1	19
1950-12-31	Braga	D 2-2	1196	1240	67.2%	12.6%	20.2%	-1.8	12
1950-12-31	@ Olhanense	D 2-2	1240	1196	20.2%	12.6%	67.2%	+1.8	17
1950-12-31	Sporting Covilha	L 1-5	1273	1319	66.9%	12.6%	20.5%	-42.3	16
1950-12-31	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 5-1	1319	1273	20.5%	12.6%	66.9%	+42.3	27
1951-01-07	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1369	1569	48.6%	12.7%	38.8%	-0.4	25
1951-01-07	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1569	1369	38.8%	12.7%	48.6%	+0.4	39
1951-01-07	Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1294	1253	74.2%	12.4%	13.4%	-3.6	18
1951-01-07	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1253	1294	13.4%	12.4%	74.2%	+3.6	21
1951-01-07	Benfica	W 3-1	1242	1464	45.5%	12.6%	41.9%	+14.9	20
1951-01-07	@ Braga	L 1-3	1464	1242	41.9%	12.6%	45.5%	-14.9	22
1951-01-07	Estoril	W 2-0	1287	1307	69.4%	12.5%	18.1%	+8.0	22
1951-01-07	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 0-2	1307	1287	18.1%	12.5%	69.4%	-8.0	22
1951-01-07	Olhanense	W 7-0	1429	1194	83.5%	11.6%	4.9%	+7.2	31
1951-01-07	@ Porto	L 0-7	1194	1429	4.9%	11.6%	83.5%	-7.2	12
1951-01-07	Boavista	W 6-2	1362	1194	81.1%	11.9%	7.0%	+4.3	30
1951-01-07	@ Sporting Covilha	L 2-6	1194	1362	7.0%	11.9%	81.1%	-4.3	16
1951-01-07	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1256	1231	73.0%	12.4%	14.6%	-14.6	19
1951-01-07	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1231	1256	14.6%	12.4%	73.0%	+14.6	19
1951-01-14	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1256	1368	60.0%	12.7%	27.4%	-29.4	21
1951-01-14	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 4-1	1368	1256	27.4%	12.7%	60.0%	+29.4	28
1951-01-14	Porto	L 0-2	1449	1436	72.1%	12.4%	15.4%	-28.9	22
1951-01-14	@ Benfica	W 2-0	1436	1449	15.4%	12.4%	72.1%	+28.9	34
1951-01-14	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-2	1190	1241	66.5%	12.6%	20.9%	+4.4	19
1951-01-14	@ Boavista	L 2-3	1241	1190	20.9%	12.6%	66.5%	-4.4	19
1951-01-14	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1299	1291	71.8%	12.5%	15.8%	-28.7	22
1951-01-14	@ Estoril	W 2-0	1291	1299	15.8%	12.5%	71.8%	+28.7	21
1951-01-14	Sporting Covilha	W 4-2	1187	1366	51.5%	12.7%	35.8%	+11.6	15
1951-01-14	@ Olhanense	L 2-4	1366	1187	35.8%	12.7%	51.5%	-11.6	30
1951-01-14	Braga	W 8-0	1570	1257	85.6%	11.2%	3.2%	+5.3	42
1951-01-14	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-8	1257	1570	3.2%	11.2%	85.6%	-5.3	20
1951-01-14	Oriental de Lisboa	D 2-2	1245	1295	66.6%	12.6%	20.8%	-1.8	20
1951-01-14	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 2-2	1295	1245	20.8%	12.6%	66.6%	+1.8	23
1951-01-21	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-0	1320	1243	76.4%	12.3%	11.3%	+7.4	24
1951-01-21	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-3	1243	1320	11.3%	12.3%	76.4%	-7.4	20
1951-01-21	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 4-4	1251	1398	55.8%	12.7%	31.5%	-0.7	21
1951-01-21	@ Braga	D 4-4	1398	1251	31.5%	12.7%	55.8%	+0.7	29
1951-01-21	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1271	1227	74.4%	12.4%	13.3%	-15.8	22
1951-01-21	@ Estoril	W 1-0	1227	1271	13.3%	12.4%	74.4%	+15.8	24
1951-01-21	Boavista	W 5-1	1297	1194	78.0%	12.2%	9.8%	+7.1	26
1951-01-21	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 1-5	1194	1297	9.8%	12.2%	78.0%	-7.1	19
1951-01-21	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1465	1575	60.2%	12.7%	27.2%	+17.0	37
1951-01-21	@ Porto	L 0-3	1575	1465	27.2%	12.7%	60.2%	-17.0	42
1951-01-21	Benfica	W 3-2	1354	1420	65.0%	12.6%	22.4%	+4.6	33
1951-01-21	@ Sporting Covilha	L 2-3	1420	1354	22.4%	12.6%	65.0%	-4.7	22
1951-01-21	Olhanense	W 2-1	1237	1198	74.0%	12.4%	13.6%	+3.1	22
1951-01-21	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1198	1237	13.6%	12.4%	74.0%	-3.1	15
1951-01-28	Braga	D 0-0	1243	1251	70.4%	12.5%	17.1%	-3.2	25
1951-01-28	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1251	1243	17.1%	12.5%	70.4%	+3.1	22
1951-01-28	Porto	W 4-1	1398	1482	63.1%	12.6%	24.2%	+12.9	32
1951-01-28	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1482	1398	24.2%	12.6%	63.1%	-12.9	37
1951-01-28	Vitoria Setubal	W 6-0	1416	1240	81.4%	11.9%	6.7%	+8.5	25
1951-01-28	@ Benfica	L 0-6	1240	1416	6.7%	11.9%	81.4%	-8.5	22
1951-01-28	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1187	1327	56.6%	12.7%	30.7%	+13.1	22
1951-01-28	@ Boavista	L 0-2	1327	1187	30.7%	12.7%	56.6%	-13.1	24
1951-01-28	Oriental de Lisboa	L 1-2	1195	1304	60.3%	12.7%	27.0%	-12.1	15
1951-01-28	@ Olhanense	W 2-1	1304	1195	27.0%	12.7%	60.3%	+12.1	29
1951-01-28	Sporting Covilha	W 2-1	1558	1359	82.3%	11.8%	5.9%	+1.3	45
1951-01-28	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1359	1558	5.9%	11.8%	82.3%	-1.4	33
1951-01-28	Estoril	L 1-2	1236	1255	69.5%	12.5%	18.0%	-13.9	20
1951-01-28	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1255	1236	18.0%	12.5%	69.5%	+13.9	25
1951-02-04	Olhanense	W 4-0	1314	1183	79.4%	12.1%	8.5%	+7.4	27
1951-02-04	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-4	1183	1314	8.5%	12.1%	79.4%	-7.4	15
1951-02-04	Boavista	L 1-3	1269	1200	76.0%	12.3%	11.7%	-26.4	25
1951-02-04	@ Estoril	W 3-1	1200	1269	11.7%	12.3%	76.0%	+26.4	25
1951-02-04	Benfica	L 2-4	1316	1424	60.4%	12.7%	26.9%	-18.7	29
1951-02-04	@ Oriental de Lisboa	W 4-2	1424	1316	26.9%	12.7%	60.4%	+18.7	28
1951-02-04	Braga	W 3-1	1469	1254	82.9%	11.7%	5.4%	+2.2	40
1951-02-04	@ Porto	L 1-3	1254	1469	5.4%	11.7%	82.9%	-2.2	22
1951-02-04	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1222	1239	69.6%	12.5%	17.9%	-27.8	20
1951-02-04	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-0	1239	1222	17.9%	12.5%	69.6%	+27.8	28
1951-02-04	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1231	1559	31.1%	12.4%	56.4%	-11.4	22
1951-02-04	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 3-1	1559	1231	56.4%	12.4%	31.1%	+11.4	48
1951-02-11	Porto	W 1-0	1267	1471	48.1%	12.7%	39.2%	+8.6	31
1951-02-11	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1471	1267	39.2%	12.7%	48.1%	-8.6	40
1951-02-11	Vitoria Setubal	W 4-0	1411	1220	82.0%	11.8%	6.2%	+5.4	35
1951-02-11	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1220	1411	6.2%	11.8%	82.0%	-5.3	22
1951-02-11	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1443	1321	79.0%	12.1%	8.9%	-3.8	29
1951-02-11	@ Benfica	D 1-1	1321	1443	8.9%	12.1%	79.0%	+3.8	28
1951-02-11	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-0	1227	1194	73.6%	12.4%	14.1%	+9.2	28
1951-02-11	@ Boavista	L 0-3	1194	1227	14.1%	12.4%	73.6%	-9.2	20
1951-02-11	Sporting Covilha	W 2-0	1252	1358	60.7%	12.7%	26.7%	+11.5	25
1951-02-11	@ Braga	L 0-2	1358	1252	26.7%	12.7%	60.7%	-11.5	33
1951-02-11	Oriental de Lisboa	W 9-0	1571	1298	84.6%	11.4%	4.0%	+7.4	51
1951-02-11	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-9	1298	1571	4.0%	11.4%	84.6%	-7.4	29
1951-02-18	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1325	1578	41.1%	12.6%	46.3%	-8.0	28
1951-02-18	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-2	1578	1325	46.3%	12.6%	41.1%	+8.0	54
1951-02-18	Academica de Coimbra	W 5-0	1236	1276	67.5%	12.6%	19.9%	+20.5	31
1951-02-18	@ Boavista	L 0-5	1276	1236	19.9%	12.6%	67.5%	-20.5	31
1951-02-18	Benfica	L 0-7	1242	1439	49.1%	12.7%	38.2%	-63.8	25
1951-02-18	@ Estoril	W 7-0	1439	1242	38.2%	12.7%	49.1%	+63.8	32
1951-02-18	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-2	1290	1417	58.2%	12.7%	29.1%	+9.7	32
1951-02-18	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 2-4	1417	1290	29.1%	12.7%	58.2%	-9.7	35
1951-02-18	Porto	L 1-2	1346	1463	59.5%	12.7%	27.9%	-11.9	33
1951-02-18	@ Sporting Covilha	W 2-1	1463	1346	27.9%	12.7%	59.5%	+11.9	43
1951-02-18	Olhanense	W 6-0	1185	1176	71.8%	12.5%	15.7%	+19.6	23
1951-02-18	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-6	1176	1185	15.7%	12.5%	71.8%	-19.5	15
1951-02-18	Braga	L 0-3	1214	1263	66.7%	12.6%	20.7%	-38.7	22
1951-02-18	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 3-0	1263	1214	20.7%	12.6%	66.7%	+38.7	28
1951-02-25	Sporting Covilha	W 5-1	1255	1334	63.7%	12.6%	23.7%	+16.3	34
1951-02-25	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-5	1334	1255	23.7%	12.6%	63.7%	-16.3	33
1951-02-25	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1407	1317	77.3%	12.2%	10.5%	+4.8	38
1951-02-25	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1317	1407	10.5%	12.2%	77.3%	-4.8	28
1951-02-25	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 5-0	1503	1205	85.3%	11.2%	3.5%	+3.7	35
1951-02-25	@ Benfica	L 0-5	1205	1503	3.5%	11.2%	85.3%	-3.7	23
1951-02-25	Oriental de Lisboa	W 3-0	1302	1300	71.2%	12.5%	16.3%	+10.5	31
1951-02-25	@ Braga	L 0-3	1300	1302	16.3%	12.5%	71.2%	-10.6	32
1951-02-25	Boavista	W 1-0	1156	1256	61.4%	12.6%	26.0%	+6.0	18
1951-02-25	@ Olhanense	L 0-1	1256	1156	26.0%	12.6%	61.4%	-6.0	31
1951-02-25	Vitoria Setubal	W 5-0	1474	1176	85.3%	11.2%	3.5%	+3.7	46
1951-02-25	@ Porto	L 0-5	1176	1474	3.5%	11.2%	85.3%	-3.7	22
1951-02-25	Estoril	W 5-3	1586	1179	87.5%	10.5%	1.9%	+0.6	57
1951-02-25	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 3-5	1179	1586	1.9%	10.5%	87.5%	-0.6	25
1951-03-04	Braga	W 4-0	1312	1312	71.0%	12.5%	16.5%	+13.9	31
1951-03-04	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-4	1312	1312	16.5%	12.5%	71.0%	-13.9	31
1951-03-04	Benfica	D 1-1	1250	1507	40.7%	12.6%	46.7%	+0.3	32
1951-03-04	@ Boavista	D 1-1	1507	1250	46.7%	12.6%	40.7%	-0.3	36
1951-03-04	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 5-1	1178	1412	43.9%	12.6%	43.5%	+28.2	28
1951-03-04	@ Estoril	L 1-5	1412	1178	43.5%	12.6%	43.9%	-28.2	38
1951-03-04	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-0	1162	1272	60.3%	12.7%	27.1%	+17.0	21
1951-03-04	@ Olhanense	L 0-3	1272	1162	27.1%	12.7%	60.3%	-17.0	34
1951-03-04	Porto	W 2-1	1289	1478	50.2%	12.7%	37.2%	+7.8	35
1951-03-04	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 1-2	1478	1289	37.2%	12.7%	50.2%	-7.8	46
1951-03-04	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1201	1587	24.4%	12.3%	63.3%	-5.6	23
1951-03-04	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1587	1201	63.3%	12.3%	24.4%	+5.6	60
1951-03-04	Sporting Covilha	L 2-3	1172	1318	55.9%	12.7%	31.5%	-10.6	22
1951-03-04	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 3-2	1318	1172	31.5%	12.7%	55.9%	+10.6	36
1951-03-07	Estoril	W 3-2	1179	1206	68.8%	12.5%	18.7%	+3.9	24
1951-03-07	@ Olhanense	L 2-3	1206	1179	18.7%	12.5%	68.8%	-3.9	28
1951-03-11	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-2	1384	1195	81.9%	11.8%	6.3%	+1.4	41
1951-03-11	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1195	1384	6.3%	11.8%	81.9%	-1.4	23
1951-03-11	Olhanense	W 4-0	1506	1183	85.9%	11.1%	3.0%	+2.6	39
1951-03-11	@ Benfica	L 0-4	1183	1506	3.0%	11.1%	85.9%	-2.6	24
1951-03-11	Estoril	W 3-2	1299	1202	77.6%	12.2%	10.2%	+2.2	34
1951-03-11	@ Braga	L 2-3	1202	1299	10.2%	12.2%	77.6%	-2.2	28
1951-03-11	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1470	1326	80.0%	12.0%	7.9%	+3.6	49
1951-03-11	@ Porto	L 0-2	1326	1470	7.9%	12.0%	80.0%	-3.6	31
1951-03-11	Boavista	W 7-0	1593	1251	86.3%	11.0%	2.7%	+4.0	63
1951-03-11	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-7	1251	1593	2.7%	11.0%	86.3%	-4.0	32
1951-03-11	Oriental de Lisboa	L 0-1	1329	1297	73.5%	12.4%	14.1%	-15.6	36
1951-03-11	@ Sporting Covilha	W 1-0	1297	1329	14.1%	12.4%	73.5%	+15.6	38
1951-03-11	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1161	1255	62.1%	12.6%	25.3%	+5.8	25
1951-03-11	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1255	1161	25.3%	12.6%	62.1%	-5.8	34
1951-03-18	Benfica	L 0-3	1249	1509	40.2%	12.6%	47.2%	-24.1	34
1951-03-18	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 3-0	1509	1249	47.2%	12.6%	40.2%	+24.1	42
1951-03-18	Sporting Covilha	W 2-1	1323	1313	71.8%	12.5%	15.7%	+3.5	34
1951-03-18	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1313	1323	15.7%	12.5%	71.8%	-3.5	36
1951-03-18	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1247	1385	56.8%	12.7%	30.5%	-1.3	33
1951-03-18	@ Boavista	D 1-1	1385	1247	30.5%	12.7%	56.8%	+1.3	42
1951-03-18	Porto	W 2-0	1200	1474	38.2%	12.6%	49.2%	+19.9	31
1951-03-18	@ Estoril	L 0-2	1474	1200	49.2%	12.6%	38.2%	-19.9	49
1951-03-18	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1181	1597	21.4%	12.2%	66.4%	-17.7	24
1951-03-18	@ Olhanense	W 4-0	1597	1181	66.4%	12.2%	21.4%	+17.7	66
1951-03-18	Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1313	1167	80.1%	12.0%	7.9%	-16.1	38
1951-03-18	@ Oriental de Lisboa	W 2-1	1167	1313	7.9%	12.0%	80.1%	+16.1	28
1951-03-18	Braga	D 1-1	1194	1301	60.6%	12.7%	26.8%	-1.7	24
1951-03-18	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1301	1194	26.8%	12.7%	60.6%	+1.7	35
1951-03-22	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 5-1	1309	1386	63.9%	12.6%	23.5%	+16.2	39
1951-03-22	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-5	1386	1309	23.5%	12.6%	63.9%	-16.2	42

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1950-11-26	3.35%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1261	3	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1567	2
2	1950-11-12	5.46%	Estoril	1298	3	@ Benfica	1513	2
3	1951-03-18	7.88%	Vitoria Setubal	1167	2	@ Oriental de Lisboa	1313	1
4	1950-11-12	8.07%	Sporting Covilha	1281	2	@ Porto	1422	1
5	1950-11-05	11.12%	Boavista	1180	1	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1259	0
6	1951-02-04	11.71%	Boavista	1200	3	@ Estoril	1269	1
7	1950-12-17	12.99%	Boavista	1207	2	@ Braga	1255	1
8	1951-01-21	13.26%	Academica de Coimbra	1227	1	@ Estoril	1271	0
9	1951-03-11	14.10%	Oriental de Lisboa	1297	1	@ Sporting Covilha	1329	0
10	1951-01-07	14.56%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1231	2	@ Vitoria Setubal	1256	1
11	1951-01-14	15.43%	Porto	1436	2	@ Benfica	1449	0
12	1951-01-14	15.77%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1291	2	@ Estoril	1299	0
13	1950-09-17	15.85%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1498	3	@ Benfica	1506	1
14	1950-11-26	17.32%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1287	3	@ Braga	1276	1
15	1951-02-04	17.87%	Academica de Coimbra	1239	2	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1222	0
16	1951-01-28	18.00%	Estoril	1255	2	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1236	1
17	1950-12-31	20.49%	Sporting Covilha	1319	5	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1273	1
18	1951-02-18	20.70%	Braga	1263	3	@ Vitoria Setubal	1214	0
19	1950-10-01	22.49%	Porto	1359	4	@ Olhanense	1292	0
20	1950-11-05	23.74%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1337	2	@ Vitoria Setubal	1258	0
21	1951-02-04	26.92%	Benfica	1424	4	@ Oriental de Lisboa	1316	2
22	1951-01-28	27.01%	Oriental de Lisboa	1304	2	@ Olhanense	1195	1
23	1950-09-17	27.39%	Braga	1296	2	@ Boavista	1184	1
24	1951-01-14	27.39%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1368	4	@ Academica de Coimbra	1256	1
25	1951-02-18	27.90%	Porto	1463	2	@ Sporting Covilha	1346	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1951-02-18	63.84	Benfica	7	1439	38.24%	@ Estoril	0	1242	49.11%
2	1950-10-01	49.20	Porto	4	1359	22.49%	@ Olhanense	0	1292	64.91%
3	1950-12-31	42.29	Sporting Covilha	5	1319	20.49%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1	1273	66.94%
4	1951-02-18	38.72	Braga	3	1263	20.70%	@ Vitoria Setubal	0	1214	66.72%
5	1950-11-19	33.50	@ Boavista	9	1194	68.98%	Olhanense	0	1218	18.48%
6	1951-01-14	29.36	Atletico Clube de Portugal	4	1368	27.39%	@ Academica de Coimbra	1	1256	59.96%
7	1951-01-14	28.87	Porto	2	1436	15.43%	@ Benfica	0	1449	72.12%
8	1951-01-14	28.72	Os Belenenses (1st)	2	1291	15.77%	@ Estoril	0	1299	71.76%
9	1951-03-04	28.16	@ Estoril	5	1178	43.90%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1	1412	43.48%
10	1951-02-04	27.84	Academica de Coimbra	2	1239	17.87%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	0	1222	69.61%
11	1950-12-31	27.83	Porto	6	1401	35.84%	@ Boavista	2	1222	51.50%
12	1951-02-04	26.40	Boavista	3	1200	11.71%	@ Estoril	1	1269	75.99%
13	1950-11-05	25.43	Atletico Clube de Portugal	2	1337	23.74%	@ Vitoria Setubal	0	1258	63.64%
14	1950-09-17	24.84	Sporting Clube de Portugal	3	1498	15.85%	@ Benfica	1	1506	71.68%
15	1950-11-26	24.30	Os Belenenses (1st)	3	1287	17.32%	@ Braga	1	1276	70.17%
16	1951-03-18	24.13	Benfica	3	1509	47.24%	@ Academica de Coimbra	0	1249	40.17%
17	1950-09-17	24.07	@ Academica de Coimbra	5	1246	63.78%	Oriental de Lisboa	0	1323	23.60%
18	1950-11-19	21.76	@ Vitoria Setubal	3	1227	51.61%	Porto	0	1406	35.72%
19	1950-11-05	21.68	Benfica	5	1491	36.68%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	2	1306	50.66%
20	1950-12-03	21.50	@ Olhanense	2	1179	33.89%	Benfica	0	1485	53.61%
21	1951-02-18	20.54	@ Boavista	5	1236	67.54%	Academica de Coimbra	0	1276	19.90%
22	1951-03-18	19.88	@ Estoril	2	1200	38.23%	Porto	0	1474	49.20%
23	1951-02-18	19.55	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	6	1185	71.80%	Olhanense	0	1176	15.73%
24	1951-02-04	18.71	Benfica	4	1424	26.92%	@ Oriental de Lisboa	2	1316	60.43%
25	1951-03-18	17.72	Sporting Clube de Portugal	4	1597	66.41%	@ Olhanense	0	1181	21.41%