1951-52 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Sporting Clube de Portugal

41 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Os Belenenses (1st)

7.12 points above expected

36 points · 28.88 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Barreirense

6.89 points below expected

21 points · 27.89 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	26	19	3	4	41	91	32	+59	35.7	+5.33
2	Benfica	26	18	4	4	40	76	26	+50	34.9	+5.06
3	Porto	26	15	6	5	36	68	33	+35	31.4	+4.59
4	Os Belenenses (1st)	26	14	8	4	36	60	28	+32	28.9	+7.12
5	Boavista	26	12	1	13	25	47	55	-8	24.9	+0.13
6	Sporting Covilha	26	10	5	11	25	35	52	-17	26.1	-1.06
7	Academica de Coimbra	26	8	6	12	22	39	47	-8	21.6	+0.37
8	Estoril	26	8	5	13	21	49	61	-12	23.0	-2.00
9	Braga	26	8	5	13	21	32	49	-17	22.5	-1.50
10	Barreirense	26	8	5	13	21	47	65	-18	27.9	-6.89
11	Vitoria Guimaraes	26	9	3	14	21	28	47	-19	21.6	-0.55
12	Atletico Clube de Portugal	26	7	6	13	20	53	48	+5	26.4	-6.36
13	Oriental de Lisboa	26	8	2	16	18	48	72	-24	21.9	-3.90
14	Salgueiros	26	8	1	17	17	33	91	-58	17.3	-0.34

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1455	41	35.67	+5.33	89.0%	25	28	32	36	39	42	46
Benfica	1427	40	34.94	+5.06	89.0%	28	29	32	35	38	42	43
Porto	1308	36	31.41	+4.59	91.0%	21	25	29	31	34	38	40
Os Belenenses (1st)	1284	36	28.88	+7.12	97.0%	20	23	26	29	31	36	38
Atletico Clube de Portugal	1163	20	26.36	-6.36	6.0%	19	20	23	26	29	33	39
Barreirense	1154	21	27.89	-6.89	3.0%	19	22	25	27	30	34	37
Boavista	1086	25	24.87	+0.13	58.0%	15	19	22	25	27	32	34
Sporting Covilha	1084	25	26.06	-1.06	42.0%	16	19	24	26	29	32	37
Academica de Coimbra	1084	22	21.63	+0.37	60.0%	11	15	19	22	24	28	32
Oriental de Lisboa	1068	18	21.90	-3.90	20.0%	9	15	19	22	24	29	31
Braga	1064	21	22.50	-1.50	36.0%	14	18	20	22	25	27	30
Estoril	1060	21	23.00	-2.00	29.0%	14	17	21	23	25	29	32
Vitoria Guimaraes	1039	21	21.55	-0.55	51.0%	14	15	19	21	24	27	31
Salgueiros	962	17	17.34	-0.34	49.0%	9	11	15	18	20	24	26

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ADC	ACDP	BAR	BEN	BOA	BRA	EST	ODL	OB(	POR	SAL	SCDP	SC	VG
Academica de Coimbra	—	2-0-0 2.36	0-1-1 2.15	0-0-2 1.71	1-0-1 2.41	0-1-1 2.72	1-0-1 2.75	1-0-1 2.75	1-0-1 1.84	0-1-1 1.71	2-0-0 3.28	0-1-1 1.34	0-1-1 2.50	0-1-1 2.86
Atletico Clube de Portugal	0-0-2 3.38	—	1-0-1 2.68	0-0-2 2.18	1-1-0 2.98	0-2-0 3.19	1-0-1 3.30	1-0-1 3.16	0-1-1 2.60	0-1-1 2.30	1-1-0 3.59	0-0-2 2.21	1-0-1 2.98	1-0-1 3.36
Barreirense	1-1-0 3.59	1-0-1 3.05	—	0-1-1 2.15	1-0-1 3.23	0-1-1 3.40	0-2-0 3.46	1-0-1 3.73	0-0-2 2.71	1-0-1 2.45	1-0-1 3.92	0-0-2 1.61	1-0-1 3.08	1-0-1 3.73
Benfica	2-0-0 4.04	2-0-0 3.56	1-1-0 3.59	—	2-0-0 4.13	2-0-0 4.10	0-2-0 4.39	2-0-0 4.29	0-1-1 3.55	1-0-1 3.21	2-0-0 4.87	1-0-1 3.00	2-0-0 3.66	1-0-1 4.43
Boavista	1-0-1 3.33	0-1-1 2.75	1-0-1 2.51	0-0-2 1.61	—	2-0-0 2.94	1-0-1 3.24	1-0-1 3.04	1-0-1 2.54	1-0-1 2.08	1-0-1 3.70	1-0-1 1.71	1-0-1 2.85	1-0-1 3.21
Braga	1-1-0 3.02	0-2-0 2.54	1-1-0 2.33	0-0-2 1.64	0-0-2 2.79	—	1-0-1 2.83	2-0-0 2.84	0-0-2 2.35	1-0-1 1.68	1-0-1 3.49	0-0-2 1.24	0-1-1 2.54	1-0-1 2.92
Estoril	1-0-1 2.98	1-0-1 2.43	0-2-0 2.28	0-2-0 1.36	1-0-1 2.50	1-0-1 2.90	—	1-0-1 2.90	0-1-1 2.39	0-0-2 1.89	1-0-1 3.42	0-0-2 1.50	1-0-1 2.39	1-0-1 3.01
Oriental de Lisboa	1-0-1 2.98	1-0-1 2.57	1-0-1 2.01	0-0-2 1.46	1-0-1 2.69	0-0-2 2.89	1-0-1 2.83	—	0-1-1 1.87	0-0-2 2.22	1-0-1 3.25	1-0-1 1.49	0-1-1 2.58	1-0-1 2.97
Os Belenenses (1st)	1-0-1 3.90	1-1-0 3.13	2-0-0 3.03	1-1-0 2.19	1-0-1 3.20	2-0-0 3.39	1-1-0 3.34	1-1-0 3.86	—	0-2-0 2.46	1-0-1 4.49	1-1-0 2.17	1-0-1 3.05	1-1-0 3.64
Porto	1-1-0 4.03	1-1-0 3.44	1-0-1 3.28	1-0-1 2.53	1-0-1 3.66	1-0-1 4.05	2-0-0 3.85	2-0-0 3.52	0-2-0 3.27	—	2-0-0 3.89	0-1-1 2.64	1-1-0 3.79	2-0-0 4.03
Salgueiros	0-0-2 2.45	0-1-1 2.15	1-0-1 1.82	0-0-2 0.89	1-0-1 2.03	1-0-1 2.24	1-0-1 2.32	1-0-1 2.48	1-0-1 1.26	0-0-2 1.86	—	0-0-2 0.96	1-0-1 1.70	1-0-1 2.64
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1-1-0 4.40	2-0-0 3.53	2-0-0 4.12	1-0-1 2.74	1-0-1 4.03	2-0-0 4.50	2-0-0 4.24	1-0-1 4.26	0-1-1 3.57	1-1-0 3.09	2-0-0 4.80	—	2-0-0 3.75	2-0-0 4.06
Sporting Covilha	1-1-0 3.23	1-0-1 2.75	1-0-1 2.66	0-0-2 2.07	1-0-1 2.88	1-1-0 3.20	1-0-1 3.35	1-1-0 3.15	1-0-1 2.69	0-1-1 1.95	1-0-1 4.04	0-0-2 1.99	—	1-1-0 3.33
Vitoria Guimaraes	1-1-0 2.87	1-0-1 2.37	1-0-1 2.00	1-0-1 1.32	1-0-1 2.53	1-0-1 2.82	1-0-1 2.72	1-0-1 2.76	0-1-1 2.09	0-0-2 1.71	1-0-1 3.09	0-0-2 1.69	0-1-1 2.40	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.95%	4.95%	3.57%	3.57%	3.02%	2.20%	22.25%
1	4.95%	8.24%	6.04%	2.75%	3.85%	4.12%	29.95%
2	3.57%	6.04%	1.65%	2.20%	1.92%	1.92%	17.31%
3	3.57%	2.75%	2.20%	1.65%	0.82%	0.82%	11.81%
4	3.02%	3.85%	1.92%	0.82%	—	—	9.62%
5+	2.20%	4.12%	1.92%	0.82%	—	—	9.07%
Total	22.25%	29.95%	17.31%	11.81%	9.62%	9.07%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.94
Mean allowed	1.94
StdDev scored	1.83
StdDev allowed	1.83
Mean total goals/game	3.88
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.104
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	—	38.46%
1	7.69%	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
2	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
3	—	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	7.69%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	23.08%	26.92%	11.54%	26.92%	7.69%	3.85%	100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	1.81
StdDev scored	1.90
StdDev allowed	1.47
Mean total goals/game	3.31
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.164
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	15.38%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
1	—	11.54%	15.38%	3.85%	—	3.85%	34.62%
2	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%
3	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
Total	11.54%	42.31%	19.23%	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Atletico Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.04
Mean allowed	1.85
StdDev scored	1.82
StdDev allowed	1.43
Mean total goals/game	3.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.044
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%	15.38%
1	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	42.31%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	19.23%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	11.54%	26.92%	23.08%	11.54%	15.38%	11.54%	100%

Barreirense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.81
Mean allowed	2.50
StdDev scored	1.77
StdDev allowed	2.08
Mean total goals/game	4.31
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.321
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
1	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
2	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
3	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
5+	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	23.08%
Total	42.31%	26.92%	19.23%	11.54%	—	—	100%

Benfica — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.92
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	2.42
StdDev allowed	1.06
Mean total goals/game	3.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.047
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	—	23.08%
1	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	11.54%	38.46%
2	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
3	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
5+	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
Total	23.08%	19.23%	15.38%	23.08%	7.69%	11.54%	100%

Boavista — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.81
Mean allowed	2.12
StdDev scored	1.70
StdDev allowed	1.75
Mean total goals/game	3.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.450
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	34.62%
1	7.69%	7.69%	—	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	34.62%
2	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	23.08%	34.62%	11.54%	11.54%	7.69%	11.54%	100%

Braga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	1.88
StdDev scored	1.37
StdDev allowed	1.84
Mean total goals/game	3.12
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.116
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	—	—	7.69%	—	15.38%
1	—	15.38%	11.54%	—	3.85%	3.85%	34.62%
2	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	15.38%
3	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
Total	11.54%	30.77%	19.23%	11.54%	19.23%	7.69%	100%

Estoril — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.88
Mean allowed	2.35
StdDev scored	1.45
StdDev allowed	1.92
Mean total goals/game	4.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.086
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
1	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	15.38%	—	26.92%
2	—	11.54%	—	7.69%	7.69%	15.38%	42.31%
3	7.69%	—	—	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	23.08%	15.38%	7.69%	11.54%	23.08%	19.23%	100%

Oriental de Lisboa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.85
Mean allowed	2.77
StdDev scored	1.29
StdDev allowed	2.32
Mean total goals/game	4.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.160
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
1	7.69%	23.08%	11.54%	—	—	—	42.31%
2	7.69%	—	—	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
3	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
5+	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	34.62%	34.62%	23.08%	3.85%	3.85%	—	100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.31
Mean allowed	1.08
StdDev scored	1.89
StdDev allowed	1.06
Mean total goals/game	3.38
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.148
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	19.23%
1	—	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
2	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
3	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
5+	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
Total	15.38%	46.15%	34.62%	3.85%	—	—	100%

Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.62
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	2.12
StdDev allowed	0.78
Mean total goals/game	3.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.032
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	11.54%	23.08%
1	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	11.54%	19.23%	46.15%
2	—	11.54%	—	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
3	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.69%	23.08%	15.38%	7.69%	11.54%	34.62%	100%

Salgueiros — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	3.50
StdDev scored	1.08
StdDev allowed	2.63
Mean total goals/game	4.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.430
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
1	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
2	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	30.77%
3	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	19.23%
4	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	11.54%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	30.77%
Total	30.77%	34.62%	19.23%	11.54%	3.85%	—	100%

Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.50
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	2.14
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	4.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.327
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	19.23%	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	42.31%
1	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	19.23%
2	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.77%	23.08%	11.54%	11.54%	7.69%	15.38%	100%

Sporting Covilha — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.35
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	1.50
StdDev allowed	2.06
Mean total goals/game	3.35
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.156
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	15.38%	—	7.69%	11.54%	—	46.15%
1	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
2	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
3	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	34.62%	11.54%	7.69%	19.23%	3.85%	100%

Vitoria Guimaraes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.08
Mean allowed	1.81
StdDev scored	1.29
StdDev allowed	1.67
Mean total goals/game	2.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.122
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Os Belenenses (1st)	36	28.9	+7.12
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	41	35.7	+5.33
3	Benfica	40	34.9	+5.06
4	Porto	36	31.4	+4.59
5	Academica de Coimbra	22	21.6	+0.37

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Barreirense	21	27.9	-6.89
2	Atletico Clube de Portugal	20	26.4	-6.36
3	Oriental de Lisboa	18	21.9	-3.90
4	Estoril	21	23.0	-2.00
5	Braga	21	22.5	-1.50

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Salgueiros	2	Mar 16 – Mar 23	1 in 91
2	Os Belenenses (1st)	5	Nov 18 – Dec 16	1 in 66
3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	8	Feb 10 – Apr 6	1 in 32
4	Benfica	7	Jan 6 – Feb 20	1 in 18
5	Porto	5	Nov 25 – Jan 6	1 in 11

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Atletico Clube de Portugal	5	Dec 9 – Jan 20	1 in 1,197
2	Oriental de Lisboa	5	Oct 7 – Nov 4	1 in 109
3	Academica de Coimbra	4	Nov 25 – Dec 16	1 in 18
4	Salgueiros	7	Nov 11 – Jan 6	1 in 13
5	Barreirense	2	Dec 9 – Dec 16	1 in 9

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Os Belenenses (1st)	17	Nov 4 – Mar 16	1 in 27,533
2	Academica de Coimbra	6	Feb 24 – Apr 6	1 in 168
3	Braga	4	Oct 28 – Nov 18	1 in 62
4	Porto	8	Sep 23 – Nov 11	1 in 42
5	Benfica	10	Sep 23 – Nov 25	1 in 27

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Atletico Clube de Portugal	11	Dec 2 – Feb 24	1 in 1,853
2	Barreirense	5	Mar 2 – Apr 6	1 in 69
3	Oriental de Lisboa	7	Sep 23 – Nov 4	1 in 55
4	Braga	5	Sep 23 – Oct 21	1 in 25
5	Sporting Covilha	5	Mar 9 – Apr 6	1 in 20

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Sporting Clube de Portugal	49.00%	27.00%	13.00%	7.00%	1.00%	—	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Benfica	32.00%	36.00%	19.00%	10.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Porto	10.00%	16.00%	29.00%	21.00%	8.00%	5.00%	5.00%	2.00%	3.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	4.00%	7.00%	8.00%	23.00%	18.00%	16.00%	10.00%	4.00%	6.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Boavista	—	2.00%	7.00%	6.00%	5.00%	11.00%	13.00%	12.00%	11.00%	11.00%	9.00%	5.00%	4.00%	4.00%
Sporting Covilha	—	4.00%	2.00%	10.00%	15.00%	14.00%	7.00%	11.00%	9.00%	13.00%	5.00%	3.00%	4.00%	3.00%
Academica de Coimbra	—	—	—	1.00%	7.00%	6.00%	6.00%	6.00%	11.00%	8.00%	9.00%	16.00%	17.00%	13.00%
Estoril	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	5.00%	3.00%	13.00%	16.00%	15.00%	9.00%	9.00%	12.00%	9.00%	5.00%
Braga	—	—	2.00%	—	1.00%	8.00%	7.00%	11.00%	5.00%	13.00%	26.00%	13.00%	10.00%	4.00%
Barreirense	4.00%	5.00%	9.00%	7.00%	21.00%	12.00%	7.00%	10.00%	13.00%	3.00%	5.00%	4.00%	—	—
Vitoria Guimaraes	—	—	1.00%	—	3.00%	3.00%	6.00%	9.00%	5.00%	16.00%	14.00%	18.00%	18.00%	7.00%
Atletico Clube de Portugal	1.00%	3.00%	7.00%	11.00%	9.00%	13.00%	20.00%	10.00%	5.00%	7.00%	6.00%	5.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Oriental de Lisboa	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	5.00%	7.00%	3.00%	6.00%	15.00%	13.00%	11.00%	12.00%	15.00%	10.00%
Salgueiros	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	5.00%	4.00%	11.00%	21.00%	53.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Barreirense	100%	—
Benfica	100%	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	100%	—
Porto	100%	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	100%	—
Atletico Clube de Portugal	97.0%	3.0%
Sporting Covilha	93.0%	7.0%
Boavista	92.0%	8.0%
Braga	86.0%	14.0%
Estoril	86.0%	14.0%
Oriental de Lisboa	75.0%	25.0%
Vitoria Guimaraes	75.0%	25.0%
Academica de Coimbra	70.0%	30.0%
Salgueiros	26.0%	74.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1951-09-23	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1081	1176	63.2%	13.6%	23.1%	+5.8	3
1951-09-23	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1176	1081	23.1%	13.6%	63.2%	-5.8	0
1951-09-23	Estoril	D 3-3	1265	1081	81.6%	12.6%	5.7%	-2.8	1
1951-09-23	@ Barreirense	D 3-3	1081	1265	5.7%	12.6%	81.6%	+2.8	1
1951-09-23	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 4-3	1152	1314	55.5%	13.7%	30.9%	+6.6	3
1951-09-23	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 3-4	1314	1152	30.9%	13.7%	55.5%	-6.6	0
1951-09-23	Sporting Covilha	W 4-1	1299	1152	80.2%	12.8%	7.0%	+4.2	3
1951-09-23	@ Benfica	L 1-4	1152	1299	7.0%	12.8%	80.2%	-4.2	0
1951-09-23	Boavista	L 1-3	1130	1096	74.2%	13.3%	12.5%	-27.7	0
1951-09-23	@ Braga	W 3-1	1096	1130	12.5%	13.3%	74.2%	+27.7	3
1951-09-23	Porto	L 2-3	1122	1236	61.2%	13.6%	25.2%	-12.5	0
1951-09-23	@ Oriental de Lisboa	W 3-2	1236	1122	25.2%	13.6%	61.2%	+12.4	3
1951-09-23	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1068	1062	72.2%	13.4%	14.4%	+3.5	3
1951-09-23	@ Salgueiros	L 1-2	1062	1068	14.4%	13.4%	72.2%	-3.5	0
1951-09-30	Benfica	L 3-4	1171	1304	59.0%	13.7%	27.3%	-11.7	0
1951-09-30	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-3	1304	1171	27.3%	13.7%	59.0%	+11.7	6
1951-09-30	Salgueiros	W 4-1	1124	1071	75.4%	13.2%	11.4%	+6.8	6
1951-09-30	@ Boavista	L 1-4	1071	1124	11.4%	13.2%	75.4%	-6.8	3
1951-09-30	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-3	1084	1158	65.4%	13.6%	21.1%	-13.3	1
1951-09-30	@ Estoril	W 3-2	1158	1084	21.1%	13.6%	65.4%	+13.3	6
1951-09-30	Braga	W 6-1	1249	1103	80.2%	12.8%	7.0%	+6.7	6
1951-09-30	@ Porto	L 1-6	1103	1249	7.0%	12.8%	80.2%	-6.7	0
1951-09-30	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-0	1308	1087	82.9%	12.4%	4.7%	+4.4	3
1951-09-30	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1087	1308	4.7%	12.4%	82.9%	-4.4	3
1951-09-30	Oriental de Lisboa	D 0-0	1148	1110	74.5%	13.3%	12.2%	-4.0	1
1951-09-30	@ Sporting Covilha	D 0-0	1110	1148	12.2%	13.3%	74.5%	+4.0	1
1951-09-30	Barreirense	W 2-0	1058	1262	50.0%	13.7%	36.3%	+16.4	3
1951-09-30	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1262	1058	36.3%	13.7%	50.0%	-16.4	1
1951-10-07	Benfica	L 0-3	1083	1315	46.1%	13.6%	40.3%	-29.3	3
1951-10-07	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 3-0	1315	1083	40.3%	13.6%	46.1%	+29.3	9
1951-10-07	Boavista	W 4-0	1246	1131	78.8%	13.0%	8.2%	+7.7	4
1951-10-07	@ Barreirense	L 0-4	1131	1246	8.2%	13.0%	78.8%	-7.7	6
1951-10-07	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1171	1075	77.9%	13.1%	9.1%	-4.5	7
1951-10-07	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1075	1171	9.1%	13.1%	77.9%	+4.5	4
1951-10-07	Sporting Covilha	D 0-0	1096	1144	67.8%	13.5%	18.6%	-3.1	1
1951-10-07	@ Braga	D 0-0	1144	1096	18.6%	13.5%	67.8%	+3.1	2
1951-10-07	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 3-5	1114	1159	68.1%	13.5%	18.4%	-21.4	1
1951-10-07	@ Oriental de Lisboa	W 5-3	1159	1114	18.4%	13.5%	68.1%	+21.4	3
1951-10-07	Porto	L 1-4	1064	1255	51.8%	13.7%	34.6%	-27.4	3
1951-10-07	@ Salgueiros	W 4-1	1255	1064	34.6%	13.7%	51.8%	+27.4	9
1951-10-07	Estoril	W 8-1	1312	1071	83.5%	12.3%	4.2%	+5.5	6
1951-10-07	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-8	1071	1312	4.2%	12.3%	83.5%	-5.5	1
1951-10-14	Braga	D 2-2	1180	1093	77.4%	13.1%	9.5%	-2.9	4
1951-10-14	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1093	1180	9.5%	13.1%	77.4%	+2.9	2
1951-10-14	Oriental de Lisboa	W 5-2	1345	1092	83.8%	12.2%	4.0%	+2.1	12
1951-10-14	@ Benfica	L 2-5	1092	1345	4.0%	12.2%	83.8%	-2.1	1
1951-10-14	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1123	1167	68.2%	13.5%	18.3%	+4.4	9
1951-10-14	@ Boavista	L 1-2	1167	1123	18.3%	13.5%	68.2%	-4.4	7
1951-10-14	Academica de Coimbra	W 5-3	1065	1054	72.7%	13.4%	14.0%	+5.0	4
1951-10-14	@ Estoril	L 3-5	1054	1065	14.0%	13.4%	72.7%	-5.0	3
1951-10-14	Barreirense	W 3-2	1283	1254	73.9%	13.3%	12.8%	+3.0	12
1951-10-14	@ Porto	L 2-3	1254	1283	12.8%	13.3%	73.9%	-3.0	4
1951-10-14	Salgueiros	W 2-0	1147	1037	78.5%	13.0%	8.5%	+4.2	5
1951-10-14	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-2	1037	1147	8.5%	13.0%	78.5%	-4.2	3
1951-10-14	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1079	1318	45.3%	13.6%	41.1%	-9.9	4
1951-10-14	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1318	1079	41.1%	13.6%	45.3%	+9.9	9
1951-10-21	Oriental de Lisboa	W 2-0	1049	1090	68.4%	13.5%	18.1%	+8.7	6
1951-10-21	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1090	1049	18.1%	13.5%	68.4%	-8.7	1
1951-10-21	Sporting Covilha	W 2-1	1251	1151	78.0%	13.1%	8.9%	+2.2	7
1951-10-21	@ Barreirense	L 1-2	1151	1251	8.9%	13.1%	78.0%	-2.2	5
1951-10-21	Porto	D 1-1	1163	1286	60.2%	13.6%	26.2%	-1.9	8
1951-10-21	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1286	1163	26.2%	13.6%	60.2%	+1.9	13
1951-10-21	Benfica	L 1-6	1096	1347	43.5%	13.6%	42.9%	-37.1	2
1951-10-21	@ Braga	W 6-1	1347	1096	42.9%	13.6%	43.5%	+37.1	15
1951-10-21	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-0	1070	1069	71.9%	13.4%	14.7%	+13.6	7
1951-10-21	@ Estoril	L 0-4	1069	1070	14.7%	13.4%	71.9%	-13.6	4
1951-10-21	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-5	1033	1177	57.6%	13.7%	28.7%	-39.2	3
1951-10-21	@ Salgueiros	W 5-1	1177	1033	28.7%	13.7%	57.6%	+39.2	7
1951-10-21	Boavista	W 3-1	1328	1127	82.2%	12.5%	5.3%	+2.3	12
1951-10-21	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1127	1328	5.3%	12.5%	82.2%	-2.3	9
1951-10-28	Barreirense	W 3-1	1217	1253	68.8%	13.5%	17.7%	+7.4	10
1951-10-28	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1253	1217	17.7%	13.5%	68.8%	-7.4	7
1951-10-28	Salgueiros	W 9-0	1384	993	86.9%	11.2%	1.9%	+3.7	18
1951-10-28	@ Benfica	L 0-9	993	1384	1.9%	11.2%	86.9%	-3.7	3
1951-10-28	Estoril	W 6-3	1125	1084	74.7%	13.3%	12.0%	+5.8	12
1951-10-28	@ Boavista	L 3-6	1084	1125	12.0%	13.3%	74.7%	-5.8	7
1951-10-28	Braga	L 2-4	1081	1059	73.4%	13.4%	13.2%	-24.5	1
1951-10-28	@ Oriental de Lisboa	W 4-2	1059	1081	13.2%	13.4%	73.4%	+24.5	5
1951-10-28	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1288	1330	68.3%	13.5%	18.1%	-2.1	14
1951-10-28	@ Porto	D 2-2	1330	1288	18.1%	13.5%	68.3%	+2.1	13
1951-10-28	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 4-2	1149	1161	70.9%	13.5%	15.7%	+5.9	8
1951-10-28	@ Sporting Covilha	L 2-4	1161	1149	15.7%	13.5%	70.9%	-5.9	8
1951-10-28	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1056	1057	71.7%	13.4%	14.9%	+6.3	7
1951-10-28	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-3	1057	1056	14.9%	13.4%	71.7%	-6.3	6
1951-11-04	Braga	D 1-1	1051	1083	69.2%	13.5%	17.3%	-2.9	7
1951-11-04	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1083	1051	17.3%	13.5%	69.2%	+2.9	6
1951-11-04	Benfica	D 1-1	1246	1388	58.0%	13.7%	28.3%	-1.6	8
1951-11-04	@ Barreirense	D 1-1	1388	1246	28.3%	13.7%	58.0%	+1.6	19
1951-11-04	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-2	1155	1224	65.9%	13.6%	20.6%	+7.6	11
1951-11-04	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-4	1224	1155	20.6%	13.6%	65.9%	-7.6	10
1951-11-04	Porto	L 1-2	1078	1285	49.6%	13.6%	36.8%	-10.8	7
1951-11-04	@ Estoril	W 2-1	1285	1078	36.8%	13.6%	49.6%	+10.8	17
1951-11-04	Oriental de Lisboa	W 4-1	990	1057	66.0%	13.6%	20.4%	+11.9	6
1951-11-04	@ Salgueiros	L 1-4	1057	990	20.4%	13.6%	66.0%	-11.9	1
1951-11-04	Sporting Covilha	W 6-2	1332	1155	81.4%	12.7%	5.9%	+4.0	16
1951-11-04	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-6	1155	1332	5.9%	12.7%	81.4%	-4.0	8
1951-11-04	Boavista	W 3-1	1062	1131	65.9%	13.6%	20.6%	+8.5	10
1951-11-04	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-3	1131	1062	20.6%	13.6%	65.9%	-8.5	12
1951-11-11	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-5	1216	1336	60.6%	13.6%	25.8%	-27.6	10
1951-11-11	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 5-2	1336	1216	25.8%	13.6%	60.6%	+27.6	19
1951-11-11	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1389	1162	83.1%	12.4%	4.6%	-5.1	20
1951-11-11	@ Benfica	D 0-0	1162	1389	4.6%	12.4%	83.1%	+5.1	12
1951-11-11	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-0	1122	1048	76.7%	13.2%	10.2%	+7.3	15
1951-11-11	@ Boavista	L 0-3	1048	1122	10.2%	13.2%	76.7%	-7.3	7
1951-11-11	Salgueiros	W 5-1	1086	1002	77.2%	13.1%	9.7%	+7.5	9
1951-11-11	@ Braga	L 1-5	1002	1086	9.7%	13.1%	77.2%	-7.5	6
1951-11-11	Barreirense	W 6-0	1045	1244	50.7%	13.7%	35.6%	+44.7	4
1951-11-11	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 0-6	1244	1045	35.6%	13.7%	50.7%	-44.7	8
1951-11-11	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-1	1296	1070	83.0%	12.4%	4.6%	+2.8	20
1951-11-11	@ Porto	L 1-4	1070	1296	4.6%	12.4%	83.0%	-2.8	10
1951-11-11	Estoril	W 4-2	1151	1067	77.2%	13.1%	9.7%	+3.7	11
1951-11-11	@ Sporting Covilha	L 2-4	1067	1151	9.7%	13.1%	77.2%	-3.7	7
1951-11-18	Salgueiros	W 8-1	1041	994	75.0%	13.3%	11.7%	+15.2	10
1951-11-18	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-8	994	1041	11.7%	13.3%	75.0%	-15.2	6
1951-11-18	Braga	D 1-1	1199	1094	78.3%	13.0%	8.7%	-4.0	9
1951-11-18	@ Barreirense	D 1-1	1094	1199	8.7%	13.0%	78.3%	+4.0	10
1951-11-18	Oriental de Lisboa	W 7-2	1168	1090	76.9%	13.1%	10.0%	+8.0	15
1951-11-18	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-7	1090	1168	10.0%	13.1%	76.9%	-8.0	4
1951-11-18	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-2	1384	1363	73.3%	13.4%	13.4%	+3.1	23
1951-11-18	@ Benfica	L 2-3	1363	1384	13.4%	13.4%	73.3%	-3.1	19
1951-11-18	Porto	W 1-0	1130	1299	54.6%	13.7%	31.7%	+7.7	18
1951-11-18	@ Boavista	L 0-1	1299	1130	31.7%	13.7%	54.6%	-7.7	20
1951-11-18	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1063	1189	59.9%	13.6%	26.4%	+6.2	10
1951-11-18	@ Estoril	L 1-2	1189	1063	26.4%	13.6%	59.9%	-6.2	10
1951-11-18	Sporting Covilha	D 0-0	1068	1155	64.1%	13.6%	22.3%	-2.6	11
1951-11-18	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1155	1068	22.3%	13.6%	64.1%	+2.6	12
1951-11-25	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-0	1183	1065	78.9%	13.0%	8.1%	+7.7	13
1951-11-25	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1065	1183	8.1%	13.0%	78.9%	-7.7	11
1951-11-25	Estoril	D 1-1	1387	1070	85.4%	11.8%	2.8%	-4.8	24
1951-11-25	@ Benfica	D 1-1	1070	1387	2.8%	11.8%	85.4%	+4.8	11
1951-11-25	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-4	1098	1176	65.0%	13.6%	21.4%	-34.1	10
1951-11-25	@ Braga	W 4-1	1176	1098	21.4%	13.6%	65.0%	+34.1	18
1951-11-25	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1082	1360	39.6%	13.6%	46.9%	+10.2	7
1951-11-25	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 1-2	1360	1082	46.9%	13.6%	39.6%	-10.2	19
1951-11-25	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-0	1291	1056	83.3%	12.3%	4.4%	+3.1	23
1951-11-25	@ Porto	L 0-3	1056	1291	4.4%	12.3%	83.3%	-3.1	10
1951-11-25	Barreirense	L 1-5	979	1195	48.3%	13.6%	38.0%	-33.2	6
1951-11-25	@ Salgueiros	W 5-1	1195	979	38.0%	13.6%	48.3%	+33.2	12
1951-11-25	Boavista	W 2-1	1157	1137	73.2%	13.4%	13.4%	+3.3	15
1951-11-25	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-2	1137	1157	13.4%	13.4%	73.2%	-3.3	18
1951-12-02	Barreirense	L 2-3	1053	1229	53.8%	13.7%	32.6%	-11.0	10
1951-12-02	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 3-2	1229	1053	32.6%	13.7%	53.8%	+11.0	15
1951-12-02	Salgueiros	W 7-0	1210	946	84.1%	12.1%	3.7%	+5.9	21
1951-12-02	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-7	946	1210	3.7%	12.1%	84.1%	-5.9	6
1951-12-02	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1134	1190	67.1%	13.6%	19.4%	-2.7	19
1951-12-02	@ Boavista	D 1-1	1190	1134	19.4%	13.6%	67.1%	+2.7	14
1951-12-02	Oriental de Lisboa	W 3-2	1074	1092	70.4%	13.5%	16.1%	+3.7	14
1951-12-02	@ Estoril	L 2-3	1092	1074	16.1%	13.5%	70.4%	-3.7	7
1951-12-02	Sporting Covilha	W 6-1	1294	1161	79.6%	12.9%	7.5%	+7.2	26
1951-12-02	@ Porto	L 1-6	1161	1294	7.5%	12.9%	79.6%	-7.2	15
1951-12-02	Braga	W 4-0	1350	1064	84.7%	12.0%	3.3%	+3.1	22
1951-12-02	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1064	1350	3.3%	12.0%	84.7%	-3.1	10
1951-12-02	Benfica	W 2-1	1057	1382	33.4%	13.5%	53.2%	+11.5	14
1951-12-02	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1382	1057	53.2%	13.5%	33.4%	-11.5	24
1951-12-09	Sporting Covilha	L 1-3	1042	1153	61.5%	13.6%	24.9%	-22.8	10
1951-12-09	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1153	1042	24.9%	13.6%	61.5%	+22.8	18
1951-12-09	Porto	L 1-2	1193	1302	61.8%	13.6%	24.6%	-13.3	14
1951-12-09	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1302	1193	24.6%	13.6%	61.8%	+13.3	29
1951-12-09	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-4	1240	1216	73.5%	13.3%	13.1%	-38.7	15
1951-12-09	@ Barreirense	W 4-1	1216	1240	13.1%	13.3%	73.5%	+38.7	24
1951-12-09	Boavista	W 2-0	1371	1131	83.4%	12.3%	4.3%	+2.1	27
1951-12-09	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1131	1371	4.3%	12.3%	83.4%	-2.1	19
1951-12-09	Estoril	W 1-0	1060	1078	70.4%	13.5%	16.1%	+4.1	13
1951-12-09	@ Braga	L 0-1	1078	1060	16.1%	13.5%	70.4%	-4.1	14
1951-12-09	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-0	1088	1069	73.2%	13.4%	13.4%	+9.5	10
1951-12-09	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 0-3	1069	1088	13.4%	13.4%	73.2%	-9.5	14
1951-12-09	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	940	1353	23.1%	13.2%	63.8%	-15.7	6
1951-12-09	@ Salgueiros	W 3-0	1353	940	63.8%	13.2%	23.1%	+15.7	25
1951-12-16	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1254	1019	83.3%	12.3%	4.3%	+2.2	27
1951-12-16	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1019	1254	4.3%	12.3%	83.3%	-2.2	10
1951-12-16	Oriental de Lisboa	W 4-1	1129	1098	74.0%	13.3%	12.7%	+7.6	22
1951-12-16	@ Boavista	L 1-4	1098	1129	12.7%	13.3%	74.0%	-7.6	10
1951-12-16	Salgueiros	W 2-0	1074	924	80.3%	12.8%	6.9%	+3.4	17
1951-12-16	@ Estoril	L 0-2	924	1074	6.9%	12.8%	80.3%	-3.4	6
1951-12-16	Benfica	W 3-0	1315	1373	66.9%	13.6%	19.5%	+13.6	32
1951-12-16	@ Porto	L 0-3	1373	1315	19.5%	13.6%	66.9%	-13.6	27
1951-12-16	Barreirense	W 8-0	1369	1201	81.0%	12.7%	6.2%	+11.3	28
1951-12-16	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-8	1201	1369	6.2%	12.7%	81.0%	-11.3	15
1951-12-16	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1176	1180	71.5%	13.4%	15.0%	+3.7	21
1951-12-16	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-2	1180	1176	15.0%	13.4%	71.5%	-3.7	14
1951-12-16	Braga	W 1-0	1059	1065	71.4%	13.4%	15.2%	+3.9	17
1951-12-16	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1065	1059	15.2%	13.4%	71.4%	-3.9	13
1952-01-06	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1176	1017	80.7%	12.8%	6.5%	-18.5	14
1952-01-06	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1017	1176	6.5%	12.8%	80.7%	+18.5	13
1952-01-06	Braga	W 1-0	1137	1061	76.8%	13.2%	10.1%	+2.6	25
1952-01-06	@ Boavista	L 0-1	1061	1137	10.1%	13.2%	76.8%	-2.6	13
1952-01-06	Barreirense	D 1-1	1077	1190	61.4%	13.6%	25.0%	-2.0	18
1952-01-06	@ Estoril	D 1-1	1190	1077	25.0%	13.6%	61.4%	+2.0	16
1952-01-06	Oriental de Lisboa	W 6-2	1328	1090	83.4%	12.3%	4.3%	+2.9	35
1952-01-06	@ Porto	L 2-6	1090	1328	4.3%	12.3%	83.4%	-2.9	10
1952-01-06	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1380	1257	79.2%	12.9%	7.9%	-4.1	29
1952-01-06	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1257	1380	7.9%	12.9%	79.2%	+4.1	28
1952-01-06	Benfica	L 0-1	1180	1359	53.3%	13.7%	33.0%	-12.2	21
1952-01-06	@ Sporting Covilha	W 1-0	1359	1180	33.0%	13.7%	53.3%	+12.2	30
1952-01-06	Salgueiros	W 4-1	1063	921	80.0%	12.8%	7.1%	+4.3	20
1952-01-06	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-4	921	1063	7.1%	12.8%	80.0%	-4.3	6
1952-01-13	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 3-3	1035	1376	31.3%	13.4%	55.3%	+0.8	14
1952-01-13	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 3-3	1376	1035	55.3%	13.4%	31.3%	-0.8	30
1952-01-13	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1192	1068	79.2%	12.9%	7.9%	+2.1	19
1952-01-13	@ Barreirense	L 0-1	1068	1192	7.9%	12.9%	79.2%	-2.1	20
1952-01-13	Estoril	D 1-1	1261	1075	81.7%	12.6%	5.7%	-4.4	29
1952-01-13	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1075	1261	5.7%	12.6%	81.7%	+4.4	19
1952-01-13	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1372	1158	82.7%	12.4%	4.9%	+1.3	33
1952-01-13	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1158	1372	4.9%	12.4%	82.7%	-1.3	14
1952-01-13	Porto	W 2-0	1058	1331	40.3%	13.6%	46.1%	+20.1	16
1952-01-13	@ Braga	L 0-2	1331	1058	46.1%	13.6%	40.3%	-20.1	35
1952-01-13	Sporting Covilha	L 1-4	1087	1168	64.8%	13.6%	21.7%	-34.0	10
1952-01-13	@ Oriental de Lisboa	W 4-1	1168	1087	21.7%	13.6%	64.8%	+34.0	24
1952-01-13	Boavista	W 2-1	916	1140	47.4%	13.6%	39.0%	+8.7	9
1952-01-13	@ Salgueiros	L 1-2	1140	916	39.0%	13.6%	47.4%	-8.7	25
1952-01-20	Oriental de Lisboa	L 1-2	1156	1053	78.2%	13.0%	8.8%	-16.9	14
1952-01-20	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1053	1156	8.8%	13.0%	78.2%	+16.9	13
1952-01-20	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-0	1373	1036	85.9%	11.6%	2.5%	+2.4	36
1952-01-20	@ Benfica	L 0-4	1036	1373	2.5%	11.6%	85.9%	-2.3	14
1952-01-20	Barreirense	W 4-2	1131	1194	66.5%	13.6%	20.0%	+7.4	28
1952-01-20	@ Boavista	L 2-4	1194	1131	20.0%	13.6%	66.5%	-7.4	19
1952-01-20	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1080	1375	37.3%	13.5%	49.2%	-8.4	19
1952-01-20	@ Estoril	W 2-1	1375	1080	49.2%	13.5%	37.3%	+8.4	33
1952-01-20	Salgueiros	W 7-1	1311	925	86.8%	11.2%	1.9%	+2.1	38
1952-01-20	@ Porto	L 1-7	925	1311	1.9%	11.2%	86.8%	-2.1	9
1952-01-20	Braga	W 1-0	1202	1078	79.2%	12.9%	7.9%	+2.1	27
1952-01-20	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-1	1078	1202	7.9%	12.9%	79.2%	-2.1	16
1952-01-20	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1065	1256	51.8%	13.7%	34.5%	-11.9	20
1952-01-20	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1256	1065	34.5%	13.7%	51.8%	+11.9	32
1952-01-27	Estoril	W 4-0	1034	1072	68.7%	13.5%	17.8%	+16.2	17
1952-01-27	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-4	1072	1034	17.8%	13.5%	68.7%	-16.2	19
1952-01-27	Porto	W 2-0	1186	1313	59.7%	13.6%	26.6%	+12.4	22
1952-01-27	@ Barreirense	L 0-2	1313	1186	26.6%	13.6%	59.7%	-12.4	38
1952-01-27	Boavista	W 3-0	1268	1138	79.5%	12.9%	7.6%	+5.5	35
1952-01-27	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-3	1138	1268	7.6%	12.9%	79.5%	-5.5	28
1952-01-27	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1076	1139	66.4%	13.6%	20.0%	-2.9	17
1952-01-27	@ Braga	D 0-0	1139	1076	20.0%	13.6%	66.4%	+2.9	15
1952-01-27	Benfica	L 1-3	1070	1375	36.0%	13.5%	50.5%	-14.0	13
1952-01-27	@ Oriental de Lisboa	W 3-1	1375	1070	50.5%	13.5%	36.0%	+14.0	39
1952-01-27	Sporting Covilha	W 3-1	923	1204	39.2%	13.6%	47.2%	+17.8	12
1952-01-27	@ Salgueiros	L 1-3	1204	923	47.2%	13.6%	39.2%	-17.8	27
1952-01-27	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 6-1	1384	1054	85.7%	11.7%	2.6%	+2.5	36
1952-01-27	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-6	1054	1384	2.6%	11.7%	85.7%	-2.5	20
1952-02-03	Salgueiros	D 3-3	1142	941	82.3%	12.5%	5.2%	-2.8	16
1952-02-03	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 3-3	941	1142	5.2%	12.5%	82.3%	+2.8	13
1952-02-03	Braga	W 5-0	1389	1073	85.4%	11.8%	2.8%	+3.2	42
1952-02-03	@ Benfica	L 0-5	1073	1389	2.8%	11.8%	85.4%	-3.2	17
1952-02-03	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1133	1386	43.1%	13.6%	43.3%	+27.7	31
1952-02-03	@ Boavista	L 0-3	1386	1133	43.3%	13.6%	43.1%	-27.7	36
1952-02-03	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1056	1050	72.2%	13.4%	14.3%	+3.7	16
1952-02-03	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 0-1	1050	1056	14.3%	13.4%	72.2%	-3.7	17
1952-02-03	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1301	1274	73.8%	13.3%	12.9%	-3.5	39
1952-02-03	@ Porto	D 1-1	1274	1301	12.9%	13.3%	73.8%	+3.5	36
1952-02-03	Barreirense	W 4-1	1186	1199	70.8%	13.5%	15.7%	+9.3	30
1952-02-03	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-4	1199	1186	15.7%	13.5%	70.8%	-9.4	22
1952-02-10	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1046	1051	71.4%	13.4%	15.2%	-3.6	18
1952-02-10	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1051	1046	15.2%	13.4%	71.4%	+3.6	21
1952-02-10	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1189	1139	75.2%	13.2%	11.5%	+4.9	25
1952-02-10	@ Barreirense	L 1-3	1139	1189	11.5%	13.2%	75.2%	-4.9	16
1952-02-10	Sporting Covilha	W 3-0	1277	1195	77.1%	13.1%	9.8%	+7.0	39
1952-02-10	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-3	1195	1277	9.8%	13.1%	77.1%	-7.0	30
1952-02-10	Oriental de Lisboa	W 4-1	1070	1060	72.5%	13.4%	14.1%	+8.4	20
1952-02-10	@ Braga	L 1-4	1060	1070	14.1%	13.4%	72.5%	-8.4	16
1952-02-10	Boavista	W 5-1	1055	1160	62.2%	13.6%	24.2%	+18.0	22
1952-02-10	@ Estoril	L 1-5	1160	1055	24.2%	13.6%	62.2%	-18.0	31
1952-02-10	Benfica	L 2-7	943	1392	19.6%	13.0%	67.4%	-15.1	13
1952-02-10	@ Salgueiros	W 7-2	1392	943	67.4%	13.0%	19.6%	+15.1	45
1952-02-10	Porto	W 2-1	1358	1297	75.9%	13.2%	10.9%	+2.7	39
1952-02-10	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1297	1358	10.9%	13.2%	75.9%	-2.7	39
1952-02-16	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1135	1284	57.1%	13.7%	29.3%	-1.5	17
1952-02-16	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1284	1135	29.3%	13.7%	57.1%	+1.5	40
1952-02-16	Salgueiros	W 2-1	1051	928	79.1%	12.9%	7.9%	+2.0	19
1952-02-16	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 1-2	928	1051	7.9%	12.9%	79.1%	-2.0	13
1952-02-17	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-0	1142	1055	77.4%	13.1%	9.5%	+8.9	34
1952-02-17	@ Boavista	L 0-4	1055	1142	9.5%	13.1%	77.4%	-8.9	21
1952-02-17	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1078	1043	74.3%	13.3%	12.4%	+6.1	23
1952-02-17	@ Braga	L 0-2	1043	1078	12.4%	13.3%	74.3%	-6.1	18
1952-02-17	Estoril	W 4-3	1295	1073	82.9%	12.4%	4.7%	+1.1	42
1952-02-17	@ Porto	L 3-4	1073	1295	4.7%	12.4%	82.9%	-1.1	22
1952-02-20	Barreirense	W 7-1	1408	1194	82.6%	12.4%	4.9%	+5.6	48
1952-02-20	@ Benfica	L 1-7	1194	1408	4.9%	12.4%	82.6%	-5.6	25
1952-02-24	Boavista	W 5-1	1037	1151	61.1%	13.6%	25.2%	+18.7	21
1952-02-24	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-5	1151	1037	25.2%	13.6%	61.1%	-18.7	34
1952-02-24	Oriental de Lisboa	W 8-2	1189	1053	79.7%	12.9%	7.4%	+7.0	28
1952-02-24	@ Barreirense	L 2-8	1053	1189	7.4%	12.9%	79.7%	-7.0	19
1952-02-24	Benfica	W 2-0	1286	1413	59.7%	13.6%	26.7%	+12.4	43
1952-02-24	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1413	1286	26.7%	13.6%	59.7%	-12.4	48
1952-02-24	Sporting Covilha	W 3-0	1072	1188	61.0%	13.6%	25.4%	+17.3	25
1952-02-24	@ Estoril	L 0-3	1188	1072	25.4%	13.6%	61.0%	-17.3	30
1952-02-24	Braga	W 3-1	926	1084	56.0%	13.7%	30.3%	+12.1	16
1952-02-24	@ Salgueiros	L 1-3	1084	926	30.3%	13.7%	56.0%	-12.1	23
1952-02-24	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 5-1	1361	1133	83.1%	12.4%	4.5%	+3.5	42
1952-02-24	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-5	1133	1361	4.5%	12.4%	83.1%	-3.6	17
1952-02-24	Porto	L 2-4	1046	1296	43.6%	13.6%	42.8%	-14.9	21
1952-02-24	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-2	1296	1046	42.8%	13.6%	43.6%	+14.9	45
1952-03-02	Estoril	W 4-1	1130	1090	74.6%	13.3%	12.1%	+7.3	20
1952-03-02	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1090	1130	12.1%	13.3%	74.6%	-7.3	25
1952-03-02	Barreirense	W 2-1	1072	1196	60.2%	13.6%	26.2%	+6.1	26
1952-03-02	@ Braga	L 1-2	1196	1072	26.2%	13.6%	60.2%	-6.1	28
1952-03-02	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1046	1298	43.4%	13.6%	43.0%	-0.0	20
1952-03-02	@ Oriental de Lisboa	D 1-1	1298	1046	43.0%	13.6%	43.4%	+0.0	44
1952-03-02	Boavista	W 4-0	1311	1133	81.4%	12.7%	5.9%	+5.6	48
1952-03-02	@ Porto	L 0-4	1133	1311	5.9%	12.7%	81.4%	-5.6	34
1952-03-02	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	938	1055	60.9%	13.6%	25.5%	-13.1	16
1952-03-02	@ Salgueiros	W 2-1	1055	938	25.5%	13.6%	60.9%	+13.1	24
1952-03-02	Benfica	W 3-2	1365	1401	68.9%	13.5%	17.6%	+4.0	45
1952-03-02	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1401	1365	17.6%	13.5%	68.9%	-4.0	48
1952-03-02	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-0	1171	1031	79.9%	12.9%	7.2%	+5.2	33
1952-03-02	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-3	1031	1171	7.2%	12.9%	79.9%	-5.2	21
1952-03-09	Estoril	W 2-1	1026	1082	67.0%	13.6%	19.4%	+4.6	24
1952-03-09	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1082	1026	19.4%	13.6%	67.0%	-4.7	25
1952-03-09	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-6	1176	1369	51.6%	13.7%	34.8%	-62.0	33
1952-03-09	@ Sporting Covilha	W 6-0	1369	1176	34.8%	13.7%	51.6%	+62.0	48
1952-03-16	Porto	D 1-1	1068	1316	43.9%	13.6%	42.5%	-0.1	25
1952-03-16	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1316	1068	42.5%	13.6%	43.9%	+0.1	49
1952-03-16	Salgueiros	L 0-1	1189	925	84.1%	12.1%	3.7%	-19.2	28
1952-03-16	@ Barreirense	W 1-0	925	1189	3.7%	12.1%	84.1%	+19.2	19
1952-03-16	Braga	W 1-0	1298	1078	82.8%	12.4%	4.7%	+1.2	47
1952-03-16	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1078	1298	4.7%	12.4%	82.8%	-1.2	26
1952-03-16	Sporting Covilha	W 4-0	1127	1114	72.7%	13.4%	13.9%	+12.9	37
1952-03-16	@ Boavista	L 0-4	1114	1127	13.9%	13.4%	72.7%	-12.9	33
1952-03-16	Benfica	D 1-1	1078	1397	34.1%	13.5%	52.4%	+1.0	26
1952-03-16	@ Estoril	D 1-1	1397	1078	52.4%	13.5%	34.1%	-1.0	49
1952-03-16	Oriental de Lisboa	W 2-0	1431	1046	86.8%	11.3%	1.9%	+1.0	51
1952-03-16	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1046	1431	1.9%	11.3%	86.8%	-1.0	20
1952-03-16	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1030	1137	62.0%	13.6%	24.3%	+6.1	27
1952-03-16	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1137	1030	24.3%	13.6%	62.0%	-6.1	20
1952-03-23	Boavista	W 6-1	1131	1140	71.1%	13.4%	15.5%	+14.5	23
1952-03-23	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-6	1140	1131	15.5%	13.4%	71.1%	-14.5	37
1952-03-23	Academica de Coimbra	D 2-2	1170	1068	78.1%	13.0%	8.8%	-3.0	29
1952-03-23	@ Barreirense	D 2-2	1068	1170	8.8%	13.0%	78.1%	+3.0	26
1952-03-23	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1396	1036	86.3%	11.5%	2.2%	+0.6	52
1952-03-23	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1036	1396	2.2%	11.5%	86.3%	-0.6	27
1952-03-23	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1077	1432	29.7%	13.4%	57.0%	-13.6	26
1952-03-23	@ Braga	W 2-0	1432	1077	57.0%	13.4%	29.7%	+13.6	54
1952-03-23	Estoril	W 4-0	1045	1079	69.1%	13.5%	17.4%	+15.9	23
1952-03-23	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 0-4	1079	1045	17.4%	13.5%	69.1%	-15.9	26
1952-03-23	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	945	1299	29.6%	13.4%	57.0%	+12.2	22
1952-03-23	@ Salgueiros	L 1-2	1299	945	57.0%	13.4%	29.6%	-12.2	47
1952-03-23	Porto	D 0-0	1101	1316	48.6%	13.6%	37.8%	-0.6	34
1952-03-23	@ Sporting Covilha	D 0-0	1316	1101	37.8%	13.6%	48.6%	+0.6	50
1952-03-30	Barreirense	W 4-1	1287	1167	79.0%	13.0%	8.0%	+4.9	50
1952-03-30	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-4	1167	1287	8.0%	13.0%	79.0%	-4.9	29
1952-03-30	Benfica	L 0-3	1125	1396	40.7%	13.6%	45.8%	-26.2	37
1952-03-30	@ Boavista	W 3-0	1396	1125	45.8%	13.6%	40.7%	+26.2	55
1952-03-30	Braga	W 3-2	1063	1064	71.7%	13.4%	14.9%	+3.4	29
1952-03-30	@ Estoril	L 2-3	1064	1063	14.9%	13.4%	71.7%	-3.4	26
1952-03-30	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1317	1145	81.2%	12.7%	6.1%	-4.4	51
1952-03-30	@ Porto	D 1-1	1145	1317	6.1%	12.7%	81.2%	+4.4	24
1952-03-30	Salgueiros	W 6-0	1445	957	88.5%	10.4%	1.1%	+1.5	57
1952-03-30	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-6	957	1445	1.1%	10.4%	88.5%	-1.5	22
1952-03-30	Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1101	1071	73.9%	13.3%	12.8%	-3.9	35
1952-03-30	@ Sporting Covilha	D 0-0	1071	1101	12.8%	13.3%	73.9%	+3.9	27
1952-03-30	Oriental de Lisboa	W 4-2	1036	1061	69.8%	13.5%	16.8%	+6.3	30
1952-03-30	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 2-4	1061	1036	16.8%	13.5%	69.8%	-6.3	23
1952-04-06	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1075	1292	48.3%	13.6%	38.1%	+8.5	30
1952-04-06	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1292	1075	38.1%	13.6%	48.3%	-8.5	50
1952-04-06	Sporting Covilha	W 5-0	1150	1097	75.4%	13.2%	11.4%	+13.1	27
1952-04-06	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-5	1097	1150	11.4%	13.2%	75.4%	-13.1	35
1952-04-06	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1162	1447	38.8%	13.5%	47.7%	-8.7	29
1952-04-06	@ Barreirense	W 2-1	1447	1162	47.7%	13.5%	38.8%	+8.7	60
1952-04-06	Porto	W 2-0	1422	1313	78.5%	13.0%	8.5%	+4.2	58
1952-04-06	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1313	1422	8.5%	13.0%	78.5%	-4.2	51
1952-04-06	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1060	1042	73.1%	13.4%	13.5%	+3.5	29
1952-04-06	@ Braga	L 0-1	1042	1060	13.5%	13.4%	73.1%	-3.5	30
1952-04-06	Boavista	W 3-0	1055	1099	68.2%	13.5%	18.3%	+12.8	26
1952-04-06	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 0-3	1099	1055	18.3%	13.5%	68.2%	-12.8	37
1952-04-06	Estoril	W 1-0	955	1066	61.6%	13.6%	24.8%	+6.2	25
1952-04-06	@ Salgueiros	L 0-1	1066	955	24.8%	13.6%	61.6%	-6.2	29

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1952-03-16	3.73%	Salgueiros	925	1	@ Barreirense	1189	0
2	1952-01-06	6.54%	Academica de Coimbra	1017	1	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1176	0
3	1952-01-20	8.78%	Oriental de Lisboa	1053	2	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1156	1
4	1951-09-23	12.48%	Boavista	1096	3	@ Braga	1130	1
5	1951-12-09	13.14%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1216	4	@ Barreirense	1240	1
6	1951-10-28	13.22%	Braga	1059	4	@ Oriental de Lisboa	1081	2
7	1951-10-07	18.41%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1159	5	@ Oriental de Lisboa	1114	3
8	1951-09-30	21.06%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1158	3	@ Estoril	1084	2
9	1951-11-25	21.42%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1176	4	@ Braga	1098	1
10	1952-01-13	21.66%	Sporting Covilha	1168	4	@ Oriental de Lisboa	1087	1
11	1951-12-09	24.60%	Porto	1302	2	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1193	1
12	1951-12-09	24.91%	Sporting Covilha	1153	3	@ Academica de Coimbra	1042	1
13	1951-09-23	25.19%	Porto	1236	3	@ Oriental de Lisboa	1122	2
14	1952-03-02	25.49%	Academica de Coimbra	1055	2	@ Salgueiros	938	1
15	1951-11-11	25.79%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1336	5	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1216	2
16	1951-09-30	27.32%	Benfica	1304	4	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1171	3
17	1951-10-21	28.71%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1177	5	@ Salgueiros	1033	1
18	1952-03-23	29.61%	@ Salgueiros	945	2	Os Belenenses (1st)	1299	1
19	1951-12-02	32.56%	Barreirense	1229	3	@ Academica de Coimbra	1053	2
20	1952-01-06	33.04%	Benfica	1359	1	@ Sporting Covilha	1180	0
21	1951-12-02	33.35%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1057	2	Benfica	1382	1
22	1952-01-20	34.54%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1256	1	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1065	0
23	1951-10-07	34.58%	Porto	1255	4	@ Salgueiros	1064	1
24	1952-03-09	34.76%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1369	6	@ Sporting Covilha	1176	0
25	1951-11-04	36.80%	Porto	1285	2	@ Estoril	1078	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1952-03-09	61.97	Sporting Clube de Portugal	6	1369	34.76%	@ Sporting Covilha	0	1176	51.59%
2	1951-11-11	44.73	@ Oriental de Lisboa	6	1045	50.70%	Barreirense	0	1244	35.65%
3	1951-10-21	39.16	Atletico Clube de Portugal	5	1177	28.71%	@ Salgueiros	1	1033	57.63%
4	1951-12-09	38.74	Os Belenenses (1st)	4	1216	13.14%	@ Barreirense	1	1240	73.52%
5	1951-10-21	37.07	Benfica	6	1347	42.90%	@ Braga	1	1096	43.50%
6	1951-11-25	34.14	Os Belenenses (1st)	4	1176	21.42%	@ Braga	1	1098	65.00%
7	1952-01-13	34.02	Sporting Covilha	4	1168	21.66%	@ Oriental de Lisboa	1	1087	64.75%
8	1951-11-25	33.23	Barreirense	5	1195	38.03%	@ Salgueiros	1	979	48.33%
9	1951-10-07	29.26	Benfica	3	1315	40.28%	@ Academica de Coimbra	0	1083	46.10%
10	1952-02-03	27.67	@ Boavista	3	1133	43.15%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	0	1386	43.26%
11	1951-09-23	27.66	Boavista	3	1096	12.48%	@ Braga	1	1130	74.21%
12	1951-11-11	27.58	Sporting Clube de Portugal	5	1336	25.79%	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	2	1216	60.57%
13	1951-10-07	27.41	Porto	4	1255	34.58%	@ Salgueiros	1	1064	51.76%
14	1952-03-30	26.22	Benfica	3	1396	45.77%	@ Boavista	0	1125	40.66%
15	1951-10-28	24.48	Braga	4	1059	13.22%	@ Oriental de Lisboa	2	1081	73.43%
16	1951-12-09	22.84	Sporting Covilha	3	1153	24.91%	@ Academica de Coimbra	1	1042	61.46%
17	1951-10-07	21.38	Atletico Clube de Portugal	5	1159	18.41%	@ Oriental de Lisboa	3	1114	68.06%
18	1952-01-13	20.14	@ Braga	2	1058	40.33%	Porto	0	1331	46.11%
19	1952-03-16	19.20	Salgueiros	1	925	3.73%	@ Barreirense	0	1189	84.14%
20	1952-02-24	18.72	@ Academica de Coimbra	5	1037	61.12%	Boavista	1	1151	25.25%
21	1952-01-06	18.46	Academica de Coimbra	1	1017	6.54%	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	0	1176	80.70%
22	1952-02-10	18.01	@ Estoril	5	1055	62.16%	Boavista	1	1160	24.21%
23	1952-01-27	17.81	@ Salgueiros	3	923	39.24%	Sporting Covilha	1	1204	47.22%
24	1952-02-24	17.28	@ Estoril	3	1072	60.96%	Sporting Covilha	0	1188	25.41%
25	1952-01-20	16.86	Oriental de Lisboa	2	1053	8.78%	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1	1156	78.18%