2004-05 Campionato Sammarinese Season

154 games · 6 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Libertas

48 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Tre Penne

12.18 points above expected

44 points · 31.82 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

San Giovanni

8.57 points below expected

4 points · 12.57 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Libertas	21	15	3	3	48	46	22	+24	37.73	+10.27
2	Tre Penne	20	14	2	4	44	43	23	+20	31.82	+12.18
3	Domagnano	21	11	7	3	40	50	25	+25	39.19	+0.81
4	Murata	20	11	6	3	39	39	23	+16	35.52	+3.48
5	Virtus	21	11	4	6	37	37	22	+15	36.14	+0.86
6	Pennarossa	20	9	7	4	34	40	26	+14	37.03	-3.03
7	Tre Fiori	20	10	4	6	34	38	24	+14	33.48	+0.52
8	Faetano	21	9	6	6	33	42	27	+15	30.40	+2.60
9	Juvenes Dogana	21	9	6	6	33	35	22	+13	36.79	-3.79
10	La Fiorita	20	6	7	7	25	27	28	-1	24.49	+0.51
11	Folgore Falciano	21	4	6	11	18	26	40	-14	16.32	+1.68
12	Cailungo	20	4	5	11	17	27	42	-15	23.38	-6.38
13	Montevito	21	3	6	12	15	22	40	-18	19.95	-4.95
14	Cosmos	20	1	2	17	5	16	71	-55	12.02	-7.02
15	San Giovanni	21	1	1	19	4	16	69	-53	12.57	-8.57

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Tre Penne	44	31.82	+12.18
2	Libertas	48	37.73	+10.27
3	Murata	39	35.52	+3.48
4	Faetano	33	30.40	+2.60
5	Folgore Falciano	18	16.32	+1.68

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	San Giovanni	4	12.57	-8.57
2	Cosmos	5	12.02	-7.02
3	Cailungo	17	23.38	-6.38
4	Montevito	15	19.95	-4.95
5	Juvenes Dogana	33	36.79	-3.79

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Libertas	7	Oct 22 – Feb 15	1 in 128
2	Folgore Falciano	3	Oct 24 – Oct 30	1 in 57
3	Faetano	4	Sep 29 – Oct 16	1 in 38
4	Tre Penne	5	Dec 18 – Mar 19	1 in 28
5	Juvenes Dogana	3	Nov 4 – Nov 27	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Cosmos	17	Sep 28 – Apr 9	1 in 2,267
2	San Giovanni	12	Sep 14 – Nov 27	1 in 339
3	Virtus	4	Oct 26 – Nov 24	1 in 62
4	Montevito	5	Nov 20 – Dec 18	1 in 11
5	Murata	1	Oct 27 – Oct 27	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Domagnano	13	Nov 4 – Apr 14	1 in 38
2	Tre Fiori	7	Sep 18 – Nov 5	1 in 30
3	Tre Penne	7	Sep 19 – Oct 30	1 in 29
4	Libertas	10	Oct 6 – Feb 15	1 in 24
5	La Fiorita	4	Oct 2 – Oct 23	1 in 22

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Cosmos	19	Sep 18 – Apr 15	1 in 24
2	Faetano	6	Nov 26 – Mar 16	1 in 22
3	Cailungo	7	Sep 15 – Oct 27	1 in 21
4	La Fiorita	6	Mar 11 – Apr 15	1 in 19
5	Virtus	5	Oct 17 – Nov 24	1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Libertas	1021	48	-18	8	10.5	-2.5
Tre Penne	987	44	+9	12	8.2	+3.8
Domagnano	1067	40	+55	9	9.7	-0.7
Murata	1029	39	+75	12	8.9	+3.1
Virtus	919	37	+81	11	6.4	+4.6
Pennarossa	1027	34	+45	8	8.9	-0.9
Tre Fiori	955	34	-41	6	8.4	-2.4
Faetano	856	33	+25	9	6.9	+2.1
Juvenes Dogana	870	33	-90	5	9.5	-4.5
La Fiorita	764	25	-76	3	6.6	-3.6
Folgore Falciano	675	18	+52	6	4.6	+1.4
Cailungo	700	17	+4	5	4.8	+0.2
Montevito	640	15	-42	3	5.6	-2.6
Cosmos	400	5	-17	1	1.6	-0.6
San Giovanni	419	4	-63	1	2.5	-1.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	CAI	COS	DOM	FAE	FF	JD	LF	LIB	MON	MUR	PEN	SG	TF	TP	VIR
Cailungo	—	1-1-0 3.90	0-0-1 0.91	0-0-1 0.97	1-0-0 1.70	0-0-1 0.71	0-1-1 2.74	0-0-1 0.56	1-0-0 1.58	0-1-1 1.79	0-1-1 1.57	1-0-0 2.03	0-1-1 1.57	0-0-2 1.83	0-0-1 0.93
Cosmos	0-1-1 1.65	—	0-0-1 0.49	0-0-1 0.45	0-0-1 1.24	0-0-1 0.33	0-1-1 1.32	0-0-1 0.27	0-0-1 0.97	0-0-2 0.83	0-0-2 0.97	0-0-1 1.41	1-0-1 1.05	0-0-2 1.61	0-0-1 0.34
Domagnano	1-0-0 1.86	1-0-0 2.29	—	1-0-1 3.86	1-1-0 4.60	1-1-0 3.37	1-0-0 1.71	0-1-1 3.15	1-1-0 4.46	0-1-0 1.60	0-1-0 1.44	2-0-0 4.69	0-0-1 1.72	1-0-0 1.44	1-1-0 3.38
Faetano	1-0-0 1.80	1-0-0 2.34	1-0-1 1.68	—	1-1-0 4.22	1-1-0 1.82	0-1-0 1.75	1-0-1 2.00	1-1-0 3.46	0-1-0 1.26	0-0-1 1.16	2-0-0 4.48	0-0-1 1.21	0-1-0 0.99	0-0-2 2.28
Folgore Falciano	0-0-1 1.07	1-0-0 1.52	0-1-1 0.99	0-1-1 1.33	—	0-1-1 1.18	0-0-1 0.68	0-0-2 0.95	0-2-0 2.09	1-0-0 0.51	0-1-0 0.51	2-0-0 3.50	0-0-1 0.70	0-0-1 0.53	0-0-2 1.05
Juvenes Dogana	1-0-0 2.06	1-0-0 2.48	0-1-1 2.15	0-1-1 3.71	1-1-0 4.38	—	0-1-0 1.80	1-0-1 2.33	1-1-0 4.25	0-0-1 1.60	0-1-0 1.35	2-0-0 4.68	1-0-0 1.21	1-0-0 1.07	0-0-2 2.68
La Fiorita	1-1-0 2.79	1-1-0 4.25	0-0-1 1.05	0-1-0 1.01	1-0-0 2.09	0-1-0 0.96	—	0-0-1 0.87	1-0-0 1.80	0-1-1 1.61	0-2-0 1.23	1-0-0 2.27	0-0-2 1.84	0-0-2 2.13	1-0-0 1.07
Libertas	1-0-0 2.22	1-0-0 2.56	1-1-0 2.37	1-0-1 3.54	2-0-0 4.63	1-0-1 3.19	1-0-0 1.89	—	2-0-0 4.34	1-0-0 1.52	1-0-0 1.28	2-0-0 4.68	1-0-0 1.64	0-0-1 1.72	0-2-0 3.09
Montevito	0-0-1 1.18	1-0-0 1.79	0-1-1 1.10	0-1-1 2.06	0-2-0 3.44	0-1-1 1.30	0-0-1 0.96	0-0-2 1.22	—	0-0-1 0.52	0-0-1 0.54	1-1-0 3.29	0-0-1 0.57	0-0-1 0.55	1-0-1 1.28
Murata	1-1-0 3.75	2-0-0 4.80	0-1-0 1.16	0-1-0 1.50	0-0-1 2.28	1-0-0 1.16	1-1-0 3.93	0-0-1 1.24	1-0-0 2.27	—	1-1-0 2.38	1-0-0 2.48	1-1-0 3.11	1-0-1 3.59	1-0-0 1.28
Pennarossa	1-1-0 3.99	2-0-0 4.64	0-1-0 1.32	1-0-0 1.60	0-1-0 2.28	0-1-0 1.41	0-2-0 4.32	0-0-1 1.48	1-0-0 2.24	0-1-1 3.14	—	1-0-0 2.50	1-0-1 3.76	1-0-1 2.87	1-0-0 1.34
San Giovanni	0-0-1 0.74	1-0-0 1.35	0-0-2 0.91	0-0-2 1.09	0-0-2 2.03	0-0-2 0.91	0-0-1 0.51	0-0-2 0.93	0-1-1 2.24	0-0-1 0.33	0-0-1 0.32	—	0-0-1 0.33	0-0-1 0.32	0-0-2 0.93
Tre Fiori	1-1-0 3.97	1-0-1 4.54	1-0-0 1.04	1-0-0 1.55	1-0-0 2.08	0-0-1 1.55	2-0-0 3.69	0-0-1 1.13	1-0-0 2.21	0-1-1 2.42	1-0-1 1.77	1-0-0 2.48	—	0-1-1 2.79	0-1-0 1.64
Tre Penne	2-0-0 3.72	2-0-0 3.99	0-0-1 1.32	0-1-0 1.78	1-0-0 2.26	0-0-1 1.69	2-0-0 3.40	1-0-0 1.04	1-0-0 2.23	1-0-1 1.94	1-0-1 2.65	1-0-0 2.49	1-1-0 2.73	—	1-0-0 1.19
Virtus	1-0-0 1.84	1-0-0 2.47	0-1-1 2.15	2-0-0 3.25	2-0-0 4.53	2-0-0 2.84	0-0-1 1.69	0-2-0 2.44	1-0-1 4.27	0-0-1 1.48	0-0-1 1.42	2-0-0 4.64	0-1-0 1.12	0-0-1 1.57	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.91	+12.3
Allowed	0.83	-7.6
Differential	0.93	+5.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	6.17%	4.87%	3.25%	1.62%	1.30%	21.75%
1	6.17%	9.74%	8.77%	4.22%	1.30%	2.92%	33.12%
2	4.87%	8.77%	8.44%	1.30%	1.30%	0.32%	25.00%
3	3.25%	4.22%	1.30%	0.65%	0.65%	0.32%	10.39%
4	1.62%	1.30%	1.30%	0.65%	—	—	4.87%
5+	1.30%	2.92%	0.32%	0.32%	—	—	4.87%
Total	21.75%	33.12%	25.00%	10.39%	4.87%	4.87%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.64	+0.00
SD	1.52	1.52	2.34
CV	0.93	0.93	—
Max	10	10	+9
Min	0	0	-9

Games Played: 154

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	20.00%
1	—	15.00%	5.00%	20.00%	10.00%	5.00%	55.00%
2	—	5.00%	—	—	5.00%	—	10.00%
3	—	—	5.00%	—	—	—	5.00%
4	—	5.00%	—	—	—	—	5.00%
5+	—	5.00%	—	—	—	—	5.00%
Total	10.00%	40.00%	10.00%	20.00%	15.00%	5.00%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.35	2.10	-0.75
SD	1.31	1.59	2.07
CV	0.97	0.76	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	20.00%	15.00%	—	10.00%	45.00%
1	—	5.00%	10.00%	5.00%	5.00%	15.00%	40.00%
2	—	—	5.00%	—	—	—	5.00%
3	5.00%	—	—	—	—	5.00%	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.00%	5.00%	35.00%	20.00%	5.00%	30.00%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.80	3.55	-2.75
SD	0.95	2.44	2.69
CV	1.19	0.69	—
Max	3	10	+3
Min	0	0	-9

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.76%	—	4.76%	—	—	—	9.52%
1	9.52%	14.29%	4.76%	—	—	—	28.57%
2	4.76%	4.76%	14.29%	—	4.76%	—	28.57%
3	4.76%	9.52%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.76%	9.52%	—	4.76%	—	—	19.05%
Total	28.57%	38.10%	23.81%	4.76%	4.76%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.38	1.19	+1.19
SD	1.96	1.08	2.20
CV	0.82	0.91	—
Max	8	4	+7
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.76%	9.52%	9.52%	4.76%	—	—	28.57%
1	4.76%	14.29%	4.76%	—	—	—	23.81%
2	4.76%	4.76%	9.52%	—	—	—	19.05%
3	—	9.52%	—	—	—	—	9.52%
4	4.76%	—	—	4.76%	—	—	9.52%
5+	—	4.76%	4.76%	—	—	—	9.52%
Total	19.05%	42.86%	28.57%	9.52%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	1.29	+0.71
SD	2.37	0.90	2.55
CV	1.18	0.70	—
Max	10	3	+9
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.76%	9.52%	—	4.76%	—	9.52%	28.57%
1	—	9.52%	14.29%	9.52%	—	—	33.33%
2	—	9.52%	14.29%	4.76%	—	—	28.57%
3	4.76%	—	—	—	—	—	4.76%
4	4.76%	—	—	—	—	—	4.76%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	14.29%	28.57%	28.57%	19.05%	—	9.52%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.24	1.90	-0.67
SD	1.09	1.41	2.13
CV	0.88	0.74	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	19.05%	9.52%	—	—	—	—	28.57%
1	14.29%	9.52%	4.76%	9.52%	—	4.76%	42.86%
2	—	4.76%	—	—	—	—	4.76%
3	4.76%	4.76%	—	—	—	—	9.52%
4	—	4.76%	—	—	—	—	4.76%
5+	—	9.52%	—	—	—	—	9.52%
Total	38.10%	42.86%	4.76%	9.52%	—	4.76%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.67	1.05	+0.62
SD	2.11	1.28	2.44
CV	1.26	1.23	—
Max	8	5	+7
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	15.00%	5.00%	—	5.00%	—	35.00%
1	—	15.00%	—	—	—	—	15.00%
2	5.00%	15.00%	10.00%	—	10.00%	—	40.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	50.00%	15.00%	—	15.00%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.35	1.40	-0.05
SD	1.27	1.27	1.82
CV	0.94	0.91	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	28.57%	4.76%	9.52%	—	—	—	42.86%
2	4.76%	9.52%	9.52%	—	—	—	23.81%
3	4.76%	—	9.52%	—	4.76%	—	19.05%
4	—	—	4.76%	—	—	—	4.76%
5+	4.76%	4.76%	—	—	—	—	9.52%
Total	42.86%	19.05%	33.33%	—	4.76%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.19	1.05	+1.14
SD	1.44	1.12	1.65
CV	0.66	1.07	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	1	0	-1

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.76%	—	9.52%	9.52%	—	—	23.81%
1	—	14.29%	23.81%	4.76%	4.76%	4.76%	52.38%
2	9.52%	—	9.52%	—	—	—	19.05%
3	—	4.76%	—	—	—	—	4.76%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	14.29%	19.05%	42.86%	14.29%	4.76%	4.76%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.05	1.90	-0.86
SD	0.80	1.26	1.68
CV	0.77	0.66	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
1	10.00%	—	10.00%	—	—	—	20.00%
2	5.00%	15.00%	20.00%	—	—	—	40.00%
3	5.00%	10.00%	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	25.00%
4	5.00%	—	—	—	—	—	5.00%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	30.00%	35.00%	5.00%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.95	1.15	+0.80
SD	1.05	0.93	1.32
CV	0.54	0.81	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	—	25.00%	10.00%	5.00%	—	—	40.00%
2	5.00%	25.00%	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	40.00%
3	5.00%	5.00%	—	5.00%	—	—	15.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	5.00%	—	—	—	—	—	5.00%
Total	15.00%	55.00%	15.00%	15.00%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	1.30	+0.70
SD	1.38	0.92	1.89
CV	0.69	0.71	—
Max	7	3	+7
Min	1	0	-2

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.76%	4.76%	14.29%	4.76%	19.05%	—	47.62%
1	—	—	9.52%	9.52%	—	14.29%	33.33%
2	4.76%	—	—	4.76%	—	4.76%	14.29%
3	—	—	—	—	4.76%	—	4.76%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.52%	4.76%	23.81%	19.05%	23.81%	19.05%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.76	3.29	-2.52
SD	0.89	2.10	2.14
CV	1.17	0.64	—
Max	3	8	+2
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	15.00%	—	5.00%	—	—	20.00%
1	5.00%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	25.00%
2	10.00%	—	10.00%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	5.00%	15.00%	—	—	—	—	20.00%
4	—	—	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	10.00%
5+	5.00%	—	—	—	—	—	5.00%
Total	25.00%	40.00%	25.00%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.90	1.20	+0.70
SD	1.48	0.95	1.84
CV	0.78	0.79	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.00%	—	5.00%	—	—	10.00%
1	10.00%	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	20.00%
2	10.00%	20.00%	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	40.00%
3	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	5.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	15.00%
5+	—	5.00%	—	—	—	—	5.00%
Total	25.00%	45.00%	20.00%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.15	1.15	+1.00
SD	1.35	0.93	1.65
CV	0.63	0.81	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.52%	9.52%	—	—	—	19.05%
1	9.52%	4.76%	9.52%	—	—	—	23.81%
2	9.52%	19.05%	14.29%	—	—	—	42.86%
3	4.76%	—	—	—	—	—	4.76%
4	4.76%	—	—	—	—	—	4.76%
5+	—	4.76%	—	—	—	—	4.76%
Total	28.57%	38.10%	33.33%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.76	1.05	+0.71
SD	1.58	0.80	1.95
CV	0.90	0.77	—
Max	7	2	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 21

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Domagnano	1153	40	39.19	+0.81	57.0%	24	29	36	39	43	47	52
Murata	1102	39	35.52	+3.48	75.0%	23	26	31	35	39	45	49
Pennarossa	1027	34	37.03	-3.03	31.0%	16	27	34	37	41	45	51
Libertas	971	48	37.73	+10.27	96.0%	22	27	34	37	42	47	55
Virtus	958	37	36.14	+0.86	60.0%	19	27	32	36	40	45	52
Tre Fiori	898	34	33.48	+0.52	54.0%	21	24	29	34	38	43	47
Tre Penne	897	44	31.82	+12.18	99.0%	19	22	28	31	35	41	48
Juvenes Dogana	870	33	36.79	-3.79	25.0%	23	29	33	36	41	44	52
Faetano	856	33	30.40	+2.60	74.0%	14	20	27	31	34	40	44
La Fiorita	764	25	24.49	+0.51	62.0%	15	17	21	24	28	33	39
Cailungo	700	17	23.38	-6.38	17.0%	11	14	18	24	28	32	39
Folgore Falciano	675	18	16.32	+1.68	72.0%	6	8	13	16	19	24	31
Montevito	640	15	19.95	-4.95	15.0%	8	13	17	20	22	29	35
San Giovanni	419	4	12.57	-8.57	2.0%	3	5	9	13	15	20	23
Cosmos	400	5	12.02	-7.02	3.0%	3	6	9	11	14	19	25

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -4.5% * Slight Edge: -4.5% to 0.5% * Clear Edge: 0.5% to 5% * Strong Edge: 5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

-1.30%

Slight Edge

37.66%23.38%38.96%

Elo Value

Home Edge: -4.51 Elo pts.

171 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

-0.10 goals

Neutral

-2-0.03+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 4 * Top-Heavy: 4 to 5 * Open: 5 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.19 * Runaway: 0.19 and up.

Title-Race Openness

7.1

Wide Open

145610

Champion Preseason Odds

24%

Libertas, 4th of 15

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.19/gm

Runaway

00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.33 * Some Luck: 4.33 to 6.49 * Lucky: 6.49 to 8.66 * Wild Swing: 8.66 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.49 * Close: 1.49 to 2.24 * Off: 2.24 to 2.98 * Way Off: 2.98 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 15 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 15 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 15 * As Expected: 15 to 24 * Several Outliers: 24 to 33 * Many Outliers: 33 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.71 points

Some Luck

05.4114

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.73

01.864

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 96.67%

99.00%

Tre Penne

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 3.33%

2.00%

San Giovanni

050

Season Outliers

Expected

4 of 15

Minimal Outliers

01.57

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Strong Separation: 1.9 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 74% * Slight Edge: 74% to 79.5% * Clear Edge: 79.5% to 84.5% * Wide Edge: 84.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56% * Some Drama: 56% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 65.5% * Very Frequent: 65.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.

Gini Index

0.26

Lopsided

00.20.260.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 216.51

2.25

Wide Separation

11.71.92.23

Interquartile Edge

86%

Wide Edge

50%74%84.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 99%

98%

Dominant

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

57%

Some Drama

0%48%100%

Blowouts

Expected

21%

Frequent

0%28%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.52 * Strong Carryover: 0.52 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 24.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 24.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 17.5% * Shaky Favorites: 17.5% to 20.5% * Very Shaky: 20.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.53

Highly Predictable

00.562

Matchup Imbalance

0.46

Notable Separation

00.370.430.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.17

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.60

Strong Carryover

00.360.520.691

Upset Rate

Expected

19%

Chalky

0%21%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

14%

Solid Favorites

0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.

Probability calibration

0.34

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.31

Very Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.083

Well Within Noise

00.1300.3

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

First Round

Domagnano 3

Tre Fiori 2

Virtus 2

Murata 1

Second Round

Tre Penne 1

Domagnano 1

Libertas 1

Virtus 0

Third Round

Murata 7

Tre Penne 1

Virtus 2

Tre Fiori 0

Quarterfinals

Domagnano 3

Libertas 0

Murata 1

Virtus 0

Sim: 4.0%

Semifinals

Murata 3

Libertas 2

Sim: 6.0%

Finals

Domagnano 2

Murata 1

Sim: 4.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
Libertas	24.00%	26.00%	21.00%	17.00%	11.00%	1.00%	—	—
Tre Penne	15.00%	18.00%	25.00%	23.00%	12.00%	7.00%	—	—
Domagnano	38.00%	23.00%	22.00%	11.00%	6.00%	—	—	—
Murata	27.00%	29.00%	24.00%	12.00%	6.00%	2.00%	—	—
Virtus	19.00%	21.00%	22.00%	22.00%	14.00%	2.00%	—	—
Pennarossa	43.00%	25.00%	19.00%	9.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—
Tre Fiori	15.00%	24.00%	21.00%	25.00%	11.00%	4.00%	—	—
Faetano	4.00%	5.00%	13.00%	22.00%	42.00%	12.00%	2.00%	—
Juvenes Dogana	15.00%	25.00%	22.00%	26.00%	10.00%	2.00%	—	—
La Fiorita	—	3.00%	8.00%	13.00%	35.00%	38.00%	3.00%	—
Folgore Falciano	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	24.00%	43.00%	29.00%
Cailungo	—	1.00%	3.00%	18.00%	33.00%	40.00%	5.00%	—
Montevito	—	—	—	1.00%	13.00%	50.00%	32.00%	4.00%
Cosmos	—	—	—	—	—	8.00%	92.00%	—
San Giovanni	—	—	—	—	1.00%	9.00%	23.00%	67.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team	Same level
Cailungo	96.00%
Cosmos	100%
Domagnano	—
Faetano	78.00%
Folgore Falciano	100%
Juvenes Dogana	38.00%
La Fiorita	89.00%
Libertas	—
Montevito	100%
Murata	—
Pennarossa	13.00%
San Giovanni	100%
Tre Fiori	—
Tre Penne	—
Virtus	—

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cailungo	Domagnano	Faetano	Juvenes Dogana	La Fiorita	Libertas	Murata	Pennarossa	Tre Fiori	Tre Penne	Virtus
Cailungo		33.3%3.00%		100.0%1.00%		0.0%1.00%
Domagnano	66.7%3.00%				50.0%2.00%		90.9%11.00%	50.0%12.00%	57.1%7.00%	22.2%9.00%
Faetano							0.0%4.00%	100.0%1.00%	50.0%2.00%	50.0%6.00%
Juvenes Dogana	0.0%1.00%				0.0%1.00%		15.0%20.00%	50.0%10.00%	69.2%13.00%	11.1%9.00%
La Fiorita		50.0%2.00%		100.0%1.00%		0.0%1.00%					50.0%2.00%
Libertas	100.0%1.00%				100.0%1.00%		75.0%12.00%	28.6%7.00%	56.2%16.00%	58.3%12.00%
Murata		9.1%11.00%	100.0%4.00%	85.0%20.00%		25.0%12.00%					57.1%7.00%
Pennarossa		50.0%12.00%	0.0%1.00%	50.0%10.00%		71.4%7.00%					63.6%11.00%
Tre Fiori		42.9%7.00%	50.0%2.00%	30.8%13.00%		43.8%16.00%					50.0%6.00%
Tre Penne		77.8%9.00%	50.0%6.00%	88.9%9.00%		41.7%12.00%					64.3%14.00%
Virtus					50.0%2.00%		42.9%7.00%	36.4%11.00%	50.0%6.00%	35.7%14.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cailungo	Domagnano	Faetano	Juvenes Dogana	La Fiorita	Libertas	Murata	Pennarossa	Tre Fiori	Tre Penne	Virtus
Cailungo		0.0%1.00%				0.0%1.00%
Domagnano	100.0%1.00%		100.0%1.00%	66.7%6.00%		66.7%3.00%	41.7%12.00%	40.0%15.00%	20.0%5.00%	57.1%7.00%	85.7%7.00%
Faetano		0.0%1.00%				50.0%4.00%	50.0%2.00%	0.0%3.00%	50.0%2.00%		0.0%1.00%
Juvenes Dogana		33.3%6.00%				30.0%10.00%	100.0%1.00%	0.0%3.00%		0.0%1.00%	66.7%6.00%
La Fiorita						0.0%1.00%	0.0%1.00%		0.0%1.00%		100.0%1.00%
Libertas	100.0%1.00%	33.3%3.00%	50.0%4.00%	70.0%10.00%	100.0%1.00%		40.0%10.00%	75.0%8.00%	40.0%5.00%	22.2%9.00%	87.5%8.00%
Murata		58.3%12.00%	50.0%2.00%	0.0%1.00%	100.0%1.00%	60.0%10.00%		45.5%11.00%	60.0%5.00%	57.1%7.00%	25.0%4.00%
Pennarossa		60.0%15.00%	100.0%3.00%	100.0%3.00%		25.0%8.00%	54.5%11.00%		62.5%8.00%	60.0%15.00%	60.0%5.00%
Tre Fiori		80.0%5.00%	50.0%2.00%		100.0%1.00%	60.0%5.00%	40.0%5.00%	37.5%8.00%		20.0%5.00%	50.0%2.00%
Tre Penne		42.9%7.00%		100.0%1.00%		77.8%9.00%	42.9%7.00%	40.0%15.00%	80.0%5.00%		100.0%3.00%
Virtus		14.3%7.00%	100.0%1.00%	33.3%6.00%	0.0%1.00%	12.5%8.00%	75.0%4.00%	40.0%5.00%	50.0%2.00%	0.0%3.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Domagnano	Faetano	Juvenes Dogana	La Fiorita	Libertas	Murata	Pennarossa	Tre Fiori	Tre Penne	Virtus
Cailungo
Domagnano			50.0%2.00%		55.6%9.00%	80.0%5.00%	71.4%7.00%	50.0%2.00%	100.0%4.00%	100.0%1.00%
Faetano							0.0%1.00%	100.0%1.00%	50.0%2.00%
Juvenes Dogana	50.0%2.00%					0.0%3.00%	25.0%4.00%		100.0%1.00%
La Fiorita						0.0%1.00%
Libertas	44.4%9.00%					75.0%4.00%	27.3%11.00%	100.0%1.00%	50.0%4.00%	75.0%4.00%
Murata	20.0%5.00%		100.0%3.00%	100.0%1.00%	25.0%4.00%		83.3%6.00%	66.7%3.00%	75.0%4.00%	100.0%2.00%
Pennarossa	28.6%7.00%	100.0%1.00%	75.0%4.00%		72.7%11.00%	16.7%6.00%		80.0%5.00%	33.3%6.00%
Tre Fiori	50.0%2.00%	0.0%1.00%			0.0%1.00%	33.3%3.00%	20.0%5.00%		33.3%3.00%	100.0%1.00%
Tre Penne	0.0%4.00%	50.0%2.00%	0.0%1.00%		50.0%4.00%	25.0%4.00%	66.7%6.00%	66.7%3.00%		100.0%3.00%
Virtus	0.0%1.00%				25.0%4.00%	0.0%2.00%		0.0%1.00%	0.0%3.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team	Quarterfinals	Semifinals	Finals
Domagnano	78.65%	45.02%	25.82%
Libertas	100%	68.25%	21.70%
Murata	78.09%	40.33%	20.45%
Tre Penne	100%	52.74%	16.52%
Tre Fiori	42.27%	18.78%	8.95%
Virtus	42.83%	16.72%	6.57%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Domagnano	Libertas	Murata	Tre Fiori	Tre Penne	Virtus
Domagnano				65.0%120.92%
Libertas					54.8%241.84%
Murata						64.6%120.92%
Tre Fiori	35.0%120.92%
Tre Penne		45.2%241.84%
Virtus			35.4%120.92%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Domagnano	Libertas	Murata	Tre Fiori	Tre Penne	Virtus
Domagnano		56.4%43.53%			58.3%35.11%
Libertas	43.6%43.53%		50.0%42.87%	57.4%23.31%		63.2%22.82%
Murata		50.0%42.87%			53.7%35.22%
Tre Fiori		42.6%23.31%			46.6%18.96%
Tre Penne	41.7%35.11%		46.3%35.22%	53.4%18.96%		58.4%20.01%
Virtus		36.8%22.82%			41.6%20.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Domagnano	Libertas	Murata	Tre Fiori	Tre Penne	Virtus
Domagnano		54.8%12.67%	54.6%15.96%		60.3%9.99%	64.7%6.40%
Libertas	45.2%12.67%		48.5%9.56%	54.6%5.11%	55.4%10.80%	59.1%4.32%
Murata	45.4%15.96%	51.5%9.56%		55.9%6.42%	56.0%8.38%
Tre Fiori		45.4%5.11%	44.1%6.42%		48.1%4.38%	59.1%2.87%
Tre Penne	39.7%9.99%	44.6%10.80%	44.0%8.38%	51.9%4.38%		56.5%3.14%
Virtus	35.3%6.40%	40.9%4.32%		40.9%2.87%	43.5%3.14%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2004-09-14	Cosmos	L 0-3	42.8	869	707	58.01%	23.18%	18.81%	+0.92	-88.0	0
2004-09-14	@ Tre Fiori	W 3-0	42.8	707	869	18.81%	23.18%	58.01%	-0.92	+88.0	3
2004-09-14	Faetano	W 1-0	36.9	913	800	52.78%	23.56%	23.66%	+0.63	+15.3	3
2004-09-14	@ Virtus	L 0-1	36.9	800	913	23.66%	23.56%	52.78%	-0.63	-15.3	0
2004-09-14	San Giovanni	W 2-0	40.7	696	739	32.03%	23.88%	44.09%	-0.28	+47.5	3
2004-09-14	@ Montevito	L 0-2	40.7	739	696	44.09%	23.88%	32.03%	+0.28	-47.4	0
2004-09-14	Tre Penne	W 3-2	45.9	898	774	54.07%	23.49%	22.45%	+0.70	+13.1	3
2004-09-14	@ Murata	L 2-3	45.9	774	898	22.45%	23.49%	54.07%	-0.70	-13.1	0
2004-09-15	Juvenes Dogana	L 0-1	33.9	676	891	14.61%	22.64%	62.75%	-1.28	-10.1	0
2004-09-15	@ Folgore Falciano	W 1-0	33.9	891	676	62.75%	22.64%	14.61%	+1.28	+10.1	3
2004-09-15	Libertas	L 2-4	50.7	919	853	46.97%	23.81%	29.22%	+0.35	-38.8	0
2004-09-15	@ Domagnano	W 4-2	50.7	853	919	29.22%	23.81%	46.97%	-0.35	+38.8	3
2004-09-15	Pennarossa	L 1-3	41.5	888	946	30.14%	23.83%	46.03%	-0.36	-30.5	0
2004-09-15	@ Cailungo	W 3-1	41.5	946	888	46.03%	23.83%	30.14%	+0.36	+30.5	3
2004-09-18	Cailungo	D 1-1	51.7	795	857	29.59%	23.82%	46.59%	-0.39	+2.1	4
2004-09-18	@ Cosmos	D 1-1	51.7	857	795	46.59%	23.82%	29.59%	+0.39	-2.1	1
2004-09-18	Faetano	D 2-2	56.7	743	785	32.24%	23.88%	43.88%	-0.27	+1.0	4
2004-09-18	@ Montevito	D 2-2	56.7	785	743	43.88%	23.88%	32.24%	+0.27	-1.0	1
2004-09-18	Libertas	L 2-3	43.7	691	892	15.65%	22.80%	61.55%	-1.20	-9.6	0
2004-09-18	@ San Giovanni	W 3-2	43.7	892	691	61.55%	22.80%	15.65%	+1.20	+9.6	6
2004-09-18	Tre Fiori	L 1-3	50.5	976	781	61.06%	22.86%	16.09%	+1.11	-55.2	3
2004-09-18	@ Pennarossa	W 3-1	50.5	781	976	16.09%	22.86%	61.06%	-1.11	+55.1	3
2004-09-18	Virtus	L 1-2	44.7	901	929	34.19%	23.91%	41.90%	-0.19	-19.5	3
2004-09-18	@ Juvenes Dogana	W 2-1	44.7	929	901	41.90%	23.91%	34.19%	+0.19	+19.4	6
2004-09-19	Domagnano	L 0-5	28.8	666	880	14.69%	22.65%	62.66%	-1.27	-44.6	0
2004-09-19	@ Folgore Falciano	W 5-0	28.8	880	666	62.66%	22.65%	14.69%	+1.27	+44.7	3
2004-09-19	Tre Penne	L 0-2	38.9	762	761	38.20%	23.93%	37.87%	-0.02	-42.4	0
2004-09-19	@ La Fiorita	W 2-0	38.9	761	762	37.87%	23.93%	38.20%	+0.02	+42.3	3
2004-09-28	Cosmos	W 5-1	40.2	803	797	38.89%	23.93%	37.18%	+0.01	+65.6	6
2004-09-28	@ Tre Penne	L 1-5	40.2	797	803	37.18%	23.93%	38.89%	-0.01	-65.6	4
2004-09-28	La Fiorita	W 4-2	43.5	836	719	53.22%	23.54%	23.25%	+0.66	+22.1	6
2004-09-28	@ Tre Fiori	L 2-4	43.5	719	836	23.25%	23.54%	53.22%	-0.66	-22.1	0
2004-09-28	Murata	D 0-0	48.0	855	911	30.36%	23.84%	45.80%	-0.36	+2.1	2
2004-09-28	@ Cailungo	D 0-0	48.0	911	855	45.80%	23.84%	30.36%	+0.36	-2.1	4
2004-09-29	Montevito	W 3-0	29.9	948	744	61.85%	22.76%	15.39%	+1.17	+28.9	9
2004-09-29	@ Virtus	L 0-3	29.9	744	948	15.39%	22.76%	61.85%	-1.17	-28.9	4
2004-09-29	Juvenes Dogana	W 3-1	47.7	784	882	25.32%	23.65%	51.02%	-0.60	+46.6	4
2004-09-29	@ Faetano	L 1-3	47.7	882	784	51.02%	23.65%	25.32%	+0.60	-46.6	3
2004-09-29	San Giovanni	W 8-1	30.6	925	682	64.96%	22.30%	12.74%	+1.39	+44.3	6
2004-09-29	@ Domagnano	L 1-8	30.6	682	925	12.74%	22.30%	64.96%	-1.39	-44.3	0
2004-10-01	Tre Fiori	D 2-2	56.7	869	858	39.47%	23.93%	36.60%	+0.03	-0.2	7
2004-10-01	@ Tre Penne	D 2-2	56.7	858	869	36.60%	23.93%	39.47%	-0.03	+0.2	7
2004-10-02	Montevito	D 1-1	52.2	969	715	65.79%	22.15%	12.06%	+1.46	-7.2	7
2004-10-02	@ Domagnano	D 1-1	52.2	715	969	12.06%	22.15%	65.79%	-1.46	+7.2	5
2004-10-02	Folgore Falciano	W 3-1	36.6	830	622	62.25%	22.71%	15.05%	+1.19	+16.9	7
2004-10-02	@ Faetano	L 1-3	36.6	622	830	15.05%	22.71%	62.25%	-1.19	-16.9	0
2004-10-02	La Fiorita	D 2-2	57.1	909	697	62.52%	22.67%	14.81%	+1.21	-4.7	5
2004-10-02	@ Murata	D 2-2	57.1	697	909	14.81%	22.67%	62.52%	-1.21	+4.7	1
2004-10-02	Virtus	L 0-2	28.9	638	977	7.88%	20.87%	71.25%	-2.01	-10.5	0
2004-10-02	@ San Giovanni	W 2-0	28.9	977	638	71.25%	20.87%	7.88%	+2.01	+10.5	12
2004-10-03	Cosmos	W 7-0	30.4	921	731	60.58%	22.91%	16.50%	+1.08	+68.2	6
2004-10-03	@ Pennarossa	L 0-7	30.4	731	921	16.50%	22.91%	60.58%	-1.08	-68.2	4
2004-10-03	Libertas	W 2-1	48.6	835	902	29.06%	23.80%	47.13%	-0.41	+25.1	6
2004-10-03	@ Juvenes Dogana	L 1-2	48.6	902	835	47.13%	23.80%	29.06%	+0.41	-25.1	6
2004-10-06	Folgore Falciano	W 1-0	32.6	877	605	67.07%	21.90%	11.03%	+1.56	+7.7	9
2004-10-06	@ Libertas	L 0-1	32.6	605	877	11.03%	21.90%	67.07%	-1.56	-7.7	0
2004-10-08	Domagnano	D 0-0	48.1	860	962	24.95%	23.64%	51.42%	-0.62	+3.7	7
2004-10-08	@ Juvenes Dogana	D 0-0	48.1	962	860	51.42%	23.64%	24.95%	+0.62	-3.7	8
2004-10-09	Cailungo	W 4-1	41.5	868	857	39.61%	23.93%	36.46%	+0.04	+50.1	10
2004-10-09	@ Tre Penne	L 1-4	41.5	857	868	36.46%	23.93%	39.61%	-0.04	-50.0	2
2004-10-09	Montevito	W 2-1	39.9	884	722	57.98%	23.18%	18.83%	+0.92	+11.9	12
2004-10-09	@ Libertas	L 1-2	39.9	722	884	18.83%	23.18%	57.98%	-0.92	-11.9	5
2004-10-09	Folgore Falciano	W 2-1	35.1	987	597	73.91%	19.99%	6.10%	+2.25	+4.0	15
2004-10-09	@ Virtus	L 1-2	35.1	597	987	6.10%	19.99%	73.91%	-2.25	-4.0	0
2004-10-09	Pennarossa	D 1-1	52.4	702	989	10.22%	21.68%	68.10%	-1.70	+7.8	2
2004-10-09	@ La Fiorita	D 1-1	52.4	989	702	68.10%	21.68%	10.22%	+1.70	-7.8	7
2004-10-10	Murata	D 2-2	56.7	859	905	31.69%	23.87%	44.44%	-0.29	+1.1	8
2004-10-10	@ Tre Fiori	D 2-2	56.7	905	859	44.44%	23.87%	31.69%	+0.29	-1.1	6
2004-10-10	San Giovanni	W 5-2	37.7	847	627	63.19%	22.58%	14.23%	+1.26	+19.7	10
2004-10-10	@ Faetano	L 2-5	37.7	627	847	14.23%	22.58%	63.19%	-1.26	-19.7	0
2004-10-15	Folgore Falciano	D 1-1	51.8	710	593	53.26%	23.54%	23.20%	+0.66	-3.8	6
2004-10-15	@ Montevito	D 1-1	51.8	593	710	23.20%	23.54%	53.26%	-0.66	+3.8	1
2004-10-16	Cailungo	W 4-1	45.7	710	807	25.40%	23.66%	50.94%	-0.59	+65.8	5
2004-10-16	@ La Fiorita	L 1-4	45.7	807	710	50.94%	23.66%	25.40%	+0.59	-65.8	2
2004-10-16	Domagnano	W 2-1	49.5	867	958	26.12%	23.69%	50.19%	-0.56	+26.5	13
2004-10-16	@ Faetano	L 1-2	49.5	958	867	50.19%	23.69%	26.12%	+0.56	-26.5	8
2004-10-16	Juvenes Dogana	L 1-8	30.3	607	864	11.90%	22.12%	65.99%	-1.52	-41.5	0
2004-10-16	@ San Giovanni	W 8-1	30.3	864	607	65.99%	22.12%	11.90%	+1.52	+41.5	10
2004-10-16	Murata	L 1-2	37.9	663	904	12.89%	22.33%	64.79%	-1.43	-8.5	4
2004-10-16	@ Cosmos	W 2-1	37.9	904	663	64.79%	22.33%	12.89%	+1.43	+8.5	9
2004-10-17	Tre Penne	L 1-2	48.5	981	918	46.69%	23.82%	29.50%	+0.34	-24.9	7
2004-10-17	@ Pennarossa	W 2-1	48.5	918	981	29.50%	23.82%	46.69%	-0.34	+24.9	13
2004-10-17	Virtus	D 2-2	56.8	896	991	25.64%	23.67%	50.69%	-0.58	+2.3	13
2004-10-17	@ Libertas	D 2-2	56.8	991	896	50.69%	23.67%	25.64%	+0.58	-2.3	16
2004-10-22	Faetano	W 2-0	38.7	899	893	38.77%	23.93%	37.30%	+0.00	+41.6	16
2004-10-22	@ Libertas	L 0-2	38.7	893	899	37.30%	23.93%	38.77%	+0.00	-41.6	13
2004-10-23	Juvenes Dogana	L 1-4	34.9	707	905	15.78%	22.82%	61.40%	-1.19	-25.0	6
2004-10-23	@ Montevito	W 4-1	34.9	905	707	61.40%	22.82%	15.78%	+1.19	+25.0	13
2004-10-23	La Fiorita	L 0-2	34.2	655	776	22.83%	23.51%	53.66%	-0.73	-28.1	4
2004-10-23	@ Cosmos	W 2-0	34.2	776	655	53.66%	23.51%	22.83%	+0.73	+28.1	8
2004-10-23	Pennarossa	D 3-3	60.9	912	957	31.89%	23.87%	44.24%	-0.29	+0.9	10
2004-10-23	@ Murata	D 3-3	60.9	957	912	44.24%	23.87%	31.89%	+0.29	-0.9	8
2004-10-24	Folgore Falciano	L 1-2	44.6	566	597	33.72%	23.90%	42.38%	-0.21	-19.2	0
2004-10-24	@ San Giovanni	W 2-1	44.6	597	566	42.38%	23.90%	33.72%	+0.21	+19.2	4
2004-10-24	Tre Fiori	D 1-1	51.8	741	860	23.09%	23.53%	53.38%	-0.72	+3.8	3
2004-10-24	@ Cailungo	D 1-1	51.8	860	741	53.38%	23.53%	23.09%	+0.72	-3.8	9
2004-10-26	Cosmos	W 5-3	41.1	931	627	69.22%	21.42%	9.36%	+1.75	+9.1	11
2004-10-26	@ Domagnano	L 3-5	41.1	627	931	9.36%	21.42%	69.22%	-1.75	-9.1	4
2004-10-26	La Fiorita	W 1-0	36.1	940	804	55.35%	23.40%	21.25%	+0.77	+14.0	19
2004-10-26	@ Libertas	L 0-1	36.1	804	940	21.25%	23.40%	55.35%	-0.77	-14.0	8
2004-10-26	Tre Penne	L 0-1	43.2	989	943	44.44%	23.87%	31.69%	+0.24	-25.3	16
2004-10-26	@ Virtus	W 1-0	43.2	943	989	31.69%	23.87%	44.44%	-0.24	+25.3	16
2004-10-27	Faetano	L 0-1	37.1	745	852	24.36%	23.60%	52.04%	-0.65	-15.7	3
2004-10-27	@ Cailungo	W 1-0	37.1	852	745	52.04%	23.60%	24.36%	+0.65	+15.7	16
2004-10-27	Murata	W 2-1	54.4	616	913	9.73%	21.54%	68.73%	-1.76	+35.7	7
2004-10-27	@ Folgore Falciano	L 1-2	54.4	913	616	68.73%	21.54%	9.73%	+1.76	-35.7	10
2004-10-30	Cosmos	W 3-0	35.6	652	618	42.84%	23.90%	33.27%	+0.17	+55.3	10
2004-10-30	@ Folgore Falciano	L 0-3	35.6	618	652	33.27%	23.90%	42.84%	-0.17	-55.3	4
2004-10-30	Domagnano	W 2-0	42.2	856	941	26.88%	23.73%	49.39%	-0.52	+52.3	12
2004-10-30	@ Tre Fiori	L 0-2	42.2	941	856	49.39%	23.73%	26.88%	+0.52	-52.3	11
2004-10-30	Faetano	D 1-1	51.8	969	868	51.37%	23.64%	24.99%	+0.56	-3.3	17
2004-10-30	@ Tre Penne	D 1-1	51.8	868	969	24.99%	23.64%	51.37%	-0.56	+3.3	17
2004-10-30	San Giovanni	W 5-1	33.9	729	547	59.95%	22.99%	17.06%	+1.04	+34.5	6
2004-10-30	@ Cailungo	L 1-5	33.9	547	729	17.06%	22.99%	59.95%	-1.04	-34.5	0
2004-10-31	Montevito	W 2-1	41.6	790	682	52.20%	23.60%	24.20%	+0.60	+14.7	11
2004-10-31	@ La Fiorita	L 1-2	41.6	682	790	24.20%	23.60%	52.20%	-0.60	-14.7	6
2004-10-31	Pennarossa	L 1-2	46.2	964	956	39.22%	23.93%	36.85%	+0.02	-21.6	16
2004-10-31	@ Virtus	W 2-1	46.2	956	964	36.85%	23.93%	39.22%	-0.02	+21.6	11
2004-11-01	Murata	L 1-3	46.1	930	877	45.40%	23.85%	30.75%	+0.28	-42.1	13
2004-11-01	@ Juvenes Dogana	W 3-1	46.1	877	930	30.75%	23.85%	45.40%	-0.28	+42.1	13
2004-11-04	Cailungo	W 3-1	39.1	888	764	54.03%	23.49%	22.48%	+0.70	+24.0	14
2004-11-04	@ Domagnano	L 1-3	39.1	764	888	22.48%	23.49%	54.03%	-0.70	-24.0	6
2004-11-04	Juvenes Dogana	L 0-1	44.4	965	888	48.45%	23.76%	27.79%	+0.42	-27.3	17
2004-11-04	@ Tre Penne	W 1-0	44.4	888	965	27.79%	23.76%	48.45%	-0.42	+27.3	16
2004-11-04	Libertas	L 2-3	51.7	977	954	41.30%	23.92%	34.79%	+0.11	-21.4	11
2004-11-04	@ Pennarossa	W 3-2	51.7	954	977	34.79%	23.92%	41.30%	-0.11	+21.3	22
2004-11-05	Montevito	L 1-3	39.8	562	667	24.58%	23.62%	51.80%	-0.64	-25.9	4
2004-11-05	@ Cosmos	W 3-1	39.8	667	562	51.80%	23.62%	24.58%	+0.64	+25.9	9
2004-11-05	Folgore Falciano	W 5-0	29.1	908	707	61.61%	22.79%	15.60%	+1.15	+47.1	15
2004-11-05	@ Tre Fiori	L 0-5	29.1	707	908	15.60%	22.79%	61.61%	-1.15	-47.1	10
2004-11-05	La Fiorita	L 0-4	27.1	512	804	9.96%	21.61%	68.43%	-1.73	-25.1	0
2004-11-05	@ San Giovanni	W 4-0	27.1	804	512	68.43%	21.61%	9.96%	+1.73	+25.1	14
2004-11-05	Virtus	W 1-0	42.3	919	942	34.79%	23.92%	41.29%	-0.16	+23.9	16
2004-11-05	@ Murata	L 0-1	42.3	942	919	41.29%	23.92%	34.79%	+0.16	-23.9	16
2004-11-19	Murata	W 1-0	40.0	976	943	42.59%	23.90%	33.51%	+0.16	+20.3	25
2004-11-19	@ Libertas	L 0-1	40.0	943	976	33.51%	23.90%	42.59%	-0.16	-20.3	16
2004-11-20	Cailungo	L 1-2	43.9	693	740	31.53%	23.87%	44.61%	-0.30	-18.2	9
2004-11-20	@ Montevito	W 2-1	43.9	740	693	44.61%	23.87%	31.53%	+0.30	+18.2	9
2004-11-20	Domagnano	L 0-1	38.0	830	912	27.09%	23.73%	49.17%	-0.51	-17.2	14
2004-11-20	@ La Fiorita	W 1-0	38.0	912	830	49.17%	23.73%	27.09%	+0.51	+17.2	17
2004-11-20	Folgore Falciano	D 2-2	57.4	956	660	68.67%	21.55%	9.78%	+1.70	-6.0	12
2004-11-20	@ Pennarossa	D 2-2	57.4	660	956	9.78%	21.55%	68.67%	-1.70	+6.0	11
2004-11-20	San Giovanni	W 2-1	34.3	938	487	76.63%	18.87%	4.50%	+2.61	+2.9	20
2004-11-20	@ Tre Penne	L 1-2	34.3	487	938	4.50%	18.87%	76.63%	-2.61	-2.9	0
2004-11-21	Faetano	L 1-10	28.7	536	871	8.07%	20.95%	70.98%	-1.98	-36.0	4
2004-11-21	@ Cosmos	W 10-1	28.7	871	536	70.98%	20.95%	8.07%	+1.98	+36.0	20
2004-11-21	Tre Fiori	W 1-0	43.0	916	955	32.50%	23.89%	43.61%	-0.26	+24.9	19
2004-11-21	@ Juvenes Dogana	L 0-1	43.0	955	916	43.61%	23.89%	32.50%	+0.26	-24.9	15
2004-11-24	Domagnano	L 0-2	38.4	918	929	36.46%	23.93%	39.61%	-0.09	-40.9	16
2004-11-24	@ Virtus	W 2-0	38.4	929	918	39.61%	23.93%	36.46%	+0.09	+40.9	20
2004-11-24	Pennarossa	L 1-2	37.1	674	950	10.84%	21.85%	67.31%	-1.63	-7.2	9
2004-11-24	@ Montevito	W 2-1	37.1	950	674	67.31%	21.85%	10.84%	+1.63	+7.2	15
2004-11-24	Tre Fiori	L 3-4	42.5	484	931	4.61%	18.96%	76.44%	-2.63	-2.8	0
2004-11-24	@ San Giovanni	W 4-3	42.5	931	484	76.44%	18.96%	4.61%	+2.63	+2.8	18
2004-11-26	La Fiorita	D 1-1	51.8	907	812	50.60%	23.67%	25.73%	+0.53	-3.1	21
2004-11-26	@ Faetano	D 1-1	51.8	812	907	25.73%	23.67%	50.60%	-0.53	+3.1	15
2004-11-27	Juvenes Dogana	L 0-3	25.6	500	941	4.75%	19.08%	76.17%	-2.60	-9.0	4
2004-11-27	@ Cosmos	W 3-0	25.6	941	500	76.17%	19.08%	4.75%	+2.60	+9.0	22
2004-11-27	San Giovanni	W 3-0	25.6	923	481	76.23%	19.05%	4.72%	+2.55	+8.9	19
2004-11-27	@ Murata	L 0-3	25.6	481	923	4.72%	19.05%	76.23%	-2.55	-8.9	0
2004-11-27	Tre Penne	L 0-2	30.1	667	941	10.93%	21.88%	67.19%	-1.62	-14.5	9
2004-11-27	@ Montevito	W 2-0	30.1	941	667	67.19%	21.88%	10.93%	+1.62	+14.5	23
2004-11-28	Libertas	L 1-2	43.3	933	996	29.57%	23.82%	46.62%	-0.39	-17.3	18
2004-11-28	@ Tre Fiori	W 2-1	43.3	996	933	46.62%	23.82%	29.57%	+0.39	+17.3	28
2004-11-28	Virtus	L 1-2	41.3	758	878	23.00%	23.52%	53.48%	-0.72	-14.1	9
2004-11-28	@ Cailungo	W 2-1	41.3	878	758	53.48%	23.52%	23.00%	+0.72	+14.1	19
2004-11-30	Domagnano	D 1-1	51.7	957	970	36.15%	23.93%	39.93%	-0.10	+0.4	16
2004-11-30	@ Pennarossa	D 1-1	51.7	970	957	39.93%	23.93%	36.15%	+0.10	-0.4	21
2004-12-10	Libertas	L 0-6	24.2	491	1013	3.15%	17.48%	79.37%	-3.07	-11.1	4
2004-12-10	@ Cosmos	W 6-0	24.2	1013	491	79.37%	17.48%	3.15%	+3.07	+11.1	31
2004-12-11	Montevito	W 3-1	35.4	916	653	66.46%	22.03%	11.52%	+1.51	+13.2	21
2004-12-11	@ Tre Fiori	L 1-3	35.4	653	916	11.52%	22.03%	66.46%	-1.51	-13.2	9
2004-12-11	Pennarossa	D 1-1	51.7	950	958	36.90%	23.93%	39.17%	-0.07	+0.3	23
2004-12-11	@ Juvenes Dogana	D 1-1	51.7	958	950	39.17%	23.93%	36.90%	+0.07	-0.3	17
2004-12-11	Tre Penne	W 2-1	45.3	970	955	40.10%	23.93%	35.98%	+0.06	+20.2	24
2004-12-11	@ Domagnano	L 1-2	45.3	955	970	35.98%	23.93%	40.10%	-0.06	-20.2	23
2004-12-11	Virtus	W 2-1	48.9	815	892	27.88%	23.76%	48.36%	-0.47	+25.7	18
2004-12-11	@ La Fiorita	L 1-2	48.9	892	815	48.36%	23.76%	27.88%	+0.47	-25.6	19
2004-12-12	Cailungo	L 2-3	47.6	666	744	27.62%	23.75%	48.62%	-0.48	-15.6	11
2004-12-12	@ Folgore Falciano	W 3-2	47.6	744	666	48.62%	23.75%	27.62%	+0.48	+15.6	12
2004-12-12	Murata	D 2-2	56.7	904	932	34.10%	23.91%	41.99%	-0.19	+0.7	22
2004-12-12	@ Faetano	D 2-2	56.7	932	904	41.99%	23.91%	34.10%	+0.19	-0.7	20
2004-12-18	Montevito	W 2-1	36.8	931	640	68.37%	21.62%	10.01%	+1.68	+6.6	23
2004-12-18	@ Murata	L 1-2	36.8	640	931	10.01%	21.62%	68.37%	-1.68	-6.6	9
2004-12-18	Pennarossa	L 1-2	43.7	905	957	30.81%	23.85%	45.34%	-0.33	-17.9	22
2004-12-18	@ Faetano	W 2-1	43.7	957	905	45.34%	23.85%	30.81%	+0.33	+17.9	20
2004-12-18	Tre Fiori	D 1-1	51.7	866	929	29.49%	23.82%	46.69%	-0.40	+2.1	20
2004-12-18	@ Virtus	D 1-1	51.7	929	866	46.69%	23.82%	29.49%	+0.40	-2.1	22
2004-12-18	Tre Penne	L 1-3	34.9	650	935	10.33%	21.72%	67.95%	-1.69	-11.9	11
2004-12-18	@ Folgore Falciano	W 3-1	34.9	935	650	67.95%	21.72%	10.33%	+1.69	+11.9	26
2004-12-19	Cosmos	W 2-0	39.2	472	480	36.91%	23.93%	39.16%	-0.07	+43.2	3
2004-12-19	@ San Giovanni	L 0-2	39.2	480	472	39.16%	23.93%	36.91%	+0.07	-43.2	4
2004-12-19	La Fiorita	D 0-0	48.1	950	841	52.27%	23.59%	24.14%	+0.61	-3.9	24
2004-12-19	@ Juvenes Dogana	D 0-0	48.1	841	950	24.14%	23.59%	52.27%	-0.61	+3.9	19
2005-02-15	Libertas	L 0-1	32.8	760	1024	11.43%	22.01%	66.56%	-1.57	-8.0	12
2005-02-15	@ Cailungo	W 1-0	32.8	1024	760	66.56%	22.01%	11.43%	+1.57	+8.0	34
2005-02-19	Folgore Falciano	W 2-1	38.7	845	638	62.07%	22.73%	15.20%	+1.18	+9.9	22
2005-02-19	@ La Fiorita	L 1-2	38.7	638	845	15.20%	22.73%	62.07%	-1.18	-9.8	11
2005-02-19	Juvenes Dogana	L 1-6	32.6	752	946	16.15%	22.87%	60.99%	-1.16	-40.3	12
2005-02-19	@ Cailungo	W 6-1	32.6	946	752	60.99%	22.87%	16.15%	+1.16	+40.3	27
2005-02-19	Pennarossa	L 0-2	27.2	516	975	4.31%	18.70%	76.99%	-2.71	-5.6	3
2005-02-19	@ San Giovanni	W 2-0	27.2	975	516	76.99%	18.70%	4.31%	+2.71	+5.6	23
2005-02-19	Tre Fiori	L 0-3	35.4	887	927	32.42%	23.88%	43.70%	-0.26	-54.2	22
2005-02-19	@ Faetano	W 3-0	35.4	927	887	43.70%	23.88%	32.42%	+0.26	+54.2	25
2005-03-09	Domagnano	D 2-2	56.7	938	990	30.86%	23.85%	45.28%	-0.33	+1.3	24
2005-03-09	@ Murata	D 2-2	56.7	990	938	45.28%	23.85%	30.86%	+0.33	-1.3	25
2005-03-09	Libertas	W 2-1	49.3	947	1032	26.80%	23.72%	49.48%	-0.52	+26.2	29
2005-03-09	@ Tre Penne	L 1-2	49.3	1032	947	49.48%	23.72%	26.80%	+0.52	-26.2	34
2005-03-09	Virtus	L 1-7	27.6	437	868	4.98%	19.25%	75.77%	-2.54	-14.9	4
2005-03-09	@ Cosmos	W 7-1	27.6	868	437	75.77%	19.25%	4.98%	+2.54	+14.9	23
2005-03-11	Tre Fiori	L 0-1	36.5	855	981	22.27%	23.47%	54.26%	-0.76	-14.6	22
2005-03-11	@ La Fiorita	W 1-0	36.5	981	855	54.26%	23.47%	22.27%	+0.76	+14.6	28
2005-03-12	Domagnano	L 1-3	32.0	510	989	3.91%	18.33%	77.76%	-2.82	-4.4	3
2005-03-12	@ San Giovanni	W 3-1	32.0	989	510	77.76%	18.33%	3.91%	+2.82	+4.4	28
2005-03-12	Faetano	D 0-0	48.2	986	832	57.15%	23.26%	19.59%	+0.87	-5.4	28
2005-03-12	@ Juvenes Dogana	D 0-0	48.2	832	986	19.59%	23.26%	57.15%	-0.87	+5.4	23
2005-03-12	Tre Penne	L 0-3	24.4	422	973	2.72%	16.89%	80.39%	-3.24	-4.9	4
2005-03-12	@ Cosmos	W 3-0	24.4	973	422	80.39%	16.89%	2.72%	+3.24	+4.9	32
2005-03-12	Virtus	W 2-0	46.6	633	883	12.29%	22.20%	65.51%	-1.49	+68.2	12
2005-03-12	@ Montevito	L 0-2	46.6	883	633	65.51%	22.20%	12.29%	+1.49	-68.2	23
2005-03-13	Cailungo	W 3-1	36.2	939	711	63.80%	22.49%	13.72%	+1.30	+15.5	27
2005-03-13	@ Murata	L 1-3	36.2	711	939	13.72%	22.49%	63.80%	-1.30	-15.5	12
2005-03-13	Libertas	L 0-3	26.5	628	1006	6.51%	20.22%	73.27%	-2.23	-12.5	11
2005-03-13	@ Folgore Falciano	W 3-0	26.5	1006	628	73.27%	20.22%	6.51%	+2.23	+12.5	37
2005-03-15	Domagnano	L 0-3	28.0	701	993	9.98%	21.61%	68.40%	-1.73	-19.2	12
2005-03-15	@ Montevito	W 3-0	28.0	993	701	68.40%	21.61%	9.98%	+1.73	+19.2	31
2005-03-15	Pennarossa	L 1-2	33.1	417	981	2.55%	16.64%	80.81%	-3.32	-1.6	4
2005-03-15	@ Cosmos	W 2-1	33.1	981	417	80.81%	16.64%	2.55%	+3.32	+1.6	26
2005-03-15	San Giovanni	W 4-0	26.8	815	506	69.49%	21.35%	9.16%	+1.78	+23.1	26
2005-03-15	@ Virtus	L 0-4	26.8	506	815	9.16%	21.35%	69.49%	-1.78	-23.1	3
2005-03-16	Faetano	D 1-1	52.1	616	838	14.12%	22.56%	63.33%	-1.32	+6.5	12
2005-03-16	@ Folgore Falciano	D 1-1	52.1	838	616	63.33%	22.56%	14.12%	+1.32	-6.5	24
2005-03-16	Juvenes Dogana	W 1-0	39.8	1019	981	43.34%	23.89%	32.77%	+0.19	+19.9	40
2005-03-16	@ Libertas	L 0-1	39.8	981	1019	32.77%	23.89%	43.34%	-0.19	-20.0	28
2005-03-16	Murata	L 0-4	31.8	840	955	23.53%	23.56%	52.91%	-0.69	-54.7	22
2005-03-16	@ La Fiorita	W 4-0	31.8	955	840	52.91%	23.56%	23.53%	+0.69	+54.6	30
2005-03-16	Tre Penne	L 0-1	42.1	996	978	40.55%	23.92%	35.53%	+0.08	-23.5	28
2005-03-16	@ Tre Fiori	W 1-0	42.1	978	996	35.53%	23.92%	40.55%	-0.08	+23.5	35
2005-03-19	Juvenes Dogana	W 5-1	38.3	1012	961	45.18%	23.85%	30.96%	+0.27	+56.9	34
2005-03-19	@ Domagnano	L 1-5	38.3	961	1012	30.96%	23.85%	45.18%	-0.27	-56.9	28
2005-03-19	Libertas	L 1-5	30.2	682	1039	7.23%	20.58%	72.19%	-2.11	-15.2	12
2005-03-19	@ Montevito	W 5-1	30.2	1039	682	72.19%	20.58%	7.23%	+2.11	+15.2	43
2005-03-19	Tre Fiori	W 1-0	39.8	1009	972	43.21%	23.89%	32.90%	+0.19	+20.0	33
2005-03-19	@ Murata	L 0-1	39.8	972	1009	32.90%	23.89%	43.21%	-0.19	-20.0	28
2005-03-19	Tre Penne	L 2-4	38.7	696	1002	9.31%	21.41%	69.28%	-1.81	-9.6	12
2005-03-19	@ Cailungo	W 4-2	38.7	1002	696	69.28%	21.41%	9.31%	+1.81	+9.6	38
2005-03-19	Virtus	L 1-2	38.5	622	838	14.57%	22.63%	62.80%	-1.28	-9.5	12
2005-03-19	@ Folgore Falciano	W 2-1	38.5	838	622	62.80%	22.63%	14.57%	+1.28	+9.5	29
2005-03-20	Faetano	L 0-4	26.1	482	831	7.52%	20.71%	71.77%	-2.06	-19.0	3
2005-03-20	@ San Giovanni	W 4-0	26.1	831	482	71.77%	20.71%	7.52%	+2.06	+19.0	27
2005-03-20	La Fiorita	D 1-1	52.0	982	786	61.20%	22.84%	15.95%	+1.12	-5.9	27
2005-03-20	@ Pennarossa	D 1-1	52.0	786	982	15.95%	22.84%	61.20%	-1.12	+5.9	23
2005-03-23	Cosmos	W 2-0	25.6	1029	416	82.40%	15.62%	1.98%	+3.56	+2.4	36
2005-03-23	@ Murata	L 0-2	25.6	416	1029	1.98%	15.62%	82.40%	-3.56	-2.4	4
2005-03-23	Faetano	W 1-0	33.8	1069	850	63.11%	22.59%	14.30%	+1.25	+9.9	37
2005-03-23	@ Domagnano	L 0-1	33.8	850	1069	14.30%	22.59%	63.11%	-1.25	-9.9	27
2005-03-23	Libertas	D 2-2	57.1	847	1054	15.22%	22.73%	62.05%	-1.23	+4.6	30
2005-03-23	@ Virtus	D 2-2	57.1	1054	847	62.05%	22.73%	15.22%	+1.23	-4.6	44
2005-03-24	Montevito	D 2-2	56.7	613	667	30.68%	23.85%	45.48%	-0.34	+1.3	13
2005-03-24	@ Folgore Falciano	D 2-2	56.7	667	613	45.48%	23.85%	30.68%	+0.34	-1.3	13
2005-03-24	La Fiorita	D 0-0	48.1	686	792	24.51%	23.61%	51.88%	-0.64	+3.8	13
2005-03-24	@ Cailungo	D 0-0	48.1	792	686	51.88%	23.61%	24.51%	+0.64	-3.8	24
2005-03-24	Pennarossa	L 0-3	38.5	1011	976	42.93%	23.90%	33.17%	+0.18	-67.4	38
2005-03-24	@ Tre Penne	W 3-0	38.5	976	1011	33.17%	23.90%	42.93%	-0.18	+67.4	30
2005-03-24	San Giovanni	W 3-1	32.4	904	464	76.18%	19.07%	4.75%	+2.55	+5.4	31
2005-03-24	@ Juvenes Dogana	L 1-3	32.4	464	904	4.75%	19.07%	76.18%	-2.55	-5.4	3
2005-04-02	Cailungo	D 1-1	52.7	1044	690	72.04%	20.63%	7.33%	+2.04	-8.9	31
2005-04-02	@ Pennarossa	D 1-1	52.7	690	1044	7.33%	20.63%	72.04%	-2.04	+8.9	14
2005-04-02	Domagnano	D 1-1	51.7	1049	1079	33.82%	23.91%	42.27%	-0.20	+1.0	45
2005-04-02	@ Libertas	D 1-1	51.7	1079	1049	42.27%	23.91%	33.82%	+0.20	-1.0	38
2005-04-02	Folgore Falciano	D 0-0	48.7	909	614	68.60%	21.57%	9.83%	+1.70	-8.9	32
2005-04-02	@ Juvenes Dogana	D 0-0	48.7	614	909	9.83%	21.57%	68.60%	-1.70	+8.9	14
2005-04-02	Murata	W 2-1	49.4	944	1032	26.50%	23.71%	49.79%	-0.54	+26.3	41
2005-04-02	@ Tre Penne	L 1-2	49.4	1032	944	49.79%	23.71%	26.50%	+0.54	-26.3	36
2005-04-02	Virtus	L 0-2	38.4	840	852	36.38%	23.93%	39.70%	-0.09	-40.8	27
2005-04-02	@ Faetano	W 2-0	38.4	852	840	39.70%	23.93%	36.38%	+0.09	+40.8	33
2005-04-06	Montevito	D 0-0	48.4	458	666	15.15%	22.72%	62.13%	-1.24	+6.9	4
2005-04-06	@ San Giovanni	D 0-0	48.4	666	458	62.13%	22.72%	15.15%	+1.24	-6.9	14
2005-04-06	Tre Fiori	L 0-2	26.3	413	952	2.89%	17.13%	79.98%	-3.17	-3.6	4
2005-04-06	@ Cosmos	W 2-0	26.3	952	413	79.98%	17.13%	2.89%	+3.17	+3.6	31
2005-04-08	Folgore Falciano	D 2-2	58.2	1078	623	76.79%	18.79%	4.41%	+2.63	-7.4	39
2005-04-08	@ Domagnano	D 2-2	58.2	623	1078	4.41%	18.79%	76.79%	-2.63	+7.4	15
2005-04-09	Cosmos	W 4-1	32.9	699	410	68.24%	21.65%	10.11%	+1.66	+16.4	17
2005-04-09	@ Cailungo	L 1-4	32.9	410	699	10.11%	21.65%	68.24%	-1.66	-16.4	4
2005-04-09	Montevito	W 2-0	33.6	800	659	55.83%	23.36%	20.81%	+0.80	+26.0	30
2005-04-09	@ Faetano	L 0-2	33.6	659	800	20.81%	23.36%	55.83%	-0.80	-26.0	14
2005-04-09	Pennarossa	L 1-2	42.7	956	1035	27.54%	23.75%	48.71%	-0.49	-16.4	31
2005-04-09	@ Tre Fiori	W 2-1	42.7	1035	956	48.71%	23.75%	27.54%	+0.49	+16.4	34
2005-04-09	San Giovanni	W 1-0	28.3	1050	465	81.51%	16.20%	2.29%	+3.39	+1.5	48
2005-04-09	@ Libertas	L 0-1	28.3	465	1050	2.29%	16.20%	81.51%	-3.39	-1.5	4
2005-04-10	Juvenes Dogana	W 1-0	41.7	893	900	36.94%	23.93%	39.13%	-0.07	+22.9	36
2005-04-10	@ Virtus	L 0-1	41.7	900	893	39.13%	23.93%	36.94%	+0.07	-22.9	32
2005-04-10	La Fiorita	W 4-2	41.5	970	788	59.92%	22.99%	17.09%	+1.04	+17.0	44
2005-04-10	@ Tre Penne	L 2-4	41.5	788	970	17.09%	22.99%	59.92%	-1.04	-16.9	24
2005-04-14	Montevito	D 1-1	52.2	878	633	65.13%	22.27%	12.60%	+1.40	-7.0	33
2005-04-14	@ Juvenes Dogana	D 1-1	52.2	633	878	12.60%	22.27%	65.13%	-1.40	+7.0	15
2005-04-14	Libertas	W 4-3	61.3	826	1052	13.82%	22.50%	63.68%	-1.35	+30.7	33
2005-04-14	@ Faetano	L 3-4	61.3	1052	826	63.68%	22.50%	13.82%	+1.35	-30.7	48
2005-04-14	San Giovanni	W 4-0	30.1	631	464	58.47%	23.14%	18.39%	+0.95	+44.3	18
2005-04-14	@ Folgore Falciano	L 0-4	30.1	464	631	18.39%	23.14%	58.47%	-0.95	-44.3	4
2005-04-14	Virtus	D 2-2	56.9	1071	916	57.29%	23.25%	19.47%	+0.88	-3.6	40
2005-04-14	@ Domagnano	D 2-2	56.9	916	1071	19.47%	23.25%	57.29%	-0.88	+3.6	37
2005-04-15	Cailungo	W 3-1	36.2	940	715	63.52%	22.53%	13.96%	+1.28	+15.8	34
2005-04-15	@ Tre Fiori	L 1-3	36.2	715	940	13.96%	22.53%	63.52%	-1.28	-15.8	17
2005-04-15	Cosmos	D 2-2	57.8	771	393	73.28%	20.22%	6.50%	+2.18	-6.9	25
2005-04-15	@ La Fiorita	D 2-2	57.8	393	771	6.50%	20.22%	73.28%	-2.18	+6.9	5
2005-04-15	Murata	L 1-2	47.8	1051	1005	44.44%	23.87%	31.69%	+0.24	-23.9	34
2005-04-15	@ Pennarossa	W 2-1	47.8	1005	1051	31.69%	23.87%	44.44%	-0.24	+23.9	39

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Record
2005-04-19	Tre Fiori	W 3-2	46.4	1067	955	52.63%	23.57%	23.80%	+0.65	+13.8	1-0
2005-04-19	@ Domagnano	L 2-3	46.4	955	1067	23.80%	23.57%	52.63%	-0.65	-13.8	0-1
2005-04-19	Virtus	L 1-2	50.1	1029	919	52.42%	23.58%	24.00%	+0.64	-27.6	0-1
2005-04-19	@ Murata	W 2-1	50.1	919	1029	24.00%	23.58%	52.42%	-0.64	+27.6	1-0
2005-04-23	Domagnano	D 1-1	51.8	987	1081	25.80%	23.68%	50.52%	-0.55	+3.0	0-0-1
2005-04-23	@ Tre Penne	D 1-1	51.8	1081	987	50.52%	23.68%	25.80%	+0.55	-3.0	1-0-1
2005-04-23	Virtus	W 1-0	38.3	1021	947	48.10%	23.77%	28.13%	+0.43	+17.7	1-0
2005-04-23	@ Libertas	L 0-1	38.3	947	1021	28.13%	23.77%	48.10%	-0.43	-17.7	1-1
2005-04-28	Murata	L 1-7	38.5	990	1002	36.40%	23.93%	39.67%	-0.07	-93.5	0-1-1
2005-04-28	@ Tre Penne	W 7-1	38.5	1002	990	39.67%	23.93%	36.40%	+0.07	+93.5	1-1
2005-04-28	Tre Fiori	W 2-0	39.4	929	942	36.27%	23.93%	39.81%	-0.07	+43.7	2-1
2005-04-28	@ Virtus	L 0-2	39.4	942	929	39.81%	23.93%	36.27%	+0.07	-43.7	0-2
2005-04-29	Libertas	W 3-0	35.5	1078	1039	43.53%	23.89%	32.58%	+0.23	+54.4	2-0-1
2005-04-29	@ Domagnano	L 0-3	35.5	1039	1078	32.58%	23.89%	43.53%	-0.23	-54.4	1-1
2005-05-02	Murata	L 0-1	36.6	973	1095	22.68%	23.50%	53.81%	-0.71	-14.8	2-2
2005-05-02	@ Virtus	W 1-0	36.6	1095	973	53.81%	23.50%	22.68%	+0.71	+14.8	2-1
2005-05-06	Murata	L 2-3	45.9	984	1110	22.33%	23.48%	54.19%	-0.73	-13.1	1-2
2005-05-06	@ Libertas	W 3-2	45.9	1110	984	54.19%	23.48%	22.33%	+0.73	+13.1	3-1
2005-05-11	Murata	W 2-1	45.6	1132	1123	39.36%	23.93%	36.71%	+0.05	+20.5	3-0-1
2005-05-11	@ Domagnano	L 1-2	45.6	1123	1132	36.71%	23.93%	39.36%	-0.05	-20.5	3-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2004-10-27	9.73%	@ Folgore Falciano	616	2	Murata	913	1
2	2005-03-12	12.29%	@ Montevito	633	2	Virtus	883	0
3	2005-04-14	13.82%	@ Faetano	826	4	Libertas	1052	3
4	2004-09-18	16.09%	Tre Fiori	781	3	@ Pennarossa	976	1
5	2004-09-14	18.81%	Cosmos	707	3	@ Tre Fiori	869	0
6	2005-04-19 *	24.00%	Virtus	919	2	@ Murata	1029	1
7	2004-09-29	25.32%	@ Faetano	784	3	Juvenes Dogana	882	1
8	2004-10-16	25.40%	@ La Fiorita	710	4	Cailungo	807	1
9	2004-10-16	26.12%	@ Faetano	867	2	Domagnano	958	1
10	2005-04-02	26.50%	@ Tre Penne	944	2	Murata	1032	1
11	2005-03-09	26.80%	@ Tre Penne	947	2	Libertas	1032	1
12	2004-10-30	26.88%	@ Tre Fiori	856	2	Domagnano	941	0
13	2004-11-04	27.79%	Juvenes Dogana	888	1	@ Tre Penne	965	0
14	2004-12-11	27.88%	@ La Fiorita	815	2	Virtus	892	1
15	2004-10-03	29.06%	@ Juvenes Dogana	835	2	Libertas	902	1
16	2004-09-15	29.22%	Libertas	853	4	@ Domagnano	919	2
17	2004-10-17	29.50%	Tre Penne	918	2	@ Pennarossa	981	1
18	2004-11-01	30.75%	Murata	877	3	@ Juvenes Dogana	930	1
19	2004-10-26	31.69%	Tre Penne	943	1	@ Virtus	989	0
20	2005-04-15	31.69%	Murata	1005	2	@ Pennarossa	1051	1
21	2004-09-14	32.03%	@ Montevito	696	2	San Giovanni	739	0
22	2004-11-21	32.50%	@ Juvenes Dogana	916	1	Tre Fiori	955	0
23	2005-03-24	33.17%	Pennarossa	976	3	@ Tre Penne	1011	0
24	2004-11-04	34.79%	Libertas	954	3	@ Pennarossa	977	2
25	2004-11-05	34.79%	@ Murata	919	1	Virtus	942	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2005-04-28 *	93.52	Murata	7	1002	39.67%	@ Tre Penne	1	990	36.40%	23.93%
2	2004-09-14	88.02	Cosmos	3	707	18.81%	@ Tre Fiori	0	869	58.01%	23.18%
3	2005-03-12	68.23	@ Montevito	2	633	12.29%	Virtus	0	883	65.51%	22.20%
4	2004-10-03	68.18	@ Pennarossa	7	921	60.58%	Cosmos	0	731	16.50%	22.91%
5	2005-03-24	67.43	Pennarossa	3	976	33.17%	@ Tre Penne	0	1011	42.93%	23.90%
6	2004-10-16	65.80	@ La Fiorita	4	710	25.40%	Cailungo	1	807	50.94%	23.66%
7	2004-09-28	65.59	@ Tre Penne	5	803	38.89%	Cosmos	1	797	37.18%	23.93%
8	2005-03-19	56.89	@ Domagnano	5	1012	45.18%	Juvenes Dogana	1	961	30.96%	23.85%
9	2004-10-30	55.29	@ Folgore Falciano	3	652	42.84%	Cosmos	0	618	33.27%	23.90%
10	2004-09-18	55.15	Tre Fiori	3	781	16.09%	@ Pennarossa	1	976	61.06%	22.86%
11	2005-03-16	54.66	Murata	4	955	52.91%	@ La Fiorita	0	840	23.53%	23.56%
12	2005-04-29 *	54.40	@ Domagnano	3	1078	43.53%	Libertas	0	1039	32.58%	23.89%
13	2005-02-19	54.19	Tre Fiori	3	927	43.70%	@ Faetano	0	887	32.42%	23.88%
14	2004-10-30	52.28	@ Tre Fiori	2	856	26.88%	Domagnano	0	941	49.39%	23.73%
15	2004-10-09	50.05	@ Tre Penne	4	868	39.61%	Cailungo	1	857	36.46%	23.93%
16	2004-09-14	47.45	@ Montevito	2	696	32.03%	San Giovanni	0	739	44.09%	23.88%
17	2004-11-05	47.15	@ Tre Fiori	5	908	61.61%	Folgore Falciano	0	707	15.60%	22.79%
18	2004-09-29	46.60	@ Faetano	3	784	25.32%	Juvenes Dogana	1	882	51.02%	23.65%
19	2004-09-19	44.66	Domagnano	5	880	62.66%	@ Folgore Falciano	0	666	14.69%	22.65%
20	2004-09-29	44.29	@ Domagnano	8	925	64.96%	San Giovanni	1	682	12.74%	22.30%
21	2005-04-14	44.28	@ Folgore Falciano	4	631	58.47%	San Giovanni	0	464	18.39%	23.14%
22	2005-04-28 *	43.71	@ Virtus	2	929	36.27%	Tre Fiori	0	942	39.81%	23.93%
23	2004-12-19	43.17	@ San Giovanni	2	472	36.91%	Cosmos	0	480	39.16%	23.93%
24	2004-09-19	42.35	Tre Penne	2	761	37.87%	@ La Fiorita	0	762	38.20%	23.93%
25	2004-11-01	42.11	Murata	3	877	30.75%	@ Juvenes Dogana	1	930	45.40%	23.85%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2005-04-14	61.3	@ Faetano	4	826	13.82%	Libertas	3	1052	63.68%	22.50%
2	2004-10-23	60.9	@ Murata	3	912	31.89%	Pennarossa	3	957	44.24%	23.87%
3	2005-04-08	58.2	@ Domagnano	2	1078	76.79%	Folgore Falciano	2	623	4.41%	18.79%
4	2005-04-15	57.8	@ La Fiorita	2	771	73.28%	Cosmos	2	393	6.50%	20.22%
5	2004-11-20	57.4	@ Pennarossa	2	956	68.67%	Folgore Falciano	2	660	9.78%	21.55%
6	2004-10-02	57.1	@ Murata	2	909	62.52%	La Fiorita	2	697	14.81%	22.67%
7	2005-03-23	57.1	@ Virtus	2	847	15.22%	Libertas	2	1054	62.05%	22.73%
8	2005-04-14	56.9	@ Domagnano	2	1071	57.29%	Virtus	2	916	19.47%	23.25%
9	2004-10-17	56.8	@ Libertas	2	896	25.64%	Virtus	2	991	50.69%	23.67%
10	2004-09-18	56.7	@ Montevito	2	743	32.24%	Faetano	2	785	43.88%	23.88%
11	2004-10-01	56.7	@ Tre Penne	2	869	39.47%	Tre Fiori	2	858	36.60%	23.93%
12	2004-10-10	56.7	@ Tre Fiori	2	859	31.69%	Murata	2	905	44.44%	23.87%
13	2004-12-12	56.7	@ Faetano	2	904	34.10%	Murata	2	932	41.99%	23.91%
14	2005-03-09	56.7	@ Murata	2	938	30.86%	Domagnano	2	990	45.28%	23.85%
15	2005-03-24	56.7	@ Folgore Falciano	2	613	30.68%	Montevito	2	667	45.48%	23.85%
16	2004-10-27	54.4	@ Folgore Falciano	2	616	9.73%	Murata	1	913	68.73%	21.54%
17	2005-04-02	52.7	@ Pennarossa	1	1044	72.04%	Cailungo	1	690	7.33%	20.63%
18	2004-10-09	52.4	@ La Fiorita	1	702	10.22%	Pennarossa	1	989	68.10%	21.68%
19	2004-10-02	52.2	@ Domagnano	1	969	65.79%	Montevito	1	715	12.06%	22.15%
20	2005-04-14	52.2	@ Juvenes Dogana	1	878	65.13%	Montevito	1	633	12.60%	22.27%
21	2005-03-16	52.1	@ Folgore Falciano	1	616	14.12%	Faetano	1	838	63.33%	22.56%
22	2005-03-20	52.0	@ Pennarossa	1	982	61.20%	La Fiorita	1	786	15.95%	22.84%
23	2004-10-15	51.8	@ Montevito	1	710	53.26%	Folgore Falciano	1	593	23.20%	23.54%
24	2004-10-24	51.8	@ Cailungo	1	741	23.09%	Tre Fiori	1	860	53.38%	23.53%
25	2004-10-30	51.8	@ Tre Penne	1	969	51.37%	Faetano	1	868	24.99%	23.64%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2004-12-10	24.2	Libertas	6	1013	79.37%	@ Cosmos	0	491	3.15%	17.48%
2	2005-03-12	24.4	Tre Penne	3	973	80.39%	@ Cosmos	0	422	2.72%	16.89%
3	2004-11-27	25.6	Juvenes Dogana	3	941	76.17%	@ Cosmos	0	500	4.75%	19.08%
4	2004-11-27	25.6	@ Murata	3	923	76.23%	San Giovanni	0	481	4.72%	19.05%
5	2005-03-23	25.6	@ Murata	2	1029	82.40%	Cosmos	0	416	1.98%	15.62%
6	2005-03-20	26.1	Faetano	4	831	71.77%	@ San Giovanni	0	482	7.52%	20.71%
7	2005-04-06	26.3	Tre Fiori	2	952	79.98%	@ Cosmos	0	413	2.89%	17.13%
8	2005-03-13	26.5	Libertas	3	1006	73.27%	@ Folgore Falciano	0	628	6.51%	20.22%
9	2005-03-15	26.8	@ Virtus	4	815	69.49%	San Giovanni	0	506	9.16%	21.35%
10	2004-11-05	27.1	La Fiorita	4	804	68.43%	@ San Giovanni	0	512	9.96%	21.61%
11	2005-02-19	27.2	Pennarossa	2	975	76.99%	@ San Giovanni	0	516	4.31%	18.70%
12	2005-03-09	27.6	Virtus	7	868	75.77%	@ Cosmos	1	437	4.98%	19.25%
13	2005-03-15	28.0	Domagnano	3	993	68.40%	@ Montevito	0	701	9.98%	21.61%
14	2005-04-09	28.3	@ Libertas	1	1050	81.51%	San Giovanni	0	465	2.29%	16.20%
15	2004-11-21	28.7	Faetano	10	871	70.98%	@ Cosmos	1	536	8.07%	20.95%
16	2004-09-19	28.8	Domagnano	5	880	62.66%	@ Folgore Falciano	0	666	14.69%	22.65%
17	2004-10-02	28.9	Virtus	2	977	71.25%	@ San Giovanni	0	638	7.88%	20.87%
18	2004-11-05	29.1	@ Tre Fiori	5	908	61.61%	Folgore Falciano	0	707	15.60%	22.79%
19	2004-09-29	29.9	@ Virtus	3	948	61.85%	Montevito	0	744	15.39%	22.76%
20	2004-11-27	30.1	Tre Penne	2	941	67.19%	@ Montevito	0	667	10.93%	21.88%
21	2005-04-14	30.1	@ Folgore Falciano	4	631	58.47%	San Giovanni	0	464	18.39%	23.14%
22	2005-03-19	30.2	Libertas	5	1039	72.19%	@ Montevito	1	682	7.23%	20.58%
23	2004-10-16	30.3	Juvenes Dogana	8	864	65.99%	@ San Giovanni	1	607	11.90%	22.12%
24	2004-10-03	30.4	@ Pennarossa	7	921	60.58%	Cosmos	0	731	16.50%	22.91%
25	2004-09-29	30.6	@ Domagnano	8	925	64.96%	San Giovanni	1	682	12.74%	22.30%