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2005-06 Campionato Sammarinese Season

154 games · 6 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Murata

49 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Murata

8.76 points above expected

49 points · 40.24 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Juvenes Dogana

8.26 points below expected

17 points · 25.26 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Murata 20 15 4 1 49 49 20 +29 40.24 +8.76
2 Tre Fiori 21 14 5 2 47 37 12 +25 41.89 +5.11
3 Domagnano 21 12 6 3 42 52 22 +30 43.38 -1.38
4 Pennarossa 20 12 6 2 42 38 19 +19 38.10 +3.90
5 Tre Penne 21 11 6 4 39 27 15 +12 34.65 +4.35
6 Libertas 20 10 3 7 33 42 22 +20 34.46 -1.46
7 Folgore Falciano 21 9 4 8 31 22 25 -3 25.47 +5.53
8 La Fiorita 21 7 7 7 28 31 35 -4 25.28 +2.72
9 Virtus 20 7 4 9 25 23 33 -10 29.05 -4.05
10 Faetano 21 6 3 12 21 31 40 -9 25.50 -4.50
11 Cosmos 21 5 5 11 20 13 22 -9 18.21 +1.79
12 Juvenes Dogana 20 3 8 9 17 27 44 -17 25.26 -8.26
13 Cailungo 20 4 4 12 16 11 25 -14 17.56 -1.56
14 Fiorentino 20 3 3 14 12 30 52 -22 18.24 -6.24
15 San Giovanni 21 1 2 18 5 13 60 -47 12.08 -7.08

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Murata 49 40.24 +8.76
2 Folgore Falciano 31 25.47 +5.53
3 Tre Fiori 47 41.89 +5.11
4 Tre Penne 39 34.65 +4.35
5 Pennarossa 42 38.10 +3.90

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Juvenes Dogana 17 25.26 -8.26
2 San Giovanni 5 12.08 -7.08
3 Fiorentino 12 18.24 -6.24
4 Faetano 21 25.50 -4.50
5 Virtus 25 29.05 -4.05

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tre Penne 6 Oct 26 – Feb 5 1 in 228
2 Cailungo 3 Apr 1 – Apr 10 1 in 152
3 Murata 7 Mar 11 – Apr 10 1 in 44
4 Pennarossa 7 Feb 21 – Mar 29 1 in 34
5 Tre Fiori 6 Mar 14 – Apr 5 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cailungo 8 Oct 17 – Feb 5 1 in 171
2 San Giovanni 9 Oct 14 – Feb 19 1 in 55
3 Libertas 2 Mar 29 – Apr 1 1 in 33
4 Fiorentino 5 Nov 18 – Feb 15 1 in 28
5 Faetano 4 Mar 25 – Apr 5 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cailungo 4 Feb 11 – Mar 4 1 in 42
2 Tre Fiori 11 Sep 25 – Feb 18 1 in 26
3 La Fiorita 5 Sep 30 – Oct 31 1 in 19
4 Tre Penne 7 Oct 23 – Feb 5 1 in 18
5 Faetano 4 Feb 5 – Feb 21 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Juvenes Dogana 12 Feb 4 – Apr 6 1 in 258
2 Murata 3 Feb 18 – Mar 4 1 in 19
3 Faetano 6 Sep 23 – Oct 29 1 in 18
4 Tre Penne 4 Sep 25 – Oct 23 1 in 13
5 Cailungo 10 Sep 30 – Feb 11 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Murata 1127 49 +61 15 10.6 +4.4
Tre Fiori 1075 47 +21 13 11.8 +1.2
Domagnano 1075 42 +26 12 11.5 +0.5
Pennarossa 1050 42 +2 10 10.1 -0.1
Tre Penne 953 39 +25 11 9.5 +1.5
Libertas 973 33 -9 6 8.7 -2.7
Folgore Falciano 801 31 -7 5 5.2 -0.2
La Fiorita 809 28 +48 8 5.9 +2.1
Virtus 769 25 -32 7 6.6 +0.4
Faetano 740 21 -63 3 5.6 -2.6
Cosmos 647 20 -18 4 4.7 -0.7
Juvenes Dogana 678 17 -70 1 5.2 -4.2
Cailungo 677 16 +60 9 3.9 +5.1
Fiorentino 674 12 -10 4 4.8 -0.8
San Giovanni 436 5 -32 0 1.8 -1.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team CAI COS DOM FAE FIO FF JD LF LIB MUR PEN SG TF TP VIR
Cailungo —
0-1-0
1.25
0-1-0
0.37
0-0-1
1.05
1-0-1
2.81
0-0-1
0.97
1-0-1
2.12
0-0-1
1.19
1-0-1
1.24
0-0-2
0.94
0-1-1
1.05
1-0-0
1.73
0-1-0
0.34
0-0-1
0.61
0-0-2
1.77
Cosmos
0-1-0
1.52
—
0-0-2
0.84
0-0-2
2.32
1-0-0
1.01
0-0-2
1.86
1-0-0
0.90
1-0-1
1.95
0-0-1
0.55
0-0-1
0.39
0-0-1
0.45
2-0-0
3.40
0-1-1
0.96
0-2-0
1.44
0-1-0
0.70
Domagnano
0-1-0
2.45
2-0-0
4.78
—
2-0-0
4.18
1-0-0
2.42
2-0-0
4.23
1-0-0
2.09
1-1-0
4.48
0-1-0
1.75
0-1-0
1.32
0-1-0
1.51
2-0-0
5.09
0-1-1
3.40
0-0-2
4.04
1-0-0
2.09
Faetano
1-0-0
1.73
2-0-0
3.23
0-0-2
1.40
—
1-0-0
1.79
0-0-2
2.42
0-0-1
1.30
0-0-2
3.09
0-0-1
0.77
1-0-0
0.55
0-1-0
0.64
1-0-1
4.34
0-1-1
1.55
0-0-2
2.05
0-1-0
0.98
Fiorentino
1-0-1
2.73
0-0-1
1.77
0-0-1
0.39
0-0-1
0.99
—
0-1-0
1.15
0-1-1
2.27
1-0-0
0.94
0-0-2
1.29
0-0-2
0.86
0-0-2
1.13
0-1-0
2.04
0-0-1
0.44
0-0-1
0.64
1-0-1
1.72
Folgore Falciano
1-0-0
1.81
2-0-0
3.70
0-0-2
1.34
2-0-0
3.13
0-1-0
1.62
—
1-0-0
1.21
0-1-1
2.81
0-0-1
0.85
0-0-1
0.58
0-0-1
0.55
2-0-0
4.09
0-0-2
1.26
1-1-0
2.13
0-1-0
1.09
Juvenes Dogana
1-0-1
3.43
0-0-1
1.88
0-0-1
0.70
1-0-0
1.48
1-1-0
3.28
0-0-1
1.57
—
0-1-0
1.57
0-2-0
1.80
0-1-1
1.36
0-1-1
1.46
0-1-0
2.31
0-0-1
1.08
0-1-0
0.97
0-0-2
2.37
La Fiorita
1-0-0
1.58
1-0-1
3.61
0-1-1
1.11
2-0-0
2.46
0-0-1
1.84
1-1-0
2.73
0-1-0
1.21
—
0-0-1
0.61
0-1-0
0.44
0-0-1
0.81
2-0-0
4.46
0-1-1
1.63
0-2-0
1.92
0-0-1
1.10
Libertas
1-0-1
4.36
1-0-0
2.25
0-1-0
1.03
1-0-0
2.02
2-0-0
4.28
1-0-0
1.93
0-2-0
3.76
1-0-0
2.18
—
0-0-2
2.06
0-0-2
2.36
1-0-0
2.39
0-0-1
1.07
0-0-1
1.71
2-0-0
3.30
Murata
2-0-0
4.68
1-0-0
2.42
0-1-0
1.45
0-0-1
2.25
2-0-0
4.75
1-0-0
2.21
1-1-0
4.22
0-1-0
2.36
2-0-0
3.49
—
1-1-0
2.92
1-0-0
2.55
1-0-0
1.34
1-0-0
1.85
2-0-0
3.82
Pennarossa
1-1-0
4.55
1-0-0
2.36
0-1-0
1.26
0-1-0
2.14
2-0-0
4.47
1-0-0
2.25
1-1-0
4.12
1-0-0
1.97
2-0-0
3.18
0-1-1
2.62
—
1-0-0
2.53
1-0-0
1.18
0-0-1
1.85
1-1-0
4.01
San Giovanni
0-0-1
1.04
0-0-2
2.15
0-0-2
0.58
1-0-1
1.24
0-1-0
0.74
0-0-2
1.48
0-1-0
0.49
0-0-2
1.13
0-0-1
0.42
0-0-1
0.28
0-0-1
0.30
—
0-0-2
0.74
0-0-2
0.84
0-0-1
0.47
Tre Fiori
0-1-0
2.48
1-1-0
4.65
1-1-0
2.15
1-1-0
4.02
1-0-0
2.36
2-0-0
4.32
1-0-0
1.69
1-1-0
3.94
1-0-0
1.70
0-0-1
1.44
0-0-1
1.59
2-0-0
4.92
—
2-0-0
3.09
1-0-0
1.94
Tre Penne
1-0-0
2.18
0-2-0
4.13
2-0-0
1.52
2-0-0
3.51
1-0-0
2.15
0-1-1
3.43
0-1-0
1.80
0-2-0
3.64
1-0-0
1.06
0-0-1
0.93
1-0-0
0.92
2-0-0
4.79
0-0-2
2.46
—
1-0-0
1.66
Virtus
2-0-0
3.78
0-1-0
2.09
0-0-1
0.70
0-1-0
1.80
1-0-1
3.84
0-1-0
1.69
2-0-0
3.18
1-0-0
1.68
0-0-2
2.26
0-0-2
1.74
0-1-1
1.57
1-0-0
2.33
0-0-1
0.84
0-0-1
1.11
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.57 +8.1
Allowed 0.70 -8.0
Differential 0.92 +5.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%10.06%6.17%3.90%0.97%1.30%29.55%
110.06%7.79%6.49%2.27%1.30%1.30%29.22%
26.17%6.49%7.14%0.65%2.27%0.65%23.38%
33.90%2.27%0.65%0.65%0.65%0.32%8.44%
40.97%1.30%2.27%0.65%—0.32%5.52%
5+1.30%1.30%0.65%0.32%0.32%—3.90%
Total29.55%29.22%23.38%8.44%5.52%3.90%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.45 +0.00
SD 1.41 1.41 2.01
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 154

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%35.00%—10.00%——55.00%
110.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%—35.00%
25.00%5.00%————10.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%50.00%5.00%15.00%5.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.55 1.25 -0.70
SD 0.69 1.16 1.38
CV 1.25 0.93 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%19.05%23.81%———52.38%
114.29%9.52%9.52%———33.33%
29.52%—4.76%———14.29%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%28.57%38.10%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.62 1.05 -0.43
SD 0.74 0.86 1.29
CV 1.20 0.83 —
Max 2 2 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%9.52%————19.05%
1—4.76%————4.76%
24.76%4.76%14.29%4.76%——28.57%
39.52%4.76%————14.29%
44.76%14.29%9.52%———28.57%
5+—4.76%————4.76%
Total28.57%42.86%23.81%4.76%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.48 1.05 +1.43
SD 1.66 0.86 1.78
CV 0.67 0.83 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—19.05%4.76%4.76%——28.57%
1—9.52%9.52%9.52%4.76%—33.33%
24.76%4.76%4.76%——4.76%19.05%
34.76%—————4.76%
4———9.52%——9.52%
5+4.76%—————4.76%
Total14.29%33.33%19.05%23.81%4.76%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.90 -0.43
SD 1.47 1.48 2.11
CV 1.00 0.78 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—10.00%10.00%5.00%——25.00%
1—5.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%10.00%35.00%
25.00%—5.00%5.00%5.00%—20.00%
35.00%——5.00%5.00%—15.00%
4———————
5+———5.00%——5.00%
Total10.00%15.00%25.00%25.00%15.00%10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.60 -1.10
SD 1.47 1.70 2.17
CV 0.98 0.65 —
Max 6 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%4.76%9.52%9.52%——33.33%
123.81%4.76%9.52%—4.76%—42.86%
24.76%4.76%————9.52%
34.76%4.76%—4.76%——14.29%
4———————
5+———————
Total42.86%19.05%19.05%14.29%4.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.19 -0.14
SD 1.02 1.29 1.74
CV 0.98 1.08 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%5.00%5.00%—5.00%5.00%25.00%
15.00%5.00%10.00%5.00%——25.00%
2——30.00%—10.00%—40.00%
3—5.00%5.00%———10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total10.00%15.00%50.00%5.00%15.00%5.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 2.20 -0.85
SD 0.99 1.44 1.81
CV 0.73 0.65 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%4.76%—4.76%9.52%—33.33%
19.52%9.52%—4.76%——23.81%
24.76%4.76%9.52%—4.76%—23.81%
34.76%————4.76%9.52%
4—4.76%————4.76%
5+——4.76%———4.76%
Total33.33%23.81%14.29%9.52%14.29%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.67 -0.19
SD 1.57 1.74 2.23
CV 1.06 1.04 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%10.00%5.00%———20.00%
110.00%5.00%15.00%———30.00%
25.00%—5.00%———10.00%
310.00%5.00%————15.00%
45.00%————5.00%10.00%
5+5.00%5.00%5.00%———15.00%
Total40.00%25.00%30.00%——5.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.10 1.10 +1.00
SD 1.77 1.25 2.10
CV 0.84 1.14 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
120.00%10.00%————30.00%
210.00%20.00%10.00%———40.00%
35.00%———5.00%—10.00%
45.00%—————5.00%
5+—10.00%——5.00%—15.00%
Total40.00%40.00%10.00%—10.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.45 1.00 +1.45
SD 1.64 1.21 1.67
CV 0.67 1.21 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%—————5.00%
15.00%10.00%10.00%———25.00%
215.00%20.00%15.00%———50.00%
310.00%5.00%————15.00%
4——5.00%———5.00%
5+———————
Total35.00%35.00%30.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.90 0.95 +0.95
SD 0.91 0.83 1.19
CV 0.48 0.87 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%19.05%9.52%—14.29%57.14%
1—4.76%4.76%4.76%—9.52%23.81%
2—4.76%4.76%—9.52%—19.05%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total—23.81%28.57%14.29%9.52%23.81%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.62 2.86 -2.24
SD 0.80 1.62 1.76
CV 1.30 0.57 —
Max 2 6 +1
Min 0 1 -5

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%—————9.52%
123.81%9.52%9.52%———42.86%
219.05%4.76%4.76%———28.57%
34.76%4.76%————9.52%
4——4.76%———4.76%
5+4.76%—————4.76%
Total61.90%19.05%19.05%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 0.57 +1.19
SD 1.37 0.81 1.54
CV 0.78 1.42 —
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%14.29%4.76%———33.33%
114.29%14.29%————28.57%
24.76%19.05%————23.81%
3—4.76%4.76%———9.52%
4———————
5+4.76%—————4.76%
Total38.10%52.38%9.52%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 0.71 +0.57
SD 1.31 0.64 1.43
CV 1.02 0.90 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.00%5.00%10.00%15.00%——45.00%
115.00%5.00%5.00%———25.00%
2—5.00%——5.00%5.00%15.00%
3———————
4——15.00%———15.00%
5+———————
Total30.00%15.00%30.00%15.00%5.00%5.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.65 -0.50
SD 1.42 1.46 1.79
CV 1.24 0.89 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 20

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Murata 1178 49 40.24 +8.76 93.0% 26 32 37 40 43 50 52
Pennarossa 1077 42 38.10 +3.90 82.0% 26 27 35 38 42 47 52
Tre Fiori 1056 47 41.89 +5.11 85.0% 27 32 38 43 45 50 56
Domagnano 991 42 43.38 -1.38 40.0% 24 34 41 44 47 51 58
Tre Penne 976 39 34.65 +4.35 78.0% 22 24 29 35 39 44 49
Libertas 974 33 34.46 -1.46 47.0% 23 25 31 34 39 43 49
La Fiorita 809 28 25.28 +2.72 73.0% 12 15 21 26 29 34 41
Folgore Falciano 801 31 25.47 +5.53 86.0% 14 16 20 25 29 35 44
Virtus 769 25 29.05 -4.05 21.0% 16 20 26 29 32 37 39
Faetano 740 21 25.50 -4.50 21.0% 5 15 22 26 29 33 36
Juvenes Dogana 678 17 25.26 -8.26 4.0% 11 18 22 25 28 34 41
Cailungo 677 16 17.56 -1.56 44.0% 6 9 14 18 21 25 33
Fiorentino 674 12 18.24 -6.24 12.0% 7 10 15 18 21 26 31
Cosmos 647 20 18.21 +1.79 71.0% 8 10 15 17 21 28 32
San Giovanni 436 5 12.08 -7.08 2.0% 5 6 9 12 14 19 22

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -4.5% * Slight Edge: -4.5% to 0.5% * Clear Edge: 0.5% to 5% * Strong Edge: 5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
-11.04%
No Edge
33.12%22.73%44.16%
Elo Value
Home Edge: -38.51 Elo pts.
189 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
-0.09 goals
Neutral
-2-0.20+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 4 * Top-Heavy: 4 to 5 * Open: 5 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.19 * Runaway: 0.19 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.5
Top-Heavy
145610
Champion Preseason Odds
59%
Murata, 1st of 15
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.10/gm
Tight Race
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.27 * Some Luck: 4.27 to 6.4 * Lucky: 6.4 to 8.54 * Wild Swing: 8.54 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.33 * Close: 1.33 to 1.99 * Off: 1.99 to 2.66 * Way Off: 2.66 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 15 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 15 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 15 * As Expected: 15 to 24 * Several Outliers: 24 to 33 * Many Outliers: 33 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.02 points
Some Luck
05.3313
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.20
Pinpoint
01.664
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.67%
93.00%
Murata
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.33%
2.00%
San Giovanni
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 15
Minimal Outliers
01.57

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Strong Separation: 1.9 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 74% * Slight Edge: 74% to 79.5% * Clear Edge: 79.5% to 84.5% * Wide Edge: 84.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56% * Some Drama: 56% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 65.5% * Very Frequent: 65.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.26
Lopsided
00.20.260.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 200.83
2.19
Strong Separation
11.71.92.23
Interquartile Edge
87%
Wide Edge
50%74%84.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
59%
Some Drama
0%54%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Occasional
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.52 * Strong Carryover: 0.52 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 24.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 24.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 17.5% * Shaky Favorites: 17.5% to 20.5% * Very Shaky: 20.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.52
Highly Predictable
00.552
Matchup Imbalance
0.47
Lopsided
00.370.430.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.98
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.78
Near-Lock
00.360.520.691
Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Chalky
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
11%
Solid Favorites
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.66
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.36
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.080
Well Within Noise
00.1280.3

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

First Round

Libertas 4
Domagnano 1
Tre Penne 4
Pennarossa 3

Second Round

Murata 3
Libertas 1
Tre Fiori 1
Tre Penne 0

Third Round

Tre Penne 5
Domagnano 3
Pennarossa 2
Libertas 0

Quarterfinals

Murata 1
Tre Fiori 0

Sim: 7.0%

Pennarossa 3
Tre Penne 2

Sim: 14.0%

Semifinals

Pennarossa 2
Tre Fiori 1

Sim: 3.0%

Finals

Murata 1
Pennarossa 0

Sim: 4.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Murata59.00%26.00%9.00%6.00%————
Tre Fiori36.00%45.00%14.00%5.00%————
Domagnano55.00%32.00%11.00%1.00%1.00%———
Pennarossa28.00%41.00%25.00%4.00%2.00%———
Tre Penne9.00%18.00%43.00%17.00%10.00%3.00%——
Libertas13.00%24.00%43.00%13.00%6.00%1.00%——
Folgore Falciano—3.00%9.00%26.00%22.00%25.00%14.00%1.00%
La Fiorita—1.00%12.00%20.00%32.00%25.00%8.00%2.00%
Virtus—6.00%15.00%52.00%20.00%4.00%3.00%—
Faetano—1.00%9.00%28.00%25.00%23.00%12.00%2.00%
Cosmos——2.00%3.00%9.00%18.00%52.00%16.00%
Juvenes Dogana—3.00%7.00%19.00%50.00%15.00%6.00%—
Cailungo——1.00%2.00%14.00%39.00%44.00%—
Fiorentino———4.00%8.00%41.00%47.00%—
San Giovanni————1.00%6.00%14.00%79.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level
Cailungo 99.00%
Cosmos 98.00%
Domagnano —
Faetano 90.00%
Fiorentino 100%
Folgore Falciano 88.00%
Juvenes Dogana 90.00%
La Fiorita 87.00%
Libertas —
Murata —
Pennarossa —
San Giovanni 100%
Tre Fiori —
Tre Penne —
Virtus 79.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
CosmosDomagnanoFaetanoFiorentinoFolgore FalcianoJuvenes DoganaLa FioritaLibertasMurataPennarossaTre FioriTre PenneVirtus
Cosmos0.0%1.00%
Domagnano100.0%1.00%60.0%5.00%50.0%8.00%0.0%4.00%72.7%11.00%62.5%8.00%
Faetano50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Fiorentino0.0%1.00%
Folgore Falciano60.0%5.00%0.0%5.00%0.0%4.00%66.7%3.00%
Juvenes Dogana40.0%5.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%5.00%0.0%2.00%
La Fiorita100.0%1.00%50.0%6.00%25.0%4.00%20.0%5.00%100.0%2.00%
Libertas100.0%1.00%50.0%8.00%40.0%5.00%50.0%6.00%36.8%19.00%60.0%15.00%
Murata100.0%4.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%5.00%75.0%4.00%77.8%9.00%53.8%13.00%
Pennarossa27.3%11.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%4.00%80.0%5.00%52.4%21.00%66.7%21.00%
Tre Fiori100.0%5.00%63.2%19.00%22.2%9.00%47.6%21.00%60.0%10.00%
Tre Penne100.0%2.00%40.0%15.00%46.2%13.00%33.3%21.00%62.5%8.00%
Virtus37.5%8.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%2.00%40.0%10.00%37.5%8.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
DomagnanoFaetanoFolgore FalcianoJuvenes DoganaLa FioritaLibertasMurataPennarossaTre FioriTre PenneVirtus
Domagnano0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%3.00%53.3%15.00%42.1%19.00%55.0%20.00%66.7%9.00%69.2%13.00%
Faetano100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Folgore Falciano0.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%
Juvenes Dogana0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
La Fiorita0.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%
Libertas46.7%15.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%12.00%33.3%6.00%40.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%
Murata57.9%19.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%12.00%56.2%16.00%60.0%25.00%33.3%3.00%66.7%9.00%
Pennarossa45.0%20.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%6.00%43.8%16.00%23.1%13.00%75.0%4.00%100.0%2.00%
Tre Fiori33.3%9.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%60.0%5.00%40.0%25.00%76.9%13.00%70.0%10.00%
Tre Penne30.8%13.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%25.0%4.00%30.0%10.00%100.0%1.00%
Virtus33.3%9.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
DomagnanoFaetanoFolgore FalcianoJuvenes DoganaLa FioritaLibertasMurataPennarossaTre FioriTre PenneVirtus
Domagnano100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%83.3%6.00%50.0%16.00%50.0%8.00%69.2%13.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Faetano0.0%1.00%
Folgore Falciano0.0%1.00%
Juvenes Dogana
La Fiorita0.0%1.00%
Libertas16.7%6.00%20.0%5.00%0.0%4.00%25.0%4.00%
Murata50.0%16.00%100.0%1.00%80.0%5.00%50.0%8.00%69.2%13.00%83.3%6.00%
Pennarossa50.0%8.00%100.0%4.00%50.0%8.00%66.7%6.00%50.0%4.00%
Tre Fiori30.8%13.00%75.0%4.00%30.8%13.00%33.3%6.00%50.0%2.00%
Tre Penne0.0%1.00%16.7%6.00%50.0%4.00%
Virtus0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Quarterfinals Semifinals Finals
Murata 100% 94.66% 31.73%
Tre Fiori 100% 64.55% 21.32%
Domagnano 83.05% 36.69% 18.75%
Pennarossa 82.78% 34.29% 16.30%
Libertas 48.17% 16.18% 6.67%
Tre Penne 48.43% 16.07% 5.24%
Loser →
↓ Winner
DomagnanoLibertasMurataPennarossaTre FioriTre Penne
Domagnano63.3%131.22%
Libertas36.7%131.22%
Murata56.9%262.43%
Pennarossa63.1%131.22%
Tre Fiori43.1%262.43%
Tre Penne36.9%131.22%
Loser →
↓ Winner
DomagnanoLibertasMurataPennarossaTre FioriTre Penne
Domagnano40.6%47.37%48.9%35.68%
Libertas31.4%27.62%36.6%20.55%
Murata59.4%47.37%68.6%27.62%60.6%46.57%69.5%27.82%
Pennarossa39.4%46.57%44.0%36.22%
Tre Fiori51.1%35.68%63.4%20.55%56.0%36.22%63.1%20.61%
Tre Penne30.5%27.82%36.9%20.61%
Loser →
↓ Winner
DomagnanoLibertasMurataPennarossaTre FioriTre Penne
Domagnano44.1%12.91%51.3%10.08%53.0%9.28%67.1%4.42%
Libertas33.3%5.68%44.6%4.53%43.1%3.90%51.9%2.07%
Murata55.9%12.91%66.7%5.68%57.0%11.74%55.2%17.87%69.5%5.98%
Pennarossa48.7%10.08%55.4%4.53%43.0%11.74%48.3%7.94%
Tre Fiori47.0%9.28%56.9%3.90%44.8%17.87%51.7%7.94%73.4%3.60%
Tre Penne32.9%4.42%48.1%2.07%30.5%5.98%26.6%3.60%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2005-09-23 Faetano W 4-134.7 1003 846 58.24% 21.91% 19.85%+0.63 +24.3 3
2005-09-23 @ Domagnano L 1-434.7 846 1003 19.85% 21.91% 58.24%-0.63 -24.3 0
2005-09-23 Virtus W 1-038.8 974 902 48.55% 22.48% 28.97%+0.18 +14.5 3
2005-09-23 @ Murata L 0-138.8 902 974 28.97% 22.48% 48.55%-0.18 -14.5 0
2005-09-24 Folgore Falciano L 1-241.8 637 759 23.31% 22.20% 54.49%-0.85 -11.4 0
2005-09-24 @ San Giovanni W 2-141.8 759 637 54.49% 22.20% 23.31%+0.85 +11.4 3
2005-09-24 La Fiorita W 1-048.0 623 800 18.01% 21.71% 60.28%-1.15 +26.8 3
2005-09-24 @ Cosmos L 0-148.0 800 623 60.28% 21.71% 18.01%+1.15 -26.8 0
2005-09-24 Pennarossa L 0-329.0 742 939 16.48% 21.52% 62.00%-1.24 -24.4 0
2005-09-24 @ Fiorentino W 3-029.0 939 742 62.00% 21.52% 16.48%+1.24 +24.4 3
2005-09-25 Tre Penne W 2-038.1 869 863 39.47% 22.64% 37.89%-0.17 +33.9 3
2005-09-25 @ Tre Fiori L 0-238.1 863 869 37.89% 22.64% 39.47%+0.17 -33.9 0
2005-09-26 Juvenes Dogana D 1-153.7 901 855 45.14% 22.58% 32.28%+0.04 -1.2 1
2005-09-26 @ Libertas D 1-153.7 855 901 32.28% 22.58% 45.14%-0.04 +1.2 1
2005-09-30 Cailungo D 1-154.0 963 771 61.67% 21.56% 16.77%+0.82 -4.8 4
2005-09-30 @ Pennarossa D 1-154.0 771 963 16.77% 21.56% 61.67%-0.82 +4.8 1
2005-09-30 Tre Penne D 1-153.7 774 830 31.03% 22.55% 46.42%-0.50 +1.5 1
2005-09-30 @ La Fiorita D 1-153.7 830 774 46.42% 22.55% 31.03%+0.50 -1.5 1
2005-10-01 Fiorentino W 4-241.0 887 718 59.47% 21.80% 18.73%+0.69 +14.6 3
2005-10-01 @ Virtus L 2-441.0 718 887 18.73% 21.80% 59.47%-0.69 -14.6 0
2005-10-01 San Giovanni L 1-253.2 822 626 62.00% 21.52% 16.48%+0.84 -26.0 0
2005-10-01 @ Faetano W 2-153.2 626 822 16.48% 21.52% 62.00%-0.84 +26.0 3
2005-10-01 Tre Fiori D 1-153.8 1028 903 54.81% 22.18% 23.01%+0.46 -3.2 4
2005-10-01 @ Domagnano D 1-153.8 903 1028 23.01% 22.18% 54.81%-0.46 +3.2 4
2005-10-02 Murata D 2-258.8 856 989 22.17% 22.12% 55.71%-0.91 +2.6 2
2005-10-02 @ Juvenes Dogana D 2-258.8 989 856 55.71% 22.12% 22.17%+0.91 -2.6 4
2005-10-03 Cosmos W 1-037.1 770 650 54.36% 22.21% 23.43%+0.44 +12.1 6
2005-10-03 @ Folgore Falciano L 0-137.1 650 770 23.43% 22.21% 54.36%-0.44 -12.1 3
2005-10-14 Libertas L 1-336.4 703 900 16.48% 21.52% 62.00%-1.24 -14.6 0
2005-10-14 @ Fiorentino W 3-136.4 900 703 62.00% 21.52% 16.48%+1.24 +14.6 4
2005-10-14 San Giovanni W 1-042.4 638 652 36.66% 22.64% 40.71%-0.28 +19.0 6
2005-10-14 @ Cosmos L 0-142.4 652 638 40.71% 22.64% 36.66%+0.28 -19.0 3
2005-10-15 Faetano D 1-153.8 906 796 53.14% 22.28% 24.58%+0.38 -2.9 5
2005-10-15 @ Tre Fiori D 1-153.8 796 906 24.58% 22.28% 53.14%-0.38 +2.9 1
2005-10-15 Folgore Falciano L 0-143.6 828 783 45.02% 22.58% 32.40%+0.04 -20.6 1
2005-10-15 @ Tre Penne W 1-043.6 783 828 32.40% 22.58% 45.02%-0.04 +20.6 9
2005-10-15 Juvenes Dogana D 2-258.8 958 858 51.96% 22.34% 25.70%+0.33 -2.0 5
2005-10-15 @ Pennarossa D 2-258.8 858 958 25.70% 22.34% 51.96%-0.33 +2.0 3
2005-10-16 Domagnano D 2-259.2 775 1024 12.76% 20.87% 66.37%-1.52 +4.3 2
2005-10-16 @ La Fiorita D 2-259.2 1024 775 66.37% 20.87% 12.76%+1.52 -4.3 5
2005-10-17 Virtus L 0-136.9 775 902 22.82% 22.16% 55.02%-0.88 -11.9 1
2005-10-17 @ Cailungo W 1-036.9 902 775 55.02% 22.16% 22.82%+0.88 +11.9 6
2005-10-22 Cailungo W 1-034.1 986 763 64.28% 21.21% 14.51%+0.98 +7.9 7
2005-10-22 @ Murata L 0-134.1 763 986 14.51% 21.21% 64.28%-0.98 -7.9 1
2005-10-22 Domagnano L 1-332.5 633 1020 6.45% 18.66% 74.90%-2.26 -5.8 3
2005-10-22 @ San Giovanni W 3-132.5 1020 633 74.90% 18.66% 6.45%+2.26 +5.8 8
2005-10-22 La Fiorita L 0-142.6 799 779 41.44% 22.63% 35.93%-0.10 -19.3 1
2005-10-22 @ Faetano W 1-042.6 779 799 35.93% 22.63% 41.44%+0.10 +19.3 5
2005-10-23 Cosmos D 1-153.9 807 657 57.62% 21.97% 20.41%+0.60 -3.9 2
2005-10-23 @ Tre Penne D 1-153.9 657 807 20.41% 21.97% 57.62%-0.60 +3.9 7
2005-10-23 Pennarossa L 1-244.7 914 956 32.83% 22.59% 44.58%-0.43 -15.1 4
2005-10-23 @ Libertas W 2-144.7 956 914 44.58% 22.59% 32.83%+0.43 +15.1 8
2005-10-25 Juvenes Dogana W 2-144.3 914 860 46.09% 22.56% 31.35%+0.08 +14.6 9
2005-10-25 @ Virtus L 1-244.3 860 914 31.35% 22.56% 46.09%-0.08 -14.6 3
2005-10-25 La Fiorita L 1-246.7 803 799 39.33% 22.64% 38.03%-0.18 -17.4 9
2005-10-25 @ Folgore Falciano W 2-146.7 799 803 38.03% 22.64% 39.33%+0.18 +17.4 8
2005-10-25 San Giovanni W 2-029.5 903 627 68.34% 20.49% 11.18%+1.26 +11.7 8
2005-10-25 @ Tre Fiori L 0-229.5 627 903 11.18% 20.49% 68.34%-1.26 -11.7 3
2005-10-26 Faetano W 2-145.5 804 780 42.08% 22.62% 35.30%-0.08 +16.0 5
2005-10-26 @ Tre Penne L 1-245.5 780 804 35.30% 22.62% 42.08%+0.08 -16.0 1
2005-10-26 Libertas L 0-136.3 755 899 21.11% 22.03% 56.86%-0.97 -11.1 1
2005-10-26 @ Cailungo W 1-036.3 899 755 56.86% 22.03% 21.11%+0.97 +11.1 7
2005-10-26 Murata D 1-153.7 971 994 35.50% 22.63% 41.87%-0.32 +0.6 9
2005-10-26 @ Pennarossa D 1-153.7 994 971 41.87% 22.63% 35.50%+0.32 -0.6 8
2005-10-29 Cailungo W 1-037.7 846 744 52.12% 22.33% 25.55%+0.33 +13.1 6
2005-10-29 @ Juvenes Dogana L 0-137.7 744 846 25.55% 22.33% 52.12%-0.33 -13.1 1
2005-10-29 Folgore Falciano L 0-140.8 764 786 35.54% 22.63% 41.83%-0.32 -17.1 1
2005-10-29 @ Faetano W 1-040.8 786 764 41.83% 22.63% 35.54%+0.32 +17.1 12
2005-10-29 Tre Penne L 0-148.6 1026 820 62.88% 21.40% 15.72%+0.89 -28.0 8
2005-10-29 @ Domagnano W 1-048.6 820 1026 15.72% 21.40% 62.88%-0.89 +28.0 8
2005-10-30 Murata L 0-132.3 689 993 9.72% 20.06% 70.22%-1.82 -5.4 0
2005-10-30 @ Fiorentino W 1-032.3 993 689 70.22% 20.06% 9.72%+1.82 +5.4 11
2005-10-30 Virtus W 5-244.3 910 928 36.10% 22.63% 41.26%-0.30 +38.4 10
2005-10-30 @ Libertas L 2-544.3 928 910 41.26% 22.63% 36.10%+0.30 -38.4 9
2005-10-31 Cosmos D 2-259.2 915 660 66.77% 20.79% 12.44%+1.14 -4.4 9
2005-10-31 @ Tre Fiori D 2-259.2 660 915 12.44% 20.79% 66.77%-1.14 +4.4 8
2005-10-31 San Giovanni W 3-028.9 816 615 62.41% 21.47% 16.12%+0.86 +23.9 11
2005-10-31 @ La Fiorita L 0-328.9 615 816 16.12% 21.47% 62.41%-0.86 -23.9 3
2005-11-04 Libertas W 2-036.3 999 949 45.66% 22.57% 31.77%+0.06 +29.5 14
2005-11-04 @ Murata L 0-236.3 949 999 31.77% 22.57% 45.66%-0.06 -29.5 10
2005-11-04 Tre Penne L 0-526.8 591 848 12.33% 20.77% 66.90%-1.56 -30.0 3
2005-11-04 @ San Giovanni W 5-026.8 848 591 66.90% 20.77% 12.33%+1.56 +30.0 11
2005-11-05 Folgore Falciano W 4-133.7 998 803 61.88% 21.53% 16.59%+0.83 +20.7 11
2005-11-05 @ Domagnano L 1-433.7 803 998 16.59% 21.53% 61.88%-0.83 -20.7 12
2005-11-05 Pennarossa L 0-235.1 890 972 27.77% 22.44% 49.79%-0.64 -26.4 9
2005-11-05 @ Virtus W 2-035.1 972 890 49.79% 22.44% 27.77%+0.64 +26.4 12
2005-11-05 Tre Fiori L 1-340.5 840 910 29.21% 22.49% 48.29%-0.58 -23.8 11
2005-11-05 @ La Fiorita W 3-140.5 910 840 48.29% 22.49% 29.21%+0.58 +23.8 12
2005-11-06 Faetano L 1-243.2 665 747 27.83% 22.44% 49.73%-0.64 -13.2 8
2005-11-06 @ Cosmos W 2-143.2 747 665 49.73% 22.44% 27.83%+0.64 +13.2 4
2005-11-06 Fiorentino L 0-338.0 731 683 45.34% 22.57% 32.09%+0.05 -56.8 1
2005-11-06 @ Cailungo W 3-038.0 683 731 32.09% 22.57% 45.34%-0.05 +56.8 3
2005-11-12 Murata L 0-227.7 652 1028 6.79% 18.84% 74.36%-2.20 -7.1 8
2005-11-12 @ Cosmos W 2-027.7 1028 652 74.36% 18.84% 6.79%+2.20 +7.1 17
2005-11-12 San Giovanni W 5-024.9 919 561 73.35% 19.18% 7.47%+1.69 +18.2 13
2005-11-12 @ Libertas L 0-524.9 561 919 7.47% 19.18% 73.35%-1.69 -18.2 3
2005-11-12 Virtus D 1-153.8 760 864 25.28% 22.32% 52.40%-0.75 +2.7 5
2005-11-12 @ Faetano D 1-153.8 864 760 52.40% 22.32% 25.28%+0.75 -2.7 10
2005-11-13 Folgore Falciano L 0-137.5 674 782 24.84% 22.29% 52.87%-0.78 -12.8 1
2005-11-13 @ Cailungo W 1-037.5 782 674 52.87% 22.29% 24.84%+0.78 +12.8 15
2005-11-13 Juvenes Dogana W 6-032.9 934 859 48.95% 22.47% 28.58%+0.20 +75.1 15
2005-11-13 @ Tre Fiori L 0-632.9 859 934 28.58% 22.47% 48.95%-0.20 -75.1 6
2005-11-18 Cosmos L 0-242.1 740 645 51.45% 22.37% 26.18%+0.30 -43.7 3
2005-11-18 @ Fiorentino W 2-042.1 645 740 26.18% 22.37% 51.45%-0.30 +43.7 11
2005-11-18 Juvenes Dogana L 1-342.5 762 784 35.68% 22.63% 41.69%-0.32 -28.0 5
2005-11-18 @ Faetano W 3-142.5 784 762 41.69% 22.63% 35.68%+0.32 +28.0 9
2006-01-21 Pennarossa W 2-151.1 878 999 23.40% 22.21% 54.39%-0.85 +23.0 14
2006-01-21 @ Tre Penne L 1-251.1 999 878 54.39% 22.21% 23.40%+0.85 -23.0 12
2006-01-21 Tre Fiori L 0-134.3 795 1009 15.10% 21.31% 63.59%-1.34 -8.2 15
2006-01-21 @ Folgore Falciano W 1-034.3 1009 795 63.59% 21.31% 15.10%+1.34 +8.2 18
2006-01-24 Domagnano L 0-228.4 688 1018 8.55% 19.64% 71.80%-1.96 -8.9 11
2006-01-24 @ Cosmos W 2-028.4 1018 688 71.80% 19.64% 8.55%+1.96 +8.9 14
2006-01-24 Fiorentino W 3-246.6 812 697 53.71% 22.25% 24.04%+0.41 +11.1 12
2006-01-24 @ Juvenes Dogana L 2-346.6 697 812 24.04% 22.25% 53.71%-0.41 -11.1 3
2006-01-28 Cailungo W 3-135.3 901 662 65.58% 21.00% 13.42%+1.06 +12.0 17
2006-01-28 @ Tre Penne L 1-335.3 662 901 13.42% 21.00% 65.58%-1.06 -12.0 1
2006-01-28 Libertas D 0-049.8 1027 937 50.77% 22.40% 26.84%+0.27 -2.7 15
2006-01-28 @ Domagnano D 0-049.8 937 1027 26.84% 22.40% 50.77%-0.27 +2.7 14
2006-01-28 Virtus D 0-049.7 787 861 28.76% 22.48% 48.76%-0.60 +2.2 16
2006-01-28 @ Folgore Falciano D 0-049.7 861 787 48.76% 22.48% 28.76%+0.60 -2.2 11
2006-01-31 Murata L 1-526.7 543 1035 3.81% 16.65% 79.53%-2.81 -6.0 3
2006-01-31 @ San Giovanni W 5-126.7 1035 543 79.53% 16.65% 3.81%+2.81 +6.0 20
2006-01-31 Pennarossa L 0-330.0 816 976 19.62% 21.89% 58.49%-1.05 -28.5 11
2006-01-31 @ La Fiorita W 3-030.0 976 816 58.49% 21.89% 19.62%+1.05 +28.6 15
2006-02-04 Domagnano L 2-440.1 823 1025 16.03% 21.45% 62.52%-1.27 -12.7 12
2006-02-04 @ Juvenes Dogana W 4-240.1 1025 823 62.52% 21.45% 16.03%+1.27 +12.7 18
2006-02-04 La Fiorita W 4-244.3 859 788 48.36% 22.49% 29.15%+0.17 +21.3 14
2006-02-04 @ Virtus L 2-444.3 788 859 29.15% 22.49% 48.36%-0.17 -21.3 11
2006-02-04 Murata L 1-238.1 789 1041 12.56% 20.82% 66.62%-1.54 -6.5 16
2006-02-04 @ Folgore Falciano W 2-138.1 1041 789 66.62% 20.82% 12.56%+1.54 +6.5 23
2006-02-04 Pennarossa L 2-435.3 537 1004 4.32% 17.15% 78.53%-2.68 -3.4 3
2006-02-04 @ San Giovanni W 4-235.3 1004 537 78.53% 17.15% 4.32%+2.68 +3.4 18
2006-02-04 Tre Fiori L 0-138.6 940 1018 28.32% 22.46% 49.22%-0.62 -14.2 14
2006-02-04 @ Libertas W 1-038.6 1018 940 49.22% 22.46% 28.32%+0.62 +14.2 21
2006-02-05 Cailungo W 3-032.6 734 650 50.11% 22.43% 27.46%+0.25 +38.0 8
2006-02-05 @ Faetano L 0-332.6 650 734 27.46% 22.43% 50.11%-0.25 -38.0 1
2006-02-05 Fiorentino W 2-030.6 913 686 64.64% 21.15% 14.21%+1.00 +14.7 20
2006-02-05 @ Tre Penne L 0-230.6 686 913 14.21% 21.15% 64.64%-1.00 -14.7 3
2006-02-11 Faetano L 3-450.0 671 773 25.51% 22.33% 52.15%-0.74 -11.4 3
2006-02-11 @ Fiorentino W 4-350.0 773 671 52.15% 22.33% 25.51%+0.74 +11.4 11
2006-02-11 Libertas L 0-330.5 782 926 21.13% 22.03% 56.83%-0.96 -30.5 16
2006-02-11 @ Folgore Falciano W 3-030.5 926 782 56.83% 22.03% 21.13%+0.96 +30.5 17
2006-02-11 Tre Fiori D 0-051.0 612 1032 5.47% 18.05% 76.49%-2.43 +8.8 2
2006-02-11 @ Cailungo D 0-051.0 1032 612 76.49% 18.05% 5.47%+2.43 -8.8 22
2006-02-11 Tre Penne W 1-037.1 1048 927 54.36% 22.21% 23.44%+0.44 +12.2 26
2006-02-11 @ Murata L 0-137.1 927 1048 23.44% 22.21% 54.36%-0.44 -12.2 20
2006-02-12 Cosmos D 0-050.0 880 679 62.39% 21.47% 16.14%+0.86 -5.5 15
2006-02-12 @ Virtus D 0-050.0 679 880 16.14% 21.47% 62.39%-0.86 +5.5 12
2006-02-12 Domagnano D 2-258.7 1007 1037 34.48% 22.61% 42.91%-0.36 +0.6 19
2006-02-12 @ Pennarossa D 2-258.7 1037 1007 42.91% 22.61% 34.48%+0.36 -0.6 19
2006-02-12 Juvenes Dogana D 2-258.7 766 810 32.64% 22.58% 44.78%-0.44 +0.9 12
2006-02-12 @ La Fiorita D 2-258.7 810 766 44.78% 22.58% 32.64%+0.44 -0.9 13
2006-02-15 Domagnano L 1-429.9 659 1037 6.77% 18.83% 74.40%-2.20 -8.6 3
2006-02-15 @ Fiorentino W 4-129.9 1037 659 74.40% 18.83% 6.77%+2.20 +8.6 22
2006-02-18 Domagnano D 2-258.7 1060 1045 40.76% 22.64% 36.61%-0.13 -0.3 27
2006-02-18 @ Murata D 2-258.7 1045 1060 36.61% 22.64% 40.76%+0.13 +0.3 23
2006-02-18 Faetano D 2-259.1 1008 784 64.41% 21.19% 14.41%+0.98 -4.0 20
2006-02-18 @ Pennarossa D 2-259.1 784 1008 14.41% 21.19% 64.41%-0.98 +4.0 12
2006-02-18 Libertas L 0-133.0 685 956 11.44% 20.55% 68.01%-1.64 -6.3 12
2006-02-18 @ Cosmos W 1-033.0 956 685 68.01% 20.55% 11.44%+1.64 +6.3 20
2006-02-18 Tre Fiori L 0-330.4 874 1023 20.62% 21.99% 57.40%-0.99 -29.8 15
2006-02-18 @ Virtus W 3-030.4 1023 874 57.40% 21.99% 20.62%+0.99 +29.8 25
2006-02-18 Tre Penne D 0-049.8 809 915 25.04% 22.31% 52.65%-0.77 +3.1 14
2006-02-18 @ Juvenes Dogana D 0-049.8 915 809 52.65% 22.31% 25.04%+0.77 -3.1 21
2006-02-19 Cailungo L 0-234.9 534 620 27.24% 22.42% 50.35%-0.66 -26.0 3
2006-02-19 @ San Giovanni W 2-034.9 620 534 50.35% 22.42% 27.24%+0.66 +26.0 5
2006-02-19 Fiorentino L 3-649.3 767 651 53.88% 22.24% 23.89%+0.41 -44.7 12
2006-02-19 @ La Fiorita W 6-349.3 651 767 23.89% 22.24% 53.88%-0.41 +44.7 6
2006-02-21 Faetano L 3-462.2 1060 788 68.03% 20.55% 11.42%+1.24 -26.3 27
2006-02-21 @ Murata W 4-362.2 788 1060 11.42% 20.55% 68.03%-1.24 +26.4 15
2006-02-21 Pennarossa L 1-248.5 1053 1004 45.47% 22.57% 31.96%+0.05 -19.6 25
2006-02-21 @ Tre Fiori W 2-148.5 1004 1053 31.96% 22.57% 45.47%-0.05 +19.6 23
2006-02-21 Virtus W 2-143.7 912 845 47.91% 22.50% 29.58%+0.15 +13.9 24
2006-02-21 @ Tre Penne L 1-243.7 845 912 29.58% 22.50% 47.91%-0.15 -13.9 15
2006-02-22 Cosmos D 1-153.7 646 678 34.21% 22.61% 43.18%-0.37 +0.9 6
2006-02-22 @ Cailungo D 1-153.7 678 646 43.18% 22.61% 34.21%+0.37 -0.9 13
2006-02-22 Fiorentino D 3-362.6 752 696 46.48% 22.55% 30.97%+0.09 -0.9 17
2006-02-22 @ Folgore Falciano D 3-362.6 696 752 30.97% 22.55% 46.48%-0.09 +0.9 7
2006-02-22 La Fiorita W 4-027.0 963 723 65.67% 20.99% 13.34%+1.07 +26.2 23
2006-02-22 @ Libertas L 0-427.0 723 963 13.34% 20.99% 65.67%-1.07 -26.2 12
2006-02-22 San Giovanni D 2-259.5 812 508 70.22% 20.06% 9.72%+1.41 -4.9 15
2006-02-22 @ Juvenes Dogana D 2-259.5 508 812 9.72% 20.06% 70.22%-1.41 +4.9 4
2006-03-04 Cailungo D 0-050.9 1046 647 75.46% 18.45% 6.09%+1.91 -8.6 24
2006-03-04 @ Domagnano D 0-050.9 647 1046 6.09% 18.45% 75.46%-1.91 +8.6 7
2006-03-04 Juvenes Dogana W 1-046.6 678 807 22.49% 22.14% 55.37%-0.89 +24.8 16
2006-03-04 @ Cosmos L 0-146.6 807 678 55.37% 22.14% 22.49%+0.89 -24.8 15
2006-03-04 La Fiorita D 1-154.6 1033 696 72.20% 19.53% 8.27%+1.58 -7.1 28
2006-03-04 @ Murata D 1-154.6 696 1033 8.27% 19.53% 72.20%-1.58 +7.0 13
2006-03-04 San Giovanni W 1-032.0 831 513 71.06% 19.84% 9.10%+1.48 +5.0 18
2006-03-04 @ Virtus L 0-132.0 513 831 9.10% 19.84% 71.06%-1.48 -5.1 4
2006-03-04 Tre Fiori L 1-236.5 696 1033 8.28% 19.53% 72.18%-1.99 -4.3 7
2006-03-04 @ Fiorentino W 2-136.5 1033 696 72.18% 19.53% 8.28%+1.99 +4.3 28
2006-03-05 Libertas L 0-232.0 814 989 18.27% 21.75% 59.98%-1.13 -18.5 15
2006-03-05 @ Faetano W 2-032.0 989 814 59.98% 21.75% 18.27%+1.13 +18.5 26
2006-03-05 Pennarossa L 0-229.6 751 1024 11.37% 20.54% 68.09%-1.65 -11.9 17
2006-03-05 @ Folgore Falciano W 2-029.6 1024 751 68.09% 20.54% 11.37%+1.65 +11.8 26
2006-03-10 Cosmos W 2-028.4 1036 702 71.98% 19.59% 8.43%+1.56 +8.8 29
2006-03-10 @ Pennarossa L 0-228.4 702 1036 8.43% 19.59% 71.98%-1.56 -8.8 16
2006-03-10 La Fiorita L 1-438.6 656 703 32.13% 22.57% 45.29%-0.46 -36.4 7
2006-03-10 @ Cailungo W 4-138.6 703 656 45.29% 22.57% 32.13%+0.46 +36.4 16
2006-03-11 Fiorentino D 1-154.0 508 692 17.43% 21.64% 60.93%-1.18 +4.6 5
2006-03-11 @ San Giovanni D 1-154.0 692 508 60.93% 21.64% 17.43%+1.18 -4.6 8
2006-03-11 Murata L 1-247.0 1038 1026 40.29% 22.64% 37.07%-0.14 -17.8 28
2006-03-11 @ Tre Fiori W 2-147.0 1026 1038 37.07% 22.64% 40.29%+0.14 +17.8 31
2006-03-11 Tre Penne L 1-249.7 1007 926 49.68% 22.44% 27.88%+0.23 -21.2 26
2006-03-11 @ Libertas W 2-149.7 926 1007 27.88% 22.44% 49.68%-0.23 +21.2 27
2006-03-12 Folgore Falciano L 0-240.2 783 739 44.75% 22.58% 32.67%+0.03 -38.7 15
2006-03-12 @ Juvenes Dogana W 2-040.2 739 783 32.67% 22.58% 44.75%-0.03 +38.7 20
2006-03-12 Virtus W 4-240.1 1037 836 62.47% 21.46% 16.07%+0.86 +12.7 27
2006-03-12 @ Domagnano L 2-440.1 836 1037 16.07% 21.46% 62.47%-0.86 -12.7 18
2006-03-14 Cosmos W 1-039.8 740 694 45.14% 22.58% 32.28%+0.04 +15.8 19
2006-03-14 @ La Fiorita L 0-139.8 694 740 32.28% 22.58% 45.14%-0.04 -15.8 16
2006-03-14 Fiorentino W 2-136.1 1044 688 73.31% 19.19% 7.50%+1.69 +3.9 32
2006-03-14 @ Pennarossa L 1-236.1 688 1044 7.50% 19.19% 73.31%-1.69 -3.9 8
2006-03-14 Tre Fiori L 0-138.8 947 1020 28.91% 22.48% 48.61%-0.59 -14.5 27
2006-03-14 @ Tre Penne W 1-038.8 1020 947 48.61% 22.48% 28.91%+0.59 +14.5 31
2006-03-15 Domagnano L 0-327.6 796 1050 12.46% 20.80% 66.75%-1.55 -18.8 15
2006-03-15 @ Faetano W 3-027.6 1050 796 66.75% 20.80% 12.46%+1.55 +18.8 30
2006-03-15 Libertas D 2-259.2 744 986 13.20% 20.96% 65.84%-1.49 +4.2 16
2006-03-15 @ Juvenes Dogana D 2-259.2 986 744 65.84% 20.96% 13.20%+1.49 -4.2 27
2006-03-15 Murata L 0-328.3 823 1044 14.62% 21.23% 64.15%-1.38 -21.9 18
2006-03-15 @ Virtus W 3-028.3 1044 823 64.15% 21.23% 14.62%+1.38 +21.9 34
2006-03-15 San Giovanni W 3-027.3 778 512 67.59% 20.64% 11.77%+1.20 +17.8 23
2006-03-15 @ Folgore Falciano L 0-327.3 512 778 11.77% 20.64% 67.59%-1.20 -17.8 5
2006-03-18 Faetano L 0-526.2 494 777 10.83% 20.39% 68.78%-1.70 -26.4 5
2006-03-18 @ San Giovanni W 5-026.2 777 494 68.78% 20.39% 10.83%+1.70 +26.4 18
2006-03-18 Folgore Falciano L 0-137.1 678 796 23.72% 22.23% 54.05%-0.83 -12.3 16
2006-03-18 @ Cosmos W 1-037.1 796 678 54.05% 22.23% 23.72%+0.83 +12.3 26
2006-03-18 Juvenes Dogana W 4-025.4 1066 748 71.06% 19.84% 9.10%+1.48 +18.0 37
2006-03-18 @ Murata L 0-425.4 748 1066 9.10% 19.84% 71.06%-1.48 -18.1 16
2006-03-18 Virtus W 2-042.9 684 801 23.78% 22.23% 53.99%-0.83 +45.6 11
2006-03-18 @ Fiorentino L 0-242.9 801 684 53.99% 22.23% 23.78%+0.83 -45.6 18
2006-03-19 Domagnano W 1-043.2 1034 1069 33.88% 22.61% 43.52%-0.39 +20.0 34
2006-03-19 @ Tre Fiori L 0-143.2 1069 1034 43.52% 22.61% 33.88%+0.39 -20.0 30
2006-03-19 Pennarossa L 0-130.3 620 1048 5.24% 17.88% 76.88%-2.48 -2.8 7
2006-03-19 @ Cailungo W 1-030.3 1048 620 76.88% 17.88% 5.24%+2.48 +2.9 35
2006-03-20 La Fiorita D 0-049.9 933 756 60.21% 21.72% 18.07%+0.73 -4.9 28
2006-03-20 @ Tre Penne D 0-049.9 756 933 18.07% 21.72% 60.21%-0.73 +4.9 20
2006-03-24 Tre Penne D 1-153.8 808 928 23.54% 22.21% 54.24%-0.84 +3.1 27
2006-03-24 @ Folgore Falciano D 1-153.8 928 808 54.24% 22.21% 23.54%+0.84 -3.1 29
2006-03-24 Virtus L 0-136.5 617 755 21.58% 22.07% 56.35%-0.94 -11.3 7
2006-03-24 @ Cailungo W 1-036.5 755 617 56.35% 22.07% 21.58%+0.94 +11.3 21
2006-03-25 Cosmos L 0-231.4 468 665 16.39% 21.50% 62.11%-1.25 -16.7 5
2006-03-25 @ San Giovanni W 2-031.4 665 468 62.11% 21.50% 16.39%+1.25 +16.7 19
2006-03-25 Pennarossa L 1-333.6 730 1051 8.95% 19.79% 71.25%-1.91 -8.1 16
2006-03-25 @ Juvenes Dogana W 3-133.6 1051 730 71.25% 19.79% 8.95%+1.91 +8.1 38
2006-03-25 Tre Fiori L 0-133.4 803 1054 12.65% 20.84% 66.51%-1.53 -7.0 18
2006-03-25 @ Faetano W 1-033.4 1054 803 66.51% 20.84% 12.65%+1.53 +7.0 37
2006-03-26 Fiorentino W 5-130.5 982 729 66.63% 20.82% 12.55%+1.13 +20.6 30
2006-03-26 @ Libertas L 1-530.5 729 982 12.55% 20.82% 66.63%-1.13 -20.6 11
2006-03-26 La Fiorita W 4-025.9 1049 761 69.15% 20.31% 10.54%+1.32 +20.9 33
2006-03-26 @ Domagnano L 0-425.9 761 1049 10.54% 20.31% 69.15%-1.32 -20.9 20
2006-03-28 Folgore Falciano W 2-030.1 1061 811 66.46% 20.85% 12.69%+1.12 +13.2 40
2006-03-28 @ Tre Fiori L 0-230.1 811 1061 12.69% 20.85% 66.46%-1.12 -13.2 27
2006-03-28 Murata L 1-234.4 605 1084 4.08% 16.92% 79.00%-2.74 -2.1 7
2006-03-28 @ Cailungo W 2-134.4 1084 605 79.00% 16.92% 4.08%+2.74 +2.1 40
2006-03-28 Tre Penne D 0-050.2 682 924 13.19% 20.96% 65.85%-1.49 +6.4 20
2006-03-28 @ Cosmos D 0-050.2 924 682 65.85% 20.96% 13.19%+1.49 -6.4 30
2006-03-29 Faetano W 6-243.3 740 796 30.93% 22.54% 46.53%-0.51 +53.6 23
2006-03-29 @ La Fiorita L 2-643.3 796 740 46.53% 22.54% 30.93%+0.51 -53.6 18
2006-03-29 Juvenes Dogana D 2-258.7 709 722 36.79% 22.64% 40.58%-0.27 +0.3 12
2006-03-29 @ Fiorentino D 2-258.7 722 709 40.58% 22.64% 36.79%+0.27 -0.3 17
2006-03-29 Libertas W 2-144.2 1059 1002 46.54% 22.54% 30.92%+0.10 +14.4 41
2006-03-29 @ Pennarossa L 1-244.2 1002 1059 30.92% 22.54% 46.54%-0.10 -14.4 30
2006-03-29 San Giovanni W 6-124.6 1070 451 83.87% 14.13% 2.01%+3.07 +3.7 36
2006-03-29 @ Domagnano L 1-624.6 451 1070 2.01% 14.13% 83.87%-3.07 -3.7 5
2006-04-01 Cailungo L 0-151.4 988 603 74.77% 18.70% 6.53%+1.84 -32.9 30
2006-04-01 @ Libertas W 1-051.4 603 988 6.53% 18.70% 74.77%-1.84 +32.9 10
2006-04-01 Cosmos W 2-135.7 1073 688 74.78% 18.70% 6.52%+1.84 +3.4 39
2006-04-01 @ Domagnano L 1-235.7 688 1073 6.52% 18.70% 74.78%-1.84 -3.4 20
2006-04-01 Folgore Falciano D 0-049.7 793 798 38.03% 22.64% 39.33%-0.23 +0.1 24
2006-04-01 @ La Fiorita D 0-049.7 798 793 39.33% 22.64% 38.03%+0.23 -0.1 28
2006-04-01 Tre Fiori L 2-433.6 448 1074 1.92% 13.95% 84.13%-3.53 -1.4 5
2006-04-01 @ San Giovanni W 4-233.6 1074 448 84.13% 13.95% 1.92%+3.53 +1.4 43
2006-04-02 Pennarossa W 2-146.0 1086 1074 40.45% 22.64% 36.91%-0.14 +16.6 43
2006-04-02 @ Murata L 1-246.0 1074 1086 36.91% 22.64% 40.45%+0.14 -16.6 41
2006-04-02 Tre Penne L 0-135.3 743 918 18.21% 21.74% 60.06%-1.13 -9.8 18
2006-04-02 @ Faetano W 1-035.3 918 743 60.06% 21.74% 18.21%+1.13 +9.8 33
2006-04-03 Virtus L 2-445.3 722 767 32.44% 22.58% 44.98%-0.44 -23.2 17
2006-04-03 @ Juvenes Dogana W 4-245.3 767 722 44.98% 22.58% 32.44%+0.44 +23.2 24
2006-04-05 Domagnano W 3-256.6 928 1077 20.61% 21.99% 57.40%-0.99 +22.9 36
2006-04-05 @ Tre Penne L 2-356.6 1077 928 57.40% 21.99% 20.61%+0.99 -22.9 39
2006-04-05 Faetano W 3-140.7 798 733 47.56% 22.52% 29.92%+0.14 +24.3 31
2006-04-05 @ Folgore Falciano L 1-340.7 733 798 29.92% 22.52% 47.56%-0.14 -24.3 18
2006-04-05 La Fiorita L 0-228.2 446 793 7.86% 19.36% 72.78%-2.05 -8.2 5
2006-04-05 @ San Giovanni W 2-028.2 793 446 72.78% 19.36% 7.86%+2.05 +8.2 27
2006-04-05 Tre Fiori L 0-227.5 685 1076 6.33% 18.59% 75.08%-2.28 -6.6 20
2006-04-05 @ Cosmos W 2-027.5 1076 685 75.08% 18.59% 6.33%+2.28 +6.6 46
2006-04-06 Fiorentino W 7-127.0 1103 709 75.23% 18.54% 6.24%+1.88 +14.8 46
2006-04-06 @ Murata L 1-727.0 709 1103 6.24% 18.54% 75.23%-1.88 -14.8 12
2006-04-06 Juvenes Dogana W 2-149.0 636 698 30.23% 22.52% 47.25%-0.53 +20.3 13
2006-04-06 @ Cailungo L 1-249.0 698 636 47.25% 22.52% 30.23%+0.53 -20.3 17
2006-04-06 Libertas L 0-329.9 790 955 19.10% 21.84% 59.06%-1.08 -27.9 24
2006-04-06 @ Virtus W 3-029.9 955 790 59.06% 21.84% 19.10%+1.08 +27.9 33
2006-04-09 Cosmos W 2-037.1 709 679 42.95% 22.61% 34.44%-0.04 +31.4 21
2006-04-09 @ Faetano L 0-237.1 679 709 34.44% 22.61% 42.95%+0.04 -31.4 20
2006-04-09 Domagnano L 0-328.1 822 1054 13.90% 21.09% 65.01%-1.43 -20.9 31
2006-04-09 @ Folgore Falciano W 3-028.1 1054 822 65.01% 21.09% 13.90%+1.43 +20.8 42
2006-04-09 La Fiorita D 0-050.3 1082 802 68.66% 20.42% 10.93%+1.28 -7.0 47
2006-04-09 @ Tre Fiori D 0-050.3 802 1082 10.93% 20.42% 68.66%-1.28 +7.0 28
2006-04-09 San Giovanni W 1-029.3 951 438 80.32% 16.24% 3.43%+2.51 +1.8 39
2006-04-09 @ Tre Penne L 0-129.3 438 951 3.43% 16.24% 80.32%-2.51 -1.8 5
2006-04-10 Cailungo L 0-143.3 694 656 43.97% 22.60% 33.43%+0.00 -20.2 12
2006-04-10 @ Fiorentino W 1-043.3 656 694 33.43% 22.60% 43.97%+0.00 +20.2 16
2006-04-10 Murata L 4-550.2 983 1117 22.01% 22.10% 55.89%-0.92 -9.9 33
2006-04-10 @ Libertas W 5-450.2 1117 983 55.89% 22.10% 22.01%+0.92 +9.9 49
2006-04-10 Virtus D 0-050.4 1057 762 69.61% 20.20% 10.19%+1.36 -7.3 42
2006-04-10 @ Pennarossa D 0-050.4 762 1057 10.19% 20.20% 69.61%-1.36 +7.3 25

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2006-04-19 Libertas L 1-444.6 1075 973 52.14% 22.33% 25.53%+0.54 -54.1 0-1
2006-04-19 @ Domagnano W 4-144.6 973 1075 25.53% 22.33% 52.14%-0.54 +54.1 1-0
2006-04-19 Tre Penne L 3-457.8 1050 953 51.62% 22.36% 26.02%+0.52 -20.3 0-1
2006-04-19 @ Pennarossa W 4-357.8 953 1050 26.02% 22.36% 51.62%-0.52 +20.3 1-0
2006-04-22 Libertas W 3-139.4 1127 1027 51.99% 22.34% 25.67%+0.53 +21.4 1-0
2006-04-22 @ Murata L 1-339.4 1027 1127 25.67% 22.34% 51.99%-0.53 -21.4 1-1
2006-04-22 Tre Penne W 1-037.7 1075 973 52.26% 22.33% 25.41%+0.54 +13.0 1-0
2006-04-22 @ Tre Fiori L 0-137.7 973 1075 25.41% 22.33% 52.26%-0.54 -13.0 1-1
2006-04-27 Domagnano W 5-351.7 960 1020 30.44% 22.53% 47.03%-0.32 +29.5 2-1
2006-04-27 @ Tre Penne L 3-551.7 1020 960 47.03% 22.53% 30.44%+0.32 -29.5 0-2
2006-04-27 Pennarossa L 0-237.4 1006 1030 35.32% 22.62% 42.05%-0.13 -32.1 1-2
2006-04-27 @ Libertas W 2-037.4 1030 1006 42.05% 22.62% 35.32%+0.13 +32.0 1-1
2006-04-28 Murata L 0-139.3 1088 1149 30.46% 22.53% 47.01%-0.32 -15.1 1-1
2006-04-28 @ Tre Fiori W 1-039.3 1149 1088 47.01% 22.53% 30.46%+0.32 +15.1 2-0
2006-05-02 Pennarossa L 2-348.2 989 1062 28.99% 22.48% 48.53%-0.38 -13.0 2-2
2006-05-02 @ Tre Penne W 3-248.2 1062 989 48.53% 22.48% 28.99%+0.38 +13.0 2-1
2006-05-06 Tre Fiori W 2-146.5 1075 1073 38.86% 22.64% 38.50%+0.01 +17.2 3-1
2006-05-06 @ Pennarossa L 1-246.5 1073 1075 38.50% 22.64% 38.86%-0.01 -17.1 1-2
2006-05-11 Pennarossa W 1-038.9 1164 1092 48.53% 22.48% 28.98%+0.38 +14.5 3-0
2006-05-11 @ Murata L 0-138.9 1092 1164 28.98% 22.48% 48.53%-0.38 -14.5 3-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2006-04-01 6.53% Cailungo 603 1 @ Libertas 988 0
2 2006-02-21 11.42% Faetano 788 4 @ Murata 1060 3
3 2005-10-29 15.72% Tre Penne 820 1 @ Domagnano 1026 0
4 2005-10-01 16.48% San Giovanni 626 2 @ Faetano 822 1
5 2005-09-24 18.01% @ Cosmos 623 1 La Fiorita 800 0
6 2006-04-05 20.61% @ Tre Penne 928 3 Domagnano 1077 2
7 2006-03-04 22.49% @ Cosmos 678 1 Juvenes Dogana 807 0
8 2006-01-21 23.40% @ Tre Penne 878 2 Pennarossa 999 1
9 2006-03-18 23.78% @ Fiorentino 684 2 Virtus 801 0
10 2006-02-19 23.89% Fiorentino 651 6 @ La Fiorita 767 3
11 2006-04-19 * 25.53% Libertas 973 4 @ Domagnano 1075 1
12 2006-04-19 * 26.02% Tre Penne 953 4 @ Pennarossa 1050 3
13 2005-11-18 26.18% Cosmos 645 2 @ Fiorentino 740 0
14 2006-03-11 27.88% Tre Penne 926 2 @ Libertas 1007 1
15 2006-04-06 30.23% @ Cailungo 636 2 Juvenes Dogana 698 1
16 2006-04-27 * 30.44% @ Tre Penne 960 5 Domagnano 1020 3
17 2006-03-29 30.93% @ La Fiorita 740 6 Faetano 796 2
18 2006-02-21 31.96% Pennarossa 1004 2 @ Tre Fiori 1053 1
19 2005-11-06 32.09% Fiorentino 683 3 @ Cailungo 731 0
20 2005-10-15 32.40% Folgore Falciano 783 1 @ Tre Penne 828 0
21 2006-03-12 32.67% Folgore Falciano 739 2 @ Juvenes Dogana 783 0
22 2006-04-10 33.43% Cailungo 656 1 @ Fiorentino 694 0
23 2006-03-19 33.88% @ Tre Fiori 1034 1 Domagnano 1069 0
24 2005-10-22 35.93% La Fiorita 779 1 @ Faetano 799 0
25 2005-10-30 36.10% @ Libertas 910 5 Virtus 928 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-11-13 75.13 @ Tre Fiori 6 934 48.95% Juvenes Dogana 0 859 28.58% 22.47%
2 2005-11-06 56.82 Fiorentino 3 683 32.09% @ Cailungo 0 731 45.34% 22.57%
3 2006-04-19 * 54.12 Libertas 4 973 25.53% @ Domagnano 1 1075 52.14% 22.33%
4 2006-03-29 53.65 @ La Fiorita 6 740 30.93% Faetano 2 796 46.53% 22.54%
5 2006-03-18 45.62 @ Fiorentino 2 684 23.78% Virtus 0 801 53.99% 22.23%
6 2006-02-19 44.71 Fiorentino 6 651 23.89% @ La Fiorita 3 767 53.88% 22.24%
7 2005-11-18 43.66 Cosmos 2 645 26.18% @ Fiorentino 0 740 51.45% 22.37%
8 2006-03-12 38.68 Folgore Falciano 2 739 32.67% @ Juvenes Dogana 0 783 44.75% 22.58%
9 2005-10-30 38.40 @ Libertas 5 910 36.10% Virtus 2 928 41.26% 22.63%
10 2006-02-05 38.02 @ Faetano 3 734 50.11% Cailungo 0 650 27.46% 22.43%
11 2006-03-10 36.43 La Fiorita 4 703 45.29% @ Cailungo 1 656 32.13% 22.57%
12 2005-09-25 33.87 @ Tre Fiori 2 869 39.47% Tre Penne 0 863 37.89% 22.64%
13 2006-04-01 32.90 Cailungo 1 603 6.53% @ Libertas 0 988 74.77% 18.70%
14 2006-04-27 * 32.06 Pennarossa 2 1030 42.05% @ Libertas 0 1006 35.32% 22.62%
15 2006-04-09 31.43 @ Faetano 2 709 42.95% Cosmos 0 679 34.44% 22.61%
16 2006-02-11 30.46 Libertas 3 926 56.83% @ Folgore Falciano 0 782 21.13% 22.03%
17 2005-11-04 29.98 Tre Penne 5 848 66.90% @ San Giovanni 0 591 12.33% 20.77%
18 2006-02-18 29.80 Tre Fiori 3 1023 57.40% @ Virtus 0 874 20.62% 21.99%
19 2006-04-27 * 29.53 @ Tre Penne 5 960 30.44% Domagnano 3 1020 47.03% 22.53%
20 2005-11-04 29.47 @ Murata 2 999 45.66% Libertas 0 949 31.77% 22.57%
21 2006-01-31 28.55 Pennarossa 3 976 58.49% @ La Fiorita 0 816 19.62% 21.89%
22 2005-11-18 27.99 Juvenes Dogana 3 784 41.69% @ Faetano 1 762 35.68% 22.63%
23 2005-10-29 27.96 Tre Penne 1 820 15.72% @ Domagnano 0 1026 62.88% 21.40%
24 2006-04-06 27.87 Libertas 3 955 59.06% @ Virtus 0 790 19.10% 21.84%
25 2005-09-24 26.84 @ Cosmos 1 623 18.01% La Fiorita 0 800 60.28% 21.71%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-02-22 62.6 @ Folgore Falciano 3 752 46.48% Fiorentino 3 696 30.97% 22.55%
2 2006-02-21 62.2 Faetano 4 788 11.42% @ Murata 3 1060 68.03% 20.55%
3 2006-02-22 59.5 @ Juvenes Dogana 2 812 70.22% San Giovanni 2 508 9.72% 20.06%
4 2005-10-16 59.2 @ La Fiorita 2 775 12.76% Domagnano 2 1024 66.37% 20.87%
5 2005-10-31 59.2 @ Tre Fiori 2 915 66.77% Cosmos 2 660 12.44% 20.79%
6 2006-03-15 59.2 @ Juvenes Dogana 2 744 13.20% Libertas 2 986 65.84% 20.96%
7 2006-02-18 59.1 @ Pennarossa 2 1008 64.41% Faetano 2 784 14.41% 21.19%
8 2005-10-02 58.8 @ Juvenes Dogana 2 856 22.17% Murata 2 989 55.71% 22.12%
9 2005-10-15 58.8 @ Pennarossa 2 958 51.96% Juvenes Dogana 2 858 25.70% 22.34%
10 2006-02-12 58.7 @ Pennarossa 2 1007 34.48% Domagnano 2 1037 42.91% 22.61%
11 2006-02-12 58.7 @ La Fiorita 2 766 32.64% Juvenes Dogana 2 810 44.78% 22.58%
12 2006-02-18 58.7 @ Murata 2 1060 40.76% Domagnano 2 1045 36.61% 22.64%
13 2006-03-29 58.7 @ Fiorentino 2 709 36.79% Juvenes Dogana 2 722 40.58% 22.64%
14 2006-04-19 * 57.8 Tre Penne 4 953 26.02% @ Pennarossa 3 1050 51.62% 22.36%
15 2006-04-05 56.6 @ Tre Penne 3 928 20.61% Domagnano 2 1077 57.40% 21.99%
16 2006-03-04 54.6 @ Murata 1 1033 72.20% La Fiorita 1 696 8.27% 19.53%
17 2005-09-30 54.0 @ Pennarossa 1 963 61.67% Cailungo 1 771 16.77% 21.56%
18 2006-03-11 54.0 @ San Giovanni 1 508 17.43% Fiorentino 1 692 60.93% 21.64%
19 2005-10-23 53.9 @ Tre Penne 1 807 57.62% Cosmos 1 657 20.41% 21.97%
20 2005-10-01 53.8 @ Domagnano 1 1028 54.81% Tre Fiori 1 903 23.01% 22.18%
21 2005-10-15 53.8 @ Tre Fiori 1 906 53.14% Faetano 1 796 24.58% 22.28%
22 2005-11-12 53.8 @ Faetano 1 760 25.28% Virtus 1 864 52.40% 22.32%
23 2006-03-24 53.8 @ Folgore Falciano 1 808 23.54% Tre Penne 1 928 54.24% 22.21%
24 2005-09-26 53.7 @ Libertas 1 901 45.14% Juvenes Dogana 1 855 32.28% 22.58%
25 2005-09-30 53.7 @ La Fiorita 1 774 31.03% Tre Penne 1 830 46.42% 22.55%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-03-29 24.6 @ Domagnano 6 1070 83.87% San Giovanni 1 451 2.01% 14.13%
2 2005-11-12 24.9 @ Libertas 5 919 73.35% San Giovanni 0 561 7.47% 19.18%
3 2006-03-18 25.4 @ Murata 4 1066 71.06% Juvenes Dogana 0 748 9.10% 19.84%
4 2006-03-26 25.9 @ Domagnano 4 1049 69.15% La Fiorita 0 761 10.54% 20.31%
5 2006-03-18 26.2 Faetano 5 777 68.78% @ San Giovanni 0 494 10.83% 20.39%
6 2006-01-31 26.7 Murata 5 1035 79.53% @ San Giovanni 1 543 3.81% 16.65%
7 2005-11-04 26.8 Tre Penne 5 848 66.90% @ San Giovanni 0 591 12.33% 20.77%
8 2006-02-22 27.0 @ Libertas 4 963 65.67% La Fiorita 0 723 13.34% 20.99%
9 2006-04-06 27.0 @ Murata 7 1103 75.23% Fiorentino 1 709 6.24% 18.54%
10 2006-03-15 27.3 @ Folgore Falciano 3 778 67.59% San Giovanni 0 512 11.77% 20.64%
11 2006-04-05 27.5 Tre Fiori 2 1076 75.08% @ Cosmos 0 685 6.33% 18.59%
12 2006-03-15 27.6 Domagnano 3 1050 66.75% @ Faetano 0 796 12.46% 20.80%
13 2005-11-12 27.7 Murata 2 1028 74.36% @ Cosmos 0 652 6.79% 18.84%
14 2006-04-09 28.1 Domagnano 3 1054 65.01% @ Folgore Falciano 0 822 13.90% 21.09%
15 2006-04-05 28.2 La Fiorita 2 793 72.78% @ San Giovanni 0 446 7.86% 19.36%
16 2006-03-15 28.3 Murata 3 1044 64.15% @ Virtus 0 823 14.62% 21.23%
17 2006-01-24 28.4 Domagnano 2 1018 71.80% @ Cosmos 0 688 8.55% 19.64%
18 2006-03-10 28.4 @ Pennarossa 2 1036 71.98% Cosmos 0 702 8.43% 19.59%
19 2005-10-31 28.9 @ La Fiorita 3 816 62.41% San Giovanni 0 615 16.12% 21.47%
20 2005-09-24 29.0 Pennarossa 3 939 62.00% @ Fiorentino 0 742 16.48% 21.52%
21 2006-04-09 29.3 @ Tre Penne 1 951 80.32% San Giovanni 0 438 3.43% 16.24%
22 2005-10-25 29.5 @ Tre Fiori 2 903 68.34% San Giovanni 0 627 11.18% 20.49%
23 2006-03-05 29.6 Pennarossa 2 1024 68.09% @ Folgore Falciano 0 751 11.37% 20.54%
24 2006-02-15 29.9 Domagnano 4 1037 74.40% @ Fiorentino 1 659 6.77% 18.83%
25 2006-04-06 29.9 Libertas 3 955 59.06% @ Virtus 0 790 19.10% 21.84%