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2016-17 Campionato Sammarinese Season

154 games · 6 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Libertas

47 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Libertas

9.61 points above expected

47 points · 37.39 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Pennarossa

11.46 points below expected

10 points · 21.46 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Libertas 21 14 5 2 47 37 13 +24 37.39 +9.61
2 La Fiorita 20 14 2 4 44 51 22 +29 38.74 +5.26
3 Folgore Falciano 21 13 4 4 43 53 15 +38 43.31 -0.31
4 Tre Penne 21 12 7 2 43 43 15 +28 41.48 +1.52
5 Virtus 20 12 5 3 41 38 19 +19 33.68 +7.32
6 Domagnano 21 11 3 7 36 44 26 +18 35.75 +0.25
7 Juvenes Dogana 20 8 7 5 31 27 22 +5 29.37 +1.63
8 Fiorentino 20 7 9 4 30 22 18 +4 30.89 -0.89
9 Cosmos 20 8 4 8 28 36 36 0 23.54 +4.46
10 Tre Fiori 20 6 4 10 22 31 41 -10 24.50 -2.50
11 Murata 21 6 2 13 20 28 50 -22 24.19 -4.19
12 Faetano 20 4 4 12 16 16 33 -17 19.98 -3.98
13 Pennarossa 21 2 4 15 10 23 61 -38 21.46 -11.46
14 Cailungo 21 2 3 16 9 20 52 -32 13.54 -4.54
15 San Giovanni 21 1 5 15 8 15 61 -46 11.39 -3.39

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Libertas 47 37.39 +9.61
2 Virtus 41 33.68 +7.32
3 La Fiorita 44 38.74 +5.26
4 Cosmos 28 23.54 +4.46
5 Juvenes Dogana 31 29.37 +1.63

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Pennarossa 10 21.46 -11.46
2 Cailungo 9 13.54 -4.54
3 Murata 20 24.19 -4.19
4 Faetano 16 19.98 -3.98
5 San Giovanni 8 11.39 -3.39

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tre Penne 4 Nov 5 – Nov 27 1 in 37
2 Virtus 5 Nov 26 – Feb 11 1 in 34
3 Cosmos 2 Oct 2 – Oct 16 1 in 34
4 Libertas 5 Dec 3 – Feb 26 1 in 21
5 Fiorentino 3 Feb 25 – Apr 1 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Faetano 7 Feb 18 – Apr 14 1 in 40
2 Murata 6 Nov 19 – Feb 12 1 in 36
3 San Giovanni 11 Nov 16 – Apr 1 1 in 35
4 Cailungo 7 Oct 15 – Dec 11 1 in 33
5 Juvenes Dogana 3 Sep 18 – Oct 1 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Juvenes Dogana 11 Oct 21 – Feb 25 1 in 222
2 Tre Penne 15 Nov 5 – Apr 13 1 in 77
3 Virtus 11 Nov 26 – Apr 4 1 in 25
4 Faetano 4 Oct 2 – Nov 6 1 in 24
5 San Giovanni 3 Apr 5 – Apr 13 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pennarossa 16 Oct 22 – Apr 13 1 in 58
2 Tre Penne 4 Dec 11 – Feb 18 1 in 39
3 Folgore Falciano 4 Dec 10 – Feb 19 1 in 38
4 La Fiorita 3 Oct 15 – Nov 5 1 in 19
5 Faetano 11 Dec 4 – Apr 14 1 in 18

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Libertas 1016 47 +18 11 10.7 +0.3
La Fiorita 1059 44 +138 15 10.0 +5.0
Tre Penne 1025 43 +62 13 10.6 +2.4
Folgore Falciano 1028 43 +47 11 9.6 +1.4
Virtus 935 41 +8 10 9.6 +0.4
Domagnano 902 36 -53 6 8.1 -2.1
Juvenes Dogana 821 31 -36 7 7.3 -0.3
Fiorentino 827 30 +9 8 8.1 -0.1
Cosmos 769 28 -5 7 6.1 +0.9
Tre Fiori 724 22 -8 4 5.3 -1.3
Murata 536 20 -114 3 5.5 -2.5
Faetano 512 16 -94 0 3.0 -3.0
Pennarossa 434 10 -21 2 3.7 -1.7
Cailungo 532 9 +63 5 4.5 +0.5
San Giovanni 404 8 -1 3 3.3 -0.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team CAI COS DOM FAE FIO FF JD LF LIB MUR PEN SG TF TP VIR
Cailungo —
0-0-1
0.68
0-0-2
1.13
1-0-0
0.69
0-0-1
0.53
0-0-2
0.71
0-0-1
0.60
0-0-1
0.32
0-0-2
0.93
1-0-1
1.57
0-2-0
2.03
0-1-1
3.36
0-0-1
0.65
0-0-2
0.65
0-0-1
0.39
Cosmos
1-0-0
2.11
 —
0-0-1
0.97
1-0-1
3.29
0-0-2
1.97
0-1-0
0.61
0-1-1
1.97
0-1-1
1.19
0-0-1
0.91
1-0-0
1.69
1-0-0
1.31
1-0-0
2.13
2-0-0
2.67
0-0-1
0.70
1-1-0
1.20
Domagnano
2-0-0
4.48
1-0-0
1.81
 —
1-0-0
2.19
1-0-0
1.39
0-0-2
2.08
0-1-0
1.82
0-0-1
1.35
0-0-2
2.22
1-1-0
3.46
2-0-0
3.73
1-1-0
4.82
1-0-0
2.02
1-0-1
1.63
0-0-1
1.73
Faetano
0-0-1
2.10
1-0-1
2.28
0-0-1
0.61
 —
0-1-1
1.41
0-0-1
0.59
0-1-1
1.83
1-0-1
0.94
0-0-1
0.77
0-0-1
1.53
1-0-0
1.89
1-0-0
2.10
0-1-1
2.28
0-1-0
0.45
0-0-2
1.29
Fiorentino
1-0-0
2.27
2-0-0
3.60
0-0-1
1.39
1-1-0
4.17
 —
0-1-0
0.67
0-2-0
3.04
1-0-1
1.86
0-0-1
0.81
1-0-0
2.04
0-1-0
2.18
1-0-0
2.29
0-2-0
3.72
0-1-0
0.77
0-1-1
2.43
Folgore Falciano
2-0-0
4.93
0-1-0
2.18
2-0-0
3.49
1-0-0
2.20
0-1-0
2.12
 —
0-0-1
2.07
0-0-1
1.52
0-1-1
3.41
2-0-0
4.36
2-0-0
4.53
2-0-0
5.18
1-0-0
2.13
0-1-1
3.31
1-0-0
1.91
Juvenes Dogana
1-0-0
2.20
1-1-0
3.59
0-1-0
0.96
1-1-0
3.74
0-2-0
2.53
1-0-0
0.72
 —
0-0-2
1.67
0-1-0
0.90
1-0-0
1.88
1-0-0
2.33
1-0-0
2.27
1-0-1
3.44
0-1-0
0.77
0-0-2
2.56
La Fiorita
1-0-0
2.50
1-1-0
4.40
1-0-0
1.43
1-0-1
4.67
1-0-1
3.71
1-0-0
1.26
2-0-0
3.90
 —
0-0-1
1.68
1-0-0
2.13
1-0-0
2.36
1-0-0
2.54
2-0-0
4.06
0-0-1
1.61
1-1-0
3.12
Libertas
2-0-0
4.69
1-0-0
1.87
2-0-0
3.34
1-0-0
2.02
1-0-0
1.97
1-1-0
2.15
0-1-0
1.89
1-0-0
1.10
 —
2-0-0
4.33
2-0-0
3.79
0-2-0
5.08
1-0-0
2.12
0-1-1
2.25
0-0-1
1.70
Murata
1-0-1
4.00
0-0-1
1.09
0-1-1
2.12
1-0-0
1.25
0-0-1
0.75
0-0-2
1.22
0-0-1
0.90
0-0-1
0.66
0-0-2
1.27
 —
2-0-0
2.83
2-0-0
4.23
0-0-1
1.38
0-1-1
1.19
0-0-1
0.61
Pennarossa
0-2-0
3.54
0-0-1
1.47
0-0-2
1.88
0-0-1
0.89
0-1-0
0.62
0-0-2
1.10
0-0-1
0.47
0-0-1
0.44
0-0-2
1.82
0-0-2
2.73
 —
1-1-0
3.93
0-0-1
0.89
1-0-1
0.87
0-0-1
1.05
San Giovanni
1-1-0
2.21
0-0-1
0.66
0-1-1
0.81
0-0-1
0.69
0-0-1
0.51
0-0-2
0.50
0-0-1
0.52
0-0-1
0.29
0-2-0
0.58
0-0-2
1.35
0-1-1
1.65
 —
0-0-1
0.51
0-0-2
0.57
0-0-1
0.38
Tre Fiori
1-0-0
2.14
0-0-2
2.89
0-0-1
0.77
1-1-0
3.29
0-2-0
1.85
0-0-1
0.66
1-0-1
2.12
0-0-2
1.52
0-0-1
0.67
1-0-0
1.40
1-0-0
1.89
1-0-0
2.29
 —
0-0-1
0.74
0-1-1
2.37
Tre Penne
2-0-0
4.99
1-0-0
2.08
1-0-1
3.94
0-1-0
2.35
0-1-0
2.02
1-1-0
2.26
0-1-0
2.02
1-0-0
1.17
1-1-0
3.32
1-1-0
4.40
1-0-1
4.76
2-0-0
5.08
1-0-0
2.05
 —
0-1-0
1.48
Virtus
1-0-0
2.42
0-1-1
4.38
1-0-0
1.05
2-0-0
4.30
1-1-0
3.13
0-0-1
0.88
2-0-0
3.01
0-1-1
2.44
1-0-0
1.08
1-0-0
2.18
1-0-0
1.73
1-0-0
2.43
1-1-0
3.20
0-1-0
1.30
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.72 +9.6
Allowed 0.84 -7.4
Differential 0.96 +5.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.44%5.52%5.52%3.57%2.92%1.95%27.92%
15.52%8.44%6.17%3.25%3.25%2.92%29.55%
25.52%6.17%4.55%2.60%0.65%0.65%20.13%
33.57%3.25%2.60%0.65%——10.06%
42.92%3.25%0.65%———6.82%
5+1.95%2.92%0.65%———5.52%
Total27.92%29.55%20.13%10.06%6.82%5.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 1.57 +0.00
SD 1.51 1.51 2.39
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 154

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—19.05%9.52%4.76%4.76%4.76%42.86%
1—9.52%4.76%4.76%9.52%4.76%33.33%
2——4.76%9.52%——14.29%
3—4.76%————4.76%
4—4.76%————4.76%
5+———————
Total—38.10%19.05%19.05%14.29%9.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 2.48 -1.52
SD 1.12 1.63 2.14
CV 1.17 0.66 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 1 -7

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%—5.00%5.00%——15.00%
115.00%10.00%—15.00%—5.00%45.00%
2———5.00%—5.00%10.00%
3—5.00%5.00%5.00%——15.00%
45.00%—————5.00%
5+5.00%5.00%————10.00%
Total30.00%20.00%10.00%30.00%—10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.80 1.80 +0.00
SD 1.54 1.64 2.47
CV 0.86 0.91 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%14.29%4.76%4.76%4.76%—33.33%
1—4.76%——4.76%—9.52%
24.76%—4.76%———9.52%
314.29%4.76%————19.05%
4—14.29%4.76%———19.05%
5+4.76%4.76%————9.52%
Total28.57%42.86%14.29%4.76%9.52%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.10 1.24 +0.86
SD 1.84 1.22 2.57
CV 0.88 0.99 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%5.00%—50.00%
15.00%5.00%15.00%10.00%——35.00%
2—5.00%————5.00%
3—5.00%————5.00%
4——5.00%———5.00%
5+———————
Total20.00%25.00%30.00%20.00%5.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 1.65 -0.85
SD 1.11 1.18 1.63
CV 1.38 0.72 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
025.00%—15.00%———40.00%
110.00%10.00%5.00%———25.00%
2—10.00%10.00%———20.00%
35.00%10.00%————15.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.00%30.00%30.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 0.90 +0.20
SD 1.12 0.85 1.32
CV 1.02 0.95 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%9.52%————14.29%
14.76%4.76%9.52%———19.05%
24.76%9.52%9.52%———23.81%
314.29%—————14.29%
49.52%4.76%————14.29%
5+9.52%4.76%————14.29%
Total47.62%33.33%19.05%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.52 0.71 +1.81
SD 1.94 0.78 2.34
CV 0.77 1.10 —
Max 7 2 +7
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
025.00%5.00%————30.00%
15.00%10.00%10.00%——5.00%30.00%
25.00%5.00%—5.00%——15.00%
35.00%10.00%10.00%———25.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.00%30.00%20.00%5.00%—5.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.10 +0.25
SD 1.18 1.29 1.52
CV 0.88 1.18 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.00%10.00%———15.00%
15.00%5.00%5.00%———15.00%
25.00%15.00%————20.00%
35.00%—10.00%5.00%——20.00%
410.00%5.00%————15.00%
5+—15.00%————15.00%
Total25.00%45.00%25.00%5.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.55 1.10 +1.45
SD 1.76 0.85 2.11
CV 0.69 0.77 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%4.76%4.76%———23.81%
14.76%4.76%————9.52%
223.81%14.29%4.76%———42.86%
34.76%4.76%4.76%———14.29%
44.76%4.76%————9.52%
5+———————
Total52.38%33.33%14.29%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 0.62 +1.14
SD 1.26 0.74 1.42
CV 0.72 1.20 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.76%9.52%4.76%4.76%9.52%33.33%
14.76%4.76%14.29%4.76%4.76%—33.33%
2—9.52%4.76%—4.76%—19.05%
3——4.76%———4.76%
4———————
5+—4.76%4.76%———9.52%
Total4.76%23.81%38.10%9.52%14.29%9.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 2.38 -1.05
SD 1.49 1.50 2.46
CV 1.12 0.63 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.76%4.76%9.52%—9.52%28.57%
1—9.52%4.76%4.76%14.29%9.52%42.86%
24.76%—9.52%4.76%4.76%—23.81%
3———————
44.76%—————4.76%
5+———————
Total9.52%14.29%19.05%19.05%19.05%19.05%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 2.90 -1.81
SD 1.00 1.81 2.38
CV 0.91 0.62 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%——9.52%19.05%4.76%42.86%
14.76%4.76%14.29%4.76%4.76%9.52%42.86%
2——9.52%——4.76%14.29%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total14.29%4.76%23.81%14.29%23.81%19.05%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.71 2.90 -2.19
SD 0.72 1.76 1.91
CV 1.00 0.61 —
Max 2 6 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%—25.00%
1—10.00%5.00%—5.00%5.00%25.00%
2—10.00%5.00%15.00%——30.00%
3—5.00%5.00%———10.00%
45.00%5.00%————10.00%
5+———————
Total10.00%35.00%20.00%20.00%10.00%5.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 2.05 -0.50
SD 1.28 1.50 2.24
CV 0.82 0.73 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%—4.76%———19.05%
119.05%14.29%——4.76%—38.10%
214.29%—4.76%———19.05%
3———————
4—4.76%————4.76%
5+9.52%4.76%4.76%———19.05%
Total57.14%23.81%14.29%—4.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 0.71 +1.33
SD 2.09 1.06 2.31
CV 1.02 1.48 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%—————5.00%
15.00%20.00%5.00%5.00%—5.00%40.00%
220.00%15.00%————35.00%
35.00%—————5.00%
45.00%5.00%————10.00%
5+—5.00%————5.00%
Total40.00%45.00%5.00%5.00%—5.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.90 0.95 +0.95
SD 1.25 1.23 1.96
CV 0.66 1.30 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 20

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
La Fiorita 1102 44 38.74 +5.26 82.0% 20 27 35 39 42 47 53
Tre Penne 1070 43 41.48 +1.52 65.0% 27 31 38 41 46 50 56
Folgore Falciano 1008 43 43.31 -0.31 50.0% 31 33 39 43 48 52 56
Libertas 998 47 37.39 +9.61 98.0% 24 27 34 37 41 46 49
Virtus 902 41 33.68 +7.32 91.0% 22 24 30 34 36 43 50
Domagnano 902 36 35.75 +0.25 60.0% 20 28 33 36 39 43 49
Fiorentino 827 30 30.89 -0.89 45.0% 17 22 27 31 35 40 46
Juvenes Dogana 803 31 29.37 +1.63 67.0% 17 20 26 28 34 40 46
Cosmos 769 28 23.54 +4.46 87.0% 11 16 20 24 26 31 36
Tre Fiori 724 22 24.50 -2.50 37.0% 14 16 21 25 27 33 39
Murata 536 20 24.19 -4.19 21.0% 7 16 21 24 27 32 39
Cailungo 532 9 13.54 -4.54 14.0% 2 6 11 13 16 22 26
Faetano 512 16 19.98 -3.98 24.0% 8 11 17 20 23 29 35
Pennarossa 434 10 21.46 -11.46 0.0% 11 13 17 21 25 32 36
San Giovanni 404 8 11.39 -3.39 24.0% 2 4 9 11 14 20 23

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -4.5% * Slight Edge: -4.5% to 0.5% * Clear Edge: 0.5% to 5% * Strong Edge: 5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
-5.19%
No Edge
36.36%22.08%41.56%
Elo Value
Home Edge: -18.06 Elo pts.
165 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.06 goals
Neutral
-2-0.11+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 4 * Top-Heavy: 4 to 5 * Open: 5 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.19 * Runaway: 0.19 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.0
Open
145610
Champion Preseason Odds
7%
Libertas, 8th of 15
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Comfortable
00.200.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.28 * Some Luck: 4.28 to 6.42 * Lucky: 6.42 to 8.56 * Wild Swing: 8.56 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.29 * Close: 1.29 to 1.93 * Off: 1.93 to 2.57 * Way Off: 2.57 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 15 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 15 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 15 * As Expected: 15 to 24 * Several Outliers: 24 to 33 * Many Outliers: 33 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.18 points
Some Luck
05.3513
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.20
Pinpoint
01.614
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.67%
98.00%
Libertas
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.33%
0.00%
Pennarossa
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 15
Minimal Outliers
01.57

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Strong Separation: 1.9 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 74% * Slight Edge: 74% to 79.5% * Clear Edge: 79.5% to 84.5% * Wide Edge: 84.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56% * Some Drama: 56% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 65.5% * Very Frequent: 65.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.26
Lopsided
00.20.260.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 231.92
2.23
Wide Separation
11.71.92.23
Interquartile Edge
93%
Wide Edge
50%74%84.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
51%
Few
0%47%100%
Blowouts
Expected
31%
Very Frequent
0%30%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.52 * Strong Carryover: 0.52 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 24.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 24.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 17.5% * Shaky Favorites: 17.5% to 20.5% * Very Shaky: 20.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.51
Highly Predictable
00.542
Matchup Imbalance
0.50
Lopsided
00.370.430.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.96
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.66
Strong Carryover
00.360.520.691
Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Chalky
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
13%
Solid Favorites
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.72
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.25
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.082
Well Within Noise
00.1310.3

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

First Round

Folgore Falciano 2
Virtus 1
Juvenes Dogana 3
Tre Penne 2

Second Round

Folgore Falciano 3
Juvenes Dogana 0
Tre Penne 1
Virtus 0

Third Round

Libertas 1
La Fiorita 0
Tre Penne 3
Juvenes Dogana 1

Quarterfinals

La Fiorita 2
Folgore Falciano 0

Sim: 1.0%

Tre Penne 2
Libertas 0

Semifinals

Tre Penne 1
Folgore Falciano 0

Sim: 4.0%

Finals

La Fiorita 2
Tre Penne 1

Sim: 3.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Libertas7.00%27.00%31.00%30.00%5.00%———
La Fiorita59.00%24.00%11.00%3.00%—2.00%1.00%—
Folgore Falciano53.00%20.00%19.00%7.00%1.00%———
Tre Penne31.00%42.00%16.00%11.00%————
Virtus20.00%36.00%21.00%14.00%6.00%3.00%——
Domagnano9.00%10.00%33.00%42.00%4.00%2.00%——
Juvenes Dogana11.00%8.00%20.00%28.00%18.00%6.00%9.00%—
Fiorentino8.00%26.00%25.00%19.00%17.00%5.00%——
Cosmos—3.00%8.00%10.00%26.00%36.00%17.00%—
Tre Fiori2.00%2.00%12.00%15.00%22.00%32.00%15.00%—
Murata—1.00%1.00%4.00%62.00%28.00%3.00%1.00%
Faetano—1.00%3.00%11.00%11.00%16.00%58.00%—
Pennarossa———6.00%24.00%50.00%19.00%1.00%
Cailungo————3.00%14.00%45.00%38.00%
San Giovanni————1.00%6.00%33.00%60.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level
Cailungo 100%
Cosmos 89.00%
Domagnano 48.00%
Faetano 96.00%
Fiorentino 41.00%
Folgore Falciano —
Juvenes Dogana —
La Fiorita —
Libertas —
Murata 98.00%
Pennarossa 100%
San Giovanni 100%
Tre Fiori 84.00%
Tre Penne —
Virtus —
Loser →
↓ Winner
CosmosDomagnanoFaetanoFiorentinoFolgore FalcianoJuvenes DoganaLa FioritaLibertasMurataTre FioriTre PenneVirtus
Cosmos50.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%
Domagnano50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%12.00%37.5%8.00%44.4%9.00%50.0%6.00%
Faetano0.0%1.00%
Fiorentino33.3%12.00%15.4%13.00%37.5%16.00%50.0%2.00%26.7%15.00%
Folgore Falciano66.7%3.00%84.6%13.00%87.5%8.00%83.3%6.00%33.3%3.00%40.0%10.00%
Juvenes Dogana62.5%8.00%12.5%8.00%14.3%7.00%45.5%11.00%
La Fiorita55.6%9.00%16.7%6.00%33.3%12.00%100.0%1.00%60.0%5.00%
Libertas100.0%1.00%62.5%16.00%85.7%7.00%66.7%12.00%60.0%5.00%56.5%23.00%
Murata50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Tre Fiori66.7%3.00%40.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%20.0%5.00%
Tre Penne66.7%3.00%73.3%15.00%54.5%11.00%40.0%5.00%80.0%5.00%33.3%12.00%
Virtus50.0%6.00%60.0%10.00%43.5%23.00%66.7%12.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
CosmosDomagnanoFiorentinoFolgore FalcianoJuvenes DoganaLa FioritaLibertasMurataTre FioriTre PenneVirtus
Cosmos0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Domagnano40.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%62.5%8.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%83.3%6.00%0.0%2.00%
Fiorentino14.3%7.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%9.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%60.0%5.00%
Folgore Falciano100.0%1.00%60.0%5.00%85.7%7.00%15.8%19.00%31.2%16.00%100.0%1.00%63.6%11.00%68.8%16.00%
Juvenes Dogana0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%20.0%5.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%3.00%
La Fiorita100.0%1.00%37.5%8.00%100.0%9.00%84.2%19.00%80.0%5.00%36.4%11.00%70.6%17.00%25.0%8.00%
Libertas50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%68.8%16.00%63.6%11.00%100.0%1.00%28.6%14.00%66.7%6.00%
Murata0.0%1.00%
Tre Fiori0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%75.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%
Tre Penne16.7%6.00%50.0%2.00%36.4%11.00%66.7%3.00%29.4%17.00%71.4%14.00%100.0%1.00%25.0%4.00%44.4%9.00%
Virtus100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%40.0%5.00%31.2%16.00%100.0%3.00%75.0%8.00%33.3%6.00%0.0%1.00%55.6%9.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
CosmosDomagnanoFiorentinoFolgore FalcianoJuvenes DoganaLa FioritaLibertasMurataTre FioriTre PenneVirtus
Cosmos
Domagnano0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%4.00%20.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Fiorentino100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Folgore Falciano0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%14.00%55.6%9.00%0.0%5.00%66.7%6.00%
Juvenes Dogana100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
La Fiorita50.0%4.00%66.7%3.00%50.0%14.00%100.0%1.00%62.5%8.00%100.0%1.00%27.3%11.00%66.7%9.00%
Libertas80.0%5.00%44.4%9.00%100.0%1.00%37.5%8.00%50.0%4.00%50.0%2.00%
Murata
Tre Fiori0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Tre Penne0.0%1.00%100.0%5.00%72.7%11.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%14.3%7.00%
Virtus100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%6.00%33.3%9.00%50.0%2.00%85.7%7.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Quarterfinals Semifinals Finals
La Fiorita 100% 85.73% 27.56%
Tre Penne 94.31% 43.37% 21.53%
Libertas 100% 63.26% 20.20%
Folgore Falciano 80.81% 37.85% 20.04%
Virtus 47.87% 17.46% 7.66%
Juvenes Dogana 34.37% 9.70% 3.01%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Folgore FalcianoJuvenes DoganaLa FioritaLibertasTre PenneVirtus
Folgore Falciano62.8%128.68%
Juvenes Dogana26.7%128.68%
La Fiorita55.6%257.37%
Libertas44.4%257.37%
Tre Penne73.3%128.68%
Virtus37.2%128.68%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Folgore FalcianoJuvenes DoganaLa FioritaLibertasTre PenneVirtus
Folgore Falciano44.5%44.23%49.7%36.58%
Juvenes Dogana26.2%19.08%30.8%15.29%
La Fiorita55.5%44.23%73.8%19.08%56.0%52.93%65.1%26.78%
Libertas50.3%36.58%69.2%15.29%51.5%41.38%61.6%21.09%
Tre Penne44.0%52.93%48.5%41.38%
Virtus34.9%26.78%38.4%21.09%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Folgore FalcianoJuvenes DoganaLa FioritaLibertasTre PenneVirtus
Folgore Falciano71.1%3.11%48.7%12.16%54.2%9.45%51.7%13.13%
Juvenes Dogana28.9%3.11%28.7%2.78%33.5%2.46%36.2%1.35%
La Fiorita51.3%12.16%71.3%2.78%52.7%15.47%54.6%13.86%61.1%5.92%
Libertas45.8%9.45%66.5%2.46%47.3%15.47%47.8%10.13%53.3%3.94%
Tre Penne48.3%13.13%45.4%13.86%52.2%10.13%57.6%6.25%
Virtus63.8%1.35%38.9%5.92%46.7%3.94%42.4%6.25%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2016-09-09 Folgore Falciano L 0-330.7 724 911 17.37% 21.21% 61.42%-1.25 -30.6 0
2016-09-09 @ Murata W 3-030.7 911 724 61.42% 21.21% 17.37%+1.25 +30.6 3
2016-09-10 Juvenes Dogana L 0-234.8 674 793 23.86% 21.67% 54.47%-0.83 -27.8 0
2016-09-10 @ Cosmos W 2-034.8 793 674 54.47% 21.67% 23.86%+0.83 +27.8 3
2016-09-10 Libertas L 1-248.2 803 769 43.70% 21.97% 34.33%+0.09 -22.7 0
2016-09-10 @ Pennarossa W 2-148.2 769 803 34.33% 21.97% 43.70%-0.09 +22.7 3
2016-09-10 Tre Fiori W 4-145.4 745 817 29.34% 21.87% 48.78%-0.55 +61.1 3
2016-09-10 @ Virtus L 1-445.4 817 745 48.78% 21.87% 29.34%+0.55 -61.1 0
2016-09-11 Cailungo W 4-136.7 767 611 58.44% 21.44% 20.12%+0.84 +29.4 3
2016-09-11 @ Domagnano L 1-436.7 611 767 20.12% 21.44% 58.44%-0.84 -29.4 0
2016-09-11 La Fiorita L 1-243.5 823 905 28.08% 21.84% 50.09%-0.61 -15.9 0
2016-09-11 @ Fiorentino W 2-143.5 905 823 50.09% 21.84% 28.08%+0.61 +15.9 3
2016-09-11 San Giovanni W 4-131.0 985 535 77.42% 17.93% 4.65%+2.62 +7.1 3
2016-09-11 @ Tre Penne L 1-431.0 535 985 4.65% 17.93% 77.42%-2.62 -7.1 0
2016-09-17 Domagnano D 0-049.9 528 796 11.67% 20.42% 67.91%-1.74 +8.2 1
2016-09-17 @ San Giovanni D 0-049.9 796 528 67.91% 20.42% 11.67%+1.74 -8.2 4
2016-09-17 Folgore Falciano L 1-432.2 581 941 7.36% 19.27% 73.38%-2.30 -11.4 0
2016-09-17 @ Cailungo W 4-132.2 941 581 73.38% 19.27% 7.36%+2.30 +11.4 6
2016-09-17 Tre Fiori W 3-245.7 921 756 59.37% 21.38% 19.25%+0.90 +11.0 6
2016-09-17 @ La Fiorita L 2-345.7 756 921 19.25% 21.38% 59.37%-0.90 -11.0 0
2016-09-18 Cosmos W 3-144.0 663 646 41.41% 21.99% 36.61%-0.01 +34.2 3
2016-09-18 @ Faetano L 1-344.0 646 663 36.61% 21.99% 41.41%+0.01 -34.2 0
2016-09-18 Murata L 2-355.3 780 693 50.70% 21.82% 27.48%+0.42 -24.5 0
2016-09-18 @ Pennarossa W 3-255.3 693 780 27.48% 21.82% 50.70%-0.42 +24.5 3
2016-09-18 Tre Penne L 0-134.9 792 992 16.33% 21.10% 62.57%-1.32 -10.6 3
2016-09-18 @ Libertas W 1-034.9 992 792 62.57% 21.10% 16.33%+1.32 +10.6 6
2016-09-18 Virtus L 1-247.4 820 806 40.99% 21.99% 37.03%-0.03 -21.6 3
2016-09-18 @ Juvenes Dogana W 2-147.4 806 820 37.03% 21.99% 40.99%+0.03 +21.6 6
2016-09-23 Faetano W 2-034.4 828 697 55.83% 21.60% 22.57%+0.69 +26.5 9
2016-09-23 @ Virtus L 0-234.4 697 828 22.57% 21.60% 55.83%-0.69 -26.5 3
2016-09-24 Libertas L 0-232.0 570 782 15.43% 21.00% 63.57%-1.40 -18.9 0
2016-09-24 @ Cailungo W 2-032.0 782 570 63.57% 21.00% 15.43%+1.40 +18.9 6
2016-09-24 Pennarossa L 0-247.2 1003 756 66.39% 20.65% 12.97%+1.39 -66.8 6
2016-09-24 @ Tre Penne W 2-047.2 756 1003 12.97% 20.65% 66.39%-1.39 +66.8 3
2016-09-24 San Giovanni W 5-239.1 718 536 60.89% 21.25% 17.86%+0.99 +22.9 6
2016-09-24 @ Murata L 2-539.1 536 718 17.86% 21.25% 60.89%-0.99 -22.9 1
2016-09-25 Domagnano W 4-030.4 953 788 59.30% 21.38% 19.32%+0.89 +44.0 9
2016-09-25 @ Folgore Falciano L 0-430.4 788 953 19.32% 21.38% 59.30%-0.89 -44.0 4
2016-09-25 Fiorentino L 1-337.7 612 807 16.65% 21.13% 62.21%-1.30 -17.6 0
2016-09-25 @ Cosmos W 3-137.7 807 612 62.21% 21.13% 16.65%+1.30 +17.6 3
2016-09-25 Juvenes Dogana W 3-254.1 745 799 31.61% 21.93% 46.47%-0.44 +22.7 3
2016-09-25 @ Tre Fiori L 2-354.1 799 745 46.47% 21.93% 31.61%+0.44 -22.7 3
2016-10-01 Cailungo D 1-153.8 822 551 68.12% 20.38% 11.50%+1.54 -7.4 4
2016-10-01 @ Pennarossa D 1-153.8 551 822 11.50% 20.38% 68.12%-1.54 +7.4 1
2016-10-01 Domagnano W 4-140.2 800 744 46.81% 21.92% 31.27%+0.23 +42.6 9
2016-10-01 @ Libertas L 1-440.2 744 800 31.27% 21.92% 46.81%-0.23 -42.6 4
2016-10-01 La Fiorita L 0-136.1 776 932 20.11% 21.44% 58.45%-1.06 -12.7 3
2016-10-01 @ Juvenes Dogana W 1-036.1 932 776 58.45% 21.44% 20.11%+1.06 +12.7 9
2016-10-01 Tre Penne D 1-153.6 740 936 16.69% 21.14% 62.17%-1.30 +5.8 7
2016-10-01 @ Murata D 1-153.6 936 740 62.17% 21.14% 16.69%+1.30 -5.8 7
2016-10-02 Faetano D 0-049.6 825 670 58.30% 21.45% 20.25%+0.83 -5.3 4
2016-10-02 @ Fiorentino D 0-049.6 670 825 20.25% 21.45% 58.30%-0.83 +5.3 4
2016-10-02 Folgore Falciano L 0-424.6 513 997 3.92% 17.39% 78.69%-3.05 -9.2 1
2016-10-02 @ San Giovanni W 4-024.6 997 513 78.69% 17.39% 3.92%+3.05 +9.2 12
2016-10-02 Virtus W 3-152.8 594 855 12.13% 20.50% 67.37%-1.69 +58.7 3
2016-10-02 @ Cosmos L 1-352.8 855 594 67.37% 20.50% 12.13%+1.69 -58.7 9
2016-10-15 Fiorentino D 0-049.4 796 820 35.63% 21.98% 42.39%-0.26 +0.9 10
2016-10-15 @ Virtus D 0-049.4 820 796 42.39% 21.98% 35.63%+0.26 -0.9 5
2016-10-15 La Fiorita W 1-050.1 676 945 11.61% 20.41% 67.99%-1.75 +36.3 7
2016-10-15 @ Faetano L 0-150.1 945 676 67.99% 20.41% 11.61%+1.75 -36.3 9
2016-10-15 Murata D 2-258.6 701 746 32.79% 21.95% 45.26%-0.38 +1.1 5
2016-10-15 @ Domagnano D 2-258.6 746 701 45.26% 21.95% 32.79%+0.38 -1.1 8
2016-10-15 Tre Penne L 0-131.4 558 930 6.94% 19.10% 73.96%-2.37 -4.6 1
2016-10-15 @ Cailungo W 1-031.4 930 558 73.96% 19.10% 6.94%+2.37 +4.6 10
2016-10-16 Cosmos L 0-146.3 768 653 54.00% 21.69% 24.30%+0.59 -29.0 3
2016-10-16 @ Tre Fiori W 1-046.3 653 768 24.30% 21.69% 54.00%-0.59 +29.0 6
2016-10-16 Libertas L 1-252.6 1006 843 59.10% 21.40% 19.50%+0.88 -29.8 12
2016-10-16 @ Folgore Falciano W 2-152.6 843 1006 19.50% 21.40% 59.10%-0.88 +29.8 12
2016-10-16 Pennarossa L 0-427.0 504 815 9.43% 19.91% 70.66%-2.00 -22.5 1
2016-10-16 @ San Giovanni W 4-027.0 815 504 70.66% 19.91% 9.43%+2.00 +22.5 7
2016-10-21 Faetano D 0-049.4 763 712 46.15% 21.93% 31.92%+0.20 -1.9 4
2016-10-21 @ Juvenes Dogana D 0-049.4 712 763 31.92% 21.93% 46.15%-0.20 +1.9 8
2016-10-22 Fiorentino D 0-049.4 739 819 28.30% 21.85% 49.86%-0.60 +2.9 4
2016-10-22 @ Tre Fiori D 0-049.4 819 739 49.86% 21.85% 28.30%+0.60 -2.9 6
2016-10-22 Folgore Falciano L 0-136.6 837 976 21.83% 21.56% 56.61%-0.95 -13.7 7
2016-10-22 @ Pennarossa W 1-036.6 976 837 56.61% 21.56% 21.83%+0.95 +13.7 15
2016-10-22 San Giovanni L 0-144.8 554 482 48.86% 21.87% 29.27%+0.33 -26.5 1
2016-10-22 @ Cailungo W 1-044.8 482 554 29.27% 21.87% 48.86%-0.33 +26.5 4
2016-10-23 Domagnano L 1-450.0 935 702 65.24% 20.80% 13.96%+1.30 -80.5 10
2016-10-23 @ Tre Penne W 4-150.0 702 935 13.96% 20.80% 65.24%-1.30 +80.4 8
2016-10-23 Murata W 2-034.5 873 745 55.45% 21.62% 22.93%+0.67 +26.9 15
2016-10-23 @ Libertas L 0-234.5 745 873 22.93% 21.62% 55.45%-0.67 -26.9 8
2016-10-23 Virtus D 1-153.4 909 797 53.68% 21.71% 24.62%+0.57 -3.5 10
2016-10-23 @ La Fiorita D 1-153.4 797 909 24.62% 21.71% 53.68%-0.57 +3.5 11
2016-11-05 Cosmos D 3-363.2 905 682 64.55% 20.88% 14.57%+1.25 -4.0 11
2016-11-05 @ La Fiorita D 3-363.2 682 905 14.57% 20.88% 64.55%-1.25 +4.0 7
2016-11-05 Pennarossa W 5-038.1 783 824 33.32% 21.95% 44.73%-0.36 +108.4 11
2016-11-05 @ Domagnano L 0-538.1 824 783 44.73% 21.95% 33.32%+0.36 -108.3 7
2016-11-05 San Giovanni D 0-050.3 900 508 74.93% 18.81% 6.26%+2.27 -10.3 16
2016-11-05 @ Libertas D 0-050.3 508 900 6.26% 18.81% 74.93%-2.27 +10.3 5
2016-11-05 Tre Penne L 0-147.0 990 854 56.29% 21.58% 22.13%+0.71 -30.2 15
2016-11-05 @ Folgore Falciano W 1-047.0 854 990 22.13% 21.58% 56.29%-0.71 +30.2 13
2016-11-06 Cailungo W 1-035.1 718 527 61.77% 21.18% 17.05%+1.05 +11.0 11
2016-11-06 @ Murata L 0-135.1 527 718 17.05% 21.18% 61.77%-1.05 -11.0 1
2016-11-06 Juvenes Dogana D 0-049.4 816 762 46.55% 21.92% 31.53%+0.22 -2.0 7
2016-11-06 @ Fiorentino D 0-049.4 762 816 31.53% 21.92% 46.55%-0.22 +2.0 5
2016-11-06 Tre Fiori D 1-153.3 714 741 35.10% 21.97% 42.92%-0.28 +0.9 9
2016-11-06 @ Faetano D 1-153.3 741 714 42.92% 21.97% 35.10%+0.28 -0.9 5
2016-11-15 Cosmos W 5-238.6 884 686 62.45% 21.11% 16.44%+1.10 +21.3 16
2016-11-15 @ Tre Penne L 2-538.6 686 884 16.44% 21.11% 62.45%-1.10 -21.3 7
2016-11-15 Domagnano W 3-037.0 901 891 40.42% 21.99% 37.59%-0.05 +58.5 14
2016-11-15 @ La Fiorita L 0-337.0 891 901 37.59% 21.99% 40.42%+0.05 -58.5 11
2016-11-15 Folgore Falciano L 1-239.2 741 959 14.89% 20.93% 64.18%-1.44 -9.2 5
2016-11-15 @ Tre Fiori W 2-139.2 959 741 64.18% 20.93% 14.89%+1.44 +9.2 18
2016-11-15 Pennarossa W 2-036.0 800 715 50.43% 21.83% 27.75%+0.41 +31.5 14
2016-11-15 @ Virtus L 0-236.0 715 800 27.75% 21.83% 50.43%-0.41 -31.6 7
2016-11-16 Juvenes Dogana L 2-343.6 516 763 12.96% 20.65% 66.39%-1.61 -7.6 1
2016-11-16 @ Cailungo W 3-243.6 763 516 66.39% 20.65% 12.96%+1.61 +7.6 8
2016-11-16 Libertas L 1-240.4 715 889 18.42% 21.31% 60.28%-1.17 -11.1 9
2016-11-16 @ Faetano W 2-140.4 889 715 60.28% 21.31% 18.42%+1.17 +11.1 19
2016-11-16 San Giovanni W 3-028.2 814 518 69.72% 20.10% 10.18%+1.69 +18.6 10
2016-11-16 @ Fiorentino L 0-328.2 518 814 10.18% 20.10% 69.72%-1.69 -18.6 5
2016-11-19 Faetano L 1-239.6 500 704 16.03% 21.07% 62.91%-1.35 -9.8 5
2016-11-19 @ San Giovanni W 2-139.6 704 500 62.91% 21.07% 16.03%+1.35 +9.8 12
2016-11-19 Fiorentino W 2-039.4 833 833 39.03% 21.99% 38.97%-0.11 +41.5 14
2016-11-19 @ Domagnano L 0-239.4 833 833 38.97% 21.99% 39.03%+0.11 -41.4 10
2016-11-19 Libertas D 0-049.5 771 901 22.75% 21.61% 55.64%-0.90 +4.5 9
2016-11-19 @ Juvenes Dogana D 0-049.5 901 771 55.64% 21.61% 22.75%+0.90 -4.5 20
2016-11-19 Tre Fiori L 1-344.6 729 731 38.69% 21.99% 39.32%-0.12 -35.7 11
2016-11-19 @ Murata W 3-144.6 731 729 39.32% 21.99% 38.69%+0.12 +35.7 8
2016-11-20 Cosmos L 0-537.2 684 664 41.76% 21.98% 36.25%+0.01 -102.4 7
2016-11-20 @ Pennarossa W 5-037.2 664 684 36.25% 21.98% 41.76%-0.01 +102.4 10
2016-11-20 Folgore Falciano L 1-241.6 832 969 21.99% 21.57% 56.44%-0.94 -13.0 14
2016-11-20 @ Virtus W 2-141.6 969 832 56.44% 21.57% 21.99%+0.94 +13.0 21
2016-11-20 Tre Penne L 0-241.6 960 906 46.50% 21.93% 31.57%+0.22 -47.9 14
2016-11-20 @ La Fiorita W 2-041.6 906 960 31.57% 21.93% 46.50%-0.22 +47.9 19
2016-11-26 Fiorentino L 0-133.0 509 791 10.88% 20.26% 68.87%-1.83 -7.2 1
2016-11-26 @ Cailungo W 1-033.0 791 509 68.87% 20.26% 10.88%+1.83 +7.2 13
2016-11-26 Juvenes Dogana L 1-335.7 490 776 10.70% 20.22% 69.08%-1.85 -11.6 5
2016-11-26 @ San Giovanni W 3-135.7 776 490 69.08% 20.22% 10.70%+1.85 +11.6 12
2016-11-26 Pennarossa W 4-243.9 713 582 55.90% 21.60% 22.50%+0.69 +20.5 15
2016-11-26 @ Faetano L 2-443.9 582 713 22.50% 21.60% 55.90%-0.69 -20.5 7
2016-11-26 Virtus L 0-242.5 896 819 49.49% 21.86% 28.66%+0.36 -50.5 20
2016-11-26 @ Libertas W 2-042.5 819 896 28.66% 21.86% 49.49%-0.36 +50.5 17
2016-11-27 Domagnano L 1-536.5 767 874 25.14% 21.73% 53.13%-0.76 -45.9 10
2016-11-27 @ Cosmos W 5-136.5 874 767 53.13% 21.73% 25.14%+0.76 +45.9 17
2016-11-27 La Fiorita L 0-428.9 694 912 14.94% 20.93% 64.13%-1.44 -34.9 11
2016-11-27 @ Murata W 4-028.9 912 694 64.13% 20.93% 14.94%+1.44 +34.9 17
2016-11-27 Tre Penne L 0-232.7 767 953 17.43% 21.21% 61.36%-1.24 -21.1 8
2016-11-27 @ Tre Fiori W 2-032.7 953 767 61.36% 21.21% 17.43%+1.24 +21.1 22
2016-12-03 Cosmos W 3-032.6 846 721 55.09% 21.64% 23.27%+0.65 +39.5 23
2016-12-03 @ Libertas L 0-332.6 721 846 23.27% 21.64% 55.09%-0.65 -39.5 10
2016-12-03 La Fiorita L 1-529.2 501 947 4.76% 18.00% 77.24%-2.82 -9.4 1
2016-12-03 @ Cailungo W 5-129.2 947 501 77.24% 18.00% 4.76%+2.82 +9.4 20
2016-12-03 Murata W 2-141.8 787 659 55.54% 21.62% 22.84%+0.67 +13.4 15
2016-12-03 @ Juvenes Dogana L 1-241.8 659 787 22.84% 21.62% 55.54%-0.67 -13.4 11
2016-12-03 Tre Fiori W 3-031.1 920 746 60.22% 21.31% 18.47%+0.95 +32.3 20
2016-12-03 @ Domagnano L 0-331.1 746 920 18.47% 21.31% 60.22%-0.95 -32.3 8
2016-12-04 Faetano W 3-029.2 982 734 66.44% 20.64% 12.92%+1.40 +23.3 24
2016-12-04 @ Folgore Falciano L 0-329.2 734 982 12.92% 20.64% 66.44%-1.40 -23.3 15
2016-12-04 Pennarossa D 1-153.7 798 561 65.65% 20.75% 13.60%+1.33 -6.7 14
2016-12-04 @ Fiorentino D 1-153.7 561 798 13.60% 20.75% 65.65%-1.33 +6.7 8
2016-12-04 Virtus L 0-425.7 478 869 6.28% 18.82% 74.89%-2.49 -15.0 5
2016-12-04 @ San Giovanni W 4-025.7 869 478 74.89% 18.82% 6.28%+2.49 +15.0 20
2016-12-10 Domagnano L 0-329.3 711 952 13.30% 20.70% 66.00%-1.58 -24.0 15
2016-12-10 @ Faetano W 3-029.3 952 711 66.00% 20.70% 13.30%+1.58 +24.0 23
2016-12-10 Folgore Falciano D 2-258.9 792 1005 15.30% 20.98% 63.72%-1.41 +4.6 15
2016-12-10 @ Fiorentino D 2-258.9 1005 792 63.72% 20.98% 15.30%+1.41 -4.6 25
2016-12-10 Murata W 2-138.8 884 645 65.78% 20.73% 13.49%+1.34 +8.4 23
2016-12-10 @ Virtus L 1-238.8 645 884 13.49% 20.73% 65.78%-1.34 -8.4 11
2016-12-10 San Giovanni W 5-133.2 681 463 64.11% 20.94% 14.95%+1.22 +29.1 13
2016-12-10 @ Cosmos L 1-533.2 463 681 14.95% 20.94% 64.11%-1.22 -29.1 5
2016-12-11 Cailungo W 2-139.2 714 492 64.40% 20.90% 14.70%+1.24 +9.1 11
2016-12-11 @ Tre Fiori L 1-239.2 492 714 14.70% 20.90% 64.40%-1.24 -9.1 1
2016-12-11 Juvenes Dogana D 0-049.6 975 801 60.20% 21.31% 18.49%+0.95 -5.9 23
2016-12-11 @ Tre Penne D 0-049.6 801 975 18.49% 21.31% 60.20%-0.95 +5.9 16
2016-12-11 Libertas L 0-242.3 956 885 48.70% 21.88% 29.42%+0.32 -49.9 20
2016-12-11 @ La Fiorita W 2-042.3 885 956 29.42% 21.88% 48.70%-0.32 +49.8 26
2017-02-04 Faetano W 3-151.6 483 687 16.04% 21.07% 62.89%-1.35 +54.9 4
2017-02-04 @ Cailungo L 1-351.6 687 483 62.89% 21.07% 16.04%+1.35 -54.9 15
2017-02-04 Fiorentino D 1-153.5 969 796 60.06% 21.32% 18.62%+0.94 -5.2 24
2017-02-04 @ Tre Penne D 1-153.5 796 969 18.62% 21.32% 60.06%-0.94 +5.2 16
2017-02-04 Juvenes Dogana L 0-148.6 1000 807 62.03% 21.15% 16.82%+1.07 -33.1 25
2017-02-04 @ Folgore Falciano W 1-048.6 807 1000 16.82% 21.15% 62.03%-1.07 +33.1 19
2017-02-04 Tre Fiori W 4-029.1 935 723 63.62% 20.99% 15.39%+1.18 +35.8 29
2017-02-04 @ Libertas L 0-429.1 723 935 15.39% 20.99% 63.62%-1.18 -35.8 11
2017-02-05 Cosmos L 0-138.9 637 711 29.10% 21.87% 49.03%-0.56 -17.4 11
2017-02-05 @ Murata W 1-038.9 711 637 49.03% 21.87% 29.10%+0.56 +17.4 16
2017-02-05 La Fiorita L 1-432.5 568 906 8.20% 19.56% 72.24%-2.17 -12.7 8
2017-02-05 @ Pennarossa W 4-132.5 906 568 72.24% 19.56% 8.20%+2.17 +12.7 23
2017-02-05 Virtus L 0-145.3 976 893 50.30% 21.83% 27.87%+0.40 -27.2 23
2017-02-05 @ Domagnano W 1-045.3 893 976 27.87% 21.83% 50.30%-0.40 +27.2 26
2017-02-11 Folgore Falciano D 0-049.8 728 967 13.48% 20.73% 65.80%-1.56 +7.6 17
2017-02-11 @ Cosmos D 0-049.8 967 728 65.80% 20.73% 13.48%+1.56 -7.6 26
2017-02-11 Pennarossa W 4-137.4 687 555 55.89% 21.60% 22.51%+0.69 +32.4 14
2017-02-11 @ Tre Fiori L 1-437.4 555 687 22.51% 21.60% 55.89%-0.69 -32.4 8
2017-02-11 San Giovanni W 4-024.6 919 434 78.74% 17.37% 3.89%+2.84 +9.1 26
2017-02-11 @ La Fiorita L 0-424.6 434 919 3.89% 17.37% 78.74%-2.84 -9.1 5
2017-02-11 Virtus L 0-326.8 538 920 6.58% 18.95% 74.47%-2.43 -12.0 4
2017-02-11 @ Cailungo W 3-026.8 920 538 74.47% 18.95% 6.58%+2.43 +12.0 29
2017-02-12 Juvenes Dogana D 1-153.4 949 840 53.40% 21.72% 24.88%+0.56 -3.5 24
2017-02-12 @ Domagnano D 1-153.4 840 949 24.88% 21.72% 53.40%-0.56 +3.5 20
2017-02-12 Murata W 2-140.2 801 620 60.95% 21.25% 17.80%+1.00 +10.8 19
2017-02-12 @ Fiorentino L 1-240.2 620 801 17.80% 21.25% 60.95%-1.00 -10.8 11
2017-02-12 Tre Penne D 0-050.1 632 964 8.48% 19.65% 71.87%-2.13 +9.4 16
2017-02-12 @ Faetano D 0-050.1 964 632 71.87% 19.65% 8.48%+2.13 -9.4 25
2017-02-18 Faetano W 2-148.1 609 641 34.46% 21.97% 43.57%-0.31 +22.7 14
2017-02-18 @ Murata L 1-248.1 641 609 43.57% 21.97% 34.46%+0.31 -22.7 16
2017-02-18 Fiorentino W 2-033.5 971 812 58.68% 21.43% 19.89%+0.85 +23.8 32
2017-02-18 @ Libertas L 0-233.5 812 971 19.89% 21.43% 58.68%-0.85 -23.8 19
2017-02-18 Pennarossa W 3-027.8 843 523 71.22% 19.79% 8.98%+1.84 +16.4 23
2017-02-18 @ Juvenes Dogana L 0-327.8 523 843 8.98% 19.79% 71.22%-1.84 -16.4 8
2017-02-18 Virtus D 1-153.3 954 932 42.15% 21.98% 35.87%+0.02 -0.7 26
2017-02-18 @ Tre Penne D 1-153.3 932 954 35.87% 21.98% 42.15%-0.02 +0.7 30
2017-02-19 Cosmos L 0-429.2 526 736 15.58% 21.01% 63.41%-1.38 -36.2 4
2017-02-19 @ Cailungo W 4-029.2 736 526 63.41% 21.01% 15.58%+1.38 +36.2 20
2017-02-19 Folgore Falciano W 2-148.1 928 960 34.57% 21.97% 43.46%-0.30 +22.6 29
2017-02-19 @ La Fiorita L 1-248.1 960 928 43.46% 21.97% 34.57%+0.30 -22.6 26
2017-02-19 Tre Fiori L 1-237.6 425 719 10.26% 20.12% 69.62%-1.90 -6.4 5
2017-02-19 @ San Giovanni W 2-137.6 719 425 69.62% 20.12% 10.26%+1.90 +6.5 17
2017-02-25 Cosmos D 1-153.4 860 772 50.80% 21.82% 27.38%+0.42 -2.8 24
2017-02-25 @ Juvenes Dogana D 1-153.4 772 860 27.38% 21.82% 50.80%-0.42 +2.8 21
2017-02-25 Domagnano L 1-333.1 490 946 4.50% 17.83% 77.67%-2.88 -4.9 4
2017-02-25 @ Cailungo W 3-133.1 946 490 77.67% 17.83% 4.50%+2.88 +4.9 27
2017-02-25 Fiorentino L 1-252.6 951 788 59.05% 21.40% 19.55%+0.88 -29.8 29
2017-02-25 @ La Fiorita W 2-152.6 788 951 19.55% 21.40% 59.05%-0.88 +29.8 22
2017-02-25 Tre Penne L 0-523.9 419 953 3.01% 16.54% 80.45%-3.36 -8.5 5
2017-02-25 @ San Giovanni W 5-023.9 953 419 80.45% 16.54% 3.01%+3.36 +8.5 29
2017-02-26 Murata W 5-027.0 937 631 70.34% 19.98% 9.68%+1.75 +28.5 29
2017-02-26 @ Folgore Falciano L 0-527.0 631 937 9.68% 19.98% 70.34%-1.75 -28.5 14
2017-02-26 Pennarossa W 3-132.7 994 506 78.87% 17.31% 3.82%+2.86 +4.1 35
2017-02-26 @ Libertas L 1-332.7 506 994 3.82% 17.31% 78.87%-2.86 -4.1 8
2017-02-26 Virtus D 1-153.6 726 933 15.78% 21.04% 63.18%-1.37 +6.1 18
2017-02-26 @ Tre Fiori D 1-153.6 933 726 63.18% 21.04% 15.78%+1.37 -6.1 31
2017-03-03 Juvenes Dogana W 5-137.8 927 857 48.55% 21.88% 29.57%+0.31 +52.6 34
2017-03-03 @ Virtus L 1-537.8 857 927 29.57% 21.88% 48.55%-0.31 -52.6 24
2017-03-04 Faetano W 1-036.1 775 618 58.44% 21.44% 20.12%+0.84 +12.7 24
2017-03-04 @ Cosmos L 0-136.1 618 775 20.12% 21.44% 58.44%-0.84 -12.7 16
2017-03-04 La Fiorita L 1-632.7 732 921 17.20% 21.19% 61.61%-1.26 -40.5 18
2017-03-04 @ Tre Fiori W 6-132.7 921 732 61.61% 21.19% 17.20%+1.26 +40.5 32
2017-03-04 Pennarossa W 5-136.7 603 502 52.36% 21.76% 25.88%+0.50 +47.1 17
2017-03-04 @ Murata L 1-536.7 502 603 25.88% 21.76% 52.36%-0.50 -47.1 8
2017-03-05 Cailungo W 7-025.3 965 485 78.59% 17.43% 3.97%+2.81 +15.8 32
2017-03-05 @ Folgore Falciano L 0-725.3 485 965 3.97% 17.43% 78.59%-2.81 -15.8 4
2017-03-05 Libertas D 0-049.4 962 999 33.89% 21.96% 44.15%-0.33 +1.3 30
2017-03-05 @ Tre Penne D 0-049.4 999 962 44.15% 21.96% 33.89%+0.33 -1.3 36
2017-03-05 San Giovanni W 3-025.0 951 410 80.63% 16.44% 2.92%+3.18 +5.1 30
2017-03-05 @ Domagnano L 0-325.0 410 951 2.92% 16.44% 80.63%-3.18 -5.1 5
2017-03-11 Cosmos W 3-143.4 818 787 43.37% 21.97% 34.66%+0.08 +32.7 25
2017-03-11 @ Fiorentino L 1-343.4 787 818 34.66% 21.97% 43.37%-0.08 -32.7 24
2017-03-11 Folgore Falciano L 0-238.3 956 981 35.41% 21.98% 42.61%-0.26 -38.4 30
2017-03-11 @ Domagnano W 2-038.3 981 956 42.61% 21.98% 35.41%+0.26 +38.4 35
2017-03-11 Tre Fiori W 3-247.4 804 691 53.78% 21.70% 24.52%+0.58 +13.5 27
2017-03-11 @ Juvenes Dogana L 2-347.4 691 804 24.52% 21.70% 53.78%-0.58 -13.5 18
2017-03-11 Virtus L 1-236.3 606 979 6.87% 19.08% 74.05%-2.38 -4.3 16
2017-03-11 @ Faetano W 2-136.3 979 606 74.05% 19.08% 6.87%+2.38 +4.3 37
2017-03-12 Cailungo W 3-239.5 997 469 80.24% 16.65% 3.11%+3.10 +1.8 39
2017-03-12 @ Libertas L 2-339.5 469 997 3.11% 16.65% 80.24%-3.10 -1.8 4
2017-03-12 Murata L 1-238.6 405 650 13.10% 20.67% 66.23%-1.60 -8.1 5
2017-03-12 @ San Giovanni W 2-138.6 650 405 66.23% 20.67% 13.10%+1.60 +8.1 20
2017-03-12 Tre Penne L 1-726.7 455 963 3.45% 16.98% 79.57%-3.20 -9.7 8
2017-03-12 @ Pennarossa W 7-126.7 963 455 79.57% 16.98% 3.45%+3.20 +9.7 33
2017-04-01 Cosmos D 1-153.7 984 755 64.99% 20.83% 14.18%+1.28 -6.6 38
2017-04-01 @ Virtus D 1-153.7 755 984 14.18% 20.83% 64.99%-1.28 +6.6 25
2017-04-01 Fiorentino L 0-133.7 601 851 12.81% 20.62% 66.57%-1.63 -8.4 16
2017-04-01 @ Faetano W 1-033.7 851 601 66.57% 20.62% 12.81%+1.63 +8.4 28
2017-04-01 Murata W 6-027.1 973 658 70.89% 19.86% 9.24%+1.80 +32.3 36
2017-04-01 @ Tre Penne L 0-627.1 658 973 9.24% 19.86% 70.89%-1.80 -32.3 20
2017-04-01 San Giovanni W 6-126.3 1020 397 83.06% 15.03% 1.91%+3.68 +4.3 38
2017-04-01 @ Folgore Falciano L 1-626.3 397 1020 1.91% 15.03% 83.06%-3.68 -4.3 5
2017-04-02 Juvenes Dogana W 2-141.3 961 818 57.16% 21.53% 21.32%+0.76 +12.6 35
2017-04-02 @ La Fiorita L 1-241.3 818 961 21.32% 21.53% 57.16%-0.76 -12.6 27
2017-04-02 Libertas L 0-138.6 917 999 28.12% 21.84% 50.04%-0.61 -16.9 30
2017-04-02 @ Domagnano W 1-038.6 999 917 50.04% 21.84% 28.12%+0.61 +16.9 42
2017-04-02 Pennarossa D 2-258.6 467 445 42.10% 21.98% 35.92%+0.02 -0.5 5
2017-04-02 @ Cailungo D 2-258.6 445 467 35.92% 21.98% 42.10%-0.02 +0.5 9
2017-04-04 Tre Fiori W 3-248.5 761 678 50.24% 21.83% 27.92%+0.40 +15.0 28
2017-04-04 @ Cosmos L 2-348.5 678 761 27.92% 21.83% 50.24%-0.40 -15.0 18
2017-04-04 Virtus L 0-234.8 859 977 24.01% 21.68% 54.31%-0.82 -28.0 28
2017-04-04 @ Fiorentino W 2-034.8 977 859 54.31% 21.68% 24.01%+0.82 +28.0 41
2017-04-05 Cailungo W 2-026.9 1005 467 80.57% 16.48% 2.95%+3.16 +3.6 39
2017-04-05 @ Tre Penne L 0-226.9 467 1005 2.95% 16.48% 80.57%-3.16 -3.6 5
2017-04-05 Domagnano L 2-440.1 626 900 11.31% 20.35% 68.35%-1.78 -11.0 20
2017-04-05 @ Murata W 4-240.1 900 626 68.35% 20.35% 11.31%+1.78 +11.0 33
2017-04-05 Faetano W 2-028.8 974 593 74.42% 18.97% 6.61%+2.21 +8.3 38
2017-04-05 @ La Fiorita L 0-228.8 593 974 6.61% 18.97% 74.42%-2.21 -8.3 16
2017-04-05 Folgore Falciano D 1-153.3 1016 1024 37.85% 21.99% 40.16%-0.16 +0.3 43
2017-04-05 @ Libertas D 1-153.3 1024 1016 40.16% 21.99% 37.85%+0.16 -0.3 39
2017-04-05 San Giovanni D 2-258.6 446 393 46.40% 21.93% 31.67%+0.21 -1.3 10
2017-04-05 @ Pennarossa D 2-258.6 393 446 31.67% 21.93% 46.40%-0.21 +1.3 6
2017-04-08 Cailungo D 1-153.3 394 463 29.65% 21.88% 48.47%-0.53 +2.2 7
2017-04-08 @ San Giovanni D 1-153.3 463 394 48.47% 21.88% 29.65%+0.53 -2.2 6
2017-04-08 Libertas L 0-228.5 615 1016 5.96% 18.67% 75.37%-2.55 -7.5 20
2017-04-08 @ Murata W 2-028.5 1016 615 75.37% 18.67% 5.96%+2.55 +7.5 46
2017-04-08 Pennarossa W 3-024.6 1024 445 81.82% 15.79% 2.39%+3.41 +4.2 42
2017-04-08 @ Folgore Falciano L 0-324.6 445 1024 2.39% 15.79% 81.82%-3.41 -4.1 10
2017-04-08 Tre Penne L 0-138.0 911 1009 26.26% 21.78% 51.97%-0.70 -16.0 33
2017-04-08 @ Domagnano W 1-038.0 1009 911 51.97% 21.78% 26.26%+0.70 +16.0 42
2017-04-09 Juvenes Dogana L 1-337.1 585 805 14.78% 20.91% 64.31%-1.45 -15.8 16
2017-04-09 @ Faetano W 3-137.1 805 585 64.31% 20.91% 14.78%+1.45 +15.8 30
2017-04-09 La Fiorita L 1-541.7 1005 982 42.21% 21.98% 35.80%+0.03 -69.9 41
2017-04-09 @ Virtus W 5-141.7 982 1005 35.80% 21.98% 42.21%-0.03 +69.9 41
2017-04-09 Tre Fiori D 2-258.8 831 663 59.69% 21.35% 18.96%+0.92 -3.8 29
2017-04-09 @ Fiorentino D 2-258.8 663 831 18.96% 21.35% 59.69%-0.92 +3.8 19
2017-04-13 Domagnano L 1-430.9 440 895 4.53% 17.85% 77.62%-2.88 -6.9 10
2017-04-13 @ Pennarossa W 4-130.9 895 440 77.62% 17.85% 4.53%+2.88 +6.9 36
2017-04-13 Folgore Falciano D 2-258.6 1025 1028 38.56% 21.99% 39.45%-0.13 +0.1 43
2017-04-13 @ Tre Penne D 2-258.6 1028 1025 39.45% 21.99% 38.56%+0.13 -0.1 43
2017-04-13 Libertas D 2-260.7 396 1024 1.86% 14.95% 83.19%-3.92 +8.0 8
2017-04-13 @ San Giovanni D 2-260.7 1024 396 83.19% 14.95% 1.86%+3.92 -8.0 47
2017-04-13 Murata W 4-147.9 461 607 21.04% 21.51% 57.45%-1.00 +71.0 9
2017-04-13 @ Cailungo L 1-447.9 607 461 57.45% 21.51% 21.04%+1.00 -71.0 20
2017-04-14 Faetano W 4-032.6 667 569 52.00% 21.77% 26.23%+0.48 +57.1 22
2017-04-14 @ Tre Fiori L 0-432.6 569 667 26.23% 21.77% 52.00%-0.48 -57.1 16
2017-04-14 Fiorentino D 0-049.4 821 828 38.03% 21.99% 39.98%-0.15 +0.2 31
2017-04-14 @ Juvenes Dogana D 0-049.4 828 821 39.98% 21.99% 38.03%+0.15 -0.2 30
2017-04-14 La Fiorita L 2-343.0 776 1052 11.23% 20.33% 68.44%-1.79 -6.7 28
2017-04-14 @ Cosmos W 3-243.0 1052 776 68.44% 20.33% 11.23%+1.79 +6.7 44

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2017-04-29 Folgore Falciano L 1-243.1 935 1028 26.80% 21.80% 51.40%-0.56 -15.3 0-1
2017-04-29 @ Virtus W 2-143.1 1028 935 51.40% 21.80% 26.80%+0.56 +15.3 1-0
2017-04-29 Juvenes Dogana L 2-358.7 1025 821 62.91% 21.07% 16.02%+1.24 -30.1 0-1
2017-04-29 @ Tre Penne W 3-258.7 821 1025 16.02% 21.07% 62.91%-1.24 +30.0 1-0
2017-05-03 Juvenes Dogana W 3-030.6 1043 851 61.87% 21.17% 16.96%+1.17 +30.0 2-0
2017-05-03 @ Folgore Falciano L 0-330.6 851 1043 16.96% 21.17% 61.87%-1.17 -30.0 1-1
2017-05-05 Tre Penne L 0-138.9 920 995 28.92% 21.86% 49.22%-0.46 -17.3 0-2
2017-05-05 @ Virtus W 1-038.9 995 920 49.22% 21.86% 28.92%+0.46 +17.3 1-1
2017-05-06 Libertas L 0-143.7 1059 1016 45.03% 21.95% 33.02%+0.26 -24.7 0-1
2017-05-06 @ La Fiorita W 1-043.7 1016 1059 33.02% 21.95% 45.03%-0.26 +24.7 1-0
2017-05-09 Tre Penne L 1-337.9 821 1012 17.05% 21.18% 61.78%-1.16 -17.9 1-2
2017-05-09 @ Juvenes Dogana W 3-137.9 1012 821 61.78% 21.18% 17.05%+1.16 +17.9 2-1
2017-05-12 La Fiorita L 0-241.1 1073 1034 44.48% 21.96% 33.56%+0.24 -46.1 2-1
2017-05-12 @ Folgore Falciano W 2-041.1 1034 1073 33.56% 21.96% 44.48%-0.24 +46.1 1-1
2017-05-13 Libertas W 2-039.9 1030 1040 37.54% 21.99% 40.47%-0.06 +42.7 3-1
2017-05-13 @ Tre Penne L 0-239.9 1040 1030 40.47% 21.99% 37.54%+0.06 -42.7 1-1
2017-05-16 Tre Penne L 0-140.0 1027 1073 32.66% 21.94% 45.39%-0.28 -19.1 2-2
2017-05-16 @ Folgore Falciano W 1-040.0 1073 1027 45.39% 21.94% 32.66%+0.28 +19.1 4-1
2017-05-20 Tre Penne W 2-147.3 1080 1092 37.33% 21.99% 40.68%-0.07 +21.4 2-1
2017-05-20 @ La Fiorita L 1-247.3 1092 1080 40.68% 21.99% 37.33%+0.07 -21.4 4-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2016-10-15 11.61% @ Faetano 676 1 La Fiorita 945 0
2 2016-10-02 12.13% @ Cosmos 594 3 Virtus 855 1
3 2016-09-24 12.97% Pennarossa 756 2 @ Tre Penne 1003 0
4 2016-10-23 13.96% Domagnano 702 4 @ Tre Penne 935 1
5 2017-04-29 * 16.02% Juvenes Dogana 821 3 @ Tre Penne 1025 2
6 2017-02-04 16.04% @ Cailungo 483 3 Faetano 687 1
7 2017-02-04 16.82% Juvenes Dogana 807 1 @ Folgore Falciano 1000 0
8 2016-10-16 19.50% Libertas 843 2 @ Folgore Falciano 1006 1
9 2017-02-25 19.55% Fiorentino 788 2 @ La Fiorita 951 1
10 2017-04-13 21.04% @ Cailungo 461 4 Murata 607 1
11 2016-11-05 22.13% Tre Penne 854 1 @ Folgore Falciano 990 0
12 2016-10-16 24.30% Cosmos 653 1 @ Tre Fiori 768 0
13 2016-09-18 27.48% Murata 693 3 @ Pennarossa 780 2
14 2017-02-05 27.87% Virtus 893 1 @ Domagnano 976 0
15 2016-11-26 28.66% Virtus 819 2 @ Libertas 896 0
16 2016-10-22 29.27% San Giovanni 482 1 @ Cailungo 554 0
17 2016-09-10 29.34% @ Virtus 745 4 Tre Fiori 817 1
18 2016-12-11 29.42% Libertas 885 2 @ La Fiorita 956 0
19 2016-11-20 31.57% Tre Penne 906 2 @ La Fiorita 960 0
20 2016-09-25 31.61% @ Tre Fiori 745 3 Juvenes Dogana 799 2
21 2017-05-06 * 33.02% Libertas 1016 1 @ La Fiorita 1059 0
22 2016-11-05 33.32% @ Domagnano 783 5 Pennarossa 824 0
23 2017-05-12 * 33.56% La Fiorita 1034 2 @ Folgore Falciano 1073 0
24 2016-09-10 34.33% Libertas 769 2 @ Pennarossa 803 1
25 2017-02-18 34.46% @ Murata 609 2 Faetano 641 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2016-11-05 108.36 @ Domagnano 5 783 33.32% Pennarossa 0 824 44.73% 21.95%
2 2016-11-20 102.41 Cosmos 5 664 36.25% @ Pennarossa 0 684 41.76% 21.98%
3 2016-10-23 80.45 Domagnano 4 702 13.96% @ Tre Penne 1 935 65.24% 20.80%
4 2017-04-13 71.03 @ Cailungo 4 461 21.04% Murata 1 607 57.45% 21.51%
5 2017-04-09 69.85 La Fiorita 5 982 35.80% @ Virtus 1 1005 42.21% 21.98%
6 2016-09-24 66.84 Pennarossa 2 756 12.97% @ Tre Penne 0 1003 66.39% 20.65%
7 2016-09-10 61.13 @ Virtus 4 745 29.34% Tre Fiori 1 817 48.78% 21.87%
8 2016-10-02 58.73 @ Cosmos 3 594 12.13% Virtus 1 855 67.37% 20.50%
9 2016-11-15 58.52 @ La Fiorita 3 901 40.42% Domagnano 0 891 37.59% 21.99%
10 2017-04-14 57.13 @ Tre Fiori 4 667 52.00% Faetano 0 569 26.23% 21.77%
11 2017-02-04 54.85 @ Cailungo 3 483 16.04% Faetano 1 687 62.89% 21.07%
12 2017-03-03 52.58 @ Virtus 5 927 48.55% Juvenes Dogana 1 857 29.57% 21.88%
13 2016-11-26 50.55 Virtus 2 819 28.66% @ Libertas 0 896 49.49% 21.86%
14 2016-12-11 49.85 Libertas 2 885 29.42% @ La Fiorita 0 956 48.70% 21.88%
15 2016-11-20 47.88 Tre Penne 2 906 31.57% @ La Fiorita 0 960 46.50% 21.93%
16 2017-03-04 47.08 @ Murata 5 603 52.36% Pennarossa 1 502 25.88% 21.76%
17 2017-05-12 * 46.12 La Fiorita 2 1034 33.56% @ Folgore Falciano 0 1073 44.48% 21.96%
18 2016-11-27 45.94 Domagnano 5 874 53.13% @ Cosmos 1 767 25.14% 21.73%
19 2016-09-25 43.96 @ Folgore Falciano 4 953 59.30% Domagnano 0 788 19.32% 21.38%
20 2017-05-13 * 42.70 @ Tre Penne 2 1030 37.54% Libertas 0 1040 40.47% 21.99%
21 2016-10-01 42.62 @ Libertas 4 800 46.81% Domagnano 1 744 31.27% 21.92%
22 2016-11-19 41.45 @ Domagnano 2 833 39.03% Fiorentino 0 833 38.97% 21.99%
23 2017-03-04 40.46 La Fiorita 6 921 61.61% @ Tre Fiori 1 732 17.20% 21.19%
24 2016-12-03 39.53 @ Libertas 3 846 55.09% Cosmos 0 721 23.27% 21.64%
25 2017-03-11 38.44 Folgore Falciano 2 981 42.61% @ Domagnano 0 956 35.41% 21.98%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2016-11-05 63.2 @ La Fiorita 3 905 64.55% Cosmos 3 682 14.57% 20.88%
2 2017-04-13 60.7 @ San Giovanni 2 396 1.86% Libertas 2 1024 83.19% 14.95%
3 2016-12-10 58.9 @ Fiorentino 2 792 15.30% Folgore Falciano 2 1005 63.72% 20.98%
4 2017-04-09 58.8 @ Fiorentino 2 831 59.69% Tre Fiori 2 663 18.96% 21.35%
5 2017-04-29 * 58.7 Juvenes Dogana 3 821 16.02% @ Tre Penne 2 1025 62.91% 21.07%
6 2016-10-15 58.6 @ Domagnano 2 701 32.79% Murata 2 746 45.26% 21.95%
7 2017-04-02 58.6 @ Cailungo 2 467 42.10% Pennarossa 2 445 35.92% 21.98%
8 2017-04-05 58.6 @ Pennarossa 2 446 46.40% San Giovanni 2 393 31.67% 21.93%
9 2017-04-13 58.6 @ Tre Penne 2 1025 38.56% Folgore Falciano 2 1028 39.45% 21.99%
10 2016-09-18 55.3 Murata 3 693 27.48% @ Pennarossa 2 780 50.70% 21.82%
11 2016-09-25 54.1 @ Tre Fiori 3 745 31.61% Juvenes Dogana 2 799 46.47% 21.93%
12 2016-10-01 53.8 @ Pennarossa 1 822 68.12% Cailungo 1 551 11.50% 20.38%
13 2016-12-04 53.7 @ Fiorentino 1 798 65.65% Pennarossa 1 561 13.60% 20.75%
14 2017-04-01 53.7 @ Virtus 1 984 64.99% Cosmos 1 755 14.18% 20.83%
15 2016-10-01 53.6 @ Murata 1 740 16.69% Tre Penne 1 936 62.17% 21.14%
16 2017-02-26 53.6 @ Tre Fiori 1 726 15.78% Virtus 1 933 63.18% 21.04%
17 2017-02-04 53.5 @ Tre Penne 1 969 60.06% Fiorentino 1 796 18.62% 21.32%
18 2016-10-23 53.4 @ La Fiorita 1 909 53.68% Virtus 1 797 24.62% 21.71%
19 2017-02-12 53.4 @ Domagnano 1 949 53.40% Juvenes Dogana 1 840 24.88% 21.72%
20 2017-02-25 53.4 @ Juvenes Dogana 1 860 50.80% Cosmos 1 772 27.38% 21.82%
21 2016-11-06 53.3 @ Faetano 1 714 35.10% Tre Fiori 1 741 42.92% 21.97%
22 2017-02-18 53.3 @ Tre Penne 1 954 42.15% Virtus 1 932 35.87% 21.98%
23 2017-04-05 53.3 @ Libertas 1 1016 37.85% Folgore Falciano 1 1024 40.16% 21.99%
24 2017-04-08 53.3 @ San Giovanni 1 394 29.65% Cailungo 1 463 48.47% 21.88%
25 2016-10-02 52.8 @ Cosmos 3 594 12.13% Virtus 1 855 67.37% 20.50%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-02-25 23.9 Tre Penne 5 953 80.45% @ San Giovanni 0 419 3.01% 16.54%
2 2016-10-02 24.6 Folgore Falciano 4 997 78.69% @ San Giovanni 0 513 3.92% 17.39%
3 2017-02-11 24.6 @ La Fiorita 4 919 78.74% San Giovanni 0 434 3.89% 17.37%
4 2017-04-08 24.6 @ Folgore Falciano 3 1024 81.82% Pennarossa 0 445 2.39% 15.79%
5 2017-03-05 25.0 @ Domagnano 3 951 80.63% San Giovanni 0 410 2.92% 16.44%
6 2017-03-05 25.3 @ Folgore Falciano 7 965 78.59% Cailungo 0 485 3.97% 17.43%
7 2016-12-04 25.7 Virtus 4 869 74.89% @ San Giovanni 0 478 6.28% 18.82%
8 2017-04-01 26.3 @ Folgore Falciano 6 1020 83.06% San Giovanni 1 397 1.91% 15.03%
9 2017-03-12 26.7 Tre Penne 7 963 79.57% @ Pennarossa 1 455 3.45% 16.98%
10 2017-02-11 26.8 Virtus 3 920 74.47% @ Cailungo 0 538 6.58% 18.95%
11 2017-04-05 26.9 @ Tre Penne 2 1005 80.57% Cailungo 0 467 2.95% 16.48%
12 2016-10-16 27.0 Pennarossa 4 815 70.66% @ San Giovanni 0 504 9.43% 19.91%
13 2017-02-26 27.0 @ Folgore Falciano 5 937 70.34% Murata 0 631 9.68% 19.98%
14 2017-04-01 27.1 @ Tre Penne 6 973 70.89% Murata 0 658 9.24% 19.86%
15 2017-02-18 27.8 @ Juvenes Dogana 3 843 71.22% Pennarossa 0 523 8.98% 19.79%
16 2016-11-16 28.2 @ Fiorentino 3 814 69.72% San Giovanni 0 518 10.18% 20.10%
17 2017-04-08 28.5 Libertas 2 1016 75.37% @ Murata 0 615 5.96% 18.67%
18 2017-04-05 28.8 @ La Fiorita 2 974 74.42% Faetano 0 593 6.61% 18.97%
19 2016-11-27 28.9 La Fiorita 4 912 64.13% @ Murata 0 694 14.94% 20.93%
20 2017-02-04 29.1 @ Libertas 4 935 63.62% Tre Fiori 0 723 15.39% 20.99%
21 2016-12-03 29.2 La Fiorita 5 947 77.24% @ Cailungo 1 501 4.76% 18.00%
22 2016-12-04 29.2 @ Folgore Falciano 3 982 66.44% Faetano 0 734 12.92% 20.64%
23 2017-02-19 29.2 Cosmos 4 736 63.41% @ Cailungo 0 526 15.58% 21.01%
24 2016-12-10 29.3 Domagnano 3 952 66.00% @ Faetano 0 711 13.30% 20.70%
25 2016-09-25 30.4 @ Folgore Falciano 4 953 59.30% Domagnano 0 788 19.32% 21.38%