2017-18 Campionato Sammarinese Season

154 games · 6 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

La Fiorita

50 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

La Fiorita

6.93 points above expected

50 points · 43.07 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Murata

9.46 points below expected

1 points · 10.46 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	La Fiorita	21	16	2	3	50	60	16	+44	43.07	+6.93
2	Tre Penne	21	16	2	3	50	52	13	+39	45.06	+4.94
3	Libertas	20	14	2	4	44	42	15	+27	40.67	+3.33
4	Folgore Falciano	20	13	5	2	44	35	11	+24	41.88	+2.12
5	Tre Fiori	20	11	5	4	38	45	24	+21	33.32	+4.68
6	Domagnano	21	11	4	6	37	40	35	+5	36.29	+0.71
7	Juvenes Dogana	21	9	4	8	31	38	34	+4	31.39	-0.39
8	Cosmos	21	7	7	7	28	42	30	+12	32.21	-4.21
9	Pennarossa	21	6	7	8	25	21	36	-15	18.44	+6.56
10	Cailungo	20	6	4	10	22	21	29	-8	21.86	+0.14
11	Faetano	21	5	4	12	19	36	47	-11	21.02	-2.02
12	Virtus	20	5	4	11	19	25	41	-16	26.68	-7.68
13	Fiorentino	20	4	2	14	14	13	39	-26	21.86	-7.86
14	San Giovanni	21	4	1	16	13	18	61	-43	12.12	+0.88
15	Murata	20	0	1	19	1	11	68	-57	10.46	-9.46

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	La Fiorita	50	43.07	+6.93
2	Pennarossa	25	18.44	+6.56
3	Tre Penne	50	45.06	+4.94
4	Tre Fiori	38	33.32	+4.68
5	Libertas	44	40.67	+3.33

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Murata	1	10.46	-9.46
2	Fiorentino	14	21.86	-7.86
3	Virtus	19	26.68	-7.68
4	Cosmos	28	32.21	-4.21
5	Faetano	19	21.02	-2.02

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Domagnano	6	Sep 30 – Nov 19	1 in 125
2	San Giovanni	2	Nov 5 – Nov 18	1 in 62
3	Tre Fiori	4	Sep 9 – Oct 15	1 in 50
4	La Fiorita	8	Feb 4 – Mar 29	1 in 28
5	Pennarossa	2	Sep 18 – Sep 24	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Murata	15	Sep 10 – Feb 11	1 in 240
2	La Fiorita	3	Sep 30 – Oct 21	1 in 168
3	Fiorentino	4	Jan 21 – Feb 17	1 in 12
4	San Giovanni	6	Sep 18 – Oct 28	1 in 11
5	Virtus	4	Mar 7 – Mar 18	1 in 9

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Pennarossa	6	Sep 9 – Oct 22	1 in 453
2	Cailungo	5	Sep 9 – Oct 14	1 in 117
3	La Fiorita	15	Oct 28 – Mar 29	1 in 51
4	Folgore Falciano	13	Nov 18 – Mar 28	1 in 17
5	Domagnano	7	Sep 30 – Dec 3	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Tre Fiori	5	Jan 14 – Feb 16	1 in 29
2	La Fiorita	3	Sep 30 – Oct 21	1 in 23
3	Murata	20	Sep 10 – Mar 28	1 in 18
4	Juvenes Dogana	4	Sep 8 – Sep 30	1 in 17
5	Virtus	5	Nov 5 – Dec 13	1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
La Fiorita	1105	50	+90	15	10.2	+4.8
Tre Penne	1094	50	+9	12	11.6	+0.4
Folgore Falciano	1024	44	+28	13	11.6	+1.4
Libertas	1012	44	+44	13	10.4	+2.6
Tre Fiori	899	38	+48	10	10.2	-0.2
Domagnano	812	37	+26	10	8.5	+1.5
Juvenes Dogana	805	31	-29	7	7.6	-0.6
Cosmos	869	28	+10	6	7.7	-1.7
Pennarossa	564	25	-64	3	4.0	-1.0
Cailungo	614	22	-43	3	5.0	-2.0
Faetano	593	19	-51	3	5.3	-2.3
Virtus	653	19	-39	3	5.7	-2.7
Fiorentino	584	14	+5	6	4.4	+1.6
San Giovanni	474	13	+9	3	1.9	+1.1
Murata	324	1	-61	1	2.4	-1.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	CAI	COS	DOM	FAE	FIO	FF	JD	LF	LIB	MUR	PEN	SG	TF	TP	VIR
Cailungo	—	0-0-1 1.08	0-0-1 0.69	1-0-0 1.69	2-0-0 2.34	0-1-1 1.02	0-0-1 1.36	0-0-1 0.53	0-1-1 0.93	2-0-0 4.15	0-1-0 1.92	1-0-0 2.03	0-0-2 1.64	0-0-1 0.44	0-1-1 2.08
Cosmos	1-0-0 1.75	—	1-1-0 2.08	0-2-0 3.93	0-1-0 1.91	0-1-0 0.91	1-1-0 3.09	1-0-1 1.68	0-0-1 0.75	1-0-0 2.43	0-1-1 4.30	2-0-0 4.73	0-0-1 1.33	0-0-2 1.59	0-0-1 1.86
Domagnano	1-0-0 2.14	0-1-1 3.57	—	1-0-1 4.20	0-1-0 2.20	0-0-1 1.13	1-1-0 3.07	1-0-1 1.23	1-0-0 0.95	1-0-0 2.47	2-0-0 4.30	2-0-0 4.87	1-0-0 1.53	0-0-2 1.89	0-1-0 2.23
Faetano	0-0-1 1.14	0-2-0 1.72	1-0-1 1.46	—	1-0-0 1.28	0-0-1 0.47	0-0-2 1.76	0-0-2 0.80	0-0-1 0.48	1-0-0 1.88	1-1-0 2.79	1-0-1 4.11	0-0-1 0.69	0-0-2 0.82	0-1-0 1.26
Fiorentino	0-0-2 3.31	0-1-0 0.92	0-1-0 0.63	0-0-1 1.54	—	0-0-2 0.92	0-0-1 0.83	0-0-1 0.59	0-0-2 1.12	2-0-0 4.10	1-0-0 1.34	0-0-1 2.09	0-0-2 1.82	0-0-1 0.39	1-0-1 2.28
Folgore Falciano	1-1-0 4.66	0-1-0 1.91	1-0-0 1.70	1-0-0 2.37	2-0-0 4.76	—	1-0-0 1.86	0-0-1 1.83	1-1-0 2.73	2-0-0 5.22	0-1-0 2.47	1-0-0 2.58	0-1-1 4.14	1-0-0 1.18	2-0-0 4.18
Juvenes Dogana	1-0-0 1.47	0-1-1 2.56	0-1-1 2.58	2-0-0 3.89	1-0-0 2.00	0-0-1 0.97	—	1-0-1 1.38	0-0-1 0.82	1-0-0 2.47	1-0-1 4.23	1-1-0 4.67	0-1-0 1.11	0-0-2 1.38	1-0-0 1.72
La Fiorita	1-0-0 2.31	1-0-1 3.97	1-0-1 4.44	2-0-0 4.89	1-0-0 2.24	1-0-0 1.00	1-0-1 4.29	—	1-0-0 1.20	1-0-0 2.65	1-1-0 5.00	2-0-0 5.15	0-1-0 1.88	2-0-0 2.46	1-0-0 1.91
Libertas	1-1-0 4.74	1-0-0 2.08	0-0-1 1.88	1-0-0 2.35	2-0-0 4.55	0-1-1 2.92	1-0-0 2.01	0-0-1 1.63	—	2-0-0 5.01	1-0-0 2.43	1-0-0 2.55	2-0-0 3.63	0-0-1 1.21	2-0-0 4.10
Murata	0-0-2 1.51	0-0-1 0.41	0-0-1 0.37	0-0-1 0.95	0-0-2 1.56	0-0-2 0.50	0-0-1 0.37	0-0-1 0.21	0-0-2 0.69	—	0-0-1 0.87	0-0-1 1.08	0-1-1 1.09	0-0-1 0.26	0-0-2 1.08
Pennarossa	0-1-0 0.91	1-1-0 1.36	0-0-2 1.36	0-1-1 2.86	0-0-1 1.49	0-1-0 0.37	1-0-1 1.43	0-1-1 0.69	0-0-1 0.41	1-0-0 1.96	—	2-0-0 3.30	1-0-0 0.57	0-1-1 0.72	0-1-0 1.07
San Giovanni	0-0-1 0.80	0-0-2 0.95	0-0-2 0.81	1-0-1 1.55	1-0-0 0.74	0-0-1 0.28	0-1-1 1.00	0-0-2 0.57	0-0-1 0.30	1-0-0 1.74	0-0-2 2.35	—	0-0-1 0.41	0-0-2 0.46	1-0-0 0.42
Tre Fiori	2-0-0 4.02	1-0-0 1.49	0-0-1 1.30	1-0-0 2.14	2-0-0 3.84	1-1-0 1.52	0-1-0 1.72	0-1-0 0.95	0-0-2 2.02	1-1-0 4.59	0-0-1 2.26	1-0-0 2.43	—	0-1-0 0.76	2-0-0 3.45
Tre Penne	1-0-0 2.40	2-0-0 4.07	2-0-0 3.77	2-0-0 4.86	1-0-0 2.45	0-0-1 1.65	2-0-0 4.28	0-0-2 3.19	1-0-0 1.62	1-0-0 2.60	1-1-0 4.97	2-0-0 5.26	0-1-0 2.07	—	1-0-0 2.38
Virtus	1-1-0 3.57	1-0-0 0.96	0-1-0 0.61	0-1-0 1.56	1-0-1 3.38	0-0-2 1.49	0-0-1 1.10	0-0-1 0.91	0-0-2 1.56	2-0-0 4.59	0-1-0 1.76	0-0-1 2.43	0-0-2 2.21	0-0-1 0.46	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.78	+9.0
Allowed	0.84	-8.1
Differential	0.94	+4.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.14%	6.82%	5.19%	6.17%	1.95%	2.92%	30.19%
1	6.82%	6.49%	4.55%	4.87%	1.95%	2.27%	26.95%
2	5.19%	4.55%	1.30%	2.60%	0.97%	0.97%	15.58%
3	6.17%	4.87%	2.60%	1.95%	—	—	15.58%
4	1.95%	1.95%	0.97%	—	0.65%	—	5.52%
5+	2.92%	2.27%	0.97%	—	—	—	6.17%
Total	30.19%	26.95%	15.58%	15.58%	5.52%	6.17%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.62	1.62	+0.00
SD	1.62	1.62	2.57
CV	1.00	1.00	—
Max	9	9	+9
Min	0	0	-9

Games Played: 154

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.00%	5.00%	10.00%	15.00%	—	—	45.00%
1	10.00%	5.00%	10.00%	—	5.00%	—	30.00%
2	5.00%	—	—	5.00%	—	—	10.00%
3	—	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	5.00%	—	—	—	—	—	5.00%
Total	35.00%	15.00%	25.00%	20.00%	5.00%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.05	1.45	-0.40
SD	1.36	1.32	2.06
CV	1.29	0.91	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	14.29%	—	—	4.76%	—	—	19.05%
1	4.76%	14.29%	4.76%	4.76%	4.76%	—	33.33%
2	4.76%	—	—	9.52%	4.76%	—	19.05%
3	9.52%	—	—	4.76%	—	—	14.29%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.76%	9.52%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
Total	38.10%	23.81%	4.76%	23.81%	9.52%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	1.43	+0.57
SD	1.95	1.47	2.60
CV	0.97	1.03	—
Max	7	4	+7
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.76%	4.76%	—	4.76%	4.76%	—	19.05%
1	4.76%	14.29%	—	—	—	4.76%	23.81%
2	9.52%	4.76%	—	4.76%	—	4.76%	23.81%
3	4.76%	—	14.29%	—	—	—	19.05%
4	4.76%	—	4.76%	—	—	—	9.52%
5+	—	4.76%	—	—	—	—	4.76%
Total	28.57%	28.57%	19.05%	9.52%	4.76%	9.52%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.90	1.67	+0.24
SD	1.45	1.71	2.43
CV	0.76	1.03	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.76%	4.76%	9.52%	4.76%	—	—	23.81%
1	4.76%	4.76%	4.76%	19.05%	4.76%	—	38.10%
2	—	—	—	4.76%	—	4.76%	9.52%
3	—	4.76%	—	9.52%	—	—	14.29%
4	—	—	4.76%	—	—	—	4.76%
5+	—	4.76%	4.76%	—	—	—	9.52%
Total	9.52%	19.05%	23.81%	38.10%	4.76%	4.76%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.71	2.24	-0.52
SD	1.71	1.26	2.14
CV	1.00	0.56	—
Max	6	5	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	25.00%	20.00%	—	5.00%	10.00%	60.00%
1	—	10.00%	—	5.00%	—	—	15.00%
2	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	5.00%	25.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.00%	45.00%	20.00%	5.00%	5.00%	15.00%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.65	1.95	-1.30
SD	0.88	1.61	2.00
CV	1.35	0.82	—
Max	2	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	—	20.00%
1	10.00%	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	20.00%
2	25.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	—	30.00%
3	10.00%	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	25.00%
4	5.00%	—	—	—	—	—	5.00%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	65.00%	20.00%	10.00%	5.00%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.75	0.55	+1.20
SD	1.21	0.89	1.36
CV	0.69	1.61	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.76%	4.76%	—	9.52%	—	4.76%	23.81%
1	—	14.29%	4.76%	4.76%	—	4.76%	28.57%
2	—	4.76%	—	4.76%	—	—	9.52%
3	14.29%	9.52%	—	—	—	—	23.81%
4	—	9.52%	—	—	—	—	9.52%
5+	4.76%	—	—	—	—	—	4.76%
Total	23.81%	42.86%	4.76%	19.05%	—	9.52%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.81	1.62	+0.19
SD	1.54	1.66	2.79
CV	0.85	1.02	—
Max	5	6	+5
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	4.76%	4.76%	—	—	9.52%
1	14.29%	4.76%	—	4.76%	—	—	23.81%
2	—	4.76%	4.76%	—	—	—	9.52%
3	14.29%	14.29%	—	—	—	—	28.57%
4	4.76%	—	—	—	—	—	4.76%
5+	19.05%	4.76%	—	—	—	—	23.81%
Total	52.38%	28.57%	9.52%	9.52%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.86	0.76	+2.10
SD	2.15	1.00	2.79
CV	0.75	1.31	—
Max	9	3	+9
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	—	15.00%
1	15.00%	—	—	5.00%	—	—	20.00%
2	15.00%	10.00%	—	10.00%	—	—	35.00%
3	10.00%	—	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	15.00%
5+	5.00%	—	—	—	—	—	5.00%
Total	60.00%	20.00%	5.00%	15.00%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.10	0.75	+1.35
SD	1.55	1.12	1.93
CV	0.74	1.49	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	15.00%	15.00%	15.00%	5.00%	10.00%	60.00%
1	—	—	10.00%	10.00%	5.00%	10.00%	35.00%
2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	5.00%	—	5.00%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	15.00%	25.00%	25.00%	15.00%	20.00%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.55	3.40	-2.85
SD	0.94	2.19	2.23
CV	1.72	0.64	—
Max	4	9	+0
Min	0	1	-9

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.52%	4.76%	4.76%	4.76%	4.76%	9.52%	38.10%
1	14.29%	14.29%	4.76%	4.76%	—	—	38.10%
2	—	4.76%	4.76%	—	—	—	9.52%
3	4.76%	—	4.76%	4.76%	—	—	14.29%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.57%	23.81%	19.05%	14.29%	4.76%	9.52%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.71	-0.71
SD	1.05	1.62	2.10
CV	1.05	0.94	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.52%	4.76%	14.29%	4.76%	9.52%	42.86%
1	9.52%	4.76%	4.76%	—	9.52%	9.52%	38.10%
2	—	—	—	—	9.52%	—	9.52%
3	—	9.52%	—	—	—	—	9.52%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.52%	23.81%	9.52%	14.29%	23.81%	19.05%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.86	2.90	-2.05
SD	0.96	1.97	2.38
CV	1.12	0.68	—
Max	3	7	+2
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	20.00%
1	—	5.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	15.00%
2	—	15.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	5.00%	15.00%	—	—	—	—	20.00%
4	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	5.00%	—	15.00%
5+	—	—	10.00%	—	—	—	10.00%
Total	20.00%	50.00%	25.00%	—	5.00%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.25	1.20	+1.05
SD	1.65	0.95	1.61
CV	0.73	0.79	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.52%	9.52%	—	—	—	—	19.05%
1	4.76%	—	—	4.76%	—	—	9.52%
2	9.52%	4.76%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
3	19.05%	9.52%	4.76%	—	—	—	33.33%
4	4.76%	9.52%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
5+	4.76%	4.76%	—	—	—	—	9.52%
Total	52.38%	38.10%	4.76%	4.76%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.48	0.62	+1.86
SD	1.69	0.80	1.90
CV	0.68	1.30	—
Max	6	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	—	10.00%	15.00%	5.00%	—	40.00%
1	10.00%	—	10.00%	10.00%	—	5.00%	35.00%
2	—	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	10.00%
3	—	—	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	5.00%	—	—	—	—	5.00%
Total	20.00%	10.00%	30.00%	30.00%	5.00%	5.00%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	2.05	-0.80
SD	1.86	1.39	2.48
CV	1.49	0.68	—
Max	8	5	+7
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 20

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
La Fiorita	1153	50	43.07	+6.93	92.0%	29	35	39	43	47	52	55
Tre Penne	1046	50	45.06	+4.94	82.0%	32	36	42	44	48	54	58
Folgore Falciano	1043	44	41.88	+2.12	67.0%	29	33	38	42	45	50	53
Libertas	1001	44	40.67	+3.33	77.0%	29	32	38	40	44	49	54
Tre Fiori	925	38	33.32	+4.68	84.0%	20	24	29	33	37	42	46
Cosmos	869	28	32.21	-4.21	22.0%	17	23	29	32	36	41	47
Juvenes Dogana	805	31	31.39	-0.39	52.0%	18	21	27	31	34	42	45
Domagnano	779	37	36.29	+0.71	60.0%	19	28	32	36	40	46	51
Virtus	653	19	26.68	-7.68	7.0%	15	18	23	26	30	35	46
Cailungo	614	22	21.86	+0.14	58.0%	9	15	19	21	25	31	37
Faetano	593	19	21.02	-2.02	33.0%	3	13	17	21	24	29	33
Fiorentino	584	14	21.86	-7.86	5.0%	13	14	17	21	26	32	35
Pennarossa	564	25	18.44	+6.56	91.0%	6	9	15	18	22	29	34
San Giovanni	474	13	12.12	+0.88	68.0%	4	5	9	12	15	20	23
Murata	324	1	10.46	-9.46	0.0%	2	4	8	10	13	16	23

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -4.5% * Slight Edge: -4.5% to 0.5% * Clear Edge: 0.5% to 5% * Strong Edge: 5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

-5.84%

No Edge

38.31%17.53%44.16%

Elo Value

Home Edge: -20.33 Elo pts.

154 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

-0.03 goals

Neutral

-2-0.13+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 4 * Top-Heavy: 4 to 5 * Open: 5 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.19 * Runaway: 0.19 and up.

Title-Race Openness

4.9

Top-Heavy

145610

Champion Preseason Odds

37%

La Fiorita, 4th of 15

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.00/gm

Photo Finish

00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.18 * Some Luck: 4.18 to 6.28 * Lucky: 6.28 to 8.37 * Wild Swing: 8.37 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.15 * Close: 1.15 to 1.72 * Off: 1.72 to 2.29 * Way Off: 2.29 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 15 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 15 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 15 * As Expected: 15 to 24 * Several Outliers: 24 to 33 * Many Outliers: 33 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.08 points

Some Luck

05.2313

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.27

01.433

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 96.67%

92.00%

La Fiorita

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 3.33%

0.00%

Murata

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 15

Minimal Outliers

01.57

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Strong Separation: 1.9 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 74% * Slight Edge: 74% to 79.5% * Clear Edge: 79.5% to 84.5% * Wide Edge: 84.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56% * Some Drama: 56% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 65.5% * Very Frequent: 65.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.

Gini Index

0.28

Lopsided

00.20.260.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 239.25

2.33

Wide Separation

11.71.92.23

Interquartile Edge

89%

Wide Edge

50%74%84.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 99%

99%

Dominant

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

45%

Few

0%44%100%

Blowouts

Expected

32%

Very Frequent

0%34%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.52 * Strong Carryover: 0.52 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 24.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 24.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 17.5% * Shaky Favorites: 17.5% to 20.5% * Very Shaky: 20.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.49

Highly Predictable

00.502

Matchup Imbalance

0.52

Lopsided

00.370.430.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.04

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.76

Near-Lock

00.360.520.691

Upset Rate

Expected

16%

Chalky

0%20%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

14%

Solid Favorites

0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.69

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.16

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.073

Well Within Noise

00.1260.3

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

First Round

Libertas 3

Domagnano 0

Tre Fiori 5

Tre Penne 3

Second Round

Tre Fiori 6

Libertas 5

Tre Penne 6

Domagnano 4

Third Round

La Fiorita 3

Folgore Falciano 1

Tre Penne 2

Libertas 1

Quarterfinals

La Fiorita 1

Tre Fiori 0

Sim: 19.0%

Folgore Falciano 4

Tre Penne 2

Sim: 2.0%

Semifinals

Folgore Falciano 3

Tre Fiori 1

Sim: 8.0%

Finals

La Fiorita 1

Folgore Falciano 0

Sim: 8.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
La Fiorita	37.00%	40.00%	20.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Tre Penne	50.00%	40.00%	7.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Libertas	41.00%	41.00%	16.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—
Folgore Falciano	49.00%	38.00%	13.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Tre Fiori	9.00%	15.00%	49.00%	21.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—	—
Domagnano	9.00%	9.00%	40.00%	24.00%	17.00%	1.00%	—	—
Juvenes Dogana	1.00%	3.00%	14.00%	33.00%	40.00%	7.00%	2.00%	—
Cosmos	3.00%	8.00%	19.00%	30.00%	29.00%	9.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Pennarossa	—	—	—	5.00%	7.00%	23.00%	49.00%	16.00%
Cailungo	—	2.00%	3.00%	16.00%	41.00%	36.00%	2.00%	—
Faetano	—	—	—	4.00%	5.00%	54.00%	29.00%	8.00%
Virtus	1.00%	4.00%	15.00%	41.00%	28.00%	9.00%	2.00%	—
Fiorentino	—	—	4.00%	20.00%	25.00%	48.00%	3.00%	—
San Giovanni	—	—	—	—	—	6.00%	19.00%	75.00%
Murata	—	—	—	—	2.00%	5.00%	93.00%	—

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team	Same level
Cailungo	95.00%
Cosmos	70.00%
Domagnano	—
Faetano	100%
Fiorentino	96.00%
Folgore Falciano	—
Juvenes Dogana	82.00%
La Fiorita	—
Libertas	—
Murata	100%
Pennarossa	100%
San Giovanni	100%
Tre Fiori	—
Tre Penne	—
Virtus	80.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cailungo	Cosmos	Domagnano	Fiorentino	Folgore Falciano	Juvenes Dogana	La Fiorita	Libertas	Tre Fiori	Tre Penne	Virtus
Cailungo			0.0%2.00%				0.0%3.00%			0.0%3.00%
Cosmos					25.0%8.00%			7.1%14.00%	14.3%7.00%		50.0%2.00%
Domagnano	100.0%2.00%				0.0%8.00%			15.0%20.00%	36.4%11.00%		66.7%3.00%
Fiorentino							0.0%1.00%			0.0%1.00%
Folgore Falciano		75.0%8.00%	100.0%8.00%			83.3%12.00%	16.7%6.00%			50.0%4.00%
Juvenes Dogana					16.7%12.00%			22.2%9.00%	66.7%6.00%		100.0%1.00%
La Fiorita	100.0%3.00%			100.0%1.00%	83.3%6.00%			42.9%14.00%	70.4%27.00%		100.0%7.00%
Libertas		92.9%14.00%	85.0%20.00%			77.8%9.00%	57.1%14.00%			55.6%9.00%
Tre Fiori		85.7%7.00%	63.6%11.00%			33.3%6.00%	29.6%27.00%			26.7%15.00%
Tre Penne	100.0%3.00%			100.0%1.00%	50.0%4.00%			44.4%9.00%	73.3%15.00%		85.7%7.00%
Virtus		50.0%2.00%	33.3%3.00%			0.0%1.00%	0.0%7.00%			14.3%7.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cosmos	Domagnano	Folgore Falciano	Juvenes Dogana	La Fiorita	Libertas	Tre Fiori	Tre Penne	Virtus
Cosmos			75.0%4.00%		0.0%1.00%	0.0%2.00%		0.0%1.00%
Domagnano			33.3%3.00%		0.0%6.00%	100.0%1.00%		33.3%6.00%
Folgore Falciano	25.0%4.00%	66.7%3.00%		0.0%1.00%	41.4%29.00%	37.5%8.00%	61.5%13.00%	42.9%28.00%	66.7%3.00%
Juvenes Dogana			100.0%1.00%		33.3%3.00%	100.0%1.00%		0.0%4.00%
La Fiorita	100.0%1.00%	100.0%6.00%	58.6%29.00%	66.7%3.00%		65.5%29.00%	0.0%2.00%	83.3%6.00%	100.0%1.00%
Libertas	100.0%2.00%	0.0%1.00%	62.5%8.00%	0.0%1.00%	34.5%29.00%		70.0%10.00%	19.4%31.00%
Tre Fiori			38.5%13.00%		100.0%2.00%	30.0%10.00%		14.3%7.00%
Tre Penne	100.0%1.00%	66.7%6.00%	57.1%28.00%	100.0%4.00%	16.7%6.00%	80.6%31.00%	85.7%7.00%
Virtus			33.3%3.00%		0.0%1.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cosmos	Domagnano	Folgore Falciano	Juvenes Dogana	La Fiorita	Libertas	Tre Fiori	Tre Penne	Virtus
Cosmos		100.0%1.00%				0.0%1.00%		100.0%1.00%
Domagnano	0.0%1.00%				0.0%1.00%	0.0%2.00%
Folgore Falciano				100.0%1.00%	46.7%15.00%	80.0%5.00%	66.7%3.00%	25.0%16.00%
Juvenes Dogana			0.0%1.00%		0.0%2.00%
La Fiorita		100.0%1.00%	53.3%15.00%	100.0%2.00%		50.0%6.00%	75.0%4.00%	47.8%23.00%
Libertas	100.0%1.00%	100.0%2.00%	20.0%5.00%		50.0%6.00%		50.0%2.00%	21.4%14.00%
Tre Fiori			33.3%3.00%		25.0%4.00%	50.0%2.00%		0.0%2.00%
Tre Penne	0.0%1.00%		75.0%16.00%		52.2%23.00%	78.6%14.00%	100.0%2.00%		100.0%1.00%
Virtus								0.0%1.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team	Quarterfinals	Semifinals	Finals
La Fiorita	100%	100%	30.67%
Tre Penne	95.67%	48.67%	27.98%
Folgore Falciano	100%	55.58%	18.21%
Libertas	97.11%	39.17%	16.98%
Tre Fiori	35.69%	10.63%	4.06%
Domagnano	34.24%	8.55%	2.10%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Domagnano	Folgore Falciano	La Fiorita	Libertas	Tre Fiori	Tre Penne
Domagnano				26.1%131.35%
Folgore Falciano			39.1%262.71%
La Fiorita		60.9%262.71%
Libertas	73.9%131.35%
Tre Fiori						27.2%131.35%
Tre Penne					72.8%131.35%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Domagnano	Folgore Falciano	La Fiorita	Libertas	Tre Fiori	Tre Penne
Domagnano		26.9%12.70%	23.8%21.54%
Folgore Falciano	73.1%12.70%			53.4%38.11%	67.4%14.00%	43.4%38.01%
La Fiorita	76.2%21.54%			63.7%59.00%	72.0%21.69%	52.9%57.65%
Libertas		46.6%38.11%	36.3%59.00%
Tre Fiori		32.6%14.00%	28.0%21.69%
Tre Penne		56.6%38.01%	47.1%57.65%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Domagnano	Folgore Falciano	La Fiorita	Libertas	Tre Fiori	Tre Penne
Domagnano		27.4%1.54%	18.9%2.78%		39.3%0.74%	24.8%3.49%
Folgore Falciano	72.6%1.54%		46.0%16.10%	52.8%7.38%	62.7%2.11%	40.5%10.99%
La Fiorita	81.1%2.78%	54.0%16.10%		60.9%12.90%	68.1%4.11%	47.8%18.95%
Libertas		47.2%7.38%	39.1%12.90%		58.8%3.66%	41.4%15.22%
Tre Fiori	60.7%0.74%	37.3%2.11%	31.9%4.11%	41.2%3.66%
Tre Penne	75.2%3.49%	59.5%10.99%	52.2%18.95%	58.6%15.22%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2017-09-08	Cosmos	D 1-1	55.0	590	757	20.75%	17.08%	62.17%	-1.22	+4.3	1
2017-09-08	@ Faetano	D 1-1	55.0	757	590	62.17%	17.08%	20.75%	+1.22	-4.3	1
2017-09-08	San Giovanni	D 1-1	55.1	780	520	70.09%	16.57%	13.34%	+1.55	-6.1	1
2017-09-08	@ Juvenes Dogana	D 1-1	55.1	520	780	13.34%	16.57%	70.09%	-1.55	+6.1	1
2017-09-09	Fiorentino	W 2-0	46.2	611	798	18.98%	16.99%	64.03%	-1.34	+52.1	3
2017-09-09	@ Cailungo	L 0-2	46.2	798	611	64.03%	16.99%	18.98%	+1.34	-52.1	0
2017-09-09	La Fiorita	D 1-1	55.5	547	979	5.55%	15.15%	79.31%	-2.92	+8.1	1
2017-09-09	@ Pennarossa	D 1-1	55.5	979	547	79.31%	15.15%	5.55%	+2.92	-8.1	1
2017-09-09	Tre Fiori	L 1-2	53.5	932	728	65.65%	16.90%	17.45%	+1.19	-26.7	0
2017-09-09	@ Folgore Falciano	W 2-1	53.5	728	932	17.45%	16.90%	65.65%	-1.19	+26.7	3
2017-09-10	Domagnano	W 1-0	37.2	968	851	56.68%	17.27%	26.04%	+0.63	+12.5	3
2017-09-10	@ Tre Penne	L 0-1	37.2	851	968	26.04%	17.27%	56.68%	-0.63	-12.5	0
2017-09-10	Murata	W 3-0	27.9	912	604	73.29%	16.23%	10.48%	+1.86	+14.7	3
2017-09-10	@ Libertas	L 0-3	27.9	604	912	10.48%	16.23%	73.29%	-1.86	-14.7	0
2017-09-15	Faetano	W 3-1	33.7	971	594	76.96%	15.66%	7.38%	+2.31	+6.2	4
2017-09-15	@ La Fiorita	L 1-3	33.7	594	971	7.38%	15.66%	76.96%	-2.31	-6.2	1
2017-09-15	Tre Penne	L 1-3	37.1	774	981	17.28%	16.89%	65.83%	-1.47	-14.1	1
2017-09-15	@ Juvenes Dogana	W 3-1	37.1	981	774	65.83%	16.89%	17.28%	+1.47	+14.1	6
2017-09-16	Domagnano	D 1-1	54.9	753	839	29.74%	17.36%	52.90%	-0.69	+2.3	2
2017-09-16	@ Cosmos	D 1-1	54.9	839	753	52.90%	17.36%	29.74%	+0.69	-2.3	1
2017-09-16	Libertas	L 0-1	35.2	746	927	19.51%	17.02%	63.47%	-1.30	-9.7	0
2017-09-16	@ Fiorentino	W 1-0	35.2	927	746	63.47%	17.02%	19.51%	+1.30	+9.7	6
2017-09-17	Cailungo	D 0-0	51.3	849	663	63.91%	17.00%	19.09%	+1.07	-5.2	1
2017-09-17	@ Virtus	D 0-0	51.3	663	849	19.09%	17.00%	63.91%	-1.07	+5.2	4
2017-09-17	Murata	W 3-1	38.2	754	589	61.91%	17.09%	20.99%	+0.94	+16.9	6
2017-09-17	@ Tre Fiori	L 1-3	38.2	589	754	20.99%	17.09%	61.91%	-0.94	-16.9	0
2017-09-18	Pennarossa	L 0-1	40.6	526	555	37.17%	17.45%	45.38%	-0.32	-17.0	1
2017-09-18	@ San Giovanni	W 1-0	40.6	555	526	45.38%	17.45%	37.17%	+0.32	+17.0	4
2017-09-23	Fiorentino	L 1-2	40.2	572	736	21.14%	17.10%	61.76%	-1.19	-9.8	0
2017-09-23	@ Murata	W 2-1	40.2	736	572	61.76%	17.10%	21.14%	+1.19	+9.8	3
2017-09-23	Folgore Falciano	D 0-0	51.4	668	906	14.90%	16.71%	68.39%	-1.67	+6.4	5
2017-09-23	@ Cailungo	D 0-0	51.4	906	668	68.39%	16.71%	14.90%	+1.67	-6.4	1
2017-09-23	La Fiorita	L 1-3	45.2	995	977	43.86%	17.45%	38.68%	-0.01	-31.9	6
2017-09-23	@ Tre Penne	W 3-1	45.2	977	995	38.68%	17.45%	43.86%	+0.01	+31.9	7
2017-09-23	Virtus	W 2-0	35.7	936	843	53.80%	17.34%	28.86%	+0.47	+25.8	9
2017-09-23	@ Libertas	L 0-2	35.7	843	936	28.86%	17.34%	53.80%	-0.47	-25.8	1
2017-09-24	Faetano	L 2-5	53.6	836	588	69.26%	16.64%	14.10%	+1.48	-59.9	1
2017-09-24	@ Domagnano	W 5-2	53.6	588	836	14.10%	16.64%	69.26%	-1.48	+59.8	4
2017-09-24	Juvenes Dogana	W 2-1	53.1	572	760	18.91%	16.99%	64.10%	-1.35	+26.1	7
2017-09-24	@ Pennarossa	L 1-2	53.1	760	572	64.10%	16.99%	18.91%	+1.35	-26.1	1
2017-09-24	San Giovanni	W 3-0	29.1	755	509	69.06%	16.66%	14.28%	+1.46	+19.8	5
2017-09-24	@ Cosmos	L 0-3	29.1	509	755	14.28%	16.66%	69.06%	-1.46	-19.8	1
2017-09-30	Cosmos	D 0-0	51.1	734	775	35.48%	17.44%	47.08%	-0.40	+1.3	2
2017-09-30	@ Juvenes Dogana	D 0-0	51.1	775	734	47.08%	17.44%	35.48%	+0.40	-1.3	6
2017-09-30	Domagnano	L 0-2	47.3	1009	777	67.95%	16.75%	15.30%	+1.37	-55.4	7
2017-09-30	@ La Fiorita	W 2-0	47.3	777	1009	15.30%	16.75%	67.95%	-1.37	+55.4	4
2017-09-30	Faetano	L 2-4	42.6	489	648	21.69%	17.12%	61.19%	-1.15	-15.5	1
2017-09-30	@ San Giovanni	W 4-2	42.6	648	489	61.19%	17.12%	21.69%	+1.15	+15.5	7
2017-09-30	Libertas	D 0-0	51.5	675	962	11.62%	16.38%	72.00%	-1.99	+7.3	6
2017-09-30	@ Cailungo	D 0-0	51.5	962	675	72.00%	16.38%	11.62%	+1.99	-7.3	10
2017-09-30	Pennarossa	D 0-0	51.6	963	598	76.39%	15.76%	7.85%	+2.23	-8.4	7
2017-09-30	@ Tre Penne	D 0-0	51.6	598	963	7.85%	15.76%	76.39%	-2.23	+8.4	8
2017-09-30	Tre Fiori	L 2-5	44.4	746	771	37.66%	17.45%	44.89%	-0.30	-34.4	3
2017-09-30	@ Fiorentino	W 5-2	44.4	771	746	44.89%	17.45%	37.66%	+0.30	+34.4	9
2017-09-30	Virtus	W 2-1	43.0	899	818	52.40%	17.37%	30.23%	+0.40	+13.4	4
2017-09-30	@ Folgore Falciano	L 1-2	43.0	818	899	30.23%	17.37%	52.40%	-0.40	-13.4	1
2017-10-14	Cailungo	L 0-5	31.2	563	682	25.78%	17.27%	56.95%	-0.90	-54.7	0
2017-10-14	@ Murata	W 5-0	31.2	682	563	56.95%	17.27%	25.78%	+0.90	+54.7	9
2017-10-14	Folgore Falciano	L 0-1	43.6	955	913	47.19%	17.43%	35.37%	+0.14	-20.8	10
2017-10-14	@ Libertas	W 1-0	43.6	913	955	35.37%	17.43%	47.19%	-0.14	+20.8	7
2017-10-14	Pennarossa	D 0-0	51.3	774	607	62.12%	17.08%	20.80%	+0.95	-4.8	7
2017-10-14	@ Cosmos	D 0-0	51.3	607	774	20.80%	17.08%	62.12%	-0.95	+4.8	9
2017-10-14	San Giovanni	W 5-1	30.0	832	474	76.05%	15.82%	8.12%	+2.19	+12.5	7
2017-10-14	@ Domagnano	L 1-5	30.0	474	832	8.12%	15.82%	76.05%	-2.19	-12.5	1
2017-10-15	Juvenes Dogana	L 1-3	51.9	953	735	66.81%	16.83%	16.36%	+1.28	-47.1	7
2017-10-15	@ La Fiorita	W 3-1	51.9	735	953	16.36%	16.83%	66.81%	-1.28	+47.1	5
2017-10-15	Tre Penne	L 1-3	35.1	663	955	11.39%	16.35%	72.26%	-2.02	-9.5	7
2017-10-15	@ Faetano	W 3-1	35.1	955	663	72.26%	16.35%	11.39%	+2.02	+9.5	10
2017-10-15	Virtus	W 3-1	44.4	806	804	41.48%	17.46%	41.07%	-0.12	+30.1	12
2017-10-15	@ Tre Fiori	L 1-3	44.4	804	806	41.07%	17.46%	41.48%	+0.12	-30.1	1
2017-10-20	Fiorentino	W 1-0	39.3	774	711	49.93%	17.41%	32.66%	+0.27	+15.2	4
2017-10-20	@ Virtus	L 0-1	39.3	711	774	32.66%	17.41%	49.93%	-0.27	-15.2	3
2017-10-20	Tre Fiori	W 2-1	42.4	934	836	54.47%	17.33%	28.20%	+0.51	+12.7	13
2017-10-20	@ Libertas	L 1-2	42.4	836	934	28.20%	17.33%	54.47%	-0.51	-12.7	12
2017-10-21	Folgore Falciano	L 0-2	28.1	508	934	5.71%	15.20%	79.08%	-2.89	-5.6	0
2017-10-21	@ Murata	W 2-0	28.1	934	508	79.08%	15.20%	5.71%	+2.89	+5.5	10
2017-10-21	La Fiorita	W 3-0	42.7	769	906	23.85%	17.21%	58.94%	-1.02	+69.8	10
2017-10-21	@ Cosmos	L 0-3	42.7	906	769	58.94%	17.21%	23.85%	+1.02	-69.8	7
2017-10-21	Tre Penne	L 1-4	30.1	461	964	3.81%	14.42%	81.77%	-3.39	-4.5	1
2017-10-21	@ San Giovanni	W 4-1	30.1	964	461	81.77%	14.42%	3.81%	+3.39	+4.5	13
2017-10-22	Domagnano	L 2-3	48.6	782	844	32.71%	17.41%	49.88%	-0.53	-13.6	5
2017-10-22	@ Juvenes Dogana	W 3-2	48.6	844	782	49.88%	17.41%	32.71%	+0.53	+13.6	10
2017-10-22	Faetano	D 3-3	63.9	611	654	35.38%	17.44%	47.18%	-0.40	+0.7	10
2017-10-22	@ Pennarossa	D 3-3	63.9	654	611	47.18%	17.44%	35.38%	+0.40	-0.7	8
2017-10-28	Cosmos	W 4-1	37.2	969	839	58.14%	17.23%	24.63%	+0.71	+27.5	16
2017-10-28	@ Tre Penne	L 1-4	37.2	839	969	24.63%	17.23%	58.14%	-0.71	-27.5	10
2017-10-28	Juvenes Dogana	L 1-3	39.8	653	769	26.19%	17.28%	56.54%	-0.88	-20.5	8
2017-10-28	@ Faetano	W 3-1	39.8	769	653	56.54%	17.28%	26.19%	+0.88	+20.5	8
2017-10-28	La Fiorita	L 0-3	26.7	457	836	7.28%	15.63%	77.09%	-2.59	-10.3	1
2017-10-28	@ San Giovanni	W 3-0	26.7	836	457	77.09%	15.63%	7.28%	+2.59	+10.3	10
2017-10-28	Tre Fiori	L 1-2	42.9	737	823	29.63%	17.36%	53.01%	-0.69	-13.2	9
2017-10-28	@ Cailungo	W 2-1	42.9	823	737	53.01%	17.36%	29.63%	+0.69	+13.2	15
2017-10-29	Fiorentino	W 3-1	36.2	939	696	68.81%	16.68%	14.51%	+1.44	+12.0	13
2017-10-29	@ Folgore Falciano	L 1-3	36.2	696	939	14.51%	16.68%	68.81%	-1.44	-12.0	3
2017-10-29	Murata	W 2-1	37.2	789	502	71.96%	16.38%	11.66%	+1.73	+5.6	7
2017-10-29	@ Virtus	L 1-2	37.2	502	789	11.66%	16.38%	71.96%	-1.73	-5.6	0
2017-10-29	Pennarossa	W 3-0	29.1	858	612	69.04%	16.66%	14.30%	+1.46	+19.8	13
2017-10-29	@ Domagnano	L 0-3	29.1	612	858	14.30%	16.66%	69.04%	-1.46	-19.8	10
2017-11-04	Cailungo	D 1-1	54.9	592	723	24.50%	17.23%	58.27%	-0.98	+3.4	11
2017-11-04	@ Pennarossa	D 1-1	54.9	723	592	58.27%	17.23%	24.50%	+0.98	-3.5	10
2017-11-04	Domagnano	L 0-2	28.7	497	878	7.20%	15.62%	77.18%	-2.60	-7.0	0
2017-11-04	@ Murata	W 2-0	28.7	878	497	77.18%	15.62%	7.20%	+2.60	+7.0	16
2017-11-04	Faetano	W 5-2	38.2	836	632	65.59%	16.90%	17.51%	+1.19	+17.5	18
2017-11-04	@ Tre Fiori	L 2-5	38.2	632	836	17.51%	16.90%	65.59%	-1.19	-17.5	8
2017-11-04	Libertas	L 0-6	30.0	789	947	21.73%	17.12%	61.15%	-1.15	-55.8	8
2017-11-04	@ Juvenes Dogana	W 6-0	30.0	947	789	61.15%	17.12%	21.73%	+1.15	+55.8	16
2017-11-05	Fiorentino	D 1-1	54.9	811	684	57.85%	17.24%	24.91%	+0.69	-3.4	11
2017-11-05	@ Cosmos	D 1-1	54.9	684	811	24.91%	17.24%	57.85%	-0.69	+3.4	4
2017-11-05	La Fiorita	L 0-1	46.0	951	847	55.21%	17.31%	27.48%	+0.54	-24.0	13
2017-11-05	@ Folgore Falciano	W 1-0	46.0	847	951	27.48%	17.31%	55.21%	-0.54	+24.0	13
2017-11-05	San Giovanni	L 1-3	54.2	795	447	75.55%	15.90%	8.54%	+2.12	-53.3	7
2017-11-05	@ Virtus	W 3-1	54.2	447	795	8.54%	15.90%	75.55%	-2.12	+53.3	4
2017-11-18	Folgore Falciano	L 0-2	29.8	615	927	10.26%	16.19%	73.55%	-2.15	-9.9	8
2017-11-18	@ Faetano	W 2-0	29.8	927	615	73.55%	16.19%	10.26%	+2.15	+9.9	16
2017-11-18	Murata	W 3-0	25.3	996	490	81.89%	14.38%	3.73%	+3.15	+5.2	19
2017-11-18	@ Tre Penne	L 0-3	25.3	490	996	3.73%	14.38%	81.89%	-3.15	-5.2	0
2017-11-18	San Giovanni	L 0-1	48.6	688	500	64.09%	16.99%	18.92%	+1.08	-27.7	4
2017-11-18	@ Fiorentino	W 1-0	48.6	500	688	18.92%	16.99%	64.09%	-1.08	+27.7	7
2017-11-18	Virtus	W 5-1	35.4	871	742	58.05%	17.23%	24.71%	+0.70	+35.6	16
2017-11-18	@ La Fiorita	L 1-5	35.4	742	871	24.71%	17.23%	58.05%	-0.70	-35.6	7
2017-11-19	Cailungo	W 3-0	36.9	733	720	43.19%	17.46%	39.35%	-0.04	+48.8	11
2017-11-19	@ Juvenes Dogana	L 0-3	36.9	720	733	39.35%	17.46%	43.19%	+0.04	-48.8	10
2017-11-19	Domagnano	L 2-3	55.8	1003	885	56.77%	17.27%	25.96%	+0.63	-22.0	16
2017-11-19	@ Libertas	W 3-2	55.8	885	1003	25.96%	17.27%	56.77%	-0.63	+22.0	19
2017-11-19	Pennarossa	L 0-1	50.2	854	596	69.95%	16.58%	13.47%	+1.54	-30.2	18
2017-11-19	@ Tre Fiori	W 1-0	50.2	596	854	13.47%	16.58%	69.95%	-1.54	+30.2	14
2017-11-25	Fiorentino	W 5-0	27.5	906	660	69.07%	16.66%	14.27%	+1.46	+31.9	19
2017-11-25	@ La Fiorita	L 0-5	27.5	660	906	14.27%	16.66%	69.07%	-1.46	-31.9	4
2017-11-25	Juvenes Dogana	L 0-3	34.3	706	782	30.92%	17.38%	51.70%	-0.62	-39.8	7
2017-11-25	@ Virtus	W 3-0	34.3	782	706	51.70%	17.38%	30.92%	+0.62	+39.8	14
2017-11-25	Libertas	L 0-4	24.6	528	981	4.96%	14.93%	80.11%	-3.06	-9.1	7
2017-11-25	@ San Giovanni	W 4-0	24.6	981	528	80.11%	14.93%	4.96%	+3.06	+9.1	19
2017-11-25	Pennarossa	L 0-1	36.4	484	626	23.37%	17.19%	59.45%	-1.05	-11.4	0
2017-11-25	@ Murata	W 1-0	36.4	626	484	59.45%	17.19%	23.37%	+1.05	+11.4	17
2017-11-28	Cosmos	D 3-3	64.0	937	808	58.06%	17.23%	24.71%	+0.70	-2.1	17
2017-11-28	@ Folgore Falciano	D 3-3	64.0	808	937	24.71%	17.23%	58.06%	-0.70	+2.1	12
2017-11-28	Faetano	W 3-2	48.4	671	605	50.41%	17.40%	32.19%	+0.30	+13.5	13
2017-11-28	@ Cailungo	L 2-3	48.4	605	671	32.19%	17.40%	50.41%	-0.30	-13.5	8
2017-11-28	Tre Fiori	D 0-0	51.3	1001	824	63.16%	17.03%	19.80%	+1.02	-5.0	20
2017-11-28	@ Tre Penne	D 0-0	51.3	824	1001	19.80%	17.03%	63.16%	-1.02	+5.0	19
2017-12-02	Cailungo	L 0-1	35.6	519	685	20.92%	17.09%	61.99%	-1.21	-10.3	7
2017-12-02	@ San Giovanni	W 1-0	35.6	685	519	61.99%	17.09%	20.92%	+1.21	+10.3	16
2017-12-02	Murata	W 6-1	34.4	591	473	56.84%	17.27%	25.89%	+0.63	+45.5	11
2017-12-02	@ Faetano	L 1-6	34.4	473	591	25.89%	17.27%	56.84%	-0.63	-45.5	0
2017-12-02	Tre Fiori	L 1-3	43.6	810	829	38.64%	17.45%	43.90%	-0.25	-28.7	12
2017-12-02	@ Cosmos	W 3-1	43.6	829	810	43.90%	17.45%	38.64%	+0.25	+28.7	22
2017-12-02	Tre Penne	L 0-2	28.9	628	996	7.70%	15.73%	76.57%	-2.52	-7.5	4
2017-12-02	@ Fiorentino	W 2-0	28.9	996	628	76.57%	15.73%	7.70%	+2.52	+7.5	23
2017-12-03	Folgore Falciano	L 0-3	33.0	822	935	26.49%	17.29%	56.22%	-0.86	-34.8	14
2017-12-03	@ Juvenes Dogana	W 3-0	33.0	935	822	56.22%	17.29%	26.49%	+0.86	+34.8	20
2017-12-03	Libertas	W 3-1	46.6	938	990	34.10%	17.42%	48.48%	-0.47	+34.7	22
2017-12-03	@ La Fiorita	L 1-3	46.6	990	938	48.48%	17.42%	34.10%	+0.47	-34.7	19
2017-12-03	Virtus	D 0-0	51.4	907	666	68.65%	16.69%	14.66%	+1.43	-6.4	20
2017-12-03	@ Domagnano	D 0-0	51.4	666	907	14.66%	16.69%	68.65%	-1.43	+6.4	8
2017-12-10	Cosmos	L 0-1	31.5	428	782	8.30%	15.86%	75.85%	-2.42	-4.3	0
2017-12-10	@ Murata	W 1-0	31.5	782	428	75.85%	15.86%	8.30%	+2.42	+4.3	15
2017-12-10	Fiorentino	L 0-2	40.2	637	621	43.68%	17.46%	38.87%	-0.02	-36.6	17
2017-12-10	@ Pennarossa	W 2-0	40.2	621	637	38.87%	17.46%	43.68%	+0.02	+36.7	7
2017-12-10	San Giovanni	W 2-1	36.1	857	508	75.59%	15.90%	8.51%	+2.13	+4.1	25
2017-12-10	@ Tre Fiori	L 1-2	36.1	508	857	8.51%	15.90%	75.59%	-2.13	-4.1	7
2017-12-12	Domagnano	W 3-2	48.3	970	900	50.81%	17.39%	31.80%	+0.32	+13.3	23
2017-12-12	@ Folgore Falciano	L 2-3	48.3	900	970	31.80%	17.39%	50.81%	-0.32	-13.3	20
2017-12-12	Tre Penne	L 2-3	49.1	955	1004	34.47%	17.43%	48.10%	-0.45	-14.3	19
2017-12-12	@ Libertas	W 3-2	49.1	1004	955	48.10%	17.43%	34.47%	+0.45	+14.3	26
2017-12-13	Faetano	D 3-3	63.9	673	637	46.30%	17.44%	36.26%	+0.10	-0.6	9
2017-12-13	@ Virtus	D 3-3	63.9	637	673	36.26%	17.44%	46.30%	-0.10	+0.6	12
2017-12-13	La Fiorita	L 1-2	37.4	695	973	12.20%	16.45%	71.35%	-1.93	-5.9	16
2017-12-13	@ Cailungo	W 2-1	37.4	973	695	71.35%	16.45%	12.20%	+1.93	+5.9	25
2018-01-13	Fiorentino	D 1-1	55.1	887	657	67.79%	16.76%	15.45%	+1.36	-5.5	21
2018-01-13	@ Domagnano	D 1-1	55.1	657	887	15.45%	16.76%	67.79%	-1.36	+5.5	8
2018-01-13	Folgore Falciano	D 1-1	55.4	601	983	7.16%	15.61%	77.23%	-2.61	+7.7	18
2018-01-13	@ Pennarossa	D 1-1	55.4	983	601	77.23%	15.61%	7.16%	+2.61	-7.7	24
2018-01-13	Murata	W 1-0	38.6	504	423	52.29%	17.37%	30.34%	+0.39	+14.3	10
2018-01-13	@ San Giovanni	L 0-1	38.6	423	504	30.34%	17.37%	52.29%	-0.39	-14.3	0
2018-01-13	Virtus	L 2-3	55.6	786	672	56.32%	17.28%	26.40%	+0.61	-21.8	15
2018-01-13	@ Cosmos	W 3-2	55.6	672	786	26.40%	17.28%	56.32%	-0.61	+21.8	12
2018-01-14	Cailungo	W 3-0	27.5	1018	689	74.52%	16.06%	9.42%	+2.00	+13.3	29
2018-01-14	@ Tre Penne	L 0-3	27.5	689	1018	9.42%	16.06%	74.52%	-2.00	-13.3	16
2018-01-14	Libertas	L 1-2	36.9	638	941	10.74%	16.26%	72.99%	-2.09	-5.2	12
2018-01-14	@ Faetano	W 2-1	36.9	941	638	72.99%	16.26%	10.74%	+2.09	+5.2	22
2018-01-14	Tre Fiori	D 1-1	54.9	787	861	31.16%	17.38%	51.46%	-0.61	+2.0	15
2018-01-14	@ Juvenes Dogana	D 1-1	54.9	861	787	51.46%	17.38%	31.16%	+0.61	-2.0	26
2018-01-20	Cosmos	W 4-2	41.9	946	764	63.56%	17.02%	19.43%	+1.05	+14.1	25
2018-01-20	@ Libertas	L 2-4	41.9	764	946	19.43%	17.02%	63.56%	-1.05	-14.1	15
2018-01-20	Domagnano	L 2-3	43.8	676	882	17.35%	16.89%	65.76%	-1.46	-7.8	16
2018-01-20	@ Cailungo	W 3-2	43.8	882	676	65.76%	16.89%	17.35%	+1.46	+7.8	24
2018-01-20	Juvenes Dogana	L 0-3	26.7	409	789	7.25%	15.63%	77.13%	-2.59	-10.2	0
2018-01-20	@ Murata	W 3-0	26.7	789	409	77.13%	15.63%	7.25%	+2.59	+10.2	18
2018-01-20	La Fiorita	D 2-2	59.8	859	979	25.79%	17.27%	56.94%	-0.90	+2.3	27
2018-01-20	@ Tre Fiori	D 2-2	59.8	979	859	56.94%	17.27%	25.79%	+0.90	-2.4	26
2018-01-21	Fiorentino	W 1-0	43.2	632	663	36.97%	17.45%	45.58%	-0.33	+20.1	15
2018-01-21	@ Faetano	L 0-1	43.2	663	632	45.58%	17.45%	36.97%	+0.33	-20.2	8
2018-01-21	Pennarossa	D 2-2	59.8	694	608	52.86%	17.36%	29.78%	+0.42	-1.7	13
2018-01-21	@ Virtus	D 2-2	59.8	608	694	29.78%	17.36%	52.86%	-0.42	+1.7	19
2018-01-21	Tre Penne	W 1-0	44.2	975	1031	33.53%	17.42%	49.06%	-0.49	+21.5	27
2018-01-21	@ Folgore Falciano	L 0-1	44.2	1031	975	49.06%	17.42%	33.53%	+0.49	-21.5	29
2018-02-04	Cailungo	W 2-0	36.1	750	668	52.43%	17.37%	30.20%	+0.40	+26.9	18
2018-02-04	@ Cosmos	L 0-2	36.1	668	750	30.20%	17.37%	52.43%	-0.40	-26.9	16
2018-02-04	Murata	W 9-0	24.2	976	399	83.84%	13.60%	2.56%	+3.61	+9.9	29
2018-02-04	@ La Fiorita	L 0-9	24.2	399	976	2.56%	13.60%	83.84%	-3.61	-9.9	0
2018-02-04	Tre Fiori	W 2-1	45.2	889	862	45.18%	17.45%	37.37%	+0.05	+16.1	27
2018-02-04	@ Domagnano	L 1-2	45.2	862	889	37.37%	17.45%	45.18%	-0.05	-16.1	27
2018-02-06	Folgore Falciano	L 0-2	27.6	518	997	4.33%	14.67%	80.99%	-3.23	-4.2	10
2018-02-06	@ San Giovanni	W 2-0	27.6	997	518	80.99%	14.67%	4.33%	+3.23	+4.2	30
2018-02-06	Juvenes Dogana	L 0-5	29.9	643	799	21.82%	17.13%	61.05%	-1.15	-47.2	8
2018-02-06	@ Fiorentino	W 5-0	29.9	799	643	61.05%	17.13%	21.82%	+1.15	+47.2	21
2018-02-06	Libertas	L 0-1	31.6	610	960	8.47%	15.89%	75.64%	-2.40	-4.4	19
2018-02-06	@ Pennarossa	W 1-0	31.6	960	610	75.64%	15.89%	8.47%	+2.40	+4.4	28
2018-02-06	Virtus	W 4-0	26.5	1010	692	73.87%	16.15%	9.98%	+1.93	+18.3	32
2018-02-06	@ Tre Penne	L 0-4	26.5	692	1010	9.98%	16.15%	73.87%	-1.93	-18.3	13
2018-02-10	Cailungo	L 0-1	39.9	595	641	34.90%	17.43%	47.67%	-0.43	-16.1	8
2018-02-10	@ Fiorentino	W 1-0	39.9	641	595	47.67%	17.43%	34.90%	+0.43	+16.1	19
2018-02-10	Faetano	D 0-0	51.2	777	652	57.52%	17.25%	25.23%	+0.67	-3.7	19
2018-02-10	@ Cosmos	D 0-0	51.2	652	777	25.23%	17.25%	57.52%	-0.67	+3.7	16
2018-02-10	Folgore Falciano	D 0-0	51.2	846	1001	21.96%	17.13%	60.91%	-1.14	+4.5	28
2018-02-10	@ Tre Fiori	D 0-0	51.2	1001	846	60.91%	17.13%	21.96%	+1.14	-4.5	31
2018-02-10	Pennarossa	W 5-0	25.1	986	606	77.14%	15.62%	7.23%	+2.33	+16.5	32
2018-02-10	@ La Fiorita	L 0-5	25.1	606	986	7.23%	15.62%	77.14%	-2.33	-16.4	19
2018-02-11	Juvenes Dogana	L 1-4	32.2	514	847	9.27%	16.04%	74.69%	-2.28	-11.0	10
2018-02-11	@ San Giovanni	W 4-1	32.2	847	514	74.69%	16.04%	9.27%	+2.28	+11.0	24
2018-02-11	Libertas	L 1-4	29.5	389	964	2.59%	13.62%	83.79%	-3.86	-3.0	0
2018-02-11	@ Murata	W 4-1	29.5	964	389	83.79%	13.62%	2.59%	+3.86	+3.0	31
2018-02-11	Tre Penne	L 0-3	32.7	905	1028	25.40%	17.26%	57.35%	-0.93	-33.5	27
2018-02-11	@ Domagnano	W 3-0	32.7	1028	905	57.35%	17.26%	25.40%	+0.93	+33.5	35
2018-02-16	Tre Fiori	D 4-4	67.0	386	850	4.67%	14.82%	80.51%	-3.14	+4.5	1
2018-02-16	@ Murata	D 4-4	67.0	850	386	80.51%	14.82%	4.67%	+3.14	-4.5	29
2018-02-16	Virtus	L 0-1	41.2	657	674	38.92%	17.46%	43.63%	-0.24	-17.7	19
2018-02-16	@ Cailungo	W 1-0	41.2	674	657	43.63%	17.46%	38.92%	+0.24	+17.6	16
2018-02-17	Fiorentino	W 2-0	28.6	967	579	77.49%	15.56%	6.96%	+2.38	+6.8	34
2018-02-17	@ Libertas	L 0-2	28.6	579	967	6.96%	15.56%	77.49%	-2.38	-6.8	8
2018-02-17	Juvenes Dogana	W 3-0	30.2	1062	858	65.61%	16.90%	17.49%	+1.19	+23.9	38
2018-02-17	@ Tre Penne	L 0-3	30.2	858	1062	17.49%	16.90%	65.61%	-1.19	-24.0	24
2018-02-18	Cosmos	L 1-6	43.0	872	773	54.53%	17.33%	28.15%	+0.51	-86.4	27
2018-02-18	@ Domagnano	W 6-1	43.0	773	872	28.15%	17.33%	54.53%	-0.51	+86.4	22
2018-02-18	La Fiorita	L 0-3	27.2	656	1003	8.62%	15.92%	75.46%	-2.37	-12.2	16
2018-02-18	@ Faetano	W 3-0	27.2	1003	656	75.46%	15.92%	8.62%	+2.37	+12.2	35
2018-02-18	San Giovanni	W 3-0	34.0	589	503	52.95%	17.36%	29.69%	+0.43	+38.4	22
2018-02-18	@ Pennarossa	L 0-3	34.0	503	589	29.69%	17.36%	52.95%	-0.43	-38.4	10
2018-03-06	Cosmos	L 0-7	25.4	465	860	6.72%	15.50%	77.79%	-2.69	-21.0	10
2018-03-06	@ San Giovanni	W 7-0	25.4	860	465	77.79%	15.50%	6.72%	+2.69	+21.0	25
2018-03-06	Domagnano	L 0-1	36.4	644	786	23.38%	17.19%	59.43%	-1.05	-11.4	16
2018-03-06	@ Faetano	W 1-0	36.4	786	644	59.43%	17.19%	23.38%	+1.05	+11.4	30
2018-03-06	Pennarossa	W 2-1	39.0	834	628	65.75%	16.89%	17.36%	+1.20	+8.2	27
2018-03-06	@ Juvenes Dogana	L 1-2	39.0	628	834	17.36%	16.89%	65.75%	-1.20	-8.2	22
2018-03-06	Tre Penne	W 1-0	44.8	1015	1086	31.60%	17.39%	51.01%	-0.59	+22.3	38
2018-03-06	@ La Fiorita	L 0-1	44.8	1086	1015	51.01%	17.39%	31.60%	+0.59	-22.3	38
2018-03-07	Cailungo	W 2-0	29.1	997	640	76.01%	15.83%	8.16%	+2.18	+7.9	34
2018-03-07	@ Folgore Falciano	L 0-2	29.1	640	997	8.16%	15.83%	76.01%	-2.18	-7.9	19
2018-03-07	Libertas	L 0-2	30.4	691	974	11.91%	16.41%	71.68%	-1.96	-11.5	16
2018-03-07	@ Virtus	W 2-0	30.4	974	691	71.68%	16.41%	11.91%	+1.96	+11.5	37
2018-03-07	Murata	W 2-0	32.8	573	390	63.58%	17.01%	19.41%	+1.05	+18.1	11
2018-03-07	@ Fiorentino	L 0-2	32.8	390	573	19.41%	17.01%	63.58%	-1.05	-18.1	1
2018-03-10	Libertas	D 0-0	51.1	1005	986	43.97%	17.45%	38.57%	-0.01	-0.6	35
2018-03-10	@ Folgore Falciano	D 0-0	51.1	986	1005	38.57%	17.45%	43.97%	+0.01	+0.6	38
2018-03-10	Murata	W 3-1	35.8	632	372	70.05%	16.57%	13.38%	+1.55	+11.1	22
2018-03-10	@ Cailungo	L 1-3	35.8	372	632	13.38%	16.57%	70.05%	-1.55	-11.1	1
2018-03-10	Tre Fiori	L 0-3	31.3	680	846	20.94%	17.09%	61.97%	-1.20	-28.2	16
2018-03-10	@ Virtus	W 3-0	31.3	846	680	61.97%	17.09%	20.94%	+1.20	+28.2	32
2018-03-11	Cosmos	W 3-2	59.6	620	881	13.28%	16.56%	70.16%	-1.82	+27.1	25
2018-03-11	@ Pennarossa	L 2-3	59.6	881	620	70.16%	16.56%	13.28%	+1.82	-27.1	25
2018-03-11	Domagnano	L 2-4	38.2	444	797	8.33%	15.86%	75.80%	-2.42	-6.3	10
2018-03-11	@ San Giovanni	W 4-2	38.2	797	444	75.80%	15.86%	8.33%	+2.42	+6.3	33
2018-03-11	Faetano	W 2-0	28.1	1063	633	79.28%	15.15%	5.56%	+2.66	+5.4	41
2018-03-11	@ Tre Penne	L 0-2	28.1	633	1063	5.56%	15.15%	79.28%	-2.66	-5.4	16
2018-03-11	La Fiorita	L 0-1	34.8	842	1037	18.25%	16.95%	64.81%	-1.40	-9.1	27
2018-03-11	@ Juvenes Dogana	W 1-0	34.8	1037	842	64.81%	16.95%	18.25%	+1.40	+9.1	41
2018-03-13	Cailungo	W 3-0	27.3	986	643	75.30%	15.94%	8.75%	+2.09	+12.4	41
2018-03-13	@ Libertas	L 0-3	27.3	643	986	8.75%	15.94%	75.30%	-2.09	-12.4	22
2018-03-13	Fiorentino	W 4-0	27.1	874	591	71.71%	16.41%	11.88%	+1.70	+21.7	35
2018-03-13	@ Tre Fiori	L 0-4	27.1	591	874	11.88%	16.41%	71.71%	-1.70	-21.7	11
2018-03-13	Folgore Falciano	L 0-3	27.1	652	1004	8.37%	15.87%	75.76%	-2.41	-11.8	16
2018-03-13	@ Virtus	W 3-0	27.1	1004	652	75.76%	15.87%	8.37%	+2.41	+11.8	38
2018-03-14	Juvenes Dogana	W 5-1	39.5	853	833	44.22%	17.45%	38.33%	+0.00	+52.0	28
2018-03-14	@ Cosmos	L 1-5	39.5	833	853	38.33%	17.45%	44.22%	+0.00	-52.0	27
2018-03-14	La Fiorita	L 0-4	28.0	803	1046	14.50%	16.68%	68.82%	-1.70	-26.2	33
2018-03-14	@ Domagnano	W 4-0	28.0	1046	803	68.82%	16.68%	14.50%	+1.70	+26.2	44
2018-03-14	San Giovanni	L 1-3	51.2	627	438	64.28%	16.98%	18.74%	+1.10	-45.3	16
2018-03-14	@ Faetano	W 3-1	51.2	438	627	18.74%	16.98%	64.28%	-1.10	+45.3	13
2018-03-14	Tre Penne	L 0-5	24.6	647	1069	5.82%	15.24%	78.94%	-2.86	-13.2	25
2018-03-14	@ Pennarossa	W 5-0	24.6	1069	647	78.94%	15.24%	5.82%	+2.86	+13.2	44
2018-03-17	Cosmos	W 3-0	31.2	1072	905	62.10%	17.08%	20.82%	+0.95	+28.1	47
2018-03-17	@ La Fiorita	L 0-3	31.2	905	1072	20.82%	17.08%	62.10%	-0.95	-28.1	28
2018-03-17	Juvenes Dogana	D 1-1	54.8	777	781	40.72%	17.46%	41.82%	-0.16	+0.1	34
2018-03-17	@ Domagnano	D 1-1	54.8	781	777	41.82%	17.46%	40.72%	+0.16	-0.1	28
2018-03-17	Pennarossa	W 3-1	46.6	582	633	34.11%	17.42%	48.47%	-0.47	+34.7	19
2018-03-17	@ Faetano	L 1-3	46.6	633	582	48.47%	17.42%	34.11%	+0.47	-34.7	25
2018-03-17	San Giovanni	W 6-1	26.2	1082	483	84.37%	13.35%	2.28%	+3.75	+4.2	47
2018-03-17	@ Tre Penne	L 1-6	26.2	483	1082	2.28%	13.35%	84.37%	-3.75	-4.2	13
2018-03-18	Libertas	L 0-1	37.7	896	999	27.67%	17.32%	55.02%	-0.80	-13.2	35
2018-03-18	@ Tre Fiori	W 1-0	37.7	999	896	55.02%	17.32%	27.67%	+0.80	+13.2	44
2018-03-18	Murata	W 4-0	23.0	1016	361	85.60%	12.71%	1.70%	+4.11	+3.0	41
2018-03-18	@ Folgore Falciano	L 0-4	23.0	361	1016	1.70%	12.71%	85.60%	-4.11	-3.0	1
2018-03-18	Virtus	W 2-1	49.3	569	640	31.59%	17.39%	51.02%	-0.59	+21.0	14
2018-03-18	@ Fiorentino	L 1-2	49.3	640	569	51.02%	17.39%	31.59%	+0.59	-21.0	16
2018-03-28	Cailungo	W 4-1	33.8	882	630	69.51%	16.62%	13.87%	+1.50	+16.3	38
2018-03-28	@ Tre Fiori	L 1-4	33.8	630	882	13.87%	16.62%	69.51%	-1.50	-16.2	22
2018-03-28	Folgore Falciano	L 0-2	28.1	590	1019	5.62%	15.17%	79.20%	-2.91	-5.5	14
2018-03-28	@ Fiorentino	W 2-0	28.1	1019	590	79.20%	15.17%	5.62%	+2.91	+5.5	44
2018-03-28	Virtus	L 1-8	29.3	358	619	13.29%	16.56%	70.15%	-1.82	-33.7	1
2018-03-28	@ Murata	W 8-1	29.3	619	358	70.15%	16.56%	13.29%	+1.82	+33.7	19
2018-03-29	Domagnano	L 0-4	29.7	599	777	19.77%	17.03%	63.20%	-1.29	-35.0	25
2018-03-29	@ Pennarossa	W 4-0	29.7	777	599	63.20%	17.03%	19.77%	+1.29	+35.0	37
2018-03-29	Faetano	W 4-1	36.1	781	617	61.79%	17.10%	21.11%	+0.93	+24.0	31
2018-03-29	@ Juvenes Dogana	L 1-4	36.1	617	781	21.11%	17.10%	61.79%	-0.93	-24.0	19
2018-03-29	San Giovanni	W 5-0	22.8	1101	479	84.89%	13.09%	2.02%	+3.89	+4.4	50
2018-03-29	@ La Fiorita	L 0-5	22.8	479	1101	2.02%	13.09%	84.89%	-3.89	-4.4	13
2018-03-29	Tre Penne	L 1-2	39.0	877	1086	17.10%	16.88%	66.02%	-1.48	-8.1	28
2018-03-29	@ Cosmos	W 2-1	39.0	1086	877	66.02%	16.88%	17.10%	+1.48	+8.1	50

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Record
2018-04-29	Domagnano	W 3-0	30.3	1012	812	65.21%	16.93%	17.87%	+1.29	+24.4	1-0
2018-04-29	@ Libertas	L 0-3	30.3	812	1012	17.87%	16.93%	65.21%	-1.29	-24.4	0-1
2018-04-29	Tre Fiori	L 3-5	57.8	1094	899	64.84%	16.95%	18.22%	+1.27	-38.6	0-1
2018-04-29	@ Tre Penne	W 5-3	57.8	899	1094	18.22%	16.95%	64.84%	-1.27	+38.6	1-0
2018-05-03	Libertas	W 6-5	60.5	937	1036	28.15%	17.33%	54.53%	-0.64	+20.2	2-0
2018-05-03	@ Tre Fiori	L 5-6	60.5	1036	937	54.53%	17.33%	28.15%	+0.64	-20.2	1-1
2018-05-04	Domagnano	W 6-4	43.1	1056	788	70.67%	16.51%	12.81%	+1.74	+8.7	1-1
2018-05-04	@ Tre Penne	L 4-6	43.1	788	1056	12.81%	16.51%	70.67%	-1.74	-8.7	0-2
2018-05-05	Folgore Falciano	W 3-1	41.2	1105	1024	52.28%	17.37%	30.35%	+0.52	+23.4	1-0
2018-05-05	@ La Fiorita	L 1-3	41.2	1024	1105	30.35%	17.37%	52.28%	-0.52	-23.4	0-1
2018-05-09	Libertas	W 2-1	44.4	1064	1016	48.04%	17.43%	34.53%	+0.31	+15.1	2-1
2018-05-09	@ Tre Penne	L 1-2	44.4	1016	1064	34.53%	17.43%	48.04%	-0.31	-15.1	1-2
2018-05-10	Tre Fiori	W 1-0	35.5	1128	958	62.47%	17.07%	20.46%	+1.11	+10.1	2-0
2018-05-10	@ La Fiorita	L 0-1	35.5	958	1128	20.46%	17.07%	62.47%	-1.11	-10.1	2-1
2018-05-13	Folgore Falciano	L 2-4	51.8	1079	1001	52.00%	17.38%	30.62%	+0.51	-33.1	2-2
2018-05-13	@ Tre Penne	W 4-2	51.8	1001	1079	30.62%	17.38%	52.00%	-0.51	+33.1	1-1
2018-05-18	Tre Fiori	W 3-1	40.9	1034	947	53.01%	17.36%	29.63%	+0.56	+22.9	2-1
2018-05-18	@ Folgore Falciano	L 1-3	40.9	947	1034	29.63%	17.36%	53.01%	-0.56	-22.9	2-2
2018-05-23	Folgore Falciano	W 1-0	38.6	1138	1057	52.38%	17.37%	30.25%	+0.53	+14.3	3-0
2018-05-23	@ La Fiorita	L 0-1	38.6	1057	1138	30.25%	17.37%	52.38%	-0.53	-14.3	2-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2017-11-05	8.54%	San Giovanni	447	3	@ Virtus	795	1
2	2018-03-11	13.28%	@ Pennarossa	620	3	Cosmos	881	2
3	2017-11-19	13.47%	Pennarossa	596	1	@ Tre Fiori	854	0
4	2017-09-24	14.10%	Faetano	588	5	@ Domagnano	836	2
5	2017-09-30	15.30%	Domagnano	777	2	@ La Fiorita	1009	0
6	2017-10-15	16.36%	Juvenes Dogana	735	3	@ La Fiorita	953	1
7	2017-09-09	17.45%	Tre Fiori	728	2	@ Folgore Falciano	932	1
8	2018-04-29 *	18.22%	Tre Fiori	899	5	@ Tre Penne	1094	3
9	2018-03-14	18.74%	San Giovanni	438	3	@ Faetano	627	1
10	2017-09-24	18.91%	@ Pennarossa	572	2	Juvenes Dogana	760	1
11	2017-11-18	18.92%	San Giovanni	500	1	@ Fiorentino	688	0
12	2017-09-09	18.98%	@ Cailungo	611	2	Fiorentino	798	0
13	2017-10-21	23.85%	@ Cosmos	769	3	La Fiorita	906	0
14	2017-11-19	25.96%	Domagnano	885	3	@ Libertas	1003	2
15	2018-01-13	26.40%	Virtus	672	3	@ Cosmos	786	2
16	2017-11-05	27.48%	La Fiorita	847	1	@ Folgore Falciano	951	0
17	2018-02-18	28.15%	Cosmos	773	6	@ Domagnano	872	1
18	2018-05-03 *	28.15%	@ Tre Fiori	937	6	Libertas	1036	5
19	2018-05-13 *	30.62%	Folgore Falciano	1001	4	@ Tre Penne	1079	2
20	2018-03-18	31.59%	@ Fiorentino	569	2	Virtus	640	1
21	2018-03-06	31.60%	@ La Fiorita	1015	1	Tre Penne	1086	0
22	2018-01-21	33.53%	@ Folgore Falciano	975	1	Tre Penne	1031	0
23	2017-12-03	34.10%	@ La Fiorita	938	3	Libertas	990	1
24	2018-03-17	34.11%	@ Faetano	582	3	Pennarossa	633	1
25	2017-10-14	35.37%	Folgore Falciano	913	1	@ Libertas	955	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2018-02-18	86.44	Cosmos	6	773	28.15%	@ Domagnano	1	872	54.53%	17.33%
2	2017-10-21	69.80	@ Cosmos	3	769	23.85%	La Fiorita	0	906	58.94%	17.21%
3	2017-09-24	59.85	Faetano	5	588	14.10%	@ Domagnano	2	836	69.26%	16.64%
4	2017-11-04	55.81	Libertas	6	947	61.15%	@ Juvenes Dogana	0	789	21.73%	17.12%
5	2017-09-30	55.35	Domagnano	2	777	15.30%	@ La Fiorita	0	1009	67.95%	16.75%
6	2017-10-14	54.72	Cailungo	5	682	56.95%	@ Murata	0	563	25.78%	17.27%
7	2017-11-05	53.35	San Giovanni	3	447	8.54%	@ Virtus	1	795	75.55%	15.90%
8	2017-09-09	52.14	@ Cailungo	2	611	18.98%	Fiorentino	0	798	64.03%	16.99%
9	2018-03-14	51.98	@ Cosmos	5	853	44.22%	Juvenes Dogana	1	833	38.33%	17.45%
10	2017-11-19	48.80	@ Juvenes Dogana	3	733	43.19%	Cailungo	0	720	39.35%	17.46%
11	2018-02-06	47.17	Juvenes Dogana	5	799	61.05%	@ Fiorentino	0	643	21.82%	17.13%
12	2017-10-15	47.12	Juvenes Dogana	3	735	16.36%	@ La Fiorita	1	953	66.81%	16.83%
13	2017-12-02	45.48	@ Faetano	6	591	56.84%	Murata	1	473	25.89%	17.27%
14	2018-03-14	45.33	San Giovanni	3	438	18.74%	@ Faetano	1	627	64.28%	16.98%
15	2017-11-25	39.81	Juvenes Dogana	3	782	51.70%	@ Virtus	0	706	30.92%	17.38%
16	2018-04-29 *	38.64	Tre Fiori	5	899	18.22%	@ Tre Penne	3	1094	64.84%	16.95%
17	2018-02-18	38.44	@ Pennarossa	3	589	52.95%	San Giovanni	0	503	29.69%	17.36%
18	2017-12-10	36.65	Fiorentino	2	621	38.87%	@ Pennarossa	0	637	43.68%	17.46%
19	2017-11-18	35.64	@ La Fiorita	5	871	58.05%	Virtus	1	742	24.71%	17.23%
20	2018-03-29	34.99	Domagnano	4	777	63.20%	@ Pennarossa	0	599	19.77%	17.03%
21	2017-12-03	34.81	Folgore Falciano	3	935	56.22%	@ Juvenes Dogana	0	822	26.49%	17.29%
22	2017-12-03	34.74	@ La Fiorita	3	938	34.10%	Libertas	1	990	48.48%	17.42%
23	2018-03-17	34.74	@ Faetano	3	582	34.11%	Pennarossa	1	633	48.47%	17.42%
24	2017-09-30	34.36	Tre Fiori	5	771	44.89%	@ Fiorentino	2	746	37.66%	17.45%
25	2018-03-28	33.71	Virtus	8	619	70.15%	@ Murata	1	358	13.29%	16.56%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2018-02-16	67.0	@ Murata	4	386	4.67%	Tre Fiori	4	850	80.51%	14.82%
2	2017-11-28	64.0	@ Folgore Falciano	3	937	58.06%	Cosmos	3	808	24.71%	17.23%
3	2017-10-22	63.9	@ Pennarossa	3	611	35.38%	Faetano	3	654	47.18%	17.44%
4	2017-12-13	63.9	@ Virtus	3	673	46.30%	Faetano	3	637	36.26%	17.44%
5	2018-05-03 *	60.5	@ Tre Fiori	6	937	28.15%	Libertas	5	1036	54.53%	17.33%
6	2018-01-20	59.8	@ Tre Fiori	2	859	25.79%	La Fiorita	2	979	56.94%	17.27%
7	2018-01-21	59.8	@ Virtus	2	694	52.86%	Pennarossa	2	608	29.78%	17.36%
8	2018-03-11	59.6	@ Pennarossa	3	620	13.28%	Cosmos	2	881	70.16%	16.56%
9	2018-04-29 *	57.8	Tre Fiori	5	899	18.22%	@ Tre Penne	3	1094	64.84%	16.95%
10	2017-11-19	55.8	Domagnano	3	885	25.96%	@ Libertas	2	1003	56.77%	17.27%
11	2018-01-13	55.6	Virtus	3	672	26.40%	@ Cosmos	2	786	56.32%	17.28%
12	2017-09-09	55.5	@ Pennarossa	1	547	5.55%	La Fiorita	1	979	79.31%	15.15%
13	2018-01-13	55.4	@ Pennarossa	1	601	7.16%	Folgore Falciano	1	983	77.23%	15.61%
14	2017-09-08	55.1	@ Juvenes Dogana	1	780	70.09%	San Giovanni	1	520	13.34%	16.57%
15	2018-01-13	55.1	@ Domagnano	1	887	67.79%	Fiorentino	1	657	15.45%	16.76%
16	2017-09-08	55.0	@ Faetano	1	590	20.75%	Cosmos	1	757	62.17%	17.08%
17	2017-09-16	54.9	@ Cosmos	1	753	29.74%	Domagnano	1	839	52.90%	17.36%
18	2017-11-04	54.9	@ Pennarossa	1	592	24.50%	Cailungo	1	723	58.27%	17.23%
19	2017-11-05	54.9	@ Cosmos	1	811	57.85%	Fiorentino	1	684	24.91%	17.24%
20	2018-01-14	54.9	@ Juvenes Dogana	1	787	31.16%	Tre Fiori	1	861	51.46%	17.38%
21	2018-03-17	54.8	@ Domagnano	1	777	40.72%	Juvenes Dogana	1	781	41.82%	17.46%
22	2017-11-05	54.2	San Giovanni	3	447	8.54%	@ Virtus	1	795	75.55%	15.90%
23	2017-09-24	53.6	Faetano	5	588	14.10%	@ Domagnano	2	836	69.26%	16.64%
24	2017-09-09	53.5	Tre Fiori	2	728	17.45%	@ Folgore Falciano	1	932	65.65%	16.90%
25	2017-09-24	53.1	@ Pennarossa	2	572	18.91%	Juvenes Dogana	1	760	64.10%	16.99%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2018-03-29	22.8	@ La Fiorita	5	1101	84.89%	San Giovanni	0	479	2.02%	13.09%
2	2018-03-18	23.0	@ Folgore Falciano	4	1016	85.60%	Murata	0	361	1.70%	12.71%
3	2018-02-04	24.2	@ La Fiorita	9	976	83.84%	Murata	0	399	2.56%	13.60%
4	2017-11-25	24.6	Libertas	4	981	80.11%	@ San Giovanni	0	528	4.96%	14.93%
5	2018-03-14	24.6	Tre Penne	5	1069	78.94%	@ Pennarossa	0	647	5.82%	15.24%
6	2018-02-10	25.1	@ La Fiorita	5	986	77.14%	Pennarossa	0	606	7.23%	15.62%
7	2017-11-18	25.3	@ Tre Penne	3	996	81.89%	Murata	0	490	3.73%	14.38%
8	2018-03-06	25.4	Cosmos	7	860	77.79%	@ San Giovanni	0	465	6.72%	15.50%
9	2018-03-17	26.2	@ Tre Penne	6	1082	84.37%	San Giovanni	1	483	2.28%	13.35%
10	2018-02-06	26.5	@ Tre Penne	4	1010	73.87%	Virtus	0	692	9.98%	16.15%
11	2017-10-28	26.7	La Fiorita	3	836	77.09%	@ San Giovanni	0	457	7.28%	15.63%
12	2018-01-20	26.7	Juvenes Dogana	3	789	77.13%	@ Murata	0	409	7.25%	15.63%
13	2018-03-13	27.1	@ Tre Fiori	4	874	71.71%	Fiorentino	0	591	11.88%	16.41%
14	2018-03-13	27.1	Folgore Falciano	3	1004	75.76%	@ Virtus	0	652	8.37%	15.87%
15	2018-02-18	27.2	La Fiorita	3	1003	75.46%	@ Faetano	0	656	8.62%	15.92%
16	2018-03-13	27.3	@ Libertas	3	986	75.30%	Cailungo	0	643	8.75%	15.94%
17	2017-11-25	27.5	@ La Fiorita	5	906	69.07%	Fiorentino	0	660	14.27%	16.66%
18	2018-01-14	27.5	@ Tre Penne	3	1018	74.52%	Cailungo	0	689	9.42%	16.06%
19	2018-02-06	27.6	Folgore Falciano	2	997	80.99%	@ San Giovanni	0	518	4.33%	14.67%
20	2017-09-10	27.9	@ Libertas	3	912	73.29%	Murata	0	604	10.48%	16.23%
21	2018-03-14	28.0	La Fiorita	4	1046	68.82%	@ Domagnano	0	803	14.50%	16.68%
22	2017-10-21	28.1	Folgore Falciano	2	934	79.08%	@ Murata	0	508	5.71%	15.20%
23	2018-03-11	28.1	@ Tre Penne	2	1063	79.28%	Faetano	0	633	5.56%	15.15%
24	2018-03-28	28.1	Folgore Falciano	2	1019	79.20%	@ Fiorentino	0	590	5.62%	15.17%
25	2018-02-17	28.6	@ Libertas	2	967	77.49%	Fiorentino	0	579	6.96%	15.56%