Home / Leagues / San Marino / Campionato Sammarinese / 2019-20
‹ ›

2019-20 Campionato Sammarinese Season

105 games

Final

Champion

La Fiorita

19 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

La Fiorita

5.25 points above expected

19 points · 13.75 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Juvenes Dogana

7.91 points below expected

0 points · 7.91 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 La Fiorita 7 6 1 0 19 11 3 +8 13.75 +5.25
2 Tre Penne 6 6 0 0 18 20 5 +15 13.15 +4.85
3 Libertas 6 5 0 1 15 16 6 +10 10.52 +4.48
4 Murata 7 4 2 1 14 12 6 +6 9.30 +4.70
5 Tre Fiori 7 4 1 2 13 15 8 +7 12.41 +0.59
6 Pennarossa 7 4 0 3 12 15 14 +1 7.64 +4.36
7 Cailungo 6 4 0 2 12 7 7 0 8.54 +3.46
8 Folgore Falciano 7 2 4 1 10 13 7 +6 12.03 -2.03
9 Virtus 6 2 1 3 7 10 11 -1 6.07 +0.93
10 Domagnano 7 2 1 4 7 8 13 -5 7.82 -0.82
11 San Giovanni 6 2 0 4 6 6 13 -7 6.49 -0.49
12 Fiorentino 6 1 1 4 4 8 13 -5 6.87 -2.87
13 Faetano 7 1 1 5 4 9 15 -6 7.14 -3.14
14 Cosmos 6 0 0 6 0 4 16 -12 7.16 -7.16
15 Juvenes Dogana 7 0 0 7 0 5 22 -17 7.91 -7.91
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Tre Fiori 8 6 2 0 20 23 11 +12 19.60 +0.40
2 Faetano 7 6 1 0 19 17 6 +11 — —
3 Folgore Falciano 8 4 4 0 16 14 3 +11 20.73 -4.73
4 Tre Penne 8 4 3 1 15 13 8 +5 26.11 -11.11
5 Pennarossa 7 4 2 1 14 22 12 +10 — —
6 La Fiorita 8 4 2 2 14 13 8 +5 26.58 -12.58
7 Domagnano 7 4 1 2 13 12 6 +6 — —
8 Cosmos 6 2 2 2 8 10 12 -2 — —
9 Virtus 8 2 1 5 7 14 18 -4 10.04 -3.04
10 Murata 8 2 1 5 7 10 17 -7 17.93 -10.93
11 Fiorentino 7 1 2 4 5 9 21 -12 — —
12 Libertas 8 1 2 5 5 5 17 -12 21.82 -16.82
13 Cailungo 8 1 1 6 4 9 19 -10 13.76 -9.76
14 San Giovanni 7 0 3 4 3 6 12 -6 — —
15 Juvenes Dogana 7 0 3 4 3 4 11 -7 — —

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 La Fiorita 19 13.75 +5.25
2 Tre Penne 18 13.15 +4.85
3 Murata 14 9.30 +4.70
4 Libertas 15 10.52 +4.48
5 Pennarossa 12 7.64 +4.36

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Juvenes Dogana 0 7.91 -7.91
2 Cosmos 0 7.16 -7.16
3 Faetano 4 7.14 -3.14
4 Fiorentino 4 6.87 -2.87
5 Folgore Falciano 10 12.03 -2.03

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 La Fiorita 6 Sep 28 – Dec 1 1 in 20
2 Tre Penne 6 Sep 22 – Nov 30 1 in 11
3 Libertas 4 Oct 4 – Nov 24 1 in 11
4 Murata 3 Oct 6 – Nov 2 1 in 10
5 Cailungo 3 Sep 20 – Oct 19 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Juvenes Dogana 7 Sep 21 – Dec 1 1 in 238
2 Cosmos 6 Sep 27 – Nov 30 1 in 165
3 Faetano 4 Oct 6 – Nov 23 1 in 23
4 Fiorentino 3 Sep 20 – Oct 19 1 in 12
5 San Giovanni 3 Oct 4 – Nov 24 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Murata 6 Sep 21 – Nov 23 1 in 18
2 La Fiorita 7 Sep 20 – Dec 1 1 in 5
3 Domagnano 2 Oct 5 – Oct 20 1 in 4
4 Folgore Falciano 3 Sep 20 – Oct 5 1 in 3
5 Libertas 4 Oct 4 – Nov 24 1 in 3

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Juvenes Dogana 7 Sep 21 – Dec 1 1 in 16
2 Cosmos 6 Sep 27 – Nov 30 1 in 14
3 Folgore Falciano 4 Sep 20 – Oct 20 1 in 11
4 Faetano 5 Oct 6 – Dec 1 1 in 6
5 Tre Fiori 2 Nov 2 – Nov 23 1 in 4

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Tre Fiori 1088 33 +133 13 7.3 +5.7
Tre Penne 1051 33 -9 10 10.2 -0.2
La Fiorita 1058 33 -64 7 9.3 -2.3
Folgore Falciano 1092 26 +104 11 9.5 +1.5
Pennarossa 854 26 -19 10 10.2 -0.2
Faetano 856 23 +133 15 9.3 +5.7
Murata 812 21 -38 7 6.4 +0.6
Domagnano 835 20 +82 9 8.7 +0.3
Libertas 798 20 -113 1 5.7 -4.7
Cailungo 676 16 -90 1 4.3 -3.3
Virtus 744 14 +77 6 3.2 +2.8
Fiorentino 583 9 -112 2 6.0 -4.0
San Giovanni 574 9 -85 1 5.5 -4.5
Cosmos 623 8 +36 7 4.9 +2.1
Juvenes Dogana 528 3 -58 3 4.2 -1.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team CAI COS DOM FAE FIO FF JD LF LIB MUR PEN SG TF TP VIR
Cailungo —
1-0-0
1.76
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.53
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.12
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.67
1-0-0
1.75
Cosmos
0-0-1
1.03
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.44
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.95
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.56
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.43
0-0-1
1.89
Domagnano
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
1-0-0
1.43
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
0.72
1-0-0
1.48
0-0-1
0.51
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.57
0-0-1
1.21
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.97
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Faetano
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.35
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
0.60
1-0-0
1.06
0-0-1
0.60
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.02
0-0-1
1.64
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.94
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Fiorentino
0-0-1
1.25
1-0-0
1.35
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.87
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.76
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.47
0-1-0
1.39
Folgore Falciano
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
2.07
0-1-0
2.20
0-0-0
0.00
 —
1-0-0
1.99
0-1-0
1.14
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.75
1-0-0
1.68
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.16
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Juvenes Dogana
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.31
0-0-1
1.72
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.80
 —
0-0-1
0.41
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.36
0-0-1
1.70
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.57
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
La Fiorita
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.29
1-0-0
2.20
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.65
1-0-0
2.40
 —
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.83
1-0-0
2.07
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.50
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Libertas
1-0-0
1.67
1-0-0
1.84
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.92
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.04
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.95
1-0-0
2.03
Murata
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.22
1-0-0
1.77
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.04
1-0-0
1.43
0-0-1
0.96
0-0-0
0.00
 —
1-0-0
1.66
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.53
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Pennarossa
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.58
1-0-0
1.15
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.10
1-0-0
1.09
0-0-1
0.73
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.12
 —
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
0.84
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
San Giovanni
0-0-1
0.80
1-0-0
1.23
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.03
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.75
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.52
0-0-1
1.47
Tre Fiori
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.82
1-0-0
1.86
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.63
1-0-0
2.23
0-0-1
1.29
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.26
0-0-1
1.95
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Tre Penne
1-0-0
2.12
1-0-0
2.38
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.33
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.84
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.28
0-0-0
0.00
 —
1-0-0
2.31
Virtus
0-0-1
1.04
1-0-0
0.90
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.40
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.76
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.32
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.49
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.62 +10.4
Allowed 0.81 -10.5
Differential 0.88 +6.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.71%7.14%4.29%2.86%2.86%0.95%23.81%
17.14%8.57%8.57%5.24%1.90%0.95%32.38%
24.29%8.57%1.90%1.90%0.95%0.48%18.10%
32.86%5.24%1.90%3.81%0.48%1.43%15.71%
42.86%1.90%0.95%0.48%——6.19%
5+0.95%0.95%0.48%1.43%——3.81%
Total23.81%32.38%18.10%15.71%6.19%3.81%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.62 +0.00
SD 1.44 1.44 2.07
CV 0.89 0.89 —
Max 7 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 105

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%—7.14%——21.43%
121.43%7.14%7.14%14.29%7.14%—57.14%
2—7.14%————7.14%
3—7.14%———7.14%14.29%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.43%35.71%7.14%21.43%7.14%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.86 -0.71
SD 0.95 1.75 1.73
CV 0.83 0.94 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——8.33%8.33%8.33%—25.00%
18.33%8.33%16.67%8.33%—8.33%50.00%
2———8.33%——8.33%
38.33%——8.33%——16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%8.33%25.00%33.33%8.33%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 2.33 -1.17
SD 1.03 1.50 2.04
CV 0.88 0.64 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—21.43%——7.14%—28.57%
1—7.14%7.14%7.14%——21.43%
27.14%21.43%7.14%———35.71%
3—7.14%————7.14%
47.14%—————7.14%
5+———————
Total14.29%57.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.36 +0.07
SD 1.22 1.08 1.98
CV 0.86 0.80 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——14.29%———14.29%
114.29%7.14%7.14%———28.57%
27.14%7.14%—7.14%——21.43%
3—14.29%—7.14%—7.14%28.57%
47.14%—————7.14%
5+———————
Total28.57%28.57%21.43%14.29%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.50 +0.36
SD 1.23 1.45 1.82
CV 0.66 0.97 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—15.38%——15.38%—30.77%
1—15.38%—7.69%7.69%—30.77%
2—7.69%——7.69%—15.38%
37.69%——7.69%—7.69%23.08%
4———————
5+———————
Total7.69%38.46%—15.38%30.77%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 2.62 -1.31
SD 1.18 1.98 2.14
CV 0.90 0.76 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 13

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%6.67%————26.67%
1—26.67%————26.67%
26.67%6.67%6.67%———20.00%
36.67%—————6.67%
4—6.67%————6.67%
5+6.67%6.67%————13.33%
Total40.00%53.33%6.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.80 0.67 +1.13
SD 1.74 0.62 1.81
CV 0.97 0.93 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%—7.14%14.29%7.14%—42.86%
1—7.14%21.43%14.29%—7.14%50.00%
2———7.14%——7.14%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total14.29%7.14%28.57%35.71%7.14%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.64 2.36 -1.71
SD 0.63 1.39 1.38
CV 0.99 0.59 —
Max 2 5 +0
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%—6.67%———20.00%
113.33%6.67%6.67%———26.67%
26.67%33.33%————40.00%
3—6.67%————6.67%
4———————
5+6.67%—————6.67%
Total40.00%46.67%13.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.60 0.73 +0.87
SD 1.30 0.70 1.55
CV 0.81 0.96 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%—7.14%—7.14%35.71%
17.14%7.14%——7.14%—21.43%
27.14%——7.14%——14.29%
3—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
47.14%—7.14%———14.29%
5+———————
Total28.57%28.57%14.29%14.29%7.14%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.64 -0.14
SD 1.51 1.60 2.41
CV 1.00 0.97 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.67%———6.67%13.33%
16.67%13.33%26.67%———46.67%
26.67%13.33%6.67%———26.67%
36.67%—————6.67%
4———6.67%——6.67%
5+———————
Total20.00%33.33%33.33%6.67%—6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.53 -0.07
SD 1.06 1.30 1.83
CV 0.72 0.85 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—7.14%—7.14%—21.43%
1——7.14%—7.14%—14.29%
27.14%—————7.14%
37.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%——28.57%
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+—7.14%—14.29%——21.43%
Total21.43%21.43%21.43%21.43%14.29%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.64 1.86 +0.79
SD 2.13 1.41 2.55
CV 0.81 0.76 —
Max 7 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%15.38%7.69%7.69%——38.46%
17.69%7.69%15.38%7.69%——38.46%
27.69%————7.69%15.38%
3———7.69%——7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%23.08%23.08%23.08%—7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 1.92 -1.00
SD 0.95 1.89 1.78
CV 1.03 0.98 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 13

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——6.67%———6.67%
16.67%6.67%6.67%———20.00%
26.67%13.33%6.67%———26.67%
3—6.67%6.67%6.67%——20.00%
413.33%6.67%————20.00%
5+———6.67%——6.67%
Total26.67%33.33%26.67%13.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.53 1.27 +1.27
SD 1.55 1.03 1.75
CV 0.61 0.82 —
Max 6 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—7.14%———14.29%
121.43%7.14%————28.57%
2—7.14%————7.14%
37.14%14.29%—7.14%——28.57%
47.14%—7.14%———14.29%
5+——7.14%———7.14%
Total42.86%28.57%21.43%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.36 0.93 +1.43
SD 1.91 1.00 1.79
CV 0.81 1.07 —
Max 7 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%————21.43%
1——7.14%21.43%——28.57%
2—7.14%——7.14%—14.29%
3—7.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%—28.57%
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+———————
Total7.14%35.71%14.29%28.57%14.29%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 2.07 -0.36
SD 1.33 1.27 1.60
CV 0.77 0.61 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Folgore Falciano 1092 10 12.03 -2.03 36.0% 5 7 10 11 15 18 21
Tre Fiori 1088 13 12.41 +0.59 60.0% 0 7 10 13 15 17 21
La Fiorita 1058 19 13.75 +5.25 99.0% 7 9 12 14 16 19 21
Tre Penne 1051 18 13.15 +4.85 100.0% 7 8 11 13 15 16 18
Faetano 856 4 7.14 -3.14 23.0% 0 1 5 7 9 13 19
Pennarossa 854 12 7.64 +4.36 91.0% 1 3 5 7 10 13 18
Domagnano 835 7 7.82 -0.82 48.0% 2 3 5 8 10 14 17
Murata 812 14 9.30 +4.70 97.0% 2 4 7 9 12 14 16
Libertas 798 15 10.52 +4.48 93.0% 4 5 8 11 13 16 16
Virtus 744 7 6.07 +0.93 66.0% 0 1 3 6 9 11 15
Cailungo 676 12 8.54 +3.46 85.0% 1 3 6 8 11 15 18
Cosmos 623 0 7.16 -7.16 1.0% 0 2 4 7 9 13 16
Fiorentino 583 4 6.87 -2.87 25.0% 1 2 4 7 9 12 16
San Giovanni 574 6 6.49 -0.49 55.0% 0 1 4 6 8 11 15
Juvenes Dogana 528 0 7.91 -7.91 1.0% 0 2 6 8 10 13 16

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -4.5% * Slight Edge: -4.5% to 0.5% * Clear Edge: 0.5% to 5% * Strong Edge: 5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+3.81%
Clear Edge
41.90%20.00%38.10%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 13.24 Elo pts.
168 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.08 goals
Neutral
-2+0.08+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 4 * Top-Heavy: 4 to 5 * Open: 5 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.19 * Runaway: 0.19 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.7
Open
145610
Champion Preseason Odds
41%
La Fiorita, 2nd of 15
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Comfortable
00.270.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.61 * Some Luck: 2.61 to 3.91 * Lucky: 3.91 to 5.21 * Wild Swing: 5.21 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.42 * Close: 2.42 to 3.63 * Off: 3.63 to 4.85 * Way Off: 4.85 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 15 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 15 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 15 * As Expected: 15 to 24 * Several Outliers: 24 to 33 * Many Outliers: 33 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.17 points
Lucky
03.268
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.40
Pinpoint
03.038
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.67%
100.00%
Tre Penne
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.33%
1.00%
Cosmos
050
Season Outliers
Expected
5 of 15
Minimal Outliers
01.57

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Strong Separation: 1.9 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 74% * Slight Edge: 74% to 79.5% * Clear Edge: 79.5% to 84.5% * Wide Edge: 84.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56% * Some Drama: 56% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 65.5% * Very Frequent: 65.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.35
Lopsided
00.20.260.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 153.56
1.67
Coin-Flip Parity
11.71.92.23
Interquartile Edge
79%
Slight Edge
50%74%84.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
94%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
56%
Some Drama
0%53%100%
Blowouts
Expected
22%
Frequent
0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.52 * Strong Carryover: 0.52 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 24.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 24.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 17.5% * Shaky Favorites: 17.5% to 20.5% * Very Shaky: 20.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.53
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.41
Slight Separation
00.370.430.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.64
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.43
Some Carryover
00.360.520.691
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
As Expected
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Solid Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.16 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.16 to 0.24 * Above Noise: 0.24 to 0.32 * Well Above Noise: 0.32 and up.
Probability calibration
0.82
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.51
Very Underconfident
0.3392671.001.66073
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.069
Well Within Noise
00.1620.4

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
La Fiorita41.00%24.00%21.00%8.00%6.00%———
Tre Penne60.00%23.00%8.00%6.00%3.00%———
Libertas19.00%36.00%18.00%7.00%8.00%11.00%1.00%—
Murata5.00%14.00%11.00%18.00%16.00%19.00%9.00%8.00%
Tre Fiori31.00%22.00%18.00%11.00%8.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%
Pennarossa1.00%6.00%10.00%13.00%9.00%22.00%17.00%22.00%
Cailungo9.00%16.00%19.00%20.00%15.00%12.00%9.00%—
Folgore Falciano17.00%21.00%19.00%21.00%13.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%
Virtus2.00%5.00%14.00%19.00%16.00%22.00%22.00%—
Domagnano2.00%5.00%6.00%9.00%18.00%17.00%27.00%16.00%
San Giovanni2.00%9.00%10.00%9.00%22.00%24.00%24.00%—
Fiorentino3.00%5.00%17.00%20.00%15.00%23.00%17.00%—
Faetano1.00%3.00%8.00%8.00%15.00%15.00%23.00%27.00%
Cosmos5.00%6.00%14.00%19.00%21.00%8.00%27.00%—
Juvenes Dogana2.00%5.00%7.00%12.00%15.00%16.00%18.00%25.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Lost promotion playoff Same level
Cailungo 25.00% 75.00%
Cosmos 34.00% 66.00%
Domagnano 2.00% 98.00%
Faetano 8.00% 92.00%
Fiorentino 27.00% 73.00%
Folgore Falciano 7.00% 93.00%
Juvenes Dogana 23.00% 77.00%
La Fiorita 4.00% 96.00%
Libertas 6.00% 94.00%
Murata 13.00% 87.00%
Pennarossa 3.00% 97.00%
San Giovanni 20.00% 80.00%
Tre Fiori 5.00% 95.00%
Tre Penne — 100%
Virtus 23.00% 77.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team Lost promotion playoff Same level
Cailungo 47.12% 52.88%
Cosmos — 100%
Domagnano — 100%
Faetano — 100%
Fiorentino — 100%
Folgore Falciano 15.55% 84.45%
Juvenes Dogana — 100%
La Fiorita 4.22% 95.78%
Libertas 12.32% 87.68%
Murata 25.66% 74.34%
Pennarossa — 100%
San Giovanni — 100%
Tre Fiori 18.56% 81.44%
Tre Penne 4.62% 95.38%
Virtus 71.95% 28.05%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2019-09-20 Fiorentino W 1-040.7 775 755 44.09% 21.19% 34.73%+0.20 +21.0 3
2019-09-20 @ Cailungo L 0-140.7 755 775 34.73% 21.19% 44.09%-0.20 -21.0 0
2019-09-20 La Fiorita D 0-050.8 894 970 30.80% 21.13% 48.07%-0.38 +2.4 1
2019-09-20 @ Folgore Falciano D 0-050.8 970 894 48.07% 21.13% 30.80%+0.38 -2.4 1
2019-09-21 Faetano W 3-247.1 881 775 54.86% 20.94% 24.20%+0.71 +13.9 3
2019-09-21 @ Tre Fiori L 2-347.1 775 881 24.20% 20.94% 54.86%-0.71 -13.9 0
2019-09-21 Juvenes Dogana W 3-254.8 766 855 29.21% 21.10% 49.69%-0.45 +25.2 3
2019-09-21 @ Pennarossa L 2-354.8 855 766 49.69% 21.10% 29.21%+0.45 -25.2 0
2019-09-21 Murata L 1-248.5 798 770 45.14% 21.18% 33.69%+0.24 -24.4 0
2019-09-21 @ Domagnano W 2-148.5 770 798 33.69% 21.18% 45.14%-0.24 +24.4 3
2019-09-22 San Giovanni W 2-031.6 844 678 61.11% 20.59% 18.30%+1.07 +23.0 3
2019-09-22 @ Libertas L 0-231.6 678 844 18.30% 20.59% 61.11%-1.07 -23.0 0
2019-09-22 Virtus W 1-032.7 962 670 70.66% 19.49% 9.84%+1.82 +6.8 3
2019-09-22 @ Tre Penne L 0-132.7 670 962 9.84% 19.49% 70.66%-1.82 -6.8 0
2019-09-27 Faetano L 0-241.4 830 761 50.47% 21.08% 28.45%+0.49 -53.9 0
2019-09-27 @ Juvenes Dogana W 2-041.4 761 830 28.45% 21.08% 50.47%-0.49 +53.9 3
2019-09-27 Virtus L 1-251.7 780 663 56.07% 20.88% 23.04%+0.77 -29.7 0
2019-09-27 @ Cosmos W 2-151.7 663 780 23.04% 20.88% 56.07%-0.77 +29.7 3
2019-09-28 Folgore Falciano D 1-154.6 795 896 27.65% 21.06% 51.29%-0.53 +3.0 4
2019-09-28 @ Murata D 1-154.6 896 795 51.29% 21.06% 27.65%+0.53 -3.0 2
2019-09-28 Pennarossa W 2-031.3 968 791 62.07% 20.52% 17.41%+1.13 +22.0 4
2019-09-28 @ La Fiorita L 0-231.3 791 968 17.41% 20.52% 62.07%-1.13 -22.0 3
2019-09-28 San Giovanni L 0-145.7 734 655 51.77% 21.04% 27.19%+0.55 -29.2 0
2019-09-28 @ Fiorentino W 1-045.7 655 734 27.19% 21.04% 51.77%-0.55 +29.2 3
2019-09-29 Libertas W 1-037.6 968 867 54.43% 20.95% 24.61%+0.69 +15.8 6
2019-09-29 @ Tre Penne L 0-137.6 867 968 24.61% 20.95% 54.43%-0.69 -15.8 3
2019-09-29 Tre Fiori L 0-429.7 773 895 25.39% 20.98% 53.63%-0.64 -58.0 0
2019-09-29 @ Domagnano W 4-029.7 895 773 53.63% 20.98% 25.39%+0.64 +58.0 6
2019-10-04 Cosmos W 3-247.3 851 750 54.32% 20.96% 24.72%+0.68 +14.2 6
2019-10-04 @ Libertas L 2-347.3 750 851 24.72% 20.96% 54.32%-0.68 -14.2 0
2019-10-04 Tre Penne L 2-730.0 684 984 10.77% 19.68% 69.56%-1.71 -22.8 3
2019-10-04 @ San Giovanni W 7-230.0 984 684 69.56% 19.68% 10.77%+1.71 +22.8 9
2019-10-05 Cailungo L 0-138.5 693 796 27.50% 21.05% 51.45%-0.54 -17.3 3
2019-10-05 @ Virtus W 1-038.5 796 693 51.45% 21.05% 27.50%+0.54 +17.3 6
2019-10-05 Domagnano D 2-259.9 893 715 62.21% 20.51% 17.28%+1.14 -4.5 3
2019-10-05 @ Folgore Falciano D 2-259.9 715 893 17.28% 20.51% 62.21%-1.14 +4.5 1
2019-10-05 La Fiorita L 1-245.8 953 990 36.02% 21.20% 42.78%-0.14 -20.4 6
2019-10-05 @ Tre Fiori W 2-145.8 990 953 42.78% 21.20% 36.02%+0.14 +20.4 7
2019-10-06 Murata L 0-334.7 776 797 38.23% 21.21% 40.56%-0.05 -62.0 0
2019-10-06 @ Juvenes Dogana W 3-034.7 797 776 40.56% 21.21% 38.23%+0.05 +62.0 7
2019-10-06 Pennarossa L 3-552.2 815 769 47.53% 21.14% 31.33%+0.35 -37.4 3
2019-10-06 @ Faetano W 5-352.2 769 815 31.33% 21.14% 47.53%-0.35 +37.4 6
2019-10-19 Cosmos W 2-143.1 813 736 51.55% 21.05% 27.40%+0.54 +16.3 9
2019-10-19 @ Cailungo L 1-243.1 736 813 27.40% 21.05% 51.55%-0.54 -16.3 0
2019-10-19 Fiorentino W 4-237.9 1007 705 71.30% 19.38% 9.32%+1.88 +9.5 12
2019-10-19 @ Tre Penne L 2-437.9 705 1007 9.32% 19.38% 71.30%-1.88 -9.5 0
2019-10-19 Libertas L 2-441.1 676 865 18.56% 20.61% 60.83%-1.05 -18.0 3
2019-10-19 @ Virtus W 4-241.1 865 676 60.83% 20.61% 18.56%+1.05 +18.0 9
2019-10-20 Faetano W 2-138.6 1010 778 66.68% 20.07% 13.24%+1.47 +8.6 10
2019-10-20 @ La Fiorita L 1-238.6 778 1010 13.24% 20.07% 66.68%-1.47 -8.6 3
2019-10-20 Folgore Falciano W 1-039.7 932 889 47.24% 21.15% 31.61%+0.34 +19.5 9
2019-10-20 @ Tre Fiori L 0-139.7 889 932 31.61% 21.15% 47.24%-0.34 -19.5 3
2019-10-20 Juvenes Dogana W 2-145.9 720 714 42.11% 21.20% 36.69%+0.11 +20.7 4
2019-10-20 @ Domagnano L 1-245.9 714 720 36.69% 21.20% 42.11%-0.11 -20.7 0
2019-10-20 Pennarossa W 2-144.0 860 807 48.44% 21.12% 30.43%+0.39 +17.8 10
2019-10-20 @ Murata L 1-244.0 807 860 30.43% 21.12% 48.44%-0.39 -17.8 6
2019-11-02 Domagnano W 1-033.0 1019 741 69.83% 19.63% 10.54%+1.74 +7.3 13
2019-11-02 @ La Fiorita L 0-133.0 741 1019 10.54% 19.63% 69.83%-1.74 -7.3 4
2019-11-02 Folgore Falciano L 1-532.2 693 869 19.78% 20.70% 59.52%-0.97 -38.9 0
2019-11-02 @ Juvenes Dogana W 5-132.2 869 693 59.52% 20.70% 19.78%+0.97 +38.9 6
2019-11-02 Murata L 0-234.3 769 877 26.91% 21.03% 52.06%-0.57 -32.1 3
2019-11-02 @ Faetano W 2-034.3 877 769 52.06% 21.03% 26.91%+0.57 +32.1 13
2019-11-02 Tre Fiori W 2-043.6 789 952 21.05% 20.78% 58.17%-0.89 +61.5 9
2019-11-02 @ Pennarossa L 0-243.6 952 789 58.17% 20.78% 21.05%+0.89 -61.5 9
2019-11-03 Cailungo W 3-140.5 883 830 48.54% 21.12% 30.33%+0.40 +30.7 12
2019-11-03 @ Libertas L 1-340.5 830 883 30.33% 21.12% 48.54%-0.40 -30.7 9
2019-11-03 Cosmos W 3-035.6 695 720 37.82% 21.21% 40.98%-0.07 +65.5 3
2019-11-03 @ Fiorentino L 0-335.6 720 695 40.98% 21.21% 37.82%+0.07 -65.5 0
2019-11-03 Virtus L 1-344.0 661 658 41.80% 21.20% 36.99%+0.10 -39.7 3
2019-11-03 @ San Giovanni W 3-144.0 658 661 36.99% 21.20% 41.80%-0.10 +39.7 6
2019-11-23 Faetano W 2-037.7 733 737 40.74% 21.21% 38.05%+0.06 +42.6 7
2019-11-23 @ Domagnano L 0-237.7 737 733 38.05% 21.21% 40.74%-0.06 -42.6 3
2019-11-23 La Fiorita L 1-333.0 654 1026 7.50% 18.89% 73.62%-2.14 -8.5 0
2019-11-23 @ Juvenes Dogana W 3-133.0 1026 654 73.62% 18.89% 7.50%+2.14 +8.5 16
2019-11-23 Pennarossa W 4-137.2 908 851 49.10% 21.11% 29.79%+0.42 +42.8 9
2019-11-23 @ Folgore Falciano L 1-437.2 851 908 29.79% 21.11% 49.10%-0.42 -42.8 9
2019-11-23 Tre Fiori D 2-259.7 909 890 43.96% 21.19% 34.85%+0.19 -0.8 14
2019-11-23 @ Murata D 2-259.7 890 909 34.85% 21.19% 43.96%-0.19 +0.8 10
2019-11-24 Cailungo L 0-136.0 621 799 19.65% 20.69% 59.66%-0.98 -13.0 3
2019-11-24 @ San Giovanni W 1-036.0 799 621 59.66% 20.69% 19.65%+0.98 +13.0 12
2019-11-24 Libertas L 0-428.7 761 914 22.01% 20.83% 57.15%-0.83 -51.3 3
2019-11-24 @ Fiorentino W 4-028.7 914 761 57.15% 20.83% 22.01%+0.83 +51.3 15
2019-11-24 Tre Penne L 0-423.9 654 1017 7.85% 18.99% 73.15%-2.08 -19.6 0
2019-11-24 @ Cosmos W 4-023.9 1017 654 73.15% 18.99% 7.85%+2.08 +19.6 15
2019-11-30 Fiorentino D 3-364.0 697 710 39.54% 21.21% 39.25%+0.01 -0.0 7
2019-11-30 @ Virtus D 3-364.0 710 697 39.25% 21.21% 39.54%-0.01 +0.0 4
2019-11-30 San Giovanni L 0-239.7 634 608 44.89% 21.18% 33.93%+0.23 -48.6 0
2019-11-30 @ Cosmos W 2-039.7 608 634 33.93% 21.18% 44.89%-0.23 +48.6 6
2019-11-30 Tre Penne L 1-335.9 812 1036 15.70% 20.36% 63.94%-1.26 -17.3 12
2019-11-30 @ Cailungo W 3-135.9 1036 812 63.94% 20.36% 15.70%+1.26 +17.3 18
2019-12-01 Domagnano W 3-141.4 808 776 45.71% 21.17% 33.12%+0.27 +33.0 12
2019-12-01 @ Pennarossa L 1-341.4 776 808 33.12% 21.17% 45.71%-0.27 -33.0 7
2019-12-01 Folgore Falciano D 1-154.9 695 951 13.40% 20.09% 66.51%-1.45 +7.2 4
2019-12-01 @ Faetano D 1-154.9 951 695 66.51% 20.09% 13.40%+1.45 -7.2 10
2019-12-01 Juvenes Dogana W 4-025.5 891 646 67.62% 19.96% 12.43%+1.54 +30.6 13
2019-12-01 @ Tre Fiori L 0-425.5 646 891 12.43% 19.96% 67.62%-1.54 -30.6 0
2019-12-01 La Fiorita L 0-137.7 909 1035 24.87% 20.96% 54.17%-0.67 -15.9 14
2019-12-01 @ Murata W 1-037.7 1035 909 54.17% 20.96% 24.87%+0.67 +15.9 19

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2019-12-07 Cailungo L 1-339.8 697 795 28.19% 21.07% 50.74%-0.50 -28.9 0
2019-12-07 @ Virtus W 3-139.8 795 697 50.74% 21.07% 28.19%+0.50 +28.9 3
2019-12-07 Folgore Falciano D 1-154.6 965 944 44.25% 21.19% 34.57%+0.21 -1.2 1
2019-12-07 @ Libertas D 1-154.6 944 965 34.57% 21.19% 44.25%-0.21 +1.2 1
2019-12-07 La Fiorita L 1-241.3 893 1050 21.52% 20.81% 57.67%-0.86 -13.3 0
2019-12-07 @ Murata W 2-141.3 1050 893 57.67% 20.81% 21.52%+0.86 +13.3 3
2019-12-07 Tre Penne D 3-364.1 922 1053 24.23% 20.94% 54.83%-0.71 +2.4 1
2019-12-07 @ Tre Fiori D 3-364.1 1053 922 54.83% 20.94% 24.23%+0.71 -2.4 1
2019-12-08 Domagnano D 1-154.6 657 743 29.61% 21.11% 49.28%-0.43 +2.5 1
2019-12-08 @ San Giovanni D 1-154.6 743 657 49.28% 21.11% 29.61%+0.43 -2.5 1
2019-12-08 Faetano L 1-243.8 615 702 29.52% 21.10% 49.38%-0.44 -17.3 0
2019-12-08 @ Juvenes Dogana W 2-143.8 702 615 49.38% 21.10% 29.52%+0.44 +17.3 3
2019-12-08 Pennarossa L 1-435.5 710 841 24.30% 20.94% 54.76%-0.70 -36.0 0
2019-12-08 @ Fiorentino W 4-135.5 841 710 54.76% 20.94% 24.30%+0.70 +36.0 3
2019-12-14 Faetano D 3-364.2 877 719 60.32% 20.65% 19.03%+1.02 -3.4 4
2019-12-14 @ Pennarossa D 3-364.2 719 877 19.03% 20.65% 60.32%-1.02 +3.4 4
2019-12-14 Juvenes Dogana W 2-140.9 740 598 58.81% 20.74% 20.45%+0.93 +12.7 4
2019-12-14 @ Domagnano L 1-240.9 598 740 20.45% 20.74% 58.81%-0.93 -12.7 0
2019-12-14 San Giovanni D 3-364.0 586 660 31.11% 21.14% 47.75%-0.36 +1.3 1
2019-12-14 @ Cosmos D 3-364.0 660 586 47.75% 21.14% 31.11%+0.36 -1.3 2
2019-12-15 Cailungo W 3-029.9 945 823 56.63% 20.86% 22.51%+0.80 +40.0 4
2019-12-15 @ Folgore Falciano L 0-329.9 823 945 22.51% 20.86% 56.63%-0.80 -40.0 3
2019-12-15 Libertas W 5-029.9 1064 964 54.21% 20.96% 24.83%+0.67 +70.1 6
2019-12-15 @ La Fiorita L 0-529.9 964 1064 24.83% 20.96% 54.21%-0.67 -70.1 1
2019-12-15 Murata W 2-140.1 1051 879 61.64% 20.55% 17.81%+1.10 +11.2 4
2019-12-15 @ Tre Penne L 1-240.1 879 1051 17.81% 20.55% 61.64%-1.10 -11.2 0
2019-12-15 Virtus W 3-134.6 924 668 68.36% 19.86% 11.79%+1.61 +13.3 4
2019-12-15 @ Tre Fiori L 1-334.6 668 924 11.79% 19.86% 68.36%-1.61 -13.3 0
2020-01-18 La Fiorita D 0-051.9 655 1134 4.32% 17.48% 78.20%-2.78 +11.7 1
2020-01-18 @ Virtus D 0-051.9 1134 655 78.20% 17.48% 4.32%+2.78 -11.7 7
2020-01-18 Libertas L 0-138.2 783 894 26.64% 21.03% 52.33%-0.58 -16.9 3
2020-01-18 @ Cailungo W 1-038.2 894 783 52.33% 21.03% 26.64%+0.58 +16.9 4
2020-01-18 Tre Fiori L 1-244.4 868 937 31.70% 21.15% 47.15%-0.33 -18.4 0
2020-01-18 @ Murata W 2-144.4 937 868 47.15% 21.15% 31.70%+0.33 +18.4 7
2020-01-18 Tre Penne D 0-050.9 985 1062 30.69% 21.13% 48.19%-0.38 +2.4 5
2020-01-18 @ Folgore Falciano D 0-050.9 1062 985 48.19% 21.13% 30.69%+0.38 -2.4 5
2020-01-19 Cosmos L 0-335.6 585 587 41.04% 21.21% 37.75%+0.07 -65.6 0
2020-01-19 @ Juvenes Dogana W 3-035.6 587 585 37.75% 21.21% 41.04%-0.07 +65.6 4
2020-01-19 Domagnano W 1-042.8 722 753 36.94% 21.20% 41.86%-0.10 +24.4 7
2020-01-19 @ Faetano L 0-142.8 753 722 41.86% 21.20% 36.94%+0.10 -24.3 4
2020-01-19 Fiorentino L 1-246.7 658 673 39.12% 21.21% 39.67%-0.01 -21.8 2
2020-01-19 @ San Giovanni W 2-146.7 673 658 39.67% 21.21% 39.12%+0.01 +21.8 3
2020-01-25 Folgore Falciano D 1-154.6 956 988 36.77% 21.20% 42.03%-0.11 +0.6 8
2020-01-25 @ Tre Fiori D 1-154.6 988 956 42.03% 21.20% 36.77%+0.11 -0.6 6
2020-01-25 Libertas W 3-029.1 1060 911 59.49% 20.70% 19.81%+0.97 +35.8 8
2020-01-25 @ Tre Penne L 0-329.1 911 1060 19.81% 20.70% 59.49%-0.97 -35.8 4
2020-01-26 Cosmos D 1-154.6 695 653 47.12% 21.15% 31.73%+0.33 -1.9 4
2020-01-26 @ Fiorentino D 1-154.6 653 695 31.73% 21.15% 47.12%-0.33 +1.9 5
2020-01-26 Juvenes Dogana D 0-050.9 637 520 56.12% 20.88% 23.00%+0.78 -4.8 3
2020-01-26 @ San Giovanni D 0-050.9 520 637 23.00% 20.88% 56.12%-0.78 +4.8 1
2020-01-26 Pennarossa W 4-038.9 729 873 22.86% 20.87% 56.27%-0.78 +113.0 7
2020-01-26 @ Domagnano L 0-438.9 873 729 56.27% 20.87% 22.86%+0.78 -113.0 4
2020-01-28 Cailungo W 2-136.3 1122 767 74.14% 18.76% 7.10%+2.20 +4.7 10
2020-01-28 @ La Fiorita L 1-236.3 767 1122 7.10% 18.76% 74.14%-2.20 -4.7 3
2020-01-28 Murata L 3-448.7 667 850 19.13% 20.66% 60.21%-1.01 -11.1 1
2020-01-28 @ Virtus W 4-348.7 850 667 60.21% 20.66% 19.13%+1.01 +11.1 3
2020-02-01 Murata W 5-029.0 987 861 57.11% 20.83% 22.06%+0.83 +63.4 9
2020-02-01 @ Folgore Falciano L 0-529.0 861 987 22.06% 20.83% 57.11%-0.83 -63.4 3
2020-02-01 Tre Fiori L 1-253.2 1127 956 61.52% 20.56% 17.91%+1.10 -32.5 10
2020-02-01 @ La Fiorita W 2-153.2 956 1127 17.91% 20.56% 61.52%-1.10 +32.5 11
2020-02-01 Tre Penne L 0-132.4 762 1096 9.09% 19.32% 71.59%-1.91 -6.3 3
2020-02-01 @ Cailungo W 1-032.4 1096 762 71.59% 19.32% 9.09%+1.91 +6.3 11
2020-02-01 Virtus L 2-359.3 875 656 65.67% 20.19% 14.14%+1.39 -32.9 4
2020-02-01 @ Libertas W 3-259.3 656 875 14.14% 20.19% 65.67%-1.39 +32.9 4
2020-02-02 Cosmos W 5-133.6 760 655 54.89% 20.93% 24.18%+0.71 +46.3 7
2020-02-02 @ Pennarossa L 1-533.6 655 760 24.18% 20.93% 54.89%-0.71 -46.3 5
2020-02-02 Fiorentino D 1-154.7 524 693 20.45% 20.74% 58.80%-0.93 +5.0 2
2020-02-02 @ Juvenes Dogana D 1-154.7 693 524 58.80% 20.74% 20.45%+0.93 -5.0 5
2020-02-02 San Giovanni W 1-037.1 747 632 55.92% 20.89% 23.19%+0.77 +15.0 10
2020-02-02 @ Faetano L 0-137.1 632 747 23.19% 20.89% 55.92%-0.77 -15.0 3
2020-02-08 Domagnano W 1-049.4 608 842 15.01% 20.29% 64.70%-1.31 +36.2 8
2020-02-08 @ Cosmos L 0-149.4 842 608 64.70% 20.29% 15.01%+1.31 -36.2 7
2020-02-08 Fiorentino W 4-030.5 762 688 51.08% 21.06% 27.86%+0.52 +62.7 13
2020-02-08 @ Faetano L 0-430.5 688 762 27.86% 21.06% 51.08%-0.52 -62.7 5
2020-02-08 Pennarossa D 0-051.2 530 807 12.09% 19.90% 68.01%-1.58 +8.6 3
2020-02-08 @ Juvenes Dogana D 0-051.2 807 530 68.01% 19.90% 12.09%+1.58 -8.6 8
2020-02-09 Cailungo W 6-336.6 989 756 66.76% 20.06% 13.18%+1.47 +16.7 14
2020-02-09 @ Tre Fiori L 3-636.6 756 989 13.18% 20.06% 66.76%-1.47 -16.7 3
2020-02-09 La Fiorita W 2-039.4 1050 1094 35.05% 21.19% 43.76%-0.18 +47.6 12
2020-02-09 @ Folgore Falciano L 0-239.4 1094 1050 43.76% 21.19% 35.05%+0.18 -47.6 10
2020-02-09 Libertas W 1-043.4 798 842 35.01% 21.19% 43.80%-0.19 +25.3 6
2020-02-09 @ Murata L 0-143.4 842 798 43.80% 21.19% 35.01%+0.19 -25.3 4
2020-02-09 Virtus W 3-132.1 1102 689 76.71% 18.02% 5.28%+2.55 +6.0 14
2020-02-09 @ Tre Penne L 1-332.1 689 1102 5.28% 18.02% 76.71%-2.55 -6.0 4
2020-02-15 Domagnano L 1-337.1 626 805 19.42% 20.68% 59.90%-0.99 -21.0 5
2020-02-15 @ Fiorentino W 3-137.1 805 626 59.90% 20.68% 19.42%+0.99 +21.0 10
2020-02-15 Faetano L 1-337.1 644 825 19.40% 20.67% 59.92%-1.00 -21.0 8
2020-02-15 @ Cosmos W 3-137.1 825 644 59.92% 20.67% 19.40%+1.00 +21.0 16
2020-02-15 Pennarossa L 0-328.9 617 798 19.28% 20.67% 60.05%-1.00 -35.0 3
2020-02-15 @ San Giovanni W 3-028.9 798 617 60.05% 20.67% 19.28%+1.00 +35.0 11
2020-02-16 Folgore Falciano L 1-235.9 683 1098 5.99% 18.34% 75.67%-2.40 -3.9 4
2020-02-16 @ Virtus W 2-135.9 1098 683 75.67% 18.34% 5.99%+2.40 +3.9 15
2020-02-16 La Fiorita D 1-154.7 1108 1047 49.53% 21.10% 29.37%+0.44 -2.5 15
2020-02-16 @ Tre Penne D 1-154.7 1047 1108 29.37% 21.10% 49.53%-0.44 +2.5 11
2020-02-16 Murata D 1-154.6 739 823 29.83% 21.11% 49.06%-0.42 +2.4 4
2020-02-16 @ Cailungo D 1-154.6 823 739 49.06% 21.11% 29.83%+0.42 -2.4 7
2020-02-16 Tre Fiori L 1-433.7 817 1006 18.61% 20.62% 60.78%-1.05 -28.6 4
2020-02-16 @ Libertas W 4-133.7 1006 817 60.78% 20.62% 18.61%+1.05 +28.6 17
2020-02-22 Libertas D 0-051.4 1102 788 71.95% 19.25% 8.80%+1.95 -9.8 16
2020-02-22 @ Folgore Falciano D 0-051.4 788 1102 8.80% 19.25% 71.95%-1.95 +9.9 5
2020-02-22 Murata W 2-138.7 1049 820 66.42% 20.10% 13.47%+1.44 +8.7 14
2020-02-22 @ La Fiorita L 1-238.7 820 1049 13.47% 20.10% 66.42%-1.44 -8.7 7
2020-02-22 Tre Fiori L 0-241.5 1105 1034 50.79% 21.07% 28.14%+0.50 -54.2 15
2020-02-22 @ Tre Penne W 2-041.5 1034 1105 28.14% 21.07% 50.79%-0.50 +54.2 20
2020-02-22 Virtus L 1-443.1 741 679 49.71% 21.10% 29.20%+0.45 -65.1 4
2020-02-22 @ Cailungo W 4-143.1 679 741 29.20% 21.10% 49.71%-0.45 +65.1 7
2020-02-23 Fiorentino W 7-333.4 833 605 66.39% 20.11% 13.50%+1.44 +21.3 14
2020-02-23 @ Pennarossa L 3-733.4 605 833 13.50% 20.11% 66.39%-1.44 -21.3 5
2020-02-23 Juvenes Dogana W 3-133.6 845 538 71.59% 19.32% 9.09%+1.91 +10.3 19
2020-02-23 @ Faetano L 1-333.6 538 845 9.09% 19.32% 71.59%-1.91 -10.3 3
2020-02-23 San Giovanni W 2-138.3 826 582 67.58% 19.96% 12.46%+1.54 +8.1 13
2020-02-23 @ Domagnano L 1-238.3 582 826 12.46% 19.96% 67.58%-1.54 -8.1 3

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2020-02-01 14.14% Virtus 656 3 @ Libertas 875 2
2 2020-02-08 15.01% @ Cosmos 608 1 Domagnano 842 0
3 2020-02-01 17.91% Tre Fiori 956 2 @ La Fiorita 1127 1
4 2019-11-02 21.05% @ Pennarossa 789 2 Tre Fiori 952 0
5 2020-01-26 22.86% @ Domagnano 729 4 Pennarossa 873 0
6 2019-09-27 23.04% Virtus 663 2 @ Cosmos 780 1
7 2019-09-28 27.19% San Giovanni 655 1 @ Fiorentino 734 0
8 2020-02-22 28.14% Tre Fiori 1034 2 @ Tre Penne 1105 0
9 2019-09-27 28.45% Faetano 761 2 @ Juvenes Dogana 830 0
10 2020-02-22 29.20% Virtus 679 4 @ Cailungo 741 1
11 2019-09-21 29.21% @ Pennarossa 766 3 Juvenes Dogana 855 2
12 2019-10-06 31.33% Pennarossa 769 5 @ Faetano 815 3
13 2019-09-21 33.69% Murata 770 2 @ Domagnano 798 1
14 2019-11-30 33.93% San Giovanni 608 2 @ Cosmos 634 0
15 2020-02-09 35.01% @ Murata 798 1 Libertas 842 0
16 2020-02-09 35.05% @ Folgore Falciano 1050 2 La Fiorita 1094 0
17 2020-01-19 36.94% @ Faetano 722 1 Domagnano 753 0
18 2019-11-03 36.99% Virtus 658 3 @ San Giovanni 661 1
19 2020-01-19 37.75% Cosmos 587 3 @ Juvenes Dogana 585 0
20 2019-11-03 37.82% @ Fiorentino 695 3 Cosmos 720 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2020-01-26 112.98 @ Domagnano 4 729 22.86% Pennarossa 0 873 56.27% 20.87%
2 2019-12-15 70.12 @ La Fiorita 5 1064 54.21% Libertas 0 964 24.83% 20.96%
3 2020-01-19 65.63 Cosmos 3 587 37.75% @ Juvenes Dogana 0 585 41.04% 21.21%
4 2019-11-03 65.55 @ Fiorentino 3 695 37.82% Cosmos 0 720 40.98% 21.21%
5 2020-02-22 65.07 Virtus 4 679 29.20% @ Cailungo 1 741 49.71% 21.10%
6 2020-02-01 63.36 @ Folgore Falciano 5 987 57.11% Murata 0 861 22.06% 20.83%
7 2020-02-08 62.68 @ Faetano 4 762 51.08% Fiorentino 0 688 27.86% 21.06%
8 2019-10-06 62.04 Murata 3 797 40.56% @ Juvenes Dogana 0 776 38.23% 21.21%
9 2019-11-02 61.48 @ Pennarossa 2 789 21.05% Tre Fiori 0 952 58.17% 20.78%
10 2019-09-29 57.98 Tre Fiori 4 895 53.63% @ Domagnano 0 773 25.39% 20.98%
11 2020-02-22 54.17 Tre Fiori 2 1034 28.14% @ Tre Penne 0 1105 50.79% 21.07%
12 2019-09-27 53.87 Faetano 2 761 28.45% @ Juvenes Dogana 0 830 50.47% 21.08%
13 2019-11-24 51.31 Libertas 4 914 57.15% @ Fiorentino 0 761 22.01% 20.83%
14 2019-11-30 48.65 San Giovanni 2 608 33.93% @ Cosmos 0 634 44.89% 21.18%
15 2020-02-09 47.62 @ Folgore Falciano 2 1050 35.05% La Fiorita 0 1094 43.76% 21.19%
16 2020-02-02 46.34 @ Pennarossa 5 760 54.89% Cosmos 1 655 24.18% 20.93%
17 2019-11-23 42.77 @ Folgore Falciano 4 908 49.10% Pennarossa 1 851 29.79% 21.11%
18 2019-11-23 42.56 @ Domagnano 2 733 40.74% Faetano 0 737 38.05% 21.21%
19 2019-12-15 40.04 @ Folgore Falciano 3 945 56.63% Cailungo 0 823 22.51% 20.86%
20 2019-11-03 39.72 Virtus 3 658 36.99% @ San Giovanni 1 661 41.80% 21.20%
21 2019-11-02 38.94 Folgore Falciano 5 869 59.52% @ Juvenes Dogana 1 693 19.78% 20.70%
22 2019-10-06 37.39 Pennarossa 5 769 31.33% @ Faetano 3 815 47.53% 21.14%
23 2020-02-08 36.20 @ Cosmos 1 608 15.01% Domagnano 0 842 64.70% 20.29%
24 2019-12-08 36.04 Pennarossa 4 841 54.76% @ Fiorentino 1 710 24.30% 20.94%
25 2020-01-25 35.82 @ Tre Penne 3 1060 59.49% Libertas 0 911 19.81% 20.70%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-12-14 64.2 @ Pennarossa 3 877 60.32% Faetano 3 719 19.03% 20.65%
2 2019-12-07 64.1 @ Tre Fiori 3 922 24.23% Tre Penne 3 1053 54.83% 20.94%
3 2019-11-30 64.0 @ Virtus 3 697 39.54% Fiorentino 3 710 39.25% 21.21%
4 2019-12-14 64.0 @ Cosmos 3 586 31.11% San Giovanni 3 660 47.75% 21.14%
5 2019-10-05 59.9 @ Folgore Falciano 2 893 62.21% Domagnano 2 715 17.28% 20.51%
6 2019-11-23 59.7 @ Murata 2 909 43.96% Tre Fiori 2 890 34.85% 21.19%
7 2020-02-01 59.3 Virtus 3 656 14.14% @ Libertas 2 875 65.67% 20.19%
8 2019-12-01 54.9 @ Faetano 1 695 13.40% Folgore Falciano 1 951 66.51% 20.09%
9 2019-09-21 54.8 @ Pennarossa 3 766 29.21% Juvenes Dogana 2 855 49.69% 21.10%
10 2020-02-02 54.7 @ Juvenes Dogana 1 524 20.45% Fiorentino 1 693 58.80% 20.74%
11 2020-02-16 54.7 @ Tre Penne 1 1108 49.53% La Fiorita 1 1047 29.37% 21.10%
12 2019-09-28 54.6 @ Murata 1 795 27.65% Folgore Falciano 1 896 51.29% 21.06%
13 2019-12-07 54.6 @ Libertas 1 965 44.25% Folgore Falciano 1 944 34.57% 21.19%
14 2019-12-08 54.6 @ San Giovanni 1 657 29.61% Domagnano 1 743 49.28% 21.11%
15 2020-01-25 54.6 @ Tre Fiori 1 956 36.77% Folgore Falciano 1 988 42.03% 21.20%
16 2020-01-26 54.6 @ Fiorentino 1 695 47.12% Cosmos 1 653 31.73% 21.15%
17 2020-02-16 54.6 @ Cailungo 1 739 29.83% Murata 1 823 49.06% 21.11%
18 2020-02-01 53.2 Tre Fiori 2 956 17.91% @ La Fiorita 1 1127 61.52% 20.56%
19 2019-10-06 52.2 Pennarossa 5 769 31.33% @ Faetano 3 815 47.53% 21.14%
20 2020-01-18 51.9 @ Virtus 0 655 4.32% La Fiorita 0 1134 78.20% 17.48%
21 2019-09-27 51.7 Virtus 2 663 23.04% @ Cosmos 1 780 56.07% 20.88%
22 2020-02-22 51.4 @ Folgore Falciano 0 1102 71.95% Libertas 0 788 8.80% 19.25%
23 2020-02-08 51.2 @ Juvenes Dogana 0 530 12.09% Pennarossa 0 807 68.01% 19.90%
24 2020-01-18 50.9 @ Folgore Falciano 0 985 30.69% Tre Penne 0 1062 48.19% 21.13%
25 2020-01-26 50.9 @ San Giovanni 0 637 56.12% Juvenes Dogana 0 520 23.00% 20.88%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-11-24 23.9 Tre Penne 4 1017 73.15% @ Cosmos 0 654 7.85% 18.99%
2 2019-12-01 25.5 @ Tre Fiori 4 891 67.62% Juvenes Dogana 0 646 12.43% 19.96%
3 2019-11-24 28.7 Libertas 4 914 57.15% @ Fiorentino 0 761 22.01% 20.83%
4 2020-02-15 28.9 Pennarossa 3 798 60.05% @ San Giovanni 0 617 19.28% 20.67%
5 2020-02-01 29.0 @ Folgore Falciano 5 987 57.11% Murata 0 861 22.06% 20.83%
6 2020-01-25 29.1 @ Tre Penne 3 1060 59.49% Libertas 0 911 19.81% 20.70%
7 2019-09-29 29.7 Tre Fiori 4 895 53.63% @ Domagnano 0 773 25.39% 20.98%
8 2019-12-15 29.9 @ Folgore Falciano 3 945 56.63% Cailungo 0 823 22.51% 20.86%
9 2019-12-15 29.9 @ La Fiorita 5 1064 54.21% Libertas 0 964 24.83% 20.96%
10 2019-10-04 30.0 Tre Penne 7 984 69.56% @ San Giovanni 2 684 10.77% 19.68%
11 2020-02-08 30.5 @ Faetano 4 762 51.08% Fiorentino 0 688 27.86% 21.06%
12 2019-09-28 31.3 @ La Fiorita 2 968 62.07% Pennarossa 0 791 17.41% 20.52%
13 2019-09-22 31.6 @ Libertas 2 844 61.11% San Giovanni 0 678 18.30% 20.59%
14 2020-02-09 32.1 @ Tre Penne 3 1102 76.71% Virtus 1 689 5.28% 18.02%
15 2019-11-02 32.2 Folgore Falciano 5 869 59.52% @ Juvenes Dogana 1 693 19.78% 20.70%
16 2020-02-01 32.4 Tre Penne 1 1096 71.59% @ Cailungo 0 762 9.09% 19.32%
17 2019-09-22 32.7 @ Tre Penne 1 962 70.66% Virtus 0 670 9.84% 19.49%
18 2019-11-02 33.0 @ La Fiorita 1 1019 69.83% Domagnano 0 741 10.54% 19.63%
19 2019-11-23 33.0 La Fiorita 3 1026 73.62% @ Juvenes Dogana 1 654 7.50% 18.89%
20 2020-02-23 33.4 @ Pennarossa 7 833 66.39% Fiorentino 3 605 13.50% 20.11%
21 2020-02-02 33.6 @ Pennarossa 5 760 54.89% Cosmos 1 655 24.18% 20.93%
22 2020-02-23 33.6 @ Faetano 3 845 71.59% Juvenes Dogana 1 538 9.09% 19.32%
23 2020-02-16 33.7 Tre Fiori 4 1006 60.78% @ Libertas 1 817 18.61% 20.62%
24 2019-11-02 34.3 Murata 2 877 52.06% @ Faetano 0 769 26.91% 21.03%
25 2019-12-15 34.6 @ Tre Fiori 3 924 68.36% Virtus 1 668 11.79% 19.86%