Home / Leagues / Scotland / First Division / 2005-06
‹ ›

2005-06 First Division Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

St. Mirren

76 pts

Relegated

Brechin City

17 pts

Stranraer · via playoff

Biggest Overachiever

St. Mirren

12.33 points above expected

76 points · 63.67 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Stranraer

19.47 points below expected

29 points · 48.47 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 St. Mirren Promoted 36 23 7 6 76 52 28 +24 63.67 +12.33
2 St. Johnstone 36 18 12 6 66 59 34 +25 56.38 +9.62
3 Hamilton Academical 36 15 14 7 59 53 39 +14 52.08 +6.92
4 Ross County 36 14 14 8 56 47 40 +7 55.37 +0.63
5 Clyde 36 15 10 11 55 54 42 +12 51.44 +3.56
6 Airdrie United 36 11 12 13 45 57 43 +14 48.45 -3.45
7 Dundee 36 9 16 11 43 43 50 -7 47.02 -4.02
8 Queen of the South 36 7 12 17 33 31 54 -23 35.60 -2.60
9 Stranraer Relegated 36 5 14 17 29 33 53 -20 48.47 -19.47
10 Brechin City Relegated 36 2 11 23 17 28 74 -46 36.45 -19.45

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 St. Mirren 76 63.67 +12.33
2 St. Johnstone 66 56.38 +9.62
3 Hamilton Academical 59 52.08 +6.92
4 Clyde 55 51.44 +3.56
5 Ross County 56 55.37 +0.63

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Stranraer 29 48.47 -19.47
2 Brechin City 17 36.45 -19.45
3 Dundee 43 47.02 -4.02
4 Airdrie United 45 48.45 -3.45
5 Queen of the South 33 35.60 -2.60

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St. Mirren 5 Aug 20 – Sep 24 1 in 78
2 Ross County 5 Oct 29 – Nov 26 1 in 65
3 Queen of the South 2 Jan 28 – Feb 11 1 in 38
4 Hamilton Academical 4 Mar 28 – Apr 15 1 in 35
5 Airdrie United 3 Dec 17 – Dec 31 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Brechin City 5 Sep 17 – Oct 22 1 in 129
2 Stranraer 4 Oct 22 – Nov 5 1 in 61
3 Ross County 3 Dec 3 – Dec 17 1 in 22
4 Dundee 3 Mar 4 – Mar 18 1 in 16
5 Queen of the South 4 Nov 19 – Dec 10 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ross County 13 Dec 26 – Apr 4 1 in 92
2 Queen of the South 6 Mar 18 – Apr 22 1 in 53
3 Hamilton Academical 8 Aug 20 – Oct 22 1 in 49
4 St. Johnstone 12 Jan 2 – Apr 8 1 in 41
5 Dundee 6 Sep 17 – Oct 26 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Brechin City 19 Aug 6 – Dec 17 1 in 3,936
2 Ross County 10 Feb 25 – Apr 29 1 in 492
3 Stranraer 12 Oct 1 – Dec 17 1 in 381
4 Dundee 11 Feb 11 – Apr 22 1 in 197
5 Airdrie United 7 Jan 2 – Mar 4 1 in 39

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
St. Mirren 1640 76 -14 9 9.4 -0.4
St. Johnstone 1625 66 +9 10 9.0 +1.0
Hamilton Academical 1582 59 +52 11 7.4 +3.6
Ross County 1520 56 -48 2 6.9 -4.9
Clyde 1566 55 +20 10 8.1 +1.9
Airdrie United 1558 45 +8 8 8.6 -0.6
Dundee 1445 43 -7 4 6.1 -2.1
Queen of the South 1427 33 -4 6 6.0 -0.0
Stranraer 1399 29 -23 2 4.2 -2.2
Brechin City 1320 17 +6 5 3.3 +1.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AU BC CLY DUN HA QOTS RC SJ SM STR
Airdrie United —
1-3-0
6.92
0-1-3
5.52
4-0-0
5.08
0-3-1
5.43
1-1-2
7.18
1-1-2
4.76
2-1-1
4.72
0-1-3
4.22
2-1-1
5.29
Brechin City
0-3-1
4.12
 —
1-1-2
4.14
1-0-3
4.35
0-0-4
4.38
0-4-0
5.41
0-1-3
3.83
0-0-4
3.37
0-0-4
3.30
0-2-2
4.39
Clyde
3-1-0
5.43
2-1-1
6.87
 —
1-3-0
5.97
0-3-1
5.18
3-0-1
7.37
3-0-1
5.23
0-1-3
5.07
0-0-4
4.49
3-1-0
6.11
Dundee
0-0-4
5.87
3-0-1
6.63
0-3-1
4.98
 —
0-3-1
5.32
2-1-1
6.81
0-3-1
4.55
1-2-1
4.50
2-1-1
3.83
1-3-0
5.68
Hamilton Academical
1-3-0
5.52
4-0-0
6.65
1-3-0
5.77
1-3-0
5.63
 —
2-1-1
7.54
1-2-1
5.58
0-1-3
5.21
2-1-1
4.20
3-0-1
5.87
Queen of the South
2-1-1
3.82
0-4-0
5.55
1-0-3
3.63
1-1-2
4.19
1-1-2
3.48
 —
0-2-2
3.22
1-0-3
3.92
0-1-3
3.00
1-2-1
4.09
Ross County
2-1-1
6.19
3-1-0
7.17
1-0-3
5.71
1-3-0
6.42
1-2-1
5.38
2-2-0
7.81
 —
1-3-0
5.26
1-0-3
4.73
2-2-0
6.58
St. Johnstone
1-1-2
6.24
4-0-0
7.68
3-1-0
5.88
1-2-1
6.45
3-1-0
5.74
3-0-1
7.08
0-3-1
5.69
 —
1-2-1
5.03
2-2-0
6.39
St. Mirren
3-1-0
6.75
4-0-0
7.75
4-0-0
6.46
1-1-2
7.18
1-1-2
6.77
3-1-0
8.06
3-0-1
6.23
1-2-1
5.92
 —
3-1-0
6.95
Stranraer
1-1-2
5.68
2-2-0
6.58
0-1-3
4.89
0-3-1
5.27
1-0-3
5.09
1-2-1
6.90
0-2-2
4.40
0-2-2
4.60
0-1-3
4.06
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.71 +13.3
Allowed 0.92 -13.5
Differential 0.89 +7.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.78%8.89%4.44%1.94%1.39%0.83%30.28%
18.89%15.56%6.39%3.61%0.83%0.56%35.83%
24.44%6.39%3.33%3.33%0.28%0.28%18.06%
31.94%3.61%3.33%2.22%——11.11%
41.39%0.83%0.28%——0.28%2.78%
5+0.83%0.56%0.28%—0.28%—1.94%
Total30.28%35.83%18.06%11.11%2.78%1.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.27 +0.00
SD 1.23 1.23 1.68
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%19.44%2.78%———27.78%
15.56%16.67%2.78%5.56%2.78%—33.33%
22.78%2.78%8.33%2.78%——16.67%
32.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
45.56%—————5.56%
5+5.56%—————5.56%
Total27.78%41.67%16.67%11.11%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.19 +0.39
SD 1.68 1.06 2.16
CV 1.06 0.89 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%11.11%11.11%—2.78%47.22%
12.78%13.89%5.56%5.56%5.56%2.78%36.11%
2———8.33%——8.33%
3—2.78%—5.56%——8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.89%27.78%16.67%30.56%5.56%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.78 2.06 -1.28
SD 0.93 1.45 1.56
CV 1.19 0.71 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%5.56%———16.67%
116.67%16.67%8.33%5.56%——47.22%
22.78%8.33%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
32.78%5.56%—5.56%——13.89%
4———————
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total27.78%41.67%16.67%13.89%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.17 +0.33
SD 1.25 1.00 1.60
CV 0.84 0.86 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%41.67%
12.78%16.67%2.78%———22.22%
2—5.56%—5.56%2.78%—13.89%
32.78%8.33%2.78%5.56%——19.44%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total30.56%38.89%8.33%13.89%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.39 -0.19
SD 1.26 1.54 1.91
CV 1.06 1.11 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%2.78%2.78%———19.44%
18.33%19.44%8.33%——2.78%38.89%
211.11%11.11%5.56%———27.78%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
4——2.78%——2.78%5.56%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total36.11%36.11%22.22%——5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.08 +0.39
SD 1.21 1.23 1.40
CV 0.82 1.13 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%11.11%2.78%2.78%5.56%—38.89%
15.56%16.67%8.33%11.11%——41.67%
25.56%2.78%—2.78%—2.78%13.89%
3——5.56%———5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.78%30.56%16.67%16.67%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 1.50 -0.64
SD 0.87 1.36 1.48
CV 1.01 0.91 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%8.33%8.33%—2.78%—36.11%
18.33%11.11%2.78%———22.22%
22.78%8.33%8.33%———19.44%
32.78%5.56%8.33%2.78%——19.44%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total30.56%36.11%27.78%2.78%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.11 +0.19
SD 1.24 0.98 1.41
CV 0.95 0.88 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%—————11.11%
116.67%16.67%11.11%2.78%——47.22%
25.56%5.56%5.56%2.78%——19.44%
32.78%5.56%5.56%———13.89%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total38.89%33.33%22.22%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 0.94 +0.69
SD 1.20 0.92 1.39
CV 0.73 0.98 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%5.56%2.78%—2.78%—27.78%
116.67%2.78%—2.78%——22.22%
211.11%19.44%—2.78%——33.33%
32.78%2.78%5.56%———11.11%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+———————
Total50.00%33.33%8.33%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 0.78 +0.67
SD 1.18 1.02 1.51
CV 0.82 1.31 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%13.89%5.56%2.78%—2.78%36.11%
15.56%25.00%13.89%2.78%——47.22%
22.78%—2.78%5.56%——11.11%
3——2.78%———2.78%
4———————
5+————2.78%—2.78%
Total19.44%38.89%25.00%11.11%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 1.47 -0.56
SD 1.02 1.18 1.25
CV 1.12 0.80 —
Max 5 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
St. Mirren 1640 76 63.67 +12.33 94.0% 44 50 57 63 69 77 87
St. Johnstone 1625 66 56.38 +9.62 91.0% 35 44 51 56 61 69 77
Hamilton Academical 1582 59 52.08 +6.92 84.0% 33 36 46 53 57 65 70
Clyde 1566 55 51.44 +3.56 74.0% 35 37 46 51 56 64 76
Airdrie United 1558 45 48.45 -3.45 34.0% 29 36 43 49 53 60 64
Ross County 1520 56 55.37 +0.63 54.0% 36 42 49 55 60 70 75
Dundee 1445 43 47.02 -4.02 29.0% 28 36 43 46 51 59 64
Queen of the South 1427 33 35.60 -2.60 43.0% 19 24 31 35 40 48 52
Stranraer 1399 29 48.47 -19.47 0.0% 32 37 44 49 53 59 81
Brechin City 1320 17 36.45 -19.45 1.0% 14 25 31 36 42 48 56

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+10.56%
No Edge
38.33%33.89%27.78%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 36.81 Elo pts.
210 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.28 goals
Neutral
-2+0.18+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.8
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
56%
St. Mirren, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.28/gm
Runaway
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.17 * Some Luck: 6.17 to 9.25 * Lucky: 9.25 to 12.34 * Wild Swing: 12.34 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.32 * Close: 1.32 to 1.98 * Off: 1.98 to 2.64 * Way Off: 2.64 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.13 * A Surprise: 1.13 to 1.81 * Several Surprises: 1.81 to 2.49 * Many Surprises: 2.49 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
10.36 points
Lucky
07.7119
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.654
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
94.00%
St. Mirren
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
0.00%
Stranraer
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 2
As Expected
01.12

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Lopsided
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 105.63
2.42
Wide Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
70%
Clear Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
86%
Clear Edge
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
72%
Very Frequent
0%63%100%
Blowouts
Expected
12%
Rare
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.29
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.90
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
-0.41
Weak Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.19
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.04
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.115
Well Within Noise
00.1320.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
St. Mirren56.00%12.00%15.00%8.00%2.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%——
St. Johnstone17.00%23.00%18.00%13.00%11.00%8.00%7.00%1.00%2.00%—
Hamilton Academical6.00%15.00%14.00%18.00%12.00%11.00%7.00%9.00%5.00%3.00%
Ross County12.00%21.00%17.00%14.00%10.00%9.00%11.00%4.00%2.00%—
Clyde3.00%15.00%11.00%15.00%16.00%15.00%8.00%10.00%5.00%2.00%
Airdrie United2.00%4.00%9.00%15.00%13.00%19.00%11.00%12.00%13.00%2.00%
Dundee1.00%5.00%3.00%9.00%16.00%14.00%20.00%26.00%5.00%1.00%
Queen of the South————2.00%—8.00%16.00%28.00%46.00%
Stranraer3.00%4.00%13.00%8.00%14.00%17.00%16.00%11.00%9.00%5.00%
Brechin City—1.00%——4.00%3.00%10.00%10.00%31.00%41.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
St. Mirren 56.00% 44.00% — —
St. Johnstone 17.00% 81.00% 2.00% —
Ross County 12.00% 86.00% 2.00% —
Hamilton Academical 6.00% 86.00% 5.00% 3.00%
Clyde 3.00% 90.00% 5.00% 2.00%
Airdrie United 2.00% 83.00% 13.00% 2.00%
Dundee 1.00% 93.00% 5.00% 1.00%
Stranraer 3.00% 83.00% 9.00% 5.00%
Brechin City — 28.00% 31.00% 41.00%
Queen of the South — 26.00% 28.00% 46.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2005-08-06 Airdrie United W 1-046.9 1566 1469 54.17% 25.04% 20.79%+0.64 +6.6 3
2005-08-06 @ Stranraer L 0-146.9 1469 1566 20.79% 25.04% 54.17%-0.64 -6.6 0
2005-08-06 Clyde W 3-151.2 1506 1499 42.94% 26.34% 30.72%+0.21 +14.9 3
2005-08-06 @ Ross County L 1-351.2 1499 1506 30.72% 26.34% 42.94%-0.21 -14.9 0
2005-08-06 Hamilton Academical L 1-262.4 1566 1484 52.53% 25.33% 22.14%+0.57 -13.1 0
2005-08-06 @ Brechin City W 2-162.4 1484 1566 22.14% 25.33% 52.53%-0.57 +13.1 3
2005-08-06 Queen of the South W 4-043.2 1466 1488 38.87% 26.49% 34.64%+0.07 +35.8 3
2005-08-06 @ St. Johnstone L 0-443.2 1488 1466 34.64% 26.49% 38.87%-0.07 -35.8 0
2005-08-06 St. Mirren W 3-262.2 1499 1536 36.72% 26.51% 36.78%+0.00 +9.4 3
2005-08-06 @ Dundee L 2-362.2 1536 1499 36.78% 26.51% 36.72%+0.00 -9.4 0
2005-08-13 Brechin City D 0-057.8 1453 1553 28.26% 26.17% 45.57%-0.30 +1.1 1
2005-08-13 @ Queen of the South D 0-057.8 1553 1453 45.57% 26.17% 28.26%+0.30 -1.1 1
2005-08-13 Dundee D 1-161.8 1484 1508 38.59% 26.49% 34.91%+0.06 -0.2 1
2005-08-13 @ Clyde D 1-161.8 1508 1484 34.91% 26.49% 38.59%-0.06 +0.2 4
2005-08-13 Ross County L 0-149.3 1463 1521 33.69% 26.47% 39.84%-0.10 -9.8 0
2005-08-13 @ Airdrie United W 1-049.3 1521 1463 39.84% 26.47% 33.69%+0.10 +9.8 6
2005-08-13 St. Johnstone L 0-152.1 1497 1502 41.18% 26.42% 32.39%+0.15 -11.4 3
2005-08-13 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-052.1 1502 1497 32.39% 26.42% 41.18%-0.15 +11.4 6
2005-08-13 Stranraer D 0-061.0 1527 1573 35.38% 26.50% 38.12%-0.05 +0.2 1
2005-08-13 @ St. Mirren D 0-061.0 1573 1527 38.12% 26.50% 35.38%+0.05 -0.2 4
2005-08-20 Airdrie United D 1-162.7 1552 1453 54.42% 25.00% 20.58%+0.65 -2.0 2
2005-08-20 @ Brechin City D 1-162.7 1453 1552 20.58% 25.00% 54.42%-0.65 +2.0 1
2005-08-20 Clyde L 1-262.8 1573 1484 53.22% 25.21% 21.57%+0.60 -13.3 4
2005-08-20 @ Stranraer W 2-162.8 1484 1573 21.57% 25.21% 53.22%-0.60 +13.3 4
2005-08-20 Hamilton Academical D 0-058.3 1531 1485 48.01% 25.94% 26.06%+0.39 -1.4 7
2005-08-20 @ Ross County D 0-058.3 1485 1531 26.06% 25.94% 48.01%-0.39 +1.4 4
2005-08-20 Queen of the South W 3-147.8 1508 1454 49.11% 25.81% 25.08%+0.44 +12.7 7
2005-08-20 @ Dundee L 1-347.8 1454 1508 25.08% 25.81% 49.11%-0.44 -12.7 1
2005-08-20 St. Mirren L 1-258.7 1514 1527 40.12% 26.46% 33.42%+0.11 -10.5 6
2005-08-20 @ St. Johnstone W 2-158.7 1527 1514 33.42% 26.46% 40.12%-0.11 +10.5 4
2005-08-27 Brechin City W 1-053.0 1537 1550 40.14% 26.46% 33.40%+0.11 +9.7 7
2005-08-27 @ St. Mirren L 0-153.0 1550 1537 33.40% 26.46% 40.14%-0.11 -9.7 2
2005-08-27 Dundee D 1-162.4 1487 1521 37.11% 26.51% 36.38%+0.01 -0.0 5
2005-08-27 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-162.4 1521 1487 36.38% 26.51% 37.11%-0.01 +0.0 8
2005-08-27 Queen of the South W 1-044.8 1497 1441 49.31% 25.79% 24.90%+0.44 +7.7 7
2005-08-27 @ Clyde L 0-144.8 1441 1497 24.90% 25.79% 49.31%-0.44 -7.7 1
2005-08-27 St. Johnstone W 3-151.8 1455 1503 35.14% 26.50% 38.36%-0.05 +17.6 4
2005-08-27 @ Airdrie United L 1-351.8 1503 1455 38.36% 26.50% 35.14%+0.05 -17.6 6
2005-08-27 Stranraer W 2-159.1 1530 1560 37.74% 26.50% 35.75%+0.03 +9.7 10
2005-08-27 @ Ross County L 1-259.1 1560 1530 35.75% 26.50% 37.74%-0.03 -9.7 4
2005-09-10 Airdrie United L 0-250.5 1521 1473 48.35% 25.90% 25.75%+0.41 -24.4 8
2005-09-10 @ Dundee W 2-050.5 1473 1521 25.75% 25.90% 48.35%-0.41 +24.5 7
2005-09-10 Clyde D 1-163.9 1541 1505 46.68% 26.07% 27.25%+0.35 -1.1 3
2005-09-10 @ Brechin City D 1-163.9 1505 1541 27.25% 26.07% 46.68%-0.35 +1.1 8
2005-09-10 Hamilton Academical L 1-261.3 1550 1487 50.18% 25.68% 24.14%+0.48 -12.6 4
2005-09-10 @ Stranraer W 2-161.3 1487 1550 24.14% 25.68% 50.18%-0.48 +12.6 8
2005-09-10 Ross County D 1-163.0 1485 1539 34.34% 26.48% 39.18%-0.08 +0.3 7
2005-09-10 @ St. Johnstone D 1-163.0 1539 1485 39.18% 26.48% 34.34%+0.08 -0.3 11
2005-09-10 St. Mirren L 0-146.9 1433 1547 26.74% 26.01% 47.25%-0.37 -8.2 1
2005-09-10 @ Queen of the South W 1-046.9 1547 1433 47.25% 26.01% 26.74%+0.37 +8.2 10
2005-09-17 Airdrie United D 1-162.0 1499 1497 42.26% 26.38% 31.36%+0.19 -0.6 9
2005-09-17 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-162.0 1497 1499 31.36% 26.38% 42.26%-0.19 +0.6 8
2005-09-17 Brechin City W 1-052.1 1539 1539 41.90% 26.39% 31.70%+0.17 +9.4 14
2005-09-17 @ Ross County L 0-152.1 1539 1539 31.70% 26.39% 41.90%-0.17 -9.4 3
2005-09-17 Clyde W 2-046.2 1555 1506 48.41% 25.89% 25.70%+0.41 +14.9 13
2005-09-17 @ St. Mirren L 0-246.2 1506 1555 25.70% 25.89% 48.41%-0.41 -14.9 8
2005-09-17 Dundee D 1-161.5 1486 1497 40.43% 26.45% 33.12%+0.12 -0.4 8
2005-09-17 @ St. Johnstone D 1-161.5 1497 1486 33.12% 26.45% 40.43%-0.12 +0.4 9
2005-09-17 Queen of the South D 0-056.6 1537 1425 55.85% 24.71% 19.44%+0.71 -2.4 5
2005-09-17 @ Stranraer D 0-056.6 1425 1537 19.44% 24.71% 55.85%-0.71 +2.4 2
2005-09-24 Hamilton Academical L 1-252.0 1428 1499 32.02% 26.41% 41.57%-0.16 -8.9 2
2005-09-24 @ Queen of the South W 2-152.0 1499 1428 41.57% 26.41% 32.02%+0.16 +8.9 12
2005-09-24 Ross County D 0-059.2 1497 1548 34.69% 26.49% 38.82%-0.07 +0.2 10
2005-09-24 @ Dundee D 0-059.2 1548 1497 38.82% 26.49% 34.69%+0.07 -0.2 15
2005-09-24 St. Johnstone L 0-151.7 1491 1485 42.75% 26.35% 30.90%+0.20 -11.7 8
2005-09-24 @ Clyde W 1-051.7 1485 1491 30.90% 26.35% 42.75%-0.20 +11.7 11
2005-09-24 St. Mirren L 0-151.8 1498 1570 31.83% 26.40% 41.77%-0.17 -9.4 8
2005-09-24 @ Airdrie United W 1-051.8 1570 1498 41.77% 26.40% 31.83%+0.17 +9.4 16
2005-09-24 Stranraer L 2-364.6 1530 1535 41.27% 26.42% 32.31%+0.15 -10.2 3
2005-09-24 @ Brechin City W 3-264.6 1535 1530 32.31% 26.42% 41.27%-0.15 +10.2 8
2005-10-01 Clyde L 1-353.5 1488 1479 43.14% 26.33% 30.53%+0.22 -19.3 8
2005-10-01 @ Airdrie United W 3-153.5 1479 1488 30.53% 26.33% 43.14%-0.22 +19.3 11
2005-10-01 Dundee L 1-355.9 1520 1497 44.99% 26.21% 28.80%+0.28 -19.9 3
2005-10-01 @ Brechin City W 3-155.9 1497 1520 28.80% 26.21% 44.99%-0.28 +20.0 13
2005-10-01 Queen of the South D 1-161.5 1548 1419 57.71% 24.30% 18.00%+0.79 -2.4 16
2005-10-01 @ Ross County D 1-161.5 1419 1548 18.00% 24.30% 57.71%-0.79 +2.4 3
2005-10-01 St. Johnstone D 1-163.8 1545 1497 48.29% 25.91% 25.80%+0.41 -1.3 9
2005-10-01 @ Stranraer D 1-163.8 1497 1545 25.80% 25.91% 48.29%-0.41 +1.3 12
2005-10-01 St. Mirren W 3-157.5 1508 1579 31.91% 26.40% 41.69%-0.17 +18.8 15
2005-10-01 @ Hamilton Academical L 1-357.5 1579 1508 41.69% 26.40% 31.91%+0.17 -18.8 16
2005-10-07 Airdrie United D 2-268.4 1546 1469 51.82% 25.44% 22.74%+0.54 -1.3 17
2005-10-07 @ Ross County D 2-268.4 1469 1546 22.74% 25.44% 51.82%-0.54 +1.3 9
2005-10-15 Airdrie United W 1-047.5 1421 1470 35.02% 26.50% 38.49%-0.06 +10.8 6
2005-10-15 @ Queen of the South L 0-147.5 1470 1421 38.49% 26.50% 35.02%+0.06 -10.8 9
2005-10-15 Brechin City W 3-151.3 1498 1500 41.73% 26.40% 31.87%+0.17 +15.3 15
2005-10-15 @ St. Johnstone L 1-351.3 1500 1498 31.87% 26.40% 41.73%-0.17 -15.3 3
2005-10-15 Hamilton Academical D 1-163.0 1499 1526 38.08% 26.50% 35.42%+0.04 -0.2 12
2005-10-15 @ Clyde D 1-163.0 1526 1499 35.42% 26.50% 38.08%-0.04 +0.1 16
2005-10-15 Ross County W 2-049.0 1561 1545 44.14% 26.27% 29.59%+0.25 +16.7 19
2005-10-15 @ St. Mirren L 0-249.0 1545 1561 29.59% 26.27% 44.14%-0.25 -16.7 17
2005-10-15 Stranraer D 1-164.4 1517 1544 38.22% 26.50% 35.28%+0.05 -0.2 14
2005-10-15 @ Dundee D 1-164.4 1544 1517 35.28% 26.50% 38.22%-0.05 +0.2 10
2005-10-22 Brechin City W 3-042.9 1526 1485 47.51% 25.99% 26.50%+0.38 +22.2 19
2005-10-22 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-342.9 1485 1526 26.50% 25.99% 47.51%-0.38 -22.2 3
2005-10-22 Dundee D 0-061.1 1577 1517 49.82% 25.72% 24.46%+0.46 -1.6 20
2005-10-22 @ St. Mirren D 0-061.1 1517 1577 24.46% 25.72% 49.82%-0.46 +1.7 15
2005-10-22 Ross County W 1-051.5 1499 1528 37.84% 26.50% 35.65%+0.04 +10.2 15
2005-10-22 @ Clyde L 0-151.5 1528 1499 35.65% 26.50% 37.84%-0.04 -10.2 17
2005-10-22 St. Johnstone L 1-349.0 1432 1514 30.63% 26.34% 43.03%-0.21 -14.9 6
2005-10-22 @ Queen of the South W 3-149.0 1514 1432 43.03% 26.34% 30.63%+0.21 +14.9 18
2005-10-22 Stranraer W 1-052.9 1459 1544 30.26% 26.32% 43.43%-0.23 +11.9 12
2005-10-22 @ Airdrie United L 0-152.9 1544 1459 43.43% 26.32% 30.26%+0.23 -11.9 10
2005-10-25 Hamilton Academical W 5-151.3 1529 1549 39.13% 26.48% 34.39%+0.08 +29.7 21
2005-10-25 @ St. Johnstone L 1-551.3 1549 1529 34.39% 26.48% 39.13%-0.08 -29.7 19
2005-10-25 Queen of the South D 1-158.0 1462 1417 47.93% 25.94% 26.12%+0.39 -1.2 4
2005-10-25 @ Brechin City D 1-158.0 1417 1462 26.12% 25.94% 47.93%-0.39 +1.2 7
2005-10-25 St. Mirren L 1-259.7 1532 1576 35.78% 26.50% 37.72%-0.03 -9.7 10
2005-10-25 @ Stranraer W 2-159.7 1576 1532 37.72% 26.50% 35.78%+0.03 +9.7 23
2005-10-26 Clyde D 3-372.2 1519 1509 43.29% 26.32% 30.38%+0.22 -0.5 16
2005-10-26 @ Dundee D 3-372.2 1509 1519 30.38% 26.32% 43.29%-0.22 +0.5 16
2005-10-29 Brechin City W 2-151.6 1509 1461 48.30% 25.90% 25.79%+0.41 +7.5 19
2005-10-29 @ Clyde L 1-251.6 1461 1509 25.79% 25.90% 48.30%-0.41 -7.5 4
2005-10-29 Dundee W 4-045.6 1471 1518 35.30% 26.50% 38.20%-0.05 +38.5 15
2005-10-29 @ Airdrie United L 0-445.6 1518 1471 38.20% 26.50% 35.30%+0.05 -38.5 16
2005-10-29 Queen of the South W 2-040.2 1585 1418 61.51% 23.27% 15.22%+0.97 +9.3 26
2005-10-29 @ St. Mirren L 0-240.2 1418 1585 15.22% 23.27% 61.51%-0.97 -9.3 7
2005-10-29 St. Johnstone W 2-159.1 1518 1558 36.21% 26.51% 37.28%-0.02 +10.0 20
2005-10-29 @ Ross County L 1-259.1 1558 1518 37.28% 26.51% 36.21%+0.02 -10.0 21
2005-10-29 Stranraer W 2-047.6 1519 1522 41.47% 26.41% 32.11%+0.16 +17.8 22
2005-10-29 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-247.6 1522 1519 32.11% 26.41% 41.47%-0.16 -17.8 10
2005-11-05 Airdrie United W 1-049.9 1548 1510 47.07% 26.03% 26.90%+0.36 +8.2 24
2005-11-05 @ St. Johnstone L 0-149.9 1510 1548 26.90% 26.03% 47.07%-0.36 -8.2 15
2005-11-05 Clyde L 1-250.5 1409 1517 27.43% 26.09% 46.49%-0.34 -7.9 7
2005-11-05 @ Queen of the South W 2-150.5 1517 1409 46.49% 26.09% 27.43%+0.34 +7.9 22
2005-11-05 Ross County L 2-362.7 1505 1528 38.74% 26.49% 34.77%+0.07 -9.7 10
2005-11-05 @ Stranraer W 3-262.7 1528 1505 34.77% 26.49% 38.74%-0.07 +9.7 23
2005-11-12 Hamilton Academical D 2-268.9 1502 1537 36.96% 26.51% 36.53%+0.01 -0.0 16
2005-11-12 @ Airdrie United D 2-268.9 1537 1502 36.53% 26.51% 36.96%-0.01 +0.0 23
2005-11-12 Ross County L 1-448.1 1454 1537 30.38% 26.32% 43.30%-0.22 -20.9 4
2005-11-12 @ Brechin City W 4-148.1 1537 1454 43.30% 26.32% 30.38%+0.22 +20.9 26
2005-11-12 St. Johnstone W 2-159.2 1480 1556 31.29% 26.37% 42.34%-0.19 +11.0 19
2005-11-12 @ Dundee L 1-259.2 1556 1480 42.34% 26.37% 31.29%+0.19 -11.0 24
2005-11-12 St. Mirren L 1-259.0 1525 1595 32.15% 26.41% 41.44%-0.16 -8.9 22
2005-11-12 @ Clyde W 2-159.0 1595 1525 41.44% 26.41% 32.15%+0.16 +8.9 29
2005-11-12 Stranraer D 1-158.5 1401 1495 29.11% 26.24% 44.65%-0.27 +0.9 8
2005-11-12 @ Queen of the South D 1-158.5 1495 1401 44.65% 26.24% 29.11%+0.27 -0.9 11
2005-11-15 Hamilton Academical D 1-163.1 1491 1537 35.43% 26.50% 38.07%-0.04 +0.2 20
2005-11-15 @ Dundee D 1-163.1 1537 1491 38.07% 26.50% 35.43%+0.04 -0.2 24
2005-11-15 St. Mirren L 2-357.0 1433 1604 20.78% 25.04% 54.17%-0.64 -5.9 4
2005-11-15 @ Brechin City W 3-257.0 1604 1433 54.17% 25.04% 20.78%+0.64 +5.9 32
2005-11-19 Brechin City D 1-159.5 1494 1427 50.66% 25.61% 23.73%+0.50 -1.6 12
2005-11-19 @ Stranraer D 1-159.5 1427 1494 23.73% 25.61% 50.66%-0.50 +1.6 5
2005-11-19 Clyde D 0-059.8 1545 1516 45.94% 26.14% 27.93%+0.32 -1.2 25
2005-11-19 @ St. Johnstone D 0-059.8 1516 1545 27.93% 26.14% 45.94%-0.32 +1.1 23
2005-11-19 Dundee W 3-043.4 1558 1491 50.66% 25.61% 23.73%+0.50 +20.3 29
2005-11-19 @ Ross County L 0-343.4 1491 1558 23.73% 25.61% 50.66%-0.50 -20.3 20
2005-11-19 Queen of the South W 5-244.2 1537 1402 58.26% 24.16% 17.58%+0.82 +11.3 27
2005-11-19 @ Hamilton Academical L 2-544.2 1402 1537 17.58% 24.16% 58.26%-0.82 -11.3 8
2005-11-26 Airdrie United W 1-049.3 1517 1501 44.03% 26.28% 29.69%+0.25 +8.9 26
2005-11-26 @ Clyde L 0-149.3 1501 1517 29.69% 26.28% 44.03%-0.25 -8.9 16
2005-11-26 Brechin City W 1-044.0 1471 1428 47.55% 25.98% 26.46%+0.38 +8.1 23
2005-11-26 @ Dundee L 0-144.0 1428 1471 26.46% 25.98% 47.55%-0.38 -8.1 5
2005-11-26 Hamilton Academical W 2-157.5 1610 1548 49.96% 25.71% 24.34%+0.47 +7.1 35
2005-11-26 @ St. Mirren L 1-257.5 1548 1610 24.34% 25.71% 49.96%-0.47 -7.1 27
2005-11-26 Ross County L 2-353.9 1391 1578 19.28% 24.67% 56.05%-0.72 -5.5 8
2005-11-26 @ Queen of the South W 3-253.9 1578 1391 56.05% 24.67% 19.28%+0.72 +5.5 32
2005-11-26 Stranraer D 1-163.7 1544 1492 48.76% 25.85% 25.39%+0.42 -1.3 26
2005-11-26 @ St. Johnstone D 1-163.7 1492 1544 25.39% 25.85% 48.76%-0.42 +1.3 13
2005-11-29 Airdrie United D 1-166.6 1617 1493 57.13% 24.43% 18.44%+0.77 -2.3 36
2005-11-29 @ St. Mirren D 1-166.6 1493 1617 18.44% 24.43% 57.13%-0.77 +2.3 17
2005-12-03 Clyde D 1-164.6 1541 1526 44.01% 26.28% 29.71%+0.25 -0.8 28
2005-12-03 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-164.6 1526 1541 29.71% 26.28% 44.01%-0.25 +0.8 27
2005-12-03 Dundee D 0-056.5 1494 1479 43.99% 26.28% 29.73%+0.25 -0.9 14
2005-12-03 @ Stranraer D 0-056.5 1479 1494 29.73% 26.28% 43.99%-0.25 +0.9 24
2005-12-03 Queen of the South W 4-035.7 1495 1385 55.58% 24.77% 19.65%+0.70 +22.5 20
2005-12-03 @ Airdrie United L 0-435.7 1385 1495 19.65% 24.77% 55.58%-0.70 -22.5 8
2005-12-03 St. Johnstone L 1-445.5 1420 1543 25.70% 25.89% 48.40%-0.41 -18.3 5
2005-12-03 @ Brechin City W 4-145.5 1543 1420 48.40% 25.89% 25.70%+0.41 +18.3 29
2005-12-03 St. Mirren L 0-452.1 1584 1614 37.68% 26.50% 35.82%+0.03 -38.1 32
2005-12-03 @ Ross County W 4-052.1 1614 1584 35.82% 26.50% 37.68%-0.03 +38.1 39
2005-12-10 Airdrie United D 1-162.5 1493 1517 38.52% 26.49% 34.98%+0.06 -0.2 15
2005-12-10 @ Stranraer D 1-162.5 1517 1493 34.98% 26.49% 38.52%-0.06 +0.2 21
2005-12-10 Clyde L 0-155.7 1546 1527 44.56% 26.24% 29.19%+0.27 -12.1 32
2005-12-10 @ Ross County W 1-055.7 1527 1546 29.19% 26.24% 44.56%-0.27 +12.1 30
2005-12-10 Hamilton Academical L 0-144.6 1402 1540 24.02% 25.66% 50.32%-0.48 -7.5 5
2005-12-10 @ Brechin City W 1-044.6 1540 1402 50.32% 25.66% 24.02%+0.48 +7.5 31
2005-12-10 Queen of the South W 2-145.1 1561 1363 64.46% 22.32% 13.23%+1.12 +4.0 32
2005-12-10 @ St. Johnstone L 1-245.1 1363 1561 13.23% 22.32% 64.46%-1.12 -4.0 8
2005-12-10 St. Mirren W 4-055.0 1480 1652 20.61% 25.00% 54.38%-0.65 +51.3 27
2005-12-10 @ Dundee L 0-455.0 1652 1480 54.38% 25.00% 20.61%+0.65 -51.3 39
2005-12-17 Brechin City W 6-037.8 1518 1394 57.03% 24.45% 18.52%+0.76 +31.2 24
2005-12-17 @ Airdrie United L 0-637.8 1394 1518 18.52% 24.45% 57.03%-0.76 -31.2 5
2005-12-17 Ross County W 2-157.0 1548 1534 43.83% 26.29% 29.88%+0.24 +8.4 34
2005-12-17 @ Hamilton Academical L 1-257.0 1534 1548 29.88% 26.29% 43.83%-0.24 -8.4 32
2005-12-17 St. Johnstone D 0-063.1 1601 1565 46.72% 26.07% 27.21%+0.35 -1.2 40
2005-12-17 @ St. Mirren D 0-063.1 1565 1601 27.21% 26.07% 46.72%-0.35 +1.2 33
2005-12-17 Stranraer W 1-048.6 1539 1493 48.02% 25.94% 26.05%+0.39 +8.0 33
2005-12-17 @ Clyde L 0-148.6 1493 1539 26.05% 25.94% 48.02%-0.39 -8.0 15
2005-12-26 Airdrie United L 2-364.6 1531 1549 39.46% 26.48% 34.06%+0.09 -9.9 27
2005-12-26 @ Dundee W 3-264.6 1549 1531 34.06% 26.48% 39.46%-0.09 +9.8 27
2005-12-26 Clyde W 3-154.7 1363 1547 19.67% 24.77% 55.56%-0.70 +23.9 8
2005-12-26 @ Brechin City L 1-354.7 1547 1363 55.56% 24.77% 19.67%+0.70 -23.9 33
2005-12-26 Hamilton Academical W 5-467.3 1485 1556 31.99% 26.41% 41.61%-0.16 +9.9 18
2005-12-26 @ Stranraer L 4-567.3 1556 1485 41.61% 26.41% 31.99%+0.16 -9.9 34
2005-12-26 Ross County D 1-165.6 1567 1525 47.41% 26.00% 26.59%+0.37 -1.2 34
2005-12-26 @ St. Johnstone D 1-165.6 1525 1567 26.59% 26.00% 47.41%-0.37 +1.2 33
2005-12-26 St. Mirren D 0-056.9 1359 1600 15.19% 23.26% 61.55%-0.98 +3.2 9
2005-12-26 @ Queen of the South D 0-056.9 1600 1359 61.55% 23.26% 15.19%+0.98 -3.2 41
2005-12-31 Brechin City W 3-251.7 1597 1387 65.44% 21.97% 12.60%+1.18 +3.6 44
2005-12-31 @ St. Mirren L 2-351.7 1387 1597 12.60% 21.97% 65.44%-1.18 -3.7 8
2005-12-31 Dundee D 0-060.0 1546 1521 45.32% 26.19% 28.49%+0.30 -1.1 35
2005-12-31 @ Hamilton Academical D 0-060.0 1521 1546 28.49% 26.19% 45.32%-0.30 +1.1 28
2005-12-31 Queen of the South W 3-034.4 1523 1362 60.91% 23.45% 15.64%+0.94 +13.9 36
2005-12-31 @ Clyde L 0-334.4 1362 1523 15.64% 23.45% 60.91%-0.94 -13.9 9
2005-12-31 St. Johnstone W 2-159.2 1559 1565 41.01% 26.43% 32.56%+0.14 +9.0 30
2005-12-31 @ Airdrie United L 1-259.2 1565 1559 32.56% 26.43% 41.01%-0.14 -9.0 34
2006-01-02 Airdrie United W 1-054.2 1545 1568 38.80% 26.49% 34.71%+0.07 +10.0 38
2006-01-02 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-154.2 1568 1545 34.71% 26.49% 38.80%-0.07 -10.0 30
2006-01-02 Brechin City W 2-037.5 1527 1384 59.11% 23.95% 16.94%+0.86 +10.3 36
2006-01-02 @ Ross County L 0-237.5 1384 1527 16.94% 23.95% 59.11%-0.86 -10.3 8
2006-01-02 Clyde W 2-156.9 1600 1537 50.22% 25.67% 24.11%+0.48 +7.1 47
2006-01-02 @ St. Mirren L 1-256.9 1537 1600 24.11% 25.67% 50.22%-0.48 -7.1 36
2006-01-02 Dundee D 0-060.5 1556 1522 46.52% 26.08% 27.40%+0.34 -1.2 35
2006-01-02 @ St. Johnstone D 0-060.5 1522 1556 27.40% 26.08% 46.52%-0.34 +1.2 29
2006-01-02 Queen of the South W 1-038.7 1495 1348 59.48% 23.85% 16.67%+0.88 +5.4 21
2006-01-02 @ Stranraer L 0-138.7 1348 1495 16.67% 23.85% 59.48%-0.88 -5.4 9
2006-01-14 Hamilton Academical D 1-159.2 1343 1555 17.26% 24.06% 58.68%-0.84 +2.5 10
2006-01-14 @ Queen of the South D 1-159.2 1555 1343 58.68% 24.06% 17.26%+0.84 -2.5 39
2006-01-14 Ross County D 0-059.7 1523 1537 40.07% 26.46% 33.47%+0.11 -0.4 30
2006-01-14 @ Dundee D 0-059.7 1537 1523 33.47% 26.46% 40.07%-0.11 +0.4 37
2006-01-14 St. Johnstone L 2-364.4 1530 1555 38.37% 26.50% 35.13%+0.05 -9.7 36
2006-01-14 @ Clyde W 3-264.4 1555 1530 35.13% 26.50% 38.37%-0.05 +9.6 38
2006-01-14 St. Mirren L 1-455.4 1558 1607 34.91% 26.49% 38.60%-0.06 -23.2 30
2006-01-14 @ Airdrie United W 4-155.4 1607 1558 38.60% 26.49% 34.91%+0.06 +23.2 50
2006-01-14 Stranraer D 0-053.2 1373 1500 25.25% 25.83% 48.92%-0.43 +1.5 9
2006-01-14 @ Brechin City D 0-053.2 1500 1373 48.92% 25.83% 25.25%+0.43 -1.5 22
2006-01-21 Clyde D 1-164.2 1534 1520 43.90% 26.29% 29.81%+0.24 -0.8 31
2006-01-21 @ Airdrie United D 1-164.2 1520 1534 29.81% 26.29% 43.90%-0.24 +0.8 37
2006-01-21 Dundee L 0-337.6 1375 1523 22.98% 25.48% 51.53%-0.53 -19.7 9
2006-01-21 @ Brechin City W 3-037.6 1523 1375 51.53% 25.48% 22.98%+0.53 +19.7 33
2006-01-21 Queen of the South W 3-140.6 1537 1345 63.88% 22.52% 13.61%+1.09 +7.2 40
2006-01-21 @ Ross County L 1-340.6 1345 1537 13.61% 22.52% 63.88%-1.09 -7.2 10
2006-01-21 St. Johnstone L 0-248.6 1498 1565 32.65% 26.43% 40.91%-0.14 -18.0 22
2006-01-21 @ Stranraer W 2-048.6 1565 1498 40.91% 26.43% 32.65%+0.14 +18.0 41
2006-01-21 St. Mirren D 0-063.5 1553 1631 31.10% 26.36% 42.53%-0.20 +0.7 40
2006-01-21 @ Hamilton Academical D 0-063.5 1631 1553 42.53% 26.36% 31.10%+0.20 -0.7 51
2006-01-28 Airdrie United W 2-048.4 1338 1534 18.61% 24.48% 56.91%-0.76 +28.1 13
2006-01-28 @ Queen of the South L 0-248.4 1534 1338 56.91% 24.48% 18.61%+0.76 -28.1 31
2006-01-28 Brechin City W 3-034.3 1583 1355 67.02% 21.36% 11.62%+1.26 +10.2 44
2006-01-28 @ St. Johnstone L 0-334.3 1355 1583 11.62% 21.36% 67.02%-1.26 -10.2 9
2006-01-28 Hamilton Academical D 2-270.2 1521 1553 37.37% 26.51% 36.13%+0.02 -0.0 38
2006-01-28 @ Clyde D 2-270.2 1553 1521 36.13% 26.51% 37.37%-0.02 +0.0 41
2006-01-28 Ross County L 0-161.0 1630 1544 52.82% 25.28% 21.90%+0.58 -14.0 51
2006-01-28 @ St. Mirren W 1-061.0 1544 1630 21.90% 25.28% 52.82%-0.58 +14.0 43
2006-01-28 Stranraer W 2-153.1 1543 1480 50.05% 25.69% 24.26%+0.47 +7.1 36
2006-01-28 @ Dundee L 1-253.1 1480 1543 24.26% 25.69% 50.05%-0.47 -7.1 22
2006-02-11 Airdrie United D 0-052.8 1345 1505 21.75% 25.25% 53.00%-0.59 +2.1 10
2006-02-11 @ Brechin City D 0-052.8 1505 1345 53.00% 25.25% 21.75%+0.59 -2.1 32
2006-02-11 Clyde L 0-545.5 1473 1521 35.25% 26.50% 38.25%-0.05 -44.7 22
2006-02-11 @ Stranraer W 5-045.5 1521 1473 38.25% 26.50% 35.25%+0.05 +44.7 41
2006-02-11 Hamilton Academical W 2-158.4 1558 1553 42.64% 26.36% 31.00%+0.20 +8.7 46
2006-02-11 @ Ross County L 1-258.4 1553 1558 31.00% 26.36% 42.64%-0.20 -8.7 41
2006-02-11 Queen of the South L 2-364.6 1550 1366 63.10% 22.78% 14.12%+1.05 -14.6 36
2006-02-11 @ Dundee W 3-264.6 1366 1550 14.12% 22.78% 63.10%-1.05 +14.6 16
2006-02-11 St. Mirren D 0-064.0 1593 1616 38.74% 26.49% 34.76%+0.07 -0.2 45
2006-02-11 @ St. Johnstone D 0-064.0 1616 1593 34.76% 26.49% 38.74%-0.07 +0.2 52
2006-02-18 Brechin City D 0-049.9 1381 1347 46.46% 26.09% 27.45%+0.34 -1.2 17
2006-02-18 @ Queen of the South D 0-049.9 1347 1381 27.45% 26.09% 46.46%-0.34 +1.2 11
2006-02-18 Dundee D 3-374.8 1565 1535 45.99% 26.13% 27.88%+0.32 -0.6 42
2006-02-18 @ Clyde D 3-374.8 1535 1565 27.88% 26.13% 45.99%-0.32 +0.6 37
2006-02-18 Ross County L 2-362.3 1503 1567 33.00% 26.45% 40.56%-0.13 -8.6 32
2006-02-18 @ Airdrie United W 3-262.3 1567 1503 40.56% 26.45% 33.00%+0.13 +8.6 49
2006-02-18 St. Johnstone L 1-260.4 1545 1593 35.15% 26.50% 38.36%-0.05 -9.5 41
2006-02-18 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-160.4 1593 1545 38.36% 26.50% 35.15%+0.05 +9.5 48
2006-02-18 Stranraer W 3-146.5 1616 1429 63.45% 22.66% 13.89%+1.07 +7.3 55
2006-02-18 @ St. Mirren L 1-346.5 1429 1616 13.89% 22.66% 63.45%-1.07 -7.4 22
2006-02-25 Stranraer D 1-162.9 1576 1421 60.27% 23.63% 16.10%+0.91 -2.7 50
2006-02-25 @ Ross County D 1-162.9 1421 1576 16.10% 23.63% 60.27%-0.91 +2.7 23
2006-02-28 Dundee D 0-054.8 1379 1536 22.16% 25.33% 52.51%-0.57 +2.0 18
2006-02-28 @ Queen of the South D 0-054.8 1536 1379 52.51% 25.33% 22.16%+0.57 -2.0 38
2006-03-04 Airdrie United D 2-271.5 1602 1495 55.34% 24.82% 19.84%+0.69 -1.6 49
2006-03-04 @ St. Johnstone D 2-271.5 1495 1602 19.84% 24.82% 55.34%-0.69 +1.6 33
2006-03-04 Clyde W 2-159.3 1381 1565 19.66% 24.77% 55.56%-0.70 +13.8 21
2006-03-04 @ Queen of the South L 1-259.3 1565 1381 55.56% 24.77% 19.66%+0.70 -13.8 42
2006-03-04 Hamilton Academical L 2-460.5 1534 1535 41.76% 26.40% 31.84%+0.17 -16.8 38
2006-03-04 @ Dundee W 4-260.5 1535 1534 31.84% 26.40% 41.76%-0.17 +16.8 44
2006-03-11 Brechin City W 5-137.1 1551 1348 64.85% 22.18% 12.97%+1.14 +12.5 45
2006-03-11 @ Clyde L 1-537.1 1348 1551 12.97% 22.18% 64.85%-1.14 -12.5 11
2006-03-11 Dundee W 7-047.5 1496 1517 39.05% 26.49% 34.46%+0.08 +60.4 36
2006-03-11 @ Airdrie United L 0-747.5 1517 1496 34.46% 26.49% 39.05%-0.08 -60.4 38
2006-03-11 Queen of the South W 1-042.4 1624 1395 67.07% 21.34% 11.59%+1.27 +3.7 58
2006-03-11 @ St. Mirren L 0-142.4 1395 1624 11.59% 21.34% 67.07%-1.27 -3.7 21
2006-03-11 St. Johnstone D 2-273.2 1573 1601 38.06% 26.50% 35.44%+0.04 -0.1 51
2006-03-11 @ Ross County D 2-273.2 1601 1573 35.44% 26.50% 38.06%-0.04 +0.1 50
2006-03-18 Hamilton Academical D 0-061.4 1557 1552 42.59% 26.36% 31.05%+0.20 -0.7 37
2006-03-18 @ Airdrie United D 0-061.4 1552 1557 31.05% 26.36% 42.59%-0.20 +0.7 45
2006-03-18 Ross County D 3-368.7 1336 1573 15.45% 23.37% 61.18%-0.96 +1.8 12
2006-03-18 @ Brechin City D 3-368.7 1573 1336 61.18% 23.37% 15.45%+0.96 -1.7 52
2006-03-18 St. Johnstone L 0-148.6 1457 1601 23.39% 25.56% 51.05%-0.51 -7.3 38
2006-03-18 @ Dundee W 1-048.6 1601 1457 51.05% 25.56% 23.39%+0.51 +7.3 53
2006-03-18 St. Mirren L 0-155.8 1564 1627 32.99% 26.45% 40.56%-0.13 -9.6 45
2006-03-18 @ Clyde W 1-055.8 1627 1564 40.56% 26.45% 32.99%+0.13 +9.6 61
2006-03-18 Stranraer W 1-044.6 1391 1424 37.36% 26.51% 36.13%+0.02 +10.3 24
2006-03-18 @ Queen of the South L 0-144.6 1424 1391 36.13% 26.51% 37.36%-0.02 -10.3 23
2006-03-21 Ross County D 2-267.3 1414 1571 22.06% 25.31% 52.63%-0.58 +1.3 24
2006-03-21 @ Stranraer D 2-267.3 1571 1414 52.63% 25.31% 22.06%+0.58 -1.4 53
2006-03-21 St. Mirren L 0-335.7 1337 1637 11.71% 21.42% 66.86%-1.25 -10.3 12
2006-03-21 @ Brechin City W 3-035.7 1637 1337 66.86% 21.42% 11.71%+1.25 +10.3 64
2006-03-25 Airdrie United W 2-157.6 1647 1556 53.49% 25.17% 21.34%+0.61 +6.4 67
2006-03-25 @ St. Mirren L 1-257.6 1556 1647 21.34% 25.17% 53.49%-0.61 -6.4 37
2006-03-25 Brechin City W 2-035.1 1415 1327 53.13% 25.23% 21.64%+0.60 +12.9 27
2006-03-25 @ Stranraer L 0-235.1 1327 1415 21.64% 25.23% 53.13%-0.60 -12.9 12
2006-03-25 Clyde W 1-052.5 1608 1554 49.07% 25.82% 25.11%+0.43 +7.8 56
2006-03-25 @ St. Johnstone L 0-152.5 1554 1608 25.11% 25.82% 49.07%-0.43 -7.8 45
2006-03-25 Queen of the South L 0-251.9 1553 1402 59.92% 23.73% 16.35%+0.90 -29.4 45
2006-03-25 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-051.9 1402 1553 16.35% 23.73% 59.92%-0.90 +29.4 27
2006-03-28 Stranraer W 1-043.8 1523 1428 53.96% 25.08% 20.95%+0.63 +6.7 48
2006-03-28 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-143.8 1428 1523 20.95% 25.08% 53.96%-0.63 -6.7 27
2006-04-01 Airdrie United W 3-154.9 1546 1550 41.45% 26.41% 32.13%+0.16 +15.4 48
2006-04-01 @ Clyde L 1-354.9 1550 1546 32.13% 26.41% 41.45%-0.16 -15.4 37
2006-04-01 Hamilton Academical L 0-258.9 1654 1530 57.09% 24.44% 18.47%+0.77 -28.2 67
2006-04-01 @ St. Mirren W 2-058.9 1530 1654 18.47% 24.44% 57.09%-0.77 +28.2 51
2006-04-01 Ross County D 0-057.8 1431 1570 23.97% 25.65% 50.38%-0.49 +1.7 28
2006-04-01 @ Queen of the South D 0-057.8 1570 1431 50.38% 25.65% 23.97%+0.49 -1.7 54
2006-04-01 Stranraer W 3-254.1 1616 1421 64.10% 22.44% 13.46%+1.10 +3.9 59
2006-04-01 @ St. Johnstone L 2-354.1 1421 1616 13.46% 22.44% 64.10%-1.10 -3.9 27
2006-04-04 Dundee D 0-058.7 1568 1449 56.57% 24.56% 18.88%+0.74 -2.5 55
2006-04-04 @ Ross County D 0-058.7 1449 1568 18.88% 24.56% 56.57%-0.74 +2.5 39
2006-04-08 Clyde W 2-050.3 1558 1562 41.48% 26.41% 32.11%+0.16 +17.8 54
2006-04-08 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-250.3 1562 1558 32.11% 26.41% 41.48%-0.16 -17.8 48
2006-04-08 Dundee D 1-157.6 1417 1452 37.09% 26.51% 36.40%+0.01 -0.0 28
2006-04-08 @ Stranraer D 1-157.6 1452 1417 36.40% 26.51% 37.09%-0.01 +0.0 40
2006-04-08 Queen of the South D 1-161.3 1534 1433 54.64% 24.95% 20.41%+0.66 -2.0 38
2006-04-08 @ Airdrie United D 1-161.3 1433 1534 20.41% 24.95% 54.64%-0.66 +2.0 29
2006-04-08 St. Johnstone L 0-235.9 1314 1620 11.40% 21.21% 67.39%-1.28 -6.9 12
2006-04-08 @ Brechin City W 2-035.9 1620 1314 67.39% 21.21% 11.40%+1.28 +6.9 62
2006-04-08 St. Mirren L 0-252.6 1566 1625 33.53% 26.46% 40.01%-0.11 -18.4 55
2006-04-08 @ Ross County W 2-052.6 1625 1566 40.01% 26.46% 33.53%+0.11 +18.4 70
2006-04-11 Brechin City L 0-149.6 1452 1307 59.30% 23.90% 16.81%+0.87 -15.5 40
2006-04-11 @ Dundee W 1-049.6 1307 1452 16.81% 23.90% 59.30%-0.87 +15.5 15
2006-04-15 Brechin City W 2-034.1 1576 1323 69.14% 20.48% 10.37%+1.38 +6.2 57
2006-04-15 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-234.1 1323 1576 10.37% 20.48% 69.14%-1.38 -6.2 15
2006-04-15 Dundee W 2-150.6 1644 1436 65.25% 22.03% 12.72%+1.17 +3.9 73
2006-04-15 @ St. Mirren L 1-250.6 1436 1644 12.72% 22.03% 65.25%-1.17 -3.9 40
2006-04-15 Ross County W 2-049.3 1544 1547 41.46% 26.41% 32.13%+0.16 +17.8 51
2006-04-15 @ Clyde L 0-249.3 1547 1544 32.13% 26.41% 41.46%-0.16 -17.8 55
2006-04-15 St. Johnstone W 3-268.5 1435 1627 18.94% 24.57% 56.49%-0.74 +13.3 32
2006-04-15 @ Queen of the South L 2-368.5 1627 1435 56.49% 24.57% 18.94%+0.74 -13.2 62
2006-04-15 Stranraer W 3-038.0 1532 1417 56.14% 24.65% 19.21%+0.72 +16.9 41
2006-04-15 @ Airdrie United L 0-338.0 1417 1532 19.21% 24.65% 56.14%-0.72 -16.9 28
2006-04-22 Airdrie United L 0-154.4 1529 1549 39.20% 26.48% 34.31%+0.08 -11.0 55
2006-04-22 @ Ross County W 1-054.4 1549 1529 34.31% 26.48% 39.20%-0.08 +11.0 44
2006-04-22 Clyde L 0-146.9 1433 1562 25.01% 25.80% 49.18%-0.44 -7.7 40
2006-04-22 @ Dundee W 1-046.9 1562 1433 49.18% 25.80% 25.01%+0.44 +7.7 54
2006-04-22 Hamilton Academical D 1-168.5 1614 1582 46.14% 26.12% 27.74%+0.33 -1.0 63
2006-04-22 @ St. Johnstone D 1-168.5 1582 1614 27.74% 26.12% 46.14%-0.33 +1.0 58
2006-04-22 Queen of the South D 1-155.2 1316 1448 24.70% 25.76% 49.54%-0.45 +1.4 16
2006-04-22 @ Brechin City D 1-155.2 1448 1316 49.54% 25.76% 24.70%+0.45 -1.4 33
2006-04-22 St. Mirren L 0-145.0 1400 1648 14.79% 23.09% 62.12%-1.00 -4.8 28
2006-04-22 @ Stranraer W 1-045.0 1648 1400 62.12% 23.09% 14.79%+1.00 +4.8 76
2006-04-29 Brechin City D 3-368.5 1560 1318 68.23% 20.87% 10.90%+1.33 -2.2 45
2006-04-29 @ Airdrie United D 3-368.5 1318 1560 10.90% 20.87% 68.23%-1.33 +2.2 17
2006-04-29 Dundee L 1-350.8 1447 1425 44.90% 26.22% 28.88%+0.28 -19.9 33
2006-04-29 @ Queen of the South W 3-150.8 1425 1447 28.88% 26.22% 44.90%-0.28 +19.9 43
2006-04-29 Ross County D 0-061.4 1583 1518 50.36% 25.65% 23.98%+0.48 -1.7 59
2006-04-29 @ Hamilton Academical D 0-061.4 1518 1583 23.98% 25.65% 50.36%-0.48 +1.7 56
2006-04-29 St. Johnstone L 0-161.4 1652 1612 47.27% 26.01% 26.72%+0.37 -12.7 76
2006-04-29 @ St. Mirren W 1-061.4 1612 1652 26.72% 26.01% 47.27%-0.37 +12.7 66
2006-04-29 Stranraer D 1-161.8 1569 1396 62.13% 23.08% 14.78%+1.00 -2.9 55
2006-04-29 @ Clyde D 1-161.8 1396 1569 14.78% 23.08% 62.13%-1.00 +2.9 29

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2006-02-11 14.12% Queen of the South 1366 3 @ Dundee 1550 2
2 2006-03-25 16.35% Queen of the South 1402 2 @ Hamilton Academical 1553 0
3 2006-04-11 16.81% Brechin City 1307 1 @ Dundee 1452 0
4 2006-04-01 18.47% Hamilton Academical 1530 2 @ St. Mirren 1654 0
5 2006-01-28 18.61% @ Queen of the South 1338 2 Airdrie United 1534 0
6 2006-04-15 18.94% @ Queen of the South 1435 3 St. Johnstone 1627 2
7 2006-03-04 19.66% @ Queen of the South 1381 2 Clyde 1565 1
8 2005-12-26 19.67% @ Brechin City 1363 3 Clyde 1547 1
9 2005-12-10 20.61% @ Dundee 1480 4 St. Mirren 1652 0
10 2005-08-20 21.57% Clyde 1484 2 @ Stranraer 1573 1
11 2006-01-28 21.90% Ross County 1544 1 @ St. Mirren 1630 0
12 2005-08-06 22.14% Hamilton Academical 1484 2 @ Brechin City 1566 1
13 2005-09-10 24.14% Hamilton Academical 1487 2 @ Stranraer 1550 1
14 2005-09-10 25.75% Airdrie United 1473 2 @ Dundee 1521 0
15 2006-04-29 26.72% St. Johnstone 1612 1 @ St. Mirren 1652 0
16 2005-10-01 28.80% Dundee 1497 3 @ Brechin City 1520 1
17 2006-04-29 28.88% Dundee 1425 3 @ Queen of the South 1447 1
18 2005-12-10 29.19% Clyde 1527 1 @ Ross County 1546 0
19 2005-10-22 30.26% @ Airdrie United 1459 1 Stranraer 1544 0
20 2005-10-01 30.53% Clyde 1479 3 @ Airdrie United 1488 1
21 2005-09-24 30.90% St. Johnstone 1485 1 @ Clyde 1491 0
22 2005-11-12 31.29% @ Dundee 1480 2 St. Johnstone 1556 1
23 2006-03-04 31.84% Hamilton Academical 1535 4 @ Dundee 1534 2
24 2005-10-01 31.91% @ Hamilton Academical 1508 3 St. Mirren 1579 1
25 2005-12-26 31.99% @ Stranraer 1485 5 Hamilton Academical 1556 4

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-03-11 60.39 @ Airdrie United 7 1496 39.05% Dundee 0 1517 34.46% 26.49%
2 2005-12-10 51.30 @ Dundee 4 1480 20.61% St. Mirren 0 1652 54.38% 25.00%
3 2006-02-11 44.68 Clyde 5 1521 38.25% @ Stranraer 0 1473 35.25% 26.50%
4 2005-10-29 38.47 @ Airdrie United 4 1471 35.30% Dundee 0 1518 38.20% 26.50%
5 2005-12-03 38.08 St. Mirren 4 1614 35.82% @ Ross County 0 1584 37.68% 26.50%
6 2005-08-06 35.78 @ St. Johnstone 4 1466 38.87% Queen of the South 0 1488 34.64% 26.49%
7 2005-12-17 31.16 @ Airdrie United 6 1518 57.03% Brechin City 0 1394 18.52% 24.45%
8 2005-10-25 29.65 @ St. Johnstone 5 1529 39.13% Hamilton Academical 1 1549 34.39% 26.48%
9 2006-03-25 29.42 Queen of the South 2 1402 16.35% @ Hamilton Academical 0 1553 59.92% 23.73%
10 2006-04-01 28.21 Hamilton Academical 2 1530 18.47% @ St. Mirren 0 1654 57.09% 24.44%
11 2006-01-28 28.13 @ Queen of the South 2 1338 18.61% Airdrie United 0 1534 56.91% 24.48%
12 2005-09-10 24.45 Airdrie United 2 1473 25.75% @ Dundee 0 1521 48.35% 25.90%
13 2005-12-26 23.86 @ Brechin City 3 1363 19.67% Clyde 1 1547 55.56% 24.77%
14 2006-01-14 23.23 St. Mirren 4 1607 38.60% @ Airdrie United 1 1558 34.91% 26.49%
15 2005-12-03 22.47 @ Airdrie United 4 1495 55.58% Queen of the South 0 1385 19.65% 24.77%
16 2005-10-22 22.23 @ Hamilton Academical 3 1526 47.51% Brechin City 0 1485 26.50% 25.99%
17 2005-11-12 20.89 Ross County 4 1537 43.30% @ Brechin City 1 1454 30.38% 26.32%
18 2005-11-19 20.29 @ Ross County 3 1558 50.66% Dundee 0 1491 23.73% 25.61%
19 2005-10-01 19.95 Dundee 3 1497 28.80% @ Brechin City 1 1520 44.99% 26.21%
20 2006-04-29 19.92 Dundee 3 1425 28.88% @ Queen of the South 1 1447 44.90% 26.22%
21 2006-01-21 19.74 Dundee 3 1523 51.53% @ Brechin City 0 1375 22.98% 25.48%
22 2005-10-01 19.29 Clyde 3 1479 30.53% @ Airdrie United 1 1488 43.14% 26.33%
23 2005-10-01 18.78 @ Hamilton Academical 3 1508 31.91% St. Mirren 1 1579 41.69% 26.40%
24 2006-04-08 18.40 St. Mirren 2 1625 40.01% @ Ross County 0 1566 33.53% 26.46%
25 2005-12-03 18.28 St. Johnstone 4 1543 48.40% @ Brechin City 1 1420 25.70% 25.89%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-02-18 74.8 @ Clyde 3 1565 45.99% Dundee 3 1535 27.88% 26.13%
2 2006-03-11 73.2 @ Ross County 2 1573 38.06% St. Johnstone 2 1601 35.44% 26.50%
3 2005-10-26 72.2 @ Dundee 3 1519 43.29% Clyde 3 1509 30.38% 26.32%
4 2006-03-04 71.5 @ St. Johnstone 2 1602 55.34% Airdrie United 2 1495 19.84% 24.82%
5 2006-01-28 70.2 @ Clyde 2 1521 37.37% Hamilton Academical 2 1553 36.13% 26.51%
6 2005-11-12 68.9 @ Airdrie United 2 1502 36.96% Hamilton Academical 2 1537 36.53% 26.51%
7 2006-03-18 68.7 @ Brechin City 3 1336 15.45% Ross County 3 1573 61.18% 23.37%
8 2006-04-15 68.5 @ Queen of the South 3 1435 18.94% St. Johnstone 2 1627 56.49% 24.57%
9 2006-04-22 68.5 @ St. Johnstone 1 1614 46.14% Hamilton Academical 1 1582 27.74% 26.12%
10 2006-04-29 68.5 @ Airdrie United 3 1560 68.23% Brechin City 3 1318 10.90% 20.87%
11 2005-10-07 68.4 @ Ross County 2 1546 51.82% Airdrie United 2 1469 22.74% 25.44%
12 2005-12-26 67.3 @ Stranraer 5 1485 31.99% Hamilton Academical 4 1556 41.61% 26.41%
13 2006-03-21 67.3 @ Stranraer 2 1414 22.06% Ross County 2 1571 52.63% 25.31%
14 2005-11-29 66.6 @ St. Mirren 1 1617 57.13% Airdrie United 1 1493 18.44% 24.43%
15 2005-12-26 65.6 @ St. Johnstone 1 1567 47.41% Ross County 1 1525 26.59% 26.00%
16 2005-09-24 64.6 Stranraer 3 1535 32.31% @ Brechin City 2 1530 41.27% 26.42%
17 2005-12-03 64.6 @ Hamilton Academical 1 1541 44.01% Clyde 1 1526 29.71% 26.28%
18 2005-12-26 64.6 Airdrie United 3 1549 34.06% @ Dundee 2 1531 39.46% 26.48%
19 2006-02-11 64.6 Queen of the South 3 1366 14.12% @ Dundee 2 1550 63.10% 22.78%
20 2005-10-15 64.4 @ Dundee 1 1517 38.22% Stranraer 1 1544 35.28% 26.50%
21 2006-01-14 64.4 St. Johnstone 3 1555 35.13% @ Clyde 2 1530 38.37% 26.50%
22 2006-01-21 64.2 @ Airdrie United 1 1534 43.90% Clyde 1 1520 29.81% 26.29%
23 2006-02-11 64.0 @ St. Johnstone 0 1593 38.74% St. Mirren 0 1616 34.76% 26.49%
24 2005-09-10 63.9 @ Brechin City 1 1541 46.68% Clyde 1 1505 27.25% 26.07%
25 2005-10-01 63.8 @ Stranraer 1 1545 48.29% St. Johnstone 1 1497 25.80% 25.91%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-04-15 34.1 @ Hamilton Academical 2 1576 69.14% Brechin City 0 1323 10.37% 20.48%
2 2006-01-28 34.3 @ St. Johnstone 3 1583 67.02% Brechin City 0 1355 11.62% 21.36%
3 2005-12-31 34.4 @ Clyde 3 1523 60.91% Queen of the South 0 1362 15.64% 23.45%
4 2006-03-25 35.1 @ Stranraer 2 1415 53.13% Brechin City 0 1327 21.64% 25.23%
5 2005-12-03 35.7 @ Airdrie United 4 1495 55.58% Queen of the South 0 1385 19.65% 24.77%
6 2006-03-21 35.7 St. Mirren 3 1637 66.86% @ Brechin City 0 1337 11.71% 21.42%
7 2006-04-08 35.9 St. Johnstone 2 1620 67.39% @ Brechin City 0 1314 11.40% 21.21%
8 2006-03-11 37.1 @ Clyde 5 1551 64.85% Brechin City 1 1348 12.97% 22.18%
9 2006-01-02 37.5 @ Ross County 2 1527 59.11% Brechin City 0 1384 16.94% 23.95%
10 2006-01-21 37.6 Dundee 3 1523 51.53% @ Brechin City 0 1375 22.98% 25.48%
11 2005-12-17 37.8 @ Airdrie United 6 1518 57.03% Brechin City 0 1394 18.52% 24.45%
12 2006-04-15 38.0 @ Airdrie United 3 1532 56.14% Stranraer 0 1417 19.21% 24.65%
13 2006-01-02 38.7 @ Stranraer 1 1495 59.48% Queen of the South 0 1348 16.67% 23.85%
14 2005-10-29 40.2 @ St. Mirren 2 1585 61.51% Queen of the South 0 1418 15.22% 23.27%
15 2006-01-21 40.6 @ Ross County 3 1537 63.88% Queen of the South 1 1345 13.61% 22.52%
16 2006-03-11 42.4 @ St. Mirren 1 1624 67.07% Queen of the South 0 1395 11.59% 21.34%
17 2005-10-22 42.9 @ Hamilton Academical 3 1526 47.51% Brechin City 0 1485 26.50% 25.99%
18 2005-08-06 43.2 @ St. Johnstone 4 1466 38.87% Queen of the South 0 1488 34.64% 26.49%
19 2005-11-19 43.4 @ Ross County 3 1558 50.66% Dundee 0 1491 23.73% 25.61%
20 2006-03-28 43.8 @ Hamilton Academical 1 1523 53.96% Stranraer 0 1428 20.95% 25.08%
21 2005-11-26 44.0 @ Dundee 1 1471 47.55% Brechin City 0 1428 26.46% 25.98%
22 2005-11-19 44.2 @ Hamilton Academical 5 1537 58.26% Queen of the South 2 1402 17.58% 24.16%
23 2005-12-10 44.6 Hamilton Academical 1 1540 50.32% @ Brechin City 0 1402 24.02% 25.66%
24 2006-03-18 44.6 @ Queen of the South 1 1391 37.36% Stranraer 0 1424 36.13% 26.51%
25 2005-08-27 44.8 @ Clyde 1 1497 49.31% Queen of the South 0 1441 24.90% 25.79%