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2007-08 First Division Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

Hamilton Academical

76 pts

Relegated

Stirling Albion

24 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Hamilton Academical

13.24 points above expected

76 points · 62.76 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Stirling Albion

23.66 points below expected

24 points · 47.66 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Hamilton Academical Promoted 36 23 7 6 76 62 27 +35 62.76 +13.24
2 Dundee 36 20 9 7 69 58 30 +28 57.12 +11.88
3 St. Johnstone 36 15 13 8 58 60 45 +15 60.11 -2.11
4 Queen of the South 36 14 10 12 52 47 43 +4 44.54 +7.46
5 Dunfermline Athletic 36 13 12 11 51 36 41 -5 47.23 +3.77
6 Partick Thistle 36 11 12 13 45 40 39 +1 47.55 -2.55
7 Livingston 36 10 9 17 39 55 66 -11 43.69 -4.69
8 Greenock Morton 36 9 10 17 37 40 58 -18 45.09 -8.09
9 Clyde 36 9 10 17 37 40 59 -19 45.53 -8.53
10 Stirling Albion Relegated 36 4 12 20 24 41 71 -30 47.66 -23.66

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hamilton Academical 76 62.76 +13.24
2 Dundee 69 57.12 +11.88
3 Queen of the South 52 44.54 +7.46
4 Dunfermline Athletic 51 47.23 +3.77
5 St. Johnstone 58 60.11 -2.11

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Stirling Albion 24 47.66 -23.66
2 Clyde 37 45.53 -8.53
3 Greenock Morton 37 45.09 -8.09
4 Livingston 39 43.69 -4.69
5 Partick Thistle 45 47.55 -2.55

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Queen of the South 5 Jan 5 – Feb 16 1 in 223
2 Hamilton Academical 6 Aug 4 – Sep 15 1 in 214
3 Dunfermline Athletic 4 Dec 22 – Jan 2 1 in 60
4 Dundee 4 Nov 24 – Dec 15 1 in 34
5 Livingston 2 Nov 3 – Nov 10 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Greenock Morton 6 Jan 5 – Feb 23 1 in 129
2 Stirling Albion 4 Nov 10 – Dec 15 1 in 53
3 Livingston 4 Dec 15 – Jan 2 1 in 22
4 Dunfermline Athletic 3 Oct 20 – Nov 3 1 in 21
5 Clyde 3 Aug 4 – Aug 18 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dunfermline Athletic 7 Dec 8 – Jan 5 1 in 74
2 Partick Thistle 8 Feb 16 – Apr 1 1 in 66
3 Queen of the South 7 Jan 5 – Mar 1 1 in 59
4 Dundee 8 Aug 4 – Sep 29 1 in 47
5 Hamilton Academical 11 Feb 23 – Apr 26 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Stirling Albion 11 Nov 3 – Jan 26 1 in 169
2 St. Johnstone 6 Oct 27 – Dec 15 1 in 57
3 Dundee 5 Jan 2 – Feb 9 1 in 23
4 Dunfermline Athletic 7 Oct 20 – Dec 15 1 in 21
5 Livingston 8 Feb 9 – Mar 22 1 in 21

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Hamilton Academical 1703 76 +21 11 9.2 +1.8
Dundee 1658 69 -3 7 8.5 -1.5
St. Johnstone 1638 58 -17 7 9.2 -2.2
Queen of the South 1565 52 -12 7 7.1 -0.1
Dunfermline Athletic 1561 51 +18 10 6.6 +3.4
Partick Thistle 1537 45 -51 3 8.4 -5.4
Livingston 1507 39 -7 6 5.8 +0.2
Greenock Morton 1507 37 +44 7 4.3 +2.7
Clyde 1495 37 +7 6 5.2 +0.8
Stirling Albion 1466 24 -11 4 4.7 -0.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team CLY DUN DA GM HA LIV PT QOTS SJ SA
Clyde —
1-1-2
4.33
1-1-2
5.31
1-1-2
5.83
0-1-3
4.13
2-1-1
5.45
0-1-3
5.55
0-2-2
5.69
2-1-1
4.10
2-1-1
5.41
Dundee
2-1-1
6.83
 —
2-2-0
6.72
4-0-0
7.13
1-1-2
4.84
3-1-0
6.59
2-1-1
6.48
1-0-3
6.92
2-2-0
5.11
3-1-0
6.61
Dunfermline Athletic
2-1-1
5.82
0-2-2
4.41
 —
2-0-2
5.98
0-1-3
4.48
1-2-1
6.08
2-2-0
5.27
3-1-0
5.53
0-3-1
4.27
3-0-1
5.35
Greenock Morton
2-1-1
5.30
0-0-4
4.03
2-0-2
5.15
 —
0-0-4
4.12
0-2-2
6.04
2-2-0
4.83
1-1-2
5.61
0-2-2
3.82
2-2-0
5.12
Hamilton Academical
3-1-0
7.06
2-1-1
6.28
3-1-0
6.65
4-0-0
7.06
 —
2-1-1
7.77
2-1-1
7.20
2-1-1
7.49
2-0-2
6.01
3-1-0
7.17
Livingston
1-1-2
5.68
0-1-3
4.56
1-2-1
5.05
2-2-0
5.07
1-1-2
3.41
 —
1-0-3
5.21
1-1-2
5.36
0-0-4
3.93
3-1-0
5.01
Partick Thistle
3-1-0
5.57
1-1-2
4.64
0-2-2
5.87
0-2-2
6.31
1-1-2
3.97
3-0-1
5.92
 —
2-1-1
5.79
0-2-2
4.30
1-2-1
5.48
Queen of the South
2-2-0
5.44
3-0-1
4.22
0-1-3
5.59
2-1-1
5.54
1-1-2
3.68
2-1-1
5.76
1-1-2
5.33
 —
1-1-2
4.01
2-2-0
5.44
St. Johnstone
1-1-2
7.07
0-2-2
6.02
1-3-0
6.90
2-2-0
7.35
2-0-2
5.11
4-0-0
7.22
2-2-0
6.84
2-1-1
7.14
 —
1-2-1
7.04
Stirling Albion
1-1-2
5.73
0-1-3
4.55
1-0-3
5.76
0-2-2
6.01
0-1-3
3.99
0-1-3
6.14
1-2-1
5.67
0-2-2
5.69
1-2-1
4.11
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.50 +11.3
Allowed 0.85 -9.8
Differential 0.97 +7.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%7.78%6.11%3.33%1.67%0.28%27.50%
17.78%14.44%7.50%3.33%1.39%0.56%35.00%
26.11%7.50%5.00%1.94%0.83%0.56%21.94%
33.33%3.33%1.94%1.11%0.28%—10.00%
41.67%1.39%0.83%0.28%——4.17%
5+0.28%0.56%0.56%———1.39%
Total27.50%35.00%21.94%10.00%4.17%1.39%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.33 +0.00
SD 1.20 1.20 1.76
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%8.33%—2.78%—22.22%
15.56%19.44%11.11%8.33%5.56%—50.00%
22.78%11.11%—5.56%2.78%—22.22%
32.78%—2.78%———5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.44%33.33%22.22%13.89%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.64 -0.53
SD 0.82 1.27 1.50
CV 0.74 0.77 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%2.78%———16.67%
111.11%19.44%2.78%———33.33%
213.89%13.89%2.78%2.78%——33.33%
35.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total33.33%52.78%11.11%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 0.83 +0.78
SD 1.25 0.74 1.46
CV 0.77 0.88 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%—8.33%2.78%2.78%33.33%
111.11%25.00%5.56%———41.67%
28.33%11.11%————19.44%
3——2.78%———2.78%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total30.56%47.22%8.33%8.33%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.14 -0.14
SD 0.96 1.20 1.78
CV 0.96 1.05 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%11.11%5.56%2.78%—36.11%
15.56%11.11%11.11%2.78%—2.78%33.33%
2—5.56%8.33%2.78%——16.67%
35.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total19.44%27.78%36.11%11.11%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.61 -0.50
SD 1.12 1.27 1.76
CV 1.00 0.79 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
116.67%8.33%5.56%—2.78%—33.33%
216.67%2.78%2.78%———22.22%
38.33%8.33%2.78%———19.44%
42.78%—2.78%———5.56%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total55.56%22.22%16.67%2.78%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 0.75 +0.97
SD 1.28 1.02 1.75
CV 0.74 1.37 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%13.89%2.78%2.78%—27.78%
15.56%13.89%5.56%5.56%2.78%—33.33%
22.78%2.78%5.56%2.78%—5.56%19.44%
3———2.78%——2.78%
45.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%——13.89%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total16.67%27.78%27.78%16.67%5.56%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.83 -0.31
SD 1.52 1.36 2.14
CV 1.00 0.74 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%13.89%8.33%8.33%——41.67%
15.56%19.44%2.78%———27.78%
22.78%8.33%2.78%—2.78%—16.67%
35.56%—————5.56%
45.56%2.78%————8.33%
5+———————
Total30.56%44.44%13.89%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.08 +0.03
SD 1.26 1.02 1.83
CV 1.13 0.95 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%8.33%—2.78%—33.33%
111.11%5.56%8.33%2.78%——27.78%
22.78%5.56%8.33%———16.67%
32.78%11.11%2.78%2.78%——19.44%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total27.78%36.11%27.78%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.19 +0.11
SD 1.21 1.01 1.55
CV 0.93 0.84 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%2.78%———19.44%
12.78%11.11%5.56%5.56%——25.00%
211.11%13.89%11.11%2.78%——38.89%
3—2.78%2.78%2.78%——8.33%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+——5.56%———5.56%
Total25.00%36.11%27.78%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.25 +0.42
SD 1.29 0.97 1.36
CV 0.77 0.77 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%2.78%5.56%2.78%—27.78%
12.78%11.11%16.67%8.33%2.78%2.78%44.44%
2——8.33%2.78%2.78%—13.89%
32.78%5.56%—2.78%2.78%—13.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%22.22%27.78%19.44%11.11%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.97 -0.83
SD 0.99 1.42 1.61
CV 0.87 0.72 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Hamilton Academical 1703 76 62.76 +13.24 95.0% 43 48 57 62 69 76 79
Dundee 1658 69 57.12 +11.88 95.0% 40 45 50 56 64 69 75
St. Johnstone 1638 58 60.11 -2.11 42.0% 40 46 54 61 65 73 83
Queen of the South 1565 52 44.54 +7.46 91.0% 28 34 40 45 49 54 60
Dunfermline Athletic 1561 51 47.23 +3.77 67.0% 28 34 41 47 53 60 62
Partick Thistle 1537 45 47.55 -2.55 46.0% 26 35 43 47 52 60 66
Greenock Morton 1507 37 45.09 -8.09 19.0% 30 33 39 45 51 58 63
Livingston 1507 39 43.69 -4.69 28.0% 28 32 39 43 48 55 65
Clyde 1495 37 45.53 -8.53 14.0% 30 33 41 45 50 57 68
Stirling Albion 1466 24 47.66 -23.66 0.0% 30 34 42 48 52 59 70

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+17.78%
Slight Edge
44.44%28.89%26.67%
Elo Value
Home Edge
223 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
062.43600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.31 goals
Neutral
-2+0.28+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.6
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
36%
Hamilton Academical, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.19/gm
Comfortable
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.14 * Some Luck: 6.14 to 9.2 * Lucky: 9.2 to 12.27 * Wild Swing: 12.27 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.58 * Close: 1.58 to 2.37 * Off: 2.37 to 3.16 * Way Off: 3.16 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.77 * A Surprise: 0.77 to 1.23 * Several Surprises: 1.23 to 1.69 * Many Surprises: 1.69 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
10.49 points
Lucky
07.6719
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.00
Close
01.984
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
95.00%
Hamilton Academical
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
0.00%
Stirling Albion
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 1
A Surprise
00.81

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Top-Heavy
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 78.33
2.05
Strong Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
66%
Slight Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
80%
Even
50%82%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Occasional
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.29
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.91
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
-0.30
Weak Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Upset-Prone
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Shaky
0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.55
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.01
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.045
Well Within Noise
00.1160.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Hamilton Academical36.00%34.00%13.00%6.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%—
Dundee18.00%22.00%24.00%9.00%8.00%12.00%3.00%4.00%——
St. Johnstone34.00%25.00%20.00%6.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%5.00%——
Queen of the South——4.00%10.00%11.00%14.00%16.00%11.00%19.00%15.00%
Dunfermline Athletic3.00%2.00%11.00%13.00%18.00%9.00%4.00%12.00%16.00%12.00%
Partick Thistle2.00%8.00%6.00%14.00%9.00%16.00%16.00%11.00%11.00%7.00%
Livingston2.00%—4.00%9.00%8.00%11.00%14.00%17.00%18.00%17.00%
Greenock Morton1.00%1.00%4.00%14.00%13.00%8.00%11.00%14.00%11.00%23.00%
Clyde3.00%3.00%5.00%7.00%10.00%11.00%14.00%17.00%14.00%16.00%
Stirling Albion1.00%5.00%9.00%12.00%14.00%13.00%19.00%7.00%10.00%10.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Hamilton Academical 36.00% 63.00% 1.00% —
St. Johnstone 34.00% 66.00% — —
Dundee 18.00% 82.00% — —
Partick Thistle 2.00% 80.00% 11.00% 7.00%
Dunfermline Athletic 3.00% 69.00% 16.00% 12.00%
Stirling Albion 1.00% 79.00% 10.00% 10.00%
Clyde 3.00% 67.00% 14.00% 16.00%
Livingston 2.00% 63.00% 18.00% 17.00%
Queen of the South — 66.00% 19.00% 15.00%
Greenock Morton 1.00% 65.00% 11.00% 23.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2007-08-04 Clyde W 3-263.6 1577 1579 48.87% 21.94% 29.19%+0.27 +5.0 3
2007-08-04 @ Greenock Morton L 2-363.6 1579 1577 29.19% 21.94% 48.87%-0.27 -5.0 0
2007-08-04 Dundee L 0-251.7 1524 1546 46.25% 22.12% 31.63%+0.18 -15.4 0
2007-08-04 @ Livingston W 2-051.7 1546 1524 31.63% 22.12% 46.25%-0.18 +15.4 3
2007-08-04 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-158.9 1568 1583 47.15% 22.06% 30.79%+0.21 +5.5 3
2007-08-04 @ Hamilton Academical L 1-258.9 1583 1568 30.79% 22.06% 47.15%-0.21 -5.5 0
2007-08-04 Partick Thistle D 1-169.1 1620 1516 61.38% 20.10% 18.52%+0.75 -1.7 1
2007-08-04 @ Stirling Albion D 1-169.1 1516 1620 18.52% 20.10% 61.38%-0.75 +1.7 1
2007-08-04 St. Johnstone D 3-377.8 1512 1611 35.46% 22.28% 42.26%-0.16 +0.2 1
2007-08-04 @ Queen of the South D 3-377.8 1611 1512 42.26% 22.28% 35.46%+0.16 -0.2 1
2007-08-11 Greenock Morton L 0-158.6 1577 1582 48.45% 21.97% 29.58%+0.26 -8.5 0
2007-08-11 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-058.6 1582 1577 29.58% 21.97% 48.45%-0.26 +8.5 6
2007-08-11 Hamilton Academical L 0-255.0 1574 1574 49.06% 21.92% 29.02%+0.28 -16.2 0
2007-08-11 @ Clyde W 2-055.0 1574 1574 29.02% 21.92% 49.06%-0.28 +16.2 6
2007-08-11 Livingston W 3-042.7 1517 1509 50.18% 21.82% 28.00%+0.32 +14.9 4
2007-08-11 @ Partick Thistle L 0-342.7 1509 1517 28.00% 21.82% 50.18%-0.32 -14.9 0
2007-08-11 Queen of the South W 2-154.0 1561 1513 55.11% 21.24% 23.65%+0.50 +4.4 6
2007-08-11 @ Dundee L 1-254.0 1513 1561 23.65% 21.24% 55.11%-0.50 -4.4 1
2007-08-11 Stirling Albion D 2-276.7 1610 1618 48.03% 22.00% 29.97%+0.24 -0.5 2
2007-08-11 @ St. Johnstone D 2-276.7 1618 1610 29.97% 22.00% 48.03%-0.24 +0.5 2
2007-08-18 Clyde W 4-046.2 1532 1558 45.70% 22.15% 32.15%+0.17 +21.8 7
2007-08-18 @ Partick Thistle L 0-446.2 1558 1532 32.15% 22.15% 45.70%-0.17 -21.8 0
2007-08-18 Dundee D 1-169.9 1610 1565 54.67% 21.30% 24.03%+0.48 -1.2 3
2007-08-18 @ St. Johnstone D 1-169.9 1565 1610 24.03% 21.30% 54.67%-0.48 +1.2 7
2007-08-18 Greenock Morton D 0-065.8 1619 1591 52.68% 21.56% 25.76%+0.41 -1.2 3
2007-08-18 @ Stirling Albion D 0-065.8 1591 1619 25.76% 21.56% 52.68%-0.41 +1.2 7
2007-08-18 Queen of the South W 1-048.0 1590 1508 58.94% 20.60% 20.46%+0.65 +4.1 9
2007-08-18 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-148.0 1508 1590 20.46% 20.60% 58.94%-0.65 -4.1 1
2007-08-19 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-166.1 1494 1569 38.74% 22.32% 38.93%-0.06 +0.0 1
2007-08-19 @ Livingston D 1-166.1 1569 1494 38.93% 22.32% 38.74%+0.06 +0.0 1
2007-08-25 Hamilton Academical L 0-255.9 1592 1594 48.78% 21.94% 29.28%+0.27 -16.1 7
2007-08-25 @ Greenock Morton W 2-055.9 1594 1592 29.28% 21.94% 48.78%-0.27 +16.1 12
2007-08-25 Livingston W 1-047.0 1504 1494 50.38% 21.80% 27.82%+0.32 +5.4 4
2007-08-25 @ Queen of the South L 0-147.0 1494 1504 27.82% 21.80% 50.38%-0.32 -5.4 1
2007-08-25 Partick Thistle W 3-045.8 1567 1554 50.69% 21.77% 27.53%+0.34 +14.7 10
2007-08-25 @ Dundee L 0-345.8 1554 1567 27.53% 21.77% 50.69%-0.34 -14.7 7
2007-08-25 St. Johnstone W 1-055.4 1536 1609 39.01% 22.32% 38.66%-0.05 +7.1 3
2007-08-25 @ Clyde L 0-155.4 1609 1536 38.66% 22.32% 39.01%+0.05 -7.1 3
2007-08-25 Stirling Albion W 2-161.2 1569 1618 42.44% 22.28% 35.29%+0.06 +6.2 4
2007-08-25 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-261.2 1618 1569 35.29% 22.28% 42.44%-0.06 -6.2 3
2007-09-01 Dundee L 1-262.1 1543 1581 43.91% 22.23% 33.86%+0.11 -7.4 3
2007-09-01 @ Clyde W 2-162.1 1581 1543 33.86% 22.23% 43.91%-0.11 +7.4 13
2007-09-01 Hamilton Academical L 0-350.3 1539 1610 39.33% 22.32% 38.35%-0.04 -19.6 7
2007-09-01 @ Partick Thistle W 3-050.3 1610 1539 38.35% 22.32% 39.33%+0.04 +19.6 15
2007-09-01 Livingston D 3-377.9 1612 1489 63.27% 19.66% 17.08%+0.83 -1.2 4
2007-09-01 @ Stirling Albion D 3-377.9 1489 1612 17.08% 19.66% 63.27%-0.83 +1.2 2
2007-09-01 Queen of the South L 0-158.7 1576 1509 57.20% 20.91% 21.89%+0.58 -9.8 7
2007-09-01 @ Greenock Morton W 1-058.7 1509 1576 21.89% 20.91% 57.20%-0.58 +9.8 7
2007-09-02 St. Johnstone D 0-064.9 1575 1602 45.52% 22.16% 32.32%+0.16 -0.6 5
2007-09-02 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 0-064.9 1602 1575 32.32% 22.16% 45.52%-0.16 +0.5 4
2007-09-15 Clyde D 1-165.9 1519 1535 46.93% 22.08% 30.99%+0.21 -0.6 8
2007-09-15 @ Queen of the South D 1-165.9 1535 1519 30.99% 22.08% 46.93%-0.21 +0.6 4
2007-09-15 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-169.4 1589 1574 50.89% 21.75% 27.36%+0.34 -0.9 14
2007-09-15 @ Dundee D 1-169.4 1574 1589 27.36% 21.75% 50.89%-0.34 +0.9 6
2007-09-15 Greenock Morton W 4-047.1 1490 1566 38.56% 22.32% 39.12%-0.06 +25.5 5
2007-09-15 @ Livingston L 0-447.1 1566 1490 39.12% 22.32% 38.56%+0.06 -25.5 7
2007-09-15 Partick Thistle W 2-154.5 1602 1520 59.01% 20.59% 20.40%+0.65 +3.9 7
2007-09-15 @ St. Johnstone L 1-254.5 1520 1602 20.40% 20.59% 59.01%-0.65 -3.8 7
2007-09-15 Stirling Albion W 4-048.3 1630 1610 51.56% 21.68% 26.75%+0.37 +18.7 18
2007-09-15 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-448.3 1610 1630 26.75% 21.68% 51.56%-0.37 -18.7 4
2007-09-22 Dundee D 2-275.7 1592 1588 49.62% 21.87% 28.51%+0.30 -0.6 5
2007-09-22 @ Stirling Albion D 2-275.7 1588 1592 28.51% 21.87% 49.62%-0.30 +0.6 15
2007-09-22 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-158.7 1536 1575 43.77% 22.23% 33.99%+0.10 +6.0 7
2007-09-22 @ Clyde L 1-258.7 1575 1536 33.99% 22.23% 43.77%-0.10 -6.0 6
2007-09-22 Livingston D 1-170.1 1648 1515 64.28% 19.40% 16.32%+0.88 -2.0 19
2007-09-22 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-170.1 1515 1648 16.32% 19.40% 64.28%-0.88 +2.0 6
2007-09-22 Queen of the South W 2-045.3 1516 1519 48.73% 21.95% 29.33%+0.27 +10.6 10
2007-09-22 @ Partick Thistle L 0-245.3 1519 1516 29.33% 21.95% 48.73%-0.27 -10.6 8
2007-09-22 St. Johnstone D 2-274.7 1540 1606 40.07% 22.32% 37.62%-0.01 -0.1 8
2007-09-22 @ Greenock Morton D 2-274.7 1606 1540 37.62% 22.32% 40.07%+0.01 +0.1 8
2007-09-29 Clyde W 4-256.8 1517 1542 45.77% 22.14% 32.09%+0.17 +8.9 9
2007-09-29 @ Livingston L 2-456.8 1542 1517 32.09% 22.14% 45.77%-0.17 -8.9 7
2007-09-29 Greenock Morton W 2-155.9 1588 1540 55.05% 21.25% 23.70%+0.49 +4.4 18
2007-09-29 @ Dundee L 1-255.9 1540 1588 23.70% 21.25% 55.05%-0.49 -4.4 8
2007-09-29 Hamilton Academical W 4-156.2 1606 1647 43.64% 22.24% 34.12%+0.10 +14.8 11
2007-09-29 @ St. Johnstone L 1-456.2 1647 1606 34.12% 22.24% 43.64%-0.10 -14.8 19
2007-09-29 Partick Thistle W 1-049.3 1569 1527 54.45% 21.33% 24.22%+0.47 +4.8 9
2007-09-29 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-149.3 1527 1569 24.22% 21.33% 54.45%-0.47 -4.8 10
2007-09-29 Stirling Albion D 2-273.2 1508 1591 37.56% 22.32% 40.12%-0.09 +0.1 9
2007-09-29 @ Queen of the South D 2-273.2 1591 1508 40.12% 22.32% 37.56%+0.09 -0.1 6
2007-10-06 Clyde L 0-256.2 1591 1533 56.23% 21.07% 22.70%+0.54 -18.2 6
2007-10-06 @ Stirling Albion W 2-056.2 1533 1591 22.70% 21.07% 56.23%-0.54 +18.2 10
2007-10-06 Dundee W 2-049.3 1632 1593 54.00% 21.39% 24.61%+0.45 +9.2 22
2007-10-06 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-249.3 1593 1632 24.61% 21.39% 54.00%-0.45 -9.2 18
2007-10-06 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-153.8 1508 1574 40.00% 22.32% 37.68%-0.02 -7.2 9
2007-10-06 @ Queen of the South W 1-053.8 1574 1508 37.68% 22.32% 40.00%+0.02 +7.2 12
2007-10-06 Partick Thistle W 4-255.2 1536 1522 50.91% 21.75% 27.34%+0.34 +7.8 11
2007-10-06 @ Greenock Morton L 2-455.2 1522 1536 27.34% 21.75% 50.91%-0.34 -7.8 10
2007-10-06 St. Johnstone L 0-251.1 1526 1621 35.93% 22.29% 41.78%-0.15 -12.6 9
2007-10-06 @ Livingston W 2-051.1 1621 1526 41.78% 22.29% 35.93%+0.15 +12.6 14
2007-10-20 Greenock Morton L 0-157.2 1551 1544 50.07% 21.83% 28.09%+0.31 -8.7 10
2007-10-20 @ Clyde W 1-057.2 1544 1551 28.09% 21.83% 50.07%-0.31 +8.7 14
2007-10-20 Hamilton Academical L 0-553.2 1581 1641 40.95% 22.31% 36.74%+0.01 -32.6 12
2007-10-20 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 5-053.2 1641 1581 36.74% 22.31% 40.95%-0.01 +32.6 25
2007-10-20 Livingston W 4-148.1 1584 1514 57.61% 20.84% 21.54%+0.59 +9.9 21
2007-10-20 @ Dundee L 1-448.1 1514 1584 21.54% 20.84% 57.61%-0.59 -9.9 9
2007-10-20 Queen of the South W 2-044.0 1634 1501 64.23% 19.41% 16.36%+0.87 +6.2 17
2007-10-20 @ St. Johnstone L 0-244.0 1501 1634 16.36% 19.41% 64.23%-0.87 -6.2 9
2007-10-20 Stirling Albion D 1-166.9 1514 1573 41.04% 22.31% 36.66%+0.02 -0.2 11
2007-10-20 @ Partick Thistle D 1-166.9 1573 1514 36.66% 22.31% 41.04%-0.02 +0.2 7
2007-10-27 Clyde D 1-170.3 1640 1543 60.59% 20.27% 19.14%+0.71 -1.7 18
2007-10-27 @ St. Johnstone D 1-170.3 1543 1640 19.14% 20.27% 60.59%-0.71 +1.7 11
2007-10-27 Dundee D 1-167.6 1514 1593 38.07% 22.32% 39.61%-0.08 +0.1 12
2007-10-27 @ Partick Thistle D 1-167.6 1593 1514 39.61% 22.32% 38.07%+0.08 -0.0 22
2007-10-27 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-045.4 1573 1549 52.17% 21.62% 26.22%+0.39 +14.0 10
2007-10-27 @ Stirling Albion L 0-345.4 1549 1573 26.22% 21.62% 52.17%-0.39 -14.0 12
2007-10-27 Greenock Morton W 1-050.1 1673 1552 63.07% 19.71% 17.23%+0.82 +3.5 28
2007-10-27 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-150.1 1552 1673 17.23% 19.71% 63.07%-0.82 -3.5 14
2007-10-27 Queen of the South D 2-269.8 1504 1495 50.25% 21.82% 27.94%+0.32 -0.6 10
2007-10-27 @ Livingston D 2-269.8 1495 1504 27.94% 21.82% 50.25%-0.32 +0.6 10
2007-11-03 Hamilton Academical W 2-166.0 1495 1677 25.23% 21.48% 53.29%-0.53 +8.7 13
2007-11-03 @ Queen of the South L 1-266.0 1677 1495 53.29% 21.48% 25.23%+0.53 -8.7 28
2007-11-03 Livingston L 0-450.4 1535 1503 53.12% 21.51% 25.38%+0.42 -32.9 12
2007-11-03 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 4-050.4 1503 1535 25.38% 21.51% 53.12%-0.42 +32.9 13
2007-11-03 Partick Thistle L 1-262.4 1544 1514 52.94% 21.53% 25.53%+0.42 -8.6 11
2007-11-03 @ Clyde W 2-162.4 1514 1544 25.53% 21.53% 52.94%-0.42 +8.6 15
2007-11-03 St. Johnstone W 2-162.0 1593 1638 43.03% 22.26% 34.71%+0.08 +6.1 25
2007-11-03 @ Dundee L 1-262.0 1638 1593 34.71% 22.26% 43.03%-0.08 -6.1 18
2007-11-03 Stirling Albion D 1-168.5 1549 1587 43.95% 22.23% 33.83%+0.11 -0.4 15
2007-11-03 @ Greenock Morton D 1-168.5 1587 1549 33.83% 22.23% 43.95%-0.11 +0.4 11
2007-11-10 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-064.5 1632 1502 63.96% 19.48% 16.56%+0.86 -2.2 19
2007-11-10 @ St. Johnstone D 0-064.5 1502 1632 16.56% 19.48% 63.96%-0.86 +2.2 13
2007-11-10 Greenock Morton L 1-356.1 1504 1549 43.03% 22.26% 34.71%+0.08 -12.6 13
2007-11-10 @ Queen of the South W 3-156.1 1549 1504 34.71% 22.26% 43.03%-0.08 +12.6 18
2007-11-10 Partick Thistle W 2-045.1 1668 1523 65.48% 19.07% 15.45%+0.93 +5.9 31
2007-11-10 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-245.1 1523 1668 15.45% 19.07% 65.48%-0.93 -5.9 15
2007-11-10 Stirling Albion W 4-367.3 1536 1587 42.05% 22.29% 35.66%+0.05 +5.8 16
2007-11-10 @ Livingston L 3-467.3 1587 1536 35.66% 22.29% 42.05%-0.05 -5.8 11
2007-11-11 Clyde L 0-160.2 1600 1536 56.91% 20.96% 22.13%+0.57 -9.8 25
2007-11-11 @ Dundee W 1-060.2 1536 1600 22.13% 20.96% 56.91%-0.57 +9.8 14
2007-11-14 Partick Thistle L 0-451.0 1542 1517 52.26% 21.61% 26.13%+0.39 -32.4 16
2007-11-14 @ Livingston W 4-051.0 1517 1542 26.13% 21.61% 52.26%-0.39 +32.4 18
2007-11-24 Hamilton Academical W 1-058.5 1590 1674 37.39% 22.32% 40.29%-0.10 +7.3 28
2007-11-24 @ Dundee L 0-158.5 1674 1590 40.29% 22.32% 37.39%+0.10 -7.3 31
2007-12-01 Dundee L 0-153.3 1504 1597 36.20% 22.30% 41.50%-0.14 -6.7 13
2007-12-01 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-053.3 1597 1504 41.50% 22.30% 36.20%+0.14 +6.7 31
2007-12-01 Hamilton Academical L 2-463.6 1582 1667 37.28% 22.32% 40.40%-0.10 -10.0 11
2007-12-01 @ Stirling Albion W 4-263.6 1667 1582 40.40% 22.32% 37.28%+0.10 +10.0 34
2007-12-01 Livingston D 2-272.6 1561 1509 55.53% 21.18% 23.29%+0.51 -1.0 19
2007-12-01 @ Greenock Morton D 2-272.6 1509 1561 23.29% 21.18% 55.53%-0.51 +1.0 17
2007-12-01 Queen of the South D 0-060.8 1545 1491 55.79% 21.14% 23.08%+0.52 -1.4 15
2007-12-01 @ Clyde D 0-060.8 1491 1545 23.08% 21.14% 55.79%-0.52 +1.4 14
2007-12-01 St. Johnstone D 2-275.5 1549 1630 37.91% 22.32% 39.77%-0.08 +0.0 19
2007-12-01 @ Partick Thistle D 2-275.5 1630 1549 39.77% 22.32% 37.91%+0.08 -0.0 20
2007-12-08 Clyde D 1-165.3 1497 1544 42.77% 22.27% 34.96%+0.07 -0.3 14
2007-12-08 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-165.3 1544 1497 34.96% 22.27% 42.77%-0.07 +0.3 16
2007-12-08 Greenock Morton D 2-276.2 1630 1560 57.57% 20.85% 21.58%+0.59 -1.1 21
2007-12-08 @ St. Johnstone D 2-276.2 1560 1630 21.58% 20.85% 57.57%-0.59 +1.1 20
2007-12-08 Hamilton Academical W 2-056.6 1510 1677 26.88% 21.70% 51.42%-0.47 +16.8 20
2007-12-08 @ Livingston L 0-256.6 1677 1510 51.42% 21.70% 26.88%+0.47 -16.8 34
2007-12-08 Partick Thistle L 1-258.6 1493 1549 41.40% 22.30% 36.30%+0.03 -7.0 14
2007-12-08 @ Queen of the South W 2-158.6 1549 1493 36.30% 22.30% 41.40%-0.03 +7.0 22
2007-12-08 Stirling Albion W 3-154.4 1604 1572 53.14% 21.50% 25.36%+0.42 +8.1 34
2007-12-08 @ Dundee L 1-354.4 1572 1604 25.36% 21.50% 53.14%-0.42 -8.1 11
2007-12-15 Dundee L 0-253.7 1561 1612 42.20% 22.28% 35.51%+0.05 -14.3 20
2007-12-15 @ Greenock Morton W 2-053.7 1612 1561 35.51% 22.28% 42.20%-0.05 +14.3 37
2007-12-15 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-166.1 1556 1497 56.36% 21.05% 22.59%+0.54 -1.3 23
2007-12-15 @ Partick Thistle D 1-166.1 1497 1556 22.59% 21.05% 56.36%-0.54 +1.3 15
2007-12-15 Livingston W 2-155.1 1544 1527 51.31% 21.71% 26.98%+0.36 +5.0 19
2007-12-15 @ Clyde L 1-255.1 1527 1544 26.98% 21.71% 51.31%-0.36 -5.0 20
2007-12-15 Queen of the South L 1-360.1 1564 1486 58.49% 20.69% 20.83%+0.63 -16.3 11
2007-12-15 @ Stirling Albion W 3-160.1 1486 1564 20.83% 20.69% 58.49%-0.63 +16.3 17
2007-12-15 St. Johnstone W 1-054.2 1660 1629 53.05% 21.51% 25.43%+0.42 +5.0 37
2007-12-15 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-154.2 1629 1660 25.43% 21.51% 53.05%-0.42 -5.0 21
2007-12-22 Greenock Morton D 1-167.6 1555 1547 50.09% 21.83% 28.08%+0.31 -0.8 24
2007-12-22 @ Partick Thistle D 1-167.6 1547 1555 28.08% 21.83% 50.09%-0.31 +0.8 21
2007-12-22 Livingston W 5-251.1 1624 1522 61.07% 20.17% 18.76%+0.74 +7.5 24
2007-12-22 @ St. Johnstone L 2-551.1 1522 1624 18.76% 20.17% 61.07%-0.74 -7.5 20
2007-12-22 Queen of the South W 2-044.1 1498 1502 48.61% 21.96% 29.44%+0.26 +10.7 18
2007-12-22 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-244.1 1502 1498 29.44% 21.96% 48.61%-0.26 -10.7 17
2007-12-26 Clyde D 0-066.5 1665 1549 62.53% 19.83% 17.63%+0.80 -2.0 38
2007-12-26 @ Hamilton Academical D 0-066.5 1549 1665 17.63% 19.83% 62.53%-0.80 +2.0 20
2007-12-26 Dundee W 2-162.8 1491 1626 30.68% 22.05% 47.26%-0.32 +7.8 20
2007-12-26 @ Queen of the South L 1-262.8 1626 1491 47.26% 22.05% 30.68%+0.32 -7.8 37
2007-12-26 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-156.9 1548 1509 53.95% 21.40% 24.65%+0.45 -9.3 21
2007-12-26 @ Greenock Morton W 1-056.9 1509 1548 24.65% 21.40% 53.95%-0.45 +9.3 21
2007-12-26 St. Johnstone D 0-064.9 1547 1631 37.44% 22.32% 40.24%-0.10 +0.1 12
2007-12-26 @ Stirling Albion D 0-064.9 1631 1547 40.24% 22.32% 37.44%+0.10 -0.1 25
2007-12-29 Hamilton Academical L 1-357.2 1539 1663 31.98% 22.14% 45.88%-0.28 -9.9 21
2007-12-29 @ Greenock Morton W 3-157.2 1663 1539 45.88% 22.14% 31.98%+0.28 +9.9 41
2007-12-29 Livingston W 1-048.6 1499 1514 47.07% 22.07% 30.86%+0.21 +5.9 23
2007-12-29 @ Queen of the South L 0-148.6 1514 1499 30.86% 22.07% 47.07%-0.21 -5.9 20
2007-12-29 Partick Thistle W 1-050.8 1618 1554 56.97% 20.95% 22.08%+0.57 +4.4 40
2007-12-29 @ Dundee L 0-150.8 1554 1618 22.08% 20.95% 56.97%-0.57 -4.4 24
2007-12-29 St. Johnstone L 1-358.6 1551 1631 38.04% 22.32% 39.64%-0.08 -11.4 20
2007-12-29 @ Clyde W 3-158.6 1631 1551 39.64% 22.32% 38.04%+0.08 +11.4 28
2007-12-29 Stirling Albion W 2-156.7 1518 1547 45.22% 22.17% 32.61%+0.15 +5.8 24
2007-12-29 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-256.7 1547 1518 32.61% 22.17% 45.22%-0.15 -5.8 12
2008-01-02 Clyde D 1-167.2 1550 1540 50.33% 21.81% 27.87%+0.32 -0.9 25
2008-01-02 @ Partick Thistle D 1-167.2 1540 1550 27.87% 21.81% 50.33%-0.32 +0.9 21
2008-01-02 Dundee D 1-171.6 1643 1623 51.62% 21.68% 26.70%+0.37 -1.0 29
2008-01-02 @ St. Johnstone D 1-171.6 1623 1643 26.70% 21.68% 51.62%-0.37 +1.0 41
2008-01-02 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-250.6 1509 1524 47.00% 22.07% 30.92%+0.21 -15.6 20
2008-01-02 @ Livingston W 2-050.6 1524 1509 30.92% 22.07% 47.00%-0.21 +15.6 27
2008-01-02 Greenock Morton L 1-262.2 1542 1529 50.74% 21.77% 27.49%+0.34 -8.3 12
2008-01-02 @ Stirling Albion W 2-162.2 1529 1542 27.49% 21.77% 50.74%-0.34 +8.3 24
2008-01-02 Queen of the South W 1-047.7 1673 1505 67.53% 18.47% 14.00%+1.03 +2.8 44
2008-01-02 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-147.7 1505 1673 14.00% 18.47% 67.53%-1.03 -2.8 23
2008-01-05 Clyde W 3-153.0 1502 1541 43.90% 22.23% 33.87%+0.11 +10.4 26
2008-01-05 @ Queen of the South L 1-353.0 1541 1502 33.87% 22.23% 43.90%-0.11 -10.4 21
2008-01-05 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-065.0 1624 1540 59.15% 20.56% 20.29%+0.66 -1.7 42
2008-01-05 @ Dundee D 0-065.0 1540 1624 20.29% 20.56% 59.15%-0.66 +1.7 28
2008-01-05 Greenock Morton W 6-148.1 1493 1537 43.13% 22.26% 34.61%+0.08 +23.6 23
2008-01-05 @ Livingston L 1-648.1 1537 1493 34.61% 22.26% 43.13%-0.08 -23.6 24
2008-01-05 Partick Thistle W 2-046.7 1642 1549 60.14% 20.36% 19.50%+0.70 +7.4 32
2008-01-05 @ St. Johnstone L 0-246.7 1549 1642 19.50% 20.36% 60.14%-0.70 -7.4 25
2008-01-05 Stirling Albion D 0-066.5 1676 1533 65.18% 19.16% 15.67%+0.92 -2.3 45
2008-01-05 @ Hamilton Academical D 0-066.5 1533 1676 15.67% 19.16% 65.18%-0.92 +2.3 13
2008-01-19 Dundee D 1-169.0 1530 1622 36.39% 22.30% 41.31%-0.13 +0.2 22
2008-01-19 @ Clyde D 1-169.0 1622 1530 41.31% 22.30% 36.39%+0.13 -0.2 43
2008-01-19 Hamilton Academical W 3-054.1 1541 1673 31.00% 22.08% 46.92%-0.31 +22.6 28
2008-01-19 @ Partick Thistle L 0-354.1 1673 1541 46.92% 22.08% 31.00%+0.31 -22.6 45
2008-01-19 Livingston L 1-455.8 1535 1517 51.50% 21.69% 26.81%+0.36 -20.6 13
2008-01-19 @ Stirling Albion W 4-155.8 1517 1535 26.81% 21.69% 51.50%-0.36 +20.7 26
2008-01-19 Queen of the South L 0-349.1 1513 1513 49.16% 21.91% 28.93%+0.28 -23.5 24
2008-01-19 @ Greenock Morton W 3-049.1 1513 1513 28.93% 21.91% 49.16%-0.28 +23.5 29
2008-01-19 St. Johnstone L 0-155.2 1542 1649 34.23% 22.24% 43.53%-0.20 -6.4 28
2008-01-19 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-055.2 1649 1542 43.53% 22.24% 34.23%+0.20 +6.4 35
2008-01-26 Greenock Morton W 2-043.2 1535 1490 54.75% 21.29% 23.96%+0.48 +8.9 31
2008-01-26 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-243.2 1490 1535 23.96% 21.29% 54.75%-0.48 -8.9 24
2008-01-26 Hamilton Academical L 2-365.3 1531 1651 32.52% 22.17% 45.31%-0.26 -5.5 22
2008-01-26 @ Clyde W 3-265.3 1651 1531 45.31% 22.17% 32.52%+0.26 +5.5 48
2008-01-26 Queen of the South L 2-372.3 1622 1536 59.34% 20.52% 20.14%+0.66 -9.1 43
2008-01-26 @ Dundee W 3-272.3 1536 1622 20.14% 20.52% 59.34%-0.66 +9.1 32
2008-01-26 Stirling Albion W 2-154.0 1655 1515 64.99% 19.21% 15.81%+0.91 +3.0 38
2008-01-26 @ St. Johnstone L 1-254.0 1515 1655 15.81% 19.21% 64.99%-0.91 -3.0 13
2008-02-02 Stirling Albion L 1-357.7 1525 1512 50.79% 21.76% 27.44%+0.34 -14.4 22
2008-02-02 @ Clyde W 3-157.7 1512 1525 27.44% 21.76% 50.79%-0.34 +14.4 16
2008-02-09 Clyde L 1-257.8 1481 1511 45.10% 22.18% 32.73%+0.15 -7.5 24
2008-02-09 @ Greenock Morton W 2-157.8 1511 1481 32.73% 22.18% 45.10%-0.15 +7.5 25
2008-02-09 Dundee D 1-168.9 1537 1613 38.67% 22.32% 39.01%-0.06 +0.0 27
2008-02-09 @ Livingston D 1-168.9 1613 1537 39.01% 22.32% 38.67%+0.06 -0.0 44
2008-02-09 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-044.5 1656 1544 62.17% 19.92% 17.91%+0.78 +9.9 51
2008-02-09 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-344.5 1544 1656 17.91% 19.92% 62.17%-0.78 -9.9 31
2008-02-09 Partick Thistle W 1-052.2 1526 1564 44.01% 22.23% 33.77%+0.11 +6.3 19
2008-02-09 @ Stirling Albion L 0-152.2 1564 1526 33.77% 22.23% 44.01%-0.11 -6.3 28
2008-02-09 St. Johnstone W 3-160.9 1545 1658 33.47% 22.21% 44.32%-0.23 +12.9 35
2008-02-09 @ Queen of the South L 1-360.9 1658 1545 44.32% 22.21% 33.47%+0.23 -12.9 38
2008-02-16 Greenock Morton W 2-042.3 1613 1473 64.87% 19.24% 15.89%+0.90 +6.0 47
2008-02-16 @ Dundee L 0-242.3 1473 1613 15.89% 19.24% 64.87%-0.90 -6.0 24
2008-02-16 Hamilton Academical W 2-162.2 1645 1666 46.33% 22.11% 31.56%+0.19 +5.7 41
2008-02-16 @ St. Johnstone L 1-262.2 1666 1645 31.56% 22.11% 46.33%-0.19 -5.7 51
2008-02-16 Partick Thistle D 1-167.2 1534 1558 45.98% 22.13% 31.89%+0.18 -0.5 32
2008-02-16 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-167.2 1558 1534 31.89% 22.13% 45.98%-0.18 +0.5 29
2008-02-16 Stirling Albion W 3-152.1 1558 1533 52.34% 21.60% 26.06%+0.39 +8.3 38
2008-02-16 @ Queen of the South L 1-352.1 1533 1558 26.06% 21.60% 52.34%-0.39 -8.3 19
2008-02-23 Dundee L 1-652.3 1524 1619 35.98% 22.29% 41.73%-0.14 -24.4 19
2008-02-23 @ Stirling Albion W 6-152.3 1619 1524 41.73% 22.29% 35.98%+0.14 +24.4 50
2008-02-23 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-260.5 1518 1534 47.03% 22.07% 30.90%+0.21 -7.8 25
2008-02-23 @ Clyde W 2-160.5 1534 1518 30.90% 22.07% 47.03%-0.21 +7.8 35
2008-02-23 Livingston W 3-151.9 1661 1537 63.30% 19.65% 17.06%+0.83 +5.6 54
2008-02-23 @ Hamilton Academical L 1-351.9 1537 1661 17.06% 19.65% 63.30%-0.83 -5.6 27
2008-02-23 Queen of the South D 0-063.5 1558 1566 47.98% 22.00% 30.02%+0.24 -0.8 30
2008-02-23 @ Partick Thistle D 0-063.5 1566 1558 30.02% 22.00% 47.98%-0.24 +0.8 39
2008-02-23 St. Johnstone L 1-256.0 1467 1651 25.00% 21.45% 53.55%-0.54 -4.6 24
2008-02-23 @ Greenock Morton W 2-156.0 1651 1467 53.55% 21.45% 25.00%+0.54 +4.6 44
2008-03-01 Hamilton Academical D 2-276.7 1567 1666 35.37% 22.28% 42.35%-0.16 +0.2 40
2008-03-01 @ Queen of the South D 2-276.7 1666 1567 42.35% 22.28% 35.37%+0.16 -0.2 55
2008-03-01 Livingston D 1-166.6 1541 1532 50.36% 21.81% 27.84%+0.32 -0.9 36
2008-03-01 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-166.6 1532 1541 27.84% 21.81% 50.36%-0.32 +0.9 28
2008-03-01 Partick Thistle L 1-453.9 1510 1557 42.72% 22.27% 35.01%+0.07 -17.6 25
2008-03-01 @ Clyde W 4-153.9 1557 1510 35.01% 22.27% 42.72%-0.07 +17.7 33
2008-03-01 St. Johnstone W 3-266.9 1643 1656 47.40% 22.04% 30.55%+0.22 +5.2 53
2008-03-01 @ Dundee L 2-366.9 1656 1643 30.55% 22.04% 47.40%-0.22 -5.2 44
2008-03-01 Stirling Albion W 2-153.3 1463 1500 44.07% 22.22% 33.70%+0.11 +6.0 27
2008-03-01 @ Greenock Morton L 1-253.3 1500 1463 33.70% 22.22% 44.07%-0.11 -6.0 19
2008-03-04 Livingston W 2-155.4 1575 1532 54.40% 21.34% 24.26%+0.47 +4.5 36
2008-03-04 @ Partick Thistle L 1-255.4 1532 1575 24.26% 21.34% 54.40%-0.47 -4.5 28
2008-03-08 Clyde D 0-060.1 1528 1493 53.53% 21.45% 25.01%+0.44 -1.2 29
2008-03-08 @ Livingston D 0-060.1 1493 1528 25.01% 21.45% 53.53%-0.44 +1.2 26
2008-03-08 Greenock Morton W 3-040.4 1666 1469 70.12% 17.61% 12.27%+1.16 +6.7 58
2008-03-08 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-340.4 1469 1666 12.27% 17.61% 70.12%-1.16 -6.7 27
2008-03-11 Greenock Morton D 1-162.4 1494 1462 53.14% 21.50% 25.35%+0.42 -1.1 27
2008-03-11 @ Clyde D 1-162.4 1462 1494 25.35% 21.50% 53.14%-0.42 +1.1 28
2008-03-11 Hamilton Academical D 1-170.5 1541 1673 31.01% 22.08% 46.91%-0.31 +0.6 37
2008-03-11 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-170.5 1673 1541 46.91% 22.08% 31.01%+0.31 -0.6 59
2008-03-11 Livingston W 2-045.5 1648 1527 63.12% 19.69% 17.19%+0.82 +6.5 56
2008-03-11 @ Dundee L 0-245.5 1527 1648 17.19% 19.69% 63.12%-0.82 -6.5 29
2008-03-11 Queen of the South W 2-156.9 1651 1567 59.08% 20.57% 20.35%+0.65 +3.9 47
2008-03-11 @ St. Johnstone L 1-256.9 1567 1651 20.35% 20.57% 59.08%-0.65 -3.9 40
2008-03-15 Clyde D 1-163.4 1494 1493 49.21% 21.91% 28.88%+0.28 -0.8 20
2008-03-15 @ Stirling Albion D 1-163.4 1493 1494 28.88% 21.91% 49.21%-0.28 +0.8 28
2008-03-15 Dundee W 1-055.2 1672 1655 51.30% 21.71% 26.99%+0.36 +5.3 62
2008-03-15 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-155.2 1655 1672 26.99% 21.71% 51.30%-0.36 -5.3 56
2008-03-15 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-167.7 1564 1541 51.94% 21.64% 26.42%+0.38 -1.0 41
2008-03-15 @ Queen of the South D 1-167.7 1541 1564 26.42% 21.64% 51.94%-0.38 +1.0 38
2008-03-15 Partick Thistle D 0-060.7 1463 1579 33.02% 22.19% 44.79%-0.24 +0.5 29
2008-03-15 @ Greenock Morton D 0-060.7 1579 1463 44.79% 22.19% 33.02%+0.24 -0.5 37
2008-03-15 St. Johnstone L 0-250.2 1520 1654 30.75% 22.06% 47.19%-0.32 -11.1 29
2008-03-15 @ Livingston W 2-050.2 1654 1520 47.19% 22.06% 30.75%+0.32 +11.1 50
2008-03-22 Dundee L 0-155.3 1542 1650 34.23% 22.24% 43.53%-0.20 -6.4 38
2008-03-22 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-055.3 1650 1542 43.53% 22.24% 34.23%+0.20 +6.4 59
2008-03-22 Hamilton Academical L 0-151.7 1493 1677 24.96% 21.45% 53.59%-0.55 -4.9 20
2008-03-22 @ Stirling Albion W 1-051.7 1677 1493 53.59% 21.45% 24.96%+0.55 +4.9 65
2008-03-22 Livingston D 1-162.8 1463 1509 42.90% 22.26% 34.84%+0.08 -0.3 30
2008-03-22 @ Greenock Morton D 1-162.8 1509 1463 34.84% 22.26% 42.90%-0.08 +0.3 30
2008-03-22 Queen of the South L 1-452.5 1494 1563 39.60% 22.32% 38.07%-0.03 -16.6 28
2008-03-22 @ Clyde W 4-152.5 1563 1494 38.07% 22.32% 39.60%+0.03 +16.6 44
2008-03-22 St. Johnstone D 0-066.3 1579 1665 37.09% 22.31% 40.59%-0.11 +0.2 38
2008-03-22 @ Partick Thistle D 0-066.3 1665 1579 40.59% 22.31% 37.09%+0.11 -0.1 51
2008-03-25 Clyde L 1-268.9 1665 1477 69.34% 17.88% 12.78%+1.12 -10.9 51
2008-03-25 @ St. Johnstone W 2-168.9 1477 1665 12.78% 17.88% 69.34%-1.12 +10.9 31
2008-03-25 Dunfermline Athletic L 2-363.4 1488 1536 42.62% 22.27% 35.10%+0.07 -6.8 20
2008-03-25 @ Stirling Albion W 3-263.4 1536 1488 35.10% 22.27% 42.62%-0.07 +6.8 41
2008-03-29 Clyde W 2-043.3 1656 1488 67.55% 18.46% 13.99%+1.03 +5.3 62
2008-03-29 @ Dundee L 0-243.3 1488 1656 13.99% 18.46% 67.55%-1.03 -5.3 31
2008-03-29 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-170.8 1654 1543 62.12% 19.93% 17.95%+0.78 -1.8 52
2008-03-29 @ St. Johnstone D 1-170.8 1543 1654 17.95% 19.93% 62.12%-0.78 +1.8 42
2008-03-29 Greenock Morton D 0-061.4 1579 1463 62.56% 19.83% 17.61%+0.80 -2.0 45
2008-03-29 @ Queen of the South D 0-061.4 1463 1579 17.61% 19.83% 62.56%-0.80 +2.0 31
2008-03-29 Partick Thistle D 0-067.2 1682 1579 61.23% 20.13% 18.64%+0.74 -1.9 66
2008-03-29 @ Hamilton Academical D 0-067.2 1579 1682 18.64% 20.13% 61.23%-0.74 +1.9 39
2008-03-29 Stirling Albion W 2-151.8 1509 1481 52.65% 21.56% 25.79%+0.41 +4.8 33
2008-03-29 @ Livingston L 1-251.8 1481 1509 25.79% 21.56% 52.65%-0.41 -4.8 20
2008-04-01 Dundee W 1-058.0 1581 1661 37.98% 22.32% 39.70%-0.08 +7.2 42
2008-04-01 @ Partick Thistle L 0-158.0 1661 1581 39.70% 22.32% 37.98%+0.08 -7.2 62
2008-04-01 Queen of the South W 1-053.3 1514 1577 40.45% 22.32% 37.23%+0.00 +6.8 36
2008-04-01 @ Livingston L 0-153.3 1577 1514 37.23% 22.32% 40.45%+0.00 -6.9 45
2008-04-05 Dundee L 1-255.8 1465 1654 24.47% 21.37% 54.15%-0.57 -4.5 31
2008-04-05 @ Greenock Morton W 2-155.8 1654 1465 54.15% 21.37% 24.47%+0.57 +4.6 65
2008-04-05 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-159.5 1588 1544 54.57% 21.32% 24.12%+0.48 -9.4 42
2008-04-05 @ Partick Thistle W 1-059.5 1544 1588 24.12% 21.32% 54.57%-0.48 +9.4 45
2008-04-05 Livingston W 3-260.0 1483 1521 43.92% 22.23% 33.86%+0.11 +5.7 34
2008-04-05 @ Clyde L 2-360.0 1521 1483 33.86% 22.23% 43.92%-0.11 -5.7 36
2008-04-05 Queen of the South D 0-060.8 1477 1570 36.09% 22.30% 41.61%-0.14 +0.2 21
2008-04-05 @ Stirling Albion D 0-060.8 1570 1477 41.61% 22.30% 36.09%+0.14 -0.2 46
2008-04-05 St. Johnstone W 2-051.3 1680 1653 52.61% 21.57% 25.82%+0.40 +9.6 69
2008-04-05 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-251.3 1653 1680 25.82% 21.57% 52.61%-0.40 -9.5 52
2008-04-08 Stirling Albion W 1-045.9 1579 1477 61.11% 20.16% 18.73%+0.74 +3.8 45
2008-04-08 @ Partick Thistle L 0-145.9 1477 1579 18.73% 20.16% 61.11%-0.74 -3.8 21
2008-04-12 Clyde W 2-152.3 1554 1488 57.10% 20.93% 21.97%+0.57 +4.1 48
2008-04-12 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-252.3 1488 1554 21.97% 20.93% 57.10%-0.57 -4.1 34
2008-04-12 Greenock Morton W 3-256.1 1643 1461 68.83% 18.05% 13.12%+1.10 +2.4 55
2008-04-12 @ St. Johnstone L 2-356.1 1461 1643 13.12% 18.05% 68.83%-1.10 -2.4 31
2008-04-12 Hamilton Academical L 1-355.3 1515 1690 26.01% 21.59% 52.40%-0.50 -8.3 36
2008-04-12 @ Livingston W 3-155.3 1690 1515 52.40% 21.59% 26.01%+0.50 +8.3 72
2008-04-12 Stirling Albion W 3-040.6 1659 1473 69.11% 17.96% 12.93%+1.11 +7.1 68
2008-04-12 @ Dundee L 0-340.6 1473 1659 12.93% 17.96% 69.11%-1.11 -7.1 21
2008-04-16 Partick Thistle W 2-049.6 1570 1583 47.43% 22.04% 30.53%+0.22 +11.0 49
2008-04-16 @ Queen of the South L 0-249.6 1583 1570 30.53% 22.04% 47.43%-0.22 -11.0 45
2008-04-19 Clyde W 2-043.1 1698 1484 71.49% 17.12% 11.39%+1.24 +4.3 75
2008-04-19 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-243.1 1484 1698 11.39% 17.12% 71.49%-1.24 -4.3 34
2008-04-19 Dundee W 1-058.2 1581 1666 37.35% 22.32% 40.33%-0.10 +7.3 52
2008-04-19 @ Queen of the South L 0-158.2 1666 1581 40.33% 22.32% 37.35%+0.10 -7.3 68
2008-04-19 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-046.8 1458 1558 35.27% 22.28% 42.45%-0.17 +20.8 34
2008-04-19 @ Greenock Morton L 0-346.8 1558 1458 42.45% 22.28% 35.27%+0.17 -20.8 48
2008-04-19 Partick Thistle W 1-053.0 1507 1572 40.22% 22.32% 37.46%-0.01 +6.9 39
2008-04-19 @ Livingston L 0-153.0 1572 1507 37.46% 22.32% 40.22%+0.01 -6.9 45
2008-04-23 St. Johnstone W 3-160.8 1466 1645 25.48% 21.52% 53.01%-0.52 +15.0 24
2008-04-23 @ Stirling Albion L 1-360.8 1645 1466 53.01% 21.52% 25.48%+0.52 -15.0 55
2008-04-26 Greenock Morton L 0-352.4 1565 1479 59.35% 20.52% 20.13%+0.66 -27.8 45
2008-04-26 @ Partick Thistle W 3-052.4 1479 1565 20.13% 20.52% 59.35%-0.66 +27.8 37
2008-04-26 Hamilton Academical D 1-172.6 1658 1702 43.12% 22.26% 34.62%+0.08 -0.3 69
2008-04-26 @ Dundee D 1-172.6 1702 1658 34.62% 22.26% 43.12%-0.08 +0.3 76
2008-04-26 Livingston W 5-250.6 1630 1514 62.61% 19.82% 17.58%+0.80 +7.1 58
2008-04-26 @ St. Johnstone L 2-550.6 1514 1630 17.58% 19.82% 62.61%-0.80 -7.1 39
2008-04-26 Queen of the South W 4-048.4 1537 1588 42.11% 22.29% 35.60%+0.05 +23.7 51
2008-04-26 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-448.4 1588 1537 35.60% 22.29% 42.11%-0.05 -23.7 52
2008-04-26 Stirling Albion W 3-040.6 1480 1481 48.96% 21.93% 29.11%+0.28 +15.4 37
2008-04-26 @ Clyde L 0-340.6 1481 1480 29.11% 21.93% 48.96%-0.28 -15.4 24

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2008-03-25 12.78% Clyde 1477 2 @ St. Johnstone 1665 1
2 2008-04-26 20.13% Greenock Morton 1479 3 @ Partick Thistle 1565 0
3 2008-01-26 20.14% Queen of the South 1536 3 @ Dundee 1622 2
4 2007-12-15 20.83% Queen of the South 1486 3 @ Stirling Albion 1564 1
5 2007-09-01 21.89% Queen of the South 1509 1 @ Greenock Morton 1576 0
6 2007-11-11 22.13% Clyde 1536 1 @ Dundee 1600 0
7 2007-10-06 22.70% Clyde 1533 2 @ Stirling Albion 1591 0
8 2008-04-05 24.12% Dunfermline Athletic 1544 1 @ Partick Thistle 1588 0
9 2007-12-26 24.65% Dunfermline Athletic 1509 1 @ Greenock Morton 1548 0
10 2007-11-03 25.23% @ Queen of the South 1495 2 Hamilton Academical 1677 1
11 2007-11-03 25.38% Livingston 1503 4 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1535 0
12 2008-04-23 25.48% @ Stirling Albion 1466 3 St. Johnstone 1645 1
13 2007-11-03 25.53% Partick Thistle 1514 2 @ Clyde 1544 1
14 2007-11-14 26.13% Partick Thistle 1517 4 @ Livingston 1542 0
15 2008-01-19 26.81% Livingston 1517 4 @ Stirling Albion 1535 1
16 2007-12-08 26.88% @ Livingston 1510 2 Hamilton Academical 1677 0
17 2008-02-02 27.44% Stirling Albion 1512 3 @ Clyde 1525 1
18 2008-01-02 27.49% Greenock Morton 1529 2 @ Stirling Albion 1542 1
19 2007-10-20 28.09% Greenock Morton 1544 1 @ Clyde 1551 0
20 2008-01-19 28.93% Queen of the South 1513 3 @ Greenock Morton 1513 0
21 2007-08-11 29.02% Hamilton Academical 1574 2 @ Clyde 1574 0
22 2007-08-25 29.28% Hamilton Academical 1594 2 @ Greenock Morton 1592 0
23 2007-08-11 29.58% Greenock Morton 1582 1 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1577 0
24 2007-12-26 30.68% @ Queen of the South 1491 2 Dundee 1626 1
25 2008-02-23 30.90% Dunfermline Athletic 1534 2 @ Clyde 1518 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-11-03 32.86 Livingston 4 1503 25.38% @ Dunfermline Athletic 0 1535 53.12% 21.51%
2 2007-10-20 32.57 Hamilton Academical 5 1641 36.74% @ Dunfermline Athletic 0 1581 40.95% 22.31%
3 2007-11-14 32.40 Partick Thistle 4 1517 26.13% @ Livingston 0 1542 52.26% 21.61%
4 2008-04-26 27.75 Greenock Morton 3 1479 20.13% @ Partick Thistle 0 1565 59.35% 20.52%
5 2007-09-15 25.49 @ Livingston 4 1490 38.56% Greenock Morton 0 1566 39.12% 22.32%
6 2008-02-23 24.36 Dundee 6 1619 41.73% @ Stirling Albion 1 1524 35.98% 22.29%
7 2008-04-26 23.68 @ Dunfermline Athletic 4 1537 42.11% Queen of the South 0 1588 35.60% 22.29%
8 2008-01-05 23.62 @ Livingston 6 1493 43.13% Greenock Morton 1 1537 34.61% 22.26%
9 2008-01-19 23.52 Queen of the South 3 1513 28.93% @ Greenock Morton 0 1513 49.16% 21.91%
10 2008-01-19 22.61 @ Partick Thistle 3 1541 31.00% Hamilton Academical 0 1673 46.92% 22.08%
11 2007-08-18 21.80 @ Partick Thistle 4 1532 45.70% Clyde 0 1558 32.15% 22.15%
12 2008-04-19 20.82 @ Greenock Morton 3 1458 35.27% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1558 42.45% 22.28%
13 2008-01-19 20.65 Livingston 4 1517 26.81% @ Stirling Albion 1 1535 51.50% 21.69%
14 2007-09-01 19.60 Hamilton Academical 3 1610 38.35% @ Partick Thistle 0 1539 39.33% 22.32%
15 2007-09-15 18.68 @ Hamilton Academical 4 1630 51.56% Stirling Albion 0 1610 26.75% 21.68%
16 2007-10-06 18.21 Clyde 2 1533 22.70% @ Stirling Albion 0 1591 56.23% 21.07%
17 2008-03-01 17.65 Partick Thistle 4 1557 35.01% @ Clyde 1 1510 42.72% 22.27%
18 2007-12-08 16.84 @ Livingston 2 1510 26.88% Hamilton Academical 0 1677 51.42% 21.70%
19 2008-03-22 16.61 Queen of the South 4 1563 38.07% @ Clyde 1 1494 39.60% 22.32%
20 2007-12-15 16.34 Queen of the South 3 1486 20.83% @ Stirling Albion 1 1564 58.49% 20.69%
21 2007-08-11 16.17 Hamilton Academical 2 1574 29.02% @ Clyde 0 1574 49.06% 21.92%
22 2007-08-25 16.09 Hamilton Academical 2 1594 29.28% @ Greenock Morton 0 1592 48.78% 21.94%
23 2008-01-02 15.59 Dunfermline Athletic 2 1524 30.92% @ Livingston 0 1509 47.00% 22.07%
24 2007-08-04 15.38 Dundee 2 1546 31.63% @ Livingston 0 1524 46.25% 22.12%
25 2008-04-26 15.37 @ Clyde 3 1480 48.96% Stirling Albion 0 1481 29.11% 21.93%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-09-01 77.9 @ Stirling Albion 3 1612 63.27% Livingston 3 1489 17.08% 19.66%
2 2007-08-04 77.8 @ Queen of the South 3 1512 35.46% St. Johnstone 3 1611 42.26% 22.28%
3 2007-08-11 76.7 @ St. Johnstone 2 1610 48.03% Stirling Albion 2 1618 29.97% 22.00%
4 2008-03-01 76.7 @ Queen of the South 2 1567 35.37% Hamilton Academical 2 1666 42.35% 22.28%
5 2007-12-08 76.2 @ St. Johnstone 2 1630 57.57% Greenock Morton 2 1560 21.58% 20.85%
6 2007-09-22 75.7 @ Stirling Albion 2 1592 49.62% Dundee 2 1588 28.51% 21.87%
7 2007-12-01 75.5 @ Partick Thistle 2 1549 37.91% St. Johnstone 2 1630 39.77% 22.32%
8 2007-09-22 74.7 @ Greenock Morton 2 1540 40.07% St. Johnstone 2 1606 37.62% 22.32%
9 2007-09-29 73.2 @ Queen of the South 2 1508 37.56% Stirling Albion 2 1591 40.12% 22.32%
10 2007-12-01 72.6 @ Greenock Morton 2 1561 55.53% Livingston 2 1509 23.29% 21.18%
11 2008-04-26 72.6 @ Dundee 1 1658 43.12% Hamilton Academical 1 1702 34.62% 22.26%
12 2008-01-26 72.3 Queen of the South 3 1536 20.14% @ Dundee 2 1622 59.34% 20.52%
13 2008-01-02 71.6 @ St. Johnstone 1 1643 51.62% Dundee 1 1623 26.70% 21.68%
14 2008-03-29 70.8 @ St. Johnstone 1 1654 62.12% Dunfermline Athletic 1 1543 17.95% 19.93%
15 2008-03-11 70.5 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1 1541 31.01% Hamilton Academical 1 1673 46.91% 22.08%
16 2007-10-27 70.3 @ St. Johnstone 1 1640 60.59% Clyde 1 1543 19.14% 20.27%
17 2007-09-22 70.1 @ Hamilton Academical 1 1648 64.28% Livingston 1 1515 16.32% 19.40%
18 2007-08-18 69.9 @ St. Johnstone 1 1610 54.67% Dundee 1 1565 24.03% 21.30%
19 2007-10-27 69.8 @ Livingston 2 1504 50.25% Queen of the South 2 1495 27.94% 21.82%
20 2007-09-15 69.4 @ Dundee 1 1589 50.89% Dunfermline Athletic 1 1574 27.36% 21.75%
21 2007-08-04 69.1 @ Stirling Albion 1 1620 61.38% Partick Thistle 1 1516 18.52% 20.10%
22 2008-01-19 69.0 @ Clyde 1 1530 36.39% Dundee 1 1622 41.31% 22.30%
23 2008-02-09 68.9 @ Livingston 1 1537 38.67% Dundee 1 1613 39.01% 22.32%
24 2008-03-25 68.9 Clyde 2 1477 12.78% @ St. Johnstone 1 1665 69.34% 17.88%
25 2007-11-03 68.5 @ Greenock Morton 1 1549 43.95% Stirling Albion 1 1587 33.83% 22.23%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-03-08 40.4 @ Hamilton Academical 3 1666 70.12% Greenock Morton 0 1469 12.27% 17.61%
2 2008-04-12 40.6 @ Dundee 3 1659 69.11% Stirling Albion 0 1473 12.93% 17.96%
3 2008-04-26 40.6 @ Clyde 3 1480 48.96% Stirling Albion 0 1481 29.11% 21.93%
4 2008-02-16 42.3 @ Dundee 2 1613 64.87% Greenock Morton 0 1473 15.89% 19.24%
5 2007-08-11 42.7 @ Partick Thistle 3 1517 50.18% Livingston 0 1509 28.00% 21.82%
6 2008-04-19 43.1 @ Hamilton Academical 2 1698 71.49% Clyde 0 1484 11.39% 17.12%
7 2008-01-26 43.2 @ Dunfermline Athletic 2 1535 54.75% Greenock Morton 0 1490 23.96% 21.29%
8 2008-03-29 43.3 @ Dundee 2 1656 67.55% Clyde 0 1488 13.99% 18.46%
9 2007-10-20 44.0 @ St. Johnstone 2 1634 64.23% Queen of the South 0 1501 16.36% 19.41%
10 2007-12-22 44.1 @ Dunfermline Athletic 2 1498 48.61% Queen of the South 0 1502 29.44% 21.96%
11 2008-02-09 44.5 @ Hamilton Academical 3 1656 62.17% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1544 17.91% 19.92%
12 2007-11-10 45.1 @ Hamilton Academical 2 1668 65.48% Partick Thistle 0 1523 15.45% 19.07%
13 2007-09-22 45.3 @ Partick Thistle 2 1516 48.73% Queen of the South 0 1519 29.33% 21.95%
14 2007-10-27 45.4 @ Stirling Albion 3 1573 52.17% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1549 26.22% 21.62%
15 2008-03-11 45.5 @ Dundee 2 1648 63.12% Livingston 0 1527 17.19% 19.69%
16 2007-08-25 45.8 @ Dundee 3 1567 50.69% Partick Thistle 0 1554 27.53% 21.77%
17 2008-04-08 45.9 @ Partick Thistle 1 1579 61.11% Stirling Albion 0 1477 18.73% 20.16%
18 2007-08-18 46.2 @ Partick Thistle 4 1532 45.70% Clyde 0 1558 32.15% 22.15%
19 2008-01-05 46.7 @ St. Johnstone 2 1642 60.14% Partick Thistle 0 1549 19.50% 20.36%
20 2008-04-19 46.8 @ Greenock Morton 3 1458 35.27% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1558 42.45% 22.28%
21 2007-08-25 47.0 @ Queen of the South 1 1504 50.38% Livingston 0 1494 27.82% 21.80%
22 2007-09-15 47.1 @ Livingston 4 1490 38.56% Greenock Morton 0 1566 39.12% 22.32%
23 2008-01-02 47.7 @ Hamilton Academical 1 1673 67.53% Queen of the South 0 1505 14.00% 18.47%
24 2007-08-18 48.0 @ Hamilton Academical 1 1590 58.94% Queen of the South 0 1508 20.46% 20.60%
25 2007-10-20 48.1 @ Dundee 4 1584 57.61% Livingston 1 1514 21.54% 20.84%