2009-10 First Division Season
180 games · 100,000 simulations
Promoted
—
No promotions.
Relegated
No relegation
Biggest Overachiever
Inverness CT
10.00 points above expected
73 points · 63.00 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Ayr United
17.77 points below expected
31 points · 48.77 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness CT | 36 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 73 | 72 | 32 | +40 | 63.0 | +10.00 |
| 2 | Dundee | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 61 | 48 | 34 | +14 | 56.2 | +4.79 |
| 3 | Dunfermline Athletic | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 54 | 44 | +10 | 52.1 | +5.94 |
| 4 | Queen Of The South | 36 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 56 | 53 | 40 | +13 | 54.0 | +1.96 |
| 5 | Ross County | 36 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 56 | 46 | 44 | +2 | 48.0 | +7.96 |
| 6 | Partick Thistle | 36 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 43 | 40 | +3 | 50.0 | -1.97 |
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 38.8 | +3.18 |
| 8 | Greenock Morton | 36 | 11 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 40.8 | -3.79 |
| 9 | Airdrie United | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 33 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37.5 | -4.55 |
| 10 | Ayr United | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 31 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 48.8 | -17.77 |
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inverness CT | 1610 | 73 | 63.00 | +10.00 | 91.5% | 36 | 51 | 58 | 63 | 68 | 76 | 91 |
| Dundee | 1489 | 61 | 56.21 | +4.79 | 75.8% | 30 | 44 | 51 | 56 | 61 | 68 | 84 |
| Dunfermline Athletic | 1479 | 58 | 52.06 | +5.94 | 79.9% | 18 | 40 | 47 | 52 | 57 | 65 | 79 |
| Queen Of The South | 1477 | 56 | 54.04 | +1.96 | 62.8% | 26 | 42 | 49 | 54 | 59 | 67 | 81 |
| Partick Thistle | 1426 | 48 | 49.97 | -1.97 | 42.6% | 20 | 38 | 45 | 50 | 55 | 62 | 78 |
| Ross County | 1422 | 56 | 48.04 | +7.96 | 86.7% | 19 | 36 | 43 | 48 | 53 | 61 | 76 |
| Airdrie United | 1389 | 33 | 37.55 | -4.55 | 30.0% | 13 | 26 | 32 | 37 | 42 | 50 | 66 |
| Ayr United | 1367 | 31 | 48.77 | -17.77 | 0.9% | 20 | 37 | 44 | 49 | 54 | 61 | 74 |
| Greenock Morton | 1359 | 37 | 40.79 | -3.79 | 32.6% | 14 | 29 | 36 | 41 | 46 | 53 | 70 |
| Raith Rovers | 1356 | 42 | 38.82 | +3.18 | 70.2% | 13 | 27 | 34 | 39 | 44 | 51 | 67 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | AU | AU | DUN | DA | GM | IC | PT | QOTS | RR | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Airdrie United | — |
2-2-0
4.18
|
2-1-1
3.48
|
0-1-3
3.86
|
1-0-3
4.95
|
0-1-3
3.19
|
1-0-3
4.00
|
0-2-2
4.11
|
2-1-1
5.32
|
0-1-3
4.53
|
| Ayr United |
0-2-2
6.69
|
— |
0-2-2
4.63
|
2-0-2
4.97
|
1-0-3
6.23
|
0-2-2
4.07
|
2-1-1
5.52
|
1-0-3
4.88
|
1-2-1
6.52
|
0-1-3
5.31
|
| Dundee |
1-1-2
7.62
|
2-2-0
6.22
|
— |
2-1-1
5.84
|
3-1-0
6.90
|
0-3-1
4.69
|
4-0-0
5.95
|
0-3-1
5.60
|
2-1-1
7.25
|
2-1-1
6.21
|
| Dunfermline Athletic |
3-1-0
7.11
|
2-0-2
5.81
|
1-1-2
4.95
|
— |
4-0-0
6.40
|
0-2-2
4.36
|
2-0-2
5.47
|
2-0-2
5.16
|
3-0-1
6.89
|
0-3-1
5.80
|
| Greenock Morton |
3-0-1
5.83
|
3-0-1
4.61
|
0-1-3
4.01
|
0-0-4
4.47
|
— |
0-0-4
3.39
|
1-0-3
4.46
|
2-1-1
3.95
|
2-1-1
5.38
|
0-1-3
4.65
|
| Inverness CT |
3-1-0
7.98
|
2-2-0
6.87
|
1-3-0
6.17
|
2-2-0
6.53
|
4-0-0
7.73
|
— |
2-0-2
6.60
|
2-1-1
6.25
|
4-0-0
7.73
|
1-1-2
7.12
|
| Partick Thistle |
3-0-1
6.93
|
1-1-2
5.30
|
0-0-4
4.85
|
2-0-2
5.33
|
3-0-1
6.37
|
2-0-2
4.26
|
— |
1-1-2
4.86
|
0-2-2
6.60
|
2-2-0
5.56
|
| Queen Of The South |
2-2-0
6.82
|
3-0-1
5.91
|
1-3-0
5.17
|
2-0-2
5.62
|
1-1-2
6.98
|
1-1-2
4.57
|
2-1-1
5.93
|
— |
1-2-1
7.07
|
2-1-1
6.05
|
| Raith Rovers |
1-1-2
5.46
|
1-2-1
4.35
|
1-1-2
3.73
|
1-0-3
4.06
|
1-1-2
5.40
|
0-0-4
3.39
|
2-2-0
4.26
|
1-2-1
3.88
|
— |
3-0-1
4.20
|
| Ross County |
3-1-0
6.30
|
3-1-0
5.44
|
1-1-2
4.61
|
1-3-0
5.01
|
3-1-0
6.17
|
2-1-1
3.84
|
0-2-2
5.23
|
1-1-2
4.77
|
1-0-3
6.66
|
— |
Goal Differential vs Points
Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.00% | 11.39% | 6.67% | 3.06% | 0.56% | 0.83% | 27.50% |
| 1 | 11.39% | 13.33% | 7.50% | 3.33% | 1.67% | 0.28% | 37.50% |
| 2 | 6.67% | 7.50% | 5.00% | 1.11% | 0.28% | 0.28% | 20.83% |
| 3 | 3.06% | 3.33% | 1.11% | 1.67% | 0.28% | 0.28% | 9.72% |
| 4 | 0.56% | 1.67% | 0.28% | 0.28% | — | — | 2.78% |
| 5+ | 0.83% | 0.28% | 0.28% | 0.28% | — | — | 1.67% |
| Total | 27.50% | 37.50% | 20.83% | 9.72% | 2.78% | 1.67% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.28 |
| Mean allowed | 1.28 |
| StdDev scored | 1.17 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.17 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.57 |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | -0.071 |
| Sample size (games) | 180 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 13.89% | 13.89% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | 33.33% |
| 1 | 5.56% | 22.22% | 11.11% | — | — | — | 38.89% |
| 2 | 2.78% | — | 2.78% | — | 2.78% | 2.78% | 11.11% |
| 3 | 8.33% | 2.78% | — | — | — | 2.78% | 13.89% |
| 4 | — | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 16.67% | 41.67% | 27.78% | 2.78% | 5.56% | 5.56% | 100% |
Airdrie United — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.14 |
| Mean allowed | 1.56 |
| StdDev scored | 1.13 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.30 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.69 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.074 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.56% | 11.11% | 11.11% | 5.56% | — | 2.78% | 36.11% |
| 1 | 13.89% | 16.67% | 8.33% | 8.33% | 2.78% | 2.78% | 52.78% |
| 2 | 2.78% | — | 2.78% | — | — | — | 5.56% |
| 3 | 2.78% | — | — | 2.78% | — | — | 5.56% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 25.00% | 27.78% | 22.22% | 16.67% | 2.78% | 5.56% | 100% |
Ayr United — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.81 |
| Mean allowed | 1.67 |
| StdDev scored | 0.79 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.57 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.47 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.124 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.78% | 11.11% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | 19.44% |
| 1 | 16.67% | 19.44% | 2.78% | — | — | — | 38.89% |
| 2 | 11.11% | 5.56% | 13.89% | — | — | — | 30.56% |
| 3 | 2.78% | 5.56% | 2.78% | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 33.33% | 41.67% | 22.22% | 2.78% | — | — | 100% |
Dundee — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.33 |
| Mean allowed | 0.94 |
| StdDev scored | 0.93 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.83 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.28 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.012 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.56% | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | — | — | 27.78% |
| 1 | 2.78% | 8.33% | 5.56% | — | 2.78% | — | 19.44% |
| 2 | 8.33% | 19.44% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | 33.33% |
| 3 | — | 11.11% | — | 2.78% | — | — | 13.89% |
| 4 | — | 5.56% | — | — | — | — | 5.56% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 16.67% | 55.56% | 19.44% | 5.56% | 2.78% | — | 100% |
Dunfermline Athletic — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.50 |
| Mean allowed | 1.22 |
| StdDev scored | 1.21 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.90 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.72 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.053 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 13.89% | 11.11% | 8.33% | — | 2.78% | 36.11% |
| 1 | 8.33% | 5.56% | 8.33% | 8.33% | 5.56% | — | 36.11% |
| 2 | 2.78% | 11.11% | 2.78% | — | — | — | 16.67% |
| 3 | — | — | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | 5.56% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.78% | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| 5+ | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| Total | 13.89% | 30.56% | 27.78% | 19.44% | 5.56% | 2.78% | 100% |
Greenock Morton — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.11 |
| Mean allowed | 1.81 |
| StdDev scored | 1.21 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.24 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.92 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.232 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 8.33% |
| 1 | 19.44% | 11.11% | 5.56% | 5.56% | — | — | 41.67% |
| 2 | 8.33% | 2.78% | 5.56% | 2.78% | — | — | 19.44% |
| 3 | 5.56% | 5.56% | — | 2.78% | — | — | 13.89% |
| 4 | 5.56% | 2.78% | — | 2.78% | — | — | 11.11% |
| 5+ | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | 5.56% |
| Total | 50.00% | 25.00% | 11.11% | 13.89% | — | — | 100% |
Inverness CT — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 2.00 |
| Mean allowed | 0.89 |
| StdDev scored | 1.53 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.09 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.89 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.034 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.56% | 25.00% | 8.33% | — | — | — | 38.89% |
| 1 | 5.56% | 5.56% | 5.56% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | 22.22% |
| 2 | 13.89% | 11.11% | 5.56% | — | — | — | 30.56% |
| 3 | — | — | 2.78% | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | 2.78% | — | 2.78% | — | — | — | 5.56% |
| Total | 27.78% | 41.67% | 25.00% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | 100% |
Partick Thistle — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.19 |
| Mean allowed | 1.11 |
| StdDev scored | 1.31 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.95 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.31 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.064 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.56% | 5.56% | — | 2.78% | — | — | 13.89% |
| 1 | 13.89% | 16.67% | 5.56% | 8.33% | — | — | 44.44% |
| 2 | 11.11% | 2.78% | 5.56% | 5.56% | — | — | 25.00% |
| 3 | 8.33% | 2.78% | — | 2.78% | — | — | 13.89% |
| 4 | — | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 38.89% | 30.56% | 11.11% | 19.44% | — | — | 100% |
Queen Of The South — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.47 |
| Mean allowed | 1.11 |
| StdDev scored | 1.00 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.14 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.58 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.047 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.33% | 13.89% | 2.78% | 5.56% | 2.78% | 2.78% | 36.11% |
| 1 | 11.11% | 13.89% | 13.89% | — | — | — | 38.89% |
| 2 | 5.56% | 8.33% | 2.78% | — | — | — | 16.67% |
| 3 | 2.78% | — | — | — | 2.78% | — | 5.56% |
| 4 | — | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 27.78% | 38.89% | 19.44% | 5.56% | 5.56% | 2.78% | 100% |
Raith Rovers — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.00 |
| Mean allowed | 1.31 |
| StdDev scored | 1.01 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.26 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.31 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.134 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.33% | 8.33% | 5.56% | 2.78% | — | — | 25.00% |
| 1 | 16.67% | 13.89% | 8.33% | — | 2.78% | — | 41.67% |
| 2 | — | 13.89% | 5.56% | — | — | — | 19.44% |
| 3 | — | 5.56% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | 11.11% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | 2.78% | — | — | 2.78% |
| Total | 25.00% | 41.67% | 22.22% | 8.33% | 2.78% | — | 100% |
Ross County — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.28 |
| Mean allowed | 1.22 |
| StdDev scored | 1.14 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.02 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.50 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.316 |
| Games played | 36 |
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness CT | 73 | 63.0 | +10.00 |
| 2 | Ross County | 56 | 48.0 | +7.96 |
| 3 | Dunfermline Athletic | 58 | 52.1 | +5.94 |
| 4 | Dundee | 61 | 56.2 | +4.79 |
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 42 | 38.8 | +3.18 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ayr United | 31 | 48.8 | -17.77 |
| 2 | Airdrie United | 33 | 37.5 | -4.55 |
| 3 | Greenock Morton | 37 | 40.8 | -3.79 |
| 4 | Partick Thistle | 48 | 50.0 | -1.97 |
| 5 | Queen Of The South | 56 | 54.0 | +1.96 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness CT | 9 | Mar 23 – May 1 | 1 in 164 |
| 2 | Ross County | 3 | Aug 29 – Sep 19 | 1 in 41 |
| 3 | Dunfermline Athletic | 3 | Nov 7 – Dec 1 | 1 in 33 |
| 4 | Dundee | 4 | Dec 1 – Dec 19 | 1 in 28 |
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 2 | Aug 22 – Aug 29 | 1 in 22 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dunfermline Athletic | 4 | Aug 29 – Sep 26 | 1 in 94 |
| 2 | Partick Thistle | 4 | Mar 27 – Apr 17 | 1 in 85 |
| 3 | Ayr United | 4 | Oct 17 – Nov 7 | 1 in 71 |
| 4 | Airdrie United | 5 | Sep 26 – Oct 24 | 1 in 71 |
| 5 | Greenock Morton | 5 | Oct 10 – Nov 7 | 1 in 65 |
Longest Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness CT | 21 | Dec 5 – May 1 | 1 in 278 |
| 2 | Dundee | 13 | Sep 26 – Dec 26 | 1 in 95 |
| 3 | Ayr United | 8 | Feb 20 – Mar 27 | 1 in 48 |
| 4 | Dunfermline Athletic | 8 | Oct 10 – Dec 1 | 1 in 42 |
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 6 | Aug 8 – Sep 19 | 1 in 38 |
Longest Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ayr United | 8 | Oct 10 – Nov 21 | 1 in 34 |
| 2 | Airdrie United | 11 | Aug 8 – Oct 24 | 1 in 33 |
| 3 | Dundee | 6 | Mar 6 – Mar 30 | 1 in 32 |
| 4 | Partick Thistle | 5 | Mar 27 – Apr 19 | 1 in 13 |
| 5 | Ross County | 5 | Apr 6 – Apr 24 | 1 in 9 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inverness CT | 54.49% | 21.49% | 10.88% | 6.17% | 3.47% | 2.00% | 0.83% | 0.48% | 0.16% | 0.03% |
| Dundee | 16.72% | 23.80% | 18.59% | 14.61% | 10.24% | 7.48% | 4.43% | 2.53% | 1.25% | 0.35% |
| Dunfermline Athletic | 7.03% | 13.35% | 16.08% | 15.88% | 14.33% | 12.45% | 10.04% | 6.04% | 3.49% | 1.31% |
| Queen Of The South | 11.04% | 17.78% | 18.45% | 15.41% | 13.17% | 10.01% | 7.23% | 4.25% | 1.93% | 0.73% |
| Ross County | 2.79% | 6.10% | 9.69% | 11.96% | 14.52% | 15.71% | 15.39% | 12.04% | 7.99% | 3.81% |
| Partick Thistle | 4.15% | 8.91% | 12.38% | 15.06% | 16.17% | 14.38% | 12.17% | 9.41% | 5.24% | 2.13% |
| Raith Rovers | 0.16% | 0.68% | 1.43% | 2.45% | 4.14% | 6.92% | 11.60% | 18.19% | 25.57% | 28.86% |
| Greenock Morton | 0.31% | 0.79% | 1.92% | 4.03% | 6.00% | 9.27% | 13.93% | 19.89% | 22.51% | 21.35% |
| Airdrie United | 0.11% | 0.31% | 0.80% | 2.06% | 3.54% | 6.02% | 9.98% | 15.60% | 23.99% | 37.59% |
| Ayr United | 3.20% | 6.79% | 9.78% | 12.37% | 14.42% | 15.76% | 14.40% | 11.57% | 7.87% | 3.84% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
No Trend Data Yet
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Direct promotion | Same level | Qualified for relegation playoff | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inverness CT | 54.5% | 45.3% | 0.2% | <0.1% |
| Dundee | 16.7% | 81.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Queen Of The South | 11.0% | 86.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Dunfermline Athletic | 7.0% | 88.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Partick Thistle | 4.2% | 88.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Ayr United | 3.2% | 85.1% | 7.9% | 3.8% |
| Ross County | 2.8% | 85.4% | 8.0% | 3.8% |
| Greenock Morton | 0.3% | 55.8% | 22.5% | 21.3% |
| Raith Rovers | 0.2% | 45.4% | 25.6% | 28.9% |
| Airdrie United | 0.1% | 38.3% | 24.0% | 37.6% |
Overall Game Log
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009-08-08 | Partick Thistle | D 1-1 | 1498 | 1430 | 52.5% | 25.7% | 21.8% | -0.9 | 1 |
| 2009-08-08 | @ Ayr United | D 1-1 | 1430 | 1498 | 21.8% | 25.7% | 52.5% | +0.9 | 1 |
| 2009-08-08 | Greenock Morton | W 1-0 | 1461 | 1428 | 47.1% | 28.5% | 24.4% | +4.0 | 3 |
| 2009-08-08 | @ Dundee | L 0-1 | 1428 | 1461 | 24.4% | 28.5% | 47.1% | -4.0 | 0 |
| 2009-08-08 | Inverness CT | L 0-1 | 1455 | 1509 | 34.0% | 31.8% | 34.1% | -5.4 | 0 |
| 2009-08-08 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 1-0 | 1509 | 1455 | 34.1% | 31.8% | 34.0% | +5.4 | 3 |
| 2009-08-08 | Raith Rovers | D 1-1 | 1439 | 1359 | 54.4% | 24.6% | 21.1% | -1.0 | 1 |
| 2009-08-08 | @ Queen Of The South | D 1-1 | 1359 | 1439 | 21.1% | 24.6% | 54.4% | +1.0 | 1 |
| 2009-08-08 | Airdrie United | W 2-1 | 1405 | 1390 | 44.3% | 29.7% | 26.0% | +4.1 | 3 |
| 2009-08-08 | @ Ross County | L 1-2 | 1390 | 1405 | 26.0% | 29.7% | 44.3% | -4.1 | 0 |
| 2009-08-15 | Queen Of The South | D 1-1 | 1386 | 1438 | 34.1% | 31.8% | 34.1% | +0.0 | 1 |
| 2009-08-15 | @ Airdrie United | D 1-1 | 1438 | 1386 | 34.1% | 31.8% | 34.1% | +0.0 | 2 |
| 2009-08-15 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-2 | 1424 | 1450 | 38.0% | 31.5% | 30.5% | -10.9 | 0 |
| 2009-08-15 | @ Greenock Morton | W 2-0 | 1450 | 1424 | 30.5% | 31.5% | 38.0% | +10.9 | 3 |
| 2009-08-15 | Ayr United | D 0-0 | 1514 | 1497 | 44.6% | 29.6% | 25.8% | -0.6 | 4 |
| 2009-08-15 | @ Inverness CT | D 0-0 | 1497 | 1514 | 25.8% | 29.6% | 44.6% | +0.6 | 2 |
| 2009-08-15 | Ross County | D 0-0 | 1431 | 1409 | 45.2% | 29.4% | 25.4% | -0.7 | 2 |
| 2009-08-15 | @ Partick Thistle | D 0-0 | 1409 | 1431 | 25.4% | 29.4% | 45.2% | +0.6 | 4 |
| 2009-08-15 | Dundee | D 2-2 | 1360 | 1465 | 27.6% | 30.6% | 41.8% | +0.3 | 2 |
| 2009-08-15 | @ Raith Rovers | D 2-2 | 1465 | 1360 | 41.8% | 30.6% | 27.6% | -0.3 | 4 |
| 2009-08-22 | Greenock Morton | L 0-2 | 1498 | 1413 | 55.1% | 24.1% | 20.8% | -13.9 | 2 |
| 2009-08-22 | @ Ayr United | W 2-0 | 1413 | 1498 | 20.8% | 24.1% | 55.1% | +13.9 | 3 |
| 2009-08-22 | Inverness CT | D 2-2 | 1465 | 1514 | 34.7% | 31.8% | 33.5% | -0.0 | 5 |
| 2009-08-22 | @ Dundee | D 2-2 | 1514 | 1465 | 33.5% | 31.8% | 34.7% | +0.0 | 5 |
| 2009-08-22 | Airdrie United | W 2-0 | 1461 | 1386 | 53.6% | 25.0% | 21.4% | +6.5 | 6 |
| 2009-08-22 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-2 | 1386 | 1461 | 21.4% | 25.0% | 53.6% | -6.5 | 1 |
| 2009-08-22 | Partick Thistle | W 1-0 | 1438 | 1430 | 43.2% | 30.1% | 26.7% | +4.4 | 5 |
| 2009-08-22 | @ Queen Of The South | L 0-1 | 1430 | 1438 | 26.7% | 30.1% | 43.2% | -4.4 | 2 |
| 2009-08-22 | Raith Rovers | L 0-1 | 1410 | 1360 | 49.6% | 27.3% | 23.1% | -6.9 | 4 |
| 2009-08-22 | @ Ross County | W 1-0 | 1360 | 1410 | 23.1% | 27.3% | 49.6% | +6.9 | 5 |
| 2009-08-29 | Dundee | D 1-1 | 1379 | 1465 | 29.8% | 31.3% | 38.9% | +0.3 | 2 |
| 2009-08-29 | @ Airdrie United | D 1-1 | 1465 | 1379 | 38.9% | 31.3% | 29.8% | -0.3 | 6 |
| 2009-08-29 | Raith Rovers | L 0-2 | 1468 | 1367 | 57.5% | 22.6% | 19.9% | -14.3 | 6 |
| 2009-08-29 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 2-0 | 1367 | 1468 | 19.9% | 22.6% | 57.5% | +14.3 | 8 |
| 2009-08-29 | Ross County | L 1-3 | 1514 | 1403 | 59.1% | 21.6% | 19.4% | -12.6 | 5 |
| 2009-08-29 | @ Inverness CT | W 3-1 | 1403 | 1514 | 19.4% | 21.6% | 59.1% | +12.6 | 7 |
| 2009-08-29 | Greenock Morton | W 5-0 | 1426 | 1427 | 41.8% | 30.6% | 27.6% | +20.1 | 5 |
| 2009-08-29 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-5 | 1427 | 1426 | 27.6% | 30.6% | 41.8% | -20.1 | 3 |
| 2009-08-29 | Ayr United | W 2-0 | 1443 | 1484 | 35.9% | 31.7% | 32.4% | +9.8 | 8 |
| 2009-08-29 | @ Queen Of The South | L 0-2 | 1484 | 1443 | 32.4% | 31.7% | 35.9% | -9.8 | 2 |
| 2009-09-12 | Airdrie United | D 1-1 | 1474 | 1379 | 56.6% | 23.2% | 20.2% | -1.1 | 3 |
| 2009-09-12 | @ Ayr United | D 1-1 | 1379 | 1474 | 20.2% | 23.2% | 56.6% | +1.1 | 3 |
| 2009-09-12 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 1-0 | 1465 | 1453 | 43.7% | 29.9% | 26.4% | +4.4 | 9 |
| 2009-09-12 | @ Dundee | L 0-1 | 1453 | 1465 | 26.4% | 29.9% | 43.7% | -4.4 | 6 |
| 2009-09-12 | Inverness CT | L 0-3 | 1407 | 1501 | 28.8% | 31.0% | 40.2% | -12.9 | 3 |
| 2009-09-12 | @ Greenock Morton | W 3-0 | 1501 | 1407 | 40.2% | 31.0% | 28.8% | +12.9 | 8 |
| 2009-09-12 | Partick Thistle | D 1-1 | 1382 | 1446 | 32.5% | 31.8% | 35.7% | +0.1 | 9 |
| 2009-09-12 | @ Raith Rovers | D 1-1 | 1446 | 1382 | 35.7% | 31.8% | 32.5% | -0.1 | 6 |
| 2009-09-12 | Queen Of The South | W 3-2 | 1416 | 1453 | 36.4% | 31.7% | 31.9% | +4.6 | 10 |
| 2009-09-12 | @ Ross County | L 2-3 | 1453 | 1416 | 31.9% | 31.7% | 36.4% | -4.6 | 8 |
| 2009-09-19 | Inverness CT | D 1-1 | 1381 | 1514 | 24.9% | 29.0% | 46.1% | +0.6 | 4 |
| 2009-09-19 | @ Airdrie United | D 1-1 | 1514 | 1381 | 46.1% | 29.0% | 24.9% | -0.6 | 9 |
| 2009-09-19 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 2-0 | 1446 | 1449 | 41.5% | 30.7% | 27.8% | +8.7 | 9 |
| 2009-09-19 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-2 | 1449 | 1446 | 27.8% | 30.7% | 41.5% | -8.7 | 6 |
| 2009-09-19 | Dundee | W 2-0 | 1448 | 1469 | 38.8% | 31.3% | 29.9% | +9.2 | 11 |
| 2009-09-19 | @ Queen Of The South | L 0-2 | 1469 | 1448 | 29.9% | 31.3% | 38.8% | -9.2 | 9 |
| 2009-09-19 | Greenock Morton | W 3-0 | 1382 | 1394 | 40.1% | 31.0% | 28.8% | +13.0 | 12 |
| 2009-09-19 | @ Raith Rovers | L 0-3 | 1394 | 1382 | 28.8% | 31.0% | 40.1% | -13.0 | 3 |
| 2009-09-19 | Ayr United | W 2-1 | 1420 | 1473 | 34.2% | 31.8% | 34.0% | +5.0 | 13 |
| 2009-09-19 | @ Ross County | L 1-2 | 1473 | 1420 | 34.0% | 31.8% | 34.2% | -5.0 | 3 |
| 2009-09-26 | Raith Rovers | W 1-0 | 1468 | 1395 | 53.2% | 25.2% | 21.5% | +3.5 | 6 |
| 2009-09-26 | @ Ayr United | L 0-1 | 1395 | 1468 | 21.5% | 25.2% | 53.2% | -3.5 | 12 |
| 2009-09-26 | Ross County | W 2-0 | 1460 | 1425 | 47.2% | 28.5% | 24.3% | +7.6 | 12 |
| 2009-09-26 | @ Dundee | L 0-2 | 1425 | 1460 | 24.3% | 28.5% | 47.2% | -7.6 | 13 |
| 2009-09-26 | Queen Of The South | L 1-4 | 1440 | 1457 | 39.4% | 31.2% | 29.4% | -13.7 | 6 |
| 2009-09-26 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 4-1 | 1457 | 1440 | 29.4% | 31.2% | 39.4% | +13.7 | 14 |
| 2009-09-26 | Airdrie United | W 1-0 | 1381 | 1381 | 41.9% | 30.6% | 27.5% | +4.5 | 6 |
| 2009-09-26 | @ Greenock Morton | L 0-1 | 1381 | 1381 | 27.5% | 30.6% | 41.9% | -4.6 | 4 |
| 2009-09-26 | Partick Thistle | L 2-3 | 1513 | 1454 | 51.0% | 26.5% | 22.4% | -6.3 | 9 |
| 2009-09-26 | @ Inverness CT | W 3-2 | 1454 | 1513 | 22.4% | 26.5% | 51.0% | +6.3 | 12 |
| 2009-10-03 | Airdrie United | W 2-0 | 1461 | 1377 | 55.0% | 24.2% | 20.8% | +6.3 | 15 |
| 2009-10-03 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-2 | 1377 | 1461 | 20.8% | 24.2% | 55.0% | -6.3 | 4 |
| 2009-10-03 | Greenock Morton | L 2-3 | 1471 | 1385 | 55.2% | 24.1% | 20.8% | -6.6 | 14 |
| 2009-10-03 | @ Queen Of The South | W 3-2 | 1385 | 1471 | 20.8% | 24.1% | 55.2% | +6.6 | 9 |
| 2009-10-10 | Raith Rovers | L 1-2 | 1370 | 1391 | 38.8% | 31.3% | 29.8% | -5.5 | 4 |
| 2009-10-10 | @ Airdrie United | W 2-1 | 1391 | 1370 | 29.8% | 31.3% | 38.8% | +5.5 | 15 |
| 2009-10-10 | Partick Thistle | W 2-0 | 1468 | 1467 | 42.0% | 30.5% | 27.5% | +8.6 | 15 |
| 2009-10-10 | @ Dundee | L 0-2 | 1467 | 1468 | 27.5% | 30.5% | 42.0% | -8.5 | 15 |
| 2009-10-10 | Ayr United | W 3-1 | 1427 | 1471 | 35.3% | 31.8% | 32.9% | +8.5 | 9 |
| 2009-10-10 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-3 | 1471 | 1427 | 32.9% | 31.8% | 35.3% | -8.5 | 6 |
| 2009-10-10 | Ross County | L 0-1 | 1392 | 1418 | 38.1% | 31.5% | 30.4% | -5.8 | 9 |
| 2009-10-10 | @ Greenock Morton | W 1-0 | 1418 | 1392 | 30.4% | 31.5% | 38.1% | +5.8 | 16 |
| 2009-10-10 | Queen Of The South | L 1-3 | 1507 | 1464 | 48.5% | 27.8% | 23.6% | -11.1 | 9 |
| 2009-10-10 | @ Inverness CT | W 3-1 | 1464 | 1507 | 23.6% | 27.8% | 48.5% | +11.1 | 17 |
| 2009-10-13 | Inverness CT | L 0-1 | 1397 | 1496 | 28.2% | 30.8% | 40.9% | -4.7 | 15 |
| 2009-10-13 | @ Raith Rovers | W 1-0 | 1496 | 1397 | 40.9% | 30.8% | 28.2% | +4.6 | 12 |
| 2009-10-13 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 0-0 | 1424 | 1435 | 40.2% | 31.0% | 28.8% | -0.4 | 17 |
| 2009-10-13 | @ Ross County | D 0-0 | 1435 | 1424 | 28.8% | 31.0% | 40.2% | +0.4 | 10 |
| 2009-10-14 | Dundee | D 2-2 | 1463 | 1476 | 39.9% | 31.1% | 29.0% | -0.2 | 7 |
| 2009-10-14 | @ Ayr United | D 2-2 | 1476 | 1463 | 29.0% | 31.1% | 39.9% | +0.2 | 16 |
| 2009-10-17 | Ross County | L 0-1 | 1365 | 1423 | 33.3% | 31.8% | 34.9% | -5.3 | 4 |
| 2009-10-17 | @ Airdrie United | W 1-0 | 1423 | 1365 | 34.9% | 31.8% | 33.3% | +5.3 | 20 |
| 2009-10-17 | Dundee | L 0-1 | 1386 | 1476 | 29.3% | 31.2% | 39.6% | -4.8 | 9 |
| 2009-10-17 | @ Greenock Morton | W 1-0 | 1476 | 1386 | 39.6% | 31.2% | 29.3% | +4.8 | 19 |
| 2009-10-17 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 1-1 | 1501 | 1435 | 52.0% | 26.0% | 22.0% | -0.9 | 13 |
| 2009-10-17 | @ Inverness CT | D 1-1 | 1435 | 1501 | 22.0% | 26.0% | 52.0% | +0.9 | 11 |
| 2009-10-17 | Ayr United | W 2-0 | 1458 | 1463 | 41.3% | 30.7% | 27.9% | +8.7 | 18 |
| 2009-10-17 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-2 | 1463 | 1458 | 27.9% | 30.7% | 41.3% | -8.7 | 7 |
| 2009-10-17 | Queen Of The South | W 1-0 | 1392 | 1475 | 30.1% | 31.4% | 38.5% | +5.8 | 18 |
| 2009-10-17 | @ Raith Rovers | L 0-1 | 1475 | 1392 | 38.5% | 31.4% | 30.1% | -5.8 | 17 |
| 2009-10-24 | Inverness CT | L 1-5 | 1454 | 1500 | 35.1% | 31.8% | 33.1% | -16.3 | 7 |
| 2009-10-24 | @ Ayr United | W 5-1 | 1500 | 1454 | 33.1% | 31.8% | 35.1% | +16.3 | 16 |
| 2009-10-24 | Raith Rovers | W 2-1 | 1481 | 1398 | 54.8% | 24.3% | 20.9% | +3.2 | 22 |
| 2009-10-24 | @ Dundee | L 1-2 | 1398 | 1481 | 20.9% | 24.3% | 54.8% | -3.2 | 18 |
| 2009-10-24 | Greenock Morton | W 3-1 | 1436 | 1381 | 50.4% | 26.9% | 22.7% | +6.1 | 14 |
| 2009-10-24 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-3 | 1381 | 1436 | 22.7% | 26.9% | 50.4% | -6.1 | 9 |
| 2009-10-24 | Airdrie United | W 3-0 | 1470 | 1359 | 59.0% | 21.6% | 19.4% | +8.2 | 20 |
| 2009-10-24 | @ Queen Of The South | L 0-3 | 1359 | 1470 | 19.4% | 21.6% | 59.0% | -8.2 | 4 |
| 2009-10-24 | Partick Thistle | D 2-2 | 1428 | 1467 | 36.2% | 31.7% | 32.1% | -0.1 | 21 |
| 2009-10-24 | @ Ross County | D 2-2 | 1467 | 1428 | 32.1% | 31.7% | 36.2% | +0.1 | 19 |
| 2009-10-31 | Ayr United | W 3-1 | 1351 | 1438 | 29.7% | 31.3% | 39.0% | +9.6 | 7 |
| 2009-10-31 | @ Airdrie United | L 1-3 | 1438 | 1351 | 39.0% | 31.3% | 29.7% | -9.6 | 7 |
| 2009-10-31 | Dundee | D 1-1 | 1442 | 1484 | 35.7% | 31.8% | 32.5% | -0.1 | 15 |
| 2009-10-31 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | D 1-1 | 1484 | 1442 | 32.5% | 31.8% | 35.7% | +0.1 | 23 |
| 2009-10-31 | Greenock Morton | W 4-1 | 1516 | 1375 | 63.7% | 18.4% | 17.8% | +6.1 | 19 |
| 2009-10-31 | @ Inverness CT | L 1-4 | 1375 | 1516 | 17.8% | 18.4% | 63.7% | -6.1 | 9 |
| 2009-10-31 | Raith Rovers | L 1-2 | 1467 | 1395 | 53.1% | 25.3% | 21.6% | -6.8 | 19 |
| 2009-10-31 | @ Partick Thistle | W 2-1 | 1395 | 1467 | 21.6% | 25.3% | 53.1% | +6.8 | 21 |
| 2009-10-31 | Ross County | W 2-0 | 1478 | 1428 | 49.5% | 27.3% | 23.1% | +7.2 | 23 |
| 2009-10-31 | @ Queen Of The South | L 0-2 | 1428 | 1478 | 23.1% | 27.3% | 49.5% | -7.2 | 21 |
| 2009-11-07 | Queen Of The South | L 0-1 | 1428 | 1485 | 33.5% | 31.8% | 34.7% | -5.3 | 7 |
| 2009-11-07 | @ Ayr United | W 1-0 | 1485 | 1428 | 34.7% | 31.8% | 33.5% | +5.3 | 26 |
| 2009-11-07 | Airdrie United | W 2-1 | 1484 | 1361 | 61.1% | 20.2% | 18.7% | +2.7 | 26 |
| 2009-11-07 | @ Dundee | L 1-2 | 1361 | 1484 | 18.7% | 20.2% | 61.1% | -2.7 | 7 |
| 2009-11-07 | Partick Thistle | L 0-2 | 1369 | 1460 | 29.1% | 31.1% | 39.7% | -9.0 | 9 |
| 2009-11-07 | @ Greenock Morton | W 2-0 | 1460 | 1369 | 39.7% | 31.1% | 29.1% | +9.0 | 22 |
| 2009-11-07 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-2 | 1402 | 1442 | 35.9% | 31.7% | 32.4% | -5.2 | 21 |
| 2009-11-07 | @ Raith Rovers | W 2-1 | 1442 | 1402 | 32.4% | 31.7% | 35.9% | +5.2 | 18 |
| 2009-11-07 | Inverness CT | W 2-1 | 1421 | 1522 | 28.1% | 30.8% | 41.2% | +5.8 | 24 |
| 2009-11-07 | @ Ross County | L 1-2 | 1522 | 1421 | 41.2% | 30.8% | 28.1% | -5.8 | 19 |
| 2009-11-14 | Ross County | D 1-1 | 1423 | 1427 | 41.3% | 30.7% | 28.0% | -0.4 | 8 |
| 2009-11-14 | @ Ayr United | D 1-1 | 1427 | 1423 | 28.0% | 30.7% | 41.3% | +0.4 | 25 |
| 2009-11-14 | Queen Of The South | D 0-0 | 1487 | 1490 | 41.5% | 30.7% | 27.9% | -0.4 | 27 |
| 2009-11-14 | @ Dundee | D 0-0 | 1490 | 1487 | 27.9% | 30.7% | 41.5% | +0.4 | 27 |
| 2009-11-14 | Partick Thistle | W 3-1 | 1448 | 1469 | 38.7% | 31.4% | 30.0% | +8.0 | 21 |
| 2009-11-14 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-3 | 1469 | 1448 | 30.0% | 31.4% | 38.7% | -8.0 | 22 |
| 2009-11-14 | Raith Rovers | W 5-0 | 1360 | 1396 | 36.6% | 31.7% | 31.8% | +22.5 | 12 |
| 2009-11-14 | @ Greenock Morton | L 0-5 | 1396 | 1360 | 31.8% | 31.7% | 36.6% | -22.5 | 21 |
| 2009-11-14 | Airdrie United | W 2-0 | 1516 | 1358 | 66.4% | 16.6% | 17.0% | +4.6 | 22 |
| 2009-11-14 | @ Inverness CT | L 0-2 | 1358 | 1516 | 17.0% | 16.6% | 66.4% | -4.6 | 7 |
| 2009-11-21 | Greenock Morton | L 2-4 | 1354 | 1383 | 37.6% | 31.6% | 30.9% | -8.4 | 7 |
| 2009-11-21 | @ Airdrie United | W 4-2 | 1383 | 1354 | 30.9% | 31.6% | 37.6% | +8.4 | 15 |
| 2009-11-21 | Ayr United | D 0-0 | 1374 | 1422 | 34.8% | 31.8% | 33.4% | -0.0 | 22 |
| 2009-11-21 | @ Raith Rovers | D 0-0 | 1422 | 1374 | 33.4% | 31.8% | 34.8% | +0.0 | 9 |
| 2009-11-28 | Inverness CT | W 2-1 | 1461 | 1521 | 33.2% | 31.8% | 35.0% | +5.1 | 25 |
| 2009-11-28 | @ Partick Thistle | L 1-2 | 1521 | 1461 | 35.0% | 31.8% | 33.2% | -5.1 | 22 |
| 2009-12-01 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-2 | 1491 | 1456 | 47.3% | 28.4% | 24.2% | -6.3 | 27 |
| 2009-12-01 | @ Queen Of The South | W 2-1 | 1456 | 1491 | 24.2% | 28.4% | 47.3% | +6.3 | 24 |
| 2009-12-01 | Dundee | L 0-1 | 1427 | 1487 | 33.2% | 31.8% | 35.0% | -5.3 | 25 |
| 2009-12-01 | @ Ross County | W 1-0 | 1487 | 1427 | 35.0% | 31.8% | 33.2% | +5.3 | 30 |
| 2009-12-05 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 1-0 | 1422 | 1462 | 36.0% | 31.7% | 32.2% | +5.2 | 12 |
| 2009-12-05 | @ Ayr United | L 0-1 | 1462 | 1422 | 32.2% | 31.7% | 36.0% | -5.1 | 24 |
| 2009-12-05 | Dundee | L 0-2 | 1467 | 1492 | 38.1% | 31.5% | 30.4% | -10.9 | 25 |
| 2009-12-05 | @ Partick Thistle | W 2-0 | 1492 | 1467 | 30.4% | 31.5% | 38.1% | +10.9 | 33 |
| 2009-12-05 | Inverness CT | D 1-1 | 1484 | 1516 | 37.2% | 31.6% | 31.1% | -0.2 | 28 |
| 2009-12-05 | @ Queen Of The South | D 1-1 | 1516 | 1484 | 31.1% | 31.6% | 37.2% | +0.2 | 23 |
| 2009-12-08 | Greenock Morton | W 3-1 | 1422 | 1391 | 46.7% | 28.7% | 24.6% | +6.7 | 28 |
| 2009-12-08 | @ Ross County | L 1-3 | 1391 | 1422 | 24.6% | 28.7% | 46.7% | -6.7 | 15 |
| 2009-12-12 | Partick Thistle | L 2-5 | 1345 | 1456 | 27.1% | 30.3% | 42.6% | -9.0 | 7 |
| 2009-12-12 | @ Airdrie United | W 5-2 | 1456 | 1345 | 42.6% | 30.3% | 27.1% | +9.0 | 28 |
| 2009-12-12 | Ayr United | W 3-1 | 1503 | 1427 | 53.6% | 25.0% | 21.4% | +5.7 | 36 |
| 2009-12-12 | @ Dundee | L 1-3 | 1427 | 1503 | 21.4% | 25.0% | 53.6% | -5.7 | 12 |
| 2009-12-12 | Ross County | D 3-3 | 1457 | 1429 | 46.2% | 28.9% | 24.8% | -0.4 | 25 |
| 2009-12-12 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | D 3-3 | 1429 | 1457 | 24.8% | 28.9% | 46.2% | +0.4 | 29 |
| 2009-12-12 | Queen Of The South | L 1-2 | 1384 | 1484 | 28.2% | 30.8% | 41.0% | -4.4 | 15 |
| 2009-12-12 | @ Greenock Morton | W 2-1 | 1484 | 1384 | 41.0% | 30.8% | 28.2% | +4.4 | 31 |
| 2009-12-12 | Raith Rovers | W 1-0 | 1516 | 1374 | 64.0% | 18.3% | 17.8% | +2.6 | 26 |
| 2009-12-12 | @ Inverness CT | L 0-1 | 1374 | 1516 | 17.8% | 18.3% | 64.0% | -2.6 | 22 |
| 2009-12-15 | Airdrie United | D 1-1 | 1371 | 1336 | 47.3% | 28.4% | 24.3% | -0.7 | 23 |
| 2009-12-15 | @ Raith Rovers | D 1-1 | 1336 | 1371 | 24.3% | 28.4% | 47.3% | +0.7 | 8 |
| 2009-12-19 | Greenock Morton | W 3-1 | 1508 | 1380 | 61.9% | 19.7% | 18.4% | +4.5 | 39 |
| 2009-12-19 | @ Dundee | L 1-3 | 1380 | 1508 | 18.4% | 19.7% | 61.9% | -4.6 | 15 |
| 2009-12-19 | Inverness CT | D 0-0 | 1456 | 1519 | 32.8% | 31.8% | 35.4% | +0.1 | 26 |
| 2009-12-19 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | D 0-0 | 1519 | 1456 | 35.4% | 31.8% | 32.8% | -0.1 | 27 |
| 2009-12-19 | Airdrie United | W 5-3 | 1429 | 1337 | 56.2% | 23.4% | 20.4% | +4.5 | 32 |
| 2009-12-19 | @ Ross County | L 3-5 | 1337 | 1429 | 20.4% | 23.4% | 56.2% | -4.5 | 8 |
| 2009-12-26 | Dundee | D 1-1 | 1519 | 1513 | 42.8% | 30.3% | 26.9% | -0.5 | 28 |
| 2009-12-26 | @ Inverness CT | D 1-1 | 1513 | 1519 | 26.9% | 30.3% | 42.8% | +0.5 | 40 |
| 2009-12-26 | Queen Of The South | D 2-2 | 1465 | 1489 | 38.4% | 31.4% | 30.2% | -0.2 | 29 |
| 2009-12-26 | @ Partick Thistle | D 2-2 | 1489 | 1465 | 30.2% | 31.4% | 38.4% | +0.2 | 32 |
| 2010-01-03 | Dundee | W 1-0 | 1332 | 1513 | 21.4% | 25.1% | 53.5% | +7.2 | 11 |
| 2010-01-03 | @ Airdrie United | L 0-1 | 1513 | 1332 | 53.5% | 25.1% | 21.4% | -7.2 | 40 |
| 2010-01-04 | Greenock Morton | W 1-0 | 1464 | 1375 | 55.7% | 23.7% | 20.5% | +3.3 | 32 |
| 2010-01-04 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-1 | 1375 | 1464 | 20.5% | 23.7% | 55.7% | -3.3 | 15 |
| 2010-01-16 | Partick Thistle | W 1-0 | 1370 | 1468 | 28.5% | 30.9% | 40.6% | +6.0 | 26 |
| 2010-01-16 | @ Raith Rovers | L 0-1 | 1468 | 1370 | 40.6% | 30.9% | 28.5% | -6.0 | 32 |
| 2010-01-17 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 3-2 | 1506 | 1456 | 49.6% | 27.3% | 23.1% | +3.4 | 43 |
| 2010-01-17 | @ Dundee | L 2-3 | 1456 | 1506 | 23.1% | 27.3% | 49.6% | -3.4 | 26 |
| 2010-01-23 | Inverness CT | L 0-1 | 1340 | 1518 | 21.6% | 25.3% | 53.1% | -3.5 | 11 |
| 2010-01-23 | @ Airdrie United | W 1-0 | 1518 | 1340 | 53.1% | 25.3% | 21.6% | +3.5 | 31 |
| 2010-01-23 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-4 | 1462 | 1453 | 43.3% | 30.1% | 26.6% | -14.5 | 32 |
| 2010-01-23 | @ Partick Thistle | W 4-1 | 1453 | 1462 | 26.6% | 30.1% | 43.3% | +14.5 | 29 |
| 2010-01-23 | Dundee | D 1-1 | 1489 | 1510 | 38.8% | 31.3% | 29.8% | -0.3 | 33 |
| 2010-01-23 | @ Queen Of The South | D 1-1 | 1510 | 1489 | 29.8% | 31.3% | 38.8% | +0.3 | 44 |
| 2010-01-23 | Greenock Morton | L 1-2 | 1376 | 1372 | 42.6% | 30.3% | 27.1% | -5.9 | 26 |
| 2010-01-23 | @ Raith Rovers | W 2-1 | 1372 | 1376 | 27.1% | 30.3% | 42.6% | +5.9 | 18 |
| 2010-01-23 | Ayr United | W 1-0 | 1434 | 1422 | 43.8% | 29.9% | 26.3% | +4.4 | 35 |
| 2010-01-23 | @ Ross County | L 0-1 | 1422 | 1434 | 26.3% | 29.9% | 43.8% | -4.4 | 12 |
| 2010-01-30 | Ross County | L 0-1 | 1510 | 1438 | 53.1% | 25.4% | 21.6% | -7.2 | 44 |
| 2010-01-30 | @ Dundee | W 1-0 | 1438 | 1510 | 21.6% | 25.4% | 53.1% | +7.2 | 38 |
| 2010-01-30 | Partick Thistle | W 2-1 | 1522 | 1447 | 53.5% | 25.1% | 21.4% | +3.3 | 34 |
| 2010-01-30 | @ Inverness CT | L 1-2 | 1447 | 1522 | 21.4% | 25.1% | 53.5% | -3.3 | 32 |
| 2010-02-13 | Airdrie United | W 2-0 | 1444 | 1336 | 58.7% | 21.9% | 19.5% | +5.7 | 35 |
| 2010-02-13 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-2 | 1336 | 1444 | 19.5% | 21.9% | 58.7% | -5.7 | 11 |
| 2010-02-13 | Greenock Morton | L 1-2 | 1489 | 1378 | 59.1% | 21.6% | 19.4% | -7.3 | 33 |
| 2010-02-13 | @ Queen Of The South | W 2-1 | 1378 | 1489 | 19.4% | 21.6% | 59.1% | +7.3 | 21 |
| 2010-02-13 | Inverness CT | L 0-4 | 1371 | 1525 | 23.2% | 27.4% | 49.4% | -13.7 | 26 |
| 2010-02-13 | @ Raith Rovers | W 4-0 | 1525 | 1371 | 49.4% | 27.4% | 23.2% | +13.7 | 37 |
| 2010-02-13 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 2-2 | 1445 | 1468 | 38.6% | 31.4% | 30.0% | -0.2 | 39 |
| 2010-02-13 | @ Ross County | D 2-2 | 1468 | 1445 | 30.0% | 31.4% | 38.6% | +0.2 | 30 |
| 2010-02-16 | Ayr United | W 3-0 | 1481 | 1417 | 51.8% | 26.1% | 22.1% | +9.9 | 36 |
| 2010-02-16 | @ Queen Of The South | L 0-3 | 1417 | 1481 | 22.1% | 26.1% | 51.8% | -9.9 | 12 |
| 2010-02-20 | Partick Thistle | W 1-0 | 1503 | 1450 | 50.1% | 27.0% | 22.9% | +3.8 | 47 |
| 2010-02-20 | @ Dundee | L 0-1 | 1450 | 1503 | 22.9% | 27.0% | 50.1% | -3.8 | 35 |
| 2010-02-20 | Ayr United | L 0-1 | 1468 | 1408 | 51.2% | 26.4% | 22.4% | -7.0 | 30 |
| 2010-02-20 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 1-0 | 1408 | 1468 | 22.4% | 26.4% | 51.2% | +7.0 | 15 |
| 2010-02-27 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-2 | 1385 | 1461 | 31.1% | 31.6% | 37.4% | -4.7 | 21 |
| 2010-02-27 | @ Greenock Morton | W 2-1 | 1461 | 1385 | 37.4% | 31.6% | 31.1% | +4.7 | 33 |
| 2010-02-27 | Ayr United | D 3-3 | 1539 | 1415 | 61.2% | 20.2% | 18.6% | -0.8 | 38 |
| 2010-02-27 | @ Inverness CT | D 3-3 | 1415 | 1539 | 18.6% | 20.2% | 61.2% | +0.8 | 16 |
| 2010-02-27 | Ross County | W 2-1 | 1446 | 1445 | 42.1% | 30.5% | 27.4% | +4.3 | 38 |
| 2010-02-27 | @ Partick Thistle | L 1-2 | 1445 | 1446 | 27.4% | 30.5% | 42.1% | -4.3 | 39 |
| 2010-03-06 | Greenock Morton | W 2-0 | 1415 | 1381 | 47.3% | 28.4% | 24.3% | +7.6 | 19 |
| 2010-03-06 | @ Ayr United | L 0-2 | 1381 | 1415 | 24.3% | 28.4% | 47.3% | -7.6 | 21 |
| 2010-03-06 | Inverness CT | D 2-2 | 1506 | 1538 | 37.3% | 31.6% | 31.1% | -0.1 | 48 |
| 2010-03-06 | @ Dundee | D 2-2 | 1538 | 1506 | 31.1% | 31.6% | 37.3% | +0.1 | 39 |
| 2010-03-06 | Airdrie United | W 2-0 | 1465 | 1330 | 62.9% | 19.0% | 18.1% | +5.1 | 36 |
| 2010-03-06 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-2 | 1330 | 1465 | 18.1% | 19.0% | 62.9% | -5.1 | 11 |
| 2010-03-06 | Partick Thistle | W 1-0 | 1491 | 1450 | 48.3% | 28.0% | 23.8% | +3.9 | 39 |
| 2010-03-06 | @ Queen Of The South | L 0-1 | 1450 | 1491 | 23.8% | 28.0% | 48.3% | -3.9 | 38 |
| 2010-03-06 | Raith Rovers | W 1-0 | 1441 | 1357 | 54.9% | 24.2% | 20.8% | +3.3 | 42 |
| 2010-03-06 | @ Ross County | L 0-1 | 1357 | 1441 | 20.8% | 24.2% | 54.9% | -3.3 | 26 |
| 2010-03-09 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 1-1 | 1325 | 1471 | 23.9% | 28.1% | 48.0% | +0.7 | 12 |
| 2010-03-09 | @ Airdrie United | D 1-1 | 1471 | 1325 | 48.0% | 28.1% | 23.9% | -0.7 | 37 |
| 2010-03-09 | Ross County | W 2-1 | 1354 | 1444 | 29.2% | 31.2% | 39.6% | +5.6 | 29 |
| 2010-03-09 | @ Raith Rovers | L 1-2 | 1444 | 1354 | 39.6% | 31.2% | 29.2% | -5.6 | 42 |
| 2010-03-09 | Queen Of The South | W 3-1 | 1538 | 1495 | 48.5% | 27.8% | 23.6% | +6.4 | 42 |
| 2010-03-09 | @ Inverness CT | L 1-3 | 1495 | 1538 | 23.6% | 27.8% | 48.5% | -6.4 | 39 |
| 2010-03-10 | Partick Thistle | W 1-0 | 1423 | 1446 | 38.5% | 31.4% | 30.1% | +4.9 | 22 |
| 2010-03-10 | @ Ayr United | L 0-1 | 1446 | 1423 | 30.1% | 31.4% | 38.5% | -4.9 | 38 |
| 2010-03-13 | Queen Of The South | W 3-1 | 1470 | 1489 | 39.1% | 31.3% | 29.6% | +7.9 | 40 |
| 2010-03-13 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-3 | 1489 | 1470 | 29.6% | 31.3% | 39.1% | -7.9 | 39 |
| 2010-03-13 | Ayr United | D 1-1 | 1326 | 1428 | 28.0% | 30.7% | 41.3% | +0.4 | 13 |
| 2010-03-13 | @ Airdrie United | D 1-1 | 1428 | 1326 | 41.3% | 30.7% | 28.0% | -0.4 | 23 |
| 2010-03-13 | Greenock Morton | W 1-0 | 1544 | 1373 | 68.3% | 15.3% | 16.4% | +2.3 | 45 |
| 2010-03-13 | @ Inverness CT | L 0-1 | 1373 | 1544 | 16.4% | 15.3% | 68.3% | -2.3 | 21 |
| 2010-03-16 | Raith Rovers | W 2-1 | 1478 | 1359 | 60.3% | 20.7% | 18.9% | +2.8 | 43 |
| 2010-03-16 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-2 | 1359 | 1478 | 18.9% | 20.7% | 60.3% | -2.7 | 29 |
| 2010-03-17 | Airdrie United | W 2-1 | 1371 | 1326 | 48.8% | 27.7% | 23.5% | +3.7 | 24 |
| 2010-03-17 | @ Greenock Morton | L 1-2 | 1326 | 1371 | 23.5% | 27.7% | 48.8% | -3.7 | 13 |
| 2010-03-17 | Dundee | D 1-1 | 1427 | 1506 | 30.6% | 31.5% | 37.9% | +0.2 | 24 |
| 2010-03-17 | @ Ayr United | D 1-1 | 1506 | 1427 | 37.9% | 31.5% | 30.6% | -0.2 | 49 |
| 2010-03-20 | Queen Of The South | W 3-0 | 1428 | 1481 | 34.1% | 31.8% | 34.1% | +14.7 | 27 |
| 2010-03-20 | @ Ayr United | L 0-3 | 1481 | 1428 | 34.1% | 31.8% | 34.1% | -14.7 | 39 |
| 2010-03-20 | Airdrie United | L 0-3 | 1506 | 1323 | 70.1% | 14.1% | 15.8% | -23.4 | 49 |
| 2010-03-20 | @ Dundee | W 3-0 | 1323 | 1506 | 15.8% | 14.1% | 70.1% | +23.4 | 16 |
| 2010-03-20 | Partick Thistle | W 1-0 | 1374 | 1441 | 32.2% | 31.7% | 36.1% | +5.6 | 27 |
| 2010-03-20 | @ Greenock Morton | L 0-1 | 1441 | 1374 | 36.1% | 31.7% | 32.2% | -5.6 | 38 |
| 2010-03-20 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-2 | 1356 | 1480 | 25.7% | 29.6% | 44.7% | -4.0 | 29 |
| 2010-03-20 | @ Raith Rovers | W 2-1 | 1480 | 1356 | 44.7% | 29.6% | 25.7% | +4.0 | 46 |
| 2010-03-20 | Inverness CT | D 0-0 | 1438 | 1547 | 27.3% | 30.4% | 42.3% | +0.5 | 43 |
| 2010-03-20 | @ Ross County | D 0-0 | 1547 | 1438 | 42.3% | 30.4% | 27.3% | -0.5 | 46 |
| 2010-03-23 | Queen Of The South | D 1-1 | 1483 | 1466 | 44.5% | 29.6% | 25.9% | -0.5 | 50 |
| 2010-03-23 | @ Dundee | D 1-1 | 1466 | 1483 | 25.9% | 29.6% | 44.5% | +0.5 | 40 |
| 2010-03-23 | Partick Thistle | L 1-2 | 1484 | 1436 | 49.5% | 27.4% | 23.2% | -6.5 | 46 |
| 2010-03-23 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 2-1 | 1436 | 1484 | 23.2% | 27.4% | 49.5% | +6.5 | 41 |
| 2010-03-23 | Raith Rovers | D 1-1 | 1380 | 1352 | 46.2% | 28.9% | 24.9% | -0.6 | 28 |
| 2010-03-23 | @ Greenock Morton | D 1-1 | 1352 | 1380 | 24.9% | 28.9% | 46.2% | +0.6 | 30 |
| 2010-03-23 | Airdrie United | W 4-0 | 1546 | 1346 | 72.4% | 12.5% | 15.0% | +7.2 | 49 |
| 2010-03-23 | @ Inverness CT | L 0-4 | 1346 | 1546 | 15.0% | 12.5% | 72.4% | -7.2 | 16 |
| 2010-03-27 | Greenock Morton | W 3-0 | 1339 | 1379 | 35.9% | 31.7% | 32.3% | +14.1 | 19 |
| 2010-03-27 | @ Airdrie United | L 0-3 | 1379 | 1339 | 32.3% | 31.7% | 35.9% | -14.1 | 28 |
| 2010-03-27 | Inverness CT | L 0-1 | 1442 | 1553 | 27.0% | 30.3% | 42.7% | -4.5 | 41 |
| 2010-03-27 | @ Partick Thistle | W 1-0 | 1553 | 1442 | 42.7% | 30.3% | 27.0% | +4.5 | 52 |
| 2010-03-27 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 2-0 | 1467 | 1478 | 40.2% | 31.0% | 28.7% | +8.9 | 43 |
| 2010-03-27 | @ Queen Of The South | L 0-2 | 1478 | 1467 | 28.7% | 31.0% | 40.2% | -8.9 | 46 |
| 2010-03-27 | Ayr United | D 1-1 | 1353 | 1442 | 29.4% | 31.2% | 39.4% | +0.3 | 31 |
| 2010-03-27 | @ Raith Rovers | D 1-1 | 1442 | 1353 | 39.4% | 31.2% | 29.4% | -0.3 | 28 |
| 2010-03-27 | Dundee | D 1-1 | 1439 | 1482 | 35.5% | 31.8% | 32.7% | -0.1 | 44 |
| 2010-03-27 | @ Ross County | D 1-1 | 1482 | 1439 | 32.7% | 31.8% | 35.5% | +0.1 | 51 |
| 2010-03-30 | Ayr United | W 1-0 | 1365 | 1442 | 30.9% | 31.6% | 37.6% | +5.7 | 31 |
| 2010-03-30 | @ Greenock Morton | L 0-1 | 1442 | 1365 | 37.6% | 31.6% | 30.9% | -5.7 | 28 |
| 2010-03-30 | Ross County | W 3-0 | 1558 | 1439 | 60.4% | 20.7% | 18.9% | +7.9 | 55 |
| 2010-03-30 | @ Inverness CT | L 0-3 | 1439 | 1558 | 18.9% | 20.7% | 60.4% | -7.9 | 44 |
| 2010-03-30 | Dundee | W 2-1 | 1469 | 1482 | 40.0% | 31.1% | 28.9% | +4.5 | 49 |
| 2010-03-30 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-2 | 1482 | 1469 | 28.9% | 31.1% | 40.0% | -4.5 | 51 |
| 2010-04-03 | Partick Thistle | W 2-0 | 1353 | 1438 | 29.9% | 31.4% | 38.7% | +11.0 | 22 |
| 2010-04-03 | @ Airdrie United | L 0-2 | 1438 | 1353 | 38.7% | 31.4% | 29.9% | -11.0 | 41 |
| 2010-04-03 | Ayr United | W 3-0 | 1478 | 1436 | 48.3% | 27.9% | 23.7% | +10.8 | 54 |
| 2010-04-03 | @ Dundee | L 0-3 | 1436 | 1478 | 23.7% | 27.9% | 48.3% | -10.8 | 28 |
| 2010-04-03 | Ross County | L 1-2 | 1474 | 1431 | 48.5% | 27.9% | 23.6% | -6.4 | 49 |
| 2010-04-03 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 2-1 | 1431 | 1474 | 23.6% | 27.9% | 48.5% | +6.4 | 47 |
| 2010-04-03 | Queen Of The South | D 3-3 | 1371 | 1476 | 27.7% | 30.6% | 41.8% | +0.3 | 32 |
| 2010-04-03 | @ Greenock Morton | D 3-3 | 1476 | 1371 | 41.8% | 30.6% | 27.7% | -0.2 | 44 |
| 2010-04-03 | Raith Rovers | W 4-3 | 1566 | 1353 | 74.1% | 11.4% | 14.5% | +1.7 | 58 |
| 2010-04-03 | @ Inverness CT | L 3-4 | 1353 | 1566 | 14.5% | 11.4% | 74.1% | -1.7 | 31 |
| 2010-04-06 | Inverness CT | L 0-2 | 1371 | 1567 | 20.5% | 23.6% | 55.9% | -6.2 | 32 |
| 2010-04-06 | @ Greenock Morton | W 2-0 | 1567 | 1371 | 55.9% | 23.6% | 20.5% | +6.2 | 61 |
| 2010-04-06 | Queen Of The South | D 1-1 | 1437 | 1475 | 36.3% | 31.7% | 32.0% | -0.1 | 48 |
| 2010-04-06 | @ Ross County | D 1-1 | 1475 | 1437 | 32.0% | 31.7% | 36.3% | +0.1 | 45 |
| 2010-04-07 | Raith Rovers | L 0-2 | 1426 | 1352 | 53.4% | 25.2% | 21.4% | -13.6 | 28 |
| 2010-04-07 | @ Ayr United | W 2-0 | 1352 | 1426 | 21.4% | 25.2% | 53.4% | +13.6 | 34 |
| 2010-04-10 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-2 | 1412 | 1467 | 33.8% | 31.8% | 34.4% | -5.0 | 28 |
| 2010-04-10 | @ Ayr United | W 2-1 | 1467 | 1412 | 34.4% | 31.8% | 33.8% | +5.0 | 52 |
| 2010-04-10 | Dundee | L 0-1 | 1427 | 1489 | 32.9% | 31.8% | 35.4% | -5.2 | 41 |
| 2010-04-10 | @ Partick Thistle | W 1-0 | 1489 | 1427 | 35.4% | 31.8% | 32.9% | +5.2 | 57 |
| 2010-04-10 | Inverness CT | L 1-3 | 1475 | 1574 | 28.4% | 30.9% | 40.8% | -7.6 | 45 |
| 2010-04-10 | @ Queen Of The South | W 3-1 | 1574 | 1475 | 40.8% | 30.9% | 28.4% | +7.6 | 64 |
| 2010-04-12 | Queen Of The South | L 0-1 | 1364 | 1468 | 27.7% | 30.6% | 41.6% | -4.6 | 22 |
| 2010-04-12 | @ Airdrie United | W 1-0 | 1468 | 1364 | 41.6% | 30.6% | 27.7% | +4.6 | 48 |
| 2010-04-13 | Ross County | D 1-1 | 1365 | 1437 | 31.5% | 31.6% | 36.9% | +0.1 | 33 |
| 2010-04-13 | @ Greenock Morton | D 1-1 | 1437 | 1365 | 36.9% | 31.6% | 31.5% | -0.2 | 49 |
| 2010-04-14 | Raith Rovers | W 3-0 | 1359 | 1365 | 41.1% | 30.8% | 28.1% | +12.7 | 25 |
| 2010-04-14 | @ Airdrie United | L 0-3 | 1365 | 1359 | 28.1% | 30.8% | 41.1% | -12.7 | 34 |
| 2010-04-17 | Raith Rovers | W 3-0 | 1472 | 1353 | 60.5% | 20.6% | 18.9% | +7.9 | 51 |
| 2010-04-17 | @ Queen Of The South | L 0-3 | 1353 | 1472 | 18.9% | 20.6% | 60.5% | -7.9 | 34 |
| 2010-04-17 | Ross County | D 1-1 | 1372 | 1437 | 32.4% | 31.8% | 35.8% | +0.1 | 26 |
| 2010-04-17 | @ Airdrie United | D 1-1 | 1437 | 1372 | 35.8% | 31.8% | 32.4% | -0.1 | 50 |
| 2010-04-17 | Dundee | D 2-2 | 1365 | 1494 | 25.3% | 29.3% | 45.4% | +0.5 | 34 |
| 2010-04-17 | @ Greenock Morton | D 2-2 | 1494 | 1365 | 45.4% | 29.3% | 25.3% | -0.4 | 58 |
| 2010-04-17 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 2-0 | 1581 | 1472 | 58.9% | 21.7% | 19.4% | +5.7 | 67 |
| 2010-04-17 | @ Inverness CT | L 0-2 | 1472 | 1581 | 19.4% | 21.7% | 58.9% | -5.7 | 52 |
| 2010-04-17 | Ayr United | L 0-1 | 1421 | 1407 | 44.2% | 29.8% | 26.1% | -6.4 | 41 |
| 2010-04-17 | @ Partick Thistle | W 1-0 | 1407 | 1421 | 26.1% | 29.8% | 44.2% | +6.4 | 31 |
| 2010-04-19 | Raith Rovers | D 0-0 | 1415 | 1345 | 52.8% | 25.5% | 21.7% | -1.0 | 42 |
| 2010-04-19 | @ Partick Thistle | D 0-0 | 1345 | 1415 | 21.7% | 25.5% | 52.8% | +1.1 | 35 |
| 2010-04-20 | Ross County | W 1-0 | 1480 | 1437 | 48.6% | 27.8% | 23.6% | +3.9 | 54 |
| 2010-04-20 | @ Queen Of The South | L 0-1 | 1437 | 1480 | 23.6% | 27.8% | 48.6% | -3.9 | 50 |
| 2010-04-21 | Airdrie United | L 1-4 | 1413 | 1372 | 48.3% | 28.0% | 23.8% | -15.6 | 31 |
| 2010-04-21 | @ Ayr United | W 4-1 | 1372 | 1413 | 23.8% | 28.0% | 48.3% | +15.6 | 29 |
| 2010-04-21 | Dundee | W 1-0 | 1346 | 1493 | 23.7% | 27.9% | 48.3% | +6.8 | 38 |
| 2010-04-21 | @ Raith Rovers | L 0-1 | 1493 | 1346 | 48.3% | 27.9% | 23.7% | -6.8 | 58 |
| 2010-04-24 | Inverness CT | L 0-7 | 1398 | 1587 | 20.9% | 24.3% | 54.8% | -20.4 | 31 |
| 2010-04-24 | @ Ayr United | W 7-0 | 1587 | 1398 | 54.8% | 24.3% | 20.9% | +20.4 | 70 |
| 2010-04-24 | Raith Rovers | W 2-0 | 1487 | 1352 | 62.7% | 19.1% | 18.1% | +5.1 | 61 |
| 2010-04-24 | @ Dundee | L 0-2 | 1352 | 1487 | 18.1% | 19.1% | 62.7% | -5.1 | 38 |
| 2010-04-24 | Greenock Morton | W 4-1 | 1466 | 1366 | 57.6% | 22.5% | 19.9% | +7.2 | 55 |
| 2010-04-24 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-4 | 1366 | 1466 | 19.9% | 22.5% | 57.6% | -7.2 | 34 |
| 2010-04-24 | Airdrie United | D 2-2 | 1484 | 1388 | 56.9% | 23.0% | 20.1% | -0.8 | 55 |
| 2010-04-24 | @ Queen Of The South | D 2-2 | 1388 | 1484 | 20.1% | 23.0% | 56.9% | +0.8 | 30 |
| 2010-04-24 | Partick Thistle | L 1-2 | 1433 | 1414 | 44.9% | 29.5% | 25.6% | -6.1 | 50 |
| 2010-04-24 | @ Ross County | W 2-1 | 1414 | 1433 | 25.6% | 29.5% | 44.9% | +6.1 | 45 |
| 2010-04-26 | Airdrie United | L 0-1 | 1347 | 1389 | 35.8% | 31.8% | 32.5% | -5.5 | 38 |
| 2010-04-26 | @ Raith Rovers | W 1-0 | 1389 | 1347 | 32.5% | 31.8% | 35.8% | +5.5 | 33 |
| 2010-04-26 | Greenock Morton | W 2-1 | 1427 | 1358 | 52.5% | 25.7% | 21.8% | +3.3 | 53 |
| 2010-04-26 | @ Ross County | L 1-2 | 1358 | 1427 | 21.8% | 25.7% | 52.5% | -3.3 | 34 |
| 2010-04-28 | Ross County | L 0-1 | 1377 | 1430 | 34.1% | 31.8% | 34.1% | -5.4 | 31 |
| 2010-04-28 | @ Ayr United | W 1-0 | 1430 | 1377 | 34.1% | 31.8% | 34.1% | +5.4 | 56 |
| 2010-04-28 | Queen Of The South | D 0-0 | 1342 | 1483 | 24.2% | 28.4% | 47.4% | +0.8 | 39 |
| 2010-04-28 | @ Raith Rovers | D 0-0 | 1483 | 1342 | 47.4% | 28.4% | 24.2% | -0.8 | 56 |
| 2010-05-01 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-1 | 1394 | 1474 | 30.6% | 31.5% | 38.0% | -5.0 | 33 |
| 2010-05-01 | @ Airdrie United | W 1-0 | 1474 | 1394 | 38.0% | 31.5% | 30.6% | +5.0 | 58 |
| 2010-05-01 | Ayr United | W 2-1 | 1355 | 1372 | 39.4% | 31.2% | 29.4% | +4.5 | 37 |
| 2010-05-01 | @ Greenock Morton | L 1-2 | 1372 | 1355 | 29.4% | 31.2% | 39.4% | -4.5 | 31 |
| 2010-05-01 | Dundee | W 1-0 | 1607 | 1492 | 59.9% | 21.0% | 19.1% | +2.9 | 73 |
| 2010-05-01 | @ Inverness CT | L 0-1 | 1492 | 1607 | 19.1% | 21.0% | 59.9% | -2.9 | 61 |
| 2010-05-01 | Queen Of The South | W 1-0 | 1420 | 1483 | 32.8% | 31.8% | 35.5% | +5.5 | 48 |
| 2010-05-01 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-1 | 1483 | 1420 | 35.5% | 31.8% | 32.8% | -5.5 | 56 |
| 2010-05-01 | Ross County | W 4-1 | 1343 | 1436 | 28.9% | 31.1% | 40.0% | +13.8 | 42 |
| 2010-05-01 | @ Raith Rovers | L 1-4 | 1436 | 1343 | 40.0% | 31.1% | 28.9% | -13.8 | 56 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2010-03-20 | 15.82% | Airdrie United | 1323 | 3 | @ Dundee | 1506 | 0 |
| 2 | 2010-02-13 | 19.35% | Greenock Morton | 1378 | 2 | @ Queen Of The South | 1489 | 1 |
| 3 | 2009-08-29 | 19.36% | Ross County | 1403 | 3 | @ Inverness CT | 1514 | 1 |
| 4 | 2009-08-29 | 19.91% | Raith Rovers | 1367 | 2 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 1468 | 0 |
| 5 | 2009-10-03 | 20.75% | Greenock Morton | 1385 | 3 | @ Queen Of The South | 1471 | 2 |
| 6 | 2009-08-22 | 20.80% | Greenock Morton | 1413 | 2 | @ Ayr United | 1498 | 0 |
| 7 | 2010-01-03 | 21.39% | @ Airdrie United | 1332 | 1 | Dundee | 1513 | 0 |
| 8 | 2010-04-07 | 21.45% | Raith Rovers | 1352 | 2 | @ Ayr United | 1426 | 0 |
| 9 | 2009-10-31 | 21.55% | Raith Rovers | 1395 | 2 | @ Partick Thistle | 1467 | 1 |
| 10 | 2010-01-30 | 21.58% | Ross County | 1438 | 1 | @ Dundee | 1510 | 0 |
| 11 | 2010-02-20 | 22.36% | Ayr United | 1408 | 1 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 1468 | 0 |
| 12 | 2009-09-26 | 22.45% | Partick Thistle | 1454 | 3 | @ Inverness CT | 1513 | 2 |
| 13 | 2009-08-22 | 23.12% | Raith Rovers | 1360 | 1 | @ Ross County | 1410 | 0 |
| 14 | 2010-03-23 | 23.18% | Partick Thistle | 1436 | 2 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 1484 | 1 |
| 15 | 2009-10-10 | 23.64% | Queen Of The South | 1464 | 3 | @ Inverness CT | 1507 | 1 |
| 16 | 2010-04-03 | 23.65% | Ross County | 1431 | 2 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 1474 | 1 |
| 17 | 2010-04-21 | 23.73% | @ Raith Rovers | 1346 | 1 | Dundee | 1493 | 0 |
| 18 | 2010-04-21 | 23.77% | Airdrie United | 1372 | 4 | @ Ayr United | 1413 | 1 |
| 19 | 2009-12-01 | 24.24% | Dunfermline Athletic | 1456 | 2 | @ Queen Of The South | 1491 | 1 |
| 20 | 2010-04-24 | 25.64% | Partick Thistle | 1414 | 2 | @ Ross County | 1433 | 1 |
| 21 | 2010-04-17 | 26.06% | Ayr United | 1407 | 1 | @ Partick Thistle | 1421 | 0 |
| 22 | 2010-01-23 | 26.62% | Dunfermline Athletic | 1453 | 4 | @ Partick Thistle | 1462 | 1 |
| 23 | 2010-01-23 | 27.06% | Greenock Morton | 1372 | 2 | @ Raith Rovers | 1376 | 1 |
| 24 | 2009-11-07 | 28.06% | @ Ross County | 1421 | 2 | Inverness CT | 1522 | 1 |
| 25 | 2010-01-16 | 28.46% | @ Raith Rovers | 1370 | 1 | Partick Thistle | 1468 | 0 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2010-03-20 | 23.36 | Airdrie United | 3 | 1323 | 15.82% | @ Dundee | 0 | 1506 | 70.06% | |
| 2 | 2009-11-14 | 22.48 | @ Greenock Morton | 5 | 1360 | 36.56% | Raith Rovers | 0 | 1396 | 31.76% | |
| 3 | 2010-04-24 | 20.36 | Inverness CT | 7 | 1587 | 54.83% | @ Ayr United | 0 | 1398 | 20.88% | |
| 4 | 2009-08-29 | 20.12 | @ Partick Thistle | 5 | 1426 | 41.78% | Greenock Morton | 0 | 1427 | 27.62% | |
| 5 | 2009-10-24 | 16.31 | Inverness CT | 5 | 1500 | 33.08% | @ Ayr United | 1 | 1454 | 35.13% | |
| 6 | 2010-04-21 | 15.65 | Airdrie United | 4 | 1372 | 23.77% | @ Ayr United | 1 | 1413 | 48.26% | |
| 7 | 2010-03-20 | 14.68 | @ Ayr United | 3 | 1428 | 34.08% | Queen Of The South | 0 | 1481 | 34.11% | |
| 8 | 2010-01-23 | 14.55 | Dunfermline Athletic | 4 | 1453 | 26.62% | @ Partick Thistle | 1 | 1462 | 43.28% | |
| 9 | 2009-08-29 | 14.29 | Raith Rovers | 2 | 1367 | 19.91% | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 0 | 1468 | 57.47% | |
| 10 | 2010-03-27 | 14.14 | @ Airdrie United | 3 | 1339 | 35.93% | Greenock Morton | 0 | 1379 | 32.33% | |
| 11 | 2009-08-22 | 13.91 | Greenock Morton | 2 | 1413 | 20.80% | @ Ayr United | 0 | 1498 | 55.06% | |
| 12 | 2010-05-01 | 13.80 | @ Raith Rovers | 4 | 1343 | 28.92% | Ross County | 1 | 1436 | 40.00% | |
| 13 | 2010-02-13 | 13.74 | Inverness CT | 4 | 1525 | 49.36% | @ Raith Rovers | 0 | 1371 | 23.23% | |
| 14 | 2009-09-26 | 13.66 | Queen Of The South | 4 | 1457 | 29.39% | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 1 | 1440 | 39.39% | |
| 15 | 2010-04-07 | 13.65 | Raith Rovers | 2 | 1352 | 21.45% | @ Ayr United | 0 | 1426 | 53.38% | |
| 16 | 2009-09-19 | 12.95 | @ Raith Rovers | 3 | 1382 | 40.14% | Greenock Morton | 0 | 1394 | 28.81% | |
| 17 | 2009-09-12 | 12.94 | Inverness CT | 3 | 1501 | 40.18% | @ Greenock Morton | 0 | 1407 | 28.79% | |
| 18 | 2010-04-14 | 12.69 | @ Airdrie United | 3 | 1359 | 41.08% | Raith Rovers | 0 | 1365 | 28.12% | |
| 19 | 2009-08-29 | 12.59 | Ross County | 3 | 1403 | 19.36% | @ Inverness CT | 1 | 1514 | 59.07% | |
| 20 | 2009-10-10 | 11.10 | Queen Of The South | 3 | 1464 | 23.64% | @ Inverness CT | 1 | 1507 | 48.53% | |
| 21 | 2010-04-03 | 11.03 | @ Airdrie United | 2 | 1353 | 29.91% | Partick Thistle | 0 | 1438 | 38.74% | |
| 22 | 2009-12-05 | 10.91 | Dundee | 2 | 1492 | 30.39% | @ Partick Thistle | 0 | 1467 | 38.15% | |
| 23 | 2009-08-15 | 10.88 | Dunfermline Athletic | 2 | 1450 | 30.51% | @ Greenock Morton | 0 | 1424 | 38.00% | |
| 24 | 2010-04-03 | 10.78 | @ Dundee | 3 | 1478 | 48.32% | Ayr United | 0 | 1436 | 23.74% | |
| 25 | 2010-02-16 | 9.92 | @ Queen Of The South | 3 | 1481 | 51.81% | Ayr United | 0 | 1417 | 22.11% | |