2015-16 Championship Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

Rangers

81 pts

Relegated

Alloa Athletic

21 pts

Livingston · via playoff

Biggest Overachiever

Raith Rovers

16.41 points above expected

62 points · 45.59 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Queen of the South

10.62 points below expected

42 points · 52.62 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Rangers Promoted	36	25	6	5	81	88	34	+54	75.43	+5.57
2	Falkirk	36	19	13	4	70	61	34	+27	59.29	+10.71
3	Hibernian	36	21	7	8	70	59	34	+25	71.85	-1.85
4	Raith Rovers	36	18	8	10	62	52	46	+6	45.59	+16.41
5	Greenock Morton	36	11	10	15	43	39	42	-3	40.98	+2.02
6	St. Mirren	36	11	9	16	42	44	53	-9	50.03	-8.03
7	Queen of the South	36	12	6	18	42	46	56	-10	52.62	-10.62
8	Dumbarton	36	10	7	19	37	35	66	-31	32.86	+4.14
9	Livingston Relegated	36	8	7	21	31	37	51	-14	41.39	-10.39
10	Alloa Athletic Relegated	36	4	9	23	21	22	67	-45	31.13	-10.13

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Raith Rovers	62	45.59	+16.41
2	Falkirk	70	59.29	+10.71
3	Rangers	81	75.43	+5.57
4	Dumbarton	37	32.86	+4.14
5	Greenock Morton	43	40.98	+2.02

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Queen of the South	42	52.62	-10.62
2	Livingston	31	41.39	-10.39
3	Alloa Athletic	21	31.13	-10.13
4	St. Mirren	42	50.03	-8.03
5	Hibernian	70	71.85	-1.85

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rangers	11	Aug 7 – Oct 25	1 in 348
2	Raith Rovers	5	Sep 12 – Oct 17	1 in 142
3	Hibernian	8	Oct 3 – Nov 21	1 in 113
4	Greenock Morton	4	Oct 24 – Nov 14	1 in 52
5	Dumbarton	2	Aug 8 – Aug 15	1 in 30

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hibernian	4	Feb 24 – Mar 19	1 in 1,370
2	Alloa Athletic	7	Oct 17 – Dec 5	1 in 71
3	Queen of the South	3	Aug 30 – Sep 12	1 in 27
4	Livingston	3	Aug 8 – Aug 22	1 in 12
5	Greenock Morton	4	Sep 27 – Oct 17	1 in 11

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Raith Rovers	11	Mar 5 – May 1	1 in 469
2	Alloa Athletic	5	Apr 2 – May 1	1 in 192
3	Falkirk	12	Oct 24 – Jan 23	1 in 74
4	Greenock Morton	6	Oct 24 – Dec 12	1 in 45
5	Hibernian	14	Aug 29 – Dec 19	1 in 29

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hibernian	5	Feb 24 – Apr 2	1 in 122
2	Rangers	4	Apr 20 – May 1	1 in 108
3	Queen of the South	6	Aug 30 – Oct 3	1 in 25
4	St. Mirren	6	Oct 25 – Dec 12	1 in 16
5	Alloa Athletic	12	Jan 23 – Apr 2	1 in 14

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Rangers	1553	81	-21	5	11.3	-6.3
Hibernian	1477	70	+20	11	8.6	+2.4
Falkirk	1453	70	+6	9	8.6	+0.4
Raith Rovers	1349	62	+17	11	6.4	+4.6
Greenock Morton	1296	43	-7	5	6.1	-1.1
St. Mirren	1331	42	+0	5	5.9	-0.9
Queen of the South	1326	42	-18	4	7.8	-3.8
Dumbarton	1198	37	+9	7	4.7	+2.3
Livingston	1275	31	-12	3	4.8	-1.8
Alloa Athletic	1163	21	+16	7	3.7	+3.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AA	DUM	FAL	GM	HIB	LIV	QOTS	RR	RAN	SM
Alloa Athletic	—	1-1-2 5.22	0-1-3 2.70	0-1-3 4.45	1-0-3 2.04	1-1-2 4.17	0-1-3 3.42	1-1-2 4.12	0-2-2 1.84	0-1-3 3.40
Dumbarton	2-1-1 5.81	—	0-1-3 3.02	0-2-2 4.43	2-0-2 2.30	2-1-1 4.42	1-0-3 3.43	0-2-2 4.07	0-0-4 1.73	3-0-1 3.59
Falkirk	3-1-0 8.52	3-1-0 8.15	—	3-1-0 7.52	0-3-1 4.44	2-1-1 7.58	1-3-0 6.64	2-2-0 7.28	2-0-2 3.56	3-1-0 6.56
Greenock Morton	3-1-0 6.61	2-2-0 6.62	0-1-3 3.59	—	1-1-2 2.73	3-1-0 5.47	2-1-1 4.27	0-0-4 5.37	0-1-3 2.22	0-2-2 4.67
Hibernian	3-0-1 9.29	2-0-2 8.97	1-3-0 6.62	2-1-1 8.48	—	3-1-0 8.46	3-0-1 7.56	3-0-1 8.10	2-0-2 4.65	2-2-0 7.71
Livingston	2-1-1 6.91	1-1-2 6.63	1-1-2 3.53	0-1-3 5.56	0-1-3 2.73	—	1-0-3 4.34	1-0-3 5.31	1-1-2 2.24	1-1-2 4.48
Queen of the South	3-1-0 7.70	3-0-1 7.68	0-3-1 4.42	1-1-2 6.79	1-0-3 3.55	3-0-1 6.72	—	0-1-3 6.43	0-0-4 3.20	1-0-3 5.91
Raith Rovers	2-1-1 6.96	2-2-0 7.00	0-2-2 3.81	4-0-0 5.67	1-0-3 3.06	3-0-1 5.73	3-1-0 4.62	—	0-1-3 2.33	3-1-0 4.79
Rangers	2-2-0 9.54	4-0-0 9.66	2-0-2 7.55	3-1-0 9.06	2-0-2 6.40	2-1-1 9.03	4-0-0 7.96	3-1-0 8.93	—	3-1-0 8.13
St. Mirren	3-1-0 7.72	1-0-3 7.51	0-1-3 4.50	2-2-0 6.37	0-2-2 3.41	2-1-1 6.58	3-0-1 5.13	0-1-3 6.26	0-1-3 3.04	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.88	+10.1
Allowed	0.76	-13.6
Differential	0.92	+6.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	12.50%	4.72%	2.78%	1.11%	1.39%	28.06%
1	12.50%	10.00%	6.94%	3.06%	1.39%	0.56%	34.44%
2	4.72%	6.94%	6.11%	2.50%	1.11%	—	21.39%
3	2.78%	3.06%	2.50%	1.11%	0.56%	—	10.00%
4	1.11%	1.39%	1.11%	0.56%	—	—	4.17%
5+	1.39%	0.56%	—	—	—	—	1.94%
Total	28.06%	34.44%	21.39%	10.00%	4.17%	1.94%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.34	1.34	+0.00
SD	1.23	1.23	1.81
CV	0.92	0.92	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	19.44%	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	47.22%
1	8.33%	16.67%	2.78%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	44.44%
2	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	8.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.89%	36.11%	16.67%	22.22%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.61	1.86	-1.25
SD	0.64	1.38	1.59
CV	1.06	0.74	—
Max	2	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	13.89%	11.11%	—	5.56%	8.33%	47.22%
1	5.56%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	22.22%
2	2.78%	11.11%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	19.44%
3	—	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	36.11%	25.00%	5.56%	8.33%	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.83	-0.86
SD	1.13	1.61	2.07
CV	1.17	0.88	—
Max	4	6	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
1	16.67%	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	38.89%
2	5.56%	11.11%	13.89%	—	—	—	30.56%
3	2.78%	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	36.11%	36.11%	25.00%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.69	0.94	+0.75
SD	1.19	0.86	1.42
CV	0.70	0.91	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	22.22%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	41.67%
1	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	25.00%
2	5.56%	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
3	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	36.11%	22.22%	8.33%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.17	-0.08
SD	1.18	1.06	1.46
CV	1.09	0.90	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
1	19.44%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	27.78%
3	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	41.67%	33.33%	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	0.94	+0.69
SD	1.17	1.04	1.53
CV	0.72	1.10	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	19.44%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	41.67%
1	2.78%	11.11%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	—	33.33%
2	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	11.11%
3	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	41.67%	22.22%	11.11%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.42	-0.39
SD	1.18	1.11	1.69
CV	1.15	0.78	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	11.11%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
1	16.67%	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	36.11%
2	5.56%	2.78%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	25.00%
3	—	5.56%	—	—	2.78%	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	27.78%	22.22%	30.56%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.28	1.56	-0.28
SD	1.23	1.36	1.88
CV	0.97	0.88	—
Max	6	5	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	25.00%
1	13.89%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
2	5.56%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
3	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	36.11%	22.22%	11.11%	—	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.44	1.28	+0.17
SD	1.13	1.16	1.58
CV	0.78	0.91	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
1	19.44%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
3	2.78%	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
4	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
5+	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	41.67%	33.33%	13.89%	11.11%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.44	0.94	+1.50
SD	1.52	1.01	1.83
CV	0.62	1.07	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	11.11%	—	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
1	13.89%	13.89%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	50.00%
2	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	19.44%
3	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	33.33%	19.44%	13.89%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	1.47	-0.25
SD	0.90	1.25	1.38
CV	0.73	0.85	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Rangers	1553	81	75.43	+5.57	82.0%	60	64	70	75	80	87	94
Hibernian	1477	70	71.85	-1.85	41.0%	52	58	66	72	77	84	89
Falkirk	1453	70	59.29	+10.71	95.0%	41	47	54	60	64	70	79
Raith Rovers	1349	62	45.59	+16.41	98.0%	30	35	40	45	50	58	68
St. Mirren	1331	42	50.03	-8.03	13.0%	36	39	45	50	55	60	72
Queen of the South	1326	42	52.62	-10.62	11.0%	36	38	47	53	58	64	68
Greenock Morton	1296	43	40.98	+2.02	69.0%	16	29	37	40	44	52	59
Livingston	1275	31	41.39	-10.39	8.0%	21	30	36	42	46	52	59
Dumbarton	1198	37	32.86	+4.14	71.0%	14	20	27	32	38	46	51
Alloa Athletic	1163	21	31.13	-10.13	8.0%	15	20	27	31	35	43	46

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+17.22%

Slight Edge

47.22%22.78%30.00%

Elo Value

Home Edge

192 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

060.44500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.31 goals

Neutral

-2+0.32+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.1

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

58%

Rangers, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.31/gm

Runaway

00.230.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.81 * Some Luck: 5.81 to 8.71 * Lucky: 8.71 to 11.61 * Wild Swing: 11.61 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.78 * Close: 0.78 to 1.16 * Off: 1.16 to 1.55 * Way Off: 1.55 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.14 * A Surprise: 1.14 to 1.82 * Several Surprises: 1.82 to 2.51 * Many Surprises: 2.51 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

9.09 points

Lucky

07.2618

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.40

Off

00.972

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

98.00%

Raith Rovers

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

8.00%

Livingston

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

1 of 2

As Expected

01.12

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.21

Lopsided

00.130.20.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 122.41

2.45

Wide Separation

0.751.51.82.153

Interquartile Edge

70%

Clear Edge

50%63.5%74.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

90%

Clear Edge

50%91%100%

Close Games

Expected

68%

Very Frequent

0%59%100%

Blowouts

Expected

14%

Rare

0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.58

Predictable

00.582

Matchup Imbalance

0.39

Slight Separation

00.340.420.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.67

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

0.52

Some Carryover

00.380.570.71

Upset Rate

Expected

22%

Upset-Prone

0%24%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

18%

As Expected

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.

Probability calibration

0.12

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.09

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.080

Well Within Noise

00.1220.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Rangers	58.00%	37.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Falkirk	4.00%	11.00%	52.00%	16.00%	10.00%	5.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
Hibernian	38.00%	44.00%	13.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Raith Rovers	—	1.00%	3.00%	14.00%	16.00%	29.00%	20.00%	12.00%	5.00%	—
Greenock Morton	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	14.00%	12.00%	20.00%	26.00%	16.00%	7.00%
St. Mirren	—	3.00%	5.00%	26.00%	25.00%	23.00%	8.00%	7.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Queen of the South	—	3.00%	19.00%	32.00%	21.00%	7.00%	11.00%	5.00%	2.00%	—
Dumbarton	—	—	—	—	1.00%	8.00%	10.00%	13.00%	33.00%	35.00%
Livingston	—	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	12.00%	15.00%	20.00%	23.00%	17.00%	6.00%
Alloa Athletic	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	10.00%	13.00%	25.00%	51.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Direct promotion	Qualified for promotion playoff	Same level	Direct relegation
Rangers	58.00%	42.00%	—	—
Hibernian	38.00%	61.00%	1.00%	—
Falkirk	4.00%	79.00%	17.00%	—
Queen of the South	—	54.00%	46.00%	—
Raith Rovers	—	18.00%	82.00%	—
St. Mirren	—	34.00%	65.00%	1.00%
Livingston	—	7.00%	87.00%	6.00%
Greenock Morton	—	5.00%	88.00%	7.00%
Dumbarton	—	—	65.00%	35.00%
Alloa Athletic	—	—	49.00%	51.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2015-08-07	St. Mirren	W 3-1	43.8	1465	1377	51.95%	23.08%	24.97%	+0.78	+7.3	3
2015-08-07	@ Rangers	L 1-3	43.8	1377	1465	24.97%	23.08%	51.95%	-0.78	-7.3	0
2015-08-08	Alloa Athletic	W 3-1	39.5	1398	1276	56.09%	22.28%	21.63%	+0.95	+6.4	3
2015-08-08	@ Queen of the South	L 1-3	39.5	1276	1398	21.63%	22.28%	56.09%	-0.95	-6.4	0
2015-08-08	Falkirk	D 1-1	54.6	1263	1362	27.10%	23.46%	49.45%	-0.20	+0.8	1
2015-08-08	@ Greenock Morton	D 1-1	54.6	1362	1263	49.45%	23.46%	27.10%	+0.20	-0.8	1
2015-08-08	Hibernian	W 2-1	55.2	1235	1464	15.60%	19.86%	64.54%	-0.88	+9.2	3
2015-08-08	@ Dumbarton	L 1-2	55.2	1464	1235	64.54%	19.86%	15.60%	+0.88	-9.2	0
2015-08-08	Livingston	W 3-0	37.4	1271	1309	34.76%	24.14%	41.10%	+0.12	+18.3	3
2015-08-08	@ Raith Rovers	L 0-3	37.4	1309	1271	41.10%	24.14%	34.76%	-0.12	-18.3	0
2015-08-15	Dumbarton	L 1-2	52.7	1369	1244	56.50%	22.18%	21.32%	+0.97	-8.2	0
2015-08-15	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	52.7	1244	1369	21.32%	22.18%	56.50%	-0.97	+8.2	6
2015-08-15	Greenock Morton	W 1-0	35.5	1455	1264	63.72%	20.14%	16.14%	+1.31	+2.9	3
2015-08-15	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	35.5	1264	1455	16.14%	20.14%	63.72%	-1.31	-2.9	1
2015-08-15	Queen of the South	L 0-1	38.9	1290	1405	25.40%	23.17%	51.43%	-0.28	-4.5	0
2015-08-15	@ Livingston	W 1-0	38.9	1405	1290	51.43%	23.17%	25.40%	+0.28	+4.5	6
2015-08-15	Raith Rovers	W 1-0	38.8	1362	1289	49.93%	23.39%	26.68%	+0.69	+4.7	4
2015-08-15	@ Falkirk	L 0-1	38.8	1289	1362	26.68%	23.39%	49.93%	-0.69	-4.7	3
2015-08-16	Rangers	L 1-5	34.6	1270	1472	17.53%	20.80%	61.67%	-0.74	-9.5	0
2015-08-16	@ Alloa Athletic	W 5-1	34.6	1472	1270	61.67%	20.80%	17.53%	+0.74	+9.5	6
2015-08-21	St. Mirren	D 0-0	50.0	1261	1361	26.98%	23.44%	49.59%	-0.21	+0.9	2
2015-08-21	@ Greenock Morton	D 0-0	50.0	1361	1261	49.59%	23.44%	26.98%	+0.21	-0.9	1
2015-08-22	Alloa Athletic	W 3-0	34.6	1285	1260	43.47%	24.03%	32.50%	+0.44	+15.2	6
2015-08-22	@ Raith Rovers	L 0-3	34.6	1260	1285	32.50%	24.03%	43.47%	-0.44	-15.2	0
2015-08-22	Falkirk	L 1-2	45.3	1286	1366	29.26%	23.74%	47.00%	-0.10	-4.8	0
2015-08-22	@ Livingston	W 2-1	45.3	1366	1286	47.00%	23.74%	29.26%	+0.10	+4.8	7
2015-08-22	Queen of the South	L 0-2	33.5	1252	1409	21.21%	22.15%	56.64%	-0.51	-7.2	6
2015-08-22	@ Dumbarton	W 2-0	33.5	1409	1252	56.64%	22.15%	21.21%	+0.51	+7.2	9
2015-08-23	Hibernian	W 1-0	47.2	1482	1458	43.38%	24.03%	32.59%	+0.44	+5.6	9
2015-08-23	@ Rangers	L 0-1	47.2	1458	1482	32.59%	24.03%	43.38%	-0.44	-5.6	3
2015-08-28	Dumbarton	W 2-1	42.1	1371	1245	56.58%	22.16%	21.26%	+0.97	+3.6	10
2015-08-28	@ Falkirk	L 1-2	42.1	1245	1371	21.26%	22.16%	56.58%	-0.97	-3.6	6
2015-08-29	Greenock Morton	L 0-1	41.5	1245	1262	37.68%	24.19%	38.13%	+0.23	-6.2	0
2015-08-29	@ Alloa Athletic	W 1-0	41.5	1262	1245	38.13%	24.19%	37.68%	-0.23	+6.2	5
2015-08-29	Livingston	D 1-1	54.8	1360	1281	50.84%	23.26%	25.90%	+0.73	-0.9	2
2015-08-29	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	54.8	1281	1360	25.90%	23.26%	50.84%	-0.73	+0.9	1
2015-08-29	Raith Rovers	W 2-0	33.8	1453	1300	59.61%	21.40%	18.99%	+1.11	+6.5	6
2015-08-29	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	33.8	1300	1453	18.99%	21.40%	59.61%	-1.11	-6.5	6
2015-08-30	Rangers	L 1-5	43.4	1417	1487	30.46%	23.87%	45.67%	-0.05	-15.7	9
2015-08-30	@ Queen of the South	W 5-1	43.4	1487	1417	45.67%	23.87%	30.46%	+0.05	+15.7	12
2015-09-05	Alloa Athletic	L 0-2	38.8	1241	1239	40.40%	24.16%	35.44%	+0.33	-12.4	6
2015-09-05	@ Dumbarton	W 2-0	38.8	1239	1241	35.44%	24.16%	40.40%	-0.33	+12.4	3
2015-09-05	Greenock Morton	L 2-4	49.1	1282	1268	42.01%	24.10%	33.88%	+0.39	-9.9	1
2015-09-05	@ Livingston	W 4-2	49.1	1268	1282	33.88%	24.10%	42.01%	-0.39	+9.9	8
2015-09-05	Raith Rovers	W 5-0	31.3	1503	1293	65.59%	19.48%	14.92%	+1.41	+11.9	15
2015-09-05	@ Rangers	L 0-5	31.3	1293	1503	14.92%	19.48%	65.59%	-1.41	-11.9	6
2015-09-05	St. Mirren	L 0-2	42.7	1401	1360	45.84%	23.85%	30.31%	+0.53	-13.7	9
2015-09-05	@ Queen of the South	W 2-0	42.7	1360	1401	30.31%	23.85%	45.84%	-0.53	+13.7	5
2015-09-12	Alloa Athletic	W 3-0	29.4	1459	1251	65.40%	19.55%	15.05%	+1.40	+7.5	9
2015-09-12	@ Hibernian	L 0-3	29.4	1251	1459	15.05%	19.55%	65.40%	-1.40	-7.4	3
2015-09-12	Dumbarton	D 0-0	49.2	1278	1229	46.92%	23.75%	29.33%	+0.57	-0.7	9
2015-09-12	@ Greenock Morton	D 0-0	49.2	1229	1278	29.33%	23.75%	46.92%	-0.57	+0.7	7
2015-09-12	Falkirk	L 2-3	54.9	1373	1375	39.88%	24.17%	35.95%	+0.31	-5.8	5
2015-09-12	@ St. Mirren	W 3-2	54.9	1375	1373	35.95%	24.17%	39.88%	-0.31	+5.8	13
2015-09-12	Livingston	W 3-0	29.7	1515	1272	68.79%	18.25%	12.96%	+1.58	+6.3	18
2015-09-12	@ Rangers	L 0-3	29.7	1272	1515	12.96%	18.25%	68.79%	-1.58	-6.3	1
2015-09-12	Queen of the South	W 1-0	46.1	1281	1387	26.35%	23.33%	50.32%	-0.24	+7.9	9
2015-09-12	@ Raith Rovers	L 0-1	46.1	1387	1281	50.32%	23.33%	26.35%	+0.24	-7.9	9
2015-09-18	Raith Rovers	L 1-2	51.6	1367	1289	50.69%	23.28%	26.03%	+0.72	-7.5	5
2015-09-18	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	51.6	1289	1367	26.03%	23.28%	50.69%	-0.72	+7.5	12
2015-09-19	Falkirk	D 1-1	54.8	1244	1381	23.15%	22.68%	54.18%	-0.40	+1.1	4
2015-09-19	@ Alloa Athletic	D 1-1	54.8	1381	1244	54.18%	22.68%	23.15%	+0.40	-1.1	14
2015-09-19	Greenock Morton	D 2-2	60.9	1379	1278	53.64%	22.78%	23.58%	+0.85	-0.8	10
2015-09-19	@ Queen of the South	D 2-2	60.9	1278	1379	23.58%	22.78%	53.64%	-0.85	+0.8	10
2015-09-19	Hibernian	L 0-1	36.3	1266	1467	17.63%	20.84%	61.53%	-0.73	-3.2	1
2015-09-19	@ Livingston	W 1-0	36.3	1467	1266	61.53%	20.84%	17.63%	+0.73	+3.2	12
2015-09-19	Rangers	L 1-2	39.6	1229	1521	11.98%	17.54%	70.48%	-1.21	-2.0	7
2015-09-19	@ Dumbarton	W 2-1	39.6	1521	1229	70.48%	17.54%	11.98%	+1.21	+2.0	21
2015-09-25	Queen of the South	D 0-0	51.4	1380	1379	40.23%	24.16%	35.61%	+0.32	-0.2	15
2015-09-25	@ Falkirk	D 0-0	51.4	1379	1380	35.61%	24.16%	40.23%	-0.32	+0.2	11
2015-09-26	Dumbarton	W 1-0	38.1	1297	1227	49.54%	23.44%	27.01%	+0.68	+4.8	15
2015-09-26	@ Raith Rovers	L 0-1	38.1	1227	1297	27.01%	23.44%	49.54%	-0.68	-4.8	7
2015-09-26	Livingston	L 0-3	36.0	1245	1262	37.59%	24.19%	38.21%	+0.22	-17.1	4
2015-09-26	@ Alloa Athletic	W 3-0	36.0	1262	1245	38.21%	24.19%	37.59%	-0.22	+17.1	4
2015-09-26	St. Mirren	D 1-1	58.1	1470	1360	54.62%	22.59%	22.79%	+0.89	-1.1	13
2015-09-26	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	58.1	1360	1470	22.79%	22.59%	54.62%	-0.89	+1.1	6
2015-09-27	Rangers	L 0-4	30.6	1278	1523	14.63%	19.31%	66.06%	-0.96	-9.4	10
2015-09-27	@ Greenock Morton	W 4-0	30.6	1523	1278	66.06%	19.31%	14.63%	+0.96	+9.4	24
2015-10-03	Alloa Athletic	D 1-1	54.8	1361	1228	57.37%	21.98%	20.65%	+1.01	-1.3	7
2015-10-03	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	54.8	1228	1361	20.65%	21.98%	57.37%	-1.01	+1.3	5
2015-10-03	Falkirk	W 3-1	43.7	1533	1379	59.66%	21.38%	18.96%	+1.12	+5.6	27
2015-10-03	@ Rangers	L 1-3	43.7	1379	1533	18.96%	21.38%	59.66%	-1.12	-5.6	15
2015-10-03	Greenock Morton	W 2-1	45.4	1302	1269	44.65%	23.95%	31.40%	+0.49	+5.1	18
2015-10-03	@ Raith Rovers	L 1-2	45.4	1269	1302	31.40%	23.95%	44.65%	-0.49	-5.1	10
2015-10-03	Hibernian	L 0-3	37.4	1379	1469	28.13%	23.60%	48.27%	-0.15	-13.5	11
2015-10-03	@ Queen of the South	W 3-0	37.4	1469	1379	48.27%	23.60%	28.13%	+0.15	+13.5	16
2015-10-03	Livingston	W 2-1	48.8	1223	1280	32.21%	24.01%	43.78%	+0.02	+6.6	10
2015-10-03	@ Dumbarton	L 1-2	48.8	1280	1223	43.78%	24.01%	32.21%	-0.02	-6.6	4
2015-10-10	Greenock Morton	W 1-0	37.5	1365	1264	53.60%	22.79%	23.61%	+0.84	+4.2	14
2015-10-10	@ Queen of the South	L 0-1	37.5	1264	1365	23.61%	22.79%	53.60%	-0.84	-4.2	10
2015-10-17	Dumbarton	W 4-2	39.7	1482	1229	69.72%	17.86%	12.41%	+1.64	+3.2	19
2015-10-17	@ Hibernian	L 2-4	39.7	1229	1482	12.41%	17.86%	69.72%	-1.64	-3.2	10
2015-10-17	Greenock Morton	W 1-0	37.1	1374	1260	55.14%	22.48%	22.37%	+0.91	+4.0	18
2015-10-17	@ Falkirk	L 0-1	37.1	1260	1374	22.37%	22.48%	55.14%	-0.91	-4.0	10
2015-10-17	Queen of the South	W 2-1	46.3	1538	1369	61.36%	20.89%	17.75%	+1.20	+3.0	30
2015-10-17	@ Rangers	L 1-2	46.3	1369	1538	17.75%	20.89%	61.36%	-1.20	-3.0	14
2015-10-17	Raith Rovers	L 0-1	39.1	1229	1307	29.64%	23.78%	46.58%	-0.09	-5.2	5
2015-10-17	@ Alloa Athletic	W 1-0	39.1	1307	1229	46.58%	23.78%	29.64%	+0.09	+5.2	21
2015-10-17	St. Mirren	L 0-1	39.3	1273	1360	28.49%	23.65%	47.86%	-0.14	-5.0	4
2015-10-17	@ Livingston	W 1-0	39.3	1360	1273	47.86%	23.65%	28.49%	+0.14	+5.0	10
2015-10-20	Hibernian	L 0-1	42.5	1378	1485	26.14%	23.30%	50.57%	-0.25	-4.6	18
2015-10-20	@ Falkirk	W 1-0	42.5	1485	1378	50.57%	23.30%	26.14%	+0.25	+4.6	22
2015-10-24	Alloa Athletic	W 1-0	39.5	1255	1224	44.48%	23.96%	31.56%	+0.48	+5.4	13
2015-10-24	@ Greenock Morton	L 0-1	39.5	1224	1255	31.56%	23.96%	44.48%	-0.48	-5.4	5
2015-10-24	Falkirk	L 0-5	31.7	1226	1373	22.15%	22.42%	55.43%	-0.45	-17.6	10
2015-10-24	@ Dumbarton	W 5-0	31.7	1373	1226	55.43%	22.42%	22.15%	+0.45	+17.6	21
2015-10-24	Hibernian	L 1-2	44.0	1312	1490	19.40%	21.55%	59.05%	-0.62	-3.3	21
2015-10-24	@ Raith Rovers	W 2-1	44.0	1490	1312	59.05%	21.55%	19.40%	+0.62	+3.3	25
2015-10-24	Livingston	L 1-4	46.1	1366	1268	53.24%	22.86%	23.91%	+0.83	-19.1	14
2015-10-24	@ Queen of the South	W 4-1	46.1	1268	1366	23.91%	22.86%	53.24%	-0.83	+19.1	7
2015-10-25	Rangers	L 0-1	41.4	1365	1541	19.55%	21.60%	58.84%	-0.61	-3.5	10
2015-10-25	@ St. Mirren	W 1-0	41.4	1541	1365	58.84%	21.60%	19.55%	+0.61	+3.6	33
2015-10-31	Greenock Morton	L 1-2	45.4	1208	1261	32.77%	24.04%	43.18%	+0.04	-5.3	10
2015-10-31	@ Dumbarton	W 2-1	45.4	1261	1208	43.18%	24.04%	32.77%	-0.04	+5.3	16
2015-10-31	Queen of the South	L 1-2	42.8	1219	1347	23.94%	22.86%	53.19%	-0.36	-4.1	5
2015-10-31	@ Alloa Athletic	W 2-1	42.8	1347	1219	53.19%	22.86%	23.94%	+0.36	+4.0	17
2015-10-31	Raith Rovers	W 3-0	36.8	1287	1308	37.01%	24.19%	38.80%	+0.20	+17.5	10
2015-10-31	@ Livingston	L 0-3	36.8	1308	1287	38.80%	24.19%	37.01%	-0.20	-17.5	21
2015-10-31	St. Mirren	W 3-0	36.4	1391	1361	44.22%	23.98%	31.80%	+0.47	+15.0	24
2015-10-31	@ Falkirk	L 0-3	36.4	1361	1391	31.80%	23.98%	44.22%	-0.47	-15.0	10
2015-11-01	Rangers	W 2-1	59.6	1493	1545	32.91%	24.05%	43.04%	+0.05	+6.5	28
2015-11-01	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	59.6	1545	1493	43.04%	24.05%	32.91%	-0.05	-6.5	33
2015-11-07	Alloa Athletic	W 4-0	26.7	1538	1215	75.75%	15.10%	9.15%	+2.01	+5.6	36
2015-11-07	@ Rangers	L 0-4	26.7	1215	1538	9.15%	15.10%	75.75%	-2.01	-5.6	5
2015-11-07	Dumbarton	W 1-0	35.4	1351	1203	59.09%	21.54%	19.37%	+1.09	+3.5	20
2015-11-07	@ Queen of the South	L 0-1	35.4	1203	1351	19.37%	21.54%	59.09%	-1.09	-3.5	10
2015-11-07	Falkirk	L 1-2	44.5	1291	1406	25.38%	23.16%	51.46%	-0.28	-4.3	21
2015-11-07	@ Raith Rovers	W 2-1	44.5	1406	1291	51.46%	23.16%	25.38%	+0.28	+4.3	27
2015-11-07	Hibernian	L 1-4	40.0	1346	1500	21.54%	22.25%	56.21%	-0.49	-9.0	10
2015-11-07	@ St. Mirren	W 4-1	40.0	1500	1346	56.21%	22.25%	21.54%	+0.49	+9.0	31
2015-11-07	Livingston	W 1-0	42.8	1266	1304	34.68%	24.14%	41.18%	+0.12	+6.7	19
2015-11-07	@ Greenock Morton	L 0-1	42.8	1304	1266	41.18%	24.14%	34.68%	-0.12	-6.7	10
2015-11-14	Alloa Athletic	W 5-0	29.1	1410	1209	64.71%	19.80%	15.49%	+1.36	+12.4	30
2015-11-14	@ Falkirk	L 0-5	29.1	1209	1410	15.49%	19.80%	64.71%	-1.36	-12.4	5
2015-11-14	Queen of the South	W 2-0	41.4	1273	1355	29.08%	23.72%	47.20%	-0.11	+14.1	22
2015-11-14	@ Greenock Morton	L 0-2	41.4	1355	1273	47.20%	23.72%	29.08%	+0.11	-14.1	20
2015-11-17	Livingston	W 2-1	42.1	1509	1298	65.74%	19.43%	14.83%	+1.42	+2.5	34
2015-11-17	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	42.1	1298	1509	14.83%	19.43%	65.74%	-1.42	-2.5	10
2015-11-20	Greenock Morton	D 1-1	54.5	1337	1287	47.05%	23.74%	29.22%	+0.58	-0.6	11
2015-11-20	@ St. Mirren	D 1-1	54.5	1287	1337	29.22%	23.74%	47.05%	-0.58	+0.6	23
2015-11-21	Falkirk	D 2-2	62.1	1341	1422	29.13%	23.73%	47.14%	-0.11	+0.5	21
2015-11-21	@ Queen of the South	D 2-2	62.1	1422	1341	47.14%	23.73%	29.13%	+0.11	-0.5	31
2015-11-21	Hibernian	L 0-1	32.7	1197	1511	10.86%	16.64%	72.50%	-1.33	-1.9	5
2015-11-21	@ Alloa Athletic	W 1-0	32.7	1511	1197	72.50%	16.64%	10.86%	+1.33	+1.9	37
2015-11-21	Raith Rovers	D 3-3	63.4	1200	1287	28.47%	23.65%	47.88%	-0.14	+0.4	11
2015-11-21	@ Dumbarton	D 3-3	63.4	1287	1200	47.88%	23.65%	28.47%	+0.14	-0.4	22
2015-11-21	Rangers	D 1-1	59.4	1295	1544	14.39%	19.17%	66.43%	-0.98	+1.9	11
2015-11-21	@ Livingston	D 1-1	59.4	1544	1295	66.43%	19.17%	14.39%	+0.98	-1.9	37
2015-11-24	St. Mirren	D 1-1	54.4	1286	1337	33.05%	24.06%	42.89%	+0.05	+0.3	23
2015-11-24	@ Raith Rovers	D 1-1	54.4	1337	1286	42.89%	24.06%	33.05%	-0.05	-0.3	12
2015-12-01	Dumbarton	W 4-0	26.1	1542	1200	77.16%	14.39%	8.44%	+2.10	+5.1	40
2015-12-01	@ Rangers	L 0-4	26.1	1200	1542	8.44%	14.39%	77.16%	-2.10	-5.1	11
2015-12-05	Dumbarton	L 0-2	38.5	1195	1195	40.06%	24.17%	35.77%	+0.31	-12.3	5
2015-12-05	@ Alloa Athletic	W 2-0	38.5	1195	1195	35.77%	24.17%	40.06%	-0.31	+12.3	14
2015-12-11	Raith Rovers	D 1-1	54.6	1341	1287	47.62%	23.68%	28.70%	+0.60	-0.7	22
2015-12-11	@ Queen of the South	D 1-1	54.6	1287	1341	28.70%	23.68%	47.62%	-0.60	+0.6	24
2015-12-12	Alloa Athletic	L 0-1	46.1	1297	1182	55.20%	22.47%	22.33%	+0.91	-8.5	11
2015-12-12	@ Livingston	W 1-0	46.1	1182	1297	22.33%	22.47%	55.20%	-0.91	+8.5	8
2015-12-12	Falkirk	D 1-1	61.2	1513	1422	52.37%	23.01%	24.62%	+0.79	-1.0	38
2015-12-12	@ Hibernian	D 1-1	61.2	1422	1513	24.62%	23.01%	52.37%	-0.79	+1.0	32
2015-12-12	Greenock Morton	D 2-2	65.5	1547	1288	70.32%	17.61%	12.07%	+1.67	-1.6	41
2015-12-12	@ Rangers	D 2-2	65.5	1288	1547	12.07%	17.61%	70.32%	-1.67	+1.6	24
2015-12-12	St. Mirren	W 1-0	45.9	1207	1336	23.90%	22.85%	53.25%	-0.36	+8.2	17
2015-12-12	@ Dumbarton	L 0-1	45.9	1336	1207	53.25%	22.85%	23.90%	+0.36	-8.3	12
2015-12-18	Raith Rovers	L 1-2	48.2	1289	1287	40.35%	24.16%	35.49%	+0.33	-6.2	24
2015-12-18	@ Greenock Morton	W 2-1	48.2	1287	1289	35.49%	24.16%	40.35%	-0.33	+6.2	27
2015-12-19	Dumbarton	D 1-1	54.0	1289	1216	50.03%	23.37%	26.59%	+0.70	-0.8	12
2015-12-19	@ Livingston	D 1-1	54.0	1216	1289	26.59%	23.37%	50.03%	-0.70	+0.8	18
2015-12-19	Queen of the South	W 1-0	38.9	1512	1341	61.68%	20.80%	17.53%	+1.21	+3.2	41
2015-12-19	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	38.9	1341	1512	17.53%	20.80%	61.68%	-1.21	-3.2	22
2015-12-19	Rangers	W 2-1	59.5	1423	1546	24.55%	23.00%	52.46%	-0.32	+7.7	35
2015-12-19	@ Falkirk	L 1-2	59.5	1546	1423	52.46%	23.00%	24.55%	+0.32	-7.7	41
2015-12-19	St. Mirren	L 0-2	33.2	1191	1328	23.10%	22.67%	54.24%	-0.40	-7.8	8
2015-12-19	@ Alloa Athletic	W 2-0	33.2	1328	1191	54.24%	22.67%	23.10%	+0.40	+7.8	15
2015-12-26	Dumbarton	W 1-0	33.9	1431	1216	66.04%	19.32%	14.64%	+1.43	+2.6	38
2015-12-26	@ Falkirk	L 0-1	33.9	1216	1431	14.64%	19.32%	66.04%	-1.43	-2.6	18
2015-12-26	Livingston	L 1-4	44.4	1336	1288	46.75%	23.77%	29.48%	+0.57	-17.1	15
2015-12-26	@ St. Mirren	W 4-1	44.4	1288	1336	29.48%	23.77%	46.75%	-0.57	+17.1	15
2015-12-28	Hibernian	W 4-2	57.6	1538	1516	43.22%	24.04%	32.74%	+0.43	+8.2	44
2015-12-28	@ Rangers	L 2-4	57.6	1516	1538	32.74%	24.04%	43.22%	-0.43	-8.2	41
2015-12-29	Livingston	W 2-0	34.4	1433	1305	56.81%	22.11%	21.08%	+0.99	+7.2	41
2015-12-29	@ Falkirk	L 0-2	34.4	1305	1433	21.08%	22.11%	56.81%	-0.99	-7.2	15
2016-01-02	Falkirk	L 0-1	33.4	1183	1440	13.88%	18.86%	67.26%	-1.03	-2.5	8
2016-01-02	@ Alloa Athletic	W 1-0	33.4	1440	1183	67.26%	18.86%	13.88%	+1.03	+2.5	44
2016-01-02	Queen of the South	L 0-2	37.8	1298	1337	34.48%	24.13%	41.39%	+0.11	-11.0	15
2016-01-02	@ Livingston	W 2-0	37.8	1337	1298	41.39%	24.13%	34.48%	-0.11	+11.0	25
2016-01-02	Raith Rovers	W 1-0	36.3	1507	1293	66.01%	19.33%	14.66%	+1.43	+2.6	44
2016-01-02	@ Hibernian	L 0-1	36.3	1293	1507	14.66%	19.33%	66.01%	-1.43	-2.6	27
2016-01-02	Rangers	L 0-6	28.8	1214	1546	10.06%	15.96%	73.98%	-1.42	-9.1	18
2016-01-02	@ Dumbarton	W 6-0	28.8	1546	1214	73.98%	15.96%	10.06%	+1.42	+9.1	47
2016-01-02	St. Mirren	L 0-1	41.1	1283	1319	35.00%	24.15%	40.85%	+0.13	-5.9	24
2016-01-02	@ Greenock Morton	W 1-0	41.1	1319	1283	40.85%	24.15%	35.00%	-0.13	+5.9	18
2016-01-12	Alloa Athletic	L 0-1	46.0	1291	1181	54.67%	22.58%	22.75%	+0.89	-8.4	27
2016-01-12	@ Raith Rovers	W 1-0	46.0	1181	1291	22.75%	22.58%	54.67%	-0.89	+8.4	11
2016-01-16	Livingston	W 4-1	35.4	1555	1287	71.12%	17.26%	11.62%	+1.72	+4.7	50
2016-01-16	@ Rangers	L 1-4	35.4	1287	1555	11.62%	17.26%	71.12%	-1.72	-4.7	15
2016-01-17	Hibernian	D 1-1	61.6	1443	1510	30.89%	23.91%	45.21%	-0.04	+0.5	45
2016-01-17	@ Falkirk	D 1-1	61.6	1510	1443	45.21%	23.91%	30.89%	+0.04	-0.5	45
2016-01-23	Alloa Athletic	W 1-0	34.9	1348	1189	60.33%	21.20%	18.48%	+1.15	+3.4	28
2016-01-23	@ Queen of the South	L 0-1	34.9	1189	1348	18.48%	21.20%	60.33%	-1.15	-3.4	11
2016-01-23	Dumbarton	D 0-0	49.3	1282	1205	50.64%	23.29%	26.07%	+0.72	-1.0	28
2016-01-23	@ Raith Rovers	D 0-0	49.3	1205	1282	26.07%	23.29%	50.64%	-0.72	+1.0	19
2016-01-23	Falkirk	D 1-1	56.2	1282	1443	20.85%	22.04%	57.11%	-0.53	+1.3	16
2016-01-23	@ Livingston	D 1-1	56.2	1443	1282	57.11%	22.04%	20.85%	+0.53	-1.3	46
2016-01-23	St. Mirren	W 3-1	40.3	1510	1325	63.06%	20.36%	16.58%	+1.28	+4.9	48
2016-01-23	@ Hibernian	L 1-3	40.3	1325	1510	16.58%	20.36%	63.06%	-1.28	-4.9	18
2016-01-25	Rangers	L 0-2	32.6	1277	1560	12.45%	17.89%	69.66%	-1.16	-4.2	24
2016-01-25	@ Greenock Morton	W 2-0	32.6	1560	1277	69.66%	17.89%	12.45%	+1.16	+4.2	53
2016-01-30	Alloa Athletic	W 3-1	38.0	1320	1186	57.49%	21.95%	20.56%	+1.02	+6.1	21
2016-01-30	@ St. Mirren	L 1-3	38.0	1186	1320	20.56%	21.95%	57.49%	-1.02	-6.1	11
2016-01-30	Falkirk	W 1-0	45.8	1564	1442	56.07%	22.28%	21.65%	+0.95	+3.9	56
2016-01-30	@ Rangers	L 0-1	45.8	1442	1564	21.65%	22.28%	56.07%	-0.95	-3.9	46
2016-01-30	Livingston	W 1-0	44.0	1206	1283	29.59%	23.78%	46.63%	-0.09	+7.4	22
2016-01-30	@ Dumbarton	L 0-1	44.0	1283	1206	46.63%	23.78%	29.59%	+0.09	-7.4	16
2016-02-02	Hibernian	L 0-1	36.1	1273	1515	14.83%	19.43%	65.73%	-0.95	-2.7	24
2016-02-02	@ Greenock Morton	W 1-0	36.1	1515	1273	65.73%	19.43%	14.83%	+0.95	+2.7	51
2016-02-02	Rangers	L 0-1	36.3	1281	1568	12.25%	17.74%	70.00%	-1.18	-2.2	28
2016-02-02	@ Raith Rovers	W 1-0	36.3	1568	1281	70.00%	17.74%	12.25%	+1.18	+2.2	59
2016-02-06	Queen of the South	W 1-0	43.2	1326	1352	36.39%	24.18%	39.43%	+0.18	+6.5	24
2016-02-06	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	43.2	1352	1326	39.43%	24.18%	36.39%	-0.18	-6.5	28
2016-02-09	Greenock Morton	D 2-2	59.5	1180	1270	28.07%	23.59%	48.34%	-0.16	+0.5	12
2016-02-09	@ Alloa Athletic	D 2-2	59.5	1270	1180	48.34%	23.59%	28.07%	+0.16	-0.5	25
2016-02-13	Dumbarton	W 2-0	35.0	1270	1213	47.90%	23.65%	28.45%	+0.61	+9.4	28
2016-02-13	@ Greenock Morton	L 0-2	35.0	1213	1270	28.45%	23.65%	47.90%	-0.61	-9.4	22
2016-02-13	Hibernian	D 0-0	53.5	1276	1517	14.85%	19.44%	65.70%	-0.94	+2.1	17
2016-02-13	@ Livingston	D 0-0	53.5	1517	1276	65.70%	19.44%	14.85%	+0.94	-2.1	52
2016-02-13	Raith Rovers	D 2-2	62.1	1438	1279	60.28%	21.21%	18.51%	+1.14	-1.1	47
2016-02-13	@ Falkirk	D 2-2	62.1	1279	1438	18.51%	21.21%	60.28%	-1.14	+1.1	29
2016-02-13	Rangers	D 1-1	59.1	1180	1570	7.81%	13.72%	78.46%	-1.72	+2.6	13
2016-02-13	@ Alloa Athletic	D 1-1	59.1	1570	1180	78.46%	13.72%	7.81%	+1.72	-2.6	60
2016-02-13	St. Mirren	W 1-0	41.5	1345	1332	41.92%	24.11%	33.98%	+0.38	+5.8	31
2016-02-13	@ Queen of the South	L 0-1	41.5	1332	1345	33.98%	24.11%	41.92%	-0.38	-5.8	24
2016-02-20	Dumbarton	W 1-0	36.1	1327	1204	56.20%	22.25%	21.55%	+0.96	+3.9	27
2016-02-20	@ St. Mirren	L 0-1	36.1	1204	1327	21.55%	22.25%	56.20%	-0.96	-3.9	22
2016-02-20	Falkirk	L 0-1	37.5	1279	1437	21.15%	22.13%	56.71%	-0.51	-3.8	28
2016-02-20	@ Greenock Morton	W 1-0	37.5	1437	1279	56.71%	22.13%	21.15%	+0.51	+3.8	50
2016-02-20	Livingston	W 2-0	37.6	1280	1278	40.43%	24.16%	35.41%	+0.33	+11.2	32
2016-02-20	@ Raith Rovers	L 0-2	37.6	1278	1280	35.41%	24.16%	40.43%	-0.33	-11.2	17
2016-02-21	Alloa Athletic	W 3-0	26.0	1515	1183	76.43%	14.76%	8.81%	+2.05	+4.1	55
2016-02-21	@ Hibernian	L 0-3	26.0	1183	1515	8.81%	14.76%	76.43%	-2.05	-4.1	13
2016-02-21	Rangers	L 0-1	40.5	1351	1568	16.50%	20.32%	63.18%	-0.81	-3.0	31
2016-02-21	@ Queen of the South	W 1-0	40.5	1568	1351	63.18%	20.32%	16.50%	+0.81	+3.0	63
2016-02-24	Greenock Morton	L 0-3	46.7	1519	1275	68.89%	18.21%	12.90%	+1.59	-28.0	55
2016-02-24	@ Hibernian	W 3-0	46.7	1275	1519	12.90%	18.21%	68.89%	-1.59	+28.0	31
2016-02-27	Greenock Morton	W 3-2	52.5	1292	1303	38.41%	24.19%	37.39%	+0.25	+5.6	35
2016-02-27	@ Raith Rovers	L 2-3	52.5	1303	1292	37.39%	24.19%	38.41%	-0.25	-5.5	31
2016-02-27	Hibernian	W 3-2	61.3	1200	1491	11.99%	17.55%	70.46%	-1.21	+9.3	25
2016-02-27	@ Dumbarton	L 2-3	61.3	1491	1200	70.46%	17.55%	11.99%	+1.21	-9.3	55
2016-02-27	Livingston	L 1-3	40.7	1179	1267	28.35%	23.63%	48.01%	-0.14	-8.1	13
2016-02-27	@ Alloa Athletic	W 3-1	40.7	1267	1179	48.01%	23.63%	28.35%	+0.14	+8.1	20
2016-02-27	Queen of the South	W 3-1	42.4	1441	1348	52.53%	22.98%	24.49%	+0.80	+7.2	53
2016-02-27	@ Falkirk	L 1-3	42.4	1348	1441	24.49%	22.98%	52.53%	-0.80	-7.1	31
2016-02-27	St. Mirren	W 1-0	38.3	1571	1331	68.53%	18.36%	13.12%	+1.57	+2.3	66
2016-02-27	@ Rangers	L 0-1	38.3	1331	1571	13.12%	18.36%	68.53%	-1.57	-2.3	27
2016-03-01	Falkirk	D 0-0	52.1	1328	1448	24.84%	23.06%	52.10%	-0.31	+1.1	28
2016-03-01	@ St. Mirren	D 0-0	52.1	1448	1328	52.10%	23.06%	24.84%	+0.31	-1.1	54
2016-03-01	Greenock Morton	D 0-0	49.4	1275	1298	36.81%	24.19%	39.00%	+0.20	+0.1	21
2016-03-01	@ Livingston	D 0-0	49.4	1298	1275	39.00%	24.19%	36.81%	-0.20	-0.1	32
2016-03-01	Hibernian	W 1-0	49.8	1341	1482	22.73%	22.57%	54.69%	-0.42	+8.4	34
2016-03-01	@ Queen of the South	L 0-1	49.8	1482	1341	54.69%	22.57%	22.73%	+0.42	-8.4	55
2016-03-01	Raith Rovers	W 2-0	32.9	1573	1297	71.76%	16.98%	11.26%	+1.75	+3.7	69
2016-03-01	@ Rangers	L 0-2	32.9	1297	1573	11.26%	16.98%	71.76%	-1.75	-3.7	35
2016-03-05	Alloa Athletic	W 2-0	28.5	1447	1170	71.82%	16.95%	11.23%	+1.76	+3.7	57
2016-03-05	@ Falkirk	L 0-2	28.5	1170	1447	11.23%	16.95%	71.82%	-1.76	-3.7	13
2016-03-05	Dumbarton	W 2-0	34.7	1275	1209	49.12%	23.50%	27.39%	+0.66	+9.1	24
2016-03-05	@ Livingston	L 0-2	34.7	1209	1275	27.39%	23.50%	49.12%	-0.66	-9.1	25
2016-03-05	St. Mirren	W 4-3	56.3	1293	1329	35.01%	24.15%	40.84%	+0.13	+5.8	38
2016-03-05	@ Raith Rovers	L 3-4	56.3	1329	1293	40.84%	24.15%	35.01%	-0.13	-5.8	28
2016-03-08	Alloa Athletic	W 3-1	41.5	1200	1167	44.71%	23.94%	31.35%	+0.49	+8.8	28
2016-03-08	@ Dumbarton	L 1-3	41.5	1167	1200	31.35%	23.94%	44.71%	-0.49	-8.8	13
2016-03-08	Queen of the South	W 2-0	40.4	1299	1349	33.08%	24.06%	42.86%	+0.05	+13.0	41
2016-03-08	@ Raith Rovers	L 0-2	40.4	1349	1299	42.86%	24.06%	33.08%	-0.05	-13.0	34
2016-03-11	Greenock Morton	W 3-1	38.7	1577	1298	72.04%	16.85%	11.11%	+1.77	+3.2	72
2016-03-11	@ Rangers	L 1-3	38.7	1298	1577	11.11%	16.85%	72.04%	-1.77	-3.2	32
2016-03-12	Falkirk	D 1-1	56.1	1209	1451	14.81%	19.42%	65.77%	-0.95	+1.9	29
2016-03-12	@ Dumbarton	D 1-1	56.1	1451	1209	65.77%	19.42%	14.81%	+0.95	-1.9	58
2016-03-12	Queen of the South	W 2-1	48.0	1323	1336	38.24%	24.19%	37.57%	+0.25	+5.9	31
2016-03-12	@ St. Mirren	L 1-2	48.0	1336	1323	37.57%	24.19%	38.24%	-0.25	-5.9	34
2016-03-12	Raith Rovers	D 1-1	54.2	1158	1312	21.48%	22.23%	56.28%	-0.49	+1.2	14
2016-03-12	@ Alloa Athletic	D 1-1	54.2	1312	1158	56.28%	22.23%	21.48%	+0.49	-1.2	42
2016-03-15	Queen of the South	W 3-2	53.7	1294	1330	34.98%	24.15%	40.87%	+0.13	+5.9	35
2016-03-15	@ Greenock Morton	L 2-3	53.7	1330	1294	40.87%	24.15%	34.98%	-0.13	-5.9	34
2016-03-18	Rangers	W 3-2	67.0	1449	1580	23.70%	22.81%	53.49%	-0.37	+7.4	61
2016-03-18	@ Falkirk	L 2-3	67.0	1580	1449	53.49%	22.81%	23.70%	+0.37	-7.4	72
2016-03-19	Alloa Athletic	W 4-1	34.9	1300	1159	58.30%	21.74%	19.95%	+1.05	+8.4	38
2016-03-19	@ Greenock Morton	L 1-4	34.9	1159	1300	19.95%	21.74%	58.30%	-1.05	-8.4	14
2016-03-19	Dumbarton	W 6-0	32.3	1325	1210	55.13%	22.48%	22.39%	+0.91	+21.2	37
2016-03-19	@ Queen of the South	L 0-6	32.3	1210	1325	22.39%	22.48%	55.13%	-0.91	-21.2	29
2016-03-19	Hibernian	W 2-1	55.1	1311	1473	20.76%	22.01%	57.23%	-0.53	+8.3	45
2016-03-19	@ Raith Rovers	L 1-2	55.1	1473	1311	57.23%	22.01%	20.76%	+0.53	-8.3	55
2016-03-19	St. Mirren	L 2-3	51.5	1284	1329	33.73%	24.10%	42.17%	+0.08	-5.1	24
2016-03-19	@ Livingston	W 3-2	51.5	1329	1284	42.17%	24.10%	33.73%	-0.08	+5.1	34
2016-03-22	Raith Rovers	L 1-2	49.3	1334	1319	42.23%	24.09%	33.68%	+0.39	-6.4	34
2016-03-22	@ St. Mirren	W 2-1	49.3	1319	1334	33.68%	24.09%	42.23%	-0.39	+6.4	48
2016-03-26	Livingston	L 1-2	55.3	1456	1279	62.26%	20.61%	17.12%	+1.24	-8.9	61
2016-03-26	@ Falkirk	W 2-1	55.3	1279	1456	17.12%	20.61%	62.26%	-1.24	+8.9	27
2016-03-26	Queen of the South	W 4-3	52.5	1572	1346	67.26%	18.86%	13.88%	+1.50	+2.2	75
2016-03-26	@ Rangers	L 3-4	52.5	1346	1572	13.88%	18.86%	67.26%	-1.50	-2.2	37
2016-03-26	Raith Rovers	L 0-1	42.2	1309	1326	37.67%	24.19%	38.14%	+0.23	-6.2	38
2016-03-26	@ Greenock Morton	W 1-0	42.2	1326	1309	38.14%	24.19%	37.67%	-0.23	+6.2	51
2016-03-26	St. Mirren	L 0-1	35.2	1151	1328	19.50%	21.58%	58.92%	-0.61	-3.5	14
2016-03-26	@ Alloa Athletic	W 1-0	35.2	1328	1151	58.92%	21.58%	19.50%	+0.61	+3.5	37
2016-04-02	Alloa Athletic	D 0-0	49.6	1288	1147	58.22%	21.77%	20.01%	+1.05	-1.5	28
2016-04-02	@ Livingston	D 0-0	49.6	1147	1288	20.01%	21.77%	58.22%	-1.05	+1.5	15
2016-04-02	Falkirk	D 2-2	62.7	1344	1447	26.57%	23.37%	50.06%	-0.23	+0.6	38
2016-04-02	@ Queen of the South	D 2-2	62.7	1447	1344	50.06%	23.37%	26.57%	+0.23	-0.6	62
2016-04-02	Greenock Morton	D 0-0	49.4	1189	1303	25.54%	23.19%	51.26%	-0.28	+1.0	30
2016-04-02	@ Dumbarton	D 0-0	49.4	1303	1189	51.26%	23.19%	25.54%	+0.28	-1.0	39
2016-04-02	Hibernian	D 2-2	63.0	1332	1465	23.45%	22.75%	53.80%	-0.38	+0.8	38
2016-04-02	@ St. Mirren	D 2-2	63.0	1465	1332	53.80%	22.75%	23.45%	+0.38	-0.8	56
2016-04-02	Rangers	D 3-3	70.9	1332	1575	14.77%	19.40%	65.84%	-0.95	+1.1	52
2016-04-02	@ Raith Rovers	D 3-3	70.9	1575	1332	65.84%	19.40%	14.77%	+0.95	-1.2	76
2016-04-05	Dumbarton	W 1-0	31.3	1573	1190	80.13%	12.84%	7.03%	+2.32	+1.1	79
2016-04-05	@ Rangers	L 0-1	31.3	1190	1573	7.03%	12.84%	80.13%	-2.32	-1.1	30
2016-04-05	Livingston	W 2-1	42.0	1464	1286	62.34%	20.59%	17.07%	+1.24	+2.9	59
2016-04-05	@ Hibernian	L 1-2	42.0	1286	1464	17.07%	20.59%	62.34%	-1.24	-2.9	28
2016-04-09	Hibernian	W 1-0	50.3	1149	1467	10.69%	16.50%	72.81%	-1.35	+10.7	18
2016-04-09	@ Alloa Athletic	L 0-1	50.3	1467	1149	72.81%	16.50%	10.69%	+1.35	-10.7	59
2016-04-09	Livingston	W 2-1	46.1	1302	1283	42.65%	24.07%	33.27%	+0.41	+5.4	42
2016-04-09	@ Greenock Morton	L 1-2	46.1	1283	1302	33.27%	24.07%	42.65%	-0.41	-5.3	28
2016-04-09	Raith Rovers	L 1-2	49.4	1344	1333	41.65%	24.12%	34.23%	+0.37	-6.4	38
2016-04-09	@ Queen of the South	W 2-1	49.4	1333	1344	34.23%	24.12%	41.65%	-0.37	+6.4	55
2016-04-09	St. Mirren	W 3-2	49.7	1447	1332	55.17%	22.48%	22.35%	+0.91	+3.6	65
2016-04-09	@ Falkirk	L 2-3	49.7	1332	1447	22.35%	22.48%	55.17%	-0.91	-3.6	38
2016-04-12	Falkirk	D 2-2	65.7	1457	1450	40.97%	24.14%	34.89%	+0.35	-0.1	60
2016-04-12	@ Hibernian	D 2-2	65.7	1450	1457	34.89%	24.14%	40.97%	-0.35	+0.2	66
2016-04-12	Queen of the South	W 4-2	52.5	1189	1338	22.01%	22.38%	55.61%	-0.46	+12.5	33
2016-04-12	@ Dumbarton	L 2-4	52.5	1338	1189	55.61%	22.38%	22.01%	+0.46	-12.5	38
2016-04-16	Greenock Morton	W 3-1	43.0	1329	1307	43.16%	24.05%	32.80%	+0.43	+9.1	41
2016-04-16	@ St. Mirren	L 1-3	43.0	1307	1329	32.80%	24.05%	43.16%	-0.43	-9.2	42
2016-04-16	Queen of the South	D 2-2	60.1	1159	1325	20.46%	21.92%	57.62%	-0.55	+1.0	19
2016-04-16	@ Alloa Athletic	D 2-2	60.1	1325	1159	57.62%	21.92%	20.46%	+0.55	-1.0	39
2016-04-16	Raith Rovers	L 2-3	47.4	1202	1339	23.04%	22.65%	54.31%	-0.40	-3.7	33
2016-04-16	@ Dumbarton	W 3-2	47.4	1339	1202	54.31%	22.65%	23.04%	+0.40	+3.7	58
2016-04-20	Rangers	W 3-2	66.7	1456	1575	25.02%	23.09%	51.89%	-0.30	+7.2	63
2016-04-20	@ Hibernian	L 2-3	66.7	1575	1456	51.89%	23.09%	25.02%	+0.30	-7.2	79
2016-04-23	Alloa Athletic	D 1-1	59.2	1567	1160	81.72%	11.97%	6.31%	+2.44	-2.7	80
2016-04-23	@ Rangers	D 1-1	59.2	1160	1567	6.31%	11.97%	81.72%	-2.44	+2.7	20
2016-04-23	Falkirk	D 2-2	62.8	1343	1450	26.18%	23.31%	50.52%	-0.24	+0.6	59
2016-04-23	@ Raith Rovers	D 2-2	62.8	1450	1343	50.52%	23.31%	26.18%	+0.24	-0.6	67
2016-04-23	Hibernian	D 0-0	52.2	1298	1464	20.45%	21.91%	57.64%	-0.55	+1.5	43
2016-04-23	@ Greenock Morton	D 0-0	52.2	1464	1298	57.64%	21.91%	20.45%	+0.55	-1.5	64
2016-04-23	Livingston	W 3-1	41.8	1324	1278	46.50%	23.79%	29.71%	+0.56	+8.5	42
2016-04-23	@ Queen of the South	L 1-3	41.8	1278	1324	29.71%	23.79%	46.50%	-0.56	-8.4	28
2016-04-23	St. Mirren	W 2-1	51.8	1198	1338	22.83%	22.60%	54.57%	-0.41	+8.0	36
2016-04-23	@ Dumbarton	L 1-2	51.8	1338	1198	54.57%	22.60%	22.83%	+0.41	-7.9	41
2016-04-26	Dumbarton	W 4-0	27.3	1462	1206	70.02%	17.74%	12.24%	+1.65	+7.8	67
2016-04-26	@ Hibernian	L 0-4	27.3	1206	1462	12.24%	17.74%	70.02%	-1.65	-7.8	36
2016-04-26	Rangers	W 1-0	53.4	1270	1565	11.81%	17.41%	70.77%	-1.22	+10.5	31
2016-04-26	@ Livingston	L 0-1	53.4	1565	1270	70.77%	17.41%	11.81%	+1.22	-10.5	80
2016-05-01	Dumbarton	D 1-1	53.4	1163	1198	35.12%	24.15%	40.73%	+0.13	+0.2	21
2016-05-01	@ Alloa Athletic	D 1-1	53.4	1198	1163	40.73%	24.15%	35.12%	-0.13	-0.2	37
2016-05-01	Greenock Morton	W 1-0	37.3	1450	1299	59.36%	21.47%	19.17%	+1.10	+3.5	70
2016-05-01	@ Falkirk	L 0-1	37.3	1299	1450	19.17%	21.47%	59.36%	-1.10	-3.5	43
2016-05-01	Queen of the South	W 2-0	35.3	1470	1333	57.84%	21.86%	20.30%	+1.03	+6.9	70
2016-05-01	@ Hibernian	L 0-2	35.3	1333	1470	20.30%	21.86%	57.84%	-1.03	-7.0	42
2016-05-01	Raith Rovers	L 0-1	40.1	1280	1344	31.32%	23.94%	44.74%	-0.02	-5.4	31
2016-05-01	@ Livingston	W 1-0	40.1	1344	1280	44.74%	23.94%	31.32%	+0.02	+5.4	62
2016-05-01	Rangers	D 2-2	66.2	1330	1554	15.97%	20.05%	63.98%	-0.86	+1.3	42
2016-05-01	@ St. Mirren	D 2-2	66.2	1554	1330	63.98%	20.05%	15.97%	+0.86	-1.3	81

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2016-04-09	10.69%	@ Alloa Athletic	1149	1	Hibernian	1467	0
2	2016-04-26	11.81%	@ Livingston	1270	1	Rangers	1565	0
3	2016-02-27	11.99%	@ Dumbarton	1200	3	Hibernian	1491	2
4	2016-02-24	12.90%	Greenock Morton	1275	3	@ Hibernian	1519	0
5	2015-08-08	15.60%	@ Dumbarton	1235	2	Hibernian	1464	1
6	2016-03-26	17.12%	Livingston	1279	2	@ Falkirk	1456	1
7	2016-03-19	20.76%	@ Raith Rovers	1311	2	Hibernian	1473	1
8	2015-08-15	21.32%	Dumbarton	1244	2	@ St. Mirren	1369	1
9	2016-04-12	22.01%	@ Dumbarton	1189	4	Queen of the South	1338	2
10	2015-12-12	22.33%	Alloa Athletic	1182	1	@ Livingston	1297	0
11	2016-03-01	22.73%	@ Queen of the South	1341	1	Hibernian	1482	0
12	2016-01-12	22.75%	Alloa Athletic	1181	1	@ Raith Rovers	1291	0
13	2016-04-23	22.83%	@ Dumbarton	1198	2	St. Mirren	1338	1
14	2016-03-18	23.70%	@ Falkirk	1449	3	Rangers	1580	2
15	2015-12-12	23.90%	@ Dumbarton	1207	1	St. Mirren	1336	0
16	2015-10-24	23.91%	Livingston	1268	4	@ Queen of the South	1366	1
17	2015-12-19	24.55%	@ Falkirk	1423	2	Rangers	1546	1
18	2016-04-20	25.02%	@ Hibernian	1456	3	Rangers	1575	2
19	2015-09-18	26.03%	Raith Rovers	1289	2	@ St. Mirren	1367	1
20	2015-09-12	26.35%	@ Raith Rovers	1281	1	Queen of the South	1387	0
21	2015-11-14	29.08%	@ Greenock Morton	1273	2	Queen of the South	1355	0
22	2015-12-26	29.48%	Livingston	1288	4	@ St. Mirren	1336	1
23	2016-01-30	29.59%	@ Dumbarton	1206	1	Livingston	1283	0
24	2015-09-05	30.31%	St. Mirren	1360	2	@ Queen of the South	1401	0
25	2015-10-03	32.21%	@ Dumbarton	1223	2	Livingston	1280	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2016-02-24	28.04	Greenock Morton	3	1275	12.90%	@ Hibernian	0	1519	68.89%	18.21%
2	2016-03-19	21.15	@ Queen of the South	6	1325	55.13%	Dumbarton	0	1210	22.39%	22.48%
3	2015-10-24	19.06	Livingston	4	1268	23.91%	@ Queen of the South	1	1366	53.24%	22.86%
4	2015-08-08	18.28	@ Raith Rovers	3	1271	34.76%	Livingston	0	1309	41.10%	24.14%
5	2015-10-24	17.64	Falkirk	5	1373	55.43%	@ Dumbarton	0	1226	22.15%	22.42%
6	2015-10-31	17.48	@ Livingston	3	1287	37.01%	Raith Rovers	0	1308	38.80%	24.19%
7	2015-12-26	17.09	Livingston	4	1288	29.48%	@ St. Mirren	1	1336	46.75%	23.77%
8	2015-09-26	17.07	Livingston	3	1262	38.21%	@ Alloa Athletic	0	1245	37.59%	24.19%
9	2015-08-30	15.74	Rangers	5	1487	45.67%	@ Queen of the South	1	1417	30.46%	23.87%
10	2015-08-22	15.24	@ Raith Rovers	3	1285	43.47%	Alloa Athletic	0	1260	32.50%	24.03%
11	2015-10-31	14.97	@ Falkirk	3	1391	44.22%	St. Mirren	0	1361	31.80%	23.98%
12	2015-11-14	14.07	@ Greenock Morton	2	1273	29.08%	Queen of the South	0	1355	47.20%	23.72%
13	2015-09-05	13.73	St. Mirren	2	1360	30.31%	@ Queen of the South	0	1401	45.84%	23.85%
14	2015-10-03	13.53	Hibernian	3	1469	48.27%	@ Queen of the South	0	1379	28.13%	23.60%
15	2016-03-08	13.01	@ Raith Rovers	2	1299	33.08%	Queen of the South	0	1349	42.86%	24.06%
16	2016-04-12	12.51	@ Dumbarton	4	1189	22.01%	Queen of the South	2	1338	55.61%	22.38%
17	2015-09-05	12.42	Alloa Athletic	2	1239	35.44%	@ Dumbarton	0	1241	40.40%	24.16%
18	2015-11-14	12.37	@ Falkirk	5	1410	64.71%	Alloa Athletic	0	1209	15.49%	19.80%
19	2015-12-05	12.34	Dumbarton	2	1195	35.77%	@ Alloa Athletic	0	1195	40.06%	24.17%
20	2015-09-05	11.89	@ Rangers	5	1503	65.59%	Raith Rovers	0	1293	14.92%	19.48%
21	2016-02-20	11.22	@ Raith Rovers	2	1280	40.43%	Livingston	0	1278	35.41%	24.16%
22	2016-01-02	10.99	Queen of the South	2	1337	41.39%	@ Livingston	0	1298	34.48%	24.13%
23	2016-04-09	10.68	@ Alloa Athletic	1	1149	10.69%	Hibernian	0	1467	72.81%	16.50%
24	2016-04-26	10.46	@ Livingston	1	1270	11.81%	Rangers	0	1565	70.77%	17.41%
25	2015-09-05	9.92	Greenock Morton	4	1268	33.88%	@ Livingston	2	1282	42.01%	24.10%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2016-04-02	70.9	@ Raith Rovers	3	1332	14.77%	Rangers	3	1575	65.84%	19.40%
2	2016-03-18	67.0	@ Falkirk	3	1449	23.70%	Rangers	2	1580	53.49%	22.81%
3	2016-04-20	66.7	@ Hibernian	3	1456	25.02%	Rangers	2	1575	51.89%	23.09%
4	2016-05-01	66.2	@ St. Mirren	2	1330	15.97%	Rangers	2	1554	63.98%	20.05%
5	2016-04-12	65.7	@ Hibernian	2	1457	40.97%	Falkirk	2	1450	34.89%	24.14%
6	2015-12-12	65.5	@ Rangers	2	1547	70.32%	Greenock Morton	2	1288	12.07%	17.61%
7	2015-11-21	63.4	@ Dumbarton	3	1200	28.47%	Raith Rovers	3	1287	47.88%	23.65%
8	2016-04-02	63.0	@ St. Mirren	2	1332	23.45%	Hibernian	2	1465	53.80%	22.75%
9	2016-04-23	62.8	@ Raith Rovers	2	1343	26.18%	Falkirk	2	1450	50.52%	23.31%
10	2016-04-02	62.7	@ Queen of the South	2	1344	26.57%	Falkirk	2	1447	50.06%	23.37%
11	2015-11-21	62.1	@ Queen of the South	2	1341	29.13%	Falkirk	2	1422	47.14%	23.73%
12	2016-02-13	62.1	@ Falkirk	2	1438	60.28%	Raith Rovers	2	1279	18.51%	21.21%
13	2016-01-17	61.6	@ Falkirk	1	1443	30.89%	Hibernian	1	1510	45.21%	23.91%
14	2016-02-27	61.3	@ Dumbarton	3	1200	11.99%	Hibernian	2	1491	70.46%	17.55%
15	2015-12-12	61.2	@ Hibernian	1	1513	52.37%	Falkirk	1	1422	24.62%	23.01%
16	2015-09-19	60.9	@ Queen of the South	2	1379	53.64%	Greenock Morton	2	1278	23.58%	22.78%
17	2016-04-16	60.1	@ Alloa Athletic	2	1159	20.46%	Queen of the South	2	1325	57.62%	21.92%
18	2015-11-01	59.6	@ Hibernian	2	1493	32.91%	Rangers	1	1545	43.04%	24.05%
19	2015-12-19	59.5	@ Falkirk	2	1423	24.55%	Rangers	1	1546	52.46%	23.00%
20	2016-02-09	59.5	@ Alloa Athletic	2	1180	28.07%	Greenock Morton	2	1270	48.34%	23.59%
21	2015-11-21	59.4	@ Livingston	1	1295	14.39%	Rangers	1	1544	66.43%	19.17%
22	2016-04-23	59.2	@ Rangers	1	1567	81.72%	Alloa Athletic	1	1160	6.31%	11.97%
23	2016-02-13	59.1	@ Alloa Athletic	1	1180	7.81%	Rangers	1	1570	78.46%	13.72%
24	2015-09-26	58.1	@ Hibernian	1	1470	54.62%	St. Mirren	1	1360	22.79%	22.59%
25	2015-12-28	57.6	@ Rangers	4	1538	43.22%	Hibernian	2	1516	32.74%	24.04%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2016-02-21	26.0	@ Hibernian	3	1515	76.43%	Alloa Athletic	0	1183	8.81%	14.76%
2	2015-12-01	26.1	@ Rangers	4	1542	77.16%	Dumbarton	0	1200	8.44%	14.39%
3	2015-11-07	26.7	@ Rangers	4	1538	75.75%	Alloa Athletic	0	1215	9.15%	15.10%
4	2016-04-26	27.3	@ Hibernian	4	1462	70.02%	Dumbarton	0	1206	12.24%	17.74%
5	2016-03-05	28.5	@ Falkirk	2	1447	71.82%	Alloa Athletic	0	1170	11.23%	16.95%
6	2016-01-02	28.8	Rangers	6	1546	73.98%	@ Dumbarton	0	1214	10.06%	15.96%
7	2015-11-14	29.1	@ Falkirk	5	1410	64.71%	Alloa Athletic	0	1209	15.49%	19.80%
8	2015-09-12	29.4	@ Hibernian	3	1459	65.40%	Alloa Athletic	0	1251	15.05%	19.55%
9	2015-09-12	29.7	@ Rangers	3	1515	68.79%	Livingston	0	1272	12.96%	18.25%
10	2015-09-27	30.6	Rangers	4	1523	66.06%	@ Greenock Morton	0	1278	14.63%	19.31%
11	2015-09-05	31.3	@ Rangers	5	1503	65.59%	Raith Rovers	0	1293	14.92%	19.48%
12	2016-04-05	31.3	@ Rangers	1	1573	80.13%	Dumbarton	0	1190	7.03%	12.84%
13	2015-10-24	31.7	Falkirk	5	1373	55.43%	@ Dumbarton	0	1226	22.15%	22.42%
14	2016-03-19	32.3	@ Queen of the South	6	1325	55.13%	Dumbarton	0	1210	22.39%	22.48%
15	2016-01-25	32.6	Rangers	2	1560	69.66%	@ Greenock Morton	0	1277	12.45%	17.89%
16	2015-11-21	32.7	Hibernian	1	1511	72.50%	@ Alloa Athletic	0	1197	10.86%	16.64%
17	2016-03-01	32.9	@ Rangers	2	1573	71.76%	Raith Rovers	0	1297	11.26%	16.98%
18	2015-12-19	33.2	St. Mirren	2	1328	54.24%	@ Alloa Athletic	0	1191	23.10%	22.67%
19	2016-01-02	33.4	Falkirk	1	1440	67.26%	@ Alloa Athletic	0	1183	13.88%	18.86%
20	2015-08-22	33.5	Queen of the South	2	1409	56.64%	@ Dumbarton	0	1252	21.21%	22.15%
21	2015-08-29	33.8	@ Hibernian	2	1453	59.61%	Raith Rovers	0	1300	18.99%	21.40%
22	2015-12-26	33.9	@ Falkirk	1	1431	66.04%	Dumbarton	0	1216	14.64%	19.32%
23	2015-12-29	34.4	@ Falkirk	2	1433	56.81%	Livingston	0	1305	21.08%	22.11%
24	2015-08-16	34.6	Rangers	5	1472	61.67%	@ Alloa Athletic	1	1270	17.53%	20.80%
25	2015-08-22	34.6	@ Raith Rovers	3	1285	43.47%	Alloa Athletic	0	1260	32.50%	24.03%