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2017-18 Championship Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

St. Mirren

74 pts

Relegated

Brechin City

4 pts

Dumbarton · via playoff

Biggest Overachiever

St. Mirren

12.04 points above expected

74 points · 61.96 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Brechin City

24.04 points below expected

4 points · 28.04 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 St. Mirren Promoted 36 23 5 8 74 63 36 +27 61.96 +12.04
2 Livingston 36 17 11 8 62 56 37 +19 51.49 +10.51
3 Dundee United 36 18 7 11 61 52 42 +10 54.57 +6.43
4 Dunfermline Athletic 36 16 11 9 59 60 35 +25 58.93 +0.07
5 Inverness CT 36 16 9 11 57 53 37 +16 52.63 +4.37
6 Queen of the South 36 14 10 12 52 59 53 +6 49.02 +2.98
7 Greenock Morton 36 13 11 12 50 47 40 +7 53.54 -3.54
8 Falkirk 36 12 11 13 47 45 49 -4 48.66 -1.66
9 Dumbarton Relegated 36 7 9 20 30 27 63 -36 35.47 -5.47
10 Brechin City Relegated 36 0 4 32 4 20 90 -70 28.04 -24.04

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 St. Mirren 74 61.96 +12.04
2 Livingston 62 51.49 +10.51
3 Dundee United 61 54.57 +6.43
4 Inverness CT 57 52.63 +4.37
5 Queen of the South 52 49.02 +2.98

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Brechin City 4 28.04 -24.04
2 Dumbarton 30 35.47 -5.47
3 Greenock Morton 50 53.54 -3.54
4 Falkirk 47 48.66 -1.66
5 Dunfermline Athletic 59 58.93 +0.07

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Livingston 4 Sep 16 – Oct 14 1 in 105
2 Falkirk 3 Apr 17 – Apr 28 1 in 40
3 St. Mirren 4 Dec 9 – Dec 29 1 in 22
4 Dunfermline Athletic 4 Mar 31 – Apr 14 1 in 19
5 Inverness CT 5 Apr 3 – Apr 18 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Brechin City 16 Jan 13 – Apr 28 1 in 767
2 Inverness CT 3 Sep 9 – Sep 23 1 in 37
3 Dunfermline Athletic 3 Dec 2 – Dec 16 1 in 28
4 Greenock Morton 3 Apr 14 – Apr 28 1 in 20
5 Falkirk 3 Apr 7 – Apr 14 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Inverness CT 11 Mar 17 – Apr 28 1 in 72
2 Livingston 11 Jan 13 – Mar 31 1 in 42
3 Dunfermline Athletic 10 Mar 13 – Apr 28 1 in 25
4 Dumbarton 4 Nov 4 – Dec 2 1 in 20
5 St. Mirren 9 Dec 9 – Feb 3 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Brechin City 36 Aug 5 – Apr 28 1 in 2,213
2 Dunfermline Athletic 7 Oct 28 – Dec 16 1 in 99
3 Falkirk 8 Oct 14 – Dec 23 1 in 22
4 Inverness CT 5 Sep 9 – Oct 14 1 in 14
5 Dumbarton 10 Dec 16 – Mar 10 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
St. Mirren 1489 74 -37 4 9.1 -5.1
Livingston 1436 62 -23 7 8.5 -1.5
Dundee United 1392 61 +30 12 7.3 +4.7
Dunfermline Athletic 1467 59 +39 13 8.9 +4.1
Inverness CT 1476 57 +56 13 8.3 +4.7
Queen of the South 1374 52 +40 10 6.8 +3.2
Greenock Morton 1366 50 -50 3 7.2 -4.2
Falkirk 1400 47 +21 9 6.1 +2.9
Dumbarton 1173 30 -46 0 3.3 -3.3
Brechin City 1047 4 -39 0 2.1 -2.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BC DUM DU DA FAL GM IC LIV QOTS SM
Brechin City —
0-0-4
4.74
0-1-3
2.75
0-0-4
2.34
0-1-3
3.02
0-1-3
2.94
0-0-4
3.26
0-1-3
3.49
0-0-4
3.61
0-0-4
2.17
Dumbarton
4-0-0
6.23
 —
1-1-2
3.53
0-1-3
3.01
0-3-1
3.86
0-2-2
3.71
1-0-3
3.32
0-0-4
3.68
0-2-2
4.11
1-0-3
2.86
Dundee United
3-1-0
8.35
2-1-1
7.49
 —
2-2-0
4.74
2-1-1
6.37
2-1-1
5.60
1-1-2
5.61
2-0-2
5.35
2-0-2
6.18
2-0-2
4.94
Dunfermline Athletic
4-0-0
8.82
3-1-0
8.06
0-2-2
6.23
 —
3-1-0
6.45
0-2-2
6.30
2-1-1
5.88
2-2-0
5.92
1-2-1
6.73
1-0-3
4.91
Falkirk
3-1-0
8.06
1-3-0
7.15
1-1-2
4.61
0-1-3
4.52
 —
3-0-1
4.78
1-1-2
4.92
0-2-2
4.90
1-1-2
5.61
2-1-1
4.55
Greenock Morton
3-1-0
8.15
2-2-0
7.31
1-1-2
5.37
2-2-0
4.68
1-0-3
6.19
 —
2-1-1
5.20
0-1-3
5.39
1-1-2
5.97
1-2-1
4.31
Inverness CT
4-0-0
7.81
3-0-1
7.73
2-1-1
5.35
1-1-2
5.08
2-1-1
6.05
1-1-2
5.76
 —
1-2-1
5.81
2-2-0
6.03
0-1-3
4.50
Livingston
3-1-0
7.62
4-0-0
7.34
2-0-2
5.62
0-2-2
5.05
2-2-0
6.07
3-1-0
5.58
1-2-1
5.16
 —
1-2-1
5.62
1-1-2
4.52
Queen of the South
4-0-0
7.44
2-2-0
6.87
2-0-2
4.78
1-2-1
4.25
2-1-1
5.36
2-1-1
5.00
0-2-2
4.94
1-2-1
5.35
 —
0-0-4
4.05
St. Mirren
4-0-0
9.03
3-0-1
8.23
2-0-2
6.04
3-0-1
6.06
1-1-2
6.44
1-2-1
6.67
3-1-0
6.47
2-1-1
6.45
4-0-0
6.94
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.89 +13.0
Allowed 0.90 -10.9
Differential 0.95 +6.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%9.44%5.28%3.89%1.67%0.56%30.83%
19.44%9.44%5.00%5.00%2.22%1.11%32.22%
25.28%5.00%4.44%2.50%0.56%0.56%18.33%
33.89%5.00%2.50%0.56%——11.94%
41.67%2.22%0.56%———4.44%
5+0.56%1.11%0.56%———2.22%
Total30.83%32.22%18.33%11.94%4.44%2.22%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.34 1.34 +0.00
SD 1.28 1.28 1.91
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—22.22%5.56%11.11%11.11%2.78%52.78%
1—8.33%11.11%8.33%8.33%2.78%38.89%
2——2.78%5.56%——8.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total—30.56%19.44%25.00%19.44%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.56 2.50 -1.94
SD 0.65 1.28 1.37
CV 1.17 0.51 —
Max 2 5 +0
Min 0 1 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%16.67%13.89%2.78%5.56%2.78%52.78%
18.33%8.33%2.78%—2.78%2.78%25.00%
2—5.56%5.56%2.78%—2.78%16.67%
3—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.44%33.33%25.00%5.56%8.33%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.75 1.75 -1.00
SD 0.94 1.50 1.71
CV 1.25 0.86 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%8.33%8.33%——25.00%
111.11%13.89%2.78%——2.78%30.56%
211.11%11.11%—5.56%——27.78%
35.56%5.56%————11.11%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total36.11%36.11%11.11%13.89%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.17 +0.28
SD 1.23 1.32 2.06
CV 0.85 1.13 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%5.56%2.78%———22.22%
18.33%11.11%8.33%2.78%——30.56%
22.78%5.56%5.56%2.78%—2.78%19.44%
38.33%8.33%————16.67%
48.33%—————8.33%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total41.67%33.33%16.67%5.56%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 0.97 +0.69
SD 1.37 1.13 1.83
CV 0.82 1.17 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.44%5.56%5.56%5.56%——36.11%
111.11%8.33%2.78%8.33%5.56%—36.11%
2—2.78%2.78%—2.78%—8.33%
32.78%8.33%2.78%———13.89%
4———————
5+—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
Total33.33%27.78%16.67%13.89%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.36 -0.11
SD 1.46 1.31 1.88
CV 1.17 0.96 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%13.89%2.78%2.78%——25.00%
18.33%22.22%8.33%2.78%——41.67%
25.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
35.56%—5.56%———11.11%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+———————
Total25.00%47.22%19.44%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.11 +0.19
SD 1.14 0.89 1.47
CV 0.87 0.80 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%5.56%———27.78%
116.67%8.33%2.78%5.56%—2.78%36.11%
25.56%—5.56%—2.78%—13.89%
32.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
48.33%2.78%————11.11%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total44.44%27.78%16.67%5.56%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.03 +0.44
SD 1.42 1.25 1.96
CV 0.97 1.22 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%8.33%2.78%2.78%——27.78%
15.56%8.33%—8.33%——22.22%
211.11%5.56%5.56%———22.22%
38.33%5.56%5.56%2.78%——22.22%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+———————
Total38.89%33.33%13.89%13.89%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.03 +0.53
SD 1.27 1.06 1.63
CV 0.82 1.03 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%—5.56%2.78%——22.22%
113.89%2.78%5.56%13.89%——36.11%
2—2.78%8.33%5.56%——16.67%
32.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
4—5.56%2.78%———8.33%
5+—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
Total30.56%16.67%27.78%25.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.47 +0.17
SD 1.46 1.18 1.75
CV 0.89 0.80 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%—2.78%——16.67%
111.11%2.78%5.56%—5.56%—25.00%
216.67%11.11%5.56%———33.33%
32.78%13.89%2.78%———19.44%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total38.89%36.11%16.67%2.78%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 1.00 +0.75
SD 1.20 1.10 1.71
CV 0.69 1.10 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
St. Mirren 1489 74 61.96 +12.04 96.0% 38 51 56 62 67 74 77
Inverness CT 1476 57 52.63 +4.37 72.0% 38 40 47 52 58 65 69
Dunfermline Athletic 1467 59 58.93 +0.07 50.0% 37 45 52 59 64 73 74
Livingston 1436 62 51.49 +10.51 94.0% 29 38 46 53 57 64 68
Falkirk 1400 47 48.66 -1.66 44.0% 30 36 44 48 53 59 69
Dundee United 1392 61 54.57 +6.43 83.0% 30 42 51 54 59 65 76
Queen of the South 1374 52 49.02 +2.98 69.0% 33 37 44 48 54 61 67
Greenock Morton 1366 50 53.54 -3.54 35.0% 34 43 49 54 58 63 73
Dumbarton 1173 30 35.47 -5.47 21.0% 18 23 31 35 41 47 53
Brechin City 1047 4 28.04 -24.04 0.0% 7 16 24 29 33 39 47

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+10.00%
No Edge
42.78%24.44%32.78%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 34.86 Elo pts.
145 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.22 goals
Neutral
-2+0.24+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.3
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
37%
St. Mirren, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.33/gm
Runaway
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.03 * Some Luck: 6.03 to 9.05 * Lucky: 9.05 to 12.07 * Wild Swing: 12.07 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.25 * Close: 1.25 to 1.88 * Off: 1.88 to 2.5 * Way Off: 2.5 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.04 * A Surprise: 1.04 to 1.66 * Several Surprises: 1.66 to 2.29 * Many Surprises: 2.29 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
9.73 points
Lucky
07.5419
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.574
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
96.00%
St. Mirren
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
0.00%
Brechin City
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 2
As Expected
01.02

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Top-Heavy
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 142.72
2.49
Wide Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
63%
Even
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
93%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
58%
Some Drama
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Frequent
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.31
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.71
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.04
Weak Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Upset-Prone
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Very Shaky
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.51
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.20
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.082
Well Within Noise
00.1300.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
St. Mirren37.00%23.00%14.00%14.00%7.00%3.00%—1.00%1.00%—
Livingston6.00%9.00%19.00%12.00%12.00%9.00%14.00%15.00%4.00%—
Dundee United9.00%14.00%17.00%11.00%18.00%12.00%11.00%6.00%2.00%—
Dunfermline Athletic26.00%22.00%10.00%13.00%7.00%13.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%—
Inverness CT10.00%9.00%15.00%11.00%11.00%19.00%11.00%10.00%4.00%—
Queen of the South4.00%4.00%7.00%13.00%10.00%15.00%16.00%24.00%6.00%1.00%
Greenock Morton7.00%12.00%15.00%15.00%20.00%13.00%10.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%
Falkirk1.00%7.00%3.00%11.00%13.00%13.00%26.00%22.00%2.00%2.00%
Dumbarton————2.00%3.00%5.00%11.00%53.00%26.00%
Brechin City——————2.00%3.00%25.00%70.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Qualified for promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
St. Mirren 37.00% 51.00% 12.00% —
Dunfermline Athletic 26.00% 45.00% 29.00% —
Inverness CT 10.00% 35.00% 55.00% —
Dundee United 9.00% 42.00% 49.00% —
Greenock Morton 7.00% 42.00% 50.00% 1.00%
Livingston 6.00% 40.00% 54.00% —
Queen of the South 4.00% 24.00% 71.00% 1.00%
Falkirk 1.00% 21.00% 76.00% 2.00%
Dumbarton — — 74.00% 26.00%
Brechin City — — 30.00% 70.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2017-08-05 Brechin City W 4-143.4 1325 1353 36.06% 26.05% 37.88%+0.05 +24.7 3
2017-08-05 @ Queen of the South L 1-443.4 1353 1325 37.88% 26.05% 36.06%-0.05 -24.7 0
2017-08-05 Dundee United L 0-147.6 1413 1392 42.92% 25.91% 31.17%+0.39 -11.8 0
2017-08-05 @ Inverness CT W 1-047.6 1392 1413 31.17% 25.91% 42.92%-0.39 +11.8 3
2017-08-05 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-154.9 1301 1378 29.55% 25.82% 44.63%-0.29 +0.9 1
2017-08-05 @ Livingston D 1-154.9 1378 1301 44.63% 25.82% 29.55%+0.29 -0.9 1
2017-08-05 Falkirk W 3-150.5 1367 1444 29.49% 25.81% 44.70%-0.29 +19.9 3
2017-08-05 @ St. Mirren L 1-350.5 1444 1367 44.70% 25.81% 29.49%+0.29 -19.9 0
2017-08-05 Greenock Morton D 0-049.9 1302 1342 34.42% 26.03% 39.55%-0.03 +0.3 1
2017-08-05 @ Dumbarton D 0-049.9 1342 1302 39.55% 26.03% 34.42%+0.03 -0.3 1
2017-08-12 Dumbarton D 1-156.0 1424 1303 55.37% 24.49% 20.14%+1.08 -2.1 1
2017-08-12 @ Falkirk D 1-156.0 1303 1424 20.14% 24.49% 55.37%-1.08 +2.1 2
2017-08-12 Inverness CT W 5-143.1 1377 1402 36.52% 26.06% 37.43%+0.07 +31.6 4
2017-08-12 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-543.1 1402 1377 37.43% 26.06% 36.52%-0.07 -31.6 0
2017-08-12 Livingston D 2-260.1 1328 1302 43.60% 25.88% 30.52%+0.42 -0.5 1
2017-08-12 @ Brechin City D 2-260.1 1302 1328 30.52% 25.88% 43.60%-0.42 +0.5 2
2017-08-12 Queen of the South W 2-147.2 1404 1350 47.30% 25.61% 27.09%+0.61 +7.8 6
2017-08-12 @ Dundee United L 1-247.2 1350 1404 27.09% 25.61% 47.30%-0.61 -7.8 3
2017-08-12 St. Mirren W 4-144.8 1341 1387 33.59% 26.01% 40.39%-0.07 +25.9 4
2017-08-12 @ Greenock Morton L 1-444.8 1387 1341 40.39% 26.01% 33.59%+0.07 -25.9 3
2017-08-19 Brechin City W 1-040.4 1412 1328 51.04% 25.19% 23.77%+0.82 +7.4 9
2017-08-19 @ Dundee United L 0-140.4 1328 1412 23.77% 25.19% 51.04%-0.82 -7.4 1
2017-08-19 Dumbarton W 1-041.0 1342 1305 45.15% 25.78% 29.07%+0.50 +8.7 6
2017-08-19 @ Queen of the South L 0-141.0 1305 1342 29.07% 25.78% 45.15%-0.50 -8.7 2
2017-08-19 Falkirk W 3-148.4 1409 1422 38.13% 26.05% 35.82%+0.15 +16.8 7
2017-08-19 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-348.4 1422 1409 35.82% 26.05% 38.13%-0.15 -16.8 1
2017-08-19 Greenock Morton D 1-155.7 1370 1367 40.38% 26.01% 33.61%+0.26 -0.4 1
2017-08-19 @ Inverness CT D 1-155.7 1367 1370 33.61% 26.01% 40.38%-0.26 +0.4 5
2017-08-19 St. Mirren L 1-344.3 1303 1361 31.91% 25.95% 42.14%-0.16 -15.3 2
2017-08-19 @ Livingston W 3-144.3 1361 1303 42.14% 25.95% 31.91%+0.16 +15.3 6
2017-08-26 Dundee United W 3-040.9 1376 1419 33.92% 26.02% 40.06%-0.06 +30.5 9
2017-08-26 @ St. Mirren L 0-340.9 1419 1376 40.06% 26.02% 33.92%+0.06 -30.6 9
2017-08-26 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-433.8 1296 1425 23.50% 25.14% 51.36%-0.65 -26.2 2
2017-08-26 @ Dumbarton W 4-033.8 1425 1296 51.36% 25.14% 23.50%+0.65 +26.2 10
2017-08-26 Inverness CT L 0-436.5 1320 1370 33.09% 26.00% 40.92%-0.10 -34.6 1
2017-08-26 @ Brechin City W 4-036.5 1370 1320 40.92% 26.00% 33.09%+0.10 +34.6 4
2017-08-26 Livingston L 0-147.3 1368 1288 50.56% 25.25% 24.19%+0.79 -13.5 5
2017-08-26 @ Greenock Morton W 1-047.3 1288 1368 24.19% 25.25% 50.56%-0.79 +13.5 5
2017-08-26 Queen of the South L 1-447.2 1405 1351 47.31% 25.61% 27.08%+0.62 -29.5 1
2017-08-26 @ Falkirk W 4-147.2 1351 1405 27.08% 25.61% 47.31%-0.62 +29.4 9
2017-09-09 Dumbarton D 1-155.1 1389 1270 55.10% 24.54% 20.36%+1.06 -2.1 10
2017-09-09 @ Dundee United D 1-155.1 1270 1389 20.36% 24.54% 55.10%-1.06 +2.1 3
2017-09-09 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-259.3 1354 1452 27.02% 25.60% 47.38%-0.43 +11.4 8
2017-09-09 @ Greenock Morton L 2-359.3 1452 1354 47.38% 25.60% 27.02%+0.43 -11.4 10
2017-09-09 Falkirk D 1-154.8 1286 1376 27.91% 25.69% 46.40%-0.38 +1.1 2
2017-09-09 @ Brechin City D 1-154.8 1376 1286 46.40% 25.69% 27.91%+0.38 -1.0 2
2017-09-09 Inverness CT W 4-251.0 1407 1404 40.38% 26.01% 33.61%+0.26 +14.3 12
2017-09-09 @ St. Mirren L 2-451.0 1404 1407 33.61% 26.01% 40.38%-0.26 -14.3 4
2017-09-09 Queen of the South D 2-260.6 1301 1380 29.18% 25.79% 45.03%-0.31 +0.7 6
2017-09-09 @ Livingston D 2-260.6 1380 1301 45.03% 25.79% 29.18%+0.31 -0.7 10
2017-09-16 Brechin City W 2-148.0 1272 1287 37.87% 26.05% 36.08%+0.14 +9.7 6
2017-09-16 @ Dumbarton L 1-248.0 1287 1272 36.08% 26.05% 37.87%-0.14 -9.7 2
2017-09-16 Dundee United D 0-051.5 1375 1387 38.31% 26.05% 35.64%+0.16 -0.2 3
2017-09-16 @ Falkirk D 0-051.5 1387 1375 35.64% 26.05% 38.31%-0.16 +0.2 11
2017-09-16 Greenock Morton L 1-251.7 1380 1366 41.98% 25.96% 32.07%+0.34 -10.9 10
2017-09-16 @ Queen of the South W 2-151.7 1366 1380 32.07% 25.96% 41.98%-0.34 +10.9 11
2017-09-16 Livingston L 1-350.2 1390 1302 51.53% 25.12% 23.35%+0.85 -22.4 4
2017-09-16 @ Inverness CT W 3-150.2 1302 1390 23.35% 25.12% 51.53%-0.85 +22.4 9
2017-09-16 St. Mirren W 3-040.0 1440 1421 42.66% 25.93% 31.41%+0.37 +25.4 13
2017-09-16 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-340.0 1421 1440 31.41% 25.93% 42.66%-0.37 -25.4 12
2017-09-23 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-332.7 1277 1466 18.07% 23.94% 57.99%-1.06 -15.9 2
2017-09-23 @ Brechin City W 3-032.7 1466 1277 57.99% 23.94% 18.07%+1.06 +15.9 16
2017-09-23 Greenock Morton W 2-149.2 1387 1377 41.45% 25.98% 32.57%+0.31 +9.0 14
2017-09-23 @ Dundee United L 1-249.2 1377 1387 32.57% 25.98% 41.45%-0.31 -9.0 11
2017-09-23 Inverness CT W 2-151.5 1281 1367 28.37% 25.73% 45.90%-0.35 +11.7 9
2017-09-23 @ Dumbarton L 1-251.5 1367 1281 45.90% 25.73% 28.37%+0.35 -11.7 4
2017-09-23 Livingston L 0-243.4 1374 1324 46.83% 25.65% 27.52%+0.59 -23.8 3
2017-09-23 @ Falkirk W 2-043.4 1324 1374 27.52% 25.65% 46.83%-0.59 +23.8 12
2017-09-24 Queen of the South W 3-145.2 1396 1369 43.71% 25.87% 30.42%+0.43 +14.8 15
2017-09-24 @ St. Mirren L 1-345.2 1369 1396 30.42% 25.87% 43.71%-0.43 -14.8 10
2017-09-30 Brechin City W 2-142.8 1410 1261 58.35% 23.86% 17.79%+1.27 +5.4 18
2017-09-30 @ St. Mirren L 1-242.8 1261 1410 17.79% 23.86% 58.35%-1.27 -5.4 2
2017-09-30 Dumbarton W 2-145.8 1348 1293 47.38% 25.60% 27.02%+0.62 +7.8 15
2017-09-30 @ Livingston L 1-245.8 1293 1348 27.02% 25.60% 47.38%-0.62 -7.8 9
2017-09-30 Dundee United L 1-354.0 1482 1396 51.23% 25.16% 23.61%+0.83 -22.3 16
2017-09-30 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 3-154.0 1396 1482 23.61% 25.16% 51.23%-0.83 +22.3 17
2017-09-30 Falkirk L 0-145.8 1368 1351 42.36% 25.94% 31.70%+0.36 -11.7 11
2017-09-30 @ Greenock Morton W 1-045.8 1351 1368 31.70% 25.94% 42.36%-0.36 +11.6 6
2017-09-30 Queen of the South D 0-050.7 1356 1354 40.25% 26.02% 33.73%+0.25 -0.4 5
2017-09-30 @ Inverness CT D 0-050.7 1354 1356 33.73% 26.02% 40.25%-0.25 +0.4 11
2017-10-14 Dundee United W 2-043.5 1356 1418 31.33% 25.92% 42.74%-0.19 +22.1 18
2017-10-14 @ Livingston L 0-243.5 1418 1356 42.74% 25.92% 31.33%+0.19 -22.1 17
2017-10-14 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-052.7 1354 1459 26.17% 25.51% 48.32%-0.48 +1.4 12
2017-10-14 @ Queen of the South D 0-052.7 1459 1354 48.32% 25.51% 26.17%+0.48 -1.4 17
2017-10-14 Greenock Morton L 0-139.9 1256 1356 26.72% 25.57% 47.71%-0.45 -8.2 2
2017-10-14 @ Brechin City W 1-039.9 1356 1256 47.71% 25.57% 26.72%+0.45 +8.2 14
2017-10-14 Inverness CT D 0-050.8 1362 1355 40.98% 25.99% 33.03%+0.29 -0.5 7
2017-10-14 @ Falkirk D 0-050.8 1355 1362 33.03% 25.99% 40.98%-0.29 +0.5 6
2017-10-14 St. Mirren L 0-236.2 1285 1416 23.40% 25.13% 51.47%-0.66 -13.8 9
2017-10-14 @ Dumbarton W 2-036.2 1416 1285 51.47% 25.13% 23.40%+0.66 +13.8 21
2017-10-21 Dumbarton D 1-154.7 1364 1272 52.03% 25.05% 22.92%+0.88 -1.7 15
2017-10-21 @ Greenock Morton D 1-154.7 1272 1364 22.92% 25.05% 52.03%-0.88 +1.7 10
2017-10-21 Inverness CT L 0-243.8 1396 1356 45.48% 25.76% 28.76%+0.52 -23.3 17
2017-10-21 @ Dundee United W 2-043.8 1356 1396 28.76% 25.76% 45.48%-0.52 +23.3 9
2017-10-21 Livingston W 3-144.8 1458 1378 50.55% 25.25% 24.20%+0.79 +12.3 20
2017-10-21 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-344.8 1378 1458 24.20% 25.25% 50.55%-0.79 -12.3 18
2017-10-21 Queen of the South L 0-139.6 1248 1356 25.79% 25.46% 48.75%-0.51 -7.9 2
2017-10-21 @ Brechin City W 1-039.6 1356 1248 48.75% 25.46% 25.79%+0.51 +7.9 15
2017-10-21 St. Mirren D 0-052.1 1362 1430 30.64% 25.89% 43.48%-0.23 +0.8 8
2017-10-21 @ Falkirk D 0-052.1 1430 1362 43.48% 25.89% 30.64%+0.23 -0.8 22
2017-10-28 Brechin City W 3-247.9 1366 1240 55.84% 24.40% 19.76%+1.11 +5.6 21
2017-10-28 @ Livingston L 2-347.9 1240 1366 19.76% 24.40% 55.84%-1.11 -5.6 2
2017-10-28 Dundee United L 0-236.8 1273 1373 26.80% 25.58% 47.63%-0.45 -15.4 10
2017-10-28 @ Dumbarton W 2-036.8 1373 1273 47.63% 25.58% 26.80%+0.45 +15.4 20
2017-10-28 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-049.7 1379 1470 27.78% 25.67% 46.55%-0.39 +12.6 12
2017-10-28 @ Inverness CT L 0-149.7 1470 1379 46.55% 25.67% 27.78%+0.39 -12.6 20
2017-10-28 Falkirk W 4-249.4 1364 1363 40.18% 26.02% 33.80%+0.25 +14.4 18
2017-10-28 @ Queen of the South L 2-449.4 1363 1364 33.80% 26.02% 40.18%-0.25 -14.3 8
2017-10-28 Greenock Morton D 2-262.5 1429 1362 48.88% 25.45% 25.67%+0.70 -1.0 23
2017-10-28 @ St. Mirren D 2-262.5 1362 1429 25.67% 25.45% 48.88%-0.70 +1.0 16
2017-11-04 Dumbarton L 0-142.4 1234 1258 36.62% 26.06% 37.32%+0.08 -10.4 2
2017-11-04 @ Brechin City W 1-042.4 1258 1234 37.32% 26.06% 36.62%-0.08 +10.4 13
2017-11-04 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-157.2 1348 1458 25.67% 25.45% 48.88%-0.51 +1.3 9
2017-11-04 @ Falkirk D 1-157.2 1458 1348 48.88% 25.45% 25.67%+0.51 -1.3 21
2017-11-04 Inverness CT D 0-051.5 1371 1392 37.09% 26.06% 36.85%+0.10 -0.0 22
2017-11-04 @ Livingston D 0-051.5 1392 1371 36.85% 26.06% 37.09%-0.10 +0.0 13
2017-11-04 Queen of the South L 1-250.4 1363 1378 37.91% 26.05% 36.04%+0.14 -10.1 16
2017-11-04 @ Greenock Morton W 2-150.4 1378 1363 36.04% 26.05% 37.91%-0.14 +10.1 21
2017-11-04 St. Mirren W 2-152.4 1388 1428 34.39% 26.03% 39.58%-0.03 +10.4 23
2017-11-04 @ Dundee United L 1-252.4 1428 1388 39.58% 26.03% 34.39%+0.03 -10.4 23
2017-11-19 Falkirk W 3-036.2 1399 1350 46.64% 25.67% 27.70%+0.58 +23.0 26
2017-11-19 @ Dundee United L 0-336.2 1350 1399 27.70% 25.67% 46.64%-0.58 -23.0 9
2017-11-21 Greenock Morton D 1-157.4 1456 1353 53.27% 24.86% 21.87%+0.95 -1.9 22
2017-11-21 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-157.4 1353 1456 21.87% 24.86% 53.27%-0.95 +1.9 17
2017-11-25 Dumbarton D 2-262.0 1454 1268 62.01% 22.90% 15.09%+1.53 -2.2 23
2017-11-25 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 2-262.0 1268 1454 15.09% 22.90% 62.01%-1.53 +2.2 14
2017-11-25 Dundee United D 1-155.2 1224 1422 17.32% 23.71% 58.96%-1.13 +2.5 3
2017-11-25 @ Brechin City D 1-155.2 1422 1224 58.96% 23.71% 17.32%+1.13 -2.5 27
2017-11-25 Greenock Morton L 0-337.9 1327 1355 35.95% 26.05% 38.00%+0.04 -28.2 9
2017-11-25 @ Falkirk W 3-037.9 1355 1327 38.00% 26.05% 35.95%-0.04 +28.2 20
2017-11-25 Livingston L 0-340.9 1388 1371 42.39% 25.94% 31.67%+0.36 -31.9 21
2017-11-25 @ Queen of the South W 3-040.9 1371 1388 31.67% 25.94% 42.39%-0.36 +31.9 25
2017-11-25 St. Mirren L 0-242.3 1392 1417 36.35% 26.06% 37.59%+0.06 -19.6 13
2017-11-25 @ Inverness CT W 2-042.3 1417 1392 37.59% 26.06% 36.35%-0.06 +19.6 26
2017-11-28 Brechin City W 4-030.6 1372 1226 58.01% 23.94% 18.05%+1.25 +20.8 16
2017-11-28 @ Inverness CT L 0-430.6 1226 1372 18.05% 23.94% 58.01%-1.25 -20.8 3
2017-11-28 Livingston W 3-146.6 1437 1403 44.65% 25.81% 29.53%+0.47 +14.5 29
2017-11-28 @ St. Mirren L 1-346.6 1403 1437 29.53% 25.81% 44.65%-0.47 -14.5 25
2017-11-28 Queen of the South D 2-260.1 1271 1356 28.40% 25.73% 45.87%-0.35 +0.7 15
2017-11-28 @ Dumbarton D 2-260.1 1356 1271 45.87% 25.73% 28.40%+0.35 -0.7 22
2017-12-02 Brechin City W 4-135.1 1383 1205 61.22% 23.12% 15.65%+1.47 +11.7 23
2017-12-02 @ Greenock Morton L 1-435.1 1205 1383 15.65% 23.12% 61.22%-1.47 -11.7 3
2017-12-02 Dumbarton L 0-150.8 1451 1271 61.45% 23.06% 15.49%+1.49 -16.0 29
2017-12-02 @ St. Mirren W 1-050.8 1271 1451 15.49% 23.06% 61.45%-1.49 +16.0 18
2017-12-02 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-153.6 1419 1452 35.30% 26.05% 38.65%+0.01 +10.2 30
2017-12-02 @ Dundee United L 1-253.6 1452 1419 38.65% 26.05% 35.30%-0.01 -10.2 23
2017-12-02 Inverness CT D 0-051.3 1356 1393 34.71% 26.04% 39.25%-0.02 +0.3 23
2017-12-02 @ Queen of the South D 0-051.3 1393 1356 39.25% 26.04% 34.71%+0.02 -0.3 17
2017-12-09 Dundee United L 0-242.3 1395 1429 35.13% 26.04% 38.82%+0.00 -19.1 23
2017-12-09 @ Greenock Morton W 2-042.3 1429 1395 38.82% 26.04% 35.13%+0.00 +19.1 33
2017-12-09 Queen of the South L 2-551.7 1442 1356 51.28% 25.16% 23.57%+0.84 -27.3 23
2017-12-09 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 5-251.7 1356 1442 23.57% 25.16% 51.28%-0.84 +27.3 26
2017-12-09 St. Mirren L 1-240.9 1194 1435 14.24% 22.53% 63.23%-1.43 -4.3 3
2017-12-09 @ Brechin City W 2-140.9 1435 1194 63.23% 22.53% 14.24%+1.43 +4.3 32
2017-12-16 Dumbarton W 1-038.8 1393 1287 53.55% 24.81% 21.64%+0.97 +6.8 20
2017-12-16 @ Inverness CT L 0-138.8 1287 1393 21.64% 24.81% 53.55%-0.97 -6.8 18
2017-12-16 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-045.2 1440 1415 43.48% 25.89% 30.64%+0.41 +9.1 35
2017-12-16 @ St. Mirren L 0-145.2 1415 1440 30.64% 25.89% 43.48%-0.41 -9.1 23
2017-12-19 Falkirk D 0-050.7 1389 1298 51.77% 25.09% 23.14%+0.86 -1.9 26
2017-12-19 @ Livingston D 0-050.7 1298 1389 23.14% 25.09% 51.77%-0.86 +1.9 10
2017-12-23 Brechin City W 2-140.2 1406 1189 64.80% 22.02% 13.18%+1.73 +4.0 26
2017-12-23 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-240.2 1189 1406 13.18% 22.02% 64.80%-1.73 -4.0 3
2017-12-23 Falkirk D 0-049.4 1280 1300 37.18% 26.06% 36.76%+0.10 -0.0 19
2017-12-23 @ Dumbarton D 0-049.4 1300 1280 36.76% 26.06% 37.18%-0.10 +0.0 11
2017-12-23 Inverness CT W 1-045.3 1376 1399 36.65% 26.06% 37.29%+0.08 +10.6 26
2017-12-23 @ Greenock Morton L 0-145.3 1399 1376 37.29% 26.06% 36.65%-0.08 -10.6 20
2017-12-23 Livingston W 3-037.6 1448 1387 48.26% 25.51% 26.23%+0.67 +22.0 36
2017-12-23 @ Dundee United L 0-337.6 1387 1448 26.23% 25.51% 48.26%-0.67 -22.0 26
2017-12-23 St. Mirren L 2-355.1 1383 1449 30.91% 25.90% 43.19%-0.21 -8.2 26
2017-12-23 @ Queen of the South W 3-255.1 1449 1383 43.19% 25.90% 30.91%+0.21 +8.2 38
2017-12-26 Livingston L 1-440.1 1280 1365 28.58% 25.74% 45.68%-0.34 -19.9 19
2017-12-26 @ Dumbarton W 4-140.1 1365 1280 45.68% 25.74% 28.58%+0.34 +19.9 29
2017-12-29 Dundee United W 2-045.7 1457 1470 38.13% 26.05% 35.82%+0.15 +19.3 41
2017-12-29 @ St. Mirren L 0-245.7 1470 1457 35.82% 26.05% 38.13%-0.15 -19.3 36
2017-12-30 Inverness CT L 2-346.6 1185 1389 16.89% 23.57% 59.54%-1.17 -4.9 3
2017-12-30 @ Brechin City W 3-246.6 1389 1185 59.54% 23.57% 16.89%+1.17 +4.9 23
2017-12-30 Queen of the South W 3-256.3 1300 1375 29.78% 25.83% 44.39%-0.27 +10.8 14
2017-12-30 @ Falkirk L 2-356.3 1375 1300 44.39% 25.83% 29.78%+0.27 -10.8 26
2018-01-02 Brechin City W 4-132.9 1451 1181 69.38% 20.28% 10.34%+2.11 +7.6 39
2018-01-02 @ Dundee United L 1-432.9 1181 1451 10.34% 20.28% 69.38%-2.11 -7.6 3
2018-01-02 Dumbarton D 0-050.1 1364 1260 53.35% 24.85% 21.80%+0.96 -2.1 27
2018-01-02 @ Queen of the South D 0-050.1 1260 1364 21.80% 24.85% 53.35%-0.96 +2.1 20
2018-01-02 Falkirk W 2-036.1 1410 1311 52.74% 24.94% 22.32%+0.92 +13.2 29
2018-01-02 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-236.1 1311 1410 22.32% 24.94% 52.74%-0.92 -13.2 14
2018-01-02 Livingston D 1-156.4 1394 1385 41.29% 25.98% 32.73%+0.30 -0.5 24
2018-01-02 @ Inverness CT D 1-156.4 1385 1394 32.73% 25.98% 41.29%-0.30 +0.5 30
2018-01-02 St. Mirren D 1-158.6 1386 1476 27.90% 25.68% 46.41%-0.38 +1.1 27
2018-01-02 @ Greenock Morton D 1-158.6 1476 1386 46.41% 25.68% 27.90%+0.38 -1.1 42
2018-01-06 Dundee United W 6-146.7 1298 1459 20.46% 24.56% 54.98%-0.87 +53.0 17
2018-01-06 @ Falkirk L 1-646.7 1459 1298 54.98% 24.56% 20.46%+0.87 -52.9 39
2018-01-06 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-138.5 1263 1423 20.50% 24.57% 54.92%-0.87 -6.5 20
2018-01-06 @ Dumbarton W 1-038.5 1423 1263 54.92% 24.57% 20.50%+0.87 +6.5 32
2018-01-06 Greenock Morton D 1-154.8 1173 1388 16.07% 23.28% 60.65%-1.24 +2.7 4
2018-01-06 @ Brechin City D 1-154.8 1388 1173 60.65% 23.28% 16.07%+1.24 -2.7 28
2018-01-06 Inverness CT W 1-043.4 1475 1393 50.79% 25.22% 23.99%+0.81 +7.5 45
2018-01-06 @ St. Mirren L 0-143.4 1393 1475 23.99% 25.22% 50.79%-0.81 -7.5 24
2018-01-06 Queen of the South L 0-146.5 1385 1362 43.20% 25.90% 30.90%+0.40 -11.8 30
2018-01-06 @ Livingston W 1-046.5 1362 1385 30.90% 25.90% 43.20%-0.40 +11.8 30
2018-01-09 Falkirk W 4-141.5 1386 1351 44.80% 25.81% 29.39%+0.48 +20.4 27
2018-01-09 @ Inverness CT L 1-441.5 1351 1386 29.39% 25.81% 44.80%-0.48 -20.4 17
2018-01-13 Dundee United D 0-053.2 1429 1406 43.27% 25.90% 30.83%+0.40 -0.8 33
2018-01-13 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 0-053.2 1406 1429 30.83% 25.90% 43.27%-0.40 +0.8 40
2018-01-13 Falkirk L 0-147.2 1385 1330 47.32% 25.61% 27.07%+0.62 -12.8 28
2018-01-13 @ Greenock Morton W 1-047.2 1330 1385 27.07% 25.61% 47.32%-0.62 +12.8 20
2018-01-13 Livingston L 0-232.7 1176 1373 17.34% 23.72% 58.94%-1.12 -10.5 4
2018-01-13 @ Brechin City W 2-032.7 1373 1176 58.94% 23.72% 17.34%+1.12 +10.5 33
2018-01-13 Queen of the South W 3-145.3 1406 1374 44.45% 25.83% 29.72%+0.46 +14.5 30
2018-01-13 @ Inverness CT L 1-345.3 1374 1406 29.72% 25.83% 44.45%-0.46 -14.5 30
2018-01-13 St. Mirren L 0-233.7 1256 1483 15.22% 22.95% 61.83%-1.33 -9.3 20
2018-01-13 @ Dumbarton W 2-033.7 1483 1256 61.83% 22.95% 15.22%+1.33 +9.3 48
2018-01-26 St. Mirren L 1-252.9 1428 1492 31.18% 25.92% 42.90%-0.20 -8.7 33
2018-01-26 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-152.9 1492 1428 42.90% 25.92% 31.18%+0.20 +8.7 51
2018-01-27 Brechin City W 3-137.1 1359 1165 62.80% 22.66% 14.54%+1.58 +7.7 33
2018-01-27 @ Queen of the South L 1-337.1 1165 1359 14.54% 22.66% 62.80%-1.58 -7.7 4
2018-01-27 Dumbarton W 2-033.8 1384 1247 57.06% 24.15% 18.79%+1.19 +11.4 36
2018-01-27 @ Livingston L 0-233.8 1247 1384 18.79% 24.15% 57.06%-1.19 -11.3 20
2018-01-27 Greenock Morton L 0-341.9 1406 1372 44.73% 25.81% 29.46%+0.48 -33.3 40
2018-01-27 @ Dundee United W 3-041.9 1372 1406 29.46% 25.81% 44.73%-0.48 +33.3 31
2018-01-27 Inverness CT W 3-149.5 1343 1421 29.42% 25.81% 44.77%-0.29 +19.9 23
2018-01-27 @ Falkirk L 1-349.5 1421 1343 44.77% 25.81% 29.42%+0.29 -19.9 30
2018-02-03 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-151.6 1405 1420 37.96% 26.05% 35.98%+0.14 +9.7 34
2018-02-03 @ Greenock Morton L 1-251.6 1420 1405 35.98% 26.05% 37.96%-0.14 -9.7 33
2018-02-03 Livingston L 1-346.7 1363 1395 35.46% 26.05% 38.49%+0.02 -16.6 23
2018-02-03 @ Falkirk W 3-146.7 1395 1363 38.49% 26.05% 35.46%-0.02 +16.6 39
2018-02-03 Queen of the South W 2-038.2 1501 1367 56.71% 24.22% 19.06%+1.17 +11.5 54
2018-02-03 @ St. Mirren L 0-238.2 1367 1501 19.06% 24.22% 56.71%-1.17 -11.5 33
2018-02-06 Brechin City W 3-137.2 1347 1157 62.31% 22.81% 14.88%+1.55 +7.9 26
2018-02-06 @ Falkirk L 1-337.2 1157 1347 14.88% 22.81% 62.31%-1.55 -7.9 4
2018-02-10 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-052.8 1412 1410 40.25% 26.02% 33.74%+0.25 -0.4 40
2018-02-10 @ Livingston D 0-052.8 1410 1412 33.74% 26.02% 40.25%-0.25 +0.4 34
2018-02-17 Falkirk L 0-135.8 1150 1354 16.79% 23.54% 59.67%-1.17 -5.4 4
2018-02-17 @ Brechin City W 1-035.8 1354 1150 59.67% 23.54% 16.79%+1.17 +5.4 29
2018-02-17 Greenock Morton D 1-156.3 1356 1415 31.71% 25.94% 42.35%-0.17 +0.6 34
2018-02-17 @ Queen of the South D 1-156.3 1415 1356 42.35% 25.94% 31.71%+0.17 -0.6 35
2018-02-17 St. Mirren W 4-151.8 1411 1512 26.61% 25.56% 47.83%-0.46 +29.7 43
2018-02-17 @ Livingston L 1-451.8 1512 1411 47.83% 25.56% 26.61%+0.46 -29.7 54
2018-02-20 Greenock Morton L 0-137.5 1235 1414 18.85% 24.16% 56.99%-1.00 -6.0 20
2018-02-20 @ Dumbarton W 1-037.5 1414 1235 56.99% 24.16% 18.85%+1.00 +6.0 38
2018-02-23 Dundee United W 2-148.0 1441 1373 49.06% 25.43% 25.51%+0.71 +7.4 46
2018-02-23 @ Livingston L 1-248.0 1373 1441 25.51% 25.43% 49.06%-0.71 -7.4 40
2018-02-24 Brechin City W 1-032.0 1483 1144 74.44% 17.93% 7.63%+2.58 +2.4 57
2018-02-24 @ St. Mirren L 0-132.0 1144 1483 7.63% 17.93% 74.44%-2.58 -2.3 4
2018-02-24 Dumbarton D 0-050.0 1360 1229 56.35% 24.30% 19.35%+1.14 -2.5 30
2018-02-24 @ Falkirk D 0-050.0 1229 1360 19.35% 24.30% 56.35%-1.14 +2.5 21
2018-02-24 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-051.6 1356 1410 32.39% 25.97% 41.63%-0.13 +0.6 35
2018-02-24 @ Queen of the South D 0-051.6 1410 1356 41.63% 25.97% 32.39%+0.13 -0.6 35
2018-02-24 Greenock Morton L 0-242.9 1401 1421 37.21% 26.06% 36.73%+0.10 -19.9 30
2018-02-24 @ Inverness CT W 2-042.9 1421 1401 36.73% 26.06% 37.21%-0.10 +19.9 41
2018-02-27 Livingston L 0-148.7 1440 1448 38.87% 26.04% 35.09%+0.18 -10.9 41
2018-02-27 @ Greenock Morton W 1-048.7 1448 1440 35.09% 26.04% 38.87%-0.18 +10.9 49
2018-03-10 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-041.0 1485 1410 49.93% 25.33% 24.74%+0.76 +14.5 60
2018-03-10 @ St. Mirren L 0-241.0 1410 1485 24.74% 25.33% 49.93%-0.76 -14.5 35
2018-03-10 Greenock Morton W 3-149.8 1357 1430 30.08% 25.85% 44.06%-0.26 +19.6 33
2018-03-10 @ Falkirk L 1-349.8 1430 1357 44.06% 25.85% 30.08%+0.26 -19.6 41
2018-03-10 Queen of the South L 0-138.8 1232 1357 23.98% 25.22% 50.80%-0.62 -7.5 21
2018-03-10 @ Dumbarton W 1-038.8 1357 1232 50.80% 25.22% 23.98%+0.62 +7.5 38
2018-03-13 Brechin City W 1-038.1 1224 1142 50.86% 25.21% 23.93%+0.81 +7.4 24
2018-03-13 @ Dumbarton L 0-138.1 1142 1224 23.93% 25.21% 50.86%-0.81 -7.5 4
2018-03-13 Dundee United L 1-347.5 1364 1366 39.79% 26.03% 34.18%+0.23 -18.1 38
2018-03-13 @ Queen of the South W 3-147.5 1366 1364 34.18% 26.03% 39.79%-0.23 +18.1 43
2018-03-13 Greenock Morton D 1-158.8 1459 1410 46.71% 25.66% 27.63%+0.58 -1.1 50
2018-03-13 @ Livingston D 1-158.8 1410 1459 27.63% 25.66% 46.71%-0.58 +1.1 42
2018-03-13 Inverness CT W 1-043.7 1395 1381 42.04% 25.95% 32.01%+0.34 +9.4 38
2018-03-13 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-143.7 1381 1395 32.01% 25.95% 42.04%-0.34 -9.4 30
2018-03-17 Dumbarton L 1-341.4 1134 1232 27.01% 25.60% 47.39%-0.43 -13.5 4
2018-03-17 @ Brechin City W 3-141.4 1232 1134 47.39% 25.60% 27.01%+0.43 +13.5 27
2018-03-17 Falkirk D 0-053.4 1458 1377 50.71% 25.23% 24.06%+0.80 -1.7 51
2018-03-17 @ Livingston D 0-053.4 1377 1458 24.06% 25.23% 50.71%-0.80 +1.7 34
2018-03-17 Greenock Morton D 0-052.6 1405 1411 39.16% 26.04% 34.81%+0.20 -0.3 39
2018-03-17 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 0-052.6 1411 1405 34.81% 26.04% 39.16%-0.20 +0.3 43
2018-03-17 Inverness CT D 1-156.0 1384 1371 41.73% 25.97% 32.30%+0.33 -0.5 44
2018-03-17 @ Dundee United D 1-156.0 1371 1384 32.30% 25.97% 41.73%-0.33 +0.5 31
2018-03-17 St. Mirren L 1-343.9 1346 1499 21.14% 24.71% 54.15%-0.82 -10.9 38
2018-03-17 @ Queen of the South W 3-143.9 1499 1346 54.15% 24.71% 21.14%+0.82 +10.9 63
2018-03-20 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-328.0 1121 1405 11.79% 21.24% 66.97%-1.72 -10.4 4
2018-03-20 @ Brechin City W 3-028.0 1405 1121 66.97% 21.24% 11.79%+1.72 +10.4 42
2018-03-20 Queen of the South L 2-357.5 1383 1335 46.54% 25.67% 27.79%+0.57 -11.2 44
2018-03-20 @ Dundee United W 3-257.5 1335 1383 27.79% 25.67% 46.54%-0.57 +11.2 41
2018-03-24 Brechin City W 2-028.8 1411 1110 71.72% 19.25% 9.03%+2.32 +5.4 46
2018-03-24 @ Greenock Morton L 0-228.8 1110 1411 9.03% 19.25% 71.72%-2.32 -5.4 4
2018-03-24 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-156.6 1372 1415 33.93% 26.02% 40.05%-0.06 +0.3 45
2018-03-24 @ Dundee United D 1-156.6 1415 1372 40.05% 26.02% 33.93%+0.06 -0.3 43
2018-03-24 Livingston D 3-366.6 1346 1457 25.56% 25.44% 49.00%-0.52 +0.8 42
2018-03-24 @ Queen of the South D 3-366.6 1457 1346 49.00% 25.44% 25.56%+0.52 -0.8 52
2018-03-27 Dumbarton W 5-029.6 1510 1245 68.95% 20.46% 10.60%+2.07 +14.9 66
2018-03-27 @ St. Mirren L 0-529.6 1245 1510 10.60% 20.46% 68.95%-2.07 -14.9 27
2018-03-27 Dundee United W 1-043.8 1372 1372 39.96% 26.02% 34.02%+0.24 +9.9 34
2018-03-27 @ Inverness CT L 0-143.8 1372 1372 34.02% 26.02% 39.96%-0.24 -9.9 45
2018-03-31 Brechin City W 3-027.1 1379 1105 69.63% 20.17% 10.20%+2.13 +8.9 37
2018-03-31 @ Falkirk L 0-327.1 1105 1379 10.20% 20.17% 69.63%-2.13 -8.9 4
2018-03-31 Dundee United D 1-156.5 1417 1363 47.30% 25.61% 27.09%+0.61 -1.2 47
2018-03-31 @ Greenock Morton D 1-156.5 1363 1417 27.09% 25.61% 47.30%-0.61 +1.2 46
2018-03-31 Livingston L 0-330.8 1230 1456 15.31% 22.99% 61.69%-1.32 -13.6 27
2018-03-31 @ Dumbarton W 3-030.8 1456 1230 61.69% 22.99% 15.31%+1.32 +13.6 55
2018-03-31 Queen of the South W 3-143.6 1415 1347 49.00% 25.44% 25.56%+0.71 +12.9 46
2018-03-31 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-343.6 1347 1415 25.56% 25.44% 49.00%-0.71 -12.9 42
2018-03-31 St. Mirren D 2-265.9 1382 1525 22.10% 24.90% 53.00%-0.75 +1.4 35
2018-03-31 @ Inverness CT D 2-265.9 1525 1382 53.00% 24.90% 22.10%+0.75 -1.4 67
2018-04-03 Brechin City W 4-026.2 1383 1096 70.68% 19.72% 9.60%+2.22 +10.9 38
2018-04-03 @ Inverness CT L 0-426.2 1096 1383 9.60% 19.72% 70.68%-2.22 -10.9 4
2018-04-03 Dumbarton W 2-033.2 1364 1217 58.11% 23.92% 17.98%+1.26 +10.9 49
2018-04-03 @ Dundee United L 0-233.2 1217 1364 17.98% 23.92% 58.11%-1.26 -10.9 27
2018-04-03 Falkirk D 2-261.1 1334 1388 32.54% 25.98% 41.48%-0.13 +0.4 43
2018-04-03 @ Queen of the South D 2-261.1 1388 1334 41.48% 25.98% 32.54%+0.13 -0.4 38
2018-04-03 Livingston W 1-049.3 1428 1469 34.10% 26.02% 39.87%-0.05 +11.1 49
2018-04-03 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-149.3 1469 1428 39.87% 26.02% 34.10%+0.05 -11.1 55
2018-04-07 Dundee United W 3-258.6 1206 1375 19.74% 24.39% 55.87%-0.92 +13.1 30
2018-04-07 @ Dumbarton L 2-358.6 1375 1206 55.87% 24.39% 19.74%+0.92 -13.1 49
2018-04-07 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-250.6 1387 1439 32.79% 25.99% 41.23%-0.11 -9.0 38
2018-04-07 @ Falkirk W 2-150.6 1439 1387 41.23% 25.99% 32.79%+0.11 +9.0 52
2018-04-07 Greenock Morton W 3-255.5 1458 1415 45.83% 25.73% 28.44%+0.54 +7.7 58
2018-04-07 @ Livingston L 2-355.5 1415 1458 28.44% 25.73% 45.83%-0.54 -7.7 47
2018-04-07 Inverness CT L 0-239.4 1335 1394 31.73% 25.94% 42.33%-0.17 -17.6 43
2018-04-07 @ Queen of the South W 2-039.4 1394 1335 42.33% 25.94% 31.73%+0.17 +17.6 41
2018-04-07 St. Mirren L 0-130.8 1085 1524 5.88% 15.92% 78.20%-2.79 -1.7 4
2018-04-07 @ Brechin City W 1-030.8 1524 1085 78.20% 15.92% 5.88%+2.79 +1.8 70
2018-04-10 Dumbarton W 3-246.1 1408 1219 62.27% 22.82% 14.90%+1.54 +4.3 50
2018-04-10 @ Greenock Morton L 2-346.1 1219 1408 14.90% 22.82% 62.27%-1.54 -4.3 30
2018-04-10 Falkirk W 1-043.2 1412 1378 44.62% 25.82% 29.57%+0.47 +8.9 44
2018-04-10 @ Inverness CT L 0-143.2 1378 1412 29.57% 25.82% 44.62%-0.47 -8.9 38
2018-04-10 St. Mirren W 1-053.2 1361 1526 20.14% 24.49% 55.37%-0.89 +14.6 52
2018-04-10 @ Dundee United L 0-153.2 1526 1361 55.37% 24.49% 20.14%+0.89 -14.6 70
2018-04-14 Brechin City W 4-024.8 1448 1084 76.18% 17.03% 6.79%+2.76 +7.4 55
2018-04-14 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-424.8 1084 1448 6.79% 17.03% 76.18%-2.76 -7.4 4
2018-04-14 Dumbarton W 5-132.9 1421 1215 63.88% 22.32% 13.80%+1.66 +13.3 47
2018-04-14 @ Inverness CT L 1-532.9 1215 1421 13.80% 22.32% 63.88%-1.66 -13.3 30
2018-04-14 Falkirk W 1-043.5 1376 1369 40.95% 25.99% 33.06%+0.29 +9.7 55
2018-04-14 @ Dundee United L 0-143.5 1369 1376 33.06% 25.99% 40.95%-0.29 -9.7 38
2018-04-14 Livingston D 0-057.9 1511 1466 46.15% 25.71% 28.15%+0.55 -1.1 71
2018-04-14 @ St. Mirren D 0-057.9 1466 1511 28.15% 25.71% 46.15%-0.55 +1.2 59
2018-04-14 Queen of the South L 0-148.7 1412 1317 52.34% 25.00% 22.66%+0.90 -13.9 50
2018-04-14 @ Greenock Morton W 1-048.7 1317 1412 22.66% 25.00% 52.34%-0.90 +13.9 46
2018-04-17 Dundee United L 0-527.1 1076 1386 10.51% 20.40% 69.09%-1.90 -14.8 4
2018-04-17 @ Brechin City W 5-027.1 1386 1076 69.09% 20.40% 10.51%+1.90 +14.8 58
2018-04-17 Falkirk L 1-258.8 1510 1360 58.45% 23.84% 17.71%+1.28 -14.4 71
2018-04-17 @ St. Mirren W 2-158.8 1360 1510 17.71% 23.84% 58.45%-1.28 +14.4 41
2018-04-18 Inverness CT L 0-135.7 1201 1434 14.83% 22.79% 62.38%-1.37 -4.8 30
2018-04-18 @ Dumbarton W 1-035.7 1434 1201 62.38% 22.79% 14.83%+1.37 +4.8 50
2018-04-21 Brechin City W 3-024.5 1467 1061 78.80% 15.58% 5.62%+3.04 +4.5 62
2018-04-21 @ Livingston L 0-324.5 1061 1467 5.62% 15.58% 78.80%-3.04 -4.5 4
2018-04-21 Dundee United W 3-040.8 1331 1400 30.42% 25.87% 43.71%-0.24 +32.7 49
2018-04-21 @ Queen of the South L 0-340.8 1400 1331 43.71% 25.87% 30.42%+0.24 -32.7 58
2018-04-21 Dunfermline Athletic D 2-265.1 1439 1455 37.69% 26.06% 36.25%+0.13 -0.1 51
2018-04-21 @ Inverness CT D 2-265.1 1455 1439 36.25% 26.06% 37.69%-0.13 +0.1 56
2018-04-21 Falkirk L 2-538.9 1197 1374 18.98% 24.20% 56.82%-0.99 -12.2 30
2018-04-21 @ Dumbarton W 5-238.9 1374 1197 56.82% 24.20% 18.98%+0.99 +12.2 44
2018-04-21 Greenock Morton W 2-149.1 1495 1398 52.61% 24.96% 22.43%+0.91 +6.6 74
2018-04-21 @ St. Mirren L 1-249.1 1398 1495 22.43% 24.96% 52.61%-0.91 -6.7 50
2018-04-24 Inverness CT L 0-151.1 1472 1439 44.52% 25.82% 29.66%+0.47 -12.1 62
2018-04-24 @ Livingston W 1-051.1 1439 1472 29.66% 25.82% 44.52%-0.47 +12.1 54
2018-04-28 Dumbarton W 4-027.5 1455 1184 69.40% 20.27% 10.33%+2.11 +11.8 59
2018-04-28 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-427.5 1184 1455 10.33% 20.27% 69.40%-2.11 -11.8 30
2018-04-28 Inverness CT L 0-339.6 1392 1451 31.74% 25.94% 42.31%-0.17 -25.6 50
2018-04-28 @ Greenock Morton W 3-039.6 1451 1392 42.31% 25.94% 31.74%+0.17 +25.6 57
2018-04-28 Livingston W 2-045.8 1368 1459 27.70% 25.67% 46.64%-0.39 +23.8 61
2018-04-28 @ Dundee United L 0-245.8 1459 1368 46.64% 25.67% 27.70%+0.39 -23.8 62
2018-04-28 Queen of the South L 1-530.4 1057 1364 10.64% 20.49% 68.87%-1.88 -10.1 4
2018-04-28 @ Brechin City W 5-130.4 1364 1057 68.87% 20.49% 10.64%+1.88 +10.1 52
2018-04-28 St. Mirren W 1-051.8 1386 1502 24.94% 25.36% 49.70%-0.56 +13.3 47
2018-04-28 @ Falkirk L 0-151.8 1502 1386 49.70% 25.36% 24.94%+0.56 -13.3 74

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2017-12-02 15.49% Dumbarton 1271 1 @ St. Mirren 1451 0
2 2018-04-17 17.71% Falkirk 1360 2 @ St. Mirren 1510 1
3 2018-04-07 19.74% @ Dumbarton 1206 3 Dundee United 1375 2
4 2018-04-10 20.14% @ Dundee United 1361 1 St. Mirren 1526 0
5 2018-01-06 20.46% @ Falkirk 1298 6 Dundee United 1459 1
6 2018-04-14 22.66% Queen of the South 1317 1 @ Greenock Morton 1412 0
7 2017-09-16 23.35% Livingston 1302 3 @ Inverness CT 1390 1
8 2017-12-09 23.57% Queen of the South 1356 5 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1442 2
9 2017-09-30 23.61% Dundee United 1396 3 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1482 1
10 2017-08-26 24.19% Livingston 1288 1 @ Greenock Morton 1368 0
11 2018-04-28 24.94% @ Falkirk 1386 1 St. Mirren 1502 0
12 2018-02-17 26.61% @ Livingston 1411 4 St. Mirren 1512 1
13 2017-09-09 27.02% @ Greenock Morton 1354 3 Dunfermline Athletic 1452 2
14 2018-01-13 27.07% Falkirk 1330 1 @ Greenock Morton 1385 0
15 2017-08-26 27.08% Queen of the South 1351 4 @ Falkirk 1405 1
16 2017-09-23 27.52% Livingston 1324 2 @ Falkirk 1374 0
17 2018-04-28 27.70% @ Dundee United 1368 2 Livingston 1459 0
18 2017-10-28 27.78% @ Inverness CT 1379 1 Dunfermline Athletic 1470 0
19 2018-03-20 27.79% Queen of the South 1335 3 @ Dundee United 1383 2
20 2017-09-23 28.37% @ Dumbarton 1281 2 Inverness CT 1367 1
21 2017-10-21 28.76% Inverness CT 1356 2 @ Dundee United 1396 0
22 2018-01-27 29.42% @ Falkirk 1343 3 Inverness CT 1421 1
23 2018-01-27 29.46% Greenock Morton 1372 3 @ Dundee United 1406 0
24 2017-08-05 29.49% @ St. Mirren 1367 3 Falkirk 1444 1
25 2018-04-24 29.66% Inverness CT 1439 1 @ Livingston 1472 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-01-06 52.96 @ Falkirk 6 1298 20.46% Dundee United 1 1459 54.98% 24.56%
2 2017-08-26 34.57 Inverness CT 4 1370 40.92% @ Brechin City 0 1320 33.09% 26.00%
3 2018-01-27 33.34 Greenock Morton 3 1372 29.46% @ Dundee United 0 1406 44.73% 25.81%
4 2018-04-21 32.73 @ Queen of the South 3 1331 30.42% Dundee United 0 1400 43.71% 25.87%
5 2017-11-25 31.93 Livingston 3 1371 31.67% @ Queen of the South 0 1388 42.39% 25.94%
6 2017-08-12 31.60 @ Dunfermline Athletic 5 1377 36.52% Inverness CT 1 1402 37.43% 26.06%
7 2017-08-26 30.56 @ St. Mirren 3 1376 33.92% Dundee United 0 1419 40.06% 26.02%
8 2018-02-17 29.71 @ Livingston 4 1411 26.61% St. Mirren 1 1512 47.83% 25.56%
9 2017-08-26 29.45 Queen of the South 4 1351 27.08% @ Falkirk 1 1405 47.31% 25.61%
10 2017-11-25 28.17 Greenock Morton 3 1355 38.00% @ Falkirk 0 1327 35.95% 26.05%
11 2017-12-09 27.30 Queen of the South 5 1356 23.57% @ Dunfermline Athletic 2 1442 51.28% 25.16%
12 2017-08-26 26.25 Dunfermline Athletic 4 1425 51.36% @ Dumbarton 0 1296 23.50% 25.14%
13 2017-08-12 25.94 @ Greenock Morton 4 1341 33.59% St. Mirren 1 1387 40.39% 26.01%
14 2018-04-28 25.63 Inverness CT 3 1451 42.31% @ Greenock Morton 0 1392 31.74% 25.94%
15 2017-09-16 25.43 @ Dunfermline Athletic 3 1440 42.66% St. Mirren 0 1421 31.41% 25.93%
16 2017-08-05 24.70 @ Queen of the South 4 1325 36.06% Brechin City 1 1353 37.88% 26.05%
17 2017-09-23 23.84 Livingston 2 1324 27.52% @ Falkirk 0 1374 46.83% 25.65%
18 2018-04-28 23.76 @ Dundee United 2 1368 27.70% Livingston 0 1459 46.64% 25.67%
19 2017-10-21 23.27 Inverness CT 2 1356 28.76% @ Dundee United 0 1396 45.48% 25.76%
20 2017-11-19 23.02 @ Dundee United 3 1399 46.64% Falkirk 0 1350 27.70% 25.67%
21 2017-09-16 22.39 Livingston 3 1302 23.35% @ Inverness CT 1 1390 51.53% 25.12%
22 2017-09-30 22.27 Dundee United 3 1396 23.61% @ Dunfermline Athletic 1 1482 51.23% 25.16%
23 2017-10-14 22.14 @ Livingston 2 1356 31.33% Dundee United 0 1418 42.74% 25.92%
24 2017-12-23 22.02 @ Dundee United 3 1448 48.26% Livingston 0 1387 26.23% 25.51%
25 2017-11-28 20.76 @ Inverness CT 4 1372 58.01% Brechin City 0 1226 18.05% 23.94%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-03-24 66.6 @ Queen of the South 3 1346 25.56% Livingston 3 1457 49.00% 25.44%
2 2018-03-31 65.9 @ Inverness CT 2 1382 22.10% St. Mirren 2 1525 53.00% 24.90%
3 2018-04-21 65.1 @ Inverness CT 2 1439 37.69% Dunfermline Athletic 2 1455 36.25% 26.06%
4 2017-10-28 62.5 @ St. Mirren 2 1429 48.88% Greenock Morton 2 1362 25.67% 25.45%
5 2017-11-25 62.0 @ Dunfermline Athletic 2 1454 62.01% Dumbarton 2 1268 15.09% 22.90%
6 2018-04-03 61.1 @ Queen of the South 2 1334 32.54% Falkirk 2 1388 41.48% 25.98%
7 2017-09-09 60.6 @ Livingston 2 1301 29.18% Queen of the South 2 1380 45.03% 25.79%
8 2017-08-12 60.1 @ Brechin City 2 1328 43.60% Livingston 2 1302 30.52% 25.88%
9 2017-11-28 60.1 @ Dumbarton 2 1271 28.40% Queen of the South 2 1356 45.87% 25.73%
10 2017-09-09 59.3 @ Greenock Morton 3 1354 27.02% Dunfermline Athletic 2 1452 47.38% 25.60%
11 2018-03-13 58.8 @ Livingston 1 1459 46.71% Greenock Morton 1 1410 27.63% 25.66%
12 2018-04-17 58.8 Falkirk 2 1360 17.71% @ St. Mirren 1 1510 58.45% 23.84%
13 2018-01-02 58.6 @ Greenock Morton 1 1386 27.90% St. Mirren 1 1476 46.41% 25.68%
14 2018-04-07 58.6 @ Dumbarton 3 1206 19.74% Dundee United 2 1375 55.87% 24.39%
15 2018-04-14 57.9 @ St. Mirren 0 1511 46.15% Livingston 0 1466 28.15% 25.71%
16 2018-03-20 57.5 Queen of the South 3 1335 27.79% @ Dundee United 2 1383 46.54% 25.67%
17 2017-11-21 57.4 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1 1456 53.27% Greenock Morton 1 1353 21.87% 24.86%
18 2017-11-04 57.2 @ Falkirk 1 1348 25.67% Dunfermline Athletic 1 1458 48.88% 25.45%
19 2018-03-24 56.6 @ Dundee United 1 1372 33.93% Dunfermline Athletic 1 1415 40.05% 26.02%
20 2018-03-31 56.5 @ Greenock Morton 1 1417 47.30% Dundee United 1 1363 27.09% 25.61%
21 2018-01-02 56.4 @ Inverness CT 1 1394 41.29% Livingston 1 1385 32.73% 25.98%
22 2017-12-30 56.3 @ Falkirk 3 1300 29.78% Queen of the South 2 1375 44.39% 25.83%
23 2018-02-17 56.3 @ Queen of the South 1 1356 31.71% Greenock Morton 1 1415 42.35% 25.94%
24 2017-08-12 56.0 @ Falkirk 1 1424 55.37% Dumbarton 1 1303 20.14% 24.49%
25 2018-03-17 56.0 @ Dundee United 1 1384 41.73% Inverness CT 1 1371 32.30% 25.97%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-04-21 24.5 @ Livingston 3 1467 78.80% Brechin City 0 1061 5.62% 15.58%
2 2018-04-14 24.8 @ Dunfermline Athletic 4 1448 76.18% Brechin City 0 1084 6.79% 17.03%
3 2018-04-03 26.2 @ Inverness CT 4 1383 70.68% Brechin City 0 1096 9.60% 19.72%
4 2018-03-31 27.1 @ Falkirk 3 1379 69.63% Brechin City 0 1105 10.20% 20.17%
5 2018-04-17 27.1 Dundee United 5 1386 69.09% @ Brechin City 0 1076 10.51% 20.40%
6 2018-04-28 27.5 @ Dunfermline Athletic 4 1455 69.40% Dumbarton 0 1184 10.33% 20.27%
7 2018-03-20 28.0 Dunfermline Athletic 3 1405 66.97% @ Brechin City 0 1121 11.79% 21.24%
8 2018-03-24 28.8 @ Greenock Morton 2 1411 71.72% Brechin City 0 1110 9.03% 19.25%
9 2018-03-27 29.6 @ St. Mirren 5 1510 68.95% Dumbarton 0 1245 10.60% 20.46%
10 2018-04-28 30.4 Queen of the South 5 1364 68.87% @ Brechin City 1 1057 10.64% 20.49%
11 2017-11-28 30.6 @ Inverness CT 4 1372 58.01% Brechin City 0 1226 18.05% 23.94%
12 2018-03-31 30.8 Livingston 3 1456 61.69% @ Dumbarton 0 1230 15.31% 22.99%
13 2018-04-07 30.8 St. Mirren 1 1524 78.20% @ Brechin City 0 1085 5.88% 15.92%
14 2018-02-24 32.0 @ St. Mirren 1 1483 74.44% Brechin City 0 1144 7.63% 17.93%
15 2017-09-23 32.7 Dunfermline Athletic 3 1466 57.99% @ Brechin City 0 1277 18.07% 23.94%
16 2018-01-13 32.7 Livingston 2 1373 58.94% @ Brechin City 0 1176 17.34% 23.72%
17 2018-01-02 32.9 @ Dundee United 4 1451 69.38% Brechin City 1 1181 10.34% 20.28%
18 2018-04-14 32.9 @ Inverness CT 5 1421 63.88% Dumbarton 1 1215 13.80% 22.32%
19 2018-04-03 33.2 @ Dundee United 2 1364 58.11% Dumbarton 0 1217 17.98% 23.92%
20 2018-01-13 33.7 St. Mirren 2 1483 61.83% @ Dumbarton 0 1256 15.22% 22.95%
21 2017-08-26 33.8 Dunfermline Athletic 4 1425 51.36% @ Dumbarton 0 1296 23.50% 25.14%
22 2018-01-27 33.8 @ Livingston 2 1384 57.06% Dumbarton 0 1247 18.79% 24.15%
23 2017-12-02 35.1 @ Greenock Morton 4 1383 61.22% Brechin City 1 1205 15.65% 23.12%
24 2018-04-18 35.7 Inverness CT 1 1434 62.38% @ Dumbarton 0 1201 14.83% 22.79%
25 2018-02-17 35.8 Falkirk 1 1354 59.67% @ Brechin City 0 1150 16.79% 23.54%