2017-18 Championship Season
180 games · 100,000 simulations
Promoted
—
No promotions.
Relegated
No relegation
Biggest Overachiever
St. Mirren
15.94 points above expected
74 points · 58.06 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Brechin City
28.18 points below expected
4 points · 32.18 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Mirren | 36 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 63 | 36 | +27 | 58.1 | +15.94 |
| 2 | Livingston | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 56 | 37 | +19 | 49.2 | +12.77 |
| 3 | Dundee United | 36 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 61 | 52 | 42 | +10 | 54.5 | +6.55 |
| 4 | Dunfermline Athletic | 36 | 16 | 11 | 9 | 59 | 60 | 35 | +25 | 56.3 | +2.66 |
| 5 | Inverness CT | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 53 | 37 | +16 | 55.8 | +1.24 |
| 6 | Queen Of The South | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 52 | 59 | 53 | +6 | 46.7 | +5.33 |
| 7 | Greenock Morton | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 40 | +7 | 50.8 | -0.75 |
| 8 | Falkirk | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 47 | 45 | 49 | -4 | 48.9 | -1.85 |
| 9 | Dumbarton | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 30 | 27 | 63 | -36 | 34.9 | -4.86 |
| 10 | Brechin City | 36 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 4 | 20 | 90 | -70 | 32.2 | -28.18 |
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Mirren | 1461 | 74 | 58.06 | +15.94 | 98.5% | 34 | 46 | 53 | 58 | 63 | 70 | 89 |
| Inverness CT | 1459 | 57 | 55.76 | +1.24 | 59.0% | 29 | 43 | 51 | 56 | 61 | 68 | 83 |
| Dunfermline Athletic | 1445 | 59 | 56.34 | +2.66 | 66.1% | 30 | 44 | 51 | 56 | 61 | 69 | 82 |
| Livingston | 1411 | 62 | 49.23 | +12.77 | 96.1% | 22 | 37 | 44 | 49 | 54 | 62 | 79 |
| Dundee United | 1394 | 61 | 54.45 | +6.55 | 82.6% | 29 | 42 | 49 | 54 | 59 | 67 | 82 |
| Falkirk | 1387 | 47 | 48.85 | -1.85 | 43.2% | 22 | 37 | 44 | 49 | 54 | 61 | 78 |
| Greenock Morton | 1368 | 50 | 50.75 | -0.75 | 48.7% | 21 | 39 | 46 | 51 | 56 | 63 | 75 |
| Queen Of The South | 1365 | 52 | 46.67 | +5.33 | 78.2% | 18 | 34 | 42 | 47 | 52 | 59 | 72 |
| Dumbarton | 1198 | 30 | 34.86 | -4.86 | 27.2% | 8 | 23 | 30 | 35 | 40 | 47 | 63 |
| Brechin City | 1109 | 4 | 32.18 | -28.18 | 0.0% | 10 | 21 | 27 | 32 | 37 | 44 | 62 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | BC | DUM | DU | DA | FAL | GM | IC | LIV | QOTS | SM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brechin City | — |
0-0-4
5.11
|
0-1-3
3.18
|
0-0-4
2.90
|
0-1-3
3.48
|
0-1-3
3.47
|
0-0-4
3.42
|
0-1-3
3.94
|
0-0-4
4.02
|
0-0-4
2.76
|
| Dumbarton |
4-0-0
5.62
|
— |
1-1-2
3.54
|
0-1-3
3.30
|
0-3-1
3.89
|
0-2-2
3.83
|
1-0-3
3.27
|
0-0-4
3.96
|
0-2-2
4.21
|
1-0-3
3.25
|
| Dundee United |
3-1-0
7.90
|
2-1-1
7.39
|
— |
2-2-0
4.99
|
2-1-1
6.15
|
2-1-1
5.66
|
1-1-2
5.26
|
2-0-2
5.64
|
2-0-2
6.19
|
2-0-2
5.22
|
| Dunfermline Athletic |
4-0-0
8.26
|
3-1-0
7.73
|
0-2-2
5.73
|
— |
3-1-0
6.04
|
0-2-2
6.01
|
2-1-1
5.27
|
2-2-0
5.89
|
1-2-1
6.42
|
1-0-3
5.04
|
| Falkirk |
3-1-0
7.51
|
1-3-0
6.98
|
1-1-2
4.60
|
0-1-3
4.70
|
— |
3-0-1
4.93
|
1-1-2
4.63
|
0-2-2
5.16
|
1-1-2
5.61
|
2-1-1
4.74
|
| Greenock Morton |
3-1-0
7.53
|
2-2-0
7.06
|
1-1-2
5.06
|
2-2-0
4.73
|
1-0-3
5.79
|
— |
2-1-1
4.78
|
0-1-3
5.47
|
1-1-2
5.80
|
1-2-1
4.56
|
| Inverness CT |
4-0-0
7.60
|
3-0-1
7.76
|
2-1-1
5.45
|
1-1-2
5.44
|
2-1-1
6.11
|
1-1-2
5.94
|
— |
1-2-1
6.16
|
2-2-0
6.22
|
0-1-3
5.07
|
| Livingston |
3-1-0
7.07
|
4-0-0
6.89
|
2-0-2
5.10
|
0-2-2
4.84
|
2-2-0
5.58
|
3-1-0
5.27
|
1-2-1
4.61
|
— |
1-2-1
5.37
|
1-1-2
4.53
|
| Queen Of The South |
4-0-0
6.90
|
2-2-0
6.58
|
2-0-2
4.56
|
1-2-1
4.34
|
2-1-1
5.11
|
2-1-1
4.93
|
0-2-2
4.52
|
1-2-1
5.36
|
— |
0-0-4
4.29
|
| St. Mirren |
4-0-0
8.46
|
3-0-1
7.78
|
2-0-2
5.52
|
3-0-1
5.68
|
1-1-2
6.05
|
1-2-1
6.18
|
3-1-0
5.66
|
2-1-1
6.21
|
4-0-0
6.50
|
— |
Goal Differential vs Points
Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.00% | 9.44% | 5.28% | 3.89% | 1.67% | 0.56% | 30.83% |
| 1 | 9.44% | 9.44% | 5.00% | 5.00% | 2.22% | 1.11% | 32.22% |
| 2 | 5.28% | 5.00% | 4.44% | 2.50% | 0.56% | 0.56% | 18.33% |
| 3 | 3.89% | 5.00% | 2.50% | 0.56% | — | — | 11.94% |
| 4 | 1.67% | 2.22% | 0.56% | — | — | — | 4.44% |
| 5+ | 0.56% | 1.11% | 0.56% | — | — | — | 2.22% |
| Total | 30.83% | 32.22% | 18.33% | 11.94% | 4.44% | 2.22% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.34 |
| Mean allowed | 1.34 |
| StdDev scored | 1.28 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.28 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.68 |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | -0.102 |
| Sample size (games) | 180 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 22.22% | 5.56% | 11.11% | 11.11% | 2.78% | 52.78% |
| 1 | — | 8.33% | 11.11% | 8.33% | 8.33% | 2.78% | 38.89% |
| 2 | — | — | 2.78% | 5.56% | — | — | 8.33% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 30.56% | 19.44% | 25.00% | 19.44% | 5.56% | 100% |
Brechin City — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.56 |
| Mean allowed | 2.50 |
| StdDev scored | 0.65 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.28 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.06 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.103 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.11% | 16.67% | 13.89% | 2.78% | 5.56% | 2.78% | 52.78% |
| 1 | 8.33% | 8.33% | 2.78% | — | 2.78% | 2.78% | 25.00% |
| 2 | — | 5.56% | 5.56% | 2.78% | — | 2.78% | 16.67% |
| 3 | — | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | — | 5.56% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 19.44% | 33.33% | 25.00% | 5.56% | 8.33% | 8.33% | 100% |
Dumbarton — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.75 |
| Mean allowed | 1.75 |
| StdDev scored | 0.94 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.50 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.50 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.076 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.56% | 2.78% | 8.33% | 8.33% | — | — | 25.00% |
| 1 | 11.11% | 13.89% | 2.78% | — | — | 2.78% | 30.56% |
| 2 | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | 5.56% | — | — | 27.78% |
| 3 | 5.56% | 5.56% | — | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| 4 | — | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| 5+ | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| Total | 36.11% | 36.11% | 11.11% | 13.89% | — | 2.78% | 100% |
Dundee United — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.44 |
| Mean allowed | 1.17 |
| StdDev scored | 1.23 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.32 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.61 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.311 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.89% | 5.56% | 2.78% | — | — | — | 22.22% |
| 1 | 8.33% | 11.11% | 8.33% | 2.78% | — | — | 30.56% |
| 2 | 2.78% | 5.56% | 5.56% | 2.78% | — | 2.78% | 19.44% |
| 3 | 8.33% | 8.33% | — | — | — | — | 16.67% |
| 4 | 8.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 8.33% |
| 5+ | — | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| Total | 41.67% | 33.33% | 16.67% | 5.56% | — | 2.78% | 100% |
Dunfermline Athletic — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.67 |
| Mean allowed | 0.97 |
| StdDev scored | 1.37 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.13 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.64 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.061 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 19.44% | 5.56% | 5.56% | 5.56% | — | — | 36.11% |
| 1 | 11.11% | 8.33% | 2.78% | 8.33% | 5.56% | — | 36.11% |
| 2 | — | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | 2.78% | — | 8.33% |
| 3 | 2.78% | 8.33% | 2.78% | — | — | — | 13.89% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | — | 5.56% |
| Total | 33.33% | 27.78% | 16.67% | 13.89% | 8.33% | — | 100% |
Falkirk — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.25 |
| Mean allowed | 1.36 |
| StdDev scored | 1.46 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.31 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.61 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.086 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.56% | 13.89% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | 25.00% |
| 1 | 8.33% | 22.22% | 8.33% | 2.78% | — | — | 41.67% |
| 2 | 5.56% | 5.56% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | 16.67% |
| 3 | 5.56% | — | 5.56% | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| 4 | — | 5.56% | — | — | — | — | 5.56% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 25.00% | 47.22% | 19.44% | 8.33% | — | — | 100% |
Greenock Morton — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.31 |
| Mean allowed | 1.11 |
| StdDev scored | 1.14 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.89 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.42 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.034 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.11% | 11.11% | 5.56% | — | — | — | 27.78% |
| 1 | 16.67% | 8.33% | 2.78% | 5.56% | — | 2.78% | 36.11% |
| 2 | 5.56% | — | 5.56% | — | 2.78% | — | 13.89% |
| 3 | 2.78% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | — | 8.33% |
| 4 | 8.33% | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| 5+ | — | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| Total | 44.44% | 27.78% | 16.67% | 5.56% | 2.78% | 2.78% | 100% |
Inverness CT — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.47 |
| Mean allowed | 1.03 |
| StdDev scored | 1.42 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.25 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.50 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.072 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.89% | 8.33% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | 27.78% |
| 1 | 5.56% | 8.33% | — | 8.33% | — | — | 22.22% |
| 2 | 11.11% | 5.56% | 5.56% | — | — | — | 22.22% |
| 3 | 8.33% | 5.56% | 5.56% | 2.78% | — | — | 22.22% |
| 4 | — | 5.56% | — | — | — | — | 5.56% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 38.89% | 33.33% | 13.89% | 13.89% | — | — | 100% |
Livingston — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.56 |
| Mean allowed | 1.03 |
| StdDev scored | 1.27 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.06 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.58 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.031 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.89% | — | 5.56% | 2.78% | — | — | 22.22% |
| 1 | 13.89% | 2.78% | 5.56% | 13.89% | — | — | 36.11% |
| 2 | — | 2.78% | 8.33% | 5.56% | — | — | 16.67% |
| 3 | 2.78% | 2.78% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | 11.11% |
| 4 | — | 5.56% | 2.78% | — | — | — | 8.33% |
| 5+ | — | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | — | 5.56% |
| Total | 30.56% | 16.67% | 27.78% | 25.00% | — | — | 100% |
Queen Of The South — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.64 |
| Mean allowed | 1.47 |
| StdDev scored | 1.46 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.18 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.11 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.135 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.56% | 8.33% | — | 2.78% | — | — | 16.67% |
| 1 | 11.11% | 2.78% | 5.56% | — | 5.56% | — | 25.00% |
| 2 | 16.67% | 11.11% | 5.56% | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 3 | 2.78% | 13.89% | 2.78% | — | — | — | 19.44% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.78% | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| 5+ | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| Total | 38.89% | 36.11% | 16.67% | 2.78% | 5.56% | — | 100% |
St. Mirren — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.75 |
| Mean allowed | 1.00 |
| StdDev scored | 1.20 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.10 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.75 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.108 |
| Games played | 36 |
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Mirren | 74 | 58.1 | +15.94 |
| 2 | Livingston | 62 | 49.2 | +12.77 |
| 3 | Dundee United | 61 | 54.5 | +6.55 |
| 4 | Queen Of The South | 52 | 46.7 | +5.33 |
| 5 | Dunfermline Athletic | 59 | 56.3 | +2.66 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brechin City | 4 | 32.2 | -28.18 |
| 2 | Dumbarton | 30 | 34.9 | -4.86 |
| 3 | Falkirk | 47 | 48.9 | -1.85 |
| 4 | Greenock Morton | 50 | 50.8 | -0.75 |
| 5 | Inverness CT | 57 | 55.8 | +1.24 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Livingston | 4 | Sep 16 – Oct 14 | 1 in 164 |
| 2 | St. Mirren | 4 | Dec 9 – Dec 29 | 1 in 38 |
| 3 | Falkirk | 3 | Apr 17 – Apr 28 | 1 in 36 |
| 4 | Dunfermline Athletic | 4 | Mar 31 – Apr 14 | 1 in 23 |
| 5 | Queen Of The South | 3 | Oct 21 – Nov 4 | 1 in 22 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brechin City | 16 | Jan 13 – Apr 28 | 1 in 2,161 |
| 2 | Inverness CT | 3 | Sep 9 – Sep 23 | 1 in 65 |
| 3 | Dunfermline Athletic | 3 | Dec 2 – Dec 16 | 1 in 33 |
| 4 | Greenock Morton | 3 | Apr 14 – Apr 28 | 1 in 23 |
| 5 | Falkirk | 3 | Apr 7 – Apr 14 | 1 in 17 |
Longest Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Livingston | 11 | Jan 13 – Mar 31 | 1 in 46 |
| 2 | Inverness CT | 11 | Mar 17 – Apr 28 | 1 in 40 |
| 3 | Dunfermline Athletic | 10 | Mar 13 – Apr 28 | 1 in 23 |
| 4 | St. Mirren | 9 | Dec 9 – Feb 3 | 1 in 17 |
| 5 | Dumbarton | 4 | Nov 4 – Dec 2 | 1 in 15 |
Longest Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brechin City | 36 | Aug 5 – Apr 28 | 1 in 7,760 |
| 2 | Dunfermline Athletic | 7 | Oct 28 – Dec 16 | 1 in 50 |
| 3 | Falkirk | 8 | Oct 14 – Dec 23 | 1 in 20 |
| 4 | Inverness CT | 5 | Sep 9 – Oct 14 | 1 in 16 |
| 5 | Dumbarton | 10 | Dec 16 – Mar 10 | 1 in 13 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Mirren | 29.25% | 20.77% | 15.32% | 12.20% | 9.15% | 6.37% | 4.14% | 2.23% | 0.50% | 0.07% |
| Livingston | 4.83% | 7.35% | 9.11% | 11.78% | 14.38% | 15.88% | 16.19% | 13.31% | 5.57% | 1.60% |
| Dundee United | 13.98% | 14.97% | 15.96% | 14.92% | 13.15% | 11.59% | 7.85% | 5.56% | 1.63% | 0.39% |
| Dunfermline Athletic | 21.59% | 19.44% | 16.30% | 13.19% | 10.60% | 8.49% | 5.62% | 3.48% | 1.08% | 0.21% |
| Inverness CT | 18.18% | 17.88% | 16.83% | 14.18% | 11.56% | 9.17% | 6.87% | 4.08% | 1.01% | 0.24% |
| Queen Of The South | 2.37% | 4.17% | 6.29% | 8.87% | 11.53% | 14.32% | 18.39% | 21.50% | 9.69% | 2.87% |
| Greenock Morton | 5.93% | 9.07% | 11.54% | 12.84% | 14.62% | 15.51% | 14.43% | 11.08% | 3.97% | 1.01% |
| Falkirk | 3.82% | 6.25% | 8.25% | 11.12% | 13.35% | 14.91% | 17.32% | 16.81% | 6.43% | 1.74% |
| Dumbarton | 0.03% | 0.09% | 0.28% | 0.61% | 1.15% | 2.47% | 5.74% | 13.61% | 41.88% | 34.14% |
| Brechin City | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.12% | 0.29% | 0.51% | 1.29% | 3.45% | 8.34% | 28.24% | 57.73% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
No Trend Data Yet
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Direct promotion | Qualified for promotion playoff | Same level | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Mirren | 29.2% | 48.3% | 22.4% | 0.1% |
| Dunfermline Athletic | 21.6% | 48.9% | 29.3% | 0.2% |
| Inverness CT | 18.2% | 48.9% | 32.7% | 0.2% |
| Dundee United | 14.0% | 45.9% | 39.8% | 0.4% |
| Greenock Morton | 5.9% | 33.5% | 59.6% | 1.0% |
| Livingston | 4.8% | 28.2% | 65.3% | 1.6% |
| Falkirk | 3.8% | 25.6% | 68.8% | 1.7% |
| Queen Of The South | 2.4% | 19.3% | 75.4% | 2.9% |
| Dumbarton | <0.1% | 1.0% | 64.8% | 34.1% |
| Brechin City | <0.1% | 0.4% | 41.8% | 57.7% |
Overall Game Log
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-08-05 | Greenock Morton | D 0-0 | 1300 | 1343 | 29.8% | 32.2% | 38.0% | +0.3 | 1 |
| 2017-08-05 | @ Dumbarton | D 0-0 | 1343 | 1300 | 38.0% | 32.2% | 29.8% | -0.3 | 1 |
| 2017-08-05 | Dundee United | L 0-1 | 1427 | 1395 | 40.5% | 31.7% | 27.7% | -8.0 | 0 |
| 2017-08-05 | @ Inverness CT | W 1-0 | 1395 | 1427 | 27.7% | 31.7% | 40.5% | +8.1 | 3 |
| 2017-08-05 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 1-1 | 1305 | 1364 | 27.9% | 31.8% | 40.3% | +0.5 | 1 |
| 2017-08-05 | @ Livingston | D 1-1 | 1364 | 1305 | 40.3% | 31.8% | 27.9% | -0.5 | 1 |
| 2017-08-05 | Brechin City | W 4-1 | 1328 | 1361 | 31.1% | 32.4% | 36.5% | +17.3 | 3 |
| 2017-08-05 | @ Queen Of The South | L 1-4 | 1361 | 1328 | 36.5% | 32.4% | 31.1% | -17.3 | 0 |
| 2017-08-05 | Falkirk | W 3-1 | 1353 | 1420 | 27.1% | 31.5% | 41.4% | +13.3 | 3 |
| 2017-08-05 | @ St. Mirren | L 1-3 | 1420 | 1353 | 41.4% | 31.5% | 27.1% | -13.4 | 0 |
| 2017-08-12 | Livingston | D 2-2 | 1344 | 1305 | 41.4% | 31.5% | 27.1% | -0.4 | 1 |
| 2017-08-12 | @ Brechin City | D 2-2 | 1305 | 1344 | 27.1% | 31.5% | 41.4% | +0.4 | 2 |
| 2017-08-12 | Queen Of The South | W 2-1 | 1403 | 1345 | 44.2% | 30.6% | 25.1% | +5.3 | 6 |
| 2017-08-12 | @ Dundee United | L 1-2 | 1345 | 1403 | 25.1% | 30.6% | 44.2% | -5.3 | 3 |
| 2017-08-12 | Inverness CT | W 5-1 | 1363 | 1419 | 28.3% | 31.9% | 39.9% | +23.7 | 4 |
| 2017-08-12 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-5 | 1419 | 1363 | 39.9% | 31.9% | 28.3% | -23.7 | 0 |
| 2017-08-12 | Dumbarton | D 1-1 | 1407 | 1301 | 51.4% | 27.5% | 21.1% | -1.2 | 1 |
| 2017-08-12 | @ Falkirk | D 1-1 | 1301 | 1407 | 21.1% | 27.5% | 51.4% | +1.2 | 2 |
| 2017-08-12 | St. Mirren | W 4-1 | 1343 | 1367 | 32.4% | 32.5% | 35.1% | +16.9 | 4 |
| 2017-08-12 | @ Greenock Morton | L 1-4 | 1367 | 1343 | 35.1% | 32.5% | 32.4% | -16.9 | 3 |
| 2017-08-19 | Brechin City | W 1-0 | 1408 | 1343 | 45.3% | 30.3% | 24.4% | +5.5 | 9 |
| 2017-08-19 | @ Dundee United | L 0-1 | 1343 | 1408 | 24.4% | 30.3% | 45.3% | -5.5 | 1 |
| 2017-08-19 | Falkirk | W 3-1 | 1387 | 1406 | 33.1% | 32.5% | 34.4% | +11.8 | 7 |
| 2017-08-19 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-3 | 1406 | 1387 | 34.4% | 32.5% | 33.1% | -11.8 | 1 |
| 2017-08-19 | Greenock Morton | D 1-1 | 1396 | 1360 | 41.0% | 31.6% | 27.4% | -0.5 | 1 |
| 2017-08-19 | @ Inverness CT | D 1-1 | 1360 | 1396 | 27.4% | 31.6% | 41.0% | +0.5 | 5 |
| 2017-08-19 | St. Mirren | L 1-3 | 1306 | 1350 | 29.7% | 32.2% | 38.1% | -10.6 | 2 |
| 2017-08-19 | @ Livingston | W 3-1 | 1350 | 1306 | 38.1% | 32.2% | 29.7% | +10.6 | 6 |
| 2017-08-19 | Dumbarton | W 1-0 | 1340 | 1302 | 41.3% | 31.5% | 27.2% | +6.0 | 6 |
| 2017-08-19 | @ Queen Of The South | L 0-1 | 1302 | 1340 | 27.2% | 31.5% | 41.3% | -6.0 | 2 |
| 2017-08-26 | Inverness CT | L 0-4 | 1338 | 1395 | 28.1% | 31.8% | 40.1% | -22.2 | 1 |
| 2017-08-26 | @ Brechin City | W 4-0 | 1395 | 1338 | 40.1% | 31.8% | 28.1% | +22.2 | 4 |
| 2017-08-26 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-4 | 1296 | 1399 | 23.5% | 29.7% | 46.8% | -19.0 | 2 |
| 2017-08-26 | @ Dumbarton | W 4-0 | 1399 | 1296 | 46.8% | 29.7% | 23.5% | +19.0 | 10 |
| 2017-08-26 | Queen Of The South | L 1-4 | 1394 | 1346 | 42.8% | 31.1% | 26.1% | -19.3 | 1 |
| 2017-08-26 | @ Falkirk | W 4-1 | 1346 | 1394 | 26.1% | 31.1% | 42.8% | +19.3 | 9 |
| 2017-08-26 | Livingston | L 0-1 | 1360 | 1295 | 45.4% | 30.2% | 24.4% | -8.7 | 5 |
| 2017-08-26 | @ Greenock Morton | W 1-0 | 1295 | 1360 | 24.4% | 30.2% | 45.4% | +8.7 | 5 |
| 2017-08-26 | Dundee United | W 3-0 | 1360 | 1414 | 28.6% | 31.9% | 39.4% | +21.6 | 9 |
| 2017-08-26 | @ St. Mirren | L 0-3 | 1414 | 1360 | 39.4% | 31.9% | 28.6% | -21.6 | 9 |
| 2017-09-09 | Falkirk | D 1-1 | 1315 | 1375 | 27.9% | 31.8% | 40.3% | +0.5 | 2 |
| 2017-09-09 | @ Brechin City | D 1-1 | 1375 | 1315 | 40.3% | 31.8% | 27.9% | -0.5 | 2 |
| 2017-09-09 | Dumbarton | D 1-1 | 1392 | 1277 | 52.7% | 26.8% | 20.5% | -1.3 | 10 |
| 2017-09-09 | @ Dundee United | D 1-1 | 1277 | 1392 | 20.5% | 26.8% | 52.7% | +1.3 | 3 |
| 2017-09-09 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 3-2 | 1352 | 1418 | 27.2% | 31.5% | 41.3% | +7.3 | 8 |
| 2017-09-09 | @ Greenock Morton | L 2-3 | 1418 | 1352 | 41.3% | 31.5% | 27.2% | -7.3 | 10 |
| 2017-09-09 | Queen Of The South | D 2-2 | 1304 | 1365 | 27.7% | 31.7% | 40.6% | +0.4 | 6 |
| 2017-09-09 | @ Livingston | D 2-2 | 1365 | 1304 | 40.6% | 31.7% | 27.7% | -0.4 | 10 |
| 2017-09-09 | Inverness CT | W 4-2 | 1382 | 1417 | 30.8% | 32.4% | 36.8% | +11.0 | 12 |
| 2017-09-09 | @ St. Mirren | L 2-4 | 1417 | 1382 | 36.8% | 32.4% | 30.8% | -11.0 | 4 |
| 2017-09-16 | Brechin City | W 2-1 | 1278 | 1316 | 30.5% | 32.3% | 37.2% | +7.2 | 6 |
| 2017-09-16 | @ Dumbarton | L 1-2 | 1316 | 1278 | 37.2% | 32.3% | 30.5% | -7.1 | 2 |
| 2017-09-16 | St. Mirren | W 3-0 | 1411 | 1393 | 38.3% | 32.1% | 29.5% | +17.7 | 13 |
| 2017-09-16 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-3 | 1393 | 1411 | 29.5% | 32.1% | 38.3% | -17.7 | 12 |
| 2017-09-16 | Dundee United | D 0-0 | 1374 | 1391 | 33.4% | 32.5% | 34.1% | +0.0 | 3 |
| 2017-09-16 | @ Falkirk | D 0-0 | 1391 | 1374 | 34.1% | 32.5% | 33.4% | -0.0 | 11 |
| 2017-09-16 | Livingston | L 1-3 | 1406 | 1304 | 50.8% | 27.8% | 21.4% | -15.4 | 4 |
| 2017-09-16 | @ Inverness CT | W 3-1 | 1304 | 1406 | 21.4% | 27.8% | 50.8% | +15.4 | 9 |
| 2017-09-16 | Greenock Morton | L 1-2 | 1365 | 1359 | 36.6% | 32.4% | 31.0% | -7.1 | 10 |
| 2017-09-16 | @ Queen Of The South | W 2-1 | 1359 | 1365 | 31.0% | 32.4% | 36.6% | +7.1 | 11 |
| 2017-09-23 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-3 | 1309 | 1428 | 22.2% | 28.6% | 49.2% | -13.7 | 2 |
| 2017-09-23 | @ Brechin City | W 3-0 | 1428 | 1309 | 49.2% | 28.6% | 22.2% | +13.7 | 16 |
| 2017-09-23 | Inverness CT | W 2-1 | 1285 | 1391 | 23.3% | 29.5% | 47.2% | +8.4 | 9 |
| 2017-09-23 | @ Dumbarton | L 1-2 | 1391 | 1285 | 47.2% | 29.5% | 23.3% | -8.4 | 4 |
| 2017-09-23 | Greenock Morton | W 2-1 | 1391 | 1366 | 39.4% | 32.0% | 28.7% | +6.0 | 14 |
| 2017-09-23 | @ Dundee United | L 1-2 | 1366 | 1391 | 28.7% | 32.0% | 39.4% | -6.0 | 11 |
| 2017-09-23 | Livingston | L 0-2 | 1374 | 1319 | 43.8% | 30.8% | 25.4% | -16.0 | 3 |
| 2017-09-23 | @ Falkirk | W 2-0 | 1319 | 1374 | 25.4% | 30.8% | 43.8% | +16.0 | 12 |
| 2017-09-24 | Queen Of The South | W 3-1 | 1375 | 1358 | 38.4% | 32.1% | 29.5% | +10.5 | 15 |
| 2017-09-24 | @ St. Mirren | L 1-3 | 1358 | 1375 | 29.5% | 32.1% | 38.4% | -10.5 | 10 |
| 2017-09-30 | Dundee United | L 1-3 | 1442 | 1397 | 42.4% | 31.2% | 26.4% | -13.6 | 16 |
| 2017-09-30 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 3-1 | 1397 | 1442 | 26.4% | 31.2% | 42.4% | +13.6 | 17 |
| 2017-09-30 | Falkirk | L 0-1 | 1360 | 1358 | 36.1% | 32.4% | 31.5% | -7.4 | 11 |
| 2017-09-30 | @ Greenock Morton | W 1-0 | 1358 | 1360 | 31.5% | 32.4% | 36.1% | +7.4 | 6 |
| 2017-09-30 | Queen Of The South | D 0-0 | 1383 | 1347 | 41.0% | 31.6% | 27.4% | -0.6 | 5 |
| 2017-09-30 | @ Inverness CT | D 0-0 | 1347 | 1383 | 27.4% | 31.6% | 41.0% | +0.6 | 11 |
| 2017-09-30 | Dumbarton | W 2-1 | 1335 | 1294 | 41.9% | 31.4% | 26.7% | +5.6 | 15 |
| 2017-09-30 | @ Livingston | L 1-2 | 1294 | 1335 | 26.7% | 31.4% | 41.9% | -5.6 | 9 |
| 2017-09-30 | Brechin City | W 2-1 | 1386 | 1295 | 49.1% | 28.6% | 22.2% | +4.7 | 18 |
| 2017-09-30 | @ St. Mirren | L 1-2 | 1295 | 1386 | 22.2% | 28.6% | 49.1% | -4.7 | 2 |
| 2017-10-14 | Greenock Morton | L 0-1 | 1290 | 1353 | 27.6% | 31.6% | 40.8% | -6.1 | 2 |
| 2017-10-14 | @ Brechin City | W 1-0 | 1353 | 1290 | 40.8% | 31.6% | 27.6% | +6.1 | 14 |
| 2017-10-14 | St. Mirren | L 0-2 | 1288 | 1391 | 23.6% | 29.7% | 46.7% | -10.0 | 9 |
| 2017-10-14 | @ Dumbarton | W 2-0 | 1391 | 1288 | 46.7% | 29.7% | 23.6% | +10.0 | 21 |
| 2017-10-14 | Inverness CT | D 0-0 | 1366 | 1382 | 33.4% | 32.5% | 34.1% | +0.0 | 7 |
| 2017-10-14 | @ Falkirk | D 0-0 | 1382 | 1366 | 34.1% | 32.5% | 33.4% | -0.0 | 6 |
| 2017-10-14 | Dundee United | W 2-0 | 1341 | 1410 | 26.8% | 31.4% | 41.8% | +15.5 | 18 |
| 2017-10-14 | @ Livingston | L 0-2 | 1410 | 1341 | 41.8% | 31.4% | 26.8% | -15.5 | 17 |
| 2017-10-14 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 0-0 | 1348 | 1428 | 25.6% | 30.9% | 43.5% | +0.8 | 12 |
| 2017-10-14 | @ Queen Of The South | D 0-0 | 1428 | 1348 | 43.5% | 30.9% | 25.6% | -0.8 | 17 |
| 2017-10-21 | Queen Of The South | L 0-1 | 1284 | 1348 | 27.4% | 31.6% | 41.1% | -6.1 | 2 |
| 2017-10-21 | @ Brechin City | W 1-0 | 1348 | 1284 | 41.1% | 31.6% | 27.4% | +6.1 | 15 |
| 2017-10-21 | Inverness CT | L 0-2 | 1395 | 1382 | 37.6% | 32.2% | 30.1% | -14.4 | 17 |
| 2017-10-21 | @ Dundee United | W 2-0 | 1382 | 1395 | 30.1% | 32.2% | 37.6% | +14.4 | 9 |
| 2017-10-21 | Livingston | W 3-1 | 1428 | 1357 | 46.2% | 29.9% | 23.9% | +8.8 | 20 |
| 2017-10-21 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-3 | 1357 | 1428 | 23.9% | 29.9% | 46.2% | -8.8 | 18 |
| 2017-10-21 | St. Mirren | D 0-0 | 1366 | 1401 | 30.9% | 32.4% | 36.8% | +0.2 | 8 |
| 2017-10-21 | @ Falkirk | D 0-0 | 1401 | 1366 | 36.8% | 32.4% | 30.9% | -0.2 | 22 |
| 2017-10-21 | Dumbarton | D 1-1 | 1359 | 1278 | 47.6% | 29.3% | 23.1% | -1.0 | 15 |
| 2017-10-21 | @ Greenock Morton | D 1-1 | 1278 | 1359 | 23.1% | 29.3% | 47.6% | +1.0 | 10 |
| 2017-10-28 | Dundee United | L 0-2 | 1279 | 1380 | 23.7% | 29.8% | 46.5% | -10.1 | 10 |
| 2017-10-28 | @ Dumbarton | W 2-0 | 1380 | 1279 | 46.5% | 29.8% | 23.7% | +10.1 | 20 |
| 2017-10-28 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 1-0 | 1396 | 1436 | 30.2% | 32.3% | 37.5% | +7.6 | 12 |
| 2017-10-28 | @ Inverness CT | L 0-1 | 1436 | 1396 | 37.5% | 32.3% | 30.2% | -7.6 | 20 |
| 2017-10-28 | Brechin City | W 3-2 | 1348 | 1278 | 46.0% | 30.0% | 24.0% | +4.8 | 21 |
| 2017-10-28 | @ Livingston | L 2-3 | 1278 | 1348 | 24.0% | 30.0% | 46.0% | -4.8 | 2 |
| 2017-10-28 | Falkirk | W 4-2 | 1355 | 1366 | 34.1% | 32.5% | 33.4% | +10.3 | 18 |
| 2017-10-28 | @ Queen Of The South | L 2-4 | 1366 | 1355 | 33.4% | 32.5% | 34.1% | -10.3 | 8 |
| 2017-10-28 | Greenock Morton | D 2-2 | 1401 | 1358 | 42.0% | 31.3% | 26.7% | -0.4 | 23 |
| 2017-10-28 | @ St. Mirren | D 2-2 | 1358 | 1401 | 26.7% | 31.3% | 42.0% | +0.4 | 16 |
| 2017-11-04 | Dumbarton | L 0-1 | 1273 | 1269 | 36.4% | 32.4% | 31.2% | -7.5 | 2 |
| 2017-11-04 | @ Brechin City | W 1-0 | 1269 | 1273 | 31.2% | 32.4% | 36.4% | +7.5 | 13 |
| 2017-11-04 | St. Mirren | W 2-1 | 1390 | 1400 | 34.4% | 32.5% | 33.1% | +6.6 | 23 |
| 2017-11-04 | @ Dundee United | L 1-2 | 1400 | 1390 | 33.1% | 32.5% | 34.4% | -6.6 | 23 |
| 2017-11-04 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 1-1 | 1356 | 1429 | 26.4% | 31.2% | 42.4% | +0.6 | 9 |
| 2017-11-04 | @ Falkirk | D 1-1 | 1429 | 1356 | 42.4% | 31.2% | 26.4% | -0.6 | 21 |
| 2017-11-04 | Queen Of The South | L 1-2 | 1358 | 1365 | 34.8% | 32.5% | 32.7% | -6.8 | 16 |
| 2017-11-04 | @ Greenock Morton | W 2-1 | 1365 | 1358 | 32.7% | 32.5% | 34.8% | +6.8 | 21 |
| 2017-11-04 | Inverness CT | D 0-0 | 1353 | 1404 | 28.8% | 32.0% | 39.2% | +0.4 | 22 |
| 2017-11-04 | @ Livingston | D 0-0 | 1404 | 1353 | 39.2% | 32.0% | 28.8% | -0.4 | 13 |
| 2017-11-19 | Falkirk | W 3-0 | 1397 | 1356 | 41.7% | 31.4% | 26.9% | +16.4 | 26 |
| 2017-11-19 | @ Dundee United | L 0-3 | 1356 | 1397 | 26.9% | 31.4% | 41.7% | -16.4 | 9 |
| 2017-11-21 | Greenock Morton | D 1-1 | 1428 | 1351 | 47.0% | 29.6% | 23.4% | -0.9 | 22 |
| 2017-11-21 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | D 1-1 | 1351 | 1428 | 23.4% | 29.6% | 47.0% | +0.9 | 17 |
| 2017-11-25 | Dundee United | D 1-1 | 1266 | 1413 | 20.2% | 26.5% | 53.3% | +1.3 | 3 |
| 2017-11-25 | @ Brechin City | D 1-1 | 1413 | 1266 | 53.3% | 26.5% | 20.2% | -1.4 | 27 |
| 2017-11-25 | Dumbarton | D 2-2 | 1427 | 1276 | 57.9% | 23.8% | 18.3% | -1.2 | 23 |
| 2017-11-25 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | D 2-2 | 1276 | 1427 | 18.3% | 23.8% | 57.9% | +1.2 | 14 |
| 2017-11-25 | Greenock Morton | L 0-3 | 1340 | 1352 | 34.0% | 32.5% | 33.5% | -19.5 | 9 |
| 2017-11-25 | @ Falkirk | W 3-0 | 1352 | 1340 | 33.5% | 32.5% | 34.0% | +19.5 | 20 |
| 2017-11-25 | St. Mirren | L 0-2 | 1404 | 1393 | 37.2% | 32.3% | 30.4% | -14.3 | 13 |
| 2017-11-25 | @ Inverness CT | W 2-0 | 1393 | 1404 | 30.4% | 32.3% | 37.2% | +14.3 | 26 |
| 2017-11-25 | Livingston | L 0-3 | 1372 | 1353 | 38.5% | 32.1% | 29.4% | -21.3 | 21 |
| 2017-11-25 | @ Queen Of The South | W 3-0 | 1353 | 1372 | 29.4% | 32.1% | 38.5% | +21.3 | 25 |
| 2017-11-28 | Queen Of The South | D 2-2 | 1278 | 1350 | 26.4% | 31.2% | 42.3% | +0.5 | 15 |
| 2017-11-28 | @ Dumbarton | D 2-2 | 1350 | 1278 | 42.3% | 31.2% | 26.4% | -0.5 | 22 |
| 2017-11-28 | Brechin City | W 4-0 | 1389 | 1267 | 53.7% | 26.3% | 20.0% | +15.9 | 16 |
| 2017-11-28 | @ Inverness CT | L 0-4 | 1267 | 1389 | 20.0% | 26.3% | 53.7% | -15.9 | 3 |
| 2017-11-28 | Livingston | W 3-1 | 1408 | 1374 | 40.7% | 31.7% | 27.7% | +10.0 | 29 |
| 2017-11-28 | @ St. Mirren | L 1-3 | 1374 | 1408 | 27.7% | 31.7% | 40.7% | -10.0 | 25 |
| 2017-12-02 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 2-1 | 1412 | 1426 | 33.8% | 32.5% | 33.7% | +6.7 | 30 |
| 2017-12-02 | @ Dundee United | L 1-2 | 1426 | 1412 | 33.7% | 32.5% | 33.8% | -6.7 | 23 |
| 2017-12-02 | Brechin City | W 4-1 | 1372 | 1251 | 53.5% | 26.4% | 20.1% | +10.3 | 23 |
| 2017-12-02 | @ Greenock Morton | L 1-4 | 1251 | 1372 | 20.1% | 26.4% | 53.5% | -10.3 | 3 |
| 2017-12-02 | Inverness CT | D 0-0 | 1350 | 1405 | 28.4% | 31.9% | 39.7% | +0.5 | 23 |
| 2017-12-02 | @ Queen Of The South | D 0-0 | 1405 | 1350 | 39.7% | 31.9% | 28.4% | -0.5 | 17 |
| 2017-12-02 | Dumbarton | L 0-1 | 1418 | 1278 | 56.3% | 24.8% | 18.9% | -10.1 | 29 |
| 2017-12-02 | @ St. Mirren | W 1-0 | 1278 | 1418 | 18.9% | 24.8% | 56.3% | +10.1 | 18 |
| 2017-12-09 | St. Mirren | L 1-2 | 1241 | 1408 | 19.0% | 24.9% | 56.1% | -3.9 | 3 |
| 2017-12-09 | @ Brechin City | W 2-1 | 1408 | 1241 | 56.1% | 24.9% | 19.0% | +3.9 | 32 |
| 2017-12-09 | Queen Of The South | L 2-5 | 1419 | 1350 | 45.9% | 30.0% | 24.1% | -17.5 | 23 |
| 2017-12-09 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 5-2 | 1350 | 1419 | 24.1% | 30.0% | 45.9% | +17.5 | 26 |
| 2017-12-09 | Dundee United | L 0-2 | 1382 | 1419 | 30.7% | 32.3% | 37.0% | -12.5 | 23 |
| 2017-12-09 | @ Greenock Morton | W 2-0 | 1419 | 1382 | 37.0% | 32.3% | 30.7% | +12.5 | 33 |
| 2017-12-16 | Dumbarton | W 1-0 | 1405 | 1288 | 52.9% | 26.7% | 20.4% | +4.5 | 20 |
| 2017-12-16 | @ Inverness CT | L 0-1 | 1288 | 1405 | 20.4% | 26.7% | 52.9% | -4.5 | 18 |
| 2017-12-16 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 1-0 | 1412 | 1402 | 37.2% | 32.3% | 30.5% | +6.6 | 35 |
| 2017-12-16 | @ St. Mirren | L 0-1 | 1402 | 1412 | 30.5% | 32.3% | 37.2% | -6.6 | 23 |
| 2017-12-19 | Falkirk | D 0-0 | 1364 | 1320 | 42.2% | 31.3% | 26.5% | -0.7 | 26 |
| 2017-12-19 | @ Livingston | D 0-0 | 1320 | 1364 | 26.5% | 31.3% | 42.2% | +0.7 | 10 |
| 2017-12-23 | Falkirk | D 0-0 | 1283 | 1321 | 30.6% | 32.3% | 37.1% | +0.3 | 19 |
| 2017-12-23 | @ Dumbarton | D 0-0 | 1321 | 1283 | 37.1% | 32.3% | 30.6% | -0.3 | 11 |
| 2017-12-23 | Livingston | W 3-0 | 1431 | 1364 | 45.7% | 30.1% | 24.2% | +15.0 | 36 |
| 2017-12-23 | @ Dundee United | L 0-3 | 1364 | 1431 | 24.2% | 30.1% | 45.7% | -15.0 | 26 |
| 2017-12-23 | Brechin City | W 2-1 | 1395 | 1237 | 59.0% | 23.1% | 17.9% | +3.6 | 26 |
| 2017-12-23 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-2 | 1237 | 1395 | 17.9% | 23.1% | 59.0% | -3.6 | 3 |
| 2017-12-23 | Inverness CT | W 1-0 | 1370 | 1409 | 30.3% | 32.3% | 37.4% | +7.6 | 26 |
| 2017-12-23 | @ Greenock Morton | L 0-1 | 1409 | 1370 | 37.4% | 32.3% | 30.3% | -7.6 | 20 |
| 2017-12-23 | St. Mirren | L 2-3 | 1368 | 1418 | 29.0% | 32.0% | 39.0% | -5.7 | 26 |
| 2017-12-23 | @ Queen Of The South | W 3-2 | 1418 | 1368 | 39.0% | 32.0% | 29.0% | +5.7 | 38 |
| 2017-12-26 | Livingston | L 1-4 | 1284 | 1349 | 27.3% | 31.6% | 41.1% | -14.0 | 19 |
| 2017-12-26 | @ Dumbarton | W 4-1 | 1349 | 1284 | 41.1% | 31.6% | 27.3% | +14.0 | 29 |
| 2017-12-29 | Dundee United | W 2-0 | 1424 | 1446 | 32.6% | 32.5% | 34.9% | +13.7 | 41 |
| 2017-12-29 | @ St. Mirren | L 0-2 | 1446 | 1424 | 34.9% | 32.5% | 32.6% | -13.7 | 36 |
| 2017-12-30 | Inverness CT | L 2-3 | 1233 | 1402 | 18.9% | 24.8% | 56.3% | -3.7 | 3 |
| 2017-12-30 | @ Brechin City | W 3-2 | 1402 | 1233 | 56.3% | 24.8% | 18.9% | +3.7 | 23 |
| 2017-12-30 | Queen Of The South | W 3-2 | 1321 | 1362 | 30.0% | 32.2% | 37.7% | +6.8 | 14 |
| 2017-12-30 | @ Falkirk | L 2-3 | 1362 | 1321 | 37.7% | 32.2% | 30.0% | -6.8 | 26 |
| 2018-01-02 | Brechin City | W 4-1 | 1433 | 1230 | 65.3% | 18.9% | 15.7% | +7.3 | 39 |
| 2018-01-02 | @ Dundee United | L 1-4 | 1230 | 1433 | 15.7% | 18.9% | 65.3% | -7.3 | 3 |
| 2018-01-02 | Falkirk | W 2-0 | 1399 | 1328 | 46.2% | 29.9% | 23.9% | +10.2 | 29 |
| 2018-01-02 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-2 | 1328 | 1399 | 23.9% | 29.9% | 46.2% | -10.2 | 14 |
| 2018-01-02 | St. Mirren | D 1-1 | 1377 | 1438 | 27.8% | 31.7% | 40.5% | +0.5 | 27 |
| 2018-01-02 | @ Greenock Morton | D 1-1 | 1438 | 1377 | 40.5% | 31.7% | 27.8% | -0.5 | 42 |
| 2018-01-02 | Livingston | D 1-1 | 1405 | 1363 | 42.0% | 31.3% | 26.6% | -0.6 | 24 |
| 2018-01-02 | @ Inverness CT | D 1-1 | 1363 | 1405 | 26.6% | 31.3% | 42.0% | +0.6 | 30 |
| 2018-01-02 | Dumbarton | D 0-0 | 1355 | 1270 | 48.3% | 29.0% | 22.7% | -1.2 | 27 |
| 2018-01-02 | @ Queen Of The South | D 0-0 | 1270 | 1355 | 22.7% | 29.0% | 48.3% | +1.1 | 20 |
| 2018-01-06 | Greenock Morton | D 1-1 | 1222 | 1378 | 19.7% | 25.8% | 54.5% | +1.4 | 4 |
| 2018-01-06 | @ Brechin City | D 1-1 | 1378 | 1222 | 54.5% | 25.8% | 19.7% | -1.4 | 28 |
| 2018-01-06 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-1 | 1271 | 1409 | 20.8% | 27.3% | 51.9% | -4.7 | 20 |
| 2018-01-06 | @ Dumbarton | W 1-0 | 1409 | 1271 | 51.9% | 27.3% | 20.8% | +4.7 | 32 |
| 2018-01-06 | Dundee United | W 6-1 | 1317 | 1440 | 22.0% | 28.4% | 49.6% | +33.8 | 17 |
| 2018-01-06 | @ Falkirk | L 1-6 | 1440 | 1317 | 49.6% | 28.4% | 22.0% | -33.8 | 39 |
| 2018-01-06 | Queen Of The South | L 0-1 | 1363 | 1354 | 37.1% | 32.3% | 30.6% | -7.6 | 30 |
| 2018-01-06 | @ Livingston | W 1-0 | 1354 | 1363 | 30.6% | 32.3% | 37.1% | +7.6 | 30 |
| 2018-01-06 | Inverness CT | W 1-0 | 1437 | 1405 | 40.5% | 31.7% | 27.8% | +6.2 | 45 |
| 2018-01-06 | @ St. Mirren | L 0-1 | 1405 | 1437 | 27.8% | 31.7% | 40.5% | -6.2 | 24 |
| 2018-01-09 | Falkirk | W 4-1 | 1399 | 1351 | 42.7% | 31.1% | 26.2% | +13.5 | 27 |
| 2018-01-09 | @ Inverness CT | L 1-4 | 1351 | 1399 | 26.2% | 31.1% | 42.7% | -13.5 | 17 |
| 2018-01-13 | Livingston | L 0-2 | 1224 | 1356 | 21.3% | 27.7% | 51.0% | -9.0 | 4 |
| 2018-01-13 | @ Brechin City | W 2-0 | 1356 | 1224 | 51.0% | 27.7% | 21.3% | +9.0 | 33 |
| 2018-01-13 | St. Mirren | L 0-2 | 1266 | 1443 | 18.4% | 24.0% | 57.6% | -7.5 | 20 |
| 2018-01-13 | @ Dumbarton | W 2-0 | 1443 | 1266 | 57.6% | 24.0% | 18.4% | +7.5 | 48 |
| 2018-01-13 | Dundee United | D 0-0 | 1414 | 1406 | 36.9% | 32.3% | 30.8% | -0.3 | 33 |
| 2018-01-13 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | D 0-0 | 1406 | 1414 | 30.8% | 32.3% | 36.9% | +0.3 | 40 |
| 2018-01-13 | Falkirk | L 0-1 | 1376 | 1338 | 41.4% | 31.5% | 27.1% | -8.2 | 28 |
| 2018-01-13 | @ Greenock Morton | W 1-0 | 1338 | 1376 | 27.1% | 31.5% | 41.4% | +8.2 | 20 |
| 2018-01-13 | Queen Of The South | W 3-1 | 1412 | 1362 | 43.1% | 31.0% | 25.9% | +9.5 | 30 |
| 2018-01-13 | @ Inverness CT | L 1-3 | 1362 | 1412 | 25.9% | 31.0% | 43.1% | -9.5 | 30 |
| 2018-01-26 | St. Mirren | L 1-2 | 1413 | 1451 | 30.6% | 32.3% | 37.1% | -6.2 | 33 |
| 2018-01-26 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 2-1 | 1451 | 1413 | 37.1% | 32.3% | 30.6% | +6.2 | 51 |
| 2018-01-27 | Greenock Morton | L 0-3 | 1406 | 1368 | 41.3% | 31.5% | 27.1% | -22.3 | 40 |
| 2018-01-27 | @ Dundee United | W 3-0 | 1368 | 1406 | 27.1% | 31.5% | 41.3% | +22.3 | 31 |
| 2018-01-27 | Inverness CT | W 3-1 | 1346 | 1422 | 26.1% | 31.1% | 42.8% | +13.6 | 23 |
| 2018-01-27 | @ Falkirk | L 1-3 | 1422 | 1346 | 42.8% | 31.1% | 26.1% | -13.6 | 30 |
| 2018-01-27 | Dumbarton | W 2-0 | 1365 | 1259 | 51.3% | 27.6% | 21.1% | +8.9 | 36 |
| 2018-01-27 | @ Livingston | L 0-2 | 1259 | 1365 | 21.1% | 27.6% | 51.3% | -8.9 | 20 |
| 2018-01-27 | Brechin City | W 3-1 | 1352 | 1215 | 56.0% | 25.0% | 19.1% | +6.8 | 33 |
| 2018-01-27 | @ Queen Of The South | L 1-3 | 1215 | 1352 | 19.1% | 25.0% | 56.0% | -6.8 | 4 |
| 2018-02-03 | Livingston | L 1-3 | 1359 | 1374 | 33.7% | 32.5% | 33.8% | -11.6 | 23 |
| 2018-02-03 | @ Falkirk | W 3-1 | 1374 | 1359 | 33.8% | 32.5% | 33.7% | +11.6 | 39 |
| 2018-02-03 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 2-1 | 1391 | 1407 | 33.4% | 32.5% | 34.1% | +6.8 | 34 |
| 2018-02-03 | @ Greenock Morton | L 1-2 | 1407 | 1391 | 34.1% | 32.5% | 33.4% | -6.8 | 33 |
| 2018-02-03 | Queen Of The South | W 2-0 | 1457 | 1359 | 50.1% | 28.2% | 21.7% | +9.2 | 54 |
| 2018-02-03 | @ St. Mirren | L 0-2 | 1359 | 1457 | 21.7% | 28.2% | 50.1% | -9.2 | 33 |
| 2018-02-06 | Brechin City | W 3-1 | 1348 | 1208 | 56.3% | 24.8% | 18.9% | +6.8 | 26 |
| 2018-02-06 | @ Falkirk | L 1-3 | 1208 | 1348 | 18.9% | 24.8% | 56.3% | -6.8 | 4 |
| 2018-02-10 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 0-0 | 1385 | 1400 | 33.6% | 32.5% | 33.9% | +0.0 | 40 |
| 2018-02-10 | @ Livingston | D 0-0 | 1400 | 1385 | 33.9% | 32.5% | 33.6% | -0.0 | 34 |
| 2018-02-17 | Falkirk | L 0-1 | 1201 | 1355 | 19.8% | 26.0% | 54.2% | -4.4 | 4 |
| 2018-02-17 | @ Brechin City | W 1-0 | 1355 | 1201 | 54.2% | 26.0% | 19.8% | +4.4 | 29 |
| 2018-02-17 | St. Mirren | W 4-1 | 1385 | 1466 | 25.6% | 30.9% | 43.5% | +19.5 | 43 |
| 2018-02-17 | @ Livingston | L 1-4 | 1466 | 1385 | 43.5% | 30.9% | 25.6% | -19.5 | 54 |
| 2018-02-17 | Greenock Morton | D 1-1 | 1350 | 1397 | 29.3% | 32.1% | 38.6% | +0.3 | 34 |
| 2018-02-17 | @ Queen Of The South | D 1-1 | 1397 | 1350 | 38.6% | 32.1% | 29.3% | -0.3 | 35 |
| 2018-02-20 | Greenock Morton | L 0-1 | 1250 | 1397 | 20.2% | 26.5% | 53.2% | -4.5 | 20 |
| 2018-02-20 | @ Dumbarton | W 1-0 | 1397 | 1250 | 53.2% | 26.5% | 20.2% | +4.5 | 38 |
| 2018-02-23 | Dundee United | W 2-1 | 1405 | 1384 | 38.8% | 32.1% | 29.1% | +6.0 | 46 |
| 2018-02-23 | @ Livingston | L 1-2 | 1384 | 1405 | 29.1% | 32.1% | 38.8% | -6.0 | 40 |
| 2018-02-24 | Dumbarton | D 0-0 | 1359 | 1245 | 52.5% | 27.0% | 20.6% | -1.5 | 30 |
| 2018-02-24 | @ Falkirk | D 0-0 | 1245 | 1359 | 20.6% | 27.0% | 52.5% | +1.5 | 21 |
| 2018-02-24 | Greenock Morton | L 0-2 | 1408 | 1402 | 36.7% | 32.4% | 30.9% | -14.2 | 30 |
| 2018-02-24 | @ Inverness CT | W 2-0 | 1402 | 1408 | 30.9% | 32.4% | 36.7% | +14.2 | 41 |
| 2018-02-24 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 0-0 | 1350 | 1400 | 29.0% | 32.0% | 39.0% | +0.4 | 35 |
| 2018-02-24 | @ Queen Of The South | D 0-0 | 1400 | 1350 | 39.0% | 32.0% | 29.0% | -0.4 | 35 |
| 2018-02-24 | Brechin City | W 1-0 | 1447 | 1197 | 71.8% | 14.6% | 13.6% | +2.6 | 57 |
| 2018-02-24 | @ St. Mirren | L 0-1 | 1197 | 1447 | 13.6% | 14.6% | 71.8% | -2.5 | 4 |
| 2018-02-27 | Livingston | L 0-1 | 1416 | 1411 | 36.5% | 32.4% | 31.1% | -7.5 | 41 |
| 2018-02-27 | @ Greenock Morton | W 1-0 | 1411 | 1416 | 31.1% | 32.4% | 36.5% | +7.5 | 49 |
| 2018-03-10 | Queen Of The South | L 0-1 | 1247 | 1351 | 23.5% | 29.6% | 46.9% | -5.3 | 21 |
| 2018-03-10 | @ Dumbarton | W 1-0 | 1351 | 1247 | 46.9% | 29.6% | 23.5% | +5.3 | 38 |
| 2018-03-10 | Greenock Morton | W 3-1 | 1358 | 1408 | 28.9% | 32.0% | 39.1% | +12.8 | 33 |
| 2018-03-10 | @ Falkirk | L 1-3 | 1408 | 1358 | 39.1% | 32.0% | 28.9% | -12.8 | 41 |
| 2018-03-10 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 2-0 | 1449 | 1400 | 43.0% | 31.1% | 25.9% | +11.0 | 60 |
| 2018-03-10 | @ St. Mirren | L 0-2 | 1400 | 1449 | 25.9% | 31.1% | 43.0% | -11.0 | 35 |
| 2018-03-13 | Greenock Morton | D 1-1 | 1418 | 1395 | 39.1% | 32.0% | 28.9% | -0.4 | 50 |
| 2018-03-13 | @ Livingston | D 1-1 | 1395 | 1418 | 28.9% | 32.0% | 39.1% | +0.4 | 42 |
| 2018-03-13 | Dundee United | L 1-3 | 1356 | 1378 | 32.6% | 32.5% | 34.9% | -11.3 | 38 |
| 2018-03-13 | @ Queen Of The South | W 3-1 | 1378 | 1356 | 34.9% | 32.5% | 32.6% | +11.3 | 43 |
| 2018-03-13 | Brechin City | W 1-0 | 1241 | 1194 | 42.7% | 31.1% | 26.2% | +5.9 | 24 |
| 2018-03-13 | @ Dumbarton | L 0-1 | 1194 | 1241 | 26.2% | 31.1% | 42.7% | -5.9 | 4 |
| 2018-03-13 | Inverness CT | W 1-0 | 1389 | 1394 | 35.1% | 32.5% | 32.4% | +6.9 | 38 |
| 2018-03-13 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-1 | 1394 | 1389 | 32.4% | 32.5% | 35.1% | -6.9 | 30 |
| 2018-03-17 | Dumbarton | L 1-3 | 1188 | 1247 | 27.9% | 31.8% | 40.3% | -10.1 | 4 |
| 2018-03-17 | @ Brechin City | W 3-1 | 1247 | 1188 | 40.3% | 31.8% | 27.9% | +10.1 | 27 |
| 2018-03-17 | Inverness CT | D 1-1 | 1389 | 1387 | 36.1% | 32.4% | 31.5% | -0.2 | 44 |
| 2018-03-17 | @ Dundee United | D 1-1 | 1387 | 1389 | 31.5% | 32.4% | 36.1% | +0.2 | 31 |
| 2018-03-17 | Greenock Morton | D 0-0 | 1396 | 1396 | 35.8% | 32.4% | 31.8% | -0.2 | 39 |
| 2018-03-17 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | D 0-0 | 1396 | 1396 | 31.8% | 32.4% | 35.8% | +0.2 | 43 |
| 2018-03-17 | Falkirk | D 0-0 | 1418 | 1370 | 42.7% | 31.1% | 26.1% | -0.7 | 51 |
| 2018-03-17 | @ Livingston | D 0-0 | 1370 | 1418 | 26.1% | 31.1% | 42.7% | +0.7 | 34 |
| 2018-03-17 | St. Mirren | L 1-3 | 1345 | 1460 | 22.5% | 28.9% | 48.6% | -8.3 | 38 |
| 2018-03-17 | @ Queen Of The South | W 3-1 | 1460 | 1345 | 48.6% | 28.9% | 22.5% | +8.3 | 63 |
| 2018-03-20 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-3 | 1178 | 1396 | 16.4% | 20.2% | 63.4% | -9.2 | 4 |
| 2018-03-20 | @ Brechin City | W 3-0 | 1396 | 1178 | 63.4% | 20.2% | 16.4% | +9.2 | 42 |
| 2018-03-20 | Queen Of The South | L 2-3 | 1389 | 1336 | 43.5% | 30.9% | 25.6% | -7.6 | 44 |
| 2018-03-20 | @ Dundee United | W 3-2 | 1336 | 1389 | 25.6% | 30.9% | 43.5% | +7.6 | 41 |
| 2018-03-24 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 1-1 | 1382 | 1405 | 32.4% | 32.5% | 35.1% | +0.1 | 45 |
| 2018-03-24 | @ Dundee United | D 1-1 | 1405 | 1382 | 35.1% | 32.5% | 32.4% | -0.1 | 43 |
| 2018-03-24 | Brechin City | W 2-0 | 1396 | 1169 | 68.7% | 16.7% | 14.6% | +5.3 | 46 |
| 2018-03-24 | @ Greenock Morton | L 0-2 | 1169 | 1396 | 14.6% | 16.7% | 68.7% | -5.4 | 4 |
| 2018-03-24 | Livingston | D 3-3 | 1344 | 1417 | 26.4% | 31.2% | 42.4% | +0.4 | 42 |
| 2018-03-24 | @ Queen Of The South | D 3-3 | 1417 | 1344 | 42.4% | 31.2% | 26.4% | -0.4 | 52 |
| 2018-03-27 | Dundee United | W 1-0 | 1387 | 1382 | 36.6% | 32.4% | 31.1% | +6.7 | 34 |
| 2018-03-27 | @ Inverness CT | L 0-1 | 1382 | 1387 | 31.1% | 32.4% | 36.6% | -6.7 | 45 |
| 2018-03-27 | Dumbarton | W 5-0 | 1469 | 1257 | 66.5% | 18.2% | 15.3% | +13.4 | 66 |
| 2018-03-27 | @ St. Mirren | L 0-5 | 1257 | 1469 | 15.3% | 18.2% | 66.5% | -13.4 | 27 |
| 2018-03-31 | Livingston | L 0-3 | 1244 | 1417 | 18.7% | 24.3% | 57.0% | -11.1 | 27 |
| 2018-03-31 | @ Dumbarton | W 3-0 | 1417 | 1244 | 57.0% | 24.3% | 18.7% | +11.1 | 55 |
| 2018-03-31 | Queen Of The South | W 3-1 | 1405 | 1344 | 44.6% | 30.5% | 24.9% | +9.2 | 46 |
| 2018-03-31 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-3 | 1344 | 1405 | 24.9% | 30.5% | 44.6% | -9.1 | 42 |
| 2018-03-31 | Brechin City | W 3-0 | 1371 | 1164 | 66.0% | 18.5% | 15.5% | +8.5 | 37 |
| 2018-03-31 | @ Falkirk | L 0-3 | 1164 | 1371 | 15.5% | 18.5% | 66.0% | -8.5 | 4 |
| 2018-03-31 | Dundee United | D 1-1 | 1401 | 1375 | 39.6% | 31.9% | 28.5% | -0.4 | 47 |
| 2018-03-31 | @ Greenock Morton | D 1-1 | 1375 | 1401 | 28.5% | 31.9% | 39.6% | +0.4 | 46 |
| 2018-03-31 | St. Mirren | D 2-2 | 1394 | 1482 | 24.9% | 30.5% | 44.6% | +0.6 | 35 |
| 2018-03-31 | @ Inverness CT | D 2-2 | 1482 | 1394 | 44.6% | 30.5% | 24.9% | -0.6 | 67 |
| 2018-04-03 | Dumbarton | W 2-0 | 1375 | 1233 | 56.7% | 24.6% | 18.8% | +7.7 | 49 |
| 2018-04-03 | @ Dundee United | L 0-2 | 1233 | 1375 | 18.8% | 24.6% | 56.7% | -7.7 | 27 |
| 2018-04-03 | Livingston | W 1-0 | 1414 | 1428 | 33.8% | 32.5% | 33.7% | +7.1 | 49 |
| 2018-04-03 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-1 | 1428 | 1414 | 33.7% | 32.5% | 33.8% | -7.1 | 55 |
| 2018-04-03 | Brechin City | W 4-0 | 1394 | 1155 | 70.3% | 15.6% | 14.1% | +9.6 | 38 |
| 2018-04-03 | @ Inverness CT | L 0-4 | 1155 | 1394 | 14.1% | 15.6% | 70.3% | -9.6 | 4 |
| 2018-04-03 | Falkirk | D 2-2 | 1335 | 1380 | 29.7% | 32.2% | 38.1% | +0.2 | 43 |
| 2018-04-03 | @ Queen Of The South | D 2-2 | 1380 | 1335 | 38.1% | 32.2% | 29.7% | -0.2 | 38 |
| 2018-04-07 | St. Mirren | L 0-1 | 1145 | 1482 | 11.2% | 9.9% | 78.9% | -1.9 | 4 |
| 2018-04-07 | @ Brechin City | W 1-0 | 1482 | 1145 | 78.9% | 9.9% | 11.2% | +1.9 | 70 |
| 2018-04-07 | Dundee United | W 3-2 | 1225 | 1383 | 19.5% | 25.6% | 54.8% | +8.8 | 30 |
| 2018-04-07 | @ Dumbarton | L 2-3 | 1383 | 1225 | 54.8% | 25.6% | 19.5% | -8.8 | 49 |
| 2018-04-07 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-2 | 1379 | 1421 | 30.0% | 32.2% | 37.8% | -6.2 | 38 |
| 2018-04-07 | @ Falkirk | W 2-1 | 1421 | 1379 | 37.8% | 32.2% | 30.0% | +6.2 | 52 |
| 2018-04-07 | Greenock Morton | W 3-2 | 1421 | 1401 | 38.7% | 32.1% | 29.2% | +5.7 | 58 |
| 2018-04-07 | @ Livingston | L 2-3 | 1401 | 1421 | 29.2% | 32.1% | 38.7% | -5.7 | 47 |
| 2018-04-07 | Inverness CT | L 0-2 | 1335 | 1404 | 26.9% | 31.4% | 41.7% | -11.3 | 43 |
| 2018-04-07 | @ Queen Of The South | W 2-0 | 1404 | 1335 | 41.7% | 31.4% | 26.9% | +11.3 | 41 |
| 2018-04-10 | St. Mirren | W 1-0 | 1374 | 1483 | 23.0% | 29.3% | 47.7% | +9.0 | 52 |
| 2018-04-10 | @ Dundee United | L 0-1 | 1483 | 1374 | 47.7% | 29.3% | 23.0% | -9.0 | 70 |
| 2018-04-10 | Dumbarton | W 3-2 | 1395 | 1234 | 59.4% | 22.9% | 17.8% | +3.4 | 50 |
| 2018-04-10 | @ Greenock Morton | L 2-3 | 1234 | 1395 | 17.8% | 22.9% | 59.4% | -3.4 | 30 |
| 2018-04-10 | Falkirk | W 1-0 | 1415 | 1373 | 41.9% | 31.4% | 26.7% | +6.0 | 44 |
| 2018-04-10 | @ Inverness CT | L 0-1 | 1373 | 1415 | 26.7% | 31.4% | 41.9% | -6.0 | 38 |
| 2018-04-14 | Falkirk | W 1-0 | 1383 | 1367 | 38.1% | 32.2% | 29.7% | +6.5 | 55 |
| 2018-04-14 | @ Dundee United | L 0-1 | 1367 | 1383 | 29.7% | 32.2% | 38.1% | -6.5 | 38 |
| 2018-04-14 | Brechin City | W 4-0 | 1427 | 1144 | 76.0% | 11.8% | 12.2% | +7.8 | 55 |
| 2018-04-14 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-4 | 1144 | 1427 | 12.2% | 11.8% | 76.0% | -7.8 | 4 |
| 2018-04-14 | Queen Of The South | L 0-1 | 1399 | 1324 | 46.7% | 29.7% | 23.6% | -8.9 | 50 |
| 2018-04-14 | @ Greenock Morton | W 1-0 | 1324 | 1399 | 23.6% | 29.7% | 46.7% | +8.9 | 46 |
| 2018-04-14 | Dumbarton | W 5-1 | 1421 | 1230 | 63.6% | 20.1% | 16.3% | +10.0 | 47 |
| 2018-04-14 | @ Inverness CT | L 1-5 | 1230 | 1421 | 16.3% | 20.1% | 63.6% | -10.0 | 30 |
| 2018-04-14 | Livingston | D 0-0 | 1474 | 1427 | 42.8% | 31.1% | 26.1% | -0.7 | 71 |
| 2018-04-14 | @ St. Mirren | D 0-0 | 1427 | 1474 | 26.1% | 31.1% | 42.8% | +0.7 | 59 |
| 2018-04-17 | Falkirk | L 1-2 | 1474 | 1361 | 52.3% | 27.0% | 20.6% | -9.0 | 71 |
| 2018-04-17 | @ St. Mirren | W 2-1 | 1361 | 1474 | 20.6% | 27.0% | 52.3% | +9.0 | 41 |
| 2018-04-17 | Dundee United | L 0-5 | 1136 | 1390 | 14.7% | 16.8% | 68.5% | -12.6 | 4 |
| 2018-04-17 | @ Brechin City | W 5-0 | 1390 | 1136 | 68.5% | 16.8% | 14.7% | +12.6 | 58 |
| 2018-04-18 | Inverness CT | L 0-1 | 1221 | 1431 | 16.7% | 20.9% | 62.4% | -3.5 | 30 |
| 2018-04-18 | @ Dumbarton | W 1-0 | 1431 | 1221 | 62.4% | 20.9% | 16.7% | +3.5 | 50 |
| 2018-04-21 | Falkirk | L 2-5 | 1217 | 1370 | 19.9% | 26.1% | 54.0% | -8.8 | 30 |
| 2018-04-21 | @ Dumbarton | W 5-2 | 1370 | 1217 | 54.0% | 26.1% | 19.9% | +8.8 | 44 |
| 2018-04-21 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 2-2 | 1435 | 1435 | 35.7% | 32.4% | 31.8% | -0.1 | 51 |
| 2018-04-21 | @ Inverness CT | D 2-2 | 1435 | 1435 | 31.8% | 32.4% | 35.7% | +0.1 | 56 |
| 2018-04-21 | Brechin City | W 3-0 | 1427 | 1123 | 78.4% | 10.2% | 11.4% | +5.4 | 62 |
| 2018-04-21 | @ Livingston | L 0-3 | 1123 | 1427 | 11.4% | 10.2% | 78.4% | -5.4 | 4 |
| 2018-04-21 | Dundee United | W 3-0 | 1333 | 1402 | 26.8% | 31.4% | 41.8% | +22.5 | 49 |
| 2018-04-21 | @ Queen Of The South | L 0-3 | 1402 | 1333 | 41.8% | 31.4% | 26.8% | -22.5 | 58 |
| 2018-04-21 | Greenock Morton | W 2-1 | 1465 | 1390 | 46.8% | 29.7% | 23.5% | +5.0 | 74 |
| 2018-04-21 | @ St. Mirren | L 1-2 | 1390 | 1465 | 23.5% | 29.7% | 46.8% | -5.0 | 50 |
| 2018-04-24 | Inverness CT | L 0-1 | 1433 | 1435 | 35.5% | 32.5% | 32.0% | -7.4 | 62 |
| 2018-04-24 | @ Livingston | W 1-0 | 1435 | 1433 | 32.0% | 32.5% | 35.5% | +7.4 | 54 |
| 2018-04-28 | Queen Of The South | L 1-5 | 1118 | 1356 | 15.4% | 18.3% | 66.2% | -9.2 | 4 |
| 2018-04-28 | @ Brechin City | W 5-1 | 1356 | 1118 | 66.2% | 18.3% | 15.4% | +9.2 | 52 |
| 2018-04-28 | Livingston | W 2-0 | 1380 | 1425 | 29.5% | 32.1% | 38.3% | +14.6 | 61 |
| 2018-04-28 | @ Dundee United | L 0-2 | 1425 | 1380 | 38.3% | 32.1% | 29.5% | -14.6 | 62 |
| 2018-04-28 | Dumbarton | W 4-0 | 1435 | 1208 | 68.6% | 16.7% | 14.6% | +10.2 | 59 |
| 2018-04-28 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-4 | 1208 | 1435 | 14.6% | 16.7% | 68.6% | -10.2 | 30 |
| 2018-04-28 | St. Mirren | W 1-0 | 1379 | 1470 | 24.6% | 30.4% | 45.0% | +8.7 | 47 |
| 2018-04-28 | @ Falkirk | L 0-1 | 1470 | 1379 | 45.0% | 30.4% | 24.6% | -8.7 | 74 |
| 2018-04-28 | Inverness CT | L 0-3 | 1385 | 1442 | 28.1% | 31.8% | 40.0% | -17.0 | 50 |
| 2018-04-28 | @ Greenock Morton | W 3-0 | 1442 | 1385 | 40.0% | 31.8% | 28.1% | +17.0 | 57 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2017-12-02 | 18.95% | Dumbarton | 1278 | 1 | @ St. Mirren | 1418 | 0 |
| 2 | 2018-04-07 | 19.54% | @ Dumbarton | 1225 | 3 | Dundee United | 1383 | 2 |
| 3 | 2018-04-17 | 20.64% | Falkirk | 1361 | 2 | @ St. Mirren | 1474 | 1 |
| 4 | 2017-09-16 | 21.38% | Livingston | 1304 | 3 | @ Inverness CT | 1406 | 1 |
| 5 | 2018-01-06 | 21.97% | @ Falkirk | 1317 | 6 | Dundee United | 1440 | 1 |
| 6 | 2018-04-10 | 23.03% | @ Dundee United | 1374 | 1 | St. Mirren | 1483 | 0 |
| 7 | 2017-09-23 | 23.31% | @ Dumbarton | 1285 | 2 | Inverness CT | 1391 | 1 |
| 8 | 2018-04-14 | 23.60% | Queen Of The South | 1324 | 1 | @ Greenock Morton | 1399 | 0 |
| 9 | 2017-12-09 | 24.08% | Queen Of The South | 1350 | 5 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 1419 | 2 |
| 10 | 2017-08-26 | 24.40% | Livingston | 1295 | 1 | @ Greenock Morton | 1360 | 0 |
| 11 | 2018-04-28 | 24.63% | @ Falkirk | 1379 | 1 | St. Mirren | 1470 | 0 |
| 12 | 2017-09-23 | 25.41% | Livingston | 1319 | 2 | @ Falkirk | 1374 | 0 |
| 13 | 2018-02-17 | 25.59% | @ Livingston | 1385 | 4 | St. Mirren | 1466 | 1 |
| 14 | 2018-03-20 | 25.62% | Queen Of The South | 1336 | 3 | @ Dundee United | 1389 | 2 |
| 15 | 2017-08-26 | 26.07% | Queen Of The South | 1346 | 4 | @ Falkirk | 1394 | 1 |
| 16 | 2018-01-27 | 26.12% | @ Falkirk | 1346 | 3 | Inverness CT | 1422 | 1 |
| 17 | 2017-09-30 | 26.37% | Dundee United | 1397 | 3 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 1442 | 1 |
| 18 | 2018-04-21 | 26.80% | @ Queen Of The South | 1333 | 3 | Dundee United | 1402 | 0 |
| 19 | 2017-10-14 | 26.82% | @ Livingston | 1341 | 2 | Dundee United | 1410 | 0 |
| 20 | 2017-08-05 | 27.07% | @ St. Mirren | 1353 | 3 | Falkirk | 1420 | 1 |
| 21 | 2018-01-13 | 27.07% | Falkirk | 1338 | 1 | @ Greenock Morton | 1376 | 0 |
| 22 | 2018-01-27 | 27.14% | Greenock Morton | 1368 | 3 | @ Dundee United | 1406 | 0 |
| 23 | 2017-09-09 | 27.15% | @ Greenock Morton | 1352 | 3 | Dunfermline Athletic | 1418 | 2 |
| 24 | 2017-08-05 | 27.74% | Dundee United | 1395 | 1 | @ Inverness CT | 1427 | 0 |
| 25 | 2017-08-12 | 28.28% | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 1363 | 5 | Inverness CT | 1419 | 1 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2018-01-06 | 33.78 | @ Falkirk | 6 | 1317 | 21.97% | Dundee United | 1 | 1440 | 49.61% | |
| 2 | 2017-08-12 | 23.73 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 5 | 1363 | 28.28% | Inverness CT | 1 | 1419 | 39.86% | |
| 3 | 2018-04-21 | 22.52 | @ Queen Of The South | 3 | 1333 | 26.80% | Dundee United | 0 | 1402 | 41.80% | |
| 4 | 2018-01-27 | 22.35 | Greenock Morton | 3 | 1368 | 27.14% | @ Dundee United | 0 | 1406 | 41.34% | |
| 5 | 2017-08-26 | 22.25 | Inverness CT | 4 | 1395 | 40.07% | @ Brechin City | 0 | 1338 | 28.11% | |
| 6 | 2017-08-26 | 21.64 | @ St. Mirren | 3 | 1360 | 28.62% | Dundee United | 0 | 1414 | 39.44% | |
| 7 | 2017-11-25 | 21.28 | Livingston | 3 | 1353 | 29.39% | @ Queen Of The South | 0 | 1372 | 38.50% | |
| 8 | 2017-11-25 | 19.54 | Greenock Morton | 3 | 1352 | 33.53% | @ Falkirk | 0 | 1340 | 33.96% | |
| 9 | 2018-02-17 | 19.53 | @ Livingston | 4 | 1385 | 25.59% | St. Mirren | 1 | 1466 | 43.53% | |
| 10 | 2017-08-26 | 19.32 | Queen Of The South | 4 | 1346 | 26.07% | @ Falkirk | 1 | 1394 | 42.83% | |
| 11 | 2017-08-26 | 19.05 | Dunfermline Athletic | 4 | 1399 | 46.76% | @ Dumbarton | 0 | 1296 | 23.55% | |
| 12 | 2017-09-16 | 17.70 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 3 | 1411 | 38.31% | St. Mirren | 0 | 1393 | 29.54% | |
| 13 | 2017-12-09 | 17.54 | Queen Of The South | 5 | 1350 | 24.08% | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 2 | 1419 | 45.87% | |
| 14 | 2017-08-05 | 17.30 | @ Queen Of The South | 4 | 1328 | 31.12% | Brechin City | 1 | 1361 | 36.50% | |
| 15 | 2018-04-28 | 17.05 | Inverness CT | 3 | 1442 | 40.03% | @ Greenock Morton | 0 | 1385 | 28.15% | |
| 16 | 2017-08-12 | 16.86 | @ Greenock Morton | 4 | 1343 | 32.38% | St. Mirren | 1 | 1367 | 35.14% | |
| 17 | 2017-11-19 | 16.41 | @ Dundee United | 3 | 1397 | 41.73% | Falkirk | 0 | 1356 | 26.85% | |
| 18 | 2017-09-23 | 16.02 | Livingston | 2 | 1319 | 25.41% | @ Falkirk | 0 | 1374 | 43.80% | |
| 19 | 2017-11-28 | 15.93 | @ Inverness CT | 4 | 1389 | 53.70% | Brechin City | 0 | 1267 | 20.02% | |
| 20 | 2017-10-14 | 15.51 | @ Livingston | 2 | 1341 | 26.82% | Dundee United | 0 | 1410 | 41.78% | |
| 21 | 2017-09-16 | 15.35 | Livingston | 3 | 1304 | 21.38% | @ Inverness CT | 1 | 1406 | 50.78% | |
| 22 | 2017-12-23 | 14.96 | @ Dundee United | 3 | 1431 | 45.69% | Livingston | 0 | 1364 | 24.19% | |
| 23 | 2018-04-28 | 14.60 | @ Dundee United | 2 | 1380 | 29.55% | Livingston | 0 | 1425 | 38.31% | |
| 24 | 2017-10-21 | 14.42 | Inverness CT | 2 | 1382 | 30.13% | @ Dundee United | 0 | 1395 | 37.63% | |
| 25 | 2017-11-25 | 14.32 | St. Mirren | 2 | 1393 | 30.45% | @ Inverness CT | 0 | 1404 | 37.25% | |