1931-32 Segunda División Season

87 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Real Betis

7.70 points above expected

25 points · 17.30 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Europa

12.61 points below expected

5 points · 17.61 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Real Betis	18	10	5	3	25	40	30	+10	17.3	+7.70
2	Real Oviedo	18	11	1	6	23	48	26	+22	17.9	+5.12
3	Sporting Gijon	18	9	4	5	22	33	26	+7	18.4	+3.60
4	Real Murcia	18	10	1	7	21	39	32	+7	17.4	+3.61
5	Deportivo La Coruna	18	9	1	8	19	33	37	-4	17.2	+1.75
6	Atletico Madrid	18	8	2	8	18	39	37	+2	18.9	-0.85
7	Castellon	17	8	1	8	17	26	32	-6	17.2	-0.16
8	Sevilla	17	6	1	10	13	27	31	-4	16.9	-3.95
9	Celta Vigo	17	4	3	10	11	30	47	-17	15.2	-4.21
10	Europa	15	2	1	12	5	13	30	-17	17.6	-12.61

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Europa	1559	5	20.61	-15.61	0.0%	14	16	19	20	23	26	27
Atletico Madrid	1520	18	18.85	-0.85	48.0%	12	14	17	19	21	23	26
Real Oviedo	1486	23	17.88	+5.12	93.0%	11	12	15	18	20	24	28
Castellon	1485	17	18.16	-1.16	39.0%	10	13	16	18	20	23	24
Sporting Gijon	1484	22	18.40	+3.60	93.0%	12	14	17	18	20	23	25
Real Betis	1479	25	17.30	+7.70	100.0%	11	13	15	17	19	22	25
Sevilla	1479	13	17.95	-4.95	13.0%	10	12	16	18	20	23	25
Real Murcia	1477	21	17.39	+3.61	92.0%	11	13	15	17	20	22	26
Deportivo La Coruna	1471	19	17.25	+1.75	79.0%	10	13	15	18	19	21	27
Celta Vigo	1419	11	16.21	-5.21	7.0%	8	10	15	16	18	20	22

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AM	CAS	CV	DLC	EUR	RB	RM	RO	SEV	SG
Atletico Madrid	—	1-0-1 3.04	2-0-0 3.31	1-0-1 3.12	0-0-2 2.69	1-0-1 3.08	1-0-1 3.09	1-0-1 3.09	1-0-1 3.06	0-2-0 3.06
Castellon	1-0-1 2.72	—	1-0-1 3.14	1-0-1 2.94	1-0-0 2.14	0-1-1 2.95	1-0-1 2.92	1-0-1 2.89	1-0-1 2.90	1-0-1 2.88
Celta Vigo	0-0-2 2.46	1-0-1 2.63	—	1-0-1 2.68	0-1-0 0.29	0-1-1 2.65	1-0-1 2.67	0-0-2 2.65	1-0-1 2.63	0-1-1 2.63
Deportivo La Coruna	1-0-1 2.65	1-0-1 2.82	1-0-1 3.08	—	2-0-0 2.43	0-1-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.87	1-0-1 2.83	1-0-1 2.84	1-0-1 2.83
Europa	2-0-0 3.08	0-0-1 0.72	0-1-0 2.62	0-0-2 3.34	—	0-0-2 3.31	0-0-2 3.35	0-0-2 3.29	0-0-1 2.55	0-0-2 3.25
Real Betis	1-0-1 2.68	1-1-0 2.82	1-1-0 3.11	1-1-0 2.90	2-0-0 2.45	—	1-1-0 2.87	1-0-1 2.84	1-1-0 2.84	1-0-1 2.85
Real Murcia	1-0-1 2.68	1-0-1 2.84	1-0-1 3.09	1-0-1 2.90	2-0-0 2.42	0-1-1 2.89	—	1-0-1 2.85	2-0-0 2.85	1-0-1 2.85
Real Oviedo	1-0-1 2.67	1-0-1 2.87	2-0-0 3.11	1-0-1 2.93	2-0-0 2.48	1-0-1 2.92	1-0-1 2.91	—	2-0-0 2.88	0-1-1 2.89
Sevilla	1-0-1 2.70	1-0-1 2.87	1-0-1 3.13	1-0-1 2.92	1-0-0 0.35	0-1-1 2.92	0-0-2 2.91	0-0-2 2.88	—	1-0-1 2.89
Sporting Gijon	0-2-0 2.71	1-0-1 2.88	1-1-0 3.13	1-0-1 2.93	2-0-0 2.52	1-0-1 2.91	1-0-1 2.91	1-1-0 2.88	1-0-1 2.87	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	1.15%	5.75%	5.75%	4.02%	2.30%	2.30%	21.26%
1	5.75%	3.45%	5.17%	5.17%	4.02%	1.72%	25.29%
2	5.75%	5.17%	4.60%	4.02%	2.30%	1.15%	22.99%
3	4.02%	5.17%	4.02%	2.30%	—	0.57%	16.09%
4	2.30%	4.02%	2.30%	—	—	—	8.62%
5+	2.30%	1.72%	1.15%	0.57%	—	—	5.75%
Total	21.26%	25.29%	22.99%	16.09%	8.62%	5.75%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.89
Mean allowed	1.89
StdDev scored	1.63
StdDev allowed	1.63
Mean total goals/game	3.77
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.015
Sample size (games)	87

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	22.22%
1	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	22.22%
2	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	27.78%
3	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	16.67%	27.78%	22.22%	16.67%	5.56%	11.11%	100%

Atletico Madrid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.17
Mean allowed	2.06
StdDev scored	2.38
StdDev allowed	1.70
Mean total goals/game	4.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.293
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	17.65%	—	5.88%	5.88%	29.41%
1	5.88%	—	—	11.76%	—	—	17.65%
2	17.65%	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	29.41%
3	5.88%	—	11.76%	—	—	—	17.65%
4	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	29.41%	—	41.18%	17.65%	5.88%	5.88%	100%

Castellon — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.53
Mean allowed	1.88
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	1.50
Mean total goals/game	3.41
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.422
Games played	17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%	5.88%
1	—	5.88%	5.88%	17.65%	11.76%	—	41.18%
2	—	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	29.41%
3	—	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	17.65%
4	5.88%	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.88%	17.65%	17.65%	29.41%	17.65%	11.76%	100%

Celta Vigo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.76
Mean allowed	2.76
StdDev scored	1.03
StdDev allowed	1.56
Mean total goals/game	4.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.501
Games played	17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	16.67%
1	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	27.78%
2	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	5.56%	—	27.78%
3	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	33.33%	11.11%	22.22%	5.56%	16.67%	11.11%	100%

Deportivo La Coruna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.83
Mean allowed	2.06
StdDev scored	1.38
StdDev allowed	2.04
Mean total goals/game	3.89
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.476
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.33%	13.33%	13.33%	—	—	40.00%
1	6.67%	—	26.67%	6.67%	—	—	40.00%
2	—	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	—	13.33%
3	—	—	—	6.67%	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.67%	20.00%	40.00%	33.33%	—	—	100%

Europa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.87
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	0.92
StdDev allowed	0.93
Mean total goals/game	2.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.169
Games played	15

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
1	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	27.78%
2	—	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
4	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	22.22%	44.44%	22.22%	—	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Real Betis — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.22
Mean allowed	1.67
StdDev scored	1.48
StdDev allowed	2.30
Mean total goals/game	3.89
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.202
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	22.22%
1	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	22.22%
2	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	22.22%	33.33%	16.67%	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	100%

Real Murcia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.17
Mean allowed	1.78
StdDev scored	1.92
StdDev allowed	1.66
Mean total goals/game	3.94
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.485
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.11%	16.67%	—	—	—	27.78%
1	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
2	—	11.11%	—	—	5.56%	—	16.67%
3	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	16.67%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
Total	22.22%	33.33%	27.78%	11.11%	5.56%	—	100%

Real Oviedo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.67
Mean allowed	1.44
StdDev scored	2.25
StdDev allowed	1.15
Mean total goals/game	4.11
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.190
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.76%	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	23.53%
1	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	23.53%
2	11.76%	—	—	11.76%	5.88%	—	29.41%
3	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%	17.65%
4	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.53%	29.41%	11.76%	17.65%	11.76%	5.88%	100%

Sevilla — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.59
Mean allowed	1.82
StdDev scored	1.23
StdDev allowed	1.59
Mean total goals/game	3.41
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.040
Games played	17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	—	11.11%	—	—	16.67%
1	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	—	27.78%
2	5.56%	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
3	5.56%	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
4	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	33.33%	11.11%	22.22%	5.56%	—	100%

Sporting Gijon — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.83
Mean allowed	1.44
StdDev scored	1.29
StdDev allowed	1.29
Mean total goals/game	3.28
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.199
Games played	18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Real Betis	25	17.3	+7.70
2	Real Oviedo	23	17.9	+5.12
3	Real Murcia	21	17.4	+3.61
4	Sporting Gijon	22	18.4	+3.60
5	Deportivo La Coruna	19	17.2	+1.75

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Europa	5	17.6	-12.61
2	Celta Vigo	11	15.2	-4.21
3	Sevilla	13	16.9	-3.95
4	Atletico Madrid	18	18.9	-0.85
5	Castellon	17	17.2	-0.16

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Real Oviedo	5	Nov 22 – Jan 3	1 in 228
2	Deportivo La Coruna	4	Feb 14 – Mar 6	1 in 28
3	Sevilla	2	Jan 10 – Jan 17	1 in 16
4	Sporting Gijon	2	Jan 10 – Jan 17	1 in 14
5	Real Murcia	3	Feb 28 – Mar 13	1 in 13

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Europa	4	Jan 3 – Jan 24	1 in 309
2	Sevilla	4	Nov 29 – Jan 3	1 in 109
3	Atletico Madrid	3	Feb 14 – Feb 28	1 in 13
4	Celta Vigo	4	Feb 14 – Mar 6	1 in 12
5	Castellon	2	Nov 29 – Dec 20	54%

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Real Betis	7	Jan 24 – Mar 6	1 in 143
2	Sporting Gijon	7	Dec 27 – Feb 7	1 in 49
3	Real Oviedo	5	Nov 22 – Jan 3	1 in 36
4	Deportivo La Coruna	4	Feb 14 – Mar 6	1 in 9
5	Real Murcia	3	Jan 31 – Feb 14	1 in 7

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Europa	8	Jan 3 – Feb 21	1 in 11,362
2	Celta Vigo	7	Feb 14 – Mar 27	1 in 54
3	Sevilla	4	Nov 29 – Jan 3	1 in 22
4	Atletico Madrid	4	Feb 14 – Mar 6	1 in 6
5	Castellon	3	Nov 22 – Dec 20	1 in 6

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Real Betis	9.00%	10.00%	5.00%	8.00%	13.00%	12.00%	12.00%	9.00%	11.00%	11.00%
Real Oviedo	13.00%	10.00%	4.00%	16.00%	7.00%	15.00%	7.00%	6.00%	15.00%	7.00%
Sporting Gijon	7.00%	13.00%	13.00%	10.00%	10.00%	13.00%	16.00%	6.00%	7.00%	5.00%
Real Murcia	10.00%	9.00%	8.00%	6.00%	10.00%	11.00%	6.00%	17.00%	12.00%	11.00%
Deportivo La Coruna	1.00%	11.00%	11.00%	11.00%	7.00%	6.00%	11.00%	13.00%	13.00%	16.00%
Atletico Madrid	15.00%	15.00%	11.00%	14.00%	8.00%	12.00%	8.00%	8.00%	6.00%	3.00%
Castellon	10.00%	8.00%	11.00%	10.00%	11.00%	8.00%	12.00%	11.00%	11.00%	8.00%
Sevilla	8.00%	11.00%	12.00%	9.00%	10.00%	8.00%	11.00%	10.00%	10.00%	11.00%
Celta Vigo	1.00%	2.00%	8.00%	7.00%	9.00%	9.00%	10.00%	15.00%	11.00%	28.00%
Europa	26.00%	11.00%	17.00%	9.00%	15.00%	6.00%	7.00%	5.00%	4.00%	—

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Direct promotion	Same level	Direct relegation
Europa	26.0%	74.0%	—
Atletico Madrid	15.0%	82.0%	3.0%
Real Oviedo	13.0%	80.0%	7.0%
Sporting Gijon	7.0%	88.0%	5.0%
Castellon	10.0%	82.0%	8.0%
Real Murcia	10.0%	79.0%	11.0%
Real Betis	9.0%	80.0%	11.0%
Sevilla	8.0%	81.0%	11.0%
Deportivo La Coruna	1.0%	83.0%	16.0%
Celta Vigo	1.0%	71.0%	28.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1931-11-22	Real Betis	D 2-2	1488	1468	76.2%	11.5%	12.3%	-0.4	1
1931-11-22	@ Castellon	D 2-2	1468	1488	12.3%	11.5%	76.2%	+0.4	1
1931-11-22	Sporting Gijon	W 3-2	1469	1478	73.9%	12.1%	14.0%	+0.4	3
1931-11-22	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 2-3	1478	1469	14.0%	12.1%	73.9%	-0.4	0
1931-11-22	Europa	W 3-0	1470	1582	64.1%	13.8%	22.1%	+2.1	3
1931-11-22	@ Real Murcia	L 0-3	1582	1470	22.1%	13.8%	64.1%	-2.1	0
1931-11-22	Atletico Madrid	W 6-2	1472	1524	70.1%	13.0%	17.0%	+1.5	3
1931-11-22	@ Real Oviedo	L 2-6	1524	1472	17.0%	13.0%	70.1%	-1.5	0
1931-11-22	Celta Vigo	W 4-1	1482	1427	79.0%	10.7%	10.4%	+0.8	3
1931-11-22	@ Sevilla	L 1-4	1427	1482	10.4%	10.7%	79.0%	-0.8	0
1931-11-29	Deportivo La Coruna	W 4-1	1522	1470	78.7%	10.7%	10.5%	+0.8	3
1931-11-29	@ Atletico Madrid	L 1-4	1470	1522	10.5%	10.7%	78.7%	-0.8	3
1931-11-29	Castellon	W 3-2	1426	1487	69.2%	13.1%	17.7%	+0.6	3
1931-11-29	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-3	1487	1426	17.7%	13.1%	69.2%	-0.6	1
1931-11-29	Real Oviedo	L 2-3	1580	1473	82.5%	9.3%	8.2%	-2.3	0
1931-11-29	@ Europa	W 3-2	1473	1580	8.2%	9.3%	82.5%	+2.3	6
1931-11-29	Real Murcia	W 4-1	1469	1472	74.3%	12.0%	13.7%	+1.1	4
1931-11-29	@ Real Betis	L 1-4	1472	1469	13.7%	12.0%	74.3%	-1.1	3
1931-11-29	Sevilla	W 1-0	1477	1483	74.2%	12.1%	13.8%	+0.5	3
1931-11-29	@ Sporting Gijon	L 0-1	1483	1477	13.8%	12.1%	74.2%	-0.5	3
1931-12-20	Castellon	W 2-0	1523	1487	77.5%	11.1%	11.3%	+0.8	6
1931-12-20	@ Atletico Madrid	L 0-2	1487	1523	11.3%	11.1%	77.5%	-0.7	1
1931-12-20	Europa	W 3-0	1469	1577	64.4%	13.7%	21.9%	+2.1	6
1931-12-20	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-3	1577	1469	21.9%	13.7%	64.4%	-2.1	0
1931-12-20	Sporting Gijon	W 4-1	1471	1478	74.1%	12.1%	13.8%	+1.1	6
1931-12-20	@ Real Murcia	L 1-4	1478	1471	13.8%	12.1%	74.1%	-1.1	3
1931-12-20	Celta Vigo	W 4-1	1476	1427	78.5%	10.8%	10.7%	+0.9	9
1931-12-20	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-4	1427	1476	10.7%	10.8%	78.5%	-0.9	3
1931-12-20	Real Betis	L 2-3	1483	1470	75.7%	11.7%	12.6%	-2.1	3
1931-12-20	@ Sevilla	W 3-2	1470	1483	12.6%	11.7%	75.7%	+2.1	7
1931-12-27	Deportivo La Coruna	W 4-2	1486	1471	75.9%	11.6%	12.5%	+0.6	4
1931-12-27	@ Castellon	L 2-4	1471	1486	12.5%	11.6%	75.9%	-0.6	6
1931-12-27	Real Murcia	W 3-1	1426	1472	70.6%	12.9%	16.6%	+1.0	6
1931-12-27	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-3	1472	1426	16.6%	12.9%	70.6%	-1.0	6
1931-12-27	Atletico Madrid	W 2-1	1575	1524	78.7%	10.8%	10.6%	+0.3	3
1931-12-27	@ Europa	L 1-2	1524	1575	10.6%	10.8%	78.7%	-0.4	6
1931-12-27	Real Oviedo	L 3-5	1481	1477	75.0%	11.9%	13.2%	-3.2	3
1931-12-27	@ Sevilla	W 5-3	1477	1481	13.2%	11.9%	75.0%	+3.2	12
1931-12-27	Real Betis	W 4-1	1477	1472	75.0%	11.8%	13.1%	+1.1	6
1931-12-27	@ Sporting Gijon	L 1-4	1472	1477	13.1%	11.8%	75.0%	-1.1	7
1932-01-03	Sporting Gijon	D 2-2	1523	1478	78.2%	10.9%	10.9%	-0.4	7
1932-01-03	@ Atletico Madrid	D 2-2	1478	1523	10.9%	10.9%	78.2%	+0.4	7
1932-01-03	Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-1	1427	1470	70.9%	12.8%	16.3%	+0.5	9
1932-01-03	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-2	1470	1427	16.3%	12.8%	70.9%	-0.5	6
1932-01-03	Europa	W 2-1	1471	1576	64.8%	13.7%	21.5%	+0.7	10
1932-01-03	@ Real Betis	L 1-2	1576	1471	21.5%	13.7%	64.8%	-0.7	3
1932-01-03	Sevilla	W 3-1	1472	1477	74.1%	12.1%	13.8%	+0.8	9
1932-01-03	@ Real Murcia	L 1-3	1477	1472	13.8%	12.1%	74.1%	-0.8	3
1932-01-03	Castellon	W 5-0	1480	1486	74.1%	12.1%	13.8%	+2.2	15
1932-01-03	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-5	1486	1480	13.8%	12.1%	74.1%	-2.2	4
1932-01-10	Real Murcia	W 1-0	1484	1472	75.6%	11.7%	12.7%	+0.4	7
1932-01-10	@ Castellon	L 0-1	1472	1484	12.7%	11.7%	75.6%	-0.5	9
1932-01-10	Real Oviedo	W 2-0	1470	1482	73.6%	12.2%	14.2%	+0.9	9
1932-01-10	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-2	1482	1470	14.2%	12.2%	73.6%	-0.9	15
1932-01-10	Sevilla	L 0-2	1575	1477	82.0%	9.6%	8.5%	-4.8	3
1932-01-10	@ Europa	W 2-0	1477	1575	8.5%	9.6%	82.0%	+4.8	6
1932-01-10	Atletico Madrid	W 5-1	1471	1523	70.1%	13.0%	17.0%	+1.8	13
1932-01-10	@ Real Betis	L 1-5	1523	1471	17.0%	13.0%	70.1%	-1.8	7
1932-01-10	Celta Vigo	W 3-1	1478	1428	78.6%	10.8%	10.6%	+0.6	10
1932-01-10	@ Sporting Gijon	L 1-3	1428	1478	10.6%	10.8%	78.6%	-0.6	9
1932-01-17	Atletico Madrid	L 1-2	1427	1521	65.9%	13.6%	20.5%	-2.0	9
1932-01-17	@ Celta Vigo	W 2-1	1521	1427	20.5%	13.6%	65.9%	+2.0	10
1932-01-17	Sporting Gijon	L 0-1	1570	1479	81.5%	9.7%	8.8%	-2.5	3
1932-01-17	@ Europa	W 1-0	1479	1570	8.8%	9.7%	81.5%	+2.5	13
1932-01-17	Deportivo La Coruna	W 6-1	1472	1471	74.7%	11.9%	13.3%	+1.7	12
1932-01-17	@ Real Murcia	L 1-6	1471	1472	13.3%	11.9%	74.7%	-1.7	9
1932-01-17	Real Betis	W 1-0	1481	1473	75.3%	11.8%	12.9%	+0.5	18
1932-01-17	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-1	1473	1481	12.9%	11.8%	75.3%	-0.5	13
1932-01-17	Castellon	W 3-1	1481	1485	74.4%	12.0%	13.6%	+0.8	9
1932-01-17	@ Sevilla	L 1-3	1485	1481	13.6%	12.0%	74.4%	-0.8	7
1932-01-24	Real Murcia	W 4-0	1523	1474	78.5%	10.8%	10.7%	+1.3	13
1932-01-24	@ Atletico Madrid	L 0-4	1474	1523	10.7%	10.8%	78.5%	-1.3	12
1932-01-24	Europa	W 2-0	1484	1568	67.0%	13.4%	19.6%	+1.3	10
1932-01-24	@ Castellon	L 0-2	1568	1484	19.6%	13.4%	67.0%	-1.3	3
1932-01-24	Sevilla	W 4-2	1469	1482	73.5%	12.2%	14.2%	+0.7	12
1932-01-24	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 2-4	1482	1469	14.2%	12.2%	73.5%	-0.7	9
1932-01-24	Celta Vigo	W 3-1	1473	1425	78.4%	10.8%	10.8%	+0.6	16
1932-01-24	@ Real Betis	L 1-3	1425	1473	10.8%	10.8%	78.4%	-0.6	9
1932-01-24	Real Oviedo	D 3-3	1481	1481	74.6%	12.0%	13.4%	-0.3	14
1932-01-24	@ Sporting Gijon	D 3-3	1481	1481	13.4%	12.0%	74.6%	+0.3	19
1932-01-31	Real Betis	D 0-0	1470	1473	74.3%	12.0%	13.7%	-0.5	13
1932-01-31	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 0-0	1473	1470	13.7%	12.0%	74.3%	+0.5	17
1932-01-31	Celta Vigo	D 3-3	1566	1424	84.7%	8.4%	6.9%	-0.4	4
1932-01-31	@ Europa	D 3-3	1424	1566	6.9%	8.4%	84.7%	+0.4	10
1932-01-31	Real Oviedo	W 2-0	1472	1482	73.8%	12.2%	14.0%	+0.9	15
1932-01-31	@ Real Murcia	L 0-2	1482	1472	14.0%	12.2%	73.8%	-0.9	19
1932-01-31	Atletico Madrid	W 3-0	1481	1524	70.9%	12.8%	16.3%	+1.6	12
1932-01-31	@ Sevilla	L 0-3	1524	1481	16.3%	12.8%	70.9%	-1.6	13
1932-01-31	Castellon	W 2-0	1481	1485	74.3%	12.0%	13.7%	+0.9	17
1932-01-31	@ Sporting Gijon	L 0-2	1485	1481	13.7%	12.0%	74.3%	-0.9	10
1932-02-07	Real Oviedo	W 1-0	1523	1481	78.0%	11.0%	11.1%	+0.4	16
1932-02-07	@ Atletico Madrid	L 0-1	1481	1523	11.1%	11.0%	78.0%	-0.4	19
1932-02-07	Sevilla	W 4-0	1425	1483	69.5%	13.1%	17.5%	+2.2	13
1932-02-07	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-4	1483	1425	17.5%	13.1%	69.5%	-2.2	12
1932-02-07	Real Murcia	L 1-2	1566	1473	81.6%	9.7%	8.7%	-2.4	4
1932-02-07	@ Europa	W 2-1	1473	1566	8.7%	9.7%	81.6%	+2.4	18
1932-02-07	Castellon	W 4-0	1474	1484	73.8%	12.2%	14.1%	+1.8	20
1932-02-07	@ Real Betis	L 0-4	1484	1474	14.1%	12.2%	73.8%	-1.8	10
1932-02-07	Deportivo La Coruna	W 4-1	1482	1469	75.7%	11.7%	12.6%	+1.0	20
1932-02-07	@ Sporting Gijon	L 1-4	1469	1482	12.6%	11.7%	75.7%	-1.0	13
1932-02-14	Celta Vigo	W 3-2	1483	1427	79.0%	10.7%	10.4%	+0.3	13
1932-02-14	@ Castellon	L 2-3	1427	1483	10.4%	10.7%	79.0%	-0.3	13
1932-02-14	Atletico Madrid	W 3-0	1468	1523	69.8%	13.0%	17.2%	+1.7	16
1932-02-14	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-3	1523	1468	17.2%	13.0%	69.8%	-1.7	16
1932-02-14	Real Betis	D 2-2	1476	1476	74.6%	12.0%	13.4%	-0.4	19
1932-02-14	@ Real Murcia	D 2-2	1476	1476	13.4%	12.0%	74.6%	+0.4	21
1932-02-14	Europa	W 2-1	1480	1564	67.0%	13.4%	19.5%	+0.6	22
1932-02-14	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-2	1564	1480	19.5%	13.4%	67.0%	-0.7	4
1932-02-14	Sporting Gijon	W 1-0	1481	1483	74.5%	12.0%	13.6%	+0.5	15
1932-02-14	@ Sevilla	L 0-1	1483	1481	13.6%	12.0%	74.5%	-0.5	20
1932-02-21	Atletico Madrid	W 3-2	1483	1522	71.3%	12.7%	16.0%	+0.5	16
1932-02-21	@ Castellon	L 2-3	1522	1483	16.0%	12.7%	71.3%	-0.5	16
1932-02-21	Real Oviedo	L 1-3	1427	1481	69.8%	13.0%	17.2%	-3.6	13
1932-02-21	@ Celta Vigo	W 3-1	1481	1427	17.2%	13.0%	69.8%	+3.6	25
1932-02-21	Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-2	1563	1470	81.6%	9.7%	8.7%	-2.4	4
1932-02-21	@ Europa	W 2-1	1470	1563	8.7%	9.7%	81.6%	+2.4	19
1932-02-21	Sevilla	D 1-1	1476	1481	74.2%	12.1%	13.7%	-0.5	22
1932-02-21	@ Real Betis	D 1-1	1481	1476	13.7%	12.1%	74.2%	+0.5	16
1932-02-21	Real Murcia	W 3-0	1483	1475	75.2%	11.8%	13.0%	+1.2	23
1932-02-21	@ Sporting Gijon	L 0-3	1475	1483	13.0%	11.8%	75.2%	-1.2	19
1932-02-28	Europa	L 0-1	1521	1560	71.2%	12.7%	16.1%	-2.2	16
1932-02-28	@ Atletico Madrid	W 1-0	1560	1521	16.1%	12.7%	71.2%	+2.2	7
1932-02-28	Castellon	W 2-0	1472	1483	73.7%	12.2%	14.1%	+0.9	22
1932-02-28	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-2	1483	1472	14.1%	12.2%	73.7%	-0.9	16
1932-02-28	Sporting Gijon	W 3-0	1476	1484	74.0%	12.1%	13.9%	+1.3	25
1932-02-28	@ Real Betis	L 0-3	1484	1476	13.9%	12.1%	74.0%	-1.3	23
1932-02-28	Celta Vigo	W 6-2	1474	1423	78.6%	10.8%	10.6%	+0.9	22
1932-02-28	@ Real Murcia	L 2-6	1423	1474	10.6%	10.8%	78.6%	-0.9	13
1932-02-28	Sevilla	W 2-1	1485	1482	74.9%	11.9%	13.2%	+0.4	28
1932-02-28	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-2	1482	1485	13.2%	11.9%	74.9%	-0.4	16
1932-03-06	Real Oviedo	W 2-0	1482	1485	74.4%	12.0%	13.6%	+0.9	19
1932-03-06	@ Castellon	L 0-2	1485	1482	13.6%	12.0%	74.4%	-0.9	28
1932-03-06	Celta Vigo	W 5-0	1473	1422	78.6%	10.8%	10.6%	+1.6	25
1932-03-06	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-5	1422	1473	10.6%	10.8%	78.6%	-1.6	13
1932-03-06	Real Betis	L 0-1	1563	1477	81.1%	9.9%	9.0%	-2.5	7
1932-03-06	@ Europa	W 1-0	1477	1563	9.0%	9.9%	81.1%	+2.5	28
1932-03-06	Real Murcia	L 0-1	1481	1475	75.2%	11.8%	13.0%	-2.4	16
1932-03-06	@ Sevilla	W 1-0	1475	1481	13.0%	11.8%	75.2%	+2.4	25
1932-03-06	Atletico Madrid	D 1-1	1482	1519	71.5%	12.7%	15.8%	-0.4	24
1932-03-06	@ Sporting Gijon	D 1-1	1519	1482	15.8%	12.7%	71.5%	+0.4	17
1932-03-13	Real Betis	W 10-1	1519	1479	77.8%	11.0%	11.2%	+2.5	20
1932-03-13	@ Atletico Madrid	L 1-10	1479	1519	11.2%	11.0%	77.8%	-2.5	28
1932-03-13	Sporting Gijon	D 2-2	1420	1482	69.2%	13.1%	17.7%	-0.3	14
1932-03-13	@ Celta Vigo	D 2-2	1482	1420	17.7%	13.1%	69.2%	+0.3	25
1932-03-13	Castellon	W 3-1	1477	1483	74.1%	12.1%	13.8%	+0.8	28
1932-03-13	@ Real Murcia	L 1-3	1483	1477	13.8%	12.1%	74.1%	-0.8	19
1932-03-13	Deportivo La Coruna	W 6-0	1484	1475	75.4%	11.8%	12.8%	+2.4	31
1932-03-13	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-6	1475	1484	12.8%	11.8%	75.4%	-2.4	25
1932-03-20	Celta Vigo	W 4-2	1522	1420	82.2%	9.5%	8.4%	+0.4	23
1932-03-20	@ Atletico Madrid	L 2-4	1420	1522	8.4%	9.5%	82.2%	-0.4	14
1932-03-20	Sevilla	W 2-0	1483	1479	74.9%	11.9%	13.2%	+0.9	22
1932-03-20	@ Castellon	L 0-2	1479	1483	13.2%	11.9%	74.9%	-0.9	16
1932-03-20	Real Murcia	W 2-1	1472	1478	74.2%	12.1%	13.8%	+0.5	28
1932-03-20	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-2	1478	1472	13.8%	12.1%	74.2%	-0.5	28
1932-03-20	Real Oviedo	W 4-2	1477	1487	73.8%	12.2%	14.0%	+0.7	31
1932-03-20	@ Real Betis	L 2-4	1487	1477	14.0%	12.2%	73.8%	-0.7	31
1932-03-20	Europa	W 3-1	1482	1560	67.6%	13.4%	19.1%	+1.1	28
1932-03-20	@ Sporting Gijon	L 1-3	1560	1482	19.1%	13.4%	67.6%	-1.1	7
1932-03-27	Real Betis	D 1-1	1420	1478	69.5%	13.1%	17.4%	-0.4	15
1932-03-27	@ Celta Vigo	D 1-1	1478	1420	17.4%	13.1%	69.5%	+0.4	32
1932-03-27	Atletico Madrid	W 4-0	1478	1522	70.7%	12.8%	16.4%	+2.1	31
1932-03-27	@ Real Murcia	L 0-4	1522	1478	16.4%	12.8%	70.7%	-2.1	23
1932-03-27	Sporting Gijon	L 0-1	1486	1483	74.8%	11.9%	13.3%	-2.4	31
1932-03-27	@ Real Oviedo	W 1-0	1483	1486	13.3%	11.9%	74.8%	+2.3	31
1932-03-27	Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-0	1478	1473	75.1%	11.8%	13.1%	+0.9	19
1932-03-27	@ Sevilla	L 0-2	1473	1478	13.1%	11.8%	75.1%	-0.9	28
1932-04-03	Sevilla	W 3-2	1520	1479	77.9%	11.0%	11.1%	+0.4	26
1932-04-03	@ Atletico Madrid	L 2-3	1479	1520	11.1%	11.0%	77.9%	-0.3	19
1932-04-03	Sporting Gijon	W 3-0	1483	1486	74.4%	12.0%	13.6%	+1.3	25
1932-04-03	@ Castellon	L 0-3	1486	1483	13.6%	12.0%	74.4%	-1.3	31
1932-04-03	Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-1	1478	1472	75.1%	11.8%	13.0%	+0.8	35
1932-04-03	@ Real Betis	L 1-3	1472	1478	13.0%	11.8%	75.1%	-0.8	28
1932-04-03	Real Murcia	W 6-0	1484	1480	75.0%	11.9%	13.2%	+2.4	34
1932-04-03	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-6	1480	1484	13.2%	11.9%	75.0%	-2.4	31

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1931-11-29	8.18%	Real Oviedo	1473	3	@ Europa	1580	2
2	1932-01-10	8.49%	Sevilla	1477	2	@ Europa	1575	0
3	1932-02-21	8.70%	Deportivo La Coruna	1470	2	@ Europa	1563	1
4	1932-02-07	8.72%	Real Murcia	1473	2	@ Europa	1566	1
5	1932-01-17	8.78%	Sporting Gijon	1479	1	@ Europa	1570	0
6	1932-03-06	9.01%	Real Betis	1477	1	@ Europa	1563	0
7	1931-12-20	12.63%	Real Betis	1470	3	@ Sevilla	1483	2
8	1932-03-06	13.02%	Real Murcia	1475	1	@ Sevilla	1481	0
9	1931-12-27	13.16%	Real Oviedo	1477	5	@ Sevilla	1481	3
10	1932-03-27	13.26%	Sporting Gijon	1483	1	@ Real Oviedo	1486	0
11	1932-02-28	16.05%	Europa	1560	1	@ Atletico Madrid	1521	0
12	1932-02-21	17.18%	Real Oviedo	1481	3	@ Celta Vigo	1427	1
13	1932-01-17	20.52%	Atletico Madrid	1521	2	@ Celta Vigo	1427	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1932-01-10	4.77	Sevilla	2	1477	8.49%	@ Europa	0	1575	81.95%
2	1932-02-21	3.61	Real Oviedo	3	1481	17.18%	@ Celta Vigo	1	1427	69.82%
3	1931-12-27	3.25	Real Oviedo	5	1477	13.16%	@ Sevilla	3	1481	74.97%
4	1932-01-17	2.52	Sporting Gijon	1	1479	8.78%	@ Europa	0	1570	81.48%
5	1932-03-06	2.51	Real Betis	1	1477	9.01%	@ Europa	0	1563	81.11%
6	1932-03-13	2.46	@ Atletico Madrid	10	1519	77.79%	Real Betis	1	1479	11.16%
7	1932-04-03	2.43	@ Real Oviedo	6	1484	74.96%	Real Murcia	0	1480	13.17%
8	1932-02-07	2.38	Real Murcia	2	1473	8.72%	@ Europa	1	1566	81.58%
9	1932-02-21	2.38	Deportivo La Coruna	2	1470	8.70%	@ Europa	1	1563	81.61%
10	1932-03-06	2.36	Real Murcia	1	1475	13.02%	@ Sevilla	0	1481	75.16%
11	1932-03-13	2.36	@ Real Oviedo	6	1484	75.42%	Deportivo La Coruna	0	1475	12.84%
12	1932-03-27	2.35	Sporting Gijon	1	1483	13.26%	@ Real Oviedo	0	1486	74.84%
13	1931-11-29	2.27	Real Oviedo	3	1473	8.18%	@ Europa	2	1580	82.47%
14	1932-02-28	2.25	Europa	1	1560	16.05%	@ Atletico Madrid	0	1521	71.21%
15	1932-02-07	2.22	@ Celta Vigo	4	1425	69.46%	Sevilla	0	1483	17.48%
16	1932-01-03	2.15	@ Real Oviedo	5	1480	74.08%	Castellon	0	1486	13.83%
17	1931-11-22	2.13	@ Real Murcia	3	1470	64.11%	Europa	0	1582	22.14%
18	1931-12-20	2.13	Real Betis	3	1470	12.63%	@ Sevilla	2	1483	75.70%
19	1931-12-20	2.11	@ Deportivo La Coruna	3	1469	64.41%	Europa	0	1577	21.86%
20	1932-03-27	2.08	@ Real Murcia	4	1478	70.74%	Atletico Madrid	0	1522	16.43%
21	1932-01-17	1.98	Atletico Madrid	2	1521	20.52%	@ Celta Vigo	1	1427	65.91%
22	1932-01-10	1.79	@ Real Betis	5	1471	70.10%	Atletico Madrid	1	1523	16.95%
23	1932-02-07	1.78	@ Real Betis	4	1474	73.76%	Castellon	0	1484	14.07%
24	1932-01-17	1.72	@ Real Murcia	6	1472	74.74%	Deportivo La Coruna	1	1471	13.34%
25	1932-02-14	1.67	@ Deportivo La Coruna	3	1468	69.75%	Atletico Madrid	0	1523	17.24%