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2023-24 Primera Divisió Season

135 games

Final

Champion

UE Santa Coloma

66 points · 1st Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

UE Santa Coloma

8.52 points above expected

66 points · 57.48 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Esperanca

7.79 points below expected

14 points · 21.79 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 UE Santa Coloma Champion 27 20 6 1 66 57 12 +45 57.48 +8.52
2 Inter Club d Escaldes 27 20 3 4 63 66 16 +50 58.84 +4.16
3 Atletic Escaldes 27 19 3 5 60 71 21 +50 55.58 +4.42
4 FC Santa Coloma 27 19 2 6 59 64 23 +41 51.68 +7.32
5 Penya Encarnada 27 13 5 9 44 45 34 +11 39.95 +4.05
6 Ordino 27 10 6 11 36 33 29 +4 38.09 -2.09
7 Pas de la Casa 27 3 9 15 18 24 46 -22 25.08 -7.08
8 Esperanca 27 4 2 21 14 27 81 -54 21.79 -7.79
9 Carroi 27 3 4 20 13 19 77 -58 17.17 -4.17
10 Atletic America 27 3 2 22 11 22 89 -67 17.34 -6.34

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 UE Santa Coloma 66 57.48 +8.52
2 FC Santa Coloma 59 51.68 +7.32
3 Atletic Escaldes 60 55.58 +4.42
4 Inter Club d Escaldes 63 58.84 +4.16
5 Penya Encarnada 44 39.95 +4.05

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Esperanca 14 21.79 -7.79
2 Pas de la Casa 18 25.08 -7.08
3 Atletic America 11 17.34 -6.34
4 Carroi 13 17.17 -4.17
5 Ordino 36 38.09 -2.09

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Atletic Escaldes 11 Jan 28 – Apr 28 1 in 78
2 UE Santa Coloma 7 Sep 16 – Nov 5 1 in 45
3 FC Santa Coloma 7 Mar 2 – May 4 1 in 24
4 Inter Club d Escaldes 9 Oct 8 – Dec 17 1 in 13
5 Penya Encarnada 3 Oct 1 – Oct 22 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Atletic America 10 Oct 1 – Dec 16 1 in 81
2 Esperanca 9 Oct 7 – Dec 17 1 in 80
3 Carroi 7 Mar 10 – May 12 1 in 11
4 Penya Encarnada 3 Dec 10 – Jan 21 1 in 7
5 Ordino 3 Feb 25 – Mar 10 1 in 5

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 UE Santa Coloma 19 Nov 25 – May 19 1 in 63
2 Ordino 6 Dec 3 – Feb 3 1 in 19
3 Atletic Escaldes 14 Dec 9 – Apr 28 1 in 16
4 Pas de la Casa 3 Feb 4 – Feb 18 1 in 12
5 Penya Encarnada 5 Sep 17 – Oct 22 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pas de la Casa 20 Oct 29 – May 4 1 in 135
2 Atletic America 12 Sep 17 – Dec 16 1 in 25
3 UE Santa Coloma 2 Feb 11 – Feb 18 1 in 20
4 Carroi 16 Dec 17 – May 19 1 in 15
5 Ordino 7 Feb 25 – Apr 28 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
UE Santa Coloma 1552 66 +77 11 9.7 +1.3
Inter Club d Escaldes 1482 63 -8 10 9.7 +0.3
Atletic Escaldes 1554 60 +1 12 10.6 +1.4
FC Santa Coloma 1437 59 +31 10 9.0 +1.0
Penya Encarnada 1212 44 -20 9 8.8 +0.2
Ordino 1149 36 -11 7 8.1 -1.1
Pas de la Casa 968 18 +29 4 4.3 -0.3
Esperanca 948 14 -21 4 5.2 -1.2
Carroi 716 13 -55 1 3.1 -2.1
Atletic America 681 11 -24 3 2.6 +0.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AA AE CAR ESP FSC ICDE ORD PDLC PE USC
Atletic America —
0-0-3
0.68
1-1-1
4.15
1-0-2
4.27
0-0-3
0.88
0-0-3
0.68
0-0-3
1.23
1-0-2
2.82
0-1-2
2.03
0-0-3
0.89
Atletic Escaldes
3-0-0
7.90
—
3-0-0
7.84
3-0-0
7.65
2-0-1
4.70
2-0-1
4.10
2-1-0
6.63
2-1-0
7.24
2-1-0
5.87
0-0-3
4.16
Carroi
1-1-1
4.36
0-0-3
0.74
—
1-0-2
3.85
0-0-3
1.11
0-0-3
0.71
0-1-2
2.01
1-2-0
2.83
0-0-3
1.02
0-0-3
0.61
Esperanca
2-0-1
4.23
0-0-3
0.91
2-0-1
4.67
—
0-0-3
1.28
0-0-3
0.70
0-0-3
2.07
0-2-1
4.32
0-0-3
2.27
0-0-3
1.14
FC Santa Coloma
3-0-0
7.67
1-0-2
3.80
3-0-0
7.44
3-0-0
7.26
—
1-0-2
2.71
2-1-0
6.59
3-0-0
7.47
2-0-1
6.24
1-1-1
3.92
Inter Club d Escaldes
3-0-0
7.88
1-0-2
4.41
3-0-0
7.86
3-0-0
7.86
2-0-1
5.79
—
2-1-0
7.04
3-0-0
7.79
3-0-0
6.54
0-2-1
4.40
Ordino
3-0-0
7.30
0-1-2
1.89
2-1-0
6.53
3-0-0
6.45
0-1-2
1.93
0-1-2
1.48
—
1-2-0
6.49
1-0-2
3.72
0-0-3
2.00
Pas de la Casa
2-0-1
5.69
0-1-2
1.29
0-2-1
5.68
1-2-0
4.18
0-0-3
1.07
0-0-3
0.77
0-2-1
2.02
—
0-1-2
2.10
0-1-2
1.02
Penya Encarnada
2-1-0
6.49
0-1-2
2.64
3-0-0
7.52
3-0-0
6.25
1-0-2
2.27
0-0-3
1.98
2-0-1
4.79
2-1-0
6.41
—
0-2-1
2.01
UE Santa Coloma
3-0-0
7.66
3-0-0
4.35
3-0-0
7.97
3-0-0
7.41
1-1-1
4.59
1-2-0
4.10
3-0-0
6.52
2-1-0
7.52
1-2-0
6.51
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.92 +10.8
Allowed 0.86 -7.3
Differential 0.96 +4.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.44%6.67%9.26%3.33%2.59%4.81%31.11%
16.67%7.41%6.67%2.22%1.11%2.22%26.30%
29.26%6.67%3.70%1.48%1.48%—22.59%
33.33%2.22%1.48%——0.37%7.41%
42.59%1.11%1.48%———5.19%
5+4.81%2.22%—0.37%——7.41%
Total31.11%26.30%22.59%7.41%5.19%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.59 +0.00
SD 1.69 1.69 2.77
CV 1.07 1.07 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 135

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.81%7.41%11.11%3.70%18.52%55.56%
1—3.70%3.70%7.41%7.41%3.70%25.93%
2—3.70%3.70%—3.70%—11.11%
3——3.70%———3.70%
4———————
5+———3.70%——3.70%
Total—22.22%18.52%22.22%14.81%22.22%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 3.30 -2.48
SD 1.33 2.07 2.61
CV 1.63 0.63 —
Max 6 8 +3
Min 0 1 -8

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.41%3.70%———11.11%
111.11%11.11%7.41%———29.63%
27.41%14.81%————22.22%
33.70%7.41%————11.11%
43.70%3.70%————7.41%
5+7.41%11.11%————18.52%
Total33.33%55.56%11.11%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.63 0.78 +1.85
SD 2.37 0.64 2.60
CV 0.90 0.82 —
Max 8 2 +8
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%—18.52%7.41%14.81%7.41%51.85%
13.70%3.70%7.41%3.70%3.70%7.41%29.63%
23.70%—7.41%3.70%——14.81%
3—3.70%————3.70%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.11%7.41%33.33%14.81%18.52%14.81%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.70 2.85 -2.15
SD 0.87 1.92 2.30
CV 1.23 0.67 —
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%3.70%14.81%7.41%7.41%18.52%55.56%
1———7.41%—3.70%11.11%
27.41%—3.70%7.41%3.70%—22.22%
3—————3.70%3.70%
43.70%—————3.70%
5+3.70%—————3.70%
Total18.52%3.70%18.52%22.22%11.11%25.93%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 3.00 -2.00
SD 1.39 2.06 2.87
CV 1.39 0.69 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%11.11%3.70%———18.52%
13.70%3.70%3.70%——3.70%14.81%
218.52%11.11%————29.63%
33.70%—3.70%———7.41%
47.41%—7.41%———14.81%
5+11.11%3.70%————14.81%
Total48.15%29.63%18.52%——3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.37 0.85 +1.52
SD 1.84 1.13 2.38
CV 0.78 1.33 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%—3.70%———7.41%
114.81%3.70%11.11%———29.63%
222.22%—3.70%———25.93%
37.41%7.41%————14.81%
43.70%—3.70%———7.41%
5+11.11%3.70%————14.81%
Total62.96%14.81%22.22%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.44 0.59 +1.85
SD 1.83 0.84 2.16
CV 0.75 1.42 —
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.11%18.52%———29.63%
114.81%18.52%11.11%———44.44%
23.70%3.70%3.70%———11.11%
33.70%—————3.70%
47.41%—3.70%———11.11%
5+———————
Total29.63%33.33%37.04%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.07 +0.15
SD 1.25 0.83 1.75
CV 1.02 0.77 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%14.81%14.81%3.70%—3.70%48.15%
1—11.11%11.11%——3.70%25.93%
2——11.11%3.70%——14.81%
33.70%3.70%3.70%———11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total14.81%29.63%40.74%7.41%—7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 1.70 -0.81
SD 1.05 1.27 1.64
CV 1.18 0.74 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%3.70%7.41%3.70%——18.52%
111.11%11.11%7.41%3.70%——33.33%
211.11%7.41%3.70%—7.41%—29.63%
33.70%—3.70%———7.41%
4—7.41%————7.41%
5+3.70%—————3.70%
Total33.33%29.63%22.22%7.41%7.41%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.26 +0.41
SD 1.41 1.23 2.04
CV 0.85 0.97 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.81%—————14.81%
17.41%7.41%3.70%———18.52%
218.52%25.93%————44.44%
37.41%—————7.41%
4———————
5+11.11%3.70%————14.81%
Total59.26%37.04%3.70%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.11 0.44 +1.67
SD 1.67 0.58 1.82
CV 0.79 1.30 —
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 27

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Atletic Escaldes 1554 60 55.58 +4.42 80.0% 40 47 52 55 59 65 70
UE Santa Coloma 1552 66 57.48 +8.52 97.0% 44 47 54 58 62 65 68
Inter Club d Escaldes 1482 63 58.84 +4.16 82.0% 47 50 54 59 63 67 71
FC Santa Coloma 1437 59 51.68 +7.32 94.0% 34 41 48 52 55 60 63
Penya Encarnada 1212 44 39.95 +4.05 76.0% 22 28 35 40 44 49 54
Ordino 1149 36 38.09 -2.09 37.0% 24 30 35 38 41 46 51
Pas de la Casa 968 18 25.08 -7.08 16.0% 11 16 21 25 28 36 39
Esperanca 948 14 21.79 -7.79 10.0% 7 13 17 22 26 31 37
Carroi 716 13 17.17 -4.17 28.0% 6 9 13 17 20 25 31
Atletic America 681 11 17.34 -6.34 11.0% 7 8 13 17 21 26 30

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -2.5% * Slight Edge: -2.5% to 0% * Clear Edge: 0% to 6% * Strong Edge: 6% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+0.00%
Clear Edge
42.22%15.56%42.22%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 0.00 Elo pts.
177 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.10 goals
Neutral
-2+0.00+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.2
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
37%
UE Santa Coloma, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.11/gm
Tight Race
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.41 * Some Luck: 4.41 to 6.62 * Lucky: 6.62 to 8.83 * Wild Swing: 8.83 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.63 * Close: 0.63 to 0.95 * Off: 0.95 to 1.26 * Way Off: 1.26 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.93 points
Some Luck
05.5214
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.40
Pinpoint
00.792
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
97.00%
UE Santa Coloma
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
10.00%
Esperanca
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.24 * Even: 0.24 to 0.25 * Top-Heavy: 0.25 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.1 * Moderate Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Strong Separation: 2.35 to 2.5 * Wide Separation: 2.5 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 83.5% * Slight Edge: 83.5% to 89% * Clear Edge: 89% to 94% * Wide Edge: 94% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 96% * Clear Edge: 96% to 98.5% * Strong Edge: 98.5% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 40.5% * Some Drama: 40.5% to 45.5% * Frequent: 45.5% to 53% * Very Frequent: 53% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 28% * Occasional: 28% to 33.5% * Frequent: 33.5% to 41.5% * Very Frequent: 41.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.31
Lopsided
00.240.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 333.29
3.16
Wide Separation
12.12.353.25
Interquartile Edge
95%
Wide Edge
50%83.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 100%
99%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
45%
Some Drama
0%40%100%
Blowouts
Expected
29%
Occasional
0%38%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.49 * Slight Separation: 0.49 to 0.54 * Notable Separation: 0.54 to 0.6 * Lopsided: 0.6 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.56 * Some Carryover: 0.56 to 0.76 * Strong Carryover: 0.76 to 0.86 * Near-Lock: 0.86 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 17.5% * Upset-Prone: 17.5% to 20% * Very Upset-Prone: 20% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14% * Shaky Favorites: 14% to 15.5% * Very Shaky: 15.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.39
Highly Predictable
00.462
Matchup Imbalance
0.61
Lopsided
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.15
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.80
Strong Carryover
00.560.761
Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Chalky
0%16%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
9%
Solid Favorites
0%13%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.16
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.52
Very Underconfident
0.3297171.001.67028
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.107
Well Within Noise
00.1180.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
UE Santa Coloma37.00%27.00%19.00%15.00%2.00%—————
Inter Club d Escaldes37.00%33.00%19.00%11.00%——————
Atletic Escaldes20.00%26.00%29.00%23.00%1.00%1.00%————
FC Santa Coloma6.00%14.00%32.00%40.00%5.00%3.00%————
Penya Encarnada——1.00%8.00%59.00%28.00%3.00%1.00%——
Ordino———3.00%32.00%59.00%5.00%1.00%——
Pas de la Casa————1.00%6.00%50.00%24.00%16.00%3.00%
Esperanca—————1.00%33.00%30.00%19.00%17.00%
Carroi—————2.00%3.00%20.00%36.00%39.00%
Atletic America——————6.00%24.00%29.00%41.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Atletic Escaldes 100% — —
FC Santa Coloma 100% — —
Inter Club d Escaldes 100% — —
Ordino 100% — —
Penya Encarnada 100% — —
UE Santa Coloma 100% — —
Pas de la Casa 81.00% 16.00% 3.00%
Esperanca 64.00% 19.00% 17.00%
Carroi 25.00% 36.00% 39.00%
Atletic America 30.00% 29.00% 41.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2023-09-16 Ordino W 2-034.4 1225 1075 60.76% 16.35% 22.89%+0.85 +34.9 3
2023-09-16 @ UE Santa Coloma L 0-234.4 1075 1225 22.89% 16.35% 60.76%-0.85 -34.9 0
2023-09-17 Atletic America D 2-260.1 1023 1088 32.75% 16.47% 50.78%-0.37 +2.2 1
2023-09-17 @ Carroi D 2-260.1 1088 1023 50.78% 16.47% 32.75%+0.37 -2.2 1
2023-09-17 Esperanca W 1-040.5 1122 1088 46.47% 16.49% 37.03%+0.19 +28.1 3
2023-09-17 @ Penya Encarnada L 0-140.5 1088 1122 37.03% 16.49% 46.47%-0.19 -28.2 0
2023-09-17 FC Santa Coloma W 2-037.8 1369 1282 53.66% 16.45% 29.89%+0.50 +44.2 3
2023-09-17 @ Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-237.8 1282 1369 29.89% 16.45% 53.66%-0.50 -44.2 0
2023-09-17 Pas de la Casa D 1-155.4 1340 1088 69.86% 16.07% 14.07%+1.42 -10.0 1
2023-09-17 @ Atletic Escaldes D 1-155.4 1088 1340 14.07% 16.07% 69.86%-1.42 +10.0 1
2023-09-23 Atletic Escaldes W 1-046.3 1237 1330 29.33% 16.44% 54.23%-0.52 +39.2 3
2023-09-23 @ FC Santa Coloma L 0-146.3 1330 1237 54.23% 16.44% 29.33%+0.52 -39.2 1
2023-09-24 Carroi L 0-144.9 1098 1025 51.78% 16.46% 31.75%+0.41 -37.6 1
2023-09-24 @ Pas de la Casa W 1-044.9 1025 1098 31.75% 16.46% 51.78%-0.41 +37.6 4
2023-09-24 Inter Club d Escaldes D 2-260.7 1040 1414 7.52% 15.58% 76.90%-2.11 +9.5 1
2023-09-24 @ Ordino D 2-260.7 1414 1040 76.90% 15.58% 7.52%+2.11 -9.5 4
2023-09-24 Penya Encarnada D 1-155.1 1086 1150 32.96% 16.47% 50.57%-0.36 +2.9 2
2023-09-24 @ Atletic America D 1-155.1 1150 1086 50.57% 16.47% 32.96%+0.36 -2.9 4
2023-09-24 UE Santa Coloma L 0-232.9 1060 1259 18.15% 16.23% 65.62%-1.13 -28.3 0
2023-09-24 @ Esperanca W 2-032.9 1259 1060 65.62% 16.23% 18.15%+1.13 +28.3 6
2023-09-30 Inter Club d Escaldes W 2-152.9 1288 1404 26.50% 16.41% 57.09%-0.66 +38.8 9
2023-09-30 @ UE Santa Coloma L 1-252.9 1404 1288 57.09% 16.41% 26.50%+0.66 -38.8 4
2023-10-01 Atletic America W 2-042.4 1032 1089 33.83% 16.48% 49.69%-0.32 +68.3 3
2023-10-01 @ Esperanca L 0-242.4 1089 1032 49.69% 16.48% 33.83%+0.32 -68.3 2
2023-10-01 FC Santa Coloma L 0-232.6 1063 1277 16.92% 16.19% 66.89%-1.21 -26.5 4
2023-10-01 @ Carroi W 2-032.6 1277 1063 66.89% 16.19% 16.92%+1.21 +26.5 6
2023-10-01 Ordino W 1-033.8 1291 1050 69.06% 16.11% 14.83%+1.36 +12.4 4
2023-10-01 @ Atletic Escaldes L 0-133.8 1050 1291 14.83% 16.11% 69.06%-1.36 -12.4 1
2023-10-01 Pas de la Casa W 2-036.5 1147 1060 53.46% 16.45% 30.09%+0.49 +44.4 7
2023-10-01 @ Penya Encarnada L 0-236.5 1060 1147 30.09% 16.45% 53.46%-0.49 -44.4 1
2023-10-07 Esperanca W 3-254.8 1016 1100 30.39% 16.45% 53.16%-0.47 +34.4 4
2023-10-07 @ Pas de la Casa L 2-354.8 1100 1016 53.16% 16.45% 30.39%+0.47 -34.4 3
2023-10-08 Atletic Escaldes W 1-040.8 1365 1303 50.36% 16.47% 33.16%+0.35 +25.6 7
2023-10-08 @ Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-140.8 1303 1365 33.16% 16.47% 50.36%-0.35 -25.6 4
2023-10-08 Carroi W 4-037.3 1037 1036 41.91% 16.50% 41.59%+0.01 +111.0 4
2023-10-08 @ Ordino L 0-437.3 1036 1037 41.59% 16.50% 41.91%-0.01 -111.0 4
2023-10-08 Penya Encarnada L 0-146.7 1303 1191 56.57% 16.41% 27.02%+0.63 -40.8 6
2023-10-08 @ FC Santa Coloma W 1-046.7 1191 1303 27.02% 16.41% 56.57%-0.63 +40.8 10
2023-10-08 UE Santa Coloma L 0-132.5 1021 1327 10.69% 15.87% 73.44%-1.73 -9.1 2
2023-10-08 @ Atletic America W 1-032.5 1327 1021 73.44% 15.87% 10.69%+1.73 +9.1 12
2023-10-21 Pas de la Casa L 1-343.4 1011 1051 36.26% 16.49% 47.26%-0.22 -45.1 2
2023-10-21 @ Atletic America W 3-143.4 1051 1011 47.26% 16.49% 36.26%+0.22 +45.2 7
2023-10-22 Atletic Escaldes W 2-145.1 1336 1277 49.84% 16.48% 33.69%+0.33 +24.5 15
2023-10-22 @ UE Santa Coloma L 1-245.1 1277 1336 33.69% 16.48% 49.84%-0.33 -24.5 4
2023-10-22 FC Santa Coloma L 0-529.9 1066 1262 18.38% 16.24% 65.38%-1.11 -66.9 3
2023-10-22 @ Esperanca W 5-029.9 1262 1066 65.38% 16.24% 18.38%+1.11 +66.9 9
2023-10-22 Inter Club d Escaldes L 1-628.6 925 1391 4.60% 15.10% 80.31%-2.63 -14.6 4
2023-10-22 @ Carroi W 6-128.6 1391 925 80.31% 15.10% 4.60%+2.63 +14.6 10
2023-10-22 Ordino W 2-143.3 1232 1148 53.15% 16.45% 30.40%+0.47 +22.4 13
2023-10-22 @ Penya Encarnada L 1-243.3 1148 1232 30.40% 16.45% 53.15%-0.47 -22.4 4
2023-10-28 Esperanca W 4-032.4 1126 999 58.33% 16.39% 25.29%+0.72 +72.4 7
2023-10-28 @ Ordino L 0-432.4 999 1126 25.29% 16.39% 58.33%-0.72 -72.3 3
2023-10-29 Atletic America W 4-027.0 1329 966 76.42% 15.63% 7.95%+2.05 +24.5 12
2023-10-29 @ FC Santa Coloma L 0-427.0 966 1329 7.95% 15.63% 76.42%-2.05 -24.5 2
2023-10-29 Carroi W 8-128.3 1253 910 75.43% 15.72% 8.85%+1.94 +38.0 7
2023-10-29 @ Atletic Escaldes L 1-828.3 910 1253 8.85% 15.72% 75.43%-1.94 -38.0 4
2023-10-29 Penya Encarnada W 4-244.8 1405 1254 60.92% 16.34% 22.74%+0.85 +26.9 13
2023-10-29 @ Inter Club d Escaldes L 2-444.8 1254 1405 22.74% 16.34% 60.92%-0.85 -26.9 13
2023-10-29 UE Santa Coloma L 1-533.1 1096 1360 13.20% 16.03% 70.78%-1.49 -33.2 7
2023-10-29 @ Pas de la Casa W 5-133.1 1360 1096 70.78% 16.03% 13.20%+1.49 +33.2 18
2023-11-04 Atletic Escaldes D 1-155.6 1228 1291 33.01% 16.47% 50.51%-0.36 +2.9 14
2023-11-04 @ Penya Encarnada D 1-155.6 1291 1228 50.51% 16.47% 33.01%+0.36 -2.9 8
2023-11-05 Carroi W 3-026.4 1393 872 81.82% 14.77% 3.41%+2.94 +8.1 21
2023-11-05 @ UE Santa Coloma L 0-326.4 872 1393 3.41% 14.77% 81.82%-2.94 -8.1 4
2023-11-05 FC Santa Coloma L 0-527.9 1062 1354 11.52% 15.93% 72.55%-1.65 -43.3 7
2023-11-05 @ Pas de la Casa W 5-027.9 1354 1062 72.55% 15.93% 11.52%+1.65 +43.2 15
2023-11-05 Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-228.2 926 1432 3.70% 14.86% 81.44%-2.86 -6.0 3
2023-11-05 @ Esperanca W 2-028.2 1432 926 81.44% 14.86% 3.70%+2.86 +6.0 16
2023-11-05 Ordino L 1-238.0 942 1198 13.74% 16.06% 70.20%-1.45 -10.9 2
2023-11-05 @ Atletic America W 2-138.0 1198 942 70.20% 16.06% 13.74%+1.45 +10.9 10
2023-11-11 Penya Encarnada L 0-229.5 864 1230 7.82% 15.61% 76.57%-2.07 -12.7 4
2023-11-11 @ Carroi W 2-029.5 1230 864 76.57% 15.61% 7.82%+2.07 +12.7 17
2023-11-12 Atletic America W 6-025.0 1438 931 81.48% 14.85% 3.67%+2.87 +16.7 19
2023-11-12 @ Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-625.0 931 1438 3.67% 14.85% 81.48%-2.87 -16.7 2
2023-11-12 Esperanca W 3-134.6 1288 920 76.64% 15.61% 7.75%+2.08 +10.9 11
2023-11-12 @ Atletic Escaldes L 1-334.6 920 1288 7.75% 15.61% 76.64%-2.08 -10.9 3
2023-11-12 FC Santa Coloma L 1-250.3 1402 1397 42.40% 16.50% 41.10%+0.03 -29.7 21
2023-11-12 @ UE Santa Coloma W 2-150.3 1397 1402 41.10% 16.50% 42.40%-0.03 +29.7 18
2023-11-12 Pas de la Casa W 1-035.0 1209 1019 64.75% 16.25% 18.99%+1.07 +15.6 13
2023-11-12 @ Ordino L 0-135.0 1019 1209 18.99% 16.25% 64.75%-1.07 -15.6 7
2023-11-25 UE Santa Coloma L 1-242.6 1243 1372 25.13% 16.39% 58.48%-0.73 -19.0 17
2023-11-25 @ Penya Encarnada W 2-142.6 1372 1243 58.48% 16.39% 25.13%+0.73 +19.0 24
2023-11-26 Atletic Escaldes L 1-432.6 914 1299 7.09% 15.52% 77.39%-2.17 -14.1 2
2023-11-26 @ Atletic America W 4-132.6 1299 914 77.39% 15.52% 7.09%+2.17 +14.1 14
2023-11-26 Carroi L 0-242.4 909 852 49.76% 16.48% 33.77%+0.33 -68.4 3
2023-11-26 @ Esperanca W 2-042.4 852 909 33.77% 16.48% 49.76%-0.33 +68.4 7
2023-11-26 Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-327.3 1004 1455 4.97% 15.18% 79.86%-2.55 -11.8 7
2023-11-26 @ Pas de la Casa W 3-027.3 1455 1004 79.86% 15.18% 4.97%+2.55 +11.8 22
2023-11-26 Ordino W 2-034.1 1427 1225 65.85% 16.22% 17.93%+1.14 +28.0 21
2023-11-26 @ FC Santa Coloma L 0-234.1 1225 1427 17.93% 16.22% 65.85%-1.14 -28.0 13
2023-12-02 Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-326.2 900 1467 2.66% 14.48% 82.86%-3.20 -6.3 2
2023-12-02 @ Atletic America W 3-026.2 1467 900 82.86% 14.48% 2.66%+3.20 +6.3 25
2023-12-03 Carroi W 2-134.6 1455 920 82.15% 14.69% 3.17%+3.02 +2.6 24
2023-12-03 @ FC Santa Coloma L 1-234.6 920 1455 3.17% 14.69% 82.15%-3.02 -2.6 7
2023-12-03 Ordino D 1-155.2 992 1197 17.67% 16.21% 66.11%-1.16 +8.5 8
2023-12-03 @ Pas de la Casa D 1-155.2 1197 992 66.11% 16.21% 17.67%+1.16 -8.5 14
2023-12-03 Penya Encarnada L 0-327.7 841 1224 7.14% 15.53% 77.33%-2.17 -16.9 3
2023-12-03 @ Esperanca W 3-027.7 1224 841 77.33% 15.53% 7.14%+2.17 +16.9 20
2023-12-03 UE Santa Coloma L 1-245.3 1313 1391 31.18% 16.46% 52.36%-0.44 -22.9 14
2023-12-03 @ Atletic Escaldes W 2-145.3 1391 1313 52.36% 16.46% 31.18%+0.44 +22.9 27
2023-12-09 Atletic Escaldes L 0-230.9 1000 1290 11.60% 15.94% 72.46%-1.64 -18.6 8
2023-12-09 @ Pas de la Casa W 2-030.9 1290 1000 72.46% 15.94% 11.60%+1.64 +18.6 17
2023-12-10 Carroi L 1-344.0 894 917 38.38% 16.49% 45.12%-0.13 -47.4 2
2023-12-10 @ Atletic America W 3-144.0 917 894 45.12% 16.49% 38.38%+0.13 +47.4 10
2023-12-10 Esperanca W 6-024.1 1473 824 84.39% 13.92% 1.70%+3.67 +7.6 28
2023-12-10 @ Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-624.1 824 1473 1.70% 13.92% 84.39%-3.67 -7.6 3
2023-12-10 Penya Encarnada W 1-044.4 1188 1241 34.39% 16.48% 49.13%-0.30 +35.8 17
2023-12-10 @ Ordino L 0-144.4 1241 1188 49.13% 16.48% 34.39%+0.30 -35.8 20
2023-12-10 UE Santa Coloma L 1-253.9 1457 1414 47.87% 16.49% 35.64%+0.25 -33.0 24
2023-12-10 @ FC Santa Coloma W 2-153.9 1414 1457 35.64% 16.49% 47.87%-0.25 +33.0 30
2023-12-16 Atletic America W 6-024.3 1447 846 83.53% 14.26% 2.21%+3.39 +10.0 33
2023-12-16 @ UE Santa Coloma L 0-624.3 846 1447 2.21% 14.26% 83.53%-3.39 -10.0 2
2023-12-17 Carroi W 3-133.3 1481 965 81.69% 14.80% 3.51%+2.92 +5.0 31
2023-12-17 @ Inter Club d Escaldes L 1-333.3 965 1481 3.51% 14.80% 81.69%-2.92 -5.0 10
2023-12-17 Ordino L 0-327.4 816 1224 6.28% 15.41% 78.31%-2.30 -14.9 3
2023-12-17 @ Esperanca W 3-027.4 1224 816 78.31% 15.41% 6.28%+2.30 +14.9 20
2023-12-17 Pas de la Casa W 3-240.2 1424 982 79.57% 15.23% 5.21%+2.50 +4.0 27
2023-12-17 @ FC Santa Coloma L 2-340.2 982 1424 5.21% 15.23% 79.57%-2.50 -4.0 8
2023-12-17 Penya Encarnada W 3-034.7 1309 1205 55.57% 16.43% 28.00%+0.58 +60.6 20
2023-12-17 @ Atletic Escaldes L 0-334.7 1205 1309 28.00% 16.43% 55.57%-0.58 -60.6 20
2024-01-20 Esperanca L 0-443.2 960 802 61.68% 16.33% 22.00%+0.89 -158.9 10
2024-01-20 @ Carroi W 4-043.2 802 960 22.00% 16.33% 61.68%-0.89 +158.9 6
2024-01-21 Atletic America L 1-251.9 978 836 59.88% 16.36% 23.76%+0.80 -40.7 8
2024-01-21 @ Pas de la Casa W 2-151.9 836 978 23.76% 16.36% 59.88%-0.80 +40.7 5
2024-01-21 Atletic Escaldes D 1-156.1 1239 1369 24.92% 16.38% 58.69%-0.74 +5.8 21
2024-01-21 @ Ordino D 1-156.1 1369 1239 58.69% 16.38% 24.92%+0.74 -5.8 21
2024-01-21 FC Santa Coloma L 0-231.7 1145 1428 11.99% 15.96% 72.05%-1.60 -19.2 20
2024-01-21 @ Penya Encarnada W 2-031.7 1428 1145 72.05% 15.96% 11.99%+1.60 +19.2 30
2024-01-21 Inter Club d Escaldes D 0-059.1 1457 1486 37.64% 16.49% 45.87%-0.16 +1.5 34
2024-01-21 @ UE Santa Coloma D 0-059.1 1486 1457 45.87% 16.49% 37.64%+0.16 -1.5 32
2024-01-27 FC Santa Coloma D 1-156.9 1245 1447 17.86% 16.22% 65.92%-1.15 +8.5 22
2024-01-27 @ Ordino D 1-156.9 1447 1245 65.92% 16.22% 17.86%+1.15 -8.4 31
2024-01-28 Atletic America W 6-028.4 1126 877 69.62% 16.08% 14.29%+1.40 +63.0 23
2024-01-28 @ Penya Encarnada L 0-628.4 877 1126 14.29% 16.08% 69.62%-1.40 -62.9 5
2024-01-28 Atletic Escaldes L 0-526.1 960 1364 6.43% 15.43% 78.14%-2.28 -24.6 6
2024-01-28 @ Esperanca W 5-026.1 1364 960 78.14% 15.43% 6.43%+2.28 +24.5 24
2024-01-28 Pas de la Casa W 2-028.0 1484 937 82.44% 14.61% 2.96%+3.09 +4.8 35
2024-01-28 @ Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-228.0 937 1484 2.96% 14.61% 82.44%-3.09 -4.8 8
2024-01-28 UE Santa Coloma L 0-524.1 801 1458 1.62% 13.86% 84.52%-3.71 -6.1 10
2024-01-28 @ Carroi W 5-024.1 1458 801 84.52% 13.86% 1.62%+3.71 +6.1 37
2024-02-03 Atletic America W 1-030.6 1253 814 79.45% 15.25% 5.31%+2.48 +4.6 25
2024-02-03 @ Ordino L 0-130.6 814 1253 5.31% 15.25% 79.45%-2.48 -4.6 5
2024-02-04 Carroi D 2-260.1 932 795 59.45% 16.37% 24.18%+0.78 -4.5 9
2024-02-04 @ Pas de la Casa D 2-260.1 795 932 24.18% 16.37% 59.45%-0.78 +4.5 11
2024-02-04 Esperanca W 6-024.9 1464 936 82.00% 14.72% 3.28%+2.99 +14.9 40
2024-02-04 @ UE Santa Coloma L 0-624.9 936 1464 3.28% 14.72% 82.00%-2.99 -14.9 6
2024-02-04 FC Santa Coloma W 5-147.9 1388 1439 34.67% 16.48% 48.85%-0.29 +106.3 27
2024-02-04 @ Atletic Escaldes L 1-547.9 1439 1388 48.85% 16.48% 34.67%+0.29 -106.3 31
2024-02-04 Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-232.2 1188 1489 10.99% 15.90% 73.11%-1.70 -17.7 23
2024-02-04 @ Penya Encarnada W 2-032.2 1489 1188 73.11% 15.90% 10.99%+1.70 +17.7 38
2024-02-10 Esperanca W 6-129.1 1333 921 78.47% 15.39% 6.14%+2.33 +19.4 34
2024-02-10 @ FC Santa Coloma L 1-629.1 921 1333 6.14% 15.39% 78.47%-2.33 -19.4 6
2024-02-11 Atletic Escaldes L 1-825.5 809 1494 1.39% 13.66% 84.95%-3.87 -5.9 5
2024-02-11 @ Atletic America W 8-125.5 1494 809 84.95% 13.66% 1.39%+3.87 +5.9 30
2024-02-11 Carroi W 4-132.7 1171 799 76.81% 15.59% 7.60%+2.10 +15.2 26
2024-02-11 @ Penya Encarnada L 1-432.7 799 1171 7.60% 15.59% 76.81%-2.10 -15.2 11
2024-02-11 Ordino W 2-034.5 1507 1258 69.66% 16.08% 14.26%+1.41 +22.6 41
2024-02-11 @ Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-234.5 1258 1507 14.26% 16.08% 69.66%-1.41 -22.6 25
2024-02-11 Pas de la Casa D 0-052.0 1479 928 82.53% 14.58% 2.89%+3.12 -16.5 41
2024-02-11 @ UE Santa Coloma D 0-052.0 928 1479 2.89% 14.58% 82.53%-3.12 +16.5 10
2024-02-17 Inter Club d Escaldes W 2-158.9 1500 1529 37.66% 16.49% 45.85%-0.16 +31.8 33
2024-02-17 @ Atletic Escaldes L 1-258.9 1529 1500 45.85% 16.49% 37.66%+0.16 -31.8 41
2024-02-18 Atletic America W 3-026.2 1352 804 82.47% 14.60% 2.94%+3.10 +6.9 37
2024-02-18 @ FC Santa Coloma L 0-326.2 804 1352 2.94% 14.60% 82.47%-3.10 -7.0 5
2024-02-18 Ordino L 0-228.6 784 1235 4.98% 15.18% 79.84%-2.55 -8.2 11
2024-02-18 @ Carroi W 2-028.6 1235 784 79.84% 15.18% 4.98%+2.55 +8.1 28
2024-02-18 Pas de la Casa D 0-051.2 902 944 35.79% 16.49% 47.73%-0.24 +2.2 7
2024-02-18 @ Esperanca D 0-051.2 944 902 47.73% 16.49% 35.79%+0.24 -2.2 11
2024-02-18 UE Santa Coloma D 0-052.7 1186 1463 12.41% 15.99% 71.60%-1.56 +11.9 27
2024-02-18 @ Penya Encarnada D 0-052.7 1463 1186 71.60% 15.99% 12.41%+1.56 -11.9 42
2024-02-24 Esperanca W 6-352.1 797 904 27.57% 16.42% 56.01%-0.61 +74.9 8
2024-02-24 @ Atletic America L 3-652.1 904 797 56.01% 16.42% 27.57%+0.61 -74.9 7
2024-02-25 Atletic Escaldes L 0-424.2 776 1532 0.94% 13.13% 85.93%-4.27 -2.8 11
2024-02-25 @ Carroi W 4-024.2 1532 776 85.93% 13.13% 0.94%+4.27 +2.8 36
2024-02-25 Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-141.6 1359 1498 24.06% 16.37% 59.57%-0.78 -19.3 37
2024-02-25 @ FC Santa Coloma W 1-041.6 1498 1359 59.57% 16.37% 24.06%+0.78 +19.3 44
2024-02-25 Ordino W 2-034.4 1451 1243 66.32% 16.21% 17.47%+1.17 +27.3 45
2024-02-25 @ UE Santa Coloma L 0-234.4 1243 1451 17.47% 16.21% 66.32%-1.17 -27.3 28
2024-02-25 Penya Encarnada L 0-133.4 942 1198 13.78% 16.06% 70.17%-1.45 -11.6 11
2024-02-25 @ Pas de la Casa W 1-033.4 1198 942 70.17% 16.06% 13.78%+1.45 +11.6 30
2024-03-02 FC Santa Coloma L 1-258.1 1517 1340 63.55% 16.29% 20.17%+1.00 -43.1 44
2024-03-02 @ Inter Club d Escaldes W 2-158.1 1340 1517 20.17% 16.29% 63.55%-1.00 +43.1 40
2024-03-03 Atletic Escaldes L 1-332.1 829 1535 1.24% 13.50% 85.26%-3.99 -1.7 7
2024-03-03 @ Esperanca W 3-132.1 1535 829 85.26% 13.50% 1.24%+3.99 +1.7 39
2024-03-03 Ordino W 2-147.1 1209 1216 40.81% 16.50% 42.69%-0.04 +29.9 33
2024-03-03 @ Penya Encarnada L 1-247.1 1216 1209 42.69% 16.50% 40.81%+0.04 -29.9 28
2024-03-03 Pas de la Casa D 0-051.3 773 930 22.11% 16.33% 61.56%-0.89 +7.6 12
2024-03-03 @ Carroi D 0-051.3 930 773 61.56% 16.33% 22.11%+0.89 -7.6 12
2024-03-03 UE Santa Coloma L 0-129.5 872 1478 2.14% 14.21% 83.64%-3.43 -1.8 8
2024-03-03 @ Atletic America W 1-029.5 1478 872 83.64% 14.21% 2.14%+3.43 +1.8 48
2024-03-10 Atletic America W 4-237.3 1383 870 81.62% 14.82% 3.56%+2.90 +4.5 43
2024-03-10 @ FC Santa Coloma L 2-437.3 870 1383 3.56% 14.82% 81.62%-2.90 -4.5 8
2024-03-10 Carroi W 2-133.4 1537 781 85.93% 13.13% 0.94%+4.27 +0.8 42
2024-03-10 @ Atletic Escaldes L 1-233.4 781 1537 0.94% 13.13% 85.93%-4.27 -0.8 12
2024-03-10 Esperanca W 2-027.3 1480 827 84.44% 13.89% 1.66%+3.69 +2.7 51
2024-03-10 @ UE Santa Coloma L 0-227.3 827 1480 1.66% 13.89% 84.44%-3.69 -2.7 7
2024-03-10 Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-134.1 1186 1474 11.74% 15.94% 72.32%-1.63 -10.0 28
2024-03-10 @ Ordino W 1-034.1 1474 1186 72.32% 15.94% 11.74%+1.63 +10.0 47
2024-03-10 Penya Encarnada D 2-260.3 923 1239 10.12% 15.83% 74.05%-1.79 +8.6 13
2024-03-10 @ Pas de la Casa D 2-260.3 1239 923 74.05% 15.83% 10.12%+1.79 -8.6 34
2024-04-06 UE Santa Coloma L 0-325.4 780 1482 1.27% 13.53% 85.20%-3.97 -2.9 12
2024-04-06 @ Carroi W 3-025.4 1482 780 85.20% 13.53% 1.27%+3.97 +2.9 54
2024-04-07 Atletic America W 2-027.5 1484 865 83.86% 14.13% 2.00%+3.50 +3.2 50
2024-04-07 @ Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-227.5 865 1484 2.00% 14.13% 83.86%-3.50 -3.2 8
2024-04-07 Atletic Escaldes L 1-240.0 1231 1537 10.65% 15.87% 73.48%-1.73 -8.6 34
2024-04-07 @ Penya Encarnada W 2-140.0 1537 1231 73.48% 15.87% 10.65%+1.73 +8.6 45
2024-04-07 FC Santa Coloma L 0-624.5 824 1387 2.72% 14.50% 82.78%-3.18 -12.3 7
2024-04-07 @ Esperanca W 6-024.5 1387 824 82.78% 14.50% 2.72%+3.18 +12.3 46
2024-04-07 Pas de la Casa D 1-155.2 1176 931 69.34% 16.10% 14.56%+1.38 -9.8 29
2024-04-07 @ Ordino D 1-155.2 931 1176 14.56% 16.10% 69.34%-1.38 +9.8 14
2024-04-13 Penya Encarnada D 1-157.2 1485 1222 70.69% 16.03% 13.28%+1.49 -10.3 55
2024-04-13 @ UE Santa Coloma D 1-157.2 1222 1485 13.28% 16.03% 70.69%-1.49 +10.3 35
2024-04-14 Carroi W 4-024.7 1400 777 83.94% 14.10% 1.96%+3.52 +6.0 49
2024-04-14 @ FC Santa Coloma L 0-424.7 777 1400 1.96% 14.10% 83.94%-3.52 -6.0 12
2024-04-14 Esperanca L 0-538.9 862 812 48.70% 16.48% 34.82%+0.28 -156.8 8
2024-04-14 @ Atletic America W 5-038.9 812 862 34.82% 16.48% 48.70%-0.28 +156.8 10
2024-04-14 Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-129.9 941 1487 2.98% 14.61% 82.40%-3.08 -2.6 14
2024-04-14 @ Pas de la Casa W 1-029.9 1487 941 82.40% 14.61% 2.98%+3.08 +2.6 53
2024-04-14 Ordino W 1-033.3 1546 1166 77.17% 15.55% 7.28%+2.15 +6.3 48
2024-04-14 @ Atletic Escaldes L 0-133.3 1166 1546 7.28% 15.55% 77.17%-2.15 -6.3 29
2024-04-20 Atletic America L 2-354.1 771 705 50.86% 16.47% 32.67%+0.37 -33.1 12
2024-04-20 @ Carroi W 3-254.1 705 771 32.67% 16.47% 50.86%-0.37 +33.1 11
2024-04-21 Atletic Escaldes L 1-234.3 939 1552 2.06% 14.16% 83.78%-3.47 -1.7 14
2024-04-21 @ Pas de la Casa W 2-134.3 1552 939 83.78% 14.16% 2.06%+3.47 +1.7 51
2024-04-21 Esperanca W 4-025.6 1490 969 81.81% 14.77% 3.42%+2.94 +10.6 56
2024-04-21 @ Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-425.6 969 1490 3.42% 14.77% 81.81%-2.94 -10.6 10
2024-04-21 FC Santa Coloma L 2-444.0 1232 1406 20.53% 16.29% 63.18%-0.98 -24.5 35
2024-04-21 @ Penya Encarnada W 4-244.0 1406 1232 63.18% 16.29% 20.53%+0.98 +24.5 52
2024-04-21 UE Santa Coloma L 1-238.1 1160 1475 10.20% 15.84% 73.96%-1.78 -8.2 29
2024-04-21 @ Ordino W 2-138.1 1475 1160 73.96% 15.84% 10.20%+1.78 +8.2 58
2024-04-27 Carroi W 2-032.3 958 738 67.42% 16.17% 16.41%+1.25 +25.8 13
2024-04-27 @ Esperanca L 0-232.3 738 958 16.41% 16.17% 67.42%-1.25 -25.8 12
2024-04-28 Inter Club d Escaldes W 2-049.7 1554 1500 49.26% 16.48% 34.26%+0.30 +49.7 54
2024-04-28 @ Atletic Escaldes L 0-249.7 1500 1554 34.26% 16.48% 49.26%-0.30 -49.7 56
2024-04-28 Ordino W 2-031.8 1430 1152 71.72% 15.98% 12.30%+1.57 +19.7 55
2024-04-28 @ FC Santa Coloma L 0-231.8 1152 1430 12.30% 15.98% 71.72%-1.57 -19.7 29
2024-04-28 Pas de la Casa W 2-134.6 1483 937 82.42% 14.61% 2.97%+3.09 +2.4 61
2024-04-28 @ UE Santa Coloma L 1-234.6 937 1483 2.97% 14.61% 82.42%-3.09 -2.4 14
2024-04-28 Penya Encarnada L 1-431.6 738 1208 4.50% 15.07% 80.42%-2.65 -9.0 11
2024-04-28 @ Atletic America W 4-131.6 1208 738 80.42% 15.07% 4.50%+2.65 +9.0 38
2024-05-04 FC Santa Coloma L 0-228.2 934 1450 3.52% 14.80% 81.68%-2.91 -5.7 14
2024-05-04 @ Pas de la Casa W 2-028.2 1450 934 81.68% 14.80% 3.52%+2.91 +5.7 58
2024-05-05 Atletic America W 1-031.0 1132 729 78.13% 15.43% 6.44%+2.28 +5.6 32
2024-05-05 @ Ordino L 0-131.0 729 1132 6.44% 15.43% 78.13%-2.28 -5.6 11
2024-05-05 Carroi W 6-023.6 1450 712 85.70% 13.26% 1.04%+4.17 +4.6 59
2024-05-05 @ Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-623.6 712 1450 1.04% 13.26% 85.70%-4.17 -4.6 12
2024-05-05 Esperanca W 3-243.4 1217 984 68.42% 16.13% 15.45%+1.32 +11.6 41
2024-05-05 @ Penya Encarnada L 2-343.4 984 1217 15.45% 16.13% 68.42%-1.32 -11.5 13
2024-05-05 UE Santa Coloma L 0-257.8 1604 1486 57.26% 16.40% 26.33%+0.67 -77.9 54
2024-05-05 @ Atletic Escaldes W 2-057.8 1486 1604 26.33% 16.40% 57.26%-0.67 +77.9 64
2024-05-11 Atletic Escaldes L 0-148.3 1456 1526 32.13% 16.47% 51.40%-0.40 -24.9 58
2024-05-11 @ FC Santa Coloma W 1-048.3 1526 1456 51.40% 16.47% 32.13%+0.40 +24.9 57
2024-05-11 UE Santa Coloma D 1-165.8 1455 1564 27.40% 16.42% 56.18%-0.61 +4.9 60
2024-05-11 @ Inter Club d Escaldes D 1-165.8 1564 1455 56.18% 16.42% 27.40%+0.61 -4.9 65
2024-05-12 Ordino L 2-443.0 973 1138 21.32% 16.31% 62.37%-0.93 -25.4 13
2024-05-12 @ Esperanca W 4-243.0 1138 973 62.37% 16.31% 21.32%+0.93 +25.4 35
2024-05-12 Pas de la Casa L 0-331.0 724 929 17.66% 16.21% 66.12%-1.16 -40.1 11
2024-05-12 @ Atletic America W 3-031.0 929 724 66.12% 16.21% 17.66%+1.16 +40.1 17
2024-05-12 Penya Encarnada L 0-228.0 708 1228 3.41% 14.77% 81.81%-2.94 -5.6 12
2024-05-12 @ Carroi W 2-028.0 1228 708 81.81% 14.77% 3.41%+2.94 +5.6 44
2024-05-19 Atletic America W 8-023.4 1551 684 87.23% 12.26% 0.51%+4.90 +2.9 60
2024-05-19 @ Atletic Escaldes L 0-823.4 684 1551 0.51% 12.26% 87.23%-4.90 -2.9 11
2024-05-19 Carroi D 1-155.5 1163 702 80.16% 15.12% 4.72%+2.61 -14.0 36
2024-05-19 @ Ordino D 1-155.5 702 1163 4.72% 15.12% 80.16%-2.61 +14.0 13
2024-05-19 Esperanca D 2-260.1 969 947 44.81% 16.50% 38.69%+0.12 -0.7 18
2024-05-19 @ Pas de la Casa D 2-260.1 947 969 38.69% 16.50% 44.81%-0.12 +0.7 14
2024-05-19 FC Santa Coloma D 0-060.9 1559 1431 58.43% 16.39% 25.18%+0.72 -6.3 66
2024-05-19 @ UE Santa Coloma D 0-060.9 1431 1559 25.18% 16.39% 58.43%-0.72 +6.3 59
2024-05-19 Inter Club d Escaldes L 1-339.0 1234 1460 15.98% 16.15% 67.87%-1.28 -21.8 44
2024-05-19 @ Penya Encarnada W 3-139.0 1460 1234 67.87% 16.15% 15.98%+1.28 +21.8 63

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2024-03-02 20.17% FC Santa Coloma 1340 2 @ Inter Club d Escaldes 1517 1
2 2024-01-20 22.00% Esperanca 802 4 @ Carroi 960 0
3 2024-01-21 23.76% Atletic America 836 2 @ Pas de la Casa 978 1
4 2024-05-05 26.33% UE Santa Coloma 1486 2 @ Atletic Escaldes 1604 0
5 2023-09-30 26.50% @ UE Santa Coloma 1288 2 Inter Club d Escaldes 1404 1
6 2023-10-08 27.02% Penya Encarnada 1191 1 @ FC Santa Coloma 1303 0
7 2024-02-24 27.57% @ Atletic America 797 6 Esperanca 904 3
8 2023-09-23 29.33% @ FC Santa Coloma 1237 1 Atletic Escaldes 1330 0
9 2023-10-07 30.39% @ Pas de la Casa 1016 3 Esperanca 1100 2
10 2023-09-24 31.75% Carroi 1025 1 @ Pas de la Casa 1098 0
11 2024-04-20 32.67% Atletic America 705 3 @ Carroi 771 2
12 2023-11-26 33.77% Carroi 852 2 @ Esperanca 909 0
13 2023-10-01 33.83% @ Esperanca 1032 2 Atletic America 1089 0
14 2023-12-10 34.39% @ Ordino 1188 1 Penya Encarnada 1241 0
15 2024-02-04 34.67% @ Atletic Escaldes 1388 5 FC Santa Coloma 1439 1
16 2024-04-14 34.82% Esperanca 812 5 @ Atletic America 862 0
17 2023-12-10 35.64% UE Santa Coloma 1414 2 @ FC Santa Coloma 1457 1
18 2024-02-17 37.66% @ Atletic Escaldes 1500 2 Inter Club d Escaldes 1529 1
19 2024-03-03 40.81% @ Penya Encarnada 1209 2 Ordino 1216 1
20 2023-11-12 41.10% FC Santa Coloma 1397 2 @ UE Santa Coloma 1402 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-01-20 158.89 Esperanca 4 802 22.00% @ Carroi 0 960 61.68% 16.33%
2 2024-04-14 156.79 Esperanca 5 812 34.82% @ Atletic America 0 862 48.70% 16.48%
3 2023-10-08 111.03 @ Ordino 4 1037 41.91% Carroi 0 1036 41.59% 16.50%
4 2024-02-04 106.31 @ Atletic Escaldes 5 1388 34.67% FC Santa Coloma 1 1439 48.85% 16.48%
5 2024-05-05 77.89 UE Santa Coloma 2 1486 26.33% @ Atletic Escaldes 0 1604 57.26% 16.40%
6 2024-02-24 74.89 @ Atletic America 6 797 27.57% Esperanca 3 904 56.01% 16.42%
7 2023-10-28 72.35 @ Ordino 4 1126 58.33% Esperanca 0 999 25.29% 16.39%
8 2023-11-26 68.36 Carroi 2 852 33.77% @ Esperanca 0 909 49.76% 16.48%
9 2023-10-01 68.27 @ Esperanca 2 1032 33.83% Atletic America 0 1089 49.69% 16.48%
10 2023-10-22 66.91 FC Santa Coloma 5 1262 65.38% @ Esperanca 0 1066 18.38% 16.24%
11 2024-01-28 62.95 @ Penya Encarnada 6 1126 69.62% Atletic America 0 877 14.29% 16.08%
12 2023-12-17 60.59 @ Atletic Escaldes 3 1309 55.57% Penya Encarnada 0 1205 28.00% 16.43%
13 2024-04-28 49.67 @ Atletic Escaldes 2 1554 49.26% Inter Club d Escaldes 0 1500 34.26% 16.48%
14 2023-12-10 47.38 Carroi 3 917 45.12% @ Atletic America 1 894 38.38% 16.49%
15 2023-10-21 45.15 Pas de la Casa 3 1051 47.26% @ Atletic America 1 1011 36.26% 16.49%
16 2023-10-01 44.42 @ Penya Encarnada 2 1147 53.46% Pas de la Casa 0 1060 30.09% 16.45%
17 2023-09-17 44.16 @ Inter Club d Escaldes 2 1369 53.66% FC Santa Coloma 0 1282 29.89% 16.45%
18 2023-11-05 43.25 FC Santa Coloma 5 1354 72.55% @ Pas de la Casa 0 1062 11.52% 15.93%
19 2024-03-02 43.14 FC Santa Coloma 2 1340 20.17% @ Inter Club d Escaldes 1 1517 63.55% 16.29%
20 2023-10-08 40.83 Penya Encarnada 1 1191 27.02% @ FC Santa Coloma 0 1303 56.57% 16.41%
21 2024-01-21 40.67 Atletic America 2 836 23.76% @ Pas de la Casa 1 978 59.88% 16.36%
22 2024-05-12 40.06 Pas de la Casa 3 929 66.12% @ Atletic America 0 724 17.66% 16.21%
23 2023-09-23 39.23 @ FC Santa Coloma 1 1237 29.33% Atletic Escaldes 0 1330 54.23% 16.44%
24 2023-09-30 38.83 @ UE Santa Coloma 2 1288 26.50% Inter Club d Escaldes 1 1404 57.09% 16.41%
25 2023-10-29 37.97 @ Atletic Escaldes 8 1253 75.43% Carroi 1 910 8.85% 15.72%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-05-11 65.8 @ Inter Club d Escaldes 1 1455 27.40% UE Santa Coloma 1 1564 56.18% 16.42%
2 2024-05-19 60.9 @ UE Santa Coloma 0 1559 58.43% FC Santa Coloma 0 1431 25.18% 16.39%
3 2023-09-24 60.7 @ Ordino 2 1040 7.52% Inter Club d Escaldes 2 1414 76.90% 15.58%
4 2024-03-10 60.3 @ Pas de la Casa 2 923 10.12% Penya Encarnada 2 1239 74.05% 15.83%
5 2023-09-17 60.1 @ Carroi 2 1023 32.75% Atletic America 2 1088 50.78% 16.47%
6 2024-02-04 60.1 @ Pas de la Casa 2 932 59.45% Carroi 2 795 24.18% 16.37%
7 2024-05-19 60.1 @ Pas de la Casa 2 969 44.81% Esperanca 2 947 38.69% 16.50%
8 2024-01-21 59.1 @ UE Santa Coloma 0 1457 37.64% Inter Club d Escaldes 0 1486 45.87% 16.49%
9 2024-02-17 58.9 @ Atletic Escaldes 2 1500 37.66% Inter Club d Escaldes 1 1529 45.85% 16.49%
10 2024-03-02 58.1 FC Santa Coloma 2 1340 20.17% @ Inter Club d Escaldes 1 1517 63.55% 16.29%
11 2024-05-05 57.8 UE Santa Coloma 2 1486 26.33% @ Atletic Escaldes 0 1604 57.26% 16.40%
12 2024-04-13 57.2 @ UE Santa Coloma 1 1485 70.69% Penya Encarnada 1 1222 13.28% 16.03%
13 2024-01-27 56.9 @ Ordino 1 1245 17.86% FC Santa Coloma 1 1447 65.92% 16.22%
14 2024-01-21 56.1 @ Ordino 1 1239 24.92% Atletic Escaldes 1 1369 58.69% 16.38%
15 2023-11-04 55.6 @ Penya Encarnada 1 1228 33.01% Atletic Escaldes 1 1291 50.51% 16.47%
16 2024-05-19 55.5 @ Ordino 1 1163 80.16% Carroi 1 702 4.72% 15.12%
17 2023-09-17 55.4 @ Atletic Escaldes 1 1340 69.86% Pas de la Casa 1 1088 14.07% 16.07%
18 2023-12-03 55.2 @ Pas de la Casa 1 992 17.67% Ordino 1 1197 66.11% 16.21%
19 2024-04-07 55.2 @ Ordino 1 1176 69.34% Pas de la Casa 1 931 14.56% 16.10%
20 2023-09-24 55.1 @ Atletic America 1 1086 32.96% Penya Encarnada 1 1150 50.57% 16.47%
21 2023-10-07 54.8 @ Pas de la Casa 3 1016 30.39% Esperanca 2 1100 53.16% 16.45%
22 2024-04-20 54.1 Atletic America 3 705 32.67% @ Carroi 2 771 50.86% 16.47%
23 2023-12-10 53.9 UE Santa Coloma 2 1414 35.64% @ FC Santa Coloma 1 1457 47.87% 16.49%
24 2023-09-30 52.9 @ UE Santa Coloma 2 1288 26.50% Inter Club d Escaldes 1 1404 57.09% 16.41%
25 2024-02-18 52.7 @ Penya Encarnada 0 1186 12.41% UE Santa Coloma 0 1463 71.60% 15.99%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-05-19 23.4 @ Atletic Escaldes 8 1551 87.23% Atletic America 0 684 0.51% 12.26%
2 2024-05-05 23.6 @ Inter Club d Escaldes 6 1450 85.70% Carroi 0 712 1.04% 13.26%
3 2023-12-10 24.1 @ Inter Club d Escaldes 6 1473 84.39% Esperanca 0 824 1.70% 13.92%
4 2024-01-28 24.1 UE Santa Coloma 5 1458 84.52% @ Carroi 0 801 1.62% 13.86%
5 2024-02-25 24.2 Atletic Escaldes 4 1532 85.93% @ Carroi 0 776 0.94% 13.13%
6 2023-12-16 24.3 @ UE Santa Coloma 6 1447 83.53% Atletic America 0 846 2.21% 14.26%
7 2024-04-07 24.5 FC Santa Coloma 6 1387 82.78% @ Esperanca 0 824 2.72% 14.50%
8 2024-04-14 24.7 @ FC Santa Coloma 4 1400 83.94% Carroi 0 777 1.96% 14.10%
9 2024-02-04 24.9 @ UE Santa Coloma 6 1464 82.00% Esperanca 0 936 3.28% 14.72%
10 2023-11-12 25.0 @ Inter Club d Escaldes 6 1438 81.48% Atletic America 0 931 3.67% 14.85%
11 2024-04-06 25.4 UE Santa Coloma 3 1482 85.20% @ Carroi 0 780 1.27% 13.53%
12 2024-02-11 25.5 Atletic Escaldes 8 1494 84.95% @ Atletic America 1 809 1.39% 13.66%
13 2024-04-21 25.6 @ Inter Club d Escaldes 4 1490 81.81% Esperanca 0 969 3.42% 14.77%
14 2024-01-28 26.1 Atletic Escaldes 5 1364 78.14% @ Esperanca 0 960 6.43% 15.43%
15 2023-12-02 26.2 Inter Club d Escaldes 3 1467 82.86% @ Atletic America 0 900 2.66% 14.48%
16 2024-02-18 26.2 @ FC Santa Coloma 3 1352 82.47% Atletic America 0 804 2.94% 14.60%
17 2023-11-05 26.4 @ UE Santa Coloma 3 1393 81.82% Carroi 0 872 3.41% 14.77%
18 2023-10-29 27.0 @ FC Santa Coloma 4 1329 76.42% Atletic America 0 966 7.95% 15.63%
19 2023-11-26 27.3 Inter Club d Escaldes 3 1455 79.86% @ Pas de la Casa 0 1004 4.97% 15.18%
20 2024-03-10 27.3 @ UE Santa Coloma 2 1480 84.44% Esperanca 0 827 1.66% 13.89%
21 2023-12-17 27.4 Ordino 3 1224 78.31% @ Esperanca 0 816 6.28% 15.41%
22 2024-04-07 27.5 @ Inter Club d Escaldes 2 1484 83.86% Atletic America 0 865 2.00% 14.13%
23 2023-12-03 27.7 Penya Encarnada 3 1224 77.33% @ Esperanca 0 841 7.14% 15.53%
24 2023-11-05 27.9 FC Santa Coloma 5 1354 72.55% @ Pas de la Casa 0 1062 11.52% 15.93%
25 2024-01-28 28.0 @ Inter Club d Escaldes 2 1484 82.44% Pas de la Casa 0 937 2.96% 14.61%