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2024-25 Primera Divisió Season

135 games

Final

Champion

Inter Club d Escaldes

62 points · 4th Title

Last Title: 2021-22

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

FC Rangers

9.45 points above expected

48 points · 38.55 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

La Massana

8.01 points below expected

5 points · 13.01 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Inter Club d Escaldes Champion 27 18 8 1 62 84 19 +65 58.97 +3.03
2 Atletic Escaldes 27 16 8 3 56 70 22 +48 58.96 -2.96
3 FC Santa Coloma 27 16 4 7 52 42 28 +14 48.14 +3.86
4 UE Santa Coloma 27 14 7 6 49 56 24 +32 52.49 -3.49
5 FC Rangers 27 13 9 5 48 59 20 +39 38.55 +9.45
6 Penya Encarnada 27 9 7 11 34 32 43 -11 27.49 +6.51
7 Ordino 27 9 6 12 33 32 48 -16 30.80 +2.20
8 Pas de la Casa 27 8 5 14 29 35 36 -1 31.84 -2.84
9 Esperanca 27 1 4 22 7 14 92 -78 13.73 -6.73
10 La Massana 27 1 2 24 5 10 102 -92 13.01 -8.01

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 FC Rangers 48 38.55 +9.45
2 Penya Encarnada 34 27.49 +6.51
3 FC Santa Coloma 52 48.14 +3.86
4 Inter Club d Escaldes 62 58.97 +3.03
5 Ordino 33 30.80 +2.20

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 La Massana 5 13.01 -8.01
2 Esperanca 7 13.73 -6.73
3 UE Santa Coloma 49 52.49 -3.49
4 Atletic Escaldes 56 58.96 -2.96
5 Pas de la Casa 29 31.84 -2.84

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FC Santa Coloma 4 Apr 13 – May 11 1 in 41
2 FC Rangers 3 Nov 2 – Nov 24 1 in 28
3 Inter Club d Escaldes 6 Apr 5 – May 16 1 in 6
4 Atletic Escaldes 5 Feb 2 – Mar 2 1 in 4
5 UE Santa Coloma 5 Nov 10 – Dec 15 1 in 4

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Esperanca 12 Oct 27 – Feb 16 1 in 53
2 La Massana 13 Feb 2 – May 18 1 in 52
3 UE Santa Coloma 2 Oct 6 – Oct 20 1 in 31
4 Pas de la Casa 5 Feb 8 – Mar 9 1 in 20
5 FC Santa Coloma 2 Mar 30 – Apr 5 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FC Rangers 11 Sep 15 – Dec 8 1 in 7,679
2 Pas de la Casa 6 Sep 28 – Nov 10 1 in 80
3 FC Santa Coloma 9 Nov 24 – Feb 16 1 in 21
4 Inter Club d Escaldes 18 Dec 1 – May 16 1 in 17
5 Ordino 4 Oct 20 – Nov 10 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Atletic Escaldes 3 Oct 26 – Nov 10 1 in 19
2 Esperanca 24 Sep 15 – Apr 27 1 in 19
3 UE Santa Coloma 3 Sep 28 – Oct 20 1 in 19
4 FC Rangers 4 Dec 1 – Jan 19 1 in 12
5 Penya Encarnada 5 Oct 6 – Nov 9 1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Inter Club d Escaldes 1495 62 +40 15 12.2 +2.8
Atletic Escaldes 1423 56 -19 10 11.1 -1.1
FC Santa Coloma 1181 52 -42 12 8.4 +3.6
UE Santa Coloma 1309 49 -22 9 9.2 -0.2
FC Rangers 1375 48 +143 7 5.6 +1.4
Penya Encarnada 1063 34 +45 7 6.3 +0.7
Ordino 1025 33 +0 7 5.8 +1.2
Pas de la Casa 989 29 -63 3 6.1 -3.1
Esperanca 668 7 +2 3 2.3 +0.7
La Massana 613 5 -83 0 2.8 -2.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AE ESP FR FSC ICDE LM ORD PDLC PE USC
Atletic Escaldes —
3-0-0
7.94
1-1-1
5.95
1-1-1
6.04
1-2-0
3.91
3-0-0
7.91
2-1-0
7.31
2-1-0
7.07
2-1-0
7.06
1-1-1
5.23
Esperanca
0-0-3
0.60
 —
0-1-2
2.49
0-0-3
0.75
0-0-3
0.64
1-1-1
4.14
0-2-1
1.33
0-0-3
1.57
0-0-3
1.30
0-0-3
0.68
FC Rangers
1-1-1
2.36
2-1-0
5.93
 —
2-1-0
2.32
0-2-1
1.97
3-0-0
7.61
2-0-1
4.77
0-2-1
5.33
2-1-0
5.21
1-1-1
2.50
FC Santa Coloma
1-1-1
2.28
3-0-0
7.75
0-1-2
6.02
 —
0-1-2
2.74
3-0-0
7.56
2-0-1
6.42
2-0-1
6.10
3-0-0
6.22
2-1-0
3.21
Inter Club d Escaldes
0-2-1
4.38
3-0-0
7.91
1-2-0
6.37
2-1-0
5.57
 —
3-0-0
7.84
3-0-0
7.21
2-1-0
6.99
2-1-0
7.38
2-1-0
5.16
La Massana
0-0-3
0.62
1-1-1
4.15
0-0-3
0.85
0-0-3
0.89
0-0-3
0.68
 —
0-0-3
1.54
0-0-3
1.98
0-1-2
1.73
0-0-3
0.65
Ordino
0-1-2
1.10
1-2-0
7.05
1-0-2
3.54
1-0-2
1.92
0-0-3
1.18
3-0-0
6.83
 —
3-0-0
3.76
0-2-1
3.29
0-1-2
1.61
Pas de la Casa
0-1-2
1.32
3-0-0
6.79
1-2-0
2.98
1-0-2
2.22
0-1-2
1.39
3-0-0
6.37
0-0-3
4.54
 —
0-0-3
5.00
0-1-2
1.60
Penya Encarnada
0-1-2
1.33
3-0-0
7.08
0-1-2
3.11
0-0-3
2.10
0-1-2
1.04
2-1-0
6.62
1-2-0
5.02
3-0-0
3.30
 —
0-1-2
1.66
UE Santa Coloma
1-1-1
3.07
3-0-0
7.84
1-1-1
5.84
0-1-2
5.09
0-1-2
3.14
3-0-0
7.88
2-1-0
6.75
2-1-0
6.75
2-1-0
6.70
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.87 +7.7
Allowed 0.90 -6.2
Differential 0.95 +3.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.89%7.04%4.44%2.96%4.44%5.56%33.33%
17.04%7.41%4.44%3.33%1.11%2.59%25.93%
24.44%4.44%5.93%2.22%0.37%0.37%17.78%
32.96%3.33%2.22%———8.52%
44.44%1.11%0.37%———5.93%
5+5.56%2.59%0.37%———8.52%
Total33.33%25.93%17.78%8.52%5.93%8.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.61 +0.00
SD 1.78 1.78 2.92
CV 1.11 1.11 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 135

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.52%3.70%————22.22%
13.70%3.70%—3.70%——11.11%
23.70%—7.41%3.70%——14.81%
33.70%11.11%3.70%———18.52%
47.41%—3.70%———11.11%
5+11.11%11.11%————22.22%
Total48.15%29.63%14.81%7.41%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.59 0.81 +1.78
SD 1.99 0.96 2.21
CV 0.77 1.18 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.41%7.41%7.41%14.81%18.52%55.56%
13.70%11.11%3.70%3.70%7.41%7.41%37.04%
2——3.70%3.70%——7.41%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total3.70%18.52%14.81%14.81%22.22%25.93%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.52 3.41 -2.89
SD 0.64 2.14 2.36
CV 1.24 0.63 —
Max 2 9 +1
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.81%7.41%————22.22%
17.41%14.81%3.70%3.70%——29.63%
27.41%—3.70%3.70%——14.81%
33.70%—3.70%———7.41%
47.41%—————7.41%
5+14.81%—3.70%———18.52%
Total55.56%22.22%14.81%7.41%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.19 0.74 +1.44
SD 2.11 0.98 2.44
CV 0.97 1.33 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%11.11%7.41%——3.70%25.93%
118.52%7.41%————25.93%
27.41%11.11%3.70%—3.70%—25.93%
3—7.41%3.70%———11.11%
47.41%3.70%————11.11%
5+———————
Total37.04%40.74%14.81%—3.70%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.04 +0.52
SD 1.31 1.22 1.95
CV 0.84 1.18 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.81%—————14.81%
13.70%7.41%—3.70%——14.81%
23.70%—7.41%———11.11%
314.81%3.70%11.11%———29.63%
47.41%—————7.41%
5+11.11%11.11%————22.22%
Total55.56%22.22%18.52%3.70%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.11 0.70 +2.41
SD 2.53 0.91 2.76
CV 0.81 1.30 —
Max 9 3 +9
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%3.70%11.11%3.70%18.52%29.63%70.37%
1—3.70%3.70%7.41%3.70%7.41%25.93%
2———————
33.70%—————3.70%
4———————
5+———————
Total7.41%7.41%14.81%11.11%22.22%37.04%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.37 3.78 -3.41
SD 0.69 2.12 2.45
CV 1.86 0.56 —
Max 3 9 +3
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%7.41%7.41%11.11%11.11%—40.74%
13.70%7.41%—7.41%——18.52%
2—18.52%11.11%———29.63%
33.70%3.70%————7.41%
4———————
5+—3.70%————3.70%
Total11.11%40.74%18.52%18.52%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.78 -0.59
SD 1.27 1.22 2.14
CV 1.07 0.69 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%11.11%3.70%3.70%——25.93%
111.11%3.70%22.22%3.70%—3.70%44.44%
27.41%—7.41%3.70%——18.52%
3———————
47.41%—————7.41%
5+3.70%—————3.70%
Total37.04%14.81%33.33%11.11%—3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.33 -0.04
SD 1.30 1.30 2.07
CV 1.00 0.98 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.81%11.11%3.70%——3.70%33.33%
111.11%7.41%7.41%——7.41%33.33%
27.41%3.70%3.70%3.70%—3.70%22.22%
3—3.70%————3.70%
4—7.41%————7.41%
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%14.81%3.70%—14.81%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.59 -0.41
SD 1.18 1.95 2.26
CV 0.99 1.22 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%7.41%3.70%3.70%——22.22%
17.41%7.41%3.70%———18.52%
27.41%11.11%11.11%3.70%——33.33%
3—3.70%————3.70%
47.41%—————7.41%
5+14.81%—————14.81%
Total44.44%29.63%18.52%7.41%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.07 0.89 +1.19
SD 1.84 0.97 2.40
CV 0.89 1.10 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Inter Club d Escaldes 1495 62 58.97 +3.03 75.0% 47 49 55 59 62 67 73
Atletic Escaldes 1423 56 58.96 -2.96 31.0% 44 50 55 59 61 68 76
FC Rangers 1375 48 38.55 +9.45 93.0% 21 29 34 38 43 49 52
UE Santa Coloma 1309 49 52.49 -3.49 30.0% 37 44 49 53 56 61 65
FC Santa Coloma 1181 52 48.14 +3.86 75.0% 32 38 43 48 52 59 64
Penya Encarnada 1063 34 27.49 +6.51 79.0% 14 20 24 28 30 35 43
Ordino 1025 33 30.80 +2.20 70.0% 18 22 27 31 34 40 47
Pas de la Casa 989 29 31.84 -2.84 35.0% 14 21 28 32 35 41 46
Esperanca 668 7 13.73 -6.73 5.0% 3 7 11 14 16 21 24
La Massana 613 5 13.01 -8.01 3.0% 4 6 10 13 16 20 24

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -2.5% * Slight Edge: -2.5% to 0% * Clear Edge: 0% to 6% * Strong Edge: 6% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+9.63%
Strong Edge
43.70%22.22%34.07%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 33.56 Elo pts.
164 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.12 goals
Neutral
-2+0.21+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.4
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
49%
Inter Club d Escaldes, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.22/gm
Comfortable
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.36 * Some Luck: 4.36 to 6.54 * Lucky: 6.54 to 8.72 * Wild Swing: 8.72 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.56 * Close: 0.56 to 0.84 * Off: 0.84 to 1.11 * Way Off: 1.11 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.18 points
Some Luck
05.4514
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.60
Close
00.701.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
93.00%
FC Rangers
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
3.00%
La Massana
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.24 * Even: 0.24 to 0.25 * Top-Heavy: 0.25 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.1 * Moderate Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Strong Separation: 2.35 to 2.5 * Wide Separation: 2.5 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 83.5% * Slight Edge: 83.5% to 89% * Clear Edge: 89% to 94% * Wide Edge: 94% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 96% * Clear Edge: 96% to 98.5% * Strong Edge: 98.5% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 40.5% * Some Drama: 40.5% to 45.5% * Frequent: 45.5% to 53% * Very Frequent: 53% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 28% * Occasional: 28% to 33.5% * Frequent: 33.5% to 41.5% * Very Frequent: 41.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.28
Top-Heavy
00.240.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 303.20
2.83
Wide Separation
12.12.353.25
Interquartile Edge
89%
Slight Edge
50%83.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 100%
99%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
50%
Frequent
0%38%100%
Blowouts
Expected
34%
Frequent
0%41%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.49 * Slight Separation: 0.49 to 0.54 * Notable Separation: 0.54 to 0.6 * Lopsided: 0.6 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.56 * Some Carryover: 0.56 to 0.76 * Strong Carryover: 0.76 to 0.86 * Near-Lock: 0.86 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 17.5% * Upset-Prone: 17.5% to 20% * Very Upset-Prone: 20% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14% * Shaky Favorites: 14% to 15.5% * Very Shaky: 15.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.48
Highly Predictable
00.482
Matchup Imbalance
0.64
Lopsided
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.09
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.76
Some Carryover
00.560.761
Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Upset-Prone
0%14%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Shaky Favorites
0%11%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.23
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.98
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.118
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1170.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Inter Club d Escaldes49.00%34.00%11.00%6.00%——————
Atletic Escaldes40.00%42.00%12.00%4.00%2.00%—————
FC Santa Coloma2.00%7.00%21.00%52.00%15.00%3.00%————
UE Santa Coloma9.00%17.00%53.00%19.00%1.00%1.00%————
FC Rangers——3.00%14.00%46.00%26.00%7.00%4.00%——
Penya Encarnada————3.00%20.00%24.00%50.00%3.00%—
Ordino———3.00%11.00%22.00%33.00%30.00%1.00%—
Pas de la Casa———2.00%22.00%28.00%35.00%11.00%2.00%—
Esperanca——————1.00%1.00%57.00%41.00%
La Massana———————4.00%37.00%59.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Atletic Escaldes 100% — —
FC Rangers 100% — —
FC Santa Coloma 100% — —
Inter Club d Escaldes 100% — —
Ordino 99.00% 1.00% —
Pas de la Casa 98.00% 2.00% —
Penya Encarnada 97.00% 3.00% —
UE Santa Coloma 100% — —
Esperanca 2.00% 57.00% 41.00%
La Massana 4.00% 37.00% 59.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2024-09-14 Ordino L 1-243.8 974 1091 27.18% 23.39% 49.44%-0.51 -17.4 0
2024-09-14 @ Pas de la Casa W 2-143.8 1091 974 49.44% 23.39% 27.18%+0.51 +17.4 3
2024-09-15 Atletic Escaldes D 0-049.5 1134 1375 15.16% 22.48% 62.36%-1.27 +7.5 1
2024-09-15 @ Penya Encarnada D 0-049.5 1375 1134 62.36% 22.48% 15.16%+1.27 -7.5 1
2024-09-15 Esperanca W 4-044.5 765 957 19.28% 22.93% 57.79%-0.97 +123.1 3
2024-09-15 @ FC Rangers L 0-444.5 957 765 57.79% 22.93% 19.28%+0.97 -123.1 0
2024-09-15 FC Santa Coloma L 0-148.6 1370 1289 53.16% 23.23% 23.61%+0.70 -31.8 0
2024-09-15 @ UE Santa Coloma W 1-048.6 1289 1370 23.61% 23.23% 53.16%-0.70 +31.8 3
2024-09-15 La Massana W 6-129.6 1324 863 78.19% 18.23% 3.59%+3.03 +9.6 3
2024-09-15 @ Inter Club d Escaldes L 1-629.6 863 1324 3.59% 18.23% 78.19%-3.03 -9.6 0
2024-09-21 FC Rangers D 1-153.9 1321 888 77.12% 18.74% 4.15%+2.85 -10.9 4
2024-09-21 @ FC Santa Coloma D 1-153.9 888 1321 4.15% 18.74% 77.12%-2.85 +10.9 4
2024-09-22 Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-328.1 834 1334 4.15% 18.74% 77.11%-2.85 -8.4 0
2024-09-22 @ Esperanca W 3-028.1 1334 834 77.11% 18.74% 4.15%+2.85 +8.4 6
2024-09-22 Pas de la Casa W 3-240.6 1368 956 76.28% 19.11% 4.61%+2.72 +3.1 4
2024-09-22 @ Atletic Escaldes L 2-340.6 956 1368 4.61% 19.11% 76.28%-2.72 -3.1 0
2024-09-22 Penya Encarnada L 1-337.6 853 1141 12.07% 21.97% 65.96%-1.56 -14.8 0
2024-09-22 @ La Massana W 3-137.6 1141 853 65.96% 21.97% 12.07%+1.56 +14.8 4
2024-09-22 UE Santa Coloma L 0-234.5 1108 1339 16.01% 22.59% 61.40%-1.20 -22.1 3
2024-09-22 @ Ordino W 2-034.5 1339 1108 61.40% 22.59% 16.01%+1.20 +22.1 3
2024-09-28 UE Santa Coloma D 2-258.3 953 1361 6.62% 20.30% 73.09%-2.29 +7.4 1
2024-09-28 @ Pas de la Casa D 2-258.3 1361 953 73.09% 20.30% 6.62%+2.29 -7.3 4
2024-09-29 Esperanca W 4-134.1 1156 825 72.58% 20.45% 6.96%+2.22 +12.2 7
2024-09-29 @ Penya Encarnada L 1-434.1 825 1156 6.96% 20.45% 72.58%-2.22 -12.2 0
2024-09-29 FC Santa Coloma W 2-039.8 1342 1310 47.20% 23.45% 29.35%+0.40 +37.0 9
2024-09-29 @ Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-239.8 1310 1342 29.35% 23.45% 47.20%-0.40 -37.0 4
2024-09-29 La Massana W 3-133.3 1371 838 80.60% 16.90% 2.49%+3.46 +2.9 7
2024-09-29 @ Atletic Escaldes L 1-333.3 838 1371 2.49% 16.90% 80.60%-3.46 -2.9 0
2024-09-29 Ordino W 3-045.3 899 1086 19.75% 22.97% 57.28%-0.94 +93.4 7
2024-09-29 @ FC Rangers L 0-345.3 1086 899 57.28% 22.97% 19.75%+0.94 -93.4 3
2024-10-05 Atletic Escaldes L 0-526.1 813 1374 3.04% 17.64% 79.32%-3.22 -9.8 0
2024-10-05 @ Esperanca W 5-026.1 1374 813 79.32% 17.64% 3.04%+3.22 +9.8 10
2024-10-06 FC Rangers L 0-152.6 1353 992 74.07% 19.97% 5.96%+2.41 -43.7 4
2024-10-06 @ UE Santa Coloma W 1-052.6 992 1353 5.96% 19.97% 74.07%-2.41 +43.7 10
2024-10-06 Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-428.9 992 1379 7.35% 20.62% 72.02%-2.16 -20.0 3
2024-10-06 @ Ordino W 4-028.9 1379 992 72.02% 20.62% 7.35%+2.16 +20.0 12
2024-10-06 Pas de la Casa L 0-435.2 835 960 26.21% 23.35% 50.44%-0.56 -64.0 0
2024-10-06 @ La Massana W 4-035.2 960 835 50.44% 23.35% 26.21%+0.56 +64.0 4
2024-10-06 Penya Encarnada W 2-142.2 1273 1168 55.76% 23.08% 21.17%+0.85 +14.1 7
2024-10-06 @ FC Santa Coloma L 1-242.2 1168 1273 21.17% 23.08% 55.76%-0.85 -14.1 7
2024-10-19 Esperanca D 1-152.4 771 803 38.42% 23.56% 38.02%+0.01 -0.0 1
2024-10-19 @ La Massana D 1-152.4 803 771 38.02% 23.56% 38.42%-0.01 +0.1 1
2024-10-20 FC Rangers D 0-048.7 1025 1036 41.34% 23.55% 35.11%+0.13 -0.9 5
2024-10-20 @ Pas de la Casa D 0-048.7 1036 1025 35.11% 23.55% 41.34%-0.13 +0.9 11
2024-10-20 FC Santa Coloma W 4-246.6 1384 1287 54.85% 23.13% 22.02%+0.80 +22.6 13
2024-10-20 @ Atletic Escaldes L 2-446.6 1287 1384 22.02% 23.13% 54.85%-0.80 -22.6 7
2024-10-20 Ordino D 0-049.1 1154 972 62.92% 22.41% 14.67%+1.31 -7.7 8
2024-10-20 @ Penya Encarnada D 0-049.1 972 1154 14.67% 22.41% 62.92%-1.31 +7.7 4
2024-10-20 UE Santa Coloma W 3-249.1 1399 1310 54.07% 23.18% 22.76%+0.75 +14.2 15
2024-10-20 @ Inter Club d Escaldes L 2-349.1 1310 1399 22.76% 23.18% 54.07%-0.75 -14.2 4
2024-10-26 Atletic Escaldes D 2-258.5 980 1406 6.02% 20.00% 73.98%-2.40 +7.5 5
2024-10-26 @ Ordino D 2-258.5 1406 980 73.98% 20.00% 6.02%+2.40 -7.5 14
2024-10-27 Inter Club d Escaldes D 2-258.4 1037 1413 7.75% 20.78% 71.47%-2.10 +7.0 12
2024-10-27 @ FC Rangers D 2-258.4 1413 1037 71.47% 20.78% 7.75%+2.10 -7.0 16
2024-10-27 La Massana W 2-028.8 1265 771 79.31% 17.64% 3.05%+3.22 +4.2 10
2024-10-27 @ FC Santa Coloma L 0-228.8 771 1265 3.05% 17.64% 79.31%-3.22 -4.2 1
2024-10-27 Pas de la Casa L 0-234.5 803 1024 16.85% 22.69% 60.46%-1.14 -23.2 1
2024-10-27 @ Esperanca W 2-034.5 1024 803 60.46% 22.69% 16.85%+1.14 +23.2 8
2024-10-27 Penya Encarnada W 2-140.9 1295 1146 60.11% 22.72% 17.16%+1.12 +11.8 7
2024-10-27 @ UE Santa Coloma L 1-240.9 1146 1295 17.16% 22.72% 60.11%-1.12 -11.8 8
2024-11-02 FC Rangers L 0-642.9 1134 1044 54.19% 23.17% 22.64%+0.76 -169.6 8
2024-11-02 @ Penya Encarnada W 6-042.9 1044 1134 22.64% 23.17% 54.19%-0.76 +169.6 15
2024-11-03 FC Santa Coloma L 0-229.6 780 1269 4.40% 18.94% 76.66%-2.78 -6.2 1
2024-11-03 @ Esperanca W 2-029.6 1269 780 76.66% 18.94% 4.40%+2.78 +6.2 13
2024-11-03 Inter Club d Escaldes D 1-153.5 1047 1406 8.44% 21.02% 70.54%-1.99 +9.1 9
2024-11-03 @ Pas de la Casa D 1-153.5 1406 1047 70.54% 21.02% 8.44%+1.99 -9.1 17
2024-11-03 Ordino L 0-333.1 767 988 16.82% 22.69% 60.50%-1.14 -33.6 1
2024-11-03 @ La Massana W 3-033.1 988 767 60.50% 22.69% 16.82%+1.14 +33.6 8
2024-11-03 UE Santa Coloma D 0-050.8 1399 1307 54.31% 23.17% 22.53%+0.77 -4.8 15
2024-11-03 @ Atletic Escaldes D 0-050.8 1307 1399 22.53% 23.17% 54.31%-0.77 +4.8 8
2024-11-09 Penya Encarnada W 5-131.4 1397 965 77.09% 18.75% 4.16%+2.85 +9.2 20
2024-11-09 @ Inter Club d Escaldes L 1-531.4 965 1397 4.16% 18.75% 77.09%-2.85 -9.2 8
2024-11-10 Atletic Escaldes W 3-258.2 1214 1394 20.36% 23.02% 56.62%-0.90 +30.2 18
2024-11-10 @ FC Rangers L 2-358.2 1394 1214 56.62% 23.02% 20.36%+0.90 -30.2 15
2024-11-10 Esperanca W 3-137.1 1021 774 67.76% 21.65% 10.60%+1.71 +13.1 11
2024-11-10 @ Ordino L 1-337.1 774 1021 10.60% 21.65% 67.76%-1.71 -13.1 1
2024-11-10 FC Santa Coloma W 2-047.6 1056 1275 16.94% 22.70% 60.36%-1.13 +67.7 12
2024-11-10 @ Pas de la Casa L 0-247.6 1275 1056 60.36% 22.70% 16.94%+1.13 -67.7 13
2024-11-10 La Massana W 5-025.3 1312 733 81.99% 16.04% 1.97%+3.74 +6.1 11
2024-11-10 @ UE Santa Coloma L 0-525.3 733 1312 1.97% 16.04% 81.99%-3.74 -6.1 1
2024-11-23 Pas de la Casa W 1-047.8 956 1124 21.59% 23.11% 55.30%-0.82 +33.0 11
2024-11-23 @ Penya Encarnada L 0-147.8 1124 956 55.30% 23.11% 21.59%+0.82 -33.0 12
2024-11-24 FC Rangers L 0-427.0 727 1244 3.82% 18.45% 77.74%-2.95 -10.1 1
2024-11-24 @ La Massana W 4-027.0 1244 727 77.74% 18.45% 3.82%+2.95 +10.1 21
2024-11-24 Inter Club d Escaldes W 3-149.4 1364 1406 36.93% 23.56% 39.51%-0.06 +40.4 18
2024-11-24 @ Atletic Escaldes L 1-349.4 1406 1364 39.51% 23.56% 36.93%+0.06 -40.4 20
2024-11-24 Ordino W 3-138.8 1207 1034 62.21% 22.50% 15.29%+1.26 +18.4 16
2024-11-24 @ FC Santa Coloma L 1-338.8 1034 1207 15.29% 22.50% 62.21%-1.26 -18.4 11
2024-11-24 UE Santa Coloma L 0-526.1 761 1318 3.10% 17.71% 79.19%-3.20 -10.0 1
2024-11-24 @ Esperanca W 5-026.1 1318 761 79.19% 17.71% 3.10%+3.20 +9.9 14
2024-11-30 Penya Encarnada W 2-030.8 1328 989 73.03% 20.31% 6.66%+2.28 +9.5 17
2024-11-30 @ UE Santa Coloma L 0-230.8 989 1328 6.66% 20.31% 73.03%-2.28 -9.5 11
2024-12-01 Esperanca W 1-032.3 1091 751 73.03% 20.31% 6.65%+2.28 +5.1 15
2024-12-01 @ Pas de la Casa L 0-132.3 751 1091 6.65% 20.31% 73.03%-2.28 -5.0 1
2024-12-01 FC Rangers D 0-050.0 1366 1254 56.50% 23.03% 20.47%+0.89 -5.5 21
2024-12-01 @ Inter Club d Escaldes D 0-050.0 1254 1366 20.47% 23.03% 56.50%-0.89 +5.5 22
2024-12-01 FC Santa Coloma D 0-050.2 1404 1226 62.68% 22.44% 14.88%+1.30 -7.6 19
2024-12-01 @ Atletic Escaldes D 0-050.2 1226 1404 14.88% 22.44% 62.68%-1.30 +7.6 17
2024-12-01 La Massana W 2-137.4 1016 717 70.89% 20.94% 8.18%+2.03 +5.9 14
2024-12-01 @ Ordino L 1-237.4 717 1016 8.18% 20.94% 70.89%-2.03 -5.9 1
2024-12-08 Atletic Escaldes D 0-051.5 1360 1397 37.84% 23.56% 38.59%-0.02 +0.1 22
2024-12-08 @ Inter Club d Escaldes D 0-051.5 1397 1360 38.59% 23.56% 37.84%+0.02 -0.1 20
2024-12-08 FC Rangers D 0-049.2 979 1259 12.55% 22.06% 65.38%-1.51 +8.5 12
2024-12-08 @ Penya Encarnada D 0-049.2 1259 979 65.38% 22.06% 12.55%+1.51 -8.5 23
2024-12-08 FC Santa Coloma L 0-136.4 1022 1233 17.57% 22.77% 59.67%-1.09 -12.7 14
2024-12-08 @ Ordino W 1-036.4 1233 1022 59.67% 22.77% 17.57%+1.09 +12.7 20
2024-12-10 UE Santa Coloma L 1-240.2 1096 1338 15.16% 22.48% 62.37%-1.27 -10.5 15
2024-12-10 @ Pas de la Casa W 2-140.2 1338 1096 62.37% 22.48% 15.16%+1.27 +10.5 20
2024-12-11 Esperanca W 3-039.8 711 746 38.06% 23.56% 38.38%-0.01 +66.2 4
2024-12-11 @ La Massana L 0-339.8 746 711 38.38% 23.56% 38.06%+0.01 -66.2 1
2024-12-14 FC Santa Coloma L 0-427.6 778 1246 4.87% 19.29% 75.84%-2.66 -13.1 4
2024-12-14 @ La Massana W 4-027.6 1246 778 75.84% 19.29% 4.87%+2.66 +13.1 23
2024-12-15 Esperanca W 4-025.0 1348 680 84.41% 14.34% 1.24%+4.29 +3.0 23
2024-12-15 @ UE Santa Coloma L 0-425.0 680 1348 1.24% 14.34% 84.41%-4.29 -3.0 1
2024-12-15 Ordino W 3-029.3 1361 1009 73.62% 20.12% 6.26%+2.35 +13.0 25
2024-12-15 @ Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-329.3 1009 1361 6.26% 20.12% 73.62%-2.35 -13.0 14
2024-12-15 Pas de la Casa L 0-149.6 1251 1085 61.58% 22.57% 15.85%+1.22 -36.6 23
2024-12-15 @ FC Rangers W 1-049.6 1085 1251 15.85% 22.57% 61.58%-1.22 +36.6 18
2024-12-15 Penya Encarnada W 6-130.4 1397 988 76.16% 19.16% 4.68%+2.70 +12.8 23
2024-12-15 @ Atletic Escaldes L 1-630.4 988 1397 4.68% 19.16% 76.16%-2.70 -12.8 12
2025-01-18 La Massana W 9-025.0 1374 765 82.85% 15.47% 1.69%+3.93 +9.0 28
2025-01-18 @ Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-925.0 765 1374 1.69% 15.47% 82.85%-3.93 -9.0 4
2025-01-19 Atletic Escaldes D 2-258.3 1122 1409 12.10% 21.98% 65.93%-1.55 +5.8 19
2025-01-19 @ Pas de la Casa D 2-258.3 1409 1122 65.93% 21.98% 12.10%+1.55 -5.8 24
2025-01-19 Esperanca W 3-238.7 1259 677 82.09% 15.97% 1.94%+3.76 +1.2 26
2025-01-19 @ FC Santa Coloma L 2-338.7 677 1259 1.94% 15.97% 82.09%-3.76 -1.2 1
2025-01-19 FC Rangers D 1-153.4 1351 1214 58.96% 22.83% 18.21%+1.04 -5.7 24
2025-01-19 @ UE Santa Coloma D 1-153.4 1214 1351 18.21% 22.83% 58.96%-1.04 +5.7 24
2025-01-19 Penya Encarnada L 0-145.0 996 975 45.77% 23.49% 30.74%+0.33 -27.9 14
2025-01-19 @ Ordino W 1-045.0 975 996 30.74% 23.49% 45.77%-0.33 +27.9 15
2025-01-25 FC Rangers L 0-726.1 676 1220 3.31% 17.94% 78.75%-3.12 -14.7 1
2025-01-25 @ Esperanca W 7-026.1 1220 676 78.75% 17.94% 3.31%+3.12 +14.7 27
2025-01-26 Atletic Escaldes W 1-046.4 1345 1404 34.76% 23.55% 41.69%-0.15 +25.8 27
2025-01-26 @ UE Santa Coloma L 0-146.4 1404 1345 41.69% 23.55% 34.76%+0.15 -25.8 24
2025-01-26 Inter Club d Escaldes D 2-258.6 1260 1383 26.55% 23.36% 50.09%-0.54 +2.3 27
2025-01-26 @ FC Santa Coloma D 2-258.6 1383 1260 50.09% 23.36% 26.55%+0.54 -2.3 29
2025-01-26 Pas de la Casa W 2-151.9 968 1128 22.46% 23.16% 54.38%-0.77 +30.6 17
2025-01-26 @ Ordino L 1-251.9 1128 968 54.38% 23.16% 22.46%+0.77 -30.6 19
2025-01-26 Penya Encarnada D 0-049.1 756 1003 14.78% 22.43% 62.80%-1.31 +7.6 5
2025-01-26 @ La Massana D 0-049.1 1003 756 62.80% 22.43% 14.78%+1.31 -7.6 16
2025-02-01 Ordino D 2-258.5 1371 999 74.59% 19.78% 5.63%+2.48 -7.6 28
2025-02-01 @ UE Santa Coloma D 2-258.5 999 1371 5.63% 19.78% 74.59%-2.48 +7.6 18
2025-02-02 Esperanca W 9-125.1 1380 661 85.65% 13.40% 0.95%+4.60 +3.5 32
2025-02-02 @ Inter Club d Escaldes L 1-925.1 661 1380 0.95% 13.40% 85.65%-4.60 -3.5 1
2025-02-02 FC Rangers W 3-140.6 1378 1235 59.55% 22.78% 17.67%+1.08 +20.9 27
2025-02-02 @ Atletic Escaldes L 1-340.6 1235 1378 17.67% 22.78% 59.55%-1.08 -20.9 27
2025-02-02 FC Santa Coloma L 0-135.0 995 1263 13.37% 22.21% 64.42%-1.43 -10.0 16
2025-02-02 @ Penya Encarnada W 1-035.0 1263 995 64.42% 22.21% 13.37%+1.43 +10.0 30
2025-02-02 La Massana W 4-028.5 1097 763 72.74% 20.40% 6.85%+2.24 +18.6 22
2025-02-02 @ Pas de la Casa L 0-428.5 763 1097 6.85% 20.40% 72.74%-2.24 -18.6 5
2025-02-08 Pas de la Casa W 1-036.2 1273 1115 60.82% 22.65% 16.53%+1.16 +12.1 33
2025-02-08 @ FC Santa Coloma L 0-136.2 1115 1273 16.53% 22.65% 60.82%-1.16 -12.1 22
2025-02-09 Atletic Escaldes L 0-524.5 657 1399 1.20% 14.23% 84.56%-4.33 -3.5 1
2025-02-09 @ Esperanca W 5-024.5 1399 657 84.56% 14.23% 1.20%+4.33 +3.6 30
2025-02-09 FC Rangers W 2-153.3 1006 1214 17.93% 22.80% 59.27%-1.06 +33.2 21
2025-02-09 @ Ordino L 1-253.3 1214 1006 59.27% 22.80% 17.93%+1.06 -33.2 27
2025-02-09 Inter Club d Escaldes D 1-153.5 985 1384 6.93% 20.44% 72.63%-2.23 +9.7 17
2025-02-09 @ Penya Encarnada D 1-153.5 1384 985 72.63% 20.44% 6.93%+2.23 -9.7 33
2025-02-09 UE Santa Coloma L 0-625.3 745 1364 2.26% 16.55% 81.19%-3.58 -8.4 5
2025-02-09 @ La Massana W 6-025.3 1364 745 81.19% 16.55% 2.26%+3.58 +8.4 31
2025-02-15 Ordino W 3-029.3 1402 1040 74.14% 19.94% 5.92%+2.42 +12.2 33
2025-02-15 @ Atletic Escaldes L 0-329.3 1040 1402 5.92% 19.94% 74.14%-2.42 -12.2 21
2025-02-16 Inter Club d Escaldes L 1-338.4 1103 1374 13.16% 22.17% 64.66%-1.45 -16.0 22
2025-02-16 @ Pas de la Casa W 3-138.4 1374 1103 64.66% 22.17% 13.16%+1.45 +16.0 36
2025-02-16 La Massana W 2-029.3 1180 736 77.55% 18.54% 3.92%+2.92 +5.5 30
2025-02-16 @ FC Rangers L 0-229.3 736 1180 3.92% 18.54% 77.55%-2.92 -5.5 5
2025-02-16 Penya Encarnada L 1-237.8 654 995 9.26% 21.29% 69.46%-1.88 -6.6 1
2025-02-16 @ Esperanca W 2-137.8 995 654 69.46% 21.29% 9.26%+1.88 +6.6 20
2025-02-16 UE Santa Coloma D 1-153.8 1285 1372 30.84% 23.49% 45.67%-0.33 +1.9 34
2025-02-16 @ FC Santa Coloma D 1-153.8 1372 1285 45.67% 23.49% 30.84%+0.33 -1.9 32
2025-02-22 UE Santa Coloma W 3-040.4 1390 1370 45.62% 23.49% 30.89%+0.33 +56.0 39
2025-02-22 @ Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-340.4 1370 1390 30.89% 23.49% 45.62%-0.33 -55.9 32
2025-02-23 Atletic Escaldes L 0-624.8 731 1414 1.62% 15.32% 83.06%-3.97 -5.8 5
2025-02-23 @ La Massana W 6-024.8 1414 731 83.06% 15.32% 1.62%+3.97 +5.8 36
2025-02-23 FC Santa Coloma W 1-045.8 1186 1287 29.17% 23.45% 47.38%-0.41 +28.7 33
2025-02-23 @ FC Rangers L 0-145.8 1287 1186 47.38% 23.45% 29.17%+0.41 -28.7 34
2025-02-23 Ordino D 2-258.1 647 1027 7.60% 20.72% 71.67%-2.12 +7.1 2
2025-02-23 @ Esperanca D 2-258.1 1027 647 71.67% 20.72% 7.60%+2.12 -7.1 22
2025-02-23 Pas de la Casa W 1-044.9 1002 1087 31.05% 23.49% 45.46%-0.32 +27.7 23
2025-02-23 @ Penya Encarnada L 0-144.9 1087 1002 45.46% 23.49% 31.05%+0.32 -27.7 22
2025-03-01 Penya Encarnada W 6-237.8 1215 1029 63.23% 22.37% 14.39%+1.34 +27.0 36
2025-03-01 @ FC Rangers L 2-637.8 1029 1215 14.39% 22.37% 63.23%-1.34 -27.0 23
2025-03-02 Esperanca W 4-025.5 1258 654 82.70% 15.57% 1.73%+3.89 +4.3 37
2025-03-02 @ FC Santa Coloma L 0-425.5 654 1258 1.73% 15.57% 82.70%-3.89 -4.3 2
2025-03-02 Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-624.5 725 1446 1.34% 14.61% 84.05%-4.20 -4.7 5
2025-03-02 @ La Massana W 6-024.5 1446 725 84.05% 14.61% 1.34%+4.20 +4.7 42
2025-03-02 Ordino W 4-027.9 1420 1020 75.79% 19.31% 4.90%+2.65 +13.1 39
2025-03-02 @ Atletic Escaldes L 0-427.9 1020 1420 4.90% 19.31% 75.79%-2.65 -13.1 22
2025-03-02 Pas de la Casa W 2-138.4 1314 1060 68.24% 21.55% 10.21%+1.76 +7.3 35
2025-03-02 @ UE Santa Coloma L 1-238.4 1060 1314 10.21% 21.55% 68.24%-1.76 -7.3 22
2025-03-08 Atletic Escaldes D 0-054.6 1451 1433 45.27% 23.50% 31.23%+0.31 -2.0 43
2025-03-08 @ Inter Club d Escaldes D 0-054.6 1433 1451 31.23% 23.50% 45.27%-0.31 +2.0 40
2025-03-09 FC Rangers D 1-154.4 650 1242 2.60% 17.06% 80.34%-3.41 +11.5 3
2025-03-09 @ Esperanca D 1-154.4 1242 650 80.34% 17.06% 2.60%+3.41 -11.5 37
2025-03-09 FC Santa Coloma L 1-240.9 1052 1262 17.72% 22.78% 59.50%-1.08 -12.1 22
2025-03-09 @ Pas de la Casa W 2-140.9 1262 1052 59.50% 22.78% 17.72%+1.08 +12.1 40
2025-03-09 La Massana W 2-031.6 1002 720 69.94% 21.17% 8.89%+1.93 +12.7 26
2025-03-09 @ Penya Encarnada L 0-231.6 720 1002 8.89% 21.17% 69.94%-1.93 -12.7 5
2025-03-09 UE Santa Coloma L 1-337.2 1007 1321 10.59% 21.64% 67.76%-1.72 -13.1 22
2025-03-09 @ Ordino W 3-137.2 1321 1007 67.76% 21.64% 10.59%+1.72 +13.1 38
2025-03-29 Inter Club d Escaldes D 0-052.1 1334 1449 27.51% 23.40% 49.10%-0.49 +3.2 39
2025-03-29 @ UE Santa Coloma D 0-052.1 1449 1334 49.10% 23.40% 27.51%+0.49 -3.2 44
2025-03-30 La Massana W 5-025.8 1230 707 80.28% 17.10% 2.63%+3.40 +8.3 40
2025-03-30 @ FC Rangers L 0-525.8 707 1230 2.63% 17.10% 80.28%-3.40 -8.3 5
2025-03-30 Ordino L 0-151.6 1274 994 69.82% 21.20% 8.98%+1.92 -41.4 40
2025-03-30 @ FC Santa Coloma W 1-051.6 994 1274 8.98% 21.20% 69.82%-1.92 +41.4 25
2025-03-30 Pas de la Casa L 0-132.7 661 1040 7.66% 20.74% 71.60%-2.11 -5.8 3
2025-03-30 @ Esperanca W 1-032.7 1040 661 71.60% 20.74% 7.66%+2.11 +5.8 25
2025-03-30 Penya Encarnada W 1-031.5 1435 1015 76.63% 18.96% 4.42%+2.78 +3.3 43
2025-03-30 @ Atletic Escaldes L 0-131.5 1015 1435 4.42% 18.96% 76.63%-2.78 -3.3 26
2025-04-05 FC Santa Coloma W 1-036.2 1446 1233 65.36% 22.07% 12.57%+1.51 +9.4 47
2025-04-05 @ Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-136.2 1233 1446 12.57% 22.07% 65.36%-1.51 -9.4 40
2025-04-06 Atletic Escaldes L 0-425.0 699 1439 1.21% 14.27% 84.52%-4.32 -2.9 5
2025-04-06 @ La Massana W 4-025.0 1439 699 84.52% 14.27% 1.21%+4.32 +2.9 46
2025-04-06 Esperanca D 1-153.6 1036 656 74.92% 19.66% 5.42%+2.53 -10.3 26
2025-04-06 @ Ordino D 1-153.6 656 1036 5.42% 19.66% 74.92%-2.53 +10.3 4
2025-04-06 FC Rangers D 0-049.0 1046 1238 19.26% 22.93% 57.82%-0.97 +6.0 26
2025-04-06 @ Pas de la Casa D 0-049.0 1238 1046 57.82% 22.93% 19.26%+0.97 -6.0 41
2025-04-06 UE Santa Coloma D 2-258.0 1012 1338 9.99% 21.49% 68.52%-1.79 +6.4 27
2025-04-06 @ Penya Encarnada D 2-258.0 1338 1012 68.52% 21.49% 9.99%+1.79 -6.4 40
2025-04-12 Atletic Escaldes D 1-154.2 1232 1442 17.76% 22.79% 59.46%-1.07 +5.8 42
2025-04-12 @ FC Rangers D 1-154.2 1442 1232 59.46% 22.79% 17.76%+1.07 -5.8 47
2025-04-13 Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-724.0 666 1455 0.94% 13.35% 85.71%-4.62 -3.7 4
2025-04-13 @ Esperanca W 7-024.0 1455 666 85.71% 13.35% 0.94%+4.62 +3.7 50
2025-04-13 La Massana W 6-024.6 1331 696 83.55% 14.97% 1.47%+4.09 +5.3 43
2025-04-13 @ UE Santa Coloma L 0-624.6 696 1331 1.47% 14.97% 83.55%-4.09 -5.3 5
2025-04-13 Ordino L 1-249.7 1052 1025 46.52% 23.47% 30.00%+0.37 -26.6 26
2025-04-13 @ Pas de la Casa W 2-149.7 1025 1052 30.00% 23.47% 46.52%-0.37 +26.6 29
2025-04-13 Penya Encarnada W 1-034.8 1223 1018 64.80% 22.15% 13.05%+1.46 +9.7 43
2025-04-13 @ FC Santa Coloma L 0-134.8 1018 1223 13.05% 22.15% 64.80%-1.46 -9.7 27
2025-04-26 FC Santa Coloma L 1-432.3 691 1233 3.35% 17.98% 78.67%-3.11 -5.7 5
2025-04-26 @ La Massana W 4-132.3 1233 691 78.67% 17.98% 3.35%+3.11 +5.7 46
2025-04-27 Esperanca W 4-133.9 1008 662 73.36% 20.21% 6.44%+2.32 +11.3 30
2025-04-27 @ Penya Encarnada L 1-433.9 662 1008 6.44% 20.21% 73.36%-2.32 -11.3 4
2025-04-27 FC Rangers L 0-235.5 1052 1238 19.80% 22.97% 57.23%-0.93 -26.7 29
2025-04-27 @ Ordino W 2-035.5 1238 1052 57.23% 22.97% 19.80%+0.93 +26.7 45
2025-04-27 Pas de la Casa W 3-028.5 1459 1025 77.13% 18.73% 4.14%+2.85 +8.4 53
2025-04-27 @ Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-328.5 1025 1459 4.14% 18.73% 77.13%-2.85 -8.4 26
2025-04-27 UE Santa Coloma W 2-039.1 1436 1337 55.15% 23.11% 21.74%+0.81 +28.9 50
2025-04-27 @ Atletic Escaldes L 0-239.1 1337 1436 21.74% 23.11% 55.15%-0.81 -28.9 43
2025-05-03 Penya Encarnada L 0-242.5 1017 1020 42.58% 23.54% 33.88%+0.19 -49.5 26
2025-05-03 @ Pas de la Casa W 2-042.5 1020 1017 33.88% 23.54% 42.58%-0.19 +49.5 33
2025-05-04 Atletic Escaldes W 3-154.5 1239 1465 16.38% 22.64% 60.98%-1.18 +59.2 49
2025-05-04 @ FC Santa Coloma L 1-354.5 1465 1239 60.98% 22.64% 16.38%+1.18 -59.2 50
2025-05-04 Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-428.3 1025 1467 5.57% 19.74% 74.69%-2.50 -15.0 29
2025-05-04 @ Ordino W 4-028.3 1467 1025 74.69% 19.74% 5.57%+2.50 +15.0 56
2025-05-04 La Massana W 1-042.8 651 685 38.11% 23.56% 38.32%+0.00 +24.2 7
2025-05-04 @ Esperanca L 0-142.8 685 651 38.32% 23.56% 38.11%+0.00 -24.2 5
2025-05-04 UE Santa Coloma L 0-143.1 1265 1308 36.90% 23.56% 39.54%-0.06 -23.5 45
2025-05-04 @ FC Rangers W 1-043.1 1308 1265 39.54% 23.56% 36.90%+0.06 +23.5 46
2025-05-11 Esperanca W 5-128.6 1406 675 85.91% 13.19% 0.90%+4.67 +1.7 53
2025-05-11 @ Atletic Escaldes L 1-528.6 675 1406 0.90% 13.19% 85.91%-4.67 -1.7 7
2025-05-11 FC Santa Coloma L 1-251.1 1331 1298 47.34% 23.45% 29.21%+0.41 -27.1 46
2025-05-11 @ UE Santa Coloma W 2-151.1 1298 1331 29.21% 23.45% 47.34%-0.41 +27.0 52
2025-05-11 Inter Club d Escaldes L 2-346.9 1241 1482 15.25% 22.49% 62.26%-1.27 -10.0 45
2025-05-11 @ FC Rangers W 3-246.9 1482 1241 62.26% 22.49% 15.25%+1.27 +10.0 59
2025-05-11 Ordino D 1-152.5 1069 1010 50.55% 23.34% 26.11%+0.57 -3.2 34
2025-05-11 @ Penya Encarnada D 1-152.5 1010 1069 26.11% 23.34% 50.55%-0.57 +3.2 30
2025-05-11 Pas de la Casa L 0-529.7 661 967 11.02% 21.75% 67.23%-1.67 -36.6 5
2025-05-11 @ La Massana W 5-029.7 967 661 67.23% 21.75% 11.02%+1.67 +36.6 29
2025-05-16 Penya Encarnada W 3-241.0 1492 1066 76.86% 18.86% 4.29%+2.81 +2.9 62
2025-05-16 @ Inter Club d Escaldes L 2-341.0 1066 1492 4.29% 18.86% 76.86%-2.81 -2.9 34
2025-05-18 Atletic Escaldes L 1-532.7 1004 1407 6.77% 20.37% 72.87%-2.26 -15.3 29
2025-05-18 @ Pas de la Casa W 5-132.7 1407 1004 72.87% 20.37% 6.77%+2.26 +15.3 56
2025-05-18 FC Rangers L 0-543.8 1325 1231 54.53% 23.15% 22.32%+0.78 -143.6 52
2025-05-18 @ FC Santa Coloma W 5-043.8 1231 1325 22.32% 23.15% 54.53%-0.78 +143.6 48
2025-05-18 La Massana W 5-131.8 1013 625 75.31% 19.50% 5.18%+2.58 +11.6 33
2025-05-18 @ Ordino L 1-531.8 625 1013 5.18% 19.50% 75.31%-2.58 -11.6 5
2025-05-18 UE Santa Coloma L 0-425.9 673 1304 2.13% 16.33% 81.54%-3.65 -5.4 7
2025-05-18 @ Esperanca W 4-025.9 1304 673 81.54% 16.33% 2.13%+3.65 +5.4 49

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2024-10-06 5.96% FC Rangers 992 1 @ UE Santa Coloma 1353 0
2 2025-03-30 8.98% Ordino 994 1 @ FC Santa Coloma 1274 0
3 2024-12-15 15.85% Pas de la Casa 1085 1 @ FC Rangers 1251 0
4 2025-05-04 16.38% @ FC Santa Coloma 1239 3 Atletic Escaldes 1465 1
5 2024-11-10 16.94% @ Pas de la Casa 1056 2 FC Santa Coloma 1275 0
6 2025-02-09 17.93% @ Ordino 1006 2 FC Rangers 1214 1
7 2024-09-15 19.28% @ FC Rangers 765 4 Esperanca 957 0
8 2024-09-29 19.75% @ FC Rangers 899 3 Ordino 1086 0
9 2024-11-10 20.36% @ FC Rangers 1214 3 Atletic Escaldes 1394 2
10 2024-11-23 21.59% @ Penya Encarnada 956 1 Pas de la Casa 1124 0
11 2025-05-18 22.32% FC Rangers 1231 5 @ FC Santa Coloma 1325 0
12 2025-01-26 22.46% @ Ordino 968 2 Pas de la Casa 1128 1
13 2024-11-02 22.64% FC Rangers 1044 6 @ Penya Encarnada 1134 0
14 2024-09-15 23.61% FC Santa Coloma 1289 1 @ UE Santa Coloma 1370 0
15 2025-02-23 29.17% @ FC Rangers 1186 1 FC Santa Coloma 1287 0
16 2025-05-11 29.21% FC Santa Coloma 1298 2 @ UE Santa Coloma 1331 1
17 2025-04-13 30.00% Ordino 1025 2 @ Pas de la Casa 1052 1
18 2025-01-19 30.74% Penya Encarnada 975 1 @ Ordino 996 0
19 2025-02-23 31.05% @ Penya Encarnada 1002 1 Pas de la Casa 1087 0
20 2025-05-03 33.88% Penya Encarnada 1020 2 @ Pas de la Casa 1017 0
21 2025-01-26 34.76% @ UE Santa Coloma 1345 1 Atletic Escaldes 1404 0
22 2024-11-24 36.93% @ Atletic Escaldes 1364 3 Inter Club d Escaldes 1406 1
23 2024-12-11 38.06% @ La Massana 711 3 Esperanca 746 0
24 2025-05-04 38.11% @ Esperanca 651 1 La Massana 685 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-11-02 169.58 FC Rangers 6 1044 22.64% @ Penya Encarnada 0 1134 54.19% 23.17%
2 2025-05-18 143.62 FC Rangers 5 1231 22.32% @ FC Santa Coloma 0 1325 54.53% 23.15%
3 2024-09-15 123.11 @ FC Rangers 4 765 19.28% Esperanca 0 957 57.79% 22.93%
4 2024-09-29 93.44 @ FC Rangers 3 899 19.75% Ordino 0 1086 57.28% 22.97%
5 2024-11-10 67.68 @ Pas de la Casa 2 1056 16.94% FC Santa Coloma 0 1275 60.36% 22.70%
6 2024-12-11 66.25 @ La Massana 3 711 38.06% Esperanca 0 746 38.38% 23.56%
7 2024-10-06 64.04 Pas de la Casa 4 960 50.44% @ La Massana 0 835 26.21% 23.35%
8 2025-05-04 59.20 @ FC Santa Coloma 3 1239 16.38% Atletic Escaldes 1 1465 60.98% 22.64%
9 2025-02-22 55.95 @ Inter Club d Escaldes 3 1390 45.62% UE Santa Coloma 0 1370 30.89% 23.49%
10 2025-05-03 49.51 Penya Encarnada 2 1020 33.88% @ Pas de la Casa 0 1017 42.58% 23.54%
11 2024-10-06 43.73 FC Rangers 1 992 5.96% @ UE Santa Coloma 0 1353 74.07% 19.97%
12 2025-03-30 41.42 Ordino 1 994 8.98% @ FC Santa Coloma 0 1274 69.82% 21.20%
13 2024-11-24 40.40 @ Atletic Escaldes 3 1364 36.93% Inter Club d Escaldes 1 1406 39.51% 23.56%
14 2024-09-29 36.99 @ Inter Club d Escaldes 2 1342 47.20% FC Santa Coloma 0 1310 29.35% 23.45%
15 2025-05-11 36.63 Pas de la Casa 5 967 67.23% @ La Massana 0 661 11.02% 21.75%
16 2024-12-15 36.61 Pas de la Casa 1 1085 15.85% @ FC Rangers 0 1251 61.58% 22.57%
17 2024-11-03 33.58 Ordino 3 988 60.50% @ La Massana 0 767 16.82% 22.69%
18 2025-02-09 33.24 @ Ordino 2 1006 17.93% FC Rangers 1 1214 59.27% 22.80%
19 2024-11-23 33.01 @ Penya Encarnada 1 956 21.59% Pas de la Casa 0 1124 55.30% 23.11%
20 2024-09-15 31.81 FC Santa Coloma 1 1289 23.61% @ UE Santa Coloma 0 1370 53.16% 23.23%
21 2025-01-26 30.63 @ Ordino 2 968 22.46% Pas de la Casa 1 1128 54.38% 23.16%
22 2024-11-10 30.19 @ FC Rangers 3 1214 20.36% Atletic Escaldes 2 1394 56.62% 23.02%
23 2025-04-27 28.88 @ Atletic Escaldes 2 1436 55.15% UE Santa Coloma 0 1337 21.74% 23.11%
24 2025-02-23 28.72 @ FC Rangers 1 1186 29.17% FC Santa Coloma 0 1287 47.38% 23.45%
25 2025-01-19 27.88 Penya Encarnada 1 975 30.74% @ Ordino 0 996 45.77% 23.49%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-01-26 58.6 @ FC Santa Coloma 2 1260 26.55% Inter Club d Escaldes 2 1383 50.09% 23.36%
2 2024-10-26 58.5 @ Ordino 2 980 6.02% Atletic Escaldes 2 1406 73.98% 20.00%
3 2025-02-01 58.5 @ UE Santa Coloma 2 1371 74.59% Ordino 2 999 5.63% 19.78%
4 2024-10-27 58.4 @ FC Rangers 2 1037 7.75% Inter Club d Escaldes 2 1413 71.47% 20.78%
5 2024-09-28 58.3 @ Pas de la Casa 2 953 6.62% UE Santa Coloma 2 1361 73.09% 20.30%
6 2025-01-19 58.3 @ Pas de la Casa 2 1122 12.10% Atletic Escaldes 2 1409 65.93% 21.98%
7 2024-11-10 58.2 @ FC Rangers 3 1214 20.36% Atletic Escaldes 2 1394 56.62% 23.02%
8 2025-02-23 58.1 @ Esperanca 2 647 7.60% Ordino 2 1027 71.67% 20.72%
9 2025-04-06 58.0 @ Penya Encarnada 2 1012 9.99% UE Santa Coloma 2 1338 68.52% 21.49%
10 2025-03-08 54.6 @ Inter Club d Escaldes 0 1451 45.27% Atletic Escaldes 0 1433 31.23% 23.50%
11 2025-05-04 54.5 @ FC Santa Coloma 3 1239 16.38% Atletic Escaldes 1 1465 60.98% 22.64%
12 2025-03-09 54.4 @ Esperanca 1 650 2.60% FC Rangers 1 1242 80.34% 17.06%
13 2025-04-12 54.2 @ FC Rangers 1 1232 17.76% Atletic Escaldes 1 1442 59.46% 22.79%
14 2024-09-21 53.9 @ FC Santa Coloma 1 1321 77.12% FC Rangers 1 888 4.15% 18.74%
15 2025-02-16 53.8 @ FC Santa Coloma 1 1285 30.84% UE Santa Coloma 1 1372 45.67% 23.49%
16 2025-04-06 53.6 @ Ordino 1 1036 74.92% Esperanca 1 656 5.42% 19.66%
17 2024-11-03 53.5 @ Pas de la Casa 1 1047 8.44% Inter Club d Escaldes 1 1406 70.54% 21.02%
18 2025-02-09 53.5 @ Penya Encarnada 1 985 6.93% Inter Club d Escaldes 1 1384 72.63% 20.44%
19 2025-01-19 53.4 @ UE Santa Coloma 1 1351 58.96% FC Rangers 1 1214 18.21% 22.83%
20 2025-02-09 53.3 @ Ordino 2 1006 17.93% FC Rangers 1 1214 59.27% 22.80%
21 2024-10-06 52.6 FC Rangers 1 992 5.96% @ UE Santa Coloma 0 1353 74.07% 19.97%
22 2025-05-11 52.5 @ Penya Encarnada 1 1069 50.55% Ordino 1 1010 26.11% 23.34%
23 2024-10-19 52.4 @ La Massana 1 771 38.42% Esperanca 1 803 38.02% 23.56%
24 2025-03-29 52.1 @ UE Santa Coloma 0 1334 27.51% Inter Club d Escaldes 0 1449 49.10% 23.40%
25 2025-01-26 51.9 @ Ordino 2 968 22.46% Pas de la Casa 1 1128 54.38% 23.16%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-04-13 24.0 Inter Club d Escaldes 7 1455 85.71% @ Esperanca 0 666 0.94% 13.35%
2 2025-02-09 24.5 Atletic Escaldes 5 1399 84.56% @ Esperanca 0 657 1.20% 14.23%
3 2025-03-02 24.5 Inter Club d Escaldes 6 1446 84.05% @ La Massana 0 725 1.34% 14.61%
4 2025-04-13 24.6 @ UE Santa Coloma 6 1331 83.55% La Massana 0 696 1.47% 14.97%
5 2025-02-23 24.8 Atletic Escaldes 6 1414 83.06% @ La Massana 0 731 1.62% 15.32%
6 2024-12-15 25.0 @ UE Santa Coloma 4 1348 84.41% Esperanca 0 680 1.24% 14.34%
7 2025-01-18 25.0 @ Inter Club d Escaldes 9 1374 82.85% La Massana 0 765 1.69% 15.47%
8 2025-04-06 25.0 Atletic Escaldes 4 1439 84.52% @ La Massana 0 699 1.21% 14.27%
9 2025-02-02 25.1 @ Inter Club d Escaldes 9 1380 85.65% Esperanca 1 661 0.95% 13.40%
10 2024-11-10 25.3 @ UE Santa Coloma 5 1312 81.99% La Massana 0 733 1.97% 16.04%
11 2025-02-09 25.3 UE Santa Coloma 6 1364 81.19% @ La Massana 0 745 2.26% 16.55%
12 2025-03-02 25.5 @ FC Santa Coloma 4 1258 82.70% Esperanca 0 654 1.73% 15.57%
13 2025-03-30 25.8 @ FC Rangers 5 1230 80.28% La Massana 0 707 2.63% 17.10%
14 2025-05-18 25.9 UE Santa Coloma 4 1304 81.54% @ Esperanca 0 673 2.13% 16.33%
15 2024-10-05 26.1 Atletic Escaldes 5 1374 79.32% @ Esperanca 0 813 3.04% 17.64%
16 2024-11-24 26.1 UE Santa Coloma 5 1318 79.19% @ Esperanca 0 761 3.10% 17.71%
17 2025-01-25 26.1 FC Rangers 7 1220 78.75% @ Esperanca 0 676 3.31% 17.94%
18 2024-11-24 27.0 FC Rangers 4 1244 77.74% @ La Massana 0 727 3.82% 18.45%
19 2024-12-14 27.6 FC Santa Coloma 4 1246 75.84% @ La Massana 0 778 4.87% 19.29%
20 2025-03-02 27.9 @ Atletic Escaldes 4 1420 75.79% Ordino 0 1020 4.90% 19.31%
21 2024-09-22 28.1 Inter Club d Escaldes 3 1334 77.11% @ Esperanca 0 834 4.15% 18.74%
22 2025-05-04 28.3 Inter Club d Escaldes 4 1467 74.69% @ Ordino 0 1025 5.57% 19.74%
23 2025-02-02 28.5 @ Pas de la Casa 4 1097 72.74% La Massana 0 763 6.85% 20.40%
24 2025-04-27 28.5 @ Inter Club d Escaldes 3 1459 77.13% Pas de la Casa 0 1025 4.14% 18.73%
25 2025-05-11 28.6 @ Atletic Escaldes 5 1406 85.91% Esperanca 1 675 0.90% 13.19%