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2021 League of Ireland First Division Season

135 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Galway United

8.66 points above expected

51 points · 42.34 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Bray Wanderers

8.74 points below expected

37 points · 45.74 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Shelbourne 27 16 9 2 57 49 23 +26 51.13 +5.87
2 Galway United 27 15 6 6 51 39 25 +14 42.34 +8.66
3 UC Dublin 27 13 7 7 46 55 38 +17 42.48 +3.52
4 Treaty United 27 11 9 7 42 36 27 +9 45.52 -3.52
5 Bray Wanderers 27 9 10 8 37 36 31 +5 45.74 -8.74
6 Cork City 27 8 9 10 33 37 28 +9 38.06 -5.06
7 Athlone Town 27 9 6 12 33 32 43 -11 26.68 +6.32
8 Cobh Ramblers 27 8 4 15 28 25 46 -21 29.82 -1.82
9 Cabinteely 27 8 1 18 25 26 47 -21 30.57 -5.57
10 Wexford 27 6 3 18 21 29 56 -27 20.52 +0.48

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Galway United 51 42.34 +8.66
2 Athlone Town 33 26.68 +6.32
3 Shelbourne 57 51.13 +5.87
4 UC Dublin 46 42.48 +3.52
5 Wexford 21 20.52 +0.48

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Bray Wanderers 37 45.74 -8.74
2 Cabinteely 25 30.57 -5.57
3 Cork City 33 38.06 -5.06
4 Treaty United 42 45.52 -3.52
5 Cobh Ramblers 28 29.82 -1.82

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Athlone Town 4 Apr 2 – Apr 23 1 in 307
2 Shelbourne 8 May 7 – Jul 2 1 in 123
3 Wexford 3 Sep 10 – Oct 1 1 in 79
4 Galway United 5 Jun 11 – Jul 9 1 in 70
5 Cobh Ramblers 3 Oct 8 – Oct 29 1 in 64

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wexford 9 Mar 26 – May 21 1 in 123
2 Bray Wanderers 3 Oct 15 – Oct 29 1 in 95
3 Cabinteely 6 Jun 18 – Jul 30 1 in 91
4 Cork City 4 Apr 2 – Apr 23 1 in 88
5 Cobh Ramblers 6 Aug 13 – Oct 1 1 in 62

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shelbourne 18 Mar 26 – Aug 6 1 in 166
2 Athlone Town 5 Mar 26 – Apr 23 1 in 50
3 Bray Wanderers 9 Jun 18 – Aug 20 1 in 19
4 Cork City 7 Jul 9 – Sep 3 1 in 16
5 Galway United 7 Jun 11 – Jul 30 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bray Wanderers 6 Mar 28 – Apr 30 1 in 39
2 Shelbourne 4 Jul 30 – Aug 20 1 in 20
3 Treaty United 5 Sep 10 – Oct 22 1 in 18
4 Cabinteely 7 Aug 13 – Oct 8 1 in 15
5 Cobh Ramblers 8 Jul 30 – Oct 1 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Shelbourne 1227 57 -11 8 10.2 -2.2
Galway United 1166 51 +5 12 8.8 +3.2
UC Dublin 1155 46 -10 7 7.3 -0.3
Treaty United 1171 42 -5 5 8.1 -3.1
Bray Wanderers 1149 37 -25 4 9.1 -5.1
Cork City 1136 33 +25 8 6.5 +1.5
Athlone Town 972 33 -11 5 5.7 -0.7
Cobh Ramblers 1008 28 +23 9 4.7 +4.3
Cabinteely 990 25 -16 3 5.2 -2.2
Wexford 942 21 +24 9 3.6 +5.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AT BW CAB CR CC GU SHE TU UD WEX
Athlone Town —
2-1-0
2.13
2-0-1
3.93
1-1-1
3.89
1-0-2
2.68
2-0-1
2.55
0-1-2
1.85
0-1-2
2.13
0-1-2
2.41
1-1-1
5.05
Bray Wanderers
0-1-2
6.23
 —
2-0-1
5.96
2-1-0
5.61
0-3-0
5.04
1-1-1
4.04
0-2-1
3.61
1-1-1
4.26
1-1-1
4.17
2-0-1
6.63
Cabinteely
1-0-2
4.30
1-0-2
2.38
 —
1-0-2
4.30
2-1-0
3.21
0-0-3
3.18
0-0-3
2.27
2-0-1
2.45
0-0-3
2.71
1-0-2
5.30
Cobh Ramblers
1-1-1
4.34
0-1-2
2.68
2-0-1
3.93
 —
1-0-2
3.12
0-0-3
2.84
1-1-1
2.14
0-1-2
2.45
1-0-2
3.03
2-0-1
5.16
Cork City
2-0-1
5.62
0-3-0
3.21
0-1-2
5.04
2-0-1
5.14
 —
2-1-0
3.62
0-0-3
3.16
0-1-2
3.14
0-2-1
3.53
2-1-0
6.18
Galway United
1-0-2
5.75
1-1-1
4.19
3-0-0
5.08
3-0-0
5.44
0-1-2
4.61
 —
1-1-1
3.50
1-2-0
3.75
2-1-0
4.09
3-0-0
6.67
Shelbourne
2-1-0
6.57
1-2-0
4.62
3-0-0
6.08
1-1-1
6.23
3-0-0
5.10
1-1-1
4.74
 —
1-2-0
4.74
1-2-0
5.06
3-0-0
6.94
Treaty United
2-1-0
6.24
1-1-1
3.96
1-0-2
5.87
2-1-0
5.87
2-1-0
5.12
0-2-1
4.48
0-2-1
3.50
 —
1-0-2
4.31
2-1-0
6.71
UC Dublin
2-1-0
5.92
1-1-1
4.05
3-0-0
5.58
2-0-1
5.24
1-2-0
4.71
0-1-2
4.13
0-2-1
3.19
2-0-1
3.92
 —
2-0-1
6.32
Wexford
1-1-1
3.20
1-0-2
1.80
2-0-1
2.97
1-0-2
3.10
0-1-2
2.17
0-0-3
1.76
0-0-3
1.55
0-1-2
1.73
1-0-2
2.06
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.66 +9.9
Allowed 0.70 -8.7
Differential 0.86 +5.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.63%8.89%4.81%2.22%2.59%1.11%29.26%
18.89%8.15%10.00%3.70%1.85%—32.59%
24.81%10.00%4.44%1.85%0.37%0.37%21.85%
32.22%3.70%1.85%0.74%0.37%—8.89%
42.59%1.85%0.37%0.37%0.74%—5.93%
5+1.11%—0.37%———1.48%
Total29.26%32.59%21.85%8.89%5.93%1.48%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.35 +0.00
SD 1.26 1.26 1.87
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 135

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%7.41%7.41%——3.70%25.93%
114.81%7.41%11.11%7.41%3.70%—44.44%
2—11.11%3.70%3.70%——18.52%
33.70%3.70%————7.41%
4————3.70%—3.70%
5+———————
Total25.93%29.63%22.22%11.11%7.41%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.59 -0.41
SD 1.04 1.50 1.78
CV 0.88 0.94 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%7.41%3.70%———33.33%
17.41%7.41%7.41%—3.70%—25.93%
2—11.11%3.70%—3.70%—18.52%
37.41%3.70%—3.70%3.70%—18.52%
43.70%—————3.70%
5+———————
Total40.74%29.63%14.81%3.70%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.15 +0.19
SD 1.24 1.32 1.57
CV 0.93 1.15 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—18.52%11.11%11.11%——40.74%
17.41%—14.81%3.70%3.70%—29.63%
23.70%14.81%3.70%——3.70%25.93%
3———————
4—3.70%————3.70%
5+———————
Total11.11%37.04%29.63%14.81%3.70%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.74 -0.78
SD 1.02 1.20 1.67
CV 1.06 0.69 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%7.41%11.11%3.70%11.11%—37.04%
17.41%7.41%18.52%3.70%——37.04%
23.70%14.81%3.70%———22.22%
3——3.70%———3.70%
4———————
5+———————
Total14.81%29.63%37.04%7.41%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.70 -0.78
SD 0.87 1.17 1.69
CV 0.94 0.69 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.52%14.81%7.41%———40.74%
1—7.41%7.41%3.70%——18.52%
23.70%3.70%7.41%3.70%——18.52%
33.70%3.70%3.70%———11.11%
47.41%—————7.41%
5+3.70%—————3.70%
Total37.04%29.63%25.93%7.41%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.04 +0.33
SD 1.50 0.98 1.88
CV 1.09 0.94 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%3.70%—3.70%3.70%—22.22%
122.22%7.41%3.70%3.70%——37.04%
27.41%7.41%3.70%3.70%——22.22%
33.70%7.41%————11.11%
43.70%3.70%————7.41%
5+———————
Total48.15%29.63%7.41%11.11%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 0.93 +0.52
SD 1.19 1.17 1.78
CV 0.82 1.27 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%—3.70%———11.11%
118.52%14.81%—3.70%——37.04%
27.41%7.41%7.41%———22.22%
3—14.81%—3.70%——18.52%
47.41%3.70%————11.11%
5+———————
Total40.74%40.74%11.11%7.41%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 0.85 +0.96
SD 1.21 0.91 1.45
CV 0.67 1.07 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%————22.22%
17.41%18.52%7.41%—3.70%—37.04%
211.11%11.11%3.70%3.70%——29.63%
33.70%—3.70%———7.41%
4—3.70%————3.70%
5+———————
Total33.33%44.44%14.81%3.70%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.00 +0.33
SD 1.04 1.00 1.36
CV 0.78 1.00 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%—3.70%—3.70%—18.52%
13.70%7.41%11.11%3.70%3.70%—29.63%
23.70%11.11%7.41%———22.22%
3——7.41%———7.41%
43.70%3.70%—3.70%——11.11%
5+7.41%—3.70%———11.11%
Total29.63%22.22%33.33%7.41%7.41%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.04 1.41 +0.63
SD 1.79 1.22 2.34
CV 0.88 0.86 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%18.52%—3.70%7.41%7.41%40.74%
1—3.70%18.52%7.41%——29.63%
27.41%7.41%—3.70%——18.52%
3—3.70%————3.70%
4——3.70%—3.70%—7.41%
5+———————
Total11.11%33.33%22.22%14.81%11.11%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 2.07 -1.00
SD 1.21 1.54 2.08
CV 1.12 0.74 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 27

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Shelbourne 1227 57 51.13 +5.87 83.0% 29 38 47 51 55 61 69
UC Dublin 1187 46 42.48 +3.52 70.0% 24 31 39 42 47 51 55
Galway United 1159 51 42.34 +8.66 94.0% 28 33 38 42 47 52 55
Treaty United 1159 42 45.52 -3.52 30.0% 23 35 41 45 50 56 63
Bray Wanderers 1144 37 45.74 -8.74 9.0% 28 35 41 46 50 57 65
Cork City 1136 33 38.06 -5.06 27.0% 25 29 33 38 42 48 57
Cobh Ramblers 1008 28 29.82 -1.82 41.0% 14 20 25 30 33 41 45
Cabinteely 990 25 30.57 -5.57 22.0% 18 21 26 30 35 40 45
Athlone Town 972 33 26.68 +6.32 90.0% 14 17 23 26 31 35 46
Wexford 942 21 20.52 +0.48 58.0% 7 11 17 20 24 29 39

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+8.15%
No Edge
42.22%23.70%34.07%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 28.37 Elo pts.
199 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.18 goals
Neutral
-2+0.14+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.0
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
52%
Shelbourne, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.22/gm
Comfortable
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.05 * Some Luck: 5.05 to 7.58 * Lucky: 7.58 to 10.1 * Wild Swing: 10.1 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.99 * Close: 0.99 to 1.49 * Off: 1.49 to 1.98 * Way Off: 1.98 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.57 points
Some Luck
06.3116
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.20
Close
01.242.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
94.00%
Galway United
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
9.00%
Bray Wanderers
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Even
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 102.00
1.68
Moderate Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
73%
Clear Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
84%
Even
50%87%100%
Close Games
Expected
66%
Very Frequent
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Occasional
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Slight Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.80
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.71
Near-Lock
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Shaky
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.87
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.89
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.061
Well Within Noise
00.1450.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Shelbourne52.00%27.00%13.00%2.00%1.00%4.00%1.00%———
Galway United3.00%18.00%16.00%18.00%24.00%15.00%4.00%2.00%——
UC Dublin7.00%12.00%21.00%23.00%14.00%15.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%—
Treaty United16.00%24.00%18.00%19.00%13.00%5.00%3.00%——2.00%
Bray Wanderers17.00%15.00%20.00%19.00%16.00%9.00%3.00%1.00%——
Cork City5.00%3.00%7.00%16.00%20.00%19.00%21.00%8.00%1.00%—
Athlone Town——1.00%——8.00%17.00%29.00%26.00%19.00%
Cobh Ramblers—1.00%2.00%1.00%4.00%11.00%24.00%25.00%25.00%7.00%
Cabinteely——2.00%2.00%8.00%13.00%21.00%27.00%21.00%6.00%
Wexford—————1.00%1.00%7.00%25.00%66.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Lost promotion playoff Same level
Shelbourne 52.00% 43.00% 5.00%
Cork City 5.00% 46.00% 49.00%
Athlone Town — 1.00% 99.00%
Bray Wanderers — 100% —
Cabinteely — 12.00% 88.00%
Cobh Ramblers — 8.00% 92.00%
Galway United — 100% —
Treaty United — 100% —
UC Dublin — 100% —
Wexford — — 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2021-03-26 Athlone Town D 2-259.7 1123 968 61.22% 21.62% 17.16%+0.92 -1.1 1
2021-03-26 @ UC Dublin D 2-259.7 968 1123 17.16% 21.62% 61.22%-0.92 +1.1 1
2021-03-26 Cabinteely L 1-244.8 961 1047 29.99% 25.54% 44.47%-0.29 -4.8 0
2021-03-26 @ Wexford W 2-144.8 1047 961 44.47% 25.54% 29.99%+0.29 +4.8 3
2021-03-26 Cobh Ramblers W 2-143.5 1126 1072 49.08% 24.90% 26.02%+0.41 +4.3 3
2021-03-26 @ Cork City L 1-243.5 1072 1126 26.02% 24.90% 49.08%-0.41 -4.3 0
2021-03-26 Shelbourne D 0-048.2 1120 1165 35.36% 25.90% 38.74%-0.08 +0.1 1
2021-03-26 @ Galway United D 0-048.2 1165 1120 38.74% 25.90% 35.36%+0.08 -0.1 1
2021-03-28 Treaty United D 0-048.2 1164 1172 40.58% 25.84% 33.58%+0.10 -0.2 1
2021-03-28 @ Bray Wanderers D 0-048.2 1172 1164 33.58% 25.84% 40.58%-0.10 +0.2 1
2021-04-02 Bray Wanderers D 3-362.4 1164 1164 41.83% 25.77% 32.41%+0.15 -0.2 2
2021-04-02 @ Shelbourne D 3-362.4 1164 1164 32.41% 25.77% 41.83%-0.15 +0.2 2
2021-04-02 Cork City W 1-043.4 1052 1130 30.93% 25.64% 43.42%-0.25 +6.8 6
2021-04-02 @ Cabinteely L 0-143.4 1130 1052 43.42% 25.64% 30.93%+0.25 -6.8 3
2021-04-02 Galway United W 3-148.2 970 1120 22.98% 24.13% 52.89%-0.61 +13.0 4
2021-04-02 @ Athlone Town L 1-348.2 1120 970 52.89% 24.13% 22.98%+0.61 -13.0 1
2021-04-02 Wexford W 1-032.3 1173 956 67.73% 18.94% 13.33%+1.23 +2.3 4
2021-04-02 @ Treaty United L 0-132.3 956 1173 13.33% 18.94% 67.73%-1.23 -2.3 0
2021-04-03 UC Dublin L 0-435.0 1067 1122 34.03% 25.86% 40.11%-0.13 -20.2 0
2021-04-03 @ Cobh Ramblers W 4-035.0 1122 1067 40.11% 25.86% 34.03%+0.13 +20.2 4
2021-04-09 Athlone Town L 0-147.2 1123 983 59.64% 22.18% 18.18%+0.85 -8.8 3
2021-04-09 @ Cork City W 1-047.2 983 1123 18.18% 22.18% 59.64%-0.85 +8.8 7
2021-04-09 Bray Wanderers D 0-048.2 1142 1164 38.64% 25.91% 35.46%+0.03 -0.1 5
2021-04-09 @ UC Dublin D 0-048.2 1164 1142 35.46% 25.91% 38.64%-0.03 +0.1 3
2021-04-09 Cobh Ramblers D 1-153.7 1175 1047 58.18% 22.66% 19.16%+0.79 -1.3 5
2021-04-09 @ Treaty United D 1-153.7 1047 1175 19.16% 22.66% 58.18%-0.79 +1.4 1
2021-04-09 Galway United L 0-335.7 1058 1107 34.90% 25.89% 39.21%-0.10 -15.7 6
2021-04-09 @ Cabinteely W 3-035.7 1107 1058 39.21% 25.89% 34.90%+0.10 +15.7 4
2021-04-09 Wexford W 1-032.5 1164 954 67.12% 19.21% 13.67%+1.20 +2.4 5
2021-04-09 @ Shelbourne L 0-132.5 954 1164 13.67% 19.21% 67.12%-1.20 -2.4 0
2021-04-16 Athlone Town L 1-253.4 1164 991 63.20% 20.86% 15.93%+1.01 -8.7 3
2021-04-16 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-153.4 991 1164 15.93% 20.86% 63.20%-1.01 +8.7 10
2021-04-16 Cabinteely W 4-136.0 1142 1043 54.79% 23.65% 21.56%+0.64 +8.8 8
2021-04-16 @ UC Dublin L 1-436.0 1043 1142 21.56% 23.65% 54.79%-0.64 -8.8 6
2021-04-16 Cobh Ramblers L 1-244.3 952 1048 28.65% 25.37% 45.99%-0.35 -4.6 0
2021-04-16 @ Wexford W 2-144.3 1048 952 45.99% 25.37% 28.65%+0.35 +4.6 4
2021-04-16 Shelbourne L 1-343.2 1114 1167 34.35% 25.87% 39.78%-0.12 -9.3 3
2021-04-16 @ Cork City W 3-143.2 1167 1114 39.78% 25.87% 34.35%+0.12 +9.3 8
2021-04-16 Treaty United D 1-152.8 1122 1174 34.50% 25.88% 39.62%-0.11 +0.2 5
2021-04-16 @ Galway United D 1-152.8 1174 1122 39.62% 25.88% 34.50%+0.11 -0.2 6
2021-04-23 Cork City W 2-142.9 1173 1105 50.94% 24.55% 24.51%+0.49 +4.0 9
2021-04-23 @ Treaty United L 1-242.9 1105 1173 24.51% 24.55% 50.94%-0.49 -4.1 3
2021-04-23 Shelbourne L 1-339.5 1034 1176 23.77% 24.36% 51.88%-0.57 -6.8 6
2021-04-23 @ Cabinteely W 3-139.5 1176 1034 51.88% 24.36% 23.77%+0.57 +6.8 11
2021-04-23 UC Dublin D 2-258.5 1123 1151 37.74% 25.92% 36.34%+0.00 -0.0 6
2021-04-23 @ Galway United D 2-258.5 1151 1123 36.34% 25.92% 37.74%+0.00 +0.0 9
2021-04-23 Wexford W 3-032.7 1000 947 48.97% 24.92% 26.11%+0.41 +12.5 13
2021-04-23 @ Athlone Town L 0-332.7 947 1000 26.11% 24.92% 48.97%-0.41 -12.4 0
2021-04-24 Bray Wanderers D 1-152.9 1053 1155 28.02% 25.27% 46.71%-0.37 +0.6 5
2021-04-24 @ Cobh Ramblers D 1-152.9 1155 1053 46.71% 25.27% 28.02%+0.37 -0.6 4
2021-04-30 Cabinteely L 1-247.8 1012 1027 39.70% 25.87% 34.43%+0.07 -6.0 13
2021-04-30 @ Athlone Town W 2-147.8 1027 1012 34.43% 25.87% 39.70%-0.07 +6.0 9
2021-04-30 Cork City D 0-048.4 1155 1101 49.06% 24.91% 26.04%+0.41 -0.8 5
2021-04-30 @ Bray Wanderers D 0-048.4 1101 1155 26.04% 24.91% 49.06%-0.41 +0.8 4
2021-04-30 Treaty United D 2-258.6 1183 1177 42.47% 25.72% 31.80%+0.17 -0.3 12
2021-04-30 @ Shelbourne D 2-258.6 1177 1183 31.80% 25.72% 42.47%-0.17 +0.3 10
2021-04-30 UC Dublin L 0-630.1 934 1151 17.48% 21.79% 60.73%-0.95 -16.2 0
2021-04-30 @ Wexford W 6-030.1 1151 934 60.73% 21.79% 17.48%+0.95 +16.2 12
2021-05-01 Galway United L 0-434.4 1054 1123 32.14% 25.75% 42.12%-0.20 -19.3 5
2021-05-01 @ Cobh Ramblers W 4-034.4 1123 1054 42.12% 25.75% 32.14%+0.20 +19.3 9
2021-05-07 Athlone Town W 1-033.6 1182 1007 63.54% 20.73% 15.73%+1.03 +2.8 15
2021-05-07 @ Shelbourne L 0-133.6 1007 1182 15.73% 20.73% 63.54%-1.03 -2.8 13
2021-05-07 Bray Wanderers L 1-248.0 1142 1154 40.03% 25.86% 34.10%+0.08 -6.0 9
2021-05-07 @ Galway United W 2-148.0 1154 1142 34.10% 25.86% 40.03%-0.08 +6.0 8
2021-05-07 Cobh Ramblers W 1-040.1 1033 1034 41.55% 25.78% 32.67%+0.14 +5.5 12
2021-05-07 @ Cabinteely L 0-140.1 1034 1033 32.67% 25.78% 41.55%-0.14 -5.5 5
2021-05-07 Treaty United W 3-251.2 1167 1178 40.24% 25.85% 33.91%+0.09 +5.0 15
2021-05-07 @ UC Dublin L 2-351.2 1178 1167 33.91% 25.85% 40.24%-0.09 -5.0 10
2021-05-07 Wexford W 5-028.2 1102 918 64.37% 20.39% 15.24%+1.07 +11.8 7
2021-05-07 @ Cork City L 0-528.2 918 1102 15.24% 20.39% 64.37%-1.07 -11.8 0
2021-05-14 Athlone Town W 1-033.8 1173 1004 62.79% 21.02% 16.18%+0.99 +2.9 13
2021-05-14 @ Treaty United L 0-133.8 1004 1173 16.18% 21.02% 62.79%-0.99 -2.9 13
2021-05-14 Cabinteely W 3-030.2 1160 1038 57.45% 22.89% 19.66%+0.75 +9.6 11
2021-05-14 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-330.2 1038 1160 19.66% 22.89% 57.45%-0.75 -9.6 12
2021-05-14 Cork City D 0-048.5 1172 1114 49.65% 24.80% 25.55%+0.44 -0.9 16
2021-05-14 @ UC Dublin D 0-048.5 1114 1172 25.55% 24.80% 49.65%-0.44 +0.9 8
2021-05-14 Wexford W 1-031.9 1136 906 69.02% 18.34% 12.64%+1.30 +2.2 12
2021-05-14 @ Galway United L 0-131.9 906 1136 12.64% 18.34% 69.02%-1.30 -2.2 0
2021-05-15 Shelbourne L 1-242.1 1029 1185 22.40% 23.94% 53.66%-0.64 -3.7 5
2021-05-15 @ Cobh Ramblers W 2-142.1 1185 1029 53.66% 23.94% 22.40%+0.64 +3.7 18
2021-05-21 Bray Wanderers L 0-132.8 904 1170 14.30% 19.71% 65.99%-1.19 -2.5 0
2021-05-21 @ Wexford W 1-032.8 1170 904 65.99% 19.71% 14.30%+1.19 +2.5 14
2021-05-21 Cobh Ramblers W 2-146.7 1001 1025 38.30% 25.91% 35.79%+0.02 +5.5 16
2021-05-21 @ Athlone Town L 1-246.7 1025 1001 35.79% 25.91% 38.30%-0.02 -5.5 5
2021-05-21 Galway United D 1-152.7 1115 1138 38.42% 25.91% 35.67%+0.02 -0.1 9
2021-05-21 @ Cork City D 1-152.7 1138 1115 35.67% 25.91% 38.42%-0.02 +0.1 13
2021-05-21 Treaty United W 2-151.2 1029 1176 23.31% 24.22% 52.47%-0.60 +7.4 15
2021-05-21 @ Cabinteely L 1-251.2 1176 1029 52.47% 24.22% 23.31%+0.60 -7.5 13
2021-05-21 UC Dublin W 3-141.9 1189 1171 44.21% 25.57% 30.22%+0.23 +8.4 21
2021-05-21 @ Shelbourne L 1-341.9 1171 1189 30.22% 25.57% 44.21%-0.23 -8.4 16
2021-05-28 Bray Wanderers W 2-037.1 1168 1172 41.19% 25.81% 33.00%+0.12 +10.4 16
2021-05-28 @ Treaty United L 0-237.1 1172 1168 33.00% 25.81% 41.19%-0.12 -10.4 14
2021-05-28 Cork City W 1-044.0 1020 1114 28.91% 25.41% 45.69%-0.33 +7.1 8
2021-05-28 @ Cobh Ramblers L 0-144.0 1114 1020 45.69% 25.41% 28.91%+0.33 -7.1 9
2021-05-28 Galway United W 4-032.2 1197 1138 49.76% 24.78% 25.46%+0.44 +15.9 24
2021-05-28 @ Shelbourne L 0-432.2 1138 1197 25.46% 24.78% 49.76%-0.44 -15.9 13
2021-05-28 UC Dublin L 2-347.1 1006 1163 22.39% 23.94% 53.68%-0.64 -3.5 16
2021-05-28 @ Athlone Town W 3-247.1 1163 1006 53.68% 23.94% 22.39%+0.64 +3.5 19
2021-05-28 Wexford L 0-243.7 1036 902 58.97% 22.40% 18.63%+0.82 -16.4 15
2021-05-28 @ Cabinteely W 2-043.7 902 1036 18.63% 22.40% 58.97%-0.82 +16.4 3
2021-06-11 Athlone Town W 2-141.0 1122 1003 57.19% 22.97% 19.84%+0.74 +3.3 16
2021-06-11 @ Galway United L 1-241.0 1003 1122 19.84% 22.97% 57.19%-0.74 -3.3 16
2021-06-11 Cabinteely L 0-242.6 1107 1020 53.34% 24.02% 22.64%+0.58 -15.1 9
2021-06-11 @ Cork City W 2-042.6 1020 1107 22.64% 24.02% 53.34%-0.58 +15.1 18
2021-06-11 Cobh Ramblers L 1-252.7 1166 1027 59.53% 22.21% 18.25%+0.85 -8.3 19
2021-06-11 @ UC Dublin W 2-152.7 1027 1166 18.25% 22.21% 59.53%-0.85 +8.3 11
2021-06-11 Shelbourne L 1-440.7 1162 1213 34.45% 25.88% 39.68%-0.12 -13.1 14
2021-06-11 @ Bray Wanderers W 4-140.7 1213 1162 39.68% 25.88% 34.45%+0.12 +13.1 27
2021-06-11 Treaty United L 1-238.5 918 1178 14.60% 19.93% 65.47%-1.17 -2.4 3
2021-06-11 @ Wexford W 2-138.5 1178 918 65.47% 19.93% 14.60%+1.17 +2.4 19
2021-06-18 Cabinteely W 1-036.5 1126 1035 53.71% 23.93% 22.36%+0.60 +4.0 19
2021-06-18 @ Galway United L 0-136.5 1035 1126 22.36% 23.93% 53.71%-0.60 -4.0 18
2021-06-18 Cork City L 0-235.7 1000 1092 29.15% 25.44% 45.41%-0.32 -9.4 16
2021-06-18 @ Athlone Town W 2-035.7 1092 1000 45.41% 25.44% 29.15%+0.32 +9.4 12
2021-06-18 Shelbourne L 0-131.5 916 1226 11.89% 17.65% 70.46%-1.42 -2.0 3
2021-06-18 @ Wexford W 1-031.5 1226 916 70.46% 17.65% 11.89%+1.42 +2.0 30
2021-06-18 UC Dublin W 4-035.0 1149 1158 40.40% 25.85% 33.75%+0.09 +20.0 17
2021-06-18 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-435.0 1158 1149 33.75% 25.85% 40.40%-0.09 -20.0 19
2021-06-19 Treaty United L 0-233.7 1035 1181 23.39% 24.25% 52.37%-0.59 -7.8 11
2021-06-19 @ Cobh Ramblers W 2-033.7 1181 1035 52.37% 24.25% 23.39%+0.59 +7.8 22
2021-06-25 Bray Wanderers D 0-048.9 990 1169 20.43% 23.22% 56.35%-0.75 +1.4 17
2021-06-25 @ Athlone Town D 0-048.9 1169 990 56.35% 23.22% 20.43%+0.75 -1.4 18
2021-06-25 Cork City W 2-140.8 1228 1102 58.05% 22.70% 19.25%+0.78 +3.2 33
2021-06-25 @ Shelbourne L 1-240.8 1102 1228 19.25% 22.70% 58.05%-0.78 -3.2 12
2021-06-25 Galway United L 0-145.1 1189 1129 49.76% 24.78% 25.46%+0.44 -7.6 22
2021-06-25 @ Treaty United W 1-045.1 1129 1189 25.46% 24.78% 49.76%-0.44 +7.6 22
2021-06-25 UC Dublin L 1-244.0 1031 1138 27.49% 25.18% 47.33%-0.40 -4.5 18
2021-06-25 @ Cabinteely W 2-144.0 1138 1031 47.33% 25.18% 27.49%+0.40 +4.5 22
2021-06-26 Wexford W 3-246.2 1027 914 56.51% 23.17% 20.32%+0.71 +3.2 14
2021-06-26 @ Cobh Ramblers L 2-346.2 914 1027 20.32% 23.17% 56.51%-0.71 -3.2 3
2021-07-02 Athlone Town D 4-464.0 910 992 30.57% 25.61% 43.82%-0.27 +0.2 4
2021-07-02 @ Wexford D 4-464.0 992 910 43.82% 25.61% 30.57%+0.27 -0.2 18
2021-07-02 Cabinteely W 1-032.7 1232 1027 66.58% 19.45% 13.97%+1.17 +2.4 36
2021-07-02 @ Shelbourne L 0-132.7 1027 1232 13.97% 19.45% 66.58%-1.17 -2.4 18
2021-07-02 Cobh Ramblers W 2-140.4 1167 1030 59.21% 22.32% 18.47%+0.83 +3.1 21
2021-07-02 @ Bray Wanderers L 1-240.4 1030 1167 18.47% 22.32% 59.21%-0.83 -3.1 14
2021-07-02 Galway United L 0-239.9 1143 1137 42.51% 25.72% 31.77%+0.17 -12.6 22
2021-07-02 @ UC Dublin W 2-039.9 1137 1143 31.77% 25.72% 42.51%-0.17 +12.6 25
2021-07-02 Treaty United L 2-350.0 1098 1181 30.38% 25.59% 44.03%-0.27 -4.6 12
2021-07-02 @ Cork City W 3-250.0 1181 1098 44.03% 25.59% 30.38%+0.27 +4.6 25
2021-07-09 Athlone Town L 0-144.1 1024 991 46.27% 25.33% 28.40%+0.31 -7.1 18
2021-07-09 @ Cabinteely W 1-044.1 991 1024 28.40% 25.33% 46.27%-0.31 +7.1 21
2021-07-09 Bray Wanderers D 2-258.5 1094 1170 31.16% 25.66% 43.18%-0.24 +0.3 13
2021-07-09 @ Cork City D 2-258.5 1170 1094 43.18% 25.66% 31.16%+0.24 -0.3 22
2021-07-09 Cobh Ramblers W 2-032.1 1150 1027 57.53% 22.86% 19.61%+0.76 +6.6 28
2021-07-09 @ Galway United L 0-232.1 1027 1150 19.61% 22.86% 57.53%-0.76 -6.6 14
2021-07-09 Shelbourne D 1-152.9 1186 1234 34.89% 25.89% 39.22%-0.10 +0.1 26
2021-07-09 @ Treaty United D 1-152.9 1234 1186 39.22% 25.89% 34.89%+0.10 -0.1 37
2021-07-09 Wexford W 2-137.7 1130 911 68.02% 18.81% 13.18%+1.25 +2.1 25
2021-07-09 @ UC Dublin L 1-237.7 911 1130 13.18% 18.81% 68.02%-1.25 -2.1 4
2021-07-16 Cork City D 0-049.0 909 1094 19.83% 22.96% 57.20%-0.79 +1.4 5
2021-07-16 @ Wexford D 0-049.0 1094 909 57.20% 22.96% 19.83%+0.79 -1.4 14
2021-07-16 Galway United D 0-048.3 1170 1156 43.67% 25.62% 30.71%+0.21 -0.5 23
2021-07-16 @ Bray Wanderers D 0-048.3 1156 1170 30.71% 25.62% 43.67%-0.21 +0.5 29
2021-07-16 Shelbourne L 1-336.3 998 1234 16.16% 21.01% 62.83%-1.04 -4.7 21
2021-07-16 @ Athlone Town W 3-136.3 1234 998 62.83% 21.01% 16.16%+1.04 +4.7 40
2021-07-16 UC Dublin W 2-143.5 1186 1132 49.05% 24.91% 26.04%+0.41 +4.3 29
2021-07-16 @ Treaty United L 1-243.5 1132 1186 26.04% 24.91% 49.05%-0.41 -4.3 25
2021-07-17 Cabinteely W 1-039.9 1021 1017 42.28% 25.74% 31.99%+0.16 +5.4 17
2021-07-17 @ Cobh Ramblers L 0-139.9 1017 1021 31.99% 25.74% 42.28%-0.16 -5.4 18
2021-07-30 Bray Wanderers L 0-331.3 1012 1170 22.25% 23.89% 53.86%-0.65 -10.8 18
2021-07-30 @ Cabinteely W 3-031.3 1170 1012 53.86% 23.89% 22.25%+0.65 +10.8 26
2021-07-30 Cobh Ramblers D 2-260.5 1239 1026 67.33% 19.12% 13.55%+1.21 -1.4 41
2021-07-30 @ Shelbourne D 2-260.5 1026 1239 13.55% 19.12% 67.33%-1.21 +1.4 18
2021-07-30 Galway United L 1-335.9 910 1157 15.44% 20.53% 64.03%-1.10 -4.4 5
2021-07-30 @ Wexford W 3-135.9 1157 910 64.03% 20.53% 15.44%+1.10 +4.4 32
2021-07-30 Treaty United L 1-434.9 994 1190 18.97% 22.57% 58.46%-0.85 -7.8 21
2021-07-30 @ Athlone Town W 4-134.9 1190 994 58.46% 22.57% 18.97%+0.85 +7.8 32
2021-07-30 UC Dublin D 1-152.7 1093 1128 36.75% 25.92% 37.33%-0.03 +0.0 15
2021-07-30 @ Cork City D 1-152.7 1128 1093 37.33% 25.92% 36.75%+0.03 -0.0 26
2021-08-06 Cabinteely L 1-448.1 1198 1001 65.77% 19.80% 14.43%+1.13 -21.9 32
2021-08-06 @ Treaty United W 4-148.1 1001 1198 14.43% 19.80% 65.77%-1.13 +21.9 21
2021-08-06 Cork City L 2-355.9 1161 1093 50.93% 24.55% 24.51%+0.49 -6.9 32
2021-08-06 @ Galway United W 3-255.9 1093 1161 24.51% 24.55% 50.93%-0.49 +6.9 18
2021-08-06 Shelbourne D 0-048.5 1128 1237 27.21% 25.14% 47.65%-0.41 +0.8 27
2021-08-06 @ UC Dublin D 0-048.5 1237 1128 47.65% 25.14% 27.21%+0.41 -0.8 42
2021-08-06 Wexford W 3-133.1 1180 906 73.26% 16.26% 10.49%+1.53 +2.9 29
2021-08-06 @ Bray Wanderers L 1-333.1 906 1180 10.49% 16.26% 73.26%-1.53 -2.9 5
2021-08-07 Athlone Town D 0-048.3 1028 986 47.44% 25.17% 27.39%+0.35 -0.7 19
2021-08-07 @ Cobh Ramblers D 0-048.3 986 1028 27.39% 25.17% 47.44%-0.35 +0.7 22
2021-08-13 Athlone Town W 6-030.4 1129 987 59.79% 22.13% 18.08%+0.86 +16.8 30
2021-08-13 @ UC Dublin L 0-630.4 987 1129 18.08% 22.13% 59.79%-0.86 -16.8 22
2021-08-13 Cabinteely W 2-150.3 903 1023 26.03% 24.91% 49.07%-0.46 +7.1 8
2021-08-13 @ Wexford L 1-250.3 1023 903 49.07% 24.91% 26.03%+0.46 -7.0 21
2021-08-13 Cobh Ramblers W 4-031.6 1100 1027 51.49% 24.44% 24.07%+0.51 +15.1 21
2021-08-13 @ Cork City L 0-431.6 1027 1100 24.07% 24.44% 51.49%-0.51 -15.1 19
2021-08-13 Shelbourne W 3-146.1 1154 1236 30.43% 25.59% 43.98%-0.27 +11.2 35
2021-08-13 @ Galway United L 1-346.1 1236 1154 43.98% 25.59% 30.43%+0.27 -11.2 42
2021-08-13 Treaty United W 1-039.9 1183 1176 42.75% 25.70% 31.55%+0.18 +5.3 32
2021-08-13 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-139.9 1176 1183 31.55% 25.70% 42.75%-0.18 -5.3 32
2021-08-20 Bray Wanderers D 1-153.1 1225 1189 46.79% 25.26% 27.95%+0.33 -0.6 43
2021-08-20 @ Shelbourne D 1-153.1 1189 1225 27.95% 25.26% 46.79%-0.33 +0.6 33
2021-08-20 Cork City D 2-258.6 1016 1115 28.40% 25.33% 46.26%-0.36 +0.4 22
2021-08-20 @ Cabinteely D 2-258.6 1115 1016 46.26% 25.33% 28.40%+0.36 -0.4 22
2021-08-20 Galway United W 1-046.9 970 1165 19.04% 22.60% 58.36%-0.84 +8.6 25
2021-08-20 @ Athlone Town L 0-146.9 1165 970 58.36% 22.60% 19.04%+0.84 -8.6 35
2021-08-20 Wexford D 1-155.4 1171 910 72.00% 16.89% 11.10%+1.46 -2.1 33
2021-08-20 @ Treaty United D 1-155.4 910 1171 11.10% 16.89% 72.00%-1.46 +2.1 9
2021-08-21 UC Dublin L 0-234.1 1012 1145 24.61% 24.58% 50.82%-0.53 -8.1 19
2021-08-21 @ Cobh Ramblers W 2-034.1 1145 1012 50.82% 24.58% 24.61%+0.53 +8.1 33
2021-09-03 Athlone Town W 3-137.3 1114 978 59.11% 22.36% 18.54%+0.83 +5.4 25
2021-09-03 @ Cork City L 1-337.3 978 1114 18.54% 22.36% 59.11%-0.83 -5.4 25
2021-09-03 Bray Wanderers W 4-354.9 1154 1189 36.68% 25.92% 37.40%-0.04 +5.3 36
2021-09-03 @ UC Dublin L 3-454.9 1189 1154 37.40% 25.92% 36.68%+0.04 -5.3 33
2021-09-03 Cobh Ramblers W 3-028.7 1169 1004 62.36% 21.19% 16.45%+0.97 +8.0 36
2021-09-03 @ Treaty United L 0-328.7 1004 1169 16.45% 21.19% 62.36%-0.97 -8.0 19
2021-09-03 Galway United L 0-137.1 1016 1157 23.91% 24.39% 51.70%-0.56 -4.2 22
2021-09-03 @ Cabinteely W 1-037.1 1157 1016 51.70% 24.39% 23.91%+0.56 +4.2 38
2021-09-03 Wexford W 4-024.1 1225 912 76.52% 14.54% 8.94%+1.72 +5.2 46
2021-09-03 @ Shelbourne L 0-424.1 912 1225 8.94% 14.54% 76.52%-1.72 -5.2 9
2021-09-10 Athlone Town L 0-148.5 1184 973 67.16% 19.19% 13.65%+1.20 -9.6 33
2021-09-10 @ Bray Wanderers W 1-048.5 973 1184 13.65% 19.19% 67.16%-1.20 +9.6 28
2021-09-10 Cabinteely W 5-237.0 1159 1012 60.35% 21.93% 17.72%+0.88 +6.3 39
2021-09-10 @ UC Dublin L 2-537.0 1012 1159 17.72% 21.93% 60.35%-0.88 -6.3 22
2021-09-10 Cobh Ramblers W 3-146.2 907 996 29.61% 25.50% 44.89%-0.30 +11.4 12
2021-09-10 @ Wexford L 1-346.2 996 907 44.89% 25.50% 29.61%+0.30 -11.4 19
2021-09-10 Shelbourne L 0-235.2 1120 1230 27.14% 25.12% 47.74%-0.41 -8.9 25
2021-09-10 @ Cork City W 2-035.2 1230 1120 47.74% 25.12% 27.14%+0.41 +8.9 49
2021-09-10 Treaty United D 0-048.2 1161 1177 39.55% 25.88% 34.57%+0.06 -0.2 39
2021-09-10 @ Galway United D 0-048.2 1177 1161 34.57% 25.88% 39.55%-0.06 +0.2 37
2021-09-24 Cork City D 0-048.6 1177 1111 50.61% 24.62% 24.77%+0.47 -1.0 38
2021-09-24 @ Treaty United D 0-048.6 1111 1177 24.77% 24.62% 50.61%-0.47 +1.0 26
2021-09-24 Shelbourne L 0-230.6 1006 1239 16.33% 21.11% 62.56%-1.03 -5.4 22
2021-09-24 @ Cabinteely W 2-030.6 1239 1006 62.56% 21.11% 16.33%+1.03 +5.4 52
2021-09-24 UC Dublin W 4-140.2 1161 1165 41.14% 25.81% 33.05%+0.12 +12.7 42
2021-09-24 @ Galway United L 1-440.2 1165 1161 33.05% 25.81% 41.14%-0.12 -12.7 39
2021-09-24 Wexford L 0-241.9 983 918 50.46% 24.65% 24.89%+0.47 -14.4 28
2021-09-24 @ Athlone Town W 2-041.9 918 983 24.89% 24.65% 50.46%-0.47 +14.4 15
2021-09-25 Bray Wanderers L 1-240.9 984 1174 19.48% 22.81% 57.71%-0.81 -3.3 19
2021-09-25 @ Cobh Ramblers W 2-140.9 1174 984 57.71% 22.81% 19.48%+0.81 +3.3 36
2021-10-01 Cabinteely W 2-147.0 968 1000 37.21% 25.92% 36.87%-0.02 +5.6 31
2021-10-01 @ Athlone Town L 1-247.0 1000 968 36.87% 25.92% 37.21%+0.02 -5.6 22
2021-10-01 Cork City D 0-048.6 1177 1112 50.58% 24.62% 24.79%+0.47 -1.0 37
2021-10-01 @ Bray Wanderers D 0-048.6 1112 1177 24.79% 24.62% 50.58%-0.47 +1.0 27
2021-10-01 Galway United L 0-135.2 981 1174 19.28% 22.71% 58.01%-0.83 -3.4 19
2021-10-01 @ Cobh Ramblers W 1-035.2 1174 981 58.01% 22.71% 19.28%+0.83 +3.4 45
2021-10-01 Treaty United W 1-037.6 1244 1176 50.93% 24.55% 24.51%+0.49 +4.3 55
2021-10-01 @ Shelbourne L 0-137.6 1176 1244 24.51% 24.55% 50.93%-0.49 -4.3 38
2021-10-01 UC Dublin W 2-153.0 932 1152 17.23% 21.65% 61.12%-0.96 +8.4 18
2021-10-01 @ Wexford L 1-253.0 1152 932 61.12% 21.65% 17.23%+0.96 -8.4 39
2021-10-08 Athlone Town D 1-155.6 1248 974 73.22% 16.28% 10.50%+1.52 -2.2 56
2021-10-08 @ Shelbourne D 1-155.6 974 1248 10.50% 16.28% 73.22%-1.52 +2.2 32
2021-10-08 Cobh Ramblers L 1-249.0 995 978 44.11% 25.58% 30.31%+0.23 -6.5 22
2021-10-08 @ Cabinteely W 2-149.0 978 995 30.31% 25.58% 44.11%-0.23 +6.5 22
2021-10-08 Wexford W 4-028.1 1113 941 63.11% 20.90% 15.99%+1.01 +10.1 30
2021-10-08 @ Cork City L 0-428.1 941 1113 15.99% 20.90% 63.11%-1.01 -10.1 18
2021-10-15 Athlone Town D 1-154.5 1171 976 65.58% 19.88% 14.53%+1.13 -1.8 39
2021-10-15 @ Treaty United D 1-154.5 976 1171 14.53% 19.88% 65.58%-1.13 +1.8 33
2021-10-15 Cabinteely L 1-253.7 1176 988 64.87% 20.19% 14.95%+1.09 -8.8 37
2021-10-15 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-153.7 988 1176 14.95% 20.19% 64.87%-1.09 +8.9 25
2021-10-15 Cork City W 1-039.3 1144 1123 44.66% 25.52% 29.82%+0.25 +5.1 42
2021-10-15 @ UC Dublin L 0-139.3 1123 1144 29.82% 25.52% 44.66%-0.25 -5.1 30
2021-10-15 Shelbourne W 2-045.0 984 1246 14.49% 19.85% 65.65%-1.18 +17.9 25
2021-10-15 @ Cobh Ramblers L 0-245.0 1246 984 65.65% 19.85% 14.49%+1.18 -17.9 56
2021-10-15 Wexford W 2-137.0 1177 931 70.61% 17.58% 11.81%+1.38 +1.9 48
2021-10-15 @ Galway United L 1-237.0 931 1177 11.81% 17.58% 70.61%-1.38 -1.9 18
2021-10-22 Bray Wanderers W 1-039.7 1179 1168 43.31% 25.65% 31.04%+0.20 +5.2 51
2021-10-22 @ Galway United L 0-139.7 1168 1179 31.04% 25.65% 43.31%-0.20 -5.2 37
2021-10-22 Treaty United W 2-146.6 1149 1170 38.82% 25.90% 35.28%+0.04 +5.5 45
2021-10-22 @ UC Dublin L 1-246.6 1170 1149 35.28% 25.90% 38.82%-0.04 -5.5 39
2021-10-29 Bray Wanderers W 4-254.0 929 1162 16.29% 21.09% 62.61%-1.03 +13.3 21
2021-10-29 @ Wexford L 2-454.0 1162 929 62.61% 21.09% 16.29%+1.03 -13.3 37
2021-10-29 Cobh Ramblers L 1-247.4 978 1002 38.35% 25.91% 35.74%+0.02 -5.8 33
2021-10-29 @ Athlone Town W 2-147.4 1002 978 35.74% 25.91% 38.35%-0.02 +5.8 28
2021-10-29 Galway United W 3-037.7 1118 1184 32.47% 25.77% 41.76%-0.19 +18.0 33
2021-10-29 @ Cork City L 0-337.7 1184 1118 41.76% 25.77% 32.47%+0.19 -18.0 51
2021-10-29 Treaty United L 0-232.9 997 1164 21.40% 23.59% 55.00%-0.70 -7.2 25
2021-10-29 @ Cabinteely W 2-032.9 1164 997 55.00% 23.59% 21.40%+0.70 +7.2 42
2021-10-29 UC Dublin D 1-153.3 1228 1154 51.63% 24.41% 23.96%+0.51 -0.9 57
2021-10-29 @ Shelbourne D 1-153.3 1154 1228 23.96% 24.41% 51.63%-0.51 +0.9 46

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2021-11-03 Galway United D 0-0 1149 1166 39.35% 25.89% 34.77%+0.06 -0.2 0-0-1
2021-11-03 @ Bray Wanderers D 0-0 1166 1149 34.77% 25.89% 39.35%-0.06 +0.2 0-0-1
2021-11-03 UC Dublin L 0-3 1171 1155 43.97% 25.59% 30.44%+0.22 -18.8 0-1
2021-11-03 @ Treaty United W 3-0 1155 1171 30.44% 25.59% 43.97%-0.22 +18.8 1-0
2021-11-07 Bray Wanderers L 0-1 1166 1149 44.15% 25.58% 30.27%+0.23 -6.9 0-1-1
2021-11-07 @ Galway United W 1-0 1149 1166 30.27% 25.58% 44.15%-0.23 +6.9 1-0-1
2021-11-07 Treaty United L 1-2 1174 1153 44.73% 25.52% 29.75%+0.25 -6.6 1-1
2021-11-07 @ UC Dublin W 2-1 1153 1174 29.75% 25.52% 44.73%-0.25 +6.6 1-1
2021-11-19 UC Dublin L 0-2 1156 1168 40.08% 25.86% 34.06%+0.08 -12.0 1-1-1
2021-11-19 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-0 1168 1156 34.06% 25.86% 40.08%-0.08 +12.0 2-1
2021-11-26 UC Dublin L 1-2 1230 1180 48.63% 24.98% 26.39%+0.40 -7.0 0-1
2021-11-26 @ Waterford W 2-1 1180 1230 26.39% 24.98% 48.63%-0.40 +7.0 3-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2021-09-10 13.65% Athlone Town 973 1 @ Bray Wanderers 1184 0
2 2021-08-06 14.43% Cabinteely 1001 4 @ Treaty United 1198 1
3 2021-10-15 14.49% @ Cobh Ramblers 984 2 Shelbourne 1246 0
4 2021-10-15 14.95% Cabinteely 988 2 @ Bray Wanderers 1176 1
5 2021-04-16 15.93% Athlone Town 991 2 @ Bray Wanderers 1164 1
6 2021-10-29 16.29% @ Wexford 929 4 Bray Wanderers 1162 2
7 2021-10-01 17.23% @ Wexford 932 2 UC Dublin 1152 1
8 2021-04-09 18.18% Athlone Town 983 1 @ Cork City 1123 0
9 2021-06-11 18.25% Cobh Ramblers 1027 2 @ UC Dublin 1166 1
10 2021-05-28 18.63% Wexford 902 2 @ Cabinteely 1036 0
11 2021-08-20 19.04% @ Athlone Town 970 1 Galway United 1165 0
12 2021-06-11 22.64% Cabinteely 1020 2 @ Cork City 1107 0
13 2021-04-02 22.98% @ Athlone Town 970 3 Galway United 1120 1
14 2021-05-21 23.31% @ Cabinteely 1029 2 Treaty United 1176 1
15 2021-08-06 24.51% Cork City 1093 3 @ Galway United 1161 2
16 2021-09-24 24.89% Wexford 918 2 @ Athlone Town 983 0
17 2021-06-25 25.46% Galway United 1129 1 @ Treaty United 1189 0
18 2021-08-13 26.03% @ Wexford 903 2 Cabinteely 1023 1
19 2021-07-09 28.40% Athlone Town 991 1 @ Cabinteely 1024 0
20 2021-05-28 28.91% @ Cobh Ramblers 1020 1 Cork City 1114 0
21 2021-09-10 29.61% @ Wexford 907 3 Cobh Ramblers 996 1
22 2021-10-08 30.31% Cobh Ramblers 978 2 @ Cabinteely 995 1
23 2021-08-13 30.43% @ Galway United 1154 3 Shelbourne 1236 1
24 2021-04-02 30.93% @ Cabinteely 1052 1 Cork City 1130 0
25 2021-07-02 31.77% Galway United 1137 2 @ UC Dublin 1143 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-08-06 21.92 Cabinteely 4 1001 14.43% @ Treaty United 1 1198 65.77% 19.80%
2 2021-04-03 20.17 UC Dublin 4 1122 40.11% @ Cobh Ramblers 0 1067 34.03% 25.86%
3 2021-06-18 20.04 @ Bray Wanderers 4 1149 40.40% UC Dublin 0 1158 33.75% 25.85%
4 2021-05-01 19.29 Galway United 4 1123 42.12% @ Cobh Ramblers 0 1054 32.14% 25.75%
5 2021-10-29 18.02 @ Cork City 3 1118 32.47% Galway United 0 1184 41.76% 25.77%
6 2021-10-15 17.88 @ Cobh Ramblers 2 984 14.49% Shelbourne 0 1246 65.65% 19.85%
7 2021-08-13 16.84 @ UC Dublin 6 1129 59.79% Athlone Town 0 987 18.08% 22.13%
8 2021-05-28 16.41 Wexford 2 902 18.63% @ Cabinteely 0 1036 58.97% 22.40%
9 2021-04-30 16.25 UC Dublin 6 1151 60.73% @ Wexford 0 934 17.48% 21.79%
10 2021-05-28 15.91 @ Shelbourne 4 1197 49.76% Galway United 0 1138 25.46% 24.78%
11 2021-04-09 15.74 Galway United 3 1107 39.21% @ Cabinteely 0 1058 34.90% 25.89%
12 2021-08-13 15.14 @ Cork City 4 1100 51.49% Cobh Ramblers 0 1027 24.07% 24.44%
13 2021-06-11 15.11 Cabinteely 2 1020 22.64% @ Cork City 0 1107 53.34% 24.02%
14 2021-09-24 14.44 Wexford 2 918 24.89% @ Athlone Town 0 983 50.46% 24.65%
15 2021-10-29 13.34 @ Wexford 4 929 16.29% Bray Wanderers 2 1162 62.61% 21.09%
16 2021-06-11 13.14 Shelbourne 4 1213 39.68% @ Bray Wanderers 1 1162 34.45% 25.88%
17 2021-04-02 13.00 @ Athlone Town 3 970 22.98% Galway United 1 1120 52.89% 24.13%
18 2021-09-24 12.73 @ Galway United 4 1161 41.14% UC Dublin 1 1165 33.05% 25.81%
19 2021-07-02 12.58 Galway United 2 1137 31.77% @ UC Dublin 0 1143 42.51% 25.72%
20 2021-04-23 12.45 @ Athlone Town 3 1000 48.97% Wexford 0 947 26.11% 24.92%
21 2021-05-07 11.82 @ Cork City 5 1102 64.37% Wexford 0 918 15.24% 20.39%
22 2021-09-10 11.37 @ Wexford 3 907 29.61% Cobh Ramblers 1 996 44.89% 25.50%
23 2021-08-13 11.19 @ Galway United 3 1154 30.43% Shelbourne 1 1236 43.98% 25.59%
24 2021-07-30 10.79 Bray Wanderers 3 1170 53.86% @ Cabinteely 0 1012 22.25% 23.89%
25 2021-05-28 10.38 @ Treaty United 2 1168 41.19% Bray Wanderers 0 1172 33.00% 25.81%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-07-02 64.0 @ Wexford 4 910 30.57% Athlone Town 4 992 43.82% 25.61%
2 2021-04-02 62.4 @ Shelbourne 3 1164 41.83% Bray Wanderers 3 1164 32.41% 25.77%
3 2021-07-30 60.5 @ Shelbourne 2 1239 67.33% Cobh Ramblers 2 1026 13.55% 19.12%
4 2021-03-26 59.7 @ UC Dublin 2 1123 61.22% Athlone Town 2 968 17.16% 21.62%
5 2021-04-30 58.6 @ Shelbourne 2 1183 42.47% Treaty United 2 1177 31.80% 25.72%
6 2021-08-20 58.6 @ Cabinteely 2 1016 28.40% Cork City 2 1115 46.26% 25.33%
7 2021-04-23 58.5 @ Galway United 2 1123 37.74% UC Dublin 2 1151 36.34% 25.92%
8 2021-07-09 58.5 @ Cork City 2 1094 31.16% Bray Wanderers 2 1170 43.18% 25.66%
9 2021-08-06 55.9 Cork City 3 1093 24.51% @ Galway United 2 1161 50.93% 24.55%
10 2021-10-08 55.6 @ Shelbourne 1 1248 73.22% Athlone Town 1 974 10.50% 16.28%
11 2021-08-20 55.4 @ Treaty United 1 1171 72.00% Wexford 1 910 11.10% 16.89%
12 2021-09-03 54.9 @ UC Dublin 4 1154 36.68% Bray Wanderers 3 1189 37.40% 25.92%
13 2021-10-15 54.5 @ Treaty United 1 1171 65.58% Athlone Town 1 976 14.53% 19.88%
14 2021-10-29 54.0 @ Wexford 4 929 16.29% Bray Wanderers 2 1162 62.61% 21.09%
15 2021-04-09 53.7 @ Treaty United 1 1175 58.18% Cobh Ramblers 1 1047 19.16% 22.66%
16 2021-10-15 53.7 Cabinteely 2 988 14.95% @ Bray Wanderers 1 1176 64.87% 20.19%
17 2021-04-16 53.4 Athlone Town 2 991 15.93% @ Bray Wanderers 1 1164 63.20% 20.86%
18 2021-10-29 53.3 @ Shelbourne 1 1228 51.63% UC Dublin 1 1154 23.96% 24.41%
19 2021-08-20 53.1 @ Shelbourne 1 1225 46.79% Bray Wanderers 1 1189 27.95% 25.26%
20 2021-10-01 53.0 @ Wexford 2 932 17.23% UC Dublin 1 1152 61.12% 21.65%
21 2021-04-24 52.9 @ Cobh Ramblers 1 1053 28.02% Bray Wanderers 1 1155 46.71% 25.27%
22 2021-07-09 52.9 @ Treaty United 1 1186 34.89% Shelbourne 1 1234 39.22% 25.89%
23 2021-04-16 52.8 @ Galway United 1 1122 34.50% Treaty United 1 1174 39.62% 25.88%
24 2021-05-21 52.7 @ Cork City 1 1115 38.42% Galway United 1 1138 35.67% 25.91%
25 2021-06-11 52.7 Cobh Ramblers 2 1027 18.25% @ UC Dublin 1 1166 59.53% 22.21%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-09-03 24.1 @ Shelbourne 4 1225 76.52% Wexford 0 912 8.94% 14.54%
2 2021-10-08 28.1 @ Cork City 4 1113 63.11% Wexford 0 941 15.99% 20.90%
3 2021-05-07 28.2 @ Cork City 5 1102 64.37% Wexford 0 918 15.24% 20.39%
4 2021-09-03 28.7 @ Treaty United 3 1169 62.36% Cobh Ramblers 0 1004 16.45% 21.19%
5 2021-04-30 30.1 UC Dublin 6 1151 60.73% @ Wexford 0 934 17.48% 21.79%
6 2021-05-14 30.2 @ Bray Wanderers 3 1160 57.45% Cabinteely 0 1038 19.66% 22.89%
7 2021-08-13 30.4 @ UC Dublin 6 1129 59.79% Athlone Town 0 987 18.08% 22.13%
8 2021-09-24 30.6 Shelbourne 2 1239 62.56% @ Cabinteely 0 1006 16.33% 21.11%
9 2021-07-30 31.3 Bray Wanderers 3 1170 53.86% @ Cabinteely 0 1012 22.25% 23.89%
10 2021-06-18 31.5 Shelbourne 1 1226 70.46% @ Wexford 0 916 11.89% 17.65%
11 2021-08-13 31.6 @ Cork City 4 1100 51.49% Cobh Ramblers 0 1027 24.07% 24.44%
12 2021-05-14 31.9 @ Galway United 1 1136 69.02% Wexford 0 906 12.64% 18.34%
13 2021-07-09 32.1 @ Galway United 2 1150 57.53% Cobh Ramblers 0 1027 19.61% 22.86%
14 2021-05-28 32.2 @ Shelbourne 4 1197 49.76% Galway United 0 1138 25.46% 24.78%
15 2021-04-02 32.3 @ Treaty United 1 1173 67.73% Wexford 0 956 13.33% 18.94%
16 2021-04-09 32.5 @ Shelbourne 1 1164 67.12% Wexford 0 954 13.67% 19.21%
17 2021-04-23 32.7 @ Athlone Town 3 1000 48.97% Wexford 0 947 26.11% 24.92%
18 2021-07-02 32.7 @ Shelbourne 1 1232 66.58% Cabinteely 0 1027 13.97% 19.45%
19 2021-05-21 32.8 Bray Wanderers 1 1170 65.99% @ Wexford 0 904 14.30% 19.71%
20 2021-10-29 32.9 Treaty United 2 1164 55.00% @ Cabinteely 0 997 21.40% 23.59%
21 2021-08-06 33.1 @ Bray Wanderers 3 1180 73.26% Wexford 1 906 10.49% 16.26%
22 2021-05-07 33.6 @ Shelbourne 1 1182 63.54% Athlone Town 0 1007 15.73% 20.73%
23 2021-06-19 33.7 Treaty United 2 1181 52.37% @ Cobh Ramblers 0 1035 23.39% 24.25%
24 2021-05-14 33.8 @ Treaty United 1 1173 62.79% Athlone Town 0 1004 16.18% 21.02%
25 2021-08-21 34.1 UC Dublin 2 1145 50.82% @ Cobh Ramblers 0 1012 24.61% 24.58%