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2022 League of Ireland First Division Season

144 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Wexford

9.60 points above expected

41 points · 31.40 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Bray Wanderers

11.79 points below expected

27 points · 38.79 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Cork City 32 20 8 4 68 63 22 +41 60.96 +7.04
2 Waterford 32 20 4 8 64 70 34 +36 58.54 +5.46
3 Galway United 32 17 9 6 60 56 29 +27 56.01 +3.99
4 Longford Town 32 14 10 8 52 49 41 +8 46.29 +5.71
5 Treaty United 32 11 11 10 44 37 43 -6 47.97 -3.97
6 Wexford 32 10 11 11 41 45 47 -2 31.40 +9.60
7 Bray Wanderers 32 6 9 17 27 30 62 -32 38.79 -11.79
8 Athlone Town 32 7 3 22 24 44 75 -31 27.61 -3.61
9 Cobh Ramblers 32 4 5 23 17 37 78 -41 28.52 -11.52

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Wexford 41 31.40 +9.60
2 Cork City 68 60.96 +7.04
3 Longford Town 52 46.29 +5.71
4 Waterford 64 58.54 +5.46
5 Galway United 60 56.01 +3.99

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Bray Wanderers 27 38.79 -11.79
2 Cobh Ramblers 17 28.52 -11.52
3 Treaty United 44 47.97 -3.97
4 Athlone Town 24 27.61 -3.61
5 Galway United 60 56.01 +3.99

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Galway United 7 Apr 15 – May 20 1 in 162
2 Waterford 8 Apr 22 – Jun 27 1 in 83
3 Longford Town 4 Jul 22 – Aug 20 1 in 49
4 Cork City 5 Mar 11 – Apr 1 1 in 32
5 Treaty United 3 Jul 1 – Jul 15 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cobh Ramblers 7 May 27 – Jul 15 1 in 86
2 Athlone Town 7 Apr 18 – May 27 1 in 69
3 Bray Wanderers 5 Sep 9 – Oct 21 1 in 48
4 Galway United 2 Aug 12 – Aug 19 1 in 23
5 Waterford 2 Mar 14 – Mar 25 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cork City 21 Mar 5 – Aug 5 1 in 149
2 Wexford 7 May 20 – Jul 8 1 in 136
3 Athlone Town 5 Sep 9 – Oct 14 1 in 58
4 Bray Wanderers 6 Mar 14 – Apr 15 1 in 22
5 Longford Town 7 Mar 18 – Apr 23 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bray Wanderers 10 Mar 25 – May 13 1 in 80
2 Athlone Town 16 Feb 18 – May 27 1 in 62
3 Treaty United 8 Apr 23 – Jun 10 1 in 56
4 Galway United 4 Aug 5 – Sep 9 1 in 45
5 Cork City 3 Sep 16 – Oct 14 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Cork City 1304 68 -11 7 9.6 -2.6
Waterford 1300 64 +35 15 10.5 +4.5
Galway United 1248 60 -8 6 8.9 -2.9
Longford Town 1160 52 +0 6 7.3 -1.3
Treaty United 1133 44 -27 5 6.9 -1.9
Wexford 1094 41 +17 8 5.5 +2.5
Bray Wanderers 989 27 -62 0 5.0 -5.0
Athlone Town 1022 24 +35 10 3.8 +6.2
Cobh Ramblers 953 17 +15 4 3.9 +0.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AT BW CR CC GU LT TU WAT WEX
Athlone Town —
0-1-3
4.00
2-0-2
5.31
1-0-3
2.03
1-0-3
2.41
1-1-2
3.21
1-1-2
3.11
0-0-4
2.52
1-0-3
4.71
Bray Wanderers
3-1-0
6.93
 —
1-1-2
6.75
0-1-3
3.41
1-0-3
3.53
1-1-2
4.64
0-2-2
4.34
0-0-4
3.26
0-3-1
6.03
Cobh Ramblers
2-0-2
5.56
2-1-1
4.17
 —
0-0-4
2.31
0-1-3
2.48
0-0-4
3.23
0-2-2
3.32
0-0-4
2.44
0-1-3
5.12
Cork City
3-0-1
9.21
3-1-0
7.67
4-0-0
8.87
 —
1-1-2
6.13
1-3-0
7.23
3-0-1
7.19
3-1-0
5.82
2-2-0
8.75
Galway United
3-0-1
8.77
3-0-1
7.47
3-1-0
8.67
2-1-1
4.77
 —
1-1-2
6.87
2-2-0
6.52
2-1-1
5.10
1-3-0
8.17
Longford Town
2-1-1
7.79
2-1-1
6.24
4-0-0
7.78
0-3-1
3.73
2-1-1
4.05
 —
0-3-1
5.54
1-1-2
3.91
3-0-1
6.80
Treaty United
2-1-1
7.90
2-2-0
6.57
2-2-0
7.70
1-0-3
3.79
0-2-2
4.39
1-3-0
5.33
 —
1-0-3
4.05
2-1-1
7.18
Waterford
4-0-0
8.63
4-0-0
7.75
4-0-0
8.74
0-1-3
5.06
1-1-2
5.78
2-1-1
7.03
3-0-1
6.89
 —
2-1-1
8.18
Wexford
3-0-1
6.19
1-3-0
4.88
3-1-0
5.81
0-2-2
2.41
0-3-1
2.89
1-0-3
4.12
1-1-2
3.76
1-1-2
2.88
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.71 +11.9
Allowed 0.95 -9.1
Differential 0.98 +6.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%4.86%6.25%4.17%1.74%1.04%26.39%
14.86%9.03%9.03%3.12%1.04%1.39%28.47%
26.25%9.03%6.25%2.08%2.08%1.04%26.74%
34.17%3.12%2.08%0.69%——10.07%
41.74%1.04%2.08%———4.86%
5+1.04%1.39%1.04%———3.47%
Total26.39%28.47%26.74%10.07%4.86%3.47%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.50 +0.00
SD 1.32 1.32 2.01
CV 0.88 0.88 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 144

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.12%9.38%9.38%——21.88%
1—6.25%18.75%6.25%3.12%3.12%37.50%
26.25%3.12%3.12%6.25%3.12%6.25%28.12%
3—6.25%3.12%———9.38%
4———————
5+——3.12%———3.12%
Total6.25%18.75%37.50%21.88%6.25%9.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 2.34 -0.97
SD 1.13 1.38 1.87
CV 0.82 0.59 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.38%6.25%9.38%6.25%—3.12%34.38%
13.12%12.50%6.25%9.38%3.12%6.25%40.62%
23.12%9.38%6.25%—3.12%—21.88%
33.12%—————3.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.75%28.12%21.88%15.62%6.25%9.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.94 -1.00
SD 0.84 1.61 1.90
CV 0.90 0.83 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.12%12.50%12.50%6.25%6.25%3.12%43.75%
1—6.25%3.12%6.25%——15.62%
2——6.25%6.25%12.50%3.12%28.12%
3—3.12%6.25%———9.38%
4———————
5+—3.12%————3.12%
Total3.12%25.00%28.12%18.75%18.75%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.16 2.44 -1.28
SD 1.27 1.32 1.80
CV 1.10 0.54 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.62%3.12%3.12%———21.88%
112.50%6.25%3.12%———21.88%
29.38%12.50%3.12%3.12%——28.12%
33.12%3.12%3.12%———9.38%
43.12%6.25%————9.38%
5+6.25%3.12%————9.38%
Total50.00%34.38%12.50%3.12%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 0.69 +1.28
SD 1.71 0.82 1.87
CV 0.87 1.19 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.38%3.12%3.12%———15.62%
112.50%9.38%12.50%———34.38%
26.25%9.38%6.25%———21.88%
36.25%6.25%3.12%3.12%——18.75%
46.25%—————6.25%
5+—3.12%————3.12%
Total40.62%31.25%25.00%3.12%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 0.91 +0.84
SD 1.30 0.89 1.57
CV 0.74 0.99 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.38%—3.12%6.25%——18.75%
13.12%12.50%9.38%3.12%3.12%—31.25%
212.50%15.62%6.25%———34.38%
36.25%——3.12%——9.38%
4——6.25%———6.25%
5+———————
Total31.25%28.12%25.00%12.50%3.12%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.28 +0.25
SD 1.11 1.14 1.65
CV 0.72 0.89 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.62%—6.25%6.25%6.25%3.12%37.50%
13.12%12.50%6.25%———21.88%
212.50%12.50%6.25%3.12%——34.38%
33.12%—————3.12%
4———————
5+—3.12%————3.12%
Total34.38%28.12%18.75%9.38%6.25%3.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.16 1.34 -0.19
SD 1.17 1.38 2.05
CV 1.01 1.03 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.12%6.25%3.12%———12.50%
19.38%3.12%12.50%3.12%——28.12%
23.12%12.50%6.25%———21.88%
39.38%3.12%————12.50%
46.25%3.12%6.25%———15.62%
5+3.12%—6.25%———9.38%
Total34.38%28.12%34.38%3.12%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.19 1.06 +1.12
SD 1.55 0.91 1.86
CV 0.71 0.86 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.38%9.38%6.25%3.12%3.12%—31.25%
1—12.50%9.38%——3.12%25.00%
23.12%6.25%12.50%———21.88%
36.25%6.25%3.12%———15.62%
4——6.25%———6.25%
5+———————
Total18.75%34.38%37.50%3.12%3.12%3.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.47 -0.06
SD 1.27 1.14 1.76
CV 0.90 0.77 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 32

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Waterford 1321 64 58.54 +5.46 80.0% 41 45 53 59 63 69 76
Cork City 1304 68 60.96 +7.04 88.0% 47 51 56 61 65 73 77
Galway United 1239 60 56.01 +3.99 78.0% 40 45 52 56 60 67 71
Longford Town 1147 52 46.29 +5.71 86.0% 33 35 42 46 50 57 63
Treaty United 1122 44 47.97 -3.97 28.0% 29 38 43 48 53 59 61
Wexford 1094 41 31.40 +9.60 93.0% 16 22 26 31 36 44 49
Athlone Town 1022 24 27.61 -3.61 30.0% 6 15 23 27 32 40 44
Bray Wanderers 989 27 38.79 -11.79 5.0% 18 27 34 39 43 49 56
Cobh Ramblers 953 17 28.52 -11.52 4.0% 14 18 25 28 32 37 47

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
-2.08%
No Edge
36.81%24.31%38.89%
Elo Value
Home Edge: -7.24 Elo pts.
168 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
-0.16 goals
Neutral
-2-0.04+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.7
Top-Heavy
12349
Champion Preseason Odds
49%
Cork City, 1st of 9
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.12/gm
Tight Race
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.25 * Some Luck: 5.25 to 7.87 * Lucky: 7.87 to 10.5 * Wild Swing: 10.5 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.72 * Close: 0.72 to 1.08 * Off: 1.08 to 1.43 * Way Off: 1.43 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 9 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 9 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 9 * As Expected: 9 to 14.4 * Several Outliers: 14.4 to 19.8 * Many Outliers: 19.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.60 points
Some Luck
06.5616
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.67
Pinpoint
00.902
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 94.44%
93.00%
Wexford
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected
4.00%
Cobh Ramblers
05.56%50
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 9
Minimal Outliers
00.99

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Lopsided
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 131.25
2.47
Wide Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
79%
Wide Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
Clear Edge
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
56%
Some Drama
0%54%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Frequent
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.41
Slight Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.40
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.60
Strong Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
As Expected
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.60
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.15
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.152
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1370.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789
Cork City49.00%23.00%23.00%3.00%2.00%————
Waterford33.00%34.00%17.00%9.00%6.00%1.00%———
Galway United15.00%28.00%31.00%18.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%——
Longford Town1.00%5.00%8.00%32.00%33.00%14.00%7.00%——
Treaty United2.00%9.00%16.00%30.00%29.00%10.00%3.00%—1.00%
Wexford——2.00%1.00%4.00%15.00%31.00%28.00%19.00%
Bray Wanderers—1.00%2.00%6.00%21.00%39.00%20.00%8.00%3.00%
Athlone Town———1.00%—10.00%16.00%29.00%44.00%
Cobh Ramblers——1.00%——9.00%22.00%35.00%33.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Lost promotion playoff Same level
Cork City 49.00% 51.00% —
Athlone Town — 1.00% 99.00%
Bray Wanderers — 30.00% 70.00%
Cobh Ramblers — 1.00% 99.00%
Galway United — 100% —
Longford Town — 100% —
Treaty United — 100% —
Waterford — 100% —
Wexford — 7.00% 93.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2022-02-18 Cork City L 0-639.7 1165 1161 44.15% 27.95% 27.90%-0.01 -48.5 0
2022-02-18 @ Bray Wanderers W 6-039.7 1161 1165 27.90% 27.95% 44.15%+0.01 +48.5 3
2022-02-18 Treaty United L 1-537.2 1045 1175 26.20% 27.68% 46.12%-0.82 -18.6 0
2022-02-18 @ Wexford W 5-137.2 1175 1045 46.12% 27.68% 26.20%+0.82 +18.6 3
2022-02-18 Waterford L 2-541.0 1063 1212 24.09% 27.24% 48.67%-0.93 -11.6 0
2022-02-18 @ Athlone Town W 5-241.0 1212 1063 48.67% 27.24% 24.09%+0.93 +11.6 3
2022-02-25 Bray Wanderers W 1-035.8 1224 1117 56.84% 25.10% 18.07%+0.59 +4.5 6
2022-02-25 @ Waterford L 0-135.8 1117 1224 18.07% 25.10% 56.84%-0.59 -4.5 0
2022-02-25 Galway United L 0-145.5 1209 1175 48.06% 27.36% 24.58%+0.16 -9.9 3
2022-02-25 @ Cork City W 1-045.5 1175 1209 24.58% 27.36% 48.06%-0.16 +9.9 3
2022-02-25 Wexford L 2-356.6 1084 1026 51.00% 26.75% 22.25%+0.30 -9.3 0
2022-02-25 @ Cobh Ramblers W 3-256.6 1026 1084 22.25% 26.75% 51.00%-0.30 +9.3 3
2022-03-04 Athlone Town W 2-145.6 1036 1051 41.38% 28.22% 30.40%-0.14 +6.6 6
2022-03-04 @ Wexford L 1-245.6 1051 1036 30.40% 28.22% 41.38%+0.14 -6.6 0
2022-03-04 Treaty United D 0-047.6 1075 1193 27.49% 27.89% 44.62%-0.75 +0.8 1
2022-03-04 @ Cobh Ramblers D 0-047.6 1193 1075 44.62% 27.89% 27.49%+0.75 -0.8 4
2022-03-04 Waterford D 2-257.4 1185 1228 37.43% 28.42% 34.16%-0.30 -0.1 4
2022-03-04 @ Galway United D 2-257.4 1228 1185 34.16% 28.42% 37.43%+0.30 +0.1 7
2022-03-05 Cork City D 0-047.5 1125 1199 33.08% 28.38% 38.54%-0.49 +0.2 1
2022-03-05 @ Longford Town D 0-047.5 1199 1125 38.54% 28.38% 33.08%+0.49 -0.2 4
2022-03-11 Cobh Ramblers W 2-031.9 1199 1076 58.69% 24.45% 16.86%+0.69 +7.9 7
2022-03-11 @ Cork City L 0-231.9 1076 1199 16.86% 24.45% 58.69%-0.69 -7.9 1
2022-03-11 Galway United L 1-343.8 1112 1185 33.39% 28.40% 38.21%-0.47 -12.3 0
2022-03-11 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-143.8 1185 1112 38.21% 28.40% 33.39%+0.47 +12.3 7
2022-03-11 Wexford W 2-138.5 1228 1042 65.27% 21.70% 13.02%+1.07 +3.0 10
2022-03-11 @ Waterford L 1-238.5 1042 1228 13.02% 21.70% 65.27%-1.07 -3.0 6
2022-03-14 Bray Wanderers L 1-250.4 1125 1100 46.83% 27.57% 25.60%+0.11 -9.1 1
2022-03-14 @ Longford Town W 2-150.4 1100 1125 25.60% 27.57% 46.83%-0.11 +9.1 3
2022-03-14 Cobh Ramblers L 2-353.8 1044 1068 40.32% 28.29% 31.39%-0.18 -7.7 0
2022-03-14 @ Athlone Town W 3-253.8 1068 1044 31.39% 28.29% 40.32%+0.18 +7.7 4
2022-03-14 Treaty United W 2-144.9 1197 1192 44.11% 27.95% 27.94%-0.02 +6.2 10
2022-03-14 @ Galway United L 1-244.9 1192 1197 27.94% 27.95% 44.11%+0.02 -6.2 4
2022-03-14 Waterford W 2-037.7 1207 1231 40.13% 28.31% 31.56%-0.19 +13.6 10
2022-03-14 @ Cork City L 0-237.7 1231 1207 31.56% 28.31% 40.13%+0.19 -13.6 10
2022-03-18 Bray Wanderers L 0-142.9 1075 1109 38.81% 28.37% 32.81%-0.24 -8.4 4
2022-03-18 @ Cobh Ramblers W 1-042.9 1109 1075 32.81% 28.37% 38.81%+0.24 +8.4 6
2022-03-18 Cork City L 0-437.1 1186 1220 38.76% 28.38% 32.87%-0.25 -30.0 4
2022-03-18 @ Treaty United W 4-037.1 1220 1186 32.87% 28.38% 38.76%+0.25 +30.0 13
2022-03-18 Galway United L 1-242.8 1037 1203 22.42% 26.80% 50.79%-1.03 -5.2 0
2022-03-18 @ Athlone Town W 2-142.8 1203 1037 50.79% 26.80% 22.42%+1.03 +5.2 13
2022-03-18 Longford Town L 0-335.7 1039 1116 32.76% 28.37% 38.87%-0.50 -20.3 6
2022-03-18 @ Wexford W 3-035.7 1116 1039 38.87% 28.37% 32.76%+0.50 +20.3 4
2022-03-25 Athlone Town W 4-132.1 1250 1032 68.44% 20.16% 11.40%+1.26 +6.2 16
2022-03-25 @ Cork City L 1-432.1 1032 1250 11.40% 20.16% 68.44%-1.26 -6.2 0
2022-03-25 Galway United W 2-148.1 1136 1208 33.42% 28.40% 38.18%-0.47 +7.8 7
2022-03-25 @ Longford Town L 1-248.1 1208 1136 38.18% 28.40% 33.42%+0.47 -7.8 13
2022-03-25 Waterford W 2-147.7 1156 1218 34.86% 28.43% 36.71%-0.41 +7.6 7
2022-03-25 @ Treaty United L 1-247.7 1218 1156 36.71% 28.43% 34.86%+0.41 -7.6 10
2022-03-25 Wexford D 0-048.3 1118 1019 55.90% 25.40% 18.69%+0.55 -1.9 7
2022-03-25 @ Bray Wanderers D 0-048.3 1019 1118 18.69% 25.40% 55.90%-0.55 +1.9 7
2022-04-01 Bray Wanderers D 1-151.6 1025 1116 30.95% 28.26% 40.79%-0.58 +0.4 1
2022-04-01 @ Athlone Town D 1-151.6 1116 1025 40.79% 28.26% 30.95%+0.58 -0.4 8
2022-04-01 Cobh Ramblers W 1-034.9 1200 1067 59.77% 24.05% 16.18%+0.75 +4.0 16
2022-04-01 @ Galway United L 0-134.9 1067 1200 16.18% 24.05% 59.77%-0.75 -4.0 4
2022-04-01 Cork City L 0-135.1 1021 1257 16.70% 24.36% 58.94%-1.45 -4.1 7
2022-04-01 @ Wexford W 1-035.1 1257 1021 58.94% 24.36% 16.70%+1.45 +4.1 19
2022-04-01 Longford Town D 1-152.3 1210 1144 52.03% 26.50% 21.47%+0.35 -1.4 11
2022-04-01 @ Waterford D 1-152.3 1144 1210 21.47% 26.50% 52.03%-0.35 +1.4 8
2022-04-04 Athlone Town W 2-031.4 1164 1026 60.28% 23.85% 15.87%+0.78 +7.4 10
2022-04-04 @ Treaty United L 0-231.4 1026 1164 15.87% 23.85% 60.28%-0.78 -7.4 1
2022-04-08 Treaty United D 0-047.4 1115 1171 35.68% 28.43% 35.88%-0.38 +0.0 9
2022-04-08 @ Bray Wanderers D 0-047.4 1171 1115 35.88% 28.43% 35.68%+0.38 -0.0 11
2022-04-08 Waterford L 0-432.4 1063 1209 24.47% 27.33% 48.20%-0.91 -21.1 4
2022-04-08 @ Cobh Ramblers W 4-032.4 1209 1063 48.20% 27.33% 24.47%+0.91 +21.1 14
2022-04-09 Athlone Town W 2-031.8 1145 1018 59.09% 24.31% 16.61%+0.71 +7.7 11
2022-04-09 @ Longford Town L 0-231.8 1018 1145 16.61% 24.31% 59.09%-0.71 -7.7 1
2022-04-09 Wexford D 1-153.6 1204 1017 65.42% 21.63% 12.94%+1.07 -2.5 17
2022-04-09 @ Galway United D 1-153.6 1017 1204 12.94% 21.63% 65.42%-1.07 +2.5 8
2022-04-12 Cobh Ramblers W 2-032.3 1153 1042 57.33% 24.93% 17.74%+0.62 +8.3 14
2022-04-12 @ Longford Town L 0-232.3 1042 1153 17.74% 24.93% 57.33%-0.62 -8.3 4
2022-04-15 Bray Wanderers D 0-049.0 1261 1115 61.08% 23.53% 15.39%+0.82 -2.4 20
2022-04-15 @ Cork City D 0-049.0 1115 1261 15.39% 23.53% 61.08%-0.82 +2.4 10
2022-04-15 Cobh Ramblers W 4-246.9 1019 1034 41.52% 28.21% 30.27%-0.13 +10.2 11
2022-04-15 @ Wexford L 2-446.9 1034 1019 30.27% 28.21% 41.52%+0.13 -10.2 4
2022-04-15 Galway United L 0-145.4 1230 1202 47.23% 27.50% 25.27%+0.12 -9.8 14
2022-04-15 @ Waterford W 1-045.4 1202 1230 25.27% 27.50% 47.23%-0.12 +9.8 20
2022-04-15 Treaty United D 1-152.0 1011 1171 22.97% 26.96% 50.07%-1.00 +1.2 2
2022-04-15 @ Athlone Town D 1-152.0 1171 1011 50.07% 26.96% 22.97%+1.00 -1.2 12
2022-04-18 Athlone Town W 3-249.7 1023 1012 45.07% 27.83% 27.10%+0.03 +5.7 7
2022-04-18 @ Cobh Ramblers L 2-349.7 1012 1023 27.10% 27.83% 45.07%-0.03 -5.7 2
2022-04-18 Cork City L 1-248.3 1220 1258 38.17% 28.40% 33.43%-0.27 -7.8 14
2022-04-18 @ Waterford W 2-148.3 1258 1220 33.43% 28.40% 38.17%+0.27 +7.8 23
2022-04-18 Longford Town L 1-247.8 1118 1161 37.42% 28.42% 34.17%-0.30 -7.7 10
2022-04-18 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-147.8 1161 1118 34.17% 28.42% 37.42%+0.30 +7.7 17
2022-04-18 Wexford W 2-139.9 1170 1029 60.56% 23.74% 15.70%+0.79 +3.6 15
2022-04-18 @ Treaty United L 1-239.9 1029 1170 15.70% 23.74% 60.56%-0.79 -3.6 11
2022-04-22 Bray Wanderers W 2-032.7 1212 1110 56.23% 25.30% 18.47%+0.56 +8.6 23
2022-04-22 @ Galway United L 0-232.7 1110 1212 18.47% 25.30% 56.23%-0.56 -8.6 10
2022-04-22 Cork City L 2-345.6 1029 1266 16.62% 24.31% 59.07%-1.45 -3.7 7
2022-04-22 @ Cobh Ramblers W 3-245.6 1266 1029 59.07% 24.31% 16.62%+1.45 +3.7 26
2022-04-22 Waterford L 0-233.6 1026 1212 20.55% 26.18% 53.27%-1.15 -9.5 11
2022-04-22 @ Wexford W 2-033.6 1212 1026 53.27% 26.18% 20.55%+1.15 +9.5 17
2022-04-23 Treaty United D 0-047.6 1169 1174 42.90% 28.08% 29.01%-0.07 -0.7 18
2022-04-23 @ Longford Town D 0-047.6 1174 1169 29.01% 28.08% 42.90%+0.07 +0.7 16
2022-04-29 Cobh Ramblers D 1-152.2 1101 1026 53.22% 26.19% 20.59%+0.41 -1.5 11
2022-04-29 @ Bray Wanderers D 1-152.2 1026 1101 20.59% 26.19% 53.22%-0.41 +1.5 8
2022-04-29 Galway United L 2-353.1 1174 1220 37.09% 28.42% 34.49%-0.32 -7.3 16
2022-04-29 @ Treaty United W 3-253.1 1220 1174 34.49% 28.42% 37.09%+0.32 +7.3 26
2022-04-29 Longford Town W 4-136.0 1270 1168 56.21% 25.30% 18.48%+0.56 +10.5 29
2022-04-29 @ Cork City L 1-436.0 1168 1270 18.48% 25.30% 56.21%-0.56 -10.5 18
2022-04-29 Wexford L 0-338.4 1006 1016 42.14% 28.16% 29.71%-0.10 -24.5 2
2022-04-29 @ Athlone Town W 3-038.4 1016 1006 29.71% 28.16% 42.14%+0.10 +24.5 14
2022-05-02 Athlone Town W 1-031.6 1222 982 70.42% 19.13% 10.45%+1.39 +2.5 20
2022-05-02 @ Waterford L 0-131.6 982 1222 10.45% 19.13% 70.42%-1.39 -2.4 2
2022-05-02 Bray Wanderers D 1-151.6 1041 1100 35.18% 28.43% 36.39%-0.40 +0.0 15
2022-05-02 @ Wexford D 1-151.6 1100 1041 36.39% 28.43% 35.18%+0.40 -0.0 12
2022-05-02 Longford Town W 2-033.9 1228 1158 52.45% 26.39% 21.16%+0.37 +9.8 29
2022-05-02 @ Galway United L 0-233.9 1158 1228 21.16% 26.39% 52.45%-0.37 -9.8 18
2022-05-02 Treaty United W 3-030.4 1281 1167 57.58% 24.84% 17.57%+0.63 +11.9 32
2022-05-02 @ Cork City L 0-330.4 1167 1281 17.57% 24.84% 57.58%-0.63 -11.9 16
2022-05-06 Cork City L 1-238.0 979 1292 12.16% 20.91% 66.93%-1.91 -2.8 2
2022-05-06 @ Athlone Town W 2-138.0 1292 979 66.93% 20.91% 12.16%+1.91 +2.8 35
2022-05-06 Galway United L 0-430.0 1027 1237 18.59% 25.35% 56.06%-1.30 -16.4 8
2022-05-06 @ Cobh Ramblers W 4-030.0 1237 1027 56.06% 25.35% 18.59%+1.30 +16.4 32
2022-05-06 Waterford L 1-439.1 1100 1224 26.81% 27.78% 45.40%-0.78 -14.7 12
2022-05-06 @ Bray Wanderers W 4-139.1 1224 1100 45.40% 27.78% 26.81%+0.78 +14.7 23
2022-05-07 Wexford W 2-140.9 1148 1041 56.90% 25.08% 18.02%+0.60 +4.2 21
2022-05-07 @ Longford Town L 1-240.9 1041 1148 18.02% 25.08% 56.90%-0.60 -4.2 15
2022-05-13 Bray Wanderers D 2-257.9 1155 1085 52.49% 26.38% 21.13%+0.37 -1.0 17
2022-05-13 @ Treaty United D 2-257.9 1085 1155 21.13% 26.38% 52.49%-0.37 +1.0 13
2022-05-13 Cobh Ramblers W 4-238.6 1239 1011 69.34% 19.70% 10.97%+1.32 +3.8 26
2022-05-13 @ Waterford L 2-438.6 1011 1239 10.97% 19.70% 69.34%-1.32 -3.8 8
2022-05-13 Galway United L 0-429.8 1036 1254 18.06% 25.09% 56.85%-1.34 -16.0 15
2022-05-13 @ Wexford W 4-029.8 1254 1036 56.85% 25.09% 18.06%+1.34 +16.0 35
2022-05-13 Longford Town L 1-242.4 976 1152 21.51% 26.51% 51.98%-1.09 -5.0 2
2022-05-13 @ Athlone Town W 2-142.4 1152 976 51.98% 26.51% 21.51%+1.09 +5.0 24
2022-05-16 Longford Town D 0-047.5 1154 1157 43.06% 28.07% 28.87%-0.06 -0.7 18
2022-05-16 @ Treaty United D 0-047.5 1157 1154 28.87% 28.07% 43.06%+0.06 +0.7 25
2022-05-20 Athlone Town W 3-024.8 1270 971 75.42% 16.35% 8.22%+1.73 +5.0 38
2022-05-20 @ Galway United L 0-324.8 971 1270 8.22% 16.35% 75.42%-1.73 -5.0 2
2022-05-20 Cobh Ramblers D 2-258.7 1153 1007 61.20% 23.48% 15.32%+0.83 -1.6 19
2022-05-20 @ Treaty United D 2-258.7 1007 1153 15.32% 23.48% 61.20%-0.83 +1.6 9
2022-05-20 Wexford D 1-154.9 1295 1020 73.46% 17.47% 9.07%+1.59 -3.0 36
2022-05-20 @ Cork City D 1-154.9 1020 1295 9.07% 17.47% 73.46%-1.59 +3.0 16
2022-05-21 Waterford L 0-335.6 1158 1243 31.70% 28.31% 39.99%-0.55 -19.8 25
2022-05-21 @ Longford Town W 3-035.6 1243 1158 39.99% 28.31% 31.70%+0.55 +19.8 29
2022-05-27 Athlone Town W 3-029.9 1086 966 58.29% 24.60% 17.12%+0.67 +11.6 16
2022-05-27 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-329.9 966 1086 17.12% 24.60% 58.29%-0.67 -11.6 2
2022-05-27 Cork City L 0-144.3 1275 1292 41.12% 28.24% 30.64%-0.15 -8.8 38
2022-05-27 @ Galway United W 1-044.3 1292 1275 30.64% 28.24% 41.12%+0.15 +8.8 39
2022-05-27 Longford Town L 2-445.5 1008 1138 26.19% 27.68% 46.13%-0.82 -9.1 9
2022-05-27 @ Cobh Ramblers W 4-245.5 1138 1008 46.13% 27.68% 26.19%+0.82 +9.1 28
2022-05-27 Treaty United W 4-029.8 1263 1152 57.27% 24.95% 17.78%+0.62 +15.7 32
2022-05-27 @ Waterford L 0-429.8 1152 1263 17.78% 24.95% 57.27%-0.62 -15.7 19
2022-06-10 Bray Wanderers D 1-152.0 1147 1098 49.96% 26.98% 23.06%+0.25 -1.2 29
2022-06-10 @ Longford Town D 1-152.0 1098 1147 23.06% 26.98% 49.96%-0.25 +1.2 17
2022-06-10 Cobh Ramblers W 5-244.4 955 999 37.32% 28.42% 34.26%-0.31 +15.3 5
2022-06-10 @ Athlone Town L 2-544.4 999 955 34.26% 28.42% 37.32%+0.31 -15.3 9
2022-06-10 Treaty United D 1-151.7 1024 1136 28.19% 27.98% 43.82%-0.71 +0.7 17
2022-06-10 @ Wexford D 1-151.7 1136 1024 43.82% 27.98% 28.19%+0.71 -0.7 20
2022-06-17 Athlone Town W 2-139.1 1135 970 63.14% 22.66% 14.19%+0.94 +3.3 23
2022-06-17 @ Treaty United L 1-239.1 970 1135 14.19% 22.66% 63.14%-0.94 -3.3 5
2022-06-17 Galway United L 1-535.9 1099 1266 22.35% 26.78% 50.87%-1.04 -16.2 17
2022-06-17 @ Bray Wanderers W 5-135.9 1266 1099 50.87% 26.78% 22.35%+1.04 +16.3 41
2022-06-17 Wexford L 0-337.2 984 1024 37.90% 28.40% 33.69%-0.28 -22.6 9
2022-06-17 @ Cobh Ramblers W 3-037.2 1024 984 33.69% 28.40% 37.90%+0.28 +22.6 20
2022-06-18 Cork City D 1-152.2 1146 1301 23.54% 27.11% 49.36%-0.97 +1.1 30
2022-06-18 @ Longford Town D 1-152.2 1301 1146 49.36% 27.11% 23.54%+0.97 -1.2 40
2022-06-24 Bray Wanderers W 1-033.0 1278 1083 66.19% 21.27% 12.54%+1.12 +3.0 35
2022-06-24 @ Waterford L 0-133.0 1083 1278 12.54% 21.27% 66.19%-1.12 -3.0 17
2022-06-24 Cobh Ramblers W 1-029.2 1300 961 78.57% 14.50% 6.93%+1.97 +1.5 43
2022-06-24 @ Cork City L 0-129.2 961 1300 6.93% 14.50% 78.57%-1.97 -1.5 9
2022-06-24 Longford Town W 2-149.1 1047 1147 29.67% 28.15% 42.18%-0.64 +8.4 23
2022-06-24 @ Wexford L 1-249.1 1147 1047 42.18% 28.15% 29.67%+0.64 -8.4 30
2022-06-24 Treaty United D 0-049.0 1282 1139 60.88% 23.61% 15.51%+0.81 -2.4 42
2022-06-24 @ Galway United D 0-049.0 1139 1282 15.51% 23.61% 60.88%-0.81 +2.4 24
2022-06-27 Cork City L 0-532.5 1141 1301 23.00% 26.96% 50.04%-1.00 -24.6 24
2022-06-27 @ Treaty United W 5-032.5 1301 1141 50.04% 26.96% 23.00%+1.00 +24.6 46
2022-06-27 Galway United W 2-042.2 1139 1280 24.97% 27.44% 47.59%-0.88 +18.5 33
2022-06-27 @ Longford Town L 0-242.2 1280 1139 47.59% 27.44% 24.97%+0.88 -18.5 42
2022-06-27 Waterford L 2-535.5 967 1281 12.11% 20.86% 67.04%-1.91 -5.8 5
2022-06-27 @ Athlone Town W 5-235.5 1281 967 67.04% 20.86% 12.11%+1.91 +5.8 38
2022-06-27 Wexford D 2-257.5 1080 1055 46.78% 27.58% 25.64%+0.10 -0.7 18
2022-06-27 @ Bray Wanderers D 2-257.5 1055 1080 25.64% 27.58% 46.78%-0.10 +0.7 24
2022-07-01 Athlone Town W 3-138.5 1056 961 55.44% 25.55% 19.01%+0.52 +7.7 27
2022-07-01 @ Wexford L 1-338.5 961 1056 19.01% 25.55% 55.44%-0.52 -7.7 5
2022-07-01 Cork City L 1-337.3 1079 1326 15.96% 23.91% 60.13%-1.51 -6.4 18
2022-07-01 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-137.3 1326 1079 60.13% 23.91% 15.96%+1.51 +6.4 49
2022-07-01 Treaty United L 0-234.6 960 1116 23.36% 27.06% 49.58%-0.98 -10.7 9
2022-07-01 @ Cobh Ramblers W 2-034.6 1116 960 49.58% 27.06% 23.36%+0.98 +10.7 27
2022-07-01 Waterford W 1-041.4 1261 1287 39.95% 28.32% 31.73%-0.20 +7.2 45
2022-07-01 @ Galway United L 0-141.4 1287 1261 31.73% 28.32% 39.95%+0.20 -7.2 38
2022-07-08 Bray Wanderers L 1-244.6 953 1073 27.40% 27.88% 44.72%-0.75 -6.1 5
2022-07-08 @ Athlone Town W 2-144.6 1073 953 44.72% 27.88% 27.40%+0.75 +6.1 21
2022-07-08 Cobh Ramblers W 3-024.3 1269 949 77.11% 15.37% 7.52%+1.86 +4.5 48
2022-07-08 @ Galway United L 0-324.3 949 1269 7.52% 15.37% 77.11%-1.86 -4.5 9
2022-07-08 Longford Town W 3-035.6 1127 1157 39.32% 28.35% 32.33%-0.22 +20.1 30
2022-07-08 @ Treaty United L 0-335.6 1157 1127 32.33% 28.35% 39.32%+0.22 -20.1 33
2022-07-08 Wexford L 1-351.8 1280 1064 68.20% 20.28% 11.52%+1.24 -21.4 38
2022-07-08 @ Waterford W 3-151.8 1064 1280 11.52% 20.28% 68.20%-1.24 +21.4 30
2022-07-15 Galway United D 0-048.8 1332 1273 51.19% 26.70% 22.10%+0.31 -1.4 50
2022-07-15 @ Cork City D 0-048.8 1273 1332 22.10% 26.70% 51.19%-0.31 +1.5 49
2022-07-15 Treaty United L 0-238.2 1079 1147 33.90% 28.41% 37.69%-0.45 -14.3 21
2022-07-15 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-038.2 1147 1079 37.69% 28.41% 33.90%+0.45 +14.3 33
2022-07-15 Waterford L 0-527.2 945 1258 12.13% 20.88% 66.99%-1.91 -12.8 9
2022-07-15 @ Cobh Ramblers W 5-027.2 1258 945 66.99% 20.88% 12.13%+1.91 +12.8 41
2022-07-16 Athlone Town L 1-351.3 1137 947 65.64% 21.53% 12.83%+1.09 -20.8 33
2022-07-16 @ Longford Town W 3-151.3 947 1137 12.83% 21.53% 65.64%-1.09 +20.8 8
2022-07-22 Bray Wanderers W 3-147.4 932 1064 25.88% 27.62% 46.50%-0.83 +15.8 12
2022-07-22 @ Cobh Ramblers L 1-347.4 1064 932 46.50% 27.62% 25.88%+0.83 -15.8 21
2022-07-22 Cork City L 0-135.0 1085 1331 16.02% 23.94% 60.04%-1.51 -4.0 30
2022-07-22 @ Wexford W 1-035.0 1331 1085 60.04% 23.94% 16.02%+1.51 +3.9 53
2022-07-22 Galway United L 1-335.3 968 1275 12.50% 21.23% 66.26%-1.87 -4.9 8
2022-07-22 @ Athlone Town W 3-135.3 1275 968 66.26% 21.23% 12.50%+1.87 +4.9 52
2022-07-22 Longford Town L 1-253.7 1271 1116 62.07% 23.12% 14.80%+0.88 -11.5 41
2022-07-22 @ Waterford W 2-153.7 1116 1271 14.80% 23.12% 62.07%-0.88 +11.5 36
2022-08-05 Athlone Town W 6-126.0 1335 963 80.94% 13.06% 6.00%+2.17 +4.6 56
2022-08-05 @ Cork City L 1-626.0 963 1335 6.00% 13.06% 80.94%-2.17 -4.6 8
2022-08-05 Waterford L 1-245.7 1162 1260 29.94% 28.18% 41.88%-0.63 -6.5 33
2022-08-05 @ Treaty United W 2-145.7 1260 1162 41.88% 28.18% 29.94%+0.63 +6.5 44
2022-08-05 Wexford D 2-259.5 1279 1081 66.49% 21.13% 12.39%+1.14 -1.9 53
2022-08-05 @ Galway United D 2-259.5 1081 1279 12.39% 21.13% 66.49%-1.14 +1.9 31
2022-08-06 Cobh Ramblers W 2-030.1 1128 948 64.69% 21.97% 13.34%+1.03 +6.1 39
2022-08-06 @ Longford Town L 0-230.1 948 1128 13.34% 21.97% 64.69%-1.03 -6.1 12
2022-08-12 Cobh Ramblers D 2-258.6 1083 941 60.65% 23.71% 15.65%+0.80 -1.6 32
2022-08-12 @ Wexford D 2-258.6 941 1083 15.65% 23.71% 60.65%-0.80 +1.6 13
2022-08-12 Galway United W 2-146.0 1266 1278 41.98% 28.17% 29.85%-0.11 +6.5 47
2022-08-12 @ Waterford L 1-246.0 1278 1266 29.85% 28.17% 41.98%+0.11 -6.5 53
2022-08-12 Longford Town L 0-335.4 1049 1134 31.61% 28.31% 40.09%-0.55 -19.8 21
2022-08-12 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-035.4 1134 1049 40.09% 28.31% 31.61%+0.55 +19.8 42
2022-08-12 Treaty United L 0-246.0 1339 1155 65.10% 21.78% 13.12%+1.06 -23.8 56
2022-08-12 @ Cork City W 2-046.0 1155 1339 13.12% 21.78% 65.10%-1.06 +23.8 36
2022-08-15 Waterford D 0-048.6 1316 1273 49.11% 27.15% 23.73%+0.21 -1.2 57
2022-08-15 @ Cork City D 0-048.6 1273 1316 23.73% 27.15% 49.11%-0.21 +1.2 48
2022-08-19 Bray Wanderers L 1-255.0 1271 1029 70.60% 19.03% 10.37%+1.40 -12.6 53
2022-08-19 @ Galway United W 2-155.0 1029 1271 10.37% 19.03% 70.60%-1.40 +12.6 24
2022-08-19 Cork City L 1-236.4 943 1314 9.59% 18.12% 72.29%-2.25 -2.1 13
2022-08-19 @ Cobh Ramblers W 2-136.4 1314 943 72.29% 18.12% 9.59%+2.25 +2.1 60
2022-08-19 Treaty United W 2-044.1 959 1179 17.84% 24.98% 57.18%-1.35 +21.5 11
2022-08-19 @ Athlone Town L 0-244.1 1179 959 57.18% 24.98% 17.84%+1.35 -21.5 36
2022-08-20 Wexford W 1-036.9 1154 1081 52.81% 26.30% 20.89%+0.39 +5.1 45
2022-08-20 @ Longford Town L 0-136.9 1081 1154 20.89% 26.30% 52.81%-0.39 -5.1 32
2022-09-02 Athlone Town W 2-034.0 1042 980 51.45% 26.64% 21.91%+0.32 +10.1 27
2022-09-02 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-234.0 980 1042 21.91% 26.64% 51.45%-0.32 -10.1 11
2022-09-02 Cobh Ramblers W 1-032.3 1157 941 68.21% 20.27% 11.52%+1.25 +2.7 39
2022-09-02 @ Treaty United L 0-132.3 941 1157 11.52% 20.27% 68.21%-1.25 -2.7 13
2022-09-02 Longford Town D 2-259.2 1316 1159 62.34% 23.01% 14.65%+0.89 -1.7 61
2022-09-02 @ Cork City D 2-259.2 1159 1316 14.65% 23.01% 62.34%-0.89 +1.7 46
2022-09-02 Waterford D 2-258.1 1076 1274 19.58% 25.79% 54.62%-1.22 +1.2 33
2022-09-02 @ Wexford D 2-258.1 1274 1076 54.62% 25.79% 19.58%+1.22 -1.2 49
2022-09-09 Bray Wanderers W 2-140.9 1160 1052 57.01% 25.04% 17.95%+0.60 +4.2 42
2022-09-09 @ Treaty United L 1-240.9 1052 1160 17.95% 25.04% 57.01%-0.60 -4.2 27
2022-09-09 Cork City L 1-248.7 1273 1315 37.69% 28.41% 33.90%-0.29 -7.8 49
2022-09-09 @ Waterford W 2-148.7 1315 1273 33.90% 28.41% 37.69%+0.29 +7.7 64
2022-09-09 Galway United D 1-153.9 938 1258 11.82% 20.58% 67.60%-1.95 +2.6 14
2022-09-09 @ Cobh Ramblers D 1-153.9 1258 938 67.60% 20.58% 11.82%+1.95 -2.6 54
2022-09-09 Wexford W 2-040.8 970 1077 28.83% 28.06% 43.11%-0.68 +17.1 14
2022-09-09 @ Athlone Town L 0-240.8 1077 970 43.11% 28.06% 28.83%+0.68 -17.1 33
2022-09-16 Athlone Town L 1-344.8 941 987 37.03% 28.42% 34.54%-0.32 -13.2 14
2022-09-16 @ Cobh Ramblers W 3-144.8 987 941 34.54% 28.42% 37.03%+0.32 +13.2 17
2022-09-16 Cork City W 2-148.5 1256 1322 34.14% 28.42% 37.45%-0.44 +7.7 57
2022-09-16 @ Galway United L 1-248.5 1322 1256 37.45% 28.42% 34.14%+0.44 -7.7 64
2022-09-24 Treaty United D 1-151.8 1161 1164 43.02% 28.07% 28.91%-0.06 -0.6 47
2022-09-24 @ Longford Town D 1-151.8 1164 1161 28.91% 28.07% 43.02%+0.06 +0.6 43
2022-09-25 Waterford L 0-330.4 1047 1265 18.02% 25.07% 56.91%-1.34 -12.2 27
2022-09-25 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-030.4 1265 1047 56.91% 25.07% 18.02%+1.34 +12.2 52
2022-09-30 Bray Wanderers W 4-245.3 1060 1035 46.84% 27.57% 25.60%+0.11 +8.9 36
2022-09-30 @ Wexford L 2-445.3 1035 1060 25.60% 27.57% 46.84%-0.11 -8.9 27
2022-09-30 Cobh Ramblers W 3-131.4 1277 928 79.40% 14.00% 6.60%+2.04 +2.3 55
2022-09-30 @ Waterford L 1-331.4 928 1277 6.60% 14.00% 79.40%-2.04 -2.3 14
2022-09-30 Galway United D 1-151.9 1165 1263 29.90% 28.18% 41.92%-0.63 +0.5 44
2022-09-30 @ Treaty United D 1-151.9 1263 1165 41.92% 28.18% 29.90%+0.63 -0.5 58
2022-09-30 Longford Town D 2-257.7 1000 1160 23.06% 26.98% 49.96%-0.99 +0.9 18
2022-09-30 @ Athlone Town D 2-257.7 1160 1000 49.96% 26.98% 23.06%+0.99 -0.9 48
2022-10-03 Waterford L 1-244.8 1159 1280 27.25% 27.85% 44.90%-0.76 -6.1 48
2022-10-03 @ Longford Town W 2-144.8 1280 1159 44.90% 27.85% 27.25%+0.76 +6.1 58
2022-10-07 Athlone Town L 1-255.2 1263 1001 72.33% 18.10% 9.57%+1.51 -12.9 58
2022-10-07 @ Galway United W 2-155.2 1001 1263 9.57% 18.10% 72.33%-1.51 +12.8 21
2022-10-07 Longford Town L 2-441.9 925 1153 17.28% 24.69% 58.04%-1.40 -6.2 14
2022-10-07 @ Cobh Ramblers W 4-241.9 1153 925 58.04% 24.69% 17.28%+1.40 +6.2 51
2022-10-07 Treaty United W 3-030.1 1286 1165 58.36% 24.57% 17.07%+0.67 +11.6 61
2022-10-07 @ Waterford L 0-330.1 1165 1286 17.07% 24.57% 58.36%-0.67 -11.6 44
2022-10-07 Wexford D 0-050.4 1315 1069 70.91% 18.87% 10.22%+1.42 -3.2 65
2022-10-07 @ Cork City D 0-050.4 1069 1315 10.22% 18.87% 70.91%-1.42 +3.2 37
2022-10-14 Cobh Ramblers L 1-545.5 1026 919 56.87% 25.09% 18.04%+0.60 -33.9 27
2022-10-14 @ Bray Wanderers W 5-145.5 919 1026 18.04% 25.09% 56.87%-0.60 +33.9 17
2022-10-14 Cork City W 3-259.4 1014 1312 12.97% 21.65% 65.37%-1.81 +11.3 24
2022-10-14 @ Athlone Town L 2-359.4 1312 1014 65.37% 21.65% 12.97%+1.81 -11.3 65
2022-10-14 Galway United D 0-048.0 1072 1250 21.34% 26.46% 52.20%-1.10 +1.6 38
2022-10-14 @ Wexford D 0-048.0 1250 1072 52.20% 26.46% 21.34%+1.10 -1.5 59
2022-10-21 Athlone Town W 4-237.5 1297 1026 73.22% 17.61% 9.18%+1.58 +3.1 64
2022-10-21 @ Waterford L 2-437.5 1026 1297 9.18% 17.61% 73.22%-1.58 -3.0 24
2022-10-21 Bray Wanderers W 2-026.7 1300 992 76.20% 15.90% 7.90%+1.79 +3.3 68
2022-10-21 @ Cork City L 0-226.7 992 1300 7.90% 15.90% 76.20%-1.79 -3.3 27
2022-10-21 Longford Town D 3-362.4 1249 1159 54.80% 25.74% 19.46%+0.49 -1.0 60
2022-10-21 @ Galway United D 3-362.4 1159 1249 19.46% 25.74% 54.80%-0.49 +1.0 52
2022-10-21 Wexford L 0-243.5 1154 1074 53.69% 26.06% 20.25%+0.43 -20.4 44
2022-10-21 @ Treaty United W 2-043.5 1074 1154 20.25% 26.06% 53.69%-0.43 +20.4 41

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2022-10-26 Galway United D 2-2 1160 1248 31.36% 28.29% 40.35%-0.56 +0.3 0-0-1
2022-10-26 @ Longford Town D 2-2 1248 1160 40.35% 28.29% 31.36%+0.56 -0.3 0-0-1
2022-10-26 Waterford L 1-4 1133 1300 22.34% 26.77% 50.89%-1.04 -12.6 0-1
2022-10-26 @ Treaty United W 4-1 1300 1133 50.89% 26.77% 22.34%+1.04 +12.6 1-0
2022-10-29 Treaty United D 3-3 1313 1121 65.87% 21.42% 12.71%+1.10 -1.6 1-0-1
2022-10-29 @ Waterford D 3-3 1121 1313 12.71% 21.42% 65.87%-1.10 +1.5 0-1-1
2022-10-30 Longford Town W 3-0 1247 1161 54.50% 25.83% 19.67%+0.47 +13.3 1-0-1
2022-10-30 @ Galway United L 0-3 1161 1247 19.67% 25.83% 54.50%-0.47 -13.3 0-1-1
2022-11-04 Waterford L 0-3 1261 1311 36.39% 28.43% 35.17%-0.35 -21.9 1-1-1
2022-11-04 @ Galway United W 3-0 1311 1261 35.17% 28.43% 36.39%+0.35 +21.9 2-0-1
2022-11-11 UC Dublin L 0-1 1333 1180 61.96% 23.17% 14.87%+0.87 -12.2 2-1-1
2022-11-11 @ Waterford W 1-0 1180 1333 14.87% 23.17% 61.96%-0.87 +12.2 1-0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2022-10-07 9.57% Athlone Town 1001 2 @ Galway United 1263 1
2 2022-08-19 10.37% Bray Wanderers 1029 2 @ Galway United 1271 1
3 2022-07-08 11.52% Wexford 1064 3 @ Waterford 1280 1
4 2022-07-16 12.83% Athlone Town 947 3 @ Longford Town 1137 1
5 2022-10-14 12.97% @ Athlone Town 1014 3 Cork City 1312 2
6 2022-08-12 13.12% Treaty United 1155 2 @ Cork City 1339 0
7 2022-07-22 14.80% Longford Town 1116 2 @ Waterford 1271 1
8 2022-08-19 17.84% @ Athlone Town 959 2 Treaty United 1179 0
9 2022-10-14 18.04% Cobh Ramblers 919 5 @ Bray Wanderers 1026 1
10 2022-10-21 20.25% Wexford 1074 2 @ Treaty United 1154 0
11 2022-02-25 22.25% Wexford 1026 3 @ Cobh Ramblers 1084 2
12 2022-02-25 24.58% Galway United 1175 1 @ Cork City 1209 0
13 2022-06-27 24.97% @ Longford Town 1139 2 Galway United 1280 0
14 2022-04-15 25.27% Galway United 1202 1 @ Waterford 1230 0
15 2022-03-14 25.60% Bray Wanderers 1100 2 @ Longford Town 1125 1
16 2022-07-22 25.88% @ Cobh Ramblers 932 3 Bray Wanderers 1064 1
17 2022-02-18 27.90% Cork City 1161 6 @ Bray Wanderers 1165 0
18 2022-09-09 28.83% @ Athlone Town 970 2 Wexford 1077 0
19 2022-06-24 29.67% @ Wexford 1047 2 Longford Town 1147 1
20 2022-04-29 29.71% Wexford 1016 3 @ Athlone Town 1006 0
21 2022-05-27 30.64% Cork City 1292 1 @ Galway United 1275 0
22 2022-03-14 31.39% Cobh Ramblers 1068 3 @ Athlone Town 1044 2
23 2022-03-18 32.81% Bray Wanderers 1109 1 @ Cobh Ramblers 1075 0
24 2022-03-18 32.87% Cork City 1220 4 @ Treaty United 1186 0
25 2022-03-25 33.42% @ Longford Town 1136 2 Galway United 1208 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-02-18 48.51 Cork City 6 1161 27.90% @ Bray Wanderers 0 1165 44.15% 27.95%
2 2022-10-14 33.87 Cobh Ramblers 5 919 18.04% @ Bray Wanderers 1 1026 56.87% 25.09%
3 2022-03-18 30.00 Cork City 4 1220 32.87% @ Treaty United 0 1186 38.76% 28.38%
4 2022-06-27 24.64 Cork City 5 1301 50.04% @ Treaty United 0 1141 23.00% 26.96%
5 2022-04-29 24.47 Wexford 3 1016 29.71% @ Athlone Town 0 1006 42.14% 28.16%
6 2022-08-12 23.84 Treaty United 2 1155 13.12% @ Cork City 0 1339 65.10% 21.78%
7 2022-06-17 22.60 Wexford 3 1024 33.69% @ Cobh Ramblers 0 984 37.90% 28.40%
8 2022-08-19 21.52 @ Athlone Town 2 959 17.84% Treaty United 0 1179 57.18% 24.98%
9 2022-07-08 21.37 Wexford 3 1064 11.52% @ Waterford 1 1280 68.20% 20.28%
10 2022-04-08 21.09 Waterford 4 1209 48.20% @ Cobh Ramblers 0 1063 24.47% 27.33%
11 2022-07-16 20.77 Athlone Town 3 947 12.83% @ Longford Town 1 1137 65.64% 21.53%
12 2022-10-21 20.44 Wexford 2 1074 20.25% @ Treaty United 0 1154 53.69% 26.06%
13 2022-03-18 20.33 Longford Town 3 1116 38.87% @ Wexford 0 1039 32.76% 28.37%
14 2022-07-08 20.12 @ Treaty United 3 1127 39.32% Longford Town 0 1157 32.33% 28.35%
15 2022-05-21 19.83 Waterford 3 1243 39.99% @ Longford Town 0 1158 31.70% 28.31%
16 2022-08-12 19.78 Longford Town 3 1134 40.09% @ Bray Wanderers 0 1049 31.61% 28.31%
17 2022-02-18 18.60 Treaty United 5 1175 46.12% @ Wexford 1 1045 26.20% 27.68%
18 2022-06-27 18.54 @ Longford Town 2 1139 24.97% Galway United 0 1280 47.59% 27.44%
19 2022-09-09 17.14 @ Athlone Town 2 970 28.83% Wexford 0 1077 43.11% 28.06%
20 2022-05-06 16.44 Galway United 4 1237 56.06% @ Cobh Ramblers 0 1027 18.59% 25.35%
21 2022-06-17 16.26 Galway United 5 1266 50.87% @ Bray Wanderers 1 1099 22.35% 26.78%
22 2022-05-13 15.98 Galway United 4 1254 56.85% @ Wexford 0 1036 18.06% 25.09%
23 2022-07-22 15.76 @ Cobh Ramblers 3 932 25.88% Bray Wanderers 1 1064 46.50% 27.62%
24 2022-05-27 15.74 @ Waterford 4 1263 57.27% Treaty United 0 1152 17.78% 24.95%
25 2022-06-10 15.34 @ Athlone Town 5 955 37.32% Cobh Ramblers 2 999 34.26% 28.42%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-10-21 62.4 @ Galway United 3 1249 54.80% Longford Town 3 1159 19.46% 25.74%
2 2022-08-05 59.5 @ Galway United 2 1279 66.49% Wexford 2 1081 12.39% 21.13%
3 2022-10-14 59.4 @ Athlone Town 3 1014 12.97% Cork City 2 1312 65.37% 21.65%
4 2022-09-02 59.2 @ Cork City 2 1316 62.34% Longford Town 2 1159 14.65% 23.01%
5 2022-05-20 58.7 @ Treaty United 2 1153 61.20% Cobh Ramblers 2 1007 15.32% 23.48%
6 2022-08-12 58.6 @ Wexford 2 1083 60.65% Cobh Ramblers 2 941 15.65% 23.71%
7 2022-09-02 58.1 @ Wexford 2 1076 19.58% Waterford 2 1274 54.62% 25.79%
8 2022-05-13 57.9 @ Treaty United 2 1155 52.49% Bray Wanderers 2 1085 21.13% 26.38%
9 2022-09-30 57.7 @ Athlone Town 2 1000 23.06% Longford Town 2 1160 49.96% 26.98%
10 2022-06-27 57.5 @ Bray Wanderers 2 1080 46.78% Wexford 2 1055 25.64% 27.58%
11 2022-03-04 57.4 @ Galway United 2 1185 37.43% Waterford 2 1228 34.16% 28.42%
12 2022-02-25 56.6 Wexford 3 1026 22.25% @ Cobh Ramblers 2 1084 51.00% 26.75%
13 2022-10-07 55.2 Athlone Town 2 1001 9.57% @ Galway United 1 1263 72.33% 18.10%
14 2022-08-19 55.0 Bray Wanderers 2 1029 10.37% @ Galway United 1 1271 70.60% 19.03%
15 2022-05-20 54.9 @ Cork City 1 1295 73.46% Wexford 1 1020 9.07% 17.47%
16 2022-09-09 53.9 @ Cobh Ramblers 1 938 11.82% Galway United 1 1258 67.60% 20.58%
17 2022-03-14 53.8 Cobh Ramblers 3 1068 31.39% @ Athlone Town 2 1044 40.32% 28.29%
18 2022-07-22 53.7 Longford Town 2 1116 14.80% @ Waterford 1 1271 62.07% 23.12%
19 2022-04-09 53.6 @ Galway United 1 1204 65.42% Wexford 1 1017 12.94% 21.63%
20 2022-04-29 53.1 Galway United 3 1220 34.49% @ Treaty United 2 1174 37.09% 28.42%
21 2022-04-01 52.3 @ Waterford 1 1210 52.03% Longford Town 1 1144 21.47% 26.50%
22 2022-04-29 52.2 @ Bray Wanderers 1 1101 53.22% Cobh Ramblers 1 1026 20.59% 26.19%
23 2022-06-18 52.2 @ Longford Town 1 1146 23.54% Cork City 1 1301 49.36% 27.11%
24 2022-04-15 52.0 @ Athlone Town 1 1011 22.97% Treaty United 1 1171 50.07% 26.96%
25 2022-06-10 52.0 @ Longford Town 1 1147 49.96% Bray Wanderers 1 1098 23.06% 26.98%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-07-08 24.3 @ Galway United 3 1269 77.11% Cobh Ramblers 0 949 7.52% 15.37%
2 2022-05-20 24.8 @ Galway United 3 1270 75.42% Athlone Town 0 971 8.22% 16.35%
3 2022-08-05 26.0 @ Cork City 6 1335 80.94% Athlone Town 1 963 6.00% 13.06%
4 2022-10-21 26.7 @ Cork City 2 1300 76.20% Bray Wanderers 0 992 7.90% 15.90%
5 2022-07-15 27.2 Waterford 5 1258 66.99% @ Cobh Ramblers 0 945 12.13% 20.88%
6 2022-06-24 29.2 @ Cork City 1 1300 78.57% Cobh Ramblers 0 961 6.93% 14.50%
7 2022-05-13 29.8 Galway United 4 1254 56.85% @ Wexford 0 1036 18.06% 25.09%
8 2022-05-27 29.8 @ Waterford 4 1263 57.27% Treaty United 0 1152 17.78% 24.95%
9 2022-05-27 29.9 @ Bray Wanderers 3 1086 58.29% Athlone Town 0 966 17.12% 24.60%
10 2022-05-06 30.0 Galway United 4 1237 56.06% @ Cobh Ramblers 0 1027 18.59% 25.35%
11 2022-08-06 30.1 @ Longford Town 2 1128 64.69% Cobh Ramblers 0 948 13.34% 21.97%
12 2022-10-07 30.1 @ Waterford 3 1286 58.36% Treaty United 0 1165 17.07% 24.57%
13 2022-05-02 30.4 @ Cork City 3 1281 57.58% Treaty United 0 1167 17.57% 24.84%
14 2022-09-25 30.4 Waterford 3 1265 56.91% @ Bray Wanderers 0 1047 18.02% 25.07%
15 2022-04-04 31.4 @ Treaty United 2 1164 60.28% Athlone Town 0 1026 15.87% 23.85%
16 2022-09-30 31.4 @ Waterford 3 1277 79.40% Cobh Ramblers 1 928 6.60% 14.00%
17 2022-05-02 31.6 @ Waterford 1 1222 70.42% Athlone Town 0 982 10.45% 19.13%
18 2022-04-09 31.8 @ Longford Town 2 1145 59.09% Athlone Town 0 1018 16.61% 24.31%
19 2022-03-11 31.9 @ Cork City 2 1199 58.69% Cobh Ramblers 0 1076 16.86% 24.45%
20 2022-03-25 32.1 @ Cork City 4 1250 68.44% Athlone Town 1 1032 11.40% 20.16%
21 2022-04-12 32.3 @ Longford Town 2 1153 57.33% Cobh Ramblers 0 1042 17.74% 24.93%
22 2022-09-02 32.3 @ Treaty United 1 1157 68.21% Cobh Ramblers 0 941 11.52% 20.27%
23 2022-04-08 32.4 Waterford 4 1209 48.20% @ Cobh Ramblers 0 1063 24.47% 27.33%
24 2022-06-27 32.5 Cork City 5 1301 50.04% @ Treaty United 0 1141 23.00% 26.96%
25 2022-04-22 32.7 @ Galway United 2 1212 56.23% Bray Wanderers 0 1110 18.47% 25.30%