Home / Leagues / Ireland / League of Ireland First Division / 2023
‹ ›

2023 League of Ireland First Division Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Galway United

17.18 points above expected

94 points · 76.82 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Kerry

21.23 points below expected

10 points · 31.23 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Galway United 36 30 4 2 94 98 18 +80 76.82 +17.18
2 Waterford 36 20 9 7 69 84 32 +52 74.59 -5.59
3 Cobh Ramblers 36 16 11 9 59 61 51 +10 46.32 +12.68
4 Wexford 36 15 8 13 53 48 49 -1 45.12 +7.88
5 Athlone Town 36 14 5 17 47 55 61 -6 46.85 +0.15
6 Treaty United 36 12 8 16 44 49 61 -12 44.41 -0.41
7 Bray Wanderers 36 10 14 12 44 48 62 -14 39.67 +4.33
8 Longford Town 36 10 10 16 40 39 51 -12 46.90 -6.90
9 Finn Harps 36 9 10 17 37 39 74 -35 44.09 -7.09
10 Kerry 36 1 7 28 10 29 91 -62 31.23 -21.23

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Galway United 94 76.82 +17.18
2 Cobh Ramblers 59 46.32 +12.68
3 Wexford 53 45.12 +7.88
4 Bray Wanderers 44 39.67 +4.33
5 Athlone Town 47 46.85 +0.15

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kerry 10 31.23 -21.23
2 Finn Harps 37 44.09 -7.09
3 Longford Town 40 46.90 -6.90
4 Waterford 69 74.59 -5.59
5 Treaty United 44 44.41 -0.41

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Galway United 11 Feb 17 – Apr 28 1 in 1,043
2 Cobh Ramblers 4 Jun 5 – Jun 30 1 in 193
3 Treaty United 4 Apr 28 – May 13 1 in 54
4 Waterford 6 Mar 31 – Apr 28 1 in 17
5 Bray Wanderers 2 Feb 17 – Feb 24 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Athlone Town 4 Sep 22 – Oct 14 1 in 55
2 Finn Harps 4 May 1 – May 19 1 in 40
3 Longford Town 4 Jun 2 – Jun 23 1 in 32
4 Kerry 8 Jun 5 – Aug 4 1 in 25
5 Waterford 2 May 1 – May 5 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bray Wanderers 6 Feb 17 – Mar 24 1 in 52
2 Cobh Ramblers 5 Jun 5 – Jul 7 1 in 35
3 Wexford 9 Aug 11 – Oct 15 1 in 32
4 Kerry 2 Oct 14 – Oct 20 1 in 20
5 Longford Town 4 Apr 22 – May 5 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kerry 22 May 19 – Oct 20 1 in 31
2 Longford Town 7 Sep 8 – Oct 20 1 in 28
3 Waterford 3 Sep 29 – Oct 14 1 in 17
4 Treaty United 6 Feb 17 – Mar 31 1 in 14
5 Bray Wanderers 8 Jun 30 – Aug 25 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Galway United 1517 94 +41 15 11.4 +3.6
Waterford 1395 69 +6 8 9.7 -1.7
Cobh Ramblers 1246 59 +10 8 9.6 -1.6
Wexford 1226 53 +17 8 6.6 +1.4
Athlone Town 1112 47 -85 1 6.7 -5.7
Treaty United 1166 44 +34 9 5.6 +3.4
Bray Wanderers 1100 44 +24 8 5.2 +2.8
Longford Town 1128 40 -40 2 6.3 -4.3
Finn Harps 1085 37 +21 7 5.5 +1.5
Kerry 909 10 -3 2 2.2 -0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AT BW CR FH GU KER LT TU WAT WEX
Athlone Town —
1-1-2
6.25
1-1-2
5.51
3-0-1
5.66
0-0-4
2.34
3-0-1
7.56
3-1-0
5.19
0-1-3
6.09
1-1-2
2.64
2-0-2
5.76
Bray Wanderers
2-1-1
4.71
 —
1-2-1
4.37
1-3-0
5.21
0-1-3
1.88
4-0-0
6.49
0-3-1
4.81
1-2-1
4.77
0-1-3
2.20
1-1-2
4.79
Cobh Ramblers
2-1-1
5.43
1-2-1
6.61
 —
2-1-1
6.02
0-1-3
2.43
2-2-0
7.03
3-1-0
5.53
3-1-0
5.47
2-0-2
2.62
1-2-1
5.46
Finn Harps
1-0-3
5.30
0-3-1
5.74
1-1-2
4.96
 —
0-1-3
2.61
2-2-0
7.49
2-1-1
5.27
2-0-2
4.85
0-0-4
2.40
1-2-1
5.29
Galway United
4-0-0
8.80
3-1-0
9.33
3-1-0
8.71
3-1-0
8.58
 —
4-0-0
9.47
2-0-2
8.85
4-0-0
8.51
3-1-0
5.89
4-0-0
8.77
Kerry
1-0-3
3.51
0-0-4
4.49
0-2-2
4.07
0-2-2
3.53
0-0-4
1.81
 —
0-1-3
3.27
0-1-3
4.13
0-1-3
1.39
0-0-4
3.47
Longford Town
0-1-3
5.77
1-3-0
6.14
0-1-3
5.44
1-1-2
5.68
2-0-2
2.29
3-1-0
7.76
 —
1-0-3
5.61
0-3-1
2.72
2-0-2
5.42
Treaty United
3-1-0
4.86
1-2-1
6.19
0-1-3
5.49
2-0-2
6.13
0-0-4
2.60
3-1-0
6.88
3-0-1
5.33
 —
0-1-3
2.42
0-2-2
5.04
Waterford
2-1-1
8.45
3-1-0
8.95
2-0-2
8.47
4-0-0
8.72
0-1-3
5.08
3-1-0
9.95
1-3-0
8.36
3-1-0
8.69
 —
2-1-1
8.32
Wexford
2-0-2
5.19
2-1-1
6.19
1-2-1
5.49
1-2-1
5.68
0-0-4
2.36
4-0-0
7.58
2-0-2
5.54
2-2-0
5.91
1-1-2
2.76
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.89 +9.8
Allowed 0.92 -10.3
Differential 0.95 +5.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%8.89%4.72%3.89%1.67%1.94%26.11%
18.89%10.00%5.28%3.06%3.33%1.11%31.67%
24.72%5.28%7.78%3.33%0.28%—21.39%
33.89%3.06%3.33%1.11%0.56%—11.94%
41.67%3.33%0.28%0.56%——5.83%
5+1.94%1.11%————3.06%
Total26.11%31.67%21.39%11.94%5.83%3.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.53 +0.00
SD 1.45 1.45 2.25
CV 0.95 0.95 —
Max 9 9 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%13.89%5.56%2.78%—2.78%27.78%
18.33%2.78%2.78%5.56%5.56%—25.00%
22.78%5.56%8.33%5.56%——22.22%
32.78%8.33%2.78%—2.78%—16.67%
4—8.33%————8.33%
5+———————
Total16.67%38.89%19.44%13.89%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.69 -0.17
SD 1.30 1.39 2.04
CV 0.85 0.82 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%—8.33%—2.78%19.44%
18.33%16.67%8.33%5.56%2.78%—41.67%
25.56%2.78%13.89%—2.78%—25.00%
3—5.56%5.56%2.78%——13.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.44%27.78%27.78%16.67%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.72 -0.39
SD 0.96 1.37 1.73
CV 0.72 0.79 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%2.78%5.56%——2.78%13.89%
116.67%8.33%5.56%2.78%2.78%—36.11%
28.33%5.56%13.89%———27.78%
32.78%—2.78%5.56%2.78%—13.89%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total30.56%25.00%27.78%8.33%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.42 +0.28
SD 1.21 1.32 1.78
CV 0.72 0.93 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%5.56%—5.56%2.78%33.33%
15.56%13.89%2.78%2.78%8.33%8.33%41.67%
22.78%5.56%5.56%———13.89%
32.78%—2.78%———5.56%
4—2.78%—2.78%——5.56%
5+———————
Total19.44%33.33%16.67%5.56%13.89%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 2.06 -0.97
SD 1.11 1.91 2.29
CV 1.02 0.93 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.56%————5.56%
119.44%5.56%————25.00%
211.11%5.56%5.56%———22.22%
38.33%8.33%————16.67%
48.33%11.11%————19.44%
5+8.33%2.78%————11.11%
Total55.56%38.89%5.56%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.72 0.50 +2.22
SD 1.92 0.61 2.03
CV 0.71 1.22 —
Max 9 2 +8
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%8.33%2.78%5.56%5.56%38.89%
1—11.11%16.67%8.33%5.56%2.78%44.44%
2——2.78%11.11%——13.89%
3——2.78%———2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total5.56%22.22%30.56%22.22%11.11%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 2.53 -1.72
SD 0.79 1.78 1.91
CV 0.98 0.70 —
Max 3 9 +1
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%13.89%5.56%5.56%2.78%—41.67%
18.33%8.33%2.78%2.78%——22.22%
22.78%5.56%5.56%11.11%——25.00%
32.78%—5.56%———8.33%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total27.78%27.78%22.22%19.44%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.42 -0.33
SD 1.13 1.18 1.47
CV 1.04 0.83 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.89%5.56%11.11%—2.78%33.33%
12.78%13.89%2.78%—5.56%—25.00%
25.56%2.78%8.33%2.78%——19.44%
35.56%2.78%8.33%———16.67%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+———————
Total16.67%36.11%25.00%13.89%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.69 -0.33
SD 1.27 1.43 2.23
CV 0.93 0.84 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%2.78%———16.67%
111.11%8.33%5.56%2.78%——27.78%
22.78%2.78%11.11%———16.67%
38.33%5.56%————13.89%
45.56%2.78%—2.78%——11.11%
5+8.33%5.56%————13.89%
Total41.67%33.33%19.44%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.33 0.89 +1.44
SD 2.01 0.92 2.36
CV 0.86 1.03 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%8.33%8.33%2.78%—30.56%
18.33%11.11%5.56%—2.78%—27.78%
25.56%16.67%2.78%2.78%——27.78%
35.56%—2.78%2.78%——11.11%
4———————
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total27.78%33.33%19.44%13.89%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.36 -0.03
SD 1.29 1.20 2.01
CV 0.97 0.88 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Galway United 1517 94 76.82 +17.18 100.0% 61 63 72 77 82 88 93
Waterford 1409 69 74.59 -5.59 23.0% 59 61 70 75 79 87 90
Cobh Ramblers 1251 59 46.32 +12.68 97.0% 31 34 42 46 52 58 62
Wexford 1216 53 45.12 +7.88 93.0% 28 33 41 45 49 54 62
Treaty United 1166 44 44.41 -0.41 54.0% 27 30 39 44 48 59 72
Longford Town 1128 40 46.90 -6.90 14.0% 27 34 43 47 51 58 66
Athlone Town 1110 47 46.85 +0.15 52.0% 33 36 42 47 51 57 68
Bray Wanderers 1100 44 39.67 +4.33 76.0% 22 27 35 40 44 52 59
Finn Harps 1085 37 44.09 -7.09 19.0% 21 30 39 45 50 56 61
Kerry 909 10 31.23 -21.23 0.0% 18 22 26 31 36 41 44

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+3.89%
No Edge
40.00%23.89%36.11%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 13.52 Elo pts.
166 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.18 goals
Neutral
-2+0.08+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.0
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
58%
Galway United, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.69/gm
Runaway
00.231/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.74 * Some Luck: 5.74 to 8.6 * Lucky: 8.6 to 11.47 * Wild Swing: 11.47 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.21 * Close: 1.21 to 1.82 * Off: 1.82 to 2.42 * Way Off: 2.42 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
10.57 points
Lucky
07.1718
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.40
Close
01.514
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
100.00%
Galway United
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
0.00%
Kerry
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Lopsided
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 170.53
2.76
Wide Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
69%
Clear Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
97%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
60%
Frequent
0%50%100%
Blowouts
Expected
24%
Very Frequent
0%27%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.42
Notable Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
2.45
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.04
Weak Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Upset-Prone
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.61
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.03
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.097
Well Within Noise
00.1200.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Galway United58.00%41.00%1.00%———————
Waterford42.00%55.00%3.00%———————
Cobh Ramblers—1.00%20.00%16.00%13.00%13.00%13.00%7.00%13.00%4.00%
Wexford——14.00%14.00%17.00%19.00%16.00%11.00%5.00%4.00%
Athlone Town—1.00%17.00%21.00%16.00%13.00%16.00%11.00%5.00%—
Treaty United—1.00%13.00%10.00%17.00%13.00%12.00%18.00%13.00%3.00%
Bray Wanderers——4.00%5.00%7.00%11.00%14.00%23.00%20.00%16.00%
Longford Town—1.00%18.00%11.00%21.00%19.00%11.00%9.00%8.00%2.00%
Finn Harps——10.00%23.00%9.00%11.00%12.00%12.00%16.00%7.00%
Kerry—————1.00%6.00%9.00%20.00%64.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Lost promotion playoff Same level
Galway United 58.00% 42.00% —
Athlone Town — 100% —
Bray Wanderers — 16.00% 84.00%
Cobh Ramblers — 100% —
Finn Harps — 42.00% 58.00%
Kerry — — 100%
Longford Town — 51.00% 49.00%
Treaty United — 41.00% 59.00%
Waterford — 100% —
Wexford — 100% —

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2023-02-17 Bray Wanderers L 0-146.8 1187 1099 54.90% 25.01% 20.08%+0.62 -15.7 0
2023-02-17 @ Treaty United W 1-046.8 1099 1187 20.08% 25.01% 54.90%-0.62 +15.7 3
2023-02-17 Cobh Ramblers L 0-246.0 1232 1075 61.93% 23.34% 14.72%+1.03 -32.9 0
2023-02-17 @ Kerry W 2-046.0 1075 1232 14.72% 23.34% 61.93%-1.03 +32.9 3
2023-02-17 Galway United L 1-247.2 1214 1265 37.01% 26.51% 36.49%-0.22 -10.8 0
2023-02-17 @ Finn Harps W 2-147.2 1265 1214 36.49% 26.51% 37.01%+0.22 +10.8 3
2023-02-17 Waterford L 0-334.0 1169 1320 24.29% 25.76% 49.95%-0.83 -22.5 0
2023-02-17 @ Wexford W 3-034.0 1320 1169 49.95% 25.76% 24.29%+0.83 +22.5 3
2023-02-18 Athlone Town L 1-349.6 1204 1121 54.29% 25.12% 20.59%+0.58 -25.4 0
2023-02-18 @ Longford Town W 3-149.6 1121 1204 20.59% 25.12% 54.29%-0.58 +25.4 3
2023-02-24 Finn Harps W 3-145.0 1146 1203 36.09% 26.51% 37.40%-0.26 +18.8 6
2023-02-24 @ Athlone Town L 1-345.0 1203 1146 37.40% 26.51% 36.09%+0.26 -18.8 0
2023-02-24 Kerry W 3-146.1 1114 1199 32.28% 26.43% 41.30%-0.43 +20.2 6
2023-02-24 @ Bray Wanderers L 1-346.1 1199 1114 41.30% 26.43% 32.28%+0.43 -20.2 0
2023-02-24 Longford Town D 1-152.9 1342 1179 62.51% 23.17% 14.32%+1.07 -3.2 4
2023-02-24 @ Waterford D 1-152.9 1179 1342 14.32% 23.17% 62.51%-1.07 +3.2 1
2023-02-24 Treaty United W 1-036.1 1275 1172 56.56% 24.69% 18.75%+0.71 +6.6 6
2023-02-24 @ Galway United L 0-136.1 1172 1275 18.75% 24.69% 56.56%-0.71 -6.6 0
2023-02-24 Wexford W 2-146.2 1107 1146 38.71% 26.49% 34.79%-0.15 +10.3 6
2023-02-24 @ Cobh Ramblers L 1-246.2 1146 1107 34.79% 26.49% 38.71%+0.15 -10.3 0
2023-03-03 Athlone Town W 3-036.7 1136 1165 40.08% 26.46% 33.46%-0.09 +29.0 3
2023-03-03 @ Wexford L 0-336.7 1165 1136 33.46% 26.46% 40.08%+0.09 -29.0 6
2023-03-03 Bray Wanderers D 1-151.7 1185 1135 50.42% 25.71% 23.87%+0.38 -1.7 1
2023-03-03 @ Finn Harps D 1-151.7 1135 1185 23.87% 25.71% 50.42%-0.38 +1.7 7
2023-03-03 Galway United L 0-146.9 1339 1282 51.26% 25.60% 23.15%+0.43 -14.8 4
2023-03-03 @ Waterford W 1-046.9 1282 1339 23.15% 25.60% 51.26%-0.43 +14.8 9
2023-03-03 Treaty United D 1-151.6 1179 1165 45.88% 26.17% 27.95%+0.17 -1.1 1
2023-03-03 @ Kerry D 1-151.6 1165 1179 27.95% 26.17% 45.88%-0.17 +1.1 1
2023-03-04 Cobh Ramblers D 0-047.7 1182 1118 52.10% 25.48% 22.42%+0.47 -2.1 2
2023-03-04 @ Longford Town D 0-047.7 1118 1182 22.42% 25.48% 52.10%-0.47 +2.1 7
2023-03-10 Cobh Ramblers L 0-341.4 1166 1120 49.98% 25.76% 24.26%+0.36 -39.7 1
2023-03-10 @ Treaty United W 3-041.4 1120 1166 24.26% 25.76% 49.98%-0.36 +39.7 10
2023-03-10 Kerry W 9-133.0 1297 1178 58.15% 24.34% 17.51%+0.80 +34.8 12
2023-03-10 @ Galway United L 1-933.0 1178 1297 17.51% 24.34% 58.15%-0.80 -34.8 1
2023-03-10 Longford Town D 0-047.4 1136 1180 38.05% 26.50% 35.45%-0.18 -0.2 8
2023-03-10 @ Bray Wanderers D 0-047.4 1180 1136 35.45% 26.50% 38.05%+0.18 +0.2 3
2023-03-10 Waterford L 0-136.8 1136 1324 20.59% 25.12% 54.29%-1.05 -7.1 6
2023-03-10 @ Athlone Town W 1-036.8 1324 1136 54.29% 25.12% 20.59%+1.05 +7.1 7
2023-03-10 Wexford D 0-047.6 1183 1165 46.42% 26.12% 27.46%+0.19 -1.3 2
2023-03-10 @ Finn Harps D 0-047.6 1165 1183 27.46% 26.12% 46.42%-0.19 +1.3 4
2023-03-17 Galway United L 0-235.0 1160 1332 22.12% 25.42% 52.46%-0.96 -14.3 10
2023-03-17 @ Cobh Ramblers W 2-035.0 1332 1160 52.46% 25.42% 22.12%+0.96 +14.3 15
2023-03-17 Kerry W 2-143.7 1166 1143 47.10% 26.06% 26.83%+0.22 +8.4 7
2023-03-17 @ Wexford L 1-243.7 1143 1166 26.83% 26.06% 47.10%-0.22 -8.4 1
2023-03-17 Treaty United D 2-256.9 1129 1126 44.38% 26.27% 29.35%+0.10 -0.7 7
2023-03-17 @ Athlone Town D 2-256.9 1126 1129 29.35% 26.27% 44.38%-0.10 +0.7 2
2023-03-18 Bray Wanderers D 2-258.4 1331 1136 65.33% 22.24% 12.42%+1.26 -2.7 8
2023-03-18 @ Waterford D 2-258.4 1136 1331 12.42% 22.24% 65.33%-1.26 +2.7 9
2023-03-18 Finn Harps L 0-144.0 1180 1182 43.83% 26.31% 29.87%+0.07 -13.0 3
2023-03-18 @ Longford Town W 1-044.0 1182 1180 29.87% 26.31% 43.83%-0.07 +13.0 5
2023-03-24 Athlone Town L 0-144.2 1135 1128 44.90% 26.24% 28.86%+0.12 -13.2 1
2023-03-24 @ Kerry W 1-044.2 1128 1135 28.86% 26.24% 44.90%-0.12 +13.2 10
2023-03-24 Cobh Ramblers D 2-257.1 1195 1145 50.35% 25.71% 23.94%+0.38 -1.2 6
2023-03-24 @ Finn Harps D 2-257.1 1145 1195 23.94% 25.71% 50.35%-0.38 +1.2 11
2023-03-24 Longford Town W 1-034.1 1346 1167 63.92% 22.73% 13.36%+1.16 +4.7 18
2023-03-24 @ Galway United L 0-134.1 1167 1346 13.36% 22.73% 63.92%-1.16 -4.7 3
2023-03-24 Wexford W 3-251.2 1139 1175 39.12% 26.49% 34.39%-0.13 +9.7 12
2023-03-24 @ Bray Wanderers L 2-351.2 1175 1139 34.39% 26.49% 39.12%+0.13 -9.7 7
2023-03-31 Bray Wanderers W 2-144.7 1146 1148 43.79% 26.31% 29.90%+0.07 +9.1 14
2023-03-31 @ Cobh Ramblers L 1-244.7 1148 1146 29.90% 26.31% 43.79%-0.07 -9.2 12
2023-03-31 Finn Harps W 7-133.1 1329 1193 59.79% 23.94% 16.27%+0.90 +24.8 11
2023-03-31 @ Waterford L 1-733.1 1193 1329 16.27% 23.94% 59.79%-0.90 -24.8 6
2023-03-31 Galway United L 1-339.1 1141 1351 18.73% 24.68% 56.59%-1.18 -10.7 10
2023-03-31 @ Athlone Town W 3-139.1 1351 1141 56.59% 24.68% 18.73%+1.18 +10.7 21
2023-03-31 Treaty United D 1-151.6 1165 1127 48.93% 25.88% 25.19%+0.31 -1.5 8
2023-03-31 @ Wexford D 1-151.6 1127 1165 25.19% 25.88% 48.93%-0.31 +1.5 3
2023-04-01 Kerry W 2-035.6 1162 1121 49.31% 25.84% 24.85%+0.33 +15.8 6
2023-04-01 @ Longford Town L 0-235.6 1121 1162 24.85% 25.84% 49.31%-0.33 -15.8 1
2023-04-07 Athlone Town W 1-039.3 1139 1131 45.18% 26.22% 28.60%+0.13 +9.4 15
2023-04-07 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-139.3 1131 1139 28.60% 26.22% 45.18%-0.13 -9.4 10
2023-04-07 Finn Harps D 1-151.4 1106 1168 35.26% 26.50% 38.24%-0.30 +0.2 2
2023-04-07 @ Kerry D 1-151.4 1168 1106 38.24% 26.50% 35.26%+0.30 -0.2 7
2023-04-07 Galway United L 0-431.8 1163 1361 19.70% 24.92% 55.37%-1.11 -24.5 8
2023-04-07 @ Wexford W 4-031.8 1361 1163 55.37% 24.92% 19.70%+1.11 +24.5 24
2023-04-07 Longford Town W 3-251.7 1129 1178 37.22% 26.51% 36.28%-0.22 +10.0 6
2023-04-07 @ Treaty United L 2-351.7 1178 1129 36.28% 26.51% 37.22%+0.22 -10.1 6
2023-04-07 Waterford L 1-339.6 1156 1353 19.71% 24.93% 55.36%-1.11 -11.2 14
2023-04-07 @ Cobh Ramblers W 3-139.6 1353 1156 55.36% 24.93% 19.71%+1.11 +11.2 14
2023-04-14 Bray Wanderers W 6-028.4 1386 1149 68.81% 20.90% 10.29%+1.51 +18.8 27
2023-04-14 @ Galway United L 0-628.4 1149 1386 10.29% 20.90% 68.81%-1.51 -18.9 15
2023-04-14 Cobh Ramblers W 2-038.1 1121 1144 40.92% 26.44% 32.64%-0.06 +19.6 13
2023-04-14 @ Athlone Town L 0-238.1 1144 1121 32.64% 26.44% 40.92%+0.06 -19.6 14
2023-04-14 Kerry W 1-032.0 1365 1106 70.49% 20.18% 9.33%+1.65 +3.2 17
2023-04-14 @ Waterford L 0-132.0 1106 1365 9.33% 20.18% 70.49%-1.65 -3.2 2
2023-04-14 Treaty United W 2-036.1 1168 1139 47.91% 25.99% 26.10%+0.26 +16.4 10
2023-04-14 @ Finn Harps L 0-236.1 1139 1168 26.10% 25.99% 47.91%-0.26 -16.4 6
2023-04-15 Wexford L 1-250.0 1168 1139 47.82% 26.00% 26.18%+0.26 -13.1 6
2023-04-15 @ Longford Town W 2-150.0 1139 1168 26.18% 26.00% 47.82%-0.26 +13.2 11
2023-04-21 Athlone Town W 4-345.9 1368 1141 67.98% 21.24% 10.78%+1.45 +3.3 20
2023-04-21 @ Waterford L 3-445.9 1141 1368 10.78% 21.24% 67.98%-1.45 -3.3 13
2023-04-21 Finn Harps L 0-142.7 1152 1185 39.58% 26.48% 33.95%-0.12 -12.0 11
2023-04-21 @ Wexford W 1-042.7 1185 1152 33.95% 26.48% 39.58%+0.12 +12.0 13
2023-04-21 Galway United L 1-434.5 1102 1405 12.31% 22.18% 65.51%-1.74 -10.0 2
2023-04-21 @ Kerry W 4-134.5 1405 1102 65.51% 22.18% 12.31%+1.74 +10.0 30
2023-04-21 Treaty United D 1-151.5 1125 1122 44.40% 26.27% 29.33%+0.10 -0.9 15
2023-04-21 @ Cobh Ramblers D 1-151.5 1122 1125 29.33% 26.27% 44.40%-0.10 +0.9 7
2023-04-22 Bray Wanderers D 1-151.6 1155 1130 47.31% 26.05% 26.64%+0.23 -1.3 7
2023-04-22 @ Longford Town D 1-151.6 1130 1155 26.64% 26.05% 47.31%-0.23 +1.3 16
2023-04-24 Waterford L 1-435.9 1123 1371 15.72% 23.74% 60.54%-1.42 -12.8 7
2023-04-24 @ Treaty United W 4-135.9 1371 1123 60.54% 23.74% 15.72%+1.42 +12.8 23
2023-04-28 Cobh Ramblers W 1-031.5 1415 1124 72.83% 19.08% 8.09%+1.84 +2.8 33
2023-04-28 @ Galway United L 0-131.5 1124 1415 8.09% 19.08% 72.83%-1.84 -2.8 15
2023-04-28 Kerry W 4-034.0 1110 1092 46.42% 26.12% 27.46%+0.19 +32.5 10
2023-04-28 @ Treaty United L 0-434.0 1092 1110 27.46% 26.12% 46.42%-0.19 -32.5 2
2023-04-28 Longford Town D 1-151.7 1197 1153 49.61% 25.80% 24.58%+0.34 -1.6 14
2023-04-28 @ Finn Harps D 1-151.7 1153 1197 24.58% 25.80% 49.61%-0.34 +1.6 8
2023-04-28 Waterford L 1-240.0 1131 1384 15.37% 23.61% 61.02%-1.45 -5.1 16
2023-04-28 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-140.0 1384 1131 61.02% 23.61% 15.37%+1.45 +5.1 26
2023-04-28 Wexford W 3-035.6 1138 1140 43.73% 26.31% 29.95%+0.07 +26.6 16
2023-04-28 @ Athlone Town L 0-335.6 1140 1138 29.95% 26.31% 43.73%-0.07 -26.6 11
2023-05-01 Athlone Town L 1-446.0 1195 1164 48.06% 25.97% 25.96%+0.27 -32.4 14
2023-05-01 @ Finn Harps W 4-146.0 1164 1195 25.96% 25.97% 48.06%-0.27 +32.4 19
2023-05-01 Galway United W 1-049.1 1155 1418 14.72% 23.34% 61.94%-1.50 +17.5 11
2023-05-01 @ Longford Town L 0-149.1 1418 1155 61.94% 23.34% 14.72%+1.50 -17.5 33
2023-05-01 Kerry W 4-138.1 1121 1060 51.77% 25.52% 22.71%+0.45 +17.9 18
2023-05-01 @ Cobh Ramblers L 1-438.1 1060 1121 22.71% 25.52% 51.77%-0.45 -17.9 2
2023-05-01 Treaty United L 0-339.1 1126 1143 41.77% 26.41% 31.82%-0.02 -34.2 16
2023-05-01 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-039.1 1143 1126 31.82% 26.41% 41.77%+0.02 +34.2 13
2023-05-01 Wexford L 0-150.6 1389 1113 71.73% 19.61% 8.66%+1.75 -19.7 26
2023-05-01 @ Waterford W 1-050.6 1113 1389 8.66% 19.61% 71.73%-1.75 +19.7 14
2023-05-05 Athlone Town W 2-145.5 1177 1197 41.39% 26.42% 32.18%-0.04 +9.7 16
2023-05-05 @ Treaty United L 1-245.5 1197 1177 32.18% 26.42% 41.39%+0.04 -9.7 19
2023-05-05 Bray Wanderers D 1-151.6 1133 1092 49.39% 25.83% 24.78%+0.33 -1.5 15
2023-05-05 @ Wexford D 1-151.6 1092 1133 24.78% 25.83% 49.39%-0.33 +1.5 17
2023-05-05 Finn Harps W 4-141.5 1139 1163 40.82% 26.44% 32.73%-0.06 +24.0 21
2023-05-05 @ Cobh Ramblers L 1-441.5 1163 1139 32.73% 26.44% 40.82%+0.06 -24.0 14
2023-05-05 Longford Town L 2-348.6 1042 1172 26.59% 26.04% 47.37%-0.71 -7.9 2
2023-05-05 @ Kerry W 3-248.6 1172 1042 47.37% 26.04% 26.59%+0.71 +7.9 14
2023-05-05 Waterford W 2-146.3 1400 1369 48.04% 25.98% 25.98%+0.27 +8.2 36
2023-05-05 @ Galway United L 1-246.3 1369 1400 25.98% 25.98% 48.04%-0.27 -8.2 26
2023-05-12 Cobh Ramblers W 5-028.8 1361 1163 65.59% 22.15% 12.26%+1.28 +19.1 29
2023-05-12 @ Waterford L 0-528.8 1163 1361 12.26% 22.15% 65.59%-1.28 -19.1 21
2023-05-12 Finn Harps W 2-039.1 1093 1139 37.75% 26.50% 35.74%-0.19 +21.0 20
2023-05-12 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-239.1 1139 1093 35.74% 26.50% 37.75%+0.19 -21.0 14
2023-05-12 Kerry L 2-358.3 1187 1034 61.49% 23.47% 15.04%+1.00 -15.5 19
2023-05-12 @ Athlone Town W 3-258.3 1034 1187 15.04% 23.47% 61.49%-1.00 +15.5 5
2023-05-12 Wexford W 2-029.4 1408 1132 71.80% 19.57% 8.62%+1.75 +5.6 39
2023-05-12 @ Galway United L 0-229.4 1132 1408 8.62% 19.57% 71.80%-1.75 -5.6 15
2023-05-13 Treaty United L 0-339.6 1180 1187 43.20% 26.34% 30.46%+0.04 -35.2 14
2023-05-13 @ Longford Town W 3-039.6 1187 1180 30.46% 26.34% 43.20%-0.04 +35.2 19
2023-05-19 Athlone Town D 2-256.8 1144 1171 40.30% 26.46% 33.24%-0.08 -0.3 22
2023-05-19 @ Cobh Ramblers D 2-256.8 1171 1144 33.24% 26.46% 40.30%+0.08 +0.3 20
2023-05-19 Bray Wanderers L 0-238.8 1050 1114 35.03% 26.50% 38.47%-0.31 -20.7 5
2023-05-19 @ Kerry W 2-038.8 1114 1050 38.47% 26.50% 35.03%+0.31 +20.6 23
2023-05-19 Galway United L 0-333.4 1222 1414 20.24% 25.05% 54.71%-1.08 -19.2 19
2023-05-19 @ Treaty United W 3-033.4 1414 1222 54.71% 25.05% 20.24%+1.08 +19.2 42
2023-05-19 Longford Town L 0-339.0 1126 1145 41.46% 26.42% 32.12%-0.03 -34.0 15
2023-05-19 @ Wexford W 3-039.0 1145 1126 32.12% 26.42% 41.46%+0.03 +34.0 17
2023-05-19 Waterford L 0-429.8 1118 1380 14.72% 23.34% 61.94%-1.50 -18.6 14
2023-05-19 @ Finn Harps W 4-029.8 1380 1118 61.94% 23.34% 14.72%+1.50 +18.7 32
2023-05-26 Athlone Town W 3-135.5 1433 1172 70.67% 20.10% 9.24%+1.66 +5.2 45
2023-05-26 @ Galway United L 1-335.5 1172 1433 9.24% 20.10% 70.67%-1.66 -5.2 20
2023-05-26 Cobh Ramblers D 2-256.8 1135 1144 42.87% 26.36% 30.77%+0.03 -0.5 24
2023-05-26 @ Bray Wanderers D 2-256.8 1144 1135 30.77% 26.36% 42.87%-0.03 +0.5 23
2023-05-26 Finn Harps L 0-343.1 1203 1099 56.52% 24.70% 18.78%+0.71 -44.1 19
2023-05-26 @ Treaty United W 3-043.1 1099 1203 18.78% 24.70% 56.52%-0.71 +44.1 17
2023-05-26 Wexford L 0-637.0 1029 1092 35.25% 26.50% 38.25%-0.30 -57.6 5
2023-05-26 @ Kerry W 6-037.0 1092 1029 38.25% 26.50% 35.25%+0.30 +57.6 18
2023-05-27 Waterford D 0-048.7 1179 1399 17.86% 24.44% 57.70%-1.25 +2.9 18
2023-05-27 @ Longford Town D 0-048.7 1399 1179 57.70% 24.44% 17.86%+1.25 -2.9 33
2023-06-02 Cobh Ramblers W 2-144.4 1150 1144 44.78% 26.25% 28.97%+0.11 +8.9 21
2023-06-02 @ Wexford L 1-244.4 1144 1150 28.97% 26.25% 44.78%-0.11 -8.9 23
2023-06-02 Galway United D 1-153.4 1134 1438 12.22% 22.13% 65.66%-1.75 +3.6 25
2023-06-02 @ Bray Wanderers D 1-153.4 1438 1134 65.66% 22.13% 12.22%+1.75 -3.6 46
2023-06-02 Kerry D 0-048.4 1143 971 63.26% 22.94% 13.80%+1.12 -3.7 18
2023-06-02 @ Finn Harps D 0-048.4 971 1143 13.80% 22.94% 63.26%-1.12 +3.7 6
2023-06-02 Longford Town W 1-040.3 1167 1182 41.94% 26.40% 31.66%-0.01 +10.1 23
2023-06-02 @ Athlone Town L 0-140.3 1182 1167 31.66% 26.40% 41.94%+0.01 -10.1 18
2023-06-02 Treaty United W 7-028.9 1396 1159 68.83% 20.89% 10.27%+1.52 +21.8 36
2023-06-02 @ Waterford L 0-728.9 1159 1396 10.27% 20.89% 68.83%-1.52 -21.8 19
2023-06-05 Bray Wanderers W 3-141.1 1177 1138 49.05% 25.87% 25.08%+0.32 +13.8 26
2023-06-05 @ Athlone Town L 1-341.1 1138 1177 25.08% 25.87% 49.05%-0.32 -13.8 25
2023-06-05 Finn Harps W 6-027.3 1435 1140 73.13% 18.94% 7.94%+1.86 +14.1 49
2023-06-05 @ Galway United L 0-627.3 1140 1435 7.94% 18.94% 73.13%-1.86 -14.1 18
2023-06-05 Longford Town W 1-041.2 1135 1172 39.00% 26.49% 34.51%-0.14 +10.8 26
2023-06-05 @ Cobh Ramblers L 0-141.2 1172 1135 34.51% 26.49% 39.00%+0.14 -10.8 18
2023-06-05 Waterford L 0-625.8 975 1418 6.55% 17.45% 76.00%-2.59 -11.4 6
2023-06-05 @ Kerry W 6-025.8 1418 975 76.00% 17.45% 6.55%+2.59 +11.4 39
2023-06-05 Wexford D 1-151.5 1137 1159 41.09% 26.43% 32.48%-0.05 -0.5 20
2023-06-05 @ Treaty United D 1-151.5 1159 1137 32.48% 26.43% 41.09%+0.05 +0.5 22
2023-06-09 Athlone Town L 0-135.3 964 1190 17.31% 24.28% 58.41%-1.29 -6.1 6
2023-06-09 @ Kerry W 1-035.3 1190 964 58.41% 24.28% 17.31%+1.29 +6.1 29
2023-06-09 Bray Wanderers W 3-134.2 1429 1124 73.82% 18.59% 7.59%+1.92 +4.2 42
2023-06-09 @ Waterford L 1-334.2 1124 1429 7.59% 18.59% 73.82%-1.92 -4.2 25
2023-06-09 Cobh Ramblers L 0-143.6 1136 1146 42.72% 26.37% 30.91%+0.02 -12.7 20
2023-06-09 @ Treaty United W 1-043.6 1146 1136 30.91% 26.37% 42.72%-0.02 +12.7 29
2023-06-09 Finn Harps L 2-355.3 1161 1125 48.68% 25.91% 25.41%+0.30 -12.7 18
2023-06-09 @ Longford Town W 3-255.3 1125 1161 25.41% 25.91% 48.68%-0.30 +12.7 21
2023-06-09 Galway United L 0-232.0 1159 1449 13.02% 22.56% 64.42%-1.67 -8.7 22
2023-06-09 @ Wexford W 2-032.0 1449 1159 64.42% 22.56% 13.02%+1.67 +8.7 52
2023-06-23 Kerry W 3-244.1 1120 958 62.38% 23.21% 14.41%+1.06 +4.6 28
2023-06-23 @ Bray Wanderers L 2-344.1 958 1120 14.41% 23.21% 62.38%-1.06 -4.6 6
2023-06-23 Longford Town W 4-026.6 1458 1149 74.09% 18.45% 7.45%+1.95 +9.0 55
2023-06-23 @ Galway United L 0-426.6 1149 1458 7.45% 18.45% 74.09%-1.95 -9.0 18
2023-06-23 Treaty United L 0-244.0 1197 1124 53.14% 25.32% 21.54%+0.52 -28.8 29
2023-06-23 @ Athlone Town W 2-044.0 1124 1197 21.54% 25.32% 53.14%-0.52 +28.8 23
2023-06-23 Waterford W 1-049.5 1159 1433 13.94% 23.00% 63.05%-1.58 +17.7 32
2023-06-23 @ Cobh Ramblers L 0-149.5 1433 1159 63.05% 23.00% 13.94%+1.58 -17.8 42
2023-06-23 Wexford L 0-143.5 1138 1150 42.40% 26.38% 31.22%+0.01 -12.6 21
2023-06-23 @ Finn Harps W 1-043.5 1150 1138 31.22% 26.38% 42.40%-0.01 +12.6 25
2023-06-30 Bray Wanderers D 1-151.6 1152 1125 47.67% 26.01% 26.32%+0.25 -1.3 24
2023-06-30 @ Treaty United D 1-151.6 1125 1152 26.32% 26.01% 47.67%-0.25 +1.3 29
2023-06-30 Cobh Ramblers L 2-353.7 1168 1177 42.87% 26.36% 30.78%+0.03 -11.4 29
2023-06-30 @ Athlone Town W 3-253.7 1177 1168 30.78% 26.36% 42.87%-0.03 +11.4 35
2023-06-30 Finn Harps W 6-129.8 1416 1125 72.78% 19.10% 8.11%+1.83 +10.1 45
2023-06-30 @ Waterford L 1-629.8 1125 1416 8.11% 19.10% 72.78%-1.83 -10.1 21
2023-06-30 Kerry W 1-027.4 1467 953 85.49% 11.63% 2.87%+3.18 +0.8 58
2023-06-30 @ Galway United L 0-127.4 953 1467 2.87% 11.63% 85.49%-3.18 -0.8 6
2023-07-01 Wexford W 2-145.6 1140 1163 40.85% 26.44% 32.71%-0.06 +9.8 21
2023-07-01 @ Longford Town L 1-245.6 1163 1140 32.71% 26.44% 40.85%+0.06 -9.8 25
2023-07-07 Athlone Town L 1-444.7 1153 1156 43.64% 26.32% 30.04%+0.06 -29.9 25
2023-07-07 @ Wexford W 4-144.7 1156 1153 30.04% 26.32% 43.64%-0.06 +29.9 32
2023-07-07 Bray Wanderers D 0-047.4 1115 1126 42.63% 26.37% 31.00%+0.02 -0.8 22
2023-07-07 @ Finn Harps D 0-047.4 1126 1115 31.00% 26.37% 42.63%-0.02 +0.8 30
2023-07-07 Galway United D 1-153.8 1188 1467 13.65% 22.87% 63.49%-1.61 +3.4 36
2023-07-07 @ Cobh Ramblers D 1-153.8 1467 1188 63.49% 22.87% 13.65%+1.61 -3.4 59
2023-07-07 Longford Town D 2-259.6 1426 1149 71.79% 19.58% 8.63%+1.75 -3.2 46
2023-07-07 @ Waterford D 2-259.6 1149 1426 8.63% 19.58% 71.79%-1.75 +3.2 22
2023-07-07 Treaty United L 2-346.2 952 1151 19.64% 24.91% 55.46%-1.12 -6.1 6
2023-07-07 @ Kerry W 3-246.2 1151 952 55.46% 24.91% 19.64%+1.12 +6.1 27
2023-07-14 Cobh Ramblers W 4-356.0 1115 1191 33.34% 26.46% 40.20%-0.38 +10.6 25
2023-07-14 @ Finn Harps L 3-456.0 1191 1115 40.20% 26.46% 33.34%+0.38 -10.6 36
2023-07-14 Galway United L 0-135.1 1186 1464 13.74% 22.91% 63.35%-1.60 -4.9 32
2023-07-14 @ Athlone Town W 1-035.1 1464 1186 63.35% 22.91% 13.74%+1.60 +4.9 62
2023-07-14 Wexford L 0-339.9 1127 1123 44.50% 26.27% 29.23%+0.10 -36.0 30
2023-07-14 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-039.9 1123 1127 29.23% 26.27% 44.50%-0.10 +36.0 28
2023-07-15 Kerry W 2-137.9 1153 946 66.29% 21.90% 11.82%+1.33 +3.9 25
2023-07-15 @ Longford Town L 1-237.9 946 1153 11.82% 21.90% 66.29%-1.33 -3.9 6
2023-07-28 Bray Wanderers W 3-025.7 1469 1091 78.52% 16.04% 5.44%+2.37 +4.8 65
2023-07-28 @ Galway United L 0-325.7 1091 1469 5.44% 16.04% 78.52%-2.37 -4.8 30
2023-07-28 Finn Harps L 1-241.7 942 1125 21.08% 25.22% 53.70%-1.02 -6.9 6
2023-07-28 @ Kerry W 2-141.7 1125 942 53.70% 25.22% 21.08%+1.02 +6.9 28
2023-07-28 Treaty United W 1-039.6 1159 1157 44.36% 26.28% 29.37%+0.10 +9.6 31
2023-07-28 @ Wexford L 0-139.6 1157 1159 29.37% 26.28% 44.36%-0.10 -9.6 27
2023-07-28 Waterford D 1-153.1 1181 1423 16.21% 23.91% 59.88%-1.37 +2.9 33
2023-07-28 @ Athlone Town D 1-153.1 1423 1181 59.88% 23.91% 16.21%+1.37 -2.9 47
2023-07-29 Cobh Ramblers L 0-143.1 1156 1181 40.74% 26.45% 32.81%-0.06 -12.3 25
2023-07-29 @ Longford Town W 1-043.1 1181 1156 32.81% 26.45% 40.74%+0.06 +12.3 39
2023-08-04 Athlone Town D 2-256.8 1086 1184 30.49% 26.34% 43.17%-0.51 +0.6 31
2023-08-04 @ Bray Wanderers D 2-256.8 1184 1086 43.17% 26.34% 30.49%+0.51 -0.6 34
2023-08-04 Galway United D 2-259.4 1132 1474 10.31% 20.92% 68.76%-1.98 +3.0 29
2023-08-04 @ Finn Harps D 2-259.4 1474 1132 68.76% 20.92% 10.31%+1.98 -3.0 66
2023-08-04 Kerry W 3-023.5 1420 935 84.17% 12.52% 3.31%+3.01 +2.7 50
2023-08-04 @ Waterford L 0-323.5 935 1420 3.31% 12.52% 84.17%-3.01 -2.7 6
2023-08-04 Longford Town L 2-354.1 1148 1144 44.50% 26.27% 29.24%+0.10 -11.8 27
2023-08-04 @ Treaty United W 3-254.1 1144 1148 29.24% 26.27% 44.50%-0.10 +11.8 28
2023-08-04 Wexford D 2-257.0 1193 1169 47.21% 26.05% 26.73%+0.23 -0.9 40
2023-08-04 @ Cobh Ramblers D 2-257.0 1169 1193 26.73% 26.05% 47.21%-0.23 +0.9 32
2023-08-07 Cobh Ramblers D 2-257.7 933 1192 14.93% 23.43% 61.64%-1.48 +2.3 7
2023-08-07 @ Kerry D 2-257.7 1192 933 61.64% 23.43% 14.93%+1.48 -2.3 41
2023-08-07 Finn Harps W 4-138.7 1184 1135 50.27% 25.72% 24.00%+0.38 +18.8 37
2023-08-07 @ Athlone Town L 1-438.7 1135 1184 24.00% 25.72% 50.27%-0.38 -18.8 29
2023-08-07 Longford Town L 2-448.2 1086 1156 34.34% 26.49% 39.18%-0.34 -15.8 31
2023-08-07 @ Bray Wanderers W 4-248.2 1156 1086 39.18% 26.49% 34.34%+0.34 +15.8 31
2023-08-07 Treaty United W 3-026.8 1471 1136 75.83% 17.54% 6.63%+2.10 +6.0 69
2023-08-07 @ Galway United L 0-326.8 1136 1471 6.63% 17.54% 75.83%-2.10 -6.0 27
2023-08-07 Waterford L 0-135.4 1170 1422 15.40% 23.62% 60.98%-1.44 -5.4 32
2023-08-07 @ Wexford W 1-035.4 1422 1170 60.98% 23.62% 15.40%+1.44 +5.5 53
2023-08-11 Bray Wanderers D 3-361.6 1190 1071 58.15% 24.34% 17.51%+0.80 -1.7 42
2023-08-11 @ Cobh Ramblers D 3-361.6 1071 1190 17.51% 24.34% 58.15%-0.80 +1.7 32
2023-08-11 Galway United D 2-263.3 1428 1477 37.26% 26.51% 36.23%-0.21 -0.0 54
2023-08-11 @ Waterford D 2-263.3 1477 1428 36.23% 26.51% 37.26%+0.21 +0.0 70
2023-08-11 Kerry W 3-242.4 1164 935 68.18% 21.16% 10.66%+1.47 +3.3 35
2023-08-11 @ Wexford L 2-342.4 935 1164 10.66% 21.16% 68.18%-1.47 -3.3 7
2023-08-11 Treaty United L 0-143.4 1116 1130 42.23% 26.39% 31.38%+0.00 -12.6 29
2023-08-11 @ Finn Harps W 1-043.4 1130 1116 31.38% 26.39% 42.23%+0.00 +12.6 30
2023-08-12 Athlone Town L 2-352.9 1172 1202 39.85% 26.47% 33.68%-0.10 -10.8 31
2023-08-12 @ Longford Town W 3-252.9 1202 1172 33.68% 26.47% 39.85%+0.10 +10.8 40
2023-08-25 Cobh Ramblers W 4-133.3 1477 1188 72.67% 19.16% 8.17%+1.82 +6.5 73
2023-08-25 @ Galway United L 1-433.3 1188 1477 8.17% 19.16% 72.67%-1.82 -6.4 42
2023-08-25 Kerry W 3-135.7 1142 932 66.65% 21.76% 11.59%+1.35 +6.7 33
2023-08-25 @ Treaty United L 1-335.7 932 1142 11.59% 21.76% 66.65%-1.35 -6.7 7
2023-08-25 Longford Town L 0-141.6 1104 1161 36.05% 26.51% 37.44%-0.26 -11.2 29
2023-08-25 @ Finn Harps W 1-041.6 1161 1104 37.44% 26.51% 36.05%+0.26 +11.2 34
2023-08-25 Waterford L 0-132.3 1072 1428 9.70% 20.46% 69.84%-2.06 -3.4 32
2023-08-25 @ Bray Wanderers W 1-032.3 1428 1072 69.84% 20.46% 9.70%+2.06 +3.4 57
2023-08-25 Wexford L 0-243.2 1213 1168 49.88% 25.77% 24.35%+0.36 -27.3 40
2023-08-25 @ Athlone Town W 2-043.2 1168 1213 24.35% 25.77% 49.88%-0.36 +27.3 38
2023-08-28 Waterford D 2-258.7 1149 1431 13.48% 22.78% 63.74%-1.62 +2.5 34
2023-08-28 @ Treaty United D 2-258.7 1431 1149 63.74% 22.78% 13.48%+1.62 -2.5 58
2023-09-01 Athlone Town L 1-255.8 1429 1186 69.24% 20.72% 10.04%+1.55 -18.1 58
2023-09-01 @ Waterford W 2-155.8 1186 1429 10.04% 20.72% 69.24%-1.55 +18.1 43
2023-09-01 Bray Wanderers L 1-341.0 925 1069 25.06% 25.87% 49.08%-0.79 -13.8 7
2023-09-01 @ Kerry W 3-141.0 1069 925 49.08% 25.87% 25.06%+0.79 +13.8 35
2023-09-01 Finn Harps D 1-152.0 1195 1092 56.42% 24.72% 18.86%+0.70 -2.5 39
2023-09-01 @ Wexford D 1-152.0 1092 1195 18.86% 24.72% 56.42%-0.70 +2.4 30
2023-09-01 Treaty United W 1-038.5 1182 1152 47.97% 25.98% 26.05%+0.26 +8.7 45
2023-09-01 @ Cobh Ramblers L 0-138.5 1152 1182 26.05% 25.98% 47.97%-0.26 -8.7 34
2023-09-02 Galway United W 1-050.6 1172 1483 11.83% 21.91% 66.26%-1.80 +18.5 37
2023-09-02 @ Longford Town L 0-150.6 1483 1172 66.26% 21.91% 11.83%+1.80 -18.5 73
2023-09-08 Galway United L 1-432.7 1083 1465 8.61% 19.56% 71.83%-2.23 -6.8 35
2023-09-08 @ Bray Wanderers W 4-132.7 1465 1083 71.83% 19.56% 8.61%+2.23 +6.8 76
2023-09-08 Longford Town D 0-048.4 911 1191 13.64% 22.86% 63.49%-1.61 +3.8 8
2023-09-08 @ Kerry D 0-048.4 1191 911 63.49% 22.86% 13.64%+1.61 -3.8 38
2023-09-08 Waterford L 0-428.4 1095 1411 11.59% 21.76% 66.65%-1.82 -14.6 30
2023-09-08 @ Finn Harps W 4-028.4 1411 1095 66.65% 21.76% 11.59%+1.82 +14.6 61
2023-09-08 Wexford L 1-247.0 1143 1193 37.15% 26.51% 36.35%-0.22 -10.8 34
2023-09-08 @ Treaty United W 2-147.0 1193 1143 36.35% 26.51% 37.15%+0.22 +10.8 42
2023-09-09 Athlone Town W 1-040.3 1190 1204 42.20% 26.39% 31.41%+0.00 +10.1 48
2023-09-09 @ Cobh Ramblers L 0-140.3 1204 1190 31.41% 26.39% 42.20%+0.00 -10.1 43
2023-09-15 Cobh Ramblers L 0-248.2 1425 1200 67.81% 21.31% 10.88%+1.44 -35.6 61
2023-09-15 @ Waterford W 2-048.2 1200 1425 10.88% 21.31% 67.81%-1.44 +35.6 51
2023-09-15 Kerry W 2-136.2 1194 915 71.97% 19.49% 8.53%+1.77 +2.8 46
2023-09-15 @ Athlone Town L 1-236.2 915 1194 8.53% 19.49% 71.97%-1.77 -2.8 8
2023-09-15 Treaty United D 2-256.8 1076 1132 36.22% 26.51% 37.27%-0.26 +0.1 36
2023-09-15 @ Bray Wanderers D 2-256.8 1132 1076 37.27% 26.51% 36.22%+0.26 -0.0 35
2023-09-22 Athlone Town W 4-143.3 1132 1197 35.01% 26.50% 38.49%-0.31 +27.1 38
2023-09-22 @ Treaty United L 1-443.3 1197 1132 38.49% 26.50% 35.01%+0.31 -27.1 46
2023-09-22 Bray Wanderers W 2-140.1 1203 1076 59.00% 24.13% 16.87%+0.85 +5.6 45
2023-09-22 @ Wexford L 1-240.1 1076 1203 16.87% 24.13% 59.00%-0.85 -5.6 36
2023-09-22 Finn Harps W 5-133.6 1236 1080 61.77% 23.39% 14.84%+1.02 +15.7 54
2023-09-22 @ Cobh Ramblers L 1-533.6 1080 1236 14.84% 23.39% 61.77%-1.02 -15.7 30
2023-09-22 Galway United L 0-423.3 912 1472 3.82% 13.48% 82.70%-3.30 -4.2 8
2023-09-22 @ Kerry W 4-023.3 1472 912 82.70% 13.48% 3.82%+3.30 +4.2 79
2023-09-22 Waterford L 0-332.6 1187 1390 19.28% 24.82% 55.89%-1.14 -18.4 38
2023-09-22 @ Longford Town W 3-032.6 1390 1187 55.89% 24.82% 19.28%+1.14 +18.4 64
2023-09-25 Finn Harps W 1-029.3 1476 1065 80.42% 14.91% 4.67%+2.56 +1.5 82
2023-09-25 @ Galway United L 0-129.3 1065 1476 4.67% 14.91% 80.42%-2.56 -1.5 30
2023-09-25 Longford Town W 2-035.7 1209 1168 49.26% 25.84% 24.89%+0.33 +15.8 48
2023-09-25 @ Wexford L 0-235.7 1168 1209 24.89% 25.84% 49.26%-0.33 -15.8 38
2023-09-29 Athlone Town W 6-027.5 1477 1170 73.99% 18.50% 7.50%+1.94 +13.3 85
2023-09-29 @ Galway United L 0-627.5 1170 1477 7.50% 18.50% 73.99%-1.94 -13.3 46
2023-09-29 Cobh Ramblers W 2-151.5 1070 1252 21.23% 25.25% 53.52%-1.01 +14.5 39
2023-09-29 @ Bray Wanderers L 1-251.5 1252 1070 53.52% 25.25% 21.23%+1.01 -14.5 54
2023-09-29 Kerry W 2-139.2 1063 908 61.70% 23.41% 14.89%+1.02 +5.0 33
2023-09-29 @ Finn Harps L 1-239.2 908 1063 14.89% 23.41% 61.70%-1.02 -5.0 8
2023-09-29 Wexford D 0-049.7 1408 1225 64.29% 22.60% 13.11%+1.19 -3.9 65
2023-09-29 @ Waterford D 0-049.7 1225 1408 13.11% 22.60% 64.29%-1.19 +3.9 49
2023-09-30 Treaty United L 2-353.8 1153 1159 43.19% 26.34% 30.47%+0.04 -11.5 38
2023-09-30 @ Longford Town W 3-253.8 1159 1153 30.47% 26.34% 43.19%-0.04 +11.5 41
2023-10-06 Bray Wanderers L 0-146.3 1156 1085 52.97% 25.34% 21.69%+0.51 -15.2 46
2023-10-06 @ Athlone Town W 1-046.3 1085 1156 21.69% 25.34% 52.97%-0.51 +15.2 42
2023-10-06 Finn Harps W 2-033.5 1171 1068 56.41% 24.72% 18.87%+0.70 +12.4 44
2023-10-06 @ Treaty United L 0-233.5 1068 1171 18.87% 24.72% 56.41%-0.70 -12.4 33
2023-10-06 Longford Town W 2-033.8 1237 1141 55.71% 24.86% 19.44%+0.66 +12.8 57
2023-10-06 @ Cobh Ramblers L 0-233.8 1141 1237 19.44% 24.86% 55.71%-0.66 -12.8 38
2023-10-06 Wexford L 1-237.5 903 1229 11.09% 21.45% 67.46%-1.88 -3.7 8
2023-10-06 @ Kerry W 2-137.5 1229 903 67.46% 21.45% 11.09%+1.88 +3.7 52
2023-10-10 Waterford W 3-145.5 1490 1404 54.64% 25.06% 20.30%+0.60 +11.5 88
2023-10-10 @ Galway United L 1-345.5 1404 1490 20.30% 25.06% 54.64%-0.60 -11.5 65
2023-10-14 Athlone Town W 4-144.0 1056 1141 32.18% 26.42% 41.40%-0.43 +28.7 36
2023-10-14 @ Finn Harps L 1-444.0 1141 1056 41.40% 26.42% 32.18%+0.43 -28.7 46
2023-10-14 Bray Wanderers D 2-256.9 1128 1100 47.76% 26.00% 26.24%+0.25 -1.0 39
2023-10-14 @ Longford Town D 2-256.9 1100 1128 26.24% 26.00% 47.76%-0.25 +1.0 43
2023-10-14 Galway United L 1-435.3 1183 1502 11.42% 21.66% 66.92%-1.84 -9.3 44
2023-10-14 @ Treaty United W 4-135.3 1502 1183 66.92% 21.66% 11.42%+1.84 +9.3 91
2023-10-14 Waterford D 1-154.7 899 1393 5.20% 15.69% 79.11%-2.90 +5.0 9
2023-10-14 @ Kerry D 1-154.7 1393 899 79.11% 15.69% 5.20%+2.90 -5.0 66
2023-10-15 Cobh Ramblers D 3-361.3 1232 1250 41.66% 26.41% 31.93%-0.02 -0.4 53
2023-10-15 @ Wexford D 3-361.3 1250 1232 31.93% 26.41% 41.66%+0.02 +0.4 58
2023-10-20 Finn Harps D 1-151.5 1101 1084 46.26% 26.14% 27.60%+0.18 -1.2 44
2023-10-20 @ Bray Wanderers D 1-151.5 1084 1101 27.60% 26.14% 46.26%-0.18 +1.2 37
2023-10-20 Kerry D 1-154.2 1250 904 76.53% 17.16% 6.31%+2.17 -4.8 59
2023-10-20 @ Cobh Ramblers D 1-154.2 904 1250 6.31% 17.16% 76.53%-2.17 +4.8 10
2023-10-20 Longford Town D 0-047.4 1112 1127 42.03% 26.40% 31.58%-0.01 -0.7 47
2023-10-20 @ Athlone Town D 0-047.4 1127 1112 31.58% 26.40% 42.03%+0.01 +0.7 40
2023-10-20 Treaty United W 2-031.0 1388 1174 66.92% 21.66% 11.42%+1.37 +7.6 69
2023-10-20 @ Waterford L 0-231.0 1174 1388 11.42% 21.66% 66.92%-1.37 -7.6 44
2023-10-20 Wexford W 2-031.3 1511 1232 72.00% 19.48% 8.52%+1.77 +5.5 94
2023-10-20 @ Galway United L 0-231.3 1232 1511 8.52% 19.48% 72.00%-1.77 -5.5 53

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2023-10-24 Cobh Ramblers L 0-1 1226 1246 41.46% 26.42% 32.12%-0.03 -12.4 0-1
2023-10-24 @ Wexford W 1-0 1246 1226 32.12% 26.42% 41.46%+0.03 +12.4 1-0
2023-10-24 Waterford D 1-1 1112 1395 13.39% 22.74% 63.86%-1.63 +3.4 0-0-1
2023-10-24 @ Athlone Town D 1-1 1395 1112 63.86% 22.74% 13.39%+1.63 -3.4 0-0-1
2023-10-28 Athlone Town W 3-1 1392 1115 71.81% 19.57% 8.62%+1.75 +4.8 1-0-1
2023-10-28 @ Waterford L 1-3 1115 1392 8.62% 19.57% 71.81%-1.75 -4.8 0-1-1
2023-10-28 Wexford D 1-1 1258 1214 49.69% 25.79% 24.51%+0.35 -1.6 1-0-1
2023-10-28 @ Cobh Ramblers D 1-1 1214 1258 24.51% 25.79% 49.69%-0.35 +1.6 0-1-1
2023-11-04 Cobh Ramblers W 2-1 1397 1256 60.29% 23.81% 15.91%+0.93 +5.3 2-0-1
2023-11-04 @ Waterford L 1-2 1256 1397 15.91% 23.81% 60.29%-0.93 -5.3 1-1-1
2023-11-10 Waterford L 1-2 1232 1402 22.34% 25.46% 52.20%-0.94 -7.2 0-1
2023-11-10 @ Cork City W 2-1 1402 1232 52.20% 25.46% 22.34%+0.94 +7.2 3-0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2023-05-01 8.66% Wexford 1113 1 @ Waterford 1389 0
2 2023-09-01 10.04% Athlone Town 1186 2 @ Waterford 1429 1
3 2023-09-15 10.88% Cobh Ramblers 1200 2 @ Waterford 1425 0
4 2023-09-02 11.83% @ Longford Town 1172 1 Galway United 1483 0
5 2023-06-23 13.94% @ Cobh Ramblers 1159 1 Waterford 1433 0
6 2023-02-17 14.72% Cobh Ramblers 1075 2 @ Kerry 1232 0
7 2023-05-01 14.72% @ Longford Town 1155 1 Galway United 1418 0
8 2023-05-12 15.04% Kerry 1034 3 @ Athlone Town 1187 2
9 2023-05-26 18.78% Finn Harps 1099 3 @ Treaty United 1203 0
10 2023-02-17 20.08% Bray Wanderers 1099 1 @ Treaty United 1187 0
11 2023-02-18 20.59% Athlone Town 1121 3 @ Longford Town 1204 1
12 2023-09-29 21.23% @ Bray Wanderers 1070 2 Cobh Ramblers 1252 1
13 2023-06-23 21.54% Treaty United 1124 2 @ Athlone Town 1197 0
14 2023-10-06 21.69% Bray Wanderers 1085 1 @ Athlone Town 1156 0
15 2023-03-03 23.15% Galway United 1282 1 @ Waterford 1339 0
16 2023-03-10 24.26% Cobh Ramblers 1120 3 @ Treaty United 1166 0
17 2023-08-25 24.35% Wexford 1168 2 @ Athlone Town 1213 0
18 2023-06-09 25.41% Finn Harps 1125 3 @ Longford Town 1161 2
19 2023-05-01 25.96% Athlone Town 1164 4 @ Finn Harps 1195 1
20 2023-04-15 26.18% Wexford 1139 2 @ Longford Town 1168 1
21 2023-03-24 28.86% Athlone Town 1128 1 @ Kerry 1135 0
22 2023-07-14 29.23% Wexford 1123 3 @ Bray Wanderers 1127 0
23 2023-08-04 29.24% Longford Town 1144 3 @ Treaty United 1148 2
24 2023-03-18 29.87% Finn Harps 1182 1 @ Longford Town 1180 0
25 2023-07-07 30.04% Athlone Town 1156 4 @ Wexford 1153 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-05-26 57.60 Wexford 6 1092 38.25% @ Kerry 0 1029 35.25% 26.50%
2 2023-05-26 44.14 Finn Harps 3 1099 18.78% @ Treaty United 0 1203 56.52% 24.70%
3 2023-03-10 39.66 Cobh Ramblers 3 1120 24.26% @ Treaty United 0 1166 49.98% 25.76%
4 2023-07-14 36.01 Wexford 3 1123 29.23% @ Bray Wanderers 0 1127 44.50% 26.27%
5 2023-09-15 35.57 Cobh Ramblers 2 1200 10.88% @ Waterford 0 1425 67.81% 21.31%
6 2023-05-13 35.16 Treaty United 3 1187 30.46% @ Longford Town 0 1180 43.20% 26.34%
7 2023-03-10 34.81 @ Galway United 9 1297 58.15% Kerry 1 1178 17.51% 24.34%
8 2023-05-01 34.24 Treaty United 3 1143 31.82% @ Bray Wanderers 0 1126 41.77% 26.41%
9 2023-05-19 34.03 Longford Town 3 1145 32.12% @ Wexford 0 1126 41.46% 26.42%
10 2023-02-17 32.94 Cobh Ramblers 2 1075 14.72% @ Kerry 0 1232 61.93% 23.34%
11 2023-04-28 32.46 @ Treaty United 4 1110 46.42% Kerry 0 1092 27.46% 26.12%
12 2023-05-01 32.36 Athlone Town 4 1164 25.96% @ Finn Harps 1 1195 48.06% 25.97%
13 2023-07-07 29.90 Athlone Town 4 1156 30.04% @ Wexford 1 1153 43.64% 26.32%
14 2023-03-03 28.97 @ Wexford 3 1136 40.08% Athlone Town 0 1165 33.46% 26.46%
15 2023-06-23 28.79 Treaty United 2 1124 21.54% @ Athlone Town 0 1197 53.14% 25.32%
16 2023-10-14 28.67 @ Finn Harps 4 1056 32.18% Athlone Town 1 1141 41.40% 26.42%
17 2023-08-25 27.26 Wexford 2 1168 24.35% @ Athlone Town 0 1213 49.88% 25.77%
18 2023-09-22 27.11 @ Treaty United 4 1132 35.01% Athlone Town 1 1197 38.49% 26.50%
19 2023-04-28 26.62 @ Athlone Town 3 1138 43.73% Wexford 0 1140 29.95% 26.31%
20 2023-02-18 25.41 Athlone Town 3 1121 20.59% @ Longford Town 1 1204 54.29% 25.12%
21 2023-03-31 24.83 @ Waterford 7 1329 59.79% Finn Harps 1 1193 16.27% 23.94%
22 2023-04-07 24.52 Galway United 4 1361 55.37% @ Wexford 0 1163 19.70% 24.92%
23 2023-05-05 24.03 @ Cobh Ramblers 4 1139 40.82% Finn Harps 1 1163 32.73% 26.44%
24 2023-02-17 22.48 Waterford 3 1320 49.95% @ Wexford 0 1169 24.29% 25.76%
25 2023-06-02 21.79 @ Waterford 7 1396 68.83% Treaty United 0 1159 10.27% 20.89%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-08-11 63.3 @ Waterford 2 1428 37.26% Galway United 2 1477 36.23% 26.51%
2 2023-08-11 61.6 @ Cobh Ramblers 3 1190 58.15% Bray Wanderers 3 1071 17.51% 24.34%
3 2023-10-15 61.3 @ Wexford 3 1232 41.66% Cobh Ramblers 3 1250 31.93% 26.41%
4 2023-07-07 59.6 @ Waterford 2 1426 71.79% Longford Town 2 1149 8.63% 19.58%
5 2023-08-04 59.4 @ Finn Harps 2 1132 10.31% Galway United 2 1474 68.76% 20.92%
6 2023-08-28 58.7 @ Treaty United 2 1149 13.48% Waterford 2 1431 63.74% 22.78%
7 2023-03-18 58.4 @ Waterford 2 1331 65.33% Bray Wanderers 2 1136 12.42% 22.24%
8 2023-05-12 58.3 Kerry 3 1034 15.04% @ Athlone Town 2 1187 61.49% 23.47%
9 2023-08-07 57.7 @ Kerry 2 933 14.93% Cobh Ramblers 2 1192 61.64% 23.43%
10 2023-03-24 57.1 @ Finn Harps 2 1195 50.35% Cobh Ramblers 2 1145 23.94% 25.71%
11 2023-08-04 57.0 @ Cobh Ramblers 2 1193 47.21% Wexford 2 1169 26.73% 26.05%
12 2023-03-17 56.9 @ Athlone Town 2 1129 44.38% Treaty United 2 1126 29.35% 26.27%
13 2023-10-14 56.9 @ Longford Town 2 1128 47.76% Bray Wanderers 2 1100 26.24% 26.00%
14 2023-05-19 56.8 @ Cobh Ramblers 2 1144 40.30% Athlone Town 2 1171 33.24% 26.46%
15 2023-05-26 56.8 @ Bray Wanderers 2 1135 42.87% Cobh Ramblers 2 1144 30.77% 26.36%
16 2023-08-04 56.8 @ Bray Wanderers 2 1086 30.49% Athlone Town 2 1184 43.17% 26.34%
17 2023-09-15 56.8 @ Bray Wanderers 2 1076 36.22% Treaty United 2 1132 37.27% 26.51%
18 2023-07-14 56.0 @ Finn Harps 4 1115 33.34% Cobh Ramblers 3 1191 40.20% 26.46%
19 2023-09-01 55.8 Athlone Town 2 1186 10.04% @ Waterford 1 1429 69.24% 20.72%
20 2023-06-09 55.3 Finn Harps 3 1125 25.41% @ Longford Town 2 1161 48.68% 25.91%
21 2023-10-14 54.7 @ Kerry 1 899 5.20% Waterford 1 1393 79.11% 15.69%
22 2023-10-20 54.2 @ Cobh Ramblers 1 1250 76.53% Kerry 1 904 6.31% 17.16%
23 2023-08-04 54.1 Longford Town 3 1144 29.24% @ Treaty United 2 1148 44.50% 26.27%
24 2023-07-07 53.8 @ Cobh Ramblers 1 1188 13.65% Galway United 1 1467 63.49% 22.87%
25 2023-09-30 53.8 Treaty United 3 1159 30.47% @ Longford Town 2 1153 43.19% 26.34%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-09-22 23.3 Galway United 4 1472 82.70% @ Kerry 0 912 3.82% 13.48%
2 2023-08-04 23.5 @ Waterford 3 1420 84.17% Kerry 0 935 3.31% 12.52%
3 2023-07-28 25.7 @ Galway United 3 1469 78.52% Bray Wanderers 0 1091 5.44% 16.04%
4 2023-06-05 25.8 Waterford 6 1418 76.00% @ Kerry 0 975 6.55% 17.45%
5 2023-06-23 26.6 @ Galway United 4 1458 74.09% Longford Town 0 1149 7.45% 18.45%
6 2023-08-07 26.8 @ Galway United 3 1471 75.83% Treaty United 0 1136 6.63% 17.54%
7 2023-06-05 27.3 @ Galway United 6 1435 73.13% Finn Harps 0 1140 7.94% 18.94%
8 2023-06-30 27.4 @ Galway United 1 1467 85.49% Kerry 0 953 2.87% 11.63%
9 2023-09-29 27.5 @ Galway United 6 1477 73.99% Athlone Town 0 1170 7.50% 18.50%
10 2023-04-14 28.4 @ Galway United 6 1386 68.81% Bray Wanderers 0 1149 10.29% 20.90%
11 2023-09-08 28.4 Waterford 4 1411 66.65% @ Finn Harps 0 1095 11.59% 21.76%
12 2023-05-12 28.8 @ Waterford 5 1361 65.59% Cobh Ramblers 0 1163 12.26% 22.15%
13 2023-06-02 28.9 @ Waterford 7 1396 68.83% Treaty United 0 1159 10.27% 20.89%
14 2023-09-25 29.3 @ Galway United 1 1476 80.42% Finn Harps 0 1065 4.67% 14.91%
15 2023-05-12 29.4 @ Galway United 2 1408 71.80% Wexford 0 1132 8.62% 19.57%
16 2023-05-19 29.8 Waterford 4 1380 61.94% @ Finn Harps 0 1118 14.72% 23.34%
17 2023-06-30 29.8 @ Waterford 6 1416 72.78% Finn Harps 1 1125 8.11% 19.10%
18 2023-10-20 31.0 @ Waterford 2 1388 66.92% Treaty United 0 1174 11.42% 21.66%
19 2023-10-20 31.3 @ Galway United 2 1511 72.00% Wexford 0 1232 8.52% 19.48%
20 2023-04-28 31.5 @ Galway United 1 1415 72.83% Cobh Ramblers 0 1124 8.09% 19.08%
21 2023-04-07 31.8 Galway United 4 1361 55.37% @ Wexford 0 1163 19.70% 24.92%
22 2023-04-14 32.0 @ Waterford 1 1365 70.49% Kerry 0 1106 9.33% 20.18%
23 2023-06-09 32.0 Galway United 2 1449 64.42% @ Wexford 0 1159 13.02% 22.56%
24 2023-08-25 32.3 Waterford 1 1428 69.84% @ Bray Wanderers 0 1072 9.70% 20.46%
25 2023-09-22 32.6 Waterford 3 1390 55.89% @ Longford Town 0 1187 19.28% 24.82%