2024 League of Ireland First Division Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Cork City

8.74 points above expected

78 points · 69.26 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Longford Town

7.76 points below expected

29 points · 36.76 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Cork City	36	22	12	2	78	64	23	+41	69.26	+8.74
2	UC Dublin	36	14	14	8	56	47	37	+10	51.02	+4.98
3	Wexford	36	15	11	10	56	61	56	+5	54.68	+1.32
4	Athlone Town	36	15	10	11	55	51	49	+2	48.83	+6.17
5	Bray Wanderers	36	14	9	13	51	54	47	+7	48.94	+2.06
6	Finn Harps	36	12	10	14	46	39	43	-4	46.14	-0.14
7	Treaty United	36	11	11	14	44	41	43	-2	48.38	-4.38
8	Cobh Ramblers	36	12	8	16	44	41	56	-15	49.32	-5.32
9	Longford Town	36	6	11	19	29	41	64	-23	36.76	-7.76
10	Kerry	36	5	12	19	27	34	55	-21	33.19	-6.19

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Cork City	78	69.26	+8.74
2	Athlone Town	55	48.83	+6.17
3	UC Dublin	56	51.02	+4.98
4	Bray Wanderers	51	48.94	+2.06
5	Wexford	56	54.68	+1.32

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Longford Town	29	36.76	-7.76
2	Kerry	27	33.19	-6.19
3	Cobh Ramblers	44	49.32	-5.32
4	Treaty United	44	48.38	-4.38
5	Finn Harps	46	46.14	-0.14

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Wexford	5	Aug 9 – Sep 6	1 in 150
2	UC Dublin	3	Mar 15 – Mar 29	1 in 50
3	Athlone Town	4	Jun 28 – Jul 26	1 in 48
4	Bray Wanderers	4	Apr 5 – Apr 26	1 in 38
5	Finn Harps	3	Aug 30 – Sep 13	1 in 29

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Athlone Town	4	Aug 12 – Sep 6	1 in 183
2	Cobh Ramblers	5	Aug 23 – Sep 23	1 in 113
3	Treaty United	4	Apr 19 – May 6	1 in 78
4	Kerry	6	Apr 19 – May 17	1 in 73
5	Finn Harps	5	Jul 12 – Aug 23	1 in 40

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kerry	7	Mar 8 – Apr 12	1 in 195
2	Athlone Town	10	Apr 12 – Jun 3	1 in 116
3	UC Dublin	9	Mar 15 – May 3	1 in 71
4	Cork City	17	Feb 16 – May 24	1 in 62
5	Finn Harps	6	Aug 30 – Oct 11	1 in 31

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Treaty United	14	Mar 8 – May 24	1 in 523
2	Longford Town	12	Feb 17 – May 3	1 in 54
3	Wexford	7	May 20 – Jul 4	1 in 54
4	Cork City	4	Sep 20 – Oct 11	1 in 43
5	Cobh Ramblers	6	Mar 15 – Apr 12	1 in 30

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Cork City	1366	78	-10	6	10.1	-4.1
Wexford	1198	56	-24	9	7.8	+1.2
UC Dublin	1190	56	-32	3	7.5	-4.5
Athlone Town	1156	55	+4	7	7.3	-0.3
Bray Wanderers	1173	51	-27	6	7.7	-1.7
Finn Harps	1115	46	-24	3	5.8	-2.8
Treaty United	1152	44	+59	11	6.0	+5.0
Cobh Ramblers	1110	44	+2	9	6.7	+2.3
Longford Town	1062	29	+52	8	4.8	+3.2
Kerry	1012	27	+0	4	3.9	+0.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AT	BW	CR	CC	FH	KER	LT	TU	UD	WEX
Athlone Town	—	1-0-3 5.48	2-1-1 5.57	2-1-1 3.07	1-1-2 5.55	1-2-1 7.33	1-3-0 6.70	4-0-0 5.29	2-1-1 5.06	1-1-2 4.94
Bray Wanderers	3-0-1 5.26	—	1-1-2 5.63	0-1-3 3.32	2-1-1 5.72	3-1-0 7.20	1-1-2 6.75	2-1-1 5.52	0-2-2 5.41	2-1-1 4.83
Cobh Ramblers	1-1-2 5.19	2-1-1 5.12	—	0-0-4 3.50	3-0-1 5.82	3-1-0 7.23	1-2-1 6.71	1-1-2 5.89	1-1-2 5.14	0-1-3 4.89
Cork City	1-1-2 7.82	3-1-0 7.53	4-0-0 7.34	—	2-2-0 7.59	4-0-0 8.84	4-0-0 8.24	0-4-0 7.77	2-2-0 7.23	2-2-0 7.14
Finn Harps	2-1-1 5.20	1-1-2 5.05	1-0-3 4.92	0-2-2 3.33	—	1-2-1 7.19	3-1-0 6.40	2-0-2 5.13	0-3-1 4.70	2-0-2 4.48
Kerry	1-2-1 3.53	0-1-3 3.64	0-1-3 3.59	0-0-4 2.24	1-2-1 3.63	—	2-1-1 5.09	1-2-1 3.69	0-1-3 3.25	0-2-2 3.26
Longford Town	0-3-1 4.08	2-1-1 4.06	1-2-1 4.08	0-0-4 2.80	0-1-3 4.40	1-1-2 5.65	—	1-0-3 4.08	0-1-3 3.88	1-2-1 3.21
Treaty United	0-0-4 5.45	1-1-2 5.24	2-1-1 4.86	0-4-0 3.18	2-0-2 5.62	1-2-1 7.13	3-0-1 6.70	—	1-2-1 5.20	1-1-2 4.78
UC Dublin	1-1-2 5.68	2-2-0 5.33	2-1-1 5.65	0-2-2 3.59	1-3-0 6.09	3-1-0 7.61	3-1-0 6.96	1-2-1 5.54	—	1-1-2 5.18
Wexford	2-1-1 5.82	1-1-2 5.92	3-1-0 5.86	0-2-2 3.68	2-0-2 6.28	2-2-0 7.63	1-2-1 7.66	2-1-1 5.96	2-1-1 5.56	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.73	+12.6
Allowed	0.63	-9.9
Differential	0.93	+7.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.00%	9.72%	6.67%	3.06%	0.28%	0.56%	25.28%
1	9.72%	14.44%	8.06%	2.22%	1.94%	—	36.39%
2	6.67%	8.06%	7.22%	1.94%	0.28%	—	24.17%
3	3.06%	2.22%	1.94%	3.33%	0.28%	—	10.83%
4	0.28%	1.94%	0.28%	0.28%	—	—	2.78%
5+	0.56%	—	—	—	—	—	0.56%
Total	25.28%	36.39%	24.17%	10.83%	2.78%	0.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.31	+0.00
SD	1.09	1.09	1.57
CV	0.83	0.83	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
1	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	36.11%
2	—	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
3	2.78%	—	—	8.33%	—	—	11.11%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	41.67%	16.67%	16.67%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	1.36	+0.06
SD	1.13	1.10	1.51
CV	0.80	0.81	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
1	8.33%	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
2	5.56%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	22.22%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	27.78%	30.56%	27.78%	11.11%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.31	+0.19
SD	1.28	1.09	1.67
CV	0.85	0.84	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	2.78%	8.33%	11.11%	—	—	25.00%
1	11.11%	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	41.67%
2	8.33%	11.11%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	27.78%
3	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	25.00%	25.00%	19.44%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.56	-0.42
SD	0.87	1.23	1.66
CV	0.76	0.79	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
1	19.44%	16.67%	—	—	2.78%	—	38.89%
2	16.67%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	19.44%
3	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
4	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	55.56%	33.33%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.78	0.64	+1.14
SD	1.38	0.93	1.55
CV	0.77	1.46	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	13.89%	16.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	13.89%	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	38.89%
2	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	36.11%	33.33%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.19	-0.11
SD	1.05	0.89	1.35
CV	0.97	0.74	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	13.89%	16.67%	—	2.78%	—	38.89%
1	—	19.44%	13.89%	—	2.78%	—	36.11%
2	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
3	2.78%	—	—	5.56%	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.89%	38.89%	33.33%	8.33%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.94	1.53	-0.58
SD	0.95	1.03	1.38
CV	1.01	0.67	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	25.00%
1	5.56%	13.89%	11.11%	2.78%	8.33%	—	41.67%
2	2.78%	5.56%	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	27.78%
3	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.89%	30.56%	27.78%	19.44%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.78	-0.64
SD	0.87	1.17	1.42
CV	0.76	0.66	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	16.67%	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	27.78%
1	13.89%	16.67%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	44.44%
2	2.78%	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
3	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	44.44%	22.22%	5.56%	—	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.19	-0.06
SD	1.02	1.06	1.51
CV	0.89	0.89	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	22.22%
1	8.33%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	8.33%	16.67%	11.11%	—	—	—	36.11%
3	2.78%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	44.44%	25.00%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.03	+0.28
SD	0.92	0.81	1.06
CV	0.70	0.79	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	2.78%	16.67%
1	—	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
2	8.33%	11.11%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
3	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	2.78%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	38.89%	25.00%	16.67%	—	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.69	1.56	+0.14
SD	1.17	1.23	1.87
CV	0.69	0.79	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Cork City	1366	78	69.26	+8.74	89.0%	49	58	64	69	74	81	85
Wexford	1198	56	54.68	+1.32	60.0%	37	41	49	54	59	66	77
UC Dublin	1190	56	51.02	+4.98	80.0%	32	40	46	50	56	61	75
Bray Wanderers	1173	51	48.94	+2.06	69.0%	31	38	45	49	52	60	64
Athlone Town	1156	55	48.83	+6.17	77.0%	33	38	42	48	54	62	68
Treaty United	1152	44	48.38	-4.38	31.0%	33	37	43	48	53	60	68
Finn Harps	1115	46	46.14	-0.14	54.0%	23	35	42	46	51	57	59
Cobh Ramblers	1110	44	49.32	-5.32	25.0%	24	35	44	49	54	62	66
Longford Town	1062	29	36.76	-7.76	19.0%	22	25	31	37	41	50	57
Kerry	1012	27	33.19	-6.19	20.0%	14	21	29	33	37	45	48

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+11.11%

No Edge

40.56%30.00%29.44%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 38.76 Elo pts.

248 Elo

0.004 goals per Elo point

0800

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.31 goals

Neutral

-2+0.16+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.4

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

84%

Cork City, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.61/gm

Runaway

00.280.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.83 * Some Luck: 5.83 to 8.74 * Lucky: 8.74 to 11.65 * Wild Swing: 11.65 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.29 * Close: 1.29 to 1.94 * Off: 1.94 to 2.59 * Way Off: 2.59 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.40 points

As Expected

07.2818

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

Pinpoint

01.624

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

89.00%

Cork City

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

19.00%

Longford Town

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.15

Even

00.130.20.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 94.47

1.91

Strong Separation

0.751.51.82.153

Interquartile Edge

61%

Even

50%63.5%74.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

88%

Clear Edge

50%86%100%

Close Games

Expected

70%

Very Frequent

0%66%100%

Blowouts

Expected

12%

Rare

0%11%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.64

Hard to Predict

00.622

Matchup Imbalance

0.32

Very Even

00.340.420.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.54

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.23

Weak Carryover

00.380.570.71

Upset Rate

Expected

27%

Very Upset-Prone

0%23%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

20%

Shaky Favorites

0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.

Probability calibration

0.32

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.95

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.119

Well Within Noise

00.1370.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Cork City	84.00%	7.00%	8.00%	—	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—
UC Dublin	3.00%	15.00%	18.00%	19.00%	15.00%	10.00%	9.00%	5.00%	6.00%	—
Wexford	6.00%	28.00%	17.00%	17.00%	6.00%	10.00%	12.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—
Athlone Town	1.00%	13.00%	14.00%	10.00%	14.00%	11.00%	11.00%	15.00%	7.00%	4.00%
Bray Wanderers	1.00%	13.00%	8.00%	16.00%	14.00%	18.00%	19.00%	7.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Finn Harps	—	3.00%	10.00%	10.00%	12.00%	16.00%	19.00%	17.00%	10.00%	3.00%
Treaty United	4.00%	7.00%	10.00%	16.00%	15.00%	15.00%	11.00%	13.00%	7.00%	2.00%
Cobh Ramblers	1.00%	13.00%	15.00%	8.00%	18.00%	16.00%	9.00%	9.00%	10.00%	1.00%
Longford Town	—	1.00%	—	4.00%	5.00%	2.00%	4.00%	19.00%	33.00%	32.00%
Kerry	—	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	5.00%	12.00%	23.00%	57.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Direct promotion	Lost promotion playoff	Same level
Cork City	84.00%	15.00%	1.00%
Treaty United	4.00%	48.00%	48.00%
Cobh Ramblers	1.00%	54.00%	45.00%
Athlone Town	—	100%	—
Bray Wanderers	—	100%	—
Finn Harps	—	35.00%	65.00%
Kerry	—	1.00%	99.00%
Longford Town	—	10.00%	90.00%
UC Dublin	—	100%	—
Wexford	—	100%	—

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2024-02-16	Cobh Ramblers	W 3-1	43.4	1175	1219	34.45%	31.81%	33.74%	-0.02	+16.7	3
2024-02-16	@ Treaty United	L 1-3	43.4	1219	1175	33.74%	31.81%	34.45%	+0.02	-16.7	0
2024-02-16	Kerry	W 2-0	29.2	1208	1041	60.51%	25.92%	13.57%	+0.83	+8.8	3
2024-02-16	@ Cork City	L 0-2	29.2	1041	1208	13.57%	25.92%	60.51%	-0.83	-8.8	0
2024-02-16	UC Dublin	L 1-2	49.8	1140	1117	43.68%	31.11%	25.20%	+0.25	-11.7	0
2024-02-16	@ Bray Wanderers	W 2-1	49.8	1117	1140	25.20%	31.11%	43.68%	-0.25	+11.6	3
2024-02-16	Wexford	W 3-0	36.0	1146	1200	32.94%	31.80%	35.26%	-0.06	+28.9	3
2024-02-16	@ Athlone Town	L 0-3	36.0	1200	1146	35.26%	31.80%	32.94%	+0.06	-28.9	0
2024-02-17	Finn Harps	L 2-3	55.1	1155	1133	43.62%	31.12%	25.26%	+0.25	-11.0	0
2024-02-17	@ Longford Town	W 3-2	55.1	1133	1155	25.26%	31.12%	43.62%	-0.25	+11.0	3
2024-02-23	Athlone Town	D 3-3	61.3	1202	1175	44.32%	31.01%	24.67%	+0.27	-0.7	1
2024-02-23	@ Cobh Ramblers	D 3-3	61.3	1175	1202	24.67%	31.01%	44.32%	-0.27	+0.7	4
2024-02-23	Bray Wanderers	L 2-3	50.3	1032	1129	27.49%	31.45%	41.06%	-0.23	-7.9	0
2024-02-23	@ Kerry	W 3-2	50.3	1129	1032	41.06%	31.45%	27.49%	+0.23	+7.9	3
2024-02-23	Cork City	D 1-1	51.0	1144	1217	30.46%	31.71%	37.82%	-0.14	+0.4	4
2024-02-23	@ Finn Harps	D 1-1	51.0	1217	1144	37.82%	31.71%	30.46%	+0.14	-0.4	4
2024-02-23	Treaty United	L 0-1	40.4	1129	1191	31.89%	31.78%	36.33%	-0.09	-9.9	3
2024-02-23	@ UC Dublin	W 1-0	40.4	1191	1129	36.33%	31.78%	31.89%	+0.09	+9.9	6
2024-03-01	Athlone Town	W 2-0	36.5	1144	1175	36.31%	31.78%	31.91%	+0.03	+18.6	7
2024-03-01	@ Finn Harps	L 0-2	36.5	1175	1144	31.91%	31.78%	36.31%	-0.03	-18.6	4
2024-03-01	Treaty United	L 0-1	35.8	1024	1201	19.26%	29.42%	51.32%	-0.56	-6.6	0
2024-03-01	@ Kerry	W 1-0	35.8	1201	1024	51.32%	29.42%	19.26%	+0.56	+6.6	9
2024-03-01	UC Dublin	W 1-0	35.4	1216	1119	52.86%	28.95%	18.19%	+0.55	+6.3	7
2024-03-01	@ Cork City	L 0-1	35.4	1119	1216	18.19%	28.95%	52.86%	-0.55	-6.3	3
2024-03-08	Bray Wanderers	D 2-2	57.8	1208	1136	49.84%	29.84%	20.32%	+0.44	-1.3	10
2024-03-08	@ Treaty United	D 2-2	57.8	1136	1208	20.32%	29.84%	49.84%	-0.44	+1.3	4
2024-03-08	Cobh Ramblers	L 0-1	41.4	1163	1201	35.23%	31.80%	32.96%	+0.00	-10.5	7
2024-03-08	@ Finn Harps	W 1-0	41.4	1201	1163	32.96%	31.80%	35.23%	+0.00	+10.6	4
2024-03-08	Kerry	D 1-1	52.2	1157	1018	57.57%	27.21%	15.22%	+0.72	-2.6	5
2024-03-08	@ Athlone Town	D 1-1	52.2	1018	1157	15.22%	27.21%	57.57%	-0.72	+2.6	1
2024-03-08	Wexford	L 1-2	46.6	1113	1171	32.42%	31.79%	35.79%	-0.08	-9.4	3
2024-03-08	@ UC Dublin	W 2-1	46.6	1171	1113	35.79%	31.79%	32.42%	+0.08	+9.4	3
2024-03-09	Cork City	L 0-2	35.9	1144	1222	29.71%	31.66%	38.63%	-0.16	-17.7	0
2024-03-09	@ Longford Town	W 2-0	35.9	1222	1144	38.63%	31.66%	29.71%	+0.16	+17.7	10
2024-03-15	Athlone Town	W 3-0	35.7	1104	1154	33.54%	31.81%	34.64%	-0.05	+28.6	6
2024-03-15	@ UC Dublin	L 0-3	35.7	1154	1104	34.64%	31.81%	33.54%	+0.05	-28.6	5
2024-03-15	Bray Wanderers	W 2-0	31.4	1240	1138	53.50%	28.74%	17.77%	+0.57	+11.6	13
2024-03-15	@ Cork City	L 0-2	31.4	1138	1240	17.77%	28.74%	53.50%	-0.57	-11.6	4
2024-03-15	Cobh Ramblers	D 1-1	51.7	1020	1212	18.07%	28.89%	53.04%	-0.62	+2.1	2
2024-03-15	@ Kerry	D 1-1	51.7	1212	1020	53.04%	28.89%	18.07%	+0.62	-2.1	5
2024-03-15	Finn Harps	L 1-2	50.0	1181	1152	44.46%	30.99%	24.55%	+0.27	-11.8	3
2024-03-15	@ Wexford	W 2-1	50.0	1152	1181	24.55%	30.99%	44.46%	-0.27	+11.8	10
2024-03-22	Cork City	D 0-0	46.2	1207	1252	34.30%	31.81%	33.89%	-0.03	-0.0	11
2024-03-22	@ Treaty United	D 0-0	46.2	1252	1207	33.89%	31.81%	34.30%	+0.03	+0.0	14
2024-03-22	Kerry	D 0-0	47.3	1164	1022	57.85%	27.09%	15.05%	+0.73	-2.9	11
2024-03-22	@ Finn Harps	D 0-0	47.3	1022	1164	15.05%	27.09%	57.85%	-0.73	+2.9	3
2024-03-22	Longford Town	D 3-3	61.0	1125	1126	40.54%	31.50%	27.96%	+0.15	-0.4	6
2024-03-22	@ Athlone Town	D 3-3	61.0	1126	1125	27.96%	31.50%	40.54%	-0.15	+0.4	1
2024-03-22	UC Dublin	L 1-2	51.5	1210	1132	50.60%	29.63%	19.77%	+0.47	-13.1	5
2024-03-22	@ Cobh Ramblers	W 2-1	51.5	1132	1210	19.77%	29.63%	50.60%	-0.47	+13.1	9
2024-03-22	Wexford	L 3-4	55.0	1126	1169	34.63%	31.81%	33.55%	-0.02	-9.1	4
2024-03-22	@ Bray Wanderers	W 4-3	55.0	1169	1126	33.55%	31.81%	34.63%	+0.02	+9.1	6
2024-03-25	Longford Town	D 1-1	50.9	1117	1127	39.33%	31.61%	29.06%	+0.12	-0.6	5
2024-03-25	@ Bray Wanderers	D 1-1	50.9	1127	1117	29.06%	31.61%	39.33%	-0.12	+0.6	2
2024-03-29	Athlone Town	W 1-0	34.5	1252	1125	56.24%	27.75%	16.02%	+0.67	+5.6	17
2024-03-29	@ Cork City	L 0-1	34.5	1125	1252	16.02%	27.75%	56.24%	-0.67	-5.6	6
2024-03-29	Cobh Ramblers	D 2-2	57.2	1116	1197	29.50%	31.65%	38.86%	-0.17	+0.4	6
2024-03-29	@ Bray Wanderers	D 2-2	57.2	1197	1116	38.86%	31.65%	29.50%	+0.17	-0.4	6
2024-03-29	Finn Harps	L 0-1	44.5	1206	1161	46.63%	30.59%	22.78%	+0.34	-13.0	11
2024-03-29	@ Treaty United	W 1-0	44.5	1161	1206	22.78%	30.59%	46.63%	-0.34	+13.0	14
2024-03-29	UC Dublin	L 1-2	48.3	1127	1145	38.15%	31.69%	30.16%	+0.08	-10.5	2
2024-03-29	@ Longford Town	W 2-1	48.3	1145	1127	30.16%	31.69%	38.15%	-0.08	+10.5	12
2024-03-29	Wexford	D 1-1	51.3	1025	1178	21.41%	30.20%	48.39%	-0.46	+1.6	4
2024-03-29	@ Kerry	D 1-1	51.3	1178	1025	48.39%	30.20%	21.41%	+0.46	-1.6	7
2024-04-01	Bray Wanderers	W 2-0	33.0	1174	1117	48.09%	30.27%	21.64%	+0.39	+13.8	17
2024-04-01	@ Finn Harps	L 0-2	33.0	1117	1174	21.64%	30.27%	48.09%	-0.39	-13.8	6
2024-04-01	Cork City	D 1-1	51.1	1177	1257	29.43%	31.64%	38.93%	-0.17	+0.5	8
2024-04-01	@ Wexford	D 1-1	51.1	1257	1177	38.93%	31.64%	29.43%	+0.17	-0.5	18
2024-04-01	Kerry	D 1-1	52.1	1156	1027	56.47%	27.65%	15.88%	+0.68	-2.5	13
2024-04-01	@ UC Dublin	D 1-1	52.1	1027	1156	15.88%	27.65%	56.47%	-0.68	+2.5	5
2024-04-01	Longford Town	D 1-1	51.6	1196	1117	50.84%	29.56%	19.60%	+0.48	-1.9	7
2024-04-01	@ Cobh Ramblers	D 1-1	51.6	1117	1196	19.60%	29.56%	50.84%	-0.48	+1.9	3
2024-04-01	Treaty United	W 1-0	42.2	1119	1194	30.30%	31.70%	37.99%	-0.14	+11.1	9
2024-04-01	@ Athlone Town	L 0-1	42.2	1194	1119	37.99%	31.70%	30.30%	+0.14	-11.1	11
2024-04-05	Athlone Town	W 3-0	34.7	1103	1131	36.81%	31.76%	31.43%	+0.05	+26.7	9
2024-04-05	@ Bray Wanderers	L 0-3	34.7	1131	1103	31.43%	31.76%	36.81%	-0.05	-26.7	9
2024-04-05	Cobh Ramblers	W 3-0	31.4	1257	1194	48.73%	30.12%	21.15%	+0.41	+19.7	21
2024-04-05	@ Cork City	L 0-3	31.4	1194	1257	21.15%	30.12%	48.73%	-0.41	-19.7	7
2024-04-05	Longford Town	W 3-0	37.2	1029	1118	28.37%	31.55%	40.08%	-0.20	+31.7	8
2024-04-05	@ Kerry	L 0-3	37.2	1118	1029	40.08%	31.55%	28.37%	+0.20	-31.7	3
2024-04-05	Treaty United	W 3-2	50.8	1177	1182	39.91%	31.56%	28.53%	+0.13	+8.1	11
2024-04-05	@ Wexford	L 2-3	50.8	1182	1177	28.53%	31.56%	39.91%	-0.13	-8.1	11
2024-04-05	UC Dublin	D 1-1	51.2	1188	1153	45.23%	30.86%	23.91%	+0.30	-1.2	18
2024-04-05	@ Finn Harps	D 1-1	51.2	1153	1188	23.91%	30.86%	45.23%	-0.30	+1.2	14
2024-04-12	Cork City	D 0-0	46.4	1154	1276	24.54%	30.99%	44.48%	-0.34	+1.3	15
2024-04-12	@ UC Dublin	D 0-0	46.4	1276	1154	44.48%	30.99%	24.54%	+0.34	-1.3	22
2024-04-12	Finn Harps	W 1-0	42.5	1104	1187	29.18%	31.62%	39.20%	-0.18	+11.4	12
2024-04-12	@ Athlone Town	L 0-1	42.5	1187	1104	39.20%	31.62%	29.18%	+0.18	-11.4	18
2024-04-12	Kerry	D 0-0	47.0	1174	1061	54.72%	28.31%	16.96%	+0.61	-2.6	12
2024-04-12	@ Treaty United	D 0-0	47.0	1061	1174	16.96%	28.31%	54.72%	-0.61	+2.6	9
2024-04-12	Wexford	L 2-4	48.8	1175	1185	39.21%	31.62%	29.17%	+0.11	-16.6	7
2024-04-12	@ Cobh Ramblers	W 4-2	48.8	1185	1175	29.17%	31.62%	39.21%	-0.11	+16.6	14
2024-04-13	Bray Wanderers	L 0-3	35.7	1087	1130	34.62%	31.81%	33.57%	-0.02	-28.5	3
2024-04-13	@ Longford Town	W 3-0	35.7	1130	1087	33.57%	31.81%	34.62%	+0.02	+28.5	12
2024-04-16	Longford Town	D 2-2	58.6	1202	1058	58.07%	27.00%	14.93%	+0.74	-2.0	15
2024-04-16	@ Wexford	D 2-2	58.6	1058	1202	14.93%	27.00%	58.07%	-0.74	+2.0	4
2024-04-19	Athlone Town	L 1-2	46.9	1064	1115	33.38%	31.81%	34.81%	-0.05	-9.6	9
2024-04-19	@ Kerry	W 2-1	46.9	1115	1064	34.81%	31.81%	33.38%	+0.05	+9.6	15
2024-04-19	Finn Harps	W 2-0	35.9	1158	1175	38.29%	31.68%	30.03%	+0.09	+17.8	10
2024-04-19	@ Cobh Ramblers	L 0-2	35.9	1175	1158	30.03%	31.68%	38.29%	-0.09	-17.8	18
2024-04-19	Treaty United	W 2-1	45.8	1158	1172	38.80%	31.65%	29.55%	+0.10	+8.8	15
2024-04-19	@ Bray Wanderers	L 1-2	45.8	1172	1158	29.55%	31.65%	38.80%	-0.10	-8.8	12
2024-04-19	UC Dublin	L 2-3	55.9	1200	1156	46.45%	30.63%	22.92%	+0.33	-11.6	15
2024-04-19	@ Wexford	W 3-2	55.9	1156	1200	22.92%	30.63%	46.45%	-0.33	+11.6	18
2024-04-20	Cork City	L 1-4	34.5	1060	1275	16.36%	27.96%	55.69%	-0.71	-13.1	4
2024-04-20	@ Longford Town	W 4-1	34.5	1275	1060	55.69%	27.96%	16.36%	+0.71	+13.1	25
2024-04-26	Cobh Ramblers	W 2-1	47.3	1125	1176	33.45%	31.81%	34.74%	-0.05	+9.9	18
2024-04-26	@ Athlone Town	L 1-2	47.3	1176	1125	34.74%	31.81%	33.45%	+0.05	-9.9	10
2024-04-26	Cork City	L 0-2	33.9	1157	1288	23.58%	30.78%	45.63%	-0.37	-14.8	18
2024-04-26	@ Finn Harps	W 2-0	33.9	1288	1157	45.63%	30.78%	23.58%	+0.37	+14.8	28
2024-04-26	Kerry	W 2-0	30.9	1167	1054	54.71%	28.32%	16.97%	+0.61	+11.1	18
2024-04-26	@ Bray Wanderers	L 0-2	30.9	1054	1167	16.97%	28.32%	54.71%	-0.61	-11.1	9
2024-04-26	UC Dublin	L 0-2	38.9	1163	1167	40.03%	31.55%	28.42%	+0.14	-21.8	12
2024-04-26	@ Treaty United	W 2-0	38.9	1167	1163	28.42%	31.55%	40.03%	-0.14	+21.8	21
2024-04-27	Wexford	L 1-2	43.3	1047	1188	22.54%	30.52%	46.94%	-0.41	-7.1	4
2024-04-27	@ Longford Town	W 2-1	43.3	1188	1047	46.94%	30.52%	22.54%	+0.41	+7.2	18
2024-05-03	Athlone Town	D 2-2	57.7	1195	1135	48.53%	30.17%	21.30%	+0.40	-1.2	19
2024-05-03	@ Wexford	D 2-2	57.7	1135	1195	21.30%	30.17%	48.53%	-0.40	+1.2	19
2024-05-03	Bray Wanderers	W 2-1	45.7	1166	1178	38.98%	31.64%	29.39%	+0.11	+8.8	13
2024-05-03	@ Cobh Ramblers	L 1-2	45.7	1178	1166	29.39%	31.64%	38.98%	-0.11	-8.8	18
2024-05-03	Cork City	L 0-1	33.1	1043	1303	13.56%	25.91%	60.53%	-0.89	-4.7	9
2024-05-03	@ Kerry	W 1-0	33.1	1303	1043	60.53%	25.91%	13.56%	+0.89	+4.7	31
2024-05-03	Longford Town	W 1-0	33.6	1189	1040	58.67%	26.75%	14.58%	+0.76	+5.0	24
2024-05-03	@ UC Dublin	L 0-1	33.6	1040	1189	14.58%	26.75%	58.67%	-0.76	-5.0	4
2024-05-03	Treaty United	W 1-0	39.0	1143	1141	40.84%	31.47%	27.68%	+0.16	+8.9	21
2024-05-03	@ Finn Harps	L 0-1	39.0	1141	1143	27.68%	31.47%	40.84%	-0.16	-8.9	12
2024-05-06	Athlone Town	L 0-1	42.7	1132	1136	40.13%	31.54%	28.33%	+0.14	-11.6	12
2024-05-06	@ Treaty United	W 1-0	42.7	1136	1132	28.33%	31.54%	40.13%	-0.14	+11.6	22
2024-05-06	Cobh Ramblers	L 1-2	49.8	1194	1175	43.24%	31.18%	25.59%	+0.23	-11.5	24
2024-05-06	@ UC Dublin	W 2-1	49.8	1175	1194	25.59%	31.18%	43.24%	-0.23	+11.5	16
2024-05-06	Finn Harps	W 1-0	38.4	1169	1151	43.06%	31.20%	25.74%	+0.23	+8.4	21
2024-05-06	@ Bray Wanderers	L 0-1	38.4	1151	1169	25.74%	31.20%	43.06%	-0.23	-8.4	21
2024-05-06	Kerry	W 2-1	45.2	1035	1038	40.18%	31.54%	28.28%	+0.14	+8.5	7
2024-05-06	@ Longford Town	L 1-2	45.2	1038	1035	28.28%	31.54%	40.18%	-0.14	-8.5	9
2024-05-06	Wexford	D 1-1	52.3	1308	1194	54.77%	28.29%	16.93%	+0.61	-2.3	32
2024-05-06	@ Cork City	D 1-1	52.3	1194	1308	16.93%	28.29%	54.77%	-0.61	+2.3	20
2024-05-10	Bray Wanderers	W 2-1	46.5	1147	1178	36.41%	31.77%	31.82%	+0.03	+9.3	25
2024-05-10	@ Athlone Town	L 1-2	46.5	1178	1147	31.82%	31.77%	36.41%	-0.03	-9.3	21
2024-05-10	Cork City	L 0-3	32.9	1186	1305	24.85%	31.05%	44.10%	-0.32	-22.5	16
2024-05-10	@ Cobh Ramblers	W 3-0	32.9	1305	1186	44.10%	31.05%	24.85%	+0.32	+22.5	35
2024-05-10	Longford Town	W 3-2	46.7	1143	1043	53.18%	28.84%	17.98%	+0.56	+5.6	24
2024-05-10	@ Finn Harps	L 2-3	46.7	1043	1143	17.98%	28.84%	53.18%	-0.56	-5.6	7
2024-05-10	UC Dublin	L 1-2	42.8	1030	1183	21.40%	30.20%	48.41%	-0.46	-6.8	9
2024-05-10	@ Kerry	W 2-1	42.8	1183	1030	48.41%	30.20%	21.40%	+0.46	+6.8	27
2024-05-10	Wexford	D 2-2	57.2	1121	1196	30.06%	31.69%	38.25%	-0.15	+0.3	13
2024-05-10	@ Treaty United	D 2-2	57.2	1196	1121	38.25%	31.69%	30.06%	+0.15	-0.3	21
2024-05-13	Treaty United	W 2-1	48.6	1038	1121	29.14%	31.62%	39.24%	-0.18	+10.7	10
2024-05-13	@ Longford Town	L 1-2	48.6	1121	1038	39.24%	31.62%	29.14%	+0.18	-10.7	13
2024-05-17	Cork City	L 1-3	39.2	1169	1328	20.80%	30.00%	49.20%	-0.49	-11.6	21
2024-05-17	@ Bray Wanderers	W 3-1	39.2	1328	1169	49.20%	30.00%	20.80%	+0.49	+11.6	38
2024-05-17	Finn Harps	D 3-3	61.3	1189	1149	46.04%	30.71%	23.25%	+0.32	-0.8	28
2024-05-17	@ UC Dublin	D 3-3	61.3	1149	1189	23.25%	30.71%	46.04%	-0.32	+0.8	25
2024-05-17	Kerry	W 2-0	29.0	1196	1023	61.18%	25.60%	13.22%	+0.86	+8.6	24
2024-05-17	@ Wexford	L 0-2	29.0	1023	1196	13.22%	25.60%	61.18%	-0.86	-8.6	9
2024-05-17	Treaty United	D 1-1	51.3	1164	1110	47.68%	30.36%	21.96%	+0.37	-1.5	17
2024-05-17	@ Cobh Ramblers	D 1-1	51.3	1110	1164	21.96%	30.36%	47.68%	-0.37	+1.5	14
2024-05-18	Athlone Town	D 1-1	51.0	1049	1157	26.09%	31.26%	42.65%	-0.28	+0.9	11
2024-05-18	@ Longford Town	D 1-1	51.0	1157	1049	42.65%	31.26%	26.09%	+0.28	-0.9	26
2024-05-20	Cobh Ramblers	D 1-1	51.3	1205	1162	46.22%	30.67%	23.11%	+0.33	-1.3	25
2024-05-20	@ Wexford	D 1-1	51.3	1162	1205	23.11%	30.67%	46.22%	-0.33	+1.3	18
2024-05-24	Bray Wanderers	L 1-2	50.6	1203	1157	46.74%	30.57%	22.69%	+0.34	-12.3	25
2024-05-24	@ Wexford	W 2-1	50.6	1157	1203	22.69%	30.57%	46.74%	-0.34	+12.3	24
2024-05-24	Finn Harps	W 2-0	40.4	1014	1149	23.15%	30.68%	46.17%	-0.39	+24.3	12
2024-05-24	@ Kerry	L 0-2	40.4	1149	1014	46.17%	30.68%	23.15%	+0.39	-24.3	25
2024-05-24	Treaty United	D 1-1	53.8	1339	1112	66.56%	22.82%	10.62%	+1.08	-3.5	39
2024-05-24	@ Cork City	D 1-1	53.8	1112	1339	10.62%	22.82%	66.56%	-1.08	+3.5	15
2024-05-24	UC Dublin	D 2-2	57.2	1156	1189	36.06%	31.79%	32.15%	+0.02	-0.1	27
2024-05-24	@ Athlone Town	D 2-2	57.2	1189	1156	32.15%	31.79%	36.06%	-0.02	+0.2	29
2024-05-25	Cobh Ramblers	D 0-0	46.1	1050	1164	25.39%	31.14%	43.47%	-0.30	+1.1	12
2024-05-25	@ Longford Town	D 0-0	46.1	1164	1050	43.47%	31.14%	25.39%	+0.30	-1.1	19
2024-05-31	Bray Wanderers	D 0-0	46.2	1189	1169	43.26%	31.17%	25.56%	+0.24	-1.1	30
2024-05-31	@ UC Dublin	D 0-0	46.2	1169	1189	25.56%	31.17%	43.26%	-0.24	+1.1	25
2024-05-31	Cork City	W 1-0	45.9	1156	1336	18.97%	29.30%	51.72%	-0.57	+14.1	30
2024-05-31	@ Athlone Town	L 0-1	45.9	1336	1156	51.72%	29.30%	18.97%	+0.57	-14.1	39
2024-05-31	Kerry	W 1-0	34.4	1163	1039	55.94%	27.86%	16.20%	+0.66	+5.6	22
2024-05-31	@ Cobh Ramblers	L 0-1	34.4	1039	1163	16.20%	27.86%	55.94%	-0.66	-5.6	12
2024-05-31	Longford Town	W 1-0	36.5	1115	1051	49.00%	30.05%	20.95%	+0.42	+7.1	18
2024-05-31	@ Treaty United	L 0-1	36.5	1051	1115	20.95%	30.05%	49.00%	-0.42	-7.1	12
2024-05-31	Wexford	W 1-0	41.9	1125	1191	31.38%	31.76%	36.86%	-0.11	+10.9	28
2024-05-31	@ Finn Harps	L 0-1	41.9	1191	1125	36.86%	31.76%	31.38%	+0.11	-10.9	25
2024-06-03	Athlone Town	D 1-1	50.9	1136	1170	35.93%	31.79%	32.28%	+0.02	-0.2	29
2024-06-03	@ Finn Harps	D 1-1	50.9	1170	1136	32.28%	31.79%	35.93%	-0.02	+0.2	31
2024-06-03	Cobh Ramblers	W 3-1	41.4	1170	1168	40.93%	31.46%	27.61%	+0.16	+14.5	28
2024-06-03	@ Bray Wanderers	L 1-3	41.4	1168	1170	27.61%	31.46%	40.93%	-0.16	-14.5	22
2024-06-03	Longford Town	D 2-2	58.5	1180	1044	57.32%	27.31%	15.36%	+0.71	-1.9	26
2024-06-03	@ Wexford	D 2-2	58.5	1044	1180	15.36%	27.31%	57.32%	-0.71	+1.9	13
2024-06-03	Treaty United	W 2-1	48.8	1033	1122	28.35%	31.55%	40.10%	-0.20	+10.9	15
2024-06-03	@ Kerry	L 1-2	48.8	1122	1033	40.10%	31.55%	28.35%	+0.20	-10.9	18
2024-06-03	UC Dublin	D 0-0	47.7	1322	1188	57.05%	27.42%	15.52%	+0.70	-2.9	40
2024-06-03	@ Cork City	D 0-0	47.7	1188	1322	15.52%	27.42%	57.05%	-0.70	+2.8	31
2024-06-07	Bray Wanderers	W 2-0	38.3	1111	1185	30.37%	31.71%	37.92%	-0.14	+21.0	21
2024-06-07	@ Treaty United	L 0-2	38.3	1185	1111	37.92%	31.71%	30.37%	+0.14	-21.0	28
2024-06-07	Finn Harps	W 2-0	34.5	1154	1136	43.06%	31.20%	25.74%	+0.23	+15.9	25
2024-06-07	@ Cobh Ramblers	L 0-2	34.5	1136	1154	25.74%	31.20%	43.06%	-0.23	-15.9	29
2024-06-07	Kerry	W 2-1	39.8	1191	1044	58.39%	26.87%	14.74%	+0.75	+4.8	34
2024-06-07	@ UC Dublin	L 1-2	39.8	1044	1191	14.74%	26.87%	58.39%	-0.75	-4.8	15
2024-06-07	Longford Town	W 2-0	26.2	1319	1045	70.73%	20.41%	8.85%	+1.26	+5.3	43
2024-06-07	@ Cork City	L 0-2	26.2	1045	1319	8.85%	20.41%	70.73%	-1.26	-5.3	13
2024-06-13	Athlone Town	W 1-0	39.3	1164	1170	39.82%	31.57%	28.61%	+0.13	+9.1	31
2024-06-13	@ Bray Wanderers	L 0-1	39.3	1170	1164	28.61%	31.57%	39.82%	-0.13	-9.1	31
2024-06-13	Cobh Ramblers	W 4-1	33.7	1324	1170	59.25%	26.49%	14.26%	+0.78	+11.4	46
2024-06-13	@ Cork City	L 1-4	33.7	1170	1324	14.26%	26.49%	59.25%	-0.78	-11.4	25
2024-06-13	Longford Town	W 2-1	45.1	1039	1040	40.50%	31.51%	27.99%	+0.15	+8.5	18
2024-06-13	@ Kerry	L 1-2	45.1	1040	1039	27.99%	31.51%	40.50%	-0.15	-8.5	13
2024-06-13	Treaty United	L 0-1	44.5	1178	1132	46.69%	30.58%	22.73%	+0.34	-13.0	26
2024-06-13	@ Wexford	W 1-0	44.5	1132	1178	22.73%	30.58%	46.69%	-0.34	+13.0	24
2024-06-13	UC Dublin	D 1-1	51.0	1120	1195	30.12%	31.69%	38.19%	-0.15	+0.4	30
2024-06-13	@ Finn Harps	D 1-1	51.0	1195	1120	38.19%	31.69%	30.12%	+0.15	-0.4	35
2024-06-28	Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	33.6	1336	1173	60.09%	26.11%	13.80%	+0.81	+4.8	49
2024-06-28	@ Cork City	L 0-1	33.6	1173	1336	13.80%	26.11%	60.09%	-0.81	-4.8	31
2024-06-28	Finn Harps	D 1-1	50.9	1032	1120	28.43%	31.55%	40.02%	-0.20	+0.6	14
2024-06-28	@ Longford Town	D 1-1	50.9	1120	1032	40.02%	31.55%	28.43%	+0.20	-0.6	31
2024-06-28	Treaty United	W 1-0	38.4	1161	1145	42.73%	31.25%	26.02%	+0.22	+8.5	34
2024-06-28	@ Athlone Town	L 0-1	38.4	1145	1161	26.02%	31.25%	42.73%	-0.22	-8.5	24
2024-06-28	UC Dublin	D 2-2	57.2	1158	1195	35.52%	31.80%	32.68%	+0.01	-0.1	26
2024-06-28	@ Cobh Ramblers	D 2-2	57.2	1195	1158	32.68%	31.80%	35.52%	-0.01	+0.1	36
2024-06-28	Wexford	D 1-1	51.1	1048	1165	25.00%	31.08%	43.92%	-0.32	+1.1	19
2024-06-28	@ Kerry	D 1-1	51.1	1165	1048	43.92%	31.08%	25.00%	+0.32	-1.1	27
2024-07-04	Athlone Town	L 1-2	50.0	1195	1169	44.08%	31.05%	24.87%	+0.26	-11.7	36
2024-07-04	@ UC Dublin	W 2-1	50.0	1169	1195	24.87%	31.05%	44.08%	-0.26	+11.7	37
2024-07-04	Cobh Ramblers	L 0-1	42.1	1137	1158	37.69%	31.72%	30.59%	+0.07	-11.1	24
2024-07-04	@ Treaty United	W 1-0	42.1	1158	1137	30.59%	31.72%	37.69%	-0.07	+11.1	29
2024-07-04	Cork City	L 1-3	38.7	1164	1340	19.31%	29.45%	51.24%	-0.55	-10.8	27
2024-07-04	@ Wexford	W 3-1	38.7	1340	1164	51.24%	29.45%	19.31%	+0.55	+10.8	52
2024-07-04	Kerry	W 1-0	36.3	1120	1049	49.80%	29.85%	20.35%	+0.44	+7.0	34
2024-07-04	@ Finn Harps	L 0-1	36.3	1049	1120	20.35%	29.85%	49.80%	-0.44	-7.0	19
2024-07-04	Longford Town	L 0-1	46.6	1168	1032	57.25%	27.34%	15.41%	+0.70	-15.3	31
2024-07-04	@ Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	46.6	1032	1168	15.41%	27.34%	57.25%	-0.70	+15.3	17
2024-07-12	Bray Wanderers	D 3-3	61.1	1042	1153	25.72%	31.20%	43.07%	-0.29	+0.6	20
2024-07-12	@ Kerry	D 3-3	61.1	1153	1042	43.07%	31.20%	25.72%	+0.29	-0.6	32
2024-07-12	Cobh Ramblers	W 3-0	34.3	1153	1169	38.45%	31.67%	29.87%	+0.09	+25.8	30
2024-07-12	@ Wexford	L 0-3	34.3	1169	1153	29.87%	31.67%	38.45%	-0.09	-25.8	29
2024-07-12	Finn Harps	W 1-0	31.7	1351	1127	66.26%	22.99%	10.75%	+1.06	+3.6	55
2024-07-12	@ Cork City	L 0-1	31.7	1127	1351	10.75%	22.99%	66.26%	-1.06	-3.6	34
2024-07-12	Longford Town	W 4-1	34.0	1181	1048	56.97%	27.46%	15.57%	+0.69	+12.5	40
2024-07-12	@ Athlone Town	L 1-4	34.0	1048	1181	15.57%	27.46%	56.97%	-0.69	-12.5	17
2024-07-12	Treaty United	D 1-1	51.4	1183	1126	48.14%	30.26%	21.60%	+0.39	-1.5	37
2024-07-12	@ UC Dublin	D 1-1	51.4	1126	1183	21.60%	30.26%	48.14%	-0.39	+1.5	25
2024-07-26	Athlone Town	L 1-2	47.0	1143	1194	33.60%	31.81%	34.59%	-0.05	-9.6	29
2024-07-26	@ Cobh Ramblers	W 2-1	47.0	1194	1143	34.59%	31.81%	33.60%	+0.05	+9.6	43
2024-07-26	Finn Harps	W 1-0	38.9	1127	1123	41.22%	31.43%	27.35%	+0.17	+8.8	28
2024-07-26	@ Treaty United	L 0-1	38.9	1123	1127	27.35%	31.43%	41.22%	-0.17	-8.8	34
2024-07-26	Kerry	W 2-0	25.3	1355	1042	74.06%	18.37%	7.57%	+1.42	+4.4	58
2024-07-26	@ Cork City	L 0-2	25.3	1042	1355	7.57%	18.37%	74.06%	-1.42	-4.4	20
2024-07-26	Wexford	W 3-1	42.6	1152	1179	36.93%	31.76%	31.32%	+0.05	+15.9	35
2024-07-26	@ Bray Wanderers	L 1-3	42.6	1179	1152	31.32%	31.76%	36.93%	-0.05	-15.9	30
2024-07-27	UC Dublin	L 1-2	43.0	1035	1182	22.00%	30.38%	47.63%	-0.43	-7.0	17
2024-07-27	@ Longford Town	W 2-1	43.0	1182	1035	47.63%	30.38%	22.00%	+0.43	+7.0	40
2024-08-02	Bray Wanderers	L 1-2	46.8	1114	1168	33.04%	31.81%	35.16%	-0.06	-9.5	34
2024-08-02	@ Finn Harps	W 2-1	46.8	1168	1114	35.16%	31.81%	33.04%	+0.06	+9.5	38
2024-08-02	Cork City	D 1-1	52.5	1136	1359	15.80%	27.61%	56.59%	-0.74	+2.5	29
2024-08-02	@ Treaty United	D 1-1	52.5	1359	1136	56.59%	27.61%	15.80%	+0.74	-2.5	59
2024-08-02	Kerry	D 3-3	62.7	1203	1038	60.35%	25.99%	13.66%	+0.82	-1.8	44
2024-08-02	@ Athlone Town	D 3-3	62.7	1038	1203	13.66%	25.99%	60.35%	-0.82	+1.8	21
2024-08-02	Longford Town	W 1-0	35.0	1134	1028	53.88%	28.61%	17.51%	+0.58	+6.1	32
2024-08-02	@ Cobh Ramblers	L 0-1	35.0	1028	1134	17.51%	28.61%	53.88%	-0.58	-6.1	17
2024-08-02	Wexford	D 1-1	51.2	1189	1163	44.05%	31.06%	24.89%	+0.26	-1.1	41
2024-08-02	@ UC Dublin	D 1-1	51.2	1163	1189	24.89%	31.06%	44.05%	-0.26	+1.1	31
2024-08-09	Athlone Town	D 0-0	48.2	1357	1201	59.33%	26.46%	14.21%	+0.78	-3.1	60
2024-08-09	@ Cork City	D 0-0	48.2	1201	1357	14.21%	26.46%	59.33%	-0.78	+3.1	45
2024-08-09	Cobh Ramblers	L 0-2	34.9	1040	1140	27.03%	31.39%	41.58%	-0.25	-16.5	21
2024-08-09	@ Kerry	W 2-0	34.9	1140	1040	41.58%	31.39%	27.03%	+0.25	+16.5	35
2024-08-09	Finn Harps	W 2-0	32.8	1164	1105	48.40%	30.20%	21.40%	+0.40	+13.7	34
2024-08-09	@ Wexford	L 0-2	32.8	1105	1164	21.40%	30.20%	48.40%	-0.40	-13.7	34
2024-08-09	UC Dublin	L 0-1	42.6	1178	1188	39.29%	31.61%	29.10%	+0.12	-11.4	38
2024-08-09	@ Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	42.6	1188	1178	29.10%	31.61%	39.29%	-0.12	+11.4	44
2024-08-10	Treaty United	L 1-4	37.9	1022	1139	25.13%	31.10%	43.77%	-0.31	-19.1	17
2024-08-10	@ Longford Town	W 4-1	37.9	1139	1022	43.77%	31.10%	25.13%	+0.31	+19.1	32
2024-08-12	Wexford	L 2-3	55.3	1204	1178	44.18%	31.04%	24.79%	+0.26	-11.1	45
2024-08-12	@ Athlone Town	W 3-2	55.3	1178	1204	24.79%	31.04%	44.18%	-0.26	+11.1	37
2024-08-23	Bray Wanderers	L 0-1	43.9	1193	1166	44.24%	31.03%	24.73%	+0.27	-12.5	45
2024-08-23	@ Athlone Town	W 1-0	43.9	1166	1193	24.73%	31.03%	44.24%	-0.27	+12.5	41
2024-08-23	Cork City	L 0-1	35.5	1156	1354	17.64%	28.67%	53.69%	-0.64	-6.1	35
2024-08-23	@ Cobh Ramblers	W 1-0	35.5	1354	1156	53.69%	28.67%	17.64%	+0.64	+6.1	63
2024-08-23	Finn Harps	W 2-0	31.1	1199	1091	54.14%	28.52%	17.34%	+0.59	+11.3	47
2024-08-23	@ UC Dublin	L 0-2	31.1	1091	1199	17.34%	28.52%	54.14%	-0.59	-11.3	34
2024-08-23	Wexford	L 1-3	44.1	1158	1189	36.26%	31.78%	31.96%	+0.03	-17.6	32
2024-08-23	@ Treaty United	W 3-1	44.1	1189	1158	31.96%	31.78%	36.26%	-0.03	+17.6	40
2024-08-24	Kerry	D 2-2	57.1	1003	1023	37.83%	31.71%	30.45%	+0.07	-0.3	18
2024-08-24	@ Longford Town	D 2-2	57.1	1023	1003	30.45%	31.71%	37.83%	-0.07	+0.3	22
2024-08-30	Athlone Town	W 2-1	44.2	1207	1181	44.10%	31.05%	24.85%	+0.26	+7.7	43
2024-08-30	@ Wexford	L 1-2	44.2	1181	1207	24.85%	31.05%	44.10%	-0.26	-7.7	45
2024-08-30	Cobh Ramblers	W 2-0	38.1	1080	1150	30.77%	31.73%	37.50%	-0.13	+20.8	37
2024-08-30	@ Finn Harps	L 0-2	38.1	1150	1080	37.50%	31.73%	30.77%	+0.13	-20.8	35
2024-08-30	Longford Town	W 3-2	39.5	1360	1003	77.57%	16.13%	6.30%	+1.60	+1.7	66
2024-08-30	@ Cork City	L 2-3	39.5	1003	1360	6.30%	16.13%	77.57%	-1.60	-1.6	18
2024-08-30	Treaty United	W 5-0	33.7	1179	1140	45.77%	30.76%	23.48%	+0.31	+34.5	44
2024-08-30	@ Bray Wanderers	L 0-5	33.7	1140	1179	23.48%	30.76%	45.77%	-0.31	-34.6	32
2024-08-30	UC Dublin	L 0-1	35.5	1024	1210	18.45%	29.07%	52.48%	-0.60	-6.4	22
2024-08-30	@ Kerry	W 1-0	35.5	1210	1024	52.48%	29.07%	18.45%	+0.60	+6.4	50
2024-09-06	Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	46.3	1001	1213	16.54%	28.06%	55.40%	-0.70	+14.9	21
2024-09-06	@ Longford Town	L 0-1	46.3	1213	1001	55.40%	28.06%	16.54%	+0.70	-14.9	44
2024-09-06	Cork City	L 0-1	37.8	1217	1361	22.19%	30.43%	47.38%	-0.43	-7.5	50
2024-09-06	@ UC Dublin	W 1-0	37.8	1361	1217	47.38%	30.43%	22.19%	+0.43	+7.5	69
2024-09-06	Finn Harps	L 1-4	45.1	1173	1101	49.99%	29.80%	20.21%	+0.45	-31.7	45
2024-09-06	@ Athlone Town	W 4-1	45.1	1101	1173	20.21%	29.80%	49.99%	-0.45	+31.7	40
2024-09-06	Kerry	D 1-1	51.6	1106	1017	51.87%	29.26%	18.87%	+0.51	-2.0	33
2024-09-06	@ Treaty United	D 1-1	51.6	1017	1106	18.87%	29.26%	51.87%	-0.51	+2.0	23
2024-09-06	Wexford	L 1-2	45.6	1129	1214	28.89%	31.60%	39.52%	-0.19	-8.7	35
2024-09-06	@ Cobh Ramblers	W 2-1	45.6	1214	1129	39.52%	31.60%	28.89%	+0.19	+8.7	46
2024-09-13	Cork City	L 1-4	30.5	1019	1369	9.47%	21.31%	69.21%	-1.25	-7.1	23
2024-09-13	@ Kerry	W 4-1	30.5	1369	1019	69.21%	21.31%	9.47%	+1.25	+7.1	72
2024-09-13	Longford Town	W 1-0	34.7	1132	1016	55.08%	28.18%	16.74%	+0.63	+5.8	43
2024-09-13	@ Finn Harps	L 0-1	34.7	1016	1132	16.74%	28.18%	55.08%	-0.63	-5.8	21
2024-09-17	Bray Wanderers	D 0-0	46.3	1223	1199	43.94%	31.07%	24.99%	+0.26	-1.2	47
2024-09-17	@ Wexford	D 0-0	46.3	1199	1223	24.99%	31.07%	43.94%	-0.26	+1.2	45
2024-09-20	Athlone Town	L 1-2	47.5	1104	1141	35.35%	31.80%	32.84%	+0.00	-10.0	33
2024-09-20	@ Treaty United	W 2-1	47.5	1141	1104	32.84%	31.80%	35.35%	+0.00	+10.0	48
2024-09-20	Cobh Ramblers	W 2-0	31.9	1209	1121	51.88%	29.26%	18.86%	+0.51	+12.2	53
2024-09-20	@ UC Dublin	L 0-2	31.9	1121	1209	18.86%	29.26%	51.88%	-0.51	-12.2	35
2024-09-20	Finn Harps	D 2-2	60.4	1376	1138	67.51%	22.29%	10.20%	+1.12	-2.7	73
2024-09-20	@ Cork City	D 2-2	60.4	1138	1376	10.20%	22.29%	67.51%	-1.12	+2.7	44
2024-09-20	Kerry	W 2-0	28.5	1200	1012	62.64%	24.89%	12.47%	+0.91	+8.0	48
2024-09-20	@ Bray Wanderers	L 0-2	28.5	1012	1200	12.47%	24.89%	62.64%	-0.91	-8.0	23
2024-09-21	Wexford	W 3-0	40.8	1010	1222	16.58%	28.09%	55.34%	-0.70	+40.8	24
2024-09-21	@ Longford Town	L 0-3	40.8	1222	1010	55.34%	28.09%	16.58%	+0.70	-40.8	47
2024-09-23	Treaty United	L 0-3	37.9	1109	1094	42.65%	31.26%	26.09%	+0.22	-33.2	35
2024-09-23	@ Cobh Ramblers	W 3-0	37.9	1094	1109	26.09%	31.26%	42.65%	-0.22	+33.2	36
2024-09-23	UC Dublin	W 1-0	42.1	1151	1222	30.83%	31.73%	37.44%	-0.13	+11.0	51
2024-09-23	@ Athlone Town	L 0-1	42.1	1222	1151	37.44%	31.73%	30.83%	+0.13	-11.0	53
2024-09-27	Cobh Ramblers	L 1-2	51.6	1162	1075	51.72%	29.31%	18.98%	+0.51	-13.3	51
2024-09-27	@ Athlone Town	W 2-1	51.6	1075	1162	18.98%	29.31%	51.72%	-0.51	+13.3	38
2024-09-27	Cork City	D 3-3	62.3	1208	1373	20.24%	29.81%	49.96%	-0.51	+1.1	49
2024-09-27	@ Bray Wanderers	D 3-3	62.3	1373	1208	49.96%	29.81%	20.24%	+0.51	-1.1	74
2024-09-27	Finn Harps	D 1-1	51.2	1004	1141	22.99%	30.64%	46.37%	-0.39	+1.3	24
2024-09-27	@ Kerry	D 1-1	51.2	1141	1004	46.37%	30.64%	22.99%	+0.39	-1.4	45
2024-09-27	Longford Town	W 3-1	38.5	1127	1051	50.39%	29.69%	19.92%	+0.46	+11.1	39
2024-09-27	@ Treaty United	L 1-3	38.5	1051	1127	19.92%	29.69%	50.39%	-0.46	-11.1	24
2024-09-27	UC Dublin	W 2-0	36.5	1181	1211	36.56%	31.77%	31.67%	+0.04	+18.5	50
2024-09-27	@ Wexford	L 0-2	36.5	1211	1181	31.67%	31.77%	36.56%	-0.04	-18.5	53
2024-10-04	Bray Wanderers	D 1-1	51.1	1192	1209	38.32%	31.68%	30.00%	+0.09	-0.5	54
2024-10-04	@ UC Dublin	D 1-1	51.1	1209	1192	30.00%	31.68%	38.32%	-0.09	+0.5	50
2024-10-04	Kerry	W 2-1	41.9	1089	1005	51.26%	29.44%	19.30%	+0.49	+6.2	41
2024-10-04	@ Cobh Ramblers	L 1-2	41.9	1005	1089	19.30%	29.44%	51.26%	-0.49	-6.2	24
2024-10-04	Treaty United	D 1-1	54.1	1372	1138	67.16%	22.49%	10.35%	+1.10	-3.6	75
2024-10-04	@ Cork City	D 1-1	54.1	1138	1372	10.35%	22.49%	67.16%	-1.10	+3.6	40
2024-10-05	Athlone Town	D 1-1	51.0	1040	1149	25.94%	31.24%	42.82%	-0.28	+1.0	25
2024-10-05	@ Longford Town	D 1-1	51.0	1149	1040	42.82%	31.24%	25.94%	+0.28	-1.0	52
2024-10-11	Cork City	W 4-1	46.8	1148	1369	15.98%	27.72%	56.30%	-0.73	+34.8	55
2024-10-11	@ Athlone Town	L 1-4	46.8	1369	1148	56.30%	27.72%	15.98%	+0.73	-34.8	75
2024-10-11	Finn Harps	D 2-2	57.8	1209	1139	49.66%	29.88%	20.45%	+0.44	-1.3	51
2024-10-11	@ Bray Wanderers	D 2-2	57.8	1139	1209	20.45%	29.88%	49.66%	-0.44	+1.3	46
2024-10-11	Kerry	W 4-0	27.0	1200	999	63.92%	24.24%	11.84%	+0.97	+14.3	53
2024-10-11	@ Wexford	L 0-4	27.0	999	1200	11.84%	24.24%	63.92%	-0.97	-14.3	24
2024-10-11	UC Dublin	D 2-2	57.2	1142	1192	33.61%	31.81%	34.58%	-0.05	+0.0	41
2024-10-11	@ Treaty United	D 2-2	57.2	1192	1142	34.58%	31.81%	33.61%	+0.05	-0.0	55
2024-10-12	Cobh Ramblers	W 2-0	37.4	1041	1095	33.01%	31.81%	35.18%	-0.06	+19.9	28
2024-10-12	@ Longford Town	L 0-2	37.4	1095	1041	35.18%	31.81%	33.01%	+0.06	-19.9	41
2024-10-14	Wexford	L 1-3	42.3	1141	1214	30.40%	31.71%	37.90%	-0.14	-15.6	46
2024-10-14	@ Finn Harps	W 3-1	42.3	1214	1141	37.90%	31.71%	30.40%	+0.14	+15.5	56
2024-10-18	Athlone Town	W 2-0	42.1	985	1183	17.56%	28.64%	53.80%	-0.64	+27.4	27
2024-10-18	@ Kerry	L 0-2	42.1	1183	985	53.80%	28.64%	17.56%	+0.64	-27.4	55
2024-10-18	Bray Wanderers	W 3-0	38.8	1075	1208	23.36%	30.73%	45.90%	-0.38	+35.1	44
2024-10-18	@ Cobh Ramblers	L 0-3	38.8	1208	1075	45.90%	30.73%	23.36%	+0.38	-35.1	51
2024-10-18	Longford Town	D 2-2	58.4	1192	1061	56.70%	27.56%	15.74%	+0.68	-1.9	56
2024-10-18	@ UC Dublin	D 2-2	58.4	1061	1192	15.74%	27.56%	56.70%	-0.68	+1.9	29
2024-10-18	Treaty United	L 1-2	48.4	1125	1142	38.36%	31.68%	29.96%	+0.09	-10.6	46
2024-10-18	@ Finn Harps	W 2-1	48.4	1142	1125	29.96%	31.68%	38.36%	-0.09	+10.6	44
2024-10-18	Wexford	W 6-0	33.0	1334	1230	53.71%	28.67%	17.62%	+0.58	+32.0	78
2024-10-18	@ Cork City	L 0-6	33.0	1230	1334	17.62%	28.67%	53.71%	-0.58	-32.0	56

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2024-07-04	15.41%	Longford Town	1032	1	@ Bray Wanderers	1168	0
2	2024-10-11	15.98%	@ Athlone Town	1148	4	Cork City	1369	1
3	2024-09-06	16.54%	@ Longford Town	1001	1	Bray Wanderers	1213	0
4	2024-09-21	16.58%	@ Longford Town	1010	3	Wexford	1222	0
5	2024-10-18	17.56%	@ Kerry	985	2	Athlone Town	1183	0
6	2024-05-31	18.97%	@ Athlone Town	1156	1	Cork City	1336	0
7	2024-09-27	18.98%	Cobh Ramblers	1075	2	@ Athlone Town	1162	1
8	2024-03-22	19.77%	UC Dublin	1132	2	@ Cobh Ramblers	1210	1
9	2024-09-06	20.21%	Finn Harps	1101	4	@ Athlone Town	1173	1
10	2024-05-24	22.69%	Bray Wanderers	1157	2	@ Wexford	1203	1
11	2024-06-13	22.73%	Treaty United	1132	1	@ Wexford	1178	0
12	2024-03-29	22.78%	Finn Harps	1161	1	@ Treaty United	1206	0
13	2024-04-19	22.92%	UC Dublin	1156	3	@ Wexford	1200	2
14	2024-05-24	23.15%	@ Kerry	1014	2	Finn Harps	1149	0
15	2024-10-18	23.36%	@ Cobh Ramblers	1075	3	Bray Wanderers	1208	0
16	2024-03-15	24.55%	Finn Harps	1152	2	@ Wexford	1181	1
17	2024-08-23	24.73%	Bray Wanderers	1166	1	@ Athlone Town	1193	0
18	2024-08-12	24.79%	Wexford	1178	3	@ Athlone Town	1204	2
19	2024-07-04	24.87%	Athlone Town	1169	2	@ UC Dublin	1195	1
20	2024-02-16	25.20%	UC Dublin	1117	2	@ Bray Wanderers	1140	1
21	2024-02-17	25.26%	Finn Harps	1133	3	@ Longford Town	1155	2
22	2024-05-06	25.59%	Cobh Ramblers	1175	2	@ UC Dublin	1194	1
23	2024-09-23	26.09%	Treaty United	1094	3	@ Cobh Ramblers	1109	0
24	2024-05-06	28.33%	Athlone Town	1136	1	@ Treaty United	1132	0
25	2024-06-03	28.35%	@ Kerry	1033	2	Treaty United	1122	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-09-21	40.77	@ Longford Town	3	1010	16.58%	Wexford	0	1222	55.34%	28.09%
2	2024-10-18	35.14	@ Cobh Ramblers	3	1075	23.36%	Bray Wanderers	0	1208	45.90%	30.73%
3	2024-10-11	34.84	@ Athlone Town	4	1148	15.98%	Cork City	1	1369	56.30%	27.72%
4	2024-08-30	34.55	@ Bray Wanderers	5	1179	45.77%	Treaty United	0	1140	23.48%	30.76%
5	2024-09-23	33.21	Treaty United	3	1094	26.09%	@ Cobh Ramblers	0	1109	42.65%	31.26%
6	2024-10-18	31.95	@ Cork City	6	1334	53.71%	Wexford	0	1230	17.62%	28.67%
7	2024-04-05	31.70	@ Kerry	3	1029	28.37%	Longford Town	0	1118	40.08%	31.55%
8	2024-09-06	31.70	Finn Harps	4	1101	20.21%	@ Athlone Town	1	1173	49.99%	29.80%
9	2024-02-16	28.92	@ Athlone Town	3	1146	32.94%	Wexford	0	1200	35.26%	31.80%
10	2024-03-15	28.57	@ UC Dublin	3	1104	33.54%	Athlone Town	0	1154	34.64%	31.81%
11	2024-04-13	28.55	Bray Wanderers	3	1130	33.57%	@ Longford Town	0	1087	34.62%	31.81%
12	2024-10-18	27.45	@ Kerry	2	985	17.56%	Athlone Town	0	1183	53.80%	28.64%
13	2024-04-05	26.71	@ Bray Wanderers	3	1103	36.81%	Athlone Town	0	1131	31.43%	31.76%
14	2024-07-12	25.77	@ Wexford	3	1153	38.45%	Cobh Ramblers	0	1169	29.87%	31.67%
15	2024-05-24	24.31	@ Kerry	2	1014	23.15%	Finn Harps	0	1149	46.17%	30.68%
16	2024-05-10	22.45	Cork City	3	1305	44.10%	@ Cobh Ramblers	0	1186	24.85%	31.05%
17	2024-04-26	21.81	UC Dublin	2	1167	28.42%	@ Treaty United	0	1163	40.03%	31.55%
18	2024-06-07	20.96	@ Treaty United	2	1111	30.37%	Bray Wanderers	0	1185	37.92%	31.71%
19	2024-08-30	20.80	@ Finn Harps	2	1080	30.77%	Cobh Ramblers	0	1150	37.50%	31.73%
20	2024-10-12	19.88	@ Longford Town	2	1041	33.01%	Cobh Ramblers	0	1095	35.18%	31.81%
21	2024-04-05	19.68	@ Cork City	3	1257	48.73%	Cobh Ramblers	0	1194	21.15%	30.12%
22	2024-08-10	19.10	Treaty United	4	1139	43.77%	@ Longford Town	1	1022	25.13%	31.10%
23	2024-03-01	18.59	@ Finn Harps	2	1144	36.31%	Athlone Town	0	1175	31.91%	31.78%
24	2024-09-27	18.49	@ Wexford	2	1181	36.56%	UC Dublin	0	1211	31.67%	31.77%
25	2024-04-19	17.81	@ Cobh Ramblers	2	1158	38.29%	Finn Harps	0	1175	30.03%	31.68%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-08-02	62.7	@ Athlone Town	3	1203	60.35%	Kerry	3	1038	13.66%	25.99%
2	2024-09-27	62.3	@ Bray Wanderers	3	1208	20.24%	Cork City	3	1373	49.96%	29.81%
3	2024-02-23	61.3	@ Cobh Ramblers	3	1202	44.32%	Athlone Town	3	1175	24.67%	31.01%
4	2024-05-17	61.3	@ UC Dublin	3	1189	46.04%	Finn Harps	3	1149	23.25%	30.71%
5	2024-07-12	61.1	@ Kerry	3	1042	25.72%	Bray Wanderers	3	1153	43.07%	31.20%
6	2024-03-22	61.0	@ Athlone Town	3	1125	40.54%	Longford Town	3	1126	27.96%	31.50%
7	2024-09-20	60.4	@ Cork City	2	1376	67.51%	Finn Harps	2	1138	10.20%	22.29%
8	2024-04-16	58.6	@ Wexford	2	1202	58.07%	Longford Town	2	1058	14.93%	27.00%
9	2024-06-03	58.5	@ Wexford	2	1180	57.32%	Longford Town	2	1044	15.36%	27.31%
10	2024-10-18	58.4	@ UC Dublin	2	1192	56.70%	Longford Town	2	1061	15.74%	27.56%
11	2024-03-08	57.8	@ Treaty United	2	1208	49.84%	Bray Wanderers	2	1136	20.32%	29.84%
12	2024-10-11	57.8	@ Bray Wanderers	2	1209	49.66%	Finn Harps	2	1139	20.45%	29.88%
13	2024-05-03	57.7	@ Wexford	2	1195	48.53%	Athlone Town	2	1135	21.30%	30.17%
14	2024-03-29	57.2	@ Bray Wanderers	2	1116	29.50%	Cobh Ramblers	2	1197	38.86%	31.65%
15	2024-05-10	57.2	@ Treaty United	2	1121	30.06%	Wexford	2	1196	38.25%	31.69%
16	2024-05-24	57.2	@ Athlone Town	2	1156	36.06%	UC Dublin	2	1189	32.15%	31.79%
17	2024-06-28	57.2	@ Cobh Ramblers	2	1158	35.52%	UC Dublin	2	1195	32.68%	31.80%
18	2024-10-11	57.2	@ Treaty United	2	1142	33.61%	UC Dublin	2	1192	34.58%	31.81%
19	2024-08-24	57.1	@ Longford Town	2	1003	37.83%	Kerry	2	1023	30.45%	31.71%
20	2024-04-19	55.9	UC Dublin	3	1156	22.92%	@ Wexford	2	1200	46.45%	30.63%
21	2024-08-12	55.3	Wexford	3	1178	24.79%	@ Athlone Town	2	1204	44.18%	31.04%
22	2024-02-17	55.1	Finn Harps	3	1133	25.26%	@ Longford Town	2	1155	43.62%	31.12%
23	2024-03-22	55.0	Wexford	4	1169	33.55%	@ Bray Wanderers	3	1126	34.63%	31.81%
24	2024-10-04	54.1	@ Cork City	1	1372	67.16%	Treaty United	1	1138	10.35%	22.49%
25	2024-05-24	53.8	@ Cork City	1	1339	66.56%	Treaty United	1	1112	10.62%	22.82%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-07-26	25.3	@ Cork City	2	1355	74.06%	Kerry	0	1042	7.57%	18.37%
2	2024-06-07	26.2	@ Cork City	2	1319	70.73%	Longford Town	0	1045	8.85%	20.41%
3	2024-10-11	27.0	@ Wexford	4	1200	63.92%	Kerry	0	999	11.84%	24.24%
4	2024-09-20	28.5	@ Bray Wanderers	2	1200	62.64%	Kerry	0	1012	12.47%	24.89%
5	2024-05-17	29.0	@ Wexford	2	1196	61.18%	Kerry	0	1023	13.22%	25.60%
6	2024-02-16	29.2	@ Cork City	2	1208	60.51%	Kerry	0	1041	13.57%	25.92%
7	2024-09-13	30.5	Cork City	4	1369	69.21%	@ Kerry	1	1019	9.47%	21.31%
8	2024-04-26	30.9	@ Bray Wanderers	2	1167	54.71%	Kerry	0	1054	16.97%	28.32%
9	2024-08-23	31.1	@ UC Dublin	2	1199	54.14%	Finn Harps	0	1091	17.34%	28.52%
10	2024-03-15	31.4	@ Cork City	2	1240	53.50%	Bray Wanderers	0	1138	17.77%	28.74%
11	2024-04-05	31.4	@ Cork City	3	1257	48.73%	Cobh Ramblers	0	1194	21.15%	30.12%
12	2024-07-12	31.7	@ Cork City	1	1351	66.26%	Finn Harps	0	1127	10.75%	22.99%
13	2024-09-20	31.9	@ UC Dublin	2	1209	51.88%	Cobh Ramblers	0	1121	18.86%	29.26%
14	2024-08-09	32.8	@ Wexford	2	1164	48.40%	Finn Harps	0	1105	21.40%	30.20%
15	2024-05-10	32.9	Cork City	3	1305	44.10%	@ Cobh Ramblers	0	1186	24.85%	31.05%
16	2024-04-01	33.0	@ Finn Harps	2	1174	48.09%	Bray Wanderers	0	1117	21.64%	30.27%
17	2024-10-18	33.0	@ Cork City	6	1334	53.71%	Wexford	0	1230	17.62%	28.67%
18	2024-05-03	33.1	Cork City	1	1303	60.53%	@ Kerry	0	1043	13.56%	25.91%
19	2024-05-03	33.6	@ UC Dublin	1	1189	58.67%	Longford Town	0	1040	14.58%	26.75%
20	2024-06-28	33.6	@ Cork City	1	1336	60.09%	Bray Wanderers	0	1173	13.80%	26.11%
21	2024-06-13	33.7	@ Cork City	4	1324	59.25%	Cobh Ramblers	1	1170	14.26%	26.49%
22	2024-08-30	33.7	@ Bray Wanderers	5	1179	45.77%	Treaty United	0	1140	23.48%	30.76%
23	2024-04-26	33.9	Cork City	2	1288	45.63%	@ Finn Harps	0	1157	23.58%	30.78%
24	2024-07-12	34.0	@ Athlone Town	4	1181	56.97%	Longford Town	1	1048	15.57%	27.46%
25	2024-07-12	34.3	@ Wexford	3	1153	38.45%	Cobh Ramblers	0	1169	29.87%	31.67%