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1963-64 League of Ireland Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Shamrock Rovers

35 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sligo Rovers

5.86 points above expected

19 points · 13.14 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Bohemian

8.51 points below expected

7 points · 15.51 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Shamrock Rovers 22 14 7 1 35 68 27 +41 30.48 +4.52
2 Dundalk 22 12 6 4 30 49 27 +22 28.96 +1.04
3 Limerick 22 12 6 4 30 46 32 +14 25.53 +4.47
4 Cork Celtic 22 9 8 5 26 49 36 +13 25.28 +0.72
5 St Patrick's Athletic 22 8 9 5 25 41 29 +12 21.03 +3.97
6 Cork Hibernians 22 9 7 6 25 38 31 +7 22.29 +2.71
7 Shelbourne 22 8 5 9 21 46 42 +4 24.20 -3.20
8 Drumconda 22 9 3 10 21 31 38 -7 20.58 +0.42
9 Sligo Rovers 22 6 7 9 19 30 53 -23 13.14 +5.86
10 Drogheda United 22 5 6 11 16 31 44 -13 20.24 -4.24
11 Waterford 22 4 1 17 9 27 64 -37 16.76 -7.76
12 Bohemian 22 1 5 16 7 19 52 -33 15.51 -8.51

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sligo Rovers 19 13.14 +5.86
2 Shamrock Rovers 35 30.48 +4.52
3 Limerick 30 25.53 +4.47
4 St Patrick's Athletic 25 21.03 +3.97
5 Cork Hibernians 25 22.29 +2.71

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Bohemian 7 15.51 -8.51
2 Waterford 9 16.76 -7.76
3 Drogheda United 16 20.24 -4.24
4 Shelbourne 21 24.20 -3.20
5 Drumconda 21 20.58 +0.42

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shamrock Rovers 10 Jan 19 – Apr 9 1 in 190
2 Sligo Rovers 2 Dec 22 – Dec 29 1 in 49
3 Drogheda United 3 Jan 5 – Jan 19 1 in 19
4 Limerick 2 Dec 1 – Dec 8 1 in 9
5 Cork Celtic 3 Mar 29 – Apr 17 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Waterford 6 Dec 15 – Jan 19 1 in 281
2 Drogheda United 5 Jan 26 – Mar 1 1 in 176
3 Drumconda 5 Mar 1 – Apr 12 1 in 137
4 Bohemian 4 Nov 8 – Dec 1 1 in 28
5 Shelbourne 3 Feb 23 – Mar 15 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St Patrick's Athletic 10 Feb 2 – Apr 19 1 in 177
2 Sligo Rovers 5 Feb 9 – Mar 22 1 in 24
3 Limerick 9 Feb 9 – Apr 19 1 in 16
4 Drogheda United 5 Dec 22 – Jan 19 1 in 16
5 Dundalk 9 Nov 10 – Jan 5 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bohemian 19 Nov 8 – Mar 29 1 in 162
2 Drogheda United 10 Jan 26 – Apr 10 1 in 40
3 Shelbourne 6 Feb 9 – Mar 29 1 in 17
4 Shamrock Rovers 4 Dec 22 – Jan 12 1 in 16
5 Cork Celtic 5 Nov 10 – Dec 6 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Shamrock Rovers 1539 35 +18 8 7.9 +0.1
Limerick 1348 30 +36 8 6.6 +1.4
Dundalk 1422 30 +37 6 5.8 +0.2
Cork Celtic 1331 26 +19 7 6.9 +0.1
St Patrick's Athletic 1309 25 +68 8 5.0 +3.0
Cork Hibernians 1288 25 -21 5 4.8 +0.2
Shelbourne 1235 21 +22 5 5.9 -0.9
Drumconda 1237 21 +19 4 3.2 +0.8
Sligo Rovers 1082 19 -40 4 3.7 +0.3
Drogheda United 1123 16 -38 3 4.7 -1.7
Waterford 983 9 -103 0 3.1 -3.1
Bohemian 980 7 -16 2 2.4 -0.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOH CC CH DU DRU DUN LIM SR SHE SR SPA WAT
Bohemian —
0-0-2
1.32
0-0-2
2.00
1-0-1
1.74
0-0-2
1.59
0-2-0
1.12
0-0-2
1.50
0-0-2
1.76
0-0-2
1.65
0-1-1
3.13
0-1-1
1.56
0-1-1
2.43
Cork Celtic
2-0-0
4.15
—
1-1-0
2.86
1-1-0
3.54
1-0-1
3.38
0-0-2
2.50
0-2-0
2.91
0-1-1
1.70
1-1-0
2.77
1-1-0
3.98
0-1-1
3.05
2-0-0
3.83
Cork Hibernians
2-0-0
3.46
0-1-1
2.58
—
1-1-0
2.69
1-0-1
3.09
0-1-1
1.80
1-1-0
2.13
0-1-1
1.66
1-1-0
2.77
1-0-1
3.94
0-1-1
3.13
2-0-0
3.64
Drogheda United
1-0-1
3.71
0-1-1
1.90
0-1-1
2.75
—
0-1-1
2.47
0-0-2
2.05
0-0-2
2.13
0-1-1
1.04
1-1-0
2.20
0-1-1
3.79
1-0-1
2.20
2-0-0
3.54
Drumconda
2-0-0
3.87
1-0-1
2.06
1-0-1
2.35
1-1-0
2.97
—
0-0-2
1.52
0-0-2
1.85
0-1-1
1.34
1-0-1
2.48
2-0-0
3.19
1-1-0
2.86
0-0-2
3.71
Dundalk
0-2-0
4.37
2-0-0
2.95
1-1-0
3.64
2-0-0
3.40
2-0-0
3.94
—
1-1-0
3.26
1-0-1
2.48
0-1-1
3.60
0-1-1
4.58
1-0-1
3.96
2-0-0
4.21
Limerick
2-0-0
3.97
0-2-0
2.53
0-1-1
3.32
2-0-0
3.31
2-0-0
3.60
0-1-1
2.18
—
0-0-2
2.09
2-0-0
2.35
2-0-0
4.00
0-2-0
3.25
2-0-0
4.03
Shamrock Rovers
2-0-0
3.72
1-1-0
3.76
1-1-0
3.80
1-1-0
4.44
1-1-0
4.14
1-0-1
2.97
2-0-0
3.35
—
2-0-0
4.00
1-1-0
4.71
0-2-0
4.08
2-0-0
3.73
Shelbourne
2-0-0
3.81
0-1-1
2.67
0-1-1
2.67
0-1-1
3.24
1-0-1
2.96
1-1-0
1.85
0-0-2
3.09
0-0-2
1.46
—
1-1-0
4.15
1-0-1
2.57
2-0-0
3.66
Sligo Rovers
1-1-0
2.31
0-1-1
1.49
1-0-1
1.52
1-1-0
1.66
0-0-2
2.26
1-1-0
0.92
0-0-2
1.46
0-1-1
0.80
0-1-1
1.31
—
0-1-1
1.65
2-0-0
2.38
St Patrick's Athletic
1-1-0
3.91
1-1-0
2.40
1-1-0
2.31
1-0-1
3.24
0-1-1
2.58
1-0-1
1.50
0-2-0
2.20
0-2-0
1.38
1-0-1
2.87
1-1-0
3.80
—
1-0-1
2.91
Waterford
1-1-0
3.01
0-0-2
1.65
0-0-2
1.81
0-0-2
1.91
2-0-0
1.74
0-0-2
1.26
0-0-2
1.43
0-0-2
1.75
0-0-2
1.79
0-0-2
3.07
1-0-1
2.53
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.81 +5.7
Allowed 0.79 -6.3
Differential 0.92 +3.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.82%5.30%3.79%2.65%2.27%0.38%21.21%
15.30%9.85%6.06%3.41%3.03%1.52%29.17%
23.79%6.06%5.30%3.79%1.52%1.89%22.35%
32.65%3.41%3.79%3.03%0.38%0.76%14.02%
42.27%3.03%1.52%0.38%0.76%—7.95%
5+0.38%1.52%1.89%0.76%—0.76%5.30%
Total21.21%29.17%22.35%14.02%7.95%5.30%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.80 1.80 +0.00
SD 1.58 1.58 2.20
CV 0.88 0.88 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%13.64%4.55%——40.91%
1—4.55%9.09%9.09%13.64%4.55%40.91%
2——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
3——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%18.18%31.82%22.73%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 2.36 -1.50
SD 0.94 1.56 1.54
CV 1.09 0.66 —
Max 3 7 +1
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%—4.55%——18.18%
1—13.64%9.09%———22.73%
2—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
3—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
44.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
5+———9.09%——9.09%
Total13.64%36.36%22.73%27.27%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.64 +0.59
SD 1.82 1.05 1.71
CV 0.82 0.64 —
Max 7 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%4.55%———27.27%
1—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
29.09%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—27.27%
3——18.18%———18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total22.73%27.27%40.91%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.41 +0.32
SD 1.55 1.05 1.55
CV 0.90 0.75 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
14.55%13.64%13.64%——4.55%36.36%
2—9.09%4.55%9.09%—4.55%27.27%
3—9.09%————9.09%
4———————
5+—————4.55%4.55%
Total9.09%40.91%27.27%9.09%—13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 2.00 -0.59
SD 1.22 1.69 1.68
CV 0.87 0.85 —
Max 5 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%—9.09%—22.73%
19.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%9.09%—36.36%
24.55%13.64%————18.18%
39.09%4.55%—4.55%4.55%—22.73%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%36.36%9.09%9.09%22.73%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.73 -0.32
SD 1.10 1.52 2.08
CV 0.78 0.88 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%————18.18%
14.55%9.09%—9.09%——22.73%
2—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
39.09%—9.09%———18.18%
44.55%—9.09%———13.64%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total27.27%31.82%31.82%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.23 +1.00
SD 1.80 0.97 1.90
CV 0.81 0.79 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
1—13.64%——4.55%—18.18%
29.09%18.18%13.64%—4.55%4.55%50.00%
39.09%9.09%————18.18%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+———————
Total22.73%45.45%18.18%—9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 1.45 +0.64
SD 0.97 1.50 2.04
CV 0.46 1.03 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—————9.09%
113.64%9.09%4.55%———27.27%
24.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
3—4.55%————4.55%
44.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
5+—9.09%9.09%——4.55%22.73%
Total31.82%36.36%22.73%—4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.09 1.23 +1.86
SD 2.39 1.31 2.19
CV 0.77 1.06 —
Max 8 5 +7
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
1—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
24.55%——9.09%4.55%4.55%22.73%
34.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total27.27%13.64%18.18%27.27%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 1.91 +0.18
SD 1.63 1.54 2.50
CV 0.78 0.81 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——13.64%4.55%4.55%27.27%
118.18%9.09%4.55%——4.55%36.36%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%18.18%
3———9.09%——9.09%
4—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
5+———————
Total22.73%18.18%9.09%27.27%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 2.41 -1.05
SD 1.26 2.09 2.40
CV 0.92 0.87 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—————9.09%
19.09%22.73%9.09%4.55%——45.45%
29.09%—4.55%9.09%——22.73%
3——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total27.27%31.82%22.73%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.32 +0.55
SD 1.52 1.09 1.63
CV 0.82 0.82 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%9.09%—31.82%
14.55%—9.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%31.82%
24.55%4.55%—4.55%4.55%4.55%22.73%
3—————9.09%9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%13.64%13.64%13.64%22.73%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 2.91 -1.68
SD 1.15 2.29 2.40
CV 0.94 0.79 —
Max 4 8 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Shamrock Rovers 1539 35 30.48 +4.52 91.0% 24 25 28 31 32 36 37
Dundalk 1422 30 28.96 +1.04 63.0% 19 22 27 29 31 35 37
Limerick 1348 30 25.53 +4.47 94.0% 17 20 23 25 28 31 37
Cork Celtic 1331 26 25.28 +0.72 67.0% 14 20 23 25 27 32 37
St Patrick's Athletic 1309 25 21.03 +3.97 90.0% 12 14 19 21 23 26 29
Cork Hibernians 1288 25 22.29 +2.71 79.0% 14 16 20 22 25 29 33
Drumconda 1237 21 20.58 +0.42 61.0% 13 14 18 21 23 27 33
Shelbourne 1235 21 24.20 -3.20 21.0% 15 17 22 24 27 30 31
Drogheda United 1123 16 20.24 -4.24 17.0% 12 13 18 20 23 27 29
Sligo Rovers 1082 19 13.14 +5.86 96.0% 5 8 10 13 15 18 21
Waterford 983 9 16.76 -7.76 0.0% 11 12 14 17 19 22 26
Bohemian 980 7 15.51 -8.51 2.0% 6 9 13 16 18 21 24

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+17.42%
Clear Edge
45.45%26.52%28.03%
Elo Value
Home Edge
166 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
061.16500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.43 goals
Neutral
-2+0.37+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.9
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
51%
Shamrock Rovers, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Runaway
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.93 * Some Luck: 2.93 to 4.39 * Lucky: 4.39 to 5.85 * Wild Swing: 5.85 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.26 * Close: 1.26 to 1.89 * Off: 1.89 to 2.52 * Way Off: 2.52 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.66 points
Lucky
03.669
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.83
Pinpoint
01.584
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
96.00%
Sligo Rovers
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
Waterford
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Lopsided
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 171.10
2.08
Strong Separation
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
78%
Wide Edge
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
96%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
58%
Some Drama
0%50%100%
Blowouts
Expected
24%
Frequent
0%26%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.45
Notable Separation
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.77
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.35
Weak Carryover
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.21
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.07
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.112
Well Within Noise
00.1460.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Shamrock Rovers51.00%26.00%13.00%7.00%2.00%—1.00%—————
Dundalk28.00%36.00%14.00%8.00%7.00%1.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%———
Limerick6.00%13.00%21.00%20.00%14.00%10.00%7.00%7.00%1.00%1.00%——
Cork Celtic7.00%12.00%14.00%17.00%19.00%16.00%5.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%—
St Patrick's Athletic1.00%—3.00%11.00%12.00%19.00%17.00%13.00%10.00%7.00%6.00%1.00%
Cork Hibernians2.00%1.00%7.00%18.00%10.00%12.00%14.00%16.00%10.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%
Shelbourne4.00%9.00%18.00%10.00%21.00%15.00%8.00%6.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%
Drumconda1.00%1.00%4.00%4.00%11.00%11.00%17.00%16.00%15.00%12.00%8.00%—
Sligo Rovers—————2.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%13.00%24.00%54.00%
Drogheda United—2.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%14.00%12.00%18.00%18.00%12.00%7.00%4.00%
Waterford——1.00%1.00%——7.00%7.00%24.00%24.00%23.00%13.00%
Bohemian——————7.00%6.00%14.00%20.00%28.00%25.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Bohemian 100%
Cork Celtic 100%
Cork Hibernians 100%
Drogheda United 100%
Drumconda 100%
Dundalk 100%
Limerick 100%
Shamrock Rovers 100%
Shelbourne 100%
Sligo Rovers 100%
St Patrick's Athletic 100%
Waterford 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1963-11-08 Shamrock Rovers L 1-246.6 1207 1291 37.00% 28.10% 34.90%-0.14 -16.8 0
1963-11-08 @ Bohemian W 2-146.6 1291 1207 34.90% 28.10% 37.00%+0.14 +16.8 2
1963-11-10 Dundalk L 0-341.7 1304 1275 51.24% 27.89% 20.86%+0.55 -63.7 0
1963-11-10 @ Cork Celtic W 3-041.7 1275 1304 20.86% 27.89% 51.24%-0.55 +63.7 2
1963-11-10 Cork Hibernians D 2-255.3 1280 1237 52.72% 27.82% 19.46%+0.63 -2.5 1
1963-11-10 @ Drogheda United D 2-255.3 1237 1280 19.46% 27.82% 52.72%-0.63 +2.5 1
1963-11-10 Sligo Rovers W 3-029.0 1222 1082 60.98% 27.06% 11.96%+1.21 +20.0 2
1963-11-10 @ Limerick L 0-329.0 1082 1222 11.96% 27.06% 60.98%-1.21 -20.0 0
1963-11-10 Drumconda W 4-138.1 1255 1268 46.47% 28.05% 25.48%+0.29 +31.2 2
1963-11-10 @ Shelbourne L 1-438.1 1268 1255 25.48% 28.05% 46.47%-0.29 -31.2 0
1963-11-10 Waterford W 4-140.2 1192 1265 38.64% 28.11% 33.25%-0.07 +38.0 2
1963-11-10 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-440.2 1265 1192 33.25% 28.11% 38.64%+0.07 -38.0 0
1963-11-17 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-150.9 1239 1230 48.97% 27.98% 23.05%+0.42 -2.5 2
1963-11-17 @ Cork Hibernians D 1-150.9 1230 1239 23.05% 27.98% 48.97%-0.42 +2.5 3
1963-11-17 Shelbourne D 1-151.7 1339 1286 53.61% 27.77% 18.62%+0.68 -3.5 3
1963-11-17 @ Dundalk D 1-151.7 1286 1339 18.62% 27.77% 53.61%-0.68 +3.5 3
1963-11-17 Limerick W 6-236.8 1308 1242 54.93% 27.68% 17.38%+0.77 +25.3 4
1963-11-17 @ Shamrock Rovers L 2-636.8 1242 1308 17.38% 27.68% 54.93%-0.77 -25.3 2
1963-11-17 Cork Celtic D 2-255.0 1062 1241 24.75% 27.75% 47.51%-0.71 +1.6 1
1963-11-17 @ Sligo Rovers D 2-255.0 1241 1062 47.51% 27.75% 24.75%+0.71 -1.6 1
1963-11-17 Bohemian W 2-034.2 1227 1190 52.08% 27.85% 20.07%+0.59 +21.2 2
1963-11-17 @ Waterford L 0-234.2 1190 1227 20.07% 27.85% 52.08%-0.59 -21.2 0
1963-11-24 Cork Hibernians L 2-351.4 1169 1237 39.28% 28.11% 32.61%-0.04 -16.6 0
1963-11-24 @ Bohemian W 3-251.4 1237 1169 32.61% 28.11% 39.28%+0.04 +16.6 4
1963-11-24 Limerick D 1-150.8 1239 1216 50.53% 27.93% 21.55%+0.51 -2.9 2
1963-11-24 @ Cork Celtic D 1-150.8 1216 1239 21.55% 27.93% 50.53%-0.51 +2.9 3
1963-11-24 Dundalk L 1-640.9 1278 1335 40.75% 28.11% 31.14%+0.02 -69.9 1
1963-11-24 @ Drogheda United W 6-140.9 1335 1278 31.14% 28.11% 40.75%-0.02 +69.9 5
1963-11-24 Sligo Rovers W 6-026.7 1290 1064 66.35% 26.01% 7.64%+1.73 +25.3 5
1963-11-24 @ Shelbourne L 0-626.7 1064 1290 7.64% 26.01% 66.35%-1.73 -25.3 1
1963-11-24 Drumconda L 1-346.9 1233 1236 47.58% 28.02% 24.40%+0.35 -35.5 3
1963-11-24 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-146.9 1236 1233 24.40% 28.02% 47.58%-0.35 +35.5 2
1963-11-24 Shamrock Rovers L 1-839.5 1248 1333 36.95% 28.10% 34.95%-0.14 -88.7 2
1963-11-24 @ Waterford W 8-139.5 1333 1248 34.95% 28.10% 36.95%+0.14 +88.7 6
1963-12-01 Waterford W 2-139.6 1253 1160 57.40% 27.48% 15.12%+0.93 +8.4 6
1963-12-01 @ Cork Hibernians L 1-239.6 1160 1253 15.12% 27.48% 57.40%-0.93 -8.4 2
1963-12-01 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-242.3 1405 1197 65.34% 26.26% 8.40%+1.62 +4.7 7
1963-12-01 @ Dundalk L 2-342.3 1197 1405 8.40% 26.26% 65.34%-1.62 -4.7 3
1963-12-01 Bohemian W 2-139.0 1272 1152 59.53% 27.25% 13.22%+1.09 +7.5 4
1963-12-01 @ Drumconda L 1-239.0 1152 1272 13.22% 27.25% 59.53%-1.09 -7.5 0
1963-12-01 Shelbourne W 3-037.1 1219 1315 35.36% 28.08% 36.56%-0.21 +48.3 5
1963-12-01 @ Limerick L 0-337.1 1315 1219 36.56% 28.08% 35.36%+0.21 -48.3 5
1963-12-01 Cork Celtic D 2-256.6 1422 1236 64.05% 26.54% 9.41%+1.49 -4.5 7
1963-12-01 @ Shamrock Rovers D 2-256.6 1236 1422 9.41% 26.54% 64.05%-1.49 +4.4 3
1963-12-01 Drogheda United D 1-150.6 1039 1208 25.79% 27.80% 46.40%-0.65 +2.0 2
1963-12-01 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-150.6 1208 1039 46.40% 27.80% 25.79%+0.65 -2.0 2
1963-12-04 Drogheda United D 1-151.0 1279 1206 55.61% 27.63% 16.76%+0.81 -4.0 5
1963-12-04 @ Drumconda D 1-151.0 1206 1279 16.76% 27.63% 55.61%-0.81 +4.0 3
1963-12-06 Dundalk D 2-255.7 1144 1410 16.29% 27.02% 56.69%-1.23 +3.1 1
1963-12-06 @ Bohemian D 2-255.7 1410 1144 56.69% 27.02% 16.29%+1.23 -3.1 8
1963-12-06 Cork Celtic D 3-359.3 1267 1240 50.90% 27.91% 21.19%+0.53 -1.8 6
1963-12-06 @ Shelbourne D 3-359.3 1240 1267 21.19% 27.91% 50.90%-0.53 +1.8 4
1963-12-08 Shamrock Rovers D 0-048.9 1262 1417 27.45% 27.88% 44.68%-0.57 +1.8 7
1963-12-08 @ Cork Hibernians D 0-048.9 1417 1262 44.68% 27.88% 27.45%+0.57 -1.8 8
1963-12-08 Limerick L 0-240.7 1210 1267 40.72% 28.11% 31.16%+0.02 -36.1 3
1963-12-08 @ Drogheda United W 2-040.7 1267 1210 31.16% 28.11% 40.72%-0.02 +36.1 7
1963-12-08 Sligo Rovers W 6-130.7 1193 1041 61.88% 26.92% 11.19%+1.29 +25.1 5
1963-12-08 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-630.7 1041 1193 11.19% 26.92% 61.88%-1.29 -25.1 2
1963-12-08 Drumconda W 4-036.8 1151 1275 31.47% 28.01% 40.53%-0.38 +68.1 4
1963-12-08 @ Waterford L 0-436.8 1275 1151 40.53% 28.01% 31.47%+0.38 -68.1 5
1963-12-15 Drogheda United W 2-140.3 1242 1174 55.15% 27.67% 17.18%+0.78 +9.3 6
1963-12-15 @ Cork Celtic L 1-240.3 1174 1242 17.18% 27.67% 55.15%-0.78 -9.3 3
1963-12-15 Waterford W 3-029.1 1407 1219 64.15% 26.52% 9.33%+1.50 +16.0 10
1963-12-15 @ Dundalk L 0-329.1 1219 1407 9.33% 26.52% 64.15%-1.50 -15.9 4
1963-12-15 Cork Hibernians W 1-040.8 1207 1264 40.88% 28.11% 31.01%+0.03 +15.7 7
1963-12-15 @ Drumconda L 0-140.8 1264 1207 31.01% 28.11% 40.88%-0.03 -15.6 7
1963-12-15 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-151.2 1303 1218 56.69% 27.54% 15.76%+0.88 -4.2 8
1963-12-15 @ Limerick D 1-151.2 1218 1303 15.76% 27.54% 56.69%-0.88 +4.2 6
1963-12-15 Shelbourne W 4-241.0 1415 1265 61.77% 26.94% 11.29%+1.28 +10.1 10
1963-12-15 @ Shamrock Rovers L 2-441.0 1265 1415 11.29% 26.94% 61.77%-1.28 -10.1 6
1963-12-15 Bohemian D 3-358.8 1016 1148 30.42% 27.98% 41.60%-0.43 +0.6 3
1963-12-15 @ Sligo Rovers D 3-358.8 1148 1016 41.60% 27.98% 30.42%+0.43 -0.6 2
1963-12-22 Limerick L 1-340.9 1147 1299 27.84% 27.89% 44.26%-0.55 -23.5 2
1963-12-22 @ Bohemian W 3-140.9 1299 1147 44.26% 27.89% 27.84%+0.55 +23.5 10
1963-12-22 Dundalk D 1-152.1 1248 1423 25.17% 27.77% 47.06%-0.68 +2.1 8
1963-12-22 @ Cork Hibernians D 1-152.1 1423 1248 47.06% 27.77% 25.17%+0.68 -2.1 11
1963-12-22 Shelbourne W 3-143.3 1164 1255 36.16% 28.09% 35.75%-0.18 +28.3 5
1963-12-22 @ Drogheda United L 1-343.3 1255 1164 35.75% 28.09% 36.16%+0.18 -28.3 6
1963-12-22 Shamrock Rovers D 1-151.9 1223 1426 22.09% 27.58% 50.33%-0.85 +2.8 8
1963-12-22 @ Drumconda D 1-151.9 1426 1223 50.33% 27.58% 22.09%+0.85 -2.8 11
1963-12-22 Cork Celtic W 3-248.0 1222 1252 44.37% 28.09% 27.55%+0.19 +12.8 8
1963-12-22 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 2-348.0 1252 1222 27.55% 28.09% 44.37%-0.19 -12.8 6
1963-12-22 Sligo Rovers L 0-150.0 1203 1016 64.15% 26.52% 9.33%+1.50 -29.0 4
1963-12-22 @ Waterford W 1-050.0 1016 1203 9.33% 26.52% 64.15%-1.50 +29.0 5
1963-12-29 Bohemian W 4-133.9 1239 1123 59.18% 27.29% 13.53%+1.06 +18.7 8
1963-12-29 @ Cork Celtic L 1-433.9 1123 1239 13.53% 27.29% 59.18%-1.06 -18.7 2
1963-12-29 Drumconda W 1-034.7 1420 1226 64.60% 26.42% 8.98%+1.54 +5.6 13
1963-12-29 @ Dundalk L 0-134.7 1226 1420 8.98% 26.42% 64.60%-1.54 -5.6 8
1963-12-29 Waterford W 4-027.9 1323 1174 61.62% 26.96% 11.42%+1.26 +25.0 12
1963-12-29 @ Limerick L 0-427.9 1174 1323 11.42% 26.96% 61.62%-1.26 -25.0 4
1963-12-29 Drogheda United D 5-564.5 1423 1193 66.57% 25.95% 7.48%+1.75 -3.2 12
1963-12-29 @ Shamrock Rovers D 5-564.5 1193 1423 7.48% 25.95% 66.57%-1.75 +3.2 6
1963-12-29 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-247.2 1226 1235 46.96% 28.04% 25.00%+0.32 +11.9 8
1963-12-29 @ Shelbourne L 2-347.2 1235 1226 25.00% 28.04% 46.96%-0.32 -11.9 8
1963-12-29 Cork Hibernians W 2-150.2 1045 1250 21.85% 27.57% 50.58%-0.87 +21.6 7
1963-12-29 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-250.2 1250 1045 50.58% 27.57% 21.85%+0.87 -21.6 8
1964-01-05 Shelbourne L 0-237.2 1105 1238 30.21% 27.97% 41.82%-0.44 -28.9 2
1964-01-05 @ Bohemian W 2-037.2 1238 1105 41.82% 27.97% 30.21%+0.44 +28.9 10
1964-01-05 Limerick W 4-142.7 1228 1348 32.12% 28.02% 39.86%-0.35 +43.4 10
1964-01-05 @ Cork Hibernians L 1-442.7 1348 1228 39.86% 28.02% 32.12%+0.35 -43.4 12
1964-01-05 Shamrock Rovers W 2-146.8 1426 1420 48.72% 27.99% 23.29%+0.41 +11.9 15
1964-01-05 @ Dundalk L 1-246.8 1420 1426 23.29% 27.99% 48.72%-0.41 -11.9 12
1964-01-05 Sligo Rovers W 3-028.7 1220 1067 61.96% 26.91% 11.13%+1.29 +18.7 10
1964-01-05 @ Drumconda L 0-328.7 1067 1220 11.13% 26.91% 61.96%-1.29 -18.7 7
1964-01-05 Drogheda United L 1-250.5 1223 1196 50.99% 27.91% 21.11%+0.53 -21.8 8
1964-01-05 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-150.5 1196 1223 21.11% 27.91% 50.99%-0.53 +21.8 8
1964-01-05 Cork Celtic L 3-742.7 1149 1258 33.63% 28.05% 38.31%-0.28 -38.3 4
1964-01-05 @ Waterford W 7-342.7 1258 1149 38.31% 28.05% 33.63%+0.28 +38.3 10
1964-01-12 Cork Hibernians D 0-048.0 1296 1272 50.67% 27.92% 21.41%+0.51 -3.2 11
1964-01-12 @ Cork Celtic D 0-048.0 1272 1296 21.41% 27.92% 50.67%-0.51 +3.2 11
1964-01-12 Bohemian W 1-034.5 1218 1076 61.18% 27.03% 11.79%+1.22 +7.2 10
1964-01-12 @ Drogheda United L 0-134.5 1076 1218 11.79% 27.03% 61.18%-1.22 -7.2 2
1964-01-12 Drumconda W 3-138.1 1304 1239 54.87% 27.69% 17.44%+0.76 +16.4 14
1964-01-12 @ Limerick L 1-338.1 1239 1304 17.44% 27.69% 54.87%-0.76 -16.4 10
1964-01-12 Waterford W 4-239.4 1267 1111 62.16% 26.88% 10.96%+1.31 +9.8 12
1964-01-12 @ Shelbourne L 2-439.4 1111 1267 10.96% 26.88% 62.16%-1.31 -9.8 4
1964-01-12 Dundalk W 1-050.6 1048 1438 8.68% 25.39% 65.93%-1.98 +29.5 9
1964-01-12 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-150.6 1438 1048 65.93% 25.39% 8.68%+1.98 -29.5 15
1964-01-12 Shamrock Rovers D 0-048.4 1201 1408 21.68% 27.55% 50.76%-0.88 +3.2 9
1964-01-12 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-048.4 1408 1201 50.76% 27.55% 21.68%+0.88 -3.2 13
1964-01-19 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-150.6 1069 1204 29.93% 27.96% 42.10%-0.45 +1.1 3
1964-01-19 @ Bohemian D 1-150.6 1204 1069 42.10% 27.96% 29.93%+0.45 -1.1 10
1964-01-19 Shelbourne D 0-047.9 1275 1277 47.73% 28.02% 24.25%+0.36 -2.5 12
1964-01-19 @ Cork Hibernians D 0-047.9 1277 1275 24.25% 28.02% 47.73%-0.36 +2.5 13
1964-01-19 Limerick W 4-243.1 1408 1321 56.88% 27.53% 15.59%+0.90 +13.4 17
1964-01-19 @ Dundalk L 2-443.1 1321 1408 15.59% 27.53% 56.88%-0.90 -13.4 14
1964-01-19 Cork Celtic L 3-455.0 1222 1293 38.97% 28.11% 32.91%-0.05 -16.2 10
1964-01-19 @ Drumconda W 4-355.0 1293 1222 32.91% 28.11% 38.97%+0.05 +16.1 13
1964-01-19 Sligo Rovers W 7-230.3 1404 1078 71.03% 24.42% 4.55%+2.34 +8.8 15
1964-01-19 @ Shamrock Rovers L 2-730.3 1078 1404 4.55% 24.42% 71.03%-2.34 -8.8 9
1964-01-19 Drogheda United L 1-244.6 1101 1225 31.51% 28.01% 40.48%-0.38 -14.9 4
1964-01-19 @ Waterford W 2-144.6 1225 1101 40.48% 28.01% 31.51%+0.38 +14.9 12
1964-01-26 Drogheda United W 3-246.0 1273 1240 51.59% 27.88% 20.53%+0.57 +10.2 14
1964-01-26 @ Cork Hibernians L 2-346.0 1240 1273 20.53% 27.88% 51.59%-0.57 -10.2 12
1964-01-26 Cork Celtic W 2-141.3 1422 1309 58.98% 27.31% 13.70%+1.05 +7.7 19
1964-01-26 @ Dundalk L 1-241.3 1309 1422 13.70% 27.31% 58.98%-1.05 -7.7 13
1964-01-26 Shelbourne W 2-038.5 1206 1280 38.54% 28.11% 33.35%-0.07 +31.1 12
1964-01-26 @ Drumconda L 0-238.5 1280 1206 33.35% 28.11% 38.54%+0.07 -31.1 13
1964-01-26 Bohemian W 7-127.9 1413 1070 71.69% 24.13% 4.18%+2.44 +11.4 17
1964-01-26 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-727.9 1070 1413 4.18% 24.13% 71.69%-2.44 -11.4 3
1964-01-26 Limerick L 1-240.6 1069 1307 18.58% 27.28% 54.14%-1.07 -9.9 9
1964-01-26 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-140.6 1307 1069 54.14% 27.28% 18.58%+1.07 +9.9 16
1964-01-26 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-147.0 1086 1203 32.44% 28.03% 39.53%-0.34 +17.6 6
1964-01-26 @ Waterford L 1-247.0 1203 1086 39.53% 28.03% 32.44%+0.34 -17.6 10
1964-02-02 Waterford D 0-047.3 1058 1104 42.31% 28.11% 29.59%+0.09 -1.3 4
1964-02-02 @ Bohemian D 0-047.3 1104 1058 29.59% 28.11% 42.31%-0.09 +1.3 7
1964-02-02 Sligo Rovers W 4-026.0 1301 1059 67.20% 25.78% 7.02%+1.83 +15.9 15
1964-02-02 @ Cork Celtic L 0-426.0 1059 1301 7.02% 25.78% 67.20%-1.83 -15.9 9
1964-02-02 Drumconda L 1-249.5 1230 1237 47.06% 28.04% 24.90%+0.32 -20.3 12
1964-02-02 @ Drogheda United W 2-149.5 1237 1230 24.90% 28.04% 47.06%-0.32 +20.3 14
1964-02-02 Shamrock Rovers L 0-240.7 1317 1425 33.75% 28.06% 38.19%-0.28 -31.4 16
1964-02-02 @ Limerick W 2-040.7 1425 1317 38.19% 28.06% 33.75%+0.28 +31.4 19
1964-02-02 Dundalk W 3-148.2 1249 1430 24.44% 27.73% 47.83%-0.72 +35.6 15
1964-02-02 @ Shelbourne L 1-348.2 1430 1249 47.83% 27.73% 24.44%+0.72 -35.6 19
1964-02-02 Cork Hibernians W 2-039.4 1186 1283 35.18% 28.08% 36.74%-0.22 +33.4 12
1964-02-02 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-239.4 1283 1186 36.74% 28.08% 35.18%+0.22 -33.4 14
1964-02-09 Bohemian W 2-030.4 1249 1057 64.46% 26.45% 9.09%+1.53 +10.7 16
1964-02-09 @ Cork Hibernians L 0-230.4 1057 1249 9.09% 26.45% 64.46%-1.53 -10.7 4
1964-02-09 Drogheda United W 6-234.4 1394 1209 63.99% 26.55% 9.46%+1.48 +14.9 21
1964-02-09 @ Dundalk L 2-634.4 1209 1394 9.46% 26.55% 63.99%-1.48 -14.9 12
1964-02-09 St Patrick's Athletic D 3-359.2 1258 1219 52.22% 27.85% 19.93%+0.60 -2.0 15
1964-02-09 @ Drumconda D 3-359.2 1219 1258 19.93% 27.85% 52.22%-0.60 +2.0 13
1964-02-09 Cork Celtic D 1-151.4 1286 1317 44.17% 28.09% 27.74%+0.18 -1.6 17
1964-02-09 @ Limerick D 1-151.4 1317 1286 27.74% 28.09% 44.17%-0.18 +1.5 16
1964-02-09 Waterford W 4-130.6 1456 1105 71.97% 24.00% 4.03%+2.48 +5.8 21
1964-02-09 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-430.6 1105 1456 4.03% 24.00% 71.97%-2.48 -5.8 7
1964-02-09 Shelbourne D 3-359.1 1043 1284 18.35% 27.26% 54.39%-1.08 +2.3 10
1964-02-09 @ Sligo Rovers D 3-359.1 1284 1043 54.39% 27.26% 18.35%+1.08 -2.3 16
1964-02-23 Drumconda L 0-137.5 1046 1256 21.39% 27.53% 51.08%-0.89 -11.7 4
1964-02-23 @ Bohemian W 1-037.5 1256 1046 51.08% 27.53% 21.39%+0.89 +11.7 17
1964-02-23 Shamrock Rovers L 0-143.0 1319 1462 28.98% 27.93% 43.09%-0.49 -14.9 16
1964-02-23 @ Cork Celtic W 1-043.0 1462 1319 43.09% 27.93% 28.98%+0.49 +14.9 23
1964-02-23 Sligo Rovers L 0-149.4 1194 1045 61.67% 26.96% 11.37%+1.27 -27.9 12
1964-02-23 @ Drogheda United W 1-049.4 1045 1194 11.37% 26.96% 61.67%-1.27 +27.9 12
1964-02-23 Limerick L 1-250.1 1282 1284 47.68% 28.02% 24.30%+0.35 -20.6 16
1964-02-23 @ Shelbourne W 2-150.1 1284 1282 24.30% 28.02% 47.68%-0.35 +20.6 19
1964-02-23 Dundalk W 1-046.8 1221 1409 23.67% 27.69% 48.64%-0.76 +22.1 15
1964-02-23 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-146.8 1409 1221 48.64% 27.69% 23.67%+0.76 -22.1 21
1964-02-23 Cork Hibernians L 2-639.1 1099 1260 26.81% 27.85% 45.34%-0.60 -35.4 7
1964-02-23 @ Waterford W 6-239.1 1260 1099 45.34% 27.85% 26.81%+0.60 +35.4 18
1964-03-01 Shelbourne W 3-245.9 1304 1261 52.60% 27.83% 19.57%+0.62 +9.8 18
1964-03-01 @ Cork Celtic L 2-345.9 1261 1304 19.57% 27.83% 52.60%-0.62 -9.8 16
1964-03-01 Bohemian D 0-048.7 1387 1035 72.03% 23.97% 4.00%+2.49 -8.6 22
1964-03-01 @ Dundalk D 0-048.7 1035 1387 4.00% 23.97% 72.03%-2.49 +8.6 5
1964-03-01 Waterford L 0-150.3 1267 1064 65.11% 26.31% 8.58%+1.59 -29.5 17
1964-03-01 @ Drumconda W 1-050.3 1064 1267 8.58% 26.31% 65.11%-1.59 +29.5 9
1964-03-01 Drogheda United W 2-138.7 1305 1167 60.90% 27.07% 12.03%+1.20 +6.9 21
1964-03-01 @ Limerick L 1-238.7 1167 1305 12.03% 27.07% 60.90%-1.20 -6.9 12
1964-03-01 Cork Hibernians W 1-036.7 1477 1296 63.77% 26.59% 9.63%+1.46 +6.0 25
1964-03-01 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-136.7 1296 1477 9.63% 26.59% 63.77%-1.46 -6.0 18
1964-03-01 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-150.7 1073 1243 25.71% 27.80% 46.49%-0.66 +2.0 13
1964-03-01 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-150.7 1243 1073 46.49% 27.80% 25.71%+0.66 -2.0 16
1964-03-15 Sligo Rovers L 1-443.2 1043 1075 44.06% 28.09% 27.85%+0.18 -47.1 5
1964-03-15 @ Bohemian W 4-143.2 1075 1043 27.85% 28.09% 44.06%-0.18 +47.1 15
1964-03-15 Drumconda W 2-034.1 1290 1238 53.53% 27.77% 18.70%+0.68 +20.0 20
1964-03-15 @ Cork Hibernians L 0-234.1 1238 1290 18.70% 27.77% 53.53%-0.68 -20.0 17
1964-03-15 Cork Celtic D 1-150.9 1160 1314 27.65% 27.88% 44.47%-0.56 +1.6 13
1964-03-15 @ Drogheda United D 1-150.9 1314 1160 44.47% 27.88% 27.65%+0.56 -1.6 19
1964-03-15 Shamrock Rovers L 0-432.3 1251 1483 19.25% 27.35% 53.40%-1.02 -38.6 16
1964-03-15 @ Shelbourne W 4-032.3 1483 1251 53.40% 27.35% 19.25%+1.02 +38.6 27
1964-03-15 Limerick D 2-255.4 1241 1312 38.92% 28.11% 32.96%-0.06 -0.4 17
1964-03-15 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 2-255.4 1312 1241 32.96% 28.11% 38.92%+0.06 +0.4 22
1964-03-15 Dundalk L 2-343.8 1093 1378 14.78% 26.81% 58.41%-1.35 -7.7 9
1964-03-15 @ Waterford W 3-243.8 1378 1093 58.41% 26.81% 14.78%+1.35 +7.7 24
1964-03-22 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-048.0 1312 1241 55.40% 27.65% 16.95%+0.80 -4.4 20
1964-03-22 @ Cork Celtic D 0-048.0 1241 1312 16.95% 27.65% 55.40%-0.80 +4.4 18
1964-03-22 Cork Hibernians W 4-243.0 1386 1310 55.86% 27.61% 16.53%+0.83 +14.0 26
1964-03-22 @ Dundalk L 2-443.0 1310 1386 16.53% 27.61% 55.86%-0.83 -14.0 20
1964-03-22 Bohemian W 4-130.4 1312 996 70.59% 24.60% 4.81%+2.27 +7.0 24
1964-03-22 @ Limerick L 1-430.4 996 1312 4.81% 24.60% 70.59%-2.27 -7.0 5
1964-03-22 Drumconda W 4-133.0 1521 1218 70.05% 24.82% 5.13%+2.20 +7.5 29
1964-03-22 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-433.0 1218 1521 5.13% 24.82% 70.05%-2.20 -7.5 17
1964-03-22 Drogheda United D 0-047.5 1213 1161 53.53% 27.77% 18.70%+0.68 -3.9 17
1964-03-22 @ Shelbourne D 0-047.5 1161 1213 18.70% 27.77% 53.53%-0.68 +3.9 14
1964-03-22 Waterford W 1-037.2 1122 1086 52.00% 27.86% 20.14%+0.59 +11.3 17
1964-03-22 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-137.2 1086 1122 20.14% 27.86% 52.00%-0.59 -11.3 9
1964-03-29 Cork Celtic L 1-335.7 989 1308 12.47% 26.40% 61.13%-1.55 -12.1 5
1964-03-29 @ Bohemian W 3-135.7 1308 989 61.13% 26.40% 12.47%+1.55 +12.1 22
1964-03-29 Sligo Rovers W 3-242.5 1296 1134 62.55% 26.81% 10.63%+1.34 +5.9 22
1964-03-29 @ Cork Hibernians L 2-342.5 1134 1296 10.63% 26.81% 62.55%-1.34 -5.9 17
1964-03-29 Shamrock Rovers L 0-135.3 1165 1529 9.92% 25.79% 64.29%-1.82 -6.0 14
1964-03-29 @ Drogheda United W 1-035.3 1529 1165 64.29% 25.79% 9.92%+1.82 +6.0 31
1964-03-29 Dundalk L 0-432.3 1210 1400 23.50% 27.68% 48.82%-0.77 -45.2 17
1964-03-29 @ Drumconda W 4-032.3 1400 1210 48.82% 27.68% 23.50%+0.77 +45.3 28
1964-03-29 Shelbourne W 5-239.6 1245 1209 51.96% 27.86% 20.18%+0.59 +22.6 20
1964-03-29 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 2-539.6 1209 1245 20.18% 27.86% 51.96%-0.59 -22.6 17
1964-03-29 Limerick L 0-233.4 1074 1319 18.02% 27.23% 54.75%-1.11 -19.2 9
1964-03-29 @ Waterford W 2-033.4 1319 1074 54.75% 27.23% 18.02%+1.11 +19.2 26
1964-04-05 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-238.4 1159 1268 33.59% 28.05% 38.35%-0.29 -31.3 14
1964-04-05 @ Drogheda United W 2-038.4 1268 1159 38.35% 28.05% 33.59%+0.29 +31.3 22
1964-04-05 Cork Hibernians D 2-256.1 1338 1301 52.05% 27.86% 20.10%+0.59 -2.4 27
1964-04-05 @ Limerick D 2-256.1 1301 1338 20.10% 27.86% 52.05%-0.59 +2.4 23
1964-04-09 Dundalk W 3-146.0 1535 1445 57.05% 27.51% 15.44%+0.91 +14.8 33
1964-04-09 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-346.0 1445 1535 15.44% 27.51% 57.05%-0.91 -14.8 28
1964-04-10 Drogheda United W 3-252.6 977 1128 28.00% 27.90% 44.10%-0.54 +18.2 7
1964-04-10 @ Bohemian L 2-352.6 1128 977 44.10% 27.90% 28.00%+0.54 -18.2 14
1964-04-12 Cork Celtic L 1-347.3 1304 1320 46.07% 28.06% 25.87%+0.27 -34.6 23
1964-04-12 @ Cork Hibernians W 3-147.3 1320 1304 25.87% 28.06% 46.07%-0.27 +34.6 24
1964-04-12 Sligo Rovers D 0-048.9 1430 1128 70.02% 24.83% 5.15%+2.19 -8.2 29
1964-04-12 @ Dundalk D 0-048.9 1128 1430 5.15% 24.83% 70.02%-2.19 +8.2 18
1964-04-12 Limerick L 1-243.1 1165 1336 25.60% 27.79% 46.60%-0.66 -12.8 17
1964-04-12 @ Drumconda W 2-143.1 1336 1165 46.60% 27.79% 25.60%+0.66 +12.8 29
1964-04-12 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-156.0 1550 1299 67.63% 25.65% 6.72%+1.88 -6.8 34
1964-04-12 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-156.0 1299 1550 6.72% 25.65% 67.63%-1.88 +6.8 23
1964-04-12 Shelbourne L 0-433.6 1055 1186 30.53% 27.98% 41.49%-0.42 -55.3 9
1964-04-12 @ Waterford W 4-033.6 1186 1055 41.49% 27.98% 30.53%+0.42 +55.3 19
1964-04-14 Bohemian W 3-027.0 1242 995 67.42% 25.71% 6.87%+1.85 +11.9 21
1964-04-14 @ Shelbourne L 0-327.0 995 1242 6.87% 25.71% 67.42%-1.85 -11.9 7
1964-04-15 Drumconda L 0-339.5 1136 1152 45.98% 28.06% 25.96%+0.27 -57.9 18
1964-04-15 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-039.5 1152 1136 25.96% 28.06% 45.98%-0.27 +57.9 19
1964-04-17 Waterford W 5-339.0 1354 1000 72.11% 23.93% 3.96%+2.50 +3.4 26
1964-04-17 @ Cork Celtic L 3-539.0 1000 1354 3.96% 23.93% 72.11%-2.50 -3.4 9
1964-04-19 Drumconda L 1-253.9 1358 1210 61.55% 26.98% 11.48%+1.26 -26.2 26
1964-04-19 @ Cork Celtic W 2-153.9 1210 1358 11.48% 26.98% 61.55%-1.26 +26.2 21
1964-04-19 Waterford W 3-136.2 1110 996 59.00% 27.31% 13.69%+1.05 +13.4 16
1964-04-19 @ Drogheda United L 1-336.2 996 1110 13.69% 27.31% 59.00%-1.05 -13.4 9
1964-04-19 Dundalk D 2-257.8 1349 1422 38.56% 28.11% 33.33%-0.07 -0.3 30
1964-04-19 @ Limerick D 2-257.8 1422 1349 33.33% 28.11% 38.56%+0.07 +0.4 30
1964-04-19 Cork Hibernians L 2-353.7 1254 1269 46.10% 28.06% 25.85%+0.27 -18.9 21
1964-04-19 @ Shelbourne W 3-253.7 1269 1254 25.85% 28.06% 46.10%-0.27 +18.9 25
1964-04-19 Shamrock Rovers D 4-463.7 1078 1543 5.93% 24.15% 69.92%-2.43 +3.9 19
1964-04-19 @ Sligo Rovers D 4-463.7 1543 1078 69.92% 24.15% 5.93%+2.43 -3.9 35
1964-04-19 Bohemian W 1-031.6 1306 983 70.85% 24.50% 4.65%+2.31 +2.9 25
1964-04-19 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-131.6 983 1306 4.65% 24.50% 70.85%-2.31 -2.9 7

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1964-03-01 8.58% Waterford 1064 1 @ Drumconda 1267 0
2 1964-01-12 8.68% @ Sligo Rovers 1048 1 Dundalk 1438 0
3 1963-12-22 9.33% Sligo Rovers 1016 1 @ Waterford 1203 0
4 1964-02-23 11.37% Sligo Rovers 1045 1 @ Drogheda United 1194 0
5 1964-04-19 11.48% Drumconda 1210 2 @ Cork Celtic 1358 1
6 1963-11-10 20.86% Dundalk 1275 3 @ Cork Celtic 1304 0
7 1964-01-05 21.11% Drogheda United 1196 2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1223 1
8 1963-12-29 21.85% @ Sligo Rovers 1045 2 Cork Hibernians 1250 1
9 1964-02-23 23.67% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1221 1 Dundalk 1409 0
10 1964-02-23 24.30% Limerick 1284 2 @ Shelbourne 1282 1
11 1963-11-24 24.40% Drumconda 1236 3 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1233 1
12 1964-02-02 24.44% @ Shelbourne 1249 3 Dundalk 1430 1
13 1964-02-02 24.90% Drumconda 1237 2 @ Drogheda United 1230 1
14 1964-04-19 25.85% Cork Hibernians 1269 3 @ Shelbourne 1254 2
15 1964-04-12 25.87% Cork Celtic 1320 3 @ Cork Hibernians 1304 1
16 1964-04-15 25.96% Drumconda 1152 3 @ Sligo Rovers 1136 0
17 1964-03-15 27.85% Sligo Rovers 1075 4 @ Bohemian 1043 1
18 1964-04-10 28.00% @ Bohemian 977 3 Drogheda United 1128 2
19 1963-11-24 31.14% Dundalk 1335 6 @ Drogheda United 1278 1
20 1963-12-08 31.16% Limerick 1267 2 @ Drogheda United 1210 0
21 1963-12-08 31.47% @ Waterford 1151 4 Drumconda 1275 0
22 1964-01-05 32.12% @ Cork Hibernians 1228 4 Limerick 1348 1
23 1964-01-26 32.44% @ Waterford 1086 2 St Patrick's Athletic 1203 1
24 1963-11-24 32.61% Cork Hibernians 1237 3 @ Bohemian 1169 2
25 1964-01-19 32.91% Cork Celtic 1293 4 @ Drumconda 1222 3

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1963-11-24 88.67 Shamrock Rovers 8 1333 34.95% @ Waterford 1 1248 36.95% 28.10%
2 1963-11-24 69.91 Dundalk 6 1335 31.14% @ Drogheda United 1 1278 40.75% 28.11%
3 1963-12-08 68.13 @ Waterford 4 1151 31.47% Drumconda 0 1275 40.53% 28.01%
4 1963-11-10 63.70 Dundalk 3 1275 20.86% @ Cork Celtic 0 1304 51.24% 27.89%
5 1964-04-15 57.87 Drumconda 3 1152 25.96% @ Sligo Rovers 0 1136 45.98% 28.06%
6 1964-04-12 55.28 Shelbourne 4 1186 41.49% @ Waterford 0 1055 30.53% 27.98%
7 1963-12-01 48.29 @ Limerick 3 1219 35.36% Shelbourne 0 1315 36.56% 28.08%
8 1964-03-15 47.09 Sligo Rovers 4 1075 27.85% @ Bohemian 1 1043 44.06% 28.09%
9 1964-03-29 45.26 Dundalk 4 1400 48.82% @ Drumconda 0 1210 23.50% 27.68%
10 1964-01-05 43.42 @ Cork Hibernians 4 1228 32.12% Limerick 1 1348 39.86% 28.02%
11 1964-03-15 38.58 Shamrock Rovers 4 1483 53.40% @ Shelbourne 0 1251 19.25% 27.35%
12 1964-01-05 38.33 Cork Celtic 7 1258 38.31% @ Waterford 3 1149 33.63% 28.05%
13 1963-11-10 38.03 @ St Patrick's Athletic 4 1192 38.64% Waterford 1 1265 33.25% 28.11%
14 1963-12-08 36.08 Limerick 2 1267 31.16% @ Drogheda United 0 1210 40.72% 28.11%
15 1964-02-02 35.60 @ Shelbourne 3 1249 24.44% Dundalk 1 1430 47.83% 27.73%
16 1963-11-24 35.54 Drumconda 3 1236 24.40% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1233 47.58% 28.02%
17 1964-02-23 35.44 Cork Hibernians 6 1260 45.34% @ Waterford 2 1099 26.81% 27.85%
18 1964-04-12 34.57 Cork Celtic 3 1320 25.87% @ Cork Hibernians 1 1304 46.07% 28.06%
19 1964-02-02 33.36 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1186 35.18% Cork Hibernians 0 1283 36.74% 28.08%
20 1964-02-02 31.37 Shamrock Rovers 2 1425 38.19% @ Limerick 0 1317 33.75% 28.06%
21 1964-04-05 31.27 St Patrick's Athletic 2 1268 38.35% @ Drogheda United 0 1159 33.59% 28.05%
22 1963-11-10 31.22 @ Shelbourne 4 1255 46.47% Drumconda 1 1268 25.48% 28.05%
23 1964-01-26 31.12 @ Drumconda 2 1206 38.54% Shelbourne 0 1280 33.35% 28.11%
24 1964-01-12 29.54 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1048 8.68% Dundalk 0 1438 65.93% 25.39%
25 1964-03-01 29.46 Waterford 1 1064 8.58% @ Drumconda 0 1267 65.11% 26.31%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1963-12-29 64.5 @ Shamrock Rovers 5 1423 66.57% Drogheda United 5 1193 7.48% 25.95%
2 1964-04-19 63.7 @ Sligo Rovers 4 1078 5.93% Shamrock Rovers 4 1543 69.92% 24.15%
3 1963-12-06 59.3 @ Shelbourne 3 1267 50.90% Cork Celtic 3 1240 21.19% 27.91%
4 1964-02-09 59.2 @ Drumconda 3 1258 52.22% St Patrick's Athletic 3 1219 19.93% 27.85%
5 1964-02-09 59.1 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1043 18.35% Shelbourne 3 1284 54.39% 27.26%
6 1963-12-15 58.8 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1016 30.42% Bohemian 3 1148 41.60% 27.98%
7 1964-04-19 57.8 @ Limerick 2 1349 38.56% Dundalk 2 1422 33.33% 28.11%
8 1963-12-01 56.6 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1422 64.05% Cork Celtic 2 1236 9.41% 26.54%
9 1964-04-05 56.1 @ Limerick 2 1338 52.05% Cork Hibernians 2 1301 20.10% 27.86%
10 1964-04-12 56.0 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1550 67.63% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1299 6.72% 25.65%
11 1963-12-06 55.7 @ Bohemian 2 1144 16.29% Dundalk 2 1410 56.69% 27.02%
12 1964-03-15 55.4 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1241 38.92% Limerick 2 1312 32.96% 28.11%
13 1963-11-10 55.3 @ Drogheda United 2 1280 52.72% Cork Hibernians 2 1237 19.46% 27.82%
14 1963-11-17 55.0 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1062 24.75% Cork Celtic 2 1241 47.51% 27.75%
15 1964-01-19 55.0 Cork Celtic 4 1293 32.91% @ Drumconda 3 1222 38.97% 28.11%
16 1964-04-19 53.9 Drumconda 2 1210 11.48% @ Cork Celtic 1 1358 61.55% 26.98%
17 1964-04-19 53.7 Cork Hibernians 3 1269 25.85% @ Shelbourne 2 1254 46.10% 28.06%
18 1964-04-10 52.6 @ Bohemian 3 977 28.00% Drogheda United 2 1128 44.10% 27.90%
19 1963-12-22 52.1 @ Cork Hibernians 1 1248 25.17% Dundalk 1 1423 47.06% 27.77%
20 1963-12-22 51.9 @ Drumconda 1 1223 22.09% Shamrock Rovers 1 1426 50.33% 27.58%
21 1963-11-17 51.7 @ Dundalk 1 1339 53.61% Shelbourne 1 1286 18.62% 27.77%
22 1963-11-24 51.4 Cork Hibernians 3 1237 32.61% @ Bohemian 2 1169 39.28% 28.11%
23 1964-02-09 51.4 @ Limerick 1 1286 44.17% Cork Celtic 1 1317 27.74% 28.09%
24 1963-12-15 51.2 @ Limerick 1 1303 56.69% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1218 15.76% 27.54%
25 1963-12-04 51.0 @ Drumconda 1 1279 55.61% Drogheda United 1 1206 16.76% 27.63%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1964-02-02 26.0 @ Cork Celtic 4 1301 67.20% Sligo Rovers 0 1059 7.02% 25.78%
2 1963-11-24 26.7 @ Shelbourne 6 1290 66.35% Sligo Rovers 0 1064 7.64% 26.01%
3 1964-04-14 27.0 @ Shelbourne 3 1242 67.42% Bohemian 0 995 6.87% 25.71%
4 1963-12-29 27.9 @ Limerick 4 1323 61.62% Waterford 0 1174 11.42% 26.96%
5 1964-01-26 27.9 @ Shamrock Rovers 7 1413 71.69% Bohemian 1 1070 4.18% 24.13%
6 1964-01-05 28.7 @ Drumconda 3 1220 61.96% Sligo Rovers 0 1067 11.13% 26.91%
7 1963-11-10 29.0 @ Limerick 3 1222 60.98% Sligo Rovers 0 1082 11.96% 27.06%
8 1963-12-15 29.1 @ Dundalk 3 1407 64.15% Waterford 0 1219 9.33% 26.52%
9 1964-01-19 30.3 @ Shamrock Rovers 7 1404 71.03% Sligo Rovers 2 1078 4.55% 24.42%
10 1964-02-09 30.4 @ Cork Hibernians 2 1249 64.46% Bohemian 0 1057 9.09% 26.45%
11 1964-03-22 30.4 @ Limerick 4 1312 70.59% Bohemian 1 996 4.81% 24.60%
12 1964-02-09 30.6 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1456 71.97% Waterford 1 1105 4.03% 24.00%
13 1963-12-08 30.7 @ St Patrick's Athletic 6 1193 61.88% Sligo Rovers 1 1041 11.19% 26.92%
14 1964-04-19 31.6 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1306 70.85% Bohemian 0 983 4.65% 24.50%
15 1964-03-15 32.3 Shamrock Rovers 4 1483 53.40% @ Shelbourne 0 1251 19.25% 27.35%
16 1964-03-29 32.3 Dundalk 4 1400 48.82% @ Drumconda 0 1210 23.50% 27.68%
17 1964-03-22 33.0 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1521 70.05% Drumconda 1 1218 5.13% 24.82%
18 1964-03-29 33.4 Limerick 2 1319 54.75% @ Waterford 0 1074 18.02% 27.23%
19 1964-04-12 33.6 Shelbourne 4 1186 41.49% @ Waterford 0 1055 30.53% 27.98%
20 1963-12-29 33.9 @ Cork Celtic 4 1239 59.18% Bohemian 1 1123 13.53% 27.29%
21 1964-03-15 34.1 @ Cork Hibernians 2 1290 53.53% Drumconda 0 1238 18.70% 27.77%
22 1963-11-17 34.2 @ Waterford 2 1227 52.08% Bohemian 0 1190 20.07% 27.85%
23 1964-02-09 34.4 @ Dundalk 6 1394 63.99% Drogheda United 2 1209 9.46% 26.55%
24 1964-01-12 34.5 @ Drogheda United 1 1218 61.18% Bohemian 0 1076 11.79% 27.03%
25 1963-12-29 34.7 @ Dundalk 1 1420 64.60% Drumconda 0 1226 8.98% 26.42%