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1965-66 League of Ireland Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Waterford

36 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Waterford

10.87 points above expected

36 points · 25.13 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Drogheda United

8.57 points below expected

5 points · 13.57 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Waterford 22 16 4 2 36 53 26 +27 25.13 +10.87
2 Shamrock Rovers 22 15 4 3 34 59 23 +36 32.34 +1.66
3 Bohemian 22 13 1 8 27 46 30 +16 27.77 -0.77
4 Shelbourne 22 10 5 7 25 37 30 +7 21.75 +3.25
5 Sligo Rovers 22 8 7 7 23 26 26 0 23.91 -0.91
6 Limerick 22 7 8 7 22 36 35 +1 20.21 +1.79
7 Drumconda 22 8 6 8 22 32 35 -3 24.26 -2.26
8 Dundalk 22 9 3 10 21 32 35 -3 21.07 -0.07
9 St Patrick's Athletic 22 9 2 11 20 35 43 -8 20.30 -0.30
10 Cork Hibernians 22 6 3 13 15 30 51 -21 16.39 -1.39
11 Cork Celtic 22 4 6 12 14 32 51 -19 17.30 -3.30
12 Drogheda United 22 1 3 18 5 15 48 -33 13.57 -8.57

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Waterford 36 25.13 +10.87
2 Shelbourne 25 21.75 +3.25
3 Limerick 22 20.21 +1.79
4 Shamrock Rovers 34 32.34 +1.66
5 Dundalk 21 21.07 -0.07

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Drogheda United 5 13.57 -8.57
2 Cork Celtic 14 17.30 -3.30
3 Drumconda 22 24.26 -2.26
4 Cork Hibernians 15 16.39 -1.39
5 Sligo Rovers 23 23.91 -0.91

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Waterford 13 Dec 12 – Mar 20 1 in 62,159
2 Shamrock Rovers 11 Nov 7 – Jan 16 1 in 367
3 Cork Hibernians 3 Mar 20 – Apr 3 1 in 93
4 Cork Celtic 2 Jan 9 – Jan 16 1 in 14
5 St Patrick's Athletic 3 Dec 19 – Jan 2 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundalk 6 Dec 5 – Jan 17 1 in 198
2 Cork Hibernians 6 Dec 5 – Jan 16 1 in 43
3 Limerick 3 Apr 10 – Apr 17 1 in 40
4 Bohemian 2 Jan 30 – Feb 6 1 in 35
5 Drogheda United 7 Dec 26 – Feb 6 1 in 35

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Waterford 19 Nov 28 – Apr 17 1 in 2,079
2 Limerick 11 Jan 2 – Mar 27 1 in 813
3 Shelbourne 9 Feb 6 – Apr 22 1 in 134
4 Cork Hibernians 5 Mar 20 – Apr 14 1 in 37
5 Sligo Rovers 6 Nov 7 – Dec 12 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Drogheda United 21 Nov 14 – Apr 17 1 in 171
2 Shamrock Rovers 4 Jan 23 – Feb 20 1 in 59
3 Cork Hibernians 10 Nov 7 – Jan 16 1 in 46
4 Dundalk 7 Dec 5 – Jan 20 1 in 24
5 Drumconda 6 Feb 20 – Apr 6 1 in 23

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Waterford 1461 36 +10 8 7.5 +0.5
Shamrock Rovers 1484 34 +2 7 7.9 -0.9
Bohemian 1346 27 -44 6 6.9 -0.9
Shelbourne 1364 25 +89 9 5.4 +3.6
Sligo Rovers 1238 23 -46 4 5.6 -1.6
Drumconda 1274 22 -29 4 5.0 -1.0
Limerick 1252 22 -25 3 5.0 -2.0
Dundalk 1230 21 +14 6 4.1 +1.9
St Patrick's Athletic 1217 20 +25 6 4.4 +1.6
Cork Hibernians 1207 15 +81 7 4.2 +2.8
Cork Celtic 1107 14 -31 2 3.0 -1.0
Drogheda United 988 5 -32 0 2.0 -2.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOH CC CH DU DRU DUN LIM SR SHE SR SPA WAT
Bohemian —
2-0-0
4.39
1-0-1
4.28
2-0-0
4.73
1-0-1
3.36
1-0-1
3.43
1-0-1
3.92
1-0-1
2.35
1-0-1
3.59
1-1-0
3.31
1-0-1
4.00
1-0-1
3.30
Cork Celtic
0-0-2
1.21
 —
1-1-0
2.48
2-0-0
3.20
1-1-0
1.51
0-1-1
2.64
0-0-2
2.79
0-1-1
1.29
0-0-2
2.16
0-2-0
2.11
0-0-2
2.42
0-0-2
1.39
Cork Hibernians
1-0-1
1.32
0-1-1
3.10
 —
1-0-1
3.02
0-1-1
1.39
2-0-0
1.81
1-0-1
2.23
0-0-2
1.06
0-0-2
2.02
1-0-1
1.69
0-0-2
2.41
0-1-1
1.77
Drogheda United
0-0-2
0.88
0-0-2
2.39
1-0-1
2.56
 —
0-1-1
1.81
0-0-2
1.92
0-1-1
2.26
0-0-2
0.72
0-1-1
1.47
0-0-2
1.75
0-0-2
1.72
0-0-2
0.98
Drumconda
1-0-1
2.23
0-1-1
4.08
1-1-0
4.20
1-1-0
3.78
 —
1-0-1
3.16
1-1-0
3.03
0-0-2
1.73
1-0-1
3.15
0-1-1
2.99
2-0-0
3.03
0-1-1
3.05
Dundalk
1-0-1
2.16
1-1-0
2.95
0-0-2
3.78
2-0-0
3.66
1-0-1
2.42
 —
1-0-1
2.70
0-0-2
1.21
1-1-0
2.50
1-0-1
2.19
1-1-0
3.23
0-0-2
2.79
Limerick
1-0-1
1.67
2-0-0
2.80
1-0-1
3.35
1-1-0
3.33
0-1-1
2.56
1-0-1
2.89
 —
0-1-1
1.31
0-1-1
2.54
0-2-0
2.09
1-1-0
2.92
0-1-1
2.02
Shamrock Rovers
1-0-1
3.24
1-1-0
4.30
2-0-0
4.55
2-0-0
4.91
2-0-0
3.85
2-0-0
4.38
1-1-0
4.28
 —
1-1-0
3.85
1-1-0
4.30
1-0-1
4.53
1-0-1
3.89
Shelbourne
1-0-1
1.99
2-0-0
3.42
2-0-0
3.56
1-1-0
4.13
1-0-1
2.43
0-1-1
3.09
1-1-0
3.05
0-1-1
1.74
 —
1-0-1
2.44
1-0-1
3.28
0-1-1
2.03
Sligo Rovers
0-1-1
2.27
0-2-0
3.48
1-0-1
3.89
2-0-0
3.84
1-1-0
2.59
1-0-1
3.39
0-2-0
3.49
0-1-1
1.30
1-0-1
3.14
 —
2-0-0
3.28
0-0-2
2.62
St Patrick's Athletic
1-0-1
1.59
2-0-0
3.16
2-0-0
3.18
2-0-0
3.87
0-0-2
2.56
0-1-1
2.35
0-1-1
2.66
1-0-1
1.07
1-0-1
2.31
0-0-2
2.31
 —
0-0-2
3.00
Waterford
1-0-1
2.28
2-0-0
4.20
1-1-0
3.83
2-0-0
4.63
1-1-0
2.54
2-0-0
2.79
1-1-0
3.56
1-0-1
1.69
1-1-0
3.56
2-0-0
2.96
2-0-0
2.58
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.82 +6.4
Allowed 0.75 -7.3
Differential 0.95 +4.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.79%6.06%7.95%2.65%1.14%0.76%22.35%
16.06%11.36%6.82%4.92%1.14%1.52%31.82%
27.95%6.82%1.52%2.65%1.52%0.76%21.21%
32.65%4.92%2.65%2.27%1.52%0.76%14.77%
41.14%1.14%1.52%1.52%0.76%—6.06%
5+0.76%1.52%0.76%0.76%——3.79%
Total22.35%31.82%21.21%14.77%6.06%3.79%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.64 +0.00
SD 1.41 1.41 2.00
CV 0.86 0.86 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%13.64%———22.73%
1—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
218.18%4.55%—4.55%4.55%—31.82%
3—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
44.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total27.27%31.82%22.73%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 1.36 +0.73
SD 1.60 1.18 2.19
CV 0.77 0.86 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
14.55%22.73%—9.09%9.09%—45.45%
2———13.64%4.55%—18.18%
3—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
4———9.09%——9.09%
5+———————
Total4.55%36.36%4.55%36.36%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 2.32 -0.86
SD 1.18 1.36 1.61
CV 0.81 0.59 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%13.64%9.09%—4.55%40.91%
1—4.55%13.64%——9.09%27.27%
2—4.55%————4.55%
34.55%—9.09%—4.55%—18.18%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total13.64%13.64%40.91%13.64%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 2.32 -0.95
SD 1.65 1.70 2.36
CV 1.21 0.73 —
Max 6 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%18.18%4.55%9.09%—50.00%
1—9.09%13.64%9.09%4.55%—36.36%
2—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
3————4.55%—4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total4.55%27.27%31.82%18.18%18.18%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.68 2.18 -1.50
SD 0.84 1.18 1.26
CV 1.23 0.54 —
Max 3 4 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%—4.55%——18.18%
14.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
29.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%—36.36%
3—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%36.36%13.64%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.59 -0.14
SD 0.96 1.40 1.64
CV 0.66 0.88 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%13.64%9.09%——27.27%
19.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
213.64%9.09%————22.73%
3—————4.55%4.55%
44.55%4.55%——4.55%—13.64%
5+———————
Total27.27%27.27%22.73%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.59 -0.14
SD 1.34 1.53 2.03
CV 0.92 0.96 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
1—18.18%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
213.64%—9.09%—4.55%4.55%31.82%
34.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%27.27%31.82%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.59 +0.05
SD 1.00 1.33 1.56
CV 0.61 0.84 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
1—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
213.64%13.64%—4.55%——31.82%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
44.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
5+—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
Total27.27%50.00%13.64%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.68 1.05 +1.64
SD 1.89 0.90 1.94
CV 0.70 0.86 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%9.09%———22.73%
1—22.73%———4.55%27.27%
213.64%9.09%————22.73%
34.55%9.09%———4.55%18.18%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total22.73%54.55%13.64%——9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.36 +0.32
SD 1.39 1.65 2.28
CV 0.83 1.21 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%9.09%———22.73%
118.18%13.64%13.64%4.55%——50.00%
24.55%9.09%————13.64%
3—4.55%—9.09%——13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.82%31.82%22.73%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.18 +0.00
SD 0.96 1.05 1.20
CV 0.81 0.89 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%4.55%——13.64%
113.64%—9.09%18.18%——40.91%
29.09%9.09%4.55%——4.55%27.27%
34.55%———4.55%—9.09%
4——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
5+———————
Total27.27%9.09%27.27%22.73%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.95 -0.36
SD 1.14 1.62 1.89
CV 0.72 0.83 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%———4.55%—9.09%
122.73%9.09%————31.82%
2—4.55%————4.55%
39.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%—36.36%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
Total36.36%36.36%9.09%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.41 1.18 +1.23
SD 1.65 1.30 1.77
CV 0.69 1.10 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Shamrock Rovers 1484 34 32.34 +1.66 71.0% 24 27 30 32 35 37 41
Waterford 1461 36 25.13 +10.87 100.0% 18 20 23 25 27 31 34
Shelbourne 1364 25 21.75 +3.25 82.0% 10 14 20 22 25 27 31
Bohemian 1346 27 27.77 -0.77 47.0% 19 22 25 28 30 33 37
Drumconda 1274 22 24.26 -2.26 34.0% 12 18 21 25 27 30 31
Limerick 1252 22 20.21 +1.79 67.0% 9 14 17 20 24 27 30
Sligo Rovers 1238 23 23.91 -0.91 45.0% 15 17 21 24 26 31 35
Dundalk 1230 21 21.07 -0.07 50.0% 12 13 18 21 24 27 33
St Patrick's Athletic 1217 20 20.30 -0.30 55.0% 11 15 18 20 22 26 34
Cork Hibernians 1207 15 16.39 -1.39 47.0% 9 11 14 16 19 22 27
Cork Celtic 1107 14 17.30 -3.30 22.0% 8 11 15 17 20 24 29
Drogheda United 988 5 13.57 -8.57 0.0% 6 8 11 13 16 21 23

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+1.52%
No Edge
40.91%19.70%39.39%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 5.26 Elo pts.
205 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.20 goals
Neutral
-2+0.03+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.6
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
4%
Waterford, 3rd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Tight Race
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.06 * Some Luck: 3.06 to 4.59 * Lucky: 4.59 to 6.12 * Wild Swing: 6.12 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.37 * Close: 1.37 to 2.05 * Off: 2.05 to 2.73 * Way Off: 2.73 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.35 points
Some Luck
03.8310
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.33
Pinpoint
01.714
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Waterford
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
Drogheda United
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Lopsided
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 138.79
2.01
Strong Separation
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
69%
Slight Edge
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
95%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
54%
Some Drama
0%55%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Occasional
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.37
Very Even
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.47
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.28
Weak Carryover
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Upset-Prone
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Shaky
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.08
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.89
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.108
Well Within Noise
00.1430.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Waterford4.00%17.00%13.00%25.00%15.00%11.00%8.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%——
Shamrock Rovers77.00%18.00%4.00%—1.00%———————
Bohemian11.00%39.00%20.00%12.00%7.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%————
Shelbourne—5.00%8.00%13.00%11.00%9.00%19.00%14.00%8.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%
Sligo Rovers4.00%7.00%15.00%16.00%18.00%12.00%4.00%14.00%7.00%2.00%—1.00%
Limerick—2.00%8.00%3.00%13.00%13.00%9.00%12.00%15.00%10.00%10.00%5.00%
Drumconda1.00%7.00%24.00%15.00%10.00%12.00%12.00%9.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%
Dundalk1.00%2.00%6.00%7.00%13.00%13.00%18.00%13.00%10.00%7.00%6.00%4.00%
St Patrick's Athletic2.00%3.00%1.00%4.00%7.00%9.00%17.00%16.00%18.00%15.00%7.00%1.00%
Cork Hibernians———3.00%1.00%5.00%2.00%6.00%20.00%21.00%26.00%16.00%
Cork Celtic——1.00%2.00%4.00%8.00%4.00%6.00%13.00%25.00%22.00%15.00%
Drogheda United—————2.00%4.00%5.00%—12.00%24.00%53.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Bohemian 100%
Cork Celtic 100%
Cork Hibernians 100%
Drogheda United 100%
Drumconda 100%
Dundalk 100%
Limerick 100%
Shamrock Rovers 100%
Shelbourne 100%
Sligo Rovers 100%
St Patrick's Athletic 100%
Waterford 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1965-11-05 Drumconda W 4-248.9 1266 1313 34.08% 20.87% 45.05%-0.20 +26.3 2
1965-11-05 @ Shelbourne L 2-448.9 1313 1266 45.05% 20.87% 34.08%+0.20 -26.3 0
1965-11-07 Shamrock Rovers L 2-448.8 1337 1325 42.45% 20.88% 36.67%+0.09 -25.0 0
1965-11-07 @ Bohemian W 4-248.8 1325 1337 36.67% 20.88% 42.45%-0.09 +25.0 2
1965-11-07 Dundalk D 1-154.4 1253 1266 38.86% 20.89% 40.26%-0.04 +0.1 1
1965-11-07 @ Cork Celtic D 1-154.4 1266 1253 40.26% 20.89% 38.86%+0.04 -0.1 1
1965-11-07 Cork Hibernians W 2-148.8 1218 1292 30.66% 20.83% 48.50%-0.33 +18.1 2
1965-11-07 @ Drogheda United L 1-248.8 1292 1218 48.50% 20.83% 30.66%+0.33 -18.1 0
1965-11-07 Sligo Rovers D 3-363.3 1172 1267 27.91% 20.79% 51.30%-0.44 +1.3 1
1965-11-07 @ Limerick D 3-363.3 1267 1172 51.30% 20.79% 27.91%+0.44 -1.3 1
1965-11-07 Waterford L 2-643.6 1264 1196 49.95% 20.82% 29.23%+0.36 -49.9 0
1965-11-07 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 6-243.6 1196 1264 29.23% 20.82% 49.95%-0.36 +49.9 2
1965-11-14 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-337.8 1273 1215 48.70% 20.84% 30.47%+0.31 -52.8 0
1965-11-14 @ Cork Hibernians W 3-037.8 1215 1273 30.47% 20.84% 48.70%-0.31 +52.8 2
1965-11-14 Shelbourne W 2-038.8 1266 1292 36.99% 20.88% 42.13%-0.10 +32.1 3
1965-11-14 @ Dundalk L 0-238.8 1292 1266 42.13% 20.88% 36.99%+0.10 -32.1 2
1965-11-14 Drogheda United D 0-050.7 1286 1237 47.51% 20.85% 31.64%+0.27 -1.5 1
1965-11-14 @ Drumconda D 0-050.7 1237 1286 31.64% 20.85% 47.51%-0.27 +1.5 3
1965-11-14 Limerick W 5-236.6 1350 1173 61.63% 20.50% 17.87%+0.89 +16.7 4
1965-11-14 @ Shamrock Rovers L 2-536.6 1173 1350 17.87% 20.50% 61.63%-0.89 -16.6 1
1965-11-14 Cork Celtic D 1-154.4 1266 1253 42.50% 20.88% 36.62%+0.09 -0.5 2
1965-11-14 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-154.4 1253 1266 36.62% 20.88% 42.50%-0.09 +0.5 2
1965-11-14 Bohemian L 0-431.9 1246 1312 31.50% 20.84% 47.66%-0.30 -48.2 2
1965-11-14 @ Waterford W 4-031.9 1312 1246 47.66% 20.84% 31.50%+0.30 +48.2 2
1965-11-21 Cork Hibernians W 6-030.2 1360 1221 58.08% 20.64% 21.28%+0.71 +50.8 4
1965-11-21 @ Bohemian L 0-630.2 1221 1360 21.28% 20.64% 58.08%-0.71 -50.8 0
1965-11-21 Limerick L 2-354.8 1254 1157 53.39% 20.76% 25.84%+0.50 -18.7 2
1965-11-21 @ Cork Celtic W 3-254.8 1157 1254 25.84% 20.76% 53.39%-0.50 +18.7 3
1965-11-21 Dundalk L 0-235.8 1238 1298 32.38% 20.85% 46.77%-0.27 -26.0 3
1965-11-21 @ Drogheda United W 2-035.8 1298 1238 46.77% 20.85% 32.38%+0.27 +26.0 5
1965-11-21 Sligo Rovers L 0-141.8 1260 1266 39.84% 20.89% 39.27%+0.00 -16.3 2
1965-11-21 @ Shelbourne W 1-041.8 1266 1260 39.27% 20.89% 39.84%+0.00 +16.3 4
1965-11-21 Drumconda L 1-342.6 1267 1285 38.20% 20.89% 40.92%-0.06 -25.7 2
1965-11-21 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-142.6 1285 1267 40.92% 20.89% 38.20%+0.06 +25.7 3
1965-11-21 Shamrock Rovers L 3-448.5 1197 1366 19.98% 20.57% 59.45%-0.80 -8.0 2
1965-11-21 @ Waterford W 4-348.5 1366 1197 59.45% 20.57% 19.98%+0.80 +8.0 6
1965-11-28 Waterford D 0-050.3 1170 1189 37.90% 20.88% 41.21%-0.07 +0.3 1
1965-11-28 @ Cork Hibernians D 0-050.3 1189 1170 41.21% 20.88% 37.90%+0.07 -0.3 3
1965-11-28 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-142.8 1324 1242 51.63% 20.80% 27.57%+0.43 +11.4 7
1965-11-28 @ Dundalk L 1-242.8 1242 1324 27.57% 20.80% 51.63%-0.43 -11.4 2
1965-11-28 Bohemian W 3-148.2 1310 1411 27.26% 20.78% 51.96%-0.47 +33.4 5
1965-11-28 @ Drumconda L 1-348.2 1411 1310 51.96% 20.78% 27.26%+0.47 -33.4 4
1965-11-28 Shelbourne L 0-235.1 1175 1243 31.32% 20.84% 47.84%-0.31 -25.3 3
1965-11-28 @ Limerick W 2-035.1 1243 1175 47.84% 20.84% 31.32%+0.31 +25.3 4
1965-11-28 Cork Celtic W 3-137.8 1374 1235 58.04% 20.64% 21.32%+0.71 +15.9 8
1965-11-28 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-337.8 1235 1374 21.32% 20.64% 58.04%-0.71 -15.9 2
1965-11-28 Drogheda United W 1-038.5 1282 1212 50.09% 20.82% 29.09%+0.37 +12.6 6
1965-11-28 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-138.5 1212 1282 29.09% 20.82% 50.09%-0.37 -12.6 3
1965-12-05 Dundalk W 3-142.3 1378 1335 46.56% 20.86% 32.58%+0.23 +22.6 6
1965-12-05 @ Bohemian L 1-342.3 1335 1378 32.58% 20.86% 46.56%-0.23 -22.6 7
1965-12-05 Shamrock Rovers L 0-230.7 1170 1390 15.60% 20.35% 64.05%-1.05 -13.9 1
1965-12-05 @ Cork Hibernians W 2-030.7 1390 1170 64.05% 20.35% 15.60%+1.05 +13.9 10
1965-12-05 Limerick L 0-337.1 1199 1150 47.46% 20.85% 31.69%+0.27 -51.6 3
1965-12-05 @ Drogheda United W 3-037.1 1150 1199 31.69% 20.85% 47.46%-0.27 +51.6 5
1965-12-05 Cork Celtic W 5-032.1 1269 1219 47.48% 20.85% 31.67%+0.27 +59.7 6
1965-12-05 @ Shelbourne L 0-532.1 1219 1269 31.67% 20.85% 47.48%-0.27 -59.7 2
1965-12-05 Sligo Rovers L 1-340.5 1230 1295 31.80% 20.85% 47.35%-0.29 -22.2 2
1965-12-05 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-140.5 1295 1230 47.35% 20.85% 31.80%+0.29 +22.2 8
1965-12-05 Drumconda D 3-363.6 1189 1344 21.37% 20.62% 58.01%-0.73 +2.1 4
1965-12-05 @ Waterford D 3-363.6 1344 1189 58.01% 20.62% 21.37%+0.73 -2.1 6
1965-12-12 Drogheda United W 4-353.0 1159 1148 42.33% 20.88% 36.78%+0.08 +13.3 4
1965-12-12 @ Cork Celtic L 3-453.0 1148 1159 36.78% 20.88% 42.33%-0.08 -13.3 3
1965-12-12 Waterford L 0-146.6 1313 1191 56.16% 20.70% 23.15%+0.62 -22.0 7
1965-12-12 @ Dundalk W 1-046.6 1191 1313 23.15% 20.70% 56.16%-0.62 +22.0 6
1965-12-12 Cork Hibernians W 2-139.3 1342 1156 62.43% 20.46% 17.11%+0.93 +7.5 8
1965-12-12 @ Drumconda L 1-239.3 1156 1342 17.11% 20.46% 62.43%-0.93 -7.6 1
1965-12-12 St Patrick's Athletic D 2-259.0 1202 1208 39.78% 20.89% 39.34%-0.01 -0.0 6
1965-12-12 @ Limerick D 2-259.0 1208 1202 39.34% 20.89% 39.78%+0.01 +0.0 3
1965-12-12 Shelbourne W 7-136.3 1404 1328 50.83% 20.81% 28.36%+0.40 +53.4 12
1965-12-12 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-736.3 1328 1404 28.36% 20.81% 50.83%-0.40 -53.4 6
1965-12-12 Bohemian D 1-156.0 1317 1401 29.32% 20.81% 49.87%-0.38 +1.8 9
1965-12-12 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-156.0 1401 1317 49.87% 20.81% 29.32%+0.38 -1.8 7
1965-12-19 Limerick W 3-136.1 1399 1202 63.42% 20.41% 16.17%+0.99 +12.4 9
1965-12-19 @ Bohemian L 1-336.1 1202 1399 16.17% 20.41% 63.42%-0.99 -12.4 6
1965-12-19 Shelbourne D 1-154.2 1134 1275 22.83% 20.67% 56.50%-0.66 +3.0 4
1965-12-19 @ Drogheda United D 1-154.2 1275 1134 56.50% 20.67% 22.83%+0.66 -3.0 7
1965-12-19 Shamrock Rovers L 0-334.5 1349 1458 26.37% 20.76% 52.87%-0.50 -31.9 8
1965-12-19 @ Drumconda W 3-034.5 1458 1349 52.87% 20.76% 26.37%+0.50 +31.9 14
1965-12-19 Cork Celtic W 1-039.6 1208 1173 45.58% 20.87% 33.55%+0.20 +14.2 5
1965-12-19 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-139.6 1173 1208 33.55% 20.87% 45.58%-0.20 -14.2 4
1965-12-19 Sligo Rovers W 3-146.7 1213 1319 26.71% 20.77% 52.52%-0.49 +33.7 8
1965-12-19 @ Waterford L 1-346.7 1319 1213 52.52% 20.77% 26.71%+0.49 -33.7 9
1965-12-26 Bohemian L 2-343.1 1159 1411 13.28% 20.18% 66.55%-1.21 -5.7 4
1965-12-26 @ Cork Celtic W 3-243.1 1411 1159 66.55% 20.18% 13.28%+1.21 +5.7 11
1965-12-26 Drumconda L 0-237.6 1291 1317 36.89% 20.88% 42.23%-0.10 -28.9 7
1965-12-26 @ Dundalk W 2-037.6 1317 1291 42.23% 20.88% 36.89%+0.10 +28.9 10
1965-12-26 Waterford L 1-243.9 1189 1247 32.69% 20.85% 46.46%-0.26 -13.1 6
1965-12-26 @ Limerick W 2-143.9 1247 1189 46.46% 20.85% 32.69%+0.26 +13.1 10
1965-12-26 Drogheda United W 4-024.7 1490 1138 73.24% 19.44% 7.32%+1.74 +13.0 16
1965-12-26 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-424.7 1138 1490 7.32% 19.44% 73.24%-1.74 -13.0 4
1965-12-26 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-144.0 1272 1222 47.50% 20.85% 31.64%+0.27 -18.9 7
1965-12-26 @ Shelbourne W 1-044.0 1222 1272 31.64% 20.85% 47.50%-0.27 +18.9 7
1965-12-26 Cork Hibernians W 1-036.0 1285 1149 57.70% 20.65% 21.65%+0.69 +9.9 11
1965-12-26 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-136.0 1149 1285 21.65% 20.65% 57.70%-0.69 -9.8 1
1966-01-02 Shelbourne W 2-032.7 1417 1253 60.45% 20.55% 19.00%+0.83 +16.6 13
1966-01-02 @ Bohemian L 0-232.7 1253 1417 19.00% 20.55% 60.45%-0.83 -16.6 7
1966-01-02 Limerick L 0-236.2 1139 1176 35.42% 20.87% 43.70%-0.16 -28.0 1
1966-01-02 @ Cork Hibernians W 2-036.2 1176 1139 43.70% 20.87% 35.42%+0.16 +28.0 8
1966-01-02 Shamrock Rovers L 0-232.5 1262 1503 14.09% 20.24% 65.66%-1.15 -12.7 7
1966-01-02 @ Dundalk W 2-032.5 1503 1262 65.66% 20.24% 14.09%+1.15 +12.7 18
1966-01-02 Sligo Rovers L 0-144.9 1346 1295 47.76% 20.85% 31.39%+0.28 -18.9 10
1966-01-02 @ Drumconda W 1-044.9 1295 1346 31.39% 20.85% 47.76%-0.28 +18.9 13
1966-01-02 Drogheda United W 2-032.7 1241 1125 55.60% 20.71% 23.69%+0.59 +20.0 9
1966-01-02 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-232.7 1125 1241 23.69% 20.71% 55.60%-0.59 -20.0 4
1966-01-02 Cork Celtic W 4-135.2 1260 1153 54.53% 20.74% 24.74%+0.55 +25.5 12
1966-01-02 @ Waterford L 1-435.2 1153 1260 24.74% 20.74% 54.53%-0.55 -25.5 4
1966-01-09 Cork Hibernians W 4-352.8 1127 1111 43.02% 20.88% 36.10%+0.11 +13.1 6
1966-01-09 @ Cork Celtic L 3-452.8 1111 1127 36.10% 20.88% 43.02%-0.11 -13.1 1
1966-01-09 Bohemian L 0-228.4 1105 1433 8.98% 19.69% 71.33%-1.58 -8.3 4
1966-01-09 @ Drogheda United W 2-028.4 1433 1105 71.33% 19.69% 8.98%+1.58 +8.3 15
1966-01-09 Drumconda D 2-259.4 1204 1327 24.68% 20.72% 54.60%-0.58 +2.0 9
1966-01-09 @ Limerick D 2-259.4 1327 1204 54.60% 20.72% 24.68%+0.58 -2.0 11
1966-01-09 Waterford L 3-547.6 1237 1285 33.85% 20.86% 45.29%-0.21 -19.7 7
1966-01-09 @ Shelbourne W 5-347.6 1285 1237 45.29% 20.86% 33.85%+0.21 +19.7 14
1966-01-09 Dundalk W 2-143.4 1314 1249 49.41% 20.83% 29.76%+0.34 +12.1 15
1966-01-09 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-243.4 1249 1314 29.76% 20.83% 49.41%-0.34 -12.1 7
1966-01-09 Shamrock Rovers L 1-240.7 1261 1515 13.18% 20.17% 66.65%-1.21 -6.0 9
1966-01-09 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-140.7 1515 1261 66.65% 20.17% 13.18%+1.21 +6.0 20
1966-01-16 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-246.0 1442 1255 62.52% 20.46% 17.02%+0.94 -46.0 15
1966-01-16 @ Bohemian W 2-046.0 1255 1442 17.02% 20.46% 62.52%-0.94 +46.0 11
1966-01-16 Shelbourne L 0-330.4 1098 1217 25.16% 20.73% 54.11%-0.56 -30.6 1
1966-01-16 @ Cork Hibernians W 3-030.4 1217 1098 54.11% 20.73% 25.16%+0.56 +30.6 9
1966-01-16 Cork Celtic L 1-349.4 1325 1141 62.37% 20.46% 17.17%+0.93 -39.8 11
1966-01-16 @ Drumconda W 3-149.4 1141 1325 17.17% 20.46% 62.37%-0.93 +39.8 8
1966-01-16 Sligo Rovers W 2-143.4 1521 1326 63.28% 20.42% 16.30%+0.98 +7.2 22
1966-01-16 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-243.4 1326 1521 16.30% 20.42% 63.28%-0.98 -7.2 15
1966-01-16 Drogheda United W 3-135.1 1305 1096 64.39% 20.35% 15.25%+1.05 +11.8 16
1966-01-16 @ Waterford L 1-335.1 1096 1305 15.25% 20.35% 64.39%-1.05 -11.8 4
1966-01-17 Limerick L 0-239.3 1237 1206 45.00% 20.87% 34.13%+0.18 -33.9 7
1966-01-17 @ Dundalk W 2-039.3 1206 1237 34.13% 20.87% 45.00%-0.18 +33.9 11
1966-01-20 Dundalk D 1-154.2 1247 1203 46.80% 20.86% 32.35%+0.24 -1.2 10
1966-01-20 @ Shelbourne D 1-154.2 1203 1247 32.35% 20.86% 46.80%-0.24 +1.2 8
1966-01-23 Drogheda United W 3-250.9 1067 1084 38.22% 20.89% 40.90%-0.06 +14.9 3
1966-01-23 @ Cork Hibernians L 2-350.9 1084 1067 40.90% 20.89% 38.22%+0.06 -14.9 4
1966-01-23 Cork Celtic W 4-138.3 1204 1180 44.05% 20.88% 35.08%+0.14 +34.0 10
1966-01-23 @ Dundalk L 1-438.3 1180 1204 35.08% 20.88% 44.05%-0.14 -34.0 8
1966-01-23 Shelbourne W 1-039.8 1286 1246 46.15% 20.86% 32.99%+0.22 +14.0 13
1966-01-23 @ Drumconda L 0-139.8 1246 1286 32.99% 20.86% 46.15%-0.22 -14.0 10
1966-01-23 Bohemian L 2-363.0 1528 1396 57.34% 20.66% 22.00%+0.67 -20.1 22
1966-01-23 @ Shamrock Rovers W 3-263.0 1396 1528 22.00% 20.66% 57.34%-0.67 +20.0 17
1966-01-23 Limerick D 0-050.9 1319 1240 51.16% 20.80% 28.03%+0.41 -2.3 16
1966-01-23 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-050.9 1240 1319 28.03% 20.80% 51.16%-0.41 +2.3 12
1966-01-23 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-034.7 1317 1301 42.89% 20.88% 36.23%+0.10 +41.4 18
1966-01-23 @ Waterford L 0-334.7 1301 1317 36.23% 20.88% 42.89%-0.10 -41.4 11
1966-01-30 Waterford L 0-147.0 1416 1358 48.52% 20.84% 30.64%+0.31 -19.2 17
1966-01-30 @ Bohemian W 1-047.0 1358 1416 30.64% 20.84% 48.52%-0.31 +19.2 20
1966-01-30 Sligo Rovers D 3-363.4 1146 1316 19.91% 20.57% 59.52%-0.80 +2.2 9
1966-01-30 @ Cork Celtic D 3-363.4 1316 1146 59.52% 20.57% 19.91%+0.80 -2.3 17
1966-01-30 Drumconda L 1-238.3 1070 1300 14.86% 20.30% 64.84%-1.10 -6.6 4
1966-01-30 @ Drogheda United W 2-138.3 1300 1070 64.84% 20.30% 14.86%+1.10 +6.7 15
1966-01-30 Shamrock Rovers D 1-156.8 1242 1508 12.40% 20.10% 67.50%-1.27 +5.3 13
1966-01-30 @ Limerick D 1-156.8 1508 1242 67.50% 20.10% 12.40%+1.27 -5.3 23
1966-01-30 Cork Hibernians W 2-139.2 1260 1082 61.75% 20.49% 17.75%+0.89 +7.8 13
1966-01-30 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-239.2 1082 1260 17.75% 20.49% 61.75%-0.89 -7.8 3
1966-02-06 Bohemian W 3-259.9 1074 1397 9.29% 19.74% 70.97%-1.55 +24.9 5
1966-02-06 @ Cork Hibernians L 2-359.9 1397 1074 70.97% 19.74% 9.29%+1.55 -24.9 17
1966-02-06 Drogheda United W 4-027.2 1238 1063 61.53% 20.50% 17.96%+0.88 +29.9 12
1966-02-06 @ Dundalk L 0-427.2 1063 1238 17.96% 20.50% 61.53%-0.88 -29.9 4
1966-02-06 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-036.2 1306 1268 46.03% 20.86% 33.11%+0.21 +26.5 17
1966-02-06 @ Drumconda L 0-236.2 1268 1306 33.11% 20.86% 46.03%-0.21 -26.5 13
1966-02-06 Cork Celtic W 3-246.5 1248 1149 53.61% 20.76% 25.64%+0.51 +10.2 15
1966-02-06 @ Limerick L 2-346.5 1149 1248 25.64% 20.76% 53.61%-0.51 -10.2 9
1966-02-06 Waterford L 0-152.0 1503 1377 56.59% 20.68% 22.72%+0.64 -22.1 23
1966-02-06 @ Shamrock Rovers W 1-052.0 1377 1503 22.72% 20.68% 56.59%-0.64 +22.1 22
1966-02-06 Shelbourne L 1-249.9 1314 1232 51.57% 20.80% 27.63%+0.43 -19.1 17
1966-02-06 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-149.9 1232 1314 27.63% 20.80% 51.57%-0.43 +19.1 12
1966-02-20 Drumconda W 2-145.7 1372 1333 46.07% 20.86% 33.06%+0.22 +13.2 19
1966-02-20 @ Bohemian L 1-245.7 1333 1372 33.06% 20.86% 46.07%-0.22 -13.2 17
1966-02-20 Shamrock Rovers D 1-155.3 1138 1481 8.37% 19.59% 72.04%-1.65 +6.2 10
1966-02-20 @ Cork Celtic D 1-155.3 1481 1138 72.04% 19.59% 8.37%+1.65 -6.2 24
1966-02-20 Limerick D 1-154.3 1251 1258 39.76% 20.89% 39.35%-0.01 -0.0 13
1966-02-20 @ Shelbourne D 1-154.3 1258 1251 39.35% 20.89% 39.76%+0.01 +0.0 16
1966-02-20 Dundalk D 4-465.8 1241 1268 36.84% 20.88% 42.28%-0.11 +0.2 14
1966-02-20 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 4-465.8 1268 1241 42.28% 20.88% 36.84%+0.11 -0.2 13
1966-02-27 Shelbourne L 1-338.6 1145 1251 26.58% 20.77% 52.65%-0.49 -19.1 10
1966-02-27 @ Cork Celtic W 3-138.6 1251 1145 52.65% 20.77% 26.58%+0.49 +19.1 15
1966-02-27 Bohemian W 1-046.8 1268 1385 25.40% 20.74% 53.86%-0.54 +21.1 15
1966-02-27 @ Dundalk L 0-146.8 1385 1268 53.86% 20.74% 25.40%+0.54 -21.1 19
1966-02-27 Waterford L 2-349.7 1320 1400 29.79% 20.82% 49.39%-0.37 -11.5 17
1966-02-27 @ Drumconda W 3-249.7 1400 1320 49.39% 20.82% 29.79%+0.37 +11.5 24
1966-02-27 Drogheda United D 1-154.1 1258 1033 65.64% 20.27% 14.09%+1.12 -4.9 17
1966-02-27 @ Limerick D 1-154.1 1033 1258 14.09% 20.27% 65.64%-1.12 +4.9 5
1966-02-27 Cork Hibernians W 6-127.7 1475 1099 74.27% 19.25% 6.47%+1.86 +11.7 26
1966-02-27 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-627.7 1099 1475 6.47% 19.25% 74.27%-1.86 -11.7 5
1966-02-27 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-035.4 1295 1241 47.99% 20.85% 31.17%+0.29 +25.2 19
1966-02-27 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-235.4 1241 1295 31.17% 20.85% 47.99%-0.29 -25.2 14
1966-03-13 Sligo Rovers W 2-036.9 1364 1320 46.71% 20.86% 32.43%+0.24 +26.0 21
1966-03-13 @ Bohemian L 0-236.9 1320 1364 32.43% 20.86% 46.71%-0.24 -26.0 19
1966-03-13 Drumconda D 0-050.6 1087 1308 15.57% 20.35% 64.08%-1.05 +5.1 6
1966-03-13 @ Cork Hibernians D 0-050.6 1308 1087 64.08% 20.35% 15.57%+1.05 -5.1 18
1966-03-13 Cork Celtic L 0-138.0 1038 1126 28.84% 20.81% 50.36%-0.40 -12.5 5
1966-03-13 @ Drogheda United W 1-038.0 1126 1038 50.36% 20.81% 28.84%+0.40 +12.5 12
1966-03-13 Shamrock Rovers D 1-156.8 1270 1486 15.93% 20.37% 63.70%-1.03 +4.5 16
1966-03-13 @ Shelbourne D 1-156.8 1486 1270 63.70% 20.37% 15.93%+1.03 -4.5 27
1966-03-13 Limerick L 1-341.4 1216 1253 35.51% 20.88% 43.62%-0.15 -24.3 14
1966-03-13 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-141.4 1253 1216 43.62% 20.88% 35.51%+0.15 +24.3 19
1966-03-13 Dundalk W 3-031.6 1411 1289 56.20% 20.70% 23.11%+0.62 +28.5 26
1966-03-13 @ Waterford L 0-331.6 1289 1411 23.11% 20.70% 56.20%-0.62 -28.5 15
1966-03-17 Cork Hibernians W 5-128.4 1440 1092 73.01% 19.48% 7.51%+1.72 +11.1 28
1966-03-17 @ Waterford L 1-528.4 1092 1440 7.51% 19.48% 73.01%-1.72 -11.1 6
1966-03-20 St Patrick's Athletic L 2-444.7 1138 1192 33.17% 20.86% 45.97%-0.24 -20.6 12
1966-03-20 @ Cork Celtic W 4-244.7 1192 1138 45.97% 20.86% 33.17%+0.24 +20.5 16
1966-03-20 Cork Hibernians L 3-651.0 1261 1081 61.87% 20.49% 17.64%+0.90 -44.7 15
1966-03-20 @ Dundalk W 6-351.0 1081 1261 17.64% 20.49% 61.87%-0.90 +44.8 8
1966-03-20 Bohemian W 2-043.0 1277 1390 25.88% 20.75% 53.37%-0.52 +39.5 21
1966-03-20 @ Limerick L 0-243.0 1390 1277 53.37% 20.75% 25.88%+0.52 -39.5 21
1966-03-20 Drumconda W 5-134.5 1482 1303 61.86% 20.49% 17.66%+0.90 +24.5 29
1966-03-20 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-534.5 1303 1482 17.66% 20.49% 61.86%-0.90 -24.6 18
1966-03-20 Drogheda United W 2-137.4 1275 1025 67.43% 20.13% 12.44%+1.24 +5.6 18
1966-03-20 @ Shelbourne L 1-237.4 1025 1275 12.44% 20.13% 67.43%-1.24 -5.7 5
1966-03-20 Waterford L 0-138.2 1294 1451 21.18% 20.62% 58.20%-0.74 -9.7 19
1966-03-20 @ Sligo Rovers W 1-038.2 1451 1294 58.20% 20.62% 21.18%+0.74 +9.6 30
1966-03-27 Cork Celtic W 2-029.7 1350 1118 66.23% 20.23% 13.54%+1.16 +12.2 23
1966-03-27 @ Bohemian L 0-229.7 1118 1350 13.54% 20.23% 66.23%-1.16 -12.2 12
1966-03-27 Sligo Rovers W 2-151.5 1126 1284 21.03% 20.61% 58.36%-0.75 +21.5 10
1966-03-27 @ Cork Hibernians L 1-251.5 1284 1126 58.36% 20.61% 21.03%+0.75 -21.5 19
1966-03-27 Dundalk L 1-249.0 1278 1216 49.16% 20.83% 30.01%+0.33 -18.3 18
1966-03-27 @ Drumconda W 2-149.0 1216 1278 30.01% 20.83% 49.16%-0.33 +18.3 17
1966-03-27 Shelbourne L 1-340.2 1213 1281 31.32% 20.84% 47.84%-0.31 -21.9 16
1966-03-27 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-140.2 1281 1213 47.84% 20.84% 31.32%+0.31 +21.9 20
1966-03-27 Limerick D 1-157.1 1460 1317 58.48% 20.63% 20.90%+0.73 -3.4 31
1966-03-27 @ Waterford D 1-157.1 1317 1460 20.90% 20.63% 58.48%-0.73 +3.4 22
1966-04-03 Dundalk W 3-038.0 1148 1234 28.98% 20.81% 50.21%-0.40 +54.2 12
1966-04-03 @ Cork Hibernians L 0-338.0 1234 1148 50.21% 20.81% 28.98%+0.40 -54.2 17
1966-04-03 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-135.2 1020 1191 19.80% 20.56% 59.63%-0.81 -9.1 5
1966-04-03 @ Drogheda United W 1-035.2 1191 1020 59.63% 20.56% 19.80%+0.81 +9.1 18
1966-04-06 Drumconda D 1-154.4 1263 1260 41.09% 20.89% 38.02%+0.04 -0.3 20
1966-04-06 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-154.4 1260 1263 38.02% 20.89% 41.09%-0.04 +0.2 19
1966-04-10 Drogheda United W 4-129.5 1363 1011 73.23% 19.44% 7.32%+1.74 +8.4 25
1966-04-10 @ Bohemian L 1-429.5 1011 1363 7.32% 19.44% 73.23%-1.74 -8.4 5
1966-04-10 Cork Celtic D 1-154.0 1202 1105 53.33% 20.76% 25.91%+0.50 -2.4 13
1966-04-10 @ Cork Hibernians D 1-154.0 1105 1202 25.91% 20.76% 53.33%-0.50 +2.4 13
1966-04-10 Sligo Rovers W 2-040.7 1180 1263 29.46% 20.82% 49.72%-0.38 +37.0 19
1966-04-10 @ Dundalk L 0-240.7 1263 1180 49.72% 20.82% 29.46%+0.38 -37.0 20
1966-04-10 Limerick W 2-148.6 1260 1320 32.39% 20.85% 46.76%-0.27 +17.5 21
1966-04-10 @ Drumconda L 1-248.6 1320 1260 46.76% 20.85% 32.39%+0.27 -17.5 22
1966-04-10 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-256.7 1506 1200 70.95% 19.77% 9.27%+1.52 -26.2 29
1966-04-10 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-156.7 1200 1506 9.27% 19.77% 70.95%-1.52 +26.2 20
1966-04-10 Shelbourne D 1-156.8 1457 1302 59.55% 20.59% 19.86%+0.78 -3.7 32
1966-04-10 @ Waterford D 1-156.8 1302 1457 19.86% 20.59% 59.55%-0.78 +3.6 21
1966-04-13 Waterford L 0-132.1 1108 1453 8.24% 19.57% 72.19%-1.66 -4.1 13
1966-04-13 @ Cork Celtic W 1-032.1 1453 1108 72.19% 19.57% 8.24%+1.66 +4.1 34
1966-04-14 Sligo Rovers L 1-238.3 1002 1226 15.36% 20.33% 64.31%-1.07 -6.9 5
1966-04-14 @ Drogheda United W 2-138.3 1226 1002 64.31% 20.33% 15.36%+1.07 +6.9 22
1966-04-14 Cork Hibernians L 2-451.2 1303 1199 54.09% 20.75% 25.17%+0.53 -31.0 22
1966-04-14 @ Limerick W 4-251.2 1199 1303 25.17% 20.75% 54.09%-0.53 +31.0 15
1966-04-15 Shamrock Rovers L 0-226.3 995 1480 3.95% 18.38% 77.68%-2.34 -3.7 5
1966-04-15 @ Drogheda United W 2-026.3 1480 995 77.68% 18.38% 3.95%+2.34 +3.7 31
1966-04-17 Drumconda D 1-154.1 1104 1278 19.51% 20.55% 59.94%-0.82 +3.7 14
1966-04-17 @ Cork Celtic D 1-154.1 1278 1104 59.94% 20.55% 19.51%+0.82 -3.7 22
1966-04-17 Waterford L 1-331.4 992 1457 4.37% 18.56% 77.07%-2.25 -3.5 5
1966-04-17 @ Drogheda United W 3-131.4 1457 992 77.07% 18.56% 4.37%+2.25 +3.5 36
1966-04-17 Dundalk L 0-144.2 1272 1217 48.14% 20.84% 31.01%+0.29 -19.1 22
1966-04-17 @ Limerick W 1-044.2 1217 1272 31.01% 20.84% 48.14%-0.29 +19.1 21
1966-04-17 Cork Hibernians W 2-034.6 1306 1230 50.82% 20.81% 28.37%+0.40 +23.3 23
1966-04-17 @ Shelbourne L 0-234.6 1230 1306 28.37% 20.81% 50.82%-0.40 -23.3 15
1966-04-17 Shamrock Rovers D 0-052.5 1232 1484 13.35% 20.18% 66.47%-1.20 +5.7 23
1966-04-17 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-052.5 1484 1232 66.47% 20.18% 13.35%+1.20 -5.7 32
1966-04-17 Bohemian L 3-449.4 1226 1371 22.37% 20.66% 56.98%-0.68 -8.8 20
1966-04-17 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 4-349.4 1371 1226 56.98% 20.66% 22.37%+0.68 +8.8 27
1966-04-20 Dundalk W 2-139.6 1478 1236 66.91% 20.18% 12.91%+1.21 +5.9 34
1966-04-20 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-239.6 1236 1478 12.91% 20.18% 66.91%-1.21 -5.8 21
1966-04-22 Bohemian W 2-041.2 1329 1380 33.65% 20.86% 45.49%-0.22 +34.2 25
1966-04-22 @ Shelbourne L 0-241.2 1380 1329 45.49% 20.86% 33.65%+0.22 -34.3 27

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1966-04-10 9.27% St Patrick's Athletic 1200 2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1506 1
2 1966-02-06 9.29% @ Cork Hibernians 1074 3 Bohemian 1397 2
3 1966-01-16 17.02% St Patrick's Athletic 1255 2 @ Bohemian 1442 0
4 1966-01-16 17.17% Cork Celtic 1141 3 @ Drumconda 1325 1
5 1966-03-20 17.64% Cork Hibernians 1081 6 @ Dundalk 1261 3
6 1966-03-27 21.03% @ Cork Hibernians 1126 2 Sligo Rovers 1284 1
7 1966-01-23 22.00% Bohemian 1396 3 @ Shamrock Rovers 1528 2
8 1966-02-06 22.72% Waterford 1377 1 @ Shamrock Rovers 1503 0
9 1965-12-12 23.15% Waterford 1191 1 @ Dundalk 1313 0
10 1966-04-14 25.17% Cork Hibernians 1199 4 @ Limerick 1303 2
11 1966-02-27 25.40% @ Dundalk 1268 1 Bohemian 1385 0
12 1965-11-21 25.84% Limerick 1157 3 @ Cork Celtic 1254 2
13 1966-03-20 25.88% @ Limerick 1277 2 Bohemian 1390 0
14 1965-12-19 26.71% @ Waterford 1213 3 Sligo Rovers 1319 1
15 1965-11-28 27.26% @ Drumconda 1310 3 Bohemian 1411 1
16 1966-02-06 27.63% Shelbourne 1232 2 @ Sligo Rovers 1314 1
17 1966-04-03 28.98% @ Cork Hibernians 1148 3 Dundalk 1234 0
18 1965-11-07 29.23% Waterford 1196 6 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1264 2
19 1966-04-10 29.46% @ Dundalk 1180 2 Sligo Rovers 1263 0
20 1966-03-27 30.01% Dundalk 1216 2 @ Drumconda 1278 1
21 1965-11-14 30.47% St Patrick's Athletic 1215 3 @ Cork Hibernians 1273 0
22 1966-01-30 30.64% Waterford 1358 1 @ Bohemian 1416 0
23 1965-11-07 30.66% @ Drogheda United 1218 2 Cork Hibernians 1292 1
24 1966-04-17 31.01% Dundalk 1217 1 @ Limerick 1272 0
25 1966-01-02 31.39% Sligo Rovers 1295 1 @ Drumconda 1346 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1965-12-05 59.73 @ Shelbourne 5 1269 47.48% Cork Celtic 0 1219 31.67% 20.85%
2 1966-04-03 54.24 @ Cork Hibernians 3 1148 28.98% Dundalk 0 1234 50.21% 20.81%
3 1965-12-12 53.44 @ Shamrock Rovers 7 1404 50.83% Shelbourne 1 1328 28.36% 20.81%
4 1965-11-14 52.78 St Patrick's Athletic 3 1215 30.47% @ Cork Hibernians 0 1273 48.70% 20.84%
5 1965-12-05 51.60 Limerick 3 1150 31.69% @ Drogheda United 0 1199 47.46% 20.85%
6 1965-11-21 50.79 @ Bohemian 6 1360 58.08% Cork Hibernians 0 1221 21.28% 20.64%
7 1965-11-07 49.87 Waterford 6 1196 29.23% @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1264 49.95% 20.82%
8 1965-11-14 48.25 Bohemian 4 1312 47.66% @ Waterford 0 1246 31.50% 20.84%
9 1966-01-16 46.05 St Patrick's Athletic 2 1255 17.02% @ Bohemian 0 1442 62.52% 20.46%
10 1966-03-20 44.75 Cork Hibernians 6 1081 17.64% @ Dundalk 3 1261 61.87% 20.49%
11 1966-01-23 41.37 @ Waterford 3 1317 42.89% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1301 36.23% 20.88%
12 1966-01-16 39.78 Cork Celtic 3 1141 17.17% @ Drumconda 1 1325 62.37% 20.46%
13 1966-03-20 39.48 @ Limerick 2 1277 25.88% Bohemian 0 1390 53.37% 20.75%
14 1966-04-10 37.02 @ Dundalk 2 1180 29.46% Sligo Rovers 0 1263 49.72% 20.82%
15 1966-04-22 34.26 @ Shelbourne 2 1329 33.65% Bohemian 0 1380 45.49% 20.86%
16 1966-01-23 33.99 @ Dundalk 4 1204 44.05% Cork Celtic 1 1180 35.08% 20.88%
17 1966-01-17 33.94 Limerick 2 1206 34.13% @ Dundalk 0 1237 45.00% 20.87%
18 1965-12-19 33.69 @ Waterford 3 1213 26.71% Sligo Rovers 1 1319 52.52% 20.77%
19 1965-11-28 33.36 @ Drumconda 3 1310 27.26% Bohemian 1 1411 51.96% 20.78%
20 1965-11-14 32.13 @ Dundalk 2 1266 36.99% Shelbourne 0 1292 42.13% 20.88%
21 1965-12-19 31.88 Shamrock Rovers 3 1458 52.87% @ Drumconda 0 1349 26.37% 20.76%
22 1966-04-14 30.97 Cork Hibernians 4 1199 25.17% @ Limerick 2 1303 54.09% 20.75%
23 1966-01-16 30.64 Shelbourne 3 1217 54.11% @ Cork Hibernians 0 1098 25.16% 20.73%
24 1966-02-06 29.92 @ Dundalk 4 1238 61.53% Drogheda United 0 1063 17.96% 20.50%
25 1965-12-26 28.89 Drumconda 2 1317 42.23% @ Dundalk 0 1291 36.89% 20.88%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1966-02-20 65.8 @ St Patrick's Athletic 4 1241 36.84% Dundalk 4 1268 42.28% 20.88%
2 1965-12-05 63.6 @ Waterford 3 1189 21.37% Drumconda 3 1344 58.01% 20.62%
3 1966-01-30 63.4 @ Cork Celtic 3 1146 19.91% Sligo Rovers 3 1316 59.52% 20.57%
4 1965-11-07 63.3 @ Limerick 3 1172 27.91% Sligo Rovers 3 1267 51.30% 20.79%
5 1966-01-23 63.0 Bohemian 3 1396 22.00% @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1528 57.34% 20.66%
6 1966-02-06 59.9 @ Cork Hibernians 3 1074 9.29% Bohemian 2 1397 70.97% 19.74%
7 1966-01-09 59.4 @ Limerick 2 1204 24.68% Drumconda 2 1327 54.60% 20.72%
8 1965-12-12 59.0 @ Limerick 2 1202 39.78% St Patrick's Athletic 2 1208 39.34% 20.89%
9 1966-03-27 57.1 @ Waterford 1 1460 58.48% Limerick 1 1317 20.90% 20.63%
10 1966-01-30 56.8 @ Limerick 1 1242 12.40% Shamrock Rovers 1 1508 67.50% 20.10%
11 1966-03-13 56.8 @ Shelbourne 1 1270 15.93% Shamrock Rovers 1 1486 63.70% 20.37%
12 1966-04-10 56.8 @ Waterford 1 1457 59.55% Shelbourne 1 1302 19.86% 20.59%
13 1966-04-10 56.7 St Patrick's Athletic 2 1200 9.27% @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1506 70.95% 19.77%
14 1965-12-12 56.0 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1317 29.32% Bohemian 1 1401 49.87% 20.81%
15 1966-02-20 55.3 @ Cork Celtic 1 1138 8.37% Shamrock Rovers 1 1481 72.04% 19.59%
16 1965-11-21 54.8 Limerick 3 1157 25.84% @ Cork Celtic 2 1254 53.39% 20.76%
17 1965-11-07 54.4 @ Cork Celtic 1 1253 38.86% Dundalk 1 1266 40.26% 20.89%
18 1965-11-14 54.4 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1266 42.50% Cork Celtic 1 1253 36.62% 20.88%
19 1966-04-06 54.4 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1263 41.09% Drumconda 1 1260 38.02% 20.89%
20 1966-02-20 54.3 @ Shelbourne 1 1251 39.76% Limerick 1 1258 39.35% 20.89%
21 1965-12-19 54.2 @ Drogheda United 1 1134 22.83% Shelbourne 1 1275 56.50% 20.67%
22 1966-01-20 54.2 @ Shelbourne 1 1247 46.80% Dundalk 1 1203 32.35% 20.86%
23 1966-02-27 54.1 @ Limerick 1 1258 65.64% Drogheda United 1 1033 14.09% 20.27%
24 1966-04-17 54.1 @ Cork Celtic 1 1104 19.51% Drumconda 1 1278 59.94% 20.55%
25 1966-04-10 54.0 @ Cork Hibernians 1 1202 53.33% Cork Celtic 1 1105 25.91% 20.76%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1965-12-26 24.7 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1490 73.24% Drogheda United 0 1138 7.32% 19.44%
2 1966-04-15 26.3 Shamrock Rovers 2 1480 77.68% @ Drogheda United 0 995 3.95% 18.38%
3 1966-02-06 27.2 @ Dundalk 4 1238 61.53% Drogheda United 0 1063 17.96% 20.50%
4 1966-02-27 27.7 @ Shamrock Rovers 6 1475 74.27% Cork Hibernians 1 1099 6.47% 19.25%
5 1966-01-09 28.4 Bohemian 2 1433 71.33% @ Drogheda United 0 1105 8.98% 19.69%
6 1966-03-17 28.4 @ Waterford 5 1440 73.01% Cork Hibernians 1 1092 7.51% 19.48%
7 1966-04-10 29.5 @ Bohemian 4 1363 73.23% Drogheda United 1 1011 7.32% 19.44%
8 1966-03-27 29.7 @ Bohemian 2 1350 66.23% Cork Celtic 0 1118 13.54% 20.23%
9 1965-11-21 30.2 @ Bohemian 6 1360 58.08% Cork Hibernians 0 1221 21.28% 20.64%
10 1966-01-16 30.4 Shelbourne 3 1217 54.11% @ Cork Hibernians 0 1098 25.16% 20.73%
11 1965-12-05 30.7 Shamrock Rovers 2 1390 64.05% @ Cork Hibernians 0 1170 15.60% 20.35%
12 1966-04-17 31.4 Waterford 3 1457 77.07% @ Drogheda United 1 992 4.37% 18.56%
13 1966-03-13 31.6 @ Waterford 3 1411 56.20% Dundalk 0 1289 23.11% 20.70%
14 1965-11-14 31.9 Bohemian 4 1312 47.66% @ Waterford 0 1246 31.50% 20.84%
15 1965-12-05 32.1 @ Shelbourne 5 1269 47.48% Cork Celtic 0 1219 31.67% 20.85%
16 1966-04-13 32.1 Waterford 1 1453 72.19% @ Cork Celtic 0 1108 8.24% 19.57%
17 1966-01-02 32.5 Shamrock Rovers 2 1503 65.66% @ Dundalk 0 1262 14.09% 20.24%
18 1966-01-02 32.7 @ Bohemian 2 1417 60.45% Shelbourne 0 1253 19.00% 20.55%
19 1966-01-02 32.7 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1241 55.60% Drogheda United 0 1125 23.69% 20.71%
20 1965-12-19 34.5 Shamrock Rovers 3 1458 52.87% @ Drumconda 0 1349 26.37% 20.76%
21 1966-03-20 34.5 @ Shamrock Rovers 5 1482 61.86% Drumconda 1 1303 17.66% 20.49%
22 1966-04-17 34.6 @ Shelbourne 2 1306 50.82% Cork Hibernians 0 1230 28.37% 20.81%
23 1966-01-23 34.7 @ Waterford 3 1317 42.89% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1301 36.23% 20.88%
24 1965-11-28 35.1 Shelbourne 2 1243 47.84% @ Limerick 0 1175 31.32% 20.84%
25 1966-01-16 35.1 @ Waterford 3 1305 64.39% Drogheda United 1 1096 15.25% 20.35%