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1966-67 League of Ireland Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Dundalk

34 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Dundalk

7.78 points above expected

34 points · 26.22 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Shelbourne

10.05 points below expected

11 points · 21.05 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Dundalk 22 15 4 3 34 54 19 +35 26.22 +7.78
2 Bohemian 22 12 3 7 27 45 27 +18 25.14 +1.86
3 Sligo Rovers 22 11 5 6 27 37 29 +8 23.17 +3.83
4 Limerick 22 9 6 7 24 31 29 +2 22.60 +1.40
5 Waterford 22 11 1 10 23 53 48 +5 24.94 -1.94
6 St Patrick's Athletic 22 8 5 9 21 49 51 -2 21.06 -0.06
7 Shamrock Rovers 22 8 4 10 20 31 31 0 27.17 -7.17
8 Drumconda 22 6 8 8 20 35 38 -3 21.88 -1.88
9 Cork Hibernians 22 7 5 10 19 31 39 -8 19.41 -0.41
10 Drogheda United 22 7 5 10 19 31 42 -11 15.31 +3.69
11 Cork Celtic 22 8 3 11 19 30 52 -22 16.05 +2.95
12 Shelbourne 22 4 3 15 11 32 54 -22 21.05 -10.05

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dundalk 34 26.22 +7.78
2 Sligo Rovers 27 23.17 +3.83
3 Drogheda United 19 15.31 +3.69
4 Cork Celtic 19 16.05 +2.95
5 Bohemian 27 25.14 +1.86

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Shelbourne 11 21.05 -10.05
2 Shamrock Rovers 20 27.17 -7.17
3 Waterford 23 24.94 -1.94
4 Drumconda 20 21.88 -1.88
5 Cork Hibernians 19 19.41 -0.41

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundalk 6 Nov 6 – Dec 11 1 in 191
2 Cork Celtic 3 Jan 1 – Jan 15 1 in 64
3 St Patrick's Athletic 3 Jan 8 – Jan 22 1 in 36
4 Cork Hibernians 3 Jan 15 – Jan 29 1 in 29
5 Waterford 4 Jan 29 – Feb 26 1 in 27

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shamrock Rovers 4 Jan 29 – Feb 26 1 in 415
2 St Patrick's Athletic 4 Mar 12 – Mar 26 1 in 141
3 Waterford 4 Dec 11 – Jan 1 1 in 135
4 Limerick 4 Mar 26 – Apr 16 1 in 64
5 Shelbourne 4 Dec 26 – Jan 15 1 in 53

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St Patrick's Athletic 7 Dec 11 – Jan 22 1 in 45
2 Limerick 8 Nov 20 – Jan 8 1 in 44
3 Dundalk 8 Nov 6 – Dec 26 1 in 31
4 Bohemian 8 Feb 5 – Apr 3 1 in 25
5 Sligo Rovers 7 Dec 18 – Jan 29 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shamrock Rovers 6 Jan 29 – Mar 17 1 in 127
2 Drumconda 7 Dec 18 – Jan 29 1 in 35
3 St Patrick's Athletic 5 Mar 12 – Apr 9 1 in 22
4 Shelbourne 6 Dec 26 – Jan 29 1 in 20
5 Waterford 4 Dec 11 – Jan 1 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Dundalk 1450 34 +27 8 6.6 +1.4
Sligo Rovers 1327 27 -4 5 4.6 +0.4
Bohemian 1401 27 -7 5 7.0 -2.0
Limerick 1315 24 -47 1 4.9 -3.9
Waterford 1379 23 +20 8 6.2 +1.8
St Patrick's Athletic 1281 21 -37 3 5.2 -2.2
Drumconda 1312 20 +15 6 4.7 +1.3
Shamrock Rovers 1360 20 +5 5 5.6 -0.6
Cork Hibernians 1257 19 +2 6 4.4 +1.6
Drogheda United 1208 19 +31 6 3.1 +2.9
Cork Celtic 1223 19 +13 5 3.4 +1.6
Shelbourne 1237 11 -19 2 4.3 -2.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOH CC CH DU DRU DUN LIM SR SHE SR SPA WAT
Bohemian —
2-0-0
4.11
2-0-0
3.41
1-0-1
4.14
1-1-0
3.06
1-0-1
2.48
0-1-1
3.10
1-0-1
2.81
2-0-0
3.44
2-0-0
2.88
0-0-2
3.57
0-1-1
2.79
Cork Celtic
0-0-2
1.49
 —
1-1-0
2.44
1-0-1
2.83
1-0-1
1.97
0-0-2
1.87
0-0-2
1.97
1-1-0
1.36
1-0-1
2.10
0-1-1
1.86
1-0-1
2.06
2-0-0
1.45
Cork Hibernians
0-0-2
2.17
0-1-1
3.14
 —
1-0-1
3.24
0-1-1
2.45
0-2-0
1.72
1-0-1
2.04
1-1-0
1.76
2-0-0
2.62
0-0-2
2.29
1-0-1
2.48
1-0-1
2.00
Drogheda United
1-0-1
1.46
1-0-1
2.75
1-0-1
2.35
 —
0-1-1
2.04
0-0-2
1.50
0-2-0
1.72
1-0-1
1.37
1-0-1
2.18
0-1-1
1.68
1-1-0
2.04
1-0-1
1.76
Drumconda
0-1-1
2.52
1-0-1
3.62
1-1-0
3.14
1-1-0
3.55
 —
0-0-2
2.07
1-1-0
2.51
0-0-2
2.26
0-2-0
2.70
1-1-0
2.41
1-1-0
2.89
0-0-2
2.38
Dundalk
1-0-1
3.11
2-0-0
3.72
0-2-0
3.88
2-0-0
4.10
2-0-0
3.52
 —
2-0-0
3.36
1-0-1
2.84
2-0-0
3.07
0-1-1
3.37
1-1-0
3.43
2-0-0
2.89
Limerick
1-1-0
2.48
2-0-0
3.62
1-0-1
3.55
0-2-0
3.87
0-1-1
3.07
0-0-2
2.23
 —
1-0-1
1.99
2-0-0
2.96
0-1-1
2.62
1-1-0
3.07
1-0-1
2.59
Shamrock Rovers
1-0-1
2.77
0-1-1
4.25
0-1-1
3.83
1-0-1
4.23
2-0-0
3.33
1-0-1
2.74
1-0-1
3.59
 —
1-1-0
3.54
0-0-2
3.17
0-1-1
3.73
1-0-1
3.26
Shelbourne
0-0-2
2.15
1-0-1
3.49
0-0-2
2.97
1-0-1
3.41
0-2-0
2.88
0-0-2
2.52
0-0-2
2.63
0-1-1
2.05
 —
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
2.85
0-0-2
2.28
Sligo Rovers
0-0-2
2.70
1-1-0
3.73
2-0-0
3.30
1-1-0
3.91
0-1-1
3.17
1-1-0
2.21
1-1-0
2.96
2-0-0
2.42
1-0-1
3.20
 —
1-0-1
3.27
1-0-1
2.55
St Patrick's Athletic
2-0-0
2.02
1-0-1
3.53
1-0-1
3.11
0-1-1
3.55
0-1-1
2.69
0-1-1
2.16
0-1-1
2.51
1-1-0
1.86
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
2.32
 —
1-0-1
2.44
Waterford
1-1-0
2.79
0-0-2
4.15
1-0-1
3.59
1-0-1
3.84
2-0-0
3.20
0-0-2
2.69
1-0-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.33
2-0-0
3.30
1-0-1
3.04
1-0-1
3.15
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.39 +3.8
Allowed 0.63 -4.0
Differential 0.87 +3.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.79%3.41%6.82%0.38%1.14%21.59%
13.79%5.30%8.71%4.92%1.89%1.14%25.76%
23.41%8.71%8.33%2.65%2.27%—25.38%
36.82%4.92%2.65%—1.89%0.38%16.67%
40.38%1.89%2.27%1.89%—0.76%7.20%
5+1.14%1.14%—0.38%0.76%—3.41%
Total21.59%25.76%25.38%16.67%7.20%3.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.74 1.74 +0.00
SD 1.39 1.39 2.04
CV 0.80 0.80 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
19.09%—4.55%———13.64%
2—13.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
313.64%4.55%————18.18%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total31.82%31.82%22.73%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 1.23 +0.82
SD 1.73 1.15 2.26
CV 0.85 0.94 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%——9.09%4.55%9.09%36.36%
1——4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%18.18%
29.09%9.09%——9.09%—27.27%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
4——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
5+———————
Total27.27%9.09%13.64%18.18%18.18%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 2.36 -1.00
SD 1.33 1.92 2.54
CV 0.97 0.81 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%—9.09%——31.82%
14.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
2—13.64%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
3——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
4——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
5+———————
Total18.18%27.27%22.73%22.73%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.77 -0.36
SD 1.30 1.27 1.40
CV 0.92 0.72 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%9.09%——22.73%
19.09%9.09%9.09%9.09%—4.55%40.91%
2—9.09%13.64%———22.73%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total9.09%31.82%31.82%22.73%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.91 -0.50
SD 1.30 1.31 1.97
CV 0.92 0.68 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
1—13.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
24.55%9.09%18.18%—4.55%—36.36%
39.09%4.55%——4.55%—18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%27.27%31.82%9.09%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.73 -0.14
SD 0.96 1.28 1.70
CV 0.60 0.74 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%——4.55%——13.64%
1—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
29.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
318.18%13.64%4.55%———36.36%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+9.09%—————9.09%
Total45.45%27.27%22.73%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.45 0.86 +1.59
SD 1.57 0.94 2.04
CV 0.64 1.09 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
113.64%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—31.82%
24.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+———————
Total31.82%22.73%31.82%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.32 +0.09
SD 1.26 1.17 1.72
CV 0.89 0.89 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
1—9.09%18.18%4.55%——31.82%
29.09%13.64%4.55%—4.55%—31.82%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%40.91%27.27%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.41 +0.00
SD 1.10 1.05 1.69
CV 0.78 0.75 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—4.55%—4.55%13.64%
1—4.55%18.18%22.73%4.55%—50.00%
24.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
39.09%————4.55%13.64%
4—————4.55%4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%13.64%27.27%27.27%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 2.45 -1.00
SD 1.06 1.71 2.07
CV 0.73 0.70 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%—9.09%——27.27%
1—4.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%18.18%
2—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
313.64%13.64%4.55%———31.82%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%40.91%13.64%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.32 +0.36
SD 1.32 1.29 2.06
CV 0.79 0.98 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%9.09%——13.64%
14.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
2—4.55%18.18%4.55%——27.27%
3—4.55%4.55%—9.09%—18.18%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+—4.55%—4.55%4.55%—13.64%
Total4.55%18.18%31.82%31.82%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 2.32 -0.09
SD 1.66 1.09 1.80
CV 0.75 0.47 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%9.09%——13.64%
14.55%—9.09%———13.64%
2—4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%—22.73%
39.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
4—9.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
5+————4.55%—4.55%
Total13.64%18.18%27.27%22.73%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.41 2.18 +0.23
SD 1.47 1.40 1.95
CV 0.61 0.64 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Dundalk 1450 34 26.22 +7.78 100.0% 18 20 24 27 28 32 33
Bohemian 1401 27 25.14 +1.86 73.0% 15 17 23 25 28 31 33
Waterford 1379 23 24.94 -1.94 35.0% 16 19 23 25 27 31 33
Shamrock Rovers 1360 20 27.17 -7.17 4.0% 16 21 24 27 30 34 37
Sligo Rovers 1327 27 23.17 +3.83 86.0% 16 16 20 23 26 30 33
Limerick 1315 24 22.60 +1.40 66.0% 13 14 20 23 26 30 34
Drumconda 1312 20 21.88 -1.88 39.0% 8 15 19 22 25 29 31
St Patrick's Athletic 1281 21 21.06 -0.06 59.0% 13 16 18 21 23 28 33
Cork Hibernians 1257 19 19.41 -0.41 48.0% 10 12 17 20 22 26 28
Shelbourne 1237 11 21.05 -10.05 2.0% 10 14 18 21 24 28 32
Cork Celtic 1223 19 16.05 +2.95 81.0% 7 10 13 15 18 24 28
Drogheda United 1208 19 15.31 +3.69 87.0% 7 8 13 15 17 22 25

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.12%
Slight Edge
46.21%19.70%34.09%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 42.32 Elo pts.
186 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.43 goals
Neutral
-2+0.23+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.5
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
22%
Dundalk, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.32/gm
Runaway
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.19 * Some Luck: 3.19 to 4.78 * Lucky: 4.78 to 6.37 * Wild Swing: 6.37 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.74 * Close: 1.74 to 2.61 * Off: 2.61 to 3.48 * Way Off: 3.48 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.68 points
Some Luck
03.9810
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.83
Close
02.175
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Dundalk
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
2.00%
Shelbourne
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Balanced
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 75.24
1.35
Coin-Flip Parity
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
66%
Even
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
80%
Even
50%82%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Some Drama
0%54%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Frequent
0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.30
Very Even
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.49
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.19
Weak Carryover
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
33%
Very Upset-Prone
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
32%
Very Shaky
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.54
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.33
Overconfident
0.1246841.001.87532
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.093
Well Within Noise
00.1380.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Dundalk22.00%25.00%18.00%9.00%8.00%7.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%——
Bohemian15.00%17.00%13.00%16.00%12.00%12.00%2.00%6.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%—
Sligo Rovers4.00%10.00%10.00%11.00%12.00%11.00%13.00%12.00%7.00%4.00%6.00%—
Limerick5.00%7.00%9.00%10.00%10.00%13.00%11.00%10.00%12.00%4.00%7.00%2.00%
Waterford10.00%13.00%15.00%13.00%17.00%8.00%14.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%——
St Patrick's Athletic4.00%4.00%2.00%5.00%9.00%11.00%12.00%10.00%16.00%20.00%5.00%2.00%
Shamrock Rovers30.00%18.00%13.00%13.00%8.00%7.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%—
Drumconda6.00%3.00%9.00%9.00%7.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%13.00%16.00%4.00%3.00%
Cork Hibernians—1.00%5.00%7.00%4.00%3.00%9.00%20.00%15.00%9.00%17.00%10.00%
Drogheda United———2.00%2.00%—3.00%7.00%6.00%15.00%27.00%38.00%
Cork Celtic——2.00%2.00%4.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%5.00%14.00%25.00%40.00%
Shelbourne4.00%2.00%4.00%3.00%7.00%16.00%14.00%11.00%15.00%12.00%7.00%5.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Bohemian 100%
Cork Celtic 100%
Cork Hibernians 100%
Drogheda United 100%
Drumconda 100%
Dundalk 100%
Limerick 100%
Shamrock Rovers 100%
Shelbourne 100%
Sligo Rovers 100%
St Patrick's Athletic 100%
Waterford 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1966-11-06 Drogheda United L 0-146.6 1287 1204 58.08% 20.50% 21.42%+0.68 -11.0 0
1966-11-06 @ Cork Hibernians W 1-046.6 1204 1287 21.42% 20.50% 58.08%-0.68 +11.0 2
1966-11-06 Cork Celtic W 5-030.1 1298 1249 54.29% 20.68% 25.03%+0.49 +23.8 2
1966-11-06 @ Dundalk L 0-530.1 1249 1298 25.03% 20.68% 54.29%-0.49 -23.8 0
1966-11-06 Shelbourne D 1-154.8 1316 1354 43.17% 20.89% 35.94%+0.02 -0.3 1
1966-11-06 @ Drumconda D 1-154.8 1354 1316 35.94% 20.89% 43.17%-0.02 +0.3 1
1966-11-06 Limerick W 4-138.1 1301 1308 47.34% 20.86% 31.80%+0.19 +15.2 2
1966-11-06 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-438.1 1308 1301 31.80% 20.86% 47.34%-0.19 -15.2 0
1966-11-06 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-246.0 1388 1292 59.45% 20.42% 20.13%+0.75 +4.0 2
1966-11-06 @ Waterford L 2-346.0 1292 1388 20.13% 20.42% 59.45%-0.75 -4.0 0
1966-11-13 Waterford D 2-260.9 1347 1392 42.10% 20.89% 37.01%-0.02 -0.2 1
1966-11-13 @ Bohemian D 2-260.9 1392 1347 37.01% 20.89% 42.10%+0.02 +0.2 3
1966-11-13 Sligo Rovers D 0-050.4 1225 1316 35.72% 20.83% 43.45%-0.26 +0.4 1
1966-11-13 @ Cork Celtic D 0-050.4 1316 1225 43.45% 20.83% 35.72%+0.26 -0.4 3
1966-11-13 Drumconda L 0-333.3 1215 1316 34.36% 20.80% 44.83%-0.31 -19.2 2
1966-11-13 @ Drogheda United W 3-033.3 1316 1215 44.83% 20.80% 34.36%+0.31 +19.2 3
1966-11-13 Shamrock Rovers L 0-236.8 1293 1406 32.69% 20.76% 46.55%-0.38 -12.7 0
1966-11-13 @ Limerick W 2-036.8 1406 1293 46.55% 20.76% 32.69%+0.38 +12.7 2
1966-11-13 Dundalk L 1-347.5 1354 1322 52.33% 20.75% 26.92%+0.40 -16.3 1
1966-11-13 @ Shelbourne W 3-147.5 1322 1354 26.92% 20.75% 52.33%-0.40 +16.3 4
1966-11-14 Cork Hibernians W 4-351.5 1288 1276 49.72% 20.82% 29.46%+0.29 +5.4 2
1966-11-14 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 3-451.5 1276 1288 29.46% 20.82% 49.72%-0.29 -5.4 0
1966-11-20 Bohemian L 0-141.3 1271 1347 37.81% 20.86% 41.33%-0.18 -7.6 0
1966-11-20 @ Cork Hibernians W 1-041.3 1347 1271 41.33% 20.86% 37.81%+0.18 +7.6 3
1966-11-20 Drogheda United W 3-027.6 1338 1196 63.72% 20.07% 16.21%+0.99 +10.1 6
1966-11-20 @ Dundalk L 0-327.6 1196 1338 16.21% 20.07% 63.72%-0.99 -10.1 2
1966-11-20 St Patrick's Athletic D 2-259.6 1335 1293 53.46% 20.71% 25.83%+0.45 -0.9 4
1966-11-20 @ Drumconda D 2-259.6 1293 1335 25.83% 20.71% 53.46%-0.45 +0.9 3
1966-11-20 Cork Celtic W 4-029.3 1280 1226 54.92% 20.66% 24.42%+0.52 +18.9 2
1966-11-20 @ Limerick L 0-429.3 1226 1280 24.42% 20.66% 54.92%-0.52 -18.9 1
1966-11-20 Waterford W 2-145.5 1419 1392 51.60% 20.77% 27.63%+0.37 +5.5 4
1966-11-20 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-245.5 1392 1419 27.63% 20.77% 51.60%-0.37 -5.5 3
1966-11-20 Shelbourne W 3-141.7 1316 1338 45.33% 20.88% 33.79%+0.11 +11.3 5
1966-11-20 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-341.7 1338 1316 33.79% 20.88% 45.33%-0.11 -11.3 1
1966-11-27 Drumconda W 2-143.6 1354 1334 50.85% 20.79% 28.36%+0.34 +5.6 5
1966-11-27 @ Bohemian L 1-243.6 1334 1354 28.36% 20.79% 50.85%-0.34 -5.7 4
1966-11-27 Shamrock Rovers D 0-051.2 1207 1424 20.83% 20.15% 59.02%-0.94 +1.9 2
1966-11-27 @ Cork Celtic D 0-051.2 1424 1207 59.02% 20.15% 20.83%+0.94 -1.9 5
1966-11-27 Sligo Rovers D 2-259.0 1186 1327 29.14% 20.65% 50.21%-0.53 +0.7 3
1966-11-27 @ Drogheda United D 2-259.0 1327 1186 50.21% 20.65% 29.14%+0.53 -0.7 6
1966-11-27 Limerick L 1-346.8 1327 1299 51.75% 20.77% 27.48%+0.38 -16.1 1
1966-11-27 @ Shelbourne W 3-146.8 1299 1327 27.48% 20.77% 51.75%-0.38 +16.1 4
1966-11-27 Dundalk L 1-343.8 1294 1348 40.87% 20.88% 38.24%-0.06 -13.2 3
1966-11-27 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-143.8 1348 1294 38.24% 20.88% 40.87%+0.06 +13.2 8
1966-11-27 Cork Hibernians L 2-358.2 1387 1263 62.04% 20.23% 17.73%+0.89 -10.5 3
1966-11-27 @ Waterford W 3-258.2 1263 1387 17.73% 20.23% 62.04%-0.89 +10.5 2
1966-12-04 Shelbourne L 0-333.2 1209 1310 34.22% 20.80% 44.98%-0.32 -19.1 2
1966-12-04 @ Cork Celtic W 3-033.2 1310 1209 44.98% 20.80% 34.22%+0.32 +19.1 3
1966-12-04 Bohemian W 3-033.8 1361 1360 48.46% 20.84% 30.70%+0.23 +17.5 10
1966-12-04 @ Dundalk L 0-333.8 1360 1361 30.70% 20.84% 48.46%-0.23 -17.5 5
1966-12-04 Waterford L 3-456.5 1328 1376 41.73% 20.89% 37.38%-0.03 -7.2 4
1966-12-04 @ Drumconda W 4-356.5 1376 1328 37.38% 20.89% 41.73%+0.03 +7.2 5
1966-12-04 Drogheda United D 2-259.1 1315 1186 62.51% 20.19% 17.30%+0.92 -1.5 5
1966-12-04 @ Limerick D 2-259.1 1186 1315 17.30% 20.19% 62.51%-0.92 +1.5 4
1966-12-04 Cork Hibernians D 1-155.4 1423 1274 64.26% 20.02% 15.72%+1.03 -2.2 6
1966-12-04 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-155.4 1274 1423 15.72% 20.02% 64.26%-1.03 +2.2 3
1966-12-04 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-031.0 1326 1281 53.91% 20.70% 25.40%+0.47 +15.0 8
1966-12-04 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-331.0 1281 1326 25.40% 20.70% 53.91%-0.47 -15.0 3
1966-12-11 Sligo Rovers W 1-039.8 1342 1341 48.40% 20.84% 30.76%+0.23 +6.4 7
1966-12-11 @ Bohemian L 0-139.8 1341 1342 30.76% 20.84% 48.40%-0.23 -6.4 8
1966-12-11 Drumconda L 1-247.0 1276 1321 42.16% 20.89% 36.95%-0.02 -7.8 3
1966-12-11 @ Cork Hibernians W 2-147.0 1321 1276 36.95% 20.89% 42.16%+0.02 +7.8 6
1966-12-11 Cork Celtic W 5-135.5 1188 1189 48.05% 20.85% 31.10%+0.22 +19.3 6
1966-12-11 @ Drogheda United L 1-535.5 1189 1188 31.10% 20.85% 48.05%-0.22 -19.3 2
1966-12-11 Shamrock Rovers L 1-343.6 1330 1420 35.74% 20.83% 43.43%-0.26 -11.8 3
1966-12-11 @ Shelbourne W 3-143.6 1420 1330 43.43% 20.83% 35.74%+0.26 +11.8 8
1966-12-11 Limerick D 2-259.2 1266 1314 41.78% 20.89% 37.33%-0.03 -0.1 4
1966-12-11 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 2-259.2 1314 1266 37.33% 20.89% 41.78%+0.03 +0.1 6
1966-12-11 Dundalk L 2-452.2 1384 1379 48.90% 20.83% 30.27%+0.25 -13.7 5
1966-12-11 @ Waterford W 4-252.2 1379 1384 30.27% 20.83% 48.90%-0.25 +13.7 12
1966-12-18 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-244.2 1170 1266 35.09% 20.82% 44.09%-0.29 -6.7 2
1966-12-18 @ Cork Celtic W 2-144.2 1266 1170 44.09% 20.82% 35.09%+0.29 +6.7 6
1966-12-18 Cork Hibernians D 0-051.4 1392 1268 62.10% 20.22% 17.68%+0.89 -2.2 13
1966-12-18 @ Dundalk D 0-051.4 1268 1392 17.68% 20.22% 62.10%-0.89 +2.2 4
1966-12-18 Bohemian W 1-041.0 1314 1349 43.57% 20.89% 35.54%+0.04 +7.2 8
1966-12-18 @ Limerick L 0-141.0 1349 1314 35.54% 20.89% 43.57%-0.04 -7.2 7
1966-12-18 Drumconda W 4-136.1 1432 1329 60.09% 20.38% 19.54%+0.78 +10.0 10
1966-12-18 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-436.1 1329 1432 19.54% 20.38% 60.09%-0.78 -10.0 6
1966-12-18 Drogheda United W 2-031.1 1318 1207 60.82% 20.32% 18.85%+0.82 +7.9 5
1966-12-18 @ Shelbourne L 0-231.1 1207 1318 18.85% 20.32% 60.82%-0.82 -7.9 6
1966-12-18 Waterford W 3-251.1 1335 1370 43.57% 20.89% 35.55%+0.04 +6.4 10
1966-12-18 @ Sligo Rovers L 2-351.1 1370 1335 35.55% 20.89% 43.57%-0.04 -6.5 5
1966-12-24 Cork Celtic W 6-027.2 1341 1163 66.63% 19.74% 13.63%+1.18 +16.4 9
1966-12-24 @ Bohemian L 0-627.2 1163 1341 13.63% 19.74% 66.63%-1.18 -16.4 2
1966-12-26 Sligo Rovers L 0-335.0 1270 1341 38.50% 20.87% 40.64%-0.15 -21.0 4
1966-12-26 @ Cork Hibernians W 3-035.0 1341 1270 40.64% 20.87% 38.50%+0.15 +21.0 12
1966-12-26 Shamrock Rovers W 1-048.3 1199 1442 18.52% 19.93% 61.55%-1.08 +11.6 8
1966-12-26 @ Drogheda United L 0-148.3 1442 1199 61.55% 19.93% 18.52%+1.08 -11.6 10
1966-12-26 Dundalk L 1-246.9 1319 1390 38.44% 20.87% 40.70%-0.16 -7.2 6
1966-12-26 @ Drumconda W 2-146.9 1390 1319 40.70% 20.87% 38.44%+0.16 +7.2 15
1966-12-26 Shelbourne W 6-345.0 1272 1326 40.99% 20.88% 38.12%-0.06 +14.1 8
1966-12-26 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 3-645.0 1326 1272 38.12% 20.88% 40.99%+0.06 -14.1 5
1966-12-26 Limerick L 1-251.1 1364 1321 53.55% 20.71% 25.74%+0.46 -9.6 5
1966-12-26 @ Waterford W 2-151.1 1321 1364 25.74% 20.71% 53.55%-0.46 +9.6 10
1967-01-01 Waterford W 3-040.1 1147 1354 21.89% 20.24% 57.88%-0.88 +29.9 4
1967-01-01 @ Cork Celtic L 0-340.1 1354 1147 57.88% 20.24% 21.89%+0.88 -29.9 5
1967-01-01 St Patrick's Athletic D 2-258.9 1211 1286 37.82% 20.86% 41.32%-0.18 +0.1 9
1967-01-01 @ Drogheda United D 2-258.9 1286 1211 41.32% 20.86% 37.82%+0.18 -0.1 9
1967-01-01 Cork Hibernians W 3-245.7 1330 1249 57.84% 20.52% 21.64%+0.66 +4.3 12
1967-01-01 @ Limerick L 2-345.7 1249 1330 21.64% 20.52% 57.84%-0.66 -4.2 4
1967-01-01 Dundalk W 2-145.7 1431 1397 52.42% 20.75% 26.84%+0.41 +5.4 12
1967-01-01 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-245.7 1397 1431 26.84% 20.75% 52.42%-0.41 -5.4 15
1967-01-01 Bohemian L 1-344.4 1312 1358 42.00% 20.89% 37.11%-0.02 -13.5 5
1967-01-01 @ Shelbourne W 3-144.4 1358 1312 37.11% 20.89% 42.00%+0.02 +13.5 11
1967-01-01 Drumconda D 0-051.4 1362 1312 54.49% 20.68% 24.83%+0.50 -1.4 13
1967-01-01 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-051.4 1312 1362 24.83% 20.68% 54.49%-0.50 +1.4 7
1967-01-08 Drogheda United W 6-130.5 1371 1211 65.24% 19.91% 14.85%+1.09 +12.4 13
1967-01-08 @ Bohemian L 1-630.5 1211 1371 14.85% 19.91% 65.24%-1.09 -12.4 9
1967-01-08 Cork Celtic L 2-355.6 1245 1177 56.45% 20.59% 22.96%+0.59 -9.6 4
1967-01-08 @ Cork Hibernians W 3-255.6 1177 1245 22.96% 20.59% 56.45%-0.59 +9.6 6
1967-01-08 Sligo Rovers L 1-251.7 1392 1361 52.18% 20.76% 27.07%+0.39 -9.4 15
1967-01-08 @ Dundalk W 2-151.7 1361 1392 27.07% 20.76% 52.18%-0.39 +9.4 15
1967-01-08 Limerick D 1-154.6 1313 1335 45.40% 20.88% 33.72%+0.11 -0.5 8
1967-01-08 @ Drumconda D 1-154.6 1335 1313 33.72% 20.88% 45.40%-0.11 +0.5 13
1967-01-08 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-351.5 1436 1286 64.34% 20.01% 15.65%+1.03 -19.8 12
1967-01-08 @ Shamrock Rovers W 3-151.5 1286 1436 15.65% 20.01% 64.34%-1.03 +19.8 11
1967-01-08 Shelbourne W 5-453.0 1324 1298 51.54% 20.77% 27.69%+0.37 +5.1 7
1967-01-08 @ Waterford L 4-553.0 1298 1324 27.69% 20.77% 51.54%-0.37 -5.1 5
1967-01-15 Drumconda W 4-249.6 1186 1313 31.06% 20.72% 48.23%-0.45 +13.5 8
1967-01-15 @ Cork Celtic L 2-449.6 1313 1186 48.23% 20.72% 31.06%+0.45 -13.5 8
1967-01-15 Waterford W 4-357.1 1198 1329 30.47% 20.70% 48.83%-0.47 +8.2 11
1967-01-15 @ Drogheda United L 3-457.1 1329 1198 48.83% 20.70% 30.47%+0.47 -8.2 7
1967-01-15 Dundalk L 2-353.2 1335 1383 41.83% 20.89% 37.28%-0.03 -7.4 13
1967-01-15 @ Limerick W 3-253.2 1383 1335 37.28% 20.89% 41.83%+0.03 +7.3 17
1967-01-15 Cork Hibernians L 1-250.5 1293 1236 55.27% 20.64% 24.09%+0.54 -9.9 5
1967-01-15 @ Shelbourne W 2-150.5 1236 1293 24.09% 20.64% 55.27%-0.54 +9.9 6
1967-01-15 Shamrock Rovers W 2-147.9 1370 1416 42.07% 20.89% 37.05%-0.02 +7.0 17
1967-01-15 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-247.9 1416 1370 37.05% 20.89% 42.07%+0.02 -7.0 12
1967-01-15 Bohemian W 3-252.7 1306 1384 37.56% 20.86% 41.59%-0.19 +7.3 13
1967-01-15 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 2-352.7 1384 1306 41.59% 20.86% 37.56%+0.19 -7.3 13
1967-01-22 Shamrock Rovers L 0-241.6 1376 1409 43.89% 20.88% 35.22%+0.05 -16.1 13
1967-01-22 @ Bohemian W 2-041.6 1409 1376 35.22% 20.88% 43.89%-0.05 +16.1 14
1967-01-22 Dundalk L 1-435.3 1200 1390 23.61% 20.36% 56.03%-0.79 -11.8 8
1967-01-22 @ Cork Celtic W 4-135.3 1390 1200 56.03% 20.36% 23.61%+0.79 +11.8 19
1967-01-22 Cork Hibernians L 1-246.6 1207 1245 43.04% 20.89% 36.07%+0.02 -7.9 11
1967-01-22 @ Drogheda United W 2-146.6 1245 1207 36.07% 20.89% 43.04%-0.02 +7.9 8
1967-01-22 Sligo Rovers D 0-051.7 1328 1377 41.56% 20.89% 37.56%-0.04 -0.2 14
1967-01-22 @ Limerick D 0-051.7 1377 1328 37.56% 20.89% 41.56%+0.04 +0.2 18
1967-01-22 Drumconda D 2-259.2 1283 1299 46.18% 20.87% 32.95%+0.14 -0.4 6
1967-01-22 @ Shelbourne D 2-259.2 1299 1283 32.95% 20.87% 46.18%-0.14 +0.4 9
1967-01-22 Waterford W 5-454.4 1313 1321 47.30% 20.86% 31.85%+0.19 +5.7 15
1967-01-22 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 4-554.4 1321 1313 31.85% 20.86% 47.30%-0.19 -5.7 7
1967-01-29 St Patrick's Athletic W 4-354.7 1253 1319 39.23% 20.87% 39.89%-0.13 +6.9 10
1967-01-29 @ Cork Hibernians L 3-454.7 1319 1253 39.89% 20.87% 39.23%+0.13 -6.9 15
1967-01-29 Shelbourne W 6-030.0 1402 1283 61.61% 20.26% 18.13%+0.87 +21.3 21
1967-01-29 @ Dundalk L 0-630.0 1283 1402 18.13% 20.26% 61.61%-0.87 -21.3 6
1967-01-29 Drogheda United D 1-153.9 1299 1199 59.86% 20.39% 19.75%+0.77 -1.8 10
1967-01-29 @ Drumconda D 1-153.9 1199 1299 19.75% 20.39% 59.86%-0.77 +1.8 12
1967-01-29 Limerick L 0-149.3 1425 1328 59.52% 20.41% 20.06%+0.75 -11.2 14
1967-01-29 @ Shamrock Rovers W 1-049.3 1328 1425 20.06% 20.41% 59.52%-0.75 +11.2 16
1967-01-29 Cork Celtic W 3-134.4 1378 1188 67.48% 19.63% 12.90%+1.24 +4.8 20
1967-01-29 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-334.4 1188 1378 12.90% 19.63% 67.48%-1.24 -4.9 8
1967-01-29 Bohemian W 4-247.4 1315 1360 42.17% 20.89% 36.94%-0.01 +10.9 9
1967-01-29 @ Waterford L 2-447.4 1360 1315 36.94% 20.89% 42.17%+0.01 -10.8 13
1967-02-05 Cork Hibernians W 2-140.5 1349 1260 58.68% 20.47% 20.85%+0.71 +4.3 15
1967-02-05 @ Bohemian L 1-240.5 1260 1349 20.85% 20.47% 58.68%-0.71 -4.3 10
1967-02-05 Limerick L 2-443.4 1183 1339 27.45% 20.58% 51.98%-0.61 -8.5 8
1967-02-05 @ Cork Celtic W 4-243.4 1339 1183 51.98% 20.58% 27.45%+0.61 +8.5 18
1967-02-05 Dundalk L 1-337.2 1200 1423 20.35% 20.11% 59.54%-0.97 -7.3 12
1967-02-05 @ Drogheda United W 3-137.2 1423 1200 59.54% 20.11% 20.35%+0.97 +7.3 23
1967-02-05 Sligo Rovers W 2-148.9 1261 1382 31.72% 20.74% 47.54%-0.42 +8.6 8
1967-02-05 @ Shelbourne L 1-248.9 1382 1261 47.54% 20.74% 31.72%+0.42 -8.6 20
1967-02-05 Drumconda L 1-249.4 1312 1298 50.13% 20.81% 29.06%+0.31 -9.0 15
1967-02-05 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-149.4 1298 1312 29.06% 20.81% 50.13%-0.31 +9.0 12
1967-02-05 Shamrock Rovers W 3-037.8 1326 1414 36.12% 20.84% 43.04%-0.24 +23.0 11
1967-02-05 @ Waterford L 0-337.8 1414 1326 43.04% 20.84% 36.12%+0.24 -23.0 14
1967-02-19 Waterford L 1-439.1 1256 1349 35.40% 20.82% 43.78%-0.27 -16.6 10
1967-02-19 @ Cork Hibernians W 4-139.1 1349 1256 43.78% 20.82% 35.40%+0.27 +16.6 13
1967-02-19 St Patrick's Athletic D 2-261.0 1430 1303 62.37% 20.20% 17.43%+0.91 -1.5 24
1967-02-19 @ Dundalk D 2-261.0 1303 1430 17.43% 20.20% 62.37%-0.91 +1.5 16
1967-02-19 Bohemian D 2-259.8 1307 1354 41.90% 20.89% 37.22%-0.03 -0.2 13
1967-02-19 @ Drumconda D 2-259.8 1354 1307 37.22% 20.89% 41.90%+0.03 +0.1 16
1967-02-19 Shelbourne W 1-036.5 1347 1270 57.44% 20.54% 22.02%+0.64 +4.8 20
1967-02-19 @ Limerick L 0-136.5 1270 1347 22.02% 20.54% 57.44%-0.64 -4.8 8
1967-02-19 Cork Celtic L 1-254.5 1391 1175 69.37% 19.33% 11.30%+1.39 -12.3 14
1967-02-19 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-154.5 1175 1391 11.30% 19.33% 69.37%-1.39 +12.3 10
1967-02-19 Drogheda United W 3-134.6 1374 1193 66.83% 19.71% 13.46%+1.20 +5.0 22
1967-02-19 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-334.6 1193 1374 13.46% 19.71% 66.83%-1.20 -5.0 12
1967-02-26 Dundalk W 3-038.1 1354 1429 37.92% 20.86% 41.22%-0.18 +22.2 18
1967-02-26 @ Bohemian L 0-338.1 1429 1354 41.22% 20.86% 37.92%+0.18 -22.2 24
1967-02-26 Shamrock Rovers W 4-250.7 1239 1379 29.40% 20.66% 49.94%-0.52 +13.9 12
1967-02-26 @ Cork Hibernians L 2-450.7 1379 1239 49.94% 20.66% 29.40%+0.52 -13.9 14
1967-02-26 Limerick D 1-154.0 1188 1352 26.44% 20.53% 53.03%-0.65 +1.2 13
1967-02-26 @ Drogheda United D 1-154.0 1352 1188 53.03% 20.53% 26.44%+0.65 -1.1 21
1967-02-26 Cork Celtic L 1-250.9 1265 1187 57.52% 20.54% 21.95%+0.65 -10.3 8
1967-02-26 @ Shelbourne W 2-150.9 1187 1265 21.95% 20.54% 57.52%-0.65 +10.3 12
1967-02-26 Sligo Rovers W 5-140.0 1305 1379 38.05% 20.86% 41.09%-0.17 +24.1 18
1967-02-26 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-540.0 1379 1305 41.09% 20.86% 38.05%+0.17 -24.1 22
1967-02-26 Drumconda W 3-138.9 1366 1307 55.44% 20.64% 23.92%+0.54 +8.5 15
1967-02-26 @ Waterford L 1-338.9 1307 1366 23.92% 20.64% 55.44%-0.54 -8.5 13
1967-03-12 Drogheda United W 2-034.2 1197 1189 49.34% 20.82% 29.84%+0.27 +11.8 14
1967-03-12 @ Cork Celtic L 0-234.2 1189 1197 29.84% 20.82% 49.34%-0.27 -11.8 13
1967-03-12 Waterford W 3-033.7 1407 1374 52.36% 20.75% 26.89%+0.40 +15.7 26
1967-03-12 @ Dundalk L 0-333.7 1374 1407 26.89% 20.75% 52.36%-0.40 -15.7 15
1967-03-12 Cork Hibernians D 2-259.1 1298 1253 53.81% 20.70% 25.49%+0.47 -0.9 14
1967-03-12 @ Drumconda D 2-259.1 1253 1298 25.49% 20.70% 53.81%-0.47 +0.9 13
1967-03-12 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-035.2 1351 1329 51.10% 20.78% 28.11%+0.35 +11.2 23
1967-03-12 @ Limerick L 0-235.2 1329 1351 28.11% 20.78% 51.10%-0.35 -11.2 18
1967-03-12 Shelbourne D 2-259.7 1365 1255 60.72% 20.33% 18.95%+0.82 -1.4 15
1967-03-12 @ Shamrock Rovers D 2-259.7 1255 1365 18.95% 20.33% 60.72%-0.82 +1.4 9
1967-03-12 Bohemian L 0-338.4 1355 1376 45.43% 20.88% 33.70%+0.11 -24.1 22
1967-03-12 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-038.4 1376 1355 33.70% 20.88% 45.43%-0.11 +24.1 20
1967-03-17 Cork Celtic W 3-029.1 1297 1209 58.55% 20.48% 20.97%+0.70 +12.7 16
1967-03-17 @ Drumconda L 0-329.1 1209 1297 20.97% 20.48% 58.55%-0.70 -12.7 14
1967-03-17 Bohemian L 1-249.3 1363 1400 43.31% 20.89% 35.80%+0.03 -8.0 15
1967-03-17 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-149.3 1400 1363 35.80% 20.89% 43.31%-0.03 +8.0 22
1967-03-17 Drogheda United L 1-349.5 1318 1177 63.52% 20.09% 16.39%+0.98 -19.6 18
1967-03-17 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-149.5 1177 1318 16.39% 20.09% 63.52%-0.98 +19.6 15
1967-03-19 Limerick D 0-052.8 1408 1362 53.92% 20.70% 25.38%+0.47 -1.4 23
1967-03-19 @ Bohemian D 0-052.8 1362 1408 25.38% 20.70% 53.92%-0.47 +1.4 24
1967-03-19 Dundalk D 0-051.5 1254 1422 25.98% 20.50% 53.51%-0.68 +1.3 14
1967-03-19 @ Cork Hibernians D 0-051.5 1422 1254 53.51% 20.50% 25.98%+0.68 -1.3 27
1967-03-19 Shelbourne W 2-145.4 1197 1256 40.14% 20.88% 38.98%-0.09 +7.3 17
1967-03-19 @ Drogheda United L 1-245.4 1256 1197 38.98% 20.88% 40.14%+0.09 -7.3 9
1967-03-19 Shamrock Rovers L 0-336.6 1310 1355 42.12% 20.89% 37.00%-0.02 -22.6 16
1967-03-19 @ Drumconda W 3-036.6 1355 1310 37.00% 20.89% 42.12%+0.02 +22.6 17
1967-03-19 Cork Celtic L 3-460.2 1298 1197 59.91% 20.39% 19.70%+0.77 -9.9 18
1967-03-19 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 4-360.2 1197 1298 19.70% 20.39% 59.91%-0.77 +9.9 16
1967-03-19 Sligo Rovers W 3-032.4 1358 1331 51.78% 20.77% 27.45%+0.38 +16.0 17
1967-03-19 @ Waterford L 0-332.4 1331 1358 27.45% 20.77% 51.78%-0.38 -16.0 22
1967-03-26 Bohemian L 2-442.3 1206 1407 22.54% 20.29% 57.17%-0.85 -7.2 16
1967-03-26 @ Cork Celtic W 4-242.3 1407 1206 57.17% 20.29% 22.54%+0.85 +7.2 25
1967-03-26 Drumconda W 2-032.0 1421 1287 62.96% 20.14% 16.89%+0.95 +7.2 29
1967-03-26 @ Dundalk L 0-232.0 1287 1421 16.89% 20.14% 62.96%-0.95 -7.2 16
1967-03-26 Waterford L 1-249.9 1364 1374 46.87% 20.86% 32.27%+0.17 -8.5 24
1967-03-26 @ Limerick W 2-149.9 1374 1364 32.27% 20.86% 46.87%-0.17 +8.5 19
1967-03-26 Drogheda United W 2-138.1 1378 1204 66.29% 19.78% 13.93%+1.16 +3.0 19
1967-03-26 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-238.1 1204 1378 13.93% 19.78% 66.29%-1.16 -3.0 17
1967-03-26 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-033.9 1249 1288 43.02% 20.89% 36.10%+0.02 +20.0 11
1967-03-26 @ Shelbourne L 0-333.9 1288 1249 36.10% 20.89% 43.02%-0.02 -20.0 18
1967-03-26 Cork Hibernians W 3-030.3 1315 1255 55.44% 20.64% 23.92%+0.54 +14.2 24
1967-03-26 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-330.3 1255 1315 23.92% 20.64% 55.44%-0.54 -14.2 14
1967-03-31 Sligo Rovers W 3-142.5 1280 1329 41.66% 20.89% 37.46%-0.03 +12.3 18
1967-03-31 @ Drumconda L 1-342.5 1329 1280 37.46% 20.89% 41.66%+0.03 -12.3 24
1967-04-02 Limerick W 1-043.8 1241 1355 32.62% 20.76% 46.61%-0.38 +9.0 16
1967-04-02 @ Cork Hibernians L 0-143.8 1355 1241 46.61% 20.76% 32.62%+0.38 -9.0 24
1967-04-02 Cork Celtic L 0-245.7 1383 1199 67.05% 19.68% 13.26%+1.21 -23.9 19
1967-04-02 @ Waterford W 2-045.7 1199 1383 13.26% 19.68% 67.05%-1.21 +23.9 18
1967-04-03 Shelbourne W 3-028.7 1414 1269 63.93% 20.05% 16.02%+1.01 +10.0 27
1967-04-03 @ Bohemian L 0-328.7 1269 1414 16.02% 20.05% 63.93%-1.01 -10.0 11
1967-04-09 Cork Hibernians D 0-050.1 1223 1250 44.66% 20.88% 34.46%+0.08 -0.5 19
1967-04-09 @ Cork Celtic D 0-050.1 1250 1223 34.46% 20.88% 44.66%-0.08 +0.5 17
1967-04-09 Bohemian W 2-152.1 1201 1424 20.36% 20.11% 59.53%-0.97 +10.6 19
1967-04-09 @ Drogheda United L 1-252.1 1424 1201 59.53% 20.11% 20.36%+0.97 -10.6 27
1967-04-09 Drumconda L 0-242.7 1346 1292 54.85% 20.66% 24.49%+0.52 -19.6 24
1967-04-09 @ Limerick W 2-042.7 1292 1346 24.49% 20.66% 54.85%-0.52 +19.6 20
1967-04-09 Waterford L 1-438.9 1259 1359 34.48% 20.81% 44.71%-0.31 -16.2 11
1967-04-09 @ Shelbourne W 4-138.9 1359 1259 44.71% 20.81% 34.48%+0.31 +16.2 21
1967-04-09 Dundalk D 1-155.9 1317 1428 32.91% 20.77% 46.32%-0.37 +0.6 25
1967-04-09 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-155.9 1428 1317 46.32% 20.77% 32.91%+0.37 -0.6 30
1967-04-09 Shamrock Rovers D 1-154.7 1268 1381 32.77% 20.77% 46.47%-0.38 +0.6 19
1967-04-09 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-154.7 1381 1268 46.47% 20.77% 32.77%+0.38 -0.6 20
1967-04-14 Shamrock Rovers W 2-036.4 1428 1380 54.10% 20.69% 25.21%+0.48 +10.2 32
1967-04-14 @ Dundalk L 0-236.4 1380 1428 25.21% 20.69% 54.10%-0.48 -10.2 20
1967-04-16 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-149.5 1413 1269 63.91% 20.05% 16.04%+1.00 -12.1 27
1967-04-16 @ Bohemian W 1-049.5 1269 1413 16.04% 20.05% 63.91%-1.00 +12.1 21
1967-04-16 Shelbourne W 2-142.8 1251 1243 49.28% 20.83% 29.89%+0.27 +5.9 19
1967-04-16 @ Cork Hibernians L 1-242.8 1243 1251 29.89% 20.83% 49.28%-0.27 -5.9 11
1967-04-16 Limerick W 3-030.8 1438 1327 60.88% 20.32% 18.80%+0.83 +11.5 34
1967-04-16 @ Dundalk L 0-330.8 1327 1438 18.80% 20.32% 60.88%-0.83 -11.5 24
1967-04-16 Sligo Rovers L 1-251.5 1370 1317 54.76% 20.67% 24.58%+0.51 -9.8 20
1967-04-16 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-151.5 1317 1370 24.58% 20.67% 54.76%-0.51 +9.8 27
1967-04-16 Drogheda United W 1-033.8 1375 1212 65.48% 19.88% 14.64%+1.11 +3.3 23
1967-04-16 @ Waterford L 0-133.8 1212 1375 14.64% 19.88% 65.48%-1.11 -3.3 19

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1967-02-19 11.30% Cork Celtic 1175 2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1391 1
2 1967-04-02 13.26% Cork Celtic 1199 2 @ Waterford 1383 0
3 1967-01-08 15.65% St Patrick's Athletic 1286 3 @ Shamrock Rovers 1436 1
4 1967-04-16 16.04% St Patrick's Athletic 1269 1 @ Bohemian 1413 0
5 1967-03-17 16.39% Drogheda United 1177 3 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1318 1
6 1966-11-27 17.73% Cork Hibernians 1263 3 @ Waterford 1387 2
7 1966-12-26 18.52% @ Drogheda United 1199 1 Shamrock Rovers 1442 0
8 1967-03-19 19.70% Cork Celtic 1197 4 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1298 3
9 1967-01-29 20.06% Limerick 1328 1 @ Shamrock Rovers 1425 0
10 1967-04-09 20.36% @ Drogheda United 1201 2 Bohemian 1424 1
11 1966-11-06 21.42% Drogheda United 1204 1 @ Cork Hibernians 1287 0
12 1967-01-01 21.89% @ Cork Celtic 1147 3 Waterford 1354 0
13 1967-02-26 21.95% Cork Celtic 1187 2 @ Shelbourne 1265 1
14 1967-01-08 22.96% Cork Celtic 1177 3 @ Cork Hibernians 1245 2
15 1967-01-15 24.09% Cork Hibernians 1236 2 @ Shelbourne 1293 1
16 1967-04-09 24.49% Drumconda 1292 2 @ Limerick 1346 0
17 1967-04-16 24.58% Sligo Rovers 1317 2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1370 1
18 1966-12-26 25.74% Limerick 1321 2 @ Waterford 1364 1
19 1966-11-13 26.92% Dundalk 1322 3 @ Shelbourne 1354 1
20 1967-01-08 27.07% Sligo Rovers 1361 2 @ Dundalk 1392 1
21 1966-11-27 27.48% Limerick 1299 3 @ Shelbourne 1327 1
22 1967-02-05 29.06% Drumconda 1298 2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1312 1
23 1967-02-26 29.40% @ Cork Hibernians 1239 4 Shamrock Rovers 1379 2
24 1966-12-11 30.27% Dundalk 1379 4 @ Waterford 1384 2
25 1967-01-15 30.47% @ Drogheda United 1198 4 Waterford 1329 3

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1967-01-01 29.91 @ Cork Celtic 3 1147 21.89% Waterford 0 1354 57.88% 20.24%
2 1967-02-26 24.13 @ St Patrick's Athletic 5 1305 38.05% Sligo Rovers 1 1379 41.09% 20.86%
3 1967-03-12 24.09 Bohemian 3 1376 33.70% @ Sligo Rovers 0 1355 45.43% 20.88%
4 1967-04-02 23.86 Cork Celtic 2 1199 13.26% @ Waterford 0 1383 67.05% 19.68%
5 1966-11-06 23.79 @ Dundalk 5 1298 54.29% Cork Celtic 0 1249 25.03% 20.68%
6 1967-02-05 23.01 @ Waterford 3 1326 36.12% Shamrock Rovers 0 1414 43.04% 20.84%
7 1967-03-19 22.61 Shamrock Rovers 3 1355 37.00% @ Drumconda 0 1310 42.12% 20.89%
8 1967-02-26 22.22 @ Bohemian 3 1354 37.92% Dundalk 0 1429 41.22% 20.86%
9 1967-01-29 21.31 @ Dundalk 6 1402 61.61% Shelbourne 0 1283 18.13% 20.26%
10 1966-12-26 21.04 Sligo Rovers 3 1341 40.64% @ Cork Hibernians 0 1270 38.50% 20.87%
11 1967-03-26 19.99 @ Shelbourne 3 1249 43.02% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1288 36.10% 20.89%
12 1967-01-08 19.83 St Patrick's Athletic 3 1286 15.65% @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1436 64.34% 20.01%
13 1967-04-09 19.62 Drumconda 2 1292 24.49% @ Limerick 0 1346 54.85% 20.66%
14 1967-03-17 19.58 Drogheda United 3 1177 16.39% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1318 63.52% 20.09%
15 1966-12-11 19.29 @ Drogheda United 5 1188 48.05% Cork Celtic 1 1189 31.10% 20.85%
16 1966-11-13 19.20 Drumconda 3 1316 44.83% @ Drogheda United 0 1215 34.36% 20.80%
17 1966-12-04 19.13 Shelbourne 3 1310 44.98% @ Cork Celtic 0 1209 34.22% 20.80%
18 1966-11-20 18.90 @ Limerick 4 1280 54.92% Cork Celtic 0 1226 24.42% 20.66%
19 1966-12-04 17.53 @ Dundalk 3 1361 48.46% Bohemian 0 1360 30.70% 20.84%
20 1967-02-19 16.58 Waterford 4 1349 43.78% @ Cork Hibernians 1 1256 35.40% 20.82%
21 1966-12-24 16.39 @ Bohemian 6 1341 66.63% Cork Celtic 0 1163 13.63% 19.74%
22 1966-11-13 16.27 Dundalk 3 1322 26.92% @ Shelbourne 1 1354 52.33% 20.75%
23 1967-04-09 16.24 Waterford 4 1359 44.71% @ Shelbourne 1 1259 34.48% 20.81%
24 1967-01-22 16.12 Shamrock Rovers 2 1409 35.22% @ Bohemian 0 1376 43.89% 20.88%
25 1966-11-27 16.11 Limerick 3 1299 27.48% @ Shelbourne 1 1327 51.75% 20.77%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1967-02-19 61.0 @ Dundalk 2 1430 62.37% St Patrick's Athletic 2 1303 17.43% 20.20%
2 1966-11-13 60.9 @ Bohemian 2 1347 42.10% Waterford 2 1392 37.01% 20.89%
3 1967-03-19 60.2 Cork Celtic 4 1197 19.70% @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1298 59.91% 20.39%
4 1967-02-19 59.8 @ Drumconda 2 1307 41.90% Bohemian 2 1354 37.22% 20.89%
5 1967-03-12 59.7 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1365 60.72% Shelbourne 2 1255 18.95% 20.33%
6 1966-11-20 59.6 @ Drumconda 2 1335 53.46% St Patrick's Athletic 2 1293 25.83% 20.71%
7 1966-12-11 59.2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1266 41.78% Limerick 2 1314 37.33% 20.89%
8 1967-01-22 59.2 @ Shelbourne 2 1283 46.18% Drumconda 2 1299 32.95% 20.87%
9 1966-12-04 59.1 @ Limerick 2 1315 62.51% Drogheda United 2 1186 17.30% 20.19%
10 1967-03-12 59.1 @ Drumconda 2 1298 53.81% Cork Hibernians 2 1253 25.49% 20.70%
11 1966-11-27 59.0 @ Drogheda United 2 1186 29.14% Sligo Rovers 2 1327 50.21% 20.65%
12 1967-01-01 58.9 @ Drogheda United 2 1211 37.82% St Patrick's Athletic 2 1286 41.32% 20.86%
13 1966-11-27 58.2 Cork Hibernians 3 1263 17.73% @ Waterford 2 1387 62.04% 20.23%
14 1967-01-15 57.1 @ Drogheda United 4 1198 30.47% Waterford 3 1329 48.83% 20.70%
15 1966-12-04 56.5 Waterford 4 1376 37.38% @ Drumconda 3 1328 41.73% 20.89%
16 1967-04-09 55.9 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1317 32.91% Dundalk 1 1428 46.32% 20.77%
17 1967-01-08 55.6 Cork Celtic 3 1177 22.96% @ Cork Hibernians 2 1245 56.45% 20.59%
18 1966-12-04 55.4 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1423 64.26% Cork Hibernians 1 1274 15.72% 20.02%
19 1966-11-06 54.8 @ Drumconda 1 1316 43.17% Shelbourne 1 1354 35.94% 20.89%
20 1967-01-29 54.7 @ Cork Hibernians 4 1253 39.23% St Patrick's Athletic 3 1319 39.89% 20.87%
21 1967-04-09 54.7 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1268 32.77% Shamrock Rovers 1 1381 46.47% 20.77%
22 1967-01-08 54.6 @ Drumconda 1 1313 45.40% Limerick 1 1335 33.72% 20.88%
23 1967-02-19 54.5 Cork Celtic 2 1175 11.30% @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1391 69.37% 19.33%
24 1967-01-22 54.4 @ St Patrick's Athletic 5 1313 47.30% Waterford 4 1321 31.85% 20.86%
25 1967-02-26 54.0 @ Drogheda United 1 1188 26.44% Limerick 1 1352 53.03% 20.53%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1966-12-24 27.2 @ Bohemian 6 1341 66.63% Cork Celtic 0 1163 13.63% 19.74%
2 1966-11-20 27.6 @ Dundalk 3 1338 63.72% Drogheda United 0 1196 16.21% 20.07%
3 1967-04-03 28.7 @ Bohemian 3 1414 63.93% Shelbourne 0 1269 16.02% 20.05%
4 1967-03-17 29.1 @ Drumconda 3 1297 58.55% Cork Celtic 0 1209 20.97% 20.48%
5 1966-11-20 29.3 @ Limerick 4 1280 54.92% Cork Celtic 0 1226 24.42% 20.66%
6 1967-01-29 30.0 @ Dundalk 6 1402 61.61% Shelbourne 0 1283 18.13% 20.26%
7 1966-11-06 30.1 @ Dundalk 5 1298 54.29% Cork Celtic 0 1249 25.03% 20.68%
8 1967-03-26 30.3 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1315 55.44% Cork Hibernians 0 1255 23.92% 20.64%
9 1967-01-08 30.5 @ Bohemian 6 1371 65.24% Drogheda United 1 1211 14.85% 19.91%
10 1967-04-16 30.8 @ Dundalk 3 1438 60.88% Limerick 0 1327 18.80% 20.32%
11 1966-12-04 31.0 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1326 53.91% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1281 25.40% 20.70%
12 1966-12-18 31.1 @ Shelbourne 2 1318 60.82% Drogheda United 0 1207 18.85% 20.32%
13 1967-03-26 32.0 @ Dundalk 2 1421 62.96% Drumconda 0 1287 16.89% 20.14%
14 1967-03-19 32.4 @ Waterford 3 1358 51.78% Sligo Rovers 0 1331 27.45% 20.77%
15 1966-12-04 33.2 Shelbourne 3 1310 44.98% @ Cork Celtic 0 1209 34.22% 20.80%
16 1966-11-13 33.3 Drumconda 3 1316 44.83% @ Drogheda United 0 1215 34.36% 20.80%
17 1967-03-12 33.7 @ Dundalk 3 1407 52.36% Waterford 0 1374 26.89% 20.75%
18 1966-12-04 33.8 @ Dundalk 3 1361 48.46% Bohemian 0 1360 30.70% 20.84%
19 1967-04-16 33.8 @ Waterford 1 1375 65.48% Drogheda United 0 1212 14.64% 19.88%
20 1967-03-26 33.9 @ Shelbourne 3 1249 43.02% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1288 36.10% 20.89%
21 1967-03-12 34.2 @ Cork Celtic 2 1197 49.34% Drogheda United 0 1189 29.84% 20.82%
22 1967-01-29 34.4 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1378 67.48% Cork Celtic 1 1188 12.90% 19.63%
23 1967-02-19 34.6 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1374 66.83% Drogheda United 1 1193 13.46% 19.71%
24 1966-12-26 35.0 Sligo Rovers 3 1341 40.64% @ Cork Hibernians 0 1270 38.50% 20.87%
25 1967-03-12 35.2 @ Limerick 2 1351 51.10% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1329 28.11% 20.78%