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1967-68 League of Ireland Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Waterford

34 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Cork Celtic

6.71 points above expected

30 points · 23.29 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Bohemian

10.30 points below expected

8 points · 18.30 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Waterford 22 16 2 4 34 59 18 +41 29.02 +4.98
2 Dundalk 22 14 2 6 30 44 24 +20 26.29 +3.71
3 Cork Celtic 22 12 6 4 30 40 27 +13 23.29 +6.71
4 Shamrock Rovers 22 11 5 6 27 44 26 +18 27.78 -0.78
5 Drogheda United 22 10 6 6 26 33 29 +4 21.85 +4.15
6 Limerick 22 9 2 11 20 35 45 -10 19.58 +0.42
7 Shelbourne 22 8 3 11 19 32 36 -4 20.84 -1.84
8 Drumconda 22 6 7 9 19 31 35 -4 20.81 -1.81
9 St Patrick's Athletic 22 7 4 11 18 29 46 -17 18.91 -0.91
10 Cork Hibernians 22 6 5 11 17 19 28 -9 18.24 -1.24
11 Sligo Rovers 22 6 4 12 16 24 48 -24 19.09 -3.09
12 Bohemian 22 2 4 16 8 20 48 -28 18.30 -10.30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Cork Celtic 30 23.29 +6.71
2 Waterford 34 29.02 +4.98
3 Drogheda United 26 21.85 +4.15
4 Dundalk 30 26.29 +3.71
5 Limerick 20 19.58 +0.42

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Bohemian 8 18.30 -10.30
2 Sligo Rovers 16 19.09 -3.09
3 Shelbourne 19 20.84 -1.84
4 Drumconda 19 20.81 -1.81
5 Cork Hibernians 17 18.24 -1.24

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundalk 10 Dec 3 – Feb 4 1 in 7,200
2 Limerick 4 Feb 18 – Mar 17 1 in 83
3 Waterford 6 Dec 17 – Jan 21 1 in 33
4 Drogheda United 4 Jan 21 – Feb 18 1 in 26
5 Shamrock Rovers 3 Nov 26 – Dec 10 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cork Hibernians 5 Jan 7 – Feb 4 1 in 32
2 Dundalk 3 Nov 12 – Nov 26 1 in 26
3 Sligo Rovers 6 Feb 4 – Mar 24 1 in 23
4 Bohemian 4 Dec 10 – Dec 31 1 in 20
5 Drumconda 3 Dec 3 – Dec 17 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundalk 10 Dec 3 – Feb 4 1 in 109
2 Drogheda United 8 Jan 14 – Mar 15 1 in 60
3 St Patrick's Athletic 4 Mar 17 – Apr 9 1 in 29
4 Limerick 4 Feb 18 – Mar 17 1 in 12
5 Drumconda 4 Mar 24 – Apr 21 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bohemian 17 Dec 10 – Apr 14 1 in 301
2 Drumconda 6 Nov 19 – Dec 24 1 in 27
3 Drogheda United 4 Mar 24 – Apr 14 1 in 10
4 Limerick 4 Dec 3 – Dec 24 1 in 9
5 Dundalk 4 Nov 5 – Nov 26 1 in 8

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Waterford 1485 34 +53 10 7.4 +2.6
Cork Celtic 1347 30 +21 8 6.9 +1.1
Dundalk 1405 30 -3 7 7.5 -0.5
Shamrock Rovers 1378 27 -19 6 7.4 -1.4
Drogheda United 1287 26 -6 5 4.8 +0.2
Limerick 1207 20 -26 2 3.9 -1.9
Drumconda 1222 19 +8 5 4.2 +0.8
Shelbourne 1208 19 -26 3 5.0 -2.0
St Patrick's Athletic 1174 18 +29 6 3.2 +2.8
Cork Hibernians 1169 17 -8 3 3.4 -0.4
Sligo Rovers 1104 16 -3 4 3.6 +0.4
Bohemian 1053 8 -20 1 2.6 -1.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOH CC CH DU DRU DUN LIM SR SHE SR SPA WAT
Bohemian —
0-1-1
1.73
0-0-2
2.71
1-0-1
2.45
0-0-2
2.70
0-0-2
2.11
0-0-2
2.53
0-0-2
1.18
0-0-2
2.59
0-2-0
2.62
1-1-0
2.71
0-0-2
1.25
Cork Celtic
1-1-0
3.88
 —
2-0-0
3.35
1-1-0
3.02
0-1-1
3.48
2-0-0
2.25
1-0-1
3.05
0-0-2
2.42
1-1-0
3.32
2-0-0
3.76
1-1-0
3.17
1-1-0
1.84
Cork Hibernians
2-0-0
2.89
0-0-2
2.25
 —
0-1-1
2.23
1-1-0
2.31
1-0-1
1.40
0-1-1
2.85
0-1-1
1.76
1-0-1
2.67
0-0-2
2.72
1-0-1
2.66
0-1-1
1.90
Drogheda United
1-0-1
3.16
0-1-1
2.58
1-1-0
3.37
 —
0-2-0
3.16
1-0-1
2.29
1-0-1
3.18
1-1-0
1.97
2-0-0
2.79
1-1-0
3.75
2-0-0
2.99
0-0-2
1.98
Drumconda
2-0-0
2.90
1-1-0
2.12
0-1-1
3.30
0-2-0
2.44
 —
0-0-2
2.49
2-0-0
3.08
0-1-1
1.75
0-1-1
2.80
1-1-0
3.14
0-0-2
3.36
0-0-2
1.84
Dundalk
2-0-0
3.51
0-0-2
3.35
1-0-1
4.21
1-0-1
3.30
2-0-0
3.12
 —
2-0-0
3.84
1-1-0
2.84
2-0-0
3.84
1-0-1
3.20
1-1-0
3.57
1-0-1
2.67
Limerick
2-0-0
3.06
1-0-1
2.55
1-1-0
2.75
1-0-1
2.42
0-0-2
2.52
0-0-2
1.76
 —
1-0-1
1.47
1-1-0
2.86
1-0-1
3.25
1-0-1
3.28
0-0-2
1.36
Shamrock Rovers
2-0-0
4.43
2-0-0
3.18
1-1-0
3.85
0-1-1
3.64
1-1-0
3.85
0-1-1
2.76
1-0-1
4.14
 —
0-0-2
3.50
2-0-0
3.36
1-1-0
4.09
1-0-1
2.30
Shelbourne
2-0-0
3.01
0-1-1
2.28
1-0-1
2.93
0-0-2
2.81
1-1-0
2.80
0-0-2
1.76
0-1-1
2.75
2-0-0
2.11
 —
2-0-0
2.89
0-0-2
3.00
0-0-2
2.08
Sligo Rovers
0-2-0
2.98
0-0-2
1.84
2-0-0
2.87
0-1-1
1.85
0-1-1
2.47
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.35
0-0-2
2.24
0-0-2
2.71
 —
1-0-1
2.72
1-0-1
1.65
St Patrick's Athletic
0-1-1
2.89
0-1-1
2.43
1-0-1
2.94
0-0-2
2.61
2-0-0
2.24
0-1-1
2.04
1-0-1
2.32
0-1-1
1.52
2-0-0
2.60
1-0-1
2.88
 —
0-0-2
1.33
Waterford
2-0-0
4.38
0-1-1
3.77
1-1-0
3.70
2-0-0
3.62
2-0-0
3.77
1-0-1
2.93
2-0-0
4.25
1-0-1
3.30
2-0-0
3.53
1-0-1
3.96
2-0-0
4.29
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.81 +5.9
Allowed 0.71 -6.0
Differential 0.89 +3.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.30%8.33%5.30%1.89%2.27%1.52%24.62%
18.33%7.58%9.47%2.65%2.65%1.52%32.20%
25.30%9.47%4.55%3.79%—0.76%23.86%
31.89%2.65%3.79%1.52%0.38%—10.23%
42.27%2.65%—0.38%——5.30%
5+1.52%1.52%0.76%———3.79%
Total24.62%32.20%23.86%10.23%5.30%3.79%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.55 +0.00
SD 1.47 1.47 2.27
CV 0.95 0.95 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%9.09%4.55%——36.36%
14.55%—18.18%4.55%13.64%4.55%45.45%
2——4.55%4.55%—4.55%13.64%
3———————
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%13.64%31.82%13.64%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 2.18 -1.27
SD 0.97 1.56 1.61
CV 1.07 0.72 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%———9.09%
19.09%13.64%4.55%—4.55%—31.82%
213.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
34.55%13.64%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.82%31.82%22.73%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.23 +0.59
SD 1.01 1.15 1.47
CV 0.55 0.94 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%18.18%9.09%——4.55%40.91%
113.64%13.64%18.18%———45.45%
2—9.09%————9.09%
3———————
4———————
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total22.73%40.91%31.82%——4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 1.27 -0.41
SD 1.13 1.12 1.56
CV 1.30 0.88 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%13.64%———22.73%
113.64%9.09%————22.73%
2—18.18%13.64%4.55%—4.55%40.91%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total22.73%40.91%27.27%4.55%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.32 +0.18
SD 1.10 1.17 1.56
CV 0.73 0.89 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—18.18%——4.55%—22.73%
1—13.64%9.09%—4.55%—27.27%
218.18%4.55%13.64%———36.36%
3——4.55%4.55%4.55%—13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%36.36%27.27%4.55%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.59 -0.18
SD 1.01 1.26 1.53
CV 0.72 0.79 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
118.18%4.55%9.09%4.55%——36.36%
2—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
34.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total31.82%36.36%22.73%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.09 +0.91
SD 1.54 0.97 1.85
CV 0.77 0.89 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%—4.55%4.55%22.73%
1—9.09%13.64%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
2—18.18%—4.55%——22.73%
34.55%—9.09%———13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total9.09%36.36%31.82%9.09%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 2.05 -0.45
SD 1.37 1.79 2.63
CV 0.86 0.87 —
Max 5 8 +4
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
1—13.64%9.09%———22.73%
24.55%22.73%—4.55%——31.82%
3——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
44.55%9.09%————13.64%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total18.18%54.55%18.18%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.18 +0.82
SD 1.69 0.85 2.04
CV 0.85 0.72 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—4.55%4.55%—13.64%
113.64%9.09%18.18%9.09%——50.00%
24.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
3——4.55%———4.55%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+———————
Total22.73%22.73%27.27%22.73%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.64 -0.18
SD 1.10 1.22 1.87
CV 0.76 0.74 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%—13.64%4.55%9.09%45.45%
14.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
29.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
3———————
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total22.73%27.27%9.09%27.27%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 2.18 -1.09
SD 1.57 2.28 3.13
CV 1.44 1.05 —
Max 7 9 +6
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%—9.09%—31.82%
19.09%—9.09%—9.09%9.09%36.36%
2—13.64%9.09%———22.73%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total22.73%22.73%27.27%—18.18%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 2.09 -0.77
SD 1.73 1.97 2.89
CV 1.31 0.94 —
Max 8 7 +8
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
113.64%—————13.64%
213.64%——4.55%——18.18%
34.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
49.09%4.55%—4.55%——18.18%
5+9.09%4.55%————13.64%
Total54.55%22.73%9.09%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.68 0.82 +1.86
SD 2.21 1.10 2.57
CV 0.82 1.34 —
Max 9 3 +9
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Waterford 1485 34 29.02 +4.98 91.0% 20 22 26 29 32 35 39
Dundalk 1405 30 26.29 +3.71 86.0% 15 20 24 26 29 33 37
Shamrock Rovers 1378 27 27.78 -0.78 48.0% 17 21 25 28 31 33 39
Cork Celtic 1347 30 23.29 +6.71 98.0% 16 17 21 23 25 29 34
Drogheda United 1287 26 21.85 +4.15 90.0% 12 17 19 22 24 29 31
Drumconda 1222 19 20.81 -1.81 35.0% 12 14 18 21 24 26 29
Shelbourne 1208 19 20.84 -1.84 40.0% 12 15 18 20 24 27 30
Limerick 1207 20 19.58 +0.42 66.0% 11 13 17 19 22 27 31
St Patrick's Athletic 1174 18 18.91 -0.91 45.0% 11 13 16 19 22 24 30
Cork Hibernians 1169 17 18.24 -1.24 40.0% 9 12 15 18 21 24 27
Sligo Rovers 1104 16 19.09 -3.09 23.0% 11 13 17 19 21 25 29
Bohemian 1053 8 18.30 -10.30 0.0% 10 13 16 18 20 24 31

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+20.45%
Strong Edge
50.76%18.94%30.30%
Elo Value
Home Edge
158 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
072.08400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.59 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.46+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.1
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
45%
Waterford, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.18/gm
Comfortable
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.03 * Some Luck: 3.03 to 4.54 * Lucky: 4.54 to 6.06 * Wild Swing: 6.06 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.74 * Close: 1.74 to 2.61 * Off: 2.61 to 3.48 * Way Off: 3.48 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.34 points
Some Luck
03.799
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
02.175
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
Cork Celtic
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
Bohemian
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Even
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 129.14
1.76
Moderate Separation
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
74%
Clear Edge
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 93%
92%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
63%
Frequent
0%49%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Frequent
0%27%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.39
Slight Separation
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.37
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.05
Weak Carryover
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Shaky Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.86
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.98
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.068
Well Within Noise
00.1340.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Waterford45.00%24.00%11.00%11.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%————
Dundalk16.00%24.00%27.00%9.00%9.00%4.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%—1.00%
Cork Celtic3.00%8.00%17.00%20.00%13.00%15.00%9.00%5.00%2.00%5.00%3.00%—
Shamrock Rovers31.00%26.00%21.00%7.00%6.00%4.00%—2.00%1.00%2.00%——
Drogheda United3.00%3.00%8.00%14.00%13.00%7.00%11.00%11.00%16.00%9.00%1.00%4.00%
Limerick—3.00%4.00%6.00%3.00%11.00%8.00%14.00%11.00%14.00%17.00%9.00%
Shelbourne1.00%3.00%5.00%11.00%12.00%15.00%6.00%10.00%15.00%5.00%11.00%6.00%
Drumconda—4.00%4.00%9.00%15.00%11.00%17.00%6.00%10.00%9.00%8.00%7.00%
St Patrick's Athletic—1.00%—5.00%4.00%13.00%18.00%8.00%6.00%13.00%15.00%17.00%
Cork Hibernians—2.00%—1.00%11.00%8.00%10.00%11.00%10.00%13.00%12.00%22.00%
Sligo Rovers—2.00%1.00%4.00%9.00%7.00%7.00%11.00%15.00%16.00%17.00%11.00%
Bohemian1.00%—2.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%7.00%19.00%13.00%13.00%16.00%23.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Bohemian 100%
Cork Celtic 100%
Cork Hibernians 100%
Drogheda United 100%
Drumconda 100%
Dundalk 100%
Limerick 100%
Shamrock Rovers 100%
Shelbourne 100%
Sligo Rovers 100%
St Patrick's Athletic 100%
Waterford 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1967-11-05 Limerick W 3-140.6 1229 1253 51.23% 20.06% 28.71%+0.30 +18.3 2
1967-11-05 @ Cork Celtic L 1-340.6 1253 1229 28.71% 20.06% 51.23%-0.30 -18.3 0
1967-11-05 Shelbourne W 3-032.9 1226 1234 53.27% 20.04% 26.69%+0.41 +28.8 2
1967-11-05 @ Drogheda United L 0-332.9 1234 1226 26.69% 20.04% 53.27%-0.41 -28.8 0
1967-11-05 Bohemian W 2-035.5 1253 1277 51.28% 20.06% 28.66%+0.30 +21.1 2
1967-11-05 @ Drumconda L 0-235.5 1277 1253 28.66% 20.06% 51.28%-0.30 -21.1 0
1967-11-05 Dundalk D 1-153.9 1267 1287 51.79% 20.06% 28.16%+0.33 -1.9 1
1967-11-05 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-153.9 1287 1267 28.16% 20.06% 51.79%-0.33 +1.9 1
1967-11-05 St Patrick's Athletic W 7-134.2 1256 1245 55.45% 20.01% 24.54%+0.53 +42.3 2
1967-11-05 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-734.2 1245 1256 24.54% 20.01% 55.45%-0.53 -42.4 0
1967-11-05 Cork Hibernians D 0-049.8 1270 1239 57.57% 19.96% 22.46%+0.65 -3.2 1
1967-11-05 @ Waterford D 0-049.8 1239 1270 22.46% 19.96% 57.57%-0.65 +3.2 1
1967-11-12 Drogheda United W 1-037.1 1256 1255 54.27% 20.03% 25.71%+0.46 +10.2 2
1967-11-12 @ Bohemian L 0-137.1 1255 1256 25.71% 20.03% 54.27%-0.46 -10.2 2
1967-11-12 Sligo Rovers L 1-248.4 1242 1299 47.09% 20.08% 32.83%+0.10 -15.8 1
1967-11-12 @ Cork Hibernians W 2-148.4 1299 1242 32.83% 20.08% 47.09%-0.10 +15.9 4
1967-11-12 Waterford L 0-244.0 1289 1267 56.67% 19.98% 23.34%+0.60 -37.5 1
1967-11-12 @ Dundalk W 2-044.0 1267 1289 23.34% 19.98% 56.67%-0.60 +37.6 3
1967-11-12 Drumconda L 1-249.0 1235 1274 49.37% 20.08% 30.55%+0.21 -16.5 0
1967-11-12 @ Limerick W 2-149.0 1274 1235 30.55% 20.08% 49.37%-0.21 +16.5 4
1967-11-12 Shamrock Rovers W 2-036.7 1205 1265 46.62% 20.09% 33.29%+0.08 +23.8 2
1967-11-12 @ Shelbourne L 0-236.7 1265 1205 33.29% 20.09% 46.62%-0.08 -23.8 1
1967-11-12 Cork Celtic D 2-258.7 1203 1247 48.67% 20.08% 31.25%+0.17 -1.0 1
1967-11-12 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 2-258.7 1247 1203 31.25% 20.08% 48.67%-0.17 +1.0 3
1967-11-19 Shelbourne L 2-356.5 1266 1229 58.27% 19.95% 21.79%+0.69 -18.3 2
1967-11-19 @ Bohemian W 3-256.5 1229 1266 21.79% 19.95% 58.27%-0.69 +18.3 4
1967-11-19 Cork Hibernians W 1-036.2 1248 1226 56.64% 19.98% 23.38%+0.59 +9.4 5
1967-11-19 @ Cork Celtic L 0-136.2 1226 1248 23.38% 19.98% 56.64%-0.59 -9.4 1
1967-11-19 Limerick L 2-550.1 1245 1219 57.09% 19.98% 22.93%+0.62 -40.1 2
1967-11-19 @ Drogheda United W 5-250.1 1219 1245 22.93% 19.98% 57.09%-0.62 +40.1 2
1967-11-19 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-253.0 1291 1202 63.19% 19.79% 17.02%+1.02 -20.9 4
1967-11-19 @ Drumconda W 2-153.0 1202 1291 17.02% 19.79% 63.19%-1.02 +20.9 3
1967-11-19 Dundalk W 2-140.1 1315 1251 60.83% 19.88% 19.30%+0.85 +7.5 6
1967-11-19 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-240.1 1251 1315 19.30% 19.88% 60.83%-0.85 -7.5 1
1967-11-19 Shamrock Rovers W 1-035.2 1304 1241 60.76% 19.88% 19.36%+0.85 +8.0 5
1967-11-19 @ Waterford L 0-135.2 1241 1304 19.36% 19.88% 60.76%-0.85 -8.0 1
1967-11-26 Drumconda D 1-153.6 1217 1270 47.56% 20.08% 32.36%+0.12 -1.2 2
1967-11-26 @ Cork Hibernians D 1-153.6 1270 1217 32.36% 20.08% 47.56%-0.12 +1.2 5
1967-11-26 Cork Celtic L 1-347.8 1244 1258 52.52% 20.05% 27.44%+0.37 -30.3 1
1967-11-26 @ Dundalk W 3-147.8 1258 1244 27.44% 20.05% 52.52%-0.37 +30.3 7
1967-11-26 Bohemian W 2-141.5 1259 1248 55.37% 20.01% 24.62%+0.52 +9.3 4
1967-11-26 @ Limerick L 1-241.5 1248 1259 24.62% 20.01% 55.37%-0.52 -9.3 2
1967-11-26 Sligo Rovers W 7-036.6 1234 1322 42.73% 20.08% 37.19%-0.10 +83.9 3
1967-11-26 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-736.6 1322 1234 37.19% 20.08% 42.73%+0.10 -83.9 6
1967-11-26 Waterford L 0-438.3 1247 1312 46.01% 20.09% 33.91%+0.05 -58.9 4
1967-11-26 @ Shelbourne W 4-038.3 1312 1247 33.91% 20.09% 46.01%-0.05 +58.9 7
1967-11-26 Drogheda United L 1-446.6 1223 1205 56.15% 19.99% 23.86%+0.57 -45.6 3
1967-11-26 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 4-146.6 1205 1223 23.86% 19.99% 56.15%-0.57 +45.6 4
1967-12-03 St Patrick's Athletic W 4-135.5 1239 1177 60.70% 19.88% 19.43%+0.85 +18.5 4
1967-12-03 @ Bohemian L 1-435.5 1177 1239 19.43% 19.88% 60.70%-0.85 -18.5 3
1967-12-03 Shamrock Rovers L 1-445.7 1288 1317 50.61% 20.07% 29.32%+0.27 -41.4 7
1967-12-03 @ Cork Celtic W 4-145.7 1317 1288 29.32% 20.07% 50.61%-0.27 +41.4 5
1967-12-03 Cork Hibernians W 2-140.6 1251 1216 58.00% 19.95% 22.05%+0.68 +8.4 6
1967-12-03 @ Drogheda United L 1-240.6 1216 1251 22.05% 19.95% 58.00%-0.68 -8.4 2
1967-12-03 Dundalk L 0-147.3 1271 1214 60.28% 19.89% 19.83%+0.82 -21.2 5
1967-12-03 @ Drumconda W 1-047.3 1214 1271 19.83% 19.89% 60.28%-0.82 +21.2 3
1967-12-03 Shelbourne D 1-153.6 1268 1188 62.35% 19.82% 17.83%+0.96 -3.7 5
1967-12-03 @ Limerick D 1-153.6 1188 1268 17.83% 19.82% 62.35%-0.96 +3.7 5
1967-12-03 Waterford W 2-040.4 1238 1371 36.50% 20.04% 43.46%-0.38 +29.6 8
1967-12-03 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-240.4 1371 1238 43.46% 20.04% 36.50%+0.38 -29.6 7
1967-12-10 Bohemian W 5-242.6 1207 1257 47.95% 20.08% 31.97%+0.14 +24.5 4
1967-12-10 @ Cork Hibernians L 2-542.6 1257 1207 31.97% 20.08% 47.95%-0.14 -24.5 4
1967-12-10 Drogheda United W 3-247.6 1235 1259 51.26% 20.06% 28.68%+0.30 +10.0 5
1967-12-10 @ Dundalk L 2-347.6 1259 1235 28.68% 20.06% 51.26%-0.30 -10.0 6
1967-12-10 Drumconda W 4-029.3 1359 1250 64.82% 19.71% 15.47%+1.14 +23.4 7
1967-12-10 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-429.3 1250 1359 15.47% 19.71% 64.82%-1.14 -23.4 5
1967-12-10 Sligo Rovers W 4-034.8 1192 1268 44.51% 20.09% 35.40%-0.02 +47.6 7
1967-12-10 @ Shelbourne L 0-434.8 1268 1192 35.40% 20.09% 44.51%+0.02 -47.6 8
1967-12-10 Limerick W 8-037.3 1159 1264 40.29% 20.07% 39.63%-0.21 +100.2 5
1967-12-10 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-837.3 1264 1159 39.63% 20.07% 40.29%+0.21 -100.2 5
1967-12-10 Cork Celtic D 3-363.5 1341 1247 63.66% 19.77% 16.57%+1.05 -2.5 8
1967-12-10 @ Waterford D 3-363.5 1247 1341 16.57% 19.77% 63.66%-1.05 +2.5 8
1967-12-17 Dundalk L 1-544.1 1233 1245 52.75% 20.05% 27.21%+0.38 -55.5 4
1967-12-17 @ Bohemian W 5-144.1 1245 1233 27.21% 20.05% 52.75%-0.38 +55.5 7
1967-12-17 Sligo Rovers W 3-031.7 1249 1220 57.36% 19.97% 22.67%+0.64 +25.1 10
1967-12-17 @ Cork Celtic L 0-331.7 1220 1249 22.67% 19.97% 57.36%-0.64 -25.1 8
1967-12-17 Shamrock Rovers D 1-154.4 1249 1382 36.43% 20.04% 43.53%-0.39 +0.5 7
1967-12-17 @ Drogheda United D 1-154.4 1382 1249 43.53% 20.04% 36.43%+0.39 -0.6 8
1967-12-17 Waterford L 1-442.1 1227 1339 39.37% 20.07% 40.56%-0.25 -33.4 5
1967-12-17 @ Drumconda W 4-142.1 1339 1227 40.56% 20.07% 39.37%+0.25 +33.4 10
1967-12-17 Cork Hibernians D 1-153.4 1164 1232 45.63% 20.09% 34.28%+0.03 -0.9 6
1967-12-17 @ Limerick D 1-153.4 1232 1164 34.28% 20.09% 45.63%-0.03 +0.9 5
1967-12-17 Shelbourne W 2-141.2 1259 1240 56.31% 19.99% 23.70%+0.58 +9.0 7
1967-12-17 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-241.2 1240 1259 23.70% 19.99% 56.31%-0.58 -9.0 7
1967-12-24 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-038.3 1233 1268 49.88% 20.07% 30.05%+0.23 +11.6 7
1967-12-24 @ Cork Hibernians L 0-138.3 1268 1233 30.05% 20.07% 49.88%-0.23 -11.6 7
1967-12-24 Limerick W 5-132.2 1300 1163 66.99% 19.59% 13.43%+1.32 +17.1 9
1967-12-24 @ Dundalk L 1-532.2 1163 1300 13.43% 19.59% 66.99%-1.32 -17.1 6
1967-12-24 Bohemian W 4-132.8 1382 1177 71.25% 19.22% 9.52%+1.74 +9.6 10
1967-12-24 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-432.8 1177 1382 9.52% 19.22% 71.25%-1.74 -9.6 4
1967-12-24 Cork Celtic D 1-153.7 1231 1274 48.81% 20.08% 31.11%+0.18 -1.4 8
1967-12-24 @ Shelbourne D 1-153.7 1274 1231 31.11% 20.08% 48.81%-0.18 +1.4 11
1967-12-24 Drumconda D 1-153.4 1195 1193 54.38% 20.02% 25.59%+0.47 -2.3 9
1967-12-24 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-153.4 1193 1195 25.59% 20.02% 54.38%-0.47 +2.3 6
1967-12-24 Drogheda United W 2-031.7 1372 1249 65.93% 19.65% 14.42%+1.23 +11.6 12
1967-12-24 @ Waterford L 0-231.7 1249 1372 14.42% 19.65% 65.93%-1.23 -11.6 7
1967-12-31 Waterford L 1-339.9 1168 1384 25.91% 19.85% 54.24%-0.91 -16.7 4
1967-12-31 @ Bohemian W 3-139.9 1384 1168 54.24% 19.85% 25.91%+0.91 +16.7 14
1967-12-31 Shelbourne W 2-141.3 1244 1229 55.84% 20.00% 24.16%+0.55 +9.1 9
1967-12-31 @ Cork Hibernians L 1-241.3 1229 1244 24.16% 20.00% 55.84%-0.55 -9.1 8
1967-12-31 Sligo Rovers W 3-138.1 1238 1193 59.04% 19.93% 21.03%+0.74 +14.0 9
1967-12-31 @ Drogheda United L 1-338.1 1193 1238 21.03% 19.93% 59.04%-0.74 -14.0 9
1967-12-31 Cork Celtic W 2-037.5 1196 1276 43.92% 20.09% 35.99%-0.05 +25.4 8
1967-12-31 @ Drumconda L 0-237.5 1276 1196 35.99% 20.09% 43.92%+0.05 -25.4 11
1967-12-31 Shamrock Rovers W 3-256.3 1146 1391 22.76% 19.74% 57.49%-1.09 +18.0 8
1967-12-31 @ Limerick L 2-356.3 1391 1146 57.49% 19.74% 22.76%+1.09 -18.0 10
1967-12-31 Dundalk L 0-438.5 1256 1317 46.47% 20.09% 33.44%+0.07 -59.4 7
1967-12-31 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 4-038.5 1317 1256 33.44% 20.09% 46.47%-0.07 +59.4 11
1968-01-07 Drogheda United W 2-034.6 1250 1252 53.95% 20.03% 26.02%+0.44 +19.4 13
1968-01-07 @ Cork Celtic L 0-234.6 1252 1250 26.02% 20.03% 53.95%-0.44 -19.4 9
1968-01-07 Cork Hibernians W 1-034.2 1377 1253 65.98% 19.65% 14.37%+1.24 +6.1 13
1968-01-07 @ Dundalk L 0-134.2 1253 1377 14.37% 19.65% 65.98%-1.24 -6.1 9
1968-01-07 Shelbourne L 0-145.4 1221 1220 54.24% 20.03% 25.73%+0.46 -19.1 8
1968-01-07 @ Drumconda W 1-045.4 1220 1221 25.73% 20.03% 54.24%-0.46 +19.1 10
1968-01-07 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-137.5 1373 1197 69.63% 19.38% 10.99%+1.57 +4.5 12
1968-01-07 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-237.5 1197 1373 10.99% 19.38% 69.63%-1.57 -4.5 7
1968-01-07 Bohemian D 0-049.4 1179 1151 57.25% 19.97% 22.78%+0.63 -3.2 10
1968-01-07 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-049.4 1151 1179 22.78% 19.97% 57.25%-0.63 +3.2 5
1968-01-07 Limerick W 4-026.6 1401 1164 72.94% 19.02% 8.05%+1.95 +12.7 16
1968-01-07 @ Waterford L 0-426.6 1164 1401 8.05% 19.02% 72.94%-1.95 -12.7 8
1968-01-14 Cork Celtic D 0-049.5 1154 1270 38.93% 20.07% 41.01%-0.27 +0.2 6
1968-01-14 @ Bohemian D 0-049.5 1270 1154 41.01% 20.07% 38.93%+0.27 -0.2 14
1968-01-14 Shamrock Rovers L 0-238.5 1247 1378 36.80% 20.05% 43.15%-0.37 -25.9 9
1968-01-14 @ Cork Hibernians W 2-038.5 1378 1247 43.15% 20.05% 36.80%+0.37 +25.9 14
1968-01-14 Drumconda D 2-258.7 1233 1202 57.56% 19.96% 22.48%+0.65 -2.1 10
1968-01-14 @ Drogheda United D 2-258.7 1202 1233 22.48% 19.96% 57.56%-0.65 +2.1 9
1968-01-14 Sligo Rovers W 3-033.3 1151 1176 51.24% 20.06% 28.70%+0.30 +30.6 10
1968-01-14 @ Limerick L 0-333.3 1176 1151 28.70% 20.06% 51.24%-0.30 -30.6 10
1968-01-14 Dundalk L 1-245.2 1239 1383 34.99% 20.03% 44.99%-0.45 -12.4 10
1968-01-14 @ Shelbourne W 2-145.2 1383 1239 44.99% 20.03% 34.99%+0.45 +12.4 15
1968-01-14 Waterford L 0-137.4 1192 1413 25.35% 19.83% 54.82%-0.94 -10.0 7
1968-01-14 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 1-037.4 1413 1192 54.82% 19.83% 25.35%+0.94 +10.1 18
1968-01-21 Drumconda L 0-240.9 1154 1204 48.02% 20.08% 31.89%+0.14 -32.2 6
1968-01-21 @ Bohemian W 2-040.9 1204 1154 31.89% 20.08% 48.02%-0.14 +32.2 11
1968-01-21 Waterford L 0-533.3 1221 1423 27.55% 19.89% 52.56%-0.82 -47.6 9
1968-01-21 @ Cork Hibernians W 5-033.3 1423 1221 52.56% 19.89% 27.55%+0.82 +47.6 20
1968-01-21 Shamrock Rovers W 2-145.3 1395 1404 53.20% 20.04% 26.76%+0.40 +9.9 17
1968-01-21 @ Dundalk L 1-245.3 1404 1395 26.76% 20.04% 53.20%-0.40 -10.0 14
1968-01-21 Cork Celtic W 3-250.0 1182 1269 42.91% 20.09% 37.01%-0.10 +12.3 12
1968-01-21 @ Limerick L 2-350.0 1269 1182 37.01% 20.09% 42.91%+0.10 -12.3 14
1968-01-21 Drogheda United L 0-145.3 1227 1230 53.74% 20.03% 26.22%+0.43 -18.9 10
1968-01-21 @ Shelbourne W 1-045.3 1230 1227 26.22% 20.03% 53.74%-0.43 +18.9 12
1968-01-21 Sligo Rovers W 1-035.5 1182 1145 58.22% 19.95% 21.83%+0.69 +8.9 9
1968-01-21 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-135.5 1145 1182 21.83% 19.95% 58.22%-0.69 -8.9 10
1968-01-26 Bohemian W 2-137.9 1249 1122 66.26% 19.63% 14.11%+1.26 +5.7 14
1968-01-26 @ Drogheda United L 1-237.9 1122 1249 14.11% 19.63% 66.26%-1.26 -5.7 6
1968-01-28 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-032.3 1257 1191 61.10% 19.87% 19.03%+0.87 +14.8 16
1968-01-28 @ Cork Celtic L 0-232.3 1191 1257 19.03% 19.87% 61.10%-0.87 -14.8 9
1968-01-28 Limerick W 2-033.0 1236 1194 58.71% 19.94% 21.35%+0.72 +16.4 13
1968-01-28 @ Drumconda L 0-233.0 1194 1236 21.35% 19.94% 58.71%-0.72 -16.4 12
1968-01-28 Shelbourne L 1-255.4 1394 1208 70.19% 19.33% 10.48%+1.63 -23.3 14
1968-01-28 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-155.4 1208 1394 10.48% 19.33% 70.19%-1.63 +23.3 12
1968-01-28 Cork Hibernians W 2-035.6 1136 1174 49.58% 20.07% 30.35%+0.22 +22.1 12
1968-01-28 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-235.6 1174 1136 30.35% 20.07% 49.58%-0.22 -22.1 9
1968-01-28 Dundalk L 0-152.8 1471 1405 61.05% 19.87% 19.08%+0.87 -21.4 20
1968-01-28 @ Waterford W 1-052.8 1405 1471 19.08% 19.87% 61.05%-0.87 +21.4 19
1968-02-02 Bohemian W 4-134.0 1231 1116 65.30% 19.69% 15.01%+1.18 +14.7 14
1968-02-02 @ Shelbourne L 1-434.0 1116 1231 15.01% 19.69% 65.30%-1.18 -14.7 6
1968-02-04 Cork Celtic L 1-245.4 1152 1272 38.24% 20.06% 41.70%-0.30 -13.3 9
1968-02-04 @ Cork Hibernians W 2-145.4 1272 1152 41.70% 20.06% 38.24%+0.30 +13.3 18
1968-02-04 Sligo Rovers W 3-027.1 1427 1158 74.40% 18.79% 6.81%+2.15 +8.2 21
1968-02-04 @ Dundalk L 0-327.1 1158 1427 6.81% 18.79% 74.40%-2.15 -8.2 12
1968-02-04 Drogheda United L 1-247.2 1178 1255 44.35% 20.09% 35.57%-0.03 -15.1 12
1968-02-04 @ Limerick W 2-147.2 1255 1178 35.57% 20.09% 44.35%+0.03 +15.0 16
1968-02-04 Waterford W 3-253.5 1370 1450 44.03% 20.09% 35.88%-0.05 +12.0 16
1968-02-04 @ Shamrock Rovers L 2-353.5 1450 1370 35.88% 20.09% 44.03%+0.05 -12.0 20
1968-02-04 Drumconda W 2-144.6 1176 1253 44.42% 20.09% 35.50%-0.03 +12.6 11
1968-02-04 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-244.6 1253 1176 35.50% 20.09% 44.42%+0.03 -12.6 13
1968-02-18 Limerick L 1-247.7 1102 1163 46.49% 20.09% 33.42%+0.07 -15.7 6
1968-02-18 @ Bohemian W 2-147.7 1163 1102 33.42% 20.09% 46.49%-0.07 +15.7 14
1968-02-18 Dundalk W 3-254.5 1285 1435 34.17% 20.02% 45.81%-0.49 +14.7 20
1968-02-18 @ Cork Celtic L 2-354.5 1435 1285 45.81% 20.02% 34.17%+0.49 -14.7 21
1968-02-18 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-139.2 1270 1189 62.49% 19.82% 17.69%+0.97 +7.0 18
1968-02-18 @ Drogheda United L 1-239.2 1189 1270 17.69% 19.82% 62.49%-0.97 -7.0 11
1968-02-18 Cork Hibernians L 0-148.2 1240 1138 64.25% 19.74% 16.01%+1.10 -22.6 13
1968-02-18 @ Drumconda W 1-048.2 1138 1240 16.01% 19.74% 64.25%-1.10 +22.6 11
1968-02-18 Shamrock Rovers L 1-241.4 1150 1382 24.13% 19.79% 56.08%-1.01 -9.1 12
1968-02-18 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-141.4 1382 1150 56.08% 19.79% 24.13%+1.01 +9.1 18
1968-02-18 Shelbourne W 3-136.1 1437 1246 70.53% 19.30% 10.17%+1.66 +7.2 22
1968-02-18 @ Waterford L 1-336.1 1246 1437 10.17% 19.30% 70.53%-1.66 -7.2 14
1968-02-23 Limerick L 1-252.0 1239 1179 60.52% 19.89% 19.59%+0.83 -20.0 14
1968-02-23 @ Shelbourne W 2-152.0 1179 1239 19.59% 19.89% 60.52%-0.83 +20.0 16
1968-02-25 Drogheda United D 0-049.6 1161 1277 38.83% 20.07% 41.11%-0.28 +0.2 12
1968-02-25 @ Cork Hibernians D 0-049.6 1277 1161 41.11% 20.07% 38.83%+0.28 -0.2 19
1968-02-25 Drumconda W 1-032.7 1420 1217 71.18% 19.23% 9.59%+1.74 +4.2 23
1968-02-25 @ Dundalk L 0-132.7 1217 1420 9.59% 19.23% 71.18%-1.74 -4.2 13
1968-02-25 Cork Celtic W 2-140.4 1391 1300 63.38% 19.78% 16.84%+1.03 +6.7 20
1968-02-25 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-240.4 1300 1391 16.84% 19.78% 63.38%-1.03 -6.7 20
1968-02-25 Bohemian D 2-258.6 1182 1086 63.74% 19.76% 16.50%+1.06 -3.0 12
1968-02-25 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 2-258.6 1086 1182 16.50% 19.76% 63.74%-1.06 +3.0 7
1968-02-25 Sligo Rovers W 9-027.6 1445 1141 75.83% 18.52% 5.65%+2.37 +19.3 24
1968-02-25 @ Waterford L 0-927.6 1141 1445 5.65% 18.52% 75.83%-2.37 -19.3 12
1968-03-10 Cork Hibernians L 0-142.4 1089 1161 45.03% 20.09% 34.89%+0.00 -16.2 7
1968-03-10 @ Bohemian W 1-042.4 1161 1089 34.89% 20.09% 45.03%+0.00 +16.2 14
1968-03-10 Waterford W 2-043.7 1293 1464 31.41% 19.97% 48.61%-0.62 +32.6 22
1968-03-10 @ Cork Celtic L 0-243.7 1464 1293 48.61% 19.97% 31.41%+0.62 -32.6 24
1968-03-10 Dundalk W 1-044.4 1277 1425 34.44% 20.02% 45.54%-0.48 +16.3 21
1968-03-10 @ Drogheda United L 0-144.4 1425 1277 45.54% 20.02% 34.44%+0.48 -16.3 23
1968-03-10 Shamrock Rovers D 3-363.6 1213 1398 29.65% 19.94% 50.41%-0.71 +1.0 14
1968-03-10 @ Drumconda D 3-363.6 1398 1213 50.41% 19.94% 29.65%+0.71 -1.0 21
1968-03-10 St Patrick's Athletic W 4-031.0 1199 1179 56.39% 19.99% 23.62%+0.58 +33.9 18
1968-03-10 @ Limerick L 0-431.0 1179 1199 23.62% 19.99% 56.39%-0.58 -33.9 12
1968-03-10 Shelbourne L 0-141.5 1122 1219 41.55% 20.08% 38.37%-0.16 -15.1 12
1968-03-10 @ Sligo Rovers W 1-041.5 1219 1122 38.37% 20.08% 41.55%+0.16 +15.1 16
1968-03-15 Drogheda United L 0-149.9 1397 1293 64.43% 19.73% 15.84%+1.11 -22.6 21
1968-03-15 @ Shamrock Rovers W 1-049.9 1293 1397 15.84% 19.73% 64.43%-1.11 +22.6 23
1968-03-17 Limerick L 1-248.1 1177 1233 47.27% 20.08% 32.65%+0.11 -15.9 14
1968-03-17 @ Cork Hibernians W 2-148.1 1233 1177 32.65% 20.08% 47.27%-0.11 +15.9 20
1968-03-17 Bohemian W 4-130.8 1408 1073 76.96% 18.27% 4.78%+2.57 +4.9 25
1968-03-17 @ Dundalk L 1-430.8 1073 1408 4.78% 18.27% 76.96%-2.57 -4.9 7
1968-03-17 St Patrick's Athletic L 2-357.6 1234 1145 63.17% 19.79% 17.05%+1.02 -19.8 16
1968-03-17 @ Shelbourne W 3-257.6 1145 1234 17.05% 19.79% 63.17%-1.02 +19.8 14
1968-03-17 Cork Celtic L 1-339.4 1107 1326 25.56% 19.84% 54.60%-0.93 -16.5 12
1968-03-17 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-139.4 1326 1107 54.60% 19.84% 25.56%+0.93 +16.5 24
1968-03-17 Drumconda W 4-345.4 1431 1214 71.95% 19.14% 8.90%+1.83 +3.4 26
1968-03-17 @ Waterford L 3-445.4 1214 1431 8.90% 19.14% 71.95%-1.83 -3.4 14
1968-03-24 Shamrock Rovers L 1-238.9 1068 1374 17.07% 19.46% 63.47%-1.48 -6.7 7
1968-03-24 @ Bohemian W 2-138.9 1374 1068 63.47% 19.46% 17.07%+1.48 +6.7 23
1968-03-24 Shelbourne W 3-243.4 1342 1214 66.35% 19.63% 14.03%+1.27 +5.4 26
1968-03-24 @ Cork Celtic L 2-343.4 1214 1342 14.03% 19.63% 66.35%-1.27 -5.3 16
1968-03-24 Waterford L 0-240.6 1316 1435 38.39% 20.06% 41.54%-0.30 -26.8 23
1968-03-24 @ Drogheda United W 2-040.6 1435 1316 41.54% 20.06% 38.39%+0.30 +26.8 28
1968-03-24 Sligo Rovers W 3-242.9 1211 1090 65.78% 19.66% 14.57%+1.22 +5.5 16
1968-03-24 @ Drumconda L 2-342.9 1090 1211 14.57% 19.66% 65.78%-1.22 -5.5 12
1968-03-24 Dundalk L 2-349.7 1248 1413 32.21% 19.99% 47.80%-0.58 -11.0 20
1968-03-24 @ Limerick W 3-249.7 1413 1248 47.80% 19.99% 32.21%+0.58 +11.0 27
1968-03-24 Cork Hibernians W 1-036.6 1165 1161 54.53% 20.02% 25.45%+0.48 +10.1 16
1968-03-24 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-136.6 1161 1165 25.45% 20.02% 54.53%-0.48 -10.1 14
1968-03-27 Cork Hibernians W 1-034.9 1209 1151 60.26% 19.89% 19.84%+0.82 +8.2 18
1968-03-27 @ Shelbourne L 0-134.9 1151 1209 19.84% 19.89% 60.26%-0.82 -8.2 14
1968-03-31 Drogheda United D 2-258.6 1085 1289 27.27% 19.88% 52.85%-0.84 +1.5 13
1968-03-31 @ Sligo Rovers D 2-258.6 1289 1085 52.85% 19.88% 27.27%+0.84 -1.5 24
1968-04-03 Limerick W 2-138.5 1381 1238 67.45% 19.55% 13.00%+1.36 +5.3 25
1968-04-03 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-238.5 1238 1381 13.00% 19.55% 67.45%-1.36 -5.3 20
1968-04-07 Sligo Rovers D 0-049.3 1061 1086 51.19% 20.06% 28.75%+0.30 -2.0 8
1968-04-07 @ Bohemian D 0-049.3 1086 1061 28.75% 20.06% 51.19%-0.30 +2.0 14
1968-04-07 Dundalk W 2-152.6 1143 1424 19.27% 19.59% 61.14%-1.32 +20.2 16
1968-04-07 @ Cork Hibernians L 1-252.6 1424 1143 61.14% 19.59% 19.27%+1.32 -20.2 27
1968-04-07 Cork Celtic D 1-154.4 1287 1348 46.61% 20.09% 33.30%+0.07 -1.0 25
1968-04-07 @ Drogheda United D 1-154.4 1348 1287 33.30% 20.09% 46.61%-0.07 +1.0 27
1968-04-07 Waterford L 0-137.9 1232 1462 24.44% 19.80% 55.76%-0.99 -9.7 20
1968-04-07 @ Limerick W 1-037.9 1462 1232 55.76% 19.80% 24.44%+0.99 +9.7 30
1968-04-07 Drumconda D 2-258.7 1217 1216 54.19% 20.03% 25.78%+0.46 -1.7 19
1968-04-07 @ Shelbourne D 2-258.7 1216 1217 25.78% 20.03% 54.19%-0.46 +1.7 17
1968-04-07 Shamrock Rovers D 0-050.1 1175 1386 26.44% 19.86% 53.70%-0.88 +2.5 17
1968-04-07 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-050.1 1386 1175 53.70% 19.86% 26.44%+0.88 -2.5 26
1968-04-09 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-050.4 1404 1177 72.45% 19.08% 8.47%+1.89 -6.3 28
1968-04-09 @ Dundalk D 0-050.4 1177 1404 8.47% 19.08% 72.45%-1.89 +6.3 18
1968-04-10 Bohemian W 3-025.4 1471 1059 79.25% 17.58% 3.17%+3.06 +3.8 32
1968-04-10 @ Waterford L 0-325.4 1059 1471 3.17% 17.58% 79.25%-3.06 -3.8 8
1968-04-14 Bohemian W 1-030.4 1349 1056 75.42% 18.61% 5.97%+2.31 +2.7 29
1968-04-14 @ Cork Celtic L 0-130.4 1056 1349 5.97% 18.61% 75.42%-2.31 -2.7 8
1968-04-14 Shelbourne W 3-135.6 1398 1215 70.00% 19.35% 10.65%+1.61 +7.6 30
1968-04-14 @ Dundalk L 1-335.6 1215 1398 10.65% 19.35% 70.00%-1.61 -7.6 19
1968-04-14 Drogheda United D 2-258.9 1218 1286 45.53% 20.09% 34.38%+0.02 -0.6 18
1968-04-14 @ Drumconda D 2-258.9 1286 1218 34.38% 20.09% 45.53%-0.02 +0.6 26
1968-04-14 Cork Hibernians D 1-154.1 1384 1163 72.13% 19.12% 8.75%+1.85 -5.6 27
1968-04-14 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-154.1 1163 1384 8.75% 19.12% 72.13%-1.85 +5.6 17
1968-04-14 Limerick W 1-042.1 1088 1223 36.25% 20.04% 43.71%-0.39 +15.8 16
1968-04-14 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-142.1 1223 1088 43.71% 20.04% 36.25%+0.39 -15.8 20
1968-04-14 St Patrick's Athletic W 6-129.7 1475 1184 75.36% 18.62% 6.02%+2.30 +9.7 34
1968-04-14 @ Waterford L 1-629.7 1184 1475 6.02% 18.62% 75.36%-2.30 -9.7 18
1968-04-21 Drumconda D 1-154.1 1351 1218 66.76% 19.60% 13.64%+1.30 -4.6 30
1968-04-21 @ Cork Celtic D 1-154.1 1218 1351 13.64% 19.60% 66.76%-1.30 +4.6 19

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1968-01-28 10.48% Shelbourne 1208 2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1394 1
2 1968-03-15 15.84% Drogheda United 1293 1 @ Shamrock Rovers 1397 0
3 1968-02-18 16.01% Cork Hibernians 1138 1 @ Drumconda 1240 0
4 1967-11-19 17.02% St Patrick's Athletic 1202 2 @ Drumconda 1291 1
5 1968-03-17 17.05% St Patrick's Athletic 1145 3 @ Shelbourne 1234 2
6 1968-01-28 19.08% Dundalk 1405 1 @ Waterford 1471 0
7 1968-04-07 19.27% @ Cork Hibernians 1143 2 Dundalk 1424 1
8 1968-02-23 19.59% Limerick 1179 2 @ Shelbourne 1239 1
9 1967-12-03 19.83% Dundalk 1214 1 @ Drumconda 1271 0
10 1967-11-19 21.79% Shelbourne 1229 3 @ Bohemian 1266 2
11 1967-12-31 22.76% @ Limerick 1146 3 Shamrock Rovers 1391 2
12 1967-11-19 22.93% Limerick 1219 5 @ Drogheda United 1245 2
13 1967-11-12 23.34% Waterford 1267 2 @ Dundalk 1289 0
14 1967-11-26 23.86% Drogheda United 1205 4 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1223 1
15 1968-01-07 25.73% Shelbourne 1220 1 @ Drumconda 1221 0
16 1968-01-21 26.22% Drogheda United 1230 1 @ Shelbourne 1227 0
17 1967-12-17 27.21% Dundalk 1245 5 @ Bohemian 1233 1
18 1967-11-26 27.44% Cork Celtic 1258 3 @ Dundalk 1244 1
19 1967-12-03 29.32% Shamrock Rovers 1317 4 @ Cork Celtic 1288 1
20 1967-11-12 30.55% Drumconda 1274 2 @ Limerick 1235 1
21 1968-03-10 31.41% @ Cork Celtic 1293 2 Waterford 1464 0
22 1968-01-21 31.89% Drumconda 1204 2 @ Bohemian 1154 0
23 1968-03-17 32.65% Limerick 1233 2 @ Cork Hibernians 1177 1
24 1967-11-12 32.83% Sligo Rovers 1299 2 @ Cork Hibernians 1242 1
25 1968-02-18 33.42% Limerick 1163 2 @ Bohemian 1102 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1967-12-10 100.24 @ St Patrick's Athletic 8 1159 40.29% Limerick 0 1264 39.63% 20.07%
2 1967-11-26 83.86 @ Shamrock Rovers 7 1234 42.73% Sligo Rovers 0 1322 37.19% 20.08%
3 1967-12-31 59.45 Dundalk 4 1317 33.44% @ St Patrick's Athletic 0 1256 46.47% 20.09%
4 1967-11-26 58.94 Waterford 4 1312 33.91% @ Shelbourne 0 1247 46.01% 20.09%
5 1967-12-17 55.49 Dundalk 5 1245 27.21% @ Bohemian 1 1233 52.75% 20.05%
6 1967-12-10 47.57 @ Shelbourne 4 1192 44.51% Sligo Rovers 0 1268 35.40% 20.09%
7 1968-01-21 47.56 Waterford 5 1423 52.56% @ Cork Hibernians 0 1221 27.55% 19.89%
8 1967-11-26 45.59 Drogheda United 4 1205 23.86% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1223 56.15% 19.99%
9 1967-11-05 42.36 @ Sligo Rovers 7 1256 55.45% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1245 24.54% 20.01%
10 1967-12-03 41.38 Shamrock Rovers 4 1317 29.32% @ Cork Celtic 1 1288 50.61% 20.07%
11 1967-11-19 40.12 Limerick 5 1219 22.93% @ Drogheda United 2 1245 57.09% 19.98%
12 1967-11-12 37.56 Waterford 2 1267 23.34% @ Dundalk 0 1289 56.67% 19.98%
13 1968-03-10 33.95 @ Limerick 4 1199 56.39% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1179 23.62% 19.99%
14 1967-12-17 33.43 Waterford 4 1339 40.56% @ Drumconda 1 1227 39.37% 20.07%
15 1968-03-10 32.56 @ Cork Celtic 2 1293 31.41% Waterford 0 1464 48.61% 19.97%
16 1968-01-21 32.25 Drumconda 2 1204 31.89% @ Bohemian 0 1154 48.02% 20.08%
17 1968-01-14 30.63 @ Limerick 3 1151 51.24% Sligo Rovers 0 1176 28.70% 20.06%
18 1967-11-26 30.27 Cork Celtic 3 1258 27.44% @ Dundalk 1 1244 52.52% 20.05%
19 1967-12-03 29.59 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1238 36.50% Waterford 0 1371 43.46% 20.04%
20 1967-11-05 28.83 @ Drogheda United 3 1226 53.27% Shelbourne 0 1234 26.69% 20.04%
21 1968-03-24 26.75 Waterford 2 1435 41.54% @ Drogheda United 0 1316 38.39% 20.06%
22 1968-01-14 25.86 Shamrock Rovers 2 1378 43.15% @ Cork Hibernians 0 1247 36.80% 20.05%
23 1967-12-31 25.40 @ Drumconda 2 1196 43.92% Cork Celtic 0 1276 35.99% 20.09%
24 1967-12-17 25.09 @ Cork Celtic 3 1249 57.36% Sligo Rovers 0 1220 22.67% 19.97%
25 1967-12-10 24.46 @ Cork Hibernians 5 1207 47.95% Bohemian 2 1257 31.97% 20.08%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1968-03-10 63.6 @ Drumconda 3 1213 29.65% Shamrock Rovers 3 1398 50.41% 19.94%
2 1967-12-10 63.5 @ Waterford 3 1341 63.66% Cork Celtic 3 1247 16.57% 19.77%
3 1968-04-14 58.9 @ Drumconda 2 1218 45.53% Drogheda United 2 1286 34.38% 20.09%
4 1967-11-12 58.7 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1203 48.67% Cork Celtic 2 1247 31.25% 20.08%
5 1968-01-14 58.7 @ Drogheda United 2 1233 57.56% Drumconda 2 1202 22.48% 19.96%
6 1968-04-07 58.7 @ Shelbourne 2 1217 54.19% Drumconda 2 1216 25.78% 20.03%
7 1968-02-25 58.6 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1182 63.74% Bohemian 2 1086 16.50% 19.76%
8 1968-03-31 58.6 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1085 27.27% Drogheda United 2 1289 52.85% 19.88%
9 1968-03-17 57.6 St Patrick's Athletic 3 1145 17.05% @ Shelbourne 2 1234 63.17% 19.79%
10 1967-11-19 56.5 Shelbourne 3 1229 21.79% @ Bohemian 2 1266 58.27% 19.95%
11 1967-12-31 56.3 @ Limerick 3 1146 22.76% Shamrock Rovers 2 1391 57.49% 19.74%
12 1968-01-28 55.4 Shelbourne 2 1208 10.48% @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1394 70.19% 19.33%
13 1968-02-18 54.5 @ Cork Celtic 3 1285 34.17% Dundalk 2 1435 45.81% 20.02%
14 1967-12-17 54.4 @ Drogheda United 1 1249 36.43% Shamrock Rovers 1 1382 43.53% 20.04%
15 1968-04-07 54.4 @ Drogheda United 1 1287 46.61% Cork Celtic 1 1348 33.30% 20.09%
16 1968-04-14 54.1 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1384 72.13% Cork Hibernians 1 1163 8.75% 19.12%
17 1968-04-21 54.1 @ Cork Celtic 1 1351 66.76% Drumconda 1 1218 13.64% 19.60%
18 1967-11-05 53.9 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1267 51.79% Dundalk 1 1287 28.16% 20.06%
19 1967-12-24 53.7 @ Shelbourne 1 1231 48.81% Cork Celtic 1 1274 31.11% 20.08%
20 1967-11-26 53.6 @ Cork Hibernians 1 1217 47.56% Drumconda 1 1270 32.36% 20.08%
21 1967-12-03 53.6 @ Limerick 1 1268 62.35% Shelbourne 1 1188 17.83% 19.82%
22 1968-02-04 53.5 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1370 44.03% Waterford 2 1450 35.88% 20.09%
23 1967-12-17 53.4 @ Limerick 1 1164 45.63% Cork Hibernians 1 1232 34.28% 20.09%
24 1967-12-24 53.4 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1195 54.38% Drumconda 1 1193 25.59% 20.02%
25 1967-11-19 53.0 St Patrick's Athletic 2 1202 17.02% @ Drumconda 1 1291 63.19% 19.79%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1968-04-10 25.4 @ Waterford 3 1471 79.25% Bohemian 0 1059 3.17% 17.58%
2 1968-01-07 26.6 @ Waterford 4 1401 72.94% Limerick 0 1164 8.05% 19.02%
3 1968-02-04 27.1 @ Dundalk 3 1427 74.40% Sligo Rovers 0 1158 6.81% 18.79%
4 1968-02-25 27.6 @ Waterford 9 1445 75.83% Sligo Rovers 0 1141 5.65% 18.52%
5 1967-12-10 29.3 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1359 64.82% Drumconda 0 1250 15.47% 19.71%
6 1968-04-14 29.7 @ Waterford 6 1475 75.36% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1184 6.02% 18.62%
7 1968-04-14 30.4 @ Cork Celtic 1 1349 75.42% Bohemian 0 1056 5.97% 18.61%
8 1968-03-17 30.8 @ Dundalk 4 1408 76.96% Bohemian 1 1073 4.78% 18.27%
9 1968-03-10 31.0 @ Limerick 4 1199 56.39% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1179 23.62% 19.99%
10 1967-12-17 31.7 @ Cork Celtic 3 1249 57.36% Sligo Rovers 0 1220 22.67% 19.97%
11 1967-12-24 31.7 @ Waterford 2 1372 65.93% Drogheda United 0 1249 14.42% 19.65%
12 1967-12-24 32.2 @ Dundalk 5 1300 66.99% Limerick 1 1163 13.43% 19.59%
13 1968-01-28 32.3 @ Cork Celtic 2 1257 61.10% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1191 19.03% 19.87%
14 1968-02-25 32.7 @ Dundalk 1 1420 71.18% Drumconda 0 1217 9.59% 19.23%
15 1967-12-24 32.8 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1382 71.25% Bohemian 1 1177 9.52% 19.22%
16 1967-11-05 32.9 @ Drogheda United 3 1226 53.27% Shelbourne 0 1234 26.69% 20.04%
17 1968-01-28 33.0 @ Drumconda 2 1236 58.71% Limerick 0 1194 21.35% 19.94%
18 1968-01-14 33.3 @ Limerick 3 1151 51.24% Sligo Rovers 0 1176 28.70% 20.06%
19 1968-01-21 33.3 Waterford 5 1423 52.56% @ Cork Hibernians 0 1221 27.55% 19.89%
20 1968-02-02 34.0 @ Shelbourne 4 1231 65.30% Bohemian 1 1116 15.01% 19.69%
21 1967-11-05 34.2 @ Sligo Rovers 7 1256 55.45% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1245 24.54% 20.01%
22 1968-01-07 34.2 @ Dundalk 1 1377 65.98% Cork Hibernians 0 1253 14.37% 19.65%
23 1968-01-07 34.6 @ Cork Celtic 2 1250 53.95% Drogheda United 0 1252 26.02% 20.03%
24 1967-12-10 34.8 @ Shelbourne 4 1192 44.51% Sligo Rovers 0 1268 35.40% 20.09%
25 1968-03-27 34.9 @ Shelbourne 1 1209 60.26% Cork Hibernians 0 1151 19.84% 19.89%