2003 League of Ireland Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Shelbourne

69 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Waterford United

21.29 points above expected

45 points · 23.71 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Shamrock Rovers

16.78 points below expected

44 points · 60.78 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Shelbourne	36	19	12	5	69	52	28	+24	71.09	-2.09
2	Bohemian	36	18	10	8	64	58	37	+21	69.90	-5.90
3	Cork City	36	13	14	9	53	43	33	+10	54.49	-1.49
4	Longford Town	36	12	12	12	48	46	44	+2	46.20	+1.80
5	St Patrick's Athletic	36	10	16	10	46	48	48	0	47.42	-1.42
6	Waterford United	36	11	12	13	45	44	58	-14	23.71	+21.29
7	Shamrock Rovers	36	10	14	12	44	45	46	-1	60.78	-16.78
8	Drogheda United	36	9	10	17	37	38	50	-12	30.52	+6.48
9	Derry City	36	7	15	14	36	33	51	-18	38.34	-2.34
10	UC Dublin	36	7	13	16	34	27	39	-12	41.24	-7.24

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Waterford United	45	23.71	+21.29
2	Drogheda United	37	30.52	+6.48
3	Longford Town	48	46.20	+1.80
4	St Patrick's Athletic	46	47.42	-1.42
5	Cork City	53	54.49	-1.49

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Shamrock Rovers	44	60.78	-16.78
2	UC Dublin	34	41.24	-7.24
3	Bohemian	64	69.90	-5.90
4	Derry City	36	38.34	-2.34
5	Shelbourne	69	71.09	-2.09

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Waterford United	3	Apr 17 – Apr 25	1 in 525
2	St Patrick's Athletic	4	Aug 7 – Sep 5	1 in 268
3	Cork City	3	Apr 18 – Apr 26	1 in 76
4	Bohemian	5	Aug 29 – Sep 22	1 in 44
5	Longford Town	2	Jul 15 – Jul 18	1 in 21

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	UC Dublin	7	Apr 11 – May 16	1 in 4,716
2	Derry City	4	Apr 10 – Apr 25	1 in 110
3	Shamrock Rovers	2	Jul 18 – Aug 1	1 in 85
4	Bohemian	2	May 30 – Jun 6	1 in 49
5	Longford Town	3	Sep 5 – Sep 23	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Waterford United	5	Sep 26 – Oct 16	1 in 144
2	UC Dublin	8	Oct 24 – Nov 30	1 in 69
3	St Patrick's Athletic	7	Apr 25 – Jun 6	1 in 24
4	Drogheda United	5	Oct 24 – Nov 11	1 in 20
5	Cork City	8	Sep 23 – Oct 24	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Derry City	15	Jul 1 – Oct 16	1 in 207
2	Shamrock Rovers	9	Oct 24 – Nov 28	1 in 107
3	UC Dublin	9	Apr 11 – May 31	1 in 42
4	St Patrick's Athletic	7	Sep 19 – Oct 29	1 in 40
5	Cork City	6	May 4 – Jun 6	1 in 29

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Shelbourne	1427	69	+12	10	8.9	+1.1
Bohemian	1419	64	-50	4	10.2	-6.2
Cork City	1284	53	-43	7	8.2	-1.2
Longford Town	1255	48	-10	7	6.1	+0.9
St Patrick's Athletic	1227	46	-23	4	5.8	-1.8
Waterford United	1102	45	+57	8	3.4	+4.6
Shamrock Rovers	1288	44	-35	3	8.4	-5.4
Drogheda United	1154	37	+15	4	3.8	+0.2
Derry City	1163	36	+13	7	4.1	+2.9
UC Dublin	1225	34	+48	11	6.0	+5.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BOH	CC	DC	DU	LT	SR	SHE	SPA	UD	WU
Bohemian	—	2-1-1 7.19	2-1-1 8.89	2-1-1 9.23	1-3-0 7.79	2-2-0 6.49	2-1-1 5.35	2-0-2 7.64	3-0-1 8.28	2-1-1 9.97
Cork City	1-1-2 3.46	—	1-2-1 7.18	3-0-1 7.76	3-1-0 6.09	2-1-1 4.75	0-3-1 3.37	1-2-1 5.84	2-2-0 6.51	0-2-2 8.86
Derry City	1-1-2 2.18	1-2-1 3.48	—	0-2-2 6.70	1-1-2 4.59	0-3-1 3.20	1-1-2 2.49	0-3-1 4.37	1-1-2 5.19	2-1-1 6.75
Drogheda United	1-1-2 1.94	1-0-3 3.00	2-2-0 3.91	—	1-2-1 3.59	0-1-3 2.43	0-1-3 1.93	1-2-1 3.47	1-1-2 4.02	2-0-2 6.29
Longford Town	0-3-1 3.00	0-1-3 4.46	2-1-1 5.97	1-2-1 7.05	—	2-1-1 3.85	1-0-3 2.93	2-2-0 5.27	3-0-1 6.22	1-2-1 7.83
Shamrock Rovers	0-2-2 4.08	1-1-2 5.79	1-3-0 7.52	3-1-0 8.54	1-1-2 6.80	—	1-1-2 3.74	1-1-2 6.69	2-2-0 7.37	0-2-2 8.96
Shelbourne	1-1-2 5.17	1-3-0 7.32	2-1-1 8.45	3-1-0 9.24	3-0-1 7.87	2-1-1 6.88	—	2-2-0 7.71	2-2-0 8.41	3-1-0 9.92
St Patrick's Athletic	2-0-2 3.11	1-2-1 4.68	1-3-0 6.19	1-2-1 7.20	0-2-2 5.24	2-1-1 3.92	0-2-2 3.06	—	1-3-0 6.12	2-1-1 8.32
UC Dublin	1-0-3 2.61	0-2-2 4.14	2-1-1 5.32	2-1-1 6.54	1-0-3 4.32	0-2-2 3.33	0-2-2 2.53	0-3-1 4.41	—	1-2-1 7.47
Waterford United	1-1-2 1.42	2-2-0 2.20	1-1-2 3.87	2-0-2 4.29	1-2-1 2.96	2-2-0 2.13	0-1-3 1.46	1-1-2 2.59	1-2-1 3.27	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.75	+11.2
Allowed	0.46	-8.6
Differential	0.90	+7.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	9.72%	5.83%	2.50%	0.83%	0.28%	29.17%
1	9.72%	18.89%	6.11%	2.22%	1.11%	0.56%	38.61%
2	5.83%	6.11%	5.56%	1.39%	1.39%	—	20.28%
3	2.50%	2.22%	1.39%	1.11%	—	0.28%	7.50%
4	0.83%	1.11%	1.39%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	0.28%	0.56%	—	0.28%	—	—	1.11%
Total	29.17%	38.61%	20.28%	7.50%	3.33%	1.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.21	1.21	+0.00
SD	1.11	1.11	1.54
CV	0.92	0.92	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
1	13.89%	22.22%	8.33%	—	—	—	44.44%
2	—	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
3	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
4	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	22.22%	55.56%	19.44%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.61	1.03	+0.58
SD	1.23	0.74	1.34
CV	0.76	0.72	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
1	16.67%	22.22%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	50.00%
2	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
3	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	41.67%	30.56%	22.22%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.19	0.92	+0.28
SD	1.09	0.94	1.52
CV	0.91	1.02	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	27.78%
1	13.89%	30.56%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	58.33%
2	2.78%	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	44.44%	13.89%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.92	1.42	-0.50
SD	0.81	1.27	1.52
CV	0.88	0.90	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	38.89%
1	5.56%	8.33%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	30.56%
2	11.11%	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	27.78%	22.22%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	1.39	-0.33
SD	1.09	1.29	1.72
CV	1.04	0.93	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
1	5.56%	19.44%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	33.33%
2	2.78%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	22.22%
3	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	27.78%	38.89%	22.22%	5.56%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.28	1.22	+0.06
SD	1.23	1.10	1.71
CV	0.97	0.90	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
1	8.33%	22.22%	5.56%	—	—	—	36.11%
2	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	25.00%
3	—	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	22.22%	47.22%	19.44%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	1.28	-0.03
SD	1.13	1.14	1.25
CV	0.90	0.89	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	19.44%
1	16.67%	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	38.89%
2	13.89%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	25.00%
3	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	47.22%	30.56%	19.44%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.44	0.78	+0.67
SD	1.11	0.87	1.35
CV	0.77	1.11	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
1	8.33%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	—	25.00%
2	5.56%	2.78%	11.11%	—	8.33%	—	27.78%
3	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
Total	30.56%	30.56%	22.22%	8.33%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.33	1.33	+0.00
SD	1.31	1.24	1.45
CV	0.98	0.93	—
Max	5	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	50.00%
1	2.78%	13.89%	11.11%	—	—	—	27.78%
2	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	19.44%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	36.11%	27.78%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.75	1.08	-0.33
SD	0.87	0.91	1.35
CV	1.17	0.84	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	25.00%
1	5.56%	19.44%	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	41.67%
2	2.78%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	44.44%	13.89%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	1.61	-0.39
SD	1.02	1.32	1.74
CV	0.83	0.82	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Shelbourne	1427	69	71.09	-2.09	43.0%	54	58	66	72	77	81	86
Bohemian	1419	64	69.90	-5.90	18.0%	53	57	65	69	75	80	86
Shamrock Rovers	1288	44	60.78	-16.78	0.0%	46	49	55	60	65	74	79
Cork City	1284	53	54.49	-1.49	40.0%	40	43	50	55	59	66	69
Longford Town	1255	48	46.20	+1.80	59.0%	26	33	41	47	51	58	61
St Patrick's Athletic	1227	46	47.42	-1.42	45.0%	32	34	42	47	53	57	67
UC Dublin	1225	34	41.24	-7.24	17.0%	26	31	36	41	45	52	54
Derry City	1163	36	38.34	-2.34	41.0%	18	27	34	39	43	48	55
Drogheda United	1154	37	30.52	+6.48	87.0%	16	20	27	30	34	42	50
Waterford United	1102	45	23.71	+21.29	100.0%	13	16	20	24	26	32	37

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+11.11%

Slight Edge

37.78%35.56%26.67%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 38.76 Elo pts.

471 Elo

0.002 goals per Elo point

01500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.21 goals

Neutral

-2+0.08+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.4

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

53%

Shelbourne, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.14/gm

Comfortable

00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.43 * Some Luck: 5.43 to 8.15 * Lucky: 8.15 to 10.86 * Wild Swing: 10.86 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.65 * Close: 0.65 to 0.98 * Off: 0.98 to 1.3 * Way Off: 1.3 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

9.36 points

Lucky

06.7917

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.60

Way Off

00.822

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

100.00%

Waterford United

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

0.00%

Shamrock Rovers

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.

Gini Index

0.13

Balanced

00.160.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 106.50

1.57

Coin-Flip Parity

11.71.952.22.75

Interquartile Edge

65%

Even

50%68%76.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

87%

Even

50%88%100%

Close Games

Expected

70%

Very Frequent

0%67%100%

Blowouts

Expected

11%

Rare

0%10%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.68

Coin-Flip

00.592

Matchup Imbalance

0.47

Lopsided

00.370.5

Strangeness

Expected

2.84

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

0.44

Some Carryover

00.360.560.691

Upset Rate

Expected

25%

Upset-Prone

0%17%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

23%

Shaky Favorites

0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.

Probability calibration

<0.01

Miscalibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.38

Overconfident

0.1927221.001.80728

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.141

Near Noise Ceiling

00.1340.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Shelbourne	53.00%	30.00%	13.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Bohemian	36.00%	49.00%	12.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Cork City	1.00%	7.00%	21.00%	36.00%	22.00%	9.00%	4.00%	—	—	—
Longford Town	—	—	4.00%	14.00%	26.00%	28.00%	14.00%	11.00%	3.00%	—
St Patrick's Athletic	—	1.00%	8.00%	16.00%	23.00%	25.00%	16.00%	11.00%	—	—
Waterford United	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	3.00%	21.00%	76.00%
Shamrock Rovers	10.00%	13.00%	41.00%	23.00%	10.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Drogheda United	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	9.00%	17.00%	52.00%	20.00%
Derry City	—	—	—	1.00%	6.00%	17.00%	22.00%	33.00%	18.00%	3.00%
UC Dublin	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	11.00%	19.00%	33.00%	25.00%	6.00%	1.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Bohemian	100%	—	—
Cork City	100%	—	—
Longford Town	97.00%	3.00%	—
Shamrock Rovers	100%	—	—
Shelbourne	100%	—	—
St Patrick's Athletic	100%	—	—
UC Dublin	93.00%	6.00%	1.00%
Derry City	79.00%	18.00%	3.00%
Drogheda United	28.00%	52.00%	20.00%
Waterford United	3.00%	21.00%	76.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2003-04-10	Longford Town	L 2-3	54.7	1229	1234	35.90%	37.42%	26.67%	+0.07	-9.8	0
2003-04-10	@ Derry City	W 3-2	54.7	1234	1229	26.67%	37.42%	35.90%	-0.07	+9.8	3
2003-04-11	Drogheda United	D 0-0	50.1	1384	1094	71.83%	19.52%	8.65%	+0.70	-4.2	1
2003-04-11	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 0-0	50.1	1094	1384	8.65%	19.52%	71.83%	-0.70	+4.2	1
2003-04-11	Shelbourne	L 0-4	22.6	964	1425	6.05%	13.50%	80.44%	-0.90	-5.7	0
2003-04-11	@ Waterford United	W 4-0	22.6	1425	964	80.44%	13.50%	6.05%	+0.90	+5.7	3
2003-04-11	UC Dublin	W 1-0	37.1	1444	1294	56.18%	29.87%	13.94%	+0.40	+5.0	3
2003-04-11	@ Bohemian	L 0-1	37.1	1294	1444	13.94%	29.87%	56.18%	-0.40	-5.0	0
2003-04-12	St Patrick's Athletic	D 0-0	45.0	1253	1225	40.52%	36.59%	22.88%	+0.14	-1.1	1
2003-04-12	@ Cork City	D 0-0	45.0	1225	1253	22.88%	36.59%	40.52%	-0.14	+1.1	1
2003-04-17	Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	51.3	1226	1380	18.50%	34.50%	47.00%	-0.24	+1.7	2
2003-04-17	@ St Patrick's Athletic	D 1-1	51.3	1380	1226	47.00%	34.50%	18.50%	+0.24	-1.7	2
2003-04-17	Waterford United	L 1-3	49.3	1098	958	55.00%	30.56%	14.44%	+0.38	-24.0	1
2003-04-17	@ Drogheda United	W 3-1	49.3	958	1098	14.44%	30.56%	55.00%	-0.38	+24.0	3
2003-04-18	Cork City	L 0-3	40.2	1289	1251	41.78%	36.27%	21.95%	+0.16	-33.1	0
2003-04-18	@ UC Dublin	W 3-0	40.2	1251	1289	21.95%	36.27%	41.78%	-0.16	+33.1	4
2003-04-18	Derry City	W 1-0	33.8	1431	1219	63.47%	25.27%	11.27%	+0.53	+3.8	6
2003-04-18	@ Shelbourne	L 0-1	33.8	1219	1431	11.27%	25.27%	63.47%	-0.53	-3.8	0
2003-04-19	Bohemian	D 1-1	53.1	1244	1449	15.13%	31.43%	53.44%	-0.35	+2.3	4
2003-04-19	@ Longford Town	D 1-1	53.1	1449	1244	53.44%	31.43%	15.13%	+0.35	-2.3	4
2003-04-21	St Patrick's Athletic	W 4-2	53.2	982	1227	13.09%	28.58%	58.33%	-0.44	+22.3	6
2003-04-21	@ Waterford United	L 2-4	53.2	1227	982	58.33%	28.58%	13.09%	+0.44	-22.3	2
2003-04-21	UC Dublin	W 1-0	36.8	1378	1256	52.84%	31.75%	15.41%	+0.34	+5.6	5
2003-04-21	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	36.8	1256	1378	15.41%	31.75%	52.84%	-0.34	-5.6	0
2003-04-22	Bohemian	W 3-2	59.3	1285	1447	17.92%	34.08%	48.01%	-0.26	+11.9	7
2003-04-22	@ Cork City	L 2-3	59.3	1447	1285	48.01%	34.08%	17.92%	+0.26	-11.9	4
2003-04-22	Drogheda United	L 0-1	47.2	1215	1074	55.04%	30.54%	14.43%	+0.38	-14.7	0
2003-04-22	@ Derry City	W 1-0	47.2	1074	1215	14.43%	30.54%	55.04%	-0.38	+14.7	4
2003-04-22	Longford Town	W 3-2	45.7	1435	1246	60.78%	27.03%	12.19%	+0.48	+3.8	9
2003-04-22	@ Shelbourne	L 2-3	45.7	1246	1435	12.19%	27.03%	60.78%	-0.48	-3.8	4
2003-04-25	Derry City	W 4-1	40.1	1205	1200	37.34%	37.23%	25.44%	+0.09	+20.1	5
2003-04-25	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-4	40.1	1200	1205	25.44%	37.23%	37.34%	-0.09	-20.1	0
2003-04-25	Shelbourne	D 1-1	55.0	1089	1439	9.20%	20.80%	69.99%	-0.66	+3.7	5
2003-04-25	@ Drogheda United	D 1-1	55.0	1439	1089	69.99%	20.80%	9.20%	+0.66	-3.7	10
2003-04-25	Waterford United	L 1-2	54.5	1250	1004	67.17%	22.75%	10.08%	+0.60	-15.7	0
2003-04-25	@ UC Dublin	W 2-1	54.5	1004	1250	10.08%	22.75%	67.17%	-0.60	+15.7	9
2003-04-26	Cork City	L 0-3	36.8	1242	1297	28.97%	37.65%	33.38%	-0.03	-26.0	4
2003-04-26	@ Longford Town	W 3-0	36.8	1297	1242	33.38%	37.65%	28.97%	+0.03	+26.0	10
2003-04-27	Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	54.1	1435	1384	43.60%	35.73%	20.67%	+0.19	-1.3	5
2003-04-27	@ Bohemian	D 1-1	54.1	1384	1435	20.67%	35.73%	43.60%	-0.19	+1.3	6
2003-05-01	UC Dublin	W 1-0	43.0	1180	1234	29.02%	37.65%	33.33%	-0.03	+10.4	3
2003-05-01	@ Derry City	L 0-1	43.0	1234	1180	33.33%	37.65%	29.02%	+0.03	-10.4	0
2003-05-02	Bohemian	L 1-3	31.1	1020	1433	7.31%	16.42%	76.26%	-0.79	-3.4	9
2003-05-02	@ Waterford United	W 3-1	31.1	1433	1020	76.26%	16.42%	7.31%	+0.79	+3.4	8
2003-05-02	Longford Town	D 2-2	55.9	1093	1216	21.10%	35.93%	42.97%	-0.18	+0.9	6
2003-05-02	@ Drogheda United	D 2-2	55.9	1216	1093	42.97%	35.93%	21.10%	+0.18	-0.9	5
2003-05-02	St Patrick's Athletic	D 2-2	60.4	1435	1225	63.18%	25.46%	11.37%	+0.53	-2.3	11
2003-05-02	@ Shelbourne	D 2-2	60.4	1225	1435	11.37%	25.46%	63.18%	-0.53	+2.3	6
2003-05-04	Cork City	W 2-1	45.9	1385	1323	45.17%	35.20%	19.63%	+0.21	+6.7	9
2003-05-04	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 1-2	45.9	1323	1385	19.63%	35.20%	45.17%	-0.21	-6.7	10
2003-05-09	Derry City	D 1-1	55.0	1437	1191	67.21%	22.72%	10.06%	+0.60	-3.5	9
2003-05-09	@ Bohemian	D 1-1	55.0	1191	1437	10.06%	22.72%	67.21%	-0.60	+3.5	4
2003-05-09	Drogheda United	W 3-1	37.5	1228	1094	54.22%	31.00%	14.78%	+0.37	+8.8	9
2003-05-09	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-3	37.5	1094	1228	14.78%	31.00%	54.22%	-0.37	-8.8	6
2003-05-09	Shelbourne	L 0-2	33.0	1224	1433	14.92%	31.17%	53.91%	-0.36	-10.2	0
2003-05-09	@ UC Dublin	W 2-0	33.0	1433	1224	53.91%	31.17%	14.92%	+0.36	+10.2	14
2003-05-09	Waterford United	D 1-1	55.2	1316	1016	72.76%	18.87%	8.37%	+0.72	-3.8	11
2003-05-09	@ Cork City	D 1-1	55.2	1016	1316	8.37%	18.87%	72.76%	-0.72	+3.9	10
2003-05-10	Shamrock Rovers	D 0-0	46.6	1215	1392	16.88%	33.23%	49.89%	-0.29	+2.2	6
2003-05-10	@ Longford Town	D 0-0	46.6	1392	1215	49.89%	33.23%	16.88%	+0.29	-2.2	10
2003-05-15	Cork City	W 1-0	45.5	1194	1312	21.63%	36.15%	42.23%	-0.17	+12.2	7
2003-05-15	@ Derry City	L 0-1	45.5	1312	1194	42.23%	36.15%	21.63%	+0.17	-12.2	11
2003-05-16	Bohemian	D 2-2	61.1	1443	1433	38.02%	37.11%	24.87%	+0.10	-0.5	15
2003-05-16	@ Shelbourne	D 2-2	61.1	1433	1443	24.87%	37.11%	38.02%	-0.10	+0.5	10
2003-05-16	Longford Town	D 1-1	50.0	1236	1217	39.30%	36.87%	23.83%	+0.12	-0.8	10
2003-05-16	@ St Patrick's Athletic	D 1-1	50.0	1217	1236	23.83%	36.87%	39.30%	-0.12	+0.8	7
2003-05-16	Shamrock Rovers	W 2-0	45.4	1020	1390	8.59%	19.40%	72.01%	-0.70	+32.7	13
2003-05-16	@ Waterford United	L 0-2	45.4	1390	1020	72.01%	19.40%	8.59%	+0.70	-32.7	10
2003-05-16	UC Dublin	W 2-0	41.7	1085	1214	20.63%	35.71%	43.66%	-0.19	+23.5	9
2003-05-16	@ Drogheda United	L 0-2	41.7	1214	1085	43.66%	35.71%	20.63%	+0.19	-23.5	0
2003-05-23	Derry City	W 5-1	33.8	1357	1206	56.26%	29.82%	13.91%	+0.40	+14.9	13
2003-05-23	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 1-5	33.8	1206	1357	13.91%	29.82%	56.26%	-0.40	-14.9	7
2003-05-23	Drogheda United	W 1-0	29.5	1434	1108	75.28%	17.11%	7.61%	+0.77	+2.2	13
2003-05-23	@ Bohemian	L 0-1	29.5	1108	1434	7.61%	17.11%	75.28%	-0.77	-2.2	9
2003-05-23	Longford Town	D 1-1	50.6	1053	1218	17.68%	33.89%	48.43%	-0.27	+1.8	14
2003-05-23	@ Waterford United	D 1-1	50.6	1218	1053	48.43%	33.89%	17.68%	+0.27	-1.8	8
2003-05-23	Shelbourne	D 0-0	47.6	1300	1442	19.42%	35.08%	45.50%	-0.22	+1.7	12
2003-05-23	@ Cork City	D 0-0	47.6	1442	1300	45.50%	35.08%	19.42%	+0.22	-1.7	16
2003-05-23	St Patrick's Athletic	D 0-0	44.6	1190	1236	30.18%	37.70%	32.12%	-0.01	+0.1	1
2003-05-23	@ UC Dublin	D 0-0	44.6	1236	1190	32.12%	37.70%	30.18%	+0.01	-0.1	11
2003-05-29	Waterford United	W 4-1	34.8	1191	1055	54.53%	30.83%	14.65%	+0.37	+12.3	10
2003-05-29	@ Derry City	L 1-4	34.8	1055	1191	14.65%	30.83%	54.53%	-0.37	-12.3	14
2003-05-30	Bohemian	W 1-0	48.4	1235	1436	15.40%	31.73%	52.87%	-0.34	+14.3	14
2003-05-30	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	48.4	1436	1235	52.87%	31.73%	15.40%	+0.34	-14.3	13
2003-05-30	Shamrock Rovers	W 1-0	41.6	1441	1372	45.98%	34.90%	19.12%	+0.23	+7.0	19
2003-05-30	@ Shelbourne	L 0-1	41.6	1372	1441	19.12%	34.90%	45.98%	-0.23	-7.0	13
2003-05-31	Cork City	W 3-1	49.1	1106	1301	15.70%	32.07%	52.23%	-0.33	+23.1	12
2003-05-31	@ Drogheda United	L 1-3	49.1	1301	1106	52.23%	32.07%	15.70%	+0.33	-23.1	12
2003-05-31	UC Dublin	W 2-1	45.6	1216	1190	40.31%	36.64%	23.04%	+0.14	+7.6	11
2003-05-31	@ Longford Town	L 1-2	45.6	1190	1216	23.04%	36.64%	40.31%	-0.14	-7.6	1
2003-06-04	Waterford United	D 1-1	57.4	1448	1042	82.09%	12.36%	5.55%	+0.94	-4.4	20
2003-06-04	@ Shelbourne	D 1-1	57.4	1042	1448	5.55%	12.36%	82.09%	-0.94	+4.4	15
2003-06-06	Bohemian	W 2-1	54.4	1182	1422	13.39%	29.05%	57.57%	-0.43	+14.3	4
2003-06-06	@ UC Dublin	L 1-2	54.4	1422	1182	57.57%	29.05%	13.39%	+0.43	-14.3	13
2003-06-06	Cork City	D 1-1	50.0	1250	1278	32.60%	37.68%	29.72%	+0.02	-0.2	15
2003-06-06	@ St Patrick's Athletic	D 1-1	50.0	1278	1250	29.72%	37.68%	32.60%	-0.02	+0.2	13
2003-06-06	Shamrock Rovers	L 1-2	40.7	1129	1365	13.55%	29.30%	57.15%	-0.42	-4.6	12
2003-06-06	@ Drogheda United	W 2-1	40.7	1365	1129	57.15%	29.30%	13.55%	+0.42	+4.6	16
2003-06-12	Shelbourne	W 2-0	45.1	1204	1443	13.36%	29.01%	57.63%	-0.43	+28.6	13
2003-06-12	@ Derry City	L 0-2	45.1	1443	1204	57.63%	29.01%	13.36%	+0.43	-28.6	20
2003-06-13	Drogheda United	W 2-1	49.7	1047	1125	25.98%	37.32%	36.70%	-0.08	+10.4	18
2003-06-13	@ Waterford United	L 1-2	49.7	1125	1047	36.70%	37.32%	25.98%	+0.08	-10.4	12
2003-06-13	Longford Town	D 1-1	53.6	1407	1224	60.12%	27.46%	12.43%	+0.47	-2.9	14
2003-06-13	@ Bohemian	D 1-1	53.6	1224	1407	12.43%	27.46%	60.12%	-0.47	+2.9	12
2003-06-13	St Patrick's Athletic	W 1-0	36.8	1370	1250	52.50%	31.93%	15.57%	+0.34	+5.7	19
2003-06-13	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	36.8	1250	1370	15.57%	31.93%	52.50%	-0.34	-5.7	15
2003-06-13	UC Dublin	W 1-0	37.6	1279	1197	47.67%	34.22%	18.11%	+0.26	+6.6	16
2003-06-13	@ Cork City	L 0-1	37.6	1197	1279	18.11%	34.22%	47.67%	-0.26	-6.6	4
2003-06-30	Cork City	D 1-1	52.9	1404	1285	52.41%	31.97%	15.61%	+0.34	-2.2	15
2003-06-30	@ Bohemian	D 1-1	52.9	1285	1404	15.61%	31.97%	52.41%	-0.34	+2.2	17
2003-06-30	Waterford United	W 4-1	33.0	1244	1057	60.49%	27.22%	12.29%	+0.48	+9.9	18
2003-06-30	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-4	33.0	1057	1244	12.29%	27.22%	60.49%	-0.48	-9.9	18
2003-07-01	Derry City	W 1-0	45.1	1114	1232	21.64%	36.15%	42.21%	-0.17	+12.2	15
2003-07-01	@ Drogheda United	L 0-1	45.1	1232	1114	42.21%	36.15%	21.64%	+0.17	-12.2	13
2003-07-01	Shelbourne	L 0-2	33.6	1227	1415	16.17%	32.55%	51.28%	-0.32	-11.2	12
2003-07-01	@ Longford Town	W 2-0	33.6	1415	1227	51.28%	32.55%	16.17%	+0.32	+11.2	23
2003-07-03	St Patrick's Athletic	D 2-2	55.6	1220	1254	31.87%	37.70%	30.43%	+0.01	-0.1	14
2003-07-03	@ Derry City	D 2-2	55.6	1254	1220	30.43%	37.70%	31.87%	-0.01	+0.1	19
2003-07-04	Drogheda United	W 3-0	25.0	1426	1126	72.77%	18.86%	8.36%	+0.72	+6.8	26
2003-07-04	@ Shelbourne	L 0-3	25.0	1126	1426	8.36%	18.86%	72.77%	-0.72	-6.8	15
2003-07-04	Longford Town	W 4-1	37.6	1287	1216	46.34%	34.76%	18.90%	+0.23	+15.9	20
2003-07-04	@ Cork City	L 1-4	37.6	1216	1287	18.90%	34.76%	46.34%	-0.23	-15.9	12
2003-07-04	UC Dublin	D 1-1	50.2	1047	1190	19.42%	35.08%	45.50%	-0.22	+1.5	19
2003-07-04	@ Waterford United	D 1-1	50.2	1190	1047	45.50%	35.08%	19.42%	+0.22	-1.5	5
2003-07-11	Derry City	D 1-1	49.6	1189	1220	32.21%	37.69%	30.09%	+0.02	-0.1	6
2003-07-11	@ UC Dublin	D 1-1	49.6	1220	1189	30.09%	37.69%	32.21%	-0.02	+0.1	15
2003-07-11	Shelbourne	D 0-0	47.4	1254	1433	16.73%	33.09%	50.18%	-0.30	+2.2	20
2003-07-11	@ St Patrick's Athletic	D 0-0	47.4	1433	1254	50.18%	33.09%	16.73%	+0.30	-2.2	27
2003-07-11	Waterford United	W 5-1	27.0	1402	1049	77.82%	15.33%	6.84%	+0.83	+5.6	18
2003-07-11	@ Bohemian	L 1-5	27.0	1049	1402	6.84%	15.33%	77.82%	-0.83	-5.6	19
2003-07-12	Drogheda United	D 0-0	45.4	1200	1120	47.47%	34.30%	18.23%	+0.25	-1.9	13
2003-07-12	@ Longford Town	D 0-0	45.4	1120	1200	18.23%	34.30%	47.47%	-0.25	+1.9	16
2003-07-15	Derry City	W 4-0	36.7	1198	1220	33.54%	37.64%	28.82%	+0.04	+33.9	16
2003-07-15	@ Longford Town	L 0-4	36.7	1220	1198	28.82%	37.64%	33.54%	-0.04	-33.9	15
2003-07-18	Cork City	W 2-1	53.8	1043	1303	12.47%	27.52%	60.01%	-0.47	+14.7	22
2003-07-18	@ Waterford United	L 1-2	53.8	1303	1043	60.01%	27.52%	12.47%	+0.47	-14.7	20
2003-07-18	Longford Town	L 2-3	59.0	1375	1232	55.36%	30.35%	14.29%	+0.39	-13.2	19
2003-07-18	@ Shamrock Rovers	W 3-2	59.0	1232	1375	14.29%	30.35%	55.36%	-0.39	+13.2	19
2003-07-18	St Patrick's Athletic	W 4-2	51.3	1122	1256	20.12%	35.46%	44.42%	-0.20	+18.5	19
2003-07-18	@ Drogheda United	L 2-4	51.3	1256	1122	44.42%	35.46%	20.12%	+0.20	-18.5	20
2003-07-18	UC Dublin	D 1-1	54.9	1431	1188	66.77%	23.03%	10.20%	+0.60	-3.4	28
2003-07-18	@ Shelbourne	D 1-1	54.9	1188	1431	10.20%	23.03%	66.77%	-0.60	+3.4	7
2003-08-01	Derry City	D 1-1	51.2	1289	1186	50.31%	33.03%	16.66%	+0.30	-2.0	21
2003-08-01	@ Cork City	D 1-1	51.2	1186	1289	16.66%	33.03%	50.31%	-0.30	+2.0	16
2003-08-01	Drogheda United	W 1-0	38.5	1192	1140	43.76%	35.68%	20.56%	+0.19	+7.4	10
2003-08-01	@ UC Dublin	L 0-1	38.5	1140	1192	20.56%	35.68%	43.76%	-0.19	-7.4	19
2003-08-01	Waterford United	L 0-1	49.3	1362	1058	73.23%	18.55%	8.23%	+0.73	-17.5	19
2003-08-01	@ Shamrock Rovers	W 1-0	49.3	1058	1362	8.23%	18.55%	73.23%	-0.73	+17.5	25
2003-08-02	St Patrick's Athletic	D 1-1	50.0	1245	1238	37.72%	37.16%	25.12%	+0.10	-0.7	20
2003-08-02	@ Longford Town	D 1-1	50.0	1238	1245	25.12%	37.16%	37.72%	-0.10	+0.7	21
2003-08-04	Shamrock Rovers	D 2-2	56.7	1199	1345	19.20%	34.95%	45.85%	-0.23	+1.1	11
2003-08-04	@ UC Dublin	D 2-2	56.7	1345	1199	45.85%	34.95%	19.20%	+0.23	-1.1	20
2003-08-07	Cork City	D 1-1	53.6	1427	1287	55.01%	30.55%	14.44%	+0.38	-2.4	29
2003-08-07	@ Shelbourne	D 1-1	53.6	1287	1427	14.44%	30.55%	55.01%	-0.38	+2.4	22
2003-08-07	Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	50.9	1188	1343	18.41%	34.43%	47.16%	-0.25	+1.7	17
2003-08-07	@ Derry City	D 1-1	50.9	1343	1188	47.16%	34.43%	18.41%	+0.25	-1.7	21
2003-08-07	UC Dublin	W 2-0	35.5	1238	1200	41.86%	36.25%	21.89%	+0.16	+14.7	24
2003-08-07	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-2	35.5	1200	1238	21.89%	36.25%	41.86%	-0.16	-14.7	11
2003-08-09	Bohemian	L 1-2	39.5	1133	1408	11.83%	26.36%	61.80%	-0.50	-3.8	19
2003-08-09	@ Drogheda United	W 2-1	39.5	1408	1133	61.80%	26.36%	11.83%	+0.50	+3.8	21
2003-08-09	Waterford United	W 1-0	34.1	1244	1075	58.42%	28.52%	13.06%	+0.44	+4.6	23
2003-08-09	@ Longford Town	L 0-1	34.1	1075	1244	13.06%	28.52%	58.42%	-0.44	-4.6	25
2003-08-15	Shamrock Rovers	W 1-0	43.9	1289	1342	29.19%	37.66%	33.15%	-0.03	+10.4	25
2003-08-15	@ Cork City	L 0-1	43.9	1342	1289	33.15%	37.66%	29.19%	+0.03	-10.4	21
2003-08-22	Derry City	D 1-1	49.9	1071	1190	21.54%	36.11%	42.35%	-0.17	+1.2	26
2003-08-22	@ Waterford United	D 1-1	49.9	1190	1071	42.35%	36.11%	21.54%	+0.17	-1.2	18
2003-08-22	Drogheda United	W 4-0	29.2	1299	1129	58.63%	28.39%	12.98%	+0.44	+16.4	28
2003-08-22	@ Cork City	L 0-4	29.2	1129	1299	12.98%	28.39%	58.63%	-0.44	-16.4	19
2003-08-22	Longford Town	L 0-3	36.1	1186	1249	27.79%	37.55%	34.65%	-0.05	-25.3	11
2003-08-22	@ UC Dublin	W 3-0	36.1	1249	1186	34.65%	37.55%	27.79%	+0.05	+25.3	26
2003-08-22	St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-2	54.9	1412	1253	57.22%	29.25%	13.52%	+0.42	-14.2	21
2003-08-22	@ Bohemian	W 2-1	54.9	1253	1412	13.52%	29.25%	57.22%	-0.42	+14.2	27
2003-08-29	Drogheda United	W 3-2	43.3	1331	1112	64.23%	24.76%	11.02%	+0.55	+3.3	24
2003-08-29	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 2-3	43.3	1112	1331	11.02%	24.76%	64.23%	-0.55	-3.3	19
2003-08-29	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-2	42.3	1316	1267	43.33%	35.82%	20.85%	+0.19	-23.4	28
2003-08-29	@ Cork City	W 2-0	42.3	1267	1316	20.85%	35.82%	43.33%	-0.19	+23.4	30
2003-08-29	UC Dublin	W 2-1	38.3	1398	1160	66.23%	23.40%	10.37%	+0.59	+3.2	24
2003-08-29	@ Bohemian	L 1-2	38.3	1160	1398	10.37%	23.40%	66.23%	-0.59	-3.2	11
2003-08-31	Longford Town	D 1-1	49.9	1189	1274	25.04%	37.15%	37.82%	-0.10	+0.7	19
2003-08-31	@ Derry City	D 1-1	49.9	1274	1189	37.82%	37.15%	25.04%	+0.10	-0.7	27
2003-09-01	Bohemian	L 1-2	49.3	1335	1401	27.45%	37.52%	35.03%	-0.06	-8.7	24
2003-09-01	@ Shamrock Rovers	W 2-1	49.3	1401	1335	35.03%	37.52%	27.45%	+0.06	+8.6	27
2003-09-01	Shelbourne	L 1-2	36.8	1072	1425	9.11%	20.59%	70.29%	-0.67	-2.6	26
2003-09-01	@ Waterford United	W 2-1	36.8	1425	1072	70.29%	20.59%	9.11%	+0.67	+2.6	32
2003-09-04	Waterford United	W 3-0	33.6	1109	1069	42.12%	36.18%	21.71%	+0.17	+21.2	22
2003-09-04	@ Drogheda United	L 0-3	33.6	1069	1109	21.71%	36.18%	42.12%	-0.17	-21.2	26
2003-09-05	Bohemian	L 2-4	45.4	1274	1409	20.01%	35.40%	44.59%	-0.21	-10.6	27
2003-09-05	@ Longford Town	W 4-2	45.4	1409	1274	44.59%	35.40%	20.01%	+0.21	+10.6	30
2003-09-05	Derry City	W 3-1	34.8	1427	1189	66.33%	23.33%	10.34%	+0.59	+5.5	35
2003-09-05	@ Shelbourne	L 1-3	34.8	1189	1427	10.34%	23.33%	66.33%	-0.59	-5.5	19
2003-09-05	Shamrock Rovers	W 1-0	43.1	1291	1326	31.61%	37.70%	30.69%	+0.01	+9.9	33
2003-09-05	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	43.1	1326	1291	30.69%	37.70%	31.61%	-0.01	-9.9	24
2003-09-07	Cork City	D 1-1	50.4	1157	1292	20.05%	35.42%	44.52%	-0.20	+1.4	12
2003-09-07	@ UC Dublin	D 1-1	50.4	1292	1157	44.52%	35.42%	20.05%	+0.20	-1.4	29
2003-09-19	Bohemian	L 1-2	46.4	1291	1420	20.61%	35.70%	43.69%	-0.19	-7.0	29
2003-09-19	@ Cork City	W 2-1	46.4	1420	1291	43.69%	35.70%	20.61%	+0.19	+7.0	33
2003-09-19	Longford Town	W 2-1	41.7	1433	1263	58.52%	28.46%	13.02%	+0.44	+4.4	38
2003-09-19	@ Shelbourne	L 1-2	41.7	1263	1433	13.02%	28.46%	58.52%	-0.44	-4.3	27
2003-09-19	St Patrick's Athletic	D 0-0	47.3	1048	1300	12.80%	28.09%	59.11%	-0.45	+3.1	27
2003-09-19	@ Waterford United	D 0-0	47.3	1300	1048	59.11%	28.09%	12.80%	+0.45	-3.1	34
2003-09-19	UC Dublin	W 2-0	31.0	1316	1159	57.08%	29.34%	13.58%	+0.42	+9.2	27
2003-09-19	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	31.0	1159	1316	13.58%	29.34%	57.08%	-0.42	-9.2	12
2003-09-22	Derry City	D 2-2	57.3	1297	1184	51.68%	32.35%	15.97%	+0.32	-1.6	35
2003-09-22	@ St Patrick's Athletic	D 2-2	57.3	1184	1297	15.97%	32.35%	51.68%	-0.32	+1.6	20
2003-09-22	Shamrock Rovers	W 2-1	45.1	1427	1325	50.19%	33.09%	16.72%	+0.30	+5.8	36
2003-09-22	@ Bohemian	L 1-2	45.1	1325	1427	16.72%	33.09%	50.19%	-0.30	-5.8	27
2003-09-22	Waterford United	W 3-0	31.3	1149	1051	49.76%	33.29%	16.95%	+0.29	+17.0	15
2003-09-22	@ UC Dublin	L 0-3	31.3	1051	1149	16.95%	33.29%	49.76%	-0.29	-17.0	27
2003-09-23	Cork City	L 0-1	43.3	1259	1284	33.08%	37.66%	29.26%	+0.03	-10.3	27
2003-09-23	@ Longford Town	W 1-0	43.3	1284	1259	29.26%	37.66%	33.08%	-0.03	+10.3	32
2003-09-23	Shelbourne	L 0-1	32.6	1130	1437	10.64%	23.98%	65.37%	-0.57	-3.5	22
2003-09-23	@ Drogheda United	W 1-0	32.6	1437	1130	65.37%	23.98%	10.64%	+0.57	+3.5	41
2003-09-25	UC Dublin	L 0-2	40.8	1185	1166	39.28%	36.87%	23.84%	+0.12	-21.9	20
2003-09-25	@ Derry City	W 2-0	40.8	1166	1185	23.84%	36.87%	39.28%	-0.12	+21.9	18
2003-09-26	Bohemian	W 2-1	55.5	1034	1433	7.74%	17.40%	74.86%	-0.76	+16.7	30
2003-09-26	@ Waterford United	L 1-2	55.5	1433	1034	74.86%	17.40%	7.74%	+0.76	-16.7	36
2003-09-26	Longford Town	L 0-5	34.8	1127	1248	21.28%	36.00%	42.72%	-0.18	-33.6	22
2003-09-26	@ Drogheda United	W 5-0	34.8	1248	1127	42.72%	36.00%	21.28%	+0.18	+33.6	30
2003-09-26	St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-0	33.5	1441	1296	55.56%	30.24%	14.20%	+0.39	+9.7	44
2003-09-26	@ Shelbourne	L 0-2	33.5	1296	1441	14.20%	30.24%	55.56%	-0.39	-9.7	35
2003-09-27	Cork City	L 0-2	41.9	1320	1294	40.16%	36.68%	23.16%	+0.14	-22.2	27
2003-09-27	@ Shamrock Rovers	W 2-0	41.9	1294	1320	23.16%	36.68%	40.16%	-0.14	+22.2	35
2003-09-29	Shelbourne	W 1-0	47.3	1416	1450	31.79%	37.70%	30.51%	+0.01	+9.8	39
2003-09-29	@ Bohemian	L 0-1	47.3	1450	1416	30.51%	37.70%	31.79%	-0.01	-9.8	44
2003-10-02	Drogheda United	D 0-0	45.2	1164	1093	46.19%	34.82%	18.99%	+0.23	-1.8	21
2003-10-02	@ Derry City	D 0-0	45.2	1093	1164	18.99%	34.82%	46.19%	-0.23	+1.8	23
2003-10-03	Shelbourne	L 0-1	34.9	1188	1440	12.80%	28.10%	59.10%	-0.45	-4.5	18
2003-10-03	@ UC Dublin	W 1-0	34.9	1440	1188	59.10%	28.10%	12.80%	+0.45	+4.5	47
2003-10-03	Waterford United	D 2-2	60.4	1317	1051	69.30%	21.28%	9.42%	+0.65	-2.7	36
2003-10-03	@ Cork City	D 2-2	60.4	1051	1317	9.42%	21.28%	69.30%	-0.65	+2.7	31
2003-10-06	Shamrock Rovers	L 1-2	49.9	1282	1297	34.49%	37.57%	27.94%	+0.05	-10.0	30
2003-10-06	@ Longford Town	W 2-1	49.9	1297	1282	27.94%	37.57%	34.49%	-0.05	+10.0	30
2003-10-09	Cork City	D 1-1	50.7	1162	1314	18.66%	34.60%	46.74%	-0.24	+1.6	22
2003-10-09	@ Derry City	D 1-1	50.7	1314	1162	46.74%	34.60%	18.66%	+0.24	-1.6	37
2003-10-10	Shamrock Rovers	D 3-3	61.8	1054	1307	12.73%	27.98%	59.29%	-0.46	+1.8	32
2003-10-10	@ Waterford United	D 3-3	61.8	1307	1054	59.29%	27.98%	12.73%	+0.46	-1.8	31
2003-10-10	UC Dublin	D 0-0	44.6	1095	1184	24.67%	37.07%	38.26%	-0.11	+0.8	24
2003-10-10	@ Drogheda United	D 0-0	44.6	1184	1095	38.26%	37.07%	24.67%	+0.11	-0.8	19
2003-10-13	Derry City	D 1-1	51.9	1306	1163	55.23%	30.43%	14.34%	+0.38	-2.5	32
2003-10-13	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	51.9	1163	1306	14.34%	30.43%	55.23%	-0.38	+2.5	23
2003-10-13	Drogheda United	D 1-1	56.2	1426	1096	75.73%	16.80%	7.47%	+0.78	-4.0	40
2003-10-13	@ Bohemian	D 1-1	56.2	1096	1426	7.47%	16.80%	75.73%	-0.78	+4.0	25
2003-10-13	Longford Town	D 0-0	46.5	1055	1272	14.51%	30.65%	54.84%	-0.38	+2.7	33
2003-10-13	@ Waterford United	D 0-0	46.5	1272	1055	54.84%	30.65%	14.51%	+0.38	-2.7	31
2003-10-13	Shelbourne	D 1-1	52.8	1312	1445	20.26%	35.53%	44.20%	-0.20	+1.4	38
2003-10-13	@ Cork City	D 1-1	52.8	1445	1312	44.20%	35.53%	20.26%	+0.20	-1.3	48
2003-10-13	St Patrick's Athletic	D 0-0	45.0	1183	1286	23.14%	36.67%	40.19%	-0.14	+1.0	20
2003-10-13	@ UC Dublin	D 0-0	45.0	1286	1183	40.19%	36.67%	23.14%	+0.14	-1.0	36
2003-10-16	Waterford United	L 1-2	52.6	1166	1058	50.97%	32.71%	16.32%	+0.31	-13.1	23
2003-10-16	@ Derry City	W 2-1	52.6	1058	1166	16.32%	32.71%	50.97%	-0.31	+13.1	36
2003-10-17	Bohemian	L 2-4	45.7	1285	1422	19.90%	35.35%	44.75%	-0.21	-10.5	36
2003-10-17	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 4-2	45.7	1422	1285	44.75%	35.35%	19.90%	+0.21	+10.5	43
2003-10-17	Cork City	L 0-1	35.4	1100	1314	14.66%	30.84%	54.51%	-0.37	-5.3	25
2003-10-17	@ Drogheda United	W 1-0	35.4	1314	1100	54.51%	30.84%	14.66%	+0.37	+5.3	41
2003-10-17	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	46.0	1444	1303	55.01%	30.55%	14.44%	+0.38	-27.7	48
2003-10-17	@ Shelbourne	W 2-0	46.0	1303	1444	14.44%	30.55%	55.01%	-0.38	+27.7	35
2003-10-18	UC Dublin	W 2-1	43.3	1269	1184	48.11%	34.03%	17.86%	+0.26	+6.2	34
2003-10-18	@ Longford Town	L 1-2	43.3	1184	1269	17.86%	34.03%	48.11%	-0.26	-6.2	20
2003-10-20	Cork City	L 0-2	39.1	1274	1319	30.33%	37.70%	31.98%	-0.01	-18.5	36
2003-10-20	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-0	39.1	1319	1274	31.98%	37.70%	30.33%	+0.01	+18.5	44
2003-10-20	Waterford United	W 3-1	30.9	1416	1071	77.06%	15.86%	7.07%	+0.81	+3.2	51
2003-10-20	@ Shelbourne	L 1-3	30.9	1071	1416	7.07%	15.86%	77.06%	-0.81	-3.2	36
2003-10-21	Bohemian	L 0-1	34.7	1178	1432	12.70%	27.92%	59.38%	-0.46	-4.5	20
2003-10-21	@ UC Dublin	W 1-0	34.7	1432	1178	59.38%	27.92%	12.70%	+0.46	+4.5	46
2003-10-21	Derry City	L 0-1	47.1	1275	1153	52.84%	31.75%	15.41%	+0.34	-14.3	34
2003-10-21	@ Longford Town	W 1-0	47.1	1153	1275	15.41%	31.75%	52.84%	-0.34	+14.3	26
2003-10-21	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	34.6	1094	1331	13.52%	29.24%	57.24%	-0.42	-4.8	25
2003-10-21	@ Drogheda United	W 1-0	34.6	1331	1094	57.24%	29.24%	13.52%	+0.42	+4.8	38
2003-10-24	Bohemian	D 0-0	47.7	1336	1437	23.33%	36.73%	39.94%	-0.13	+1.0	39
2003-10-24	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 0-0	47.7	1437	1336	39.94%	36.73%	23.33%	+0.13	-1.0	47
2003-10-24	Drogheda United	L 0-2	39.2	1068	1090	33.61%	37.63%	28.76%	+0.04	-19.7	36
2003-10-24	@ Waterford United	W 2-0	39.2	1090	1068	28.76%	37.63%	33.61%	-0.04	+19.7	28
2003-10-24	UC Dublin	D 0-0	47.4	1337	1173	57.84%	28.88%	13.28%	+0.43	-3.0	45
2003-10-24	@ Cork City	D 0-0	47.4	1173	1337	13.28%	28.88%	57.84%	-0.43	+3.0	21
2003-10-25	Shelbourne	D 0-0	48.0	1167	1419	12.80%	28.09%	59.11%	-0.45	+3.2	27
2003-10-25	@ Derry City	D 0-0	48.0	1419	1167	59.11%	28.09%	12.80%	+0.45	-3.1	52
2003-10-28	Derry City	W 3-1	33.8	1436	1170	69.31%	21.28%	9.41%	+0.65	+4.8	50
2003-10-28	@ Bohemian	L 1-3	33.8	1170	1436	9.41%	21.28%	69.31%	-0.65	-4.8	27
2003-10-28	Shelbourne	L 2-4	48.7	1337	1416	25.80%	37.29%	36.91%	-0.09	-12.8	39
2003-10-28	@ Shamrock Rovers	W 4-2	48.7	1416	1337	36.91%	37.29%	25.80%	+0.09	+12.9	55
2003-10-29	Drogheda United	D 3-3	61.2	1256	1109	55.76%	30.12%	14.12%	+0.39	-1.6	37
2003-10-29	@ St Patrick's Athletic	D 3-3	61.2	1109	1256	14.12%	30.12%	55.76%	-0.39	+1.6	29
2003-10-31	Cork City	W 1-0	39.4	1441	1334	50.78%	32.80%	16.42%	+0.31	+6.0	53
2003-10-31	@ Bohemian	L 0-1	39.4	1334	1441	16.42%	32.80%	50.78%	-0.31	-6.0	45
2003-10-31	Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	50.7	1176	1324	19.03%	34.84%	46.13%	-0.23	+1.6	22
2003-10-31	@ UC Dublin	D 1-1	50.7	1324	1176	46.13%	34.84%	19.03%	+0.23	-1.6	40
2003-11-01	Derry City	D 1-1	49.5	1111	1165	28.95%	37.64%	33.40%	-0.03	+0.2	30
2003-11-01	@ Drogheda United	D 1-1	49.5	1165	1111	33.40%	37.64%	28.95%	+0.03	-0.2	28
2003-11-01	Waterford United	W 1-0	32.8	1254	1048	62.75%	25.74%	11.51%	+0.52	+3.9	40
2003-11-01	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	32.8	1048	1254	11.51%	25.74%	62.75%	-0.52	-3.9	36
2003-11-04	Bohemian	L 1-3	50.8	1429	1447	34.15%	37.59%	28.25%	+0.04	-17.2	55
2003-11-04	@ Shelbourne	W 3-1	50.8	1447	1429	28.25%	37.59%	34.15%	-0.04	+17.2	56
2003-11-04	Longford Town	D 0-0	46.0	1328	1261	45.77%	34.98%	19.25%	+0.22	-1.7	46
2003-11-04	@ Cork City	D 0-0	46.0	1261	1328	19.25%	34.98%	45.77%	-0.22	+1.7	35
2003-11-04	St Patrick's Athletic	D 1-1	49.9	1165	1258	24.20%	36.96%	38.84%	-0.12	+0.8	29
2003-11-04	@ Derry City	D 1-1	49.9	1258	1165	38.84%	36.96%	24.20%	+0.12	-0.8	41
2003-11-04	UC Dublin	D 2-2	56.0	1044	1178	20.19%	35.50%	44.31%	-0.20	+1.0	37
2003-11-04	@ Waterford United	D 2-2	56.0	1178	1044	44.31%	35.50%	20.19%	+0.20	-1.0	23
2003-11-07	Derry City	W 2-0	36.4	1177	1166	38.21%	37.08%	24.71%	+0.11	+16.1	26
2003-11-07	@ UC Dublin	L 0-2	36.4	1166	1177	24.71%	37.08%	38.21%	-0.11	-16.1	29
2003-11-07	Shamrock Rovers	D 2-2	56.7	1327	1322	37.27%	37.24%	25.50%	+0.09	-0.5	47
2003-11-07	@ Cork City	D 2-2	56.7	1322	1327	25.50%	37.24%	37.27%	-0.09	+0.5	41
2003-11-07	Shelbourne	L 0-1	38.9	1257	1412	18.50%	34.50%	47.00%	-0.24	-6.8	41
2003-11-07	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 1-0	38.9	1412	1257	47.00%	34.50%	18.50%	+0.24	+6.8	58
2003-11-07	Waterford United	D 1-1	57.7	1464	1045	83.08%	11.68%	5.25%	+0.97	-4.5	57
2003-11-07	@ Bohemian	D 1-1	57.7	1045	1464	5.25%	11.68%	83.08%	-0.97	+4.4	38
2003-11-08	Drogheda United	L 0-2	43.8	1263	1111	56.38%	29.75%	13.86%	+0.40	-28.2	35
2003-11-08	@ Longford Town	W 2-0	43.8	1111	1263	13.86%	29.75%	56.38%	-0.40	+28.2	33
2003-11-10	UC Dublin	D 0-0	49.3	1418	1193	64.92%	24.29%	10.79%	+0.56	-3.7	59
2003-11-10	@ Shelbourne	D 0-0	49.3	1193	1418	10.79%	24.29%	64.92%	-0.56	+3.7	27
2003-11-11	Bohemian	L 0-3	27.5	1150	1459	10.55%	23.77%	65.68%	-0.57	-9.5	29
2003-11-11	@ Derry City	W 3-0	27.5	1459	1150	65.68%	23.77%	10.55%	+0.57	+9.5	60
2003-11-11	Cork City	W 3-0	42.8	1050	1326	11.79%	26.29%	61.91%	-0.50	+43.5	41
2003-11-11	@ Waterford United	L 0-3	42.8	1326	1050	61.91%	26.29%	11.79%	+0.50	-43.5	47
2003-11-11	Longford Town	L 0-1	46.9	1323	1235	48.47%	33.88%	17.65%	+0.27	-13.4	41
2003-11-11	@ Shamrock Rovers	W 1-0	46.9	1235	1323	17.65%	33.88%	48.47%	-0.27	+13.4	38
2003-11-11	St Patrick's Athletic	D 2-2	55.8	1139	1251	22.26%	36.39%	41.35%	-0.15	+0.8	34
2003-11-11	@ Drogheda United	D 2-2	55.8	1251	1139	41.35%	36.39%	22.26%	+0.15	-0.8	42
2003-11-14	Derry City	W 1-0	35.2	1283	1140	55.24%	30.42%	14.34%	+0.38	+5.2	50
2003-11-14	@ Cork City	L 0-1	35.2	1140	1283	14.34%	30.42%	55.24%	-0.38	-5.2	29
2003-11-14	Drogheda United	W 2-1	44.3	1197	1140	44.40%	35.47%	20.13%	+0.20	+6.9	30
2003-11-14	@ UC Dublin	L 1-2	44.3	1140	1197	20.13%	35.47%	44.40%	-0.20	-6.9	34
2003-11-14	Shelbourne	L 0-1	51.3	1469	1415	44.06%	35.58%	20.36%	+0.20	-12.6	60
2003-11-14	@ Bohemian	W 1-0	51.3	1415	1469	20.36%	35.58%	44.06%	-0.20	+12.6	62
2003-11-14	St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-0	37.3	1248	1250	36.42%	37.36%	26.23%	+0.08	+16.8	41
2003-11-14	@ Longford Town	L 0-2	37.3	1250	1248	26.23%	37.36%	36.42%	-0.08	-16.8	42
2003-11-14	Waterford United	D 1-1	53.4	1309	1093	63.88%	24.99%	11.13%	+0.54	-3.2	42
2003-11-14	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	53.4	1093	1309	11.13%	24.99%	63.88%	-0.54	+3.2	42
2003-11-17	Drogheda United	W 2-0	26.8	1427	1133	72.24%	19.24%	8.52%	+0.71	+4.8	65
2003-11-17	@ Shelbourne	L 0-2	26.8	1133	1427	8.52%	19.24%	72.24%	-0.71	-4.8	34
2003-11-17	Longford Town	D 1-1	54.8	1456	1265	61.06%	26.85%	12.09%	+0.49	-3.0	61
2003-11-17	@ Bohemian	D 1-1	54.8	1265	1456	12.09%	26.85%	61.06%	-0.49	+3.0	42
2003-11-20	Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	50.9	1135	1306	17.27%	33.57%	49.17%	-0.28	+1.9	30
2003-11-20	@ Derry City	D 1-1	50.9	1306	1135	49.17%	33.57%	17.27%	+0.28	-1.9	43
2003-11-21	Bohemian	W 2-0	45.6	1128	1453	10.01%	22.62%	67.37%	-0.61	+31.5	37
2003-11-21	@ Drogheda United	L 0-2	45.6	1453	1128	67.37%	22.62%	10.01%	+0.61	-31.5	61
2003-11-21	Cork City	W 2-0	33.3	1432	1288	55.46%	30.29%	14.24%	+0.39	+9.7	68
2003-11-21	@ Shelbourne	L 0-2	33.3	1288	1432	14.24%	30.29%	55.46%	-0.39	-9.7	50
2003-11-21	UC Dublin	D 0-0	44.9	1233	1204	40.74%	36.54%	22.72%	+0.14	-1.1	43
2003-11-21	@ St Patrick's Athletic	D 0-0	44.9	1204	1233	22.72%	36.54%	40.74%	-0.14	+1.1	31
2003-11-21	Waterford United	L 0-1	47.8	1268	1097	58.72%	28.34%	12.95%	+0.45	-15.3	42
2003-11-21	@ Longford Town	W 1-0	47.8	1097	1268	12.95%	28.34%	58.72%	-0.45	+15.3	45
2003-11-24	Shelbourne	W 2-1	54.4	1253	1442	16.08%	32.46%	51.46%	-0.32	+13.2	45
2003-11-24	@ Longford Town	L 1-2	54.4	1442	1253	51.46%	32.46%	16.08%	+0.32	-13.2	68
2003-11-24	St Patrick's Athletic	L 3-5	53.4	1304	1232	46.43%	34.72%	18.84%	+0.24	-18.0	43
2003-11-24	@ Shamrock Rovers	W 5-3	53.4	1232	1304	18.84%	34.72%	46.43%	-0.24	+18.0	46
2003-11-25	Bohemian	W 1-0	48.7	1137	1422	11.46%	25.64%	62.90%	-0.52	+16.0	33
2003-11-25	@ Derry City	L 0-1	48.7	1422	1137	62.90%	25.64%	11.46%	+0.52	-16.0	61
2003-11-27	Longford Town	L 1-2	49.6	1250	1266	34.43%	37.57%	28.00%	+0.05	-10.0	46
2003-11-27	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-1	49.6	1266	1250	28.00%	37.57%	34.43%	-0.05	+10.0	48
2003-11-28	Shelbourne	D 1-1	52.3	1286	1429	19.45%	35.09%	45.46%	-0.22	+1.5	44
2003-11-28	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	52.3	1429	1286	45.46%	35.09%	19.45%	+0.22	-1.5	69
2003-11-30	Derry City	L 0-1	42.1	1112	1153	30.80%	37.71%	31.49%	-0.01	-9.9	45
2003-11-30	@ Waterford United	W 1-0	42.1	1153	1112	31.49%	37.71%	30.80%	+0.01	+9.9	36
2003-11-30	Drogheda United	W 1-0	36.1	1278	1160	52.29%	32.04%	15.67%	+0.33	+5.7	53
2003-11-30	@ Cork City	L 0-1	36.1	1160	1278	15.67%	32.04%	52.29%	-0.33	-5.7	37
2003-11-30	Longford Town	W 2-0	40.1	1205	1276	26.80%	37.44%	35.75%	-0.07	+20.5	34
2003-11-30	@ UC Dublin	L 0-2	40.1	1276	1205	35.75%	37.44%	26.80%	+0.07	-20.5	48
2003-11-30	St Patrick's Athletic	W 3-0	30.1	1406	1240	58.06%	28.74%	13.20%	+0.43	+12.8	64
2003-11-30	@ Bohemian	L 0-3	30.1	1240	1406	13.20%	28.74%	58.06%	-0.43	-12.8	46

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2003-09-26	7.74%	@ Waterford United	1034	2	Bohemian	1433	1
2	2003-08-01	8.23%	Waterford United	1058	1	@ Shamrock Rovers	1362	0
3	2003-05-16	8.59%	@ Waterford United	1020	2	Shamrock Rovers	1390	0
4	2003-11-21	10.01%	@ Drogheda United	1128	2	Bohemian	1453	0
5	2003-04-25	10.08%	Waterford United	1004	2	@ UC Dublin	1250	1
6	2003-11-25	11.46%	@ Derry City	1137	1	Bohemian	1422	0
7	2003-11-11	11.79%	@ Waterford United	1050	3	Cork City	1326	0
8	2003-07-18	12.47%	@ Waterford United	1043	2	Cork City	1303	1
9	2003-11-21	12.95%	Waterford United	1097	1	@ Longford Town	1268	0
10	2003-04-21	13.09%	@ Waterford United	982	4	St Patrick's Athletic	1227	2
11	2003-06-12	13.36%	@ Derry City	1204	2	Shelbourne	1443	0
12	2003-06-06	13.39%	@ UC Dublin	1182	2	Bohemian	1422	1
13	2003-08-22	13.52%	St Patrick's Athletic	1253	2	@ Bohemian	1412	1
14	2003-11-08	13.86%	Drogheda United	1111	2	@ Longford Town	1263	0
15	2003-07-18	14.29%	Longford Town	1232	3	@ Shamrock Rovers	1375	2
16	2003-04-22	14.43%	Drogheda United	1074	1	@ Derry City	1215	0
17	2003-04-17	14.44%	Waterford United	958	3	@ Drogheda United	1098	1
18	2003-10-17	14.44%	Shamrock Rovers	1303	2	@ Shelbourne	1444	0
19	2003-05-30	15.40%	@ St Patrick's Athletic	1235	1	Bohemian	1436	0
20	2003-10-21	15.41%	Derry City	1153	1	@ Longford Town	1275	0
21	2003-05-31	15.70%	@ Drogheda United	1106	3	Cork City	1301	1
22	2003-11-24	16.08%	@ Longford Town	1253	2	Shelbourne	1442	1
23	2003-10-16	16.32%	Waterford United	1058	2	@ Derry City	1166	1
24	2003-11-11	17.65%	Longford Town	1235	1	@ Shamrock Rovers	1323	0
25	2003-04-22	17.92%	@ Cork City	1285	3	Bohemian	1447	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2003-11-11	43.46	@ Waterford United	3	1050	11.79%	Cork City	0	1326	61.91%	26.29%
2	2003-07-15	33.91	@ Longford Town	4	1198	33.54%	Derry City	0	1220	28.82%	37.64%
3	2003-09-26	33.63	Longford Town	5	1248	42.72%	@ Drogheda United	0	1127	21.28%	36.00%
4	2003-04-18	33.14	Cork City	3	1251	21.95%	@ UC Dublin	0	1289	41.78%	36.27%
5	2003-05-16	32.68	@ Waterford United	2	1020	8.59%	Shamrock Rovers	0	1390	72.01%	19.40%
6	2003-11-21	31.50	@ Drogheda United	2	1128	10.01%	Bohemian	0	1453	67.37%	22.62%
7	2003-06-12	28.57	@ Derry City	2	1204	13.36%	Shelbourne	0	1443	57.63%	29.01%
8	2003-11-08	28.15	Drogheda United	2	1111	13.86%	@ Longford Town	0	1263	56.38%	29.75%
9	2003-10-17	27.69	Shamrock Rovers	2	1303	14.44%	@ Shelbourne	0	1444	55.01%	30.55%
10	2003-04-26	26.05	Cork City	3	1297	33.38%	@ Longford Town	0	1242	28.97%	37.65%
11	2003-08-22	25.35	Longford Town	3	1249	34.65%	@ UC Dublin	0	1186	27.79%	37.55%
12	2003-04-17	23.98	Waterford United	3	958	14.44%	@ Drogheda United	1	1098	55.00%	30.56%
13	2003-05-16	23.53	@ Drogheda United	2	1085	20.63%	UC Dublin	0	1214	43.66%	35.71%
14	2003-08-29	23.41	St Patrick's Athletic	2	1267	20.85%	@ Cork City	0	1316	43.33%	35.82%
15	2003-05-31	23.13	@ Drogheda United	3	1106	15.70%	Cork City	1	1301	52.23%	32.07%
16	2003-04-21	22.31	@ Waterford United	4	982	13.09%	St Patrick's Athletic	2	1227	58.33%	28.58%
17	2003-09-27	22.19	Cork City	2	1294	23.16%	@ Shamrock Rovers	0	1320	40.16%	36.68%
18	2003-09-25	21.86	UC Dublin	2	1166	23.84%	@ Derry City	0	1185	39.28%	36.87%
19	2003-09-04	21.22	@ Drogheda United	3	1109	42.12%	Waterford United	0	1069	21.71%	36.18%
20	2003-11-30	20.52	@ UC Dublin	2	1205	26.80%	Longford Town	0	1276	35.75%	37.44%
21	2003-04-25	20.13	@ St Patrick's Athletic	4	1205	37.34%	Derry City	1	1200	25.44%	37.23%
22	2003-10-24	19.70	Drogheda United	2	1090	28.76%	@ Waterford United	0	1068	33.61%	37.63%
23	2003-10-20	18.46	Cork City	2	1319	31.98%	@ St Patrick's Athletic	0	1274	30.33%	37.70%
24	2003-07-18	18.45	@ Drogheda United	4	1122	20.12%	St Patrick's Athletic	2	1256	44.42%	35.46%
25	2003-11-24	17.99	St Patrick's Athletic	5	1232	18.84%	@ Shamrock Rovers	3	1304	46.43%	34.72%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2003-10-10	61.8	@ Waterford United	3	1054	12.73%	Shamrock Rovers	3	1307	59.29%	27.98%
2	2003-10-29	61.2	@ St Patrick's Athletic	3	1256	55.76%	Drogheda United	3	1109	14.12%	30.12%
3	2003-05-16	61.1	@ Shelbourne	2	1443	38.02%	Bohemian	2	1433	24.87%	37.11%
4	2003-05-02	60.4	@ Shelbourne	2	1435	63.18%	St Patrick's Athletic	2	1225	11.37%	25.46%
5	2003-10-03	60.4	@ Cork City	2	1317	69.30%	Waterford United	2	1051	9.42%	21.28%
6	2003-04-22	59.3	@ Cork City	3	1285	17.92%	Bohemian	2	1447	48.01%	34.08%
7	2003-07-18	59.0	Longford Town	3	1232	14.29%	@ Shamrock Rovers	2	1375	55.36%	30.35%
8	2003-11-07	57.7	@ Bohemian	1	1464	83.08%	Waterford United	1	1045	5.25%	11.68%
9	2003-06-04	57.4	@ Shelbourne	1	1448	82.09%	Waterford United	1	1042	5.55%	12.36%
10	2003-09-22	57.3	@ St Patrick's Athletic	2	1297	51.68%	Derry City	2	1184	15.97%	32.35%
11	2003-08-04	56.7	@ UC Dublin	2	1199	19.20%	Shamrock Rovers	2	1345	45.85%	34.95%
12	2003-11-07	56.7	@ Cork City	2	1327	37.27%	Shamrock Rovers	2	1322	25.50%	37.24%
13	2003-10-13	56.2	@ Bohemian	1	1426	75.73%	Drogheda United	1	1096	7.47%	16.80%
14	2003-11-04	56.0	@ Waterford United	2	1044	20.19%	UC Dublin	2	1178	44.31%	35.50%
15	2003-05-02	55.9	@ Drogheda United	2	1093	21.10%	Longford Town	2	1216	42.97%	35.93%
16	2003-11-11	55.8	@ Drogheda United	2	1139	22.26%	St Patrick's Athletic	2	1251	41.35%	36.39%
17	2003-07-03	55.6	@ Derry City	2	1220	31.87%	St Patrick's Athletic	2	1254	30.43%	37.70%
18	2003-09-26	55.5	@ Waterford United	2	1034	7.74%	Bohemian	1	1433	74.86%	17.40%
19	2003-05-09	55.2	@ Cork City	1	1316	72.76%	Waterford United	1	1016	8.37%	18.87%
20	2003-04-25	55.0	@ Drogheda United	1	1089	9.20%	Shelbourne	1	1439	69.99%	20.80%
21	2003-05-09	55.0	@ Bohemian	1	1437	67.21%	Derry City	1	1191	10.06%	22.72%
22	2003-07-18	54.9	@ Shelbourne	1	1431	66.77%	UC Dublin	1	1188	10.20%	23.03%
23	2003-08-22	54.9	St Patrick's Athletic	2	1253	13.52%	@ Bohemian	1	1412	57.22%	29.25%
24	2003-11-17	54.8	@ Bohemian	1	1456	61.06%	Longford Town	1	1265	12.09%	26.85%
25	2003-04-10	54.7	Longford Town	3	1234	26.67%	@ Derry City	2	1229	35.90%	37.42%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2003-04-11	22.6	Shelbourne	4	1425	80.44%	@ Waterford United	0	964	6.05%	13.50%
2	2003-07-04	25.0	@ Shelbourne	3	1426	72.77%	Drogheda United	0	1126	8.36%	18.86%
3	2003-11-17	26.8	@ Shelbourne	2	1427	72.24%	Drogheda United	0	1133	8.52%	19.24%
4	2003-07-11	27.0	@ Bohemian	5	1402	77.82%	Waterford United	1	1049	6.84%	15.33%
5	2003-11-11	27.5	Bohemian	3	1459	65.68%	@ Derry City	0	1150	10.55%	23.77%
6	2003-08-22	29.2	@ Cork City	4	1299	58.63%	Drogheda United	0	1129	12.98%	28.39%
7	2003-05-23	29.5	@ Bohemian	1	1434	75.28%	Drogheda United	0	1108	7.61%	17.11%
8	2003-11-30	30.1	@ Bohemian	3	1406	58.06%	St Patrick's Athletic	0	1240	13.20%	28.74%
9	2003-10-20	30.9	@ Shelbourne	3	1416	77.06%	Waterford United	1	1071	7.07%	15.86%
10	2003-09-19	31.0	@ Shamrock Rovers	2	1316	57.08%	UC Dublin	0	1159	13.58%	29.34%
11	2003-05-02	31.1	Bohemian	3	1433	76.26%	@ Waterford United	1	1020	7.31%	16.42%
12	2003-09-22	31.3	@ UC Dublin	3	1149	49.76%	Waterford United	0	1051	16.95%	33.29%
13	2003-09-23	32.6	Shelbourne	1	1437	65.37%	@ Drogheda United	0	1130	10.64%	23.98%
14	2003-11-01	32.8	@ St Patrick's Athletic	1	1254	62.75%	Waterford United	0	1048	11.51%	25.74%
15	2003-05-09	33.0	Shelbourne	2	1433	53.91%	@ UC Dublin	0	1224	14.92%	31.17%
16	2003-06-30	33.0	@ St Patrick's Athletic	4	1244	60.49%	Waterford United	1	1057	12.29%	27.22%
17	2003-11-21	33.3	@ Shelbourne	2	1432	55.46%	Cork City	0	1288	14.24%	30.29%
18	2003-09-26	33.5	@ Shelbourne	2	1441	55.56%	St Patrick's Athletic	0	1296	14.20%	30.24%
19	2003-07-01	33.6	Shelbourne	2	1415	51.28%	@ Longford Town	0	1227	16.17%	32.55%
20	2003-09-04	33.6	@ Drogheda United	3	1109	42.12%	Waterford United	0	1069	21.71%	36.18%
21	2003-04-18	33.8	@ Shelbourne	1	1431	63.47%	Derry City	0	1219	11.27%	25.27%
22	2003-05-23	33.8	@ Shamrock Rovers	5	1357	56.26%	Derry City	1	1206	13.91%	29.82%
23	2003-10-28	33.8	@ Bohemian	3	1436	69.31%	Derry City	1	1170	9.41%	21.28%
24	2003-08-09	34.1	@ Longford Town	1	1244	58.42%	Waterford United	0	1075	13.06%	28.52%
25	2003-10-21	34.6	Shamrock Rovers	1	1331	57.24%	@ Drogheda United	0	1094	13.52%	29.24%