2021 League of Ireland Premier Division Season

180 games · 5 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Shamrock Rovers

78 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

St Patrick's Athletic

8.88 points above expected

62 points · 53.12 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Longford Town

15.47 points below expected

15 points · 30.47 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Shamrock Rovers	36	24	6	6	78	59	28	+31	74.50	+3.50
2	St Patrick's Athletic	36	18	8	10	62	56	42	+14	53.12	+8.88
3	Sligo Rovers	36	16	9	11	57	43	32	+11	51.55	+5.45
4	Derry City	36	14	12	10	54	49	42	+7	48.02	+5.98
5	Bohemian	36	14	10	12	52	60	46	+14	55.98	-3.98
6	Dundalk	36	13	9	14	48	44	46	-2	52.93	-4.93
7	Drogheda United	36	12	8	16	44	45	43	+2	50.52	-6.52
8	Finn Harps	36	11	11	14	44	44	52	-8	40.83	+3.17
9	Waterford	36	12	6	18	42	36	56	-20	38.38	+3.62
10	Longford Town	36	2	9	25	15	22	71	-49	30.47	-15.47

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	St Patrick's Athletic	62	53.12	+8.88
2	Derry City	54	48.02	+5.98
3	Sligo Rovers	57	51.55	+5.45
4	Waterford	42	38.38	+3.62
5	Shamrock Rovers	78	74.50	+3.50

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Longford Town	15	30.47	-15.47
2	Drogheda United	44	50.52	-6.52
3	Dundalk	48	52.93	-4.93
4	Bohemian	52	55.98	-3.98
5	Finn Harps	44	40.83	+3.17

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Finn Harps	4	Aug 7 – Sep 3	1 in 348
2	Waterford	4	Jul 9 – Aug 7	1 in 330
3	Sligo Rovers	5	May 7 – May 28	1 in 145
4	Derry City	4	Jul 31 – Aug 21	1 in 38
5	Shamrock Rovers	7	Apr 13 – May 8	1 in 32

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sligo Rovers	4	Jul 18 – Aug 21	1 in 172
2	Waterford	7	Apr 30 – May 29	1 in 151
3	Derry City	4	Mar 20 – Apr 13	1 in 48
4	Drogheda United	4	Jul 16 – Aug 15	1 in 46
5	Dundalk	3	Mar 26 – Apr 9	1 in 26

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	St Patrick's Athletic	9	Mar 19 – May 3	1 in 101
2	Derry City	8	May 7 – Jun 21	1 in 74
3	Finn Harps	5	Aug 7 – Sep 10	1 in 43
4	Sligo Rovers	7	Apr 30 – May 28	1 in 28
5	Waterford	4	Jul 9 – Aug 7	1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Longford Town	25	Mar 27 – Sep 3	1 in 679
2	Dundalk	6	Mar 20 – Apr 20	1 in 27
3	Sligo Rovers	5	Jul 18 – Sep 3	1 in 21
4	Finn Harps	8	May 28 – Jul 17	1 in 18
5	Shamrock Rovers	3	May 15 – May 24	1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Shamrock Rovers	1479	78	+0	12	10.9	+1.1
St Patrick's Athletic	1311	62	-13	6	8.5	-2.5
Sligo Rovers	1321	57	+20	10	7.6	+2.4
Derry City	1332	54	+16	9	7.3	+1.7
Bohemian	1354	52	+17	9	6.6	+2.4
Dundalk	1316	48	+3	9	8.1	+0.9
Finn Harps	1238	44	+11	6	5.8	+0.2
Drogheda United	1263	44	-22	1	5.6	-4.6
Waterford	1230	42	-9	3	5.8	-2.8
Longford Town	1073	15	-27	1	3.6	-2.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BOH	DC	DU	DUN	FH	LT	SR	SR	SPA	WAT
Bohemian	—	0-3-1 6.18	2-1-1 6.22	2-1-1 5.68	2-0-2 7.00	2-2-0 7.93	2-1-1 3.58	1-1-2 6.16	1-1-2 5.96	2-0-2 7.36
Derry City	1-3-0 4.80	—	2-1-1 5.31	2-1-1 5.07	1-2-1 6.56	2-1-1 7.33	0-1-3 2.99	3-1-0 5.12	1-1-2 5.20	2-1-1 6.64
Drogheda United	1-1-2 4.76	1-1-2 5.67	—	1-0-3 5.04	2-2-0 6.53	3-1-0 7.46	0-1-3 2.99	1-2-1 5.23	1-0-3 5.32	2-0-2 6.39
Dundalk	1-1-2 5.29	1-1-2 5.91	3-0-1 5.94	—	1-2-1 7.01	1-2-1 8.13	2-0-2 3.42	1-1-2 5.69	1-1-2 5.65	2-1-1 6.98
Finn Harps	2-0-2 4.01	1-2-1 4.43	0-2-2 4.46	1-2-1 4.02	—	2-2-0 6.70	1-1-2 2.44	1-1-2 4.21	1-1-2 4.14	2-0-2 5.80
Longford Town	0-2-2 3.18	1-1-2 3.72	0-1-3 3.62	1-2-1 3.01	0-2-2 4.32	—	0-0-4 1.86	0-0-4 3.49	0-0-4 3.14	0-1-3 4.35
Shamrock Rovers	1-1-2 7.48	3-1-0 8.14	3-1-0 8.15	2-0-2 7.65	2-1-1 8.79	4-0-0 9.50	—	2-1-1 7.85	3-1-0 7.85	4-0-0 8.92
Sligo Rovers	2-1-1 4.82	0-1-3 5.85	1-2-1 5.74	2-1-1 5.29	2-1-1 6.80	4-0-0 7.61	1-1-2 3.24	—	2-1-1 5.31	2-1-1 6.85
St Patrick's Athletic	2-1-1 5.02	2-1-1 5.77	3-0-1 5.65	2-1-1 5.32	2-1-1 6.87	4-0-0 7.98	0-1-3 3.25	1-1-2 5.66	—	2-2-0 7.01
Waterford	2-0-2 3.70	1-1-2 4.36	2-0-2 4.60	1-1-2 4.05	2-0-2 5.17	3-1-0 6.66	0-0-4 2.33	1-1-2 4.18	0-2-2 4.02	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.76	+12.4
Allowed	0.86	-12.4
Differential	0.92	+7.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.22%	11.67%	5.28%	2.78%	0.83%	0.83%	23.61%
1	11.67%	16.67%	9.72%	2.78%	2.50%	0.28%	43.61%
2	5.28%	9.72%	5.00%	0.83%	0.28%	—	21.11%
3	2.78%	2.78%	0.83%	0.56%	—	—	6.94%
4	0.83%	2.50%	0.28%	—	—	—	3.61%
5+	0.83%	0.28%	—	—	—	—	1.11%
Total	23.61%	43.61%	21.11%	6.94%	3.61%	1.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.27	1.27	+0.00
SD	1.10	1.10	1.72
CV	0.87	0.87	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	8.33%	—	—	2.78%	—	11.11%
1	11.11%	19.44%	16.67%	2.78%	—	—	50.00%
2	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
3	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	22.22%	41.67%	25.00%	8.33%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.67	1.28	+0.39
SD	1.31	1.00	1.81
CV	0.79	0.79	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	—	13.89%
1	11.11%	22.22%	11.11%	—	—	—	44.44%
2	8.33%	13.89%	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	33.33%
3	5.56%	—	—	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	41.67%	27.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.17	+0.19
SD	0.83	0.94	1.31
CV	0.61	0.81	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	33.33%
1	8.33%	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	41.67%
2	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
3	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	22.22%	47.22%	25.00%	2.78%	—	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	1.19	+0.06
SD	1.50	1.01	2.04
CV	1.20	0.84	—
Max	7	5	+7
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.89%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
1	13.89%	19.44%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	58.33%
2	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	47.22%	19.44%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	1.28	-0.06
SD	0.83	1.14	1.49
CV	0.68	0.89	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	27.78%
1	5.56%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	36.11%
2	—	16.67%	11.11%	—	—	—	27.78%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	16.67%	44.44%	25.00%	5.56%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	1.44	-0.22
SD	1.10	1.11	1.74
CV	0.90	0.77	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	19.44%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	50.00%
1	2.78%	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	11.11%	—	38.89%
2	2.78%	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	8.33%	36.11%	25.00%	13.89%	13.89%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.61	1.97	-1.36
SD	0.69	1.30	1.48
CV	1.13	0.66	—
Max	2	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
1	19.44%	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	44.44%
2	11.11%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	27.78%
3	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
4	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.11%	52.78%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	0.78	+0.86
SD	1.02	0.72	1.25
CV	0.62	0.93	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	13.89%	8.33%	—	—	—	25.00%
1	16.67%	19.44%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	44.44%
2	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	19.44%
3	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.11%	44.44%	16.67%	—	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.19	0.89	+0.31
SD	1.01	0.89	1.55
CV	0.84	1.00	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
1	13.89%	11.11%	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	36.11%
2	11.11%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
3	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	36.11%	19.44%	13.89%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.56	1.17	+0.39
SD	1.13	1.03	1.63
CV	0.73	0.88	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	13.89%	5.56%	11.11%	—	2.78%	36.11%
1	13.89%	11.11%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	41.67%
2	—	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	44.44%	19.44%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.56	-0.56
SD	1.07	1.38	1.96
CV	1.07	0.89	—
Max	4	7	+3
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Shamrock Rovers	1479	78	74.50	+3.50	70.0%	57	60	70	75	81	86	93
Bohemian	1354	52	55.98	-3.98	35.0%	40	44	51	55	61	70	75
Derry City	1332	54	48.02	+5.98	77.0%	27	34	42	48	54	61	68
Sligo Rovers	1321	57	51.55	+5.45	77.0%	30	39	46	51	57	63	71
Dundalk	1316	48	52.93	-4.93	29.0%	38	41	47	53	58	66	71
St Patrick's Athletic	1311	62	53.12	+8.88	91.0%	34	41	48	53	57	68	74
Drogheda United	1263	44	50.52	-6.52	25.0%	34	39	44	51	56	63	71
Finn Harps	1238	44	40.83	+3.17	69.0%	26	29	34	40	46	56	61
Waterford	1223	42	38.38	+3.62	71.0%	19	23	33	39	44	53	57
Longford Town	1073	15	30.47	-15.47	1.0%	15	20	25	30	35	44	51

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+8.89%

Slight Edge

42.22%24.44%33.33%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 30.96 Elo pts.

191 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.23 goals

Neutral

-2+0.16+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.2

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

90%

Shamrock Rovers, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.44/gm

Runaway

00.350.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.24 * Some Luck: 6.24 to 9.36 * Lucky: 9.36 to 12.48 * Wild Swing: 12.48 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.13 * Close: 1.13 to 1.7 * Off: 1.7 to 2.26 * Way Off: 2.26 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.08 points

Some Luck

07.8019

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.20

01.423

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

91.00%

St Patrick's Athletic

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

1.00%

Longford Town

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.

Gini Index

0.16

Even

00.160.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 104.31

2.04

Strong Separation

11.71.952.22.75

Interquartile Edge

62%

Even

50%68%76.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

91%

Clear Edge

50%88%100%

Close Games

Expected

69%

Very Frequent

0%62%100%

Blowouts

Expected

14%

Rare

0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.61

Predictable

00.612

Matchup Imbalance

0.31

Very Even

00.370.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.90

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.57

Strong Carryover

00.360.560.691

Upset Rate

Expected

24%

Upset-Prone

0%26%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

24%

Very Shaky

0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.70

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.00

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.070

Well Within Noise

00.1240.3

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Quarterfinals

Bray Wanderers 1

Galway United 0

Leg 1: Bray Wanderers 0-0 Galway United

Leg 2: Galway United 0-1 Bray Wanderers

UC Dublin 4

Treaty United 2

Leg 1: Treaty United 0-3 UC Dublin

Leg 2: UC Dublin 1-2 Treaty United

Semifinals

UC Dublin 2

Bray Wanderers 0

Finals

UC Dublin 2

Waterford 1

Sim: 5.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Shamrock Rovers	90.00%	8.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
St Patrick's Athletic	4.00%	11.00%	19.00%	18.00%	20.00%	15.00%	5.00%	5.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Sligo Rovers	1.00%	12.00%	13.00%	16.00%	14.00%	22.00%	11.00%	5.00%	4.00%	2.00%
Derry City	—	6.00%	14.00%	8.00%	15.00%	18.00%	12.00%	17.00%	5.00%	5.00%
Bohemian	3.00%	29.00%	22.00%	14.00%	14.00%	6.00%	7.00%	5.00%	—	—
Dundalk	—	20.00%	12.00%	19.00%	14.00%	17.00%	8.00%	9.00%	1.00%	—
Drogheda United	2.00%	11.00%	14.00%	17.00%	13.00%	12.00%	18.00%	10.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Finn Harps	—	2.00%	1.00%	5.00%	7.00%	2.00%	21.00%	21.00%	32.00%	9.00%
Waterford	—	1.00%	3.00%	3.00%	2.00%	7.00%	15.00%	21.00%	30.00%	18.00%
Longford Town	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	7.00%	24.00%	64.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team	Same level	Lost relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Bohemian	100%	—	—
Shamrock Rovers	100%	—	—
Dundalk	99.00%	1.00%	—
Drogheda United	97.00%	2.00%	1.00%
St Patrick's Athletic	97.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Sligo Rovers	94.00%	4.00%	2.00%
Derry City	90.00%	5.00%	5.00%
Finn Harps	59.00%	32.00%	9.00%
Longford Town	12.00%	24.00%	64.00%
Waterford	—	100%	—

Loser → ↓ Winner	Athlone Town	Bohemian	Bray Wanderers	Cabinteely	Cobh Ramblers	Cork City	Derry City	Drogheda United	Dundalk	Finn Harps	Galway United	Longford Town	Shelbourne	Sligo Rovers	Treaty United	UC Dublin	Waterford
Athlone Town
Bohemian
Bray Wanderers
Cabinteely
Cobh Ramblers
Cork City
Derry City
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Finn Harps
Galway United
Longford Town
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Treaty United
UC Dublin
Waterford

Loser → ↓ Winner	Bohemian	Bray Wanderers	Cabinteely	Cobh Ramblers	Cork City	Derry City	Drogheda United	Dundalk	Finn Harps	Galway United	Longford Town	Shelbourne	Sligo Rovers	Treaty United	UC Dublin	Waterford
Bohemian
Bray Wanderers
Cabinteely
Cobh Ramblers
Cork City
Derry City
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Finn Harps
Galway United
Longford Town
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Treaty United
UC Dublin
Waterford

Loser → ↓ Winner	Bohemian	Bray Wanderers	Cabinteely	Cobh Ramblers	Cork City	Derry City	Drogheda United	Dundalk	Finn Harps	Galway United	Longford Town	Shelbourne	Sligo Rovers	St Patrick's Athletic	Treaty United	UC Dublin	Waterford
Bohemian		100.0%1.00%
Bray Wanderers	0.0%1.00%					50.0%2.00%	0.0%1.00%	0.0%1.00%	33.3%3.00%		33.3%3.00%						57.1%7.00%
Cabinteely																	0.0%1.00%
Cobh Ramblers						100.0%1.00%											0.0%1.00%
Cork City							0.0%1.00%		57.1%7.00%		100.0%1.00%		0.0%1.00%				50.0%4.00%
Derry City		50.0%2.00%		0.0%1.00%											100.0%1.00%	100.0%1.00%
Drogheda United		100.0%1.00%			100.0%1.00%							0.0%1.00%			0.0%1.00%
Dundalk		100.0%1.00%								0.0%2.00%
Finn Harps		66.7%3.00%			42.9%7.00%					100.0%1.00%		66.7%3.00%			75.0%8.00%	75.0%4.00%
Galway United								100.0%2.00%	0.0%1.00%		100.0%3.00%		0.0%1.00%	100.0%1.00%			25.0%4.00%
Longford Town		66.7%3.00%			0.0%1.00%					0.0%3.00%		50.0%4.00%			0.0%1.00%	0.0%2.00%
Shelbourne							100.0%1.00%		33.3%3.00%		50.0%4.00%		100.0%1.00%	100.0%1.00%			70.0%10.00%
Sligo Rovers					100.0%1.00%					100.0%1.00%		0.0%1.00%
St Patrick's Athletic										0.0%1.00%		0.0%1.00%			0.0%1.00%
Treaty United						0.0%1.00%	100.0%1.00%		25.0%8.00%		100.0%1.00%			100.0%1.00%			42.9%7.00%
UC Dublin						0.0%1.00%			25.0%4.00%		100.0%2.00%						71.4%7.00%
Waterford		42.9%7.00%	100.0%1.00%	100.0%1.00%	50.0%4.00%					75.0%4.00%		30.0%10.00%			57.1%7.00%	28.6%7.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team	Quarterfinals	Semifinals	Finals
Waterford	—	—	57.68%
Treaty United	51.90%	27.55%	12.13%
Galway United	53.54%	26.60%	11.60%
UC Dublin	48.10%	24.01%	9.96%
Bray Wanderers	46.46%	21.84%	8.63%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Bray Wanderers	Galway United	Treaty United	UC Dublin	Waterford
Bray Wanderers
Galway United
Treaty United
UC Dublin
Waterford

Loser → ↓ Winner	Bray Wanderers	Galway United	Treaty United	UC Dublin	Waterford
Bray Wanderers
Galway United
Treaty United
UC Dublin
Waterford

Loser → ↓ Winner	Bray Wanderers	Galway United	Treaty United	UC Dublin	Waterford
Bray Wanderers					39.5%21.84%
Galway United					43.6%26.60%
Treaty United					44.0%27.55%
UC Dublin					41.5%24.01%
Waterford	60.5%21.84%	56.4%26.60%	56.0%27.55%	58.5%24.01%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2021-03-19	St Patrick's Athletic	D 1-1	56.5	1447	1262	64.55%	20.32%	15.13%	+1.13	-1.7	1
2021-03-19	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	56.5	1262	1447	15.13%	20.32%	64.55%	-1.13	+1.7	1
2021-03-19	Waterford	W 1-0	39.8	1266	1267	41.52%	25.79%	32.69%	+0.15	+5.5	3
2021-03-19	@ Drogheda United	L 0-1	39.8	1267	1266	32.69%	25.79%	41.52%	-0.15	-5.5	0
2021-03-20	Bohemian	W 1-0	43.7	1235	1329	28.98%	25.42%	45.60%	-0.33	+7.0	3
2021-03-20	@ Finn Harps	L 0-1	43.7	1329	1235	45.60%	25.42%	28.98%	+0.33	-7.1	0
2021-03-20	Derry City	W 2-0	40.0	1210	1296	29.95%	25.54%	44.51%	-0.29	+13.0	3
2021-03-20	@ Longford Town	L 0-2	40.0	1296	1210	44.51%	25.54%	29.95%	+0.29	-13.0	0
2021-03-20	Dundalk	D 1-1	53.9	1268	1339	31.83%	25.72%	42.45%	-0.21	+0.3	1
2021-03-20	@ Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	53.9	1339	1268	42.45%	25.72%	31.83%	+0.21	-0.3	1
2021-03-26	Finn Harps	L 1-2	52.7	1339	1242	54.52%	23.72%	21.76%	+0.67	-7.7	1
2021-03-26	@ Dundalk	W 2-1	52.7	1242	1339	21.76%	23.72%	54.52%	-0.67	+7.7	6
2021-03-26	Sligo Rovers	L 1-2	49.0	1262	1268	40.85%	25.82%	33.33%	+0.13	-6.1	0
2021-03-26	@ Waterford	W 2-1	49.0	1268	1262	33.33%	25.82%	40.85%	-0.13	+6.1	4
2021-03-27	Drogheda United	W 2-1	46.8	1264	1271	40.72%	25.83%	33.45%	+0.12	+5.2	4
2021-03-27	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-2	46.8	1271	1264	33.45%	25.83%	40.72%	-0.12	-5.2	3
2021-03-27	Longford Town	D 2-2	61.0	1322	1223	54.76%	23.66%	21.58%	+0.68	-0.8	1
2021-03-27	@ Bohemian	D 2-2	61.0	1223	1322	21.58%	23.66%	54.76%	-0.68	+0.8	4
2021-04-02	Dundalk	W 2-1	44.6	1446	1331	56.64%	23.13%	20.23%	+0.76	+3.4	4
2021-04-02	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 1-2	44.6	1331	1446	20.23%	23.13%	56.64%	-0.76	-3.4	1
2021-04-02	Sligo Rovers	L 0-1	40.3	1223	1274	34.56%	25.88%	39.56%	-0.10	-5.7	4
2021-04-02	@ Longford Town	W 1-0	40.3	1274	1223	39.56%	25.88%	34.56%	+0.10	+5.7	7
2021-04-03	Finn Harps	D 1-1	53.4	1266	1249	44.04%	25.59%	30.37%	+0.25	-0.4	4
2021-04-03	@ Drogheda United	D 1-1	53.4	1249	1266	30.37%	25.59%	44.04%	-0.25	+0.4	7
2021-04-03	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	44.7	1321	1269	48.79%	24.95%	26.26%	+0.43	-7.4	1
2021-04-03	@ Bohemian	W 1-0	44.7	1269	1321	26.26%	24.95%	48.79%	-0.43	+7.4	7
2021-04-03	Waterford	L 1-2	50.3	1283	1256	45.49%	25.43%	29.08%	+0.30	-6.6	0
2021-04-03	@ Derry City	W 2-1	50.3	1256	1283	29.08%	25.43%	45.49%	-0.30	+6.6	3
2021-04-09	Bohemian	L 0-1	43.7	1328	1313	43.73%	25.62%	30.66%	+0.24	-6.8	1
2021-04-09	@ Dundalk	W 1-0	43.7	1313	1328	30.66%	25.62%	43.73%	-0.24	+6.8	4
2021-04-09	Derry City	W 2-0	36.6	1276	1276	41.80%	25.77%	32.43%	+0.16	+10.2	10
2021-04-09	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-2	36.6	1276	1276	32.43%	25.77%	41.80%	-0.16	-10.2	0
2021-04-10	Drogheda United	L 0-4	36.1	1218	1265	34.99%	25.89%	39.12%	-0.09	-20.6	4
2021-04-10	@ Longford Town	W 4-0	36.1	1265	1218	39.12%	25.89%	34.99%	+0.09	+20.6	7
2021-04-10	Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	55.8	1280	1449	21.24%	23.53%	55.23%	-0.72	+1.2	8
2021-04-10	@ Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	55.8	1449	1280	55.23%	23.53%	21.24%	+0.72	-1.2	5
2021-04-10	Waterford	W 2-1	47.0	1250	1262	39.98%	25.86%	34.15%	+0.10	+5.3	10
2021-04-10	@ Finn Harps	L 1-2	47.0	1262	1250	34.15%	25.86%	39.98%	-0.10	-5.3	3
2021-04-13	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	33.5	1266	1448	20.13%	23.09%	56.78%	-0.79	-6.7	0
2021-04-13	@ Derry City	W 2-0	33.5	1448	1266	56.78%	23.09%	20.13%	+0.79	+6.8	8
2021-04-16	Bohemian	L 0-1	40.1	1257	1320	32.87%	25.80%	41.33%	-0.17	-5.5	3
2021-04-16	@ Waterford	W 1-0	40.1	1320	1257	41.33%	25.80%	32.87%	+0.17	+5.5	7
2021-04-16	Drogheda United	D 1-1	53.4	1259	1286	37.93%	25.92%	36.15%	+0.02	-0.1	1
2021-04-16	@ Derry City	D 1-1	53.4	1286	1259	36.15%	25.92%	37.93%	-0.02	+0.1	8
2021-04-17	Finn Harps	W 1-0	38.7	1281	1255	45.34%	25.45%	29.21%	+0.30	+5.0	11
2021-04-17	@ Sligo Rovers	L 0-1	38.7	1255	1281	29.21%	25.45%	45.34%	-0.30	-5.0	10
2021-04-17	Longford Town	W 2-1	38.3	1455	1197	71.67%	17.06%	11.27%	+1.51	+1.8	11
2021-04-17	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 1-2	38.3	1197	1455	11.27%	17.06%	71.67%	-1.51	-1.8	4
2021-04-17	St Patrick's Athletic	D 1-1	54.0	1321	1287	46.44%	25.31%	28.25%	+0.34	-0.6	2
2021-04-17	@ Dundalk	D 1-1	54.0	1287	1321	28.25%	25.31%	46.44%	-0.34	+0.6	11
2021-04-20	Dundalk	D 1-1	53.7	1259	1320	33.15%	25.81%	41.04%	-0.16	+0.2	2
2021-04-20	@ Derry City	D 1-1	53.7	1320	1259	41.04%	25.81%	33.15%	+0.16	-0.2	3
2021-04-20	Finn Harps	D 0-0	47.8	1195	1250	34.02%	25.86%	40.13%	-0.12	+0.2	5
2021-04-20	@ Longford Town	D 0-0	47.8	1250	1195	40.13%	25.86%	34.02%	+0.12	-0.2	11
2021-04-20	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	37.6	1286	1456	21.12%	23.49%	55.39%	-0.73	-3.8	8
2021-04-20	@ Drogheda United	W 1-0	37.6	1456	1286	55.39%	23.49%	21.12%	+0.73	+3.8	14
2021-04-20	Sligo Rovers	L 1-3	48.1	1326	1286	47.17%	25.21%	27.62%	+0.37	-11.8	7
2021-04-20	@ Bohemian	W 3-1	48.1	1286	1326	27.62%	25.21%	47.17%	-0.37	+11.8	14
2021-04-20	Waterford	W 1-0	38.3	1287	1251	46.67%	25.28%	28.06%	+0.35	+4.8	14
2021-04-20	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	38.3	1251	1287	28.06%	25.28%	46.67%	-0.35	-4.8	3
2021-04-23	Bohemian	W 2-1	43.5	1460	1314	60.30%	21.95%	17.75%	+0.93	+3.0	17
2021-04-23	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 1-2	43.5	1314	1460	17.75%	21.95%	60.30%	-0.93	-3.0	7
2021-04-23	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-2	37.6	1250	1292	35.74%	25.91%	38.35%	-0.06	-11.0	11
2021-04-23	@ Finn Harps	W 2-0	37.6	1292	1250	38.35%	25.91%	35.74%	+0.06	+11.0	17
2021-04-24	Derry City	L 0-1	44.1	1298	1259	47.04%	25.23%	27.73%	+0.36	-7.2	14
2021-04-24	@ Sligo Rovers	W 1-0	44.1	1259	1298	27.73%	25.23%	47.04%	-0.36	+7.2	5
2021-04-24	Drogheda United	W 2-1	45.3	1320	1282	46.91%	25.24%	27.84%	+0.36	+4.5	6
2021-04-24	@ Dundalk	L 1-2	45.3	1282	1320	27.84%	25.24%	46.91%	-0.36	-4.5	8
2021-04-24	Longford Town	W 1-0	37.4	1247	1196	48.68%	24.97%	26.34%	+0.43	+4.6	6
2021-04-24	@ Waterford	L 0-1	37.4	1196	1247	26.34%	24.97%	48.68%	-0.43	-4.6	5
2021-04-30	Derry City	L 1-2	51.1	1311	1266	47.81%	25.11%	27.08%	+0.39	-6.9	7
2021-04-30	@ Bohemian	W 2-1	51.1	1266	1311	27.08%	25.11%	47.81%	-0.39	+6.9	8
2021-04-30	Dundalk	L 0-3	35.1	1251	1324	31.57%	25.70%	42.73%	-0.22	-14.6	6
2021-04-30	@ Waterford	W 3-0	35.1	1324	1251	42.73%	25.70%	31.57%	+0.22	+14.6	9
2021-04-30	Longford Town	W 3-0	30.7	1303	1191	56.34%	23.22%	20.44%	+0.75	+10.0	20
2021-04-30	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-3	30.7	1191	1303	20.44%	23.22%	56.34%	-0.75	-10.0	5
2021-04-30	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	31.9	1239	1463	16.92%	21.47%	61.61%	-1.01	-5.7	11
2021-04-30	@ Finn Harps	W 2-0	31.9	1463	1239	61.61%	21.47%	16.92%	+1.01	+5.7	20
2021-04-30	Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	53.6	1278	1291	39.92%	25.87%	34.21%	+0.09	-0.2	9
2021-04-30	@ Drogheda United	D 1-1	53.6	1291	1278	34.21%	25.87%	39.92%	-0.09	+0.2	15
2021-05-03	Bohemian	D 1-1	53.6	1278	1304	38.00%	25.92%	36.08%	+0.02	-0.1	10
2021-05-03	@ Drogheda United	D 1-1	53.6	1304	1278	36.08%	25.92%	38.00%	-0.02	+0.1	8
2021-05-03	Dundalk	D 2-2	60.8	1181	1339	22.24%	23.89%	53.87%	-0.66	+0.8	6
2021-05-03	@ Longford Town	D 2-2	60.8	1339	1181	53.87%	23.89%	22.24%	+0.66	-0.8	10
2021-05-03	Finn Harps	L 1-2	50.7	1273	1233	47.26%	25.20%	27.55%	+0.37	-6.8	8
2021-05-03	@ Derry City	W 2-1	50.7	1233	1273	27.55%	25.20%	47.26%	-0.37	+6.9	14
2021-05-03	St Patrick's Athletic	D 1-1	53.8	1291	1313	38.60%	25.91%	35.49%	+0.05	-0.1	16
2021-05-03	@ Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	53.8	1313	1291	35.49%	25.91%	38.60%	-0.05	+0.1	21
2021-05-03	Waterford	W 3-0	28.4	1469	1237	69.28%	18.22%	12.50%	+1.38	+5.9	23
2021-05-03	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-3	28.4	1237	1469	12.50%	18.22%	69.28%	-1.38	-5.9	6
2021-05-07	Longford Town	D 1-1	53.7	1267	1182	53.00%	24.10%	22.90%	+0.61	-1.0	9
2021-05-07	@ Derry City	D 1-1	53.7	1182	1267	22.90%	24.10%	53.00%	-0.61	+1.0	7
2021-05-07	Sligo Rovers	L 0-1	44.8	1338	1291	48.22%	25.05%	26.74%	+0.41	-7.4	10
2021-05-07	@ Dundalk	W 1-0	44.8	1291	1338	26.74%	25.05%	48.22%	-0.41	+7.4	19
2021-05-08	Drogheda United	L 0-7	38.3	1231	1277	35.11%	25.90%	38.99%	-0.08	-35.0	6
2021-05-08	@ Waterford	W 7-0	38.3	1277	1231	38.99%	25.90%	35.11%	+0.08	+35.0	13
2021-05-08	Finn Harps	W 4-0	33.0	1304	1240	50.37%	24.67%	24.96%	+0.50	+15.6	11
2021-05-08	@ Bohemian	L 0-4	33.0	1240	1304	24.96%	24.67%	50.37%	-0.50	-15.6	14
2021-05-08	Shamrock Rovers	L 1-2	45.5	1313	1475	21.92%	23.78%	54.30%	-0.68	-3.7	21
2021-05-08	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-1	45.5	1475	1313	54.30%	23.78%	21.92%	+0.68	+3.7	26
2021-05-14	Dundalk	D 1-1	53.7	1224	1331	27.54%	25.19%	47.26%	-0.40	+0.6	15
2021-05-14	@ Finn Harps	D 1-1	53.7	1331	1224	47.26%	25.19%	27.54%	+0.40	-0.6	11
2021-05-14	St Patrick's Athletic	W 3-1	43.8	1312	1309	42.17%	25.74%	32.09%	+0.18	+8.8	16
2021-05-14	@ Drogheda United	L 1-3	43.8	1309	1312	32.09%	25.74%	42.17%	-0.18	-8.8	21
2021-05-15	Bohemian	L 0-2	33.6	1183	1320	24.29%	24.50%	51.22%	-0.55	-8.0	7
2021-05-15	@ Longford Town	W 2-0	33.6	1320	1183	51.22%	24.50%	24.29%	+0.55	+8.0	14
2021-05-15	Derry City	D 1-1	57.4	1478	1266	67.36%	19.10%	13.53%	+1.28	-1.9	27
2021-05-15	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	57.4	1266	1478	13.53%	19.10%	67.36%	-1.28	+1.9	10
2021-05-15	Waterford	W 3-0	31.1	1298	1196	55.16%	23.55%	21.29%	+0.70	+10.3	22
2021-05-15	@ Sligo Rovers	L 0-3	31.1	1196	1298	21.29%	23.55%	55.16%	-0.70	-10.3	6
2021-05-21	Bohemian	W 2-1	48.2	1301	1328	37.92%	25.92%	36.17%	+0.02	+5.6	24
2021-05-21	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-2	48.2	1328	1301	36.17%	25.92%	37.92%	-0.02	-5.6	14
2021-05-21	Derry City	L 0-1	38.8	1185	1267	30.46%	25.60%	43.94%	-0.27	-5.2	6
2021-05-21	@ Waterford	W 1-0	38.8	1267	1185	43.94%	25.60%	30.46%	+0.27	+5.2	13
2021-05-21	Drogheda United	L 0-1	38.6	1225	1321	28.73%	25.38%	45.89%	-0.34	-4.9	15
2021-05-21	@ Finn Harps	W 1-0	38.6	1321	1225	45.89%	25.38%	28.73%	+0.34	+4.9	19
2021-05-21	Longford Town	W 2-0	31.2	1308	1175	58.86%	22.44%	18.70%	+0.86	+6.3	25
2021-05-21	@ Sligo Rovers	L 0-2	31.2	1175	1308	18.70%	22.44%	58.86%	-0.86	-6.3	7
2021-05-21	Shamrock Rovers	W 2-1	55.2	1330	1476	23.35%	24.24%	52.41%	-0.60	+7.4	14
2021-05-21	@ Dundalk	L 1-2	55.2	1476	1330	52.41%	24.24%	23.35%	+0.60	-7.5	27
2021-05-24	Dundalk	W 5-1	40.7	1322	1338	39.56%	25.88%	34.56%	+0.08	+17.0	17
2021-05-24	@ Bohemian	L 1-5	40.7	1338	1322	34.56%	25.88%	39.56%	-0.08	-17.0	14
2021-05-24	Finn Harps	L 1-2	47.3	1180	1220	36.08%	25.92%	38.01%	-0.05	-5.5	6
2021-05-24	@ Waterford	W 2-1	47.3	1220	1180	38.01%	25.92%	36.08%	+0.05	+5.5	18
2021-05-24	Longford Town	W 4-1	34.6	1326	1168	61.56%	21.49%	16.95%	+0.99	+6.9	22
2021-05-24	@ Drogheda United	L 1-4	34.6	1168	1326	16.95%	21.49%	61.56%	-0.99	-6.9	7
2021-05-24	Sligo Rovers	L 0-1	49.8	1469	1315	61.18%	21.63%	17.19%	+0.97	-9.0	27
2021-05-24	@ Shamrock Rovers	W 1-0	49.8	1315	1469	17.19%	21.63%	61.18%	-0.97	+9.0	28
2021-05-24	St Patrick's Athletic	D 2-2	60.5	1273	1306	36.96%	25.92%	37.12%	-0.01	+0.0	14
2021-05-24	@ Derry City	D 2-2	60.5	1306	1273	37.12%	25.92%	36.96%	+0.01	+0.0	25
2021-05-28	Derry City	L 1-2	51.8	1333	1273	49.93%	24.75%	25.32%	+0.48	-7.1	22
2021-05-28	@ Drogheda United	W 2-1	51.8	1273	1333	25.32%	24.75%	49.93%	-0.48	+7.2	17
2021-05-28	Dundalk	L 0-2	39.3	1306	1321	39.72%	25.87%	34.41%	+0.09	-11.9	25
2021-05-28	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-0	39.3	1321	1306	34.41%	25.87%	39.72%	-0.09	+11.9	17
2021-05-28	Sligo Rovers	L 1-2	45.3	1226	1324	28.52%	25.35%	46.13%	-0.35	-4.6	18
2021-05-28	@ Finn Harps	W 2-1	45.3	1324	1226	46.13%	25.35%	28.52%	+0.35	+4.6	31
2021-05-29	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	32.0	1162	1460	12.50%	18.22%	69.28%	-1.40	-2.1	7
2021-05-29	@ Longford Town	W 1-0	32.0	1460	1162	69.28%	18.22%	12.50%	+1.40	+2.1	30
2021-05-29	Waterford	W 3-0	29.0	1339	1175	62.30%	21.21%	16.49%	+1.02	+8.0	20
2021-05-29	@ Bohemian	L 0-3	29.0	1175	1339	16.49%	21.21%	62.30%	-1.02	-8.0	6
2021-06-11	Bohemian	D 1-1	54.0	1280	1347	32.33%	25.76%	41.91%	-0.19	+0.3	18
2021-06-11	@ Derry City	D 1-1	54.0	1347	1280	41.91%	25.76%	32.33%	+0.19	-0.3	21
2021-06-11	Finn Harps	D 1-1	56.9	1462	1221	70.14%	17.81%	12.05%	+1.42	-2.0	31
2021-06-11	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	56.9	1221	1462	12.05%	17.81%	70.14%	-1.42	+2.0	19
2021-06-11	Waterford	L 1-3	50.9	1333	1167	62.46%	21.15%	16.39%	+1.03	-14.9	17
2021-06-11	@ Dundalk	W 3-1	50.9	1167	1333	16.39%	21.15%	62.46%	-1.03	+14.9	9
2021-06-12	Drogheda United	L 1-2	50.2	1328	1326	42.07%	25.75%	32.18%	+0.17	-6.2	31
2021-06-12	@ Sligo Rovers	W 2-1	50.2	1326	1328	32.18%	25.75%	42.07%	-0.17	+6.2	25
2021-06-12	St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-3	40.4	1159	1294	24.48%	24.55%	50.97%	-0.54	-7.0	7
2021-06-12	@ Longford Town	W 3-1	40.4	1294	1159	50.97%	24.55%	24.48%	+0.54	+7.0	28
2021-06-18	Derry City	L 1-2	46.8	1223	1280	33.71%	25.84%	40.45%	-0.14	-5.3	19
2021-06-18	@ Finn Harps	W 2-1	46.8	1280	1223	40.45%	25.84%	33.71%	+0.14	+5.3	21
2021-06-18	Drogheda United	W 5-0	36.8	1347	1332	43.78%	25.61%	30.61%	+0.24	+22.9	24
2021-06-18	@ Bohemian	L 0-5	36.8	1332	1347	30.61%	25.61%	43.78%	-0.24	-22.9	25
2021-06-18	Longford Town	D 1-1	54.6	1318	1152	62.39%	21.18%	16.43%	+1.03	-1.6	18
2021-06-18	@ Dundalk	D 1-1	54.6	1152	1318	16.43%	21.18%	62.39%	-1.03	+1.6	8
2021-06-18	Shamrock Rovers	L 1-4	33.7	1182	1460	13.56%	19.12%	67.32%	-1.30	-5.4	9
2021-06-18	@ Waterford	W 4-1	33.7	1460	1182	67.32%	19.12%	13.56%	+1.30	+5.4	34
2021-06-18	Sligo Rovers	W 2-0	38.0	1301	1322	38.81%	25.90%	35.29%	+0.05	+10.9	31
2021-06-18	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-2	38.0	1322	1301	35.29%	25.90%	38.81%	-0.05	-10.9	31
2021-06-21	Dundalk	L 0-1	42.8	1309	1316	40.80%	25.83%	33.37%	+0.13	-6.5	25
2021-06-21	@ Drogheda United	W 1-0	42.8	1316	1309	33.37%	25.83%	40.80%	-0.13	+6.5	21
2021-06-21	Finn Harps	W 4-1	37.0	1312	1218	54.20%	23.80%	21.99%	+0.66	+9.0	34
2021-06-21	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-4	37.0	1218	1312	21.99%	23.80%	54.20%	-0.66	-9.0	19
2021-06-21	Shamrock Rovers	W 1-0	47.5	1370	1466	28.78%	25.39%	45.83%	-0.34	+7.1	27
2021-06-21	@ Bohemian	L 0-1	47.5	1466	1370	45.83%	25.39%	28.78%	+0.34	-7.1	34
2021-06-21	Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	53.7	1285	1311	38.08%	25.91%	36.00%	+0.03	-0.1	22
2021-06-21	@ Derry City	D 1-1	53.7	1311	1285	36.00%	25.91%	38.08%	-0.03	+0.1	32
2021-06-21	Waterford	L 1-2	47.9	1154	1176	38.62%	25.91%	35.48%	+0.05	-5.8	8
2021-06-21	@ Longford Town	W 2-1	47.9	1176	1154	35.48%	25.91%	38.62%	-0.05	+5.8	12
2021-06-25	Derry City	W 2-1	45.4	1322	1285	46.86%	25.25%	27.89%	+0.36	+4.5	24
2021-06-25	@ Dundalk	L 1-2	45.4	1285	1322	27.89%	25.25%	46.86%	-0.36	-4.5	22
2021-06-25	Drogheda United	D 1-1	57.0	1458	1303	61.33%	21.58%	17.09%	+0.98	-1.5	35
2021-06-25	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	57.0	1303	1458	17.09%	21.58%	61.33%	-0.98	+1.5	26
2021-06-25	Longford Town	D 1-1	53.3	1209	1148	49.93%	24.75%	25.32%	+0.48	-0.8	20
2021-06-25	@ Finn Harps	D 1-1	53.3	1148	1209	25.32%	24.75%	49.93%	-0.48	+0.8	9
2021-06-25	St Patrick's Athletic	D 1-1	53.7	1182	1321	24.04%	24.43%	51.53%	-0.57	+0.9	13
2021-06-25	@ Waterford	D 1-1	53.7	1321	1182	51.53%	24.43%	24.04%	+0.57	-0.9	35
2021-06-26	Bohemian	W 4-0	39.5	1311	1377	32.57%	25.78%	41.66%	-0.18	+23.5	35
2021-06-26	@ Sligo Rovers	L 0-4	39.5	1377	1311	41.66%	25.78%	32.57%	+0.18	-23.5	27
2021-07-02	Dundalk	W 3-1	41.1	1457	1327	58.42%	22.58%	19.00%	+0.84	+5.5	38
2021-07-02	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 1-3	41.1	1327	1457	19.00%	22.58%	58.42%	-0.84	-5.5	24
2021-07-02	Finn Harps	W 3-1	39.5	1304	1208	54.45%	23.74%	21.81%	+0.67	+6.3	29
2021-07-02	@ Drogheda United	L 1-3	39.5	1208	1304	21.81%	23.74%	54.45%	-0.67	-6.3	20
2021-07-02	St Patrick's Athletic	W 3-2	51.7	1353	1320	46.28%	25.33%	28.39%	+0.33	+4.4	30
2021-07-02	@ Bohemian	L 2-3	51.7	1320	1353	28.39%	25.33%	46.28%	-0.33	-4.4	35
2021-07-02	Waterford	W 2-0	32.5	1281	1183	54.61%	23.70%	21.69%	+0.67	+7.2	25
2021-07-02	@ Derry City	L 0-2	32.5	1183	1281	21.69%	23.70%	54.61%	-0.67	-7.2	13
2021-07-03	Sligo Rovers	L 0-1	34.9	1149	1335	19.83%	22.96%	57.21%	-0.81	-3.5	9
2021-07-03	@ Longford Town	W 1-0	34.9	1335	1149	57.21%	22.96%	19.83%	+0.81	+3.5	38
2021-07-09	Derry City	W 1-0	39.0	1316	1288	45.61%	25.41%	28.98%	+0.31	+5.0	38
2021-07-09	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	39.0	1288	1316	28.98%	25.41%	45.61%	-0.31	-5.0	25
2021-07-09	Waterford	L 0-1	43.1	1202	1176	45.34%	25.45%	29.21%	+0.30	-7.0	20
2021-07-09	@ Finn Harps	W 1-0	43.1	1176	1202	29.21%	25.45%	45.34%	-0.30	+7.0	16
2021-07-10	Drogheda United	D 1-1	53.8	1145	1311	21.58%	23.66%	54.76%	-0.70	+1.1	10
2021-07-10	@ Longford Town	D 1-1	53.8	1311	1145	54.76%	23.66%	21.58%	+0.70	-1.1	30
2021-07-16	Drogheda United	W 2-0	36.7	1321	1310	43.33%	25.65%	31.02%	+0.22	+9.9	41
2021-07-16	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-2	36.7	1310	1321	31.02%	25.65%	43.33%	-0.22	-9.9	30
2021-07-16	Shamrock Rovers	L 2-4	44.6	1283	1462	20.35%	23.18%	56.47%	-0.78	-5.3	25
2021-07-16	@ Derry City	W 4-2	44.6	1462	1283	56.47%	23.18%	20.35%	+0.78	+5.3	41
2021-07-17	Finn Harps	W 1-0	34.8	1322	1195	58.08%	22.69%	19.23%	+0.83	+3.4	27
2021-07-17	@ Dundalk	L 0-1	34.8	1195	1322	19.23%	22.69%	58.08%	-0.83	-3.4	20
2021-07-18	Longford Town	D 1-1	55.3	1358	1147	67.19%	19.18%	13.63%	+1.27	-1.9	31
2021-07-18	@ Bohemian	D 1-1	55.3	1147	1358	13.63%	19.18%	67.19%	-1.27	+1.9	11
2021-07-18	Sligo Rovers	W 1-0	45.5	1183	1338	22.47%	23.96%	53.57%	-0.65	+8.0	19
2021-07-18	@ Waterford	L 0-1	45.5	1338	1183	53.57%	23.96%	22.47%	+0.65	-8.0	38
2021-07-30	St Patrick's Athletic	W 3-1	41.2	1468	1331	59.23%	22.32%	18.46%	+0.88	+5.4	44
2021-07-30	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 1-3	41.2	1331	1468	18.46%	22.32%	59.23%	-0.88	-5.3	41
2021-07-30	Waterford	L 1-2	52.7	1300	1191	55.96%	23.33%	20.71%	+0.73	-7.9	30
2021-07-30	@ Drogheda United	W 2-1	52.7	1191	1300	20.71%	23.33%	55.96%	-0.73	+7.9	22
2021-07-31	Derry City	L 0-2	33.7	1148	1278	25.06%	24.69%	50.25%	-0.51	-8.3	11
2021-07-31	@ Longford Town	W 2-0	33.7	1278	1148	50.25%	24.69%	25.06%	+0.51	+8.3	28
2021-08-06	Drogheda United	W 3-0	35.7	1286	1292	40.92%	25.82%	33.26%	+0.13	+15.2	31
2021-08-06	@ Derry City	L 0-3	35.7	1292	1286	33.26%	25.82%	40.92%	-0.13	-15.2	30
2021-08-07	Bohemian	W 1-0	45.7	1199	1356	22.31%	23.91%	53.77%	-0.66	+8.1	25
2021-08-07	@ Waterford	L 0-1	45.7	1356	1199	53.77%	23.91%	22.31%	+0.66	-8.1	31
2021-08-07	Finn Harps	L 0-1	46.7	1330	1191	59.47%	22.24%	18.30%	+0.89	-8.8	38
2021-08-07	@ Sligo Rovers	W 1-0	46.7	1191	1330	18.30%	22.24%	59.47%	-0.89	+8.8	23
2021-08-08	Longford Town	W 1-0	29.3	1473	1140	78.13%	13.66%	8.20%	+1.91	+1.3	47
2021-08-08	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	29.3	1140	1473	8.20%	13.66%	78.13%	-1.91	-1.3	11
2021-08-08	St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-4	44.3	1325	1325	41.68%	25.78%	32.55%	+0.16	-15.2	27
2021-08-08	@ Dundalk	W 4-1	44.3	1325	1325	32.55%	25.78%	41.68%	-0.16	+15.2	44
2021-08-13	Waterford	W 2-1	41.4	1341	1207	58.89%	22.43%	18.68%	+0.86	+3.1	47
2021-08-13	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-2	41.4	1207	1341	18.68%	22.43%	58.89%	-0.86	-3.1	25
2021-08-14	Finn Harps	L 0-3	35.0	1139	1200	33.16%	25.81%	41.02%	-0.16	-15.1	11
2021-08-14	@ Longford Town	W 3-0	35.0	1200	1139	41.02%	25.81%	33.16%	+0.16	+15.1	26
2021-08-15	Dundalk	W 1-0	40.5	1301	1310	40.53%	25.84%	33.63%	+0.12	+5.6	34
2021-08-15	@ Derry City	L 0-1	40.5	1310	1301	33.63%	25.84%	40.53%	-0.12	-5.6	27
2021-08-15	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	36.8	1277	1474	18.87%	22.52%	58.61%	-0.87	-3.4	30
2021-08-15	@ Drogheda United	W 1-0	36.8	1474	1277	58.61%	22.52%	18.87%	+0.87	+3.4	50
2021-08-15	Sligo Rovers	W 1-0	39.6	1348	1321	45.37%	25.44%	29.18%	+0.30	+5.0	34
2021-08-15	@ Bohemian	L 0-1	39.6	1321	1348	29.18%	25.44%	45.37%	-0.30	-5.0	38
2021-08-20	Drogheda United	L 1-2	50.7	1304	1273	46.00%	25.37%	28.63%	+0.32	-6.7	27
2021-08-20	@ Dundalk	W 2-1	50.7	1273	1304	28.63%	25.37%	46.00%	-0.32	+6.7	33
2021-08-20	Longford Town	W 4-1	37.1	1203	1124	52.37%	24.24%	23.38%	+0.58	+9.5	28
2021-08-20	@ Waterford	L 1-4	37.1	1124	1203	23.38%	24.24%	52.37%	-0.58	-9.5	11
2021-08-20	St Patrick's Athletic	W 3-1	48.5	1215	1344	25.12%	24.70%	50.17%	-0.51	+12.5	29
2021-08-20	@ Finn Harps	L 1-3	48.5	1344	1215	50.17%	24.70%	25.12%	+0.51	-12.4	47
2021-08-21	Derry City	L 1-2	50.2	1316	1307	43.10%	25.67%	31.23%	+0.21	-6.4	38
2021-08-21	@ Sligo Rovers	W 2-1	50.2	1307	1316	31.23%	25.67%	43.10%	-0.21	+6.4	37
2021-09-03	Dundalk	D 1-1	53.4	1213	1297	30.15%	25.56%	44.28%	-0.28	+0.5	29
2021-09-03	@ Waterford	D 1-1	53.4	1297	1213	44.28%	25.56%	30.15%	+0.28	-0.5	28
2021-09-03	Longford Town	W 3-2	43.9	1331	1114	67.79%	18.91%	13.30%	+1.30	+2.1	50
2021-09-03	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 2-3	43.9	1114	1331	13.30%	18.91%	67.79%	-1.30	-2.0	11
2021-09-03	Shamrock Rovers	W 2-1	55.9	1228	1478	15.22%	20.38%	64.40%	-1.15	+8.8	32
2021-09-03	@ Finn Harps	L 1-2	55.9	1478	1228	64.40%	20.38%	15.22%	+1.15	-8.8	50
2021-09-03	Sligo Rovers	D 0-0	48.3	1280	1310	37.48%	25.92%	36.60%	+0.00	-0.0	34
2021-09-03	@ Drogheda United	D 0-0	48.3	1310	1280	36.60%	25.92%	37.48%	+0.00	+0.0	39
2021-09-10	Bohemian	W 3-2	55.7	1280	1353	31.64%	25.71%	42.65%	-0.22	+6.0	37
2021-09-10	@ Drogheda United	L 2-3	55.7	1353	1280	42.65%	25.71%	31.64%	+0.22	-6.0	34
2021-09-10	Finn Harps	D 2-2	60.8	1313	1236	52.00%	24.33%	23.67%	+0.56	-0.7	38
2021-09-10	@ Derry City	D 2-2	60.8	1236	1313	23.67%	24.33%	52.00%	-0.56	+0.7	33
2021-09-10	St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-0	38.2	1310	1333	38.45%	25.91%	35.64%	+0.04	+11.0	42
2021-09-10	@ Sligo Rovers	L 0-2	38.2	1333	1310	35.64%	25.91%	38.45%	-0.04	-11.0	50
2021-09-10	Waterford	W 2-0	28.7	1469	1213	71.49%	17.15%	11.36%	+1.50	+3.6	53
2021-09-10	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	28.7	1213	1469	11.36%	17.15%	71.49%	-1.50	-3.6	29
2021-09-11	Dundalk	W 1-0	45.9	1112	1297	19.90%	22.99%	57.11%	-0.81	+8.5	14
2021-09-11	@ Longford Town	L 0-1	45.9	1297	1112	57.11%	22.99%	19.90%	+0.81	-8.5	28
2021-09-13	Bohemian	L 1-2	45.0	1237	1347	27.19%	25.13%	47.68%	-0.41	-4.4	33
2021-09-13	@ Finn Harps	W 2-1	45.0	1347	1237	47.68%	25.13%	27.19%	+0.41	+4.4	37
2021-09-14	Dundalk	W 2-1	45.6	1321	1289	46.22%	25.34%	28.44%	+0.33	+4.6	45
2021-09-14	@ Sligo Rovers	L 1-2	45.6	1289	1321	28.44%	25.34%	46.22%	-0.33	-4.6	28
2021-09-18	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	39.5	1326	1473	23.29%	24.22%	52.49%	-0.61	-4.1	45
2021-09-18	@ Sligo Rovers	W 1-0	39.5	1473	1326	52.49%	24.22%	23.29%	+0.61	+4.1	56
2021-09-20	Derry City	D 3-3	65.0	1351	1312	47.06%	25.22%	27.72%	+0.36	-0.4	38
2021-09-20	@ Bohemian	D 3-3	65.0	1312	1351	27.72%	25.22%	47.06%	-0.36	+0.4	39
2021-09-24	Drogheda United	W 1-0	42.8	1210	1286	31.20%	25.67%	43.13%	-0.24	+6.8	32
2021-09-24	@ Waterford	L 0-1	42.8	1286	1210	43.13%	25.67%	31.20%	+0.24	-6.8	37
2021-09-24	Finn Harps	L 1-2	53.3	1351	1233	57.05%	23.01%	19.94%	+0.78	-8.0	38
2021-09-24	@ Bohemian	W 2-1	53.3	1233	1351	19.94%	23.01%	57.05%	-0.78	+8.0	36
2021-09-24	Longford Town	W 3-0	27.9	1313	1121	65.25%	20.02%	14.72%	+1.17	+7.1	42
2021-09-24	@ Derry City	L 0-3	27.9	1121	1313	14.72%	20.02%	65.25%	-1.17	-7.1	14
2021-09-24	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	39.3	1322	1477	22.58%	24.00%	53.42%	-0.65	-4.0	50
2021-09-24	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 1-0	39.3	1477	1322	53.42%	24.00%	22.58%	+0.65	+4.0	59
2021-09-24	Sligo Rovers	W 4-1	42.7	1284	1322	36.39%	25.92%	37.69%	-0.03	+14.1	31
2021-09-24	@ Dundalk	L 1-4	42.7	1322	1284	37.69%	25.92%	36.39%	+0.03	-14.0	45
2021-09-27	Bohemian	W 2-1	49.1	1298	1343	35.39%	25.90%	38.71%	-0.07	+5.8	34
2021-09-27	@ Dundalk	L 1-2	49.1	1343	1298	38.71%	25.90%	35.39%	+0.07	-5.9	38
2021-10-01	Derry City	W 2-1	43.5	1481	1320	61.90%	21.36%	16.73%	+1.00	+2.8	62
2021-10-01	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 1-2	43.5	1320	1481	16.73%	21.36%	61.90%	-1.00	-2.8	42
2021-10-01	Dundalk	D 2-2	60.3	1241	1304	32.87%	25.80%	41.34%	-0.17	+0.2	37
2021-10-01	@ Finn Harps	D 2-2	60.3	1304	1241	41.34%	25.80%	32.87%	+0.17	-0.2	35
2021-10-01	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	41.2	1279	1318	36.18%	25.92%	37.91%	-0.04	-5.9	37
2021-10-01	@ Drogheda United	W 1-0	41.2	1318	1279	37.91%	25.92%	36.18%	+0.04	+5.9	53
2021-10-02	Bohemian	L 1-4	34.5	1114	1337	16.99%	21.52%	61.50%	-1.01	-7.0	14
2021-10-02	@ Longford Town	W 4-1	34.5	1337	1114	61.50%	21.52%	16.99%	+1.01	+7.0	41
2021-10-02	Waterford	D 1-1	54.0	1308	1217	53.77%	23.91%	22.32%	+0.64	-1.1	46
2021-10-02	@ Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	54.0	1217	1308	22.32%	23.91%	53.77%	-0.64	+1.1	33
2021-10-08	Shamrock Rovers	W 1-0	49.0	1304	1483	20.32%	23.17%	56.51%	-0.78	+8.4	38
2021-10-08	@ Dundalk	L 0-1	49.0	1483	1304	56.51%	23.17%	20.32%	+0.78	-8.4	62
2021-10-15	Dundalk	D 1-1	54.4	1344	1312	46.12%	25.35%	28.53%	+0.33	-0.6	42
2021-10-15	@ Bohemian	D 1-1	54.4	1312	1344	28.53%	25.35%	46.12%	-0.33	+0.6	39
2021-10-15	Finn Harps	W 4-1	41.5	1218	1241	38.47%	25.91%	35.62%	+0.04	+13.5	36
2021-10-15	@ Waterford	L 1-4	41.5	1241	1218	35.62%	25.91%	38.47%	-0.04	-13.5	37
2021-10-15	Longford Town	W 2-0	29.9	1273	1107	62.55%	21.12%	16.33%	+1.03	+5.5	40
2021-10-15	@ Drogheda United	L 0-2	29.9	1107	1273	16.33%	21.12%	62.55%	-1.03	-5.5	14
2021-10-15	Sligo Rovers	W 2-0	32.9	1475	1306	62.75%	21.04%	16.21%	+1.04	+5.4	65
2021-10-15	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	32.9	1306	1475	16.21%	21.04%	62.75%	-1.04	-5.4	46
2021-10-15	St Patrick's Athletic	W 1-0	40.7	1317	1324	40.73%	25.83%	33.44%	+0.12	+5.6	45
2021-10-15	@ Derry City	L 0-1	40.7	1324	1317	33.44%	25.83%	40.73%	-0.12	-5.6	53
2021-10-18	Bohemian	D 1-1	58.1	1480	1343	59.26%	22.31%	18.44%	+0.88	-1.4	66
2021-10-18	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	58.1	1343	1480	18.44%	22.31%	59.26%	-0.88	+1.4	43
2021-10-23	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	29.6	1101	1479	8.98%	14.60%	76.42%	-1.82	-1.5	14
2021-10-23	@ Longford Town	W 1-0	29.6	1479	1101	76.42%	14.60%	8.98%	+1.82	+1.5	69
2021-10-23	Sligo Rovers	D 2-2	60.3	1227	1301	31.50%	25.70%	42.80%	-0.22	+0.3	38
2021-10-23	@ Finn Harps	D 2-2	60.3	1301	1227	42.80%	25.70%	31.50%	+0.22	-0.3	47
2021-10-24	Derry City	W 1-0	42.0	1279	1323	35.51%	25.91%	38.58%	-0.07	+6.2	43
2021-10-24	@ Drogheda United	L 0-1	42.0	1323	1279	38.58%	25.91%	35.51%	+0.07	-6.2	45
2021-10-25	Dundalk	W 1-0	40.1	1319	1313	42.59%	25.71%	31.69%	+0.19	+5.3	56
2021-10-25	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	40.1	1313	1319	31.69%	25.71%	42.59%	-0.19	-5.3	39
2021-10-25	Waterford	L 1-2	53.1	1345	1231	56.51%	23.17%	20.32%	+0.76	-7.9	43
2021-10-25	@ Bohemian	W 2-1	53.1	1231	1345	20.32%	23.17%	56.51%	-0.76	+7.9	39
2021-10-29	Bohemian	D 1-1	54.2	1316	1337	38.87%	25.90%	35.23%	+0.06	-0.1	46
2021-10-29	@ Derry City	D 1-1	54.2	1337	1316	35.23%	25.90%	38.87%	-0.06	+0.1	44
2021-10-29	Drogheda United	W 2-0	36.2	1301	1285	43.95%	25.59%	30.45%	+0.25	+9.8	50
2021-10-29	@ Sligo Rovers	L 0-2	36.2	1285	1301	30.45%	25.59%	43.95%	-0.25	-9.7	43
2021-10-29	Finn Harps	W 3-0	27.8	1480	1228	71.25%	17.27%	11.48%	+1.49	+5.3	72
2021-10-29	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-3	27.8	1228	1480	11.48%	17.27%	71.25%	-1.49	-5.3	38
2021-10-29	St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-4	34.4	1100	1324	16.92%	21.47%	61.61%	-1.01	-6.9	14
2021-10-29	@ Longford Town	W 4-1	34.4	1324	1100	61.61%	21.47%	16.92%	+1.01	+6.9	59
2021-10-29	Waterford	W 1-0	37.0	1307	1239	50.92%	24.56%	24.52%	+0.52	+4.3	42
2021-10-29	@ Dundalk	L 0-1	37.0	1239	1307	24.52%	24.56%	50.92%	-0.52	-4.3	39
2021-11-01	Bohemian	D 2-2	61.2	1331	1337	40.92%	25.82%	33.26%	+0.13	-0.2	60
2021-11-01	@ St Patrick's Athletic	D 2-2	61.2	1337	1331	33.26%	25.82%	40.92%	-0.13	+0.2	45
2021-11-01	Drogheda United	D 0-0	47.9	1222	1275	34.26%	25.87%	39.88%	-0.12	+0.2	39
2021-11-01	@ Finn Harps	D 0-0	47.9	1275	1222	39.88%	25.87%	34.26%	+0.12	-0.2	44
2021-11-01	Longford Town	W 1-0	31.5	1311	1093	67.86%	18.88%	13.26%	+1.30	+2.3	53
2021-11-01	@ Sligo Rovers	L 0-1	31.5	1093	1311	13.26%	18.88%	67.86%	-1.30	-2.3	14
2021-11-02	Derry City	D 2-2	60.4	1235	1316	30.52%	25.60%	43.88%	-0.26	+0.3	40
2021-11-02	@ Waterford	D 2-2	60.4	1316	1235	43.88%	25.60%	30.52%	+0.26	-0.3	47
2021-11-04	Dundalk	L 0-1	41.3	1275	1312	36.54%	25.92%	37.54%	-0.03	-5.9	44
2021-11-04	@ Drogheda United	W 1-0	41.3	1312	1275	37.54%	25.92%	36.54%	+0.03	+5.9	45
2021-11-05	Derry City	D 1-1	53.6	1222	1316	29.06%	25.43%	45.52%	-0.33	+0.5	40
2021-11-05	@ Finn Harps	D 1-1	53.6	1316	1222	45.52%	25.43%	29.06%	+0.33	-0.5	48
2021-11-05	Shamrock Rovers	L 1-3	38.2	1235	1486	15.19%	20.36%	64.46%	-1.15	-4.4	40
2021-11-05	@ Waterford	W 3-1	38.2	1486	1235	64.46%	20.36%	15.19%	+1.15	+4.4	75
2021-11-05	Sligo Rovers	L 0-3	39.4	1331	1313	44.24%	25.57%	30.20%	+0.26	-18.8	60
2021-11-05	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 3-0	39.4	1313	1331	30.20%	25.57%	44.24%	-0.26	+18.9	56
2021-11-07	Drogheda United	W 2-1	44.2	1337	1269	50.88%	24.56%	24.55%	+0.52	+4.1	48
2021-11-07	@ Bohemian	L 1-2	44.2	1269	1337	24.55%	24.56%	50.88%	-0.52	-4.1	44
2021-11-07	Longford Town	W 2-0	28.1	1318	1091	68.78%	18.45%	12.77%	+1.35	+4.2	48
2021-11-07	@ Dundalk	L 0-2	28.1	1091	1318	12.77%	18.45%	68.78%	-1.35	-4.1	14
2021-11-12	Finn Harps	D 2-2	60.8	1312	1223	53.52%	23.97%	22.50%	+0.63	-0.8	61
2021-11-12	@ St Patrick's Athletic	D 2-2	60.8	1223	1312	22.50%	23.97%	53.52%	-0.63	+0.8	41
2021-11-12	Shamrock Rovers	W 3-1	52.8	1341	1490	23.08%	24.16%	52.76%	-0.62	+13.0	51
2021-11-12	@ Bohemian	L 1-3	52.8	1490	1341	52.76%	24.16%	23.08%	+0.62	-13.0	75
2021-11-12	Sligo Rovers	W 2-0	38.0	1315	1332	39.45%	25.88%	34.67%	+0.08	+10.8	51
2021-11-12	@ Derry City	L 0-2	38.0	1332	1315	34.67%	25.88%	39.45%	-0.08	-10.8	56
2021-11-13	Waterford	D 1-1	53.4	1086	1231	23.54%	24.29%	52.17%	-0.59	+1.0	15
2021-11-13	@ Longford Town	D 1-1	53.4	1231	1086	52.17%	24.29%	23.54%	+0.59	-1.0	41
2021-11-19	Bohemian	D 1-1	54.4	1321	1354	37.03%	25.92%	37.05%	-0.01	+0.0	57
2021-11-19	@ Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	54.4	1354	1321	37.05%	25.92%	37.03%	+0.01	+0.0	52
2021-11-19	Derry City	L 1-2	49.9	1322	1326	41.11%	25.81%	33.08%	+0.14	-6.1	48
2021-11-19	@ Dundalk	W 2-1	49.9	1326	1322	33.08%	25.81%	41.11%	-0.14	+6.1	54
2021-11-19	Drogheda United	W 2-1	40.8	1477	1265	67.31%	19.13%	13.57%	+1.27	+2.2	78
2021-11-19	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 1-2	40.8	1265	1477	13.57%	19.13%	67.31%	-1.27	-2.2	44
2021-11-19	Longford Town	W 5-0	30.7	1224	1087	59.18%	22.33%	18.49%	+0.88	+14.5	44
2021-11-19	@ Finn Harps	L 0-5	30.7	1087	1224	18.49%	22.33%	59.18%	-0.88	-14.5	15
2021-11-19	St Patrick's Athletic	D 0-0	48.2	1230	1311	30.54%	25.60%	43.86%	-0.26	+0.5	42
2021-11-19	@ Waterford	D 0-0	48.2	1311	1230	43.86%	25.60%	30.54%	+0.26	-0.5	62

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Record
2021-11-03	Galway United	D 0-0	47.6	1149	1166	39.35%	25.89%	34.77%	+0.07	-0.2	0-0-1
2021-11-03	@ Bray Wanderers	D 0-0	47.6	1166	1149	34.77%	25.89%	39.35%	-0.07	+0.2	0-0-1
2021-11-03	UC Dublin	L 0-3	38.2	1171	1155	43.97%	25.59%	30.44%	+0.25	-18.8	0-1
2021-11-03	@ Treaty United	W 3-0	38.2	1155	1171	30.44%	25.59%	43.97%	-0.25	+18.8	1-0
2021-11-07	Bray Wanderers	L 0-1	42.7	1166	1149	44.15%	25.58%	30.27%	+0.25	-6.9	0-1-1
2021-11-07	@ Galway United	W 1-0	42.7	1149	1166	30.27%	25.58%	44.15%	-0.25	+6.9	1-0-1
2021-11-07	Treaty United	L 1-2	49.6	1174	1153	44.73%	25.52%	29.75%	+0.28	-6.6	1-1
2021-11-07	@ UC Dublin	W 2-1	49.6	1153	1174	29.75%	25.52%	44.73%	-0.28	+6.6	1-1
2021-11-19	UC Dublin	L 0-2	38.4	1156	1168	40.08%	25.86%	34.06%	+0.10	-12.0	1-1-1
2021-11-19	@ Bray Wanderers	W 2-0	38.4	1168	1156	34.06%	25.86%	40.08%	-0.10	+12.0	2-1
2021-11-26	UC Dublin	L 1-2	50.8	1230	1180	48.63%	24.98%	26.39%	+0.43	-7.0	0-1
2021-11-26	@ Waterford	W 2-1	50.8	1180	1230	26.39%	24.98%	48.63%	-0.43	+7.0	3-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2021-09-03	15.22%	@ Finn Harps	1228	2	Shamrock Rovers	1478	1
2	2021-06-11	16.39%	Waterford	1167	3	@ Dundalk	1333	1
3	2021-05-24	17.19%	Sligo Rovers	1315	1	@ Shamrock Rovers	1469	0
4	2021-08-07	18.30%	Finn Harps	1191	1	@ Sligo Rovers	1330	0
5	2021-09-11	19.90%	@ Longford Town	1112	1	Dundalk	1297	0
6	2021-09-24	19.94%	Finn Harps	1233	2	@ Bohemian	1351	1
7	2021-10-08	20.32%	@ Dundalk	1304	1	Shamrock Rovers	1483	0
8	2021-10-25	20.32%	Waterford	1231	2	@ Bohemian	1345	1
9	2021-07-30	20.71%	Waterford	1191	2	@ Drogheda United	1300	1
10	2021-03-26	21.76%	Finn Harps	1242	2	@ Dundalk	1339	1
11	2021-08-07	22.31%	@ Waterford	1199	1	Bohemian	1356	0
12	2021-07-18	22.47%	@ Waterford	1183	1	Sligo Rovers	1338	0
13	2021-11-12	23.08%	@ Bohemian	1341	3	Shamrock Rovers	1490	1
14	2021-05-21	23.35%	@ Dundalk	1330	2	Shamrock Rovers	1476	1
15	2021-08-20	25.12%	@ Finn Harps	1215	3	St Patrick's Athletic	1344	1
16	2021-05-28	25.32%	Derry City	1273	2	@ Drogheda United	1333	1
17	2021-04-03	26.26%	St Patrick's Athletic	1269	1	@ Bohemian	1321	0
18	2021-11-26 *	26.39%	UC Dublin	1180	2	@ Waterford	1230	1
19	2021-05-07	26.74%	Sligo Rovers	1291	1	@ Dundalk	1338	0
20	2021-04-30	27.08%	Derry City	1266	2	@ Bohemian	1311	1
21	2021-05-03	27.55%	Finn Harps	1233	2	@ Derry City	1273	1
22	2021-04-20	27.62%	Sligo Rovers	1286	3	@ Bohemian	1326	1
23	2021-04-24	27.73%	Derry City	1259	1	@ Sligo Rovers	1298	0
24	2021-08-20	28.63%	Drogheda United	1273	2	@ Dundalk	1304	1
25	2021-06-21	28.78%	@ Bohemian	1370	1	Shamrock Rovers	1466	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-05-08	34.99	Drogheda United	7	1277	38.99%	@ Waterford	0	1231	35.11%	25.90%
2	2021-06-26	23.50	@ Sligo Rovers	4	1311	32.57%	Bohemian	0	1377	41.66%	25.78%
3	2021-06-18	22.88	@ Bohemian	5	1347	43.78%	Drogheda United	0	1332	30.61%	25.61%
4	2021-04-10	20.59	Drogheda United	4	1265	39.12%	@ Longford Town	0	1218	34.99%	25.89%
5	2021-11-05	18.85	Sligo Rovers	3	1313	30.20%	@ St Patrick's Athletic	0	1331	44.24%	25.57%
6	2021-11-03 *	18.76	UC Dublin	3	1155	30.44%	@ Treaty United	0	1171	43.97%	25.59%
7	2021-05-24	17.01	@ Bohemian	5	1322	39.56%	Dundalk	1	1338	34.56%	25.88%
8	2021-05-08	15.64	@ Bohemian	4	1304	50.37%	Finn Harps	0	1240	24.96%	24.67%
9	2021-08-06	15.17	@ Derry City	3	1286	40.92%	Drogheda United	0	1292	33.26%	25.82%
10	2021-08-08	15.17	St Patrick's Athletic	4	1325	32.55%	@ Dundalk	1	1325	41.68%	25.78%
11	2021-08-14	15.14	Finn Harps	3	1200	41.02%	@ Longford Town	0	1139	33.16%	25.81%
12	2021-06-11	14.88	Waterford	3	1167	16.39%	@ Dundalk	1	1333	62.46%	21.15%
13	2021-04-30	14.56	Dundalk	3	1324	42.73%	@ Waterford	0	1251	31.57%	25.70%
14	2021-11-19	14.50	@ Finn Harps	5	1224	59.18%	Longford Town	0	1087	18.49%	22.33%
15	2021-09-24	14.06	@ Dundalk	4	1284	36.39%	Sligo Rovers	1	1322	37.69%	25.92%
16	2021-10-15	13.48	@ Waterford	4	1218	38.47%	Finn Harps	1	1241	35.62%	25.91%
17	2021-03-20	13.05	@ Longford Town	2	1210	29.95%	Derry City	0	1296	44.51%	25.54%
18	2021-11-12	12.97	@ Bohemian	3	1341	23.08%	Shamrock Rovers	1	1490	52.76%	24.16%
19	2021-08-20	12.45	@ Finn Harps	3	1215	25.12%	St Patrick's Athletic	1	1344	50.17%	24.70%
20	2021-11-19 *	12.02	UC Dublin	2	1168	34.06%	@ Bray Wanderers	0	1156	40.08%	25.86%
21	2021-05-28	11.94	Dundalk	2	1321	34.41%	@ St Patrick's Athletic	0	1306	39.72%	25.87%
22	2021-04-20	11.83	Sligo Rovers	3	1286	27.62%	@ Bohemian	1	1326	47.17%	25.21%
23	2021-04-23	11.03	St Patrick's Athletic	2	1292	38.35%	@ Finn Harps	0	1250	35.74%	25.91%
24	2021-09-10	11.01	@ Sligo Rovers	2	1310	38.45%	St Patrick's Athletic	0	1333	35.64%	25.91%
25	2021-06-18	10.93	@ St Patrick's Athletic	2	1301	38.81%	Sligo Rovers	0	1322	35.29%	25.90%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-09-20	65.0	@ Bohemian	3	1351	47.06%	Derry City	3	1312	27.72%	25.22%
2	2021-11-01	61.2	@ St Patrick's Athletic	2	1331	40.92%	Bohemian	2	1337	33.26%	25.82%
3	2021-03-27	61.0	@ Bohemian	2	1322	54.76%	Longford Town	2	1223	21.58%	23.66%
4	2021-05-03	60.8	@ Longford Town	2	1181	22.24%	Dundalk	2	1339	53.87%	23.89%
5	2021-09-10	60.8	@ Derry City	2	1313	52.00%	Finn Harps	2	1236	23.67%	24.33%
6	2021-11-12	60.8	@ St Patrick's Athletic	2	1312	53.52%	Finn Harps	2	1223	22.50%	23.97%
7	2021-05-24	60.5	@ Derry City	2	1273	36.96%	St Patrick's Athletic	2	1306	37.12%	25.92%
8	2021-11-02	60.4	@ Waterford	2	1235	30.52%	Derry City	2	1316	43.88%	25.60%
9	2021-10-01	60.3	@ Finn Harps	2	1241	32.87%	Dundalk	2	1304	41.34%	25.80%
10	2021-10-23	60.3	@ Finn Harps	2	1227	31.50%	Sligo Rovers	2	1301	42.80%	25.70%
11	2021-10-18	58.1	@ Shamrock Rovers	1	1480	59.26%	Bohemian	1	1343	18.44%	22.31%
12	2021-05-15	57.4	@ Shamrock Rovers	1	1478	67.36%	Derry City	1	1266	13.53%	19.10%
13	2021-06-25	57.0	@ Shamrock Rovers	1	1458	61.33%	Drogheda United	1	1303	17.09%	21.58%
14	2021-06-11	56.9	@ Shamrock Rovers	1	1462	70.14%	Finn Harps	1	1221	12.05%	17.81%
15	2021-03-19	56.5	@ Shamrock Rovers	1	1447	64.55%	St Patrick's Athletic	1	1262	15.13%	20.32%
16	2021-09-03	55.9	@ Finn Harps	2	1228	15.22%	Shamrock Rovers	1	1478	64.40%	20.38%
17	2021-04-10	55.8	@ Sligo Rovers	1	1280	21.24%	Shamrock Rovers	1	1449	55.23%	23.53%
18	2021-09-10	55.7	@ Drogheda United	3	1280	31.64%	Bohemian	2	1353	42.65%	25.71%
19	2021-07-18	55.3	@ Bohemian	1	1358	67.19%	Longford Town	1	1147	13.63%	19.18%
20	2021-05-21	55.2	@ Dundalk	2	1330	23.35%	Shamrock Rovers	1	1476	52.41%	24.24%
21	2021-06-18	54.6	@ Dundalk	1	1318	62.39%	Longford Town	1	1152	16.43%	21.18%
22	2021-10-15	54.4	@ Bohemian	1	1344	46.12%	Dundalk	1	1312	28.53%	25.35%
23	2021-11-19	54.4	@ Sligo Rovers	1	1321	37.03%	Bohemian	1	1354	37.05%	25.92%
24	2021-10-29	54.2	@ Derry City	1	1316	38.87%	Bohemian	1	1337	35.23%	25.90%
25	2021-04-17	54.0	@ Dundalk	1	1321	46.44%	St Patrick's Athletic	1	1287	28.25%	25.31%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-10-29	27.8	@ Shamrock Rovers	3	1480	71.25%	Finn Harps	0	1228	11.48%	17.27%
2	2021-09-24	27.9	@ Derry City	3	1313	65.25%	Longford Town	0	1121	14.72%	20.02%
3	2021-11-07	28.1	@ Dundalk	2	1318	68.78%	Longford Town	0	1091	12.77%	18.45%
4	2021-05-03	28.4	@ Shamrock Rovers	3	1469	69.28%	Waterford	0	1237	12.50%	18.22%
5	2021-09-10	28.7	@ Shamrock Rovers	2	1469	71.49%	Waterford	0	1213	11.36%	17.15%
6	2021-05-29	29.0	@ Bohemian	3	1339	62.30%	Waterford	0	1175	16.49%	21.21%
7	2021-08-08	29.3	@ Shamrock Rovers	1	1473	78.13%	Longford Town	0	1140	8.20%	13.66%
8	2021-10-23	29.6	Shamrock Rovers	1	1479	76.42%	@ Longford Town	0	1101	8.98%	14.60%
9	2021-10-15	29.9	@ Drogheda United	2	1273	62.55%	Longford Town	0	1107	16.33%	21.12%
10	2021-04-30	30.7	@ St Patrick's Athletic	3	1303	56.34%	Longford Town	0	1191	20.44%	23.22%
11	2021-11-19	30.7	@ Finn Harps	5	1224	59.18%	Longford Town	0	1087	18.49%	22.33%
12	2021-05-15	31.1	@ Sligo Rovers	3	1298	55.16%	Waterford	0	1196	21.29%	23.55%
13	2021-05-21	31.2	@ Sligo Rovers	2	1308	58.86%	Longford Town	0	1175	18.70%	22.44%
14	2021-11-01	31.5	@ Sligo Rovers	1	1311	67.86%	Longford Town	0	1093	13.26%	18.88%
15	2021-04-30	31.9	Shamrock Rovers	2	1463	61.61%	@ Finn Harps	0	1239	16.92%	21.47%
16	2021-05-29	32.0	Shamrock Rovers	1	1460	69.28%	@ Longford Town	0	1162	12.50%	18.22%
17	2021-07-02	32.5	@ Derry City	2	1281	54.61%	Waterford	0	1183	21.69%	23.70%
18	2021-10-15	32.9	@ Shamrock Rovers	2	1475	62.75%	Sligo Rovers	0	1306	16.21%	21.04%
19	2021-05-08	33.0	@ Bohemian	4	1304	50.37%	Finn Harps	0	1240	24.96%	24.67%
20	2021-04-13	33.5	Shamrock Rovers	2	1448	56.78%	@ Derry City	0	1266	20.13%	23.09%
21	2021-05-15	33.6	Bohemian	2	1320	51.22%	@ Longford Town	0	1183	24.29%	24.50%
22	2021-06-18	33.7	Shamrock Rovers	4	1460	67.32%	@ Waterford	1	1182	13.56%	19.12%
23	2021-07-31	33.7	Derry City	2	1278	50.25%	@ Longford Town	0	1148	25.06%	24.69%
24	2021-10-29	34.4	St Patrick's Athletic	4	1324	61.61%	@ Longford Town	1	1100	16.92%	21.47%
25	2021-10-02	34.5	Bohemian	4	1337	61.50%	@ Longford Town	1	1114	16.99%	21.52%