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2022 League of Ireland Premier Division Season

180 games · 5 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Shamrock Rovers

79 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Shamrock Rovers

10.29 points above expected

79 points · 68.71 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Finn Harps

17.12 points below expected

20 points · 37.12 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Shamrock Rovers 36 24 7 5 79 61 22 +39 68.71 +10.29
2 Derry City 36 18 12 6 66 53 27 +26 60.66 +5.34
3 Dundalk 36 18 12 6 66 50 30 +20 58.36 +7.64
4 St Patrick's Athletic 36 18 7 11 61 57 37 +20 55.49 +5.51
5 Sligo Rovers 36 13 10 13 49 47 41 +6 51.15 -2.15
6 Bohemian 36 12 10 14 46 45 46 -1 53.09 -7.09
7 Shelbourne 36 10 11 15 41 40 49 -9 39.64 +1.36
8 Drogheda United 36 9 11 16 38 34 58 -24 38.87 -0.87
9 UC Dublin 36 6 8 22 26 28 67 -39 29.82 -3.82
10 Finn Harps 36 4 8 24 20 33 71 -38 37.12 -17.12

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Shamrock Rovers 79 68.71 +10.29
2 Dundalk 66 58.36 +7.64
3 St Patrick's Athletic 61 55.49 +5.51
4 Derry City 66 60.66 +5.34
5 Shelbourne 41 39.64 +1.36

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Finn Harps 20 37.12 -17.12
2 Bohemian 46 53.09 -7.09
3 UC Dublin 26 29.82 -3.82
4 Sligo Rovers 49 51.15 -2.15
5 Drogheda United 38 38.87 -0.87

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Derry City 6 Mar 4 – Apr 9 1 in 153
2 Dundalk 5 May 13 – Jun 17 1 in 137
3 Shelbourne 4 May 6 – May 23 1 in 87
4 St Patrick's Athletic 5 Aug 14 – Sep 9 1 in 32
5 Shamrock Rovers 5 Apr 1 – Apr 22 1 in 30

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Finn Harps 4 May 6 – May 23 1 in 32
2 Derry City 3 May 13 – May 23 1 in 25
3 Drogheda United 4 Apr 23 – May 13 1 in 21
4 Sligo Rovers 3 Aug 14 – Aug 29 1 in 21
5 UC Dublin 4 Apr 15 – Apr 29 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Derry City 16 May 27 – Oct 24 1 in 77
2 Drogheda United 6 Mar 18 – Apr 18 1 in 30
3 Shamrock Rovers 13 Mar 11 – May 19 1 in 24
4 Dundalk 10 Apr 22 – Jul 1 1 in 23
5 Sligo Rovers 6 Feb 25 – Mar 18 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Derry City 7 May 6 – Jun 17 1 in 130
2 UC Dublin 14 Feb 18 – May 6 1 in 42
3 Shelbourne 11 Aug 12 – Oct 24 1 in 36
4 Sligo Rovers 5 Mar 18 – Apr 15 1 in 21
5 Finn Harps 11 May 6 – Jul 22 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Shamrock Rovers 1538 79 +21 13 10.5 +2.5
Derry City 1441 66 -12 5 8.7 -3.7
Dundalk 1416 63 +10 10 8.0 +2.0
St Patrick's Athletic 1424 61 +13 9 7.2 +1.8
Sligo Rovers 1353 49 +7 8 6.6 +1.4
Bohemian 1340 46 -14 4 7.3 -3.3
Shelbourne 1274 41 +16 5 5.4 -0.4
Drogheda United 1212 38 -15 7 5.6 +1.4
UC Dublin 1180 26 +11 7 4.6 +2.4
Finn Harps 1160 20 -36 1 4.7 -3.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOH DC DU DUN FH SR SHE SR SPA UD
Bohemian —
0-1-3
4.61
1-2-1
6.90
0-1-3
5.05
1-3-0
7.18
1-0-3
3.74
2-2-0
6.70
3-0-1
5.35
1-0-3
5.07
3-1-0
7.81
Derry City
3-1-0
6.30
—
1-3-0
7.34
0-2-2
5.83
3-1-0
8.13
1-1-2
4.29
2-1-1
7.45
1-2-1
6.47
3-1-0
5.89
4-0-0
8.32
Drogheda United
1-2-1
4.03
0-3-1
3.62
—
2-0-2
3.68
2-1-1
5.86
1-2-1
2.54
1-0-3
5.31
0-1-3
4.30
0-1-3
3.87
2-1-1
6.47
Dundalk
3-1-0
5.85
2-2-0
5.07
2-0-2
7.28
—
4-0-0
7.70
1-1-2
4.14
1-3-0
7.20
2-2-0
5.92
1-2-1
5.55
2-1-1
8.22
Finn Harps
0-3-1
3.77
0-1-3
2.94
1-1-2
5.02
0-0-4
3.30
—
0-0-4
2.58
2-1-1
4.93
1-0-3
3.79
0-1-3
3.62
0-1-3
6.14
Shamrock Rovers
3-0-1
7.20
2-1-1
6.61
1-2-1
8.57
2-1-1
6.78
4-0-0
8.56
—
3-1-0
8.52
2-2-0
7.17
3-0-1
6.97
4-0-0
9.14
Shelbourne
0-2-2
4.22
1-1-2
3.55
3-0-1
5.58
0-3-1
3.76
1-1-2
5.96
0-1-3
2.60
—
2-0-2
3.93
1-1-2
3.89
2-2-0
6.59
Sligo Rovers
1-0-3
5.53
1-2-1
4.43
3-1-0
6.61
0-2-2
4.96
3-0-1
7.15
0-2-2
3.77
2-0-2
7.01
—
2-1-1
4.92
1-2-1
7.97
St Patrick's Athletic
3-0-1
5.83
0-1-3
5.00
3-1-0
7.08
1-2-1
5.33
3-1-0
7.36
1-0-3
3.96
2-1-1
7.06
1-1-2
5.96
—
4-0-0
7.93
UC Dublin
0-1-3
3.21
0-0-4
2.77
1-1-2
4.43
1-1-2
2.84
3-1-0
4.75
0-0-4
2.09
0-2-2
4.33
1-2-1
3.06
0-0-4
3.10
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.89 +16.3
Allowed 0.97 -11.1
Differential 0.97 +6.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.22%10.28%5.56%4.72%0.83%0.28%28.89%
110.28%12.78%7.22%4.44%0.83%0.56%36.11%
25.56%7.22%5.56%1.39%0.28%—20.00%
34.72%4.44%1.39%0.56%——11.11%
40.83%0.83%0.28%—0.56%—2.50%
5+0.28%0.56%———0.56%1.39%
Total28.89%36.11%20.00%11.11%2.50%1.39%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.24 +0.00
SD 1.16 1.16 1.72
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min -1 -1 -6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.89%—2.78%——16.67%
116.67%19.44%8.33%11.11%——55.56%
22.78%2.78%8.33%2.78%——16.67%
32.78%5.56%————8.33%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total22.22%44.44%16.67%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.28 -0.03
SD 0.94 1.00 1.42
CV 0.75 0.79 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%————19.44%
116.67%16.67%8.33%———41.67%
25.56%13.89%5.56%———25.00%
35.56%—2.78%———8.33%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total41.67%41.67%16.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 0.75 +0.72
SD 1.36 0.73 1.49
CV 0.93 0.98 —
Max 7 2 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%13.89%8.33%2.78%2.78%36.11%
111.11%25.00%2.78%2.78%2.78%—44.44%
25.56%—2.78%2.78%——11.11%
3—5.56%————5.56%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total19.44%36.11%22.22%13.89%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.61 -0.67
SD 0.98 1.36 1.88
CV 1.04 0.84 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%8.33%—2.78%——25.00%
113.89%8.33%2.78%———25.00%
25.56%13.89%8.33%2.78%——30.56%
38.33%2.78%—2.78%——13.89%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+—————2.78%2.78%
Total41.67%36.11%11.11%8.33%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 0.81 +0.56
SD 1.17 0.98 1.32
CV 0.86 1.22 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%11.11%13.89%——38.89%
12.78%5.56%13.89%13.89%—2.78%38.89%
2——13.89%———13.89%
35.56%—2.78%———8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.11%16.67%41.67%27.78%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 1.97 -1.06
SD 0.94 1.08 1.57
CV 1.02 0.55 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%————19.44%
122.22%8.33%2.78%———33.33%
25.56%5.56%2.78%———13.89%
311.11%13.89%2.78%———27.78%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total47.22%44.44%8.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 0.61 +1.08
SD 1.31 0.64 1.34
CV 0.77 1.06 —
Max 5 2 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%5.56%5.56%2.78%—36.11%
15.56%16.67%5.56%5.56%2.78%—36.11%
28.33%8.33%—2.78%——19.44%
3—2.78%————2.78%
4————2.78%—2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total27.78%38.89%11.11%13.89%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.36 -0.25
SD 1.28 1.27 1.86
CV 1.15 0.93 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%2.78%———25.00%
15.56%8.33%8.33%8.33%——30.56%
28.33%8.33%5.56%2.78%——25.00%
35.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
4———————
5+—————2.78%2.78%
Total30.56%33.33%19.44%13.89%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.11 +0.17
SD 1.11 1.09 1.38
CV 0.87 0.98 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%13.89%——2.78%—22.22%
15.56%8.33%11.11%—2.78%—27.78%
211.11%13.89%2.78%———27.78%
38.33%5.56%————13.89%
45.56%———2.78%—8.33%
5+———————
Total36.11%41.67%13.89%—8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.03 +0.56
SD 1.23 1.13 1.80
CV 0.78 1.10 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%22.22%13.89%——50.00%
12.78%11.11%8.33%2.78%—2.78%27.78%
22.78%5.56%5.56%—2.78%—16.67%
3—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.11%27.78%38.89%16.67%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.78 1.86 -1.08
SD 0.93 1.31 1.66
CV 1.19 0.71 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Shamrock Rovers 1538 79 68.71 +10.29 94.0% 49 57 64 70 73 81 85
Derry City 1441 66 60.66 +5.34 79.0% 39 48 55 61 65 72 79
St Patrick's Athletic 1424 61 55.49 +5.51 78.0% 35 42 50 56 61 66 79
Dundalk 1416 66 58.36 +7.64 83.0% 35 45 51 58 64 71 78
Sligo Rovers 1353 49 51.15 -2.15 43.0% 36 38 45 50 56 62 78
Bohemian 1340 46 53.09 -7.09 19.0% 39 42 47 54 58 63 67
Shelbourne 1274 41 39.64 +1.36 55.0% 19 26 36 41 44 50 55
Drogheda United 1212 38 38.87 -0.87 50.0% 26 28 34 38 43 50 58
UC Dublin 1192 26 29.82 -3.82 35.0% 13 17 25 30 34 43 49
Finn Harps 1160 20 37.12 -17.12 0.0% 22 27 32 36 42 47 56

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+14.44%
Clear Edge
43.89%26.67%29.44%
Elo Value
Home Edge
161 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
052.51500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.32 goals
Neutral
-2+0.33+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.2
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
64%
Shamrock Rovers, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.36/gm
Runaway
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.88 * Some Luck: 5.88 to 8.82 * Lucky: 8.82 to 11.75 * Wild Swing: 11.75 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.93 * Close: 0.93 to 1.39 * Off: 1.39 to 1.85 * Way Off: 1.85 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.67 points
Some Luck
07.3518
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.40
Pinpoint
01.162.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
94.00%
Shamrock Rovers
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
0.00%
Finn Harps
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Lopsided
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 125.08
2.41
Wide Separation
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
75%
Clear Edge
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
90%
Clear Edge
50%91%100%
Close Games
Expected
65%
Very Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Rare
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Very Even
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.29
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.77
Near-Lock
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Chalky
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Solid Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.81
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.36
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.086
Well Within Noise
00.1260.3

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Quarterfinals

Galway United 5
Longford Town 2

Leg 1: Longford Town 2-2 Galway United

Leg 2: Galway United 3-0 Longford Town

Waterford 7
Treaty United 4

Leg 1: Treaty United 1-4 Waterford

Leg 2: Waterford 3-3 Treaty United

Semifinals

Waterford 3
Galway United 0

Finals

UC Dublin 1
Waterford 0

Sim: 4.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Shamrock Rovers64.00%21.00%9.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%————
Derry City14.00%31.00%21.00%18.00%10.00%3.00%3.00%———
Dundalk13.00%18.00%24.00%18.00%13.00%9.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%—
St Patrick's Athletic5.00%15.00%20.00%23.00%20.00%10.00%4.00%3.00%——
Sligo Rovers3.00%6.00%7.00%18.00%22.00%22.00%13.00%4.00%5.00%—
Bohemian1.00%9.00%18.00%18.00%20.00%22.00%11.00%1.00%——
Shelbourne——1.00%1.00%9.00%9.00%33.00%22.00%16.00%9.00%
Drogheda United———1.00%1.00%14.00%19.00%31.00%20.00%14.00%
UC Dublin—————2.00%6.00%6.00%21.00%65.00%
Finn Harps———1.00%3.00%7.00%9.00%31.00%37.00%12.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff Direct relegation
Bohemian 100% — —
Derry City 100% — —
Shamrock Rovers 100% — —
St Patrick's Athletic 100% — —
Dundalk 99.00% 1.00% —
Sligo Rovers 95.00% 5.00% —
Shelbourne 75.00% 16.00% 9.00%
Drogheda United 66.00% 20.00% 14.00%
Finn Harps 51.00% 37.00% 12.00%
UC Dublin — 100% —
Loser →
↓ Winner
Athlone TownBohemianBray WanderersCobh RamblersCork CityDrogheda UnitedFinn HarpsGalway UnitedLongford TownShelbourneTreaty UnitedUC DublinWaterfordWexford
Athlone Town
Bohemian
Bray Wanderers
Cobh Ramblers
Cork City
Drogheda United
Finn Harps
Galway United
Longford Town
Shelbourne
Treaty United
UC Dublin
Waterford
Wexford
Loser →
↓ Winner
BohemianBray WanderersCobh RamblersCork CityDrogheda UnitedFinn HarpsGalway UnitedLongford TownShelbourneTreaty UnitedUC DublinWaterfordWexford
Bohemian
Bray Wanderers
Cobh Ramblers
Cork City
Drogheda United
Finn Harps
Galway United
Longford Town
Shelbourne
Treaty United
UC Dublin
Waterford
Wexford
Loser →
↓ Winner
BohemianBray WanderersCobh RamblersCork CityDrogheda UnitedFinn HarpsGalway UnitedLongford TownShelbourneSligo RoversTreaty UnitedUC DublinWaterfordWexford
Bohemian0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
Bray Wanderers0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Cobh Ramblers
Cork City100.0%1.00%80.0%5.00%66.7%6.00%66.7%6.00%100.0%4.00%
Drogheda United20.0%5.00%33.3%6.00%100.0%2.00%25.0%4.00%
Finn Harps100.0%1.00%33.3%6.00%27.3%11.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%12.00%
Galway United66.7%6.00%72.7%11.00%33.3%6.00%100.0%1.00%57.1%7.00%
Longford Town50.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%66.7%3.00%
Shelbourne100.0%1.00%33.3%6.00%66.7%6.00%100.0%1.00%28.6%7.00%
Sligo Rovers0.0%1.00%
Treaty United0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%4.00%
UC Dublin0.0%4.00%42.9%7.00%100.0%4.00%50.0%8.00%
Waterford75.0%4.00%50.0%12.00%71.4%7.00%50.0%8.00%
Wexford

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Quarterfinals Semifinals Finals
UC Dublin — — 39.26%
Waterford 74.62% 44.58% 29.40%
Galway United 63.77% 31.17% 19.37%
Longford Town 36.23% 13.91% 7.21%
Treaty United 25.38% 10.34% 4.76%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Galway UnitedLongford TownTreaty UnitedUC DublinWaterford
Galway United
Longford Town
Treaty United
UC Dublin
Waterford
Loser →
↓ Winner
Galway UnitedLongford TownTreaty UnitedUC DublinWaterford
Galway United
Longford Town
Treaty United
UC Dublin
Waterford
Loser →
↓ Winner
Galway UnitedLongford TownTreaty UnitedUC DublinWaterford
Galway United62.1%31.17%
Longford Town51.8%13.91%
Treaty United46.0%10.34%
UC Dublin37.9%31.17%48.2%13.91%54.0%10.34%34.1%44.58%
Waterford65.9%44.58%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2022-02-18 Derry City D 2-260.5 1341 1351 42.19% 28.15% 29.65%+0.27 -0.4 1
2022-02-18 @ Dundalk D 2-260.5 1351 1341 29.65% 28.15% 42.19%-0.27 +0.4 1
2022-02-18 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-337.8 1288 1338 36.53% 28.43% 35.04%+0.02 -22.0 0
2022-02-18 @ Shelbourne W 3-037.8 1338 1288 35.04% 28.43% 36.53%-0.02 +22.0 3
2022-02-18 UC Dublin W 3-029.8 1438 1264 64.05% 22.26% 13.69%+1.40 +9.1 3
2022-02-18 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-329.8 1264 1438 13.69% 22.26% 64.05%-1.40 -9.1 0
2022-02-25 Dundalk D 2-260.9 1365 1341 46.71% 27.59% 25.70%+0.47 -0.7 1
2022-02-25 @ Bohemian D 2-260.9 1341 1365 25.70% 27.59% 46.71%-0.47 +0.7 2
2022-02-25 Finn Harps D 0-048.0 1254 1297 37.65% 28.41% 33.94%+0.06 -0.2 1
2022-02-25 @ UC Dublin D 0-048.0 1297 1254 33.94% 28.41% 37.65%-0.06 +0.2 1
2022-02-25 Shamrock Rovers W 2-153.0 1351 1447 30.28% 28.21% 41.51%-0.27 +8.3 4
2022-02-25 @ Derry City L 1-253.0 1447 1351 41.51% 28.21% 30.28%+0.27 -8.3 3
2022-02-25 Shelbourne L 0-242.7 1313 1266 49.65% 27.05% 23.30%+0.62 -19.2 0
2022-02-25 @ Drogheda United W 2-042.7 1266 1313 23.30% 27.05% 49.65%-0.62 +19.2 3
2022-02-25 Sligo Rovers L 1-252.4 1360 1344 45.60% 27.76% 26.64%+0.42 -9.0 3
2022-02-25 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-152.4 1344 1360 26.64% 27.76% 45.60%-0.42 +9.0 3
2022-02-28 Drogheda United W 3-139.1 1438 1294 61.00% 23.56% 15.44%+1.22 +6.2 6
2022-02-28 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-339.1 1294 1438 15.44% 23.56% 61.00%-1.22 -6.2 0
2022-02-28 Finn Harps W 3-033.6 1341 1297 49.37% 27.10% 23.53%+0.60 +15.6 5
2022-02-28 @ Dundalk L 0-333.6 1297 1341 23.53% 27.10% 49.37%-0.60 -15.6 1
2022-02-28 Shelbourne D 0-047.9 1254 1285 39.23% 28.35% 32.41%+0.13 -0.3 2
2022-02-28 @ UC Dublin D 0-047.9 1285 1254 32.41% 28.35% 39.23%-0.13 +0.3 4
2022-02-28 Sligo Rovers D 0-049.5 1359 1353 44.35% 27.92% 27.73%+0.36 -0.8 5
2022-02-28 @ Derry City D 0-049.5 1353 1359 27.73% 27.92% 44.35%-0.36 +0.8 4
2022-02-28 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-040.8 1364 1351 45.27% 27.80% 26.93%+0.41 +6.4 4
2022-02-28 @ Bohemian L 0-140.8 1351 1364 26.93% 27.80% 45.27%-0.41 -6.4 3
2022-03-04 Bohemian D 1-153.8 1281 1370 31.09% 28.27% 40.63%-0.23 +0.4 2
2022-03-04 @ Finn Harps D 1-153.8 1370 1281 40.63% 28.27% 31.09%+0.23 -0.4 5
2022-03-04 Derry City L 0-142.0 1286 1359 33.25% 28.39% 38.36%-0.13 -7.5 4
2022-03-04 @ Shelbourne W 1-042.0 1359 1286 38.36% 28.39% 33.25%+0.13 +7.5 8
2022-03-04 Shamrock Rovers W 1-046.8 1345 1445 29.71% 28.16% 42.13%-0.29 +8.9 6
2022-03-04 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-146.8 1445 1345 42.13% 28.16% 29.71%+0.29 -8.9 6
2022-03-04 UC Dublin W 4-244.9 1288 1254 47.95% 27.38% 24.68%+0.53 +8.7 3
2022-03-04 @ Drogheda United L 2-444.9 1254 1288 24.68% 27.38% 47.95%-0.53 -8.7 2
2022-03-05 Dundalk D 0-049.5 1354 1357 43.11% 28.06% 28.83%+0.31 -0.7 5
2022-03-05 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-049.5 1357 1354 28.83% 28.06% 43.11%-0.31 +0.7 6
2022-03-11 Bohemian W 1-040.4 1436 1370 51.98% 26.51% 21.51%+0.73 +5.3 9
2022-03-11 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-140.4 1370 1436 21.51% 26.51% 51.98%-0.73 -5.3 5
2022-03-11 Dundalk D 1-153.7 1278 1358 32.36% 28.35% 39.29%-0.17 +0.3 5
2022-03-11 @ Shelbourne D 1-153.7 1358 1278 39.29% 28.35% 32.36%+0.17 -0.3 7
2022-03-11 Sligo Rovers L 0-337.7 1296 1353 35.49% 28.43% 36.08%-0.03 -21.5 3
2022-03-11 @ Drogheda United W 3-037.7 1353 1296 36.08% 28.43% 35.49%+0.03 +21.5 8
2022-03-11 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-238.6 1282 1354 33.41% 28.40% 38.19%-0.12 -14.2 2
2022-03-11 @ Finn Harps W 2-038.6 1354 1282 38.19% 28.40% 33.41%+0.12 +14.2 9
2022-03-14 Drogheda United W 2-033.6 1366 1275 55.06% 25.66% 19.28%+0.89 +9.0 11
2022-03-14 @ Derry City L 0-233.6 1275 1366 19.28% 25.66% 55.06%-0.89 -9.0 3
2022-03-14 Finn Harps W 3-139.3 1375 1267 56.91% 25.07% 18.02%+0.99 +7.3 11
2022-03-14 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-339.3 1267 1375 18.02% 25.07% 56.91%-0.99 -7.3 2
2022-03-14 Shamrock Rovers D 0-050.9 1357 1441 31.84% 28.32% 39.84%-0.19 +0.4 8
2022-03-14 @ Dundalk D 0-050.9 1441 1357 39.84% 28.32% 31.84%+0.19 -0.4 10
2022-03-14 Shelbourne D 1-154.5 1365 1278 54.47% 25.84% 19.69%+0.86 -1.6 6
2022-03-14 @ Bohemian D 1-154.5 1278 1365 19.69% 25.84% 54.47%-0.86 +1.6 6
2022-03-14 UC Dublin W 2-032.3 1368 1245 58.57% 24.49% 16.93%+1.08 +7.9 12
2022-03-14 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-232.3 1245 1368 16.93% 24.49% 58.57%-1.08 -7.9 2
2022-03-18 Bohemian D 1-153.6 1237 1363 26.65% 27.76% 45.60%-0.45 +0.8 3
2022-03-18 @ UC Dublin D 1-153.6 1363 1237 45.60% 27.76% 26.65%+0.45 -0.8 7
2022-03-18 Dundalk W 1-044.2 1266 1358 30.73% 28.25% 41.02%-0.25 +8.8 6
2022-03-18 @ Drogheda United L 0-144.2 1358 1266 41.02% 28.25% 30.73%+0.25 -8.8 8
2022-03-18 Finn Harps L 0-339.9 1280 1260 46.16% 27.67% 26.17%+0.45 -26.3 6
2022-03-18 @ Shelbourne W 3-039.9 1260 1280 26.17% 27.67% 46.16%-0.45 +26.3 5
2022-03-18 Sligo Rovers D 2-263.4 1441 1382 51.09% 26.73% 22.18%+0.69 -1.0 11
2022-03-18 @ Shamrock Rovers D 2-263.4 1382 1441 22.18% 26.73% 51.09%-0.69 +1.0 12
2022-03-18 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-148.1 1375 1376 43.45% 28.03% 28.53%+0.32 +6.3 14
2022-03-18 @ Derry City L 1-248.1 1376 1375 28.53% 28.03% 43.45%-0.32 -6.3 12
2022-04-01 Derry City L 1-251.8 1362 1381 40.89% 28.26% 30.85%+0.21 -8.2 7
2022-04-01 @ Bohemian W 2-151.8 1381 1362 30.85% 28.26% 40.89%-0.21 +8.2 17
2022-04-01 Drogheda United D 1-154.6 1369 1274 55.45% 25.54% 19.01%+0.91 -1.7 13
2022-04-01 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-154.6 1274 1369 19.01% 25.54% 55.45%-0.91 +1.7 7
2022-04-01 Shamrock Rovers L 0-334.7 1286 1440 23.68% 27.14% 49.17%-0.62 -15.7 5
2022-04-01 @ Finn Harps W 3-034.7 1440 1286 49.17% 27.14% 23.68%+0.62 +15.7 14
2022-04-01 Shelbourne L 0-148.6 1383 1254 59.36% 24.20% 16.44%+1.13 -11.8 12
2022-04-01 @ Sligo Rovers W 1-048.6 1254 1383 16.44% 24.20% 59.36%-1.13 +11.8 9
2022-04-01 UC Dublin W 2-032.5 1349 1238 57.28% 24.95% 17.77%+1.01 +8.3 11
2022-04-01 @ Dundalk L 0-232.5 1238 1349 17.77% 24.95% 57.28%-1.01 -8.3 3
2022-04-04 Derry City L 0-234.9 1230 1390 23.05% 26.98% 49.98%-0.66 -10.6 3
2022-04-04 @ UC Dublin W 2-034.9 1390 1230 49.98% 26.98% 23.05%+0.66 +10.5 20
2022-04-04 Drogheda United D 2-259.4 1271 1276 42.76% 28.10% 29.14%+0.29 -0.4 6
2022-04-04 @ Finn Harps D 2-259.4 1276 1271 29.14% 28.10% 42.76%-0.29 +0.4 8
2022-04-05 Bohemian L 0-146.6 1371 1354 45.82% 27.72% 26.46%+0.43 -9.5 12
2022-04-05 @ Sligo Rovers W 1-046.6 1354 1371 26.46% 27.72% 45.82%-0.43 +9.5 10
2022-04-08 Bohemian D 1-153.7 1277 1364 31.38% 28.29% 40.33%-0.21 +0.4 9
2022-04-08 @ Drogheda United D 1-153.7 1364 1277 40.33% 28.29% 31.38%+0.21 -0.4 11
2022-04-08 Dundalk D 0-049.7 1368 1357 44.90% 27.85% 27.25%+0.39 -0.9 14
2022-04-08 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-049.7 1357 1368 27.25% 27.85% 44.90%-0.39 +0.9 12
2022-04-08 Shamrock Rovers L 1-244.6 1265 1455 20.26% 26.06% 53.68%-0.85 -4.7 9
2022-04-08 @ Shelbourne W 2-144.6 1455 1265 53.68% 26.06% 20.26%+0.85 +4.7 17
2022-04-09 Derry City L 1-246.2 1270 1400 26.17% 27.67% 46.16%-0.48 -5.9 6
2022-04-09 @ Finn Harps W 2-146.2 1400 1270 46.16% 27.67% 26.17%+0.48 +5.9 23
2022-04-09 UC Dublin D 2-260.9 1362 1219 60.76% 23.66% 15.58%+1.21 -1.6 13
2022-04-09 @ Sligo Rovers D 2-260.9 1219 1362 15.58% 23.66% 60.76%-1.21 +1.6 4
2022-04-15 Drogheda United L 0-238.5 1221 1277 35.66% 28.43% 35.91%-0.02 -14.9 4
2022-04-15 @ UC Dublin W 2-038.5 1277 1221 35.91% 28.43% 35.66%+0.02 +14.9 12
2022-04-15 Finn Harps D 2-260.7 1363 1264 55.93% 25.39% 18.68%+0.94 -1.3 12
2022-04-15 @ Bohemian D 2-260.7 1264 1363 18.68% 25.39% 55.93%-0.94 +1.3 7
2022-04-15 Shelbourne L 1-255.4 1406 1261 61.08% 23.53% 15.39%+1.23 -11.3 23
2022-04-15 @ Derry City W 2-155.4 1261 1406 15.39% 23.53% 61.08%-1.23 +11.3 12
2022-04-15 Sligo Rovers W 2-147.7 1358 1360 43.22% 28.05% 28.73%+0.31 +6.3 15
2022-04-15 @ Dundalk L 1-247.7 1360 1358 28.73% 28.05% 43.22%-0.31 -6.3 13
2022-04-15 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-040.0 1460 1367 55.27% 25.60% 19.13%+0.90 +4.7 20
2022-04-15 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-140.0 1367 1460 19.13% 25.60% 55.27%-0.90 -4.7 14
2022-04-18 Bohemian L 1-441.3 1272 1362 31.00% 28.27% 40.73%-0.23 -16.4 12
2022-04-18 @ Shelbourne W 4-141.3 1362 1272 40.73% 28.27% 31.00%+0.23 +16.4 15
2022-04-18 Derry City D 1-154.3 1292 1395 29.36% 28.12% 42.52%-0.31 +0.6 13
2022-04-18 @ Drogheda United D 1-154.3 1395 1292 42.52% 28.12% 29.36%+0.31 -0.6 24
2022-04-18 Dundalk W 1-039.8 1465 1365 56.08% 25.35% 18.57%+0.95 +4.6 23
2022-04-18 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-139.8 1365 1465 18.57% 25.35% 56.08%-0.95 -4.6 15
2022-04-18 Sligo Rovers L 0-141.2 1266 1354 31.21% 28.28% 40.50%-0.22 -7.2 7
2022-04-18 @ Finn Harps W 1-041.2 1354 1266 40.50% 28.28% 31.21%+0.22 +7.2 16
2022-04-18 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-244.4 1206 1362 23.42% 27.07% 49.51%-0.64 -5.3 4
2022-04-18 @ UC Dublin W 2-144.4 1362 1206 49.51% 27.07% 23.42%+0.64 +5.4 17
2022-04-22 Finn Harps W 2-032.9 1367 1258 57.07% 25.02% 17.91%+1.00 +8.3 20
2022-04-22 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-232.9 1258 1367 17.91% 25.02% 57.07%-1.00 -8.4 7
2022-04-22 Shamrock Rovers L 1-347.6 1378 1469 30.88% 28.26% 40.86%-0.24 -11.6 15
2022-04-22 @ Bohemian W 3-147.6 1469 1378 40.86% 28.26% 30.88%+0.24 +11.6 26
2022-04-22 Shelbourne W 2-142.6 1360 1256 56.54% 25.20% 18.26%+0.97 +4.3 18
2022-04-22 @ Dundalk L 1-242.6 1256 1360 18.26% 25.20% 56.54%-0.97 -4.3 12
2022-04-22 UC Dublin W 7-131.1 1394 1201 66.00% 21.36% 12.64%+1.52 +13.2 27
2022-04-22 @ Derry City L 1-731.1 1201 1394 12.64% 21.36% 66.00%-1.52 -13.2 4
2022-04-23 Drogheda United W 3-249.3 1361 1292 52.35% 26.42% 21.23%+0.75 +4.7 19
2022-04-23 @ Sligo Rovers L 2-349.3 1292 1361 21.23% 26.42% 52.35%-0.75 -4.7 13
2022-04-29 Derry City L 0-440.7 1376 1407 39.13% 28.36% 32.51%+0.13 -30.2 20
2022-04-29 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 4-040.7 1407 1376 32.51% 28.36% 39.13%-0.13 +30.2 30
2022-04-29 Drogheda United W 4-137.7 1364 1288 53.28% 26.17% 20.55%+0.80 +11.7 21
2022-04-29 @ Dundalk L 1-437.7 1288 1364 20.55% 26.17% 53.28%-0.80 -11.7 13
2022-04-29 Shamrock Rovers D 1-157.4 1366 1481 27.87% 27.94% 44.18%-0.39 +0.7 20
2022-04-29 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-157.4 1481 1366 44.18% 27.94% 27.87%+0.39 -0.7 27
2022-04-29 Shelbourne W 1-039.7 1250 1251 43.34% 28.04% 28.62%+0.32 +6.7 10
2022-04-29 @ Finn Harps L 0-139.7 1251 1250 28.62% 28.04% 43.34%-0.32 -6.7 12
2022-04-29 UC Dublin W 3-028.4 1367 1188 64.59% 22.02% 13.39%+1.44 +8.9 18
2022-04-29 @ Bohemian L 0-328.4 1188 1367 13.39% 22.02% 64.59%-1.44 -8.9 4
2022-05-06 Bohemian D 1-156.9 1438 1376 51.50% 26.63% 21.87%+0.71 -1.3 31
2022-05-06 @ Derry City D 1-156.9 1376 1438 21.87% 26.63% 51.50%-0.71 +1.3 19
2022-05-06 Dundalk D 2-260.1 1179 1376 19.65% 25.82% 54.53%-0.90 +1.2 5
2022-05-06 @ UC Dublin D 2-260.1 1376 1179 54.53% 25.82% 19.65%+0.90 -1.2 22
2022-05-06 Finn Harps W 3-136.8 1480 1257 68.88% 19.93% 11.19%+1.71 +4.3 30
2022-05-06 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-336.8 1257 1480 11.19% 19.93% 68.88%-1.71 -4.3 10
2022-05-06 Sligo Rovers W 2-151.4 1245 1366 27.10% 27.83% 45.07%-0.43 +8.9 15
2022-05-06 @ Shelbourne L 1-251.4 1366 1245 45.07% 27.83% 27.10%+0.43 -8.9 20
2022-05-06 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-436.9 1276 1346 33.75% 28.41% 37.84%-0.11 -27.1 13
2022-05-06 @ Drogheda United W 4-036.9 1346 1276 37.84% 28.41% 33.75%+0.11 +27.1 23
2022-05-09 Sligo Rovers W 3-142.0 1485 1358 59.08% 24.31% 16.61%+1.11 +6.7 33
2022-05-09 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-342.0 1358 1485 16.61% 24.31% 59.08%-1.11 -6.7 20
2022-05-09 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-051.7 1436 1373 51.72% 26.58% 21.70%+0.72 -1.5 32
2022-05-09 @ Derry City D 0-051.7 1373 1436 21.70% 26.58% 51.72%-0.72 +1.5 24
2022-05-13 Bohemian W 3-144.8 1375 1377 43.17% 28.06% 28.77%+0.31 +11.0 25
2022-05-13 @ Dundalk L 1-344.8 1377 1375 28.77% 28.06% 43.17%-0.31 -11.0 19
2022-05-13 Derry City W 1-044.3 1491 1435 50.85% 26.78% 22.36%+0.68 +5.5 36
2022-05-13 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-144.3 1435 1491 22.36% 26.78% 50.85%-0.68 -5.5 32
2022-05-13 Drogheda United W 1-039.5 1254 1249 44.13% 27.95% 27.92%+0.35 +6.6 18
2022-05-13 @ Shelbourne L 0-139.5 1249 1254 27.92% 27.95% 44.13%-0.35 -6.6 13
2022-05-13 UC Dublin L 0-146.3 1252 1180 52.82% 26.30% 20.88%+0.78 -10.7 10
2022-05-13 @ Finn Harps W 1-046.3 1180 1252 20.88% 26.30% 52.82%-0.78 +10.7 8
2022-05-14 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-154.7 1351 1374 40.30% 28.30% 31.40%+0.18 -0.4 21
2022-05-14 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-154.7 1374 1351 31.40% 28.30% 40.30%-0.18 +0.4 25
2022-05-19 Shamrock Rovers L 0-329.0 1190 1497 12.51% 21.24% 66.25%-1.57 -8.3 8
2022-05-19 @ UC Dublin W 3-029.0 1497 1190 66.25% 21.24% 12.51%+1.57 +8.3 39
2022-05-20 Dundalk L 1-255.4 1429 1386 49.24% 27.13% 23.63%+0.60 -9.5 32
2022-05-20 @ Derry City W 2-155.4 1386 1429 23.63% 27.13% 49.24%-0.60 +9.5 28
2022-05-20 Finn Harps W 3-142.4 1242 1242 43.59% 28.01% 28.40%+0.33 +10.9 16
2022-05-20 @ Drogheda United L 1-342.4 1242 1242 28.40% 28.01% 43.59%-0.33 -10.9 10
2022-05-20 Shelbourne L 1-254.4 1375 1260 57.69% 24.81% 17.50%+1.03 -10.8 25
2022-05-20 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-154.4 1260 1375 17.50% 24.81% 57.69%-1.03 +10.8 21
2022-05-20 Sligo Rovers W 2-146.9 1366 1351 45.60% 27.76% 26.64%+0.42 +6.0 22
2022-05-20 @ Bohemian L 1-246.9 1351 1366 26.64% 27.76% 45.60%-0.42 -6.0 21
2022-05-23 Bohemian W 3-036.9 1364 1372 42.36% 28.14% 29.50%+0.27 +18.8 28
2022-05-23 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-336.9 1372 1364 29.50% 28.14% 42.36%-0.27 -18.8 22
2022-05-23 Derry City W 2-151.5 1345 1420 32.96% 28.38% 38.66%-0.14 +7.9 24
2022-05-23 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-251.5 1420 1345 38.66% 28.38% 32.96%+0.14 -7.9 32
2022-05-23 Dundalk L 0-138.2 1231 1395 22.60% 26.85% 50.54%-0.69 -5.5 10
2022-05-23 @ Finn Harps W 1-038.2 1395 1231 50.54% 26.85% 22.60%+0.69 +5.5 31
2022-05-23 Shamrock Rovers W 1-050.4 1253 1505 15.64% 23.70% 60.67%-1.23 +12.0 19
2022-05-23 @ Drogheda United L 0-150.4 1505 1253 60.67% 23.70% 15.64%+1.23 -12.0 39
2022-05-23 UC Dublin W 2-032.7 1271 1182 54.73% 25.76% 19.51%+0.87 +9.1 24
2022-05-23 @ Shelbourne L 0-232.7 1182 1271 19.51% 25.76% 54.73%-0.87 -9.1 8
2022-05-27 Drogheda United D 1-154.3 1353 1265 54.67% 25.78% 19.55%+0.87 -1.6 23
2022-05-27 @ Bohemian D 1-154.3 1265 1353 19.55% 25.78% 54.67%-0.87 +1.6 20
2022-05-27 Finn Harps D 2-261.9 1412 1225 65.31% 21.69% 13.01%+1.48 -1.8 33
2022-05-27 @ Derry City D 2-261.9 1225 1412 13.01% 21.69% 65.31%-1.48 +1.8 11
2022-05-27 Shelbourne W 2-031.5 1493 1280 67.90% 20.43% 11.67%+1.65 +5.2 42
2022-05-27 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-231.5 1280 1493 11.67% 20.43% 67.90%-1.65 -5.2 24
2022-05-27 Sligo Rovers D 1-153.6 1173 1352 21.20% 26.41% 52.39%-0.79 +1.4 9
2022-05-27 @ UC Dublin D 1-153.6 1352 1173 52.39% 26.41% 21.20%+0.79 -1.4 25
2022-05-27 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-041.8 1401 1383 45.94% 27.71% 26.35%+0.44 +6.3 34
2022-05-27 @ Dundalk L 0-141.8 1383 1401 26.35% 27.71% 45.94%-0.44 -6.3 28
2022-06-17 Drogheda United D 1-155.5 1410 1267 60.85% 23.62% 15.53%+1.21 -2.1 34
2022-06-17 @ Derry City D 1-155.5 1267 1410 15.53% 23.62% 60.85%-1.21 +2.1 21
2022-06-17 Shamrock Rovers W 1-049.6 1407 1498 30.82% 28.25% 40.92%-0.24 +8.7 37
2022-06-17 @ Dundalk L 0-149.6 1498 1407 40.92% 28.25% 30.82%+0.24 -8.7 42
2022-06-17 Shelbourne W 1-037.4 1352 1275 53.35% 26.15% 20.50%+0.80 +5.0 26
2022-06-17 @ Bohemian L 0-137.4 1275 1352 20.50% 26.15% 53.35%-0.80 -5.0 24
2022-06-17 UC Dublin W 2-139.1 1376 1175 66.80% 20.97% 12.23%+1.57 +2.8 31
2022-06-17 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-239.1 1175 1376 12.23% 20.97% 66.80%-1.57 -2.8 9
2022-06-18 Finn Harps W 3-030.3 1351 1227 58.73% 24.44% 16.83%+1.09 +11.4 28
2022-06-18 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-330.3 1227 1351 16.83% 24.44% 58.73%-1.09 -11.4 11
2022-06-24 Bohemian W 1-039.1 1490 1357 59.71% 24.07% 16.22%+1.15 +4.0 45
2022-06-24 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-139.1 1357 1490 16.22% 24.07% 59.71%-1.15 -4.0 26
2022-06-24 Derry City L 0-135.4 1172 1408 16.68% 24.35% 58.97%-1.14 -4.1 9
2022-06-24 @ UC Dublin W 1-035.4 1408 1172 58.97% 24.35% 16.68%+1.14 +4.1 37
2022-06-24 Dundalk D 0-049.4 1270 1416 24.44% 27.32% 48.23%-0.58 +1.2 25
2022-06-24 @ Shelbourne D 0-049.4 1416 1270 48.23% 27.32% 24.44%+0.58 -1.2 38
2022-06-24 Sligo Rovers D 0-048.5 1269 1362 30.54% 28.23% 41.23%-0.25 +0.5 22
2022-06-24 @ Drogheda United D 0-048.5 1362 1269 41.23% 28.23% 30.54%+0.25 -0.5 29
2022-06-24 St Patrick's Athletic D 2-260.0 1216 1379 22.71% 26.88% 50.41%-0.69 +0.9 12
2022-06-24 @ Finn Harps D 2-260.0 1379 1216 50.41% 26.88% 22.71%+0.69 -0.9 32
2022-06-27 Shamrock Rovers L 1-250.7 1378 1494 27.84% 27.94% 44.22%-0.39 -6.2 32
2022-06-27 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-150.7 1494 1378 44.22% 27.94% 27.84%+0.39 +6.2 48
2022-07-01 Derry City L 2-355.6 1353 1412 35.18% 28.43% 36.39%-0.04 -7.0 26
2022-07-01 @ Bohemian W 3-255.6 1412 1353 36.39% 28.43% 35.18%+0.04 +7.0 40
2022-07-01 Drogheda United W 3-031.5 1372 1269 56.34% 25.26% 18.40%+0.96 +12.5 35
2022-07-01 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-331.5 1269 1372 18.40% 25.26% 56.34%-0.96 -12.5 22
2022-07-01 Shamrock Rovers L 0-135.2 1217 1500 13.75% 22.32% 63.93%-1.43 -3.4 12
2022-07-01 @ Finn Harps W 1-035.2 1500 1217 63.93% 22.32% 13.75%+1.43 +3.4 51
2022-07-01 UC Dublin W 3-026.7 1415 1168 71.02% 18.81% 10.17%+1.85 +6.5 41
2022-07-01 @ Dundalk L 0-326.7 1168 1415 10.17% 18.81% 71.02%-1.85 -6.5 9
2022-07-02 Shelbourne W 3-139.7 1362 1271 55.01% 25.68% 19.31%+0.89 +7.8 32
2022-07-02 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-339.7 1271 1362 19.31% 25.68% 55.01%-0.89 -7.8 25
2022-07-07 Bohemian L 1-339.6 1161 1346 20.73% 26.24% 53.03%-0.82 -8.3 9
2022-07-07 @ UC Dublin W 3-139.6 1346 1161 53.03% 26.24% 20.73%+0.82 +8.3 29
2022-07-08 Dundalk W 1-047.1 1257 1421 22.63% 26.86% 50.52%-0.69 +10.3 25
2022-07-08 @ Drogheda United L 0-147.1 1421 1257 50.52% 26.86% 22.63%+0.69 -10.3 41
2022-07-08 Finn Harps W 3-140.4 1263 1213 50.00% 26.97% 23.03%+0.63 +9.1 28
2022-07-08 @ Shelbourne L 1-340.4 1213 1263 23.03% 26.97% 50.00%-0.63 -9.1 12
2022-07-15 Bohemian L 0-141.3 1267 1354 31.41% 28.30% 40.29%-0.21 -7.2 25
2022-07-15 @ Drogheda United W 1-041.3 1354 1267 40.29% 28.30% 31.41%+0.21 +7.2 32
2022-07-15 Dundalk D 1-156.0 1384 1411 39.88% 28.32% 31.80%+0.16 -0.3 36
2022-07-15 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-156.0 1411 1384 31.80% 28.32% 39.88%-0.16 +0.3 42
2022-07-17 Derry City L 1-242.6 1204 1419 18.24% 25.18% 56.58%-1.01 -4.3 12
2022-07-17 @ Finn Harps W 2-142.6 1419 1204 56.58% 25.18% 18.24%+1.01 +4.3 43
2022-07-17 UC Dublin L 0-245.9 1370 1153 68.26% 20.25% 11.49%+1.67 -24.7 32
2022-07-17 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-045.9 1153 1370 11.49% 20.25% 68.26%-1.67 +24.7 12
2022-07-22 Finn Harps W 3-027.9 1411 1200 67.70% 20.53% 11.77%+1.63 +7.7 45
2022-07-22 @ Dundalk L 0-327.9 1200 1411 11.77% 20.53% 67.70%-1.63 -7.7 12
2022-07-22 Shelbourne L 0-236.7 1178 1272 30.40% 28.22% 41.38%-0.26 -13.2 12
2022-07-22 @ UC Dublin W 2-036.7 1272 1178 41.38% 28.22% 30.40%+0.26 +13.2 31
2022-07-23 Drogheda United D 1-158.2 1503 1260 70.68% 18.99% 10.33%+1.83 -2.8 52
2022-07-23 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-158.2 1260 1503 10.33% 18.99% 70.68%-1.83 +2.8 26
2022-08-01 UC Dublin D 1-153.6 1263 1164 55.88% 25.41% 18.71%+0.94 -1.7 27
2022-08-01 @ Drogheda United D 1-153.6 1164 1263 18.71% 25.41% 55.88%-0.94 +1.7 13
2022-08-05 Derry City D 1-157.2 1419 1423 42.88% 28.09% 29.04%+0.30 -0.6 46
2022-08-05 @ Dundalk D 1-157.2 1423 1419 29.04% 28.09% 42.88%-0.30 +0.6 44
2022-08-05 Drogheda United W 3-037.3 1192 1261 33.83% 28.41% 37.76%-0.10 +22.5 15
2022-08-05 @ Finn Harps L 0-337.3 1261 1192 37.76% 28.41% 33.83%+0.10 -22.5 27
2022-08-07 Bohemian W 2-148.1 1345 1361 41.28% 28.23% 30.49%+0.22 +6.6 35
2022-08-07 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-248.1 1361 1345 30.49% 28.23% 41.28%-0.22 -6.6 32
2022-08-12 Dundalk L 0-144.2 1355 1418 34.60% 28.43% 36.98%-0.07 -7.7 32
2022-08-12 @ Bohemian W 1-044.2 1418 1355 36.98% 28.43% 34.60%+0.07 +7.7 49
2022-08-12 Finn Harps W 2-147.7 1166 1215 36.69% 28.43% 34.88%+0.02 +7.3 16
2022-08-12 @ UC Dublin L 1-247.7 1215 1166 34.88% 28.43% 36.69%-0.02 -7.3 15
2022-08-12 Shamrock Rovers D 0-054.5 1424 1500 32.81% 28.37% 38.82%-0.15 +0.3 45
2022-08-12 @ Derry City D 0-054.5 1500 1424 38.82% 28.37% 32.81%+0.15 -0.3 53
2022-08-12 Shelbourne W 3-144.5 1239 1285 36.98% 28.43% 34.60%+0.04 +12.6 30
2022-08-12 @ Drogheda United L 1-344.5 1285 1239 34.60% 28.43% 36.98%-0.04 -12.6 31
2022-08-14 Sligo Rovers W 1-040.3 1384 1352 47.79% 27.40% 24.80%+0.53 +6.0 39
2022-08-14 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-140.3 1352 1384 24.80% 27.40% 47.79%-0.53 -6.0 35
2022-08-19 Bohemian D 1-153.5 1273 1347 33.12% 28.39% 38.50%-0.13 +0.2 32
2022-08-19 @ Shelbourne D 1-153.5 1347 1273 38.50% 28.39% 33.12%+0.13 -0.2 33
2022-08-19 Derry City D 1-154.6 1251 1424 21.78% 26.60% 51.61%-0.75 +1.3 31
2022-08-19 @ Drogheda United D 1-154.6 1424 1251 51.61% 26.60% 21.78%+0.75 -1.3 46
2022-08-19 Sligo Rovers W 3-256.7 1208 1346 25.27% 27.50% 47.23%-0.53 +8.7 18
2022-08-19 @ Finn Harps L 2-356.7 1346 1208 47.23% 27.50% 25.27%+0.53 -8.7 35
2022-08-19 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-242.2 1173 1390 18.10% 25.12% 56.78%-1.02 -4.2 16
2022-08-19 @ UC Dublin W 2-142.2 1390 1173 56.78% 25.12% 18.10%+1.02 +4.2 42
2022-08-21 Dundalk W 3-038.5 1500 1426 53.01% 26.25% 20.75%+0.78 +14.0 56
2022-08-21 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-338.5 1426 1500 20.75% 26.25% 53.01%-0.78 -13.9 49
2022-08-29 Dundalk FL47.7 1337 1412 33.01% 28.38% 38.61%-0.14 +0.0 35
2022-08-29 @ Sligo Rovers FW47.7 1412 1337 38.61% 28.38% 33.01%+0.14 +0.0 52
2022-08-29 Derry City L 0-139.5 1273 1423 24.04% 27.23% 48.72%-0.60 -5.8 32
2022-08-29 @ Shelbourne W 1-039.5 1423 1273 48.72% 27.23% 24.04%+0.60 +5.8 49
2022-08-29 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-347.2 1347 1394 36.88% 28.43% 34.70%+0.03 -13.2 33
2022-08-29 @ Bohemian W 3-147.2 1394 1347 34.70% 28.43% 36.88%-0.03 +13.2 45
2022-09-02 Finn Harps W 2-139.9 1407 1216 65.77% 21.47% 12.76%+1.51 +2.9 48
2022-09-02 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-239.9 1216 1407 12.76% 21.47% 65.77%-1.51 -2.9 18
2022-09-02 Shamrock Rovers W 1-050.8 1334 1514 21.10% 26.37% 52.53%-0.79 +10.7 36
2022-09-02 @ Bohemian L 0-150.8 1514 1334 52.53% 26.37% 21.10%+0.79 -10.6 56
2022-09-02 Shelbourne D 0-050.4 1412 1267 60.99% 23.57% 15.44%+1.22 -2.4 53
2022-09-02 @ Dundalk D 0-050.4 1267 1412 15.44% 23.57% 60.99%-1.22 +2.4 33
2022-09-02 UC Dublin W 3-026.4 1429 1169 72.15% 18.19% 9.65%+1.93 +6.1 52
2022-09-02 @ Derry City L 0-326.4 1169 1429 9.65% 18.19% 72.15%-1.93 -6.1 16
2022-09-03 Drogheda United W 2-033.4 1337 1253 54.22% 25.91% 19.87%+0.85 +9.2 38
2022-09-03 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-233.4 1253 1337 19.87% 25.91% 54.22%-0.85 -9.2 31
2022-09-09 Bohemian W 1-039.0 1435 1344 54.95% 25.69% 19.35%+0.89 +4.8 55
2022-09-09 @ Derry City L 0-139.0 1344 1435 19.35% 25.69% 54.95%-0.89 -4.8 36
2022-09-09 Dundalk W 3-259.6 1163 1410 15.99% 23.92% 60.09%-1.20 +10.6 19
2022-09-09 @ UC Dublin L 2-359.6 1410 1163 60.09% 23.92% 15.99%+1.20 -10.6 53
2022-09-09 Sligo Rovers L 0-238.2 1270 1346 32.78% 28.37% 38.85%-0.15 -14.0 33
2022-09-09 @ Shelbourne W 2-038.2 1346 1270 38.85% 28.37% 32.78%+0.15 +14.0 41
2022-09-09 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-235.0 1243 1410 22.35% 26.78% 50.88%-0.71 -10.3 31
2022-09-09 @ Drogheda United W 2-035.0 1410 1243 50.88% 26.78% 22.35%+0.71 +10.3 51
2022-09-11 Finn Harps W 5-130.5 1503 1213 74.75% 16.74% 8.51%+2.12 +5.7 59
2022-09-11 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-530.5 1213 1503 8.51% 16.74% 74.75%-2.12 -5.7 18
2022-09-13 Sligo Rovers W 1-039.8 1440 1360 53.62% 26.08% 20.30%+0.82 +5.0 58
2022-09-13 @ Derry City L 0-139.8 1360 1440 20.30% 26.08% 53.62%-0.82 -5.0 41
2022-09-22 Shamrock Rovers D 0-051.7 1256 1509 15.53% 23.63% 60.83%-1.24 +2.3 34
2022-09-22 @ Shelbourne D 0-051.7 1509 1256 60.83% 23.63% 15.53%+1.24 -2.4 60
2022-09-24 Bohemian L 0-235.6 1208 1339 25.98% 27.64% 46.39%-0.49 -11.7 18
2022-09-24 @ Finn Harps W 2-035.6 1339 1208 46.39% 27.64% 25.98%+0.49 +11.7 39
2022-09-26 UC Dublin W 1-030.5 1507 1174 78.15% 14.75% 7.10%+2.39 +1.5 63
2022-09-26 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-130.5 1174 1507 7.10% 14.75% 78.15%-2.39 -1.5 19
2022-09-30 Derry City L 0-148.1 1421 1445 40.21% 28.30% 31.49%+0.18 -8.6 51
2022-09-30 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 1-048.1 1445 1421 31.49% 28.30% 40.21%-0.18 +8.6 61
2022-09-30 Drogheda United W 2-031.1 1399 1233 63.21% 22.64% 14.16%+1.35 +6.5 56
2022-09-30 @ Dundalk L 0-231.1 1233 1399 14.16% 22.64% 63.21%-1.35 -6.5 31
2022-09-30 Shelbourne D 1-152.8 1196 1258 34.80% 28.43% 36.77%-0.06 +0.1 19
2022-09-30 @ Finn Harps D 1-152.8 1258 1196 36.77% 28.43% 34.80%+0.06 -0.1 35
2022-09-30 UC Dublin W 1-033.4 1351 1172 64.55% 22.04% 13.41%+1.43 +3.3 42
2022-09-30 @ Bohemian L 0-133.4 1172 1351 13.41% 22.04% 64.55%-1.43 -3.3 19
2022-10-01 Shamrock Rovers L 1-345.6 1355 1508 23.72% 27.15% 49.12%-0.62 -9.4 41
2022-10-01 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-145.6 1508 1355 49.12% 27.15% 23.72%+0.62 +9.4 66
2022-10-03 St Patrick's Athletic D 4-465.5 1258 1412 23.61% 27.12% 49.27%-0.63 +0.6 36
2022-10-03 @ Shelbourne D 4-465.5 1412 1258 49.27% 27.12% 23.61%+0.63 -0.6 52
2022-10-07 Drogheda United L 0-148.1 1354 1227 59.17% 24.28% 16.56%+1.12 -11.7 42
2022-10-07 @ Bohemian W 1-048.1 1227 1354 16.56% 24.28% 59.17%-1.12 +11.7 34
2022-10-07 Finn Harps W 3-026.9 1453 1196 71.94% 18.31% 9.75%+1.92 +6.2 64
2022-10-07 @ Derry City L 0-326.9 1196 1453 9.75% 18.31% 71.94%-1.92 -6.2 19
2022-10-07 Sligo Rovers L 0-233.7 1169 1346 21.41% 26.48% 52.11%-0.77 -9.9 19
2022-10-07 @ UC Dublin W 2-033.7 1346 1169 52.11% 26.48% 21.41%+0.77 +9.9 44
2022-10-07 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-253.8 1405 1411 42.70% 28.10% 29.20%+0.29 -8.5 56
2022-10-07 @ Dundalk W 2-153.8 1411 1405 29.20% 28.10% 42.70%-0.29 +8.5 55
2022-10-09 Shelbourne W 3-245.1 1518 1259 72.11% 18.22% 9.67%+1.93 +2.0 69
2022-10-09 @ Shamrock Rovers L 2-345.1 1259 1518 9.67% 18.22% 72.11%-1.93 -2.0 36
2022-10-14 Bohemian W 3-141.9 1420 1343 53.38% 26.15% 20.48%+0.80 +8.2 58
2022-10-14 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-341.9 1343 1420 20.48% 26.15% 53.38%-0.80 -8.2 42
2022-10-14 Dundalk L 1-242.6 1190 1397 18.85% 25.47% 55.68%-0.96 -4.4 19
2022-10-14 @ Finn Harps W 2-142.6 1397 1190 55.68% 25.47% 18.85%+0.96 +4.4 59
2022-10-16 Shamrock Rovers D 1-157.0 1238 1520 13.85% 22.40% 63.75%-1.42 +2.3 35
2022-10-16 @ Drogheda United D 1-157.0 1520 1238 63.75% 22.40% 13.85%+1.42 -2.3 70
2022-10-21 Drogheda United W 2-149.1 1159 1241 32.10% 28.34% 39.56%-0.18 +8.0 22
2022-10-21 @ UC Dublin L 1-249.1 1241 1159 39.56% 28.34% 32.10%+0.18 -8.0 35
2022-10-21 Finn Harps D 2-260.7 1334 1185 61.44% 23.38% 15.17%+1.25 -1.6 43
2022-10-21 @ Bohemian D 2-260.7 1185 1334 15.17% 23.38% 61.44%-1.25 +1.6 20
2022-10-21 Shelbourne D 1-156.8 1459 1257 66.91% 20.92% 12.17%+1.58 -2.6 65
2022-10-21 @ Derry City D 1-156.8 1257 1459 12.17% 20.92% 66.91%-1.58 +2.6 37
2022-10-21 Sligo Rovers D 3-365.5 1401 1356 49.48% 27.08% 23.44%+0.61 -0.7 60
2022-10-21 @ Dundalk D 3-365.5 1356 1401 23.44% 27.08% 49.48%-0.61 +0.7 45
2022-10-21 St Patrick's Athletic W 4-143.8 1517 1428 54.78% 25.75% 19.47%+0.88 +11.1 73
2022-10-21 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-443.8 1428 1517 19.47% 25.75% 54.78%-0.88 -11.1 58
2022-10-24 Derry City D 0-051.3 1356 1457 29.69% 28.15% 42.15%-0.30 +0.6 46
2022-10-24 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-051.3 1457 1356 42.15% 28.15% 29.69%+0.30 -0.6 66
2022-10-24 UC Dublin D 1-153.5 1259 1167 55.13% 25.64% 19.23%+0.90 -1.6 38
2022-10-24 @ Shelbourne D 1-153.5 1167 1259 19.23% 25.64% 55.13%-0.90 +1.6 23
2022-10-28 Bohemian W 2-145.2 1401 1333 52.24% 26.45% 21.32%+0.75 +4.9 63
2022-10-28 @ Dundalk L 1-245.2 1333 1401 21.32% 26.45% 52.24%-0.75 -4.9 43
2022-10-28 Drogheda United W 6-035.1 1257 1233 46.82% 27.57% 25.61%+0.48 +32.1 41
2022-10-28 @ Shelbourne L 0-635.1 1233 1257 25.61% 27.57% 46.82%-0.48 -32.1 35
2022-10-28 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-044.8 1357 1417 35.09% 28.43% 36.48%-0.05 +8.0 49
2022-10-28 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-144.8 1417 1357 36.48% 28.43% 35.09%+0.05 -8.0 58
2022-10-28 UC Dublin L 1-347.3 1187 1169 45.98% 27.70% 26.32%+0.44 -15.6 20
2022-10-28 @ Finn Harps W 3-147.3 1169 1187 26.32% 27.70% 45.98%-0.44 +15.6 26
2022-10-30 Derry City W 1-045.9 1528 1456 52.76% 26.31% 20.93%+0.77 +5.1 76
2022-10-30 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-145.9 1456 1528 20.93% 26.31% 52.76%-0.77 -5.1 66
2022-11-06 Dundalk L 0-150.3 1451 1406 49.47% 27.08% 23.45%+0.61 -10.1 66
2022-11-06 @ Derry City W 1-050.3 1406 1451 23.45% 27.08% 49.47%-0.61 +10.1 66
2022-11-06 Finn Harps W 2-034.8 1201 1171 47.37% 27.48% 25.15%+0.51 +11.4 38
2022-11-06 @ Drogheda United L 0-234.8 1171 1201 25.15% 27.48% 47.37%-0.51 -11.4 20
2022-11-06 Shamrock Rovers L 0-229.9 1184 1533 10.50% 19.19% 70.31%-1.84 -4.6 26
2022-11-06 @ UC Dublin W 2-029.9 1533 1184 70.31% 19.19% 10.50%+1.84 +4.6 79
2022-11-06 Shelbourne W 4-031.6 1409 1290 58.25% 24.61% 17.14%+1.07 +15.2 61
2022-11-06 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-431.6 1290 1409 17.14% 24.61% 58.25%-1.07 -15.2 41
2022-11-06 Sligo Rovers W 3-145.4 1328 1365 38.34% 28.39% 33.27%+0.09 +12.3 46
2022-11-06 @ Bohemian L 1-345.4 1365 1328 33.27% 28.39% 38.34%-0.09 -12.3 49

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2022-10-26 Galway United D 2-258.9 1160 1248 31.36% 28.29% 40.35%-0.22 +0.3 0-0-1
2022-10-26 @ Longford Town D 2-258.9 1248 1160 40.35% 28.29% 31.36%+0.22 -0.3 0-0-1
2022-10-26 Waterford L 1-437.3 1133 1300 22.34% 26.77% 50.89%-0.71 -12.6 0-1
2022-10-26 @ Treaty United W 4-137.3 1300 1133 50.89% 26.77% 22.34%+0.71 +12.6 1-0
2022-10-29 Treaty United D 3-364.7 1313 1121 65.87% 21.42% 12.71%+1.52 -1.6 1-0-1
2022-10-29 @ Waterford D 3-364.7 1121 1313 12.71% 21.42% 65.87%-1.52 +1.5 0-1-1
2022-10-30 Longford Town W 3-031.0 1247 1161 54.50% 25.83% 19.67%+0.86 +13.3 1-0-1
2022-10-30 @ Galway United L 0-331.0 1161 1247 19.67% 25.83% 54.50%-0.86 -13.3 0-1-1
2022-11-04 Waterford L 0-337.4 1261 1311 36.39% 28.43% 35.17%+0.01 -21.9 1-1-1
2022-11-04 @ Galway United W 3-037.4 1311 1261 35.17% 28.43% 36.39%-0.01 +21.9 2-0-1
2022-11-11 UC Dublin L 0-148.3 1333 1180 61.96% 23.17% 14.87%+1.28 -12.2 2-1-1
2022-11-11 @ Waterford W 1-048.3 1180 1333 14.87% 23.17% 61.96%-1.28 +12.2 1-0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2022-07-17 11.49% UC Dublin 1153 2 @ Sligo Rovers 1370 0
2 2022-11-11 * 14.87% UC Dublin 1180 1 @ Waterford 1333 0
3 2022-04-15 15.39% Shelbourne 1261 2 @ Derry City 1406 1
4 2022-05-23 15.64% @ Drogheda United 1253 1 Shamrock Rovers 1505 0
5 2022-09-09 15.99% @ UC Dublin 1163 3 Dundalk 1410 2
6 2022-04-01 16.44% Shelbourne 1254 1 @ Sligo Rovers 1383 0
7 2022-10-07 16.56% Drogheda United 1227 1 @ Bohemian 1354 0
8 2022-05-20 17.50% Shelbourne 1260 2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1375 1
9 2022-05-13 20.88% UC Dublin 1180 1 @ Finn Harps 1252 0
10 2022-09-02 21.10% @ Bohemian 1334 1 Shamrock Rovers 1514 0
11 2022-07-08 22.63% @ Drogheda United 1257 1 Dundalk 1421 0
12 2022-02-25 23.30% Shelbourne 1266 2 @ Drogheda United 1313 0
13 2022-11-06 23.45% Dundalk 1406 1 @ Derry City 1451 0
14 2022-05-20 23.63% Dundalk 1386 2 @ Derry City 1429 1
15 2022-08-19 25.27% @ Finn Harps 1208 3 Sligo Rovers 1346 2
16 2022-03-18 26.17% Finn Harps 1260 3 @ Shelbourne 1280 0
17 2022-10-28 26.32% UC Dublin 1169 3 @ Finn Harps 1187 1
18 2022-04-05 26.46% Bohemian 1354 1 @ Sligo Rovers 1371 0
19 2022-02-25 26.64% Sligo Rovers 1344 2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1360 1
20 2022-05-06 27.10% @ Shelbourne 1245 2 Sligo Rovers 1366 1
21 2022-10-07 29.20% St Patrick's Athletic 1411 2 @ Dundalk 1405 1
22 2022-03-04 29.71% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1345 1 Shamrock Rovers 1445 0
23 2022-02-25 30.28% @ Derry City 1351 2 Shamrock Rovers 1447 1
24 2022-03-18 30.73% @ Drogheda United 1266 1 Dundalk 1358 0
25 2022-06-17 30.82% @ Dundalk 1407 1 Shamrock Rovers 1498 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-10-28 32.06 @ Shelbourne 6 1257 46.82% Drogheda United 0 1233 25.61% 27.57%
2 2022-04-29 30.21 Derry City 4 1407 32.51% @ St Patrick's Athletic 0 1376 39.13% 28.36%
3 2022-05-06 27.14 St Patrick's Athletic 4 1346 37.84% @ Drogheda United 0 1276 33.75% 28.41%
4 2022-03-18 26.27 Finn Harps 3 1260 26.17% @ Shelbourne 0 1280 46.16% 27.67%
5 2022-07-17 24.69 UC Dublin 2 1153 11.49% @ Sligo Rovers 0 1370 68.26% 20.25%
6 2022-08-05 22.53 @ Finn Harps 3 1192 33.83% Drogheda United 0 1261 37.76% 28.41%
7 2022-02-18 21.99 St Patrick's Athletic 3 1338 35.04% @ Shelbourne 0 1288 36.53% 28.43%
8 2022-11-04 * 21.94 Waterford 3 1311 35.17% @ Galway United 0 1261 36.39% 28.43%
9 2022-03-11 21.54 Sligo Rovers 3 1353 36.08% @ Drogheda United 0 1296 35.49% 28.43%
10 2022-02-25 19.18 Shelbourne 2 1266 23.30% @ Drogheda United 0 1313 49.65% 27.05%
11 2022-05-23 18.77 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1364 42.36% Bohemian 0 1372 29.50% 28.14%
12 2022-04-18 16.44 Bohemian 4 1362 40.73% @ Shelbourne 1 1272 31.00% 28.27%
13 2022-04-01 15.70 Shamrock Rovers 3 1440 49.17% @ Finn Harps 0 1286 23.68% 27.14%
14 2022-02-28 15.62 @ Dundalk 3 1341 49.37% Finn Harps 0 1297 23.53% 27.10%
15 2022-10-28 15.62 UC Dublin 3 1169 26.32% @ Finn Harps 1 1187 45.98% 27.70%
16 2022-11-06 15.17 @ St Patrick's Athletic 4 1409 58.25% Shelbourne 0 1290 17.14% 24.61%
17 2022-04-15 14.88 Drogheda United 2 1277 35.91% @ UC Dublin 0 1221 35.66% 28.43%
18 2022-03-11 14.19 St Patrick's Athletic 2 1354 38.19% @ Finn Harps 0 1282 33.41% 28.40%
19 2022-09-09 14.00 Sligo Rovers 2 1346 38.85% @ Shelbourne 0 1270 32.78% 28.37%
20 2022-08-21 13.95 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1500 53.01% Dundalk 0 1426 20.75% 26.25%
21 2022-10-30 * 13.28 @ Galway United 3 1247 54.50% Longford Town 0 1161 19.67% 25.83%
22 2022-07-22 13.23 Shelbourne 2 1272 41.38% @ UC Dublin 0 1178 30.40% 28.22%
23 2022-08-29 13.21 St Patrick's Athletic 3 1394 34.70% @ Bohemian 1 1347 36.88% 28.43%
24 2022-04-22 13.19 @ Derry City 7 1394 66.00% UC Dublin 1 1201 12.64% 21.36%
25 2022-08-12 12.61 @ Drogheda United 3 1239 36.98% Shelbourne 1 1285 34.60% 28.43%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-10-03 65.5 @ Shelbourne 4 1258 23.61% St Patrick's Athletic 4 1412 49.27% 27.12%
2 2022-10-21 65.5 @ Dundalk 3 1401 49.48% Sligo Rovers 3 1356 23.44% 27.08%
3 2022-10-29 * 64.7 @ Waterford 3 1313 65.87% Treaty United 3 1121 12.71% 21.42%
4 2022-03-18 63.4 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1441 51.09% Sligo Rovers 2 1382 22.18% 26.73%
5 2022-05-27 61.9 @ Derry City 2 1412 65.31% Finn Harps 2 1225 13.01% 21.69%
6 2022-02-25 60.9 @ Bohemian 2 1365 46.71% Dundalk 2 1341 25.70% 27.59%
7 2022-04-09 60.9 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1362 60.76% UC Dublin 2 1219 15.58% 23.66%
8 2022-04-15 60.7 @ Bohemian 2 1363 55.93% Finn Harps 2 1264 18.68% 25.39%
9 2022-10-21 60.7 @ Bohemian 2 1334 61.44% Finn Harps 2 1185 15.17% 23.38%
10 2022-02-18 60.5 @ Dundalk 2 1341 42.19% Derry City 2 1351 29.65% 28.15%
11 2022-05-06 60.1 @ UC Dublin 2 1179 19.65% Dundalk 2 1376 54.53% 25.82%
12 2022-06-24 60.0 @ Finn Harps 2 1216 22.71% St Patrick's Athletic 2 1379 50.41% 26.88%
13 2022-09-09 59.6 @ UC Dublin 3 1163 15.99% Dundalk 2 1410 60.09% 23.92%
14 2022-04-04 59.4 @ Finn Harps 2 1271 42.76% Drogheda United 2 1276 29.14% 28.10%
15 2022-10-26 * 58.9 @ Longford Town 2 1160 31.36% Galway United 2 1248 40.35% 28.29%
16 2022-07-23 58.2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1503 70.68% Drogheda United 1 1260 10.33% 18.99%
17 2022-04-29 57.4 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1366 27.87% Shamrock Rovers 1 1481 44.18% 27.94%
18 2022-08-05 57.2 @ Dundalk 1 1419 42.88% Derry City 1 1423 29.04% 28.09%
19 2022-10-16 57.0 @ Drogheda United 1 1238 13.85% Shamrock Rovers 1 1520 63.75% 22.40%
20 2022-05-06 56.9 @ Derry City 1 1438 51.50% Bohemian 1 1376 21.87% 26.63%
21 2022-10-21 56.8 @ Derry City 1 1459 66.91% Shelbourne 1 1257 12.17% 20.92%
22 2022-08-19 56.7 @ Finn Harps 3 1208 25.27% Sligo Rovers 2 1346 47.23% 27.50%
23 2022-07-15 56.0 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1384 39.88% Dundalk 1 1411 31.80% 28.32%
24 2022-07-01 55.6 Derry City 3 1412 36.39% @ Bohemian 2 1353 35.18% 28.43%
25 2022-06-17 55.5 @ Derry City 1 1410 60.85% Drogheda United 1 1267 15.53% 23.62%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-09-02 26.4 @ Derry City 3 1429 72.15% UC Dublin 0 1169 9.65% 18.19%
2 2022-07-01 26.7 @ Dundalk 3 1415 71.02% UC Dublin 0 1168 10.17% 18.81%
3 2022-10-07 26.9 @ Derry City 3 1453 71.94% Finn Harps 0 1196 9.75% 18.31%
4 2022-07-22 27.9 @ Dundalk 3 1411 67.70% Finn Harps 0 1200 11.77% 20.53%
5 2022-04-29 28.4 @ Bohemian 3 1367 64.59% UC Dublin 0 1188 13.39% 22.02%
6 2022-05-19 29.0 Shamrock Rovers 3 1497 66.25% @ UC Dublin 0 1190 12.51% 21.24%
7 2022-02-18 29.8 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1438 64.05% UC Dublin 0 1264 13.69% 22.26%
8 2022-11-06 29.9 Shamrock Rovers 2 1533 70.31% @ UC Dublin 0 1184 10.50% 19.19%
9 2022-06-18 30.3 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1351 58.73% Finn Harps 0 1227 16.83% 24.44%
10 2022-09-11 30.5 @ Shamrock Rovers 5 1503 74.75% Finn Harps 1 1213 8.51% 16.74%
11 2022-09-26 30.5 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1507 78.15% UC Dublin 0 1174 7.10% 14.75%
12 2022-10-30 * 31.0 @ Galway United 3 1247 54.50% Longford Town 0 1161 19.67% 25.83%
13 2022-04-22 31.1 @ Derry City 7 1394 66.00% UC Dublin 1 1201 12.64% 21.36%
14 2022-09-30 31.1 @ Dundalk 2 1399 63.21% Drogheda United 0 1233 14.16% 22.64%
15 2022-05-27 31.5 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1493 67.90% Shelbourne 0 1280 11.67% 20.43%
16 2022-07-01 31.5 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1372 56.34% Drogheda United 0 1269 18.40% 25.26%
17 2022-11-06 31.6 @ St Patrick's Athletic 4 1409 58.25% Shelbourne 0 1290 17.14% 24.61%
18 2022-03-14 32.3 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1368 58.57% UC Dublin 0 1245 16.93% 24.49%
19 2022-04-01 32.5 @ Dundalk 2 1349 57.28% UC Dublin 0 1238 17.77% 24.95%
20 2022-05-23 32.7 @ Shelbourne 2 1271 54.73% UC Dublin 0 1182 19.51% 25.76%
21 2022-04-22 32.9 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1367 57.07% Finn Harps 0 1258 17.91% 25.02%
22 2022-09-03 33.4 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1337 54.22% Drogheda United 0 1253 19.87% 25.91%
23 2022-09-30 33.4 @ Bohemian 1 1351 64.55% UC Dublin 0 1172 13.41% 22.04%
24 2022-02-28 33.6 @ Dundalk 3 1341 49.37% Finn Harps 0 1297 23.53% 27.10%
25 2022-03-14 33.6 @ Derry City 2 1366 55.06% Drogheda United 0 1275 19.28% 25.66%