‹ ›

2023 League of Ireland Premier Division Season

180 games · 5 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Shamrock Rovers

72 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Shelbourne

10.69 points above expected

60 points · 49.31 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

UC Dublin

12.07 points below expected

11 points · 23.07 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Shamrock Rovers 36 20 12 4 72 67 27 +40 74.31 -2.31
2 Derry City 36 18 11 7 65 57 24 +33 62.08 +2.92
3 St Patrick's Athletic 36 19 5 12 62 59 42 +17 57.53 +4.47
4 Shelbourne 36 15 15 6 60 44 27 +17 49.31 +10.69
5 Dundalk 36 17 7 12 58 59 44 +15 55.57 +2.43
6 Bohemian 36 16 10 10 58 53 40 +13 56.88 +1.12
7 Drogheda United 36 10 11 15 41 40 54 -14 36.77 +4.23
8 Sligo Rovers 36 10 7 19 37 36 51 -15 42.87 -5.87
9 Cork City 36 8 7 21 31 35 64 -29 37.21 -6.21
10 UC Dublin 36 2 5 29 11 19 96 -77 23.07 -12.07

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Shelbourne 60 49.31 +10.69
2 St Patrick's Athletic 62 57.53 +4.47
3 Drogheda United 41 36.77 +4.23
4 Derry City 65 62.08 +2.92
5 Dundalk 58 55.57 +2.43

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 UC Dublin 11 23.07 -12.07
2 Cork City 31 37.21 -6.21
3 Sligo Rovers 37 42.87 -5.87
4 Shamrock Rovers 72 74.31 -2.31
5 Bohemian 58 56.88 +1.12

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cork City 4 May 19 – Jun 5 1 in 476
2 Drogheda United 2 May 19 – May 26 1 in 29
3 Shamrock Rovers 6 Apr 21 – May 15 1 in 28
4 St Patrick's Athletic 4 Mar 31 – Apr 14 1 in 28
5 Bohemian 4 Mar 6 – Apr 1 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shamrock Rovers 2 May 19 – May 26 1 in 159
2 Cork City 6 Apr 14 – May 12 1 in 71
3 Dundalk 3 Mar 31 – Apr 10 1 in 47
4 Derry City 2 Apr 7 – Apr 10 1 in 36
5 Sligo Rovers 4 Aug 4 – Sep 1 1 in 27

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shelbourne 10 Jun 30 – Sep 25 1 in 57
2 Cork City 4 May 19 – Jun 5 1 in 21
3 Shamrock Rovers 13 Mar 6 – May 15 1 in 20
4 Derry City 7 Feb 17 – Mar 31 1 in 12
5 Drogheda United 4 Jun 30 – Jul 28 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shamrock Rovers 6 Feb 18 – Mar 17 1 in 109
2 Cork City 9 Jun 9 – Aug 25 1 in 23
3 Derry City 4 May 27 – Jun 9 1 in 16
4 Dundalk 5 Mar 31 – Apr 21 1 in 15
5 Bohemian 5 Aug 11 – Sep 25 1 in 8

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Shamrock Rovers 1633 72 +35 13 10.8 +2.2
Derry City 1542 65 +32 11 10.0 +1.0
St Patrick's Athletic 1470 62 -11 9 7.8 +1.2
Shelbourne 1482 60 +18 10 7.7 +2.3
Dundalk 1480 58 +41 12 8.9 +3.1
Bohemian 1424 58 -6 9 8.8 +0.2
Drogheda United 1294 41 -31 2 4.2 -2.2
Sligo Rovers 1280 37 -34 1 4.2 -3.2
Cork City 1232 31 -10 4 4.3 -0.3
UC Dublin 1049 11 -34 0 2.4 -2.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOH CC DC DU DUN SR SHE SR SPA UD
Bohemian —
3-0-1
7.20
1-2-1
4.79
3-1-0
7.20
2-1-1
5.14
0-1-3
3.56
0-3-1
5.82
3-0-1
6.81
1-1-2
5.22
3-1-0
8.99
Cork City
1-0-3
3.81
—
0-0-4
3.06
1-2-1
5.50
1-0-3
3.61
1-2-1
2.08
0-0-4
4.17
2-1-1
4.42
0-1-3
3.39
2-1-1
7.30
Derry City
1-2-1
6.17
4-0-0
7.97
—
2-1-1
8.18
2-2-0
6.25
1-1-2
4.24
1-3-0
6.85
1-1-2
7.84
2-1-1
6.08
4-0-0
9.45
Drogheda United
0-1-3
3.78
1-2-1
5.45
1-1-2
2.87
—
0-0-4
3.57
1-2-1
2.16
0-2-2
3.89
1-3-0
4.62
2-0-2
3.43
4-0-0
7.35
Dundalk
1-1-2
5.80
3-0-1
7.40
0-2-2
4.71
4-0-0
7.42
—
1-0-3
3.79
1-2-1
6.05
3-0-1
6.65
1-1-2
4.99
3-1-0
8.70
Shamrock Rovers
3-1-0
7.44
1-2-1
9.10
2-1-1
6.73
1-2-1
9.01
3-0-1
7.22
—
1-3-0
7.73
3-1-0
8.33
3-1-0
7.43
3-1-0
10.10
Shelbourne
1-3-0
5.13
4-0-0
6.83
0-3-1
4.12
2-2-0
7.09
1-2-1
4.92
0-3-1
3.29
—
3-1-0
5.98
1-0-3
4.79
3-1-0
8.57
Sligo Rovers
1-0-3
4.17
1-1-2
6.54
2-1-1
3.18
0-3-1
6.34
1-0-3
4.32
0-1-3
2.78
0-1-3
4.98
—
2-0-2
4.28
3-0-1
7.80
St Patrick's Athletic
2-1-1
5.73
3-1-0
7.63
1-1-2
4.87
2-0-2
7.59
2-1-1
5.96
0-1-3
3.59
3-0-1
6.17
2-0-2
6.72
—
4-0-0
8.94
UC Dublin
0-1-3
2.17
1-1-2
3.69
0-0-4
1.81
0-0-4
3.66
0-1-3
2.42
0-1-3
1.27
0-1-3
2.56
1-0-3
3.24
0-0-4
2.21
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.91 +12.3
Allowed 0.90 -8.3
Differential 0.98 +5.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%9.17%6.39%3.61%1.94%1.94%31.39%
19.17%11.67%6.67%3.61%0.83%0.28%32.22%
26.39%6.67%4.44%2.22%0.83%—20.56%
33.61%3.61%2.22%———9.44%
41.94%0.83%0.83%—0.56%—4.17%
5+1.94%0.28%————2.22%
Total31.39%32.22%20.56%9.44%4.17%2.22%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.30 +0.00
SD 1.27 1.27 1.98
CV 0.98 0.98 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%11.11%2.78%——30.56%
15.56%8.33%2.78%2.78%——19.44%
211.11%11.11%8.33%2.78%——33.33%
3—5.56%2.78%———8.33%
42.78%—2.78%———5.56%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total33.33%30.56%27.78%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.11 +0.36
SD 1.32 0.98 1.73
CV 0.90 0.88 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%11.11%2.78%5.56%5.56%36.11%
111.11%11.11%16.67%5.56%——44.44%
22.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
32.78%—————2.78%
42.78%———2.78%—5.56%
5+———————
Total22.22%22.22%30.56%11.11%8.33%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.78 -0.81
SD 1.06 1.44 1.97
CV 1.09 0.81 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%13.89%2.78%———30.56%
111.11%11.11%——2.78%—25.00%
28.33%5.56%5.56%———19.44%
38.33%5.56%————13.89%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+5.56%—————5.56%
Total50.00%38.89%8.33%—2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 0.67 +0.92
SD 1.56 0.86 1.90
CV 0.98 1.29 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%8.33%2.78%5.56%—2.78%33.33%
18.33%13.89%2.78%8.33%——33.33%
2—8.33%2.78%5.56%5.56%—22.22%
32.78%8.33%————11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%38.89%8.33%19.44%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.50 -0.39
SD 1.01 1.36 1.64
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%—19.44%
18.33%11.11%8.33%5.56%——33.33%
211.11%11.11%5.56%2.78%——30.56%
3—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+5.56%2.78%————8.33%
Total27.78%38.89%19.44%11.11%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.22 +0.42
SD 1.40 1.07 2.01
CV 0.85 0.88 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%2.78%2.78%———16.67%
18.33%11.11%5.56%———25.00%
216.67%5.56%8.33%———30.56%
311.11%—2.78%———13.89%
45.56%—2.78%—2.78%—11.11%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total55.56%19.44%22.22%—2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 0.75 +1.11
SD 1.33 1.00 1.60
CV 0.72 1.33 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%13.89%————30.56%
111.11%22.22%2.78%———36.11%
25.56%11.11%2.78%———19.44%
32.78%—5.56%———8.33%
42.78%—2.78%———5.56%
5+———————
Total38.89%47.22%13.89%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 0.75 +0.47
SD 1.15 0.69 1.13
CV 0.94 0.92 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%19.44%8.33%8.33%——38.89%
18.33%11.11%11.11%2.78%——33.33%
22.78%5.56%5.56%—2.78%—16.67%
32.78%5.56%2.78%———11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%41.67%27.78%11.11%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.42 -0.42
SD 1.01 1.00 1.50
CV 1.01 0.70 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%2.78%11.11%2.78%—2.78%22.22%
116.67%8.33%11.11%———36.11%
25.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%——13.89%
35.56%8.33%5.56%———19.44%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total36.11%25.00%30.56%5.56%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.17 +0.47
SD 1.51 1.16 2.20
CV 0.92 0.99 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%11.11%11.11%11.11%8.33%55.56%
12.78%8.33%5.56%11.11%5.56%2.78%36.11%
2—2.78%—5.56%——8.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total8.33%19.44%16.67%27.78%16.67%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.53 2.67 -2.14
SD 0.65 1.66 1.85
CV 1.24 0.62 —
Max 2 7 +1
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Shamrock Rovers 1633 72 74.31 -2.31 37.0% 56 63 70 75 78 84 88
Derry City 1542 65 62.08 +2.92 72.0% 46 51 58 62 67 72 75
Shelbourne 1482 60 49.31 +10.69 92.0% 35 39 43 48 54 62 66
Dundalk 1480 58 55.57 +2.43 67.0% 35 45 51 55 60 66 72
St Patrick's Athletic 1470 62 57.53 +4.47 72.0% 38 44 51 56 64 72 78
Bohemian 1424 58 56.88 +1.12 59.0% 38 46 51 57 62 68 72
Drogheda United 1294 41 36.77 +4.23 76.0% 18 24 32 37 41 46 56
Sligo Rovers 1280 37 42.87 -5.87 23.0% 29 29 38 43 47 55 66
Cork City 1225 31 37.21 -6.21 29.0% 24 25 31 36 43 49 58
UC Dublin 1049 11 23.07 -12.07 1.0% 11 15 19 22 26 33 43

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.00%
Clear Edge
45.00%25.00%30.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge
155 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
052.51400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.39 goals
Neutral
-2+0.34+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.4
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
84%
Shamrock Rovers, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.19/gm
Comfortable
00.260.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.63 * Some Luck: 5.63 to 8.45 * Lucky: 8.45 to 11.26 * Wild Swing: 11.26 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.77 * Close: 0.77 to 1.15 * Off: 1.15 to 1.53 * Way Off: 1.53 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.26 points
Some Luck
07.0418
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.80
Close
00.962
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
92.00%
Shelbourne
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
1.00%
UC Dublin
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 172.79
2.39
Wide Separation
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
76%
Clear Edge
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
97%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Frequent
0%55%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Occasional
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.42
Notable Separation
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.93
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.78
Near-Lock
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Chalky
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Solid Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.56
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.22
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.111
Well Within Noise
00.1310.3

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Quarterfinals

Cobh Ramblers 2
Wexford 1

Leg 1: Wexford 0-1 Cobh Ramblers

Leg 2: Cobh Ramblers 1-1 Wexford

Waterford 4
Athlone Town 2

Leg 1: Athlone Town 1-1 Waterford

Leg 2: Waterford 3-1 Athlone Town

Semifinals

Waterford 2
Cobh Ramblers 1

Finals

Waterford 2
Cork City 1

Sim: 14.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Shamrock Rovers84.00%12.00%3.00%1.00%——————
Derry City6.00%40.00%22.00%17.00%11.00%2.00%2.00%———
St Patrick's Athletic8.00%12.00%20.00%25.00%10.00%15.00%8.00%2.00%——
Shelbourne—4.00%8.00%10.00%19.00%29.00%21.00%7.00%2.00%—
Dundalk1.00%11.00%19.00%22.00%30.00%11.00%3.00%3.00%——
Bohemian1.00%19.00%25.00%21.00%21.00%11.00%1.00%1.00%——
Drogheda United————3.00%1.00%17.00%39.00%34.00%6.00%
Sligo Rovers—2.00%2.00%3.00%5.00%17.00%30.00%22.00%18.00%1.00%
Cork City——1.00%1.00%1.00%13.00%18.00%23.00%38.00%5.00%
UC Dublin—————1.00%—3.00%8.00%88.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff Direct relegation
Bohemian 100% — —
Derry City 100% — —
Dundalk 100% — —
Shamrock Rovers 100% — —
St Patrick's Athletic 100% — —
Shelbourne 98.00% 2.00% —
Sligo Rovers 81.00% 18.00% 1.00%
Drogheda United 60.00% 34.00% 6.00%
UC Dublin 4.00% 8.00% 88.00%
Cork City — 100% —
Loser →
↓ Winner
Athlone TownBray WanderersCobh RamblersCork CityDrogheda UnitedDundalkFinn HarpsGalway UnitedLongford TownShelbourneSligo RoversTreaty UnitedUC DublinWaterfordWexford
Athlone Town
Bray Wanderers
Cobh Ramblers
Cork City
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Finn Harps
Galway United
Longford Town
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Treaty United
UC Dublin
Waterford
Wexford
Loser →
↓ Winner
Athlone TownBray WanderersCobh RamblersCork CityDrogheda UnitedDundalkFinn HarpsGalway UnitedLongford TownShelbourneSligo RoversTreaty UnitedUC DublinWaterfordWexford
Athlone Town
Bray Wanderers
Cobh Ramblers
Cork City
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Finn Harps
Galway United
Longford Town
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Treaty United
UC Dublin
Waterford
Wexford
Loser →
↓ Winner
Athlone TownBray WanderersCobh RamblersCork CityDrogheda UnitedDundalkFinn HarpsGalway UnitedLongford TownShelbourneSligo RoversTreaty UnitedUC DublinWaterfordWexford
Athlone Town100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%
Bray Wanderers
Cobh Ramblers20.0%5.00%50.0%2.00%
Cork City0.0%1.00%80.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%14.3%7.00%66.7%3.00%22.2%18.00%50.0%2.00%
Drogheda United66.7%3.00%50.0%2.00%37.5%16.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%15.4%13.00%75.0%4.00%
Dundalk100.0%1.00%
Finn Harps0.0%1.00%
Galway United85.7%7.00%62.5%16.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%6.00%
Longford Town50.0%2.00%
Shelbourne0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Sligo Rovers100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%75.0%4.00%100.0%2.00%
Treaty United33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
UC Dublin0.0%6.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%
Waterford77.8%18.00%84.6%13.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%2.00%
Wexford50.0%2.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Quarterfinals Semifinals Finals
Waterford 84.85% 57.01% 40.58%
Cork City — — 36.44%
Cobh Ramblers 52.83% 20.21% 11.19%
Wexford 47.17% 17.42% 9.65%
Athlone Town 15.15% 5.36% 2.14%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Athlone TownCobh RamblersCork CityWaterfordWexford
Athlone Town
Cobh Ramblers
Cork City
Waterford
Wexford
Loser →
↓ Winner
Athlone TownCobh RamblersCork CityWaterfordWexford
Athlone Town
Cobh Ramblers
Cork City
Waterford
Wexford
Loser →
↓ Winner
Athlone TownCobh RamblersCork CityWaterfordWexford
Athlone Town39.9%5.36%
Cobh Ramblers55.4%20.21%
Cork City60.1%5.36%44.6%20.21%28.8%57.01%44.6%17.42%
Waterford71.2%57.01%
Wexford55.4%17.42%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2023-02-17 Bohemian L 1-251.3 1356 1382 40.50% 26.45% 33.04%+0.17 -11.5 0
2023-02-17 @ Cork City W 2-151.3 1382 1356 33.04% 26.45% 40.50%-0.17 +11.5 3
2023-02-17 Derry City D 1-158.6 1438 1450 42.44% 26.38% 31.18%+0.26 -0.7 1
2023-02-17 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-158.6 1450 1438 31.18% 26.38% 42.44%-0.26 +0.7 1
2023-02-17 Drogheda United D 0-049.2 1341 1296 49.82% 25.78% 24.40%+0.63 -1.8 1
2023-02-17 @ Shelbourne D 0-049.2 1296 1341 24.40% 25.78% 49.82%-0.63 +1.8 1
2023-02-17 UC Dublin D 1-155.6 1431 1285 60.87% 23.65% 15.49%+1.28 -3.0 1
2023-02-17 @ Dundalk D 1-155.6 1285 1431 15.49% 23.65% 60.87%-1.28 +3.0 1
2023-02-18 Shamrock Rovers D 1-159.3 1391 1515 27.35% 26.11% 46.54%-0.46 +1.2 1
2023-02-18 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-159.3 1515 1391 46.54% 26.11% 27.35%+0.46 -1.2 1
2023-02-24 Cork City W 2-036.6 1450 1345 56.73% 24.65% 18.62%+1.02 +12.3 4
2023-02-24 @ Derry City L 0-236.6 1345 1450 18.62% 24.65% 56.73%-1.02 -12.3 0
2023-02-24 Dundalk W 2-151.1 1394 1428 39.31% 26.48% 34.21%+0.12 +10.1 6
2023-02-24 @ Bohemian L 1-251.1 1428 1394 34.21% 26.48% 39.31%-0.12 -10.1 1
2023-02-24 Shamrock Rovers D 1-157.1 1297 1513 18.16% 24.53% 57.31%-1.05 +2.6 2
2023-02-24 @ Drogheda United D 1-157.1 1513 1297 57.31% 24.53% 18.16%+1.05 -2.6 2
2023-02-24 Shelbourne W 1-039.2 1437 1339 55.95% 24.81% 19.24%+0.97 +6.7 4
2023-02-24 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-139.2 1339 1437 19.24% 24.81% 55.95%-0.97 -6.7 1
2023-02-24 Sligo Rovers L 2-352.3 1288 1392 29.81% 26.30% 43.89%-0.33 -8.7 1
2023-02-24 @ UC Dublin W 3-252.3 1392 1288 43.89% 26.30% 29.81%+0.33 +8.6 4
2023-03-03 Bohemian W 1-045.1 1332 1404 34.01% 26.48% 39.51%-0.13 +12.0 4
2023-03-03 @ Shelbourne L 0-145.1 1404 1332 39.51% 26.48% 34.01%+0.13 -12.0 6
2023-03-03 Derry City L 1-260.5 1511 1463 50.21% 25.73% 24.05%+0.65 -13.7 2
2023-03-03 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-160.5 1463 1511 24.05% 25.73% 50.21%-0.65 +13.7 7
2023-03-03 Sligo Rovers W 1-045.7 1300 1401 30.21% 26.33% 43.46%-0.31 +12.9 5
2023-03-03 @ Drogheda United L 0-145.7 1401 1300 43.46% 26.33% 30.21%+0.31 -12.9 4
2023-03-03 St Patrick's Athletic W 5-041.4 1418 1444 40.58% 26.45% 32.97%+0.17 +46.1 4
2023-03-03 @ Dundalk L 0-541.4 1444 1418 32.97% 26.45% 40.58%-0.17 -46.1 4
2023-03-03 UC Dublin W 4-033.8 1333 1280 50.80% 25.66% 23.54%+0.68 +28.6 3
2023-03-03 @ Cork City L 0-433.8 1280 1333 23.54% 25.66% 50.80%-0.68 -28.6 1
2023-03-06 Cork City D 4-469.7 1497 1361 59.85% 23.92% 16.23%+1.22 -1.6 3
2023-03-06 @ Shamrock Rovers D 4-469.7 1361 1497 16.23% 23.92% 59.85%-1.22 +1.6 4
2023-03-06 Derry City L 0-432.8 1251 1476 17.40% 24.30% 58.29%-1.12 -21.9 1
2023-03-06 @ UC Dublin W 4-032.8 1476 1251 58.29% 24.30% 17.40%+1.12 +21.9 10
2023-03-06 Drogheda United W 3-141.9 1392 1313 53.85% 25.20% 20.96%+0.85 +11.8 9
2023-03-06 @ Bohemian L 1-341.9 1313 1392 20.96% 25.20% 53.85%-0.85 -11.8 5
2023-03-06 Shelbourne W 2-145.1 1464 1344 58.28% 24.31% 17.41%+1.12 +5.8 7
2023-03-06 @ Dundalk L 1-245.1 1344 1464 17.41% 24.31% 58.28%-1.12 -5.8 4
2023-03-06 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-149.2 1388 1398 42.72% 26.37% 30.92%+0.27 +9.4 7
2023-03-06 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-249.2 1398 1388 30.92% 26.37% 42.72%-0.27 -9.4 4
2023-03-10 Bohemian L 0-244.1 1388 1404 41.93% 26.40% 31.67%+0.24 -23.6 4
2023-03-10 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-044.1 1404 1388 31.67% 26.40% 41.93%-0.24 +23.6 12
2023-03-10 Drogheda United L 0-141.6 1229 1301 33.99% 26.48% 39.53%-0.13 -10.7 1
2023-03-10 @ UC Dublin W 1-041.6 1301 1229 39.53% 26.48% 33.99%+0.13 +10.7 8
2023-03-10 Dundalk D 0-056.7 1498 1470 47.71% 26.01% 26.28%+0.52 -1.5 11
2023-03-10 @ Derry City D 0-056.7 1470 1498 26.28% 26.01% 47.71%-0.52 +1.5 8
2023-03-10 Shamrock Rovers D 0-052.4 1338 1496 23.63% 25.67% 50.70%-0.68 +1.9 5
2023-03-10 @ Shelbourne D 0-052.4 1496 1338 50.70% 25.67% 23.63%+0.68 -1.9 4
2023-03-11 Cork City D 2-261.5 1397 1363 48.49% 25.93% 25.58%+0.56 -1.1 8
2023-03-11 @ Sligo Rovers D 2-261.5 1363 1397 25.58% 25.93% 48.49%-0.56 +1.1 5
2023-03-16 Dundalk L 0-140.8 1312 1472 23.36% 25.63% 51.02%-0.69 -7.9 8
2023-03-16 @ Drogheda United W 1-040.8 1472 1312 51.02% 25.63% 23.36%+0.69 +7.9 11
2023-03-17 Shelbourne L 0-244.0 1364 1340 47.15% 26.06% 26.79%+0.49 -26.0 5
2023-03-17 @ Cork City W 2-044.0 1340 1364 26.79% 26.06% 47.15%-0.49 +26.0 8
2023-03-17 Sligo Rovers D 1-159.3 1497 1396 56.22% 24.76% 19.02%+0.99 -2.4 12
2023-03-17 @ Derry City D 1-159.3 1396 1497 19.02% 24.76% 56.22%-0.99 +2.4 9
2023-03-17 St Patrick's Athletic D 2-264.4 1494 1365 59.17% 24.09% 16.74%+1.17 -2.1 5
2023-03-17 @ Shamrock Rovers D 2-264.4 1365 1494 16.74% 24.09% 59.17%-1.17 +2.1 5
2023-03-17 UC Dublin W 2-140.1 1428 1218 66.53% 21.81% 11.67%+1.69 +3.9 15
2023-03-17 @ Bohemian L 1-240.1 1218 1428 11.67% 21.81% 66.53%-1.69 -3.9 1
2023-03-31 Derry City L 0-143.9 1366 1494 26.85% 26.07% 47.08%-0.49 -8.9 8
2023-03-31 @ Shelbourne W 1-043.9 1494 1366 47.08% 26.07% 26.85%+0.49 +8.9 15
2023-03-31 Drogheda United D 1-154.0 1338 1304 48.47% 25.93% 25.60%+0.56 -1.4 6
2023-03-31 @ Cork City D 1-154.0 1304 1338 25.60% 25.93% 48.47%-0.56 +1.4 9
2023-03-31 Shamrock Rovers L 0-447.6 1480 1492 42.44% 26.38% 31.18%+0.26 -45.3 11
2023-03-31 @ Dundalk W 4-047.6 1492 1480 31.18% 26.38% 42.44%-0.26 +45.3 8
2023-03-31 UC Dublin W 3-030.8 1367 1214 61.43% 23.49% 15.08%+1.32 +14.6 8
2023-03-31 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-330.8 1214 1367 15.08% 23.49% 61.43%-1.32 -14.6 1
2023-04-01 Bohemian L 0-147.0 1398 1431 39.52% 26.48% 34.00%+0.13 -12.0 9
2023-04-01 @ Sligo Rovers W 1-047.0 1431 1398 34.00% 26.48% 39.52%-0.13 +12.0 18
2023-04-07 Cork City W 4-035.2 1381 1336 49.80% 25.78% 24.42%+0.63 +29.5 11
2023-04-07 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-435.2 1336 1381 24.42% 25.78% 49.80%-0.63 -29.5 6
2023-04-07 Drogheda United L 0-153.0 1503 1305 65.57% 22.16% 12.27%+1.62 -18.3 15
2023-04-07 @ Derry City W 1-053.0 1305 1503 12.27% 22.16% 65.57%-1.62 +18.3 12
2023-04-07 Shamrock Rovers L 0-246.6 1443 1537 31.13% 26.38% 42.50%-0.26 -18.9 18
2023-04-07 @ Bohemian W 2-046.6 1537 1443 42.50% 26.38% 31.13%+0.26 +18.9 11
2023-04-07 Shelbourne D 0-048.7 1200 1357 23.60% 25.67% 50.73%-0.68 +1.9 2
2023-04-07 @ UC Dublin D 0-048.7 1357 1200 50.73% 25.67% 23.60%+0.68 -1.9 9
2023-04-07 Sligo Rovers L 1-255.6 1434 1386 50.17% 25.74% 24.09%+0.65 -13.7 11
2023-04-07 @ Dundalk W 2-155.6 1386 1434 24.09% 25.74% 50.17%-0.65 +13.7 12
2023-04-10 Bohemian L 0-152.7 1485 1425 51.67% 25.54% 22.79%+0.73 -14.9 15
2023-04-10 @ Derry City W 1-052.7 1425 1485 22.79% 25.54% 51.67%-0.73 +14.9 21
2023-04-10 Dundalk W 1-046.6 1307 1421 28.58% 26.22% 45.21%-0.39 +13.3 9
2023-04-10 @ Cork City L 0-146.6 1421 1307 45.21% 26.22% 28.58%+0.39 -13.3 11
2023-04-10 Sligo Rovers W 2-150.1 1355 1400 37.86% 26.50% 35.64%+0.05 +10.4 12
2023-04-10 @ Shelbourne L 1-250.1 1400 1355 35.64% 26.50% 37.86%-0.05 -10.5 12
2023-04-10 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-346.0 1324 1411 31.95% 26.41% 41.63%-0.22 -16.7 12
2023-04-10 @ Drogheda United W 3-146.0 1411 1324 41.63% 26.41% 31.95%+0.22 +16.7 14
2023-04-10 UC Dublin W 3-028.1 1556 1202 77.04% 16.88% 6.08%+2.62 +5.5 14
2023-04-10 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-328.1 1202 1556 6.08% 16.88% 77.04%-2.62 -5.5 2
2023-04-14 Cork City W 1-045.2 1196 1320 27.34% 26.11% 46.55%-0.46 +13.7 5
2023-04-14 @ UC Dublin L 0-145.2 1320 1196 46.55% 26.11% 27.34%+0.46 -13.6 9
2023-04-14 Shelbourne D 2-267.2 1561 1366 65.35% 22.24% 12.42%+1.60 -2.7 15
2023-04-14 @ Shamrock Rovers D 2-267.2 1366 1561 12.42% 22.24% 65.35%-1.60 +2.7 13
2023-04-14 St Patrick's Athletic L 2-360.8 1439 1427 45.64% 26.19% 28.17%+0.42 -12.0 21
2023-04-14 @ Bohemian W 3-260.8 1427 1439 28.17% 26.19% 45.64%-0.42 +12.0 17
2023-04-15 Drogheda United D 1-154.8 1390 1307 54.25% 25.13% 20.62%+0.87 -2.2 13
2023-04-15 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-154.8 1307 1390 20.62% 25.13% 54.25%-0.87 +2.2 13
2023-04-16 Derry City D 2-264.2 1407 1470 35.30% 26.50% 38.20%-0.07 +0.1 12
2023-04-16 @ Dundalk D 2-264.2 1470 1407 38.20% 26.50% 35.30%+0.07 -0.1 16
2023-04-21 Bohemian L 0-238.8 1309 1427 28.01% 26.17% 45.81%-0.42 -17.4 13
2023-04-21 @ Drogheda United W 2-038.8 1427 1309 45.81% 26.17% 28.01%+0.42 +17.4 24
2023-04-21 Derry City L 1-343.8 1307 1470 23.01% 25.57% 51.42%-0.71 -12.8 9
2023-04-21 @ Cork City W 3-143.8 1470 1307 51.42% 25.57% 23.01%+0.71 +12.8 19
2023-04-21 Dundalk D 1-155.7 1369 1407 38.69% 26.49% 34.82%+0.09 -0.2 14
2023-04-21 @ Shelbourne D 1-155.7 1407 1369 34.82% 26.49% 38.69%-0.09 +0.2 13
2023-04-21 Shamrock Rovers L 0-246.3 1439 1559 27.92% 26.17% 45.91%-0.43 -17.3 17
2023-04-21 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-046.3 1559 1439 45.91% 26.17% 27.92%+0.43 +17.3 18
2023-04-22 UC Dublin W 3-137.9 1388 1210 63.78% 22.77% 13.45%+1.48 +7.8 16
2023-04-22 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-337.9 1210 1388 13.45% 22.77% 63.78%-1.48 -7.8 5
2023-04-28 Bohemian D 1-154.7 1202 1445 16.10% 23.88% 60.02%-1.23 +2.9 6
2023-04-28 @ UC Dublin D 1-154.7 1445 1202 60.02% 23.88% 16.10%+1.23 -2.9 25
2023-04-28 Cork City W 2-144.2 1368 1294 53.31% 25.29% 21.40%+0.82 +6.9 17
2023-04-28 @ Shelbourne L 1-244.2 1294 1368 21.40% 25.29% 53.31%-0.82 -7.0 9
2023-04-28 Drogheda United W 3-248.4 1408 1292 57.83% 24.41% 17.76%+1.09 +5.6 16
2023-04-28 @ Dundalk L 2-348.4 1292 1408 17.76% 24.41% 57.83%-1.09 -5.6 13
2023-04-28 Sligo Rovers W 2-148.4 1576 1395 64.05% 22.68% 13.27%+1.50 +4.4 21
2023-04-28 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-248.4 1395 1576 13.27% 22.68% 64.05%-1.50 -4.4 16
2023-04-28 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-041.2 1483 1422 51.69% 25.53% 22.77%+0.73 +14.7 22
2023-04-28 @ Derry City L 0-241.2 1422 1483 22.77% 25.53% 51.69%-0.73 -14.7 17
2023-05-01 Cork City W 5-032.1 1442 1287 61.70% 23.41% 14.89%+1.34 +23.2 28
2023-05-01 @ Bohemian L 0-532.1 1287 1442 14.89% 23.41% 61.70%-1.34 -23.2 9
2023-05-01 Dundalk L 0-234.2 1205 1413 18.81% 24.70% 56.48%-1.00 -12.4 6
2023-05-01 @ UC Dublin W 2-034.2 1413 1205 56.48% 24.70% 18.81%+1.00 +12.4 19
2023-05-01 Shamrock Rovers L 0-250.6 1497 1580 32.51% 26.44% 41.05%-0.20 -19.5 22
2023-05-01 @ Derry City W 2-050.6 1580 1497 41.05% 26.44% 32.51%+0.20 +19.5 24
2023-05-01 Shelbourne D 1-154.1 1286 1375 31.70% 26.40% 41.90%-0.24 +0.6 14
2023-05-01 @ Drogheda United D 1-154.1 1375 1286 41.90% 26.40% 31.70%+0.24 -0.6 18
2023-05-01 Sligo Rovers L 0-148.2 1407 1391 46.24% 26.14% 27.62%+0.45 -13.6 17
2023-05-01 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 1-048.2 1391 1407 27.62% 26.14% 46.24%-0.45 +13.6 19
2023-05-05 Bohemian W 2-044.6 1600 1465 59.73% 23.95% 16.32%+1.21 +10.9 27
2023-05-05 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-244.6 1465 1600 16.32% 23.95% 59.73%-1.21 -10.9 28
2023-05-05 Derry City L 0-139.4 1287 1478 20.32% 25.06% 54.62%-0.89 -7.0 14
2023-05-05 @ Drogheda United W 1-039.4 1478 1287 54.62% 25.06% 20.32%+0.89 +7.0 25
2023-05-05 St Patrick's Athletic L 2-351.0 1264 1394 26.60% 26.04% 47.36%-0.50 -7.9 9
2023-05-05 @ Cork City W 3-251.0 1394 1264 47.36% 26.04% 26.60%+0.50 +7.9 20
2023-05-05 UC Dublin W 1-034.4 1375 1193 64.17% 22.64% 13.19%+1.51 +4.7 21
2023-05-05 @ Shelbourne L 0-134.4 1193 1375 13.19% 22.64% 64.17%-1.51 -4.7 6
2023-05-06 Dundalk L 0-147.5 1404 1426 41.17% 26.43% 32.40%+0.20 -12.4 19
2023-05-06 @ Sligo Rovers W 1-047.5 1426 1404 32.40% 26.43% 41.17%-0.20 +12.4 22
2023-05-12 Cork City W 2-141.3 1438 1256 64.20% 22.63% 13.17%+1.51 +4.4 25
2023-05-12 @ Dundalk L 1-241.3 1256 1438 13.17% 22.63% 64.20%-1.51 -4.4 9
2023-05-12 Derry City L 0-150.5 1454 1485 39.86% 26.47% 33.67%+0.14 -12.1 28
2023-05-12 @ Bohemian W 1-050.5 1485 1454 33.67% 26.47% 39.86%-0.14 +12.1 28
2023-05-12 Drogheda United W 3-032.6 1402 1280 58.46% 24.26% 17.27%+1.13 +16.7 23
2023-05-12 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-332.6 1280 1402 17.27% 24.26% 58.46%-1.13 -16.6 14
2023-05-12 Shamrock Rovers L 0-329.6 1188 1611 7.17% 18.15% 74.68%-2.39 -6.6 6
2023-05-12 @ UC Dublin W 3-029.6 1611 1188 74.68% 18.15% 7.17%+2.39 +6.6 30
2023-05-13 Shelbourne L 0-343.0 1392 1379 45.75% 26.18% 28.08%+0.42 -36.8 19
2023-05-13 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-043.0 1379 1392 28.08% 26.18% 45.75%-0.42 +36.8 24
2023-05-15 Dundalk W 3-040.9 1497 1442 50.97% 25.63% 23.39%+0.69 +21.8 31
2023-05-15 @ Derry City L 0-340.9 1442 1497 23.39% 25.63% 50.97%-0.69 -21.8 25
2023-05-15 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-255.5 1617 1418 65.64% 22.13% 12.22%+1.62 +3.9 33
2023-05-15 @ Shamrock Rovers L 2-355.5 1418 1617 12.22% 22.13% 65.64%-1.62 -3.9 23
2023-05-19 Bohemian D 2-263.8 1421 1442 41.12% 26.43% 32.45%+0.20 -0.4 26
2023-05-19 @ Dundalk D 2-263.8 1442 1421 32.45% 26.43% 41.12%-0.20 +0.4 29
2023-05-19 Drogheda United L 1-262.8 1621 1263 77.29% 16.74% 5.97%+2.65 -19.5 33
2023-05-19 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-162.8 1263 1621 5.97% 16.74% 77.29%-2.65 +19.5 17
2023-05-19 Sligo Rovers W 1-044.9 1251 1355 29.79% 26.30% 43.91%-0.33 +13.0 12
2023-05-19 @ Cork City L 0-144.9 1355 1251 43.91% 26.30% 29.79%+0.33 -13.0 19
2023-05-19 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-148.4 1416 1415 44.26% 26.28% 29.46%+0.35 -13.1 24
2023-05-19 @ Shelbourne W 1-048.4 1415 1416 29.46% 26.28% 44.26%-0.35 +13.1 26
2023-05-19 UC Dublin W 4-132.6 1519 1181 75.98% 17.46% 6.56%+2.52 +5.0 34
2023-05-19 @ Derry City L 1-432.6 1181 1519 6.56% 17.46% 75.98%-2.52 -5.0 6
2023-05-26 Dundalk W 2-150.0 1428 1420 45.05% 26.23% 28.72%+0.39 +8.9 29
2023-05-26 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-250.0 1420 1428 28.72% 26.23% 45.05%-0.39 -8.9 26
2023-05-26 Shamrock Rovers W 1-055.1 1264 1602 10.52% 21.07% 68.41%-1.84 +19.0 15
2023-05-26 @ Cork City L 0-155.1 1602 1264 68.41% 21.07% 10.52%+1.84 -19.0 33
2023-05-26 Shelbourne D 0-052.7 1443 1403 49.15% 25.86% 24.99%+0.59 -1.7 30
2023-05-26 @ Bohemian D 0-052.7 1403 1443 24.99% 25.86% 49.15%-0.59 +1.7 25
2023-05-26 UC Dublin W 3-139.4 1283 1176 56.81% 24.64% 18.56%+1.02 +10.6 20
2023-05-26 @ Drogheda United L 1-339.4 1176 1283 18.56% 24.64% 56.81%-1.02 -10.6 6
2023-05-27 Derry City W 1-051.9 1342 1524 21.21% 25.25% 53.54%-0.83 +15.4 22
2023-05-27 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-151.9 1524 1342 53.54% 25.25% 21.21%+0.83 -15.4 34
2023-06-02 Cork City L 0-145.1 1293 1283 45.37% 26.21% 28.42%+0.40 -13.4 20
2023-06-02 @ Drogheda United W 1-045.1 1283 1293 28.42% 26.21% 45.37%-0.40 +13.4 18
2023-06-02 Dundalk W 2-040.9 1583 1411 63.20% 22.96% 13.84%+1.44 +9.2 36
2023-06-02 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-240.9 1411 1583 13.84% 22.96% 63.20%-1.44 -9.2 26
2023-06-02 Shelbourne D 0-055.1 1508 1405 56.53% 24.69% 18.78%+1.01 -2.8 35
2023-06-02 @ Derry City D 0-055.1 1405 1508 18.78% 24.69% 56.53%-1.01 +2.8 26
2023-06-02 Sligo Rovers W 2-037.4 1441 1358 54.31% 25.12% 20.57%+0.88 +13.4 33
2023-06-02 @ Bohemian L 0-237.4 1358 1441 20.57% 25.12% 54.31%-0.88 -13.4 22
2023-06-02 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-338.2 1166 1437 14.19% 23.11% 62.70%-1.41 -8.2 6
2023-06-02 @ UC Dublin W 3-138.2 1437 1166 62.70% 23.11% 14.19%+1.41 +8.2 32
2023-06-05 Bohemian W 2-154.3 1297 1454 23.59% 25.66% 50.75%-0.68 +13.8 21
2023-06-05 @ Cork City L 1-254.3 1454 1297 50.75% 25.66% 23.59%+0.68 -13.8 33
2023-06-05 Derry City W 4-151.0 1445 1506 35.56% 26.50% 37.94%-0.05 +26.8 35
2023-06-05 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-451.0 1506 1445 37.94% 26.50% 35.56%+0.05 -26.8 35
2023-06-05 Drogheda United W 3-247.9 1407 1280 59.02% 24.13% 16.85%+1.16 +5.3 29
2023-06-05 @ Shelbourne L 2-347.9 1280 1407 16.85% 24.13% 59.02%-1.16 -5.3 20
2023-06-05 Shamrock Rovers L 0-337.9 1344 1592 15.74% 23.75% 60.51%-1.26 -15.2 22
2023-06-05 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-037.9 1592 1344 60.51% 23.75% 15.74%+1.26 +15.2 39
2023-06-05 UC Dublin W 4-133.4 1402 1158 69.38% 20.66% 9.96%+1.92 +8.0 29
2023-06-05 @ Dundalk L 1-433.4 1158 1402 9.96% 20.66% 69.38%-1.92 -8.0 6
2023-06-09 Bohemian D 0-055.0 1479 1440 48.99% 25.87% 25.13%+0.59 -1.7 36
2023-06-09 @ Derry City D 0-055.0 1440 1479 25.13% 25.87% 48.99%-0.59 +1.7 34
2023-06-09 Dundalk L 1-247.9 1310 1410 30.33% 26.34% 43.33%-0.30 -9.2 21
2023-06-09 @ Cork City W 2-147.9 1410 1310 43.33% 26.34% 30.33%+0.30 +9.2 32
2023-06-09 Sligo Rovers D 1-155.5 1413 1329 54.37% 25.11% 20.52%+0.88 -2.2 30
2023-06-09 @ Shelbourne D 1-155.5 1329 1413 20.52% 25.11% 54.37%-0.88 +2.2 23
2023-06-09 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-155.4 1275 1472 19.78% 24.94% 55.27%-0.93 +14.9 23
2023-06-09 @ Drogheda United L 1-255.4 1472 1275 55.27% 24.94% 19.78%+0.93 -14.9 35
2023-06-09 UC Dublin W 4-025.9 1607 1150 82.87% 13.37% 3.76%+3.29 +4.1 42
2023-06-09 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-425.9 1150 1607 3.76% 13.37% 82.87%-3.29 -4.1 6
2023-06-23 Cork City W 2-034.2 1477 1301 63.62% 22.82% 13.55%+1.47 +9.1 39
2023-06-23 @ Derry City L 0-234.2 1301 1477 13.55% 22.82% 63.62%-1.47 -9.0 21
2023-06-23 Dundalk L 1-246.5 1289 1419 26.64% 26.05% 47.31%-0.50 -8.4 23
2023-06-23 @ Drogheda United W 2-146.5 1419 1289 47.31% 26.05% 26.64%+0.50 +8.3 35
2023-06-23 Shamrock Rovers D 2-270.8 1442 1611 22.43% 25.48% 52.09%-0.75 +1.4 35
2023-06-23 @ Bohemian D 2-270.8 1611 1442 52.09% 25.48% 22.43%+0.75 -1.4 43
2023-06-23 Shelbourne W 1-043.3 1457 1411 49.95% 25.76% 24.29%+0.64 +8.2 38
2023-06-23 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-143.3 1411 1457 24.29% 25.76% 49.95%-0.64 -8.2 30
2023-06-23 Sligo Rovers W 2-152.9 1145 1331 20.82% 25.17% 54.01%-0.86 +14.6 9
2023-06-23 @ UC Dublin L 1-252.9 1331 1145 54.01% 25.17% 20.82%+0.86 -14.6 23
2023-06-26 Derry City W 1-048.7 1610 1486 58.61% 24.23% 17.16%+1.14 +6.0 46
2023-06-26 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-148.7 1486 1610 17.16% 24.23% 58.61%-1.14 -6.0 39
2023-06-26 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-158.8 1428 1465 38.94% 26.49% 34.57%+0.10 -0.3 36
2023-06-26 @ Dundalk D 1-158.8 1465 1428 34.57% 26.49% 38.94%-0.10 +0.2 39
2023-06-30 Bohemian W 3-150.8 1317 1444 26.98% 26.08% 46.94%-0.48 +22.4 26
2023-06-30 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-350.8 1444 1317 46.94% 26.08% 26.98%+0.48 -22.4 35
2023-06-30 Derry City D 1-158.4 1402 1480 33.22% 26.46% 40.32%-0.16 +0.4 31
2023-06-30 @ Shelbourne D 1-158.4 1480 1402 40.32% 26.46% 33.22%+0.16 -0.4 40
2023-06-30 Drogheda United D 1-153.5 1292 1281 45.53% 26.19% 28.28%+0.41 -1.1 22
2023-06-30 @ Cork City D 1-153.5 1281 1292 28.28% 26.19% 45.53%-0.41 +1.1 24
2023-06-30 Shamrock Rovers W 2-055.5 1427 1616 20.57% 25.12% 54.31%-0.88 +29.3 39
2023-06-30 @ Dundalk L 0-255.5 1616 1427 54.31% 25.12% 20.57%+0.88 -29.3 46
2023-06-30 UC Dublin W 7-028.3 1465 1160 73.82% 18.59% 7.59%+2.31 +15.6 42
2023-06-30 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-728.3 1160 1465 7.59% 18.59% 73.82%-2.31 -15.6 9
2023-07-07 Cork City D 1-156.9 1481 1291 64.84% 22.41% 12.74%+1.56 -3.5 43
2023-07-07 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-156.9 1291 1481 12.74% 22.41% 64.84%-1.56 +3.5 23
2023-07-07 Dundalk W 3-257.8 1421 1457 39.15% 26.49% 34.37%+0.11 +9.6 38
2023-07-07 @ Bohemian L 2-357.8 1457 1421 34.37% 26.49% 39.15%-0.11 -9.6 39
2023-07-07 Shamrock Rovers D 0-054.5 1282 1586 12.20% 22.12% 65.68%-1.62 +4.1 25
2023-07-07 @ Drogheda United D 0-054.5 1586 1282 65.68% 22.12% 12.20%+1.62 -4.1 47
2023-07-07 Shelbourne L 0-430.2 1144 1403 15.00% 23.46% 61.54%-1.33 -19.0 9
2023-07-07 @ UC Dublin W 4-030.2 1403 1144 61.54% 23.46% 15.00%+1.33 +19.0 34
2023-07-07 Sligo Rovers W 2-144.7 1480 1339 60.32% 23.80% 15.88%+1.25 +5.3 43
2023-07-07 @ Derry City L 1-244.7 1339 1480 15.88% 23.80% 60.32%-1.25 -5.3 26
2023-07-14 Bohemian D 1-157.6 1422 1431 42.85% 26.36% 30.79%+0.28 -0.7 35
2023-07-14 @ Shelbourne D 1-157.6 1431 1422 30.79% 26.36% 42.85%-0.28 +0.7 39
2023-07-14 Drogheda United L 1-341.0 1125 1286 23.27% 25.61% 51.12%-0.70 -12.9 9
2023-07-14 @ UC Dublin W 3-141.0 1286 1125 51.12% 25.61% 23.27%+0.70 +12.9 28
2023-07-15 Cork City W 3-034.9 1334 1295 49.08% 25.87% 25.05%+0.59 +23.1 29
2023-07-15 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-334.9 1295 1334 25.05% 25.87% 49.08%-0.59 -23.1 23
2023-07-28 Shelbourne L 0-237.0 1272 1421 24.45% 25.79% 49.76%-0.63 -15.6 23
2023-07-28 @ Cork City W 2-037.0 1421 1272 49.76% 25.79% 24.45%+0.63 +15.6 38
2023-07-28 Sligo Rovers D 2-259.9 1299 1357 36.02% 26.51% 37.47%-0.03 +0.1 29
2023-07-28 @ Drogheda United D 2-259.9 1357 1299 37.47% 26.51% 36.02%+0.03 -0.1 30
2023-07-28 UC Dublin W 2-028.3 1432 1113 74.77% 18.10% 7.13%+2.40 +4.5 42
2023-07-28 @ Bohemian L 0-228.3 1113 1432 7.13% 18.10% 74.77%-2.40 -4.5 9
2023-08-04 Drogheda United W 4-244.3 1436 1299 59.94% 23.90% 16.16%+1.22 +8.3 45
2023-08-04 @ Bohemian L 2-444.3 1299 1436 16.16% 23.90% 59.94%-1.22 -8.3 29
2023-08-04 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-240.7 1357 1477 27.75% 26.15% 46.10%-0.44 -17.3 30
2023-08-04 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-040.7 1477 1357 46.10% 26.15% 27.75%+0.44 +17.3 46
2023-08-06 Cork City W 2-140.7 1582 1256 75.26% 17.85% 6.89%+2.44 +2.2 50
2023-08-06 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-240.7 1256 1582 6.89% 17.85% 75.26%-2.44 -2.2 23
2023-08-06 Shelbourne D 1-158.6 1447 1437 45.45% 26.20% 28.35%+0.41 -1.1 40
2023-08-06 @ Dundalk D 1-158.6 1437 1447 28.35% 26.20% 45.45%-0.41 +1.0 39
2023-08-11 Bohemian D 0-055.7 1494 1444 50.44% 25.70% 23.86%+0.66 -1.9 47
2023-08-11 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-055.7 1444 1494 23.86% 25.70% 50.44%-0.66 +1.9 46
2023-08-11 Shamrock Rovers D 1-163.6 1438 1585 24.74% 25.83% 49.43%-0.61 +1.5 40
2023-08-11 @ Shelbourne D 1-163.6 1585 1438 49.43% 25.83% 24.74%+0.61 -1.5 51
2023-08-11 Sligo Rovers W 1-039.1 1446 1339 56.86% 24.62% 18.52%+1.03 +6.5 43
2023-08-11 @ Dundalk L 0-139.1 1339 1446 18.52% 24.62% 56.86%-1.03 -6.5 30
2023-08-11 UC Dublin D 1-153.6 1254 1108 60.82% 23.66% 15.52%+1.28 -3.0 24
2023-08-11 @ Cork City D 1-153.6 1108 1254 15.52% 23.66% 60.82%-1.28 +3.0 10
2023-08-13 Drogheda United W 3-032.0 1485 1291 65.24% 22.28% 12.49%+1.59 +12.1 46
2023-08-13 @ Derry City L 0-332.0 1291 1485 12.49% 22.28% 65.24%-1.59 -12.1 29
2023-08-25 Cork City W 3-142.3 1279 1251 47.70% 26.01% 26.29%+0.52 +14.3 32
2023-08-25 @ Drogheda United L 1-342.3 1251 1279 26.29% 26.01% 47.70%-0.52 -14.3 24
2023-08-25 Derry City D 2-266.4 1446 1497 36.99% 26.51% 36.50%+0.01 -0.0 47
2023-08-25 @ Bohemian D 2-266.4 1497 1446 36.50% 26.51% 36.99%-0.01 +0.0 47
2023-08-25 Dundalk W 1-046.4 1583 1453 59.30% 24.06% 16.64%+1.18 +5.9 54
2023-08-25 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-146.4 1453 1583 16.64% 24.06% 59.30%-1.18 -5.9 43
2023-08-25 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-132.3 1111 1493 8.63% 19.58% 71.79%-2.12 -3.0 10
2023-08-25 @ UC Dublin W 1-032.3 1493 1111 71.79% 19.58% 8.63%+2.12 +3.0 50
2023-08-26 Shelbourne L 0-142.7 1333 1439 29.48% 26.28% 44.23%-0.35 -9.6 30
2023-08-26 @ Sligo Rovers W 1-042.7 1439 1333 44.23% 26.28% 29.48%+0.35 +9.6 43
2023-09-01 Bohemian W 3-041.6 1589 1446 60.51% 23.75% 15.74%+1.26 +15.2 57
2023-09-01 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-341.6 1446 1589 15.74% 23.75% 60.51%-1.26 -15.2 47
2023-09-01 Derry City L 1-353.1 1447 1497 37.05% 26.51% 36.44%+0.01 -18.6 43
2023-09-01 @ Dundalk W 3-153.1 1497 1447 36.44% 26.51% 37.05%-0.01 +18.6 50
2023-09-01 Sligo Rovers W 3-039.5 1237 1323 32.00% 26.42% 41.58%-0.22 +34.1 27
2023-09-01 @ Cork City L 0-339.5 1323 1237 41.58% 26.42% 32.00%+0.22 -34.1 30
2023-09-01 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-155.4 1449 1496 37.59% 26.51% 35.91%+0.04 +10.5 46
2023-09-01 @ Shelbourne L 1-255.4 1496 1449 35.91% 26.51% 37.59%-0.04 -10.5 50
2023-09-01 UC Dublin W 3-029.3 1293 1108 64.44% 22.55% 13.01%+1.53 +12.6 35
2023-09-01 @ Drogheda United L 0-329.3 1108 1293 13.01% 22.55% 64.44%-1.53 -12.6 10
2023-09-06 Derry City L 0-527.0 1095 1516 7.25% 18.23% 74.52%-2.37 -10.7 10
2023-09-06 @ UC Dublin W 5-027.0 1516 1095 74.52% 18.23% 7.25%+2.37 +10.8 53
2023-09-15 Shamrock Rovers D 1-167.1 1526 1604 33.23% 26.46% 40.31%-0.16 +0.4 54
2023-09-15 @ Derry City D 1-167.1 1604 1526 40.31% 26.46% 33.23%+0.16 -0.4 58
2023-09-16 UC Dublin W 2-030.4 1289 1085 66.13% 21.96% 11.92%+1.66 +7.9 33
2023-09-16 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-230.4 1085 1289 11.92% 21.96% 66.13%-1.66 -7.9 10
2023-09-22 Bohemian D 0-050.3 1306 1431 27.18% 26.10% 46.72%-0.47 +1.3 36
2023-09-22 @ Drogheda United D 0-050.3 1431 1306 46.72% 26.10% 27.18%+0.47 -1.3 48
2023-09-22 Cork City W 2-141.6 1459 1271 64.77% 22.44% 12.79%+1.56 +4.3 49
2023-09-22 @ Shelbourne L 1-241.6 1271 1459 12.79% 22.44% 64.77%-1.56 -4.3 27
2023-09-22 Derry City W 1-052.0 1297 1527 17.07% 24.20% 58.73%-1.14 +16.7 36
2023-09-22 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-152.0 1527 1297 58.73% 24.20% 17.07%+1.14 -16.7 54
2023-09-22 Dundalk W 3-147.5 1485 1428 51.26% 25.60% 23.15%+0.71 +12.9 53
2023-09-22 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-347.5 1428 1485 23.15% 25.60% 51.26%-0.71 -12.9 43
2023-09-22 Shamrock Rovers D 0-053.0 1077 1604 4.45% 14.55% 81.01%-3.06 +5.8 11
2023-09-22 @ UC Dublin D 0-053.0 1604 1077 81.01% 14.55% 4.45%+3.06 -5.7 59
2023-09-25 Cork City W 5-031.7 1415 1266 61.11% 23.58% 15.31%+1.30 +23.9 46
2023-09-25 @ Dundalk L 0-531.7 1266 1415 15.31% 23.58% 61.11%-1.30 -23.9 27
2023-09-25 Drogheda United L 1-258.7 1498 1307 64.95% 22.38% 12.67%+1.57 -17.2 53
2023-09-25 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-158.7 1307 1498 12.67% 22.38% 64.95%-1.57 +17.2 39
2023-09-25 Shelbourne D 1-158.8 1430 1464 39.38% 26.48% 34.14%+0.12 -0.3 49
2023-09-25 @ Bohemian D 1-158.8 1464 1430 34.14% 26.48% 39.38%-0.12 +0.3 50
2023-09-29 Drogheda United W 3-141.7 1439 1324 57.72% 24.44% 17.84%+1.08 +10.2 49
2023-09-29 @ Dundalk L 1-341.7 1324 1439 17.84% 24.44% 57.72%-1.08 -10.2 39
2023-09-29 Shelbourne W 1-047.2 1598 1464 59.66% 23.97% 16.37%+1.20 +5.8 62
2023-09-29 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-147.2 1464 1598 16.37% 23.97% 59.66%-1.20 -5.8 50
2023-09-29 Sligo Rovers W 3-141.3 1429 1314 57.78% 24.42% 17.80%+1.08 +10.2 52
2023-09-29 @ Bohemian L 1-341.3 1314 1429 17.80% 24.42% 57.78%-1.08 -10.2 36
2023-09-29 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-137.2 1242 1481 16.43% 23.99% 59.58%-1.20 -5.8 27
2023-09-29 @ Cork City W 1-037.2 1481 1242 59.58% 23.99% 16.43%+1.20 +5.8 56
2023-09-29 UC Dublin W 6-025.3 1510 1083 81.32% 14.35% 4.33%+3.10 +7.0 57
2023-09-29 @ Derry City L 0-625.3 1083 1510 4.33% 14.35% 81.32%-3.10 -7.0 11
2023-10-06 Derry City D 0-052.6 1314 1517 19.23% 24.81% 55.96%-0.97 +2.7 40
2023-10-06 @ Drogheda United D 0-052.6 1517 1314 55.96% 24.81% 19.23%+0.97 -2.7 58
2023-10-06 Dundalk W 1-046.0 1458 1449 45.23% 26.22% 28.55%+0.40 +9.3 53
2023-10-06 @ Shelbourne L 0-146.0 1449 1458 28.55% 26.22% 45.23%-0.40 -9.4 49
2023-10-12 Bohemian L 1-238.1 1076 1440 9.33% 20.18% 70.49%-2.01 -3.0 11
2023-10-12 @ UC Dublin W 2-138.1 1440 1076 70.49% 20.18% 9.33%+2.01 +3.0 55
2023-10-20 Dundalk L 0-238.2 1304 1440 25.91% 25.97% 48.13%-0.54 -16.3 36
2023-10-20 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-038.2 1440 1304 48.13% 25.97% 25.91%+0.54 +16.3 52
2023-10-20 Shelbourne D 0-057.3 1515 1468 50.07% 25.75% 24.18%+0.64 -1.8 59
2023-10-20 @ Derry City D 0-057.3 1468 1515 24.18% 25.75% 50.07%-0.64 +1.8 54
2023-10-20 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-246.8 1443 1487 37.98% 26.50% 35.52%+0.06 -21.9 55
2023-10-20 @ Bohemian W 2-046.8 1487 1443 35.52% 26.50% 37.98%-0.06 +21.9 59
2023-10-22 Cork City L 0-234.8 1072 1237 22.91% 25.56% 51.53%-0.72 -14.7 11
2023-10-22 @ UC Dublin W 2-034.8 1237 1072 51.53% 25.56% 22.91%+0.72 +14.7 30
2023-10-22 Drogheda United W 5-033.7 1604 1317 72.56% 19.21% 8.23%+2.19 +12.4 65
2023-10-22 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-533.7 1317 1604 8.23% 19.21% 72.56%-2.19 -12.4 40
2023-10-23 Sligo Rovers W 1-036.2 1508 1287 67.51% 21.43% 11.06%+1.77 +3.9 62
2023-10-23 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-136.2 1287 1508 11.06% 21.43% 67.51%-1.77 -3.9 36
2023-10-27 Bohemian W 2-041.2 1456 1421 48.67% 25.91% 25.42%+0.57 +16.1 55
2023-10-27 @ Dundalk L 0-241.2 1421 1456 25.42% 25.91% 48.67%-0.57 -16.1 55
2023-10-27 Derry City L 0-137.2 1251 1513 14.80% 23.38% 61.82%-1.35 -5.2 30
2023-10-27 @ Cork City W 1-037.2 1513 1251 61.82% 23.38% 14.80%+1.35 +5.2 62
2023-10-27 Shamrock Rovers L 0-251.4 1512 1616 29.80% 26.30% 43.90%-0.33 -18.2 62
2023-10-27 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-051.4 1616 1512 43.90% 26.30% 29.80%+0.33 +18.2 68
2023-10-27 UC Dublin W 3-240.3 1469 1058 80.44% 14.89% 4.66%+2.99 +1.3 57
2023-10-27 @ Shelbourne L 2-340.3 1058 1469 4.66% 14.89% 80.44%-2.99 -1.3 11
2023-10-28 Drogheda United D 0-048.6 1283 1304 41.22% 26.43% 32.35%+0.20 -0.6 37
2023-10-28 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-048.6 1304 1283 32.35% 26.43% 41.22%-0.20 +0.6 41
2023-10-30 Shamrock Rovers D 0-055.7 1246 1634 8.37% 19.35% 72.28%-2.17 +4.9 31
2023-10-30 @ Cork City D 0-055.7 1634 1246 72.28% 19.35% 8.37%+2.17 -4.9 69
2023-11-03 Cork City W 4-030.9 1405 1251 61.56% 23.45% 14.99%+1.33 +19.0 58
2023-11-03 @ Bohemian L 0-430.9 1251 1405 14.99% 23.45% 61.56%-1.33 -19.0 31
2023-11-03 Dundalk L 1-530.1 1056 1472 7.39% 18.38% 74.23%-2.35 -7.4 11
2023-11-03 @ UC Dublin W 5-130.1 1472 1056 74.23% 18.38% 7.39%+2.35 +7.4 58
2023-11-03 Shelbourne L 2-447.4 1305 1471 22.75% 25.53% 51.72%-0.73 -11.3 41
2023-11-03 @ Drogheda United W 4-247.4 1471 1305 51.72% 25.53% 22.75%+0.73 +11.3 60
2023-11-03 Sligo Rovers W 4-243.7 1630 1283 76.58% 17.13% 6.29%+2.58 +3.0 72
2023-11-03 @ Shamrock Rovers L 2-443.7 1283 1630 6.29% 17.13% 76.58%-2.58 -3.0 37
2023-11-03 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-044.7 1518 1494 47.19% 26.06% 26.75%+0.49 +24.3 65
2023-11-03 @ Derry City L 0-344.7 1494 1518 26.75% 26.06% 47.19%-0.49 -24.3 62

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2023-10-24 Cobh Ramblers L 0-143.6 1226 1246 41.46% 26.42% 32.12%+0.22 -12.4 0-1
2023-10-24 @ Wexford W 1-043.6 1246 1226 32.12% 26.42% 41.46%-0.22 +12.4 1-0
2023-10-24 Waterford D 1-154.2 1112 1395 13.39% 22.74% 63.86%-1.49 +3.4 0-0-1
2023-10-24 @ Athlone Town D 1-154.2 1395 1112 63.86% 22.74% 13.39%+1.49 -3.4 0-0-1
2023-10-28 Athlone Town W 3-135.0 1392 1115 71.81% 19.57% 8.62%+2.12 +4.8 1-0-1
2023-10-28 @ Waterford L 1-335.0 1115 1392 8.62% 19.57% 71.81%-2.12 -4.8 0-1-1
2023-10-28 Wexford D 1-153.2 1258 1214 49.69% 25.79% 24.51%+0.62 -1.6 1-0-1
2023-10-28 @ Cobh Ramblers D 1-153.2 1214 1258 24.51% 25.79% 49.69%-0.62 +1.6 0-1-1
2023-11-04 Cobh Ramblers W 2-142.0 1397 1256 60.29% 23.81% 15.91%+1.24 +5.3 2-0-1
2023-11-04 @ Waterford L 1-242.0 1256 1397 15.91% 23.81% 60.29%-1.24 -5.3 1-1-1
2023-11-10 Waterford L 1-244.3 1232 1402 22.34% 25.46% 52.20%-0.76 -7.2 0-1
2023-11-10 @ Cork City W 2-144.3 1402 1232 52.20% 25.46% 22.34%+0.76 +7.2 3-0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2023-05-19 5.97% Drogheda United 1263 2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1621 1
2 2023-05-26 10.52% @ Cork City 1264 1 Shamrock Rovers 1602 0
3 2023-04-07 12.27% Drogheda United 1305 1 @ Derry City 1503 0
4 2023-09-25 12.67% Drogheda United 1307 2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1498 1
5 2023-09-22 17.07% @ Sligo Rovers 1297 1 Derry City 1527 0
6 2023-06-09 19.78% @ Drogheda United 1275 2 St Patrick's Athletic 1472 1
7 2023-06-30 20.57% @ Dundalk 1427 2 Shamrock Rovers 1616 0
8 2023-06-23 20.82% @ UC Dublin 1145 2 Sligo Rovers 1331 1
9 2023-05-27 21.21% @ Sligo Rovers 1342 1 Derry City 1524 0
10 2023-04-10 22.79% Bohemian 1425 1 @ Derry City 1485 0
11 2023-06-05 23.59% @ Cork City 1297 2 Bohemian 1454 1
12 2023-03-03 24.05% Derry City 1463 2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1511 1
13 2023-04-07 24.09% Sligo Rovers 1386 2 @ Dundalk 1434 1
14 2023-03-17 26.79% Shelbourne 1340 2 @ Cork City 1364 0
15 2023-06-30 26.98% @ Sligo Rovers 1317 3 Bohemian 1444 1
16 2023-04-14 27.34% @ UC Dublin 1196 1 Cork City 1320 0
17 2023-05-01 27.62% Sligo Rovers 1391 1 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1407 0
18 2023-05-13 28.08% Shelbourne 1379 3 @ Sligo Rovers 1392 0
19 2023-04-14 28.17% St Patrick's Athletic 1427 3 @ Bohemian 1439 2
20 2023-06-02 28.42% Cork City 1283 1 @ Drogheda United 1293 0
21 2023-04-10 28.58% @ Cork City 1307 1 Dundalk 1421 0
22 2023-05-19 29.46% St Patrick's Athletic 1415 1 @ Shelbourne 1416 0
23 2023-05-19 29.79% @ Cork City 1251 1 Sligo Rovers 1355 0
24 2023-03-03 30.21% @ Drogheda United 1300 1 Sligo Rovers 1401 0
25 2023-03-31 31.18% Shamrock Rovers 1492 4 @ Dundalk 1480 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-03-03 46.12 @ Dundalk 5 1418 40.58% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1444 32.97% 26.45%
2 2023-03-31 45.29 Shamrock Rovers 4 1492 31.18% @ Dundalk 0 1480 42.44% 26.38%
3 2023-05-13 36.83 Shelbourne 3 1379 28.08% @ Sligo Rovers 0 1392 45.75% 26.18%
4 2023-09-01 34.12 @ Cork City 3 1237 32.00% Sligo Rovers 0 1323 41.58% 26.42%
5 2023-04-07 29.50 @ St Patrick's Athletic 4 1381 49.80% Cork City 0 1336 24.42% 25.78%
6 2023-06-30 29.34 @ Dundalk 2 1427 20.57% Shamrock Rovers 0 1616 54.31% 25.12%
7 2023-03-03 28.61 @ Cork City 4 1333 50.80% UC Dublin 0 1280 23.54% 25.66%
8 2023-06-05 26.82 @ St Patrick's Athletic 4 1445 35.56% Derry City 1 1506 37.94% 26.50%
9 2023-03-17 26.00 Shelbourne 2 1340 26.79% @ Cork City 0 1364 47.15% 26.06%
10 2023-11-03 24.33 @ Derry City 3 1518 47.19% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1494 26.75% 26.06%
11 2023-09-25 23.89 @ Dundalk 5 1415 61.11% Cork City 0 1266 15.31% 23.58%
12 2023-03-10 23.64 Bohemian 2 1404 31.67% @ St Patrick's Athletic 0 1388 41.93% 26.40%
13 2023-05-01 23.25 @ Bohemian 5 1442 61.70% Cork City 0 1287 14.89% 23.41%
14 2023-07-15 23.06 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1334 49.08% Cork City 0 1295 25.05% 25.87%
15 2023-06-30 22.44 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1317 26.98% Bohemian 1 1444 46.94% 26.08%
16 2023-10-20 21.91 St Patrick's Athletic 2 1487 35.52% @ Bohemian 0 1443 37.98% 26.50%
17 2023-03-06 21.89 Derry City 4 1476 58.29% @ UC Dublin 0 1251 17.40% 24.30%
18 2023-05-15 21.78 @ Derry City 3 1497 50.97% Dundalk 0 1442 23.39% 25.63%
19 2023-05-19 19.54 Drogheda United 2 1263 5.97% @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1621 77.29% 16.74%
20 2023-05-01 19.51 Shamrock Rovers 2 1580 41.05% @ Derry City 0 1497 32.51% 26.44%
21 2023-07-07 19.01 Shelbourne 4 1403 61.54% @ UC Dublin 0 1144 15.00% 23.46%
22 2023-05-26 19.00 @ Cork City 1 1264 10.52% Shamrock Rovers 0 1602 68.41% 21.07%
23 2023-11-03 18.99 @ Bohemian 4 1405 61.56% Cork City 0 1251 14.99% 23.45%
24 2023-04-07 18.88 Shamrock Rovers 2 1537 42.50% @ Bohemian 0 1443 31.13% 26.38%
25 2023-09-01 18.63 Derry City 3 1497 36.44% @ Dundalk 1 1447 37.05% 26.51%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-06-23 70.8 @ Bohemian 2 1442 22.43% Shamrock Rovers 2 1611 52.09% 25.48%
2 2023-03-06 69.7 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1497 59.85% Cork City 4 1361 16.23% 23.92%
3 2023-04-14 67.2 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1561 65.35% Shelbourne 2 1366 12.42% 22.24%
4 2023-09-15 67.1 @ Derry City 1 1526 33.23% Shamrock Rovers 1 1604 40.31% 26.46%
5 2023-08-25 66.4 @ Bohemian 2 1446 36.99% Derry City 2 1497 36.50% 26.51%
6 2023-03-17 64.4 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1494 59.17% St Patrick's Athletic 2 1365 16.74% 24.09%
7 2023-04-16 64.2 @ Dundalk 2 1407 35.30% Derry City 2 1470 38.20% 26.50%
8 2023-05-19 63.8 @ Dundalk 2 1421 41.12% Bohemian 2 1442 32.45% 26.43%
9 2023-08-11 63.6 @ Shelbourne 1 1438 24.74% Shamrock Rovers 1 1585 49.43% 25.83%
10 2023-05-19 62.8 Drogheda United 2 1263 5.97% @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1621 77.29% 16.74%
11 2023-03-11 61.5 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1397 48.49% Cork City 2 1363 25.58% 25.93%
12 2023-04-14 60.8 St Patrick's Athletic 3 1427 28.17% @ Bohemian 2 1439 45.64% 26.19%
13 2023-03-03 60.5 Derry City 2 1463 24.05% @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1511 50.21% 25.73%
14 2023-07-28 59.9 @ Drogheda United 2 1299 36.02% Sligo Rovers 2 1357 37.47% 26.51%
15 2023-02-18 59.3 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1391 27.35% Shamrock Rovers 1 1515 46.54% 26.11%
16 2023-03-17 59.3 @ Derry City 1 1497 56.22% Sligo Rovers 1 1396 19.02% 24.76%
17 2023-06-26 58.8 @ Dundalk 1 1428 38.94% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1465 34.57% 26.49%
18 2023-09-25 58.8 @ Bohemian 1 1430 39.38% Shelbourne 1 1464 34.14% 26.48%
19 2023-09-25 58.7 Drogheda United 2 1307 12.67% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1498 64.95% 22.38%
20 2023-02-17 58.6 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1438 42.44% Derry City 1 1450 31.18% 26.38%
21 2023-08-06 58.6 @ Dundalk 1 1447 45.45% Shelbourne 1 1437 28.35% 26.20%
22 2023-06-30 58.4 @ Shelbourne 1 1402 33.22% Derry City 1 1480 40.32% 26.46%
23 2023-07-07 57.8 @ Bohemian 3 1421 39.15% Dundalk 2 1457 34.37% 26.49%
24 2023-07-14 57.6 @ Shelbourne 1 1422 42.85% Bohemian 1 1431 30.79% 26.36%
25 2023-10-20 57.3 @ Derry City 0 1515 50.07% Shelbourne 0 1468 24.18% 25.75%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-09-29 25.3 @ Derry City 6 1510 81.32% UC Dublin 0 1083 4.33% 14.35%
2 2023-06-09 25.9 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1607 82.87% UC Dublin 0 1150 3.76% 13.37%
3 2023-09-06 27.0 Derry City 5 1516 74.52% @ UC Dublin 0 1095 7.25% 18.23%
4 2023-04-10 28.1 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1556 77.04% UC Dublin 0 1202 6.08% 16.88%
5 2023-06-30 28.3 @ St Patrick's Athletic 7 1465 73.82% UC Dublin 0 1160 7.59% 18.59%
6 2023-07-28 28.3 @ Bohemian 2 1432 74.77% UC Dublin 0 1113 7.13% 18.10%
7 2023-09-01 29.3 @ Drogheda United 3 1293 64.44% UC Dublin 0 1108 13.01% 22.55%
8 2023-05-12 29.6 Shamrock Rovers 3 1611 74.68% @ UC Dublin 0 1188 7.17% 18.15%
9 2023-11-03 30.1 Dundalk 5 1472 74.23% @ UC Dublin 1 1056 7.39% 18.38%
10 2023-07-07 30.2 Shelbourne 4 1403 61.54% @ UC Dublin 0 1144 15.00% 23.46%
11 2023-09-16 30.4 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1289 66.13% UC Dublin 0 1085 11.92% 21.96%
12 2023-03-31 30.8 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1367 61.43% UC Dublin 0 1214 15.08% 23.49%
13 2023-11-03 30.9 @ Bohemian 4 1405 61.56% Cork City 0 1251 14.99% 23.45%
14 2023-09-25 31.7 @ Dundalk 5 1415 61.11% Cork City 0 1266 15.31% 23.58%
15 2023-08-13 32.0 @ Derry City 3 1485 65.24% Drogheda United 0 1291 12.49% 22.28%
16 2023-05-01 32.1 @ Bohemian 5 1442 61.70% Cork City 0 1287 14.89% 23.41%
17 2023-08-25 32.3 St Patrick's Athletic 1 1493 71.79% @ UC Dublin 0 1111 8.63% 19.58%
18 2023-05-12 32.6 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1402 58.46% Drogheda United 0 1280 17.27% 24.26%
19 2023-05-19 32.6 @ Derry City 4 1519 75.98% UC Dublin 1 1181 6.56% 17.46%
20 2023-03-06 32.8 Derry City 4 1476 58.29% @ UC Dublin 0 1251 17.40% 24.30%
21 2023-06-05 33.4 @ Dundalk 4 1402 69.38% UC Dublin 1 1158 9.96% 20.66%
22 2023-10-22 33.7 @ Shamrock Rovers 5 1604 72.56% Drogheda United 0 1317 8.23% 19.21%
23 2023-03-03 33.8 @ Cork City 4 1333 50.80% UC Dublin 0 1280 23.54% 25.66%
24 2023-05-01 34.2 Dundalk 2 1413 56.48% @ UC Dublin 0 1205 18.81% 24.70%
25 2023-06-23 34.2 @ Derry City 2 1477 63.62% Cork City 0 1301 13.55% 22.82%