2024 League of Ireland Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Shelbourne

63 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

St Patrick's Athletic

10.35 points above expected

59 points · 48.65 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Dundalk

9.78 points below expected

26 points · 35.78 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Shelbourne	36	17	12	7	63	40	27	+13	57.99	+5.01
2	Shamrock Rovers	36	17	10	9	61	50	35	+15	62.75	-1.75
3	St Patrick's Athletic	36	17	8	11	59	51	37	+14	48.65	+10.35
4	Derry City	36	14	13	9	55	48	31	+17	62.22	-7.22
5	Galway United	36	13	13	10	52	33	29	+4	52.33	-0.33
6	Sligo Rovers	36	13	10	13	49	40	51	-11	39.18	+9.82
7	Waterford	36	13	6	17	45	43	47	-4	48.09	-3.09
8	Bohemian	36	10	12	14	42	39	43	-4	44.29	-2.29
9	Drogheda United	36	7	13	16	34	41	58	-17	34.53	-0.53
10	Dundalk	36	5	11	20	26	23	50	-27	35.78	-9.78

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	St Patrick's Athletic	59	48.65	+10.35
2	Sligo Rovers	49	39.18	+9.82
3	Shelbourne	63	57.99	+5.01
4	Galway United	52	52.33	-0.33
5	Drogheda United	34	34.53	-0.53

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Dundalk	26	35.78	-9.78
2	Derry City	55	62.22	-7.22
3	Waterford	45	48.09	-3.09
4	Bohemian	42	44.29	-2.29
5	Shamrock Rovers	61	62.75	-1.75

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	St Patrick's Athletic	9	Sep 1 – Nov 1	1 in 4,451
2	Sligo Rovers	4	Jun 28 – Jul 27	1 in 394
3	Shelbourne	6	Feb 23 – Mar 29	1 in 248
4	Waterford	3	May 3 – May 10	1 in 45
5	Bohemian	3	Apr 12 – Apr 19	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Dundalk	5	Aug 30 – Sep 27	1 in 50
2	Waterford	3	Jul 12 – Aug 2	1 in 38
3	St Patrick's Athletic	3	Feb 23 – Mar 4	1 in 23
4	Shamrock Rovers	2	Jun 13 – Jun 28	1 in 21
5	Derry City	2	Mar 15 – Mar 29	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	St Patrick's Athletic	11	Aug 4 – Nov 1	1 in 60
2	Galway United	9	Apr 12 – May 24	1 in 34
3	Shelbourne	9	Feb 16 – Apr 5	1 in 19
4	Drogheda United	4	Mar 29 – Apr 12	1 in 13
5	Sligo Rovers	4	Mar 4 – Mar 29	1 in 8

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Bohemian	10	May 24 – Aug 23	1 in 61
2	Derry City	5	Aug 30 – Oct 14	1 in 37
3	Shelbourne	5	Apr 1 – Apr 22	1 in 17
4	Dundalk	12	Jul 26 – Nov 1	1 in 15
5	Galway United	4	Oct 4 – Nov 1	1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Shelbourne	1434	63	-1	9	7.7	+1.3
Shamrock Rovers	1443	61	+0	12	8.9	+3.1
St Patrick's Athletic	1475	59	+52	15	7.9	+7.1
Derry City	1435	55	-17	5	8.9	-3.9
Galway United	1391	52	-4	6	8.0	-2.0
Sligo Rovers	1254	49	-24	3	4.4	-1.4
Waterford	1283	45	-24	2	5.6	-3.6
Bohemian	1327	42	+10	6	5.6	+0.4
Drogheda United	1292	34	-2	5	5.8	-0.8
Dundalk	1199	26	-28	2	4.1	-2.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BOH	DC	DU	DUN	GU	SR	SHE	SR	SPA	WAT
Bohemian	—	1-1-2 3.63	1-1-2 6.70	2-1-1 6.58	1-2-1 4.55	1-1-2 3.54	1-2-1 3.84	2-1-1 5.99	1-2-1 4.86	0-1-3 5.44
Derry City	2-1-1 7.20	—	2-1-1 7.97	2-2-0 8.07	1-1-2 6.42	0-2-2 5.24	0-3-1 5.55	0-3-1 7.83	3-0-1 6.10	4-0-0 6.65
Drogheda United	2-1-1 4.08	1-1-2 2.97	—	1-2-1 5.27	0-2-2 3.54	0-1-3 3.03	0-3-1 2.97	2-0-2 4.21	0-2-2 4.09	1-1-2 4.09
Dundalk	1-1-2 4.19	0-2-2 2.86	1-2-1 5.51	—	0-1-3 4.02	1-1-2 3.10	0-1-3 3.23	1-1-2 5.37	1-1-2 4.03	0-1-3 4.21
Galway United	1-2-1 6.21	2-1-1 4.34	2-2-0 7.30	3-1-0 6.82	—	0-2-2 4.57	2-0-2 4.75	0-3-1 6.72	0-1-3 5.78	3-1-0 5.99
Shamrock Rovers	2-1-1 7.30	2-2-0 5.51	3-1-0 7.90	2-1-1 7.79	2-2-0 6.20	—	1-1-2 6.07	2-1-1 7.35	0-1-3 6.90	3-0-1 7.18
Shelbourne	1-2-1 6.98	1-3-0 5.20	1-3-0 7.93	3-1-0 7.65	2-0-2 5.99	2-1-1 4.67	—	1-1-2 7.45	3-0-1 6.23	3-1-0 6.35
Sligo Rovers	1-1-2 4.76	1-3-0 3.07	2-0-2 6.56	2-1-1 5.41	1-3-0 4.08	1-1-2 3.48	2-1-1 3.42	—	1-0-3 4.42	2-0-2 4.69
St Patrick's Athletic	1-2-1 5.90	1-0-3 4.65	2-2-0 6.69	2-1-1 6.75	3-1-0 4.98	3-1-0 3.89	1-0-3 4.52	3-0-1 6.35	—	1-1-2 5.53
Waterford	3-1-0 5.30	0-0-4 4.12	2-1-1 6.71	3-1-0 6.57	0-1-3 4.76	1-0-3 3.67	0-1-3 4.43	2-0-2 6.07	2-1-1 5.23	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.49	+10.1
Allowed	0.63	-9.0
Differential	0.88	+7.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.22%	10.56%	6.11%	2.22%	0.56%	0.56%	32.22%
1	10.56%	12.78%	8.89%	2.50%	1.39%	0.28%	36.39%
2	6.11%	8.89%	5.00%	1.39%	0.56%	—	21.94%
3	2.22%	2.50%	1.39%	—	—	—	6.11%
4	0.56%	1.39%	0.56%	—	—	—	2.50%
5+	0.56%	0.28%	—	—	—	—	0.83%
Total	32.22%	36.39%	21.94%	6.11%	2.50%	0.83%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.13	1.13	+0.00
SD	1.09	1.09	1.58
CV	0.96	0.96	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	13.89%	8.33%	—	—	—	25.00%
1	8.33%	22.22%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	44.44%
2	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	44.44%	25.00%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.19	-0.11
SD	0.81	0.89	1.26
CV	0.74	0.74	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	13.89%	—	—	—	—	27.78%
1	8.33%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
2	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	25.00%
3	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	36.11%	44.44%	16.67%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.33	0.86	+0.47
SD	1.22	0.80	1.40
CV	0.91	0.93	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	19.44%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	36.11%
1	2.78%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	30.56%
2	2.78%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	27.78%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	27.78%	27.78%	19.44%	8.33%	13.89%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.61	-0.47
SD	1.33	1.48	1.96
CV	1.17	0.92	—
Max	7	5	+7
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	2.78%	52.78%
1	5.56%	13.89%	13.89%	—	5.56%	—	38.89%
2	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
3	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	30.56%	36.11%	—	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.64	1.39	-0.75
SD	0.90	1.20	1.40
CV	1.41	0.87	—
Max	4	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	8.33%	11.11%	—	—	—	36.11%
1	16.67%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	—	41.67%
2	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	44.44%	30.56%	25.00%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.92	0.81	+0.11
SD	0.87	0.82	1.21
CV	0.95	1.02	—
Max	3	2	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
1	16.67%	16.67%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	47.22%
2	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.11%	36.11%	22.22%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	0.97	+0.42
SD	1.05	0.91	1.57
CV	0.76	0.94	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	22.22%
1	22.22%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	—	47.22%
2	8.33%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	44.44%	38.89%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	0.75	+0.36
SD	0.78	0.81	0.99
CV	0.71	1.07	—
Max	3	3	+2
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	8.33%	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	41.67%
1	5.56%	5.56%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	16.67%
2	11.11%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	36.11%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	33.33%	30.56%	13.89%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.42	-0.31
SD	1.17	1.56	2.18
CV	1.05	1.10	—
Max	5	7	+5
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	13.89%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
1	11.11%	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	30.56%
2	2.78%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
3	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	38.89%	19.44%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	1.03	+0.39
SD	1.13	0.94	1.38
CV	0.80	0.92	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	13.89%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	38.89%
1	8.33%	8.33%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
2	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
3	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	41.67%	27.78%	11.11%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.19	1.31	-0.11
SD	1.35	0.92	1.70
CV	1.13	0.70	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
St Patrick's Athletic	1475	59	48.65	+10.35	94.0%	32	38	43	48	54	60	67
Shamrock Rovers	1443	61	62.75	-1.75	44.0%	45	51	57	63	68	75	90
Derry City	1435	55	62.22	-7.22	19.0%	40	48	57	63	68	73	80
Shelbourne	1434	63	57.99	+5.01	78.0%	36	47	52	58	63	71	80
Galway United	1391	52	52.33	-0.33	51.0%	33	41	49	52	56	63	72
Bohemian	1327	42	44.29	-2.29	43.0%	27	30	38	44	50	57	61
Drogheda United	1292	34	34.53	-0.53	46.0%	20	23	30	35	39	44	48
Waterford	1283	45	48.09	-3.09	35.0%	29	37	43	48	53	58	66
Sligo Rovers	1254	49	39.18	+9.82	95.0%	21	25	35	40	44	49	58
Dundalk	1199	26	35.78	-9.78	8.0%	21	25	31	36	40	50	53

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+13.33%

Clear Edge

41.67%30.00%28.33%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 46.60 Elo pts.

265 Elo

0.004 goals per Elo point

0800

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.28 goals

Neutral

-2+0.18+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.4

Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

21%

Shelbourne, 3rd of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.06/gm

Photo Finish

00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.84 * Some Luck: 5.84 to 8.75 * Lucky: 8.75 to 11.67 * Wild Swing: 11.67 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.05 * Close: 1.05 to 1.57 * Off: 1.57 to 2.1 * Way Off: 2.1 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.28 points

Some Luck

07.3018

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.40

01.313

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

95.00%

Sligo Rovers

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

8.00%

Dundalk

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.

Gini Index

0.13

Balanced

00.160.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 94.65

1.57

Coin-Flip Parity

11.71.952.22.75

Interquartile Edge

70%

Slight Edge

50%68%76.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

83%

Even

50%86%100%

Close Games

Expected

72%

Very Frequent

0%66%100%

Blowouts

Expected

10%

Rare

0%11%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.64

Hard to Predict

00.632

Matchup Imbalance

0.33

Very Even

00.370.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.73

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.58

Strong Carryover

00.360.560.691

Upset Rate

Expected

26%

Upset-Prone

0%23%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

23%

Very Shaky

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.

Probability calibration

0.22

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.83

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.066

Well Within Noise

00.1310.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Shelbourne	21.00%	22.00%	16.00%	17.00%	13.00%	6.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—
Shamrock Rovers	33.00%	36.00%	13.00%	9.00%	7.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
St Patrick's Athletic	4.00%	3.00%	17.00%	13.00%	16.00%	16.00%	15.00%	10.00%	5.00%	1.00%
Derry City	37.00%	23.00%	24.00%	6.00%	5.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
Galway United	3.00%	12.00%	13.00%	27.00%	18.00%	14.00%	8.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—
Sligo Rovers	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	10.00%	18.00%	31.00%	18.00%	16.00%
Waterford	2.00%	1.00%	8.00%	14.00%	21.00%	27.00%	16.00%	6.00%	3.00%	2.00%
Bohemian	—	3.00%	8.00%	10.00%	13.00%	14.00%	16.00%	12.00%	16.00%	8.00%
Drogheda United	—	—	—	—	2.00%	4.00%	14.00%	15.00%	28.00%	37.00%
Dundalk	—	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	5.00%	8.00%	20.00%	28.00%	36.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Lost relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Derry City	100%	—	—
Shamrock Rovers	100%	—	—
Galway United	99.00%	1.00%	—
Shelbourne	99.00%	1.00%	—
Waterford	95.00%	3.00%	2.00%
St Patrick's Athletic	94.00%	5.00%	1.00%
Bohemian	76.00%	16.00%	8.00%
Sligo Rovers	66.00%	18.00%	16.00%
Dundalk	36.00%	28.00%	36.00%
Drogheda United	—	100%	—

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2024-02-16	Drogheda United	W 2-1	42.7	1406	1269	57.35%	27.30%	15.35%	+0.69	+5.0	3
2024-02-16	@ Derry City	L 1-2	42.7	1269	1406	15.35%	27.30%	57.35%	-0.69	-5.0	0
2024-02-16	Dundalk	D 1-1	56.5	1450	1367	51.21%	29.46%	19.34%	+0.49	-1.9	1
2024-02-16	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	56.5	1367	1450	19.34%	29.46%	51.21%	-0.49	+1.9	1
2024-02-16	Shelbourne	D 1-1	53.6	1328	1370	34.79%	31.81%	33.40%	+0.02	-0.1	1
2024-02-16	@ Waterford	D 1-1	53.6	1370	1328	33.40%	31.81%	34.79%	-0.02	+0.1	1
2024-02-16	Sligo Rovers	D 2-2	59.4	1337	1263	50.05%	29.78%	20.17%	+0.45	-1.3	1
2024-02-16	@ Bohemian	D 2-2	59.4	1263	1337	20.17%	29.78%	50.05%	-0.45	+1.3	1
2024-02-16	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	47.0	1384	1360	43.86%	31.09%	25.05%	+0.27	-12.4	0
2024-02-16	@ Galway United	W 1-0	47.0	1360	1384	25.05%	31.09%	43.86%	-0.27	+12.4	3
2024-02-23	Bohemian	L 0-1	46.8	1372	1335	45.55%	30.80%	23.65%	+0.32	-12.8	3
2024-02-23	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 1-0	46.8	1335	1372	23.65%	30.80%	45.55%	-0.32	+12.8	4
2024-02-23	Galway United	L 0-2	42.5	1369	1372	40.25%	31.53%	28.22%	+0.17	-21.9	1
2024-02-23	@ Dundalk	W 2-0	42.5	1372	1369	28.22%	31.53%	40.25%	-0.17	+21.9	3
2024-02-23	Shamrock Rovers	W 2-1	53.4	1370	1448	29.81%	31.67%	38.53%	-0.12	+10.6	4
2024-02-23	@ Shelbourne	L 1-2	53.4	1448	1370	38.53%	31.67%	29.81%	+0.12	-10.6	1
2024-02-23	Waterford	L 1-4	41.8	1264	1328	31.70%	31.77%	36.53%	-0.06	-22.7	0
2024-02-23	@ Drogheda United	W 4-1	41.8	1328	1264	36.53%	31.77%	31.70%	+0.06	+22.7	4
2024-02-24	Derry City	D 0-0	48.3	1265	1411	22.01%	30.38%	47.61%	-0.38	+1.7	2
2024-02-24	@ Sligo Rovers	D 0-0	48.3	1411	1265	47.61%	30.38%	22.01%	+0.38	-1.7	4
2024-03-01	Shelbourne	L 0-1	40.2	1266	1380	25.42%	31.15%	43.43%	-0.25	-8.3	2
2024-03-01	@ Sligo Rovers	W 1-0	40.2	1380	1266	43.43%	31.15%	25.42%	+0.25	+8.4	7
2024-03-01	St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-1	47.2	1410	1359	47.21%	30.47%	22.33%	+0.37	+7.1	7
2024-03-01	@ Derry City	L 1-2	47.2	1359	1410	22.33%	30.47%	47.21%	-0.37	-7.1	3
2024-03-01	Waterford	W 2-1	47.0	1393	1351	46.29%	30.66%	23.05%	+0.34	+7.3	6
2024-03-01	@ Galway United	L 1-2	47.0	1351	1393	23.05%	30.66%	46.29%	-0.34	-7.3	4
2024-03-04	Bohemian	W 2-1	51.3	1242	1348	26.29%	31.29%	42.42%	-0.23	+11.4	3
2024-03-04	@ Drogheda United	L 1-2	51.3	1348	1242	42.42%	31.29%	26.29%	+0.23	-11.4	4
2024-03-04	Derry City	D 2-2	63.0	1437	1417	43.38%	31.16%	25.46%	+0.25	-0.8	2
2024-03-04	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 2-2	63.0	1417	1437	25.46%	31.16%	43.38%	-0.25	+0.8	8
2024-03-04	Galway United	W 1-0	43.6	1389	1401	38.99%	31.64%	29.37%	+0.13	+9.3	10
2024-03-04	@ Shelbourne	L 0-1	43.6	1401	1389	29.37%	31.64%	38.99%	-0.13	-9.3	6
2024-03-04	Sligo Rovers	L 0-5	43.4	1347	1258	51.91%	29.25%	18.84%	+0.51	-62.4	1
2024-03-04	@ Dundalk	W 5-0	43.4	1258	1347	18.84%	29.25%	51.91%	-0.51	+62.4	5
2024-03-04	St Patrick's Athletic	W 3-1	44.6	1343	1352	39.39%	31.61%	29.01%	+0.14	+15.0	7
2024-03-04	@ Waterford	L 1-3	44.6	1352	1343	29.01%	31.61%	39.39%	-0.14	-15.0	3
2024-03-08	Drogheda United	D 0-0	48.9	1391	1253	57.51%	27.23%	15.25%	+0.70	-2.9	7
2024-03-08	@ Galway United	D 0-0	48.9	1253	1391	15.25%	27.23%	57.51%	-0.70	+2.9	4
2024-03-08	Dundalk	W 1-0	38.8	1337	1284	47.57%	30.39%	22.04%	+0.38	+7.4	6
2024-03-08	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	38.8	1284	1337	22.04%	30.39%	47.57%	-0.38	-7.4	1
2024-03-08	Shelbourne	L 0-2	40.0	1337	1398	32.01%	31.78%	36.21%	-0.06	-18.6	4
2024-03-08	@ Bohemian	W 2-0	40.0	1398	1337	36.21%	31.78%	32.01%	+0.06	+18.6	13
2024-03-08	Waterford	W 3-0	35.6	1417	1358	48.33%	30.21%	21.45%	+0.40	+19.9	11
2024-03-08	@ Derry City	L 0-3	35.6	1358	1417	21.45%	30.21%	48.33%	-0.40	-19.9	7
2024-03-09	Shamrock Rovers	D 0-0	49.2	1320	1436	25.21%	31.11%	43.67%	-0.26	+1.2	6
2024-03-09	@ Sligo Rovers	D 0-0	49.2	1436	1320	43.67%	31.11%	25.21%	+0.26	-1.2	3
2024-03-15	Derry City	W 2-1	53.6	1318	1437	24.82%	31.04%	44.14%	-0.27	+11.7	7
2024-03-15	@ Bohemian	L 1-2	53.6	1437	1318	44.14%	31.04%	24.82%	+0.27	-11.7	11
2024-03-15	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	45.9	1388	1435	34.09%	31.81%	34.10%	+0.00	-10.3	7
2024-03-15	@ Galway United	W 1-0	45.9	1435	1388	34.10%	31.81%	34.09%	+0.00	+10.3	6
2024-03-15	Shelbourne	L 1-2	49.9	1345	1417	30.60%	31.72%	37.68%	-0.10	-9.0	6
2024-03-15	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-1	49.9	1417	1345	37.68%	31.72%	30.60%	+0.10	+9.0	16
2024-03-15	Waterford	D 0-0	47.3	1277	1338	32.00%	31.78%	36.22%	-0.06	+0.2	2
2024-03-15	@ Dundalk	D 0-0	47.3	1338	1277	36.22%	31.78%	32.00%	+0.06	-0.3	8
2024-03-16	Drogheda United	W 3-1	40.6	1322	1256	49.15%	30.01%	20.83%	+0.42	+11.6	9
2024-03-16	@ Sligo Rovers	L 1-3	40.6	1256	1322	20.83%	30.01%	49.15%	-0.42	-11.6	4
2024-03-29	Bohemian	W 3-1	41.2	1445	1330	55.01%	28.21%	16.78%	+0.61	+9.5	9
2024-03-29	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 1-3	41.2	1330	1445	16.78%	28.21%	55.01%	-0.61	-9.5	7
2024-03-29	Dundalk	W 2-1	42.7	1426	1277	58.59%	26.78%	14.63%	+0.74	+4.8	19
2024-03-29	@ Shelbourne	L 1-2	42.7	1277	1426	14.63%	26.78%	58.59%	-0.74	-4.8	2
2024-03-29	Galway United	L 0-1	48.9	1426	1378	46.87%	30.54%	22.59%	+0.36	-13.0	11
2024-03-29	@ Derry City	W 1-0	48.9	1378	1426	22.59%	30.54%	46.87%	-0.36	+13.0	10
2024-03-29	Sligo Rovers	L 0-1	45.3	1338	1333	41.31%	31.42%	27.27%	+0.19	-11.8	8
2024-03-29	@ Waterford	W 1-0	45.3	1333	1338	27.27%	31.42%	41.31%	-0.19	+11.8	12
2024-03-29	St Patrick's Athletic	D 0-0	47.1	1244	1336	28.08%	31.52%	40.40%	-0.17	+0.8	5
2024-03-29	@ Drogheda United	D 0-0	47.1	1336	1244	40.40%	31.52%	28.08%	+0.17	-0.8	7
2024-04-01	Bohemian	L 0-2	44.4	1391	1320	49.80%	29.85%	20.35%	+0.44	-25.8	10
2024-04-01	@ Galway United	W 2-0	44.4	1320	1391	20.35%	29.85%	49.80%	-0.44	+25.8	10
2024-04-01	Derry City	D 0-0	51.1	1430	1413	43.05%	31.20%	25.75%	+0.24	-1.1	20
2024-04-01	@ Shelbourne	D 0-0	51.1	1413	1430	25.75%	31.20%	43.05%	-0.24	+1.1	12
2024-04-01	Drogheda United	D 0-0	47.0	1272	1245	44.30%	31.02%	24.69%	+0.28	-1.2	3
2024-04-01	@ Dundalk	D 0-0	47.0	1245	1272	24.69%	31.02%	44.30%	-0.28	+1.2	6
2024-04-01	Shamrock Rovers	L 1-2	48.0	1326	1455	23.82%	30.84%	45.34%	-0.31	-7.5	8
2024-04-01	@ Waterford	W 2-1	48.0	1455	1326	45.34%	30.84%	23.82%	+0.31	+7.5	12
2024-04-01	Sligo Rovers	W 3-0	36.9	1335	1345	39.26%	31.62%	29.12%	+0.14	+25.3	10
2024-04-01	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-3	36.9	1345	1335	29.12%	31.62%	39.26%	-0.14	-25.3	12
2024-04-05	Dundalk	W 4-1	36.1	1414	1271	57.95%	27.05%	15.00%	+0.71	+12.0	15
2024-04-05	@ Derry City	L 1-4	36.1	1271	1414	15.00%	27.05%	57.95%	-0.71	-12.0	3
2024-04-05	Shamrock Rovers	W 2-1	54.5	1360	1462	26.79%	31.36%	41.84%	-0.21	+11.3	13
2024-04-05	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-2	54.5	1462	1360	41.84%	31.36%	26.79%	+0.21	-11.3	12
2024-04-05	Shelbourne	D 2-2	60.2	1246	1429	18.75%	29.21%	52.04%	-0.52	+1.5	7
2024-04-05	@ Drogheda United	D 2-2	60.2	1429	1246	52.04%	29.21%	18.75%	+0.52	-1.5	21
2024-04-05	Waterford	L 0-1	46.0	1346	1319	44.27%	31.02%	24.71%	+0.28	-12.5	10
2024-04-05	@ Bohemian	W 1-0	46.0	1319	1346	24.71%	31.02%	44.27%	-0.28	+12.5	11
2024-04-12	Bohemian	L 1-2	55.7	1428	1334	52.57%	29.04%	18.39%	+0.53	-13.5	21
2024-04-12	@ Shelbourne	W 2-1	55.7	1334	1428	18.39%	29.04%	52.57%	-0.53	+13.5	13
2024-04-12	Derry City	D 2-2	60.1	1248	1426	19.18%	29.39%	51.43%	-0.50	+1.4	8
2024-04-12	@ Drogheda United	D 2-2	60.1	1426	1248	51.43%	29.39%	19.18%	+0.50	-1.4	16
2024-04-12	Galway United	D 0-0	48.1	1331	1365	35.88%	31.79%	32.33%	+0.05	-0.2	12
2024-04-12	@ Waterford	D 0-0	48.1	1365	1331	32.33%	31.79%	35.88%	-0.05	+0.2	11
2024-04-12	Sligo Rovers	W 3-0	33.0	1451	1320	56.75%	27.54%	15.71%	+0.67	+14.9	15
2024-04-12	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-3	33.0	1320	1451	15.71%	27.54%	56.75%	-0.67	-14.9	12
2024-04-12	St Patrick's Athletic	D 0-0	47.6	1259	1372	25.60%	31.18%	43.22%	-0.25	+1.1	4
2024-04-12	@ Dundalk	D 0-0	47.6	1372	1259	43.22%	31.18%	25.60%	+0.25	-1.1	14
2024-04-15	Dundalk	W 1-0	37.4	1347	1260	51.67%	29.32%	19.01%	+0.50	+6.5	16
2024-04-15	@ Bohemian	L 0-1	37.4	1260	1347	19.01%	29.32%	51.67%	-0.50	-6.5	4
2024-04-19	Drogheda United	W 1-0	36.8	1354	1249	53.72%	28.66%	17.62%	+0.57	+6.1	19
2024-04-19	@ Bohemian	L 0-1	36.8	1249	1354	17.62%	28.66%	53.72%	-0.57	-6.1	8
2024-04-19	Dundalk	D 1-1	52.8	1305	1254	47.33%	30.44%	22.23%	+0.37	-1.5	13
2024-04-19	@ Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	52.8	1254	1305	22.23%	30.44%	47.33%	-0.37	+1.5	5
2024-04-19	Shamrock Rovers	L 1-3	50.6	1424	1466	34.77%	31.81%	33.42%	+0.02	-17.1	16
2024-04-19	@ Derry City	W 3-1	50.6	1466	1424	33.42%	31.81%	34.77%	-0.02	+17.1	18
2024-04-19	Shelbourne	W 1-0	45.0	1366	1414	33.78%	31.81%	34.40%	-0.01	+10.4	14
2024-04-19	@ Galway United	L 0-1	45.0	1414	1366	34.40%	31.81%	33.78%	+0.01	-10.4	21
2024-04-19	Waterford	D 1-1	54.0	1370	1331	45.85%	30.74%	23.41%	+0.32	-1.3	15
2024-04-19	@ St Patrick's Athletic	D 1-1	54.0	1331	1370	23.41%	30.74%	45.85%	-0.32	+1.3	13
2024-04-22	Galway United	D 0-0	47.9	1303	1376	30.49%	31.71%	37.80%	-0.10	+0.4	14
2024-04-22	@ Sligo Rovers	D 0-0	47.9	1376	1303	37.80%	31.71%	30.49%	+0.10	-0.4	15
2024-04-22	Shamrock Rovers	D 0-0	52.3	1404	1483	29.64%	31.66%	38.70%	-0.12	+0.6	22
2024-04-22	@ Shelbourne	D 0-0	52.3	1483	1404	38.70%	31.66%	29.64%	+0.12	-0.6	19
2024-04-22	St Patrick's Athletic	W 3-1	44.0	1407	1369	45.67%	30.78%	23.56%	+0.32	+12.8	19
2024-04-22	@ Derry City	L 1-3	44.0	1369	1407	23.56%	30.78%	45.67%	-0.32	-12.8	15
2024-04-26	Bohemian	W 2-0	41.6	1255	1360	26.52%	31.32%	42.16%	-0.22	+22.7	8
2024-04-26	@ Dundalk	L 0-2	41.6	1360	1255	42.16%	31.32%	26.52%	+0.22	-22.7	19
2024-04-26	Derry City	L 0-2	39.2	1332	1420	28.57%	31.57%	39.87%	-0.15	-17.2	13
2024-04-26	@ Waterford	W 2-0	39.2	1420	1332	39.87%	31.57%	28.57%	+0.15	+17.2	22
2024-04-26	Galway United	D 1-1	57.8	1483	1376	54.03%	28.56%	17.41%	+0.58	-2.2	20
2024-04-26	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	57.8	1376	1483	17.41%	28.56%	54.03%	-0.58	+2.2	16
2024-04-26	Sligo Rovers	W 3-1	45.6	1243	1304	32.11%	31.78%	36.11%	-0.05	+17.5	11
2024-04-26	@ Drogheda United	L 1-3	45.6	1304	1243	36.11%	31.78%	32.11%	+0.05	-17.5	14
2024-04-26	St Patrick's Athletic	W 1-0	40.7	1405	1356	46.98%	30.52%	22.51%	+0.36	+7.6	25
2024-04-26	@ Shelbourne	L 0-1	40.7	1356	1405	22.51%	30.52%	46.98%	-0.36	-7.6	15
2024-04-29	Drogheda United	W 4-0	30.0	1480	1261	65.79%	23.25%	10.97%	+1.01	+13.1	23
2024-04-29	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-4	30.0	1261	1480	10.97%	23.25%	65.79%	-1.01	-13.1	11
2024-05-03	Derry City	D 0-0	50.2	1378	1437	32.29%	31.79%	35.92%	-0.05	+0.2	17
2024-05-03	@ Galway United	D 0-0	50.2	1437	1378	35.92%	31.79%	32.29%	+0.05	-0.2	23
2024-05-03	Drogheda United	W 1-0	36.8	1349	1248	53.36%	28.78%	17.85%	+0.56	+6.2	18
2024-05-03	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	36.8	1248	1349	17.85%	28.78%	53.36%	-0.56	-6.2	11
2024-05-03	Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	56.6	1337	1493	21.06%	30.09%	48.86%	-0.42	+1.6	20
2024-05-03	@ Bohemian	D 1-1	56.6	1493	1337	48.86%	30.09%	21.06%	+0.42	-1.6	24
2024-05-03	Shelbourne	D 0-0	48.3	1278	1412	23.23%	30.70%	46.06%	-0.33	+1.5	9
2024-05-03	@ Dundalk	D 0-0	48.3	1412	1278	46.06%	30.70%	23.23%	+0.33	-1.5	26
2024-05-03	Waterford	L 0-1	43.4	1286	1315	36.61%	31.77%	31.62%	+0.07	-10.8	14
2024-05-03	@ Sligo Rovers	W 1-0	43.4	1315	1286	31.62%	31.77%	36.61%	-0.07	+10.8	16
2024-05-06	Dundalk	W 2-1	48.2	1241	1279	35.33%	31.80%	32.87%	+0.03	+9.5	14
2024-05-06	@ Drogheda United	L 1-2	48.2	1279	1241	32.87%	31.80%	35.33%	-0.03	-9.5	9
2024-05-06	Galway United	L 0-1	44.1	1339	1378	35.13%	31.81%	33.07%	+0.03	-10.5	20
2024-05-06	@ Bohemian	W 1-0	44.1	1378	1339	33.07%	31.81%	35.13%	-0.03	+10.5	20
2024-05-06	Shelbourne	D 1-1	56.8	1437	1411	44.15%	31.04%	24.81%	+0.28	-1.1	24
2024-05-06	@ Derry City	D 1-1	56.8	1411	1437	24.81%	31.04%	44.15%	-0.28	+1.1	27
2024-05-06	St Patrick's Athletic	W 1-0	44.2	1275	1355	29.59%	31.65%	38.75%	-0.12	+11.3	17
2024-05-06	@ Sligo Rovers	L 0-1	44.2	1355	1275	38.75%	31.65%	29.59%	+0.12	-11.3	18
2024-05-06	Waterford	L 1-3	54.5	1492	1326	60.41%	25.96%	13.62%	+0.80	-26.0	24
2024-05-06	@ Shamrock Rovers	W 3-1	54.5	1326	1492	13.62%	25.96%	60.41%	-0.80	+26.0	19
2024-05-10	Bohemian	W 1-0	38.6	1436	1328	54.11%	28.53%	17.36%	+0.58	+6.0	27
2024-05-10	@ Derry City	L 0-1	38.6	1328	1436	17.36%	28.53%	54.11%	-0.58	-6.0	20
2024-05-10	Drogheda United	D 1-1	54.9	1412	1251	59.90%	26.20%	13.90%	+0.78	-2.8	28
2024-05-10	@ Shelbourne	D 1-1	54.9	1251	1412	13.90%	26.20%	59.90%	-0.78	+2.8	15
2024-05-10	Dundalk	W 4-1	37.6	1352	1270	51.14%	29.47%	19.38%	+0.49	+15.4	22
2024-05-10	@ Waterford	L 1-4	37.6	1270	1352	19.38%	29.47%	51.14%	-0.49	-15.4	9
2024-05-10	Sligo Rovers	D 0-0	48.7	1389	1287	53.43%	28.76%	17.81%	+0.56	-2.4	21
2024-05-10	@ Galway United	D 0-0	48.7	1287	1389	17.81%	28.76%	53.43%	-0.56	+2.4	18
2024-05-10	St Patrick's Athletic	D 2-2	62.8	1466	1344	55.73%	27.94%	16.33%	+0.64	-1.8	25
2024-05-10	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 2-2	62.8	1344	1466	16.33%	27.94%	55.73%	-0.64	+1.8	19
2024-05-17	Bohemian	L 0-3	38.4	1289	1322	36.05%	31.79%	32.16%	+0.05	-29.4	18
2024-05-17	@ Sligo Rovers	W 3-0	38.4	1322	1289	32.16%	31.79%	36.05%	-0.05	+29.4	23
2024-05-17	Derry City	L 0-1	43.0	1345	1442	27.48%	31.45%	41.07%	-0.19	-8.9	19
2024-05-17	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 1-0	43.0	1442	1345	41.07%	31.45%	27.48%	+0.19	+8.9	30
2024-05-17	Galway United	L 2-3	50.6	1254	1386	23.42%	30.75%	45.83%	-0.32	-7.0	15
2024-05-17	@ Drogheda United	W 3-2	50.6	1386	1254	45.83%	30.75%	23.42%	+0.32	+7.0	24
2024-05-17	Shamrock Rovers	W 1-0	49.1	1254	1464	16.74%	28.18%	55.08%	-0.62	+14.8	12
2024-05-17	@ Dundalk	L 0-1	49.1	1464	1254	55.08%	28.18%	16.74%	+0.62	-14.8	25
2024-05-17	Waterford	W 1-0	41.2	1409	1367	46.11%	30.69%	23.19%	+0.33	+7.8	31
2024-05-17	@ Shelbourne	L 0-1	41.2	1367	1409	23.19%	30.69%	46.11%	-0.33	-7.8	22
2024-05-20	Derry City	W 1-0	46.2	1449	1451	40.44%	31.51%	28.05%	+0.17	+9.0	28
2024-05-20	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	46.2	1451	1449	28.05%	31.51%	40.44%	-0.17	-9.0	30
2024-05-20	Shelbourne	L 1-2	49.4	1337	1417	29.52%	31.65%	38.83%	-0.13	-8.8	19
2024-05-20	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-1	49.4	1417	1337	38.83%	31.65%	29.52%	+0.13	+8.8	34
2024-05-23	Drogheda United	W 4-2	42.4	1360	1247	54.71%	28.32%	16.98%	+0.60	+8.6	25
2024-05-23	@ Waterford	L 2-4	42.4	1247	1360	16.98%	28.32%	54.71%	-0.60	-8.6	15
2024-05-24	Dundalk	W 2-0	33.2	1393	1269	55.91%	27.87%	16.22%	+0.64	+10.6	27
2024-05-24	@ Galway United	L 0-2	33.2	1269	1393	16.22%	27.87%	55.91%	-0.64	-10.6	12
2024-05-24	Shelbourne	L 0-2	47.1	1458	1425	44.99%	30.90%	24.11%	+0.30	-23.8	28
2024-05-24	@ Shamrock Rovers	W 2-0	47.1	1425	1458	24.11%	30.90%	44.99%	-0.30	+23.8	37
2024-05-24	Sligo Rovers	D 2-2	61.7	1442	1260	62.07%	25.17%	12.76%	+0.86	-2.3	31
2024-05-24	@ Derry City	D 2-2	61.7	1260	1442	12.76%	25.17%	62.07%	-0.86	+2.3	19
2024-05-24	St Patrick's Athletic	D 2-2	59.7	1351	1328	43.80%	31.09%	25.10%	+0.27	-0.8	24
2024-05-24	@ Bohemian	D 2-2	59.7	1328	1351	25.10%	31.09%	43.80%	-0.27	+0.8	20
2024-05-31	Bohemian	W 2-1	47.6	1368	1351	43.02%	31.21%	25.77%	+0.24	+7.9	28
2024-05-31	@ Waterford	L 1-2	47.6	1351	1368	25.77%	31.21%	43.02%	-0.24	-8.0	24
2024-05-31	Derry City	D 0-0	48.9	1259	1439	18.94%	29.29%	51.76%	-0.51	+2.2	13
2024-05-31	@ Dundalk	D 0-0	48.9	1439	1259	51.76%	29.29%	18.94%	+0.51	-2.2	32
2024-05-31	Galway United	W 2-1	51.6	1329	1404	30.16%	31.69%	38.15%	-0.11	+10.5	23
2024-05-31	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-2	51.6	1404	1329	38.15%	31.69%	30.16%	+0.11	-10.5	27
2024-05-31	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	34.0	1238	1434	17.72%	28.71%	53.57%	-0.57	-11.6	15
2024-05-31	@ Drogheda United	W 2-0	34.0	1434	1238	53.57%	28.71%	17.72%	+0.57	+11.6	31
2024-05-31	Sligo Rovers	L 1-2	56.6	1449	1262	62.60%	24.91%	12.49%	+0.88	-15.4	37
2024-05-31	@ Shelbourne	W 2-1	56.6	1262	1449	12.49%	24.91%	62.60%	-0.88	+15.4	22
2024-06-03	Drogheda United	W 2-1	44.6	1277	1227	47.32%	30.44%	22.24%	+0.37	+7.1	25
2024-06-03	@ Sligo Rovers	L 1-2	44.6	1227	1277	22.24%	30.44%	47.32%	-0.37	-7.1	15
2024-06-03	Dundalk	L 2-3	58.2	1339	1261	50.66%	29.61%	19.72%	+0.47	-12.4	23
2024-06-03	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 3-2	58.2	1261	1339	19.72%	29.61%	50.66%	-0.47	+12.4	16
2024-06-03	Waterford	W 3-0	36.4	1437	1376	48.56%	30.16%	21.28%	+0.41	+19.8	35
2024-06-03	@ Derry City	L 0-3	36.4	1376	1437	21.28%	30.16%	48.56%	-0.41	-19.8	28
2024-06-07	Dundalk	W 1-0	36.0	1434	1273	59.87%	26.21%	13.92%	+0.78	+4.8	40
2024-06-07	@ Shelbourne	L 0-1	36.0	1273	1434	13.92%	26.21%	59.87%	-0.78	-4.8	16
2024-06-07	Galway United	W 2-0	38.7	1457	1393	48.91%	30.07%	21.01%	+0.42	+13.5	38
2024-06-07	@ Derry City	L 0-2	38.7	1393	1457	21.01%	30.07%	48.91%	-0.42	-13.5	27
2024-06-07	Sligo Rovers	W 4-1	38.1	1356	1285	49.91%	29.82%	20.27%	+0.45	+16.0	31
2024-06-07	@ Waterford	L 1-4	38.1	1285	1356	20.27%	29.82%	49.91%	-0.45	-16.0	25
2024-06-07	St Patrick's Athletic	D 0-0	47.0	1220	1327	26.19%	31.28%	42.53%	-0.23	+1.0	16
2024-06-07	@ Drogheda United	D 0-0	47.0	1327	1220	42.53%	31.28%	26.19%	+0.23	-1.0	24
2024-06-13	Derry City	L 1-2	48.7	1343	1470	23.91%	30.86%	45.23%	-0.31	-7.5	24
2024-06-13	@ Bohemian	W 2-1	48.7	1470	1343	45.23%	30.86%	23.91%	+0.31	+7.5	41
2024-06-13	Drogheda United	W 3-0	30.0	1380	1221	59.73%	26.28%	14.00%	+0.78	+13.2	30
2024-06-13	@ Galway United	L 0-3	30.0	1221	1380	14.00%	26.28%	59.73%	-0.78	-13.2	16
2024-06-13	Shamrock Rovers	W 2-1	54.0	1326	1446	24.72%	31.02%	44.25%	-0.28	+11.8	27
2024-06-13	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-2	54.0	1446	1326	44.25%	31.02%	24.72%	+0.28	-11.8	31
2024-06-13	Shelbourne	L 0-1	44.8	1372	1439	31.36%	31.76%	36.88%	-0.07	-9.7	31
2024-06-13	@ Waterford	W 1-0	44.8	1439	1372	36.88%	31.76%	31.36%	+0.07	+9.7	43
2024-06-13	Sligo Rovers	W 1-0	40.3	1269	1269	40.63%	31.49%	27.87%	+0.18	+8.9	19
2024-06-13	@ Dundalk	L 0-1	40.3	1269	1269	27.87%	31.49%	40.63%	-0.18	-9.0	25
2024-06-28	Bohemian	D 0-0	47.9	1337	1335	40.95%	31.46%	27.59%	+0.18	-0.8	28
2024-06-28	@ St Patrick's Athletic	D 0-0	47.9	1335	1337	27.59%	31.46%	40.95%	-0.18	+0.8	25
2024-06-28	Drogheda United	W 5-1	31.1	1478	1207	70.48%	20.56%	8.96%	+1.20	+8.5	44
2024-06-28	@ Derry City	L 1-5	31.1	1207	1478	8.96%	20.56%	70.48%	-1.20	-8.5	16
2024-06-28	Galway United	W 2-0	38.8	1448	1393	47.88%	30.32%	21.80%	+0.39	+13.9	46
2024-06-28	@ Shelbourne	L 0-2	38.8	1393	1448	21.80%	30.32%	47.88%	-0.39	-13.9	30
2024-06-28	Shamrock Rovers	W 2-0	44.4	1260	1434	19.46%	29.51%	51.04%	-0.48	+26.3	28
2024-06-28	@ Sligo Rovers	L 0-2	44.4	1434	1260	51.04%	29.51%	19.46%	+0.48	-26.3	31
2024-06-28	Waterford	L 0-2	37.9	1277	1363	28.85%	31.59%	39.56%	-0.15	-17.3	19
2024-06-28	@ Dundalk	W 2-0	37.9	1363	1277	39.56%	31.59%	28.85%	+0.15	+17.3	34
2024-07-04	Bohemian	D 1-1	54.2	1379	1336	46.32%	30.65%	23.03%	+0.34	-1.3	31
2024-07-04	@ Galway United	D 1-1	54.2	1336	1379	23.03%	30.65%	46.32%	-0.34	+1.3	26
2024-07-04	Derry City	W 2-1	56.2	1286	1486	17.39%	28.54%	54.07%	-0.58	+13.8	31
2024-07-04	@ Sligo Rovers	L 1-2	56.2	1486	1286	54.07%	28.54%	17.39%	+0.58	-13.8	44
2024-07-04	Dundalk	W 1-0	35.9	1408	1260	58.51%	26.81%	14.67%	+0.73	+5.1	34
2024-07-04	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	35.9	1260	1408	14.67%	26.81%	58.51%	-0.73	-5.1	19
2024-07-04	Shelbourne	D 1-1	55.0	1199	1462	13.37%	25.74%	60.88%	-0.82	+3.0	17
2024-07-04	@ Drogheda United	D 1-1	55.0	1462	1199	60.88%	25.74%	13.37%	+0.82	-3.0	47
2024-07-04	St Patrick's Athletic	W 1-0	40.1	1380	1337	46.37%	30.64%	22.99%	+0.34	+7.7	37
2024-07-04	@ Waterford	L 0-1	40.1	1337	1380	22.99%	30.64%	46.37%	-0.34	-7.7	28
2024-07-12	Drogheda United	W 4-2	43.9	1255	1202	47.62%	30.38%	22.00%	+0.38	+10.9	22
2024-07-12	@ Dundalk	L 2-4	43.9	1202	1255	22.00%	30.38%	47.62%	-0.38	-10.9	17
2024-07-12	Sligo Rovers	L 0-2	42.6	1337	1300	45.63%	30.78%	23.59%	+0.32	-24.1	26
2024-07-12	@ Bohemian	W 2-0	42.6	1300	1337	23.59%	30.78%	45.63%	-0.32	+24.1	34
2024-07-12	Waterford	W 1-0	43.1	1378	1388	39.26%	31.62%	29.12%	+0.14	+9.2	34
2024-07-12	@ Galway United	L 0-1	43.1	1388	1378	29.12%	31.62%	39.26%	-0.14	-9.2	37
2024-07-26	Dundalk	D 1-1	52.9	1313	1266	46.87%	30.54%	22.59%	+0.36	-1.4	27
2024-07-26	@ Bohemian	D 1-1	52.9	1266	1313	22.59%	30.54%	46.87%	-0.36	+1.4	23
2024-07-26	Waterford	W 2-0	43.7	1191	1379	18.38%	29.04%	52.58%	-0.53	+27.0	20
2024-07-26	@ Drogheda United	L 0-2	43.7	1379	1191	52.58%	29.04%	18.38%	+0.53	-27.0	37
2024-07-27	Galway United	W 2-0	41.0	1324	1387	31.77%	31.77%	36.46%	-0.06	+20.4	37
2024-07-27	@ Sligo Rovers	L 0-2	41.0	1387	1324	36.46%	31.77%	31.77%	+0.06	-20.4	34
2024-08-02	Bohemian	D 2-2	58.5	1218	1312	27.76%	31.48%	40.76%	-0.18	+0.5	21
2024-08-02	@ Drogheda United	D 2-2	58.5	1312	1218	40.76%	31.48%	27.76%	+0.18	-0.5	28
2024-08-02	Galway United	L 0-2	37.2	1267	1367	27.13%	31.41%	41.46%	-0.20	-16.5	23
2024-08-02	@ Dundalk	W 2-0	37.2	1367	1267	41.46%	31.41%	27.13%	+0.20	+16.5	37
2024-08-02	Shamrock Rovers	L 1-2	50.4	1352	1413	32.01%	31.78%	36.20%	-0.06	-9.3	37
2024-08-02	@ Waterford	W 2-1	50.4	1413	1352	36.20%	31.78%	32.01%	+0.06	+9.3	37
2024-08-04	Sligo Rovers	W 3-2	53.2	1329	1344	38.53%	31.67%	29.80%	+0.12	+8.4	31
2024-08-04	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 2-3	53.2	1344	1329	29.80%	31.67%	38.53%	-0.12	-8.4	37
2024-08-05	Derry City	D 0-0	53.8	1459	1473	38.80%	31.65%	29.55%	+0.13	-0.6	48
2024-08-05	@ Shelbourne	D 0-0	53.8	1473	1459	29.55%	31.65%	38.80%	-0.13	+0.6	45
2024-08-09	Dundalk	D 1-1	56.6	1473	1251	66.05%	23.10%	10.85%	+1.02	-3.5	46
2024-08-09	@ Derry City	D 1-1	56.6	1251	1473	10.85%	23.10%	66.05%	-1.02	+3.5	24
2024-08-09	Waterford	L 2-3	54.9	1311	1342	36.33%	31.78%	31.89%	+0.06	-9.6	28
2024-08-09	@ Bohemian	W 3-2	54.9	1342	1311	31.89%	31.78%	36.33%	-0.06	+9.6	40
2024-08-10	Shelbourne	W 2-1	54.5	1336	1459	24.42%	30.96%	44.61%	-0.29	+11.8	40
2024-08-10	@ Sligo Rovers	L 1-2	54.5	1459	1336	44.61%	30.96%	24.42%	+0.29	-11.8	48
2024-08-11	Drogheda United	D 1-1	55.3	1422	1218	64.25%	24.07%	11.68%	+0.95	-3.3	38
2024-08-11	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	55.3	1218	1422	11.68%	24.07%	64.25%	-0.95	+3.3	22
2024-08-11	St Patrick's Athletic	D 1-1	54.3	1383	1337	46.67%	30.58%	22.75%	+0.35	-1.4	38
2024-08-11	@ Galway United	D 1-1	54.3	1337	1383	22.75%	30.58%	46.67%	-0.35	+1.4	32
2024-08-23	Bohemian	D 1-1	55.8	1447	1302	58.25%	26.93%	14.82%	+0.72	-2.7	49
2024-08-23	@ Shelbourne	D 1-1	55.8	1302	1447	14.82%	26.93%	58.25%	-0.72	+2.7	29
2024-08-23	Derry City	L 0-1	42.9	1352	1470	24.98%	31.07%	43.95%	-0.27	-8.2	40
2024-08-23	@ Waterford	W 1-0	42.9	1470	1352	43.95%	31.07%	24.98%	+0.27	+8.2	49
2024-08-23	Sligo Rovers	W 7-0	42.9	1222	1348	24.10%	30.90%	45.00%	-0.30	+76.6	25
2024-08-23	@ Drogheda United	L 0-7	42.9	1348	1222	45.00%	30.90%	24.10%	+0.30	-76.6	40
2024-08-25	Galway United	D 1-1	55.7	1419	1382	45.58%	30.79%	23.63%	+0.32	-1.3	39
2024-08-25	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	55.7	1382	1419	23.63%	30.79%	45.58%	-0.32	+1.3	39
2024-08-30	Derry City	W 1-0	48.8	1383	1478	27.64%	31.47%	40.89%	-0.18	+11.8	42
2024-08-30	@ Galway United	L 0-1	48.8	1478	1383	40.89%	31.47%	27.64%	+0.18	-11.7	49
2024-08-30	Shelbourne	L 0-1	38.0	1254	1444	18.20%	28.95%	52.85%	-0.54	-6.3	24
2024-08-30	@ Dundalk	W 1-0	38.0	1444	1254	52.85%	28.95%	18.20%	+0.54	+6.3	52
2024-08-31	Waterford	W 2-0	40.4	1271	1344	30.49%	31.71%	37.80%	-0.10	+20.9	43
2024-08-31	@ Sligo Rovers	L 0-2	40.4	1344	1271	37.80%	31.71%	30.49%	+0.10	-20.9	40
2024-09-01	Drogheda United	W 4-1	39.3	1339	1298	45.99%	30.72%	23.30%	+0.33	+18.0	35
2024-09-01	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-4	39.3	1298	1339	23.30%	30.72%	45.99%	-0.33	-18.0	25
2024-09-01	Shamrock Rovers	W 2-1	52.9	1304	1418	25.49%	31.16%	43.34%	-0.25	+11.6	32
2024-09-01	@ Bohemian	L 1-2	52.9	1418	1304	43.34%	31.16%	25.49%	+0.25	-11.6	39
2024-09-05	St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-2	46.5	1248	1357	26.02%	31.25%	42.73%	-0.23	-8.0	24
2024-09-05	@ Dundalk	W 2-1	46.5	1357	1248	42.73%	31.25%	26.02%	+0.23	+8.0	38
2024-09-06	Shelbourne	D 1-1	55.0	1316	1451	23.20%	30.69%	46.11%	-0.33	+1.3	33
2024-09-06	@ Bohemian	D 1-1	55.0	1451	1316	46.11%	30.69%	23.20%	+0.33	-1.3	53
2024-09-13	Dundalk	W 2-1	43.7	1323	1240	51.21%	29.46%	19.33%	+0.49	+6.3	43
2024-09-13	@ Waterford	L 1-2	43.7	1240	1323	19.33%	29.46%	51.21%	-0.49	-6.3	24
2024-09-13	Sligo Rovers	W 4-0	32.7	1406	1292	54.84%	28.27%	16.89%	+0.61	+21.0	42
2024-09-13	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-4	32.7	1292	1406	16.89%	28.27%	54.84%	-0.61	-21.0	43
2024-09-16	Shamrock Rovers	L 1-2	52.8	1395	1427	36.13%	31.78%	32.08%	+0.05	-10.1	42
2024-09-16	@ Galway United	W 2-1	52.8	1427	1395	32.08%	31.78%	36.13%	-0.05	+10.1	45
2024-09-20	Drogheda United	L 0-1	45.8	1317	1280	45.55%	30.80%	23.66%	+0.32	-12.8	33
2024-09-20	@ Bohemian	W 1-0	45.8	1280	1317	23.66%	30.80%	45.55%	-0.32	+12.8	28
2024-09-20	Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	58.5	1466	1437	44.52%	30.98%	24.50%	+0.29	-1.1	50
2024-09-20	@ Derry City	D 1-1	58.5	1437	1466	24.50%	30.98%	44.52%	-0.29	+1.1	46
2024-09-20	Shelbourne	W 1-0	46.9	1385	1449	31.57%	31.77%	36.67%	-0.07	+10.9	45
2024-09-20	@ Galway United	L 0-1	46.9	1449	1385	36.67%	31.77%	31.57%	+0.07	-10.9	53
2024-09-20	Waterford	W 3-0	35.2	1365	1329	45.37%	30.83%	23.79%	+0.31	+21.7	41
2024-09-20	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-3	35.2	1329	1365	23.79%	30.83%	45.37%	-0.31	-21.7	43
2024-09-21	Dundalk	W 2-1	45.1	1271	1234	45.58%	30.79%	23.63%	+0.32	+7.4	46
2024-09-21	@ Sligo Rovers	L 1-2	45.1	1234	1271	23.63%	30.79%	45.58%	-0.32	-7.4	24
2024-09-23	Bohemian	W 1-0	37.4	1438	1304	57.02%	27.44%	15.55%	+0.68	+5.4	49
2024-09-23	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	37.4	1304	1438	15.55%	27.44%	57.02%	-0.68	-5.4	33
2024-09-23	Galway United	D 0-0	48.1	1293	1395	26.75%	31.36%	41.89%	-0.21	+1.0	29
2024-09-23	@ Drogheda United	D 0-0	48.1	1395	1293	41.89%	31.36%	26.75%	+0.21	-1.0	46
2024-09-27	Bohemian	L 0-2	37.7	1226	1299	30.47%	31.71%	37.82%	-0.10	-18.0	24
2024-09-27	@ Dundalk	W 2-0	37.7	1299	1226	37.82%	31.71%	30.47%	+0.10	+18.0	36
2024-09-27	Derry City	W 2-1	55.2	1294	1465	19.74%	29.62%	50.64%	-0.47	+13.1	32
2024-09-27	@ Drogheda United	L 1-2	55.2	1465	1294	50.64%	29.62%	19.74%	+0.47	-13.1	50
2024-09-27	Galway United	L 1-2	48.3	1307	1395	28.61%	31.57%	39.82%	-0.15	-8.6	43
2024-09-27	@ Waterford	W 2-1	48.3	1395	1307	39.82%	31.57%	28.61%	+0.15	+8.6	49
2024-09-27	Sligo Rovers	D 0-0	50.0	1438	1278	59.81%	26.24%	13.95%	+0.78	-3.2	54
2024-09-27	@ Shelbourne	D 0-0	50.0	1278	1438	13.95%	26.24%	59.81%	-0.78	+3.2	47
2024-09-27	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-3	44.9	1444	1386	48.12%	30.26%	21.62%	+0.39	-36.5	49
2024-09-27	@ Shamrock Rovers	W 3-0	44.9	1386	1444	21.62%	30.26%	48.12%	-0.39	+36.5	44
2024-09-30	St Patrick's Athletic	L 2-3	60.3	1435	1423	42.31%	31.30%	26.39%	+0.22	-10.8	54
2024-09-30	@ Shelbourne	W 3-2	60.3	1423	1435	26.39%	31.30%	42.31%	-0.22	+10.8	47
2024-10-04	Dundalk	D 1-1	54.9	1403	1208	63.36%	24.53%	12.11%	+0.91	-3.2	50
2024-10-04	@ Galway United	D 1-1	54.9	1208	1403	12.11%	24.53%	63.36%	-0.91	+3.2	25
2024-10-06	Shelbourne	W 2-0	41.4	1407	1424	38.27%	31.69%	30.04%	+0.11	+17.8	52
2024-10-06	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	41.4	1424	1407	30.04%	31.69%	38.27%	-0.11	-17.8	54
2024-10-11	Bohemian	D 1-1	56.1	1452	1317	57.14%	27.39%	15.47%	+0.69	-2.6	51
2024-10-11	@ Derry City	D 1-1	56.1	1317	1452	15.47%	27.39%	57.14%	-0.69	+2.6	37
2024-10-11	Drogheda United	D 0-0	47.3	1299	1307	39.50%	31.60%	28.90%	+0.14	-0.7	44
2024-10-11	@ Waterford	D 0-0	47.3	1307	1299	28.90%	31.60%	39.50%	-0.14	+0.7	33
2024-10-14	Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	55.9	1450	1282	60.64%	25.86%	13.50%	+0.81	-2.9	52
2024-10-14	@ Derry City	D 1-1	55.9	1282	1450	13.50%	25.86%	60.64%	-0.81	+2.9	48
2024-10-14	St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-3	44.2	1320	1434	25.42%	31.15%	43.43%	-0.25	-13.6	37
2024-10-14	@ Bohemian	W 3-1	44.2	1434	1320	43.43%	31.15%	25.42%	+0.25	+13.6	50
2024-10-18	Derry City	L 0-2	32.5	1211	1447	15.03%	27.08%	57.89%	-0.71	-9.8	25
2024-10-18	@ Dundalk	W 2-0	32.5	1447	1211	57.89%	27.08%	15.03%	+0.71	+9.8	55
2024-10-18	Galway United	W 2-1	49.1	1447	1400	46.86%	30.54%	22.59%	+0.35	+7.2	53
2024-10-18	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-2	49.1	1400	1447	22.59%	30.54%	46.86%	-0.35	-7.2	50
2024-10-18	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	41.1	1308	1425	25.04%	31.08%	43.88%	-0.27	-8.2	33
2024-10-18	@ Drogheda United	W 1-0	41.1	1425	1308	43.88%	31.08%	25.04%	+0.27	+8.2	55
2024-10-18	Waterford	W 3-1	40.3	1407	1298	54.20%	28.50%	17.30%	+0.59	+9.8	57
2024-10-18	@ Shelbourne	L 1-3	40.3	1298	1407	17.30%	28.50%	54.20%	-0.59	-9.8	44
2024-10-19	Bohemian	L 0-2	40.2	1284	1306	37.66%	31.72%	30.62%	+0.09	-20.9	48
2024-10-19	@ Sligo Rovers	W 2-0	40.2	1306	1284	30.62%	31.72%	37.66%	-0.09	+20.9	40
2024-10-25	Bohemian	D 1-1	52.8	1288	1327	35.24%	31.80%	32.96%	+0.03	-0.1	45
2024-10-25	@ Waterford	D 1-1	52.8	1327	1288	32.96%	31.80%	35.24%	-0.03	+0.1	41
2024-10-25	Derry City	W 1-0	46.6	1454	1456	40.36%	31.52%	28.12%	+0.17	+9.0	56
2024-10-25	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	46.6	1456	1454	28.12%	31.52%	40.36%	-0.17	-9.0	55
2024-10-25	Drogheda United	W 2-1	43.9	1416	1299	55.15%	28.16%	16.69%	+0.62	+5.5	60
2024-10-25	@ Shelbourne	L 1-2	43.9	1299	1416	16.69%	28.16%	55.15%	-0.62	-5.5	33
2024-10-25	Sligo Rovers	D 2-2	60.5	1393	1264	56.50%	27.64%	15.86%	+0.66	-1.8	51
2024-10-25	@ Galway United	D 2-2	60.5	1264	1393	15.86%	27.64%	56.50%	-0.66	+1.8	49
2024-10-27	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	35.9	1202	1433	15.25%	27.23%	57.52%	-0.70	-5.3	25
2024-10-27	@ Dundalk	W 1-0	35.9	1433	1202	57.52%	27.23%	15.25%	+0.70	+5.3	58
2024-11-01	Dundalk	D 0-0	47.5	1294	1196	52.95%	28.92%	18.13%	+0.54	-2.3	34
2024-11-01	@ Drogheda United	D 0-0	47.5	1196	1294	18.13%	28.92%	52.95%	-0.54	+2.3	26
2024-11-01	Galway United	D 1-1	53.9	1327	1391	31.67%	31.77%	36.56%	-0.07	+0.3	42
2024-11-01	@ Bohemian	D 1-1	53.9	1391	1327	36.56%	31.77%	31.67%	+0.07	-0.3	52
2024-11-01	Shelbourne	L 0-1	49.9	1447	1422	44.06%	31.05%	24.89%	+0.27	-12.4	55
2024-11-01	@ Derry City	W 1-0	49.9	1422	1447	24.89%	31.05%	44.06%	-0.27	+12.4	63
2024-11-01	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-2	34.6	1265	1463	17.59%	28.65%	53.77%	-0.57	-11.5	49
2024-11-01	@ Sligo Rovers	W 2-0	34.6	1463	1265	53.77%	28.65%	17.59%	+0.57	+11.5	59
2024-11-01	Waterford	W 2-1	43.0	1439	1288	58.80%	26.69%	14.51%	+0.74	+4.7	61
2024-11-01	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 1-2	43.0	1288	1439	14.51%	26.69%	58.80%	-0.74	-4.7	45

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2024-05-31	12.49%	Sligo Rovers	1262	2	@ Shelbourne	1449	1
2	2024-05-06	13.62%	Waterford	1326	3	@ Shamrock Rovers	1492	1
3	2024-05-17	16.74%	@ Dundalk	1254	1	Shamrock Rovers	1464	0
4	2024-07-04	17.39%	@ Sligo Rovers	1286	2	Derry City	1486	1
5	2024-07-26	18.38%	@ Drogheda United	1191	2	Waterford	1379	0
6	2024-04-12	18.39%	Bohemian	1334	2	@ Shelbourne	1428	1
7	2024-03-04	18.84%	Sligo Rovers	1258	5	@ Dundalk	1347	0
8	2024-06-28	19.46%	@ Sligo Rovers	1260	2	Shamrock Rovers	1434	0
9	2024-06-03	19.72%	Dundalk	1261	3	@ St Patrick's Athletic	1339	2
10	2024-09-27	19.74%	@ Drogheda United	1294	2	Derry City	1465	1
11	2024-04-01	20.35%	Bohemian	1320	2	@ Galway United	1391	0
12	2024-09-27	21.62%	St Patrick's Athletic	1386	3	@ Shamrock Rovers	1444	0
13	2024-03-29	22.59%	Galway United	1378	1	@ Derry City	1426	0
14	2024-07-12	23.59%	Sligo Rovers	1300	2	@ Bohemian	1337	0
15	2024-02-23	23.65%	Bohemian	1335	1	@ St Patrick's Athletic	1372	0
16	2024-09-20	23.66%	Drogheda United	1280	1	@ Bohemian	1317	0
17	2024-08-23	24.10%	@ Drogheda United	1222	7	Sligo Rovers	1348	0
18	2024-05-24	24.11%	Shelbourne	1425	2	@ Shamrock Rovers	1458	0
19	2024-08-10	24.42%	@ Sligo Rovers	1336	2	Shelbourne	1459	1
20	2024-04-05	24.71%	Waterford	1319	1	@ Bohemian	1346	0
21	2024-06-13	24.72%	@ St Patrick's Athletic	1326	2	Shamrock Rovers	1446	1
22	2024-03-15	24.82%	@ Bohemian	1318	2	Derry City	1437	1
23	2024-11-01	24.89%	Shelbourne	1422	1	@ Derry City	1447	0
24	2024-02-16	25.05%	St Patrick's Athletic	1360	1	@ Galway United	1384	0
25	2024-09-01	25.49%	@ Bohemian	1304	2	Shamrock Rovers	1418	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-08-23	76.60	@ Drogheda United	7	1222	24.10%	Sligo Rovers	0	1348	45.00%	30.90%
2	2024-03-04	62.38	Sligo Rovers	5	1258	18.84%	@ Dundalk	0	1347	51.91%	29.25%
3	2024-09-27	36.48	St Patrick's Athletic	3	1386	21.62%	@ Shamrock Rovers	0	1444	48.12%	30.26%
4	2024-05-17	29.37	Bohemian	3	1322	32.16%	@ Sligo Rovers	0	1289	36.05%	31.79%
5	2024-07-26	26.95	@ Drogheda United	2	1191	18.38%	Waterford	0	1379	52.58%	29.04%
6	2024-06-28	26.32	@ Sligo Rovers	2	1260	19.46%	Shamrock Rovers	0	1434	51.04%	29.51%
7	2024-05-06	26.03	Waterford	3	1326	13.62%	@ Shamrock Rovers	1	1492	60.41%	25.96%
8	2024-04-01	25.81	Bohemian	2	1320	20.35%	@ Galway United	0	1391	49.80%	29.85%
9	2024-04-01	25.30	@ St Patrick's Athletic	3	1335	39.26%	Sligo Rovers	0	1345	29.12%	31.62%
10	2024-07-12	24.09	Sligo Rovers	2	1300	23.59%	@ Bohemian	0	1337	45.63%	30.78%
11	2024-05-24	23.82	Shelbourne	2	1425	24.11%	@ Shamrock Rovers	0	1458	44.99%	30.90%
12	2024-04-26	22.67	@ Dundalk	2	1255	26.52%	Bohemian	0	1360	42.16%	31.32%
13	2024-02-23	22.66	Waterford	4	1328	36.53%	@ Drogheda United	1	1264	31.70%	31.77%
14	2024-02-23	21.90	Galway United	2	1372	28.22%	@ Dundalk	0	1369	40.25%	31.53%
15	2024-09-20	21.69	@ St Patrick's Athletic	3	1365	45.37%	Waterford	0	1329	23.79%	30.83%
16	2024-09-13	20.95	@ Shamrock Rovers	4	1406	54.84%	Sligo Rovers	0	1292	16.89%	28.27%
17	2024-08-31	20.91	@ Sligo Rovers	2	1271	30.49%	Waterford	0	1344	37.80%	31.71%
18	2024-10-19	20.86	Bohemian	2	1306	30.62%	@ Sligo Rovers	0	1284	37.66%	31.72%
19	2024-07-27	20.38	@ Sligo Rovers	2	1324	31.77%	Galway United	0	1387	36.46%	31.77%
20	2024-03-08	19.92	@ Derry City	3	1417	48.33%	Waterford	0	1358	21.45%	30.21%
21	2024-06-03	19.78	@ Derry City	3	1437	48.56%	Waterford	0	1376	21.28%	30.16%
22	2024-03-08	18.63	Shelbourne	2	1398	36.21%	@ Bohemian	0	1337	32.01%	31.78%
23	2024-09-27	17.99	Bohemian	2	1299	37.82%	@ Dundalk	0	1226	30.47%	31.71%
24	2024-09-01	17.98	@ St Patrick's Athletic	4	1339	45.99%	Drogheda United	1	1298	23.30%	30.72%
25	2024-10-06	17.82	@ Shamrock Rovers	2	1407	38.27%	Shelbourne	0	1424	30.04%	31.69%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-03-04	63.0	@ Shamrock Rovers	2	1437	43.38%	Derry City	2	1417	25.46%	31.16%
2	2024-05-10	62.8	@ Shamrock Rovers	2	1466	55.73%	St Patrick's Athletic	2	1344	16.33%	27.94%
3	2024-05-24	61.7	@ Derry City	2	1442	62.07%	Sligo Rovers	2	1260	12.76%	25.17%
4	2024-10-25	60.5	@ Galway United	2	1393	56.50%	Sligo Rovers	2	1264	15.86%	27.64%
5	2024-09-30	60.3	St Patrick's Athletic	3	1423	26.39%	@ Shelbourne	2	1435	42.31%	31.30%
6	2024-04-05	60.2	@ Drogheda United	2	1246	18.75%	Shelbourne	2	1429	52.04%	29.21%
7	2024-04-12	60.1	@ Drogheda United	2	1248	19.18%	Derry City	2	1426	51.43%	29.39%
8	2024-05-24	59.7	@ Bohemian	2	1351	43.80%	St Patrick's Athletic	2	1328	25.10%	31.09%
9	2024-02-16	59.4	@ Bohemian	2	1337	50.05%	Sligo Rovers	2	1263	20.17%	29.78%
10	2024-08-02	58.5	@ Drogheda United	2	1218	27.76%	Bohemian	2	1312	40.76%	31.48%
11	2024-09-20	58.5	@ Derry City	1	1466	44.52%	Shamrock Rovers	1	1437	24.50%	30.98%
12	2024-06-03	58.2	Dundalk	3	1261	19.72%	@ St Patrick's Athletic	2	1339	50.66%	29.61%
13	2024-04-26	57.8	@ Shamrock Rovers	1	1483	54.03%	Galway United	1	1376	17.41%	28.56%
14	2024-05-06	56.8	@ Derry City	1	1437	44.15%	Shelbourne	1	1411	24.81%	31.04%
15	2024-05-03	56.6	@ Bohemian	1	1337	21.06%	Shamrock Rovers	1	1493	48.86%	30.09%
16	2024-05-31	56.6	Sligo Rovers	2	1262	12.49%	@ Shelbourne	1	1449	62.60%	24.91%
17	2024-08-09	56.6	@ Derry City	1	1473	66.05%	Dundalk	1	1251	10.85%	23.10%
18	2024-02-16	56.5	@ Shamrock Rovers	1	1450	51.21%	Dundalk	1	1367	19.34%	29.46%
19	2024-07-04	56.2	@ Sligo Rovers	2	1286	17.39%	Derry City	1	1486	54.07%	28.54%
20	2024-10-11	56.1	@ Derry City	1	1452	57.14%	Bohemian	1	1317	15.47%	27.39%
21	2024-10-14	55.9	@ Derry City	1	1450	60.64%	Sligo Rovers	1	1282	13.50%	25.86%
22	2024-08-23	55.8	@ Shelbourne	1	1447	58.25%	Bohemian	1	1302	14.82%	26.93%
23	2024-04-12	55.7	Bohemian	2	1334	18.39%	@ Shelbourne	1	1428	52.57%	29.04%
24	2024-08-25	55.7	@ Shamrock Rovers	1	1419	45.58%	Galway United	1	1382	23.63%	30.79%
25	2024-08-11	55.3	@ Shamrock Rovers	1	1422	64.25%	Drogheda United	1	1218	11.68%	24.07%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-04-29	30.0	@ Shamrock Rovers	4	1480	65.79%	Drogheda United	0	1261	10.97%	23.25%
2	2024-06-13	30.0	@ Galway United	3	1380	59.73%	Drogheda United	0	1221	14.00%	26.28%
3	2024-06-28	31.1	@ Derry City	5	1478	70.48%	Drogheda United	1	1207	8.96%	20.56%
4	2024-10-18	32.5	Derry City	2	1447	57.89%	@ Dundalk	0	1211	15.03%	27.08%
5	2024-09-13	32.7	@ Shamrock Rovers	4	1406	54.84%	Sligo Rovers	0	1292	16.89%	28.27%
6	2024-04-12	33.0	@ Shamrock Rovers	3	1451	56.75%	Sligo Rovers	0	1320	15.71%	27.54%
7	2024-05-24	33.2	@ Galway United	2	1393	55.91%	Dundalk	0	1269	16.22%	27.87%
8	2024-05-31	34.0	Shamrock Rovers	2	1434	53.57%	@ Drogheda United	0	1238	17.72%	28.71%
9	2024-11-01	34.6	St Patrick's Athletic	2	1463	53.77%	@ Sligo Rovers	0	1265	17.59%	28.65%
10	2024-09-20	35.2	@ St Patrick's Athletic	3	1365	45.37%	Waterford	0	1329	23.79%	30.83%
11	2024-03-08	35.6	@ Derry City	3	1417	48.33%	Waterford	0	1358	21.45%	30.21%
12	2024-07-04	35.9	@ Shamrock Rovers	1	1408	58.51%	Dundalk	0	1260	14.67%	26.81%
13	2024-10-27	35.9	Shamrock Rovers	1	1433	57.52%	@ Dundalk	0	1202	15.25%	27.23%
14	2024-06-07	36.0	@ Shelbourne	1	1434	59.87%	Dundalk	0	1273	13.92%	26.21%
15	2024-04-05	36.1	@ Derry City	4	1414	57.95%	Dundalk	1	1271	15.00%	27.05%
16	2024-06-03	36.4	@ Derry City	3	1437	48.56%	Waterford	0	1376	21.28%	30.16%
17	2024-04-19	36.8	@ Bohemian	1	1354	53.72%	Drogheda United	0	1249	17.62%	28.66%
18	2024-05-03	36.8	@ St Patrick's Athletic	1	1349	53.36%	Drogheda United	0	1248	17.85%	28.78%
19	2024-04-01	36.9	@ St Patrick's Athletic	3	1335	39.26%	Sligo Rovers	0	1345	29.12%	31.62%
20	2024-08-02	37.2	Galway United	2	1367	41.46%	@ Dundalk	0	1267	27.13%	31.41%
21	2024-04-15	37.4	@ Bohemian	1	1347	51.67%	Dundalk	0	1260	19.01%	29.32%
22	2024-09-23	37.4	@ Shamrock Rovers	1	1438	57.02%	Bohemian	0	1304	15.55%	27.44%
23	2024-05-10	37.6	@ Waterford	4	1352	51.14%	Dundalk	1	1270	19.38%	29.47%
24	2024-09-27	37.7	Bohemian	2	1299	37.82%	@ Dundalk	0	1226	30.47%	31.71%
25	2024-06-28	37.9	Waterford	2	1363	39.56%	@ Dundalk	0	1277	28.85%	31.59%