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2004-05 Maltese Premier League Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Sliema Wanderers

42 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Valletta

6.48 points above expected

36 points · 29.52 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Pieta Hotspurs

6.71 points below expected

19 points · 25.71 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sliema Wanderers 18 13 3 2 42 33 15 +18 37.47 +4.53
2 Valletta 18 11 3 4 36 42 26 +16 29.52 +6.48
3 Hibernians 18 10 6 2 36 34 22 +12 31.35 +4.65
4 Birkirkara 18 9 5 4 32 44 25 +19 33.52 -1.52
5 Marsaxlokk 18 7 5 6 26 32 23 +9 28.37 -2.37
6 Floriana 18 6 6 6 24 21 22 -1 23.86 +0.14
7 Pieta Hotspurs 18 5 4 9 19 34 33 +1 25.71 -6.71
8 Msida St. Joseph* 18 4 6 8 16 27 34 -7 19.30 -3.30
9 St. Patrick 18 2 3 13 9 17 45 -28 8.36 +0.64
10 Lija Athletics 18 2 1 15 7 10 49 -39 10.68 -3.68
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Birkirkara 10 6 4 0 22 25 11 +14 31.06 -9.06
2 Sliema Wanderers 10 5 4 1 19 14 8 +6 39.76 -20.76
3 Hibernians 10 4 5 1 17 15 10 +5 34.03 -17.03
4 Valletta 10 5 1 4 16 15 15 0 31.44 -15.44
5 Msida St. Joseph* 6 3 2 1 11 11 7 +4 18.83 -7.83
6 Pieta Hotspurs 6 3 1 2 10 10 5 +5 21.92 -11.92
7 St. Patrick 6 3 0 3 9 10 11 -1 10.40 -1.40
8 Lija Athletics 6 1 1 4 4 3 11 -8 9.11 -5.11
9 Floriana 10 1 1 8 4 7 17 -10 19.98 -15.98
10 Marsaxlokk 10 1 1 8 4 9 24 -15 24.57 -20.57

* Point deductions: Msida St. Joseph (-2 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Valletta 36 29.52 +6.48
2 Hibernians 36 31.35 +4.65
3 Sliema Wanderers 42 37.47 +4.53
4 St. Patrick 9 8.36 +0.64
5 Floriana 24 23.86 +0.14

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Pieta Hotspurs 19 25.71 -6.71
2 Lija Athletics 7 10.68 -3.68
3 Msida St. Joseph 16 19.30 -3.30
4 Marsaxlokk 26 28.37 -2.37
5 Birkirkara 32 33.52 -1.52

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valletta 5 Sep 25 – Nov 20 1 in 81
2 Hibernians 5 Dec 13 – Jan 15 1 in 48
3 St. Patrick 2 Jan 16 – Jan 23 1 in 26
4 Pieta Hotspurs 3 Dec 3 – Jan 2 1 in 12
5 Floriana 3 Sep 14 – Sep 25 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sliema Wanderers 2 Dec 13 – Jan 5 1 in 155
2 Birkirkara 2 Dec 19 – Jan 2 1 in 20
3 St. Patrick 8 Sep 8 – Nov 21 1 in 17
4 Pieta Hotspurs 3 Oct 24 – Nov 26 1 in 13
5 Lija Athletics 5 Sep 11 – Sep 30 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valletta 12 Sep 25 – Jan 16 1 in 78
2 Hibernians 10 Nov 27 – Feb 13 1 in 27
3 St. Patrick 2 Nov 28 – Dec 5 1 in 18
4 Floriana 6 Oct 27 – Dec 17 1 in 12
5 Msida St. Joseph 4 Sep 18 – Oct 16 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sliema Wanderers 3 Dec 5 – Jan 5 1 in 44
2 Hibernians 4 Oct 27 – Dec 5 1 in 20
3 Pieta Hotspurs 7 Sep 18 – Nov 26 1 in 16
4 Marsaxlokk 3 Nov 28 – Dec 13 1 in 7
5 Birkirkara 2 Dec 19 – Jan 2 1 in 5

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Sliema Wanderers 1418 61 -16 8 9.6 -1.6
Birkirkara 1410 54 +71 13 8.5 +4.5
Hibernians 1358 53 +52 11 8.1 +2.9
Valletta 1275 52 -25 7 7.1 -0.1
Marsaxlokk 1120 30 -69 0 4.6 -4.6
Msida St. Joseph 1067 29 +2 10 10.3 -0.3
Pieta Hotspurs 1098 29 -9 9 9.8 -0.8
Floriana 1084 28 -12 3 3.6 -0.6
St. Patrick 893 18 +59 9 4.2 +4.8
Lija Athletics 801 11 -52 1 3.5 -2.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BIR FLO HIB LA MAR MSJ PH SW SP VAL
Birkirkara —
2-0-0
3.91
1-0-1
3.33
2-0-0
5.05
0-2-0
3.63
2-0-0
4.16
0-1-1
3.86
0-1-1
2.38
1-1-0
5.15
1-0-1
3.29
Floriana
0-0-2
1.62
 —
0-1-1
1.72
1-1-0
4.28
2-0-0
2.03
0-2-0
3.10
1-1-0
2.68
0-0-2
1.20
2-0-0
4.61
0-1-1
2.07
Hibernians
1-0-1
2.17
1-1-0
3.81
 —
2-0-0
4.97
1-1-0
3.11
1-1-0
3.89
2-0-0
3.59
0-1-1
1.96
1-1-0
4.93
1-1-0
3.05
Lija Athletics
0-0-2
0.62
0-1-1
1.28
0-0-2
0.68
 —
0-0-2
0.93
0-0-2
1.37
0-0-2
1.27
1-0-1
0.58
1-0-1
3.33
0-0-2
0.92
Marsaxlokk
0-2-0
1.89
0-0-2
3.48
0-1-1
2.39
2-0-0
4.67
 —
2-0-0
3.59
2-0-0
2.81
0-0-2
1.75
1-1-0
4.86
0-1-1
2.56
Msida St. Joseph
0-0-2
1.38
0-2-0
2.40
0-1-1
1.64
2-0-0
4.18
0-0-2
1.93
 —
0-2-0
2.42
0-1-1
1.16
1-0-1
4.50
1-0-1
1.83
Pieta Hotspurs
1-1-0
1.67
0-1-1
2.83
0-0-2
1.93
2-0-0
4.29
0-0-2
2.69
0-2-0
3.08
 —
0-0-2
1.16
2-0-0
4.68
0-0-2
2.26
Sliema Wanderers
1-1-0
3.12
2-0-0
4.37
1-1-0
3.55
1-0-1
5.11
2-0-0
3.77
1-1-0
4.41
2-0-0
4.41
 —
2-0-0
5.26
1-0-1
3.86
St. Patrick
0-1-1
0.55
0-0-2
0.99
0-1-1
0.71
1-0-1
2.18
0-1-1
0.78
1-0-1
1.08
0-0-2
0.92
0-0-2
0.46
 —
0-0-2
0.76
Valletta
1-0-1
2.23
1-1-0
3.44
0-1-1
2.46
2-0-0
4.68
1-1-0
2.94
1-0-1
3.69
2-0-0
3.26
1-0-1
1.67
2-0-0
4.89
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.62 +8.7
Allowed 0.84 -10.1
Differential 0.86 +5.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.44%4.55%4.17%2.27%0.76%21.21%
16.44%15.15%7.95%3.41%2.27%1.14%36.36%
24.55%7.95%3.79%3.03%0.76%0.38%20.45%
34.17%3.41%3.03%1.52%0.38%0.76%13.26%
42.27%2.27%0.76%0.38%——5.68%
5+0.76%1.14%0.38%0.76%——3.03%
Total21.21%36.36%20.45%13.26%5.68%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.56 +0.00
SD 1.33 1.33 2.01
CV 0.85 0.85 —
Max 7 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%—3.57%———7.14%
13.57%17.86%3.57%———25.00%
27.14%7.14%7.14%3.57%3.57%—28.57%
310.71%7.14%—3.57%——21.43%
43.57%—————3.57%
5+—3.57%3.57%7.14%——14.29%
Total28.57%35.71%17.86%14.29%3.57%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.46 1.29 +1.18
SD 1.77 1.15 1.89
CV 0.72 0.89 —
Max 7 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%17.86%10.71%7.14%——39.29%
17.14%21.43%7.14%3.57%——39.29%
23.57%3.57%—3.57%——10.71%
3——3.57%———3.57%
43.57%——3.57%——7.14%
5+———————
Total17.86%42.86%21.43%17.86%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.39 -0.39
SD 1.15 0.99 1.52
CV 1.15 0.71 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———3.57%——3.57%
110.71%25.00%3.57%———39.29%
210.71%14.29%10.71%3.57%——39.29%
33.57%7.14%—3.57%——14.29%
4——3.57%———3.57%
5+———————
Total25.00%46.43%17.86%10.71%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 1.14 +0.61
SD 0.89 0.93 1.23
CV 0.51 0.82 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.33%8.33%12.50%16.67%—45.83%
112.50%8.33%16.67%—8.33%8.33%54.17%
2———————
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total12.50%16.67%25.00%12.50%25.00%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.54 2.50 -1.96
SD 0.51 1.64 1.81
CV 0.94 0.66 —
Max 1 6 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%10.71%3.57%7.14%——25.00%
13.57%10.71%10.71%10.71%3.57%—39.29%
2—7.14%3.57%———10.71%
37.14%3.57%—3.57%3.57%—17.86%
4—3.57%————3.57%
5+—3.57%————3.57%
Total14.29%39.29%17.86%21.43%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.68 -0.21
SD 1.35 1.19 1.91
CV 0.92 0.71 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——8.33%———8.33%
1—29.17%12.50%——4.17%45.83%
24.17%12.50%4.17%4.17%4.17%—29.17%
34.17%4.17%———4.17%12.50%
4—4.17%————4.17%
5+———————
Total8.33%50.00%25.00%4.17%4.17%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.71 -0.12
SD 0.97 1.33 1.68
CV 0.62 0.78 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.17%4.17%4.17%——12.50%
14.17%16.67%8.33%4.17%8.33%—41.67%
2——4.17%12.50%——16.67%
38.33%—4.17%———12.50%
412.50%—————12.50%
5+4.17%—————4.17%
Total29.17%20.83%20.83%20.83%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 1.58 +0.25
SD 1.40 1.35 2.40
CV 0.77 0.85 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%3.57%————10.71%
114.29%17.86%—3.57%——35.71%
210.71%17.86%—3.57%——32.14%
33.57%7.14%7.14%———17.86%
43.57%—————3.57%
5+———————
Total39.29%46.43%7.14%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 0.82 +0.86
SD 1.02 0.86 1.24
CV 0.61 1.05 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%16.67%4.17%4.17%8.33%8.33%45.83%
1——12.50%8.33%——20.83%
28.33%—4.17%——4.17%16.67%
3——4.17%4.17%——8.33%
4—4.17%4.17%———8.33%
5+———————
Total12.50%20.83%29.17%16.67%8.33%12.50%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 2.33 -1.21
SD 1.33 1.74 2.30
CV 1.18 0.74 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%3.57%3.57%3.57%——17.86%
17.14%3.57%7.14%3.57%3.57%—25.00%
2—14.29%3.57%———17.86%
33.57%3.57%10.71%——3.57%21.43%
4—10.71%————10.71%
5+3.57%3.57%————7.14%
Total21.43%39.29%25.00%7.14%3.57%3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.04 1.46 +0.57
SD 1.53 1.35 2.10
CV 0.75 0.92 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sliema Wanderers 1418 42 37.47 +4.53 86.0% 24 30 35 37 40 45 52
Birkirkara 1410 32 33.52 -1.52 41.0% 20 26 31 33 36 42 47
Hibernians 1358 36 31.35 +4.65 87.0% 19 21 28 31 35 41 44
Valletta 1275 36 29.52 +6.48 92.0% 17 23 26 30 33 37 41
Marsaxlokk 1120 26 28.37 -2.37 32.0% 17 21 25 28 31 36 47
Pieta Hotspurs 1098 19 25.71 -6.71 12.0% 15 17 22 25 29 33 40
Floriana 1084 24 23.86 +0.14 62.0% 13 15 20 23 27 34 40
Msida St. Joseph 1067 16 19.30 -3.30 31.0% 8 10 15 19 24 27 32
St. Patrick 893 9 8.36 +0.64 65.0% 1 3 5 8 11 15 20
Lija Athletics 801 7 10.68 -3.68 22.0% 1 4 8 10 13 17 24

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -3% * Slight Edge: -3% to 3.5% * Clear Edge: 3.5% to 8.5% * Strong Edge: 8.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+6.82%
Clear Edge
41.67%23.48%34.85%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 23.73 Elo pts.
189 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.25 goals
Neutral
-2+0.13+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.6
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
58%
Sliema Wanderers, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.33/gm
Runaway
00.230.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.93 * Some Luck: 3.93 to 5.89 * Lucky: 5.89 to 7.85 * Wild Swing: 7.85 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.87 * Close: 0.87 to 1.31 * Off: 1.31 to 1.75 * Way Off: 1.75 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.02 points
Some Luck
04.9112
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.80
Pinpoint
01.092.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
92.00%
Valletta
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
12.00%
Pieta Hotspurs
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.27 * Lopsided: 0.27 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 2 * Strong Separation: 2 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 84% * Wide Edge: 84% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92.5% * Clear Edge: 92.5% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 98% * Dominant: 98% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.
Gini Index
0.26
Top-Heavy
00.20.270.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 193.55
2.11
Strong Separation
0.951.6522.253
Interquartile Edge
79%
Slight Edge
50%72.5%79%84%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
96%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
59%
Frequent
0%54%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Frequent
0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.42 * Slight Separation: 0.42 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.74 * Strong Carryover: 0.74 to 0.83 * Near-Lock: 0.83 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Upset-Prone: 18.5% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 19.5% * Very Shaky: 19.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.51
Highly Predictable
00.552
Matchup Imbalance
0.48
Notable Separation
00.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.69
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.94
Near-Lock
00.570.741
Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
13%
As Expected
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.71
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.24
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.113
Well Within Noise
00.1410.4

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Sliema Wanderers58.00%25.00%11.00%2.00%2.00%—2.00%———
Valletta6.00%13.00%13.00%28.00%14.00%18.00%6.00%2.00%——
Hibernians10.00%16.00%22.00%23.00%11.00%10.00%5.00%3.00%——
Birkirkara17.00%27.00%30.00%14.00%5.00%3.00%4.00%———
Marsaxlokk3.00%10.00%14.00%14.00%30.00%19.00%6.00%4.00%——
Floriana3.00%6.00%2.00%8.00%12.00%14.00%27.00%27.00%1.00%—
Pieta Hotspurs3.00%3.00%8.00%10.00%18.00%23.00%26.00%8.00%1.00%—
Msida St. Joseph———1.00%8.00%13.00%22.00%40.00%13.00%3.00%
St. Patrick———————3.00%41.00%56.00%
Lija Athletics——————2.00%13.00%44.00%41.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Birkirkara 100% —
Hibernians 100% —
Marsaxlokk 100% —
Sliema Wanderers 100% —
Valletta 100% —
Floriana 99.00% 1.00%
Pieta Hotspurs 98.00% 2.00%
Msida St. Joseph 90.00% 10.00%
St. Patrick 7.00% 93.00%
Lija Athletics 6.00% 94.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Birkirkara 100% —
Floriana 100% —
Hibernians 100% —
Marsaxlokk 100% —
Sliema Wanderers 100% —
Valletta 100% —
Pieta Hotspurs 98.12% 1.88%
Msida St. Joseph 92.39% 7.61%
St. Patrick 6.05% 93.95%
Lija Athletics 3.44% 96.56%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2004-09-07 Floriana W 3-246.9 1208 1120 52.21% 24.23% 23.55%+0.59 +8.2 3
2004-09-07 @ Valletta L 2-346.9 1120 1208 23.55% 24.23% 52.21%-0.59 -8.2 0
2004-09-07 Sliema Wanderers L 1-238.5 1097 1339 14.47% 22.48% 63.06%-1.15 -5.6 0
2004-09-07 @ Msida St. Joseph W 2-138.5 1339 1097 63.06% 22.48% 14.47%+1.15 +5.6 3
2004-09-08 Birkirkara D 1-152.2 1207 1305 27.72% 24.60% 47.68%-0.39 +1.5 1
2004-09-08 @ Marsaxlokk D 1-152.2 1305 1207 47.68% 24.60% 27.72%+0.39 -1.4 1
2004-09-08 Hibernians L 0-130.0 865 1256 7.17% 18.75% 74.08%-1.95 -2.9 0
2004-09-08 @ St. Patrick W 1-030.0 1256 865 74.08% 18.75% 7.17%+1.95 +2.9 3
2004-09-11 Pieta Hotspurs L 0-428.4 960 1167 16.96% 23.14% 59.90%-0.97 -24.7 0
2004-09-11 @ Lija Athletics W 4-028.4 1167 960 59.90% 23.14% 16.96%+0.97 +24.7 3
2004-09-11 Valletta W 3-138.2 1344 1216 56.72% 23.68% 19.60%+0.81 +12.8 6
2004-09-11 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-338.2 1216 1344 19.60% 23.68% 56.72%-0.81 -12.8 3
2004-09-12 Marsaxlokk D 3-362.1 1258 1209 47.57% 24.61% 27.82%+0.39 -0.9 4
2004-09-12 @ Hibernians D 3-362.1 1209 1258 27.82% 24.61% 47.57%-0.39 +0.9 2
2004-09-12 Msida St. Joseph W 5-342.1 1304 1092 64.64% 22.08% 13.28%+1.25 +7.5 4
2004-09-12 @ Birkirkara L 3-542.1 1092 1304 13.28% 22.08% 64.64%-1.25 -7.5 0
2004-09-14 Lija Athletics W 4-027.9 1112 936 61.49% 22.83% 15.69%+1.06 +23.0 3
2004-09-14 @ Floriana L 0-427.9 936 1112 15.69% 22.83% 61.49%-1.06 -23.0 0
2004-09-14 St. Patrick W 4-024.4 1192 862 73.26% 19.11% 7.63%+1.88 +11.0 6
2004-09-14 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 0-424.4 862 1192 7.63% 19.11% 73.26%-1.88 -11.0 0
2004-09-17 Hibernians W 2-143.4 1311 1258 48.10% 24.58% 27.32%+0.41 +9.8 7
2004-09-17 @ Birkirkara L 1-243.4 1258 1311 27.32% 24.58% 48.10%-0.41 -9.8 4
2004-09-18 Pieta Hotspurs W 4-140.0 1210 1203 41.84% 24.85% 33.30%+0.16 +28.1 5
2004-09-18 @ Marsaxlokk L 1-440.0 1203 1210 33.30% 24.85% 41.84%-0.16 -28.2 6
2004-09-18 Valletta W 4-144.8 1084 1203 25.30% 24.41% 50.29%-0.51 +39.1 3
2004-09-18 @ Msida St. Joseph L 1-444.8 1203 1084 50.29% 24.41% 25.30%+0.51 -39.1 3
2004-09-19 Floriana L 0-229.0 851 1135 11.83% 21.52% 66.65%-1.38 -9.2 0
2004-09-19 @ St. Patrick W 2-029.0 1135 851 66.65% 21.52% 11.83%+1.38 +9.2 6
2004-09-19 Sliema Wanderers L 0-423.3 913 1357 5.57% 17.25% 77.18%-2.23 -7.8 0
2004-09-19 @ Lija Athletics W 4-023.3 1357 913 77.18% 17.25% 5.57%+2.23 +7.8 9
2004-09-21 Birkirkara D 1-152.3 1175 1321 22.38% 24.09% 53.52%-0.65 +2.3 7
2004-09-21 @ Pieta Hotspurs D 1-152.3 1321 1175 53.52% 24.09% 22.38%+0.65 -2.3 8
2004-09-21 Msida St. Joseph D 1-152.2 1248 1123 56.33% 23.73% 19.94%+0.79 -2.8 5
2004-09-21 @ Hibernians D 1-152.2 1123 1248 19.94% 23.73% 56.33%-0.79 +2.8 4
2004-09-25 Lija Athletics W 4-131.8 1164 905 68.38% 20.98% 10.65%+1.50 +10.1 6
2004-09-25 @ Valletta L 1-431.8 905 1164 10.65% 20.98% 68.38%-1.50 -10.1 0
2004-09-25 Marsaxlokk W 1-043.9 1144 1238 28.23% 24.64% 47.14%-0.37 +16.0 9
2004-09-25 @ Floriana L 0-143.9 1238 1144 47.14% 24.64% 28.23%+0.37 -16.0 5
2004-09-26 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-142.4 1245 1177 49.84% 24.45% 25.71%+0.49 +9.3 8
2004-09-26 @ Hibernians L 1-242.4 1177 1245 25.71% 24.45% 49.84%-0.49 -9.4 7
2004-09-26 St. Patrick W 2-132.2 1365 842 83.27% 13.69% 3.03%+2.90 +1.0 12
2004-09-26 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-232.2 842 1365 3.03% 13.69% 83.27%-2.90 -1.0 0
2004-09-30 Floriana W 3-029.4 1319 1160 59.82% 23.16% 17.02%+0.97 +19.0 11
2004-09-30 @ Birkirkara L 0-329.4 1160 1319 17.02% 23.16% 59.82%-0.97 -19.0 9
2004-09-30 Lija Athletics W 2-137.3 1126 895 66.22% 21.65% 12.13%+1.35 +4.7 7
2004-09-30 @ Msida St. Joseph L 1-237.3 895 1126 12.13% 21.65% 66.22%-1.35 -4.7 0
2004-10-01 Sliema Wanderers L 1-339.4 1222 1366 22.63% 24.12% 53.25%-0.64 -14.5 5
2004-10-01 @ Marsaxlokk W 3-139.4 1366 1222 53.25% 24.12% 22.63%+0.64 +14.5 15
2004-10-01 Valletta L 1-236.0 840 1174 9.38% 20.29% 70.33%-1.64 -3.6 0
2004-10-01 @ St. Patrick W 2-136.0 1174 840 70.33% 20.29% 9.38%+1.64 +3.6 9
2004-10-16 Msida St. Joseph D 2-257.4 1168 1131 45.94% 24.70% 29.36%+0.32 -0.9 8
2004-10-16 @ Pieta Hotspurs D 2-257.4 1131 1168 29.36% 24.70% 45.94%-0.32 +0.9 8
2004-10-17 Birkirkara D 0-050.0 1380 1338 46.65% 24.66% 28.69%+0.35 -1.5 16
2004-10-17 @ Sliema Wanderers D 0-050.0 1338 1380 28.69% 24.66% 46.65%-0.35 +1.4 12
2004-10-17 St. Patrick W 1-037.7 890 837 48.02% 24.58% 27.40%+0.41 +10.5 3
2004-10-17 @ Lija Athletics L 0-137.7 837 890 27.40% 24.58% 48.02%-0.41 -10.5 0
2004-10-23 Marsaxlokk L 1-243.8 1132 1207 30.49% 24.76% 44.76%-0.28 -10.7 8
2004-10-23 @ Msida St. Joseph W 2-143.8 1207 1132 44.76% 24.76% 30.49%+0.28 +10.7 8
2004-10-23 Sliema Wanderers L 0-230.7 1141 1379 14.70% 22.55% 62.76%-1.14 -11.4 9
2004-10-23 @ Floriana W 2-030.7 1379 1141 62.76% 22.55% 14.70%+1.14 +11.4 19
2004-10-24 Lija Athletics W 2-134.7 1254 901 74.71% 18.46% 6.83%+2.00 +2.6 11
2004-10-24 @ Hibernians L 1-234.7 901 1254 6.83% 18.46% 74.71%-2.00 -2.6 3
2004-10-24 Valletta L 2-351.9 1167 1178 39.38% 24.89% 35.72%+0.07 -12.4 8
2004-10-24 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 3-251.9 1178 1167 35.72% 24.89% 39.38%-0.07 +12.4 12
2004-10-27 Hibernians D 1-152.0 1130 1257 24.40% 24.32% 51.28%-0.55 +2.0 10
2004-10-27 @ Floriana D 1-152.0 1257 1130 51.28% 24.32% 24.40%+0.55 -2.0 12
2004-10-27 Marsaxlokk W 3-143.7 1190 1218 36.97% 24.90% 38.13%-0.02 +22.1 15
2004-10-27 @ Valletta L 1-343.7 1218 1190 38.13% 24.90% 36.97%+0.02 -22.1 8
2004-10-31 Lija Athletics W 5-129.5 1196 898 71.14% 19.98% 8.88%+1.71 +10.8 11
2004-10-31 @ Marsaxlokk L 1-529.5 898 1196 8.88% 19.98% 71.14%-1.71 -10.8 3
2004-10-31 St. Patrick W 7-226.7 1339 826 82.83% 13.98% 3.19%+2.85 +3.6 15
2004-10-31 @ Birkirkara L 2-726.7 826 1339 3.19% 13.98% 82.83%-2.85 -3.6 0
2004-11-20 Sliema Wanderers L 2-348.1 1255 1390 23.52% 24.23% 52.25%-0.59 -8.2 12
2004-11-20 @ Hibernians W 3-248.1 1390 1255 52.25% 24.23% 23.52%+0.59 +8.2 22
2004-11-20 Valletta L 1-252.0 1343 1212 56.98% 23.64% 19.38%+0.82 -17.8 15
2004-11-20 @ Birkirkara W 2-152.0 1212 1343 19.38% 23.64% 56.98%-0.82 +17.9 18
2004-11-21 Floriana L 2-353.2 1155 1132 44.04% 24.78% 31.17%+0.25 -13.5 8
2004-11-21 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 3-253.2 1132 1155 31.17% 24.78% 44.04%-0.25 +13.5 13
2004-11-21 St. Patrick W 3-133.2 1121 823 71.15% 19.98% 8.87%+1.71 +5.9 11
2004-11-21 @ Msida St. Joseph L 1-333.2 823 1121 8.87% 19.98% 71.15%-1.71 -5.9 0
2004-11-26 Pieta Hotspurs W 1-032.3 1399 1141 68.25% 21.02% 10.73%+1.49 +4.4 25
2004-11-26 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-132.3 1141 1399 10.73% 21.02% 68.25%-1.49 -4.4 8
2004-11-27 Birkirkara L 1-627.1 887 1325 5.74% 17.43% 76.82%-2.20 -8.2 3
2004-11-27 @ Lija Athletics W 6-127.1 1325 887 76.82% 17.43% 5.74%+2.20 +8.2 18
2004-11-27 Hibernians D 2-257.6 1230 1247 38.58% 24.90% 36.52%+0.04 -0.1 19
2004-11-27 @ Valletta D 2-257.6 1247 1230 36.52% 24.90% 38.58%-0.04 +0.1 13
2004-11-28 Marsaxlokk D 0-049.6 817 1207 7.21% 18.78% 74.01%-1.94 +6.0 1
2004-11-28 @ St. Patrick D 0-049.6 1207 817 74.01% 18.78% 7.21%+1.94 -6.0 12
2004-11-28 Msida St. Joseph D 1-151.7 1145 1127 43.45% 24.81% 31.74%+0.22 -0.8 14
2004-11-28 @ Floriana D 1-151.7 1127 1145 31.74% 24.81% 43.45%-0.22 +0.8 12
2004-12-03 Lija Athletics W 3-026.5 1137 879 68.27% 21.01% 10.72%+1.49 +12.1 11
2004-12-03 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 0-326.5 879 1137 10.72% 21.01% 68.27%-1.49 -12.1 3
2004-12-04 Marsaxlokk D 1-152.6 1333 1201 57.18% 23.61% 19.21%+0.83 -2.9 19
2004-12-04 @ Birkirkara D 1-152.6 1201 1333 19.21% 23.61% 57.18%-0.83 +2.9 13
2004-12-04 Valletta D 0-048.0 1144 1230 29.23% 24.69% 46.07%-0.33 +1.4 15
2004-12-04 @ Floriana D 0-048.0 1230 1144 46.07% 24.69% 29.23%+0.33 -1.4 20
2004-12-05 Msida St. Joseph D 1-153.5 1403 1128 69.55% 20.57% 9.88%+1.59 -4.8 26
2004-12-05 @ Sliema Wanderers D 1-153.5 1128 1403 9.88% 20.57% 69.55%-1.59 +4.8 13
2004-12-05 St. Patrick D 2-259.7 1247 823 78.61% 16.48% 4.90%+2.37 -4.4 14
2004-12-05 @ Hibernians D 2-259.7 823 1247 4.90% 16.48% 78.61%-2.37 +4.4 2
2004-12-10 Floriana D 1-152.6 867 1146 12.12% 21.64% 66.24%-1.35 +4.3 4
2004-12-10 @ Lija Athletics D 1-152.6 1146 867 66.24% 21.64% 12.12%+1.35 -4.3 16
2004-12-12 Birkirkara L 0-231.6 1133 1330 17.70% 23.31% 59.00%-0.92 -13.5 13
2004-12-12 @ Msida St. Joseph W 2-031.6 1330 1133 59.00% 23.31% 17.70%+0.92 +13.5 22
2004-12-12 Pieta Hotspurs L 0-526.0 827 1149 9.94% 20.61% 69.45%-1.58 -18.0 2
2004-12-12 @ St. Patrick W 5-026.0 1149 827 69.45% 20.61% 9.94%+1.58 +18.0 14
2004-12-13 Hibernians L 1-245.5 1204 1242 35.42% 24.89% 39.69%-0.08 -12.1 13
2004-12-13 @ Marsaxlokk W 2-145.5 1242 1204 39.69% 24.89% 35.42%+0.08 +12.0 17
2004-12-13 Sliema Wanderers W 3-257.6 1229 1398 20.16% 23.77% 56.07%-0.77 +16.7 23
2004-12-13 @ Valletta L 2-357.6 1398 1229 56.07% 23.77% 20.16%+0.77 -16.7 26
2004-12-17 St. Patrick W 2-135.1 1142 809 73.37% 19.06% 7.56%+1.89 +2.9 19
2004-12-17 @ Floriana L 1-235.1 809 1142 7.56% 19.06% 73.37%-1.89 -2.9 2
2004-12-19 Birkirkara W 4-251.3 1254 1344 28.75% 24.67% 46.58%-0.35 +23.1 20
2004-12-19 @ Hibernians L 2-451.3 1344 1254 46.58% 24.67% 28.75%+0.35 -23.2 22
2004-12-19 Msida St. Joseph W 5-134.0 1245 1119 56.53% 23.71% 19.76%+0.80 +23.6 26
2004-12-19 @ Valletta L 1-534.0 1119 1245 19.76% 23.71% 56.53%-0.80 -23.6 13
2005-01-02 Pieta Hotspurs L 2-357.7 1321 1167 59.36% 23.24% 17.40%+0.94 -17.6 22
2005-01-02 @ Birkirkara W 3-257.7 1167 1321 17.40% 23.24% 59.36%-0.94 +17.6 17
2005-01-02 Valletta L 1-234.8 871 1269 6.94% 18.56% 74.50%-1.98 -2.6 4
2005-01-02 @ Lija Athletics W 2-134.8 1269 871 74.50% 18.56% 6.94%+1.98 +2.6 29
2005-01-03 Hibernians L 0-232.0 1095 1278 19.02% 23.57% 57.41%-0.84 -14.4 13
2005-01-03 @ Msida St. Joseph W 2-032.0 1278 1095 57.41% 23.57% 19.02%+0.84 +14.4 23
2005-01-05 Lija Athletics L 0-151.3 1381 869 82.83% 13.98% 3.19%+2.85 -25.5 26
2005-01-05 @ Sliema Wanderers W 1-051.3 869 1381 3.19% 13.98% 82.83%-2.85 +25.6 7
2005-01-05 Marsaxlokk L 0-336.5 1184 1192 39.89% 24.89% 35.22%+0.09 -38.3 17
2005-01-05 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 3-036.5 1192 1184 35.22% 24.89% 39.89%-0.09 +38.3 16
2005-01-07 St. Patrick W 5-022.7 1272 807 80.66% 15.31% 4.02%+2.59 +6.7 32
2005-01-07 @ Valletta L 0-522.7 807 1272 4.02% 15.31% 80.66%-2.59 -6.7 2
2005-01-08 Birkirkara L 1-338.4 1144 1303 21.17% 23.93% 54.91%-0.72 -13.7 19
2005-01-08 @ Floriana W 3-138.4 1303 1144 54.91% 23.93% 21.17%+0.72 +13.7 25
2005-01-08 Marsaxlokk W 2-141.0 1356 1230 56.50% 23.71% 19.79%+0.79 +7.5 29
2005-01-08 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-241.0 1230 1356 19.79% 23.71% 56.50%-0.79 -7.5 16
2005-01-09 Hibernians L 1-338.8 1146 1292 22.42% 24.10% 53.48%-0.65 -14.4 17
2005-01-09 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 3-138.8 1292 1146 53.48% 24.10% 22.42%+0.65 +14.4 26
2005-01-09 Msida St. Joseph L 1-239.7 894 1081 18.61% 23.50% 57.90%-0.87 -7.1 7
2005-01-09 @ Lija Athletics W 2-139.7 1081 894 57.90% 23.50% 18.61%+0.87 +7.1 16
2005-01-11 Floriana L 0-145.4 1222 1131 52.70% 24.18% 23.12%+0.61 -17.6 16
2005-01-11 @ Marsaxlokk W 1-045.4 1131 1222 23.12% 24.18% 52.70%-0.61 +17.6 22
2005-01-11 Sliema Wanderers L 0-127.3 800 1363 3.14% 13.89% 82.97%-2.86 -1.1 2
2005-01-11 @ St. Patrick W 1-027.3 1363 800 82.97% 13.89% 3.14%+2.86 +1.1 32
2005-01-15 Floriana W 2-031.4 1306 1148 59.76% 23.17% 17.07%+0.96 +13.1 29
2005-01-15 @ Hibernians L 0-231.4 1148 1306 17.07% 23.17% 59.76%-0.96 -13.1 22
2005-01-15 Pieta Hotspurs D 1-151.7 1088 1132 34.76% 24.88% 40.36%-0.10 +0.4 17
2005-01-15 @ Msida St. Joseph D 1-151.7 1132 1088 40.36% 24.88% 34.76%+0.10 -0.4 18
2005-01-16 Lija Athletics W 2-040.3 799 887 28.90% 24.68% 46.43%-0.34 +29.8 5
2005-01-16 @ St. Patrick L 0-240.3 887 799 46.43% 24.68% 28.90%+0.34 -29.8 7
2005-01-16 Valletta D 1-152.1 1205 1278 30.75% 24.77% 44.48%-0.26 +1.0 17
2005-01-16 @ Marsaxlokk D 1-152.1 1278 1205 44.48% 24.77% 30.75%+0.26 -1.0 33
2005-01-22 Marsaxlokk L 0-325.5 857 1206 8.75% 19.90% 71.35%-1.72 -9.8 7
2005-01-22 @ Lija Athletics W 3-025.5 1206 857 71.35% 19.90% 8.75%+1.72 +9.8 20
2005-01-22 Sliema Wanderers L 0-238.4 1317 1365 34.19% 24.87% 40.94%-0.13 -23.5 25
2005-01-22 @ Birkirkara W 2-038.4 1365 1317 40.94% 24.87% 34.19%+0.13 +23.5 35
2005-01-23 Msida St. Joseph W 3-258.5 829 1088 13.25% 22.07% 64.67%-1.25 +19.0 8
2005-01-23 @ St. Patrick L 2-358.5 1088 829 64.67% 22.07% 13.25%+1.25 -19.0 17
2005-01-23 Pieta Hotspurs D 1-151.7 1135 1131 41.48% 24.86% 33.66%+0.15 -0.5 23
2005-01-23 @ Floriana D 1-151.7 1131 1135 33.66% 24.86% 41.48%-0.15 +0.5 19
2005-01-29 Floriana D 1-151.7 1069 1135 31.82% 24.81% 43.37%-0.22 +0.8 18
2005-01-29 @ Msida St. Joseph D 1-151.7 1135 1069 43.37% 24.81% 31.82%+0.22 -0.8 24
2005-01-29 St. Patrick W 3-131.9 1216 848 75.54% 18.07% 6.39%+2.08 +4.2 23
2005-01-29 @ Marsaxlokk L 1-331.9 848 1216 6.39% 18.07% 75.54%-2.08 -4.1 8
2005-01-30 Birkirkara L 0-142.0 1277 1293 38.63% 24.90% 36.47%+0.04 -13.6 33
2005-01-30 @ Valletta W 1-042.0 1293 1277 36.47% 24.90% 38.63%-0.04 +13.6 28
2005-01-30 Hibernians D 1-153.8 1388 1320 49.92% 24.44% 25.64%+0.49 -1.8 36
2005-01-30 @ Sliema Wanderers D 1-153.8 1320 1388 25.64% 24.44% 49.92%-0.49 +1.8 30
2005-02-04 Sliema Wanderers L 2-343.7 1132 1386 13.59% 22.19% 64.21%-1.22 -5.0 19
2005-02-04 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 3-243.7 1386 1132 64.21% 22.19% 13.59%+1.22 +5.0 39
2005-02-04 Valletta W 2-143.4 1321 1264 48.59% 24.54% 26.87%+0.43 +9.7 33
2005-02-04 @ Hibernians L 1-243.4 1264 1321 26.87% 24.54% 48.59%-0.43 -9.7 33
2005-02-05 Lija Athletics W 4-022.3 1307 847 80.41% 15.46% 4.13%+2.56 +5.6 31
2005-02-05 @ Birkirkara L 0-422.3 847 1307 4.13% 15.46% 80.41%-2.56 -5.6 7
2005-02-05 Msida St. Joseph W 2-139.5 1220 1070 58.90% 23.33% 17.77%+0.92 +6.8 26
2005-02-05 @ Marsaxlokk L 1-239.5 1070 1220 17.77% 23.33% 58.90%-0.92 -6.8 18
2005-02-12 Birkirkara D 3-364.2 843 1313 4.95% 16.54% 78.51%-2.36 +3.7 9
2005-02-12 @ St. Patrick D 3-364.2 1313 843 78.51% 16.54% 4.95%+2.36 -3.7 32
2005-02-12 Floriana W 1-032.2 1391 1134 68.24% 21.02% 10.74%+1.49 +4.4 42
2005-02-12 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-132.2 1134 1391 10.74% 21.02% 68.24%-1.49 -4.4 24
2005-02-13 Hibernians L 0-128.3 842 1331 4.50% 15.97% 79.53%-2.47 -1.7 7
2005-02-13 @ Lija Athletics W 1-028.3 1331 842 79.53% 15.97% 4.50%+2.47 +1.7 36
2005-02-13 Pieta Hotspurs W 4-135.5 1254 1127 56.63% 23.69% 19.68%+0.80 +18.2 36
2005-02-13 @ Valletta L 1-435.5 1127 1254 19.68% 23.69% 56.63%-0.80 -18.2 19

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2005-02-20 Floriana W 2-137.0 1396 1129 68.89% 20.80% 10.31%+1.54 +4.0 3
2005-02-20 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-237.0 1129 1396 10.31% 20.80% 68.89%-1.54 -4.0 0
2005-02-20 St. Patrick W 1-040.2 840 847 39.94% 24.89% 35.17%+0.09 +12.7 3
2005-02-20 @ Lija Athletics L 0-140.2 847 840 35.17% 24.89% 39.94%-0.09 -12.7 0
2005-02-21 Hibernians D 1-152.9 1309 1333 37.55% 24.90% 37.55%+0.00 +0.0 1
2005-02-21 @ Birkirkara D 1-152.9 1333 1309 37.55% 24.90% 37.55%+0.00 +0.0 1
2005-02-21 Marsaxlokk W 4-138.6 1272 1226 47.06% 24.64% 28.30%+0.37 +24.8 3
2005-02-21 @ Valletta L 1-438.6 1226 1272 28.30% 24.64% 47.06%-0.37 -24.8 0
2005-02-26 Floriana W 3-028.6 1309 1125 62.15% 22.68% 15.17%+1.10 +17.0 4
2005-02-26 @ Birkirkara L 0-328.6 1125 1309 15.17% 22.68% 62.15%-1.10 -17.0 0
2005-02-26 Valletta L 0-339.2 1333 1297 45.77% 24.71% 29.52%+0.32 -42.8 1
2005-02-26 @ Hibernians W 3-039.2 1297 1333 29.52% 24.71% 45.77%-0.32 +42.8 6
2005-02-27 Msida St. Joseph D 1-151.8 1108 1063 46.97% 24.64% 28.38%+0.36 -1.3 1
2005-02-27 @ Pieta Hotspurs D 1-151.8 1063 1108 28.38% 24.64% 46.97%-0.36 +1.3 1
2005-02-27 Sliema Wanderers L 1-240.4 1202 1400 17.69% 23.31% 59.01%-0.92 -6.8 0
2005-02-27 @ Marsaxlokk W 2-140.4 1400 1202 59.01% 23.31% 17.69%+0.92 +6.8 6
2005-03-05 Birkirkara D 1-154.2 1406 1326 51.36% 24.32% 24.32%+0.55 -2.0 7
2005-03-05 @ Sliema Wanderers D 1-154.2 1326 1406 24.32% 24.32% 51.36%-0.55 +2.0 5
2005-03-05 Valletta L 0-133.8 1108 1340 15.15% 22.68% 62.17%-1.10 -6.2 0
2005-03-05 @ Floriana W 1-033.8 1340 1108 62.17% 22.68% 15.15%+1.10 +6.2 9
2005-03-06 Hibernians L 1-340.8 1195 1290 28.07% 24.63% 47.30%-0.38 -17.4 0
2005-03-06 @ Marsaxlokk W 3-140.8 1290 1195 47.30% 24.63% 28.07%+0.38 +17.4 4
2005-03-06 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-045.3 834 1107 12.48% 21.78% 65.74%-1.32 +40.7 3
2005-03-06 @ St. Patrick L 0-245.3 1107 834 65.74% 21.78% 12.48%+1.32 -40.7 1
2005-03-12 Marsaxlokk D 2-258.1 1328 1178 59.01% 23.31% 17.68%+0.92 -2.4 6
2005-03-12 @ Birkirkara D 2-258.1 1178 1328 17.68% 23.31% 59.01%-0.92 +2.4 1
2005-03-12 Sliema Wanderers L 0-336.9 1346 1404 32.72% 24.84% 42.44%-0.18 -32.9 9
2005-03-12 @ Valletta W 3-036.9 1404 1346 42.44% 24.84% 32.72%+0.18 +32.9 10
2005-03-13 Floriana D 1-152.7 1307 1102 64.05% 22.23% 13.71%+1.21 -4.0 5
2005-03-13 @ Hibernians D 1-152.7 1102 1307 13.71% 22.23% 64.05%-1.21 +4.0 1
2005-03-13 Lija Athletics W 2-029.6 1065 853 64.63% 22.08% 13.28%+1.25 +10.3 4
2005-03-13 @ Msida St. Joseph L 0-229.6 853 1065 13.28% 22.08% 64.63%-1.25 -10.3 3
2005-03-19 Birkirkara L 1-247.6 1313 1326 39.13% 24.90% 35.97%+0.06 -13.0 9
2005-03-19 @ Valletta W 2-147.6 1326 1313 35.97% 24.90% 39.13%-0.06 +13.0 9
2005-03-19 Hibernians D 1-154.5 1437 1303 57.33% 23.59% 19.09%+0.84 -2.9 11
2005-03-19 @ Sliema Wanderers D 1-154.5 1303 1437 19.09% 23.59% 57.33%-0.84 +2.9 6
2005-03-20 Floriana W 1-037.1 1180 1106 50.56% 24.39% 25.05%+0.52 +9.7 4
2005-03-20 @ Marsaxlokk L 0-137.1 1106 1180 25.05% 24.39% 50.56%-0.52 -9.7 1
2005-03-20 Lija Athletics W 1-032.5 1066 843 65.62% 21.82% 12.56%+1.31 +5.2 4
2005-03-20 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 0-132.5 843 1066 12.56% 21.82% 65.62%-1.31 -5.2 3
2005-04-09 Sliema Wanderers L 0-131.5 1096 1434 9.20% 20.18% 70.62%-1.67 -3.8 1
2005-04-09 @ Floriana W 1-031.5 1434 1096 70.62% 20.18% 9.20%+1.67 +3.8 14
2005-04-09 Valletta L 0-137.8 1190 1300 26.27% 24.49% 49.24%-0.46 -10.1 4
2005-04-09 @ Marsaxlokk W 1-037.8 1300 1190 49.24% 24.49% 26.27%+0.46 +10.1 12
2005-04-10 Birkirkara D 2-258.5 1306 1339 36.32% 24.90% 38.78%-0.05 +0.1 7
2005-04-10 @ Hibernians D 2-258.5 1339 1306 38.78% 24.90% 36.32%+0.05 -0.1 10
2005-04-10 St. Patrick W 3-027.8 1075 875 63.62% 22.34% 14.04%+1.19 +15.8 7
2005-04-10 @ Msida St. Joseph L 0-327.8 875 1075 14.04% 22.34% 63.62%-1.19 -15.8 3
2005-04-16 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-144.1 1091 1072 43.57% 24.80% 31.63%+0.23 +11.0 10
2005-04-16 @ Msida St. Joseph L 1-244.1 1072 1091 31.63% 24.80% 43.57%-0.23 -11.0 4
2005-04-16 Sliema Wanderers L 0-230.7 1180 1438 13.33% 22.10% 64.56%-1.25 -10.3 4
2005-04-16 @ Marsaxlokk W 2-030.7 1438 1180 64.56% 22.10% 13.33%+1.25 +10.3 17
2005-04-17 Birkirkara L 0-230.2 1093 1339 14.16% 22.38% 63.46%-1.18 -11.0 1
2005-04-17 @ Floriana W 2-030.2 1339 1093 63.46% 22.38% 14.16%+1.18 +11.0 13
2005-04-17 Hibernians L 0-240.0 1310 1306 41.43% 24.86% 33.71%+0.15 -27.2 12
2005-04-17 @ Valletta W 2-040.0 1306 1310 33.71% 24.86% 41.43%-0.15 +27.2 10
2005-04-21 Lija Athletics W 4-139.1 859 837 43.92% 24.79% 31.29%+0.24 +26.8 6
2005-04-21 @ St. Patrick L 1-439.1 837 859 31.29% 24.79% 43.92%-0.24 -26.8 3
2005-04-21 Marsaxlokk W 3-029.3 1334 1169 60.36% 23.06% 16.58%+1.00 +18.5 13
2005-04-21 @ Hibernians L 0-329.3 1169 1334 16.58% 23.06% 60.36%-1.00 -18.5 4
2005-04-23 Floriana W 2-138.2 1283 1082 63.71% 22.32% 13.97%+1.19 +5.4 15
2005-04-23 @ Valletta L 1-238.2 1082 1283 13.97% 22.32% 63.71%-1.19 -5.4 1
2005-04-23 Sliema Wanderers W 3-149.9 1349 1448 27.59% 24.59% 47.81%-0.40 +26.5 16
2005-04-23 @ Birkirkara L 1-349.9 1448 1349 47.81% 24.59% 27.59%+0.40 -26.5 17
2005-04-29 Birkirkara L 0-329.0 1151 1376 15.58% 22.80% 61.62%-1.07 -17.5 4
2005-04-29 @ Marsaxlokk W 3-029.0 1376 1151 61.62% 22.80% 15.58%+1.07 +17.5 19
2005-04-29 Lija Athletics D 1-153.1 1102 811 70.69% 20.15% 9.16%+1.67 -5.0 11
2005-04-29 @ Msida St. Joseph D 1-153.1 811 1102 9.16% 20.15% 70.69%-1.67 +5.0 4
2005-04-30 Hibernians L 0-132.6 1076 1352 12.31% 21.72% 65.98%-1.34 -5.1 1
2005-04-30 @ Floriana W 1-032.6 1352 1076 65.98% 21.72% 12.31%+1.34 +5.1 16
2005-04-30 St. Patrick W 4-028.0 1061 886 61.32% 22.86% 15.82%+1.05 +23.1 7
2005-04-30 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 0-428.0 886 1061 15.82% 22.86% 61.32%-1.05 -23.1 6
2005-05-02 Valletta D 0-050.2 1422 1288 57.30% 23.59% 19.11%+0.84 -3.3 18
2005-05-02 @ Sliema Wanderers D 0-050.2 1288 1422 19.11% 23.59% 57.30%-0.84 +3.3 16
2005-05-06 Marsaxlokk W 4-356.1 1071 1133 32.26% 24.82% 42.92%-0.20 +12.9 4
2005-05-06 @ Floriana L 3-456.1 1133 1071 42.92% 24.82% 32.26%+0.20 -12.9 4
2005-05-06 Pieta Hotspurs L 0-327.3 816 1084 12.75% 21.89% 65.36%-1.30 -14.4 4
2005-05-06 @ Lija Athletics W 3-027.3 1084 816 65.36% 21.89% 12.75%+1.30 +14.4 10
2005-05-07 Msida St. Joseph W 4-254.6 863 1097 14.95% 22.62% 62.43%-1.12 +30.1 9
2005-05-07 @ St. Patrick L 2-454.6 1097 863 62.43% 22.62% 14.95%+1.12 -30.1 11
2005-05-07 Valletta W 6-342.5 1393 1292 53.85% 24.06% 22.10%+0.67 +16.2 22
2005-05-07 @ Birkirkara L 3-642.5 1292 1393 22.10% 24.06% 53.85%-0.67 -16.2 16
2005-05-08 Sliema Wanderers D 1-154.8 1357 1419 32.31% 24.82% 42.87%-0.20 +0.8 17
2005-05-08 @ Hibernians D 1-154.8 1419 1357 42.87% 24.82% 32.31%+0.20 -0.7 19

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2005-01-05 3.19% Lija Athletics 869 1 @ Sliema Wanderers 1381 0
2 2005-03-06 12.48% @ St. Patrick 834 2 Pieta Hotspurs 1107 0
3 2005-01-23 13.25% @ St. Patrick 829 3 Msida St. Joseph 1088 2
4 2005-05-07 14.95% @ St. Patrick 863 4 Msida St. Joseph 1097 2
5 2005-01-02 17.40% Pieta Hotspurs 1167 3 @ Birkirkara 1321 2
6 2004-11-20 19.38% Valletta 1212 2 @ Birkirkara 1343 1
7 2004-12-13 20.16% @ Valletta 1229 3 Sliema Wanderers 1398 2
8 2005-01-11 23.12% Floriana 1131 1 @ Marsaxlokk 1222 0
9 2004-09-18 25.30% @ Msida St. Joseph 1084 4 Valletta 1203 1
10 2005-04-23 27.59% @ Birkirkara 1349 3 Sliema Wanderers 1448 1
11 2004-09-25 28.23% @ Floriana 1144 1 Marsaxlokk 1238 0
12 2004-12-19 28.75% @ Hibernians 1254 4 Birkirkara 1344 2
13 2005-01-16 28.90% @ St. Patrick 799 2 Lija Athletics 887 0
14 2005-02-26 29.52% Valletta 1297 3 @ Hibernians 1333 0
15 2004-11-21 31.17% Floriana 1132 3 @ Pieta Hotspurs 1155 2
16 2005-05-06 32.26% @ Floriana 1071 4 Marsaxlokk 1133 3
17 2005-04-17 33.71% Hibernians 1306 2 @ Valletta 1310 0
18 2005-01-05 35.22% Marsaxlokk 1192 3 @ Pieta Hotspurs 1184 0
19 2004-10-24 35.72% Valletta 1178 3 @ Pieta Hotspurs 1167 2
20 2005-03-19 35.97% Birkirkara 1326 2 @ Valletta 1313 1
21 2005-01-30 36.47% Birkirkara 1293 1 @ Valletta 1277 0
22 2004-10-27 36.97% @ Valletta 1190 3 Marsaxlokk 1218 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-02-26 42.78 Valletta 3 1297 29.52% @ Hibernians 0 1333 45.77% 24.71%
2 2005-03-06 40.67 @ St. Patrick 2 834 12.48% Pieta Hotspurs 0 1107 65.74% 21.78%
3 2004-09-18 39.10 @ Msida St. Joseph 4 1084 25.30% Valletta 1 1203 50.29% 24.41%
4 2005-01-05 38.31 Marsaxlokk 3 1192 35.22% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 1184 39.89% 24.89%
5 2005-03-12 32.94 Sliema Wanderers 3 1404 42.44% @ Valletta 0 1346 32.72% 24.84%
6 2005-05-07 30.06 @ St. Patrick 4 863 14.95% Msida St. Joseph 2 1097 62.43% 22.62%
7 2005-01-16 29.81 @ St. Patrick 2 799 28.90% Lija Athletics 0 887 46.43% 24.68%
8 2004-09-18 28.16 @ Marsaxlokk 4 1210 41.84% Pieta Hotspurs 1 1203 33.30% 24.85%
9 2005-04-17 27.17 Hibernians 2 1306 33.71% @ Valletta 0 1310 41.43% 24.86%
10 2005-04-21 26.82 @ St. Patrick 4 859 43.92% Lija Athletics 1 837 31.29% 24.79%
11 2005-04-23 26.47 @ Birkirkara 3 1349 27.59% Sliema Wanderers 1 1448 47.81% 24.59%
12 2005-01-05 25.55 Lija Athletics 1 869 3.19% @ Sliema Wanderers 0 1381 82.83% 13.98%
13 2005-02-21 24.76 @ Valletta 4 1272 47.06% Marsaxlokk 1 1226 28.30% 24.64%
14 2004-09-11 24.68 Pieta Hotspurs 4 1167 59.90% @ Lija Athletics 0 960 16.96% 23.14%
15 2004-12-19 23.61 @ Valletta 5 1245 56.53% Msida St. Joseph 1 1119 19.76% 23.71%
16 2005-01-22 23.46 Sliema Wanderers 2 1365 40.94% @ Birkirkara 0 1317 34.19% 24.87%
17 2004-12-19 23.15 @ Hibernians 4 1254 28.75% Birkirkara 2 1344 46.58% 24.67%
18 2005-04-30 23.13 @ Pieta Hotspurs 4 1061 61.32% St. Patrick 0 886 15.82% 22.86%
19 2004-09-14 22.96 @ Floriana 4 1112 61.49% Lija Athletics 0 936 15.69% 22.83%
20 2004-10-27 22.06 @ Valletta 3 1190 36.97% Marsaxlokk 1 1218 38.13% 24.90%
21 2005-01-23 19.01 @ St. Patrick 3 829 13.25% Msida St. Joseph 2 1088 64.67% 22.07%
22 2004-09-30 18.96 @ Birkirkara 3 1319 59.82% Floriana 0 1160 17.02% 23.16%
23 2005-04-21 18.50 @ Hibernians 3 1334 60.36% Marsaxlokk 0 1169 16.58% 23.06%
24 2005-02-13 18.23 @ Valletta 4 1254 56.63% Pieta Hotspurs 1 1127 19.68% 23.69%
25 2004-12-12 18.00 Pieta Hotspurs 5 1149 69.45% @ St. Patrick 0 827 9.94% 20.61%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-02-12 64.2 @ St. Patrick 3 843 4.95% Birkirkara 3 1313 78.51% 16.54%
2 2004-09-12 62.1 @ Hibernians 3 1258 47.57% Marsaxlokk 3 1209 27.82% 24.61%
3 2004-12-05 59.7 @ Hibernians 2 1247 78.61% St. Patrick 2 823 4.90% 16.48%
4 2005-01-23 58.5 @ St. Patrick 3 829 13.25% Msida St. Joseph 2 1088 64.67% 22.07%
5 2005-04-10 58.5 @ Hibernians 2 1306 36.32% Birkirkara 2 1339 38.78% 24.90%
6 2005-03-12 58.1 @ Birkirkara 2 1328 59.01% Marsaxlokk 2 1178 17.68% 23.31%
7 2005-01-02 57.7 Pieta Hotspurs 3 1167 17.40% @ Birkirkara 2 1321 59.36% 23.24%
8 2004-11-27 57.6 @ Valletta 2 1230 38.58% Hibernians 2 1247 36.52% 24.90%
9 2004-12-13 57.6 @ Valletta 3 1229 20.16% Sliema Wanderers 2 1398 56.07% 23.77%
10 2004-10-16 57.4 @ Pieta Hotspurs 2 1168 45.94% Msida St. Joseph 2 1131 29.36% 24.70%
11 2005-05-06 56.1 @ Floriana 4 1071 32.26% Marsaxlokk 3 1133 42.92% 24.82%
12 2005-05-08 54.8 @ Hibernians 1 1357 32.31% Sliema Wanderers 1 1419 42.87% 24.82%
13 2005-05-07 54.6 @ St. Patrick 4 863 14.95% Msida St. Joseph 2 1097 62.43% 22.62%
14 2005-03-19 54.5 @ Sliema Wanderers 1 1437 57.33% Hibernians 1 1303 19.09% 23.59%
15 2005-03-05 54.2 @ Sliema Wanderers 1 1406 51.36% Birkirkara 1 1326 24.32% 24.32%
16 2005-01-30 53.8 @ Sliema Wanderers 1 1388 49.92% Hibernians 1 1320 25.64% 24.44%
17 2004-12-05 53.5 @ Sliema Wanderers 1 1403 69.55% Msida St. Joseph 1 1128 9.88% 20.57%
18 2004-11-21 53.2 Floriana 3 1132 31.17% @ Pieta Hotspurs 2 1155 44.04% 24.78%
19 2005-04-29 53.1 @ Msida St. Joseph 1 1102 70.69% Lija Athletics 1 811 9.16% 20.15%
20 2005-02-21 52.9 @ Birkirkara 1 1309 37.55% Hibernians 1 1333 37.55% 24.90%
21 2005-03-13 52.7 @ Hibernians 1 1307 64.05% Floriana 1 1102 13.71% 22.23%
22 2004-12-04 52.6 @ Birkirkara 1 1333 57.18% Marsaxlokk 1 1201 19.21% 23.61%
23 2004-12-10 52.6 @ Lija Athletics 1 867 12.12% Floriana 1 1146 66.24% 21.64%
24 2004-09-21 52.3 @ Pieta Hotspurs 1 1175 22.38% Birkirkara 1 1321 53.52% 24.09%
25 2004-09-08 52.2 @ Marsaxlokk 1 1207 27.72% Birkirkara 1 1305 47.68% 24.60%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-02-05 22.3 @ Birkirkara 4 1307 80.41% Lija Athletics 0 847 4.13% 15.46%
2 2005-01-07 22.7 @ Valletta 5 1272 80.66% St. Patrick 0 807 4.02% 15.31%
3 2004-09-19 23.3 Sliema Wanderers 4 1357 77.18% @ Lija Athletics 0 913 5.57% 17.25%
4 2004-09-14 24.4 @ Pieta Hotspurs 4 1192 73.26% St. Patrick 0 862 7.63% 19.11%
5 2005-01-22 25.5 Marsaxlokk 3 1206 71.35% @ Lija Athletics 0 857 8.75% 19.90%
6 2004-12-12 26.0 Pieta Hotspurs 5 1149 69.45% @ St. Patrick 0 827 9.94% 20.61%
7 2004-12-03 26.5 @ Pieta Hotspurs 3 1137 68.27% Lija Athletics 0 879 10.72% 21.01%
8 2004-10-31 26.7 @ Birkirkara 7 1339 82.83% St. Patrick 2 826 3.19% 13.98%
9 2004-11-27 27.1 Birkirkara 6 1325 76.82% @ Lija Athletics 1 887 5.74% 17.43%
10 2005-01-11 27.3 Sliema Wanderers 1 1363 82.97% @ St. Patrick 0 800 3.14% 13.89%
11 2005-05-06 27.3 Pieta Hotspurs 3 1084 65.36% @ Lija Athletics 0 816 12.75% 21.89%
12 2005-04-10 27.8 @ Msida St. Joseph 3 1075 63.62% St. Patrick 0 875 14.04% 22.34%
13 2004-09-14 27.9 @ Floriana 4 1112 61.49% Lija Athletics 0 936 15.69% 22.83%
14 2005-04-30 28.0 @ Pieta Hotspurs 4 1061 61.32% St. Patrick 0 886 15.82% 22.86%
15 2005-02-13 28.3 Hibernians 1 1331 79.53% @ Lija Athletics 0 842 4.50% 15.97%
16 2004-09-11 28.4 Pieta Hotspurs 4 1167 59.90% @ Lija Athletics 0 960 16.96% 23.14%
17 2005-02-26 28.6 @ Birkirkara 3 1309 62.15% Floriana 0 1125 15.17% 22.68%
18 2004-09-19 29.0 Floriana 2 1135 66.65% @ St. Patrick 0 851 11.83% 21.52%
19 2005-04-29 29.0 Birkirkara 3 1376 61.62% @ Marsaxlokk 0 1151 15.58% 22.80%
20 2005-04-21 29.3 @ Hibernians 3 1334 60.36% Marsaxlokk 0 1169 16.58% 23.06%
21 2004-09-30 29.4 @ Birkirkara 3 1319 59.82% Floriana 0 1160 17.02% 23.16%
22 2004-10-31 29.5 @ Marsaxlokk 5 1196 71.14% Lija Athletics 1 898 8.88% 19.98%
23 2005-03-13 29.6 @ Msida St. Joseph 2 1065 64.63% Lija Athletics 0 853 13.28% 22.08%
24 2004-09-08 30.0 Hibernians 1 1256 74.08% @ St. Patrick 0 865 7.17% 18.75%
25 2005-04-17 30.2 Birkirkara 2 1339 63.46% @ Floriana 0 1093 14.16% 22.38%