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2005-06 Maltese Premier League Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Birkirkara

41 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Marsaxlokk

9.05 points above expected

34 points · 24.95 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Mosta

6.83 points below expected

8 points · 14.83 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Birkirkara 18 13 2 3 41 48 21 +27 36.26 +4.74
2 Sliema Wanderers 18 12 3 3 39 37 12 +25 36.56 +2.44
3 Hibernians 18 12 1 5 37 37 19 +18 33.97 +3.03
4 Marsaxlokk 18 10 4 4 34 36 23 +13 24.95 +9.05
5 Valletta 18 7 2 9 23 22 31 -9 26.42 -3.42
6 Msida St. Joseph 18 6 3 9 21 28 33 -5 22.98 -1.98
7 Floriana 18 4 7 7 19 24 28 -4 19.56 -0.56
8 Hamrun Spartans 18 6 1 11 19 29 41 -12 15.99 +3.01
9 Pieta Hotspurs 18 4 3 11 15 22 39 -17 20.00 -5.00
10 Mosta 18 2 2 14 8 20 56 -36 14.83 -6.83
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Birkirkara 10 6 3 1 21 20 6 +14 39.52 -18.52
2 Marsaxlokk 10 6 1 3 19 16 13 +3 29.35 -10.35
3 Sliema Wanderers 10 5 2 3 17 21 15 +6 38.23 -21.23
4 Mosta 6 3 3 0 12 14 9 +5 9.67 +2.33
5 Valletta 10 3 3 4 12 15 18 -3 22.35 -10.35
6 Pieta Hotspurs 6 2 3 1 9 9 8 +1 17.21 -8.21
7 Hibernians 10 2 3 5 9 12 18 -6 35.18 -26.18
8 Floriana 6 2 2 2 8 12 9 +3 20.59 -12.59
9 Msida St. Joseph 10 0 4 6 4 12 26 -14 19.26 -15.26
10 Hamrun Spartans 6 0 2 4 2 6 15 -9 18.03 -16.03

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Marsaxlokk 34 24.95 +9.05
2 Birkirkara 41 36.26 +4.74
3 Hibernians 37 33.97 +3.03
4 Hamrun Spartans 19 15.99 +3.01
5 Sliema Wanderers 39 36.56 +2.44

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Mosta 8 14.83 -6.83
2 Pieta Hotspurs 15 20.00 -5.00
3 Valletta 23 26.42 -3.42
4 Msida St. Joseph 21 22.98 -1.98
5 Floriana 19 19.56 -0.56

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Marsaxlokk 6 Oct 30 – Jan 17 1 in 134
2 Sliema Wanderers 8 Aug 6 – Oct 16 1 in 60
3 Hibernians 5 Aug 12 – Sep 26 1 in 18
4 Floriana 2 Oct 30 – Dec 3 1 in 12
5 Msida St. Joseph 2 Aug 21 – Sep 10 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pieta Hotspurs 6 Oct 30 – Jan 21 1 in 157
2 Sliema Wanderers 2 Oct 22 – Oct 29 1 in 24
3 Mosta 6 Sep 28 – Dec 4 1 in 23
4 Floriana 3 Aug 20 – Sep 17 1 in 14
5 Hibernians 2 Jan 14 – Jan 28 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Floriana 5 Oct 30 – Jan 7 1 in 32
2 Marsaxlokk 7 Oct 30 – Jan 24 1 in 27
3 Msida St. Joseph 3 Aug 21 – Sep 18 1 in 6
4 Sliema Wanderers 8 Aug 6 – Oct 16 1 in 6
5 Hibernians 7 Oct 15 – Jan 8 1 in 5

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Floriana 9 Aug 5 – Oct 21 1 in 29
2 Sliema Wanderers 3 Oct 22 – Nov 20 1 in 22
3 Pieta Hotspurs 7 Oct 30 – Jan 29 1 in 20
4 Mosta 11 Aug 21 – Dec 4 1 in 14
5 Msida St. Joseph 7 Dec 3 – Feb 4 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Birkirkara 1301 62 +10 10 9.9 +0.1
Sliema Wanderers 1268 56 -8 7 9.2 -2.2
Marsaxlokk 1153 53 +36 13 6.3 +6.7
Hibernians 1171 46 -8 5 7.3 -2.3
Valletta 1078 35 -19 4 5.4 -1.4
Floriana 1025 27 -13 5 9.0 -4.0
Msida St. Joseph 991 25 -11 2 3.8 -1.8
Pieta Hotspurs 980 24 +19 9 7.4 +1.6
Hamrun Spartans 894 21 -29 2 6.1 -4.1
Mosta 897 20 +23 9 5.4 +3.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BIR FLO HS HIB MAR MOS MSJ PH SW VAL
Birkirkara —
1-1-0
4.45
2-0-0
4.65
1-0-1
2.90
0-1-1
4.06
2-0-0
4.84
2-0-0
4.22
2-0-0
4.31
1-0-1
2.57
2-0-0
3.58
Floriana
0-1-1
1.19
 —
1-0-1
3.35
0-1-1
1.40
0-1-1
1.98
1-1-0
3.45
0-1-1
2.57
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
1.12
1-1-0
1.91
Hamrun Spartans
0-0-2
1.02
1-0-1
2.22
 —
0-0-2
1.05
0-0-2
1.86
2-0-0
2.88
0-0-2
2.19
1-0-1
2.12
0-1-1
0.93
2-0-0
1.60
Hibernians
1-0-1
2.66
1-1-0
4.21
2-0-0
4.61
 —
1-0-1
3.71
2-0-0
4.65
2-0-0
4.09
2-0-0
4.02
1-0-1
2.47
0-0-2
3.82
Marsaxlokk
1-1-0
1.54
1-1-0
3.60
2-0-0
3.73
1-0-1
1.88
 —
2-0-0
3.81
1-1-0
3.29
1-0-1
3.57
0-1-1
1.61
1-0-1
2.67
Mosta
0-0-2
0.85
0-1-1
2.13
0-0-2
2.68
0-0-2
1.01
0-0-2
1.78
 —
1-0-1
2.07
1-1-0
1.99
0-0-2
0.97
0-0-2
1.44
Msida St. Joseph
0-0-2
1.40
1-1-0
2.99
2-0-0
3.38
0-0-2
1.52
0-1-1
2.28
1-0-1
3.51
 —
1-1-0
2.98
0-0-2
1.27
1-0-1
2.10
Pieta Hotspurs
0-0-2
1.32
1-0-1
3.00
1-0-1
3.46
0-0-2
1.59
1-0-1
2.02
0-1-1
3.59
0-1-1
2.58
 —
1-0-1
1.11
0-1-1
2.12
Sliema Wanderers
1-0-1
3.00
1-1-0
4.52
1-1-0
4.75
1-0-1
3.10
1-1-0
3.99
2-0-0
4.70
2-0-0
4.35
1-0-1
4.54
 —
2-0-0
3.88
Valletta
0-0-2
2.00
0-1-1
3.67
0-0-2
4.00
2-0-0
1.77
1-0-1
2.90
2-0-0
4.17
1-0-1
3.48
1-1-0
3.45
0-0-2
1.71
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.84 +11.5
Allowed 0.84 -8.1
Differential 0.97 +5.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%5.68%4.92%4.17%0.76%1.52%23.11%
15.68%9.09%7.58%4.17%3.41%0.38%30.30%
24.92%7.58%2.27%1.52%3.03%0.76%20.08%
34.17%4.17%1.52%2.27%1.52%0.38%14.02%
40.76%3.41%3.03%1.52%0.76%—9.47%
5+1.52%0.38%0.76%0.38%——3.03%
Total23.11%30.30%20.08%14.02%9.47%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.67 +0.00
SD 1.41 1.41 2.05
CV 0.85 0.85 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%—3.57%———7.14%
110.71%14.29%7.14%———32.14%
210.71%7.14%———3.57%21.43%
33.57%3.57%3.57%———10.71%
4—10.71%3.57%———14.29%
5+10.71%—3.57%———14.29%
Total39.29%35.71%21.43%——3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.43 0.96 +1.46
SD 1.73 1.10 2.13
CV 0.71 1.15 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%12.50%4.17%4.17%——29.17%
1—20.83%8.33%4.17%——33.33%
2—4.17%——4.17%—8.33%
38.33%4.17%—4.17%——16.67%
4——8.33%—4.17%—12.50%
5+———————
Total16.67%41.67%20.83%12.50%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.54 -0.04
SD 1.41 1.18 1.57
CV 0.94 0.76 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%4.17%12.50%4.17%—4.17%29.17%
1—8.33%12.50%—4.17%—25.00%
2—8.33%——12.50%—20.83%
34.17%4.17%4.17%—4.17%4.17%20.83%
4——4.17%———4.17%
5+———————
Total8.33%25.00%33.33%4.17%20.83%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 2.33 -0.88
SD 1.25 1.58 1.96
CV 0.86 0.68 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%10.71%7.14%7.14%——28.57%
13.57%7.14%3.57%7.14%——21.43%
210.71%3.57%3.57%———17.86%
37.14%3.57%3.57%———14.29%
43.57%3.57%3.57%3.57%——14.29%
5+——3.57%———3.57%
Total28.57%28.57%25.00%17.86%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 1.32 +0.43
SD 1.55 1.09 2.01
CV 0.89 0.83 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%3.57%————7.14%
117.86%14.29%3.57%7.14%3.57%—46.43%
27.14%10.71%—3.57%——21.43%
3—3.57%——3.57%—7.14%
43.57%3.57%—7.14%——14.29%
5+—3.57%————3.57%
Total32.14%39.29%3.57%17.86%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.29 +0.57
SD 1.33 1.30 1.67
CV 0.71 1.01 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%4.17%4.17%16.67%—8.33%37.50%
14.17%—4.17%4.17%4.17%4.17%20.83%
2—4.17%4.17%8.33%——16.67%
3—8.33%—8.33%——16.67%
4————4.17%—4.17%
5+———4.17%——4.17%
Total8.33%16.67%12.50%41.67%8.33%12.50%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 2.71 -1.29
SD 1.47 1.60 2.27
CV 1.04 0.59 —
Max 5 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.71%10.71%3.57%——3.57%28.57%
1—7.14%10.71%—14.29%—32.14%
23.57%3.57%3.57%—3.57%3.57%17.86%
3—3.57%—3.57%3.57%—10.71%
4—3.57%7.14%———10.71%
5+———————
Total14.29%28.57%25.00%3.57%21.43%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 2.11 -0.68
SD 1.32 1.57 1.91
CV 0.92 0.75 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%4.17%4.17%4.17%4.17%—25.00%
14.17%8.33%4.17%12.50%8.33%—37.50%
28.33%4.17%4.17%4.17%4.17%—25.00%
3—4.17%—4.17%——8.33%
4——4.17%———4.17%
5+———————
Total20.83%20.83%16.67%25.00%16.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.96 -0.67
SD 1.08 1.43 1.79
CV 0.84 0.73 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%3.57%———17.86%
13.57%7.14%7.14%———17.86%
23.57%21.43%————25.00%
314.29%3.57%—3.57%3.57%—25.00%
4—10.71%————10.71%
5+3.57%—————3.57%
Total32.14%50.00%10.71%3.57%3.57%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.07 0.96 +1.11
SD 1.49 0.96 1.81
CV 0.72 1.00 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—7.14%7.14%3.57%—25.00%
110.71%3.57%14.29%7.14%——35.71%
23.57%7.14%7.14%—7.14%—25.00%
33.57%3.57%3.57%———10.71%
4———3.57%——3.57%
5+———————
Total25.00%14.29%32.14%17.86%10.71%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.75 -0.43
SD 1.09 1.32 1.73
CV 0.83 0.76 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Birkirkara 1301 41 36.26 +4.74 86.0% 25 29 33 36 39 44 48
Sliema Wanderers 1268 39 36.56 +2.44 73.0% 24 28 33 37 40 43 52
Hibernians 1171 37 33.97 +3.03 76.0% 19 23 31 34 37 42 46
Marsaxlokk 1153 34 24.95 +9.05 96.0% 11 15 21 25 29 34 37
Valletta 1078 23 26.42 -3.42 29.0% 12 17 23 26 31 35 37
Floriana 1025 19 19.56 -0.56 51.0% 8 11 16 19 22 28 32
Msida St. Joseph 991 21 22.98 -1.98 41.0% 13 14 19 23 26 33 41
Pieta Hotspurs 980 15 20.00 -5.00 24.0% 10 12 16 20 24 29 33
Mosta 897 8 14.83 -6.83 13.0% 5 6 11 14 18 23 31
Hamrun Spartans 894 19 15.99 +3.01 76.0% 4 7 12 16 19 23 30

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -3% * Slight Edge: -3% to 3.5% * Clear Edge: 3.5% to 8.5% * Strong Edge: 8.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
-5.30%
No Edge
37.12%20.45%42.42%
Elo Value
Home Edge: -18.44 Elo pts.
151 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
-0.21 goals
Road-Tilted
-2-0.12+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.1
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
36%
Birkirkara, 2nd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.11/gm
Tight Race
00.230.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.17 * Some Luck: 4.17 to 6.25 * Lucky: 6.25 to 8.34 * Wild Swing: 8.34 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.02 * Close: 1.02 to 1.52 * Off: 1.52 to 2.03 * Way Off: 2.03 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.63 points
Some Luck
05.2113
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.80
Pinpoint
01.273
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
96.00%
Marsaxlokk
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
13.00%
Mosta
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.27 * Lopsided: 0.27 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 2 * Strong Separation: 2 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 84% * Wide Edge: 84% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92.5% * Clear Edge: 92.5% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 98% * Dominant: 98% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.
Gini Index
0.24
Top-Heavy
00.20.270.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 138.41
1.97
Moderate Separation
0.951.6522.253
Interquartile Edge
76%
Slight Edge
50%72.5%79%84%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 93%
91%
Even
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
53%
Some Drama
0%53%100%
Blowouts
Expected
22%
Occasional
0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.42 * Slight Separation: 0.42 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.74 * Strong Carryover: 0.74 to 0.83 * Near-Lock: 0.83 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Upset-Prone: 18.5% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 19.5% * Very Shaky: 19.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.40
Very Even
00.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.77
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.86
Near-Lock
00.570.741
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Very Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Very Shaky
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.90
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.10
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.067
Well Within Noise
00.1380.4

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Birkirkara36.00%31.00%24.00%7.00%2.00%—————
Sliema Wanderers39.00%36.00%14.00%9.00%2.00%—————
Hibernians20.00%24.00%30.00%16.00%7.00%—1.00%2.00%——
Marsaxlokk1.00%2.00%10.00%23.00%25.00%12.00%16.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%
Valletta3.00%2.00%12.00%19.00%27.00%19.00%9.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%
Msida St. Joseph1.00%4.00%5.00%12.00%12.00%23.00%20.00%16.00%4.00%3.00%
Floriana———6.00%11.00%15.00%18.00%25.00%14.00%11.00%
Hamrun Spartans——1.00%1.00%2.00%10.00%11.00%18.00%33.00%24.00%
Pieta Hotspurs—1.00%2.00%6.00%10.00%17.00%18.00%12.00%19.00%15.00%
Mosta——2.00%1.00%2.00%4.00%7.00%19.00%23.00%42.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Birkirkara 100% —
Hibernians 100% —
Sliema Wanderers 100% —
Marsaxlokk 97.00% 3.00%
Valletta 95.00% 5.00%
Msida St. Joseph 85.00% 15.00%
Pieta Hotspurs 78.00% 22.00%
Floriana 75.00% 25.00%
Hamrun Spartans 49.00% 51.00%
Mosta 21.00% 79.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Birkirkara 100% —
Hibernians 100% —
Marsaxlokk 100% —
Msida St. Joseph 100% —
Sliema Wanderers 100% —
Valletta 100% —
Floriana 85.83% 14.17%
Hamrun Spartans 60.91% 39.09%
Pieta Hotspurs 50.17% 49.83%
Mosta 3.09% 96.91%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2005-08-05 Pieta Hotspurs L 0-238.1 1027 1036 37.84% 21.69% 40.47%-0.18 -13.5 0
2005-08-05 @ Floriana W 2-038.1 1036 1027 40.47% 21.69% 37.84%+0.18 +13.5 3
2005-08-05 Valletta W 4-244.6 1219 1133 50.90% 21.21% 27.88%+0.45 +8.1 3
2005-08-05 @ Birkirkara L 2-444.6 1133 1219 27.88% 21.21% 50.90%-0.45 -8.1 0
2005-08-06 Msida St. Joseph W 2-149.0 956 1017 30.83% 21.44% 47.73%-0.53 +8.1 3
2005-08-06 @ Mosta L 1-249.0 1017 956 47.73% 21.44% 30.83%+0.53 -8.1 0
2005-08-06 Sliema Wanderers L 0-334.6 1181 1212 34.76% 21.63% 43.61%-0.33 -18.3 0
2005-08-06 @ Hibernians W 3-034.6 1212 1181 43.61% 21.63% 34.76%+0.33 +18.3 3
2005-08-11 Floriana D 1-154.1 1125 1013 54.03% 20.90% 25.07%+0.61 -1.2 1
2005-08-11 @ Valletta D 1-154.1 1013 1125 25.07% 20.90% 54.03%-0.61 +1.2 1
2005-08-11 Marsaxlokk L 1-241.8 930 1049 24.24% 20.78% 54.98%-0.91 -4.6 0
2005-08-11 @ Hamrun Spartans W 2-141.8 1049 930 54.98% 20.78% 24.24%+0.91 +4.6 3
2005-08-12 Birkirkara L 2-536.3 1009 1227 15.71% 18.84% 65.45%-1.56 -6.5 0
2005-08-12 @ Msida St. Joseph W 5-236.3 1227 1009 65.45% 18.84% 15.71%+1.56 +6.5 6
2005-08-12 Hibernians L 0-430.1 1049 1163 24.87% 20.87% 54.27%-0.87 -18.0 3
2005-08-12 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 4-030.1 1163 1049 54.27% 20.87% 24.87%+0.87 +18.0 3
2005-08-20 Hibernians L 0-329.4 1015 1181 19.76% 19.97% 60.27%-1.22 -11.2 1
2005-08-20 @ Floriana W 3-029.4 1181 1015 60.27% 19.97% 19.76%+1.22 +11.1 6
2005-08-20 Pieta Hotspurs L 2-443.7 925 1031 25.62% 20.97% 53.42%-0.82 -7.5 0
2005-08-20 @ Hamrun Spartans W 4-243.7 1031 925 53.42% 20.97% 25.62%+0.82 +7.5 6
2005-08-21 Msida St. Joseph L 1-348.1 1123 1003 55.17% 20.76% 24.07%+0.68 -16.0 1
2005-08-21 @ Valletta W 3-148.1 1003 1123 24.07% 20.76% 55.17%-0.68 +16.0 3
2005-08-21 Sliema Wanderers L 0-626.3 964 1231 12.58% 17.59% 69.82%-1.89 -13.6 3
2005-08-21 @ Mosta W 6-026.3 1231 964 69.82% 17.59% 12.58%+1.89 +13.6 6
2005-08-22 Marsaxlokk D 1-154.5 1233 1054 61.70% 19.69% 18.61%+1.07 -1.8 7
2005-08-22 @ Birkirkara D 1-154.5 1054 1233 18.61% 19.69% 61.70%-1.07 +1.8 4
2005-08-25 Hamrun Spartans W 4-130.2 1244 918 74.48% 15.93% 9.58%+2.04 +4.5 9
2005-08-25 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-430.2 918 1244 9.58% 15.93% 74.48%-2.04 -4.5 0
2005-08-25 Mosta W 5-134.7 1056 950 53.31% 20.98% 25.71%+0.58 +15.4 7
2005-08-25 @ Marsaxlokk L 1-534.7 950 1056 25.71% 20.98% 53.31%-0.58 -15.4 3
2005-09-10 Floriana W 4-247.3 1019 1003 41.34% 21.68% 36.99%-0.02 +10.3 6
2005-09-10 @ Msida St. Joseph L 2-447.3 1003 1019 36.99% 21.68% 41.34%+0.02 -10.2 1
2005-09-10 Hamrun Spartans W 1-032.5 1192 913 70.79% 17.28% 11.94%+1.72 +2.5 9
2005-09-10 @ Hibernians L 0-132.5 913 1192 11.94% 17.28% 70.79%-1.72 -2.5 0
2005-09-11 Mosta D 3-363.5 1039 935 53.18% 20.99% 25.83%+0.57 -0.7 7
2005-09-11 @ Pieta Hotspurs D 3-363.5 935 1039 25.83% 20.99% 53.18%-0.57 +0.7 4
2005-09-11 Valletta L 2-350.1 1071 1107 34.09% 21.61% 44.31%-0.36 -5.9 7
2005-09-11 @ Marsaxlokk W 3-250.1 1107 1071 44.31% 21.61% 34.09%+0.36 +5.9 4
2005-09-12 Birkirkara W 2-146.2 1249 1232 41.61% 21.67% 36.72%-0.01 +6.6 12
2005-09-12 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-246.2 1232 1249 36.72% 21.67% 41.61%+0.01 -6.6 7
2005-09-16 Sliema Wanderers L 1-338.2 1113 1255 21.95% 20.41% 57.63%-1.06 -7.3 4
2005-09-16 @ Valletta W 3-138.2 1255 1113 57.63% 20.41% 21.95%+1.06 +7.3 15
2005-09-17 Hamrun Spartans L 1-346.8 993 911 50.43% 21.25% 28.32%+0.42 -14.8 1
2005-09-17 @ Floriana W 3-146.8 911 993 28.32% 21.25% 50.43%-0.42 +14.8 3
2005-09-17 Hibernians L 0-326.8 935 1194 13.05% 17.81% 69.14%-1.84 -7.4 4
2005-09-17 @ Mosta W 3-026.8 1194 935 69.14% 17.81% 13.05%+1.84 +7.4 12
2005-09-18 Marsaxlokk D 1-153.9 1029 1065 34.13% 21.61% 44.27%-0.36 +0.4 7
2005-09-18 @ Msida St. Joseph D 1-153.9 1065 1029 44.27% 21.61% 34.13%+0.36 -0.4 8
2005-09-18 Pieta Hotspurs W 4-133.9 1225 1038 62.42% 19.54% 18.04%+1.11 +8.6 10
2005-09-18 @ Birkirkara L 1-433.9 1038 1225 18.04% 19.54% 62.42%-1.11 -8.6 7
2005-09-21 Floriana D 1-154.0 1065 978 50.94% 21.21% 27.85%+0.45 -0.9 9
2005-09-21 @ Marsaxlokk D 1-154.0 978 1065 27.85% 21.21% 50.94%-0.45 +0.9 2
2005-09-24 Msida St. Joseph W 2-138.3 1263 1029 66.90% 18.46% 14.64%+1.42 +2.9 18
2005-09-24 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-238.3 1029 1263 14.64% 18.46% 66.90%-1.42 -2.9 7
2005-09-25 Mosta D 4-465.7 979 928 46.33% 21.52% 32.15%+0.22 -0.3 3
2005-09-25 @ Floriana D 4-465.7 928 979 32.15% 21.52% 46.33%-0.22 +0.3 5
2005-09-25 Valletta D 0-050.3 1030 1106 29.04% 21.31% 49.65%-0.63 +0.9 8
2005-09-25 @ Pieta Hotspurs D 0-050.3 1106 1030 49.65% 21.31% 29.04%+0.63 -0.9 5
2005-09-26 Birkirkara W 5-245.8 1202 1234 34.69% 21.63% 43.68%-0.33 +16.0 15
2005-09-26 @ Hibernians L 2-545.8 1234 1202 43.68% 21.63% 34.69%+0.33 -16.0 10
2005-09-28 Mosta W 2-146.7 926 928 38.76% 21.69% 39.55%-0.14 +7.0 6
2005-09-28 @ Hamrun Spartans L 1-246.7 928 926 39.55% 21.69% 38.76%+0.14 -7.0 5
2005-10-01 Hamrun Spartans W 2-136.9 1218 933 71.31% 17.10% 11.59%+1.76 +2.2 13
2005-10-01 @ Birkirkara L 1-236.9 933 1218 11.59% 17.10% 71.31%-1.76 -2.2 6
2005-10-01 Sliema Wanderers L 1-239.2 1064 1266 16.87% 19.21% 63.92%-1.46 -3.3 9
2005-10-01 @ Marsaxlokk W 2-139.2 1266 1064 63.92% 19.21% 16.87%+1.46 +3.3 21
2005-10-02 Hibernians W 2-042.9 1105 1218 24.92% 20.88% 54.20%-0.87 +18.2 8
2005-10-02 @ Valletta L 0-242.9 1218 1105 54.20% 20.88% 24.92%+0.87 -18.2 15
2005-10-02 Pieta Hotspurs W 4-248.2 1026 1031 38.55% 21.69% 39.76%-0.15 +10.8 10
2005-10-02 @ Msida St. Joseph L 2-448.2 1031 1026 39.76% 21.69% 38.55%+0.15 -10.8 8
2005-10-15 Birkirkara L 2-341.6 921 1220 10.90% 16.73% 72.38%-2.10 -2.0 5
2005-10-15 @ Mosta W 3-241.6 1220 921 72.38% 16.73% 10.90%+2.10 +2.0 16
2005-10-15 Msida St. Joseph W 4-241.8 1199 1037 59.86% 20.04% 20.10%+0.95 +6.0 18
2005-10-15 @ Hibernians L 2-441.8 1037 1199 20.10% 20.04% 59.86%-0.95 -6.0 10
2005-10-16 Floriana W 1-032.2 1269 979 71.70% 16.97% 11.34%+1.80 +2.3 24
2005-10-16 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-132.2 979 1269 11.34% 16.97% 71.70%-1.80 -2.3 3
2005-10-16 Marsaxlokk L 1-439.1 1020 1060 33.53% 21.58% 44.89%-0.39 -15.0 8
2005-10-16 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 4-139.1 1060 1020 44.89% 21.58% 33.53%+0.39 +15.0 12
2005-10-17 Valletta W 4-254.5 930 1123 17.55% 19.41% 63.05%-1.40 +16.1 9
2005-10-17 @ Hamrun Spartans L 2-454.5 1123 930 63.05% 19.41% 17.55%+1.40 -16.1 8
2005-10-21 Birkirkara L 0-133.4 977 1222 13.88% 18.16% 67.96%-1.74 -2.9 3
2005-10-21 @ Floriana W 1-033.4 1222 977 67.96% 18.16% 13.88%+1.74 +2.9 19
2005-10-22 Mosta W 1-034.9 1107 919 62.52% 19.52% 17.95%+1.12 +3.7 11
2005-10-22 @ Valletta L 0-134.9 919 1107 17.95% 19.52% 62.52%-1.12 -3.7 5
2005-10-22 Pieta Hotspurs L 0-150.0 1271 1005 69.78% 17.61% 12.61%+1.64 -12.1 24
2005-10-22 @ Sliema Wanderers W 1-050.0 1005 1271 12.61% 17.61% 69.78%-1.64 +12.1 11
2005-10-23 Hamrun Spartans W 2-143.1 1031 946 50.74% 21.23% 28.03%+0.44 +5.3 13
2005-10-23 @ Msida St. Joseph L 1-243.1 946 1031 28.03% 21.23% 50.74%-0.44 -5.3 9
2005-10-23 Hibernians L 1-435.7 1075 1206 23.12% 20.61% 56.27%-0.98 -10.9 12
2005-10-23 @ Marsaxlokk W 4-135.7 1206 1075 56.27% 20.61% 23.12%+0.98 +10.9 21
2005-10-28 Birkirkara L 0-234.0 1111 1225 24.79% 20.86% 54.35%-0.88 -9.5 11
2005-10-28 @ Valletta W 2-034.0 1225 1111 54.35% 20.86% 24.79%+0.88 +9.5 22
2005-10-29 Hibernians L 0-240.6 1259 1216 45.16% 21.57% 33.26%+0.16 -15.5 24
2005-10-29 @ Sliema Wanderers W 2-040.6 1216 1259 33.26% 21.57% 45.16%-0.16 +15.5 24
2005-10-29 Mosta W 4-136.0 1036 916 55.18% 20.76% 24.06%+0.68 +11.3 16
2005-10-29 @ Msida St. Joseph L 1-436.0 916 1036 24.06% 20.76% 55.18%-0.68 -11.3 5
2005-10-30 Floriana L 1-345.4 1017 974 45.22% 21.57% 33.21%+0.16 -13.5 11
2005-10-30 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 3-145.4 974 1017 33.21% 21.57% 45.22%-0.16 +13.5 6
2005-10-30 Hamrun Spartans W 4-350.1 1065 941 55.48% 20.72% 23.80%+0.69 +4.2 15
2005-10-30 @ Marsaxlokk L 3-450.1 941 1065 23.80% 20.72% 55.48%-0.69 -4.2 9
2005-11-20 Marsaxlokk L 1-337.3 904 1069 19.91% 20.00% 60.09%-1.21 -6.7 5
2005-11-20 @ Mosta W 3-137.3 1069 904 60.09% 20.00% 19.91%+1.21 +6.7 18
2005-11-20 Sliema Wanderers D 1-155.4 937 1244 10.50% 16.50% 73.00%-2.15 +2.7 10
2005-11-20 @ Hamrun Spartans D 1-155.4 1244 937 73.00% 16.50% 10.50%+2.15 -2.7 25
2005-12-03 Msida St. Joseph W 4-133.9 1234 1048 62.39% 19.55% 18.06%+1.11 +8.6 25
2005-12-03 @ Birkirkara L 1-433.9 1048 1234 18.06% 19.55% 62.39%-1.11 -8.6 16
2005-12-03 Valletta W 2-150.9 987 1101 24.77% 20.86% 54.38%-0.88 +9.1 9
2005-12-03 @ Floriana L 1-250.9 1101 987 54.38% 20.86% 24.77%+0.88 -9.1 11
2005-12-04 Mosta W 2-027.5 1241 898 75.67% 15.45% 8.87%+2.15 +3.4 28
2005-12-04 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-227.5 898 1241 8.87% 15.45% 75.67%-2.15 -3.4 5
2005-12-04 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-138.4 1232 1003 66.46% 18.58% 14.96%+1.39 +2.9 27
2005-12-04 @ Hibernians L 1-238.4 1003 1232 14.96% 18.58% 66.46%-1.39 -2.9 11
2005-12-08 Birkirkara W 2-044.4 1075 1243 19.65% 19.94% 60.41%-1.23 +20.0 21
2005-12-08 @ Marsaxlokk L 0-244.4 1243 1075 60.41% 19.94% 19.65%+1.23 -20.0 25
2005-12-08 Valletta L 0-139.7 1039 1092 31.91% 21.51% 46.58%-0.47 -6.2 16
2005-12-08 @ Msida St. Joseph W 1-039.7 1092 1039 46.58% 21.51% 31.91%+0.47 +6.2 14
2005-12-14 Floriana D 1-154.9 1235 996 67.37% 18.33% 14.30%+1.46 -2.2 28
2005-12-14 @ Hibernians D 1-154.9 996 1235 14.30% 18.33% 67.37%-1.46 +2.3 10
2005-12-14 Hamrun Spartans L 2-354.0 1000 940 47.62% 21.45% 30.93%+0.28 -7.7 11
2005-12-14 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 3-254.0 940 1000 30.93% 21.45% 47.62%-0.28 +7.7 13
2005-12-17 Msida St. Joseph D 0-050.2 999 1033 34.38% 21.62% 44.01%-0.35 +0.4 11
2005-12-17 @ Floriana D 0-050.2 1033 999 44.01% 21.62% 34.38%+0.35 -0.4 17
2005-12-17 Pieta Hotspurs W 3-147.4 894 993 26.47% 21.06% 52.47%-0.77 +15.3 8
2005-12-17 @ Mosta L 1-347.4 993 894 52.47% 21.06% 26.47%+0.77 -15.3 11
2005-12-18 Hibernians L 0-228.8 947 1233 11.57% 17.09% 71.33%-2.01 -4.5 13
2005-12-18 @ Hamrun Spartans W 2-028.8 1233 947 71.33% 17.09% 11.57%+2.01 +4.5 31
2005-12-18 Valletta W 3-030.2 1244 1098 58.05% 20.35% 21.60%+0.84 +12.1 31
2005-12-18 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-330.2 1098 1244 21.60% 20.35% 58.05%-0.84 -12.1 14
2006-01-03 Marsaxlokk L 0-434.2 1086 1096 37.85% 21.69% 40.47%-0.18 -25.6 14
2006-01-03 @ Valletta W 4-034.2 1096 1086 40.47% 21.69% 37.85%+0.18 +25.6 24
2006-01-03 Sliema Wanderers W 2-148.3 1223 1256 34.47% 21.62% 43.91%-0.34 +7.6 28
2006-01-03 @ Birkirkara L 1-248.3 1256 1223 43.91% 21.62% 34.47%+0.34 -7.6 31
2006-01-07 Birkirkara L 0-229.7 978 1230 13.41% 17.96% 68.63%-1.80 -5.2 11
2006-01-07 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 2-029.7 1230 978 68.63% 17.96% 13.41%+1.80 +5.2 31
2006-01-07 Floriana L 2-445.6 943 999 31.52% 21.49% 47.00%-0.49 -9.0 13
2006-01-07 @ Hamrun Spartans W 4-245.6 999 943 47.00% 21.49% 31.52%+0.49 +9.0 14
2006-01-08 Mosta W 3-241.0 1237 910 74.56% 15.90% 9.54%+2.05 +1.7 34
2006-01-08 @ Hibernians L 2-341.0 910 1237 9.54% 15.90% 74.56%-2.05 -1.7 8
2006-01-08 Msida St. Joseph W 1-038.4 1121 1032 51.22% 21.18% 27.59%+0.46 +5.5 27
2006-01-08 @ Marsaxlokk L 0-138.4 1032 1121 27.59% 21.18% 51.22%-0.46 -5.5 17
2006-01-14 Hibernians W 2-039.0 1236 1239 38.69% 21.69% 39.62%-0.14 +14.0 34
2006-01-14 @ Birkirkara L 0-239.0 1239 1236 39.62% 21.69% 38.69%+0.14 -14.0 34
2006-01-14 Sliema Wanderers L 1-432.9 1027 1249 15.42% 18.74% 65.84%-1.59 -7.4 17
2006-01-14 @ Msida St. Joseph W 4-132.9 1249 1027 65.84% 18.74% 15.42%+1.59 +7.4 34
2006-01-17 Hamrun Spartans L 0-334.6 908 934 35.50% 21.65% 42.85%-0.29 -18.6 8
2006-01-17 @ Mosta W 3-034.6 934 908 42.85% 21.65% 35.50%+0.29 +18.6 16
2006-01-17 Marsaxlokk L 1-241.8 1008 1127 24.30% 20.79% 54.91%-0.91 -4.6 14
2006-01-17 @ Floriana W 2-141.8 1127 1008 54.91% 20.79% 24.30%+0.91 +4.7 30
2006-01-21 Birkirkara L 0-625.6 952 1250 10.96% 16.77% 72.27%-2.09 -11.8 16
2006-01-21 @ Hamrun Spartans W 6-025.6 1250 952 72.27% 16.77% 10.96%+2.09 +11.8 37
2006-01-21 Pieta Hotspurs W 1-038.3 1061 972 51.22% 21.18% 27.60%+0.46 +5.5 17
2006-01-21 @ Valletta L 0-138.3 972 1061 27.60% 21.18% 51.22%-0.46 -5.5 11
2006-01-24 Floriana L 0-331.2 889 1003 24.77% 20.86% 54.38%-0.88 -13.7 8
2006-01-24 @ Mosta W 3-031.2 1003 889 54.38% 20.86% 24.77%+0.88 +13.7 17
2006-01-24 Marsaxlokk D 0-050.7 1256 1131 55.67% 20.69% 23.64%+0.71 -1.5 35
2006-01-24 @ Sliema Wanderers D 0-050.7 1131 1256 23.64% 20.69% 55.67%-0.71 +1.5 31
2006-01-28 Sliema Wanderers D 0-051.2 1017 1255 14.36% 18.35% 67.29%-1.69 +2.5 18
2006-01-28 @ Floriana D 0-051.2 1255 1017 67.29% 18.35% 14.36%+1.69 -2.5 36
2006-01-28 Valletta L 1-252.3 1225 1066 59.47% 20.11% 20.42%+0.93 -9.9 34
2006-01-28 @ Hibernians W 2-152.3 1066 1225 20.42% 20.11% 59.47%-0.93 +9.9 20
2006-01-29 Mosta W 6-023.7 1261 876 78.51% 14.21% 7.28%+2.43 +7.5 40
2006-01-29 @ Birkirkara L 0-623.7 876 1261 7.28% 14.21% 78.51%-2.43 -7.5 8
2006-01-29 Msida St. Joseph D 0-050.2 967 1020 31.95% 21.51% 46.54%-0.47 +0.6 12
2006-01-29 @ Pieta Hotspurs D 0-050.2 1020 967 46.54% 21.51% 31.95%+0.47 -0.6 18
2006-02-04 Hibernians L 0-231.3 1019 1215 17.30% 19.34% 63.36%-1.42 -6.8 18
2006-02-04 @ Msida St. Joseph W 2-031.3 1215 1019 63.36% 19.34% 17.30%+1.42 +6.8 37
2006-02-04 Pieta Hotspurs L 1-349.4 1133 967 60.19% 19.98% 19.83%+0.97 -17.3 31
2006-02-04 @ Marsaxlokk W 3-149.4 967 1133 19.83% 19.98% 60.19%-0.97 +17.3 15
2006-02-05 Floriana D 1-155.0 1269 1020 68.32% 18.06% 13.63%+1.53 -2.3 41
2006-02-05 @ Birkirkara D 1-155.0 1020 1269 13.63% 18.06% 68.32%-1.53 +2.3 19
2006-02-05 Hamrun Spartans L 1-251.5 1076 941 56.89% 20.52% 22.59%+0.77 -9.5 20
2006-02-05 @ Valletta W 2-151.5 941 1076 22.59% 20.52% 56.89%-0.77 +9.5 19
2006-02-11 Marsaxlokk L 0-146.1 1222 1115 53.44% 20.96% 25.60%+0.58 -9.5 37
2006-02-11 @ Hibernians W 1-046.1 1115 1222 25.60% 20.96% 53.44%-0.58 +9.5 34
2006-02-11 Sliema Wanderers L 0-326.6 985 1252 12.55% 17.57% 69.88%-1.89 -7.1 15
2006-02-11 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 3-026.6 1252 985 69.88% 17.57% 12.55%+1.89 +7.1 39
2006-02-12 Msida St. Joseph L 0-235.9 950 1012 30.78% 21.44% 47.78%-0.53 -11.4 19
2006-02-12 @ Hamrun Spartans W 2-035.9 1012 950 47.78% 21.44% 30.78%+0.53 +11.4 21
2006-02-12 Valletta L 0-328.4 868 1067 17.10% 19.28% 63.62%-1.44 -9.7 8
2006-02-12 @ Mosta W 3-028.4 1067 868 63.62% 19.28% 17.10%+1.44 +9.7 23

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2006-03-04 Msida St. Joseph W 5-026.2 1267 1024 67.76% 18.22% 14.02%+1.49 +12.8 3
2006-03-04 @ Birkirkara L 0-526.2 1024 1267 14.02% 18.22% 67.76%-1.49 -12.8 0
2006-03-04 Valletta L 1-348.7 1212 1076 56.93% 20.52% 22.55%+0.78 -16.4 0
2006-03-04 @ Hibernians W 3-148.7 1076 1212 22.55% 20.52% 56.93%-0.78 +16.4 3
2006-03-05 Pieta Hotspurs W 3-148.1 858 978 24.22% 20.78% 55.00%-0.91 +15.9 3
2006-03-05 @ Mosta L 1-348.1 978 858 55.00% 20.78% 24.22%+0.91 -15.9 0
2006-03-05 Sliema Wanderers W 2-151.7 1125 1259 22.69% 20.54% 56.76%-1.01 +9.5 3
2006-03-05 @ Marsaxlokk L 1-251.7 1259 1125 56.76% 20.54% 22.69%+1.01 -9.5 0
2006-03-11 Birkirkara D 0-051.0 1093 1279 18.05% 19.55% 62.40%-1.36 +2.1 4
2006-03-11 @ Valletta D 0-051.0 1279 1093 62.40% 19.55% 18.05%+1.36 -2.1 4
2006-03-11 Hibernians W 3-033.8 1250 1196 46.71% 21.50% 31.79%+0.24 +17.0 3
2006-03-11 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-333.8 1196 1250 31.79% 21.50% 46.71%-0.24 -17.0 0
2006-03-12 Hamrun Spartans W 3-032.3 1022 939 50.54% 21.24% 28.22%+0.43 +15.4 3
2006-03-12 @ Floriana L 0-332.3 939 1022 28.22% 21.24% 50.54%-0.43 -15.4 0
2006-03-12 Msida St. Joseph W 1-037.1 1134 1011 55.51% 20.71% 23.78%+0.70 +4.8 6
2006-03-12 @ Marsaxlokk L 0-137.1 1011 1134 23.78% 20.71% 55.51%-0.70 -4.8 0
2006-03-18 Marsaxlokk W 1-036.8 1277 1139 57.18% 20.48% 22.34%+0.79 +4.6 7
2006-03-18 @ Birkirkara L 0-136.8 1139 1277 22.34% 20.48% 57.18%-0.79 -4.6 6
2006-03-18 Sliema Wanderers L 1-240.2 1095 1267 19.26% 19.85% 60.89%-1.26 -3.8 4
2006-03-18 @ Valletta W 2-140.2 1267 1095 60.89% 19.85% 19.26%+1.26 +3.8 6
2006-03-19 Hibernians D 1-154.4 1006 1179 19.17% 19.83% 60.99%-1.27 +1.8 1
2006-03-19 @ Msida St. Joseph D 1-154.4 1179 1006 60.99% 19.83% 19.17%+1.27 -1.8 1
2006-03-19 Mosta L 3-552.4 923 874 46.05% 21.53% 32.42%+0.20 -11.5 0
2006-03-19 @ Hamrun Spartans W 5-352.4 874 923 32.42% 21.53% 46.05%-0.20 +11.6 6
2006-03-25 Birkirkara L 1-339.7 1177 1282 25.77% 20.98% 53.24%-0.82 -8.5 1
2006-03-25 @ Hibernians W 3-139.7 1282 1177 53.24% 20.98% 25.77%+0.82 +8.5 10
2006-03-25 Floriana W 2-149.6 962 1037 29.11% 21.32% 49.57%-0.62 +8.4 3
2006-03-25 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 1-249.6 1037 962 49.57% 21.32% 29.11%+0.62 -8.4 3
2006-03-26 Msida St. Joseph W 4-131.8 1271 1008 69.49% 17.70% 12.81%+1.62 +6.1 9
2006-03-26 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-431.8 1008 1271 12.81% 17.70% 69.49%-1.62 -6.1 1
2006-03-26 Valletta L 3-456.8 1135 1091 45.27% 21.57% 33.16%+0.17 -7.2 6
2006-03-26 @ Marsaxlokk W 4-356.8 1091 1135 33.16% 21.57% 45.27%-0.17 +7.2 7
2006-04-01 Marsaxlokk W 3-142.0 1169 1127 44.95% 21.58% 33.46%+0.15 +10.6 4
2006-04-01 @ Hibernians L 1-342.0 1127 1169 33.46% 21.58% 44.95%-0.15 -10.6 6
2006-04-01 Msida St. Joseph D 2-259.1 1098 1002 52.26% 21.09% 26.65%+0.52 -0.8 8
2006-04-01 @ Valletta D 2-259.1 1002 1098 26.65% 21.09% 52.26%-0.52 +0.8 2
2006-04-02 Mosta L 0-147.1 1029 886 57.76% 20.39% 21.85%+0.83 -10.2 3
2006-04-02 @ Floriana W 1-047.1 886 1029 21.85% 20.39% 57.76%-0.83 +10.2 9
2006-04-02 Sliema Wanderers D 1-154.6 1290 1277 41.10% 21.68% 37.22%-0.03 -0.1 11
2006-04-02 @ Birkirkara D 1-154.6 1277 1290 37.22% 21.68% 41.10%+0.03 +0.1 10
2006-04-15 Birkirkara L 1-431.2 1002 1290 11.44% 17.02% 71.54%-2.03 -5.4 2
2006-04-15 @ Msida St. Joseph W 4-131.2 1290 1002 71.54% 17.02% 11.44%+2.03 +5.4 14
2006-04-15 Hibernians D 2-259.2 1098 1179 28.41% 21.26% 50.33%-0.66 +0.7 9
2006-04-15 @ Valletta D 2-259.2 1179 1098 50.33% 21.26% 28.41%+0.66 -0.7 5
2006-04-16 Marsaxlokk L 0-147.8 1277 1117 59.62% 20.09% 20.30%+0.94 -10.5 10
2006-04-16 @ Sliema Wanderers W 1-047.8 1117 1277 20.30% 20.09% 59.62%-0.94 +10.5 9
2006-04-16 Pieta Hotspurs L 0-236.0 912 970 31.26% 21.47% 47.27%-0.51 -11.5 0
2006-04-16 @ Hamrun Spartans W 2-036.0 970 912 47.27% 21.47% 31.26%+0.51 +11.5 6
2006-04-21 Birkirkara L 0-328.6 1098 1296 17.20% 19.31% 63.49%-1.43 -9.8 9
2006-04-21 @ Valletta W 3-028.6 1296 1098 63.49% 19.31% 17.20%+1.43 +9.8 17
2006-04-21 Floriana L 2-443.2 900 1019 24.31% 20.79% 54.89%-0.91 -7.2 0
2006-04-21 @ Hamrun Spartans W 4-243.2 1019 900 54.89% 20.79% 24.31%+0.91 +7.2 6
2006-04-22 Marsaxlokk L 3-449.8 997 1127 23.09% 20.61% 56.31%-0.99 -4.1 2
2006-04-22 @ Msida St. Joseph W 4-349.8 1127 997 56.31% 20.61% 23.09%+0.99 +4.1 12
2006-04-22 Sliema Wanderers W 4-358.7 1179 1266 27.68% 21.19% 51.13%-0.70 +8.0 8
2006-04-22 @ Hibernians L 3-458.7 1266 1179 51.13% 21.19% 27.68%+0.70 -8.0 10
2006-04-29 Mosta D 2-259.1 982 896 50.85% 21.22% 27.94%+0.44 -0.7 7
2006-04-29 @ Pieta Hotspurs D 2-259.1 896 982 27.94% 21.22% 50.85%-0.44 +0.7 10
2006-04-29 Valletta W 2-140.2 1258 1088 60.68% 19.89% 19.43%+1.00 +3.8 13
2006-04-29 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-240.2 1088 1258 19.43% 19.89% 60.68%-1.00 -3.8 9
2006-04-30 Birkirkara D 1-154.7 1131 1305 19.09% 19.81% 61.10%-1.27 +1.8 13
2006-04-30 @ Marsaxlokk D 1-154.7 1305 1131 61.10% 19.81% 19.09%+1.27 -1.8 18
2006-04-30 Msida St. Joseph D 0-050.9 1186 993 63.13% 19.39% 17.48%+1.16 -2.2 9
2006-04-30 @ Hibernians D 0-050.9 993 1186 17.48% 19.39% 63.13%-1.16 +2.2 3
2006-05-05 Marsaxlokk L 0-236.5 1085 1133 32.50% 21.54% 45.96%-0.44 -11.9 9
2006-05-05 @ Valletta W 2-036.5 1133 1085 45.96% 21.54% 32.50%+0.44 +11.9 16
2006-05-05 Mosta D 0-050.2 893 897 38.64% 21.69% 39.67%-0.15 +0.0 1
2006-05-05 @ Hamrun Spartans D 0-050.2 897 893 39.67% 21.69% 38.64%+0.15 -0.1 11
2006-05-06 Pieta Hotspurs D 1-153.9 1026 981 45.48% 21.56% 32.96%+0.18 -0.5 7
2006-05-06 @ Floriana D 1-153.9 981 1026 32.96% 21.56% 45.48%-0.18 +0.5 8
2006-05-06 Sliema Wanderers D 3-364.6 995 1262 12.56% 17.58% 69.85%-1.89 +1.5 4
2006-05-06 @ Msida St. Joseph D 3-364.6 1262 995 69.85% 17.58% 12.56%+1.89 -1.5 14
2006-05-07 Hibernians W 1-037.6 1304 1184 54.99% 20.78% 24.23%+0.67 +4.9 21
2006-05-07 @ Birkirkara L 0-137.6 1184 1304 24.23% 20.78% 54.99%-0.67 -4.9 9
2006-05-12 Floriana D 3-363.6 897 1025 23.25% 20.63% 56.12%-0.97 +0.8 12
2006-05-12 @ Mosta D 3-363.6 1025 897 56.12% 20.63% 23.25%+0.97 -0.8 8
2006-05-12 Valletta L 1-243.4 996 1073 29.03% 21.31% 49.66%-0.63 -5.4 4
2006-05-12 @ Msida St. Joseph W 2-143.4 1073 996 49.66% 21.31% 29.03%+0.63 +5.4 12
2006-05-13 Hamrun Spartans D 1-154.0 981 893 51.18% 21.19% 27.63%+0.46 -0.9 9
2006-05-13 @ Pieta Hotspurs D 1-154.0 893 981 27.63% 21.19% 51.18%-0.46 +0.9 2
2006-05-13 Hibernians W 1-043.5 1145 1179 34.38% 21.62% 44.01%-0.35 +8.1 19
2006-05-13 @ Marsaxlokk L 0-143.5 1179 1145 44.01% 21.62% 34.38%+0.35 -8.1 9
2006-05-14 Birkirkara W 2-149.3 1261 1308 32.58% 21.54% 45.88%-0.44 +7.9 17
2006-05-14 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-249.3 1308 1261 45.88% 21.54% 32.58%+0.44 -7.9 21

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2005-10-22 12.61% Pieta Hotspurs 1005 1 @ Sliema Wanderers 1271 0
2 2005-10-17 17.55% @ Hamrun Spartans 930 4 Valletta 1123 2
3 2005-12-08 19.65% @ Marsaxlokk 1075 2 Birkirkara 1243 0
4 2006-02-04 19.83% Pieta Hotspurs 967 3 @ Marsaxlokk 1133 1
5 2006-04-16 20.30% Marsaxlokk 1117 1 @ Sliema Wanderers 1277 0
6 2006-01-28 20.42% Valletta 1066 2 @ Hibernians 1225 1
7 2006-04-02 21.85% Mosta 886 1 @ Floriana 1029 0
8 2006-03-04 22.55% Valletta 1076 3 @ Hibernians 1212 1
9 2006-02-05 22.59% Hamrun Spartans 941 2 @ Valletta 1076 1
10 2006-03-05 22.69% @ Marsaxlokk 1125 2 Sliema Wanderers 1259 1
11 2005-08-21 24.07% Msida St. Joseph 1003 3 @ Valletta 1123 1
12 2006-03-05 24.22% @ Mosta 858 3 Pieta Hotspurs 978 1
13 2005-12-03 24.77% @ Floriana 987 2 Valletta 1101 1
14 2005-10-02 24.92% @ Valletta 1105 2 Hibernians 1218 0
15 2006-02-11 25.60% Marsaxlokk 1115 1 @ Hibernians 1222 0
16 2005-12-17 26.47% @ Mosta 894 3 Pieta Hotspurs 993 1
17 2006-04-22 27.68% @ Hibernians 1179 4 Sliema Wanderers 1266 3
18 2005-09-17 28.32% Hamrun Spartans 911 3 @ Floriana 993 1
19 2006-03-25 29.11% @ Pieta Hotspurs 962 2 Floriana 1037 1
20 2005-08-06 30.83% @ Mosta 956 2 Msida St. Joseph 1017 1
21 2005-12-14 30.93% Hamrun Spartans 940 3 @ Pieta Hotspurs 1000 2
22 2006-03-19 32.42% Mosta 874 5 @ Hamrun Spartans 923 3
23 2006-05-14 32.58% @ Sliema Wanderers 1261 2 Birkirkara 1308 1
24 2006-03-26 33.16% Valletta 1091 4 @ Marsaxlokk 1135 3
25 2005-10-30 33.21% Floriana 974 3 @ Pieta Hotspurs 1017 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-01-03 25.56 Marsaxlokk 4 1096 40.47% @ Valletta 0 1086 37.85% 21.69%
2 2005-12-08 20.02 @ Marsaxlokk 2 1075 19.65% Birkirkara 0 1243 60.41% 19.94%
3 2006-01-17 18.60 Hamrun Spartans 3 934 42.85% @ Mosta 0 908 35.50% 21.65%
4 2005-08-06 18.28 Sliema Wanderers 3 1212 43.61% @ Hibernians 0 1181 34.76% 21.63%
5 2005-10-02 18.16 @ Valletta 2 1105 24.92% Hibernians 0 1218 54.20% 20.88%
6 2005-08-12 17.99 Hibernians 4 1163 54.27% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 1049 24.87% 20.87%
7 2006-02-04 17.29 Pieta Hotspurs 3 967 19.83% @ Marsaxlokk 1 1133 60.19% 19.98%
8 2006-03-11 16.99 @ Sliema Wanderers 3 1250 46.71% Hibernians 0 1196 31.79% 21.50%
9 2006-03-04 16.44 Valletta 3 1076 22.55% @ Hibernians 1 1212 56.93% 20.52%
10 2005-10-17 16.12 @ Hamrun Spartans 4 930 17.55% Valletta 2 1123 63.05% 19.41%
11 2005-09-26 16.02 @ Hibernians 5 1202 34.69% Birkirkara 2 1234 43.68% 21.63%
12 2005-08-21 15.99 Msida St. Joseph 3 1003 24.07% @ Valletta 1 1123 55.17% 20.76%
13 2006-03-05 15.94 @ Mosta 3 858 24.22% Pieta Hotspurs 1 978 55.00% 20.78%
14 2005-10-29 15.53 Hibernians 2 1216 33.26% @ Sliema Wanderers 0 1259 45.16% 21.57%
15 2005-08-25 15.44 @ Marsaxlokk 5 1056 53.31% Mosta 1 950 25.71% 20.98%
16 2006-03-12 15.37 @ Floriana 3 1022 50.54% Hamrun Spartans 0 939 28.22% 21.24%
17 2005-12-17 15.29 @ Mosta 3 894 26.47% Pieta Hotspurs 1 993 52.47% 21.06%
18 2005-10-16 14.97 Marsaxlokk 4 1060 44.89% @ Pieta Hotspurs 1 1020 33.53% 21.58%
19 2005-09-17 14.76 Hamrun Spartans 3 911 28.32% @ Floriana 1 993 50.43% 21.25%
20 2006-01-14 13.97 @ Birkirkara 2 1236 38.69% Hibernians 0 1239 39.62% 21.69%
21 2006-01-24 13.72 Floriana 3 1003 54.38% @ Mosta 0 889 24.77% 20.86%
22 2005-08-21 13.61 Sliema Wanderers 6 1231 69.82% @ Mosta 0 964 12.58% 17.59%
23 2005-08-05 13.47 Pieta Hotspurs 2 1036 40.47% @ Floriana 0 1027 37.84% 21.69%
24 2005-10-30 13.46 Floriana 3 974 33.21% @ Pieta Hotspurs 1 1017 45.22% 21.57%
25 2006-03-04 12.82 @ Birkirkara 5 1267 67.76% Msida St. Joseph 0 1024 14.02% 18.22%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-09-25 65.7 @ Floriana 4 979 46.33% Mosta 4 928 32.15% 21.52%
2 2006-05-06 64.6 @ Msida St. Joseph 3 995 12.56% Sliema Wanderers 3 1262 69.85% 17.58%
3 2006-05-12 63.6 @ Mosta 3 897 23.25% Floriana 3 1025 56.12% 20.63%
4 2005-09-11 63.5 @ Pieta Hotspurs 3 1039 53.18% Mosta 3 935 25.83% 20.99%
5 2006-04-15 59.2 @ Valletta 2 1098 28.41% Hibernians 2 1179 50.33% 21.26%
6 2006-04-01 59.1 @ Valletta 2 1098 52.26% Msida St. Joseph 2 1002 26.65% 21.09%
7 2006-04-29 59.1 @ Pieta Hotspurs 2 982 50.85% Mosta 2 896 27.94% 21.22%
8 2006-04-22 58.7 @ Hibernians 4 1179 27.68% Sliema Wanderers 3 1266 51.13% 21.19%
9 2006-03-26 56.8 Valletta 4 1091 33.16% @ Marsaxlokk 3 1135 45.27% 21.57%
10 2005-11-20 55.4 @ Hamrun Spartans 1 937 10.50% Sliema Wanderers 1 1244 73.00% 16.50%
11 2006-02-05 55.0 @ Birkirkara 1 1269 68.32% Floriana 1 1020 13.63% 18.06%
12 2005-12-14 54.9 @ Hibernians 1 1235 67.37% Floriana 1 996 14.30% 18.33%
13 2006-04-30 54.7 @ Marsaxlokk 1 1131 19.09% Birkirkara 1 1305 61.10% 19.81%
14 2006-04-02 54.6 @ Birkirkara 1 1290 41.10% Sliema Wanderers 1 1277 37.22% 21.68%
15 2005-08-22 54.5 @ Birkirkara 1 1233 61.70% Marsaxlokk 1 1054 18.61% 19.69%
16 2005-10-17 54.5 @ Hamrun Spartans 4 930 17.55% Valletta 2 1123 63.05% 19.41%
17 2006-03-19 54.4 @ Msida St. Joseph 1 1006 19.17% Hibernians 1 1179 60.99% 19.83%
18 2005-08-11 54.1 @ Valletta 1 1125 54.03% Floriana 1 1013 25.07% 20.90%
19 2005-09-21 54.0 @ Marsaxlokk 1 1065 50.94% Floriana 1 978 27.85% 21.21%
20 2005-12-14 54.0 Hamrun Spartans 3 940 30.93% @ Pieta Hotspurs 2 1000 47.62% 21.45%
21 2006-05-13 54.0 @ Pieta Hotspurs 1 981 51.18% Hamrun Spartans 1 893 27.63% 21.19%
22 2005-09-18 53.9 @ Msida St. Joseph 1 1029 34.13% Marsaxlokk 1 1065 44.27% 21.61%
23 2006-05-06 53.9 @ Floriana 1 1026 45.48% Pieta Hotspurs 1 981 32.96% 21.56%
24 2006-03-19 52.4 Mosta 5 874 32.42% @ Hamrun Spartans 3 923 46.05% 21.53%
25 2006-01-28 52.3 Valletta 2 1066 20.42% @ Hibernians 1 1225 59.47% 20.11%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-01-29 23.7 @ Birkirkara 6 1261 78.51% Mosta 0 876 7.28% 14.21%
2 2006-01-21 25.6 Birkirkara 6 1250 72.27% @ Hamrun Spartans 0 952 10.96% 16.77%
3 2006-03-04 26.2 @ Birkirkara 5 1267 67.76% Msida St. Joseph 0 1024 14.02% 18.22%
4 2005-08-21 26.3 Sliema Wanderers 6 1231 69.82% @ Mosta 0 964 12.58% 17.59%
5 2006-02-11 26.6 Sliema Wanderers 3 1252 69.88% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 985 12.55% 17.57%
6 2005-09-17 26.8 Hibernians 3 1194 69.14% @ Mosta 0 935 13.05% 17.81%
7 2005-12-04 27.5 @ Sliema Wanderers 2 1241 75.67% Mosta 0 898 8.87% 15.45%
8 2006-02-12 28.4 Valletta 3 1067 63.62% @ Mosta 0 868 17.10% 19.28%
9 2006-04-21 28.6 Birkirkara 3 1296 63.49% @ Valletta 0 1098 17.20% 19.31%
10 2005-12-18 28.8 Hibernians 2 1233 71.33% @ Hamrun Spartans 0 947 11.57% 17.09%
11 2005-08-20 29.4 Hibernians 3 1181 60.27% @ Floriana 0 1015 19.76% 19.97%
12 2006-01-07 29.7 Birkirkara 2 1230 68.63% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 978 13.41% 17.96%
13 2005-08-12 30.1 Hibernians 4 1163 54.27% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 1049 24.87% 20.87%
14 2005-08-25 30.2 @ Sliema Wanderers 4 1244 74.48% Hamrun Spartans 1 918 9.58% 15.93%
15 2005-12-18 30.2 @ Sliema Wanderers 3 1244 58.05% Valletta 0 1098 21.60% 20.35%
16 2006-01-24 31.2 Floriana 3 1003 54.38% @ Mosta 0 889 24.77% 20.86%
17 2006-04-15 31.2 Birkirkara 4 1290 71.54% @ Msida St. Joseph 1 1002 11.44% 17.02%
18 2006-02-04 31.3 Hibernians 2 1215 63.36% @ Msida St. Joseph 0 1019 17.30% 19.34%
19 2006-03-26 31.8 @ Sliema Wanderers 4 1271 69.49% Msida St. Joseph 1 1008 12.81% 17.70%
20 2005-10-16 32.2 @ Sliema Wanderers 1 1269 71.70% Floriana 0 979 11.34% 16.97%
21 2006-03-12 32.3 @ Floriana 3 1022 50.54% Hamrun Spartans 0 939 28.22% 21.24%
22 2005-09-10 32.5 @ Hibernians 1 1192 70.79% Hamrun Spartans 0 913 11.94% 17.28%
23 2006-01-14 32.9 Sliema Wanderers 4 1249 65.84% @ Msida St. Joseph 1 1027 15.42% 18.74%
24 2005-10-21 33.4 Birkirkara 1 1222 67.96% @ Floriana 0 977 13.88% 18.16%
25 2006-03-11 33.8 @ Sliema Wanderers 3 1250 46.71% Hibernians 0 1196 31.79% 21.50%