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2006-07 Maltese Premier League Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Marsaxlokk

45 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Marsaxlokk

11.10 points above expected

45 points · 33.90 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Marsa

15.20 points below expected

3 points · 18.20 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Marsaxlokk 18 14 3 1 45 45 15 +30 33.90 +11.10
2 Sliema Wanderers 18 10 4 4 34 33 21 +12 30.24 +3.76
3 Valletta 18 10 3 5 33 41 18 +23 29.02 +3.98
4 Msida St. Joseph 18 9 6 3 33 32 17 +15 28.69 +4.31
5 Birkirkara 18 9 3 6 30 32 27 +5 30.11 -0.11
6 Hibernians 18 8 1 9 25 31 33 -2 25.39 -0.39
7 Floriana 18 6 6 6 24 28 20 +8 24.77 -0.77
8 St. Georges 18 2 6 10 12 11 33 -22 16.88 -4.88
9 Pieta Hotspurs 18 2 5 11 11 16 47 -31 12.98 -1.98
10 Marsa 18 0 3 15 3 12 50 -38 18.20 -15.20
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Marsaxlokk 10 8 0 2 24 29 13 +16 41.91 -17.91
2 Birkirkara 10 6 1 3 19 16 17 -1 26.89 -7.89
3 Sliema Wanderers 10 5 3 2 18 17 13 +4 33.40 -15.40
4 Valletta 10 3 4 3 13 14 13 +1 31.71 -18.71
5 Pieta Hotspurs 6 4 0 2 12 13 9 +4 13.02 -1.02
6 Floriana 6 3 1 2 10 13 10 +3 24.93 -14.93
7 Marsa 6 2 2 2 8 8 8 0 7.44 +0.56
8 Hibernians 10 2 2 6 8 14 19 -5 21.14 -13.14
9 St. Georges 6 1 1 4 4 12 19 -7 14.04 -10.04
10 Msida St. Joseph 10 0 2 8 2 8 23 -15 30.43 -28.43

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Marsaxlokk 45 33.90 +11.10
2 Msida St. Joseph 33 28.69 +4.31
3 Valletta 33 29.02 +3.98
4 Sliema Wanderers 34 30.24 +3.76
5 Birkirkara 30 30.11 -0.11

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Marsa 3 18.20 -15.20
2 St. Georges 12 16.88 -4.88
3 Pieta Hotspurs 11 12.98 -1.98
4 Floriana 24 24.77 -0.77
5 Hibernians 25 25.39 -0.39

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Marsaxlokk 8 Aug 26 – Nov 26 1 in 205
2 Hibernians 5 Aug 24 – Sep 29 1 in 91
3 Valletta 5 Oct 14 – Dec 13 1 in 39
4 Msida St. Joseph 3 Aug 20 – Sep 10 1 in 24
5 Sliema Wanderers 5 Dec 3 – Dec 29 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Marsa 8 Dec 10 – Feb 10 1 in 99
2 Valletta 2 Jan 20 – Jan 27 1 in 12
3 Floriana 3 Dec 13 – Dec 30 1 in 7
4 Sliema Wanderers 2 Oct 14 – Oct 20 1 in 7
5 Hibernians 2 Oct 15 – Oct 21 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Marsaxlokk 17 Aug 26 – Feb 10 1 in 69
2 Pieta Hotspurs 4 Dec 30 – Jan 21 1 in 39
3 Msida St. Joseph 8 Sep 30 – Dec 29 1 in 15
4 St. Georges 2 Jan 14 – Jan 21 1 in 14
5 Sliema Wanderers 8 Nov 25 – Jan 27 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Marsa 18 Aug 20 – Feb 10 1 in 284
2 St. Georges 10 Aug 19 – Dec 3 1 in 19
3 Msida St. Joseph 4 Dec 29 – Jan 21 1 in 15
4 Pieta Hotspurs 13 Aug 20 – Dec 30 1 in 13
5 Marsaxlokk 2 Jan 14 – Jan 27 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Marsaxlokk 1293 69 +48 12 9.8 +2.2
Sliema Wanderers 1197 52 -44 6 9.8 -3.8
Birkirkara 1105 49 +46 10 6.4 +3.6
Valletta 1134 46 +24 8 7.0 +1.0
Msida St. Joseph 944 35 -63 1 4.2 -3.2
Floriana 986 34 -36 7 10.5 -3.5
Hibernians 960 33 -11 4 4.6 -0.6
Pieta Hotspurs 847 23 +32 9 7.0 +2.0
St. Georges 766 16 -52 4 6.5 -2.5
Marsa 758 11 +55 8 3.9 +4.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BIR FLO HIB MAR MAR MSJ PH SW SG VAL
Birkirkara —
1-1-0
3.26
1-0-1
3.05
2-0-0
4.16
1-1-0
2.61
0-0-2
3.16
2-0-0
4.51
0-1-1
2.45
2-0-0
3.91
0-0-2
2.71
Floriana
0-1-1
2.29
 —
2-0-0
2.45
2-0-0
3.69
0-0-2
1.83
0-1-1
2.35
1-1-0
4.29
0-1-1
2.26
1-1-0
4.00
0-1-1
2.28
Hibernians
1-0-1
2.50
0-0-2
3.10
 —
2-0-0
3.43
0-1-1
1.79
0-0-2
2.50
1-0-1
4.41
1-0-1
2.16
1-0-1
3.99
2-0-0
2.29
Marsa
0-0-2
1.42
0-0-2
1.87
0-0-2
2.13
 —
0-0-2
0.75
0-1-1
2.24
0-1-1
3.19
0-0-2
1.40
0-1-1
3.13
0-0-2
1.31
Marsaxlokk
0-1-1
2.96
2-0-0
3.73
1-1-0
3.78
2-0-0
4.89
 —
2-0-0
3.22
2-0-0
4.45
2-0-0
3.36
1-1-0
4.62
2-0-0
3.01
Msida St. Joseph
2-0-0
2.40
1-1-0
3.20
2-0-0
3.05
1-1-0
3.33
0-0-2
2.33
 —
2-0-0
4.47
0-1-1
3.03
1-1-0
4.33
0-2-0
2.93
Pieta Hotspurs
0-0-2
1.09
0-1-1
1.30
1-0-1
1.18
1-1-0
2.36
0-0-2
1.16
0-0-2
1.14
 —
0-1-1
0.93
0-2-0
2.09
0-0-2
1.74
Sliema Wanderers
1-1-0
3.11
1-1-0
3.29
1-0-1
3.39
2-0-0
4.18
0-0-2
2.19
1-1-0
2.52
1-1-0
4.68
 —
2-0-0
4.10
1-0-1
3.15
St. Georges
0-0-2
1.65
0-1-1
1.57
1-0-1
1.58
1-1-0
2.42
0-1-1
0.99
0-1-1
1.25
0-2-0
3.46
0-0-2
1.48
 —
0-0-2
1.36
Valletta
2-0-0
2.84
1-1-0
3.27
0-0-2
3.27
2-0-0
4.29
0-0-2
2.54
0-2-0
2.62
2-0-0
3.85
1-0-1
2.41
2-0-0
4.22
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.91 +10.6
Allowed 0.82 -9.3
Differential 0.94 +5.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.27%7.58%3.79%3.41%2.27%1.14%20.45%
17.58%12.12%6.82%5.30%2.65%1.89%36.36%
23.79%6.82%6.06%3.03%0.38%0.38%20.45%
33.41%5.30%3.03%0.76%—0.38%12.88%
42.27%2.65%0.38%——0.38%5.68%
5+1.14%1.89%0.38%0.38%0.38%—4.17%
Total20.45%36.36%20.45%12.88%5.68%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.61 +0.00
SD 1.37 1.37 2.12
CV 0.85 0.85 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%—3.57%——10.71%
114.29%7.14%—7.14%—7.14%35.71%
23.57%17.86%3.57%7.14%——32.14%
33.57%3.57%3.57%3.57%——14.29%
43.57%3.57%————7.14%
5+———————
Total25.00%39.29%7.14%21.43%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 1.57 +0.14
SD 1.08 1.55 2.05
CV 0.63 0.99 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%16.67%4.17%———25.00%
14.17%16.67%4.17%4.17%——29.17%
24.17%4.17%8.33%—4.17%—20.83%
34.17%—4.17%———8.33%
44.17%8.33%————12.50%
5+——4.17%———4.17%
Total20.83%45.83%25.00%4.17%4.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 1.25 +0.46
SD 1.60 0.99 1.84
CV 0.94 0.79 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.57%3.57%3.57%3.57%—14.29%
1—3.57%17.86%10.71%3.57%—35.71%
23.57%10.71%7.14%7.14%——28.57%
33.57%10.71%3.57%———17.86%
43.57%—————3.57%
5+———————
Total10.71%28.57%32.14%21.43%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.86 -0.25
SD 1.07 1.11 1.94
CV 0.66 0.60 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%4.17%12.50%8.33%8.33%—37.50%
14.17%12.50%16.67%4.17%4.17%8.33%50.00%
2——4.17%———4.17%
3—4.17%———4.17%8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total8.33%20.83%33.33%12.50%12.50%12.50%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 2.42 -1.58
SD 0.87 1.59 1.74
CV 1.04 0.66 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%————7.14%
114.29%3.57%——3.57%—21.43%
23.57%7.14%7.14%———17.86%
33.57%10.71%10.71%———25.00%
47.14%3.57%3.57%———14.29%
5+3.57%10.71%————14.29%
Total32.14%42.86%21.43%—3.57%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.64 1.00 +1.64
SD 1.59 0.94 1.89
CV 0.60 0.94 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%7.14%7.14%3.57%—25.00%
17.14%21.43%3.57%7.14%——39.29%
23.57%—7.14%3.57%——14.29%
37.14%7.14%————14.29%
43.57%—————3.57%
5+—3.57%————3.57%
Total21.43%39.29%17.86%17.86%3.57%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.43 +0.00
SD 1.32 1.14 2.09
CV 0.92 0.80 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%8.33%—4.17%4.17%12.50%33.33%
14.17%12.50%8.33%4.17%8.33%—37.50%
24.17%8.33%4.17%———16.67%
3—4.17%————4.17%
4—————4.17%4.17%
5+———4.17%——4.17%
Total12.50%33.33%12.50%12.50%12.50%16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 2.33 -1.12
SD 1.32 1.81 2.31
CV 1.09 0.78 —
Max 5 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.57%————3.57%
114.29%17.86%7.14%3.57%3.57%—46.43%
210.71%7.14%3.57%3.57%——25.00%
33.57%3.57%7.14%3.57%——17.86%
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+———————
Total28.57%39.29%17.86%10.71%3.57%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.79 1.21 +0.57
SD 1.03 1.10 1.48
CV 0.58 0.91 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%8.33%8.33%8.33%4.17%—41.67%
1—16.67%4.17%4.17%4.17%4.17%33.33%
2—8.33%—8.33%—4.17%20.83%
3———————
4———————
5+————4.17%—4.17%
Total12.50%33.33%12.50%20.83%12.50%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 2.17 -1.21
SD 1.16 1.63 1.61
CV 1.21 0.75 —
Max 5 6 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—10.71%3.57%———14.29%
110.71%10.71%7.14%7.14%——35.71%
23.57%3.57%14.29%———21.43%
37.14%7.14%————14.29%
4—3.57%————3.57%
5+7.14%3.57%————10.71%
Total28.57%39.29%25.00%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 1.11 +0.86
SD 1.67 0.92 2.16
CV 0.85 0.83 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Marsaxlokk 1293 45 33.90 +11.10 99.0% 21 24 31 34 37 42 49
Sliema Wanderers 1197 34 30.24 +3.76 74.0% 15 20 25 31 35 39 45
Valletta 1134 33 29.02 +3.98 73.0% 15 20 25 29 34 38 44
Birkirkara 1105 30 30.11 -0.11 55.0% 18 21 27 30 33 38 44
Floriana 986 24 24.77 -0.77 48.0% 6 18 21 25 28 32 40
Hibernians 960 25 25.39 -0.39 44.0% 15 16 22 26 28 32 35
Msida St. Joseph 944 33 28.69 +4.31 82.0% 17 21 25 30 32 36 42
Pieta Hotspurs 847 11 12.98 -1.98 46.0% 3 6 10 12 15 23 30
St. Georges 766 12 16.88 -4.88 18.0% 7 9 14 16 20 25 28
Marsa 758 3 18.20 -15.20 0.0% 9 11 15 18 21 26 30

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -3% * Slight Edge: -3% to 3.5% * Clear Edge: 3.5% to 8.5% * Strong Edge: 8.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+7.58%
Clear Edge
43.18%21.21%35.61%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 26.37 Elo pts.
163 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.19 goals
Neutral
-2+0.16+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.2
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
49%
Marsaxlokk, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.61/gm
Runaway
00.220.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.2 * Some Luck: 4.2 to 6.3 * Lucky: 6.3 to 8.4 * Wild Swing: 8.4 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.18 * Close: 1.18 to 1.77 * Off: 1.77 to 2.36 * Way Off: 2.36 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.57 points
Lucky
05.2513
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.80
Pinpoint
01.483
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
99.00%
Marsaxlokk
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
0.00%
Marsa
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.27 * Lopsided: 0.27 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 2 * Strong Separation: 2 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 84% * Wide Edge: 84% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92.5% * Clear Edge: 92.5% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 98% * Dominant: 98% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.
Gini Index
0.27
Lopsided
00.20.270.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 170.05
2.25
Strong Separation
0.951.6522.253
Interquartile Edge
82%
Clear Edge
50%72.5%79%84%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
95%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
57%
Frequent
0%52%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Frequent
0%24%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.42 * Slight Separation: 0.42 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.74 * Strong Carryover: 0.74 to 0.83 * Near-Lock: 0.83 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Upset-Prone: 18.5% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 19.5% * Very Shaky: 19.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Highly Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.41
Very Even
00.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.66
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.41
Weak Carryover
00.570.741
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
As Expected
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.68
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.20
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.081
Well Within Noise
00.1460.4

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Marsaxlokk49.00%19.00%12.00%6.00%6.00%5.00%3.00%———
Sliema Wanderers18.00%19.00%16.00%12.00%8.00%13.00%7.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%
Valletta17.00%14.00%18.00%10.00%13.00%12.00%8.00%4.00%4.00%—
Msida St. Joseph6.00%17.00%21.00%14.00%16.00%11.00%11.00%4.00%——
Birkirkara7.00%23.00%13.00%23.00%14.00%12.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%—
Hibernians—4.00%14.00%15.00%16.00%16.00%20.00%9.00%6.00%—
Floriana3.00%3.00%4.00%16.00%18.00%15.00%20.00%16.00%3.00%2.00%
St. Georges———1.00%6.00%5.00%8.00%28.00%34.00%18.00%
Pieta Hotspurs———1.00%1.00%2.00%5.00%10.00%19.00%62.00%
Marsa—1.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%9.00%14.00%22.00%32.00%16.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Birkirkara 100% —
Marsaxlokk 100% —
Msida St. Joseph 100% —
Sliema Wanderers 100% —
Hibernians 99.00% 1.00%
Valletta 98.00% 2.00%
Floriana 94.00% 6.00%
St. Georges 53.00% 47.00%
Marsa 37.00% 63.00%
Pieta Hotspurs 19.00% 81.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Birkirkara 100% —
Hibernians 100% —
Marsaxlokk 100% —
Msida St. Joseph 100% —
Sliema Wanderers 100% —
Valletta 100% —
Floriana 99.64% 0.36%
St. Georges 56.68% 43.32%
Pieta Hotspurs 37.86% 62.14%
Marsa 5.82% 94.18%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2006-08-19 Hibernians W 4-143.8 961 1030 32.87% 22.44% 44.69%-0.26 +41.4 3
2006-08-19 @ Floriana L 1-443.8 1030 961 44.69% 22.44% 32.87%+0.26 -41.4 0
2006-08-19 St. Georges W 1-035.4 1079 948 58.41% 21.68% 19.91%+0.97 +9.2 3
2006-08-19 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-135.4 948 1079 19.91% 21.68% 58.41%-0.97 -9.2 0
2006-08-20 Msida St. Joseph L 0-144.5 999 945 49.65% 22.28% 28.06%+0.49 -19.6 0
2006-08-20 @ Marsa W 1-044.5 945 999 28.06% 22.28% 49.65%-0.49 +19.6 3
2006-08-20 Valletta L 0-535.5 940 983 36.31% 22.49% 41.19%-0.11 -66.9 0
2006-08-20 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 5-035.5 983 940 41.19% 22.49% 36.31%+0.11 +66.9 3
2006-08-21 Marsaxlokk W 1-037.3 1090 1017 51.98% 22.17% 25.85%+0.61 +11.5 3
2006-08-21 @ Birkirkara L 0-137.3 1017 1090 25.85% 22.17% 51.98%-0.61 -11.5 0
2006-08-24 Sliema Wanderers W 2-149.4 988 1088 28.91% 22.32% 48.77%-0.45 +18.2 3
2006-08-24 @ Hibernians L 1-249.4 1088 988 48.77% 22.32% 28.91%+0.45 -18.2 3
2006-08-25 Floriana D 2-258.7 1050 1002 48.88% 22.31% 28.80%+0.46 -1.3 4
2006-08-25 @ Valletta D 2-258.7 1002 1050 28.80% 22.31% 48.88%-0.46 +1.3 4
2006-08-25 Marsa D 0-048.8 939 979 36.79% 22.49% 40.71%-0.08 +0.4 1
2006-08-25 @ St. Georges D 0-048.8 979 939 40.71% 22.49% 36.79%+0.08 -0.4 1
2006-08-26 Birkirkara W 5-144.6 964 1101 24.58% 22.09% 53.33%-0.68 +62.3 6
2006-08-26 @ Msida St. Joseph L 1-544.6 1101 964 53.33% 22.09% 24.58%+0.68 -62.3 3
2006-08-26 Pieta Hotspurs W 5-030.2 1005 873 58.57% 21.67% 19.77%+0.98 +40.3 3
2006-08-26 @ Marsaxlokk L 0-530.2 873 1005 19.77% 21.67% 58.57%-0.98 -40.3 0
2006-09-09 Hibernians L 1-344.2 979 1007 38.53% 22.50% 38.97%-0.01 -25.9 1
2006-09-09 @ Marsa W 3-144.2 1007 979 38.97% 22.50% 38.53%+0.01 +26.0 6
2006-09-09 St. Georges W 4-031.1 1039 939 55.08% 21.97% 22.95%+0.78 +37.2 6
2006-09-09 @ Birkirkara L 0-431.1 939 1039 22.95% 21.97% 55.08%-0.78 -37.2 1
2006-09-10 Msida St. Joseph L 0-330.4 833 1026 18.98% 21.58% 59.45%-1.03 -24.1 0
2006-09-10 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 3-030.4 1026 833 59.45% 21.58% 18.98%+1.03 +24.1 9
2006-09-10 Sliema Wanderers D 1-152.9 1004 1070 33.18% 22.45% 44.37%-0.25 +0.9 5
2006-09-10 @ Floriana D 1-152.9 1070 1004 44.37% 22.45% 33.18%+0.25 -1.0 4
2006-09-11 Marsaxlokk L 1-247.7 1049 1046 42.95% 22.47% 34.58%+0.18 -16.3 4
2006-09-11 @ Valletta W 2-147.7 1046 1049 34.58% 22.47% 42.95%-0.18 +16.3 6
2006-09-15 Birkirkara W 3-252.6 1033 1076 36.28% 22.49% 41.23%-0.11 +15.0 9
2006-09-15 @ Hibernians L 2-352.6 1076 1033 41.23% 22.49% 36.28%+0.11 -15.0 6
2006-09-16 Floriana W 4-245.3 1062 1005 50.07% 22.26% 27.67%+0.51 +17.8 9
2006-09-16 @ Marsaxlokk L 2-445.3 1005 1062 27.67% 22.26% 50.07%-0.51 -17.8 5
2006-09-16 Marsa W 2-033.1 1069 953 56.89% 21.82% 21.28%+0.88 +18.4 7
2006-09-16 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-233.1 953 1069 21.28% 21.82% 56.89%-0.88 -18.4 1
2006-09-17 Pieta Hotspurs D 1-153.0 902 808 54.39% 22.02% 23.59%+0.74 -2.7 2
2006-09-17 @ St. Georges D 1-153.0 808 902 23.59% 22.02% 54.39%-0.74 +2.7 1
2006-09-17 Valletta D 2-258.6 1051 1033 44.95% 22.43% 32.61%+0.27 -0.8 10
2006-09-17 @ Msida St. Joseph D 2-258.6 1033 1051 32.61% 22.43% 44.95%-0.27 +0.8 5
2006-09-22 Sliema Wanderers D 3-363.0 1061 1087 38.78% 22.50% 38.72%+0.00 +0.0 7
2006-09-22 @ Birkirkara D 3-363.0 1087 1061 38.72% 22.50% 38.78%+0.00 +0.0 8
2006-09-23 Hibernians L 1-239.1 811 1048 15.53% 21.07% 63.40%-1.29 -6.9 1
2006-09-23 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 2-139.1 1048 811 63.40% 21.07% 15.53%+1.29 +6.9 12
2006-09-23 St. Georges W 4-136.0 1033 899 58.74% 21.65% 19.61%+0.99 +20.9 8
2006-09-23 @ Valletta L 1-436.0 899 1033 19.61% 21.65% 58.74%-0.99 -20.9 2
2006-09-24 Marsa W 4-138.8 987 934 49.44% 22.29% 28.26%+0.48 +28.6 8
2006-09-24 @ Floriana L 1-438.8 934 987 28.26% 22.29% 49.44%-0.48 -28.7 1
2006-09-24 Msida St. Joseph W 3-034.3 1080 1050 46.54% 22.39% 31.06%+0.35 +36.7 12
2006-09-24 @ Marsaxlokk L 0-334.3 1050 1080 31.06% 22.39% 46.54%-0.35 -36.7 10
2006-09-29 Valletta W 3-143.2 1054 1054 42.50% 22.48% 35.03%+0.16 +24.1 15
2006-09-29 @ Hibernians L 1-343.2 1054 1054 35.03% 22.48% 42.50%-0.16 -24.1 8
2006-09-30 Birkirkara L 1-241.5 906 1061 22.63% 21.94% 55.43%-0.79 -9.7 1
2006-09-30 @ Marsa W 2-141.5 1061 906 55.43% 21.94% 22.63%+0.79 +9.7 10
2006-09-30 Floriana W 1-040.2 1013 1015 42.17% 22.48% 35.35%+0.15 +14.9 13
2006-09-30 @ Msida St. Joseph L 0-140.2 1015 1013 35.35% 22.48% 42.17%-0.15 -14.9 8
2006-10-01 Marsaxlokk L 1-532.9 878 1116 15.41% 21.05% 63.55%-1.30 -21.7 2
2006-10-01 @ St. Georges W 5-132.9 1116 878 63.55% 21.05% 15.41%+1.30 +21.7 15
2006-10-01 Pieta Hotspurs W 4-132.4 1087 804 70.87% 19.54% 9.59%+1.90 +10.6 11
2006-10-01 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-432.4 804 1087 9.59% 19.54% 70.87%-1.90 -10.6 1
2006-10-14 Marsa D 1-152.9 794 896 28.60% 22.31% 49.09%-0.47 +1.8 2
2006-10-14 @ Pieta Hotspurs D 1-152.9 896 794 49.09% 22.31% 28.60%+0.47 -1.8 2
2006-10-14 Sliema Wanderers W 1-043.0 1030 1098 33.00% 22.44% 44.56%-0.25 +17.9 11
2006-10-14 @ Valletta L 0-143.0 1098 1030 44.56% 22.44% 33.00%+0.25 -17.9 11
2006-10-15 Hibernians W 2-143.0 1138 1079 50.35% 22.25% 27.40%+0.53 +11.4 18
2006-10-15 @ Marsaxlokk L 1-243.0 1079 1138 27.40% 22.25% 50.35%-0.53 -11.4 15
2006-10-15 St. Georges W 2-031.5 1028 857 62.31% 21.23% 16.47%+1.22 +14.6 16
2006-10-15 @ Msida St. Joseph L 0-231.5 857 1028 16.47% 21.23% 62.31%-1.22 -14.6 2
2006-10-16 Birkirkara D 1-152.9 1000 1071 32.65% 22.44% 44.92%-0.27 +1.0 9
2006-10-16 @ Floriana D 1-152.9 1071 1000 44.92% 22.44% 32.65%+0.27 -1.0 11
2006-10-20 Marsaxlokk L 1-342.5 1080 1150 32.80% 22.44% 44.76%-0.26 -22.9 11
2006-10-20 @ Sliema Wanderers W 3-142.5 1150 1080 44.76% 22.44% 32.80%+0.26 +22.9 21
2006-10-21 Msida St. Joseph L 0-438.1 1067 1043 45.83% 22.41% 31.76%+0.31 -65.4 15
2006-10-21 @ Hibernians W 4-038.1 1043 1067 31.76% 22.41% 45.83%-0.31 +65.4 19
2006-10-21 Valletta L 0-331.7 894 1048 22.81% 21.96% 55.24%-0.78 -28.4 2
2006-10-21 @ Marsa W 3-031.7 1048 894 55.24% 21.96% 22.81%+0.78 +28.4 14
2006-10-22 Floriana D 0-049.0 842 1002 22.23% 21.91% 55.86%-0.82 +3.4 3
2006-10-22 @ St. Georges D 0-049.0 1002 842 55.86% 21.91% 22.23%+0.82 -3.4 10
2006-10-22 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-137.0 1070 795 70.31% 19.69% 10.00%+1.85 +4.5 14
2006-10-22 @ Birkirkara L 1-237.0 795 1070 10.00% 19.69% 70.31%-1.85 -4.5 2
2006-11-25 Birkirkara W 1-040.1 1076 1074 42.76% 22.47% 34.76%+0.17 +14.7 17
2006-11-25 @ Valletta L 0-140.1 1074 1076 34.76% 22.47% 42.76%-0.17 -14.7 14
2006-11-25 Sliema Wanderers D 1-153.0 1108 1057 49.23% 22.30% 28.47%+0.47 -1.8 20
2006-11-25 @ Msida St. Joseph D 1-153.0 1057 1108 28.47% 22.30% 49.23%-0.47 +1.8 12
2006-11-26 Hibernians L 0-331.6 845 1002 22.56% 21.94% 55.50%-0.80 -28.1 3
2006-11-26 @ St. Georges W 3-031.6 1002 845 55.50% 21.94% 22.56%+0.80 +28.1 18
2006-11-26 Marsa W 4-025.9 1172 866 72.32% 19.13% 8.55%+2.05 +14.7 24
2006-11-26 @ Marsaxlokk L 0-425.9 866 1172 8.55% 19.13% 72.32%-2.05 -14.7 2
2006-12-02 Birkirkara D 2-258.9 1187 1060 58.04% 21.72% 20.24%+0.94 -2.6 25
2006-12-02 @ Marsaxlokk D 2-258.9 1060 1187 20.24% 21.72% 58.04%-0.94 +2.5 15
2006-12-02 Pieta Hotspurs W 4-028.0 998 791 65.39% 20.75% 13.86%+1.44 +23.6 13
2006-12-02 @ Floriana L 0-428.0 791 998 13.86% 20.75% 65.39%-1.44 -23.6 2
2006-12-03 Marsa D 1-153.6 1106 851 68.98% 20.02% 11.00%+1.73 -5.5 21
2006-12-03 @ Msida St. Joseph D 1-153.6 851 1106 11.00% 20.02% 68.98%-1.73 +5.5 3
2006-12-03 Sliema Wanderers L 2-344.3 817 1059 15.13% 21.00% 63.87%-1.32 -6.4 3
2006-12-03 @ St. Georges W 3-244.3 1059 817 63.87% 21.00% 15.13%+1.32 +6.4 15
2006-12-10 Floriana L 1-247.9 1030 1022 43.59% 22.46% 33.95%+0.21 -16.5 18
2006-12-10 @ Hibernians W 2-147.9 1022 1030 33.95% 22.46% 43.59%-0.21 +16.5 16
2006-12-10 Msida St. Joseph L 1-343.8 1062 1101 37.05% 22.50% 40.46%-0.07 -25.2 15
2006-12-10 @ Birkirkara W 3-143.8 1101 1062 40.46% 22.50% 37.05%+0.07 +25.2 24
2006-12-10 Pieta Hotspurs W 6-026.4 1091 767 73.34% 18.81% 7.85%+2.15 +19.6 20
2006-12-10 @ Valletta L 0-626.4 767 1091 7.85% 18.81% 73.34%-2.15 -19.6 2
2006-12-10 St. Georges L 1-249.4 857 811 48.61% 22.33% 29.06%+0.44 -18.1 3
2006-12-10 @ Marsa W 2-149.4 811 857 29.06% 22.33% 48.61%-0.44 +18.1 6
2006-12-13 Hibernians W 3-141.1 1066 1013 49.43% 22.29% 28.27%+0.48 +20.3 18
2006-12-13 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-341.1 1013 1066 28.27% 22.29% 49.43%-0.48 -20.3 18
2006-12-13 Valletta L 1-244.6 1038 1111 32.39% 22.43% 45.18%-0.28 -13.1 16
2006-12-13 @ Floriana W 2-144.6 1111 1038 45.18% 22.43% 32.39%+0.28 +13.1 23
2006-12-16 Marsa W 4-029.4 993 839 60.73% 21.43% 17.84%+1.11 +29.8 21
2006-12-16 @ Hibernians L 0-429.4 839 993 17.84% 21.43% 60.73%-1.11 -29.8 3
2006-12-16 Marsaxlokk L 0-129.9 748 1184 5.83% 17.63% 76.54%-2.52 -2.8 2
2006-12-16 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 1-029.9 1184 748 76.54% 17.63% 5.83%+2.52 +2.8 28
2006-12-19 Birkirkara L 0-134.6 829 1037 17.75% 21.42% 60.83%-1.12 -8.3 6
2006-12-19 @ St. Georges W 1-034.6 1037 829 60.83% 21.42% 17.75%+1.12 +8.3 18
2006-12-19 Floriana W 2-035.0 1086 1025 50.46% 22.25% 27.29%+0.53 +22.7 21
2006-12-19 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-235.0 1025 1086 27.29% 22.25% 50.46%-0.53 -22.7 16
2006-12-22 Hibernians W 3-249.8 1045 1023 45.58% 22.42% 32.00%+0.30 +12.3 21
2006-12-22 @ Birkirkara L 2-349.8 1023 1045 32.00% 22.42% 45.58%-0.30 -12.3 21
2006-12-22 Valletta W 1-037.7 1187 1124 50.81% 22.23% 26.96%+0.55 +11.9 31
2006-12-22 @ Marsaxlokk L 0-137.7 1124 1187 26.96% 22.23% 50.81%-0.55 -11.9 23
2006-12-23 Pieta Hotspurs W 3-133.0 1126 745 76.38% 17.70% 5.92%+2.50 +4.6 27
2006-12-23 @ Msida St. Joseph L 1-333.0 745 1126 5.92% 17.70% 76.38%-2.50 -4.6 2
2006-12-23 Sliema Wanderers L 1-237.6 809 1109 11.44% 20.15% 68.42%-1.68 -5.2 3
2006-12-23 @ Marsa W 2-137.6 1109 809 68.42% 20.15% 11.44%+1.68 +5.2 24
2006-12-29 Birkirkara W 1-038.0 1114 1058 49.89% 22.27% 27.84%+0.51 +12.2 27
2006-12-29 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-138.0 1058 1114 27.84% 22.27% 49.89%-0.51 -12.2 21
2006-12-29 Msida St. Joseph D 1-152.9 1112 1130 39.88% 22.50% 37.62%+0.05 -0.2 24
2006-12-29 @ Valletta D 1-152.9 1130 1112 37.62% 22.50% 39.88%-0.05 +0.2 28
2006-12-30 Marsaxlokk L 0-135.0 1003 1199 18.74% 21.55% 59.72%-1.05 -8.7 16
2006-12-30 @ Floriana W 1-035.0 1199 1003 59.72% 21.55% 18.74%+1.05 +8.7 34
2006-12-30 St. Georges D 0-048.8 740 821 31.35% 22.40% 46.25%-0.33 +1.4 3
2006-12-30 @ Pieta Hotspurs D 0-048.8 821 740 46.25% 22.40% 31.35%+0.33 -1.4 7
2007-01-06 Marsaxlokk L 0-139.3 1131 1208 31.76% 22.41% 45.83%-0.31 -13.6 28
2007-01-06 @ Msida St. Joseph W 1-039.3 1208 1131 45.83% 22.41% 31.76%+0.31 +13.7 37
2007-01-06 Pieta Hotspurs L 0-149.8 1011 742 69.93% 19.79% 10.29%+1.81 -27.0 21
2007-01-06 @ Hibernians W 1-049.8 742 1011 10.29% 19.79% 69.93%-1.81 +27.0 6
2007-01-07 Floriana L 0-232.4 804 994 19.31% 21.61% 59.08%-1.01 -16.9 3
2007-01-07 @ Marsa W 2-032.4 994 804 59.08% 21.61% 19.31%+1.01 +16.9 19
2007-01-07 Valletta L 0-229.8 819 1112 11.85% 20.26% 67.88%-1.64 -10.7 7
2007-01-07 @ St. Georges W 2-029.8 1112 819 67.88% 20.26% 11.85%+1.64 +10.7 27
2007-01-13 Marsa W 3-027.5 1046 787 69.24% 19.96% 10.80%+1.75 +14.2 24
2007-01-13 @ Birkirkara L 0-327.5 787 1046 10.80% 19.96% 69.24%-1.75 -14.2 3
2007-01-13 Sliema Wanderers D 2-259.6 769 1126 8.64% 19.16% 72.20%-2.03 +4.5 7
2007-01-13 @ Pieta Hotspurs D 2-259.6 1126 769 72.20% 19.16% 8.64%+2.03 -4.6 28
2007-01-14 Msida St. Joseph D 1-153.0 1011 1117 28.13% 22.29% 49.59%-0.49 +1.9 20
2007-01-14 @ Floriana D 1-153.0 1117 1011 49.59% 22.29% 28.13%+0.49 -1.9 29
2007-01-14 St. Georges D 1-154.5 1222 809 77.90% 17.05% 5.05%+2.70 -7.0 38
2007-01-14 @ Marsaxlokk D 1-154.5 809 1222 5.05% 17.05% 77.90%-2.70 +7.0 8
2007-01-20 Floriana W 1-038.3 1060 1013 48.78% 22.32% 28.90%+0.45 +12.6 27
2007-01-20 @ Birkirkara L 0-138.3 1013 1060 28.90% 22.32% 48.78%-0.45 -12.6 20
2007-01-20 Hibernians L 1-252.3 1122 984 59.22% 21.60% 19.18%+1.02 -21.7 27
2007-01-20 @ Valletta W 2-152.3 984 1122 19.18% 21.60% 59.22%-1.02 +21.7 24
2007-01-21 Msida St. Joseph D 1-153.6 816 1115 11.45% 20.15% 68.39%-1.68 +5.4 9
2007-01-21 @ St. Georges D 1-153.6 1115 816 68.39% 20.15% 11.45%+1.68 -5.4 30
2007-01-21 Pieta Hotspurs L 3-551.7 773 773 42.38% 22.48% 35.14%+0.16 -23.7 3
2007-01-21 @ Marsa W 5-351.7 773 773 35.14% 22.48% 42.38%-0.16 +23.7 10
2007-01-27 Marsaxlokk D 2-259.0 1005 1214 17.66% 21.40% 60.94%-1.12 +3.0 25
2007-01-27 @ Hibernians D 2-259.0 1214 1005 60.94% 21.40% 17.66%+1.12 -3.0 39
2007-01-27 Valletta W 1-039.3 1121 1101 45.32% 22.43% 32.26%+0.29 +13.8 31
2007-01-27 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-139.3 1101 1121 32.26% 22.43% 45.32%-0.29 -13.8 27
2007-01-28 Birkirkara L 1-433.7 797 1072 12.87% 20.52% 66.60%-1.53 -14.2 10
2007-01-28 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 4-133.7 1072 797 66.60% 20.52% 12.87%+1.53 +14.2 30
2007-01-28 St. Georges W 3-029.4 1000 821 62.98% 21.13% 15.88%+1.26 +20.5 23
2007-01-28 @ Floriana L 0-329.4 821 1000 15.88% 21.13% 62.98%-1.26 -20.5 9
2007-02-02 Hibernians W 3-031.7 1110 1008 55.27% 21.96% 22.77%+0.79 +28.3 33
2007-02-02 @ Msida St. Joseph L 0-331.7 1008 1110 22.77% 21.96% 55.27%-0.79 -28.3 25
2007-02-02 Sliema Wanderers W 3-247.9 1212 1135 52.37% 22.15% 25.48%+0.63 +10.2 42
2007-02-02 @ Marsaxlokk L 2-347.9 1135 1212 25.48% 22.15% 52.37%-0.63 -10.2 31
2007-02-03 Floriana D 1-153.3 783 1020 15.43% 21.05% 63.52%-1.30 +4.5 11
2007-02-03 @ Pieta Hotspurs D 1-153.3 1020 783 63.52% 21.05% 15.43%+1.30 -4.5 24
2007-02-03 Marsa W 6-128.7 1087 749 74.14% 18.54% 7.32%+2.24 +12.7 30
2007-02-03 @ Valletta L 1-628.7 749 1087 7.32% 18.54% 74.14%-2.24 -12.7 3
2007-02-10 Marsaxlokk L 1-528.3 736 1222 4.58% 16.63% 78.79%-2.82 -6.3 3
2007-02-10 @ Marsa W 5-128.3 1222 736 78.79% 16.63% 4.58%+2.82 +6.3 45
2007-02-10 St. Georges L 1-253.3 980 800 63.03% 21.12% 15.85%+1.26 -23.0 25
2007-02-10 @ Hibernians W 2-153.3 800 980 15.85% 21.12% 63.03%-1.26 +23.0 12
2007-02-11 Msida St. Joseph W 3-036.1 1125 1138 40.66% 22.49% 36.84%+0.08 +42.0 34
2007-02-11 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-336.1 1138 1125 36.84% 22.49% 40.66%-0.08 -42.0 33
2007-02-11 Valletta L 1-344.9 1087 1100 40.64% 22.50% 36.86%+0.08 -27.1 30
2007-02-11 @ Birkirkara W 3-144.9 1100 1087 36.86% 22.50% 40.64%-0.08 +27.1 33

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2007-02-24 Birkirkara W 3-032.9 1127 1059 51.28% 22.21% 26.51%+0.58 +32.2 3
2007-02-24 @ Valletta L 0-332.9 1059 1127 26.51% 22.21% 51.28%-0.58 -32.2 0
2007-02-24 Sliema Wanderers L 0-139.5 1096 1167 32.56% 22.43% 45.00%-0.28 -13.9 0
2007-02-24 @ Msida St. Joseph W 1-039.5 1167 1096 45.00% 22.43% 32.56%+0.28 +13.9 3
2007-02-25 Hibernians W 3-134.9 1228 957 70.09% 19.75% 10.17%+1.83 +8.0 3
2007-02-25 @ Marsaxlokk L 1-334.9 957 1228 10.17% 19.75% 70.09%-1.83 -8.0 0
2007-02-25 Pieta Hotspurs L 0-237.2 730 787 34.40% 22.47% 43.13%-0.19 -27.4 0
2007-02-25 @ Marsa W 2-037.2 787 730 43.13% 22.47% 34.40%+0.19 +27.4 3
2007-03-03 Marsaxlokk L 1-632.7 1027 1236 17.70% 21.41% 60.89%-1.12 -30.2 0
2007-03-03 @ Birkirkara W 6-132.7 1236 1027 60.89% 21.41% 17.70%+1.12 +30.2 6
2007-03-03 Valletta W 2-036.6 1181 1159 45.50% 22.42% 32.08%+0.30 +25.9 6
2007-03-03 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-236.6 1159 1181 32.08% 22.42% 45.50%-0.30 -25.9 3
2007-03-04 Hibernians L 1-350.0 1082 949 58.65% 21.66% 19.69%+0.98 -37.3 0
2007-03-04 @ Msida St. Joseph W 3-150.0 949 1082 19.69% 21.66% 58.65%-0.98 +37.3 3
2007-03-04 St. Georges W 3-244.2 1016 824 64.16% 20.95% 14.89%+1.34 +6.3 3
2007-03-04 @ Floriana L 2-344.2 824 1016 14.89% 20.95% 64.16%-1.34 -6.3 0
2007-03-10 Sliema Wanderers W 2-152.8 997 1207 17.61% 21.40% 61.00%-1.13 +22.3 3
2007-03-10 @ Birkirkara L 1-252.8 1207 997 61.00% 21.40% 17.61%+1.13 -22.3 6
2007-03-10 Valletta D 2-258.8 986 1133 23.54% 22.02% 54.44%-0.74 +2.0 4
2007-03-10 @ Hibernians D 2-258.8 1133 986 54.44% 22.02% 23.54%+0.74 -2.0 4
2007-03-14 Marsa D 1-153.1 817 702 56.73% 21.84% 21.43%+0.87 -3.2 1
2007-03-14 @ St. Georges D 1-153.1 702 817 21.43% 21.84% 56.73%-0.87 +3.2 1
2007-03-14 Msida St. Joseph W 2-030.3 1266 1045 66.51% 20.54% 12.95%+1.52 +11.6 9
2007-03-14 @ Marsaxlokk L 0-230.3 1045 1266 12.95% 20.54% 66.51%-1.52 -11.7 0
2007-03-17 Floriana W 3-150.5 815 1022 17.79% 21.42% 60.78%-1.11 +38.5 6
2007-03-17 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 1-350.5 1022 815 60.78% 21.42% 17.79%+1.11 -38.6 3
2007-03-17 Hibernians W 2-138.8 1185 988 64.49% 20.90% 14.61%+1.37 +6.5 9
2007-03-17 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-238.8 988 1185 14.61% 20.90% 64.49%-1.37 -6.5 4
2007-03-18 Birkirkara L 1-345.9 1033 1019 44.38% 22.45% 33.17%+0.25 -29.1 0
2007-03-18 @ Msida St. Joseph W 3-145.9 1019 1033 33.17% 22.45% 44.38%-0.25 +29.1 6
2007-03-18 Marsaxlokk L 1-339.8 1131 1278 23.53% 22.02% 54.45%-0.74 -17.4 4
2007-03-18 @ Valletta W 3-139.8 1278 1131 54.45% 22.02% 23.53%+0.74 +17.4 12
2007-03-31 Hibernians W 2-142.7 1048 982 51.23% 22.21% 26.56%+0.57 +11.1 9
2007-03-31 @ Birkirkara L 1-242.7 982 1048 26.56% 22.21% 51.23%-0.57 -11.1 4
2007-03-31 Msida St. Joseph D 1-153.1 1114 1004 56.16% 21.89% 21.96%+0.84 -3.1 5
2007-03-31 @ Valletta D 1-153.1 1004 1114 21.96% 21.89% 56.16%-0.84 +3.1 1
2007-04-01 Marsa D 2-259.5 984 706 70.55% 19.63% 9.83%+1.87 -4.3 4
2007-04-01 @ Floriana D 2-259.5 706 984 9.83% 19.63% 70.55%-1.87 +4.3 2
2007-04-01 Sliema Wanderers L 1-447.3 1295 1191 55.56% 21.93% 22.50%+0.80 -50.1 12
2007-04-01 @ Marsaxlokk W 4-147.3 1191 1295 22.50% 21.93% 55.56%-0.80 +50.1 12
2007-04-14 Marsaxlokk L 2-343.6 971 1245 12.92% 20.53% 66.54%-1.53 -5.5 4
2007-04-14 @ Hibernians W 3-243.6 1245 971 66.54% 20.53% 12.92%+1.53 +5.5 15
2007-04-14 Valletta W 1-042.3 1060 1110 35.28% 22.48% 42.24%-0.15 +17.1 12
2007-04-14 @ Birkirkara L 0-142.3 1110 1060 42.24% 22.48% 35.28%+0.15 -17.1 5
2007-04-15 Msida St. Joseph W 3-243.3 1241 1007 67.47% 20.35% 12.18%+1.60 +5.2 15
2007-04-15 @ Sliema Wanderers L 2-343.3 1007 1241 12.18% 20.35% 67.47%-1.60 -5.2 1
2007-04-15 Pieta Hotspurs L 1-245.9 814 853 36.93% 22.50% 40.57%-0.08 -14.5 1
2007-04-15 @ St. Georges W 2-145.9 853 814 40.57% 22.50% 36.93%+0.08 +14.5 9
2007-04-21 Floriana L 2-636.6 800 979 20.26% 21.72% 58.02%-0.94 -23.6 1
2007-04-21 @ St. Georges W 6-236.6 979 800 58.02% 21.72% 20.26%+0.94 +23.6 7
2007-04-21 Marsaxlokk L 2-346.4 1077 1251 20.81% 21.78% 57.42%-0.91 -8.6 12
2007-04-21 @ Birkirkara W 3-246.4 1251 1077 57.42% 21.78% 20.81%+0.91 +8.6 18
2007-04-22 Msida St. Joseph W 2-039.0 965 1002 37.25% 22.50% 40.26%-0.06 +31.0 7
2007-04-22 @ Hibernians L 0-239.0 1002 965 40.26% 22.50% 37.25%+0.06 -31.0 1
2007-04-22 Sliema Wanderers D 1-153.2 1093 1246 22.90% 21.97% 55.14%-0.78 +2.9 6
2007-04-22 @ Valletta D 1-153.2 1246 1093 55.14% 21.97% 22.90%+0.78 -2.9 16
2007-04-28 Birkirkara D 1-153.4 1244 1068 62.68% 21.17% 16.14%+1.24 -4.3 17
2007-04-28 @ Sliema Wanderers D 1-153.4 1068 1244 16.14% 21.17% 62.68%-1.24 +4.3 13
2007-04-28 Marsa W 2-139.8 868 710 61.06% 21.39% 17.55%+1.13 +7.8 12
2007-04-28 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 1-239.8 710 868 17.55% 21.39% 61.06%-1.13 -7.7 2
2007-04-29 Hibernians W 3-139.4 1096 996 55.14% 21.97% 22.90%+0.78 +17.0 9
2007-04-29 @ Valletta L 1-339.4 996 1096 22.90% 21.97% 55.14%-0.78 -17.0 7
2007-04-29 Marsaxlokk L 0-427.4 971 1259 12.09% 20.33% 67.58%-1.61 -20.7 1
2007-04-29 @ Msida St. Joseph W 4-027.4 1259 971 67.58% 20.33% 12.09%+1.61 +20.7 21
2007-05-05 Msida St. Joseph W 2-140.8 1072 950 57.51% 21.77% 20.72%+0.91 +9.0 16
2007-05-05 @ Birkirkara L 1-240.8 950 1072 20.72% 21.77% 57.51%-0.91 -9.0 1
2007-05-05 St. Georges W 3-146.2 702 776 32.21% 22.42% 45.36%-0.29 +29.6 5
2007-05-05 @ Marsa L 1-346.2 776 702 45.36% 22.42% 32.21%+0.29 -29.6 1
2007-05-06 Pieta Hotspurs W 1-035.5 1003 875 58.07% 21.72% 20.21%+0.95 +9.3 10
2007-05-06 @ Floriana L 0-135.5 875 1003 20.21% 21.72% 58.07%-0.95 -9.3 12
2007-05-06 Sliema Wanderers D 1-153.4 979 1239 13.85% 20.75% 65.40%-1.44 +4.8 8
2007-05-06 @ Hibernians D 1-153.4 1239 979 65.40% 20.75% 13.85%+1.44 -4.8 18
2007-05-07 Valletta L 0-148.0 1280 1113 61.88% 21.28% 16.83%+1.19 -24.0 21
2007-05-07 @ Marsaxlokk W 1-048.0 1113 1280 16.83% 21.28% 61.88%-1.19 +24.0 12
2007-05-11 Birkirkara L 0-235.6 984 1081 29.20% 22.33% 48.47%-0.44 -24.0 8
2007-05-11 @ Hibernians W 2-035.6 1081 984 48.47% 22.33% 29.20%+0.44 +24.0 19
2007-05-11 Floriana W 1-049.1 732 1012 12.55% 20.45% 67.00%-1.56 +25.9 8
2007-05-11 @ Marsa L 0-149.1 1012 732 67.00% 20.45% 12.55%+1.56 -25.9 10
2007-05-12 St. Georges L 4-561.6 866 746 57.26% 21.79% 20.95%+0.90 -19.2 12
2007-05-12 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 5-461.6 746 866 20.95% 21.79% 57.26%-0.90 +19.2 4
2007-05-12 Valletta D 2-258.9 941 1137 18.79% 21.55% 59.66%-1.04 +2.8 2
2007-05-12 @ Msida St. Joseph D 2-258.9 1137 941 59.66% 21.55% 18.79%+1.04 -2.8 13
2007-05-13 Marsaxlokk L 1-442.7 1234 1256 39.45% 22.50% 38.05%+0.03 -37.4 18
2007-05-13 @ Sliema Wanderers W 4-142.7 1256 1234 38.05% 22.50% 39.45%-0.03 +37.4 24

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2007-01-06 10.29% Pieta Hotspurs 742 1 @ Hibernians 1011 0
2 2007-05-11 12.55% @ Marsa 732 1 Floriana 1012 0
3 2007-02-10 15.85% St. Georges 800 2 @ Hibernians 980 1
4 2007-05-07 16.83% Valletta 1113 1 @ Marsaxlokk 1280 0
5 2007-03-10 17.61% @ Birkirkara 997 2 Sliema Wanderers 1207 1
6 2007-03-17 17.79% @ Pieta Hotspurs 815 3 Floriana 1022 1
7 2007-01-20 19.18% Hibernians 984 2 @ Valletta 1122 1
8 2007-03-04 19.69% Hibernians 949 3 @ Msida St. Joseph 1082 1
9 2007-05-12 20.95% St. Georges 746 5 @ Pieta Hotspurs 866 4
10 2007-04-01 22.50% Sliema Wanderers 1191 4 @ Marsaxlokk 1295 1
11 2006-08-26 24.58% @ Msida St. Joseph 964 5 Birkirkara 1101 1
12 2006-08-20 28.06% Msida St. Joseph 945 1 @ Marsa 999 0
13 2006-08-24 28.91% @ Hibernians 988 2 Sliema Wanderers 1088 1
14 2006-12-10 29.06% St. Georges 811 2 @ Marsa 857 1
15 2006-10-21 31.76% Msida St. Joseph 1043 4 @ Hibernians 1067 0
16 2007-05-05 32.21% @ Marsa 702 3 St. Georges 776 1
17 2006-08-19 32.87% @ Floriana 961 4 Hibernians 1030 1
18 2006-10-14 33.00% @ Valletta 1030 1 Sliema Wanderers 1098 0
19 2007-03-18 33.17% Birkirkara 1019 3 @ Msida St. Joseph 1033 1
20 2006-12-10 33.95% Floriana 1022 2 @ Hibernians 1030 1
21 2006-09-11 34.58% Marsaxlokk 1046 2 @ Valletta 1049 1
22 2007-01-21 35.14% Pieta Hotspurs 773 5 @ Marsa 773 3
23 2007-04-14 35.28% @ Birkirkara 1060 1 Valletta 1110 0
24 2006-09-15 36.28% @ Hibernians 1033 3 Birkirkara 1076 2
25 2007-02-11 36.86% Valletta 1100 3 @ Birkirkara 1087 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-08-20 66.93 Valletta 5 983 41.19% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 940 36.31% 22.49%
2 2006-10-21 65.43 Msida St. Joseph 4 1043 31.76% @ Hibernians 0 1067 45.83% 22.41%
3 2006-08-26 62.27 @ Msida St. Joseph 5 964 24.58% Birkirkara 1 1101 53.33% 22.09%
4 2007-04-01 50.10 Sliema Wanderers 4 1191 22.50% @ Marsaxlokk 1 1295 55.56% 21.93%
5 2007-02-11 42.04 @ Sliema Wanderers 3 1125 40.66% Msida St. Joseph 0 1138 36.84% 22.49%
6 2006-08-19 41.35 @ Floriana 4 961 32.87% Hibernians 1 1030 44.69% 22.44%
7 2006-08-26 40.29 @ Marsaxlokk 5 1005 58.57% Pieta Hotspurs 0 873 19.77% 21.67%
8 2007-03-17 38.56 @ Pieta Hotspurs 3 815 17.79% Floriana 1 1022 60.78% 21.42%
9 2007-05-13 37.39 Marsaxlokk 4 1256 38.05% @ Sliema Wanderers 1 1234 39.45% 22.50%
10 2007-03-04 37.27 Hibernians 3 949 19.69% @ Msida St. Joseph 1 1082 58.65% 21.66%
11 2006-09-09 37.25 @ Birkirkara 4 1039 55.08% St. Georges 0 939 22.95% 21.97%
12 2006-09-24 36.70 @ Marsaxlokk 3 1080 46.54% Msida St. Joseph 0 1050 31.06% 22.39%
13 2007-02-24 32.22 @ Valletta 3 1127 51.28% Birkirkara 0 1059 26.51% 22.21%
14 2007-04-22 31.01 @ Hibernians 2 965 37.25% Msida St. Joseph 0 1002 40.26% 22.50%
15 2007-03-03 30.23 Marsaxlokk 6 1236 60.89% @ Birkirkara 1 1027 17.70% 21.41%
16 2006-12-16 29.82 @ Hibernians 4 993 60.73% Marsa 0 839 17.84% 21.43%
17 2007-05-05 29.61 @ Marsa 3 702 32.21% St. Georges 1 776 45.36% 22.42%
18 2007-03-18 29.07 Birkirkara 3 1019 33.17% @ Msida St. Joseph 1 1033 44.38% 22.45%
19 2006-09-24 28.66 @ Floriana 4 987 49.44% Marsa 1 934 28.26% 22.29%
20 2006-10-21 28.35 Valletta 3 1048 55.24% @ Marsa 0 894 22.81% 21.96%
21 2007-02-02 28.33 @ Msida St. Joseph 3 1110 55.27% Hibernians 0 1008 22.77% 21.96%
22 2006-11-26 28.10 Hibernians 3 1002 55.50% @ St. Georges 0 845 22.56% 21.94%
23 2007-02-25 27.43 Pieta Hotspurs 2 787 43.13% @ Marsa 0 730 34.40% 22.47%
24 2007-02-11 27.07 Valletta 3 1100 36.86% @ Birkirkara 1 1087 40.64% 22.50%
25 2007-01-06 27.00 Pieta Hotspurs 1 742 10.29% @ Hibernians 0 1011 69.93% 19.79%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-09-22 63.0 @ Birkirkara 3 1061 38.78% Sliema Wanderers 3 1087 38.72% 22.50%
2 2007-05-12 61.6 St. Georges 5 746 20.95% @ Pieta Hotspurs 4 866 57.26% 21.79%
3 2007-01-13 59.6 @ Pieta Hotspurs 2 769 8.64% Sliema Wanderers 2 1126 72.20% 19.16%
4 2007-04-01 59.5 @ Floriana 2 984 70.55% Marsa 2 706 9.83% 19.63%
5 2007-01-27 59.0 @ Hibernians 2 1005 17.66% Marsaxlokk 2 1214 60.94% 21.40%
6 2006-12-02 58.9 @ Marsaxlokk 2 1187 58.04% Birkirkara 2 1060 20.24% 21.72%
7 2007-05-12 58.9 @ Msida St. Joseph 2 941 18.79% Valletta 2 1137 59.66% 21.55%
8 2007-03-10 58.8 @ Hibernians 2 986 23.54% Valletta 2 1133 54.44% 22.02%
9 2006-08-25 58.7 @ Valletta 2 1050 48.88% Floriana 2 1002 28.80% 22.31%
10 2006-09-17 58.6 @ Msida St. Joseph 2 1051 44.95% Valletta 2 1033 32.61% 22.43%
11 2007-01-14 54.5 @ Marsaxlokk 1 1222 77.90% St. Georges 1 809 5.05% 17.05%
12 2006-12-03 53.6 @ Msida St. Joseph 1 1106 68.98% Marsa 1 851 11.00% 20.02%
13 2007-01-21 53.6 @ St. Georges 1 816 11.45% Msida St. Joseph 1 1115 68.39% 20.15%
14 2007-04-28 53.4 @ Sliema Wanderers 1 1244 62.68% Birkirkara 1 1068 16.14% 21.17%
15 2007-05-06 53.4 @ Hibernians 1 979 13.85% Sliema Wanderers 1 1239 65.40% 20.75%
16 2007-02-03 53.3 @ Pieta Hotspurs 1 783 15.43% Floriana 1 1020 63.52% 21.05%
17 2007-02-10 53.3 St. Georges 2 800 15.85% @ Hibernians 1 980 63.03% 21.12%
18 2007-04-22 53.2 @ Valletta 1 1093 22.90% Sliema Wanderers 1 1246 55.14% 21.97%
19 2007-03-14 53.1 @ St. Georges 1 817 56.73% Marsa 1 702 21.43% 21.84%
20 2007-03-31 53.1 @ Valletta 1 1114 56.16% Msida St. Joseph 1 1004 21.96% 21.89%
21 2006-09-17 53.0 @ St. Georges 1 902 54.39% Pieta Hotspurs 1 808 23.59% 22.02%
22 2006-11-25 53.0 @ Msida St. Joseph 1 1108 49.23% Sliema Wanderers 1 1057 28.47% 22.30%
23 2007-01-14 53.0 @ Floriana 1 1011 28.13% Msida St. Joseph 1 1117 49.59% 22.29%
24 2006-09-10 52.9 @ Floriana 1 1004 33.18% Sliema Wanderers 1 1070 44.37% 22.45%
25 2006-10-14 52.9 @ Pieta Hotspurs 1 794 28.60% Marsa 1 896 49.09% 22.31%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-11-26 25.9 @ Marsaxlokk 4 1172 72.32% Marsa 0 866 8.55% 19.13%
2 2006-12-10 26.4 @ Valletta 6 1091 73.34% Pieta Hotspurs 0 767 7.85% 18.81%
3 2007-04-29 27.4 Marsaxlokk 4 1259 67.58% @ Msida St. Joseph 0 971 12.09% 20.33%
4 2007-01-13 27.5 @ Birkirkara 3 1046 69.24% Marsa 0 787 10.80% 19.96%
5 2006-12-02 28.0 @ Floriana 4 998 65.39% Pieta Hotspurs 0 791 13.86% 20.75%
6 2007-02-10 28.3 Marsaxlokk 5 1222 78.79% @ Marsa 1 736 4.58% 16.63%
7 2007-02-03 28.7 @ Valletta 6 1087 74.14% Marsa 1 749 7.32% 18.54%
8 2006-12-16 29.4 @ Hibernians 4 993 60.73% Marsa 0 839 17.84% 21.43%
9 2007-01-28 29.4 @ Floriana 3 1000 62.98% St. Georges 0 821 15.88% 21.13%
10 2007-01-07 29.8 Valletta 2 1112 67.88% @ St. Georges 0 819 11.85% 20.26%
11 2006-12-16 29.9 Marsaxlokk 1 1184 76.54% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 748 5.83% 17.63%
12 2006-08-26 30.2 @ Marsaxlokk 5 1005 58.57% Pieta Hotspurs 0 873 19.77% 21.67%
13 2007-03-14 30.3 @ Marsaxlokk 2 1266 66.51% Msida St. Joseph 0 1045 12.95% 20.54%
14 2006-09-10 30.4 Msida St. Joseph 3 1026 59.45% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 833 18.98% 21.58%
15 2006-09-09 31.1 @ Birkirkara 4 1039 55.08% St. Georges 0 939 22.95% 21.97%
16 2006-10-15 31.5 @ Msida St. Joseph 2 1028 62.31% St. Georges 0 857 16.47% 21.23%
17 2006-11-26 31.6 Hibernians 3 1002 55.50% @ St. Georges 0 845 22.56% 21.94%
18 2006-10-21 31.7 Valletta 3 1048 55.24% @ Marsa 0 894 22.81% 21.96%
19 2007-02-02 31.7 @ Msida St. Joseph 3 1110 55.27% Hibernians 0 1008 22.77% 21.96%
20 2006-10-01 32.4 @ Sliema Wanderers 4 1087 70.87% Pieta Hotspurs 1 804 9.59% 19.54%
21 2007-01-07 32.4 Floriana 2 994 59.08% @ Marsa 0 804 19.31% 21.61%
22 2007-03-03 32.7 Marsaxlokk 6 1236 60.89% @ Birkirkara 1 1027 17.70% 21.41%
23 2006-10-01 32.9 Marsaxlokk 5 1116 63.55% @ St. Georges 1 878 15.41% 21.05%
24 2007-02-24 32.9 @ Valletta 3 1127 51.28% Birkirkara 0 1059 26.51% 22.21%
25 2006-12-23 33.0 @ Msida St. Joseph 3 1126 76.38% Pieta Hotspurs 1 745 5.92% 17.70%